1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:04,720 Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast. 2 00:00:04,960 --> 00:00:05,920 Speaker 2: All Right, here we go. 3 00:00:10,960 --> 00:00:14,760 Speaker 1: Fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty twenty five 4 00:00:14,840 --> 00:00:20,439 Speaker 1: fifty and the kick as Block Look College Football World Stunner, 5 00:00:23,239 --> 00:00:29,120 Speaker 1: Oh my goodness, please stumbled and football the lateral turn 6 00:00:29,120 --> 00:00:34,560 Speaker 1: a cutter on the job, don't you the lad tap 7 00:00:34,600 --> 00:00:35,920 Speaker 1: them up the field tonight. 8 00:00:39,560 --> 00:00:43,080 Speaker 3: It's not the sage on the game anything, It's the 9 00:00:43,240 --> 00:00:43,800 Speaker 3: sage of. 10 00:00:43,880 --> 00:00:45,000 Speaker 4: The fight in the roll. 11 00:00:47,840 --> 00:00:50,199 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast presented by 12 00:00:50,200 --> 00:00:53,200 Speaker 1: bet MGM. I'm your host, Mike Calvary's and it's officially 13 00:00:53,240 --> 00:00:56,120 Speaker 1: college Football Week zero when you wake up on Thursday. 14 00:00:56,120 --> 00:00:58,560 Speaker 1: We're gonna have not one, but two preview episodes. Mike 15 00:00:58,600 --> 00:01:02,320 Speaker 1: Ianello and myself have broken down the G five teams 16 00:01:02,440 --> 00:01:05,480 Speaker 1: in Week zero and for the full college football betting preview, 17 00:01:05,760 --> 00:01:08,520 Speaker 1: Colin and Stuck walking through all four games there in 18 00:01:08,560 --> 00:01:10,840 Speaker 1: weeks zero to get you ready. But today we have 19 00:01:10,880 --> 00:01:13,959 Speaker 1: our annual Heisman Trophy Long Shots episode. We're looking to 20 00:01:14,040 --> 00:01:16,520 Speaker 1: I D a bunch of Heisman flyers to be able 21 00:01:16,560 --> 00:01:19,479 Speaker 1: to add to your portfolio here in August, to get 22 00:01:19,520 --> 00:01:22,840 Speaker 1: you ready for the futures market beyond just conference winners, 23 00:01:22,880 --> 00:01:25,679 Speaker 1: win totals, and the College Football National Championship. Joining me 24 00:01:25,720 --> 00:01:29,800 Speaker 1: today are BBOC teammates Colin Wilson and Brett McMurphy, two 25 00:01:29,800 --> 00:01:31,880 Speaker 1: of the best in the business and also two Heisman 26 00:01:31,959 --> 00:01:34,959 Speaker 1: Trophy voters as well. I'll start with you, Brett, how 27 00:01:34,959 --> 00:01:36,959 Speaker 1: do you feel about the Heisman Trophy all the way 28 00:01:36,959 --> 00:01:39,080 Speaker 1: here in August, Orrea? Is it something you only really 29 00:01:39,120 --> 00:01:40,880 Speaker 1: care about when you get to your ballot leader in 30 00:01:40,920 --> 00:01:41,319 Speaker 1: the season. 31 00:01:41,840 --> 00:01:45,000 Speaker 5: I think it's illegal to literally burn money, so I 32 00:01:45,040 --> 00:01:49,160 Speaker 5: won't show myself lighting money on fire, but that basically 33 00:01:49,200 --> 00:01:49,760 Speaker 5: sums it up. 34 00:01:50,760 --> 00:01:51,040 Speaker 1: Colin. 35 00:01:51,640 --> 00:01:53,880 Speaker 5: You're going to take your significant other out to eat 36 00:01:54,040 --> 00:01:57,400 Speaker 5: or go go do something, you know, go put it go, 37 00:01:57,440 --> 00:01:59,920 Speaker 5: put that money on Colorado win the national title. 38 00:02:00,040 --> 00:02:02,000 Speaker 2: Youah the same result, Colin. 39 00:02:02,040 --> 00:02:04,280 Speaker 1: I have a feeling you feel a bit differently on this. 40 00:02:04,440 --> 00:02:06,480 Speaker 1: Not only can you bet on a player to win 41 00:02:06,480 --> 00:02:09,320 Speaker 1: the Heisman Trophy, there's also new markets this year where 42 00:02:09,320 --> 00:02:12,360 Speaker 1: you can have those parlays between a player winning the 43 00:02:12,440 --> 00:02:15,000 Speaker 1: national title and winning the Heisman in the same season, 44 00:02:15,200 --> 00:02:17,280 Speaker 1: so a bit more value on the board if you 45 00:02:17,440 --> 00:02:19,280 Speaker 1: go in that direction. How do you feel about the 46 00:02:19,320 --> 00:02:20,680 Speaker 1: Heisman here in August. 47 00:02:20,639 --> 00:02:22,480 Speaker 3: Well, A Heisman Trophy winner that's going to win the 48 00:02:22,560 --> 00:02:24,760 Speaker 3: national title. We don't get Joe Burrow in the game 49 00:02:24,800 --> 00:02:27,520 Speaker 3: every year, so that's an interesting parlay. But you know, 50 00:02:27,720 --> 00:02:30,079 Speaker 3: for me, this is a market that I don't really 51 00:02:30,200 --> 00:02:32,560 Speaker 3: use because I fall in love with players. It's a 52 00:02:32,639 --> 00:02:36,080 Speaker 3: market that I use to offset the numbers that are 53 00:02:36,120 --> 00:02:39,400 Speaker 3: already currently on teams. I have three long shot Heisman 54 00:02:39,440 --> 00:02:42,120 Speaker 3: picks today, and really it's a reflection of the team 55 00:02:42,200 --> 00:02:45,120 Speaker 3: that I love, because if we've learned anything, you know, 56 00:02:45,200 --> 00:02:46,960 Speaker 3: there's a lot of rules about how to bet this. 57 00:02:47,040 --> 00:02:49,480 Speaker 3: You need to be a playoff contender. You need to 58 00:02:49,560 --> 00:02:53,239 Speaker 3: have counting stats out the wazoo. So I think today 59 00:02:53,280 --> 00:02:55,240 Speaker 3: we're bringing bring We're bringing small so I just saw 60 00:02:55,240 --> 00:02:56,760 Speaker 3: your list. We're going to bring some long shots that 61 00:02:56,960 --> 00:02:58,560 Speaker 3: are going to get those counting stats and they're going 62 00:02:58,639 --> 00:03:01,120 Speaker 3: to have a real place in our college ball scene 63 00:03:01,800 --> 00:03:04,920 Speaker 3: come November when we get those playoff rankings fresh on 64 00:03:05,160 --> 00:03:07,480 Speaker 3: election night. Was by the way, Brett, that was the 65 00:03:07,560 --> 00:03:12,120 Speaker 3: response when I listed the schedule of the collegeable Playoff released. 66 00:03:12,200 --> 00:03:15,239 Speaker 3: Somebody said, the Earth will not exist when the Collegeaball 67 00:03:15,240 --> 00:03:17,760 Speaker 3: Playoff rings come out on Election night. At the same time, 68 00:03:17,800 --> 00:03:19,960 Speaker 3: like the Internet will blow up, so can I look 69 00:03:20,000 --> 00:03:20,480 Speaker 3: forward to it? 70 00:03:20,919 --> 00:03:21,119 Speaker 2: Now? 71 00:03:21,120 --> 00:03:22,680 Speaker 1: Before we kick things off, a little bit of a 72 00:03:22,680 --> 00:03:25,080 Speaker 1: teaser here. We're going to close today's episode with a 73 00:03:25,120 --> 00:03:28,200 Speaker 1: special treat our. Audio director Matt Mitchell is forcing Brett 74 00:03:28,200 --> 00:03:31,600 Speaker 1: to share a story that neither Colin nor myself have heard. So, 75 00:03:31,760 --> 00:03:33,440 Speaker 1: just like the audience, this will be the first time 76 00:03:33,520 --> 00:03:36,000 Speaker 1: walking through this. That'll be at the end of the episode. 77 00:03:36,040 --> 00:03:38,920 Speaker 1: But let's get started first. Colin with your long shot 78 00:03:39,000 --> 00:03:41,680 Speaker 1: that you're building your portfolio around, at least from a 79 00:03:41,760 --> 00:03:44,200 Speaker 1: value perspective. To get things started right. 80 00:03:44,000 --> 00:03:46,200 Speaker 3: From a value perspective, this team is twenty to one 81 00:03:46,200 --> 00:03:47,920 Speaker 3: to win their conference. They're four to one to make 82 00:03:47,920 --> 00:03:50,040 Speaker 3: the playoff. I don't like either of those numbers. And 83 00:03:51,000 --> 00:03:53,840 Speaker 3: it's a real high variance team. We could actually see 84 00:03:53,840 --> 00:03:55,640 Speaker 3: this team go from their win total of about six 85 00:03:55,680 --> 00:03:58,240 Speaker 3: and a half up to nine, maybe ten, and that's 86 00:03:58,240 --> 00:04:00,960 Speaker 3: gonna be usc I'm gonna start with quarterback Miller Moss. 87 00:04:01,240 --> 00:04:03,480 Speaker 3: He's listened at forty to one. Those are better numbers 88 00:04:03,480 --> 00:04:05,760 Speaker 3: than anything you have if you go and repractice reports. 89 00:04:05,840 --> 00:04:07,520 Speaker 3: Right now, Miller Moss is going to be the starter. 90 00:04:07,640 --> 00:04:09,520 Speaker 2: It is his job. Jay May is there. 91 00:04:09,560 --> 00:04:13,360 Speaker 3: He came over from UNLV, but quarterback coach Luke Heward 92 00:04:13,400 --> 00:04:15,640 Speaker 3: was quoted just a couple of days ago saying, this 93 00:04:15,680 --> 00:04:18,000 Speaker 3: is Miller Moss's job because what he has improved from 94 00:04:18,080 --> 00:04:20,400 Speaker 3: last year to this year is his ability to take 95 00:04:20,440 --> 00:04:22,800 Speaker 3: care of the ball. Are we falling in love with 96 00:04:22,839 --> 00:04:24,680 Speaker 3: this pick? Because he had three hundred and seventy two 97 00:04:24,760 --> 00:04:27,280 Speaker 3: yards and six touchdowns in the Holiday Bowl? I think 98 00:04:27,320 --> 00:04:29,479 Speaker 3: it really just put him on the map. But remember, 99 00:04:29,520 --> 00:04:31,640 Speaker 3: for me, this is a team award also, like how 100 00:04:31,640 --> 00:04:33,840 Speaker 3: good your team is? And I know that this is 101 00:04:33,839 --> 00:04:37,000 Speaker 3: a Heisman podcast, But if the USC defense can jump 102 00:04:37,080 --> 00:04:40,279 Speaker 3: up to say seventies or sixties or ranked fifties with 103 00:04:40,320 --> 00:04:43,240 Speaker 3: their new additions on defense, especially from a coaching perspective, 104 00:04:43,960 --> 00:04:46,520 Speaker 3: then they're absolutely going to eclipse their win total. They're 105 00:04:46,520 --> 00:04:49,279 Speaker 3: going to surprise in the Big Ten. And I go 106 00:04:49,400 --> 00:04:51,600 Speaker 3: back to the bowl game in the Holiday Bowl against Louisville, 107 00:04:52,080 --> 00:04:55,200 Speaker 3: that defense for USC missed one hundred and forty one 108 00:04:55,200 --> 00:04:58,120 Speaker 3: tackles last year. In the bowl game against Louisville, they 109 00:04:58,160 --> 00:05:01,200 Speaker 3: missed six. And that's the effect of Danton Lynn being 110 00:05:01,240 --> 00:05:03,159 Speaker 3: on the field. Although he wasn't officially a coach, he 111 00:05:03,240 --> 00:05:05,920 Speaker 3: was on the field for practices, and then you look 112 00:05:05,960 --> 00:05:08,720 Speaker 3: around Miller Moss. If their team is going to succeed 113 00:05:08,920 --> 00:05:11,400 Speaker 3: defensively and be better, that's going to give him more 114 00:05:11,400 --> 00:05:14,400 Speaker 3: opportunities in garbage time to sweep up teams on the schedule. 115 00:05:14,640 --> 00:05:16,240 Speaker 3: And so when you look at his weapons, it's like, 116 00:05:16,520 --> 00:05:18,920 Speaker 3: how could you go wrong with j Equavius Marks Fromsissippi State. 117 00:05:18,960 --> 00:05:22,719 Speaker 3: He was the belcow there pun intended. Zachari Branch was 118 00:05:22,720 --> 00:05:25,920 Speaker 3: our Action Network first Team All American maybe the most 119 00:05:25,960 --> 00:05:29,599 Speaker 3: explosive weapon in the nation. Two point one yards per 120 00:05:29,680 --> 00:05:32,360 Speaker 3: route run from the slot. And then tight end Deduce Robinson. 121 00:05:32,720 --> 00:05:34,680 Speaker 3: He had three yards per rout run as a tight 122 00:05:34,760 --> 00:05:36,280 Speaker 3: end and he was the number one tight end in 123 00:05:36,279 --> 00:05:39,120 Speaker 3: the country. From a recruiting class perspective, there's tons of 124 00:05:39,200 --> 00:05:42,080 Speaker 3: weapons around Miller Moss. This is a USC team that 125 00:05:42,160 --> 00:05:44,760 Speaker 3: I think has a very high ceiling, higher than what 126 00:05:44,800 --> 00:05:47,040 Speaker 3: their win total is. I like Miller Moss forty to 127 00:05:47,080 --> 00:05:48,640 Speaker 3: one to offset the USC market. 128 00:05:49,120 --> 00:05:49,280 Speaker 2: Right. 129 00:05:49,400 --> 00:05:52,160 Speaker 1: Let me bring you in to kind of this pick 130 00:05:52,240 --> 00:05:55,280 Speaker 1: a bit. How do you think about players who don't 131 00:05:55,279 --> 00:05:57,800 Speaker 1: have a whole lot of track record to be able 132 00:05:57,800 --> 00:05:59,920 Speaker 1: to compete with it. Sometimes that's a good thing. Where 133 00:06:00,080 --> 00:06:02,680 Speaker 1: look at a player like Andrew Luck. He'd accomplished so 134 00:06:02,800 --> 00:06:05,200 Speaker 1: much during his career. It was a question of Kenny 135 00:06:05,200 --> 00:06:08,400 Speaker 1: eclipse those numbers in his final season on the farm, 136 00:06:08,520 --> 00:06:09,920 Speaker 1: and that kind of hurt him a little bit. Where 137 00:06:09,920 --> 00:06:13,080 Speaker 1: you have Miller Moss, who had a very productive Bowl game, 138 00:06:13,279 --> 00:06:15,960 Speaker 1: but outside of that, he's not competing with season long stats. 139 00:06:15,960 --> 00:06:18,200 Speaker 1: Do you think that actually helps him or hurts him 140 00:06:18,360 --> 00:06:20,279 Speaker 1: coming to this year with limited experience. 141 00:06:20,800 --> 00:06:23,000 Speaker 5: No, No, I do, Mike, and I think and actually, 142 00:06:23,160 --> 00:06:25,880 Speaker 5: you know, I know I said earlier I wouldn't play 143 00:06:25,880 --> 00:06:30,160 Speaker 5: any Heisman preseason plays, But actually if I did, I 144 00:06:30,760 --> 00:06:34,159 Speaker 5: really like that Miller Moss pick because one thing Colin 145 00:06:34,200 --> 00:06:38,239 Speaker 5: didn't mention. Lincoln Riley has coached a number of Heisman 146 00:06:38,320 --> 00:06:41,279 Speaker 5: winners and finalists, so he has the offense to put 147 00:06:41,320 --> 00:06:43,039 Speaker 5: up the numbers that voters seem to like. 148 00:06:43,920 --> 00:06:44,279 Speaker 1: I do. 149 00:06:44,360 --> 00:06:46,640 Speaker 5: I agree with you, Mike, because I think it's better. 150 00:06:47,120 --> 00:06:49,120 Speaker 5: You don't want to be the favorite going into the 151 00:06:49,160 --> 00:06:52,720 Speaker 5: season because all anyone's going to do is nit pick 152 00:06:52,760 --> 00:06:55,320 Speaker 5: your game. They're not going to talk about your four touchdowns. 153 00:06:55,360 --> 00:06:57,680 Speaker 5: They're going to talk about your one interception. They're going 154 00:06:57,760 --> 00:07:00,640 Speaker 5: to find reasons to poke coles In your game where 155 00:07:00,640 --> 00:07:03,160 Speaker 5: if you kind of come out of nowhere where you're 156 00:07:03,240 --> 00:07:06,680 Speaker 5: kind of unassuming, and you come you know, almost like 157 00:07:06,720 --> 00:07:09,600 Speaker 5: a horse race, you come around the last last rail, 158 00:07:09,760 --> 00:07:12,120 Speaker 5: the last turn, you know, in fourth or fifth, and 159 00:07:12,160 --> 00:07:14,560 Speaker 5: then you catch the field. I think that's the best 160 00:07:14,560 --> 00:07:16,720 Speaker 5: way to do it. And now, obviously it's impossible to 161 00:07:16,720 --> 00:07:19,520 Speaker 5: predict who those guys will be, so yeah, I have 162 00:07:19,560 --> 00:07:22,520 Speaker 5: no issues with taking somebody that nobody's talking about right now. 163 00:07:22,560 --> 00:07:25,480 Speaker 5: In fact, I would prefer to take somebody that nobody's 164 00:07:25,520 --> 00:07:28,400 Speaker 5: talking about right now, because I just think all anyone 165 00:07:28,640 --> 00:07:31,800 Speaker 5: wants to do is find the negatives in people's games 166 00:07:31,840 --> 00:07:34,680 Speaker 5: when they are projected to be the winner, and then 167 00:07:34,720 --> 00:07:36,640 Speaker 5: it kind of you kind of shuffle up almost like 168 00:07:36,680 --> 00:07:39,600 Speaker 5: a you know, horse race, NASCAR race, whatever. 169 00:07:39,600 --> 00:07:41,320 Speaker 2: When we get towards the end of the season. 170 00:07:41,600 --> 00:07:43,720 Speaker 1: All right, I'll throw my first pick in the ring here. 171 00:07:43,760 --> 00:07:46,800 Speaker 1: Avery Johnson Kansas State twenty eight to one. And I 172 00:07:46,800 --> 00:07:48,320 Speaker 1: wrote this up in the New York Post a month 173 00:07:48,320 --> 00:07:50,160 Speaker 1: ago when he was in the thirty five to forty 174 00:07:50,200 --> 00:07:52,360 Speaker 1: to one range. I still think there's value, and it's 175 00:07:52,360 --> 00:07:55,239 Speaker 1: pretty simple. There's a good chance with the new college 176 00:07:55,400 --> 00:07:58,440 Speaker 1: ball playoff rules that the ACC or Big twelve champion 177 00:07:58,680 --> 00:08:01,680 Speaker 1: could actually fall in that like six to twelve range, 178 00:08:01,800 --> 00:08:04,440 Speaker 1: but because they'll be a top four conference champion, they 179 00:08:04,440 --> 00:08:08,320 Speaker 1: automatically get elevated into that first round. By conversation, and 180 00:08:08,360 --> 00:08:11,080 Speaker 1: I think human nature at play here. You want a 181 00:08:11,120 --> 00:08:13,760 Speaker 1: player that is in the playoff and when you see 182 00:08:13,800 --> 00:08:15,840 Speaker 1: them getting a bye, I think the human nature is 183 00:08:15,920 --> 00:08:18,000 Speaker 1: that team's a little bit better than they actually are. 184 00:08:18,040 --> 00:08:20,640 Speaker 1: And when you look at Heisman history, seven to the 185 00:08:20,720 --> 00:08:23,360 Speaker 1: last ten all in the college football playoff era came 186 00:08:23,360 --> 00:08:26,560 Speaker 1: from playoff teams. The exceptions were Lamar Jackson Williams from 187 00:08:26,640 --> 00:08:29,080 Speaker 1: USC and Jane Daniels last year. All three of them 188 00:08:29,280 --> 00:08:33,000 Speaker 1: put up insane video game numbers. So it always benefited 189 00:08:33,080 --> 00:08:35,920 Speaker 1: the candidate to at least be in the mix down 190 00:08:35,920 --> 00:08:38,240 Speaker 1: the stretch, and in most cases needing to be in 191 00:08:38,280 --> 00:08:41,440 Speaker 1: the playoff field to get that boost. Also case State, 192 00:08:41,559 --> 00:08:44,880 Speaker 1: I think they know as a program that's certainly not sexy, 193 00:08:44,960 --> 00:08:47,400 Speaker 1: they're not a public team. They still have been able 194 00:08:47,400 --> 00:08:49,079 Speaker 1: to send players to New York. You look at the 195 00:08:49,120 --> 00:08:52,040 Speaker 1: last twenty five years. Michael Bishop finished second to Ricky 196 00:08:52,040 --> 00:08:54,439 Speaker 1: Williams in the Heisman race in nineteen ninety eight. He 197 00:08:54,520 --> 00:08:57,240 Speaker 1: had Darren Sproles as a fifth place finisher, and Colin 198 00:08:57,320 --> 00:09:01,079 Speaker 1: Klein in twenty twelve finishing third behind Johnny Ball and Tao. 199 00:09:01,440 --> 00:09:03,840 Speaker 1: I think there's a good chance for kse State to 200 00:09:03,880 --> 00:09:07,199 Speaker 1: surprise some people here, and Avery Johnson has the athleticism 201 00:09:07,280 --> 00:09:10,480 Speaker 1: and the potential for big plays in big stats to 202 00:09:10,559 --> 00:09:13,160 Speaker 1: play his way into this conversation because you look at him, 203 00:09:13,160 --> 00:09:15,679 Speaker 1: he's a phenomenal athlete, a three sports star out of 204 00:09:15,760 --> 00:09:18,280 Speaker 1: high school in Wichita. And Wichita is the key here 205 00:09:18,320 --> 00:09:20,400 Speaker 1: because otherwise I don't think Kansas State would have ever 206 00:09:20,440 --> 00:09:23,679 Speaker 1: got this kid. Their recruiting coordinator was also from Wichita. 207 00:09:23,760 --> 00:09:25,800 Speaker 1: He was on him as early as eighth grade, so 208 00:09:25,800 --> 00:09:27,880 Speaker 1: they're able to get a rare blue chip in the 209 00:09:27,920 --> 00:09:31,520 Speaker 1: Sunflower State. Keep him home, and you know, the fact 210 00:09:31,559 --> 00:09:33,240 Speaker 1: of the matter is he was able to run off 211 00:09:33,280 --> 00:09:36,079 Speaker 1: and establish starting quarterback who goes to Ohio State. I 212 00:09:36,160 --> 00:09:39,280 Speaker 1: think that speaks to his confidence and the coaching staff's confidence. 213 00:09:39,640 --> 00:09:41,880 Speaker 1: In limited work last year, he had five rushing touchdowns 214 00:09:41,920 --> 00:09:44,600 Speaker 1: in a single game against Texas Tech. That screams Heisman 215 00:09:44,679 --> 00:09:47,240 Speaker 1: numbers to me. And in his first start he wins 216 00:09:47,280 --> 00:09:50,800 Speaker 1: Pop Tart Bowl MVP. So I think there's a lot 217 00:09:50,800 --> 00:09:52,480 Speaker 1: of upside on a guy like this. I may be 218 00:09:52,559 --> 00:09:55,440 Speaker 1: a year early, and I will absolutely acknowledge that, but 219 00:09:55,480 --> 00:09:57,640 Speaker 1: I think at twenty eight to one, thirty to one, 220 00:09:57,640 --> 00:10:00,719 Speaker 1: there's still value in grabbing a guy like because he 221 00:10:00,760 --> 00:10:03,480 Speaker 1: has an opportunity to do it both with his legs. 222 00:10:03,200 --> 00:10:03,760 Speaker 2: And his arm. 223 00:10:04,040 --> 00:10:06,280 Speaker 1: And I know that Colin likes to talk about size 224 00:10:06,480 --> 00:10:09,439 Speaker 1: and potentially quarterbacks getting beat up, and it's something important 225 00:10:09,480 --> 00:10:11,360 Speaker 1: to keep in mind. When he came in last year 226 00:10:11,400 --> 00:10:13,600 Speaker 1: as a freshman, he weighed one hundred and seventy five pounds. 227 00:10:13,760 --> 00:10:16,000 Speaker 1: You go ahead and refresh that roster page at k State, 228 00:10:16,160 --> 00:10:18,360 Speaker 1: he's up to one ninety two. Can he take a 229 00:10:18,360 --> 00:10:21,320 Speaker 1: full season worth of pounding between you know, all the 230 00:10:21,360 --> 00:10:23,280 Speaker 1: hits he's going to take outside the pocket and an 231 00:10:23,320 --> 00:10:25,920 Speaker 1: offensive line that's breaking in three new starters, that's the 232 00:10:26,040 --> 00:10:28,560 Speaker 1: question for me. If he stays healthy, I think he 233 00:10:28,920 --> 00:10:31,280 Speaker 1: is case State's version of Pat White. I think he's 234 00:10:31,320 --> 00:10:33,240 Speaker 1: going to do a lot of great things with his legs. Colin, 235 00:10:33,280 --> 00:10:34,199 Speaker 1: what do you think about that pick? 236 00:10:34,800 --> 00:10:37,160 Speaker 3: No, I completely agree, and you've already called out like. 237 00:10:37,200 --> 00:10:39,319 Speaker 3: What I think is the reason that I've laid off 238 00:10:39,320 --> 00:10:41,720 Speaker 3: of Avery Johnson is he had that coming out game, 239 00:10:41,760 --> 00:10:45,000 Speaker 3: and then his numbers and mop up play or duty 240 00:10:45,000 --> 00:10:46,960 Speaker 3: that he had after that, they really kind of declined. 241 00:10:46,960 --> 00:10:48,440 Speaker 3: And I don't know if the playbook got out on 242 00:10:48,520 --> 00:10:50,319 Speaker 3: him or if he just wasn't being utilized the way 243 00:10:50,320 --> 00:10:52,160 Speaker 3: he was when he burst out onto the scene. That 244 00:10:52,320 --> 00:10:54,160 Speaker 3: is one of the questions. His size is a question 245 00:10:54,240 --> 00:10:56,960 Speaker 3: to me. With missing offensive linemen, I would want that there. 246 00:10:57,000 --> 00:11:00,880 Speaker 3: And then Chris Klemen's scheme just double running back sets 247 00:11:00,960 --> 00:11:03,400 Speaker 3: all the time, and so ground focus makes me worry 248 00:11:03,440 --> 00:11:07,400 Speaker 3: about Avery Johnson's passing yards. I've seen this before where 249 00:11:07,440 --> 00:11:09,599 Speaker 3: it's like the passing yards are a thousand off the 250 00:11:09,679 --> 00:11:12,000 Speaker 3: leader on the board, like whoever is throwing for Tennessee, 251 00:11:12,040 --> 00:11:13,840 Speaker 3: And then Heisman voters are like, well, he doesn't have 252 00:11:13,880 --> 00:11:15,800 Speaker 3: the passing So I worry about the scheme for climbing 253 00:11:15,840 --> 00:11:18,440 Speaker 3: to ever produce a Heisman voter. But the kid, absolutely, 254 00:11:18,480 --> 00:11:20,600 Speaker 3: Avery Johnson has the skills to win it and be 255 00:11:20,679 --> 00:11:22,680 Speaker 3: there in New York. It's just a matter is this 256 00:11:22,679 --> 00:11:24,439 Speaker 3: scheme going to let him and is this offensive line 257 00:11:24,520 --> 00:11:25,240 Speaker 3: going to protect him? 258 00:11:25,400 --> 00:11:27,920 Speaker 1: Now, when I looked at both my picks and yours, Colin, 259 00:11:28,000 --> 00:11:30,520 Speaker 1: neither of us were interested in Travis Hunter at sixty 260 00:11:30,520 --> 00:11:32,760 Speaker 1: to one, and I'll bring Brett into the conversation here. 261 00:11:33,080 --> 00:11:34,800 Speaker 1: Not only your own ballot, but when you talk to 262 00:11:34,840 --> 00:11:39,400 Speaker 1: other voters, non quarterbacks, particularly players on the perimeter skill position, 263 00:11:39,640 --> 00:11:42,400 Speaker 1: had a rare player playing both ways. Obviously Charles Woodson 264 00:11:42,440 --> 00:11:44,319 Speaker 1: was able to get it done in nineteen ninety seven 265 00:11:44,640 --> 00:11:46,760 Speaker 1: at sixty to one. It's a pass for us. You know, 266 00:11:46,880 --> 00:11:49,120 Speaker 1: so much has to go right for Colorado on the field. 267 00:11:49,360 --> 00:11:52,120 Speaker 1: I think at the minimum they need to win nine 268 00:11:52,160 --> 00:11:54,720 Speaker 1: games for him to be a finalist. But where do 269 00:11:54,760 --> 00:11:57,400 Speaker 1: you come down on Hunter potentially being able to put 270 00:11:57,440 --> 00:12:01,520 Speaker 1: together multiple Heisman moments to stay in the race for 271 00:12:01,559 --> 00:12:02,400 Speaker 1: the entire season. 272 00:12:02,920 --> 00:12:05,280 Speaker 5: Yeah, real quick, Mike. One thing you didn't mention about 273 00:12:05,480 --> 00:12:09,280 Speaker 5: Avery Johnson. I talked to Chris Climban in Las Vegas 274 00:12:09,320 --> 00:12:12,160 Speaker 5: at Big twelve Media Days. Everyone cast your ticket, there's 275 00:12:12,200 --> 00:12:15,120 Speaker 5: a media to day reference and he brought up new 276 00:12:15,360 --> 00:12:18,400 Speaker 5: co offensive coordinator Matt Wells, and he said he's very 277 00:12:18,400 --> 00:12:20,559 Speaker 5: excited what Matt's going to bring to the passing game 278 00:12:20,640 --> 00:12:23,480 Speaker 5: for Kansas State. So I think that probably brings you 279 00:12:23,559 --> 00:12:28,240 Speaker 5: even more value maybe that you weren't aware of with Avery. Yeah, 280 00:12:28,320 --> 00:12:32,400 Speaker 5: for as far as Travis. I mean, look, you guys 281 00:12:32,760 --> 00:12:35,000 Speaker 5: know all the stats. I just if you're not a quarterback, 282 00:12:35,080 --> 00:12:37,559 Speaker 5: I just think there's so many things working against you. 283 00:12:38,240 --> 00:12:43,240 Speaker 5: And as great as Travis is both ways, ultimately you 284 00:12:43,240 --> 00:12:44,559 Speaker 5: know the team's not good enough. 285 00:12:44,679 --> 00:12:47,920 Speaker 2: So that's that's one negative against him. 286 00:12:48,559 --> 00:12:53,680 Speaker 5: But I just don't think you know, unless you're returning punts, kickoffs, 287 00:12:53,720 --> 00:12:56,680 Speaker 5: you're playing offense defense, youuld literally never leave the field, 288 00:12:56,679 --> 00:12:59,600 Speaker 5: which pretty much he does. I guess he could make 289 00:12:59,600 --> 00:13:01,800 Speaker 5: a k but you know, he had the breakout game 290 00:13:01,920 --> 00:13:04,480 Speaker 5: last year in Game one, and we added him to 291 00:13:04,520 --> 00:13:08,280 Speaker 5: our infamous list of September Heisman winners with Denard Robinson, 292 00:13:08,440 --> 00:13:12,079 Speaker 5: you know, Smith, Kenney Hill and Leonard Fournette, all guys 293 00:13:12,120 --> 00:13:14,520 Speaker 5: that I don't even think any of them made New 294 00:13:14,600 --> 00:13:18,360 Speaker 5: York City. So again, is as oppressive as he is, 295 00:13:18,920 --> 00:13:21,800 Speaker 5: I don't think he has any real shot to get 296 00:13:21,800 --> 00:13:23,120 Speaker 5: the New York City all. 297 00:13:23,040 --> 00:13:24,599 Speaker 1: Right, who do you think has not to make it 298 00:13:24,679 --> 00:13:26,319 Speaker 1: in New York City column for your next pick? 299 00:13:26,960 --> 00:13:29,640 Speaker 3: Oh boy, there my next pick. 300 00:13:29,840 --> 00:13:30,560 Speaker 2: I absolutely love. 301 00:13:30,640 --> 00:13:33,920 Speaker 3: I'm glad he's in transition moving from your podcast to 302 00:13:34,040 --> 00:13:34,800 Speaker 3: my podcast. 303 00:13:35,200 --> 00:13:35,520 Speaker 2: Again. 304 00:13:35,600 --> 00:13:38,160 Speaker 3: This is a team award for me because I know 305 00:13:38,200 --> 00:13:40,040 Speaker 3: it's focused around the player, but the team has to 306 00:13:40,080 --> 00:13:42,200 Speaker 3: do well. And the dark horse in the ACC that 307 00:13:42,240 --> 00:13:45,280 Speaker 3: everybody's liking to bet is in c State, and Grayson 308 00:13:45,360 --> 00:13:47,199 Speaker 3: McCall is one hundred and ten to one out there 309 00:13:47,240 --> 00:13:49,560 Speaker 3: to win the Heisman. I really shouldn't have to throw 310 00:13:49,559 --> 00:13:51,679 Speaker 3: stats out there. We've been betting on this since he 311 00:13:51,679 --> 00:13:54,640 Speaker 3: was at Coastal Carolina in twenty nineteen. Probably one of 312 00:13:54,640 --> 00:13:57,440 Speaker 3: the best decision makers I've ever seen in passing downfield, 313 00:13:57,720 --> 00:13:59,959 Speaker 3: as far as running a triple option RPO and SPA 314 00:14:00,240 --> 00:14:02,720 Speaker 3: that they did with Jamie Chadwell all those years. He's 315 00:14:02,760 --> 00:14:05,880 Speaker 3: completely ready to take over Robert Denay's offense, which poor 316 00:14:05,920 --> 00:14:07,920 Speaker 3: Robert Denay has had to live like a decade with 317 00:14:07,960 --> 00:14:11,160 Speaker 3: Brendan Armstrong as his quarterback who's just leaky with the 318 00:14:11,200 --> 00:14:14,320 Speaker 3: ball and passing and rushing. Now he gets Grayson McCall, 319 00:14:14,360 --> 00:14:17,560 Speaker 3: who has seventy eight career passing touchdowns, only twelve interceptions, 320 00:14:18,040 --> 00:14:21,000 Speaker 3: nine thousand passing yards, and a very cool low two 321 00:14:21,080 --> 00:14:24,600 Speaker 3: point four percent turnover worthy play rate. That's I mean, 322 00:14:24,640 --> 00:14:26,840 Speaker 3: you're throwing another eleven hundred yards on the ground and 323 00:14:26,880 --> 00:14:30,600 Speaker 3: fifteen touchdowns on the ground. He can absolutely run this offense. 324 00:14:30,840 --> 00:14:33,600 Speaker 3: He was tailor made for this offense, and it helps 325 00:14:33,640 --> 00:14:35,880 Speaker 3: to have a wide receiver on the Heisman board as 326 00:14:35,920 --> 00:14:39,000 Speaker 3: your target. Kevin concepcionez here, he had an electric two 327 00:14:39,040 --> 00:14:41,120 Speaker 3: point three yards per route run. That is going to 328 00:14:41,160 --> 00:14:43,280 Speaker 3: be the go to guy. He had ten touchdowns last 329 00:14:43,320 --> 00:14:44,840 Speaker 3: year for the wolf Pack. I'm sure he's going to 330 00:14:44,840 --> 00:14:47,920 Speaker 3: be Grayso McCall's number one guy. And so you know 331 00:14:47,960 --> 00:14:49,880 Speaker 3: when you give me a defense like Tony Gibson's three 332 00:14:49,920 --> 00:14:51,520 Speaker 3: three five on the other side, that you know is 333 00:14:51,520 --> 00:14:53,520 Speaker 3: going to get a couple extra possessions over the year. 334 00:14:53,840 --> 00:14:56,200 Speaker 3: And I know that Grayson McCall can run a clean 335 00:14:56,320 --> 00:14:57,720 Speaker 3: game for this offense. 336 00:14:58,800 --> 00:14:59,640 Speaker 2: What's the limit here? 337 00:15:00,040 --> 00:15:02,920 Speaker 3: NC State can win the ACC and they can get 338 00:15:02,920 --> 00:15:05,480 Speaker 3: to ten wins, which they have a schedule that says 339 00:15:05,480 --> 00:15:07,680 Speaker 3: they're going to do really well this year. Grayson McCalls 340 00:15:07,680 --> 00:15:09,040 Speaker 3: in the mix. I'll take one hundred and ten to 341 00:15:09,040 --> 00:15:13,040 Speaker 3: one on arguably my favorite and maybe the best ever 342 00:15:13,080 --> 00:15:13,960 Speaker 3: G five quarterback. 343 00:15:14,520 --> 00:15:16,960 Speaker 1: When you look at NC State quarterbacks making a run 344 00:15:17,000 --> 00:15:19,480 Speaker 1: at the Heisman, they misuse Russell Wilson to such an 345 00:15:19,480 --> 00:15:22,320 Speaker 1: extent that he ends up transferring to Wisconsin. Has finally 346 00:15:22,400 --> 00:15:24,800 Speaker 1: used to know the full extent of his powers. You 347 00:15:24,840 --> 00:15:26,760 Speaker 1: have to go back to Philip Rivers in the early 348 00:15:26,800 --> 00:15:29,040 Speaker 1: two thousands for a guy who put up huge video 349 00:15:29,120 --> 00:15:32,360 Speaker 1: game stats and essentially he ran into the buzzsaw of 350 00:15:32,400 --> 00:15:34,680 Speaker 1: them not being able to win enough games. Clearly, all 351 00:15:34,720 --> 00:15:36,520 Speaker 1: of these picks you want them to be in the 352 00:15:36,520 --> 00:15:40,240 Speaker 1: college football playoff mix, hopefully getting to a conference championship 353 00:15:40,240 --> 00:15:42,680 Speaker 1: game to get that extra data point there at the end. 354 00:15:42,920 --> 00:15:44,840 Speaker 1: What do you think about a player coming from a 355 00:15:44,880 --> 00:15:47,640 Speaker 1: non traditional blue blood threat to be able to win 356 00:15:47,680 --> 00:15:48,160 Speaker 1: the Heisman? 357 00:15:48,760 --> 00:15:51,840 Speaker 5: Colin You forget about ty Detmar. He may be the 358 00:15:51,880 --> 00:15:56,800 Speaker 5: greatest Group five quarterback ever. Yeah, I mean, look, it's 359 00:15:57,320 --> 00:16:00,200 Speaker 5: we won't go into it. We've discussed this before for 360 00:16:00,600 --> 00:16:02,560 Speaker 5: you know, the gap between the power leagues and the 361 00:16:02,600 --> 00:16:06,000 Speaker 5: non power leagues continues to grow and grow it, you know, 362 00:16:06,200 --> 00:16:10,480 Speaker 5: Dwarfs the Grand Canyon, and unfortunately, I think that falls 363 00:16:10,520 --> 00:16:13,280 Speaker 5: into play with the Heisman. There's not going to be 364 00:16:13,520 --> 00:16:17,680 Speaker 5: a non power league player win the Heisman Trophy. You know, 365 00:16:17,800 --> 00:16:20,720 Speaker 5: maybe they'll create a new trophy for the non power leagues, 366 00:16:20,760 --> 00:16:23,680 Speaker 5: but yeah, it's unfortunate. Look, I don't like all this stuff. 367 00:16:23,680 --> 00:16:26,720 Speaker 5: People think, oh you like that these bad things are 368 00:16:26,720 --> 00:16:28,320 Speaker 5: happening to the non powerly I don't. 369 00:16:28,320 --> 00:16:29,680 Speaker 2: I hate it. I hate it for college. 370 00:16:29,480 --> 00:16:32,240 Speaker 5: Football, but that's the reality of it, and so yeah, 371 00:16:32,960 --> 00:16:35,680 Speaker 5: I would not consider anybody that's not at a power league. 372 00:16:35,800 --> 00:16:38,000 Speaker 1: For my second pick, I'm going with Kiren Drones from 373 00:16:38,080 --> 00:16:40,400 Speaker 1: Virginia Tech at one hundred to one, and it's simple 374 00:16:40,560 --> 00:16:42,360 Speaker 1: right off the bat. We've been beaten the same drum. 375 00:16:42,440 --> 00:16:45,160 Speaker 1: Virginia Tech can win the ACC. By winning the ACC, 376 00:16:45,360 --> 00:16:47,120 Speaker 1: they can make it into the College foot All Playoff, 377 00:16:47,520 --> 00:16:50,560 Speaker 1: and they have all the pieces around Drones. Some of 378 00:16:50,560 --> 00:16:53,880 Speaker 1: these cases are a really talented quarterback, but there's questions 379 00:16:53,920 --> 00:16:56,440 Speaker 1: on the line, there's questions of the skill positions. Virginia 380 00:16:56,480 --> 00:16:58,320 Speaker 1: Tech is loaded everywhere. They have one of the most 381 00:16:58,360 --> 00:17:01,800 Speaker 1: experienced teams in America. They closed really strong last year, 382 00:17:01,840 --> 00:17:05,480 Speaker 1: including a huge Bowl Game performance. Drones has four starters 383 00:17:05,480 --> 00:17:07,399 Speaker 1: back on the offensive line, a great running game to 384 00:17:07,400 --> 00:17:11,040 Speaker 1: take pressure off of him at times, and the receiving corps. 385 00:17:11,080 --> 00:17:13,000 Speaker 1: I had to go way back to look at all 386 00:17:13,000 --> 00:17:15,320 Speaker 1: the Virginia Tech receiving corps. This may be their best 387 00:17:15,520 --> 00:17:18,719 Speaker 1: of all time. Ali Jennings was an absolute dog at 388 00:17:18,720 --> 00:17:21,320 Speaker 1: Old Dominion. He was banged up last year. If he's healthy, 389 00:17:21,520 --> 00:17:25,440 Speaker 1: He's a big playmaker. Takwan Felton made Bruce Feldman's Freak List. 390 00:17:25,720 --> 00:17:28,200 Speaker 1: He's sixty five, two hundred and twenty pounds. He hit 391 00:17:28,280 --> 00:17:30,880 Speaker 1: twenty two point four miles per hour as his top 392 00:17:30,960 --> 00:17:34,200 Speaker 1: speed last year. In game, broad jumped ten to eight, 393 00:17:34,320 --> 00:17:36,160 Speaker 1: ran a four to four to two forty yard dash 394 00:17:36,280 --> 00:17:39,119 Speaker 1: with a thirty six point five vertical. They had the 395 00:17:39,200 --> 00:17:42,119 Speaker 1: dudes on the perimeter to make life easy for drones, 396 00:17:42,160 --> 00:17:44,399 Speaker 1: and you saw how comfortable he got down the stretch. 397 00:17:44,400 --> 00:17:47,480 Speaker 1: He finishes with seventeen touchdowns against just three picks, but 398 00:17:47,560 --> 00:17:49,480 Speaker 1: he also had six hundred and forty two yards on 399 00:17:49,520 --> 00:17:52,399 Speaker 1: the ground. So Kenny flirt with a thirty plus touchdown 400 00:17:52,480 --> 00:17:55,879 Speaker 1: season because I think that's absolutely the minimum threshold to 401 00:17:55,920 --> 00:17:59,320 Speaker 1: be able to be a Heisman winning quarterback. Now, the schedule, 402 00:17:59,440 --> 00:18:01,639 Speaker 1: in my opinion, or what Heisman dreams are made of, 403 00:18:01,680 --> 00:18:03,919 Speaker 1: because you get a lot of stat padding early Dandy 404 00:18:04,080 --> 00:18:06,400 Speaker 1: Marshall Old Dominion out of the gate, and then two 405 00:18:06,440 --> 00:18:09,320 Speaker 1: more key games throughout the season at Miami on September 406 00:18:09,320 --> 00:18:12,760 Speaker 1: twenty seventh, and they host Clemson on November ninth. Enter 407 00:18:12,880 --> 00:18:15,560 Speaker 1: Sandman Lane Stadium is going to be insane. If they 408 00:18:15,640 --> 00:18:18,159 Speaker 1: win that that's the kind of platform that you need 409 00:18:18,320 --> 00:18:20,480 Speaker 1: to come from the outside and to win as a 410 00:18:20,520 --> 00:18:23,800 Speaker 1: triple digit Heisman long shot. So I want to throw 411 00:18:23,840 --> 00:18:26,360 Speaker 1: this to Colin first, what do you think about drones? 412 00:18:26,400 --> 00:18:28,639 Speaker 1: I know that he leaves something to be desired as 413 00:18:28,680 --> 00:18:30,719 Speaker 1: a passer, but if he can improve a little bit, 414 00:18:30,760 --> 00:18:32,040 Speaker 1: a lot of these guys are going to make his 415 00:18:32,119 --> 00:18:33,040 Speaker 1: life a lot easier. 416 00:18:33,440 --> 00:18:35,359 Speaker 3: And he's definitely got the schedule to get that starter 417 00:18:35,440 --> 00:18:37,160 Speaker 3: with the list of secondaries that they're going to start 418 00:18:37,200 --> 00:18:39,040 Speaker 3: off with, and it is one of the softest. I 419 00:18:39,040 --> 00:18:40,800 Speaker 3: mentioned inc he State's schedule was nice. 420 00:18:40,960 --> 00:18:41,360 Speaker 2: This one. 421 00:18:41,640 --> 00:18:45,040 Speaker 3: Virginia Tech has the most conducive schedule, maybe with SMU. 422 00:18:45,080 --> 00:18:46,479 Speaker 3: I got to think about that because there is some 423 00:18:46,520 --> 00:18:49,119 Speaker 3: really some schedules with the ACC. But you know, he 424 00:18:49,160 --> 00:18:51,560 Speaker 3: gets the schedule. If the passing yards come and some 425 00:18:51,640 --> 00:18:53,840 Speaker 3: of the non conference plays, some of the easy cupcakes 426 00:18:53,840 --> 00:18:56,080 Speaker 3: in the season, then truly he is playing for the 427 00:18:56,119 --> 00:18:57,919 Speaker 3: Heisman or at least a spot at the table in 428 00:18:57,960 --> 00:19:01,240 Speaker 3: New York against Miami, who's out their own Heisman contender, 429 00:19:01,320 --> 00:19:03,880 Speaker 3: and against Clemson, which I don't know if Kank Klebnick's 430 00:19:03,880 --> 00:19:05,919 Speaker 3: ever going to figure it out, but that defense is 431 00:19:05,960 --> 00:19:08,520 Speaker 3: definitely heisman worthy if you're able to beat them in 432 00:19:08,640 --> 00:19:11,320 Speaker 3: Lane Stadium. So I would say, you know, for me, 433 00:19:11,359 --> 00:19:12,840 Speaker 3: if you're gonna win the Heisman, you're going to have 434 00:19:12,840 --> 00:19:14,760 Speaker 3: to beat Miami, and that's probably your headge ticket. I 435 00:19:14,760 --> 00:19:17,000 Speaker 3: would take a Kieran Jroones Heisman bett and then I 436 00:19:17,000 --> 00:19:19,040 Speaker 3: would turn around and probably bet Miami on the money 437 00:19:19,080 --> 00:19:20,040 Speaker 3: line to even that out. 438 00:19:20,280 --> 00:19:22,919 Speaker 1: Have you ever had a Virginia Tech hoky on your ballot? 439 00:19:23,720 --> 00:19:27,560 Speaker 5: Actually, Mike, you're not aware of this. My pre season 440 00:19:27,680 --> 00:19:31,680 Speaker 5: BOWLT projections will be out Monday, so they may be 441 00:19:31,800 --> 00:19:34,119 Speaker 5: out by the time you hear this. They may come 442 00:19:34,160 --> 00:19:37,600 Speaker 5: out after you hear this. I have Virginia Tech making 443 00:19:37,640 --> 00:19:41,080 Speaker 5: the playoffs, so if that happens, that would bode well 444 00:19:41,160 --> 00:19:42,159 Speaker 5: for your Heisman ticket. 445 00:19:42,600 --> 00:19:44,880 Speaker 1: I like the sound of that. That's pretty strong. Let 446 00:19:44,880 --> 00:19:48,280 Speaker 1: me throw one question kind of broader to our group here. 447 00:19:49,200 --> 00:19:51,720 Speaker 1: Arch Manning is out in the market between one hundred 448 00:19:51,720 --> 00:19:53,680 Speaker 1: to one hundred and fifty to one. I went through 449 00:19:53,680 --> 00:19:57,800 Speaker 1: the Heisman winners. None of them started as an entrenched backup. 450 00:19:58,160 --> 00:20:02,440 Speaker 1: So clearly the books are you know, not providing value 451 00:20:02,520 --> 00:20:05,960 Speaker 1: to the market to the better. What is with this number. 452 00:20:06,000 --> 00:20:08,680 Speaker 1: I understand that it's a Manning. I mean, a Manning 453 00:20:08,720 --> 00:20:11,680 Speaker 1: hasn't won a Heisman since you know, I believe ever 454 00:20:11,800 --> 00:20:15,760 Speaker 1: at this point, so I don't exactly understand why there's 455 00:20:15,800 --> 00:20:18,240 Speaker 1: all this love for somebody who is clearly going to 456 00:20:18,280 --> 00:20:21,560 Speaker 1: start as number two. But I'll twist the question in 457 00:20:21,600 --> 00:20:24,760 Speaker 1: this way. Is there anything that could happen during the season, 458 00:20:24,880 --> 00:20:27,240 Speaker 1: whether you were struggles and he comes in yours gets hurt, 459 00:20:27,359 --> 00:20:29,480 Speaker 1: that all of a sudden you would take him seriously 460 00:20:29,520 --> 00:20:31,880 Speaker 1: because he has all the pieces around him. I'll throw 461 00:20:31,880 --> 00:20:33,520 Speaker 1: this to you first column. What are your thoughts on 462 00:20:33,920 --> 00:20:34,760 Speaker 1: Manning in general? 463 00:20:35,200 --> 00:20:36,040 Speaker 2: If I knew he was. 464 00:20:36,000 --> 00:20:37,879 Speaker 3: Going to start from day one, if I knew he 465 00:20:37,920 --> 00:20:40,400 Speaker 3: was going to play at least eleven games, I would 466 00:20:40,440 --> 00:20:42,239 Speaker 3: make a bet on him, especially one hundred and fifty one. 467 00:20:42,240 --> 00:20:43,879 Speaker 3: But its odds would probably be about forty to one, 468 00:20:43,960 --> 00:20:46,439 Speaker 3: thirty to one if we knew all of that. And 469 00:20:46,480 --> 00:20:48,640 Speaker 3: so you wonder, like, what is this number? He isn't 470 00:20:48,640 --> 00:20:52,320 Speaker 3: a starter, he's got limited he's got limited exposure, and 471 00:20:52,400 --> 00:20:54,280 Speaker 3: it's just the last name there. But really what it 472 00:20:54,320 --> 00:20:56,160 Speaker 3: is it's a reflection of the money that's come into 473 00:20:56,200 --> 00:20:58,159 Speaker 3: the market. A lot of the books send me their 474 00:20:58,160 --> 00:21:01,119 Speaker 3: spreadsheets about who's getting tickets, who is getting handle where 475 00:21:01,119 --> 00:21:03,840 Speaker 3: we exposed arch Manning is like top three up there, 476 00:21:03,880 --> 00:21:05,760 Speaker 3: and that's why that number has crashed down to one 477 00:21:05,800 --> 00:21:08,159 Speaker 3: hundred and fifty to one, and people are just blindly 478 00:21:08,200 --> 00:21:09,920 Speaker 3: putting money on it. But it's the same reason when 479 00:21:09,920 --> 00:21:12,240 Speaker 3: we see Colorado taking all this money to win the 480 00:21:12,320 --> 00:21:14,800 Speaker 3: national title and eclipse their win total. You know, it's 481 00:21:14,840 --> 00:21:17,280 Speaker 3: just one of those things where people are infatuated with 482 00:21:17,359 --> 00:21:20,040 Speaker 3: the story, they're infatuated with the brand and arch Manning, 483 00:21:20,080 --> 00:21:22,080 Speaker 3: I mean, Enuff said, you don't even know anything else 484 00:21:22,240 --> 00:21:24,879 Speaker 3: more about the kid other than his last name, and 485 00:21:24,920 --> 00:21:27,200 Speaker 3: I think there is some legs to him playing this year. 486 00:21:27,280 --> 00:21:30,160 Speaker 3: There a lot of people at SEC media days kind 487 00:21:30,160 --> 00:21:32,919 Speaker 3: of off the side saying, we don't really know if 488 00:21:33,000 --> 00:21:34,240 Speaker 3: Quinn is the guy. 489 00:21:34,800 --> 00:21:37,000 Speaker 2: And I did a little deep dive. 490 00:21:36,800 --> 00:21:38,119 Speaker 3: On it, and I know I put it in our 491 00:21:38,160 --> 00:21:41,480 Speaker 3: SEC preview that Quinn really struggles with timing routes when 492 00:21:41,480 --> 00:21:44,280 Speaker 3: he has curls, when he has things that he has 493 00:21:44,359 --> 00:21:46,800 Speaker 3: to hit it on a dime, his success rate and 494 00:21:46,840 --> 00:21:50,880 Speaker 3: his EPA are extremely low below replacement level throwing. When 495 00:21:50,880 --> 00:21:55,800 Speaker 3: he hits go routes, things like that slants He's astronomical 496 00:21:55,960 --> 00:21:58,360 Speaker 3: and success rate it goes up from a percentage perspective. 497 00:21:58,440 --> 00:22:00,639 Speaker 3: So is there a chance that arch Maning has a 498 00:22:00,680 --> 00:22:02,000 Speaker 3: higher ceiling than Quinn yours? 499 00:22:02,040 --> 00:22:04,159 Speaker 2: Absolutely? How long is Steve Sarkis? 500 00:22:04,200 --> 00:22:06,240 Speaker 3: You're going to sit around until he makes that change 501 00:22:06,280 --> 00:22:09,320 Speaker 3: if a change is needed. So it's interesting, I think 502 00:22:09,320 --> 00:22:11,639 Speaker 3: you need two quarterbacks to win the national title. I 503 00:22:11,680 --> 00:22:13,359 Speaker 3: think you need to at least have some relief somewhere 504 00:22:13,400 --> 00:22:16,200 Speaker 3: in case of injury. So I would say arch Manning 505 00:22:16,240 --> 00:22:18,840 Speaker 3: is ever out of it. But you need injury, you 506 00:22:18,920 --> 00:22:21,920 Speaker 3: need inefficiency, You need Texas to probably drop a game 507 00:22:21,920 --> 00:22:23,159 Speaker 3: for them to make a change. You need a lot 508 00:22:23,200 --> 00:22:24,520 Speaker 3: to happen to get arch Manning home. 509 00:22:24,880 --> 00:22:27,880 Speaker 5: Any thoughts on this, Brett, Yeah, I mean you're basically 510 00:22:27,960 --> 00:22:30,840 Speaker 5: betting that Quinn ears gets hurt and is out for 511 00:22:30,880 --> 00:22:33,800 Speaker 5: the year. And it would check the box of a 512 00:22:33,800 --> 00:22:37,360 Speaker 5: great storyline, you know, backup coming in and leads Texas 513 00:22:37,400 --> 00:22:40,840 Speaker 5: back to the College Football Playoff. But it's there's just 514 00:22:40,920 --> 00:22:43,440 Speaker 5: so many things that would have to happen. I mean, 515 00:22:44,480 --> 00:22:47,359 Speaker 5: you know, I can't even speak because I don't know 516 00:22:47,359 --> 00:22:48,239 Speaker 5: how to describe it. 517 00:22:48,240 --> 00:22:49,680 Speaker 2: It's if you want to. 518 00:22:49,640 --> 00:22:53,560 Speaker 5: Do it, go ahead, but you know, it's literally like 519 00:22:53,760 --> 00:22:56,560 Speaker 5: you're betting on is quinn Ewers going to suffer a 520 00:22:56,600 --> 00:22:59,199 Speaker 5: season ending injury, and if so, then you get one 521 00:22:59,280 --> 00:23:02,880 Speaker 5: hundred and fifty to one on that Manning could get 522 00:23:02,920 --> 00:23:03,720 Speaker 5: to New York City. 523 00:23:04,119 --> 00:23:05,560 Speaker 2: I think it's a long shot, obviously. 524 00:23:06,040 --> 00:23:07,920 Speaker 1: All right, let's go way out on a limb, Collin 525 00:23:08,000 --> 00:23:10,439 Speaker 1: and pick two more players that are actually set to 526 00:23:10,480 --> 00:23:12,720 Speaker 1: start this season, so at least you have a chance 527 00:23:12,840 --> 00:23:14,720 Speaker 1: right out of the gate. Who's your third pick? 528 00:23:14,840 --> 00:23:17,520 Speaker 3: Let's start with the team I love. I have placed 529 00:23:17,600 --> 00:23:20,160 Speaker 3: plenty of money on this team to make their conference 530 00:23:20,240 --> 00:23:22,600 Speaker 3: championship game. I'm gonna go to Ames, I'm gonna go 531 00:23:22,600 --> 00:23:24,720 Speaker 3: to Iowa State, and I'm going to say rock Obeck, 532 00:23:24,760 --> 00:23:26,320 Speaker 3: who is on the board a two hundred and fifty 533 00:23:26,359 --> 00:23:28,040 Speaker 3: to one. We're talking about arch Man one hundred fifty 534 00:23:28,040 --> 00:23:30,640 Speaker 3: to one, not guaranteed to even play this year. Rock 535 00:23:30,680 --> 00:23:33,439 Speaker 3: Obec was a revelation to Matt Campbell. I spoke to 536 00:23:33,440 --> 00:23:36,359 Speaker 3: Matt Campbell at the same media day that Brett and 537 00:23:36,400 --> 00:23:39,399 Speaker 3: I were at, and where did rock Obec come from? 538 00:23:40,080 --> 00:23:42,680 Speaker 3: I mean, just eyeballs, like, where did this come from? 539 00:23:42,720 --> 00:23:42,879 Speaker 5: You know? 540 00:23:42,920 --> 00:23:45,040 Speaker 3: I mean he I think the only thing Matt Campbell 541 00:23:45,040 --> 00:23:47,200 Speaker 3: could say is his high school tape looked a lot 542 00:23:47,240 --> 00:23:49,959 Speaker 3: like rock parties. But the level of explosiveness of this 543 00:23:50,040 --> 00:23:54,320 Speaker 3: offense was insane because what Iowa State is is they 544 00:23:54,320 --> 00:23:56,119 Speaker 3: are a two to three tight end set. They're just 545 00:23:56,160 --> 00:23:57,920 Speaker 3: trying to move the chains. They've always been high in 546 00:23:57,960 --> 00:24:01,320 Speaker 3: success rate on offense, but they've never had that explosiveness anywhere. 547 00:24:01,600 --> 00:24:04,440 Speaker 3: This is a team that finished eleventh in pass EPA 548 00:24:04,600 --> 00:24:08,320 Speaker 3: last year. Roco's final numbers were twenty tds to eight interceptions. 549 00:24:08,600 --> 00:24:10,879 Speaker 3: I mentioned turnover worthy play rate before. I like that 550 00:24:10,920 --> 00:24:12,920 Speaker 3: on quarterbacks where you don't make a lot of mistakes. 551 00:24:13,080 --> 00:24:15,200 Speaker 3: He was a two point seven percent. That is low 552 00:24:15,440 --> 00:24:17,960 Speaker 3: his adjusted completion percentage, and this is why I love 553 00:24:18,040 --> 00:24:21,200 Speaker 3: rock Obeck. When he's in a pressured pocket, his adjusted 554 00:24:21,200 --> 00:24:23,760 Speaker 3: completion percentage goes from seventy five percent down to sixty 555 00:24:23,760 --> 00:24:27,920 Speaker 3: three percent. That for a true freshman is impressive. Usually 556 00:24:27,960 --> 00:24:29,560 Speaker 3: you don't see that bump for two or three years 557 00:24:29,560 --> 00:24:32,560 Speaker 3: in college football before a quarterback can handle a pressured pocket. 558 00:24:32,960 --> 00:24:36,000 Speaker 3: Roco had no problems with it whatsoever. So when you 559 00:24:36,040 --> 00:24:38,159 Speaker 3: look at his weapons, all the weapons you and I 560 00:24:38,160 --> 00:24:40,320 Speaker 3: have talked about, He's got two of them that averaged 561 00:24:40,359 --> 00:24:43,560 Speaker 3: two point six yards per route run absolutely electric in 562 00:24:43,680 --> 00:24:46,639 Speaker 3: Jayden Higgins and Jaylen Noel. You know, both of them 563 00:24:46,680 --> 00:24:49,639 Speaker 3: combined for one hundred and fifty targets. Last year we 564 00:24:49,680 --> 00:24:53,080 Speaker 3: talked about Avery Johnson missing some offensive linemen. Iowa State 565 00:24:53,119 --> 00:24:55,119 Speaker 3: gets all five of them back. Then you have a 566 00:24:55,160 --> 00:24:57,280 Speaker 3: tight end who's an automatic first down every time in 567 00:24:57,320 --> 00:25:00,480 Speaker 3: six foot seven Benjamin Brohmer. I see Iowa State continue 568 00:25:00,520 --> 00:25:03,320 Speaker 3: to be highly successful on offense and moving the chains. 569 00:25:03,840 --> 00:25:06,520 Speaker 3: But this epa, this explosiveness that they were able to 570 00:25:06,520 --> 00:25:08,800 Speaker 3: produce last year with rock O Beck, who comes in 571 00:25:08,840 --> 00:25:11,720 Speaker 3: after a gambling scandal. I mean, wasn't even expected to 572 00:25:11,720 --> 00:25:15,000 Speaker 3: play with hunter deckers there. I mean, it's it's very impressive. 573 00:25:15,200 --> 00:25:17,840 Speaker 3: The one thing I hate is that Iowa State has 574 00:25:17,880 --> 00:25:19,760 Speaker 3: never won ten games in the history of their program 575 00:25:19,760 --> 00:25:20,760 Speaker 3: since eighteen ninety five. 576 00:25:20,840 --> 00:25:24,080 Speaker 2: Right, that's a problem. You know, the Big twelve is huge. 577 00:25:24,119 --> 00:25:25,719 Speaker 3: It's going to have some tie breakers to see who 578 00:25:25,720 --> 00:25:28,000 Speaker 3: gets into the championship game. There's hurdles for rock O 579 00:25:28,040 --> 00:25:30,280 Speaker 3: Beck to get over to but as a long shot, 580 00:25:30,320 --> 00:25:32,000 Speaker 3: I don't think you could do any You can't do 581 00:25:32,040 --> 00:25:34,280 Speaker 3: any better than this at two hundred and fifty to 582 00:25:34,280 --> 00:25:36,600 Speaker 3: one with a guy that has major weapons and a 583 00:25:36,600 --> 00:25:39,040 Speaker 3: guy that's already shown explosiveness at a team that's supposed 584 00:25:39,040 --> 00:25:40,080 Speaker 3: to contend for their conference. 585 00:25:40,520 --> 00:25:43,199 Speaker 1: I mean, the ghosts of Troy Davis and Sanakawallas. Hopefully 586 00:25:43,280 --> 00:25:46,120 Speaker 1: they can urge him on and get a little luck 587 00:25:46,200 --> 00:25:48,320 Speaker 1: in terms of the win column. Because I agree with you, 588 00:25:49,040 --> 00:25:51,320 Speaker 1: all the pieces are there and the Big Twelve is 589 00:25:51,400 --> 00:25:54,320 Speaker 1: wide open from a conference perspective, Brett, do you think 590 00:25:54,359 --> 00:25:58,840 Speaker 1: there's you know, a major discount grabbing guys outside of 591 00:25:58,840 --> 00:26:01,399 Speaker 1: the Big ten in SEC because they seem to be 592 00:26:01,440 --> 00:26:05,040 Speaker 1: priced prohibitively. Everyone's starting to have this conversation, is there 593 00:26:05,160 --> 00:26:07,840 Speaker 1: this chasm between the Big TWN, the SEC and everybody 594 00:26:07,840 --> 00:26:09,719 Speaker 1: else Whereas some of these leagues can be a lot 595 00:26:09,760 --> 00:26:11,240 Speaker 1: of fun, and I think at the end of the day, 596 00:26:11,520 --> 00:26:15,159 Speaker 1: people still gravitate towards fun stories to players with you know, 597 00:26:15,359 --> 00:26:18,160 Speaker 1: deep highlight reels that have those kind of big plays. 598 00:26:18,600 --> 00:26:19,520 Speaker 2: Mike, I think it's. 599 00:26:19,400 --> 00:26:24,359 Speaker 5: More a testament to how balanced the Big Twelve is. 600 00:26:24,440 --> 00:26:27,480 Speaker 5: I mean, there's literally six or seven teams that can 601 00:26:27,520 --> 00:26:31,920 Speaker 5: win that league, and I don't think anybody from a 602 00:26:31,960 --> 00:26:35,160 Speaker 5: Big twelve team that does not win the Big Twelve 603 00:26:35,240 --> 00:26:37,320 Speaker 5: Championship is going to have a shot to get to 604 00:26:37,359 --> 00:26:40,360 Speaker 5: New York City. I think it's going to be too difficult. 605 00:26:40,400 --> 00:26:42,600 Speaker 5: I think the Big Twelve champs going to have three losses. 606 00:26:42,760 --> 00:26:45,720 Speaker 5: The runner up probably has four, three or four. I 607 00:26:45,720 --> 00:26:49,040 Speaker 5: don't think a Big twelve runner up player can get 608 00:26:49,040 --> 00:26:50,840 Speaker 5: the New York City. So I think the odds are 609 00:26:50,840 --> 00:26:54,160 Speaker 5: more because it's uncertain. You know, there's not a clear 610 00:26:54,200 --> 00:26:57,520 Speaker 5: cut favorite. So you know, you like Amy Johnson, Rocko 611 00:26:57,640 --> 00:27:01,639 Speaker 5: Beck both, you know, legitimate great players. But I just 612 00:27:01,640 --> 00:27:04,320 Speaker 5: think the Big twelve so balanced. Everybody's going to beat 613 00:27:04,320 --> 00:27:07,359 Speaker 5: each other up, and how will that impact their Heisman hopes. 614 00:27:08,040 --> 00:27:09,720 Speaker 1: Off the back of that comment, I'm going to throw 615 00:27:09,760 --> 00:27:11,399 Speaker 1: one more Big twelve passer in here. I'm going to 616 00:27:11,440 --> 00:27:14,200 Speaker 1: go Garrett Green from West Virginia two hundred to one 617 00:27:14,560 --> 00:27:17,600 Speaker 1: to win the Heisman, and the upside is pretty clear. 618 00:27:17,640 --> 00:27:19,920 Speaker 1: He was top twenty in QBR last year twenty eight 619 00:27:19,920 --> 00:27:23,600 Speaker 1: total touchdowns as a true dual threat quarterback. He has 620 00:27:23,640 --> 00:27:25,800 Speaker 1: to improve as a passer, but the good news is 621 00:27:26,080 --> 00:27:28,680 Speaker 1: that six of his top seven pass catchers are back. 622 00:27:28,840 --> 00:27:31,879 Speaker 1: They get Jaden Bray in the portal from Oklahoma State, 623 00:27:31,960 --> 00:27:34,479 Speaker 1: who showed out in the spring and Green had his 624 00:27:34,520 --> 00:27:37,840 Speaker 1: Heisman moments. His running ability is really incredible. He had 625 00:27:38,119 --> 00:27:41,000 Speaker 1: double digit rushing touchdowns. So he is a weapon, you know, 626 00:27:41,040 --> 00:27:43,120 Speaker 1: in the goal to go situations, and he is willing 627 00:27:43,160 --> 00:27:46,200 Speaker 1: to take shots downfield. They finished thirty first in line 628 00:27:46,240 --> 00:27:48,440 Speaker 1: yards from this offensive line. They were turned three starters 629 00:27:48,440 --> 00:27:52,120 Speaker 1: there for them are seniors in total. And let's talk schedule. 630 00:27:52,119 --> 00:27:54,120 Speaker 1: I always like to see how these things set up 631 00:27:54,440 --> 00:27:57,720 Speaker 1: the opener against Penn State at home Game one for 632 00:27:57,760 --> 00:28:01,000 Speaker 1: the Nintellions with a new offensive coordinator, lot prove on offense, 633 00:28:01,320 --> 00:28:04,240 Speaker 1: and their defense really has to come together because they're 634 00:28:04,240 --> 00:28:07,440 Speaker 1: breaking in three new corners in their four to five 635 00:28:07,480 --> 00:28:10,160 Speaker 1: defense under Tom Allen manny Dias gone, if you want 636 00:28:10,200 --> 00:28:12,439 Speaker 1: to catch Penn State and shock the world and have 637 00:28:12,480 --> 00:28:14,960 Speaker 1: a coming out party as a Heisman candidate, I think 638 00:28:14,960 --> 00:28:16,800 Speaker 1: this is the spot to do it. I've been in 639 00:28:16,800 --> 00:28:18,960 Speaker 1: that stadium before in Morgantown. It is going to be 640 00:28:18,960 --> 00:28:21,000 Speaker 1: a zoo. I think there's a chance if he were 641 00:28:21,040 --> 00:28:23,399 Speaker 1: to upset the Nitneyllons, he goes from two hundred to 642 00:28:23,440 --> 00:28:26,399 Speaker 1: one to fifty to one overnight. I'll pitch this to 643 00:28:26,440 --> 00:28:29,000 Speaker 1: you first, Colin in terms of the upset potential for 644 00:28:29,040 --> 00:28:31,639 Speaker 1: the Knears in Week one. Do you think that's just 645 00:28:32,240 --> 00:28:35,280 Speaker 1: far outside of any realm of possibility or do you 646 00:28:35,320 --> 00:28:37,760 Speaker 1: think that ties in with my logic that two hundred 647 00:28:37,760 --> 00:28:40,120 Speaker 1: to one is just too generous on a quarterback who 648 00:28:40,120 --> 00:28:41,920 Speaker 1: could score in two different ways with the football. 649 00:28:42,440 --> 00:28:44,600 Speaker 3: Well, as far as the Penn State West Virginia game, 650 00:28:45,160 --> 00:28:47,320 Speaker 3: there's some revenge here for me after losing that bet 651 00:28:47,360 --> 00:28:50,080 Speaker 3: when Franklin decided to push it in last year. And 652 00:28:50,120 --> 00:28:52,840 Speaker 3: I'm sure Neil Brown and West Virginia hasn't forgot about that, 653 00:28:53,440 --> 00:28:56,520 Speaker 3: so there's revenge for them too, And plus also from 654 00:28:56,560 --> 00:28:59,320 Speaker 3: a Penn State side, as Drew Aller learned, and Andy 655 00:28:59,360 --> 00:29:01,560 Speaker 3: kotal Nikki's offense yet, I mean, that is a very 656 00:29:01,560 --> 00:29:04,320 Speaker 3: complex pre snap offense and we'll see if Drew Aller is. 657 00:29:04,320 --> 00:29:05,160 Speaker 2: Able to pick that up. 658 00:29:05,560 --> 00:29:07,840 Speaker 3: I do like Garrett Green, I love West Virginia. Is 659 00:29:07,880 --> 00:29:10,960 Speaker 3: the team that I was on before anybody last year, 660 00:29:11,400 --> 00:29:14,600 Speaker 3: and I love their offensive style. The reason I didn't 661 00:29:14,600 --> 00:29:16,560 Speaker 3: have him on my radar and the reason I laid 662 00:29:16,560 --> 00:29:18,440 Speaker 3: off of West Virginia to do damage in the Big 663 00:29:18,480 --> 00:29:21,080 Speaker 3: Twelve was because of their defense. It was so filled 664 00:29:21,120 --> 00:29:23,280 Speaker 3: with portal on the back end that Jordan Leslie and 665 00:29:23,360 --> 00:29:26,120 Speaker 3: Neil Brown were. They continue to work to get that 666 00:29:26,160 --> 00:29:28,080 Speaker 3: West Virginia defense back to the level that it was 667 00:29:28,120 --> 00:29:31,040 Speaker 3: in years past. So it's really the defense that's a 668 00:29:31,080 --> 00:29:33,560 Speaker 3: double edged sword. Calgary's I mean, you want to be 669 00:29:33,560 --> 00:29:35,520 Speaker 3: in shootouts to build your numbers. You don't want to 670 00:29:35,520 --> 00:29:37,240 Speaker 3: be in shootouts and have losses on your record. 671 00:29:37,320 --> 00:29:38,440 Speaker 2: So it's tough. 672 00:29:38,440 --> 00:29:41,920 Speaker 3: But Garrett Green is definitely a boss and I respect it. 673 00:29:42,280 --> 00:29:44,240 Speaker 1: I know you think that Heisman futures are just lighting 674 00:29:44,280 --> 00:29:46,520 Speaker 1: money on fire. Did we convince you with any of 675 00:29:46,560 --> 00:29:48,760 Speaker 1: these six picks? Do you like any of them from 676 00:29:48,800 --> 00:29:51,560 Speaker 1: a value perspective to maybe throw some counts change on it. 677 00:29:52,000 --> 00:29:54,680 Speaker 5: I'd laugh when people say value. There's no value in 678 00:29:54,720 --> 00:29:56,920 Speaker 5: a losing bet. Sorry, you didn't convince me. 679 00:29:59,120 --> 00:30:02,080 Speaker 1: All right, before we get storytime, a quick reminder for 680 00:30:02,120 --> 00:30:04,440 Speaker 1: our audience. If you've ever thought about becoming an Action 681 00:30:04,760 --> 00:30:07,520 Speaker 1: Pro subscriber, now is the absolute best time to sign up. 682 00:30:07,560 --> 00:30:09,880 Speaker 1: For less than ten dollars a month, get a year 683 00:30:09,920 --> 00:30:13,040 Speaker 1: of Action Pro access across every sport, which includes player 684 00:30:13,080 --> 00:30:16,040 Speaker 1: prop projections, projection the edges from Sean Kerner and his 685 00:30:16,120 --> 00:30:19,800 Speaker 1: Action Analytics team. Shan Zilla's projections for baseball, Colin and 686 00:30:19,840 --> 00:30:23,360 Speaker 1: Stucky's for college football, access to premium articles from our 687 00:30:23,360 --> 00:30:26,360 Speaker 1: top experts, and so much more and actions. Podcast listeners 688 00:30:26,400 --> 00:30:29,080 Speaker 1: can use code Pod twenty to get an extra twenty 689 00:30:29,160 --> 00:30:32,120 Speaker 1: dollars off. That's Pod twenty For twenty dollars off a 690 00:30:32,200 --> 00:30:35,640 Speaker 1: year of action pro. Just visit actionnetwork dot com slash 691 00:30:35,680 --> 00:30:38,640 Speaker 1: pricing or follow the link in the episode's description. 692 00:30:39,360 --> 00:30:42,440 Speaker 4: This podcast is presented by bet MGM. Use bonus Code 693 00:30:42,480 --> 00:30:44,720 Speaker 4: Action when signing up to get up to fifteen hundred 694 00:30:44,760 --> 00:30:47,200 Speaker 4: dollars back in bonus bets if your first bet does 695 00:30:47,240 --> 00:30:54,720 Speaker 4: not win. For new users in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, 696 00:30:54,720 --> 00:30:59,400 Speaker 4: New Jersey, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia, 697 00:30:59,440 --> 00:31:02,280 Speaker 4: and Hyo. Terms and conditions apply. Must be twenty one 698 00:31:02,280 --> 00:31:05,440 Speaker 4: plus gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler. 699 00:31:05,720 --> 00:31:08,560 Speaker 1: All right, storytime here, Brett. I just want to put 700 00:31:08,560 --> 00:31:09,760 Speaker 1: this out there for the audience. 701 00:31:10,000 --> 00:31:11,000 Speaker 2: This has a bit unusual. 702 00:31:11,240 --> 00:31:13,200 Speaker 1: We're, you know, trying to give you a little treat 703 00:31:13,240 --> 00:31:15,520 Speaker 1: headed into college football season. But I will clear the 704 00:31:15,520 --> 00:31:17,320 Speaker 1: way I'm excited to hear this one, Brett. 705 00:31:17,640 --> 00:31:19,920 Speaker 5: If you like it, be sure and tell Matt Mitchell 706 00:31:20,000 --> 00:31:22,040 Speaker 5: you like this. If you hate it, be sure and 707 00:31:22,160 --> 00:31:24,880 Speaker 5: tell Matt Mitchell you hate it. I guess I'm about 708 00:31:24,920 --> 00:31:28,520 Speaker 5: to hijack the rest of this conversation. This has nothing 709 00:31:28,520 --> 00:31:32,520 Speaker 5: to do with football. How's that for a tease. June twentieth, 710 00:31:32,800 --> 00:31:36,280 Speaker 5: nineteen seventy nine, I thought I was going to die. 711 00:31:36,560 --> 00:31:38,120 Speaker 2: I boarded flight two ninety. 712 00:31:37,880 --> 00:31:42,240 Speaker 5: Three, and so did a guy named Nikola Caba. He's 713 00:31:42,280 --> 00:31:45,600 Speaker 5: from Yugoslavia. I found out later that he had killed 714 00:31:45,600 --> 00:31:48,680 Speaker 5: more than seventeen people in his life. He committed his 715 00:31:48,760 --> 00:31:51,200 Speaker 5: first murder when he was fourteen. He threw a wounded 716 00:31:51,280 --> 00:31:55,040 Speaker 5: German soldier down on well. In November of seventy eight, 717 00:31:55,080 --> 00:31:59,160 Speaker 5: he was arrested for bombing a Chicago home of a diplomat. 718 00:31:59,480 --> 00:32:02,600 Speaker 5: Convicted in May of seventy nine in Chicago, but released 719 00:32:02,640 --> 00:32:05,120 Speaker 5: on bailed to New Jersey, where he was living. A 720 00:32:05,200 --> 00:32:08,320 Speaker 5: month later, he was on my American Airlines flight from 721 00:32:08,400 --> 00:32:11,520 Speaker 5: La Guardia to Chicago. Then I would go from Chicago 722 00:32:11,760 --> 00:32:14,680 Speaker 5: to Oklahoma City. I had been in Europe with a 723 00:32:14,760 --> 00:32:18,800 Speaker 5: group of high school seniors from Yukon, Oklahoma, and we 724 00:32:18,800 --> 00:32:21,520 Speaker 5: were coming back from that trip. He had smuggled a 725 00:32:21,600 --> 00:32:26,720 Speaker 5: homemade bomb onto the plane, plastic explosives. Midway through our flight, 726 00:32:26,800 --> 00:32:29,480 Speaker 5: he took over control of the plane and sat in 727 00:32:29,520 --> 00:32:32,880 Speaker 5: the stewardest jump seat outside the cockpit and held on 728 00:32:33,000 --> 00:32:36,880 Speaker 5: to these little looked like tubes of toothpaste in his hands. 729 00:32:37,320 --> 00:32:40,560 Speaker 5: Flight attendants never told us we were hijacked. Eventually they 730 00:32:40,600 --> 00:32:43,920 Speaker 5: said that he had taken control of the plane. We 731 00:32:44,000 --> 00:32:46,880 Speaker 5: land in Chicago. As soon as we land, you know, 732 00:32:47,040 --> 00:32:50,120 Speaker 5: usually go up to the gate or whatever. We just 733 00:32:50,240 --> 00:32:53,920 Speaker 5: sat on the runway. We did not move. We sat there, 734 00:32:53,960 --> 00:32:55,959 Speaker 5: and sat there, and sat there. We sat there for 735 00:32:56,000 --> 00:33:00,600 Speaker 5: eleven hours, eleven hours. I was in the first row 736 00:33:00,600 --> 00:33:03,240 Speaker 5: of coach, so there was a bulkhead between first class 737 00:33:03,280 --> 00:33:05,440 Speaker 5: and coach. I was in the first row of coach 738 00:33:05,520 --> 00:33:08,360 Speaker 5: on the aisle, and I had a little instamatic camera 739 00:33:08,440 --> 00:33:11,560 Speaker 5: and I would literally lean into the aisle and take 740 00:33:11,600 --> 00:33:14,840 Speaker 5: a real quick snap of the hijacker. I didn't have 741 00:33:14,840 --> 00:33:16,520 Speaker 5: a flash on. I didn't want them to see me. 742 00:33:17,200 --> 00:33:20,320 Speaker 5: But out the window till my right there were you know, 743 00:33:20,840 --> 00:33:25,160 Speaker 5: policemen swat whatever, crawling on their bellies through the field. 744 00:33:25,640 --> 00:33:28,920 Speaker 5: I'm not exaggerating. There were one hundred police cars, ambulances, 745 00:33:29,000 --> 00:33:31,360 Speaker 5: fire trucks during this whole time. 746 00:33:31,480 --> 00:33:33,400 Speaker 2: You know, as a high school journalist, I'm. 747 00:33:33,280 --> 00:33:36,280 Speaker 5: Actually taking notes on a little you know, the paper 748 00:33:36,400 --> 00:33:39,000 Speaker 5: napkins they give you. I'm writing down notes of what 749 00:33:39,040 --> 00:33:41,560 Speaker 5: all is going on. Like in my seventeen year old mind, 750 00:33:42,040 --> 00:33:44,560 Speaker 5: I'm thinking, well, if the plane blows up, this little 751 00:33:44,600 --> 00:33:47,640 Speaker 5: piece of paper is going to survive and it will 752 00:33:47,680 --> 00:33:48,480 Speaker 5: solve everything. 753 00:33:48,520 --> 00:33:50,160 Speaker 2: Everyone will know what happened. 754 00:33:50,600 --> 00:33:54,080 Speaker 5: Side note on me trying to take photos of the hijacker. 755 00:33:54,640 --> 00:33:55,640 Speaker 2: After we got off the. 756 00:33:55,600 --> 00:33:58,240 Speaker 5: Plane, the authorities asked us if any of us had 757 00:33:58,280 --> 00:34:01,920 Speaker 5: pictures of the hijacker, and myself and a parent that 758 00:34:02,000 --> 00:34:04,520 Speaker 5: went with us did so. I gave the police my 759 00:34:05,160 --> 00:34:09,000 Speaker 5: camera and my film well during the whole process. Afterwards, 760 00:34:09,040 --> 00:34:11,960 Speaker 5: I talked to somebody with the Associated Press. They said 761 00:34:12,000 --> 00:34:14,480 Speaker 5: they would buy my film for a thousand dollars. I 762 00:34:14,520 --> 00:34:15,080 Speaker 5: said great. 763 00:34:15,280 --> 00:34:16,120 Speaker 2: A couple days. 764 00:34:16,000 --> 00:34:18,719 Speaker 5: Later they called me at home and they say that 765 00:34:18,800 --> 00:34:21,520 Speaker 5: they are no longer have any interest in my film. 766 00:34:21,840 --> 00:34:24,600 Speaker 5: So basically what I'm saying is, yeah, ap, you stiffed 767 00:34:24,600 --> 00:34:27,160 Speaker 5: me one thousand dollars. If you can figure out what 768 00:34:27,239 --> 00:34:31,440 Speaker 5: the compounded interest is for forty five years, please let 769 00:34:31,480 --> 00:34:35,680 Speaker 5: me know. Basically, he led us off after eleven hours. 770 00:34:36,080 --> 00:34:38,920 Speaker 5: They pulled stairs up to the plane. We walked off 771 00:34:39,360 --> 00:34:40,560 Speaker 5: down the flight of stairs. 772 00:34:40,800 --> 00:34:41,359 Speaker 1: It was weird. 773 00:34:41,440 --> 00:34:43,400 Speaker 5: During the whole time, I never really thought I was 774 00:34:43,440 --> 00:34:45,080 Speaker 5: going to die or anything that was going to happen, 775 00:34:45,120 --> 00:34:48,040 Speaker 5: because the flight attendants did a great job keeping everybody 776 00:34:48,480 --> 00:34:51,799 Speaker 5: call them and stuff. But when they opened the door 777 00:34:51,840 --> 00:34:54,200 Speaker 5: to get off the plane. Since I was first row coach, 778 00:34:54,239 --> 00:34:56,240 Speaker 5: I was one of the first ones off, and literally 779 00:34:56,280 --> 00:34:59,719 Speaker 5: when I saw the mass of people in news try 780 00:34:59,800 --> 00:35:02,680 Speaker 5: I mean just everything out there cliche, but it looked 781 00:35:02,719 --> 00:35:10,080 Speaker 5: like a movie. I mean, I lost it. Man, start 782 00:35:10,239 --> 00:35:16,040 Speaker 5: crying out. That's probably that's when I started crying and 783 00:35:16,440 --> 00:35:17,840 Speaker 5: realized what could have happened. 784 00:35:18,920 --> 00:35:21,760 Speaker 2: We go back to the airport. It's funny. 785 00:35:21,760 --> 00:35:23,640 Speaker 5: When we get to the airport, obviously they take us 786 00:35:23,640 --> 00:35:26,200 Speaker 5: into a special room. They have one side. They say, 787 00:35:26,239 --> 00:35:28,160 Speaker 5: if you want to talk to the media, go to left. 788 00:35:28,280 --> 00:35:30,759 Speaker 5: Of course, I got to talk to the media in 789 00:35:30,840 --> 00:35:34,600 Speaker 5: nineteen seventy nine. No cell phones, guys, a bank of telephones. 790 00:35:34,640 --> 00:35:38,320 Speaker 5: Call whoever you want. I called my parents, Nobody answers 791 00:35:38,320 --> 00:35:41,560 Speaker 5: the phone. I called all these different friends, nobody's at home. Finally, 792 00:35:41,600 --> 00:35:44,720 Speaker 5: I call a good friend of mine. His sister answers, Kathy, 793 00:35:44,840 --> 00:35:48,280 Speaker 5: is Jim there. No, She goes, what are you doing? 794 00:35:48,880 --> 00:35:50,640 Speaker 5: And I said, we just got off the plane. She goes, 795 00:35:50,680 --> 00:35:53,920 Speaker 5: everybody's at the airport. So literally, the whole town of 796 00:35:54,000 --> 00:35:57,680 Speaker 5: Yukon Surrey Hills, where I grew up, everybody's at the airport. 797 00:35:58,360 --> 00:36:01,000 Speaker 2: I did a ton of interviews. I was looking through 798 00:36:01,040 --> 00:36:01,600 Speaker 2: the clips. 799 00:36:02,840 --> 00:36:05,480 Speaker 5: You think I'm a bad interview now, somebody quoted me 800 00:36:05,560 --> 00:36:08,719 Speaker 5: saying I'm sure I wasn't misquoted. Oh gosh, we've seen 801 00:36:08,760 --> 00:36:10,040 Speaker 5: a few reporters today. 802 00:36:10,920 --> 00:36:12,880 Speaker 2: Here's some of the papers. 803 00:36:13,200 --> 00:36:17,880 Speaker 5: Front page, front page, Chicago Tribune. My mom had a 804 00:36:17,920 --> 00:36:21,320 Speaker 5: great line. After we got off the plane in Chicago, 805 00:36:21,360 --> 00:36:23,920 Speaker 5: we sat there. You know, they took care of ris. 806 00:36:23,960 --> 00:36:27,480 Speaker 5: Then we flew to Oklahoma f City. We arrived fifteen 807 00:36:27,480 --> 00:36:30,560 Speaker 5: hours later or whatever, and my mom said, the ironic 808 00:36:30,600 --> 00:36:34,560 Speaker 5: thing is Brett has never gotten on time anywhere in 809 00:36:34,560 --> 00:36:35,040 Speaker 5: his life. 810 00:36:35,239 --> 00:36:36,680 Speaker 2: And I was late once again. 811 00:36:37,560 --> 00:36:40,520 Speaker 5: Everyone thought, because you're hijacked, you get to fly free. 812 00:36:40,560 --> 00:36:43,640 Speaker 5: After that, dozens of people, when they knew our was hijacked, 813 00:36:43,640 --> 00:36:44,799 Speaker 5: do you get a fly free now? 814 00:36:45,120 --> 00:36:45,200 Speaker 1: No? 815 00:36:45,360 --> 00:36:46,520 Speaker 2: I don't get a fly free. 816 00:36:46,920 --> 00:36:50,480 Speaker 5: Also, after a few months after, American Airlines sent all 817 00:36:50,520 --> 00:36:53,480 Speaker 5: of us a little silver pendant. I don't have it 818 00:36:53,520 --> 00:36:56,040 Speaker 5: with me, and it had flight two ninety three on 819 00:36:56,120 --> 00:36:58,799 Speaker 5: it in the date on the other side. As soon 820 00:36:58,840 --> 00:37:00,680 Speaker 5: as we're done here, I guess I should check with 821 00:37:00,760 --> 00:37:04,400 Speaker 5: Darren Ravel and see what that's worth on the open market. Yeah, 822 00:37:04,440 --> 00:37:06,920 Speaker 5: my wife loves that I'm hijacked because she loves to 823 00:37:06,960 --> 00:37:09,200 Speaker 5: fly with me. Because the odds of being on a 824 00:37:09,280 --> 00:37:13,040 Speaker 5: hijack plane twice in your life, I'd say, are as 825 00:37:13,120 --> 00:37:14,800 Speaker 5: long as Colorado. 826 00:37:14,360 --> 00:37:15,640 Speaker 2: Winning the National Championship. 827 00:37:16,280 --> 00:37:18,760 Speaker 5: Two things I forgot to mention again. This is nineteen 828 00:37:18,840 --> 00:37:22,680 Speaker 5: seventy nine, before nine to eleven. Everyone got off the plane. 829 00:37:22,440 --> 00:37:25,560 Speaker 5: They gave him a plane to fly back from Chicago 830 00:37:25,680 --> 00:37:28,360 Speaker 5: to New York. When he got to New York at JFK, 831 00:37:28,600 --> 00:37:31,440 Speaker 5: they gave him another plane because he wanted to fly 832 00:37:31,520 --> 00:37:35,080 Speaker 5: to Yugoslavia to get an associate of his out of prison. 833 00:37:35,200 --> 00:37:37,719 Speaker 5: So they actually gave him a plane and flew him 834 00:37:37,760 --> 00:37:41,319 Speaker 5: back to Yugoslavia. On the way, he decided he wanted 835 00:37:41,360 --> 00:37:44,239 Speaker 5: to go to Ireland instead. He got to Ireland and 836 00:37:44,280 --> 00:37:48,040 Speaker 5: he did surrender. He spent twenty years in jail. When 837 00:37:48,080 --> 00:37:50,640 Speaker 5: he got out of jail, he did some interviews. I've 838 00:37:50,640 --> 00:37:53,440 Speaker 5: read a lot of those. One of them he said 839 00:37:53,560 --> 00:37:55,799 Speaker 5: that he is the one that gave Ben Lauden the 840 00:37:55,880 --> 00:38:00,000 Speaker 5: idea of flying planes into buildings. He actually said when 841 00:38:00,120 --> 00:38:03,640 Speaker 5: he was flying back to Ireland that his idea was 842 00:38:03,719 --> 00:38:07,800 Speaker 5: to take over that plane and fly into a specific building. 843 00:38:08,280 --> 00:38:11,480 Speaker 5: But because they didn't have the right proper tracking equipment, 844 00:38:11,800 --> 00:38:14,640 Speaker 5: he decided not to do that. His attorney convinced him 845 00:38:15,160 --> 00:38:18,400 Speaker 5: to surrender when he got to Ireland. So he died 846 00:38:18,520 --> 00:38:21,200 Speaker 5: I think fifteen twenty years ago. He was in his 847 00:38:21,280 --> 00:38:24,600 Speaker 5: seventies when he died. You know, quite a footnote, I guess. 848 00:38:25,120 --> 00:38:27,400 Speaker 5: Now one other quick thing. So my first year at 849 00:38:27,600 --> 00:38:30,560 Speaker 5: ESPN covering the National Title game, and afterwards, I'm at 850 00:38:30,560 --> 00:38:35,680 Speaker 5: dinner with Chris Fowler, Heather Cox and John Sunders. Mayhe 851 00:38:35,719 --> 00:38:38,440 Speaker 5: rest in peace, great guy. We're sitting around the table 852 00:38:38,560 --> 00:38:41,160 Speaker 5: just talking about different things. I didn't bring this up, 853 00:38:41,239 --> 00:38:43,440 Speaker 5: and I know it wasn't Chris Fowler, so it was 854 00:38:43,440 --> 00:38:47,120 Speaker 5: either Saunders or Heather Cox. And somehow they said, what's 855 00:38:47,320 --> 00:38:51,759 Speaker 5: the weirdest thing about you that nobody knows? I put 856 00:38:51,800 --> 00:38:54,320 Speaker 5: twenty dollars down on the table and said I'm winning. 857 00:38:54,760 --> 00:38:59,479 Speaker 5: So Chris Fowler said, basically he didn't have anything. Heather 858 00:38:59,600 --> 00:39:04,160 Speaker 5: Cox at that point lived in Colorado if people remember 859 00:39:04,200 --> 00:39:06,680 Speaker 5: the name John Bena Ramsey, and she went through the 860 00:39:06,680 --> 00:39:09,440 Speaker 5: whole thing. They lived in the same neighborhood and police 861 00:39:09,440 --> 00:39:11,799 Speaker 5: actually interviewed her husband. He was one of the last 862 00:39:11,880 --> 00:39:14,759 Speaker 5: people to see John Bena Ramsey, but obviously he had 863 00:39:14,840 --> 00:39:15,759 Speaker 5: nothing to do with it. 864 00:39:16,040 --> 00:39:17,000 Speaker 2: So that was her deal. 865 00:39:17,440 --> 00:39:21,640 Speaker 5: John Saunders, who's from Canada, he was like, I was 866 00:39:21,760 --> 00:39:27,399 Speaker 5: arrested not once, but twice on suspicion of armed robbery, like. 867 00:39:27,480 --> 00:39:29,160 Speaker 2: What some reason. 868 00:39:29,280 --> 00:39:32,839 Speaker 5: He got picked up for arm rawery in Canada. So 869 00:39:32,840 --> 00:39:36,120 Speaker 5: so then I followed up with okay, guys, I was 870 00:39:36,160 --> 00:39:39,719 Speaker 5: on a hijack plane. I raked in my money and 871 00:39:39,800 --> 00:39:42,960 Speaker 5: it's obviously a good ice breaker. Somebody needs to do 872 00:39:43,000 --> 00:39:45,600 Speaker 5: a Netflix series if they haven't already. It seemed like 873 00:39:45,640 --> 00:39:48,840 Speaker 5: there was a hijack plane every month back then. That 874 00:39:48,960 --> 00:39:50,680 Speaker 5: was just kind of like the thing to do, and 875 00:39:51,320 --> 00:39:53,400 Speaker 5: security obviously was a big issue. 876 00:39:53,760 --> 00:39:56,920 Speaker 2: So that's it my hijack story. If you hate it, 877 00:39:57,000 --> 00:39:57,920 Speaker 2: blame Att Mitchell. 878 00:39:58,280 --> 00:40:03,920 Speaker 3: That's all I got. 879 00:40:05,160 --> 00:40:06,960 Speaker 2: Don Gary metobe By. 880 00:40:16,960 --> 00:40:19,600 Speaker 1: Well, thank you for sharing that story. And as Brett said, 881 00:40:19,719 --> 00:40:22,080 Speaker 1: if you enjoyed it, if you're out there listening to 882 00:40:22,239 --> 00:40:25,200 Speaker 1: the pod or on YouTube, feel free to comments. Matt 883 00:40:25,239 --> 00:40:27,839 Speaker 1: Mitchell has he's basically been gatekeeping a lot of these 884 00:40:27,880 --> 00:40:30,919 Speaker 1: amazing stories from our staff, so we can clearly turn 885 00:40:30,960 --> 00:40:32,799 Speaker 1: on the faucet and have more of them come out 886 00:40:33,360 --> 00:40:36,480 Speaker 1: moving forward. A reminder as well, if you enjoyed the 887 00:40:36,480 --> 00:40:38,239 Speaker 1: podcast and you're listening and you wanted to get it 888 00:40:38,280 --> 00:40:41,640 Speaker 1: a little bit earlier. BBOC has its own YouTube channel. 889 00:40:41,719 --> 00:40:44,880 Speaker 1: It's really important for you guys to subscribe, to comment, 890 00:40:45,040 --> 00:40:48,120 Speaker 1: get as much interaction as possible helps us grow the brand. 891 00:40:48,160 --> 00:40:50,080 Speaker 1: We're gonna be doing that throughout the entire season, so 892 00:40:50,160 --> 00:40:52,160 Speaker 1: not only all the shows that you've come to know 893 00:40:52,320 --> 00:40:55,320 Speaker 1: and love from Colin and Stuck and Brett and myself 894 00:40:55,360 --> 00:40:58,240 Speaker 1: and Mike Ianello, We're gonna have more content with former 895 00:40:58,280 --> 00:41:00,880 Speaker 1: college athletes. We're gonna have special episode so you can 896 00:41:00,920 --> 00:41:03,680 Speaker 1: find that over at YouTube at BBOC put in bdoc 897 00:41:03,840 --> 00:41:06,840 Speaker 1: Sports Betting channel, you'll be able to subscribe right away. 898 00:41:07,160 --> 00:41:09,719 Speaker 1: For Brett McMurphy, Collin Wilson, I'm Mike Calvary. Thank you, 899 00:41:09,760 --> 00:41:12,200 Speaker 1: so much for listening, and we're looking forward to having 900 00:41:12,200 --> 00:41:13,200 Speaker 1: a great season for you guys. 901 00:41:13,280 --> 00:41:14,040 Speaker 2: Can Figure. 902 00:41:26,120 --> 00:41:30,680 Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or 903 00:41:30,680 --> 00:41:33,480 Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is 904 00:41:33,520 --> 00:41:36,640 Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler