1 00:00:01,240 --> 00:00:02,000 Speaker 1: Earners. What's up. 2 00:00:02,080 --> 00:00:04,560 Speaker 2: You ever walk into a small business and everything just 3 00:00:04,720 --> 00:00:07,880 Speaker 2: works like The checkout is fast, the receipts are digital, 4 00:00:08,400 --> 00:00:11,399 Speaker 2: tipping is a breeze, and you're out the door before 5 00:00:11,400 --> 00:00:15,560 Speaker 2: the line even builds. Odds are they're using Square. We 6 00:00:15,720 --> 00:00:18,280 Speaker 2: love supporting businesses that run on Square because it just 7 00:00:18,280 --> 00:00:21,520 Speaker 2: feels seamless. Whether it's a local coffee shop, a vendor 8 00:00:21,560 --> 00:00:23,840 Speaker 2: at a pop up market, or even one of our 9 00:00:23,880 --> 00:00:27,560 Speaker 2: merch partners, Square makes it easy for them to take payments, 10 00:00:27,760 --> 00:00:31,480 Speaker 2: manage inventory, and run their business with confidence, all from 11 00:00:31,600 --> 00:00:35,000 Speaker 2: one simple system. If you're a business owner or even 12 00:00:35,080 --> 00:00:38,600 Speaker 2: just thinking about launching something soon, Square is hands down 13 00:00:38,640 --> 00:00:41,680 Speaker 2: one of the best tools out there to help you start, run, 14 00:00:41,920 --> 00:00:45,240 Speaker 2: and grow. It's not just about payments, it's about giving 15 00:00:45,240 --> 00:00:47,920 Speaker 2: you time back so you can focus on what matters 16 00:00:47,960 --> 00:00:51,199 Speaker 2: most Ready. To see how Square can transform your business, 17 00:00:51,479 --> 00:00:56,120 Speaker 2: visit Square dot com backslash go backslash eyl to learn 18 00:00:56,160 --> 00:01:01,360 Speaker 2: more that Square dot com backslash, go backslash eyl. Don't wait, 19 00:01:01,640 --> 00:01:04,480 Speaker 2: don't hesitate. Let's Square handle the back end so you 20 00:01:04,480 --> 00:01:10,839 Speaker 2: can keep pushing your vision forward. This episode is brought 21 00:01:10,840 --> 00:01:12,760 Speaker 2: to you by P and C Bank, a lot of 22 00:01:12,760 --> 00:01:16,360 Speaker 2: people think podcasts about work are boring, and sure they 23 00:01:16,440 --> 00:01:20,319 Speaker 2: definitely can be, but understanding of professional's routine shows us 24 00:01:20,319 --> 00:01:24,840 Speaker 2: how they achieve their success little by little, day after day. 25 00:01:24,959 --> 00:01:27,440 Speaker 2: It's like banking with P and C Bank. It might 26 00:01:27,560 --> 00:01:30,440 Speaker 2: seem boring to save, plan and make calculated decisions with 27 00:01:30,480 --> 00:01:33,520 Speaker 2: your bank, but keeping your money boring is what helps 28 00:01:33,520 --> 00:01:36,640 Speaker 2: you live or more happily fulfilled life. P and C 29 00:01:36,760 --> 00:01:41,920 Speaker 2: Bank Brilliantly Boring since eighteen sixty five. Brilliantly Boring since 30 00:01:41,959 --> 00:01:44,520 Speaker 2: eighteen sixty five is a service mark of the PNC 31 00:01:44,720 --> 00:01:48,680 Speaker 2: Financial Service Group, Inc. P and C Bank National Association 32 00:01:48,880 --> 00:01:49,840 Speaker 2: Member FDIC. 33 00:01:51,600 --> 00:01:53,800 Speaker 3: Bitcoin. You've obviously been in bitcoin for a long time, 34 00:01:53,880 --> 00:01:59,240 Speaker 3: so you know the vicious cycles of pullbacks, and so 35 00:02:00,000 --> 00:02:03,680 Speaker 3: we had a crypto winters, right are you? Are we 36 00:02:03,840 --> 00:02:06,640 Speaker 3: out of that phase and it's just a normal investment 37 00:02:06,720 --> 00:02:09,320 Speaker 3: cycle where we just have pullback. We don't have fifty 38 00:02:09,480 --> 00:02:13,079 Speaker 3: forty seventy percent pullback or could we potentially see another 39 00:02:13,760 --> 00:02:14,840 Speaker 3: drastic pullback. 40 00:02:15,400 --> 00:02:20,800 Speaker 4: I think we won't go back below seventy two thousand 41 00:02:21,800 --> 00:02:23,360 Speaker 4: for the next eighteen months. 42 00:02:24,560 --> 00:02:25,720 Speaker 1: I just don't think we will. 43 00:02:25,720 --> 00:02:28,920 Speaker 4: We spent so much time in that, you know, consolidating 44 00:02:29,000 --> 00:02:32,720 Speaker 4: new elections to high out. I think we measure ninety 45 00:02:32,760 --> 00:02:35,680 Speaker 4: seven thousands, our next target one hundred thousand, and then 46 00:02:35,680 --> 00:02:38,360 Speaker 4: we'll we might get into a range between one hundred 47 00:02:38,400 --> 00:02:40,840 Speaker 4: and eighty for a while before it goes up again. 48 00:02:41,400 --> 00:02:44,560 Speaker 4: But if you go back below the election day. 49 00:02:45,040 --> 00:02:48,559 Speaker 1: Something went wrong, then I'm gonna get really nervous. 50 00:02:50,280 --> 00:02:53,040 Speaker 2: What do you think, no, go aheads true, ILL say, 51 00:02:53,040 --> 00:02:56,000 Speaker 2: one of the things that people obviously they've they've watched 52 00:02:56,000 --> 00:02:59,880 Speaker 2: this phenomenon for the past five to six years very closely. 53 00:03:00,200 --> 00:03:02,640 Speaker 2: Maybe they got involved, maybe they didn't. But the one 54 00:03:02,639 --> 00:03:04,760 Speaker 2: of the things that holds people out is to trust. 55 00:03:05,160 --> 00:03:08,760 Speaker 2: And so you brought up stable coins. Obviously us DT 56 00:03:09,080 --> 00:03:13,000 Speaker 2: leads in that space. What are your thoughts around USDT 57 00:03:13,200 --> 00:03:16,960 Speaker 2: and is there another stable coin on the rise that 58 00:03:17,080 --> 00:03:20,760 Speaker 2: can help bring or encourage that trust in this space? 59 00:03:21,600 --> 00:03:21,760 Speaker 1: Well? 60 00:03:21,800 --> 00:03:27,040 Speaker 4: Lookten, So tether is you know, the dominant coin for 61 00:03:27,120 --> 00:03:30,720 Speaker 4: a lot of reasons, right, Chinese movie money, off shore 62 00:03:31,360 --> 00:03:36,040 Speaker 4: people using it for liquidity. But Ted doesn't share the 63 00:03:36,080 --> 00:03:41,200 Speaker 4: interest difference between where treasury bills are and zero with anybody. 64 00:03:41,320 --> 00:03:43,400 Speaker 1: Right, It's one of the great businesses I've ever seen. 65 00:03:43,840 --> 00:03:48,480 Speaker 4: So the team that owns Tether make a fortune. Howard Lutnik, 66 00:03:48,720 --> 00:03:52,200 Speaker 4: Trump's head of Transition is very involved with Tether. He 67 00:03:52,720 --> 00:03:55,760 Speaker 4: facilitates their buying and selling the treasuries, so it's a 68 00:03:55,800 --> 00:03:58,000 Speaker 4: big business for him. So he's got a vested interest 69 00:03:58,040 --> 00:04:04,320 Speaker 4: in keeping that dog alone alive. Jeremy a lair with USDC. 70 00:04:05,680 --> 00:04:10,120 Speaker 4: You know, he's the US based regulated stable coin. He 71 00:04:10,280 --> 00:04:14,560 Speaker 4: keeps most of those profits himself, so he's fighting for 72 00:04:14,560 --> 00:04:20,040 Speaker 4: for for his you know, regulation. This is a national 73 00:04:20,120 --> 00:04:27,240 Speaker 4: security discussion right right now, stable coins own about their 74 00:04:27,240 --> 00:04:30,640 Speaker 4: like the fifteenth largest owner of treasuries in the world. Right, 75 00:04:30,680 --> 00:04:34,040 Speaker 4: we issue treasuries to fund our debt. I would tell 76 00:04:34,080 --> 00:04:37,159 Speaker 4: you four years from now, they'll be the third or 77 00:04:37,200 --> 00:04:39,880 Speaker 4: the fourth largest owner of treasuries in the world. 78 00:04:40,760 --> 00:04:40,960 Speaker 1: Right. 79 00:04:41,400 --> 00:04:45,719 Speaker 4: And so if you're the Secretary of Treasury, who's responsible 80 00:04:45,760 --> 00:04:52,599 Speaker 4: for funding this giant deficit? Do you want someone who 81 00:04:52,640 --> 00:04:58,239 Speaker 4: controls a trillion dollars maybe of treasuries to be regulated. 82 00:04:57,800 --> 00:04:58,320 Speaker 1: In the US? 83 00:04:58,880 --> 00:05:00,840 Speaker 4: Are you going to be sitting in in Europe or 84 00:05:00,880 --> 00:05:04,360 Speaker 4: in Montenegro or you know who can always say hey, 85 00:05:04,360 --> 00:05:09,000 Speaker 4: I'm selling them right. I think I think you're going 86 00:05:09,080 --> 00:05:13,960 Speaker 4: to see stable queen legislation that really favors the home 87 00:05:14,040 --> 00:05:17,640 Speaker 4: turf because it's because it's national security. 88 00:05:18,680 --> 00:05:21,120 Speaker 1: Now that doesn't mean you can't have foreign ownership. 89 00:05:21,240 --> 00:05:24,560 Speaker 4: But I'm guessing everything's going to have to be here 90 00:05:24,600 --> 00:05:29,600 Speaker 4: in the US, But I don't know, that's just my guess. 91 00:05:30,440 --> 00:05:33,000 Speaker 5: Or two parts before you speaking of treasuries, the bomb 92 00:05:33,040 --> 00:05:35,520 Speaker 5: mark has been down since twenty one. When do you 93 00:05:35,560 --> 00:05:38,960 Speaker 5: think we'll recover? And then as far as debt to GDP, 94 00:05:39,080 --> 00:05:41,040 Speaker 5: what do you think happens first US going to one 95 00:05:41,160 --> 00:05:45,440 Speaker 5: fifty unfortunately, or dropping to one hundred within the next 96 00:05:45,720 --> 00:05:47,120 Speaker 5: maybe five to seven years. 97 00:05:47,240 --> 00:05:51,160 Speaker 4: Well that's the the fifty thousand dollars question. Listen, I 98 00:05:52,120 --> 00:05:57,760 Speaker 4: pray we go down. You know, how do you do that? 99 00:05:57,920 --> 00:06:03,719 Speaker 4: You have to inflate away your debt quietly. That means 100 00:06:03,839 --> 00:06:08,960 Speaker 4: running inflation at four percent, but not letting it go 101 00:06:09,040 --> 00:06:13,320 Speaker 4: to ten percent or fifty. And so it's a really 102 00:06:13,400 --> 00:06:16,520 Speaker 4: tricky job that the next Secretary of Treasury and Fed 103 00:06:16,600 --> 00:06:22,839 Speaker 4: governor have. I don't I card playing the land that 104 00:06:22,880 --> 00:06:24,960 Speaker 4: if you put a gun to my head, one fifties 105 00:06:25,000 --> 00:06:28,880 Speaker 4: more likely than one hundred. But I'm praying every night, 106 00:06:29,640 --> 00:06:31,760 Speaker 4: literally as a good American, that we get to one hundred. 107 00:06:34,760 --> 00:06:37,320 Speaker 5: You got another part to that question again, Oh, just 108 00:06:37,400 --> 00:06:38,960 Speaker 5: on your thoughts on one that you thought the bond 109 00:06:39,040 --> 00:06:41,400 Speaker 5: market overall will recover something I've been talking about for 110 00:06:41,440 --> 00:06:44,880 Speaker 5: a while. We've been down since twenty twenty one. Do 111 00:06:44,960 --> 00:06:48,919 Speaker 5: you think there'll ever be an uptick back in tot 112 00:06:49,480 --> 00:06:49,760 Speaker 5: You know. 113 00:06:49,720 --> 00:06:54,279 Speaker 4: It's the biggest question, Like it doesn't feel like owning 114 00:06:54,320 --> 00:06:56,279 Speaker 4: bonds is a smart idea, but everyone has that. 115 00:06:56,320 --> 00:06:57,920 Speaker 1: I have that idea. 116 00:06:58,560 --> 00:07:01,720 Speaker 4: And already the old cur flattening, not steepening with Trump, 117 00:07:02,200 --> 00:07:04,280 Speaker 4: and bonds aren't selling off as much as we might 118 00:07:04,279 --> 00:07:07,120 Speaker 4: have thought they would, and so there might be some 119 00:07:07,240 --> 00:07:09,600 Speaker 4: volatility in the ball market short term. 120 00:07:10,080 --> 00:07:11,240 Speaker 1: I don't see a lot of. 121 00:07:11,240 --> 00:07:15,800 Speaker 4: Value in thirty years at four point fifty. 122 00:07:15,240 --> 00:07:15,880 Speaker 1: I just don't. 123 00:07:16,440 --> 00:07:19,840 Speaker 4: We're going to have to run inflation, and you know, 124 00:07:20,800 --> 00:07:24,360 Speaker 4: the commodity markets were telling me, bitcoins telling me that 125 00:07:25,320 --> 00:07:26,880 Speaker 4: inflation is more likely than not. 126 00:07:28,000 --> 00:07:33,120 Speaker 1: And so the days of zero percent inflation I think 127 00:07:33,120 --> 00:07:36,080 Speaker 1: are over. Now. Where could I be wrong? 128 00:07:37,520 --> 00:07:40,880 Speaker 4: You know, we get robots and AI that are so 129 00:07:41,560 --> 00:07:44,880 Speaker 4: fricking out of this world that everything gets done at 130 00:07:44,880 --> 00:07:45,320 Speaker 4: a lot. 131 00:07:45,240 --> 00:07:46,280 Speaker 1: Cheaper price. 132 00:07:47,600 --> 00:07:48,239 Speaker 5: That could. 133 00:07:49,880 --> 00:07:51,920 Speaker 4: It literally could, and so you got to have an 134 00:07:51,920 --> 00:07:57,240 Speaker 4: open mind, like AI is changing things so quickly, and 135 00:07:57,280 --> 00:07:58,520 Speaker 4: it really hasn't started. 136 00:07:58,760 --> 00:07:59,840 Speaker 1: That's the crazy part. 137 00:08:00,480 --> 00:08:03,200 Speaker 4: All of this stuff is being built now, and so 138 00:08:03,200 --> 00:08:04,880 Speaker 4: what we really got to look at is AI in 139 00:08:04,960 --> 00:08:08,800 Speaker 4: five years, and it might scare the living shit out 140 00:08:08,800 --> 00:08:09,080 Speaker 4: of us. 141 00:08:09,360 --> 00:08:12,960 Speaker 6: An illegal alien from Guatemala charged with raping a child 142 00:08:13,040 --> 00:08:16,840 Speaker 6: in Massachusetts. An MS thirteen gang member from Al Salvador 143 00:08:17,080 --> 00:08:21,200 Speaker 6: accused of murdering a Texas man of Venezuelan charged with 144 00:08:21,280 --> 00:08:25,160 Speaker 6: filming and selling child pornography in Michigan. These are just 145 00:08:25,280 --> 00:08:29,040 Speaker 6: some of the heinous migrant criminals caught because of President 146 00:08:29,080 --> 00:08:32,600 Speaker 6: Donald J. Trump's leadership. I'm Christy Noman, the United States 147 00:08:32,679 --> 00:08:37,480 Speaker 6: Secretary of Homeland Security. Under President Trump, attempted illegal border 148 00:08:37,480 --> 00:08:41,040 Speaker 6: crossings are at the lowest levels ever recorded, and over 149 00:08:41,120 --> 00:08:44,320 Speaker 6: one hundred thousand illegal aliens have been arrested. If you 150 00:08:44,400 --> 00:08:48,240 Speaker 6: are here illegally, your next you will be fined nearly 151 00:08:48,320 --> 00:08:52,360 Speaker 6: one thousand dollars a day, imprisoned, and deported. You will 152 00:08:52,400 --> 00:08:56,040 Speaker 6: never return. But if you register using our CBP home 153 00:08:56,080 --> 00:08:59,439 Speaker 6: app and leave now, you could be allowed to return legally. 154 00:08:59,720 --> 00:09:04,520 Speaker 6: Do what's right. Leave now. Under President Trump, America's laws, 155 00:09:04,720 --> 00:09:07,160 Speaker 6: border and families will be protected. 156 00:09:07,280 --> 00:09:09,400 Speaker 1: Sponsored by the United States Department of Homeland Security,