WEBVTT - TSMC Stuck in Middle of Global Panic Over Chips

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanovk. We're here every day bringing

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<v Speaker 1>pm Eastern Time on Bloomberg Radio or watch us on

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<v Speaker 1>YouTube search Bloomberg Global News. Let's get right to our guest,

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<v Speaker 1>because there's lots of stuff going on, certainly watching the

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<v Speaker 1>continued rollout of the vaccine and new development, certainly when

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<v Speaker 1>it comes to the virus. Dr William Hasltin is back

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<v Speaker 1>with us, chairman and President of Access Health International. It's

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<v Speaker 1>a nonprofit thing tank on a mission to improve access

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<v Speaker 1>to high quality and affordable health care for people everywhere.

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<v Speaker 1>He has found in more than a dozen biotech companies,

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<v Speaker 1>including Human Genome Sciences. His autobiography, released earlier this year,

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<v Speaker 1>My Lifelong Fight against disease from Polio and aids to

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<v Speaker 1>two COVID nineteen. And he's also got a book out.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know how he finds time to sleep called Variance,

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<v Speaker 1>The Shape Shifting Challenge of COVID Natine. He's back with

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<v Speaker 1>us on the phone in Connecticut, Doctor Hasseltine. Good to

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<v Speaker 1>have you back. How are you, Carol. It's a pleasure

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<v Speaker 1>to be here. Thank you for that very center this introduction.

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<v Speaker 1>I just speak the truth. Um, tell me how you're doing,

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<v Speaker 1>and tell me when it comes to COVID headlines, vaccine headlines,

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<v Speaker 1>what is it that you are constantly kind of looking

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<v Speaker 1>out for. What's kind of front and center when it

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<v Speaker 1>comes to the information that continues to flow out on

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<v Speaker 1>both the virus and the vaccine. Well, first thing to

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<v Speaker 1>say is, we're very fortunate to have great vaccines that

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<v Speaker 1>are working really effectively and very safely, especially the m

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<v Speaker 1>R and A vaccines. They're protecting people really well. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>they are as safe as of any vaccine I've ever seen,

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<v Speaker 1>and we're very fortunate. The biggest question for those is

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<v Speaker 1>how long will they be protecting us, and how well

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<v Speaker 1>will they protect us against the variants? And for how long?

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<v Speaker 1>Today this morning, we got the first shoe that dropped,

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<v Speaker 1>and that is that one of the best of all

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<v Speaker 1>the vaccines, the moderna vaccine doesn't protect against two of

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<v Speaker 1>the common variants after about six months very well, at

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<v Speaker 1>least as judged by the ability of the antibodies in

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<v Speaker 1>people who were vaccinated to neutralize the virus as different

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<v Speaker 1>from a real vaccine. Test is showing that it's failing

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<v Speaker 1>to protect people in real life, but it's a pretty

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<v Speaker 1>good indication that it's not going to protect people for

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<v Speaker 1>very much longer, so that the net result is also

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<v Speaker 1>quite positive. And the very same report it said, if

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<v Speaker 1>you get a booster at six months, you're golden again.

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<v Speaker 1>You're maybe better off than you were before. And so

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<v Speaker 1>it's uh good news, bad news story. Bad news doesn't

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<v Speaker 1>last that long against the variant. It news, there's something

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<v Speaker 1>to think. So what I've done is I put in

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<v Speaker 1>my calendar six months from when I got my last shot,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm going to get another. So, I mean, do you

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<v Speaker 1>think we'll start to see a recommendation from the CDC

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<v Speaker 1>soon for that for that booster shot. CDC has been

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<v Speaker 1>a little slow in this pandemic, but I think they'll

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<v Speaker 1>come to that position. And you know, the first person

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<v Speaker 1>to mention that was a head of fiser. You may

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<v Speaker 1>remember that just a few weeks ago Albert Boule is

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<v Speaker 1>saying that of the fightser shot, so he knew something

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<v Speaker 1>that we did it. But now we do from the

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<v Speaker 1>moderna publication, which is six eight months out, fewer than

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<v Speaker 1>half the people are protected against the Brazilian and the

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<v Speaker 1>South African variant according to these studies of antibody neutralization.

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<v Speaker 1>So if we don't pursue a course of booster shots

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<v Speaker 1>for everyone, mark your calendar's kind of thing right now,

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<v Speaker 1>could we potentially see another outbreak? Absolutely, because most of

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<v Speaker 1>the viruses that are infecting people in the United States

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<v Speaker 1>and I should say around the world today are variants.

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<v Speaker 1>They're not the original UH strain, and the reason for

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<v Speaker 1>that is the variants are more infectious and they displace one.

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<v Speaker 1>We're now in the fourth wave of increasingly transmissible variants.

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<v Speaker 1>First wave was what came out of China a year

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<v Speaker 1>ago February. It changed and swept the world. Then late

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<v Speaker 1>summer early fall, a whole bunch of new variants came

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<v Speaker 1>and they displaced whatever else was there. And right now

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<v Speaker 1>the Indian strains seems to be displacing even the British

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<v Speaker 1>strain in Britain. So this is a natural course that

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<v Speaker 1>we're seeing faster than we expected. Um and it does

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<v Speaker 1>mean that I believe we will be seeing recommendations for

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<v Speaker 1>six months boosters pretty soon. So does that mean Dr Hazeltine,

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<v Speaker 1>that it's every six months or is there a chance

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<v Speaker 1>that modern advice are able to change the formulation somewhat

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<v Speaker 1>slightly and actually give a shot that has longer lasting

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<v Speaker 1>antibodies until we get new types of vaccines, and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>not sure how we're going to do that. There's some

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<v Speaker 1>ideas on the drawing board, but until we figure out

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<v Speaker 1>how to make vaccines that are going to last longer,

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<v Speaker 1>it's probably going to be a minimum of every year

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<v Speaker 1>and possibly more often. We're to the point now, though

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<v Speaker 1>we're not right. And we're to the point now though

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<v Speaker 1>where where some of the healthcare professionals who got the

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<v Speaker 1>shot in December would be approaching that six month mark.

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<v Speaker 1>We only have about twenty seconds left, Doctor Hezeltine. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>you're correct, I were approaching the time when it's about

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<v Speaker 1>time to get and I should say, if you haven't

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<v Speaker 1>caught those two vaccines, the other ones you may need

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<v Speaker 1>a little more often. So I think it's time to

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<v Speaker 1>consider booster shots for the earliest people who are vaccinated.

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<v Speaker 1>So let's talk about You wrote a story, um and

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<v Speaker 1>uh and it talks about this anti viral drug cocktail.

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<v Speaker 1>So tell us about what this is about what this

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<v Speaker 1>might do, especially for a place like India, which is

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<v Speaker 1>really having a difficult time right now with COVID nineteen. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>there are two ways to prevent infections on our vaccines,

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<v Speaker 1>which are by far the most convenient. You get one

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<v Speaker 1>shot and and or two shots and you may have

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<v Speaker 1>many months to many years of protection. Or if you're exposed,

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<v Speaker 1>to take a drug cocktail that will prevent you from

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<v Speaker 1>getting infected uh for a week or two. Um. Let

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<v Speaker 1>me give you an example of something that happened last year.

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<v Speaker 1>There's a new drug called Zofluza that was developed by

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<v Speaker 1>a Japanese company now sold I believe in America by

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<v Speaker 1>genn Tech. Uh. And if you are exposed to flu,

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<v Speaker 1>your kid comes home from school with the flu. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>you take that one pill and you're you have about

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<v Speaker 1>eight chance you reduce your chance of being infected by

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<v Speaker 1>that's what we're talking about. Drugs. You can take when

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<v Speaker 1>exposed or when you think you may be exposed to

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<v Speaker 1>prevent you from getting infection. Now it turns out that

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<v Speaker 1>the slow poke in treatment of and prevention of infection

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<v Speaker 1>has been drugs. But they're rapidly catching up. And just

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<v Speaker 1>a week ago there was some very very interesting news

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<v Speaker 1>that many of the drugs that are useful for treating

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<v Speaker 1>hepatitis C. There are seven different drugs used in two

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<v Speaker 1>drug combinations work in a very unexpected way against the

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<v Speaker 1>protein of the covid virus called n SP three, and

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<v Speaker 1>to everyone's surprise, it's powerfully synergistic with another drug called

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<v Speaker 1>ramdesivier and one and one in this case makes ten,

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<v Speaker 1>not too and so it's giving us the idea that

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<v Speaker 1>there should be a lot of combinations of drugs which

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<v Speaker 1>together can be what's called synergistic the one and want

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<v Speaker 1>let equals sent. The great thing about that discovery is

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<v Speaker 1>India is the powerhouse from manufacturing small drugs and can

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<v Speaker 1>produce these drugs, which in the United States cost about

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<v Speaker 1>eighty dollars for three months treatment cost maybe thirty five dollars.

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<v Speaker 1>In fact, new costs thirty five for a three months treatment.

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<v Speaker 1>So if you only need them for a few days.

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<v Speaker 1>That you're only talking about a couple of bucks for treatment,

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<v Speaker 1>So how would this for that couple of other dogs?

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<v Speaker 1>And you're in good shape to help stop this epidemic,

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<v Speaker 1>not only by getting vaccines which are in short supply,

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<v Speaker 1>but by using combinations of drugs. Well, So how would

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<v Speaker 1>this How would this work in a place like India

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<v Speaker 1>right now? How would they how would they distribute this quickly?

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<v Speaker 1>And how would they know who to distribute it? Tours

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<v Speaker 1>it's safe to assume that the infection right there is

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<v Speaker 1>so high that you can assume you've been exposed. That's

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<v Speaker 1>probably a pretty good assumption. I don't think there's enough

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<v Speaker 1>drug right now. For of all, we don't really know

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<v Speaker 1>what the right these are pills. This isn't a shot.

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<v Speaker 1>Ram decipere now has to be infused and the drug

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<v Speaker 1>that we now know it works best with these hepatitis

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<v Speaker 1>C drugs their pills, but it works best with ram desipere.

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<v Speaker 1>And they're probably other drugs that are being developed. MOLL

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<v Speaker 1>no peer of heer by Merk and other companies, proteation

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<v Speaker 1>inhibitors by Fiser and other companies. Uh, it'll take a while.

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<v Speaker 1>But if I were India, I would do a massive

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<v Speaker 1>warp speed trial to see what's working. With so many

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<v Speaker 1>people infected, you could get that answer in a month

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<v Speaker 1>or two. So essentially, rather than rather than, rather than

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<v Speaker 1>somebody getting the vaccine, they're given this cocktail tail what

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<v Speaker 1>at first signs of it or just in general no, no,

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<v Speaker 1>or you're even just exposed. You're exposed. Okay, it's like

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<v Speaker 1>with with with no losing. You don't have to be infected.

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<v Speaker 1>You don't want to be infected. So if somebody comes

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<v Speaker 1>into your household or you're at a workplace or the

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<v Speaker 1>school where people are getting the fluid, you pop this

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<v Speaker 1>pill and your chances about decreased that you're going to

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<v Speaker 1>get it. That's fantastic, and I think it's a whole

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<v Speaker 1>different approach that people. We're going to have a farm,

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<v Speaker 1>a big pharma copea of anti sarroscopy drugs in about

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<v Speaker 1>six months to a year, and I think that will

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<v Speaker 1>be a good supplement. The great thing about those drugs

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<v Speaker 1>also is resistance to vaccines. Resistance to immunity is parallel

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<v Speaker 1>and like a different world from drug resistance. So you

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<v Speaker 1>get that maybe the best of both worlds. Vaccines plus

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<v Speaker 1>these drugs to protect yourself against all of these very

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<v Speaker 1>I think a lot of good news is coming down

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<v Speaker 1>the Hey just quickly, just twenty seconds tho, Dr has

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<v Speaker 1>I mean to be clear that you take this pill

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<v Speaker 1>and you're good for a couple of weeks or is

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<v Speaker 1>it longer than that? Probably not longer. At this point,

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<v Speaker 1>it's taken us thirty years to get shots which might

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<v Speaker 1>protect us for eight to nine months from HIV. You've

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<v Speaker 1>got to really be careful with long term effects for

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<v Speaker 1>long acting drugs or people who are entirely healthy. But

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<v Speaker 1>we can get there. We can get to a shot

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<v Speaker 1>that will last probably a year or more, but it'll

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<v Speaker 1>take us some time, but we can get there with

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<v Speaker 1>their drugs too. All right. Yeah, we've said we've got

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<v Speaker 1>to about have a bunch of tools to do this. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>Dr Heseltine, thank you so much. Always appreciate checking in

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<v Speaker 1>with you. Dr William Hazeltine, Scherman and President of Access

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<v Speaker 1>Healthy International. What are you thinking? I'm thinking how long

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<v Speaker 1>are we going to be in this situation? Right? Yeah?

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<v Speaker 1>It's what it feels like. It feels like, I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>my my thoughts on involved a lot, but it's interesting,

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<v Speaker 1>like He's saying that, you know, you have multiple tools

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<v Speaker 1>because there are probably ultimately people who will not get vaccine.

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<v Speaker 1>So how do you treat somebody who all of a

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<v Speaker 1>sudden says they're exposed, so you want to prevent them

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<v Speaker 1>from getting it, so they get maybe a cocktail. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>it's a great point. You're listening to Bloomberg Business Week

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<v Speaker 1>with Carol Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stinovic on

0:11:53.400 --> 0:11:56.200
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio. So there's a story in the upcoming issue

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<v Speaker 1>of the magazines out later on this week on newsstands, online,

0:11:59.480 --> 0:12:02.400
<v Speaker 1>on on Bloomberg about how the company that's become the

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<v Speaker 1>leader in the most advanced types of semiconductors on the

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<v Speaker 1>market today is TIMS stuck in the middle of a

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<v Speaker 1>global panic over chip supply company t s MC. Joel

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<v Speaker 1>Weber is editor at Bloomberg Business Week. He joins us

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<v Speaker 1>now on the remote from Brooklyn, and Joshua Breustein, technology

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<v Speaker 1>writer at Bloomberg Business Week, joins us on the phone

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<v Speaker 1>from New York City. Joel, I was I was pretty

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<v Speaker 1>shocked to read how much Samsung and t SMC Intel

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<v Speaker 1>are spending divine designing the next generation chip business given

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<v Speaker 1>that here we are now in this global supply crunch,

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<v Speaker 1>well billions, and the number even like the number that

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<v Speaker 1>we've seen from from Intel, the twenty billion that they

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<v Speaker 1>want to throw at the Arizona project seems paltry when

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<v Speaker 1>you get the big numbers that the t s MC

0:12:54.880 --> 0:12:57.360
<v Speaker 1>is the world throw around, and you know t s

0:12:57.440 --> 0:13:00.360
<v Speaker 1>MC is is I think pre chip short edge. There

0:13:00.360 --> 0:13:03.400
<v Speaker 1>are probably a lot of people who had no who

0:13:03.400 --> 0:13:07.480
<v Speaker 1>that company was. You know, if you're if you're in

0:13:07.520 --> 0:13:10.400
<v Speaker 1>the in the tech business, Uh, t s MC has

0:13:10.520 --> 0:13:14.640
<v Speaker 1>quietly become just a juggernaut over the past couple of decades,

0:13:15.200 --> 0:13:17.440
<v Speaker 1>and so I think a lot of people suddenly woke

0:13:17.520 --> 0:13:21.160
<v Speaker 1>up to the realization that this is a huge powerhouse

0:13:21.160 --> 0:13:24.240
<v Speaker 1>company UM in the midst of the chip shortage. And

0:13:24.280 --> 0:13:27.319
<v Speaker 1>what the story that Jock edited in in this UM

0:13:27.600 --> 0:13:31.680
<v Speaker 1>this week's issue is about is effectively t SMC sort

0:13:31.679 --> 0:13:34.040
<v Speaker 1>of finds itself in the middle of now a game

0:13:34.080 --> 0:13:37.920
<v Speaker 1>of geopolitics that looks really complicated. So so, Josh, what

0:13:38.000 --> 0:13:40.760
<v Speaker 1>did uh what did our reporters discover as they dug

0:13:40.760 --> 0:13:44.920
<v Speaker 1>into this story. Yeah, so the t SMC story is

0:13:44.920 --> 0:13:47.720
<v Speaker 1>is interesting. This is a company, as Joel said that

0:13:47.800 --> 0:13:53.199
<v Speaker 1>was really unknown UM outside of tech circles until very recently,

0:13:53.480 --> 0:13:57.199
<v Speaker 1>and it pioneered a process for making chips where it

0:13:57.240 --> 0:14:00.679
<v Speaker 1>would allow its customers to design the chips and then

0:14:00.760 --> 0:14:04.480
<v Speaker 1>it would manufacture them. This is different from companies like Intel,

0:14:04.520 --> 0:14:08.120
<v Speaker 1>who were handling UM the entire thing, and this really

0:14:08.120 --> 0:14:11.920
<v Speaker 1>was a revolution in the chip industry. UM t smcs

0:14:12.000 --> 0:14:15.080
<v Speaker 1>real big break came when it began manufacturing chips that

0:14:15.120 --> 0:14:18.480
<v Speaker 1>Apple was designing for its iPhones, and that allowed t

0:14:18.640 --> 0:14:22.080
<v Speaker 1>SNC to really learn how to make the most sophisticated

0:14:22.160 --> 0:14:24.400
<v Speaker 1>chips on the market, and that's been a great business

0:14:24.400 --> 0:14:27.440
<v Speaker 1>for it. It is UM an enormous company. It's very

0:14:27.480 --> 0:14:32.600
<v Speaker 1>important throughout the global tech industry, and now with the

0:14:32.680 --> 0:14:37.680
<v Speaker 1>chip shortage, you're seeing officials really across the globe worrying

0:14:37.840 --> 0:14:41.440
<v Speaker 1>about UM, their supply chains, and in a lot of

0:14:41.480 --> 0:14:45.640
<v Speaker 1>cases wanting chips to be manufactured closer to home. The

0:14:45.760 --> 0:14:48.960
<v Speaker 1>thing with for t SMC is that almost all of

0:14:49.000 --> 0:14:53.000
<v Speaker 1>its highest level chips are made in Taiwan UM, and

0:14:53.040 --> 0:14:55.280
<v Speaker 1>so it's going to be facing increasing pressure from places

0:14:55.320 --> 0:14:58.360
<v Speaker 1>like the United States and from Europe to UH to

0:14:58.520 --> 0:15:02.840
<v Speaker 1>evolve into something that it never has been. Right and

0:15:03.080 --> 0:15:05.920
<v Speaker 1>closely tied as you, as you just said, to Taiwan,

0:15:06.080 --> 0:15:08.320
<v Speaker 1>which kind of puts it also in China's grasp and

0:15:08.360 --> 0:15:13.200
<v Speaker 1>I do wonder how that also kind of complicates things. Joshua. Yeah,

0:15:13.200 --> 0:15:16.120
<v Speaker 1>I think when when you're talking about Taiwan and UM

0:15:16.160 --> 0:15:18.480
<v Speaker 1>and the West looking at Taiwan, I think there's a

0:15:18.520 --> 0:15:22.440
<v Speaker 1>bit of nervousness that it is very close physically to China,

0:15:22.560 --> 0:15:25.840
<v Speaker 1>UM that you might be a little bit nervous about

0:15:26.000 --> 0:15:29.800
<v Speaker 1>your long term prospects of relying on something of strategic

0:15:29.800 --> 0:15:34.360
<v Speaker 1>importance that happens really in China's backyard. UM and t SNC.

0:15:34.640 --> 0:15:39.720
<v Speaker 1>You know, it has uh its own interesting relationship with China.

0:15:39.760 --> 0:15:44.000
<v Speaker 1>It's also not making it's most sophisticated chips in China

0:15:44.640 --> 0:15:46.680
<v Speaker 1>UM and China wants to have its own chip industry

0:15:46.680 --> 0:15:49.760
<v Speaker 1>as well. So I'm wondering where this leaves the companies

0:15:49.760 --> 0:15:55.120
<v Speaker 1>that it that it supplies chips to. Well, I think

0:15:55.400 --> 0:15:58.480
<v Speaker 1>that the companies who rely on t SMC for chip

0:15:58.520 --> 0:16:03.120
<v Speaker 1>manufacturing are probably doably pretty happy with the way that

0:16:03.200 --> 0:16:05.360
<v Speaker 1>this works. They get to design the chips, they don't

0:16:05.400 --> 0:16:09.240
<v Speaker 1>have to build these multibillion dollar factories where they're made.

0:16:09.880 --> 0:16:15.040
<v Speaker 1>UM and you know, I think that there's UH interest

0:16:15.120 --> 0:16:17.760
<v Speaker 1>in having t SMC. You continue to do that, but

0:16:17.840 --> 0:16:21.920
<v Speaker 1>maybe in a way that will make companies and policymakers

0:16:22.040 --> 0:16:25.840
<v Speaker 1>outside of UM Taiwan or not that close to Taiwan

0:16:26.000 --> 0:16:29.440
<v Speaker 1>just a little bit more comfortable UM with the prospect

0:16:29.440 --> 0:16:32.840
<v Speaker 1>of supply shocks. Yeah, I mean, I think one of

0:16:32.840 --> 0:16:35.120
<v Speaker 1>the things that is interesting about this is that you

0:16:35.280 --> 0:16:39.360
<v Speaker 1>have a ton of different UH countries all wanting to

0:16:39.400 --> 0:16:41.920
<v Speaker 1>throw their weight around, whether it's the US or China

0:16:42.040 --> 0:16:45.960
<v Speaker 1>or Japan, and ultimately you have UM Taiwan here, which

0:16:46.200 --> 0:16:50.040
<v Speaker 1>is basically I mean this is like one of basically

0:16:50.040 --> 0:16:55.000
<v Speaker 1>the biggest company that Taiwan has UM and so Josh Like,

0:16:55.320 --> 0:16:56.840
<v Speaker 1>one of the things that stuck out to me as

0:16:56.880 --> 0:17:00.480
<v Speaker 1>I was, you know, thinking about the capital expend manatures

0:17:00.600 --> 0:17:04.119
<v Speaker 1>and UM everything else that you know, the competitors that

0:17:04.160 --> 0:17:06.680
<v Speaker 1>would want to try and steal back some market share

0:17:06.720 --> 0:17:10.600
<v Speaker 1>from t SMC arresting with here is like ultimately t

0:17:10.800 --> 0:17:13.000
<v Speaker 1>SMC is the one with the leverage, right like you.

0:17:13.000 --> 0:17:15.440
<v Speaker 1>You can't just like spool up one of these factories

0:17:15.480 --> 0:17:17.720
<v Speaker 1>and do it overnight like you. You have to be

0:17:17.760 --> 0:17:20.720
<v Speaker 1>thinking decades out here. So to some extent like that

0:17:20.960 --> 0:17:26.600
<v Speaker 1>they have the cards right. Absolutely, t SMC has a

0:17:26.600 --> 0:17:29.560
<v Speaker 1>big head start on most of its competitors when it

0:17:29.640 --> 0:17:33.960
<v Speaker 1>comes to making the most sophisticated chips, and that's going

0:17:34.000 --> 0:17:37.240
<v Speaker 1>to give it a lot of leverage. Um. But as

0:17:37.480 --> 0:17:41.040
<v Speaker 1>you also see add um, national governments want to throw

0:17:41.040 --> 0:17:44.080
<v Speaker 1>around money as well, Like that is a potential opportunity

0:17:44.119 --> 0:17:47.199
<v Speaker 1>for t SMC. It's also a potential opportunity for some

0:17:47.280 --> 0:17:50.399
<v Speaker 1>of its competitors to close the gap. But closing that

0:17:50.440 --> 0:17:52.520
<v Speaker 1>gap is not going to be easy or even a

0:17:52.600 --> 0:17:56.320
<v Speaker 1>foregone conclusion that it will happen. Okay, I got one

0:17:56.359 --> 0:17:58.639
<v Speaker 1>more for you, Josh, which is I thought that the

0:17:58.840 --> 0:18:01.840
<v Speaker 1>lead of this story was super interesting. Like to give

0:18:01.880 --> 0:18:03.959
<v Speaker 1>you a sense of how long TIS and C has

0:18:03.960 --> 0:18:05.959
<v Speaker 1>been around, can you rewind the clock and tell us

0:18:05.960 --> 0:18:09.600
<v Speaker 1>what we found out? Yeah, So the lead of the

0:18:09.640 --> 0:18:13.480
<v Speaker 1>story UM starts with Morris Chang, who is t s

0:18:13.600 --> 0:18:17.800
<v Speaker 1>MC's founder, UM, who was born in China, UM, but

0:18:17.880 --> 0:18:20.200
<v Speaker 1>actually spent the early part of his career in the

0:18:20.320 --> 0:18:25.440
<v Speaker 1>United States, and he recently was reminiscing about a industry

0:18:25.480 --> 0:18:32.400
<v Speaker 1>conference he went to in nineteen UM with the with

0:18:32.480 --> 0:18:34.639
<v Speaker 1>the founders of Intel's who were not yet the founders

0:18:34.680 --> 0:18:36.920
<v Speaker 1>of Intel because the company had not yet been founded,

0:18:37.320 --> 0:18:41.200
<v Speaker 1>but he remembers going to this conference, UM, going out

0:18:41.280 --> 0:18:43.639
<v Speaker 1>and having beers with them and as he put it,

0:18:44.080 --> 0:18:47.360
<v Speaker 1>singing arm in arm all the way back to our hotel. Um.

0:18:47.400 --> 0:18:50.600
<v Speaker 1>So these guys have known each other for a long time. UM,

0:18:50.720 --> 0:18:55.160
<v Speaker 1>and you know that the basic, uh, the basic foundation

0:18:55.200 --> 0:18:57.000
<v Speaker 1>of the chip industry has been around for quite some time,

0:18:57.520 --> 0:19:01.000
<v Speaker 1>and they felt favored by the gods, and as Debbie

0:19:01.000 --> 0:19:03.359
<v Speaker 1>points out in the piece, until passed up a chance

0:19:03.400 --> 0:19:06.160
<v Speaker 1>to actually invest in the nineteen eighties in t SMC.

0:19:06.960 --> 0:19:09.360
<v Speaker 1>It's just fascinating, and I feel like we're not quite

0:19:09.400 --> 0:19:14.120
<v Speaker 1>sure how the chips may fall or going forward. Um.

0:19:14.200 --> 0:19:16.800
<v Speaker 1>Great great reporting, Debbie Wu. Of course, the reporter who

0:19:16.840 --> 0:19:19.320
<v Speaker 1>did this story for Bloomberg Business Week, Josha Breustin, now

0:19:19.400 --> 0:19:23.080
<v Speaker 1>Tech editor at Business Week, giving us the details along

0:19:23.080 --> 0:19:26.239
<v Speaker 1>with Jill Webber, editor of Bloomberg business Week, and in

0:19:26.280 --> 0:19:29.600
<v Speaker 1>this week's Business Week Small Business Survival guid cash is

0:19:29.720 --> 0:19:33.000
<v Speaker 1>king once again at Small Business. Who'd have thought, right,

0:19:33.040 --> 0:19:35.320
<v Speaker 1>because it's like Tim bin all In when it comes

0:19:35.320 --> 0:19:37.520
<v Speaker 1>to digital Yeah, especially at the beginning of the pandemic

0:19:37.520 --> 0:19:40.800
<v Speaker 1>when nobody would touch cash. Rob Mandelbama is freelance contributor

0:19:40.800 --> 0:19:42.920
<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg Business Week and joins us on the phone

0:19:43.000 --> 0:19:45.120
<v Speaker 1>from Brooklyn. Rob, this is something I run into because

0:19:45.119 --> 0:19:46.600
<v Speaker 1>I do drive. So I go and I fill up

0:19:46.600 --> 0:19:49.119
<v Speaker 1>my car in Brooklyn, and it's always like ten or

0:19:49.119 --> 0:19:52.160
<v Speaker 1>twelve or fifteen cents cheaper per gallon. So I, here's

0:19:52.160 --> 0:19:54.000
<v Speaker 1>something about me. I fill up with cash all the

0:19:54.040 --> 0:19:56.679
<v Speaker 1>time because I don't want to pay that extra fee.

0:19:57.160 --> 0:20:00.719
<v Speaker 1>But as you report in Bloomberg Business this week, this

0:20:00.800 --> 0:20:04.240
<v Speaker 1>is starting to spread to other types of stores as

0:20:04.359 --> 0:20:08.000
<v Speaker 1>customer as businesses tire of those swipe fees, which add

0:20:08.040 --> 0:20:11.200
<v Speaker 1>up to a lot of money. They certainly do. UM

0:20:11.280 --> 0:20:16.320
<v Speaker 1>businesses have complained about swipe fees for decades, and you know,

0:20:16.560 --> 0:20:20.119
<v Speaker 1>credit cards, as you mentioned, are just becoming more and

0:20:20.200 --> 0:20:23.520
<v Speaker 1>more the currency of the moment. I talked to one restaurant,

0:20:24.040 --> 0:20:27.719
<v Speaker 1>you know, percent of its sales were credit card sales.

0:20:27.800 --> 0:20:31.080
<v Speaker 1>So those swipe fees really add up for for places

0:20:31.119 --> 0:20:34.520
<v Speaker 1>like that. Ye, swipe fees for credit card transactions the

0:20:34.560 --> 0:20:37.320
<v Speaker 1>report amount it to nine billion dollars in the US

0:20:37.440 --> 0:20:40.640
<v Speaker 1>or at two of credit card sales. So so how

0:20:40.720 --> 0:20:43.720
<v Speaker 1>is this playing out at mom and pop stores throughout Brooklyn?

0:20:44.720 --> 0:20:48.440
<v Speaker 1>UM well throughout Brooklyn and throughout the rest of the country. Um,

0:20:48.480 --> 0:20:51.640
<v Speaker 1>there are payment processors. These are the people who sort

0:20:51.680 --> 0:20:55.199
<v Speaker 1>of connect the merchant to the banks that sort of

0:20:55.240 --> 0:21:02.040
<v Speaker 1>handle credit card transactions. Payment processors are approaching merchants sometimes

0:21:02.119 --> 0:21:05.880
<v Speaker 1>and saying, we have a way to lower your fees

0:21:06.119 --> 0:21:10.720
<v Speaker 1>to zero um, and we do that by making the

0:21:10.720 --> 0:21:14.760
<v Speaker 1>customer pay them. That can be very difficult though, if

0:21:14.760 --> 0:21:17.640
<v Speaker 1>you're a business and you're you're you don't necessarily want

0:21:17.640 --> 0:21:21.840
<v Speaker 1>to be the one who's necessarily charging more for something

0:21:22.359 --> 0:21:25.000
<v Speaker 1>because you want to provide the customer the cheapest price.

0:21:25.720 --> 0:21:29.280
<v Speaker 1>It depends, right, you know, if you're a restaurant that

0:21:29.440 --> 0:21:34.520
<v Speaker 1>it provides a particular you know, a particular experience or

0:21:34.680 --> 0:21:37.159
<v Speaker 1>a particular kind of food. You know, people who go

0:21:37.240 --> 0:21:40.359
<v Speaker 1>to restaurants because they like the food, uh might be

0:21:40.400 --> 0:21:44.280
<v Speaker 1>willing to go to to pay that extra four percent. Um.

0:21:44.320 --> 0:21:46.879
<v Speaker 1>You know, if you're the only fish merchant you know

0:21:47.280 --> 0:21:50.960
<v Speaker 1>in walking distance, people might uh suck it up and

0:21:51.160 --> 0:21:53.800
<v Speaker 1>pay credit cards. Most people do, in fact, uh just

0:21:53.840 --> 0:21:57.680
<v Speaker 1>absorb the fee. So how important, first of all, is

0:21:57.760 --> 0:22:02.360
<v Speaker 1>small business to all of these credit cards? Oh? Uh,

0:22:02.960 --> 0:22:07.120
<v Speaker 1>not very important, Carol. Uh Yeah, I mean, I mean

0:22:07.359 --> 0:22:10.720
<v Speaker 1>they would they would disagree of course. Uh, don't forget

0:22:10.720 --> 0:22:13.919
<v Speaker 1>shops small on Saturday. But um, but you know, I

0:22:13.960 --> 0:22:19.439
<v Speaker 1>mean the vast majority of credit card transactions take place

0:22:19.440 --> 0:22:23.639
<v Speaker 1>at giant retailers, you know, at at the costcoes, the

0:22:23.680 --> 0:22:27.480
<v Speaker 1>wal Marts, the Sephoras, you know, the target no love

0:22:27.520 --> 0:22:30.159
<v Speaker 1>lost between credit cards and small business was interesting to it.

0:22:30.200 --> 0:22:32.359
<v Speaker 1>I didn't know. And in your story you talk about,

0:22:32.640 --> 0:22:35.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, we get those cards that give us rewards

0:22:35.000 --> 0:22:38.919
<v Speaker 1>and cash back and travel points, and merchants are the

0:22:38.920 --> 0:22:41.560
<v Speaker 1>ones that ultimately are paying for those benefits for consumers.

0:22:42.119 --> 0:22:44.439
<v Speaker 1>That's right, that's right. And they're much more expensive for

0:22:44.480 --> 0:22:46.600
<v Speaker 1>merchants and other cards. You know, it could be the

0:22:46.600 --> 0:22:50.080
<v Speaker 1>difference between paying a two percent transaction fee and paying

0:22:50.119 --> 0:22:52.080
<v Speaker 1>a four percent transaction fee or four and a half

0:22:52.160 --> 0:22:55.280
<v Speaker 1>or five. So I do customers seem okay with the

0:22:55.320 --> 0:23:00.720
<v Speaker 1>way this is going? According to the merchants, the credit

0:23:00.720 --> 0:23:04.240
<v Speaker 1>card companies will tell you something different. According to the merchants,

0:23:04.320 --> 0:23:10.119
<v Speaker 1>tim Um, yes, Uh, customers understand and they understand that

0:23:10.200 --> 0:23:13.600
<v Speaker 1>they're paying for the convenience paying for credit cards. A

0:23:13.640 --> 0:23:16.320
<v Speaker 1>couple of the merchants told me that they had took

0:23:16.320 --> 0:23:20.840
<v Speaker 1>criticism from customers at the very beginning, but they quickly

0:23:20.840 --> 0:23:23.160
<v Speaker 1>sort of came around. So I wonder if this leads

0:23:23.200 --> 0:23:25.199
<v Speaker 1>to some sort of resurgence in cash. I mean, I

0:23:25.200 --> 0:23:27.760
<v Speaker 1>gotta tell you, it actually has for me. Now that

0:23:27.800 --> 0:23:29.840
<v Speaker 1>I'm driving and I'm filling up my car like I'm

0:23:29.920 --> 0:23:32.320
<v Speaker 1>I'm making sure that when I go to the gas station,

0:23:32.440 --> 0:23:36.199
<v Speaker 1>I actually have cash. Um. But for so long the

0:23:36.280 --> 0:23:38.399
<v Speaker 1>story has been that, you know, with the rise of

0:23:38.400 --> 0:23:41.560
<v Speaker 1>fintech companies and Dunmill and credit cards becoming ubiquitous with square,

0:23:41.840 --> 0:23:46.960
<v Speaker 1>cash was gonna die. Um, the restaurants and stores, because

0:23:46.960 --> 0:23:49.000
<v Speaker 1>there were both restaurants and stores that I talked to,

0:23:49.520 --> 0:23:53.239
<v Speaker 1>did not see an appreciable uptick in cash transactions. They

0:23:53.280 --> 0:23:57.560
<v Speaker 1>saw some saw some uptick and cash transactions, but by

0:23:57.600 --> 0:24:01.960
<v Speaker 1>and large, um, you know, credit cards held their ground

0:24:02.040 --> 0:24:03.840
<v Speaker 1>even even with the feed. So I think what it

0:24:03.840 --> 0:24:07.160
<v Speaker 1>sounds like is I'm cheaper than everybody else. I'm sorry again,

0:24:07.480 --> 0:24:09.800
<v Speaker 1>I'm cheaper than everybody else. Like I will, I don't

0:24:09.840 --> 0:24:11.320
<v Speaker 1>want to pay for the convenience. I want to get

0:24:11.320 --> 0:24:14.000
<v Speaker 1>the cheapest price. Well, you're not cheaper than me. Okay,

0:24:14.400 --> 0:24:18.639
<v Speaker 1>Because finally, a man after my own heart, I appreciate it.

0:24:18.680 --> 0:24:20.359
<v Speaker 1>But I think about it too when it comes to

0:24:20.480 --> 0:24:23.720
<v Speaker 1>tipping and things like that, right, because percentages are taken out,

0:24:23.800 --> 0:24:26.199
<v Speaker 1>So like I do try to have a little bit

0:24:26.240 --> 0:24:30.840
<v Speaker 1>of cash, um one point, right because because an individual

0:24:30.960 --> 0:24:34.359
<v Speaker 1>or server gets less because the credit cards take their

0:24:34.400 --> 0:24:37.560
<v Speaker 1>fees correct. Right. Uh, you know, to be honest, I

0:24:37.640 --> 0:24:41.440
<v Speaker 1>don't know if restaurants uh take it out to take

0:24:41.800 --> 0:24:45.720
<v Speaker 1>that out, but it wouldn't surprise me if they did. Sure. Yeah, anyway,

0:24:45.760 --> 0:24:48.320
<v Speaker 1>it's interesting and listen, we're still finding our way through

0:24:48.400 --> 0:24:51.240
<v Speaker 1>when it comes to the impact of the pandemic. What's lasting.

0:24:51.280 --> 0:24:54.040
<v Speaker 1>All I know is I have gone digital big time

0:24:54.080 --> 0:24:56.879
<v Speaker 1>when it comes to payment with everything, especially with the

0:24:56.920 --> 0:25:00.520
<v Speaker 1>tap tap tap to pay credit cards with owns. There

0:25:00.560 --> 0:25:03.000
<v Speaker 1>was even someone my daughter will telling me a story

0:25:03.000 --> 0:25:05.320
<v Speaker 1>about someone who is asking for money in the streets

0:25:05.320 --> 0:25:07.200
<v Speaker 1>and they're like somebody said, well I don't have any cash,

0:25:07.200 --> 0:25:09.440
<v Speaker 1>and they're like, well, I've got Venomo. Yeah it makes sense.

0:25:10.400 --> 0:25:13.640
<v Speaker 1>It's all you needs a smartphone in a bank account. Exactly. Um.

0:25:13.760 --> 0:25:16.480
<v Speaker 1>Interesting story, Rob, Thank you so much, really appreciate it.

0:25:16.720 --> 0:25:19.320
<v Speaker 1>Rob Mandelbaum, he is Bloomberg Business Week contributor on the

0:25:19.359 --> 0:25:22.639
<v Speaker 1>phone in New Jersey. Check out that story. Uh, in

0:25:22.640 --> 0:25:25.040
<v Speaker 1>the magazine and all of the coverage when it comes

0:25:25.080 --> 0:25:27.080
<v Speaker 1>to small business and the survival guide. You can find

0:25:27.080 --> 0:25:30.280
<v Speaker 1>more at Bloomberg dot com. You're listening to Bloomberg Business

0:25:30.320 --> 0:25:34.160
<v Speaker 1>Week with Carol Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stinovic

0:25:34.600 --> 0:25:37.200
<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Radio. So, Tim, this was the story I

0:25:37.240 --> 0:25:40.040
<v Speaker 1>think you covered on Cricktake today as well, about how

0:25:40.119 --> 0:25:41.800
<v Speaker 1>Uber and Lift are losing their race when it comes

0:25:41.840 --> 0:25:44.639
<v Speaker 1>to the electric future. Yeah, is that Chatman is Bloomberg

0:25:44.640 --> 0:25:47.119
<v Speaker 1>News technology reporter. She joins us on the phone from

0:25:47.200 --> 0:25:50.199
<v Speaker 1>San Francisco. She and our colleague Ben Elgin have this

0:25:50.320 --> 0:25:53.480
<v Speaker 1>deep dive into Uber and Lift what they're doing or

0:25:53.560 --> 0:25:55.320
<v Speaker 1>what they're not doing, I should say, in order to

0:25:55.359 --> 0:25:58.080
<v Speaker 1>help their drivers here in the US actually get towards

0:25:58.080 --> 0:26:01.560
<v Speaker 1>that sustainable future. Liz, thanks for joining us on this,

0:26:01.640 --> 0:26:04.280
<v Speaker 1>first of all layout Uber and Lifts climate goals and

0:26:04.320 --> 0:26:08.640
<v Speaker 1>what they're actually trying to achieve this decade. Sure thing

0:26:08.800 --> 0:26:13.239
<v Speaker 1>so um earlier this summer, after years and years of

0:26:13.280 --> 0:26:18.240
<v Speaker 1>pressure from different environmental groups and just increasing academic research

0:26:18.320 --> 0:26:21.320
<v Speaker 1>showing their impact on the climate with their with this,

0:26:21.640 --> 0:26:23.000
<v Speaker 1>do you know what was supposed to be the future

0:26:23.000 --> 0:26:26.920
<v Speaker 1>of transportation? Uber or first Lift and then Uber both

0:26:26.960 --> 0:26:31.040
<v Speaker 1>committed to being a electric on the platform in the

0:26:31.119 --> 0:26:34.560
<v Speaker 1>United States by so that was the pledge they made.

0:26:34.600 --> 0:26:36.960
<v Speaker 1>So then and I decided to dig in and take

0:26:36.960 --> 0:26:39.440
<v Speaker 1>a look and see how those efforts were going. So

0:26:39.640 --> 0:26:44.679
<v Speaker 1>how are they going? Not so great? Um, you know.

0:26:44.800 --> 0:26:48.239
<v Speaker 1>There it is a long process, and it involves a

0:26:48.240 --> 0:26:53.120
<v Speaker 1>lot of different shareholders, obviously policy makers, auto manufacturers, and

0:26:53.359 --> 0:26:55.639
<v Speaker 1>of course the infrastructure with you know, to support the

0:26:55.720 --> 0:26:58.560
<v Speaker 1>charging stations so that these drivers can um, you know,

0:26:58.640 --> 0:27:01.159
<v Speaker 1>continue to do their job and not waste you know,

0:27:01.320 --> 0:27:04.080
<v Speaker 1>time that they would take to charge. But the net

0:27:04.119 --> 0:27:07.080
<v Speaker 1>net of this is that they've made this pledge UM

0:27:07.119 --> 0:27:12.480
<v Speaker 1>to be electric. And right now the percentage is point

0:27:12.600 --> 0:27:16.440
<v Speaker 1>five percent of ride hailing companies are now electric vehicles

0:27:16.440 --> 0:27:20.600
<v Speaker 1>here in the United States, and um, that's less than

0:27:20.760 --> 0:27:24.320
<v Speaker 1>the point seven overall in the United States passeter cars.

0:27:24.359 --> 0:27:28.080
<v Speaker 1>So basically we're gonna have to see adoption outpaced the

0:27:28.160 --> 0:27:31.720
<v Speaker 1>general population by about ten x in order for them

0:27:31.760 --> 0:27:36.159
<v Speaker 1>to hit these goals. And it's pretty expensive to to

0:27:36.400 --> 0:27:39.840
<v Speaker 1>still purchase these vias. Um, you know, there's still thousands

0:27:39.880 --> 0:27:42.560
<v Speaker 1>of dollars more even after lower you know, plummeting battery

0:27:42.600 --> 0:27:45.760
<v Speaker 1>costs and government rebase and all this. So you know, um,

0:27:45.880 --> 0:27:49.119
<v Speaker 1>uber has set up some programs to try to help

0:27:49.320 --> 0:27:53.880
<v Speaker 1>drivers by offering incentive. LIFT is offering no financial incentives. UM.

0:27:53.920 --> 0:27:55.560
<v Speaker 1>But you know, in this article we take a look

0:27:55.560 --> 0:27:57.840
<v Speaker 1>at different ways that they're approaching it, and you know,

0:27:57.920 --> 0:28:04.600
<v Speaker 1>our concludean was that the efforts so far have been tentative, incomplete,

0:28:04.640 --> 0:28:07.800
<v Speaker 1>and sloppily executed. Well, let's let's take us take us

0:28:07.800 --> 0:28:09.919
<v Speaker 1>through some numbers. Here. Is that because your your story

0:28:09.960 --> 0:28:13.800
<v Speaker 1>opens with an anecdote about somebody named Kurt Kinder and

0:28:14.040 --> 0:28:17.880
<v Speaker 1>his Chevy Bolt. Um, he only spends about five dollars

0:28:17.920 --> 0:28:20.879
<v Speaker 1>per day on electricity to to charge his car. As

0:28:20.920 --> 0:28:24.320
<v Speaker 1>you point out, the thirteen dollar difference amounts over difference

0:28:24.320 --> 0:28:26.960
<v Speaker 1>amounts over three thousand dollars per year, and that is

0:28:27.000 --> 0:28:29.719
<v Speaker 1>money that he gets to keep. So there's five dollars

0:28:29.720 --> 0:28:33.159
<v Speaker 1>of the navy versus eighteen is gas exactly what he

0:28:33.160 --> 0:28:34.800
<v Speaker 1>would charge for gas. And plus it didn't even take

0:28:34.800 --> 0:28:36.960
<v Speaker 1>into account the maintenance costs that are associated with internal

0:28:36.960 --> 0:28:41.080
<v Speaker 1>combustion vehicles, which are more in some cases than e vs.

0:28:41.280 --> 0:28:43.120
<v Speaker 1>So so what what is the economic is? Is it

0:28:43.200 --> 0:28:47.040
<v Speaker 1>just the initial outlay that's so expensive. Yeah, that's it him.

0:28:47.120 --> 0:28:50.240
<v Speaker 1>It's just still thousands of dollars more to purchase these

0:28:50.280 --> 0:28:53.560
<v Speaker 1>evs than it is for a gas car. And so

0:28:53.720 --> 0:28:56.480
<v Speaker 1>a lot of these drivers, you know there if it

0:28:56.560 --> 0:28:58.520
<v Speaker 1>is a part time job, or they're only doing it

0:28:58.560 --> 0:29:00.920
<v Speaker 1>a couple of hours a week just to and from

0:29:00.960 --> 0:29:03.600
<v Speaker 1>you know, their UM, you know, their their jobs, or

0:29:03.640 --> 0:29:06.480
<v Speaker 1>at a side hustle or something like that. UM, sometimes

0:29:06.480 --> 0:29:07.920
<v Speaker 1>they can afford it. We talked to a number of

0:29:07.960 --> 0:29:11.240
<v Speaker 1>Tesla drivers. I talked to a gentleman here and in

0:29:11.440 --> 0:29:15.200
<v Speaker 1>Oakland who had a Tesla and was driving UM for

0:29:15.200 --> 0:29:19.360
<v Speaker 1>for uber UM. But he got frustrated after a while

0:29:19.480 --> 0:29:21.840
<v Speaker 1>because he wasn't getting any of the bonuses that he

0:29:21.880 --> 0:29:24.960
<v Speaker 1>had been promised, and that Uber had said that, you know,

0:29:25.000 --> 0:29:29.360
<v Speaker 1>they would give one dollar bonuses for every single electric

0:29:29.520 --> 0:29:32.400
<v Speaker 1>vehicle trip that one of their drivers made. This is

0:29:32.480 --> 0:29:35.680
<v Speaker 1>us sensibly to help them make the transition, to encourage

0:29:35.720 --> 0:29:39.160
<v Speaker 1>them to do it UM. But the upshot was that

0:29:39.240 --> 0:29:42.480
<v Speaker 1>when we started, you know, doing some reporting and talking

0:29:42.520 --> 0:29:46.600
<v Speaker 1>to electric vehicle drivers, UM, you know, a large number

0:29:46.720 --> 0:29:48.840
<v Speaker 1>of the ones that we spoke to had never gotten

0:29:48.840 --> 0:29:51.960
<v Speaker 1>these bonuses. So we gave that note, gave that list

0:29:51.960 --> 0:29:54.080
<v Speaker 1>to Uber, and they checked into it and found that

0:29:54.120 --> 0:29:57.640
<v Speaker 1>a technical glitch had occurred. Uh, they apologized and immediately

0:29:57.680 --> 0:30:01.000
<v Speaker 1>made the payment and the re proactively is what was

0:30:01.000 --> 0:30:03.640
<v Speaker 1>a ten percent bonus. And then you know, we kept

0:30:03.640 --> 0:30:05.680
<v Speaker 1>reporting and then we found a you know, some of

0:30:05.680 --> 0:30:08.240
<v Speaker 1>these drivers aren't still aren't getting the bonus. They got

0:30:08.240 --> 0:30:10.520
<v Speaker 1>the first bonus but not the second one, and so

0:30:10.560 --> 0:30:12.640
<v Speaker 1>we called them again and and you know, and then

0:30:12.680 --> 0:30:15.400
<v Speaker 1>they made it, made it good with them there. So

0:30:15.520 --> 0:30:17.440
<v Speaker 1>it's it's been tricky, and there has been a pattern

0:30:17.520 --> 0:30:20.440
<v Speaker 1>of that also in UM with a Sacramento pilot program

0:30:20.440 --> 0:30:23.920
<v Speaker 1>plan that they had where drivers didn't you know, had

0:30:23.920 --> 0:30:26.120
<v Speaker 1>a hard time signing up and then oftentimes never collected

0:30:26.120 --> 0:30:28.960
<v Speaker 1>these bonuses which try not tign back eighteen was fuit dollars.

0:30:29.120 --> 0:30:31.000
<v Speaker 1>And then also in London as well, they just recently

0:30:31.040 --> 0:30:34.080
<v Speaker 1>cut how much they were giving writers drivers there under

0:30:34.120 --> 0:30:36.840
<v Speaker 1>this clean air plan. Hey lost only go about thirty

0:30:36.880 --> 0:30:42.360
<v Speaker 1>seconds left here though. Ultimately though Uber and Left have

0:30:42.560 --> 0:30:44.800
<v Speaker 1>to figure out a way to get more a Vy

0:30:44.960 --> 0:30:49.040
<v Speaker 1>vehicles in their fleet because of carbon emissions and controls

0:30:49.080 --> 0:30:53.160
<v Speaker 1>and concerns and more regulation and just real quickly, Yeah,

0:30:53.720 --> 0:30:57.040
<v Speaker 1>there is definitely pressure, but it's state by state here,

0:30:57.080 --> 0:30:59.920
<v Speaker 1>you know, California has its clean mile standard that's coming

0:31:00.000 --> 0:31:04.840
<v Speaker 1>into effect. Um. You know to to push some do that, um.

0:31:04.960 --> 0:31:09.280
<v Speaker 1>But you know it's so far this is this is voluntary,

0:31:09.360 --> 0:31:11.520
<v Speaker 1>so and it's gonna take. It's gonna take more like

0:31:11.600 --> 0:31:13.280
<v Speaker 1>in China real quickly and running out of time. But

0:31:13.280 --> 0:31:15.760
<v Speaker 1>in China d D there at but they also have

0:31:15.800 --> 0:31:18.840
<v Speaker 1>the support of the Chinese Government of automakers and the like.

0:31:19.000 --> 0:31:22.360
<v Speaker 1>And OLAH is nowhere near its goal. Cabify um as

0:31:22.440 --> 0:31:25.480
<v Speaker 1>well and grabs in in Salfys that doesn't have any goal.

0:31:25.560 --> 0:31:28.800
<v Speaker 1>All right, good steps. Everything Lizette does has so much information.

0:31:28.840 --> 0:31:30.760
<v Speaker 1>Go to Bloomberg dot com and read this story because

0:31:30.760 --> 0:31:34.160
<v Speaker 1>it's so good. Lizette Chapman, of course tech reporter here

0:31:34.200 --> 0:31:42.440
<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg Journal. Now, but you let me drive, Oh no,

0:31:42.440 --> 0:31:48.640
<v Speaker 1>no, no no, no please, I'll do the ex me. I

0:31:48.720 --> 0:32:01.240
<v Speaker 1>want to drive, Just drive by the question trying here

0:32:04.480 --> 0:32:07.959
<v Speaker 1>is the drive to the globe. Thanks, we'll dry us

0:32:09.000 --> 0:32:11.720
<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Radio. All right, So, just about ten and

0:32:11.720 --> 0:32:14.360
<v Speaker 1>a half minutes left in today's trading session. We've been

0:32:14.360 --> 0:32:17.840
<v Speaker 1>bouncing around, no doubt about it. Today definitely off our

0:32:17.920 --> 0:32:21.120
<v Speaker 1>loads of the session, particularly with the NASDAC which Tim,

0:32:21.120 --> 0:32:24.320
<v Speaker 1>as you mentioned, actually squeezing out a little bit of

0:32:24.320 --> 0:32:26.080
<v Speaker 1>a gain, was in the green just for a moment

0:32:26.520 --> 0:32:29.080
<v Speaker 1>now just down about one tenth of one percent, but

0:32:29.160 --> 0:32:32.480
<v Speaker 1>nonetheless of all to day, and who knows exactly why,

0:32:32.520 --> 0:32:34.240
<v Speaker 1>because there's been a lot of reasons thrown out there.

0:32:34.520 --> 0:32:36.719
<v Speaker 1>It's been a wild day. I was down more than

0:32:36.760 --> 0:32:39.640
<v Speaker 1>two Yeah, pretty significant. All right, let's see what our

0:32:39.680 --> 0:32:41.959
<v Speaker 1>next guest has to say. Barry James is back with us.

0:32:42.000 --> 0:32:45.360
<v Speaker 1>He's president, CEO and portfolio manager at James Investment Research.

0:32:45.520 --> 0:32:48.400
<v Speaker 1>On the phone from Alpha, Ohio. Barry, nice to have

0:32:48.440 --> 0:32:52.320
<v Speaker 1>you back here on Bloomberg. So how do you explain

0:32:52.360 --> 0:32:56.800
<v Speaker 1>the day. I've seen inflation concerns initially for the sell off,

0:32:57.240 --> 0:33:00.200
<v Speaker 1>I've seen profit taking, which is something that we've feel

0:33:00.200 --> 0:33:05.040
<v Speaker 1>like it's often a throwaway explanation. How do you see it? Well,

0:33:05.040 --> 0:33:07.360
<v Speaker 1>that's a great question, Carol, and uh, you know, the

0:33:07.400 --> 0:33:10.200
<v Speaker 1>answer is always that the sellers are more anxious than

0:33:10.240 --> 0:33:14.200
<v Speaker 1>the buyer. But as we if we look at last week,

0:33:14.440 --> 0:33:17.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, the oil, the energy sector was up almost

0:33:17.160 --> 0:33:20.240
<v Speaker 1>nine percent, so that we would see some some bit

0:33:20.240 --> 0:33:22.800
<v Speaker 1>of a pullback, especially with all the you know, the

0:33:23.120 --> 0:33:26.160
<v Speaker 1>hullabaloo about you know, long lines and things of that

0:33:26.240 --> 0:33:29.280
<v Speaker 1>nature and the disruption within that that whole sector. So

0:33:29.480 --> 0:33:33.920
<v Speaker 1>I think that's probably you know what is is sparking this.

0:33:34.320 --> 0:33:37.280
<v Speaker 1>But underneath it, there are you know, some warning signs

0:33:37.280 --> 0:33:39.680
<v Speaker 1>that we've seen. Not that I think these are long term,

0:33:39.680 --> 0:33:42.440
<v Speaker 1>but the warning signs are number one, the insiders are

0:33:42.440 --> 0:33:47.320
<v Speaker 1>selling and the companies themselves are selling the answer shares actively.

0:33:47.920 --> 0:33:49.640
<v Speaker 1>So those are two two groups that tend to be

0:33:49.760 --> 0:33:52.200
<v Speaker 1>right and they're saying, uh, we're gonna take it, We're

0:33:52.200 --> 0:33:54.200
<v Speaker 1>gonna take Give us some examples of that, Like, who

0:33:54.200 --> 0:33:56.800
<v Speaker 1>are you seeing selling right now? Yeah, not necessarily the

0:33:56.840 --> 0:34:01.800
<v Speaker 1>insiders and our companies. Well, the list is really really long.

0:34:02.400 --> 0:34:06.680
<v Speaker 1>Um you know, I I've seen somewhere the new issuance

0:34:06.800 --> 0:34:10.000
<v Speaker 1>is is you know, at just about record levels per

0:34:10.000 --> 0:34:12.799
<v Speaker 1>se and um, you know, it's just all up and

0:34:12.880 --> 0:34:17.759
<v Speaker 1>down throughout the throughout the stream of insiders selling. So

0:34:17.760 --> 0:34:21.359
<v Speaker 1>I don't have a specific name throughout there, but it's

0:34:21.400 --> 0:34:25.320
<v Speaker 1>just I'm looking at the cumulative effect and it's it's

0:34:25.360 --> 0:34:28.120
<v Speaker 1>pretty telling. It's much much higher than normal. Well and

0:34:28.120 --> 0:34:30.240
<v Speaker 1>what's interesting though, is we also at the same time

0:34:30.320 --> 0:34:32.279
<v Speaker 1>we came off earnings, and we saw some you know,

0:34:32.320 --> 0:34:36.200
<v Speaker 1>big buy back programs announced at the same time. You know,

0:34:36.400 --> 0:34:39.960
<v Speaker 1>we just saw Amazon do a huge debt offering of

0:34:39.960 --> 0:34:41.560
<v Speaker 1>eighteen and a half billion dollars and some of the

0:34:41.600 --> 0:34:43.839
<v Speaker 1>expectation is that they're going to use it to buy

0:34:43.840 --> 0:34:48.480
<v Speaker 1>back shares um. So it's interesting that that's happening at

0:34:48.480 --> 0:34:50.919
<v Speaker 1>the same time. But your is our insider selling because

0:34:50.920 --> 0:34:55.319
<v Speaker 1>at tax reasons. Uh, that's certainly part of it. I've

0:34:55.360 --> 0:34:58.120
<v Speaker 1>had clients that have last year said, get me at

0:34:58.160 --> 0:35:00.040
<v Speaker 1>all my gains. I don't want to go in of

0:35:00.120 --> 0:35:03.759
<v Speaker 1>this new year with with any gains. Uh So, anyway, yes,

0:35:03.840 --> 0:35:05.879
<v Speaker 1>that that is part of it. But you know, they've

0:35:05.920 --> 0:35:09.440
<v Speaker 1>seen this huge run especially in uh you know, some

0:35:09.480 --> 0:35:12.560
<v Speaker 1>of the names that weren't so popular for some time,

0:35:12.920 --> 0:35:14.880
<v Speaker 1>some of the smaller names, some of the more cyclical

0:35:14.960 --> 0:35:17.839
<v Speaker 1>names and the like, and so yeah, that would be

0:35:17.960 --> 0:35:20.640
<v Speaker 1>be normal to to take take some off the table.

0:35:20.960 --> 0:35:22.520
<v Speaker 1>And you know, the kind of growth we're seeing in

0:35:22.560 --> 0:35:26.400
<v Speaker 1>the economy right now obviously driving earnings and you know,

0:35:26.480 --> 0:35:29.520
<v Speaker 1>been driving stock prices, and it may be a little

0:35:29.560 --> 0:35:32.279
<v Speaker 1>bit ahead of itself. We don't think it's a permanent thing,

0:35:32.320 --> 0:35:34.960
<v Speaker 1>but we need a little bit of a cooling off period. Hey, Barry,

0:35:35.000 --> 0:35:38.600
<v Speaker 1>are there any Barrish economic indicators that you're that you're

0:35:38.600 --> 0:35:42.200
<v Speaker 1>seeing right now, I mean, any anything that concerns you. Yeah,

0:35:43.160 --> 0:35:47.240
<v Speaker 1>the producer prices and uh as you as you just mentioned,

0:35:47.360 --> 0:35:51.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, the commodity prices are way up. Um. You know,

0:35:51.120 --> 0:35:54.279
<v Speaker 1>we have oil up, You've got the medals are way up,

0:35:54.800 --> 0:35:57.680
<v Speaker 1>You've got agricultural way up. So all of these things

0:35:57.719 --> 0:36:03.400
<v Speaker 1>are laying the groundwork to pressure on companies and their earnings. Uh.

0:36:03.480 --> 0:36:05.880
<v Speaker 1>The c p I, you know, hasn't been going up

0:36:05.920 --> 0:36:07.560
<v Speaker 1>at the same pace as the p p I, and

0:36:07.640 --> 0:36:10.920
<v Speaker 1>that's that makes it a lot tougher for companies to

0:36:10.960 --> 0:36:14.040
<v Speaker 1>pass on their costs. So that that is one one

0:36:14.040 --> 0:36:17.080
<v Speaker 1>piece of the puzzle that that we're concerned about. Um,

0:36:17.440 --> 0:36:20.400
<v Speaker 1>we're also as as we look at you know, the

0:36:20.440 --> 0:36:26.719
<v Speaker 1>possibility of of inflation kicking in and the lack of personnel,

0:36:26.840 --> 0:36:30.640
<v Speaker 1>if you will, um heartys locally one worker and that

0:36:30.760 --> 0:36:36.120
<v Speaker 1>was the manager, one worker. Isn't that just a matter

0:36:36.160 --> 0:36:38.760
<v Speaker 1>of time before that kind of corrects itself. And whether

0:36:38.880 --> 0:36:41.120
<v Speaker 1>it's we were just talking about it earlier with Carl

0:36:41.200 --> 0:36:43.920
<v Speaker 1>ri Kadana, whether some workers are staying home because of

0:36:44.000 --> 0:36:47.840
<v Speaker 1>stimulus payment. He reportminded us at only six of school

0:36:48.040 --> 0:36:50.080
<v Speaker 1>districts have actually opened. So there are a lot of

0:36:50.120 --> 0:36:52.960
<v Speaker 1>parents that are still struggling with you know, schooling their

0:36:53.040 --> 0:36:54.960
<v Speaker 1>kids at home, and it's hard for them to get

0:36:55.000 --> 0:36:56.640
<v Speaker 1>maybe back to work. I mean, there's a lot of

0:36:56.640 --> 0:37:01.880
<v Speaker 1>factors at play right now. But ultimately that will correct itself.

0:37:03.480 --> 0:37:06.480
<v Speaker 1>I agree. Um, you know, the free market, if it

0:37:06.520 --> 0:37:09.680
<v Speaker 1>doesn't get interfered with too much, will we'll balance things out.

0:37:09.719 --> 0:37:12.680
<v Speaker 1>It's not necessarily pretty, but yes, it'll get there and

0:37:13.000 --> 0:37:17.279
<v Speaker 1>people will probably be making more money. Well, well, let's

0:37:17.320 --> 0:37:19.200
<v Speaker 1>talk about that because you actually there are some names

0:37:19.200 --> 0:37:22.200
<v Speaker 1>that yet you um do like at this point, and

0:37:22.239 --> 0:37:25.000
<v Speaker 1>let's talk about the mass Tech is one. Mt Z

0:37:25.239 --> 0:37:28.120
<v Speaker 1>is the ticker. It's been on quite a run up

0:37:28.160 --> 0:37:34.040
<v Speaker 1>about seventy two here on infrastructure, play communications, utility, infrastructure

0:37:34.160 --> 0:37:37.600
<v Speaker 1>they work on uh wind and solar farms. Uh. It

0:37:37.640 --> 0:37:39.719
<v Speaker 1>also I think hit a record in yesterday's training to

0:37:39.760 --> 0:37:41.799
<v Speaker 1>have to check today if it hit another record. Uh

0:37:41.920 --> 0:37:45.479
<v Speaker 1>you like this one? You would commit new money to it? Yeah? Yeah,

0:37:46.520 --> 0:37:48.640
<v Speaker 1>I mean you can only sell the top once, right,

0:37:48.719 --> 0:37:54.000
<v Speaker 1>So anyways, um, forgive that joke. It's it's in the

0:37:54.040 --> 0:37:57.440
<v Speaker 1>field that is going to be dominant for quite some time.

0:37:57.800 --> 0:37:59.919
<v Speaker 1>And they are really really good at what they do there,

0:38:00.120 --> 0:38:04.760
<v Speaker 1>their their sales growth against the competitors, cash flow margin,

0:38:04.960 --> 0:38:08.400
<v Speaker 1>all those sorts of things versus competitors are very very strong.

0:38:08.880 --> 0:38:11.880
<v Speaker 1>So they've got the financial side of it in in

0:38:11.960 --> 0:38:15.320
<v Speaker 1>good shape. They have you know, low leverage on a

0:38:15.400 --> 0:38:18.040
<v Speaker 1>historical basis, and they're right in the sweet spot, you know,

0:38:18.080 --> 0:38:21.719
<v Speaker 1>even with five G So uh we I've got no

0:38:21.800 --> 0:38:24.160
<v Speaker 1>problem buying it, buying it at a new high. Okay,

0:38:24.160 --> 0:38:26.960
<v Speaker 1>what about l g I homes uh market cap of

0:38:27.400 --> 0:38:30.799
<v Speaker 1>over four billion dollars. Uh, and it targets first time

0:38:30.840 --> 0:38:35.960
<v Speaker 1>homebuyers in Texas, Arizona, Florida, in Georgia, right right, Um,

0:38:36.120 --> 0:38:38.680
<v Speaker 1>so yeah, this is small. I don't want to give

0:38:38.680 --> 0:38:40.520
<v Speaker 1>anybody an impression this is one of the big guys.

0:38:40.920 --> 0:38:46.839
<v Speaker 1>But um, the low interest rates is a major tailwind. Uh.

0:38:46.880 --> 0:38:50.680
<v Speaker 1>You know, homes in that starter area you can't find them,

0:38:50.760 --> 0:38:54.000
<v Speaker 1>there's no inventory, and people are wanting to get out

0:38:54.040 --> 0:38:56.120
<v Speaker 1>on their own. I think this whole COVID thing has

0:38:56.280 --> 0:38:58.799
<v Speaker 1>has got people thinking I want my own place and

0:38:58.840 --> 0:39:00.120
<v Speaker 1>I don't want to be in, you know, on an

0:39:00.120 --> 0:39:03.839
<v Speaker 1>apartment or anything. So um, that is I think very

0:39:03.880 --> 0:39:07.960
<v Speaker 1>supportive of what they do. They've got great margins and

0:39:08.280 --> 0:39:11.160
<v Speaker 1>what's important, with the prices of you know, the commodities

0:39:11.200 --> 0:39:13.720
<v Speaker 1>going up, they seem to have the ability to pass

0:39:13.760 --> 0:39:17.520
<v Speaker 1>on those costs fairly easily, so they shouldn't get caught

0:39:17.520 --> 0:39:21.600
<v Speaker 1>in a trap of you know, being paying up to

0:39:22.320 --> 0:39:24.439
<v Speaker 1>get the goods without being able to pass that along.

0:39:24.560 --> 0:39:26.719
<v Speaker 1>And again, this is one that's been on quite a tear.

0:39:26.800 --> 0:39:30.440
<v Speaker 1>I think it's up something like sixty almost so far

0:39:30.480 --> 0:39:32.759
<v Speaker 1>this year. You don't have a problem, you think is

0:39:32.840 --> 0:39:36.440
<v Speaker 1>one can can move even higher. Well yeah, but this

0:39:36.680 --> 0:39:39.040
<v Speaker 1>if we do get this little pause that refreshes these

0:39:39.080 --> 0:39:42.600
<v Speaker 1>types of companies will will pause the mass text the

0:39:42.760 --> 0:39:45.120
<v Speaker 1>l g I s. We have these in our our

0:39:45.160 --> 0:39:49.200
<v Speaker 1>balance Golden Rainbow fund. Uh and uh, you know if

0:39:49.239 --> 0:39:51.880
<v Speaker 1>if we see a pull back, would probably be buying

0:39:52.360 --> 0:39:56.640
<v Speaker 1>buying more in those particular positions. Well lg UM homes

0:39:56.719 --> 0:39:58.799
<v Speaker 1>is down about five so would you be buying into

0:39:58.880 --> 0:40:04.200
<v Speaker 1>it today potentially? Yeah? Yeah, Um, you know it's a

0:40:05.239 --> 0:40:09.000
<v Speaker 1>it's the case where you have to step up whenever

0:40:09.040 --> 0:40:13.520
<v Speaker 1>the opportunity arises. You can't just you know, wish and

0:40:13.560 --> 0:40:16.200
<v Speaker 1>hope that you know, buy it on any given day.

0:40:16.400 --> 0:40:19.040
<v Speaker 1>Gotta move when the opportunity strikes. All right, we're gonna

0:40:19.080 --> 0:40:20.640
<v Speaker 1>leave it on that note, Barry, Thank you so much.

0:40:20.640 --> 0:40:24.120
<v Speaker 1>Barry James, President, CEO and portfolio manager James Investment Research,

0:40:24.239 --> 0:40:28.520
<v Speaker 1>on the phone from Alpha Ohio. Thanks for listening to

0:40:28.560 --> 0:40:32.160
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week. Download the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud, or

0:40:32.160 --> 0:40:34.319
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0:40:34.400 --> 0:40:37.040
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0:40:37.040 --> 0:40:39.720
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