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Speaker 1: And welcome. The Lake King is Live. It is Tuesday night,

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Speaker 1: September sixth year her Lower twenty twenty two, brought to

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Speaker 1: you as wholes by Academy Sports and Outdoors. Hey, unicorns

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Speaker 1: are real. You don't believe me. Tonight's show will be

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Speaker 1: evidence because we're doing everything that we could possibly do.

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Speaker 1: Cham Packed, Hyatt Hof and elated downtown Nashville, Tennessee. Let

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Speaker 1: me tell you what we're doing tonight. We're gonna react.

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Speaker 1: I got some stuff to say about Clemson, about LSU,

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Speaker 1: about FSU. We're gonna predict. We've got countum one two

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Speaker 1: three Big Week two game predictions to get to tonight.

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Speaker 1: We are going to power rate the JP poll version

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Speaker 1: two point zero drops this evening. We're gonna bet and

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Speaker 1: we're out for blood this week with the ram Noodle Express.

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Speaker 1: We've got four best bets tonight, including a rare total

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Speaker 1: that I like so much. We're gonna give it out tonight,

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Speaker 1: and we may even look at the live chat at

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Speaker 1: the end of the show. We'll see how the voice feels.

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Speaker 1: They're watching us in Winatchee, Washington, Bristol, England, Moundville, Alabama,

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Speaker 1: and Groveton, Georgia. We had the second most watched episode

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Speaker 1: in the history of this show forty eight hours ago.

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Speaker 1: It may end up being the highest watched of all time.

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Speaker 1: We'll see. Views are still pouring in. We had almost

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Speaker 1: one thousand subs yesterday alone. But that's not the big news.

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Speaker 1: The new spinning logo is the big news. I asked

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Speaker 1: for one thing when I got here. It wasn't a

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Speaker 1: new studio, it wasn't a new mic, it wasn't a

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Speaker 1: new shirt. We all know that. I just wanted the

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Speaker 1: logo to spend and we got a spinny logo. And

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Speaker 1: I appreciate producer Jesse and director Colin even has Matt

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Speaker 1: from old school Columbus version Late Kick helping us out

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Speaker 1: on that. We've got a lot to get to tonight.

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Speaker 1: So that's all the housekeeping I want to dive right in.

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Speaker 1: Last night, I was down at Management's house, you know,

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Speaker 1: gotta shake hands, gotta kiss babies, and I was watching

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Speaker 1: the Clemson game with Capital m Management. And Clemson wins

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Speaker 1: the game forty one to ten. Now what I could

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Speaker 1: have done is I could have just taken the night

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Speaker 1: off and I could have looked at the box score, right,

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Speaker 1: and I think some of you may have done that.

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Speaker 1: It was late, so you had things to do, and

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Speaker 1: maybe this wasn't appointment viewing for you. Shame on you, though,

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Speaker 1: if you didn't go back, because I think the box

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Speaker 1: score may tell just a little different story than what

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Speaker 1: your eyeballs told you. So you need to watch this

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Speaker 1: one or at the very least pay attention for the

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Speaker 1: next five or so minutes. What does forty one to

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Speaker 1: ten sound like? Sounds like Clemson kind of walked in

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Speaker 1: Mercedes Benz Stadium and yawned their way to a victory

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Speaker 1: and just ground Georgia Tech into a pulp.

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Speaker 2: And at the end of the day, that's what scoreboard

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Speaker 2: looks like. That's not what the box score says. That's

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Speaker 2: not what your eyes probably told you. What did it

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Speaker 2: feel like most of you did watch the game? What

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Speaker 2: did it feel like to you when it was scoreless

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Speaker 2: in the second quarter, when Clemson was laboring mightily offensively,

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Speaker 2: well into the third quarter, when it was a one

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Speaker 2: possession game and Georgia Tech.

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Speaker 1: Had the ball, looked like they could take the lead.

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Speaker 1: It seems like a long time ago. In fact, I

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Speaker 1: was saying that sentence by the end of my drive

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Speaker 1: home last night. Let's paper pop this thing together, and

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Speaker 1: let's talk about what we saw last night. I was

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Speaker 1: trying to search for the words to accurately describe my

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Speaker 1: feel about the Clemson quarterback situation, because that's all anyone's

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Speaker 1: talking about today, and I don't want to beat a

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Speaker 1: dead horse here. I've already given you my feel on

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Speaker 1: the whole DJ Uyangaliley and Kid Clubnik dynamic, and it

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Speaker 1: hasn't changed from last night. I still think ultimately Clubnik's

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Speaker 1: going to be the guy. I think if anything, last night,

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Speaker 1: even in a forty one to ten victory, I just

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Speaker 1: even my Clemson buddies who love DJ, there's no reason

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Speaker 1: not to love him. I'm going to talk about that

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Speaker 1: in a second. It's really tough on Daboswiney right now

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Speaker 1: because of that, even the ones who love him. Did

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Speaker 1: you not see it. You've heard the rumors out of

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Speaker 1: spring practice, you watch the spring game, you've heard the

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Speaker 1: rumors out of fall camp. But finally, if you didn't

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Speaker 1: believe me or anyone else, you saw it last night.

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Speaker 1: And you know what I had to do. I had

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Speaker 1: to go to nineteen eighties country lyricism to really sum

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Speaker 1: up my views on this quote from the great Tanya Tucker.

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Speaker 1: If it don't come easy, you better let it go,

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Speaker 1: because when it don't come easy, there's no natural flow.

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Speaker 1: You can watch dj Leangoli Le all you want to.

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Speaker 1: I think he's an improved quarterback from last year. Let

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Speaker 1: me put that out there before we offer any mild criticism.

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Speaker 1: He has worked his tail off, he has lost weight,

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Speaker 1: He is a better player. That's not what the conversation's about.

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Speaker 1: The conversation very clearly is about one thing and one

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Speaker 1: thing only, which guy gives clumbson the best chance to win.

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Speaker 1: And when Cad Klubnet came in, even in a blowout,

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Speaker 1: that's countered by the fact that he was playing with

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Speaker 1: a bunch of backups around him. Did you just notice

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Speaker 1: how easy it came? And did you notice, relative to

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Speaker 1: how it feels with one guy in the game, how

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Speaker 1: different it felt when the other guy came in the game.

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Speaker 1: This is not the first time we've seen this now

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Speaker 1: at Clemson, maybe actually not even at Clemson. There was

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Speaker 1: that whole Kelly Bryant dynamic back in the day. But

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Speaker 1: we've seen this with team to team dynamics at quarterback,

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Speaker 1: where one guy's in and it's just you could see

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Speaker 1: a path where if he does this, this and this,

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Speaker 1: and everything works out perfectly and he threads the needle

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Speaker 1: on every throw, he'll be great. And then the other

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Speaker 1: guy just comes in and it just it just happens.

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Speaker 1: It just flows. It's like salmon swimming upstream versus just

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Speaker 1: letting go and letting that river take you wherever. That's

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Speaker 1: kind of what it felt like to me when ka

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Speaker 1: Klubnett came in. Now, this is going to be a

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Speaker 1: difficult thing. Doesn't have to be a decision that's made overnight.

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Speaker 1: In fact, I don't think there's a decision being made

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Speaker 1: right now. Because the coaching staff was adamant after the

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Speaker 1: game DJ's are starting quarterback. I probably would have said

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Speaker 1: the same thing. But we all saw what happened last

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Speaker 1: night and they're seeing what happens in practice. But this

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Speaker 1: is not an easy job. See dabos Winny's ultimately the

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Speaker 1: guy that's got to make this call. It's not an

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Speaker 1: easy job for Dabo. Everybody including me can sit here

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Speaker 1: and talk about what they do. Well, we don't have

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Speaker 1: national championship rings on our hands. You know, we got

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Speaker 1: to pay for tickets or we got to get credentialed

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Speaker 1: to go stand on the sideline. For a reason, it's

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Speaker 1: because we're not the most qualified to make this call.

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Speaker 1: We don't see what Dabos wwennye sees at practice. Now

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Speaker 1: here's the follow up to that. He's got one responsibility

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Speaker 1: and that's to his team, his locker room, and his

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Speaker 1: staff to make the best decision for the betterment of

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Speaker 1: Clemson football. And it gets really difficult because he knows

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Speaker 1: how good a kid dj Leanglile is. It'd be one

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Speaker 1: thing if he was a character concern and through his

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Speaker 1: own neck up irresponsibility wasn't locking down the job. It's

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Speaker 1: none of that by all accounts. He's a great kid

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Speaker 1: and he's done everything they've asked him to do. So

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Speaker 1: put yourself in daboshoes for a second. You've got that,

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Speaker 1: and you've got a kid doing everything you've asked him

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Speaker 1: to do and he has improved. But then you've also

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Speaker 1: got this other guy. Now, unlike us, Dabos sees k

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Speaker 1: club nicke at practice, so he sees the mistakes he

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Speaker 1: makes too. We don't see that. You know, we saw

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Speaker 1: him come in limited time last night, and we've heard

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Speaker 1: rumors and whispers about him, and we saw him dice

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Speaker 1: up people in high school, so there's really no negative

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Speaker 1: in our mind. We haven't seen any negative with K Club. Now.

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Speaker 1: We can imagine it's there, but we haven't seen it. Well.

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Speaker 1: Dabo sees it. He sees his starter doing everything he's

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Speaker 1: been asked to do. And he also is not immune.

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Speaker 1: Is dabloswinny to hearing the outside noise? He would lie

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Speaker 1: to you if he was here right now, he would

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Speaker 1: say he doesn't pay attention to it and he doesn't

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Speaker 1: hear it. It would be just that a lie. Every

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Speaker 1: coach is lying when they tell you that they're all aware.

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Speaker 1: Whether they pay a lot of attention to it or not,

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Speaker 1: they're all aware. And Dab on his coaching staff they're aware.

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Speaker 1: That's why they keep referencing it so much. They get

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Speaker 1: asked about it constantly. They're aware, the streets are talking.

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Speaker 1: They're aware of that, and it sometimes can make you

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Speaker 1: default into an adversarial mode. You've been in that position

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Speaker 1: in your life before. If you're neutral on something and

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Speaker 1: a bunch of folks that maybe you like or don't

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Speaker 1: like all say one thing, you just default yourself over

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Speaker 1: to the other side. For the heck, of it, And

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Speaker 1: in this case, not only is it just for the

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Speaker 1: heck of it, he happens to really really like his

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Speaker 1: starting quarterback and he's improved, and YadA, YadA, YadA. We've

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Speaker 1: already gone through that. So it's not going to be

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Speaker 1: the easiest of calls, and it doesn't have to be

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Speaker 1: made right away. They've got Furman and they've got Louisiana

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Speaker 1: Tech coming up. But I think ultimately, when you look

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Speaker 1: at this receiver corps, it is not vintage Clemson from

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Speaker 1: a few years ago. See DJ. Probably fine. They could

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Speaker 1: probably get by with him and pencil him into an

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Speaker 1: ACC championship game right now if they had that wide

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Speaker 1: receiver stable of yesterday year, cause there were just a

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Speaker 1: bunch of race horses, and you could stretch the field

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Speaker 1: vertically with him, and he has no problem doing that.

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Speaker 1: It's the intermediate game. It's trusting your quarterback to throw

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Speaker 1: the ball over the middle of the field on third

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Speaker 1: and seven a few times per game. I just don't

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Speaker 1: think they're there with him, and I don't know that

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Speaker 1: they will be there with kay klub Nick. I'm just

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Speaker 1: telling you from any kind of intel we've gotten from

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Speaker 1: gut Field, and then from the very limited view we

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Speaker 1: had last night, I ultimately think he's going to be

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Speaker 1: the guy there. And if here's the tell, although this

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Speaker 1: is not always the best tell, but if you were

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Speaker 1: to ask opposing fan bases in the ACC who would

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Speaker 1: you rather see starting at Clumbs in the rest of

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Speaker 1: the year, I guarantee you their answer would be the

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Speaker 1: guy who started last night. Now, that doesn't always mean everything.

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Speaker 1: I don't think it means nothing, though, I think it

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Speaker 1: means a lot of folks are starting to come to

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Speaker 1: the realization that that guy that was standing on the

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Speaker 1: sideline last night, albeit with his helmet on, but standing

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Speaker 1: on the sideline, that is a really, really good quarterback

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Speaker 1: the whole not a matter of if, but when type

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Speaker 1: deal feels like it's in the Clemson quarterback room at

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Speaker 1: the moment. Meanwhile, over my shoulder, I can't help but

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Speaker 1: notice it, it's like a blue sky the entire show,

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Speaker 1: every show. Academy Sports and Outdoors, in case you missed

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Speaker 1: the show the other night, has become our presenting sponsor.

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Speaker 1: So this is now Late Kick, presented to you by

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Speaker 1: Academy Sports and Outdoors. And here's the other bit of

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Speaker 1: good news. We're going to be in Austin this weekend

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Speaker 1: for Alabama, Texas, and I have it on very good authority,

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Speaker 1: meaning they texted me and told me so that our

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Speaker 1: Academy reps are going to be there. So I get

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Speaker 1: to run into Alex and Company. And that also means

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Speaker 1: I get stocked with a fresh envelope of Academy gift cards.

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Speaker 1: So if you're in Austin Saturday, be on the lookout.

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Speaker 1: You're gonna need two things. A wet towel over your

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Speaker 1: head because it's going to be about ninety six degrees

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Speaker 1: at kickoff, not a cloud in the sky. And the

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Speaker 1: other thing is you're going to be needing to look

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Speaker 1: out for Academy gift cards. Academy Sports and Outdoors are

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Speaker 1: presenting sponsor, but also they are your one stop shop

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Speaker 1: for all your outdoor sporting goods needs and beyond grill equipment.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I was told the other day hunting and

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Speaker 1: phishing licenses available there. I don't think any of you

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Speaker 1: have ever thought of that. Everything. If you live a

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Speaker 1: lifestyle like most of our audience does, everything you need

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Speaker 1: at least ninety five percent of your necessities in life

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Speaker 1: can be founded Academy Sports and outdoors. Even if one

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Speaker 1: of their locations can't be found in your backyard, Academy

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Speaker 1: dot com can, so make sure you hit them up.

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Speaker 1: They are the reason why this show remains free. That

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Speaker 1: plus the fact that you guys make the channel go

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Speaker 1: bonkers every day, So we appreciate that. We appreciate you,

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Speaker 1: we appreciate them. I want to get to a game

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Speaker 1: right quick. I'm not going to do a game recap

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Speaker 1: because it's forty eight hours old already. We haven't done

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Speaker 1: a show since FSU and LSU, So gonna I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: hit for just a couple of minutes each team. Everyone's

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Speaker 1: talking about this right now. I guarantee you, if you're

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Speaker 1: a Syracuse fan number one, you cost us money Saturday,

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Speaker 1: and I don't appreciate that. But I do appreciate the

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Speaker 1: fact that even you guys probably have an opinion on FSU,

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Speaker 1: and I guarantee you everyone's got an opinion on LSU. So, Colin,

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Speaker 1: here's a really good endpoint. FSU ended up beating LSU

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Speaker 1: in the Superdome the other night. You know that, twenty

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Speaker 1: four to twenty three. This was one of those first

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Speaker 1: watch made me feel one thing, but then the rewatch

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Speaker 1: made me feel a little bit of a different thing,

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Speaker 1: especially when it comes to FSU. So on the rewatch,

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Speaker 1: I came away with even more reasons for FSU fans

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Speaker 1: to be pretty excited. Sometimes a score doesn't tell you

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Speaker 1: the whole story other than someone just won a game.

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Speaker 1: But you can't always get the best predictive, forward thinking

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Speaker 1: feel just from a final score. The fact of the

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Speaker 1: matter is they could have won twenty four to twenty

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Speaker 1: three because of five turnovers, and you could walk away saying, yeah,

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Speaker 1: they want kind of hollow. It didn't mean anything moving forward.

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Speaker 1: And I had somewhat of that feel about the FSU

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Speaker 1: when when I first watched it, But then I went

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Speaker 1: back and watched it, and there are a lot of

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Speaker 1: reasons why stuff that happened in this game is translatable

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Speaker 1: and transferable throughout the rest of the season for FSU.

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Speaker 1: First thing that was just the most glaring, even on

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Speaker 1: first watch. Jordan Travis is such a better quarterback through

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Speaker 1: one game this year. We talked at nauseum over the

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Speaker 1: summer what the casuals would call the offseason about how

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Speaker 1: they could not throw the ball to save their lives

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Speaker 1: last year, and the other night he was twenty thirty

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Speaker 1: three for two sixty two touchdowns. Look, I know those

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Speaker 1: aren't Bryce Young numbers, but there's a gulf between what

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Speaker 1: Bryce Young has been and what FSU has been at quarterback.

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Speaker 1: That is a huge positive step in the right direction.

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Speaker 1: You need to consider the context too. They did not

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Speaker 1: run the ball great, so this was not LSU selling

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Speaker 1: out to stop the run and then Jordan Travis just

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Speaker 1: just picking apart holes in a loose zone back there.

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Speaker 1: They averaged three point five yards per carry did Florida State.

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Speaker 1: So offense also was not great in the red zone.

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Speaker 1: And look, you can partly blame that on Jordan Travis.

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Speaker 1: This wasn't a perfect game. The reason I'm pointing out

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Speaker 1: some of these things is FSU won a big game,

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Speaker 1: and I think they could reasonably go back to Tallahassee

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Speaker 1: and say, we won this thing, and there were this

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Speaker 1: many errors. There were this many flaws in our game.

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Speaker 1: We didn't really run the ball all that great. We

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Speaker 1: were I think they had five trips to the red

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Speaker 1: zone and had ten total points. Like imagine being Mike

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Speaker 1: norvel I tweeted out that video that I think Florida

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Speaker 1: State put out of him walking down the corridor. I

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Speaker 1: love the super Dome, love it. It's like a million

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Speaker 1: years old. He's walking down that decrepit old corridor there

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Speaker 1: that a lot of us who have covered games there

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Speaker 1: before know very well, and he walks in the locker

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Speaker 1: room and they go crazy, and then you know he soaked.

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Speaker 1: But afterwards, I imagine that staff got back to Tallahassee

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Speaker 1: and looked at that film and said, we feel like

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Speaker 1: we could have run away with this. Now. Of course

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Speaker 1: LSU goes back to Baton Rouge and they say, well,

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Speaker 1: I mean, if we didn't muff every punt that was

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Speaker 1: ever kicked to us, maybe we could have done the

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Speaker 1: same thing. But it is such a relief because you felt,

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Speaker 1: if you're a Florida State fan for so long, like

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Speaker 1: you're in your way in the right direction. I've said

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Speaker 1: this on the show many times over the summer about

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Speaker 1: FSU when talking about this opening game that now they

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Speaker 1: have in the win column. It would be so nice

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Speaker 1: to get some validation and some confirmation that you're headed

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Speaker 1: in the right direction. Like I drive frequently from Columbus,

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Speaker 1: Georgia to Nashville, Tennessee. It's about a five hour drive

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Speaker 1: on a good night and it's nice when you finally

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Speaker 1: start passing the signs that actually give a mileage distance

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Speaker 1: to Nashville. You don't see those in noon and Georgia.

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Speaker 1: You don't see those in Calhoun, Georgia. You see a

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Speaker 1: huge BUCkies there, like one hundred and twenty gas pumps

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Speaker 1: of that thing visible from space, but you don't see

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Speaker 1: Nashville mileage signs. Then when you get to Chattanooga, then

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Speaker 1: you finally start to see it. Well, Florida State man,

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Speaker 1: they've been driving for a little while under Mike Norvel

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Speaker 1: right now, and they're not where they want to be,

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Speaker 1: and no one is under the misguided notion that they are.

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Speaker 1: But finally the other night they get a big win.

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Speaker 1: Things finally go their way. They do not fall victim

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Speaker 1: to what a lot of us, me included here, to

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Speaker 1: be brutally honest, thought they would fall victim to, like

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Speaker 1: being outmatched on the perimeter, offensive line, being dismantled. In fairness,

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Speaker 1: I thought Mason Smith would be a big part of that,

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Speaker 1: and they lost him early on after he did dismantle

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Speaker 1: them one play and then towards ACL But they didn't

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Speaker 1: fall victim to a lot of that stuff. So finally

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Speaker 1: you're starting to get within drivable distance, within one gas

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Speaker 1: tank of where you finally want to be. So here's

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Speaker 1: what it's not. What it's not, and I respect Jared

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Speaker 1: Vers and a lot of these guys in the locker

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Speaker 1: room afterwards. What it's not is FSU's back right now.

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Speaker 1: And if you're over twenty years old, you know what

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Speaker 1: it looks like when FSU is really FSU. They're not

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Speaker 1: that yet. But here's what it is. It's a sure

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Speaker 1: sign they're headed in the right direction. And it's a

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Speaker 1: sure sign that this is not a sparkler. There's some teams,

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Speaker 1: for whatever reason, benefit from massive bounces of the ball

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Speaker 1: in week one and they give you a misleading final,

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Speaker 1: but that's really where they peaked. It's a sparkler. It

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Speaker 1: burns for a little while, then it just fizzles out.

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Speaker 1: I don't think there's much of a threat of a

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Speaker 1: fizzle with this Florida State team. They're not a threat

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Speaker 1: to go eleven and one, but they're also not a

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Speaker 1: threat to crash and burn and make you look back

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Speaker 1: when they miss a bowl game, saying remember when they

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Speaker 1: beat LSU, Wow, I thought they were gonna be something.

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Speaker 1: I don't think that's this year. You remember when they

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Speaker 1: pushed Notre Dame? Was it last year? A couple of

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Speaker 1: years ago they pushed Notre Dame in the opener and

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Speaker 1: then yeah, kind of fell off. I don't think this

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Speaker 1: team's gonna fall off. You know, the magic number down

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Speaker 1: there has been eight. They want to win eight games

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Speaker 1: this year. I think a lot of people may be

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Speaker 1: recalibrating that. I'm still sitting on eight. I don't want

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Speaker 1: to massively adjust based on one game. But look at

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Speaker 1: the schedule here. They're going to Louisville in a well

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Speaker 1: this week, I think, or maybe next week. What's today

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Speaker 1: today is the Yeah, so next week and then, like

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Speaker 1: when you start to say these games out loud for

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Speaker 1: those of you on podcasts, Boston College, Wake Forest at

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Speaker 1: NC State, cums in Clemsonto a different animal, We're going

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Speaker 1: to talk about them obviously a little more when that

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Speaker 1: game comes around. But all of a sudden, if you

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Speaker 1: just duplicate the effort you were able to give the

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Speaker 1: other night, you give yourself a chance, and virtually every

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Speaker 1: game you play on the schedule, you certainly give yourself

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Speaker 1: more than a punchish chance to win eight games plus

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Speaker 1: it's a very exciting time. It's a very exciting time

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Speaker 1: there for them right now. Okay, Actually, Colin, let me

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Speaker 1: make sure of something because I don't want to jump ahead. Yes,

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Speaker 1: all right, So I mixed my notes up, and this

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Speaker 1: is probably the first time that I've ever caught that

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Speaker 1: instead of listening to Colin in my ears saying you're

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Speaker 1: out of order, just go forget about it, Just go okay.

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Speaker 1: For every up, there has to be a down. There's

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Speaker 1: drama going on around the LSU program right now, huge drama,

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Speaker 1: and it's not being bottled up. It's spilling over for

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Speaker 1: the world to see. So we have to talk about this.

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Speaker 1: Twenty twenty two is going to be a roller coaster

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Speaker 1: for this team. Always was going to be a roller

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Speaker 1: coaster for this team. Now you know that I am

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Speaker 1: a huge believer in Brian Kelly. But what you also

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Speaker 1: know if you watch this show over the summer when

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Speaker 1: we were doing our entire previews series, is I thought

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty two was eventually going to come off the

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Speaker 1: rails for them, and it was going to be ugly

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Speaker 1: and it was going to be drama filled, but they

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Speaker 1: were going to be better for it. However, if you're

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Speaker 1: new around here and you don't know me any better,

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Speaker 1: you may think probably just making that up, rolling Colin,

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Speaker 1: because everyone's happy to buy in as long as you're winning.

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Speaker 1: But there are losses somewhere along the way on this schedule.

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Speaker 1: I'm not even going to pick out which ones they are.

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Speaker 1: I'm saying when they start to happen, when the bounce

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Speaker 1: of the ball doesn't go your way, when the turnover

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Speaker 1: battles minus two against you, and you lose as a

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Speaker 1: four point favorite one Saturday, then you get back in

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Speaker 1: that locker room. Then you get back on the bus,

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Speaker 1: on the plane, you go home. Guys have Sunday to

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Speaker 1: text each other, and slowly but surely, the way that

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Speaker 1: they used to do things is the way some guys

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Speaker 1: will want to fall back Those are the things some

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Speaker 1: will want to fall back on. It is almost inevitable

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Speaker 1: when you're trying to overturn a culture because there's some

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00:19:07,160 --> 00:19:09,880
Speaker 1: residue that's left over. Doesn't matter when you win. When

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Speaker 1: you lose is when this stuff starts to bubble up.

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Speaker 1: And if you lose a few more games, then you

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Speaker 1: start to find out. It turns out there are some

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Speaker 1: guys still here that really do not serve the long

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Speaker 1: term best interest of what we're trying to do as

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Speaker 1: a program. Those guys won't be there next year. But

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Speaker 1: the point is you inevitably still have some guys around

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Speaker 1: there that are are much more conditioned to doing things

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Speaker 1: the old way, that probably aren't best cut out to

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Speaker 1: do things the new way. You can't overturn it completely overnight.

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Speaker 1: Brian Kelly knows that if there's some bumps in the road,

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Speaker 1: it's still not the worst thing in the world. It

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Speaker 1: is a natural filtration process. You are finding out who

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Speaker 1: the best long term solutions are in your locker room,

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Speaker 1: and you're finding out the guys that you don't want

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Speaker 1: to be in the fox hole with, and you're finding

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Speaker 1: out things that may suck right now but are greatly

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Speaker 1: going to assist you in twenty twenty three and beyond that,

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Speaker 1: my friends, which probably not clear to you if you're

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Speaker 1: listening to on podcasts, that was this show July thirtieth

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Speaker 1: of this year, So that's before they even opened Fall Camp.

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Speaker 1: How did we know it was coming, Well, it was

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Speaker 1: pretty obvious. Now. Notice I was not dumb enough to

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Speaker 1: try and pick out the exact week. Admittedly, I thought

427
00:20:23,080 --> 00:20:25,000
Speaker 1: it'd be a little deeper into the season than Week one.

428
00:20:25,080 --> 00:20:28,920
Speaker 1: We thought LSU would win the other night. But LSU loses.

429
00:20:29,680 --> 00:20:32,399
Speaker 1: And for those of you who aren't hardcore LSU fans,

430
00:20:32,480 --> 00:20:34,679
Speaker 1: maybe you just watched the game, you know they lost,

431
00:20:34,720 --> 00:20:37,240
Speaker 1: and then this is the first that you've really heard

432
00:20:37,240 --> 00:20:39,800
Speaker 1: anyone speak about LSU since then. If you followed the

433
00:20:39,880 --> 00:20:42,560
Speaker 1: program closely, or if you follow the sport closely, you

434
00:20:42,560 --> 00:20:46,720
Speaker 1: know there's been all kind of issues wide receivers removing

435
00:20:46,760 --> 00:20:50,080
Speaker 1: all the LSU insignia from their social media profiles, which

436
00:20:50,119 --> 00:20:52,240
Speaker 1: is the modern day equivalent of just asking for a

437
00:20:52,280 --> 00:20:55,200
Speaker 1: divorce for those of you thirty and older, that's how

438
00:20:55,240 --> 00:20:59,080
Speaker 1: that works. And so what do we have, Well, we've

439
00:20:59,119 --> 00:21:02,479
Speaker 1: got some disagree front members in that locker room, and

440
00:21:02,560 --> 00:21:06,520
Speaker 1: I've had many, many a viewer and many a casual.

441
00:21:06,760 --> 00:21:10,440
Speaker 1: They're not synonymous. Please don't misunderstand me. I had many,

442
00:21:10,680 --> 00:21:13,359
Speaker 1: probably not our regular viewers, probably more casuals than our

443
00:21:13,359 --> 00:21:16,399
Speaker 1: regular viewers. They've hit me up by the dozens and

444
00:21:16,440 --> 00:21:18,640
Speaker 1: dozens and said, what do you think about LSU? Now?

445
00:21:18,840 --> 00:21:20,960
Speaker 1: I just showed you what I think about LSU. Now,

446
00:21:21,119 --> 00:21:23,800
Speaker 1: I think we're getting exactly what should have been expected

447
00:21:23,800 --> 00:21:25,919
Speaker 1: this year. And that's coming from me, one of the

448
00:21:25,920 --> 00:21:29,600
Speaker 1: biggest believers on this planet in Brian Kelly. So that

449
00:21:29,760 --> 00:21:32,440
Speaker 1: was July thirtieth. Now we're in week two and they're

450
00:21:32,440 --> 00:21:35,000
Speaker 1: already h to one. They've got Southern coming to town Saturday.

451
00:21:35,160 --> 00:21:37,160
Speaker 1: They're gonna lose that halftime show. I think they're gonna

452
00:21:37,160 --> 00:21:40,000
Speaker 1: win the football game. It wasn't a matter of what

453
00:21:40,200 --> 00:21:43,560
Speaker 1: it happened. This was gonna happen. To be very very clear,

454
00:21:44,119 --> 00:21:48,680
Speaker 1: you cannot fire a head coach because of massive cultural

455
00:21:48,880 --> 00:21:52,639
Speaker 1: rot but keep a lot of the pieces in the

456
00:21:52,680 --> 00:21:55,240
Speaker 1: locker room and just hire a new coach and get

457
00:21:55,240 --> 00:22:00,119
Speaker 1: a blank slate. This is not a preview magazine. It's

458
00:22:00,160 --> 00:22:03,440
Speaker 1: not Xbox. This is the real world. This is how

459
00:22:03,520 --> 00:22:06,679
Speaker 1: real world culture changes happen. You've seen it happen in

460
00:22:06,720 --> 00:22:09,960
Speaker 1: your office before. You've seen it happen in your school before.

461
00:22:10,320 --> 00:22:12,800
Speaker 1: Why would you think football is any different. Why would

462
00:22:12,800 --> 00:22:15,480
Speaker 1: you think of locker rooms any different. Here's what I

463
00:22:15,480 --> 00:22:17,320
Speaker 1: want to address. And there are some folks out there

464
00:22:17,359 --> 00:22:19,880
Speaker 1: who I love in this space, who I think are

465
00:22:19,880 --> 00:22:23,760
Speaker 1: just wrong on this. The LSU culture is not crumbling, guys.

466
00:22:24,160 --> 00:22:26,840
Speaker 1: The LSU culture crumbled a year ago. That's why they

467
00:22:26,920 --> 00:22:29,360
Speaker 1: cleaned house, That's why they fired everyone. That's why this guy,

468
00:22:29,440 --> 00:22:33,040
Speaker 1: Brian Kelly is here now. So to those who think

469
00:22:33,080 --> 00:22:36,080
Speaker 1: that this was all going to go swimmingly, why did

470
00:22:36,080 --> 00:22:39,399
Speaker 1: you ever think that? I genuinely want to ask for

471
00:22:39,480 --> 00:22:42,200
Speaker 1: people's shop, that they lost the game the other night

472
00:22:42,560 --> 00:22:44,959
Speaker 1: and that there are some internal issues now and you've

473
00:22:45,000 --> 00:22:47,000
Speaker 1: got some folks trying to bail on them, or seemingly

474
00:22:47,040 --> 00:22:49,800
Speaker 1: trying to bail on them. Why does that surprise you?

475
00:22:49,840 --> 00:22:51,640
Speaker 1: If you've watched this sport for any length of time

476
00:22:51,720 --> 00:22:54,479
Speaker 1: or you've been around competition, why does that surprise you?

477
00:22:54,920 --> 00:22:57,720
Speaker 1: And follow up question, because those of you who believe

478
00:22:57,760 --> 00:23:01,680
Speaker 1: that probably also believe this, Why don't you think Brian

479
00:23:01,760 --> 00:23:04,280
Speaker 1: Kelly can get the job done? Not this week or

480
00:23:04,280 --> 00:23:06,320
Speaker 1: two weeks. It's not an overnight fix. It never was

481
00:23:06,359 --> 00:23:08,639
Speaker 1: going to be that. Why don't you think he can

482
00:23:08,680 --> 00:23:11,120
Speaker 1: get the job done? Or to put it another way,

483
00:23:11,520 --> 00:23:16,440
Speaker 1: what qualifications does turning this program around demand that Brian

484
00:23:16,560 --> 00:23:20,280
Speaker 1: Kelly doesn't have. He's not some new coordinator that you

485
00:23:20,320 --> 00:23:23,440
Speaker 1: hired out of nowhere. Oregon just hired Dan Lanning, okay,

486
00:23:23,440 --> 00:23:26,480
Speaker 1: And the first test drive that they took with him

487
00:23:26,520 --> 00:23:28,800
Speaker 1: was a forty nine to three beat down. I happen

488
00:23:28,840 --> 00:23:30,880
Speaker 1: to think Dan Lanning's going to be fine, but if

489
00:23:30,880 --> 00:23:33,400
Speaker 1: you wanted to question him, that'd be okay. He's never

490
00:23:33,440 --> 00:23:35,760
Speaker 1: been a head coach before. Brian Kelly's been a head

491
00:23:35,800 --> 00:23:39,680
Speaker 1: coach older than some wells. Maybe I have decent clips,

492
00:23:39,720 --> 00:23:41,639
Speaker 1: so let me say it right. Brian Kelly's been a

493
00:23:41,640 --> 00:23:43,760
Speaker 1: head coach longer than some of the people who are

494
00:23:43,760 --> 00:23:47,199
Speaker 1: criticizing him have been alive. And he's been winning longer

495
00:23:47,240 --> 00:23:49,520
Speaker 1: than a lot of you who criticize him have been alive.

496
00:23:50,000 --> 00:23:53,200
Speaker 1: This is how rebuilds happen. Fortunately it's not a classical

497
00:23:53,200 --> 00:23:56,399
Speaker 1: rebuild there because they've got some talent. But it doesn't

498
00:23:56,480 --> 00:23:59,240
Speaker 1: really matter if you've got talent if the talent's not

499
00:23:59,320 --> 00:24:02,119
Speaker 1: bought in. And that's why I said then in July,

500
00:24:02,400 --> 00:24:05,680
Speaker 1: and I'll reiterate now, you're gonna have to lose this year.

501
00:24:05,960 --> 00:24:08,119
Speaker 1: You're gonna have to lose some games. You're gonna have

502
00:24:08,119 --> 00:24:12,240
Speaker 1: to go through some very very down periods briefly to

503
00:24:12,400 --> 00:24:15,480
Speaker 1: expose the frauds in your locker room and to expose

504
00:24:15,560 --> 00:24:18,320
Speaker 1: the weak minded people that don't need to be there.

505
00:24:18,600 --> 00:24:21,800
Speaker 1: There are some really talented guys who you're gonna have

506
00:24:21,840 --> 00:24:24,720
Speaker 1: to rid yourself of. I'm not even singling anyone out

507
00:24:24,840 --> 00:24:27,760
Speaker 1: because I think we're talking about multiple guys, and so

508
00:24:27,840 --> 00:24:30,520
Speaker 1: that coaching staff, I think knows that. Brian Kelly knows that.

509
00:24:30,720 --> 00:24:32,760
Speaker 1: I think some of the more shrewd fans down there

510
00:24:32,840 --> 00:24:36,240
Speaker 1: know that this is not excuse making. They were bad

511
00:24:36,240 --> 00:24:39,360
Speaker 1: and multiple phases. The other night, Special teams was a disaster.

512
00:24:39,640 --> 00:24:44,080
Speaker 1: Offensive line had issues, tackling was bad. They couldn't stretch

513
00:24:44,119 --> 00:24:45,760
Speaker 1: the field through the air. So there are a lot

514
00:24:45,760 --> 00:24:48,880
Speaker 1: of facets of the football team that I don't think

515
00:24:48,960 --> 00:24:51,000
Speaker 1: were good enough and that I think they can improve on.

516
00:24:51,200 --> 00:24:53,359
Speaker 1: This year. This team could still have a good year,

517
00:24:53,600 --> 00:24:57,760
Speaker 1: but long term, there are some terminal issues that we're

518
00:24:57,920 --> 00:25:00,239
Speaker 1: never going to be able to be rectified. That's why

519
00:25:00,280 --> 00:25:02,520
Speaker 1: I picked them to go seven and five. Guys. I

520
00:25:02,640 --> 00:25:04,760
Speaker 1: know what kind of talent they have. I also know

521
00:25:04,800 --> 00:25:07,199
Speaker 1: it doesn't really matter what kind of talent you have,

522
00:25:07,600 --> 00:25:10,919
Speaker 1: and talent level has become one of the most overrated

523
00:25:10,920 --> 00:25:14,040
Speaker 1: talking points in our industry, in the talking for a

524
00:25:14,080 --> 00:25:17,679
Speaker 1: living industry, because talent is a starting point. It's not

525
00:25:17,720 --> 00:25:20,520
Speaker 1: the finish line. That's not what wins every game. You

526
00:25:20,640 --> 00:25:22,640
Speaker 1: need it to win, but it's not a guarantee you're

527
00:25:22,640 --> 00:25:26,640
Speaker 1: gonna do anything. So LSU right now, where are they at?

528
00:25:27,080 --> 00:25:29,000
Speaker 1: You feel like you've been through an entire season worth

529
00:25:29,000 --> 00:25:31,280
Speaker 1: of emotions with them. They're zero to one, that's where

530
00:25:31,280 --> 00:25:33,760
Speaker 1: they are, and they've got a couple of games now.

531
00:25:33,800 --> 00:25:36,080
Speaker 1: I think Southern colin can you throw their schedule? Yeah,

532
00:25:36,119 --> 00:25:38,040
Speaker 1: so Southern Mississippi State at home is going to be

533
00:25:38,040 --> 00:25:40,440
Speaker 1: a very tough game for them. We would favor in

534
00:25:40,440 --> 00:25:43,920
Speaker 1: Mississippi State at LSU right now, close, but we would

535
00:25:43,920 --> 00:25:46,560
Speaker 1: favor them. There is no lay up here. Then they

536
00:25:46,560 --> 00:25:48,720
Speaker 1: got New Mexico that is a layup. Then they go

537
00:25:48,760 --> 00:25:51,520
Speaker 1: to Auburn, they dive into that really really treacherous long

538
00:25:51,600 --> 00:25:55,199
Speaker 1: stretch of SEC play. It's going to be tough, but

539
00:25:55,280 --> 00:26:01,000
Speaker 1: it's necessary. It is necessary. So at least your shoulders

540
00:26:01,000 --> 00:26:03,840
Speaker 1: were grabbed early on and you got shaken and now

541
00:26:03,880 --> 00:26:07,600
Speaker 1: you're awake. I would just anyone who is bailing on

542
00:26:07,680 --> 00:26:09,800
Speaker 1: Brian Kelly as an LSU fan. If you're bailing on

543
00:26:09,840 --> 00:26:12,760
Speaker 1: Brian Kelly, I don't know what you guys expected. I

544
00:26:12,800 --> 00:26:15,840
Speaker 1: really don't knowing the mess you had last year, or

545
00:26:16,400 --> 00:26:19,040
Speaker 1: maybe you don't fully know the mess you had last year,

546
00:26:19,040 --> 00:26:21,919
Speaker 1: which is shocking because you watch every game. If you

547
00:26:22,000 --> 00:26:24,720
Speaker 1: don't know any better, maybe this surprised you. If you

548
00:26:24,920 --> 00:26:27,639
Speaker 1: know how sideways things got last year and you know

549
00:26:27,680 --> 00:26:30,240
Speaker 1: you can't clean that out overnight, this should not surprise you. Okay,

550
00:26:30,359 --> 00:26:32,720
Speaker 1: let's move on. LSU is not going to be featured

551
00:26:32,720 --> 00:26:36,400
Speaker 1: in this next segment. My MIC's a little crooked there.

552
00:26:37,160 --> 00:26:39,960
Speaker 1: Bring it out there we go. Do me a quick,

553
00:26:40,040 --> 00:26:42,840
Speaker 1: quick favor because I know Jesse's crying about it in

554
00:26:42,880 --> 00:26:44,679
Speaker 1: the chat that you guys don't really respect him enough

555
00:26:44,720 --> 00:26:47,640
Speaker 1: because you don't know if he's real. I'm real. See

556
00:26:47,880 --> 00:26:50,399
Speaker 1: hear that. I'm real. Don't ask what that was. If

557
00:26:50,400 --> 00:26:52,720
Speaker 1: you're listening on pod. Do me a favor and like

558
00:26:52,800 --> 00:26:55,480
Speaker 1: the video. I mean, we got the spinny graphic over here,

559
00:26:55,560 --> 00:26:57,679
Speaker 1: so that made me happy. Please make me happy and

560
00:26:57,720 --> 00:27:00,880
Speaker 1: just liked the video. We had almost a thousand subscriptions

561
00:27:00,880 --> 00:27:04,399
Speaker 1: to the channel, the YouTube channel yesterday, So these are

562
00:27:04,400 --> 00:27:07,199
Speaker 1: the only two things I ask Jesse can get needy.

563
00:27:07,640 --> 00:27:10,040
Speaker 1: I just need three things. A white T shirt. I

564
00:27:10,040 --> 00:27:11,760
Speaker 1: can take care of that myself. My mom sends me

565
00:27:11,800 --> 00:27:13,480
Speaker 1: a new one every other week. And then I need

566
00:27:13,520 --> 00:27:16,600
Speaker 1: you to subscribe to the channel and like these videos

567
00:27:16,920 --> 00:27:19,880
Speaker 1: and that's it. That and Academy keep the show free.

568
00:27:20,040 --> 00:27:22,400
Speaker 1: I appreciate it in advance. See there come the lights.

569
00:27:22,440 --> 00:27:25,800
Speaker 1: Thank you so much. JP Pole time. What is the

570
00:27:25,880 --> 00:27:28,560
Speaker 1: JP Pole? I have to remind you every week because

571
00:27:28,640 --> 00:27:30,720
Speaker 1: some of you the same ones over and over. Forget

572
00:27:30,720 --> 00:27:33,879
Speaker 1: every week the AP pole came out yesterday or today.

573
00:27:34,119 --> 00:27:36,800
Speaker 1: We don't care. We don't care. We don't care. We

574
00:27:36,840 --> 00:27:39,760
Speaker 1: don't rank teams on this show because we don't react

575
00:27:39,880 --> 00:27:42,720
Speaker 1: really on this show. We have our own proprietary model here.

576
00:27:43,480 --> 00:27:45,600
Speaker 1: And if you ever think I make a good point

577
00:27:45,640 --> 00:27:48,000
Speaker 1: on this show, it's probably just caused the model powered

578
00:27:48,000 --> 00:27:50,800
Speaker 1: the point. If I make a bad point, it's also

579
00:27:50,880 --> 00:27:52,439
Speaker 1: on the model, So you know, it's never really my

580
00:27:52,480 --> 00:27:55,480
Speaker 1: fault one way or the other. We do very much

581
00:27:55,520 --> 00:27:59,119
Speaker 1: an odds making Vegas style power pole power rating, and

582
00:27:59,280 --> 00:28:02,000
Speaker 1: so what we do is every Tuesday night on this show,

583
00:28:02,040 --> 00:28:04,000
Speaker 1: as long as people care about it, I will show

584
00:28:04,040 --> 00:28:05,800
Speaker 1: them to you. We don't take ten minutes on this,

585
00:28:05,920 --> 00:28:08,520
Speaker 1: but I'm going to show you. So this is updated

586
00:28:08,840 --> 00:28:10,840
Speaker 1: every games in the books. We're headed into week two.

587
00:28:11,320 --> 00:28:15,600
Speaker 1: This is strictly forward focused. It is predictive. It is

588
00:28:15,680 --> 00:28:20,800
Speaker 1: who we would favor against neutral field tomorrow. I'm gonna

589
00:28:20,800 --> 00:28:23,120
Speaker 1: go ahead and spoil something for you. We got Utah

590
00:28:23,160 --> 00:28:25,680
Speaker 1: ahead of Florida in this power rating right now. And

591
00:28:25,720 --> 00:28:29,119
Speaker 1: the reason and the only reason, kind of like odds makers,

592
00:28:29,560 --> 00:28:32,680
Speaker 1: is Utah would be favored narrowly against Florida on a

593
00:28:32,720 --> 00:28:35,000
Speaker 1: neutral field that they played today. And that's it. I

594
00:28:35,040 --> 00:28:36,679
Speaker 1: watched the game the other night. So anyway, we'll get

595
00:28:36,680 --> 00:28:39,040
Speaker 1: to that in a second. Let's start I think at

596
00:28:39,040 --> 00:28:40,640
Speaker 1: twenty five, Jesse, we're gonna start all the way down

597
00:28:40,680 --> 00:28:44,680
Speaker 1: at twenty five. Yeah, let's do it. Auburn is at

598
00:28:44,680 --> 00:28:47,280
Speaker 1: twenty five. I'm gonna read them for the podcast crowd.

599
00:28:47,320 --> 00:28:51,000
Speaker 1: Cincinnati lost to Arkansas, doesn't matter. They were impressive. We

600
00:28:51,040 --> 00:28:53,440
Speaker 1: bumped them up to twenty four. Ole Miss kind of

601
00:28:53,480 --> 00:28:56,200
Speaker 1: in the same spot, Kentucky in the same spot. Oklahoma

602
00:28:56,240 --> 00:29:00,760
Speaker 1: State defensively, My guess is the modellest punish them for

603
00:29:00,800 --> 00:29:02,560
Speaker 1: giving up a lot of points to Central Michigan. So

604
00:29:02,560 --> 00:29:05,720
Speaker 1: Oklahoma State is twenty one. Let's head into the top twenty.

605
00:29:06,000 --> 00:29:09,160
Speaker 1: It's going to get really really narrow here. To tell

606
00:29:09,160 --> 00:29:11,440
Speaker 1: you how narrow this is, I'm probably going to repeat

607
00:29:11,440 --> 00:29:14,680
Speaker 1: this stat a couple of times. The gap between my

608
00:29:14,920 --> 00:29:18,800
Speaker 1: tenth rated team and the twenty fourth rated team is

609
00:29:18,960 --> 00:29:22,440
Speaker 1: three point eight points. So if you have any complaints

610
00:29:22,640 --> 00:29:25,640
Speaker 1: that someone's rated nineteenth and someone's rated fourteenth, it doesn't matter.

611
00:29:25,680 --> 00:29:28,200
Speaker 1: They're all the same. There's just this great big rubber

612
00:29:28,240 --> 00:29:31,800
Speaker 1: band ball and they're fourteen teams separated by three point

613
00:29:31,880 --> 00:29:35,000
Speaker 1: eight points. Okay, with that caveat out there, that will

614
00:29:35,040 --> 00:29:38,560
Speaker 1: be ignored, I can predict the comment section already. USC

615
00:29:39,080 --> 00:29:44,520
Speaker 1: is number twenty. Florida goes from being unrated to number nineteen.

616
00:29:44,840 --> 00:29:49,360
Speaker 1: Texas likewise went from being unrated to being number eighteen.

617
00:29:50,120 --> 00:29:52,640
Speaker 1: Big jumps, but it is week one to week two,

618
00:29:52,720 --> 00:29:55,320
Speaker 1: so presumably that's when the biggest jumps would happen. Check

619
00:29:55,360 --> 00:29:58,440
Speaker 1: out Mississippi State. According to the JP Pole, they're the

620
00:29:58,480 --> 00:30:01,719
Speaker 1: most underrated team in the country. Tippy State is at seventeen,

621
00:30:02,200 --> 00:30:06,080
Speaker 1: Michigan State is at sixteen. And because all these teams

622
00:30:06,080 --> 00:30:08,280
Speaker 1: look to have climbed, there have to be some teams

623
00:30:08,280 --> 00:30:11,560
Speaker 1: that fell. You just saw them. Let's go top fifteen here.

624
00:30:11,960 --> 00:30:15,000
Speaker 1: It's really saucy. Baylor's down a couple of spots. Penn

625
00:30:15,040 --> 00:30:17,320
Speaker 1: State I was looking at this, Penn State didn't really

626
00:30:17,960 --> 00:30:20,360
Speaker 1: drop all that much. I mean, I think we dropped

627
00:30:20,360 --> 00:30:23,800
Speaker 1: them three quarters of a point, but that was enough

628
00:30:24,080 --> 00:30:26,400
Speaker 1: given how crowded the picture is. Right now, to take

629
00:30:26,400 --> 00:30:29,640
Speaker 1: the Niitney Lions from tenth to fourteenth, it's all the same.

630
00:30:29,720 --> 00:30:32,840
Speaker 1: Like I told you, Wisconsin down a couple spots, thirteen,

631
00:30:33,160 --> 00:30:37,000
Speaker 1: Tennessee's up three. They're at number twelve. Notre Dame lost

632
00:30:37,320 --> 00:30:41,600
Speaker 1: to Ohio State but climbed three spots. So the model

633
00:30:41,640 --> 00:30:43,840
Speaker 1: actually said maybe fourteen was a little too low for

634
00:30:43,880 --> 00:30:46,160
Speaker 1: Notre Dame, so it bumped it up to eleven. Bumped

635
00:30:46,200 --> 00:30:48,360
Speaker 1: them up to eleven. Here we go top ten times.

636
00:30:48,640 --> 00:30:50,520
Speaker 1: We can't afford the drum roll. We invested all our

637
00:30:50,520 --> 00:30:53,080
Speaker 1: money in the spending graphics. So the number ten team

638
00:30:53,120 --> 00:30:56,880
Speaker 1: in the country, which I have to be real with you,

639
00:30:57,360 --> 00:30:59,440
Speaker 1: I'm still in the remains to be seen camp on

640
00:31:00,160 --> 00:31:05,120
Speaker 1: Miami and UTA's number nine models dropped them one spot.

641
00:31:05,640 --> 00:31:08,640
Speaker 1: They lost narrowly on the road. It was a narrow

642
00:31:08,640 --> 00:31:11,920
Speaker 1: point spread. There is a huge knee jerk reaction in

643
00:31:11,960 --> 00:31:14,760
Speaker 1: the market because of obviously someone getting a win someone

644
00:31:14,800 --> 00:31:18,720
Speaker 1: getting a loss. I know this is gonna sound crazy

645
00:31:18,760 --> 00:31:22,280
Speaker 1: and counterintuitive in the odds making world, in the power

646
00:31:22,360 --> 00:31:25,680
Speaker 1: rating world, that number zero. You know, if you win

647
00:31:25,800 --> 00:31:28,280
Speaker 1: twenty one to nineteen, you beat me by two points

648
00:31:28,280 --> 00:31:30,920
Speaker 1: and we cross a zero there, it doesn't matter. It's

649
00:31:30,960 --> 00:31:33,680
Speaker 1: just a two point difference. Someone got a win in

650
00:31:33,720 --> 00:31:35,360
Speaker 1: the real world and someone got a loss in the

651
00:31:35,360 --> 00:31:38,280
Speaker 1: real world. If you're trying to build a predictive model,

652
00:31:38,560 --> 00:31:41,680
Speaker 1: stuff doesn't matter, and it pays off for you moving

653
00:31:41,680 --> 00:31:45,120
Speaker 1: forward because it removes the emotion and the distraction of

654
00:31:45,200 --> 00:31:48,440
Speaker 1: wins and losses. Yes, in this world, those are distractions.

655
00:31:48,920 --> 00:31:52,360
Speaker 1: UTA's number nine, Arkansas's number eight. Now we're getting into

656
00:31:52,440 --> 00:31:55,840
Speaker 1: territory where there are tiers. Here there is a fall off,

657
00:31:55,880 --> 00:31:59,000
Speaker 1: a little fall off between our number seventeen, which is Oklahoma,

658
00:31:59,360 --> 00:32:02,480
Speaker 1: and umber eight through twenty four. I told you there's

659
00:32:02,520 --> 00:32:06,400
Speaker 1: a gap of three point eight points between number eight

660
00:32:06,440 --> 00:32:08,440
Speaker 1: and number twenty four. Well, then we get into a

661
00:32:08,480 --> 00:32:11,840
Speaker 1: little different tier here, Oklahoma seven, Texas A, and m six.

662
00:32:11,960 --> 00:32:14,120
Speaker 1: A lot of this is unchanged. We get into our

663
00:32:14,160 --> 00:32:17,560
Speaker 1: top five. Did anyone change? I think we had one switch. Yeah,

664
00:32:17,680 --> 00:32:20,760
Speaker 1: so Clemson is still fifth, Michigan, we're really high on them.

665
00:32:20,760 --> 00:32:23,360
Speaker 1: They're still fourth. Ohio State and Georgia kind of like

666
00:32:23,360 --> 00:32:26,400
Speaker 1: the AP. I think they switched. So Ohio State is

667
00:32:26,480 --> 00:32:29,480
Speaker 1: number three. Georgia's up there at number two. I think

668
00:32:29,560 --> 00:32:32,280
Speaker 1: we've still got Alabama about four and a half points

669
00:32:32,400 --> 00:32:35,080
Speaker 1: separate of Georgia at number one. So that just means

670
00:32:35,080 --> 00:32:37,440
Speaker 1: that they played in Atlanta today, you're looking at Bama

671
00:32:37,480 --> 00:32:39,520
Speaker 1: minus about four to four and a half according to

672
00:32:39,560 --> 00:32:42,160
Speaker 1: our model. Okay, so the couple of things that I

673
00:32:42,160 --> 00:32:45,320
Speaker 1: want to point out here Notre Dame. True enough, they

674
00:32:45,400 --> 00:32:48,360
Speaker 1: lost and they climbed. Notre Dame's limitations obviously going to

675
00:32:48,400 --> 00:32:51,200
Speaker 1: be offense. Notre Dame's got several more games They're going

676
00:32:51,280 --> 00:32:55,560
Speaker 1: to play against reputable competition. My hunch is that there

677
00:32:55,640 --> 00:32:58,360
Speaker 1: is a level of team like Ohio State that they

678
00:32:58,360 --> 00:33:00,719
Speaker 1: don't meet the freeze point against. But then there are

679
00:33:00,760 --> 00:33:03,320
Speaker 1: some other teams out there where I think offensively they'll

680
00:33:03,400 --> 00:33:04,760
Speaker 1: end up being a lot better than they were the

681
00:33:04,800 --> 00:33:07,280
Speaker 1: other night in Mississippi State, We've got him as the

682
00:33:07,320 --> 00:33:10,720
Speaker 1: most underrated team in the country. Cincinnati rose one spot.

683
00:33:10,760 --> 00:33:12,520
Speaker 1: Like I told you, even though they lost a game,

684
00:33:12,840 --> 00:33:17,040
Speaker 1: the model still loves Clemson. And not every team that

685
00:33:17,080 --> 00:33:20,880
Speaker 1: you saw fall actually fell. Some of them kept the

686
00:33:20,920 --> 00:33:23,400
Speaker 1: exact same power rating or almost the same power rating.

687
00:33:23,640 --> 00:33:26,560
Speaker 1: They just had to fall by default because some other

688
00:33:26,600 --> 00:33:29,960
Speaker 1: team rose above them. It's kind of like recruiting. Sometimes

689
00:33:30,080 --> 00:33:33,240
Speaker 1: kids ranked thirty eight, then he's ranked forty fifth and

690
00:33:33,320 --> 00:33:35,840
Speaker 1: mom wants to know why he fell seven spots. Well

691
00:33:35,840 --> 00:33:39,080
Speaker 1: he didn't. Seven kids got rated above him, so his

692
00:33:39,200 --> 00:33:43,040
Speaker 1: ratings stayed the same, but he fell anyway, Utah still

693
00:33:43,040 --> 00:33:45,160
Speaker 1: ten spots above Florida. You can either look at it

694
00:33:45,160 --> 00:33:47,600
Speaker 1: that way or you can look at it this way.

695
00:33:47,640 --> 00:33:50,520
Speaker 1: We would have Utah minus one point eight five points

696
00:33:50,520 --> 00:33:52,840
Speaker 1: on a neutral field today. In other words, they're the

697
00:33:52,920 --> 00:33:55,000
Speaker 1: same team. They're rated the same team. Right now. I mean,

698
00:33:55,040 --> 00:33:58,600
Speaker 1: I'm going to get so much pushed back from people

699
00:33:58,640 --> 00:34:01,200
Speaker 1: who don't watch the segment on that cluster of teams

700
00:34:01,240 --> 00:34:03,720
Speaker 1: eight through twenty four, and it's just not worth arguing about.

701
00:34:03,760 --> 00:34:05,920
Speaker 1: It's week two. If you just want me to save

702
00:34:05,960 --> 00:34:08,280
Speaker 1: you time and say, yeah, we're probably wrong, I'll probably

703
00:34:08,280 --> 00:34:10,120
Speaker 1: just end up saying that. So that is the JP

704
00:34:10,280 --> 00:34:13,160
Speaker 1: Pole week two. Looking very forward to seeing how that

705
00:34:13,160 --> 00:34:16,160
Speaker 1: thing gets shaken up over the coming weeks. All right,

706
00:34:16,320 --> 00:34:18,560
Speaker 1: it's time to predict some games. Now. This is a

707
00:34:18,600 --> 00:34:21,920
Speaker 1: Tuesday night staple. Let me straighten that out again. Tuesday

708
00:34:22,000 --> 00:34:24,719
Speaker 1: night is normally prediction night for us. It's just that

709
00:34:24,760 --> 00:34:27,399
Speaker 1: week one is so thrown into a blender because we've

710
00:34:27,400 --> 00:34:29,600
Speaker 1: got games all the way through Monday, that we're having

711
00:34:29,600 --> 00:34:34,359
Speaker 1: to do everything tonight. Thus the Unicorn Show. Here we go,

712
00:34:34,840 --> 00:34:40,960
Speaker 1: Alabama at Texas Saturday noon, eastern kickoff, big noon kickoff,

713
00:34:41,280 --> 00:34:44,800
Speaker 1: ninety six degrees and sunny there in Austin. We will

714
00:34:44,840 --> 00:34:48,439
Speaker 1: be there the every given Saturday tour will be at

715
00:34:48,560 --> 00:34:53,560
Speaker 1: d k R there in Austin, Texas. I found a stat. Well,

716
00:34:53,840 --> 00:34:56,480
Speaker 1: let me rephrase stat's an info found a stat and

717
00:34:56,480 --> 00:34:59,440
Speaker 1: they passed it on to me. Did you know Bama's

718
00:34:59,480 --> 00:35:03,160
Speaker 1: won fifth three straight non conference games? You probably didn't

719
00:35:03,160 --> 00:35:05,520
Speaker 1: know the exact number. You know, they've been pretty successful.

720
00:35:06,480 --> 00:35:10,840
Speaker 1: Which trivia time? Which team was the last one to

721
00:35:10,840 --> 00:35:14,240
Speaker 1: beat them in an out of conference regular season matchup?

722
00:35:15,120 --> 00:35:20,160
Speaker 1: Jeopardy music, Jeopardy music, Jeopardy Music? Exactly, it was Louisiana Monroe.

723
00:35:20,600 --> 00:35:22,879
Speaker 1: I kid you not. That's the last time they lost

724
00:35:22,920 --> 00:35:25,400
Speaker 1: an out of conference game was two thousand and seven,

725
00:35:25,600 --> 00:35:28,080
Speaker 1: and that was Nick Saban's first year. That was a

726
00:35:28,080 --> 00:35:31,160
Speaker 1: memorable day. This one may be too for opposite reasons.

727
00:35:31,520 --> 00:35:35,920
Speaker 1: Steve Sarkisian has been accused of downplaying the magnitude of

728
00:35:35,920 --> 00:35:39,160
Speaker 1: this game because he dared to say something factual, and

729
00:35:39,200 --> 00:35:41,440
Speaker 1: that is our goal is to win the Big twelve.

730
00:35:41,560 --> 00:35:45,120
Speaker 1: This game doesn't matter in that context. Well, that is

731
00:35:45,160 --> 00:35:48,520
Speaker 1: of course reality, and it is of course reality that

732
00:35:48,560 --> 00:35:51,880
Speaker 1: there's an entire group of people out there who I

733
00:35:51,880 --> 00:35:55,239
Speaker 1: don't think like Steve Sarkisian very much. He's right about that.

734
00:35:55,520 --> 00:35:57,959
Speaker 1: He's not downplaying anything. Even if you think he's trying

735
00:35:57,960 --> 00:36:00,520
Speaker 1: to downplay something, He'm not downplaying anything. This is a

736
00:36:00,680 --> 00:36:03,400
Speaker 1: massive game for Texas. It's a massive game for him

737
00:36:03,680 --> 00:36:06,400
Speaker 1: as a coach. It's a massive game for the program.

738
00:36:06,400 --> 00:36:09,560
Speaker 1: It's huge for recruiting, it's huge for the fan base.

739
00:36:09,600 --> 00:36:11,160
Speaker 1: They've been looking forward to this thing for like three

740
00:36:11,200 --> 00:36:13,920
Speaker 1: or four years. How would they pull it off? You know,

741
00:36:14,120 --> 00:36:16,319
Speaker 1: we do the whole in these big point spread games.

742
00:36:16,320 --> 00:36:20,080
Speaker 1: How would the upset happen? Precision and yards after catch.

743
00:36:20,440 --> 00:36:22,640
Speaker 1: I don't think anyone on that Texas staff thinks that

744
00:36:22,840 --> 00:36:25,000
Speaker 1: quinn Ewers is about to have all day to sit

745
00:36:25,080 --> 00:36:27,560
Speaker 1: back in the pocket and pick Alabama apart. I don't

746
00:36:27,600 --> 00:36:29,560
Speaker 1: think they believe they're going to have much time to

747
00:36:29,600 --> 00:36:32,480
Speaker 1: stretch the field five to seven step drop. Let's let

748
00:36:32,520 --> 00:36:36,759
Speaker 1: those long, developing routes for him down the field. No, no, no,

749
00:36:37,120 --> 00:36:40,160
Speaker 1: You've got an ultra green offensive line, You've got an

750
00:36:40,280 --> 00:36:43,560
Speaker 1: ultra green starting quarterback. You've got the most ferocious pass

751
00:36:43,640 --> 00:36:46,480
Speaker 1: rush any of these kids will see this year or

752
00:36:46,520 --> 00:36:50,040
Speaker 1: perhaps in their college careers. You've got to have poise,

753
00:36:50,440 --> 00:36:53,360
Speaker 1: you've got to have precision, accuracy, and you've got to

754
00:36:53,400 --> 00:36:55,440
Speaker 1: have yards after catch. I don't think you're going to

755
00:36:55,480 --> 00:36:58,080
Speaker 1: get it strictly through the air. Luckily, Texas does have

756
00:36:58,200 --> 00:37:01,319
Speaker 1: enough athletes to where you can get them hopefully in

757
00:37:01,440 --> 00:37:05,040
Speaker 1: enough space, quick timing, quick rhythm. You saw Sart do

758
00:37:05,080 --> 00:37:07,440
Speaker 1: it a lot at Alabama, and then they make it

759
00:37:07,480 --> 00:37:10,440
Speaker 1: happen after the catch. That's one thing that if it

760
00:37:10,520 --> 00:37:14,120
Speaker 1: consistently were to happen all afternoon, would obviously give Texas

761
00:37:14,160 --> 00:37:17,160
Speaker 1: a shot in the fourth quarter. The second thing which

762
00:37:17,200 --> 00:37:20,160
Speaker 1: I think everyone realizes has to happen is Xavier Worthy

763
00:37:20,640 --> 00:37:23,960
Speaker 1: has to essentially be for Texas this Saturday what Davante

764
00:37:24,000 --> 00:37:29,640
Speaker 1: Smith was for Alabama. Steve Sarkisian masterfully utilized Davante Smith

765
00:37:30,200 --> 00:37:32,160
Speaker 1: when they played when they played Ohio State in the

766
00:37:32,239 --> 00:37:35,160
Speaker 1: National title game, which you guys remember DeVante Smith, He's

767
00:37:35,160 --> 00:37:37,680
Speaker 1: already won the highest than he just goes off and

768
00:37:37,840 --> 00:37:41,040
Speaker 1: it was really really sad to watch if you were

769
00:37:41,040 --> 00:37:43,919
Speaker 1: a Buckeye fan, partly cause a scheme and partly cause

770
00:37:43,960 --> 00:37:45,600
Speaker 1: he's just such a good athlete, you really had no

771
00:37:45,600 --> 00:37:49,120
Speaker 1: shot against him. He needed some ridiculous number like twenty

772
00:37:49,160 --> 00:37:52,359
Speaker 1: catches to set the all time single season record. No

773
00:37:52,400 --> 00:37:55,279
Speaker 1: one catches twenty passes in the game, and he had

774
00:37:55,320 --> 00:37:57,799
Speaker 1: twelve at the half with over two hundred yards and

775
00:37:57,960 --> 00:38:00,600
Speaker 1: got hurt, so it is out the second half. I

776
00:38:00,600 --> 00:38:03,400
Speaker 1: think they could have gotten him the record. They utilized

777
00:38:03,480 --> 00:38:07,480
Speaker 1: him every which way imaginable. Steve Sarkisan Saturday has to

778
00:38:08,080 --> 00:38:11,400
Speaker 1: you got to utilize Xavier Worthy every which way imaginable.

779
00:38:11,719 --> 00:38:15,520
Speaker 1: Fifteen touches in an ideal world. Plus, it's what I

780
00:38:15,520 --> 00:38:18,040
Speaker 1: would love to see Xavier Worthy have. And that's not

781
00:38:18,080 --> 00:38:20,440
Speaker 1: always a quick six to seven yard slant either. You

782
00:38:20,480 --> 00:38:22,920
Speaker 1: can do that all different kinds of ways. Worthy's got

783
00:38:22,960 --> 00:38:24,399
Speaker 1: to touch the ball, and touch the ball a lot. Now,

784
00:38:24,480 --> 00:38:27,480
Speaker 1: that's no guarantee of success. You can rest assured. Alabama

785
00:38:27,560 --> 00:38:30,600
Speaker 1: keys on that. But the thing about really good athletes

786
00:38:30,680 --> 00:38:34,600
Speaker 1: is the best of the best can make you keying

787
00:38:34,680 --> 00:38:36,880
Speaker 1: on them. Still be kind of irrelevant. They can just

788
00:38:36,960 --> 00:38:40,080
Speaker 1: make plays. They call him playmakers for a reason. Also,

789
00:38:41,320 --> 00:38:43,640
Speaker 1: we haven't seen Alabama go on the road yet this year.

790
00:38:43,680 --> 00:38:47,960
Speaker 1: It's an early season and so fresh in everyone's mind

791
00:38:48,120 --> 00:38:51,080
Speaker 1: is probably their narrow win in the Iron Bowl on

792
00:38:51,120 --> 00:38:53,000
Speaker 1: the road at Auburn, and their loss on the road

793
00:38:53,040 --> 00:38:55,239
Speaker 1: at Texas A and M. And their struggle win on

794
00:38:55,280 --> 00:38:59,160
Speaker 1: the road early against Florida. The road impacted Alabama last year.

795
00:38:59,400 --> 00:39:01,360
Speaker 1: This is not like last year's team. I know that.

796
00:39:02,040 --> 00:39:04,279
Speaker 1: Bear with me. We're trying to paint the path how

797
00:39:04,280 --> 00:39:06,799
Speaker 1: the upset could happen if they get on the road

798
00:39:06,960 --> 00:39:09,440
Speaker 1: and they look a little rattle, and offense isn't exactly

799
00:39:09,480 --> 00:39:12,040
Speaker 1: in rhythm and the new pieces on that offensive line

800
00:39:12,040 --> 00:39:17,000
Speaker 1: aren't exactly in sync. Yes, I suppose along with suspect

801
00:39:17,080 --> 00:39:19,439
Speaker 1: blocking at tight end right now for them, I could

802
00:39:19,480 --> 00:39:24,160
Speaker 1: see it. Okay, not out of the question, Maybe not likely,

803
00:39:24,200 --> 00:39:27,200
Speaker 1: but not out of the question. However, this is where

804
00:39:27,239 --> 00:39:29,480
Speaker 1: things kind of go downhill. There is no way to

805
00:39:29,520 --> 00:39:33,520
Speaker 1: sugarcode how lopsided. This matchup is going to be long

806
00:39:33,600 --> 00:39:36,839
Speaker 1: line of scrimmage. This Bama pass rush is the best

807
00:39:36,880 --> 00:39:39,720
Speaker 1: saving has had. It's the best. Texas full of Seene,

808
00:39:40,120 --> 00:39:44,360
Speaker 1: ultra young, an ultra inexperienced on the offensive line. Likewise,

809
00:39:44,400 --> 00:39:48,080
Speaker 1: at quarterback. The risk level that they're going to have

810
00:39:48,160 --> 00:39:51,360
Speaker 1: to incur at Texas to sustain for four quarters and

811
00:39:51,440 --> 00:39:54,480
Speaker 1: match Bama for four quarters, I don't see any way

812
00:39:54,480 --> 00:39:57,640
Speaker 1: of paying off. And by that I mean you cannot

813
00:39:57,840 --> 00:40:00,960
Speaker 1: go in their Saturday and thinking we'll hold Alabama to

814
00:40:01,000 --> 00:40:04,240
Speaker 1: twenty four. That's not reasonable. If you do it, hats

815
00:40:04,239 --> 00:40:06,880
Speaker 1: off to you. It's not reasonable. You probably walk in

816
00:40:07,000 --> 00:40:10,359
Speaker 1: knowing we need thirty five or more to think we're

817
00:40:10,400 --> 00:40:13,560
Speaker 1: gonna win this game. Our starting point is thirty five,

818
00:40:14,560 --> 00:40:16,640
Speaker 1: and to do that, it means you need to sustain

819
00:40:16,719 --> 00:40:19,080
Speaker 1: some drives. Unless you're gonna get twenty one defensive points

820
00:40:19,080 --> 00:40:21,560
Speaker 1: out of nowhere, You're gonna have to sustain some drives,

821
00:40:22,160 --> 00:40:24,760
Speaker 1: and that means taking risk a lot of it because

822
00:40:24,760 --> 00:40:26,520
Speaker 1: you're not gonna have a lot of time to operate.

823
00:40:26,920 --> 00:40:30,360
Speaker 1: And unless Bejon Robinson in that run game really finds

824
00:40:30,400 --> 00:40:35,600
Speaker 1: some traffic inside against Alabama, which I guess could happen,

825
00:40:35,840 --> 00:40:38,440
Speaker 1: unless you're starting to pound away unexpectedly on the ground,

826
00:40:38,600 --> 00:40:40,800
Speaker 1: you got to take some risks, and you got to

827
00:40:40,800 --> 00:40:44,040
Speaker 1: make several of those. Steven Garcia throws. The Alabama fans

828
00:40:44,320 --> 00:40:47,759
Speaker 1: love to have nightmares so much about thirteen years ago. Now,

829
00:40:47,800 --> 00:40:52,880
Speaker 1: twelve years ago, now, I can't see that formula playing

830
00:40:52,920 --> 00:40:56,120
Speaker 1: out and Texas having a goose egg in the turnover column.

831
00:40:56,160 --> 00:40:58,160
Speaker 1: It's what I'm telling you. They could do it. I mean,

832
00:40:58,200 --> 00:41:00,480
Speaker 1: they could do it all afternoon. I just think turnovers

833
00:41:00,520 --> 00:41:03,439
Speaker 1: are inevitable there. So I think they need thirty five

834
00:41:03,520 --> 00:41:05,880
Speaker 1: or more hold Bama to thirty four or less. I

835
00:41:05,880 --> 00:41:09,439
Speaker 1: think that's what the blueprint is. I do believe though,

836
00:41:09,480 --> 00:41:12,520
Speaker 1: now we will learn a lot about this Texas defense Saturday,

837
00:41:12,719 --> 00:41:16,600
Speaker 1: because there was a lot of encouraging signs Saturday, and

838
00:41:16,680 --> 00:41:19,040
Speaker 1: there were a lot of encouraging signs throughout fall camp

839
00:41:19,400 --> 00:41:22,839
Speaker 1: that they have taken a pretty sizable step. Two things

840
00:41:22,840 --> 00:41:26,240
Speaker 1: can be true. They can have taken a sizeable step

841
00:41:26,280 --> 00:41:29,360
Speaker 1: defensively and still not be good enough to at Alabama.

842
00:41:29,400 --> 00:41:31,399
Speaker 1: The whole freeze point theory, in other words, I think

843
00:41:31,520 --> 00:41:33,200
Speaker 1: is going to be an effect Saturday. Let's take a

844
00:41:33,200 --> 00:41:35,080
Speaker 1: look at what the model thinks. Let's take a look

845
00:41:35,080 --> 00:41:38,120
Speaker 1: at what the odds makers think this one was. You know,

846
00:41:38,120 --> 00:41:40,840
Speaker 1: it's weird because in the summer it was two touchdowns

847
00:41:40,880 --> 00:41:44,080
Speaker 1: fifteen sixteen. This as of today or as of tonight,

848
00:41:44,120 --> 00:41:48,080
Speaker 1: is Alabama minus twenty at Caesar's. Our model has Alabama

849
00:41:48,120 --> 00:41:52,560
Speaker 1: minus nineteen. I gotta be real with you. I don't

850
00:41:52,560 --> 00:41:55,560
Speaker 1: think it's going to be as violently ugly as Georgia Oregon,

851
00:41:56,480 --> 00:42:00,319
Speaker 1: but it is a classic freeze point game. They're probably

852
00:42:00,360 --> 00:42:03,080
Speaker 1: two teams in America right now that fit the philosophy,

853
00:42:03,239 --> 00:42:06,640
Speaker 1: Georgia and Alabama, and the philosophy is when you get

854
00:42:06,640 --> 00:42:08,960
Speaker 1: their full attention. I'm not going to assure you Texas

855
00:42:08,960 --> 00:42:11,960
Speaker 1: has Alabama's this week. Believe me, I've talked to some

856
00:42:12,000 --> 00:42:15,240
Speaker 1: folks in the program. You got all of Alabama Saturday,

857
00:42:15,320 --> 00:42:18,480
Speaker 1: you got the a game. If you get that from them,

858
00:42:18,719 --> 00:42:21,160
Speaker 1: there are only a couple of teams that even meet

859
00:42:21,239 --> 00:42:23,000
Speaker 1: the freeze point, which means there are only a couple

860
00:42:23,040 --> 00:42:25,360
Speaker 1: of teams that can withstand that and have a puncher's

861
00:42:25,400 --> 00:42:28,440
Speaker 1: chance of beating them. I don't think Texas is one

862
00:42:28,480 --> 00:42:30,440
Speaker 1: of those teams. And the thing about a point spread

863
00:42:30,680 --> 00:42:34,040
Speaker 1: and trying to predict is in the college game, if

864
00:42:34,040 --> 00:42:37,640
Speaker 1: you get a minus or better play from an elite

865
00:42:37,680 --> 00:42:40,319
Speaker 1: team and you don't meet the freeze point, there's no

866
00:42:40,440 --> 00:42:42,839
Speaker 1: limit to how ugly the game can get. I think

867
00:42:42,840 --> 00:42:44,959
Speaker 1: the game is gonna get ugly Saturday. So I'm taking

868
00:42:45,000 --> 00:42:48,200
Speaker 1: Alabama to win. I'm taking Alabama to cover. We will

869
00:42:48,239 --> 00:42:51,120
Speaker 1: be there so if we're wrong, you won't have to

870
00:42:51,160 --> 00:42:52,960
Speaker 1: wait long. A couple of minutes after the game and

871
00:42:52,960 --> 00:42:55,240
Speaker 1: I'll be right there with my little CBS stick Mike saying,

872
00:42:55,800 --> 00:42:59,680
Speaker 1: why didn't I see this coming? I think it's coming though.

873
00:43:00,000 --> 00:43:04,080
Speaker 1: Think it's not going to be pretty Saturday. Let's go

874
00:43:04,160 --> 00:43:08,439
Speaker 1: to Tennessee at Pitt Direct. Colin been nervous all day,

875
00:43:08,600 --> 00:43:10,640
Speaker 1: and it's not because we had technical issues. It's because

876
00:43:10,640 --> 00:43:12,960
Speaker 1: Tennessee's going on the road at Pitt and they're a

877
00:43:13,000 --> 00:43:19,000
Speaker 1: touchdown favorite. Three thirty kickoff, ABC, all times Eastern. I

878
00:43:19,040 --> 00:43:21,719
Speaker 1: would like to offer before we even start the breakdown,

879
00:43:21,840 --> 00:43:25,120
Speaker 1: my eternal praise to teams like Tennessee and teams like Pitt.

880
00:43:25,400 --> 00:43:28,239
Speaker 1: Last week, team like Utah going on the road and

881
00:43:28,320 --> 00:43:30,879
Speaker 1: out of conference play. This is not one of those

882
00:43:31,000 --> 00:43:33,480
Speaker 1: ugly neutral site games that no one likes, no one

883
00:43:33,480 --> 00:43:36,600
Speaker 1: cares about unless your corporate sponsor. This is what college

884
00:43:36,600 --> 00:43:39,000
Speaker 1: football should look like, whether it's a conference game or not.

885
00:43:39,120 --> 00:43:41,560
Speaker 1: It should be in a home venue. Here goes Tennessee

886
00:43:41,640 --> 00:43:45,799
Speaker 1: on the road. Tennessee and Pitt both have preseason over

887
00:43:45,880 --> 00:43:47,839
Speaker 1: under win totals of eight and a half. They are

888
00:43:47,880 --> 00:43:50,439
Speaker 1: both one and oh. Tennessee had a little easier time

889
00:43:50,480 --> 00:43:52,359
Speaker 1: of it than Pitt in Week one, but they're both

890
00:43:52,520 --> 00:43:54,839
Speaker 1: one and oh. How do you label this game? It's

891
00:43:54,840 --> 00:43:58,640
Speaker 1: not a must win game, but it feels really really important,

892
00:43:58,719 --> 00:44:01,440
Speaker 1: especially to being out of conference game. I think the

893
00:44:01,440 --> 00:44:04,479
Speaker 1: most important player in this one is actually a pit player.

894
00:44:04,480 --> 00:44:07,920
Speaker 1: I think it's Keiden Slovas. A Slovas had a pretty

895
00:44:07,920 --> 00:44:09,879
Speaker 1: good game in Week one. It was a mixed bag

896
00:44:09,920 --> 00:44:13,480
Speaker 1: though they played West Virginia. That's a game that I

897
00:44:13,520 --> 00:44:16,239
Speaker 1: think a lot of you watched. He went for over

898
00:44:16,280 --> 00:44:19,200
Speaker 1: three hundred through the air. It's a really good number

899
00:44:19,280 --> 00:44:22,800
Speaker 1: in a debut performance for Keiden Slovas. But they started

900
00:44:22,880 --> 00:44:27,760
Speaker 1: really slow. I really fear if that happens again against Tennessee,

901
00:44:28,600 --> 00:44:32,360
Speaker 1: Tennessee can start very fast on you. And I don't

902
00:44:32,640 --> 00:44:35,880
Speaker 1: feel like seeing West Virginia in a fourteen or seventeen

903
00:44:35,880 --> 00:44:40,040
Speaker 1: to nothing hole because at that point, I not necessarily

904
00:44:40,120 --> 00:44:41,880
Speaker 1: no one wants to be in a seventeen nothing hole. Okay,

905
00:44:41,880 --> 00:44:44,319
Speaker 1: no one's favorable in a seventeen to nothing hole, But

906
00:44:44,400 --> 00:44:47,279
Speaker 1: I fully expect because of them trying to prevent that

907
00:44:47,680 --> 00:44:50,239
Speaker 1: and trying to prevent a duplicate of what happened last week.

908
00:44:50,280 --> 00:44:52,439
Speaker 1: Early on, I think they're going to take some shot

909
00:44:52,480 --> 00:44:56,080
Speaker 1: plays everyone thinks about Pat and arduze Nado. They'll just

910
00:44:56,120 --> 00:44:59,200
Speaker 1: play it underneath. They'll try and pound away if they can.

911
00:44:59,440 --> 00:45:01,919
Speaker 1: Not a great running effort last week, but they'll they'll

912
00:45:01,920 --> 00:45:04,200
Speaker 1: try and pound away at the can and they'll just

913
00:45:04,280 --> 00:45:07,799
Speaker 1: hit balls underneath and they'll sustain drives. I think they're

914
00:45:07,800 --> 00:45:10,880
Speaker 1: going to take some shots early. I think they understand

915
00:45:10,920 --> 00:45:13,279
Speaker 1: how much they need to loose in Tennessee defensively, which

916
00:45:13,320 --> 00:45:15,840
Speaker 1: they were never really able to do last week against

917
00:45:15,840 --> 00:45:20,279
Speaker 1: West Virginia. And for that reason, keep your eye on

918
00:45:20,360 --> 00:45:24,759
Speaker 1: that yards per carry stat first quarter, first half, keep

919
00:45:24,800 --> 00:45:26,799
Speaker 1: your eye on it for both teams. Cause Pitt last

920
00:45:26,840 --> 00:45:30,760
Speaker 1: week thirty nine carries for seventy six yards against West Virginia.

921
00:45:30,800 --> 00:45:33,959
Speaker 1: That's one point nine yards per carry. And if there's

922
00:45:34,160 --> 00:45:37,680
Speaker 1: one facet defensively Tennessee feels good about coming into this game,

923
00:45:38,360 --> 00:45:40,960
Speaker 1: it's run defense. They feel like they match up very

924
00:45:40,960 --> 00:45:44,040
Speaker 1: well there. They're solid, and I think if they start

925
00:45:44,080 --> 00:45:47,080
Speaker 1: to do that, and it's just standard pit run on

926
00:45:47,160 --> 00:45:49,919
Speaker 1: early downs, and let's get to second and five, let's

927
00:45:49,920 --> 00:45:51,520
Speaker 1: get to third and three, and then we'll pull whatever

928
00:45:51,520 --> 00:45:53,520
Speaker 1: we want to out of our bag. If it's that great,

929
00:45:53,560 --> 00:45:56,080
Speaker 1: If it's not that and if it's a critical amount

930
00:45:56,160 --> 00:45:59,160
Speaker 1: of third and seven or longer and you're putting Keidan

931
00:45:59,200 --> 00:46:01,919
Speaker 1: Slovas in consistent positions to have to bail you out,

932
00:46:02,080 --> 00:46:04,480
Speaker 1: it's not a recipe for success here. I think that's

933
00:46:04,520 --> 00:46:06,960
Speaker 1: a recipe for being minus two turnover a better. So

934
00:46:07,120 --> 00:46:11,160
Speaker 1: if I'm Tennessee, it goes one of two ways. It

935
00:46:11,280 --> 00:46:14,759
Speaker 1: either goes the way where Tennessee commits a lot of

936
00:46:14,800 --> 00:46:17,759
Speaker 1: mistakes that are forced by Pitt and we feel like

937
00:46:17,840 --> 00:46:21,680
Speaker 1: we give the game away and we lose, or Pitt

938
00:46:21,760 --> 00:46:24,319
Speaker 1: just flat out outscores us. Those are the two paths

939
00:46:24,360 --> 00:46:26,480
Speaker 1: for us losing this game. And I don't believe, if

940
00:46:26,480 --> 00:46:29,200
Speaker 1: I'm a Tennessee fan, that number two is happening just

941
00:46:29,280 --> 00:46:31,640
Speaker 1: on its own. I don't believe Pitt's outscoring me. So

942
00:46:31,680 --> 00:46:35,359
Speaker 1: if we're dropping this game, we contributed to it. Now,

943
00:46:35,719 --> 00:46:37,399
Speaker 1: That's how I feel if I was a Tennessee fan.

944
00:46:37,719 --> 00:46:39,359
Speaker 1: Let's take a look at what the model thinks about

945
00:46:39,400 --> 00:46:42,560
Speaker 1: this thing. And this is with baited breath that director

946
00:46:42,560 --> 00:46:45,640
Speaker 1: Colin punches that button in there, Director Colin, you cut

947
00:46:45,760 --> 00:46:50,200
Speaker 1: him open. He bleeds orange and white, mainly orange. The

948
00:46:50,239 --> 00:46:52,520
Speaker 1: model is a little bit north of the line here.

949
00:46:52,560 --> 00:46:54,759
Speaker 1: The line is Tennessee minus six and a half. The

950
00:46:54,800 --> 00:46:58,400
Speaker 1: model has Tennessee minus seven. Now I gotta remind you

951
00:46:58,440 --> 00:47:01,920
Speaker 1: before I give you my pick here. The market reacted

952
00:47:02,160 --> 00:47:05,560
Speaker 1: to this game as if Pit lost in Week one,

953
00:47:05,719 --> 00:47:08,799
Speaker 1: because the numbers that were out there two weeks ago

954
00:47:08,880 --> 00:47:11,839
Speaker 1: on the futures market were more along the lines of

955
00:47:12,080 --> 00:47:14,480
Speaker 1: Tennessee minus four three and a half, four four and

956
00:47:14,520 --> 00:47:16,000
Speaker 1: a half and now it's all the way up to

957
00:47:16,040 --> 00:47:19,399
Speaker 1: a touchdown, and it sounds like Pit lost in week one, Right,

958
00:47:19,400 --> 00:47:21,760
Speaker 1: that's how the market would have reacted had Pit lost

959
00:47:21,880 --> 00:47:25,880
Speaker 1: Pit one. See, that's the thing about odds making. Like

960
00:47:25,920 --> 00:47:29,279
Speaker 1: I told you, you saw that West Virginia game, and

961
00:47:29,320 --> 00:47:32,000
Speaker 1: you saw West Virginia throw a pick right through that

962
00:47:32,040 --> 00:47:35,640
Speaker 1: receiver's hands, pick six. Pit wins, and that's great for

963
00:47:35,719 --> 00:47:38,960
Speaker 1: them in week one. The odds making community looks and says,

964
00:47:39,640 --> 00:47:44,200
Speaker 1: but that's not duplicable like that, that is not something

965
00:47:44,440 --> 00:47:46,239
Speaker 1: that is part of that team that we think is

966
00:47:46,440 --> 00:47:50,120
Speaker 1: likely percentage US to carry over. That's just something that happened.

967
00:47:50,120 --> 00:47:53,120
Speaker 1: That's a balance of ball type thing, and therefore you

968
00:47:53,200 --> 00:47:55,880
Speaker 1: see the reaction and you see how the market reacted.

969
00:47:56,000 --> 00:47:59,719
Speaker 1: So Tennessee minus seven is what our model says. The

970
00:48:00,040 --> 00:48:03,439
Speaker 1: line is Tennessee minus six and a half. I think

971
00:48:03,480 --> 00:48:06,759
Speaker 1: to myself about how critical balance will be for West

972
00:48:06,800 --> 00:48:09,640
Speaker 1: for or not. Were Western Jennifer Pitt in this game offensively?

973
00:48:09,960 --> 00:48:12,399
Speaker 1: I just don't think they're gonna achieve it. And I think,

974
00:48:12,480 --> 00:48:15,759
Speaker 1: unlike last year, they will not be able to trade

975
00:48:15,800 --> 00:48:18,160
Speaker 1: points enough with Tennessee. And I think this is a

976
00:48:18,160 --> 00:48:20,839
Speaker 1: good barometer, really good measuring stick for both programs. Think

977
00:48:20,880 --> 00:48:23,120
Speaker 1: it's going to be a very competitive game, but the

978
00:48:23,160 --> 00:48:25,160
Speaker 1: fourth quarter, I think is going to belong to Tennessee.

979
00:48:25,440 --> 00:48:27,759
Speaker 1: I'm taking Tennessee to win, and at that six and

980
00:48:27,800 --> 00:48:30,160
Speaker 1: a half number, I'll follow the model. I'll take Tennessee

981
00:48:30,400 --> 00:48:34,839
Speaker 1: to cover. They're watching us in New Cumberland, Pennsylvania. They're

982
00:48:34,880 --> 00:48:38,080
Speaker 1: watching us in Pottsville, Arkansas, and they're watching us in

983
00:48:38,160 --> 00:48:42,560
Speaker 1: Deerfield Beach, Florida. Let's continue preview night rolls on here.

984
00:48:43,280 --> 00:48:46,400
Speaker 1: What a game setting up at the swamp. This Saturday,

985
00:48:46,520 --> 00:48:51,120
Speaker 1: Kentucky at Florida. It's a seven o'clock Eastern timekick on ESPN.

986
00:48:51,640 --> 00:48:53,640
Speaker 1: Do you notice how quickly this one kind of popped

987
00:48:53,680 --> 00:48:55,839
Speaker 1: on the national radar. No one thought they were gonna

988
00:48:55,840 --> 00:48:59,000
Speaker 1: be talking about this, and all it took. All it

989
00:48:59,080 --> 00:49:03,640
Speaker 1: took Florida with a little mild home upset over Utah

990
00:49:03,760 --> 00:49:07,600
Speaker 1: and voila. So here we are. Neither team I don't

991
00:49:07,640 --> 00:49:10,160
Speaker 1: think has been figured out yet. I hadn't figured him out.

992
00:49:10,680 --> 00:49:13,799
Speaker 1: Fan bases may think they haven't figured out, but this

993
00:49:13,880 --> 00:49:16,040
Speaker 1: is going to go a long way, especially in figuring

994
00:49:16,040 --> 00:49:18,720
Speaker 1: out the SEC East. When we came into the season,

995
00:49:20,080 --> 00:49:24,200
Speaker 1: this matchup looked pivotal for many reasons, but one of

996
00:49:24,280 --> 00:49:26,640
Speaker 1: them was it was going to kind of determine how

997
00:49:26,880 --> 00:49:30,120
Speaker 1: the SEC Eastern Division shook out and the odds to

998
00:49:30,160 --> 00:49:32,440
Speaker 1: win the East. We talked about it for months. One

999
00:49:32,440 --> 00:49:35,360
Speaker 1: week to be Kentucky, another week could be Tennessee. Florida

1000
00:49:35,440 --> 00:49:38,360
Speaker 1: is now firmly in that mix, and you give yourself

1001
00:49:38,360 --> 00:49:40,400
Speaker 1: a big leg up. You've all got to go through Georgia,

1002
00:49:40,440 --> 00:49:43,600
Speaker 1: but that's down the road. This is going to go

1003
00:49:43,640 --> 00:49:46,879
Speaker 1: a long way determining the pecking order behind Georgia. For

1004
00:49:47,440 --> 00:49:50,600
Speaker 1: at least favoritism in the East. Everything that worked out

1005
00:49:50,640 --> 00:49:53,919
Speaker 1: for Florida last week can easily work out for him again.

1006
00:49:54,360 --> 00:49:56,279
Speaker 1: It'd be one thing if you watch that Utah game

1007
00:49:56,280 --> 00:49:57,960
Speaker 1: and there was a lot of stuff that happened that

1008
00:49:58,040 --> 00:50:00,279
Speaker 1: you say, ah, that's good for today, But that's not

1009
00:50:00,280 --> 00:50:03,200
Speaker 1: going to work against Kentucky. Oh, it'll all work against Kentucky.

1010
00:50:03,320 --> 00:50:06,239
Speaker 1: What Anthony Richardson did will work against anyone. Just a

1011
00:50:06,360 --> 00:50:09,440
Speaker 1: nightmare matchup. Just a complete freak of an athlete. A

1012
00:50:09,520 --> 00:50:12,000
Speaker 1: lot of stuff he does. You'll see that one time

1013
00:50:12,040 --> 00:50:14,280
Speaker 1: this year, and that's when you have to play Florida,

1014
00:50:14,640 --> 00:50:16,880
Speaker 1: and then you'll never see it again, Thank goodness for you.

1015
00:50:17,520 --> 00:50:20,600
Speaker 1: The other thing is they can win running the ball.

1016
00:50:21,280 --> 00:50:24,000
Speaker 1: Do that every week they had I think I was

1017
00:50:24,040 --> 00:50:25,799
Speaker 1: looking hold on, let me look at the stat So

1018
00:50:25,920 --> 00:50:27,960
Speaker 1: Jacob Rudner over on Swamp twenty four to seven had

1019
00:50:27,960 --> 00:50:31,200
Speaker 1: a really good find. Only four of their thirty nine

1020
00:50:31,320 --> 00:50:34,800
Speaker 1: runs failed to gain a yard or more. That's for Florida.

1021
00:50:34,880 --> 00:50:37,120
Speaker 1: Florida rand the ball really well the other night. They

1022
00:50:37,120 --> 00:50:40,560
Speaker 1: can leverage home field. Home field played a huge factor

1023
00:50:40,719 --> 00:50:43,080
Speaker 1: in that Utah game. They got another night game at

1024
00:50:43,080 --> 00:50:45,560
Speaker 1: the Swamp. It can be a major factor. It can

1025
00:50:45,600 --> 00:50:48,120
Speaker 1: determine the outcome of the game. And you know what

1026
00:50:48,120 --> 00:50:49,920
Speaker 1: else they can do. I don't like they did with

1027
00:50:49,960 --> 00:50:53,719
Speaker 1: Camerasing the other night. They limited the Utah run and

1028
00:50:53,800 --> 00:50:58,160
Speaker 1: they dared cam Rising to beat them, almost did until

1029
00:50:58,239 --> 00:51:00,440
Speaker 1: the very end, and you made him with the ball

1030
00:51:00,440 --> 00:51:02,960
Speaker 1: in the air enough to where you were able to

1031
00:51:03,000 --> 00:51:04,640
Speaker 1: win the game. Because of that, they can do the

1032
00:51:04,640 --> 00:51:07,600
Speaker 1: same thing with will Levis. And there's reason to believe

1033
00:51:07,640 --> 00:51:09,200
Speaker 1: will Levis is going to have to be the player

1034
00:51:09,200 --> 00:51:12,840
Speaker 1: of this game, that is the Kentucky quarterback for Kentucky

1035
00:51:12,840 --> 00:51:15,880
Speaker 1: to win the game. So you need to pay close attention.

1036
00:51:16,120 --> 00:51:19,680
Speaker 1: Biggest facet of this game that will probably determine it

1037
00:51:19,760 --> 00:51:22,880
Speaker 1: is what am I doing in my face? Oh? Luckily

1038
00:51:22,960 --> 00:51:26,040
Speaker 1: luckily the topic bar covered it. There was some inappropriosity

1039
00:51:26,080 --> 00:51:28,120
Speaker 1: there with my finger. I was just trying to count.

1040
00:51:28,239 --> 00:51:30,960
Speaker 1: Sometimes I use my sometimes I use my middle finger

1041
00:51:31,160 --> 00:51:34,239
Speaker 1: instead of my index finger to count to one. Never

1042
00:51:34,280 --> 00:51:37,280
Speaker 1: goes well for me. Ever did that at a funeral

1043
00:51:37,320 --> 00:51:42,799
Speaker 1: one time. Never do that again, Florida against the Kentucky run.

1044
00:51:42,920 --> 00:51:44,480
Speaker 1: I want you to think about this for a second.

1045
00:51:45,280 --> 00:51:48,960
Speaker 1: They look last week and they see on the surface

1046
00:51:49,080 --> 00:51:52,640
Speaker 1: a comfortable Kentucky win over Miami of Ohio. You dig

1047
00:51:52,680 --> 00:51:56,040
Speaker 1: a little bit deeper and you realize Kentucky can't run

1048
00:51:56,040 --> 00:51:58,799
Speaker 1: the ball right now. They had a mightily tough time

1049
00:51:58,920 --> 00:52:02,239
Speaker 1: running the ball last week. Chris Rodriguez, at least at

1050
00:52:02,320 --> 00:52:05,680
Speaker 1: last check, their number one tailback is out for this game,

1051
00:52:05,760 --> 00:52:10,239
Speaker 1: still suspended, and that offensive line of Kentucky does not

1052
00:52:10,360 --> 00:52:14,000
Speaker 1: match up particularly well here. So I don't think Kentucky

1053
00:52:14,000 --> 00:52:17,360
Speaker 1: can fill the Chris Rodriguez void. I don't think Florida

1054
00:52:17,360 --> 00:52:19,880
Speaker 1: believes Kentucky can fill that void. If you didn't have

1055
00:52:19,920 --> 00:52:23,240
Speaker 1: success against Miami of Ohio, you won't have any more success.

1056
00:52:23,480 --> 00:52:26,319
Speaker 1: Stands to reason, running the ball against Florida, what does

1057
00:52:26,320 --> 00:52:29,600
Speaker 1: that mean? That means you can still win, but you're

1058
00:52:29,600 --> 00:52:31,920
Speaker 1: gonna have to throw the ball to win. You got

1059
00:52:31,960 --> 00:52:34,720
Speaker 1: that quarterback some people mocked in the first round, Will Levis.

1060
00:52:35,000 --> 00:52:37,840
Speaker 1: We interviewed him at SEC Media Days. Love the dude.

1061
00:52:37,960 --> 00:52:41,440
Speaker 1: This is a tall task for him. A disproportionate amount

1062
00:52:41,440 --> 00:52:43,080
Speaker 1: of this load is going to fall on his shoulders.

1063
00:52:43,600 --> 00:52:46,319
Speaker 1: That's why he's there, That's why transferred to Kentucky, That's

1064
00:52:46,320 --> 00:52:50,760
Speaker 1: why he's starting. Second thing. Pay attention to Kentucky's defensive approach.

1065
00:52:51,160 --> 00:52:54,120
Speaker 1: So they can choose to stack the box. They can

1066
00:52:54,200 --> 00:52:56,359
Speaker 1: choose to look at Anthony Richardson in this Florida run

1067
00:52:56,400 --> 00:52:58,560
Speaker 1: game and say, if they beat us, it's not gonna

1068
00:52:58,560 --> 00:53:01,560
Speaker 1: be that way. We are going to make Richardson throw

1069
00:53:01,600 --> 00:53:04,200
Speaker 1: the ball to beat us. Now, I have full confidence

1070
00:53:04,239 --> 00:53:07,520
Speaker 1: he can do it. How willing is Billy Napier to

1071
00:53:07,600 --> 00:53:09,160
Speaker 1: let him put the ball in the air. We've seen

1072
00:53:09,200 --> 00:53:12,040
Speaker 1: many a time, especially when a quarterback gets a ton

1073
00:53:12,080 --> 00:53:14,400
Speaker 1: of accolades for the first time and you win a

1074
00:53:14,400 --> 00:53:17,840
Speaker 1: big game the following week, those balls just sail a

1075
00:53:17,880 --> 00:53:21,560
Speaker 1: little bit. There are one too many ill advised decisions,

1076
00:53:21,600 --> 00:53:24,680
Speaker 1: and I would not be surprised if that Kentucky coaching

1077
00:53:24,680 --> 00:53:29,239
Speaker 1: staff were in Lexington as we speak, saying, let's see

1078
00:53:29,239 --> 00:53:31,920
Speaker 1: if he'll give that game to us. You know, let's

1079
00:53:31,920 --> 00:53:34,480
Speaker 1: play sound. Let's make him drive the length of the field.

1080
00:53:35,200 --> 00:53:36,920
Speaker 1: Let's take away as much of that run as we can.

1081
00:53:36,920 --> 00:53:38,840
Speaker 1: If we got to dedicate an extra hat to the box,

1082
00:53:38,880 --> 00:53:41,319
Speaker 1: so be it. Let's see what he does. You know,

1083
00:53:41,360 --> 00:53:43,520
Speaker 1: he's a great athlete. If he beats us, he beats us.

1084
00:53:43,520 --> 00:53:45,799
Speaker 1: But let's make him beat us with his arm. Let's

1085
00:53:45,800 --> 00:53:47,640
Speaker 1: see if he'll give us the ball a time or two.

1086
00:53:47,960 --> 00:53:49,640
Speaker 1: So let's take a look at the model things here.

1087
00:53:49,760 --> 00:53:55,120
Speaker 1: The Vegas number right now Florida minus five. And I

1088
00:53:55,200 --> 00:53:57,120
Speaker 1: looked at that one last week and I want to

1089
00:53:57,160 --> 00:53:59,279
Speaker 1: say three, and I want to say it was around three.

1090
00:53:59,360 --> 00:54:01,359
Speaker 1: So this one's jumped up just a little bit too.

1091
00:54:01,760 --> 00:54:04,879
Speaker 1: If you're interested in such things, moneyline Kentucky plus one

1092
00:54:04,880 --> 00:54:07,160
Speaker 1: point seventy five or one seventy five, not one point

1093
00:54:07,160 --> 00:54:09,400
Speaker 1: seventy five. Those are like the English, the British odds

1094
00:54:09,640 --> 00:54:11,920
Speaker 1: Florida minus two to ten. The model on this one

1095
00:54:12,000 --> 00:54:15,960
Speaker 1: is Florida minus four, so we're a little bit short

1096
00:54:16,480 --> 00:54:20,640
Speaker 1: of the actual Vegas number. However, I was looking at

1097
00:54:20,640 --> 00:54:23,560
Speaker 1: this a little bit deeper today. I think our Kentucky

1098
00:54:23,600 --> 00:54:27,160
Speaker 1: power rating still factors in Rodriguez, and he's not playing,

1099
00:54:27,560 --> 00:54:29,680
Speaker 1: So that's a manual adjustment that I have to make

1100
00:54:29,719 --> 00:54:32,239
Speaker 1: that's really not included in the model number. I gave you.

1101
00:54:32,480 --> 00:54:34,239
Speaker 1: The second thing, and the reason I'm going to take

1102
00:54:34,239 --> 00:54:38,160
Speaker 1: Florida to win and cover this game is they are

1103
00:54:38,239 --> 00:54:42,400
Speaker 1: probably a team that qualifies as being in ascension mode.

1104
00:54:42,560 --> 00:54:44,840
Speaker 1: We say that sometimes about teams. That's just when a

1105
00:54:44,840 --> 00:54:46,880
Speaker 1: team is on the climb, and we really don't have

1106
00:54:46,920 --> 00:54:49,279
Speaker 1: a good grasp of what they're sealing is. And this

1107
00:54:49,360 --> 00:54:52,480
Speaker 1: Florida team this year, they're still pretty healthy, so any

1108
00:54:52,520 --> 00:54:56,359
Speaker 1: depth concern hasn't hit them yet. And secondly, they've got

1109
00:54:56,360 --> 00:55:00,239
Speaker 1: a quarterback that is such an enigma from a point

1110
00:55:00,239 --> 00:55:03,279
Speaker 1: spread perspective. I don't think anyone's properly capped him and

1111
00:55:03,360 --> 00:55:06,560
Speaker 1: valued him. So I think that even though the model

1112
00:55:06,560 --> 00:55:08,960
Speaker 1: says Florida minus four, thinks should be more about six

1113
00:55:09,000 --> 00:55:12,399
Speaker 1: to six and a half. So competitive game, very close game.

1114
00:55:12,520 --> 00:55:15,080
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take Florida to win. I'm gonna take Florida

1115
00:55:15,120 --> 00:55:18,400
Speaker 1: to cover. None of the games that I gave you

1116
00:55:18,760 --> 00:55:22,200
Speaker 1: over the past hour or so, however, are in the

1117
00:55:22,320 --> 00:55:25,879
Speaker 1: Roman Noodle Express four pack of picks that I'm gonna

1118
00:55:25,920 --> 00:55:29,279
Speaker 1: give you tonight. Ramanuel Express was not winless in Week one. Guys,

1119
00:55:29,480 --> 00:55:31,879
Speaker 1: you've got to tune into Friday Night Lines. I gave

1120
00:55:31,880 --> 00:55:34,799
Speaker 1: out Kentucky on Friday Night Lines. Now that only made

1121
00:55:34,880 --> 00:55:38,000
Speaker 1: us one three and one in week one. Don't you

1122
00:55:38,040 --> 00:55:42,840
Speaker 1: worry about the Romanudle Express. We're Vengeance is what sponsors

1123
00:55:42,880 --> 00:55:45,640
Speaker 1: the Romanuel Express this week. So the track speeds like

1124
00:55:45,719 --> 00:55:48,080
Speaker 1: sixty were speeding up to about seventy five. This week,

1125
00:55:48,560 --> 00:55:51,920
Speaker 1: I have a total I love, so we're gonna get

1126
00:55:51,920 --> 00:55:55,719
Speaker 1: to it right now. South Carolina is at Arkansas. The

1127
00:55:55,800 --> 00:55:58,080
Speaker 1: total right now is fifty two and a half. I

1128
00:55:58,120 --> 00:56:00,239
Speaker 1: think this game is gonna end up in the sixties.

1129
00:56:00,360 --> 00:56:03,280
Speaker 1: So we're going to take South Carolina at Arkansas over

1130
00:56:03,440 --> 00:56:06,800
Speaker 1: fifty two and a half. There are concerns at corner

1131
00:56:07,560 --> 00:56:10,839
Speaker 1: for Arkansas that I do not think will be alleviated

1132
00:56:11,120 --> 00:56:13,680
Speaker 1: come game time Saturday. I can't put it any more

1133
00:56:13,680 --> 00:56:16,160
Speaker 1: plainly than that. Over fifty two and a half, I

1134
00:56:16,200 --> 00:56:18,400
Speaker 1: think there's going to be scoring on both sides. The

1135
00:56:18,440 --> 00:56:21,960
Speaker 1: next one Hansas, Everyone's big twelve Darling all of a

1136
00:56:21,960 --> 00:56:25,600
Speaker 1: sudden is at West Virginia. West Virginia is laying thirteen.

1137
00:56:26,520 --> 00:56:28,520
Speaker 1: I think it's gonna end up two touchdowns or more.

1138
00:56:28,960 --> 00:56:32,560
Speaker 1: We love West Virginia this week. We also love it

1139
00:56:32,600 --> 00:56:36,000
Speaker 1: at thirteen and a half, So thirteen is widely available

1140
00:56:36,080 --> 00:56:38,279
Speaker 1: right now. If you get thirteen and a half, I

1141
00:56:38,360 --> 00:56:41,399
Speaker 1: like it at thirteen and a half. Two MATC time

1142
00:56:42,160 --> 00:56:45,600
Speaker 1: Eastern Michigan, which is a team that's been surprisingly profitable

1143
00:56:45,640 --> 00:56:47,520
Speaker 1: for us. We always have a really good read on

1144
00:56:47,560 --> 00:56:49,640
Speaker 1: them for some reason we're going to the well again.

1145
00:56:49,920 --> 00:56:53,600
Speaker 1: Eastern Michigan plus ten and a half at ul Lafayette.

1146
00:56:53,960 --> 00:56:56,360
Speaker 1: Love them. I think the model has them losing by six,

1147
00:56:56,760 --> 00:56:59,440
Speaker 1: so we cross three key numbers there. We will gladly

1148
00:56:59,480 --> 00:57:02,600
Speaker 1: take the eagle of Yipslanty by ten and a half

1149
00:57:02,719 --> 00:57:05,840
Speaker 1: or plus ten and a half. And Virginia is on

1150
00:57:05,960 --> 00:57:08,320
Speaker 1: the road at Illinois, and I was looking at the

1151
00:57:08,400 --> 00:57:11,960
Speaker 1: chat earlier and for some reason, everyone watching the show

1152
00:57:12,040 --> 00:57:14,560
Speaker 1: right now apparently loves Illinois. You guys can win all

1153
00:57:14,600 --> 00:57:16,480
Speaker 1: you want to, just keep it a field goal or less.

1154
00:57:16,480 --> 00:57:18,840
Speaker 1: For me, We're gonna take Virginia plus five. Now. We're

1155
00:57:18,880 --> 00:57:21,800
Speaker 1: not done with picks. This is just what we have

1156
00:57:21,920 --> 00:57:25,360
Speaker 1: so far. I cannot stress enough. You have to be

1157
00:57:25,440 --> 00:57:29,160
Speaker 1: following on Instagram at Late Kick Josh very frequently. There

1158
00:57:29,200 --> 00:57:32,120
Speaker 1: will be line moves that I have waited on all week,

1159
00:57:32,440 --> 00:57:35,360
Speaker 1: and I will not hand out final plays until the

1160
00:57:35,480 --> 00:57:39,200
Speaker 1: Friday night Lines Live broadcast, which is just exclusively on

1161
00:57:39,240 --> 00:57:41,360
Speaker 1: Instagram Live. So you gotta be following there. You missed

1162
00:57:41,360 --> 00:57:43,480
Speaker 1: a winner last week if you weren't following there. Virginia

1163
00:57:43,520 --> 00:57:45,959
Speaker 1: plus five Eastern Michigan plus ten and a half, West

1164
00:57:46,040 --> 00:57:49,960
Speaker 1: Virginia minus thirteen and South Carolina, Arkansas over fifty two

1165
00:57:49,960 --> 00:57:52,280
Speaker 1: and a half. Am I gonna do it here? I

1166
00:57:52,320 --> 00:57:54,479
Speaker 1: think I'm gonna do it. Okay, first thing I'm gonna

1167
00:57:54,520 --> 00:57:57,600
Speaker 1: do is straighten my mic again. I gotta get that

1168
00:57:57,680 --> 00:58:00,320
Speaker 1: Joel Clap. Mike Clatt started a new podcast, and then

1169
00:58:00,320 --> 00:58:02,080
Speaker 1: he went back and forth with us on Twitter last night.

1170
00:58:02,440 --> 00:58:05,960
Speaker 1: He's got the kind of mic that I want. That's

1171
00:58:05,960 --> 00:58:09,040
Speaker 1: all I'm gonna say at management, at management right now,

1172
00:58:09,120 --> 00:58:11,800
Speaker 1: that's to you, not to the audience. I'm going to

1173
00:58:11,840 --> 00:58:14,000
Speaker 1: look at the live chat. I'm gonna give you guys

1174
00:58:14,000 --> 00:58:16,840
Speaker 1: about two minutes here. If there's anything that you just

1175
00:58:17,160 --> 00:58:19,400
Speaker 1: you need to get off your chest, if there's anything

1176
00:58:19,440 --> 00:58:21,480
Speaker 1: that you want said, if there's anything you want me

1177
00:58:21,520 --> 00:58:24,920
Speaker 1: to touch on, I pray that it's not about playoff expansion.

1178
00:58:25,040 --> 00:58:28,280
Speaker 1: I'm not wasting two seconds of this show talking about

1179
00:58:28,280 --> 00:58:31,520
Speaker 1: playoff expansion unless you want it brought up. So I'm

1180
00:58:31,560 --> 00:58:33,160
Speaker 1: looking at the live chat here. I know there's like

1181
00:58:33,200 --> 00:58:35,360
Speaker 1: a fifteen second delay. So I'm giving you guys some time.

1182
00:58:35,720 --> 00:58:40,440
Speaker 1: We don't normally do this. See Brandon Walker is horse

1183
00:58:41,480 --> 00:58:45,400
Speaker 1: and Brandon Walker just overall is a cesspool of garbage.

1184
00:58:45,400 --> 00:58:47,680
Speaker 1: Takes but one thing he does on his show that

1185
00:58:47,840 --> 00:58:50,920
Speaker 1: I think we need to steal. We've given him plenty

1186
00:58:50,960 --> 00:58:53,320
Speaker 1: over the years, trust me, is he does acknowledge the

1187
00:58:53,320 --> 00:58:54,760
Speaker 1: live chat. So I'm going to look at the live

1188
00:58:54,880 --> 00:58:59,560
Speaker 1: chat here. Iowa State versus Iowa is a question, for example,

1189
00:58:59,680 --> 00:59:01,000
Speaker 1: that I was not going to bring up on the

1190
00:59:01,000 --> 00:59:03,880
Speaker 1: show tonight. Iowa State is a three and a half

1191
00:59:03,960 --> 00:59:09,480
Speaker 1: point dog in Iowa City Saturday. And I know you

1192
00:59:09,880 --> 00:59:14,480
Speaker 1: like I saw Iowa play a football game Saturday in

1193
00:59:14,520 --> 00:59:17,680
Speaker 1: which they scored seven points but their defense outscored their offense.

1194
00:59:18,080 --> 00:59:21,000
Speaker 1: I'll let you figure out how that happened against the

1195
00:59:21,240 --> 00:59:24,440
Speaker 1: mighty jack Rabbits of South Dakota State, no less. And

1196
00:59:24,520 --> 00:59:28,280
Speaker 1: yet there's this sinking feeling in me, as a born

1197
00:59:28,320 --> 00:59:32,040
Speaker 1: and bred Iowa State fan full bias, there is a

1198
00:59:32,080 --> 00:59:36,440
Speaker 1: sinking feeling in me that, even having seen that, something

1199
00:59:36,600 --> 00:59:39,479
Speaker 1: terrible is gonna happen Saturday that ends up giving Iowa

1200
00:59:39,560 --> 00:59:43,360
Speaker 1: State this game or Iowa this game? Now, am I hopeful? Certainly?

1201
00:59:43,400 --> 00:59:46,160
Speaker 1: I am? Do I think Iowa State has the better team? Well,

1202
00:59:46,200 --> 00:59:49,440
Speaker 1: the model doesn't. But then again, I can speak differently

1203
00:59:49,480 --> 00:59:52,600
Speaker 1: because this is not a game breakdown. So yeah, you

1204
00:59:52,680 --> 00:59:54,600
Speaker 1: know how I think about them at quarterback. You know

1205
00:59:54,640 --> 00:59:56,440
Speaker 1: in the aggregate, how I think about Iowa State at

1206
00:59:56,480 --> 00:59:58,360
Speaker 1: running back, or if you don't, I like them in

1207
00:59:58,400 --> 01:00:02,280
Speaker 1: both positions. Last year, we were at this game and

1208
01:00:02,400 --> 01:00:04,000
Speaker 1: all I would did was sit there and wait for

1209
01:00:04,040 --> 01:00:05,400
Speaker 1: Iowa State to hand him the game. And you know

1210
01:00:05,440 --> 01:00:09,400
Speaker 1: what Iowa State did handed him the game. Turnover turnover, turnover, turnover.

1211
01:00:09,880 --> 01:00:11,840
Speaker 1: No reason to think Saturday is going to be any different.

1212
01:00:12,480 --> 01:00:15,520
Speaker 1: I just whatever the over under is, I don't know,

1213
01:00:15,560 --> 01:00:18,360
Speaker 1: it's probably too high. I don't have any money on it.

1214
01:00:18,400 --> 01:00:20,160
Speaker 1: We will not have any action on it. I will

1215
01:00:20,240 --> 01:00:23,720
Speaker 1: just watch innocently along with the rest of you. Spencer Rattler,

1216
01:00:23,800 --> 01:00:25,760
Speaker 1: boom or bust, well, Nick, I don't know he's played

1217
01:00:25,760 --> 01:00:27,640
Speaker 1: one game. I don't think he had a whole heck

1218
01:00:27,640 --> 01:00:29,600
Speaker 1: of a lot of protection the other night. That's why

1219
01:00:29,640 --> 01:00:34,280
Speaker 1: when they go to Arkansas South Carolina this Saturday, I

1220
01:00:34,320 --> 01:00:36,960
Speaker 1: really think that the past game will be improved. That'll

1221
01:00:37,000 --> 01:00:39,440
Speaker 1: partly be because they just razor sharp focus on it

1222
01:00:39,440 --> 01:00:41,840
Speaker 1: this week, and the other is think Arkansas is a

1223
01:00:41,880 --> 01:00:44,560
Speaker 1: little susceptible at defensive back right now. You haven't seen

1224
01:00:44,600 --> 01:00:46,960
Speaker 1: the best of Spencer Ratler yet this year. Just this

1225
01:00:47,000 --> 01:00:50,800
Speaker 1: is college football, no preseason, there is no preseason game.

1226
01:00:51,120 --> 01:00:53,120
Speaker 1: Just give them a little time. It was Georgia State

1227
01:00:53,160 --> 01:00:56,040
Speaker 1: after all. This live chat's going a little too quickly

1228
01:00:56,200 --> 01:01:01,680
Speaker 1: for me to even read. Really quick. Hey Van, Nashville's

1229
01:01:01,680 --> 01:01:04,760
Speaker 1: team Bandy. They are at home Saturday against wake I

1230
01:01:04,840 --> 01:01:07,040
Speaker 1: think that game is at Vandy. The line jumped all

1231
01:01:07,040 --> 01:01:08,640
Speaker 1: the way to thirteen and a half today because it

1232
01:01:08,680 --> 01:01:11,440
Speaker 1: was announced that Hartman's going to play for wake Forest.

1233
01:01:12,000 --> 01:01:15,040
Speaker 1: So good luck to our guys over here, good luck

1234
01:01:15,040 --> 01:01:21,439
Speaker 1: to our commodoes. Oh boy, this is tough. The other

1235
01:01:21,560 --> 01:01:23,440
Speaker 1: thing that's being asked about right now is the Auburn

1236
01:01:23,440 --> 01:01:25,760
Speaker 1: two quarterback system. I don't know what they're going to

1237
01:01:25,840 --> 01:01:30,640
Speaker 1: go with. I think that right now they're still in

1238
01:01:30,680 --> 01:01:33,480
Speaker 1: a mode. I'm fully convinced of this. I am convinced

1239
01:01:33,520 --> 01:01:37,600
Speaker 1: Auburn as a coaching staff brought Calzada in with the

1240
01:01:37,720 --> 01:01:41,640
Speaker 1: express desire for him to win the job. You can't

1241
01:01:41,680 --> 01:01:43,480
Speaker 1: hand to guy the job. He's got to win it,

1242
01:01:43,760 --> 01:01:46,120
Speaker 1: and he flat out didn't win it. And so TJ.

1243
01:01:46,240 --> 01:01:49,120
Speaker 1: Finley is the guy there now. And they've got Ashford

1244
01:01:49,120 --> 01:01:51,400
Speaker 1: over there too, And I know you've seen him some

1245
01:01:51,680 --> 01:01:53,920
Speaker 1: and you think someone told me they think he's got

1246
01:01:53,960 --> 01:01:55,680
Speaker 1: a little stets in Bennett and him. By the way,

1247
01:01:56,400 --> 01:01:59,520
Speaker 1: how this conference down here in the SEC turns stats

1248
01:01:59,560 --> 01:02:01,400
Speaker 1: and Bennett. It used to just be a pejorative. He

1249
01:02:01,520 --> 01:02:05,000
Speaker 1: wasn't even a person. It's just your stetson. You know.

1250
01:02:05,040 --> 01:02:07,400
Speaker 1: That was a guy who's not good enough, you doesn't

1251
01:02:07,440 --> 01:02:09,400
Speaker 1: measure up, And all of a sudden, he's a national champion.

1252
01:02:09,520 --> 01:02:13,320
Speaker 1: Now your hopes for your quarterbacks are maybe they got

1253
01:02:13,320 --> 01:02:15,600
Speaker 1: a little stetson in him. Well, I don't know if

1254
01:02:15,680 --> 01:02:19,040
Speaker 1: Robbie Ashford has stetson in him, I would not be surprised, though,

1255
01:02:19,160 --> 01:02:21,600
Speaker 1: if you end up seeing multiple quarterbacks play for Auburn,

1256
01:02:21,920 --> 01:02:24,080
Speaker 1: I would not be surprised at that. So yeah, that's

1257
01:02:24,440 --> 01:02:27,800
Speaker 1: that's what the chat's saying. Baylor and Brigham Young. That's

1258
01:02:27,840 --> 01:02:30,080
Speaker 1: a game that we're not breaking down on the show

1259
01:02:30,080 --> 01:02:32,960
Speaker 1: tonight because I just didn't have time, even though I've

1260
01:02:32,960 --> 01:02:34,640
Speaker 1: got time to look at the live chat. So maybe

1261
01:02:34,640 --> 01:02:37,920
Speaker 1: that's just made up. We have got I think a

1262
01:02:37,960 --> 01:02:39,920
Speaker 1: point spread of Baylor plus three and a half. So

1263
01:02:39,920 --> 01:02:43,160
Speaker 1: Brigham Young's favored out there. The model, I can tell

1264
01:02:43,200 --> 01:02:46,240
Speaker 1: you slightly leans Baylor. I think at about a fifty

1265
01:02:46,320 --> 01:02:49,440
Speaker 1: three percent cover probability. It thinks it's a one point game.

1266
01:02:49,760 --> 01:02:52,080
Speaker 1: I think it's got Brigham Young winning by one, so

1267
01:02:52,480 --> 01:02:55,600
Speaker 1: Razor type game. It could be sneakily the best game

1268
01:02:55,600 --> 01:02:58,480
Speaker 1: of Saturday. I think Tennessee Pitt could be that. I

1269
01:02:58,520 --> 01:03:02,200
Speaker 1: think Brigham Young hosting, think Baylor could be that. We're

1270
01:03:02,240 --> 01:03:05,040
Speaker 1: going to be in Austin for Bama Texas. A lot

1271
01:03:05,040 --> 01:03:07,000
Speaker 1: of you have called me a hypocrite for taking the

1272
01:03:07,040 --> 01:03:09,800
Speaker 1: every given Saturday tour to Austin because I claim to

1273
01:03:09,800 --> 01:03:12,080
Speaker 1: not want to see blowouts. Yet I myself predicted a

1274
01:03:12,120 --> 01:03:15,520
Speaker 1: blowout earlier tonight. But what you don't remember is that's

1275
01:03:15,560 --> 01:03:17,560
Speaker 1: only one of the bits of criteria. We want to

1276
01:03:17,560 --> 01:03:20,280
Speaker 1: get to new venues. We've never seen a game in Austin,

1277
01:03:20,320 --> 01:03:22,960
Speaker 1: we've never taken the tour there. We want to see

1278
01:03:23,000 --> 01:03:25,200
Speaker 1: teams as much as possible. I don't know that I'll

1279
01:03:25,200 --> 01:03:28,200
Speaker 1: be able to see Texas again this year, so you

1280
01:03:28,240 --> 01:03:32,280
Speaker 1: know those are excuses. And I'm fully prepared to have

1281
01:03:32,440 --> 01:03:34,479
Speaker 1: nail bider games all over the place and I'm watching

1282
01:03:34,520 --> 01:03:37,640
Speaker 1: a blowout. I know that's a possibility. Saturday A and

1283
01:03:37,840 --> 01:03:41,080
Speaker 1: M minus seventeen, Kyle, I'd stay away from it. Buddy,

1284
01:03:41,880 --> 01:03:44,400
Speaker 1: they play app State Saturday. I want you to think

1285
01:03:44,440 --> 01:03:46,720
Speaker 1: about this. Let's just talk this through for a second.

1286
01:03:47,600 --> 01:03:50,600
Speaker 1: A and M is at home against app State. They're

1287
01:03:50,640 --> 01:03:55,040
Speaker 1: favored by seventeen. BAMA is favored by more as a

1288
01:03:55,240 --> 01:03:58,320
Speaker 1: road team at Texas than A and M is favored

1289
01:03:58,400 --> 01:04:02,520
Speaker 1: at home against app State. I don't know what kind

1290
01:04:02,520 --> 01:04:04,640
Speaker 1: of transitive property nonsense you guys want to try and

1291
01:04:04,680 --> 01:04:07,080
Speaker 1: pull with that, but that's pretty interesting to talk about.

1292
01:04:07,480 --> 01:04:10,240
Speaker 1: Where am I going before the Texas game, Charlie, I

1293
01:04:10,320 --> 01:04:14,720
Speaker 1: will probably just text Scott Stanley to you and I

1294
01:04:15,040 --> 01:04:17,000
Speaker 1: and I will probably just ask him where to go.

1295
01:04:17,120 --> 01:04:20,160
Speaker 1: Hummer lives out there. I will probably just ask them

1296
01:04:20,160 --> 01:04:22,000
Speaker 1: where to go. So my answer is I don't know yet.

1297
01:04:22,040 --> 01:04:23,760
Speaker 1: It's an early kick. We got to be in the

1298
01:04:23,760 --> 01:04:26,360
Speaker 1: stadium like three hours before for some live hits, so

1299
01:04:26,480 --> 01:04:30,720
Speaker 1: I don't know talk about Oklahoma State. Hey, I don't

1300
01:04:30,720 --> 01:04:33,080
Speaker 1: have much to say about the team. Mike Gundhy, I'm

1301
01:04:33,120 --> 01:04:36,040
Speaker 1: convinced watches this show because Mike Gundhy went on an

1302
01:04:36,040 --> 01:04:40,880
Speaker 1: impassioned anti playoff expansion rant that I think should basically

1303
01:04:40,920 --> 01:04:44,840
Speaker 1: be printed on stone and put outside every college football venue,

1304
01:04:45,040 --> 01:04:49,040
Speaker 1: including the college Football Playoff in Grapevine, Texas wherever they meet,

1305
01:04:49,640 --> 01:04:52,800
Speaker 1: and he essentially just I think he took a transcript

1306
01:04:52,800 --> 01:04:55,800
Speaker 1: of the show, memorized it, and then recited it. And

1307
01:04:55,880 --> 01:04:57,920
Speaker 1: I'm fine with it. Oklahoma State put us in their

1308
01:04:57,960 --> 01:05:01,560
Speaker 1: hype video the other day. I feel a burgeoning relationship

1309
01:05:01,600 --> 01:05:06,640
Speaker 1: growing between our brand, the spinny LK, and the established

1310
01:05:06,680 --> 01:05:10,120
Speaker 1: brand out there in Stillwater. Go Mike Gundy man, at

1311
01:05:10,200 --> 01:05:12,440
Speaker 1: least for one night only. We are huge Mike Gundy

1312
01:05:12,440 --> 01:05:15,960
Speaker 1: fans here. He was so right. Go find his rant.

1313
01:05:16,040 --> 01:05:17,959
Speaker 1: I think it may have been today or yesterday about

1314
01:05:17,960 --> 01:05:22,600
Speaker 1: the College Football Playoff expansion North Carolina defense. I don't

1315
01:05:22,880 --> 01:05:24,400
Speaker 1: what do you want me to say. It's like the

1316
01:05:24,400 --> 01:05:26,919
Speaker 1: black shirt I'm wearing right now. It doesn't exist. It's

1317
01:05:26,960 --> 01:05:32,000
Speaker 1: not there. Why an Iowa State fan? Why not Williams Bryce?

1318
01:05:32,080 --> 01:05:36,160
Speaker 1: Next week? That's a question here. I don't know yet. See,

1319
01:05:36,200 --> 01:05:38,680
Speaker 1: there's a lot that remains to be determined about next

1320
01:05:38,680 --> 01:05:41,160
Speaker 1: week and the every given Saturday tour. Think about it.

1321
01:05:41,480 --> 01:05:44,320
Speaker 1: We got Penn State coming to Auburn, we got Georgia

1322
01:05:44,360 --> 01:05:47,360
Speaker 1: on the road at South Carolina. Miami goes to Texas,

1323
01:05:47,360 --> 01:05:49,600
Speaker 1: A and M next week. So there are some big

1324
01:05:49,640 --> 01:05:52,960
Speaker 1: games that we could choose from. So I guess what

1325
01:05:53,000 --> 01:05:55,560
Speaker 1: I'm telling you is stay tuned this weekend. Those there

1326
01:05:55,560 --> 01:05:57,840
Speaker 1: are a lot of different places we could go. Okay,

1327
01:05:58,920 --> 01:06:01,360
Speaker 1: I am. I appreciate you guys being tuned in. Do

1328
01:06:01,440 --> 01:06:03,600
Speaker 1: me one more favor before you leave. There are over

1329
01:06:03,680 --> 01:06:06,560
Speaker 1: four thousand of you watching. Less than two thousand of

1330
01:06:06,600 --> 01:06:09,040
Speaker 1: you have liked the video. Stats an info telling me

1331
01:06:09,080 --> 01:06:12,040
Speaker 1: that is hold on, hold on, less than fifty percent

1332
01:06:12,080 --> 01:06:14,600
Speaker 1: of you have liked the video. So just like it

1333
01:06:14,600 --> 01:06:18,120
Speaker 1: thumbs up. That is literally the way that you keep

1334
01:06:18,160 --> 01:06:20,120
Speaker 1: the show free, because that is the kind of traction

1335
01:06:20,560 --> 01:06:23,320
Speaker 1: that Management notices. Appreciate you guys so much. We'll be

1336
01:06:23,360 --> 01:06:27,479
Speaker 1: back here same time Thursday night, eightiestern seventh Central, looking

1337
01:06:27,560 --> 01:06:30,120
Speaker 1: really really forward to making our first trip to Austin,

1338
01:06:30,200 --> 01:06:33,680
Speaker 1: Texas for a game against this Saturday until Thursday for

1339
01:06:33,800 --> 01:06:37,000
Speaker 1: director Colin with producer Jesse. I'm Josh Bate. Take care,

1340
01:06:37,120 --> 01:06:49,160
Speaker 1: have a great rest of your evening. God bless