1 00:00:02,720 --> 00:00:07,240 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:08,280 --> 00:00:11,960 Speaker 2: The EU is looking to potentially loosen fiscal rules to 3 00:00:12,039 --> 00:00:15,480 Speaker 2: reallocate funds to defense. What is your take on that? 4 00:00:15,640 --> 00:00:17,239 Speaker 2: How far should it go? 5 00:00:17,800 --> 00:00:21,079 Speaker 1: So the European Union is already a very significant contributor 6 00:00:21,160 --> 00:00:23,959 Speaker 1: to the defense of Ukraine and to the security of 7 00:00:24,000 --> 00:00:27,880 Speaker 1: their economy, but you're right, there's now an intense discussion 8 00:00:28,000 --> 00:00:31,600 Speaker 1: under way regarding how we confer the contribute to that 9 00:00:31,680 --> 00:00:35,159 Speaker 1: defense and security, and the first phase of that is 10 00:00:35,560 --> 00:00:40,040 Speaker 1: within our existing budget rules, what flexibility can be used 11 00:00:40,159 --> 00:00:44,760 Speaker 1: to allow countries to increase their national defense expenditure. The 12 00:00:44,760 --> 00:00:48,040 Speaker 1: Commission President flagged this as an option there around a 13 00:00:48,040 --> 00:00:51,320 Speaker 1: week ago, and the Commission and ministers are now working 14 00:00:51,360 --> 00:00:54,680 Speaker 1: together to understand precisely how we would make this happen. 15 00:00:55,200 --> 00:00:57,200 Speaker 1: But it appears to me to be a very reasonable 16 00:00:57,240 --> 00:01:00,160 Speaker 1: and sensible way of addressing the need of how we 17 00:01:00,200 --> 00:01:01,840 Speaker 1: can better fund Europe's security. 18 00:01:01,880 --> 00:01:04,080 Speaker 2: Do you think this escape claus though, should be part 19 00:01:04,080 --> 00:01:06,760 Speaker 2: of the discussion or are you concerned potentially about this. 20 00:01:06,840 --> 00:01:10,600 Speaker 1: While we're talking about flexibility inside the existing rules, and 21 00:01:10,640 --> 00:01:14,640 Speaker 1: the reason this flexibility with Buddin was to deal with risks, 22 00:01:15,240 --> 00:01:18,160 Speaker 1: was to deal with difficulties that could grow in scale. 23 00:01:18,520 --> 00:01:21,399 Speaker 1: So I do think it is appropriate that while maintaining 24 00:01:21,440 --> 00:01:23,880 Speaker 1: our budget rules we look at how they can be 25 00:01:24,000 --> 00:01:26,640 Speaker 1: used to deal with an issue that is, after all 26 00:01:27,040 --> 00:01:30,480 Speaker 1: existential our security and the future of Ukraine. 27 00:01:30,680 --> 00:01:33,119 Speaker 2: So you don't think it's unreasonable, then I wonder how 28 00:01:33,120 --> 00:01:36,160 Speaker 2: you feel about the US and asking europe to rethink 29 00:01:36,200 --> 00:01:38,839 Speaker 2: their own contribution to defense as. 30 00:01:38,720 --> 00:01:41,600 Speaker 1: Part of you, well, we're already aware of the needs 31 00:01:41,640 --> 00:01:45,160 Speaker 1: to increase our own defense expenditure. In Ireland, for example, 32 00:01:45,280 --> 00:01:50,040 Speaker 1: we've now been significantly increasing our expenditure and defense and security. 33 00:01:50,080 --> 00:01:52,800 Speaker 1: We're in neutral country, but we know we need to 34 00:01:52,840 --> 00:01:55,520 Speaker 1: invest in our own security and we are planning to 35 00:01:55,680 --> 00:01:59,160 Speaker 1: further increase that spending in the years ahead. And many 36 00:01:59,240 --> 00:02:01,640 Speaker 1: of my colleagues within the European Union are on the 37 00:02:01,680 --> 00:02:04,880 Speaker 1: same path. And even though the US point is obviously 38 00:02:05,000 --> 00:02:10,120 Speaker 1: very important given their gigantic contribution to NATO, we're aware 39 00:02:10,200 --> 00:02:12,120 Speaker 1: of the need to do this anyway because of the 40 00:02:12,160 --> 00:02:13,640 Speaker 1: way in which the world is changing. 41 00:02:13,720 --> 00:02:15,799 Speaker 2: You said further increase over the next few years. What 42 00:02:15,880 --> 00:02:17,079 Speaker 2: are you look in that potential? 43 00:02:17,480 --> 00:02:19,680 Speaker 1: So in Ireland, for example, we've a plan to get 44 00:02:19,720 --> 00:02:22,720 Speaker 1: our defense expenditure up to one point five billion euro. 45 00:02:23,200 --> 00:02:26,000 Speaker 1: It is increased by thirty percent since twenty twenty. 46 00:02:26,480 --> 00:02:27,440 Speaker 3: And if I look at. 47 00:02:27,320 --> 00:02:30,680 Speaker 1: Other colleagues across the European Union, they're now looking at 48 00:02:30,680 --> 00:02:33,200 Speaker 1: what the further increases are that they need to put 49 00:02:33,240 --> 00:02:33,680 Speaker 1: in place. 50 00:02:34,120 --> 00:02:35,799 Speaker 3: The level of that increase does. 51 00:02:35,680 --> 00:02:38,919 Speaker 1: Very country by country, but I'm certain in the very 52 00:02:38,960 --> 00:02:42,680 Speaker 1: near future you'll see those spending plans go up reflecting 53 00:02:42,720 --> 00:02:44,200 Speaker 1: the challenge we now have to confirmed. 54 00:02:44,240 --> 00:02:46,040 Speaker 2: Do you think there should be a certain type of 55 00:02:46,120 --> 00:02:50,040 Speaker 2: financial instrument that should be decided on when thinking about this, 56 00:02:50,120 --> 00:02:52,680 Speaker 2: we've heard a few different countries maybe potentially tinkering with 57 00:02:52,720 --> 00:02:53,400 Speaker 2: different ideas. 58 00:02:53,520 --> 00:02:56,160 Speaker 1: Do you have an ideal mechan So I think it's 59 00:02:56,160 --> 00:02:58,880 Speaker 1: inevitable that different options will be looked at, But I 60 00:02:58,919 --> 00:03:01,800 Speaker 1: think our first portal call should be what we can 61 00:03:01,880 --> 00:03:05,640 Speaker 1: do at a national level while maintaining financial stability and 62 00:03:05,680 --> 00:03:09,280 Speaker 1: maintaining the integrity of the budget rules. And the main 63 00:03:09,320 --> 00:03:11,400 Speaker 1: reason why I would make that point to you is 64 00:03:11,480 --> 00:03:13,639 Speaker 1: that's the thing we'll be able to do the quickest. 65 00:03:14,200 --> 00:03:16,799 Speaker 1: We are going to, no doubt look at new instruments, 66 00:03:17,000 --> 00:03:20,400 Speaker 1: look at at debate regarding how we can fund our 67 00:03:20,440 --> 00:03:23,160 Speaker 1: future better, but all of that will take a little 68 00:03:23,160 --> 00:03:25,600 Speaker 1: bit of time, whereas we know at national level we 69 00:03:25,639 --> 00:03:29,040 Speaker 1: can do more, and how that can be coordinated better 70 00:03:29,360 --> 00:03:31,880 Speaker 1: at an EU level is also an important debate we 71 00:03:31,919 --> 00:03:32,240 Speaker 1: need to. 72 00:03:32,200 --> 00:03:35,160 Speaker 2: Have and Minister I imagine as part of the discussions 73 00:03:35,160 --> 00:03:37,120 Speaker 2: here there's a lot of talk about tariffs and the 74 00:03:37,120 --> 00:03:40,960 Speaker 2: potential effect on your own individual economies, but also as 75 00:03:40,960 --> 00:03:44,040 Speaker 2: a block, what have those discussions been at this point 76 00:03:44,120 --> 00:03:44,920 Speaker 2: between you and your. 77 00:03:45,200 --> 00:03:48,480 Speaker 1: So the vast majority of countries who've been participating in 78 00:03:48,520 --> 00:03:53,480 Speaker 1: these discussions have some very clear messages trade. While of 79 00:03:53,520 --> 00:03:57,400 Speaker 1: course it brings with many different challenges, trade in inside 80 00:03:57,520 --> 00:04:00,800 Speaker 1: a rules based order remains the see good best way 81 00:04:01,280 --> 00:04:04,800 Speaker 1: in which we can lift national economic performance and global 82 00:04:04,800 --> 00:04:10,120 Speaker 1: economic performance while also strengthening our safety nets looking after citizens. 83 00:04:10,120 --> 00:04:14,320 Speaker 1: Are times of big change and therefore any attempts or 84 00:04:14,360 --> 00:04:17,480 Speaker 1: any moves that can bring in tariffs really do have 85 00:04:17,560 --> 00:04:21,560 Speaker 1: the potential to harm trade, harm jobs, bring up prices, 86 00:04:21,800 --> 00:04:25,440 Speaker 1: decrease investment. And while we very much understand why this 87 00:04:25,480 --> 00:04:27,560 Speaker 1: has been done on the table by our colleagues and 88 00:04:27,560 --> 00:04:30,440 Speaker 1: friends in the US, of course we want to negotiate 89 00:04:30,520 --> 00:04:33,680 Speaker 1: with them to see our their internative ways in which 90 00:04:33,680 --> 00:04:35,359 Speaker 1: we can deal with the issues they're raising. 91 00:04:35,440 --> 00:04:38,760 Speaker 2: Do you worry about individually as a country, Ireland potentially 92 00:04:39,440 --> 00:04:42,040 Speaker 2: getting caught in the crossfire of this, especially if you 93 00:04:42,160 --> 00:04:45,280 Speaker 2: consider the trade situation between the US and. 94 00:04:45,400 --> 00:04:49,720 Speaker 1: So any small, open trade intensive economy, the Irish economy, 95 00:04:49,760 --> 00:04:52,120 Speaker 1: and many other ones that are here. Of course, we 96 00:04:52,200 --> 00:04:56,560 Speaker 1: are concerned about the effect that a change in global 97 00:04:56,600 --> 00:05:00,159 Speaker 1: trade and the broad application of tariffs could have our 98 00:05:00,279 --> 00:05:03,040 Speaker 1: national economy, and many other ministers will feel the same. 99 00:05:03,120 --> 00:05:05,240 Speaker 2: Have you expressed that to your US counterparts here? I 100 00:05:05,279 --> 00:05:06,919 Speaker 2: mean the US counterpart is not here, but. 101 00:05:06,920 --> 00:05:09,040 Speaker 1: The official Oh, there are US officials who are here 102 00:05:09,120 --> 00:05:13,080 Speaker 1: who are hearing those different messages from many, many different countries. 103 00:05:13,600 --> 00:05:17,479 Speaker 1: We are in a fortunate position where we have a 104 00:05:17,600 --> 00:05:20,800 Speaker 1: current high level of strength within our national economy. Our 105 00:05:20,800 --> 00:05:23,520 Speaker 1: economy is growing, we have a record number of people 106 00:05:23,600 --> 00:05:27,200 Speaker 1: at work, we have many different engines of national economic growth. 107 00:05:27,560 --> 00:05:29,159 Speaker 3: But our concern is a global one. 108 00:05:29,440 --> 00:05:33,520 Speaker 1: Anything that really begins to change how global trade happens 109 00:05:33,839 --> 00:05:37,000 Speaker 1: that we believe will be mutually harmful, and we would 110 00:05:37,000 --> 00:05:40,000 Speaker 1: prefer to work together to get the agenda towards something 111 00:05:40,040 --> 00:05:44,400 Speaker 1: that can be mutually beneficial. Recognizing the serious issues that 112 00:05:44,520 --> 00:05:47,200 Speaker 1: many countries are raised in on behalf of the people 113 00:05:47,200 --> 00:05:47,640 Speaker 1: they serve. 114 00:05:47,720 --> 00:05:50,560 Speaker 2: Are you optimistic though, considering a lot of the confluence 115 00:05:50,600 --> 00:05:52,560 Speaker 2: of challenges that are going on right now we're talking 116 00:05:52,600 --> 00:05:53,919 Speaker 2: about some of what you've heard this morning. 117 00:05:54,040 --> 00:05:56,800 Speaker 1: Well, I always make the case for optimism. I always 118 00:05:56,800 --> 00:05:59,479 Speaker 1: believe we can make progress. Of course, I have to 119 00:05:59,520 --> 00:06:03,080 Speaker 1: acknowledge that we are facing many, many demands and difficulties 120 00:06:03,120 --> 00:06:05,679 Speaker 1: at the moment. We're all aware of what they are, 121 00:06:06,040 --> 00:06:09,200 Speaker 1: the debates of regarding global trade, what could happen with tariff's, 122 00:06:09,200 --> 00:06:12,880 Speaker 1: the effects of wars. But I really believe that our 123 00:06:12,960 --> 00:06:17,040 Speaker 1: South African friends and hosts here today have reminded us 124 00:06:17,080 --> 00:06:20,159 Speaker 1: of the value of the G twenty and how collaboration 125 00:06:20,320 --> 00:06:22,120 Speaker 1: and dialogue can still. 126 00:06:21,880 --> 00:06:23,359 Speaker 3: Play a vital role. 127 00:06:23,760 --> 00:06:26,200 Speaker 1: And many of us, including Ireland and Europe, are all 128 00:06:26,240 --> 00:06:28,599 Speaker 1: in on us and want to play our part in 129 00:06:28,680 --> 00:06:32,440 Speaker 1: finding the opportunities and dealing with the really severe challenges 130 00:06:32,480 --> 00:06:33,160 Speaker 1: we know exist