WEBVTT - The Cycle: Rounding The Bases (Ep. 1013) 0:00:05.200 --> 0:00:07.160 Hello, everybody, Welcome into the cycle. 0:00:07.240 --> 0:00:10.720 I am Ryan Warmley, joined today by Mike Mayor. Mayor 0:00:11.039 --> 0:00:13.119 we're talking to baseball. It's the middle of May. I 0:00:13.119 --> 0:00:14.560 don't know have anything specific to bring up. 0:00:14.560 --> 0:00:17.000 How's it going well? Then it would be a great show. 0:00:17.040 --> 0:00:18.800 It'll be a short show if you don't have anything 0:00:18.800 --> 0:00:21.560 to do with it to talk about. I wish my 0:00:21.600 --> 0:00:23.920 Red Sox were better. They just got swept by the Tigers. 0:00:24.000 --> 0:00:26.480 That's not great, especially for a team that could use 0:00:26.520 --> 0:00:30.120 a few wins. And my fantasy teams are all over 0:00:30.160 --> 0:00:31.880 the place. Some are doing really well, some are doing 0:00:31.960 --> 0:00:36.040 really really poorly, and hopefully everyone out there's teams are 0:00:36.040 --> 0:00:37.120 doing much better than minor. 0:00:38.040 --> 0:00:39.879 Yeah, we're not here to talk about how our real 0:00:39.920 --> 0:00:42.479 life teams are doing. As a Red Sox fan and 0:00:42.560 --> 0:00:44.960 an Orioles fan, there's nothing I want to talk about 0:00:45.000 --> 0:00:47.400 less than the Baltimore Orioles at this very moment, although 0:00:47.440 --> 0:00:49.680 I'm going to talk about some of them in today's show. 0:00:50.600 --> 0:00:52.600 You talk about your fantasy teams. Some doing well, so 0:00:52.640 --> 0:00:54.960 I'm doing very poorly. Speaking of doing very poorly, let's 0:00:55.000 --> 0:00:57.480 dive right into rounding the bases, and we're starting off 0:00:57.520 --> 0:00:59.760 with taking the l who can we admit we were 0:01:00.280 --> 0:01:03.160 about this year. We are now over a month and 0:01:03.200 --> 0:01:06.520 a half into the season, Mayor it is time that 0:01:06.600 --> 0:01:09.160 we can start saying, Okay, this is no longer strictly 0:01:09.200 --> 0:01:12.440 a small sample size. Obviously to a degree it is. 0:01:12.800 --> 0:01:16.280 You know, baseball is a long term, large sample sized sport. 0:01:16.319 --> 0:01:18.520 But you know, we're getting to that point where we 0:01:18.560 --> 0:01:19.920 can really kind of start. 0:01:19.760 --> 0:01:22.119 To reevaluate what we were thinking about before the season 0:01:22.160 --> 0:01:24.360 and say like this this is the new normal for 0:01:24.440 --> 0:01:26.679 some of these guys, or at the very least something 0:01:26.720 --> 0:01:30.680 we need to be reacting to and thinking deeper about 0:01:31.120 --> 0:01:33.280 for me. And I'll just bring it up first because 0:01:33.280 --> 0:01:36.840 I talked about the Orioles Adley Rushman. I was extraordinarily 0:01:36.920 --> 0:01:39.479 high on him as the best catcher in fantasy coming 0:01:39.520 --> 0:01:42.240 into the season. I thought we were in line for 0:01:42.319 --> 0:01:45.720 a very locked in Adley season where he was going 0:01:45.720 --> 0:01:47.480 to take the leave and be like not just the 0:01:47.520 --> 0:01:50.240 best catcher, but like clearly the best catcher in fantasy 0:01:50.240 --> 0:01:52.600 and one of the best overall hitters in fantasy, worth 0:01:52.640 --> 0:01:56.040 a top fifty pick in drafts. I was very, very 0:01:56.120 --> 0:01:57.680 into Adley this. 0:01:57.720 --> 0:01:58.559 Year, and. 0:02:00.000 --> 0:02:01.880 You know, I don't want to like try and justify 0:02:02.120 --> 0:02:04.480 being wrong because he's been very bad. There is a 0:02:04.480 --> 0:02:07.360 lot of underlying data that says he has been hitting 0:02:07.400 --> 0:02:10.200 the ball better than his numbers would suggest, So I 0:02:10.240 --> 0:02:12.359 do want to give him some degree of credit there 0:02:12.400 --> 0:02:15.000 and say there has been an element of bad luck, 0:02:15.160 --> 0:02:17.799 and I'm willing to recognize that. But this is now 0:02:17.840 --> 0:02:20.040 basically a year long slump. Because the second half of 0:02:20.120 --> 0:02:23.600 last year he was very bad. This year he has 0:02:23.680 --> 0:02:26.520 been worse. A one ninety seven batting average, His on 0:02:26.600 --> 0:02:29.239 base percentage is under three hundred, is ops to six 0:02:29.320 --> 0:02:31.840 twenty three. He has four home runs, but two of 0:02:31.840 --> 0:02:35.440 those came in March. I mean he has been one 0:02:35.480 --> 0:02:37.360 of the worst hitters in baseball. He's still been batting 0:02:37.360 --> 0:02:40.680 like third or cleanup in a lot of lineups, so 0:02:40.840 --> 0:02:44.440 he's getting opportunities to figure it out. But average ecxs 0:02:44.440 --> 0:02:48.000 of velocity thirty six percentile, barrel rate forty nine percentile, 0:02:48.080 --> 0:02:51.639 hard hit rate twenty eighth percentile, bat speed twenty fifth percentile. 0:02:51.960 --> 0:02:54.040 His expected numbers for things like wOBA and bad. 0:02:54.200 --> 0:02:56.680 You already named all the bad ones. Everything else is great. 0:02:57.360 --> 0:02:59.799 Yeah, Well, I'm highlighting that the ball is not coming 0:02:59.840 --> 0:03:02.600 off off the bat very well. But he what he 0:03:02.680 --> 0:03:04.679 is doing very well is he's not chasing his withf raise, 0:03:04.760 --> 0:03:08.359 Chase Raider or elite Elite, So he's not like striking 0:03:08.400 --> 0:03:10.280 out a ton. It's his lowestriker out of his career. 0:03:10.320 --> 0:03:14.480 Actually walk right roughly in line with everything else. But 0:03:14.520 --> 0:03:16.000 it's just been so bad, and it's been like a 0:03:16.040 --> 0:03:20.480 year of this, and I'm willing to take maybe not 0:03:20.480 --> 0:03:22.160 the L saying like you should drop him, but I'm 0:03:22.160 --> 0:03:23.560 willing to take the L on him being the best 0:03:23.560 --> 0:03:24.400 catcher in fantasy. 0:03:24.840 --> 0:03:27.440 I think it's too early to take the L on him. 0:03:28.080 --> 0:03:30.560 Maybe he won't catch up to the best catcher in fantasy. 0:03:30.600 --> 0:03:33.720 You know, he's not going to be Carson Kelly. Who 0:03:33.800 --> 0:03:37.080 is you know who can be Carson Kelly. But like 0:03:37.120 --> 0:03:38.960 you said, like a lot of his expected numbers are 0:03:39.040 --> 0:03:42.080 much better. He's batting one ninety one, he's expected batting 0:03:42.120 --> 0:03:46.560 averages two seventy nine. It's so much higher. And I 0:03:46.560 --> 0:03:49.160 think the Orioles as an organization, as like a lineup, 0:03:49.160 --> 0:03:51.280 are just kind of like messy right now, and he's 0:03:51.360 --> 0:03:54.360 just caught up in that. He's swinging strike rate is 0:03:54.360 --> 0:03:57.640 actually down pretty significantly. He was six point eight percent 0:03:57.680 --> 0:04:00.320 last year, it's four point five percent this year. Hard 0:04:00.360 --> 0:04:02.880 hit numbers are up, barrel numbers are up. Fly Ball 0:04:02.960 --> 0:04:05.000 numbers are about the same. Home run to flyball about 0:04:05.000 --> 0:04:06.840 the same two to eleven. Bad bit is not doing 0:04:06.920 --> 0:04:09.760 him any favors. So I think he's like in a slump, 0:04:10.000 --> 0:04:12.520 but he's also getting a ton of bad luck here 0:04:12.560 --> 0:04:14.360 and that the numbers are going to normalize to the 0:04:14.360 --> 0:04:17.600 point where he'll be like a rosterbule catch rosterable. That's 0:04:17.600 --> 0:04:20.880 hard to say, catcher. It's probably too late to be 0:04:20.920 --> 0:04:23.040 the best catcher in fantasy as you were hoping for. 0:04:23.160 --> 0:04:25.920 But I think he could easily finish like top eight 0:04:26.000 --> 0:04:27.800 with a you know, if he turns it around set. 0:04:28.160 --> 0:04:30.640 The Orioles as an organization are a red flag for 0:04:30.760 --> 0:04:32.320 me with him, Like I have a lot of problems 0:04:32.360 --> 0:04:34.320 with their approach at their plate. I don't understand why 0:04:34.320 --> 0:04:36.240 they're not firing Brandon Hyde. I also don't understand why 0:04:36.279 --> 0:04:38.040 they're not firing at least they're hitting coach. I mean 0:04:38.080 --> 0:04:41.360 they they need to completely revamp the approach to this organization. 0:04:41.400 --> 0:04:44.800 They have seen over one thousand fewer pitches this season 0:04:44.800 --> 0:04:47.159 collectively as a team than the Red Sox have like 0:04:47.200 --> 0:04:50.359 they are not taking pitches. It is impacting them. Adley, 0:04:50.400 --> 0:04:52.520 on the other hand, is consistently taking pitches right down 0:04:52.520 --> 0:04:52.919 in the middle. 0:04:52.960 --> 0:04:53.640 Like I don't know what. 0:04:53.680 --> 0:04:55.720 It is that's going on with this team, but the 0:04:55.760 --> 0:04:57.400 guys that should be stars are not hitting well, and 0:04:57.600 --> 0:05:00.880 Adley is right at the forefront of that. I'm really nervous, 0:05:00.880 --> 0:05:03.560 and it scares me that this has been a trend 0:05:04.320 --> 0:05:07.200 multiple years now of getting worth twenty twenty three, his 0:05:07.279 --> 0:05:09.960 OPS was eight or nine. Twenty twenty four, ISPs was 0:05:10.000 --> 0:05:12.920 seven oh nine twenty twenty five, ISPs is six twenty three. 0:05:13.400 --> 0:05:15.200 I get that there's some bad luck baked in there. 0:05:15.440 --> 0:05:18.559 I get that the expected numbers are better. They weren't 0:05:18.600 --> 0:05:20.480 really in the second half of last year. This year, 0:05:20.480 --> 0:05:23.039 it does seem like more bad luck than playing badly 0:05:23.080 --> 0:05:24.359 that I think there were some injury stuff in the 0:05:24.360 --> 0:05:27.400 second half of last year. But we're coming up on 0:05:27.480 --> 0:05:30.960 like almost a year of a really, really poor performer, 0:05:31.440 --> 0:05:33.320 and I feel like I was out over my skis 0:05:33.320 --> 0:05:33.760 about him. 0:05:34.200 --> 0:05:36.440 He's also older than I than I thought he was 0:05:36.440 --> 0:05:39.160 like an old prospect, and I would have expected him 0:05:39.240 --> 0:05:42.760 really like twenty four and he is twenty seven. Yeah, 0:05:42.920 --> 0:05:43.440 twenty seven. 0:05:43.520 --> 0:05:46.520 Talk about this all the time. I in twenty nineteen 0:05:47.279 --> 0:05:49.720 was screaming from the mountaintops. Everybody said, what, Adley's the 0:05:49.720 --> 0:05:51.799 most obvious consensus number one pick we've had in years. 0:05:51.920 --> 0:05:53.679 I was like, they need to take Bobby with junior 0:05:53.760 --> 0:05:57.600 because it was year one of this half decade rebuild. 0:05:57.720 --> 0:06:00.680 I was like, by the time Adley is playing at 0:06:00.720 --> 0:06:03.039 a major league level, at a high level and the 0:06:03.080 --> 0:06:05.240 team is good around him, he's going to be in 0:06:05.279 --> 0:06:08.880 his late twenties, and that's basically what's happening. And I 0:06:09.720 --> 0:06:12.080 was like saying this, anybody who would listen to I 0:06:12.120 --> 0:06:14.919 love Adly, like the player. He's been a great representative 0:06:14.920 --> 0:06:17.080 for the city, kind of a face of the rebuild 0:06:17.120 --> 0:06:18.039 for a lot of those years. 0:06:19.279 --> 0:06:21.039 But I sure would rather have had probably Witt. 0:06:21.640 --> 0:06:23.520 And I said that the day of the draft. I 0:06:23.520 --> 0:06:25.479 would have rather had Wit for no other reason than 0:06:25.520 --> 0:06:28.240 the age. I just thought it was poor, poor planning. 0:06:28.279 --> 0:06:31.400 But you know, that's a conversation for another day. Yeah, 0:06:31.400 --> 0:06:33.359 but he is sneaky older, so like there's not that 0:06:33.600 --> 0:06:37.320 and like he did not sign an extension with the team. 0:06:37.800 --> 0:06:38.920 I think that might be a mistake. 0:06:39.760 --> 0:06:43.400 I mean, if he continues to hit poorly, another year 0:06:43.440 --> 0:06:46.880 older as a catcher, a lot of games in college, 0:06:47.160 --> 0:06:50.960 Like yes, a mistake for him to not have taken 0:06:51.000 --> 0:06:53.479 the sure thing extension and kind of waited out. You know, 0:06:53.520 --> 0:06:56.400 Sometimes these players bet on themselves and it works out 0:06:56.440 --> 0:07:00.400 tremendously well. Other times your value is out what you 0:07:00.400 --> 0:07:00.920 thought it was. 0:07:00.960 --> 0:07:01.239 Maybe. 0:07:01.320 --> 0:07:02.880 I mean, I still think aad they would get a 0:07:03.160 --> 0:07:06.520 huge contract if you know, if he wanted to sign, 0:07:06.839 --> 0:07:08.520 but I don't know if it would be as big 0:07:08.560 --> 0:07:10.360 as he had kind of anticipated early on, given the 0:07:10.400 --> 0:07:12.120 age and position and the performance. 0:07:12.200 --> 0:07:13.160 So two more. 0:07:13.480 --> 0:07:15.240 The other guy I throughout there is Devin Williams. 0:07:16.120 --> 0:07:18.120 I think one of my bold predictions on the show 0:07:18.200 --> 0:07:20.160 was that he could get like cy Young votes this year. 0:07:20.640 --> 0:07:25.000 That's clearly not happening, you know it was. It was 0:07:25.040 --> 0:07:27.840 a bold prediction for a reason. It wasn't intended to 0:07:27.880 --> 0:07:32.960 be a GIMMEI he's just been awful. I mean he's 0:07:32.960 --> 0:07:36.640 been really He's expected ERA is five ten, which is 0:07:37.280 --> 0:07:40.480 three points three runs higher than his actual or to 0:07:40.520 --> 0:07:42.280 me three runs lower turns better is what I should 0:07:42.320 --> 0:07:44.400 say than his actually ERA of eight thirty six. 0:07:46.320 --> 0:07:48.280 He's been really, really bad, and. 0:07:50.240 --> 0:07:53.600 I would imagine there's a path to him getting better, 0:07:54.200 --> 0:07:56.320 you know, the second half of the season, but so 0:07:56.520 --> 0:07:59.160 far it sure looks like a big fat l that 0:07:59.200 --> 0:07:59.840 I need to take. 0:08:00.440 --> 0:08:02.440 Yeah. I don't even have too much to add there, 0:08:02.480 --> 0:08:04.800 because I mean, no one could have really predicted this, 0:08:04.800 --> 0:08:07.320 because he was so good and then going to an 0:08:07.400 --> 0:08:10.040 environment where he should have gotten a ton of save opportunities, 0:08:10.760 --> 0:08:13.040 and it just could not be going worse for him 0:08:13.080 --> 0:08:15.560 right now. And like for him to already be like 0:08:15.720 --> 0:08:18.600 not you know, the lockdown, No, not like lock but 0:08:18.640 --> 0:08:21.640 like the locked in closer for the Yankees and we're 0:08:22.200 --> 0:08:25.320 in mid May, isn't like no one could have predicted that. 0:08:26.760 --> 0:08:28.480 The walk rate is a little high. 0:08:28.920 --> 0:08:31.080 I mean it's it's it's pretty high, but it's it's 0:08:31.360 --> 0:08:33.680 you know, it's usually been around twelve percent. It's in 0:08:33.800 --> 0:08:37.800 sixteen percent, So it's very bad. The alarming number is 0:08:37.840 --> 0:08:40.679 the strikeout rate, because you look at the last few years, 0:08:40.679 --> 0:08:44.400 since twenty twenty, it's been fifty three, thirty eight, forty 0:08:44.520 --> 0:08:46.720 thirty seven, forty three. This year it's twenty three and 0:08:46.720 --> 0:08:47.400 a half percent. 0:08:47.640 --> 0:08:48.120 Strike hou r. 0:08:48.200 --> 0:08:50.840 He's just not striking on anybody, Yeah, I mean, yeah, 0:08:50.880 --> 0:08:53.600 the Whips won seventy nine, I mean, almost double what 0:08:53.640 --> 0:08:57.320 it was last year. Yeah, and the strike out raid 0:08:57.400 --> 0:09:00.760 is almost half what it was last year. The ERA 0:09:01.080 --> 0:09:04.440 is about seven times what it was last year. He 0:09:04.480 --> 0:09:06.719 hasn't had an ERA over two since twenty twenty one, 0:09:06.720 --> 0:09:10.080 and it's currently over eight. So yeah, I am willing 0:09:10.120 --> 0:09:12.000 to accept the L. I have Devin Williams in a 0:09:12.040 --> 0:09:13.920 lot of places. I don't really know what to do 0:09:13.960 --> 0:09:15.640 with him because I don't really want to drop him, 0:09:15.679 --> 0:09:19.040 but you know, and I invested a lot in him 0:09:19.080 --> 0:09:22.320 on Draft Day and that was a mistake. So sure, yeah, 0:09:22.400 --> 0:09:24.200 those are kind of my too. I wanted to highlight 0:09:24.280 --> 0:09:26.360 Adlie and Devin Williams who you got. 0:09:27.000 --> 0:09:29.360 So I wanted to give a few here because, as 0:09:29.360 --> 0:09:31.040 I told you before the show, though, I'm taking the 0:09:31.160 --> 0:09:32.599 L on one, but I'm also going to kind of 0:09:32.640 --> 0:09:34.040 like pull it back a little bit, and I don't 0:09:34.040 --> 0:09:36.880 want to, like, you know, not fulfill my obligation into 0:09:36.920 --> 0:09:39.200 the segment. But my first answer was Jeffrey Springs, just 0:09:39.200 --> 0:09:41.320 because I was really high on him coming into the season. 0:09:42.080 --> 0:09:43.920 I thought he was someone you could take mid to late. 0:09:44.320 --> 0:09:46.520 It's just like really sneaky high up, like this is 0:09:46.520 --> 0:09:48.480 a guy who you know was talking about Sy Young Boats. 0:09:48.480 --> 0:09:50.320 It's a guy who got Sion votes in the past, 0:09:50.760 --> 0:09:52.520 and he got hurt. We just kind of forgot about him. 0:09:52.760 --> 0:09:57.640 He went from the Rays to the A's and I 0:09:57.760 --> 0:10:00.720 just had really high hopes for him and thought he 0:10:00.880 --> 0:10:02.839 was just like I thought he could be in that 0:10:02.880 --> 0:10:05.280 like league winner category, like someone you could take like 0:10:05.320 --> 0:10:08.679 pretty late on draft day who has a subside. I 0:10:08.679 --> 0:10:10.880 didn't think we were gonna get like SP one upside, 0:10:10.880 --> 0:10:13.520 but I thought like we could get like SP two 0:10:13.600 --> 0:10:16.320 upside from Jeffrey Springs. And he got off to a 0:10:16.320 --> 0:10:20.520 really bad start, and part of it was we kind of, 0:10:20.679 --> 0:10:22.640 you know, no one really knew what to expect in 0:10:22.640 --> 0:10:24.280 that ballpark they were going to. It had the kind 0:10:24.320 --> 0:10:26.440 of the same dimensions as the Oak and Coliseum and 0:10:26.480 --> 0:10:28.559 the balls flying out of there. So immediately some of 0:10:28.559 --> 0:10:31.280 the pitchers that I was targeting on draft Day, like Springs, 0:10:31.320 --> 0:10:34.240 like Luis Severino, don't feel as great about them anymore 0:10:34.240 --> 0:10:39.200 because that home ballpark is just not great. However, I 0:10:39.240 --> 0:10:42.200 will say to pull back the olt a little bit. 0:10:43.080 --> 0:10:47.559 In May, he's been really really good, and I don't 0:10:47.600 --> 0:10:49.959 necessarily think this is the same turning around. I think 0:10:49.960 --> 0:10:51.760 this is just kind of like a mini hot streak 0:10:52.280 --> 0:10:54.520 in what is probably gonna be an overall disappointing season. 0:10:55.120 --> 0:10:57.800 But in May, if I will scroll down to where 0:10:57.840 --> 0:11:01.640 he is, three starts, eighteen innings, one point five zero ERA. 0:11:02.280 --> 0:11:04.920 Now that only comes with nine strikeouts and nine strikeouts 0:11:04.920 --> 0:11:07.840 and eighteen innings not great, but one point five ERA, 0:11:08.640 --> 0:11:11.520 one ninety seven average against and two fifty six WOLL 0:11:11.559 --> 0:11:15.400 but in May all really really good numbers for the 0:11:15.400 --> 0:11:18.200 whole season, still a four point twenty seven ERA with 0:11:18.280 --> 0:11:20.560 expected numbers that are even higher than four to two seven, 0:11:20.960 --> 0:11:24.920 And that four two seven comes after three really really 0:11:24.920 --> 0:11:27.720 good starts in May, which tells you where his RA 0:11:28.000 --> 0:11:31.000 was before that. So I think it's still an l 0:11:31.080 --> 0:11:33.240 given my high hopes for him, but there is at 0:11:33.320 --> 0:11:35.160 least a glimmer of hope right now that he's pitching 0:11:35.240 --> 0:11:35.679 much better. 0:11:37.360 --> 0:11:38.880 Yeah, springs to So I didn't I don't have a 0:11:38.960 --> 0:11:39.760 lot of this year. 0:11:40.040 --> 0:11:41.680 I liked him a lot a couple of years ago, 0:11:41.720 --> 0:11:44.280 like prior to the injury, and I just didn't feel 0:11:44.280 --> 0:11:46.600 that confident kind of investing in him, you know, given 0:11:46.640 --> 0:11:49.720 how little he'd pitched the last couple of years, and 0:11:49.760 --> 0:11:52.920 that there are some question marks with the ballpark, But 0:11:53.000 --> 0:11:58.400 I have always liked the pitcher himself when healthy. So, I, 0:11:58.480 --> 0:11:59.800 you know, with someone on the same page with you, 0:11:59.800 --> 0:12:03.400 I wasn't expecting borderline, sp one upside or anything like that. 0:12:03.480 --> 0:12:08.679 But yeah, disappointing for him. What where would you rank 0:12:08.679 --> 0:12:13.280 the rest of the season, like as an overall pictures, Yeah, 0:12:14.000 --> 0:12:15.200 let's put up my rankings this se. 0:12:15.120 --> 0:12:17.640 Where he is I mean, like, it's not he's not 0:12:17.720 --> 0:12:21.200 someone I'm like banking on, Like he's probably he could 0:12:21.200 --> 0:12:22.800 be a free agent in your league and that that 0:12:22.960 --> 0:12:25.600 that means he's probably outside of the top. 0:12:27.080 --> 0:12:34.240 Actually, that's what what is his roster percentage? 0:12:35.000 --> 0:12:36.720 I haven't had exactly one hundred right now? 0:12:40.000 --> 0:12:43.840 You have one hundred one hundred picture picture Yeah, yeah, okay, 0:12:43.880 --> 0:12:45.320 I just want to assume that's what. 0:12:45.320 --> 0:12:52.080 You Yeah, yeah, okay. Who else do you have? 0:12:53.160 --> 0:12:56.320 Easy one well document on this show, Mike Trout someone 0:12:56.360 --> 0:12:57.440 I have rostered everywhere. 0:12:58.360 --> 0:13:00.000 No, you were in on my traut this year. 0:13:00.200 --> 0:13:02.880 Yeah, and I had no idea. I mean, it's an 0:13:03.040 --> 0:13:06.080 L in the sense that it went poorly quickly, But 0:13:06.120 --> 0:13:07.679 I mean that was the risk we knew. 0:13:08.080 --> 0:13:09.640 In the set that No, it is an L. The 0:13:10.000 --> 0:13:14.080 direct reason that everybody was avoiding him. Happened that is 0:13:14.120 --> 0:13:19.280 in l fair And when is he coming back, by 0:13:19.280 --> 0:13:20.880 the way, no time here. 0:13:21.200 --> 0:13:23.400 I'm sure they're making a lot of definitive statements about it. 0:13:23.600 --> 0:13:26.800 Yeah, no timetable. He's got a booboo, but no timetable 0:13:26.880 --> 0:13:28.800 for him to return from that boo boo. But again, 0:13:28.800 --> 0:13:32.400 they were not concerned about it when it happened, which 0:13:32.440 --> 0:13:34.800 to me, like I was watching the game when he left, 0:13:35.080 --> 0:13:37.840 and I mean, maybe there's something I missed, And you know, 0:13:37.920 --> 0:13:41.520 I look dumb for saying this, but and I know, 0:13:41.640 --> 0:13:44.000 like you know, medical issues like bone bruises like don't 0:13:44.000 --> 0:13:46.000 always like happen in the same way. But like he 0:13:46.120 --> 0:13:49.559 left the game with a lower body injury and then 0:13:49.600 --> 0:13:51.240 eventually it came out that it was like a bone bruise, 0:13:51.240 --> 0:13:53.360 But like, I don't remember anything happening to him that 0:13:53.400 --> 0:13:55.200 would like cause a bone It's not like he got 0:13:55.240 --> 0:13:57.440 like drilled by a pitch and it was like so 0:13:57.600 --> 0:13:59.160 bad that it caused a bone bruise. It was like, 0:13:59.200 --> 0:14:01.400 oh he left with like so I'm like need discomfort 0:14:01.440 --> 0:14:03.720 and there's just considering like a bone bruise and I 0:14:03.720 --> 0:14:05.720 know there's other ways to get bone bruises, but like 0:14:06.080 --> 0:14:09.679 that's concerning that, like there's nothing pointing to it. And 0:14:09.720 --> 0:14:12.200 then they said they weren't concerned. And then he went 0:14:12.240 --> 0:14:13.800 on the IL and they were like, oh, he should 0:14:13.800 --> 0:14:16.000 be fine. And then like you know, we're now two 0:14:16.040 --> 0:14:19.400 weeks in and he's like doing some light baseball activities. 0:14:19.400 --> 0:14:22.840 I'm like, if this is just a bone bruise, what 0:14:22.880 --> 0:14:24.920 are we doing here? And it's just like I posted 0:14:24.920 --> 0:14:27.760 the other day, like this is very concerning that. There's 0:14:27.760 --> 0:14:30.680 just like no information and it's like we've seen this 0:14:30.680 --> 0:14:33.360 before with Mike Trout. It's like nothing. Burger turns into 0:14:33.400 --> 0:14:34.280 like he's gone forever. 0:14:35.960 --> 0:14:40.480 Yeah, not great, Yeah, yeah, I mean that's straightforward. 0:14:40.480 --> 0:14:41.080 One's next. 0:14:41.440 --> 0:14:43.440 Yeah, And like you said before, I forget it was 0:14:43.440 --> 0:14:45.320 a fun when you were on the show. When Kelly 0:14:45.360 --> 0:14:47.800 was here. It was like almost like to the day 0:14:47.920 --> 0:14:50.040 last year when he went down too, like at the 0:14:50.160 --> 0:14:53.440 end of April, like the last day AVAIRIL. The other 0:14:53.480 --> 0:14:56.440 one is very similar to your Devin Williams one. I 0:14:56.560 --> 0:14:59.720 rarely go closer early, but in a few leagues this 0:14:59.840 --> 0:15:02.040 year I wanted to kind of lock in a top 0:15:02.080 --> 0:15:03.920 tier closer and thought that the price was right to 0:15:03.920 --> 0:15:06.920 get Emmanuel class A, and that's gone even worse than 0:15:06.960 --> 0:15:09.640 Devin Williams in some ways. I mean, the numbers are 0:15:09.640 --> 0:15:11.960 technically not as bad as Devin Williams, but he already 0:15:12.040 --> 0:15:14.640 lost the job like a couple weeks before Devin Williams, 0:15:15.200 --> 0:15:17.520 and it's not clear if he's going to get it back, 0:15:18.840 --> 0:15:21.120 in part because I think the Guardians have a couple 0:15:21.120 --> 0:15:24.840 other good options in the late innings. I think the 0:15:24.840 --> 0:15:26.680 plan is still to get him back and have him 0:15:26.720 --> 0:15:29.720 be the closer, but uh boy, it is not going good. 0:15:29.760 --> 0:15:34.200 He has four point nine to one era expect the 0:15:34.280 --> 0:15:36.440 numbers are all much better, so there is like some 0:15:36.640 --> 0:15:38.080 signs he's like turning this around. 0:15:38.080 --> 0:15:40.960 But I'm more confident in him kind of bouncing back 0:15:40.960 --> 0:15:42.720 for the rest of the year than I am Devin Williams. 0:15:44.200 --> 0:15:47.400 You think, so, why why is it so some. 0:15:47.320 --> 0:15:51.880 Of the expected numbers are better and like at the 0:15:51.960 --> 0:15:54.960 very least like Devin Williams. You could say, like, well, 0:15:55.160 --> 0:15:57.600 he's with a new team, a new ballpark, Like you 0:15:57.640 --> 0:16:00.400 can point to things that changed that maybe are hampering 0:16:00.480 --> 0:16:04.320 him for some reason, Like I don't know that that's 0:16:04.360 --> 0:16:07.400 the case here. I mean, it's just he's just pitching 0:16:07.400 --> 0:16:08.840 worse than I expected. 0:16:08.680 --> 0:16:10.800 So I will say Class I has like technically already 0:16:10.840 --> 0:16:12.880 kind of gotten the job back. He has been converting 0:16:12.880 --> 0:16:16.480 saved more recently. He is usable in some of those leagues, 0:16:17.080 --> 0:16:21.160 and the numbers have been better over the last like week. 0:16:22.040 --> 0:16:27.760 I invested heavily in our Fantasy pros Insiders Baseball league. 0:16:29.360 --> 0:16:33.600 It's a head to head categories, and I decided to 0:16:33.640 --> 0:16:37.800 go very very heavy on pitching, both starters and relievers, 0:16:38.280 --> 0:16:40.920 and I have both of these, have both of our 0:16:40.960 --> 0:16:42.040 relievers on where. 0:16:42.280 --> 0:16:44.640 Well, at least Class A is like usable. Now you know, 0:16:44.840 --> 0:16:46.800 maybe maybe taking the ls too early because he has 0:16:46.880 --> 0:16:49.280 kind of like I was worried when he first lost 0:16:49.320 --> 0:16:52.160 the job. They have Hunter Gaddis and they have I 0:16:52.240 --> 0:16:56.240 forget the other reliever who actually got the job temporarily 0:16:56.360 --> 0:16:59.440 ahead of a Hunter Gadus, But it was I was like, well, 0:16:59.480 --> 0:17:00.960 he might just not get this Jop back. But he 0:17:01.000 --> 0:17:04.919 has recently. He hasn't like looked that great, but he 0:17:04.920 --> 0:17:06.600 has been atleast getting saved, so you can use him 0:17:06.600 --> 0:17:07.639 in that way. 0:17:08.080 --> 0:17:10.720 Yeah. Well, speaking of the Guardians, we are now giving 0:17:10.720 --> 0:17:14.760 away a Jose Ramirez signed Guardians jersey courtesy of our 0:17:14.760 --> 0:17:17.280 friends at Pristine auction dot com. All you have to 0:17:17.280 --> 0:17:19.920 do to enter is to subscribe to the Fantasy pros 0:17:20.000 --> 0:17:23.000 MLB YouTube channel right now, drop a comment below on 0:17:23.040 --> 0:17:25.239 any video and that is it will be announcing one 0:17:25.320 --> 0:17:27.440 lucky winner right here on the channel. So make sure 0:17:27.480 --> 0:17:29.480 to turn on those notifications so you can know when 0:17:29.520 --> 0:17:33.240 new videos are up and to claim your prize. Let's 0:17:33.240 --> 0:17:35.000 go to our second topic here of rounding the bass 0:17:35.240 --> 0:17:36.840 Mayor joseel Tuve. 0:17:37.560 --> 0:17:41.080 Is he cooked? Is he washed? Is he finished? 0:17:41.280 --> 0:17:44.640 Being an elite Fantasy contributor. His ops is under seven 0:17:44.760 --> 0:17:48.719 hundred right now, he is batting two fifty six. His 0:17:48.720 --> 0:17:51.800 OBP is just three oh two. His slugging is three 0:17:51.880 --> 0:17:54.640 sixty nine. He has four home runs and three stolen bases. 0:17:56.480 --> 0:17:59.080 His and I don't know if you have looked at this, 0:17:59.200 --> 0:18:02.280 I put it in the note. His stack cast data 0:18:02.480 --> 0:18:03.920 is horrific. 0:18:04.359 --> 0:18:06.280 It is absolutely abysmal. 0:18:06.800 --> 0:18:10.880 Fifth percent expect its fifth percentile, excuse me, expected wOBA 0:18:11.960 --> 0:18:16.520 twelve percentile, expect to batting average, eleventh expected slugging, first percentile, 0:18:16.600 --> 0:18:17.480 average activelosity. 0:18:17.520 --> 0:18:20.160 His average activelosity is eighty four point four miles an hour. 0:18:20.400 --> 0:18:22.680 He's also first percentile and sweet spot rate, his bat 0:18:22.720 --> 0:18:25.480 speed is well, I mean it's all blue. His chase 0:18:25.560 --> 0:18:28.360 rate is up, his barrel rate is down. I mean 0:18:28.440 --> 0:18:31.600 it has just been really really abysmal. 0:18:31.480 --> 0:18:34.560