1 00:00:00,480 --> 00:00:04,440 Speaker 1: It's the favorite podcast presented by FanDuel. The NBA season 2 00:00:04,480 --> 00:00:06,240 Speaker 1: is kicking into gear, and there's no better place to 3 00:00:06,240 --> 00:00:09,080 Speaker 1: get in on the action than FanDuel. I love betting 4 00:00:09,080 --> 00:00:11,399 Speaker 1: with FanDuel because their app is safe, secure and easy 5 00:00:11,440 --> 00:00:14,880 Speaker 1: to use. And when I when I get get paid fast. 6 00:00:15,320 --> 00:00:18,520 Speaker 1: Plus FanDuel let's me jump in on the action anytime 7 00:00:18,800 --> 00:00:22,320 Speaker 1: with live betting during games. So download the FanDuel app 8 00:00:22,360 --> 00:00:25,880 Speaker 1: today to start making every moment more. Must be twenty 9 00:00:25,880 --> 00:00:28,920 Speaker 1: one or older and in select states gambling problem call 10 00:00:28,960 --> 00:00:31,480 Speaker 1: one eight hundred gambler or visit FanDuel dot com slash 11 00:00:31,600 --> 00:00:35,800 Speaker 1: rg in Colorado, Iowa, Michigan, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Tennessee, Virginia, 12 00:00:35,840 --> 00:00:39,040 Speaker 1: and Ohio one eight hundred, next step or text next 13 00:00:39,040 --> 00:00:41,760 Speaker 1: step to five three three four two in Arizona one 14 00:00:41,880 --> 00:00:44,040 Speaker 1: eight eight eight seven eight nine seven seven seven seven 15 00:00:44,240 --> 00:00:48,040 Speaker 1: or a visit CCPG dot org slash chat in Connecticut 16 00:00:48,040 --> 00:00:50,880 Speaker 1: one eight hundred and nine with it in Indiana, visit 17 00:00:50,960 --> 00:00:53,880 Speaker 1: KS gambling help dot com. In Kansas one eight seven 18 00:00:53,960 --> 00:00:58,000 Speaker 1: seven seven seven zero stop in Louisiana. Visit MD gambling 19 00:00:58,120 --> 00:01:01,200 Speaker 1: help dot org in Maryland one eight seven seven eight 20 00:01:01,480 --> 00:01:04,200 Speaker 1: hope and Why, or text Hope and Why four six 21 00:01:04,240 --> 00:01:06,720 Speaker 1: seven three six nine in New York one eight hundred 22 00:01:06,720 --> 00:01:08,960 Speaker 1: five two two four seven zero zero in Wyoming, or 23 00:01:09,080 --> 00:01:11,960 Speaker 1: visit one eight hundred gambler dot net in West Virginia. 24 00:01:20,080 --> 00:01:24,440 Speaker 1: Welcome to The Favorites, the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network. 25 00:01:24,600 --> 00:01:27,319 Speaker 1: I am Chad Melman, Chief Content stunt Officer of the 26 00:01:27,440 --> 00:01:30,760 Speaker 1: Action Network. It is Thursday. We're doing your questions. We 27 00:01:30,800 --> 00:01:33,160 Speaker 1: did it on Tuesday. We loved it so much, we're 28 00:01:33,200 --> 00:01:36,679 Speaker 1: bringing it back. Don't forget. Love the Favorites as much 29 00:01:36,720 --> 00:01:40,800 Speaker 1: as you can on Apple podcasts, on Spotify, favorite it, 30 00:01:41,360 --> 00:01:45,560 Speaker 1: follow it, subscribe to it on those platforms. I am 31 00:01:45,640 --> 00:01:49,520 Speaker 1: joined to answer all of the most important questions that 32 00:01:49,640 --> 00:01:53,040 Speaker 1: you have. If you remember, on Tuesday, we were talking 33 00:01:53,040 --> 00:01:56,120 Speaker 1: a lot about aliens and quarterbacks. Sometimes it's hard to 34 00:01:56,160 --> 00:02:00,480 Speaker 1: tell the difference. My bff, my companion, Michael Padre professional 35 00:02:00,520 --> 00:02:07,200 Speaker 1: better Simon Hunter. Hello. Saw him in. Hello Chad, How 36 00:02:07,200 --> 00:02:09,840 Speaker 1: are you doing brother? I'm ready to dig in, man, 37 00:02:10,160 --> 00:02:12,000 Speaker 1: I am ready to dig in. I feel like our 38 00:02:12,000 --> 00:02:14,840 Speaker 1: listeners had a lot of really good questions, a lot 39 00:02:14,880 --> 00:02:18,519 Speaker 1: of really important questions. I think we answered him as 40 00:02:18,560 --> 00:02:23,280 Speaker 1: well as we possibly can with authenticity, credibility, and earnestness. 41 00:02:23,400 --> 00:02:26,680 Speaker 1: It's true and this is it for you. And next 42 00:02:26,720 --> 00:02:28,600 Speaker 1: time that people will see me on camera, I will 43 00:02:28,600 --> 00:02:31,639 Speaker 1: be clean shaved with barely any hair left on my head. 44 00:02:31,760 --> 00:02:34,000 Speaker 1: This is just for when I head out to the 45 00:02:34,120 --> 00:02:38,000 Speaker 1: National Park, so the Grand Canon and the Zion National Park. 46 00:02:38,000 --> 00:02:39,720 Speaker 1: I don't if you saw this chat. I'm driving into 47 00:02:39,760 --> 00:02:42,800 Speaker 1: a blizzard this week. Yeah, I did notice that. I 48 00:02:42,880 --> 00:02:46,520 Speaker 1: noticed that the weather is looking icy and spicy for 49 00:02:46,600 --> 00:02:49,200 Speaker 1: your cross country drive. Not a good drive to have 50 00:02:49,240 --> 00:02:51,760 Speaker 1: a m for convertible in. But we will make it work. 51 00:02:51,760 --> 00:02:53,640 Speaker 1: We got the horsepower to get through it. You know what, 52 00:02:53,840 --> 00:02:57,800 Speaker 1: in your world it's always sunny. Just keep the top 53 00:02:57,880 --> 00:03:01,480 Speaker 1: down and people will look at you're like, I want 54 00:03:01,520 --> 00:03:03,880 Speaker 1: to know what this guy knows, and I'll say them 55 00:03:03,960 --> 00:03:06,160 Speaker 1: neck warmers. That's the key of these new convertibles. They 56 00:03:06,200 --> 00:03:09,359 Speaker 1: got neck warmers, all right. Last week, you guys heard 57 00:03:09,400 --> 00:03:13,160 Speaker 1: us talk about game Time, the fastest growing ticketing app 58 00:03:13,240 --> 00:03:16,639 Speaker 1: in the United States. I've mentioned it before. I use 59 00:03:16,720 --> 00:03:19,200 Speaker 1: game Time a lot. And if you're looking to get 60 00:03:19,200 --> 00:03:21,920 Speaker 1: out to any NBA or NHL game this week, or 61 00:03:21,919 --> 00:03:26,120 Speaker 1: even a concert, game Time has amazing last minute deals 62 00:03:26,160 --> 00:03:28,799 Speaker 1: on tickets to all of these. I'm actually going to 63 00:03:28,880 --> 00:03:32,800 Speaker 1: open the game Time app right now. I'm in New York. 64 00:03:32,800 --> 00:03:35,960 Speaker 1: I'm at our studio. I'm gonna check out what's available 65 00:03:36,280 --> 00:03:39,160 Speaker 1: in the New York area. I remember last on Tuesday, 66 00:03:39,400 --> 00:03:42,760 Speaker 1: I was able to get tickets for the New Jersey 67 00:03:43,280 --> 00:03:46,760 Speaker 1: Devil's game. You know what I'm gonna do. I can 68 00:03:46,840 --> 00:03:54,560 Speaker 1: get premier seats for Saturday's game between the Pelicans and 69 00:03:54,640 --> 00:04:00,760 Speaker 1: the New York Knickerbockers at Madison Square Garden. Cheapest price 70 00:04:00,960 --> 00:04:03,800 Speaker 1: right now eighty seven. It's a steal. You know why, 71 00:04:04,160 --> 00:04:08,600 Speaker 1: Jalen Brunson, Julius Randall, that team is cooking. The city 72 00:04:08,680 --> 00:04:12,040 Speaker 1: is alive. We love for the New York Knickerbockers. That's 73 00:04:12,040 --> 00:04:15,280 Speaker 1: how easy it was to get the tickets. No matter 74 00:04:15,320 --> 00:04:17,920 Speaker 1: where you live. Down load of the game Time app, 75 00:04:18,000 --> 00:04:19,920 Speaker 1: Get out and have some fun this week. You deserve it. 76 00:04:20,279 --> 00:04:23,640 Speaker 1: You can redeem code favorites for twenty dollars off your 77 00:04:23,640 --> 00:04:27,480 Speaker 1: first purchase. Terms apply again. Just download the app and 78 00:04:27,600 --> 00:04:30,480 Speaker 1: enter code favorites for twenty dollars off. So download Game 79 00:04:30,520 --> 00:04:38,279 Speaker 1: Time today, last minute tickets, lowest price guaranteed. Simon, we 80 00:04:38,360 --> 00:04:43,240 Speaker 1: did not get to all the questions. So here's the 81 00:04:43,240 --> 00:04:47,520 Speaker 1: first one up. It's offseason. You're gonna start doing some work, 82 00:04:48,400 --> 00:04:51,839 Speaker 1: started thinking about your power rankings. What are the most 83 00:04:51,960 --> 00:04:56,039 Speaker 1: important elements in your power rankings? And this is a 84 00:04:56,080 --> 00:04:58,640 Speaker 1: good pre see to the next question. I want to ask, 85 00:05:00,720 --> 00:05:06,360 Speaker 1: what's the most important elements in my power rankings. That's 86 00:05:06,400 --> 00:05:08,839 Speaker 1: hard because it's different between in season and out of season. 87 00:05:08,800 --> 00:05:13,400 Speaker 1: I'd say before the season, it's really basic. I literally 88 00:05:13,480 --> 00:05:16,560 Speaker 1: just look for team strength and weaknesses. And you know 89 00:05:16,600 --> 00:05:18,040 Speaker 1: I talk all the time. I start with the old line, 90 00:05:18,040 --> 00:05:21,640 Speaker 1: I start with the D line, start with the quarterback. Next, 91 00:05:21,680 --> 00:05:24,560 Speaker 1: I go to head coach, which obviously you know I 92 00:05:24,640 --> 00:05:26,400 Speaker 1: talk all the time. That's a big deal of people 93 00:05:26,400 --> 00:05:29,120 Speaker 1: like the head coaching football. There's a reason there's so 94 00:05:29,200 --> 00:05:32,960 Speaker 1: much turnover, and the ones at last tend to be really, really, 95 00:05:32,960 --> 00:05:35,520 Speaker 1: really good at their jobs. I mean, as much shit 96 00:05:35,560 --> 00:05:37,680 Speaker 1: as people want to give Tomlin in Pittsburgh because he 97 00:05:37,680 --> 00:05:40,520 Speaker 1: hasn't really had that much playoffs success, the man every 98 00:05:40,560 --> 00:05:42,920 Speaker 1: year gets that team above five hundred, Like that's got 99 00:05:42,920 --> 00:05:47,480 Speaker 1: to count for something. So yeah, I would say that's 100 00:05:47,480 --> 00:05:49,600 Speaker 1: a little tough, just because it does change during the season. 101 00:05:49,600 --> 00:05:54,560 Speaker 1: But I would say definitely if you're looking just bare bones. 102 00:05:54,720 --> 00:05:57,560 Speaker 1: I keep telling you guys a nauseum that old line 103 00:05:57,640 --> 00:05:59,560 Speaker 1: D line thing is a big deal. And coming to 104 00:05:59,640 --> 00:06:01,760 Speaker 1: the year, it saved my ass. Like I was all 105 00:06:01,760 --> 00:06:03,640 Speaker 1: in on the Eagles and the Chiefs because I had 106 00:06:03,640 --> 00:06:06,840 Speaker 1: them as my two highest graded old lines. And you know, 107 00:06:06,960 --> 00:06:09,600 Speaker 1: it's not always gonna be that simple, but I'm telling 108 00:06:09,640 --> 00:06:11,719 Speaker 1: you more often than that, it's gonna matter. And my 109 00:06:11,800 --> 00:06:14,880 Speaker 1: biggest lesson I'll ever ever learn was when I first 110 00:06:14,920 --> 00:06:19,679 Speaker 1: started out, my first year was that Patriots Giant super Bowl? 111 00:06:19,839 --> 00:06:23,200 Speaker 1: So what was that twenty ten chat twenty twenty eleven, 112 00:06:23,200 --> 00:06:27,320 Speaker 1: I forget that all it was twenty twenty nine that yeah, 113 00:06:28,480 --> 00:06:31,320 Speaker 1: yeah or yeah, whatever it was. I just remember that 114 00:06:31,480 --> 00:06:35,000 Speaker 1: was really an AHA moment of you know how much 115 00:06:35,000 --> 00:06:37,320 Speaker 1: of a difference a game wrecking in front four can make. 116 00:06:37,680 --> 00:06:40,359 Speaker 1: And you know, I got lucky throughout the years with that. 117 00:06:40,400 --> 00:06:43,120 Speaker 1: I won big on that Denver Verse Carolina super Bowl, 118 00:06:43,200 --> 00:06:45,320 Speaker 1: Sam exact thing. I just banked on a good defense. 119 00:06:45,360 --> 00:06:49,080 Speaker 1: So um yeah, if you're if you're looking for important 120 00:06:49,080 --> 00:06:53,479 Speaker 1: elements to grading the power rankings, I would say that 121 00:06:53,960 --> 00:06:56,560 Speaker 1: don't just blindly just do it off the cornerbacks, because 122 00:06:56,600 --> 00:07:03,160 Speaker 1: that's so Chalky, that's so Joe. Yeah, where it is 123 00:07:03,480 --> 00:07:05,159 Speaker 1: because there's just so much that goes into it. I 124 00:07:05,200 --> 00:07:08,280 Speaker 1: mean we talk all the time Mahomes is the unicorn, 125 00:07:08,360 --> 00:07:11,000 Speaker 1: Like you don't really get that kind of thing where 126 00:07:11,720 --> 00:07:15,040 Speaker 1: he was. We can easily say he was the main 127 00:07:15,160 --> 00:07:18,000 Speaker 1: reason for that Chief super Bowl run. I mean their 128 00:07:18,000 --> 00:07:19,800 Speaker 1: first game they won by a touchdown, the second game 129 00:07:19,800 --> 00:07:21,080 Speaker 1: they won by field goal, and they won the Super 130 00:07:21,120 --> 00:07:23,440 Speaker 1: Bowl by field goal. It's like, you got those kind 131 00:07:23,480 --> 00:07:26,000 Speaker 1: of close games that's usually because the quarterbacks that good 132 00:07:26,000 --> 00:07:27,640 Speaker 1: to keep you in it. I feel like that's why 133 00:07:27,680 --> 00:07:29,400 Speaker 1: we all knew Joe Burrow was that guy. I mean 134 00:07:29,440 --> 00:07:31,360 Speaker 1: that playoff from they had every game they kept winning 135 00:07:31,400 --> 00:07:33,760 Speaker 1: by three points. That's kind you know, that's how you 136 00:07:33,800 --> 00:07:35,440 Speaker 1: know you have a guy. It's like this guy, when 137 00:07:35,440 --> 00:07:38,880 Speaker 1: it gets really tight, can make those moves. And to me, 138 00:07:38,960 --> 00:07:41,400 Speaker 1: you can't really find that building a model. So if 139 00:07:41,400 --> 00:07:43,680 Speaker 1: you're looking for things like that, those are things I 140 00:07:43,680 --> 00:07:45,600 Speaker 1: look for in quarterbacks. I want quarterbacks that can win 141 00:07:45,680 --> 00:07:48,120 Speaker 1: really tight games. That's that's a really big deal to me. 142 00:07:48,160 --> 00:07:52,040 Speaker 1: A quarterback that doesn't get tight, he can play free 143 00:07:52,040 --> 00:07:54,760 Speaker 1: and loose. So if you're looking for different elements head 144 00:07:54,760 --> 00:07:58,320 Speaker 1: coach all offensive line, defensive line, and quarterback. Obviously those 145 00:07:58,360 --> 00:08:00,320 Speaker 1: are those are my bread and butter. Those are the 146 00:08:00,360 --> 00:08:02,840 Speaker 1: most important things to look at. That's a good answer 147 00:08:02,880 --> 00:08:05,480 Speaker 1: because we've got a question later on about a very 148 00:08:05,480 --> 00:08:07,960 Speaker 1: specific head coach and how he can impact gambling. What 149 00:08:08,000 --> 00:08:11,120 Speaker 1: I would say about head coaches, just to lend some 150 00:08:11,360 --> 00:08:16,920 Speaker 1: context to this is, over the years, professional betters would 151 00:08:16,920 --> 00:08:21,080 Speaker 1: always say Bill Belichick was really the only head coach 152 00:08:21,880 --> 00:08:25,480 Speaker 1: that had any kind of impact on the point spread 153 00:08:25,680 --> 00:08:28,560 Speaker 1: in a positive way, right, Like you would give him 154 00:08:28,560 --> 00:08:31,040 Speaker 1: an extra point because of the way he could gain 155 00:08:31,120 --> 00:08:33,880 Speaker 1: plan and the way he thought about the rules. I 156 00:08:33,920 --> 00:08:37,720 Speaker 1: don't know that there's a coach today that you give 157 00:08:37,880 --> 00:08:42,400 Speaker 1: that point to when you're power rating as opposed to 158 00:08:42,600 --> 00:08:45,000 Speaker 1: you just want to think about, all right, this is 159 00:08:45,000 --> 00:08:48,720 Speaker 1: a guy who has an advantage when you're handicapping. The 160 00:08:48,800 --> 00:08:50,920 Speaker 1: flip side of that is, I know a lot of 161 00:08:50,920 --> 00:08:54,040 Speaker 1: wise guys who used to take a point away from 162 00:08:54,040 --> 00:08:56,640 Speaker 1: the Chargers because of the way North Turner, the former 163 00:08:56,640 --> 00:09:01,720 Speaker 1: coach there, used to coach the games. So I just 164 00:09:01,720 --> 00:09:04,560 Speaker 1: think that's interesting contact next to Simon, Yeah, I would 165 00:09:04,559 --> 00:09:06,480 Speaker 1: say there's certain coaches as a dog where I give 166 00:09:06,600 --> 00:09:10,000 Speaker 1: them a point like if Shannahan's a dog, I give 167 00:09:10,040 --> 00:09:12,079 Speaker 1: Shannahan a nice bump there. Like we've seen a time 168 00:09:12,080 --> 00:09:14,400 Speaker 1: and time agame Shannon as an underdog has been profitable. 169 00:09:14,679 --> 00:09:17,280 Speaker 1: Same with Doug Peterson. Doug Peterson as an underdog has 170 00:09:17,280 --> 00:09:20,160 Speaker 1: been profitable. So there's certain coaches where I'm right there 171 00:09:20,160 --> 00:09:24,840 Speaker 1: with Chad where it's like nothing's like Belichick. Belichick. I 172 00:09:24,840 --> 00:09:27,000 Speaker 1: don't want to say he was free money as an underdog, 173 00:09:27,360 --> 00:09:29,360 Speaker 1: but he was like there was a run there where 174 00:09:29,559 --> 00:09:31,760 Speaker 1: you know, Brady was either out for injury or he 175 00:09:31,800 --> 00:09:33,760 Speaker 1: was out for deflate gate, and I think he was 176 00:09:33,800 --> 00:09:35,880 Speaker 1: an underdog and every one of those three games or 177 00:09:35,880 --> 00:09:38,439 Speaker 1: four games, and I think he went three and one 178 00:09:38,480 --> 00:09:40,680 Speaker 1: in those games Belichick with the backup. So it's just 179 00:09:40,720 --> 00:09:43,520 Speaker 1: one of those where Chad's right, Like I know, plenty 180 00:09:43,559 --> 00:09:46,440 Speaker 1: of pros they just you know, they won six and 181 00:09:46,480 --> 00:09:48,160 Speaker 1: three betting on time in the Super Bowl, so they 182 00:09:48,160 --> 00:09:50,480 Speaker 1: were happy with the results. They just blindly would take 183 00:09:51,000 --> 00:09:54,160 Speaker 1: Belichick and Brady in those runs just because they had 184 00:09:54,160 --> 00:09:56,120 Speaker 1: that much respect for him in his game planning, because 185 00:09:56,160 --> 00:09:58,520 Speaker 1: we saw a time and time again, he's just when 186 00:09:58,600 --> 00:10:00,400 Speaker 1: he was on top of his game. Belich there was 187 00:10:00,440 --> 00:10:05,120 Speaker 1: no better defensive mine in football? What are the three 188 00:10:05,200 --> 00:10:08,080 Speaker 1: most important things you look at when handicapping an NFL game. 189 00:10:08,600 --> 00:10:12,200 Speaker 1: I'll take this one first because I'm curious to see 190 00:10:12,200 --> 00:10:16,880 Speaker 1: if you are thinking about the same things. But I 191 00:10:16,920 --> 00:10:22,319 Speaker 1: am looking for. Do I immediately see an edge in 192 00:10:23,360 --> 00:10:29,800 Speaker 1: a short home favorite or a home underdog. I immediately 193 00:10:31,000 --> 00:10:35,520 Speaker 1: look at where the market is and do I think 194 00:10:35,559 --> 00:10:41,160 Speaker 1: there's going to be an advantage? And I also try 195 00:10:41,200 --> 00:10:45,440 Speaker 1: to incorporate what happened the previous week, which goes into 196 00:10:45,559 --> 00:10:48,080 Speaker 1: both of those things. But I try to let that 197 00:10:48,240 --> 00:10:52,720 Speaker 1: be something that has a pretty powerful influence on how 198 00:10:52,760 --> 00:10:56,320 Speaker 1: I'm thinking about handicapping a game. It's almost to me 199 00:10:56,400 --> 00:11:00,000 Speaker 1: it's entirely perception in market when I first look at 200 00:11:00,000 --> 00:11:06,400 Speaker 1: at it. Yeah, that's tough. I mean it's I don't know, 201 00:11:06,400 --> 00:11:08,839 Speaker 1: because there's not like three things. Every everything is kind 202 00:11:08,840 --> 00:11:11,240 Speaker 1: of unique and different. Every scenario is unique and different. 203 00:11:11,320 --> 00:11:17,160 Speaker 1: So my most basic first three first three things you 204 00:11:17,240 --> 00:11:21,800 Speaker 1: look at, um, I don't know. Man, Again, I'm trying 205 00:11:21,840 --> 00:11:23,640 Speaker 1: to grab my head around. There's just so many different things, 206 00:11:23,640 --> 00:11:26,600 Speaker 1: like Chad just said, like there's some some games where 207 00:11:26,640 --> 00:11:29,080 Speaker 1: I don't even need to run my model, like living 208 00:11:29,160 --> 00:11:31,600 Speaker 1: the team will get blown out last week. Now they're 209 00:11:31,600 --> 00:11:33,520 Speaker 1: coming home playing a team that beat the crap at 210 00:11:33,559 --> 00:11:35,320 Speaker 1: US some team last week, and there are seven point 211 00:11:35,320 --> 00:11:38,280 Speaker 1: favorite on the road. Chad knows the deal. Like I 212 00:11:38,640 --> 00:11:41,600 Speaker 1: almost blindly always take that underdog, right, But that's I 213 00:11:41,600 --> 00:11:44,200 Speaker 1: think that's the question, Like, that's that's how I looked 214 00:11:44,240 --> 00:11:47,000 Speaker 1: at it. That's how I'm answering it, like you and I. 215 00:11:47,160 --> 00:11:48,920 Speaker 1: You and I look at the board every single week, 216 00:11:49,240 --> 00:11:52,000 Speaker 1: and you know, in the fall, we're gonna start doing 217 00:11:52,000 --> 00:11:55,640 Speaker 1: episodes on Sunday nights as soon as the late games 218 00:11:55,640 --> 00:11:58,760 Speaker 1: are over, and there might be some lines posted that 219 00:11:58,760 --> 00:12:02,560 Speaker 1: we'll have some early opinions, right, but by Tuesday we're 220 00:12:02,559 --> 00:12:04,280 Speaker 1: looking at the board. We've been looking at it for 221 00:12:04,480 --> 00:12:06,640 Speaker 1: you know, say thirty six hours by the time we 222 00:12:06,720 --> 00:12:11,600 Speaker 1: do the podcast, and we know it without having done 223 00:12:11,880 --> 00:12:15,280 Speaker 1: any modeling. Yeah, which games we like, and it's that 224 00:12:15,400 --> 00:12:19,160 Speaker 1: is entirely based on the market. Yeah, So I would say, like, 225 00:12:19,240 --> 00:12:21,839 Speaker 1: that's obviously an important thing to look for, but I 226 00:12:21,840 --> 00:12:26,640 Speaker 1: would say, for you know, just starting out for people, 227 00:12:28,000 --> 00:12:30,680 Speaker 1: I would look at the public, what the public's doing. Like, again, 228 00:12:30,679 --> 00:12:33,199 Speaker 1: I don't blindly do it, but if you find yourself 229 00:12:33,360 --> 00:12:36,640 Speaker 1: in line with everyone else on a public side, you know, 230 00:12:36,840 --> 00:12:38,920 Speaker 1: that's an issue. You gotta start checking those things. Where 231 00:12:38,960 --> 00:12:40,720 Speaker 1: I told people in the playoffs it's different. I don't 232 00:12:40,720 --> 00:12:42,559 Speaker 1: mind betting with the public in the playoffs, but during 233 00:12:42,559 --> 00:12:46,880 Speaker 1: the regular season there's certain times where I just won't 234 00:12:46,920 --> 00:12:48,920 Speaker 1: touch a game even if I like that same side, 235 00:12:48,920 --> 00:12:50,439 Speaker 1: I'll just either play the other side or I'll just 236 00:12:50,480 --> 00:12:54,240 Speaker 1: stay stay out of it. So for just starting out, 237 00:12:54,559 --> 00:12:57,360 Speaker 1: I would say, try to learn that. Try to learn 238 00:12:57,400 --> 00:13:00,520 Speaker 1: that of you know, again, you don't blindly fade the public, 239 00:13:01,040 --> 00:13:02,440 Speaker 1: but you don't want to be on the public side 240 00:13:02,440 --> 00:13:04,040 Speaker 1: all the time. If you find yourself on the public 241 00:13:04,040 --> 00:13:06,480 Speaker 1: side all the time, you gotta redo your model, like 242 00:13:06,559 --> 00:13:09,280 Speaker 1: something's clearly wrong in your model, because I mean, try 243 00:13:09,360 --> 00:13:10,520 Speaker 1: to talk all the time. A lot of time I 244 00:13:10,600 --> 00:13:13,600 Speaker 1: find value is you know, a team will be as 245 00:13:13,640 --> 00:13:15,760 Speaker 1: low as it's been all year, and that's peak value 246 00:13:15,760 --> 00:13:19,040 Speaker 1: on certain teams. So for me, from the most important 247 00:13:19,040 --> 00:13:21,720 Speaker 1: things you look at when handicapping, i'd tell people to 248 00:13:21,760 --> 00:13:24,920 Speaker 1: start there, and then also, you know, go through trends. 249 00:13:25,000 --> 00:13:27,560 Speaker 1: Like trends, once again, I don't blindly bet off it. 250 00:13:27,600 --> 00:13:29,840 Speaker 1: I do think they're very important too. Betting like trends 251 00:13:30,240 --> 00:13:31,840 Speaker 1: can kind of help you make a mindset of how 252 00:13:31,880 --> 00:13:34,160 Speaker 1: you think the game's gonna play out, and I'll let 253 00:13:34,200 --> 00:13:37,199 Speaker 1: you stay away from repeating the history again. People get 254 00:13:37,240 --> 00:13:39,280 Speaker 1: in trouble because they keep repeating the same history over 255 00:13:39,320 --> 00:13:41,640 Speaker 1: and over again. Trend's gonna help you stop that. Like 256 00:13:41,679 --> 00:13:43,959 Speaker 1: if you if you kept liking fading the Eagles in 257 00:13:44,000 --> 00:13:46,640 Speaker 1: the first half, and then you realize, well, the trend 258 00:13:46,720 --> 00:13:49,360 Speaker 1: says they're five and oh in the first half, that's 259 00:13:49,360 --> 00:13:51,440 Speaker 1: pretty easy. You just stop fading the Eagles in the 260 00:13:51,440 --> 00:13:53,920 Speaker 1: first half. So that's one of those where I'm talking 261 00:13:53,920 --> 00:13:56,440 Speaker 1: about the biggest trend better, I need to look at trends. 262 00:13:56,480 --> 00:13:58,320 Speaker 1: I need to make sure I'm checking the trends because 263 00:13:58,760 --> 00:14:00,840 Speaker 1: sometimes I can save you from easting a lot of 264 00:14:00,920 --> 00:14:04,280 Speaker 1: money thinking you know more where you know. Trends tend 265 00:14:04,280 --> 00:14:07,160 Speaker 1: to be pretty right, like things are what they are. 266 00:14:07,240 --> 00:14:10,959 Speaker 1: That's why they're trends. So again, not one size fits all, 267 00:14:11,000 --> 00:14:12,920 Speaker 1: but I like to check trends before I make bets. 268 00:14:13,640 --> 00:14:16,720 Speaker 1: Trends are trends for a reason. Cliches are true for 269 00:14:16,760 --> 00:14:23,160 Speaker 1: a reason. There you go, when let me let me 270 00:14:23,160 --> 00:14:25,800 Speaker 1: scroll down. You know, Matt Mitchell put these all together 271 00:14:25,800 --> 00:14:31,040 Speaker 1: in a very thoughtful Google doc. But one of the 272 00:14:31,120 --> 00:14:35,840 Speaker 1: questions that is lower in our dock is about Sean Payton. 273 00:14:36,080 --> 00:14:41,400 Speaker 1: And we were just talking about coaches Belichick, Tomlin, norv Turner. Right, Shanahan, 274 00:14:42,920 --> 00:14:46,080 Speaker 1: you and I both love Sean Payton. You're we talked 275 00:14:46,120 --> 00:14:49,800 Speaker 1: about the Broncos and our Futures podcast right after the 276 00:14:49,840 --> 00:14:55,000 Speaker 1: Super Bowl. Love them. Massive impact. I mean, it's the 277 00:14:55,080 --> 00:14:58,160 Speaker 1: question is how big of an impact gambling wise does 278 00:14:58,160 --> 00:15:02,600 Speaker 1: Sean Payne's return actually have? Huge? It's like going from again, 279 00:15:02,640 --> 00:15:05,240 Speaker 1: I hate shit on people's cars, but it's like going 280 00:15:05,280 --> 00:15:08,400 Speaker 1: from driving a Kia to a Lamborghini like that. That 281 00:15:08,640 --> 00:15:12,440 Speaker 1: last head coach. We all saw it first the first 282 00:15:12,480 --> 00:15:14,840 Speaker 1: game of their season. Yeah. I wasn't trying to be 283 00:15:14,880 --> 00:15:18,200 Speaker 1: an asshole. I just said that was fire bull shit. 284 00:15:18,320 --> 00:15:20,520 Speaker 1: This guy didn't know how to handle the moments, and 285 00:15:21,240 --> 00:15:22,680 Speaker 1: we saw a playoff for the rest of the season. 286 00:15:22,680 --> 00:15:24,160 Speaker 1: The guy just was not meant to be head coach. 287 00:15:24,200 --> 00:15:26,800 Speaker 1: He might be a great offensive coordinator, he just doesn't 288 00:15:26,800 --> 00:15:28,280 Speaker 1: have that part of his brain that can work to 289 00:15:28,320 --> 00:15:30,840 Speaker 1: be a head coach, which is you're calling the plays, 290 00:15:30,880 --> 00:15:33,240 Speaker 1: you're doing all this other bullshit, but in the back 291 00:15:33,240 --> 00:15:34,720 Speaker 1: of your mind. You know you have three timeouts and 292 00:15:34,760 --> 00:15:36,200 Speaker 1: there's three minutes left to go, and you have to 293 00:15:36,240 --> 00:15:38,680 Speaker 1: make a plan and want to use those timeouts. That's 294 00:15:38,680 --> 00:15:42,440 Speaker 1: all real stuff. Sean Payton to me, he's everything I 295 00:15:42,520 --> 00:15:45,360 Speaker 1: love of a head coach. This guy is obsessed with 296 00:15:45,400 --> 00:15:49,480 Speaker 1: football and he's so fucking smart. Like one of my 297 00:15:49,520 --> 00:15:51,920 Speaker 1: favorite Teampaign stories ever was that bounty gate. Remember you 298 00:15:51,920 --> 00:15:54,320 Speaker 1: got kicked out of the NFL for a year or two. Yeah, 299 00:15:54,360 --> 00:15:56,520 Speaker 1: he went to coach his sons high school team, which 300 00:15:56,520 --> 00:15:59,160 Speaker 1: I think the previous year had two wins. They went undefeated, 301 00:15:59,200 --> 00:16:02,120 Speaker 1: and they want to stay championship. So it's one of 302 00:16:02,120 --> 00:16:06,200 Speaker 1: those things where it's like this guy is really smart 303 00:16:06,280 --> 00:16:09,000 Speaker 1: at taking what he has and making a system around it. 304 00:16:09,040 --> 00:16:11,120 Speaker 1: I think that's what he'll do here where you know 305 00:16:11,200 --> 00:16:13,000 Speaker 1: all that bs. We heard Russell Wilson had his own 306 00:16:13,040 --> 00:16:15,960 Speaker 1: people in the building and his own nutritionist was in 307 00:16:15,960 --> 00:16:18,600 Speaker 1: the building. He wanted the time Brady treatment. That's why 308 00:16:18,600 --> 00:16:20,440 Speaker 1: I love Sean Payne. He's gonna come in there and 309 00:16:20,480 --> 00:16:22,120 Speaker 1: he's gonna be like, dude, I was the one that 310 00:16:22,120 --> 00:16:23,840 Speaker 1: I brought you to hear to Denver, like I could 311 00:16:23,840 --> 00:16:26,160 Speaker 1: care less. This new ownership aint the one that brought 312 00:16:26,200 --> 00:16:28,080 Speaker 1: you here to Denver. They could care less about you too. 313 00:16:28,240 --> 00:16:29,560 Speaker 1: If you wanted me to get the little bit of 314 00:16:29,600 --> 00:16:31,680 Speaker 1: outs of talent out of you, you're gonna shape up 315 00:16:31,680 --> 00:16:33,040 Speaker 1: and listen to it. To say, I think that's what 316 00:16:33,040 --> 00:16:35,600 Speaker 1: Sean's gonna do right away, where he's gonna go and 317 00:16:35,600 --> 00:16:37,600 Speaker 1: he's gonna kick a kick a bunch of guy's asses. 318 00:16:38,000 --> 00:16:40,040 Speaker 1: That's a team with a shitload of talent. So that's 319 00:16:40,080 --> 00:16:43,440 Speaker 1: why you know, coming into Denver, I'm their biggest weakness 320 00:16:43,520 --> 00:16:46,080 Speaker 1: is still to me, their offensive line. I think Peyton, 321 00:16:46,280 --> 00:16:48,320 Speaker 1: the mind he has, he'll be able to scheme around that. 322 00:16:48,440 --> 00:16:51,560 Speaker 1: So you know, if I was gonna actually put a 323 00:16:51,640 --> 00:16:53,720 Speaker 1: number on it, I would give them an extra win 324 00:16:53,760 --> 00:16:56,560 Speaker 1: and a half to two wins on Sean Payton. So 325 00:16:57,000 --> 00:16:59,400 Speaker 1: say I have the top five quarterbacks, I mean not 326 00:16:59,480 --> 00:17:03,080 Speaker 1: quarterbacks coaches this year. I'd still put Belichick one, put 327 00:17:03,080 --> 00:17:06,280 Speaker 1: Andy at two. Maybe I put Shanahan. Even though Shannon 328 00:17:06,320 --> 00:17:08,159 Speaker 1: has no rings, I still think he's that good. I 329 00:17:08,200 --> 00:17:11,320 Speaker 1: put him at three, McVeigh four, and I would, honestly, 330 00:17:11,640 --> 00:17:14,520 Speaker 1: even with the years missed, I put Sean Payne at five. 331 00:17:14,600 --> 00:17:17,359 Speaker 1: I just think he is that good of a head coach. 332 00:17:17,440 --> 00:17:21,159 Speaker 1: So yeah, I think it's a big deal. Like you 333 00:17:21,240 --> 00:17:23,159 Speaker 1: gotta get it all right, all these things you need 334 00:17:23,160 --> 00:17:24,639 Speaker 1: to line up, You need to get the quarterback, and 335 00:17:24,640 --> 00:17:26,399 Speaker 1: you need to get the coach. And I think at 336 00:17:26,480 --> 00:17:29,040 Speaker 1: this point they have the coach for sure in Denver. 337 00:17:29,080 --> 00:17:32,680 Speaker 1: I just don't know if they have the quarterback. That's 338 00:17:32,720 --> 00:17:37,280 Speaker 1: an interesting discussion. I would also add, I can't argue 339 00:17:37,280 --> 00:17:41,119 Speaker 1: with your top five. You know, I love Shanahan. I 340 00:17:41,119 --> 00:17:44,679 Speaker 1: think he's brilliant. Yeah, but I would also put in 341 00:17:44,720 --> 00:17:51,680 Speaker 1: there John Harbaugh, I would put Dan Campbell, I would 342 00:17:51,880 --> 00:17:55,280 Speaker 1: put I would put day Ball in there. I would 343 00:17:55,280 --> 00:18:01,440 Speaker 1: put Tomlin in there. That's nine, and I put Rabel 344 00:18:01,480 --> 00:18:05,360 Speaker 1: in there. That's ten. Yeah, enough to put. I'd also 345 00:18:05,440 --> 00:18:13,199 Speaker 1: have to put in um Matt Eberflus. Why because the 346 00:18:13,240 --> 00:18:16,879 Speaker 1: way he allowed the barriers to look competitive but was 347 00:18:16,920 --> 00:18:20,439 Speaker 1: still smart enough to lose ten eleven straight games to 348 00:18:20,520 --> 00:18:22,840 Speaker 1: end the year and end up with the number one pick. 349 00:18:23,880 --> 00:18:30,200 Speaker 1: That is macki Avellian's true don't sleep on Listen everyone 350 00:18:30,240 --> 00:18:33,720 Speaker 1: says don't sleep on Eberflus. I completely forget what that 351 00:18:33,760 --> 00:18:38,880 Speaker 1: guy's name was until you said, so that's remember the name. 352 00:18:39,320 --> 00:18:44,840 Speaker 1: My friend Simon, remember the name. Um, I agree with 353 00:18:44,840 --> 00:18:48,640 Speaker 1: you on pick love the Guy. Yeah, here's an interesting one. 354 00:18:49,800 --> 00:18:51,480 Speaker 1: A lot of football questions, but I think this is 355 00:18:51,520 --> 00:18:53,080 Speaker 1: a really important one. It says a lot about the 356 00:18:53,080 --> 00:18:57,159 Speaker 1: person you are, how you approach life. We had a 357 00:18:57,200 --> 00:19:00,360 Speaker 1: lot of that in the previous podcast. If you were 358 00:19:00,400 --> 00:19:03,960 Speaker 1: perpetually surrounded. Before I get to that, let me just 359 00:19:04,000 --> 00:19:07,080 Speaker 1: say I do think answering the question about whether or 360 00:19:07,119 --> 00:19:09,600 Speaker 1: not you believe in aliens says a lot about who 361 00:19:09,600 --> 00:19:13,240 Speaker 1: you are. Yeah, it's true, and I'm glad that we 362 00:19:13,240 --> 00:19:16,120 Speaker 1: were aligned on that question. So this is another test 363 00:19:16,160 --> 00:19:19,720 Speaker 1: of our relationship and our compatibility. If you were perpetually 364 00:19:19,840 --> 00:19:22,480 Speaker 1: surrounded by one aroma that you and everyone around you 365 00:19:22,480 --> 00:19:26,199 Speaker 1: could smell, what would it be. It's tough because I 366 00:19:26,240 --> 00:19:28,080 Speaker 1: know you eventually I hate it. Like my first thought 367 00:19:28,080 --> 00:19:29,720 Speaker 1: was bacon, but then it might ruin the smell of 368 00:19:29,760 --> 00:19:32,960 Speaker 1: bacon for me. But I have a really weird thing. 369 00:19:33,040 --> 00:19:37,159 Speaker 1: My favorite smell. Ever, this is weird as shit is 370 00:19:37,400 --> 00:19:41,040 Speaker 1: fresh off the ice hockey pucks Like you ever catch 371 00:19:41,080 --> 00:19:42,439 Speaker 1: one on the stands when they're doing the warm up 372 00:19:42,480 --> 00:19:46,000 Speaker 1: shots and stuff. No, I used to huffle, man, It's 373 00:19:46,000 --> 00:19:48,520 Speaker 1: like pure rubber or whatever that smell was. I loved 374 00:19:48,520 --> 00:19:50,480 Speaker 1: it as a kid. Now I'm older, I don't smell 375 00:19:50,560 --> 00:19:55,880 Speaker 1: hockey pucks anymore. But yeah, Simon, from eight to twelve, Oh, 376 00:19:56,119 --> 00:19:58,200 Speaker 1: that was my favorite thing about America. Catch a hockey 377 00:19:58,200 --> 00:20:01,320 Speaker 1: puck in the stands, just that bad boy, the whole, 378 00:20:02,000 --> 00:20:04,399 Speaker 1: the whole game. So I don't know. I'm trying to 379 00:20:04,400 --> 00:20:06,520 Speaker 1: think of what weird ass smell I would like forever, 380 00:20:06,560 --> 00:20:08,240 Speaker 1: and it might be that rubber. I just used to 381 00:20:08,280 --> 00:20:14,560 Speaker 1: love the smell of hockey pucks. You are a freak. Yeah, 382 00:20:14,560 --> 00:20:17,119 Speaker 1: I know. It's the most random thing. That is the 383 00:20:17,160 --> 00:20:21,440 Speaker 1: most random thing. Like you could say, you could say citrus, 384 00:20:22,280 --> 00:20:28,119 Speaker 1: you could say vanilla. Yeah, you could say fresh pine 385 00:20:29,040 --> 00:20:31,560 Speaker 1: like I did straight, Like when I did dip, I 386 00:20:31,560 --> 00:20:34,000 Speaker 1: did straight, which is like the old man dip. There's 387 00:20:34,000 --> 00:20:35,840 Speaker 1: no smell to it. So I'll let you know we're 388 00:20:35,880 --> 00:20:39,440 Speaker 1: on that with a romas like I just like it bland. See, 389 00:20:39,480 --> 00:20:43,800 Speaker 1: I was gonna say, like the smell of the forest 390 00:20:43,880 --> 00:20:46,880 Speaker 1: on a camping trip when you first wake up. If 391 00:20:46,840 --> 00:20:48,359 Speaker 1: we're gonna do that, I would say when I step 392 00:20:48,359 --> 00:20:51,120 Speaker 1: off an airplane in Hawaii, that's the greatest fucking smell ever, 393 00:20:51,240 --> 00:20:54,880 Speaker 1: or the redwoods in California. But no, I was trying 394 00:20:54,880 --> 00:20:56,760 Speaker 1: to find a weird object. Chat, give me something weird. 395 00:20:56,800 --> 00:20:59,440 Speaker 1: You like to smell like, You're like, you're like gasoline. 396 00:21:00,040 --> 00:21:03,120 Speaker 1: You're a gas huffer. I don't mind gas. I mean 397 00:21:03,160 --> 00:21:05,679 Speaker 1: I'm very My wife will tell you I'm very ol 398 00:21:05,800 --> 00:21:09,120 Speaker 1: factory sensitive. Like I walk into a room and I 399 00:21:09,240 --> 00:21:12,760 Speaker 1: like can smell immediately if something is off and don't 400 00:21:12,880 --> 00:21:15,240 Speaker 1: like it. I just you know, it's like I hate 401 00:21:15,240 --> 00:21:22,200 Speaker 1: pour I hate potpourri. Yeah, hate hate potpourri. Can't can't 402 00:21:22,200 --> 00:21:24,880 Speaker 1: do it. It makes me sick to my stomach. Matt 403 00:21:25,400 --> 00:21:28,639 Speaker 1: Mitchell is weighing in. He says the answer is cedar, 404 00:21:28,960 --> 00:21:31,600 Speaker 1: the world's greatest smell. That would make sense from a 405 00:21:31,680 --> 00:21:35,239 Speaker 1: guy who basically lives in a cedar basement in the 406 00:21:35,280 --> 00:21:38,800 Speaker 1: middle of Wisconsin. The cedar is like the the official 407 00:21:38,920 --> 00:21:43,720 Speaker 1: state smell of Wisconsin. Bet the NBA on TNT within 408 00:21:43,840 --> 00:21:46,679 Speaker 1: no Sweat Same game parlet from FanDuel, America's number one 409 00:21:46,680 --> 00:21:48,760 Speaker 1: sports book. It doesn't matter if you're new to FanDuel 410 00:21:48,760 --> 00:21:51,440 Speaker 1: already have an account. Every Thursday and night, you'll get 411 00:21:51,520 --> 00:21:54,159 Speaker 1: bonus bets back if your same game parley doesn't hit 412 00:21:54,520 --> 00:21:56,800 Speaker 1: NBA same game parlets are the perfect way to combine 413 00:21:56,880 --> 00:21:59,200 Speaker 1: your bets for a chance at a bigger payday. Build 414 00:21:59,359 --> 00:22:02,720 Speaker 1: your owner who's from one of the popular shgps already 415 00:22:02,760 --> 00:22:05,520 Speaker 1: made for you in the FanDuel Sportsbook app on Thursday Night. 416 00:22:05,600 --> 00:22:09,440 Speaker 1: My favorite SGP is the Nuggets, the full game under 417 00:22:09,680 --> 00:22:12,440 Speaker 1: and the first half under. However you want to play, 418 00:22:12,480 --> 00:22:15,359 Speaker 1: you can bet the NBA on TNT every Thursday with 419 00:22:15,400 --> 00:22:18,280 Speaker 1: a no sweat same game parlay. Just head to FanDuel 420 00:22:18,320 --> 00:22:20,719 Speaker 1: dot com slash Favorites and download FanDuel Today to get 421 00:22:20,760 --> 00:22:23,199 Speaker 1: in on the action. And if you're in Massachusetts, get 422 00:22:23,280 --> 00:22:26,280 Speaker 1: ready because FanDuel is coming soon. Make sure you check 423 00:22:26,320 --> 00:22:29,720 Speaker 1: out FanDuel dot com slash mass and take advantage of 424 00:22:29,760 --> 00:22:33,400 Speaker 1: their great prelive offers. Make every moment more with FanDuel 425 00:22:33,440 --> 00:22:36,040 Speaker 1: and official sports betting partner of the NBA. Must be 426 00:22:36,160 --> 00:22:39,200 Speaker 1: twenty one or older and present in select states. Three 427 00:22:39,240 --> 00:22:42,000 Speaker 1: plus legs, minimum one dollar bet required, Refund issued is 428 00:22:42,040 --> 00:22:44,840 Speaker 1: nonwidroubal bonus bets that expire seven days after receipt. Max 429 00:22:44,920 --> 00:22:48,359 Speaker 1: bonus bet five dollars and less. Otherwise specified restrictions applied 430 00:22:48,440 --> 00:22:51,120 Speaker 1: void where prohibited. C Full terms at FanDuel dot com, 431 00:22:51,119 --> 00:22:54,800 Speaker 1: slash sportsbook fanduels offering online sports wagering in Kansas under 432 00:22:54,800 --> 00:22:58,760 Speaker 1: an agreement with Kansastar Casino LC. Gambling Problem Call one 433 00:22:58,920 --> 00:23:05,240 Speaker 1: eight hundred Gambler FanDuel dot com slash RG in Colorado, Iowa, Michigan, 434 00:23:05,280 --> 00:23:09,040 Speaker 1: New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Virginia one eight hundred next step 435 00:23:09,200 --> 00:23:11,600 Speaker 1: or text next step to five three three four two 436 00:23:11,640 --> 00:23:14,640 Speaker 1: in Arizona one eight eight eight seven eight nine seven 437 00:23:14,720 --> 00:23:19,480 Speaker 1: seven seven seven or visit CCPG dot org slash chat 438 00:23:19,480 --> 00:23:22,760 Speaker 1: in Connecticut. One eight hundred nine with it in Indiana, 439 00:23:23,080 --> 00:23:26,840 Speaker 1: KS gambling heelp dot com in Kansas one eight seven 440 00:23:26,960 --> 00:23:30,320 Speaker 1: seven seven seven zero stop in Louisiana one eight seven 441 00:23:30,440 --> 00:23:34,920 Speaker 1: seven eight Hope NY or text Hope NY in New York, Tennessee. 442 00:23:35,000 --> 00:23:37,640 Speaker 1: Redline is one eight hundred eight eight nine nine seven 443 00:23:37,680 --> 00:23:40,160 Speaker 1: eight nine one eight hundred five two two forty seven 444 00:23:40,280 --> 00:23:44,760 Speaker 1: hundred in Wyoming, or visit www. One eight hundred gambler 445 00:23:44,800 --> 00:23:48,800 Speaker 1: dot net in West Virginia. I want to ask a 446 00:23:48,880 --> 00:23:51,520 Speaker 1: couple more football questions, but here's another fun one. If 447 00:23:51,560 --> 00:23:54,480 Speaker 1: you could only bet one sport for the rest of 448 00:23:54,520 --> 00:23:59,040 Speaker 1: your life, and it couldn't be football, what do you choose, 449 00:23:59,480 --> 00:24:04,720 Speaker 1: and oh, like I'm living here in America, my same 450 00:24:04,760 --> 00:24:09,040 Speaker 1: exact life. Yeah you're thinking soccer. Yeah, if I was overseas, 451 00:24:09,040 --> 00:24:11,199 Speaker 1: I do soccer. But because I'm in America, I just 452 00:24:11,240 --> 00:24:14,440 Speaker 1: do a baseball like I love. My favorite thing about 453 00:24:14,520 --> 00:24:16,639 Speaker 1: baseball is all the numbers with it, where it's like 454 00:24:16,720 --> 00:24:19,959 Speaker 1: if you build a model, you can find the huge 455 00:24:20,119 --> 00:24:24,080 Speaker 1: edges in baseball because it's every day And basically I 456 00:24:24,160 --> 00:24:26,160 Speaker 1: know a handful of pros that they might hit forty 457 00:24:26,240 --> 00:24:29,080 Speaker 1: percent for the season, but they're up a shitload of 458 00:24:29,160 --> 00:24:33,159 Speaker 1: money just because they bet underdogs all seasons. So you know, 459 00:24:34,520 --> 00:24:40,720 Speaker 1: baseball is the grind of grinds. But I just I 460 00:24:40,840 --> 00:24:42,119 Speaker 1: used to be based to be my thing. Like I 461 00:24:42,160 --> 00:24:44,040 Speaker 1: used to be obsessed with fantasy baseball when I was 462 00:24:44,080 --> 00:24:47,200 Speaker 1: really young. As I've gotten older, I've kind of phased 463 00:24:47,240 --> 00:24:49,240 Speaker 1: it out. Like I'm still a Phillies fan. I still 464 00:24:49,280 --> 00:24:51,080 Speaker 1: have a model build or anything for baseball, Like I 465 00:24:51,119 --> 00:24:53,679 Speaker 1: get my picks off the guys in my groups or 466 00:24:53,760 --> 00:24:57,640 Speaker 1: Shanzirilla or a guy. So you know, to me, if 467 00:24:57,680 --> 00:24:59,479 Speaker 1: I had to do one sport and the same thing 468 00:24:59,480 --> 00:25:01,560 Speaker 1: where footba, well you know, I just do nothing for 469 00:25:01,600 --> 00:25:03,439 Speaker 1: seven months I got I'm all in. I could do 470 00:25:03,480 --> 00:25:05,920 Speaker 1: that with baseball, like just literally go into a hole 471 00:25:06,359 --> 00:25:08,000 Speaker 1: after pitchers and catchers and then come out of the 472 00:25:08,040 --> 00:25:10,880 Speaker 1: hole in November. I can do that, So I guess 473 00:25:10,920 --> 00:25:14,760 Speaker 1: I'll go with baseball. I would bet first five in baseball. 474 00:25:16,520 --> 00:25:18,840 Speaker 1: I would have bet full game in baseball. I would 475 00:25:19,040 --> 00:25:23,480 Speaker 1: My answer would be an era and a sport. So 476 00:25:24,240 --> 00:25:27,440 Speaker 1: if I could bet one sport forever, and it couldn't 477 00:25:27,440 --> 00:25:34,920 Speaker 1: be the NFL, I'm betting late nineties college basketball, and 478 00:25:35,119 --> 00:25:41,600 Speaker 1: I'm probably betting like the extra games that Ritchie Batolary 479 00:25:41,760 --> 00:25:45,800 Speaker 1: posted at the MGM. So when I was writing The Odds, 480 00:25:46,240 --> 00:25:48,399 Speaker 1: my best selling book about guys who've been in sports 481 00:25:48,400 --> 00:25:50,440 Speaker 1: for a living, when I spent six months in Vegas 482 00:25:50,480 --> 00:25:56,160 Speaker 1: tracking these guys, and Alan Boston was the professional better 483 00:25:56,400 --> 00:25:59,040 Speaker 1: who I profiled, and he was the best college basketball 484 00:25:59,200 --> 00:26:02,080 Speaker 1: better in the world at the time. And I'd be 485 00:26:02,160 --> 00:26:04,879 Speaker 1: with him on a Saturday, full day, on a Saturday, 486 00:26:05,280 --> 00:26:09,919 Speaker 1: seven am to seven pm West Coast time, and you know, 487 00:26:10,320 --> 00:26:13,640 Speaker 1: he's literally betten millions over the course of the day 488 00:26:13,680 --> 00:26:18,160 Speaker 1: on college basketball. But the MGM and the books then 489 00:26:18,240 --> 00:26:21,440 Speaker 1: they you know, you could find some really good opportunities 490 00:26:21,480 --> 00:26:26,040 Speaker 1: because if you were focused on college basketball, especially October November, 491 00:26:27,840 --> 00:26:30,400 Speaker 1: the books just couldn't be sharp. Like, you know, ken 492 00:26:30,440 --> 00:26:32,400 Speaker 1: palm was barely a thing. If it was a thing 493 00:26:32,400 --> 00:26:36,000 Speaker 1: at that point, I don't think it was. And so 494 00:26:37,080 --> 00:26:41,760 Speaker 1: the books were so focused on baseball, NBA, college football, NFL, 495 00:26:42,680 --> 00:26:46,800 Speaker 1: there wasn't an opportunity to really make great lines for 496 00:26:46,800 --> 00:26:49,879 Speaker 1: college basketball. And then Richie box Hilary took it one 497 00:26:49,880 --> 00:26:53,840 Speaker 1: step further and was posting lines like Patriot League lines 498 00:26:53,880 --> 00:26:58,639 Speaker 1: that nobody else was posting, and was taken big, big limits, 499 00:26:58,640 --> 00:27:00,960 Speaker 1: like he didn't give a fuck, and so you could 500 00:27:00,960 --> 00:27:02,720 Speaker 1: go in and just clean up on those games and 501 00:27:02,720 --> 00:27:05,639 Speaker 1: he didn't care. He like this was old end of 502 00:27:05,680 --> 00:27:09,719 Speaker 1: old school Vegas where bookmakers were gamblers, right They weren't. 503 00:27:10,359 --> 00:27:16,320 Speaker 1: They weren't sort of considered to be the arbitrage experts 504 00:27:16,400 --> 00:27:21,160 Speaker 1: that they are now. They weren't trading floor analysts, right. 505 00:27:21,320 --> 00:27:25,000 Speaker 1: They were bookmakers who were thrown up lines, letting wise 506 00:27:25,000 --> 00:27:28,480 Speaker 1: guys come in pound him into shape, taking big limits 507 00:27:28,520 --> 00:27:31,639 Speaker 1: and letting the chips fall where they may. That's what 508 00:27:31,680 --> 00:27:33,600 Speaker 1: I would bet, and that's the era I would be better. 509 00:27:33,600 --> 00:27:38,120 Speaker 1: It in can't argue with it doesn't that sound nice. Yeah, 510 00:27:39,760 --> 00:27:43,240 Speaker 1: you know, like back then the Stardust, which is the 511 00:27:43,320 --> 00:27:45,800 Speaker 1: book that I profiled, and the bookmakers were Bob Scucci 512 00:27:45,840 --> 00:27:51,240 Speaker 1: and Joe Lupo, and you know, they'd have a line 513 00:27:51,240 --> 00:27:58,280 Speaker 1: out the door at eight am for from wise guys 514 00:27:58,720 --> 00:28:01,639 Speaker 1: to bet the opening lines for college basketball. They weren't 515 00:28:01,640 --> 00:28:04,199 Speaker 1: betting them offshore yet, like it was just starting to 516 00:28:04,200 --> 00:28:06,639 Speaker 1: become a thing, so they would just line up to 517 00:28:06,640 --> 00:28:09,440 Speaker 1: get like the freshest lines. It's like line enough to 518 00:28:09,440 --> 00:28:11,399 Speaker 1: get the best fish at the fish market at four 519 00:28:11,440 --> 00:28:15,879 Speaker 1: in the morning. It was just fucking insane. I wonder 520 00:28:15,920 --> 00:28:17,680 Speaker 1: how you would have done back then, if you would 521 00:28:17,680 --> 00:28:20,760 Speaker 1: have liked it like before, I know you lived in Vegas, 522 00:28:20,800 --> 00:28:25,159 Speaker 1: but like before you had the advantage of technology and 523 00:28:25,200 --> 00:28:30,760 Speaker 1: all these kinds of things. They would say. I would 524 00:28:30,760 --> 00:28:33,400 Speaker 1: definitely say I would have gone broke easier. That would 525 00:28:33,400 --> 00:28:36,920 Speaker 1: be the damn truth. Where like a model is a 526 00:28:37,040 --> 00:28:38,640 Speaker 1: nice crack, I can line my model up with a 527 00:28:38,640 --> 00:28:39,960 Speaker 1: bunch of other things. I can line it up with 528 00:28:39,960 --> 00:28:42,000 Speaker 1: the old school guys who are, like I told you 529 00:28:42,120 --> 00:28:44,800 Speaker 1: all the times, there's guys who walk outside, you know, 530 00:28:45,000 --> 00:28:47,880 Speaker 1: and they're mustard staining tank top and they'll look up 531 00:28:48,000 --> 00:28:49,200 Speaker 1: in the sky and I'll be like, you know what, 532 00:28:49,280 --> 00:28:51,239 Speaker 1: today I'm betting the Knicks and the Knicks school win 533 00:28:51,320 --> 00:28:52,800 Speaker 1: by like thirty and I'm like, how do these guys 534 00:28:52,880 --> 00:28:55,320 Speaker 1: do it with no model? But they do it. They 535 00:28:55,320 --> 00:28:56,920 Speaker 1: got good source and everything like that. So I would 536 00:28:56,920 --> 00:28:59,560 Speaker 1: say back then it would have been a different type 537 00:28:59,560 --> 00:29:01,840 Speaker 1: of work where all you're doing is talking to sources 538 00:29:01,880 --> 00:29:03,640 Speaker 1: and you're talking to other pros. You're trying to line 539 00:29:03,720 --> 00:29:07,120 Speaker 1: up with all them, where nowadays you know you got models, 540 00:29:07,160 --> 00:29:10,240 Speaker 1: you have trends, all these other things, where pre Internet 541 00:29:10,320 --> 00:29:13,080 Speaker 1: there was none of that. I mean that labs. I 542 00:29:13,080 --> 00:29:15,320 Speaker 1: can't imagine my life without bet labs chat. So I 543 00:29:15,360 --> 00:29:19,880 Speaker 1: would say I would probably wouldn't survive, but I would 544 00:29:19,920 --> 00:29:22,040 Speaker 1: be miserable. That would be a really tough life to live. 545 00:29:23,400 --> 00:29:25,840 Speaker 1: You know, it's funny you mentioned no Internet. There's the 546 00:29:25,920 --> 00:29:29,720 Speaker 1: old school stories about Lem Banker, who was like one 547 00:29:29,720 --> 00:29:33,200 Speaker 1: of the original old school professional betters. He would go 548 00:29:33,240 --> 00:29:37,560 Speaker 1: to the airport early in the morning in Las Vegas 549 00:29:37,640 --> 00:29:41,040 Speaker 1: and as the businessmen flying into Vegas on the first 550 00:29:41,040 --> 00:29:44,040 Speaker 1: flights out from the East Coast would throw away their newspapers, 551 00:29:44,320 --> 00:29:47,920 Speaker 1: he would grab the sports section from the garbage and 552 00:29:47,960 --> 00:29:49,800 Speaker 1: start reading it to see if there was any edge 553 00:29:49,800 --> 00:29:52,760 Speaker 1: he could get on the games that night for lines 554 00:29:52,760 --> 00:29:55,560 Speaker 1: that were just being posted, you know, ten am noon 555 00:29:55,640 --> 00:29:58,160 Speaker 1: in Vegas, Alan Boston. When I was doing the book, 556 00:29:58,920 --> 00:30:04,840 Speaker 1: he used to you call the scorers tables for schools 557 00:30:04,880 --> 00:30:08,040 Speaker 1: on the East Coast and say he was Say it was, 558 00:30:08,440 --> 00:30:13,360 Speaker 1: you know, Saint Joe's Villanova playing at Boston College. He 559 00:30:13,400 --> 00:30:15,480 Speaker 1: would call the scores table at Boston College and say 560 00:30:15,520 --> 00:30:19,800 Speaker 1: he was the reporter for Villanova and asked the scores 561 00:30:19,840 --> 00:30:23,320 Speaker 1: table like who's gonna be playing, who's in the lot, 562 00:30:23,400 --> 00:30:26,160 Speaker 1: who's practicing right now, who's in shooting drills? All those 563 00:30:26,240 --> 00:30:29,360 Speaker 1: kinds of things to get the latest in the lineups 564 00:30:29,360 --> 00:30:31,320 Speaker 1: that nobody else was getting. Like you had to hustle. 565 00:30:31,360 --> 00:30:34,680 Speaker 1: You couldn't just go on Twitter and follow every beat writer. Yeah, 566 00:30:34,880 --> 00:30:39,080 Speaker 1: you get an answer. Those are harder days, really harder days. 567 00:30:39,640 --> 00:30:43,000 Speaker 1: One of our two more questions. One of our favorite 568 00:30:43,080 --> 00:30:46,480 Speaker 1: teams to bash this past year where the Los Angeles Chargers. 569 00:30:46,520 --> 00:30:51,840 Speaker 1: Somehow Staley kept his job, but Joe Lombardi, the offensive coordinator, 570 00:30:51,920 --> 00:30:55,040 Speaker 1: got fired. The defensive coordinator, Ronaldo Hill just left to 571 00:30:55,160 --> 00:30:59,160 Speaker 1: take a job working for the Miami Dolphins, and his 572 00:30:59,160 --> 00:31:05,240 Speaker 1: old boss vic Angio Brandon Stay remains. Do we think 573 00:31:05,280 --> 00:31:07,920 Speaker 1: these are improvements? Are we just rearranging deck chairs in 574 00:31:07,960 --> 00:31:14,200 Speaker 1: the Titanic? Kellen Moore is the new offensive coordinator. I 575 00:31:14,240 --> 00:31:17,960 Speaker 1: saw this and I thought, start at the top, it 576 00:31:18,040 --> 00:31:20,520 Speaker 1: to the same coach. The rest of it's not going 577 00:31:20,560 --> 00:31:23,160 Speaker 1: to make a difference. Yeah, it feels that way. It 578 00:31:23,160 --> 00:31:25,360 Speaker 1: feels like it's also an owner kind of being cheap, 579 00:31:25,640 --> 00:31:27,880 Speaker 1: like the owners should have let this guy go eat 580 00:31:27,960 --> 00:31:32,080 Speaker 1: the money, hired a new guy, but he isn't. And no, 581 00:31:32,200 --> 00:31:34,680 Speaker 1: it sucks. If you're a Chargers fan. You have the 582 00:31:34,760 --> 00:31:38,680 Speaker 1: dream snare, you have the all pro quarterback on a 583 00:31:38,760 --> 00:31:41,440 Speaker 1: rookie contract, and what did we just see? We saw 584 00:31:41,560 --> 00:31:43,920 Speaker 1: Joe Burrow, same exact draft class make it to a 585 00:31:43,960 --> 00:31:47,280 Speaker 1: super Bowl. We saw Hurts, same draft class make it 586 00:31:47,280 --> 00:31:50,880 Speaker 1: to a super Bowl. We've seen two us struggle. We've 587 00:31:50,920 --> 00:31:53,440 Speaker 1: seen Herbert struggle. I mean Herbert, he doesn't want a 588 00:31:53,480 --> 00:31:56,000 Speaker 1: playoff game yet We're this is year four reading into 589 00:31:56,080 --> 00:31:59,360 Speaker 1: So I feel bad for Chargers fans, So I'm not 590 00:31:59,440 --> 00:32:02,360 Speaker 1: gonna try to be them up, but yeah, I'd be pissed. 591 00:32:02,440 --> 00:32:06,400 Speaker 1: It's like it wasn't Herbert's fault. They let the Jaguars 592 00:32:06,440 --> 00:32:07,640 Speaker 1: come all the way back in that game. That was 593 00:32:07,680 --> 00:32:09,520 Speaker 1: the head coach is fault and the head coach is 594 00:32:09,520 --> 00:32:13,240 Speaker 1: the guy that runs the defense as well. So not good. 595 00:32:13,480 --> 00:32:16,920 Speaker 1: But you know, I'm trying to be positive because it's Herbert. 596 00:32:16,960 --> 00:32:20,400 Speaker 1: Like Herbert, he's so good. But I think we're all 597 00:32:20,440 --> 00:32:23,520 Speaker 1: at this point now where he's looking like a damn arena. 598 00:32:23,760 --> 00:32:27,120 Speaker 1: Like all the talent in the world, I just can't 599 00:32:27,120 --> 00:32:28,800 Speaker 1: see him win of the Super Bowl as is. So 600 00:32:29,680 --> 00:32:31,760 Speaker 1: that's the fear right now. If you're a Herbert a 601 00:32:31,840 --> 00:32:34,320 Speaker 1: fan or just a backer, it's like, kid, it was 602 00:32:34,320 --> 00:32:36,280 Speaker 1: all the town in the world. It might be like 603 00:32:36,320 --> 00:32:38,080 Speaker 1: betting on the Cowboys when a Super Bowl it's just 604 00:32:38,080 --> 00:32:40,120 Speaker 1: a dumb bet. It's just a team that they might 605 00:32:40,160 --> 00:32:42,240 Speaker 1: have all the hype, they just won't get there. But 606 00:32:42,320 --> 00:32:46,160 Speaker 1: I'm not there yet. With this Chargers team, I feel like, 607 00:32:46,280 --> 00:32:49,720 Speaker 1: and maybe this is a bad move because I was 608 00:32:49,800 --> 00:32:54,400 Speaker 1: so in on the Chargers two years ago. Yeah, I 609 00:32:54,480 --> 00:32:56,200 Speaker 1: was in on the chart to win the Super Bowl. 610 00:32:56,240 --> 00:32:57,840 Speaker 1: I was in on the Chargers last year to win 611 00:32:57,920 --> 00:33:00,720 Speaker 1: the division, although I don't think I was in on 612 00:33:00,760 --> 00:33:04,400 Speaker 1: them as much as I was in on the Broncos. Yeah, 613 00:33:04,440 --> 00:33:07,880 Speaker 1: the Chargers. I just Staley's one of those coaches to 614 00:33:07,880 --> 00:33:11,680 Speaker 1: me where he hasn't proven it enough for me to 615 00:33:11,760 --> 00:33:14,560 Speaker 1: believe that he can do what he needs to do 616 00:33:14,640 --> 00:33:19,480 Speaker 1: with Justin Herbert, and like, if I'm the Chargers ownership 617 00:33:20,960 --> 00:33:25,280 Speaker 1: and I wanted to win, I'm like, fucking Sean Pitts available. 618 00:33:25,560 --> 00:33:28,920 Speaker 1: I got a Hall of Fame caliber quarterback here, Get 619 00:33:28,960 --> 00:33:32,280 Speaker 1: me Sean fucking Peyton and let me fix this. Yeah, 620 00:33:32,280 --> 00:33:33,680 Speaker 1: Like I was gonna say, I didn't watch much of 621 00:33:33,720 --> 00:33:36,800 Speaker 1: Mahomes's parade speech, but I can tell you ninety percent 622 00:33:36,840 --> 00:33:40,160 Speaker 1: of it was directed towards people like Chad, which was, yeah, 623 00:33:40,200 --> 00:33:42,800 Speaker 1: Mahomes lost Tyreek, They're gona rebuild a year. Denver's by 624 00:33:42,840 --> 00:33:45,680 Speaker 1: the best team in that division. Mahomes was firing away 625 00:33:45,680 --> 00:33:48,840 Speaker 1: on all those people. So that's definitely one of those 626 00:33:48,880 --> 00:33:51,680 Speaker 1: where I'm with Chad where it's like I just don't 627 00:33:51,680 --> 00:33:53,760 Speaker 1: want to be burned back on this Chargers team again, 628 00:33:53,760 --> 00:33:57,880 Speaker 1: where they're in a division with Mahomes. Last question before 629 00:33:57,880 --> 00:34:01,840 Speaker 1: we get out of here. I am very excited about 630 00:34:01,880 --> 00:34:04,040 Speaker 1: the NFL Draft. Been reading a lot about it. The 631 00:34:04,040 --> 00:34:05,840 Speaker 1: Bears have the number one pick. What are they gonna do? 632 00:34:06,920 --> 00:34:10,080 Speaker 1: It's a couple months away. Still, we've covered it a 633 00:34:10,120 --> 00:34:12,640 Speaker 1: lot on the Favorite podcast. It's become a big betting event. 634 00:34:15,000 --> 00:34:18,200 Speaker 1: When does NFL Draft betting season heat up for you? 635 00:34:18,360 --> 00:34:22,520 Speaker 1: I say this with the last twenty four hours, a 636 00:34:22,719 --> 00:34:28,120 Speaker 1: shitload of speculation and market movement on Will Levis to 637 00:34:28,200 --> 00:34:32,200 Speaker 1: be the number one overall player taken. And that's all. 638 00:34:32,200 --> 00:34:36,400 Speaker 1: This time of year is where it's like, no, that kid. 639 00:34:36,520 --> 00:34:39,960 Speaker 1: Will you talk to anyone that watches college football? Apparently 640 00:34:39,960 --> 00:34:42,759 Speaker 1: that kid is not that good, Like nothing about him 641 00:34:42,760 --> 00:34:46,200 Speaker 1: screams good. But to me, that's irrelevant. You're looking for 642 00:34:46,320 --> 00:34:49,680 Speaker 1: a body type in a style and what would you 643 00:34:49,760 --> 00:34:52,680 Speaker 1: rather have. People You want to have a great college 644 00:34:52,719 --> 00:34:55,359 Speaker 1: quarterback in Baker Mayfield or you want the kid from 645 00:34:55,360 --> 00:34:59,200 Speaker 1: Wyoming and Josh Allen. So it's just like I say 646 00:34:59,200 --> 00:35:02,560 Speaker 1: it all the time. These kids people, especially if people 647 00:35:02,560 --> 00:35:05,080 Speaker 1: watch college football, I think they know shit. It's like, dude, 648 00:35:05,640 --> 00:35:08,319 Speaker 1: the NFL, this ain't no little boys league. There ain't 649 00:35:08,360 --> 00:35:12,040 Speaker 1: no little kids playing like college football. This is grown man. 650 00:35:12,160 --> 00:35:14,840 Speaker 1: Shit with growing man have to play a sport where 651 00:35:15,160 --> 00:35:18,239 Speaker 1: you're gonna be taking hits. So you know, I'm not 652 00:35:18,280 --> 00:35:21,680 Speaker 1: here to shoot on him, but Bryce Young off my board. 653 00:35:21,840 --> 00:35:24,640 Speaker 1: Like that kid, I might take a mid second, you know, 654 00:35:24,800 --> 00:35:27,600 Speaker 1: take a flyer on him, like a Jalen Hurts type. 655 00:35:28,120 --> 00:35:30,919 Speaker 1: That kid don't have the body for this league at all. 656 00:35:31,040 --> 00:35:34,080 Speaker 1: I just cannot see him last in this league. Now 657 00:35:34,080 --> 00:35:35,719 Speaker 1: he might take a ship ton of weight gain or 658 00:35:35,800 --> 00:35:40,799 Speaker 1: do whatever he needs to before the combine. That kid, 659 00:35:40,800 --> 00:35:42,959 Speaker 1: to me, will not will not last in this league. 660 00:35:42,960 --> 00:35:44,520 Speaker 1: He just doesn't have the body type for it. And 661 00:35:44,600 --> 00:35:47,040 Speaker 1: it's like trying to have to put these guys into 662 00:35:47,120 --> 00:35:50,920 Speaker 1: a box. But there's a reason that you know, Kyler 663 00:35:51,000 --> 00:35:54,359 Speaker 1: Murray has been hurt a lot. Lamar Jackson, He's had 664 00:35:54,440 --> 00:35:56,600 Speaker 1: multiple years now he's been hurt again. These are guys 665 00:35:56,600 --> 00:36:00,680 Speaker 1: who are smaller, good athletes, race young, no good athlete, 666 00:36:00,719 --> 00:36:02,239 Speaker 1: Like I don't think this kid's going to run under 667 00:36:02,280 --> 00:36:05,279 Speaker 1: a four or five. He's just probably one of the 668 00:36:05,320 --> 00:36:07,600 Speaker 1: smartest quarterbacks I've ever watched on tape, and he has 669 00:36:07,600 --> 00:36:10,560 Speaker 1: a credible arm. So to me, I get why Bryshrong 670 00:36:10,719 --> 00:36:13,840 Speaker 1: still is a number one pick. I got no issue 671 00:36:13,840 --> 00:36:16,680 Speaker 1: of this kid will goes number one or the kid 672 00:36:16,719 --> 00:36:19,160 Speaker 1: I love, Anthony Richardson goes number one. It's just like 673 00:36:19,840 --> 00:36:22,160 Speaker 1: I'm trying to project out like that's my job right now, 674 00:36:22,160 --> 00:36:23,520 Speaker 1: like me and Chad talked about, I don't know if 675 00:36:23,520 --> 00:36:25,480 Speaker 1: I talk on the show, I'm actually working for an 676 00:36:25,560 --> 00:36:27,280 Speaker 1: NFL team that share and doing stuff for the draft. 677 00:36:28,239 --> 00:36:31,239 Speaker 1: I've sent them a little little notes and stuff I've taken. 678 00:36:31,400 --> 00:36:34,000 Speaker 1: Right now, I'll really dive in in a month. This 679 00:36:34,040 --> 00:36:36,040 Speaker 1: is kind of as a pro better. This is kind 680 00:36:36,040 --> 00:36:38,759 Speaker 1: of like our little break here. So basically, I'll chill 681 00:36:38,880 --> 00:36:40,960 Speaker 1: right now. I mean, I'm gonna workaholics. So I've been 682 00:36:40,960 --> 00:36:45,480 Speaker 1: doing the draft anyway. I just love watching film. I 683 00:36:45,600 --> 00:36:48,480 Speaker 1: started now. But I'll say most pros, you know, like 684 00:36:48,560 --> 00:36:51,000 Speaker 1: say I got I don't know. I might have eight 685 00:36:51,000 --> 00:36:53,600 Speaker 1: people now working underneath me. I had three of them 686 00:36:53,640 --> 00:36:55,960 Speaker 1: working on the draft since December, so I means they're 687 00:36:56,200 --> 00:36:59,279 Speaker 1: they're watching tape, they're running notes, and then they're matching 688 00:36:59,360 --> 00:37:01,200 Speaker 1: up with teams. We're gonna be able to find value 689 00:37:01,200 --> 00:37:06,400 Speaker 1: betting on the draft come draft season. Me personally, my 690 00:37:06,480 --> 00:37:08,759 Speaker 1: biggest thing I studied the quarterbacks. Like to me, that's 691 00:37:08,800 --> 00:37:13,239 Speaker 1: the moneymaker. I mean, we just talked about Herbert. I 692 00:37:13,239 --> 00:37:15,080 Speaker 1: gave about Herbert to win Rookie the Year in nineteen 693 00:37:15,120 --> 00:37:17,680 Speaker 1: to one, So like, did I really think Herbert was 694 00:37:17,719 --> 00:37:20,200 Speaker 1: gonna win Rookie of the Year this first year. No, 695 00:37:20,280 --> 00:37:22,240 Speaker 1: I just thought this guy has a crazy amount of talent, 696 00:37:22,400 --> 00:37:24,560 Speaker 1: and then I got lucky with you know, Tyrod Taylor 697 00:37:24,560 --> 00:37:26,480 Speaker 1: got a needle to his lung, and then Herbert was 698 00:37:26,520 --> 00:37:28,440 Speaker 1: in the rest of the year. So you need a 699 00:37:28,440 --> 00:37:30,000 Speaker 1: little luck with these kind of things. And I'm kind 700 00:37:30,040 --> 00:37:32,799 Speaker 1: of on the same spot here of I don't really 701 00:37:32,840 --> 00:37:35,560 Speaker 1: like Bryce Young. I don't like his body type. I 702 00:37:35,600 --> 00:37:39,600 Speaker 1: got major questions with c. J. Stroud, And again I 703 00:37:39,600 --> 00:37:42,400 Speaker 1: watched this kid will I don't think he's good. I 704 00:37:42,520 --> 00:37:45,799 Speaker 1: really don't, but it's got the body. He's tall as shit, 705 00:37:45,920 --> 00:37:48,440 Speaker 1: He's like, what six four or six five, with an 706 00:37:48,440 --> 00:37:52,920 Speaker 1: absolute incredible arm, and you know, there's just a little 707 00:37:52,920 --> 00:37:57,560 Speaker 1: things like that. So yeah, it's if people are doing 708 00:37:57,680 --> 00:37:59,800 Speaker 1: draft prep now like they want to do it as pros, 709 00:38:01,040 --> 00:38:04,560 Speaker 1: I would say, trying to make a big board and 710 00:38:04,560 --> 00:38:06,239 Speaker 1: the way you think the draft's gonna play out. But 711 00:38:06,400 --> 00:38:09,480 Speaker 1: in the back of your mind, no, the Bears could 712 00:38:09,480 --> 00:38:11,480 Speaker 1: trade that pick next week and then it's all gonna 713 00:38:11,480 --> 00:38:13,400 Speaker 1: be thrown to ship. Right, It's all gonna be chaos 714 00:38:13,400 --> 00:38:15,960 Speaker 1: if they do trade that pick. So this year, for 715 00:38:16,080 --> 00:38:18,920 Speaker 1: right now, I haven't made too many bets yet on 716 00:38:18,960 --> 00:38:20,719 Speaker 1: the quarterback position. But one thing I did I gave 717 00:38:20,719 --> 00:38:24,400 Speaker 1: it on the Action app was I bet Anthony Richards 718 00:38:24,440 --> 00:38:26,799 Speaker 1: to be the first quarterback. Take it at forty to one. 719 00:38:27,120 --> 00:38:29,000 Speaker 1: It's down to twenty to one in most books. So 720 00:38:29,440 --> 00:38:30,960 Speaker 1: I think other people are in the same line of me, 721 00:38:31,040 --> 00:38:33,600 Speaker 1: of this is a good QB class, but I don't 722 00:38:33,640 --> 00:38:35,560 Speaker 1: know who the best quarterback is yet. It's the same 723 00:38:35,600 --> 00:38:38,160 Speaker 1: thing of that year Baker got taken out one. I 724 00:38:38,160 --> 00:38:39,640 Speaker 1: did not see that comming. I really did think it 725 00:38:39,680 --> 00:38:41,320 Speaker 1: was gonna be Sam Darnold, and then a day or 726 00:38:41,400 --> 00:38:44,040 Speaker 1: two before the word came out that I was Baker 727 00:38:44,080 --> 00:38:46,680 Speaker 1: and it was a mass Panico get Baker at a 728 00:38:46,680 --> 00:38:48,920 Speaker 1: plus number. So I think we might be in the 729 00:38:48,960 --> 00:38:52,640 Speaker 1: same situation now, where for months it's been Bryce Young 730 00:38:52,680 --> 00:38:54,560 Speaker 1: as the number one pick. I think that's gonna flip 731 00:38:54,600 --> 00:38:56,839 Speaker 1: in the next couple of weeks as we get more 732 00:38:57,239 --> 00:39:01,240 Speaker 1: combine tape and other stuff comes out. Listen, for every 733 00:39:01,680 --> 00:39:09,720 Speaker 1: Josh Allen body type prototype, there's a Mitch Trubisky. Yeah 734 00:39:09,719 --> 00:39:11,880 Speaker 1: that's fair, but Mitch Mitchy started for one year. That 735 00:39:11,920 --> 00:39:14,200 Speaker 1: was again that's a big red flag. Played one year 736 00:39:14,239 --> 00:39:17,920 Speaker 1: at UNC as a reminder it is the NFL offseason. 737 00:39:17,960 --> 00:39:20,360 Speaker 1: Now is a great time to check out Action Networks 738 00:39:20,400 --> 00:39:23,880 Speaker 1: award winning lineup of podcast Big Bets on Campus. With 739 00:39:24,040 --> 00:39:27,319 Speaker 1: March Madness coming up, it's a must listen. Payoff Pitch 740 00:39:27,640 --> 00:39:31,719 Speaker 1: Our MLB betting podcast returns next week with new episodes, 741 00:39:31,760 --> 00:39:35,399 Speaker 1: and don't forget Running Hot. Our NASCAR betting podcast just 742 00:39:35,680 --> 00:39:39,960 Speaker 1: debuted and crushed it with its Daytona Bets, So check 743 00:39:40,200 --> 00:39:44,840 Speaker 1: that out, all right, Simon Hunter, this has been the 744 00:39:45,040 --> 00:39:48,680 Speaker 1: Favorites podcast from the Volume Podcast Network. I am Tad 745 00:39:48,760 --> 00:39:54,320 Speaker 1: Milman for Simon Hunter, for Matt Mitchell. Download us on Apple, podcast, Spotify, 746 00:39:54,360 --> 00:39:57,319 Speaker 1: wherever you get your podcasts, rate review, subscribe to the 747 00:39:57,320 --> 00:40:00,040 Speaker 1: Favorites on those platforms. Leave us five stars, say what 748 00:40:00,200 --> 00:40:03,400 Speaker 1: you want. Feedback is a gift. Until next time. I 749 00:40:03,520 --> 00:40:12,480 Speaker 1: love you. Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If 750 00:40:12,520 --> 00:40:15,000 Speaker 1: you or someone you care about has a gambling problem, 751 00:40:15,120 --> 00:40:17,920 Speaker 1: help is available twenty four seven at one eight hundred 752 00:40:17,920 --> 00:40:18,320 Speaker 1: Gambler