WEBVTT - SHARP NFL Week 4 Bets - Patriots-Bills, Rams-Eagles and more

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to sharper square presented by polymarket we are part

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<v Speaker 1>of the volume podcast network this is the show that

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<v Speaker 1>makes the squares sharper and makes the wise guys pay

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<v Speaker 1>attention i am chad millman i am joined as always

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<v Speaker 1>by my co-host my bff my companion my compadre professional

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<v Speaker 1>better simon hunter hello.

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<v Speaker 2>Simon chad sorry about your cubs my friend Dude, it's rough.

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<v Speaker 3>You know, I was thinking about it this morning.

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<v Speaker 1>We had an MVP year with PCA. He went 40-40.

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<v Speaker 1>Those are historic things. I'm going to take the good

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<v Speaker 1>away from it. We had a lot of challenges throughout

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<v Speaker 1>the year. There are things to improve. I'm only positive

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<v Speaker 1>about this team. I wish I could take like all the,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, there's all these White Sox videos going around

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<v Speaker 1>about the players celebrating and they're glorious and they are

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<v Speaker 1>so South Side of Chicago within that personality. I wish

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<v Speaker 1>I loved the White Sox the way I love the Cubs.

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<v Speaker 1>I wish I could get on the bandwagon. I'm going

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<v Speaker 1>to be happy for the White Sox, but like I'm

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<v Speaker 1>not getting Chicago joy out of it.

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<v Speaker 3>I'll move on.

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<v Speaker 1>I will say, also I got Case Keenum. So you

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<v Speaker 1>can't have everything. I will say I loved the answer

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<v Speaker 1>that Bryce Harper gave about what happens when you make

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<v Speaker 1>a mistake and how you rally and move on. And

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<v Speaker 1>then the next day he's hitting a bomb for the

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<v Speaker 1>Phillies in a huge win. Like to me, I've always

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<v Speaker 1>loved Bryce Harper. This to me just made him so

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<v Speaker 1>much more approachable, in how he conveys himself to the community.

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<v Speaker 3>Big fan.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, really fun Phillies win that you're alluding to here. Obviously,

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<v Speaker 2>anytime you have your two top guys go back-to-back home

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<v Speaker 2>runs in the playoffs, it's euphoric. That's why we love

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<v Speaker 2>playoff baseball. It's also a sickening feeling. I'm enjoying it,

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<v Speaker 2>but it's also one of the things I hate about

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<v Speaker 2>playoff baseball so much. You live and die so much pitch-to-pitch. Oh, yeah.

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<v Speaker 2>Such a stressful– and we talked– I mean, the Cubs

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<v Speaker 2>being back-to-back 10 o'clock games, I feel so bad for

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<v Speaker 2>the diehard fans. Just staying up late to watch your

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<v Speaker 2>teams get smoked after, you know, 160 games. It's tough.

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<v Speaker 2>But I was joking with a buddy. I really love

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<v Speaker 2>the Northeast fan base. Like, we're just– I mean, we're

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<v Speaker 2>just angry. I just love back and forth. And I've

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<v Speaker 2>really enjoyed Chicago back and forth between Chicago and Philly

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<v Speaker 2>fans this last week. And I was saying, I just

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<v Speaker 2>wish Chicago was in our division. Like I wish there

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<v Speaker 2>was a rotation NFL of divisions. Cause I always say,

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<v Speaker 2>I wish the Patriots were in my division. Like I

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<v Speaker 2>love talking smack to pitch fans. My pitch fans are

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<v Speaker 2>going to remember whoever's a fan of this show. I

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<v Speaker 2>never will ever go on Twitter and blast the team

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<v Speaker 2>that they're going to get blown out and talk smack

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<v Speaker 2>to them. I did for the Patriots, the Superbowl, just

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<v Speaker 2>because of their fan base. Like I would never be

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<v Speaker 2>that loud unless I knew it was going to be right.

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<v Speaker 2>And it's just fun. Like it's fun messing with the

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<v Speaker 2>Patriots fan base. I feel the same with Chicago. Like,

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<v Speaker 2>It's been really fun messing with them. So, yeah, I

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<v Speaker 2>really was hoping for, obviously, a Phillies-Chicago baseball series. And

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<v Speaker 2>that's gone. Now I've got to hope the next best

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<v Speaker 2>thing is Phillies versus Milwaukee. So me and Matt Mitch

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<v Speaker 2>are going to get after it. But, yeah, that Cubs season,

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<v Speaker 2>like you said, was a really fun season. Just baseball

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<v Speaker 2>is brutal, man. The wild card round. At least it's

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<v Speaker 2>not one game. I always say that. Thank God it's

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<v Speaker 2>three games. But, yeah, to get swept, though, too. I mean,

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<v Speaker 2>the Phillies, I feel lucky that we didn't get swept.

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<v Speaker 2>But you never know.

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<v Speaker 1>Chicago fans are just not nearly as angry as Philly fans.

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<v Speaker 2>Not true.

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<v Speaker 3>I've never had that experience.

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<v Speaker 2>Bring up Caleb Williams to a Chicago fan being zesty,

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<v Speaker 2>and you will get a lot of pushback. Hey, this

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<v Speaker 2>guy's tough. And the whole thing. Again, it's all about

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<v Speaker 2>Chicago fans.

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<v Speaker 3>Guy, don't talk about Caleb Williams.

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<v Speaker 2>Exactly.

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<v Speaker 3>Keep Caleb Williams' name out of your mouth.

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<v Speaker 2>Chicago's got some angry fans, Chad. Don't sell them short.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm mostly thinking about Cubs fans.

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<v Speaker 1>They always have such low expectations in any win. So

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<v Speaker 1>many Cubs fans are barely Cubs fans because they're about

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<v Speaker 1>the experience around Wrigley, right? White Sox fans are angry.

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<v Speaker 1>White Sox fans are Southside fans. Nobody wants to go

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<v Speaker 1>to the Southside. Nobody wants to go. to their stadium.

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<v Speaker 1>They're the second-class team in the second city. They got

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<v Speaker 1>reasons to be angry. Cubs fans have.

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<v Speaker 3>No reason to be angry because it's always a good

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<v Speaker 3>time at Wrigley.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, you lost the edge. You guys had the edge.

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<v Speaker 2>You had the curse. I agree. I agree with that

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<v Speaker 2>point that you just said. I definitely agree with that

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<v Speaker 2>about the Cubs fans.

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<v Speaker 3>Oh, I've had this conversation.

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<v Speaker 1>A lot of people I know have said they obviously

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<v Speaker 1>love winning the World Series, but they also... felt like

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<v Speaker 1>chicago was just another team once chicago won the world series.

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<v Speaker 2>And i will say one more one more point white

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<v Speaker 2>socks the whole pope thing it's throwing me for a

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<v Speaker 2>loop having the it's real be like yeah it's real

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<v Speaker 2>literally just trying to put god's put god on their

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<v Speaker 2>side and say he's if he can he's gonna help

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<v Speaker 2>in every way possible it's like oh my god so

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<v Speaker 2>it's it's definitely something to keep your eye on with

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<v Speaker 2>this white socks team we just.

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<v Speaker 1>I love this pope and astros I love this Pope,

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<v Speaker 1>and I love what he's doing for the White Sox.

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<v Speaker 3>Simon, it's our Thursday NFL Week 4 show. We're a

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<v Speaker 3>little bit late.

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<v Speaker 1>We had some tech issues, so we apologize. You're going

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<v Speaker 1>to hear sharp calls, folks, brass balls, our underdog and

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<v Speaker 1>favorite round robins, Simon's biggest bets, our sharp versus square,

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<v Speaker 1>our Discord grouper of the week. This is the episode

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<v Speaker 1>where Simon and I will narrow down our final five

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<v Speaker 1>official picks for the free $ 25, 000... NFL Pick'em Contest. You

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<v Speaker 1>can still sign up, sharpersquare.thevolume.com. Top 10 finishers get paid

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<v Speaker 1>$ 10, 000 for first place.

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<v Speaker 3>Still totally free to enter. All right. Every week, we

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<v Speaker 3>talk about our calls on Tuesday.

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<v Speaker 1>Every week, Simon gets an earful of 48 hours from

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<v Speaker 1>his wise guy friends telling us what they like, what

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<v Speaker 1>they don't like, what they agree with, when they think

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<v Speaker 1>Simon is being mean to me.

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<v Speaker 3>It's time for Sharp Calls.

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<v Speaker 2>Who's there? I'm talking.

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<v Speaker 1>Ring, ring, telephone ring.

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<v Speaker 3>Somebody said, baby, what you doing?

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I wish it was like last week. We have

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<v Speaker 2>some new fans this show. They're like, why don't you

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<v Speaker 2>give out that stuff every week? Guys, last week, you

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<v Speaker 2>have to have so many things lined up. Like that

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<v Speaker 2>Atlanta game, I was hoping it was going to be

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<v Speaker 2>like Cleveland this week. I was like, oh, everyone's going

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<v Speaker 2>to love Cleveland just like me. It's not. It's totally split.

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<v Speaker 2>Tons of pros, really smart groups on Pittsburgh. Guys like

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<v Speaker 2>me are all over Cleveland. Last week was just truly anonymous,

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<v Speaker 2>especially that college play. People want college stuff. I can

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<v Speaker 2>give it out. It's just if I come on here,

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<v Speaker 2>I want it to be a slam dunk. We don't

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<v Speaker 2>talk college, right? Every week there's going to be options, right?

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<v Speaker 2>I think the big one this week for the pros

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<v Speaker 2>is Mississippi State. It's not like it was last week.

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<v Speaker 2>Last week guys were telling me they had Florida minus seven.

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<v Speaker 2>I think the spread was minus three, minus three and

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<v Speaker 2>a half. If you get three and a half points

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<v Speaker 2>of value, it doesn't get much easier for me to

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<v Speaker 2>come on this show and be like, hey, take a

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<v Speaker 2>position on this one. Now, Mississippi State, it's not the

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<v Speaker 2>same thing. Virginia Tech, I know it's another really sharp

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<v Speaker 2>play this week. It's not the same thing, though. So

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<v Speaker 2>people want college. I'll always try to give it out

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<v Speaker 2>if I can. Like, if there's an easy– if we're

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<v Speaker 2>getting three points of value, I promise you I'll come

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<v Speaker 2>on here and give it out what the pros are betting. But, yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>this week for the pros– kind of get beat up

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<v Speaker 2>a little bit. It seems like me and Chad are

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<v Speaker 2>both aligned on a lot of games that are just

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<v Speaker 2>not the professional side. So it's going to be interesting

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<v Speaker 2>to hear what people want to do with this because

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<v Speaker 2>I've already placed money on this stuff. The biggest one,

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<v Speaker 2>it would definitely be that Raiders-Chiefs game. The pros all

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<v Speaker 2>over the Chiefs. And we are all, I mean, there

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<v Speaker 2>are pros obviously on the Raiders like us, but it

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<v Speaker 2>is definitely one of the more heavily called phone calls

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<v Speaker 2>I got. It was just like, dude, you're totally overrating

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<v Speaker 2>this Raiders team. Maybe they're right. I don't know. It's

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<v Speaker 2>going to be hard. It's going to be hard because

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<v Speaker 2>I did already bet into the Raiders. So that one

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<v Speaker 2>jumped out right away of a game that we both loved.

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<v Speaker 3>We're not getting bullied this week, Simon. We are not

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<v Speaker 3>getting bullied.

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<v Speaker 2>We're not getting bullied, but I'm also like, okay, I'm not,

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<v Speaker 2>this isn't a slam dunk. One of our five. Now

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<v Speaker 2>I'm definitely going to hesitate here because I will talk

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<v Speaker 2>more about it, but there's definitely a reason to bring

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<v Speaker 2>it up. Another game. I might be deadly wrong on that.

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<v Speaker 2>A lot of pros on the other side of it.

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<v Speaker 2>that Rams-Eagles game. I thought it was going to be

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<v Speaker 2>all pros on the Eagles. Another game we'll talk more about,

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<v Speaker 2>but there are some really smart groups taking position on

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<v Speaker 2>that Rams team, especially when it was two and a half.

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<v Speaker 2>Bad miss by me. Arizona, Chad was on it. I

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<v Speaker 2>missed it. Pros, most I've talked to, they love Arizona's matchup.

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<v Speaker 2>They like the matchup against the Giants. The number reflects that.

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<v Speaker 2>I think Chad said it was plus two and a half,

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<v Speaker 2>went to one and a half, flipped now. to minus

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<v Speaker 2>one and a half. Now it's up to minus two

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<v Speaker 2>and a half on that Arizona team. So apologies, another

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<v Speaker 2>bad read by me. To games that I feel like

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<v Speaker 2>we're on the right side with a lot of these pros. Broncos, again,

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<v Speaker 2>we're going to dive into. A lot of pros love

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<v Speaker 2>that side. Again, we didn't spend a ton of time on,

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<v Speaker 2>but I think we will today. Atlanta, tons of love

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<v Speaker 2>by the pros on Atlanta against the Saints. I think

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<v Speaker 2>that's another one that's got a huge public side, that

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<v Speaker 2>Saints team. I just think people are believers on the

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<v Speaker 2>flip side. It doesn't matter. Atlanta blew out Green Bay.

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<v Speaker 2>Just no public sentiment. Like right now, most shops I

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<v Speaker 2>talk to, it's like we desperately are going to need

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<v Speaker 2>Atlanta come Monday night. And, you know, last one we

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<v Speaker 2>really talked about, Houston. People probably knew that was going

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<v Speaker 2>to be a pro side, right? It was one and

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<v Speaker 2>a half. Got up to two and a half. Now

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<v Speaker 2>most books are showing three. some pros are resistance at

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<v Speaker 2>the three for this Dallas team. When we talk about

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<v Speaker 2>the pros do love Dallas, but overall that feels like

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<v Speaker 2>a real, really sharp side of Houston. That's an O

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<v Speaker 2>and three team as a favorite. You won't see that

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<v Speaker 2>too often. So yeah, a lot of interesting calls, a

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<v Speaker 2>lot of hate in the phone calls this week, Chad.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, I don't mind when we're under the gun, when

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<v Speaker 1>it's just you and me in the Fox hole, leaning

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<v Speaker 1>on each other, playing the numbers. I'm excited to talk

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<v Speaker 1>about that Raiders game. Cause I'm not even thinking about

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<v Speaker 1>it as necessarily a on the field matchup as much

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<v Speaker 1>as I'm thinking about it as a play the number matchup.

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<v Speaker 3>So we'll get to it. Pittsburgh at Cleveland. You mentioned

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<v Speaker 3>this briefly.

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<v Speaker 1>There's not going to be a lot of people that

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<v Speaker 1>can work off the advice if they're listening to the show,

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<v Speaker 1>but you know, we both like Cleveland and I think

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<v Speaker 1>it's going to get to three. It's juiced to move

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<v Speaker 1>in that, in that direction. I've kind of been waiting

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<v Speaker 1>to play it until it gets to that three and

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<v Speaker 1>But I did play the under 38, 38 and a half.

0:11:14.330 --> 0:11:16.569
<v Speaker 3>And it's it's moving down. So if you want to

0:11:16.590 --> 0:11:19.260
<v Speaker 3>get a 38 and a half, you better get it fast.

0:11:21.140 --> 0:11:23.179
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, in a game, I told you I was never

0:11:23.200 --> 0:11:26.060
<v Speaker 2>going to avoid it. Like this is just my regularly

0:11:26.080 --> 0:11:29.920
<v Speaker 2>scheduled bet every year. We take the Browns on Thursday night.

0:11:30.160 --> 0:11:33.689
<v Speaker 2>And yeah, could it catch us finally? Sure. But we've

0:11:33.730 --> 0:11:36.370
<v Speaker 2>won nine straight. What more do you guys want? It's

0:11:36.410 --> 0:11:40.590
<v Speaker 2>like this is the exact scenario every year. It doesn't

0:11:40.610 --> 0:11:42.690
<v Speaker 2>matter the Browns. I want two in a row. The

0:11:42.730 --> 0:11:46.260
<v Speaker 2>public sentiment's not convinced, right? People do not believe in it.

0:11:46.380 --> 0:11:49.320
<v Speaker 2>For good reason. Sean Watson's played, you could say, two

0:11:49.360 --> 0:11:51.160
<v Speaker 2>good fourth quarters, and the rest of his games have

0:11:51.200 --> 0:11:54.880
<v Speaker 2>kind of been mismatch and slop. So I totally get

0:11:54.900 --> 0:11:56.940
<v Speaker 2>the hesitation of my people here, but it's really just

0:11:57.750 --> 0:12:01.790
<v Speaker 2>another year of the Browns being undervalued. Whoever they're playing, divisional.

0:12:01.870 --> 0:12:05.929
<v Speaker 2>Usually it's Cincinnati. This year it's the Steelers. Another divisional

0:12:06.190 --> 0:12:09.270
<v Speaker 2>team coming on the road that the public is overrating. Like,

0:12:09.350 --> 0:12:12.350
<v Speaker 2>I just... I don't want to overthink this one where

0:12:12.410 --> 0:12:14.480
<v Speaker 2>I agree. It's like, could this one bite us? Sure.

0:12:14.530 --> 0:12:17.480
<v Speaker 2>But it's now moving to plus three. You have to

0:12:17.540 --> 0:12:19.680
<v Speaker 2>take that number. And if, if Polly market gets us

0:12:19.720 --> 0:12:21.360
<v Speaker 2>a three and a half, it's like, Oh my God,

0:12:21.600 --> 0:12:24.620
<v Speaker 2>that's great value in this matchup that you expect to

0:12:24.660 --> 0:12:28.900
<v Speaker 2>be a low scoring Thursday night, sloppy game. And the Browns,

0:12:28.960 --> 0:12:31.670
<v Speaker 2>as much as people don't believe in them, that defense

0:12:31.710 --> 0:12:35.710
<v Speaker 2>looked really good against Carolina last weekend. Yes. And you know,

0:12:36.510 --> 0:12:38.170
<v Speaker 2>I know we try not to overreact to this stuff

0:12:38.200 --> 0:12:40.700
<v Speaker 2>because it's such a small sample through a couple weeks.

0:12:40.760 --> 0:12:43.679
<v Speaker 2>But other than that Jaguars game, I mean, they look

0:12:43.700 --> 0:12:45.800
<v Speaker 2>good against the Bucs too. And we said that's a

0:12:45.840 --> 0:12:49.300
<v Speaker 2>lot on Baker. It was, but they still made the plays.

0:12:49.920 --> 0:12:52.530
<v Speaker 2>It hasn't been noticeable the difference without Miles Garrett. To me,

0:12:52.540 --> 0:12:54.280
<v Speaker 2>that's the biggest thing I've looked for in this Browns

0:12:54.300 --> 0:12:56.560
<v Speaker 2>team where it's like you thought they would have no

0:12:56.620 --> 0:12:58.920
<v Speaker 2>pass rush. They would get little pressure. They've been pretty

0:12:58.960 --> 0:13:01.760
<v Speaker 2>good at getting after the quarterbacks. We are through three weeks, so.

0:13:02.570 --> 0:13:05.490
<v Speaker 2>Aaron Rodgers coming off his best game in two, three years.

0:13:05.510 --> 0:13:07.610
<v Speaker 2>I mean, he looked incredible. I get why the public

0:13:07.650 --> 0:13:10.109
<v Speaker 2>is hammering them and believe in the Steelers team, but

0:13:10.970 --> 0:13:12.530
<v Speaker 2>I'll just take the points here with the Browns and

0:13:12.580 --> 0:13:14.480
<v Speaker 2>just hope this trend continues on the Browns success on

0:13:14.500 --> 0:13:15.030
<v Speaker 2>Thursday night.

0:13:15.980 --> 0:13:18.960
<v Speaker 3>Same and the under, under 38 and a half. All right.

0:13:20.120 --> 0:13:25.360
<v Speaker 1>The Rams at Philly, the lines at three, it's trading

0:13:25.420 --> 0:13:28.979
<v Speaker 1>at three and a half on the prediction markets. So

0:13:29.200 --> 0:13:33.830
<v Speaker 1>clearly there has been money moving this in the, Ram's direction.

0:13:33.870 --> 0:13:38.930
<v Speaker 1>This was Simon Says. I'm curious to hear about the

0:13:39.990 --> 0:13:43.990
<v Speaker 1>professional sides that you've been talking to because we both

0:13:44.050 --> 0:13:47.290
<v Speaker 1>like this on Tuesday because of the spot for the Eagles.

0:13:48.250 --> 0:13:51.290
<v Speaker 1>You want to be an underdog coming off of a

0:13:51.330 --> 0:13:53.430
<v Speaker 1>bad game and you want to bet on that team.

0:13:53.740 --> 0:13:56.410
<v Speaker 1>That's an against the spread winner. You want to fade

0:13:56.429 --> 0:14:00.340
<v Speaker 1>the public. That's an historic winner. So to me, I'm

0:14:00.380 --> 0:14:04.970
<v Speaker 1>surprised to hear people coming in hard on the Rams

0:14:06.150 --> 0:14:09.500
<v Speaker 1>when it seems like the perceived value should be on

0:14:09.510 --> 0:14:11.959
<v Speaker 1>the Eagles, just playing the number in the spot.

0:14:14.520 --> 0:14:18.540
<v Speaker 2>Yeah. And I think it's very telling that, um, I

0:14:18.580 --> 0:14:20.640
<v Speaker 2>thought this was going to be a slam dunk professional

0:14:20.700 --> 0:14:24.900
<v Speaker 2>side this week where the Eagles Jalen hurts. He's six

0:14:24.940 --> 0:14:27.180
<v Speaker 2>and six and oh, his last six as a dog.

0:14:27.850 --> 0:14:29.910
<v Speaker 2>Like he just, he's a covering machine. The rare chance

0:14:29.930 --> 0:14:32.290
<v Speaker 2>you get as a dog now at home, I mean,

0:14:32.310 --> 0:14:34.950
<v Speaker 2>we've talked about his home record. He's like 13-0 straight

0:14:35.010 --> 0:14:37.530
<v Speaker 2>up at home. He just hurts his not lose at home.

0:14:38.170 --> 0:14:41.250
<v Speaker 2>And I gave this tattoo. He's never lost to McVeigh.

0:14:41.410 --> 0:14:44.330
<v Speaker 2>He's 4-0 against McVeigh, 3-0 against him in Stafford. So

0:14:45.250 --> 0:14:48.110
<v Speaker 2>all this stuff points to it. I think the Zach

0:14:48.150 --> 0:14:51.690
<v Speaker 2>Vaughn injury, he's got a concussion. He's in concussion protocol.

0:14:52.290 --> 0:14:54.690
<v Speaker 2>To most pros I talk to, that's the biggest one

0:14:54.730 --> 0:14:57.510
<v Speaker 2>because he's the difference maker in this matchup where you're

0:14:57.530 --> 0:15:00.720
<v Speaker 2>going to need him to play and cover these tight ends.

0:15:00.740 --> 0:15:03.510
<v Speaker 2>I mean, we've seen what The Rams want to run

0:15:03.530 --> 0:15:05.510
<v Speaker 2>through their offense, right? They want to have two tight ends,

0:15:05.930 --> 0:15:09.330
<v Speaker 2>sometimes three on the field. John Campbell, I mean, these

0:15:09.350 --> 0:15:13.370
<v Speaker 2>stats are glaring. We give tons of love to Howie.

0:15:14.390 --> 0:15:17.500
<v Speaker 2>Right now, Howie has a big miss where he let

0:15:17.510 --> 0:15:20.020
<v Speaker 2>N'Kobi Dean walk, which I've talked about. He's gone to

0:15:20.040 --> 0:15:23.320
<v Speaker 2>the Raiders, and he looks like a top three, top

0:15:23.380 --> 0:15:26.520
<v Speaker 2>four linebacker right now in football. Tackling, all of it,

0:15:26.540 --> 0:15:29.280
<v Speaker 2>making just incredible plays right now for the Raiders. The

0:15:29.300 --> 0:15:33.730
<v Speaker 2>flip side, John Campbell looks lost. And when you dive

0:15:33.750 --> 0:15:37.550
<v Speaker 2>into his numbers this season, he's basically allowed 140 passer rating,

0:15:37.790 --> 0:15:40.750
<v Speaker 2>which is probably one of the worst at all the linebackers.

0:15:40.750 --> 0:15:43.710
<v Speaker 2>10 of 12 completions, 128 yards and a touchdown is

0:15:43.730 --> 0:15:47.170
<v Speaker 2>what he's given up right now in coverage. That's not sustainable.

0:15:47.310 --> 0:15:51.270
<v Speaker 2>That's literally a guy that should be benched, but they

0:15:51.330 --> 0:15:54.320
<v Speaker 2>really can't because they have so much equity drafted into them. Right.

0:15:54.580 --> 0:15:57.470
<v Speaker 2>The first round pick. trotter might play in this game

0:15:57.690 --> 0:15:59.460
<v Speaker 2>which i think is a big deal for bond like

0:15:59.480 --> 0:16:01.200
<v Speaker 2>i think this guy is a really good linebacker he

0:16:01.220 --> 0:16:04.600
<v Speaker 2>probably should be playing over jod so maybe it's not

0:16:04.720 --> 0:16:07.840
<v Speaker 2>that big of a deal but you're asking campbell now

0:16:07.860 --> 0:16:10.520
<v Speaker 2>to be in coverage once again against these tight ends

0:16:10.560 --> 0:16:13.380
<v Speaker 2>who just look great for the range so that's probably

0:16:13.420 --> 0:16:15.380
<v Speaker 2>the biggest thing that's brought up to me about this

0:16:15.460 --> 0:16:17.440
<v Speaker 2>matchup where it's like i think you're really overlooking the

0:16:17.480 --> 0:16:19.900
<v Speaker 2>fact that campbell now is going to green dot he's

0:16:19.920 --> 0:16:21.450
<v Speaker 2>going to be calling all the plays that bonds out

0:16:21.760 --> 0:16:24.850
<v Speaker 2>and you know say what you want about zack one

0:16:25.130 --> 0:16:28.040
<v Speaker 2>he won player defensive player of the week i think

0:16:28.070 --> 0:16:30.990
<v Speaker 2>two weeks ago like this is you could say the

0:16:31.170 --> 0:16:33.450
<v Speaker 2>the best player on the sequels defense that's struggling right

0:16:33.470 --> 0:16:36.330
<v Speaker 2>now so it's tough right like this felt like a

0:16:36.350 --> 0:16:38.830
<v Speaker 2>slam dunk especially polymark like i gave it out it's

0:16:38.870 --> 0:16:41.900
<v Speaker 2>three and a half like i couldn't believe you were

0:16:41.920 --> 0:16:43.960
<v Speaker 2>getting that number in this matchup where yeah the ramps

0:16:43.980 --> 0:16:45.420
<v Speaker 2>could win but it won't be my winning a field

0:16:45.440 --> 0:16:48.480
<v Speaker 2>goal so i'll still stay dug in but anyone out

0:16:48.520 --> 0:16:50.240
<v Speaker 2>there i get it if you've already taken position on

0:16:50.280 --> 0:16:52.170
<v Speaker 2>ramps two and a half if your contest is two

0:16:52.210 --> 0:16:54.880
<v Speaker 2>and a half on ramps I'm not– I would have

0:16:54.920 --> 0:16:56.490
<v Speaker 2>gave you a really hard time about betting it. Now

0:16:56.550 --> 0:17:00.210
<v Speaker 2>I won't just because if Zach Vaughn is out and

0:17:00.230 --> 0:17:02.830
<v Speaker 2>I can't reinstate how big of a deal that is,

0:17:03.590 --> 0:17:06.090
<v Speaker 2>the Rams, yeah, with Puka back, this could be a

0:17:06.190 --> 0:17:08.639
<v Speaker 2>long day for an Eagles team. I've given out the

0:17:08.660 --> 0:17:10.340
<v Speaker 2>numbers defensively. They're one of the worst teams right now

0:17:10.359 --> 0:17:13.419
<v Speaker 2>in football. So I get it. I wish I came

0:17:13.440 --> 0:17:14.879
<v Speaker 2>here and just slammed the table because it's such a

0:17:14.960 --> 0:17:17.800
<v Speaker 2>great spot for the Eagles. But if the injuries are

0:17:17.820 --> 0:17:20.109
<v Speaker 2>hitting the Eagles like they are right now, it actually

0:17:20.210 --> 0:17:21.889
<v Speaker 2>could turn into a nightmare defensively for them.

0:17:24.619 --> 0:17:26.350
<v Speaker 3>I am so shocked by this development.

0:17:28.730 --> 0:17:31.510
<v Speaker 1>The bone injury, maybe that's what's moving the needle here,

0:17:31.570 --> 0:17:36.540
<v Speaker 1>but this to me just feels like, come on, the

0:17:36.619 --> 0:17:38.760
<v Speaker 1>Eagles are the spot. Sometimes you're playing the spot. We're

0:17:38.780 --> 0:17:40.520
<v Speaker 1>going to talk about this with the Chiefs and the

0:17:40.560 --> 0:17:44.140
<v Speaker 1>Raiders too. Sometimes you are playing the spot and this

0:17:44.780 --> 0:17:47.750
<v Speaker 1>needs to be a get right, get healthy spot for

0:17:47.770 --> 0:17:49.930
<v Speaker 1>the Eagles. Sure, the Rams need to be there too,

0:17:50.470 --> 0:17:53.090
<v Speaker 1>but I'm not saying the Rams need to, the Eagles

0:17:53.109 --> 0:17:54.590
<v Speaker 1>need to win this game, but if you're getting three

0:17:54.650 --> 0:17:57.790
<v Speaker 1>points for a team of this caliber that we think.

0:17:57.670 --> 0:18:00.080
<v Speaker 3>Could go to the Super Bowl and they're at home,

0:18:02.940 --> 0:18:04.679
<v Speaker 3>I don't know, man. I don't know.

0:18:05.280 --> 0:18:08.320
<v Speaker 2>I agree. If it's three and a half Sunday morning, Chad,

0:18:08.340 --> 0:18:10.080
<v Speaker 2>we're going to have a really, I don't know how

0:18:10.100 --> 0:18:12.060
<v Speaker 2>we pass on that number.

0:18:12.119 --> 0:18:13.640
<v Speaker 1>I don't think we're going to have a hard time.

0:18:14.600 --> 0:18:16.510
<v Speaker 1>I think we're going to want to put it in

0:18:16.670 --> 0:18:20.330
<v Speaker 1>at three and a half. I hope we have that opportunity.

0:18:21.180 --> 0:18:24.180
<v Speaker 1>Green Bay at Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay is a three

0:18:24.200 --> 0:18:27.940
<v Speaker 1>and a half point underdog at home. This has moved

0:18:28.040 --> 0:18:32.379
<v Speaker 1>down from four on Tuesday. What's surprising to me is

0:18:32.420 --> 0:18:36.500
<v Speaker 1>the massive amount of tickets coming in on the Bucks.

0:18:36.580 --> 0:18:39.050
<v Speaker 3>Well north, it was at, let me just see what

0:18:39.109 --> 0:18:39.650
<v Speaker 3>it says here.

0:18:39.670 --> 0:18:47.010
<v Speaker 1>I think it's about 50, 50%. So it was at 52% yesterday.

0:18:47.070 --> 0:18:49.610
<v Speaker 1>So a little bit of movement back to make it even.

0:18:51.210 --> 0:18:53.500
<v Speaker 1>do we think it's the public getting smarter? Is it

0:18:53.540 --> 0:18:58.399
<v Speaker 1>the public just hating the Packers before we came on

0:18:58.420 --> 0:19:00.679
<v Speaker 1>the show, Matt Mitchell and I were talking about the

0:19:01.000 --> 0:19:04.830
<v Speaker 1>sentiment in Wisconsin right now with the brewers about to

0:19:04.970 --> 0:19:07.850
<v Speaker 1>take on the Padres. And he's like, everyone is out

0:19:07.950 --> 0:19:10.090
<v Speaker 1>on the Packers earlier than I've ever seen in the

0:19:10.130 --> 0:19:10.850
<v Speaker 1>state of Wisconsin.

0:19:10.869 --> 0:19:15.290
<v Speaker 3>Matt lives in Milwaukee. I like, I wanted to bet

0:19:15.310 --> 0:19:16.129
<v Speaker 3>the bucks at four.

0:19:16.150 --> 0:19:21.890
<v Speaker 1>Um, I love Jalen Daniels, the quarterback from Kansas, undrafted.

0:19:23.070 --> 0:19:27.790
<v Speaker 1>He wants to be the thermostat, Simon, not the thermometer.

0:19:28.210 --> 0:19:29.550
<v Speaker 1>Matt Mitchell, play the clip.

0:19:29.910 --> 0:19:31.969
<v Speaker 4>One thing I learned in college was, you know, you

0:19:32.010 --> 0:19:33.690
<v Speaker 4>can't be a thermometer. You have to be the thermostat.

0:19:33.990 --> 0:19:35.490
<v Speaker 4>You have to be someone who comes in and is

0:19:35.550 --> 0:19:38.030
<v Speaker 4>able to set the temperature of the room, not test

0:19:38.050 --> 0:19:39.310
<v Speaker 4>the room and try to be able to blend in

0:19:39.330 --> 0:19:41.129
<v Speaker 4>with it. So if the team is low, I have

0:19:41.150 --> 0:19:42.369
<v Speaker 4>to be able to pick it up to be able

0:19:42.390 --> 0:19:43.970
<v Speaker 4>to make sure that they're even. And if we're high,

0:19:43.990 --> 0:19:44.909
<v Speaker 4>then I have to be able to be low to

0:19:44.930 --> 0:19:46.110
<v Speaker 4>be able to make sure that we even. I try

0:19:46.130 --> 0:19:48.240
<v Speaker 4>to be even kill as possible, and the team around

0:19:48.260 --> 0:19:48.699
<v Speaker 4>you feels that.

0:19:51.060 --> 0:19:54.380
<v Speaker 3>Love his confidence. Love his attitude. Love this guy.

0:19:55.680 --> 0:19:57.200
<v Speaker 2>I know I'm the slowest talk in the world, but

0:19:57.660 --> 0:19:59.500
<v Speaker 2>would people rather me talk like him? He is the

0:19:59.540 --> 0:20:00.860
<v Speaker 2>fastest talker I've heard in a while.

0:20:01.000 --> 0:20:02.940
<v Speaker 3>My God, he is going to be fast to get

0:20:02.960 --> 0:20:03.939
<v Speaker 3>those calls out.

0:20:04.420 --> 0:20:07.609
<v Speaker 2>No, he's excited, man. He is excited. Uh, Yeah, like

0:20:07.630 --> 0:20:09.409
<v Speaker 2>we joked, the W you know, the W you don't know.

0:20:09.470 --> 0:20:12.090
<v Speaker 2>Some people just, they like the scenario. I mean, the

0:20:12.150 --> 0:20:14.810
<v Speaker 2>trend we've talked about, these 0-3 trends, these teams that

0:20:15.010 --> 0:20:17.369
<v Speaker 2>are 0-3, playing a team with at least one win,

0:20:17.869 --> 0:20:21.070
<v Speaker 2>everyone sees it, 65%. Like, it's just, if you blindly

0:20:21.130 --> 0:20:23.570
<v Speaker 2>bet the Bucs here, you know, there's a couple teams

0:20:23.590 --> 0:20:26.070
<v Speaker 2>that fit that bill this week. That's, for the general public,

0:20:26.090 --> 0:20:27.909
<v Speaker 2>that's what they're looking at, right? They're seeing these trends

0:20:27.950 --> 0:20:30.750
<v Speaker 2>people are putting out there. It's an easy bet. You're

0:20:30.770 --> 0:20:32.670
<v Speaker 2>getting plus three and a half against what we talked about,

0:20:32.690 --> 0:20:36.070
<v Speaker 2>a Packers team that, you know, As much as their

0:20:36.109 --> 0:20:37.909
<v Speaker 2>fans were in denial in the summer, right? When I

0:20:37.950 --> 0:20:39.090
<v Speaker 2>came on your side, they might have one of the

0:20:39.109 --> 0:20:43.030
<v Speaker 2>worst offensive lines, a bad defense. You couldn't be in denial, right?

0:20:43.070 --> 0:20:46.230
<v Speaker 2>That was before your best offensive tackle got hurt, right?

0:20:46.880 --> 0:20:48.690
<v Speaker 2>There's things to latch on to. You'd be like, well,

0:20:48.710 --> 0:20:51.619
<v Speaker 2>we have great safeties if you're believing your defense. And

0:20:52.000 --> 0:20:53.480
<v Speaker 2>Van Ness is going to take that next step, which

0:20:53.540 --> 0:20:55.760
<v Speaker 2>is true. Van Ness has looked better. But you just

0:20:55.780 --> 0:20:58.400
<v Speaker 2>see their defense overall, especially against Atlanta, they just can

0:20:58.440 --> 0:21:00.580
<v Speaker 2>never stop the run. If you can't stop the run,

0:21:00.600 --> 0:21:02.820
<v Speaker 2>eventually you're never going to be able to stop the pass, right?

0:21:02.980 --> 0:21:04.320
<v Speaker 2>And the guys are just going to get heavy legs.

0:21:04.880 --> 0:21:07.939
<v Speaker 2>green bay defense i can see how the bucks can

0:21:07.980 --> 0:21:09.439
<v Speaker 2>move it on them right and he's talking they have

0:21:09.460 --> 0:21:11.359
<v Speaker 2>a mobile quarterback now in the bucks like they're going

0:21:11.380 --> 0:21:14.600
<v Speaker 2>to scheme up some type of plays and we've talked

0:21:14.619 --> 0:21:19.620
<v Speaker 2>about like this baker's had guys open he's missed throws

0:21:19.750 --> 0:21:21.669
<v Speaker 2>and even baker would admit that he's missed throws that

0:21:21.690 --> 0:21:23.990
<v Speaker 2>he usually should make and you know they still have

0:21:24.030 --> 0:21:26.850
<v Speaker 2>great weapons on the outside like gowan emeka buka like

0:21:26.890 --> 0:21:30.150
<v Speaker 2>these are still great weapons bucky irvin's been really good

0:21:30.170 --> 0:21:32.570
<v Speaker 2>this year too so i can see what the public's

0:21:32.609 --> 0:21:35.810
<v Speaker 2>betting here honestly but um Yeah, another game maybe we're

0:21:35.869 --> 0:21:39.149
<v Speaker 2>just missing. I'm still tempted to take Green Bay where

0:21:39.210 --> 0:21:42.840
<v Speaker 2>it's just as bad as it's looked, I still have

0:21:42.940 --> 0:21:44.879
<v Speaker 2>much more faith in their offense moving the ball and

0:21:44.900 --> 0:21:47.200
<v Speaker 2>scoring points on this Bucs defense than I do an

0:21:48.160 --> 0:21:53.890
<v Speaker 2>undrafted first-time starter quarterback. It's just either can go either way.

0:21:54.109 --> 0:21:55.930
<v Speaker 2>This Bucs team could come out and this guy could

0:21:55.990 --> 0:21:59.090
<v Speaker 2>be incredible, hair on fire. They can't catch him. He's

0:21:59.109 --> 0:22:02.050
<v Speaker 2>just super fast, super athletic. We have no idea. I

0:22:02.830 --> 0:22:05.600
<v Speaker 2>try to go back and watch his tape from this summer.

0:22:05.619 --> 0:22:08.140
<v Speaker 2>I mean, he looked good, but it's like, he's praying

0:22:08.160 --> 0:22:10.570
<v Speaker 2>against guys that aren't on anyone's rosters. It's just so

0:22:10.609 --> 0:22:14.389
<v Speaker 2>hard to grasp these backup quarterbacks. So I'm happy if

0:22:14.410 --> 0:22:16.530
<v Speaker 2>we avoid it. Like I gave out that stat, like

0:22:16.550 --> 0:22:18.770
<v Speaker 2>someone's got to cover this one, but man, these two

0:22:18.810 --> 0:22:21.340
<v Speaker 2>teams have just been absolutely awful. And just either side

0:22:21.359 --> 0:22:23.340
<v Speaker 2>you bet, I think you're going to be disappointed.

0:22:24.760 --> 0:22:28.240
<v Speaker 1>The teams that you mentioned in the spot where we

0:22:28.280 --> 0:22:32.700
<v Speaker 1>will be betting some of them, the Owen three teams,

0:22:33.750 --> 0:22:38.149
<v Speaker 1>the Bucs, the Texans, the Chargers, Miami.

0:22:41.480 --> 0:22:44.680
<v Speaker 3>I'm personally going to play the Bucs.

0:22:45.200 --> 0:22:47.020
<v Speaker 1>We can leave it out of the contest for sure,

0:22:48.580 --> 0:22:51.639
<v Speaker 1>but this just feels like too much fun. I'm not

0:22:51.660 --> 0:22:55.330
<v Speaker 1>going to play it for a whole unit even, but

0:22:55.380 --> 0:22:57.190
<v Speaker 1>I do want a rooting interest on this game.

0:22:57.250 --> 0:22:59.450
<v Speaker 3>I want to root for this kid. I like this spot.

0:23:01.170 --> 0:23:02.830
<v Speaker 1>I'm as out on the Packers as the rest of

0:23:02.869 --> 0:23:07.620
<v Speaker 1>Wisconsin until their offensive line improves. They're signing guys off

0:23:07.640 --> 0:23:10.619
<v Speaker 1>the street. It's just everything is going wrong for them

0:23:10.680 --> 0:23:14.119
<v Speaker 1>right now. I'm okay betting on a team in a

0:23:14.180 --> 0:23:17.280
<v Speaker 1>spot like this, which is what the Bucs are in

0:23:17.540 --> 0:23:20.200
<v Speaker 1>as a winless team at home as a dog.

0:23:20.960 --> 0:23:25.369
<v Speaker 3>So I have no fear, Simon, no fear. It is

0:23:25.400 --> 0:23:27.179
<v Speaker 3>time for.

0:23:27.810 --> 0:23:33.609
<v Speaker 1>Our Brass Balls Trade of the Week, presented by Polymarket.

0:23:34.330 --> 0:23:38.399
<v Speaker 1>It is the Denver Broncos trading at 2.5, currently at 48%

0:23:38.400 --> 0:23:45.860
<v Speaker 1>on Polymarket, visiting the San Francisco 49ers. You know what

0:23:45.920 --> 0:23:46.300
<v Speaker 1>it takes?

0:23:47.000 --> 0:23:48.540
<v Speaker 2>It takes brass balls.

0:23:52.300 --> 0:23:56.840
<v Speaker 1>We've got what they call in the business a reverse

0:23:57.240 --> 0:24:01.860
<v Speaker 1>line move. which is indicated by the majority of tickets

0:24:02.920 --> 0:24:05.619
<v Speaker 1>coming in on one side, but the money is moving

0:24:05.660 --> 0:24:08.820
<v Speaker 1>the line in the other direction. So as you noted

0:24:08.880 --> 0:24:11.480
<v Speaker 1>in sharp calls, the pros are on Denver. The game

0:24:11.520 --> 0:24:14.659
<v Speaker 1>was three San Francisco minus three majority of ticks are

0:24:14.740 --> 0:24:16.140
<v Speaker 1>on tickets are on San Francisco.

0:24:16.640 --> 0:24:18.340
<v Speaker 3>The line has moved to two and a half.

0:24:21.359 --> 0:24:22.959
<v Speaker 2>Yeah. I was really hoping this would go the other way.

0:24:22.980 --> 0:24:25.510
<v Speaker 2>I was like, Oh man, I like the public, the pros,

0:24:25.550 --> 0:24:28.070
<v Speaker 2>they might line up here on, this 49ers team who

0:24:28.109 --> 0:24:30.350
<v Speaker 2>has looked great obviously through three weeks and we'll get

0:24:30.390 --> 0:24:33.030
<v Speaker 2>to three and a half, but fortunately the pros did

0:24:33.070 --> 0:24:34.730
<v Speaker 2>come in since we did our last show. And I,

0:24:34.890 --> 0:24:37.990
<v Speaker 2>I mean, it makes sense, right? Probably market giving us

0:24:38.030 --> 0:24:39.550
<v Speaker 2>three and a half. That would have been a real gift,

0:24:39.650 --> 0:24:41.169
<v Speaker 2>but then being back down to two and a half

0:24:41.190 --> 0:24:44.230
<v Speaker 2>just makes sense. It's just, it's going to be all

0:24:44.290 --> 0:24:46.469
<v Speaker 2>professional money on this Broncos side, in my opinion, like

0:24:46.510 --> 0:24:49.390
<v Speaker 2>the 49ers could be great. This is a great prove

0:24:49.430 --> 0:24:51.650
<v Speaker 2>a game, but you're going to have no pass rush

0:24:51.670 --> 0:24:55.020
<v Speaker 2>against a mobile quarterback. Like there's just, The injuries, as

0:24:55.060 --> 0:24:56.919
<v Speaker 2>great as Fred Warner is, he only could cover up

0:24:56.980 --> 0:24:59.900
<v Speaker 2>so much. You can't lose a guy like Nick Bosa

0:25:00.650 --> 0:25:02.510
<v Speaker 2>and other pieces you had on the front line and

0:25:02.550 --> 0:25:05.770
<v Speaker 2>just expect to keep winning games. You saw Bursette that

0:25:05.830 --> 0:25:07.350
<v Speaker 2>second half. He was able to pass as much as

0:25:07.369 --> 0:25:10.109
<v Speaker 2>he won Arizona against that 49ers team. It feels a

0:25:10.109 --> 0:25:12.810
<v Speaker 2>little bit the same. We know the deal. This Broncos

0:25:12.830 --> 0:25:14.889
<v Speaker 2>team seems to come out slow. I've told people, if

0:25:14.910 --> 0:25:17.300
<v Speaker 2>you want to take a position on the 49ers, maybe

0:25:17.340 --> 0:25:19.659
<v Speaker 2>do it first half if you want to, but I

0:25:19.700 --> 0:25:21.920
<v Speaker 2>could just see the Broncos dominating this game wire to wire.

0:25:21.940 --> 0:25:25.810
<v Speaker 2>Purdy Can he step up and keep playing MVP level?

0:25:25.830 --> 0:25:27.130
<v Speaker 2>That's what you're going to need. And this is going

0:25:27.150 --> 0:25:29.010
<v Speaker 2>to be by far the best defense he's played all year.

0:25:29.050 --> 0:25:32.909
<v Speaker 2>So really interesting matchup-wise. And I talked a little bit

0:25:32.930 --> 0:25:34.909
<v Speaker 2>about it. I just think the Broncos, we've seen it

0:25:34.930 --> 0:25:37.930
<v Speaker 2>through three weeks, feel like a truly battle-tested team right

0:25:37.950 --> 0:25:40.369
<v Speaker 2>now where the 49ers, I feel like they've gotten a

0:25:40.390 --> 0:25:43.389
<v Speaker 2>nice break schedule-wise and just feel a little inflated. Like

0:25:43.410 --> 0:25:45.280
<v Speaker 2>they're a good team this year, no doubt. 49ers are

0:25:45.300 --> 0:25:47.320
<v Speaker 2>a good team. If they were healthy, they'd be a

0:25:47.359 --> 0:25:49.500
<v Speaker 2>great team. And I feel like right now they're not healthy.

0:25:49.540 --> 0:25:52.520
<v Speaker 2>So they're just a good team. They're facing absolute juggernaut

0:25:52.540 --> 0:25:53.260
<v Speaker 2>here in the Broncos.

0:25:54.530 --> 0:25:56.790
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, we don't know. Obviously, Nick Bosa's out.

0:25:57.869 --> 0:26:01.230
<v Speaker 1>Mike Evans, Trent Williams got dinged up. Expectations are that

0:26:01.270 --> 0:26:03.070
<v Speaker 1>they'll play, but they still were coming off of a

0:26:03.109 --> 0:26:06.820
<v Speaker 1>stinger for Trent Williams and an undisclosed rib injury for

0:26:07.380 --> 0:26:11.560
<v Speaker 1>Mike Evans. This is entirely about a prove-it offensive game

0:26:11.580 --> 0:26:14.780
<v Speaker 1>for Brock Purdy, right? He is going against the best

0:26:14.820 --> 0:26:19.700
<v Speaker 1>defense that he will have faced this year. A great

0:26:19.760 --> 0:26:24.720
<v Speaker 1>opportunity for the Broncos to build momentum off of that

0:26:24.760 --> 0:26:27.780
<v Speaker 1>game against the Rams. Maybe they unlock something in the

0:26:27.820 --> 0:26:32.180
<v Speaker 1>play calling against the Rams, especially without Nick Bosa playing.

0:26:32.200 --> 0:26:35.520
<v Speaker 1>And there's other defensive line injuries. It sucks that we're

0:26:35.560 --> 0:26:37.100
<v Speaker 1>not getting the three. We're not going to get the

0:26:37.160 --> 0:26:39.600
<v Speaker 1>three in the contest. I don't see this going back

0:26:39.640 --> 0:26:43.020
<v Speaker 1>down or going back up. But yeah, I think the

0:26:43.060 --> 0:26:45.119
<v Speaker 1>Broncos are the side. Broncos are probably going to be

0:26:45.140 --> 0:26:49.400
<v Speaker 1>in our money line parlay, underdog money line parlay too.

0:26:49.540 --> 0:26:51.700
<v Speaker 3>So that is our brass balls.

0:26:52.150 --> 0:26:56.830
<v Speaker 1>Trade of the week, the Denver Broncos trading at Polymarket

0:26:56.869 --> 0:27:02.070
<v Speaker 1>plus two and a half, 48%. I need to tell

0:27:02.130 --> 0:27:08.060
<v Speaker 1>you all about this new prediction market called Polymarket. It's

0:27:08.100 --> 0:27:10.700
<v Speaker 1>the best new way to trade in sports in the past.

0:27:11.200 --> 0:27:13.020
<v Speaker 1>If you wanted action on the game, you'd put some

0:27:13.040 --> 0:27:14.940
<v Speaker 1>money in. And if your team was doing well and

0:27:14.960 --> 0:27:17.699
<v Speaker 1>you wanted to cash out, they'd lock the trade or

0:27:17.740 --> 0:27:21.109
<v Speaker 1>take a huge fee. But Polymarket is a prediction market,

0:27:21.170 --> 0:27:24.189
<v Speaker 1>a stock exchange for sports where you can buy and

0:27:24.230 --> 0:27:26.680
<v Speaker 1>sell on your teams. I've tried them all. And Polymarket

0:27:26.720 --> 0:27:30.580
<v Speaker 1>is simply the best prediction market. They're so confident you'll

0:27:30.640 --> 0:27:32.580
<v Speaker 1>never go back to the other guys. They're giving you

0:27:32.619 --> 0:27:36.040
<v Speaker 1>a free $ 25 on your first trade when you deposit

0:27:36.060 --> 0:27:39.699
<v Speaker 1>just $ 10. And now they've launched a new feature, Squads,

0:27:40.570 --> 0:27:42.570
<v Speaker 1>a group chat where you can see what everyone is

0:27:42.609 --> 0:27:45.790
<v Speaker 1>trading on. Check the link in the description to join

0:27:45.830 --> 0:27:48.980
<v Speaker 1>my squad today and sweatpicks together every Sunday. in the

0:27:49.020 --> 0:27:53.400
<v Speaker 1>Polymarket app. So download the Polymarket app today and use

0:27:53.980 --> 0:27:58.240
<v Speaker 1>Sharp when you sign up. That's Sharp to get $ 25

0:27:57.460 --> 0:28:02.500
<v Speaker 1>free after you deposit just $ 10. Jacksonville, plus two and

0:28:02.520 --> 0:28:06.780
<v Speaker 1>a half at Cincinnati. Simon, just based on the past week,

0:28:07.220 --> 0:28:09.899
<v Speaker 1>the Jags dominating the Pats, the Bengals losing to the Steelers.

0:28:10.619 --> 0:28:15.550
<v Speaker 1>This to me was another fade the public game because

0:28:18.070 --> 0:28:23.590
<v Speaker 1>The flukiness in these games is never reflected in the

0:28:23.650 --> 0:28:26.109
<v Speaker 1>market's point of view or in sort of the standard

0:28:26.730 --> 0:28:30.379
<v Speaker 1>box scores, which is why nearly 60% of the tickets

0:28:30.410 --> 0:28:34.060
<v Speaker 1>are on the Jags. And this line basically hasn't budged

0:28:34.119 --> 0:28:37.920
<v Speaker 1>from two and a half. It's kind of being suppressed

0:28:37.980 --> 0:28:40.800
<v Speaker 1>a little bit by the money coming in on the Bengals.

0:28:40.860 --> 0:28:43.100
<v Speaker 1>I think it will get to three. It's still two

0:28:43.140 --> 0:28:46.390
<v Speaker 1>and a half. I still like Cincinnati. Minus two and

0:28:46.410 --> 0:28:46.550
<v Speaker 1>a half.

0:28:48.910 --> 0:28:51.090
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, another game I was shocked, though. I thought more

0:28:51.150 --> 0:28:53.150
<v Speaker 2>pros would be all over the Bengals with us, and

0:28:53.190 --> 0:28:56.120
<v Speaker 2>it's another game that's very split. Not so much split

0:28:56.140 --> 0:28:57.900
<v Speaker 2>where it's like, dude, you're making a huge mistake like

0:28:57.920 --> 0:29:00.240
<v Speaker 2>people are saying we are with the Raiders, but a

0:29:00.720 --> 0:29:03.660
<v Speaker 2>split nonetheless where it's like you're getting Joe under a

0:29:03.700 --> 0:29:05.760
<v Speaker 2>field goal at home after a loss, like I said,

0:29:05.780 --> 0:29:08.840
<v Speaker 2>that he puts on himself. And we talk all the time. Joe,

0:29:08.860 --> 0:29:10.800
<v Speaker 2>I didn't have him at my top. I think I

0:29:10.820 --> 0:29:12.310
<v Speaker 2>had him at number six, but we both view him

0:29:12.380 --> 0:29:14.990
<v Speaker 2>as a top five, top six type of quarterback.

0:29:15.030 --> 0:29:17.130
<v Speaker 3>I think I had him just behind Drake May.

0:29:18.540 --> 0:29:21.780
<v Speaker 2>He's a really good quarterback so it's like you just

0:29:21.820 --> 0:29:24.220
<v Speaker 2>have to believe him to bounce back and it's like

0:29:24.400 --> 0:29:26.300
<v Speaker 2>you know as much props that we're giving to the

0:29:26.340 --> 0:29:29.620
<v Speaker 2>jaguars like we've talked about it's it's a very small

0:29:29.660 --> 0:29:33.110
<v Speaker 2>sample we've seen them be dominant at home and struggle

0:29:33.170 --> 0:29:35.670
<v Speaker 2>on the road like that that broncos game going back

0:29:35.710 --> 0:29:39.110
<v Speaker 2>and watching it i did say it was a brian

0:29:39.120 --> 0:29:41.180
<v Speaker 2>Thomas game where he had some horrible drops and you

0:29:41.260 --> 0:29:43.360
<v Speaker 2>even saw this past week, like Trevor Lawrence didn't go

0:29:43.380 --> 0:29:45.100
<v Speaker 2>to him anywhere near as much. He had the week

0:29:45.120 --> 0:29:48.110
<v Speaker 2>before where it's like, even he was saying, if I'm

0:29:48.140 --> 0:29:49.870
<v Speaker 2>going down, it's gonna be a park of Washington. Like,

0:29:50.150 --> 0:29:51.670
<v Speaker 2>I don't care if it's third down now, I'm just

0:29:51.690 --> 0:29:53.990
<v Speaker 2>looking for my number one. I'm not messing around with these,

0:29:54.550 --> 0:29:56.550
<v Speaker 2>these guys who just have the yips. It looks like.

0:29:56.570 --> 0:29:59.810
<v Speaker 2>So yeah, Yeah, this one jumped out to me right

0:29:59.850 --> 0:30:03.490
<v Speaker 2>away of like, okay, it's under three. The fact that

0:30:03.510 --> 0:30:06.410
<v Speaker 2>the public and professional money is on the Jaguars, like

0:30:06.430 --> 0:30:08.680
<v Speaker 2>Chad said, it's not a bunch. If we came in

0:30:08.700 --> 0:30:11.440
<v Speaker 2>today and it was plus one and a half, it's like, okay,

0:30:12.100 --> 0:30:14.720
<v Speaker 2>maybe me and Chad are walking into it here. Maybe

0:30:15.000 --> 0:30:18.420
<v Speaker 2>the Jags are the right side, but I think professional

0:30:18.460 --> 0:30:19.700
<v Speaker 2>money will come and this will get back up to

0:30:19.740 --> 0:30:22.580
<v Speaker 2>minus three by Sunday. It just feels like this is

0:30:22.600 --> 0:30:24.140
<v Speaker 2>going to be the right side. The Brewers will come

0:30:24.220 --> 0:30:26.560
<v Speaker 2>on and I just expect a big bounce back, not

0:30:26.580 --> 0:30:28.740
<v Speaker 2>just from the Bengals' defense, but from Joe Burrow. This

0:30:28.760 --> 0:30:30.320
<v Speaker 2>just feels like the exact type of game where Joe

0:30:30.800 --> 0:30:33.630
<v Speaker 2>bounces back and wins these type of scenarios. We've seen

0:30:33.690 --> 0:30:36.290
<v Speaker 2>his stats play out where he does always struggle the

0:30:36.350 --> 0:30:39.530
<v Speaker 2>first two weeks where I know they went 2-0, but

0:30:39.630 --> 0:30:41.950
<v Speaker 2>if you looked at underlying stats, Joe wasn't really playing

0:30:42.410 --> 0:30:44.550
<v Speaker 2>to Joe's level. You saw a little bit of that

0:30:44.570 --> 0:30:47.180
<v Speaker 2>last week. He had a couple balls that were 50-50

0:30:47.460 --> 0:30:50.060
<v Speaker 2>balls that did go his way, but overall, you just

0:30:50.080 --> 0:30:51.800
<v Speaker 2>saw him be more confident and look more comfortable in

0:30:51.840 --> 0:30:54.680
<v Speaker 2>that offense, so I expect another week here against a

0:30:54.720 --> 0:30:59.540
<v Speaker 2>Jaguars team that, yes, defensively they look good. We've talked

0:30:59.560 --> 0:31:01.700
<v Speaker 2>about it. There's ways to attack this defense. They're not

0:31:02.160 --> 0:31:06.670
<v Speaker 2>some type of incredible juggernaut. So just looking at matchup scheme-wise,

0:31:06.810 --> 0:31:09.630
<v Speaker 2>I think we're getting a free half a point here

0:31:09.670 --> 0:31:12.250
<v Speaker 2>on this Bengals team. We have to take advantage of it.

0:31:12.350 --> 0:31:13.810
<v Speaker 2>You're getting Joe under a field goal here. I can't

0:31:13.830 --> 0:31:15.870
<v Speaker 2>say that enough. These are the exact type of games

0:31:15.910 --> 0:31:16.670
<v Speaker 2>Joe usually wins.

0:31:17.430 --> 0:31:21.750
<v Speaker 1>We are so far very aligned on a– On a

0:31:21.790 --> 0:31:25.030
<v Speaker 1>couple of games, Denver and Cincinnati for sure. I feel

0:31:25.050 --> 0:31:27.450
<v Speaker 1>like you're waffling a little bit on the Eagles, but

0:31:27.490 --> 0:31:31.970
<v Speaker 1>I'm still confident in the Eagles. The next game to discuss,

0:31:32.520 --> 0:31:37.800
<v Speaker 1>the Houston Texans hosting the Dallas Cowboys. This line has

0:31:37.840 --> 0:31:43.400
<v Speaker 1>moved up to three. This was Chad's choice when the

0:31:43.460 --> 0:31:45.620
<v Speaker 1>Texans were at two and a half. It opened at

0:31:45.720 --> 0:31:47.740
<v Speaker 1>one and a half, moved to two and a half.

0:31:48.120 --> 0:31:51.380
<v Speaker 1>In the last 24 hours, it's gotten to three. On

0:31:51.400 --> 0:31:53.700
<v Speaker 1>the prediction markets, it's trading at three and a half.

0:31:53.740 --> 0:31:57.560
<v Speaker 1>So that tells you that that's where the money is

0:31:57.620 --> 0:32:05.130
<v Speaker 1>consistently coming in. The Cowboys have since traded for Joey Porter.

0:32:06.710 --> 0:32:09.190
<v Speaker 1>No idea if that's going to have an impact. I

0:32:09.190 --> 0:32:10.730
<v Speaker 1>don't even know if he's going to play this weekend,

0:32:11.230 --> 0:32:14.320
<v Speaker 1>but this is one of those spots. We got a

0:32:14.710 --> 0:32:19.240
<v Speaker 1>home team, winless. They're playing a team that's already won.

0:32:20.490 --> 0:32:22.630
<v Speaker 1>But I think we're starting to see this Texans defense

0:32:23.170 --> 0:32:27.790
<v Speaker 1>get better and better. And this Cowboys defense, I don't

0:32:27.810 --> 0:32:29.790
<v Speaker 1>know who's going to be playing in the secondary, even

0:32:29.850 --> 0:32:33.770
<v Speaker 1>if Joey Porter can play, because they were just dropping

0:32:33.810 --> 0:32:37.030
<v Speaker 1>like flies against the Ravens. So we got to believe

0:32:37.110 --> 0:32:39.210
<v Speaker 1>in D'Amico Ryans. We got to believe in the Texans

0:32:39.730 --> 0:32:40.969
<v Speaker 1>covering at a short number at home.

0:32:42.780 --> 0:32:45.790
<v Speaker 2>I can't imagine being a Cowboys fan now because you're just–

0:32:46.230 --> 0:32:47.590
<v Speaker 2>It's the same way– not that I feel bad about

0:32:47.630 --> 0:32:50.030
<v Speaker 2>this country, but like having someone in power that's above

0:32:50.050 --> 0:32:53.390
<v Speaker 2>the age of 80, it's terrifying. Like this man is

0:32:53.430 --> 0:32:58.540
<v Speaker 2>just burning down their future for what? Like what is

0:32:58.600 --> 0:33:01.020
<v Speaker 2>he all in on right now with this Cowboys team?

0:33:01.040 --> 0:33:03.180
<v Speaker 2>Like sure, are they good because they won this division? Yeah,

0:33:03.220 --> 0:33:06.530
<v Speaker 2>but do you really– like I just can't imagine his

0:33:06.570 --> 0:33:08.730
<v Speaker 2>mind really thinking they're going to beat Seattle the Rams

0:33:09.050 --> 0:33:12.950
<v Speaker 2>in the playoffs. It's just– It's crazy at this point.

0:33:13.190 --> 0:33:15.150
<v Speaker 2>Pickens is a free agent after this year. The guy

0:33:15.170 --> 0:33:16.930
<v Speaker 2>that just traded for Porter is a free agent after

0:33:16.950 --> 0:33:19.170
<v Speaker 2>this year. Are they going to pay all these guys

0:33:19.190 --> 0:33:21.110
<v Speaker 2>that they just traded all this draft capital for? It's

0:33:22.060 --> 0:33:24.800
<v Speaker 2>bizarre what Jerry Jones is doing right now. But you

0:33:24.840 --> 0:33:26.440
<v Speaker 2>can't hate the move if you're a Cowboys fan. Your

0:33:26.460 --> 0:33:29.640
<v Speaker 2>whole secondary is banged up. So, yeah, bring this guy in. But,

0:33:29.660 --> 0:33:31.420
<v Speaker 2>I mean, how many times have we seen someone sit

0:33:31.460 --> 0:33:33.640
<v Speaker 2>out the first three, four weeks, come in and have

0:33:33.680 --> 0:33:37.330
<v Speaker 2>a hamstring injury? Like, it's just... It feels like it

0:33:37.370 --> 0:33:39.469
<v Speaker 2>never works out for guys who hold out, sit out,

0:33:39.490 --> 0:33:41.590
<v Speaker 2>and then come out and play. This guy's had no

0:33:41.650 --> 0:33:44.130
<v Speaker 2>physical contact. Who knows if he's even tackled to the

0:33:44.170 --> 0:33:48.110
<v Speaker 2>ground in a year? Since their last game of last season,

0:33:48.230 --> 0:33:50.750
<v Speaker 2>who knows what he's done in camp with Pittsburgh because

0:33:50.770 --> 0:33:52.890
<v Speaker 2>he was trying to get paid. He was not going

0:33:52.910 --> 0:33:55.630
<v Speaker 2>to risk getting hurt and not getting paid. Now he's

0:33:55.670 --> 0:33:59.150
<v Speaker 2>on a new team, still not paid. They didn't give

0:33:59.170 --> 0:34:03.320
<v Speaker 2>him a new contract, which I'd be terrified if I

0:34:03.340 --> 0:34:05.160
<v Speaker 2>was a Cowboys fan. You just have an owner that

0:34:05.180 --> 0:34:08.070
<v Speaker 2>just feels like, They're going a little senile doing some

0:34:08.110 --> 0:34:10.430
<v Speaker 2>crazy stuff because they want to win right now, which

0:34:11.110 --> 0:34:13.149
<v Speaker 2>has that ever worked out from anybody? I mean, go

0:34:13.330 --> 0:34:17.310
<v Speaker 2>ask the Colts about trading for a sauce garter. It

0:34:17.360 --> 0:34:19.719
<v Speaker 2>just doesn't– this league, it does not work that way.

0:34:19.840 --> 0:34:24.160
<v Speaker 2>It really, really does not work that way. It's so rare. So, yeah,

0:34:24.239 --> 0:34:25.940
<v Speaker 2>I'm happy to see it going up, Jack, because this

0:34:25.960 --> 0:34:28.440
<v Speaker 2>is another game where it just felt– we talked Sunday night.

0:34:28.480 --> 0:34:32.060
<v Speaker 2>It felt too easy. It really did. It's like we're

0:34:32.100 --> 0:34:37.120
<v Speaker 2>getting an 0-3 team at home. total back against the

0:34:37.140 --> 0:34:41.200
<v Speaker 2>wall against a team coming back from international game, an

0:34:41.260 --> 0:34:45.069
<v Speaker 2>embarrassing loss. Like, yeah, can this, can Dak lead these

0:34:45.090 --> 0:34:47.390
<v Speaker 2>guys that bounce back? Like that would give me a

0:34:47.410 --> 0:34:49.410
<v Speaker 2>ton of respect to them and them going forward this season,

0:34:49.430 --> 0:34:51.989
<v Speaker 2>the Cowboys, because this is like the worst spike could

0:34:52.010 --> 0:34:56.009
<v Speaker 2>possibly be. Just couldn't, couldn't have been worse vibes. Maybe

0:34:56.050 --> 0:34:58.770
<v Speaker 2>they have, you know, great practice this week, but how

0:34:58.790 --> 0:35:00.690
<v Speaker 2>do you have any confidence in your head coach right now?

0:35:01.230 --> 0:35:04.109
<v Speaker 2>Like even Shiner openly admitted he blew that game under

0:35:04.130 --> 0:35:07.490
<v Speaker 2>the game. It just feels so bad. Such a turning

0:35:07.550 --> 0:35:11.279
<v Speaker 2>point type of game for Cowboys. Flipside Texans, this is

0:35:11.320 --> 0:35:13.680
<v Speaker 2>to save your season. And you have a coach here that,

0:35:14.420 --> 0:35:15.959
<v Speaker 2>how can you not see he's playing for his job

0:35:16.000 --> 0:35:19.359
<v Speaker 2>right now? Like you've had back-to-back years starting 0-3. He

0:35:19.380 --> 0:35:21.239
<v Speaker 2>turned around last year and went to the playoffs, won

0:35:21.280 --> 0:35:25.549
<v Speaker 2>a playoff game. So, you know, going back off his history,

0:35:25.610 --> 0:35:27.529
<v Speaker 2>he tends to get his guys right and bounce back

0:35:27.570 --> 0:35:32.020
<v Speaker 2>in these games. And just matchup-wise, We're really hoping Nico

0:35:32.080 --> 0:35:34.160
<v Speaker 2>is back because, like we talked about, Cowboys secondary is

0:35:34.219 --> 0:35:36.859
<v Speaker 2>in shambles right now. And their best player might be

0:35:36.880 --> 0:35:39.739
<v Speaker 2>a guy who hasn't played in nine months. So, yeah,

0:35:39.950 --> 0:35:42.290
<v Speaker 2>we really hope Nico's back. That's another reason this number

0:35:42.330 --> 0:35:44.270
<v Speaker 2>could be going up. Maybe people already got the word

0:35:44.290 --> 0:35:45.630
<v Speaker 2>Nico is going to be back. So that's why it's

0:35:45.670 --> 0:35:47.529
<v Speaker 2>moving up the way it is. So, yeah, grab the

0:35:47.550 --> 0:35:48.790
<v Speaker 2>three and a half if you still can. There's still

0:35:48.810 --> 0:35:50.629
<v Speaker 2>a couple of shops you might be able to find

0:35:50.650 --> 0:35:52.290
<v Speaker 2>three and a half. But I think by the time

0:35:52.310 --> 0:35:54.010
<v Speaker 2>everyone hears this, it's all going to be threes across

0:35:54.030 --> 0:35:56.390
<v Speaker 2>the board. So hopefully people grab it when you gave

0:35:56.430 --> 0:35:57.290
<v Speaker 2>it out, Chad, on Tuesday.

0:35:58.140 --> 0:36:01.100
<v Speaker 1>Uh, Ben Solak, our buddy, Ben Solak from ESPN, who's

0:36:01.140 --> 0:36:03.120
<v Speaker 1>been on the show, had a tweet the other, I

0:36:03.540 --> 0:36:07.220
<v Speaker 1>think after the Joey Porter trade, that the Cowboys wouldn't

0:36:07.260 --> 0:36:11.370
<v Speaker 1>pay Micah Parsons, I think something like 45, 50 million

0:36:11.390 --> 0:36:17.109
<v Speaker 1>a year. And they have since rated four players that

0:36:17.130 --> 0:36:18.950
<v Speaker 1>they are going to have to pay if they decide

0:36:18.969 --> 0:36:22.220
<v Speaker 1>to pay Joey Porter between their defensive line and their backfield,

0:36:22.239 --> 0:36:25.300
<v Speaker 1>that they're going to have to pay a combined 60

0:36:25.300 --> 0:36:29.069
<v Speaker 1>plus million to. none of whom have the impact that

0:36:29.110 --> 0:36:33.030
<v Speaker 1>Micah Parsons has. That's number one. Number two, we talked

0:36:33.070 --> 0:36:37.549
<v Speaker 1>about the spot for the Texans and the spot for

0:36:37.590 --> 0:36:40.170
<v Speaker 1>some of these winless teams. Here's a great one from

0:36:40.230 --> 0:36:45.410
<v Speaker 1>our buddy Evan Abrams over at Action. Winless teams that

0:36:45.430 --> 0:36:48.180
<v Speaker 1>have performed well against the spread, so they haven't been

0:36:48.800 --> 0:36:54.880
<v Speaker 1>blown out. Like the Texans, 57% against the spread in

0:36:54.900 --> 0:36:57.939
<v Speaker 1>the past 20 years. That's a sample size. of more

0:36:58.000 --> 0:37:04.040
<v Speaker 1>than 400 games. Another indication, this is a pro-Joe game.

0:37:04.160 --> 0:37:07.100
<v Speaker 1>About a third of the tickets are on Houston, which

0:37:07.160 --> 0:37:10.100
<v Speaker 1>is shocking to me. But the line has moved in

0:37:10.120 --> 0:37:13.259
<v Speaker 1>the direction of the Texans. And like I said, on

0:37:13.280 --> 0:37:18.290
<v Speaker 1>the prediction markets, buying the Texans is much more expensive,

0:37:18.570 --> 0:37:24.390
<v Speaker 1>about 54%. So yeah, we'll be on the Texans. Arizona

0:37:24.410 --> 0:37:26.989
<v Speaker 1>at the New York Giants. It's not a contest play.

0:37:27.030 --> 0:37:27.660
<v Speaker 3>You mentioned it.

0:37:27.840 --> 0:37:29.859
<v Speaker 1>I put it in the script before I knew about

0:37:29.900 --> 0:37:34.580
<v Speaker 1>sharp calls. The Cardinals were one and a half point underdogs.

0:37:34.620 --> 0:37:36.880
<v Speaker 1>They are now two and a half point favorites, a

0:37:37.000 --> 0:37:41.089
<v Speaker 1>huge swing. What were you hearing from the wise guys

0:37:41.130 --> 0:37:45.210
<v Speaker 1>about this game generally? And does anybody think there's a

0:37:45.250 --> 0:37:48.819
<v Speaker 1>value in betting on the Cardinals as short road favorites

0:37:48.860 --> 0:37:49.260
<v Speaker 1>at this point?

0:37:51.239 --> 0:37:53.180
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, like I said, bad miss by me. I wish

0:37:53.260 --> 0:37:55.360
<v Speaker 2>I was on this Cardinals one. Right away, I immediately

0:37:55.380 --> 0:37:57.239
<v Speaker 2>was like, this is going to be a nice giant spot.

0:37:57.260 --> 0:38:00.540
<v Speaker 2>They just played in a tsunami. Didn't score a touchdown.

0:38:00.560 --> 0:38:03.120
<v Speaker 2>I think they scored 12 points against Tennessee. No one's

0:38:03.140 --> 0:38:04.839
<v Speaker 2>going to be backing them. Everyone's going to be leaving

0:38:04.860 --> 0:38:07.740
<v Speaker 2>this team for dead. I mean, James Winston, through two games,

0:38:07.760 --> 0:38:10.239
<v Speaker 2>has done nothing to give anyone any type of confidence. And,

0:38:11.489 --> 0:38:14.690
<v Speaker 2>I mean, even his own team is bringing in J.J.

0:38:14.710 --> 0:38:19.110
<v Speaker 2>McCarthy as, you know, could he be their savior this season?

0:38:19.170 --> 0:38:22.310
<v Speaker 2>I don't know. That feels like another– future play hedge.

0:38:22.950 --> 0:38:25.390
<v Speaker 2>I know I've seen crazier things. I will never doubt

0:38:25.430 --> 0:38:27.950
<v Speaker 2>ever again after Sam Darnold won a Superbowl. Like you couldn't,

0:38:28.210 --> 0:38:29.770
<v Speaker 2>you would have told me that five years ago, I would,

0:38:29.790 --> 0:38:31.450
<v Speaker 2>I would have been like, not possible.

0:38:31.670 --> 0:38:32.950
<v Speaker 3>Totally fair. Totally fair.

0:38:33.070 --> 0:38:37.009
<v Speaker 2>He earned it. So JJ, we just, we both believe

0:38:37.030 --> 0:38:38.850
<v Speaker 2>so much at KOC. If KOC is giving you away

0:38:38.890 --> 0:38:43.049
<v Speaker 2>for a fifth round pick, something's gotta be wrong. Something's

0:38:43.090 --> 0:38:45.960
<v Speaker 2>gotta be wrong there. So I get people's hesitation here.

0:38:45.980 --> 0:38:47.640
<v Speaker 2>It just feels like a stand I need to make,

0:38:47.680 --> 0:38:49.500
<v Speaker 2>especially it's a two and a half now in the Giants.

0:38:50.190 --> 0:38:51.850
<v Speaker 2>It's just can't they run the ball down their throats

0:38:51.870 --> 0:38:54.890
<v Speaker 2>with Cam Scadaboo and just pass the ball downfield against

0:38:54.910 --> 0:38:58.530
<v Speaker 2>a suspect Cardinals defense? It's like this team is not

0:38:58.610 --> 0:39:00.890
<v Speaker 2>that good. It just really is. Is Brissette going to

0:39:00.910 --> 0:39:03.250
<v Speaker 2>have his A game? Like if Brissette shows up and

0:39:03.290 --> 0:39:06.649
<v Speaker 2>he can put up 24, 30 points, yeah, Cardinals easily

0:39:06.690 --> 0:39:09.490
<v Speaker 2>cover win this game. But I just think the public

0:39:09.530 --> 0:39:12.190
<v Speaker 2>is too low on this Giants team. So I'm just–

0:39:12.280 --> 0:39:13.860
<v Speaker 2>I was just interested to see that every pro I

0:39:13.900 --> 0:39:16.989
<v Speaker 2>talked to is just like, oh, Cardinals– No problem. Take

0:39:17.030 --> 0:39:18.930
<v Speaker 2>that number. You're getting under three. Take that number. They're

0:39:18.950 --> 0:39:19.969
<v Speaker 2>going to be able to move the ball against this

0:39:20.010 --> 0:39:22.549
<v Speaker 2>Giants team. I don't know. Are we not overrating a

0:39:22.550 --> 0:39:25.379
<v Speaker 2>little bit this Cardinals team? Just a little bit. so

0:39:25.940 --> 0:39:27.440
<v Speaker 2>i'm excited to see this one play out because if

0:39:27.480 --> 0:39:29.880
<v Speaker 2>the cardinals do win this game yeah i'm gonna definitely

0:39:29.920 --> 0:39:32.279
<v Speaker 2>move them up in my grading right now because this

0:39:32.860 --> 0:39:35.260
<v Speaker 2>this offense could be really legit maybe i am underrating

0:39:35.280 --> 0:39:37.770
<v Speaker 2>them because you know they've looked great week one look

0:39:37.790 --> 0:39:39.469
<v Speaker 2>great last week and i guess you could say junk

0:39:39.489 --> 0:39:41.989
<v Speaker 2>time but they still made the play so yeah really

0:39:42.030 --> 0:39:43.950
<v Speaker 2>interesting game the back and forth between pros and uh

0:39:43.969 --> 0:39:44.730
<v Speaker 2>the public here.

0:39:45.230 --> 0:39:48.489
<v Speaker 1>Corner tv potential but we'll both be watching the game

0:39:49.070 --> 0:39:53.100
<v Speaker 1>uh Real quickly, Miami, I don't even want to talk

0:39:53.120 --> 0:39:54.980
<v Speaker 1>about it. I just want to say the Bucs are

0:39:55.160 --> 0:39:57.569
<v Speaker 1>in that spot. They're 10 and a half point dogs

0:39:58.489 --> 0:40:02.290
<v Speaker 1>as a winless team. The Vikings are one of the

0:40:02.410 --> 0:40:08.490
<v Speaker 1>worst offenses in NFL history, literally for an undefeated team.

0:40:08.530 --> 0:40:12.290
<v Speaker 1>I think they're averaging like 137 passing yards per game.

0:40:12.310 --> 0:40:16.509
<v Speaker 1>And again, shout out to Evan teams that average 150

0:40:16.510 --> 0:40:19.520
<v Speaker 1>yards passing or less in the fourth game of the season.

0:40:20.350 --> 0:40:23.870
<v Speaker 1>or later, are 40% against the spread. And they're the

0:40:24.110 --> 0:40:28.780
<v Speaker 1>first team to start 3-0 and average fewer than 250

0:40:28.780 --> 0:40:34.180
<v Speaker 1>yards on offense since Jim Brown, as a rookie, led

0:40:34.200 --> 0:40:39.460
<v Speaker 1>the Cleveland Browns in 1957. So look, probably not going

0:40:39.480 --> 0:40:41.880
<v Speaker 1>to be in the contest. I would imagine both of

0:40:41.960 --> 0:40:42.940
<v Speaker 1>us are going to have a little bit of a

0:40:42.980 --> 0:40:45.840
<v Speaker 1>play on Miami. I just want to make that case.

0:40:45.960 --> 0:40:48.140
<v Speaker 1>I want people to be aware of that. We're not

0:40:48.200 --> 0:40:52.340
<v Speaker 1>abandoning our principles just because we think the Dolphins are

0:40:52.390 --> 0:40:52.989
<v Speaker 1>really terrible.

0:40:54.350 --> 0:40:56.430
<v Speaker 2>No, I hate it. The Dolphins are probably going to

0:40:56.550 --> 0:40:58.910
<v Speaker 2>end up being another week with them being one of

0:40:58.950 --> 0:41:02.150
<v Speaker 2>my bigger bets. I just keep betting it. And it's

0:41:02.830 --> 0:41:04.489
<v Speaker 2>not only because I like the matchup because I've talked

0:41:04.510 --> 0:41:08.819
<v Speaker 2>to this Vikings team. They're just living on coaching right now.

0:41:08.860 --> 0:41:11.400
<v Speaker 2>They just have such good coaching. That's the only hesitation

0:41:11.420 --> 0:41:13.940
<v Speaker 2>here because it is Flores playing against a team he

0:41:14.000 --> 0:41:17.540
<v Speaker 2>is currently suing. So you don't think his defense is

0:41:17.580 --> 0:41:21.650
<v Speaker 2>going to go to war for their coach? I know

0:41:21.690 --> 0:41:23.790
<v Speaker 2>people have asked me about that. It's like, you're not wrong.

0:41:23.810 --> 0:41:28.700
<v Speaker 2>Somebody who plays sports, any extra motivation you can get.

0:41:29.090 --> 0:41:33.299
<v Speaker 2>And that's a big extra motivation. This team disrespected this man,

0:41:33.340 --> 0:41:36.600
<v Speaker 2>tried to smear his name through the mud. So that

0:41:36.640 --> 0:41:38.380
<v Speaker 2>gives me pause. But the biggest one that jumped out

0:41:38.400 --> 0:41:40.060
<v Speaker 2>to me is, it might have been the Vizin guys,

0:41:40.080 --> 0:41:42.799
<v Speaker 2>or maybe it was Action guys. I don't know where

0:41:42.820 --> 0:41:45.350
<v Speaker 2>I saw this trend. It was on Twitter, but Basically,

0:41:45.370 --> 0:41:48.549
<v Speaker 2>the Vikings, who scored more than 20 points last week

0:41:49.730 --> 0:41:52.130
<v Speaker 2>and did nothing offensive. I think they had less than

0:41:52.130 --> 0:41:55.560
<v Speaker 2>10 first downs and are now double-digit favorites. In this

0:41:55.600 --> 0:42:00.640
<v Speaker 2>exact spot, they're 2-22 against the spread, the Vikings. So

0:42:00.700 --> 0:42:04.620
<v Speaker 2>just blindly, you're getting a 90% play on the Dolphins.

0:42:05.120 --> 0:42:09.430
<v Speaker 2>And I know it's sickening, but it's just a rare opportunity.

0:42:09.670 --> 0:42:14.060
<v Speaker 2>It doesn't happen that often. Yeah. I'm not shocked to

0:42:14.120 --> 0:42:18.739
<v Speaker 2>see every teaser, all the money, everything pouring on the Vikings.

0:42:18.840 --> 0:42:22.700
<v Speaker 2>I expect come Sunday this will be a pretty split

0:42:22.719 --> 0:42:24.840
<v Speaker 2>between the public. I think the public will bet the

0:42:24.890 --> 0:42:27.569
<v Speaker 2>Dolphins just because people are going to hear those trends

0:42:27.610 --> 0:42:29.750
<v Speaker 2>and just look at this Vikings team. It's like they've

0:42:29.790 --> 0:42:33.589
<v Speaker 2>done nothing through three weeks, and they're 3-0 and 3-0

0:42:33.610 --> 0:42:36.830
<v Speaker 2>against the spread. It's been great for me. I've been

0:42:36.850 --> 0:42:39.469
<v Speaker 2>backing this team, and I'm loving it. That's what's probably

0:42:39.489 --> 0:42:41.560
<v Speaker 2>so hard for me right now where it's like, I

0:42:41.620 --> 0:42:43.319
<v Speaker 2>get it. I get why we're supposed to bet the

0:42:43.360 --> 0:42:48.450
<v Speaker 2>Dolphins here. But the Vikings winning 20-0 is on the table. Like,

0:42:48.530 --> 0:42:51.830
<v Speaker 2>Flores not letting the Dolphins cross the 50 is on

0:42:51.870 --> 0:42:54.810
<v Speaker 2>the table. This man, I have to look it up again,

0:42:54.830 --> 0:42:56.770
<v Speaker 2>but he might be at like a 70% blitz percentage

0:42:56.810 --> 0:43:00.910
<v Speaker 2>this season. Just a total psychopath. I love it. Like,

0:43:00.930 --> 0:43:04.279
<v Speaker 2>the Vikings defense is so much fun to watch. So, really,

0:43:04.320 --> 0:43:06.660
<v Speaker 2>really interesting what we talk about come Sunday morning. Because

0:43:06.700 --> 0:43:09.029
<v Speaker 2>as we say right now, it's like, I feel like

0:43:09.050 --> 0:43:10.950
<v Speaker 2>we have to play the Dolphins. And I'm trying everything

0:43:10.969 --> 0:43:12.710
<v Speaker 2>in my body to have us avoid it because last

0:43:12.750 --> 0:43:15.390
<v Speaker 2>week was so painful. But like Chad said, we know

0:43:15.430 --> 0:43:17.359
<v Speaker 2>what we're supposed to do here. You're supposed to play

0:43:17.380 --> 0:43:19.680
<v Speaker 2>the Dolphins and not think about it. So really a

0:43:19.719 --> 0:43:20.580
<v Speaker 2>tough one to handicap.

0:43:21.360 --> 0:43:22.860
<v Speaker 3>Kansas City at Las Vegas.

0:43:22.880 --> 0:43:26.200
<v Speaker 1>The Raiders are four and a half point underdogs. Look,

0:43:26.239 --> 0:43:28.730
<v Speaker 1>you and I both loved it on Tuesday. You were

0:43:28.770 --> 0:43:31.830
<v Speaker 1>wondering at the time why more love hadn't come in

0:43:31.870 --> 0:43:33.410
<v Speaker 1>from the professionals on the Raiders.

0:43:35.290 --> 0:43:36.250
<v Speaker 3>The spot is the spot.

0:43:37.070 --> 0:43:39.440
<v Speaker 1>You know, whether it's Mahomes as a favorite of more

0:43:39.480 --> 0:43:44.259
<v Speaker 1>than three or home dogs in the division or two

0:43:44.420 --> 0:43:48.779
<v Speaker 1>undefeated teams and betting the home dog, the Raiders are

0:43:48.820 --> 0:43:52.760
<v Speaker 1>the side. In every scenario, the Raiders are the side.

0:43:53.830 --> 0:43:59.130
<v Speaker 1>The trepidation now is concerning. So lay it on us.

0:43:59.190 --> 0:44:01.489
<v Speaker 1>Let's talk this through. Let's see where we land. Let's

0:44:02.050 --> 0:44:03.890
<v Speaker 1>have a deep and meaningful discussion.

0:44:06.570 --> 0:44:11.299
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, the question is– Are we wrong? Yeah, it's just

0:44:11.380 --> 0:44:15.239
<v Speaker 2>are we totally overrating this Raiders team? And that's my

0:44:15.260 --> 0:44:17.800
<v Speaker 2>hardest part is, like, going back and watching all their games.

0:44:17.860 --> 0:44:21.089
<v Speaker 2>It's like, Kirk looks so good. He's playing so comfortable

0:44:21.110 --> 0:44:23.830
<v Speaker 2>in this offense. Like, the fact that he was doing

0:44:23.850 --> 0:44:25.650
<v Speaker 2>what he was doing before Bowers came back and then

0:44:25.670 --> 0:44:27.050
<v Speaker 2>you saw last week with Bowers.

0:44:27.070 --> 0:44:28.570
<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

0:44:28.650 --> 0:44:31.450
<v Speaker 2>Kubiak is in his bag right now. He literally– you

0:44:31.489 --> 0:44:35.150
<v Speaker 2>can say he spent six months– building this offense around Bowers.

0:44:35.250 --> 0:44:37.469
<v Speaker 2>Like it felt like that in that game where he's

0:44:37.510 --> 0:44:39.910
<v Speaker 2>moving them all over the field, lining them up all different,

0:44:39.930 --> 0:44:42.350
<v Speaker 2>different places going. I mean, they're, we talk about the

0:44:42.370 --> 0:44:44.730
<v Speaker 2>two tight end sets. This is a team that they're

0:44:44.750 --> 0:44:48.230
<v Speaker 2>paying their backup tight end, like $ 50 million for the

0:44:48.250 --> 0:44:50.270
<v Speaker 2>next three or four years or something crazy like that.

0:44:50.320 --> 0:44:52.980
<v Speaker 2>So it's a team that's perfectly built for the way

0:44:53.000 --> 0:44:55.640
<v Speaker 2>the NFL is gone now. And Gentry has looked incredible too.

0:44:55.739 --> 0:44:59.700
<v Speaker 2>So yeah, it's really interesting. I really can't get over

0:44:59.719 --> 0:45:01.640
<v Speaker 2>the fact that the pros love the chief so much.

0:45:01.700 --> 0:45:04.730
<v Speaker 2>And there's something we're missing here because, from what I've

0:45:04.750 --> 0:45:08.550
<v Speaker 2>seen from this Chiefs defense is you can move the ball.

0:45:08.750 --> 0:45:11.470
<v Speaker 2>They're just another bend and don't break type of spags

0:45:11.510 --> 0:45:13.930
<v Speaker 2>defense where, yeah, they're not going to let you score touchdowns.

0:45:13.969 --> 0:45:15.669
<v Speaker 2>And maybe that's what happens here in this game where

0:45:16.190 --> 0:45:18.390
<v Speaker 2>Mahomes gets the, gets the touchdowns and we get stuck

0:45:18.410 --> 0:45:21.169
<v Speaker 2>with the field goals on the Raiders side. But I just,

0:45:22.090 --> 0:45:25.590
<v Speaker 2>I'm scary check is this number has not budged despite

0:45:25.680 --> 0:45:27.720
<v Speaker 2>a lot of pros and a lot of hammering this

0:45:27.800 --> 0:45:31.890
<v Speaker 2>Raiders side. So if we come here Sunday morning, Chad's

0:45:31.950 --> 0:45:34.520
<v Speaker 2>on his soapbox and saying, I don't care. I'm taking

0:45:34.580 --> 0:45:37.200
<v Speaker 2>the Chiefs. I might just have to laugh and be like,

0:45:37.300 --> 0:45:39.880
<v Speaker 2>all right, we'll go Chiefs. But I don't know if

0:45:39.920 --> 0:45:42.859
<v Speaker 2>we'll ever end up on the Raiders come Sunday morning

0:45:42.880 --> 0:45:44.279
<v Speaker 2>because there's just so many things that are scaring me

0:45:44.300 --> 0:45:46.560
<v Speaker 2>off this line. So maybe you'll stay. You'll stay hard.

0:45:46.600 --> 0:45:49.710
<v Speaker 2>You'll like the Raiders. And I could get pushed into

0:45:49.750 --> 0:45:51.310
<v Speaker 2>it come Sunday morning. But right now, as we stand here,

0:45:51.330 --> 0:45:53.930
<v Speaker 2>it's like I feel like we should be taking the Chiefs.

0:45:53.950 --> 0:45:56.330
<v Speaker 2>We're missing something here where it's like the numbers try

0:45:56.390 --> 0:45:58.450
<v Speaker 2>to tell us what to do here. And we're trying

0:45:58.469 --> 0:46:00.270
<v Speaker 2>to think we're smarter than numbers, smarter than books. And

0:46:00.370 --> 0:46:01.610
<v Speaker 2>usually that's when you get caught.

0:46:04.860 --> 0:46:11.759
<v Speaker 1>I am shocked by your response to the feedback from

0:46:11.820 --> 0:46:18.129
<v Speaker 1>your professional betting brethren. It must be, you know, you've

0:46:18.150 --> 0:46:19.530
<v Speaker 1>mentioned it on the show a couple of times.

0:46:19.570 --> 0:46:20.430
<v Speaker 3>There's this one.

0:46:20.350 --> 0:46:24.350
<v Speaker 1>Group that you really respect that is dialed in on

0:46:24.370 --> 0:46:28.810
<v Speaker 1>the Chiefs. are they having an outsized influence on our

0:46:28.830 --> 0:46:29.630
<v Speaker 1>conversation right now?

0:46:31.090 --> 0:46:32.430
<v Speaker 2>They're in on the chiefs. They lost with us on

0:46:32.450 --> 0:46:34.670
<v Speaker 2>Miami last week. So it's like, I wish I could

0:46:34.690 --> 0:46:36.770
<v Speaker 2>say that you guys are locked, locked in, but no,

0:46:36.790 --> 0:46:38.830
<v Speaker 2>they're two on one on chief games. But yeah, they're,

0:46:39.410 --> 0:46:41.140
<v Speaker 2>they're on the chiefs this week. They're, you're definitely not

0:46:41.160 --> 0:46:43.060
<v Speaker 2>wrong about that. They're, they're one of the guys that

0:46:43.100 --> 0:46:46.180
<v Speaker 2>are holding this number up and it's really respected money clearly.

0:46:46.260 --> 0:46:48.980
<v Speaker 2>Cause we said, it's like, you talk, there's different, you know,

0:46:49.020 --> 0:46:52.440
<v Speaker 2>polyamory market, different shops. It's like, yeah, 80%, 70% of

0:46:52.460 --> 0:46:55.850
<v Speaker 2>the money right now is on this Raiders team. So, Yeah,

0:46:56.010 --> 0:46:58.540
<v Speaker 2>I'm really interested where this number goes this week because it's–

0:46:59.030 --> 0:47:00.830
<v Speaker 2>I would feel much better about the Raiders if we

0:47:00.850 --> 0:47:02.569
<v Speaker 2>come in Sunday morning as three and a half. Then

0:47:02.610 --> 0:47:04.799
<v Speaker 2>I'm like, okay, let's dance with the devil and go

0:47:04.840 --> 0:47:07.239
<v Speaker 2>against Moms here. But if it's still sitting here at

0:47:07.260 --> 0:47:09.900
<v Speaker 2>four and a half, it's going to be pretty terrifying.

0:47:10.739 --> 0:47:14.020
<v Speaker 1>All right, we'll put– we don't need to be– it's

0:47:14.100 --> 0:47:15.340
<v Speaker 1>not about bravado.

0:47:16.010 --> 0:47:16.990
<v Speaker 3>It's about being right.

0:47:18.030 --> 0:47:23.969
<v Speaker 1>And I'd rather be thoughtful and cautious on Thursday– and

0:47:24.090 --> 0:47:26.810
<v Speaker 1>not try to plant a flag before we need to

0:47:26.850 --> 0:47:29.609
<v Speaker 1>plant a flag. Let's get as much information as we can.

0:47:29.630 --> 0:47:31.870
<v Speaker 1>Let's be as confident as possible. We still got 48 hours.

0:47:32.170 --> 0:47:34.290
<v Speaker 1>We loved them on Tuesday. We're bed into the Raiders.

0:47:34.870 --> 0:47:36.850
<v Speaker 1>Nothing we can do about that. Like I'm not buying

0:47:36.910 --> 0:47:39.509
<v Speaker 1>out of the Raiders, but it doesn't have to be

0:47:39.530 --> 0:47:40.350
<v Speaker 1>in the final five.

0:47:40.950 --> 0:47:43.190
<v Speaker 3>Maybe we'll just put the bucks in instead. Maybe that's,

0:47:43.310 --> 0:47:44.740
<v Speaker 3>maybe that's what we'll do.

0:47:45.590 --> 0:47:48.180
<v Speaker 2>I want a rapid fire. We are going to get

0:47:48.200 --> 0:47:49.980
<v Speaker 2>to it. Yeah. I want to talk to this game.

0:47:50.000 --> 0:47:50.359
<v Speaker 4>Yeah. Yeah.

0:47:51.670 --> 0:47:54.589
<v Speaker 1>Carolina plus three and a half, Sunday Night Football. You know,

0:47:54.610 --> 0:47:57.050
<v Speaker 1>the worry was whether or not Bryce Young would play.

0:47:57.270 --> 0:47:58.610
<v Speaker 1>I believe he is going to play.

0:47:58.680 --> 0:47:59.600
<v Speaker 3>He's expected to.

0:48:00.100 --> 0:48:04.420
<v Speaker 1>The Panthers defensive backfield, J.C. Horn, cornerback, Mike Jackson, cornerback,

0:48:04.719 --> 0:48:09.080
<v Speaker 1>both on IR right now. To be honest, we could

0:48:09.640 --> 0:48:12.609
<v Speaker 1>try to dissect that part of the game. That's not

0:48:12.700 --> 0:48:15.529
<v Speaker 1>really the worry. Like, whether they're in or out, the

0:48:15.570 --> 0:48:17.850
<v Speaker 1>Panthers are going to have to score on practically every possession.

0:48:18.250 --> 0:48:21.110
<v Speaker 1>We're betting on Bryce Young to beat up the Lions defensively.

0:48:22.200 --> 0:48:25.140
<v Speaker 1>beleaguered defense, but we also know the Lions are going

0:48:25.160 --> 0:48:27.220
<v Speaker 1>to move the ball. We know it's an outdoor game

0:48:27.900 --> 0:48:31.750
<v Speaker 1>that doesn't bode as well for Jared Goff historically. I

0:48:33.310 --> 0:48:35.310
<v Speaker 1>still feel pretty good. We want to be on Carolina here.

0:48:35.390 --> 0:48:37.549
<v Speaker 1>I'm betting into Carolina at the three and a half.

0:48:39.350 --> 0:48:41.360
<v Speaker 2>I am too, but it's brutal. Like you, you want

0:48:41.950 --> 0:48:44.739
<v Speaker 2>your two starting corners, especially in this matchup against this,

0:48:45.280 --> 0:48:49.700
<v Speaker 2>this Depot receiving core. So yeah, another number that's just

0:48:49.940 --> 0:48:51.920
<v Speaker 2>bizarre to me. Those, that injury news all came out.

0:48:52.600 --> 0:48:56.000
<v Speaker 2>Which I just said, the number didn't budge at all. So, yeah,

0:48:56.060 --> 0:48:58.319
<v Speaker 2>come Sunday night, the books are going to desperately need

0:48:58.340 --> 0:49:00.840
<v Speaker 2>the Panthers. I mean, who's not betting from the public

0:49:00.860 --> 0:49:01.779
<v Speaker 2>betting this Lions team?

0:49:01.880 --> 0:49:02.280
<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

0:49:03.180 --> 0:49:04.859
<v Speaker 2>We know the deal. This is a team that could

0:49:05.050 --> 0:49:07.109
<v Speaker 2>easily steamroll this Panthers team, right? Put up a ton

0:49:07.150 --> 0:49:10.790
<v Speaker 2>of points. So, be careful, people, on the total here.

0:49:10.810 --> 0:49:14.660
<v Speaker 2>I think the total is 51.5. I would say that

0:49:14.660 --> 0:49:16.569
<v Speaker 2>kind of is like the type of spot where you

0:49:16.570 --> 0:49:18.640
<v Speaker 2>want to take the under. It's two two offense that

0:49:18.660 --> 0:49:20.219
<v Speaker 2>people are really hyped on and they don't believe their

0:49:20.260 --> 0:49:23.860
<v Speaker 2>defenses usually this is exact time both offenses fall on

0:49:23.880 --> 0:49:26.560
<v Speaker 2>their face but um i was shocked to see the

0:49:26.600 --> 0:49:29.320
<v Speaker 2>high of a total uh with everything that's going on

0:49:29.340 --> 0:49:31.490
<v Speaker 2>with bryce young and this offense like it feels like

0:49:31.530 --> 0:49:33.810
<v Speaker 2>panthers if there's ever a game they're gonna run the

0:49:33.830 --> 0:49:35.830
<v Speaker 2>ball more this would be it like the lions just

0:49:36.390 --> 0:49:39.400
<v Speaker 2>they're not great against the run either so Yeah, I

0:49:39.420 --> 0:49:41.010
<v Speaker 2>want to touch on this one because people asked about it.

0:49:41.480 --> 0:49:43.360
<v Speaker 2>I'm still with Chad. I'm still on it with the Panthers.

0:49:43.400 --> 0:49:46.960
<v Speaker 2>It's just not ideal now losing your number one, number

0:49:47.000 --> 0:49:49.400
<v Speaker 2>two cornerbacks against an offense that we talked about. It's

0:49:49.420 --> 0:49:52.540
<v Speaker 2>just anytime they need a third down, obviously there's no

0:49:52.560 --> 0:49:55.110
<v Speaker 2>one that can stop on Monse Brown, right? But you

0:49:55.120 --> 0:49:57.830
<v Speaker 2>can mitigate it in some ways. And now they're just

0:49:57.870 --> 0:49:59.290
<v Speaker 2>going to basically have to play zone this whole game.

0:49:59.310 --> 0:50:00.509
<v Speaker 2>You're never going to be able to run man with

0:50:00.530 --> 0:50:04.070
<v Speaker 2>backup corners against this offense. So you're going to be

0:50:04.090 --> 0:50:06.230
<v Speaker 2>running a ton of zone with a bunch of blitzes

0:50:06.250 --> 0:50:09.060
<v Speaker 2>against Goff. Can it work here? I mean, it has to, right?

0:50:09.080 --> 0:50:11.759
<v Speaker 2>We've seen Jared Goff's numbers. He's horrible, especially this season.

0:50:11.780 --> 0:50:14.549
<v Speaker 2>He's been horrible when he gets pressured. So that's what

0:50:14.570 --> 0:50:15.989
<v Speaker 2>it's going to be. It's really going to be a

0:50:15.989 --> 0:50:18.230
<v Speaker 2>ton of zone with a ton of blitz and Carolina's

0:50:18.250 --> 0:50:19.549
<v Speaker 2>going to live and die. And then the flip side

0:50:19.590 --> 0:50:23.370
<v Speaker 2>lines team, can they take away Bryce Young's options downfield?

0:50:23.410 --> 0:50:26.750
<v Speaker 2>Like Coker, if he's healthy in this game, to be determined,

0:50:26.790 --> 0:50:28.290
<v Speaker 2>we need him to be healthy though. Like this is

0:50:28.330 --> 0:50:30.569
<v Speaker 2>one of these Sunday morning, we're fighting about putting this

0:50:30.680 --> 0:50:32.660
<v Speaker 2>one in. I still don't know if Coker's going to

0:50:32.680 --> 0:50:34.759
<v Speaker 2>play or not. I wouldn't force this one. He's been

0:50:34.800 --> 0:50:36.719
<v Speaker 2>that great for them. And, You saw it last week

0:50:36.800 --> 0:50:40.279
<v Speaker 2>with the Browns. They only scored one touchdown. You can't

0:50:40.300 --> 0:50:41.760
<v Speaker 2>say it didn't matter not having them in that game.

0:50:41.780 --> 0:50:45.170
<v Speaker 2>They suffered four field goals in that game. So, yeah,

0:50:45.230 --> 0:50:46.290
<v Speaker 2>another injury to keep your eye on.

0:50:47.090 --> 0:50:49.410
<v Speaker 1>That, to me, is the much more important injury than

0:50:50.610 --> 0:50:54.350
<v Speaker 1>the defensive backs because they're going to need to score

0:50:54.390 --> 0:50:58.590
<v Speaker 1>nonstop no matter what. Totally agree with you. Interesting game.

0:50:58.690 --> 0:51:00.710
<v Speaker 1>It's another one we're going to have to put a

0:51:00.730 --> 0:51:04.649
<v Speaker 1>pin in. I will say 35% of the tickets on Carolina–

0:51:05.700 --> 0:51:08.440
<v Speaker 1>as the home dog right now. If you haven't bet

0:51:08.480 --> 0:51:13.200
<v Speaker 1>Carolina and you're still curious, you can probably hold off.

0:51:13.430 --> 0:51:15.270
<v Speaker 1>This line is juiced to move like it's going to

0:51:15.310 --> 0:51:17.930
<v Speaker 1>go to four. By Sunday, you might be getting four

0:51:17.950 --> 0:51:20.170
<v Speaker 1>and a half at prediction markets if everyone else has

0:51:20.210 --> 0:51:20.649
<v Speaker 1>moved to four.

0:51:20.710 --> 0:51:23.549
<v Speaker 3>So something to keep an eye on. You don't have

0:51:23.590 --> 0:51:28.090
<v Speaker 3>to rush on this one. Simon, it is time.

0:51:27.930 --> 0:51:32.790
<v Speaker 1>For our Discord grouper of the week. I know how

0:51:32.830 --> 0:51:36.589
<v Speaker 1>much you love the Discord. Pre-order the number. At readthenumber.com,

0:51:36.610 --> 0:51:39.150
<v Speaker 1>get an invite. We're raising money for St. Jude's when

0:51:39.170 --> 0:51:43.490
<v Speaker 1>you pre-order the book. Speaking of my book, The Number,

0:51:43.550 --> 0:51:49.420
<v Speaker 1>Matt Mitchell received a video clip this week from longtime

0:51:49.480 --> 0:51:53.340
<v Speaker 1>listener John Goulet, which Matt would like to play for

0:51:53.380 --> 0:51:55.040
<v Speaker 1>us right now. I don't know what this is, so

0:51:55.080 --> 0:51:55.890
<v Speaker 1>I'm excited to hear it.

0:51:57.320 --> 0:52:01.490
<v Speaker 2>Buy my book! Buy my book! Buy my book!

0:52:05.520 --> 0:52:05.980
<v Speaker 3>It's funny.

0:52:06.020 --> 0:52:09.399
<v Speaker 1>You know what's funny? Simon, the other day, you came

0:52:09.500 --> 0:52:14.160
<v Speaker 1>after my artistry. And what I loved is in the

0:52:14.180 --> 0:52:19.550
<v Speaker 1>YouTube comments, the YouTube comments are amazing, but there ended

0:52:19.610 --> 0:52:23.209
<v Speaker 1>up being a very long thread in which I weighed

0:52:23.270 --> 0:52:27.549
<v Speaker 1>in on about art and commerce and who is a

0:52:27.630 --> 0:52:33.450
<v Speaker 1>true artist. It was about Leonardo da Vinci, Renoir.

0:52:34.340 --> 0:52:35.220
<v Speaker 3>Rembrandt.

0:52:36.180 --> 0:52:38.140
<v Speaker 1>I just thought it was hilarious that in the middle

0:52:38.180 --> 0:52:41.930
<v Speaker 1>of a betting show comment section, there were comments about,

0:52:42.090 --> 0:52:45.790
<v Speaker 1>can you be an artist if you are actually doing

0:52:45.870 --> 0:52:49.750
<v Speaker 1>it in the pursuit of money? And my point to

0:52:49.790 --> 0:52:55.169
<v Speaker 1>that is yes, because you want to continue to create art.

0:52:56.530 --> 0:52:59.089
<v Speaker 1>And part of that is commerce, which is why I

0:52:59.130 --> 0:53:00.910
<v Speaker 1>pitched the book because I worked hard on it and

0:53:00.930 --> 0:53:03.660
<v Speaker 1>I'd like people to buy it. And so I can

0:53:03.700 --> 0:53:06.900
<v Speaker 1>do it again. And don't forget, if you buy 10

0:53:06.900 --> 0:53:09.620
<v Speaker 1>of them, I'm doing a book club with.

0:53:09.520 --> 0:53:12.049
<v Speaker 3>You, whether it's Zoom or in person.

0:53:12.070 --> 0:53:15.530
<v Speaker 1>I've already had a couple of those people email sharp

0:53:15.590 --> 0:53:19.190
<v Speaker 1>or square at thevolume.com with their proof of purchase so

0:53:19.230 --> 0:53:22.930
<v Speaker 1>I can do it. So thanks for sparking a good discussion, Simon.

0:53:23.790 --> 0:53:24.600
<v Speaker 3>I know you want to weigh in.

0:53:24.610 --> 0:53:28.590
<v Speaker 2>The only reason I said that was just because you

0:53:28.610 --> 0:53:30.860
<v Speaker 2>were literally breaking down to us why you're, you're selling

0:53:30.880 --> 0:53:33.219
<v Speaker 2>your book. Is it for, we're all idiots. It's like, Chad,

0:53:33.239 --> 0:53:35.120
<v Speaker 2>we know, we know why you're selling your books, buddy.

0:53:35.160 --> 0:53:37.180
<v Speaker 2>You don't have to break it down to us while

0:53:37.200 --> 0:53:38.879
<v Speaker 2>you're trying to make money selling a book. You love

0:53:38.920 --> 0:53:43.730
<v Speaker 2>writing books. But yeah, that, that's just a, I say like,

0:53:43.750 --> 0:53:45.610
<v Speaker 2>there's a bunch of art, artistic signs. That's one of

0:53:45.630 --> 0:53:48.190
<v Speaker 2>my favorite ones. I mean, the biggest one truly is

0:53:49.410 --> 0:53:50.850
<v Speaker 2>how can you be an artist in life if you're

0:53:50.870 --> 0:53:53.859
<v Speaker 2>not suffering, which I do agree with. Like it's someone

0:53:53.880 --> 0:53:56.080
<v Speaker 2>that does what I think is a form of art

0:53:56.520 --> 0:53:59.330
<v Speaker 2>sports betting and it is better when we suffer, right?

0:53:59.370 --> 0:54:01.650
<v Speaker 2>If we're always happy and it's all good, we're always winning.

0:54:02.530 --> 0:54:04.660
<v Speaker 2>You're not low. You're not learning. You're not growing, right?

0:54:04.680 --> 0:54:07.040
<v Speaker 2>You're not getting better at your craft. So I do

0:54:07.060 --> 0:54:10.000
<v Speaker 2>think that is part of it. And yeah, like anyone

0:54:10.040 --> 0:54:13.280
<v Speaker 2>out there, that's a suffering artist. I always tell people,

0:54:13.320 --> 0:54:15.290
<v Speaker 2>if you believe in it, like Chad said, it's a,

0:54:15.500 --> 0:54:17.839
<v Speaker 2>it is technically a hobby. It's not your job yet.

0:54:18.469 --> 0:54:21.029
<v Speaker 2>Stick to it, man. Everyone that's in the position of

0:54:21.070 --> 0:54:24.149
<v Speaker 2>success all started out where you were at, man. They just,

0:54:24.830 --> 0:54:26.089
<v Speaker 2>no one's going to believe in you have to believe

0:54:26.110 --> 0:54:29.890
<v Speaker 2>in yourself. So, Chad wants to make a living doing

0:54:29.910 --> 0:54:31.969
<v Speaker 2>what he loves. I'm going to make fun of him

0:54:32.010 --> 0:54:35.210
<v Speaker 2>about it, but that's literally the dream in life. People,

0:54:35.469 --> 0:54:38.950
<v Speaker 2>go after your dreams, man. It's your life. You're in

0:54:38.969 --> 0:54:39.570
<v Speaker 2>total control.

0:54:40.989 --> 0:54:46.120
<v Speaker 1>Couldn't be said better. My older son just graduated from Drexel.

0:54:46.500 --> 0:54:49.540
<v Speaker 1>He wants to get into the video game business and

0:54:49.580 --> 0:54:54.160
<v Speaker 1>wants to write the stories, the narratives for adventure games,

0:54:54.260 --> 0:54:56.719
<v Speaker 1>tabletop games like Dungeons and Dragons, things like that.

0:54:58.390 --> 0:55:00.569
<v Speaker 3>I keep telling them, dude, it's a creative field.

0:55:00.930 --> 0:55:03.650
<v Speaker 1>It might take you 15 years. You might be working

0:55:03.690 --> 0:55:06.910
<v Speaker 1>part-time at your rock climbing gym for a very long time.

0:55:07.030 --> 0:55:08.770
<v Speaker 1>And I have friends in the movie business who took

0:55:09.310 --> 0:55:11.950
<v Speaker 1>that long and then they made shows that have become

0:55:11.989 --> 0:55:14.489
<v Speaker 1>some of the most popular shows, I'm not even exaggerating,

0:55:15.760 --> 0:55:22.600
<v Speaker 1>in history. And now they're wildly successful. You just don't know.

0:55:22.620 --> 0:55:25.160
<v Speaker 1>There's no path for when you want to be in

0:55:25.200 --> 0:55:25.960
<v Speaker 1>a creative field.

0:55:26.800 --> 0:55:28.340
<v Speaker 3>Uh, Simon's right. You do have to suffer.

0:55:28.910 --> 0:55:31.230
<v Speaker 1>It's nice if you can put food on the table

0:55:31.570 --> 0:55:33.930
<v Speaker 1>and you suffer for the art, not because you're hungry.

0:55:34.750 --> 0:55:36.070
<v Speaker 3>Uh, but I appreciate all the support.

0:55:36.950 --> 0:55:40.810
<v Speaker 1>Uh, this week, the winner for the discord groupers and

0:55:40.950 --> 0:55:43.830
<v Speaker 1>outline parlay of Buffalo minus one and a half in Seattle,

0:55:43.850 --> 0:55:47.009
<v Speaker 1>minus one and a half. Both games against teams in

0:55:47.030 --> 0:55:51.350
<v Speaker 1>the Patriots and chargers in serious turmoil right now. We

0:55:51.370 --> 0:55:57.440
<v Speaker 1>got that at minus one 25 Simon. What should we

0:55:57.460 --> 0:56:00.960
<v Speaker 1>do for our underdog round robin parlay?

0:56:02.620 --> 0:56:06.970
<v Speaker 2>My dog likes your dog. Your dog likes my dog.

0:56:08.010 --> 0:56:09.509
<v Speaker 3>Feels like we want to put the Broncos in there.

0:56:10.090 --> 0:56:11.830
<v Speaker 2>Oh, definitely. And we didn't talk about Atlanta as another

0:56:11.850 --> 0:56:13.989
<v Speaker 2>one of my bigger bets this week. I really love

0:56:14.050 --> 0:56:16.730
<v Speaker 2>Atlanta's plus two and a half. So that would definitely

0:56:16.750 --> 0:56:19.049
<v Speaker 2>have to get in our round robin. I just think

0:56:19.090 --> 0:56:20.460
<v Speaker 2>the public is still too low on Pennix.

0:56:21.219 --> 0:56:21.339
<v Speaker 4>Yeah.

0:56:22.390 --> 0:56:23.870
<v Speaker 2>I just needed to see he was able to move

0:56:23.930 --> 0:56:25.330
<v Speaker 2>in the pocket. I know he's not going to run,

0:56:25.590 --> 0:56:27.490
<v Speaker 2>run the ball, right. He's coming back from some major

0:56:27.510 --> 0:56:29.910
<v Speaker 2>knee injury, but I was so happy to see his

0:56:29.950 --> 0:56:33.150
<v Speaker 2>movement inside the pocket. So that's another dog I really like.

0:56:33.170 --> 0:56:36.310
<v Speaker 2>So yeah, then Broncos, I know I didn't give him

0:56:36.330 --> 0:56:39.169
<v Speaker 2>the most warming love to him, but the Eagles plus

0:56:39.230 --> 0:56:39.790
<v Speaker 2>one 40. Yeah.

0:56:40.430 --> 0:56:41.430
<v Speaker 3>I got the Eagles in there.

0:56:41.710 --> 0:56:43.750
<v Speaker 2>Sure. Dogs are really good to us last week. That's,

0:56:43.830 --> 0:56:46.630
<v Speaker 2>that's my only hesitation. We banked so heavily. I think

0:56:46.650 --> 0:56:49.029
<v Speaker 2>we went four and one last week on our, we did. Yeah.

0:56:49.510 --> 0:56:51.839
<v Speaker 2>So it's, We're going back to the well on that

0:56:51.900 --> 0:56:56.080
<v Speaker 2>one for sure. Can we throw the international game in

0:56:56.120 --> 0:56:59.710
<v Speaker 2>there just because it's plus 160 in an international dog?

0:57:00.070 --> 0:57:01.989
<v Speaker 2>I know the international dogs aren't great, though, so now

0:57:02.010 --> 0:57:03.430
<v Speaker 2>that I think about it, maybe we should avoid them.

0:57:03.450 --> 0:57:08.010
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I don't love that one, but... Okay. What about Tampa?

0:57:09.210 --> 0:57:12.260
<v Speaker 2>That's all you. I know you love Tampa. Why not? Sure.

0:57:12.590 --> 0:57:15.520
<v Speaker 3>It just feels like... I wouldn't do it, but.

0:57:15.600 --> 0:57:16.880
<v Speaker 2>They fit the 0-3 against a 1-2. Yes. So, like,

0:57:19.400 --> 0:57:22.100
<v Speaker 2>they do fit that trend, that bill. So I won't

0:57:22.120 --> 0:57:23.040
<v Speaker 2>fight you on that.

0:57:23.080 --> 0:57:26.180
<v Speaker 1>Should we be doing, you know, someone who's a bit

0:57:26.280 --> 0:57:28.880
<v Speaker 1>longer that isn't Miami, a plus 10 and a half.

0:57:29.260 --> 0:57:31.640
<v Speaker 2>Yeah. Like our longest, our longest one is the one

0:57:31.660 --> 0:57:32.700
<v Speaker 2>I just, I know I'm gonna get a ton of

0:57:32.740 --> 0:57:35.730
<v Speaker 2>shit for by the pros, but I mean the Raiders,

0:57:37.450 --> 0:57:38.590
<v Speaker 2>I would do it. Yeah.

0:57:38.890 --> 0:57:39.820
<v Speaker 3>I only didn't mention it.

0:57:39.870 --> 0:57:40.530
<v Speaker 2>It's plus one 80.

0:57:40.530 --> 0:57:45.450
<v Speaker 3>All right. So do the Raiders. So our underdog round Robin.

0:57:45.170 --> 0:57:47.290
<v Speaker 2>Rate, can you imagine we're sitting here on Tuesday? Raiders

0:57:47.350 --> 0:57:47.890
<v Speaker 2>are four now.

0:57:49.230 --> 0:57:50.530
<v Speaker 3>I know.

0:57:51.260 --> 0:57:58.540
<v Speaker 1>Denver, Atlanta, Philly, Tampa, Las Vegas. Those are the underdog

0:57:58.700 --> 0:58:03.960
<v Speaker 1>round robin parlay. Our favorites round robin, we tend to

0:58:04.100 --> 0:58:05.440
<v Speaker 1>only do three of those.

0:58:06.500 --> 0:58:07.560
<v Speaker 3>You know, Cincy.

0:58:07.600 --> 0:58:09.710
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, Cincy is definitely one.

0:58:09.730 --> 0:58:14.630
<v Speaker 3>Houston. Houston. I like doing them a little bit shorter

0:58:14.670 --> 0:58:15.830
<v Speaker 3>so we can get a better price.

0:58:15.850 --> 0:58:20.190
<v Speaker 2>How do we not? throw the bears and I know

0:58:20.230 --> 0:58:26.250
<v Speaker 2>it's a letdown spot, but it's like, that's interesting. I just, that,

0:58:26.290 --> 0:58:28.730
<v Speaker 2>that one jumped out right away where you, you expect

0:58:29.030 --> 0:58:31.950
<v Speaker 2>them to, uh, just on the short value that we're

0:58:31.970 --> 0:58:35.410
<v Speaker 2>talking here. It's like, I feel like that's decent value. They're,

0:58:35.510 --> 0:58:38.210
<v Speaker 2>they're minus one 70 minus one 75.

0:58:38.210 --> 0:58:40.230
<v Speaker 3>Currently three and a half point favorites over the jets.

0:58:40.330 --> 0:58:40.570
<v Speaker 2>All right.

0:58:41.490 --> 0:58:44.240
<v Speaker 3>Cincinnati, Houston, Chicago.

0:58:44.830 --> 0:58:48.050
<v Speaker 1>Before we jump into your biggest bets, brother, a reminder

0:58:48.070 --> 0:58:51.090
<v Speaker 1>to everybody that our Sunday morning shows will now be

0:58:51.300 --> 0:58:54.240
<v Speaker 1>live on our YouTube channel starting at 11 a.m.

0:58:54.280 --> 0:58:54.780
<v Speaker 3>Eastern.

0:58:54.880 --> 0:58:59.620
<v Speaker 1>This Sunday, the podcast will be released immediately after. But

0:58:59.660 --> 0:59:01.840
<v Speaker 1>if you want to hear the final five in the

0:59:01.880 --> 0:59:06.210
<v Speaker 1>most immediate way, Sunday mornings, join us live on YouTube

0:59:06.610 --> 0:59:07.470
<v Speaker 1>at 11 a.m.

0:59:07.630 --> 0:59:11.980
<v Speaker 3>Simon's Biggest Bets. Pull up those pants and be a man.

0:59:12.000 --> 0:59:14.100
<v Speaker 2>I mean, like that was the brutal part of getting

0:59:14.120 --> 0:59:15.200
<v Speaker 2>bullied by the Eagles. I thought I was going to

0:59:15.220 --> 0:59:18.680
<v Speaker 2>be my bigger bets, but I've backed away from that one.

0:59:18.700 --> 0:59:22.110
<v Speaker 2>So right now, since he has invested heavily into, obviously

0:59:22.150 --> 0:59:24.090
<v Speaker 2>people know Houston, we've moved that number from two and

0:59:24.110 --> 0:59:25.690
<v Speaker 2>a half now up to three. I've invested in that

0:59:25.750 --> 0:59:28.189
<v Speaker 2>one pretty heavily. Denver plus three, if you can still

0:59:28.250 --> 0:59:30.130
<v Speaker 2>find it. get in on it. That's one of my

0:59:30.170 --> 0:59:33.650
<v Speaker 2>bigger bets as well. And, um, the Falcons touch plus three.

0:59:33.850 --> 0:59:35.990
<v Speaker 2>I bet it really heavily. It's back to two and

0:59:36.010 --> 0:59:38.070
<v Speaker 2>a half. Still going to keep betting it, but that's

0:59:38.110 --> 0:59:41.960
<v Speaker 2>another game where you hope the public will chase after

0:59:42.000 --> 0:59:44.540
<v Speaker 2>Sunday night into Monday and we'll get back to three.

0:59:44.600 --> 0:59:46.140
<v Speaker 2>So that is one of the bigger bets. I'm not

0:59:46.160 --> 0:59:47.840
<v Speaker 2>going to tell you to go heavy on the plus

0:59:47.860 --> 0:59:49.560
<v Speaker 2>two and a half. I went heavy on Atlanta plus three.

0:59:49.580 --> 0:59:51.160
<v Speaker 2>All right.

0:59:51.520 --> 0:59:54.440
<v Speaker 1>Uh, last week for sharper square, we both lost. I

0:59:54.460 --> 0:59:58.610
<v Speaker 1>had won the week before, so I get to go first. Um,

0:59:59.740 --> 1:00:02.610
<v Speaker 1>I want to avoid it being Chad's choice, which was Houston.

1:00:03.010 --> 1:00:07.450
<v Speaker 1>Simon Says was Philly. Our Brass Balls was Denver. I

1:00:07.550 --> 1:00:16.260
<v Speaker 1>feel like the only option remaining is to take the Raiders,

1:00:16.320 --> 1:00:19.480
<v Speaker 1>plus four and a half. So I'm going with the Raiders.

1:00:21.240 --> 1:00:23.740
<v Speaker 2>And whoever keeps track, give me credit last year, because

1:00:23.760 --> 1:00:25.500
<v Speaker 2>I did say it would have been Atlanta, but because

1:00:25.560 --> 1:00:27.460
<v Speaker 2>I knew people weren't going to hear it. I don't

1:00:27.480 --> 1:00:29.060
<v Speaker 2>know what I gave out, but I gave out something else.

1:00:29.120 --> 1:00:30.280
<v Speaker 2>But Atlanta was my.

1:00:30.540 --> 1:00:33.760
<v Speaker 1>You ended up giving out– I gave Miami plus 11,

1:00:33.760 --> 1:00:37.310
<v Speaker 1>and you gave Baltimore minus 3.5. And to be fair,

1:00:38.630 --> 1:00:43.150
<v Speaker 1>you did say Atlanta, and you gave out Baltimore. You

1:00:43.210 --> 1:00:43.850
<v Speaker 1>had to give the 3.5.

1:00:43.850 --> 1:00:46.070
<v Speaker 2>But they were 2.5-3, yeah.

1:00:46.490 --> 1:00:47.010
<v Speaker 3>We had been.

1:00:46.910 --> 1:00:51.200
<v Speaker 1>Betting them 2.5, really 2.5 early in the week.

1:00:51.800 --> 1:00:53.840
<v Speaker 2>I talked big game on this team, so I'm going

1:00:53.860 --> 1:00:55.480
<v Speaker 2>to try to back it up here. Who did you go, Chad?

1:00:55.580 --> 1:00:56.160
<v Speaker 2>You went Raiders?

1:00:56.600 --> 1:00:56.740
<v Speaker 4>Yeah.

1:00:58.920 --> 1:01:01.700
<v Speaker 2>I guess– oh, man. I got to do it.

1:01:01.720 --> 1:01:02.180
<v Speaker 3>Oh, wait.

1:01:02.200 --> 1:01:04.290
<v Speaker 2>We did that as our brass balls. Okay. I'll do

1:01:04.330 --> 1:01:06.250
<v Speaker 2>Cincy then. I'll do Cincy. Minus two and a half.

1:01:06.570 --> 1:01:06.830
<v Speaker 4>All right.

1:01:07.310 --> 1:01:09.910
<v Speaker 2>Yeah. I've talked a lot about Joe. I really believe

1:01:09.930 --> 1:01:11.650
<v Speaker 2>in that team. So I got to back it up.

1:01:12.310 --> 1:01:14.340
<v Speaker 3>All right. There we go.

1:01:15.660 --> 1:01:24.970
<v Speaker 1>Last week's survivor pick was Kansas City. This week– I mean–

1:01:25.380 --> 1:01:27.300
<v Speaker 1>You got to go to Minnesota. I was going to say,

1:01:27.320 --> 1:01:28.760
<v Speaker 1>we got to go with the Vikings, right?

1:01:28.820 --> 1:01:29.920
<v Speaker 2>It's going to be brutal.

1:01:30.520 --> 1:01:30.820
<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

1:01:31.280 --> 1:01:33.620
<v Speaker 2>I mean, if they, if they blow, but yeah, like

1:01:33.660 --> 1:01:36.030
<v Speaker 2>of all the ones that really jumped out, I've had

1:01:36.050 --> 1:01:38.810
<v Speaker 2>some people try to get smart with it. Take Packers. Like, dude,

1:01:39.410 --> 1:01:41.850
<v Speaker 2>someone that's like already been knocked out of survivor pools.

1:01:41.890 --> 1:01:44.730
<v Speaker 2>Don't end your season, taking Green Bay against an unknown,

1:01:45.030 --> 1:01:50.430
<v Speaker 2>unknown quarterback on Tampa. There's obviously no safe bet here, especially,

1:01:50.550 --> 1:01:52.100
<v Speaker 2>I mean, you're looking at someone that's, I feel like

1:01:52.120 --> 1:01:53.840
<v Speaker 2>I've lost three out of four years on Kyler Murray

1:01:53.900 --> 1:01:58.600
<v Speaker 2>and survivor pools. but it's, it's so many points and

1:01:58.620 --> 1:02:01.620
<v Speaker 2>it's a revenge spot for Flores. So yeah, let me,

1:02:01.680 --> 1:02:03.610
<v Speaker 2>let me take the Vikings this week and survivor and

1:02:03.640 --> 1:02:05.720
<v Speaker 2>just get it over with never to play them again.

1:02:06.550 --> 1:02:06.780
<v Speaker 1>All right.

1:02:06.860 --> 1:02:11.150
<v Speaker 3>It's going to be the Vikings in survivor. That's our

1:02:11.190 --> 1:02:11.750
<v Speaker 3>show folks.

1:02:11.810 --> 1:02:14.850
<v Speaker 1>Simon and I will return on Sunday morning with the

1:02:14.970 --> 1:02:19.670
<v Speaker 1>final five for week four. We'll give out our official

1:02:19.810 --> 1:02:25.350
<v Speaker 1>picks in the $ 25, 000 free. Pick them in contests. Sign

1:02:25.370 --> 1:02:32.940
<v Speaker 1>up now, sharpersquare.thevolume.com. This has been Sharper Square, sponsored by Polymarket,

1:02:32.980 --> 1:02:36.380
<v Speaker 1>part of the Volume Podcast Network. Watch or listen on

1:02:36.820 --> 1:02:39.320
<v Speaker 1>YouTube at Sharper Square. Like this video, subscribe to the channel.

1:02:39.860 --> 1:02:42.280
<v Speaker 1>Download us from Spotify, Apple Pods, wherever you get your pods.

1:02:42.340 --> 1:02:43.320
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1:02:43.800 --> 1:02:46.750
<v Speaker 1>Leave us five stars. Say whatever you want. Feedback is

1:02:46.790 --> 1:02:49.189
<v Speaker 1>a gift. Until next time, love you.

1:02:50.470 --> 1:02:51.370
<v Speaker 3>One in the world.

1:02:51.890 --> 1:02:56.170
<v Speaker 2>There is absolutely no way possible that they should have

1:02:56.190 --> 1:02:58.880
<v Speaker 2>snapped that ball and tried to sneak it. There were three, four,

1:02:58.990 --> 1:02:59.800
<v Speaker 2>five guys.