WEBVTT - OpenAI Linked Stocks Fall on Report It Missed Targets

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. Bloomberg Tech is alive

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<v Speaker 1>from coast to coast with Caroline Hyde in New York

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<v Speaker 1>and Eva low in sentrancs.

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<v Speaker 2>Go this is Bloomberg Tech coming up. Open Ai links

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<v Speaker 2>stock slump after the Wall Street Journal reported that the

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<v Speaker 2>company failed to meet its own sales and user targets.

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<v Speaker 3>Plus, a jury has been selected for the trial between

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<v Speaker 3>some altman and musk, who claims open ai abandoned its

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<v Speaker 3>founding mission.

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<v Speaker 4>Arguments begin today.

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<v Speaker 2>And Late night host Jimmy Kimmel has defended comments he

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<v Speaker 2>made that prompted President Trump to call for him to

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<v Speaker 2>be fired.

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<v Speaker 5>We head to Hollywood for the latest.

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<v Speaker 3>First, we head to these markets and they are under pressure. Yes,

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<v Speaker 3>geopolitical tension is still loom large, and we think a

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<v Speaker 3>lot about Iran and the straight orfor moves, But we

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<v Speaker 3>also think about what's currently happening in the cell of

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<v Speaker 3>related to techniques. Quarter percent on the Nasdaq, one hundred

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<v Speaker 3>worse day in a month. Why you're going to get

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<v Speaker 3>to those details. It's all open ai related.

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<v Speaker 5>Yep. Look at this board.

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<v Speaker 2>These are the soft bank US listed shares that have

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<v Speaker 2>tens of billions of dollars of exposure to open ai

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<v Speaker 2>Core Weave clear Neocloud exposure to open ai Oracle, the

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<v Speaker 2>primary infrastructure partner for open Ai. The journal reporting that

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<v Speaker 2>open Ai missed its own metrics financial ones for twenty

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<v Speaker 2>twenty five, and contemporaneously Caro the user number is not

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<v Speaker 2>where they want it to be.

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<v Speaker 3>It's not and this is all reporting for the Wall

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<v Speaker 3>Street Journal. We want to dig into that. Bloomberg Tech

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<v Speaker 3>editor Seth Figgerman, what is the biggest anxiety for investors?

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<v Speaker 3>Is it that they're not yet at a billion users

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<v Speaker 3>and have been hoped by investors thus far? Is it

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<v Speaker 3>more the revenues that aren't hitting internal targets?

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<v Speaker 4>What is it about this reporting?

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<v Speaker 6>I'd say probably more of the revenue sag of things. Ultimately,

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<v Speaker 6>this company is still growing pretty fast, but if they

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<v Speaker 6>fall short of their own expectations, even by a margas

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<v Speaker 6>de mal in my affair to the wider AI ecosystem.

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<v Speaker 6>As a reminder, as we've reported, Opening has increasingly set

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<v Speaker 6>itself up at the center of this complex web of

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<v Speaker 6>investments from ship suppliers and cloud providers, and if it

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<v Speaker 6>has to reduce in any form it's commitment to the

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<v Speaker 6>infrastructure spending. It could have ripple effects for the wider

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<v Speaker 6>AI landscape.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm just going to go through what the journal reported.

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<v Speaker 2>Chat GPT missed its annual revenue target in twenty five,

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<v Speaker 2>it missed its internal full year revenue goal, and then

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<v Speaker 2>for twenty six, monthly revenue targets are behind. And the

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<v Speaker 2>big one probably is the billion figure for Chat GPT uses.

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<v Speaker 2>Again all Wall Street Journal reporting, and I note that

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<v Speaker 2>in that story there is a pretty strong statement from

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<v Speaker 2>both Sarah Fryer, the CFO, and COO Sam Oltman. What's

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<v Speaker 2>the logic here of why we see all these stocks react.

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<v Speaker 2>It's just their partners or what?

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah, I think that their partners and ultimately if Opening

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<v Speaker 6>I has to rethink hundreds of billions of dollars plans

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<v Speaker 6>to spend in the next five to ten years on

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<v Speaker 6>DIGA centers and ships that could have ripple effects for

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<v Speaker 6>a lot of these partners. Now, I will say you

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<v Speaker 6>alluded to some pushback here. We're also hearing directly from

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<v Speaker 6>Opening eyeing a statement that they're saying their business is

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<v Speaker 6>firing on all cylinders quote end quote right now with

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<v Speaker 6>strong growth in their nascent advertising efforts on the consumer side,

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<v Speaker 6>as well as with their enterprise product. Now they're not

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<v Speaker 6>spelling out their financial details, neither is the Wall Street Journal.

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<v Speaker 3>All of this so puts the question of the IPO

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<v Speaker 3>in the balance as well, and just the rush to

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<v Speaker 3>be able to raise more funds publicly, does that matter

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<v Speaker 3>in this context, particularly if we are seeing that it

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<v Speaker 3>questions whether they're going to be able to finance that

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<v Speaker 3>going forward for more compute.

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<v Speaker 6>I think it certainly matters in probably a couple different ways. One,

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<v Speaker 6>if their business is not where they want it to be,

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<v Speaker 6>that's going to add pressure for them to maybe delay

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<v Speaker 6>a little bit longer before going public. But Two, if

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<v Speaker 6>the question here is why are they not where they

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<v Speaker 6>want to be, it seems likely that's because of the

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<v Speaker 6>pressure they're facing from Google, an anthropic the lagger of

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<v Speaker 6>which also wants to go public as soon as this year.

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<v Speaker 6>So if it's facing off against possibly as sendan rival,

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<v Speaker 6>that's going to make it even that much harder to

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<v Speaker 6>pitch Wall Street.

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<v Speaker 2>So for part of the Open AI story, and in

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<v Speaker 2>the Wall Street Journal's reporting and others reporting, is this

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<v Speaker 2>concern that Sarah Fryer has revenues aren't growing at the

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<v Speaker 2>same pace that justifies all the spending, and when you're

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<v Speaker 2>going to IPO, that's a bit worrying if you're going

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<v Speaker 2>to put down in front of investors, what do we

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<v Speaker 2>know in that standpoint?

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah, I mean, look what this company is publicly said

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<v Speaker 6>as I think last year, they were around thirteen billion

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<v Speaker 6>dollars in revenue. As of February, after they announced the

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<v Speaker 6>mammoth funding round, they said that they were generating two

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<v Speaker 6>billion dollars in revenue a month, So you can do

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<v Speaker 6>the math there. It's still a fast growing company. But

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<v Speaker 6>in order to justify six hundred billion dollars and infra spending,

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<v Speaker 6>which is what they've said, you need to be growing

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<v Speaker 6>up bit faster than that. And Sam Alman has previously

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<v Speaker 6>sounded quite bullish on the prospects to grow this business

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<v Speaker 6>quite fast up to one hundred billion dollars in revenue

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<v Speaker 6>in the coming years. If that's going to happen at

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<v Speaker 6>a slower pace, they might need to rethink some of

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<v Speaker 6>their data center build out plans.

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<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Seth Fighman, thank you, Bloomberg Intelligence out with the

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<v Speaker 2>React Senior tech handlist, and rag Rana writing that if

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<v Speaker 2>open ai s sales were to miss as reported by

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<v Speaker 2>the Wall Street Journal, it could have an impact across

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<v Speaker 2>the entire AI infrastructure ecosystem, and a rag joins us, Now,

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<v Speaker 2>what's so interesting about this, Like the market's response is, oh,

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<v Speaker 2>we actually now do need evidence of demand. Right, we

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<v Speaker 2>know about the infrastructure spend that data we've got. What

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<v Speaker 2>we don't have is what's coming out the other side.

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<v Speaker 2>How are you computing that?

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<v Speaker 7>So when we look at the entire cloud infrastructure demand,

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<v Speaker 7>I mean that still remains very solid. Whether that's transferred

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<v Speaker 7>from open ai to Entropic. That is the big story

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<v Speaker 7>that we are discussing here is whether this promise that

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<v Speaker 7>openei has made to Oracle, to Amazon, to Microsoft to

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<v Speaker 7>goal bed, you know, how good is that promise over

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<v Speaker 7>the long term. And I think that's the contention point.

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<v Speaker 7>But frankly, if you were to put that aside, the

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<v Speaker 7>demand for cloud infrastructure remains extremely strong right now, and

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<v Speaker 7>partially driven by Anthropic and all the coding tools that

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<v Speaker 7>we have seen over the last six months.

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<v Speaker 3>What's so interesting is cool we've come out with a

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<v Speaker 3>statement from a spokesperson's saying all we see is more

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<v Speaker 3>demand than there is supply when it comes to compute,

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<v Speaker 3>right Now that exactly leans into where you see anaag

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<v Speaker 3>So if there was one player pulling back, there's immediately

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<v Speaker 3>enough demand to fill that supply.

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<v Speaker 7>See for somebody like poor Vid, absolutely they can backfil

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<v Speaker 7>it with because they have agreements with Meta, they have

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<v Speaker 7>agreements with Microsoft. So I mean, given their scale, it's

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<v Speaker 7>not a big deal. And I would say the same

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<v Speaker 7>thing for both Amazon and Microsoft because they have enough

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<v Speaker 7>backlock coming from other places. The thing is over here.

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<v Speaker 7>Oracle is the one where open Ai has the largest commitment,

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<v Speaker 7>which was three hundred billion dollars plus. Now this is

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<v Speaker 7>where you would see that how will that number shape

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<v Speaker 7>up in the coming years? You know, I would argue

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<v Speaker 7>that even if things were really fine with open Ai

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<v Speaker 7>and there were no changes, there could be some transfer

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<v Speaker 7>of that demand from Oracle to potentially Amazon's web services

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<v Speaker 7>because when open Ai and Oracle signed that deal, Amazon

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<v Speaker 7>was not in the picture. Amazon recently got included in

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<v Speaker 7>the pie and the opening I made one hundred billion

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<v Speaker 7>plus commitment with them, So you know, if they're going

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<v Speaker 7>to cut back somewhere, I think the my gut instinct

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<v Speaker 7>is it's going to come more from Oracle than anybody else.

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<v Speaker 3>And we see the share price reaction in Oracle today,

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<v Speaker 3>of course along with everyone else. Ana rag Can I

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<v Speaker 3>just go back to one area that has been reported

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<v Speaker 3>is that open Ai had turned to its own investors saying,

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<v Speaker 3>the reason we can stay ahead and perhaps fend off

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<v Speaker 3>competition like an anthropic is we've got more compute. Is

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<v Speaker 3>that a winning formula for these llms right now?

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<v Speaker 7>So that is the traditional mindset that the more compute

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<v Speaker 7>that you have, the better your model is going to be.

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<v Speaker 7>So far that trick has been working in a sense,

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<v Speaker 7>that model, that concept of uh, you know, you could

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<v Speaker 7>say scaling laws have been working. I just don't know

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<v Speaker 7>how that shapes up in the next iteration of model

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<v Speaker 7>and how big of a clusters do you need to

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<v Speaker 7>train them?

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<v Speaker 3>And rag Rana out with the react, out with the

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<v Speaker 3>boommeg intelligence. We so appreciate it. Let's get broader market perspective.

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<v Speaker 3>Tiffany Wadees say with US Columbia thread Needle Investments senior

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<v Speaker 3>portfolio manager, It's interesting how much the market reacts to

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<v Speaker 3>this particular reporting. Is there reason to have anxiety that

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<v Speaker 3>companies are good for the compute demand right now?

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<v Speaker 4>I think we're going to.

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<v Speaker 8>See that the compute demand continues to persist. There's so

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<v Speaker 8>much demand, and it's not just from Anthropic and open Ai.

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<v Speaker 8>It's really across the economy that we're seeing demand for

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<v Speaker 8>more processing power. So I expect the spending is going

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<v Speaker 8>to continue. But I get why we're seeing some of

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<v Speaker 8>the stock reactions on a news report like this, especially

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<v Speaker 8>across the tech in the semi space, where these stocks

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<v Speaker 8>have been up almost forty percent over the last month,

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<v Speaker 8>So it kind of makes sense that we're seeing them

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<v Speaker 8>take a breather on a big bit of a negative

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<v Speaker 8>news report. But I don't think that we're going to

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<v Speaker 8>see that the story for infrastructure, you know, spaying demand

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<v Speaker 8>has cracked.

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<v Speaker 2>Tiffany, I'm right in saying that Alphabet parent of Google

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<v Speaker 2>is one of your top holdings, one of your.

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<v Speaker 5>Top names, right.

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<v Speaker 2>Yes, what we've looked at is obviously the chaos in

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<v Speaker 2>the moment, there's a big move in the session, But

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<v Speaker 2>this is a longer term chart, and it shows that

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<v Speaker 2>Alphabet exposed stocks have massively outperformed open Ai exposed stocks.

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<v Speaker 2>We can get into the definition of but each but

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<v Speaker 2>what does that chart tell you about your own thesis

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<v Speaker 2>and conviction on Google?

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<v Speaker 8>Yeah, I think we're seeing the divergence here, and the

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<v Speaker 8>charts really happen according to the competitiveness of the models

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<v Speaker 8>that have been released by both companies. Right, So, Google

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<v Speaker 8>for a while was being perceived as a bit of

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<v Speaker 8>a loser because their models were maybe not as good

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<v Speaker 8>as what we were seeing come out of open Ai

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<v Speaker 8>an anthropic and that changed last year when they released

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<v Speaker 8>some of their newer Gemini models and then they were

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<v Speaker 8>seen as more of a winner. And I think that

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<v Speaker 8>caused some of that divergence and the performance between those

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<v Speaker 8>baskets of stocks that are linked to Google and that

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<v Speaker 8>are linked to open Ai. And certainly this continues to

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<v Speaker 8>sort of push that narrative around how competitive are open

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<v Speaker 8>ai models versus the competitors.

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<v Speaker 2>Let's bring it back to today's top story. Stocks that

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<v Speaker 2>have an association with open Ai are selling off pretty

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<v Speaker 2>hard on the basis that the journal reported it missed

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<v Speaker 2>prior year financial targets internal and it's still not where

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<v Speaker 2>it wants to be on CHATGBT users. It seems like

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<v Speaker 2>now we do need some more evidence of demand on

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<v Speaker 2>a longer term basis. We're not just focused on the

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<v Speaker 2>capex input. Is that where your head's at Tiffany.

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<v Speaker 4>I think that's right.

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<v Speaker 8>I don't think the demand overall is slowing. We're seeing

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<v Speaker 8>amazing numbers coming out of Anthropic. They've taken up their

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<v Speaker 8>revenue targets significantly over.

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<v Speaker 4>The course of the year. There could be a couple.

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<v Speaker 8>Things that are causing open ai to grow a little

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<v Speaker 8>bit slower, and part of it could be that they're

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<v Speaker 8>losing a bit of market share to Nthropic. Anthropic with

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<v Speaker 8>their cloud code product, has been a massive hit so

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<v Speaker 8>far this year. Open Ai was a couple months behind

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<v Speaker 8>and releasing their Codex product. Their exclusivity agreement with Microsoft

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<v Speaker 8>may also have been a bit of a headwind to

0:10:55.120 --> 0:10:59.200
<v Speaker 8>enterprise adoption, but yesterday that agreement was renegotiated, so we

0:10:59.280 --> 0:11:01.400
<v Speaker 8>might see some more opportunity for open Ai on some

0:11:01.480 --> 0:11:04.760
<v Speaker 8>of the other cloud providers as more models become available elsewhere.

0:11:05.120 --> 0:11:07.120
<v Speaker 8>So I think we might see some of those proof

0:11:07.160 --> 0:11:10.840
<v Speaker 8>points around the growth given just you know, having the

0:11:10.880 --> 0:11:14.960
<v Speaker 8>ability to sell this Codex product across more platforms, and

0:11:14.960 --> 0:11:17.480
<v Speaker 8>also the ability to sell their models across a wider

0:11:17.840 --> 0:11:20.480
<v Speaker 8>array of models across aws and then also across the

0:11:20.480 --> 0:11:21.560
<v Speaker 8>Google Cloud platform.

0:11:21.720 --> 0:11:24.959
<v Speaker 3>And that proof point comes in earnings. I mean we're

0:11:25.000 --> 0:11:27.320
<v Speaker 3>all just holding our breath for this week to really

0:11:27.320 --> 0:11:30.560
<v Speaker 3>see how much capital expenditure continues to come from these megaplays.

0:11:30.960 --> 0:11:32.840
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, well, I don't think we'll know the answer Frobe

0:11:32.840 --> 0:11:35.400
<v Speaker 8>and I specifically this week, but we'll certainly see if

0:11:35.440 --> 0:11:37.439
<v Speaker 8>the demand continues to hold up. I think we'll be

0:11:37.480 --> 0:11:40.839
<v Speaker 8>watching very closely to see the revenue growth and potentially

0:11:41.000 --> 0:11:44.080
<v Speaker 8>continued sort of acceleration in revenue growth for the cloud

0:11:44.080 --> 0:11:46.520
<v Speaker 8>services providers, and then also what they have to say

0:11:46.559 --> 0:11:49.240
<v Speaker 8>about capex plans. It's likely that we'll continue to hear

0:11:49.280 --> 0:11:52.440
<v Speaker 8>the companies say that their capacity constrained, which may lead

0:11:52.480 --> 0:11:54.760
<v Speaker 8>to increased CAPEX expenditures.

0:11:54.160 --> 0:11:54.559
<v Speaker 4>For the year.

0:11:55.520 --> 0:11:58.760
<v Speaker 2>Tiffany, let's put the academic side of this to one side.

0:11:58.960 --> 0:12:01.880
<v Speaker 2>AI is developing. AI is potentially good for the world.

0:12:01.920 --> 0:12:05.600
<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg. We do business. So what's the metric

0:12:05.800 --> 0:12:08.280
<v Speaker 2>by which we set the world order of who is

0:12:08.360 --> 0:12:14.360
<v Speaker 2>leading in the field? Open AI andthropic alphabet meta XAI.

0:12:14.559 --> 0:12:16.040
<v Speaker 5>How do you establish a rank?

0:12:16.760 --> 0:12:18.760
<v Speaker 8>I think some of the things we're looking for, certainly

0:12:18.880 --> 0:12:21.360
<v Speaker 8>user growth when we're thinking about the model providers, So

0:12:21.480 --> 0:12:24.680
<v Speaker 8>at the moment, it seems like anthropic is leading. Also

0:12:24.760 --> 0:12:28.800
<v Speaker 8>their focus on enterprise demand has clearly been a benefit

0:12:28.840 --> 0:12:32.400
<v Speaker 8>for them versus open AI shifting demand towards enterprise or

0:12:32.440 --> 0:12:35.760
<v Speaker 8>their focus towards enterprise later on. And then for the

0:12:35.800 --> 0:12:39.760
<v Speaker 8>cloud providers, we're really looking for that acceleration in the

0:12:40.000 --> 0:12:43.120
<v Speaker 8>revenue for the cloud businesses as an indicator that demand

0:12:43.160 --> 0:12:45.520
<v Speaker 8>continues to grow and that they're starting to generate some

0:12:45.600 --> 0:12:48.480
<v Speaker 8>good returns off of the spending that they are committed to.

0:12:49.960 --> 0:12:53.400
<v Speaker 3>From your perspective, the hard way, you opened this up

0:12:53.400 --> 0:12:56.240
<v Speaker 3>by saying, no, wonder we perhaps get a pullback because

0:12:56.280 --> 0:12:58.319
<v Speaker 3>the market is run so high, But is it for

0:12:58.360 --> 0:13:02.040
<v Speaker 3>the twenty twenty six hardware wins, infrastructure wins. Software is

0:13:02.080 --> 0:13:05.240
<v Speaker 3>still at play and still an anxiety ridden space right now.

0:13:05.600 --> 0:13:07.040
<v Speaker 8>I think we're going to see that continue to be

0:13:07.080 --> 0:13:09.240
<v Speaker 8>the playbook for the year. I wouldn't be surprised if

0:13:09.240 --> 0:13:10.800
<v Speaker 8>we took a little bit of a breather on some

0:13:10.840 --> 0:13:13.360
<v Speaker 8>of the semiconductor stocks I mentioned. They're up almost forty

0:13:13.400 --> 0:13:16.480
<v Speaker 8>percent over the last month, so potentially quite crowded here

0:13:16.600 --> 0:13:19.120
<v Speaker 8>going into the rest of earnings. But I think that

0:13:19.120 --> 0:13:21.520
<v Speaker 8>that narrative probably continues for the rest of the year,

0:13:21.559 --> 0:13:24.120
<v Speaker 8>where we're seeing very good demand, very good backlog for

0:13:24.160 --> 0:13:27.120
<v Speaker 8>all of the hardware companies, and these questions continue to

0:13:27.200 --> 0:13:29.920
<v Speaker 8>linger about sort of the business model for software and

0:13:29.960 --> 0:13:30.720
<v Speaker 8>SaaS companies.

0:13:31.880 --> 0:13:35.720
<v Speaker 2>Tiffany Wade of Columbia, Fred deed Or, It's been a robust, timely,

0:13:36.080 --> 0:13:39.360
<v Speaker 2>and very useful conversation, Thank you very much. Now coming up,

0:13:39.440 --> 0:13:42.800
<v Speaker 2>President Trump is once again criticizing late night host Jimmy

0:13:42.880 --> 0:13:45.000
<v Speaker 2>Kimmel and calling for him to be fired.

0:13:45.000 --> 0:13:47.000
<v Speaker 5>We had the details of that next.

0:13:47.040 --> 0:13:50.480
<v Speaker 2>In the meantime, President Trump is speaking in Washington where

0:13:50.520 --> 0:13:53.320
<v Speaker 2>he's welcoming King Charles IID at the White House.

0:13:53.360 --> 0:13:53.880
<v Speaker 5>That's listen it.

0:13:54.000 --> 0:13:57.839
<v Speaker 9>We're the two great leaders met was called the Prince

0:13:57.920 --> 0:14:01.520
<v Speaker 9>of Wales the very time that his Majesty the King

0:14:01.640 --> 0:14:06.000
<v Speaker 9>held longer than any other individual in British history, and

0:14:06.080 --> 0:14:11.360
<v Speaker 9>he held it with great pride and respect. It said

0:14:11.360 --> 0:14:16.280
<v Speaker 9>that when Prime Minister Churchill first met this future King

0:14:16.440 --> 0:14:21.040
<v Speaker 9>many decades ago, he was so impressed. He made the statement,

0:14:21.160 --> 0:14:26.080
<v Speaker 9>he is so young to think so much and so well.

0:14:27.520 --> 0:14:35.240
<v Speaker 9>And the bust of your great Prime Minister rests proudly

0:14:35.440 --> 0:14:39.120
<v Speaker 9>again in the Oval Office. I'm very proud to bring

0:14:39.160 --> 0:14:44.960
<v Speaker 9>it back. We brought it back throughout His Majesty's life.

0:14:45.640 --> 0:14:49.880
<v Speaker 9>The world has witnessed that same thoughtfulness which first struck

0:14:49.920 --> 0:14:55.720
<v Speaker 9>Britain's greatest Prime Minister. His Majesty's intellect, passion, and devotion

0:14:56.960 --> 0:15:00.120
<v Speaker 9>have been a long, really a long, a blessing, blessing

0:15:00.120 --> 0:15:05.840
<v Speaker 9>to the British people, but not only to his own country,

0:15:06.440 --> 0:15:10.760
<v Speaker 9>but to the cherished bond between the United States and

0:15:10.840 --> 0:15:15.280
<v Speaker 9>the United Kingdom. And I am very certain that it

0:15:15.400 --> 0:15:20.520
<v Speaker 9>will continue that way long into the future. In a

0:15:20.520 --> 0:15:24.960
<v Speaker 9>few hours, his Majesty will stand in the heart of

0:15:25.000 --> 0:15:29.360
<v Speaker 9>the United States Capital as the very first British King

0:15:29.480 --> 0:15:37.360
<v Speaker 9>ever to address a joint session of the United States Congress.

0:15:37.360 --> 0:15:39.280
<v Speaker 9>So he's going to be addressing.

0:15:40.320 --> 0:15:40.720
<v Speaker 5>Congress.

0:15:40.720 --> 0:15:41.800
<v Speaker 10>Said, I'm going to be watching.

0:15:43.120 --> 0:15:45.520
<v Speaker 9>I was thinking of going, but they said, I don't know.

0:15:45.920 --> 0:15:47.480
<v Speaker 9>That might be a step two foot.

0:15:47.520 --> 0:15:48.320
<v Speaker 10>I would love to go.

0:15:50.040 --> 0:15:52.600
<v Speaker 9>It's not supposed to be protocol, but I would love

0:15:52.640 --> 0:15:57.640
<v Speaker 9>to be with you. But there, the direct descendant of

0:15:57.720 --> 0:16:02.200
<v Speaker 9>King George the Third will speak to the direct successor

0:16:02.520 --> 0:16:06.120
<v Speaker 9>of the very body that gathered in Independence Hall and

0:16:06.240 --> 0:16:12.280
<v Speaker 9>July fourth, seventeen seventy six. If John Adams and George Washington,

0:16:12.480 --> 0:16:16.680
<v Speaker 9>or the King's fifth great grandfather could see that site,

0:16:16.720 --> 0:16:22.120
<v Speaker 9>they might be absolutely shocked, but probably only for a moment.

0:16:23.280 --> 0:16:28.320
<v Speaker 9>Surely they would be delighted that the wounds of war

0:16:28.440 --> 0:16:32.760
<v Speaker 9>healed into the most cherished friendship. Think of that very,

0:16:33.000 --> 0:16:39.320
<v Speaker 9>very long ago, difficult war, and yet those wounds did

0:16:39.400 --> 0:16:43.160
<v Speaker 9>indeed heal into the most cherished of friendships, most cherished.

0:16:44.240 --> 0:16:47.800
<v Speaker 9>They would be moved beyond words to know that the

0:16:47.840 --> 0:16:52.640
<v Speaker 9>soldiers who once called each other redcoats and Yankees became

0:16:52.760 --> 0:16:55.800
<v Speaker 9>the Tommys and the Gis who together saved the free

0:16:55.840 --> 0:17:00.040
<v Speaker 9>world as brothers in arms and brothers in eternity. And no, no,

0:17:00.120 --> 0:17:04.800
<v Speaker 9>but he fought better together than us. If they could

0:17:04.800 --> 0:17:10.200
<v Speaker 9>see us today.

0:17:12.720 --> 0:17:15.680
<v Speaker 11>I agree that hateful and violent rhetoric is something we

0:17:15.720 --> 0:17:18.520
<v Speaker 11>should reject. I do, and I think a great place

0:17:18.560 --> 0:17:21.119
<v Speaker 11>to start to dial that back would be to have

0:17:21.119 --> 0:17:26.280
<v Speaker 11>a conversation with your husband about it. Because, by the way,

0:17:28.680 --> 0:17:32.119
<v Speaker 11>I also should point out Donald Trump is allowed to

0:17:32.160 --> 0:17:34.600
<v Speaker 11>say whatever he wants to say, as are you and

0:17:34.640 --> 0:17:37.040
<v Speaker 11>as am I, as are all of us, because under

0:17:37.040 --> 0:17:40.040
<v Speaker 11>the First Amendment, we have as Americans a right to

0:17:40.240 --> 0:17:40.920
<v Speaker 11>free speech.

0:17:42.920 --> 0:17:45.760
<v Speaker 2>Jimmy Kimmel there defending a joke he made last week

0:17:45.920 --> 0:17:48.800
<v Speaker 2>that prompted President Donald Trump to call for ABC to

0:17:48.920 --> 0:17:51.439
<v Speaker 2>fire the late night host. Let's get the details on

0:17:51.520 --> 0:17:56.000
<v Speaker 2>this latest fight between Kimmel and the President with Lucas Shaw,

0:17:56.080 --> 0:17:59.359
<v Speaker 2>who leads our screen time team out of LA and Hollywood.

0:18:00.560 --> 0:18:01.679
<v Speaker 5>Where do we start, Lucas.

0:18:01.720 --> 0:18:04.640
<v Speaker 2>I mean, there is a chronology to what happened over

0:18:04.680 --> 0:18:08.119
<v Speaker 2>the last seven days, but the net result is that

0:18:08.160 --> 0:18:10.760
<v Speaker 2>the President has called for Jimmy Kimmel to be fired.

0:18:11.720 --> 0:18:14.280
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, I mean, we we've It feels a little bit

0:18:14.280 --> 0:18:17.440
<v Speaker 12>like deja vu, which which Kimmel talked about on television

0:18:17.520 --> 0:18:20.240
<v Speaker 12>last night. It was it was you know, six months ago,

0:18:20.359 --> 0:18:22.880
<v Speaker 12>give or take. I think it was maybe seven where

0:18:23.920 --> 0:18:28.639
<v Speaker 12>you know, the the chairman of the FCC, Brendan Carr,

0:18:28.840 --> 0:18:32.119
<v Speaker 12>President Trump, we're calling for Kimmel to be fired by

0:18:32.280 --> 0:18:34.880
<v Speaker 12>by Disney and ABC or calling on stations to come

0:18:34.920 --> 0:18:37.720
<v Speaker 12>after Kimmel. But that's one of the big differences this

0:18:37.760 --> 0:18:41.120
<v Speaker 12>time versus last time, is you know, Disney reacted very swiftly,

0:18:41.240 --> 0:18:43.680
<v Speaker 12>in part because some of the biggest local station owners

0:18:43.720 --> 0:18:46.159
<v Speaker 12>which carried the kind of ABC on their on their

0:18:46.200 --> 0:18:49.480
<v Speaker 12>local networks, were asking for Kimmel to be fired or

0:18:49.520 --> 0:18:51.240
<v Speaker 12>asking for him to be off the air because of

0:18:51.280 --> 0:18:53.480
<v Speaker 12>comments he'd made at the time regarding Charlie Kirk.

0:18:54.400 --> 0:18:56.840
<v Speaker 10>You know this time, they they aren't doing that. They've

0:18:56.840 --> 0:18:57.520
<v Speaker 10>been pretty silent.

0:18:58.920 --> 0:19:03.840
<v Speaker 2>Lucas in October, after that first dispute, you had an

0:19:03.880 --> 0:19:07.320
<v Speaker 2>extended conversation with Kimmel on stage in Los Angeles at

0:19:07.320 --> 0:19:10.120
<v Speaker 2>our screen time event. So the Bloomberg Tech audience around

0:19:10.119 --> 0:19:12.359
<v Speaker 2>the world that may not understand this, right, they don't

0:19:12.400 --> 0:19:15.440
<v Speaker 2>necessarily know Jimmy Kimmel. They may they don't understand why

0:19:15.440 --> 0:19:17.959
<v Speaker 2>the president is so engaged over what Jimmy Kimmell has

0:19:18.000 --> 0:19:20.840
<v Speaker 2>to say. Just give us the basics of his show,

0:19:21.240 --> 0:19:23.320
<v Speaker 2>its reach, why this is happening.

0:19:24.040 --> 0:19:28.040
<v Speaker 12>Look, Jimmy Kimmel hosts one of the three main late

0:19:28.119 --> 0:19:30.359
<v Speaker 12>night talk shows on American broadcast TV. You've got the

0:19:30.400 --> 0:19:32.639
<v Speaker 12>show on CBS by Stephen Colbert, which is about to

0:19:32.680 --> 0:19:34.600
<v Speaker 12>go away. You've got the show on NBC hosted by

0:19:34.680 --> 0:19:37.639
<v Speaker 12>Jimmy Fallon, and then Kimmel on ABC. You know, he

0:19:37.760 --> 0:19:39.840
<v Speaker 12>is not known, or, at least for most of his career,

0:19:39.920 --> 0:19:42.040
<v Speaker 12>was not known as a political comedian, but over the

0:19:42.119 --> 0:19:44.480
<v Speaker 12>last several years has gotten far more out spoken on

0:19:44.520 --> 0:19:47.080
<v Speaker 12>politics and has been a really frequent thorn in the

0:19:47.119 --> 0:19:49.680
<v Speaker 12>side of President Trump. Trump does not like to get

0:19:49.680 --> 0:19:52.240
<v Speaker 12>made fun of and is someone who still cares about

0:19:52.320 --> 0:19:55.920
<v Speaker 12>late night television. And so they've had sort of public

0:19:56.000 --> 0:19:59.199
<v Speaker 12>jousting again and again, and I think this time, you know,

0:19:59.240 --> 0:20:00.200
<v Speaker 12>Disney didn't.

0:20:00.119 --> 0:20:01.560
<v Speaker 10>Kimmel off the air. Kimmel was not.

0:20:02.000 --> 0:20:05.840
<v Speaker 12>You know, he is finding a way to consistently tweak

0:20:05.920 --> 0:20:10.720
<v Speaker 12>the president while also trying to not cross the line

0:20:10.760 --> 0:20:12.520
<v Speaker 12>as he has done in the past.

0:20:12.960 --> 0:20:14.960
<v Speaker 3>Kimmel did say he was sorry for what Trump the

0:20:15.000 --> 0:20:17.480
<v Speaker 3>first Lady and everyone at the dinner this is a

0:20:17.520 --> 0:20:21.560
<v Speaker 3>White House correspondence dinner went through. But question whether really

0:20:21.600 --> 0:20:23.520
<v Speaker 3>the joke was in any way relationship to them what

0:20:23.560 --> 0:20:26.320
<v Speaker 3>occurred over the weekend. That is the context here, Lucas,

0:20:26.560 --> 0:20:30.120
<v Speaker 3>how do we see therefore, maybe any friend and car

0:20:30.640 --> 0:20:33.680
<v Speaker 3>comments coming further? Do you anticipate or you're bracing yourself

0:20:33.720 --> 0:20:34.879
<v Speaker 3>for any further reaction?

0:20:35.760 --> 0:20:38.520
<v Speaker 12>Mark, you made a crucial point, which is that Jimmy

0:20:38.600 --> 0:20:41.159
<v Speaker 12>Kimmel made a joke that we can debate whether or

0:20:41.200 --> 0:20:42.760
<v Speaker 12>not it was in good taste or not, but it

0:20:42.840 --> 0:20:45.320
<v Speaker 12>was made prior to the incident and the White House

0:20:45.320 --> 0:20:47.439
<v Speaker 12>correspondent to dinner over the weekend, so it's not like

0:20:47.480 --> 0:20:49.359
<v Speaker 12>he was making light of that situation.

0:20:49.920 --> 0:20:52.200
<v Speaker 10>Because the comments were edgy.

0:20:52.280 --> 0:20:55.320
<v Speaker 12>They have been weaponized by the Trump administration once again

0:20:55.400 --> 0:20:56.639
<v Speaker 12>to show that Kimmel is.

0:20:56.960 --> 0:20:58.400
<v Speaker 10>A bad guy.

0:20:58.880 --> 0:21:01.359
<v Speaker 12>Is it possible that s see in that the FCC

0:21:01.480 --> 0:21:04.040
<v Speaker 12>and Brendan Carr come after Kimmel, or more specifically, come

0:21:04.080 --> 0:21:07.320
<v Speaker 12>after Disney and those ABC station licenses, kind of anything

0:21:07.400 --> 0:21:09.720
<v Speaker 12>as possible. Brendan Carr has behaved in a manner that

0:21:09.800 --> 0:21:12.080
<v Speaker 12>is unlike any FCC chair.

0:21:11.960 --> 0:21:15.720
<v Speaker 10>Before, but we don't know yet what they're planning to do.

0:21:16.400 --> 0:21:20.080
<v Speaker 3>Away, As Luka shaw As always across it, we appreciate you.

0:21:21.400 --> 0:21:25.200
<v Speaker 3>China is moving from regulation to intervention in an unprecedented

0:21:25.240 --> 0:21:28.359
<v Speaker 3>geo political power play. Hijiping is attempting to block a

0:21:28.400 --> 0:21:31.480
<v Speaker 3>Meta deal that has already closed new works. Peter Elstrom

0:21:31.560 --> 0:21:35.480
<v Speaker 3>has more on Beijing's move to exert extra territorial influence

0:21:35.960 --> 0:21:38.400
<v Speaker 3>over Silicon Valley. Is that how it's being seen, Peter,

0:21:38.560 --> 0:21:42.159
<v Speaker 3>I'm really interested in we understand how Meta and mannas.

0:21:42.359 --> 0:21:44.920
<v Speaker 3>Yesterday we covered why that deal might be being getting

0:21:44.960 --> 0:21:48.679
<v Speaker 3>pushed back from China, But how does it affect other companies.

0:21:48.600 --> 0:21:50.720
<v Speaker 4>That have been born in China and moved elsewhere.

0:21:52.840 --> 0:21:56.680
<v Speaker 13>Well, China for a long time has been able to

0:21:56.760 --> 0:21:59.800
<v Speaker 13>exercise these regulatory powers that are far beyond what you

0:22:00.200 --> 0:22:02.600
<v Speaker 13>see in other countries. We know a course about their

0:22:02.600 --> 0:22:05.200
<v Speaker 13>crackdown on Jack Man, Ali Baba and the Ant Group,

0:22:05.240 --> 0:22:08.639
<v Speaker 13>for example. Probably the closest thing to what we're seeing

0:22:08.720 --> 0:22:12.040
<v Speaker 13>right now with Manus is when d D the ride

0:22:12.080 --> 0:22:14.680
<v Speaker 13>hailing company, they're listed on the New York Stock Exchange

0:22:14.720 --> 0:22:16.920
<v Speaker 13>and then actually I had to reverse course and pull

0:22:16.960 --> 0:22:19.120
<v Speaker 13>its listing, and so what they're trying to do here

0:22:19.200 --> 0:22:21.120
<v Speaker 13>is quite similar in a lot of ways. They're trying

0:22:21.119 --> 0:22:23.320
<v Speaker 13>to go to Meta, even though it's already closed this

0:22:23.400 --> 0:22:26.920
<v Speaker 13>deal and get them to undo the acquisition of Manus.

0:22:26.960 --> 0:22:28.680
<v Speaker 13>It's not clear how that would happen. As we talked

0:22:28.680 --> 0:22:31.520
<v Speaker 13>about yesterday, the money has already been distributed to the

0:22:31.560 --> 0:22:34.000
<v Speaker 13>shareholders of Manus. It's not clear whether they can get

0:22:34.000 --> 0:22:36.840
<v Speaker 13>those checks back and actually return them. And it's also

0:22:36.880 --> 0:22:38.879
<v Speaker 13>not clear how they're going to undo some of the

0:22:39.240 --> 0:22:43.280
<v Speaker 13>technology sharing that we've already seen. Manus has already shared

0:22:43.280 --> 0:22:45.680
<v Speaker 13>a bunch of their technology with Meta at this point,

0:22:45.720 --> 0:22:47.879
<v Speaker 13>so it's not clear that you can actually undo this

0:22:48.000 --> 0:22:49.719
<v Speaker 13>and what it would mean to actually undo it at

0:22:49.720 --> 0:22:50.720
<v Speaker 13>this stage of the process.

0:22:51.560 --> 0:22:54.679
<v Speaker 2>There is a case study mirror mind, Peter, correct me

0:22:54.720 --> 0:22:58.359
<v Speaker 2>if I haven't said that right. But this is a

0:22:58.400 --> 0:23:02.080
<v Speaker 2>business that has a US component and a Chinese component,

0:23:02.119 --> 0:23:04.840
<v Speaker 2>and we've reported that the founder is looked at the

0:23:04.920 --> 0:23:09.240
<v Speaker 2>manner situation and said, Okay, I'm taking action in light

0:23:09.359 --> 0:23:12.119
<v Speaker 2>of the latest policy position from China.

0:23:13.280 --> 0:23:15.840
<v Speaker 13>That's right, yeah, And this is a sign of how

0:23:15.920 --> 0:23:19.400
<v Speaker 13>Chinese entrepreneurs or entrepreneurs with their roots in China are

0:23:19.400 --> 0:23:23.359
<v Speaker 13>now being very careful about this geopolitical divide between China

0:23:23.440 --> 0:23:25.680
<v Speaker 13>and the United States in particular. So in this case,

0:23:25.720 --> 0:23:26.720
<v Speaker 13>you said it exactly right.

0:23:26.760 --> 0:23:27.280
<v Speaker 10>It's Mirolen.

0:23:27.280 --> 0:23:27.520
<v Speaker 4>Mind.

0:23:27.800 --> 0:23:30.439
<v Speaker 13>This is a founder Chen who was famous for starting

0:23:30.440 --> 0:23:33.400
<v Speaker 13>a games company called Shanda. He's decided that he needs

0:23:33.440 --> 0:23:36.360
<v Speaker 13>to quarantine the Chinese business and the US business from

0:23:36.440 --> 0:23:42.480
<v Speaker 13>each other. They've set up strict restrictions between those operations

0:23:42.520 --> 0:23:44.640
<v Speaker 13>to make sure that they don't share data, they don't

0:23:44.680 --> 0:23:47.600
<v Speaker 13>share code between the two operations. They can run them

0:23:48.000 --> 0:23:50.160
<v Speaker 13>separately at this point, and I think that's a sign

0:23:50.200 --> 0:23:53.320
<v Speaker 13>more broadly for these Chinese entrepreneurs who are starting up

0:23:53.320 --> 0:23:57.280
<v Speaker 13>a bunch of very very interesting companies within the country

0:23:57.320 --> 0:23:58.840
<v Speaker 13>at this point. Some of them in the past have

0:23:58.920 --> 0:24:01.600
<v Speaker 13>looked to move to Singapore, or to perhaps distance themselves.

0:24:01.600 --> 0:24:03.920
<v Speaker 13>That's actually what Man has tried to do, but it's

0:24:03.920 --> 0:24:06.359
<v Speaker 13>not clear that that's going to work unless you go

0:24:06.480 --> 0:24:10.320
<v Speaker 13>to Singapore separately, start up your company separately there, and

0:24:10.320 --> 0:24:13.000
<v Speaker 13>then don't leave anything behind in China. So it's a

0:24:13.000 --> 0:24:15.560
<v Speaker 13>tricky situational overall for these entrepreneurs.

0:24:16.000 --> 0:24:19.880
<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg's Peter Alstrom, who's the executive editor leading our coverage

0:24:19.920 --> 0:24:21.760
<v Speaker 2>of Asia tech, thank you very much.

0:24:27.200 --> 0:24:28.360
<v Speaker 4>Welcome back to Bloomberg Tech.

0:24:28.400 --> 0:24:30.200
<v Speaker 3>We check in on these markets which are under pressure,

0:24:30.200 --> 0:24:32.439
<v Speaker 3>and that's like one hundred having the worst day in

0:24:32.520 --> 0:24:35.320
<v Speaker 3>a month at the moment as big tech pulls.

0:24:35.000 --> 0:24:36.760
<v Speaker 4>Back, and we'll get into the reasoning around that.

0:24:36.760 --> 0:24:39.399
<v Speaker 3>But one key stock that's on the downside, of course,

0:24:39.520 --> 0:24:43.280
<v Speaker 3>European born but US traded Spotify off by twelve percent.

0:24:43.359 --> 0:24:45.560
<v Speaker 4>I think it's worst day since twenty twenty three.

0:24:45.920 --> 0:24:48.920
<v Speaker 3>This after earnings come in lackluster or according to Bloomberg Intelligence,

0:24:48.960 --> 0:24:53.200
<v Speaker 3>second quarter gross margin forecast implies a very modest expansion

0:24:53.600 --> 0:24:55.760
<v Speaker 3>from the fiscal first quarter, and they say it's going

0:24:55.800 --> 0:24:59.320
<v Speaker 3>to fuel concerns that AI music is taking market share.

0:24:59.400 --> 0:25:01.600
<v Speaker 3>Let's talk more about AI because that is what's seeing

0:25:01.640 --> 0:25:02.800
<v Speaker 3>tech under pressure today.

0:25:03.280 --> 0:25:04.919
<v Speaker 4>Not the geopolitical.

0:25:04.400 --> 0:25:07.119
<v Speaker 3>Overhang, but what's happening with open ai. Reporting from the

0:25:07.160 --> 0:25:10.320
<v Speaker 3>Wall Street Journal that it's missing internal targets for growth

0:25:10.359 --> 0:25:12.959
<v Speaker 3>on user base, for growth on revenues, and it tugs

0:25:13.000 --> 0:25:16.800
<v Speaker 3>down the ecosystem that surrounds open ai. Oracle, It's infrastructure

0:25:16.800 --> 0:25:19.440
<v Speaker 3>player down by four percent, arm holdings with its relationship

0:25:19.440 --> 0:25:22.040
<v Speaker 3>with soft Bank, or by more than eight percent, geeven no,

0:25:22.119 --> 0:25:24.760
<v Speaker 3>but even the electricity infrastructure that's meant to be going

0:25:24.760 --> 0:25:27.479
<v Speaker 3>into future compute it's down by five percent.

0:25:27.680 --> 0:25:27.760
<v Speaker 13>Ed.

0:25:28.160 --> 0:25:30.359
<v Speaker 4>This is a broad reaction, Okay.

0:25:30.359 --> 0:25:33.240
<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Equities reported Carmen Rhyanikey is with us.

0:25:33.320 --> 0:25:34.920
<v Speaker 5>I mean, how broad right?

0:25:34.960 --> 0:25:37.840
<v Speaker 2>You know, we looked very closely at Oracle and its

0:25:37.880 --> 0:25:40.880
<v Speaker 2>exposure to open ai, the neoclouds core. We even obvious

0:25:40.920 --> 0:25:44.719
<v Speaker 2>example carriage touched on power. Does it go beyond that?

0:25:44.760 --> 0:25:45.480
<v Speaker 2>In the market this.

0:25:45.520 --> 0:25:48.199
<v Speaker 14>Morning, yeah, I mean, I think we're seeing kind of

0:25:48.240 --> 0:25:51.840
<v Speaker 14>any stock that's really linked to open ai under pressure

0:25:51.880 --> 0:25:54.120
<v Speaker 14>this morning. And really the reason behind that is that

0:25:54.160 --> 0:25:56.479
<v Speaker 14>there's concerns if they're not meeting these targets, are they

0:25:56.520 --> 0:25:58.200
<v Speaker 14>going to be able to meet the sort of myriad

0:25:58.760 --> 0:26:01.159
<v Speaker 14>of commitments that they've made with other companies through all

0:26:01.160 --> 0:26:04.200
<v Speaker 14>the deals that they have. It's really bringing back those

0:26:04.240 --> 0:26:07.000
<v Speaker 14>fears around circular financing that we saw kind of at

0:26:07.040 --> 0:26:09.479
<v Speaker 14>the beginning of the year, and investors have maybe started

0:26:09.480 --> 0:26:11.960
<v Speaker 14>to overlook a little bit as maybe they've shifted to,

0:26:12.000 --> 0:26:14.320
<v Speaker 14>you know, looking at capax and return on investment for

0:26:14.480 --> 0:26:18.080
<v Speaker 14>some of this AI spending. So we're seeing really broad

0:26:18.200 --> 0:26:21.600
<v Speaker 14>based pressure here. It's also important to note I think

0:26:21.640 --> 0:26:26.080
<v Speaker 14>that open ai linked stocks have underperformed those linked to Alphabet,

0:26:26.160 --> 0:26:28.679
<v Speaker 14>so that's the other thing here. There's just more competition

0:26:28.760 --> 0:26:31.760
<v Speaker 14>in this space overall that it's putting pressure on open

0:26:31.800 --> 0:26:34.440
<v Speaker 14>ai and investors are really taking note of that.

0:26:34.920 --> 0:26:36.800
<v Speaker 3>Common It is interesting that Opening I have come back

0:26:36.840 --> 0:26:39.560
<v Speaker 3>falsely and known statements to Bloomberg saying they're firing on

0:26:39.600 --> 0:26:43.240
<v Speaker 3>all the cylinders. What's interesting is all cylinders going to

0:26:43.240 --> 0:26:45.040
<v Speaker 3>be firing, and earnings coming up day to this week.

0:26:45.080 --> 0:26:47.120
<v Speaker 3>That just show where the capital expenditure is there, whether

0:26:47.119 --> 0:26:50.239
<v Speaker 3>they're more broadly, the compute story is there, even if

0:26:50.280 --> 0:26:52.520
<v Speaker 3>it's being reshuffled around some of the llms.

0:26:53.119 --> 0:26:53.840
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, definitely.

0:26:53.880 --> 0:26:57.600
<v Speaker 14>I think investors were already looking at these reports coming up,

0:26:57.680 --> 0:27:00.840
<v Speaker 14>especially all the hyperscalers on Wednesday with a high level

0:27:00.840 --> 0:27:03.240
<v Speaker 14>of scrutiny, and I think this raises the bar. Right

0:27:03.480 --> 0:27:05.960
<v Speaker 14>we're looking at CAPEX we want to see. I think

0:27:06.000 --> 0:27:08.880
<v Speaker 14>that spending is still happening, but any pullback would be

0:27:09.240 --> 0:27:11.680
<v Speaker 14>an issue. And then on the flip side, the return

0:27:11.760 --> 0:27:14.600
<v Speaker 14>on investment, like what these companies are seeing from all

0:27:14.600 --> 0:27:17.280
<v Speaker 14>this spending is just going to be paramount.

0:27:18.480 --> 0:27:19.760
<v Speaker 5>What next, corbon.

0:27:19.880 --> 0:27:23.719
<v Speaker 2>I mean, it's weird, but for the first thirty two

0:27:23.760 --> 0:27:26.480
<v Speaker 2>minutes and thirty seconds of the show, we haven't mentioned

0:27:26.960 --> 0:27:29.359
<v Speaker 2>that there are trillions and trillions of dollars of market

0:27:29.359 --> 0:27:32.520
<v Speaker 2>cap reporting earnings imminently and that could turn the entire

0:27:32.560 --> 0:27:34.520
<v Speaker 2>tech market on its head exactly.

0:27:34.600 --> 0:27:36.639
<v Speaker 14>I mean, we have a huge slate of reports that

0:27:36.680 --> 0:27:38.920
<v Speaker 14>are coming up later this week. I mean Wednesday again

0:27:38.960 --> 0:27:41.439
<v Speaker 14>we get the four biggest hyper scalers, We get Apple

0:27:41.480 --> 0:27:42.040
<v Speaker 14>on Thursday.

0:27:42.119 --> 0:27:43.600
<v Speaker 4>Qualcoms in the mix as well.

0:27:43.680 --> 0:27:47.360
<v Speaker 14>So there's so much money you know, in the market

0:27:47.400 --> 0:27:50.320
<v Speaker 14>coming from AI that's tied to AI, and we're going

0:27:50.359 --> 0:27:53.880
<v Speaker 14>to get results from these companies this week, and investors

0:27:53.880 --> 0:27:56.920
<v Speaker 14>have been reacting very strongly, sort of pricing in either

0:27:56.960 --> 0:27:59.399
<v Speaker 14>the very best case scenario or the very worst case scenario.

0:27:59.520 --> 0:28:02.480
<v Speaker 14>I think we conceded day with how the market, these

0:28:02.520 --> 0:28:06.240
<v Speaker 14>tech stocks are moving. So these are these reports coming

0:28:06.280 --> 0:28:08.440
<v Speaker 14>up are going to be so important and they're going

0:28:08.480 --> 0:28:12.240
<v Speaker 14>to swing, you know, the entire market. So we're really

0:28:12.280 --> 0:28:14.399
<v Speaker 14>just waiting to see what happens. I think it's an

0:28:14.400 --> 0:28:17.040
<v Speaker 14>eighty second spread on Wednesday that we get four of

0:28:17.080 --> 0:28:20.000
<v Speaker 14>the biggest companies you know in the AI story reporting.

0:28:20.040 --> 0:28:21.480
<v Speaker 14>So it's going to be it's going to be a

0:28:21.480 --> 0:28:22.080
<v Speaker 14>really fun day.

0:28:22.359 --> 0:28:25.760
<v Speaker 3>Brace Brace most common Rhyanicky, Thank you very much. Indeed,

0:28:25.920 --> 0:28:28.880
<v Speaker 3>now let's turn to other open ai news right now

0:28:28.920 --> 0:28:31.760
<v Speaker 3>making headlines today. A jury has been selected for the

0:28:31.800 --> 0:28:35.200
<v Speaker 3>trial between the AI firm and Elon Musk, who claims

0:28:35.240 --> 0:28:38.680
<v Speaker 3>that the company open Ai abandoned its fouling mission as

0:28:38.720 --> 0:28:42.360
<v Speaker 3>a nonprofit. Arguments begin today, But regardless of the outcome,

0:28:42.320 --> 0:28:45.040
<v Speaker 3>bloom My Opinion rebord to Dave Lee says it's a

0:28:45.080 --> 0:28:48.280
<v Speaker 3>win for mask. They've you're with us now, and in

0:28:48.320 --> 0:28:51.680
<v Speaker 3>many ways is it the distraction that ends up winning

0:28:51.760 --> 0:28:53.160
<v Speaker 3>for XAI and Elon.

0:28:53.000 --> 0:28:54.920
<v Speaker 15>Musk here right, I think if you're Elon Musk, you're

0:28:54.960 --> 0:28:57.920
<v Speaker 15>looking at open ai and thinking there's a competitor that

0:28:58.240 --> 0:29:02.560
<v Speaker 15>reduces musks chances of capturing more of the AI market.

0:29:02.720 --> 0:29:05.480
<v Speaker 15>We know SpaceX is looking to go public very very soon,

0:29:06.400 --> 0:29:09.959
<v Speaker 15>and Xai the AI company, is part of that. And

0:29:10.000 --> 0:29:12.720
<v Speaker 15>what this case is doing at the very very least

0:29:13.360 --> 0:29:16.640
<v Speaker 15>is putting a cloud over open AI's own efforts to

0:29:16.680 --> 0:29:19.200
<v Speaker 15>go public themselves. You know, as this is overhanging them,

0:29:19.360 --> 0:29:22.080
<v Speaker 15>there's a chance if it really goes against open ai

0:29:22.400 --> 0:29:24.880
<v Speaker 15>that they'd have to unwind their for profit business and

0:29:24.920 --> 0:29:27.680
<v Speaker 15>go back to the non profit structure that they're originally

0:29:27.720 --> 0:29:30.280
<v Speaker 15>set up in which Elon Musk says he's seeking to

0:29:30.320 --> 0:29:33.520
<v Speaker 15>create open Ai. Of course, say, you know Elon Musk

0:29:33.640 --> 0:29:35.880
<v Speaker 15>is being disingenuous. He wants to be rich from ai

0:29:36.000 --> 0:29:38.960
<v Speaker 15>as well. He was behind a for profit restructuring for

0:29:39.120 --> 0:29:41.480
<v Speaker 15>open ai, and that this is just a ploy to

0:29:41.600 --> 0:29:44.640
<v Speaker 15>slow them down. Well, it's a ploy that is already

0:29:44.720 --> 0:29:49.040
<v Speaker 15>working and could get more effective depending on how the

0:29:49.080 --> 0:29:50.640
<v Speaker 15>court ends up ends up seeing it.

0:29:51.680 --> 0:29:54.720
<v Speaker 2>Okay, the title of your column is open ai is

0:29:54.800 --> 0:29:58.840
<v Speaker 2>shedding baggage. Now it needs a jury's help, Dave Lee,

0:29:59.400 --> 0:30:01.960
<v Speaker 2>what baggage? Just be a bit more specific?

0:30:02.560 --> 0:30:03.280
<v Speaker 10>Where do you begin?

0:30:03.360 --> 0:30:06.400
<v Speaker 15>I mean, look, we've seen today this issue of having

0:30:06.480 --> 0:30:10.160
<v Speaker 15>user and revenue growth issues, but one of the things

0:30:10.200 --> 0:30:13.320
<v Speaker 15>that's been affecting open ai recently is this idea that

0:30:13.360 --> 0:30:16.479
<v Speaker 15>it's doing too many things and that, and it's some

0:30:16.520 --> 0:30:18.680
<v Speaker 15>of this deal making has tied it in knots. So

0:30:18.720 --> 0:30:21.720
<v Speaker 15>for example, on Monday, we saw that open ai had

0:30:21.800 --> 0:30:26.800
<v Speaker 15>renegotiated and already renegotiated deal with Microsoft over computed over

0:30:26.960 --> 0:30:29.560
<v Speaker 15>access to frontier models. That's a good bit of baggage

0:30:29.600 --> 0:30:31.440
<v Speaker 15>to get out of the way because it brings some

0:30:31.520 --> 0:30:33.800
<v Speaker 15>clarity to their deal with Microsoft, which has kind of

0:30:33.800 --> 0:30:37.680
<v Speaker 15>gone sour over the last couple of years. Other baggage

0:30:37.720 --> 0:30:40.200
<v Speaker 15>includes what the company was calling side quests, so we

0:30:40.240 --> 0:30:42.840
<v Speaker 15>saw it close down sour. The video app that was

0:30:43.040 --> 0:30:45.560
<v Speaker 15>kind of popular but was really expensive to run, didn't

0:30:45.560 --> 0:30:49.040
<v Speaker 15>really seem to have much in the way of generating

0:30:49.720 --> 0:30:51.880
<v Speaker 15>enough revenue to make it worth it for open Ai.

0:30:52.360 --> 0:30:54.040
<v Speaker 10>These are all little things.

0:30:53.680 --> 0:30:56.800
<v Speaker 15>That sam Utman I think, in his sheer enthusiasm to

0:30:56.800 --> 0:30:59.960
<v Speaker 15>try and do everything, are now as the company prepares

0:31:00.040 --> 0:31:03.480
<v Speaker 15>for an IPO, seen as a distraction, seen of strains

0:31:03.480 --> 0:31:05.520
<v Speaker 15>on the balance sheet. You know, this is a company

0:31:05.520 --> 0:31:08.000
<v Speaker 15>that's going to show that even though it's going to

0:31:08.000 --> 0:31:10.520
<v Speaker 15>be losing money for quite some time up until at

0:31:10.560 --> 0:31:13.280
<v Speaker 15>least twenty thirty is the projection. So they've got to

0:31:13.280 --> 0:31:15.120
<v Speaker 15>be shown to be raining in some of those costs

0:31:15.200 --> 0:31:17.720
<v Speaker 15>to at least be heading in the right direction. The

0:31:17.720 --> 0:31:20.040
<v Speaker 15>biggest bit of baggage, or one of the largest bits

0:31:20.040 --> 0:31:22.200
<v Speaker 15>of baggage, I used to say, is this trial, though,

0:31:22.240 --> 0:31:24.200
<v Speaker 15>which is why, as I said, they need they need

0:31:24.200 --> 0:31:25.040
<v Speaker 15>a jury's help.

0:31:24.920 --> 0:31:25.440
<v Speaker 10>With some of this.

0:31:26.000 --> 0:31:28.760
<v Speaker 4>Well, they've got the jury. They have opening statements. In fact,

0:31:28.880 --> 0:31:29.720
<v Speaker 4>Samulmon and.

0:31:29.640 --> 0:31:32.480
<v Speaker 3>Greg Brotman were at the court yesterday, which was a

0:31:32.520 --> 0:31:35.480
<v Speaker 3>surprise to some. We are expecting a lot of other

0:31:35.840 --> 0:31:38.680
<v Speaker 3>previous and current Open Air executives to take the stand,

0:31:38.720 --> 0:31:39.400
<v Speaker 3>right Yeah.

0:31:39.280 --> 0:31:41.560
<v Speaker 15>I mean what Open a Eye has been a soap

0:31:41.560 --> 0:31:44.120
<v Speaker 15>opera in Silicon Value. You had Sam Hartman forced out

0:31:44.160 --> 0:31:48.000
<v Speaker 15>briefly back after a weekend. You've had staff leaving starting

0:31:48.000 --> 0:31:50.240
<v Speaker 15>their own companies, and Thropic of course, is one of those.

0:31:50.640 --> 0:31:54.080
<v Speaker 15>Mira Morati has started her own company. She was formerly

0:31:54.200 --> 0:31:57.440
<v Speaker 15>Open AI. Having some of this laid out on the

0:31:57.560 --> 0:32:00.240
<v Speaker 15>stand is going to be wonderful for people like I

0:32:00.280 --> 0:32:02.400
<v Speaker 15>feel it's gonna be very uncomfortable for some of those

0:32:02.640 --> 0:32:04.760
<v Speaker 15>really sort of at the center of this. There's a

0:32:04.760 --> 0:32:07.640
<v Speaker 15>lot of egos here. There's a lot of you know,

0:32:08.320 --> 0:32:11.200
<v Speaker 15>bad blood, I think between some of these former colleagues.

0:32:12.200 --> 0:32:13.760
<v Speaker 15>But that's what happens, you know, when you're at the

0:32:13.800 --> 0:32:15.840
<v Speaker 15>center of what. For the last couple of years, I

0:32:15.880 --> 0:32:17.640
<v Speaker 15>think we can say it's one of the most exciting

0:32:17.640 --> 0:32:20.680
<v Speaker 15>and talked about companies in the world. So plenty to enjoy,

0:32:20.720 --> 0:32:22.240
<v Speaker 15>and we've got a couple of weeks, a few weeks

0:32:22.280 --> 0:32:24.280
<v Speaker 15>of it to enjoy starting today.

0:32:25.520 --> 0:32:29.240
<v Speaker 2>That was That is Bloomberg opinion columnist Daily. We haven't

0:32:29.240 --> 0:32:31.720
<v Speaker 2>worn him out just yet. Now, coming up on the show,

0:32:31.880 --> 0:32:35.200
<v Speaker 2>space startup True Anominally raises a new funding round, a

0:32:35.200 --> 0:32:37.720
<v Speaker 2>big one, as it aims to speed up production of

0:32:37.800 --> 0:32:40.080
<v Speaker 2>its orbital defense tech. We're going to talk to the

0:32:40.120 --> 0:32:42.880
<v Speaker 2>CEO next. This is Bloomberg Tech.

0:32:50.360 --> 0:32:51.080
<v Speaker 4>True Anomaly.

0:32:51.240 --> 0:32:53.480
<v Speaker 3>It's close to six hundred and fifty million dollar series

0:32:53.560 --> 0:32:55.760
<v Speaker 3>defunding around, valuing the company at two point two billion.

0:32:55.800 --> 0:32:55.920
<v Speaker 8>Now.

0:32:55.960 --> 0:32:58.920
<v Speaker 3>The space startup is among a dozen companies recently named

0:32:58.960 --> 0:33:01.920
<v Speaker 3>to work on inter for the Golden Dome missile defense

0:33:01.960 --> 0:33:05.200
<v Speaker 3>shield as well to Anominally. CEO Evan Rodgers joins us,

0:33:05.280 --> 0:33:05.760
<v Speaker 3>it's been a.

0:33:05.680 --> 0:33:06.480
<v Speaker 4>Busy few days.

0:33:06.720 --> 0:33:07.520
<v Speaker 10>That's good, very busy.

0:33:07.680 --> 0:33:10.160
<v Speaker 3>Let's focus on the funding round. First, where do you

0:33:10.200 --> 0:33:12.880
<v Speaker 3>deploy that capital? What really injects the growth of the business.

0:33:13.360 --> 0:33:16.600
<v Speaker 16>We're really stepping up alongside guardians in the Space Force.

0:33:16.880 --> 0:33:19.400
<v Speaker 16>The Space Force budget and FY twenty seven is expected

0:33:19.400 --> 0:33:21.479
<v Speaker 16>to be seventy two billion. That tells you a lot

0:33:21.520 --> 0:33:24.000
<v Speaker 16>about the kinds of capabilities the United States Space Force

0:33:24.040 --> 0:33:26.960
<v Speaker 16>needs to build to counter China and Russia. We are

0:33:26.960 --> 0:33:30.360
<v Speaker 16>investing in the staff and the products and the infrastructure

0:33:30.360 --> 0:33:33.760
<v Speaker 16>that's necessary to come alongside guardians to build combat capability

0:33:33.760 --> 0:33:34.480
<v Speaker 16>for space warfare.

0:33:34.640 --> 0:33:35.920
<v Speaker 4>Let's talk about your products.

0:33:35.960 --> 0:33:39.400
<v Speaker 3>What makes you unique, distinct and additive to the others?

0:33:39.480 --> 0:33:41.680
<v Speaker 3>Forerosius out there in the world of defense tech, it's

0:33:41.720 --> 0:33:42.560
<v Speaker 3>a really hot space.

0:33:42.720 --> 0:33:44.360
<v Speaker 16>So I served ten years in the Air Force and

0:33:44.360 --> 0:33:46.880
<v Speaker 16>then transition into the United States Space Force, and what

0:33:46.920 --> 0:33:49.360
<v Speaker 16>I saw from the defense industrial base is a focus

0:33:49.360 --> 0:33:51.840
<v Speaker 16>on dual use technologies and there's good reason for that.

0:33:52.200 --> 0:33:54.720
<v Speaker 16>But because space is now a warfighting domain, it's very

0:33:54.840 --> 0:33:58.880
<v Speaker 16>clear that the operational concepts for space warfare necessitate dedicated

0:33:58.960 --> 0:34:02.280
<v Speaker 16>space warfighting system. They have a completely different performance envelope

0:34:02.280 --> 0:34:05.040
<v Speaker 16>than commercial capabilities. They're quite literally going to get shot at,

0:34:05.280 --> 0:34:08.040
<v Speaker 16>and so our focus is on clean sheet design to

0:34:08.080 --> 0:34:11.440
<v Speaker 16>deploy operational concepts into the domain. So Jackal, for example,

0:34:12.160 --> 0:34:14.439
<v Speaker 16>our first product is a clean sheet space to space

0:34:14.480 --> 0:34:17.120
<v Speaker 16>engagement platform. It's not designed to do anything else other

0:34:17.160 --> 0:34:19.000
<v Speaker 16>than protection and surveillance.

0:34:18.480 --> 0:34:18.960
<v Speaker 10>Of the domain.

0:34:20.840 --> 0:34:24.040
<v Speaker 2>Evan, We're very excited about this domain. Right, space is

0:34:24.080 --> 0:34:26.400
<v Speaker 2>a warfighting domain the technology you're doing. But I'm going

0:34:26.480 --> 0:34:29.239
<v Speaker 2>to try and bring it back down to Earth a

0:34:29.239 --> 0:34:31.680
<v Speaker 2>little bit for the Bloomberg Tech audience. So, Jackal, you

0:34:31.760 --> 0:34:36.200
<v Speaker 2>mentioned it's a highly maneuverable vehicle. It moves around other

0:34:36.239 --> 0:34:39.440
<v Speaker 2>satellites in orbit. Explain the basics of that, right, Our

0:34:39.480 --> 0:34:41.920
<v Speaker 2>audience is chuineing in and going okay, So space is

0:34:41.960 --> 0:34:45.160
<v Speaker 2>a warfighting domain. You make vehicles that are in space

0:34:45.239 --> 0:34:47.239
<v Speaker 2>and it moves around other satellites.

0:34:47.680 --> 0:34:49.040
<v Speaker 5>Take it from there, that's right.

0:34:49.280 --> 0:34:52.239
<v Speaker 16>Our adversaries deploy into orbits that we don't necessarily have

0:34:52.400 --> 0:34:56.359
<v Speaker 16>capabilities in. For example, geosynchronous orbit, which is twenty two

0:34:56.400 --> 0:34:59.000
<v Speaker 16>thousand miles from the surface of the Earth, is a

0:34:59.040 --> 0:35:01.399
<v Speaker 16>long way for a great based telescope to be able

0:35:01.400 --> 0:35:04.279
<v Speaker 16>to really characterize what our adversaries are doing. So we

0:35:04.320 --> 0:35:07.480
<v Speaker 16>need systems that have the maneuverability, the fuel, the acceleration

0:35:07.560 --> 0:35:09.960
<v Speaker 16>to be able to chase those targets down and take

0:35:10.000 --> 0:35:14.440
<v Speaker 16>pictures of them. The first the foundation of combat capability

0:35:14.480 --> 0:35:17.000
<v Speaker 16>is intelligence, and so the first order of business is

0:35:17.000 --> 0:35:19.760
<v Speaker 16>to really understand what our adversaries are up to in space,

0:35:20.160 --> 0:35:23.440
<v Speaker 16>and Jackal is purpose built to go after highly maneuverable targets.

0:35:24.440 --> 0:35:27.759
<v Speaker 2>Evan who's the counterpart to true anomally? Does China have

0:35:28.000 --> 0:35:31.759
<v Speaker 2>a company or a competence in the same domain that

0:35:31.800 --> 0:35:32.520
<v Speaker 2>you think about.

0:35:32.880 --> 0:35:36.200
<v Speaker 16>China doesn't have necessarily a company that's focused on space warfighting,

0:35:36.400 --> 0:35:39.960
<v Speaker 16>but their entire military industrial complex is blended with their

0:35:39.960 --> 0:35:44.760
<v Speaker 16>commercial their commercial manufacturing and infrastructure. So everything that China

0:35:44.800 --> 0:35:48.440
<v Speaker 16>does really for civil or war for commercial has military

0:35:48.440 --> 0:35:51.640
<v Speaker 16>applications and we're starting to see that, particularly in their

0:35:51.680 --> 0:35:54.200
<v Speaker 16>intelligence platforms. So that China over the last several years

0:35:54.239 --> 0:35:57.960
<v Speaker 16>has deployed about thirteen hundred spacecraft into lower forbit about

0:35:58.000 --> 0:36:02.440
<v Speaker 16>five hundred of those are intelligence platfs. Those intelligence platforms

0:36:02.440 --> 0:36:07.600
<v Speaker 16>are designed to track terrestrial forces, so maritime forces, aviation systems,

0:36:07.880 --> 0:36:10.759
<v Speaker 16>and ground capabilities. So there's really it's very difficult for

0:36:10.760 --> 0:36:14.880
<v Speaker 16>the United States to maneuver globally without China seeing where

0:36:14.880 --> 0:36:15.400
<v Speaker 16>we're going.

0:36:16.400 --> 0:36:18.760
<v Speaker 3>Let's talk about the United States but because you build

0:36:18.800 --> 0:36:22.480
<v Speaker 3>exclusively from I understand for the United States government, will

0:36:22.480 --> 0:36:25.480
<v Speaker 3>that expand will there be others that you want.

0:36:25.320 --> 0:36:25.919
<v Speaker 4>To serve here?

0:36:26.239 --> 0:36:28.920
<v Speaker 16>Right now, we focus on the United States because that's

0:36:28.920 --> 0:36:31.520
<v Speaker 16>where the problem is and also where there are substantial

0:36:31.520 --> 0:36:34.520
<v Speaker 16>budgets focused on space superiority. But we're starting to see

0:36:34.520 --> 0:36:37.719
<v Speaker 16>our allies build the rhetoric and build the policy to

0:36:37.760 --> 0:36:41.360
<v Speaker 16>support space war fighting. The UK, France, Japan in particular

0:36:41.520 --> 0:36:44.480
<v Speaker 16>really lean forward into space warfighting. They have their own

0:36:44.560 --> 0:36:48.360
<v Speaker 16>dependencies on space capabilities, but the budgets need to follow.

0:36:49.200 --> 0:36:51.239
<v Speaker 16>We are happy to partner with our allies, but the

0:36:51.239 --> 0:36:53.200
<v Speaker 16>budgets are really not following, and there's a focus on

0:36:53.320 --> 0:36:54.520
<v Speaker 16>nationalized capabilities.

0:36:54.960 --> 0:36:58.600
<v Speaker 3>The budgets have been there, but some would still say

0:36:58.640 --> 0:37:04.560
<v Speaker 3>perhaps this spending on smaller companies by the by the

0:37:04.600 --> 0:37:07.520
<v Speaker 3>Pentagon still somehow needs to be shown a little bit more.

0:37:07.560 --> 0:37:10.319
<v Speaker 3>Are you really confident that the spending will be there

0:37:10.400 --> 0:37:10.960
<v Speaker 3>for you?

0:37:11.000 --> 0:37:12.960
<v Speaker 4>I mean, already you've been announced on Friday to be

0:37:13.000 --> 0:37:13.719
<v Speaker 4>part of Goldendale.

0:37:14.280 --> 0:37:16.520
<v Speaker 16>There is a shift in the way that the Defense Department,

0:37:16.600 --> 0:37:19.600
<v Speaker 16>or rather the Department of War, is acquiring systems, and

0:37:19.680 --> 0:37:23.080
<v Speaker 16>it really biases and creates an opening towards new companies

0:37:23.160 --> 0:37:27.759
<v Speaker 16>like Truronomially. They're focused on firm, fixed price contracts, capital partnerships,

0:37:28.200 --> 0:37:31.040
<v Speaker 16>long term contracts that allow for a rational ROI, and

0:37:31.040 --> 0:37:33.840
<v Speaker 16>that's an opening for truronomally to step into that gap

0:37:34.120 --> 0:37:36.560
<v Speaker 16>and deliver capabilities. And we're truly unique in the marketplace.

0:37:36.560 --> 0:37:40.440
<v Speaker 16>I mean space warfighting is one of the most rapidly

0:37:40.480 --> 0:37:44.720
<v Speaker 16>growing areas of investment for the Department of War forty

0:37:44.760 --> 0:37:48.160
<v Speaker 16>billion this year, in spending seventy two billion this year,

0:37:48.200 --> 0:37:50.480
<v Speaker 16>twenty billion of which is in space control is the

0:37:50.560 --> 0:37:51.400
<v Speaker 16>highest growth market.

0:37:51.440 --> 0:37:52.200
<v Speaker 10>And we're stepping in.

0:37:53.719 --> 0:37:57.080
<v Speaker 2>Evan Rodgers CEO true anomally six hundred and fifty million

0:37:57.040 --> 0:37:59.760
<v Speaker 2>dollars Series D two point two billion dollar valuation.

0:38:00.040 --> 0:38:03.560
<v Speaker 5>Thank you very much, all right, Carroy, So use headlines PAD.

0:38:03.520 --> 0:38:06.279
<v Speaker 3>Talking Tech aired first up. Hong Kong is betting on light.

0:38:06.840 --> 0:38:09.880
<v Speaker 3>Shares of Light Intelligence skyrocketed three hundred and eighty four

0:38:09.880 --> 0:38:12.279
<v Speaker 3>percent in their trading debut today, giving the company a

0:38:12.320 --> 0:38:15.480
<v Speaker 3>market value of over ten million dollars. With heavy backing

0:38:15.480 --> 0:38:17.880
<v Speaker 3>from Ali, Baba and Temasek. The firm is aiming to

0:38:17.960 --> 0:38:21.400
<v Speaker 3>revolutionize AI inference by using light instead of electricity to

0:38:21.400 --> 0:38:24.920
<v Speaker 3>process data. Plus ELI Lily is turning to artificial intelligence

0:38:24.960 --> 0:38:28.040
<v Speaker 3>to design the next generation of medicine. The farmer Giant

0:38:28.080 --> 0:38:30.840
<v Speaker 3>has deal worth up to two and two zero point

0:38:30.920 --> 0:38:34.600
<v Speaker 3>two five billion with AI startup Profluent to find new

0:38:34.600 --> 0:38:36.600
<v Speaker 3>ways to edit DNA so The deal is part of

0:38:36.600 --> 0:38:39.200
<v Speaker 3>Lily's growing investment in AI, and the company ass struck

0:38:39.400 --> 0:38:41.920
<v Speaker 3>at least fifteen AI related deals in the last five years.

0:38:41.920 --> 0:38:46.440
<v Speaker 3>According to Bloomberg Intelligence A manifestos, it's the quote AI

0:38:46.640 --> 0:38:49.520
<v Speaker 3>native law firm just closed a sixty million dollar Series

0:38:49.560 --> 0:38:52.000
<v Speaker 3>A at seven hundred and fifty million dollar valuation. The

0:38:52.000 --> 0:38:55.320
<v Speaker 3>platform aims to help small firm lawyers automate the grunt

0:38:55.320 --> 0:38:57.920
<v Speaker 3>work and shift towards outcome based pricing. Look Their mission

0:38:58.200 --> 0:39:01.200
<v Speaker 3>is to make legal services immigration tech, for example, accessible

0:39:01.239 --> 0:39:05.319
<v Speaker 3>to all through AI. Investors include Mellow Ventures, Klina Perkins,

0:39:05.320 --> 0:39:06.280
<v Speaker 3>and First Round Capital.

0:39:08.600 --> 0:39:12.800
<v Speaker 2>Shell is entering what CEO Yol Sawan calls an inflection point.

0:39:12.840 --> 0:39:16.200
<v Speaker 2>The company agreed by Canadian oil and gas producer ARC

0:39:16.280 --> 0:39:19.759
<v Speaker 2>Resources for thirteen point six billion dollars. It's biggest deal

0:39:19.800 --> 0:39:22.160
<v Speaker 2>in more than a decade. Is it seeks to sustain

0:39:22.320 --> 0:39:25.480
<v Speaker 2>output in the long term. Joining US now from London

0:39:25.880 --> 0:39:29.600
<v Speaker 2>is Shell CEO while Swan. The obvious question is why

0:39:29.640 --> 0:39:31.640
<v Speaker 2>Canada and why now? But the way that a lot

0:39:31.680 --> 0:39:34.360
<v Speaker 2>of people are looking at this WIO is the geopolitical

0:39:34.400 --> 0:39:37.760
<v Speaker 2>bet on safe, safe energy supply.

0:39:38.120 --> 0:39:39.640
<v Speaker 5>How much were you thinking about that?

0:39:41.880 --> 0:39:44.480
<v Speaker 17>I'd start off by saying, actually, this is just an

0:39:44.520 --> 0:39:46.560
<v Speaker 17>important point on the journey that we have been on,

0:39:46.640 --> 0:39:48.799
<v Speaker 17>a journey that started over three years ago where we

0:39:48.880 --> 0:39:52.680
<v Speaker 17>said we want to methodically transform the company, and that's

0:39:52.680 --> 0:39:55.439
<v Speaker 17>what we've been doing. And so the inflection point came

0:39:55.520 --> 0:39:59.680
<v Speaker 17>that as we continue to deliver performance, discipline, simplification and

0:39:59.760 --> 0:40:02.160
<v Speaker 17>show we felt that it was time to look at

0:40:02.239 --> 0:40:04.560
<v Speaker 17>more and more capital reallocation and we felt that we

0:40:04.600 --> 0:40:06.359
<v Speaker 17>had earned the right to be able to grow. And

0:40:06.400 --> 0:40:11.400
<v Speaker 17>so the announcement yesterday for ARC was essentially just a

0:40:11.480 --> 0:40:14.799
<v Speaker 17>step in that journey that we have been on. We

0:40:14.840 --> 0:40:17.880
<v Speaker 17>had been looking at ARC for over two years and

0:40:17.920 --> 0:40:21.439
<v Speaker 17>so that of course predated the Middle East crisis. I've

0:40:21.440 --> 0:40:25.359
<v Speaker 17>particularly been attracted to multiple elements of ARC. I mean,

0:40:25.520 --> 0:40:28.879
<v Speaker 17>first and foremost, this is a liquid rich play, high

0:40:28.960 --> 0:40:34.240
<v Speaker 17>quality resource, low cost, long duration in a terrific basin

0:40:34.320 --> 0:40:37.360
<v Speaker 17>like the Montny basin, with low carbon intensity molecules, and

0:40:37.400 --> 0:40:40.759
<v Speaker 17>so we liked that piece of it. We like the synergies,

0:40:40.840 --> 0:40:44.239
<v Speaker 17>the adjacency to our own assets and the integration into

0:40:44.480 --> 0:40:48.839
<v Speaker 17>LNG Canada, our LERG project in Canada, their and then

0:40:48.880 --> 0:40:51.320
<v Speaker 17>thirty We really liked the people, We liked the culture

0:40:51.360 --> 0:40:53.920
<v Speaker 17>that they had developed over thirty years. And so this

0:40:54.400 --> 0:40:57.799
<v Speaker 17>world predated the crisis, but of course always helpful to

0:40:57.840 --> 0:41:01.200
<v Speaker 17>be able to have diverse sources, source of supply to

0:41:01.280 --> 0:41:03.400
<v Speaker 17>meet the growing energy demands around the world.

0:41:03.760 --> 0:41:06.279
<v Speaker 3>So a growing demand, does that mean you have a

0:41:06.360 --> 0:41:09.920
<v Speaker 3>growing production, a growing supply into the twenty thirties with

0:41:10.040 --> 0:41:11.440
<v Speaker 3>this additive deal, While.

0:41:12.000 --> 0:41:15.160
<v Speaker 17>Absolutely so, we had in the past guided to a

0:41:15.320 --> 0:41:19.680
<v Speaker 17>one percent cager growth between now and twenty thirty for

0:41:19.719 --> 0:41:22.520
<v Speaker 17>our ail and gas production. On the back of this deal,

0:41:22.640 --> 0:41:26.360
<v Speaker 17>we have guided to a four percent per cager, so

0:41:26.440 --> 0:41:31.080
<v Speaker 17>a significant growth uptick between twenty twenty five and twenty thirty.

0:41:31.480 --> 0:41:35.839
<v Speaker 17>But importantly as well, it gives a long duration growth platform.

0:41:36.239 --> 0:41:39.320
<v Speaker 17>It allows us to add one hundred and fifty thousand

0:41:39.360 --> 0:41:41.959
<v Speaker 17>barrels per day of liquids out in twenty thirty five,

0:41:42.520 --> 0:41:46.440
<v Speaker 17>and the inventory we're talking about is well above fifteen

0:41:46.520 --> 0:41:48.920
<v Speaker 17>years of inventory into up to twenty five years in

0:41:48.960 --> 0:41:51.840
<v Speaker 17>certain areas, and so this is just an exciting growth

0:41:51.880 --> 0:41:55.960
<v Speaker 17>platform that is underpinned in my mind with the liquids opportunity,

0:41:56.280 --> 0:42:00.359
<v Speaker 17>but also with significant optionality for the gas through our

0:42:00.400 --> 0:42:03.880
<v Speaker 17>existing plant and possibly through a second phase of that

0:42:03.960 --> 0:42:06.960
<v Speaker 17>development that we have in Llergy, Canada.

0:42:07.160 --> 0:42:09.839
<v Speaker 2>We will talk more about this deal, but it's been

0:42:09.880 --> 0:42:13.520
<v Speaker 2>about ten years since I last attended an OPEC meeting

0:42:13.960 --> 0:42:17.680
<v Speaker 2>and this is a massive story the UA leaving OPEK.

0:42:18.400 --> 0:42:20.800
<v Speaker 2>What's your reaction to that? But I think more importantly,

0:42:20.800 --> 0:42:23.800
<v Speaker 2>what do you think it will do to global oil markets?

0:42:25.080 --> 0:42:27.879
<v Speaker 17>Yeah, difficult to call, I mean, very very early days,

0:42:27.920 --> 0:42:29.840
<v Speaker 17>and of course I'll leave it to the UE leaders

0:42:29.880 --> 0:42:32.359
<v Speaker 17>and to OPEK a pine on it. What I would

0:42:32.440 --> 0:42:35.799
<v Speaker 17>say is, you know, OPEK is roughly a third of

0:42:35.800 --> 0:42:40.880
<v Speaker 17>the overall liquids production of the world, and undoubtedly demand

0:42:40.920 --> 0:42:43.319
<v Speaker 17>for liquids continues to grow, and I mean by that

0:42:43.440 --> 0:42:45.640
<v Speaker 17>oil condensate and so on.

0:42:45.560 --> 0:42:46.240
<v Speaker 4>And so forth.

0:42:47.320 --> 0:42:52.000
<v Speaker 17>The most important influence of OPEC has typically been in

0:42:52.440 --> 0:42:55.880
<v Speaker 17>who has the spare capacity and how do they choose

0:42:55.880 --> 0:42:58.799
<v Speaker 17>to deploy that spare capacity, And so that will be

0:42:59.200 --> 0:43:01.279
<v Speaker 17>I think the calculate that will have to be made

0:43:02.080 --> 0:43:05.600
<v Speaker 17>in the coming weeks, months, and years for a company

0:43:05.719 --> 0:43:09.200
<v Speaker 17>like ours, of course, our focus has been on indeed

0:43:09.200 --> 0:43:12.440
<v Speaker 17>diversifying production. We have production in OPEC countries and non

0:43:12.520 --> 0:43:17.239
<v Speaker 17>OPEC countries, but also importantly continuing to make sure that

0:43:17.320 --> 0:43:19.640
<v Speaker 17>we look at new horizons to be able to grow

0:43:19.680 --> 0:43:21.919
<v Speaker 17>our production, and that, of course we do through both

0:43:21.960 --> 0:43:25.440
<v Speaker 17>expiration and MNA deals like what we've done for example

0:43:25.480 --> 0:43:28.799
<v Speaker 17>here in Canada. And so I think at the end

0:43:28.840 --> 0:43:32.120
<v Speaker 17>of the day, what will be important will be supply

0:43:32.160 --> 0:43:34.759
<v Speaker 17>demand balances. We know that those are going to be

0:43:34.880 --> 0:43:37.480
<v Speaker 17>tight for at least the coming months, if not at

0:43:37.560 --> 0:43:41.000
<v Speaker 17>least the next year plus given the closure on the industrates.

0:43:41.560 --> 0:43:43.640
<v Speaker 17>The question will be longer term, how does all that

0:43:43.680 --> 0:43:45.359
<v Speaker 17>pan out? And I think that's too soon to call

0:43:45.400 --> 0:43:45.879
<v Speaker 17>at the moment.

0:43:47.480 --> 0:43:49.640
<v Speaker 2>What is the environment that you close this deal in?

0:43:49.719 --> 0:43:53.040
<v Speaker 2>How tight are global energy markets right now? We're thinking

0:43:53.080 --> 0:43:55.960
<v Speaker 2>a lot on this program Bloomberg talk about energy security,

0:43:56.000 --> 0:43:59.840
<v Speaker 2>but Asia, in Europe, it's hard to gauge the severity

0:44:00.160 --> 0:44:01.960
<v Speaker 2>how real a supply crunch is.

0:44:04.120 --> 0:44:09.279
<v Speaker 17>The markets are tight. I won't play down at all.

0:44:09.440 --> 0:44:13.920
<v Speaker 17>You know, we're talking about nine hundred million barrels that

0:44:13.960 --> 0:44:16.160
<v Speaker 17>have not been produced in the last couple of months,

0:44:16.200 --> 0:44:20.319
<v Speaker 17>and that's been replaced by essentially draw down. We're now

0:44:20.360 --> 0:44:23.680
<v Speaker 17>sort of starting to reach some relatively low levels. We're

0:44:23.680 --> 0:44:27.000
<v Speaker 17>talking about demand curtailment in certain areas, we're talking about

0:44:27.040 --> 0:44:31.600
<v Speaker 17>fuel switching. So this is profound and not just for oil,

0:44:31.640 --> 0:44:34.279
<v Speaker 17>by the way, it also plays in of course for LNG.

0:44:34.480 --> 0:44:38.840
<v Speaker 17>Twenty percent of the global LNG production comes from the

0:44:38.840 --> 0:44:42.080
<v Speaker 17>Middle East, and all this is happening with the backdrop

0:44:42.200 --> 0:44:45.839
<v Speaker 17>of sustained growth in energy demand, of which to your

0:44:45.920 --> 0:44:48.759
<v Speaker 17>point ed, some of it is being of course contributed

0:44:48.760 --> 0:44:52.240
<v Speaker 17>to by the growth in AI and technology demands exactly.

0:44:52.280 --> 0:44:55.960
<v Speaker 17>And so it is indeed a tight situation, and this

0:44:56.040 --> 0:44:59.600
<v Speaker 17>is why it's incumbent upon us the energy sector to

0:44:59.640 --> 0:45:02.719
<v Speaker 17>continue you to invest in all forms of energy to

0:45:02.840 --> 0:45:05.640
<v Speaker 17>make sure that we are able to provide that energy

0:45:06.440 --> 0:45:11.080
<v Speaker 17>to support multiple countries as they're looking to both grow

0:45:11.200 --> 0:45:14.640
<v Speaker 17>in their own in their own consumption of energy, but

0:45:14.719 --> 0:45:17.880
<v Speaker 17>also those that are looking to underpin their AI and

0:45:17.960 --> 0:45:19.240
<v Speaker 17>technology journeys ahead.

0:45:19.400 --> 0:45:22.160
<v Speaker 4>So while should investors expect more MNA coming from you,

0:45:23.760 --> 0:45:24.080
<v Speaker 4>look this.

0:45:24.960 --> 0:45:28.080
<v Speaker 17>We've always talked about the bar for MNA being a

0:45:28.120 --> 0:45:31.800
<v Speaker 17>high bar, and I absolutely hold on to that this

0:45:32.320 --> 0:45:35.880
<v Speaker 17>deal crossed that high threshold that we had. We didn't

0:45:35.920 --> 0:45:37.800
<v Speaker 17>need to do this deal, by the way, for avoidance

0:45:37.800 --> 0:45:40.600
<v Speaker 17>of that, we were very comfortable being able to meet

0:45:40.719 --> 0:45:45.640
<v Speaker 17>our commitments out to twenty thirty and potentially to continue

0:45:45.680 --> 0:45:50.320
<v Speaker 17>to methodically add resources to our overall funnel. This deal

0:45:50.800 --> 0:45:53.959
<v Speaker 17>worked out perfectly because of the arbitrage in where share

0:45:54.000 --> 0:45:58.000
<v Speaker 17>prices were. We got the bumps because of our at

0:45:58.080 --> 0:46:00.759
<v Speaker 17>performance recently, and of course some of the the tail

0:46:00.800 --> 0:46:03.720
<v Speaker 17>wins from them ad least ARC didn't have the same

0:46:03.800 --> 0:46:07.360
<v Speaker 17>simply because of the nature of their portfolio. So this

0:46:07.560 --> 0:46:11.600
<v Speaker 17>worked because of that. The timing was excellent and I

0:46:11.640 --> 0:46:14.080
<v Speaker 17>think we got a good deal for both sides. But

0:46:14.520 --> 0:46:17.479
<v Speaker 17>that high bar is going to be held high again

0:46:17.520 --> 0:46:20.000
<v Speaker 17>and we will only deploy capital to M and A

0:46:20.239 --> 0:46:22.600
<v Speaker 17>if we really find excellent deals like this.

0:46:23.040 --> 0:46:25.880
<v Speaker 3>And that was in that methodical context. What is in

0:46:25.960 --> 0:46:28.319
<v Speaker 3>methodical is geopolitics and what's happening in.

0:46:28.239 --> 0:46:29.160
<v Speaker 4>The strait of home moves.

0:46:29.239 --> 0:46:31.799
<v Speaker 3>Have you managed to get any of your ships through

0:46:31.880 --> 0:46:32.360
<v Speaker 3>the strait?

0:46:32.520 --> 0:46:33.759
<v Speaker 4>What is your exposure right now?

0:46:33.800 --> 0:46:38.120
<v Speaker 17>While now we continue to have multiple ships there. Actually

0:46:38.120 --> 0:46:41.440
<v Speaker 17>I have a call schedule tomorrow with one of the

0:46:41.800 --> 0:46:43.759
<v Speaker 17>crews on the ships just to check in on them.

0:46:44.360 --> 0:46:46.640
<v Speaker 17>It's a tough time. It's a tough time for our people.

0:46:46.719 --> 0:46:49.320
<v Speaker 17>Our number one priority is the safety of our people,

0:46:50.280 --> 0:46:54.279
<v Speaker 17>and we await the appropriate signals to be able to

0:46:54.360 --> 0:46:58.279
<v Speaker 17>move those ships out. As I said, we're trying to

0:46:58.280 --> 0:47:03.640
<v Speaker 17>focus on keeping morale high, and many here in headquarters

0:47:03.680 --> 0:47:06.759
<v Speaker 17>and well beyond across the Shell family are looking at

0:47:06.840 --> 0:47:08.880
<v Speaker 17>everything they can do to be able to meet our

0:47:08.920 --> 0:47:12.720
<v Speaker 17>customer demands, which which, of course, you know, those demand

0:47:12.800 --> 0:47:16.160
<v Speaker 17>levels continue to be high, but we're running at roughly

0:47:16.160 --> 0:47:19.200
<v Speaker 17>fifteen to twenty percent less molecules than we were just

0:47:19.239 --> 0:47:23.120
<v Speaker 17>two months ago, and so you know, I just continue

0:47:23.200 --> 0:47:25.560
<v Speaker 17>to be incredibly proud of what everyone in the company

0:47:25.560 --> 0:47:29.080
<v Speaker 17>has been doing to be able to contribute well.

0:47:29.280 --> 0:47:32.359
<v Speaker 2>So on Shell CEO, Really grateful for your time here

0:47:32.560 --> 0:47:33.359
<v Speaker 2>on Bloombog Tech.

0:47:33.360 --> 0:47:34.160
<v Speaker 5>Thank you very much.

0:47:34.239 --> 0:47:37.000
<v Speaker 3>Care that does it for this edition of Bloomberg Tech.

0:47:37.080 --> 0:47:40.279
<v Speaker 3>Really folding in there. What is a need for electricity?

0:47:40.600 --> 0:47:43.279
<v Speaker 3>A need for energy because the key story is one

0:47:43.320 --> 0:47:46.479
<v Speaker 3>of compute now to today's story is all about open AI

0:47:46.640 --> 0:47:48.799
<v Speaker 3>and questioning from the Wall Street Journal whether they're living

0:47:48.880 --> 0:47:51.719
<v Speaker 3>up to their own growth aims and targets.

0:47:52.120 --> 0:47:55.360
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, the Journal reported that they missed their own internal metrics,

0:47:55.360 --> 0:47:57.160
<v Speaker 2>and it was interesting you point out earlier some of

0:47:57.200 --> 0:48:00.560
<v Speaker 2>their electricity stocks literally fell as well. That's part of

0:48:00.560 --> 0:48:03.160
<v Speaker 2>the calculus. A lot to recap from this show. You

0:48:03.200 --> 0:48:06.120
<v Speaker 2>know where to do it on the podcast, online, Apple, Spotify,

0:48:06.200 --> 0:48:10.839
<v Speaker 2>iHeart on all the Bloomberg platforms as well. Two days

0:48:10.840 --> 0:48:14.000
<v Speaker 2>into a massive week stay with us. This is Bloomberg

0:48:14.040 --> 0:48:14.239
<v Speaker 2>Tech