WEBVTT - NYC Region Reels From Ida Devastation

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanovk. We're here every day bringing

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<v Speaker 1>you the latest news from the world to business and finance,

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<v Speaker 1>plus technology, politics, economics, all purtnising the power of Business

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<v Speaker 1>Week reporters and editors, not to mention our journalists and

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<v Speaker 1>analysts in more than one twenty countries. You can download

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week and iTunes, SoundCloud, or Bloomberg dot com.

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<v Speaker 1>You can also listen to our radio show at two

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<v Speaker 1>pm Eastern Time on Bloomberg Radio, or watch us on YouTube.

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<v Speaker 1>Search Bloomberg Global News. Virus headlines, Tim and I just

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<v Speaker 1>covered a little bit of them. One thing that stuck

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<v Speaker 1>out for me, Tim, medical experts who advise US regulators

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<v Speaker 1>on vaccines, they're really chafing at what they perceive as

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<v Speaker 1>political interference by the Biden administration in the review process

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<v Speaker 1>of booster shots. I have to say it's a little

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<v Speaker 1>bit confusing for me. It's confusing about booster shots and

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<v Speaker 1>also confusing. Okay, which are the vaccines or which is

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<v Speaker 1>the vaccine that has been fully approved versus one that

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<v Speaker 1>has emergency use authorization? What does that mean? For employers

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<v Speaker 1>who can mandate shots exactly. I think it's really confusing.

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<v Speaker 1>So let's get some clarity back with us as Dr

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<v Speaker 1>Peter alper And he is VP at the now publicly

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<v Speaker 1>traded Doximity you might recall it. I p o back

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<v Speaker 1>in late June, is a professional medical network for physicians.

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<v Speaker 1>He joins us on the phone from Austin, Texas, and

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<v Speaker 1>he's been a great voice for us to reach out

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<v Speaker 1>to during the pandemic. Dr Alpern, how are you. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>doing well, Thank you, thanks so much for having me on. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>it's good to have you back with Tim and myself.

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<v Speaker 1>Tell us a little bit about well, provide us some

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<v Speaker 1>clarities basically, because it does feel like we're getting a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of different information about UM, the vaccine and boosters.

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<v Speaker 1>How do you see it. What's the advice that you

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<v Speaker 1>and your colleagues are giving out to patients? Yeah, so UM.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean the core advice remains the same, which is

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<v Speaker 1>that we advise everybody you know, for whom the vaccine

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<v Speaker 1>has approved, which is basically everybody twelve and older to

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<v Speaker 1>go ahead and get their vaccines if they haven't done it. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>And we have seen an increases in the number of

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<v Speaker 1>vaccines over the past several weeks and people getting vaccinated

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<v Speaker 1>with respect to boosters UM, So at this current moment,

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<v Speaker 1>the boosters a third shot is to be clear, to

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<v Speaker 1>clarify what it is we mean by booster has been

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<v Speaker 1>approved for people who are have sort of certain, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>compromising conditions, and that can either be that their patients

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<v Speaker 1>who are living with cancer or that they're on medications

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<v Speaker 1>which can suppress their immune system. But other than that, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>it is currently not recommended that people get a third shot. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>There is talk about on September that people can start

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<v Speaker 1>to get their booster shots for people who got the

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<v Speaker 1>shot very early, which is mostly people who work in healthcare.

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<v Speaker 1>The clock. The clock is taking though to September twenty

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<v Speaker 1>and I'm wondering what kind of guidance you would like

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<v Speaker 1>to see from the FDA or from regulators about who

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<v Speaker 1>should get it, how long they should wait to get it.

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<v Speaker 1>If they got Maderna, did they get a booster from biiser?

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<v Speaker 1>Is that okay? If they got j and they got

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<v Speaker 1>two shots of a lot of information out there, what

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<v Speaker 1>is going on like the rest of us very much

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<v Speaker 1>await and see I I understand the frustration, but I

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<v Speaker 1>do know that the folks at the CDC and the

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<v Speaker 1>other federal regulatory agencies are working hard on this. I

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<v Speaker 1>do suspect that what will happen is that people will

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<v Speaker 1>be recommended to get a booster, likely of the same

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<v Speaker 1>shot that they had before. And I have started to

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<v Speaker 1>read things about suggestions that patients who received the j

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<v Speaker 1>J vaccine will receive another one as well. But you

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<v Speaker 1>raise a very good point. Um, you know there's a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of data out there too that people need to

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<v Speaker 1>sift through. One of the things that we've seen, Um,

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<v Speaker 1>certain hiptoximity is just the explosion and medical information, and

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<v Speaker 1>so providers are hungry for for clarity like like everybody else. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>But there is, in fairness a tremendous amount of data.

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<v Speaker 1>So again that it remains the same thing. Be safe, Um,

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<v Speaker 1>make sure that you're vaccinated the first time. But I

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<v Speaker 1>suspect that these recommendations will come out quite saying Hey

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<v Speaker 1>talk Ralfer, and I got to ask about flu shots

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<v Speaker 1>because here we are. I was at the pediatrician with

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<v Speaker 1>my son earlier this week. The pediatrician said, Hey, we

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<v Speaker 1>got flu shots in do you want to get one

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<v Speaker 1>for him and I said yes, and do you have

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<v Speaker 1>any for me? And he said we do, we have

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<v Speaker 1>extra h And I got my flu shot already. What

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<v Speaker 1>are you hearing right now about flu season? And what

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<v Speaker 1>would you say to people who are don't even have

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<v Speaker 1>that on their radar at this point because we've been

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<v Speaker 1>so focused on COVID and last year was so mild

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<v Speaker 1>when it came to flu season, I just put it

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<v Speaker 1>on my to do that. Thank you, Carol, Absolutely great question,

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<v Speaker 1>and you so you're absolutely right that last year's flu

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<v Speaker 1>season was mild, likely because people were really washing their

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<v Speaker 1>hands and people were distancing. So important point masks too,

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<v Speaker 1>maybe spread part of masks as well. Maybe yes, masks

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<v Speaker 1>as well. Absolutely, um So, a lot of the precautions

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<v Speaker 1>that we were taking and continue to take in a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of circumstances for COVID are very helpful to prevent

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<v Speaker 1>the flu. And as I was going to say, is

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<v Speaker 1>it flu is path by touch much more than certainly

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<v Speaker 1>than covid, which is large emission cannot be transmitted that way.

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<v Speaker 1>In terms of getting a flu vaccine, um, it's absolutely

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<v Speaker 1>a great idea. It's always a good idea to get

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<v Speaker 1>your flu vaccine. Every year. The flu is a significant

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<v Speaker 1>cause of morbidity and mortality, meaning that it puts people

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<v Speaker 1>in the hospital and can even lead to death and

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<v Speaker 1>those who are elderly or having certain compromising conditions. So

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<v Speaker 1>I'm glad that you got your child with flu shot,

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<v Speaker 1>and I'm glad that you've got it yourself. Hey, listen,

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<v Speaker 1>just got about a minute left here. You guys have

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<v Speaker 1>some new stuff that's going out. Tell us about your

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<v Speaker 1>residency navigator too, because you're a public company in our

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<v Speaker 1>audience is interested in public companies. Uh yeah, well, thank

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<v Speaker 1>you for that. Um so. Yeah. So one of the

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<v Speaker 1>things that we do with Toximity is we have a

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<v Speaker 1>variety of tools and features that help physicians at all

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<v Speaker 1>stages of their career. And one of those features is

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<v Speaker 1>the Residency Navigator, which is a tool that helps those

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<v Speaker 1>younger physicians, the ones graduating medical school and choosing their

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<v Speaker 1>training program, which is required of all doctors so that

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<v Speaker 1>they can get licensed. Uh. They it's a that we

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<v Speaker 1>provide that helps them choose the program that's the best

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<v Speaker 1>fit for them depending upon what their career goals are.

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<v Speaker 1>We update that with the latest data, and yes, that

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<v Speaker 1>just got released a few weeks ago. So we're excited

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<v Speaker 1>when we're seeing great wait and there's a couple's match

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<v Speaker 1>twenty seconds. Is this like Tinder the medical version? Just

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<v Speaker 1>quickly cool? That helps. There's a tool that helps those

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<v Speaker 1>physicians who have met their partner during residency or some

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<v Speaker 1>prior time, who are both physicians, to be able to

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<v Speaker 1>find a location that can support both of their career goals.

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<v Speaker 1>And so if one is a surgeon and one is

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<v Speaker 1>an internal medicine position, they can both use this tool

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<v Speaker 1>to find the best place to go. Makes perfect sense.

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<v Speaker 1>I have friends who you know, had to fly every

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<v Speaker 1>weekend to see one another when they were residents because

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<v Speaker 1>they are residents thousands of miles away. Is it like

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<v Speaker 1>swipe left first surgeon, swipe right for an intern. I

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<v Speaker 1>don't know. I'm not a doctor. Not on a platform.

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<v Speaker 1>Dr Peter Apron, always get to hear your voice, Vice

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<v Speaker 1>President Doximity on the phone from Austin. You're listening to

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Masser and Bloomberg Quick Takes

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<v Speaker 1>to m on Bloomberg Radio. All right, Hurricane I do

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<v Speaker 1>not thank you, the fifth largest hurricane in our history.

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<v Speaker 1>We heard Present Biden saying that just about an hour

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<v Speaker 1>or so ago, making its mark tim from New Orleans

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<v Speaker 1>and the Gulf Coast all the way up to the Northeast.

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<v Speaker 1>It's coming at the same time we're seeing extreme weather

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<v Speaker 1>play out, not just throughout the United States, but throughout

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<v Speaker 1>the world, with flooding in Europe and uh, extreme weather

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<v Speaker 1>in California in a drought that's just gripping the West.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, we want to talk about all of this

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<v Speaker 1>because climate change, we know, is also impacting the frequency

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<v Speaker 1>and ferocity of storms. Here with more on that is

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg News Sustainability editor Eric Roston joining us now on

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<v Speaker 1>the phone in New Jersey. Eric, first of all, I

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<v Speaker 1>hope you and your your family are safe. Hi. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you very much. We're We looked out a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of people in northern New Jersey and in New York

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<v Speaker 1>and the region had real serious flooding last night, and um,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, our thoughts are with everybody who's suffering through this. Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>we as well. Um, you know the storms, the type

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<v Speaker 1>of storms where they're hitting, what they're doing. Tell us

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<v Speaker 1>how you know, you guys cover sustainability, you cover climate change.

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<v Speaker 1>How does climate change impact what we're living through? Right?

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<v Speaker 1>Now when it comes to storms and weather patterns, climate

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<v Speaker 1>change is exacerbating everything. It's making terrible things worse. Basically,

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<v Speaker 1>the we've had, you know, projections for many years that

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<v Speaker 1>are now really beginning to come true. Heat Waves are

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<v Speaker 1>hotter and longer and more frequent. Tropical cyclones like hurricanes

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<v Speaker 1>in this hemisphere are becoming more intense. There is there's

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<v Speaker 1>a very direct relationship between the temperature of the atmosphere

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<v Speaker 1>and the amount of water vapor it can hold. Every

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<v Speaker 1>degree the temperature rises, the air can hold about seven

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<v Speaker 1>more water vapor and it comes down when when conditions

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<v Speaker 1>are as they have been for Hurricane i'da through the

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<v Speaker 1>Gulf of Mexico up through the northeast as we as

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<v Speaker 1>we saw last night. So we've expected this. It is

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<v Speaker 1>as terrible or worse than we expected. Um and it

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<v Speaker 1>leaves us with this very strange um I think situation,

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<v Speaker 1>which is we're having these terrible weather events, and we

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<v Speaker 1>know that greenhouse gases are driving a lot of the uh,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, extra damages we're seeing. So that's that's where

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<v Speaker 1>things stand today. Eric. It's it's it's puzzling to me

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<v Speaker 1>at the same time because we're seeing these extreme weather events.

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<v Speaker 1>While we're also seeing companies come out at least during

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<v Speaker 1>the United States and certainly in the European Union with

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<v Speaker 1>really ambitious climate goals. But these goals are years out

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<v Speaker 1>we're talking, and I wonder how much worse things are

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<v Speaker 1>going to get before they start to get better. We

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<v Speaker 1>have yet to turn the hide. Carbon dioxide emissions in

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<v Speaker 1>the atmosphere, that's the most important greenhouse gas continue to rise.

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<v Speaker 1>Even though they took a big hip, a really historic

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<v Speaker 1>hit last year, down by like five or six percent. UH,

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<v Speaker 1>it's still negligible. UM. So all of these UH pledges

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<v Speaker 1>are super super important, and I think in most cases

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<v Speaker 1>there's not reason to doubt the genuineness of the goals

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<v Speaker 1>or the motivations to achieve them. UM. But you're right,

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<v Speaker 1>they have yet to become actualized. In most cases, there

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<v Speaker 1>is enormous progress in renutable energy as we see just

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<v Speaker 1>like year after year, the games are phenomenal, even though

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<v Speaker 1>they're still not fast enough. UM. But this is this

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<v Speaker 1>is an economy in transition that we that we have

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<v Speaker 1>now we a global economy, and transition just got thirty

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<v Speaker 1>seconds just quickly. Eric. I mean, we talked about inequities.

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<v Speaker 1>It does feel like those countries, those cities that are

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<v Speaker 1>wealthier are going to be able to figure out solutions

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<v Speaker 1>faster and better than others in terms of surviving climate

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<v Speaker 1>change just quickly. Is that fair? That is totally fair.

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<v Speaker 1>It was the subject of a feature we ran earlier

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<v Speaker 1>this week that I drive everyone's attention to uh fortunately

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<v Speaker 1>and to leave on a hopeful note of many many

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<v Speaker 1>life saving opportunities and keep waves and other events are

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<v Speaker 1>not income dependent. We can save lives without rebuilding cities

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<v Speaker 1>from scratch. Thank you so much for coming on. We

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<v Speaker 1>really wanted to check in with you today. Eric Roston,

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<v Speaker 1>Stay Safe, Sustainability editor at Bloomberg News, joining us on

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<v Speaker 1>the phone in New Jersey. Yeah. Important to check out

0:11:52.080 --> 0:11:55.480
<v Speaker 1>that future too, available at Bloomberg dot com. This is

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes,

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<v Speaker 1>tim's Enovic on Bloomberg Radio. Well this week it is

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<v Speaker 1>a special double issue of Bloomberg Business Week magazine. It's

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<v Speaker 1>the City's issue and the cover story the issue is

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<v Speaker 1>about Mark Lourie, who Tim amassed a fortune building e

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<v Speaker 1>commerce sites, several of them, and he's on a new

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<v Speaker 1>mission investing that money into building a privately run city.

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<v Speaker 1>He shared that vision with our own Joshua Boosting. He did,

0:12:22.320 --> 0:12:24.960
<v Speaker 1>and Joshua Brewsting joins us now he's technology editor at

0:12:24.960 --> 0:12:27.280
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week. He's joining us on the phone from

0:12:27.360 --> 0:12:29.040
<v Speaker 1>New York City. I think a lot of listeners and

0:12:29.520 --> 0:12:32.440
<v Speaker 1>readers of Bloomberg Business Magazine might remember Lorrie from the

0:12:32.480 --> 0:12:35.360
<v Speaker 1>cover that he was on a few years ago when

0:12:35.440 --> 0:12:37.280
<v Speaker 1>he launched jet dot com. That was the way that

0:12:37.320 --> 0:12:39.760
<v Speaker 1>the world found out about Jet dot com before Walmart

0:12:39.800 --> 0:12:41.240
<v Speaker 1>a couple of years later bought it for more than

0:12:41.280 --> 0:12:44.040
<v Speaker 1>three billion dollars. But Joshua, before we get into this,

0:12:44.080 --> 0:12:45.920
<v Speaker 1>just give us some background about who Mark Laurie is

0:12:45.960 --> 0:12:48.160
<v Speaker 1>and really what he's trying to build after building these

0:12:48.200 --> 0:12:52.120
<v Speaker 1>e commerce sites. Sure, yeah, thanks for having me. Um.

0:12:52.200 --> 0:12:55.320
<v Speaker 1>As you said, Mark Laurie has had a successful career

0:12:55.400 --> 0:12:59.959
<v Speaker 1>building e commerce websites. First, he built h the company

0:13:00.240 --> 0:13:02.640
<v Speaker 1>that ran diapers dot com, which he sold to Amazon,

0:13:03.480 --> 0:13:05.600
<v Speaker 1>worked for Amazon for a bit, left and built Jet

0:13:05.640 --> 0:13:09.199
<v Speaker 1>dot Com, which is basically an Amazon competitor, which was

0:13:09.240 --> 0:13:13.400
<v Speaker 1>bought by Walmart. He then ran Walmart's e commerce UM

0:13:13.480 --> 0:13:17.439
<v Speaker 1>division for about the last five years, but Almost immediately

0:13:17.559 --> 0:13:21.560
<v Speaker 1>upon getting to Walmart, he started talking to people about

0:13:21.640 --> 0:13:27.600
<v Speaker 1>this plan to build a city from scratch. Basically. UM

0:13:27.640 --> 0:13:30.959
<v Speaker 1>that his current plan is for it to have eventually

0:13:31.000 --> 0:13:34.320
<v Speaker 1>about five million people. That would be forty years from now,

0:13:34.360 --> 0:13:36.280
<v Speaker 1>and obviously a lot would have to go right to

0:13:36.320 --> 0:13:39.400
<v Speaker 1>get there. UM. And he's just starting to lay some

0:13:39.559 --> 0:13:44.240
<v Speaker 1>of the groundwork for what's a pretty audacious project. Is

0:13:44.240 --> 0:13:50.080
<v Speaker 1>it going to happen historically? Um? If you look at

0:13:50.200 --> 0:13:52.439
<v Speaker 1>what other people who have had come up with similar

0:13:52.679 --> 0:13:56.559
<v Speaker 1>plans like this, I think the answer would be no. Um.

0:13:56.600 --> 0:14:01.520
<v Speaker 1>There have been a really steady stream of these utopian

0:14:01.800 --> 0:14:05.440
<v Speaker 1>city building projects over the years. UM. I talked to

0:14:06.240 --> 0:14:09.600
<v Speaker 1>a professor at McGill University who studies them and says

0:14:09.640 --> 0:14:13.400
<v Speaker 1>that there's about a hundred and fifty such projects underway

0:14:13.480 --> 0:14:16.440
<v Speaker 1>right now. UM. But she said she couldn't really point

0:14:16.480 --> 0:14:19.560
<v Speaker 1>to a single one that had fully succeeded in its goals.

0:14:19.680 --> 0:14:21.680
<v Speaker 1>Some of them do have some people, but they never

0:14:21.760 --> 0:14:24.560
<v Speaker 1>quite get to the heights that they're aiming for. Joshua.

0:14:24.600 --> 0:14:26.160
<v Speaker 1>A few months ago, you got some time to to

0:14:26.200 --> 0:14:29.160
<v Speaker 1>really sit down with with Mark Laurie and and really

0:14:29.160 --> 0:14:30.960
<v Speaker 1>get his vision, which you lay out so clearly in

0:14:30.960 --> 0:14:34.160
<v Speaker 1>the cover story of this edition in Bloomberg Business Week.

0:14:34.400 --> 0:14:36.960
<v Speaker 1>What is it that motivates Mark Laurie to do this,

0:14:37.040 --> 0:14:39.760
<v Speaker 1>What is he concerned about, what is his thinking around this,

0:14:39.840 --> 0:14:46.480
<v Speaker 1>the philosophy around this. MH Yeah, interestingly, UM, I sort

0:14:46.480 --> 0:14:48.880
<v Speaker 1>of figured that, you know, a guy coming from the

0:14:48.920 --> 0:14:52.360
<v Speaker 1>tech industry wants to start own city that mostly what

0:14:52.400 --> 0:14:55.800
<v Speaker 1>he'd want to talk about are a ton of this vehicles,

0:14:56.040 --> 0:14:59.400
<v Speaker 1>drone delivery thing like things like that. I mean sort

0:14:59.440 --> 0:15:02.280
<v Speaker 1>of like touch think if I think I want an

0:15:02.320 --> 0:15:05.040
<v Speaker 1>ice cream cone in my hand and it just appears

0:15:05.080 --> 0:15:08.240
<v Speaker 1>like that exactly, And he did talk about that a

0:15:08.240 --> 0:15:12.160
<v Speaker 1>little bit. But like the thing that he's really interesting

0:15:12.400 --> 0:15:17.600
<v Speaker 1>is this model of landownership UM, which was first floated

0:15:17.600 --> 0:15:21.760
<v Speaker 1>by an economist named Henry George in the nine which

0:15:21.840 --> 0:15:27.040
<v Speaker 1>is basically the idea that you could um hold the

0:15:27.480 --> 0:15:29.720
<v Speaker 1>all of the all of the land in a city

0:15:29.760 --> 0:15:33.120
<v Speaker 1>in a trust and instead of allowing people to own

0:15:33.120 --> 0:15:35.880
<v Speaker 1>their own land, they everyone would be leasing the lands

0:15:35.920 --> 0:15:42.240
<v Speaker 1>from this central trust and the income from that from

0:15:42.480 --> 0:15:46.320
<v Speaker 1>that from those leases could be poured back into social services.

0:15:46.400 --> 0:15:50.080
<v Speaker 1>And now Laurie thinks that this is a way to

0:15:50.200 --> 0:15:56.960
<v Speaker 1>deal with inequality, which he professes to be his main, uh,

0:15:57.040 --> 0:16:00.800
<v Speaker 1>his main incentive in trying to pursue this project. Um,

0:16:00.800 --> 0:16:03.240
<v Speaker 1>it was a little bit jarring to to hear this

0:16:03.480 --> 0:16:06.200
<v Speaker 1>from a guy as he said in his forty four

0:16:06.280 --> 0:16:10.080
<v Speaker 1>million dollar Penhals apartment and explained it to me. Um,

0:16:10.120 --> 0:16:13.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, but that is really what he seemed lasor

0:16:13.120 --> 0:16:17.600
<v Speaker 1>focused on. Sounds like a really nice apartment. By the way,

0:16:17.760 --> 0:16:19.440
<v Speaker 1>what I will say is, and we're getting ready to

0:16:19.440 --> 0:16:21.440
<v Speaker 1>talk with David Rubinstein, who has a new book alt

0:16:21.480 --> 0:16:25.360
<v Speaker 1>called The American Experiment, and it's you know, conversations he's

0:16:25.440 --> 0:16:31.240
<v Speaker 1>had as America has continued to evolve and innovate and

0:16:31.400 --> 0:16:34.600
<v Speaker 1>change on some really important issues. And I do think

0:16:34.600 --> 0:16:37.280
<v Speaker 1>we are at this critical juncture when we look at

0:16:37.280 --> 0:16:40.000
<v Speaker 1>some of our cities that are struggling and have struggled

0:16:40.040 --> 0:16:42.080
<v Speaker 1>so much in the last year and a half, and

0:16:42.120 --> 0:16:46.000
<v Speaker 1>you do wonder what happens going forward. Will the infrastructure

0:16:46.080 --> 0:16:48.560
<v Speaker 1>ultimately come from the federal government and maybe change some

0:16:48.600 --> 0:16:50.760
<v Speaker 1>of those cities that have been struggling. You know, do

0:16:50.800 --> 0:16:53.480
<v Speaker 1>we have an opportunity because we could work from home,

0:16:53.560 --> 0:16:57.280
<v Speaker 1>we don't have to work in major cities to reinvent

0:16:57.760 --> 0:17:00.760
<v Speaker 1>the cities and towns that we have out there. So,

0:17:00.800 --> 0:17:03.280
<v Speaker 1>you know, as crazy as it might be, Josh right,

0:17:03.320 --> 0:17:06.680
<v Speaker 1>like you do, wonder does Mark Lori maybe have something

0:17:06.680 --> 0:17:09.960
<v Speaker 1>that maybe there are ways we can do things better? Yeah,

0:17:10.000 --> 0:17:13.199
<v Speaker 1>I think that there. Um this, there's a couple of

0:17:13.240 --> 0:17:15.680
<v Speaker 1>themes that come up in a number of these sort

0:17:15.680 --> 0:17:19.480
<v Speaker 1>of technology driven utopian city building ideas, which I think

0:17:19.800 --> 0:17:26.320
<v Speaker 1>are rather valid critiques of the way that cities work. Now. UM,

0:17:26.320 --> 0:17:29.960
<v Speaker 1>I think Lori is correctly identified the fact that inequality

0:17:30.000 --> 0:17:33.240
<v Speaker 1>is an enormous problem UM and is causing really a

0:17:33.280 --> 0:17:37.000
<v Speaker 1>lot of strain on on the capitalist system in the

0:17:37.080 --> 0:17:42.720
<v Speaker 1>United States. UM. Also, if you have something like autonomous vehicles,

0:17:42.800 --> 0:17:45.400
<v Speaker 1>you want to cut down on car use. Generally, these

0:17:45.400 --> 0:17:48.640
<v Speaker 1>are big transformations of a city, and it's very hard

0:17:48.720 --> 0:17:51.399
<v Speaker 1>to get things done in cities there. They tend to

0:17:51.800 --> 0:17:55.480
<v Speaker 1>really grind down due to inertia politics. UM, there's a

0:17:55.520 --> 0:17:57.959
<v Speaker 1>lot of there's a lot of reasons why things can't happen,

0:17:58.720 --> 0:18:02.240
<v Speaker 1>um and uh and so yeah, I think that those

0:18:02.359 --> 0:18:05.760
<v Speaker 1>those are good diagnosis of the problem. Whether you'd be

0:18:05.760 --> 0:18:08.600
<v Speaker 1>able to do something like that by starting a new um,

0:18:08.640 --> 0:18:11.840
<v Speaker 1>I'm not sure that's any easier, um, But you know,

0:18:11.920 --> 0:18:14.800
<v Speaker 1>I mean it's certain tempting to give it a try.

0:18:14.920 --> 0:18:17.320
<v Speaker 1>Where does this fall on his his list of priorities?

0:18:17.359 --> 0:18:19.640
<v Speaker 1>And and and also when when he thinks about what

0:18:19.680 --> 0:18:21.879
<v Speaker 1>he wants to be known for. I mean, this is

0:18:21.880 --> 0:18:24.800
<v Speaker 1>a guy who's bought a steak in a pro basketball team,

0:18:24.800 --> 0:18:26.439
<v Speaker 1>as you're right, he's learning the basics of his new

0:18:26.480 --> 0:18:29.720
<v Speaker 1>Steinway Grand piano. He's got this team that's working on

0:18:29.760 --> 0:18:34.879
<v Speaker 1>this new reality show. He's invested in EV talls. Um,

0:18:34.920 --> 0:18:36.920
<v Speaker 1>where does this fall on his list of priorities right now?

0:18:39.080 --> 0:18:40.720
<v Speaker 1>I think, well, I think the EV talls in the

0:18:40.760 --> 0:18:45.359
<v Speaker 1>city kind of work. Two v talls are electronic vertical

0:18:45.400 --> 0:18:48.320
<v Speaker 1>takeoff and landing vehicles basically flying cars. Um, I think

0:18:48.320 --> 0:18:50.760
<v Speaker 1>those might fit into the city. I think it's right

0:18:50.840 --> 0:18:54.280
<v Speaker 1>to wonder, with all these other things going on, do

0:18:54.359 --> 0:18:58.480
<v Speaker 1>you have this like sort of crazy project out there

0:18:58.840 --> 0:19:03.159
<v Speaker 1>if you're devoting what your time to it like something

0:19:03.200 --> 0:19:06.199
<v Speaker 1>that's basically impossible anyway, Like can you do it of

0:19:06.240 --> 0:19:09.600
<v Speaker 1>your time? That seems like a valid critique. His His

0:19:10.240 --> 0:19:12.919
<v Speaker 1>response to critique, which obviously I raised with him, is

0:19:12.960 --> 0:19:15.639
<v Speaker 1>that well, starting now, there's not much to do with

0:19:15.720 --> 0:19:18.080
<v Speaker 1>the city project, but over time it will become everything

0:19:18.119 --> 0:19:21.080
<v Speaker 1>he does, and he'll sort of, you know, move towards

0:19:21.520 --> 0:19:25.159
<v Speaker 1>devoting all of his time um to it. Um. You know,

0:19:25.200 --> 0:19:27.560
<v Speaker 1>I think it would have to get to a state

0:19:28.080 --> 0:19:30.760
<v Speaker 1>uh much different than it is now to justify that.

0:19:30.840 --> 0:19:33.439
<v Speaker 1>But that's just twin. Well, there's so much detail in

0:19:33.480 --> 0:19:35.439
<v Speaker 1>your story and it's a great read. It is the

0:19:35.480 --> 0:19:38.240
<v Speaker 1>cover story of the double issue of Bloomberg Business Week

0:19:38.280 --> 0:19:41.880
<v Speaker 1>magazine on newsstands, on the Bloomberg and at business week

0:19:41.920 --> 0:19:44.960
<v Speaker 1>dot com. Joshua Boosting, thank you so much, Technology editor

0:19:45.000 --> 0:19:48.119
<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg Business Week. As we said his cover story

0:19:48.200 --> 0:19:51.639
<v Speaker 1>on Mark Laurie trying to create utopia, Carol, I've interviewed

0:19:51.640 --> 0:19:55.040
<v Speaker 1>Mark Laurie a few times before and during jet it's

0:19:55.080 --> 0:19:58.919
<v Speaker 1>just like a normal guys almost good. Yeah, it's it's

0:19:58.960 --> 0:20:00.959
<v Speaker 1>so interesting to hear about this grand vision. Yeah, we'll

0:20:00.960 --> 0:20:03.600
<v Speaker 1>speaking of grand visions David Rubinstein and his latest book.

0:20:03.600 --> 0:20:10.840
<v Speaker 1>We'll get to that in just a moment. You're listening

0:20:10.920 --> 0:20:14.640
<v Speaker 1>to Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Masser and Bloomberg Quick

0:20:14.720 --> 0:20:18.920
<v Speaker 1>Takes Tim Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. All right, so grab

0:20:18.960 --> 0:20:22.040
<v Speaker 1>your drink of choice, Uh, settle into a comfy chair.

0:20:22.080 --> 0:20:24.560
<v Speaker 1>If you're driving, pull over because we've got a great guest.

0:20:24.920 --> 0:20:26.960
<v Speaker 1>Our next guest talks with all kinds of leaders from

0:20:26.960 --> 0:20:30.000
<v Speaker 1>all walks of our lives, the household names, the exacts,

0:20:30.000 --> 0:20:32.720
<v Speaker 1>the innovators, the warriors, the up starts, the artist, and

0:20:32.760 --> 0:20:35.800
<v Speaker 1>from those conversations, he's written a trilogy of books, How

0:20:35.840 --> 0:20:38.600
<v Speaker 1>to Lead on Leadership. The second, The American Story, was

0:20:38.640 --> 0:20:42.520
<v Speaker 1>all about the American history, UH, and the book's title,

0:20:42.640 --> 0:20:45.280
<v Speaker 1>The American Experiment, Dialogues and a Dream is his third

0:20:45.280 --> 0:20:48.160
<v Speaker 1>book in this series. So it's great to have joining us. UH.

0:20:48.240 --> 0:20:51.440
<v Speaker 1>David Rubinstein. He's host of Bloomberg Wealth on Bloomberg TV

0:20:51.480 --> 0:20:53.199
<v Speaker 1>and Bloomberg Radio, and of course you know him as

0:20:53.240 --> 0:20:55.760
<v Speaker 1>co founder and co chair of the private equity from

0:20:55.840 --> 0:20:58.720
<v Speaker 1>the Carlisle Group. He joins us in our interactive broker studio.

0:20:58.960 --> 0:21:00.840
<v Speaker 1>Thank you for joining us, My pleasure to be here.

0:21:00.840 --> 0:21:02.800
<v Speaker 1>Thank you for having me. It's really wonderful and I

0:21:02.840 --> 0:21:05.600
<v Speaker 1>feel like you are someone who talks with so many

0:21:05.640 --> 0:21:09.320
<v Speaker 1>different people, different points of view. UM, we were wondering

0:21:09.480 --> 0:21:11.760
<v Speaker 1>about the last couple of years, with everything going on,

0:21:12.119 --> 0:21:14.040
<v Speaker 1>how that kind of has shaped who you want to

0:21:14.080 --> 0:21:17.480
<v Speaker 1>talk to and how you were thinking about this book.

0:21:17.920 --> 0:21:20.919
<v Speaker 1>The American experiment. Well, generally, I'd like to talk to

0:21:20.960 --> 0:21:22.919
<v Speaker 1>people who are willing to say something, as you know

0:21:23.080 --> 0:21:26.080
<v Speaker 1>from being an interviewer. Uh, if you watch the Sunday

0:21:26.119 --> 0:21:28.119
<v Speaker 1>talk shows, sometimes you say, why do these people go

0:21:28.160 --> 0:21:29.600
<v Speaker 1>on these shows? Because they don't want to you want

0:21:29.600 --> 0:21:31.960
<v Speaker 1>to say anything. What you want is somebody who's willing

0:21:31.960 --> 0:21:34.399
<v Speaker 1>to say something and say something they haven't said before.

0:21:34.600 --> 0:21:37.720
<v Speaker 1>That's the best interview, right, And so I'm always looking

0:21:37.760 --> 0:21:40.760
<v Speaker 1>for somebody who is willing to be engaging and doesn't

0:21:40.800 --> 0:21:43.240
<v Speaker 1>want to just spar with the interviewer and not say anything.

0:21:43.320 --> 0:21:46.399
<v Speaker 1>So you know that's that's a challenge, but that's what

0:21:46.440 --> 0:21:48.639
<v Speaker 1>I'm trying to do. And you always want somebody that

0:21:48.640 --> 0:21:51.360
<v Speaker 1>people will listen to and want to hear. So if

0:21:51.359 --> 0:21:53.800
<v Speaker 1>I got an engaging guest but nobody's ever heard of

0:21:53.840 --> 0:21:55.760
<v Speaker 1>that person, it may not be as effective. If you

0:21:55.760 --> 0:21:58.760
<v Speaker 1>can get Jeff Bezos, you know, you know that's people

0:21:58.760 --> 0:22:00.840
<v Speaker 1>want to hear from him, so truely, so you want

0:22:00.880 --> 0:22:02.640
<v Speaker 1>somebody has a name and it was willing to engage.

0:22:02.640 --> 0:22:04.760
<v Speaker 1>And some people are great and some people are not

0:22:04.800 --> 0:22:07.840
<v Speaker 1>as great, and you know you've just figured out during

0:22:07.840 --> 0:22:10.440
<v Speaker 1>the interview. But we think about what's happened with the pandemic,

0:22:10.600 --> 0:22:14.600
<v Speaker 1>the capital riots, um, the inequities, George Floyd. We could

0:22:14.600 --> 0:22:17.160
<v Speaker 1>go on and on. There's it feels like a decade

0:22:17.240 --> 0:22:19.040
<v Speaker 1>or two decades of history have happened in the last

0:22:19.119 --> 0:22:21.640
<v Speaker 1>year and a half. How is that, David shaped kind

0:22:21.640 --> 0:22:23.960
<v Speaker 1>of your thinking and putting this book together? And again,

0:22:24.040 --> 0:22:26.199
<v Speaker 1>the voices you wanted to get to, each one has

0:22:26.240 --> 0:22:30.000
<v Speaker 1>a different thing. The January six event um, I do

0:22:30.119 --> 0:22:32.480
<v Speaker 1>talk about it extensively in the book, and I basically

0:22:32.520 --> 0:22:35.679
<v Speaker 1>say it was a severe stress test for America and

0:22:35.800 --> 0:22:38.600
<v Speaker 1>America one and I dedicate the book to the public

0:22:38.640 --> 0:22:42.080
<v Speaker 1>servants who protect our democracy because remember, we had sixty

0:22:42.080 --> 0:22:45.080
<v Speaker 1>five lawsuits that were filed to overturn the January to

0:22:45.119 --> 0:22:48.399
<v Speaker 1>overturn the election, and none of them actually prevailed, none

0:22:48.400 --> 0:22:50.960
<v Speaker 1>of them got very far. All the judges basically complied

0:22:51.000 --> 0:22:52.720
<v Speaker 1>with what is the rule of law, and they basically

0:22:52.760 --> 0:22:55.520
<v Speaker 1>didn't act political. So I think we learned a lot

0:22:55.520 --> 0:22:57.679
<v Speaker 1>about the importance of the rule of law in this country.

0:22:58.040 --> 0:23:00.159
<v Speaker 1>We also learned a lot in terms of the and

0:23:00.359 --> 0:23:03.240
<v Speaker 1>of health care in this country. How it's so unfair

0:23:03.760 --> 0:23:07.200
<v Speaker 1>that people are her minority status or or are poor.

0:23:07.760 --> 0:23:11.640
<v Speaker 1>Really we're suffering disproportionately because of COVID because they don't

0:23:11.640 --> 0:23:13.520
<v Speaker 1>have good health care to begin with, and they don't

0:23:13.520 --> 0:23:16.000
<v Speaker 1>have access to the best health care. And it's a

0:23:16.040 --> 0:23:18.719
<v Speaker 1>sad situation. But it also made me think about this,

0:23:19.040 --> 0:23:22.640
<v Speaker 1>my mortality. I'm seventy two years old, and when you're

0:23:22.680 --> 0:23:24.840
<v Speaker 1>seventy two, you had a chance of you got this

0:23:25.000 --> 0:23:27.360
<v Speaker 1>disease that you could maybe not survive. And we now

0:23:27.400 --> 0:23:30.439
<v Speaker 1>know that six the people when on ventilators didn't actually

0:23:30.440 --> 0:23:32.720
<v Speaker 1>come back out of the ventilators. We were putting people

0:23:33.200 --> 0:23:35.639
<v Speaker 1>ventilators thinking was helping wasn't. So we learned a lot

0:23:35.680 --> 0:23:37.639
<v Speaker 1>about how to treat people. But suppose I had gotten

0:23:37.840 --> 0:23:39.760
<v Speaker 1>this and I went on a ventilator, I probably wouldn't

0:23:39.760 --> 0:23:41.840
<v Speaker 1>be here now. So I learned a lot about my

0:23:41.880 --> 0:23:44.119
<v Speaker 1>mortality and thinking about it. And the result is I'm

0:23:44.200 --> 0:23:47.359
<v Speaker 1>rushing to get more things done because I now realize, hey,

0:23:47.400 --> 0:23:50.639
<v Speaker 1>life is very sued and something bad could happen very quickly.

0:23:50.680 --> 0:23:53.359
<v Speaker 1>And so that that's been something that I've been thinking

0:23:53.359 --> 0:23:55.800
<v Speaker 1>a lot about. It's like the Hamilton's right, I'm running

0:23:55.800 --> 0:23:58.240
<v Speaker 1>out of time right concept. As you point out in

0:23:58.240 --> 0:24:01.320
<v Speaker 1>the book, the American experiment has been relatively short at

0:24:01.320 --> 0:24:03.680
<v Speaker 1>this point, and I'm wondering if you could contextualize the

0:24:03.720 --> 0:24:06.040
<v Speaker 1>way that you think about what happened over the last year,

0:24:06.240 --> 0:24:08.600
<v Speaker 1>year and a half as to what extent it really

0:24:08.600 --> 0:24:11.000
<v Speaker 1>stress tested us, because you do you do make note

0:24:11.000 --> 0:24:14.840
<v Speaker 1>of the judiciary essentially saving the United States, not the lawmakers,

0:24:14.840 --> 0:24:17.040
<v Speaker 1>because you do call out in the book the lawmakers,

0:24:17.359 --> 0:24:20.080
<v Speaker 1>the senators, and the members of Congress who voted to

0:24:20.119 --> 0:24:24.280
<v Speaker 1>overturn the election. They are still in power right now. Yes,

0:24:24.359 --> 0:24:26.760
<v Speaker 1>And I know many of them, and privately they will

0:24:26.760 --> 0:24:28.439
<v Speaker 1>say to you, well, I had to do that, or

0:24:28.520 --> 0:24:31.040
<v Speaker 1>I knew it wasn't going to really prevail. Sure, many

0:24:31.040 --> 0:24:32.680
<v Speaker 1>of these people were you know, I live in Washington,

0:24:32.760 --> 0:24:35.280
<v Speaker 1>I host I host a series uh in front of

0:24:35.280 --> 0:24:38.280
<v Speaker 1>Members of Congress once a month. With COVID ending soon

0:24:38.320 --> 0:24:40.640
<v Speaker 1>hopefully I'll be resuming that, and I know a lot

0:24:40.640 --> 0:24:42.879
<v Speaker 1>of members and so forth, and you know, privately what

0:24:42.920 --> 0:24:44.920
<v Speaker 1>they say is, um, well I had to do this

0:24:45.000 --> 0:24:47.520
<v Speaker 1>and they didn't really believe in it, but you know,

0:24:47.600 --> 0:24:49.600
<v Speaker 1>and so forth. Some will say that I'm not going

0:24:49.640 --> 0:24:52.760
<v Speaker 1>to go and say who said that, but clearly it's

0:24:52.800 --> 0:24:55.320
<v Speaker 1>a very political situation. It's just the saddest Part of

0:24:55.320 --> 0:24:58.679
<v Speaker 1>the whole situation we now face is that we've politicized

0:24:58.720 --> 0:25:02.560
<v Speaker 1>the government so much so that the country's really unable

0:25:02.600 --> 0:25:05.120
<v Speaker 1>to move forward very much. We have people who don't

0:25:05.119 --> 0:25:07.360
<v Speaker 1>want to wear masks, who think that it's a good

0:25:07.359 --> 0:25:10.280
<v Speaker 1>thing to force people not to wear masks. In effect,

0:25:10.640 --> 0:25:12.840
<v Speaker 1>we we we you know, a sad situation in many

0:25:12.840 --> 0:25:15.440
<v Speaker 1>ways when you think about it, that school children whose

0:25:15.440 --> 0:25:17.719
<v Speaker 1>teachers want them to have masks are being told they

0:25:17.920 --> 0:25:21.800
<v Speaker 1>aren't supposed to have that mask. Bad situation, and people

0:25:21.800 --> 0:25:24.720
<v Speaker 1>are dying because of this. When did debate become like

0:25:24.760 --> 0:25:27.200
<v Speaker 1>a bad thing? I thought that was what kind of

0:25:27.200 --> 0:25:29.600
<v Speaker 1>the routes of democracy? We're all about, this whole idea

0:25:29.640 --> 0:25:32.359
<v Speaker 1>of having different perspectives and hopefully talking it through and

0:25:32.400 --> 0:25:35.160
<v Speaker 1>getting to a better place. When I worked in Congress

0:25:35.280 --> 0:25:37.960
<v Speaker 1>and nineteen seventies and in the White House, uh, there

0:25:38.000 --> 0:25:40.320
<v Speaker 1>was obviously political disputes all the time, and obviously this

0:25:40.359 --> 0:25:43.960
<v Speaker 1>was after Watergate, but people thought eventually, you've got to

0:25:43.960 --> 0:25:47.080
<v Speaker 1>get something done, and so you had bipartisan legislation. Now,

0:25:47.480 --> 0:25:49.600
<v Speaker 1>if to be considered a great legislator used to be

0:25:49.600 --> 0:25:51.959
<v Speaker 1>you were good at bipartisan legislation. Get people on both

0:25:52.000 --> 0:25:55.280
<v Speaker 1>sides to work together now to be a great legislator. Um,

0:25:55.359 --> 0:25:57.760
<v Speaker 1>you're probably somebody that is good in only getting your

0:25:57.800 --> 0:26:00.520
<v Speaker 1>Democrats or your Republicans to support you. And members of

0:26:00.560 --> 0:26:03.560
<v Speaker 1>Congress now spend so much time raising money because they

0:26:03.600 --> 0:26:06.400
<v Speaker 1>want to raise money for their campaigns or to want

0:26:06.440 --> 0:26:09.399
<v Speaker 1>anybody from challenging them, and they have to spend their

0:26:09.400 --> 0:26:11.200
<v Speaker 1>time in the case of members of the House, to

0:26:11.320 --> 0:26:13.840
<v Speaker 1>raising money. And the money and the Internet and social

0:26:13.880 --> 0:26:16.480
<v Speaker 1>media has just divided the country in so many ways

0:26:16.520 --> 0:26:19.159
<v Speaker 1>that I find it interesting when I host these dinners,

0:26:19.160 --> 0:26:21.000
<v Speaker 1>so many people say this is the most interesting thing

0:26:21.080 --> 0:26:23.280
<v Speaker 1>that members feel they're doing. In Washington. They can have

0:26:23.280 --> 0:26:25.560
<v Speaker 1>a dinner when nobody sees their meeting with somebody from

0:26:25.560 --> 0:26:27.439
<v Speaker 1>the opposite party cause there's no press there, and they

0:26:27.440 --> 0:26:29.119
<v Speaker 1>can talk to people from the opposite house, which they

0:26:29.119 --> 0:26:32.000
<v Speaker 1>really do because they rarely have conference committees anymore. It's uh,

0:26:32.440 --> 0:26:36.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, look, I also recognize this. Every generation ten

0:26:36.119 --> 0:26:39.440
<v Speaker 1>thousand years back and so forth has always said, well,

0:26:39.520 --> 0:26:41.800
<v Speaker 1>in my time it was better, and now it's not

0:26:41.840 --> 0:26:44.880
<v Speaker 1>as good now. George Washington's father allegedly told him, well,

0:26:45.119 --> 0:26:47.359
<v Speaker 1>your dinner generation are not gonna achieve anything because you

0:26:47.359 --> 0:26:50.199
<v Speaker 1>guys are not hard working or whatever. Well, the truth is,

0:26:50.280 --> 0:26:53.760
<v Speaker 1>every general, every generation tells the younger people, you're not

0:26:53.800 --> 0:26:55.800
<v Speaker 1>gonna be tough enough, You're not gonna be surviving enough.

0:26:55.800 --> 0:26:59.280
<v Speaker 1>An ultimately civilization goes forward. So sure, they're they're challenges. Now.

0:26:59.359 --> 0:27:02.440
<v Speaker 1>I'm not happy with many things that have happened. One

0:27:02.480 --> 0:27:04.920
<v Speaker 1>thing that did happen, though, uh, during all this period

0:27:04.960 --> 0:27:07.800
<v Speaker 1>of time, it is the is the George Floyd murder.

0:27:08.320 --> 0:27:10.359
<v Speaker 1>In that case, the thing that struck me was this,

0:27:10.880 --> 0:27:13.280
<v Speaker 1>we've been through. I lived for the Civil Rights Revolution,

0:27:13.359 --> 0:27:15.640
<v Speaker 1>We've lived for the Voting Rights Act, the Civil Rights Act,

0:27:15.840 --> 0:27:18.360
<v Speaker 1>and so many things that have been done, infirmative action,

0:27:18.400 --> 0:27:22.399
<v Speaker 1>other things. But this one murder crystallized for people in

0:27:22.400 --> 0:27:24.840
<v Speaker 1>this country the fact that we are still discriminating in

0:27:24.640 --> 0:27:26.840
<v Speaker 1>so many ways. Just think about it. All the people

0:27:26.840 --> 0:27:28.840
<v Speaker 1>that have been lynched over the years didn't seem to

0:27:28.840 --> 0:27:31.440
<v Speaker 1>have the same resonance as this one murder. Maybe because

0:27:31.440 --> 0:27:33.880
<v Speaker 1>it was on TV, maybe everybody saw it, Maybe because

0:27:33.920 --> 0:27:36.080
<v Speaker 1>people saw it was so ridiculous the way it was handled.

0:27:36.320 --> 0:27:39.399
<v Speaker 1>But we've made some progress obviously on racial relations. And

0:27:39.400 --> 0:27:41.240
<v Speaker 1>I'd say in the book that while we've made a

0:27:41.240 --> 0:27:44.040
<v Speaker 1>lot of progress, on racial relations and and and gender

0:27:44.080 --> 0:27:46.199
<v Speaker 1>equality and other things. We still have a long way

0:27:46.240 --> 0:27:48.520
<v Speaker 1>to go. The rhetoric that is in the Declaration of

0:27:48.560 --> 0:27:51.199
<v Speaker 1>Independence and the rhetoric in the Constitution is wonderful. What

0:27:51.320 --> 0:27:53.439
<v Speaker 1>we've been spending two thirty years trying to live up

0:27:53.440 --> 0:27:55.800
<v Speaker 1>to that rhetoric, and to some extent we've made progress,

0:27:55.800 --> 0:27:57.600
<v Speaker 1>and some extent we haven't. And what I say in

0:27:57.640 --> 0:28:00.000
<v Speaker 1>the book is that we have these genes, these gene

0:28:00.040 --> 0:28:01.800
<v Speaker 1>is are part of us, the belief and the rule

0:28:01.840 --> 0:28:04.080
<v Speaker 1>of law, the belief in equality, belief in the power

0:28:04.200 --> 0:28:06.879
<v Speaker 1>of voting. And we've been trying to make sure that

0:28:07.040 --> 0:28:09.960
<v Speaker 1>people um kind of honor these things that are part

0:28:09.960 --> 0:28:12.040
<v Speaker 1>of our genes. And sometimes we do and sometimes we don't.

0:28:12.240 --> 0:28:14.520
<v Speaker 1>The rule of law is a gene that's so strong

0:28:14.720 --> 0:28:17.600
<v Speaker 1>that it prevailed in the January sixth situation and and

0:28:17.680 --> 0:28:19.919
<v Speaker 1>the and the post election fight. And I think that

0:28:20.000 --> 0:28:22.240
<v Speaker 1>was good in many other countries. And you've had a

0:28:22.359 --> 0:28:24.399
<v Speaker 1>leader of do what was done here. I think you

0:28:24.440 --> 0:28:27.000
<v Speaker 1>could have had a military takeover. Yeah, it could have

0:28:27.040 --> 0:28:31.120
<v Speaker 1>been much closer. I I wonder, David, about this sense

0:28:31.160 --> 0:28:33.960
<v Speaker 1>of optimism that you have potentially after writing a book

0:28:34.000 --> 0:28:36.000
<v Speaker 1>like this. I do think there is this collective despair

0:28:36.560 --> 0:28:38.760
<v Speaker 1>over the last eighteen nineteen months as this pandemic is

0:28:38.760 --> 0:28:40.040
<v Speaker 1>played out and we try to get to the other

0:28:40.080 --> 0:28:42.480
<v Speaker 1>side of it. And here we are sandwiched between extreme

0:28:42.520 --> 0:28:45.600
<v Speaker 1>weather events. You know that they're affecting the entire country,

0:28:45.600 --> 0:28:50.240
<v Speaker 1>whether it's drought or hurricane or fires. Uh, trying to

0:28:50.280 --> 0:28:53.160
<v Speaker 1>get our kids back to school. After writing this book

0:28:53.160 --> 0:28:55.840
<v Speaker 1>and speaking to these people and looking so closely at

0:28:55.880 --> 0:28:59.000
<v Speaker 1>the history of the United States, are you optimistic? I

0:28:59.040 --> 0:29:02.920
<v Speaker 1>think most people who are asked that question will say yes,

0:29:02.960 --> 0:29:05.400
<v Speaker 1>because nobody wants to say no, I'm pessimistic. It sounds

0:29:05.400 --> 0:29:07.640
<v Speaker 1>bad to say I'm pessimistic, and I'd be lying. If

0:29:07.640 --> 0:29:09.320
<v Speaker 1>I said I was pessimistic. It might make news to

0:29:09.360 --> 0:29:12.680
<v Speaker 1>say I'm pessimistic. I am optimistic about many things. The

0:29:12.760 --> 0:29:16.240
<v Speaker 1>young people are so creative. We are solving some problems

0:29:16.240 --> 0:29:19.200
<v Speaker 1>like global climate change. We're working on some things. Racial

0:29:19.240 --> 0:29:22.080
<v Speaker 1>relations are getting better than not perfect. But uh, if

0:29:22.080 --> 0:29:24.280
<v Speaker 1>you weren't optimistic, you'd be hard to get through life.

0:29:24.280 --> 0:29:26.280
<v Speaker 1>If every day you were so depressed you couldn't get

0:29:26.280 --> 0:29:28.560
<v Speaker 1>through life, you know, what would you do? So I'm

0:29:28.600 --> 0:29:31.000
<v Speaker 1>optimistic and I've had been fortunate in my life to

0:29:31.040 --> 0:29:33.480
<v Speaker 1>be be able to be optimistic because of good things

0:29:33.480 --> 0:29:35.960
<v Speaker 1>that happened to me. But generally I'm reasonably optimistic. I've

0:29:35.960 --> 0:29:38.400
<v Speaker 1>just been worried about some things that we could solve

0:29:38.440 --> 0:29:40.040
<v Speaker 1>that we don't seem to be solving as quickly as

0:29:40.080 --> 0:29:41.640
<v Speaker 1>I wish we would. Let's talk about some of the

0:29:41.640 --> 0:29:45.280
<v Speaker 1>conversations ken Burns, Medline, Albright, Um, juliep Or who I

0:29:45.320 --> 0:29:48.880
<v Speaker 1>don't know is necessarily a household name, Um Alter, Isaacson,

0:29:49.280 --> 0:29:53.160
<v Speaker 1>David McCullough, some of the things Rita Morano, Um, some

0:29:53.240 --> 0:29:55.200
<v Speaker 1>of the conversations that stood out. And obviously they talked

0:29:55.200 --> 0:29:59.360
<v Speaker 1>about very different topics, the different topics of thread. But

0:29:59.440 --> 0:30:01.520
<v Speaker 1>I guess well, ken Burns talked about Vietnam. And it

0:30:01.560 --> 0:30:04.400
<v Speaker 1>turns out in Vietnam, the political leaders knew all along.

0:30:04.520 --> 0:30:06.400
<v Speaker 1>They knew all along that we had no chance of

0:30:06.440 --> 0:30:09.720
<v Speaker 1>winning that war military. It was really a political um exercise,

0:30:09.840 --> 0:30:11.959
<v Speaker 1>which was disappointed because we lost fifty eight thousand men

0:30:12.000 --> 0:30:15.200
<v Speaker 1>and the Vietnamese lost millions of people. UM. David McCulloch

0:30:15.280 --> 0:30:17.600
<v Speaker 1>did a wonderful job of explaining how nobody took the

0:30:17.680 --> 0:30:19.400
<v Speaker 1>right brother seriously in this country. They had to go

0:30:19.440 --> 0:30:21.560
<v Speaker 1>to France to kind of prove um that they could

0:30:21.600 --> 0:30:25.800
<v Speaker 1>they could they could fly. Another reason why we love France, right, UM.

0:30:25.840 --> 0:30:28.520
<v Speaker 1>You know, so Rita Moreno is an incredible story and

0:30:29.200 --> 0:30:31.760
<v Speaker 1>a woman from Puerto Rico who was not taken that

0:30:31.840 --> 0:30:34.400
<v Speaker 1>seriously as an actress because she was from Puerto Rico,

0:30:34.520 --> 0:30:37.800
<v Speaker 1>she was given kind of Latino Latino jobs, but she

0:30:37.840 --> 0:30:39.920
<v Speaker 1>turned out to be an Academy Award winner and she

0:30:40.000 --> 0:30:43.120
<v Speaker 1>had an interesting life. She lived with um, a very

0:30:43.160 --> 0:30:46.000
<v Speaker 1>famous person for quite some time, Marlon Brando and I

0:30:46.040 --> 0:30:48.040
<v Speaker 1>think eight years or so, and then try to commit

0:30:48.080 --> 0:30:52.040
<v Speaker 1>suicide because he was unfaithful. And then she recovered from

0:30:52.040 --> 0:30:54.920
<v Speaker 1>that and obviously went on to now win an Emmy,

0:30:54.400 --> 0:30:58.040
<v Speaker 1>a Grammy, uh, every other word Tony that you can win.

0:30:58.120 --> 0:31:00.560
<v Speaker 1>So she's um quite impressive her and now we're still

0:31:00.600 --> 0:31:04.200
<v Speaker 1>performing at A eighty nine. She was at our Boston

0:31:04.240 --> 0:31:06.800
<v Speaker 1>Pops event and she's a spitfire. Got to meet her

0:31:06.840 --> 0:31:10.160
<v Speaker 1>and she's unbelievable in terms of her energy. You also

0:31:10.400 --> 0:31:13.120
<v Speaker 1>talked with m Walter Isaacson, and I think innovation is

0:31:13.160 --> 0:31:15.720
<v Speaker 1>something we spend a lot of time here, uh talking

0:31:15.720 --> 0:31:19.720
<v Speaker 1>about around the table. And you know that governments, the

0:31:19.760 --> 0:31:22.560
<v Speaker 1>complicated relationship really between governments and innovation. We're seeing it

0:31:22.600 --> 0:31:26.560
<v Speaker 1>once again. What did you glean from that conversation? Walter

0:31:26.680 --> 0:31:29.680
<v Speaker 1>points out in his book really focus on the Innovators,

0:31:29.680 --> 0:31:32.520
<v Speaker 1>a book right before the Codebreakers. Codebreakers, a new book

0:31:32.520 --> 0:31:36.560
<v Speaker 1>about a woman that won the Nobel Prize for effect

0:31:36.600 --> 0:31:39.840
<v Speaker 1>discovering crisper Um. And and that's a great book as well.

0:31:40.080 --> 0:31:42.320
<v Speaker 1>But but the Innovators is about all the people that

0:31:42.360 --> 0:31:46.720
<v Speaker 1>have changed our lives. Who invented the micro processor, that transistor,

0:31:47.120 --> 0:31:50.240
<v Speaker 1>the smartphone, the internet, all the things. How could we

0:31:50.280 --> 0:31:52.560
<v Speaker 1>live today without the internet? How could we live today

0:31:52.560 --> 0:31:55.840
<v Speaker 1>without smartphones? All these things? But now these all came

0:31:55.880 --> 0:31:58.760
<v Speaker 1>about because of smart people doing things that people said

0:31:58.760 --> 0:32:00.840
<v Speaker 1>couldn't be done. And Typic as part of the teams.

0:32:00.840 --> 0:32:04.120
<v Speaker 1>There are very few geniuses. They're discovering things by themselves,

0:32:04.160 --> 0:32:07.160
<v Speaker 1>he points out. Usually it's a person working with somebody else,

0:32:07.280 --> 0:32:09.560
<v Speaker 1>and usually they're building on some something that somebody else

0:32:09.600 --> 0:32:12.040
<v Speaker 1>actually did before them. But the most important thing is

0:32:12.240 --> 0:32:14.560
<v Speaker 1>our country has been a country where we've been strong

0:32:14.600 --> 0:32:17.680
<v Speaker 1>because of innovation. We are the country that innovates. We're

0:32:17.680 --> 0:32:20.600
<v Speaker 1>reinventing ourselves all the time. Why aren't people in Europe

0:32:20.640 --> 0:32:23.240
<v Speaker 1>inventing great companies. Like with companies we have, you don't

0:32:23.280 --> 0:32:25.120
<v Speaker 1>see as much in Europe or in other parts of

0:32:25.160 --> 0:32:27.600
<v Speaker 1>the world as we have been seeing here right now.

0:32:27.640 --> 0:32:30.360
<v Speaker 1>The technology that's dominating the world, certainly outside of China

0:32:30.600 --> 0:32:35.680
<v Speaker 1>is American technology Microsoft, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, Um, all these

0:32:35.680 --> 0:32:38.640
<v Speaker 1>companies are American companies. Why don't we aren't we dominated

0:32:38.680 --> 0:32:41.680
<v Speaker 1>by European technology companies or Middle East technology companies? Because

0:32:41.680 --> 0:32:45.000
<v Speaker 1>Americans have innovative style and we really incent people to

0:32:45.000 --> 0:32:47.680
<v Speaker 1>do things innovative here. Wait, I gotta follow, So what

0:32:47.680 --> 0:32:49.600
<v Speaker 1>do you think about what's going on in China right

0:32:49.640 --> 0:32:52.160
<v Speaker 1>now in terms of really clamping down It feels like

0:32:52.160 --> 0:32:54.920
<v Speaker 1>any innovators well in China, I think what's going on

0:32:55.040 --> 0:32:57.120
<v Speaker 1>is the Chinese government is trying to make it clear

0:32:57.120 --> 0:32:59.760
<v Speaker 1>to everybody that we, the government, are the most important

0:32:59.800 --> 0:33:02.800
<v Speaker 1>thing and not the innovators. And so I think there's

0:33:02.840 --> 0:33:06.680
<v Speaker 1>a concern that sometimes you get entrepreneurs whore worth a

0:33:06.680 --> 0:33:09.120
<v Speaker 1>lot of money there, their cult figures themselves jack Ma

0:33:09.280 --> 0:33:11.960
<v Speaker 1>on the equivalent, and they kind of rival the government leaders,

0:33:11.960 --> 0:33:14.520
<v Speaker 1>and the government doesn't think that's appropriate. So the government

0:33:14.600 --> 0:33:17.520
<v Speaker 1>is doing some things to constrain this. We'll see whether

0:33:17.560 --> 0:33:20.200
<v Speaker 1>the impact is to have people not be quite as innovative,

0:33:20.400 --> 0:33:22.360
<v Speaker 1>or whether people will try to take more money offshore,

0:33:22.480 --> 0:33:24.760
<v Speaker 1>or or or entrepreneurs will come to this country and

0:33:24.800 --> 0:33:26.800
<v Speaker 1>not go back to China. You don't know yet. Will

0:33:26.800 --> 0:33:28.560
<v Speaker 1>it prevent those China? And we're talking, of course, with

0:33:28.640 --> 0:33:31.680
<v Speaker 1>David Rubinstein, his new book is The American Experiment, also

0:33:31.720 --> 0:33:33.960
<v Speaker 1>host of Bloomberg Wealth here at Bloomberg Radio and TV

0:33:34.480 --> 0:33:37.040
<v Speaker 1>and co chair co founder of the Carlisle Group. But

0:33:37.120 --> 0:33:39.360
<v Speaker 1>it's interesting, David, do you think it will prevent China

0:33:39.440 --> 0:33:43.000
<v Speaker 1>from being um kind of a global presence when it

0:33:43.040 --> 0:33:46.240
<v Speaker 1>comes to innovative technologies, which is what President Gas said

0:33:46.240 --> 0:33:49.080
<v Speaker 1>he wants to be. It may have some impact, but

0:33:49.200 --> 0:33:51.560
<v Speaker 1>right now, for example, what is up in the air

0:33:51.840 --> 0:33:54.800
<v Speaker 1>is who is going to dominate technology and the around

0:33:54.800 --> 0:33:57.200
<v Speaker 1>the world of the next ten years. Is it going

0:33:57.240 --> 0:33:59.480
<v Speaker 1>to be the American technology companies or is it going

0:33:59.560 --> 0:34:02.920
<v Speaker 1>to be Chinese trying right now, the Chinese technology companies

0:34:02.920 --> 0:34:06.920
<v Speaker 1>have largely been successful in China. Google and Facebook really

0:34:06.960 --> 0:34:10.000
<v Speaker 1>don't quite operate in China. They have their own equivalent there.

0:34:10.200 --> 0:34:13.000
<v Speaker 1>But have China been able to take Alie pay Uh

0:34:13.040 --> 0:34:17.160
<v Speaker 1>and financial um or Ali Baba outside of China that much,

0:34:17.200 --> 0:34:19.600
<v Speaker 1>not so much, or the same with Bai Do. Now

0:34:19.640 --> 0:34:22.040
<v Speaker 1>the only one that's really become a major force outside

0:34:22.040 --> 0:34:25.080
<v Speaker 1>of China is Byte Dance, which has TikTok, but it

0:34:25.160 --> 0:34:28.239
<v Speaker 1>doesn't operate all in China. It really operates outside. But

0:34:28.719 --> 0:34:30.960
<v Speaker 1>over the next ten twenty years, twenty or thirty years

0:34:31.040 --> 0:34:33.120
<v Speaker 1>or so, there will be an effort by the Chinese

0:34:33.360 --> 0:34:36.040
<v Speaker 1>to say, let's take our technology companies and use them

0:34:36.160 --> 0:34:38.839
<v Speaker 1>in Europe, Latin America, the Middle East, and who will

0:34:38.880 --> 0:34:41.120
<v Speaker 1>dominate what we have two internets or we just have

0:34:41.200 --> 0:34:44.160
<v Speaker 1>one internet and and it's not clear to the extent

0:34:44.200 --> 0:34:46.840
<v Speaker 1>that we weaken our technology companies in this country. It

0:34:46.920 --> 0:34:48.680
<v Speaker 1>may be that we won't be dominant around the world

0:34:48.760 --> 0:34:50.560
<v Speaker 1>as much as we have been. But you think about it.

0:34:50.560 --> 0:34:52.520
<v Speaker 1>You go anywhere in the world now you can turn,

0:34:52.600 --> 0:34:55.400
<v Speaker 1>you can use Google, you can use Facebook. You can't

0:34:55.400 --> 0:34:58.080
<v Speaker 1>go use Bai Do or or Alie pay anywhere in

0:34:58.120 --> 0:34:59.719
<v Speaker 1>the world. That may change unless you're in a part

0:34:59.719 --> 0:35:03.279
<v Speaker 1>of nowhere, one of the blocked uh David, given what's

0:35:03.280 --> 0:35:05.160
<v Speaker 1>happened in China over the last few months, would you

0:35:05.200 --> 0:35:08.200
<v Speaker 1>be hesitant to deploy capital there to to invest there

0:35:08.320 --> 0:35:10.480
<v Speaker 1>at least for the near future. I am an investor

0:35:10.480 --> 0:35:12.440
<v Speaker 1>in China, have been a long term investor there my

0:35:12.560 --> 0:35:16.880
<v Speaker 1>firm UM as an investor there. I personally invested there UM,

0:35:16.960 --> 0:35:19.359
<v Speaker 1>but without thinking forward over the next few years. Given

0:35:19.360 --> 0:35:22.000
<v Speaker 1>what's happened over the last few months, there clearly are

0:35:22.000 --> 0:35:24.960
<v Speaker 1>going to be some constraints on growth and valuation. So,

0:35:25.000 --> 0:35:27.680
<v Speaker 1>for example, UM many of the companies that have had

0:35:27.680 --> 0:35:31.880
<v Speaker 1>some constraints the financial transaction is one and where the

0:35:31.960 --> 0:35:34.439
<v Speaker 1>valuations come down because they're not going to go public

0:35:34.480 --> 0:35:36.560
<v Speaker 1>quite as quickly as they were going to. I still

0:35:36.600 --> 0:35:38.799
<v Speaker 1>think though, you've got a population of one point three

0:35:38.840 --> 0:35:42.239
<v Speaker 1>billion people and a gigantic market, the biggest market in

0:35:42.239 --> 0:35:45.560
<v Speaker 1>the world, and the country is becoming increasingly wealthy, and

0:35:45.600 --> 0:35:48.839
<v Speaker 1>therefore people are recently spending money. We operate a number

0:35:48.880 --> 0:35:51.000
<v Speaker 1>of companies there. We operate with our Chinese partners and

0:35:51.040 --> 0:35:54.200
<v Speaker 1>McDonald's in in uh in China, and clearly that's a

0:35:54.239 --> 0:35:56.480
<v Speaker 1>growing business doing well. So I wouldn't be hesitant to

0:35:56.480 --> 0:35:59.439
<v Speaker 1>invest in China. I just be hesitant to do things

0:35:59.440 --> 0:36:01.160
<v Speaker 1>that the government isn't gonna really like. You've got to

0:36:01.200 --> 0:36:02.719
<v Speaker 1>be very careful and make sure you know what the

0:36:02.719 --> 0:36:05.480
<v Speaker 1>government will tolerate and not the book At the very

0:36:05.520 --> 0:36:09.520
<v Speaker 1>beginning you include the preamble to the Constitution. If you

0:36:09.520 --> 0:36:11.600
<v Speaker 1>could sit down with a forefather today, who would it

0:36:11.600 --> 0:36:14.160
<v Speaker 1>be and what would you want to know? Well? I

0:36:14.160 --> 0:36:16.360
<v Speaker 1>waits that one second. I would just say that, interestingly,

0:36:16.440 --> 0:36:21.560
<v Speaker 1>we had white Christian property owners men who are founding fathers, right,

0:36:21.880 --> 0:36:24.839
<v Speaker 1>if we had a new constitutional declaration independence, who would

0:36:24.840 --> 0:36:27.520
<v Speaker 1>those people be? It wouldn't be all white men right

0:36:27.760 --> 0:36:31.320
<v Speaker 1>or property. We'd have presumably women, We'd have minorities. Would

0:36:31.320 --> 0:36:33.440
<v Speaker 1>we get a different constitution? Will we get a different

0:36:33.440 --> 0:36:36.520
<v Speaker 1>declaration independence? Probably would Um. If I can have dinner

0:36:36.520 --> 0:36:39.120
<v Speaker 1>with any one of those founding fathers, I guess it

0:36:39.160 --> 0:36:42.120
<v Speaker 1>would be Thomas Jefferson, just because his rhetoric is writing

0:36:42.120 --> 0:36:44.120
<v Speaker 1>style is so wonderful, And I'd ask him how come

0:36:44.160 --> 0:36:46.640
<v Speaker 1>you never made a speech as presidently made one public speech.

0:36:47.160 --> 0:36:49.359
<v Speaker 1>If you asked, uh Water Risings, he would say he'd

0:36:49.400 --> 0:36:51.120
<v Speaker 1>like to have all the people he's written about, he'd

0:36:51.120 --> 0:36:52.520
<v Speaker 1>like to have dinner. I think he would say with

0:36:52.560 --> 0:36:55.800
<v Speaker 1>Benjamin Franklin, because he's so creative and so brilliant, so

0:36:55.800 --> 0:37:00.120
<v Speaker 1>many ways uneducated by traditional standards, but now any have

0:37:00.239 --> 0:37:02.319
<v Speaker 1>I think if I could have dinner with anybody that's

0:37:02.360 --> 0:37:05.439
<v Speaker 1>ever lived and aman who's an American not currently live,

0:37:05.480 --> 0:37:07.520
<v Speaker 1>it would be, without doubt, Abraham Lincoln. It might be

0:37:07.560 --> 0:37:10.719
<v Speaker 1>the greatest American of them all. Kept the Union together, Uh,

0:37:10.960 --> 0:37:13.319
<v Speaker 1>freed the slaves, though not as quickly as some people

0:37:13.320 --> 0:37:16.279
<v Speaker 1>would want it. But he was an incredible person, writer,

0:37:16.440 --> 0:37:18.920
<v Speaker 1>credit speaker, and and I just like to ask him

0:37:18.960 --> 0:37:21.279
<v Speaker 1>this a lot of questions. And it's interesting phenomenon. You

0:37:21.320 --> 0:37:23.920
<v Speaker 1>and you and I are all in the interview business.

0:37:24.160 --> 0:37:26.520
<v Speaker 1>And this is a business where it's just rebalytively common.

0:37:26.520 --> 0:37:28.680
<v Speaker 1>Now it's not unique to be an interviewer. Right, lots

0:37:28.680 --> 0:37:30.719
<v Speaker 1>of people. You know, everybody has a podcast. I think

0:37:30.760 --> 0:37:32.600
<v Speaker 1>there should be a bumper secret and says if you

0:37:32.640 --> 0:37:34.920
<v Speaker 1>don't have a podcast. Everybody kept their own podcast, everybody

0:37:34.960 --> 0:37:36.680
<v Speaker 1>got there on TV show, everybody's got their own radio show.

0:37:36.920 --> 0:37:40.040
<v Speaker 1>But this is relatively new. For most of organized history,

0:37:40.040 --> 0:37:42.840
<v Speaker 1>there were no interviews. So we have no interviews of Shakespeare,

0:37:43.040 --> 0:37:44.640
<v Speaker 1>we have no interviews in Crea Patrick, we have no

0:37:44.719 --> 0:37:47.600
<v Speaker 1>interviews of Abraham Lincoln, George Washington. I wish we could

0:37:47.600 --> 0:37:49.279
<v Speaker 1>go back and interview them. I thought about doing a

0:37:49.320 --> 0:37:51.600
<v Speaker 1>book interviewing what these people would have said if I'd

0:37:51.600 --> 0:37:53.840
<v Speaker 1>interviewed him, that's a great idea. So I got to

0:37:53.840 --> 0:37:57.440
<v Speaker 1>say to William Shakespeare, No, will Um, why do you

0:37:57.480 --> 0:37:59.640
<v Speaker 1>think it is that people think you didn't write these plays?

0:37:59.840 --> 0:38:01.719
<v Speaker 1>Or did you really write these plays? That's the truth?

0:38:02.160 --> 0:38:04.320
<v Speaker 1>Or Cleopatra? Who was a better love with Mark Anthony

0:38:04.360 --> 0:38:07.719
<v Speaker 1>or Julius Caesar when you land these interviews? Yea, for

0:38:07.920 --> 0:38:09.600
<v Speaker 1>Henry the Eighth, why why didn't you just get a

0:38:09.640 --> 0:38:11.640
<v Speaker 1>prenup instead of chopping off the head of your wives.

0:38:11.760 --> 0:38:13.520
<v Speaker 1>There's a lot of great questions we went. We want

0:38:13.520 --> 0:38:16.399
<v Speaker 1>to know the answers to number four. You did get

0:38:16.400 --> 0:38:18.960
<v Speaker 1>some fantastic names for for this book, you know, including

0:38:19.040 --> 0:38:21.920
<v Speaker 1>Ken Burns as we talked about, Matlin, Albred, John meetch Um,

0:38:22.000 --> 0:38:25.080
<v Speaker 1>Billy Jean King. Uh. Who did you reach out to

0:38:25.200 --> 0:38:27.680
<v Speaker 1>that you couldn't get? Who said, I'm sorry? Who's this?

0:38:27.760 --> 0:38:32.640
<v Speaker 1>David Rubinstein? I don't have time kidding? No, Look, some

0:38:32.680 --> 0:38:35.440
<v Speaker 1>people do not like to do interviews, and some people

0:38:35.440 --> 0:38:39.080
<v Speaker 1>are more more complicated to get a hold up and

0:38:39.120 --> 0:38:42.560
<v Speaker 1>so forth. So I um on this particular book, I

0:38:43.040 --> 0:38:45.319
<v Speaker 1>have not interestmented so did this way. I have not

0:38:45.400 --> 0:38:48.560
<v Speaker 1>yet interviewed Elon Musk, I'd like to do that. Um.

0:38:48.680 --> 0:38:50.880
<v Speaker 1>Water Isaacson is writing a book about him, and that

0:38:50.960 --> 0:38:53.080
<v Speaker 1>presumably will be the source of a lot of information

0:38:53.120 --> 0:38:55.440
<v Speaker 1>on Twitter. A few weeks ago left talking about that.

0:38:55.520 --> 0:38:57.959
<v Speaker 1>I talked to Water about it and he's very happy

0:38:58.080 --> 0:39:01.440
<v Speaker 1>spending time with him now. And Ellen is Uh, I

0:39:01.480 --> 0:39:03.719
<v Speaker 1>won't give away all this, all the stories there, it's

0:39:03.760 --> 0:39:06.879
<v Speaker 1>gonna be. It's gonna happen absolutely, um, And I would

0:39:06.880 --> 0:39:09.319
<v Speaker 1>say that, Uh, I'd like to interview I have an

0:39:09.320 --> 0:39:11.880
<v Speaker 1>interview Mark Zuckerberg. I'm on a board with him in China.

0:39:12.280 --> 0:39:14.879
<v Speaker 1>I've been there when we talked to him a couple

0:39:14.920 --> 0:39:16.640
<v Speaker 1>of times, but I haven't really interviewed him, and I

0:39:16.680 --> 0:39:18.680
<v Speaker 1>think that'd be interesting. I had a chance to invest

0:39:18.680 --> 0:39:20.440
<v Speaker 1>in that company when my son in law to be

0:39:20.640 --> 0:39:24.040
<v Speaker 1>was at Harvard and he said investment company. I said,

0:39:24.040 --> 0:39:26.360
<v Speaker 1>it's a dating service, and dating service never get anywhere.

0:39:26.800 --> 0:39:30.080
<v Speaker 1>That was thirteen billion dollars ago. Is there a woman

0:39:30.120 --> 0:39:31.319
<v Speaker 1>that you haven't talked to you that you would like

0:39:31.360 --> 0:39:35.680
<v Speaker 1>to talk to? Well, Queen Elizabeth doesn't do interviews, UM,

0:39:35.719 --> 0:39:38.080
<v Speaker 1>so I think that's probably not gonna happen. But I

0:39:38.239 --> 0:39:41.520
<v Speaker 1>would say I have not interviewed Uh, Mrs Obama, I've

0:39:41.560 --> 0:39:44.360
<v Speaker 1>met her many times, I haven't interviewed her. You should

0:39:44.360 --> 0:39:48.560
<v Speaker 1>be very good as an interviewee. I have interviewed Melinda Gates. Uh.

0:39:48.600 --> 0:39:53.320
<v Speaker 1>I've interviewed many business leaders for prominent women. Uh and

0:39:53.520 --> 0:39:57.200
<v Speaker 1>in scott have you thought about I have met her,

0:39:57.200 --> 0:40:00.200
<v Speaker 1>but I don't haven't interviewed I. I haven't actually asked

0:40:00.200 --> 0:40:02.920
<v Speaker 1>her yet. I don't. I think she's relatively shy and

0:40:03.000 --> 0:40:05.440
<v Speaker 1>doesn't seek publicity as the way she's doing it. But

0:40:05.520 --> 0:40:08.120
<v Speaker 1>if she's watching or listening right now, I'm ready to

0:40:08.120 --> 0:40:11.480
<v Speaker 1>come out Seattle tomorrow and do that interview because she's

0:40:11.480 --> 0:40:13.640
<v Speaker 1>doing some really good things in philanthropy and really turned

0:40:13.640 --> 0:40:16.000
<v Speaker 1>the world upside down by doing it fast, doing it

0:40:16.200 --> 0:40:18.480
<v Speaker 1>very differently than how a lot of other people have

0:40:18.560 --> 0:40:21.000
<v Speaker 1>done it for a long time. Yes, and uh, I

0:40:21.040 --> 0:40:23.399
<v Speaker 1>mean she's got I think she was given thirty four

0:40:23.440 --> 0:40:25.800
<v Speaker 1>billion dollars and now it's probably worth seventy five billions,

0:40:25.800 --> 0:40:28.799
<v Speaker 1>So she's got a lot of money. We have three

0:40:28.840 --> 0:40:31.960
<v Speaker 1>minutes left. Please don't go anywhere, No, just stay forever. Um.

0:40:32.040 --> 0:40:34.799
<v Speaker 1>The investment environment, I don't know whether it's back, whether

0:40:34.800 --> 0:40:38.120
<v Speaker 1>it's crypto. What's interesting to you right now? Well, clearly

0:40:38.160 --> 0:40:40.239
<v Speaker 1>crypto is something that gets a lot of attention. It's

0:40:40.239 --> 0:40:42.759
<v Speaker 1>amazing how many people are interested in crypto. Are you

0:40:42.800 --> 0:40:45.960
<v Speaker 1>invested in crypto in any way? I have not invested

0:40:45.960 --> 0:40:49.120
<v Speaker 1>in crypto currencies myself. I have invested in some companies

0:40:49.160 --> 0:40:51.600
<v Speaker 1>that kind of service the industry. And my standard view

0:40:51.640 --> 0:40:55.120
<v Speaker 1>on crypto is when you go to Las Vegas, most

0:40:55.160 --> 0:40:57.120
<v Speaker 1>people smart to know you're not gonna win there, maybe

0:40:57.160 --> 0:40:58.960
<v Speaker 1>spend more time there. You're certainly not gonna win, but

0:40:59.040 --> 0:41:01.359
<v Speaker 1>you enjoy it. You have the pleasure of gambling, so

0:41:01.560 --> 0:41:03.479
<v Speaker 1>you pick one or two percent of your net worth

0:41:03.480 --> 0:41:05.560
<v Speaker 1>and do that. Well, the same is true in crypto.

0:41:05.800 --> 0:41:08.160
<v Speaker 1>Crypto you want to speculate, you don't really know that

0:41:08.239 --> 0:41:10.040
<v Speaker 1>much about it. Try it one or two or three percent.

0:41:10.120 --> 0:41:13.440
<v Speaker 1>It's not harmful and you'll probably have enjoyable time. Perhaps.

0:41:13.680 --> 0:41:18.440
<v Speaker 1>I interviewed for my my show on Bloomberg John Paulson recently,

0:41:18.640 --> 0:41:20.439
<v Speaker 1>and he is dead set against it. He just said,

0:41:20.600 --> 0:41:23.120
<v Speaker 1>this is terrible and it's going to zero. And but

0:41:23.160 --> 0:41:24.840
<v Speaker 1>on the other hand, I've interviewed some other people that

0:41:24.880 --> 0:41:26.759
<v Speaker 1>will come out soon who are gonna be saying, hey,

0:41:26.800 --> 0:41:28.200
<v Speaker 1>I think it's a way to make a lot of money.

0:41:28.320 --> 0:41:31.160
<v Speaker 1>There's one personal I be interviewing soon. Who's who's made

0:41:31.160 --> 0:41:34.120
<v Speaker 1>billions of dollars in crypto? What about when it comes

0:41:34.120 --> 0:41:36.480
<v Speaker 1>to SPACs and where we are in this cycle with spacks?

0:41:37.320 --> 0:41:39.799
<v Speaker 1>Are they here to stay? And look, spacts aren't anything new,

0:41:39.880 --> 0:41:42.080
<v Speaker 1>They're just having a moment right now. SPACs are not

0:41:42.160 --> 0:41:45.919
<v Speaker 1>going away. Um. But you have to be wary of

0:41:46.040 --> 0:41:47.680
<v Speaker 1>what you're doing. You have to know what you're really doing.

0:41:47.680 --> 0:41:49.480
<v Speaker 1>So spacts are a way to accelerate an I p

0:41:49.600 --> 0:41:52.279
<v Speaker 1>O process And right now it's harder to raise money

0:41:52.320 --> 0:41:54.400
<v Speaker 1>for SPACs and not just a spack money. There are

0:41:54.400 --> 0:41:56.160
<v Speaker 1>two types of money yet you have to really raise.

0:41:56.160 --> 0:41:58.000
<v Speaker 1>You raise the riditional money for the SPAC, but then

0:41:58.000 --> 0:42:00.680
<v Speaker 1>you raise money that's called a pre I p O money,

0:42:00.760 --> 0:42:03.040
<v Speaker 1>which is the money to help you get public um

0:42:03.120 --> 0:42:06.000
<v Speaker 1>or help the public evaluation, uh state of what you

0:42:06.239 --> 0:42:08.560
<v Speaker 1>think it should be. And uh, it's harder to raise

0:42:08.560 --> 0:42:11.000
<v Speaker 1>that money right now. A lot of somebody is raising

0:42:11.040 --> 0:42:13.560
<v Speaker 1>I think it's Apollo is raising a fund to invest

0:42:13.640 --> 0:42:16.080
<v Speaker 1>in the SPACs that aren't doing so well and to

0:42:16.200 --> 0:42:18.520
<v Speaker 1>try them on the cheap, which is an idea that

0:42:18.719 --> 0:42:20.680
<v Speaker 1>I think is probably has some merit we've already gone

0:42:20.719 --> 0:42:23.560
<v Speaker 1>to distress SPACs. UM, thirty seconds left here? What do

0:42:23.600 --> 0:42:28.520
<v Speaker 1>you think will be the next Grand American experiment? Just quickly? Well,

0:42:29.360 --> 0:42:32.000
<v Speaker 1>the next experiment that I think we'll see UM. I

0:42:32.000 --> 0:42:35.000
<v Speaker 1>think probably we're going to see UM at some point.

0:42:35.040 --> 0:42:39.640
<v Speaker 1>I hope UM greater cooperation between the Republicans and Democratic

0:42:39.640 --> 0:42:42.520
<v Speaker 1>parties when we have some crisis that really unites them

0:42:42.520 --> 0:42:45.120
<v Speaker 1>in ways that we haven't really truly been united since

0:42:45.239 --> 0:42:48.080
<v Speaker 1>nine eleven. Now we're getting ready to celebrate or mark

0:42:48.120 --> 0:42:52.200
<v Speaker 1>I shouldn't I celebrate than theversary nine eleven. UM, we're

0:42:52.200 --> 0:42:53.600
<v Speaker 1>gonna do at the Kenny Center on the chairman of

0:42:53.680 --> 0:42:55.719
<v Speaker 1>Kenny Center. We're gonna have an event doing that and

0:42:55.800 --> 0:42:58.759
<v Speaker 1>thanking our military people, but also thinking the healthcare workers.

0:42:58.800 --> 0:43:01.319
<v Speaker 1>We've got us through this more tweetent a period of time.

0:43:02.320 --> 0:43:04.520
<v Speaker 1>We thank you, Thank you very much for having so much.

0:43:04.600 --> 0:43:07.120
<v Speaker 1>David Rubinstein, of course, co founder, co chair of the

0:43:07.120 --> 0:43:10.360
<v Speaker 1>Carlisle Group. His latest book, The American Experiment, Dialogues on

0:43:10.440 --> 0:43:13.440
<v Speaker 1>a Dream. Do check it out. It's a great Still summer.

0:43:13.600 --> 0:43:16.319
<v Speaker 1>It is still summer. Everyone still summer. Read this is

0:43:16.320 --> 0:43:26.560
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio. I'm grom a journal Yeah, but you let

0:43:26.640 --> 0:43:31.160
<v Speaker 1>me drive. Oh no, no, no, no's d honn please,

0:43:31.280 --> 0:43:34.960
<v Speaker 1>I'll do the right drivel. I want to drive all

0:43:37.400 --> 0:43:50.479
<v Speaker 1>Just drive baby. The question driving. This is the drive

0:43:50.600 --> 0:43:54.080
<v Speaker 1>to the globe. Give me thanks, we'll dry up. Dawn

0:43:54.360 --> 0:43:57.440
<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Radio. All right, yeah, just about eleven and

0:43:57.440 --> 0:43:59.400
<v Speaker 1>a happen. It's good to go until we wrap up

0:43:59.400 --> 0:44:02.520
<v Speaker 1>the Thursday tree eating day. Definitely wrapping around, Charlie, noting

0:44:02.560 --> 0:44:07.080
<v Speaker 1>that we're well well off our highs of the session. Tim, Oh, well,

0:44:06.920 --> 0:44:09.160
<v Speaker 1>well I should turn my microphone on. How's that. It's

0:44:09.840 --> 0:44:14.560
<v Speaker 1>been a crazy day. Maybe the producers are trying to

0:44:14.560 --> 0:44:18.920
<v Speaker 1>send me a signal. Stan you're talking too much. Well,

0:44:18.960 --> 0:44:20.719
<v Speaker 1>let's get to the drive to the clothes. Aaron again

0:44:20.760 --> 0:44:23.920
<v Speaker 1>and as co founder and CEO of Clear Harbor Asset Management,

0:44:23.960 --> 0:44:26.600
<v Speaker 1>with assets under management more than one billion dollars, it

0:44:26.680 --> 0:44:28.880
<v Speaker 1>joins us once again on the phone from Stanford, Connecticut.

0:44:28.880 --> 0:44:30.160
<v Speaker 1>A great to have you back on the show. How

0:44:30.160 --> 0:44:33.080
<v Speaker 1>are you doing doing just fine? Hey? Help us make

0:44:33.120 --> 0:44:36.480
<v Speaker 1>sense of yeah, yeah, we are doing in Yeah, thank

0:44:36.520 --> 0:44:38.799
<v Speaker 1>you for saying that. Um, it's been a challenging twenty

0:44:38.800 --> 0:44:41.000
<v Speaker 1>four hours in the Tri State areas, certainly for for

0:44:41.000 --> 0:44:43.200
<v Speaker 1>for many of our our friends and colleagues, we're thinking

0:44:43.200 --> 0:44:45.799
<v Speaker 1>to them. Um, Aaron, I want you to take us

0:44:45.800 --> 0:44:48.480
<v Speaker 1>into today's trade ahead of the jobs report. Um, it

0:44:48.560 --> 0:44:50.360
<v Speaker 1>does seem like investors are kind of stepping back and

0:44:50.440 --> 0:44:53.960
<v Speaker 1>and certainly looking to what happens tomorrow. Um, what are

0:44:53.960 --> 0:44:58.600
<v Speaker 1>you looking for? Well, you know, clearly there's a big

0:44:58.680 --> 0:45:02.359
<v Speaker 1>question around the jectory of employment. But I also think

0:45:02.440 --> 0:45:04.760
<v Speaker 1>that we've just gone through a very strong earning season.

0:45:05.360 --> 0:45:08.480
<v Speaker 1>We've had the majority of companies experiencing robust stop and

0:45:08.520 --> 0:45:11.839
<v Speaker 1>bottom line growth, and markets are sort of at all

0:45:11.880 --> 0:45:14.319
<v Speaker 1>time highs, at least the SMP five hundred, that is,

0:45:14.880 --> 0:45:17.680
<v Speaker 1>And so I think there's some indigestion clearly in the market,

0:45:17.680 --> 0:45:20.600
<v Speaker 1>but there's also sort of a forward looking process that

0:45:20.640 --> 0:45:23.240
<v Speaker 1>everyone is undertaking right now, not only as it pertains

0:45:23.239 --> 0:45:26.439
<v Speaker 1>to the data tomorrow, which is important and could weigh

0:45:26.440 --> 0:45:29.200
<v Speaker 1>on the FETs thinking in September, but as it pertains

0:45:29.200 --> 0:45:32.279
<v Speaker 1>to growth and and our expectation is that growth is

0:45:32.320 --> 0:45:36.200
<v Speaker 1>going to continue to decelerate from very lofty levels, and

0:45:36.200 --> 0:45:38.400
<v Speaker 1>that the bond market has you know, really sniffed this

0:45:38.440 --> 0:45:41.160
<v Speaker 1>out many months ago, back starting in March, when when

0:45:41.239 --> 0:45:45.200
<v Speaker 1>yields peaked and Uh. And I think there's a concern

0:45:45.320 --> 0:45:48.680
<v Speaker 1>that as as growth decelerates, so goes the market. But

0:45:49.040 --> 0:45:51.319
<v Speaker 1>I'd also push a little bit back on on that

0:45:51.640 --> 0:45:55.680
<v Speaker 1>sort of prevailing view um our. Our thought is that

0:45:55.719 --> 0:45:58.760
<v Speaker 1>we've already seen a significant rotation within the equity market

0:45:58.800 --> 0:46:01.080
<v Speaker 1>out of sort of that process equocal move that we

0:46:02.040 --> 0:46:04.840
<v Speaker 1>started to see back in mid June and play itself

0:46:04.880 --> 0:46:09.080
<v Speaker 1>out when oil peaked to a more growth posture going

0:46:09.080 --> 0:46:12.520
<v Speaker 1>into the non farm payrolls on Friday. You know what's

0:46:12.560 --> 0:46:15.960
<v Speaker 1>interesting is I like what you said about indigestion in

0:46:16.000 --> 0:46:17.879
<v Speaker 1>the market, because it does certainly feel that way. At

0:46:17.880 --> 0:46:23.560
<v Speaker 1>the same time, the world is a wash in liquidity,

0:46:23.560 --> 0:46:26.080
<v Speaker 1>and our gena Martin Adams comes on consistently and says

0:46:27.040 --> 0:46:30.399
<v Speaker 1>that money's got to go somewhere, and and you increasingly

0:46:30.480 --> 0:46:33.319
<v Speaker 1>see it or continually see it go into the U

0:46:33.400 --> 0:46:37.200
<v Speaker 1>S equity market because again, the US economy has certainly

0:46:37.200 --> 0:46:39.880
<v Speaker 1>bounced back first. Uh, if you compare it to the

0:46:39.880 --> 0:46:42.760
<v Speaker 1>rest of the developed markets. Uh. And that's where investors

0:46:42.760 --> 0:46:44.759
<v Speaker 1>seem to be continuing to place the bets. And I

0:46:44.760 --> 0:46:46.640
<v Speaker 1>guess right now we have to figure out how long

0:46:46.719 --> 0:46:50.239
<v Speaker 1>that kind of trade also continues, right, Yeah, And I

0:46:50.280 --> 0:46:55.200
<v Speaker 1>think as growth does decelerate, that trend towards growth equities

0:46:55.239 --> 0:46:58.840
<v Speaker 1>and perhaps more defensive segments of the equity market like healthcare,

0:46:59.520 --> 0:47:03.200
<v Speaker 1>UM could could still accrue to the US market perhaps

0:47:03.280 --> 0:47:07.480
<v Speaker 1>more than the UM the international developed markets. If you

0:47:07.520 --> 0:47:10.360
<v Speaker 1>just look at the sort of constituencies of those markets.

0:47:10.719 --> 0:47:13.719
<v Speaker 1>We have more tech than than for example, of the Eurozone,

0:47:13.800 --> 0:47:17.600
<v Speaker 1>and so UM if that trend prevails, it could just

0:47:17.640 --> 0:47:20.839
<v Speaker 1>sort of accrue to the to the US marketplace. But UM.

0:47:21.080 --> 0:47:23.760
<v Speaker 1>I also think that sometimes not making a big bet

0:47:23.760 --> 0:47:27.440
<v Speaker 1>on cyclical versus growth is not a bad idea from

0:47:27.440 --> 0:47:29.960
<v Speaker 1>time to time, and this may be that moment. You know,

0:47:30.000 --> 0:47:32.399
<v Speaker 1>we've already had this sort of front half of two

0:47:32.440 --> 0:47:37.600
<v Speaker 1>thousand and twenty one, massive cyclical move higher oil, industrials, materials,

0:47:37.640 --> 0:47:41.880
<v Speaker 1>banks all t outperforming the technology sector for example, consumer

0:47:41.920 --> 0:47:45.800
<v Speaker 1>discretionary and communications, and in the last two and a

0:47:45.800 --> 0:47:48.400
<v Speaker 1>half months we've seen the opposite play out. In the

0:47:48.440 --> 0:47:51.760
<v Speaker 1>back half of this year, I think maybe one where

0:47:51.840 --> 0:47:53.640
<v Speaker 1>we continue to see that trend, but it will not

0:47:53.719 --> 0:47:57.160
<v Speaker 1>be as as robust is just the last couple of months,

0:47:57.480 --> 0:47:59.520
<v Speaker 1>But that's to be expected to be fair. I mean,

0:47:59.520 --> 0:48:02.640
<v Speaker 1>we're only kind of came out with UM some expectations.

0:48:02.640 --> 0:48:04.799
<v Speaker 1>Talking about the U S slow down the third quarter,

0:48:04.840 --> 0:48:07.120
<v Speaker 1>I mean that is to be expected compared to write

0:48:07.160 --> 0:48:10.759
<v Speaker 1>because the dynamic crazy numbers of growth have happened as

0:48:10.800 --> 0:48:13.080
<v Speaker 1>we have we bounced back from the pandemic. And I'm

0:48:13.120 --> 0:48:16.439
<v Speaker 1>sorry Tim forgetting but I mean right that. I mean

0:48:16.719 --> 0:48:20.560
<v Speaker 1>it's kind of playing out like we expected in many ways. Yeah,

0:48:20.600 --> 0:48:23.359
<v Speaker 1>but if you if we were talking a month ago,

0:48:23.680 --> 0:48:29.440
<v Speaker 1>UM q Q three growth was probably one percentage point

0:48:29.480 --> 0:48:32.440
<v Speaker 1>higher than it is right now on expectations, and so

0:48:33.080 --> 0:48:36.440
<v Speaker 1>they've come down even further. UM. And the question is

0:48:36.440 --> 0:48:40.640
<v Speaker 1>will we continue to see a ratcheting down and growth expectations? UM?

0:48:40.760 --> 0:48:42.960
<v Speaker 1>I I suspect we we could. We saw the I

0:48:43.160 --> 0:48:47.080
<v Speaker 1>S M data, UM, you know disappoint We're seeing growth

0:48:47.120 --> 0:48:49.759
<v Speaker 1>slow in China, both sort of export driven growth as

0:48:49.800 --> 0:48:52.480
<v Speaker 1>well as consumer driven growth. In fact, there is a

0:48:52.480 --> 0:48:55.080
<v Speaker 1>belief that the central bank wouldn't wouldn't be moving to

0:48:55.520 --> 0:48:58.319
<v Speaker 1>sort of shore up their currency, and and now there

0:48:58.440 --> 0:49:01.360
<v Speaker 1>there's a belief that central bank will be you know,

0:49:01.480 --> 0:49:05.200
<v Speaker 1>much more you know, incrementally duvish. So UM. That has

0:49:05.280 --> 0:49:09.000
<v Speaker 1>huge implications for global currencies as well as equit markets.

0:49:09.280 --> 0:49:10.880
<v Speaker 1>How are you deploying tapitle right now, how are you

0:49:10.880 --> 0:49:14.920
<v Speaker 1>putting money to work from clients? Good, good question. UM.

0:49:14.960 --> 0:49:17.920
<v Speaker 1>Every one of our clients has a different sort of

0:49:18.040 --> 0:49:22.400
<v Speaker 1>risk profile, a different objective, UM, different duration as well,

0:49:22.480 --> 0:49:25.160
<v Speaker 1>depending on whether or not there a non for profit

0:49:25.280 --> 0:49:30.200
<v Speaker 1>organization or an elderly couple or a young professional. And

0:49:30.239 --> 0:49:33.760
<v Speaker 1>so we really take all of that into account UM

0:49:34.040 --> 0:49:37.759
<v Speaker 1>in trying to sort of structure portfolios, and so equities

0:49:37.800 --> 0:49:41.279
<v Speaker 1>tend tend to be at this sort of core of

0:49:41.280 --> 0:49:44.240
<v Speaker 1>of a portfolio. But we also believe in the idea

0:49:44.239 --> 0:49:49.000
<v Speaker 1>of allocating for particular clients that you know are averse

0:49:49.080 --> 0:49:54.040
<v Speaker 1>to having portfolio volatility to to the extreme, allocate to

0:49:54.080 --> 0:49:58.640
<v Speaker 1>antifragile assets or assets that can uh sometimes buttress a

0:49:58.760 --> 0:50:01.719
<v Speaker 1>portfolio when the economy and the equity markets are not

0:50:01.760 --> 0:50:04.920
<v Speaker 1>performing well. So that could, depending on the moment in time,

0:50:05.200 --> 0:50:08.440
<v Speaker 1>include gold, it could include components of the fixed income

0:50:08.480 --> 0:50:12.480
<v Speaker 1>market like longer duration or short duration treasuries, as well

0:50:12.480 --> 0:50:17.959
<v Speaker 1>as investment grade credit mortgages. So our view is that

0:50:18.440 --> 0:50:21.520
<v Speaker 1>UM treasury still have a role in a multi asset

0:50:21.600 --> 0:50:27.280
<v Speaker 1>class portfolio, even though they are unfortunately yielding a negative

0:50:27.480 --> 0:50:31.279
<v Speaker 1>level at the moment. So, for example, tomorrow's non fund

0:50:31.280 --> 0:50:34.520
<v Speaker 1>Parallels report comes in and it's a two hundred thousand. Uh,

0:50:34.680 --> 0:50:37.840
<v Speaker 1>We're not so sure the equity market behaves all that

0:50:37.880 --> 0:50:41.360
<v Speaker 1>well tomorrow under that scenario. That would be so weak

0:50:42.840 --> 0:50:47.480
<v Speaker 1>is the estimate from according to right. So if it

0:50:47.600 --> 0:50:53.120
<v Speaker 1>was an extraordinarily weak number, um, it could. Um, you know,

0:50:53.560 --> 0:50:55.920
<v Speaker 1>this is how counterintuitive the market is today though. But

0:50:56.040 --> 0:50:59.680
<v Speaker 1>in theory, um, there could be some market indigestion there.

0:51:00.080 --> 0:51:02.000
<v Speaker 1>But on the other hand, we could see the long

0:51:02.120 --> 0:51:05.240
<v Speaker 1>dated segment of the treasure market rally, and that could

0:51:05.280 --> 0:51:09.160
<v Speaker 1>also afford the FED to be even more dubbish. So

0:51:09.200 --> 0:51:11.200
<v Speaker 1>then you know, we could we could we could see

0:51:11.200 --> 0:51:14.919
<v Speaker 1>equities in fact rally on the heels of extraordinarily weak

0:51:14.960 --> 0:51:18.920
<v Speaker 1>economic data. Right. So it's just an interesting time to

0:51:19.120 --> 0:51:22.279
<v Speaker 1>be an acid all acid allocation. It's that market. It's

0:51:22.320 --> 0:51:23.839
<v Speaker 1>that movie we saw for a long time. I feel

0:51:23.880 --> 0:51:26.560
<v Speaker 1>like Aaron. After the financial crisis, bad news was good news.

0:51:26.560 --> 0:51:29.880
<v Speaker 1>It meant the FED was going to stay easy for longer. Uh.

0:51:29.920 --> 0:51:32.680
<v Speaker 1>And so um, you know I always think about this

0:51:32.760 --> 0:51:34.520
<v Speaker 1>with it with the economic means, at some point we

0:51:34.560 --> 0:51:39.000
<v Speaker 1>want the economy to get back to normal. Normal is good. Um.

0:51:39.160 --> 0:51:44.040
<v Speaker 1>But but the investment markets don't always see it that way, right, absolutely,

0:51:44.120 --> 0:51:47.400
<v Speaker 1>and you know, we do see opportunities within within equities

0:51:47.440 --> 0:51:51.239
<v Speaker 1>across multiple sectors. But you know, whether it's artificial intelligence

0:51:51.280 --> 0:51:55.200
<v Speaker 1>or the renewable sector or the economy, water utilities look

0:51:55.440 --> 0:51:59.960
<v Speaker 1>still look extraordinarily interesting to us. Um you know, they're

0:52:00.080 --> 0:52:03.400
<v Speaker 1>they're they're just you know, still wonderful companies in the

0:52:03.440 --> 0:52:05.600
<v Speaker 1>midst of a market that's trading at twenty times forward

0:52:05.680 --> 0:52:09.160
<v Speaker 1>multiple and doesn't look seemingly attractive, that are continuing to

0:52:09.239 --> 0:52:14.200
<v Speaker 1>grow at um you know, revenue growth on an annualized basis,

0:52:14.640 --> 0:52:16.840
<v Speaker 1>and in the question of course, comes down to price.

0:52:17.400 --> 0:52:19.399
<v Speaker 1>All right, we gotta run. Hey, Aaron, have a good

0:52:19.719 --> 0:52:23.120
<v Speaker 1>holiday weekend. Aaron Kennon, co founder CEO of Clear Harbor

0:52:23.160 --> 0:52:26.440
<v Speaker 1>asset management of a billion in assets under management, on

0:52:26.520 --> 0:52:30.800
<v Speaker 1>the phone from Stanford, Connecticut. Thanks for listening to Bloomberg

0:52:30.800 --> 0:52:34.480
<v Speaker 1>Business Week. Download the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud, or Bloomberg

0:52:34.520 --> 0:52:36.359
<v Speaker 1>dot com, and you can also listen to our radio

0:52:36.400 --> 0:52:38.960
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0:52:39.080 --> 0:52:41.440
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