1 00:00:00,960 --> 00:00:04,240 Speaker 1: Welcome to Sharper Square, presented by hard Rock bet. We 2 00:00:04,280 --> 00:00:07,360 Speaker 1: are part of the Volume podcast network. This is the 3 00:00:07,400 --> 00:00:09,559 Speaker 1: show that makes the square. Sharper makes the wise guys 4 00:00:10,039 --> 00:00:13,440 Speaker 1: pay attention. I am Chadmoman. I am joined by my bff, 5 00:00:13,520 --> 00:00:18,320 Speaker 1: my companion, my compadre, my co host, Professional Better, Simon 6 00:00:18,520 --> 00:00:21,439 Speaker 1: Hunter Ellos. 7 00:00:20,480 --> 00:00:23,600 Speaker 2: Simon Chad. How we doing, brother, my brother? 8 00:00:23,800 --> 00:00:27,440 Speaker 1: As you know, on Tuesday, I was recording the show 9 00:00:27,520 --> 00:00:32,080 Speaker 1: from my hotel in the city of Brotherly Love. Today 10 00:00:32,200 --> 00:00:36,560 Speaker 1: I'm recording from a different hotel on the outskirts, the 11 00:00:36,680 --> 00:00:41,839 Speaker 1: very very far outskirts of Pittsburgh, PA. On Tuesday, I 12 00:00:41,840 --> 00:00:46,559 Speaker 1: had a beautiful view of City Hall, that magnificent building 13 00:00:46,760 --> 00:00:50,559 Speaker 1: right in the center of Philadelphia in center City. Today 14 00:00:50,840 --> 00:00:53,199 Speaker 1: I have a view of the waffle House across a 15 00:00:53,240 --> 00:00:57,200 Speaker 1: five lane highway. That is the journey that I am 16 00:00:57,280 --> 00:01:00,840 Speaker 1: on during this book. This is our Thursday, Week twelve episode. 17 00:01:00,840 --> 00:01:03,240 Speaker 1: We're going to narrow down the options on our quest 18 00:01:03,280 --> 00:01:08,360 Speaker 1: to find our five favorite picks. We're inching our way closer. Reminder, 19 00:01:08,400 --> 00:01:11,600 Speaker 1: subscribe to Sharper Square on YouTube, Apple Pots, Spotify, wherever 20 00:01:11,600 --> 00:01:14,200 Speaker 1: you get your pods. Listen before we get going. We 21 00:01:14,319 --> 00:01:17,280 Speaker 1: love Mike Tomlin on this show. We just think he's 22 00:01:17,520 --> 00:01:20,520 Speaker 1: amazing and has done so much and provided so much 23 00:01:20,720 --> 00:01:24,840 Speaker 1: entertainment over the years. He did it again this week 24 00:01:24,920 --> 00:01:27,520 Speaker 1: when he was asked about how he would talk to 25 00:01:27,640 --> 00:01:30,560 Speaker 1: Jalen Ramsey and his response of going after Jamar Chase 26 00:01:30,600 --> 00:01:34,880 Speaker 1: after Jamar Chase spit in Jalen Ramsey's face, Mike Tomlin 27 00:01:35,000 --> 00:01:38,280 Speaker 1: had a classic Mike Tomlin answer. Let's roll it. 28 00:01:38,319 --> 00:01:41,200 Speaker 2: Matt Mitchell, I'd have no message of someone spits in 29 00:01:41,240 --> 00:01:43,360 Speaker 2: your face. Google comes natural. 30 00:01:43,959 --> 00:01:47,080 Speaker 3: Hey, everybody, producer, Matt Mitchell here, I'm sorry to jump in. 31 00:01:47,319 --> 00:01:49,720 Speaker 3: I just wanted to call out this episode might sound 32 00:01:49,760 --> 00:01:53,800 Speaker 3: a little bit off from an audio standpoint. Chad is traveling, 33 00:01:53,840 --> 00:01:58,640 Speaker 3: apparently in some flophouse outside of Pittsburgh, and there were 34 00:01:58,680 --> 00:02:01,640 Speaker 3: guys blowing the lead thieves in Simon Hunter's yard for 35 00:02:02,200 --> 00:02:05,680 Speaker 3: over seventy five minutes, So shout out for those guys. 36 00:02:06,040 --> 00:02:08,760 Speaker 3: Definitely getting paid by the hour in the interest of 37 00:02:08,840 --> 00:02:11,240 Speaker 3: cleaning up that episode, so it didn't sound like you 38 00:02:11,280 --> 00:02:15,200 Speaker 3: were enjoying it. From inside a seven forty seven engine, 39 00:02:15,760 --> 00:02:18,360 Speaker 3: it'll sound a little bit strange, but at least you 40 00:02:18,400 --> 00:02:20,760 Speaker 3: can hear everything just fine, and everything looks okay, so 41 00:02:21,080 --> 00:02:23,839 Speaker 3: again I want to apologize. We'll get ched back into 42 00:02:23,880 --> 00:02:26,440 Speaker 3: his house and had this ready to go on Sunday. 43 00:02:26,480 --> 00:02:29,079 Speaker 3: So thank you for joining us and for bearing with us. 44 00:02:29,280 --> 00:02:32,160 Speaker 1: All right, let's get into this thing. Every week, we 45 00:02:32,160 --> 00:02:35,679 Speaker 1: give out our picks. Every week, Simon's fellow program Gambler's 46 00:02:35,680 --> 00:02:39,960 Speaker 1: call to yell at him about those picks. He's going 47 00:02:40,000 --> 00:02:42,200 Speaker 1: to summarize those opinions for us. Right now, it's time 48 00:02:42,240 --> 00:02:44,000 Speaker 1: for sharp calls. 49 00:02:45,880 --> 00:02:51,519 Speaker 4: I have to answer this phone, all right, Rain, Rain, 50 00:02:51,919 --> 00:02:52,799 Speaker 4: telephone ring. 51 00:02:53,160 --> 00:02:55,560 Speaker 1: Somebody say it maybe what to do? 52 00:02:55,800 --> 00:02:56,440 Speaker 4: Man? 53 00:02:57,160 --> 00:02:59,359 Speaker 2: Yeah, for a game. I totally disagree on it. I'm 54 00:02:59,360 --> 00:02:59,880 Speaker 2: on the bills. 55 00:03:00,040 --> 00:03:01,840 Speaker 4: I love Houston tonight, So I know we're not really 56 00:03:01,840 --> 00:03:05,200 Speaker 4: going to talk much about that one. Haven't flipped me, 57 00:03:05,280 --> 00:03:07,120 Speaker 4: but I just I'm just not gonna put as much 58 00:03:07,120 --> 00:03:08,560 Speaker 4: money in the buffalo. I just know a lot of 59 00:03:08,560 --> 00:03:11,440 Speaker 4: really smart groups that I've had Houston at plus six, 60 00:03:11,919 --> 00:03:13,680 Speaker 4: they just really like this number in the spot for them. 61 00:03:13,720 --> 00:03:15,880 Speaker 4: I just I can't get there. I can't trust Davis 62 00:03:15,919 --> 00:03:18,000 Speaker 4: Mills my money again. So I don't know where you're 63 00:03:18,000 --> 00:03:20,680 Speaker 4: at with that one, but I just. 64 00:03:20,080 --> 00:03:22,920 Speaker 1: I'm definitely going to be on Houston at plus six 65 00:03:23,280 --> 00:03:26,119 Speaker 1: I just I love this defense so much. I can't 66 00:03:26,200 --> 00:03:28,120 Speaker 1: quit this defense. And I feel like I'm looking at 67 00:03:28,120 --> 00:03:32,040 Speaker 1: a Bills team that just had a miracle game, and 68 00:03:32,080 --> 00:03:33,720 Speaker 1: we're going to talk about the Bucks in a little bit. 69 00:03:34,080 --> 00:03:36,040 Speaker 1: A miracle game against the Bucks. So they went from 70 00:03:36,040 --> 00:03:39,560 Speaker 1: one down to winning by twelve and Josh Allen, you know, 71 00:03:39,680 --> 00:03:43,480 Speaker 1: played Superman on a short week. I like the Texans 72 00:03:43,480 --> 00:03:45,080 Speaker 1: in this spot. I think the number's gotten too big, 73 00:03:45,120 --> 00:03:47,680 Speaker 1: all right, So that's Houston and Buffalo. You're on Buffalo, 74 00:03:47,720 --> 00:03:50,840 Speaker 1: I'm on Houston. The wise guys are with me. 75 00:03:51,320 --> 00:03:51,720 Speaker 2: What else? 76 00:03:51,760 --> 00:03:55,720 Speaker 4: We got another game they're against me the Giants. Shockingly. 77 00:03:55,760 --> 00:03:57,920 Speaker 4: A lot of love for the Giants, but I think 78 00:03:57,920 --> 00:04:00,920 Speaker 4: they're just missing a unique spot here, and they really 79 00:04:00,960 --> 00:04:03,800 Speaker 4: are playing Russian Roulette con James two weeks in a row. 80 00:04:04,000 --> 00:04:06,320 Speaker 4: So I just that's a game we can talk about 81 00:04:06,360 --> 00:04:06,600 Speaker 4: some more. 82 00:04:06,640 --> 00:04:09,400 Speaker 2: But we're going to get on Detroit. Good. 83 00:04:09,880 --> 00:04:10,440 Speaker 1: I am too. 84 00:04:11,280 --> 00:04:15,440 Speaker 4: Games that, you know, I think it's split both sides. 85 00:04:15,480 --> 00:04:17,680 Speaker 4: I know tons of pros on the Chiefs. I'm on 86 00:04:17,720 --> 00:04:20,520 Speaker 4: the Colts. I know tons of pros that really really 87 00:04:20,680 --> 00:04:25,320 Speaker 4: like Minnesota. I'm on Green Bay. Another game, pretty split 88 00:04:25,360 --> 00:04:27,919 Speaker 4: on Atlanta, New Orleans pros are really split on that 89 00:04:27,960 --> 00:04:31,520 Speaker 4: one this week, and you know, we've talked a little 90 00:04:31,560 --> 00:04:36,000 Speaker 4: bit about it the primetime games. La Bucks very split 91 00:04:36,040 --> 00:04:38,479 Speaker 4: between the pros, and so is Carolina in Tampa. 92 00:04:38,560 --> 00:04:39,840 Speaker 2: What I feel like a lot of people agree on 93 00:04:39,920 --> 00:04:41,880 Speaker 2: is the love for Dallas. That's a game. 94 00:04:41,880 --> 00:04:43,839 Speaker 4: I'm sure we're gonna dive more into all the pros. 95 00:04:43,880 --> 00:04:45,640 Speaker 4: I feel like we're all over Dallas. I think the 96 00:04:45,640 --> 00:04:47,320 Speaker 4: public shocking is joining them as well. 97 00:04:47,839 --> 00:04:50,200 Speaker 2: Since the game we talked a little bit about. 98 00:04:50,839 --> 00:04:52,480 Speaker 4: None of us knew Joe Burrow is gonna play, so 99 00:04:52,520 --> 00:04:54,560 Speaker 4: that numbers moved, but the pros love that. For what 100 00:04:54,680 --> 00:04:56,800 Speaker 4: I talked about, that was a huge spot to back 101 00:04:56,880 --> 00:04:58,560 Speaker 4: since as long as we need that, we either Joe 102 00:04:58,640 --> 00:05:02,400 Speaker 4: Burrow or Joe Flack, so that numbers really moved off 103 00:05:02,440 --> 00:05:05,480 Speaker 4: professional money and you know, last but not least, Pittsburgh, 104 00:05:05,520 --> 00:05:08,200 Speaker 4: we knew the program though we talked a little bit 105 00:05:08,200 --> 00:05:10,400 Speaker 4: about it. You knew the three was going to last, 106 00:05:10,440 --> 00:05:13,840 Speaker 4: so not too shocking. Tons of pros love for that one. 107 00:05:13,880 --> 00:05:15,440 Speaker 4: So there are a lot of split games where there 108 00:05:15,440 --> 00:05:17,680 Speaker 4: are just some sides where I feel like all the 109 00:05:17,680 --> 00:05:18,760 Speaker 4: professionals all lined up. 110 00:05:18,640 --> 00:05:20,680 Speaker 1: But take a lot of these dogs all right, Look, 111 00:05:20,720 --> 00:05:22,400 Speaker 1: a lot of these games are games that we had 112 00:05:22,400 --> 00:05:24,640 Speaker 1: talked about on Tuesday. We kind of had a feeling 113 00:05:25,360 --> 00:05:27,520 Speaker 1: that they would play out and be in sharp calls 114 00:05:27,560 --> 00:05:30,240 Speaker 1: and b games that we want to review today. One 115 00:05:30,240 --> 00:05:33,280 Speaker 1: of the games you didn't mention, which we both liked 116 00:05:33,440 --> 00:05:37,360 Speaker 1: a lot Seattle, which is now a thirteen and a 117 00:05:37,400 --> 00:05:40,799 Speaker 1: half point favorite at Tennessee. We talked about it on Tuesday. 118 00:05:40,880 --> 00:05:42,840 Speaker 1: We better on Tuesday. We bettered at twelve and a 119 00:05:42,880 --> 00:05:50,080 Speaker 1: half on Tuesday. It's obviously moved up. To me, we 120 00:05:50,120 --> 00:05:55,000 Speaker 1: can say that the perceived value is lost in this game. 121 00:05:56,120 --> 00:06:00,000 Speaker 1: What is value when it's a twelve and a half 122 00:06:00,080 --> 00:06:03,240 Speaker 1: point favorite and you like the favorite and that favorite 123 00:06:03,440 --> 00:06:06,719 Speaker 1: is on the road. That's the reality is we're betting 124 00:06:06,760 --> 00:06:08,560 Speaker 1: a huge favorite on the road against a team that 125 00:06:08,960 --> 00:06:11,640 Speaker 1: has backdoor to the past two weeks. And I think 126 00:06:11,720 --> 00:06:14,880 Speaker 1: my philosophy on this and why I like the Seahawks, 127 00:06:14,920 --> 00:06:17,880 Speaker 1: and we both liked it from the second we saw 128 00:06:17,920 --> 00:06:21,480 Speaker 1: the numbers on Sunday night, our Sunday night postgame show 129 00:06:22,560 --> 00:06:26,279 Speaker 1: is the Chargers have fatal flaws. They got back door. 130 00:06:26,839 --> 00:06:30,840 Speaker 1: The Texans have fatal flaws, especially offensively. They couldn't close 131 00:06:30,880 --> 00:06:34,400 Speaker 1: out no matter how many opportunities they had, they couldn't 132 00:06:34,400 --> 00:06:37,719 Speaker 1: close out that win and the cover on Sunday against 133 00:06:37,720 --> 00:06:40,680 Speaker 1: the Titans. The Seahawks don't have those fatal flaws. And 134 00:06:40,720 --> 00:06:43,440 Speaker 1: we're going to talk more about the Seahawks and the 135 00:06:43,560 --> 00:06:45,800 Speaker 1: Rams and the Rams and the Bucks and sort of 136 00:06:46,120 --> 00:06:50,560 Speaker 1: how to play these games later in the show. The 137 00:06:50,560 --> 00:06:54,240 Speaker 1: Seahawks had their disastrous game and still almost won. They're 138 00:06:54,279 --> 00:06:57,640 Speaker 1: just a dominant team. I can't see this defense giving 139 00:06:57,720 --> 00:07:00,839 Speaker 1: up more than seven points. So I'm still gonna like 140 00:07:00,839 --> 00:07:01,880 Speaker 1: the number at twelve and a half. 141 00:07:03,000 --> 00:07:07,080 Speaker 4: Yeah, really good team, really well coached, and you know, 142 00:07:07,480 --> 00:07:10,040 Speaker 4: there are some pros on the Titans. I just don't 143 00:07:10,040 --> 00:07:12,000 Speaker 4: think it's like the other games where they're putting big, 144 00:07:12,040 --> 00:07:15,200 Speaker 4: big money down on certain positions. Titans, they're better because 145 00:07:15,200 --> 00:07:16,800 Speaker 4: they feel like they have to write. Like you said, 146 00:07:16,800 --> 00:07:19,120 Speaker 4: they've been good to them. They've been back doing especially 147 00:07:19,120 --> 00:07:21,400 Speaker 4: since the coaching changed. They've they've really covered a lot 148 00:07:21,400 --> 00:07:24,640 Speaker 4: of spreads, which you know, we should have tooken advantage. 149 00:07:24,680 --> 00:07:26,400 Speaker 4: He was that terrible of coach. I didn't realize he 150 00:07:26,480 --> 00:07:29,360 Speaker 4: was that bad that he affected the number that much. 151 00:07:29,440 --> 00:07:33,160 Speaker 4: But yeah, hard Rock here in Jersey's back to thirteen. 152 00:07:33,000 --> 00:07:33,800 Speaker 2: So hard rock. 153 00:07:34,520 --> 00:07:37,120 Speaker 4: They've taken obviously some professional money here. Hit it back 154 00:07:37,120 --> 00:07:40,320 Speaker 4: down to thirteen. But like you said, I'm in on 155 00:07:40,320 --> 00:07:42,240 Speaker 4: Seahawks at thirteen. I'm in on the twelve and a half. 156 00:07:42,320 --> 00:07:45,200 Speaker 4: I just like the number, like the spot, and even 157 00:07:45,200 --> 00:07:46,800 Speaker 4: in minus thirteen eight, if I had to take it 158 00:07:46,840 --> 00:07:48,120 Speaker 4: under fourteen, I still would. 159 00:07:48,160 --> 00:07:49,280 Speaker 2: But you talk all the time. 160 00:07:49,320 --> 00:07:51,240 Speaker 4: We just don't take big spreads like this because you 161 00:07:51,320 --> 00:07:53,360 Speaker 4: need a lot of things that go your way, right. 162 00:07:53,400 --> 00:07:55,720 Speaker 2: You need to play really well and not to have. 163 00:07:55,680 --> 00:08:00,920 Speaker 4: Bad bounces that just happens in football. So shocking that 164 00:08:01,000 --> 00:08:03,480 Speaker 4: this is probably the number one and number two. 165 00:08:03,880 --> 00:08:06,440 Speaker 2: Biggest bet of the week by the public, right by 166 00:08:06,480 --> 00:08:09,960 Speaker 2: spread money line teasers. Everyone's just lined up with sholks. 167 00:08:10,040 --> 00:08:10,800 Speaker 2: Everyone agrees with us. 168 00:08:10,840 --> 00:08:12,880 Speaker 4: It's just like, this is a really well coached team 169 00:08:13,360 --> 00:08:14,120 Speaker 4: does really well. 170 00:08:14,000 --> 00:08:15,120 Speaker 2: In the ruin the cover a lot. 171 00:08:15,200 --> 00:08:17,840 Speaker 4: So if you're scared off on this, I mean you're 172 00:08:17,880 --> 00:08:20,080 Speaker 4: scared of the number, just put it on an our 173 00:08:20,200 --> 00:08:22,440 Speaker 4: money line around Robin with the favorites, get it down 174 00:08:22,440 --> 00:08:23,680 Speaker 4: to six and a half or five and a half 175 00:08:23,720 --> 00:08:25,880 Speaker 4: if you need to the Seahawks. But I'm not too 176 00:08:25,920 --> 00:08:29,040 Speaker 4: scared off of this number. I bet at this big number, uh. 177 00:08:29,160 --> 00:08:33,160 Speaker 1: New York Giants at the Detroit Lions. You just mentioned 178 00:08:33,160 --> 00:08:36,839 Speaker 1: this in sharp calls. This line has moved from ten 179 00:08:36,920 --> 00:08:42,280 Speaker 1: and a half to ten. This was Simon says on 180 00:08:42,320 --> 00:08:45,360 Speaker 1: Tuesday when it was at ten and a half. It's 181 00:08:45,400 --> 00:08:48,480 Speaker 1: now gone the other direction. The Wise guys are like 182 00:08:48,559 --> 00:08:51,880 Speaker 1: in the Giants. I don't get it, to be honest, 183 00:08:52,040 --> 00:08:55,760 Speaker 1: this feels like the exact smash spot that you want 184 00:08:55,760 --> 00:08:58,520 Speaker 1: to get in on the Lions. The Lions at home 185 00:08:58,679 --> 00:09:03,440 Speaker 1: this year have been destroying bad competition, and you laid 186 00:09:03,440 --> 00:09:06,680 Speaker 1: it out on Tuesday all the reasons why you want 187 00:09:06,679 --> 00:09:09,560 Speaker 1: to back Dan Campbell and Jared Goff off of a loss, 188 00:09:09,600 --> 00:09:11,360 Speaker 1: off of a bad loss, off of a bad loss 189 00:09:11,400 --> 00:09:15,079 Speaker 1: on the road when they are getting back home. I 190 00:09:15,120 --> 00:09:19,920 Speaker 1: loved betting Jamis on Sunday when we got back on 191 00:09:19,920 --> 00:09:23,720 Speaker 1: the roller coaster. I don't like betting Jamis his second 192 00:09:23,760 --> 00:09:27,280 Speaker 1: game where he's going into a much more challenging environment. 193 00:09:27,480 --> 00:09:29,599 Speaker 1: So I'm with you. Even though the Wise guys be 194 00:09:29,720 --> 00:09:32,120 Speaker 1: in sharp calls they said they're betting on the Giants. 195 00:09:32,480 --> 00:09:35,000 Speaker 1: You and I are aligned, my friend, we are on 196 00:09:35,040 --> 00:09:36,160 Speaker 1: the Detroit Lions. 197 00:09:36,960 --> 00:09:38,640 Speaker 4: Yeah and everyone. So if there's a little murmur in 198 00:09:38,640 --> 00:09:40,600 Speaker 4: the background. Am getting my leaves done? I know there 199 00:09:40,679 --> 00:09:41,960 Speaker 4: might be a little bit of noise. 200 00:09:41,760 --> 00:09:43,800 Speaker 1: But you're so bougie. 201 00:09:44,920 --> 00:09:48,000 Speaker 4: It is late fall here in the Northeast. Yeah, I 202 00:09:48,160 --> 00:09:51,840 Speaker 4: just I get it. It's fun betting Jamis and the Giants. 203 00:09:51,880 --> 00:09:53,720 Speaker 4: You expect them to able to pass the ball downfield 204 00:09:53,760 --> 00:09:57,360 Speaker 4: against this banged up secondary that you know, the lines 205 00:09:58,000 --> 00:10:00,839 Speaker 4: have been pretty suspect this season, but like you just said, 206 00:10:00,880 --> 00:10:03,120 Speaker 4: we've seen time and time again the lines beat up 207 00:10:03,200 --> 00:10:05,920 Speaker 4: on bad teams, especially teams if there's a coaching advantage, 208 00:10:06,200 --> 00:10:08,400 Speaker 4: And this feels like a great matchment, just offensively. 209 00:10:08,480 --> 00:10:10,440 Speaker 2: So I'm not gonna go through all the trends again. 210 00:10:10,480 --> 00:10:11,800 Speaker 4: I people want to hear all the trends that read 211 00:10:11,840 --> 00:10:14,959 Speaker 4: out check out Tuesday show, but it's not only is 212 00:10:14,960 --> 00:10:16,880 Speaker 4: a great match up on paper and through the numbers, 213 00:10:16,880 --> 00:10:19,480 Speaker 4: but there's tons of data and trends that show this 214 00:10:19,559 --> 00:10:22,480 Speaker 4: spot is unique to this Lion's team with Golf and Campbell, 215 00:10:22,480 --> 00:10:24,000 Speaker 4: and they usually win and cover. 216 00:10:24,640 --> 00:10:27,000 Speaker 2: The one I will bring up again is when they're. 217 00:10:26,840 --> 00:10:31,360 Speaker 4: Above a four favorite and after a loss at home 218 00:10:31,760 --> 00:10:34,080 Speaker 4: eight to no against the spread in this exact spot, 219 00:10:34,160 --> 00:10:37,480 Speaker 4: So play the number here we'll take the lines. And 220 00:10:37,520 --> 00:10:39,640 Speaker 4: like I said, it's a rare spot. I usually don't 221 00:10:39,679 --> 00:10:41,920 Speaker 4: give out double digit favorites. Is my favorite bet of 222 00:10:41,960 --> 00:10:44,480 Speaker 4: the week, But I thought I was gonna keep going up. 223 00:10:44,840 --> 00:10:46,719 Speaker 4: Like you just said, Chat, it's down to ten out 224 00:10:46,720 --> 00:10:48,160 Speaker 4: of hard rock, So I'm gonna take that value and 225 00:10:48,200 --> 00:10:49,040 Speaker 4: bet the number again. 226 00:10:49,200 --> 00:10:51,400 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm a little surprised, to be honest, that people 227 00:10:51,440 --> 00:10:53,920 Speaker 1: would be investing in the Giants in their second game 228 00:10:54,400 --> 00:10:59,480 Speaker 1: with a with a interim replacement head coach and truly 229 00:11:00,080 --> 00:11:03,720 Speaker 1: defense that they cannot stop the run. And they just 230 00:11:03,800 --> 00:11:06,880 Speaker 1: had you know, Abdua Carter have to sit out a 231 00:11:06,920 --> 00:11:11,360 Speaker 1: series because he missed a practice because he just didn't attend. 232 00:11:11,559 --> 00:11:13,520 Speaker 1: It sounded like he missed the practice because he was injured, 233 00:11:14,000 --> 00:11:16,880 Speaker 1: missed the practice because he overslept. So this is not 234 00:11:16,960 --> 00:11:21,560 Speaker 1: a team that is defensively in its best place right now. 235 00:11:21,800 --> 00:11:24,400 Speaker 1: And they're going against the Lions team. You know, they 236 00:11:24,400 --> 00:11:26,560 Speaker 1: are going to try to run the ball as much 237 00:11:26,559 --> 00:11:29,120 Speaker 1: as they possibly can. That is their advantage. And the 238 00:11:29,200 --> 00:11:30,800 Speaker 1: Ryans are the kind of team that when they run 239 00:11:30,840 --> 00:11:34,560 Speaker 1: the ball, they find ways to score in bunches. They 240 00:11:34,600 --> 00:11:36,760 Speaker 1: have enough talent that they can get down the field quickly, 241 00:11:37,040 --> 00:11:39,240 Speaker 1: as quickly as anyone else can with the passing game. 242 00:11:39,320 --> 00:11:42,320 Speaker 1: So I'm with you. I like the Lions here. I'm 243 00:11:42,320 --> 00:11:47,640 Speaker 1: not afraid of it. Pittsburgh and Chicago. This one has 244 00:11:47,720 --> 00:11:52,120 Speaker 1: moved in the Steelers direction, which we expected. We talked 245 00:11:52,160 --> 00:11:54,640 Speaker 1: about it on Tuesday. It was at three. It's now 246 00:11:54,679 --> 00:11:58,080 Speaker 1: at two and a half. Aaron Rodgers, we don't know 247 00:11:58,120 --> 00:12:01,240 Speaker 1: if he's going to play. It's not a surgething. It's 248 00:12:01,360 --> 00:12:05,079 Speaker 1: just about can he be safe with his particular injury 249 00:12:06,320 --> 00:12:09,320 Speaker 1: on Sunday against the Bears. We will have to see 250 00:12:09,320 --> 00:12:13,400 Speaker 1: about that, but it hasn't really mattered. The Bears are 251 00:12:13,440 --> 00:12:15,280 Speaker 1: not the team that the wise guys want to back 252 00:12:15,800 --> 00:12:16,320 Speaker 1: this week. 253 00:12:16,640 --> 00:12:18,839 Speaker 2: I guess we're on the same boat. It's about the number. 254 00:12:19,000 --> 00:12:20,920 Speaker 4: If I'm going to make a bet on this game, 255 00:12:20,960 --> 00:12:22,000 Speaker 4: I wanted to be on the three. 256 00:12:22,160 --> 00:12:23,600 Speaker 2: I'm not gonna let two and a half scare me off. 257 00:12:23,600 --> 00:12:26,920 Speaker 2: If that's what it is. Come Sunday and Rodgers is cleared. Great. 258 00:12:27,360 --> 00:12:30,120 Speaker 4: If it moves a ton because Rodgers is out and 259 00:12:30,120 --> 00:12:32,679 Speaker 4: it goes up to three and a half, four, all right, great. 260 00:12:32,880 --> 00:12:35,040 Speaker 4: I just I can't lose here, so to me, just 261 00:12:35,080 --> 00:12:38,600 Speaker 4: be patient. Let the number move if it needs to, 262 00:12:38,720 --> 00:12:41,520 Speaker 4: but you've seen it this week. A ton of games aremoved. 263 00:12:41,559 --> 00:12:44,400 Speaker 4: So yeah, it's weird, it isn't it isn't it? It 264 00:12:44,440 --> 00:12:46,520 Speaker 4: seems like the books kind of put up numbers and 265 00:12:46,559 --> 00:12:50,160 Speaker 4: they're letting the pros dictate it rather than staying just 266 00:12:50,559 --> 00:12:52,560 Speaker 4: you know, holding a line on a certain number. So 267 00:12:53,600 --> 00:12:55,240 Speaker 4: I would say the most shocking part is just so 268 00:12:55,280 --> 00:12:59,240 Speaker 4: many games the dogs have moved down. That's been because 269 00:12:59,240 --> 00:13:01,240 Speaker 4: we've talked about this year been really good for the favorite. 270 00:13:01,280 --> 00:13:05,120 Speaker 4: So yeah, there is another game where Rogers game out 271 00:13:05,160 --> 00:13:07,400 Speaker 4: news he might play, he might toughen it out, and 272 00:13:07,400 --> 00:13:10,439 Speaker 4: the number did dips, So a couple three still out there, 273 00:13:10,480 --> 00:13:12,280 Speaker 4: But all the main books I'm seeing is two and 274 00:13:12,320 --> 00:13:15,600 Speaker 4: a half. So yeah, I just look at the matchup wise. 275 00:13:16,880 --> 00:13:19,280 Speaker 4: I kind of like this matchup for the Bears in 276 00:13:19,320 --> 00:13:21,800 Speaker 4: a lot of ways, but it's we go back to it. 277 00:13:21,800 --> 00:13:23,640 Speaker 4: It's how long can they keep getting away with this? 278 00:13:23,679 --> 00:13:26,199 Speaker 4: They're just not that good of a team that has 279 00:13:26,200 --> 00:13:29,280 Speaker 4: a ton of wins. But if this drops some more 280 00:13:29,520 --> 00:13:31,679 Speaker 4: and it is Rogers back, I'm gonna end up on 281 00:13:31,720 --> 00:13:33,520 Speaker 4: the Bear's chat. But at two and a half, I'll 282 00:13:33,559 --> 00:13:35,920 Speaker 4: still be on Pittsburgh. Once the tips flow too, it's 283 00:13:35,960 --> 00:13:38,480 Speaker 4: like this becomes a Bears line. This is a pretty 284 00:13:38,480 --> 00:13:40,680 Speaker 4: eavily matched team and Bears do have somewhat of home 285 00:13:40,679 --> 00:13:41,360 Speaker 4: field advantage. 286 00:13:41,400 --> 00:13:43,840 Speaker 2: So I just if it moves too much off the 287 00:13:43,880 --> 00:13:46,160 Speaker 2: Rogers News, I'll take a position on the Bears if 288 00:13:46,200 --> 00:13:46,560 Speaker 2: I need to. 289 00:13:47,000 --> 00:13:48,520 Speaker 1: Well, look, you said it the other day that the 290 00:13:48,559 --> 00:13:50,520 Speaker 1: Bears have had a horseshoe up their ass all season. 291 00:13:50,559 --> 00:13:53,920 Speaker 1: And my buddy Andy, who've talked about on the show, 292 00:13:54,600 --> 00:13:56,959 Speaker 1: just texted me that line because he loved it so much, 293 00:13:57,040 --> 00:13:59,880 Speaker 1: because it kind of captures everything that every Bears fan 294 00:14:00,480 --> 00:14:02,800 Speaker 1: is thinking about this team right now. There's sort of 295 00:14:02,840 --> 00:14:06,920 Speaker 1: this foreboding sense of dread about the Bears and how 296 00:14:06,920 --> 00:14:08,760 Speaker 1: good they are. 297 00:14:09,000 --> 00:14:10,280 Speaker 4: That way I would go, it's got to be the 298 00:14:10,280 --> 00:14:13,040 Speaker 4: opposite way. It's like, man, this is this is the dream. 299 00:14:13,200 --> 00:14:15,440 Speaker 4: You're winning, You're stealing a winning game you shouldn't because 300 00:14:15,480 --> 00:14:16,280 Speaker 4: you have a good coach. 301 00:14:16,400 --> 00:14:17,679 Speaker 2: I mean, that's which. 302 00:14:17,520 --> 00:14:20,080 Speaker 1: Is great, But we also have to ask ourselves. We 303 00:14:20,160 --> 00:14:23,359 Speaker 1: keep winning games against bad teams in the final seconds. 304 00:14:23,600 --> 00:14:27,920 Speaker 1: So are we a good team that is learning how 305 00:14:27,960 --> 00:14:31,400 Speaker 1: to win? Are we a mediocre team that is just 306 00:14:31,440 --> 00:14:34,200 Speaker 1: getting the right bounces at the right times against other 307 00:14:34,800 --> 00:14:37,680 Speaker 1: bad to mediocre teams. Those are the questions that as 308 00:14:37,680 --> 00:14:40,520 Speaker 1: Bears fans, obviously we're enjoying it, we love it, but 309 00:14:40,560 --> 00:14:43,080 Speaker 1: we can't help but be ready to be snake bitten 310 00:14:43,280 --> 00:14:45,720 Speaker 1: by a team that still has seven games left and 311 00:14:46,080 --> 00:14:49,960 Speaker 1: could just as easily, by the way, be three and 312 00:14:50,040 --> 00:14:52,000 Speaker 1: seven or four and six right now as they are 313 00:14:52,040 --> 00:14:56,200 Speaker 1: seven and three. So this next seven games, there's still 314 00:14:56,280 --> 00:14:59,600 Speaker 1: a wide variance in how good this team can actually perform. 315 00:15:00,400 --> 00:15:02,120 Speaker 2: I agree, New. 316 00:15:01,960 --> 00:15:04,760 Speaker 1: England at Cincinnati. Cincinnati is now a six and a 317 00:15:04,800 --> 00:15:09,040 Speaker 1: half point dog. Crazy crazy swings in this game on 318 00:15:09,280 --> 00:15:11,800 Speaker 1: six and a half at hard Rock bats, seven other places. 319 00:15:12,440 --> 00:15:14,560 Speaker 1: This game, it was seven and a half on Tuesday. 320 00:15:15,560 --> 00:15:18,040 Speaker 1: We thought it was going to be Joe Flacco. We 321 00:15:18,120 --> 00:15:21,160 Speaker 1: knew there would be no Jamar Chase at some point. 322 00:15:21,600 --> 00:15:23,960 Speaker 1: I know in my notes, I saw this game go 323 00:15:24,040 --> 00:15:26,000 Speaker 1: to eight and a half, and now it's down to 324 00:15:26,040 --> 00:15:30,400 Speaker 1: six and a half. We're talking about Joe Burrow. We're 325 00:15:30,440 --> 00:15:33,080 Speaker 1: still getting seventy percent of the bets coming in on 326 00:15:33,120 --> 00:15:35,920 Speaker 1: New England. But obviously news about who's going to be 327 00:15:35,920 --> 00:15:38,960 Speaker 1: playing quarterback for the Bengals is changing a lot of 328 00:15:39,000 --> 00:15:40,360 Speaker 1: the market in this game. 329 00:15:42,520 --> 00:15:47,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, and it's kind of crazy that I was not 330 00:15:47,080 --> 00:15:48,800 Speaker 2: expecting Joe Brow. I don't know about you. 331 00:15:49,080 --> 00:15:52,600 Speaker 4: I had heard he might be back Thanksgiving, yeah, or 332 00:15:52,640 --> 00:15:55,240 Speaker 4: after Thanksgiving, like Thanksgiven? Was me pushing it because it's 333 00:15:55,240 --> 00:15:57,359 Speaker 4: a Thursday game out see against that Ravens. 334 00:15:57,640 --> 00:15:59,640 Speaker 2: But incredible. 335 00:16:00,560 --> 00:16:03,920 Speaker 4: We talk all the time just how far health, medicine, 336 00:16:04,120 --> 00:16:07,600 Speaker 4: all of it has come for these athletes, and like 337 00:16:07,680 --> 00:16:10,760 Speaker 4: the fact that he is backed potentially starting this week 338 00:16:10,840 --> 00:16:11,760 Speaker 4: is pretty incredible. 339 00:16:11,800 --> 00:16:16,960 Speaker 2: So Joe Flacco is a point better than Joe Burrow. 340 00:16:17,080 --> 00:16:19,400 Speaker 2: That was the most shocking part to me. It only 341 00:16:19,440 --> 00:16:20,000 Speaker 2: moved the point. 342 00:16:20,000 --> 00:16:21,640 Speaker 4: It only moved the most books of seven and a 343 00:16:21,640 --> 00:16:25,240 Speaker 4: half to six and a half. So yeah, I don't know, 344 00:16:25,360 --> 00:16:26,640 Speaker 4: or I guess a couple of books did touch eight 345 00:16:26,680 --> 00:16:28,640 Speaker 4: and a half. But yeah, I was just shocked it 346 00:16:28,760 --> 00:16:32,680 Speaker 4: only moved that much. Still, like Cincy, if it is 347 00:16:32,760 --> 00:16:36,960 Speaker 4: Joe Joe Burrow, you know a little worrisome because he 348 00:16:37,040 --> 00:16:38,960 Speaker 4: is coming in cold. I guess you could say, right, 349 00:16:38,960 --> 00:16:40,160 Speaker 4: he hasn't had the reps. 350 00:16:40,240 --> 00:16:44,280 Speaker 2: He's coming in in a weird spot, and you know 351 00:16:44,400 --> 00:16:46,920 Speaker 2: it's not ideal. But I still think you're getting a 352 00:16:46,960 --> 00:16:47,440 Speaker 2: great number. 353 00:16:47,480 --> 00:16:50,040 Speaker 4: I just can't get over the fact that this Patriots team, 354 00:16:50,040 --> 00:16:51,920 Speaker 4: Like I gave out that stat, it's just never a 355 00:16:51,920 --> 00:16:53,640 Speaker 4: good stat. 356 00:16:53,200 --> 00:16:53,680 Speaker 2: Or good spot. 357 00:16:53,720 --> 00:16:55,560 Speaker 4: I should say to be in an h eight game 358 00:16:55,600 --> 00:16:58,720 Speaker 4: win streak on the road as a big favorite, and 359 00:16:58,880 --> 00:17:02,080 Speaker 4: the number has moved from maybe I'm overreading if there 360 00:17:02,120 --> 00:17:03,880 Speaker 4: is value on the Patriots now, but I still think 361 00:17:04,240 --> 00:17:07,159 Speaker 4: this is the Bengal's number. Like to me, Joe Burrow 362 00:17:07,280 --> 00:17:09,920 Speaker 4: if he was healthy mid season playing, even if the 363 00:17:10,280 --> 00:17:12,720 Speaker 4: record is what it is, this line would not be 364 00:17:12,800 --> 00:17:15,920 Speaker 4: above three and a half four. So are we getting 365 00:17:15,960 --> 00:17:18,640 Speaker 4: an extra two and a half points becuz it's Joe 366 00:17:18,680 --> 00:17:20,280 Speaker 4: Burrow coming a little cold and the books don't really 367 00:17:20,240 --> 00:17:22,479 Speaker 4: know how to price it and there's no chase, like 368 00:17:22,600 --> 00:17:23,320 Speaker 4: you know, it's just. 369 00:17:23,840 --> 00:17:25,359 Speaker 2: I see why the public is still going to be 370 00:17:25,400 --> 00:17:26,280 Speaker 2: on this Patriots team. 371 00:17:26,320 --> 00:17:29,000 Speaker 4: So I went from liking the Bengals team to like 372 00:17:29,040 --> 00:17:31,040 Speaker 4: kind of loving this spot now, where it's like, this 373 00:17:31,119 --> 00:17:34,080 Speaker 4: is the exact situation you want to be and it's 374 00:17:34,160 --> 00:17:37,400 Speaker 4: just it depending on the number. I people don't feel 375 00:17:37,400 --> 00:17:39,879 Speaker 4: comfortable now that it's moved off to seven. I get it, 376 00:17:39,920 --> 00:17:41,560 Speaker 4: but every book is six and a half. You're just 377 00:17:42,000 --> 00:17:44,400 Speaker 4: that's what it is. So once again. Like I said 378 00:17:44,400 --> 00:17:46,359 Speaker 4: on Tuesday, I wasn't rushed making people rush to bed 379 00:17:46,359 --> 00:17:47,920 Speaker 4: it because I didn't knowho the quarterback was going to be. 380 00:17:48,600 --> 00:17:50,560 Speaker 2: I had no idea it was gonna be Joe Burrow. 381 00:17:50,680 --> 00:17:53,200 Speaker 4: So I hope people grabbed it. I said, I bet 382 00:17:53,200 --> 00:17:55,800 Speaker 4: it on Tuesday at the seven. At this point, I'm 383 00:17:55,840 --> 00:17:57,880 Speaker 4: gonna bet it again just in case it keeps dropping 384 00:17:58,240 --> 00:18:00,600 Speaker 4: with In fact, if it's Joe Brow gets clear, does 385 00:18:00,680 --> 00:18:01,680 Speaker 4: move the four four and a half. 386 00:18:01,800 --> 00:18:05,040 Speaker 2: So I like this number. But again it's hard for 387 00:18:05,080 --> 00:18:05,520 Speaker 2: me to tell. 388 00:18:05,359 --> 00:18:07,440 Speaker 4: People to bet it because if he's out and is 389 00:18:07,520 --> 00:18:10,160 Speaker 4: Joe Flacco right up to seven and a half, eight, 390 00:18:10,200 --> 00:18:10,760 Speaker 4: this would go. 391 00:18:11,000 --> 00:18:14,160 Speaker 2: So it's a unique spot betting this number right. 392 00:18:14,200 --> 00:18:16,760 Speaker 1: So we should be clear. Joe Burrow practice on Wednesday, 393 00:18:17,119 --> 00:18:21,720 Speaker 1: full participant. We are recording this on Thursday midday. The 394 00:18:21,720 --> 00:18:24,080 Speaker 1: Bengals have not had a practice yet, or at least 395 00:18:24,080 --> 00:18:25,920 Speaker 1: not have indicated if Joe Burrow is going to be 396 00:18:25,920 --> 00:18:29,399 Speaker 1: a full participant participant on Thursday. Zach Taylor has not 397 00:18:29,440 --> 00:18:32,679 Speaker 1: said Joe Burrow was starting on Sunday, but the hope 398 00:18:32,760 --> 00:18:35,240 Speaker 1: is that he can play on Sunday. They wanted to 399 00:18:35,240 --> 00:18:37,200 Speaker 1: see how he did the rest of this week in practice. 400 00:18:37,240 --> 00:18:40,880 Speaker 1: So the line is based on speculation of the move 401 00:18:40,960 --> 00:18:44,800 Speaker 1: and anticipation of the move, not on actual news that 402 00:18:44,880 --> 00:18:47,400 Speaker 1: has broken about Joe Burrow starting. That's why the Lion 403 00:18:47,880 --> 00:18:49,800 Speaker 1: has moved thus far. 404 00:18:50,840 --> 00:18:54,600 Speaker 4: Again, everything I've read is he is it's Joe Brow's team. 405 00:18:54,640 --> 00:18:58,560 Speaker 4: He is pushing beyond you, like even if he's ninety percent, 406 00:18:58,640 --> 00:19:00,640 Speaker 4: he's basically like made it known he's going to play. 407 00:19:00,640 --> 00:19:02,800 Speaker 2: So that's why I do think the line reflects that. 408 00:19:03,400 --> 00:19:06,879 Speaker 1: New England at I'm sorry, India, Kansas City, India is 409 00:19:06,920 --> 00:19:10,320 Speaker 1: now a three point underdog. You want to make this 410 00:19:10,400 --> 00:19:12,600 Speaker 1: Simon says, when the game was at three, it did 411 00:19:12,600 --> 00:19:14,760 Speaker 1: get up to three and a half, and I've seen 412 00:19:14,840 --> 00:19:18,400 Speaker 1: three and a half's out there, and it went back 413 00:19:18,400 --> 00:19:22,880 Speaker 1: to three and a half in Kansas City's direction, even 414 00:19:22,920 --> 00:19:26,200 Speaker 1: though the majority of the bets are coming in on Indianapolis. 415 00:19:26,240 --> 00:19:28,240 Speaker 1: So Indianapolis is a bit of a public play here 416 00:19:28,720 --> 00:19:34,800 Speaker 1: you were on Indy. It's so interesting, like the talk 417 00:19:34,840 --> 00:19:40,879 Speaker 1: of the NFL Geekaraate this season has been that the 418 00:19:41,000 --> 00:19:44,919 Speaker 1: Chiefs at what is it five and five now actually 419 00:19:45,040 --> 00:19:50,160 Speaker 1: have better underlying metrics this year than they did last 420 00:19:50,200 --> 00:19:52,639 Speaker 1: year when they went into the last game of the 421 00:19:52,640 --> 00:19:56,800 Speaker 1: season with Scrubs at fifteen and one. But last year 422 00:19:56,800 --> 00:19:59,040 Speaker 1: they were winning those one score games, and this year 423 00:19:59,040 --> 00:20:04,440 Speaker 1: they're losing those one scores games. So did we buy 424 00:20:04,520 --> 00:20:09,280 Speaker 1: into and improving better performing Chiefs team that is just 425 00:20:09,320 --> 00:20:12,800 Speaker 1: getting unlucky? Are we buying into the Colts team that 426 00:20:13,160 --> 00:20:16,240 Speaker 1: has can you continue to be very good in these 427 00:20:16,280 --> 00:20:18,399 Speaker 1: close games and could be having the same kind of 428 00:20:18,400 --> 00:20:19,840 Speaker 1: season that the Chiefs had last year. 429 00:20:20,880 --> 00:20:21,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm just gonna keep saying. 430 00:20:22,000 --> 00:20:24,560 Speaker 4: I said, I just feel like the Cults are the safer, 431 00:20:24,800 --> 00:20:27,359 Speaker 4: more logical bet here on this number because of what 432 00:20:27,400 --> 00:20:29,760 Speaker 4: you just talked about. Last year, I think they might 433 00:20:29,760 --> 00:20:31,919 Speaker 4: have been ten to one the Chiefs in one score games. 434 00:20:31,960 --> 00:20:36,000 Speaker 4: It was insane, and we kept saying there will be regression, 435 00:20:36,000 --> 00:20:38,080 Speaker 4: but because Mahomes, it's hard to know how much regression 436 00:20:38,080 --> 00:20:38,679 Speaker 4: there's going to be. 437 00:20:39,320 --> 00:20:41,200 Speaker 2: No one saw oh and five coming this season. 438 00:20:41,280 --> 00:20:44,040 Speaker 4: That is again just like the ten and one was 439 00:20:44,119 --> 00:20:46,119 Speaker 4: way too far one way, the five is too far 440 00:20:46,200 --> 00:20:48,800 Speaker 4: the other ways. So you should start winning and stealing 441 00:20:48,840 --> 00:20:52,360 Speaker 4: these one score games. Like we just said, hard Rocks 442 00:20:52,359 --> 00:20:54,320 Speaker 4: are sharp book, they're at three. Every other book I'm 443 00:20:54,359 --> 00:20:56,000 Speaker 4: looking at right now is three and a half. So 444 00:20:57,520 --> 00:20:59,480 Speaker 4: we don't care if Mahomes went to one score game. 445 00:20:59,520 --> 00:21:01,720 Speaker 4: We're gonna be in that number most of the time 446 00:21:01,760 --> 00:21:03,520 Speaker 4: with a three and a half with a Colts that 447 00:21:04,200 --> 00:21:06,120 Speaker 4: it's fair to say they're just the better team. They're 448 00:21:06,160 --> 00:21:08,639 Speaker 4: playing like a better team right now. And I mean 449 00:21:08,680 --> 00:21:11,640 Speaker 4: with game we just moves all the Bears. You're doing 450 00:21:11,680 --> 00:21:13,800 Speaker 4: exactly what the Chiefs team can't do. They're closing out 451 00:21:13,840 --> 00:21:16,679 Speaker 4: games and stealing them at the end. Whatever it is. 452 00:21:16,720 --> 00:21:18,280 Speaker 4: The Chiefs just have not been able to do it 453 00:21:18,320 --> 00:21:22,639 Speaker 4: this year, and either in situationally just Mahomes. 454 00:21:22,520 --> 00:21:23,440 Speaker 2: Like you feel what I feel. 455 00:21:23,440 --> 00:21:25,200 Speaker 4: Anytime you see him get the ball back with time 456 00:21:25,240 --> 00:21:27,119 Speaker 4: on that clock, you expect them to drive the field 457 00:21:27,160 --> 00:21:30,000 Speaker 4: and score, and this year it's just not happened that way. 458 00:21:30,040 --> 00:21:32,760 Speaker 2: He just either goes threes an hour, they punt, or you. 459 00:21:32,680 --> 00:21:34,439 Speaker 4: Know, they don't get the whistles at a lot of 460 00:21:34,440 --> 00:21:36,359 Speaker 4: their games. It feels like they've been carried by the 461 00:21:36,400 --> 00:21:40,040 Speaker 4: whistle and the reugh right like they've had drives. They're 462 00:21:40,080 --> 00:21:41,960 Speaker 4: deader than dead. The reps give them a little bit 463 00:21:42,000 --> 00:21:44,040 Speaker 4: of life and then then Mahomes kicks it up at 464 00:21:44,040 --> 00:21:45,640 Speaker 4: a gear and they drive the field and get touchdown, 465 00:21:45,720 --> 00:21:47,879 Speaker 4: So you know that's another part of it. I just 466 00:21:47,880 --> 00:21:50,680 Speaker 4: think they've been in consistent. So you know, I read 467 00:21:50,720 --> 00:21:53,080 Speaker 4: some trends. There's somethings that really favorite this Colts team here, 468 00:21:53,160 --> 00:21:54,800 Speaker 4: especially at that three and a half number. 469 00:21:56,520 --> 00:22:00,000 Speaker 2: You know, it's a unique spot, right, it's a Chiefs team. 470 00:21:59,840 --> 00:22:02,080 Speaker 4: I think I have an amazing stat about this chief team. 471 00:22:02,119 --> 00:22:05,960 Speaker 4: Basically a team that's below or at five hundred favored 472 00:22:06,200 --> 00:22:09,440 Speaker 4: against a team like the Colts who's you know, above 473 00:22:09,760 --> 00:22:13,680 Speaker 4: a seventy percent win percentage. This unique spot for the Chiefs. Historically, 474 00:22:13,840 --> 00:22:15,720 Speaker 4: this team in the spot is twelve to zero against 475 00:22:15,720 --> 00:22:18,280 Speaker 4: the spread. So I know there are guys who'd like 476 00:22:18,320 --> 00:22:20,760 Speaker 4: the Chiefs here. They're saying the books are telling you something. 477 00:22:20,760 --> 00:22:23,199 Speaker 4: They're taking a stand with the books, the fact that 478 00:22:23,200 --> 00:22:25,800 Speaker 4: they are stupig favorite. And you know, Joe Public's gonna 479 00:22:25,800 --> 00:22:27,359 Speaker 4: look at this like I am looking at which like, 480 00:22:27,760 --> 00:22:29,520 Speaker 4: I just don't get this. The Culture are a much 481 00:22:29,520 --> 00:22:32,239 Speaker 4: better team. They've played better this season. Just throw out 482 00:22:32,240 --> 00:22:34,800 Speaker 4: the records, just on the field stuff. You think the 483 00:22:34,800 --> 00:22:37,959 Speaker 4: Culture are a better team. So I knew the Public 484 00:22:38,080 --> 00:22:41,280 Speaker 4: doll would be the Colts. It's nice to see it 485 00:22:41,320 --> 00:22:43,920 Speaker 4: has moved because that shows that professional money is coming 486 00:22:43,960 --> 00:22:44,600 Speaker 4: on this Colts team. 487 00:22:44,720 --> 00:22:46,080 Speaker 2: Like I told you, I. 488 00:22:46,040 --> 00:22:48,120 Speaker 4: Know plenty of professionals are staying with the books and they're 489 00:22:48,119 --> 00:22:50,720 Speaker 4: taking the Chiefs here. So like I've said, I just 490 00:22:50,720 --> 00:22:53,600 Speaker 4: think it's they're betting in line from the Chiefs of yesteryear, 491 00:22:53,760 --> 00:22:56,679 Speaker 4: not the Chiefs this year, which is a team that 492 00:22:56,800 --> 00:22:59,280 Speaker 4: just has not been great in one score games. I 493 00:22:59,280 --> 00:23:02,400 Speaker 4: still can't believe else that Broncos game, Like, I really 494 00:23:02,480 --> 00:23:04,280 Speaker 4: can't like it lined up so many ways you thought 495 00:23:04,280 --> 00:23:06,159 Speaker 4: they were gonna win and steal it and they just 496 00:23:06,160 --> 00:23:07,240 Speaker 4: can never get over that hump. 497 00:23:07,320 --> 00:23:09,920 Speaker 2: So yeah, the I get it. 498 00:23:10,240 --> 00:23:12,000 Speaker 4: Like the Chiefs, you want to bet their money line 499 00:23:12,000 --> 00:23:14,399 Speaker 4: because you just can't see them losing. That's safer to 500 00:23:14,440 --> 00:23:15,800 Speaker 4: me than take of them at the three or the 501 00:23:15,880 --> 00:23:18,080 Speaker 4: minus three and a half. So I just think we're 502 00:23:18,080 --> 00:23:20,520 Speaker 4: playing the number strictly three and a half. That's where 503 00:23:20,520 --> 00:23:21,720 Speaker 4: I got to be with this Colts team. 504 00:23:22,520 --> 00:23:24,080 Speaker 1: Chiefs on the money line is going to be part 505 00:23:24,080 --> 00:23:28,800 Speaker 1: of our money line parlay for sure. Cleveland at the 506 00:23:28,880 --> 00:23:34,120 Speaker 1: Las Vegas Raiders. Look, I nearly made this Chad's choice 507 00:23:34,440 --> 00:23:38,880 Speaker 1: on Sunday on Tuesday when it was Raiders at minus three. 508 00:23:39,320 --> 00:23:41,639 Speaker 1: It's now moved to three and a half. Should Door 509 00:23:41,720 --> 00:23:45,000 Speaker 1: Sanders is officially the starting quarterback for the Cleveland Browns. 510 00:23:45,040 --> 00:23:48,359 Speaker 1: You can give should or Sanders the benefit of the doubt, 511 00:23:48,400 --> 00:23:53,160 Speaker 1: if you want to be incredibly generous, right you can 512 00:23:53,200 --> 00:23:55,920 Speaker 1: say okay, you can say, okay, he's getting a full 513 00:23:55,920 --> 00:24:00,480 Speaker 1: week of practice, he's with the starters, all those opportunity unities. 514 00:24:00,800 --> 00:24:02,879 Speaker 1: But here's I think the problem with Shore Sanders, and 515 00:24:02,920 --> 00:24:04,960 Speaker 1: that isn't going to change because it was the same 516 00:24:05,000 --> 00:24:07,680 Speaker 1: thing in college. We saw the same thing in training camp. 517 00:24:07,720 --> 00:24:10,720 Speaker 1: We saw the same thing last week. The dude holds 518 00:24:10,760 --> 00:24:14,040 Speaker 1: the ball forever in the pocket, and he's not a 519 00:24:14,040 --> 00:24:17,639 Speaker 1: big scrambler, and they've got a lot of injuries on 520 00:24:17,680 --> 00:24:21,080 Speaker 1: the offensive line, and on the other side is Max Crosby. 521 00:24:21,400 --> 00:24:24,919 Speaker 1: So I think there are just incredible advantages for this 522 00:24:25,080 --> 00:24:27,760 Speaker 1: Raiders team. Forget about the fact you're getting the Browns 523 00:24:28,000 --> 00:24:30,080 Speaker 1: on the road versus at home. I've gone through all 524 00:24:30,080 --> 00:24:32,040 Speaker 1: the numbers. They give up ten more points per game 525 00:24:32,320 --> 00:24:33,960 Speaker 1: on the road that they do at home. They give 526 00:24:34,040 --> 00:24:38,320 Speaker 1: up i think more rushing yards on the road than 527 00:24:38,320 --> 00:24:41,560 Speaker 1: they do at home. So it's not a great spot 528 00:24:41,560 --> 00:24:44,560 Speaker 1: for a Browns defense that just had a rock fight 529 00:24:44,640 --> 00:24:46,840 Speaker 1: of a game and didn't come out on top against 530 00:24:46,880 --> 00:24:50,000 Speaker 1: the Ravens Miles Garrett four sacks last week. But like 531 00:24:51,080 --> 00:24:57,320 Speaker 1: I know, we're afraid to bet on Gino, but we're betting. 532 00:24:58,400 --> 00:25:01,600 Speaker 1: Nothing in betting is perfect, right, you got to play 533 00:25:01,640 --> 00:25:04,480 Speaker 1: all of it, and I think that when you went, 534 00:25:04,680 --> 00:25:07,879 Speaker 1: when you stack up all the positives and all the negatives, 535 00:25:08,400 --> 00:25:12,400 Speaker 1: it's still a better game spot for the Raiders than 536 00:25:12,440 --> 00:25:14,000 Speaker 1: it is for the Browns. 537 00:25:14,640 --> 00:25:16,640 Speaker 2: Yeah, and I'm just scared off by the number. It's just. 538 00:25:18,119 --> 00:25:20,320 Speaker 4: I'm betting in but it feels unnatural because it does 539 00:25:20,359 --> 00:25:23,080 Speaker 4: feel way too easy and as bad as you know is, 540 00:25:23,760 --> 00:25:25,640 Speaker 4: I just I still can't leave this open at two 541 00:25:25,680 --> 00:25:26,159 Speaker 4: and a half. 542 00:25:26,440 --> 00:25:27,800 Speaker 2: And like you said, we bet at two and a 543 00:25:27,800 --> 00:25:28,800 Speaker 2: half better at the three. 544 00:25:29,080 --> 00:25:30,280 Speaker 4: But I said them to the show, you have to 545 00:25:30,320 --> 00:25:32,200 Speaker 4: talk about it minus three and a half because that's 546 00:25:32,600 --> 00:25:34,120 Speaker 4: that's where it's going to be out for everybody. Yeah, 547 00:25:34,119 --> 00:25:35,800 Speaker 4: sure enough, that's I mean a little by the time 548 00:25:35,800 --> 00:25:37,199 Speaker 4: we post the show, that's where it was at. So 549 00:25:38,280 --> 00:25:41,399 Speaker 4: I don't know, I Vegas, Like you said, it's the 550 00:25:41,480 --> 00:25:45,720 Speaker 4: right side, We'll be on it, but I just see 551 00:25:45,760 --> 00:25:48,639 Speaker 4: a million different ways that we get burned by Gino. 552 00:25:49,160 --> 00:25:51,760 Speaker 4: But like you said, how does seniors move the ball 553 00:25:51,800 --> 00:25:54,359 Speaker 4: push it downfield? So like my way here would just 554 00:25:54,440 --> 00:25:56,919 Speaker 4: be what we see with Cleveland, right. They have a 555 00:25:56,920 --> 00:25:59,639 Speaker 4: really good run game that can mitigate bad quarterback play. 556 00:26:00,320 --> 00:26:02,960 Speaker 4: But if we can somehow get a lead and forced 557 00:26:02,960 --> 00:26:05,280 Speaker 4: Shador to have to pass, I think that's where they 558 00:26:05,320 --> 00:26:08,000 Speaker 4: could steal this game. So I'm backing with you, which 559 00:26:08,040 --> 00:26:10,600 Speaker 4: is of all my bets this week, I'm more so 560 00:26:10,760 --> 00:26:12,520 Speaker 4: like I've said, I'm heavy on the money line for 561 00:26:12,600 --> 00:26:15,920 Speaker 4: this Raiders team. I just I'm very aware of this 562 00:26:16,119 --> 00:26:18,640 Speaker 4: number at mines three and a half. It's just I'm 563 00:26:18,680 --> 00:26:20,800 Speaker 4: glad to see it's gone up to four, which shows 564 00:26:20,800 --> 00:26:23,680 Speaker 4: a professional money and the public are still betting three 565 00:26:23,680 --> 00:26:27,240 Speaker 4: and a half. But yeah, if we get to Sunday 566 00:26:27,280 --> 00:26:30,159 Speaker 4: and it's just still stuck here and mines three and 567 00:26:30,200 --> 00:26:31,359 Speaker 4: a half, I don't know if I can let us 568 00:26:31,359 --> 00:26:32,200 Speaker 4: put it in one over five. 569 00:26:33,119 --> 00:26:36,359 Speaker 1: Well, I'm super excited about this game. I love it, 570 00:26:37,040 --> 00:26:39,720 Speaker 1: Love love the Raiders here. The other game that I 571 00:26:39,800 --> 00:26:45,720 Speaker 1: love Jacksonville at Arizona. This was Chad's choice. I was 572 00:26:45,840 --> 00:26:48,480 Speaker 1: really and I gave it out. Chad's choices two and 573 00:26:48,520 --> 00:26:51,320 Speaker 1: a half, but I said on the show, be patient, 574 00:26:51,880 --> 00:26:53,960 Speaker 1: it's going to get to three. It just hadn't gotten 575 00:26:54,000 --> 00:26:56,760 Speaker 1: there yet. It is now a three, thank god. So 576 00:26:56,880 --> 00:26:59,440 Speaker 1: hopefully people who are paying attention they saw the line 577 00:26:59,520 --> 00:27:03,280 Speaker 1: move at to three middle of the day yesterday. I'm 578 00:27:04,040 --> 00:27:07,399 Speaker 1: really glad that it did. Marvin Harrison Junior is missing 579 00:27:07,440 --> 00:27:10,679 Speaker 1: the game with Jacoby Brissett, who just threw for forty 580 00:27:10,760 --> 00:27:14,560 Speaker 1: seven completions and Mike Wilson had one hundred and eighty 581 00:27:14,640 --> 00:27:18,000 Speaker 1: five yards. I don't think Jacoby Brissett cares that much 582 00:27:18,119 --> 00:27:21,359 Speaker 1: if Marvin Harrison is not playing Marvin Harrison Junior in 583 00:27:21,440 --> 00:27:23,680 Speaker 1: the same way that Kyler Murray would need to have 584 00:27:23,840 --> 00:27:26,960 Speaker 1: someone like Marvin Harrison Junior playing. But the truth is, 585 00:27:28,200 --> 00:27:32,040 Speaker 1: I'm just fading the Jags here, and I'm betting. That's 586 00:27:32,119 --> 00:27:34,080 Speaker 1: much more what I'm doing than betting on the cards. 587 00:27:34,600 --> 00:27:38,320 Speaker 1: I know you love it when I geek out on 588 00:27:38,440 --> 00:27:45,040 Speaker 1: the numbers, so I'm sure you're familiar with Pythagorean wins, 589 00:27:45,080 --> 00:27:48,159 Speaker 1: which essentially like the number of wins a team is 590 00:27:48,160 --> 00:27:52,960 Speaker 1: supposed to have based on all of their underlying advanced 591 00:27:53,160 --> 00:27:55,560 Speaker 1: metrics that shows the true performance. It kind of takes 592 00:27:55,560 --> 00:27:57,240 Speaker 1: a lot of the luck out of the game. It 593 00:27:57,359 --> 00:27:59,840 Speaker 1: just shows you, all right, if everything was equal, this 594 00:27:59,920 --> 00:28:02,119 Speaker 1: is how this team would be. This is what this 595 00:28:02,200 --> 00:28:05,600 Speaker 1: team's record would be. And of course when I look 596 00:28:05,640 --> 00:28:10,240 Speaker 1: at this, the Jags should have about one fewer win 597 00:28:10,880 --> 00:28:14,520 Speaker 1: and the Cardinals should have one more win. So instead 598 00:28:14,520 --> 00:28:18,159 Speaker 1: of being a team that is like, what are the 599 00:28:18,640 --> 00:28:20,879 Speaker 1: cards three and seven, they should probably be closer to 600 00:28:20,960 --> 00:28:23,240 Speaker 1: four and six or five and five, And the Jags, 601 00:28:23,280 --> 00:28:25,600 Speaker 1: instead of being six and four, should probably be closer 602 00:28:25,640 --> 00:28:29,160 Speaker 1: to five and five. That's not how this game is lined. 603 00:28:29,359 --> 00:28:31,000 Speaker 1: This game is lined is that the Jags are a 604 00:28:31,160 --> 00:28:33,960 Speaker 1: much much better team. I don't see it that way. 605 00:28:34,680 --> 00:28:36,280 Speaker 1: Give me the Cards plus three. 606 00:28:38,000 --> 00:28:40,400 Speaker 4: Yeah, And I think it did move a little bit 607 00:28:40,400 --> 00:28:44,120 Speaker 4: because of the injuries that this Cardinals team has had 608 00:28:44,200 --> 00:28:46,520 Speaker 4: this week, where like you just said, their number one 609 00:28:46,560 --> 00:28:47,680 Speaker 4: receiver is not going to miss. 610 00:28:47,560 --> 00:28:51,959 Speaker 2: This game, and you know, it's once again a rotation 611 00:28:52,000 --> 00:28:52,800 Speaker 2: at their running back. 612 00:28:52,840 --> 00:28:55,000 Speaker 4: They might begain trade Benson back, which doesn't sound like 613 00:28:55,000 --> 00:28:56,400 Speaker 4: a big deal, but I like him. 614 00:28:56,400 --> 00:28:58,520 Speaker 2: I think he's an upgrade to the running back position 615 00:28:58,600 --> 00:28:58,840 Speaker 2: for them. 616 00:28:58,920 --> 00:29:02,200 Speaker 4: So you know, this Cardinals team, our biggest rate in 617 00:29:02,320 --> 00:29:04,680 Speaker 4: the day is can their defense get some stop, because 618 00:29:04,720 --> 00:29:05,640 Speaker 4: that's what I talked about, that. 619 00:29:05,960 --> 00:29:08,640 Speaker 1: Their defense has been getting worse every single week. 620 00:29:08,920 --> 00:29:11,320 Speaker 2: Every week. Yeah, it's just been brutal. So that's like 621 00:29:11,480 --> 00:29:12,760 Speaker 2: my only real fear here. 622 00:29:12,880 --> 00:29:16,200 Speaker 4: But offensively, I love this match of Arizona. I just 623 00:29:16,240 --> 00:29:19,640 Speaker 4: think the Jags defense as great as they looked against 624 00:29:19,680 --> 00:29:23,080 Speaker 4: that Chargers team. I think that was all, you know, 625 00:29:23,920 --> 00:29:27,080 Speaker 4: just basically based on Herbert not adjusting to his offensive 626 00:29:27,160 --> 00:29:28,240 Speaker 4: line love injuries. 627 00:29:28,280 --> 00:29:30,120 Speaker 2: He just holds on. In my opinion, Herbert holds all 628 00:29:30,120 --> 00:29:30,760 Speaker 2: the ball too long. 629 00:29:30,840 --> 00:29:34,240 Speaker 4: So I think Brissette in this matchup Bill take advantage 630 00:29:34,240 --> 00:29:36,240 Speaker 4: of this bad secondary of this Jacks team because be 631 00:29:36,320 --> 00:29:39,600 Speaker 4: about to remember, you know, even if Brian Toomps juniors 632 00:29:39,600 --> 00:29:43,520 Speaker 4: would come back in this game, he's not one hundred rights. 633 00:29:43,560 --> 00:29:45,520 Speaker 4: He's been banged up and he's been fight through Injews 634 00:29:45,520 --> 00:29:47,680 Speaker 4: all season. He's just not been that good. Mitch Trevor 635 00:29:47,760 --> 00:29:49,600 Speaker 4: Lawrence relationship this year has just not been good. And 636 00:29:50,200 --> 00:29:53,600 Speaker 4: I joked last year he had agree relationship with Mac Jones. 637 00:29:53,680 --> 00:29:56,880 Speaker 4: I mean, he really shined with it. So it's not 638 00:29:57,520 --> 00:29:59,480 Speaker 4: it's not great with them. And we already know Travis 639 00:29:59,520 --> 00:30:02,160 Speaker 4: Hunters out for this one, so everything. If I get 640 00:30:02,200 --> 00:30:04,640 Speaker 4: Jacks took advantage of in that Chargers game, doesn't feel 641 00:30:04,640 --> 00:30:05,960 Speaker 4: like they'll be able to in this game. And we've 642 00:30:06,000 --> 00:30:08,760 Speaker 4: seen time and time again this Jags team on the 643 00:30:08,840 --> 00:30:12,360 Speaker 4: road as favorites, they've struggled this season. So you know, 644 00:30:12,800 --> 00:30:14,400 Speaker 4: like you said, yeah, we're playing the number here, there's 645 00:30:14,400 --> 00:30:17,160 Speaker 4: probably closer to a pick. We're taking the Cardinals at 646 00:30:17,160 --> 00:30:20,360 Speaker 4: a good number at plus three. But in this match 647 00:30:20,440 --> 00:30:22,680 Speaker 4: of it really is about fading Trevor Lawrence against this 648 00:30:22,760 --> 00:30:23,480 Speaker 4: Cardinals defense. 649 00:30:23,480 --> 00:30:24,880 Speaker 2: It feels like it's a better matchup for them. 650 00:30:24,960 --> 00:30:27,720 Speaker 4: They've had the last two weeks against really good, high 651 00:30:27,720 --> 00:30:28,560 Speaker 4: powered offenses. 652 00:30:29,080 --> 00:30:32,280 Speaker 1: You and I one hundred percent aligned on the Arizona Cardinals. 653 00:30:33,120 --> 00:30:35,480 Speaker 1: It always works out when we love a game this much, 654 00:30:36,040 --> 00:30:38,120 Speaker 1: Inevitably we get burned. So I can't wait to see 655 00:30:38,160 --> 00:30:41,320 Speaker 1: how he gets screwed on Sunday. And I know it's 656 00:30:41,320 --> 00:30:44,200 Speaker 1: going to be the game that we're waiting for it 657 00:30:44,280 --> 00:30:45,880 Speaker 1: to end before we go on the air, And I'm 658 00:30:45,880 --> 00:30:49,680 Speaker 1: going to take that long, dark, cold walk up to 659 00:30:49,760 --> 00:30:52,360 Speaker 1: my third floor and I'm just gonna have to answer 660 00:30:52,440 --> 00:30:54,760 Speaker 1: for this, and I'm already miserable about it, but I 661 00:30:54,800 --> 00:30:56,720 Speaker 1: don't care. I don't care. I'm ready. 662 00:30:56,720 --> 00:30:57,040 Speaker 2: I love the. 663 00:30:57,040 --> 00:31:00,760 Speaker 1: Arizona Cardinals this week, all right, it's a little tricky 664 00:31:00,960 --> 00:31:04,120 Speaker 1: Atlanta at New Orleans. The New Orleans Saints or one 665 00:31:04,200 --> 00:31:08,320 Speaker 1: and a half point favorites right now. Simon took us 666 00:31:08,360 --> 00:31:11,240 Speaker 1: a minute, but our brass ball got to do a 667 00:31:11,280 --> 00:31:14,560 Speaker 1: quasim in a hotel. Brass Balls Bet of the Week 668 00:31:15,880 --> 00:31:19,440 Speaker 1: presented by Hard Rock Bet. It's gonna be the New 669 00:31:19,560 --> 00:31:20,920 Speaker 1: Orleans Saints minus one and a half. 670 00:31:21,360 --> 00:31:24,320 Speaker 2: You know what it takes. It takes brass balls. 671 00:31:24,880 --> 00:31:29,719 Speaker 1: Here's how I finally came to it. No Drake London, 672 00:31:30,320 --> 00:31:33,680 Speaker 1: he's kind of their entire offense. No Michael Pennix, who 673 00:31:33,960 --> 00:31:37,760 Speaker 1: heartbreaking that he's got a torn acl and needs to 674 00:31:37,840 --> 00:31:43,040 Speaker 1: have that repaired. Kirk Cousins like this game is ugly. 675 00:31:43,920 --> 00:31:46,200 Speaker 1: It's not because we all of a sudden are going 676 00:31:46,280 --> 00:31:48,840 Speaker 1: back to our Oh the Saints are competitive. It's not 677 00:31:49,000 --> 00:31:50,920 Speaker 1: because we think Tyler Shock is all of a sudden 678 00:31:51,000 --> 00:31:53,360 Speaker 1: the good quarterback. It's not of any of those things. 679 00:31:53,400 --> 00:31:53,560 Speaker 2: To me. 680 00:31:53,680 --> 00:31:58,240 Speaker 1: It's only a bet against Kirk Cousins, a bet against 681 00:31:59,280 --> 00:32:01,400 Speaker 1: the fact they don't have Drake London, and I think 682 00:32:01,440 --> 00:32:02,959 Speaker 1: it's going to be really hard for them to move 683 00:32:03,000 --> 00:32:03,280 Speaker 1: the ball. 684 00:32:05,200 --> 00:32:07,560 Speaker 4: Yeah, and hopefully people can get this before it moves 685 00:32:07,600 --> 00:32:09,880 Speaker 4: to too A hard rock in Jersey here just moves 686 00:32:09,920 --> 00:32:11,720 Speaker 4: to to while we're doing this live, honestly, and a 687 00:32:11,760 --> 00:32:15,360 Speaker 4: lot of them, so two real public books out there 688 00:32:15,360 --> 00:32:16,960 Speaker 4: are still at the one and a half, which I 689 00:32:16,960 --> 00:32:17,800 Speaker 4: hope people can get. 690 00:32:17,840 --> 00:32:20,280 Speaker 2: But talk a little bit about it, like this is 691 00:32:20,280 --> 00:32:20,880 Speaker 2: a split game. 692 00:32:20,920 --> 00:32:22,920 Speaker 4: I know some pros who every time it touches too 693 00:32:23,600 --> 00:32:25,640 Speaker 4: they're going to take Atlanta, And on the flip side 694 00:32:25,640 --> 00:32:27,720 Speaker 4: of the Saints, every time it's at this number minus 695 00:32:27,760 --> 00:32:29,479 Speaker 4: one and a half, every probably know he's gonna take 696 00:32:29,480 --> 00:32:32,000 Speaker 4: the Saints. So it's been really fun where it's a 697 00:32:32,040 --> 00:32:34,560 Speaker 4: lot of back and forth and it's really about what 698 00:32:34,720 --> 00:32:39,440 Speaker 4: you just said. Atlanta, they're not that bad of a team, 699 00:32:39,680 --> 00:32:41,160 Speaker 4: Like if you go through all out of their games, 700 00:32:41,200 --> 00:32:42,960 Speaker 4: I mean, they could have beat the Patriots, they could 701 00:32:43,000 --> 00:32:44,760 Speaker 4: have beat the Colts right like those are would have 702 00:32:44,760 --> 00:32:47,280 Speaker 4: had huge, massive wins that could have really flipped their season. 703 00:32:48,240 --> 00:32:50,480 Speaker 4: But they've struggled in those close one score games. And 704 00:32:50,560 --> 00:32:53,000 Speaker 4: I do put that on the coaching. So I don't 705 00:32:53,000 --> 00:32:55,400 Speaker 4: think Kirk is an upgrade the penix and he said 706 00:32:55,440 --> 00:32:57,080 Speaker 4: the number one weapon on that team is going to 707 00:32:57,120 --> 00:32:57,560 Speaker 4: be out as well. 708 00:32:57,680 --> 00:32:59,920 Speaker 2: Drake London, So I can't believe. 709 00:32:59,920 --> 00:33:02,480 Speaker 4: We talked a little bit on Tuesday about and I 710 00:33:02,520 --> 00:33:04,560 Speaker 4: gave out all this Kirk stats, how horrible he's been 711 00:33:05,320 --> 00:33:07,120 Speaker 4: once you really dive into it though, and the injuries 712 00:33:07,160 --> 00:33:09,320 Speaker 4: this this team has had, Atlanta, how do you not 713 00:33:09,480 --> 00:33:11,440 Speaker 4: love the Saints heres? So I'm glad to see it's 714 00:33:11,480 --> 00:33:13,360 Speaker 4: moving it to at least it shows me that real 715 00:33:13,440 --> 00:33:15,560 Speaker 4: money is coming in heavily finally on the Saints team, 716 00:33:15,600 --> 00:33:18,920 Speaker 4: which to me makes sense. So I hope, I hope 717 00:33:18,920 --> 00:33:20,280 Speaker 4: people can get the one and a half here when 718 00:33:20,320 --> 00:33:21,640 Speaker 4: they hear it, because we talked all the time about 719 00:33:22,040 --> 00:33:24,600 Speaker 4: key number two is this is also a game where 720 00:33:24,600 --> 00:33:26,000 Speaker 4: I might throw a little bit on the adjusted line. 721 00:33:26,040 --> 00:33:29,680 Speaker 4: Like again, Kirk Cousins might be done, done, done, and 722 00:33:30,320 --> 00:33:32,000 Speaker 4: this could be a really good match for them where 723 00:33:32,000 --> 00:33:33,520 Speaker 4: they just know all if you do is take away 724 00:33:33,560 --> 00:33:36,120 Speaker 4: the run and just put it all on the Kirk's 725 00:33:36,240 --> 00:33:37,480 Speaker 4: arm and see if you can beat you that way, 726 00:33:37,520 --> 00:33:40,080 Speaker 4: which again we've talked to Saints our veteran defense, they 727 00:33:40,160 --> 00:33:41,520 Speaker 4: have the guys that probably can do that in the 728 00:33:41,600 --> 00:33:45,760 Speaker 4: middle take away their run. So yeah, it's it's a 729 00:33:45,840 --> 00:33:47,520 Speaker 4: game that we tried to find a game we both 730 00:33:47,520 --> 00:33:48,840 Speaker 4: agreed on it. I feel like it's the one we 731 00:33:48,960 --> 00:33:50,520 Speaker 4: really agreed on together that we both love. 732 00:33:51,360 --> 00:33:55,680 Speaker 1: Yep, totally. Uh, Philadelphia Dallas. Dallas is now a three 733 00:33:55,720 --> 00:33:57,840 Speaker 1: point dog. It was four and a half early in 734 00:33:57,880 --> 00:34:00,360 Speaker 1: the week. You were hammering it at foreign and a half. 735 00:34:01,760 --> 00:34:04,120 Speaker 1: By Tuesday it was down to three. There are places 736 00:34:04,120 --> 00:34:06,560 Speaker 1: where it moved back up to three and a half, 737 00:34:06,880 --> 00:34:08,520 Speaker 1: and I wondered how you felt about that, because when 738 00:34:08,560 --> 00:34:12,200 Speaker 1: we talked about it on Tuesday, you were anxious that 739 00:34:12,280 --> 00:34:13,680 Speaker 1: it was going to keep moving and then all of 740 00:34:13,719 --> 00:34:16,840 Speaker 1: a sudden you'd have to be betting on the Eagles 741 00:34:16,920 --> 00:34:20,239 Speaker 1: at under three. It's gone back up. I think there's 742 00:34:20,239 --> 00:34:22,960 Speaker 1: a lot of sentiment out there that whatever is plaguing 743 00:34:23,120 --> 00:34:27,680 Speaker 1: the Eagles offense is going to be a challenge for them. 744 00:34:27,760 --> 00:34:29,400 Speaker 1: And even if they think the Eagles are going to win, 745 00:34:29,440 --> 00:34:30,960 Speaker 1: and we'll probably end up having the Eagles in our 746 00:34:30,960 --> 00:34:34,440 Speaker 1: moneyline parlay, it's going to be hard for them to 747 00:34:34,600 --> 00:34:37,360 Speaker 1: cover a big number against this Dallas offense. 748 00:34:38,239 --> 00:34:40,080 Speaker 2: I think we might have to skip it. No Monylam 749 00:34:40,160 --> 00:34:45,719 Speaker 2: parlay chat. It's really Yeah. The Cowboys approached the end 750 00:34:45,840 --> 00:34:47,400 Speaker 2: zone like a team. 751 00:34:47,239 --> 00:34:51,720 Speaker 3: Attending a buffet supper sampling a wide range of delights 752 00:34:52,160 --> 00:34:53,719 Speaker 3: before finishing the media. 753 00:34:54,719 --> 00:34:58,120 Speaker 4: I told you for the show, a group I really respect, 754 00:34:58,400 --> 00:35:01,880 Speaker 4: it's really respected in the industry, has put north of 755 00:35:02,000 --> 00:35:04,360 Speaker 4: seven figures into this Cowboys team at the three and 756 00:35:04,400 --> 00:35:06,080 Speaker 4: a half and at the four at the four and 757 00:35:06,120 --> 00:35:08,800 Speaker 4: a half. So, like you just said, there's tons of 758 00:35:08,800 --> 00:35:10,080 Speaker 4: three and a half's out there if you want to 759 00:35:10,160 --> 00:35:13,160 Speaker 4: join a really smart group. And you know, I thought 760 00:35:13,200 --> 00:35:14,719 Speaker 4: I was gonna be on Dallas. It was like, Okay, 761 00:35:14,760 --> 00:35:17,400 Speaker 4: I'll bet Dallas this week. It's a good number, divisional 762 00:35:17,480 --> 00:35:20,960 Speaker 4: matchup home dog. We talked, you know, game one of 763 00:35:20,960 --> 00:35:22,920 Speaker 4: the year, the biggest strength of the Dallas team was 764 00:35:22,960 --> 00:35:25,680 Speaker 4: going to be the number two receiver and pickings against 765 00:35:25,719 --> 00:35:28,239 Speaker 4: a bad corner on the Eagles. Little do we know, 766 00:35:28,280 --> 00:35:30,360 Speaker 4: pickens are gonna be like what the number one receiver 767 00:35:30,480 --> 00:35:32,640 Speaker 4: this year, a number two stat wise behind the guy 768 00:35:32,719 --> 00:35:36,640 Speaker 4: up in Seattle. So you know, I can't get over 769 00:35:36,719 --> 00:35:39,680 Speaker 4: this matchup as an Eagles fan. I just don't get 770 00:35:39,719 --> 00:35:41,680 Speaker 4: what they're Seenior. I can't believe as an Eagles fan 771 00:35:42,120 --> 00:35:44,200 Speaker 4: they're saying We're gonna lose this game to the Cowboys. 772 00:35:44,239 --> 00:35:45,879 Speaker 2: I can't believe it. I really can't. 773 00:35:46,000 --> 00:35:49,319 Speaker 4: So I have zero dollars invest in this Egles money line. 774 00:35:49,320 --> 00:35:51,560 Speaker 4: I've taken a position on the Cowboys money line here, 775 00:35:51,600 --> 00:35:54,880 Speaker 4: and just I guess I'll trust the number. And these 776 00:35:54,960 --> 00:35:56,960 Speaker 4: really smart professionals here, they're telling me this is an 777 00:35:57,000 --> 00:36:00,239 Speaker 4: incredible spot for this Cowboys team. And you know, again, 778 00:36:01,000 --> 00:36:05,439 Speaker 4: Kevin petulu O see of this Eagles team. I still 779 00:36:05,480 --> 00:36:07,520 Speaker 4: a report that he's getting looks at being a head 780 00:36:07,560 --> 00:36:09,920 Speaker 4: coach candidate next year, and it makes me want to 781 00:36:09,960 --> 00:36:11,960 Speaker 4: rip my head out. It's like, what am I missing here? 782 00:36:12,040 --> 00:36:15,440 Speaker 4: I just everything feels so dysfunctional, these Egos offense. This 783 00:36:15,520 --> 00:36:17,919 Speaker 4: is where I feel like this Cowboys team can maybe 784 00:36:17,960 --> 00:36:20,280 Speaker 4: taking advantage of the fact that their offense is clicking. 785 00:36:21,280 --> 00:36:24,759 Speaker 4: On the flip side, this Eagles offense just seems so congested. 786 00:36:24,840 --> 00:36:27,879 Speaker 4: And you know, we've seen the upgrades THATX Cowboys made 787 00:36:27,880 --> 00:36:31,040 Speaker 4: to their defense between trading and getting guys back healthy. 788 00:36:31,480 --> 00:36:33,480 Speaker 4: You know, obviously this is not the Raiders offense, but 789 00:36:34,280 --> 00:36:36,520 Speaker 4: it feels like they can stop a the functional Eagles 790 00:36:36,560 --> 00:36:38,239 Speaker 4: team right now, which I think the Eagles need. 791 00:36:38,360 --> 00:36:40,319 Speaker 2: They need it. They it feels like they need. 792 00:36:40,320 --> 00:36:42,160 Speaker 4: To lose a game to correct some of their woes 793 00:36:42,239 --> 00:36:44,439 Speaker 4: right now, because as likely it's been to keep winning, 794 00:36:44,480 --> 00:36:45,600 Speaker 4: and as much hate as I want to give this 795 00:36:45,680 --> 00:36:48,480 Speaker 4: guy Kevin, his offense doesn't turn the bull over and 796 00:36:48,480 --> 00:36:49,080 Speaker 4: they keep winning. 797 00:36:49,200 --> 00:36:53,880 Speaker 2: So yeah, it's it's a weird spot where I just it. 798 00:36:53,920 --> 00:36:56,120 Speaker 4: Feels like the public and the professionals are aligning on 799 00:36:56,200 --> 00:36:58,160 Speaker 4: this Cowboys team because of all the outside noise, and 800 00:36:58,239 --> 00:37:00,920 Speaker 4: it's like, is this not moved too much? 801 00:37:00,960 --> 00:37:02,200 Speaker 2: So, like I said, if it gets a two and 802 00:37:02,239 --> 00:37:02,600 Speaker 2: a half. 803 00:37:02,480 --> 00:37:04,839 Speaker 4: On the Eagles, I'm not going to take it now 804 00:37:04,960 --> 00:37:08,040 Speaker 4: because I respect this group so much, but I feel 805 00:37:08,040 --> 00:37:09,440 Speaker 4: like this is such an overreaction. 806 00:37:09,640 --> 00:37:11,200 Speaker 2: This numbers move so much. 807 00:37:11,360 --> 00:37:13,759 Speaker 4: So once again, get to three and a half the three, 808 00:37:13,920 --> 00:37:15,640 Speaker 4: I don't want to tell people to take the Cowboys here, 809 00:37:15,719 --> 00:37:17,680 Speaker 4: but at three and a half, I do think that's 810 00:37:17,680 --> 00:37:20,800 Speaker 4: a really strong number where really swarm money's back. 811 00:37:20,680 --> 00:37:21,240 Speaker 2: In that number. 812 00:37:22,920 --> 00:37:24,719 Speaker 1: I'm surprised to hear you say that that is new 813 00:37:24,800 --> 00:37:29,040 Speaker 1: news since the Tuesday show, so obviously you've gotten some 814 00:37:29,200 --> 00:37:32,440 Speaker 1: intel on this, this syndicate that's betting pig money on 815 00:37:32,560 --> 00:37:35,719 Speaker 1: the Cowboys. I think if the Eagles off, it truly 816 00:37:35,800 --> 00:37:36,160 Speaker 1: pains me. 817 00:37:36,239 --> 00:37:37,880 Speaker 2: I can't believe they're going to lose this game to 818 00:37:37,960 --> 00:37:40,359 Speaker 2: the Cowboys. But that's what guys are telling me. They're like, dude, 819 00:37:40,400 --> 00:37:43,200 Speaker 2: this is a trap, a bad spot for this Eagles team. 820 00:37:43,239 --> 00:37:44,200 Speaker 2: They're walking right into it. 821 00:37:44,600 --> 00:37:46,719 Speaker 1: Well, look, if the Eagles offensive Cornator is all of 822 00:37:46,760 --> 00:37:49,440 Speaker 1: a sudden, there's news about him getting looks as head. 823 00:37:49,320 --> 00:37:50,719 Speaker 2: Coach, I thinktrolling me. 824 00:37:51,000 --> 00:37:55,480 Speaker 1: I swear that's just his agent who's really good planting, planting, 825 00:37:55,680 --> 00:37:56,720 Speaker 1: planting with some friendlies. 826 00:37:56,760 --> 00:37:57,839 Speaker 2: That's right, that's true. 827 00:37:57,880 --> 00:37:59,959 Speaker 1: That's all. That's all that is. There's no one who's 828 00:38:00,120 --> 00:38:05,879 Speaker 1: really serious about that Tampa Bay at the Los Angeles Rams, 829 00:38:06,000 --> 00:38:08,239 Speaker 1: this one is moving towards seven. It's at six and 830 00:38:08,320 --> 00:38:13,719 Speaker 1: a half. I just can't not like the Bucks here. 831 00:38:13,760 --> 00:38:16,160 Speaker 1: And I know we're on opposite sides because I think 832 00:38:16,239 --> 00:38:19,759 Speaker 1: Baker started scrambling. I think Sean Tucker has taken on 833 00:38:19,880 --> 00:38:23,440 Speaker 1: some of the responsibilities that came with Bucky Irving. So 834 00:38:23,520 --> 00:38:26,640 Speaker 1: it's taken the pressure and the load off of Rashad White. 835 00:38:27,840 --> 00:38:30,320 Speaker 1: If you look at Seattle, I said this earlier in 836 00:38:30,360 --> 00:38:34,880 Speaker 1: the show, they still almost won that game against the Rams, 837 00:38:34,960 --> 00:38:39,239 Speaker 1: even after four Sam Darnold interceptions. What does that tell 838 00:38:39,239 --> 00:38:44,400 Speaker 1: you about either the Rams' ability to be effective offensively, 839 00:38:44,480 --> 00:38:46,040 Speaker 1: What does it tell you about the play calling, what 840 00:38:46,080 --> 00:38:49,080 Speaker 1: does it tell you about their defense? And maybe there 841 00:38:49,120 --> 00:38:51,560 Speaker 1: are some holes that you can take advantage of, Like 842 00:38:52,800 --> 00:38:56,040 Speaker 1: the Bucks also nearly covered against the Bills. They were 843 00:38:56,080 --> 00:38:59,360 Speaker 1: five minutes away from winning that game until Josh Allen 844 00:39:00,120 --> 00:39:06,160 Speaker 1: went into superhuman mode. So I know we've been burned 845 00:39:06,239 --> 00:39:09,759 Speaker 1: with the Bucks. I'm still having better. I'm waiting for 846 00:39:09,880 --> 00:39:11,400 Speaker 1: it to get to seven. I think it's going to 847 00:39:11,440 --> 00:39:15,800 Speaker 1: get there, and when it does, I'm gonna have to 848 00:39:15,800 --> 00:39:16,359 Speaker 1: bet the Bucks. 849 00:39:18,440 --> 00:39:20,080 Speaker 2: I know, I get what you're coming from. By just 850 00:39:21,320 --> 00:39:23,640 Speaker 2: I don't know. I don't think this Bucks team is 851 00:39:23,719 --> 00:39:25,840 Speaker 2: good the public. 852 00:39:32,800 --> 00:39:36,040 Speaker 4: Like I went back and rewatched that game, and you're 853 00:39:36,480 --> 00:39:40,479 Speaker 4: you're honestly making a bet strictly on Baker having magic 854 00:39:40,520 --> 00:39:43,640 Speaker 4: and keeping this game close. But these injuries have caught 855 00:39:43,719 --> 00:39:45,520 Speaker 4: up to them offensively, like him not having all of 856 00:39:45,560 --> 00:39:46,080 Speaker 4: his guys. 857 00:39:46,640 --> 00:39:48,480 Speaker 2: It's a real issue. As great as a Mecca. 858 00:39:48,360 --> 00:39:51,760 Speaker 4: Buka has been, you've seen teams be able to adjust 859 00:39:51,840 --> 00:39:54,480 Speaker 4: to him because it's again a first year player. There's 860 00:39:54,480 --> 00:39:56,040 Speaker 4: only so many good things he's gonna be able to do. 861 00:39:56,680 --> 00:39:59,960 Speaker 4: He's very raw, right, So say he's incredible running these 862 00:40:00,920 --> 00:40:03,799 Speaker 4: They've literally just been dropping a linebacker every time under 863 00:40:03,840 --> 00:40:06,480 Speaker 4: coverage into his routes. So now he's had to really 864 00:40:06,520 --> 00:40:09,480 Speaker 4: go downfield more, which again Bakers in mind pushing the 865 00:40:09,520 --> 00:40:11,840 Speaker 4: ball downfield, but they're just gonna have a safety or 866 00:40:11,920 --> 00:40:13,560 Speaker 4: top of them the whole time. Like you just know 867 00:40:13,719 --> 00:40:16,480 Speaker 4: you have to double with Mecha, Buca, everyone else you're 868 00:40:16,480 --> 00:40:17,799 Speaker 4: gonna be able to do one on ones with. Right, 869 00:40:17,880 --> 00:40:20,839 Speaker 4: You're getting guys off the street here for this Bucks team, 870 00:40:20,880 --> 00:40:23,799 Speaker 4: which you know Baker can make magic. Like you said, 871 00:40:24,000 --> 00:40:26,440 Speaker 4: there is a world where he can make this the 872 00:40:26,520 --> 00:40:28,920 Speaker 4: game and cover this number, because we've seen that with Baker, 873 00:40:29,040 --> 00:40:30,240 Speaker 4: like he just never gives. 874 00:40:30,080 --> 00:40:33,480 Speaker 2: Up that Bills game. Like we said that three and out, 875 00:40:34,160 --> 00:40:35,680 Speaker 2: that's why you lost that cover at the end of 876 00:40:35,680 --> 00:40:37,719 Speaker 2: the game. If Baker doesn't go three and out there 877 00:40:37,760 --> 00:40:39,680 Speaker 2: and does what he had been doing, Drave if at 878 00:40:39,800 --> 00:40:42,319 Speaker 2: least gets you a field goal there, it's a totally 879 00:40:42,360 --> 00:40:44,319 Speaker 2: different situation. You probably do cover that number. 880 00:40:44,400 --> 00:40:47,600 Speaker 4: But three and out Josh Allen was on a mission, 881 00:40:47,640 --> 00:40:49,560 Speaker 4: gets the ball back, went right down the field scored again. 882 00:40:49,680 --> 00:40:53,040 Speaker 4: So looking here, Chad, I think the professionals view it 883 00:40:53,080 --> 00:40:54,719 Speaker 4: as why this number is going up to seven. It's 884 00:40:54,800 --> 00:40:57,120 Speaker 4: just that I don't think they're gonna get Bucky back. 885 00:40:57,360 --> 00:41:00,200 Speaker 4: To me, that's a big deal. This Rams team, as 886 00:41:00,239 --> 00:41:03,480 Speaker 4: bad as they looked last week. This this has to 887 00:41:03,560 --> 00:41:06,200 Speaker 4: be an exactly exactly get right spot for this Rams 888 00:41:06,239 --> 00:41:09,480 Speaker 4: offense against a bad Bucks defense. Right, Seattle's defense kind 889 00:41:09,520 --> 00:41:12,359 Speaker 4: of not put Stafford in his place. But we were saying, 890 00:41:12,400 --> 00:41:14,360 Speaker 4: I think he still is an MVP favorite, but he 891 00:41:14,400 --> 00:41:16,200 Speaker 4: did not play at MVP level there. We talked about 892 00:41:16,200 --> 00:41:18,279 Speaker 4: he had fifty completions. He totally burned us in a 893 00:41:18,360 --> 00:41:21,319 Speaker 4: game his team gets four picks. We should have covered 894 00:41:21,360 --> 00:41:23,080 Speaker 4: that number of a million different ways. He couldn't get 895 00:41:23,120 --> 00:41:25,200 Speaker 4: his team in field goal range. I mean, like you said, 896 00:41:25,239 --> 00:41:28,239 Speaker 4: they scored that fourteen in the first quarter with five 897 00:41:28,280 --> 00:41:30,320 Speaker 4: minutes to go. He only scored seven the rest of 898 00:41:30,400 --> 00:41:33,680 Speaker 4: the game. So for a Stafford, this offensive feels get 899 00:41:33,719 --> 00:41:35,879 Speaker 4: get right spot. And yeah, we're just on opposite side. 900 00:41:36,040 --> 00:41:38,359 Speaker 4: You like the Bucks, But I don't think he'll take 901 00:41:38,400 --> 00:41:39,719 Speaker 4: the Bucks here a minus six and a half, I 902 00:41:39,760 --> 00:41:41,239 Speaker 4: think you'll just or plus six and a half, you'll 903 00:41:41,280 --> 00:41:43,960 Speaker 4: just wait grab the seven where on the Rams. If 904 00:41:44,000 --> 00:41:45,680 Speaker 4: you're getting this now, I would take the six and 905 00:41:45,719 --> 00:41:47,719 Speaker 4: a half now, because I only think this goes up. 906 00:41:47,760 --> 00:41:49,960 Speaker 4: I just don't see it coming down, just because I 907 00:41:49,960 --> 00:41:52,319 Speaker 4: think Bucky will be out. We'll have God went out, 908 00:41:52,360 --> 00:41:53,920 Speaker 4: and we'll see who they get back to the offensive 909 00:41:53,920 --> 00:41:54,839 Speaker 4: line for this Bucks team. 910 00:41:54,880 --> 00:41:57,360 Speaker 2: But just so many injuries to this team. Baker go 911 00:41:57,440 --> 00:41:58,200 Speaker 2: only handles so much. 912 00:41:58,280 --> 00:42:02,200 Speaker 1: You know, yeah, Caroline plus seven at San Francisco. Why 913 00:42:02,239 --> 00:42:08,080 Speaker 1: aren't we betting Carolina here? You know, Bryce Young against 914 00:42:08,120 --> 00:42:12,200 Speaker 1: this defense. I know that everybody wants to say that 915 00:42:12,320 --> 00:42:15,880 Speaker 1: the Niners are back with Brock Purty. Seven just feels 916 00:42:16,000 --> 00:42:20,880 Speaker 1: like a huge, huge, huge, huge number us for a 917 00:42:21,120 --> 00:42:24,600 Speaker 1: Panthers team that continues to find ways to not just 918 00:42:24,719 --> 00:42:27,520 Speaker 1: cover and win. They're doing the same things they did 919 00:42:28,000 --> 00:42:31,480 Speaker 1: last year. They're building momentum in the second half. They're 920 00:42:31,560 --> 00:42:33,920 Speaker 1: taking big chances. I know you hated the chances they 921 00:42:33,960 --> 00:42:37,520 Speaker 1: took on Sunday and Dave canalyis was your shame? Shame, shame, 922 00:42:37,960 --> 00:42:42,239 Speaker 1: But it just feels like this Panthers team is too 923 00:42:42,320 --> 00:42:45,640 Speaker 1: competitive and this number is too big, and everyone is 924 00:42:45,680 --> 00:42:48,480 Speaker 1: forgetting that this Niners defense is just not very good. 925 00:42:49,560 --> 00:42:52,640 Speaker 1: They're wide open and vulnerable to what Bryce Young likes 926 00:42:52,680 --> 00:42:54,960 Speaker 1: to do and how Dave Canalis likes to call plays. 927 00:42:56,520 --> 00:42:58,680 Speaker 4: I know, but like I keep saying, there has to 928 00:42:58,719 --> 00:43:00,799 Speaker 4: be something we are missing here because this line does 929 00:43:00,920 --> 00:43:03,919 Speaker 4: not make sense at all. No sense in the books 930 00:43:03,960 --> 00:43:06,000 Speaker 4: are telling us that Bryce Shung is going to lay 931 00:43:06,000 --> 00:43:07,680 Speaker 4: in the here, that's what they're saying to us. But 932 00:43:08,719 --> 00:43:11,160 Speaker 4: we have all this data that shows this Niners team 933 00:43:11,600 --> 00:43:14,359 Speaker 4: just they have letdown games after big wins, and they've 934 00:43:14,440 --> 00:43:16,680 Speaker 4: done so the last year and a half with whether 935 00:43:16,719 --> 00:43:19,399 Speaker 4: it's been Brock pretty Er, mac Jones, it doesn't matter 936 00:43:19,440 --> 00:43:22,200 Speaker 4: who the quarterback has been. That that's been consistent. They 937 00:43:22,239 --> 00:43:25,040 Speaker 4: are one in fourteen against the spread after or win. 938 00:43:26,560 --> 00:43:28,839 Speaker 4: You know, I just don't get this line at all. 939 00:43:28,920 --> 00:43:32,319 Speaker 4: Like you've said, this Carolina team, they have the guys 940 00:43:32,360 --> 00:43:34,680 Speaker 4: that keep up with this offense. You know, we know 941 00:43:34,760 --> 00:43:36,359 Speaker 4: their defense is going to struggle in the forty nine 942 00:43:36,440 --> 00:43:38,160 Speaker 4: is going to get this, but we expect the Panthers 943 00:43:38,239 --> 00:43:38,719 Speaker 4: to keep up. 944 00:43:38,800 --> 00:43:41,439 Speaker 2: And this is seven and a half of two different 945 00:43:41,480 --> 00:43:42,640 Speaker 2: books here in Jersey Jet. 946 00:43:42,880 --> 00:43:43,600 Speaker 1: It's ridiculous. 947 00:43:43,680 --> 00:43:45,640 Speaker 4: It's minus one twenty five and minus one twenty at 948 00:43:45,640 --> 00:43:49,960 Speaker 4: both of them. But I mean, I'm very tempted to 949 00:43:50,000 --> 00:43:52,120 Speaker 4: put a large wager on this Panthers team. 950 00:43:52,160 --> 00:43:52,880 Speaker 2: I can't believe it. 951 00:43:52,920 --> 00:43:55,440 Speaker 4: I'm just trying to be cautious here because there's just 952 00:43:55,440 --> 00:43:57,839 Speaker 4: something I'm missing. My model's totally off and I'm totally off. 953 00:43:57,960 --> 00:44:01,160 Speaker 4: I just do not get the number at all. So, yeah, 954 00:44:01,239 --> 00:44:05,120 Speaker 4: this every every book I've talked to has said the 955 00:44:05,200 --> 00:44:06,960 Speaker 4: majority of the money they've taken so far he has 956 00:44:07,040 --> 00:44:10,120 Speaker 4: been Panthers, which to me makes sense, Like the public 957 00:44:10,239 --> 00:44:10,600 Speaker 4: is with us. 958 00:44:10,640 --> 00:44:12,719 Speaker 2: They've seen Bryce Young what he's done. 959 00:44:13,200 --> 00:44:17,280 Speaker 4: And you know, Atlanta, like we just said they're potentially 960 00:44:17,320 --> 00:44:20,480 Speaker 4: a really bad team and we've overvalued them. And you know, 961 00:44:20,600 --> 00:44:22,719 Speaker 4: any defense that just gave up four hundred fifty yards 962 00:44:22,760 --> 00:44:25,200 Speaker 4: or Bryce Young, we can say is a bad defense. 963 00:44:25,280 --> 00:44:27,840 Speaker 4: But I don't know, like we said this for and 964 00:44:27,960 --> 00:44:29,839 Speaker 4: Ers team with their injuries, they're not that much better, 965 00:44:30,080 --> 00:44:31,040 Speaker 4: Like they really aren't. 966 00:44:31,120 --> 00:44:34,120 Speaker 2: So I don't get it. Chat, I just do not 967 00:44:34,320 --> 00:44:35,880 Speaker 2: get this line at all. And I'm with you. I 968 00:44:36,160 --> 00:44:37,200 Speaker 2: am all over this Panthers one. 969 00:44:37,200 --> 00:44:39,719 Speaker 4: But I'm trying to be cautious because it feels way 970 00:44:39,840 --> 00:44:42,040 Speaker 4: too easy and I'm missing something Like again, it. 971 00:44:42,080 --> 00:44:45,840 Speaker 2: Feels a couple a couple of lines this week feel really. 972 00:44:45,680 --> 00:44:47,600 Speaker 4: Interesting where they've they've moved and this is one of 973 00:44:47,640 --> 00:44:49,440 Speaker 4: those games where this was six and a half, it's 974 00:44:49,440 --> 00:44:51,360 Speaker 4: gone to seven, and now it's trending towards seven and 975 00:44:51,360 --> 00:44:54,680 Speaker 4: a half, so be careful. We'll talk more about it Sunday, 976 00:44:54,680 --> 00:44:56,440 Speaker 4: where once I get more from because it is the 977 00:44:56,480 --> 00:44:57,200 Speaker 4: money night game. 978 00:44:57,320 --> 00:44:59,680 Speaker 2: But yeah, as we say here right now, I really 979 00:44:59,719 --> 00:45:01,200 Speaker 2: really like the Panthers number. 980 00:45:01,200 --> 00:45:04,320 Speaker 1: I do too. The games that we know we'll be 981 00:45:04,440 --> 00:45:07,960 Speaker 1: talking about on Sunday either because of Liones, because games 982 00:45:08,000 --> 00:45:11,040 Speaker 1: we like now because of injury news. We're going to 983 00:45:11,080 --> 00:45:13,200 Speaker 1: talk about the Lions. We're going to talk about the 984 00:45:13,200 --> 00:45:15,960 Speaker 1: Steelers because we're waiting to find out about Aaron Rodgers. 985 00:45:16,440 --> 00:45:22,640 Speaker 1: We're going to talk about Seattle. We'll probably talk about Cincy. Yeah, 986 00:45:23,360 --> 00:45:26,240 Speaker 1: because of Joe Burrow. We're going to talk about the Raiders. 987 00:45:26,239 --> 00:45:32,720 Speaker 1: We're going to talk about the Cardinals, the Saints, Geez Dallas. 988 00:45:32,840 --> 00:45:35,279 Speaker 1: Caroline Like, it's going to be hard to narrow these 989 00:45:35,320 --> 00:45:37,000 Speaker 1: things down on Sunday. 990 00:45:38,800 --> 00:45:40,640 Speaker 2: Yeah, No, it's a fun week for sure. 991 00:45:41,360 --> 00:45:43,200 Speaker 1: Let's take a quick word from hard rock and we'll 992 00:45:43,239 --> 00:45:46,839 Speaker 1: come back with some big bets and Square versus Sharp 993 00:45:46,880 --> 00:45:49,000 Speaker 1: and all that good stuff. Today's show is brought to 994 00:45:49,040 --> 00:45:51,879 Speaker 1: you by our new presenting sponsor, hard Rock Bet. 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Download the hard rock Bet 1019 00:47:07,920 --> 00:47:11,759 Speaker 1: app and make your first deposits payable in bonus bets, 1020 00:47:11,840 --> 00:47:14,720 Speaker 1: not a cash offer offered by the Seminole Tribe of Florida. 1021 00:47:14,800 --> 00:47:18,239 Speaker 1: In Florida, offered by Seminal hard Rock Digital, LLC. In 1022 00:47:18,440 --> 00:47:21,600 Speaker 1: all other states. Must be twenty one and over and 1023 00:47:21,760 --> 00:47:27,440 Speaker 1: physically present in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, 1024 00:47:27,520 --> 00:47:31,080 Speaker 1: or Virginia to play. Terms and conditions apply. Concerned about 1025 00:47:31,120 --> 00:47:34,960 Speaker 1: gambling in Florida, call one eight three three play wise. 1026 00:47:35,200 --> 00:47:37,320 Speaker 1: In Indiana, if you were something you know as a 1027 00:47:37,360 --> 00:47:40,200 Speaker 1: gambling problem and wants help, call one eight hundred and 1028 00:47:40,239 --> 00:47:43,920 Speaker 1: nine with it gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler 1029 00:47:44,480 --> 00:47:47,720 Speaker 1: in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, and Virginia. 1030 00:47:48,960 --> 00:47:53,840 Speaker 1: All right, simon, biggest bets, pull up bost pants and 1031 00:47:54,040 --> 00:47:56,160 Speaker 1: be a man h. 1032 00:47:57,160 --> 00:47:58,799 Speaker 2: I mean, it's it's all depend on the number. 1033 00:47:58,880 --> 00:48:02,160 Speaker 4: Like again, I'm pretty heavy on Detroit obviously, people know 1034 00:48:02,280 --> 00:48:05,839 Speaker 4: that minus ten and a half minus ten, I've really 1035 00:48:05,880 --> 00:48:09,799 Speaker 4: taken a big position on that one since I'm getting there, people, 1036 00:48:10,000 --> 00:48:12,799 Speaker 4: So I've taken big positions in seven six and a half, 1037 00:48:13,560 --> 00:48:17,080 Speaker 4: Colts plus three and a half and you know, probably 1038 00:48:17,160 --> 00:48:19,480 Speaker 4: not that shock any people. Cowboys plus three and a half, 1039 00:48:19,520 --> 00:48:22,760 Speaker 4: I've taken a pretty big position. So I'm being patient 1040 00:48:22,960 --> 00:48:24,920 Speaker 4: on the Rams and the Panthers and see where that 1041 00:48:25,040 --> 00:48:29,120 Speaker 4: number goes. But those could end up being pretty big 1042 00:48:29,160 --> 00:48:29,839 Speaker 4: bets of mine as well. 1043 00:48:30,800 --> 00:48:36,480 Speaker 1: It worries me that my biggest bets so far this 1044 00:48:36,640 --> 00:48:40,920 Speaker 1: week are not on your list, the Raiders and the Cardinals. 1045 00:48:41,840 --> 00:48:44,759 Speaker 4: I'm invested heavily in the Raiders' money line, but yeah, 1046 00:48:45,080 --> 00:48:46,680 Speaker 4: I'm just I don't know. 1047 00:48:46,880 --> 00:48:49,120 Speaker 2: Something about that number just scares me a little bit. 1048 00:48:49,880 --> 00:48:53,680 Speaker 1: All right, Well, now I'm scared that you're not aligned 1049 00:48:53,800 --> 00:48:56,880 Speaker 1: with what I'm doing. Let's talk about some parlays here. 1050 00:48:57,000 --> 00:49:01,600 Speaker 1: Let's choose three underdog parlay is because I know we've 1051 00:49:01,680 --> 00:49:04,400 Speaker 1: got probably five parlays that we really like for the 1052 00:49:04,440 --> 00:49:06,200 Speaker 1: favorites underdogs. 1053 00:49:10,320 --> 00:49:14,520 Speaker 2: My dog blocks your dog. Your dog blocks my dog. 1054 00:49:16,400 --> 00:49:20,719 Speaker 1: I could see Cincy, you know, if it's Joe Burrow, like, 1055 00:49:20,920 --> 00:49:23,480 Speaker 1: it doesn't doesn't terribly scare. 1056 00:49:23,280 --> 00:49:31,399 Speaker 2: Me, all right, do Cincy? Dallas? Yeah, Pittsburgh plus one 1057 00:49:31,480 --> 00:49:37,239 Speaker 2: twenty five. Yeah, it's not terrible, dude. Cardinals, Cardinals, all right. 1058 00:49:37,280 --> 00:49:39,279 Speaker 2: I compan that they're they're plus one forty. 1059 00:49:39,080 --> 00:49:44,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, Arizona, all right, the favorites. We're definitely gonna go 1060 00:49:44,320 --> 00:49:49,320 Speaker 1: with the Raiders. Oh yeah, we're gonna go with the Saints. 1061 00:49:49,480 --> 00:49:50,640 Speaker 1: What about Kansas City? 1062 00:49:51,040 --> 00:49:51,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, we can do it. 1063 00:49:52,239 --> 00:49:52,839 Speaker 1: Kansas City. 1064 00:49:53,120 --> 00:49:55,000 Speaker 2: You know, I think I think them being five and 1065 00:49:55,120 --> 00:49:56,439 Speaker 2: six is very real. 1066 00:49:57,280 --> 00:49:58,640 Speaker 1: Raiders Saints, Kansas City. 1067 00:49:59,200 --> 00:50:01,560 Speaker 4: I want to do se Yeah, well yeah, do some 1068 00:50:01,640 --> 00:50:04,200 Speaker 4: adjusted lines do uh, Seattle minus five and a half? 1069 00:50:04,560 --> 00:50:06,399 Speaker 1: Okay, Seattle minus five and a half. 1070 00:50:07,400 --> 00:50:10,880 Speaker 2: Let's do one. How can we not take Packers? 1071 00:50:11,560 --> 00:50:12,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, take the Packers. 1072 00:50:12,880 --> 00:50:15,560 Speaker 4: I mean they if I get it's it's a divisional game, 1073 00:50:15,640 --> 00:50:18,759 Speaker 4: things do happen. But my god, they've they've lost so 1074 00:50:18,800 --> 00:50:20,719 Speaker 4: many bad games this yere. They can't drop another one 1075 00:50:20,760 --> 00:50:21,600 Speaker 4: at home in the spot. 1076 00:50:23,000 --> 00:50:27,719 Speaker 1: All right, sharp versus square, give me your thoughts here. 1077 00:50:28,160 --> 00:50:30,200 Speaker 1: You can go first. Since you were at Carolina last 1078 00:50:30,239 --> 00:50:31,160 Speaker 1: week and I did not. 1079 00:50:32,120 --> 00:50:33,680 Speaker 4: I mean I would do Dallas plus three and a 1080 00:50:33,760 --> 00:50:37,560 Speaker 4: half Hard Rocks unfortunately three. 1081 00:50:38,400 --> 00:50:43,560 Speaker 2: I'll do uh Colts plus three and a half Cold 1082 00:50:43,760 --> 00:50:46,800 Speaker 2: plus three. Leaking confidence. As I said, you are a 1083 00:50:46,880 --> 00:50:49,439 Speaker 2: leaking a little. I feel much shafe for doing Dallas 1084 00:50:49,480 --> 00:50:50,200 Speaker 2: plus three and a half. 1085 00:50:50,280 --> 00:50:53,120 Speaker 1: But I'll give you Dallas three and a half. It's 1086 00:50:53,200 --> 00:50:54,120 Speaker 1: kind of been there all week. 1087 00:50:54,160 --> 00:50:56,520 Speaker 2: And you can get Dallas. Yeah, it's had a bunch 1088 00:50:56,520 --> 00:50:57,120 Speaker 2: of main books. 1089 00:50:57,239 --> 00:50:58,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, you can get Dallas three and a half pretty 1090 00:50:58,880 --> 00:51:01,600 Speaker 1: much anywhere. I'm down to Sinci in Vegas. 1091 00:51:03,680 --> 00:51:04,719 Speaker 2: Do Vegas? You love it? 1092 00:51:05,960 --> 00:51:08,040 Speaker 1: I do love Vegas. I'll take minus three trying to 1093 00:51:08,120 --> 00:51:09,880 Speaker 1: get you off of it. You love it, I love 1094 00:51:09,960 --> 00:51:12,279 Speaker 1: the I love the Raiders. I love it all right. 1095 00:51:12,680 --> 00:51:15,080 Speaker 4: And then survivor just real quick, as people always ask, 1096 00:51:15,280 --> 00:51:17,279 Speaker 4: you can't go wrong with these still with digitalgs people, 1097 00:51:17,320 --> 00:51:20,360 Speaker 4: if you still have Seahawks, you still have lines, you 1098 00:51:20,440 --> 00:51:24,319 Speaker 4: still have Ravens, just use them. If not, if you're 1099 00:51:24,400 --> 00:51:27,520 Speaker 4: really stuck, if you still somehow still have Green Bay, 1100 00:51:28,160 --> 00:51:31,400 Speaker 4: use them. If you still somehow have the Rams, I 1101 00:51:31,400 --> 00:51:33,320 Speaker 4: wouldn't waste them on the books. Your books are easily 1102 00:51:33,360 --> 00:51:35,360 Speaker 4: win that game. So there's a bunch of options there. 1103 00:51:35,360 --> 00:51:37,800 Speaker 4: I just wouldn't force in big favorites of the Rams 1104 00:51:37,960 --> 00:51:40,040 Speaker 4: or or the forty nine ers. The four Niners could 1105 00:51:40,040 --> 00:51:40,759 Speaker 4: lose that game as well. 1106 00:51:41,480 --> 00:51:43,160 Speaker 1: All Right, this has been Sharper Square, part of the 1107 00:51:43,239 --> 00:51:46,640 Speaker 1: Volume podcast network. We will be back on Shrepper Square 1108 00:51:47,040 --> 00:51:50,640 Speaker 1: YouTube on Sunday morning. Simon and I are going to 1109 00:51:50,719 --> 00:51:55,440 Speaker 1: make utterly human, challenging decisions that we will regret the 1110 00:51:55,640 --> 00:51:58,560 Speaker 1: rest of the day. Will be back on Sharper Square 1111 00:51:58,600 --> 00:52:01,880 Speaker 1: YouTube later that day seven point thirty pm Eastern. To 1112 00:52:01,960 --> 00:52:05,480 Speaker 1: review how we did. Watch or listen on YouTube at 1113 00:52:05,640 --> 00:52:08,800 Speaker 1: sharp or Square. Like this video, subscribe to the channel. 1114 00:52:08,800 --> 00:52:11,080 Speaker 1: You can also download it from Spotify, Apple Pods, wherever 1115 00:52:11,160 --> 00:52:14,320 Speaker 1: you get your pods. Rate review, subscribe, leave us five stars, 1116 00:52:14,320 --> 00:52:18,080 Speaker 1: say whatever you want. Feedback is a gift until next time. 1117 00:52:19,080 --> 00:52:19,600 Speaker 1: Love you. 1118 00:52:21,320 --> 00:52:23,240 Speaker 2: Right now, it's time to take a step forward. 1119 00:52:23,480 --> 00:52:25,600 Speaker 1: We gotta put something together. Back to back. 1120 00:52:25,800 --> 00:52:26,080 Speaker 4: Let's go