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Speaker 1: Welcome to Sharper Square, presented by hard Rock Bet.

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Speaker 2: We are part of the Volume podcast Network.

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Speaker 1: This is the show that makes the squares sharper and

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Speaker 1: makes the wise guys pay attention. I am Chadmillan. I

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Speaker 1: enjoyed as always buy my co host, my companion, Mike Bodre,

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Speaker 1: my BFF professional better Simon Hunter Ello.

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Speaker 3: Simon Chad. How are we doing, dude?

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Speaker 1: Big big quarterback news on Wednesday.

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Speaker 2: I don't know if you saw it.

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Speaker 1: Brady Cook will be the starting quarterback for the New

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Speaker 1: York Jets for the second week in a row.

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Speaker 2: Did you think I was talking about Tua.

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Speaker 4: No, because it happened Tuesday. Interesting, lock in, buddy, got

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Speaker 4: to lock in.

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Speaker 1: My week is all screwed up, right, because I was

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Speaker 1: in Vegas Monday Tuesday. You fly back all day Wednesday,

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Speaker 1: and like you lose track of everything when you're in Vegas,

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Speaker 1: especially when like you're just being i'mbarded by the bright

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Speaker 1: lights late into the evening, so I don't know what

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Speaker 1: day it was. I woke up this morning and like

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Speaker 1: I couldn't even figure out what city I was in.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I just know because I basically got crushed by

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Speaker 4: a bunch of pro betters because I just couldn't be

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Speaker 4: the man and say Simon says, give me Cincinnati plus

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Speaker 4: one and now they are minus four and a half.

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Speaker 4: So bad miss by me. And I don't know why

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Speaker 4: I was just I was smoothed up on the line.

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Speaker 4: I couldn't get. I couldn't get why I was moving,

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Speaker 4: why people were hammering Miami. So that's when I'm happy

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Speaker 4: I put a penny on.

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Speaker 3: It at hard Rock.

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Speaker 4: But obviously, hindsight, I think thirty minutes after our show ended,

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Speaker 4: the two D News.

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Speaker 3: Got that when it happened, Yeah, and it moved four points.

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Speaker 4: So yeah, that pretty shocking line in Miami plus four

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Speaker 4: and a half now against Cincinnati, well we.

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Speaker 2: Know that one won't be in the contest.

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Speaker 1: This is our Thursday, week sixteen episode. We are going

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Speaker 1: to narrow down to our final five now that we've

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Speaker 1: got more information about injury news, line movement and it's etc.

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Speaker 2: Etc.

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Speaker 1: Subscribe to Sharper Square on YouTube, Apple Pods, Spotify.

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Speaker 2: Let's get into this thing. Every week. We give out

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Speaker 2: our picks. Every week.

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Speaker 1: Your fellow professional better assignment, call to critique, give us

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Speaker 1: positive affirmation, negative feedback, whatever the case. It's time to

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Speaker 1: summarize those opinions, let's do sharp.

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Speaker 4: Calls once again. We'll start with the Thursday game.

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Speaker 3: I knew it.

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Speaker 4: I knew that the Los Angeles side was the super

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Speaker 4: public side. I just did not see the love by

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Speaker 4: the professionals. And they're coming on the Seaux side. So

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Speaker 4: this is my favorite. These guys think they're professionals, but

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Speaker 4: they're actually Fraud's type of game where they're yeah, we

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Speaker 4: know we're doing taking Seattle here. This is a fishy

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Speaker 4: line and we were hammered, and I'm happy with I'm

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Speaker 4: getting the rams of the dog down.

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Speaker 3: I'll be with the public.

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Speaker 4: I'll walk into the trap if this is one, and yeah,

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Speaker 4: this is a game. I don't forget to talk more

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Speaker 4: about tons of love the pros on the Seahawks, and

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Speaker 4: I just do not do not see what they're seeing.

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Speaker 4: But these games happen, right, it's divisional games. It's really

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Speaker 4: tough to be your divisional pony of two times in

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Speaker 4: a row. So I get their love for Seattle. I

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Speaker 4: just I think the hype is way too much for

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Speaker 4: backing Sam darn on this spot. But that was the

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Speaker 4: first game that really jumped out the Saturday games. I

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Speaker 4: thought it was gonna be all love for green Bay,

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Speaker 4: tons of really respected guys I know on the Bears,

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Speaker 4: and they flipped me. I'm actually on the Bear side

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Speaker 4: now where I wanted to get there. I didn't want

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Speaker 4: to be on Green Bay, just like there was something

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Speaker 4: I'm missing. But that was a really interesting game, and

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Speaker 4: obviously that Commander's game, tons of love for Washington, and

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Speaker 4: we knew that that was gonna be a pros versus

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Speaker 4: josen public keep hammering this ego side, and that number

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Speaker 4: is not budgeting.

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Speaker 3: I was hoping we're gonna get seven, Like I.

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Speaker 4: Just said, the professionals they really like Washington, so that

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Speaker 4: number is gonna hold there and moving to the Sunday games,

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Speaker 4: you know, not as much love I was hoping for

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Speaker 4: my Giants love. I do have some pros with me

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Speaker 4: on that Giant side. It's just not as locked in

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Speaker 4: like say that Washington game is, which is just all

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Speaker 4: professionals on that one side tennessee a game. I'm just

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Speaker 4: not seeing tons of pros love that the number has fallen.

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Speaker 4: So maybe back in allowing myself said we already missed

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Speaker 4: the best number, let's not bet it.

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Speaker 3: Anyway, I.

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Speaker 2: Got some thoughts.

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Speaker 4: Okay, I'm just I'm not there. You were right about Dallas.

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Speaker 4: The pros love Dallas. Another game. I think I have

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Speaker 4: blind spot too and been talking to a little bit.

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Speaker 4: It's just I can't believe it that there are good

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Speaker 4: trends and numbers under line numbers for Dallas here in

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Speaker 4: the spot. But I still can't believe they want to

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Speaker 4: fade Herbert. I mean, this is what three straight weeks

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Speaker 4: of fading. This guy's a dog. So very unique spot.

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Speaker 4: And you know, a game we talked a little bit about.

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Speaker 4: I kind of love Pittsburgh. Every pro I've talked it

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Speaker 4: was all over the lines, so I understand now why

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Speaker 4: that line has been bet up so heavily. It feels

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Speaker 4: like every pro I know is on that side, on

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Speaker 4: the flip side. Most public people I've talked to, it

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Speaker 4: feels like they're on the Pittsburgh side.

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Speaker 3: So I think a really unique one.

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Speaker 4: And you know, the final two games we talked about.

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Speaker 3: You know, we both love New England. Every pro I've

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Speaker 3: talked to you, for the most part, loves it.

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Speaker 4: There are some pros on the Ravens, right, This is

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Speaker 4: a unique spot of a team that's been there before

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Speaker 4: in the Ravens for the veteran quarter wick face of

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Speaker 4: the team that has not been there before, and that

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Speaker 4: just blew a twenty one point lead.

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Speaker 3: So I get it. Maybe I'm leaking a little bit on.

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Speaker 4: The Patriots, but I still think the number is inflated

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Speaker 4: and the Ravens are an overrated team. In the last

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Speaker 4: one we talked a little bit about it. We liked

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Speaker 4: the forty nine Ers. All the pros I've talked to,

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Speaker 4: for the most part like the Colts. But honestly, even

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Speaker 4: if we're walking to a trap there, Chad, I still

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Speaker 4: think it's a good spot for this foreign Iris team.

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Speaker 4: I just I don't know how the Colts offense keeps

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Speaker 4: up with this forty nine ers offense, which is just.

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Speaker 3: Fully healthy right now.

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Speaker 4: And they're a machine when they got all their guys back,

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Speaker 4: you see with Purty, they're just unstoppable. So really fun

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Speaker 4: games to break down this weekend. You know, a lot

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Speaker 4: of primetime games to talk about it. It wasn't so much

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Speaker 4: the one PMS or four PMS. It was really felt

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Speaker 4: like all the primetime games the pros are hidden, So

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Speaker 4: really fun week All.

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Speaker 2: Right, let's get into it.

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Speaker 1: Let's start to break them down first before we get

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Speaker 1: into the games.

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Speaker 2: Quick announcement. We saw there was an issue.

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Speaker 1: Seeing the overall Leaderberd board for the Sharp or Square

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Speaker 1: Pro Football pick them contest the free contest at Sharper

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Speaker 1: Square at the Volume dot com. This has been fixed,

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Speaker 1: so here is the announcement of the season long standing leaders.

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Speaker 1: Right now three players are at the top with a

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Speaker 1: perfect ten and oh start. Congrats to Jack mac DM

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Speaker 1: six one three shooter neoter. There are still seven long

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Speaker 1: weeks left, so as anybody's game. All right, I do

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Speaker 1: want to talk about the Rams in Seattle just for

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Speaker 1: a minute. This line has moved. It flipped from Seattle

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Speaker 1: to one point underdog too. Now Seattle's a one and

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Speaker 1: a half point favorite. Look, Pooka, Pooka, Pooka, Pooka, Pooka,

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Speaker 1: what are you doing? Two weeks ago it was Pooka

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Speaker 1: live streaming from the locker room, which is a no

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Speaker 1: no for the Rams, and then he's getting yelled at

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Speaker 1: by veteran players. This week it's Puka going on another

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Speaker 1: live stream as a guest, with some popular streamers saying

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Speaker 1: NFL refs are the worst. They just want to get

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Speaker 1: on TV. They're just lawyers who want to tell their friends, Hey,

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Speaker 1: check this out. I'm going to call a pass interference

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Speaker 1: and then I'm going to be on TV. Why is

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Speaker 1: Puka turning into a distraction?

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Speaker 2: Is what is he doing?

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Speaker 3: I mean, the simpler version of it.

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Speaker 4: And this is a guy that what do you go

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Speaker 4: to college at Utah and now he's at LA and

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Speaker 4: he was a quiet, shy little boy, but he's come

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Speaker 4: out and he's just come out of his closet.

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Speaker 3: He's twenty four now, so he's young, dumb in LA and.

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Speaker 4: The second best, third best receiver in football right now

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Speaker 4: stat wise.

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Speaker 3: So his head can't get any bigger.

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Speaker 4: I mean, this guy, he's in that mode where he

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Speaker 4: everything he thinks, everything he says he thinks is the

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Speaker 4: right truth, where I think the dumbest thing I saw

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Speaker 4: he said vegetables give you inflation, which could be true, but.

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Speaker 2: Just inflation or inflammation.

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Speaker 3: Whatever it was. I don't know.

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Speaker 2: I didn't even heard it.

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Speaker 3: I was just like, I don't know what Pook was

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Speaker 3: talking about.

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Speaker 4: I'm like you, I'm like, I wish he got off

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Speaker 4: these shows and just you know, listen to his head

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Speaker 4: coach who told him these guys can't come to the facility,

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Speaker 4: like he didn't want him to do those interviews with

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Speaker 4: those kids on their live stream. And you know, there's

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Speaker 4: just nothing again from other than his you know, up

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Speaker 4: in the level of his ariority on that community of

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Speaker 4: like you know, nonsports fans, right, these are video game people,

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Speaker 4: I'm assuming who watch these streamers. So maybe that's his idea, right,

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Speaker 4: get a new fan basis for himself.

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Speaker 3: But it's a distraction.

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Speaker 4: Like you said, the Rams don't need do I think

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Speaker 4: it affected the spread? No, I think the spread was

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Speaker 4: affected by Devanta adams injury. But yeah, not the best

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Speaker 4: start for the Rams where they had that drama and

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Speaker 4: then their flight was delayed, I believe getting into the

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Speaker 4: Seattle So a lot of negatives to start for the

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Speaker 4: Rams in this matchup chat.

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Speaker 3: I agree with you on that, but.

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Speaker 2: It doesn't change your opinion.

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Speaker 4: No, this just feels like again it's it's all about

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Speaker 4: picking your spots. But like I'm not I'm not going

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Speaker 4: to force us one to our contest obviously, uh, but

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Speaker 4: it just it feels like a little bit overreaction to

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Speaker 4: the Seattle thing where.

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Speaker 3: It feels like the most pros I talked.

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Speaker 4: To they think they have to beat Seattle here and

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Speaker 4: that this is a really tough spot for the Rams

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Speaker 4: to be backing them, And you know, my.

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Speaker 3: Mindset is it doesn't doesn't this line just seem a

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Speaker 3: little fishy to you.

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Speaker 4: I I just can't get over where uh, I don't

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Speaker 4: know it's Seattle really a one and a half point favorite.

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Speaker 4: But I told you I'm too biased, I think with

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Speaker 4: this Rams team, And well, you love.

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Speaker 1: The Rams all season, and you've had them higher rated

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Speaker 1: than anybody else all season, So now they're living up

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Speaker 1: to your rating, and the Seahawks book, they're they haven't

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Speaker 1: looked good right like Sam Darnold.

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Speaker 2: They nearly lost to a grandfather literally.

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Speaker 4: Which again and it's another reason I back them, because

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Speaker 4: it's like, those are the things we like. We like

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Speaker 4: back in the teams that look bad that we know

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Speaker 4: are really good. Facing a team that you know, might

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Speaker 4: have had their best game of the season. That was

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Speaker 4: an incredible comeback by the Rams in a really tough

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Speaker 4: spot on a sure week. Now, But I keep going

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Speaker 4: back to all these mcveigh's stats. That's what like, I

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Speaker 4: keep I can't get over how incredible McVay has been

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Speaker 4: this late in the year and you know, I can

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Speaker 4: read it to people again if they want to hear

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Speaker 4: the McVeigh twenty eight and eleven straight up twenty seven

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Speaker 4: to eleven in the month of December in his career

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Speaker 4: against the spread since twenty twenty one, he's seventeen and

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Speaker 4: three against the spread in the month of December. So

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Speaker 4: you know we already know he owns the Seahawks like

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Speaker 4: he just I think this year they didn't cover. We

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Speaker 4: definitely bet that the Rams I believe were two and

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Speaker 4: a half point favorites. They were up fourteen, I believe,

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Speaker 4: in the in the fourth quarter, and the Seahawks back

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Speaker 4: doored it. They lost by two, so they covered the

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Speaker 4: number of they lost by two in a game that

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Speaker 4: they I just felt like the Rams were way better. So,

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Speaker 4: like I said, I if you want to follow what

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Speaker 4: I call the fake sharps, they're going to be on

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Speaker 4: the Seahawks this week, and I think the Rams it's

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Speaker 4: going to be the spot. So I'll go in to

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Speaker 4: see where this one goes. Like I said, it's it's

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Speaker 4: a game where maybe I am too closest Rams team.

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Speaker 4: I love them too much, but I just can't believe

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Speaker 4: people are hammering Sam Darnold as a favorite in this

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Speaker 4: divisional game. And like I told you chat, there's a

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Speaker 4: lot of really interesting stats about backing McVeigh in this

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Speaker 4: type of spot, and.

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Speaker 3: He actually does really well in short weeks.

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Speaker 4: On the flip side, you know this Seahawks team since

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Speaker 4: they since they faced the Rams, it's obviously been different coaches,

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Speaker 4: different quarterbacks. They're on to three in the spot of

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Speaker 4: facing the Rams on short week where the Rams tend

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Speaker 4: to play really well in there.

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Speaker 3: And the biggest one jumps out.

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Speaker 4: To me is I talk to you about the home

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Speaker 4: field advantage for the Seahawks that's been irrelevant since like

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Speaker 4: twenty fifteen. They actually have illusion record at home and

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Speaker 4: against the spread at home in this exact spot.

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Speaker 3: So a short week that's facing a.

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Speaker 4: Divisional opponent that's above five hundred, they're oh and six

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Speaker 4: in this spot Seattle Seahawk since twenty twenty. So again

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Speaker 4: it's even with their head coach, he's been there. He's

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Speaker 4: owing too in this spot. So it's not a good

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Speaker 4: spot historically for Seattle. And on the flip side, like

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Speaker 4: I said, McVeigh, he dominates these late season He's just

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Speaker 4: such a prepared coach and you know, another distraction could

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Speaker 4: be had a baby. I love that kind of stuff

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Speaker 4: like That's those are my favorite things where coaches or

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Speaker 4: players at babies and I bet on them anytime touchdowns.

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Speaker 4: Obviously I can't do that on McVeigh, but I will

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Speaker 4: be taking aside here. But like I said, it's I

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Speaker 4: gained that luckily we to can't put in our contest

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Speaker 4: because I'm confident in it, but I think I might

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Speaker 4: be blinding to my love of this Rams team.

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Speaker 1: All right, that's enough on a Thursday night game that

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Speaker 1: ten people are going to get to hear the show

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Speaker 1: and then actually bet on Washington at Philadelphia. We talked

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Speaker 1: about this on Tuesday, Saturday Night, six and a half

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Speaker 1: point underdogs, the Washington Commanders are going to be our

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Speaker 1: brass Balls bet of the Week, presented by hard Rock Bett.

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Speaker 3: You know what it takes, brass balls.

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Speaker 1: Look, I'm kind of taking your lead on this because

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Speaker 1: you know the Eagles as well as anybody, and you

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Speaker 1: were leading Commanders on Tuesday, and when we talked about

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Speaker 1: it before we came on the show, I presented three

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Speaker 1: games that I could have thought could be brass Balls contenders,

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Speaker 1: and the only one that we felt really comfortable with

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Speaker 1: was Washington Lane Johnson still out.

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Speaker 2: I think that matters.

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Speaker 1: The commanders have just been better with Marcus Mariota, which

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Speaker 1: we've been saying for the past few weeks.

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Speaker 2: Jalen Carter will still be out.

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Speaker 1: I think that impacts how the Eagles can defend against

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Speaker 1: a mobile quarterback, and talk about wanting to be in

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Speaker 1: a spot where you're fading a team. We want to

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Speaker 1: fade the team that just blew somebody out and all

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Speaker 1: of a sudden people think the Eagles are fixed when

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Speaker 1: we're not quite convinced the Eagles are fixed. So at

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Speaker 1: six and a half, this just feels a little bit inflated.

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Speaker 1: As you noted in sharp calls, Wise guys are on

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Speaker 1: this one as well, the real Wise guys, not the

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Speaker 1: big Wise guys.

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Speaker 4: It's true though it feels an inflated line. I had

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Speaker 4: this model out of four and it's not shocking.

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Speaker 1: Though.

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Speaker 4: If I was the general public and didn't have a

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Speaker 4: model or know much about it, why wouldn't I bet

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Speaker 4: the Eagles here?

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Speaker 3: Right? They looked incredible.

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Speaker 4: They look like they got things right, and we've talked

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Speaker 4: about they're a team that if they can figure out

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Speaker 4: that offense, why would they not be the number two

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Speaker 4: or number three best team in the NFC. So this

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Speaker 4: is obviously two teams that are going totally different directions.

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Speaker 4: The commanders, like we've said, they're shut down their star quarterback.

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Speaker 4: You know, how motivated would they be? Blah blah blah.

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Speaker 4: I think that's why the public is just coming in

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Speaker 4: so heavier. I don't know about you, but most books

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Speaker 4: I've looked at or talked to, it's like eighty percent

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Speaker 4: to nine percent of all the money, all the bets

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Speaker 4: are coming this Eagles team.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that's why it's so surprising to me it hasn't

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Speaker 1: moved to seven. That's clearly sort of resistance coming from

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Speaker 1: the professionals.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, it could be part of it. It's also I

331
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Speaker 4: think the books too are just like they're like, well,

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Speaker 4: we're thinking, here's just who are the Eagles to be

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Speaker 4: catching seven against a divisional opponent like this?

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Speaker 1: Where who are the super Bowl champions to be catching seven?

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Speaker 1: But I get it, like they haven't looked like the

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Speaker 1: Super Bowl champions at all.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, it's like it's the they haven't had a horrible

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Speaker 4: season like the Chiefs have had, but it's been close

339
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Speaker 4: to it. Like they've it's could have it could have

340
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Speaker 4: fallen apart a bunch of different spots here, So it's

341
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Speaker 4: just a bet for the Egles to prove it to me, right.

342
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Speaker 4: And you know, we always talk about the numbers with Hurts.

343
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Speaker 4: There's some real numbers here to fade Hurts, especially when

344
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Speaker 4: it comes to this late in the season of December.

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Speaker 3: He is great usually against the spread the start.

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Speaker 4: The year, but then the public keeps betting him fulling

347
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Speaker 4: more low with him and the number goes too far.

348
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Speaker 4: And we've seen that now through his early career because

349
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Speaker 4: the Eagles obviously every year he's been a starter, he's

350
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Speaker 4: made the playoffs, right, and he's kind of been in

351
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Speaker 4: that spot where, you know, not the last two years

352
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Speaker 4: or not last year, but the year before they totally

353
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Speaker 4: fell off. So that's why these numbers are skewed a

354
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Speaker 4: little bit. His December's numbers, but these ones just popped

355
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Speaker 4: out to me. So December later hurts five and seven

356
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Speaker 4: against the spread when he faces the NFC East, He's

357
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Speaker 4: one to five in his career in the month of

358
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Speaker 4: December against the spread. So we talked about it. He

359
00:16:19,560 --> 00:16:23,280
Speaker 4: just gets inflated in our division. I mean Eagles division. Historically,

360
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Speaker 4: it's kind of been a bottom feed of the division.

361
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Speaker 4: Right There are usually two teams really good, the other

362
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Speaker 4: two are just absolutely terrible. And it's been like that

363
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Speaker 4: for his whole career, these last four or five years

364
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Speaker 4: for Hurts.

365
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Speaker 3: So even against.

366
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Speaker 4: Bad teams in his division in December, he has struggled.

367
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Speaker 4: It's been very bizarre. And another stet I really loved

368
00:16:41,480 --> 00:16:44,280
Speaker 4: was the Eagles were a double digit favorite last week.

369
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Speaker 4: Hurts for some reason, he's horrible at games following being

370
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Speaker 4: a double digit favorite. So when he's double digit your favorite, Hurts,

371
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Speaker 4: he's three and six against the spread in this following game.

372
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Speaker 4: It just shows they usually blow teams out, live up

373
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Speaker 4: to it. In the following game, they have a letdown game.

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Speaker 4: So I've seen that time and time again. On the

375
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Speaker 4: flip side, dan Quinn, you know, give him a ton

376
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Speaker 4: of grief. I just don't think he's not going to

377
00:17:03,880 --> 00:17:06,240
Speaker 4: be head coach. But as a dog, he's been great,

378
00:17:06,359 --> 00:17:08,800
Speaker 4: especially at covering seven to four against the spread and

379
00:17:08,880 --> 00:17:11,200
Speaker 4: this exact spot three and one in his own division.

380
00:17:11,280 --> 00:17:13,720
Speaker 4: So you know, we like dan Quinn. We like the numbers.

381
00:17:13,720 --> 00:17:15,400
Speaker 4: When he's back in his own division as a dog.

382
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Speaker 4: It's just when he's a favorite. I really couldn't get

383
00:17:17,760 --> 00:17:20,600
Speaker 4: over how much overrated he was. So we talked. We

384
00:17:20,680 --> 00:17:22,480
Speaker 4: knew watch it was coming back down to earth this year.

385
00:17:23,080 --> 00:17:23,480
Speaker 3: Felix.

386
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Speaker 4: They have, But it feel like the public is totally

387
00:17:26,400 --> 00:17:29,200
Speaker 4: left m for dead. Yes, happened last week. They were

388
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Speaker 4: hammering the Giants team Like you just said, the number

389
00:17:32,000 --> 00:17:34,879
Speaker 4: didn't budge last week it's happening once again. The public

390
00:17:34,960 --> 00:17:36,639
Speaker 4: is hammering the opposite side of the commander's side, and

391
00:17:36,720 --> 00:17:39,200
Speaker 4: it's not budge. So for both of us, I think

392
00:17:39,240 --> 00:17:40,920
Speaker 4: we'd feel much better we wake up Saturday in the

393
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Speaker 4: numbers five and a half, because it's like, Okay, at

394
00:17:43,359 --> 00:17:45,280
Speaker 4: least some real professional money's coming, and we both have

395
00:17:45,320 --> 00:17:47,840
Speaker 4: the best number. But even this gets the seven, I'm

396
00:17:47,840 --> 00:17:50,280
Speaker 4: still going to back this Washington team comes Saturday.

397
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Speaker 1: All right, Washington Commanders brass Ball's better of the week.

398
00:17:53,280 --> 00:17:58,000
Speaker 1: Look talk about teams that, as the season goes on,

399
00:17:59,160 --> 00:18:05,960
Speaker 1: historically are bigger and bigger favorites and the quarterback ends

400
00:18:06,040 --> 00:18:08,760
Speaker 1: up not being as good against the spread because of it.

401
00:18:09,480 --> 00:18:13,880
Speaker 1: That has been the Kansas City Chiefs since twenty eighteen.

402
00:18:15,200 --> 00:18:16,680
Speaker 2: Now Patrick Mahomes is out.

403
00:18:17,560 --> 00:18:21,439
Speaker 1: Kansas City has gone from ostensibly eleven and a half

404
00:18:21,480 --> 00:18:25,720
Speaker 1: when he was playing against the Tennessee Titans, to four.

405
00:18:25,520 --> 00:18:27,159
Speaker 2: And a half, down to three and a half.

406
00:18:27,440 --> 00:18:29,879
Speaker 1: Now it's down to three in the contest, it's currently

407
00:18:29,920 --> 00:18:32,240
Speaker 1: three and a half. So I want to have this

408
00:18:32,320 --> 00:18:36,760
Speaker 1: conversation thinking about the three and a half and the three.

409
00:18:38,400 --> 00:18:40,200
Speaker 1: I think there are so many issues for the Chiefs

410
00:18:40,280 --> 00:18:43,800
Speaker 1: right now beyond Mahomes. Right they are missing so many

411
00:18:43,880 --> 00:18:46,160
Speaker 1: offensive linemen. And we were on the Chiefs last week.

412
00:18:46,320 --> 00:18:49,800
Speaker 1: They lost that game because they couldn't protect Mahomes obviously,

413
00:18:50,720 --> 00:18:55,399
Speaker 1: but they're also down Hollywood Brown this week she rice.

414
00:18:55,640 --> 00:18:59,159
Speaker 1: Will he play again? Will he play coming off the concussion?

415
00:18:59,520 --> 00:19:02,399
Speaker 1: We don't know. They're already having a hard time getting

416
00:19:02,400 --> 00:19:05,639
Speaker 1: any kind of explosive runs. We know the Titans had

417
00:19:05,680 --> 00:19:09,760
Speaker 1: been covering being more competitive.

418
00:19:12,840 --> 00:19:15,560
Speaker 2: I mean, all of a sudden, the Titans look attractive

419
00:19:15,560 --> 00:19:15,760
Speaker 2: to me.

420
00:19:17,920 --> 00:19:20,200
Speaker 3: So you know what to do? People hammer that Kansas

421
00:19:20,240 --> 00:19:23,080
Speaker 3: City Chief I know you want.

422
00:19:23,840 --> 00:19:25,879
Speaker 4: I'm not gonna let us put in the contest regardless.

423
00:19:26,560 --> 00:19:28,880
Speaker 4: Maybe if it was four and a half Tennessee, which

424
00:19:29,000 --> 00:19:30,720
Speaker 4: was to me that was where the Sharps really made

425
00:19:30,720 --> 00:19:31,280
Speaker 4: their statement.

426
00:19:31,320 --> 00:19:32,359
Speaker 3: That was the sharp number.

427
00:19:32,400 --> 00:19:34,760
Speaker 4: But you are betting into a bad number and what

428
00:19:34,840 --> 00:19:37,560
Speaker 4: feels like a bad spot. The unders still looks good

429
00:19:37,560 --> 00:19:39,480
Speaker 4: and unders thirty seven and a half. Like you just said,

430
00:19:39,920 --> 00:19:41,320
Speaker 4: I don't know how the Chiefs are going to score.

431
00:19:41,480 --> 00:19:43,000
Speaker 4: I still don't know how Tennessee is gonna score. This

432
00:19:43,119 --> 00:19:46,280
Speaker 4: is still a spag defense that as bad as the

433
00:19:46,320 --> 00:19:48,640
Speaker 4: Chiefs have been, the defense has been pretty good, right,

434
00:19:48,640 --> 00:19:50,919
Speaker 4: it's really the offense I've disappointed this season for this

435
00:19:51,000 --> 00:19:53,520
Speaker 4: Chiefs team. So I get you're coming from Chadyard with

436
00:19:53,560 --> 00:19:55,280
Speaker 4: all the pros. They're all over it. I think the

437
00:19:55,320 --> 00:19:56,960
Speaker 4: public are with you too, Like I don't see the

438
00:19:56,960 --> 00:19:59,760
Speaker 4: public betting Minshew as a favorite in this spot. So

439
00:20:00,760 --> 00:20:02,200
Speaker 4: I don't know what to deal with this one. I'm

440
00:20:02,240 --> 00:20:03,600
Speaker 4: hoping I'm happy just to avoid it.

441
00:20:03,640 --> 00:20:06,240
Speaker 1: A fight on maybe a little taste of the Titans

442
00:20:06,240 --> 00:20:07,000
Speaker 1: on the money line.

443
00:20:07,920 --> 00:20:09,480
Speaker 3: Do you think whatever you want to do.

444
00:20:11,720 --> 00:20:11,920
Speaker 2: Well?

445
00:20:12,000 --> 00:20:17,040
Speaker 1: Your lack of support onlike a really ugly dog is

446
00:20:17,080 --> 00:20:21,240
Speaker 1: shocking to me. The whole Titan titansdo has gotten into

447
00:20:21,280 --> 00:20:21,680
Speaker 1: your head.

448
00:20:22,359 --> 00:20:24,040
Speaker 2: It's totally in your head right now.

449
00:20:26,359 --> 00:20:28,200
Speaker 4: I just I don't want to be there. I just

450
00:20:28,400 --> 00:20:30,320
Speaker 4: don't want to be there with them. Like last week,

451
00:20:30,359 --> 00:20:32,320
Speaker 4: not watching a second of their game was very nice.

452
00:20:32,320 --> 00:20:35,560
Speaker 2: It was enjoyable, right, Yeah, to think that they just

453
00:20:35,600 --> 00:20:36,399
Speaker 2: didn't exist with.

454
00:20:36,800 --> 00:20:37,640
Speaker 3: What was pure good.

455
00:20:37,960 --> 00:20:43,359
Speaker 1: Sure, Minnesota minus three at the New York Giants betting

456
00:20:43,359 --> 00:20:47,000
Speaker 1: the Giants plus three with Simon says, I hope everyone

457
00:20:47,080 --> 00:20:49,480
Speaker 1: is better because this line is going to move to

458
00:20:49,560 --> 00:20:50,960
Speaker 1: two and a half because it looks like.

459
00:20:50,920 --> 00:20:55,000
Speaker 2: The money is coming in on the Giants Again.

460
00:20:55,160 --> 00:20:57,200
Speaker 1: I don't think there are metrics to make us feel

461
00:20:57,240 --> 00:21:02,119
Speaker 1: better about this one. It's really about fading a quarterback

462
00:21:02,160 --> 00:21:05,920
Speaker 1: who until two weeks ago people were trying to figure

463
00:21:05,920 --> 00:21:09,160
Speaker 1: out what their option was going to be next year

464
00:21:09,160 --> 00:21:13,760
Speaker 1: in Minnesota to replace JJ McCarthy, and how bad they

465
00:21:13,840 --> 00:21:16,720
Speaker 1: must feel that they don't have Sam Darnold, that they

466
00:21:16,760 --> 00:21:20,440
Speaker 1: didn't have Daniel Jones, that they no longer had Kirk Cousins.

467
00:21:20,800 --> 00:21:23,600
Speaker 1: And then the guy beats up on two bad defenses

468
00:21:23,600 --> 00:21:25,160
Speaker 1: and the Commanders and the Cowboys, and all of a sudden,

469
00:21:25,200 --> 00:21:28,160
Speaker 1: he's a three point road favorite. That's what we're fading here,

470
00:21:28,160 --> 00:21:30,199
Speaker 1: and that's why Simon says, and that's why we bet it,

471
00:21:30,240 --> 00:21:31,560
Speaker 1: and that's why it'll be in the contest.

472
00:21:32,640 --> 00:21:34,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, like you just nailed it.

473
00:21:34,200 --> 00:21:36,960
Speaker 4: It's such a nice spot to fade the Vikings, and

474
00:21:37,000 --> 00:21:39,479
Speaker 4: we actually do have data backing it up that, you know,

475
00:21:40,200 --> 00:21:43,560
Speaker 4: the Vikings in such an emotional spot, which that really

476
00:21:43,680 --> 00:21:46,679
Speaker 4: was the Vikings playing in Dallas on Sunday night last week.

477
00:21:47,080 --> 00:21:49,720
Speaker 4: It's been unique this season, so teams basically playing in

478
00:21:49,760 --> 00:21:53,320
Speaker 4: Dallas then on the road the next game after playing

479
00:21:53,359 --> 00:21:55,719
Speaker 4: Dallas their own six against the spread this season and

480
00:21:56,560 --> 00:21:58,560
Speaker 4: we go, Okay, that's not that big of a deal.

481
00:21:58,600 --> 00:22:01,199
Speaker 4: That's kind of just this season and shell, but it

482
00:22:01,240 --> 00:22:03,800
Speaker 4: really does feel like it kind of tends to that game, right,

483
00:22:03,840 --> 00:22:05,680
Speaker 4: that was such an emotional win. And you go back

484
00:22:05,720 --> 00:22:07,800
Speaker 4: through a lot of Dallas games this year, they all

485
00:22:07,880 --> 00:22:09,600
Speaker 4: they most for the most part, have been really close,

486
00:22:09,680 --> 00:22:11,480
Speaker 4: high emotional games for a lot of these teams, So

487
00:22:11,520 --> 00:22:14,040
Speaker 4: it makes sense there are letdowns in the following games.

488
00:22:14,080 --> 00:22:17,119
Speaker 4: And you know the ones that dropped out jumped out

489
00:22:17,160 --> 00:22:19,359
Speaker 4: to me is just this season teams that play in

490
00:22:19,400 --> 00:22:21,119
Speaker 4: Dallas and then go on the road the next game

491
00:22:21,440 --> 00:22:23,520
Speaker 4: they're failing to cover by almost eleven points per game

492
00:22:23,560 --> 00:22:24,760
Speaker 4: and that next game, like.

493
00:22:24,720 --> 00:22:27,320
Speaker 3: That's not a small margin, that's a really big gap.

494
00:22:27,640 --> 00:22:29,800
Speaker 4: That shows there is a let down, And you know,

495
00:22:29,880 --> 00:22:31,600
Speaker 4: the Vikings, I had a couple of reach out to me,

496
00:22:31,640 --> 00:22:33,600
Speaker 4: is there really anything to dive into about the Vikings

497
00:22:33,640 --> 00:22:36,199
Speaker 4: being an indoor team now going to play outdoors in

498
00:22:36,240 --> 00:22:39,000
Speaker 4: the cold? You shake head there actually is chat like

499
00:22:39,040 --> 00:22:43,040
Speaker 4: they're not a outdoor type of team. In December or later,

500
00:22:43,080 --> 00:22:45,440
Speaker 4: they are six and eleven against the spread and they've

501
00:22:45,440 --> 00:22:47,919
Speaker 4: been covering by failing to cover by five points per

502
00:22:47,960 --> 00:22:50,760
Speaker 4: game in those exact spots. So it does prove out

503
00:22:50,760 --> 00:22:52,280
Speaker 4: that they're not a cold weather type of team.

504
00:22:52,320 --> 00:22:52,439
Speaker 3: Right.

505
00:22:52,480 --> 00:22:54,280
Speaker 4: They are a dome team and now they are going

506
00:22:54,320 --> 00:22:56,840
Speaker 4: outside to play a Giants team that you know, they've

507
00:22:56,840 --> 00:22:57,720
Speaker 4: been playing in the elements.

508
00:22:57,720 --> 00:22:58,359
Speaker 3: They're used to it.

509
00:22:58,440 --> 00:23:00,760
Speaker 4: So that is something that another probably could take away

510
00:23:00,760 --> 00:23:02,080
Speaker 4: for this Giants team. But at the end of the day,

511
00:23:02,520 --> 00:23:03,800
Speaker 4: my biggest thing I'm taking away.

512
00:23:03,600 --> 00:23:04,520
Speaker 3: From it is just a matchup.

513
00:23:04,560 --> 00:23:06,640
Speaker 4: I think JJ is going to struggle with this type

514
00:23:06,640 --> 00:23:08,560
Speaker 4: of defense the Giants have, which is a very fast

515
00:23:08,600 --> 00:23:11,840
Speaker 4: front that can give him problems because we've seen those

516
00:23:11,840 --> 00:23:13,800
Speaker 4: teams you just talked about. They don't have any pass

517
00:23:13,880 --> 00:23:16,720
Speaker 4: rush to get after him, and JJ looked so comfortable

518
00:23:17,200 --> 00:23:19,000
Speaker 4: passing against those type of teams because he had no

519
00:23:19,040 --> 00:23:21,400
Speaker 4: pressure in his face. We've seen him struggle this year.

520
00:23:21,760 --> 00:23:23,440
Speaker 4: It's when he has to move outside the pocket the

521
00:23:23,440 --> 00:23:27,000
Speaker 4: plays breakdown. That's when JJ struggles. So I'm back in

522
00:23:27,040 --> 00:23:28,879
Speaker 4: the Giants here, and like you said, it's about the number.

523
00:23:28,960 --> 00:23:31,040
Speaker 4: The number is coming down, so I'm happy to see

524
00:23:31,040 --> 00:23:32,680
Speaker 4: the pros are joining me on it.

525
00:23:32,680 --> 00:23:35,880
Speaker 3: It's a big split game so the public. I think

526
00:23:35,880 --> 00:23:37,159
Speaker 3: it's like eighty.

527
00:23:37,040 --> 00:23:38,720
Speaker 4: Percent of the tickets right now we're on in the

528
00:23:38,760 --> 00:23:41,520
Speaker 4: Minnesota Vikings, but seventy percent of the money is coming

529
00:23:41,520 --> 00:23:43,639
Speaker 4: in on the Giants. So that just shows this is

530
00:23:43,640 --> 00:23:45,440
Speaker 4: going to be a pros versus Joe's type of game.

531
00:23:45,520 --> 00:23:47,760
Speaker 4: So I am shocked to see it's coming down, but

532
00:23:47,960 --> 00:23:49,320
Speaker 4: not shocked to see the pros line up on it.

533
00:23:49,520 --> 00:23:51,000
Speaker 4: Just feels like a very nice spot to back this

534
00:23:51,040 --> 00:23:51,560
Speaker 4: Giants team.

535
00:23:51,560 --> 00:23:53,119
Speaker 1: Well, look, the one thing we got to consider is

536
00:23:53,160 --> 00:23:55,639
Speaker 1: that it's two and a half in the contest. So

537
00:23:56,320 --> 00:23:58,080
Speaker 1: do we still want to play it if it's two

538
00:23:58,119 --> 00:24:00,240
Speaker 1: and a half in the contest, because that's what's going

539
00:24:00,280 --> 00:24:00,480
Speaker 1: to be.

540
00:24:02,200 --> 00:24:05,040
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean it's it's tough, Like I I let

541
00:24:05,080 --> 00:24:07,159
Speaker 4: that scare me last week with the Saints and we

542
00:24:07,320 --> 00:24:09,359
Speaker 4: ate it on that one. So it's gonna it's gonna

543
00:24:09,359 --> 00:24:10,199
Speaker 4: be a tough choice to make.

544
00:24:10,640 --> 00:24:13,600
Speaker 1: I can't believe that the Minnesota Vikings aren't Indo our team.

545
00:24:14,040 --> 00:24:16,640
Speaker 1: It just disappoints me. I think, what the Bills are

546
00:24:16,640 --> 00:24:20,639
Speaker 1: doing your future, buddy, I know that's what I was

547
00:24:20,680 --> 00:24:22,879
Speaker 1: going to say, Like, what the Bills are doing is amazing.

548
00:24:22,880 --> 00:24:26,399
Speaker 1: They're building, they're leading into their attitude, and I'm seeing

549
00:24:26,400 --> 00:24:29,200
Speaker 1: all this stuff about the Bears and whether they're building

550
00:24:29,200 --> 00:24:31,160
Speaker 1: in the suburbs or now they're thinking.

551
00:24:32,520 --> 00:24:34,480
Speaker 2: Let me tell you something, I'm.

552
00:24:34,200 --> 00:24:36,480
Speaker 1: Already upset that the Bills might build a dome stadium

553
00:24:36,480 --> 00:24:37,960
Speaker 1: just so Chicago can get a Super Bowl.

554
00:24:38,000 --> 00:24:39,840
Speaker 2: I get it, I get it, but like.

555
00:24:41,520 --> 00:24:45,160
Speaker 1: You don't understand how much of a part of the

556
00:24:45,320 --> 00:24:50,120
Speaker 1: personality of being a Bears fan and sitting outside and

557
00:24:50,160 --> 00:24:53,040
Speaker 1: being an outdoor team and being built for December and

558
00:24:53,080 --> 00:24:57,000
Speaker 1: what and what Caleb Williams calls ball weather, that's an

559
00:24:57,040 --> 00:25:01,159
Speaker 1: advantage And like, all of a sudden, if the Bears

560
00:25:01,200 --> 00:25:03,720
Speaker 1: build a dome, three of the four teams in their

561
00:25:03,720 --> 00:25:07,000
Speaker 1: division now have domes and only Green.

562
00:25:06,800 --> 00:25:07,840
Speaker 2: Bay won't it.

563
00:25:07,920 --> 00:25:11,439
Speaker 1: Actually, it's so disappointing to me. I can't believe it.

564
00:25:11,480 --> 00:25:14,240
Speaker 1: And let's not even start about Indiana. Like obviously I

565
00:25:14,280 --> 00:25:17,680
Speaker 1: went to Indiana University. I have so many friends who

566
00:25:17,720 --> 00:25:20,400
Speaker 1: are from Indiana in college, and some of them from

567
00:25:20,520 --> 00:25:25,959
Speaker 1: like Northwest Indiana, like you know, outside like Munster, Indiana

568
00:25:26,359 --> 00:25:28,280
Speaker 1: and whatever. And they would say to me, I live

569
00:25:28,320 --> 00:25:31,199
Speaker 1: closer to Chicago than you do, and they try to

570
00:25:31,240 --> 00:25:33,480
Speaker 1: claim that they're from Chicago. I'm like, dude, you're from

571
00:25:33,480 --> 00:25:36,159
Speaker 1: fucking Indiana. So if the Bears go to Indiana, I

572
00:25:36,200 --> 00:25:40,080
Speaker 1: am just going to be they're losing all their character.

573
00:25:40,359 --> 00:25:43,960
Speaker 1: You build a dome stadium in Indiana, you might as

574
00:25:44,000 --> 00:25:46,159
Speaker 1: well be the Colts Now.

575
00:25:46,240 --> 00:25:50,480
Speaker 4: It would be not only embarrassing as an organization, but

576
00:25:50,560 --> 00:25:52,880
Speaker 4: like you said, that's such a part of the city,

577
00:25:53,320 --> 00:25:56,560
Speaker 4: the culture, just the whole area being a Bear weather

578
00:25:57,160 --> 00:26:01,080
Speaker 4: their weather. Just like like you, when I thought there

579
00:26:01,119 --> 00:26:02,520
Speaker 4: was even a chance of the Bill has been a

580
00:26:02,600 --> 00:26:04,600
Speaker 4: dumb stadium, I literally got sick to my stomach. I

581
00:26:04,600 --> 00:26:06,400
Speaker 4: feel the same way thinking about the Bears, And it's

582
00:26:06,440 --> 00:26:08,480
Speaker 4: just it's the underlying problem in this country.

583
00:26:08,480 --> 00:26:10,600
Speaker 3: At the end of the day, it's all about the money.

584
00:26:10,560 --> 00:26:13,600
Speaker 2: All about I hate money. I hate so upsetting.

585
00:26:13,920 --> 00:26:15,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's so.

586
00:26:15,359 --> 00:26:19,159
Speaker 1: There's no culture left, there's no character left. Character is

587
00:26:19,160 --> 00:26:21,879
Speaker 1: the person you put on the dollar bill. It's just upsetting.

588
00:26:24,280 --> 00:26:25,680
Speaker 1: I was gonna talk about the Jets, but I don't

589
00:26:25,680 --> 00:26:27,000
Speaker 1: even want to. There's nothing to say.

590
00:26:28,240 --> 00:26:30,439
Speaker 4: No, I'm yeah, like I'm still on the Jets, but

591
00:26:30,440 --> 00:26:31,960
Speaker 4: I'm with you. It's like a bet that I feel

592
00:26:32,000 --> 00:26:33,840
Speaker 4: like I have to make, but everyone knows my position.

593
00:26:33,920 --> 00:26:36,959
Speaker 4: I'm all in on Shuck. I've basically hit up every

594
00:26:36,960 --> 00:26:39,600
Speaker 4: family member of my family and being like, hey, if

595
00:26:39,600 --> 00:26:42,920
Speaker 4: this guy hits, I'll buy you something nice coming in January.

596
00:26:43,000 --> 00:26:45,240
Speaker 4: Like that's how all in I am, just because I

597
00:26:45,280 --> 00:26:46,679
Speaker 4: want to get as much good vibe as I came

598
00:26:46,720 --> 00:26:49,320
Speaker 4: behind this kid, and I think social media's coming a

599
00:26:49,320 --> 00:26:49,760
Speaker 4: long way.

600
00:26:49,880 --> 00:26:51,239
Speaker 3: I rarely saw a post about him.

601
00:26:51,280 --> 00:26:53,240
Speaker 4: Now it feels like every day I'm seeing stuff pop

602
00:26:53,320 --> 00:26:56,359
Speaker 4: up of these like you know, YouTube commentators or whatever,

603
00:26:56,640 --> 00:26:58,879
Speaker 4: just talking about how good he's looked and how you know,

604
00:26:59,000 --> 00:27:01,160
Speaker 4: like I've talked about they he came and he won

605
00:27:01,200 --> 00:27:03,280
Speaker 4: two straight divisional games on a Saints team that was

606
00:27:03,320 --> 00:27:05,920
Speaker 4: just left for dead. So the Shuck hype, I don't

607
00:27:05,960 --> 00:27:08,359
Speaker 4: need to keep hyping up anymore. It's going global and

608
00:27:08,400 --> 00:27:09,320
Speaker 4: out chat. We're getting there.

609
00:27:09,720 --> 00:27:12,560
Speaker 1: It's global buffalo with Cleveland back in the day, look

610
00:27:13,000 --> 00:27:16,640
Speaker 1: we auto played Cleveland at home, there are a ten

611
00:27:16,680 --> 00:27:19,960
Speaker 1: point underdog. Even a few weeks ago against the Titans,

612
00:27:20,119 --> 00:27:23,280
Speaker 1: we would have not hesitated on this one. Then you

613
00:27:23,359 --> 00:27:25,639
Speaker 1: made all these points about how bad the defense has

614
00:27:25,680 --> 00:27:28,160
Speaker 1: been playing the way they looked against the Titans at home.

615
00:27:29,400 --> 00:27:32,640
Speaker 1: They've got an offensive line that is decimated. So now

616
00:27:32,640 --> 00:27:35,119
Speaker 1: they've got a quarterback. I don't know how they're going

617
00:27:35,160 --> 00:27:39,040
Speaker 1: to score enough points. Like if Buffalo scores a touchdown

618
00:27:39,560 --> 00:27:43,199
Speaker 1: and two field goals, they win this game. And it

619
00:27:43,280 --> 00:27:46,000
Speaker 1: worries me betting on this offense to try to find

620
00:27:46,040 --> 00:27:47,640
Speaker 1: a way to cover the back door when I don't

621
00:27:47,680 --> 00:27:50,200
Speaker 1: know if they're going to be able to So.

622
00:27:50,200 --> 00:27:52,399
Speaker 4: Let's lose money on the Bears, then I mean not Bears,

623
00:27:52,440 --> 00:27:55,000
Speaker 4: the Bills, then chat, that's the move. The move is

624
00:27:55,040 --> 00:27:57,040
Speaker 4: for us to back the Bills. We know, we knew

625
00:27:57,040 --> 00:27:59,280
Speaker 4: there's something off with this line because we should love it.

626
00:27:59,520 --> 00:28:02,320
Speaker 4: And I'm like you, like, as soon as I saw

627
00:28:02,359 --> 00:28:04,520
Speaker 4: this one, it's like, what am I missing here? And

628
00:28:05,960 --> 00:28:08,040
Speaker 4: a game that obviously I want to dive in the

629
00:28:08,080 --> 00:28:10,640
Speaker 4: numbers on, just because when you do think of Josh

630
00:28:10,680 --> 00:28:12,840
Speaker 4: Allen this spot, I remember the back when I thinking, well,

631
00:28:12,880 --> 00:28:14,560
Speaker 4: isn't this the type of team that Josh Allen does

632
00:28:14,600 --> 00:28:16,920
Speaker 4: beat up on because he wasn't he would have overlook

633
00:28:16,960 --> 00:28:19,080
Speaker 4: such a great defense, like especially a defense with Mile

634
00:28:19,200 --> 00:28:21,399
Speaker 4: Garrett and shout out to our guy Evan Ingrams. He

635
00:28:21,440 --> 00:28:24,879
Speaker 4: had some amazing stats about this exact spot. So when

636
00:28:24,960 --> 00:28:27,639
Speaker 4: Josh Allen plays a defense that is allowing less than

637
00:28:27,640 --> 00:28:30,480
Speaker 4: twenty points per game, Allen in his career twenty eight

638
00:28:30,520 --> 00:28:31,959
Speaker 4: and nine against the spread.

639
00:28:32,200 --> 00:28:33,520
Speaker 3: No yeah.

640
00:28:33,920 --> 00:28:36,679
Speaker 4: And when he's facing a team that allows more than

641
00:28:36,720 --> 00:28:39,080
Speaker 4: twenty eight points per game, Josh Allen's eight and eleven

642
00:28:39,080 --> 00:28:42,360
Speaker 4: in his career against the spread. So how bizarre is

643
00:28:42,400 --> 00:28:45,080
Speaker 4: that he doesn't cover against teams that give up a

644
00:28:45,120 --> 00:28:47,440
Speaker 4: ton of points, but teams that are very stingy defensively,

645
00:28:48,040 --> 00:28:49,880
Speaker 4: he is unbelievable against them.

646
00:28:50,080 --> 00:28:50,840
Speaker 2: That's crazy.

647
00:28:51,000 --> 00:28:53,520
Speaker 4: It's the best mark of any quarterbacks since three So

648
00:28:53,600 --> 00:28:56,960
Speaker 4: like it's a huge outlier. But we always talk about

649
00:28:57,000 --> 00:28:58,760
Speaker 4: Josh Allen's that guy where it's like you find this

650
00:28:58,840 --> 00:29:01,080
Speaker 4: type of stats lead into it. I'm not going to

651
00:29:01,160 --> 00:29:03,640
Speaker 4: fight it here, like I wanted to be on the Browns,

652
00:29:03,640 --> 00:29:05,680
Speaker 4: but once I saw that statu It's like, okay, he

653
00:29:05,800 --> 00:29:08,520
Speaker 4: tends to show up and even more, there are even

654
00:29:08,560 --> 00:29:11,680
Speaker 4: more crazy numbers. So since twenty ten, the Bills have

655
00:29:11,720 --> 00:29:14,600
Speaker 4: been listed against the Browns five meetings. They're five and

656
00:29:14,640 --> 00:29:16,960
Speaker 4: oh straight up in those games, winning by more than seven.

657
00:29:18,440 --> 00:29:21,480
Speaker 4: You know, the Browns are a big home dog. So

658
00:29:21,880 --> 00:29:24,080
Speaker 4: you know we've seen home dogs this year covering right.

659
00:29:24,080 --> 00:29:25,840
Speaker 4: I think they're eleven and six against the spread, these

660
00:29:25,840 --> 00:29:28,720
Speaker 4: big home dogs. So so okay, maybe we need to

661
00:29:28,800 --> 00:29:30,640
Speaker 4: lean into it and just blindly bet the home dog,

662
00:29:30,680 --> 00:29:30,960
Speaker 4: which is.

663
00:29:30,960 --> 00:29:32,200
Speaker 3: What mean Chad usually want to do.

664
00:29:32,320 --> 00:29:35,200
Speaker 4: But when I saw those Josh Allen numbers, it's like, Okay,

665
00:29:35,240 --> 00:29:38,760
Speaker 4: this guy blows up these really bad teams, and you know,

666
00:29:38,920 --> 00:29:41,800
Speaker 4: is there a letdown after playing New England? No Josh

667
00:29:41,880 --> 00:29:45,760
Speaker 4: Allen on the road, after facing Newland Patriots. He is

668
00:29:45,800 --> 00:29:50,640
Speaker 4: ten and five against the spread against outside divisional opponents,

669
00:29:50,720 --> 00:29:53,239
Speaker 4: So plays divisional teams, you think there'd be a let

670
00:29:53,240 --> 00:29:54,000
Speaker 4: down the following game.

671
00:29:54,000 --> 00:29:54,240
Speaker 3: There is.

672
00:29:54,360 --> 00:29:56,120
Speaker 4: He's ten and five against the spread those exact games,

673
00:29:56,160 --> 00:29:58,520
Speaker 4: covering by when was four points per game. So a

674
00:29:58,560 --> 00:30:00,560
Speaker 4: lot of just underlying numbers out like us and we

675
00:30:00,600 --> 00:30:02,160
Speaker 4: already talked like the Bills and the what we alreay

676
00:30:02,160 --> 00:30:03,640
Speaker 4: talk about the bigges. One jumped out to me is

677
00:30:04,520 --> 00:30:07,280
Speaker 4: the Bills top three, top two, whatever you want to

678
00:30:07,280 --> 00:30:09,760
Speaker 4: put him as the best running team of football. This

679
00:30:09,840 --> 00:30:12,560
Speaker 4: Browns team has struggled against their run these last couple

680
00:30:12,560 --> 00:30:14,320
Speaker 4: of weeks, and that's what really jumped out to me

681
00:30:14,400 --> 00:30:16,680
Speaker 4: is that was what they were so dominant at. They

682
00:30:16,680 --> 00:30:19,040
Speaker 4: were so great against the run, and their secondary we

683
00:30:19,040 --> 00:30:20,840
Speaker 4: talked about is really good. So it was like, Okay,

684
00:30:20,840 --> 00:30:22,600
Speaker 4: that's why their Browns are stealing these games. Early in

685
00:30:22,600 --> 00:30:24,520
Speaker 4: the year, teams kind of run against and they had

686
00:30:24,560 --> 00:30:25,920
Speaker 4: to pass, and that's what the Browns wanted you do

687
00:30:25,960 --> 00:30:27,440
Speaker 4: because they're gonna get you to turn the ball over.

688
00:30:27,560 --> 00:30:31,600
Speaker 4: So looking at this matchup, I think, you know, Cook

689
00:30:31,680 --> 00:30:34,160
Speaker 4: might have thirteen rushing touchdowns, Josh Allen would have twelve

690
00:30:34,200 --> 00:30:37,120
Speaker 4: rushing touchdowns. It's like this is the juggernaut of a

691
00:30:37,200 --> 00:30:39,360
Speaker 4: rushing team. They just once they get into the red area,

692
00:30:39,680 --> 00:30:41,760
Speaker 4: the red zone, they just score rushing touchdowns. And the

693
00:30:41,760 --> 00:30:45,560
Speaker 4: Browns have struggled in that exact spot. So it feels

694
00:30:45,640 --> 00:30:47,280
Speaker 4: like this is actually a Bills.

695
00:30:47,320 --> 00:30:48,920
Speaker 3: I can't believe it. Bills minus ten.

696
00:30:49,320 --> 00:30:51,160
Speaker 2: I'm shocked.

697
00:30:51,400 --> 00:30:54,720
Speaker 1: I know I'm shocked only because I'm happy about it,

698
00:30:55,880 --> 00:30:58,120
Speaker 1: because I didn't want to bet the Browns even and

699
00:30:58,160 --> 00:30:58,960
Speaker 1: even believe.

700
00:30:58,680 --> 00:31:00,520
Speaker 4: At least would be like, well, at least be lost

701
00:31:00,520 --> 00:31:03,760
Speaker 4: on Josh Allen, I don't know, right, No, I mean

702
00:31:03,800 --> 00:31:04,480
Speaker 4: I can't do it.

703
00:31:04,640 --> 00:31:05,480
Speaker 2: I can't. I think.

704
00:31:07,480 --> 00:31:09,520
Speaker 1: That's why I said, historically this would have been an

705
00:31:09,520 --> 00:31:12,960
Speaker 1: auto play, and we haven't done it, and there's something

706
00:31:13,000 --> 00:31:14,040
Speaker 1: that's holding us back.

707
00:31:14,440 --> 00:31:15,880
Speaker 2: And I think you just nailed it.

708
00:31:16,320 --> 00:31:19,640
Speaker 3: So that twenty eight nine stats crazy.

709
00:31:20,400 --> 00:31:22,160
Speaker 1: I kind of like the idea of having the Bills

710
00:31:22,240 --> 00:31:24,280
Speaker 1: is a big favorite on the road against the Browns

711
00:31:24,880 --> 00:31:25,680
Speaker 1: in the contest.

712
00:31:25,760 --> 00:31:28,000
Speaker 2: For us, it feels very contrarian.

713
00:31:28,720 --> 00:31:30,239
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean I'll be ten and a half, but

714
00:31:30,520 --> 00:31:32,160
Speaker 4: I wouldn't mind having that discussion someday.

715
00:31:32,160 --> 00:31:33,640
Speaker 3: Moore. I bet it as soon as I saw those numbers.

716
00:31:33,680 --> 00:31:34,080
Speaker 3: It's all right.

717
00:31:34,120 --> 00:31:36,360
Speaker 4: I'll take a position as because hard Rocket. There's only

718
00:31:36,400 --> 00:31:38,080
Speaker 4: one other book out of the ten, so if you

719
00:31:38,120 --> 00:31:40,840
Speaker 4: want the ten, unfortunately for you, if you don't have

720
00:31:40,880 --> 00:31:42,280
Speaker 4: a hard Rocket, probably not going to find it, and

721
00:31:42,280 --> 00:31:44,080
Speaker 4: most other books have already moved at ten and a half.

722
00:31:44,120 --> 00:31:46,000
Speaker 3: So I'll be interesting if the pros do bet it down.

723
00:31:46,040 --> 00:31:47,880
Speaker 4: I just think I don't know how many pros are

724
00:31:47,880 --> 00:31:50,080
Speaker 4: gonna be taking big stands here with Shador Sanders in

725
00:31:50,120 --> 00:31:51,920
Speaker 4: this defense that might have given up on the season.

726
00:31:52,320 --> 00:31:58,720
Speaker 1: Yeap Jacksonville plus three at Denver. No team in the

727
00:31:58,840 --> 00:32:04,080
Speaker 1: NFL has been luckier than one of the teams playing

728
00:32:04,160 --> 00:32:10,240
Speaker 1: in this contest. Simon which team has been the luckiest team?

729
00:32:10,640 --> 00:32:13,320
Speaker 4: I mean, I know, I want to say Jags with Denver.

730
00:32:13,360 --> 00:32:14,840
Speaker 4: You feel like Denver's been pretty lucky.

731
00:32:15,000 --> 00:32:17,160
Speaker 2: Denver Broncos, Denver Broncos.

732
00:32:17,160 --> 00:32:20,760
Speaker 1: We're losing that game against the Packers if Micah Parsons

733
00:32:20,760 --> 00:32:24,160
Speaker 1: doesn't go out, if their offensive line talent doesn't go out,

734
00:32:24,200 --> 00:32:28,720
Speaker 1: if Christian Watson doesn't go out. Teams that are on

735
00:32:28,840 --> 00:32:31,840
Speaker 1: an eleven game winning streak fourteen thirty six and two

736
00:32:31,880 --> 00:32:35,800
Speaker 1: against spread in the following game. After the eleventh game,

737
00:32:36,320 --> 00:32:39,520
Speaker 1: all the talk about Liam Cohne and Trevor Lawrence. To me,

738
00:32:40,200 --> 00:32:43,600
Speaker 1: don't forget. And I've said this for the past four weeks.

739
00:32:44,400 --> 00:32:47,480
Speaker 1: The difference in this offense has been Jacobe Myers giving

740
00:32:47,520 --> 00:32:51,200
Speaker 1: them that possession type receiver who can run the routes

741
00:32:51,280 --> 00:32:55,000
Speaker 1: across the field, Like that's the guy that has been missing.

742
00:32:56,400 --> 00:32:58,720
Speaker 1: I'm a little nervous back in a Trevor Lawrence the

743
00:32:58,800 --> 00:33:01,800
Speaker 1: coming off of a career game. When the Vibes are

744
00:33:01,840 --> 00:33:05,560
Speaker 1: so good on the road in altitude against this defense.

745
00:33:08,000 --> 00:33:10,320
Speaker 1: It's a big number for a game in a team

746
00:33:10,680 --> 00:33:14,800
Speaker 1: that against the Broncos has been winning those one score games.

747
00:33:14,800 --> 00:33:16,880
Speaker 1: In the way they lost them, there's got to be

748
00:33:16,920 --> 00:33:17,800
Speaker 1: some aggression coming.

749
00:33:18,880 --> 00:33:21,080
Speaker 4: Yeah, And I couldn't believe that I liked even like

750
00:33:21,120 --> 00:33:23,840
Speaker 4: the Jaguars were most pro as I've talked to, they

751
00:33:23,960 --> 00:33:25,840
Speaker 4: like Denver, or they're just avoiding this game. I think

752
00:33:25,880 --> 00:33:27,960
Speaker 4: it's what the public sentiment is, right, it's how can

753
00:33:28,000 --> 00:33:31,040
Speaker 4: you trust Trevor Lawrence on the road, possibly in the cold,

754
00:33:31,120 --> 00:33:33,040
Speaker 4: in this spot against a Denver's defense that.

755
00:33:33,320 --> 00:33:34,760
Speaker 3: Or they have fifty eight sacks this season.

756
00:33:34,800 --> 00:33:38,560
Speaker 4: They've been absolutely dominant to the defense obviously, And you know,

757
00:33:39,080 --> 00:33:42,560
Speaker 4: Bo Nicks, that was an incredible game. Like you said that,

758
00:33:42,760 --> 00:33:44,720
Speaker 4: there is a world where maybe, yes, Green Bay does

759
00:33:44,760 --> 00:33:47,440
Speaker 4: win it, but bow Knick's playing that way, they're going

760
00:33:47,520 --> 00:33:47,760
Speaker 4: to be.

761
00:33:47,680 --> 00:33:49,360
Speaker 3: A really tough team to beat. When he's playing that

762
00:33:49,400 --> 00:33:49,920
Speaker 3: type of level.

763
00:33:49,960 --> 00:33:52,440
Speaker 4: Right, he's just so good moving outside the pocket and

764
00:33:52,440 --> 00:33:55,200
Speaker 4: throwing the ball downfield. But we've seen him there plenty

765
00:33:55,240 --> 00:33:57,080
Speaker 4: of balls into the grass, right, We've seen it when

766
00:33:57,080 --> 00:33:59,880
Speaker 4: those those outside the pocket rollouts are not hitting. And

767
00:34:00,880 --> 00:34:02,920
Speaker 4: to me, the biggest difference here is what I've talked about, Like,

768
00:34:02,960 --> 00:34:05,200
Speaker 4: I feel like the Jags have a legit run game,

769
00:34:05,400 --> 00:34:09,000
Speaker 4: and on the flip side Denver, you know, Harvey's tried

770
00:34:09,040 --> 00:34:10,920
Speaker 4: his best, but you know they lose JK.

771
00:34:11,000 --> 00:34:12,680
Speaker 3: Dobbins. The run game has not been the same to

772
00:34:12,680 --> 00:34:13,719
Speaker 3: me for this Denvers team.

773
00:34:13,840 --> 00:34:17,399
Speaker 4: And you know, Jaguars quietly had one of the best

774
00:34:17,400 --> 00:34:19,480
Speaker 4: defenses in all football. I don't believe they've given up

775
00:34:19,520 --> 00:34:21,840
Speaker 4: even one hundred yard carrier this season. Like teams have

776
00:34:21,920 --> 00:34:24,279
Speaker 4: not been to run the ball against this Jags team,

777
00:34:24,280 --> 00:34:27,759
Speaker 4: which makes sense, right, They've had tons of years here

778
00:34:28,120 --> 00:34:29,520
Speaker 4: draft at the top of the draft, they've just been

779
00:34:29,560 --> 00:34:32,520
Speaker 4: drafting d lineman and it's worked out like they are

780
00:34:32,600 --> 00:34:35,960
Speaker 4: really stout against the run. And you know, looking at

781
00:34:36,000 --> 00:34:37,960
Speaker 4: all the trends and everything like that, the first one

782
00:34:38,000 --> 00:34:40,360
Speaker 4: I want to go to is how is bow knicks

783
00:34:40,400 --> 00:34:42,359
Speaker 4: off that type of game, you know, a game where

784
00:34:42,360 --> 00:34:45,680
Speaker 4: he throws three touchdowns no interceptions. He looks so incredible.

785
00:34:46,120 --> 00:34:48,120
Speaker 4: It's very small sample, right, He's had a very small

786
00:34:48,239 --> 00:34:51,040
Speaker 4: NFL career. He's three and four straight up against the spread.

787
00:34:51,080 --> 00:34:53,240
Speaker 4: In the following game after that type of performance. Okay,

788
00:34:53,280 --> 00:34:54,960
Speaker 4: not much to take away from it. I just wanted

789
00:34:54,960 --> 00:34:56,759
Speaker 4: to give that out there what he's like after having

790
00:34:56,760 --> 00:34:59,720
Speaker 4: such an incredible performance the Jags. On the flip side,

791
00:35:00,200 --> 00:35:03,080
Speaker 4: they've been really impressive with Trevor Lawrence off of those

792
00:35:03,080 --> 00:35:04,920
Speaker 4: type of wins. Doesn't matter who that coaches. In his

793
00:35:04,960 --> 00:35:07,799
Speaker 4: whole career, he's been great when you back him after

794
00:35:07,840 --> 00:35:10,680
Speaker 4: those type of wins and just going through the numbers,

795
00:35:10,680 --> 00:35:12,719
Speaker 4: when he goes off a win that eats team wins

796
00:35:12,719 --> 00:35:14,640
Speaker 4: by more than ten points or more in his career.

797
00:35:14,680 --> 00:35:16,560
Speaker 4: The following game, he's ten to four against the spread

798
00:35:16,760 --> 00:35:20,680
Speaker 4: Trevor Lawrence, which, again small sample, that was really impressive

799
00:35:20,719 --> 00:35:23,719
Speaker 4: to me. The biggest one, too, is the fact they

800
00:35:23,719 --> 00:35:26,879
Speaker 4: scored forty eight points this Jaguars Seement's say, Okay, that's

801
00:35:26,880 --> 00:35:29,240
Speaker 4: an insane amount of points. You expect teams to naturally

802
00:35:29,280 --> 00:35:32,320
Speaker 4: have letdowns after those type of games. Since two thousand,

803
00:35:32,320 --> 00:35:34,680
Speaker 4: teams that scored forty eight points in the previous game

804
00:35:35,120 --> 00:35:38,520
Speaker 4: November or later fifty nine to forty two against the spread.

805
00:35:38,840 --> 00:35:42,440
Speaker 4: So wow, Yeah, shockingly auto play type of spot for

806
00:35:42,480 --> 00:35:44,919
Speaker 4: these type of teams where it just shows maybe early

807
00:35:44,960 --> 00:35:47,120
Speaker 4: in the year it's kind of fluky November or later.

808
00:35:47,520 --> 00:35:49,960
Speaker 4: This is who you are, Like your offense doesn't matter

809
00:35:49,960 --> 00:35:52,560
Speaker 4: if you're playing the shitty teams, you're legit. Like you

810
00:35:52,840 --> 00:35:54,319
Speaker 4: put up those type of numbers where they have that

811
00:35:54,440 --> 00:35:58,040
Speaker 4: much film on you. It's really impressive. We've been beating

812
00:35:58,040 --> 00:35:59,920
Speaker 4: the bush of how impressive we've been with Liam Comb,

813
00:36:00,440 --> 00:36:02,840
Speaker 4: but it's really a Trevor Lawrence stat like the fact

814
00:36:02,840 --> 00:36:04,759
Speaker 4: that he these last few weeks. I know it's not

815
00:36:04,880 --> 00:36:07,520
Speaker 4: great teams, but he's been playing a really good ball.

816
00:36:07,680 --> 00:36:10,560
Speaker 4: So you know, I might be stepping right into a chat.

817
00:36:10,600 --> 00:36:12,799
Speaker 4: I know that I'm backing Trevor Lawrence on the road

818
00:36:12,800 --> 00:36:16,480
Speaker 4: here against a really great Denver defense. But I'm interesting

819
00:36:16,520 --> 00:36:18,719
Speaker 4: how this Denver team does. I do think this Jaguar team,

820
00:36:18,760 --> 00:36:20,719
Speaker 4: just by the general public two as being underrated.

821
00:36:21,000 --> 00:36:21,840
Speaker 3: I mean Puka.

822
00:36:22,040 --> 00:36:23,839
Speaker 4: Speaking of Puka, I saw a clip of him, another

823
00:36:23,840 --> 00:36:27,240
Speaker 4: clip of him saying, who's the biggest flaw flawed team

824
00:36:27,520 --> 00:36:31,239
Speaker 4: in the AFC? First team popped up second in Jaguars.

825
00:36:31,440 --> 00:36:33,880
Speaker 4: He's like, they are frauds. They're gonna get it rolled

826
00:36:33,880 --> 00:36:37,120
Speaker 4: in round one. So not even though general public thinks

827
00:36:37,120 --> 00:36:39,400
Speaker 4: the Jags are frauds, they're his own peers in the

828
00:36:39,480 --> 00:36:41,399
Speaker 4: league do not believe the Jaguars team.

829
00:36:41,480 --> 00:36:43,520
Speaker 3: So you know, interesting number.

830
00:36:43,560 --> 00:36:45,239
Speaker 4: I thought we were thought today we'd have three and

831
00:36:45,280 --> 00:36:46,600
Speaker 4: a half because I thought the Pros would come in

832
00:36:46,680 --> 00:36:48,840
Speaker 4: heavy on this Denvery team. It's either of them been

833
00:36:48,840 --> 00:36:50,399
Speaker 4: dipping their toes on a little bit on Denver. They've

834
00:36:50,400 --> 00:36:51,960
Speaker 4: been avoiding it. So this number is not bud So

835
00:36:52,200 --> 00:36:55,080
Speaker 4: I am confident the Jaguars team. But for contest play

836
00:36:55,120 --> 00:36:58,480
Speaker 4: for US two and a half, Yeah, it has to be.

837
00:36:58,400 --> 00:36:59,040
Speaker 3: Three and a half.

838
00:36:59,120 --> 00:37:01,279
Speaker 2: Well, the contest it is three and a half, so.

839
00:37:01,360 --> 00:37:03,239
Speaker 4: I would I'd like that in now and just in

840
00:37:03,320 --> 00:37:05,520
Speaker 4: case because I I'm issue with the pros do for US.

841
00:37:05,560 --> 00:37:07,360
Speaker 4: I could see this being two and a half by kickoff.

842
00:37:07,400 --> 00:37:09,520
Speaker 4: I do see professional money coming to the Shaguars team.

843
00:37:10,000 --> 00:37:15,720
Speaker 1: Las Vegas Raiders plus fourteen against the Houston Texans.

844
00:37:16,800 --> 00:37:23,399
Speaker 2: Simon, this is the bilow So high spot of the year.

845
00:37:24,040 --> 00:37:27,160
Speaker 1: Oh my god, Okay, what do we do when a

846
00:37:27,200 --> 00:37:28,440
Speaker 1: team gets shut out?

847
00:37:28,560 --> 00:37:29,840
Speaker 2: What do we do the next week?

848
00:37:30,440 --> 00:37:31,640
Speaker 3: I know what I do. I don't know what you do.

849
00:37:31,760 --> 00:37:32,160
Speaker 3: What do you do?

850
00:37:32,840 --> 00:37:34,480
Speaker 2: We bet on the team that got shut out?

851
00:37:34,560 --> 00:37:35,080
Speaker 3: Good man?

852
00:37:35,920 --> 00:37:38,440
Speaker 1: So the Las Vegas Raiders at plus fourteen and a

853
00:37:38,480 --> 00:37:39,520
Speaker 1: half in the contest.

854
00:37:40,520 --> 00:37:41,360
Speaker 2: We got to put him in.

855
00:37:42,880 --> 00:37:43,279
Speaker 3: I don't know.

856
00:37:43,320 --> 00:37:45,200
Speaker 4: If we can't find a fifth one, we can do it,

857
00:37:45,280 --> 00:37:47,279
Speaker 4: but it's we're simply betting this.

858
00:37:47,239 --> 00:37:49,640
Speaker 3: Because of the trends of the numbers, and just I.

859
00:37:49,520 --> 00:37:51,319
Speaker 1: Got news for you, buddy, We're not going to find

860
00:37:51,320 --> 00:37:51,919
Speaker 1: a fifth one.

861
00:37:53,000 --> 00:37:53,879
Speaker 3: I don't know. We might.

862
00:37:54,280 --> 00:37:56,080
Speaker 4: I have games, I like, I'm just lukewarm on them

863
00:37:56,120 --> 00:37:59,319
Speaker 4: right now because it's just it's such funky lines. We

864
00:37:59,400 --> 00:38:00,960
Speaker 4: just I feel like the this is the most threes

865
00:38:01,000 --> 00:38:04,200
Speaker 4: we've had all season, Like there's just six games. We're

866
00:38:04,239 --> 00:38:07,160
Speaker 4: just there's hanging threes and it's like, I just don't

867
00:38:07,160 --> 00:38:09,439
Speaker 4: know what to do with them. But this game here,

868
00:38:09,480 --> 00:38:12,279
Speaker 4: like you said that, the trends obviously they love this

869
00:38:12,400 --> 00:38:15,120
Speaker 4: Raiders team, Like you already gave out that one. They

870
00:38:15,160 --> 00:38:17,439
Speaker 4: got shut out the previous week before this season, teams

871
00:38:17,440 --> 00:38:19,960
Speaker 4: that got shot out the week before six and zero

872
00:38:19,960 --> 00:38:20,960
Speaker 4: against the spread.

873
00:38:21,640 --> 00:38:23,520
Speaker 3: You know, it's a great.

874
00:38:23,400 --> 00:38:25,440
Speaker 4: Lazy static we talk about we love those type of

875
00:38:25,440 --> 00:38:27,520
Speaker 4: stats and the teams that fits that description. This week

876
00:38:27,520 --> 00:38:31,319
Speaker 4: it's the Raiders in Cincinnati, and one team's lines moved

877
00:38:31,360 --> 00:38:32,080
Speaker 4: three points.

878
00:38:32,400 --> 00:38:33,560
Speaker 3: The Raiders line has moved the.

879
00:38:33,600 --> 00:38:35,279
Speaker 4: Other way for three points, right, I think it was

880
00:38:35,320 --> 00:38:37,280
Speaker 4: eleven or eleven and a half. Now it is fourteen

881
00:38:37,280 --> 00:38:40,000
Speaker 4: to fourteen and a half. And it's a unique spot, right.

882
00:38:40,040 --> 00:38:44,320
Speaker 4: This Texans team, like you said, they are juggernaut. Their

883
00:38:44,440 --> 00:38:46,359
Speaker 4: last loss was a game we bet them on, right,

884
00:38:46,400 --> 00:38:48,520
Speaker 4: the game they should have won against Denver and CJ

885
00:38:48,560 --> 00:38:50,960
Speaker 4: got knocked out of. Since then, they've won six straight

886
00:38:51,200 --> 00:38:53,719
Speaker 4: and since CJ has come back, I mean last week

887
00:38:53,760 --> 00:38:56,359
Speaker 4: that was to me CJ's best game this season. That

888
00:38:56,440 --> 00:39:01,080
Speaker 4: looked like CJ from rookie year. Just incredibly discipline downfield,

889
00:39:01,080 --> 00:39:04,520
Speaker 4: throws right on target, just in total total unison. And

890
00:39:05,800 --> 00:39:08,680
Speaker 4: you know the underlying numbers here, let's dive into it.

891
00:39:08,800 --> 00:39:12,440
Speaker 4: Six game win street for Texans teams is the exact spot.

892
00:39:12,480 --> 00:39:14,440
Speaker 4: There are eleven and sixteen against the spread since two

893
00:39:14,480 --> 00:39:17,319
Speaker 4: thousand and three when they are double digit favorites. In

894
00:39:17,320 --> 00:39:19,880
Speaker 4: this exact spot, there are two and seven against the spread.

895
00:39:20,000 --> 00:39:23,640
Speaker 4: So a very unique, rare spot. Where like Chad just said,

896
00:39:23,640 --> 00:39:25,560
Speaker 4: the numbers, they're telling you you're supposed to back the

897
00:39:25,640 --> 00:39:30,319
Speaker 4: Raiders here, and I can't believe we're going to do it.

898
00:39:30,400 --> 00:39:32,879
Speaker 4: I can't believe I'm agreeing with you. But I bet

899
00:39:32,960 --> 00:39:36,040
Speaker 4: the Raiders. I've taken the numbers, and it doesn't matter

900
00:39:36,040 --> 00:39:37,640
Speaker 4: to me if it's Kenny Pickett. I know you look

901
00:39:37,680 --> 00:39:40,960
Speaker 4: horrible against Egus obviously last week, but even as bad

902
00:39:40,960 --> 00:39:43,000
Speaker 4: as you looked him and Gino Smith, there truly is

903
00:39:43,040 --> 00:39:45,759
Speaker 4: no difference like it really there is not. So we'll

904
00:39:45,760 --> 00:39:47,879
Speaker 4: see who the quarterback is chat and maybe that will

905
00:39:48,760 --> 00:39:50,800
Speaker 4: dictate our decision. But I have no problem locking the

906
00:39:50,840 --> 00:39:52,200
Speaker 4: center of fourteen and a half. And if it is

907
00:39:52,280 --> 00:39:54,239
Speaker 4: Geno and it drops down to thirteen or twelve, at

908
00:39:54,320 --> 00:39:56,200
Speaker 4: least we have good value we can lie to ourselves.

909
00:39:56,280 --> 00:39:57,279
Speaker 3: We have to keep them in there.

910
00:39:57,280 --> 00:39:59,719
Speaker 4: But I'm just I'm just scared because I just don't

911
00:39:59,719 --> 00:40:01,239
Speaker 4: trust this Raiders team right now.

912
00:40:01,440 --> 00:40:03,319
Speaker 3: Just I think I saw some crazy.

913
00:40:03,000 --> 00:40:07,640
Speaker 4: Stat They'd been shut out three times in the previous

914
00:40:07,680 --> 00:40:10,520
Speaker 4: like forty years. They've been shut out twice this season.

915
00:40:10,960 --> 00:40:14,000
Speaker 4: So it's like it's just all negative. And you know,

916
00:40:14,239 --> 00:40:16,879
Speaker 4: we talk all the time. One bad GM eight years

917
00:40:16,920 --> 00:40:19,400
Speaker 4: ago can seek your organization for the next twenty years.

918
00:40:19,680 --> 00:40:23,400
Speaker 4: We're living it with Mayodoc and Gruden. Just TV figures

919
00:40:23,440 --> 00:40:26,160
Speaker 4: brought into an organization that've just derailed and train wrecked

920
00:40:26,239 --> 00:40:27,680
Speaker 4: this team in so many different ways.

921
00:40:27,760 --> 00:40:30,200
Speaker 3: So yeah, it's it's bad, bad right now for this

922
00:40:30,320 --> 00:40:32,600
Speaker 3: Raiders team.

923
00:40:33,000 --> 00:40:37,400
Speaker 2: Go Raiders plus fourteen and a half New England.

924
00:40:37,440 --> 00:40:39,880
Speaker 1: This was Jat's choice. The money's moving it in the

925
00:40:39,960 --> 00:40:43,399
Speaker 1: direction of the Patriots. It was three, it's now two

926
00:40:43,440 --> 00:40:45,600
Speaker 1: and a half. We can get it three and a

927
00:40:45,640 --> 00:40:47,480
Speaker 1: half in the contest, so we might want to lock

928
00:40:47,520 --> 00:40:50,880
Speaker 1: that in as well. We're bouncing on a Mike Vrabel,

929
00:40:50,960 --> 00:40:54,240
Speaker 1: but we're betting on a Mike Rabel bounce back here.

930
00:40:54,360 --> 00:40:56,759
Speaker 1: I know there's trends that say the Ravens are getting

931
00:40:56,760 --> 00:40:59,520
Speaker 1: a little bit better. And you could look at what

932
00:40:59,560 --> 00:41:02,680
Speaker 1: happened past weekend in a big win against the Bengals

933
00:41:02,680 --> 00:41:04,680
Speaker 1: and say Lamar Jackson started to look a little bit

934
00:41:04,719 --> 00:41:08,080
Speaker 1: more comfortable. Obviously, they've got to win out in order

935
00:41:08,080 --> 00:41:10,000
Speaker 1: to keep up with the Steelers and then beat the

936
00:41:10,000 --> 00:41:11,600
Speaker 1: Steelers in the final week of the season to.

937
00:41:11,520 --> 00:41:12,200
Speaker 2: Make the playoffs.

938
00:41:12,480 --> 00:41:17,280
Speaker 1: But and you can make all the cases about how

939
00:41:17,360 --> 00:41:21,360
Speaker 1: bad the quarterbacks have been that the Patriots have played,

940
00:41:21,880 --> 00:41:25,400
Speaker 1: and they just played an MVP candidate and blew up

941
00:41:25,400 --> 00:41:30,279
Speaker 1: a Blue or Blue a twenty one point lead. So

942
00:41:30,320 --> 00:41:32,520
Speaker 1: now they're going on the road to Baltimore tough spot

943
00:41:32,600 --> 00:41:37,560
Speaker 1: to play, but the money's moving the line in the

944
00:41:37,560 --> 00:41:41,200
Speaker 1: favor of the Patriots, and I think that's why we're

945
00:41:41,200 --> 00:41:41,719
Speaker 1: playing them.

946
00:41:43,480 --> 00:41:46,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, And like you said, it's the only thing that's

947
00:41:46,000 --> 00:41:49,680
Speaker 4: scaries me about this spot is just our biased to

948
00:41:49,760 --> 00:41:54,480
Speaker 4: Lamar Jackson because it's there We've had what five six

949
00:41:54,560 --> 00:41:56,799
Speaker 4: years of him in this exact spot where he dominates,

950
00:41:56,920 --> 00:41:59,759
Speaker 4: and that's what makes him so special and unique, like he.

951
00:41:59,719 --> 00:42:00,640
Speaker 3: Is an the quarterback.

952
00:42:00,680 --> 00:42:03,080
Speaker 4: Like I talked about that McVay stad about being in December,

953
00:42:03,120 --> 00:42:05,760
Speaker 4: how dominant is Lamar is the same guy like Lamar

954
00:42:05,840 --> 00:42:09,160
Speaker 4: in his career weeks fifteen and sixteen sixteen and oh

955
00:42:09,280 --> 00:42:11,719
Speaker 4: straight up in his career, He's never lost in these

956
00:42:11,719 --> 00:42:15,640
Speaker 4: two weeks. So that just shows why he's been the

957
00:42:15,719 --> 00:42:18,760
Speaker 4: MVP multiple times and why you know, I love shitting

958
00:42:18,760 --> 00:42:20,840
Speaker 4: on the guy for his playoff letdowns because it's like this,

959
00:42:20,920 --> 00:42:22,600
Speaker 4: It's like, dude, how are you so dominant in one

960
00:42:22,600 --> 00:42:24,600
Speaker 4: of the toughest months and then just coy La eggs

961
00:42:24,600 --> 00:42:28,759
Speaker 4: come January. So the data I tried to dive into it,

962
00:42:28,800 --> 00:42:30,840
Speaker 4: finding some nuggets to give me some hope on this

963
00:42:30,920 --> 00:42:35,160
Speaker 4: Patriots team. It is hard because it's what we've talked about, Right,

964
00:42:35,200 --> 00:42:36,640
Speaker 4: it's a new young team.

965
00:42:37,200 --> 00:42:38,520
Speaker 3: May has not been in this scenario.

966
00:42:38,560 --> 00:42:40,960
Speaker 4: Right, He's not played legit playoff games, and that that

967
00:42:41,040 --> 00:42:42,960
Speaker 4: last game felt like the first legit playoff game. He

968
00:42:43,000 --> 00:42:46,080
Speaker 4: played great in the first half, totally in his own head.

969
00:42:46,120 --> 00:42:48,000
Speaker 4: No showed us in the second half. Right, he just

970
00:42:48,320 --> 00:42:50,080
Speaker 4: was totally out of rhythm, never got into a rhythm

971
00:42:50,080 --> 00:42:53,480
Speaker 4: that second half, and he got lucky. Trevion Henderson saved

972
00:42:53,560 --> 00:42:55,080
Speaker 4: kind of saved the day. Right, had a couple of

973
00:42:55,160 --> 00:42:57,440
Speaker 4: huge run that kept them in the game. But Drake

974
00:42:57,480 --> 00:42:59,120
Speaker 4: on third down. I don't know about you, but watch

975
00:42:59,120 --> 00:43:01,759
Speaker 4: that Bill's game. I wanted to be passing on third downs.

976
00:43:01,760 --> 00:43:03,080
Speaker 4: I was like, he's not going to complete these. This

977
00:43:03,160 --> 00:43:05,399
Speaker 4: kid is not ready for this moment. This is gonna

978
00:43:05,400 --> 00:43:07,839
Speaker 4: be ultimate test for him. And it really, to me,

979
00:43:07,840 --> 00:43:09,399
Speaker 4: it's not so much a bet on him, it's really

980
00:43:09,400 --> 00:43:11,439
Speaker 4: a bet on Vrabel, which we've been talking about all season.

981
00:43:11,480 --> 00:43:14,040
Speaker 4: Anytime I packed the Patriots team, it's like, is this

982
00:43:14,120 --> 00:43:18,920
Speaker 4: a variable spot? And you know Vrabel in this exact spot.

983
00:43:19,040 --> 00:43:23,600
Speaker 4: So coming off a really bad loss in his career, right,

984
00:43:23,640 --> 00:43:25,880
Speaker 4: this is just his career of Vrabel twenty four to

985
00:43:25,920 --> 00:43:28,040
Speaker 4: eighteen off a loss as a head coach of the

986
00:43:28,040 --> 00:43:30,600
Speaker 4: Patriots or the Titans, So it's a pretty impressive. This season,

987
00:43:30,600 --> 00:43:32,400
Speaker 4: he's two and oh straight up. I guess the spread

988
00:43:32,400 --> 00:43:34,160
Speaker 4: off a loss of this season. Obviously haven't lost much

989
00:43:34,160 --> 00:43:36,200
Speaker 4: of this season, but he tends to get his guys

990
00:43:36,239 --> 00:43:37,600
Speaker 4: ready to bounce back in this game.

991
00:43:37,640 --> 00:43:38,600
Speaker 3: And you know.

992
00:43:38,560 --> 00:43:40,680
Speaker 4: Lamar, like I gave you that stat, incredibly he's been

993
00:43:41,600 --> 00:43:43,560
Speaker 4: you know, he used to be dominant night games.

994
00:43:43,600 --> 00:43:44,280
Speaker 3: He was incredible.

995
00:43:44,320 --> 00:43:46,640
Speaker 4: I think before this season he's twenty and five in

996
00:43:46,760 --> 00:43:48,080
Speaker 4: night games coming to the season.

997
00:43:48,160 --> 00:43:50,440
Speaker 3: This year, he's one to three straight up in night games.

998
00:43:50,440 --> 00:43:54,120
Speaker 4: So, like we always talk about these, eventually these stats

999
00:43:54,120 --> 00:43:55,879
Speaker 4: start going the other way. And that's why I think

1000
00:43:55,880 --> 00:43:58,239
Speaker 4: we're backing on here because I I don't see it.

1001
00:43:58,280 --> 00:44:00,160
Speaker 4: I think the Patriots are honestly a better team, more

1002
00:44:00,200 --> 00:44:02,799
Speaker 4: complete than this Ravens team. And the only thing for

1003
00:44:02,840 --> 00:44:04,880
Speaker 4: me that gives me, Paul is the Ravens have the pedigree, right,

1004
00:44:04,880 --> 00:44:06,680
Speaker 4: They've been there before, They've been in these spots. So

1005
00:44:07,360 --> 00:44:10,680
Speaker 4: really love unique spot. Love this numbering. Yeah, hard Rock

1006
00:44:10,719 --> 00:44:12,319
Speaker 4: has two and a half. Every other book is still

1007
00:44:12,360 --> 00:44:14,440
Speaker 4: three for the Patriots. So, like Chad said, if you

1008
00:44:14,480 --> 00:44:15,480
Speaker 4: can go get the Patriots.

1009
00:44:15,480 --> 00:44:16,200
Speaker 3: Now, I'm with you.

1010
00:44:16,239 --> 00:44:17,920
Speaker 4: I think the Pros come in back to Patriots and

1011
00:44:17,960 --> 00:44:20,359
Speaker 4: bet the number down. So three is such a key number.

1012
00:44:20,360 --> 00:44:21,719
Speaker 4: I want people to get it before it does move

1013
00:44:21,760 --> 00:44:22,399
Speaker 4: to two and a half.

1014
00:44:23,239 --> 00:44:27,520
Speaker 2: All right, So what am I missing right now?

1015
00:44:27,800 --> 00:44:29,600
Speaker 3: You cowboys?

1016
00:44:30,560 --> 00:44:32,879
Speaker 2: Well the number moved and so you know.

1017
00:44:33,000 --> 00:44:35,440
Speaker 3: That scared that scared you off, that one point movement.

1018
00:44:35,760 --> 00:44:37,480
Speaker 2: I don't know. I guess so a little bit.

1019
00:44:38,000 --> 00:44:39,480
Speaker 4: I didn't have a right read on this one. I

1020
00:44:39,560 --> 00:44:42,840
Speaker 4: just was gonna blindly bet this Charger's side. I just

1021
00:44:42,880 --> 00:44:46,479
Speaker 4: felt like it's a Chargers kind of spot to back

1022
00:44:46,719 --> 00:44:48,360
Speaker 4: them and the fact that they're a dog.

1023
00:44:48,800 --> 00:44:51,320
Speaker 3: People still aren't sure about Herbert his injury.

1024
00:44:51,320 --> 00:44:53,520
Speaker 4: I mean, people are talking about Herbert is if he

1025
00:44:53,520 --> 00:44:55,480
Speaker 4: should be the MVP in a game where I think

1026
00:44:55,520 --> 00:44:59,040
Speaker 4: he scored nineteen against the Eagles and sixteen against the Chiefs.

1027
00:44:59,040 --> 00:45:01,799
Speaker 4: It's just we live in a very bizarre time. There's

1028
00:45:02,080 --> 00:45:04,200
Speaker 4: never been dumber people speaking in the microphones. And that's

1029
00:45:04,200 --> 00:45:04,920
Speaker 4: the damn truth.

1030
00:45:04,960 --> 00:45:07,120
Speaker 2: But yeah, it's like looking in the mirror, man.

1031
00:45:07,800 --> 00:45:10,799
Speaker 4: Yeah, seriously, though, I looked at this matchup and I

1032
00:45:10,800 --> 00:45:13,080
Speaker 4: just want to find Okay, are there any at least

1033
00:45:13,120 --> 00:45:15,960
Speaker 4: trends here that can maybe make me flip to this

1034
00:45:16,080 --> 00:45:18,040
Speaker 4: Dak side, And there are some really good trends that

1035
00:45:18,120 --> 00:45:22,319
Speaker 4: backup Dak. In nineteen games in his career when he's

1036
00:45:22,360 --> 00:45:24,600
Speaker 4: on a homestead, which is back to back home games,

1037
00:45:24,760 --> 00:45:27,520
Speaker 4: Dak in this exact spot, he's fifteen and four straight up,

1038
00:45:27,600 --> 00:45:30,720
Speaker 4: eleven and eight against the spread his last fifteen games

1039
00:45:30,719 --> 00:45:33,360
Speaker 4: in this exact spot, so back to back home instead,

1040
00:45:33,640 --> 00:45:37,160
Speaker 4: he's thirteen and two straight up. So if you want

1041
00:45:37,200 --> 00:45:39,399
Speaker 4: to be like Chad you are worried about the number, yeah,

1042
00:45:39,440 --> 00:45:40,799
Speaker 4: the one and a half's if you can get it,

1043
00:45:40,960 --> 00:45:42,960
Speaker 4: that obviously is way better in that type of scenario

1044
00:45:42,960 --> 00:45:45,719
Speaker 4: because say the juice on the one and a half

1045
00:45:45,840 --> 00:45:48,080
Speaker 4: is minus one twenty, you probably can just take the

1046
00:45:48,080 --> 00:45:50,200
Speaker 4: money line from minus one thirty. And that's that's probably

1047
00:45:50,360 --> 00:45:53,960
Speaker 4: where you want to be with Dak in this exact matchup, because,

1048
00:45:54,200 --> 00:45:56,280
Speaker 4: like you said, the movement, maybe it does game because

1049
00:45:56,280 --> 00:45:58,800
Speaker 4: this is a Charger's back door type of game. But

1050
00:45:59,640 --> 00:46:01,560
Speaker 4: I don't know if the Chargers offense can keep up

1051
00:46:01,560 --> 00:46:03,960
Speaker 4: with this Dallas offense. And that's that's my pause here.

1052
00:46:04,000 --> 00:46:08,120
Speaker 4: It's like their defense needed what was it, five takeaways

1053
00:46:08,120 --> 00:46:10,520
Speaker 4: against the Eagles to win that game where I think

1054
00:46:10,560 --> 00:46:12,560
Speaker 4: the Eagles maybe put up sixteen on the flip side,

1055
00:46:13,239 --> 00:46:15,839
Speaker 4: the Chiefs, you know, put up thirteen points and they

1056
00:46:15,840 --> 00:46:18,279
Speaker 4: were dysfunctional, but they were moving the ball like there

1057
00:46:18,280 --> 00:46:20,279
Speaker 4: are ways to move the ball against this Chargers team.

1058
00:46:21,080 --> 00:46:22,759
Speaker 4: I think this might be the exact matchup for this

1059
00:46:22,800 --> 00:46:27,040
Speaker 4: Cowboys team to get right. So since you know, twenty

1060
00:46:27,200 --> 00:46:30,359
Speaker 4: twenty twenty two Dallas when they're on their homestend playing

1061
00:46:30,360 --> 00:46:35,640
Speaker 4: against a team that is above five hundred DAK three

1062
00:46:35,680 --> 00:46:38,239
Speaker 4: to zero in this exact spot, so you know, either

1063
00:46:38,440 --> 00:46:40,439
Speaker 4: once again, I'm trying to find stuff to get off

1064
00:46:40,440 --> 00:46:42,759
Speaker 4: this Cowboys team. But it just seems like all the

1065
00:46:42,840 --> 00:46:44,960
Speaker 4: numbers the pros are right right. The pros came in,

1066
00:46:45,000 --> 00:46:46,560
Speaker 4: have you on this one. I didn't really understand it.

1067
00:46:46,960 --> 00:46:49,240
Speaker 4: This was the Charger side, but the under line numbers

1068
00:46:49,280 --> 00:46:52,719
Speaker 4: back it up. And offensively, you know, I hate to

1069
00:46:52,719 --> 00:46:55,480
Speaker 4: say they're they're more desperate team here, but the Chargers

1070
00:46:55,480 --> 00:46:57,719
Speaker 4: got their big wins, right. That was emotional against the

1071
00:46:57,760 --> 00:47:00,560
Speaker 4: Eagles and a huge emotional win against the charge Chiefs.

1072
00:47:00,960 --> 00:47:02,719
Speaker 4: You expect them to look down spot. I guess a

1073
00:47:02,800 --> 00:47:05,239
Speaker 4: Dallas team that just got embarrassed in a primetime game,

1074
00:47:05,360 --> 00:47:08,400
Speaker 4: so this feels like another pros versus Joe's pros all

1075
00:47:08,400 --> 00:47:10,360
Speaker 4: over the Cowboys team in the public, they will be

1076
00:47:10,440 --> 00:47:13,359
Speaker 4: hammering this Chargers team. So yeah, I'm with you, chat

1077
00:47:13,520 --> 00:47:14,880
Speaker 4: come to the other side of this Cowboys team. I'll

1078
00:47:14,880 --> 00:47:17,160
Speaker 4: give you full credit because I just did not see it.

1079
00:47:17,160 --> 00:47:18,960
Speaker 4: I think even you might have even mentioned Sunday night.

1080
00:47:19,239 --> 00:47:22,399
Speaker 4: I totally missed this one and I'm chasing the number now.

1081
00:47:23,000 --> 00:47:24,279
Speaker 2: All right, well, I'll put it on the list.

1082
00:47:24,280 --> 00:47:28,359
Speaker 1: The last one that I forgot to mention that likes

1083
00:47:28,400 --> 00:47:31,680
Speaker 1: still interesting to me is Arizona as a two and

1084
00:47:31,680 --> 00:47:33,400
Speaker 1: a half point dog at Atlanta. Didn't come up in

1085
00:47:33,400 --> 00:47:38,800
Speaker 1: sharp calls like I like it, basically because of the

1086
00:47:38,880 --> 00:47:41,120
Speaker 1: number in the spot. I don't want to bet Atlanta

1087
00:47:41,120 --> 00:47:46,759
Speaker 1: as a road favorite. But are we blind to our

1088
00:47:46,880 --> 00:47:50,040
Speaker 1: love for Jacoby Brissett because we thought he was the

1089
00:47:50,040 --> 00:47:56,000
Speaker 1: better quarterback for this offense in limited opportunities before he

1090
00:47:56,080 --> 00:47:58,759
Speaker 1: got the job, and then he did, and we bet

1091
00:47:58,800 --> 00:48:00,520
Speaker 1: into him and we want a couple times, but then

1092
00:48:00,560 --> 00:48:04,360
Speaker 1: we got killed a couple times. Where do we stand

1093
00:48:04,480 --> 00:48:07,360
Speaker 1: right now on this? I still lean Arizona. It's going

1094
00:48:07,440 --> 00:48:09,200
Speaker 1: to be two and a half all the way across

1095
00:48:09,239 --> 00:48:12,120
Speaker 1: the board. I'd almost rather bet him on the money

1096
00:48:12,120 --> 00:48:13,120
Speaker 1: line and just take a flyer.

1097
00:48:14,440 --> 00:48:16,799
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's another game where I honestly didn't have a

1098
00:48:16,800 --> 00:48:18,319
Speaker 4: penny on it because I was waiting to see where

1099
00:48:18,320 --> 00:48:19,920
Speaker 4: the number is going to go. And it did go up,

1100
00:48:20,000 --> 00:48:22,080
Speaker 4: like you can't get the three now in Arizona if

1101
00:48:22,080 --> 00:48:23,120
Speaker 4: you want to get it. And I did take a

1102
00:48:23,160 --> 00:48:25,520
Speaker 4: position once it did get to the three, and I'll

1103
00:48:25,560 --> 00:48:26,759
Speaker 4: hit you with all the numbers. We knew all the

1104
00:48:26,800 --> 00:48:28,640
Speaker 4: numbers are gonna be terrible on this Falcons team, right,

1105
00:48:28,800 --> 00:48:31,759
Speaker 4: especially after a win the Falcons.

1106
00:48:32,840 --> 00:48:35,359
Speaker 3: All right, let's get into it. So after a straight up.

1107
00:48:35,239 --> 00:48:37,959
Speaker 4: Win Since twenty n eighteen, they are eleven twenty four

1108
00:48:38,040 --> 00:48:40,759
Speaker 4: and one against the spread after a win, including one

1109
00:48:40,760 --> 00:48:43,160
Speaker 4: in three against the spread this season. All right, what's

1110
00:48:43,239 --> 00:48:46,600
Speaker 4: Kirk Cousins after a win? Kirk Cousins in his career? Again,

1111
00:48:46,680 --> 00:48:48,520
Speaker 4: think about how good Kirk used to be. Now he's

1112
00:48:48,640 --> 00:48:51,080
Speaker 4: washed up in kind of terrible. He was thirty three

1113
00:48:51,280 --> 00:48:54,520
Speaker 4: forty six against the spread in his career, So he's

1114
00:48:54,520 --> 00:48:57,279
Speaker 4: not good after straight up wins either, not even even

1115
00:48:57,840 --> 00:49:02,200
Speaker 4: Alanta's terrible. Kirk Cousins just as bad every other underling

1116
00:49:02,280 --> 00:49:05,520
Speaker 4: number Chad. This Arizona team is atrocious. There is nothing

1117
00:49:05,600 --> 00:49:07,080
Speaker 4: I can give to you try to sell you on

1118
00:49:07,160 --> 00:49:07,640
Speaker 4: this team.

1119
00:49:07,880 --> 00:49:08,120
Speaker 3: Really.

1120
00:49:08,120 --> 00:49:11,600
Speaker 4: Their defensive numbers horrible, their pass rush terrible. So if

1121
00:49:11,680 --> 00:49:14,560
Speaker 4: Kirk should be able to pick this defense apart, our

1122
00:49:14,640 --> 00:49:17,520
Speaker 4: only hope is you know, Jacoby Brisset against bad defenses,

1123
00:49:17,560 --> 00:49:19,880
Speaker 4: hasn't pushed in the ball downfield. He's actually not that

1124
00:49:19,960 --> 00:49:21,600
Speaker 4: good though, Like a lot of his numbers are just

1125
00:49:21,600 --> 00:49:24,600
Speaker 4: straight junk time numbers. So i have other games I

1126
00:49:24,640 --> 00:49:26,560
Speaker 4: want to talk about, so I'm happy to avoid this one.

1127
00:49:26,800 --> 00:49:29,000
Speaker 4: But I'm glad you're not strongly like, hey, we need

1128
00:49:29,040 --> 00:49:30,839
Speaker 4: to hammer this Arizona one, because I would ad to

1129
00:49:30,880 --> 00:49:32,919
Speaker 4: support you because I am on Arizona. But my god,

1130
00:49:32,920 --> 00:49:35,799
Speaker 4: if we can avoid this one like Tennessee, I'm happy now.

1131
00:49:35,920 --> 00:49:39,040
Speaker 1: I feel like we got some games that we feel

1132
00:49:39,040 --> 00:49:42,400
Speaker 1: pretty good about. But if I'm missing something, tell me what.

1133
00:49:42,520 --> 00:49:44,520
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm shocked just a couple of games that you skipped.

1134
00:49:44,520 --> 00:49:48,200
Speaker 4: I'm shocked you skip the Carolina Panther game. You're waivering

1135
00:49:48,239 --> 00:49:50,319
Speaker 4: on that one a little bit, a little bit. Yeah, Oh,

1136
00:49:50,360 --> 00:49:53,080
Speaker 4: it is three and a half in the contest, right,

1137
00:49:53,320 --> 00:49:57,960
Speaker 4: and I'm once again I am shocked the public and

1138
00:49:58,000 --> 00:50:00,760
Speaker 4: the professionals, I like, have come in and so heavy

1139
00:50:01,360 --> 00:50:04,400
Speaker 4: on this Tampa team where I mean I joked about it,

1140
00:50:04,400 --> 00:50:08,120
Speaker 4: but like the Panthers got they got screwed last week,

1141
00:50:08,160 --> 00:50:10,920
Speaker 4: I mean they got bamboozled like that hit on Shuck

1142
00:50:11,440 --> 00:50:13,160
Speaker 4: the clock should have ran out, that should been an

1143
00:50:13,200 --> 00:50:15,680
Speaker 4: overtime game where the Panthers, yes, they did blow that game,

1144
00:50:15,719 --> 00:50:18,839
Speaker 4: but they're being priced as if they just they got

1145
00:50:18,960 --> 00:50:21,279
Speaker 4: straight up beat or dominated by that Saints team. And

1146
00:50:21,280 --> 00:50:23,920
Speaker 4: I feel like it's gone too far where the Panthers

1147
00:50:23,920 --> 00:50:25,440
Speaker 4: have been good to us this season, like we've been

1148
00:50:25,480 --> 00:50:27,840
Speaker 4: backing them in certain spots and fade them and others,

1149
00:50:27,840 --> 00:50:30,360
Speaker 4: and of course this is the exact spot where.

1150
00:50:30,200 --> 00:50:31,800
Speaker 3: We're supposed to back this Panthers.

1151
00:50:31,800 --> 00:50:33,160
Speaker 4: And that's why I'm just shocked them and brought up

1152
00:50:33,200 --> 00:50:38,800
Speaker 4: where they lost last week this season Panthers after a loss,

1153
00:50:39,040 --> 00:50:40,960
Speaker 4: they are six to no against the spread this season.

1154
00:50:41,040 --> 00:50:43,680
Speaker 4: So it's like we've seen it time and time again.

1155
00:50:43,719 --> 00:50:46,840
Speaker 4: The public fades them, the number moves too much and

1156
00:50:46,880 --> 00:50:48,600
Speaker 4: they become a value and you just said it three

1157
00:50:48,640 --> 00:50:51,920
Speaker 4: and a half in the contest, that's a value. This

1158
00:50:51,960 --> 00:50:54,759
Speaker 4: Bucks team. They are better, no doubt they haven't worked

1159
00:50:54,760 --> 00:50:57,920
Speaker 4: complete offense. Even when everything was rolling this season, it

1160
00:50:57,960 --> 00:51:00,759
Speaker 4: was always Baker coming from behind and them covering, you know,

1161
00:51:01,200 --> 00:51:05,560
Speaker 4: a couple points right. And I was really shocked to

1162
00:51:05,600 --> 00:51:09,680
Speaker 4: see this number again another every Amrasonmer just an amazing

1163
00:51:09,760 --> 00:51:13,360
Speaker 4: number here. Since Week seven, Baker, He's thirty six of

1164
00:51:13,480 --> 00:51:17,040
Speaker 4: thirty eight quarterbacks in the NFL of EPA per play.

1165
00:51:18,160 --> 00:51:21,560
Speaker 1: Look, we know struggling. He's been struggling, and the offense

1166
00:51:21,560 --> 00:51:25,600
Speaker 1: has been struggling. We're trying to reconcile. Is the offense

1167
00:51:25,680 --> 00:51:28,040
Speaker 1: going to be better now that everybody is back? Obviously

1168
00:51:28,000 --> 00:51:31,239
Speaker 1: he didn't have anybody in that window other than a

1169
00:51:31,320 --> 00:51:34,160
Speaker 1: Mecca Buca. Now he's got Bucky Driving back, he's got

1170
00:51:34,160 --> 00:51:37,000
Speaker 1: Mike Evans back, he's got Chris Godwin back. The offensive

1171
00:51:37,000 --> 00:51:39,680
Speaker 1: line is getting healthier, but they still haven't looked very good.

1172
00:51:40,040 --> 00:51:42,640
Speaker 1: But it was the defense that blew that game against

1173
00:51:42,680 --> 00:51:46,360
Speaker 1: the Falcons. Mostly Baker did throw a bad pick, but

1174
00:51:46,400 --> 00:51:51,440
Speaker 1: it was a defense that blew that game. Flip Side Panthers,

1175
00:51:51,480 --> 00:51:58,080
Speaker 1: Bryce Young best quarterback in terms of wins, comeback, wins

1176
00:51:58,280 --> 00:52:01,520
Speaker 1: in the fourth quarter and overtime twenty twenty three eleven

1177
00:52:01,840 --> 00:52:05,239
Speaker 1: comeback wins, so now he's an underdog, and you know

1178
00:52:05,360 --> 00:52:06,440
Speaker 1: that's how they like to play.

1179
00:52:06,560 --> 00:52:08,680
Speaker 2: We talked about this on Tuesday. I love Bryce in this.

1180
00:52:08,680 --> 00:52:15,480
Speaker 1: Spot, but I saw all the professional money coming in

1181
00:52:15,640 --> 00:52:19,160
Speaker 1: on the box and it just sort of scared me

1182
00:52:19,200 --> 00:52:19,960
Speaker 1: off my spot.

1183
00:52:20,360 --> 00:52:22,799
Speaker 4: And the pros I talk do not and I'm calling

1184
00:52:22,880 --> 00:52:24,560
Speaker 4: lazy pros, but they are some of the pros I

1185
00:52:24,560 --> 00:52:26,279
Speaker 4: talk to. They said, simply play. They don't even look

1186
00:52:26,280 --> 00:52:28,600
Speaker 4: at any type of research. They're simply playing in certain spots.

1187
00:52:29,120 --> 00:52:31,600
Speaker 4: And this one here is they just don't think the

1188
00:52:31,600 --> 00:52:34,160
Speaker 4: books can keep not covering. Right, it's a lazy bet.

1189
00:52:34,200 --> 00:52:36,800
Speaker 4: But it's six straight weeks that books have not covered.

1190
00:52:38,320 --> 00:52:40,399
Speaker 4: It would be if they don't cover here, it would

1191
00:52:40,400 --> 00:52:42,759
Speaker 4: be their longest non covering streak since nineteen eighty two.

1192
00:52:43,760 --> 00:52:45,479
Speaker 4: So I guess these guys are just betting on straight

1193
00:52:45,520 --> 00:52:47,719
Speaker 4: up on the better team and the laws of averages.

1194
00:52:47,760 --> 00:52:50,759
Speaker 4: But I think the Bucks are who they are, right,

1195
00:52:50,840 --> 00:52:52,920
Speaker 4: and I think they're not reacting too much to it

1196
00:52:52,960 --> 00:52:54,920
Speaker 4: of They are a good team, but they don't have

1197
00:52:54,960 --> 00:52:56,839
Speaker 4: the defense to really roll and blow out teams. Let

1198
00:52:56,880 --> 00:52:59,400
Speaker 4: alone be a three three and a half now in

1199
00:52:59,400 --> 00:53:02,080
Speaker 4: our contest and favorite on the Road individual game here,

1200
00:53:02,160 --> 00:53:05,560
Speaker 4: So you know, I get it. This this game obviously

1201
00:53:05,600 --> 00:53:07,759
Speaker 4: means much more to this Panthers team because the Bucks

1202
00:53:07,800 --> 00:53:09,640
Speaker 4: basically they can lose this game, but if they win

1203
00:53:09,680 --> 00:53:12,239
Speaker 4: their next two, they still win the division regardless of

1204
00:53:12,280 --> 00:53:15,240
Speaker 4: what the Panthers do here. So it's a unique spot.

1205
00:53:15,320 --> 00:53:16,759
Speaker 4: And I just have one more game I want to

1206
00:53:16,760 --> 00:53:19,960
Speaker 4: talk about it. We didn't, sorry, man, Mito, it's that

1207
00:53:20,080 --> 00:53:21,319
Speaker 4: Lion's Pittsburgh game.

1208
00:53:22,440 --> 00:53:24,120
Speaker 3: What the hell are we doing with this game? Chat?

1209
00:53:24,360 --> 00:53:26,640
Speaker 3: I am so flatted by this game?

1210
00:53:26,800 --> 00:53:29,920
Speaker 2: Well, big, look, it feels like the classic Steelers spot.

1211
00:53:30,320 --> 00:53:32,000
Speaker 2: We should be backing the Steelers.

1212
00:53:32,760 --> 00:53:34,840
Speaker 1: The Lions do not deserve to be six and a

1213
00:53:34,880 --> 00:53:38,719
Speaker 1: half seven point favorites in this game. It doesn't make

1214
00:53:38,760 --> 00:53:41,200
Speaker 1: any sense. They're not good enough to be doing that.

1215
00:53:41,239 --> 00:53:43,800
Speaker 1: It feels like a line from two years ago or

1216
00:53:43,920 --> 00:53:50,319
Speaker 1: last year. Yeah, but is there so much hype now

1217
00:53:50,520 --> 00:53:54,040
Speaker 1: on the Steelers that all of a sudden becomes the

1218
00:53:54,080 --> 00:53:57,440
Speaker 1: public side because of what they've done, because they've continued

1219
00:53:57,480 --> 00:54:00,680
Speaker 1: to win, because now they are leading the division, because

1220
00:54:00,719 --> 00:54:03,839
Speaker 1: everyone is starting to get excited about Aaron Rodgers. Like,

1221
00:54:04,719 --> 00:54:07,040
Speaker 1: I'm just sort of like you want to bet the

1222
00:54:07,040 --> 00:54:09,720
Speaker 1: Mike Tomlin and raw Ross Spot all of that stuff.

1223
00:54:11,160 --> 00:54:12,480
Speaker 1: I don't feel the need to put them in the

1224
00:54:12,520 --> 00:54:13,920
Speaker 1: contest because I feel like we got a lot of

1225
00:54:13,920 --> 00:54:21,040
Speaker 1: other options like Carolina, Dallas, New England, Las Vegas, the Jags, Buffalo,

1226
00:54:21,480 --> 00:54:24,000
Speaker 1: the Giants, Like, we got a lot of games that

1227
00:54:24,080 --> 00:54:27,759
Speaker 1: we feel better about.

1228
00:54:27,960 --> 00:54:30,040
Speaker 2: So talk me into putting Pittsburgh on the list.

1229
00:54:31,080 --> 00:54:32,880
Speaker 3: That's why I didn't want a blind side. I flipped.

1230
00:54:33,040 --> 00:54:34,879
Speaker 3: I am on the lines. I told you I wanted

1231
00:54:34,880 --> 00:54:35,120
Speaker 3: to be.

1232
00:54:35,080 --> 00:54:39,680
Speaker 4: On Pittsburgh, and I was just like, maybe I'm overreacting

1233
00:54:39,680 --> 00:54:41,919
Speaker 4: too much what you just said. I'm giving too much credit,

1234
00:54:41,960 --> 00:54:44,600
Speaker 4: probably to Aaron Rodgers, and this is going to be

1235
00:54:44,600 --> 00:54:45,239
Speaker 4: a track meet.

1236
00:54:45,520 --> 00:54:47,080
Speaker 3: This is going to be a track me. We know

1237
00:54:47,200 --> 00:54:48,920
Speaker 3: this Pittsburgh defense is suspect.

1238
00:54:48,960 --> 00:54:52,440
Speaker 4: They are not that good, let alone indoors like this

1239
00:54:52,520 --> 00:54:55,480
Speaker 4: is a bad spot to back them. And I was like, Okay,

1240
00:54:56,520 --> 00:54:58,799
Speaker 4: I'm missing this because I really wanted to be on Pittsburgh.

1241
00:54:58,840 --> 00:55:01,160
Speaker 4: And you know, even then, even look at the Tomlin numbers,

1242
00:55:01,200 --> 00:55:03,759
Speaker 4: him as a big dog actually pretty terrible, Like you

1243
00:55:03,760 --> 00:55:06,680
Speaker 4: don't want to be backing Tomlin as a big underdog

1244
00:55:06,719 --> 00:55:09,279
Speaker 4: in his career, as a seven plus point dog in his

1245
00:55:09,320 --> 00:55:12,200
Speaker 4: career Tomlin three and fifteen straight up, seven and ten

1246
00:55:12,239 --> 00:55:15,680
Speaker 4: against the spread, so he's actually struggling this exact spot.

1247
00:55:16,200 --> 00:55:17,319
Speaker 3: The big one that jumped out to me.

1248
00:55:17,320 --> 00:55:19,399
Speaker 4: I know, I already said that a lot of these,

1249
00:55:19,920 --> 00:55:23,960
Speaker 4: you know, Dan Campbell and Jared gofstats are Ben Johnson's stats.

1250
00:55:24,640 --> 00:55:27,200
Speaker 4: This one, to me is the biggest Ben Johnson stat

1251
00:55:27,200 --> 00:55:31,560
Speaker 4: that I could find from their previous history together. I

1252
00:55:31,600 --> 00:55:33,480
Speaker 4: told Drift thought we were dead in that Rams game

1253
00:55:33,520 --> 00:55:35,319
Speaker 4: for a good reason, because I knew there was something

1254
00:55:35,400 --> 00:55:37,279
Speaker 4: insane about that. The Lions just don't seem to blow

1255
00:55:37,280 --> 00:55:40,480
Speaker 4: those type of games. The Lions had not blown a

1256
00:55:40,520 --> 00:55:45,480
Speaker 4: ten point lead in almost three years, so in those

1257
00:55:45,480 --> 00:55:47,279
Speaker 4: three years, in that exact spot when they were leading

1258
00:55:47,320 --> 00:55:50,440
Speaker 4: by ten plus point, ten plus points, they were twenty

1259
00:55:50,520 --> 00:55:53,480
Speaker 4: one and oh straight up their only loss.

1260
00:55:53,560 --> 00:55:54,760
Speaker 3: You will remember this one.

1261
00:55:54,600 --> 00:55:57,920
Speaker 4: Well, NFC title game, Yes, I guess the forty nine

1262
00:55:58,000 --> 00:55:59,520
Speaker 4: ers in the playoffs, and I was like, man, I

1263
00:55:59,560 --> 00:56:02,520
Speaker 4: remember that like that. You know, they took out Montgomery,

1264
00:56:02,560 --> 00:56:04,799
Speaker 4: put gibbson, and Gibbs had a bad fumble and bang bang,

1265
00:56:04,920 --> 00:56:06,600
Speaker 4: I think two touchdowns in a row by the four

1266
00:56:06,680 --> 00:56:06,960
Speaker 4: nine ers.

1267
00:56:07,000 --> 00:56:08,000
Speaker 3: That game is totally flipped.

1268
00:56:08,160 --> 00:56:12,480
Speaker 4: So you know, it's historically a unique spot to back

1269
00:56:12,560 --> 00:56:14,799
Speaker 4: Dan Campbell, Like we've talked about it. Off a straight

1270
00:56:14,840 --> 00:56:17,759
Speaker 4: up loss, Dan Campbell and Jared Golf twenty three and

1271
00:56:17,880 --> 00:56:22,040
Speaker 4: nine against the spread, even more insane since twenty twenty

1272
00:56:22,080 --> 00:56:23,920
Speaker 4: two in this exact spot, they are fourteen to one

1273
00:56:24,040 --> 00:56:24,840
Speaker 4: against the spread.

1274
00:56:25,280 --> 00:56:27,239
Speaker 3: And you know, I.

1275
00:56:27,239 --> 00:56:29,000
Speaker 4: Look all the time, it's like, Okay, well, how's Dan

1276
00:56:29,040 --> 00:56:30,759
Speaker 4: Campbell been as a head coach when they blow a

1277
00:56:30,800 --> 00:56:33,040
Speaker 4: seven point lead? Like that's that's a lot to ask

1278
00:56:33,080 --> 00:56:35,320
Speaker 4: your team that bounce back from He is nine to

1279
00:56:35,400 --> 00:56:36,600
Speaker 4: five straight up, eleven.

1280
00:56:36,360 --> 00:56:38,799
Speaker 3: To three against the spread in this exact spot. So

1281
00:56:39,320 --> 00:56:40,960
Speaker 3: I just want you to be on it.

1282
00:56:40,520 --> 00:56:42,560
Speaker 4: It's six and a half right now in our contest,

1283
00:56:42,600 --> 00:56:44,759
Speaker 4: I bet the six and a half in the Lions team.

1284
00:56:45,080 --> 00:56:46,799
Speaker 3: I thought the number should be four, four and a half.

1285
00:56:46,840 --> 00:56:48,879
Speaker 4: That's why Model thinks as well, and I think both

1286
00:56:48,920 --> 00:56:51,600
Speaker 4: of us are overacting that this Lion's team they're not

1287
00:56:51,680 --> 00:56:53,480
Speaker 4: as bad as I'm perceiving them to be. Like they

1288
00:56:53,520 --> 00:56:55,400
Speaker 4: actually are a really good, high powered offense. I think

1289
00:56:55,440 --> 00:56:58,240
Speaker 4: they're number one and number two in total yards this season.

1290
00:56:58,480 --> 00:57:01,160
Speaker 4: Even with Dan Campbell taking our off, it's been the

1291
00:57:01,160 --> 00:57:03,719
Speaker 4: defense that's held them back all season. So to me,

1292
00:57:03,880 --> 00:57:06,840
Speaker 4: matchup wise, as good as Rogers looked in that last game,

1293
00:57:07,160 --> 00:57:08,880
Speaker 4: I think there are ways for this team to attack them,

1294
00:57:08,920 --> 00:57:11,400
Speaker 4: especially a defense are front to give the Rogers some

1295
00:57:11,480 --> 00:57:14,640
Speaker 4: problems where Miami they have no real pass rush, and

1296
00:57:14,719 --> 00:57:18,560
Speaker 4: we talked Miami is bad as Miami is defensively coming

1297
00:57:18,560 --> 00:57:20,040
Speaker 4: to the year that was like the worst secondary in

1298
00:57:20,040 --> 00:57:22,840
Speaker 4: all football. And as much injuries as this Detroit team

1299
00:57:22,840 --> 00:57:25,720
Speaker 4: has had, they still they play hard for Campbell, They

1300
00:57:25,760 --> 00:57:27,919
Speaker 4: hit hard. They know that they're just gonna run tons

1301
00:57:27,920 --> 00:57:30,040
Speaker 4: of zones here, and that's you know what you expect

1302
00:57:30,120 --> 00:57:31,920
Speaker 4: Rodgers be able to pick apart, but we've seen it

1303
00:57:32,280 --> 00:57:34,440
Speaker 4: Rodgers these last week. He's been pushing the well downfield.

1304
00:57:34,800 --> 00:57:37,080
Speaker 4: He's actually struggled against certain type of zones this season.

1305
00:57:37,200 --> 00:57:39,440
Speaker 4: So to me, this feels like it's gonna be a

1306
00:57:39,480 --> 00:57:40,800
Speaker 4: game that it's gona be a lot of points. And

1307
00:57:40,880 --> 00:57:42,320
Speaker 4: I don't see the Steels keeping up with the chat.

1308
00:57:42,320 --> 00:57:43,520
Speaker 4: So I just wanted to bring it up just in

1309
00:57:43,520 --> 00:57:45,560
Speaker 4: case I don't blind that you come Sunday from my

1310
00:57:45,640 --> 00:57:46,640
Speaker 4: love with the Sime game.

1311
00:57:47,080 --> 00:57:49,360
Speaker 2: It's on the list. It's on the list. We've added

1312
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00:57:50,400 --> 00:57:52,720
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1345
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Speaker 2: All Right, yeah, buddy, biggest bets.

1346
00:59:45,320 --> 00:59:47,680
Speaker 3: Pull up those pants and be your man.

1347
00:59:48,960 --> 00:59:53,680
Speaker 4: Biggest bets Honestly, because I went so hard last week,

1348
00:59:53,680 --> 00:59:55,680
Speaker 4: I having gone too crazy this week.

1349
00:59:55,760 --> 00:59:56,320
Speaker 3: Work right now.

1350
00:59:56,360 --> 00:59:58,560
Speaker 4: My biggest early position is just because are you know,

1351
00:59:58,640 --> 01:00:02,160
Speaker 4: Saturday games is Washington and the Packers, I mean not Packers,

1352
01:00:02,320 --> 01:00:06,120
Speaker 4: the Bears. I could get bigger on the Rams tonight,

1353
01:00:06,160 --> 01:00:08,120
Speaker 4: but I just like I said, I've been a little

1354
01:00:08,160 --> 01:00:10,360
Speaker 4: Lukewarman that I'm just maybe I'm too close to it

1355
01:00:11,160 --> 01:00:15,000
Speaker 4: for the Sunday games. My bigger positions so far. Again,

1356
01:00:15,040 --> 01:00:16,240
Speaker 4: this was early in the week. I met it with

1357
01:00:16,280 --> 01:00:20,120
Speaker 4: the other Patriots. I just couldn't stop grabbing the plus three.

1358
01:00:20,160 --> 01:00:23,720
Speaker 4: Same with the Giants grabbing the plus three for favorites.

1359
01:00:24,400 --> 01:00:26,400
Speaker 4: You know, I think I'm gonna get there on Buffalo.

1360
01:00:26,520 --> 01:00:26,880
Speaker 3: We'll see.

1361
01:00:26,960 --> 01:00:28,640
Speaker 4: Right now, I'm not too heavily invested into it, but

1362
01:00:29,480 --> 01:00:31,080
Speaker 4: the more I look at that Buffalo and more, it

1363
01:00:31,080 --> 01:00:32,640
Speaker 4: feels like that's the type of game they just roll

1364
01:00:32,760 --> 01:00:34,880
Speaker 4: thirty to seven or something like that, so I.

1365
01:00:34,840 --> 01:00:35,560
Speaker 3: Could get there on it.

1366
01:00:35,600 --> 01:00:37,840
Speaker 4: But yeah, this week obviously nowhere near as big as

1367
01:00:37,920 --> 01:00:41,640
Speaker 4: last week, but definitely took them some strong positions.

1368
01:00:42,840 --> 01:00:46,600
Speaker 2: My dog blocks your dog, Your dog blocks mo.

1369
01:00:46,840 --> 01:00:51,040
Speaker 1: Dog, money Line, Underdog, Parlay Tennessee.

1370
01:00:52,200 --> 01:00:55,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, throw it in Arizona, Arizona.

1371
01:00:55,400 --> 01:00:56,400
Speaker 3: Okay, Yeah, I'll do it.

1372
01:00:56,720 --> 01:01:03,760
Speaker 2: New York Giants, New England, New England, and.

1373
01:01:03,800 --> 01:01:08,080
Speaker 4: Uh gotta put gotta put my jags in there. The Jazz,

1374
01:01:08,520 --> 01:01:10,600
Speaker 4: Oh my god, santsra up to five and a half.

1375
01:01:10,360 --> 01:01:18,840
Speaker 1: Now, Jesus Christ Favorites, Parlay, Saints, Yeah.

1376
01:01:18,760 --> 01:01:23,520
Speaker 4: Lions, Cincy. People might not hear, but I do love bears.

1377
01:01:23,520 --> 01:01:28,480
Speaker 4: If we don't do bears, though we could do uh ruffalo, yeah,

1378
01:01:28,680 --> 01:01:32,320
Speaker 4: take do uh do adjusted don't don't do the five

1379
01:01:32,400 --> 01:01:33,400
Speaker 4: and a half five and a half.

1380
01:01:33,480 --> 01:01:38,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll do the Bears Bears.

1381
01:01:38,520 --> 01:01:40,160
Speaker 4: And then people don't hear this, and they missed that

1382
01:01:40,200 --> 01:01:42,520
Speaker 4: Bears one throw in Dallas, Dallas. That's a really nice

1383
01:01:42,600 --> 01:01:44,160
Speaker 4: unique spot for them to when that came out, right,

1384
01:01:44,200 --> 01:01:45,400
Speaker 4: I gave you all those numbers.

1385
01:01:45,600 --> 01:01:47,720
Speaker 2: Wow, you come around long way on that one.

1386
01:01:47,960 --> 01:01:50,880
Speaker 3: All right. Bullying does does work on certain people.

1387
01:01:52,040 --> 01:01:56,960
Speaker 2: All right, sharp versus square? Who do we got?

1388
01:01:58,560 --> 01:01:58,720
Speaker 1: Who?

1389
01:01:59,560 --> 01:02:05,200
Speaker 3: Sure? Square, I'll do it.

1390
01:02:05,680 --> 01:02:08,240
Speaker 4: I'll go super square, give me, give me the bills

1391
01:02:08,280 --> 01:02:08,840
Speaker 4: minus ten.

1392
01:02:09,640 --> 01:02:12,840
Speaker 3: Wow, I know, I just know somehow, I man, I

1393
01:02:12,880 --> 01:02:14,360
Speaker 3: end up beend a ton of money to that line.

1394
01:02:14,400 --> 01:02:16,680
Speaker 4: I just as soon as I saw that that gal

1395
01:02:16,920 --> 01:02:19,640
Speaker 4: that uh Josh Allenstad against good defense, It's like, my god,

1396
01:02:20,040 --> 01:02:21,720
Speaker 4: he just rolls these type of teams.

1397
01:02:21,960 --> 01:02:22,360
Speaker 3: All right.

1398
01:02:22,440 --> 01:02:25,560
Speaker 2: So the Brest balls was Washington.

1399
01:02:29,440 --> 01:02:30,720
Speaker 3: Come on, you gotta do Tennessee.

1400
01:02:30,840 --> 01:02:31,520
Speaker 2: I wish I was.

1401
01:02:31,480 --> 01:02:35,600
Speaker 1: Just gonna say I'm taking Tennessee. I'm taking the Titans.

1402
01:02:35,920 --> 01:02:36,520
Speaker 3: Are you really?

1403
01:02:36,800 --> 01:02:37,080
Speaker 2: Yeah?

1404
01:02:37,720 --> 01:02:39,360
Speaker 3: Oh my god, I am.

1405
01:02:40,040 --> 01:02:41,720
Speaker 2: I am all right.

1406
01:02:42,280 --> 01:02:45,560
Speaker 1: This has been Sharper Square, part of the Volume podcast Network.

1407
01:02:45,560 --> 01:02:49,720
Speaker 1: We will be back on Sharper Square Sunday morning on YouTube.

1408
01:02:49,880 --> 01:02:53,360
Speaker 1: You can eastdrop on a very intimate conversation. We're gonna

1409
01:02:53,360 --> 01:02:56,040
Speaker 1: make human decisions and it's going to be miserable. We

1410
01:02:56,080 --> 01:02:58,520
Speaker 1: will be back later that day at seven thirty ish

1411
01:02:58,560 --> 01:03:03,280
Speaker 1: Sunday night, Sharper Square on YouTube. Watch or listen Sharper

1412
01:03:03,320 --> 01:03:05,720
Speaker 1: Square on YouTube. Like the video, subscribe to the channel,

1413
01:03:05,800 --> 01:03:10,280
Speaker 1: Download us from Spotify, Apple Pods wherever you get your pods,

1414
01:03:10,960 --> 01:03:13,800
Speaker 1: rate review, subscribe, leave us five stars, say whatever you want.

1415
01:03:13,840 --> 01:03:16,080
Speaker 1: Feedback is a gift until next time.

1416
01:03:16,360 --> 01:03:17,000
Speaker 2: I love you.

1417
01:03:18,200 --> 01:03:23,280
Speaker 3: Hey, hey baby, We're gonna be all day. We're gonna

1418
01:03:23,280 --> 01:03:26,720
Speaker 3: be all day. I like that drying of potty.

1419
01:03:26,880 --> 01:03:28,000
Speaker 2: I like that kind of potty.

1420
01:03:28,040 --> 01:03:28,080
Speaker 4: B