1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:13,760 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. This is the Bloomberg 2 00:00:13,840 --> 00:00:17,880 Speaker 1: Surveillance Podcast. Catch us live weekdays at seven am Eastern 3 00:00:18,200 --> 00:00:22,000 Speaker 1: on Apple CarPlay or Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. 4 00:00:22,360 --> 00:00:25,680 Speaker 1: Listen on demand wherever you get your podcasts, or watch 5 00:00:25,760 --> 00:00:27,040 Speaker 1: us live on YouTube. 6 00:00:27,280 --> 00:00:28,840 Speaker 2: Where is the Federal Reserve going to go? 7 00:00:28,880 --> 00:00:30,880 Speaker 3: We've got a lot of economic data out there that 8 00:00:31,680 --> 00:00:34,480 Speaker 3: I guess, with the hindsight, still looks okay. But boy, 9 00:00:34,479 --> 00:00:36,240 Speaker 3: if you look at some of the survey data, whether 10 00:00:36,280 --> 00:00:38,639 Speaker 3: it's you miss data from a couple of weeks ago, 11 00:00:38,640 --> 00:00:41,960 Speaker 3: which we'll get some updated you miss data on this Friday, 12 00:00:42,200 --> 00:00:44,199 Speaker 3: whether it's some other survey data, it shows that the 13 00:00:44,280 --> 00:00:48,240 Speaker 3: consumers a little bit concerned out there, inflation expectations a 14 00:00:48,280 --> 00:00:49,120 Speaker 3: little bit heightened. 15 00:00:49,320 --> 00:00:51,199 Speaker 2: So how does the Fed take that into account? Well? 16 00:00:51,200 --> 00:00:54,240 Speaker 3: I know Danielle di Martino Booth, she'll have some thoughts here. 17 00:00:54,280 --> 00:00:57,640 Speaker 3: She's the CEO and chief strategist at QI Research. Danielle, 18 00:00:57,640 --> 00:01:00,920 Speaker 3: what's the data you're looking at? Give you a sense 19 00:01:00,920 --> 00:01:04,480 Speaker 3: of where this economy really is today? Maybe we're inflation 20 00:01:04,680 --> 00:01:08,320 Speaker 3: expectations are today? Because the Fed probably needs to be 21 00:01:08,319 --> 00:01:10,119 Speaker 3: a little bit nimble here, don't they? 22 00:01:11,959 --> 00:01:14,039 Speaker 4: Yes, good morning, and thank you for having me. And 23 00:01:14,080 --> 00:01:18,000 Speaker 4: absolutely the FED does need to be nimble. We actually 24 00:01:18,040 --> 00:01:20,640 Speaker 4: saw with the Durable Goods report that came out kind 25 00:01:20,680 --> 00:01:24,720 Speaker 4: of the first hard data that agrees with you. Across 26 00:01:24,760 --> 00:01:28,320 Speaker 4: the board, every single regional Federal Reserve survey has shown 27 00:01:28,360 --> 00:01:33,760 Speaker 4: reduced capital expenditure planning going into the future, reduced employment 28 00:01:33,840 --> 00:01:37,679 Speaker 4: going into the future as well. And most of what 29 00:01:37,720 --> 00:01:40,240 Speaker 4: we've been seeing has been, as you said, soft survey data. 30 00:01:40,360 --> 00:01:42,399 Speaker 4: Now we have hard data to back that up with 31 00:01:42,480 --> 00:01:45,800 Speaker 4: this morning's report, and so the Fed's going to have 32 00:01:45,840 --> 00:01:49,200 Speaker 4: to start thinking. The Dallas Federal Reserve did some great 33 00:01:49,240 --> 00:01:52,120 Speaker 4: work about a year ago that showed that it is investment, 34 00:01:52,240 --> 00:01:56,000 Speaker 4: business investment that leads the US economy in and out 35 00:01:56,040 --> 00:01:59,280 Speaker 4: of recession. With the looks that that is going to 36 00:01:59,320 --> 00:02:02,240 Speaker 4: be turning down, and again corroborated by every single regional 37 00:02:02,320 --> 00:02:04,200 Speaker 4: FED survey all the way down to the Richmond FED 38 00:02:04,480 --> 00:02:06,840 Speaker 4: and Philly FED that we've had these last few days, 39 00:02:07,080 --> 00:02:09,760 Speaker 4: the Fed's going to have to become more concerned, as 40 00:02:09,800 --> 00:02:14,040 Speaker 4: we saw in that CFO survey, about the possibility of recession. 41 00:02:14,360 --> 00:02:16,600 Speaker 4: So they're going to have to balance the two when 42 00:02:16,600 --> 00:02:20,320 Speaker 4: they're making their policy there's two non farm pair reports 43 00:02:20,440 --> 00:02:23,880 Speaker 4: before they meet again on May six and seventh. 44 00:02:23,800 --> 00:02:25,320 Speaker 5: And that's what I was going to say, six weeks 45 00:02:25,320 --> 00:02:27,800 Speaker 5: away before we get the next Federal Reserve decision, and 46 00:02:27,800 --> 00:02:30,320 Speaker 5: you were mentioning those key economic data points that are 47 00:02:30,320 --> 00:02:31,960 Speaker 5: going to be coming ahead of that, as well as 48 00:02:32,000 --> 00:02:35,040 Speaker 5: that reciprocal tariff deadline on April A second here, So 49 00:02:35,400 --> 00:02:37,919 Speaker 5: what's the playbook you think ahead of this Federal Reserve 50 00:02:37,960 --> 00:02:39,680 Speaker 5: meeting and what do you think needs to happen in 51 00:02:39,720 --> 00:02:42,320 Speaker 5: the data depending on what could force them to move 52 00:02:42,360 --> 00:02:43,239 Speaker 5: in a particular way. 53 00:02:44,560 --> 00:02:47,600 Speaker 4: So, you know, given the magnitude of the challenge, your 54 00:02:47,639 --> 00:02:50,320 Speaker 4: Grand Christmas layoffs one hundred and seventy two thousand, only 55 00:02:50,360 --> 00:02:53,920 Speaker 4: sixty two thousand of which we're attributable to the public sector. 56 00:02:53,960 --> 00:02:56,640 Speaker 4: In February, we're at about the same run rate. We're 57 00:02:56,680 --> 00:02:59,240 Speaker 4: running at about one hundred and fifty thousand layoffs layoffs 58 00:02:59,240 --> 00:03:02,720 Speaker 4: announced in the month of March. It's looking like the 59 00:03:02,800 --> 00:03:06,519 Speaker 4: Fed might get to that four point four percent year 60 00:03:06,760 --> 00:03:10,440 Speaker 4: end unemployment rate target by the time they meet again. 61 00:03:11,360 --> 00:03:14,320 Speaker 4: So I think that the real risk is that Powell's 62 00:03:14,360 --> 00:03:17,480 Speaker 4: going to have to pivot again in favor of the 63 00:03:17,520 --> 00:03:21,000 Speaker 4: employment mandate. If what we're seeing on the ground with 64 00:03:21,160 --> 00:03:24,800 Speaker 4: layoffs and of course Bcygo bankruptcy is runing at about 65 00:03:24,800 --> 00:03:29,359 Speaker 4: a twenty two pace for fifty million or more liabilities 66 00:03:29,880 --> 00:03:32,280 Speaker 4: on the terminal that you can follow, they're going to 67 00:03:32,360 --> 00:03:34,960 Speaker 4: have to start paying more attention to what higher for 68 00:03:35,080 --> 00:03:38,000 Speaker 4: longer is doing to the real economy. 69 00:03:38,520 --> 00:03:41,640 Speaker 2: So what is the focus here right now? 70 00:03:41,680 --> 00:03:45,120 Speaker 3: If you think of the Fed danielle is inflation is 71 00:03:45,120 --> 00:03:45,840 Speaker 3: an employment? 72 00:03:46,120 --> 00:03:47,680 Speaker 2: How do they balance that these days? 73 00:03:48,320 --> 00:03:52,080 Speaker 4: So they're definitely focused on inflation expectations. We saw you 74 00:03:52,280 --> 00:03:56,240 Speaker 4: fairly Dubvish voter Austin Goolsby saying we really have to 75 00:03:56,240 --> 00:03:59,600 Speaker 4: pay attention to see if these inflation expectations become on 76 00:03:59,760 --> 00:04:03,640 Speaker 4: him and start to filter their way into the actual 77 00:04:03,640 --> 00:04:07,360 Speaker 4: inflation metrics. But we haven't seen that yet. And the 78 00:04:07,400 --> 00:04:10,360 Speaker 4: fact is, what we're hearing from one company after another 79 00:04:10,800 --> 00:04:13,480 Speaker 4: is that there's a margin squeeze going on. They are 80 00:04:13,600 --> 00:04:15,760 Speaker 4: having to deal with higher input prices. There was a 81 00:04:15,800 --> 00:04:19,760 Speaker 4: lot of stockpiling ahead of the potential for imposed tariffs, 82 00:04:19,760 --> 00:04:22,080 Speaker 4: not that we know what they're going to look like yet, 83 00:04:22,480 --> 00:04:25,360 Speaker 4: but companies are reporting one after another that they cannot 84 00:04:25,440 --> 00:04:28,560 Speaker 4: pass through these prices to the end consumer, whether you're 85 00:04:28,600 --> 00:04:31,600 Speaker 4: talking about Walmart or Dollar Tree. 86 00:04:32,480 --> 00:04:35,800 Speaker 5: That's interesting too because when I've talked to Tom Barkin 87 00:04:35,880 --> 00:04:38,240 Speaker 5: before at the Richmond FED, he talked about how he 88 00:04:38,240 --> 00:04:41,080 Speaker 5: would actually look at the price mixed volume. When you're 89 00:04:41,080 --> 00:04:42,960 Speaker 5: looking at a lot of these companies and consumer package 90 00:04:43,000 --> 00:04:46,000 Speaker 5: good companies, whether it's like a Coca Cola, PepsiCo, craft 91 00:04:46,000 --> 00:04:48,599 Speaker 5: times and especially what it was meaning for inflation and 92 00:04:48,680 --> 00:04:51,320 Speaker 5: things like that, what do you like to look at 93 00:04:51,320 --> 00:04:53,400 Speaker 5: Because I mean, you have so much experience. You previously 94 00:04:53,400 --> 00:04:56,000 Speaker 5: were an advisor at the Fed Bank of Dallas during 95 00:04:56,360 --> 00:04:58,920 Speaker 5: the global financial crisis. So when you're looking at some 96 00:04:58,960 --> 00:05:01,040 Speaker 5: of these key consumers type names, and what do you 97 00:05:01,040 --> 00:05:03,400 Speaker 5: think it could mean for infleetion other forms of growth 98 00:05:03,440 --> 00:05:06,320 Speaker 5: on the other side of the employment thing, what are 99 00:05:06,400 --> 00:05:07,200 Speaker 5: you watching there? 100 00:05:08,320 --> 00:05:10,359 Speaker 4: So you know, I think everybody's focus right now is 101 00:05:10,360 --> 00:05:14,080 Speaker 4: on consumer discretionary But to Barkin's point and to your point, 102 00:05:14,240 --> 00:05:17,839 Speaker 4: we're actually seeing the staples come under pressure because of 103 00:05:17,880 --> 00:05:20,560 Speaker 4: what we've heard from some of the lowest cost retailers 104 00:05:20,560 --> 00:05:23,240 Speaker 4: out there, and that's that some US households are even 105 00:05:23,279 --> 00:05:26,560 Speaker 4: beginning to cut back on essential spending. They're moving away 106 00:05:26,600 --> 00:05:29,640 Speaker 4: from brands. They're moving away from packaged goods. Whereas these 107 00:05:29,640 --> 00:05:32,720 Speaker 4: companies were able to pass through these prices for several 108 00:05:32,800 --> 00:05:36,320 Speaker 4: years following the pandemic, now they're hitting a wall. McCormick 109 00:05:36,400 --> 00:05:38,960 Speaker 4: was the latest to come out and make those types 110 00:05:39,000 --> 00:05:41,600 Speaker 4: of comments here in the last forty eight hours or so. 111 00:05:41,600 --> 00:05:44,600 Speaker 4: So we really do have to be cognizant of the 112 00:05:44,600 --> 00:05:48,080 Speaker 4: potential for a margin squeeze here, and that I think 113 00:05:48,160 --> 00:05:50,039 Speaker 4: has to be on the feder radar. Again. It is 114 00:05:50,160 --> 00:05:54,680 Speaker 4: business investment and not consumption. Despite consumption being a record 115 00:05:54,760 --> 00:05:59,279 Speaker 4: seventy one percent of USGDP, business investment has always led 116 00:05:59,320 --> 00:06:02,760 Speaker 4: the US economy in and out of its cycles of 117 00:06:02,800 --> 00:06:04,280 Speaker 4: expansion and recession. 118 00:06:05,160 --> 00:06:08,560 Speaker 3: I'm looking at the WRP function Danielle in the Bloomberg 119 00:06:08,600 --> 00:06:11,400 Speaker 3: terminal of the world interest rate probability. It looks like 120 00:06:11,680 --> 00:06:13,640 Speaker 3: the market's pricing and maybe just a little bit more 121 00:06:13,680 --> 00:06:15,520 Speaker 3: than two rate cuts this year. 122 00:06:15,560 --> 00:06:17,040 Speaker 5: I feel like it's always all over the place. Though 123 00:06:17,040 --> 00:06:18,279 Speaker 5: when we look at that function. 124 00:06:18,040 --> 00:06:19,440 Speaker 3: It is, it is, and I have it, you know, 125 00:06:20,520 --> 00:06:22,919 Speaker 3: you know, not a whole lot of confidence in it, 126 00:06:23,040 --> 00:06:26,800 Speaker 3: not to say it's not very representative or interesting and useful, 127 00:06:26,839 --> 00:06:28,680 Speaker 3: but boy, it's all over the place, but a little 128 00:06:28,680 --> 00:06:31,080 Speaker 3: more than two rate cuts this year, Danielle, Does that 129 00:06:31,120 --> 00:06:32,200 Speaker 3: seem reasonable to you? 130 00:06:33,720 --> 00:06:35,960 Speaker 4: You know, I really think we're going to see maybe 131 00:06:36,160 --> 00:06:37,559 Speaker 4: double that or more. 132 00:06:37,720 --> 00:06:38,040 Speaker 2: Wow. 133 00:06:38,120 --> 00:06:40,520 Speaker 4: We're setting up for the September meeting a lot like 134 00:06:40,600 --> 00:06:42,440 Speaker 4: exccuse me. We're setting up for the main meeting a 135 00:06:42,520 --> 00:06:45,279 Speaker 4: lot like we did in between July and September of 136 00:06:45,360 --> 00:06:48,280 Speaker 4: twenty twenty four. Some non farm PAI reports are a 137 00:06:48,279 --> 00:06:51,159 Speaker 4: little bit lagged in terms of their release. The April 138 00:06:51,160 --> 00:06:54,120 Speaker 4: report is actually released on May second, so that is 139 00:06:54,200 --> 00:06:57,240 Speaker 4: five days before the FED meets again, but during blackout. 140 00:06:57,680 --> 00:06:59,880 Speaker 4: So the Fed's going to have to be very very 141 00:07:00,040 --> 00:07:04,280 Speaker 4: cognisant of its employment mandate because I think that that 142 00:07:04,320 --> 00:07:07,920 Speaker 4: in particular is moving in such a way the momentum. 143 00:07:08,040 --> 00:07:11,080 Speaker 4: We're seeing it with fewer jobs in the Consumer Confidence Report, 144 00:07:11,200 --> 00:07:14,080 Speaker 4: we're seeing with sixty six percent of Americans in you 145 00:07:14,240 --> 00:07:17,240 Speaker 4: Mish saying that they anticipate the unemployment rates going to 146 00:07:17,320 --> 00:07:19,760 Speaker 4: rise in a year. We've never been at these levels, 147 00:07:20,160 --> 00:07:23,040 Speaker 4: whether it's Conference Board or University of Michigan, when the 148 00:07:23,120 --> 00:07:26,600 Speaker 4: US economy has not already been in recession. Looking through 149 00:07:26,600 --> 00:07:27,920 Speaker 4: the mirror, all. 150 00:07:27,880 --> 00:07:30,680 Speaker 3: Right, we're going to get some more new University of 151 00:07:30,720 --> 00:07:33,400 Speaker 3: Michigan data this Friday, so we'll be having that for. 152 00:07:33,280 --> 00:07:35,480 Speaker 2: You as well. Danielle give Martino Booth. 153 00:07:35,560 --> 00:07:40,120 Speaker 3: She's the CEO and chief strategist at QI Research. One 154 00:07:40,120 --> 00:07:41,840 Speaker 3: of the smarter folks we talked to when it comes 155 00:07:41,840 --> 00:07:43,520 Speaker 3: to all things Fed, a reserve, and kind of how 156 00:07:43,520 --> 00:07:46,040 Speaker 3: the Fed's trying to deal with current economic condition. 157 00:07:46,240 --> 00:07:50,120 Speaker 1: This is the Bloomberg Surveillance Podcast. Listen live each weekday 158 00:07:50,160 --> 00:07:53,160 Speaker 1: starting at seven am Eastern on Apple Cocklay and Android 159 00:07:53,200 --> 00:07:56,239 Speaker 1: Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. You can also listen 160 00:07:56,320 --> 00:07:59,600 Speaker 1: live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station. 161 00:08:00,160 --> 00:08:02,840 Speaker 1: Just say Alexa, play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 162 00:08:03,000 --> 00:08:06,000 Speaker 3: The next move the Federal Reserve will take maybe a 163 00:08:06,280 --> 00:08:08,880 Speaker 3: hike this fall. You don't see that every day, So 164 00:08:08,880 --> 00:08:10,800 Speaker 3: that's where I want to start. Skylar Linen joins his 165 00:08:11,120 --> 00:08:14,200 Speaker 3: CIO of Reagan Capital Management down at the Hedge Fund 166 00:08:14,200 --> 00:08:17,000 Speaker 3: Hotel down in Dallas, Texas to the Crescent Court. Spent 167 00:08:17,080 --> 00:08:19,720 Speaker 3: many a day there, got tons of II votes there, 168 00:08:19,760 --> 00:08:23,840 Speaker 3: stayed at the hotel there. It's a good place to be. Skyler, 169 00:08:23,920 --> 00:08:25,640 Speaker 3: talk to us about kind of how. 170 00:08:25,520 --> 00:08:26,920 Speaker 2: You're approaching the market these days. 171 00:08:26,920 --> 00:08:29,520 Speaker 3: We've had that ten percent pullback in the market got 172 00:08:29,560 --> 00:08:30,280 Speaker 3: people's attention. 173 00:08:30,680 --> 00:08:32,559 Speaker 2: We've bounced off that a little bit. Where do you 174 00:08:32,600 --> 00:08:36,080 Speaker 2: think we go from here? Long term? Up? 175 00:08:36,320 --> 00:08:38,320 Speaker 6: Oh, sure, you know it's going to be volatile. But 176 00:08:38,960 --> 00:08:42,520 Speaker 6: what we're seeing is that the consumer and corporations in 177 00:08:42,559 --> 00:08:47,160 Speaker 6: the US are still so strong. Corporate leverage levels are 178 00:08:47,160 --> 00:08:51,320 Speaker 6: the lowest they've been in recorded history at about twenty percent, 179 00:08:51,880 --> 00:08:55,760 Speaker 6: and consumer balance sheets are extremely strong. In aggregate, you're 180 00:08:55,760 --> 00:08:58,920 Speaker 6: looking at one hundred and sixty trillion dollars of net 181 00:08:58,960 --> 00:09:02,040 Speaker 6: wealth in the United States. A lot of that has 182 00:09:02,080 --> 00:09:05,720 Speaker 6: come from the stock market and real estate, and so 183 00:09:06,320 --> 00:09:09,160 Speaker 6: you know that spending is going to come. But for 184 00:09:09,320 --> 00:09:11,319 Speaker 6: right now, you know, people are a little bit nervous 185 00:09:11,640 --> 00:09:13,720 Speaker 6: corporate activity, corporate M and A are in the same 186 00:09:13,720 --> 00:09:17,800 Speaker 6: boat as consumers. But long term, you know, we kind 187 00:09:17,800 --> 00:09:20,080 Speaker 6: of see this this market running for at least the 188 00:09:20,120 --> 00:09:22,880 Speaker 6: next three to four years based on how much dry 189 00:09:22,880 --> 00:09:25,920 Speaker 6: powder is available for consumers and corporations. 190 00:09:26,000 --> 00:09:28,720 Speaker 5: So you're thinking of potential hike maybe in the fall, 191 00:09:28,760 --> 00:09:31,280 Speaker 5: of what would need to happen in order for that. 192 00:09:31,240 --> 00:09:34,640 Speaker 6: To occur, it's already happening, right, So look at inflation, 193 00:09:35,160 --> 00:09:39,000 Speaker 6: look at what was really interesting about the recent FED 194 00:09:39,040 --> 00:09:42,480 Speaker 6: meeting a week ago was not only you know the 195 00:09:42,720 --> 00:09:44,240 Speaker 6: press are and what they did, but if you look 196 00:09:44,280 --> 00:09:47,719 Speaker 6: at the dot plot and if you look at their predictions, 197 00:09:47,720 --> 00:09:50,440 Speaker 6: they make those predictions once a quarter of where GDP 198 00:09:50,600 --> 00:09:53,240 Speaker 6: is going, where PCE is going, and where inflation's going. 199 00:09:54,200 --> 00:09:58,320 Speaker 6: They're predicting pcee to to actually it moved up from 200 00:09:58,360 --> 00:10:02,600 Speaker 6: December to December to March. And they're predicting that rates, 201 00:10:02,640 --> 00:10:04,360 Speaker 6: you know, inflation is not going to fall below two 202 00:10:05,040 --> 00:10:09,480 Speaker 6: for yours you know, two plus years. They're predicting unemployment 203 00:10:09,559 --> 00:10:14,600 Speaker 6: to actually fall. So unemployment's coming down, inflation's going up. 204 00:10:15,840 --> 00:10:19,319 Speaker 6: Those are their two mandates, right, and so there is 205 00:10:19,480 --> 00:10:22,160 Speaker 6: absolutely no one can make any reasoning for me as 206 00:10:22,200 --> 00:10:25,679 Speaker 6: to why they would hike in this environment. Okay, yes, 207 00:10:25,960 --> 00:10:29,720 Speaker 6: financial conditions are restrictive. They're saying they're fairly restrictive right now. 208 00:10:30,080 --> 00:10:33,760 Speaker 6: But if terrorists come to come to boot and if 209 00:10:33,800 --> 00:10:37,240 Speaker 6: that causes inflation, we're going to see another you know, 210 00:10:37,320 --> 00:10:39,480 Speaker 6: Paul Voker type of moment where they're like, all right, 211 00:10:39,559 --> 00:10:41,080 Speaker 6: we need to get this under control. We need to 212 00:10:41,120 --> 00:10:43,960 Speaker 6: hike back up to you know, four fifty to five percent. 213 00:10:44,400 --> 00:10:47,720 Speaker 3: So given that backdrop here, we've gotten, I guess, a 214 00:10:47,760 --> 00:10:49,480 Speaker 3: lot of noise that the markets have to deal with 215 00:10:49,520 --> 00:10:52,600 Speaker 3: on a short term basis with policy decisions coming out 216 00:10:52,600 --> 00:10:57,280 Speaker 3: of Washington. Are we embracing risk in the equity markets, 217 00:10:57,280 --> 00:11:00,000 Speaker 3: are we embracing risk in the fixed income markets? Are 218 00:11:00,040 --> 00:11:02,959 Speaker 3: kind of just holding back a little bit on. 219 00:11:02,960 --> 00:11:05,920 Speaker 6: The fixed income side, you still have to stay short. 220 00:11:06,200 --> 00:11:10,040 Speaker 6: You know, the Fed cut last September, roughly six months ago. 221 00:11:10,840 --> 00:11:14,080 Speaker 6: Fixed income has not done very well since then. The 222 00:11:14,160 --> 00:11:16,080 Speaker 6: agg was up one in a quarter last year. It's 223 00:11:16,160 --> 00:11:18,360 Speaker 6: up about two percent so far this year. So the 224 00:11:18,400 --> 00:11:21,920 Speaker 6: egg's done okay, but from September to day it's down okay, 225 00:11:22,280 --> 00:11:25,320 Speaker 6: So it's basically flat. So and if you look at 226 00:11:25,320 --> 00:11:28,040 Speaker 6: the shape of the curve, you're not getting paid. You know, 227 00:11:28,160 --> 00:11:31,319 Speaker 6: you can sit there in cash at four thirty. You 228 00:11:31,840 --> 00:11:35,600 Speaker 6: can buy agency government guaranteed mortgage bonds that are floating 229 00:11:35,640 --> 00:11:38,240 Speaker 6: rate at five and a quarter okay, so you get 230 00:11:38,240 --> 00:11:41,880 Speaker 6: paid five handle yield to sit there, and the belly 231 00:11:41,920 --> 00:11:44,559 Speaker 6: of the curves inverted. International. 232 00:11:44,600 --> 00:11:47,760 Speaker 3: A lot of people are talking to me about international markets, 233 00:11:47,760 --> 00:11:50,280 Speaker 3: and they've had such a good start European markets. 234 00:11:49,920 --> 00:11:51,600 Speaker 2: In particular this year. 235 00:11:51,600 --> 00:11:53,760 Speaker 3: How do you guys think about the US versus non 236 00:11:53,880 --> 00:11:54,640 Speaker 3: US these days. 237 00:11:55,280 --> 00:11:57,680 Speaker 6: Well, part of that's due to the dollar. You know, 238 00:11:57,760 --> 00:12:00,720 Speaker 6: the dollars come down. If you look at Asia, for example, 239 00:12:01,679 --> 00:12:04,680 Speaker 6: Asia's not done very well this year, but dollar adjusted 240 00:12:04,720 --> 00:12:08,480 Speaker 6: it has so that's part of it. But you know, 241 00:12:08,679 --> 00:12:10,280 Speaker 6: so that's helped out ur it a little bit. But 242 00:12:10,640 --> 00:12:13,400 Speaker 6: you know, Germany announces that they're going to turn the 243 00:12:13,440 --> 00:12:16,440 Speaker 6: printers on and they're going to issue tons of debt, 244 00:12:17,000 --> 00:12:20,480 Speaker 6: and going back to World War One, Germany is a 245 00:12:20,600 --> 00:12:24,400 Speaker 6: very austere economy and now all of a sudden, you know, 246 00:12:24,480 --> 00:12:26,280 Speaker 6: based on the Ukraine War, all right, we're going to 247 00:12:26,320 --> 00:12:28,880 Speaker 6: see a ton of debt printing and so that's really 248 00:12:28,920 --> 00:12:33,200 Speaker 6: ignited a certain sectors, obviously like defense. So yeah, it 249 00:12:33,200 --> 00:12:36,320 Speaker 6: pays to be you know, well diversified both in terms 250 00:12:36,360 --> 00:12:38,960 Speaker 6: of uh, you know, equities, but also in terms of 251 00:12:38,960 --> 00:12:39,840 Speaker 6: locations as well. 252 00:12:39,880 --> 00:12:42,440 Speaker 5: How long does that story last for international just because 253 00:12:42,559 --> 00:12:46,160 Speaker 5: they underperformed so much relative to the last year and 254 00:12:46,240 --> 00:12:48,320 Speaker 5: especially the last two years of the bull market run 255 00:12:48,320 --> 00:12:50,320 Speaker 5: in the s and P five hundred because of what 256 00:12:50,440 --> 00:12:52,480 Speaker 5: was going on with AI and obviously these are the 257 00:12:52,559 --> 00:12:53,360 Speaker 5: corners were cheaper. 258 00:12:53,360 --> 00:12:54,400 Speaker 2: But is this something more. 259 00:12:54,280 --> 00:12:57,040 Speaker 5: Temporary that you think is going to happen more international? 260 00:12:57,240 --> 00:12:57,800 Speaker 7: Does it stick? 261 00:12:58,440 --> 00:12:58,640 Speaker 8: Yeah? 262 00:12:58,760 --> 00:13:03,280 Speaker 6: So, you know, we're a couple months into the administration, 263 00:13:03,440 --> 00:13:06,880 Speaker 6: two and a half months, right, and they came out, 264 00:13:06,920 --> 00:13:09,120 Speaker 6: you know, the administration came out and said, hey, look 265 00:13:09,280 --> 00:13:11,920 Speaker 6: we're going to break some things for the first hundred days. 266 00:13:12,240 --> 00:13:13,560 Speaker 6: So what do we got. 267 00:13:13,760 --> 00:13:14,720 Speaker 2: We're halfway there. 268 00:13:14,760 --> 00:13:17,760 Speaker 6: We're halfway to one hundred days basically, So, you know, 269 00:13:17,920 --> 00:13:20,160 Speaker 6: three four months into it, we got a couple months 270 00:13:20,200 --> 00:13:23,400 Speaker 6: to go before the spotlight comes back on the United 271 00:13:23,400 --> 00:13:26,760 Speaker 6: States and volatility decreases. We're seeing that in the VIX. 272 00:13:27,080 --> 00:13:29,880 Speaker 6: You know, VIX almost hit sixteen handle yesterday, and so 273 00:13:29,920 --> 00:13:32,600 Speaker 6: when that volatility subsides, I think the spotlight comes back 274 00:13:32,600 --> 00:13:36,319 Speaker 6: onto the US, it comes back onto the big meg seven, tech, AI, 275 00:13:36,480 --> 00:13:37,000 Speaker 6: you name it. 276 00:13:37,240 --> 00:13:40,120 Speaker 3: Thirty seconds left. Earnings, what's your feeling earnings? Can we 277 00:13:40,160 --> 00:13:41,720 Speaker 3: depend upon earnings to drive this market? 278 00:13:42,040 --> 00:13:44,880 Speaker 6: No? No, So earnings will be there, but at a 279 00:13:44,920 --> 00:13:49,640 Speaker 6: decreasing rate. Okay, So we've had a Gangbuster three years 280 00:13:49,880 --> 00:13:52,640 Speaker 6: right in, you know, two and a half years, so 281 00:13:53,760 --> 00:13:57,080 Speaker 6: earnings will be coming down on a you're over your basis. 282 00:13:57,480 --> 00:14:00,560 Speaker 6: We can't continue to produce just Gangbuster. You're over your 283 00:14:00,679 --> 00:14:03,880 Speaker 6: earnings and so yeah, you know, you know, maybe the 284 00:14:03,920 --> 00:14:06,680 Speaker 6: stock market eeks out five eight percent this year, but 285 00:14:06,760 --> 00:14:09,200 Speaker 6: above and beyond that, seeing the twenty plus percent that 286 00:14:09,240 --> 00:14:11,599 Speaker 6: we saw the last few years, that's not gonna happen. 287 00:14:11,559 --> 00:14:13,440 Speaker 3: Right, That's kind of kind of what we've been hearing 288 00:14:13,440 --> 00:14:15,600 Speaker 3: from a lot of folks looking at an earnings growth 289 00:14:15,720 --> 00:14:17,800 Speaker 3: rate or stock market return rate, if you know, kind 290 00:14:17,800 --> 00:14:19,400 Speaker 3: of mid to high single digits, as opposed to the 291 00:14:19,400 --> 00:14:21,520 Speaker 3: twenty twenty five percent we've seen over the last couple 292 00:14:21,520 --> 00:14:23,040 Speaker 3: of years. Skylar Wine, and thank you so much for 293 00:14:23,080 --> 00:14:23,440 Speaker 3: joining us. 294 00:14:23,440 --> 00:14:23,920 Speaker 2: Skylar Wine. 295 00:14:23,960 --> 00:14:27,120 Speaker 3: And he's the cio Reagan Capital Management. They're based down 296 00:14:27,160 --> 00:14:30,520 Speaker 3: there in the Big d Dallas, Texas, but he's joining 297 00:14:30,600 --> 00:14:33,040 Speaker 3: us here live in our Bloomberg Interactive Broker Studio. 298 00:14:38,640 --> 00:14:42,240 Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Surveillance Podcast. Catch us live 299 00:14:42,280 --> 00:14:45,440 Speaker 1: weekday afternoons from seven to ten am Eastern Listen on 300 00:14:45,520 --> 00:14:49,200 Speaker 1: Applecarplay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app, or 301 00:14:49,360 --> 00:14:50,800 Speaker 1: watch us live on YouTube. 302 00:14:50,960 --> 00:14:56,200 Speaker 3: Joy Yang, head of index product manager at market Vector Indexes. 303 00:14:55,760 --> 00:14:58,000 Speaker 2: Joins us here in our Bloomberg Interactive Broker studio. 304 00:14:58,280 --> 00:15:00,440 Speaker 3: Joey, are you surprised we haven't seen we're not seeing 305 00:15:00,440 --> 00:15:03,080 Speaker 3: a higher level of the VIX given some of the 306 00:15:03,160 --> 00:15:05,960 Speaker 3: uncertainty that I think a lot of investors feel so 307 00:15:06,040 --> 00:15:06,640 Speaker 3: far this year. 308 00:15:06,880 --> 00:15:11,560 Speaker 8: Yeah, thanks for having me so. Yes, I think it's undeniable. 309 00:15:11,640 --> 00:15:15,560 Speaker 8: We're in a period of heightened uncertainty. But uncertainty is 310 00:15:15,600 --> 00:15:19,640 Speaker 8: actually quite hard to measure, and as you mentioned, when 311 00:15:19,680 --> 00:15:23,040 Speaker 8: you look at the VIX, it's unusually low for what 312 00:15:23,120 --> 00:15:27,720 Speaker 8: we should expect in a fear oriented market. But if 313 00:15:27,760 --> 00:15:32,960 Speaker 8: you look at the Economic Policy Uncertainty Index, that's shooting 314 00:15:33,040 --> 00:15:36,120 Speaker 8: straight up and it's a it's second time high, and 315 00:15:36,160 --> 00:15:40,440 Speaker 8: I think this is reflecting two kind of very rational 316 00:15:40,800 --> 00:15:44,000 Speaker 8: strategies that we're seeing in the market. One is this 317 00:15:44,160 --> 00:15:47,480 Speaker 8: kind of weight and see because people just don't know 318 00:15:47,520 --> 00:15:50,520 Speaker 8: what's going to happen next, and they've been burnt previously, 319 00:15:50,720 --> 00:15:53,200 Speaker 8: so I think they're going to park their assets in 320 00:15:53,280 --> 00:15:56,760 Speaker 8: something liquid and be ready to pivot very quickly. So 321 00:15:56,840 --> 00:15:59,600 Speaker 8: that's gold and we're seeing this all time high and gold. 322 00:16:00,000 --> 00:16:03,200 Speaker 3: I keep for pointing out this US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index. 323 00:16:03,280 --> 00:16:05,440 Speaker 3: I wasn't that familiar with it, but you're right, it 324 00:16:05,480 --> 00:16:10,040 Speaker 3: is now screaming higher. Baker, Bloom and Davis are the 325 00:16:10,040 --> 00:16:12,200 Speaker 3: source there. So if you're in front of a terminal, 326 00:16:12,320 --> 00:16:14,760 Speaker 3: just type in you know, US economic uncertainly and you 327 00:16:14,880 --> 00:16:17,720 Speaker 3: see this indexing, you can graph it and says, oh, yeah, 328 00:16:17,960 --> 00:16:19,080 Speaker 3: that's that's the thing. 329 00:16:19,360 --> 00:16:22,000 Speaker 5: And to your point, Paul, because you were talking about 330 00:16:22,040 --> 00:16:24,120 Speaker 5: the VICS. When I was talking to a lot of treaders, 331 00:16:24,200 --> 00:16:26,560 Speaker 5: especially once it got close to thirty inch a day 332 00:16:26,640 --> 00:16:28,400 Speaker 5: earlier this month, a lot of them didn't want to 333 00:16:28,440 --> 00:16:30,880 Speaker 5: pay for puts above that because it just would have 334 00:16:30,880 --> 00:16:33,080 Speaker 5: been too expensive. So I was curious joy your thoughts 335 00:16:33,120 --> 00:16:36,200 Speaker 5: on the dynamic there and what that tells us because 336 00:16:36,200 --> 00:16:38,320 Speaker 5: we still see realized wall picking up. 337 00:16:38,840 --> 00:16:42,000 Speaker 8: Yeah, so I think, you know, this is just kind 338 00:16:42,000 --> 00:16:45,880 Speaker 8: of the lull before we get clarity, and I think 339 00:16:45,920 --> 00:16:51,120 Speaker 8: we're getting clarity in April second. Maybe possibly right, but 340 00:16:51,240 --> 00:16:54,040 Speaker 8: people want to stay invested. You know, you really don't 341 00:16:54,080 --> 00:16:58,080 Speaker 8: want to be holding cash, So staying invested means buying 342 00:16:58,160 --> 00:17:01,120 Speaker 8: something that's liquid, but we'll still will offer you either 343 00:17:01,240 --> 00:17:04,000 Speaker 8: hedge or some growth opportunity, and that's gold. Right now, 344 00:17:04,000 --> 00:17:06,120 Speaker 8: it's at all time high and we're seeing a lot 345 00:17:06,200 --> 00:17:09,880 Speaker 8: of flows into gold and gold dtfs and. 346 00:17:09,880 --> 00:17:12,960 Speaker 3: Gold up another six dollars here today, three thy sixty one. 347 00:17:13,000 --> 00:17:15,040 Speaker 3: I go back to the Goldman Sax call maybe a 348 00:17:15,040 --> 00:17:17,320 Speaker 3: month ago, five weeks ago, Yeah, thirty one hundred on 349 00:17:17,400 --> 00:17:19,120 Speaker 3: gold when it was a twenty eight hundred. Great call 350 00:17:19,200 --> 00:17:21,760 Speaker 3: there by your buddies at Goldman Sax. A lot of 351 00:17:22,080 --> 00:17:25,800 Speaker 3: money is going to international stocks, including Asia, not just 352 00:17:25,840 --> 00:17:27,000 Speaker 3: Europe but Asia as well. 353 00:17:27,080 --> 00:17:30,000 Speaker 2: Is that a trend or is that a trade? Do 354 00:17:30,080 --> 00:17:30,400 Speaker 2: you think? 355 00:17:30,520 --> 00:17:32,680 Speaker 8: Well, if you go back and you see this other 356 00:17:33,160 --> 00:17:36,040 Speaker 8: kind of strategy people are playing, is you know, we 357 00:17:36,080 --> 00:17:39,320 Speaker 8: don't know what's going on, but we do know that, 358 00:17:39,480 --> 00:17:43,639 Speaker 8: you know, US markets have been up unusually high, So 359 00:17:43,880 --> 00:17:46,639 Speaker 8: I think that's really kind of the unusual period, not 360 00:17:46,760 --> 00:17:49,920 Speaker 8: this correction that we're seeing, but up twenty percent over 361 00:17:50,000 --> 00:17:54,280 Speaker 8: two years. So let's go back to maybe focusing things 362 00:17:54,359 --> 00:17:56,960 Speaker 8: that we do know, which is, you know, markets are volatile, 363 00:17:57,600 --> 00:18:00,240 Speaker 8: but let's look at fundamentals. So when you look get 364 00:18:00,280 --> 00:18:02,960 Speaker 8: fundamentals and you think that corrections are a good time 365 00:18:03,000 --> 00:18:07,360 Speaker 8: to buy, well, Europe, Asia they've had bigger corrections than 366 00:18:07,480 --> 00:18:09,840 Speaker 8: what we've seen in the US. And if you look 367 00:18:09,840 --> 00:18:13,320 Speaker 8: at fundamentals, you know the companies that are trading in 368 00:18:13,359 --> 00:18:17,040 Speaker 8: these markets, whether it's Ali Baba Bid, they're trading at 369 00:18:17,160 --> 00:18:21,040 Speaker 8: you know, half the pe of their American counterparts, so 370 00:18:21,119 --> 00:18:24,639 Speaker 8: that's a great buying opportunity. And the same with European 371 00:18:25,040 --> 00:18:28,879 Speaker 8: you know, whether it's European defense stocks, European other you know, 372 00:18:28,920 --> 00:18:29,880 Speaker 8: any other industry. 373 00:18:29,960 --> 00:18:32,600 Speaker 5: You're like, yeah, those European defense stocks really taking off, 374 00:18:32,600 --> 00:18:34,080 Speaker 5: and a lot of them when you're looking at those 375 00:18:34,080 --> 00:18:36,840 Speaker 5: PEU ratios being a lot cheaper than some of their 376 00:18:36,880 --> 00:18:39,800 Speaker 5: peers more internationally, how long do you think that can continue? 377 00:18:39,840 --> 00:18:42,480 Speaker 5: Is this something more shorter term? Just given their underperformance 378 00:18:42,480 --> 00:18:45,080 Speaker 5: in recent years relative to the US and the first 379 00:18:45,080 --> 00:18:47,480 Speaker 5: two year a full run fueled by AI. 380 00:18:47,800 --> 00:18:51,159 Speaker 8: Well, this is definitely a structural shift because you know, 381 00:18:51,320 --> 00:18:55,440 Speaker 8: the US message was very clear, you know, whether intended 382 00:18:55,560 --> 00:18:58,440 Speaker 8: or unintended, as we saw in text messages this week, 383 00:18:58,520 --> 00:19:01,720 Speaker 8: that we're not going to go out there and support 384 00:19:02,200 --> 00:19:04,320 Speaker 8: the rest of the world. Right, So you know, the 385 00:19:04,359 --> 00:19:07,560 Speaker 8: Europeans are looking at this and they're reinvesting back to 386 00:19:07,640 --> 00:19:14,360 Speaker 8: their own military autonomy. And we know that government defense 387 00:19:14,359 --> 00:19:18,080 Speaker 8: spending is physical stimulus, right, but it's it's big and 388 00:19:18,160 --> 00:19:22,520 Speaker 8: it's long. So these are big, structural you know, dynamics. 389 00:19:22,520 --> 00:19:25,959 Speaker 8: And we think that European defense stocks, which have already 390 00:19:25,960 --> 00:19:29,359 Speaker 8: been up double digits here today will continue because there's 391 00:19:29,400 --> 00:19:31,640 Speaker 8: going to be more to come. But I would also 392 00:19:31,640 --> 00:19:35,080 Speaker 8: say don't discount US defense stocks, you know, because I 393 00:19:35,119 --> 00:19:38,159 Speaker 8: think the rest of the world still needs some of 394 00:19:38,200 --> 00:19:40,840 Speaker 8: the technology. And I think, you know, warfare has moved 395 00:19:40,880 --> 00:19:45,720 Speaker 8: from ground to air to cyber security. So companies like Talenteer, 396 00:19:45,760 --> 00:19:48,760 Speaker 8: which are AI intelligence, are still going to be quite 397 00:19:48,760 --> 00:19:49,879 Speaker 8: important in this space. 398 00:19:50,040 --> 00:19:52,280 Speaker 3: I look at Ali Baba for variety reasons, one of 399 00:19:52,320 --> 00:19:54,679 Speaker 3: which is my good buddies the co founder there. But 400 00:19:54,880 --> 00:19:57,560 Speaker 3: it is a for me at least, a proxy on 401 00:19:57,600 --> 00:20:01,520 Speaker 3: how investors view the Chinese stock market. They like it, 402 00:20:01,640 --> 00:20:04,119 Speaker 3: olibab is going to move higher. If they don't like 403 00:20:04,160 --> 00:20:06,280 Speaker 3: it's been for the last several years, it's going to 404 00:20:06,320 --> 00:20:09,760 Speaker 3: move lower. Stock's up fifty six percent year to date. 405 00:20:10,680 --> 00:20:12,480 Speaker 3: Do you feel comfortable in the Chinese stock market? 406 00:20:12,520 --> 00:20:14,760 Speaker 2: There's you know these well if you. 407 00:20:14,720 --> 00:20:17,480 Speaker 8: Look at you know, stocks like whether it's in Video 408 00:20:17,920 --> 00:20:20,639 Speaker 8: or Amazon, they're up double ditches, you know if you 409 00:20:20,720 --> 00:20:23,879 Speaker 8: look back twelve, you know, or two years. And I 410 00:20:23,880 --> 00:20:25,920 Speaker 8: think this is part of you know, what we tend 411 00:20:25,960 --> 00:20:29,440 Speaker 8: to forget when we focus so much on one country, 412 00:20:29,480 --> 00:20:33,800 Speaker 8: one stock, is that necessity is the mother in invention, 413 00:20:34,080 --> 00:20:37,760 Speaker 8: and you know, innovation will happen anywhere. Competition will shift 414 00:20:37,800 --> 00:20:41,040 Speaker 8: innovation to where you know it's going to you know 415 00:20:41,160 --> 00:20:44,080 Speaker 8: it's going to surface. And I think Chinese stocks are 416 00:20:44,160 --> 00:20:45,840 Speaker 8: you know, they've been kind of quiet. 417 00:20:45,520 --> 00:20:46,240 Speaker 2: In the background. 418 00:20:46,240 --> 00:20:49,040 Speaker 8: We've forgotten to look at them, and now they're visible 419 00:20:49,080 --> 00:20:52,040 Speaker 8: and we've just noticed, well, they've been like doing things also, 420 00:20:53,119 --> 00:20:55,200 Speaker 8: you know within you know, their own area. 421 00:20:55,480 --> 00:20:58,399 Speaker 3: Yeah, so again Olibab, but fifty six percent year to 422 00:20:58,440 --> 00:21:00,520 Speaker 3: day of eighty five percent over the trunk twelve months, 423 00:21:00,560 --> 00:21:03,400 Speaker 3: so people spaying paying some more attention to the Chinese 424 00:21:03,400 --> 00:21:04,040 Speaker 3: equity markets. 425 00:21:04,080 --> 00:21:04,720 Speaker 2: Joey Yang, thank you. 426 00:21:04,720 --> 00:21:07,360 Speaker 3: So much for joining us, Head of Index Product Management 427 00:21:07,440 --> 00:21:08,840 Speaker 3: and Market Vector Indexes. 428 00:21:09,240 --> 00:21:13,160 Speaker 1: This is the Bloomberg Surveillance Podcast. Listen live each weekday 429 00:21:13,200 --> 00:21:16,199 Speaker 1: starting at seven am Eastern on Apple Coarclay, and Android 430 00:21:16,240 --> 00:21:19,280 Speaker 1: Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. You can also listen 431 00:21:19,359 --> 00:21:22,639 Speaker 1: live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station. 432 00:21:23,160 --> 00:21:25,800 Speaker 1: Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 433 00:21:25,920 --> 00:21:29,400 Speaker 2: What I've noticed is institutional buying and. 434 00:21:29,359 --> 00:21:32,879 Speaker 3: Institutional embrace of crypto seems to be pretty interesting to me. 435 00:21:33,000 --> 00:21:36,320 Speaker 3: Aisha kan Kiani joint just she's the COO of. 436 00:21:36,560 --> 00:21:38,760 Speaker 2: M and C Group. 437 00:21:39,320 --> 00:21:42,080 Speaker 3: She joins us, Here in our studio, I'm looking in 438 00:21:42,320 --> 00:21:45,719 Speaker 3: fidelity Is. You know Rais it has assets on our 439 00:21:45,760 --> 00:21:48,359 Speaker 3: management group by over forty percent eight billion dollars. 440 00:21:48,600 --> 00:21:50,760 Speaker 2: Blackrock is into the crypto space. 441 00:21:51,560 --> 00:21:53,560 Speaker 3: What are some of the latest trends in crypto that 442 00:21:53,600 --> 00:21:57,120 Speaker 3: you're following now that we presumably have a pro crypto 443 00:21:57,640 --> 00:21:58,959 Speaker 3: presidency and administration. 444 00:21:59,840 --> 00:22:02,720 Speaker 9: So it all started a couple of years ago, but 445 00:22:02,880 --> 00:22:05,640 Speaker 9: now given the administration change, right, we have a bit 446 00:22:05,680 --> 00:22:10,080 Speaker 9: more acceptance to it, and given the regulatory change around 447 00:22:10,080 --> 00:22:14,520 Speaker 9: it too, or at least on you know, the commissioner levels, 448 00:22:15,359 --> 00:22:18,000 Speaker 9: we have started seeing a lot more institutional entering. So 449 00:22:18,040 --> 00:22:22,080 Speaker 9: we have started seeing more stable coin buying right and 450 00:22:22,320 --> 00:22:25,240 Speaker 9: basically trying to have a bit more stable coin exposure. 451 00:22:25,280 --> 00:22:29,680 Speaker 9: The other thing is, obviously we're seeing large fortune five 452 00:22:29,800 --> 00:22:33,960 Speaker 9: hundred companies buying BTC or stable coins you know, on 453 00:22:34,040 --> 00:22:39,720 Speaker 9: their balance sheet. We see almost everyone saying that they're 454 00:22:39,760 --> 00:22:42,440 Speaker 9: either looking to you know, build a blockchain or working 455 00:22:42,440 --> 00:22:46,120 Speaker 9: on a private blockchain solution for their company on how 456 00:22:46,160 --> 00:22:47,919 Speaker 9: to decentralize their data. 457 00:22:49,560 --> 00:22:51,680 Speaker 7: So, yes, we have Fidelity, we have Blackrock. 458 00:22:51,800 --> 00:22:55,800 Speaker 9: We have seen a lot of conversations around tokenizing assets. 459 00:22:57,000 --> 00:23:01,840 Speaker 9: Blackrock is obviously spirit heeading that effort. But yes, we 460 00:23:02,000 --> 00:23:04,720 Speaker 9: are seeing a bit more acceptance that we've seen in 461 00:23:04,800 --> 00:23:05,280 Speaker 9: the past. 462 00:23:05,400 --> 00:23:08,000 Speaker 5: Walk us through some of the regulational changes, because that 463 00:23:08,040 --> 00:23:10,240 Speaker 5: has been a big criticism in recent years about the 464 00:23:10,320 --> 00:23:12,680 Speaker 5: lack of regulation. So have things changed. 465 00:23:13,640 --> 00:23:16,760 Speaker 9: So over the years, right, we heard we heard large 466 00:23:16,760 --> 00:23:20,320 Speaker 9: banks saying that, look, we cannot trade this asset because 467 00:23:20,359 --> 00:23:22,080 Speaker 9: even though it's for us, it's just a ticket. 468 00:23:22,200 --> 00:23:22,360 Speaker 8: Right. 469 00:23:23,160 --> 00:23:26,720 Speaker 9: We don't know how SEC or CFTC were treated as Right. 470 00:23:27,480 --> 00:23:29,600 Speaker 7: What has happened in the past month or. 471 00:23:29,520 --> 00:23:33,119 Speaker 9: So is that SEC has literally, you know, let go 472 00:23:33,240 --> 00:23:36,320 Speaker 9: most of the enforcement hasks that were going after crypto companies. 473 00:23:36,359 --> 00:23:41,600 Speaker 9: One all of the SEC charges have been dropped against 474 00:23:41,640 --> 00:23:44,520 Speaker 9: Coinbase and Beautible, Moon Pay. 475 00:23:44,440 --> 00:23:47,560 Speaker 7: All of the companies that were open. So that has 476 00:23:47,680 --> 00:23:50,960 Speaker 7: changed this shift. Same thing with CFTC. 477 00:23:51,320 --> 00:23:55,520 Speaker 9: They've tried to set up you know, coworking groups just 478 00:23:55,520 --> 00:23:56,560 Speaker 9: to focusing. 479 00:23:56,160 --> 00:23:57,200 Speaker 7: On digital assets. 480 00:23:57,640 --> 00:24:02,480 Speaker 9: So even if crypto or blockchain or bitcoin as a 481 00:24:02,480 --> 00:24:06,200 Speaker 9: whole doesn't get a special category under the asset, probably 482 00:24:06,200 --> 00:24:09,520 Speaker 9: we just treated like another ascid under SEC, you know, 483 00:24:09,640 --> 00:24:11,120 Speaker 9: just the same investor protection. 484 00:24:12,160 --> 00:24:13,879 Speaker 7: Just one of the stocks that you could trade on 485 00:24:13,920 --> 00:24:14,320 Speaker 7: the market. 486 00:24:14,359 --> 00:24:16,080 Speaker 3: Is that is that where you think we're going to go, 487 00:24:16,119 --> 00:24:19,440 Speaker 3: because I would think that's where the industry. 488 00:24:19,080 --> 00:24:22,160 Speaker 7: Would like to be, right, that's where the industry would 489 00:24:22,320 --> 00:24:22,639 Speaker 7: like to be. 490 00:24:22,720 --> 00:24:26,280 Speaker 9: Absolutely, but we would see that's where it is headed. 491 00:24:26,480 --> 00:24:28,600 Speaker 2: Okay, so that's good news, right, Yeah. 492 00:24:28,640 --> 00:24:33,760 Speaker 3: So I mean, is this administration perceived still as pro 493 00:24:33,840 --> 00:24:37,440 Speaker 3: crypto or maybe maybe they just don't care? 494 00:24:37,480 --> 00:24:38,280 Speaker 2: And that's okay too. 495 00:24:38,680 --> 00:24:41,960 Speaker 9: No, no, no, a very pro crypto, okay, very extremely 496 00:24:42,119 --> 00:24:44,280 Speaker 9: You know, we had an industry conference here in New 497 00:24:44,359 --> 00:24:47,960 Speaker 9: York last week and not as big as Consensus or 498 00:24:48,240 --> 00:24:52,640 Speaker 9: you know, a couple of others, and President Trump had 499 00:24:52,680 --> 00:24:57,399 Speaker 9: a message, yes, had a recorded Yeah, so we carry 500 00:24:57,440 --> 00:25:01,680 Speaker 9: exactly so and then you know World liber Financial of 501 00:25:02,040 --> 00:25:06,680 Speaker 9: the organization under him, they they're buying tokens consistently. 502 00:25:06,920 --> 00:25:07,439 Speaker 2: Yeah, okay. 503 00:25:07,920 --> 00:25:10,080 Speaker 5: You know it's interesting too because if you're just looking 504 00:25:10,080 --> 00:25:12,680 Speaker 5: at its performance here to date, still lower here cools 505 00:25:12,720 --> 00:25:16,520 Speaker 5: to about six percent. So I mean, what's the deal? 506 00:25:17,400 --> 00:25:17,920 Speaker 7: It's dead? 507 00:25:18,200 --> 00:25:22,320 Speaker 9: I mean, honestly, speak as hyped. I'd be very honest 508 00:25:22,359 --> 00:25:27,320 Speaker 9: about this as hyped. You know, we have you know, 509 00:25:27,520 --> 00:25:31,879 Speaker 9: as hyped. We have basically done with the industry in 510 00:25:31,880 --> 00:25:33,760 Speaker 9: the past three to four months. Right ever since the 511 00:25:33,800 --> 00:25:37,200 Speaker 9: administration change, we haven't seen new volumes come in, and 512 00:25:37,359 --> 00:25:39,080 Speaker 9: we haven't seen new liquidity come in. 513 00:25:39,200 --> 00:25:42,520 Speaker 7: We haven't seen a lot more large. 514 00:25:42,320 --> 00:25:45,119 Speaker 9: Institutional just plug in and say here's the capital, just 515 00:25:45,160 --> 00:25:45,639 Speaker 9: go trade. 516 00:25:45,680 --> 00:25:46,679 Speaker 5: Why do you think that is? 517 00:25:47,520 --> 00:25:49,919 Speaker 9: Because I think at the end of the day, in 518 00:25:50,000 --> 00:25:53,280 Speaker 9: months or so, everyone rather manage their own book than 519 00:25:53,359 --> 00:25:57,600 Speaker 9: handing to like Cryptonata funds or plugging into all. 520 00:25:57,600 --> 00:25:59,480 Speaker 2: Right, I don't know anything about this, and I take 521 00:25:59,520 --> 00:26:01,200 Speaker 2: great pride not knowing anything about this. 522 00:26:01,359 --> 00:26:03,960 Speaker 3: I come from the day of creating blocks of stocks. 523 00:26:05,720 --> 00:26:07,320 Speaker 3: Has the story kind of faded here? 524 00:26:07,359 --> 00:26:07,960 Speaker 2: For crypto? 525 00:26:08,119 --> 00:26:11,240 Speaker 3: It feels like the momentum is maybe out of the story. 526 00:26:11,280 --> 00:26:12,640 Speaker 3: We don't talk about it as much as. 527 00:26:12,600 --> 00:26:13,080 Speaker 2: We used to. 528 00:26:13,119 --> 00:26:15,760 Speaker 3: I quote it, but when I quote it, we like 529 00:26:15,760 --> 00:26:16,840 Speaker 3: I'm quoting stocks, bonds. 530 00:26:16,880 --> 00:26:18,720 Speaker 2: I feel like, should I even be quoting bitcoin? 531 00:26:20,359 --> 00:26:23,840 Speaker 7: I think we're not as special as we used to? 532 00:26:24,119 --> 00:26:27,440 Speaker 9: Okay, that's that's that you're you're right there, but we're 533 00:26:27,480 --> 00:26:28,920 Speaker 9: not as special as we used to. 534 00:26:29,040 --> 00:26:31,560 Speaker 7: We were a hedge against inflation. 535 00:26:31,720 --> 00:26:33,680 Speaker 9: We were you know one of that did Alas said 536 00:26:33,760 --> 00:26:37,160 Speaker 9: that you could buy so your grand you know your 537 00:26:37,200 --> 00:26:38,600 Speaker 9: grand kids could be proud of. 538 00:26:39,119 --> 00:26:41,400 Speaker 5: But like for the criticism agids that being a hedge 539 00:26:41,400 --> 00:26:43,800 Speaker 5: against inflation, I mean that clearly didn't work in various 540 00:26:43,840 --> 00:26:46,159 Speaker 5: instances over the last three years during the Fed's hiking 541 00:26:46,200 --> 00:26:47,600 Speaker 5: cycle to try to tame inflation. 542 00:26:48,040 --> 00:26:51,439 Speaker 9: It worked in twenty twenty, and it worked in early 543 00:26:51,520 --> 00:26:52,520 Speaker 9: twenty twenty one. 544 00:26:52,680 --> 00:26:56,960 Speaker 7: Right now, it's just following the macro and which it. 545 00:26:57,040 --> 00:27:00,960 Speaker 9: Shouldn't have if it had followed it's an initial narrative 546 00:27:01,040 --> 00:27:04,000 Speaker 9: it was. You know, we're an asset class off its own. 547 00:27:04,480 --> 00:27:06,520 Speaker 9: Right now, we're just treated like another tex style. 548 00:27:06,640 --> 00:27:10,840 Speaker 2: So what's the next big issue or big mile post 549 00:27:11,080 --> 00:27:12,600 Speaker 2: for the cryptos spaces. 550 00:27:12,600 --> 00:27:14,920 Speaker 3: There's something piece of news out there that we're waiting for, 551 00:27:14,960 --> 00:27:16,800 Speaker 3: whether it's a piece of legislation, whether it's a new 552 00:27:16,840 --> 00:27:19,120 Speaker 3: product offering, or what's the next new thing. 553 00:27:19,840 --> 00:27:23,560 Speaker 9: I think we are getting everything that we've ever wanted, 554 00:27:23,720 --> 00:27:26,919 Speaker 9: right We are getting you know, a bit more understanding 555 00:27:26,960 --> 00:27:31,679 Speaker 9: from regulators. We'll probably even have stable coin legislations come in. 556 00:27:32,040 --> 00:27:34,320 Speaker 9: I heard that a lot at like Milk and Symposium 557 00:27:34,320 --> 00:27:37,879 Speaker 9: a couple of weeks ago. We're going to see you know, 558 00:27:37,960 --> 00:27:41,639 Speaker 9: stable coins begin integrated just like you know dollar into 559 00:27:41,760 --> 00:27:45,600 Speaker 9: like large banks or large banks issuing their own stable coins. 560 00:27:47,320 --> 00:27:52,520 Speaker 9: I think we're slowly, slowly progressing there. My internal skepticism 561 00:27:52,560 --> 00:27:54,280 Speaker 9: as always is the tech ready. 562 00:27:55,600 --> 00:27:58,560 Speaker 7: But I could go on on that for days. 563 00:28:00,080 --> 00:28:04,840 Speaker 9: But I think from the regulatory perspective, from the market's perspective, 564 00:28:06,080 --> 00:28:07,960 Speaker 9: we have accomplished. 565 00:28:08,160 --> 00:28:10,800 Speaker 3: You know, But are the kids at NYU that you 566 00:28:10,840 --> 00:28:14,639 Speaker 3: talked to every are they still cryptos crypto that cryptos 567 00:28:14,720 --> 00:28:16,119 Speaker 3: that I want to go into crypto. I don't want 568 00:28:16,160 --> 00:28:18,080 Speaker 3: to go to Morgan Stanley and be an investment banker 569 00:28:18,119 --> 00:28:18,600 Speaker 3: or trader. 570 00:28:18,680 --> 00:28:20,760 Speaker 2: I want to get into crypto. Are they still saying that. 571 00:28:21,520 --> 00:28:24,560 Speaker 9: Fifty percent split because the other fifty percent have moved 572 00:28:24,560 --> 00:28:25,080 Speaker 9: on to AI. 573 00:28:26,640 --> 00:28:27,000 Speaker 10: Yeah. 574 00:28:27,040 --> 00:28:29,879 Speaker 9: So my course is still very popular. I still have 575 00:28:29,920 --> 00:28:32,560 Speaker 9: the wait list everything. I still have kids building under me, 576 00:28:32,600 --> 00:28:35,719 Speaker 9: writing under me. But now it's like, hey, professor, this 577 00:28:35,800 --> 00:28:38,440 Speaker 9: is cool, but let's talk about AI. 578 00:28:38,560 --> 00:28:42,360 Speaker 5: Also, so you had mentioned we only have about thirty 579 00:28:42,360 --> 00:28:44,680 Speaker 5: seconds left. But what was the issue with the tech 580 00:28:44,720 --> 00:28:46,480 Speaker 5: that you were maybe skeptical about. 581 00:28:46,840 --> 00:28:49,640 Speaker 9: I think that if you really really break it down 582 00:28:49,800 --> 00:28:52,480 Speaker 9: with ethereum or Salona or like you know, if you 583 00:28:52,520 --> 00:28:56,400 Speaker 9: come on chain levels, can we handle that kind of volume, right, 584 00:28:56,520 --> 00:29:00,840 Speaker 9: like if as I remember on my first show with Tom, 585 00:29:00,840 --> 00:29:03,400 Speaker 9: he said, I mean, none of this makes sense. So 586 00:29:04,000 --> 00:29:06,120 Speaker 9: but I don't know why this trade acid is trading 587 00:29:06,120 --> 00:29:08,320 Speaker 9: at seventy thousand, so please, you know, clarify. 588 00:29:08,600 --> 00:29:11,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, and then it went up to five hundred exactly. 589 00:29:11,040 --> 00:29:13,240 Speaker 9: And Paul kicked in and Paul said, you know, why 590 00:29:13,240 --> 00:29:17,120 Speaker 9: don't you teach us so like why so that's the thing, 591 00:29:17,240 --> 00:29:19,560 Speaker 9: like beautiful in order to be at one hundred and ten? 592 00:29:19,600 --> 00:29:19,880 Speaker 2: Again? 593 00:29:20,320 --> 00:29:21,360 Speaker 7: Is the tech enough? 594 00:29:21,640 --> 00:29:26,240 Speaker 2: Okay? A Keani, COO of m n n C A group. 595 00:29:31,800 --> 00:29:35,720 Speaker 1: This is the Bloomberg Surveillance Podcast. Listen live each weekday 596 00:29:35,760 --> 00:29:38,800 Speaker 1: starting at seven am Eastern on Apple, Corplay and Android 597 00:29:38,800 --> 00:29:41,800 Speaker 1: Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. You can also watch 598 00:29:41,880 --> 00:29:44,800 Speaker 1: us live every weekday on YouTube and always on the 599 00:29:44,840 --> 00:29:45,920 Speaker 1: Bloomberg terminal. 600 00:29:46,040 --> 00:29:50,520 Speaker 3: Let's get a look at those newspapers with Lisa Matata, Lisha, 601 00:29:50,520 --> 00:29:51,160 Speaker 3: what are you looking at all? 602 00:29:51,200 --> 00:29:51,320 Speaker 5: Right? 603 00:29:51,320 --> 00:29:53,080 Speaker 11: So remember when Elon must put out the request of 604 00:29:53,080 --> 00:29:56,480 Speaker 11: federal workers to submit those five bullet points detailing their weeks, 605 00:29:56,520 --> 00:30:01,120 Speaker 11: when we have a challenge doing that, Well, a lot 606 00:30:01,200 --> 00:30:03,280 Speaker 11: of workers have been doing it, but now they're running 607 00:30:03,280 --> 00:30:05,920 Speaker 11: into an issue, and the issue is apparently the inbox 608 00:30:06,040 --> 00:30:09,680 Speaker 11: is full. Oh so their emails are getting bounced back. 609 00:30:10,280 --> 00:30:12,520 Speaker 11: So now they're putting in the effort, but it's not 610 00:30:12,640 --> 00:30:15,520 Speaker 11: going through. So what the workers are being told. So, 611 00:30:15,560 --> 00:30:17,840 Speaker 11: for example, you have the Department of Health and Human Services, 612 00:30:17,840 --> 00:30:20,000 Speaker 11: they're telling employees that, okay, we know. 613 00:30:19,960 --> 00:30:20,600 Speaker 2: What's going on. 614 00:30:21,440 --> 00:30:24,320 Speaker 11: So they're directing them to send their weekly five things 615 00:30:24,400 --> 00:30:28,080 Speaker 11: emails to a different o PM email address. Even NASA 616 00:30:28,160 --> 00:30:31,440 Speaker 11: unveiled this app so that workers could send their reports 617 00:30:31,480 --> 00:30:33,880 Speaker 11: there too. So they're doing all these different things because 618 00:30:34,040 --> 00:30:36,040 Speaker 11: remember he had said that workers would be fired if 619 00:30:36,080 --> 00:30:37,959 Speaker 11: they didn't reply. I mean, the White House kind of, 620 00:30:38,120 --> 00:30:39,840 Speaker 11: you know, pulled back and said, you know what, let's 621 00:30:39,920 --> 00:30:41,640 Speaker 11: let's explain. You know, we'll leave it up to the 622 00:30:41,680 --> 00:30:44,240 Speaker 11: leadership of each agency to determine, you know. 623 00:30:44,240 --> 00:30:48,000 Speaker 3: That we know who's presumably reviewing these emails to say, 624 00:30:48,160 --> 00:30:49,400 Speaker 3: are these five things you're doing? 625 00:30:49,440 --> 00:30:52,480 Speaker 2: Are they good? Or evaluating what you're doing? 626 00:30:52,600 --> 00:30:55,360 Speaker 10: Is there anybody know who's reading these questioner, Now they're 627 00:30:55,360 --> 00:31:02,720 Speaker 10: getting bounced back, But it's a good question, all right, Okay, 628 00:31:02,720 --> 00:31:04,680 Speaker 10: so we have we talked about the housing crisis right 629 00:31:04,760 --> 00:31:07,400 Speaker 10: sparking it's what it's doing now, is that it's sparking 630 00:31:07,440 --> 00:31:09,560 Speaker 10: new alternatives to building homes. 631 00:31:09,640 --> 00:31:13,080 Speaker 11: So we're talking about builders using everything from three D printing, 632 00:31:13,400 --> 00:31:17,960 Speaker 11: assembling homes inside a factory, and then using hemp, yes, 633 00:31:18,040 --> 00:31:21,440 Speaker 11: hemp to make building blocks for walls. So this is 634 00:31:21,440 --> 00:31:24,040 Speaker 11: from the Associated Press. They visited this factory where they're 635 00:31:24,040 --> 00:31:27,240 Speaker 11: pumping out five hundred homes in just over three years 636 00:31:27,240 --> 00:31:31,280 Speaker 11: of operation. Each takes about five to seven days to build. Okay, 637 00:31:31,320 --> 00:31:33,480 Speaker 11: So they're inside this factory. 638 00:31:33,160 --> 00:31:35,240 Speaker 2: They get everything the walls. 639 00:31:34,840 --> 00:31:38,000 Speaker 11: The wiring, the plumbing, the countertops, and then they're shrink 640 00:31:38,040 --> 00:31:41,080 Speaker 11: wrapped and shipped out. So this is like how they're 641 00:31:41,080 --> 00:31:43,320 Speaker 11: pumping it out there. Then, as far as the three 642 00:31:43,440 --> 00:31:46,880 Speaker 11: D printing, they make like these curved walls that are 643 00:31:47,000 --> 00:31:50,400 Speaker 11: unlike concrete block. But the only drawback is that it's pricy. Right, 644 00:31:50,440 --> 00:31:54,400 Speaker 11: three D printers are expensive, the engineers to work them 645 00:31:54,400 --> 00:31:58,400 Speaker 11: are expensive, other skilled employees are expensive. And then this 646 00:31:58,680 --> 00:32:01,240 Speaker 11: hemp and line mixture. I did not know that it's 647 00:32:01,240 --> 00:32:06,600 Speaker 11: called hemp crete, and it's this natural insulation. It's mold 648 00:32:06,760 --> 00:32:09,840 Speaker 11: fire resistant. Acts as this outer wall of insulation. You 649 00:32:09,880 --> 00:32:12,000 Speaker 11: still need kind of like the woods and the frames 650 00:32:12,080 --> 00:32:14,880 Speaker 11: you know, to build the walls. But it basically cuts 651 00:32:14,880 --> 00:32:18,720 Speaker 11: down because it replaces three wall building components with just one. 652 00:32:18,920 --> 00:32:22,040 Speaker 3: Actually, all right, I don't understand how we got into 653 00:32:22,120 --> 00:32:24,560 Speaker 3: this where we don't have enough housing. 654 00:32:24,880 --> 00:32:27,760 Speaker 2: We aren't having children anymore. I mean, the birth rate 655 00:32:27,840 --> 00:32:28,400 Speaker 2: is way down. 656 00:32:28,640 --> 00:32:32,440 Speaker 3: Are we knocking down homes such that we don't? All 657 00:32:32,480 --> 00:32:35,360 Speaker 3: I see when I drive around is these multi family 658 00:32:35,440 --> 00:32:37,320 Speaker 3: housing units being built everywhere. 659 00:32:37,360 --> 00:32:39,440 Speaker 5: You didn't use three D printing for the compound. 660 00:32:39,720 --> 00:32:42,880 Speaker 3: I just don't understand that the fundamental concept why we 661 00:32:43,000 --> 00:32:44,360 Speaker 3: have a housing I guess. 662 00:32:44,160 --> 00:32:46,120 Speaker 11: People just don't want to give it up because you have. 663 00:32:49,880 --> 00:32:51,200 Speaker 7: Tell those boomers. 664 00:32:52,360 --> 00:32:53,840 Speaker 2: Building over the place. 665 00:32:54,120 --> 00:32:59,479 Speaker 3: They walk into Middle America, They're building these multi family 666 00:32:59,640 --> 00:33:03,160 Speaker 3: units all over the place. I don't understand. So that's 667 00:33:03,200 --> 00:33:05,640 Speaker 3: my I'm not buying this. There's not enough homes out there, 668 00:33:05,680 --> 00:33:08,600 Speaker 3: that's my things. I'm not buying the whole concept. 669 00:33:09,480 --> 00:33:12,760 Speaker 11: Last one Megan Markle's new Netflix cooking show. Not sure 670 00:33:12,760 --> 00:33:17,160 Speaker 11: if either of you have seen it, but apparently it's gotten. 671 00:33:17,240 --> 00:33:19,320 Speaker 11: You know, critics are bashing it and saying, you know, 672 00:33:19,360 --> 00:33:21,680 Speaker 11: what does she know? But what they love is her fashion. 673 00:33:22,200 --> 00:33:24,560 Speaker 11: It's called with Love Megan. So apparently she has this 674 00:33:24,600 --> 00:33:28,960 Speaker 11: fashion selling power that everything she wears like dresses, shirts, vests, 675 00:33:29,040 --> 00:33:33,360 Speaker 11: Kashmir cardigans. They all go viral and really buy them 676 00:33:33,600 --> 00:33:37,280 Speaker 11: and the stores are getting sold out. Wow, weightless, So you. 677 00:33:37,320 --> 00:33:39,520 Speaker 2: Guys are not the demo for this, I guess. 678 00:33:39,720 --> 00:33:42,000 Speaker 5: I actually haven't seen the show yet, but I saw 679 00:33:42,040 --> 00:33:43,800 Speaker 5: a promo on Netflix. 680 00:33:43,880 --> 00:33:47,320 Speaker 11: It looks beautiful. It does, and I do like what 681 00:33:47,400 --> 00:33:49,520 Speaker 11: she wears. I don't know if I would buy it 682 00:33:49,640 --> 00:33:52,000 Speaker 11: or be able to afford it for that factor, but 683 00:33:52,320 --> 00:33:55,040 Speaker 11: I mean, she's also starting like this shop my page 684 00:33:55,080 --> 00:33:58,160 Speaker 11: where she can actually make affiliate revenue from these things, 685 00:33:58,200 --> 00:33:59,520 Speaker 11: so she's kind. 686 00:33:59,360 --> 00:34:02,080 Speaker 5: Of turning her So this is a cooking show, right. 687 00:34:01,920 --> 00:34:05,760 Speaker 11: It's a cooking slash like she gardens, she entertains, it's 688 00:34:05,760 --> 00:34:09,560 Speaker 11: a lifestyle okay, okay, lifestyle And apparently it got renewed 689 00:34:09,560 --> 00:34:10,560 Speaker 11: for a second season, So. 690 00:34:10,760 --> 00:34:12,719 Speaker 3: I'm not down on Megan Mark for everybody else's I 691 00:34:12,760 --> 00:34:15,160 Speaker 3: have no opinion one way or the other, but we'll 692 00:34:15,160 --> 00:34:17,960 Speaker 3: have to see, all right, lish Mateo Newspapers, thank you 693 00:34:17,960 --> 00:34:19,439 Speaker 3: so much. We appreciate that. 694 00:34:19,719 --> 00:34:24,560 Speaker 1: This is the Bloomberg Surveillance podcast, available on Apple, Spotify 695 00:34:24,680 --> 00:34:28,479 Speaker 1: and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Listen live each 696 00:34:28,480 --> 00:34:32,320 Speaker 1: weekday seven to ten am Eastern on Bloomberg dot com, 697 00:34:32,480 --> 00:34:36,280 Speaker 1: the iHeartRadio app tune In, and the Bloomberg Business app. 698 00:34:36,560 --> 00:34:39,680 Speaker 1: You can also watch us live every weekday on YouTube 699 00:34:40,000 --> 00:34:42,000 Speaker 1: and always on the Bloomberg terminal