1 00:00:14,200 --> 00:00:15,520 Speaker 1: Happy Sunday, guys. What's up? 2 00:00:15,560 --> 00:00:18,360 Speaker 2: Welcome in to another episode of the Dili Juice Podcast 3 00:00:18,360 --> 00:00:21,240 Speaker 2: with me Matt Perrault at Sports Talk. Matt to follow 4 00:00:21,280 --> 00:00:22,960 Speaker 2: me on Twitter. This podcast being brought to you by 5 00:00:22,960 --> 00:00:26,280 Speaker 2: our friends at BETMGM and the one thousand dollars first 6 00:00:26,320 --> 00:00:28,880 Speaker 2: bet offer that's available right now with that promo code 7 00:00:28,920 --> 00:00:31,800 Speaker 2: Juice at sign up for new users thousand bucks first 8 00:00:31,880 --> 00:00:35,559 Speaker 2: bet offer at betmgm dot com. All right, so I'm 9 00:00:35,600 --> 00:00:38,400 Speaker 2: in kind of a weird spot. So if we bet 10 00:00:38,440 --> 00:00:43,599 Speaker 2: Yukon on a hedge for Gonzaga, so that was flat. 11 00:00:43,920 --> 00:00:48,200 Speaker 2: We lost the other two bets yesterday. Unfortunately, Vancouver did 12 00:00:48,200 --> 00:00:50,680 Speaker 2: not go over, which was really surprising. I really I 13 00:00:50,720 --> 00:00:51,840 Speaker 2: thought that game would fly over. 14 00:00:52,159 --> 00:00:52,519 Speaker 1: It did not. 15 00:00:52,800 --> 00:00:55,360 Speaker 2: For to one final came back with the late night 16 00:00:55,440 --> 00:00:57,480 Speaker 2: game that we talked about on the Discord channel with 17 00:00:57,560 --> 00:01:01,640 Speaker 2: Vegas and the oilers that game pushed at so no harm, 18 00:01:01,680 --> 00:01:05,720 Speaker 2: no foul there, and then we lost the fau under 19 00:01:05,800 --> 00:01:08,440 Speaker 2: and man it would I hit a plus three eighty 20 00:01:08,440 --> 00:01:10,440 Speaker 2: five on them during the game we talked about during 21 00:01:10,480 --> 00:01:12,560 Speaker 2: the Discord channel. I had plus one forty and plus 22 00:01:12,600 --> 00:01:15,600 Speaker 2: three eighty five, So I ended up making money on 23 00:01:15,640 --> 00:01:18,759 Speaker 2: that game, but officially I lost. So this is again 24 00:01:18,840 --> 00:01:21,000 Speaker 2: why being in the Discord channel really can help. If 25 00:01:21,000 --> 00:01:22,920 Speaker 2: you'd like to do what I do, which is use 26 00:01:22,959 --> 00:01:26,240 Speaker 2: in game wagering, which you absolutely should be using today 27 00:01:26,560 --> 00:01:29,959 Speaker 2: for both games in the NCAA tournament. Should completely be 28 00:01:30,040 --> 00:01:33,440 Speaker 2: using in game wagering for your advantage. But I've got 29 00:01:33,760 --> 00:01:38,880 Speaker 2: futures on both Creighton and Texas today, so my bets 30 00:01:39,200 --> 00:01:42,600 Speaker 2: are gonna be hedges. I'm gonna give you what I 31 00:01:42,640 --> 00:01:45,720 Speaker 2: think is gonna happen. Okay, I'm gonna give you official plays, 32 00:01:46,720 --> 00:01:50,360 Speaker 2: but just understand that I have I have a twenty 33 00:01:50,440 --> 00:01:53,040 Speaker 2: five unit win. If the Creighton Blue Jays win the 34 00:01:53,120 --> 00:01:56,280 Speaker 2: National Championship, I have a twenty five unit win. I 35 00:01:56,320 --> 00:01:59,320 Speaker 2: have a three point twenty five a plus three twenty 36 00:01:59,360 --> 00:02:03,360 Speaker 2: five tick at writing with Texas if they win today. 37 00:02:03,400 --> 00:02:05,840 Speaker 2: I had Gonzaga in the same thing yesterday and I 38 00:02:05,840 --> 00:02:10,760 Speaker 2: bet Yukon. So people talk about hedging. Look, maybe it's 39 00:02:10,760 --> 00:02:13,519 Speaker 2: because I do a show with a former risk director, 40 00:02:13,560 --> 00:02:15,360 Speaker 2: you know, a guy from the risk rom a guy 41 00:02:15,360 --> 00:02:17,760 Speaker 2: who's been in books for twenty five years. I ran 42 00:02:17,880 --> 00:02:21,960 Speaker 2: books in Dave Sheapan. Because we talk about it all 43 00:02:22,040 --> 00:02:23,800 Speaker 2: the time on our other show, we talk about the 44 00:02:23,800 --> 00:02:27,280 Speaker 2: fact that on BVB we say, look, minimize risk. Okay, 45 00:02:27,840 --> 00:02:31,440 Speaker 2: gambling's fine, but minimize risk. That's what they do in 46 00:02:31,480 --> 00:02:34,480 Speaker 2: the book. They always talk about minimizing the risk. So 47 00:02:34,560 --> 00:02:37,079 Speaker 2: as a player, you equally have to talk about minimizing 48 00:02:37,160 --> 00:02:39,240 Speaker 2: the risk. That's why I hedge all the time. I 49 00:02:39,280 --> 00:02:42,320 Speaker 2: have no bones. People call me, you're not a gambler, 50 00:02:42,360 --> 00:02:44,840 Speaker 2: you're not a real better. Okay, all those things can 51 00:02:44,919 --> 00:02:47,560 Speaker 2: be very well true. I don't care. I'm not trying 52 00:02:47,560 --> 00:02:50,240 Speaker 2: to impress anybody. Okay, I'm not trying to play some game, 53 00:02:50,520 --> 00:02:53,000 Speaker 2: some mythical game about how to you know. I'm trying 54 00:02:53,000 --> 00:02:55,840 Speaker 2: to earn my sharp card. When they start passing those 55 00:02:55,880 --> 00:02:58,240 Speaker 2: things out, please let me know who's the one handing 56 00:02:58,280 --> 00:03:00,480 Speaker 2: out the sharp cards looking for that. 57 00:03:00,639 --> 00:03:01,040 Speaker 1: Okay. 58 00:03:01,200 --> 00:03:04,960 Speaker 2: I'm looking for bank roll management. I'm looking for intelligent decisions, 59 00:03:05,200 --> 00:03:08,160 Speaker 2: and I'm looking to have fun and have entertainment and 60 00:03:08,720 --> 00:03:11,840 Speaker 2: enjoy myself as I'm betting these things. Okay, so just 61 00:03:11,960 --> 00:03:15,400 Speaker 2: understand that's what we're doing. I have one hockey parlay 62 00:03:15,480 --> 00:03:17,960 Speaker 2: to give out there. It's a great card. Bruins and 63 00:03:18,000 --> 00:03:22,240 Speaker 2: Hurricanes today is an unbelievable game. Awesome game. One hundred 64 00:03:22,240 --> 00:03:24,720 Speaker 2: percent live bet that game. That game's gonna be awesome. 65 00:03:24,880 --> 00:03:26,680 Speaker 2: Bruins and Hurricane is gonna be a ton of fun. 66 00:03:26,880 --> 00:03:28,760 Speaker 2: Probably bet the under in that game pre game, if 67 00:03:28,760 --> 00:03:31,160 Speaker 2: you're gonna bet anything but that. I can't wait to 68 00:03:31,200 --> 00:03:33,359 Speaker 2: watch that hockey game we got Obviously the Create and 69 00:03:33,360 --> 00:03:34,880 Speaker 2: Blue Jay is playing today, so you know where I'm 70 00:03:34,880 --> 00:03:37,360 Speaker 2: gonna be today. A lot of good stuff to get to. 71 00:03:38,000 --> 00:03:40,280 Speaker 2: Probably I have to have to do the math. My 72 00:03:40,360 --> 00:03:42,960 Speaker 2: guess is it can't be a winning week based upon 73 00:03:43,040 --> 00:03:47,760 Speaker 2: what I'm betting because I'm only putting three point two. 74 00:03:47,720 --> 00:03:48,560 Speaker 1: Units in play. 75 00:03:48,840 --> 00:03:52,560 Speaker 2: So I think even if I win everything, I think 76 00:03:52,560 --> 00:03:54,560 Speaker 2: I still wind up losing from the week. I think 77 00:03:54,560 --> 00:03:57,000 Speaker 2: we're down five units on the week. I think I 78 00:03:57,000 --> 00:03:59,080 Speaker 2: gotta check it out though, but we'll try to minimize it. 79 00:03:59,160 --> 00:04:01,040 Speaker 2: Drop it down out of a week and the week 80 00:04:01,200 --> 00:04:03,080 Speaker 2: on a high note to heading into next week hopefully 81 00:04:03,080 --> 00:04:06,680 Speaker 2: have a good mark. 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Okay, So the 97 00:04:53,120 --> 00:04:55,960 Speaker 2: Creighton Blue Jays are taking on San Diego State. 98 00:04:56,839 --> 00:04:58,600 Speaker 1: Look, this is going to be a war. 99 00:04:59,320 --> 00:05:02,600 Speaker 2: The Creighton Blue Days have the twenty first most efficient 100 00:05:02,640 --> 00:05:06,159 Speaker 2: offense in college basketball. They're taking on the fourth best defense. 101 00:05:06,760 --> 00:05:10,400 Speaker 2: San Diego State has the seventh most efficient offense and 102 00:05:10,440 --> 00:05:13,720 Speaker 2: they're taking on the fourteenth most efficient defense. 103 00:05:13,920 --> 00:05:14,120 Speaker 1: Woo. 104 00:05:15,600 --> 00:05:18,760 Speaker 2: San Diego State is not a good shooting team, okay, 105 00:05:19,720 --> 00:05:23,520 Speaker 2: two hundred and twelve effective field goal percentage, they only 106 00:05:23,600 --> 00:05:26,120 Speaker 2: hit thirty one point four percent of their threes, it's 107 00:05:26,160 --> 00:05:29,920 Speaker 2: one hundred and seventy second in the in college basketball. 108 00:05:30,400 --> 00:05:32,839 Speaker 2: They don't hit their twos very well either, forty nine 109 00:05:32,880 --> 00:05:36,200 Speaker 2: point three, two hundred and twenty fourth in college basketball. 110 00:05:36,480 --> 00:05:37,200 Speaker 1: What do they do? 111 00:05:37,279 --> 00:05:40,800 Speaker 2: They muck it up, all right. They're twentieth ineffective field 112 00:05:40,839 --> 00:05:45,360 Speaker 2: goal percentage. They are third in three point percentage. They 113 00:05:45,400 --> 00:05:48,200 Speaker 2: are one hundred and forty third and two point percentage. 114 00:05:48,560 --> 00:05:51,279 Speaker 2: But they're a team that wants to turn you over. 115 00:05:51,400 --> 00:05:53,120 Speaker 2: They's a team that want to force you to not 116 00:05:53,160 --> 00:05:55,440 Speaker 2: get a bunch of rebounds. They take care of the 117 00:05:55,440 --> 00:06:01,040 Speaker 2: glass on defense really well. They brawl, okay, they fight you. 118 00:06:01,480 --> 00:06:03,840 Speaker 2: This is a team that has been, you know, for 119 00:06:03,880 --> 00:06:07,520 Speaker 2: a long time. This is a very tough team to face. 120 00:06:08,040 --> 00:06:11,839 Speaker 2: They grind you down. And that's my fear here for 121 00:06:11,920 --> 00:06:15,200 Speaker 2: the Creighton Blue Jays. They don't do well with games 122 00:06:15,279 --> 00:06:19,359 Speaker 2: like this. They don't do well with teams that grind fourteen, sorry, 123 00:06:19,360 --> 00:06:22,520 Speaker 2: twenty one and fourteen to the under. This year, San 124 00:06:22,560 --> 00:06:25,400 Speaker 2: Diego State, they are there are on a ten in 125 00:06:25,440 --> 00:06:29,000 Speaker 2: a row stretch to the under. Ten games in a row, okay, 126 00:06:29,279 --> 00:06:32,800 Speaker 2: actually eleven eleven straight games to the under for San 127 00:06:32,800 --> 00:06:36,279 Speaker 2: Diego State. This total was one thirty four and a half. 128 00:06:36,480 --> 00:06:38,520 Speaker 2: The last time the Creyton Blue Jays had a total 129 00:06:38,560 --> 00:06:40,120 Speaker 2: of one thirty four and a half was on the 130 00:06:40,200 --> 00:06:43,200 Speaker 2: road at Seaton Hall on the eighth of February. That 131 00:06:43,279 --> 00:06:46,360 Speaker 2: game went over by two and a half points. Before that, 132 00:06:46,440 --> 00:06:48,800 Speaker 2: you got to go all the way back to Seaton Hall. 133 00:06:49,080 --> 00:06:51,600 Speaker 2: At home, that game went over by nine and a 134 00:06:51,640 --> 00:06:53,960 Speaker 2: half points. Go back to the and that was the 135 00:06:53,960 --> 00:06:56,760 Speaker 2: only two times we saw a total of thirty four 136 00:06:56,800 --> 00:07:00,000 Speaker 2: and a half with the Creyton Blue Jays. Look this game, 137 00:07:00,279 --> 00:07:01,760 Speaker 2: you want to bet the under one thirty four and 138 00:07:01,760 --> 00:07:04,520 Speaker 2: a half, be my guest the overs I bet. I 139 00:07:04,600 --> 00:07:07,320 Speaker 2: bet under yesterday with k State. The game had a 140 00:07:07,320 --> 00:07:10,040 Speaker 2: tempo that stunned me. I couldn't believe it because they 141 00:07:10,040 --> 00:07:13,040 Speaker 2: were comfortable on the court. So I'm gun shy of 142 00:07:13,080 --> 00:07:16,480 Speaker 2: betting unders. Okay in particular, because the biggest stat for 143 00:07:16,520 --> 00:07:19,440 Speaker 2: this game comes down to three point percentage for the 144 00:07:19,480 --> 00:07:22,440 Speaker 2: Creighton Blue Jays. The Jays if they hit threes, they 145 00:07:22,480 --> 00:07:25,200 Speaker 2: win this game. It's that simple. Which version of the 146 00:07:25,200 --> 00:07:27,600 Speaker 2: Creighton Blue Jays are we getting? Are we getting the 147 00:07:27,640 --> 00:07:31,720 Speaker 2: Baylor Steinderman outside shot, Barrage or Brick Barrage. Are we 148 00:07:31,800 --> 00:07:34,680 Speaker 2: getting a Trey Alexander, you know, get to the rim 149 00:07:34,760 --> 00:07:37,840 Speaker 2: and then bang open threes. Are we getting the lob 150 00:07:38,080 --> 00:07:42,120 Speaker 2: up top to Cal Prenter. Are we getting open threes 151 00:07:42,720 --> 00:07:45,520 Speaker 2: for the guards for Creighton? And are we getting Arthur 152 00:07:45,600 --> 00:07:48,560 Speaker 2: Kaluma hitting threes? Are we getting Ryan Nemhard having a 153 00:07:48,600 --> 00:07:51,000 Speaker 2: twenty five point game? Which version of the J's are 154 00:07:51,040 --> 00:07:54,200 Speaker 2: we getting? Okay, you're gonna know pretty quick. Creighton Blue 155 00:07:54,280 --> 00:07:58,360 Speaker 2: Jays three point percentage is thirty five point eight. It's 156 00:07:58,400 --> 00:08:01,280 Speaker 2: top one hundred sounds standing, but it could be very good. 157 00:08:01,920 --> 00:08:05,920 Speaker 2: Number three in defense three point percentage San Diego State. 158 00:08:06,840 --> 00:08:11,040 Speaker 2: That's the stat. Jay's hit threes, Jay's win, Jay's miss threes, 159 00:08:11,200 --> 00:08:15,160 Speaker 2: Jay's loose. I'm hedging, all right, I'm gonna take the 160 00:08:15,200 --> 00:08:19,280 Speaker 2: two points. Officially, I'm personally betting money line, okay, and 161 00:08:19,360 --> 00:08:21,400 Speaker 2: I'm betting enough to make sure I make a little 162 00:08:21,440 --> 00:08:25,680 Speaker 2: money off my initial investment. My gut tells me the 163 00:08:25,760 --> 00:08:29,080 Speaker 2: Jays lose this game, okay. Just I've watched a lot 164 00:08:29,080 --> 00:08:32,199 Speaker 2: of Creton basketball. I watched the FAU game yesterday. I 165 00:08:32,240 --> 00:08:34,640 Speaker 2: talked about it all year long, about dr all tournament long, 166 00:08:34,679 --> 00:08:37,600 Speaker 2: about how I've liked teams who play defense, defense first 167 00:08:37,600 --> 00:08:43,080 Speaker 2: and foremost. Okay, when I don't pick the J's, I 168 00:08:43,080 --> 00:08:45,319 Speaker 2: bet against them, they tend to win. So that a 169 00:08:45,360 --> 00:08:47,640 Speaker 2: little bit of a John Anick syndrome going on here 170 00:08:47,640 --> 00:08:49,640 Speaker 2: by betting against the team that I want to win. 171 00:08:49,760 --> 00:08:51,480 Speaker 1: But I actually think the Jays are going to have 172 00:08:51,520 --> 00:08:52,760 Speaker 1: a tough time. I really do. 173 00:08:53,120 --> 00:08:56,160 Speaker 2: And San Diego State is really really difficult to face, 174 00:08:56,240 --> 00:08:58,320 Speaker 2: and we've seen it throughout this tournament. I mean, beating 175 00:08:58,400 --> 00:09:01,440 Speaker 2: Alabama was not a joke. It was not a small thing. Okay, 176 00:09:01,679 --> 00:09:04,960 Speaker 2: seventy one sixty four. They've held their you know, going 177 00:09:05,000 --> 00:09:08,439 Speaker 2: through this, they haven't given up more than sixty six 178 00:09:08,480 --> 00:09:11,679 Speaker 2: points since the twenty fifth of February. It's been a 179 00:09:11,720 --> 00:09:14,360 Speaker 2: month since they've given up more than more than sixty 180 00:09:14,800 --> 00:09:15,679 Speaker 2: four points. 181 00:09:15,880 --> 00:09:18,439 Speaker 1: It's unbelievable. They just it's. 182 00:09:18,320 --> 00:09:23,160 Speaker 2: Really really hard when they're you know, when they're locked in, 183 00:09:23,840 --> 00:09:24,680 Speaker 2: they have a tough time. 184 00:09:24,720 --> 00:09:26,720 Speaker 1: The Jays have been the total opposite. 185 00:09:26,760 --> 00:09:31,280 Speaker 2: They've scored eighty six, eighty five, seventy two, lost to 186 00:09:31,400 --> 00:09:34,640 Speaker 2: Xavier and only scored sixty points in the Big East Tournament, 187 00:09:34,679 --> 00:09:38,800 Speaker 2: but eighty seven, eighty four, ninety nine, I mean, in 188 00:09:39,000 --> 00:09:43,360 Speaker 2: the month of March. They've scored at least eighty four 189 00:09:43,440 --> 00:09:46,920 Speaker 2: games in every game but one so far in the 190 00:09:46,960 --> 00:09:50,160 Speaker 2: month of March. All right, Jay's have been hot. If 191 00:09:50,160 --> 00:09:52,400 Speaker 2: they hit their threes, it's going to be a long 192 00:09:52,480 --> 00:09:54,920 Speaker 2: day for San Diego State. If they are missing their 193 00:09:54,920 --> 00:09:57,800 Speaker 2: threes or don't get the clean looks that they're after 194 00:09:58,679 --> 00:10:02,840 Speaker 2: San Diego State. The plus two I'm betting money line 195 00:10:02,840 --> 00:10:05,920 Speaker 2: in San Diego State, but officially we're taking plus two 196 00:10:06,440 --> 00:10:09,199 Speaker 2: for one point one units down on San Diego State. 197 00:10:09,320 --> 00:10:09,680 Speaker 1: All right. 198 00:10:10,240 --> 00:10:14,200 Speaker 2: Now, same thing here with Miami. In Texas, line's four. 199 00:10:14,480 --> 00:10:18,720 Speaker 2: All right, Given the way that dogs have performed here 200 00:10:18,760 --> 00:10:21,199 Speaker 2: in this tournament, I think you have to seriously look 201 00:10:21,240 --> 00:10:26,640 Speaker 2: at Miami. Miami's offense is number six in efficiency. Texas 202 00:10:26,679 --> 00:10:30,600 Speaker 2: is number ten in defensive efficiency. Texas offense, though, is 203 00:10:30,720 --> 00:10:34,960 Speaker 2: fifteenth in offensive efficiency. Miami's defense is one hundred and 204 00:10:35,200 --> 00:10:36,880 Speaker 2: fourth in efficiency. 205 00:10:37,040 --> 00:10:38,440 Speaker 1: That's upthing to take a look at here. 206 00:10:38,480 --> 00:10:42,920 Speaker 2: Because Texas got really hot against Xavier in the second half, 207 00:10:43,120 --> 00:10:44,200 Speaker 2: and that was a big game. 208 00:10:44,200 --> 00:10:44,760 Speaker 1: We bet the. 209 00:10:44,720 --> 00:10:48,400 Speaker 2: Over for that game. Forty nine was the total in 210 00:10:48,440 --> 00:10:51,600 Speaker 2: that game. It's one forty nine in the total. Right now, 211 00:10:52,000 --> 00:10:55,880 Speaker 2: Miami's had a really good tournament. They beat Houston number 212 00:10:55,880 --> 00:10:59,280 Speaker 2: one seed, they beat Indiana, they beat Duke, they lost 213 00:10:59,280 --> 00:11:01,679 Speaker 2: to Duke. It would beat Drake rather, they lost to 214 00:11:01,760 --> 00:11:03,720 Speaker 2: Duke in the final of the ACC when they had 215 00:11:03,760 --> 00:11:06,960 Speaker 2: the injury to their big guy. And I mean, I've 216 00:11:06,960 --> 00:11:10,000 Speaker 2: been off on Miami all year, Okay, so look, I 217 00:11:10,040 --> 00:11:12,160 Speaker 2: have a plus three twenty five on Texas to win 218 00:11:12,200 --> 00:11:14,640 Speaker 2: this game. I'm gonna be bet in money line just 219 00:11:14,679 --> 00:11:16,240 Speaker 2: to make sure I make a little money here. 220 00:11:16,280 --> 00:11:16,480 Speaker 1: Back. 221 00:11:16,480 --> 00:11:18,800 Speaker 2: I'm gonna bet basically, you know, two units. I have 222 00:11:18,800 --> 00:11:21,000 Speaker 2: a one unit bet on Texas at plus three twenty five. 223 00:11:21,240 --> 00:11:23,880 Speaker 2: I'm gonna bet two units or yeah, I'm gonna bet. No, 224 00:11:23,920 --> 00:11:27,920 Speaker 2: I'm gonna bet enough to win one point five regardless 225 00:11:27,960 --> 00:11:30,800 Speaker 2: whether it's Texas or Miami. I forget the numbers I'm 226 00:11:30,800 --> 00:11:33,040 Speaker 2: playing with, but that's what I'm gonna make sure I 227 00:11:33,120 --> 00:11:36,840 Speaker 2: win one point five units here today on Texas or Miami, 228 00:11:36,920 --> 00:11:40,960 Speaker 2: no matter who wins. But officially, for the podcast's sake, 229 00:11:41,280 --> 00:11:43,680 Speaker 2: I think taking plus four is a smart move here. 230 00:11:44,200 --> 00:11:46,640 Speaker 2: And you just look at the way that Texas has 231 00:11:46,679 --> 00:11:49,880 Speaker 2: played at times. You know they have one when they win, 232 00:11:50,000 --> 00:11:52,319 Speaker 2: they win pretty much going away. They only went by 233 00:11:52,360 --> 00:11:54,600 Speaker 2: five against Penn State, but everybody else has been six 234 00:11:54,640 --> 00:11:58,520 Speaker 2: points or more, and their last loss was against TCU 235 00:11:58,679 --> 00:12:00,720 Speaker 2: back on the road in the first of March. 236 00:12:00,760 --> 00:12:03,679 Speaker 1: I've been very good since chance to win this. 237 00:12:04,360 --> 00:12:06,760 Speaker 2: I mean, how much of it was the banged upness 238 00:12:06,800 --> 00:12:09,600 Speaker 2: of Houston and the injuries catching up with them that 239 00:12:09,720 --> 00:12:12,959 Speaker 2: led to Miami here. Jim Laernega is such a good coach. 240 00:12:13,000 --> 00:12:15,320 Speaker 2: He took George Mason to the Final four, trying to 241 00:12:15,320 --> 00:12:19,400 Speaker 2: take Miami to the final four. Plus four Miami, Okay, 242 00:12:19,640 --> 00:12:22,840 Speaker 2: that's what I'm jumping in officially here and again given 243 00:12:22,840 --> 00:12:25,559 Speaker 2: them that dogs have performed. Taking San Diego State plus 244 00:12:25,559 --> 00:12:29,000 Speaker 2: two and Miami plus four, those aren't bad bets. Okay 245 00:12:29,120 --> 00:12:31,520 Speaker 2: those if you're like Matt Well, I don't have those 246 00:12:31,559 --> 00:12:33,720 Speaker 2: tickets that you have, so I'm not playing the same 247 00:12:33,760 --> 00:12:36,240 Speaker 2: game that you are. Yeah, I know, but I still 248 00:12:36,280 --> 00:12:38,880 Speaker 2: think that's a pretty smart move to take plus four 249 00:12:38,920 --> 00:12:41,839 Speaker 2: Miami and take plus two San Diego State. Again, if 250 00:12:41,880 --> 00:12:45,160 Speaker 2: Creighton wins and Texas wins, I'm ecstatic. Okay, I am 251 00:12:45,200 --> 00:12:48,600 Speaker 2: in play in a big way, and I'm only giving 252 00:12:48,640 --> 00:12:51,240 Speaker 2: back one unit here on the Creighton game. I'm gonna 253 00:12:51,240 --> 00:12:54,400 Speaker 2: guarantee myself. I win one and a half with Texas. 254 00:12:54,559 --> 00:12:57,600 Speaker 2: I don't have any other future after this besides the 255 00:12:57,640 --> 00:13:00,640 Speaker 2: Creighton Blue Jay ticket, and Creyton will be fit most 256 00:13:00,720 --> 00:13:04,920 Speaker 2: likely against Florida Atlantic. So it's insanity, But I could 257 00:13:04,960 --> 00:13:09,000 Speaker 2: have a Creighton versus Yukon national championship game, like Yukon 258 00:13:09,080 --> 00:13:13,480 Speaker 2: can beat Texas or Miami one hundred percent, Yukon can 259 00:13:13,559 --> 00:13:15,679 Speaker 2: be in the national title game. Could have two beast 260 00:13:15,679 --> 00:13:18,199 Speaker 2: teams in the national title game and they're one and 261 00:13:18,360 --> 00:13:21,000 Speaker 2: one this year taking on each other. So I mean, 262 00:13:21,040 --> 00:13:22,800 Speaker 2: you want to talk about who's favored and that one. 263 00:13:22,880 --> 00:13:26,080 Speaker 2: I have no idea. Most likely Yukon would be. But 264 00:13:26,640 --> 00:13:28,760 Speaker 2: yu Cud hasn't lost to anybody. 265 00:13:28,800 --> 00:13:29,040 Speaker 1: You know. 266 00:13:29,240 --> 00:13:32,640 Speaker 2: It's funny U cut hasn't lost a non conference game, right, 267 00:13:32,960 --> 00:13:36,960 Speaker 2: But the Jays beat Yukon at home. The Jays lost 268 00:13:36,960 --> 00:13:40,040 Speaker 2: to Yukon by nine at Yukon. They're one in one 269 00:13:40,480 --> 00:13:43,240 Speaker 2: rubber match, might very well be for the national championship? 270 00:13:43,280 --> 00:13:43,960 Speaker 1: Are you kidding me? 271 00:13:44,600 --> 00:13:47,800 Speaker 2: I mean, I'll obviously be jumping in heavy if that 272 00:13:47,840 --> 00:13:52,240 Speaker 2: were to happen here, But you know that's how I'm 273 00:13:52,280 --> 00:13:56,800 Speaker 2: going to play it personally, Okay, But I understand if 274 00:13:56,920 --> 00:13:58,959 Speaker 2: you are gonna go, well, Matt, I love Creighton to 275 00:13:59,000 --> 00:14:00,839 Speaker 2: win this game, and okay, I help. You're right all right, 276 00:14:00,840 --> 00:14:03,720 Speaker 2: But officially plus two plus four one point one units 277 00:14:03,720 --> 00:14:07,520 Speaker 2: on both for our picks and plays here for the 278 00:14:07,840 --> 00:14:11,720 Speaker 2: lad eight games on Sunday. Now, have you guys heard 279 00:14:11,800 --> 00:14:14,880 Speaker 2: of the funny little slogan that the guys and most 280 00:14:14,920 --> 00:14:17,160 Speaker 2: of you guys are who listen to the Jews also 281 00:14:17,240 --> 00:14:20,440 Speaker 2: watch Bluster Nam versus of the book. They came up 282 00:14:20,480 --> 00:14:23,080 Speaker 2: with this thing called the Badard Lay, which is fading 283 00:14:23,160 --> 00:14:25,600 Speaker 2: teams that are out of it, that are eliminated, trying 284 00:14:25,600 --> 00:14:27,840 Speaker 2: to get as many ping pung balls as possible into 285 00:14:27,840 --> 00:14:31,160 Speaker 2: the NHL lottery in order for them to get this 286 00:14:31,240 --> 00:14:35,120 Speaker 2: insane talent who is the next coming of Jesus, basically 287 00:14:35,160 --> 00:14:39,200 Speaker 2: the next McDavid. So I played the Badard Day yesterday, 288 00:14:39,200 --> 00:14:40,680 Speaker 2: and I put the Bruins in it for the fun 289 00:14:40,720 --> 00:14:41,960 Speaker 2: of it, just like all right, I think the Bruins 290 00:14:41,960 --> 00:14:44,440 Speaker 2: are going to win. So the Bruins in plus three 291 00:14:44,520 --> 00:14:48,360 Speaker 2: fifty it hit all right, three leger three unit fading 292 00:14:48,440 --> 00:14:51,360 Speaker 2: all the really bad teams. Two of those bad teams 293 00:14:51,440 --> 00:14:55,720 Speaker 2: are playing here today. The Arizona Coyotes are playing against 294 00:14:55,920 --> 00:15:00,800 Speaker 2: the Avalanche and the Vancouver Canucks are playing today, and 295 00:15:00,920 --> 00:15:04,560 Speaker 2: Vancouver it's a they are a weird team. Man, they 296 00:15:04,600 --> 00:15:07,680 Speaker 2: could have been in this conversation. Vancouver very easily could 297 00:15:07,720 --> 00:15:09,920 Speaker 2: have been a team that you're looking to fade. But 298 00:15:09,960 --> 00:15:13,440 Speaker 2: they've been so good. They've won eight of ten and 299 00:15:13,640 --> 00:15:14,440 Speaker 2: they're way. 300 00:15:14,200 --> 00:15:14,600 Speaker 1: Out of this. 301 00:15:14,800 --> 00:15:18,280 Speaker 2: But Vancouver's at Chicago, and Chicago is now coming off 302 00:15:18,280 --> 00:15:20,880 Speaker 2: this road trip in which they were reeling. They lost 303 00:15:20,880 --> 00:15:25,720 Speaker 2: all three games at Arizona, at Colorado, at Washington four two, five, nothing, 304 00:15:25,800 --> 00:15:29,680 Speaker 2: six to one. Okay, three out of four wins for Vancouver. 305 00:15:29,920 --> 00:15:32,800 Speaker 2: They're sixteen sixteen and four on the road, but they're 306 00:15:32,840 --> 00:15:36,040 Speaker 2: eight and two over their last ten. Chicago is fourteen, 307 00:15:36,240 --> 00:15:39,400 Speaker 2: eighteen and three and frankly, Chicago doesn't want to win 308 00:15:39,440 --> 00:15:43,680 Speaker 2: any more games. Okay, Chicago just doesn't want to win anymore. 309 00:15:43,760 --> 00:15:46,640 Speaker 2: And I don't blame them, okay, because they've got some 310 00:15:46,760 --> 00:15:49,920 Speaker 2: work left to do here. They've got fifty four points 311 00:15:50,040 --> 00:15:53,840 Speaker 2: and San Jose has fifty three points. Okay, it's a 312 00:15:53,960 --> 00:15:57,760 Speaker 2: race to the ping pong bottom. Anaheim fifty six points, 313 00:15:57,960 --> 00:16:02,320 Speaker 2: Arizona sixty six points. Arizona's played really well at home 314 00:16:02,360 --> 00:16:05,920 Speaker 2: this year. They're twenty eleven and three, which is crazy, 315 00:16:06,560 --> 00:16:08,840 Speaker 2: but they got to stop winning. Like they have a 316 00:16:08,880 --> 00:16:13,120 Speaker 2: lot of young kids who are you know, a lot 317 00:16:13,120 --> 00:16:17,160 Speaker 2: of young kids who were playing hard. Okay, but Colorado 318 00:16:17,880 --> 00:16:22,160 Speaker 2: is not set. These are games that the Avalanche need 319 00:16:22,280 --> 00:16:26,640 Speaker 2: to win. Okay, look at the standings. The Bruins and 320 00:16:26,680 --> 00:16:29,760 Speaker 2: the Hurricanes and the Devils in the East are wrapped up. 321 00:16:29,760 --> 00:16:32,040 Speaker 2: But the Bruins and the Hurricanes playing is awesome. Maybe 322 00:16:32,040 --> 00:16:34,920 Speaker 2: an Eastern Conference championship preview coming up today that game 323 00:16:34,960 --> 00:16:38,080 Speaker 2: is Must Say TV. But in the West a lot 324 00:16:38,120 --> 00:16:41,520 Speaker 2: hasn't been determined. So Colorado is the three seed right now. 325 00:16:41,560 --> 00:16:44,880 Speaker 2: They are two games behind Dallas, sorry, two points behind Dallas. 326 00:16:44,960 --> 00:16:48,640 Speaker 2: They're three points behind the wild in the wild card rank, 327 00:16:48,680 --> 00:16:51,880 Speaker 2: they're only Seattle's at eighty eight points. Seattle's not that 328 00:16:51,920 --> 00:16:54,880 Speaker 2: far behind Colorado. So you start looking at this and 329 00:16:54,880 --> 00:16:58,840 Speaker 2: you're like, huh, the Avalanche better be careful, Like you 330 00:16:58,880 --> 00:17:00,880 Speaker 2: don't want to play in that wild situation. You want 331 00:17:00,920 --> 00:17:02,640 Speaker 2: to make sure that you're not you know, but right 332 00:17:02,720 --> 00:17:05,080 Speaker 2: behind them, I mean, they've got the Winnipeg Jets are 333 00:17:05,080 --> 00:17:09,439 Speaker 2: five points behind them, cracking with eighty eight points Calgary, 334 00:17:09,880 --> 00:17:12,560 Speaker 2: So you have the jets and the cracking most likely 335 00:17:12,760 --> 00:17:15,399 Speaker 2: if it ended today, but they got to win. Like 336 00:17:16,000 --> 00:17:18,639 Speaker 2: Colorado came just rest of their laurels and they're banged up. 337 00:17:18,680 --> 00:17:23,000 Speaker 2: Okay they are, But Arizona on the road, I think 338 00:17:23,040 --> 00:17:25,600 Speaker 2: this is just a little bit too much here, and 339 00:17:25,720 --> 00:17:26,600 Speaker 2: it is a little scary. 340 00:17:26,640 --> 00:17:27,439 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna deny it. 341 00:17:27,480 --> 00:17:31,240 Speaker 2: Like Matt or giz they've played so well at home, 342 00:17:31,320 --> 00:17:33,479 Speaker 2: you're really gonna go ahead and expect Arizona because that 343 00:17:33,480 --> 00:17:35,800 Speaker 2: barn is weird. They're playing in a college. You know, 344 00:17:36,000 --> 00:17:38,840 Speaker 2: it's not normal. Lost three games in a row at home. 345 00:17:39,240 --> 00:17:42,400 Speaker 2: They won four straight. They beat the wild they beat 346 00:17:42,440 --> 00:17:45,320 Speaker 2: the Flames, they beat the Canucks, and they'll beat the Blackhawks. 347 00:17:45,359 --> 00:17:47,280 Speaker 2: They've won four games in a row at home. If 348 00:17:47,320 --> 00:17:49,240 Speaker 2: you go back to that, actually they won six games 349 00:17:49,280 --> 00:17:51,560 Speaker 2: in a row, seven games in a row. No, there's 350 00:17:51,560 --> 00:17:54,280 Speaker 2: a loss. Okay, six games in a row at home, Arizona. 351 00:17:55,480 --> 00:17:57,480 Speaker 2: I'm just gonna take a flyer here that the Avalanche 352 00:17:57,520 --> 00:17:59,560 Speaker 2: beat them three to one in the last game and 353 00:17:59,600 --> 00:18:02,400 Speaker 2: that the I'll come back here again. Cal mccarr played 354 00:18:02,640 --> 00:18:04,840 Speaker 2: in the last game, had a goal and two assists 355 00:18:04,880 --> 00:18:07,200 Speaker 2: in his return to the lineup. Nathan McKinnon had a 356 00:18:07,240 --> 00:18:10,479 Speaker 2: goal and two assists as well. Abs are getting healthy, 357 00:18:10,600 --> 00:18:12,960 Speaker 2: and when they're healthy, I'm okay with going ahead and 358 00:18:13,000 --> 00:18:17,760 Speaker 2: taking them on the money line to win. Vancouver against Chicago, 359 00:18:18,280 --> 00:18:23,040 Speaker 2: Colorado against Arizona two leg moneyline parlay is plus one fifteen. 360 00:18:23,840 --> 00:18:26,720 Speaker 2: I'm jumping in on that one unit plus one fifteen 361 00:18:26,960 --> 00:18:30,200 Speaker 2: two leg moneyline parlay here today. Not a very big 362 00:18:30,240 --> 00:18:33,320 Speaker 2: slate in the NHL, but we'll jump in on that now. 363 00:18:33,880 --> 00:18:36,320 Speaker 2: I'm not going to do this officially, but if you 364 00:18:36,359 --> 00:18:39,040 Speaker 2: guys you love the gift parlay, I'll give you one 365 00:18:39,080 --> 00:18:42,359 Speaker 2: if you want a gift parlay because it's kind of 366 00:18:42,400 --> 00:18:46,960 Speaker 2: stupid the numbers right now. Colorado is fourteen and one. 367 00:18:47,840 --> 00:18:50,520 Speaker 2: Now that one was in the last game where they 368 00:18:50,520 --> 00:18:54,960 Speaker 2: didn't go over. Saint Louis is eleven and one first 369 00:18:55,000 --> 00:18:59,119 Speaker 2: period gifts goal in the first ten minutes, and Arizona's 370 00:18:59,119 --> 00:19:01,960 Speaker 2: thirteen and two. Unfortunately, that two was in the last game. 371 00:19:02,080 --> 00:19:04,399 Speaker 2: One of the two was in the last game. But 372 00:19:04,720 --> 00:19:08,919 Speaker 2: I think it's the numbers again. I love the numbers. 373 00:19:09,000 --> 00:19:12,720 Speaker 2: Ninety three percent, ninety one percent, eighty six percent. Look, 374 00:19:12,760 --> 00:19:14,840 Speaker 2: you're not gonna win every bet, but when there when 375 00:19:14,840 --> 00:19:17,879 Speaker 2: they're those percentages are going. You just got to get involved. 376 00:19:17,880 --> 00:19:20,000 Speaker 2: I don't know how you don't get involved personally. I 377 00:19:20,000 --> 00:19:24,879 Speaker 2: think you just have to. Colorado Arizona Gift Saint Louis 378 00:19:25,119 --> 00:19:27,600 Speaker 2: and the LA Kings. Saint Louis eleven and one. They're 379 00:19:27,600 --> 00:19:31,720 Speaker 2: taking on the LA Kings here. LA hasn't been awesome 380 00:19:31,920 --> 00:19:33,960 Speaker 2: to a goal in the first ten minutes five and five, 381 00:19:34,480 --> 00:19:37,159 Speaker 2: But offensively, I mean they're at sixty fifty nine percent 382 00:19:37,200 --> 00:19:39,560 Speaker 2: on the season, so they're more often than not. And 383 00:19:39,600 --> 00:19:42,600 Speaker 2: Saint Louis has just been ridiculous. I mean, goals happening 384 00:19:42,760 --> 00:19:45,880 Speaker 2: so incredibly fast for Saint Louis. In the game yesterday 385 00:19:45,920 --> 00:19:49,600 Speaker 2: yesterday where Saint Louis won, we faded the Anaheim Ducks. 386 00:19:50,400 --> 00:19:51,960 Speaker 2: Let's see how many goals got scored in the first 387 00:19:52,000 --> 00:19:54,000 Speaker 2: ten minutes. One, two, three goals got scored in the 388 00:19:54,040 --> 00:19:56,680 Speaker 2: first ten minutes for Saint Louis and the Ducks. Okay, 389 00:19:56,760 --> 00:19:58,359 Speaker 2: two by the Ducks, by the way, not it was. 390 00:19:58,600 --> 00:20:00,600 Speaker 2: It wasn't just all Saint Louis. Two by the Ducks 391 00:20:00,600 --> 00:20:02,399 Speaker 2: got scored. Except was just turning into a three to 392 00:20:02,400 --> 00:20:05,080 Speaker 2: two final because they scored five goals in the first period. 393 00:20:05,160 --> 00:20:08,560 Speaker 2: For that game yesterday, So again I don't mind it. 394 00:20:08,560 --> 00:20:10,720 Speaker 2: It's a plus one fifty five parlay. It's not bad 395 00:20:10,800 --> 00:20:15,720 Speaker 2: DraftKings has it gift Colorado Arizona, Yes, Saint Louis La Kings, Yes, 396 00:20:16,040 --> 00:20:18,439 Speaker 2: if you want some extra plus one twenty five, But 397 00:20:18,640 --> 00:20:22,119 Speaker 2: officially we're going Creighton sorry, San Diego State plus two 398 00:20:22,160 --> 00:20:26,159 Speaker 2: against Creyton, Miami plus four against Texas here for one 399 00:20:26,160 --> 00:20:28,000 Speaker 2: point one unit to each, So two point two units 400 00:20:28,040 --> 00:20:30,280 Speaker 2: down there and then one unit down on the plus 401 00:20:30,280 --> 00:20:33,880 Speaker 2: one fifteen parlay, the Badard lay, as we're calling, it's 402 00:20:33,920 --> 00:20:37,919 Speaker 2: the race for Badard, this Canadian stud that everybody wants 403 00:20:38,080 --> 00:20:41,679 Speaker 2: to the bottom. Vancouver to win, Colorado to win at 404 00:20:41,720 --> 00:20:44,639 Speaker 2: plus one fifteen, so just three point two units to play. 405 00:20:44,880 --> 00:20:46,280 Speaker 2: If I added anything, I'll tell you about it in 406 00:20:46,320 --> 00:20:48,760 Speaker 2: the Discord channel, Betting pros dot Com, slash chat to 407 00:20:48,800 --> 00:20:51,440 Speaker 2: get in, or a link underneath me on YouTube mis 408 00:20:51,480 --> 00:20:53,520 Speaker 2: Matt Paroltz, follow me on Twitter at sports doc Matt. 409 00:20:53,600 --> 00:20:56,120 Speaker 2: Each and every morning, it is the Eljuice Podcast, being 410 00:20:56,119 --> 00:21:01,680 Speaker 2: brought to you by Benamgment