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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm just about that action also.

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Speaker 3: All right, here we go from the test throwing out

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Speaker 3: so spect testing.

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Speaker 2: I'm saying it's a cash touchdown. All we see most

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Speaker 2: gamblers when they go to gamble, they go to win.

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Speaker 2: That's incredible.

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Speaker 3: Big bank, small bank. I like to make money. All right,

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Speaker 3: this is the.

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Speaker 2: Ultimate combine if you want to fall. And we are underway.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast, presented by bet MGM.

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Speaker 2: I'm Jill Glanton. I'm joined every week with Evan Abrams.

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Speaker 2: He's our research director here at Action Network. We're gonna

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Speaker 2: go through all of the Sunday NFL action for Week fourteen.

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Speaker 2: Brandon Anderson will have his hot reads of course later

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Speaker 2: in the show, and then Patrick Everson will wrap us

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Speaker 2: up with an update on sportsbooks in Vegas and how

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Speaker 2: they fared this NFL Sunday. But first, let's talk about

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Speaker 2: Monday Night Football. We've got a double header, Evan for

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Speaker 2: Monday Night Football, Packers Giants and Titans Dolphins. Let's talk

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Speaker 2: Packers Giants. First, Packers are six point road favorites over

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Speaker 2: under a thirty six.

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Speaker 3: And a half.

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Speaker 2: Now the Packers six and six coming into this game.

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Speaker 2: Nice little win streak that they put on here, we'll

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Speaker 2: talk about their schedule maybe the rest of the way,

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Speaker 2: because once they get past this game, it's still going

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Speaker 2: to be a very light schedule for them. But coming

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Speaker 2: into this game, a lot of injuries for them. No

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Speaker 2: Christian Watson, Jay Your Alexander, and kuway Walker are going

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Speaker 2: to be missing on defense as well. Aaron Jones is

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Speaker 2: questionable coming into the game. But one thing I've noticed

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Speaker 2: is how I know that sportsbooks have changed their mind

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Speaker 2: on Jordan Love because he's now got plus odds to

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Speaker 2: throw an interception for the first time since Week two.

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Speaker 2: And I don't want to keep bringing it back to interceptions,

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Speaker 2: but I'd feel like, let the interceptions tell you whether

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Speaker 2: or not they think it's a bad quarterback, because right now,

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Speaker 2: the last three games he's looked pretty good. Eight touchdowns,

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Speaker 2: no interceptions, two hundred and fifty passing yards in each game,

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Speaker 2: and they're playing against a Giants team that plays a

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Speaker 2: ton of man coverage and thirtieth and DV away versus

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Speaker 2: the run. I know they're missing a lot of players

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Speaker 2: right now. The Packers have been kind of missing players

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Speaker 2: in and out of the lineup all year, But I

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Speaker 2: don't know if I could back the Giants's home dogs

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Speaker 2: in this spot. Evan, So I kind of leaning to

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Speaker 2: the Packers here. What is your thoughts on this matchup?

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Speaker 3: I guess we're kind of on opposite sides. I mean,

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Speaker 3: I mean, I listen, I don't love this game. Plenty

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Speaker 3: of better games on the girls game. Yeah, it's not

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Speaker 3: the best game in terms of the ATS point of view.

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Speaker 3: In my opinion, I like the six and a half

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Speaker 3: down to six. I'd probably take the Giants if I

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Speaker 3: had to pick a side. I think everyone would also

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Speaker 3: kind of look at the under. I mean, we just

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Speaker 3: watched Sunday Night Football, which we'll talk about in a

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Speaker 3: second with Cowboys Eagles. That game went under the total.

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Speaker 3: It's worth noting even though it kind of got bucked

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Speaker 3: last week in terms of the trend. But Sunday Night

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Speaker 3: Football Monday Night Football Unders are thirty three and five

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Speaker 3: in their last thirty eight games, and we've talked about it.

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Speaker 3: Monday Night Football Unders thirteen and two this year, so

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Speaker 3: kind of been profitable in a few different ways. Now

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Speaker 3: it is thirty seven, but I do feel like thirty seven,

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Speaker 3: even thirty seven and a half getting above that number

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Speaker 3: is good. It's also probably worth talking about here for

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Speaker 3: a second. The floor, as we've seen all the graphics

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Speaker 3: and notes, still sixteen and oh straight up in December,

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Speaker 3: talked about a lot, but kind of garbage, right. I

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Speaker 3: don't even look at that five and five in January.

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Speaker 3: So it's just it's not like he's better at this

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Speaker 3: time of year. I mean, it's just a little bit random.

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Speaker 3: But yeah, I mean those are the trends. The other

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Speaker 3: thing is the Giants, right forty three, nineteen and two

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Speaker 3: to the under since twenty twenty, they're like twenty three

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Speaker 3: and six to the under at home too, So that's

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Speaker 3: been the ride and I'll probably go that direction.

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Speaker 2: I don't think I'm against it. I mean they're still

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Speaker 2: converting less than twenty five percent of their third downs.

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Speaker 2: That taught me Debido a quarterback. There's still thirtieth and

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Speaker 2: dvoa versus the runs, so you know that AJ Dillon

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Speaker 2: is going to get a nice healthy share of carries.

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Speaker 2: That's just going to bleed up the clock. Backers are

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Speaker 2: also top ten and passyards allowed. They haveled out touchdowns

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Speaker 2: and wide receivers this year, but they're likely going to

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Speaker 2: stack the box and make the veto throw. I just

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Speaker 2: think the time of possession is going to be so

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Speaker 2: focused on run game that I'm kind of leaning with

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Speaker 2: you as well that the under thirty six and a

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Speaker 2: half is likely the way to go. But I would say, though,

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Speaker 2: if I was going to bet a touchdown scorer in

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Speaker 2: this game, I'd probably be looking at the Giants wide

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Speaker 2: receivers and just kind of banking on one of them

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Speaker 2: to make a play. So I'd be looking at some

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Speaker 2: like the two guys Wandale Robinson at Jalen Hyatt. They're

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Speaker 2: both around plus five fifty. I would put what I

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Speaker 2: would do is I would put a half unit on

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Speaker 2: each of them because Evan they're both playing heavy snaps

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Speaker 2: over the last two weeks and Robinson he's got the

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Speaker 2: lowest A dot of all the wide receivers and Jalen

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Speaker 2: Hyatt has the highest. So you're at least covering yourself

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Speaker 2: both for that short and long range. And both have

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Speaker 2: actually excelled versus zone coverage as opposed to man coverage,

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Speaker 2: and the Packers play top ten zone rate in the NFL.

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Speaker 2: So for myself, looking at Saquon Barkley at plus one

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Speaker 2: twenty in an offensive game with a thirty six and

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Speaker 2: a half total. No, thanks, I would rather bank on

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Speaker 2: one of these two making a busted play touchdown, you know,

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Speaker 2: a garbage time touchdown or something along those lines, especially

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Speaker 2: at those plus five to fifty odds. Is there anyone

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Speaker 2: from a prop standpoint that you're looking at?

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Speaker 3: Honestly, since I like the Giants a little bit, if

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Speaker 3: I had to pick a side, I was going to

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Speaker 3: split it with the rushing touchdowns. I was going to

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Speaker 3: put probably a larger wager of a unit, larger of

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Speaker 3: a unit on Barkley and probably the remainder of that

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Speaker 3: unit on de Veto and assume that one of those

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Speaker 3: two PPI at the end zone, Yeah, get me a

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Speaker 3: rushing touchdown. Obviously to Vito be more valuable, but Barkley

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Speaker 3: more likely. So that's probably the way I would have

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Speaker 3: handled it.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and Barkley has five touchdowns this year, but he

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Speaker 2: has not scored a rushing touchdown since Week two versus

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Speaker 2: the Cardinals. Just very interesting to see how this offense

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Speaker 2: has performed with this influx of quarterbacks to Rod Taylor

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Speaker 2: and now Tommy DeVito with Daniel Jones out, so it's

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Speaker 2: really hard to trust anything on offense. But if I

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Speaker 2: guess at least this way, you're taking the ball out

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Speaker 2: of Tommy DeVito's hands and put it get in the

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Speaker 2: best players' hands. I was Saquon, so I completely see

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Speaker 2: why you would go with that there. But let's talk

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Speaker 2: now about Titans Dolphins. Now. The Dolphins are thirteen and

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Speaker 2: a half point home favorites with an over under a

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Speaker 2: forty six and a half and this game reminds me

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Speaker 2: a lot of the matchup of last week where they

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Speaker 2: faced the Commanders. Because the Commanders were just one slot

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Speaker 2: behind the Titans in defensive dvo Wai versus the pass

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Speaker 2: DVA to wide receiver one and Dvoway to deep pass.

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Speaker 2: They're thirty first Washington Commanders for thirty second. Well, when

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Speaker 2: they faced a team that like the Commanders, Tyreek Hill

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Speaker 2: went off. He had four catches, one hundred and fifty

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Speaker 2: yards and two touchdowns at half. It could be a

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Speaker 2: little windy in Miami, Tyreek could end up having another

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Speaker 2: big game though, around one hundred and fifty yards. I mean,

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Speaker 2: two of these third in the NFL in passing yards

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Speaker 2: around two hundred and eighty five passing yards per game.

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Speaker 2: I think the main thing too about the Dolphins that

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Speaker 2: we kind of overlook in this offense is actually how

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Speaker 2: efficient they are running the ball as well, because they're

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Speaker 2: second in rushing yards per game. That got that two

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Speaker 2: headed monster Ramo Sturt and eight chance. So thirteen and

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Speaker 2: a half feels like a really big number facing this

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Speaker 2: Titans team, especially for a Titans team with Will Levis

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Speaker 2: that it's likely going to throw the ball a lot

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Speaker 2: in a trailing game script, but I'm not going to

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Speaker 2: be deterred. I actually like the Dolphins in this spot

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Speaker 2: to cover this thirteen and a half.

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Speaker 3: All right, So here's a few angles for you, just

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Speaker 3: kind of blanket stuff that I think a lot of

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Speaker 3: people would be curious about going into this game. So

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Speaker 3: in general, double digit favorites a night game, sixty nine

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Speaker 3: to fifty two and three against the spread fifty seven percent.

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Speaker 3: Last twenty years. Usually taking the points in this situation

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Speaker 3: has been the right side. Now recently it doesn't really matter.

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Speaker 3: It's seven and seven last two years, and you know,

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Speaker 3: not so great nine to fourteen and one the year

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Speaker 3: before that, so recently been pretty much five hundred now

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Speaker 3: when you talk about wins a few seconds ago. So

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Speaker 3: this is one of two games this week that'll have

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Speaker 3: ten mile an hour wins. Those are eighteen six and

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Speaker 3: one to the under this year, one ten to fifty

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Speaker 3: six and one the under over the last three years,

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Speaker 3: so been pretty profitable. Like you said, some win in

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Speaker 3: this game. Now, in terms of like an actionable point

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Speaker 3: of view, I think if the Dolphins and Titans and

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Speaker 3: Lewis starts out well in the first half and you

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Speaker 3: kind of get a closer game, he has owned six

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Speaker 3: second half ats. It's terrible, So you might want to

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Speaker 3: at the Dolphins to pull away if if it's a

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Speaker 3: close first half. But you've mentioned this before. I know

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Speaker 3: we've talked about it. In the favorites. A Ton Levis

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Speaker 3: has actually just been terrible. So of forty one quarterbacks

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Speaker 3: with at least one hundred plays this year, eighth lowest

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Speaker 3: success rate fifty seven point eight percent completion percentage thirty

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Speaker 3: nine of those forty nine quarterbacks, it's been pretty terrible.

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Speaker 3: So I think if they start out in the game,

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Speaker 3: maybe get a Henry touchdown, Maybe for some reason it

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Speaker 3: stays close, you might want to look at Miami Live

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Speaker 3: something of that nature. And I think the other angles

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Speaker 3: Tyree right fourteen hundred and eighty one receiving yards through

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Speaker 3: twelve games, most since nineteen sixty one. The guy is

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Speaker 3: on fire and he's also it's only five hundred, nineteen

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Speaker 3: yards away from twenty forty three from the record, So

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Speaker 3: you assume Miami is going to give him the ball,

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Speaker 3: He's going to get his one hundred. So you know,

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Speaker 3: an SGP of like one hundred and a touchdown most

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Speaker 3: like it is going to hit.

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Speaker 2: It most likely will hit. But the juice is there.

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Speaker 2: The premium is on that kind of bet. Now the

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Speaker 2: books have caught on to that because he's right now.

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Speaker 2: He had the second highest anytime touchdown odds of the week,

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Speaker 2: behind Christian McCaffrey, who is around minus three point fifty

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Speaker 2: depending on the sportsbook that you look at. But Tyreek

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Speaker 2: is around minus two to twenty, and you stagger that

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Speaker 2: with the hundred yards, you'll probably get the even odds

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Speaker 2: that will likely hit. But again, it's just such an

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Speaker 2: uphill battle to get to that spot as a lot

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Speaker 2: could go wrong despite that. But I'm looking right now

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Speaker 2: at DeAndre Hopkins. I know Will Levis hasn't looked great,

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Speaker 2: but right now, the price for DeAndre Hopkins to score

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Speaker 2: a touchdown is around plus two to ninety five, and

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Speaker 2: the rush defense for the Dolphins since they've gotten Jalen

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Speaker 2: Ramsey has been pretty steady. But the one thing that

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Speaker 2: has actually been happening over the last four games, a

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Speaker 2: wide receiver one has scored on this defense. So yet

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Speaker 2: you saw Devonte Adams score. This has trailing game script

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Speaker 2: written all over it. This says garbage time touchdown at

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Speaker 2: Andre Hopkins, in my opinion, written all over so at

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Speaker 2: plus two ninety five. Especially, he's very familiar with Jalen Ramsey,

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Speaker 2: both playing in the AFC South for a long time.

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Speaker 2: I imagine they'll get into it. They'll probably get a couple,

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Speaker 2: you know, personal foul flags as the game goes, depending

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Speaker 2: on how that game script goes. All right, let's move

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Speaker 2: to Sunday games now. So two teams on buy this

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Speaker 2: week and week fourteen, the Commanders and the Cardinals. Neither

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Speaker 2: of those teams are super Bowl bound or likely going

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Speaker 2: to be a favorite in any game anytime soon, so

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Speaker 2: we can just forget about them and start looking immediately

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Speaker 2: at Sunday Night football between the Eagles and the Cowboys.

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Speaker 2: Cowboys win thirty three to thirteen, and the total goes

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Speaker 2: under but the Cowboys do covers three and a half

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Speaker 2: point home favorites. The total, as you had mentioned, Evan

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Speaker 2: goes under a fifty one and a half, So that

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Speaker 2: now is six straight home wins for the Cowboys over

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Speaker 2: the Eagles. And I would also just point I know

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Speaker 2: that the Eagles now have been out gained in seven

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Speaker 2: straight games. Now, I think that's important to know just

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Speaker 2: of the way that their offense is performing, because you

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Speaker 2: could kind of see it from an eye test standpoint,

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Speaker 2: both their offense and defense maybe just struggling. I don't

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Speaker 2: want to call it regressing, but I would just call

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Speaker 2: it a struggle. But the Cowboys did what they had

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Speaker 2: to do. They came out strong on the first half,

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Speaker 2: they got an early turnover, They're a great front runner

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Speaker 2: team when they get a lead. They now have a

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Speaker 2: point differential in the first half of plus one hundred

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Speaker 2: and thirty three points in the first half. So yeah,

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Speaker 2: I think this was just not a win where I

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Speaker 2: take away a lot other than knowing that what I

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Speaker 2: kind of already thought when we watched the Eagles Cowboys

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Speaker 2: game in Philly, that the Cowboys can play with the Eagles.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I think my perspective of the game was. I

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Speaker 3: don't know how much I learned. Like Philly ten eleven

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Speaker 3: straight possessions. I believe at the beginning of this game,

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Speaker 3: dating back to last AEight allowed a touchdown, their defense

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Speaker 3: has been absolutely atrocious. I was trying to look it

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Speaker 3: up a second ago. I believe since we six they

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Speaker 3: were thirty first in EPA per play, which between brad

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Speaker 3: Berry and Slay, they're just getting killed back there. And

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Speaker 3: today was just an awful situation versus a Dallas team

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Speaker 3: that usually McCarthy was going to make the mistake to

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Speaker 3: just give them the runs and help out and keep

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Speaker 3: them in the game. Well, for some reason, early on

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Speaker 3: he didn't care, and you saw what can happen, and

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Speaker 3: Dak looked great, you know, but he also had his

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Speaker 3: Dak moments when he fumbles and this and that and

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Speaker 3: gives Philly an opportunity. But it kind of didn't matter

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Speaker 3: in today's game. Like I know, a lot of people

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Speaker 3: like Dallas, not many people even thought about the Philly side.

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Speaker 3: And it was the opposite right when we were looking

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Speaker 3: at the San Francisco game last week, it was a

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Speaker 3: perfect spot for Philly.

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Speaker 2: Do you think like the defense that just looked gasted,

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Speaker 2: like because they looked like they've ran a gauntlet over

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Speaker 2: the last month. If you look at the teams that

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Speaker 2: they've played, that it looks like for the fourth game

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Speaker 2: of a fourth tough opponent in a row. Right. And

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Speaker 2: you know the other thing that we saw turnover loock

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Speaker 2: definitely shifted last time when they played in Philly. Philly

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Speaker 2: were all three fumbles today three fumbles by the Eagles.

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Speaker 2: Cowboys get all of those back. I mean, you knew

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Speaker 2: it was the Cowboys night when you're watching, like Brandon

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Speaker 2: Aubrey just nail sixty yard field goals like going four

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Speaker 2: to four tonight. Now, the good news for the for

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Speaker 2: the Eagles, though I don't want to completely I mean,

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Speaker 2: they're ten and three, both the Cowboys and Eagles. Now

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Speaker 2: ten and three. The Eagles still pretty much do control

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Speaker 2: their own destiny. And if you look at the opponents

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Speaker 2: of who they have to face coming up here, it's

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Speaker 2: gonna be a pretty easy road. I don't want to

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Speaker 2: call them almost like mini buys, because you don't want

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Speaker 2: to pretend like you have a win over any NFL team.

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Speaker 2: But here's their schedule coming up. You've got the Seahawks

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Speaker 2: potentially without Geno Smith and Drew Locket quarterback. Then you

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Speaker 2: have the Giants, then the Cardinals, and then the Giants

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Speaker 2: again the end of the year. So you could see

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Speaker 2: four straight wins here would not shock me at all either.

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Speaker 3: I mean, look at Dallas's schedule Buffalo, Miami, Detroit, and Washington,

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Speaker 3: which could be whatever, but those three games, it's a

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Speaker 3: complete opposite. And that's why Hilly was my four to

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Speaker 3: seventy five to win the division entering this game. I

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Speaker 3: don't know if divisionalles have updated at this point, but

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Speaker 3: I assume Philly's still favorite based off that schedule. And listen,

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Speaker 3: I mean, one team looks like they're going in one direction,

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Speaker 3: one team the other. But that schedule is absolutely brutal.

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Speaker 2: That's what we would take away. Cowboys. They've got the

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Speaker 2: Bills coming up. Let's talk now, Bills Chiefs. So the

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Speaker 2: Bills win twenty to seventeen Chiefs. That short favorite didn't

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Speaker 2: really come through today. They were one point home favorites.

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Speaker 2: The over under a forty eight and a half goes under,

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Speaker 2: and Evan the Bills stay alive. This is now the

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Speaker 2: third straight year that Buffalo has gone into Arrowhead and

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Speaker 2: won a game, and now they are one of six

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Speaker 2: teams in the AFC had seven and six, just a

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Speaker 2: huge log gym for the AFC wildcard spot.

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Speaker 3: Now those are fifty to one to win the Super Bowl.

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Speaker 2: And during this week Stucky bet that he was posted

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Speaker 2: about that too.

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Speaker 3: It's a good ticket. It is a good idea. And

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Speaker 3: I liked Buffalo in this game, and if you thought

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Speaker 3: they were gonna in this game, it was a good

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Speaker 3: ticket to have because I believe someone was tweeting they

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Speaker 3: were fifteen, sixteen, seventeen to one in that range, So

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Speaker 3: a heck of a drop there. I think we have

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Speaker 3: to talk about. The only situation that if you watch

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Speaker 3: this game, probably matters is that Darius Tony player. I

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Speaker 3: knew you were going to bring him up to just

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Speaker 3: you have to mention it in the sense that like, Okay,

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Speaker 3: Mahomes obviously believes what he believes, Reed believes what he believes.

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Speaker 3: Everyone's really angry at the end of the game. He

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Speaker 3: looked off sides to me, could be the ref's job

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Speaker 3: to bring that up in that situation, which I believes

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Speaker 3: was Cheffer's. He doesn't. He says it was completely egregious.

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Speaker 3: Darius Tony was in the wrong he was off sides.

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Speaker 3: I mean, it's really really small. The margins are small.

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Speaker 3: It's a crappy, crappy situation, but kind of is what

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Speaker 3: it is.

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Speaker 2: Well, and I would also say I don't want to

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Speaker 2: put all of the blame on Cadarius Tony because look,

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Speaker 2: you're facing a Bills team that had Josh Allen who

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Speaker 2: didn't really have like an MVP game. He had two

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Speaker 2: hundred and thirty three passing yards, a rushing touchdown, not

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Speaker 2: really a world class game, but don't turn it over.

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Speaker 3: Like nine street games and an interception. It just feels

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Speaker 3: like it's insane at this point.

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Speaker 2: Well, and I think what's insane to me now when

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Speaker 2: you're thinking about this, is that the Chiefs back to

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Speaker 2: back losses for the first time since Week two and

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Speaker 2: Week three of twenty twenty one season, only three times

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Speaker 2: in Mahomes's career that he has dropped back to back

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Speaker 2: regular season games, and they've now lost three of the

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Speaker 2: last four, two at Arrowheads. So I'd be like, this offense,

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Speaker 2: we've talked about this last week, we talked about it

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Speaker 2: the week before. You could probably just can a tailored

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Speaker 2: response from one of us to talk about this Chiefs offense,

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Speaker 2: but these wide receivers, I mean, Kadarius Tony are just

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Speaker 2: really kind of holding them back, you know. Rashid right,

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Speaker 2: he's had a late fumble as well. Three drops today

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Speaker 2: by the wide receivers. Really, I mean I thought the Chiefs,

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Speaker 2: I almost thought they pulled off the stunner and won

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Speaker 2: the game, you know, with that lateral Tony. But you know,

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Speaker 2: for me now, I'm a little kind of worried about

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Speaker 2: where the Chiefs are going here, like as far as

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Speaker 2: what can they do offensively Now their schedule coming up,

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Speaker 2: they're gonna be able to experiment and be able to,

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Speaker 2: I think, have a little bit of a get right,

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Speaker 2: especially facing the Patriots coming up. Then they've got the Raiders,

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Speaker 2: the Bengals, and the Chargers. So not quite panic season

370
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Speaker 2: at all for the Chiefs here. But the Bills, their

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Speaker 2: schedule continues to remain hard. They have to play the

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Speaker 2: Cowboys next week and then go to face potentially Justin Herbert,

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Speaker 2: miss Chargers. Herbert maybe back by then, but we'll see,

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Speaker 2: and then the Patriots and the Dolphins to round out

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Speaker 2: their year. But like I said, I think that the

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Speaker 2: Bills are very live from a Super Bowl standpoint and

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Speaker 2: if you got them at fifty to one prior to

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Speaker 2: this game, kudos to you.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, fun ticket. I mean second half unders with the Chiefs.

380
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Speaker 3: Twelve and one fourth quarter unders and also twelve and

381
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Speaker 3: one basically tells the story of their season. They can't

382
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Speaker 3: figure it out when they need it the most. Their

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Speaker 3: offense seems to be fluttering, and I think today as well.

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Speaker 3: No Pacheco really does hurt when you look at They

385
00:18:06,359 --> 00:18:11,680
Speaker 3: can't rely on anyone else aside from Kelsey difficult listen,

386
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Speaker 3: most Mahomes is the most drops any quarterback this season,

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Speaker 3: so that continues to hurt them. The stat Chiefs were

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Speaker 3: minus one and a half today at home. Mahomes has

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Speaker 3: started fifty four career home games. He's closed below a

390
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Speaker 3: two point favorite just once before today. It was also

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Speaker 3: against the Bills and they also lost. So just tough situation.

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Speaker 3: Mahomes continues to kind of struggling situations, and I think

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Speaker 3: over the last what feels like, kind of for me,

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Speaker 3: at least the entire season I've been betting against Case.

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Speaker 3: I just haven't seen any type of value in their offense.

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Speaker 3: And I feel like we still believe that Mahomes is

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Speaker 3: Mahomes and sometimes he doesn't and sometimes today happens. But

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Speaker 3: I will say, and you mentioned the Chiefs upcoming schedule.

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Speaker 3: Those quarterbacks be Zappi, Aidan O'Connell, Jake Browning, and Easton Stick.

400
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Speaker 2: So what a flight?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it could be crazy. But one thing I will say,

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Speaker 3: So Chiefs next week facing Zapi, they're in New England

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Speaker 3: right now, looks like case he's about nine and a half.

404
00:19:14,480 --> 00:19:17,280
Speaker 3: That would be the second largest home underdog for Belichick

405
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Speaker 3: in New England Peyton Manning two thousand and one, there

406
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Speaker 3: were eleven and a half. So pretty crazy situation.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, And had they not looked so impressive on Thursday

408
00:19:27,600 --> 00:19:30,160
Speaker 2: Night Football to take down that Steelers team, we might

409
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Speaker 2: be looking at a double digit spread here at that point.

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Speaker 2: So stay tuned to see how that line tracks. But

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Speaker 2: I imagine that money's going to come in on the

412
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Speaker 2: Chiefs and push that back to double digits before kickoff.

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Speaker 2: All right, Rams Ravens. Ravens win thirty seven to thirty

414
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Speaker 2: one in overtime, and the Ravens, though they do not

415
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Speaker 2: cover those is seven and a half point home favorites.

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Speaker 2: But the over hits fairly easily. The over was at

417
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Speaker 2: thirty nine and a half and coming into this week, Evan,

418
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Speaker 2: this game I thought was going to be the most

419
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Speaker 2: impacted by weather as far as you know, rain and wind,

420
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Speaker 2: and really thought that this would limit the passing offenses

421
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Speaker 2: in this game. But it didn't really seem to matter,

422
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Speaker 2: because we say this every week, if if Matt Stafford

423
00:20:14,560 --> 00:20:17,879
Speaker 2: gets time to pass, this offense is electric. But the

424
00:20:18,000 --> 00:20:21,040
Speaker 2: defense just isn't where it was when they won the

425
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Speaker 2: Super Bowl, and they go won that Super Bowl run

426
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Speaker 2: because the Ravens they were able to just kind of

427
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Speaker 2: hang around. They had four hundred and fifty yards in offense.

428
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Speaker 2: It was also the first home game all year that

429
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Speaker 2: the Ravens trailed. They were trailing twenty to seventeen at halftime.

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Speaker 2: They did not look sharp coming out of their buy.

431
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Speaker 2: I would even say, Evan that the Rams outplayed the

432
00:20:40,200 --> 00:20:42,560
Speaker 2: Ravens today because it felt like a coin flip going

433
00:20:42,680 --> 00:20:44,399
Speaker 2: right down to the wire. But then you see that

434
00:20:44,560 --> 00:20:47,200
Speaker 2: kick six in overtime by Tylan Wallace to win the game.

435
00:20:48,560 --> 00:20:51,440
Speaker 2: I mean, honestly, I feel like the Ravens this was

436
00:20:51,480 --> 00:20:53,040
Speaker 2: a pretty good week for them. The fact that they

437
00:20:53,080 --> 00:20:55,880
Speaker 2: were able to escape with that win. The Steelers losing

438
00:20:55,960 --> 00:20:58,080
Speaker 2: on Thursday Night Football. We'll talk a little bit more

439
00:20:58,119 --> 00:21:01,480
Speaker 2: about Browns and Bengals. But I feel like the Ravens

440
00:21:01,880 --> 00:21:03,920
Speaker 2: they got a little lucky, but at the same time,

441
00:21:04,000 --> 00:21:06,280
Speaker 2: they just hung around. Just make sure to steal that win.

442
00:21:06,920 --> 00:21:10,359
Speaker 3: Yeah, let's start with the Rams. Impressed by Stafford played well.

443
00:21:10,680 --> 00:21:13,840
Speaker 3: Whether it wasn't fantastic, you know, there's some bad history there,

444
00:21:14,000 --> 00:21:17,200
Speaker 3: but he played pretty well. It's the most points Stafford

445
00:21:17,200 --> 00:21:19,600
Speaker 3: has scored an outdoor game and over two years. So

446
00:21:20,160 --> 00:21:23,040
Speaker 3: situation worked. He was putting the ball in the right spots.

447
00:21:23,400 --> 00:21:25,320
Speaker 3: There was a float pass that he had in the

448
00:21:25,440 --> 00:21:27,360
Speaker 3: end zone early in the game that was just gorgeous.

449
00:21:27,359 --> 00:21:30,159
Speaker 3: He and that catch by Puka late oh.

450
00:21:30,200 --> 00:21:32,840
Speaker 2: Man, I mean hand a double dive catch. Fan.

451
00:21:33,480 --> 00:21:36,720
Speaker 3: The Rams looked good. They probably should have won this game.

452
00:21:37,320 --> 00:21:40,720
Speaker 3: And we've talked about this before, but Lamar kind of

453
00:21:40,800 --> 00:21:43,919
Speaker 3: just struggles when he is supposed to win games by

454
00:21:43,960 --> 00:21:46,520
Speaker 3: big numbers. Now people talk about the spread and this,

455
00:21:46,640 --> 00:21:48,480
Speaker 3: this and that, you know, believe which one to believe,

456
00:21:48,520 --> 00:21:50,960
Speaker 3: but it's a barometer. So over the plast three seasons,

457
00:21:51,040 --> 00:21:53,879
Speaker 3: Lamar six and oss as an underdog. He's twelve and

458
00:21:54,080 --> 00:21:58,320
Speaker 3: nineteen as a favorite. But more importantly, when he's laying

459
00:21:59,600 --> 00:22:02,879
Speaker 3: more than three points five and sixteen against the spread,

460
00:22:02,920 --> 00:22:05,680
Speaker 3: worst mark in the NFL, that's damn it. That's like

461
00:22:05,840 --> 00:22:10,240
Speaker 3: not a great situation, especially when Baltimore is so good

462
00:22:10,280 --> 00:22:15,280
Speaker 3: and supposed to be a AFC top seed contender. You

463
00:22:15,440 --> 00:22:17,719
Speaker 3: noted it before, I will just say that. So Raven's

464
00:22:17,760 --> 00:22:20,080
Speaker 3: first game trailing entering the fourth quarter this season, it

465
00:22:20,160 --> 00:22:22,440
Speaker 3: was a type of the third longest streak in NFL history.

466
00:22:22,960 --> 00:22:26,439
Speaker 3: So they were doing an excellent, excellent job before they

467
00:22:26,600 --> 00:22:30,280
Speaker 3: ran into just an inconsistent defensive game and a really

468
00:22:30,359 --> 00:22:32,800
Speaker 3: good stafford, but impressive.

469
00:22:32,960 --> 00:22:37,240
Speaker 2: So Ravens now ten to three. They've got Jacksonville coming up.

470
00:22:37,720 --> 00:22:40,240
Speaker 2: Trevor Lawrence did end up playing this week. I'm shocked

471
00:22:40,320 --> 00:22:42,320
Speaker 2: that he did play. But we're going to talk about

472
00:22:42,320 --> 00:22:44,959
Speaker 2: the Jacksonville Jaguars here in a bit. But they've got

473
00:22:45,000 --> 00:22:47,800
Speaker 2: the Jags, then they've got the Diners, and they played

474
00:22:47,800 --> 00:22:51,080
Speaker 2: the Dolphins and the Pittsburgh Steelers to round out the year.

475
00:22:53,000 --> 00:22:55,600
Speaker 2: I still think the division is theirs. I still think

476
00:22:55,640 --> 00:22:57,800
Speaker 2: that they'll be able to be competitive in those games,

477
00:22:57,920 --> 00:23:00,520
Speaker 2: but not exactly an easy slate the red of the way,

478
00:23:00,680 --> 00:23:03,080
Speaker 2: especially when you look at the Brown schedule for example,

479
00:23:03,160 --> 00:23:07,639
Speaker 2: that who are eight and five and they've got Chicago, Houston, Jets,

480
00:23:07,960 --> 00:23:11,560
Speaker 2: and Cincy and all their quarterback situations are a little

481
00:23:11,560 --> 00:23:15,119
Speaker 2: bit dire right now. And yeah, I just I'm not

482
00:23:15,280 --> 00:23:17,639
Speaker 2: ready to just stamp the seal of approval that the

483
00:23:17,760 --> 00:23:21,239
Speaker 2: Ravens got this division in play, but they are very

484
00:23:21,320 --> 00:23:23,879
Speaker 2: much in play now to at least have Conference one

485
00:23:23,960 --> 00:23:26,359
Speaker 2: seed with the way that the Jaguars have regressed, the

486
00:23:26,440 --> 00:23:29,119
Speaker 2: Dolphins with their upcoming schedule, and the Chiefs now falling

487
00:23:29,200 --> 00:23:32,040
Speaker 2: to eight and five. But the Rams, I thought you

488
00:23:32,119 --> 00:23:33,919
Speaker 2: made a good point, you know, looked really good. They

489
00:23:34,000 --> 00:23:35,840
Speaker 2: had a three game win streak coming into this game.

490
00:23:35,880 --> 00:23:39,600
Speaker 2: They're now six and seven, not necessarily completely out of

491
00:23:39,680 --> 00:23:42,720
Speaker 2: the playoff picture in the NFC, but they likely need

492
00:23:42,800 --> 00:23:44,840
Speaker 2: to go three and one to make the playoffs. The

493
00:23:44,880 --> 00:23:47,280
Speaker 2: rest of the way, They've got the Commanders, the Saints,

494
00:23:47,560 --> 00:23:51,680
Speaker 2: the Giants, and the forty nine ers. Seems pretty doable.

495
00:23:52,119 --> 00:23:54,520
Speaker 3: It really does. I was just gonna say, by the

496
00:23:54,640 --> 00:23:57,800
Speaker 3: time you get to the forty nine ers, they may

497
00:23:57,880 --> 00:24:02,119
Speaker 3: not care. They not you out if you care. But

498
00:24:02,400 --> 00:24:07,240
Speaker 3: either way, it's a interesting situation considering they look so

499
00:24:07,560 --> 00:24:10,400
Speaker 3: formidable week in and week out right like they feel

500
00:24:10,440 --> 00:24:13,280
Speaker 3: like they can put up points. You know, even today

501
00:24:13,359 --> 00:24:15,720
Speaker 3: when everyone thought that maybe this was going to be

502
00:24:15,840 --> 00:24:18,680
Speaker 3: the dut the egg not so much. Looks great.

503
00:24:18,720 --> 00:24:22,160
Speaker 2: All right, let's move to Buccaneers Falcons NFC South Wild

504
00:24:22,359 --> 00:24:27,160
Speaker 2: picture here. Bucks win twenty nine to twenty five. Falcons

505
00:24:27,760 --> 00:24:31,160
Speaker 2: again as favorites, do not cover and do not win

506
00:24:31,359 --> 00:24:34,840
Speaker 2: outright as two point home favorites, and the total of

507
00:24:34,960 --> 00:24:37,960
Speaker 2: forty one goes over. So as a result of the

508
00:24:38,040 --> 00:24:41,720
Speaker 2: win today from the Bucks, they not lead the NFC South.

509
00:24:42,040 --> 00:24:44,920
Speaker 2: And we're going to talk about their schedules between what

510
00:24:45,080 --> 00:24:47,560
Speaker 2: the Bucks have coming up as well as the Falcons.

511
00:24:47,640 --> 00:24:50,400
Speaker 2: But I thought Baker Mayfield looked pretty good, even though

512
00:24:51,080 --> 00:24:53,600
Speaker 2: you don't necessarily have the counting stats. But every time

513
00:24:53,640 --> 00:24:55,960
Speaker 2: you would flash back over to that Bucks game, they

514
00:24:56,000 --> 00:24:58,840
Speaker 2: were driving down the field. I thought they really discovered

515
00:24:58,920 --> 00:25:01,040
Speaker 2: a new run game as well well. With Rashad White,

516
00:25:01,080 --> 00:25:04,160
Speaker 2: They're giving him twenty plus carries and for the last

517
00:25:04,240 --> 00:25:06,639
Speaker 2: five games. Second half of this game, though, Evan was

518
00:25:06,680 --> 00:25:09,360
Speaker 2: a complete shootout, thirty one points scored in the second half,

519
00:25:09,920 --> 00:25:12,080
Speaker 2: and honestly, I thought Desmond murder if you look at

520
00:25:12,080 --> 00:25:14,600
Speaker 2: his passing stats, they were mostly empty calories. I mean,

521
00:25:14,640 --> 00:25:16,520
Speaker 2: he did throw for three hundred and forty seven yards,

522
00:25:16,560 --> 00:25:18,800
Speaker 2: he ran for a touchdown, but in the first half

523
00:25:18,880 --> 00:25:21,000
Speaker 2: he just made he had an interception, you know, just

524
00:25:21,080 --> 00:25:22,840
Speaker 2: some of the play calls that they were making and

525
00:25:23,200 --> 00:25:25,000
Speaker 2: he was trying to execute on third down. We're just

526
00:25:25,119 --> 00:25:28,960
Speaker 2: driving me crazy. And young way Kob missed two field

527
00:25:29,000 --> 00:25:32,160
Speaker 2: goals in the first half, and that might have ultimply

528
00:25:32,320 --> 00:25:34,560
Speaker 2: been the reason why they end up losing this game.

529
00:25:34,640 --> 00:25:37,080
Speaker 2: Obviously some of it is, you know, Baker Mayfield being

530
00:25:37,119 --> 00:25:38,640
Speaker 2: able to drive down the field, but when you lose

531
00:25:38,720 --> 00:25:41,200
Speaker 2: by four and you're giving up six points, especially six

532
00:25:41,280 --> 00:25:44,240
Speaker 2: of those points that where they were very easily makeable

533
00:25:44,800 --> 00:25:49,160
Speaker 2: field goals indoors, it's really got to shatter some confidence

534
00:25:49,240 --> 00:25:49,920
Speaker 2: for the Falcons.

535
00:25:50,760 --> 00:25:52,639
Speaker 3: Yeah, let's hit on. You've made some You've made some

536
00:25:52,720 --> 00:25:54,680
Speaker 3: really good points there. So let's kind of start from

537
00:25:54,680 --> 00:25:56,560
Speaker 3: the top a little bit. It's the Bucks first place.

538
00:25:56,920 --> 00:25:59,480
Speaker 3: They were plus seven point fifty to win the Division

539
00:25:59,480 --> 00:26:01,760
Speaker 3: I during the sea and as of now, that is

540
00:26:01,800 --> 00:26:04,760
Speaker 3: the longest odds for any division leader. So your Bucks

541
00:26:04,800 --> 00:26:07,480
Speaker 3: are kind of the story at the moment, sitting in

542
00:26:07,600 --> 00:26:11,880
Speaker 3: first place in this division, worth noting that Tampa Bay

543
00:26:11,960 --> 00:26:14,040
Speaker 3: is one in one versus Atlanta one and oer versus

544
00:26:14,080 --> 00:26:16,160
Speaker 3: New Orleans. They still have a game versus the Saints

545
00:26:16,240 --> 00:26:20,000
Speaker 3: coming up, and in division games. Tampa Bay three and one,

546
00:26:20,119 --> 00:26:22,359
Speaker 3: Atlanta three and one, New Orleans two and two, So

547
00:26:22,880 --> 00:26:25,560
Speaker 3: Tampa Bay kind of controls whatever they want to do

548
00:26:25,680 --> 00:26:29,080
Speaker 3: going forward, which is crazy. Second thing is probably just

549
00:26:29,200 --> 00:26:33,520
Speaker 3: Baker in general. Two touchdowns, no interceptions, twenty nine points,

550
00:26:33,720 --> 00:26:36,560
Speaker 3: a road win. He only took one sack. Yeah, he

551
00:26:36,560 --> 00:26:38,159
Speaker 3: had one hundred and forty four yards in less than

552
00:26:38,160 --> 00:26:41,440
Speaker 3: fifty percentond completion percentage. Whatever doesn't matter. It was a

553
00:26:41,520 --> 00:26:45,080
Speaker 3: great game, great performance. I kind of got to give

554
00:26:45,080 --> 00:26:47,920
Speaker 3: it to him, and listen, it's also been the Bucks

555
00:26:48,119 --> 00:26:51,760
Speaker 3: road that have been really, really good. It's kind of crazy.

556
00:26:51,800 --> 00:26:54,720
Speaker 3: I was looking, so Baker's throwing two touchdowns and zero

557
00:26:54,880 --> 00:26:58,680
Speaker 3: picks four times this year, already, all on the road. Now,

558
00:26:58,800 --> 00:27:00,960
Speaker 3: Tampa Bay's two and two in the those games, but

559
00:27:01,119 --> 00:27:03,320
Speaker 3: Tampa six and one against the spread of the road,

560
00:27:03,359 --> 00:27:06,280
Speaker 3: best record in the NFL. So kind of got to

561
00:27:06,280 --> 00:27:08,040
Speaker 3: give it to him. I was completely wrong. If you

562
00:27:08,160 --> 00:27:10,439
Speaker 3: listen to anything in the preseason, I was a Falcons guy.

563
00:27:10,520 --> 00:27:13,920
Speaker 3: Today was the Falcons game. This was their game to win,

564
00:27:14,440 --> 00:27:17,040
Speaker 3: to take control of the division, to kind of move

565
00:27:17,160 --> 00:27:20,560
Speaker 3: forward in any type of futures or things you had

566
00:27:20,640 --> 00:27:23,600
Speaker 3: in this team, because everyone liked the defensive editions and

567
00:27:23,640 --> 00:27:26,560
Speaker 3: the offense. And this was the game that Ritter gave

568
00:27:26,640 --> 00:27:29,800
Speaker 3: up nine to eleven to fourteen points depending how you

569
00:27:29,880 --> 00:27:33,400
Speaker 3: look at it, in fumbles and safeties. It was a mess.

570
00:27:33,880 --> 00:27:36,159
Speaker 3: It was just and you know, I looked it up

571
00:27:36,200 --> 00:27:37,679
Speaker 3: because I wanted to back it up. But he has

572
00:27:37,800 --> 00:27:40,879
Speaker 3: nineteen turnover worthy plays this year in just eleven games,

573
00:27:41,000 --> 00:27:43,600
Speaker 3: tied for fifth and most in the NFL. What you

574
00:27:43,720 --> 00:27:46,040
Speaker 3: are seeing on the screen when you were watching Rittor

575
00:27:46,080 --> 00:27:49,520
Speaker 3: play quarterback is exactly what's telling you on paper. And

576
00:27:49,600 --> 00:27:53,360
Speaker 3: Atlanta would just be a much better team without him

577
00:27:53,359 --> 00:27:53,760
Speaker 3: in the mix.

578
00:27:54,280 --> 00:27:57,240
Speaker 2: The Action Network podcast is presented by bet MGM used

579
00:27:57,280 --> 00:27:59,600
Speaker 2: bonus code Action when signing up to get up to

580
00:27:59,720 --> 00:28:02,879
Speaker 2: fIF teen hundred dollars paid back in bonus bets if

581
00:28:02,960 --> 00:28:12,320
Speaker 2: your first bet loses. For new users in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan,

582
00:28:12,440 --> 00:28:17,480
Speaker 2: New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia, and Wyoming.

583
00:28:17,840 --> 00:28:20,600
Speaker 2: Terms and conditions apply. Must be twenty one or older.

584
00:28:20,800 --> 00:28:24,360
Speaker 2: Gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler. Now it's time

585
00:28:24,440 --> 00:28:26,640
Speaker 2: for the hot read from our own Brandon Anderson brand.

586
00:28:26,680 --> 00:28:28,600
Speaker 2: What do you have us looking at for? Early Week

587
00:28:28,680 --> 00:28:29,480
Speaker 2: fifteen lines?

588
00:28:29,680 --> 00:28:34,879
Speaker 3: Hot rap bo sevent day on ice rights, ice Creams,

589
00:28:34,920 --> 00:28:40,360
Speaker 3: That Dads nineteen seven, nineteen Holli Mille soultrade.

590
00:28:42,560 --> 00:28:45,680
Speaker 4: All right, Week fifteen Hot reed. We went one and

591
00:28:45,880 --> 00:28:50,040
Speaker 4: one this week Texans Jets under hits by one point.

592
00:28:50,200 --> 00:28:52,479
Speaker 4: Only if you played the hot read, you missed if

593
00:28:52,520 --> 00:28:54,800
Speaker 4: you waited too long. That's why we grabbed this colv

594
00:28:54,960 --> 00:28:58,680
Speaker 4: Early how Reid seventeen eight and one on the season,

595
00:28:58,840 --> 00:29:02,240
Speaker 4: now sixty eight per round. The next week, we're playing

596
00:29:02,400 --> 00:29:05,520
Speaker 4: two unders this week. It's gonna be gross. We're starting

597
00:29:05,560 --> 00:29:09,240
Speaker 4: with the grossest one yet Thursday Night Unders.

598
00:29:09,320 --> 00:29:10,280
Speaker 3: You know I love him.

599
00:29:10,920 --> 00:29:16,800
Speaker 4: Chargers Raiders under thirty four point five. Look, these teams

600
00:29:17,120 --> 00:29:22,960
Speaker 4: today had one score combined. They scored seven points on

601
00:29:23,040 --> 00:29:26,680
Speaker 4: a touchdown. That's that justin Herbert has a broken index

602
00:29:26,760 --> 00:29:29,920
Speaker 4: finger on his throwing hand. Short week, there's almost no

603
00:29:29,960 --> 00:29:32,240
Speaker 4: way we're getting Herbert in this game, especially their season's

604
00:29:32,280 --> 00:29:36,760
Speaker 4: gone anyway, so easton Stick season, the Sea of the Stick,

605
00:29:37,040 --> 00:29:40,320
Speaker 4: my guy from NDSU. I did not ever think i'd

606
00:29:40,360 --> 00:29:42,440
Speaker 4: see him in the pros, and I think we're gonna

607
00:29:42,440 --> 00:29:44,720
Speaker 4: see why on Thursday night. I don't think it's gonna

608
00:29:44,760 --> 00:29:47,280
Speaker 4: go well for him. It was not great today. Josh

609
00:29:47,400 --> 00:29:50,000
Speaker 4: Jacobs left hurt. I don't think we get to see

610
00:29:50,080 --> 00:29:53,400
Speaker 4: him Thursday night. He's been the main weapon for the

611
00:29:53,560 --> 00:29:57,640
Speaker 4: Raiders under Antonio Pierce, Raiders get shut out today. They

612
00:29:57,680 --> 00:30:00,000
Speaker 4: have scored eighteen points or less all but two games

613
00:30:00,200 --> 00:30:03,120
Speaker 4: this season. They've gone under this number in games five

614
00:30:03,240 --> 00:30:05,800
Speaker 4: times already. Even as low as it is, their games

615
00:30:05,840 --> 00:30:07,880
Speaker 4: are averaging thirty five and a half, so right there

616
00:30:07,920 --> 00:30:11,520
Speaker 4: at the number with Antonio Pierce, down to under thirty

617
00:30:11,640 --> 00:30:13,280
Speaker 4: points per game in a Raiders games.

618
00:30:13,800 --> 00:30:13,960
Speaker 3: Now.

619
00:30:14,480 --> 00:30:18,000
Speaker 4: As bad as the Raiders offense was no points, their

620
00:30:18,080 --> 00:30:20,840
Speaker 4: defense has actually gone a pretty good. They in the

621
00:30:20,920 --> 00:30:25,120
Speaker 4: last five games thirteenth in DVA top ten against the pass,

622
00:30:25,200 --> 00:30:27,720
Speaker 4: and obviously those numbers probably are going to get better.

623
00:30:28,160 --> 00:30:31,080
Speaker 4: After holding the Vikings to only three points. They are

624
00:30:31,200 --> 00:30:33,959
Speaker 4: still bad against the run, but the Chargers can't run

625
00:30:33,960 --> 00:30:37,040
Speaker 4: the football anyway. They have a horrendous success rate. They're

626
00:30:37,080 --> 00:30:38,320
Speaker 4: not going to be hurting them there.

627
00:30:38,840 --> 00:30:39,240
Speaker 2: As for the.

628
00:30:39,320 --> 00:30:42,760
Speaker 4: Chargers offense, they're supposed to be good. Last three games

629
00:30:43,040 --> 00:30:45,840
Speaker 4: ten points, six points, seven points.

630
00:30:46,120 --> 00:30:46,440
Speaker 2: That's it.

631
00:30:47,080 --> 00:30:50,680
Speaker 4: And that was with Justin Herbert. Now it's stick. Lots

632
00:30:50,720 --> 00:30:53,040
Speaker 4: of injuries there. Brandon Stalely I think is a dead

633
00:30:53,120 --> 00:30:56,080
Speaker 4: man walking. At this point, Raires and Chargers are both

634
00:30:56,160 --> 00:30:58,040
Speaker 4: ten and three to the under this season. And then

635
00:30:58,080 --> 00:31:01,600
Speaker 4: you know the trends primetime on we love them sixty

636
00:31:01,680 --> 00:31:04,600
Speaker 4: one percent the last four years, sixty nine percent so

637
00:31:04,760 --> 00:31:07,560
Speaker 4: far this year heading the Sunday night under is at

638
00:31:07,640 --> 00:31:10,840
Speaker 4: thirty seven or below. They look scary. They're hitting for

639
00:31:11,040 --> 00:31:15,120
Speaker 4: us last four calendar years seventy six percent to the under.

640
00:31:15,680 --> 00:31:19,200
Speaker 4: And then Thursday night unders, I love my low Thursday

641
00:31:19,240 --> 00:31:23,480
Speaker 4: handers forty year below since twenty ten are nineteen and

642
00:31:23,680 --> 00:31:27,200
Speaker 4: five seventy percent hit rate. But they're not just hitting,

643
00:31:27,800 --> 00:31:30,640
Speaker 4: they're hitting by nine point two points a game. So

644
00:31:31,280 --> 00:31:34,440
Speaker 4: the numbers suggest we go way under this. This is gross,

645
00:31:34,680 --> 00:31:37,480
Speaker 4: but there is only one direction this line is moving.

646
00:31:37,960 --> 00:31:40,840
Speaker 4: It's gonna go down. Give me the Chargers Raiders under

647
00:31:40,920 --> 00:31:43,800
Speaker 4: thirty four and a half and then let's stay in primetime.

648
00:31:44,400 --> 00:31:47,720
Speaker 4: Let's go to Sunday night and go Ravens Jaguars under

649
00:31:47,760 --> 00:31:51,000
Speaker 4: forty three and a half. Now, if this line actually

650
00:31:51,240 --> 00:31:54,560
Speaker 4: rose today by a field goal, that's because Trevor Lawrence

651
00:31:54,560 --> 00:31:56,280
Speaker 4: played right. We didn't know if you'd be back even

652
00:31:56,320 --> 00:31:58,960
Speaker 4: next week, let alone this week. But before the season

653
00:31:59,600 --> 00:32:01,880
Speaker 4: this was at thirty nine and a half. So it

654
00:32:01,960 --> 00:32:03,720
Speaker 4: went from thirty nine and a half before the season

655
00:32:03,920 --> 00:32:06,160
Speaker 4: forty and a half this morning forty three and a half. Now,

656
00:32:06,920 --> 00:32:10,120
Speaker 4: I'm not totally sure why Baltimore has the number one

657
00:32:10,200 --> 00:32:13,520
Speaker 4: defense in the league. Jacksonville's defense has been way better

658
00:32:13,600 --> 00:32:15,960
Speaker 4: than expected, so I'm not totally sure why the snummer

659
00:32:16,040 --> 00:32:19,960
Speaker 4: is going so high. And those numbers that we crossed

660
00:32:20,480 --> 00:32:24,240
Speaker 4: forty forty one, forty three, those are all key numbers

661
00:32:24,320 --> 00:32:27,560
Speaker 4: in totals, so that move is actually pretty significant. Like

662
00:32:27,760 --> 00:32:30,400
Speaker 4: these teams both came into the weekend top six and

663
00:32:30,480 --> 00:32:33,680
Speaker 4: dv away. The Ravens are the number one rushing attack.

664
00:32:33,960 --> 00:32:36,920
Speaker 4: The Jaguars are an elite run defense. They have been

665
00:32:37,000 --> 00:32:39,320
Speaker 4: for a couple of years already. Their number three and

666
00:32:39,440 --> 00:32:43,000
Speaker 4: run dv away pass defense is good. Ravens passing game

667
00:32:43,440 --> 00:32:45,760
Speaker 4: hasn't quite been the same without Mark Andrews I don't

668
00:32:45,760 --> 00:32:48,200
Speaker 4: see a ton of points for Baltimore on the road.

669
00:32:49,120 --> 00:32:52,840
Speaker 4: Jacksonville can't run the football. They depend heavily on the pass,

670
00:32:52,880 --> 00:32:55,200
Speaker 4: and Baltimore is a number one pass defense, so I

671
00:32:55,240 --> 00:32:58,600
Speaker 4: don't know how that's gonna go for them, especially Treyvil

672
00:32:58,640 --> 00:33:02,240
Speaker 4: Lawrence still probably not totally healthy, the offensive line definitely

673
00:33:02,280 --> 00:33:04,760
Speaker 4: not healthy. They might be missing their top two guys again,

674
00:33:05,320 --> 00:33:08,800
Speaker 4: Mike McDonald and all that pass rushing pressures. I think

675
00:33:08,880 --> 00:33:13,000
Speaker 4: that could go not great for Jacksonville as well. Ravens games.

676
00:33:13,480 --> 00:33:16,040
Speaker 4: Eight of their thirteen games are at forty four points

677
00:33:16,160 --> 00:33:18,200
Speaker 4: or below, so that puts us right in range here

678
00:33:18,640 --> 00:33:21,800
Speaker 4: and again with the primetime under sixty one percent last

679
00:33:21,800 --> 00:33:24,400
Speaker 4: four year, sixty nine percent this year, games with the

680
00:33:24,440 --> 00:33:27,480
Speaker 4: home underdog sixty one percent of the under the last

681
00:33:27,600 --> 00:33:30,960
Speaker 4: three years, and one other thing that actually could buy

682
00:33:31,040 --> 00:33:32,920
Speaker 4: us a ton of CLV if this goes our way

683
00:33:33,840 --> 00:33:37,440
Speaker 4: right now, one week out weather forecast for Sunday night

684
00:33:38,000 --> 00:33:41,200
Speaker 4: fifteen million hour wins and over fifty percent chances are

685
00:33:41,240 --> 00:33:44,320
Speaker 4: rain now, so week away. I would never play something

686
00:33:44,400 --> 00:33:47,120
Speaker 4: on just a weather hunch a week out, but if

687
00:33:47,160 --> 00:33:50,040
Speaker 4: I like the under anyway, if we get nasty weather

688
00:33:50,280 --> 00:33:53,040
Speaker 4: like that, games with ten million hour wins are higher

689
00:33:53,360 --> 00:33:57,160
Speaker 4: last three seasons sixty four percent to the under. That's

690
00:33:57,200 --> 00:33:58,960
Speaker 4: just going to only push this number down. You know,

691
00:33:59,040 --> 00:34:00,760
Speaker 4: folks will be coming in on under. We saw that

692
00:34:00,840 --> 00:34:04,360
Speaker 4: happen with so many lines this week, so let's grab

693
00:34:04,440 --> 00:34:06,880
Speaker 4: it now. I like the under anyway, and this number

694
00:34:06,920 --> 00:34:09,680
Speaker 4: could end up really moving in our favor if there's

695
00:34:09,680 --> 00:34:13,680
Speaker 4: another Lawrence injury update, if there's a weather update. Ravens

696
00:34:13,840 --> 00:34:17,800
Speaker 4: Jags under forty three and a half. So Week fifteen,

697
00:34:18,320 --> 00:34:22,280
Speaker 4: Hot Reds, we're going low. We're staying in primetime. Thursday

698
00:34:22,360 --> 00:34:25,160
Speaker 4: Night Chargers Raiders under thirty four and a half, Sunday

699
00:34:25,239 --> 00:34:28,919
Speaker 4: Night Ravens Jags under forty three and a half.

700
00:34:30,000 --> 00:34:33,680
Speaker 2: All right, Evan, let's look at Colts Bengals. Bengals win

701
00:34:33,840 --> 00:34:36,320
Speaker 2: thirty four to fourteen. Don't want to call it a

702
00:34:36,400 --> 00:34:39,400
Speaker 2: shocker of a win, but I mean the Bengals now

703
00:34:39,520 --> 00:34:42,279
Speaker 2: carrying over momentum from that last Monday night football game

704
00:34:42,280 --> 00:34:44,720
Speaker 2: over the Jaguars and now another win over the Colts.

705
00:34:45,680 --> 00:34:48,000
Speaker 2: The total does go over a forty four and the

706
00:34:48,040 --> 00:34:51,799
Speaker 2: Bengals do cover as two point home favorites, but as

707
00:34:51,840 --> 00:34:53,799
Speaker 2: I just said, the Bengals now and the Colts both

708
00:34:53,840 --> 00:34:57,160
Speaker 2: at seven and six. So you're gonna hear that number

709
00:34:57,239 --> 00:34:59,359
Speaker 2: a lot, because right now, I believe there's five teams

710
00:34:59,400 --> 00:35:02,000
Speaker 2: in the AFC all at seven and six. The Texans

711
00:35:02,040 --> 00:35:06,239
Speaker 2: included as well, along with the Bills. But right now,

712
00:35:06,400 --> 00:35:09,080
Speaker 2: if the playoffs were to start today, the Colts would

713
00:35:09,160 --> 00:35:13,200
Speaker 2: have the seven seed based on conference record. Because we

714
00:35:13,280 --> 00:35:16,480
Speaker 2: talked about three AFC seventh playoff teams. I'm not so

715
00:35:16,680 --> 00:35:19,480
Speaker 2: sure after today. And you were giving me kind of

716
00:35:19,560 --> 00:35:22,160
Speaker 2: vibes last week about how you cannot trust the Colts.

717
00:35:22,320 --> 00:35:24,800
Speaker 2: There's too much chaos with Midshew and this was just

718
00:35:25,360 --> 00:35:29,960
Speaker 2: a complete luck box shatter for the Colts. A disaster

719
00:35:30,120 --> 00:35:32,560
Speaker 2: start for the Colts. You get that long touchdown by

720
00:35:32,600 --> 00:35:34,759
Speaker 2: the Bengals, and the Bengals then miss a field goal,

721
00:35:35,239 --> 00:35:37,680
Speaker 2: and I don't think I've seen this penalty call very often,

722
00:35:38,120 --> 00:35:41,520
Speaker 2: but Colts get penalty for leverage on the missed field goal,

723
00:35:41,680 --> 00:35:44,279
Speaker 2: automatically giving the Bengals a first down. They score a

724
00:35:44,360 --> 00:35:48,960
Speaker 2: touchdown right after again that luck I thought was running out,

725
00:35:49,000 --> 00:35:51,400
Speaker 2: but then they get the pick six on Browning and

726
00:35:52,320 --> 00:35:53,719
Speaker 2: you know, as the game kind of went on, you

727
00:35:53,760 --> 00:35:56,640
Speaker 2: could start to see where this Bengals run offense was

728
00:35:56,760 --> 00:35:59,680
Speaker 2: really starting to carry them. But I guess what I

729
00:35:59,719 --> 00:36:02,760
Speaker 2: have to ask you, Evan leaving this game Jake Browning Okay,

730
00:36:02,920 --> 00:36:06,480
Speaker 2: so looked pretty good. Look, I'm just gonna say it.

731
00:36:06,560 --> 00:36:08,520
Speaker 2: He have to say it. He's looked pretty good in

732
00:36:08,640 --> 00:36:10,600
Speaker 2: back to back weeks. And that's a lot from me

733
00:36:10,680 --> 00:36:13,000
Speaker 2: saying what I talked about him last week, where we

734
00:36:13,080 --> 00:36:16,040
Speaker 2: were talking about how Sean Kerner had him as rated

735
00:36:16,080 --> 00:36:18,600
Speaker 2: as one of the if not the worst backup quarterback

736
00:36:18,640 --> 00:36:20,720
Speaker 2: in the league when it came to spread differential between

737
00:36:20,760 --> 00:36:23,799
Speaker 2: the starter and backup. So I have to ask you, Evan,

738
00:36:24,360 --> 00:36:27,440
Speaker 2: do we trust Jake Browning or is the bar just

739
00:36:27,520 --> 00:36:30,319
Speaker 2: like lower now for competent quarterback play because of all

740
00:36:30,360 --> 00:36:31,440
Speaker 2: the backups that are out there.

741
00:36:31,840 --> 00:36:34,120
Speaker 3: All right, So I like where you're headed here because

742
00:36:34,160 --> 00:36:37,880
Speaker 3: we'll start with the team who won. I mean, Browning

743
00:36:37,920 --> 00:36:41,080
Speaker 3: got hurt in the game, he did Karen injury. Yeah,

744
00:36:41,360 --> 00:36:44,520
Speaker 3: McCarran came and played. So I'm not exactly sure what

745
00:36:44,640 --> 00:36:47,080
Speaker 3: the status is going for especially Cincinnati's on a short week.

746
00:36:47,400 --> 00:36:50,120
Speaker 3: They have to play Minnesota on Saturday at home, so

747
00:36:50,560 --> 00:36:52,520
Speaker 3: we'll kind of see how that goes going forward. But

748
00:36:52,640 --> 00:36:57,360
Speaker 3: let's kind of take Browning's past and present before we

749
00:36:57,440 --> 00:36:59,200
Speaker 3: talk about the future, since we don't really know what's

750
00:36:59,200 --> 00:37:02,160
Speaker 3: going to happen. His last two games have been unreal,

751
00:37:02,680 --> 00:37:05,520
Speaker 3: so eighteen to twenty four two seventy five two and

752
00:37:05,680 --> 00:37:08,799
Speaker 3: one today, thirty two to thirty seven three fifty four

753
00:37:08,920 --> 00:37:12,480
Speaker 3: one zero last week Dimes His seventy nine point three

754
00:37:12,520 --> 00:37:16,040
Speaker 3: percent completion percentage is the highest completion percentage by a quarterback,

755
00:37:16,080 --> 00:37:19,040
Speaker 3: and his first three starts since nineteen fifty. I don't

756
00:37:19,040 --> 00:37:22,239
Speaker 3: need to say anything more than that, other than the

757
00:37:22,320 --> 00:37:26,000
Speaker 3: Bengals entire season has been maybe one of the craziest

758
00:37:26,080 --> 00:37:28,560
Speaker 3: roller coaster we've seen. Right the one and three start,

759
00:37:28,960 --> 00:37:32,560
Speaker 3: they won four straight, they lost three straight. Now no Burrow,

760
00:37:32,880 --> 00:37:36,680
Speaker 3: and Browning's won two straight. So the thing with Cincinnati

761
00:37:36,800 --> 00:37:40,480
Speaker 3: that kind of just gets me a little curious at

762
00:37:41,040 --> 00:37:43,719
Speaker 3: where they're going is five of their last six games

763
00:37:43,760 --> 00:37:47,280
Speaker 3: could be versus backups, right, So could? I mean, depending

764
00:37:47,680 --> 00:37:50,080
Speaker 3: you assume Lawrence plays. So let's assume Lawrence plays, then

765
00:37:50,120 --> 00:37:53,920
Speaker 3: you got Minshew, Dobbs or Mullins, maybe Trubisky after that,

766
00:37:54,040 --> 00:37:56,840
Speaker 3: then you got Mahomes, then you end with Flacco. So

767
00:37:57,840 --> 00:38:01,319
Speaker 3: the opposite is, yeah, no.

768
00:38:01,400 --> 00:38:04,320
Speaker 2: I was just gonna say black elite. He is very elite.

769
00:38:04,800 --> 00:38:08,120
Speaker 3: But listen, the opportunity is there for a Cincinnati team

770
00:38:08,239 --> 00:38:10,680
Speaker 3: that feels like it's a cat and been going and

771
00:38:10,760 --> 00:38:13,680
Speaker 3: has had nine lives. Right, We've made them dead six

772
00:38:13,760 --> 00:38:17,319
Speaker 3: times already this year, but they're still around. I don't

773
00:38:17,320 --> 00:38:19,759
Speaker 3: know what to make with Jake Browning because every time

774
00:38:19,920 --> 00:38:24,000
Speaker 3: I see him play, he seems extremely accurate, as this

775
00:38:24,600 --> 00:38:27,960
Speaker 3: statistics show. He seems very competent, and he did have

776
00:38:28,080 --> 00:38:28,840
Speaker 3: the pick six.

777
00:38:28,760 --> 00:38:30,040
Speaker 2: But doesn't look flustered.

778
00:38:30,520 --> 00:38:30,680
Speaker 1: Yeah.

779
00:38:30,800 --> 00:38:33,840
Speaker 3: The thing is, we've seen so much worse quarterback play that,

780
00:38:34,080 --> 00:38:36,280
Speaker 3: you know, a pick six for a guy who doesn't

781
00:38:36,320 --> 00:38:39,680
Speaker 3: seem flustered and seems competent in his throes and knows

782
00:38:39,719 --> 00:38:41,680
Speaker 3: what he's doing. And you know, I don't think Zach

783
00:38:41,760 --> 00:38:43,920
Speaker 3: Taylor is a great coach. I don't think anyone thinks that.

784
00:38:44,280 --> 00:38:46,719
Speaker 3: I think Jake and himself is just a decent quarterback.

785
00:38:47,040 --> 00:38:48,960
Speaker 2: I also think the support system helps. I think it

786
00:38:49,040 --> 00:38:50,680
Speaker 2: helps when you have a running back that you can

787
00:38:50,800 --> 00:38:52,680
Speaker 2: lean on, like Mixing, you just dump it off in

788
00:38:52,760 --> 00:38:55,440
Speaker 2: the passing game, when you have an outside threat like

789
00:38:56,040 --> 00:38:58,920
Speaker 2: Jamar Chase who could definitely beat one on one coverage

790
00:38:59,000 --> 00:39:01,680
Speaker 2: like we saw against the jack Even T Higgins was

791
00:39:01,719 --> 00:39:03,840
Speaker 2: making places today, so that was really helpful because he

792
00:39:03,880 --> 00:39:06,520
Speaker 2: had been missing for a couple of games. If you

793
00:39:06,640 --> 00:39:09,760
Speaker 2: had just blind eyed and you just look at those stats,

794
00:39:10,719 --> 00:39:12,680
Speaker 2: and if somebody had told you that Burrow did that

795
00:39:12,840 --> 00:39:16,040
Speaker 2: over the last two games with two rushing touchdowns, we

796
00:39:16,239 --> 00:39:19,640
Speaker 2: would be talking about the Bengals just roaring back to

797
00:39:19,800 --> 00:39:23,239
Speaker 2: gonna win the Super Bowl right now. So I'm I

798
00:39:23,320 --> 00:39:24,719
Speaker 2: think one thing I just want to say is with

799
00:39:24,840 --> 00:39:28,200
Speaker 2: Jake Browning, it's a nice story, but you've got Minnesota

800
00:39:28,280 --> 00:39:30,880
Speaker 2: coming up, then you've got Pittsburgh and Casey and Cleveland.

801
00:39:30,960 --> 00:39:33,040
Speaker 2: It's not going to be an easy way all the

802
00:39:33,080 --> 00:39:35,480
Speaker 2: way down. But at the same time, they definitely could

803
00:39:35,520 --> 00:39:38,680
Speaker 2: sneak in. I'm just not sure after the first round,

804
00:39:38,800 --> 00:39:40,080
Speaker 2: like if they're going to really be able to do

805
00:39:40,160 --> 00:39:42,200
Speaker 2: anything other than maybe just get a like maybe an

806
00:39:42,680 --> 00:39:44,719
Speaker 2: upset win in the wildcard round. But once we get

807
00:39:44,719 --> 00:39:46,279
Speaker 2: to the divisional round, I think they could just be

808
00:39:46,360 --> 00:39:47,759
Speaker 2: an easy right off of that they.

809
00:39:47,760 --> 00:39:50,120
Speaker 3: Say one one thing for a bet, so Minnesota is

810
00:39:50,120 --> 00:39:52,960
Speaker 3: playing Cincinnati next week. Least of what you see saw

811
00:39:53,040 --> 00:39:55,760
Speaker 3: with Minnesota today and what you saw to Mullens and Dobbs,

812
00:39:56,200 --> 00:39:59,040
Speaker 3: and then what you saw at of Cincinnati's defense, what

813
00:39:59,200 --> 00:40:02,440
Speaker 3: they did to Indies rush game Zach Mass thirteen to

814
00:40:02,520 --> 00:40:05,960
Speaker 3: twenty eight Indian jacketteen of forty six. I don't know

815
00:40:06,000 --> 00:40:07,840
Speaker 3: how you don't like the under forty forty and a

816
00:40:07,880 --> 00:40:09,239
Speaker 3: half if you can get it, I already see it

817
00:40:09,320 --> 00:40:11,759
Speaker 3: kind of taking down. So by the time you listen

818
00:40:11,800 --> 00:40:13,000
Speaker 3: to this kind of see where the total is.

819
00:40:13,480 --> 00:40:16,320
Speaker 2: Yeah. Absolutely. And then also just for the Colts, you know,

820
00:40:16,560 --> 00:40:19,839
Speaker 2: they had a four game win streak broken, but they've

821
00:40:19,880 --> 00:40:24,239
Speaker 2: got the Steelers, Falcons, Raiders and Texans to close out

822
00:40:24,360 --> 00:40:28,520
Speaker 2: the year. Should be interesting to see if the Colts

823
00:40:28,680 --> 00:40:31,480
Speaker 2: VUDU continues. I know that Evan is not high on

824
00:40:31,600 --> 00:40:34,640
Speaker 2: the idea of the Colts remaining, especially with Gardner Minshew

825
00:40:34,640 --> 00:40:37,000
Speaker 2: a quarterback who again had a full Minshew day, Like

826
00:40:37,080 --> 00:40:40,480
Speaker 2: you know, interception, but you know, just third down conversion

827
00:40:40,600 --> 00:40:43,640
Speaker 2: rate just wasn't there. And you know, the Bengals defense again,

828
00:40:43,760 --> 00:40:46,880
Speaker 2: that infrastructure, they still have a pretty solid defense. They

829
00:40:46,920 --> 00:40:49,240
Speaker 2: were able to get to the quarterback, so it should

830
00:40:49,239 --> 00:40:52,000
Speaker 2: be interesting to see how they fare this next Saturday

831
00:40:52,320 --> 00:40:55,799
Speaker 2: against this Vikings offense that well, we managed to put

832
00:40:55,880 --> 00:40:58,240
Speaker 2: up three points today. We'll talk about that and somehow

833
00:40:58,320 --> 00:41:01,800
Speaker 2: one as well. But speaking of the way that the

834
00:41:01,840 --> 00:41:03,800
Speaker 2: Bengals are, they're seven and six right now in the

835
00:41:04,000 --> 00:41:06,880
Speaker 2: AFC North. But we're going to stick with the AFC

836
00:41:07,040 --> 00:41:09,440
Speaker 2: North and talk about the Cleveland Browns, who have a

837
00:41:09,640 --> 00:41:13,359
Speaker 2: very impressive win today over the Jaguars, win thirty one

838
00:41:13,520 --> 00:41:16,680
Speaker 2: to twenty seven, and the Browns do cover is two

839
00:41:16,719 --> 00:41:20,760
Speaker 2: and a half point favorites. The over hits very easily

840
00:41:20,800 --> 00:41:24,800
Speaker 2: at thirty three and a half because Joe Flacco thirty

841
00:41:24,840 --> 00:41:27,040
Speaker 2: eight years old. He's only a little bit younger than me,

842
00:41:27,400 --> 00:41:30,280
Speaker 2: but he's throwing multi touchdown pass games in an NFL

843
00:41:30,360 --> 00:41:33,680
Speaker 2: game just coming off the couch. I mean, the Browns

844
00:41:33,719 --> 00:41:37,240
Speaker 2: passing offense all year has been just a complete disaster.

845
00:41:37,360 --> 00:41:40,319
Speaker 2: They only had four games this year with multiple passing touchdowns. Well,

846
00:41:40,320 --> 00:41:43,320
Speaker 2: Flacco has two of them already. There's a meme and

847
00:41:43,400 --> 00:41:47,200
Speaker 2: stack going around that flaccol has won less passing touchdown

848
00:41:47,239 --> 00:41:52,200
Speaker 2: Thankenny Pickett this year through two games. But the story

849
00:41:52,280 --> 00:41:54,799
Speaker 2: for me, while obviously it should be interesting to see

850
00:41:54,800 --> 00:41:56,799
Speaker 2: how the Browns fare the rest of the way. They're

851
00:41:56,840 --> 00:41:59,960
Speaker 2: eight and five now, they've got the Bears, the Texans,

852
00:42:00,160 --> 00:42:03,160
Speaker 2: the Jets, and the Bengals to close the year, so

853
00:42:03,640 --> 00:42:06,440
Speaker 2: feeling pretty good about their playoff chances at this stage.

854
00:42:06,560 --> 00:42:09,480
Speaker 2: But the biggest shocker to me, Evan, I was really

855
00:42:09,560 --> 00:42:12,880
Speaker 2: shocked that Trevor Lawrence played today because the way that

856
00:42:13,000 --> 00:42:14,880
Speaker 2: he was carried off the field and just you know,

857
00:42:15,000 --> 00:42:17,400
Speaker 2: the way that he was limping and how bad it looked.

858
00:42:17,520 --> 00:42:18,960
Speaker 2: I thought he was going to be out for at

859
00:42:19,000 --> 00:42:21,160
Speaker 2: least this game and maybe even the next game. So

860
00:42:21,880 --> 00:42:24,520
Speaker 2: he tried hard and obviously it was definitely an upgrade

861
00:42:24,560 --> 00:42:27,120
Speaker 2: over what CJ. Bethard might have showed him this game,

862
00:42:27,200 --> 00:42:29,640
Speaker 2: but had two interceptions in the first half, Like, he

863
00:42:29,800 --> 00:42:31,760
Speaker 2: did not look like he could really move in the pocket.

864
00:42:31,880 --> 00:42:34,279
Speaker 2: This is not really the defense that you want to

865
00:42:34,840 --> 00:42:36,760
Speaker 2: try to go out there and not be mobile. Because

866
00:42:36,800 --> 00:42:39,080
Speaker 2: this Browns defense, while they did struggle the week before

867
00:42:39,120 --> 00:42:41,960
Speaker 2: against the Rams, they're still fairly elite in the secondary

868
00:42:42,000 --> 00:42:45,640
Speaker 2: as far as passing his concern and yeah, I mean

869
00:42:45,719 --> 00:42:47,960
Speaker 2: I know that he finished the game twenty for fifty

870
00:42:48,080 --> 00:42:50,440
Speaker 2: with two hundred and fifty seven yards and three touchdowns,

871
00:42:50,480 --> 00:42:53,440
Speaker 2: but if you were watching the game, he definitely looked compromised.

872
00:42:54,320 --> 00:42:58,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, Simon talked about this on the favorites earlier. I

873
00:42:58,440 --> 00:43:00,440
Speaker 3: agree with him one hundred and ten percent. You got

874
00:43:00,600 --> 00:43:04,400
Speaker 3: to look against Jacksonville next week just based off of

875
00:43:04,560 --> 00:43:07,120
Speaker 3: what you were seeing from Lawrence in this game. I

876
00:43:07,280 --> 00:43:11,359
Speaker 3: cannot believe they played him in this game. He had

877
00:43:11,480 --> 00:43:15,160
Speaker 3: no mobility. I mean, he listened. He's a great quarterback.

878
00:43:15,480 --> 00:43:17,520
Speaker 3: So if you're gonna play him, even on one leg,

879
00:43:17,760 --> 00:43:19,600
Speaker 3: it's most likely going to look better than what CJ.

880
00:43:19,680 --> 00:43:20,799
Speaker 3: Benett's going to be up. Yeah.

881
00:43:20,800 --> 00:43:24,000
Speaker 2: Absolutely, yeah, but you were right. They've got the Ravens

882
00:43:24,040 --> 00:43:26,560
Speaker 2: coming up now and then the Bucks right after.

883
00:43:26,520 --> 00:43:28,640
Speaker 3: The raven game. How do you not give him more

884
00:43:28,719 --> 00:43:31,160
Speaker 3: rests for a game? Listen, you were in Cleveland, you

885
00:43:31,200 --> 00:43:35,520
Speaker 3: were facing one of the best pass rushes, defens's units,

886
00:43:36,120 --> 00:43:38,600
Speaker 3: like you know all together that you can think of

887
00:43:39,120 --> 00:43:43,080
Speaker 3: in a not not the best weather situation in Cleveland,

888
00:43:43,560 --> 00:43:47,200
Speaker 3: and it's just absolutely made no sense to rush him

889
00:43:47,280 --> 00:43:50,439
Speaker 3: out there in that situation. But now they lost the game,

890
00:43:50,960 --> 00:43:53,640
Speaker 3: and now going forward, you do have a you know,

891
00:43:54,160 --> 00:43:58,960
Speaker 3: it's just it's a tough thing. And obviously, listen, before

892
00:43:59,040 --> 00:44:03,600
Speaker 3: this Jaguars had they'd covered ten straight road neutral games,

893
00:44:03,800 --> 00:44:05,920
Speaker 3: which is the longest streak in the last twenty years,

894
00:44:06,400 --> 00:44:09,719
Speaker 3: So that streak got broken today. But I kind of

895
00:44:09,760 --> 00:44:11,920
Speaker 3: got to give it to Flaco, and I think you

896
00:44:12,040 --> 00:44:14,600
Speaker 3: have to not only give it to Flaco, but kind

897
00:44:14,640 --> 00:44:17,680
Speaker 3: of question the quarterback position as a whole in the

898
00:44:17,840 --> 00:44:21,120
Speaker 3: NFL when someone like this enters the league. No, I'm

899
00:44:21,160 --> 00:44:23,520
Speaker 3: just saying, but like, someone like this enters the league,

900
00:44:23,600 --> 00:44:28,279
Speaker 3: right and is able to be so competent, right, so

901
00:44:29,160 --> 00:44:34,319
Speaker 3: such a good it's not even game manager. It's someone

902
00:44:34,360 --> 00:44:37,280
Speaker 3: who comes in and is able to give your offense

903
00:44:37,719 --> 00:44:40,840
Speaker 3: basically something close to what it was before and not

904
00:44:41,000 --> 00:44:44,360
Speaker 3: turn over the ball. And it's just really nice to

905
00:44:44,440 --> 00:44:46,880
Speaker 3: see the only thing that is really sad about the

906
00:44:46,960 --> 00:44:49,839
Speaker 3: Flago situation is that they don't play Baltimore the rest

907
00:44:49,840 --> 00:44:50,200
Speaker 3: of the way.

908
00:44:50,800 --> 00:44:52,680
Speaker 2: Well, what it reminded me of is when the old

909
00:44:52,760 --> 00:44:55,000
Speaker 2: dude plays pick up with you, right, he knows how

910
00:44:55,239 --> 00:44:57,520
Speaker 2: he knows how to hold your properly before he cuts.

911
00:44:57,640 --> 00:45:00,120
Speaker 2: He knows like how to like kind of just not

912
00:45:00,239 --> 00:45:02,440
Speaker 2: dribble too much so he doesn't get turned over. Not

913
00:45:02,560 --> 00:45:05,000
Speaker 2: to use basketball analogies, but that's what it reminded me of,

914
00:45:05,200 --> 00:45:06,759
Speaker 2: is just the old dude to pick up who just

915
00:45:07,160 --> 00:45:09,120
Speaker 2: knows how to play the game and that's what Flacco

916
00:45:09,440 --> 00:45:12,160
Speaker 2: really knows how to do, is play quarterback. The thing is,

917
00:45:12,480 --> 00:45:14,560
Speaker 2: the last memory we had a Flacco was in that

918
00:45:14,800 --> 00:45:18,000
Speaker 2: Jets offense last year where they just did not have

919
00:45:18,120 --> 00:45:21,360
Speaker 2: the weapons that they have this year in comparison. But

920
00:45:21,440 --> 00:45:24,560
Speaker 2: then also the Browns weapons just are far superior to

921
00:45:24,640 --> 00:45:26,640
Speaker 2: what he was maybe used to maybe in that final

922
00:45:26,760 --> 00:45:30,439
Speaker 2: after years like in Denver and with New York as well.

923
00:45:30,560 --> 00:45:34,040
Speaker 2: So the Browns, when you have a strong defense like that,

924
00:45:34,600 --> 00:45:37,239
Speaker 2: you don't really need a top quality quarterback play. You

925
00:45:37,400 --> 00:45:41,680
Speaker 2: just need not to regress where you're having Deshaun Watson, PJ. Walker,

926
00:45:41,760 --> 00:45:46,200
Speaker 2: Dorian Robinson, Thompson, Robinson rather Robinson, Thompson, whatever you want

927
00:45:46,239 --> 00:45:50,520
Speaker 2: to call him, Dorian Thompson Robinson out there where you're

928
00:45:50,600 --> 00:45:54,000
Speaker 2: constantly in third and long, constantly in second and fifteen,

929
00:45:54,160 --> 00:45:55,960
Speaker 2: like you know, those kinds of positions where you're just

930
00:45:56,040 --> 00:45:57,920
Speaker 2: not able to kind of get over the hump and

931
00:45:58,000 --> 00:46:01,000
Speaker 2: push the ball downfield, and knows how to go throw

932
00:46:01,040 --> 00:46:02,399
Speaker 2: a good deep ball as well and get a good

933
00:46:02,400 --> 00:46:04,160
Speaker 2: decent DPI every once in a while. I mean him

934
00:46:04,160 --> 00:46:07,239
Speaker 2: and David Njoku, they were on fire today. Two touchdowns today,

935
00:46:07,360 --> 00:46:10,160
Speaker 2: was a very strong connection So the Brown's got the

936
00:46:10,239 --> 00:46:13,880
Speaker 2: Bears coming up, Houston Jets, since the feeling pretty good

937
00:46:13,920 --> 00:46:16,719
Speaker 2: about them in the AFC and the Jags starting to

938
00:46:16,800 --> 00:46:18,520
Speaker 2: maybe trend down, we're going to be in a very

939
00:46:18,600 --> 00:46:22,640
Speaker 2: tough spot playing the Ravens next week. All right, Evan,

940
00:46:22,719 --> 00:46:25,080
Speaker 2: let's move over to Seahawks forty nine Ers. We don't

941
00:46:25,080 --> 00:46:26,880
Speaker 2: have to talk too much about this game, but the

942
00:46:26,920 --> 00:46:30,000
Speaker 2: Seahawks do cover as thirteen and a half point underdog's

943
00:46:30,040 --> 00:46:33,640
Speaker 2: final score of twenty eight to sixteen, and the total

944
00:46:33,760 --> 00:46:37,160
Speaker 2: does go under. But really, I mean, brock perty in

945
00:46:37,640 --> 00:46:39,879
Speaker 2: this forty nine ers offense, they just continue to hum.

946
00:46:40,160 --> 00:46:42,239
Speaker 2: You know, nineteen for twenty seven from the field for

947
00:46:42,320 --> 00:46:45,960
Speaker 2: Brock party career high in passing yards as well two touchdowns.

948
00:46:46,320 --> 00:46:48,680
Speaker 2: He did end up throwing an interception earlier in the game,

949
00:46:48,719 --> 00:46:51,799
Speaker 2: but it didn't really cost them. Yeah, I mean really,

950
00:46:51,880 --> 00:46:53,440
Speaker 2: the main thing that I just take away from this

951
00:46:53,600 --> 00:46:57,200
Speaker 2: is that Drew lock is a step down from Gino Smith.

952
00:46:57,239 --> 00:47:01,680
Speaker 2: I think we know this now. But with that win

953
00:47:01,760 --> 00:47:03,839
Speaker 2: over the Seahawks, they're now ten and three. Then they've

954
00:47:03,880 --> 00:47:06,520
Speaker 2: got the Cardinals and then they play the Ravens and

955
00:47:06,600 --> 00:47:10,319
Speaker 2: Commanders and Rams. They could easily sweep the board here

956
00:47:10,440 --> 00:47:13,080
Speaker 2: in the spot. But the Seahawks, as we talked about,

957
00:47:13,120 --> 00:47:17,359
Speaker 2: with that Ravens game coming up, very dire situation if

958
00:47:17,400 --> 00:47:19,800
Speaker 2: you're going to be starting Drew Locke against that defense.

959
00:47:20,239 --> 00:47:22,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, a few notes for me on this one. So

960
00:47:23,000 --> 00:47:25,759
Speaker 3: Seahawks closed fourteen and a half. That was actually the

961
00:47:26,120 --> 00:47:29,600
Speaker 3: largest underdog for Pete Carroll in his career four hundred

962
00:47:29,600 --> 00:47:32,920
Speaker 3: and twenty four games USC and the NFL, So he's

963
00:47:32,960 --> 00:47:34,959
Speaker 3: never closed that big of an underdog in his career.

964
00:47:36,120 --> 00:47:38,440
Speaker 3: Obviously they covered. He's done a pretty good job as

965
00:47:38,440 --> 00:47:44,760
Speaker 3: an underdog, So that's good Locke in general. Listen, fun story,

966
00:47:45,120 --> 00:47:47,800
Speaker 3: but he's lost seven straight starts. He hasn't won a

967
00:47:47,880 --> 00:47:51,160
Speaker 3: game in three years, So I mean, that's kind of

968
00:47:51,200 --> 00:47:53,680
Speaker 3: what you got. But I think Seattle was probably lucky

969
00:47:53,760 --> 00:47:57,280
Speaker 3: to cover in a few ways. But to me, the story,

970
00:47:57,840 --> 00:48:00,560
Speaker 3: and I think worth maybe at least thirty seconds right

971
00:48:00,600 --> 00:48:03,399
Speaker 3: now is Rock Party and his season and what he's

972
00:48:03,440 --> 00:48:06,640
Speaker 3: doing is absolutely ridiculous. So right now he has three

973
00:48:07,120 --> 00:48:09,840
Speaker 3: five hundred and fifty three yards on just three hundred

974
00:48:09,880 --> 00:48:15,520
Speaker 3: and fifty nine passes, averaging nine point nine yards per attempts,

975
00:48:16,000 --> 00:48:20,560
Speaker 3: which right now minimum one hundred pass attempts since nineteen

976
00:48:20,640 --> 00:48:24,360
Speaker 3: sixty six is the highest ever. He's right now just

977
00:48:24,440 --> 00:48:27,960
Speaker 3: a hair above Kurt Warners season in two thousand, which

978
00:48:28,000 --> 00:48:31,839
Speaker 3: he had in just eleven games. So when you talk

979
00:48:31,880 --> 00:48:34,640
Speaker 3: about that and Party's efficiency and what the forty nine

980
00:48:34,719 --> 00:48:36,879
Speaker 3: ers are doing, then you watch Sunday Night Football with Dak,

981
00:48:37,400 --> 00:48:39,600
Speaker 3: I think the MVP race potentially at the moment is

982
00:48:39,680 --> 00:48:42,319
Speaker 3: just still down to those two guys. They both played very,

983
00:48:42,440 --> 00:48:45,080
Speaker 3: very well this week, but those Party numbers are just stupid.

984
00:48:45,960 --> 00:48:47,840
Speaker 2: I will say this though, when it comes to the

985
00:48:47,920 --> 00:48:52,520
Speaker 2: award race, why Party might have a little knock against him,

986
00:48:52,560 --> 00:48:55,200
Speaker 2: while also Christian McCaffrey might have a little knock against

987
00:48:55,280 --> 00:48:57,800
Speaker 2: himself as well for Offensive Player of the Year because

988
00:48:58,120 --> 00:49:00,840
Speaker 2: they're almost competing against each other for the same awards.

989
00:49:00,960 --> 00:49:04,320
Speaker 2: Like Brock, you could say, well, look at Debo, he

990
00:49:04,600 --> 00:49:06,719
Speaker 2: you know, had two He's had two rushing touchdowns in

991
00:49:06,760 --> 00:49:09,080
Speaker 2: the last two weeks and then another receiving touchdown, Like

992
00:49:09,120 --> 00:49:11,920
Speaker 2: look how dominant he is. Christian mccaffe runs for seventy

993
00:49:11,960 --> 00:49:14,719
Speaker 2: five yards on the opening play of the game, like

994
00:49:14,800 --> 00:49:18,200
Speaker 2: to put them in scoring positions. So, yes, the Niners,

995
00:49:18,239 --> 00:49:21,120
Speaker 2: their defense and obviously their offensive weapons make it very

996
00:49:21,280 --> 00:49:24,840
Speaker 2: easy maybe for brock Purdy to be in those successful positions.

997
00:49:25,239 --> 00:49:27,040
Speaker 2: But I would just say the same thing, like with

998
00:49:27,200 --> 00:49:30,080
Speaker 2: Christian McCaffrey for Offensive Player of the Year. It's the

999
00:49:30,160 --> 00:49:33,440
Speaker 2: same reasoning of why Tyreek Hill has that edge. A

1000
00:49:33,719 --> 00:49:35,759
Speaker 2: just because he's so close to two thousand yards, but

1001
00:49:35,920 --> 00:49:39,719
Speaker 2: b because you could point to look at Debo dominating

1002
00:49:39,760 --> 00:49:42,320
Speaker 2: snaps from the backfield as well, or look how awesome

1003
00:49:42,360 --> 00:49:44,480
Speaker 2: Brock Perry has been playing as well. Like there's a

1004
00:49:44,520 --> 00:49:48,040
Speaker 2: lot of byproduct of each other. But these Niners team,

1005
00:49:48,080 --> 00:49:52,120
Speaker 2: when they're fully loaded, it's difficult to envision what team

1006
00:49:52,200 --> 00:49:55,239
Speaker 2: is going to take them down if they're fully fully staffed, right,

1007
00:49:55,360 --> 00:49:58,439
Speaker 2: So that should be interesting to see you. Like, again,

1008
00:49:58,480 --> 00:50:00,680
Speaker 2: they have the Cardinals coming up. I imagine they'll probably

1009
00:50:00,719 --> 00:50:03,160
Speaker 2: be the look ahead I remember was close to like

1010
00:50:03,520 --> 00:50:05,759
Speaker 2: fourteen and a half. I believe it's probably gonna climb

1011
00:50:05,840 --> 00:50:08,160
Speaker 2: up to maybe even closer to seventeen and a half,

1012
00:50:08,200 --> 00:50:13,480
Speaker 2: probably by the time kickoff or arrives. Okay, so Broncos Chargers.

1013
00:50:14,040 --> 00:50:18,160
Speaker 2: Broncos win twenty four to seven, and the Chargers, as

1014
00:50:18,280 --> 00:50:21,920
Speaker 2: usual as favorites, do not cover or win outright, and

1015
00:50:22,400 --> 00:50:25,680
Speaker 2: the total goes under of forty four, Broncos with a

1016
00:50:25,760 --> 00:50:28,239
Speaker 2: nice little bounce back get back to seven and six.

1017
00:50:29,440 --> 00:50:31,719
Speaker 2: But yeah, justin Herbert, I mean, he got hurt in

1018
00:50:31,760 --> 00:50:33,759
Speaker 2: the second quarter that pretty much swung the game. He

1019
00:50:33,840 --> 00:50:36,080
Speaker 2: doesn't return, you're starting to see East and Stick in

1020
00:50:36,120 --> 00:50:37,920
Speaker 2: the game. The Chargers are pretty much right off if

1021
00:50:37,960 --> 00:50:40,880
Speaker 2: he's out. And then also the Chargers, they have the

1022
00:50:40,960 --> 00:50:43,840
Speaker 2: Raiders coming up here on Thursday Night Football. If that

1023
00:50:44,000 --> 00:50:46,759
Speaker 2: finger injury is as bad as the as they were

1024
00:50:46,800 --> 00:50:48,839
Speaker 2: indicating in the game, he's likely not going to play

1025
00:50:48,880 --> 00:50:50,680
Speaker 2: on Thursday Night Football as well, So you're gonna see

1026
00:50:50,719 --> 00:50:55,120
Speaker 2: more of East and Stick. But the Broncos seven and six,

1027
00:50:56,080 --> 00:51:00,880
Speaker 2: They've got the Lions, the Patriots, Chargers, and Raiders, and

1028
00:51:00,960 --> 00:51:03,200
Speaker 2: they're only one game back of the Chiefs. Now in

1029
00:51:03,320 --> 00:51:04,600
Speaker 2: the AFC West.

1030
00:51:05,760 --> 00:51:08,440
Speaker 3: This is an elimination game. In my opinion, it was.

1031
00:51:08,760 --> 00:51:11,200
Speaker 3: You know, even if Herbert played and they lost, they

1032
00:51:11,239 --> 00:51:13,600
Speaker 3: have eight losses in the AFC. It's gonna be tough

1033
00:51:14,320 --> 00:51:16,600
Speaker 3: even if you want out or I think the Chargers

1034
00:51:16,640 --> 00:51:20,480
Speaker 3: season's done. We talked about a fractured right index finger

1035
00:51:21,120 --> 00:51:24,560
Speaker 3: supposed to have an MRI. At this point, you might

1036
00:51:24,680 --> 00:51:26,759
Speaker 3: just want to say, okay, I think we're right. Think here,

1037
00:51:26,960 --> 00:51:30,120
Speaker 3: I think we're I think it's over. Just worth noting

1038
00:51:30,200 --> 00:51:33,440
Speaker 3: and just kind of like if it is over for

1039
00:51:33,560 --> 00:51:37,280
Speaker 3: Herbert this season, thirty and thirty three as a starter

1040
00:51:37,400 --> 00:51:41,600
Speaker 3: in sixty three starts four years of quarterback right now.

1041
00:51:41,680 --> 00:51:45,200
Speaker 3: For the Chargers defense, twenty third, twenty nine to twenty

1042
00:51:45,280 --> 00:51:49,520
Speaker 3: first and nineteenth in defensive points rank. He's top fifteen

1043
00:51:49,560 --> 00:51:53,520
Speaker 3: in points and yards in all four years. So he's

1044
00:51:53,560 --> 00:51:56,759
Speaker 3: done his job. Defense really hasn't, and it's kind of

1045
00:51:56,880 --> 00:51:59,600
Speaker 3: just turned into what it is. So it's a tough

1046
00:51:59,640 --> 00:52:02,480
Speaker 3: situation for the Chargers going forward. The Broncos, on the

1047
00:52:02,560 --> 00:52:06,160
Speaker 3: other hand, six and one of the last seven games,

1048
00:52:06,960 --> 00:52:09,160
Speaker 3: they're trying to join the Think about this, they're trying

1049
00:52:09,200 --> 00:52:12,840
Speaker 3: to join the nineteen seventy Bengals, twenty fifteen Chiefs, twy

1050
00:52:13,000 --> 00:52:15,879
Speaker 3: eighteen Colts, and twenty twenty Washington is the only team

1051
00:52:15,920 --> 00:52:18,880
Speaker 3: to start one and five and make the playoffs. They

1052
00:52:18,960 --> 00:52:21,520
Speaker 3: are fighting right now. Now. I will say this, I

1053
00:52:21,640 --> 00:52:23,080
Speaker 3: have to look what the line is, but I do

1054
00:52:23,600 --> 00:52:26,760
Speaker 3: kind of like Detroit. Next week Detroit is at home

1055
00:52:27,400 --> 00:52:33,040
Speaker 3: against Denver. It is Saturday night. You have three games

1056
00:52:33,080 --> 00:52:35,399
Speaker 3: on Saturday this week. This is the Saturday night game.

1057
00:52:35,719 --> 00:52:39,320
Speaker 3: Detroit right now minus four looks like but feels like

1058
00:52:39,480 --> 00:52:43,600
Speaker 3: to me one team that is, you know, Denver coming off,

1059
00:52:43,880 --> 00:52:47,239
Speaker 3: you know, a crazy streak right now, and Detroit, who's

1060
00:52:47,440 --> 00:52:51,080
Speaker 3: a little desperate, looking pretty bad recently. Goff Is as

1061
00:52:51,120 --> 00:52:53,560
Speaker 3: people tend to call him a pumpkin recently as well.

1062
00:52:54,239 --> 00:52:57,759
Speaker 3: I think it's a good Detroit spot. So that's the

1063
00:52:57,840 --> 00:52:59,200
Speaker 3: other thing I kind of look at with this one.

1064
00:53:00,719 --> 00:53:03,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, Detroit gets to play in a dome pretty much

1065
00:53:03,200 --> 00:53:05,359
Speaker 2: the rest of the way, and we're going to talk

1066
00:53:05,400 --> 00:53:08,560
Speaker 2: about how their offense kind of sputtered in Chicago today.

1067
00:53:08,680 --> 00:53:11,759
Speaker 2: But yeah, the Broncos, I mean, their run offense has

1068
00:53:11,800 --> 00:53:14,319
Speaker 2: really just taken off. They've got five rushing touchdowns this year,

1069
00:53:14,320 --> 00:53:16,480
Speaker 2: but four just over the last three games as part

1070
00:53:16,560 --> 00:53:19,520
Speaker 2: of this win streak. In Courtland Sutton, if he just

1071
00:53:19,640 --> 00:53:22,920
Speaker 2: keeps making improbable catches in the end zone, this passing

1072
00:53:22,960 --> 00:53:25,160
Speaker 2: offense is going to continue to excel. Because now he

1073
00:53:25,239 --> 00:53:27,800
Speaker 2: has ten touchdowns this year. I'm willing to bet seven

1074
00:53:27,880 --> 00:53:30,359
Speaker 2: of them are highly real type of catches where he's

1075
00:53:30,400 --> 00:53:34,239
Speaker 2: just kind of slowly, like just barely got both feet

1076
00:53:34,280 --> 00:53:37,279
Speaker 2: in kind of thing. And I cashed on him this

1077
00:53:37,360 --> 00:53:40,080
Speaker 2: week at over plus two hundred, I'll be shocked if

1078
00:53:40,120 --> 00:53:43,280
Speaker 2: he's over plus two hundred again going forward, especially facing

1079
00:53:43,520 --> 00:53:47,200
Speaker 2: the Lions here coming up on Saturday. All Right, we

1080
00:53:47,280 --> 00:53:48,800
Speaker 2: got a few games left. We're going to wrap this

1081
00:53:48,920 --> 00:53:52,719
Speaker 2: up quickly because a lot of duds. Panthers Saints went

1082
00:53:52,800 --> 00:53:56,360
Speaker 2: twenty eight to six total goes under, and the Saints

1083
00:53:56,400 --> 00:53:59,480
Speaker 2: do cover six point favorites, but the total of thirty nine,

1084
00:53:59,520 --> 00:54:03,160
Speaker 2: as I said, does go under. But just a classic

1085
00:54:03,320 --> 00:54:07,760
Speaker 2: moment Evan of Derek Carr up two scores and getting

1086
00:54:08,040 --> 00:54:11,839
Speaker 2: booed on his home field the entire game, because even

1087
00:54:11,960 --> 00:54:15,320
Speaker 2: the Saints' crowd is just sick of the shit of

1088
00:54:15,560 --> 00:54:19,320
Speaker 2: just watching how awful they are on third down, and

1089
00:54:19,520 --> 00:54:22,640
Speaker 2: somehow Bryce Young played worse than Car did, like he

1090
00:54:22,800 --> 00:54:25,640
Speaker 2: was thirteen for thirty six from passing one hundred and

1091
00:54:25,680 --> 00:54:28,040
Speaker 2: thirty seven passing years. Like I mean, the Panthers they

1092
00:54:28,080 --> 00:54:29,920
Speaker 2: don't want to give up the top pick, like they

1093
00:54:29,960 --> 00:54:31,879
Speaker 2: would have a better chance to win with Andy Dalton

1094
00:54:31,960 --> 00:54:33,759
Speaker 2: right now a quarterback. The way that they looked, and

1095
00:54:34,000 --> 00:54:36,440
Speaker 2: I think it was Week three against Seattle, they were

1096
00:54:36,520 --> 00:54:39,000
Speaker 2: moving the ball very efficiently down the field and this

1097
00:54:39,160 --> 00:54:41,719
Speaker 2: is the Panthers season in a nutshell Evan. They get

1098
00:54:41,760 --> 00:54:43,759
Speaker 2: to the Saints one yard line in the third quarter,

1099
00:54:43,960 --> 00:54:47,120
Speaker 2: they can cut it to one score Miles Sanders minus

1100
00:54:47,200 --> 00:54:50,560
Speaker 2: one rush yard, Bryce Young sack from minus nine yards

1101
00:54:50,920 --> 00:54:53,839
Speaker 2: incomplete pass, they take a field goal. There were three

1102
00:54:54,000 --> 00:54:57,760
Speaker 2: red zone sacks on Bryce Young back to back drives

1103
00:54:57,800 --> 00:55:00,279
Speaker 2: for the Panthers, and they cannot score a touch down

1104
00:55:00,320 --> 00:55:00,799
Speaker 2: in this game.

1105
00:55:01,200 --> 00:55:03,960
Speaker 3: I'll give you two things on Bryce Young, which I

1106
00:55:04,040 --> 00:55:06,520
Speaker 3: looked up earlier. It just it kind of shows you

1107
00:55:06,640 --> 00:55:08,759
Speaker 3: how tough of the season he's had. So today he

1108
00:55:08,920 --> 00:55:12,839
Speaker 3: was thirteen of thirty six passing. Since two thousand, Bryce

1109
00:55:12,920 --> 00:55:15,000
Speaker 3: is just a third quarterback to have thirteen or fewer

1110
00:55:15,080 --> 00:55:18,320
Speaker 3: completions on thirty six or plus attempts. And he's the

1111
00:55:18,360 --> 00:55:20,680
Speaker 3: first since two thousand and seven. And Tony Romo did it.

1112
00:55:21,120 --> 00:55:24,320
Speaker 3: And how about this one. So Bryce's yards per attempt

1113
00:55:24,360 --> 00:55:28,239
Speaker 3: this year five point two six. We've had seventy six

1114
00:55:28,360 --> 00:55:31,600
Speaker 3: first round quarterbacks in the Super Bowl era. Bryce's current

1115
00:55:32,239 --> 00:55:34,680
Speaker 3: yards per attempt would be the second worst for a

1116
00:55:34,760 --> 00:55:38,760
Speaker 3: full year. So he is absolutely Now that's not top picks,

1117
00:55:38,880 --> 00:55:42,640
Speaker 3: that's not top ten picks. That's first round quarterbacks. So

1118
00:55:43,160 --> 00:55:45,000
Speaker 3: that is a not a great list for Bryce.

1119
00:55:45,360 --> 00:55:47,560
Speaker 2: No, I have nothing to add to that. All right,

1120
00:55:47,640 --> 00:55:52,239
Speaker 2: Texans Jets. Jets win thirty to six. Total of thirty

1121
00:55:52,280 --> 00:55:55,200
Speaker 2: three does go over, but the Texans is road favorites

1122
00:55:55,200 --> 00:55:58,120
Speaker 2: of three and a half, do not win or cover.

1123
00:55:59,280 --> 00:56:01,960
Speaker 2: And really, I mean the main takeaway there was a

1124
00:56:02,040 --> 00:56:05,680
Speaker 2: concussion for CJ. Stroud had to leave the game in

1125
00:56:05,719 --> 00:56:07,879
Speaker 2: the fourth quarter. I mean, this game was zero zero

1126
00:56:07,960 --> 00:56:11,640
Speaker 2: at halftime. I mean both teams combined two for fourteen

1127
00:56:11,719 --> 00:56:14,560
Speaker 2: from third down and half. There was eleven first half punts,

1128
00:56:15,440 --> 00:56:19,160
Speaker 2: but the Jets somehow score sixteen points in the fourth quarter.

1129
00:56:19,680 --> 00:56:22,719
Speaker 2: They average fifteen and a half per game, like you know,

1130
00:56:22,880 --> 00:56:25,759
Speaker 2: so the fourth quarter. I don't really want to take

1131
00:56:25,800 --> 00:56:28,600
Speaker 2: too much away from it, but yeah, the Texans offense,

1132
00:56:28,640 --> 00:56:30,399
Speaker 2: they had a ton of injuries coming into the game.

1133
00:56:30,440 --> 00:56:32,920
Speaker 2: They probably shouldn't have been such a favorite over at

1134
00:56:33,000 --> 00:56:36,279
Speaker 2: least over a field goal in this spot. So yeah,

1135
00:56:36,360 --> 00:56:37,839
Speaker 2: I mean, I'm not really going to take anything away

1136
00:56:37,880 --> 00:56:40,520
Speaker 2: from it other than the fact that the Texans now

1137
00:56:40,600 --> 00:56:43,840
Speaker 2: have the Titans Browns. They have the Titans twice and

1138
00:56:43,920 --> 00:56:45,759
Speaker 2: then the Colts to finish off the year, so three

1139
00:56:46,160 --> 00:56:50,400
Speaker 2: divisional games where they could potentially maybe steal the AFC

1140
00:56:50,560 --> 00:56:53,160
Speaker 2: south back. I don't know, depending on what we see

1141
00:56:53,160 --> 00:56:54,960
Speaker 2: from the Jaguars and what we see maybe next week

1142
00:56:54,960 --> 00:57:00,520
Speaker 2: when they play the Ravens. But that is Texans, Jets, Bears,

1143
00:57:01,440 --> 00:57:04,560
Speaker 2: Bears win twenty eight to thirteen. The Lions' three point

1144
00:57:04,680 --> 00:57:07,960
Speaker 2: road favorites do not win or cover, but the total

1145
00:57:08,080 --> 00:57:11,439
Speaker 2: of forty three goes under. And if you had the under,

1146
00:57:11,960 --> 00:57:14,759
Speaker 2: you were sweating the second half the entire time, because

1147
00:57:14,800 --> 00:57:17,680
Speaker 2: there were twenty three points at halftime and the Lions

1148
00:57:17,920 --> 00:57:21,360
Speaker 2: were held scoreless in the second half. And Dan Campbell

1149
00:57:21,440 --> 00:57:23,400
Speaker 2: in this game was just me playing Madden Dude, Like

1150
00:57:23,480 --> 00:57:26,320
Speaker 2: it was almost funny, like fourth and ten, fucket, let's

1151
00:57:26,320 --> 00:57:28,600
Speaker 2: go for it, you know from their own thirty five, fucket,

1152
00:57:28,760 --> 00:57:31,240
Speaker 2: let's go for it. They end up going over three

1153
00:57:31,320 --> 00:57:35,400
Speaker 2: on fourth down just in the second half. And now,

1154
00:57:35,480 --> 00:57:37,680
Speaker 2: as you mentioned, they've got that Broncos game coming up,

1155
00:57:38,000 --> 00:57:40,720
Speaker 2: and the Vikings twice along with the Cowboys. But the

1156
00:57:40,840 --> 00:57:42,720
Speaker 2: key thing to take away from this is why I'm

1157
00:57:42,760 --> 00:57:45,240
Speaker 2: not really totally panicking on the Lions yet. Is there

1158
00:57:45,280 --> 00:57:47,959
Speaker 2: nine to four and all of those games are gonna

1159
00:57:47,960 --> 00:57:49,919
Speaker 2: be played in adult Yeah?

1160
00:57:50,440 --> 00:57:52,560
Speaker 3: Goff one hundred and sixty one pass yards today his

1161
00:57:52,680 --> 00:57:55,560
Speaker 3: fewest with thirty plus attempts since twenty sixteen. He has

1162
00:57:55,640 --> 00:57:58,640
Speaker 3: looked really, really bad. So they got to figure it out.

1163
00:57:58,720 --> 00:58:01,600
Speaker 3: But again, we always talking about the door outdoor thirty

1164
00:58:01,640 --> 00:58:04,600
Speaker 3: one and sixteen ats indoors. He moved to thirty four

1165
00:58:04,640 --> 00:58:07,160
Speaker 3: to thirty five and two ats outdoors and putting nine

1166
00:58:07,200 --> 00:58:10,080
Speaker 3: to fifteen and one in December and January. So he

1167
00:58:10,240 --> 00:58:12,240
Speaker 3: just tends to struggle in these spots. But I think

1168
00:58:12,320 --> 00:58:14,720
Speaker 3: Denver might might be a get right, we'll see.

1169
00:58:15,080 --> 00:58:17,320
Speaker 2: All right, let's finish it off here, Evan, because I

1170
00:58:18,440 --> 00:58:21,320
Speaker 2: have seen a lot of brozen pizza games in my day.

1171
00:58:21,840 --> 00:58:24,520
Speaker 2: I think of Broncos Colts last year that with twelve

1172
00:58:24,560 --> 00:58:28,840
Speaker 2: to nine in prime time. But this one you might

1173
00:58:28,840 --> 00:58:31,040
Speaker 2: as well be shipping it from the South Pole, dude,

1174
00:58:31,120 --> 00:58:35,160
Speaker 2: because this was a shittastic game from the Vikings and Raiders.

1175
00:58:35,200 --> 00:58:39,120
Speaker 2: The Vikings win three to nothing, that's right, three to

1176
00:58:39,240 --> 00:58:41,600
Speaker 2: nothing in a total of forty and a half, a

1177
00:58:41,640 --> 00:58:43,520
Speaker 2: total that was going up, by the way in an

1178
00:58:43,560 --> 00:58:48,800
Speaker 2: indoor game. And the Vikings push at three depending on

1179
00:58:48,880 --> 00:58:50,920
Speaker 2: what you've got. If you got three, you got to

1180
00:58:50,960 --> 00:58:52,720
Speaker 2: push it might have closed it. Two and a half

1181
00:58:52,800 --> 00:58:56,360
Speaker 2: by kickoff. If you got that number, congrats, But the

1182
00:58:56,440 --> 00:59:01,240
Speaker 2: Vikings overall did push. But there not time is over,

1183
00:59:01,400 --> 00:59:04,280
Speaker 2: I think because even Kevin O'Connell gets sick of the shit.

1184
00:59:04,400 --> 00:59:06,600
Speaker 2: Nick Mullins comes in for Dobbs in the fourth quarter

1185
00:59:07,040 --> 00:59:09,120
Speaker 2: and it was just such so sad too, because like

1186
00:59:09,160 --> 00:59:11,600
Speaker 2: I had Justin Jefferson on my fantasy team. He comes back,

1187
00:59:11,640 --> 00:59:13,280
Speaker 2: he ends up believing in the first quarter with a

1188
00:59:13,360 --> 00:59:19,440
Speaker 2: tough hit in the chest. But yeah, sixteen could bine punts, honestly, man, Like,

1189
00:59:19,520 --> 00:59:21,920
Speaker 2: what can you say? Like both teams played hard. That's

1190
00:59:22,080 --> 00:59:23,560
Speaker 2: really all I got to say about this game.

1191
00:59:23,960 --> 00:59:26,400
Speaker 3: It's the second three and it's a second game then

1192
00:59:26,440 --> 00:59:29,040
Speaker 3: three nothing in the last thirty years. The other one

1193
00:59:29,200 --> 00:59:31,200
Speaker 3: was the two thousand and seven Mud Bowl, if anyone

1194
00:59:31,280 --> 00:59:34,240
Speaker 3: remembers that between the Dolphins and Steelers. That was just

1195
00:59:34,320 --> 00:59:37,920
Speaker 3: an absolute mess. The real fun one though, so Vikings

1196
00:59:38,000 --> 00:59:41,200
Speaker 3: Raiders is the eight three nothing game since nineteen fifty.

1197
00:59:42,040 --> 00:59:45,360
Speaker 3: The other seven were all played outdoors, so you just

1198
00:59:45,680 --> 00:59:47,960
Speaker 3: you just watch the first three nothing game and a

1199
00:59:48,040 --> 00:59:52,120
Speaker 3: dome indoors, like you just you just have to relegate

1200
00:59:52,200 --> 00:59:55,040
Speaker 3: both teams. It's just the grossest thing you've probably ever seen.

1201
00:59:55,960 --> 00:59:59,200
Speaker 3: And then the stat someone made me look up is really,

1202
00:59:59,200 --> 01:00:00,720
Speaker 3: I'm gonna say someone and made me look it up

1203
01:00:00,800 --> 01:00:03,400
Speaker 3: because someone brought it to my attention and I had to.

1204
01:00:03,880 --> 01:00:07,520
Speaker 3: But Raiders closed plus three and ended up push teams

1205
01:00:07,560 --> 01:00:10,640
Speaker 3: getting shut out are now four two point fifty two

1206
01:00:10,720 --> 01:00:15,200
Speaker 3: and three ats in the wildcard era, so unreal. If

1207
01:00:15,240 --> 01:00:16,960
Speaker 3: you bet the Raiders today, which I did and I

1208
01:00:17,040 --> 01:00:19,120
Speaker 3: got the three points, use that money well.

1209
01:00:19,360 --> 01:00:21,560
Speaker 2: And the Vikings are still in the playoff picture. There's

1210
01:00:21,600 --> 01:00:23,680
Speaker 2: seven and six right now, and they would have the

1211
01:00:23,800 --> 01:00:27,439
Speaker 2: sixth seed if the playoffs started today, which is why

1212
01:00:27,560 --> 01:00:29,440
Speaker 2: we were so kind of maybe high on the Rams

1213
01:00:29,480 --> 01:00:32,080
Speaker 2: here coming up, because they're six and seven, and depending

1214
01:00:32,120 --> 01:00:35,640
Speaker 2: on how this Packers game goes, the Rams might still

1215
01:00:35,680 --> 01:00:40,000
Speaker 2: be able to sneak in here in that spot. But yeah,

1216
01:00:40,120 --> 01:00:42,360
Speaker 2: what a way to end Sunday, to watch a game

1217
01:00:42,480 --> 01:00:45,080
Speaker 2: and three to nothing, especially in the afternoon slate when

1218
01:00:45,080 --> 01:00:48,520
Speaker 2: we were watching like Eagles or probably Chief Spills and

1219
01:00:48,680 --> 01:00:50,640
Speaker 2: just such a nice little afternoon slate that we could

1220
01:00:50,640 --> 01:00:51,000
Speaker 2: go in here.

1221
01:00:51,120 --> 01:00:54,240
Speaker 3: You could use this one. So next week, Raiders, as

1222
01:00:54,280 --> 01:00:56,360
Speaker 3: you talked about, play the Chargers on Thursday night. Football

1223
01:00:56,400 --> 01:00:58,800
Speaker 3: teams to get shut out twenty nine to thirteen three

1224
01:00:58,960 --> 01:01:01,920
Speaker 3: ats in their next game since twenty fifteen. So if

1225
01:01:01,920 --> 01:01:03,880
Speaker 3: you want a reason to place there's an on football,

1226
01:01:03,920 --> 01:01:05,640
Speaker 3: maybe you take eight to O'Connell.

1227
01:01:05,800 --> 01:01:07,760
Speaker 2: All right, now, let's check in with Patrick Evererson with

1228
01:01:07,840 --> 01:01:11,240
Speaker 2: Vegas Insider to see how sportsbook flared in Las Vegas

1229
01:01:11,360 --> 01:01:12,360
Speaker 2: for week fourteen.

1230
01:01:12,600 --> 01:01:14,520
Speaker 1: Hi, Jille, thanks for having me back on the Action

1231
01:01:14,720 --> 01:01:19,240
Speaker 1: Network podcast. It's been an interesting week of NFL. Definitely

1232
01:01:19,320 --> 01:01:21,840
Speaker 1: better for the bookmakers this week than the last couple

1233
01:01:21,880 --> 01:01:24,040
Speaker 1: of weeks were favorites pretty much had their way, which

1234
01:01:24,080 --> 01:01:27,160
Speaker 1: means public betters very much had their way.

1235
01:01:27,280 --> 01:01:27,840
Speaker 2: Wouldn't say it.

1236
01:01:27,840 --> 01:01:30,680
Speaker 1: Was necessarily losing weekend for the betters overall, but the books.

1237
01:01:30,920 --> 01:01:33,320
Speaker 1: The books got the better of it, some give and take,

1238
01:01:33,480 --> 01:01:36,120
Speaker 1: but from talking with multiple odds makers on this Sunday,

1239
01:01:36,440 --> 01:01:38,560
Speaker 1: it was definitely a better day for the books than

1240
01:01:38,640 --> 01:01:41,200
Speaker 1: for the betters. And talking with Scott Shelton behind the

1241
01:01:41,240 --> 01:01:43,240
Speaker 1: counter for bet MGM Nevada, so.

1242
01:01:43,360 --> 01:01:45,240
Speaker 2: The early games were really good.

1243
01:01:45,720 --> 01:01:48,120
Speaker 1: Noted a couple of totals that actually were pretty key,

1244
01:01:48,520 --> 01:01:50,800
Speaker 1: with the Jets and the Browns games both going over

1245
01:01:50,960 --> 01:01:54,000
Speaker 1: whether impacting both of those games, especially that Jets Texans game.

1246
01:01:54,040 --> 01:01:57,040
Speaker 2: Everybody was betting the under in that one, so they

1247
01:01:57,120 --> 01:01:59,360
Speaker 2: needed those to go over, he said.

1248
01:01:59,400 --> 01:02:02,400
Speaker 1: The Lion losing outright to Chicago said that was a

1249
01:02:02,520 --> 01:02:06,560
Speaker 1: massive parlay buster. Money line parlay buster said. The later

1250
01:02:06,680 --> 01:02:09,720
Speaker 1: slate was pretty good with Seattle covering and the Broncos

1251
01:02:09,760 --> 01:02:12,880
Speaker 1: and Bills both winning outright. He said, what they didn't

1252
01:02:12,880 --> 01:02:14,560
Speaker 1: need out of the Sunday night game, which obviously was

1253
01:02:14,640 --> 01:02:16,560
Speaker 1: the game of the week, was they did not need

1254
01:02:16,600 --> 01:02:18,520
Speaker 1: an Eagles win, So that was the only outcome where

1255
01:02:18,520 --> 01:02:21,920
Speaker 1: they would lose. If the Rams had beaten the Ravens outright,

1256
01:02:21,960 --> 01:02:23,640
Speaker 1: which was not out of the question, the Ravens winning

1257
01:02:23,760 --> 01:02:26,400
Speaker 1: overtime on a seventy six yard punt return, So if

1258
01:02:26,400 --> 01:02:27,880
Speaker 1: the Rams have won that game outright, it could have

1259
01:02:27,880 --> 01:02:32,080
Speaker 1: been a historic winning day. But because the Ravens won,

1260
01:02:32,520 --> 01:02:35,760
Speaker 1: Betham Jim Nevada's got a couple of money line parlays,

1261
01:02:35,960 --> 01:02:40,200
Speaker 1: significant money line parlays that included the Ravens and those

1262
01:02:40,280 --> 01:02:43,440
Speaker 1: rules to Monday Night. So they'll have to see exactly

1263
01:02:43,480 --> 01:02:45,720
Speaker 1: where they finish based on how these two Monday games

1264
01:02:45,800 --> 01:02:48,240
Speaker 1: finish up and what happens with those money line parlays.

1265
01:02:48,480 --> 01:02:51,720
Speaker 1: Now Betham GM nationally. Christian Sippolini said a pretty good

1266
01:02:51,760 --> 01:02:53,840
Speaker 1: day overall for them as well, kind of mirroring to

1267
01:02:53,960 --> 01:02:57,160
Speaker 1: a degree what Scott said. He said, really the Eagles

1268
01:02:57,200 --> 01:02:59,840
Speaker 1: money line was the big liability tonight against Dalla Sunday

1269
01:02:59,880 --> 01:03:03,160
Speaker 1: night against Dallas, and obviously that liability got wiped out

1270
01:03:03,160 --> 01:03:05,600
Speaker 1: because the Cowboys rolled in that game.

1271
01:03:05,760 --> 01:03:07,800
Speaker 2: So again, not a bad day for the books.

1272
01:03:08,280 --> 01:03:10,040
Speaker 1: Talk with one odds of maker who said it was

1273
01:03:10,200 --> 01:03:11,960
Speaker 1: a pretty good day, but they did end up giving

1274
01:03:12,080 --> 01:03:14,880
Speaker 1: some back on the Cowboys tonight winning and covering. Obviously,

1275
01:03:14,920 --> 01:03:16,400
Speaker 1: Cowboys are going to be a public play and they

1276
01:03:16,440 --> 01:03:19,160
Speaker 1: were probably in some certainly in some money line parlays

1277
01:03:19,160 --> 01:03:22,800
Speaker 1: and so forth as well. Now looking to the Monday

1278
01:03:22,920 --> 01:03:26,280
Speaker 1: night games, we got two games, so I'll just give

1279
01:03:26,280 --> 01:03:28,000
Speaker 1: you a little spread activity. This is from betem GYM

1280
01:03:28,040 --> 01:03:30,000
Speaker 1: a little bit earlier on Sunday. Obviously, this is going

1281
01:03:30,080 --> 01:03:32,400
Speaker 1: to come out Monday, and the bulk of the action

1282
01:03:32,520 --> 01:03:33,840
Speaker 1: on these two games is going to come in over

1283
01:03:33,880 --> 01:03:35,840
Speaker 1: the course of the day Monday, so a lot of

1284
01:03:35,920 --> 01:03:39,800
Speaker 1: this could change, and perhaps significantly, but Dolphin's getting a

1285
01:03:39,880 --> 01:03:41,960
Speaker 1: ton of play at bet MGM on the spread, even

1286
01:03:42,000 --> 01:03:44,880
Speaker 1: with that fat number five to one. Tickets nine to

1287
01:03:45,000 --> 01:03:47,880
Speaker 1: one money on the spread. And then in the other

1288
01:03:48,000 --> 01:03:51,600
Speaker 1: game on Monday night, Packers against the Giants, leaning toward

1289
01:03:51,640 --> 01:03:54,080
Speaker 1: the Packers on the spread sixty eight percent of tickets

1290
01:03:54,120 --> 01:03:57,560
Speaker 1: fifty six percent of money on Green Bay against the

1291
01:03:57,640 --> 01:03:59,080
Speaker 1: Giants on the road against the Giants.

1292
01:03:59,120 --> 01:04:02,200
Speaker 2: But I will say there's there's a similar lean the.

1293
01:04:02,280 --> 01:04:05,800
Speaker 1: Other way to Giants on the money line at fifty

1294
01:04:05,840 --> 01:04:08,720
Speaker 1: four percent bets sixty per tickets of betam gam. Now, again,

1295
01:04:08,920 --> 01:04:10,400
Speaker 1: the bulk of tickets and money will come in on

1296
01:04:10,480 --> 01:04:12,560
Speaker 1: these games over the course of the day on Monday,

1297
01:04:13,040 --> 01:04:16,280
Speaker 1: and so these things could change or even get more enhanced.

1298
01:04:16,360 --> 01:04:18,960
Speaker 1: Perhaps the you know, especially in that first game, that

1299
01:04:19,240 --> 01:04:22,440
Speaker 1: the Titans could end up being a bigger need there

1300
01:04:22,440 --> 01:04:25,360
Speaker 1: against the Dolphins than they already are. I will also

1301
01:04:25,400 --> 01:04:27,720
Speaker 1: say in that Green Bay Giants game, a lot of

1302
01:04:27,760 --> 01:04:30,120
Speaker 1: the early tickets in cash on the under three to

1303
01:04:30,240 --> 01:04:34,480
Speaker 1: one tickets, six to one money on the under. In

1304
01:04:34,600 --> 01:04:36,640
Speaker 1: that in the second well, I guess it is that

1305
01:04:36,680 --> 01:04:38,280
Speaker 1: really the second Both these games kick off at the

1306
01:04:38,320 --> 01:04:40,480
Speaker 1: same time on Monday night. To wrap up the NFL

1307
01:04:40,560 --> 01:04:43,280
Speaker 1: Week fourteen odds market, looking ahead of the week fifteen

1308
01:04:43,320 --> 01:04:45,280
Speaker 1: odds market, talk to an odds maker here in Las

1309
01:04:45,400 --> 01:04:48,440
Speaker 1: Vegas tonight, I think you know, arguably the most compelling

1310
01:04:48,520 --> 01:04:52,480
Speaker 1: game is that Ravens Jaguars game. This game opened Baltimore three,

1311
01:04:53,000 --> 01:04:55,200
Speaker 1: went to three and a half tonight Sunday night, as

1312
01:04:55,240 --> 01:04:57,760
Speaker 1: I speak to you, and then returned to minus three.

1313
01:04:58,200 --> 01:05:00,280
Speaker 1: But the odds maker said, this is really interesting because

1314
01:05:00,440 --> 01:05:03,040
Speaker 1: it's down a lot from last week's look ahead opener.

1315
01:05:03,080 --> 01:05:04,680
Speaker 1: The last week's look at it opener was Ravens I

1316
01:05:04,720 --> 01:05:05,360
Speaker 1: believe six or.

1317
01:05:05,360 --> 01:05:08,520
Speaker 2: Six and a half. So that's basically been cut in half.

1318
01:05:08,520 --> 01:05:10,520
Speaker 1: And the reason for that, the odds maker said, Baltimore,

1319
01:05:10,560 --> 01:05:12,880
Speaker 1: as I alluded to earlier, could have easily been beaten

1320
01:05:13,200 --> 01:05:15,000
Speaker 1: by the Rams. They could have lost that game, winning

1321
01:05:15,040 --> 01:05:18,120
Speaker 1: on a seventy six yard punt return. Further, Trevor Lawrence,

1322
01:05:18,240 --> 01:05:19,960
Speaker 1: he came back from the high ankles frank look. He

1323
01:05:20,040 --> 01:05:22,280
Speaker 1: threw three interceptions, but he also made some plays in

1324
01:05:22,320 --> 01:05:24,960
Speaker 1: that game and kept Jacksonville in it, although Jacksonville did

1325
01:05:25,000 --> 01:05:29,200
Speaker 1: ended up losing at Cleveland. And then you've got Buffalo

1326
01:05:29,400 --> 01:05:32,920
Speaker 1: and Dallas, a really good matchup that first game, by

1327
01:05:32,920 --> 01:05:35,560
Speaker 1: the way, that Raven Shaggs game that's on Sunday night.

1328
01:05:35,920 --> 01:05:38,400
Speaker 1: Buffalo and Dallas on Sunday. That's a monster as well,

1329
01:05:38,480 --> 01:05:41,400
Speaker 1: with Buffalo coming off much needed win on the road

1330
01:05:41,400 --> 01:05:45,680
Speaker 1: against Kansas City and Dallas at home rolling over Philadelphia.

1331
01:05:45,720 --> 01:05:48,800
Speaker 1: The odds maker open Cowboys Bills at Buffalo minus two

1332
01:05:48,840 --> 01:05:51,120
Speaker 1: Buffalo's at home, and the Bills climbed to two and

1333
01:05:51,160 --> 01:05:53,600
Speaker 1: a half already. So the oddsmaker noted that even with

1334
01:05:53,680 --> 01:05:55,600
Speaker 1: a seven and six record, you got the Cowboys at

1335
01:05:55,640 --> 01:05:57,800
Speaker 1: ten and three. But even with a seven and six record,

1336
01:05:57,880 --> 01:06:00,320
Speaker 1: the Bills are still one of the highest power rated

1337
01:06:00,400 --> 01:06:03,800
Speaker 1: teams in the league, and he said this line reflects that.

1338
01:06:04,040 --> 01:06:05,800
Speaker 2: So a little look back at the weekend.

1339
01:06:05,840 --> 01:06:08,080
Speaker 1: That was a little look at the twin bill, not

1340
01:06:08,160 --> 01:06:10,200
Speaker 1: really a double header because they're going up against each other,

1341
01:06:10,600 --> 01:06:12,840
Speaker 1: but the two games on Monday night to wrap up

1342
01:06:12,840 --> 01:06:15,040
Speaker 1: the NFL Week fourteen odds market, and then a look

1343
01:06:15,040 --> 01:06:17,520
Speaker 1: at a couple of the more notable games in the

1344
01:06:17,680 --> 01:06:20,200
Speaker 1: NFL Week fifteen odds market, all of which you can

1345
01:06:20,320 --> 01:06:23,320
Speaker 1: check out in my NFL Week fifteen odds and Action

1346
01:06:23,400 --> 01:06:26,439
Speaker 1: report that's up right now at Vegas Insider dot com.

1347
01:06:26,680 --> 01:06:28,360
Speaker 2: Thank you, Patrick, and thank you for listening to the

1348
01:06:28,400 --> 01:06:32,160
Speaker 2: Action Network podcast presented by Bett MGM. Enjoy the doubleheader

1349
01:06:32,200 --> 01:06:33,840
Speaker 2: for Monday Night football, and keep an eye over for

1350
01:06:33,960 --> 01:06:37,120
Speaker 2: all of our week fifteen podcasts right here on the

1351
01:06:37,400 --> 01:06:38,200
Speaker 2: Action Network.

1352
01:06:53,880 --> 01:06:58,360
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1353
01:06:58,400 --> 01:07:01,200
Speaker 1: someone you care about has a Gambler problem, help is

1354
01:07:01,200 --> 01:07:04,280
Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler