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Speaker 1: Welcome and everybody to betting pros.

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Speaker 2: It's time to place your bets and speech oep Joe

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Speaker 2: Pi's apia, and it's time to take.

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Speaker 1: A look at UFC three hundred.

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Speaker 2: And who better to talk about the tail of the

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Speaker 2: tape and who better to break down all these fights

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Speaker 2: from way during perspective than our good friend Mike Airata

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Speaker 2: from Mad Lab MMA. You can call him on x

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Speaker 2: at Mad Lab MMA and of course at over to

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Speaker 2: mad Lab.

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Speaker 1: Mma dot com.

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Speaker 2: Easy is that you've got a great UFC guard ahead

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Speaker 2: of us this weekend, and I can't wait to break

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Speaker 2: down the.

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Speaker 1: Fights with Mike. Yeah, you know, this is a great fight.

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Speaker 1: I mean, it's amazing fight.

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Speaker 3: When you look at it, you kind of wish you

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Speaker 3: knew both of these guys were both at one hundred,

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Speaker 3: you know what I mean. But I'm a firm believer

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Speaker 3: in you know, your genetics really played the biggest part

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Speaker 3: in your injury recovery. You can have the greatest surgeon

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Speaker 3: in the world, and he does. He has the surgeon

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Speaker 3: that did Aaron Rodgers's achilles, so you know he's in

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Speaker 3: great hands. But at the end of the day, your

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Speaker 3: body tells you how you heal and then the average

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Speaker 3: time to heal from this injury is twelve months, you know,

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Speaker 3: so you got to remember if this guy's coming back

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Speaker 3: on nine months, he had an in the achilles and

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Speaker 3: then he had to recover and then he had to

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Speaker 3: actually have some sort of a camp. So I'm really

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Speaker 3: not sure what Jamal Hill, we're gonna get here. So

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Speaker 3: when you look at these odds, to me that you

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Speaker 3: know you're getting a guy in Alex Spieta who is

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Speaker 3: a world class kickboxer. The guy has that I call

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Speaker 3: the death touch. The guy just knows where to put

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Speaker 3: it on you, when to put it on you. And

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Speaker 3: my concern in this fight is the light kicks. This

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Speaker 3: is a guy who has nasty, nasty, low kicks. Jamal

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Speaker 3: Hill is known to be a switch fighter. He switches

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Speaker 3: on south ball, he switches off. How is he going

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Speaker 3: to handle that? And when he does get that first

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Speaker 3: thing in that achilles, is he gonna think that's it's

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Speaker 3: maybe from that first kick those kicks are so heavy,

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Speaker 3: or is he gonna start worrying about that achilles, start

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Speaker 3: backing that foot up and realize I'm like, I either

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Speaker 3: got to be all the way in or all the

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Speaker 3: way out, because if he's in the mid mid range,

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Speaker 3: that leg's gonna get picked apart.

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Speaker 1: So I'm leaning.

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Speaker 3: I'm leaning towards the Champ here, and I think the

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Speaker 3: odds are you know, they're tightening up. It's about minus

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Speaker 3: one twenty right now. I believe for poton, I do

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Speaker 3: like that bet. It's probably on a card like this

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Speaker 3: where there's so many great bets. It's not what I'm

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Speaker 3: rushing to the window for, but if I had to

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Speaker 3: choose a side, I would take the champ.

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Speaker 2: Well, it's interesting too, because, as you said, you got

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Speaker 2: Pereira at minus one forty one twenty. Some other spots

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Speaker 2: hail at plus ten, so it's actually pretty tight. Interesting too,

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Speaker 2: you're looking at the reach, the size, you know, the

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Speaker 2: way class. Everything is so tight with these guys too,

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Speaker 2: in terms of physicality. So maybe a little bit closer

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Speaker 2: we realized. But obviously Pereira has been just incredible for

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Speaker 2: the last year or so. Let's go to the next

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Speaker 2: bout here. Justin Gaichee and Max Holloway, a lot of

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Speaker 2: people are looking forward to this one on the card.

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Speaker 1: When this one was announced, a lot of people are

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Speaker 1: very excited.

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Speaker 2: Halloway you're getting around plus one thirty eight justin Gaichee

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Speaker 2: at minus one seventy eight. Gaichee obviously the favorite for

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Speaker 2: a reason here, but I think a lot of people

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Speaker 2: feel like this could be one of those that does

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Speaker 2: go to a draw, even because these are two prime

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Speaker 2: fighters in their prime. So when you're looking at this fight,

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Speaker 2: what stands out to you between Holloway and Gaegee.

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Speaker 3: So I think a lot of people are looking at

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Speaker 3: Holloway's last fight when he first came up, and he

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Speaker 3: didn't look that great.

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Speaker 1: He was a little out of shape.

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Speaker 3: He had to put on this weight in about five weeks,

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Speaker 3: which that's not good weight. There's a big difference between

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Speaker 3: putting on quality mass and crappy mass, and he put

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Speaker 3: on a lot of crappy mass.

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Speaker 1: For that fight.

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Speaker 3: He was getting bullied around. He looked a little smooth

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Speaker 3: in the cage, but at the end of the day,

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Speaker 3: still Max Holloway. He did it all the right way.

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Speaker 3: This time he was in a weight room. He put

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Speaker 3: on good size. If you see him with his shirt

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Speaker 3: off and you see him in the camp, you can

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Speaker 3: see he put on that quality, quality size, that quality muscle.

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Speaker 1: The thing that I look at.

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Speaker 3: This when you look at Justin Gaigie, when you look

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Speaker 3: at his overall body work in the USC, I think

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Speaker 3: the most significant strikes he's thrown in a fight is

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Speaker 3: about one forty nine to one fifty nine, so around

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Speaker 3: in that range. He got a guy in Holloway who

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Speaker 3: he has no lactic acid build up. I'm a firm

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Speaker 3: believer this guy has neurolactic gas in his body. He's

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Speaker 3: been in fights where he's throwing two ninety over three hundred.

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Speaker 3: Against Calvin Cator he threw over four hundred and he

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Speaker 3: just doesn't get tired. So to me, this is a

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Speaker 3: two sided fight here. As far as one side, Justin

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Speaker 3: Gage has to get this done. I think with the

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Speaker 3: first couple of rounds, I think the leg kicks, I

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Speaker 3: think he could try to be the weight bully in there,

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Speaker 3: and that could work for him. But the longer this

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Speaker 3: fight goes, I think Max starts losing him. In translation,

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Speaker 3: I think the volume starts playing a big part, and

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Speaker 3: I think Max can kind of run away with the

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Speaker 3: fight late. How do you pass up Max Holloway on

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Speaker 3: plus money. It's very very hard for me to do.

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Speaker 3: So that's that's definitely a bet that I'm looking at

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Speaker 3: looking to stab all right.

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Speaker 2: So comfortable there with the plus money on Holloway, Let's

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Speaker 2: go to another one, Charles Olivera against Arman Sarukan out.

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Speaker 2: Sarukan the favorite here minus two thirty yet Olivera around

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Speaker 2: plus one seventy five and a lot of markets here.

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Speaker 2: So my question to you is Olivera a very dangerous guy,

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Speaker 2: guy that has not been submitted once or I mean

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Speaker 2: had a submission on him so far in his UFC career, which.

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Speaker 1: Is kind of stunning to think about.

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Speaker 2: How does that play a part here in these two

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Speaker 2: styles when these two guys face off.

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Speaker 1: This is crazy this fight.

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Speaker 3: Because when I first saw these lines, I thought they

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Speaker 3: were absolutely the mini cluse, like this is absolutely crazy.

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Speaker 3: Then when you go back and you start watching film,

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Speaker 3: it started to make sense to me why, Like maybe

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Speaker 3: you shouldn't look at that line as so much value.

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Speaker 3: There's value there, absolutely, this is a guy that comes

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Speaker 3: back from the depths of hell and he will grab

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Speaker 3: your neck, grabble him and finish you. But if you

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Speaker 3: look at his film, the reason why all this happens

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Speaker 3: is because you have to finish him two times. The

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Speaker 3: problem with a lot of these fighters, when they go

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Speaker 3: in and they fight Charles Olivieria is when they knock

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Speaker 3: him down, which he can be chinting, you can put

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Speaker 3: him down in the first round. They are totally afraid

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Speaker 3: to jump into his guard because if they jump into

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Speaker 3: his garden try to finish him, there's a chance he

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Speaker 3: could snatch up your neck, take your back and take

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Speaker 3: a limb. So ultimately you're kind of calling him back

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Speaker 3: up the defeated again. You're giving him another breath of life.

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Speaker 3: So technically you got to beat him two times. A

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Speaker 3: kid like Armasirukians not afraid to jump into his guard.

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Speaker 3: He's got very good wrestling. He showed that what islam

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Speaker 3: Makachev on his debut. He's very wiry on the ground,

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Speaker 3: He's got good top pressure. So if he does clip Charles,

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Speaker 3: which is very plausible to happen, he will have no

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Speaker 3: problems with jumping in his guard and finishing him. The

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Speaker 3: problem is he is a young kid, and if he

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Speaker 3: does make one mistake, if you make one mistake against

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Speaker 3: Charles Oliviera, he's going to find a way to snatch

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Speaker 3: up billim and finish the fight. So this is a

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Speaker 3: fight ultimately for me I'm probably from a straight wager

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Speaker 3: gonna stay away from I'm gonna pick saruk and I'm

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Speaker 3: gonna pick the younger kid in this fight. But there

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Speaker 3: is value on some of these prop bets. I mean,

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Speaker 3: if you're a believer in Charles Oliviera's ground game, which

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Speaker 3: everybody is, he's one of the greatest to ever do

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Speaker 3: it on the ground, you can get him at plus

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Speaker 3: five hundred at submission, which is a very realistic line.

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Speaker 3: And you can also get him at plus eight p

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Speaker 3: fifty for a first round submission, which is a very

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Speaker 3: realistic line. That's usually how he gets it done. So

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Speaker 3: I'm leaning on the Serukian side, but there's a lot

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Speaker 3: of value on multitude of bets for Charles Lavieri here.

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Speaker 2: Well, it seems like, you know, with the heavy juice

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Speaker 2: going on the one tie with Arukin, and it might

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Speaker 2: be better to kind of hedge on the other side

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Speaker 2: of it too.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, because let me tell you something, that line, there's

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Speaker 3: still value on Serukeian on that line. That line is

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Speaker 3: not a blown out line. I could see him making

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Speaker 3: this look fairly easy if he gets what he wants.

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Speaker 3: But there's that that, you know, gate of make one

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Speaker 3: mistake and pay.

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Speaker 2: Now the women's match here, two fighters from China, which

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Speaker 2: is history in the making, Yan Zoanan and Zhang Way

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Speaker 2: Lee are going to be squaring off against each other.

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Speaker 2: So when you look at the strawweight about what stands

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Speaker 2: out to you. Obviously this was a match some people

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Speaker 2: saying was, you know, not big enough for UFC three hundreds.

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Speaker 1: Some people are arguing that.

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Speaker 2: Others are on the other side of this, saying that

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Speaker 2: it's very much a fight that a lot of people

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Speaker 2: do want to see.

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Speaker 3: So what do you take out of the strawweight batch.

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Speaker 3: I think they're looking at like the Battle of China.

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Speaker 3: You know, you got two two really tough girls. One

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Speaker 3: of them, you know, is obviously where she is now

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Speaker 3: and another one's trying to get where where Zhang Way

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Speaker 3: Lee is. But when you look at this fight, I

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Speaker 3: think the line is right, you know, I really really do.

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Speaker 3: I think a lot of people are are mishappening that

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Speaker 3: there are good fighters and there are special fighters, and

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Speaker 3: and you know, Yan Xinan is a good fighter, but

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Speaker 3: Wiley's a special fighter. So you know, I don't think

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Speaker 3: she's gonna have a problem here. I do think that

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Speaker 3: line is correct. It's nothing that you're gonna run to

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Speaker 3: the window at them, kind of odds if you want

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Speaker 3: to tire into a couple of parlays or stuff like that.

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Speaker 3: I know, there's the knockout prop that's you know, sitting

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Speaker 3: around even money a little bit more. But when you

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Speaker 3: have the general public rushing to the window on a

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Speaker 3: prop it, I tend to stay away from them because

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Speaker 3: sometimes to me, that's a little trappy, you know. So

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Speaker 3: it's a fight probably I'm gonna stay away from in totality.

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Speaker 3: But I do think the line is right.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, y Lee actually minus five hundred right now is

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Speaker 2: a favorite to win that fight. But as you were

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Speaker 2: pointing out, there's a lot of different ways you can

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Speaker 2: approach this when you look at the undercard too. Some

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Speaker 2: of these other fights that are going on O bona

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Speaker 2: colas on there. You've got some other you know, matches

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Speaker 2: on here that are very appealing. Is the one that

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Speaker 2: stands out to you where there's a wagering opportunity, whether

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Speaker 2: it be in a knockout of submission to draw something

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Speaker 2: to that effect, or just an outright upset potentially that

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Speaker 2: you see on this board that has your interest or

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Speaker 2: you're really.

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Speaker 1: Just paying attention to these main focus fights that we

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Speaker 1: just talked about. You know.

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Speaker 3: The crazy thing is if you look at the first

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Speaker 3: part of the night, Figurato and guard Brand, that's that's

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Speaker 3: a main event at the Apex Center. Like all these

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Speaker 3: fights are main card fights, you know. But I'll tell you,

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Speaker 3: I'll tell you two you know props that are interesting

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Speaker 3: to me. One of them and I'm not expecting him

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Speaker 3: to win this fight in any way, shape or form.

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Speaker 3: But if you're a dog hunter and you understand that

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Speaker 3: this is the fight game and anything can happen, Bo

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Speaker 3: Nickels should run over Cody Brundage easily. But listen, if

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Speaker 3: a fight is a fight, right shot, right spot, right time,

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Speaker 3: Cody Brundage have plus three thousand first round, KO, you

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Speaker 3: want to throw a little little little little stab on that,

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Speaker 3: like I wouldn't hate you, you know that's one you know,

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Speaker 3: well even to win.

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Speaker 1: Outright, he's plus one thousand. So even if you don't want.

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Speaker 3: To go day, a fight is a fight is a fight.

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Speaker 3: Anything can happen. We know what they're doing with Bo.

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Speaker 3: They're trying to get him over the top on you know,

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Speaker 3: like day say, w W get him over the top.

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Speaker 1: That's what they're trying to do, you know.

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Speaker 3: But I don't hate it, like that's something you wanted

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Speaker 3: to throw ten twenty bucks on Brandy's plus three thousand

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Speaker 3: first round KO just to have a little fun.

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Speaker 1: Sometimes those are the most dangerous, aren't they, Mike?

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Speaker 2: When you talk about because you're always looking ahead instead

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Speaker 2: of looking in front of you, Yeah, you're going that's

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Speaker 2: old Mike Tyson Buster Douglas kind of stuff where you're

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Speaker 2: just not paying too much attention. You're thinking about the

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Speaker 2: next fight. The next thing you know, you're on your back.

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Speaker 2: So I think that's one to really keep an eye

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Speaker 2: on to. I would agree with you on that one, Mike. Obviously,

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Speaker 2: this card UFC three hundred historic as well. Is there

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Speaker 2: a UFC bout for you after all these years it

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Speaker 2: really stands out to you that was like this was

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Speaker 2: my all time favorite, This was the one that really

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Speaker 2: put me over the top that I love UFC. I'm

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Speaker 2: just kind of curious because it does feel like we're

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Speaker 2: in that range where, you know, three hundred of these,

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Speaker 2: we're looking back a little bit. Is there a certain

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Speaker 2: card that stands out to you, a certain main event

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Speaker 2: that always will have a special place in your heart.

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Speaker 1: I mean, there are so.

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Speaker 3: Many, but I was always I was always like a

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Speaker 3: violence guy. I like like the violence, Like when you

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Speaker 3: get guys like Worry McDonald versus Robbie Lawler. You know

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Speaker 3: when at the end of the round they both walk

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Speaker 3: full of blood walking towards each other, they both spit

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Speaker 3: on the on the cage and walk back to the corner.

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Speaker 3: Like there's just so many fights. I mean, Diego Sanchez

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Speaker 3: back in the day with some of his wards were

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Speaker 3: like Claig Guid and stuff like that.

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Speaker 4: Like, just.

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Speaker 3: This is a card that you can have one of

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Speaker 3: those moments. That's what I'm hoping for. I'm hoping we

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Speaker 3: have one of these moments on this card where we

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Speaker 3: talk about it ten years from now. Do you remember

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Speaker 3: USC three hundred. Listen, we all know that sometimes when

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Speaker 3: these cards get made, we're like, there's no way that

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Speaker 3: this card's gonna, you know, be what it's supposed to be.

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Speaker 3: But look at UFC two ninety nine. I mean, how

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Speaker 3: do you beat that. I don't know if you watched

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Speaker 3: that card, but I did. That was one of the

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Speaker 3: best cards I've seen in a decade. Like, you know

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Speaker 3: what I mean, so I'm hoping we get something like this,

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Speaker 3: you know, out of this, maybe a major upset, maybe

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Speaker 3: a Holly Home, you know, shattering you know, the crowd

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Speaker 3: again with an upset over someone like Kayla Harrison. You

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Speaker 3: never know, like everything, anything can happen. All right, there

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Speaker 3: you have it, everybody. There's the breakdown of UFC three hundred.

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Speaker 3: Don't forget to download the Betting Pros app and find

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Speaker 3: the best odds on the planet.

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Speaker 2: Wherever you are wagering. Sink your sports books today and

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Speaker 2: get wagering on UFC three hundred. Put all this great

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Speaker 2: knowledge to use and enjoy the fights.

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Speaker 1: That'll do it for me. Joey P. We'll see you

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Speaker 1: next time. Kids.

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Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

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Speaker 4: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

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Speaker 4: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

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Speaker 4: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros