1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:03,680 Speaker 1: We're gonna talk about Alphabet, the parent of Google, after 2 00:00:03,720 --> 00:00:08,520 Speaker 1: the Beldic company reported quarterly revenue slightly slightly below estimates. 3 00:00:08,680 --> 00:00:10,600 Speaker 1: We're going to take a deeper dive now with men 4 00:00:10,640 --> 00:00:14,760 Speaker 1: Deep Singh. He is the senior analyst covering Alphabet for 5 00:00:14,800 --> 00:00:18,400 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Intelligence. Men Deep, help me understand this. I mean, 6 00:00:18,520 --> 00:00:22,600 Speaker 1: everybody was so concerned about the ad sales figures coming 7 00:00:22,600 --> 00:00:24,880 Speaker 1: out of Snap. I mean that was a huge debacle. 8 00:00:25,000 --> 00:00:28,280 Speaker 1: The stock was crushed and there was a knock on effect. Right, 9 00:00:28,360 --> 00:00:30,760 Speaker 1: some of the companies like Alphabet got caught up in 10 00:00:30,840 --> 00:00:34,199 Speaker 1: that downdraft. You get a number that misses and there 11 00:00:34,240 --> 00:00:36,400 Speaker 1: seems to be such a sigh of relief. Is that 12 00:00:36,560 --> 00:00:38,640 Speaker 1: really what we're dealing with? Nothing more than a sigh 13 00:00:38,640 --> 00:00:42,400 Speaker 1: of relief? I think so. The immediate reaction is it 14 00:00:42,520 --> 00:00:46,320 Speaker 1: wasn't as bad as feared. But look, I think of 15 00:00:46,440 --> 00:00:50,120 Speaker 1: what they guided to, especially on the YouTube side, points 16 00:00:50,159 --> 00:00:54,160 Speaker 1: to weakness in terms of overall ad spend, and it's 17 00:00:54,200 --> 00:00:57,720 Speaker 1: going to trickle down to Alphabet and probably met our tomorrow. 18 00:00:57,880 --> 00:01:02,160 Speaker 1: So ad spending has often it's just searches, the most 19 00:01:02,240 --> 00:01:05,559 Speaker 1: resilient part of ad spend, and that is what showed 20 00:01:05,680 --> 00:01:11,920 Speaker 1: up in Alphabet's results today and YouTube met expectations when 21 00:01:11,959 --> 00:01:14,640 Speaker 1: it came to profit share, but how has it been 22 00:01:14,680 --> 00:01:19,679 Speaker 1: managing competition from TikTok well, So the growth really slowed 23 00:01:19,760 --> 00:01:25,280 Speaker 1: sharply five percent year over year growth was a sharp deceleration, 24 00:01:25,560 --> 00:01:29,959 Speaker 1: and I think it points to one advertisers pulling back 25 00:01:30,280 --> 00:01:33,360 Speaker 1: on the ad spend on YouTube as they have done 26 00:01:33,360 --> 00:01:37,160 Speaker 1: on other platforms, but also impressions growth, which is the 27 00:01:37,280 --> 00:01:41,400 Speaker 1: other big driver of ad spend, that seems to have slowed. 28 00:01:41,480 --> 00:01:45,000 Speaker 1: So that is a function of how well TikTok has done. 29 00:01:45,080 --> 00:01:49,160 Speaker 1: And really TikTok has taken share from all the competing 30 00:01:49,240 --> 00:01:52,600 Speaker 1: video platforms at this point of time, so it's showing up. 31 00:01:52,640 --> 00:01:54,840 Speaker 1: And I mean TikTok is in a public company, but 32 00:01:55,120 --> 00:01:58,240 Speaker 1: I would say they have the best impressions growth and 33 00:01:58,320 --> 00:02:01,880 Speaker 1: time spent on the platform. Right. So guidance in this 34 00:02:01,960 --> 00:02:04,360 Speaker 1: day and age, as you know, is extremely critical. We 35 00:02:04,440 --> 00:02:06,880 Speaker 1: heard from the Microsoft folks after the bell and that 36 00:02:06,960 --> 00:02:09,639 Speaker 1: was a pretty optimistic view for f y twenty three. 37 00:02:10,000 --> 00:02:12,160 Speaker 1: What do we know about the way in which Alphabet 38 00:02:12,200 --> 00:02:15,400 Speaker 1: expects the future to play out? Well? So Alphabet talked 39 00:02:15,400 --> 00:02:19,600 Speaker 1: about sharpening the focus on making sure all their segments 40 00:02:19,639 --> 00:02:23,120 Speaker 1: can be profitable on a standalone basis. I think the 41 00:02:23,240 --> 00:02:27,080 Speaker 1: question that investors may have is Google Cloud, which is 42 00:02:27,120 --> 00:02:30,600 Speaker 1: a twenty five billion dollar revenue run right business, is 43 00:02:30,600 --> 00:02:34,760 Speaker 1: still losing about eight million dollars a quarter. And when 44 00:02:34,760 --> 00:02:39,040 Speaker 1: you compare Google Cloud to Microsoft Azure and Amazon a 45 00:02:39,240 --> 00:02:43,639 Speaker 1: w S, both those businesses are north of in operating 46 00:02:43,680 --> 00:02:46,560 Speaker 1: margin and they are growing at a faster clip than 47 00:02:46,600 --> 00:02:49,800 Speaker 1: Google Cloud. So it makes you wonder why is Google 48 00:02:49,840 --> 00:02:53,960 Speaker 1: Cloud not profitable and what would it take to uh, 49 00:02:54,200 --> 00:02:57,040 Speaker 1: you know, make the segment profitable. I mean the head 50 00:02:57,080 --> 00:03:01,680 Speaker 1: count actually, Alphabet's headcround grew twenty are sent that's staggering. 51 00:03:01,680 --> 00:03:05,200 Speaker 1: They hired thirty thou people compared to last year and 52 00:03:05,360 --> 00:03:09,400 Speaker 1: most of them in cloud, and still the business isn't profitable. 53 00:03:09,440 --> 00:03:12,480 Speaker 1: So it makes you question the unit economics of the business. 54 00:03:13,320 --> 00:03:16,280 Speaker 1: Has that question being put in any of the analysts 55 00:03:16,280 --> 00:03:18,880 Speaker 1: calls when is the cloud going to turn a profit? Well, 56 00:03:18,960 --> 00:03:21,160 Speaker 1: so I think they were asked and they talked about 57 00:03:21,200 --> 00:03:25,359 Speaker 1: sharpening the focus and you know, making all the units profitable, 58 00:03:25,440 --> 00:03:28,840 Speaker 1: whether it's way More or Cloud. I think the question 59 00:03:28,960 --> 00:03:32,360 Speaker 1: is when, and right now, the core search business is 60 00:03:32,400 --> 00:03:35,920 Speaker 1: subsidizing all the other segments and look for a company 61 00:03:35,920 --> 00:03:40,200 Speaker 1: of Alphabet size, that's expected. We saw that with Amazon 62 00:03:40,280 --> 00:03:42,840 Speaker 1: back in the day, you know, building a WS. I 63 00:03:43,080 --> 00:03:47,040 Speaker 1: I think the fear is, uh, there isn't an end 64 00:03:47,080 --> 00:03:51,360 Speaker 1: inside in terms of the losses that Cloud is accumulating 65 00:03:51,480 --> 00:03:54,640 Speaker 1: and the other bets. Other bets segment lost one point 66 00:03:54,680 --> 00:03:58,000 Speaker 1: six billion this quarter. So just to give you the 67 00:03:58,040 --> 00:04:01,720 Speaker 1: magnitude of losses from all all these ancillary businesses they 68 00:04:01,800 --> 00:04:04,520 Speaker 1: keep piling up for Alphabet, We're going into some off 69 00:04:04,640 --> 00:04:07,720 Speaker 1: term elections. It's the silly season here, right with the 70 00:04:08,240 --> 00:04:10,800 Speaker 1: game of politics being played. Where are we when it 71 00:04:10,880 --> 00:04:17,400 Speaker 1: comes to antitrust investigations and potential UH mandates for some 72 00:04:17,520 --> 00:04:19,919 Speaker 1: type of change of behavior when it comes to some 73 00:04:19,960 --> 00:04:23,320 Speaker 1: of these big companies Alphabet included. Yeah, so you bring 74 00:04:23,400 --> 00:04:26,080 Speaker 1: up a great point. I think the cost of doing 75 00:04:26,160 --> 00:04:29,640 Speaker 1: business for Alphabet will continue to grow because of all 76 00:04:29,720 --> 00:04:34,839 Speaker 1: the regulatory focus and the focus on privacy with Apple's 77 00:04:35,640 --> 00:04:39,920 Speaker 1: you know, ad platform changes, and look, I think Alphabet 78 00:04:40,000 --> 00:04:43,920 Speaker 1: has a very tough time, you know, just migrating their 79 00:04:43,960 --> 00:04:47,599 Speaker 1: business away from all the scrutiny they draw because of 80 00:04:48,000 --> 00:04:50,760 Speaker 1: the perceived monopoly in search and all the data that 81 00:04:50,839 --> 00:04:55,120 Speaker 1: they collect, So I think overall the gross margin profile 82 00:04:55,200 --> 00:04:57,520 Speaker 1: of the business will come down because they have to 83 00:04:57,600 --> 00:05:00,440 Speaker 1: spend a lot more on convincing the regular eaders that 84 00:05:00,480 --> 00:05:03,360 Speaker 1: they're not doing anything bad when it comes to, you know, 85 00:05:03,760 --> 00:05:07,680 Speaker 1: all the consumer data that they're dealing with very quickly. 86 00:05:07,720 --> 00:05:10,320 Speaker 1: Man Deep, Alphabets sitting on a hundred and twenty four 87 00:05:10,320 --> 00:05:13,560 Speaker 1: billion dollar cash pile. What's that going to be used for? Yes, 88 00:05:13,680 --> 00:05:17,080 Speaker 1: so that's the silver lining. They talked about the seventy 89 00:05:17,160 --> 00:05:20,600 Speaker 1: billion dollar buy back authorization for this year, and they 90 00:05:20,600 --> 00:05:23,839 Speaker 1: have been aggressive with bye backs, so you could expect 91 00:05:23,880 --> 00:05:26,720 Speaker 1: them deploy a lot of that cash for buy backs, 92 00:05:26,720 --> 00:05:29,839 Speaker 1: but they clearly can't make any new acquisitions right now 93 00:05:29,839 --> 00:05:32,560 Speaker 1: with this regulatory environment. Yeah, when we talk to you 94 00:05:32,600 --> 00:05:35,240 Speaker 1: next time, maybe we can take a deeper dive into 95 00:05:35,960 --> 00:05:38,440 Speaker 1: the investment in R and D and what may lie 96 00:05:38,520 --> 00:05:42,440 Speaker 1: on the horizon for Alphabet, the parent of Google. Man Deep, 97 00:05:42,480 --> 00:05:44,560 Speaker 1: always a pleasure. Thank you so much for being with us, 98 00:05:45,040 --> 00:05:48,440 Speaker 1: Senior analyst, Man Deep saying, working for us here at 99 00:05:48,480 --> 00:05:49,560 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Intelligence