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Speaker 1: Welcome to Sunday everybody. It is the Daily Juice Podcast.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parolt. I'm your host here off

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Speaker 1: a Bettingpros dot com thanks to BETMGM. You can follow

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Speaker 1: me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. That's world b

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Speaker 1: for pretty much the entire day to day and if

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Speaker 1: you want even more of me, reminder of the top

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Speaker 1: here for our live video stream that goes live at

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Speaker 1: eleven am eleven am eastern eight am Pacific, right and early.

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Speaker 1: For our YouTube channel, Betting Pros YouTube channel, go subscribe

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Speaker 1: so you're notified when we go live. So I'm going

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Speaker 1: to go over all the plays. I'm going to go

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Speaker 1: over all the player props that we've got going, and

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Speaker 1: well I can't get the full slate of player props

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Speaker 1: till Sunday morning, and so that's why we're doing the

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Speaker 1: live video stream. Any movement, any injuries, question you guys

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Speaker 1: might have about the bets and the plays and different

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Speaker 1: line movements and you know who's in, who's out type

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Speaker 1: of stuff. So all happening eleven am off of the

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Speaker 1: YouTube channel for Betting Pros. Sunday Morning Live eleven am

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Speaker 1: eastern eight am PACIFICA went awesome last week. I can't

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Speaker 1: wait to see you guys and hear from you guys again.

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Speaker 1: So looking forward to that. All right, So I've got

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Speaker 1: the Sunday plays. Let me quickly recap Saturday. It was

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Speaker 1: not a good day, not great, but hey, you know,

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Speaker 1: we've been going pretty well with football and it came

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Speaker 1: back and bid us. But you know, a lot of guys,

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Speaker 1: I mean, when Preston Johnson, who is sports Cheetah on Twitter,

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Speaker 1: who I have an enormous my respect for, and a

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Speaker 1: guy who is just an incredible, incredible sports gambler, when

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Speaker 1: he calls Saturday his worst Saturday ever, I don't feel

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Speaker 1: too bad because everyone on the you know, pick side,

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Speaker 1: not everyone, but a lot of people who are on

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Speaker 1: this side of the counter who are talking about plays

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Speaker 1: and picks. We saw the board wrong, and I mean

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Speaker 1: Alabama had the game in the bag and then the

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Speaker 1: scrubs didn't do anything offensively and Bama does not cover,

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Speaker 1: and man it was Missouri covered everything with that late touchdown.

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Speaker 1: They win by Alabama wins by nineteen. The opening number

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Speaker 1: was twenty one. It was bet up to twenty nine

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Speaker 1: and a half. That is a huge win for the

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Speaker 1: sports books. Maybe. I can't wait to recap this. We

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Speaker 1: do the book report every Tuesday off of bettingcros dot com.

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Speaker 1: I can't wait to see how big of a win

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Speaker 1: that was for the sports books. I'm gonna guess it

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Speaker 1: was the biggest of the day. I mean Texas did

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Speaker 1: nothing against Texas Tech. I mean they just their defense

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Speaker 1: looked so bad. They win in overtime, but nowhere near

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Speaker 1: covering that eighteen point line. I mean the Israel out

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Speaker 1: of Sonia fight. I mean I thought Israel would win,

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Speaker 1: but as I said, I thought it would go over

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Speaker 1: two and a half rounds. It went into the second

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Speaker 1: round and out of Sonya stops Paulo Costa. I don't

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Speaker 1: know what that strategy was. Costa was all about taunting

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Speaker 1: and talking and shut up and fight dude, Like what

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Speaker 1: are you doing good for Israel to shut that guy

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Speaker 1: up and put that down? And I mean that guy

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Speaker 1: needs to go away. I don't really understand his strategy

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Speaker 1: for that fight. But nights win for Autasanya. I thought

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Speaker 1: he would win the fight, but I was concerned about

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Speaker 1: how live of a dog Costa was about. Catching potentially

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Speaker 1: out of Sonya early didn't happen. I thought the fight.

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Speaker 1: I thought Israel would take him deep into the fight

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Speaker 1: and then beat him in the fourth or fifth rounds.

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Speaker 1: That didn't happen. He beat him in the second round,

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Speaker 1: so that didn't cash. So that stunk for us. We

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Speaker 1: got the Florida first half, and I'm gonna I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: bet a lot more college football first half next week.

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Speaker 1: I'm just gonna forget about. There's some really bad teams,

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Speaker 1: some good teams, some really bad teams. But you know,

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Speaker 1: asking these second half teams to rally, I mean, it's

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Speaker 1: really it could be dangerous. And that's what happened. I

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Speaker 1: mean it was. And Florida got into a kind of

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Speaker 1: a crazy game with Old Miss. I think they ultimately

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Speaker 1: did cover after all said and done, but an Old

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Speaker 1: Miss came to life, and so we were good that.

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Speaker 1: We're happy to get out of there with with one

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Speaker 1: win on the day, So a one in four day,

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Speaker 1: one in three in football, so not great for us

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Speaker 1: here for college Hopefully we're gonna bounce back here on

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Speaker 1: a Sunday. So before we get to the picks, let

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Speaker 1: football Casey Baltimore. It's the regular season Super Bowl, right.

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Speaker 1: You're gonna bet one dollar in either team, and you'll

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Speaker 1: win two hundred dollars. Right, So take all the points

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Speaker 1: for terms and conditions. You must be twenty one years

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Speaker 1: or older and fifthly located in Colorado, Indiana, New Jersey

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Speaker 1: or West Virginia. You know, please gamble responsibly. Gambling problem

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Speaker 1: called one one hundred five two two forty seven hundred

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Speaker 1: in Colorado and Nevada, one hundred gambler in New Jersey,

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Speaker 1: in West Virginia, or one hundred and nine with it

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Speaker 1: in Indianna. All Right, so here are my plays for Circa.

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Speaker 1: I'll give you those first, and then we'll go to

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Speaker 1: the Draftking plays, and then we'll go to my picks

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Speaker 1: coming up four for Sunday. I've got five of them,

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Speaker 1: really six of them going because I gave you the

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Speaker 1: Patriots teaser with the Browns already. So here is what

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Speaker 1: I in my partner and I what we've picked for

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Speaker 1: the Circa Million contest. We're five and five in this contest.

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Speaker 1: We're laying the six and a half with the Patriots,

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Speaker 1: we're laying the four with the Steelers, we're laying three

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Speaker 1: and a half with the Falcons, we're laying six and

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Speaker 1: a half with the Chargers, and we're catching four and

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Speaker 1: a half from the Dallas Cowboys. These are stagnant lines, okay,

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Speaker 1: These lines don't move. So that's where gonna be for

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Speaker 1: the Circa At five and five, the DraftKings, Dan Harris

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Speaker 1: of Fantasy Pros and I are together in this contest,

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Speaker 1: and we're also five and five. We are taking the

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Speaker 1: Patriots better number, though minus five and a half. We're

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Speaker 1: taking the Pittsburgh Steelers better number minus three and a half,

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Speaker 1: taking the Chargers minus six and a half, Ksey Chiefs

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Speaker 1: plus three and a half against the Baltimore Ravens. That

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Speaker 1: might be the most contrarians of contrarion plays, but we're

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Speaker 1: gonna take the hook there and hope Casey loses by three.

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Speaker 1: And then Dan Harris loves this Giants play, and well,

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Speaker 1: he talked me into it because I didn't give him

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Speaker 1: the Giants pick last week and the Giants covered against

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Speaker 1: the Bears, and so he again stilled on a table

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Speaker 1: for the Giants plus three and a half against the

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Speaker 1: forty nine ers, and so fine, I gave it to him.

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Speaker 1: So we're taking the forty nine Ers plus three and

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Speaker 1: a half for our plays with the DraftKings five and

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Speaker 1: five in circa five and five in DraftKings. All right,

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Speaker 1: So the Patriots number has moved. And this is hard

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Speaker 1: because I really feel like everyone's gonna be on the Patriots,

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Speaker 1: and Darren Waller's playing, so is Josh Jacobs. The Patriots

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Speaker 1: have to replace their starting center, which is difficult. They

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Speaker 1: are shuffling their offensive line around, which isn't great. But luckily,

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Speaker 1: the Raider defensive line is not that good and their

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Speaker 1: pass rush is not that good. And Cam Newton's coming

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Speaker 1: off a really big week where he played really well

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Speaker 1: against Seattle, and the Patriot offense looked good, and this

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Speaker 1: Raider defense is okay. It's not great, it's okay, but

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Speaker 1: I think Cam's gonna have his way. I think the

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Speaker 1: Patriots defense has got something for Waller, it's got something

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Speaker 1: for the Raiders going across the country. Ten am start time,

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Speaker 1: short week after an emotional victory at home, opening up

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Speaker 1: the new building. It's just a trap game, right, so

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Speaker 1: everyone's on the Patriots. This might be a really bad

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Speaker 1: play if the Raiders win again. I got it at

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Speaker 1: five and a half and I just bet it, and

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Speaker 1: it went back up to six. It could could climb,

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Speaker 1: it could go up. I mean hopefully, you guys bet

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Speaker 1: it when I said, but Patriots minus five and a

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Speaker 1: half is the play here. The Patriots teaser is also

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Speaker 1: in play. We took the Patriots at six and a

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Speaker 1: half and teased it down to a half a point.

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Speaker 1: And then the Browns against the Washington Football Club, Browns

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Speaker 1: are at home. Teased it from seven down to one,

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Speaker 1: and I just think the Browns win. Okay, I don't

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Speaker 1: know if it's gonna be pretty. It probably won't be

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Speaker 1: because the Washington team is horrible, but I think the

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Speaker 1: Browns get a victory because they need it. They turned

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Speaker 1: a corner of sorts against the Bengals, so I think

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Speaker 1: this is a Browns team. I guess no one knows.

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Speaker 1: Wasn't against the Bengals. Who was that that they got

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Speaker 1: back door in that game? But yeah, think, yeah, it

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Speaker 1: was against the Bengals, right, I'm blanking on those last

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Speaker 1: Thursday right against the Bengals, have had extra time to prep.

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Speaker 1: So the teaser is Patriots to half a point and

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Speaker 1: the Browns to one. We're two and oh so far

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Speaker 1: on my two leg teasers. We give up one two

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Speaker 1: leg teaser every single podcast. So we go Patriots teaser

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Speaker 1: with the Browns Patriots minus five and a half. Okay,

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Speaker 1: let's talk about Chicago taking on the Falcons Falcons laying

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Speaker 1: three and a half. I've been talking to a lot

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Speaker 1: of people about this. This is a very popular play.

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Speaker 1: It's one of the five consensus plays in the circu

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Speaker 1: million contest, which is not great. You don't always want

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Speaker 1: to be running with the masses here, but fading Mitchell Trubisky.

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Speaker 1: I haven't gotten to do that yet, and this is

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Speaker 1: a perfect spot to do it because everyone's like, ooh

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Speaker 1: with the Bears, look at that. Wow, here they come

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Speaker 1: May Trbitsky. Hey, I am not a fit of Trubisky.

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Speaker 1: I have not been a fit of Tchubisky for a

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Speaker 1: really long time. And so at three and a half,

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Speaker 1: this Falcons team had one of the most horrific losses

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Speaker 1: in recent memory against Dallas. They played well up until

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Speaker 1: the fourth quarter. Dan Quinn's essentially he can't afford to

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Speaker 1: lose any more games, especially against bad teams. He can't

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Speaker 1: afford to losing any more games. So I think the

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Speaker 1: Falcons a I think Matt Ryan Julio Jones is questionable,

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Speaker 1: and it's if he plays, which is not good. Obviously

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Speaker 1: you want him to play here. But maybe they run

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Speaker 1: the football more, maybe they keep the ball away from

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Speaker 1: the Bears. I looked at the under here a little bit.

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Speaker 1: I want to see where the line goes before I

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Speaker 1: may on the live stream, I may talk about the

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Speaker 1: Falcons in Chicago under but at least for the podcast

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Speaker 1: here heading into Sunday morning, we're going to wind up

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Speaker 1: passing on that, but just taking the Falcons minus three

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Speaker 1: and a half. It's a popular play, but I mean

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Speaker 1: Patriots and the Falcons both are very popular. We're gonna

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Speaker 1: roll with that though here today. Okay, my next play

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Speaker 1: is the most greasy, grimy. I hate this play, but

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Speaker 1: I'm taking the five and a half points against the Falcons,

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Speaker 1: and if you can get a better number than this,

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Speaker 1: I hope you can grab it. Okay, I took it

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Speaker 1: at five and a half, but I hope you can

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Speaker 1: get six. I would love if it goes up in higher.

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Speaker 1: I would love for you to grab it, even you

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Speaker 1: know six and a half. I mean, it's the money

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Speaker 1: probably comes in on the Cardinals. It's still five and

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Speaker 1: a half the time of taping. Here's the thing with

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Speaker 1: this football team for Arizona. They're two and zero. They've

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Speaker 1: looked great player props on Kyler Murray. Uh huh uh.

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Speaker 1: Be tuning into the live stream tomorrow or this morning

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Speaker 1: at eleven am. I'm gonna be talking a lot about

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Speaker 1: Kyler Murray props. But here's the thing about this Detroit team.

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Speaker 1: They are pushed up against the Wall, and this is

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Speaker 1: one of these games. Last year the Lions went up

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Speaker 1: against the Cardinals, they tied. They match up pretty well

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Speaker 1: against each other, and I know DeAndre Hopkins is a

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Speaker 1: massive mismatch for so many secondaries. But I think this

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Speaker 1: is a game in which it's a three or four

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Speaker 1: point win. I think the five points is too heavy.

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Speaker 1: I think everyone's gonna think, Oh, it's the Cardinals. Go

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Speaker 1: ahead and bet at easy. You may get a six,

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Speaker 1: you may get a six and a half. Hopefully you do,

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Speaker 1: because I do think the Lions are going to be

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Speaker 1: in this game. I do think this is one of

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Speaker 1: those games where everyone's just blowing past Detroit because it's

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Speaker 1: matt Patricia. This is still Matthew Stafford Gallada gonna play

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Speaker 1: in this game. I'm taking the five and a half

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Speaker 1: points Lions plus five and a half against the Cardinals.

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Speaker 1: All Right, two more picks for you here on the

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Speaker 1: Sunday morning Daily Juice podcast. Pittsburgh minus three and a

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Speaker 1: half against Houston. You're gonna see it tomorrow morning at four.

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Speaker 1: You're gonna see on the live stream. I was able

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Speaker 1: to find it at three and a half and I

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Speaker 1: took it at three and a half, even though I

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Speaker 1: had told the guys at betting Pros I was taking

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Speaker 1: it at four. It actually I found a three and

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Speaker 1: a half and I took it Pittsburgh minus three and

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Speaker 1: a half taking on the Houston Texans. This would make

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Speaker 1: me three and oh betting against Houston at this hits.

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Speaker 1: And this is dangerous because last year I could not

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Speaker 1: win a bet betting against Houston. They burned me so

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Speaker 1: many times. Something is fundamentally wrong though with this offense.

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Speaker 1: And it's not just the Ravens and the Chiefs who

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Speaker 1: they played against. The offense doesn't have an identity, like

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Speaker 1: what are they do they run? Do they pass? Who

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Speaker 1: is their weapons? Who are their receivers? Is it gonna

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Speaker 1: be David Johnson? And they're gonna pound the rock? If

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Speaker 1: they pound the rock, then why are you paying to

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Speaker 1: Shaun Watson. That's the problem with this Texans team. And

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Speaker 1: they're going up against in Pittsburgh against this Steeler defense

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Speaker 1: that is young, hungry, and really hard to play against.

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Speaker 1: This opening three game stretch maybe the most difficult three

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Speaker 1: games I can remember ever in the NFL for any

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Speaker 1: football team. Ravens Chiefs are Chiefs, Ravens Steelers with big

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Speaker 1: Ben and Juju Clicking, two good running backs for Pittsburgh.

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Speaker 1: I don't like this at all. For the Houston Texans.

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Speaker 1: It's you know, the Texans might be a fine football team.

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Speaker 1: They're just getting really screwed by the schedule. So leg

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Speaker 1: in Pittsburgh. Mine is three and a half here against Houston.

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Speaker 1: And then finally, I have said that if the Buffalo

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Speaker 1: Bills beat the Rams here, I will stop down playing

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Speaker 1: this Buffalo football team and I will take them seriously.

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Speaker 1: I could be wrong. Sean mcvay's got a great mark

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Speaker 1: going to the East Coast, a great record against Eastern

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Speaker 1: Conference teams, accuding last week where he beat up on

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Speaker 1: the Philadelphia Eagles. I'm not going to bet a side

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Speaker 1: here in this game, except I'm going to bet a total.

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Speaker 1: I'm going at the over forty six and a half

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Speaker 1: Bills Rams over forty six and a half. I think

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Speaker 1: Jared Goff on the road can put points up at home.

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Speaker 1: I think this Bill's team can run and throw Stefan

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Speaker 1: digs at a big week last week, Jared Goff with

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Speaker 1: huge Jared Goff, sorry, Josh Allen, with big passing numbers.

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Speaker 1: Somebody wrote me a note saying what are you gonna

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Speaker 1: give Josh Allen some respect? All Right, win this game.

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Speaker 1: If he wins this game, I'll stop talking negatively about

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Speaker 1: Josh Allen. I'll start to give him some props. Okay,

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Speaker 1: how about that. If that happens, I'm going over rams

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Speaker 1: and bills forty six and a half. I think points

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Speaker 1: are gonna be scored here in this game. Look, betting

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Speaker 1: unders right now in the NFL. Betting totals in general

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Speaker 1: right now in the NFL is dangerous because overs are

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Speaker 1: hitting so consistently that there's going to be you know,

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Speaker 1: everyone's gonna keep on betting it thinking, Oh, it's over,

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Speaker 1: it's over, it's over. Ah. I'm gonna wait there. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna try to avoid that this week bet one total.

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Speaker 1: But I'm not gonna get involved all that much with

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Speaker 1: the sides, just because these trends on the over are

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Speaker 1: so crazy. Eventually, the under are gonna come roaring back

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Speaker 1: and everyone's gonna be on the over and it's gonna

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Speaker 1: wipe everybody out. So I'm not going to do that.

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Speaker 1: So reminder on the live stream at eleven a m.

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Speaker 1: Eastern Sunday morning on the YouTube channel for Betting Pros

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Speaker 1: go subscribe to it right now eighty m Pacific time.

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Speaker 1: Are plays for the Daily Juice player props during the

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Speaker 1: live stream tomorrow. But Daily Juice we're going Pat's Brown's

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Speaker 1: teaser half a point to one point Pat's Brown's teaser,

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Speaker 1: Patriots mines five and a half, Falcons minus three and

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Speaker 1: a half, Detroit plus five and a half, Pittsburgh minus

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Speaker 1: three and a half, and the over for the Bills

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Speaker 1: and the Rams at forty six and a half. Football

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Speaker 1: has been very good to us. I am, you know,

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Speaker 1: I was due to cool off a little bit yesterday

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Speaker 1: on Saturday. That was predictable as to what we've done

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Speaker 1: over and going four to oh one Monday night and

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Speaker 1: going eight and four on our picks on Sunday on

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Speaker 1: last Sunday, so I mean, we had a very really

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Speaker 1: really good twelve and four mark on Saturday and Monday.

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Speaker 1: So we came out of the gates, came into the week,

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Speaker 1: you know, really doing well. We've calmed down, cooled down

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Speaker 1: a little bit, but hopefully we come back here and

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Speaker 1: finished the week out strong, finished the week up, and

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Speaker 1: we can move on to another week here as we

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Speaker 1: head towards the October month, and we get rolling with

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Speaker 1: more big games. And boy, that Monday Night game, huh, Chiefs.

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Speaker 1: I already told you what Dan Harris and I are taking.

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Speaker 1: You know what I'm betting. Basically, I've already bet it

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Speaker 1: actually three and a half for the Chiefs. We'll talk

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Speaker 1: more about that tomorrow, but we'll have player props going

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Speaker 1: on Monday Night. We'll have a whole bunch of stuff

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Speaker 1: going from Monday Night football. It's just a monster football game.

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Speaker 1: We have to get heavily involved with it. So looking

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Speaker 1: forward to hearing from you. Are talking to you guys

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Speaker 1: on Monday for the Daily Juice, but live stream tomorrow

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Speaker 1: at eleven am or Sunday morning at eleven am this morning,

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Speaker 1: I will talk to you then live stream YouTube betting

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Speaker 1: pros until then. My name is Matt Perrault, following me

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Speaker 1: on Twitter at Ortstalk Matt, and we are back for

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Speaker 1: a Monday every day. It's the Daily Juice podcast presented

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Speaker 1: by bet MGM