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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Fantasy Pros MLB. It is me,

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Speaker 1: Joey p joe Pisapia with me is the Welsh in

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Speaker 1: our first full show of twenty twenty five. So of

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Speaker 1: course we're gonna look ahead to the future. We're gonna

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Speaker 1: talk dynasty rankings today. We're gonna go through Welsh's top

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Speaker 1: fifty here, maybe some guys on the fringe, and also

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Speaker 1: make sure you keep a lookout because Welsh is working

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Speaker 1: on the top one fifty article that's gonna be on

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Speaker 1: Fantasypros dot com in just a few short hours from now.

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Speaker 1: It might even be up by the time this show

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Speaker 1: comes up, so just run over there and check it out.

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Speaker 1: Welsh Dynasty is your bread and butter.

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Speaker 2: You're the prospect gurer.

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Speaker 1: You're the guy at the AFL who is you know,

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Speaker 1: kissing babies and shaking hands and doing everything you need

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Speaker 1: to do to get on the field to make sure

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Speaker 1: that you are getting your finger on the pulse of

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Speaker 1: what's going on here with some of these young players,

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Speaker 1: but it's also some established veterans too.

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Speaker 2: It's a mix here in this.

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Speaker 1: Top fifty that we're gonna break down today with the tears,

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Speaker 1: so generally speaking, you know when you are approaching dynastys,

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Speaker 1: especially for the first time, and these you know, clean

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Speaker 1: leagues that are starting in twenty twenty five, or if

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Speaker 1: people are just trying to evaluate some of their players

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Speaker 1: and what their values really should be heading into another

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Speaker 1: year of dynasty and a league that already exists, what's

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Speaker 1: your best practice when you put it out there for

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Speaker 1: the people in terms of trying to create a balance

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Speaker 1: of prospects and win.

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Speaker 3: Now, Yeah, no, this is like the big thing because

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Speaker 3: I think there's a couple encompass things in here in Dynasty.

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Speaker 3: A I would always tell everybody, no Dynasty rank or

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Speaker 3: list is perfect, and I know that like that can

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Speaker 3: be like contrite like Okoyd, well rank now, but like

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Speaker 3: you get a redraft list, you kind of know what

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Speaker 3: it is. But in Dynasty, things can be whatever that

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Speaker 3: you want them to be. The Willy Wonka and the

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Speaker 3: Chocolate Factory of fantasy baseball because it's like you can

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Speaker 3: construct this super young team to play for the future,

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Speaker 3: but you got to eat a couple of years. You

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Speaker 3: can take advantage of values where people are only wanting

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Speaker 3: young players, and you could take veterans to try to

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Speaker 3: win now. So my rank isn't necessarily going to fully

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Speaker 3: encompass what you might want to do with your specific one,

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Speaker 3: So you have to understand that first and foremost. That's

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Speaker 3: the big thing. But if you know you're in a

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Speaker 3: restart a refresh of dynasty, there are different ways to

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Speaker 3: approach it. So my rank that we're going to talk

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Speaker 3: about is a kind of overarching theme which you would

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Speaker 3: have to make your own adjustments. I do you know

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Speaker 3: redraft and dynasty and prospect stuff, And I've also done

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Speaker 3: it on my Patreon as well at in this League

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Speaker 3: dot com. And one thing I've always said is like,

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Speaker 3: if you are a win now team you want to

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Speaker 3: start transitioning from dynasty into redraft, you could do that

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Speaker 3: here with Fantasy pros and their ranks top one hundred.

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Speaker 3: Maybe really make that as a hyper focus for what

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Speaker 3: you're doing in a dynasty draft, then start moving to

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Speaker 3: your redraft. On the inverse, if you are a I'm

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Speaker 3: going to play for the future, I want to get

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Speaker 3: a bunch of the young guys, Well take that top

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Speaker 3: one hundred and then start reverting to a prospect list.

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Speaker 3: So that's how you would do that. So you have

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Speaker 3: to come to terms with are you a win now,

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Speaker 3: are you a balance, or are you a play for

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Speaker 3: the future. So we'll talk about that in all of

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Speaker 3: these ranks, because there would be certain levels where we

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Speaker 3: would adjust to like, oh, if I'm a win now team,

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Speaker 3: let's start to bump this up. I don't think that

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Speaker 3: exists really in the top It doesn't exist in the

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Speaker 3: top ten, get into the top twenty, kind of doesn't

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Speaker 3: top thirty a little bit, and then it's like, once

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Speaker 3: you get outside the top fifty, then it really is

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Speaker 3: important to know where you are. So this is an

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Speaker 3: all encompass list that is talking more about balance, but

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Speaker 3: you do have to understand if you're a refresh and

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Speaker 3: you're a new dynasty, what type of team are you

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Speaker 3: trying to construct? If you're already in a dynasty, this

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Speaker 3: is going to be probably more about player evaluation, or

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Speaker 3: at least where I value these players in a dynasty overall.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and one other note I would throw out there

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Speaker 1: for those starting up dynasty leagues too is take advantage

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Speaker 1: when when people maybe go to prospect heavy with you

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Speaker 1: know a lot of younger guys who aren't really proven

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Speaker 1: even at the minor league level, yet pivot and take

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Speaker 1: the value of some of those guys that are established veterans.

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Speaker 1: Even if they're thirty years old, there's still a lot

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Speaker 1: of baseball left in some of these guys.

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Speaker 3: It's a great point. Two things I'm gonna add to that.

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Speaker 3: My ranks, especially my prospect ranks. We're not necessarily doing

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Speaker 3: prospect ranks here. My prospect ranks doing compass an overarching worldview.

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Speaker 3: But my dynasty ranks are kind of a three year window.

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Speaker 3: I look at these as a three year window in value.

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Speaker 3: So you might have some dynasty rankers that go and

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Speaker 3: put you know, a guy that is two or three

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Speaker 3: years away, way way way high. I might have them

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Speaker 3: a little bit down. I still value, you know, guys

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Speaker 3: that are not quite there in a high level. We'll

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Speaker 3: talk about that with some of these, but you know,

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Speaker 3: I try to do three year windows, So with that,

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Speaker 3: I might even have some older guys a little bit

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Speaker 3: higher in dynasty. And then that comes to my personal

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Speaker 3: strategy here. I will tell you I tend to lean

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Speaker 3: in more of a win now standpoint, because if you

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Speaker 3: just legit, just break.

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Speaker 1: Down like a three year window, guy, like that's my thing.

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Speaker 3: And if you want to break down three basic tenets

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Speaker 3: of Dynasty rosters. It's what I said before, when now

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Speaker 3: balance super young playing for the future, I'm going to

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Speaker 3: be on that first one. I want to win now.

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Speaker 3: Me also like knowing that I feel like I'm very

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Speaker 3: comfortable with being able to build a minor league system

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Speaker 3: evaluate younger players. But there are incredible values. That's the

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Speaker 3: biggest thing that stands out about Dynasties is the number

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Speaker 3: one value is older players are going to start to fall.

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Speaker 3: You're going to see that in some of my ranks,

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Speaker 3: and then it starts to go to other levels. People

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Speaker 3: don't want to value closers as much. Starting pitchers can

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Speaker 3: get pushed down. So there's a lot of just like

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Speaker 3: weird little intricacies of Dynasty. But when Now, to me,

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Speaker 3: has always tended to be the best approach with little

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Speaker 3: sprinkles of youth and future play, because at the end

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Speaker 3: of the day, you got to hope that Dynasties are

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Speaker 3: going to stick around long enough to be able to build.

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Speaker 2: It for the future.

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Speaker 3: So I do lean a little bit more into the

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Speaker 3: win now. But as we talk, this is closer to

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Speaker 3: three year windows stuff. When we go through at least

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Speaker 3: what my ranks are.

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Speaker 1: And for Welsh's full prospect write ups, to check out

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Speaker 1: the Fantasy Baseball Black Book over on Amazon. Welsh, myself,

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Speaker 1: Kelly Kirby, Casey Bubbao, all the contributors. This year, it's

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Speaker 1: available on Amazon, and Welsh does a phenomenal job with

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Speaker 1: all those prospect ryoups that he does there. So let's

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Speaker 1: look at the big board. Let's start with the top

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Speaker 1: ten here. Really like, this is kind of splitting hairs

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Speaker 1: if anybody wants to, but this is I think a

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Speaker 1: pretty dark good list. He got Schoey Otani at the

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Speaker 1: top obvious reasons. Is he risky because of the pitching?

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Speaker 2: Yeah?

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Speaker 1: Sure, Is he something we've never seen before? Yes, he is,

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Speaker 1: and he's very special, so he's the one one. Then

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Speaker 1: you have Bobby Wood junior, Gunner Henderson, Ellie de la

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Speaker 1: Cruz aggressive at four, but as he continues to fill

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Speaker 1: out that frame, you have to imagine there could be

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Speaker 1: even more power to be added there for Ellie de

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Speaker 1: la Cruz. Juan Soto at five just signed the giant

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Speaker 1: deal with the New York Mets. I'm still on a

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Speaker 1: high about that. Julia Rodriguez at six, Fernando Tetis junior

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Speaker 1: at seven, Ronaldocunya at eight, Paul Skeens at nine, Kyle

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Speaker 1: Tucker at ten. I want to talk about Ronald Acunya.

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Speaker 1: He is twenty seven years old, going on twenty eight.

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Speaker 1: Now he's got both knees done. It's funny because if

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Speaker 1: he asked me last year, I mean, he would probably

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Speaker 1: want one or two on this list most likely. So

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Speaker 1: you're getting a little bit of a discount on him.

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Speaker 1: But I think people are starting to get a little concerned.

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Speaker 1: He's had a bunch of injuries now before the age

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Speaker 1: of thirty. My mindset is, well, he's got both knees done.

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Speaker 1: That was the bigger problem, and now we should be

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Speaker 1: clear sailing hopefully for the rest of his career. Do

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Speaker 1: you have that same kind of confidence. You must, he's

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Speaker 1: a top ten player, But do you think the market

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Speaker 1: sees Ronald acunia is still as closer to a top

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Speaker 1: three guy or closer to a you know, eight, nine

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Speaker 1: ten guy.

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Speaker 3: I've seen him outside the top ten in some dynasty rings,

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Speaker 3: So I would actually say, I think there's a couple

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Speaker 3: things that are in this too. You know, I'm good

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Speaker 3: with Oughtani, You're good with Thughtani. I don't think everybody

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Speaker 3: would be because not only do you have the age

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Speaker 3: positional issue, you also have he's the old I think,

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Speaker 3: let me look at this. I believe he's the oldest

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Speaker 3: player on this list that I have, so that can

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Speaker 3: throw some people off, but he's a unicorn. But I

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Speaker 3: do think if you wanted, like Bobby Witt is number one,

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Speaker 3: I'm totally fine with. If you wanted one soda in

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Speaker 3: a points league once a points dynasty league, one soda

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Speaker 3: would probably be higher. So then it comes back to ronald'

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Speaker 3: kunyan and what you said is you're right. I think

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Speaker 3: last year the conversation this was Otani or Akunya and

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Speaker 3: the things that hold you back I think obviously are

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Speaker 3: the injuries and the multiple injuries. He's not into Stanton

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Speaker 3: territory or Buxton territory and anything like that, but we are

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Speaker 3: stacking some injuries. And then he's a little bit affected

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Speaker 3: by redraft values as well. Redraft ranks. Outside the top twenty,

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Speaker 3: I think he's like hovering right around twenty. He was

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Speaker 3: outside the top thirty about a month ago. But part

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Speaker 3: of it is doesn't look like he's going to be

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Speaker 3: ready for the beginning of the season, so if you're

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Speaker 3: starting in a fresh new dynasty, they have to consider that.

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Speaker 3: With Acunya, that you would bite a little bit of

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Speaker 3: the season, that's a little secondary might run less. He

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Speaker 3: also mentioned maybe that's only this year. That's something to consider.

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Speaker 1: But also remember that's what we thought last time he

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Speaker 1: had the knee surgery.

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Speaker 2: Everyone said, uh, maybe he won't run so much.

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Speaker 3: Meanwhile, seventy three slen bases. Yeah, okay, but he's even

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Speaker 3: kind of talked about that potentially coming down. And then

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Speaker 3: I think the other thing to potentially take a look

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Speaker 3: at us if you're looking at like massive, massive impact,

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Speaker 3: there were some downs from this past year. Wasn't like,

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Speaker 3: you know, you're dealing with some arm thing. No, his

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Speaker 3: strikeouts went way up from the year prior he hit

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Speaker 3: eleven percent strikeout rate. In twenty twenty three, it went

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Speaker 3: up to twenty three point nine, which was more career

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Speaker 3: average lost barrel rate. Obviously, there was more season to

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Speaker 3: be played, and the home run totals were way down.

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Speaker 3: I would say, my best is my best way to

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Speaker 3: associate all of this with these players. It's not necessarily

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Speaker 3: about Ocunya being this lower dynasty value as it is,

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Speaker 3: it's such an incredible tier of players. You know, Hulu

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Speaker 3: Rodriguez has a down year, one of the youngest. He's

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Speaker 3: great Tatis kind of retransform. He's always a thirty thirty play.

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Speaker 3: We talk about Gunner Henderson, we talked about Bobby we

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Speaker 3: Elie de la Cruz as well, is a unicorn freak

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Speaker 3: who I think could be the number one overall. It's

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Speaker 3: just such a great collection of players to put in

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Speaker 3: here that I think Acunya properly fits a little bit

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Speaker 3: lower with now some injury risk, little bit power down.

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Speaker 3: Maybe the stolen bases come down. But like if you

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Speaker 3: had the six pick in a dynasty and you got Acunya,

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Speaker 3: that's pretty slick. But you're already playing maybe slightly behind

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Speaker 3: the eight ball as far as your production in your

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Speaker 3: first year. But to me, he's a top ten I

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Speaker 3: can't put him outside the top ten.

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Speaker 1: Skeens is the only pitcher on your top ten list.

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Speaker 1: If I had a picture on the top ten, I

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Speaker 1: would put schoobl Off there, despite the fact that it's

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Speaker 1: really one and a half glorious seasons. He's older, he's

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Speaker 1: twenty eight, he's left handed. He is about to hit

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Speaker 1: the market soon, which we love guys coming up on

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Speaker 1: contract years. My problem with Skeens is not how great

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Speaker 1: he is, and you know, the routine is incredible. Everything

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Speaker 1: about Skeens is fantastic. My concern is learning the lesson

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Speaker 1: from years and years of doing this in decades now plural.

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Speaker 1: You feel like there's going to be a Tommy John

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Speaker 1: at some point when anybody that throws this hard. So

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Speaker 1: the question is when does that happen And does he

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Speaker 1: miss an entire season because it happens at a certain time,

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Speaker 1: but like a better time quote unquote, like early in

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Speaker 1: a season as opposed to do in the middle of

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Speaker 1: a season, or does he miss a year and a

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Speaker 1: half possibly two years because of it. It's all about

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Speaker 1: the timing of that. And in Dynasty, that's just something.

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Speaker 1: Of course, it could happen to any picture, can happen

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Speaker 1: to school, can happ up into you know, any of

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Speaker 1: these guys. But it just feels like the potential for

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Speaker 1: it to happen to Skeins is a little higher than

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Speaker 1: most And when you factor in the risk versus the

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Speaker 1: top ten ranking, to me, I'm passing on all pictures

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Speaker 1: in the top ten. If I had to buck for one,

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Speaker 1: it would be Schooble, although Zack Wheeler is a guy

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Speaker 1: who's been so incredibly consistent, maybe we don't give him.

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Speaker 2: Enough credit to that's too old. Let's talk about Yeah,

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Speaker 2: that's the problem. It's too old.

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Speaker 1: So let's talk about schemes here in the top ten

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Speaker 1: and the risk that that really is out there, because

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Speaker 1: I'm sure it's going to be tantalizing for a lot

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Speaker 1: of players out there.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, I'll be frank, it would be hard

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Speaker 3: for me to take schemes and take a picture. For

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Speaker 3: everything that you said, I think from again, this is dynasty,

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Speaker 3: So from that perspective, you know, from a three year

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Speaker 3: window perspective, Scooble and schemes, Like, if you want to

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Speaker 3: take Scoople over him, I think that's justified if you

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Speaker 3: are thinking about the bigger scope, like there's a massive,

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Speaker 3: massive age difference. I love schemes though as well, Like

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Speaker 3: I'll take the talent of schemes. It's not to take

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Speaker 3: away from Schooble had one of the most ridiculous k

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Speaker 3: rates on his four seen thirty seven percent this past year.

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Speaker 3: He had a one point nine to six ERA with

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Speaker 3: a two point five to three expected thirty three percent

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Speaker 3: strikeout rate was absolutely absurd, and that Splinker just became

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Speaker 3: an absolutely dominant pitch. He's elite of elite. He's young,

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Speaker 3: but the problems massive college innings. All of these big

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Speaker 3: velocity arms have some type of an injury. Hell, I'll

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Speaker 3: thow you this example. I love Sean McClanahan, so player.

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Speaker 3: I always loved. He was near the tippy top, probably

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Speaker 3: two or three on my list of Dynasty pitchers. Last year.

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Speaker 3: Guess what two of the three of my Dynasty pitchers injured.

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Speaker 3: Strider and him. So, to speak to your point, investment

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Speaker 3: in a picture is really tough. But from the talent perspective,

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Speaker 3: it's Paul Skeins. The age perspective, it's not remotely closing

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Speaker 3: the value of what you're getting on him. The three

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Speaker 3: year window maybe makes it a little bit more comfortable.

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Speaker 3: This isn't like a young pitcher who is like, oh,

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Speaker 3: he's like the fifteenth ranked guy and has upsie. This

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Speaker 3: is number one redraft pick right now. I mean everybody

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Speaker 3: expects the production of what you've seen out of him

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Speaker 3: is going to be a lead of elite. Can I

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Speaker 3: get three years before an injury? Yeah? I do think

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Speaker 3: it's a possibility, but you are taking on inherent risk.

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Speaker 3: We always chase this with Chris Sale. I would just

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Speaker 3: throw out everybody year in and year out, would chase

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Speaker 3: this idea. Chris ail his arm, He's going to blow

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Speaker 3: it out and it never happen. It's kind of a

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Speaker 3: different world that we're in right now. So I agree

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Speaker 3: with you. I think this is the riskiest of all

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Speaker 3: of this because you've got these incredible hitters that are

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Speaker 3: around him. You've got some incredible hitters right behind him.

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Speaker 3: But if you want to own the starting pitcher market,

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Speaker 3: this is what you're going to have to pay for.

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Speaker 3: Paul Skins. Paul Skins is higher and a lot.

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Speaker 1: Of strider in your top ten last year.

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Speaker 3: Welsh, No, but he was my number one sp for Dynasty.

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Speaker 1: Right, Well, there's the cautionary tale. That's why.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, one hundred percent.

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Speaker 1: I imagine he was top fifteen or twenty for sure.

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Speaker 3: Yes, I think it was like I want to say,

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Speaker 3: like yeah, nineteen or eighteen or something like that, right

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Speaker 3: in that range.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, let's get to the next grouping of

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Speaker 1: ten here eleven through twenty Corbyn Carroll with Arizona Jackson, Curio,

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Speaker 1: who really turned out on the second half at twelve,

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Speaker 1: with Milwaukee lad Junior at thirteen, Aaron Judge at fourteen,

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Speaker 1: Jose Ramirez at fifteen. Maybe not enough respect for Jose Ramirez.

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Speaker 1: I know he's not as young as some of the

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Speaker 1: other guys in this list, but man, oh man, that

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Speaker 1: guy just continues to have seiye.

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Speaker 3: So you take a three year window, I mean, this

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Speaker 3: is huge value right there.

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Speaker 2: But I was thinking the same thing.

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Speaker 1: I'm looking at him there and I'm thinking to myself, Man,

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Speaker 1: do I feel better about him in a three year

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Speaker 1: window than Jackson Cheerio?

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Speaker 2: Probably? Like I just do. I love Cheerio, but like.

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Speaker 1: I think I know what I'm getting in the next

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Speaker 1: couple of years, and I think Cherio's is a great

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Speaker 1: player who's going to really be special. But three year

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Speaker 1: window maybe Jose Ramirez, But regardless, We'll continue on here

333
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Speaker 1: sixteen to Rescooble, seventeen, Bryce Harper, and then Jordan Alvarez

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Speaker 1: at eighteen. We have Mookie Bets at nineteen, James Wood

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Speaker 1: at twenty. Let's start with Corbyn Carroll a mixed bag

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Speaker 1: last year, very frustrating first half, prolific second half, sophomore

337
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Speaker 1: slumps happened. Adjustments get made. He made them, so obviously,

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Speaker 1: you know, putting your Arizona Diamondbacks love aside, you know

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Speaker 1: that Corbyn Carroll, you and I are both big fans

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Speaker 1: of his. He did what he had to do for

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Speaker 1: me and clearly for you two with this ranking where okay,

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Speaker 1: the league adjusted to you. You made adjustments back second

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Speaker 1: half was fantastic and now it should be theoretically clear sailing. Yes,

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Speaker 1: do you worry about frame or size with Corbyn Carroll

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Speaker 1: in terms of long term investment?

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Speaker 3: You know, fram in size is not it's not a

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Speaker 3: big I mean, you could have had that same argument

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Speaker 3: about like hose Al Tuve his entire career and he's

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Speaker 3: consolutely going.

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Speaker 1: Well and worse because he plays the infield because exactly

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Speaker 1: and more, you know, he's a little bit thicker and

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Speaker 1: stuff like that, and you could make arguments that maybe

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Speaker 1: the everybody on the planet was like Corbyn Carroll's shoulder.

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Speaker 3: Those two things were peanut butter and jelly for conversations

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Speaker 3: about why he wasn't producing as well, and you could

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Speaker 3: maybe say, like, oh, a guy with that type of frame,

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Speaker 3: you know in the velocity you want to talk about

358
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Speaker 3: bat speed We have new bat speed trackers this past year,

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Speaker 3: and God has gonna be amazing being able to go

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Speaker 3: year over year bat speed. But you want to talk

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Speaker 3: about bat speed, he was like top essentially twentieth percentile

362
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Speaker 3: in the league, quite a bit faster than the average.

363
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Speaker 3: So that type of like framing could be the issue.

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Speaker 3: We never did find out if there was a shoulder

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Speaker 3: injury that was actually going on. What we did know

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Speaker 3: and I talked about all year, was there was a

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Speaker 3: hole in the swing in his rookie year that people

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Speaker 3: didn't take advantage of. They saw it in the off

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Speaker 3: season and they pounded it. This past year was up

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Speaker 3: and inside. He could not figure it out until the

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Speaker 3: second half. I mean, the power surge was bad. In

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Speaker 3: the first half. He had five homers, but in three

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Speaker 3: hundred and fifty three of bats in the first half.

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Speaker 3: In the second half, in two hundred and thirty six

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Speaker 3: at bats, he hit seventeen homers. He tripled his power output.

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Speaker 3: He figured it out to twelve average in the first

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Speaker 3: half two fifty eight in the second half. Stole I mean,

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Speaker 3: the stolen base pace was higher because he was getting

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Speaker 3: on base more. But there's some downside. So we've now experienced.

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Speaker 3: What the downside is his expected batting average was only

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Speaker 3: two forty coming off of hitting what was it to

382
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Speaker 3: thirty one? So that doesn't like if he had like

383
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Speaker 3: an expected two seventy five, we'd be like, oh my gosh,

384
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Speaker 3: Corbyn Carroll could be back to being a three hundred hitter.

385
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Speaker 3: What we found out about him was he's a guy

386
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Speaker 3: who wants to work through it. Maybe he's not as

387
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Speaker 3: high contact of a player as we thought before, but

388
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Speaker 3: he proved h whatever you thought about the injuries, that

389
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Speaker 3: the power was still there. He showed twenty plus power.

390
00:17:19,880 --> 00:17:23,080
Speaker 3: He still stole thirty five bases. These paces weren't as

391
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Speaker 3: much as the rookie season, but he walked more, he

392
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Speaker 3: struck out less. This past year. He kept barreling the

393
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Speaker 3: ball and he was able to push through a monster

394
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Speaker 3: second half. All the talent in the world to be

395
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Speaker 3: a twenty five to fifty player year in and year out,

396
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Speaker 3: and he worked through some big bumps. Is out of

397
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Speaker 3: first round fantasy talent? I still think it is, but

398
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Speaker 3: there's risk and that's why the last thing I would

399
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Speaker 3: say is it is a very interesting and weird situation

400
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Speaker 3: when you get to like right up to Skeens. Then

401
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Speaker 3: you get Skeens, and then you look at all this

402
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Speaker 3: collection of players where there's these older guys, there's Judge,

403
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Speaker 3: there's Ramirez, and then there's the Corbyn Carrolls, and then

404
00:17:57,600 --> 00:18:00,520
Speaker 3: there's the Jackson Turios. You're now really bound and sing,

405
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Speaker 3: you know, do I want the upside versus what I've

406
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Speaker 3: always had? And that's why, Like, if you wanted to

407
00:18:06,000 --> 00:18:08,439
Speaker 3: take Cozier Ramirez over Carol here, I think you could

408
00:18:09,200 --> 00:18:11,159
Speaker 3: last time, I'll say, to be honest, yeah, and I

409
00:18:11,160 --> 00:18:14,240
Speaker 3: think I know you would. I My rank isn't one

410
00:18:14,320 --> 00:18:16,840
Speaker 3: hundred percent in a three year window. It's weighted to

411
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Speaker 3: a three year windows. So the three year window takes

412
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Speaker 3: a higher weight. So when you do the whole, like,

413
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Speaker 3: would I rather have Ramirez overturio? Yeah, maybe I see that,

414
00:18:23,760 --> 00:18:25,360
Speaker 3: but you still have to think about the long term.

415
00:18:25,400 --> 00:18:28,520
Speaker 3: But yes, Corbin Carrol has inherent risk. But I think

416
00:18:28,520 --> 00:18:31,000
Speaker 3: the second half told us a really great story that

417
00:18:31,040 --> 00:18:33,000
Speaker 3: this is one of those guys that can be twenty

418
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Speaker 3: to twenty five with anywhere from thirty five to fifty

419
00:18:35,840 --> 00:18:38,280
Speaker 3: plus stolen bases in a high powered offense. So I

420
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Speaker 3: still love him, and yes I am a Homer. He's

421
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Speaker 3: literally right above me on the camera.

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Speaker 1: Now, you got two guys named Corbin on the Diamondbacks.

423
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Speaker 1: How's that going to work out?

424
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Speaker 3: I know all the Cordle thing.

425
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Speaker 1: We've also got Vlad Garrow Junior on this list at thirteen.

426
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Speaker 1: Who uncertainty next year where he's going to be? How

427
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Speaker 1: do you factor that in too, because you know a

428
00:18:58,160 --> 00:19:00,640
Speaker 1: lot of I think the future of Lad Guerrero has

429
00:19:00,680 --> 00:19:03,840
Speaker 1: to do with what environment is in and hopefully it's

430
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Speaker 1: a good environment for him. We've seen him struggle at

431
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Speaker 1: times with weight, We've seen him struggle at times at

432
00:19:09,880 --> 00:19:13,359
Speaker 1: the plate. And last year was a great season for Vlad,

433
00:19:13,760 --> 00:19:16,280
Speaker 1: a big bounce back again monster a second half, that

434
00:19:16,560 --> 00:19:20,720
Speaker 1: big contract looming. Is Vlad Guerrero Junior for you, with

435
00:19:20,760 --> 00:19:23,680
Speaker 1: that uncertainty of where he is next year a good investment.

436
00:19:24,119 --> 00:19:24,320
Speaker 2: Yeah.

437
00:19:24,440 --> 00:19:28,359
Speaker 3: I don't think the certainty that looks like he's not

438
00:19:28,400 --> 00:19:29,800
Speaker 3: going to be a blue Jay. It might be more

439
00:19:29,800 --> 00:19:31,719
Speaker 3: certain that he's not feeling to be there. Yeah, So

440
00:19:32,640 --> 00:19:35,960
Speaker 3: the uncertainty you're talking about is the destination. I think

441
00:19:36,040 --> 00:19:38,080
Speaker 3: most of the places he's going to go, or at

442
00:19:38,160 --> 00:19:41,000
Speaker 3: least he's projected to, are better hitting environments. You know

443
00:19:41,040 --> 00:19:43,439
Speaker 3: Boston is the number one right now. I'll take him

444
00:19:43,480 --> 00:19:45,680
Speaker 3: hitting in Boston over Toronto.

445
00:19:45,760 --> 00:19:47,800
Speaker 1: So I want him in San Francisco, you know what

446
00:19:47,800 --> 00:19:50,320
Speaker 1: I mean? That would be where it's like they've got money.

447
00:19:50,320 --> 00:19:53,000
Speaker 1: They've been trying to spend it for the last three

448
00:19:53,080 --> 00:19:54,399
Speaker 1: years so hard.

449
00:19:54,720 --> 00:19:56,679
Speaker 3: That would be one that would that would you're one

450
00:19:56,720 --> 00:19:58,600
Speaker 3: hundred percent right, but if you were a Dodger, that

451
00:19:58,600 --> 00:20:00,280
Speaker 3: would be the best thing on the planet. Can we

452
00:20:00,320 --> 00:20:02,840
Speaker 3: not carry now we're not going on Boston? Seems like

453
00:20:02,840 --> 00:20:05,560
Speaker 3: a likely situation. So when you talk about the uncertainty,

454
00:20:05,880 --> 00:20:08,080
Speaker 3: the destination is probably going to be a better hitting environment.

455
00:20:08,200 --> 00:20:11,320
Speaker 3: The destination the team will probably have better players around

456
00:20:11,400 --> 00:20:13,760
Speaker 3: him for better run support. And then on top of it,

457
00:20:14,040 --> 00:20:17,160
Speaker 3: you put this twenty five year old first baseman who

458
00:20:17,320 --> 00:20:20,879
Speaker 3: was top ten percentile across the board in hitting thirteen

459
00:20:20,920 --> 00:20:23,760
Speaker 3: point seven percent barrel rate, top nine percent hard hit rate,

460
00:20:23,800 --> 00:20:26,679
Speaker 3: fifty four point nine, top three percent in the league.

461
00:20:26,720 --> 00:20:30,359
Speaker 3: He hit three twenty three. His expected batting average was

462
00:20:30,400 --> 00:20:32,399
Speaker 3: three twenty one. It's like the best in the league.

463
00:20:32,840 --> 00:20:36,000
Speaker 3: He checked every single box, doesn't strike out, walked more,

464
00:20:36,320 --> 00:20:40,040
Speaker 3: barreled more. He's in a contract year right now. And

465
00:20:40,080 --> 00:20:42,960
Speaker 3: then the environment can get better. Everything is in this

466
00:20:43,320 --> 00:20:46,560
Speaker 3: beautiful scenario for Vlad. The only negatives from Dynasty is

467
00:20:46,560 --> 00:20:48,840
Speaker 3: he's kind of like a first baseman doesn't steal bases,

468
00:20:49,119 --> 00:20:53,159
Speaker 3: but he's centered around you know, older players like I mean,

469
00:20:53,240 --> 00:20:54,840
Speaker 3: Judge is going to hit more homers, but he's a

470
00:20:54,840 --> 00:20:56,800
Speaker 3: bit older. You can pair out some of the other

471
00:20:56,880 --> 00:20:59,280
Speaker 3: first basemen that have kind of lost some of the value.

472
00:20:59,320 --> 00:21:01,719
Speaker 3: Bryce Harper is probably a good comp but he's younger.

473
00:21:01,960 --> 00:21:05,240
Speaker 3: He's still just really young. He's an incredible bat who's

474
00:21:05,240 --> 00:21:09,600
Speaker 3: shown high batting average and is a elite four category player.

475
00:21:09,680 --> 00:21:13,000
Speaker 3: So I love Lad from the age, from the uncertainty

476
00:21:13,040 --> 00:21:14,760
Speaker 3: that is probably only going to be a plus. I

477
00:21:14,800 --> 00:21:16,880
Speaker 3: just think he's a great Dynasty buy in the second round.

478
00:21:16,880 --> 00:21:20,360
Speaker 3: But you were kind of devoid of stolen bases. There

479
00:21:20,520 --> 00:21:22,280
Speaker 3: a really great pairing if you were, if you had

480
00:21:22,320 --> 00:21:25,159
Speaker 3: the ability to Ellie and vladd would be like a

481
00:21:25,240 --> 00:21:27,199
Speaker 3: killer one two punch for stolen bass. Well.

482
00:21:27,200 --> 00:21:29,080
Speaker 1: Actually it's funny because in this ten team where you're

483
00:21:29,080 --> 00:21:32,040
Speaker 1: wrapping around here, Akunya in Vlad would be the the

484
00:21:32,160 --> 00:21:33,879
Speaker 1: actual combination there.

485
00:21:34,000 --> 00:21:36,560
Speaker 3: Love that, too shabby, Go play a ten team Dynasty,

486
00:21:36,600 --> 00:21:37,760
Speaker 3: then go.

487
00:21:37,800 --> 00:21:39,840
Speaker 2: Do that Alaska Crack the Talk twenty two.

488
00:21:39,880 --> 00:21:42,199
Speaker 1: I want to talk about it is James Wood, who

489
00:21:42,320 --> 00:21:44,159
Speaker 1: last year at twenty one, made his debut hit two

490
00:21:44,200 --> 00:21:48,080
Speaker 1: sixty four seven eighty one ops, nine homers, fourteen steals.

491
00:21:48,119 --> 00:21:50,639
Speaker 1: Stage didn't look too big. I'm aggressive on him, and

492
00:21:50,680 --> 00:21:52,600
Speaker 1: I'm happy you are too. I want to talk about

493
00:21:52,600 --> 00:21:54,920
Speaker 1: your aggression with James Wood because I think we see

494
00:21:54,920 --> 00:21:55,840
Speaker 1: eye to eye on this guy.

495
00:21:56,119 --> 00:21:58,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, and I think James Wood is the first representation

496
00:21:59,600 --> 00:22:02,520
Speaker 3: of the young player where their redraft value does not

497
00:22:02,520 --> 00:22:04,600
Speaker 3: equate to the dynasty, because that's the thing that everybody

498
00:22:04,600 --> 00:22:06,560
Speaker 3: has to come to terms with in dynasties. You're like,

499
00:22:06,600 --> 00:22:10,400
Speaker 3: oh my god, why is this guy who's never played,

500
00:22:10,800 --> 00:22:12,520
Speaker 3: you know, I never had a single atout in the majors.

501
00:22:12,520 --> 00:22:14,679
Speaker 3: Why is this guy in the top sixty over this

502
00:22:14,720 --> 00:22:17,360
Speaker 3: other guy? James Wood is the first representation of redraft

503
00:22:17,400 --> 00:22:19,640
Speaker 3: not translating to it, but it is. You know, it's

504
00:22:19,640 --> 00:22:21,399
Speaker 3: all the potential, like what you're talking about. He had

505
00:22:21,400 --> 00:22:24,240
Speaker 3: two sixty four last year, which you love. Lowered his

506
00:22:24,280 --> 00:22:26,840
Speaker 3: strikeout rate at triple a, still pretty high at the majors.

507
00:22:27,080 --> 00:22:29,880
Speaker 3: That's going to improve. Walk rate was good, a great

508
00:22:30,000 --> 00:22:33,119
Speaker 3: ten percent barrel rate hard hit was elite at fifty

509
00:22:33,160 --> 00:22:36,920
Speaker 3: two percent, which is bonkers, and his expected batting average

510
00:22:37,119 --> 00:22:40,000
Speaker 3: supported his batting average. So all these fun things. He

511
00:22:40,080 --> 00:22:43,320
Speaker 3: barrels the ball, he hits it hard, batting average is

512
00:22:43,359 --> 00:22:46,199
Speaker 3: supportive of where he was, so you can grow on it.

513
00:22:46,400 --> 00:22:48,800
Speaker 3: He's got tools for days. I said this last year.

514
00:22:48,840 --> 00:22:50,480
Speaker 3: I think I said it here. I said it on

515
00:22:50,560 --> 00:22:53,119
Speaker 3: a show over on CBS that if you want a

516
00:22:53,160 --> 00:22:57,520
Speaker 3: player for the future to project that has freak likabilities

517
00:22:57,560 --> 00:23:00,240
Speaker 3: like Elie de la Cruz, it's James Wood. James woodd

518
00:23:00,240 --> 00:23:01,680
Speaker 3: be that type of player. And it's not even just

519
00:23:01,800 --> 00:23:03,840
Speaker 3: meant to be like physical comps of like he's six

520
00:23:03,880 --> 00:23:04,800
Speaker 3: foot seven or whatever.

521
00:23:04,920 --> 00:23:06,320
Speaker 1: No, it's like this all the tools.

522
00:23:06,560 --> 00:23:07,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, this dude.

523
00:23:07,119 --> 00:23:08,040
Speaker 1: Doesn't be eye test.

524
00:23:08,280 --> 00:23:11,920
Speaker 3: He's improved his back to ball skills exponentially. He could

525
00:23:11,920 --> 00:23:14,000
Speaker 3: always run, but now you're looking at a guy that

526
00:23:14,040 --> 00:23:16,080
Speaker 3: could go thirty thirty. So you got to this is

527
00:23:16,080 --> 00:23:18,080
Speaker 3: where you have to start paying up for someone whose

528
00:23:18,080 --> 00:23:23,760
Speaker 3: production doesn't quite justify the cost. He's that first representation

529
00:23:23,920 --> 00:23:25,879
Speaker 3: of it. And I think this is you know where

530
00:23:25,920 --> 00:23:29,840
Speaker 3: you maybe and here would be a good example of

531
00:23:29,880 --> 00:23:32,160
Speaker 3: something you could do. You're like Joe, and you say

532
00:23:32,160 --> 00:23:35,080
Speaker 3: I want Jose Ramirez a little bit higher over another,

533
00:23:35,200 --> 00:23:36,440
Speaker 3: you know, like you want to do it over Carol

534
00:23:36,520 --> 00:23:40,080
Speaker 3: or Jackson Curio. Take Ramirez in the first and then

535
00:23:40,119 --> 00:23:42,000
Speaker 3: come back and get James Wood and you're getting some

536
00:23:42,040 --> 00:23:45,160
Speaker 3: of that upside. Those two could be really great combinations.

537
00:23:45,480 --> 00:23:47,200
Speaker 1: I agree. I think that's a great way to put

538
00:23:47,240 --> 00:23:51,080
Speaker 1: it too. Uh, let's talk at Roster construction one on one, folks. Yeah,

539
00:23:51,119 --> 00:23:53,360
Speaker 1: a little bit of upside, a little bit of floor there.

540
00:23:53,359 --> 00:23:55,840
Speaker 1: You got the best of all worlds. Next here on

541
00:23:55,880 --> 00:23:58,920
Speaker 1: our list twenty one through thirty. Francisco Lindora twenty one,

542
00:23:59,240 --> 00:24:02,600
Speaker 1: Rafield Dever's a twenty two look to be moving positions there,

543
00:24:02,800 --> 00:24:05,960
Speaker 1: Junior Cavanaro at twenty three, Jared Durant twenty four, White

544
00:24:06,040 --> 00:24:09,679
Speaker 1: Langford cracking the top twenty five, Spencer Stryder, Austin Reiley,

545
00:24:09,760 --> 00:24:12,520
Speaker 1: Garrett Crochet, a bunch of pitchers there, and then you

546
00:24:12,560 --> 00:24:15,720
Speaker 1: have Katel Marte at twenty nine and Jackson Merrill at thirty.

547
00:24:16,160 --> 00:24:18,359
Speaker 1: Junior Camanaro, guy I was very high on last year.

548
00:24:18,400 --> 00:24:21,520
Speaker 1: I'm still very high on Camanaro. However, I'm just not

549
00:24:21,560 --> 00:24:25,119
Speaker 1: sure if he's done enough yet to warrant the top

550
00:24:25,200 --> 00:24:28,240
Speaker 1: twenty five, which is basically where he is. He's right

551
00:24:28,280 --> 00:24:30,720
Speaker 1: in that twenty three range. What did you see out

552
00:24:30,720 --> 00:24:33,040
Speaker 1: of him last year? I only hit under two fifty.

553
00:24:33,080 --> 00:24:35,680
Speaker 1: The OBP was a great small sample forty three games,

554
00:24:35,720 --> 00:24:37,720
Speaker 1: but still I would like to see a little bit

555
00:24:37,760 --> 00:24:40,320
Speaker 1: more before we get quite to top twenty five stats

556
00:24:40,359 --> 00:24:42,480
Speaker 1: for Cavanaro. I think it's too high. Why are you

557
00:24:42,560 --> 00:24:44,840
Speaker 1: so aggressive on the Projectability's just because he missed so

558
00:24:44,880 --> 00:24:46,120
Speaker 1: much time being hurt last year.

559
00:24:46,440 --> 00:24:47,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I don't don't think you can take

560
00:24:47,920 --> 00:24:49,879
Speaker 3: it too too much out of like the rookie campaign,

561
00:24:49,920 --> 00:24:53,680
Speaker 3: he's twenty one years old. He had a two almost

562
00:24:53,720 --> 00:24:55,920
Speaker 3: it's called two to fifty batting average in the majors.

563
00:24:56,119 --> 00:24:58,679
Speaker 3: Prior to that in the miners, he had shown the

564
00:24:58,720 --> 00:25:01,600
Speaker 3: ability to lower that strikeout rate, which he also did

565
00:25:01,600 --> 00:25:04,000
Speaker 3: in the majors twenty two percent in his you know

566
00:25:04,040 --> 00:25:06,800
Speaker 3: first campaign of twenty twenty three, twenty one point five.

567
00:25:06,960 --> 00:25:10,160
Speaker 3: Very good for a rookie, elite barrel, elite ish hard

568
00:25:10,280 --> 00:25:12,679
Speaker 3: hit for a rookie at forty five percent, already put

569
00:25:12,760 --> 00:25:15,960
Speaker 3: one up one sixteen on max EV. So I'm getting

570
00:25:16,000 --> 00:25:17,959
Speaker 3: at is you got a guy that is not striking

571
00:25:17,960 --> 00:25:21,400
Speaker 3: out a bunch has always had elite, elite contact skills.

572
00:25:21,560 --> 00:25:23,640
Speaker 3: You're talking thirty plus homer projection.

573
00:25:24,600 --> 00:25:24,800
Speaker 2: You know.

574
00:25:24,960 --> 00:25:27,080
Speaker 3: The offense around him maybe is a bit of a question.

575
00:25:27,160 --> 00:25:29,760
Speaker 3: But this, this is that battle where they waited three

576
00:25:29,840 --> 00:25:31,600
Speaker 3: year kind of moves a little bit because this is

577
00:25:31,600 --> 00:25:33,520
Speaker 3: a twenty one year old, like he has time to

578
00:25:33,640 --> 00:25:37,560
Speaker 3: work his projection of a player as long as it

579
00:25:37,640 --> 00:25:39,960
Speaker 3: keeps moving in the right direction, is someone that's probably

580
00:25:39,960 --> 00:25:42,040
Speaker 3: going to look like a Rafael Devers, if not better.

581
00:25:42,600 --> 00:25:44,879
Speaker 3: So that's why you pay this price right now. And

582
00:25:44,920 --> 00:25:46,960
Speaker 3: this is a battle of that win now versus playing

583
00:25:47,000 --> 00:25:49,040
Speaker 3: for the future. But I think he's a happy medium

584
00:25:49,080 --> 00:25:50,840
Speaker 3: because you're going to get full year production out of

585
00:25:50,880 --> 00:25:52,760
Speaker 3: him this year, and I would expect the low side

586
00:25:52,840 --> 00:25:55,199
Speaker 3: is like two fifty to twenty five homers. Twenty one

587
00:25:55,240 --> 00:25:56,760
Speaker 3: years old, you're going to be sitting on him for

588
00:25:56,760 --> 00:25:57,280
Speaker 3: a long time.

589
00:25:57,720 --> 00:26:01,399
Speaker 1: Wyatt Langford last year had big xpectations. Now a terrible

590
00:26:01,440 --> 00:26:05,400
Speaker 1: April in March rib barely terrible. I mean he hit

591
00:26:05,400 --> 00:26:08,440
Speaker 1: two thirty eight, then May was only six games he missed.

592
00:26:08,440 --> 00:26:11,800
Speaker 1: Time came back was incredible. In June eight ninety four,

593
00:26:11,840 --> 00:26:15,600
Speaker 1: Ops hit three hundred, then May in August, I mean,

594
00:26:15,600 --> 00:26:18,359
Speaker 1: excuse me, excuse me a July in August tailed off

595
00:26:18,400 --> 00:26:21,280
Speaker 1: a little bit, only to be brilliant again in September

596
00:26:21,280 --> 00:26:23,640
Speaker 1: where we hit three hundred again with a six ten

597
00:26:23,680 --> 00:26:26,880
Speaker 1: slugging percentage of the nine ninety six ops, eight homers

598
00:26:26,920 --> 00:26:30,119
Speaker 1: twenty RBI. That is a hell of a finish. Wyatt

599
00:26:30,160 --> 00:26:31,720
Speaker 1: Langford could be one of these guys like if he

600
00:26:31,720 --> 00:26:34,960
Speaker 1: could find that consistency, would be a top ten maybe

601
00:26:35,000 --> 00:26:38,040
Speaker 1: next year. Do you see that jump or is it

602
00:26:38,359 --> 00:26:40,720
Speaker 1: more of this growing pains and finding himself in twenty

603
00:26:40,720 --> 00:26:41,200
Speaker 1: twenty five.

604
00:26:41,320 --> 00:26:43,600
Speaker 3: There's a little part of me that isn't sure that

605
00:26:43,640 --> 00:26:47,919
Speaker 3: there's like insane upside of Whyatt Langford he hit two

606
00:26:47,960 --> 00:26:51,240
Speaker 3: fifty three, sixteen homers, nineteen stolen bases. Now bear with

607
00:26:51,280 --> 00:26:52,960
Speaker 3: me just for half a second when when I say

608
00:26:52,960 --> 00:26:54,679
Speaker 3: that is I'm not sure I would look at him

609
00:26:54,720 --> 00:26:55,879
Speaker 3: and be like, oh, this is a guy that's going

610
00:26:55,920 --> 00:26:58,800
Speaker 3: to hit thirty five homers, steal forty five bases and

611
00:26:58,880 --> 00:27:01,120
Speaker 3: da da da. I think you might be like, he's

612
00:27:01,160 --> 00:27:04,200
Speaker 3: going to become a better hitter. From the two fifty three,

613
00:27:04,240 --> 00:27:06,480
Speaker 3: he had a two to fifty seven expected batting average,

614
00:27:06,640 --> 00:27:09,320
Speaker 3: low strikeout rate, but he settled still as like a

615
00:27:09,359 --> 00:27:11,960
Speaker 3: twenty five to twenty five guy. But the base dealing

616
00:27:12,000 --> 00:27:14,920
Speaker 3: looks aggressive. The plate skills look kind of elite for

617
00:27:14,960 --> 00:27:17,840
Speaker 3: a rookie again, almost under twenty percent, almost ten percent

618
00:27:17,880 --> 00:27:20,720
Speaker 3: walk rate, really great overall hit skills, and just a

619
00:27:20,720 --> 00:27:22,680
Speaker 3: couple of notes I had on him, he hit two

620
00:27:22,840 --> 00:27:26,200
Speaker 3: forty plus against three different pitch types. Again this is

621
00:27:26,200 --> 00:27:30,760
Speaker 3: a rookie. He had a thirty point plus against fastballs,

622
00:27:30,840 --> 00:27:34,080
Speaker 3: so two thirty one jump of his expected batting average,

623
00:27:34,080 --> 00:27:36,879
Speaker 3: so he hit two sixty five technically on the expected

624
00:27:36,920 --> 00:27:39,560
Speaker 3: side he was expected to and almost a fifty point

625
00:27:39,600 --> 00:27:42,680
Speaker 3: batting average boost he had against sliders, where he only

626
00:27:42,760 --> 00:27:45,359
Speaker 3: hit two hundred but an expected two fifty. So what

627
00:27:45,359 --> 00:27:48,280
Speaker 3: does that mean. That means a little bit more progression.

628
00:27:48,440 --> 00:27:50,360
Speaker 3: Those balls are going to start flying. He also had

629
00:27:50,359 --> 00:27:54,440
Speaker 3: a three plus expected home run total in Baseball Savant,

630
00:27:54,680 --> 00:27:56,240
Speaker 3: so just seeing that he's got a little bit more

631
00:27:56,240 --> 00:27:59,040
Speaker 3: home run upside, all of the nonsense of what I'm

632
00:27:59,080 --> 00:28:00,720
Speaker 3: saying is is like this. It looks like a really

633
00:28:00,800 --> 00:28:03,240
Speaker 3: really good hitter, someone that can be aggressive as far

634
00:28:03,240 --> 00:28:05,760
Speaker 3: as his running goes, and I think I wouldn't be surprised.

635
00:28:05,800 --> 00:28:07,920
Speaker 3: If he's a two eighty five twenty five to twenty

636
00:28:07,920 --> 00:28:10,639
Speaker 3: five guy, there's a lot of upside for what the

637
00:28:10,680 --> 00:28:12,240
Speaker 3: floor is gonna look like. I'm just not sure he's

638
00:28:12,240 --> 00:28:14,080
Speaker 3: gonna be like Ellie or like Corporn Carol.

639
00:28:14,520 --> 00:28:17,960
Speaker 1: All right, Garrett Crochet certainly a great season, not a

640
00:28:17,960 --> 00:28:20,040
Speaker 1: full season from only one hundred and forty six things.

641
00:28:20,040 --> 00:28:21,920
Speaker 1: Now he is going to be a Boston Red Sox.

642
00:28:22,160 --> 00:28:24,080
Speaker 1: He's just twenty six. I gotta tell you, Welsh, he

643
00:28:24,160 --> 00:28:26,160
Speaker 1: is one of my favorite values on this board here

644
00:28:26,200 --> 00:28:29,000
Speaker 1: at the twenty eighth spot. Overall, I feel like this

645
00:28:29,040 --> 00:28:31,119
Speaker 1: is where I'm about ready. If I'm gonna take a

646
00:28:31,119 --> 00:28:33,119
Speaker 1: plunge with a pitcher, I'm gonna take it with a

647
00:28:33,160 --> 00:28:36,199
Speaker 1: six to six guy who's two fifty and like just

648
00:28:36,240 --> 00:28:40,480
Speaker 1: throws gas and now has found himself on a significantly

649
00:28:40,520 --> 00:28:44,000
Speaker 1: better team with a different color pair of socks, where

650
00:28:44,040 --> 00:28:47,280
Speaker 1: games are gonna matter now for Garrett Crochet. Anything else

651
00:28:47,280 --> 00:28:48,720
Speaker 1: to add on this guy too? I mean, did you

652
00:28:48,760 --> 00:28:51,200
Speaker 1: see I know it was on like one glorious season,

653
00:28:51,280 --> 00:28:53,440
Speaker 1: but still I think it's a lot to like here

654
00:28:53,440 --> 00:28:54,000
Speaker 1: with Crochet.

655
00:28:54,080 --> 00:28:56,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, I actually love your assessment too. Of like, maybe

656
00:28:56,280 --> 00:28:58,360
Speaker 3: I don't take school. Maybe I don't take Skeins. You

657
00:28:58,480 --> 00:29:00,880
Speaker 3: come into like a third round in third crochet. Yeah,

658
00:29:00,960 --> 00:29:02,080
Speaker 3: they get some really little.

659
00:29:01,800 --> 00:29:04,480
Speaker 1: Old He's funny. He's younger than skoobl but he's older

660
00:29:04,520 --> 00:29:08,280
Speaker 1: than Skens. But again, the size and the frame. I

661
00:29:08,320 --> 00:29:10,000
Speaker 1: just look at him and I'm like, man, that's a hoss.

662
00:29:10,040 --> 00:29:11,160
Speaker 1: That's what I'm looking at.

663
00:29:11,400 --> 00:29:13,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, I just want to agree. Three point five eight

664
00:29:13,320 --> 00:29:17,120
Speaker 3: ERA two point five expected, so a full run lower

665
00:29:17,280 --> 00:29:19,680
Speaker 3: when he was a White Sox elite thirty five point

666
00:29:19,680 --> 00:29:22,720
Speaker 3: one percent K percentage, And I love this. Every pitch

667
00:29:22,760 --> 00:29:27,720
Speaker 3: he threw had a thirty percent plus width and K percentage.

668
00:29:27,840 --> 00:29:30,520
Speaker 3: Every pitch is elite. The only thing to worry about

669
00:29:30,560 --> 00:29:34,360
Speaker 3: is maybe Boston Boston has some home some ballpark factors

670
00:29:34,400 --> 00:29:37,360
Speaker 3: that can maybe negatively worked against him. Boston's overall the

671
00:29:37,600 --> 00:29:41,400
Speaker 3: second ballpark factor best for hitters. The Socks were the

672
00:29:41,440 --> 00:29:45,160
Speaker 3: twenty first, and for right handed hitters, Boston is number two,

673
00:29:45,800 --> 00:29:48,600
Speaker 3: Chicago was thirteen. So what I'm saying is is there,

674
00:29:48,640 --> 00:29:50,560
Speaker 3: you know, for right handed hitters against him, there's a

675
00:29:50,600 --> 00:29:53,080
Speaker 3: little bit more of an advantage from a ballpark factor,

676
00:29:53,120 --> 00:29:55,520
Speaker 3: but he's an elite strikeout option and he's got plenty

677
00:29:55,560 --> 00:29:57,880
Speaker 3: of time to go, and he's already got that injury

678
00:29:57,920 --> 00:29:59,440
Speaker 3: out of his way as well. So I love him

679
00:29:59,480 --> 00:30:00,520
Speaker 3: as a dynas you buy.

680
00:30:01,040 --> 00:30:03,280
Speaker 1: Next year thirty one through forty. Now this is the

681
00:30:03,360 --> 00:30:05,040
Speaker 1: round where I want to trade out. I want to

682
00:30:05,080 --> 00:30:07,280
Speaker 1: trade up. I want to trade back because this group,

683
00:30:07,320 --> 00:30:09,400
Speaker 1: to me, is a lot of volatility. Jets Chism at

684
00:30:09,400 --> 00:30:12,680
Speaker 1: thirty one, trade Turner at thirty two, Michael Harris at

685
00:30:12,680 --> 00:30:16,479
Speaker 1: thirty three, Cole Reagan's at thirty four, then Jackson Holiday,

686
00:30:16,560 --> 00:30:20,200
Speaker 1: Jason Dominguez, Logan Gilbert thirty seven, Dylan Cruz at thirty eight,

687
00:30:20,280 --> 00:30:23,320
Speaker 1: Latch of Projectables with him in Washington and Wood we

688
00:30:23,360 --> 00:30:26,880
Speaker 1: have O'Neil Cruz at thirty nine, and then rock excuse me,

689
00:30:26,960 --> 00:30:30,400
Speaker 1: Roky Sazaki. He wasn't say Rocky Sazaki because that sounds fun.

690
00:30:30,440 --> 00:30:32,600
Speaker 3: It's a great name, Rocky Sazaki.

691
00:30:32,640 --> 00:30:35,680
Speaker 1: Come on, you're gonna eat lightning and crap thunder. But anyway,

692
00:30:35,760 --> 00:30:37,880
Speaker 1: Roki Sazaki. We'll see where he lands at the end

693
00:30:37,920 --> 00:30:40,720
Speaker 1: of January, hopefully in a good spot. But I want

694
00:30:40,720 --> 00:30:42,880
Speaker 1: to sort of Michael Harris in this group because this

695
00:30:42,960 --> 00:30:45,160
Speaker 1: is a guy I feel like I can get, you know,

696
00:30:45,240 --> 00:30:49,200
Speaker 1: fifteen and fifteen other spots, and I'd like Michael Harris

697
00:30:49,240 --> 00:30:51,560
Speaker 1: as a as a real player, as a fantasy player.

698
00:30:51,600 --> 00:30:53,320
Speaker 1: I think he's one of the most overrated guys. I

699
00:30:53,320 --> 00:30:55,280
Speaker 1: thought it last year. I didn't like the ADP at all.

700
00:30:55,320 --> 00:30:57,239
Speaker 1: You know this, We had lots of discussions about it.

701
00:30:57,880 --> 00:31:00,000
Speaker 1: I know there were moments last year in the second

702
00:31:00,160 --> 00:31:02,560
Speaker 1: where it came to life. But he gets bounced all

703
00:31:02,600 --> 00:31:04,560
Speaker 1: over the lineup. I don't know, man. Michael Harris, to me,

704
00:31:04,600 --> 00:31:06,160
Speaker 1: is one of these guys is really tough to gauge.

705
00:31:06,200 --> 00:31:08,360
Speaker 1: I would rather take a shot at with the upside

706
00:31:08,360 --> 00:31:11,000
Speaker 1: of Dylan Cruzes at thirty eight than Michael Harris at

707
00:31:11,040 --> 00:31:11,480
Speaker 1: thirty three.

708
00:31:11,600 --> 00:31:13,200
Speaker 3: Joe, it's funny that you say that. You kind of

709
00:31:13,240 --> 00:31:15,720
Speaker 3: got me thinking a little bit because I do. Look,

710
00:31:15,760 --> 00:31:19,120
Speaker 3: I love Jason Dominguez, who is a couple spots lower

711
00:31:19,280 --> 00:31:21,200
Speaker 3: you've already got. So we'll talk about the guy in

712
00:31:21,280 --> 00:31:23,600
Speaker 3: a little bit, But there's already some other favorites for him.

713
00:31:23,680 --> 00:31:25,920
Speaker 1: I would agree for the record too. Dimingez is another

714
00:31:25,920 --> 00:31:27,280
Speaker 1: guy I'd rather have than Michael Harris.

715
00:31:27,320 --> 00:31:29,520
Speaker 3: I love Dimingez runs aggressively well.

716
00:31:29,560 --> 00:31:31,120
Speaker 1: I've seen him play in person a couple of times

717
00:31:31,200 --> 00:31:34,000
Speaker 1: yere two in Somerset and he was He's terrific, I

718
00:31:34,000 --> 00:31:35,240
Speaker 1: mean terrific game player.

719
00:31:35,440 --> 00:31:37,480
Speaker 3: He's not the best like the vender. And he's got

720
00:31:37,480 --> 00:31:41,360
Speaker 3: some quota offense, yeah yeah, but offensively he's got huge power.

721
00:31:41,520 --> 00:31:43,520
Speaker 3: Stolen bases are there. I think he's going to hit better.

722
00:31:43,680 --> 00:31:45,640
Speaker 3: Dylan Cruz kind of the same thing. I love that.

723
00:31:45,960 --> 00:31:49,080
Speaker 3: The thing that holds you with Michael Harris. Bad first half,

724
00:31:49,240 --> 00:31:51,720
Speaker 3: like kind of again last year, but second half he

725
00:31:51,800 --> 00:31:55,280
Speaker 3: hit two eighty three eleven homers, but he did stop stealing,

726
00:31:55,560 --> 00:31:57,959
Speaker 3: so it's kind of balanced out. What we've seen from

727
00:31:58,040 --> 00:32:01,320
Speaker 3: Michael Harris is kind of like the Langford what we're

728
00:32:01,320 --> 00:32:03,000
Speaker 3: talking about, where it's like the guy could be a

729
00:32:03,000 --> 00:32:05,640
Speaker 3: two eighty hitter twenty plus, twenty plus, especially if he

730
00:32:05,680 --> 00:32:07,720
Speaker 3: is higher in the lineup. That still doesn't happen. You

731
00:32:07,760 --> 00:32:09,760
Speaker 3: do have me thinking I might make an adjustment because

732
00:32:09,800 --> 00:32:13,400
Speaker 3: I think the upside for a guy like Domingaz is

733
00:32:13,440 --> 00:32:15,600
Speaker 3: pretty higher than Michael Harris. Is just a better floor

734
00:32:15,600 --> 00:32:18,680
Speaker 3: with here. Dylan Cruz might be the prime example.

735
00:32:19,160 --> 00:32:21,239
Speaker 1: And look at Yankees. One other way to add more

736
00:32:21,280 --> 00:32:24,320
Speaker 1: pieces to lineup around some more veterans to that helps

737
00:32:25,160 --> 00:32:27,760
Speaker 1: the ballpark factor is a very good one too. For

738
00:32:27,800 --> 00:32:33,560
Speaker 1: the Bronx. Jackson Holiday another guy too, certainly disappointing early

739
00:32:33,600 --> 00:32:36,440
Speaker 1: on some signs of life in the second half there too,

740
00:32:37,280 --> 00:32:39,280
Speaker 1: And it looks like you are pretty confident here recking

741
00:32:39,320 --> 00:32:40,560
Speaker 1: with thirty five, that this is going to be a

742
00:32:40,560 --> 00:32:42,400
Speaker 1: player you want to build a dynasty team around.

743
00:32:42,600 --> 00:32:42,840
Speaker 2: Yeah.

744
00:32:42,880 --> 00:32:45,320
Speaker 3: I think the main thing I can throw at anybody

745
00:32:45,400 --> 00:32:48,600
Speaker 3: is like I was massively, massively high on Jackson Holiday

746
00:32:48,680 --> 00:32:52,040
Speaker 3: last year. I've obviously dinged him, not a crazy amount,

747
00:32:52,040 --> 00:32:54,760
Speaker 3: but he is still twenty one years old. I still

748
00:32:54,800 --> 00:32:57,120
Speaker 3: believe in the bat he had an eight percent barrel

749
00:32:57,160 --> 00:32:59,320
Speaker 3: rate and a forty five percent hard hit rate. Those

750
00:32:59,320 --> 00:33:01,680
Speaker 3: are two grit eight tools to build off of. He's

751
00:33:01,720 --> 00:33:04,520
Speaker 3: got a lower his strikeout rate, and he has got

752
00:33:04,560 --> 00:33:06,480
Speaker 3: to make better quality of contact, and I think that's

753
00:33:06,520 --> 00:33:10,080
Speaker 3: going to happen. So this my suggestion for Jackson Holiday,

754
00:33:10,320 --> 00:33:12,720
Speaker 3: get a better discount on him. Get a better discount

755
00:33:12,760 --> 00:33:14,960
Speaker 3: than paying inside the top forty. I think you probably

756
00:33:14,960 --> 00:33:17,120
Speaker 3: can for people that are going to look at redraft values.

757
00:33:17,760 --> 00:33:19,480
Speaker 3: There isn't a lot of what he did last year

758
00:33:19,520 --> 00:33:22,520
Speaker 3: to take with you, except there's still good quality of

759
00:33:22,600 --> 00:33:25,320
Speaker 3: contact when he makes quality of contact or there are

760
00:33:25,320 --> 00:33:27,720
Speaker 3: good bat to ball skills when he gets to it,

761
00:33:27,880 --> 00:33:29,400
Speaker 3: and I think that's going to bounce back this year.

762
00:33:29,400 --> 00:33:30,920
Speaker 3: And he's a good dynasty bibe. But try to get

763
00:33:30,920 --> 00:33:31,880
Speaker 3: a better.

764
00:33:31,600 --> 00:33:34,000
Speaker 1: Cost on him. Now, Sazaki is interesting. You have him

765
00:33:34,000 --> 00:33:36,680
Speaker 1: ahead of Yamamoto pitches on the Dodgers. Is that just

766
00:33:36,720 --> 00:33:39,000
Speaker 1: an age thing or is it all some size thing

767
00:33:39,000 --> 00:33:40,120
Speaker 1: too because he's a bigger pitcher.

768
00:33:40,320 --> 00:33:43,440
Speaker 3: Well, absolutely an age thing. Roki Sazaki has age in

769
00:33:43,520 --> 00:33:45,880
Speaker 3: his favor. You know he is coming over and he's

770
00:33:45,880 --> 00:33:50,880
Speaker 3: susceptible to the international signing rules because he's under twenty five. Yamamoto,

771
00:33:50,920 --> 00:33:53,320
Speaker 3: I believe he's thirty years old. There are two. There's

772
00:33:53,320 --> 00:33:54,400
Speaker 3: a couple conflicting things.

773
00:33:54,600 --> 00:33:54,840
Speaker 1: You got.

774
00:33:54,840 --> 00:33:57,240
Speaker 3: Baseball America is giving an eighty grade on his splitter.

775
00:33:57,400 --> 00:34:00,360
Speaker 3: Lance Brasdowski did an amazing breakdown of what this splitter

776
00:34:00,400 --> 00:34:03,360
Speaker 3: he throws. It's got, it's very unlike a lot.

777
00:34:03,680 --> 00:34:06,040
Speaker 1: Just twenty six, just pointing twenty six?

778
00:34:06,080 --> 00:34:09,200
Speaker 3: Did I say it was thirty? I think I'm making Yeah,

779
00:34:09,200 --> 00:34:09,719
Speaker 3: that's a whole one.

780
00:34:09,719 --> 00:34:11,840
Speaker 1: It's thirty one. Now I think going into this year.

781
00:34:11,640 --> 00:34:16,160
Speaker 3: One hundred percent. But Roki Sazaki splitter compared to Yamamoto

782
00:34:16,560 --> 00:34:19,799
Speaker 3: is something that might be a big differential. And again

783
00:34:19,840 --> 00:34:22,600
Speaker 3: go look at Lance's video on it, where he kind

784
00:34:22,600 --> 00:34:24,560
Speaker 3: of describes as splitter is almost kind of like a

785
00:34:24,600 --> 00:34:28,440
Speaker 3: bullet splitter, where it has a different trajectory of a

786
00:34:28,520 --> 00:34:30,360
Speaker 3: line of sight of what we're used to on the

787
00:34:30,400 --> 00:34:33,799
Speaker 3: plane from a fastball to splitter differential. It's a it's

788
00:34:33,800 --> 00:34:38,239
Speaker 3: a disgusting splitter. Guy's also thrown triple digits, but some

789
00:34:38,320 --> 00:34:40,360
Speaker 3: of that thing has fallen off, so that there's a

790
00:34:40,520 --> 00:34:44,000
Speaker 3: question mark can a team get back to this. Roki Sazaki,

791
00:34:44,040 --> 00:34:47,000
Speaker 3: who threw for triple digits, had this big extension. Here's

792
00:34:47,000 --> 00:34:50,600
Speaker 3: the other slight problem. Really seems like there might be

793
00:34:50,640 --> 00:34:52,840
Speaker 3: some type of UCL or Tommy John thing in the

794
00:34:52,880 --> 00:34:55,440
Speaker 3: near future. So, and I'm saying this because I think

795
00:34:55,440 --> 00:34:57,760
Speaker 3: some people are gonna have Roky Szazaki in dynasty higher

796
00:34:58,000 --> 00:35:02,440
Speaker 3: because based on age, based on potential, the strikeout potential,

797
00:35:02,600 --> 00:35:04,120
Speaker 3: he might be seen as like, you know, a top

798
00:35:04,200 --> 00:35:07,200
Speaker 3: five dynasty starting pitcher. I do think there's some worries

799
00:35:07,239 --> 00:35:09,719
Speaker 3: this is another guy like Holiday. You might be open

800
00:35:09,760 --> 00:35:11,440
Speaker 3: to even make let him fall a little bit, but

801
00:35:11,520 --> 00:35:14,200
Speaker 3: the talent might surpass. He might not be in this

802
00:35:14,280 --> 00:35:17,279
Speaker 3: same territory in two years of Logan, Gilbert and Yamamoto.

803
00:35:17,800 --> 00:35:19,360
Speaker 1: I think it's so interesting. Is the next guy on

804
00:35:19,400 --> 00:35:20,800
Speaker 1: the list here at forty one as we start the

805
00:35:20,840 --> 00:35:24,520
Speaker 1: new board is Dylan Ceas makes every start every single year.

806
00:35:24,920 --> 00:35:26,960
Speaker 1: He has been so durable, he has been so locked down,

807
00:35:26,960 --> 00:35:28,920
Speaker 1: He's done nothing but get better in the last two

808
00:35:29,000 --> 00:35:32,239
Speaker 1: years to their night and day. For me, forget three

809
00:35:32,280 --> 00:35:34,120
Speaker 1: year window, I'll even take five year window. I want

810
00:35:34,160 --> 00:35:37,320
Speaker 1: Dylan Cee over Sauzaki, and it's not close right now.

811
00:35:37,560 --> 00:35:41,640
Speaker 1: So that is what's fascinating, and it's I think most

812
00:35:41,680 --> 00:35:43,680
Speaker 1: people are prisoners of the moment, right it's the new thing.

813
00:35:43,719 --> 00:35:45,560
Speaker 1: It's very exciting, get all the buzz about this. But

814
00:35:45,680 --> 00:35:47,640
Speaker 1: meanwhile there's Dylan CEA's just getting the job done every

815
00:35:47,680 --> 00:35:50,680
Speaker 1: year at thirty two starts, and that to me is

816
00:35:50,840 --> 00:35:54,399
Speaker 1: far more impressive and far more investible long term than

817
00:35:54,400 --> 00:35:56,839
Speaker 1: what Suzaki is at this juncture, having never seen him

818
00:35:56,840 --> 00:35:58,040
Speaker 1: throw a pitch in the Major league.

819
00:35:57,840 --> 00:35:59,040
Speaker 3: You know, and let me let me add to that,

820
00:35:59,080 --> 00:36:00,920
Speaker 3: because do you remember what I said earlier in the

821
00:36:00,920 --> 00:36:02,400
Speaker 3: show where I go. I don't think there's a lot

822
00:36:02,440 --> 00:36:04,680
Speaker 3: of variants in the first round second round.

823
00:36:05,560 --> 00:36:08,240
Speaker 1: No, maybe as you go, third round gets greater.

824
00:36:08,200 --> 00:36:11,040
Speaker 3: Fourth round where we're You're not wrong. This is a

825
00:36:11,160 --> 00:36:13,640
Speaker 3: territory where you do start paying a tiny bit more

826
00:36:13,640 --> 00:36:16,160
Speaker 3: attention if you are a team that you're like, you

827
00:36:16,200 --> 00:36:19,319
Speaker 3: know what, I'm taking Freddy Freeman higher than he's being ranked.

828
00:36:19,320 --> 00:36:21,239
Speaker 3: I'm taking some of these older guys. I'm gonna take

829
00:36:21,320 --> 00:36:24,520
Speaker 3: Zach Wheeler higher. If you're in a win now perspective,

830
00:36:25,160 --> 00:36:28,200
Speaker 3: you should pay attention to a cease versus Suzaki. It

831
00:36:28,280 --> 00:36:31,400
Speaker 3: might take Sazaki two years to get right. Dylan Cees

832
00:36:31,480 --> 00:36:34,439
Speaker 3: his prime is right now. When you said five year window,

833
00:36:34,480 --> 00:36:35,799
Speaker 3: I don't know if I want Dylan Ceaz when he's

834
00:36:35,800 --> 00:36:37,759
Speaker 3: thirty five, thirty four to thirty five, But do I

835
00:36:37,760 --> 00:36:39,520
Speaker 3: want him at twenty nine, thirty and thirty one in

836
00:36:39,520 --> 00:36:41,400
Speaker 3: the three year window? You're not wrong about that, So

837
00:36:41,600 --> 00:36:43,560
Speaker 3: paying attention dyl Sly.

838
00:36:43,120 --> 00:36:46,040
Speaker 1: Twenty nine, I think I say take out, Yeah, he'll

839
00:36:46,080 --> 00:36:47,719
Speaker 1: be in his you know, five years from now he's

840
00:36:47,760 --> 00:36:50,799
Speaker 1: thirty three, Okay, like Sill of these guys were going

841
00:36:50,800 --> 00:36:53,280
Speaker 1: strong at thirty five, thirty six, thirty seven nowadays.

842
00:36:53,280 --> 00:36:55,480
Speaker 3: Like yeah, like Wheelers, these guys.

843
00:36:55,480 --> 00:36:57,680
Speaker 1: Wheeler's a great example, but this guy's just throwing up,

844
00:36:57,960 --> 00:37:01,080
Speaker 1: you know, thirty thirty thirty. He look thirty two, thirty two,

845
00:37:01,160 --> 00:37:03,360
Speaker 1: thirty three, thirty three, last four years. I mean that's stunning.

846
00:37:03,880 --> 00:37:06,960
Speaker 1: The best ability is availability these guys. Rokie's got some

847
00:37:07,040 --> 00:37:09,680
Speaker 1: risk one hundred percent. He's got some fun to watch.

848
00:37:10,239 --> 00:37:12,160
Speaker 1: My evaluation of him in the Black Book is really good.

849
00:37:12,200 --> 00:37:14,600
Speaker 1: I like him as a picture, but there's definitely risk there.

850
00:37:14,640 --> 00:37:16,920
Speaker 1: Where he lands has a lot to do with his development.

851
00:37:17,320 --> 00:37:19,400
Speaker 1: So I'm keen to wait before I really do the

852
00:37:19,440 --> 00:37:22,240
Speaker 1: full write up on him. Corey Seeger forty two. Corbyn

853
00:37:22,280 --> 00:37:24,359
Speaker 1: Burns a forty three new landing spot. He's a guy

854
00:37:24,360 --> 00:37:26,160
Speaker 1: who's a little older too. Same as Zach Wheeler at

855
00:37:26,160 --> 00:37:28,040
Speaker 1: forty four even, and I'll get forty five. C J.

856
00:37:28,120 --> 00:37:31,680
Speaker 1: Adams a forty six, George Kirby of forty seven, Yamamoto

857
00:37:31,800 --> 00:37:34,279
Speaker 1: at forty eight, Albe's at forty nine, and then Riley

858
00:37:34,320 --> 00:37:36,320
Speaker 1: Green at fifteen. Other guy who could jump up this list.

859
00:37:36,719 --> 00:37:39,680
Speaker 1: Let's talk about Corbyn Burns here, a guy who's now

860
00:37:39,760 --> 00:37:42,480
Speaker 1: in his thirties. Same as Wheeler here, So you have

861
00:37:42,520 --> 00:37:44,600
Speaker 1: Burns ahead of Wheeler. I'm curious as to why.

862
00:37:45,200 --> 00:37:46,920
Speaker 3: Well, there's a pretty big age gap between the two.

863
00:37:46,920 --> 00:37:48,840
Speaker 3: I think it's three or four years. Yeah, so I

864
00:37:48,880 --> 00:37:50,919
Speaker 3: mean in a three year wind of Wheelers getting into

865
00:37:50,920 --> 00:37:53,880
Speaker 3: thirty seven thirty eight. I think some people could look

866
00:37:53,920 --> 00:37:56,480
Speaker 3: at Burns last year and see like, oh, some things

867
00:37:56,480 --> 00:37:59,400
Speaker 3: are starting to taper down, you know. Interestingly enough, he

868
00:37:59,480 --> 00:38:02,799
Speaker 3: actually I did some velocity to his cutter, but that

869
00:38:02,880 --> 00:38:06,480
Speaker 3: thing got hit up more where his other two offerings.

870
00:38:06,480 --> 00:38:08,880
Speaker 3: I believe it was the slider, and I think the

871
00:38:08,960 --> 00:38:13,520
Speaker 3: curveball had batting averages against. It's actually three pitches here, curveball,

872
00:38:13,560 --> 00:38:17,520
Speaker 3: slider and changeup had a two hundred or lower batting

873
00:38:17,520 --> 00:38:21,880
Speaker 3: average against. That's absurd. Those pitches got better. His cutter

874
00:38:22,000 --> 00:38:24,040
Speaker 3: got hit up way more than it had in the

875
00:38:24,080 --> 00:38:26,839
Speaker 3: prior year, but three or four pitches with a two

876
00:38:26,920 --> 00:38:29,239
Speaker 3: hundred or lower batting average. I actually think there's some

877
00:38:30,280 --> 00:38:32,880
Speaker 3: subtle of unluckiness with Corbyn Burns. I think he can

878
00:38:32,920 --> 00:38:35,320
Speaker 3: bounce back. Plus you've got you know, the super fast

879
00:38:35,320 --> 00:38:38,439
Speaker 3: offensive team ballpark might come into play. I still think

880
00:38:38,480 --> 00:38:40,960
Speaker 3: the stuff is there for Corbyn Burns. He had a

881
00:38:41,000 --> 00:38:44,080
Speaker 3: two nine two era, he had a you know, sub

882
00:38:44,160 --> 00:38:47,960
Speaker 3: three four expected era barrels. He gave up a tiny

883
00:38:47,960 --> 00:38:50,600
Speaker 3: bit more, but it was super low, hard hit contact

884
00:38:50,680 --> 00:38:54,160
Speaker 3: with a super fast outfield. I think Corbyn Burns is

885
00:38:54,200 --> 00:38:56,719
Speaker 3: lined up pretty well. I think he's going to bounce back.

886
00:38:56,960 --> 00:39:00,279
Speaker 3: I think it felt like some of the inconsistencies is

887
00:39:00,320 --> 00:39:01,960
Speaker 3: he was moving away from being elite. But I still

888
00:39:02,000 --> 00:39:03,680
Speaker 3: think he is really elite. And I thought this before

889
00:39:03,680 --> 00:39:06,640
Speaker 3: he signed with the Diamondbacks. Honestly, the Diamondbacks ballpark factor

890
00:39:06,719 --> 00:39:09,279
Speaker 3: might be a little bit of a problem. But back

891
00:39:09,320 --> 00:39:12,879
Speaker 3: to the Rokies Azaki thing. It sucks because we broke

892
00:39:12,920 --> 00:39:15,200
Speaker 3: them into tens. So it feels like Roki's in this

893
00:39:15,280 --> 00:39:17,960
Speaker 3: different tier. He's really not. He's in a tier of

894
00:39:18,320 --> 00:39:23,040
Speaker 3: Dylan Cee's, Corbyn Burns, Zach Wheeler, Emanaga. They're all different

895
00:39:23,160 --> 00:39:25,359
Speaker 3: variants of each other. You know, do I want Zach

896
00:39:25,360 --> 00:39:27,960
Speaker 3: Wheeler probably the best picture on this list. He's a

897
00:39:28,000 --> 00:39:31,000
Speaker 3: win now guy. You'd want to make that investment. Corbyn Burns,

898
00:39:31,040 --> 00:39:33,799
Speaker 3: Emanaga they've got four or five year windows. Rokie's got

899
00:39:33,800 --> 00:39:36,840
Speaker 3: a ten year window. It's it's starting to be your flavor.

900
00:39:37,160 --> 00:39:39,160
Speaker 3: And I just am still very much on Corbyn Burns,

901
00:39:39,160 --> 00:39:42,000
Speaker 3: but he's in that tier with Wheeler and with Emonaga.

902
00:39:42,440 --> 00:39:42,719
Speaker 2: C J.

903
00:39:42,920 --> 00:39:44,600
Speaker 1: Abrams. I want to talk about real quick too, because

904
00:39:44,640 --> 00:39:47,560
Speaker 1: it's another guy too, turns twenty four. Obviously, there's power

905
00:39:47,560 --> 00:39:50,640
Speaker 1: their speed. There's also some immaturity and some issues there

906
00:39:50,680 --> 00:39:55,040
Speaker 1: to casinos casinos, but which we support. You know, go

907
00:39:55,239 --> 00:39:56,919
Speaker 1: subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube channel.

908
00:39:57,000 --> 00:39:58,440
Speaker 3: Right. Just not a game day, just maybe not a

909
00:39:58,440 --> 00:39:59,759
Speaker 3: game day, a game day, just like a.

910
00:39:59,719 --> 00:40:01,879
Speaker 1: Game And if you're gonna do show up and hit

911
00:40:01,920 --> 00:40:03,920
Speaker 1: get three hits, don't stay till six in the morning,

912
00:40:04,000 --> 00:40:06,560
Speaker 1: don't like get But if you do, go out there

913
00:40:06,560 --> 00:40:08,279
Speaker 1: the next day and get three hits like those guys

914
00:40:08,280 --> 00:40:10,920
Speaker 1: in the eighties, you know, smoking cigarettes in the in

915
00:40:11,000 --> 00:40:14,319
Speaker 1: the dugout and god knows what else they were doing.

916
00:40:14,440 --> 00:40:16,279
Speaker 1: I mean, look, just go out there and get your

917
00:40:16,320 --> 00:40:18,600
Speaker 1: hits and then nobody cares. But with Abrams too, this

918
00:40:18,640 --> 00:40:21,560
Speaker 1: is a guy that I fear next year could be

919
00:40:21,680 --> 00:40:24,000
Speaker 1: top twenty on this list or outside the top one

920
00:40:24,040 --> 00:40:26,240
Speaker 1: hundred on this list. That's how I feel about Abrams.

921
00:40:26,239 --> 00:40:27,719
Speaker 1: Do you see him with that same risk or am

922
00:40:27,760 --> 00:40:28,960
Speaker 1: I being a little hyperbolic?

923
00:40:29,440 --> 00:40:31,520
Speaker 3: Nah, I got my worries with it. I'll say he

924
00:40:31,600 --> 00:40:33,560
Speaker 3: actually outperformed what I thought he was going to be

925
00:40:33,640 --> 00:40:35,640
Speaker 3: last year. I thought he was one of those guys.

926
00:40:35,400 --> 00:40:37,640
Speaker 1: That was like, well we loved him two years ago. Collectively,

927
00:40:37,640 --> 00:40:40,239
Speaker 1: if we were like go in and go in. Last

928
00:40:40,280 --> 00:40:42,719
Speaker 1: year the price got really high. We were like, I

929
00:40:42,760 --> 00:40:43,960
Speaker 1: have an abidity.

930
00:40:43,520 --> 00:40:45,560
Speaker 3: For Abrams, Like and I know said this sport. I

931
00:40:45,640 --> 00:40:49,440
Speaker 3: was at his major league debut Padres, No one's in

932
00:40:49,480 --> 00:40:51,920
Speaker 3: the stadium, rookie league ball. He hits a homer in

933
00:40:51,960 --> 00:40:54,480
Speaker 3: his like second at bat. I got it on video. No,

934
00:40:54,520 --> 00:40:56,879
Speaker 3: it's just me and Abrams and the team. Like, I've

935
00:40:56,920 --> 00:40:59,920
Speaker 3: watched this guy since the day he started as a professional,

936
00:41:00,200 --> 00:41:04,080
Speaker 3: So I have that affinity for him. But where his

937
00:41:04,760 --> 00:41:07,279
Speaker 3: skill set has started to go, I started to question, like,

938
00:41:07,520 --> 00:41:09,319
Speaker 3: this guy just learned to get the ball in the

939
00:41:09,320 --> 00:41:12,240
Speaker 3: freaking air because he doesn't hit it hard, he doesn't

940
00:41:12,280 --> 00:41:14,400
Speaker 3: barrel super great, he doesn't have pure row power, and

941
00:41:14,400 --> 00:41:15,920
Speaker 3: he just made enough of it. Well guess what. He

942
00:41:16,040 --> 00:41:18,680
Speaker 3: upped his home run total from eighteen to twenty this year.

943
00:41:18,960 --> 00:41:21,319
Speaker 3: Stole a little bit less, he hit the ball a

944
00:41:21,360 --> 00:41:24,280
Speaker 3: bit harder, but his strikeouts went up. I just think

945
00:41:24,840 --> 00:41:27,160
Speaker 3: it also the spants, like, you know, just below average

946
00:41:27,239 --> 00:41:29,640
Speaker 3: kind of across the board. I think he gets away

947
00:41:29,680 --> 00:41:32,680
Speaker 3: with some stuff, and I worry that his floor is

948
00:41:32,760 --> 00:41:35,719
Speaker 3: like a twelve homer, twenty five stolen base guy, which

949
00:41:35,760 --> 00:41:37,359
Speaker 3: is still pretty good. So I have him a bit

950
00:41:37,480 --> 00:41:40,360
Speaker 3: lower maybe than some others. And then the immaturity, we

951
00:41:40,440 --> 00:41:41,960
Speaker 3: kind of don't know where that's going to go, Like

952
00:41:42,000 --> 00:41:43,719
Speaker 3: what's going to happen, Like is this going to keep

953
00:41:43,760 --> 00:41:45,680
Speaker 3: tapering out and become an issue? I don't know. I

954
00:41:45,719 --> 00:41:47,839
Speaker 3: just think there's some warning signs on Abrams to make

955
00:41:47,880 --> 00:41:50,640
Speaker 3: a big super commitment, But I don't know. Maybe top fifty,

956
00:41:50,680 --> 00:41:52,839
Speaker 3: I'm still I'm still putting my foot down on it

957
00:41:53,200 --> 00:41:53,520
Speaker 3: all right.

958
00:41:53,560 --> 00:41:55,640
Speaker 1: Outside of the top fifty one through one hundred, there's

959
00:41:55,640 --> 00:41:56,839
Speaker 1: a few names that stick out.

960
00:41:57,239 --> 00:41:58,480
Speaker 2: We've highlighted some of them.

961
00:41:59,000 --> 00:42:00,359
Speaker 1: We'll talk about a few of them to I want

962
00:42:00,360 --> 00:42:02,360
Speaker 1: to talk about Roman Anthony of the Boston Red Sox,

963
00:42:02,360 --> 00:42:04,279
Speaker 1: a guy that I'm sure you know some people are

964
00:42:04,320 --> 00:42:08,279
Speaker 1: still getting familiar with. So how would you justify the

965
00:42:08,360 --> 00:42:09,880
Speaker 1: ranking here at fifty nine.

966
00:42:09,719 --> 00:42:13,359
Speaker 3: Overall, Well, welcome to our I believe this is our

967
00:42:13,400 --> 00:42:16,359
Speaker 3: first player that has not had a single Major League

968
00:42:16,360 --> 00:42:19,439
Speaker 3: at bat. Well, Rookie Sazaki I would qualify technically because

969
00:42:19,440 --> 00:42:21,640
Speaker 3: he hasn't had an inning, But this is the first

970
00:42:21,680 --> 00:42:24,640
Speaker 3: bat that has not doesn't have a single major league

971
00:42:24,640 --> 00:42:26,680
Speaker 3: at bat that is on a really high part of

972
00:42:26,680 --> 00:42:28,480
Speaker 3: this list. What do I have him at fifty nine?

973
00:42:28,520 --> 00:42:30,440
Speaker 3: I think is honest. I think some people are going

974
00:42:30,480 --> 00:42:32,279
Speaker 3: to have him higher. Some people have him as the

975
00:42:32,360 --> 00:42:34,719
Speaker 3: number one prospect in baseball. I don't. I've got him

976
00:42:34,719 --> 00:42:36,080
Speaker 3: close in there, So he's going to be higher on

977
00:42:36,080 --> 00:42:39,640
Speaker 3: another list he is. I believe it could be Pipeline

978
00:42:39,719 --> 00:42:43,000
Speaker 3: or Baseball America have him as the favorite for AL

979
00:42:43,080 --> 00:42:45,319
Speaker 3: Rookie of the Year, and it's a possibility even if

980
00:42:45,320 --> 00:42:47,279
Speaker 3: he doesn't break camp. We've seen guys be able to do.

981
00:42:47,360 --> 00:42:50,280
Speaker 3: I mean, Skeins didn't break camp with it. His skill

982
00:42:50,360 --> 00:42:53,080
Speaker 3: set immense Again we use the words like back to

983
00:42:53,120 --> 00:42:55,839
Speaker 3: ball skills. It's elite, big hard hit numbers. The guy

984
00:42:55,880 --> 00:42:59,359
Speaker 3: can run, doesn't strike out, he's lowrid to strikeout rates.

985
00:42:59,360 --> 00:43:01,439
Speaker 3: He kind of doesn't little bit of everything. Boston's gonna

986
00:43:01,440 --> 00:43:03,960
Speaker 3: be a huge environment for him to hit in if

987
00:43:03,960 --> 00:43:05,960
Speaker 3: he were to break camp. I would not be surprised

988
00:43:06,000 --> 00:43:08,239
Speaker 3: if he ended up being a thirty twenty type of guy.

989
00:43:08,280 --> 00:43:10,399
Speaker 3: So this is why he ranked so high. Skill sets

990
00:43:10,400 --> 00:43:11,959
Speaker 3: are kind of through the roof. I still like Cruise

991
00:43:12,000 --> 00:43:15,120
Speaker 3: and Jason Diminge is a bit more than Anthony for

992
00:43:15,160 --> 00:43:18,040
Speaker 3: some other people, but he has a chance to break camp.

993
00:43:18,280 --> 00:43:21,280
Speaker 3: There is a proximity factor into this. He has got

994
00:43:21,320 --> 00:43:24,920
Speaker 3: to go inside the top seventy five of a dynasty draft,

995
00:43:24,960 --> 00:43:27,439
Speaker 3: a new fresh start one, and frankly, he's probably gonna

996
00:43:27,480 --> 00:43:29,600
Speaker 3: go a little bit higher than some others. I did

997
00:43:29,600 --> 00:43:32,200
Speaker 3: think redraft he has the potential to maybe disappoint this year,

998
00:43:32,360 --> 00:43:34,359
Speaker 3: so I'm not quite as excited. But he is very,

999
00:43:34,520 --> 00:43:36,840
Speaker 3: very high, and most people probably just don't have mounts

1000
00:43:36,840 --> 00:43:37,799
Speaker 3: at the top fifty like I do.

1001
00:43:38,760 --> 00:43:41,640
Speaker 1: It's funny visually he looks like Michael Rappaport had a

1002
00:43:41,640 --> 00:43:42,440
Speaker 1: baby with Robert t.

1003
00:43:42,480 --> 00:43:47,120
Speaker 3: Niro and the picture you're talking about, you know, do

1004
00:43:47,160 --> 00:43:49,680
Speaker 3: your Yeah.

1005
00:43:49,600 --> 00:43:50,279
Speaker 1: That's my son.

1006
00:43:50,560 --> 00:43:52,440
Speaker 2: It's gonna play. It's gonna play very well for the

1007
00:43:52,480 --> 00:43:52,799
Speaker 2: Red side.

1008
00:43:52,840 --> 00:43:54,279
Speaker 3: I know exactly what picture.

1009
00:43:55,480 --> 00:43:56,839
Speaker 2: He does have that look about him.

1010
00:43:57,400 --> 00:44:01,040
Speaker 1: But y yeah, yep, very good marks at seventy six.

1011
00:44:01,239 --> 00:44:03,400
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna say right now, he's gonna blow past

1012
00:44:03,400 --> 00:44:03,799
Speaker 1: this rank.

1013
00:44:03,880 --> 00:44:04,520
Speaker 3: Yeah this year.

1014
00:44:05,320 --> 00:44:07,319
Speaker 2: Love the lineup. He is young enough.

1015
00:44:07,320 --> 00:44:09,600
Speaker 1: He's already shown you. I think he's a thirty five

1016
00:44:09,640 --> 00:44:11,160
Speaker 1: home run guy starting next year.

1017
00:44:11,239 --> 00:44:11,719
Speaker 2: I really do.

1018
00:44:11,800 --> 00:44:14,600
Speaker 1: And It's not me being exaggerating. It's certainly not me

1019
00:44:14,640 --> 00:44:17,600
Speaker 1: being a Mets fan saying it. That's you know, I'm

1020
00:44:17,680 --> 00:44:20,759
Speaker 1: self loathing more than any Met fan almost. But Viento's

1021
00:44:20,840 --> 00:44:22,279
Speaker 1: is a guy. I believed in him last year. We

1022
00:44:22,280 --> 00:44:24,799
Speaker 1: talked about on the show. We have talked about adding him,

1023
00:44:25,160 --> 00:44:27,960
Speaker 1: We talked about spring training, what he did, and you know,

1024
00:44:28,360 --> 00:44:30,400
Speaker 1: he showed you he was ready for the big stage

1025
00:44:30,440 --> 00:44:32,440
Speaker 1: last year in the playoffs. Love him. Can't get enough

1026
00:44:32,480 --> 00:44:35,359
Speaker 1: of Entos. There's three pitchers in a cluster too, eighty four,

1027
00:44:35,440 --> 00:44:38,879
Speaker 1: eighty five, eighty six, Uri Perez, Shane McClanahan, Sandy el Contra.

1028
00:44:39,000 --> 00:44:40,839
Speaker 1: Now you're not gonna believe this Welsh in my keeper league.

1029
00:44:40,840 --> 00:44:43,239
Speaker 1: I've got all three of these guys for a collective

1030
00:44:43,600 --> 00:44:46,919
Speaker 1: five dollars combined. Wow, As I drafted them last year

1031
00:44:47,280 --> 00:44:49,000
Speaker 1: and stashed them at the end of the draft when

1032
00:44:49,000 --> 00:44:51,400
Speaker 1: people weren't paying attention. So I got one for like

1033
00:44:51,480 --> 00:44:53,239
Speaker 1: two bucks and the others for a buck or something

1034
00:44:53,239 --> 00:44:55,080
Speaker 1: like that. And they have the escalators this year. So

1035
00:44:56,719 --> 00:44:59,800
Speaker 1: again you got al Contra, who was about his consistent

1036
00:44:59,840 --> 00:45:02,879
Speaker 1: a so Klann huge upside. Uri Perez certainly another guy

1037
00:45:02,920 --> 00:45:07,480
Speaker 1: too that looks like a big time upside guy. Unfortunately,

1038
00:45:07,520 --> 00:45:09,880
Speaker 1: you know, bitching all these guys are in Floridas.

1039
00:45:09,960 --> 00:45:12,600
Speaker 2: Don't like, we're hoping that Altata gets out of there soon.

1040
00:45:13,040 --> 00:45:16,040
Speaker 1: And now say mcclana had also changing location too. That's

1041
00:45:16,040 --> 00:45:18,920
Speaker 1: something we got to talk about too, because the Tampa

1042
00:45:18,960 --> 00:45:22,560
Speaker 1: Bay situation here, they're gonna be playing in the Yankee facility,

1043
00:45:23,040 --> 00:45:25,759
Speaker 1: the spring trading facility, and it is not the same

1044
00:45:25,800 --> 00:45:27,680
Speaker 1: pitching advantage that the old building was.

1045
00:45:28,239 --> 00:45:30,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, no, you're right, and there's a lot to unpack

1046
00:45:30,680 --> 00:45:32,680
Speaker 3: on all these guys. I would say, I think these

1047
00:45:32,760 --> 00:45:36,760
Speaker 3: are some of the best values for dynasty. Yuri probably

1048
00:45:36,800 --> 00:45:41,960
Speaker 3: doesn't have the best, like redraft first season return value.

1049
00:45:41,960 --> 00:45:43,520
Speaker 3: I think it's gonna be like midway through the year.

1050
00:45:43,680 --> 00:45:46,399
Speaker 3: McClanahan and al Contra, coming off of their injuries, look

1051
00:45:46,520 --> 00:45:48,319
Speaker 3: like they're going to be, you know, starting close to

1052
00:45:48,360 --> 00:45:50,799
Speaker 3: the I think Alcontra will McClanahan maybe a month or so.

1053
00:45:51,239 --> 00:45:53,520
Speaker 3: I think these are the best, These are the best values.

1054
00:45:53,640 --> 00:45:54,320
Speaker 2: Both of these.

1055
00:45:54,200 --> 00:45:58,640
Speaker 3: Guys ranked really high. McClanahan is my favorite, but had

1056
00:45:58,680 --> 00:46:02,680
Speaker 3: the worst production before he got hurt. There were some

1057
00:46:02,960 --> 00:46:05,560
Speaker 3: really bad declines which I didn't like, but I still

1058
00:46:05,560 --> 00:46:08,560
Speaker 3: would invest in. I think these should be targets for everybody,

1059
00:46:08,640 --> 00:46:10,759
Speaker 3: no matter what type of construction. Maybe not all of

1060
00:46:10,800 --> 00:46:12,680
Speaker 3: them because of the injuries, but you should go after

1061
00:46:12,719 --> 00:46:15,160
Speaker 3: one of them. Juri being the youngest, McClanahan, I think

1062
00:46:15,200 --> 00:46:18,120
Speaker 3: having the best tools, al Contra being the floor of

1063
00:46:18,160 --> 00:46:20,720
Speaker 3: all of those players, these should be some type of target.

1064
00:46:20,719 --> 00:46:22,399
Speaker 3: And I just want to mention on your Vento's thing.

1065
00:46:22,719 --> 00:46:25,080
Speaker 3: I might have Vento's too low. I do think he

1066
00:46:25,120 --> 00:46:28,080
Speaker 3: has a potential to blow past this. My worry still

1067
00:46:28,080 --> 00:46:30,919
Speaker 3: thirty percent strikeout rate, expect a batting average still under

1068
00:46:30,920 --> 00:46:35,240
Speaker 3: two fifty, but it's elite, elite hitting skills, fourteen percent barrelery,

1069
00:46:35,320 --> 00:46:39,080
Speaker 3: big hard hit. If he's a two fifty thirty home

1070
00:46:39,160 --> 00:46:42,120
Speaker 3: run guy, this is probably the relative range, maybe a

1071
00:46:42,120 --> 00:46:44,759
Speaker 3: little bit higher. If he becomes a two sixty five,

1072
00:46:44,800 --> 00:46:47,960
Speaker 3: two seventy hitter, sty then we're under selling him in

1073
00:46:48,080 --> 00:46:48,359
Speaker 3: no way.

1074
00:46:48,360 --> 00:46:49,960
Speaker 1: He doesn't drive in one hundred runs in that lineup,

1075
00:46:50,080 --> 00:46:50,319
Speaker 1: and then.

1076
00:46:50,280 --> 00:46:52,200
Speaker 3: He's pet Alonzo. Then he's just younger Pete.

1077
00:46:52,800 --> 00:46:55,520
Speaker 1: Just look at I mean, Soto hitting in front of judge,

1078
00:46:55,560 --> 00:46:57,320
Speaker 1: you know, and now you've got this young kid of

1079
00:46:57,400 --> 00:46:59,520
Speaker 1: Vento's and look we'll see what happens to Alonzo. Still

1080
00:47:00,280 --> 00:47:02,560
Speaker 1: this we don't have clarity, but I just think the

1081
00:47:02,719 --> 00:47:06,040
Speaker 1: intos is the truth. Man, I just do guys outside

1082
00:47:06,120 --> 00:47:09,279
Speaker 1: the top one hundred, The one that stands out to

1083
00:47:09,280 --> 00:47:12,320
Speaker 1: me is one thirty seven Lawrence. Butler had a terrific season,

1084
00:47:12,800 --> 00:47:15,240
Speaker 1: really came out of nowhere for a lot of people

1085
00:47:15,600 --> 00:47:18,080
Speaker 1: and carried a lot of teams through the summer. Just

1086
00:47:18,160 --> 00:47:20,920
Speaker 1: prolific with the power. And now he's going to be

1087
00:47:21,000 --> 00:47:24,080
Speaker 1: potentially in a better environment. Remember Oakland's not going to

1088
00:47:24,080 --> 00:47:27,360
Speaker 1: be playing in Oakland anymore. The Athletics are now in

1089
00:47:27,480 --> 00:47:29,400
Speaker 1: Sacramento for the next couple years, so we'll see how

1090
00:47:29,400 --> 00:47:32,120
Speaker 1: that ballpark plays. So maybe there's opportunity here for some

1091
00:47:32,200 --> 00:47:34,480
Speaker 1: even better numbers for him and guys like Rooker two.

1092
00:47:34,960 --> 00:47:37,560
Speaker 1: So that's the guy on my radar. I know two

1093
00:47:37,560 --> 00:47:41,319
Speaker 1: guys for you, Spencer Schwellenbach and Jordan Lawler one on

1094
00:47:41,320 --> 00:47:44,200
Speaker 1: one and one thirty six respectively, are also on your radar.

1095
00:47:44,480 --> 00:47:46,880
Speaker 3: Yeah, just so just a couple of notes. Lawrence, I

1096
00:47:46,880 --> 00:47:49,840
Speaker 3: don't disagree. I know for a fact there are some

1097
00:47:49,960 --> 00:47:52,040
Speaker 3: higher rankings of him in Dynasty. I think there's an

1098
00:47:52,040 --> 00:47:53,960
Speaker 3: element of I would like to see him do it

1099
00:47:54,000 --> 00:47:56,760
Speaker 3: again before I make him a top fifty overall prospect.

1100
00:47:56,800 --> 00:47:59,200
Speaker 3: But he did show elements of it. Elite hard hit,

1101
00:47:59,239 --> 00:48:03,320
Speaker 3: elite barrel love those two stats in connection with overall

1102
00:48:03,400 --> 00:48:06,560
Speaker 3: hits tools. With that expect a batting average solid. He

1103
00:48:06,640 --> 00:48:09,560
Speaker 3: lowered his strikeout rate. I think the ballpar factor for

1104
00:48:09,640 --> 00:48:12,800
Speaker 3: right handed hitters in this minor league park is a benefit,

1105
00:48:13,040 --> 00:48:14,799
Speaker 3: but there's a lot of elements of it that are

1106
00:48:14,840 --> 00:48:17,720
Speaker 3: similar that aren't big, So it's not like an entire

1107
00:48:17,840 --> 00:48:20,200
Speaker 3: minor league. It's not like playing here in Arizona in

1108
00:48:20,239 --> 00:48:22,040
Speaker 3: one of the spring training facilities. I believe it's right

1109
00:48:22,080 --> 00:48:25,360
Speaker 3: handed hitters have like a five foot differential in favor

1110
00:48:25,400 --> 00:48:27,720
Speaker 3: of them hitters, so it's a little bit in that spot.

1111
00:48:27,840 --> 00:48:31,000
Speaker 3: So I'm a little bit lower. I suppose Schwellenbach personally

1112
00:48:31,160 --> 00:48:33,160
Speaker 3: is one of my favorites. I might just be too

1113
00:48:33,200 --> 00:48:35,680
Speaker 3: low on him, which is crazy, but I have him

1114
00:48:35,680 --> 00:48:37,719
Speaker 3: at one oh one, so he just missed this list.

1115
00:48:38,000 --> 00:48:40,440
Speaker 3: I think again, from a dynasty, if I could piece

1116
00:48:40,480 --> 00:48:43,760
Speaker 3: together the perfect pitchers through top one hundred and twenty

1117
00:48:43,760 --> 00:48:46,040
Speaker 3: five picks, give me like Crochet in the third round,

1118
00:48:46,160 --> 00:48:48,200
Speaker 3: give me a McClanahan and the fourth or fifth, and

1119
00:48:48,200 --> 00:48:51,319
Speaker 3: then give me a Schwellenbach later. Those are good investments.

1120
00:48:51,760 --> 00:48:52,800
Speaker 1: I like a good late Sweller.

1121
00:48:52,840 --> 00:48:55,520
Speaker 3: Everybody likes a good swelling box. Swelling boches slighter.

1122
00:48:55,520 --> 00:48:57,440
Speaker 1: You can get one, it's the best. You sleep like

1123
00:48:57,480 --> 00:48:57,920
Speaker 1: a baby.

1124
00:48:58,080 --> 00:49:00,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, maybe don't get a swellingbock on like Monday Tuesday.

1125
00:49:00,400 --> 00:49:01,760
Speaker 3: But give me a Schwellenbach on the weekend.

1126
00:49:02,000 --> 00:49:03,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, on the weekend, on a week.

1127
00:49:03,440 --> 00:49:06,440
Speaker 3: In, Schwellenbach is the best. And your dynasty team, Schwellenbach

1128
00:49:06,520 --> 00:49:09,160
Speaker 3: is the best. So I really like his potential to

1129
00:49:09,200 --> 00:49:12,120
Speaker 3: put us some elite strikeout numbers. So Schwellenbach is one

1130
00:49:12,160 --> 00:49:14,000
Speaker 3: of my favorite. And I just threw Lawler out here

1131
00:49:14,400 --> 00:49:18,600
Speaker 3: because Lawler has the potential to really skyrocket if given

1132
00:49:18,600 --> 00:49:20,640
Speaker 3: the opportunity, but we don't know that that's going to happen.

1133
00:49:20,719 --> 00:49:23,960
Speaker 3: I personally think the Diamondbacks could end up playing around

1134
00:49:24,000 --> 00:49:26,480
Speaker 3: with the scenario where Lawler starts playing in the outfield,

1135
00:49:26,560 --> 00:49:29,200
Speaker 3: maybe similar to what Jackson Merrill did, because I don't

1136
00:49:29,200 --> 00:49:31,680
Speaker 3: know if they would commit to him playing over Heraldo Perdomo.

1137
00:49:31,760 --> 00:49:33,840
Speaker 3: But he just had a really really great run in

1138
00:49:33,840 --> 00:49:36,600
Speaker 3: the Dominican Winner League, starting to hit again. Homer's are

1139
00:49:36,600 --> 00:49:40,680
Speaker 3: going he has twenty twenty potential. He could exponentially be

1140
00:49:40,760 --> 00:49:43,920
Speaker 3: more valuable than Lawler or than Lawrence Butler, but he's

1141
00:49:43,960 --> 00:49:46,399
Speaker 3: going after so Jordan Lawler is a outside the top

1142
00:49:46,440 --> 00:49:48,600
Speaker 3: one hundred to pay attention to, and I would just

1143
00:49:48,640 --> 00:49:51,880
Speaker 3: throw out, there's immense values outside the top one hundred.

1144
00:49:52,120 --> 00:49:53,719
Speaker 3: This is a spot where I really like to start

1145
00:49:53,719 --> 00:49:56,480
Speaker 3: paying attention to older players that have fallen. I think

1146
00:49:56,560 --> 00:49:58,759
Speaker 3: Jacob deGrom is one of those. He's really tough. How

1147
00:49:58,760 --> 00:50:01,600
Speaker 3: long will he play? Chris I want to win now.

1148
00:50:01,920 --> 00:50:04,680
Speaker 3: I'm not afraid to take a kem and Arro, a

1149
00:50:04,840 --> 00:50:08,000
Speaker 3: James Wood, a Dylan Cruz, but when I do so, personally,

1150
00:50:08,280 --> 00:50:11,080
Speaker 3: I'm absolutely trying to find those values of the older

1151
00:50:11,080 --> 00:50:13,520
Speaker 3: players that fell not just be like, no, they're off

1152
00:50:13,560 --> 00:50:15,520
Speaker 3: my list, will never take them. You're going to find

1153
00:50:15,520 --> 00:50:18,840
Speaker 3: crazy values in a Dynasty draft outside the top one hundred,

1154
00:50:19,080 --> 00:50:21,080
Speaker 3: So make sure your eyes are locked in. And if

1155
00:50:21,120 --> 00:50:22,879
Speaker 3: you guys want, I got a one to fifty that's

1156
00:50:22,920 --> 00:50:25,000
Speaker 3: going to be available on Fantasy Pros and I'll do

1157
00:50:25,000 --> 00:50:26,520
Speaker 3: a little bit of a breakdown for it, and you

1158
00:50:26,560 --> 00:50:29,120
Speaker 3: can find even more Dynasty ranks. Follow me on Twitter

1159
00:50:29,120 --> 00:50:30,799
Speaker 3: and you'll find out where you can find all the

1160
00:50:30,840 --> 00:50:32,200
Speaker 3: rest of you like up to four hundred.

1161
00:50:32,520 --> 00:50:34,440
Speaker 1: There we have it, everybody. That's a good look at

1162
00:50:34,440 --> 00:50:36,879
Speaker 1: the Dynasty ranks. Make sure you subscribe to the YouTube channel.

1163
00:50:36,920 --> 00:50:39,440
Speaker 1: Drop your comments below with your rankings. Guys you like,

1164
00:50:39,480 --> 00:50:40,920
Speaker 1: Guys you don't. We love to hear from all of

1165
00:50:40,920 --> 00:50:43,160
Speaker 1: you and ring the bell to that goes things for notification.

1166
00:50:43,200 --> 00:50:44,960
Speaker 1: So you're with us all off season and all in

1167
00:50:45,080 --> 00:50:47,799
Speaker 1: season leading off, We'll be here every single day. Before

1168
00:50:47,800 --> 00:50:49,720
Speaker 1: you know what, we got a lot of content planned

1169
00:50:49,760 --> 00:50:51,400
Speaker 1: here for the channel. We are going to be your

1170
00:50:51,440 --> 00:50:54,480
Speaker 1: one stop destination for all things fantasy baseball. That'll do

1171
00:50:54,520 --> 00:50:56,239
Speaker 1: it for us, but the story of the game goes

1172
00:50:56,280 --> 00:50:57,160
Speaker 1: on for the Welsh.

1173
00:50:57,200 --> 00:50:59,680
Speaker 2: I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time. Kids.

1174
00:51:00,080 --> 00:51:03,200
Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Fantasy Baseball podcast.

1175
00:51:03,440 --> 00:51:05,840
Speaker 1: If you love the show, the best freeway to support

1176
00:51:05,920 --> 00:51:08,760
Speaker 1: us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts

1177
00:51:08,880 --> 00:51:12,560
Speaker 1: or Spotify, Follow us on x, Instagram, and TikTok at

1178
00:51:12,600 --> 00:51:15,560
Speaker 1: Fantasy Pros, and subscribe to our YouTube channel at YouTube

1179
00:51:15,560 --> 00:51:17,760
Speaker 1: dot com slash Fantasy Pros MLB