Speaker 1: NFL. Game Debut is a production of the NFL in
Speaker 1: partnership with I Heart Radio. Well, they're still getting their
Speaker 1: heads around American football. Over here in Munich. Everyone keeps
Speaker 1: telling me Jeff Saturday is coaching the Cold I'd be
Speaker 1: shocked as well, Oh my god, what tell me? Why?
Speaker 1: Why I am a candidate? You would consider any in
Speaker 1: any role to do this? Well, I'm over here in Germany,
Speaker 1: resume handy to see if the Bucks and Seahawks need
Speaker 1: any help before they kick things off internationally in week ten,
Speaker 1: and according to my sources, Greg was in line to
Speaker 1: become the Lions new defensive backs coach. That is until
Speaker 1: he switched and picked against the Lions on air last week.
Speaker 1: I'm not letting you have a prime number. Stop it switching, oh, Greg.
Speaker 1: Game Debut, presented by Mercedes Benz, starts everybody. Welcome to
Speaker 1: Game Dave You Week ten edition. Patrick Laban here with
Speaker 1: Greg Rosenthal and Cynthia Freeland. The Lions pick situation didn't
Speaker 1: work out for Greg, but we got more games. We
Speaker 1: got more games. We are without our fearless leader and
Speaker 1: global traveler, Rachel Vanetta, who is in Germany still taking
Speaker 1: shots at you, Greg, still humbling me from across the ocean.
Speaker 1: That's just like how the way every week's going to start? Now? Well, um,
Speaker 1: it gets better. It's your own fault. Actually, I know,
Speaker 1: I it's your fault. You didn't pick your lions. You should.
Speaker 1: I'm giving you a straight to blaming Cynthia for your
Speaker 1: own freath but changed during the show. Actually it's all
Speaker 1: my fault. You're right, Rachel, we we miss you. We
Speaker 1: do have your picks here, We've got them stored digitally,
Speaker 1: so you're on the show too. Speaking of picks, I'm
Speaker 1: a humble man normally, but this chair, this chair is
Speaker 1: my source of power. I want to talk about me
Speaker 1: and how I have a commanding one game lead over
Speaker 1: Cynthia Freeland. I feel like the T one thousand is
Speaker 1: chasing me. I don't like this. When does it where
Speaker 1: I fall apart? Every year? It's a it's a tight race. Though.
Speaker 1: This is a big week, your two games behind two.
Speaker 1: It's coming, it's coming. I mean, look, it's it's going
Speaker 1: to be interesting. I'm still, you know, actually wallowing my
Speaker 1: apology to make sure that I've apologized enough to you
Speaker 1: for forcing you to switch your PI. Still still waiting
Speaker 1: on the apology from very mean Cynthia freeing first and
Speaker 1: back to Cynthia is a bully. That's right. We've got
Speaker 1: to address the most influential news story regarding outcomes of
Speaker 1: this football season, and that's the injury to Josh Allen's
Speaker 1: throwing elbow. According to Bill's head coach Sean McDermott, Josh
Speaker 1: Allen is our to hour, so that really elevates the
Speaker 1: injury designation game. He heard his elbow late in Week nine,
Speaker 1: and I gotta be honest, this makes picking this game
Speaker 1: extremely difficult. Not knowing who the starting quarterback is has
Speaker 1: an impact, especially when the starting quarterback is that man
Speaker 1: who's the entire offense. So Cynthia tell about the game, Well, look,
Speaker 1: until I hear that he's not playing, I'm going to
Speaker 1: assume that he's playing. And Josh Allen last week showed
Speaker 1: us that his legs were really, really valuable. And then
Speaker 1: I know about case keenom too, and I know about
Speaker 1: the fact that they also know that they need to
Speaker 1: keep him from pressure as way, So I'm not adjusting anything.
Speaker 1: I have to be here at two thirty in the morning.
Speaker 1: I can adjust it. Then if we hear anything new
Speaker 1: I'm going to twenty in favor of the Bills. I
Speaker 1: do actually want to talk about t. J. Hockinson because
Speaker 1: I want to talk about the fact that there is
Speaker 1: no you know, Jordan players already out. Perhaps Matt Mulana
Speaker 1: is not there. We know there's no Mica Hyde. We
Speaker 1: saw how they're going to potentially use t. J. Hockenson,
Speaker 1: and I think that's going to be valuable, as I
Speaker 1: do believe that Leslie Fraser is gonna let a situation
Speaker 1: where Justin Jefferson runs all over this defense happened, So
Speaker 1: if you're looking for a fun fantasy pickup, this could
Speaker 1: be the one. I and and look, I still have
Speaker 1: a pretty big win for the Bills, which means they're
Speaker 1: going to have to stay throwing late into the fourth quarter,
Speaker 1: all right. Also, Rachel has a tight one in this one,
Speaker 1: but the Bills winning four. Cynthia has some confidence in
Speaker 1: the Bill's defense stopping Justin Jefferson. I don't necessarily feel
Speaker 1: the same way. Let's gaze upon the numerals and what
Speaker 1: Justin Jefferson has done, also what this Bill's defense has
Speaker 1: done in the past few weeks on passes of ten
Speaker 1: or more are yards with this banged up Bills secondary.
Speaker 1: They've given up a passer rating of a hundred and
Speaker 1: five since Week six. That's the number one past defense
Speaker 1: in the world. Seeing a significant decline as injuries, especially
Speaker 1: the one that Jordan Poor piled up on those types
Speaker 1: of passes. Justin Jefferson leading the league's in yards over expectation.
Speaker 1: The Bills have also played more man as the season
Speaker 1: has gotten later. Justin Jefferson, the number one wilde receiver
Speaker 1: in the NFL. I gets the man coverage and all
Speaker 1: his numbers are good. The numbers are good because he's good.
Speaker 1: I'm saying he's not good. I didn't say he's not good,
Speaker 1: he's very good. That's not enough for me to pick
Speaker 1: the Vikings, though I do have them having a few points.
Speaker 1: But this is a win by the Buffalo Bills to three. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I have a similar the margin because you know, we're
Speaker 1: thinking that that Josh Allen may or may not play.
Speaker 1: But that number at the bottom of your screen where
Speaker 1: the Bills are only three point favorites, to me, that
Speaker 1: indicates that maybe case Keenum is playing, or that number
Speaker 1: is sort of assuming he's playing. And I think another
Speaker 1: reason why is because this Vikings offense can do a
Speaker 1: lot on the ground, getting the ball to the outside. Yes,
Speaker 1: I'm picking Buffalo because I think their defense will be
Speaker 1: good enough. But if you saw what the Jets did
Speaker 1: a week ago, especially getting the Bills secondary into the
Speaker 1: running game is a key factor here. You mentioned Matt Milano.
Speaker 1: He might play, but Tremaine Edmonds is gonna miss this game.
Speaker 1: Greg Russou is out for the Bills. They're a little shorthanded,
Speaker 1: and I thought their safeties and their cornerbacks, when you
Speaker 1: get them involved and needing to tackle, you can make
Speaker 1: some big place with Dalvin Cook Alexander Madison. Think they'll
Speaker 1: be fine. I think it's funny we all like chose
Speaker 1: to talk about something Viking because we didn't know what
Speaker 1: to think about the building. There's so many good things
Speaker 1: about I mean, we have so many good things say
Speaker 1: about Buffalo, but we all were like, oh, will be nice.
Speaker 1: We're concerned about the mechanized thrower of footballs who dominates
Speaker 1: everything he plays. We feel a lot better on the
Speaker 1: other side of Kirk Cousins two and seventeen in games
Speaker 1: where the opponent is four games over five, which feels unfair,
Speaker 1: but it's always Kirk getting that comparison, because that's a
Speaker 1: tough game for anybody. But he's like makeup brand new
Speaker 1: stats just to make Kirk look bad. At this point,
Speaker 1: We're with you, Kirk. We put you shirtless on TV
Speaker 1: a lot this week. That could be a case Kingdom
Speaker 1: revenge game in Buffalo. It is also a revenge game
Speaker 1: if you haven't heard. In Green Bag, Mike McCarthy spent
Speaker 1: thirteen seasons with the Packers, the second most wins in
Speaker 1: franchise history behind some guy named Lambeau So revenge game
Speaker 1: in lambeau Field. The Cowboys are favorite by four and
Speaker 1: a half points. How do you feel, Mr Rose, I
Speaker 1: feel like that's not enough that the Cowboys will win
Speaker 1: by ten points because we know about the defense. But
Speaker 1: the offense showed me something before that bye week when
Speaker 1: they started using Dak Prescott a little more in the running.
Speaker 1: This was just a site for sore eyes, wasn't it. Patrick.
Speaker 1: It's like, we're confident enough to call some designed runs
Speaker 1: for Dak Prescott. We know he can uh get a
Speaker 1: third and one, we know he can do a zone read,
Speaker 1: but he's also feeling comfortable enough to scramble and oh,
Speaker 1: by the way. This Cowboys offensive line, which everyone told
Speaker 1: me was gonna be a problem this year, is awesome
Speaker 1: run blocking. And there's a drive every week that the
Speaker 1: Packers defense just cannot get off the field that lasts
Speaker 1: about eight or nine minutes. It takes the soul out
Speaker 1: of all those fans and Lambeau and I think that
Speaker 1: drive happens this week for the Cowboys. Just one. Okay, look,
Speaker 1: I'm with Rachel. Actually in terms of the margin, I
Speaker 1: have a seven point victory as well. I have twenty
Speaker 1: six to nineteen in this matchup. I really just want
Speaker 1: to talk about the front for the defensive situation for
Speaker 1: the Cowboys. This is the number one pressure percentage. This
Speaker 1: is a situation where, oh, I don't know if you're
Speaker 1: just gonna have a problem in any direction. And the
Speaker 1: Packers old line has really been letting Aaron Rodgers down.
Speaker 1: He's under considerably more pressure. Now it's different pressure, like
Speaker 1: if you look at the exact number, because Aaron Rodger
Speaker 1: scrambles quite a bit. But if you talk about those
Speaker 1: the types of pressure that turns into sacks and see
Speaker 1: Michael Parsons like that's that's what he does. So this
Speaker 1: is gonna be a tough situation for an old line
Speaker 1: that's been dicey and is Aaron Jones gonna play? There's
Speaker 1: a lot of question marks for the Packers here, So
Speaker 1: nice touchdown win for the Dallas Cowboys almost other Packers,
Speaker 1: but it's just picking against them everything, and honestly that
Speaker 1: that plays a factor and how I'm picking this game
Speaker 1: as well. But we start off and looking at what
Speaker 1: this defense is up against, and that is Dak Prescott.
Speaker 1: And since Dark Prescott returned to the field in Week seven,
Speaker 1: he's got one incompletion against the Blitz, literally one. This
Speaker 1: passer rating is pie in the sky. We don't know
Speaker 1: a lot about passer rating. It's tough to explain, but
Speaker 1: it's the best in the NFL against the Blitz. The
Speaker 1: Packers defense has been blitz happy, maybe to cover up
Speaker 1: some insufficiencies all season, but they're blitzing at the second
Speaker 1: highest rate in the NFL. John to these results like
Speaker 1: this is happening week after week. Uh, the Packers offense
Speaker 1: is some sort of torture device. At this moment, despite
Speaker 1: all those things, I'm still only taking the Cowboys by
Speaker 1: three points because I can't. I can't quit, Aaron. I
Speaker 1: just can't do it. He's been through a lot. Maybe
Speaker 1: twelve will consult his various means of dealing with things,
Speaker 1: some astrological implements. We also want commentary on Geno Smith,
Speaker 1: who is an m v P candidate, but he can't
Speaker 1: get favored in Munich against the Bucks. Were favor about
Speaker 1: two and a half. That are we doing great? The
Speaker 1: Bucks have been favored every week this year and they
Speaker 1: have a losing record, and they're gonna lose again to
Speaker 1: this Buccaneers team. And I'm not gonna talk I mean
Speaker 1: again against the Seas team. I'm not gonna talk about
Speaker 1: Geno Smith. I'm gonna talk about the Buccaneers defense. And
Speaker 1: I'm gonna do that by showing you a play from
Speaker 1: week four. And you might be asking me, why are
Speaker 1: we watching a Patrick Mahomes play? Why are we watching
Speaker 1: Patrick maho That was the last time the Buccaneers forced
Speaker 1: to turnover? Can we make a play? Can we make
Speaker 1: a play? Todd Bowls like that. Their whole defensive structure
Speaker 1: is supposed to be that we stopped the run and
Speaker 1: then we're gonna blitz and we're gonna make big plays.
Speaker 1: And they've got great players, and yet they don't make
Speaker 1: any big plays. And now they're going up against Gino
Speaker 1: Smith who doesn't let the opponent make any big plays.
Speaker 1: Don't don't think about that pick six last week. Just
Speaker 1: ignore that ever happen. He's been making great decisions under pressure.
Speaker 1: He's been making great decisions against the Blitz and when
Speaker 1: he showed disguise coverages because he's a quarterback that wins
Speaker 1: from the neck up Cynthia, not just Tom Brady. He's
Speaker 1: kind of like a mini Tom Brady, but he's younger, younger.
Speaker 1: I don't know how Geno it feels about that one.
Speaker 1: But you know who does force turnovers? Greg, You know
Speaker 1: a team that's in Munich that gets turnovers? That would
Speaker 1: be Yeah, they do it. In fact, they do it
Speaker 1: to to a very high extent. They are top ten
Speaker 1: enforcing turnovers in two the season long Seahawks defensive stats
Speaker 1: are lying to you. Yes, it's the same team, but
Speaker 1: this group that's on the four game win streak, they
Speaker 1: haven't seen an opponent scored twenty four points during that streak.
Speaker 1: They're playing a team that hasn't scored twenty four points
Speaker 1: since Week four. The Seahawks taking a ball the way
Speaker 1: to a top ten extent against the team that while
Speaker 1: they haven't scored, they haven't really been turning the ball over.
Speaker 1: How risky is Tom want to make this situation against
Speaker 1: Geno Smith in the Seattle Seahawks. I don't know. I
Speaker 1: don't know. I want interested to see Tarik Woolan and
Speaker 1: Mike Evans the physicality match up there. I've got the
Speaker 1: Seahawks winning this one in Munich, three of us on
Speaker 1: the underdogs. There we go in meme alert here and
Speaker 1: this is where I gained that that game back on you,
Speaker 1: and actually it's it's twenty three to twenty two. Your
Speaker 1: twenty four, Your notes about twenty four points, they all
Speaker 1: hold true because it's only twenty three to twenty two
Speaker 1: in this matchup. I want to talk about Leonard Fournette though,
Speaker 1: because that's going to be the key in this matchup.
Speaker 1: We talk about weird tendencies, and I say weird tendencies
Speaker 1: meeting things that haven't worked, that they haven't solved. Right,
Speaker 1: something stops working, you got to change it up otherwise,
Speaker 1: something about definition of you know, in sanity, etcetera. But
Speaker 1: I think when you look at Leonard four Nett and
Speaker 1: how they're using him it's outside runs, and that's an
Speaker 1: area where there it is where we go. We got
Speaker 1: it a bit more of an outside run that will
Speaker 1: be a source of success in this one. I don't
Speaker 1: think I want to get into a situation where Tom
Speaker 1: Brady's throwing deep and those young corners have a chance
Speaker 1: to do anything nuts. I think I want to try
Speaker 1: to keep it on the ground, keep it nice and steady,
Speaker 1: don't turn them, don't put in a situation to turn
Speaker 1: the ball over. You know, twenty three points. There you go.
Speaker 1: I know how you like talk to NFL teams and stuff. Yeah,
Speaker 1: you should call up your friends and bucks tell him.
Speaker 1: Just give it to Lenny four Nette as a seahawk. Todd, Now,
Speaker 1: hold on, I'm fine with that. I got the international
Speaker 1: rate out here we go, Todd. It's Cynthia use Leonard
Speaker 1: Fournett and perhaps one of the more concerning things said
Speaker 1: about Tom Brady all season, Cynthia Freeland saying we'll keep
Speaker 1: Tom from throwing deep. No, I'm saying no, you know,
Speaker 1: I'm not saying keep him from doing him saying whatever
Speaker 1: we get every single segment, it is time for the
Speaker 1: rived to excellence. Presented by Mercedes Bins the Los Angeles
Speaker 1: Rams are favored by three points. That's information that's readily
Speaker 1: available to you against the Arizona Cardinals. The real information
Speaker 1: is the man to my left has not been wrong
Speaker 1: about the Rams since Week one. Yeah, and I'm gonna
Speaker 1: keep that street going with a surprising pick. I'm gonna
Speaker 1: take the Rams to win this game. I know the
Speaker 1: quarterback situation is up in the air for both teams,
Speaker 1: but even if John Wolford is out there doesn't matter
Speaker 1: because the Rams defense will be out there. Jalen Ramsey
Speaker 1: was fired up after that Buck's loss, and he was
Speaker 1: still fired up on Friday saying how well they're playing.
Speaker 1: I'm not a man to doubt him. And if if
Speaker 1: he wants to think about good times for the Rams,
Speaker 1: just think back to that playoff game when they only
Speaker 1: gave up twelve points. Just think back to Week three
Speaker 1: when they didn't give up a single touchdown against Kyler Murray.
Speaker 1: This defense for the Rams is still healthy enough, It's
Speaker 1: still got Jalen Ramsey, still got Aaron Donald. So you
Speaker 1: can play Bryce Hopkins at quarterback, you can play Wolford.
Speaker 1: It doesn't matter. Rams are winning. Okay, Um, well, you're
Speaker 1: feel that confident. But if I say it confidently, it'll happen. Okay, great, Well,
Speaker 1: I'm taking the Cardinals two in this matchup. And because
Speaker 1: even though they have Aaron Donald, who I think is
Speaker 1: there's no better defensive player, maybe even player at his
Speaker 1: position at this year. And then I will never take
Speaker 1: that away. But they're not getting pressure on opposing quarterbacks.
Speaker 1: And Kyler Murray when you don't have him under pressure,
Speaker 1: look out. Not only could he run for all of
Speaker 1: the yards, but now that he's got all of his
Speaker 1: more of his weapons back, And of course DeAndre Hopkin
Speaker 1: makes a big difference, but realistically it has come down
Speaker 1: to Kyler Murray and when he has just a little
Speaker 1: smidge more time, it's really difficult for opposing defenses. And
Speaker 1: as much as I admire Jalen Ramsey and I love
Speaker 1: how fired up he is, he can't be everywhere. You know,
Speaker 1: like they could throw it away from him to the
Speaker 1: other side, maybe Zach or stay away from Jalen Ramsey.
Speaker 1: You do worry if if Kyler plays, is he going
Speaker 1: to run as much? Yeah? Dealing with the hamstring injury
Speaker 1: is another thing. And Cynthia mentioned the fact that Jalen
Speaker 1: Ramsey is there and he could travel with New Copkins,
Speaker 1: and I think that's the biggest part of this game,
Speaker 1: aside from the fact that we aren't sure if it's
Speaker 1: gonna be Kyler or Matthew Stafford. But since New Hopkins arrived,
Speaker 1: he is playing some of the best football he has
Speaker 1: in his career. He's been one of the best wide
Speaker 1: receivers in the NFL. I think number two in terms
Speaker 1: of yardage since he got back from his suspension. And
Speaker 1: if it's Kyler, if it's not Kyler, no matter how
Speaker 1: things go. Throughout his history, DeAndre Hopkins has carried teams
Speaker 1: with bad quarterbacks. He's one of the shining spots on
Speaker 1: this Cardinals roster that the only reason is there is
Speaker 1: because of a donation from Bill O'Brien. In terms of talent,
Speaker 1: it's New Hopkins. I think it's a twenty three to
Speaker 1: eight win, and it's it's just Greg almost you know
Speaker 1: ls my daughter, don't tell don't tell me. I don't
Speaker 1: love you. And I picked the Rams this week. They're
Speaker 1: gonna do it because of my pick. They're gonna just
Speaker 1: made it worse. I made it worse because no to
Speaker 1: say you don't say anything for you Greg believes in
Speaker 1: the Ramps, that believes that this this situation is going
Speaker 1: to be true elsewhere in the division. The forty Niners
Speaker 1: playing host to the Chargers. And here's a fun note
Speaker 1: about Kyle Shanahan's team. They hit the over three of
Speaker 1: the past four weeks. It's all points for the San
Speaker 1: Francisco forty Niners fifty two total sixty seven against the Chiefs.
Speaker 1: That's all that. All that being said, let's start with
Speaker 1: Rachel's pick. She's got a point bonanza thirty Niners and
Speaker 1: I agreed, lots of points though not that many though
Speaker 1: to nineteen and I think we have to start with
Speaker 1: this Chargers team, who some people aren't expecting a lot
Speaker 1: of points from. Look back at this game against the
Speaker 1: Atlanta Falcons, and there was a plethora of drops opportunities
Speaker 1: that just went arrived for the Chargers. But whether it
Speaker 1: was Gerald Everett, Austin Ekeler had a bad drop, Josh
Speaker 1: Palmer had this drop that was an interception, there were
Speaker 1: more points available for the Charges that they just didn't get.
Speaker 1: I don't have them winning the game, but twenty to nineteen, well,
Speaker 1: I have the Niners winning as well. I have twenty
Speaker 1: six to eighteen in this matchup. I think that it's
Speaker 1: an interesting like that we're we're kind of together here
Speaker 1: that you know, the Chargers not gonna hold up their
Speaker 1: end of the bargain in terms of scoring enough points
Speaker 1: because no one's available. So Keenan Allen already out, Mike
Speaker 1: Williams again, already out. But Austin Neckler has been a
Speaker 1: bright spot, and it's kind of fun to see these
Speaker 1: two Markee running backs going up against each other. Austin
Speaker 1: Neckler has scored all of the touchdowns in the last
Speaker 1: five weeks. He has been their entire offense. He's like
Speaker 1: the heart and the soul of everything that's going on.
Speaker 1: And unfortunately, you know, when you're facing this type of
Speaker 1: defense in the Niners, it's just a lot harder. It's
Speaker 1: a lot harder to have the kind of success that
Speaker 1: we've seen Eckler have. I do think he's still gonna
Speaker 1: have a good day. If you're playing him in fantasy.
Speaker 1: You're definitely not sick, You're not doing anything crazy like that,
Speaker 1: but it's just gonna be a lot harder. It would
Speaker 1: be nice if they had, you know, one of their
Speaker 1: main wide receivers, even one would be great, Keenan Allen.
Speaker 1: Injury has has us them. It's crazy. The Charges are
Speaker 1: that big of an underdog and none of us are
Speaker 1: taking them. To keep it close. I have the winning
Speaker 1: to seventeen Kyle Shanahan, and yes we're getting that mean Milert.
Speaker 1: Don't let us down. Kyle was worried about the running
Speaker 1: game a few weeks ago, and so what did he do.
Speaker 1: He traded for Christian McCaffrey. That'll improve your running game.
Speaker 1: And what does he get this week? Eli Eli Mitchell
Speaker 1: coming back, Lisia Mitchell and Eliza Mitchell is a special
Speaker 1: running back. He is now maybe the best backup running
Speaker 1: back in the entire league. And you know it also
Speaker 1: helps your running game look a little better. What's up
Speaker 1: playing the Chargers? It was like the number one thing
Speaker 1: they said they were gonna fix. They haven't fixed it.
Speaker 1: They're dead last in the league in yards per carry alloud. Yes, Cynthia,
Speaker 1: I'm just waiting for what you're gonna say next. Why,
Speaker 1: I don't know. I just I feel like this is
Speaker 1: a trap. I'm not saying anything. I'm They're gonna run. Well,
Speaker 1: it's it's another meme alert. So so take those screenshots people,
Speaker 1: we get really angry. Don't screenshot our alerts. We literally
Speaker 1: put me alert when we come back on here game debut,
Speaker 1: Jeff Saturday once famously recovered a fumble, so here he
Speaker 1: is to save a fumbled season in Indie? How much
Speaker 1: do we believe in the Colts? Next? Looking forward to
Speaker 1: the league's debut in Germany, but looking back over here
Speaker 1: in the States. In the past three weeks the culture
Speaker 1: oh and three, they fired their offensive coordinator, their head coach,
Speaker 1: and play caller. They played a game where they went
Speaker 1: over fourteen on third down, and they hired a former
Speaker 1: player who wasn't in the building consistently at any point
Speaker 1: in the season. So, Greg, how confident are you in Indianapolis? Um?
Speaker 1: Not that confident. But I'm not confident in the Raiders
Speaker 1: either to win a game by much. So I've got
Speaker 1: this game close. I do have the Raiders winning, but
Speaker 1: I don't see the Raiders as some big favorite when
Speaker 1: they're two and six and they're not getting consistent play
Speaker 1: out of their quarterback. Are we allowed to talk about
Speaker 1: Derek Carr at some point? The car to me hasn't
Speaker 1: played consistent football. In the second half of that game,
Speaker 1: he couldn't hit throws in the second half of that game.
Speaker 1: Their defense couldn't get any stops. They are dead last
Speaker 1: in d v O A like efficiency on the defensive
Speaker 1: side this season. And car isn't a guy that really
Speaker 1: makes up for his surroundings. To me, he's a product
Speaker 1: of his surroundings, and his surroundings aren't great. So I
Speaker 1: know the Cults are a mess, but their defense has
Speaker 1: been fine. This should be a close, good game. I'd
Speaker 1: watch it. Watch you watch it saying it would be
Speaker 1: like a fine football endorsement. Okay, I agree with you,
Speaker 1: but I have a full touchdown win for the Raiders
Speaker 1: here to seventeen. Why because of Josh Jacobs. We did
Speaker 1: see in a number of games that he was able
Speaker 1: to be efficient and effective, which changed the entire ability
Speaker 1: for them to win. Now, I understand what we saw
Speaker 1: was a bit of a meltdown in the second half
Speaker 1: of that Jags game. However, I don't think that happens twice.
Speaker 1: I think this is one where Josh M. Daniels knows
Speaker 1: that this is like going to be a really important game.
Speaker 1: Remember he was the one who left before Frank Reich
Speaker 1: was coming. Like, there's a lot of like full circle
Speaker 1: back here situation stuff. So I think this is one
Speaker 1: where they get back on the right side of the
Speaker 1: pirate ship in their past I guess four halfs there's
Speaker 1: only been one good half of football for the Raiders.
Speaker 1: But you have to consider what's going on on the
Speaker 1: other side, and I think Jeff Saturday may wind up
Speaker 1: being a great head coach, Parks Fraser maybe one of
Speaker 1: the best play callers the NFL has ever seen. But
Speaker 1: here's what they're dealing with. It's a team that is
Speaker 1: last in touchdown percentage, the last in sacks allowed, in
Speaker 1: terms of points per game, that the last in the
Speaker 1: entire NFL. They could be the greatest in history. I
Speaker 1: don't think they turn it around in five days. The
Speaker 1: Raiders winners this one in my pick, So there there
Speaker 1: is another mem alert, although I don't know how the
Speaker 1: Colts fans would. I don't feel that good about this
Speaker 1: one pick up. We've been good on someone. Wait nine,
Speaker 1: we cry ship eight and one. That's why you guys
Speaker 1: haven't been sending us pictures. Nine of the fourteen games
Speaker 1: this week, by the way, or sweeps. So don't don't
Speaker 1: don't doubt us. Don't doubt let's get some quick picks.
Speaker 1: We start with the Giants taking on the Texans. Maybe
Speaker 1: that's why it's quick, Greg, Well, what are you doing?
Speaker 1: I am going with the Giants here. I think the
Speaker 1: Giants are in an interesting situation. Now is a heavy favorite,
Speaker 1: Brian Dable. He's been great, kind of this last minute
Speaker 1: wins over teams that are supposed to be better than you. Okay,
Speaker 1: you're a big favorite. Now let's see how you handle it.
Speaker 1: You got a bunch of games like this down the
Speaker 1: stretch too, against the Commanders, one against the Lions. If
Speaker 1: you win these types of games you're supposed to do,
Speaker 1: the Giants will be going to the playoffs. It's just
Speaker 1: a different sort of nut to crack for Brian Dable
Speaker 1: for the next step for him. Happy man celebrating elsewhere
Speaker 1: in the East. The Eagles are favored by ten and
Speaker 1: a half points against the Commanders, and I'm taking them
Speaker 1: the winds as I have done every single week thanks
Speaker 1: to the Eagles. I've been right about that. And here's
Speaker 1: how I think it plays out. Because last time the
Speaker 1: Eagles played the Commanders, Davante Smith went off. He had
Speaker 1: eight catches a hundred forty three yards all the were
Speaker 1: the half, and I think he does it again and
Speaker 1: it's another nice, smooth seventeen win for the Philadelphia Eagles.
Speaker 1: Let's get to the Dolphins taking on the Cleveland Browns. Cynthia,
Speaker 1: what are you doing there? So I'm going the Dolphins
Speaker 1: in this one, but maybe closer than expected, just a
Speaker 1: three point win twenty three. I want to talk about
Speaker 1: Nick Chubb for a second, because he's the difference maker
Speaker 1: in this matchup, meaning I think that will put a
Speaker 1: cap on how many points are totally scored in this game.
Speaker 1: More running on both sides. Obviously we have a great
Speaker 1: passer on the other side and Tyreek Hill, etcetera, and
Speaker 1: Jalen Waddle, but I think the fact that the Browns
Speaker 1: will slow the ball game down a little bit means
Speaker 1: a closer and potentially lower scoring interest. I've got thirty seven.
Speaker 1: We're not on the same page. Yeah, we've all got
Speaker 1: a point, Bnanzela, Well it's still only three points though.
Speaker 1: We look ahead to a team that's in first place
Speaker 1: in the a f C South, the Tennessee Titans playing
Speaker 1: host to maybe a resurgent Denver Broncos team. Cynthia, what
Speaker 1: are we doing with this game Resurgent. Why because they
Speaker 1: had to buy because they beat the Jaguars in Lee.
Speaker 1: Then they won an International series did They did win
Speaker 1: an International series game. But I think that they're not
Speaker 1: going to win this one because I think Derrick Henry playing.
Speaker 1: There are a slew of injuries on that Titans defense.
Speaker 1: I will acknowledge that, but Derrick Henry still playing, which
Speaker 1: means this is the opportunity for Derrick Henry to keep
Speaker 1: showing us why these Titans need him. He is incredibly
Speaker 1: valuable in terms of wind share at the position. No
Speaker 1: running back is more valuable in fact this season to
Speaker 1: his team than Derrick Henry. So as long as Derrick
Speaker 1: Henry is playing, and by the way, this Broncos defense,
Speaker 1: they are without their past rusher. He went to Miami,
Speaker 1: which I know Derrick Henry runs the ball, I get it.
Speaker 1: But the Achilles heel of the Broncos has been allowing
Speaker 1: someone to run, and Derrick Henry runs really well even
Speaker 1: on teams that don't allow people to run. It's an
Speaker 1: easy case to make. I am taking the Denver Broncos
Speaker 1: because one of the biggest pieces of this Tennessee Titans defense,
Speaker 1: Jeffrey Simmons, who almost single handedly helped the Titans beat
Speaker 1: the Chiefs, although the offense didn't have enough in that game.
Speaker 1: But I'm looking at the other side and Jerry Judy
Speaker 1: and the way that Jerry Judy has in the ball
Speaker 1: the past three now Denver Broncos games, including a game
Speaker 1: where Russell Wilson didn't even play as much as I
Speaker 1: believe in the King and Derrick Henry. He had a
Speaker 1: great game against Casey and they still came up short.
Speaker 1: What do you think. I think it'll be close because
Speaker 1: every single Broncos game is close, and every single Titans
Speaker 1: game is closed. And I gotta take the Broncos. I
Speaker 1: don't feel that great about it. And I saw those
Speaker 1: We're giving you a prime number, a favorite second one.
Speaker 1: I don't feel good about this. This is the party
Speaker 1: where Cynthia pulls away. I don't care. I'm feeling unlimited
Speaker 1: this week. Wilson's gotta get This defense for the Broncos
Speaker 1: is great, and the pass rush is gonna get after.
Speaker 1: Whoever is playing that quarterback, it looks like it'll be
Speaker 1: Ryan Tannehill. He did get limited practices in all week,
Speaker 1: but this Titans offensive line is one of the very
Speaker 1: worst in the league, just like it was a year ago.
Speaker 1: And you do have to throw occasionally to win a
Speaker 1: football game. In two and I think the Broncos will
Speaker 1: get after it all right, So we're not exactly putting
Speaker 1: a whole lot of mileage on the score boy in
Speaker 1: this one. But let's take a look at some total
Speaker 1: numbers this week. That is the lowest total over under.
Speaker 1: But the Saints, Steelers, Cults, Raiders, Cardinal's Rams all at
Speaker 1: forty and a half points via FanDuel. So let's get
Speaker 1: to another one of those low scoring games at Pittsburgh
Speaker 1: where New Orleans visits. They're favored by one and a half.
Speaker 1: And for the past three weeks Greg Roseental has been
Speaker 1: extolling the virtues of one Andy Dalton. Does he still
Speaker 1: have you? Greg? No, Well, it's not so much Andy
Speaker 1: Dalton as the uniform that he puts on and the
Speaker 1: coaching staff that he plays for. Dennis Allen and this
Speaker 1: group RMSS like come up with the way that you
Speaker 1: can be sloppy. And now I see, oh, they're having
Speaker 1: their fund in the back room showing me a bunch
Speaker 1: of bad Dalton plays. You know it's not on Andy Dalton.
Speaker 1: To me, but the offensive line doesn't know where the
Speaker 1: protection what they're supposed to do. There's so many penalties
Speaker 1: pre snap penalties on both sides of the ball all
Speaker 1: season long. There's turnovers, there's fumbles, there's inexplicable injuries. Where
Speaker 1: is Marshaw Latimore. He hasn't come back at all. They
Speaker 1: are so banged up that I'm taking the Steelers in
Speaker 1: this game just as a punishment for out of Saints
Speaker 1: have hurt. Interesting if you get our thoughtle, no, this
Speaker 1: is our and um, look, I'm actually taking the Saints
Speaker 1: in this matchup. And it kind of for a similar
Speaker 1: reason because we're typically used to seeing the Steelers and thinking, Wow,
Speaker 1: this password is gonna like your head's gonna come flying
Speaker 1: off your body. Whatever one for me. In this matchup,
Speaker 1: Alvin Kamara has a much better opportunity because Ay Dalton
Speaker 1: won't be under the type of pressure you think of
Speaker 1: when you typically think of Steelers. They haven't been generating
Speaker 1: that type of pressure. So this old line, you're right,
Speaker 1: it's not the old line where you used to Obviously
Speaker 1: pieces are missing, it's very different, but at the end
Speaker 1: of the day, they don't really need it to be
Speaker 1: in this matchup, so I think two point win for
Speaker 1: the Saints. You mentioned injuries, fingers crossed. Maybe t J.
Speaker 1: Watt h comes back in this game. The Saints lost
Speaker 1: Pete Warner. Pete Warner in that game on Monday Night Football.
Speaker 1: That had a huge impact because for the third time
Speaker 1: the season, the New Orleans Saints defense that was crushing
Speaker 1: run games gave up over a hundred and fifty yards
Speaker 1: on the ound to the Baltimore Ravens. And incomes Naji,
Speaker 1: who's been dealing with the foot injury, taking a lot
Speaker 1: of heat one like he got the by Nag Harris
Speaker 1: is fine. I think Nagy is gonna be fun and
Speaker 1: boys versus girls Steelers offense confidence for the Pittsburgh Steelers
Speaker 1: at home, and it is. It's it's boys versus you
Speaker 1: know how much on Payton keeps saying it's like I'm
Speaker 1: gonna go look for a new coach, a new team
Speaker 1: to go, like there's a team in New Orleans that
Speaker 1: like loves you, that couldn't use some better coaching, that
Speaker 1: has a lot of coaches on that staff that you know, well,
Speaker 1: just saying like the Saints could use a good coach.
Speaker 1: Maybe consider the Saints in a big contract with him.
Speaker 1: Numbers still in the phone coach coming back. Justin Fields
Speaker 1: put up a lot of yards against Miami. What number
Speaker 1: does Cynthia Freeland project with her model or what number
Speaker 1: does her heart have? That's the next up game Theybut
Speaker 1: you know who's fluent in German? A huge Byron Munich
Speaker 1: fan and is a playing football Bears this weekend? Rachel
Speaker 1: believes in the Lions. Here's one thing. Cynthia picked against
Speaker 1: Detroit last week and has only picked the Bears once
Speaker 1: this season, so something has to give. I mean the Bears,
Speaker 1: the Bears, the Bears win this two. I mean, what
Speaker 1: are we talking about her? Justin Fields all those designed runs?
Speaker 1: You know who can run on the Lions. The Lions
Speaker 1: best defensive player right now? He really has been a
Speaker 1: safety that they draft in the fifth round. I mean,
Speaker 1: Kirby Joseph has looked pretty good other than that, you know,
Speaker 1: but why does the model not look at last week
Speaker 1: when you said, oh, Aaron Rodgers always breaks our Lions
Speaker 1: fans heart. He broke my heart last week because he
Speaker 1: didn't come through when I switched to pick the Packers.
Speaker 1: I don't like Greg's still trying to blame Cynthia for that.
Speaker 1: I can't blame Cynthia for the pick that she's making
Speaker 1: because I'm making the same pick for almost the exact
Speaker 1: same that I've got the Bears winning this one twenty
Speaker 1: nine and I'll take another aspect of this run game,
Speaker 1: but I'll talk about it on the other side. That's
Speaker 1: DeAndre Swift and it's in the past game as well.
Speaker 1: The reason that it's so close in this game to
Speaker 1: me is in terms of yards per opportunity, DeAndre Swift
Speaker 1: is literally the best running back in the NFL. The
Speaker 1: problem is they don't give him the opportunities. Right now,
Speaker 1: he's leading the NFL and that it's either a target
Speaker 1: or a carry. He's one of the best in the game.
Speaker 1: We love what the Lions offense has done at the
Speaker 1: start of the season. I don't think they do enough
Speaker 1: to counteract justin fields and the Bears on the ground.
Speaker 1: He's been so fun to watch, and yet I'm taking
Speaker 1: the Lions in this game. You know. One of the reasons, no,
Speaker 1: I really am Lions. One of the reasons the Bottle
Speaker 1: ends up beating me almost every year, probably every year,
Speaker 1: is that, like I go off the eye test a
Speaker 1: little bit, and I gotta say the eye test for
Speaker 1: the Lions defense, even though the numbers are terrible since
Speaker 1: the Bye, I think they're playing with better energy, better
Speaker 1: execute a shin. Things have slowed down for Aidan Hutchinson.
Speaker 1: You mentioned in the secondary a couple of good players.
Speaker 1: They played really strong against Dallas for almost that entire game,
Speaker 1: and then they look great against the Packers a week ago.
Speaker 1: I think they're playing better on defense. And this Bears defense,
Speaker 1: on the other hand, has all but given up since
Speaker 1: they traded away Roquan Smith, and really they've been one
Speaker 1: of the worst defensive leagues. So the Lions get it done.
Speaker 1: There are a couple of the best players playing for
Speaker 1: somebody else. It's time for do the map where we
Speaker 1: demand calculations from Cynthia. You said that the Bears are
Speaker 1: gonna win. Is justin Field's gonna have three hundred yards combined?
Speaker 1: So I have a hundred and seventy one in the
Speaker 1: air and fifty two on the ground. So no, it's
Speaker 1: less than three hundred combined passing in rush yards. This
Speaker 1: means that there's probably opportunities for other running backs to
Speaker 1: get involved as well. I really think that this is
Speaker 1: going to be a slower paced game than that. I understand.
Speaker 1: There's a lot to like about this Lions off. I
Speaker 1: get it. I like the Lions. I love the Lions.
Speaker 1: At ten on one Pacific, I will be rooting for
Speaker 1: the Lions. But Justin Fields isn't gonna have three D combine.
Speaker 1: All right, So instant math from Cynthia Freeland. Let's get
Speaker 1: to the Jazz and the Chiefs. The Chiefs given up
Speaker 1: nine and a half, Greg, I don't think that's enough.
Speaker 1: We got Patrick Mahomes involved here. I am taking the
Speaker 1: Chiefs to win this game comfortably. I mean, how many
Speaker 1: different ways can we say that Patrick Mahomes is great.
Speaker 1: I think he's reaching a different level of greatness. I
Speaker 1: know it wasn't his best game against the Titans, but
Speaker 1: the couple of plays that he made falling down and
Speaker 1: Kelsey makes the great catch form, it's like time is
Speaker 1: just moving in slow motion. He stepped out in his
Speaker 1: second year, Patrick Mahomes, and he was the best quarterback
Speaker 1: in the league. He was an m v P. Trevor
Speaker 1: Lawrence is in his second year now, and it's so
Speaker 1: unfair to compare anyone to Patrick Mahomes. But those are
Speaker 1: the two guys that are playing in this game, and
Speaker 1: I think the two defenses are comparable, and so I
Speaker 1: think the Chiefs win by ten points because Mahomes can
Speaker 1: do stuff like this where he just slows down time.
Speaker 1: He slows down, Tom stops, cuts back and then makes
Speaker 1: a throw across his body. There's so many parts to
Speaker 1: examine in the Chiefs offense. There's Jujuiceth Schuster. They just
Speaker 1: went and got Gadarius Tony. But it's all just to
Speaker 1: cover up the fact that one thing is true. Patrick
Speaker 1: Mahomes is throw the ball to Travis Kelsey. If there's
Speaker 1: one certainty on this planet, that's it. There's gonna be
Speaker 1: shifts and motions. Oh h is Jared McKinnon. It all
Speaker 1: doesn't matter if he sees one on one or man
Speaker 1: coverage the balls going to seven. I've got thirty five
Speaker 1: two Chiefs winning. I have the same margin as you, Greg,
Speaker 1: so I have thirty one in this matchup in favor
Speaker 1: of the Chiefs. But I do want to point out
Speaker 1: there is a little bit oh there's there's a little
Speaker 1: bit of a feeling of a potential like trap game.
Speaker 1: So here's where it's like that, because you know last
Speaker 1: week was a big game. Next week, they flexed to
Speaker 1: the night game against the Chargers. The only reason I
Speaker 1: say Travis E t N could have one of those
Speaker 1: games where he keeps it slightly closer than ten points.
Speaker 1: I am not calling for an upset. I'm saying that
Speaker 1: it could be like thirty one twenty three because e
Speaker 1: t N has been doing such a good job and
Speaker 1: it is really worth noting that without Frank Clark there
Speaker 1: I've gotten serving that suspension. A second game of a suspension,
Speaker 1: there could be more space for him to run. So
Speaker 1: it's not that I'm saying it's a trap in terms
Speaker 1: of not winning, but trap in terms of less than
Speaker 1: ten Okay, I don't give you that as long as
Speaker 1: nobody in Duval County. Let's anybody in Casey. No, don't
Speaker 1: tell them that Cynthia said, because then they'll try extra hard.
Speaker 1: Either way, it's time for you to write this down.
Speaker 1: And I'm telling you it's important to write these down
Speaker 1: because last week Cynthia told you DeVante Happens would have
Speaker 1: more than six catches. That's actually how many he ended
Speaker 1: up with in the first quarter. He had nine of
Speaker 1: the first half forty six yards and two touchdowns the
Speaker 1: second half you only have one. But that's not Cynthia's problem.
Speaker 1: I texted here when this happened. I was watching this game. Oh,
Speaker 1: DeVante is already over seven catches and she's She's like,
Speaker 1: I'm not even home yet. I must even hold yet
Speaker 1: driving home from work. It's crazy, all right? So how
Speaker 1: are we? How are we following up? So THEA what's
Speaker 1: your right to stone? You ready? You got this cold commit?
Speaker 1: He's going to have at least three catches? You got it.
Speaker 1: That's all you have to It's an easy one, right.
Speaker 1: Cole Commet has been a really sure handed situation there
Speaker 1: for Justin Field. And listen, you talk about the Alliance
Speaker 1: defense being better, they're not that much better. They're not
Speaker 1: gonna stop Cole commit from catching three passes three. Love
Speaker 1: that ball handling from Justin Fields. Also love Gina Smith.
Speaker 1: You guys know that. And the Seahawks should not be
Speaker 1: underdogs this week. They are going to win outright in Germany.
Speaker 1: They forgot to put the Seahawks in prime time enough.
Speaker 1: They didn't know they were gonna be as good as
Speaker 1: they are. Well, this is what they have for a
Speaker 1: primetime game. The whole world can watch. Germany is gonna
Speaker 1: be chanting Gino's name by the end of this victory
Speaker 1: for Gino, Smith and the Sea. We don't have Rachel
Speaker 1: channing Gino with herself earlier on the Gino chant is
Speaker 1: alive and well, I like that, pick I like points
Speaker 1: in Santa Clara. In fact, we told you earlier. They
Speaker 1: they've come. They've had the over in three of the
Speaker 1: last four weeks. What's the map there? Four in the
Speaker 1: last five weeks after this one points when the Chargers
Speaker 1: and on Sunday night. NFL Game Debut is a production
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