WEBVTT - FFW Micro - James Cook

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<v Speaker 1>You found Fantasy Football Weekly Micro a deep dive on

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<v Speaker 1>one player in just five to ten minutes. Now, here's

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<v Speaker 1>your host, Paul Chargian. It's a Thursday edition of Fantasy

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<v Speaker 1>Football Weekly Micro edition on Paul Chargian. We've got a

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<v Speaker 1>deep dive on James Cook coming up for you. My

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<v Speaker 1>co host is Tyler Cannabilee. You can reach Tyler on

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<v Speaker 1>Twitter at Tyler Cannabiley. Can a e b L E

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<v Speaker 1>kN a e b L E Guillotine leagues dot com writer.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's dive into James Cook. He had the big finish

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<v Speaker 1>to last year. Clearly better at the end of the

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<v Speaker 1>year as many rookies are than he was at the

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<v Speaker 1>beginning of the year. Usage went way up, some eye

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<v Speaker 1>popping plays, he's being his ADP has moved up quite

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<v Speaker 1>a bit. But let's talk through this season. What are

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<v Speaker 1>your thoughts.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, he finishes the RB forty four last season, definitely

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<v Speaker 2>not ideal. But he's going off the board as RB

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<v Speaker 2>thirty two right now, so you still have to pay

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<v Speaker 2>a little bit more form than what he produced last year.

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<v Speaker 2>But ye, he's kind of projected to have a bigger

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<v Speaker 2>role just because he's going into year two.

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<v Speaker 3>He's with the Bills, which is kind of the.

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<v Speaker 1>Whatever bill point we want to have a part of

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<v Speaker 1>the Bills offense.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and if you look at him as just like

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<v Speaker 2>the player and some of the stuff that he was

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<v Speaker 2>doing in Buffalo last year, among guys with seventy five attempts,

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<v Speaker 2>James Cook was seconding yards per carry, averaging five point

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<v Speaker 2>eight yards per carry, only behind Priest Hall.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 2>So that's a great stat And the big stat that

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<v Speaker 2>I really liked.

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<v Speaker 1>Was, by the way, five point eight yards per carry.

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<v Speaker 3>Yes, that is a.

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<v Speaker 1>Very very healthy that's just a season long per carry basis.

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<v Speaker 1>That's excellent.

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<v Speaker 2>And what really helped that was his breakaway percentage. He

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<v Speaker 2>was first in a breakaway breakaway runs which are runs

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<v Speaker 2>of fifteen plus yards, among all running backs with seventy

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<v Speaker 2>five plus carries, and he was with a forty eight

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<v Speaker 2>percent rate the other guys on fo okay stop there.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, forty eight percent of his carries were breakaways. Insane,

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<v Speaker 1>which is fifty That is insane for James Cook. Unbelievable number.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I mean you look at the other that list too,

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<v Speaker 2>is a nice list to be on. Kenneth Walker to

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<v Speaker 2>Tony Pollard.

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<v Speaker 1>Breesehall, Okay, stop there. Kenneth Walker and Breesehall, who are

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<v Speaker 1>near him in breakaway percentage, their seasons ended early, and

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<v Speaker 1>you know that's you know, that's a good part of

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<v Speaker 1>why they were able to maintain that high percentage of

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<v Speaker 1>breakaway runs. Pollard is just really good. He got the

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<v Speaker 1>franchise tag. So you know, the fact that James Cook

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<v Speaker 1>did it on a full season, granted a limited workload,

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<v Speaker 1>but on a full season is really impressive.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I will say I think he did. I think

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<v Speaker 2>he did have the least amount of carries of any

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<v Speaker 2>guy on this list. Okay, so I think that did

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<v Speaker 2>help him a little bit. It does help so but

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<v Speaker 2>but like I said, it's still a nice list to

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<v Speaker 2>be on. So I think the only potential problem is

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<v Speaker 2>that he really couldn't be out Devin Singletary last year.

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<v Speaker 2>Throughout the course of the season, Devin Singletary was was

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<v Speaker 2>getting all of the touches pretty much.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, but that's a rookie year thing, see to me,

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<v Speaker 1>And that's not the only problem. I'm gonna give you

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<v Speaker 1>another bigger problem in a minute here. I think with

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<v Speaker 1>James Cook, but you know, he's a rookie, he's got

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<v Speaker 1>to learn pass protection. He's got to you know, be

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<v Speaker 1>able to know where to run. I mean there's you know,

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<v Speaker 1>it's not the most sophisticated position in the NFL, but

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<v Speaker 1>there are things you have to learn to be a

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<v Speaker 1>trusted NFL running back who's not going to get his

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<v Speaker 1>quartographed back decapitated and you know other stuff. And so

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<v Speaker 1>the fact that Singletary yielded a bunch of carries at

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<v Speaker 1>the end of the year and then they just let

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<v Speaker 1>Singletary go, that's what scares me, you know, says tells

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<v Speaker 1>me that there was some confidence in James Cook.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, And I mean if we just just real quick

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<v Speaker 2>kind of break it down games with fifteen plus touches

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<v Speaker 2>last season, Singletary had seven, James Cook had won. And

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<v Speaker 2>then in the full season, uh, Singletary had two hundred

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<v Speaker 2>and fifteen touches.

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<v Speaker 3>Cook had one hundred and ten.

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<v Speaker 1>Okay, that was during the that was during the regular season, yes,

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<v Speaker 1>and then but that's a two to one ratio of

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<v Speaker 1>touches leaning towards Singletary in the regular season exactly.

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<v Speaker 2>And then in the playoffs though it kind of it

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<v Speaker 2>did kind of get closer where Singletary at twenty one,

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<v Speaker 2>Cook had seventeen. It's almost like a one to one ratio, right,

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<v Speaker 2>which is so like to see that.

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<v Speaker 1>And in the playoffs, these are high leverage games, single elimination,

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<v Speaker 1>and they trusted James Cook in the playoffs to be

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<v Speaker 1>basically even with singletary on touches. That's a very good sign.

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<v Speaker 1>It's not a good sign. Damien Harris.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm with you on this one.

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<v Speaker 1>So he is an issue. Harris is a goal line star.

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<v Speaker 1>Over the course of his career, he's been given twenty

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<v Speaker 1>four rushing attempts from inside the five yard line and

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<v Speaker 1>he's turned that into twelve touchdowns. As we often say

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<v Speaker 1>in the show, a very good touchdown back is at

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<v Speaker 1>a fifty percent conversion rate. And that's Harris's career, twenty

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<v Speaker 1>four rushing attempts, twelve touchdowns, fifty percent conversion rate. And

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<v Speaker 1>James Cook just isn't built for that. He's not tiny,

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<v Speaker 1>but he's not built like a goal line back and

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<v Speaker 1>he's not built like Damien Harris. And as a rookie

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<v Speaker 1>last year, Cook was given zero rushing attempts from inside

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<v Speaker 1>the five and one targeted pass from inside the five,

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<v Speaker 1>so he got one touch all including the playoffs, for

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<v Speaker 1>James Cook last season from inside the five, Damien Harris

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<v Speaker 1>is gonna steal those touchdowns.

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<v Speaker 2>And who else is gonna steal those touchdowns is Josh Allen,

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<v Speaker 2>who like in the red zone if really can just

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<v Speaker 2>pure rushing ability, like who's gonna get touches? James Cook's

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<v Speaker 2>third on that list, and he's the second best running

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<v Speaker 2>back because you got Damien Harris Josh Allen both above him.

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<v Speaker 3>And that's why.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm kind of out on James Cook because that touchdown

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<v Speaker 2>potential just does not seem like it's there, doesn't seem

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<v Speaker 2>like he can even hit. Like if he got five

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<v Speaker 2>touchdowns this season, that would be I would say, pretty

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<v Speaker 2>good considering where he falls on kind of the pecking

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<v Speaker 2>order in this Bill's offense.

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<v Speaker 1>That worries me as well. The other thing worries me,

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<v Speaker 1>so Damien Harris was hurt almost all last year. The

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<v Speaker 1>year before that, Damian Harris was really really good, really good,

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<v Speaker 1>and he rolled into this season as the team's number

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<v Speaker 1>one running back until he got hurt. So through the

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<v Speaker 1>first month of the season, Damien Harris was getting more

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<v Speaker 1>work than Lewandre Stevenson and he was starting those games.

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<v Speaker 1>And then he got hurt and then the rest of

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<v Speaker 1>the year was a watch for Harris. I'm I just

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<v Speaker 1>think Harris is a good back. He's gonna factor into

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<v Speaker 1>this offense more than people want to believe, and he's

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<v Speaker 1>gonna be the goal line guy. And I'm with you

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<v Speaker 1>on the touchdowns. I think Cook. I would not be

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<v Speaker 1>surprised if Cook has a three three receiving touchdowns on

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<v Speaker 1>the year, four receiving touchdowns on the year, three rushing

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<v Speaker 1>touchdowns on the year that come from distance, yep, and

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<v Speaker 1>that might be it.

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<v Speaker 2>I think that's even kind of projecting on like the

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<v Speaker 2>high side that he gets three six.

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<v Speaker 1>Or seven touchdown total is high.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah. I feel like that's high for him because where

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<v Speaker 3>are they gonna come from?

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<v Speaker 2>Because he's not gonna be I mean, he might get

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<v Speaker 2>like a red zone kind of swing pass four touchdown,

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<v Speaker 2>but he's gonna We're saying he's gonna break away.

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<v Speaker 3>I mean, we talked about the breakaway.

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<v Speaker 1>Wait, right, that's how he's gonna score.

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<v Speaker 3>I know it's good, but I.

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<v Speaker 2>Think it's you're kind of getting those mucky waters. If

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<v Speaker 2>you're trying to project like four fifty yard touchdowns, Yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>you just can't project very.

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<v Speaker 3>It's hard to do exactly.

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<v Speaker 1>Although Cook does look he looks pretty good and I

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<v Speaker 1>know he'll get He'll find his way to three or

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<v Speaker 1>four rushing touchdowns, three or four receiving touchdowns in my opinion,

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<v Speaker 1>and that makes him fair, it makes him startable. I

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<v Speaker 1>feel like James Cook is a flex player.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, he's definitely a flex player.

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<v Speaker 2>I just don't think it's kind of one of those

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<v Speaker 2>things where he doesn't have that like top twelve running

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<v Speaker 2>back upside, where like if Damien Harris finishes a top

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<v Speaker 2>twelve running back with just the amount of touchdowns that

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<v Speaker 2>he could have in this offense, like, I wouldn't be shocked.

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<v Speaker 2>I don't think it's likely, but I wouldn't be shocked.

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<v Speaker 2>I would be shocked if James Cook finishes a top

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<v Speaker 2>twelve running back.

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<v Speaker 1>Damien Harris could be uh eight to ten touchdowns because

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<v Speaker 1>I think they're pull back on some of Josh Allen's

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<v Speaker 1>touchdown runs. Eventually, I feel like they're gonna go at

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<v Speaker 1>the one. He's always gonna be the guy. But like

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<v Speaker 1>at the three yard line, I think they're gonna just

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<v Speaker 1>give the ball to Damien Harris.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, Oh that's what they definitely should do you mean, yeah, you're.

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<v Speaker 1>A franchise guy, Damon Harris. No, Josh Allens protecting your

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<v Speaker 1>friends exactly.

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<v Speaker 3>He's your a franchise guy. You need to protect him.

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<v Speaker 2>And I mean they were talking about that all last season,

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<v Speaker 2>like Sean mcdorns like, I want to see him run

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<v Speaker 2>more next game.

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<v Speaker 3>Josh Allen is fifteen carries.

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<v Speaker 1>So it's funny how that works. Yeah, So for Dynasty,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm selling James Cook right now. Oh yeah, because I

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<v Speaker 1>think there's so much interest in a young, second year

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<v Speaker 1>running back. But I just feel in the Bills offense.

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<v Speaker 1>But for the reasons we've talked about touchdowns usage, Damien

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<v Speaker 1>Harris being a bigger fact than people think. I think

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<v Speaker 1>you can get a What do you think you can

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<v Speaker 1>get for him in Dynasty?

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<v Speaker 3>If I could get how.

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<v Speaker 1>About pick seven of the first round.

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<v Speaker 3>Oh that's a smash. I don't think you're gonna get

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<v Speaker 3>pick seven, though.

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<v Speaker 2>I think I think it now is the time to

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<v Speaker 2>sell because I think people remember him kind of finishing

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<v Speaker 2>out the season a little better, so that now is

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<v Speaker 2>definitely the time to sell because before the NFL, especially

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<v Speaker 2>before the NFL Draft, because they could draft somebody like

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<v Speaker 2>that and then James Cook value goes down even more.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't think they're gonna they might they might not,

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<v Speaker 1>But if.

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<v Speaker 3>They do, not good for James No, clearly.

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<v Speaker 1>And it's a deep running back draft exactly.

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<v Speaker 2>That's why I'm so scared, because they could draft somebody

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<v Speaker 2>in the fifth round. You're like, oh, this guy's actually

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<v Speaker 2>could be a good player. Yeah, so that's something that

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<v Speaker 2>scares me. But if I could get like a late

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<v Speaker 2>first for him, I definitely do that, even like a

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<v Speaker 2>two oh four to two five.

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<v Speaker 3>I think I would do that still too.

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<v Speaker 2>Like I said, a lot of good running backs in

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<v Speaker 2>this draft, I think I could get kind of the

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<v Speaker 2>same type of player at the two five range.

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<v Speaker 1>So the funny thing, he's going off the board at

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<v Speaker 1>running back thirty two, but I don't like him. I

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<v Speaker 1>still like James Cook. The other running backs that are

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<v Speaker 1>going off the board in the thirties, it's not great.

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<v Speaker 1>So let's talk through some of those guys.

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, James Connor RB thirty right now, totally out, totally out, Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>Don't I don't like I've never liked James Connor as

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<v Speaker 1>a runner. I love his personal story, of course, but

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<v Speaker 1>just I just think he's just a guy. I think

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<v Speaker 1>he's utterly replaceable, just a guy runner.

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, so I'd rather up James Cook or Shot Penny

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<v Speaker 2>RB thirty one.

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<v Speaker 1>Not risking the injury.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>Out.

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<v Speaker 3>It's funny though. It's like he's on the Eagles and

0:09:45.400 --> 0:09:46.640
<v Speaker 3>it's like we sell he could be.

0:09:46.559 --> 0:09:48.720
<v Speaker 2>Miles Sanders from last season if I had that's his

0:09:48.760 --> 0:09:50.319
<v Speaker 2>best case in the arrow for a shot Penny is,

0:09:50.360 --> 0:09:51.800
<v Speaker 2>if he's Miles Sanders.

0:09:51.400 --> 0:09:52.080
<v Speaker 1>Who's next?

0:09:52.800 --> 0:09:55.560
<v Speaker 3>Alvin Kamara RB thirty three. You're right, it's very mucky

0:09:55.559 --> 0:09:56.319
<v Speaker 3>waters here. It is.

0:09:56.880 --> 0:09:59.440
<v Speaker 1>Car's gonna miss some time. Probably you should have missed

0:09:59.440 --> 0:10:03.880
<v Speaker 1>time last year. But we'll probably finally get spended. But

0:10:03.960 --> 0:10:06.520
<v Speaker 1>this is a weirdly low spot for Alvin Kamara running

0:10:06.520 --> 0:10:07.160
<v Speaker 1>back thirty three.

0:10:07.400 --> 0:10:09.800
<v Speaker 3>Do you still think Alvin Kamara is like the guy

0:10:09.920 --> 0:10:11.640
<v Speaker 3>in New Orleans? Like? Do you still believe in Alvin

0:10:11.840 --> 0:10:13.199
<v Speaker 3>Alvin Kamara the player.

0:10:13.320 --> 0:10:15.319
<v Speaker 1>Uh pre draft?

0:10:15.400 --> 0:10:15.600
<v Speaker 3>Yeah?

0:10:15.800 --> 0:10:18.240
<v Speaker 1>Kind maybe not to ever be what he was two

0:10:18.280 --> 0:10:20.560
<v Speaker 1>years ago, three years ago, but I still think he

0:10:21.440 --> 0:10:24.680
<v Speaker 1>until until they draft some the draft, a real threat.

0:10:24.760 --> 0:10:24.960
<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

0:10:25.080 --> 0:10:27.160
<v Speaker 1>I think they believe that he's that guy. Yeah, So

0:10:27.200 --> 0:10:30.280
<v Speaker 1>I take Kamera all right. Khlil Herbert RB thirty four.

0:10:30.480 --> 0:10:31.680
<v Speaker 1>I think this is a sneaky guy.

0:10:31.679 --> 0:10:32.440
<v Speaker 3>I really like.

0:10:32.480 --> 0:10:33.400
<v Speaker 1>I like Herbert a lot too.

0:10:33.440 --> 0:10:35.920
<v Speaker 2>I think he'd be the starting running back, oh will

0:10:36.000 --> 0:10:37.600
<v Speaker 2>I think it will be. And he's Yeah, we saw

0:10:37.600 --> 0:10:37.959
<v Speaker 2>what he was.

0:10:38.000 --> 0:10:38.280
<v Speaker 3>He was.

0:10:38.600 --> 0:10:41.240
<v Speaker 2>He was split in time with Dave Montgomery there at

0:10:41.240 --> 0:10:43.319
<v Speaker 2>the end when they were both healthy. It was kind

0:10:43.320 --> 0:10:45.599
<v Speaker 2>of a fifty to fifty backfield. And Herbert was a

0:10:46.040 --> 0:10:47.280
<v Speaker 2>great runs man.

0:10:47.360 --> 0:10:49.920
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, he looked. He looked good. I'm with you on Herbert. Now,

0:10:49.920 --> 0:10:52.040
<v Speaker 1>many people think Chicago is going to go running back

0:10:52.040 --> 0:10:53.680
<v Speaker 1>in this draft, and I would not be surprised that.

0:10:53.720 --> 0:10:54.920
<v Speaker 1>We'll see if that happens too.

0:10:55.720 --> 0:10:57.840
<v Speaker 2>But even if they do, I mean, it's still clill

0:10:57.880 --> 0:10:59.840
<v Speaker 2>Herbert like he's a good running back, correct, Yep?

0:11:00.000 --> 0:11:01.880
<v Speaker 3>All right. Jamal Williams RB thirty.

0:11:01.679 --> 0:11:04.319
<v Speaker 1>Five, another Saint, so the two Saints, you know, and

0:11:04.400 --> 0:11:07.040
<v Speaker 1>presumably they brought him in to be a goal line runner,

0:11:07.040 --> 0:11:10.160
<v Speaker 1>which Kamara never was. And that's the downside in Kamara

0:11:10.320 --> 0:11:12.240
<v Speaker 1>is like James Cook could be sitting on it could

0:11:12.240 --> 0:11:15.240
<v Speaker 1>be sitting on just a six touchdown season, which is

0:11:15.280 --> 0:11:18.599
<v Speaker 1>about what Kamara had last year. Yeah, so that's your downside.

0:11:18.640 --> 0:11:21.200
<v Speaker 1>So still I don't want to I can't pin my

0:11:21.200 --> 0:11:23.720
<v Speaker 1>hopes to a goal line runner, So yeah, I'd rather

0:11:23.760 --> 0:11:24.160
<v Speaker 1>have James.

0:11:24.160 --> 0:11:26.240
<v Speaker 2>I'm gonna go James Cook as well, just because I mean,

0:11:26.760 --> 0:11:29.480
<v Speaker 2>is Jamal Williams even the main goal line back on

0:11:29.520 --> 0:11:32.120
<v Speaker 2>that team? When you got Taysom Hill vulturing touchdowns left and.

0:11:32.120 --> 0:11:34.200
<v Speaker 1>Right, I hope they just cut that guy.

0:11:34.320 --> 0:11:36.319
<v Speaker 3>You only Taysom Hill. Oh. I love Taysom Hill.

0:11:36.360 --> 0:11:38.400
<v Speaker 2>He's a great tight end play every week because he

0:11:38.440 --> 0:11:41.520
<v Speaker 2>could have like twenty five points from as a running back.

0:11:42.040 --> 0:11:44.280
<v Speaker 2>He's a running back at tight end, which I absolutely love.

0:11:44.400 --> 0:11:46.080
<v Speaker 2>I love his tight end eligibility.

0:11:46.160 --> 0:11:48.000
<v Speaker 1>Don't do it in guillotine, I can tell you that much.

0:11:48.320 --> 0:11:51.720
<v Speaker 1>We got to go, all right, all right, thanks for listening, everybody.

0:11:51.840 --> 0:11:55.040
<v Speaker 1>Full edition of Fantasy Football Weekly coming up tomorrow as

0:11:55.040 --> 0:11:57.679
<v Speaker 1>we recap the first round of the NFL Draft.

0:11:57.720 --> 0:11:58.079
<v Speaker 3>Bye Bye,