1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,960 Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to The Herd podcast. Be sure to 2 00:00:03,040 --> 00:00:05,720 Speaker 1: catch us live every weekday on Fox Sports Radio in 3 00:00:05,880 --> 00:00:09,560 Speaker 1: noon to three Eastern nine am to noon Pacific. Find 4 00:00:09,600 --> 00:00:12,119 Speaker 1: your local station for The Herd at Fox Sports Radio 5 00:00:12,200 --> 00:00:14,880 Speaker 1: dot com, or stream us live every day on the 6 00:00:14,920 --> 00:00:18,440 Speaker 1: iHeartRadio app by searching Fox Sports Radio or FSR. 7 00:00:21,920 --> 00:00:24,360 Speaker 2: You're listening to Fox Sports Radio. 8 00:00:26,720 --> 00:00:28,440 Speaker 3: Our number two, The Herd. 9 00:00:28,640 --> 00:00:31,080 Speaker 4: I'm Danny Parkins from FS one and soon to be 10 00:00:31,120 --> 00:00:34,639 Speaker 4: First things first in for Colin Coward. 11 00:00:35,880 --> 00:00:38,040 Speaker 3: Absolute thrill to be here. Thank you very. 12 00:00:38,000 --> 00:00:43,240 Speaker 4: Much for tuning in and listening wherever you are. Colin 13 00:00:43,280 --> 00:00:46,240 Speaker 4: does his blazing five. He's been doing it for a while. 14 00:00:48,120 --> 00:00:49,040 Speaker 4: Who does sharps thing? 15 00:00:49,800 --> 00:00:50,320 Speaker 5: I should just. 16 00:00:50,320 --> 00:00:51,160 Speaker 3: Ask what do I think? 17 00:00:51,760 --> 00:00:54,240 Speaker 4: Because I went sixty five percent in the NFL against 18 00:00:54,240 --> 00:00:55,040 Speaker 4: the spread last year. 19 00:00:55,080 --> 00:00:57,040 Speaker 3: You're like, why does he keep bringing it up? 20 00:00:57,240 --> 00:00:59,320 Speaker 4: Because that's really hard to do and it was the 21 00:00:59,360 --> 00:01:01,360 Speaker 4: best year of my life. Although it is back to 22 00:01:01,360 --> 00:01:04,400 Speaker 4: back sixty plus percent seasons against the spread in the NFL. 23 00:01:04,640 --> 00:01:08,360 Speaker 4: So I couldn't pass up the opportunity being in this 24 00:01:08,480 --> 00:01:13,319 Speaker 4: chair for Colin to leave you with some wagering opportunities. 25 00:01:13,520 --> 00:01:17,520 Speaker 4: If you see fit how I see the NFL heading 26 00:01:17,520 --> 00:01:20,440 Speaker 4: in to the twenty twenty five twenty twenty six season, 27 00:01:20,680 --> 00:01:22,840 Speaker 4: Why do you a five favorite over under or ten 28 00:01:22,880 --> 00:01:26,039 Speaker 4: favorite over under when you can give your thirty two 29 00:01:26,200 --> 00:01:30,640 Speaker 4: favorite over unders for the upcoming NFL season. Let's begin 30 00:01:31,240 --> 00:01:35,360 Speaker 4: in the NFC North, where I've picked the Lions to 31 00:01:35,400 --> 00:01:37,360 Speaker 4: be in the Super Bowl back to back years. Not 32 00:01:37,360 --> 00:01:38,840 Speaker 4: sure if I'll do it again this year, but I'm 33 00:01:38,840 --> 00:01:39,880 Speaker 4: definitely picking. 34 00:01:39,640 --> 00:01:40,760 Speaker 3: Them for over. 35 00:01:41,160 --> 00:01:44,120 Speaker 4: At ten and a half twenty seven wins over the 36 00:01:44,200 --> 00:01:47,280 Speaker 4: last two seasons, most in the NFL, that's more than 37 00:01:47,319 --> 00:01:51,320 Speaker 4: the Kansas City Chiefs interior offensive line questions, loss of 38 00:01:51,400 --> 00:01:55,280 Speaker 4: coordinator questions. But if their defense is just normal hurt 39 00:01:55,440 --> 00:01:58,680 Speaker 4: instead of extreme hurt, the offense is too good. That's 40 00:01:58,680 --> 00:02:01,560 Speaker 4: still an eleven or twelve win team. Yes, in that division. Yes, 41 00:02:01,600 --> 00:02:06,120 Speaker 4: with their schedule. The Vikings were nine and one in 42 00:02:06,200 --> 00:02:09,880 Speaker 4: one score games last year. I like JJ McCarthy, I 43 00:02:09,880 --> 00:02:12,080 Speaker 4: love Kevin O'Connell, but that's an under. 44 00:02:12,400 --> 00:02:14,920 Speaker 3: That's an under if I've ever seen one. For them 45 00:02:15,360 --> 00:02:16,840 Speaker 3: at nine and a half. 46 00:02:16,760 --> 00:02:20,560 Speaker 4: Fourteen wins felt like a fluke last year, win seven 47 00:02:20,600 --> 00:02:24,519 Speaker 4: eight games, have your quarterback for the future, They'll be fine. 48 00:02:25,080 --> 00:02:27,960 Speaker 4: The Packers are under at nine and a half, this 49 00:02:28,040 --> 00:02:29,880 Speaker 4: division is going to be very bunched up. I think 50 00:02:29,919 --> 00:02:32,840 Speaker 4: between two, three and four. Obviously those could finish in 51 00:02:32,960 --> 00:02:35,760 Speaker 4: any order. Two and six against teams that made the 52 00:02:35,800 --> 00:02:39,800 Speaker 4: playoffs last year were the Green Bay Packers, and I 53 00:02:39,840 --> 00:02:42,360 Speaker 4: was surprised. I know they love Golden the first round pick. 54 00:02:42,520 --> 00:02:46,280 Speaker 4: I was surprised they invested another asset into receiver. On 55 00:02:46,320 --> 00:02:48,960 Speaker 4: the offensive side of the ball, they need more pass rush. 56 00:02:49,200 --> 00:02:51,679 Speaker 4: For me, they lived and died by the turnover last year. 57 00:02:51,680 --> 00:02:53,760 Speaker 4: With the new defensive coordinator, Bump and McKinney had an 58 00:02:53,840 --> 00:02:56,120 Speaker 4: unbelievable first year in Green Bay. If they don't have 59 00:02:56,160 --> 00:02:58,360 Speaker 4: as much turnover luck this year, I think it's more 60 00:02:58,400 --> 00:03:01,120 Speaker 4: like an eight win season for the Packers. And I 61 00:03:01,160 --> 00:03:04,079 Speaker 4: know the Bears are the all hype team, but everything 62 00:03:04,120 --> 00:03:06,160 Speaker 4: in the world went wrong for them last year. 63 00:03:06,520 --> 00:03:08,800 Speaker 3: If just a few things. 64 00:03:08,919 --> 00:03:11,959 Speaker 4: Go right, the amount of upgrades that they had at coach, 65 00:03:12,320 --> 00:03:17,360 Speaker 4: play caller, offensive line, defensive line, two tight ends, set 66 00:03:17,880 --> 00:03:21,200 Speaker 4: second year of Caleb Williams in the pros, people like, oh, 67 00:03:21,280 --> 00:03:22,239 Speaker 4: Kayleb Williams was a bust. 68 00:03:22,280 --> 00:03:23,440 Speaker 3: Kayleb Williams wasn't good. 69 00:03:24,400 --> 00:03:26,960 Speaker 4: That was the best quarterback season that the Bears had 70 00:03:26,960 --> 00:03:31,320 Speaker 4: had in a decade. Not hyperbole, thirty five hundred passing 71 00:03:31,400 --> 00:03:33,560 Speaker 4: yards was the most the Bear's quarterback had had since 72 00:03:33,600 --> 00:03:36,400 Speaker 4: twenty sixteen. He'll be better. The Bears will be better. 73 00:03:36,600 --> 00:03:38,840 Speaker 4: They're a nine or a ten win team this season. 74 00:03:39,280 --> 00:03:42,680 Speaker 4: Let's go to the NFC East. The Eagles are the 75 00:03:42,680 --> 00:03:46,360 Speaker 4: best team in football. The Eagles aren't over team. They're 76 00:03:46,360 --> 00:03:48,640 Speaker 4: totals at eleven and a half, which is very high, 77 00:03:49,200 --> 00:03:53,760 Speaker 4: but they've gone over their win total under Nick Siriani 78 00:03:54,160 --> 00:03:58,280 Speaker 4: three of four years, and if they have no weaknesses, 79 00:03:59,000 --> 00:04:02,720 Speaker 4: it's hard to pick them to not hit their over 80 00:04:03,560 --> 00:04:04,880 Speaker 4: You could say, well, it could be injuries. 81 00:04:04,920 --> 00:04:06,640 Speaker 3: Sure, it could be injuries for any team. 82 00:04:06,680 --> 00:04:08,560 Speaker 4: I'm not going to go thirty two for thirty two though, 83 00:04:08,560 --> 00:04:11,640 Speaker 4: that is the goal on this exercise. But also part 84 00:04:11,640 --> 00:04:13,720 Speaker 4: of it for the Eagles is that I think the 85 00:04:13,760 --> 00:04:15,800 Speaker 4: next two teams that everyone thinks are going to challenge 86 00:04:15,800 --> 00:04:18,279 Speaker 4: them in the nfcast, the Commanders and Cowboys. I have 87 00:04:18,440 --> 00:04:21,680 Speaker 4: both of them going under their win total this year. 88 00:04:21,960 --> 00:04:24,159 Speaker 4: The Commanders might be the team with the better roster 89 00:04:24,520 --> 00:04:27,280 Speaker 4: but the worst win loss record. I just don't know 90 00:04:27,720 --> 00:04:32,440 Speaker 4: that you can replicate converting eighty seven percent of your 91 00:04:32,440 --> 00:04:33,480 Speaker 4: fourth downs. 92 00:04:33,480 --> 00:04:34,920 Speaker 3: Which is what they did last year. 93 00:04:35,200 --> 00:04:37,479 Speaker 4: They lived on the edge and it was one score 94 00:04:37,560 --> 00:04:40,200 Speaker 4: victories and it was impressive and it was remarkable that 95 00:04:40,240 --> 00:04:41,919 Speaker 4: it was being done by a rookie quarterback. 96 00:04:42,440 --> 00:04:43,440 Speaker 2: But if that. 97 00:04:43,520 --> 00:04:47,080 Speaker 4: Regresses to the mean even a little bit, the Commanders 98 00:04:47,080 --> 00:04:49,320 Speaker 4: aren't under team. Remember they beat Tampa in that playoff 99 00:04:49,360 --> 00:04:52,839 Speaker 4: game by three points. Cowboys under eight and a half. 100 00:04:53,800 --> 00:04:56,200 Speaker 4: We talk about Dallas last year, like Dak Prescott got 101 00:04:56,279 --> 00:04:58,599 Speaker 4: hurt in the first game of the season, they were 102 00:04:58,760 --> 00:05:04,240 Speaker 4: three and five with Dak Prescott with non impressive wins 103 00:05:05,160 --> 00:05:07,279 Speaker 4: the end of the game, win against the Steelers, a 104 00:05:07,279 --> 00:05:10,479 Speaker 4: win over the Giants, a win over the Browns. It 105 00:05:10,560 --> 00:05:13,360 Speaker 4: was just not an impressive football team. And I think 106 00:05:13,360 --> 00:05:17,080 Speaker 4: they've got a ton of questions on their offensive line. 107 00:05:17,279 --> 00:05:20,280 Speaker 4: The Giants are an over team for me at five 108 00:05:20,320 --> 00:05:23,280 Speaker 4: and a half, even though their schedules absolutely brutal. Jeff 109 00:05:23,279 --> 00:05:25,120 Speaker 4: Schwartz was on yesterday he had their under there. 110 00:05:25,160 --> 00:05:26,800 Speaker 3: There's no question the schedules brutal. 111 00:05:27,520 --> 00:05:31,440 Speaker 4: But what if they're a top ten defense because they 112 00:05:31,440 --> 00:05:33,960 Speaker 4: were eighth and sacks last year and they added Abdul Carter. 113 00:05:34,800 --> 00:05:40,560 Speaker 4: Their front seven is nasty. Malik Naghbors is nasty. I 114 00:05:40,600 --> 00:05:43,080 Speaker 4: don't know what did Jackson Dard and Russell Wilson. It's 115 00:05:43,120 --> 00:05:45,760 Speaker 4: probably going to be bottom ten quarterback play in the 116 00:05:45,880 --> 00:05:48,599 Speaker 4: NFL and coaching GM are definitely on the hot seat. 117 00:05:49,200 --> 00:05:51,719 Speaker 4: But if you've got a top ten defense, you're in 118 00:05:51,920 --> 00:05:52,839 Speaker 4: a lot of games. 119 00:05:53,240 --> 00:05:54,440 Speaker 3: Let's go to the NFC South. 120 00:05:56,160 --> 00:05:58,400 Speaker 4: The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are the best organization in the 121 00:05:58,480 --> 00:06:01,760 Speaker 4: NFL that people just don't respect enough. Baker Mayfield last 122 00:06:01,760 --> 00:06:09,400 Speaker 4: two seasons comfortably inside the top ten in touchdowns, yards points. 123 00:06:10,200 --> 00:06:11,040 Speaker 3: That's useful. 124 00:06:11,560 --> 00:06:14,640 Speaker 4: Over at nine and a half teams in the NFL 125 00:06:14,720 --> 00:06:17,800 Speaker 4: quick trivia question that have made the playoffs five or 126 00:06:17,800 --> 00:06:23,520 Speaker 4: more straight years. Three teams, Chiefs, Bills, Bucks. Now, some 127 00:06:23,680 --> 00:06:27,360 Speaker 4: of that's Tom Brady obviously, but Bucks are a well 128 00:06:27,360 --> 00:06:28,440 Speaker 4: oiled machine at this point. 129 00:06:28,720 --> 00:06:32,040 Speaker 3: On the offensive side of the ball. Falcons have bit 130 00:06:32,160 --> 00:06:32,839 Speaker 3: me before. 131 00:06:32,600 --> 00:06:33,920 Speaker 4: And I'm going to go back to the well here 132 00:06:33,920 --> 00:06:36,400 Speaker 4: and say the Falcons get over on seven and a 133 00:06:36,440 --> 00:06:39,520 Speaker 4: half wins. Michael Penis with his huge arms, seemed to 134 00:06:39,600 --> 00:06:41,560 Speaker 4: unlock some of the skill position guys who was like, hey, 135 00:06:41,720 --> 00:06:44,120 Speaker 4: let's draft Drake London and Kyle Pitts and v Jon 136 00:06:44,240 --> 00:06:46,840 Speaker 4: Robinson and then not give him the ball. It was 137 00:06:46,839 --> 00:06:49,279 Speaker 4: a bold strategy and it did not work out for him. 138 00:06:49,560 --> 00:06:51,640 Speaker 4: But Pennis looks really good in the three games, even 139 00:06:51,640 --> 00:06:54,440 Speaker 4: though he's an unconventional quarterback, but he fires the ball 140 00:06:54,480 --> 00:06:56,599 Speaker 4: down the field. And they've had the worst pass rush 141 00:06:56,640 --> 00:06:59,320 Speaker 4: in the NFL the last five years, and they used 142 00:07:00,360 --> 00:07:02,680 Speaker 4: two first round picks to go out and get some 143 00:07:02,839 --> 00:07:05,200 Speaker 4: young pass rushers, traded next year's first to move up, 144 00:07:05,360 --> 00:07:08,160 Speaker 4: and then their first round pick this year, so their 145 00:07:08,160 --> 00:07:11,040 Speaker 4: pass rush is even average. I think the Falcons are 146 00:07:11,120 --> 00:07:15,480 Speaker 4: an overteam, same with the Panthers. The schedule's easy, and 147 00:07:15,520 --> 00:07:17,560 Speaker 4: Bryce Young looked better at the end of the year, 148 00:07:17,840 --> 00:07:19,560 Speaker 4: and some of the upgrades, like if they are just 149 00:07:20,040 --> 00:07:23,160 Speaker 4: a bottom they're like the twenty second best defense in 150 00:07:23,200 --> 00:07:26,360 Speaker 4: the NFL instead of dead last, especially against the run 151 00:07:26,360 --> 00:07:30,320 Speaker 4: where they were historically terrible. And Bryce Young continues to progress. 152 00:07:31,280 --> 00:07:33,520 Speaker 4: Guy had seven touchdowns against zero picks in his last 153 00:07:33,520 --> 00:07:37,080 Speaker 4: three games. They can win seven games. The Saints, however, 154 00:07:37,120 --> 00:07:39,560 Speaker 4: cannot win six. The Saints are an under five and 155 00:07:39,560 --> 00:07:42,080 Speaker 4: a half team. I think they are tanking. I think 156 00:07:42,080 --> 00:07:45,560 Speaker 4: they are a prime trade candidate. I hope Alvin Kamara 157 00:07:45,600 --> 00:07:48,440 Speaker 4: does not finish the season with the Saints. The Saints, 158 00:07:48,480 --> 00:07:51,120 Speaker 4: by the way, went owens seven in games last year 159 00:07:52,160 --> 00:07:55,880 Speaker 4: whenever Derek Carr was not their starting quarterback and producer 160 00:07:55,920 --> 00:07:58,720 Speaker 4: noe Derek Carr not their starting quarterback to the NFC West. 161 00:08:00,200 --> 00:08:03,440 Speaker 4: The Rams have won over ten games in six of 162 00:08:03,480 --> 00:08:06,720 Speaker 4: the eight years with Sean McVay. It's embarrassing how much 163 00:08:06,720 --> 00:08:09,360 Speaker 4: I went back and forth on this total, just because 164 00:08:09,960 --> 00:08:13,040 Speaker 4: I do really worry about the injuries on their offensive line. 165 00:08:13,520 --> 00:08:17,920 Speaker 4: But Kuka Nakua, Devonte Adams, Sean McVay calling the plays, 166 00:08:17,920 --> 00:08:21,320 Speaker 4: with Matt Stafford slinging it with Fisk and Verse on 167 00:08:21,400 --> 00:08:25,000 Speaker 4: the defensive line, I just can't quit the Rams and 168 00:08:25,080 --> 00:08:29,400 Speaker 4: the Niners. Purty's not great, but he's good enough. Shanahan's 169 00:08:29,440 --> 00:08:32,960 Speaker 4: elite to me. The key is Christian McCaffrey's health. He's 170 00:08:33,000 --> 00:08:35,960 Speaker 4: worth four points per game when he's in the lineup 171 00:08:36,040 --> 00:08:39,000 Speaker 4: VERSU nine in the lineup for the Niners. Kyle Shanahan 172 00:08:39,080 --> 00:08:42,480 Speaker 4: got Alfred Morris to be productive, like with Atlanta, with 173 00:08:42,520 --> 00:08:46,360 Speaker 4: San Francisco, anybody produces in the running game for Kyle Shanahan, 174 00:08:46,400 --> 00:08:47,719 Speaker 4: you give him Christian McCaffrey. 175 00:08:47,960 --> 00:08:48,880 Speaker 3: It's a cheat code. 176 00:08:49,080 --> 00:08:51,720 Speaker 4: All indications are that he is one hundred percent healthy, 177 00:08:51,880 --> 00:08:53,800 Speaker 4: changed his regimen is going to be good to. 178 00:08:53,760 --> 00:08:54,920 Speaker 3: Go for this year. 179 00:08:56,080 --> 00:08:58,640 Speaker 4: The Seahawks at under eight and a half, I got 180 00:08:58,760 --> 00:09:03,160 Speaker 4: huge offensive line, I've got huge Sam Darnold questions. How 181 00:09:03,200 --> 00:09:06,559 Speaker 4: he finished last year in that game against the Vikings 182 00:09:06,600 --> 00:09:09,280 Speaker 4: and the playoff game leaves a bat. I mean, going 183 00:09:09,280 --> 00:09:13,120 Speaker 4: from Kevin O'Connell and Justin Jefferson and that offensive line 184 00:09:13,320 --> 00:09:15,679 Speaker 4: to everything that he's got going on in Seattle right now, 185 00:09:16,320 --> 00:09:19,319 Speaker 4: that just feels like a rude awakening. But an absolutely 186 00:09:19,400 --> 00:09:23,040 Speaker 4: legendary offseason at the Bank. And then the Cardinals under 187 00:09:23,080 --> 00:09:26,120 Speaker 4: eight and a half struggled with this one too, but 188 00:09:26,160 --> 00:09:30,320 Speaker 4: they've only won more than eight games with Kyler Murray once. 189 00:09:31,160 --> 00:09:34,200 Speaker 4: I like Comparrison, I like McBride. They run the ball 190 00:09:34,240 --> 00:09:36,720 Speaker 4: when Kyler Murray is in there. But I think the 191 00:09:36,800 --> 00:09:39,640 Speaker 4: division is really good at the top, and I just can't. 192 00:09:39,360 --> 00:09:40,520 Speaker 3: Count on them to stay healthy. 193 00:09:40,720 --> 00:09:42,760 Speaker 4: And they didn't do anything in terms of additions on 194 00:09:42,800 --> 00:09:45,160 Speaker 4: the offensive side of the ball. It's because the AFC, 195 00:09:46,280 --> 00:09:49,199 Speaker 4: we're doing it like a clock. I was told northeast Southwest. 196 00:09:49,200 --> 00:09:52,680 Speaker 4: It makes sense, AFC North, Yeah, checks, it works. You 197 00:09:52,679 --> 00:09:55,319 Speaker 4: don't have to double check me on then Ravens under 198 00:09:55,920 --> 00:09:58,680 Speaker 4: eleven and a half. Five of the first six games 199 00:09:58,920 --> 00:10:03,520 Speaker 4: are against playoff team from last year, and their offense 200 00:10:03,679 --> 00:10:06,000 Speaker 4: was so his story. I mean, Lamar Jackson had four 201 00:10:06,000 --> 00:10:09,960 Speaker 4: interceptions last year, Derrick Henry was healthy, it was an 202 00:10:10,000 --> 00:10:13,679 Speaker 4: impossible offense. Feels even though I think Z eight Flowers 203 00:10:13,720 --> 00:10:16,720 Speaker 4: will be much better this year, feels very difficult to 204 00:10:16,920 --> 00:10:18,800 Speaker 4: replicate that. I think that they can be a ten 205 00:10:18,880 --> 00:10:21,560 Speaker 4: win team that still is very dangerous and has a 206 00:10:21,679 --> 00:10:25,600 Speaker 4: very high ceiling, but with their schedule regresses a little bit. 207 00:10:25,960 --> 00:10:28,600 Speaker 4: It's also because I believe in the Bengals and the Steelers, 208 00:10:28,640 --> 00:10:32,040 Speaker 4: I have overs for both of them. This Bengals fact 209 00:10:32,080 --> 00:10:34,040 Speaker 4: is maybe my favorite one of the whole exercise that 210 00:10:34,080 --> 00:10:35,720 Speaker 4: we're doing here. As I go through all thirty two 211 00:10:35,800 --> 00:10:38,920 Speaker 4: over unders, they averaged twenty seven point eight points per 212 00:10:38,920 --> 00:10:41,920 Speaker 4: game last year. Last five years, if you score twenty 213 00:10:42,000 --> 00:10:44,520 Speaker 4: seven or more points on average, you win twelve games. 214 00:10:44,920 --> 00:10:49,000 Speaker 3: They won nine. Just be competent defensively, use. 215 00:10:48,960 --> 00:10:50,920 Speaker 4: Three or your first four picks on defensive players in 216 00:10:50,920 --> 00:10:54,000 Speaker 4: the draft. Defensive coordinator bump. Bengals are double did you 217 00:10:54,040 --> 00:10:57,800 Speaker 4: win team. Steelers just have to be okay on offense 218 00:10:57,840 --> 00:10:59,679 Speaker 4: to hit this over. They're thirty seven and six in 219 00:10:59,679 --> 00:11:02,439 Speaker 4: their life last five years. If they score twenty points 220 00:11:02,440 --> 00:11:06,520 Speaker 4: in a game, thirty seven and six score twenty Aaron Rodgers, 221 00:11:06,559 --> 00:11:08,720 Speaker 4: you God, DK metcalf and John who Smith and Jalen 222 00:11:08,760 --> 00:11:11,640 Speaker 4: Warren in Friarmuth. Can you score twenty one points per game? 223 00:11:11,679 --> 00:11:13,679 Speaker 4: If you can, Mike Tomlin's gonna get you to over 224 00:11:13,720 --> 00:11:16,000 Speaker 4: eight and a half. Let's go through the Browns first 225 00:11:16,040 --> 00:11:19,040 Speaker 4: six game, shall we. You'll understand why they're at under 226 00:11:19,080 --> 00:11:24,440 Speaker 4: five and a half. Bengals, Ravens, Packers, Lions, Vikings, Steelers. Yikes, 227 00:11:25,120 --> 00:11:27,439 Speaker 4: that feels like an zero to six start for the 228 00:11:27,480 --> 00:11:29,400 Speaker 4: Cleveland Browns. I got them under five and a half 229 00:11:29,480 --> 00:11:33,520 Speaker 4: wins to the AFC East the Buffalo Bills. No one's 230 00:11:33,559 --> 00:11:36,000 Speaker 4: caught up to them in this division. Patriots have gotten better, 231 00:11:36,120 --> 00:11:37,800 Speaker 4: no doubt about it. But I think people are going 232 00:11:37,800 --> 00:11:41,599 Speaker 4: a little crazy there. Buffalo is odds on favorite to 233 00:11:41,640 --> 00:11:44,040 Speaker 4: be the one seed in the AFC, the biggest favorite 234 00:11:44,040 --> 00:11:46,560 Speaker 4: to win a division of any team in the NFL. 235 00:11:47,280 --> 00:11:50,960 Speaker 4: Awesome offensive line, a few key defensive additions, the MVP 236 00:11:51,080 --> 00:11:55,319 Speaker 4: of the league, a balanced attack. Finally, the young wide 237 00:11:55,320 --> 00:11:58,200 Speaker 4: receivers like Shakira and Coleman should only get better. 238 00:11:58,440 --> 00:11:59,880 Speaker 3: They bludge into teams. 239 00:11:59,600 --> 00:12:02,240 Speaker 4: In the regular season best regular season point differential the 240 00:12:02,320 --> 00:12:04,920 Speaker 4: last five years. Bills are a clear overteam at eleven 241 00:12:04,960 --> 00:12:08,640 Speaker 4: and a half. The Patriots I feel like raised their floor, 242 00:12:09,040 --> 00:12:12,480 Speaker 4: but not their ceiling. I love Drake may I own 243 00:12:12,520 --> 00:12:15,320 Speaker 4: all the Drake maystock you could possibly own. They've had 244 00:12:15,360 --> 00:12:17,240 Speaker 4: one year where they've won more than eight games since 245 00:12:17,280 --> 00:12:19,920 Speaker 4: Tom Brady, and it feels like they're one year away 246 00:12:20,200 --> 00:12:22,640 Speaker 4: from getting there. I like what they did, it's about 247 00:12:22,679 --> 00:12:24,960 Speaker 4: like the infrastructure and the guts and the team, but 248 00:12:25,040 --> 00:12:27,480 Speaker 4: I still think they need a little bit more, you know, 249 00:12:27,840 --> 00:12:29,840 Speaker 4: weapons and help to put the ball in the end 250 00:12:29,920 --> 00:12:32,120 Speaker 4: zone for Drake may So, I think they're a year 251 00:12:32,120 --> 00:12:35,640 Speaker 4: away from being a playoff team. I mean, the Jets 252 00:12:35,679 --> 00:12:37,599 Speaker 4: are a disaster. Jets are an under five and a 253 00:12:37,640 --> 00:12:39,760 Speaker 4: half win team. And I love Justin Fields as a guy, 254 00:12:39,800 --> 00:12:42,400 Speaker 4: but he is not in a good situation to be successful, 255 00:12:42,400 --> 00:12:45,920 Speaker 4: despite any reports that he knew Garrett Wilson in college. Fine, 256 00:12:46,000 --> 00:12:48,760 Speaker 4: that's not enough for them to win six games this season, 257 00:12:49,160 --> 00:12:51,079 Speaker 4: and the Dolphins at seven and a half, the injuries 258 00:12:51,080 --> 00:12:54,040 Speaker 4: are already starting to pile up and to a I 259 00:12:54,040 --> 00:12:56,920 Speaker 4: mean when he played seventeen games, great, when he doesn't, 260 00:12:57,000 --> 00:12:59,200 Speaker 4: no one else can operate Mike McDaniel's offense. 261 00:12:59,320 --> 00:13:02,400 Speaker 3: And talk to a Dolphins fan, they're like, the NFL 262 00:13:02,440 --> 00:13:05,360 Speaker 3: has figured out our offense. That's not good. 263 00:13:05,640 --> 00:13:08,480 Speaker 4: If every Dolphins fans like, yeah, everyone knows what's coming 264 00:13:08,520 --> 00:13:11,520 Speaker 4: every single play, probably not a good recipe to win 265 00:13:11,600 --> 00:13:13,920 Speaker 4: eight or nine games. Let's go to the AFC South 266 00:13:13,920 --> 00:13:16,200 Speaker 4: as we go through all thirty two NFL over unders 267 00:13:16,480 --> 00:13:20,000 Speaker 4: this year. The Texans were five and one against the 268 00:13:20,000 --> 00:13:24,800 Speaker 4: AFC South last year and five and six against everyone else, won. 269 00:13:24,640 --> 00:13:26,040 Speaker 3: In five against playoff teams. 270 00:13:26,720 --> 00:13:29,240 Speaker 4: Yes they had offensive line injuries, Yes they had wide 271 00:13:29,280 --> 00:13:32,600 Speaker 4: receiver injuries, but CJ. Stroud spent most of the season 272 00:13:32,679 --> 00:13:35,040 Speaker 4: on his back looking up at the domed ceiling, and 273 00:13:35,040 --> 00:13:38,520 Speaker 4: then they traded away Laramie Tunsel. I don't get that 274 00:13:38,559 --> 00:13:41,400 Speaker 4: one under nine and a half for the Texans. I 275 00:13:41,440 --> 00:13:43,600 Speaker 4: think the Colts are a good organization with a good coach, 276 00:13:44,320 --> 00:13:47,880 Speaker 4: and people seem to love Daniel Jones. Okay, fine, I 277 00:13:47,960 --> 00:13:52,600 Speaker 4: love Anthony Richardson's talent, but they've won eight or more 278 00:13:52,679 --> 00:13:55,959 Speaker 4: games in four of the last five years. The Colts 279 00:13:55,960 --> 00:13:58,760 Speaker 4: are good. The Colts are feisty. They maybe don't have 280 00:13:58,800 --> 00:14:01,200 Speaker 4: as high as a ceiling as some of these other teams, 281 00:14:01,720 --> 00:14:03,800 Speaker 4: but they've won eight or more games in four of 282 00:14:03,840 --> 00:14:07,959 Speaker 4: the last five years despite having eight different quarterbacks. It's 283 00:14:08,000 --> 00:14:12,360 Speaker 4: a good organization. Jaguars under seven and a half. I mean, 284 00:14:14,320 --> 00:14:17,760 Speaker 4: Liam Cohen, maybe I love Travis Hunter, but I got 285 00:14:17,800 --> 00:14:19,720 Speaker 4: to see it before I believe it. They've gone under 286 00:14:20,000 --> 00:14:22,520 Speaker 4: their win total in three of four years with Trevor 287 00:14:22,600 --> 00:14:26,480 Speaker 4: Lawrence as their starting quarterback. The Titans offense last year 288 00:14:26,520 --> 00:14:29,360 Speaker 4: was so historically bad that if cam Ward gives them anything, 289 00:14:29,560 --> 00:14:31,840 Speaker 4: I think they hit their over on five and a 290 00:14:31,880 --> 00:14:36,400 Speaker 4: half wins, fourth worst in the NFL, averaging one hundred 291 00:14:36,440 --> 00:14:40,040 Speaker 4: and eighty two passing yards the last three seasons. If 292 00:14:40,120 --> 00:14:42,920 Speaker 4: he gets them to like two twenty five, that's such 293 00:14:42,960 --> 00:14:46,120 Speaker 4: a massive improvement. I think they can eke out six wins. 294 00:14:47,120 --> 00:14:49,240 Speaker 4: So the division that people think is the best in 295 00:14:49,280 --> 00:14:51,920 Speaker 4: the NFL will wrap it up. In the AFC West, 296 00:14:53,160 --> 00:14:55,520 Speaker 4: the Chiefs aren't over team until prove it otherwise. 297 00:14:56,080 --> 00:14:57,680 Speaker 3: It's a cliche, but they know how to win. 298 00:14:58,360 --> 00:15:00,720 Speaker 4: But they improve their offensive line, they improve the health 299 00:15:00,720 --> 00:15:03,240 Speaker 4: of the receiver corps. They lost Joe Tooney, but they 300 00:15:03,240 --> 00:15:06,720 Speaker 4: seem to have upgraded at left tackle. Their defense is 301 00:15:06,760 --> 00:15:10,200 Speaker 4: top three in the NFL, twelve or more wins in 302 00:15:10,360 --> 00:15:13,440 Speaker 4: six of seven seasons with Patrick Mahomes as a starter. 303 00:15:13,840 --> 00:15:15,600 Speaker 3: Andy Reid is an over machine. 304 00:15:15,920 --> 00:15:17,880 Speaker 4: He hit his overs when he had Alex Smith as 305 00:15:17,920 --> 00:15:20,800 Speaker 4: this quarterback in Kansas City. They're a thirteen win team 306 00:15:20,840 --> 00:15:23,880 Speaker 4: until proven otherwise. You guys know, I can't quit Justin 307 00:15:23,920 --> 00:15:28,480 Speaker 4: Herbert and the Chargers, but number one scoring defense year 308 00:15:28,600 --> 00:15:32,680 Speaker 4: two of Harball, first round pick, running back, second round pick, 309 00:15:33,000 --> 00:15:36,240 Speaker 4: deep threat, wide receiver to help out Lad McConkie, an 310 00:15:36,240 --> 00:15:40,000 Speaker 4: absolute stud, arguably the best tackle duo in the NFL. 311 00:15:40,560 --> 00:15:42,480 Speaker 4: Harball goes eleven and six last year. 312 00:15:43,200 --> 00:15:44,800 Speaker 3: This is an over for the Chargers. 313 00:15:45,880 --> 00:15:48,800 Speaker 4: Broncos went five to five through ten games and then 314 00:15:48,800 --> 00:15:51,760 Speaker 4: they won five of their last seven. They are a 315 00:15:51,880 --> 00:15:55,640 Speaker 4: very good team. This is a very good division. Someone 316 00:15:55,800 --> 00:15:58,600 Speaker 4: has to go up under and I'm betting on there 317 00:15:58,640 --> 00:16:01,360 Speaker 4: being a little bit of a plateau for the Broncos 318 00:16:01,400 --> 00:16:05,880 Speaker 4: offense and we'll see. I mean Ingram Hufanga, GreenWave. They 319 00:16:05,960 --> 00:16:09,040 Speaker 4: made additions, but they also have some injury concerns. For me, 320 00:16:09,080 --> 00:16:11,160 Speaker 4: with some of the guys that they added, so I'm 321 00:16:11,160 --> 00:16:12,640 Speaker 4: not ready to say that they're a back to back 322 00:16:12,640 --> 00:16:16,280 Speaker 4: double digit win team, but the Raiders go over on 323 00:16:16,440 --> 00:16:19,520 Speaker 4: six and a half. No team in the NFL upgraded more. 324 00:16:19,840 --> 00:16:24,560 Speaker 4: At coach and quarterback Gino Smith is good. He's not great, 325 00:16:25,040 --> 00:16:28,080 Speaker 4: but he is accurate. He slings it, and he had 326 00:16:28,160 --> 00:16:31,480 Speaker 4: no offensive line. There are questions about the Raiders offensive line, 327 00:16:31,520 --> 00:16:33,760 Speaker 4: no doubt, but my point is he's used to it, 328 00:16:34,160 --> 00:16:36,560 Speaker 4: and now he gets a confident head coach, he gets 329 00:16:36,600 --> 00:16:38,120 Speaker 4: Ashton Gent, he. 330 00:16:38,120 --> 00:16:39,160 Speaker 3: Gets brock Bauers. 331 00:16:39,400 --> 00:16:41,240 Speaker 4: That's going to be a fun team to watch and 332 00:16:41,320 --> 00:16:44,520 Speaker 4: a really difficult team to gain plan against. So I 333 00:16:44,520 --> 00:16:47,560 Speaker 4: think the Raiders are a pesky team in the AFC 334 00:16:47,600 --> 00:16:52,840 Speaker 4: this year. And that concludes thirty two NFL over unders. 335 00:16:52,960 --> 00:16:54,720 Speaker 4: It feels like what twenty nine and three, I guess 336 00:16:54,720 --> 00:16:56,200 Speaker 4: it's spread right there. I felt like twenty nine and 337 00:16:56,200 --> 00:16:59,240 Speaker 4: three a little shaky on maybe the Cardinals the Panthers, 338 00:16:59,680 --> 00:17:02,160 Speaker 4: But hey, if you go sixty five percent, I guess 339 00:17:02,200 --> 00:17:04,240 Speaker 4: the spread of the NFL last year, you gotta have 340 00:17:04,359 --> 00:17:06,600 Speaker 4: some confidence heading into the next year. So that's how 341 00:17:06,640 --> 00:17:09,480 Speaker 4: I see the NFL heading into the twenty twenty five 342 00:17:09,840 --> 00:17:10,639 Speaker 4: NFL season. 343 00:17:11,440 --> 00:17:14,800 Speaker 3: How much longer. Are the Cowboys gonna wait to pay? Mic? 344 00:17:15,960 --> 00:17:19,440 Speaker 4: We go around the NFL with who Mike Jones? Sorry 345 00:17:19,440 --> 00:17:20,960 Speaker 4: I had to Danny Parkinson for Colin. 346 00:17:21,000 --> 00:17:21,640 Speaker 3: This is the hurt. 347 00:17:22,960 --> 00:17:26,000 Speaker 2: One more heard. The Herd streams twenty four hours a day, 348 00:17:26,119 --> 00:17:29,359 Speaker 2: seven days a week within the iHeartRadio app. Search Herd 349 00:17:29,359 --> 00:17:32,359 Speaker 2: to listen live or on demand whenever you like. 350 00:17:32,880 --> 00:17:36,040 Speaker 5: Hey, we're Cavino and Rich Fox Sports Radio every day 351 00:17:36,320 --> 00:17:38,719 Speaker 5: five to seven pm Eastern. But here's the thing, we 352 00:17:38,760 --> 00:17:40,960 Speaker 5: never have enough time to get to everything we want 353 00:17:41,000 --> 00:17:41,320 Speaker 5: to get to. 354 00:17:41,560 --> 00:17:44,040 Speaker 6: And that's why we have a brand new podcast called 355 00:17:44,119 --> 00:17:46,679 Speaker 6: over Promised. You see, we're having so much fun in 356 00:17:46,720 --> 00:17:50,320 Speaker 6: our two hour show. We never get to everything, honestly, 357 00:17:50,680 --> 00:17:53,600 Speaker 6: because this guy is over promising things we never have 358 00:17:53,800 --> 00:17:54,199 Speaker 6: time for. 359 00:17:54,320 --> 00:17:55,720 Speaker 3: Yeah, you blubber list name in me. 360 00:17:55,920 --> 00:17:57,840 Speaker 5: Well you know what it's called over promise. You should 361 00:17:57,840 --> 00:17:59,520 Speaker 5: be good at it because you've been over promising women 362 00:17:59,560 --> 00:17:59,960 Speaker 5: for years. 363 00:18:00,119 --> 00:18:02,600 Speaker 6: Well, it's a Covino and Rich after show, and we 364 00:18:02,640 --> 00:18:04,280 Speaker 6: want you to be a part of it. We're gonna 365 00:18:04,320 --> 00:18:06,240 Speaker 6: be talking sports, of course, but we're also going to 366 00:18:06,280 --> 00:18:08,760 Speaker 6: talk life and relationships and if Rich and I are 367 00:18:08,840 --> 00:18:11,119 Speaker 6: arguing about something or we didn't have enough time, it 368 00:18:11,160 --> 00:18:13,880 Speaker 6: will continue on our after show called over Promised. 369 00:18:13,960 --> 00:18:16,200 Speaker 5: Well, if you don't get enough Covino and Rich, make 370 00:18:16,200 --> 00:18:19,080 Speaker 5: sure you check out over Promised and also Uncensored by 371 00:18:19,080 --> 00:18:20,720 Speaker 5: the way, so maybe we'll go at it even a 372 00:18:20,760 --> 00:18:23,480 Speaker 5: little harder. It's gonna be the best after show podcast 373 00:18:23,560 --> 00:18:24,040 Speaker 5: of all time. 374 00:18:24,160 --> 00:18:27,080 Speaker 6: There you go, over Promising and remember you could see 375 00:18:27,280 --> 00:18:30,560 Speaker 6: on YouTube, but definitely join us. Listen Over Promised with 376 00:18:30,640 --> 00:18:33,720 Speaker 6: Cavino and Rich on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts or 377 00:18:33,760 --> 00:18:35,200 Speaker 6: wherever you get your podcasts. 378 00:18:35,600 --> 00:18:39,080 Speaker 4: Welcome back in to the Herd. I'm Danny Parkins or 379 00:18:39,359 --> 00:18:42,400 Speaker 4: Colin Cowhard. Coming up in a little bit, we'll get 380 00:18:42,440 --> 00:18:45,560 Speaker 4: to a quarterback from last year who probably deserves a 381 00:18:45,560 --> 00:18:48,080 Speaker 4: little bit more hype heading into this year, but he's 382 00:18:48,119 --> 00:18:51,760 Speaker 4: a victim of circumstance. But right now, let's go around 383 00:18:51,800 --> 00:18:55,440 Speaker 4: the NFL our next guest covers the league for the 384 00:18:55,520 --> 00:18:59,280 Speaker 4: Athletic National NFL writer Mike Jones with us on the 385 00:18:59,320 --> 00:19:02,200 Speaker 4: Hurries cover the NFL for the last fifteen years. 386 00:19:02,359 --> 00:19:03,680 Speaker 3: Mike, thank you so much for the time. 387 00:19:04,119 --> 00:19:07,480 Speaker 4: I began today's show reacting to Jimmy Haslum's comments about 388 00:19:07,600 --> 00:19:11,040 Speaker 4: Arch Manning because he says he's probably going to stay 389 00:19:11,080 --> 00:19:14,000 Speaker 4: in college for two years. It's very rare that we 390 00:19:14,040 --> 00:19:16,800 Speaker 4: have a college prospects talked about as the number one 391 00:19:16,840 --> 00:19:20,399 Speaker 4: pick before he's really accomplished anything in college. I get it, 392 00:19:20,640 --> 00:19:23,639 Speaker 4: the last name on the Jersey Heisman Trophy favorite second 393 00:19:23,680 --> 00:19:26,119 Speaker 4: best team in the country. But I'm curious, how do 394 00:19:26,240 --> 00:19:29,040 Speaker 4: you think the league at this point views arch Manning 395 00:19:29,040 --> 00:19:30,520 Speaker 4: the NFL prospect. 396 00:19:31,359 --> 00:19:34,159 Speaker 7: I mean, they've only seen a little flashes here and 397 00:19:34,160 --> 00:19:34,679 Speaker 7: there of him. 398 00:19:34,800 --> 00:19:37,560 Speaker 8: You haven't seen him in a full time basis, So 399 00:19:37,600 --> 00:19:40,920 Speaker 8: I don't think that anybody's getting overly exciting. Obviously, there's 400 00:19:41,040 --> 00:19:44,040 Speaker 8: intrigue there because of the name and the athleticism and 401 00:19:44,080 --> 00:19:47,600 Speaker 8: ability that you see, but let's wait until we see him, 402 00:19:47,960 --> 00:19:50,280 Speaker 8: you know, as a full time starter, and you know, 403 00:19:50,359 --> 00:19:53,480 Speaker 8: then I think that we'll have a better idea. Obviously 404 00:19:53,800 --> 00:19:57,040 Speaker 8: people have been taking notes. They have the body of 405 00:19:57,080 --> 00:19:59,280 Speaker 8: work or that he's shown, even though it's limited, But 406 00:19:59,440 --> 00:20:02,199 Speaker 8: I haven't talked to any scouts or anybody that's like 407 00:20:02,680 --> 00:20:05,800 Speaker 8: overly excited about him this early. 408 00:20:06,880 --> 00:20:09,080 Speaker 4: So a guy who people were overly excited about, and 409 00:20:09,119 --> 00:20:11,680 Speaker 4: I would say for good reason, was Travis Hunter. And 410 00:20:11,800 --> 00:20:13,760 Speaker 4: I think he's going to break the record for most 411 00:20:13,840 --> 00:20:16,680 Speaker 4: snaps played in a season as a rookie. 412 00:20:16,800 --> 00:20:18,760 Speaker 2: If he distituted. 413 00:20:18,359 --> 00:20:19,800 Speaker 4: What he did last year in college in the pros, 414 00:20:19,840 --> 00:20:22,200 Speaker 4: he would shatter it, and he did that in thirteen games. 415 00:20:23,119 --> 00:20:26,679 Speaker 4: The Jaguars seem to be like, very committed to playing 416 00:20:26,720 --> 00:20:28,919 Speaker 4: him both ways, but everyone on the outside is like, 417 00:20:29,000 --> 00:20:31,080 Speaker 4: are they really going to play him both ways? How 418 00:20:31,080 --> 00:20:32,119 Speaker 4: do you think this is going to go? 419 00:20:33,119 --> 00:20:35,280 Speaker 8: You know, it's going to be a real interesting experiment 420 00:20:35,320 --> 00:20:37,520 Speaker 8: as we see them go out there, because look, you've 421 00:20:37,560 --> 00:20:40,040 Speaker 8: got to see what his effectiveness is going to be. Obviously, 422 00:20:40,080 --> 00:20:44,280 Speaker 8: in training camp and the practices, he probably looks good. 423 00:20:44,359 --> 00:20:45,640 Speaker 7: You know, he's got good conditioning. 424 00:20:45,640 --> 00:20:48,560 Speaker 8: We've seen him play multiple seasons this way, but the 425 00:20:48,680 --> 00:20:52,840 Speaker 8: NFL is just another level up the physicality, the speed 426 00:20:52,920 --> 00:20:55,479 Speaker 8: and everything. So I think there's going to be a 427 00:20:55,800 --> 00:20:59,159 Speaker 8: you know, maybe a snap count that they have on 428 00:20:59,240 --> 00:21:01,520 Speaker 8: him early on they try to figure out what he 429 00:21:01,560 --> 00:21:04,840 Speaker 8: can handle, how he's able to be effective, you know, 430 00:21:04,960 --> 00:21:08,080 Speaker 8: as a wide receiver, as a defensive back. I talked 431 00:21:08,119 --> 00:21:11,040 Speaker 8: to scouts who feel like he is an elite level 432 00:21:11,080 --> 00:21:14,760 Speaker 8: defensive back and probably a pretty decent wide receiver. Did 433 00:21:14,800 --> 00:21:16,600 Speaker 8: talk to one that thought he might be a better 434 00:21:16,640 --> 00:21:20,720 Speaker 8: receiver with his boss skills than a cornerback. But odd 435 00:21:20,760 --> 00:21:23,359 Speaker 8: he is really excited to see how they handle this 436 00:21:23,520 --> 00:21:27,280 Speaker 8: and what his ability to handle the workload and play 437 00:21:27,320 --> 00:21:28,919 Speaker 8: at an high level is going to be. 438 00:21:29,040 --> 00:21:34,840 Speaker 4: Like my theory on it is we are all former athletes, 439 00:21:35,560 --> 00:21:39,560 Speaker 4: regular people like you and may media. We are behind 440 00:21:40,000 --> 00:21:43,240 Speaker 4: in understanding the full impacts of sports science and how 441 00:21:43,280 --> 00:21:46,119 Speaker 4: amazing the modern athletes are. The example I users like 442 00:21:46,119 --> 00:21:48,919 Speaker 4: back in the day, oh running back hits twenty seven, 443 00:21:49,320 --> 00:21:51,720 Speaker 4: they're falling off the cliff. Now we've got Derrick Henry 444 00:21:51,760 --> 00:21:55,000 Speaker 4: at thirty approaching two thousand yard seasons like it's nothing right. 445 00:21:55,040 --> 00:21:56,399 Speaker 3: Athletes have just gotten better. 446 00:21:56,840 --> 00:21:58,879 Speaker 4: We see in Green Bay they're working out Bowl Melton, 447 00:21:59,000 --> 00:22:01,480 Speaker 4: trying to maybe turn him into a two way player 448 00:22:01,480 --> 00:22:03,639 Speaker 4: because of some injuries that they had at corner. I 449 00:22:03,720 --> 00:22:06,800 Speaker 4: feel like if Travis Hunter works, it could open the 450 00:22:06,800 --> 00:22:09,880 Speaker 4: floodgates for these elite athletes and we could start seeing 451 00:22:10,240 --> 00:22:11,359 Speaker 4: more guys try to do it. 452 00:22:11,440 --> 00:22:12,359 Speaker 3: Or do you think I'm insane? 453 00:22:13,240 --> 00:22:15,560 Speaker 8: No, I don't think you're insane. I do think that 454 00:22:15,720 --> 00:22:17,760 Speaker 8: everybody's going to be watching. I think there are kids 455 00:22:17,760 --> 00:22:19,920 Speaker 8: in college and coaches in college who are going to 456 00:22:19,960 --> 00:22:22,640 Speaker 8: be watching and as you see more guys come out 457 00:22:22,680 --> 00:22:25,480 Speaker 8: and more guys able to execute at an elite level. 458 00:22:26,440 --> 00:22:29,040 Speaker 8: If there is a two way player, then sure there 459 00:22:29,040 --> 00:22:32,200 Speaker 8: will be a ripple effect throughout the NFL. And you're 460 00:22:32,200 --> 00:22:36,760 Speaker 8: definitely right, Like the science behind all of this has changed. 461 00:22:36,880 --> 00:22:40,119 Speaker 8: These guys have chips on their uniforms, in their pads 462 00:22:40,119 --> 00:22:42,240 Speaker 8: that they can look and see how many miles power 463 00:22:42,280 --> 00:22:45,480 Speaker 8: he's running in the first part of practice compared to 464 00:22:45,520 --> 00:22:47,639 Speaker 8: the last part of practice, in the first quarter of 465 00:22:47,680 --> 00:22:50,040 Speaker 8: a game as opposed to the fourth quarter of the game. 466 00:22:50,200 --> 00:22:52,160 Speaker 7: So they're going to have all of the science. 467 00:22:52,200 --> 00:22:54,440 Speaker 8: Even if he's saying I feel good, they'll be able 468 00:22:54,440 --> 00:22:56,359 Speaker 8: to tell if he's slowing down, if there's a drop 469 00:22:56,400 --> 00:22:58,479 Speaker 8: off or anything like that. And so all of that 470 00:22:58,520 --> 00:23:01,400 Speaker 8: science is going to go in to the decision on 471 00:23:01,480 --> 00:23:03,960 Speaker 8: how much of a workload they give him, and it's 472 00:23:03,960 --> 00:23:05,000 Speaker 8: just going to be fascinating. 473 00:23:05,840 --> 00:23:08,640 Speaker 4: Mike Jones from the Athletic is our guest. So Trey 474 00:23:08,680 --> 00:23:12,520 Speaker 4: Hendrickson reports to camp. Terry McLaurin reports the camp. They 475 00:23:12,520 --> 00:23:16,119 Speaker 4: don't have new contracts yet. My theory is basically, in 476 00:23:16,160 --> 00:23:20,879 Speaker 4: a post leveon bell World, it's an endangered species, like 477 00:23:20,920 --> 00:23:22,720 Speaker 4: the true holdout of missing games. 478 00:23:22,760 --> 00:23:23,520 Speaker 3: So I know Chris. 479 00:23:23,400 --> 00:23:25,159 Speaker 4: Jones did it, I know Jonathan Taylor did it, but 480 00:23:25,200 --> 00:23:27,520 Speaker 4: it's it's way less now than back in the day 481 00:23:27,560 --> 00:23:30,000 Speaker 4: because the money is just so insane. It's so hard 482 00:23:30,119 --> 00:23:32,600 Speaker 4: for these guys to really turn it down. So I 483 00:23:32,720 --> 00:23:37,480 Speaker 4: view offseason contract consternation as just media filler, like, oh, 484 00:23:37,520 --> 00:23:41,000 Speaker 4: Trey Hendrickson's upset with his contract. Yeah, it's July he's 485 00:23:41,040 --> 00:23:43,200 Speaker 4: supposed to be, or it was May he was supposed 486 00:23:43,240 --> 00:23:43,399 Speaker 4: to be. 487 00:23:43,760 --> 00:23:45,800 Speaker 3: And I think that these are inevitable that they are 488 00:23:45,840 --> 00:23:47,280 Speaker 3: going to get done. What about you? 489 00:23:48,359 --> 00:23:49,960 Speaker 7: I do think they get done. 490 00:23:50,359 --> 00:23:52,959 Speaker 8: It's unfortunate for the players that in the last CBA 491 00:23:53,040 --> 00:23:55,920 Speaker 8: they negotiated and so the teams can find them fifty 492 00:23:56,000 --> 00:23:57,520 Speaker 8: thousand dollars a day, and. 493 00:23:57,440 --> 00:23:58,480 Speaker 7: So that adds up. 494 00:23:58,680 --> 00:24:00,879 Speaker 8: You hang out for three day and you're like, okay, 495 00:24:00,920 --> 00:24:03,760 Speaker 8: that's one hundred and fifty dollars fine, and then it 496 00:24:03,840 --> 00:24:06,000 Speaker 8: starts really getting a little painful and you decide to 497 00:24:06,000 --> 00:24:09,080 Speaker 8: come back, and we'll see more hold ends rather than 498 00:24:09,200 --> 00:24:14,240 Speaker 8: hold outs. You know, Yes, I think that eventually these 499 00:24:14,240 --> 00:24:17,840 Speaker 8: two sides are talking in Cincinnati, the two sides are 500 00:24:17,880 --> 00:24:21,760 Speaker 8: talking in Washington, they'll eventually get something done because obviously 501 00:24:21,800 --> 00:24:25,480 Speaker 8: the pressure is there for these coaches to win, they 502 00:24:25,600 --> 00:24:30,280 Speaker 8: need these marquee players, and so these owners will drag 503 00:24:30,320 --> 00:24:33,119 Speaker 8: their feet, drag their feet, but eventually everybody's gonna come 504 00:24:33,160 --> 00:24:35,199 Speaker 8: to the point and get it all done, and all 505 00:24:35,240 --> 00:24:36,280 Speaker 8: this would have been for nothing. 506 00:24:37,119 --> 00:24:39,840 Speaker 4: What do you think about the reputation that Dallas is 507 00:24:40,119 --> 00:24:43,200 Speaker 4: stacking up now about how they handle their star players contracts. 508 00:24:44,000 --> 00:24:45,040 Speaker 7: It's the cowboy way. 509 00:24:45,080 --> 00:24:48,679 Speaker 8: It's Jerry Jones, and I think that he loves this 510 00:24:48,880 --> 00:24:52,679 Speaker 8: because what does he love is the Cowboys being on 511 00:24:52,720 --> 00:24:55,560 Speaker 8: the forefront of everybody's mind and talking about them. And 512 00:24:55,720 --> 00:24:57,680 Speaker 8: he press is good press for him. And so we've 513 00:24:57,720 --> 00:25:00,639 Speaker 8: seen him do it again and again and again, drag 514 00:25:00,720 --> 00:25:04,440 Speaker 8: his feet on paying a top level player, a guy 515 00:25:04,480 --> 00:25:08,360 Speaker 8: who has proven himself to be very valuable, and then 516 00:25:08,600 --> 00:25:11,880 Speaker 8: the last minute he finally winds up opening the checkbook, 517 00:25:12,200 --> 00:25:16,240 Speaker 8: even though it cost him tens of thousands and you know, 518 00:25:16,520 --> 00:25:19,679 Speaker 8: millions of dollars more, rather than have taken care of 519 00:25:19,680 --> 00:25:22,280 Speaker 8: the guy way earlier. And then every time somebody at 520 00:25:22,320 --> 00:25:26,120 Speaker 8: the position signs a new contract, the price tag goes up. 521 00:25:26,119 --> 00:25:30,679 Speaker 8: And so Micah Parsons is going to wind up surpassing TJ. 522 00:25:30,800 --> 00:25:33,560 Speaker 8: Watt as far as the highest paid pass rusher. It's 523 00:25:33,640 --> 00:25:34,639 Speaker 8: just a matter of time. 524 00:25:35,480 --> 00:25:39,000 Speaker 4: Let me Devil's advocate that one. Though Michah Parsons should 525 00:25:39,040 --> 00:25:43,920 Speaker 4: make more money than TJ. Watt, he's younger, and Dak 526 00:25:43,960 --> 00:25:48,040 Speaker 4: Prescott had a no tag clause and a no trade clause. 527 00:25:48,320 --> 00:25:51,800 Speaker 4: So he wanted Jordan Love to sign first. He wanted 528 00:25:51,840 --> 00:25:55,480 Speaker 4: to sign for Ceedee Lamb, wanted to see what Justin 529 00:25:55,560 --> 00:25:58,879 Speaker 4: Jefferson would do to set the market. Micah Parsons wants 530 00:25:58,920 --> 00:26:01,359 Speaker 4: to wait for my Garrett and TJ. 531 00:26:01,520 --> 00:26:04,960 Speaker 3: Watt. Like when you have truly elite Tier. 532 00:26:04,720 --> 00:26:09,360 Speaker 4: One players at their position with leverage, the player probably 533 00:26:09,400 --> 00:26:12,320 Speaker 4: wants to wait too for the Cowboys to get these 534 00:26:12,320 --> 00:26:12,880 Speaker 4: deals done. 535 00:26:14,040 --> 00:26:16,119 Speaker 8: I'm sure there's part of them that would just like 536 00:26:16,240 --> 00:26:17,960 Speaker 8: to get it out of the way. But at the 537 00:26:18,000 --> 00:26:19,720 Speaker 8: same time, I think that's probably part of the reason 538 00:26:19,760 --> 00:26:22,280 Speaker 8: why Michael Parson was like, hey, look, I'm coming to work. 539 00:26:22,480 --> 00:26:23,720 Speaker 7: I owe this to my teammates. 540 00:26:23,760 --> 00:26:25,240 Speaker 8: I want to be in the best position to be 541 00:26:25,280 --> 00:26:28,000 Speaker 8: able to help us win because he knows, hey, eventually 542 00:26:28,040 --> 00:26:30,639 Speaker 8: it's going to get done, and as like you said, 543 00:26:31,040 --> 00:26:33,320 Speaker 8: more guys in my position get paid my price, sat 544 00:26:33,400 --> 00:26:35,400 Speaker 8: keeps going up, and Jerry's going to wind up doing 545 00:26:35,400 --> 00:26:37,800 Speaker 8: what Jerry does and make me the highest paid player 546 00:26:37,800 --> 00:26:40,320 Speaker 8: in the league at my position. And so yes, it's 547 00:26:40,400 --> 00:26:44,440 Speaker 8: probably annoying having it hanging over, but they know eventually 548 00:26:44,480 --> 00:26:46,360 Speaker 8: it's all going to work out for them. 549 00:26:46,760 --> 00:26:49,720 Speaker 4: Is there anything that could happen in Pittsburgh this year 550 00:26:50,320 --> 00:26:53,679 Speaker 4: where we would even say that forget hot seat, that 551 00:26:53,760 --> 00:26:56,440 Speaker 4: the seat was lukewarm for Mike Tomlin? 552 00:26:57,960 --> 00:26:58,439 Speaker 7: I think so. 553 00:26:58,680 --> 00:27:01,800 Speaker 8: I think this has really the touch would be disastrously bad, 554 00:27:02,680 --> 00:27:06,520 Speaker 8: you know. I mean this Aaron Rodgers that we see 555 00:27:06,560 --> 00:27:09,240 Speaker 8: right here is not the same guy that we're thinking 556 00:27:09,280 --> 00:27:12,440 Speaker 8: of from Green Bay. We did see him look a 557 00:27:12,480 --> 00:27:15,720 Speaker 8: little better down the stretch of the season with the 558 00:27:15,800 --> 00:27:19,399 Speaker 8: Jets last year. But if he and Arthur Smith don't 559 00:27:19,520 --> 00:27:23,320 Speaker 8: gel just right, if the offense isn't clicking, what does 560 00:27:23,359 --> 00:27:25,960 Speaker 8: Aaron Rodgers do when things aren't going well? He starts 561 00:27:26,000 --> 00:27:30,320 Speaker 8: pointing fingers. He'll pull back the curtain on the ineffectiveness 562 00:27:30,359 --> 00:27:33,800 Speaker 8: of the organization. People have said for a while that 563 00:27:33,920 --> 00:27:36,640 Speaker 8: as great a leader as Mike Tomlin is, he has 564 00:27:36,720 --> 00:27:42,520 Speaker 8: not evolved the practices of that organization and that coaching 565 00:27:42,560 --> 00:27:44,600 Speaker 8: staff and the way they do things. And so if 566 00:27:44,640 --> 00:27:48,240 Speaker 8: Aaron Rodgers, if things don't go well and there's finger 567 00:27:48,280 --> 00:27:50,680 Speaker 8: pointing and things like that that he is known for 568 00:27:50,920 --> 00:27:54,040 Speaker 8: as of late, then yeah, things will look bad and 569 00:27:54,520 --> 00:27:57,080 Speaker 8: go poorly. And you know, that seat for Mike Tomlin 570 00:27:57,119 --> 00:27:59,600 Speaker 8: could heat up because they basically just pushed all their 571 00:27:59,640 --> 00:28:03,359 Speaker 8: chips to the middle this year. Very on Pittsburgh Steelers 572 00:28:03,480 --> 00:28:06,640 Speaker 8: like offseason, and if it doesn't plan out well, then 573 00:28:06,920 --> 00:28:09,160 Speaker 8: you know then we could be asking questions. 574 00:28:09,600 --> 00:28:11,120 Speaker 4: All right, I want to get your take on my guy, 575 00:28:11,320 --> 00:28:15,400 Speaker 4: Justin Herbert. The guy's the ultimate eye test quarterback. Four 576 00:28:15,440 --> 00:28:17,560 Speaker 4: interceptions even though a couple were off his guy's hands, 577 00:28:17,600 --> 00:28:20,879 Speaker 4: and his interior offensive line was collapsing around him. Still 578 00:28:21,320 --> 00:28:24,280 Speaker 4: bad playoff game AH and two in the playoffs. But 579 00:28:24,359 --> 00:28:27,280 Speaker 4: I am just convinced from watching the guy play football 580 00:28:27,600 --> 00:28:30,120 Speaker 4: that he's a star and he's going to do great things. 581 00:28:30,400 --> 00:28:33,360 Speaker 4: Where do you come out on eye test versus actual 582 00:28:33,440 --> 00:28:35,919 Speaker 4: results for the team For Justin Herbert. 583 00:28:36,760 --> 00:28:39,920 Speaker 8: I agree with you that he is as talented as 584 00:28:39,960 --> 00:28:43,640 Speaker 8: they come. His ceiling is very high. My question is 585 00:28:44,160 --> 00:28:47,360 Speaker 8: everything around him. I do think that Harball was good 586 00:28:47,400 --> 00:28:49,239 Speaker 8: for him last year. I think another season with him 587 00:28:49,240 --> 00:28:52,040 Speaker 8: would be good for him. The questions are just, okay, 588 00:28:52,120 --> 00:28:55,000 Speaker 8: does he have enough as far as weapons around him? 589 00:28:55,120 --> 00:28:58,520 Speaker 8: Did they really improve the line significantly enough? You know, 590 00:28:58,560 --> 00:29:00,800 Speaker 8: they got Makai Beckton, but you know he was really 591 00:29:00,840 --> 00:29:04,400 Speaker 8: good last year with Philadelphia, which is an offensive line factory, 592 00:29:04,400 --> 00:29:06,520 Speaker 8: and they work together so well. Is he going to 593 00:29:06,560 --> 00:29:10,120 Speaker 8: be as effective in a new surroundings? You know, does 594 00:29:10,320 --> 00:29:15,080 Speaker 8: Justin Herbert have the wide receivers to go to enough weapons? 595 00:29:15,600 --> 00:29:18,880 Speaker 8: Because the thing is they're in this division with the Chiefs, 596 00:29:18,880 --> 00:29:21,160 Speaker 8: and until somebody proves they can knock off the Chiefs, 597 00:29:21,760 --> 00:29:24,640 Speaker 8: you know, I will take them every time. So, yes, 598 00:29:24,720 --> 00:29:28,160 Speaker 8: he's super talented. He gives you everything you could ask 599 00:29:28,200 --> 00:29:31,720 Speaker 8: for in a quarterback, but everything around him is the 600 00:29:31,720 --> 00:29:32,240 Speaker 8: big question. 601 00:29:33,920 --> 00:29:36,600 Speaker 4: The guy who has everything around him is Jalen Hurts, 602 00:29:37,280 --> 00:29:40,760 Speaker 4: and Philly fans get mad at me because I say, 603 00:29:40,840 --> 00:29:44,920 Speaker 4: Jalen Hurts is a top ten quarterback who benefits tremendously 604 00:29:45,440 --> 00:29:47,760 Speaker 4: from having guys that are better at their jobs than 605 00:29:47,800 --> 00:29:51,840 Speaker 4: he is at his around him. He's clutch, he's a leader, 606 00:29:52,080 --> 00:29:54,840 Speaker 4: he's smart. But for example, like Saquon Barkley is a 607 00:29:54,840 --> 00:29:57,000 Speaker 4: better running back than Jalen Hurts as a quarterback AJ 608 00:29:57,120 --> 00:29:59,960 Speaker 4: Brown is a better receiver than Hurts as a quarterback. Lange, 609 00:30:00,400 --> 00:30:04,280 Speaker 4: Jordan Mailatta, Jalen Carter, et cetera. I don't see that 610 00:30:04,360 --> 00:30:08,240 Speaker 4: as a knock on Hurts. Anyone would benefit from being 611 00:30:08,280 --> 00:30:09,240 Speaker 4: in that situation. 612 00:30:09,480 --> 00:30:11,280 Speaker 3: And then you add he's clutched. 613 00:30:11,320 --> 00:30:14,160 Speaker 4: He's a gamer, he's a leader, he's smart, and that's 614 00:30:14,160 --> 00:30:16,880 Speaker 4: what leads you to bludgeoning teams on the way to 615 00:30:16,880 --> 00:30:21,000 Speaker 4: the Super Bowl. How do you evaluate Hurts individually amidst 616 00:30:21,040 --> 00:30:22,640 Speaker 4: the super team that's around him. 617 00:30:23,640 --> 00:30:25,400 Speaker 7: I think he's super underrated. 618 00:30:25,680 --> 00:30:27,840 Speaker 8: I mean, the dude just makes the plays that he 619 00:30:27,920 --> 00:30:30,520 Speaker 8: has to make when you need him the most. He's 620 00:30:30,560 --> 00:30:33,920 Speaker 8: got an accurate deep ball, he can extend plays. He's 621 00:30:34,200 --> 00:30:38,160 Speaker 8: a strong, powerful runner. He's got good instincts. He doesn't 622 00:30:38,200 --> 00:30:41,640 Speaker 8: force things. He just really basically is disciplined and says, Okay, 623 00:30:41,640 --> 00:30:43,640 Speaker 8: I'm gonna take what the defense gives to me. He 624 00:30:43,680 --> 00:30:46,800 Speaker 8: doesn't care what his stats look like if it means 625 00:30:46,800 --> 00:30:49,200 Speaker 8: that they're winning. And he's got the best mindset that 626 00:30:49,280 --> 00:30:50,720 Speaker 8: you could ask for in a quarterback. 627 00:30:50,760 --> 00:30:53,280 Speaker 7: And so I don't get the. 628 00:30:54,920 --> 00:30:59,000 Speaker 8: Lack of love for him because he just proved this 629 00:30:59,080 --> 00:31:01,640 Speaker 8: past year what he was able to do and he 630 00:31:01,840 --> 00:31:03,720 Speaker 8: just you know, he kept doing it again and again. 631 00:31:04,080 --> 00:31:05,360 Speaker 7: Yes, he's got a lot to work with. 632 00:31:05,400 --> 00:31:08,400 Speaker 8: He's got a great offensive line, great weapons, you know, 633 00:31:08,680 --> 00:31:12,520 Speaker 8: running back at receiver, great defense. But still he makes 634 00:31:12,560 --> 00:31:15,239 Speaker 8: the big plays when they need them the most. And 635 00:31:15,320 --> 00:31:17,960 Speaker 8: so I think that he is one of the top 636 00:31:18,000 --> 00:31:19,000 Speaker 8: of his position. 637 00:31:20,040 --> 00:31:22,680 Speaker 4: One of the top, so the top, like behind the 638 00:31:22,680 --> 00:31:24,840 Speaker 4: Big four. You would put him right next right behind 639 00:31:24,920 --> 00:31:26,840 Speaker 4: Lamar Burrow, Allen Mahomes. 640 00:31:26,880 --> 00:31:28,280 Speaker 3: He's you said, you put him right there. 641 00:31:28,400 --> 00:31:30,160 Speaker 8: I think he's got to be right there. Yeah, you 642 00:31:30,160 --> 00:31:33,680 Speaker 8: know after that that those guys. I mean, he's got 643 00:31:33,680 --> 00:31:38,320 Speaker 8: the Super Bowl ring, he's got the productions again, he's 644 00:31:38,360 --> 00:31:38,640 Speaker 8: got the. 645 00:31:39,280 --> 00:31:42,720 Speaker 4: Well, well, hey, he was twenty second in the league 646 00:31:42,720 --> 00:31:46,080 Speaker 4: and pass attempt that he had less than twenty passing touchdowns, 647 00:31:46,120 --> 00:31:47,080 Speaker 4: the production. 648 00:31:47,360 --> 00:31:49,880 Speaker 8: But that's not his fault. That they have Saquon Barkley. 649 00:31:49,920 --> 00:31:51,480 Speaker 8: I would hand it off to him too. But when 650 00:31:51,520 --> 00:31:53,120 Speaker 8: you ask him to put the ball in the air 651 00:31:53,320 --> 00:31:55,719 Speaker 8: and to make the plays, he makes the plays. So 652 00:31:56,400 --> 00:31:59,400 Speaker 8: I mean, who's whose fault is that that he's not 653 00:31:59,440 --> 00:32:02,200 Speaker 8: passing more? I mean he could pass more. You know, 654 00:32:03,360 --> 00:32:06,840 Speaker 8: Brown J. Brown's frustrated because they're not throwing more. But 655 00:32:06,880 --> 00:32:09,160 Speaker 8: they just know that, Hey, like you said, we've got 656 00:32:09,160 --> 00:32:11,760 Speaker 8: an elite running back, we've got an elite offensive line. 657 00:32:11,840 --> 00:32:13,760 Speaker 8: We believe in balance and it's working. 658 00:32:13,880 --> 00:32:16,320 Speaker 4: So for first four games of last year, there were 659 00:32:16,320 --> 00:32:18,040 Speaker 4: two and two when he was throwing the ball thirty 660 00:32:18,080 --> 00:32:19,520 Speaker 4: two to thirty three times a game, and they're like, 661 00:32:19,560 --> 00:32:20,680 Speaker 4: we're gonna start running more. 662 00:32:20,880 --> 00:32:22,400 Speaker 3: And again, he's really good. 663 00:32:22,880 --> 00:32:25,120 Speaker 4: But they wont all the playoff games without throwing more 664 00:32:25,160 --> 00:32:27,000 Speaker 4: than twenty eight times in the game because they just 665 00:32:27,040 --> 00:32:28,840 Speaker 4: bludgeon people and then play from a lead. 666 00:32:28,920 --> 00:32:33,040 Speaker 3: It's it's a super team and he benefits from it. 667 00:32:33,120 --> 00:32:35,080 Speaker 4: And I feel like that's an okay thing to say 668 00:32:35,080 --> 00:32:36,600 Speaker 4: he runs their system perfectly. 669 00:32:37,280 --> 00:32:38,600 Speaker 7: He does. And also I. 670 00:32:39,480 --> 00:32:41,560 Speaker 8: Really am waiting for the year that we can see 671 00:32:41,600 --> 00:32:46,080 Speaker 8: him in a system consecutive years instead of changing offensive 672 00:32:46,120 --> 00:32:49,640 Speaker 8: coordinators every single year, because then I think we'll really 673 00:32:49,680 --> 00:32:51,000 Speaker 8: see him go to another level. 674 00:32:51,200 --> 00:32:52,760 Speaker 7: Fortunately, they're often dated. 675 00:32:52,800 --> 00:32:55,200 Speaker 8: This year has been there for a while, so hopefully 676 00:32:55,280 --> 00:32:58,080 Speaker 8: has a little more continuity. But again, the guy makes 677 00:32:58,080 --> 00:32:59,960 Speaker 8: the plays when you need him. He gets the job 678 00:33:00,000 --> 00:33:02,000 Speaker 8: I've done. I'm not complaining about him. 679 00:33:02,520 --> 00:33:05,520 Speaker 4: Mike Jones covers the NFL for the Athletic. Thank you, sir, 680 00:33:06,280 --> 00:33:07,080 Speaker 4: all right, have a good one. 681 00:33:07,080 --> 00:33:07,800 Speaker 7: Thanks for having me. 682 00:33:08,160 --> 00:33:09,280 Speaker 3: Absolutely it was our pleasure. 683 00:33:09,320 --> 00:33:09,560 Speaker 2: Thank you. 684 00:33:09,560 --> 00:33:11,719 Speaker 4: That's Mike Jones covers the NFL for the Athletic. Now, 685 00:33:11,760 --> 00:33:13,240 Speaker 4: that's the craziest jail and hurts stat of. 686 00:33:13,240 --> 00:33:14,040 Speaker 3: All of them. 687 00:33:14,560 --> 00:33:17,000 Speaker 4: Going back to college, it's like nine offensive coordinators in 688 00:33:17,080 --> 00:33:19,800 Speaker 4: nine years. That is ridiculous. And again it's why I 689 00:33:19,840 --> 00:33:25,000 Speaker 4: always lead with unbelievably smart, unbelievable leader. But coming up next, 690 00:33:25,520 --> 00:33:29,160 Speaker 4: last year's quarterback class was historic, and frankly, I think 691 00:33:29,200 --> 00:33:31,760 Speaker 4: there's one guy who probably should be looking around and 692 00:33:31,760 --> 00:33:33,560 Speaker 4: be like, why am I not getting a little bit 693 00:33:33,560 --> 00:33:35,560 Speaker 4: more love? Tell you who it is next. Dany Parkinson 694 00:33:35,600 --> 00:33:36,160 Speaker 4: for Colin. 695 00:33:35,960 --> 00:33:36,320 Speaker 3: On the Hurd. 696 00:33:40,080 --> 00:33:42,680 Speaker 2: Be sure to catch live editions of The Herd weekdays 697 00:33:42,680 --> 00:33:46,280 Speaker 2: and neon Eastern n a Empacific on Fox Sports Radio 698 00:33:46,560 --> 00:33:48,760 Speaker 2: FS one and the iHeartRadio app. 699 00:33:50,680 --> 00:33:53,560 Speaker 4: Back in on the Herd, I'm Danny parkins in for 700 00:33:54,120 --> 00:33:58,680 Speaker 4: Colin Cowhard insane expectations for arch Manning in his first 701 00:33:58,760 --> 00:34:01,080 Speaker 4: year as a starter. We'll get to it coming up 702 00:34:01,320 --> 00:34:03,240 Speaker 4: at the top of the hour and next hour. Eric 703 00:34:03,280 --> 00:34:09,920 Speaker 4: Mangini going to join the show as well. So last 704 00:34:10,000 --> 00:34:15,560 Speaker 4: year's quarterback class in the NFL was special. I mean, 705 00:34:15,600 --> 00:34:19,800 Speaker 4: six quarterbacks get taken in the first round. There's obviously 706 00:34:19,840 --> 00:34:24,560 Speaker 4: a lot of very very high end talent at that spot, 707 00:34:24,680 --> 00:34:28,360 Speaker 4: and part of this is just how the media works. 708 00:34:28,560 --> 00:34:34,480 Speaker 4: But Caleb Williams had all the hype USC celebrity quarterback, 709 00:34:34,600 --> 00:34:37,880 Speaker 4: number one pick, former Heisman Trophy winner goes to a 710 00:34:37,920 --> 00:34:41,000 Speaker 4: big market team that's quarterback starved in Chicago. That's going 711 00:34:41,080 --> 00:34:45,400 Speaker 4: to be a massive story. Then Jaden Daniels number two pick, 712 00:34:46,160 --> 00:34:51,960 Speaker 4: NFC Championship, Drake may third pick, all right, looks interesting 713 00:34:52,000 --> 00:34:54,360 Speaker 4: but has nothing around him. We'll get to that in 714 00:34:54,400 --> 00:34:59,720 Speaker 4: a minute. JJ McCarthy gets hurt. Okay, fine, we'll punt 715 00:34:59,719 --> 00:35:02,840 Speaker 4: on that. But it's Michigan, it's Kevin O'Connell, justin Jefferson. 716 00:35:03,080 --> 00:35:04,880 Speaker 4: They end up winning fourteen games, fascinating. 717 00:35:04,880 --> 00:35:08,640 Speaker 3: We'll get to that. And then there was bow Knicks. 718 00:35:08,719 --> 00:35:11,080 Speaker 4: And I know Michael Pennix too, but we'll get to 719 00:35:11,080 --> 00:35:11,960 Speaker 4: Penis in a second. 720 00:35:12,640 --> 00:35:13,320 Speaker 3: Bow Knicks. 721 00:35:15,280 --> 00:35:19,000 Speaker 4: If it was not for Jade and Daniels would be 722 00:35:19,080 --> 00:35:24,879 Speaker 4: able to say, hey, guys, where's my hype, where's my love? 723 00:35:25,520 --> 00:35:30,800 Speaker 4: Because he had more passing yards and more touchdowns passing 724 00:35:31,200 --> 00:35:34,319 Speaker 4: than Jade and Daniels did. If I just told you 725 00:35:34,360 --> 00:35:40,640 Speaker 4: bow Knicks's resume second most passing touchdowns ever for a 726 00:35:41,160 --> 00:35:44,080 Speaker 4: rookie quarterback, and he went to the playoffs and he 727 00:35:44,120 --> 00:35:47,040 Speaker 4: had Sean Payton, he'd be We'd be talking a ton 728 00:35:47,080 --> 00:35:50,399 Speaker 4: about this guy. I hate the NFL Top one hundred list. 729 00:35:51,000 --> 00:35:54,839 Speaker 4: I think the players don't apply any consistency to it. 730 00:35:55,120 --> 00:35:59,240 Speaker 4: They really only rate it seems like last year, instead 731 00:35:59,280 --> 00:36:02,520 Speaker 4: of a body of work to truly and fairly evaluate 732 00:36:02,560 --> 00:36:05,040 Speaker 4: a player. I think it's mostly a useless exercise, but 733 00:36:05,080 --> 00:36:07,640 Speaker 4: it does sometimes lead to interesting quotes or sound bites. 734 00:36:08,040 --> 00:36:10,960 Speaker 4: Bo Knicks came in ranked sixty fourth among his peers 735 00:36:11,000 --> 00:36:12,000 Speaker 4: after his rookie year. 736 00:36:12,160 --> 00:36:13,160 Speaker 3: Here's how he responded. 737 00:36:14,520 --> 00:36:17,880 Speaker 9: I think it's it's obviously a cool honor for you know, 738 00:36:18,080 --> 00:36:20,600 Speaker 9: because that's your peers thing, that's you know guys, guys 739 00:36:20,600 --> 00:36:25,680 Speaker 9: you play. But at the same time, you know, just 740 00:36:25,719 --> 00:36:28,960 Speaker 9: the way I think, the way I am motivated, I 741 00:36:29,040 --> 00:36:31,759 Speaker 9: want to continue to, uh, you know, get higher, and 742 00:36:32,120 --> 00:36:36,040 Speaker 9: not even for the the ranking. You know, it doesn't 743 00:36:36,040 --> 00:36:37,960 Speaker 9: really matter what you're ranked. It's just you know, an 744 00:36:38,040 --> 00:36:39,920 Speaker 9: internal standard that I have that I want to be 745 00:36:40,600 --> 00:36:42,080 Speaker 9: the best in the world, And I know there's a 746 00:36:42,080 --> 00:36:44,239 Speaker 9: lot of guys that I'm competing for that with, and 747 00:36:44,800 --> 00:36:46,400 Speaker 9: you know I'm not going to stop at least give 748 00:36:46,440 --> 00:36:46,839 Speaker 9: it my best. 749 00:36:46,840 --> 00:36:54,400 Speaker 4: Try so cliches. Notwithstanding he's on his way. Do I 750 00:36:54,400 --> 00:36:56,080 Speaker 4: think he's gonna be the best in the world. No, 751 00:36:56,680 --> 00:37:01,080 Speaker 4: But I'll tell you this, if you watched Theos the 752 00:37:01,160 --> 00:37:04,680 Speaker 4: first three and a half four games of last season, 753 00:37:06,239 --> 00:37:09,320 Speaker 4: it was like, Yo, does bonis belong in the league? 754 00:37:09,960 --> 00:37:11,399 Speaker 3: What is going on here? 755 00:37:12,320 --> 00:37:15,520 Speaker 4: And then by the end of the season, they've won 756 00:37:15,600 --> 00:37:17,919 Speaker 4: double digit games, They're in the playoffs. He had twenty 757 00:37:18,000 --> 00:37:22,799 Speaker 4: nine passing touchdowns and some of his highlights were absolutely insane, 758 00:37:22,920 --> 00:37:26,719 Speaker 4: like justin Herbert is dining out in a lot of 759 00:37:26,719 --> 00:37:30,800 Speaker 4: people's mind off that thirty one touchdown pass rookie season 760 00:37:31,239 --> 00:37:31,840 Speaker 4: that he had. 761 00:37:32,360 --> 00:37:36,319 Speaker 3: Bon Nicks had twenty nine. 762 00:37:35,120 --> 00:37:39,319 Speaker 4: And was in the playoffs and acquitted himself well. And 763 00:37:39,840 --> 00:37:43,160 Speaker 4: Sean Payton obviously believed in a Maaton. There have been 764 00:37:43,200 --> 00:37:45,840 Speaker 4: the Drew Brees comparisons. I think that's more coach than style, 765 00:37:45,920 --> 00:37:48,160 Speaker 4: but there are a few similarities that you can see 766 00:37:48,160 --> 00:37:50,759 Speaker 4: in terms of just pocket passer that sort of thing. 767 00:37:51,320 --> 00:37:55,200 Speaker 4: But it's a it's a quarterback class that I find 768 00:37:55,239 --> 00:37:58,000 Speaker 4: fascinating because we can reverse order it. 769 00:37:59,600 --> 00:38:00,720 Speaker 3: We talked about bo Nicks. 770 00:38:01,280 --> 00:38:05,239 Speaker 4: The Broncos are obviously thrilled with what they got out 771 00:38:05,239 --> 00:38:09,320 Speaker 4: of bo Nicks, absolutely through thirty seven hundred passing yards, 772 00:38:09,680 --> 00:38:13,200 Speaker 4: three to one touchdown, the interception ratio. Just I guess 773 00:38:13,239 --> 00:38:15,000 Speaker 4: a little worse than three three to one, two and 774 00:38:15,040 --> 00:38:17,560 Speaker 4: a half to one touchdown the interception ratio, and a 775 00:38:17,600 --> 00:38:21,880 Speaker 4: playoff appearance. The Falcons in three games with Michael Pennix, 776 00:38:22,600 --> 00:38:26,280 Speaker 4: felt like he unlocked their offense in terms of Bijon 777 00:38:26,400 --> 00:38:29,120 Speaker 4: Robinson and Drake London and putting the ball in the 778 00:38:29,200 --> 00:38:34,520 Speaker 4: end zone. And he's also just fun to watch a 779 00:38:34,640 --> 00:38:38,360 Speaker 4: lefty with a rocket arm. It's it's unconventional, but it 780 00:38:39,640 --> 00:38:43,680 Speaker 4: think about the vote of confidence that Atlanta has shown 781 00:38:43,680 --> 00:38:46,160 Speaker 4: in Penix. They gave Kirk Cousins one hundred million guaranteed, 782 00:38:46,160 --> 00:38:48,319 Speaker 4: one hundred and eighty million dollars and off three games 783 00:38:48,320 --> 00:38:50,880 Speaker 4: they're like, Yep, Penix is our guy. 784 00:38:51,440 --> 00:38:52,839 Speaker 3: That's pretty significant. 785 00:38:54,040 --> 00:38:58,680 Speaker 4: So Bijon, Drake London, Kyle Pitts, Okay, now you got 786 00:38:58,719 --> 00:39:01,320 Speaker 4: Michael Pennox. Let's see what the Falcon can do. Falcons 787 00:39:01,320 --> 00:39:06,160 Speaker 4: happy with their guy, Broncos happy with their guy, JJ McCarthy. 788 00:39:06,840 --> 00:39:09,200 Speaker 4: Kevin O'Connell believes in him enough that he traded up 789 00:39:09,239 --> 00:39:13,680 Speaker 4: one spot to get him. Sam Darnald won fourteen games 790 00:39:13,760 --> 00:39:17,560 Speaker 4: last season through for what forty five hundred yards, was 791 00:39:17,640 --> 00:39:20,319 Speaker 4: good enough to get one hundred million dollars, and the 792 00:39:20,360 --> 00:39:23,319 Speaker 4: Vikings were like, yeah, we're good. We're turning it over 793 00:39:23,360 --> 00:39:25,839 Speaker 4: to the guy coming off the injury, who didn't throw 794 00:39:25,840 --> 00:39:29,040 Speaker 4: it a ton in college, who won national championship. But 795 00:39:29,200 --> 00:39:30,759 Speaker 4: how much of it was the system around him, how 796 00:39:30,840 --> 00:39:32,480 Speaker 4: much of it was him? We're going to turn it 797 00:39:32,480 --> 00:39:37,279 Speaker 4: over to JJ McCarthy. That's a massive vote of confidence 798 00:39:37,480 --> 00:39:41,239 Speaker 4: for a guy who has thrown pre season passes in 799 00:39:41,280 --> 00:39:43,800 Speaker 4: his NFL career to move on from Sam Darnald. And 800 00:39:43,840 --> 00:39:46,000 Speaker 4: by the way, I supported the move. The point of 801 00:39:46,000 --> 00:39:49,520 Speaker 4: this exercise is it is very rare that you can have. 802 00:39:49,600 --> 00:39:51,399 Speaker 4: First of all, it's rare to have six quarterbacks taken 803 00:39:51,440 --> 00:39:55,279 Speaker 4: in a first round, but it's very rare that you 804 00:39:55,440 --> 00:39:59,280 Speaker 4: go through a full season of the NFL and every 805 00:39:59,400 --> 00:40:01,160 Speaker 4: team is still. 806 00:40:00,920 --> 00:40:03,000 Speaker 3: Happy about the guy they drafted. 807 00:40:03,440 --> 00:40:07,680 Speaker 4: Atlanta happy about Pennix, Denver happy about bo Nicks, Minnesota 808 00:40:07,760 --> 00:40:11,160 Speaker 4: clearly happy, happy about jj McCarthy, They moved on from 809 00:40:11,200 --> 00:40:16,600 Speaker 4: Sam Darnold in New England. Drake May had the worst 810 00:40:16,640 --> 00:40:17,880 Speaker 4: offensive line in football. 811 00:40:19,000 --> 00:40:22,879 Speaker 3: They fired a coach and basically. 812 00:40:22,320 --> 00:40:25,560 Speaker 4: No one listening right now can name a single pass 813 00:40:25,600 --> 00:40:29,040 Speaker 4: catcher on the team. And the guy was standing at 814 00:40:29,040 --> 00:40:33,240 Speaker 4: the end of the year, made awesome throws, carried himself 815 00:40:33,320 --> 00:40:35,880 Speaker 4: like a pro, got better as the year went on, 816 00:40:36,400 --> 00:40:41,400 Speaker 4: displayed some serious toughness, and now all of a sudden, 817 00:40:41,960 --> 00:40:46,320 Speaker 4: upgraded coach a couple hundred million bucks in free agent contracts. Later, 818 00:40:46,640 --> 00:40:50,080 Speaker 4: you add Stefan Diggs, you give him Josh McDaniels. You 819 00:40:50,160 --> 00:40:52,640 Speaker 4: kind of have the organization catch up to the talent 820 00:40:52,680 --> 00:40:53,480 Speaker 4: of the quarterback. 821 00:40:53,760 --> 00:40:55,080 Speaker 3: All of a sudden, the Patriots. 822 00:40:55,320 --> 00:40:58,520 Speaker 4: When people start making official predictions, my guess is half 823 00:40:58,560 --> 00:41:00,479 Speaker 4: the media thinks they're going to the playoffs this year. 824 00:41:00,760 --> 00:41:02,879 Speaker 4: Vegas has them as an eight or a nine win team. 825 00:41:03,360 --> 00:41:06,000 Speaker 4: That's a tremendous vote of confidence for a guy who 826 00:41:06,000 --> 00:41:09,719 Speaker 4: threw fifteen touchdowns last year. Then Jade and Daniels, no 827 00:41:09,760 --> 00:41:13,479 Speaker 4: one needs to say anything about third down, fourth down, 828 00:41:13,560 --> 00:41:17,720 Speaker 4: one score games, playoff games, NFC Championship game. It's probably 829 00:41:17,760 --> 00:41:20,800 Speaker 4: the most impressive when you combine stats and winning. I 830 00:41:20,800 --> 00:41:23,359 Speaker 4: would argue it's the most impressive rookie season we've ever 831 00:41:23,400 --> 00:41:26,239 Speaker 4: had because what they were actually asking him to do. 832 00:41:27,760 --> 00:41:31,160 Speaker 4: And then Caleb the number one pick, the team that 833 00:41:31,200 --> 00:41:33,320 Speaker 4: did not even bring in Jade and Daniels did not 834 00:41:33,360 --> 00:41:35,880 Speaker 4: even bring in Drake May. He's the guy that everyone 835 00:41:35,880 --> 00:41:40,399 Speaker 4: has the most questions about. It's a wild quarterback draw. 836 00:41:40,520 --> 00:41:43,080 Speaker 4: Just think back to that Trevor Lawrence draft. After year one, 837 00:41:43,560 --> 00:41:45,960 Speaker 4: it was like, okay, well we got massive questions about 838 00:41:46,320 --> 00:41:46,960 Speaker 4: Justin Fields. 839 00:41:46,960 --> 00:41:49,440 Speaker 3: We got massive questions about Trey Lance. There are some 840 00:41:49,680 --> 00:41:51,440 Speaker 3: questions about Mac Jones. 841 00:41:51,480 --> 00:41:55,000 Speaker 4: Trevor Lawrence still hasn't answered it all these years later, 842 00:41:55,080 --> 00:41:59,000 Speaker 4: and Zach Wilson wears he So it's really rare to 843 00:41:59,000 --> 00:42:01,880 Speaker 4: have that many quarterbacks. And if we did it all again, 844 00:42:01,960 --> 00:42:04,480 Speaker 4: obviously everyone would want Jayden Daniels, But other than that, 845 00:42:05,320 --> 00:42:07,640 Speaker 4: everyone's thrilled with who they got. 846 00:42:08,360 --> 00:42:10,600 Speaker 3: And then there's poor Boonix with twenty nine. 847 00:42:10,440 --> 00:42:12,839 Speaker 4: Touchdowns in a playoff appearance, being like no one ever 848 00:42:12,920 --> 00:42:15,120 Speaker 4: talks about me. It really was one of the great 849 00:42:15,480 --> 00:42:17,880 Speaker 4: rookie seasons that we've seen, and we'll see how we 850 00:42:17,880 --> 00:42:20,560 Speaker 4: builds on it coming up for this year. What do 851 00:42:20,640 --> 00:42:23,600 Speaker 4: the Browns say about arsh Manning. Are they already throwing 852 00:42:23,600 --> 00:42:25,960 Speaker 4: cold water on it? That's coming up next, Danny Parker's 853 00:42:25,960 --> 00:42:26,919 Speaker 4: in for Colin to hurt