1
00:00:14,760 --> 00:00:16,840
Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy to Tuesday? Welcome

2
00:00:16,840 --> 00:00:19,439
Speaker 1: in to another episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My

3
00:00:19,520 --> 00:00:21,760
Speaker 1: name is Matt Perraultz. You guys can follow me across

4
00:00:21,760 --> 00:00:23,759
Speaker 1: all of my socials ad sports talk Matt in This

5
00:00:23,800 --> 00:00:26,840
Speaker 1: podcast being brought to you by our friends at DraftKings.

6
00:00:26,880 --> 00:00:29,200
Speaker 1: New players for the Pick six play five dollars, get

7
00:00:29,240 --> 00:00:32,680
Speaker 1: fifty dollars instantly, and Pick six credits with the code

8
00:00:32,720 --> 00:00:36,200
Speaker 1: Juice at sign up. Okay, good night last night, although

9
00:00:36,240 --> 00:00:37,720
Speaker 1: it could have been a great night. I don't know

10
00:00:37,800 --> 00:00:41,840
Speaker 1: how eight trips to the red zone and we go under?

11
00:00:42,280 --> 00:00:43,200
Speaker 1: How did we go under?

12
00:00:43,240 --> 00:00:45,040
Speaker 2: In that game? Landed forty seven?

13
00:00:45,479 --> 00:00:49,160
Speaker 1: We played over forty nine and a half bumber there,

14
00:00:49,200 --> 00:00:53,120
Speaker 1: but Cooper rush over one and a half touchdowns at

15
00:00:53,120 --> 00:00:55,840
Speaker 1: plus one forty eight. That made up for it little

16
00:00:55,840 --> 00:00:59,080
Speaker 1: plus seven to four. Almost one unit won there. Ceedee

17
00:00:59,120 --> 00:01:01,960
Speaker 1: Lamb gets a half unit, he goes over his yardage

18
00:01:02,000 --> 00:01:05,160
Speaker 1: and Indiana covers in their game. They win by fifteen

19
00:01:05,200 --> 00:01:08,440
Speaker 1: points at home. Indiana covers for us to get that

20
00:01:08,440 --> 00:01:10,720
Speaker 1: one unit. So three and one night, one point two

21
00:01:10,840 --> 00:01:14,600
Speaker 1: four units up on the day. So that's a good

22
00:01:14,640 --> 00:01:17,679
Speaker 1: start to the week. Winning Monday winning Tuesday. As we

23
00:01:17,760 --> 00:01:22,040
Speaker 1: head towards a Wednesday, I have got three basketball plays,

24
00:01:22,080 --> 00:01:25,920
Speaker 1: one in the NBA and two in college basketball to

25
00:01:26,000 --> 00:01:28,840
Speaker 1: give you, guys. And there's the potential that there might

26
00:01:28,880 --> 00:01:31,560
Speaker 1: be a player proper two that I like, but I

27
00:01:31,560 --> 00:01:33,679
Speaker 1: don't know there could be. If there is, I'll put

28
00:01:33,680 --> 00:01:36,800
Speaker 1: it on the Betting pros app under at Sports Talk Matt,

29
00:01:36,920 --> 00:01:39,399
Speaker 1: but right now not really planning on it.

30
00:01:39,440 --> 00:01:41,959
Speaker 2: The cards pretty small for the NBA tonight.

31
00:01:42,000 --> 00:01:44,759
Speaker 1: But if there is something to jump onto, I will

32
00:01:44,840 --> 00:01:47,680
Speaker 1: jump onto it if I am able to do so.

33
00:01:47,840 --> 00:01:50,480
Speaker 1: This podcast is being brought to you by our friends

34
00:01:50,840 --> 00:01:56,320
Speaker 1: at Omaha Stakes. It's the holiday season, guys. Nothing delivers

35
00:01:56,360 --> 00:01:59,400
Speaker 1: comfort and joy quite like the unrivaled quality and tastes

36
00:01:59,760 --> 00:02:03,760
Speaker 1: of Omaha Steaks. It's the guaranteed perfection in every single bite.

37
00:02:03,800 --> 00:02:06,560
Speaker 1: And right now you can save an unforgettable save on

38
00:02:06,720 --> 00:02:10,040
Speaker 1: unforgettable gifts with fifty percent off site wide at Omaha

39
00:02:10,080 --> 00:02:13,320
Speaker 1: Steaks dot Com, plus score an extra thirty dollars off

40
00:02:13,360 --> 00:02:16,919
Speaker 1: with the promo code Juice. With five generations of expertise,

41
00:02:17,480 --> 00:02:21,160
Speaker 1: they consistently deliver the world's best taking, best steak experience,

42
00:02:21,600 --> 00:02:24,640
Speaker 1: and the gifting experts at Olma Steaks having it easy

43
00:02:24,680 --> 00:02:27,600
Speaker 1: to deliver the perfect gift with thoughtfully curated gift packages

44
00:02:27,639 --> 00:02:32,240
Speaker 1: featuring gourmet favorites from legendary stakes to mouthwatering reserts and more.

45
00:02:32,560 --> 00:02:35,360
Speaker 1: Save percent off site wide for a limited time at

46
00:02:35,440 --> 00:02:38,400
Speaker 1: Omaha Steaks dot com. Plus Juice listeners get extra thirty

47
00:02:38,440 --> 00:02:41,800
Speaker 1: dollars off with the promo code Juice. That's fifty percent

48
00:02:41,840 --> 00:02:44,920
Speaker 1: off Olmaha Steaks dot Com and an extra thirty dollars

49
00:02:44,919 --> 00:02:47,880
Speaker 1: off with the promo code Juice minimum purchase.

50
00:02:48,360 --> 00:02:50,000
Speaker 2: May u ply?

51
00:02:50,360 --> 00:02:55,680
Speaker 1: Okay, let's start in the NBA here, Orlando the Magic

52
00:02:55,760 --> 00:02:59,880
Speaker 1: are on the road at the Bucks. This is one

53
00:02:59,880 --> 00:03:05,880
Speaker 1: of those games where you're like, hmm, okay, it's an Emeralds,

54
00:03:06,280 --> 00:03:09,680
Speaker 1: it's a Emirates Cup NBA Cup game.

55
00:03:10,040 --> 00:03:10,440
Speaker 2: Okay.

56
00:03:11,560 --> 00:03:15,000
Speaker 1: So the number opening up as high as it did

57
00:03:15,440 --> 00:03:18,200
Speaker 1: is a little bit weird because Orlando has been pretty

58
00:03:18,200 --> 00:03:23,040
Speaker 1: good against the number. The Magic have won eight of ten,

59
00:03:24,080 --> 00:03:27,720
Speaker 1: but so of the Bucks. But against the number, that's

60
00:03:27,760 --> 00:03:29,840
Speaker 1: where this thing gets a little bit squirrely for me.

61
00:03:31,639 --> 00:03:35,240
Speaker 1: The Milwaukee Bucks are nine thirteen and one ats on

62
00:03:35,280 --> 00:03:39,160
Speaker 1: the year, Orlando is fifteen and eleven, and they're eleven

63
00:03:39,200 --> 00:03:43,120
Speaker 1: and seven against the Eastern Conference. Milwaukee's eight eleven and

64
00:03:43,160 --> 00:03:47,840
Speaker 1: one ats against the Eastern Conference at home, Milwaukee's four

65
00:03:47,840 --> 00:03:51,320
Speaker 1: to seven and one ats now Orlando is six and ten.

66
00:03:52,240 --> 00:03:54,760
Speaker 1: Not a gigantic difference there, but there is a difference

67
00:03:54,800 --> 00:03:57,800
Speaker 1: when it comes just a way at home. Milwaukee has

68
00:03:57,880 --> 00:04:02,000
Speaker 1: played against Atlanta at home, they were laying four and

69
00:04:02,040 --> 00:04:05,920
Speaker 1: a half. They lost by fifteen. Against Washington, they were

70
00:04:05,960 --> 00:04:09,560
Speaker 1: laying fourteen and a half, they won by ten. Against Charlotte,

71
00:04:09,560 --> 00:04:13,320
Speaker 1: they laid eight and they won by six. They haven't

72
00:04:13,360 --> 00:04:16,400
Speaker 1: covered in their last three home games now on the

73
00:04:16,480 --> 00:04:21,120
Speaker 1: road against Philadelphia back to back games. No cover against

74
00:04:21,120 --> 00:04:24,400
Speaker 1: New York on the road, no cover against Brooklyn on

75
00:04:24,440 --> 00:04:24,880
Speaker 1: the road.

76
00:04:25,000 --> 00:04:26,120
Speaker 2: They covered twice.

77
00:04:26,960 --> 00:04:30,240
Speaker 1: The Magic did on the first of December and the

78
00:04:30,279 --> 00:04:36,440
Speaker 1: twenty ninth of November. Yes, this game is an NBA

79
00:04:36,520 --> 00:04:39,920
Speaker 1: Cup game, so it's a winner advance situation here.

80
00:04:39,920 --> 00:04:40,880
Speaker 2: It's a tournament game.

81
00:04:42,480 --> 00:04:46,680
Speaker 1: That makes me want to take the dog even more

82
00:04:46,760 --> 00:04:50,760
Speaker 1: on this. I know Milwaukee's going to be somewhat healthy,

83
00:04:51,279 --> 00:04:53,000
Speaker 1: and I know Milwaukee feels like.

84
00:04:53,320 --> 00:04:55,080
Speaker 2: They have underachieved this year.

85
00:04:55,480 --> 00:04:58,600
Speaker 1: And maybe you could say, without pollow, the Magic have

86
00:04:58,640 --> 00:05:01,600
Speaker 1: played above their heads here. But seven and a half

87
00:05:02,240 --> 00:05:06,480
Speaker 1: seven and a half. It's a big number. Look, I

88
00:05:06,600 --> 00:05:08,600
Speaker 1: like the Bucks a lot coming in you guys. I'm

89
00:05:08,600 --> 00:05:10,280
Speaker 1: on there over for their win total. That's gonna be

90
00:05:10,320 --> 00:05:13,680
Speaker 1: a bad bet. I'm taking the points. Give me the

91
00:05:13,760 --> 00:05:18,120
Speaker 1: dog here, Road Dog Magic plus seven and a half. Defensively,

92
00:05:18,240 --> 00:05:21,120
Speaker 1: still just a tremendous basketball team.

93
00:05:21,200 --> 00:05:21,880
Speaker 2: In the NBA.

94
00:05:22,240 --> 00:05:24,359
Speaker 1: We've been betting a lot of these games involving the

95
00:05:24,839 --> 00:05:27,839
Speaker 1: voding the magic just because defensively how good they've been.

96
00:05:28,200 --> 00:05:30,279
Speaker 1: They are still the number one team in the NBA,

97
00:05:30,400 --> 00:05:33,080
Speaker 1: allowing just one hundred and three point three points per game.

98
00:05:34,120 --> 00:05:38,000
Speaker 1: They are seventh in defensive effective field goal percentage, They're

99
00:05:38,120 --> 00:05:41,760
Speaker 1: seventh in opposing two point percentage. They're nineteenth and three

100
00:05:41,800 --> 00:05:45,240
Speaker 1: point percentage. But I mean, this is still a very

101
00:05:45,279 --> 00:05:49,640
Speaker 1: good defensive team. Number two in allowing opposing assists per game,

102
00:05:49,960 --> 00:05:54,119
Speaker 1: Number four in opposing points in the paint, Number six

103
00:05:54,440 --> 00:05:58,560
Speaker 1: in fast break points given up, Number three in total

104
00:05:58,560 --> 00:06:02,479
Speaker 1: rebounds given up by their opponent. Give me the dog,

105
00:06:02,839 --> 00:06:06,119
Speaker 1: give me Orlando plus seven and a half, Magic plus

106
00:06:06,160 --> 00:06:10,039
Speaker 1: seven and a half for one point one units to

107
00:06:10,160 --> 00:06:13,240
Speaker 1: college we go, and let's take a look at Providence

108
00:06:13,360 --> 00:06:18,680
Speaker 1: against DePaul. This game falls into a category in which

109
00:06:19,000 --> 00:06:23,359
Speaker 1: last year we betted a lot teams that went on

110
00:06:23,440 --> 00:06:28,520
Speaker 1: a true road game and lost to then turn around

111
00:06:28,640 --> 00:06:35,200
Speaker 1: and play at home against a conference opponent, taking the

112
00:06:35,240 --> 00:06:36,480
Speaker 1: home team.

113
00:06:36,760 --> 00:06:37,800
Speaker 2: This number is one.

114
00:06:38,560 --> 00:06:41,920
Speaker 1: Kenpom has this as a one point win for De

115
00:06:42,040 --> 00:06:46,039
Speaker 1: Paul at home in Chicago, with Chris Holtman's team coming

116
00:06:46,040 --> 00:06:49,560
Speaker 1: off of a loss against Texas Tech. Now, they haven't

117
00:06:49,600 --> 00:06:53,560
Speaker 1: played an unbelievable schedule. Okay, they played one top team

118
00:06:53,680 --> 00:06:56,400
Speaker 1: now it is Texas Tech twenty fifth on ken Palm,

119
00:06:56,640 --> 00:07:00,839
Speaker 1: and they lost by fourteen. Everybody else for DePaul has

120
00:07:00,880 --> 00:07:05,719
Speaker 1: been outside the top two hundred on Ken Pomp. That's

121
00:07:05,720 --> 00:07:09,920
Speaker 1: not great. But for Providence, they haven't really been killing people.

122
00:07:10,400 --> 00:07:13,600
Speaker 1: They lost to Oklahoma, they lost to Davidson, they lost

123
00:07:13,640 --> 00:07:16,600
Speaker 1: to Indiana, they beat Buyu, and they lost in their

124
00:07:16,680 --> 00:07:19,040
Speaker 1: last game against Rhode Island and there was a whole

125
00:07:19,480 --> 00:07:24,760
Speaker 1: dust up after that game. This continues another two game

126
00:07:24,840 --> 00:07:27,760
Speaker 1: road trip here. They have a neutral site game coming

127
00:07:27,840 --> 00:07:32,160
Speaker 1: up on Saturday against Saint Bonaventure. But I haven't been

128
00:07:32,200 --> 00:07:36,600
Speaker 1: impressed with Providence, and I think even though DePaul hasn't

129
00:07:36,600 --> 00:07:40,000
Speaker 1: been great in the Big East. Again, this short number

130
00:07:40,360 --> 00:07:44,480
Speaker 1: coming home off of a loss, I think and people

131
00:07:44,520 --> 00:07:46,880
Speaker 1: are betting Providence. I think we got a shot here

132
00:07:46,920 --> 00:07:50,200
Speaker 1: to take to Paul. The reason why, now, again it's

133
00:07:50,240 --> 00:07:52,760
Speaker 1: early in the year, but to Paul is fourth in

134
00:07:52,840 --> 00:07:58,360
Speaker 1: effective field goal percentage offensively in college basketball. They're seventeenth

135
00:07:58,440 --> 00:08:02,640
Speaker 1: in three point percentage. They are twelve in two point percentage. Now,

136
00:08:02,680 --> 00:08:06,080
Speaker 1: Providence defensively is good, but they're not great. They're sixty

137
00:08:06,120 --> 00:08:08,560
Speaker 1: seventh and three point defense. They're thirty third and two

138
00:08:08,560 --> 00:08:12,200
Speaker 1: point percentage. They're twenty eight defensively in effective field goal percentage.

139
00:08:12,240 --> 00:08:15,480
Speaker 1: So it is strength on strength here, but Providence's offense

140
00:08:15,560 --> 00:08:18,240
Speaker 1: is not good. They're one hundred and eleventh in effect

141
00:08:18,520 --> 00:08:21,680
Speaker 1: in justice efficiency on offense, one hundred and thirtieth in

142
00:08:21,720 --> 00:08:24,240
Speaker 1: effective field goal percentage, one hundred and thirty eighth and

143
00:08:24,320 --> 00:08:27,000
Speaker 1: three point percentage, and one hundred and thirty ninth in

144
00:08:27,080 --> 00:08:30,600
Speaker 1: two point percentage. Now, Providence has gone on the road

145
00:08:31,000 --> 00:08:33,280
Speaker 1: last time out against Rhode Island. That was their first

146
00:08:33,320 --> 00:08:36,200
Speaker 1: real true road game, and they lost it in state rival,

147
00:08:36,800 --> 00:08:39,319
Speaker 1: but still a game that they lost. Now they've lost

148
00:08:39,480 --> 00:08:42,920
Speaker 1: four or five, Yeah, they lost four or five, and

149
00:08:42,960 --> 00:08:45,240
Speaker 1: now we're gonna make it five out of six. I'll

150
00:08:45,280 --> 00:08:47,920
Speaker 1: take to Paul lay the one point to Paul minus

151
00:08:47,960 --> 00:08:54,840
Speaker 1: one for one point one units. Lastly, Arkansas versus Michigan

152
00:08:55,000 --> 00:08:57,360
Speaker 1: Jimmy V Classic in New York.

153
00:08:57,480 --> 00:08:58,520
Speaker 2: It's the late game.

154
00:08:58,640 --> 00:09:01,600
Speaker 1: Early game is Tennessee in a game they're favored by

155
00:09:01,640 --> 00:09:04,960
Speaker 1: sixteen points. They should run away with that game. But

156
00:09:05,200 --> 00:09:09,959
Speaker 1: Arkansas Michigan. Different story, Michigan minus four. Arkansas's two to

157
00:09:10,200 --> 00:09:13,000
Speaker 1: seven ats on the year. They are zero to three

158
00:09:13,120 --> 00:09:16,600
Speaker 1: ats away from home this year Michigan six and three.

159
00:09:16,800 --> 00:09:21,120
Speaker 1: We faded Michigan against Wisconsin and it burned us. There

160
00:09:21,120 --> 00:09:24,439
Speaker 1: were three point dogs and they won by three outrights.

161
00:09:24,679 --> 00:09:27,559
Speaker 1: Then they came home against Iowa laying nine and a

162
00:09:27,640 --> 00:09:31,280
Speaker 1: half and they won by two. This is a neutral,

163
00:09:31,640 --> 00:09:35,080
Speaker 1: but Arkansas has not been good. Last time out at

164
00:09:35,120 --> 00:09:37,760
Speaker 1: home against UTSA, they were laying nineteen and a half.

165
00:09:37,840 --> 00:09:40,880
Speaker 1: They won by fifteen. Against Miami, they laid by four.

166
00:09:41,400 --> 00:09:45,000
Speaker 1: They won by three. On our neutral against Illinois four

167
00:09:45,040 --> 00:09:49,520
Speaker 1: point Dogs lost by thirteen. At home against Arkansas Littrock

168
00:09:49,640 --> 00:09:53,480
Speaker 1: laid twenty one, won by twelve. Just haven't been good

169
00:09:53,520 --> 00:09:56,760
Speaker 1: against the number three straight games and only one cover

170
00:09:56,840 --> 00:10:00,000
Speaker 1: in the last six games for Arkansas where Michigan's played

171
00:10:00,160 --> 00:10:03,959
Speaker 1: a higher caliber of opponent in Iowa, Wisconsin, Xavier, VA

172
00:10:04,080 --> 00:10:09,199
Speaker 1: Tech TCU. I'll lay the four points here. I thought

173
00:10:09,200 --> 00:10:11,640
Speaker 1: about betting money line, but it's really expensive. It's mine

174
00:10:11,679 --> 00:10:15,840
Speaker 1: one ninety neutral site game. This is a four point

175
00:10:15,920 --> 00:10:19,600
Speaker 1: win according to kempom. It's a four point win, and

176
00:10:19,640 --> 00:10:22,520
Speaker 1: I just think Michigan's got a chance here with their defense.

177
00:10:22,880 --> 00:10:26,640
Speaker 1: They are eleventh and adjusted efficiency defensively, they're eighth in

178
00:10:26,679 --> 00:10:30,160
Speaker 1: effective field goal percentage. Defensively, they're eighth and two point defense.

179
00:10:30,400 --> 00:10:35,200
Speaker 1: They're forty sixth in three point defense. They're good enough.

180
00:10:36,040 --> 00:10:38,160
Speaker 1: They're not great hitting free throws, but they're good enough

181
00:10:38,200 --> 00:10:40,959
Speaker 1: on offense. They're two hundred ninth on free throws. That's

182
00:10:41,000 --> 00:10:43,199
Speaker 1: not good, but they're ninth on two point percentage. They're

183
00:10:43,200 --> 00:10:46,120
Speaker 1: one hundred and first and three point percentage. Really good

184
00:10:46,120 --> 00:10:49,880
Speaker 1: on offensive rebounds, twenty second in effective field goal percentage.

185
00:10:50,160 --> 00:10:53,600
Speaker 1: Pennant percentage in forty third inefficiency on offense for Michigan.

186
00:10:53,600 --> 00:10:56,280
Speaker 1: But Arkansas defense is pretty good. Michigan will have to

187
00:10:56,280 --> 00:10:59,320
Speaker 1: win this game on defense. I don't mind it under

188
00:10:59,360 --> 00:11:01,439
Speaker 1: bet on this. That's not a horrible way. If you

189
00:11:01,480 --> 00:11:03,320
Speaker 1: don't want to lay the four points and you want

190
00:11:03,360 --> 00:11:05,760
Speaker 1: to take it underplay. Both these teams are six and

191
00:11:05,760 --> 00:11:08,360
Speaker 1: three to the under so far on the year. Last

192
00:11:08,400 --> 00:11:10,840
Speaker 1: game against Iowa went over, but that snapped a four

193
00:11:10,880 --> 00:11:13,560
Speaker 1: game street to the under from Michigan, so I don't

194
00:11:13,720 --> 00:11:16,800
Speaker 1: hate an underplay with that. But at one forty six,

195
00:11:16,840 --> 00:11:21,160
Speaker 1: that's really low on a neutral site. It's a little

196
00:11:21,160 --> 00:11:23,280
Speaker 1: bit of a tough one delay to say, going I'm

197
00:11:23,280 --> 00:11:25,760
Speaker 1: gonna take the under. I'll just take Michigan minus four

198
00:11:26,040 --> 00:11:28,760
Speaker 1: for one point one units, all right. Three bets for

199
00:11:28,840 --> 00:11:32,360
Speaker 1: us here in basketball going Orlando plus seven and a

200
00:11:32,400 --> 00:11:35,640
Speaker 1: half in the NBA Cup on the road at Milwaukee

201
00:11:35,880 --> 00:11:39,600
Speaker 1: to Paul at home against Providence laying one, and Michigan

202
00:11:39,960 --> 00:11:43,160
Speaker 1: on a neutral in New York up against Arkansas laying

203
00:11:43,600 --> 00:11:46,520
Speaker 1: four for us. If there are any NBA prop bets

204
00:11:46,520 --> 00:11:48,880
Speaker 1: that I like, I'll put it on the Betting Pros

205
00:11:48,920 --> 00:11:51,400
Speaker 1: app at Sports Talk Matt. As of right now though

206
00:11:51,400 --> 00:11:54,000
Speaker 1: there's nothing. Maybe tomorrow there might be a better opportunity,

207
00:11:54,040 --> 00:11:55,800
Speaker 1: But if there is something, I'll put it on the

208
00:11:55,840 --> 00:11:58,439
Speaker 1: app before the games tip off. Minus Mat Parolt to

209
00:11:58,440 --> 00:12:00,320
Speaker 1: follow me across all socials at Sports Talk Matt.

210
00:12:00,360 --> 00:12:03,960
Speaker 2: Every morning. It's the Dale Juice Podcast presented by DraftKings,