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Speaker 1: Merry Christmas and welcome back to a numbers game with

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Speaker 1: Ryan Grodowski. Thank you guys so much for being here

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Speaker 1: on Christmas Day. I hope you're haring a wonderful day

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Speaker 1: with whatever you're doing. I'm sure a lot of you

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Speaker 1: are with family, or you're wrapping gifts. Hopefully you're going

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Speaker 1: to church for a minute or two, or you went

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Speaker 1: the day before. If maybe you're like me and you're

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Speaker 1: seeing extended family who haven't seen a while, that can

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Speaker 1: get exhausting. You know, you got to see cousins that

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Speaker 1: you haven't seen in a while, and second cousins and

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Speaker 1: you're hearing around your cousin Brenda's divorce, or who lost

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Speaker 1: their job, or who has a mold that needs to

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Speaker 1: get removed.

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Speaker 2: I know, it's just it gets too much after a while.

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Speaker 2: So you need to break.

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Speaker 1: You need to take a walk, you need to go

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Speaker 1: in the car for a minute, you need to take

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Speaker 1: a cigarette. Whatever you're doing, and maybe listen to this podcast.

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Speaker 1: And I appreciate you for that. Thank you guys so much.

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Speaker 1: I have some very cool pulling information on Christmas, some

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Speaker 1: cool political stuff. I want to sit there and say,

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Speaker 1: if you are Italian, like me. I hope you did

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Speaker 1: the Seven Fishes if you're not Italian, and you're probably

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Speaker 1: more well adjusted a human being. Christmas Eve is really

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Speaker 1: our big holiday that the Seven Fishes. It's seven hundred

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Speaker 1: family members are all yelling at each other over like

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Speaker 1: who has the last meet ball. This is Christmas Day

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Speaker 1: is much more relaxed than Christmas Eves. So hopefully you're

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Speaker 1: having much more relaxed day than I was the day before.

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Speaker 1: But I have some very cool polling information to get to.

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Speaker 1: So first, Scott Rasmussen, who does not own Rasmussen Polling.

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Speaker 1: He used to, but they cite his that that polster

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Speaker 1: very often. It's not my favorite, but Scott's a pretty

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Speaker 1: good pollster. Scott found that a majority seventy eight percent

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Speaker 1: of registered voters say that the man the history knows

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Speaker 1: is Jesus Christ, that Catholics and Christians ow is their

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Speaker 1: Lord and savior. Seventy eight percent of registered voters believe

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Speaker 1: that he walked the earth. This is about the same

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Speaker 1: as it was last year. There was no change. Eighty

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Speaker 1: five percent of Republicans and seventy four percent of Democrats

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Speaker 1: believe that Jesus Christ existed and walked This Earth. Interestingly enough,

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Speaker 1: the people least likely to believe that our government employees

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Speaker 1: just thirty six percent. I thought that was really fascinating

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Speaker 1: of all the people that Scott sat there and kind

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Speaker 1: of samples. Secondly, a majority seventy six percent of Americans

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Speaker 1: believe that Jesus Christ is the Son of God. More

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Speaker 1: women than men believe that. Women believe that at eighty percent.

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Speaker 1: Women believe it at seventy two percent. Seventy two percent

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Speaker 1: believe that Mary had a virgin birth, that she was

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Speaker 1: a virgin at the time of Christ's birth. That is

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Speaker 1: actually up four points from last year, so you know,

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Speaker 1: the virgin birth's making a comeback. And a smaller percentage

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Speaker 1: of American sixty two percent say that they believe in

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Speaker 1: most of the elements of the Christmas story, and like

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Speaker 1: the Star over Bethlehem, the angels appearing to shepherds, the

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Speaker 1: visit of the Magi really happened. That's slightly more than

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Speaker 1: than last year. About one in four say they're not

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Speaker 1: really sure that all that stuff happened, but they're not

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Speaker 1: against leaving in it. More Republicans than Democrats believe in

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Speaker 1: that statement. The most disagreement is the last one regarding

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Speaker 1: to christas one. Three quarters of Republicans believe that it's true.

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Speaker 1: Fifty five percent believe it's not true. That's the whole

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Speaker 1: three three three wise men, the magi. Anyway, interesting news

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Speaker 1: on Christmas. How many people in this country believe in it, large,

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Speaker 1: large groups across across party lines, across gender, across race,

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Speaker 1: which is nice. It's nice that we have something that

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Speaker 1: we all sit there and believe in, and we have

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Speaker 1: really good news this Christmas, good economic news this Christmas.

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Speaker 1: And that's over the Q three filings, GDP was up

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Speaker 1: four point three percent. It's the highest is twenty twenty three.

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Speaker 1: Consumption was the key driver. Consumption is up three point

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Speaker 1: five percent, with strong purchases for both goods and services,

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Speaker 1: slightly stronger exports and unusually low imports. So you know

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Speaker 1: why because all the tariffs, but the media is not

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Speaker 1: going to give credit to the tariffs, are going to

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Speaker 1: sit there and just say, oh, it's imporce versus exports.

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Speaker 1: AI investment, believe in it was not the biggest driver

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Speaker 1: like it was the year prior, like it was earlier

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Speaker 1: there the year. AI investment is not a key driver

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Speaker 1: of the GDP growth. That's good. It's good because having

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Speaker 1: a broad, diverse economy that's sitting there and growing jobs

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Speaker 1: is growing the economy is good than just depending on

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Speaker 1: one thing. Is if the one thing goes belly up,

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Speaker 1: then everything kind of falls apart. We saw that many

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Speaker 1: times throughout our country's history. Wages are up three point

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Speaker 1: five percent and inflation is down to zero point seven percent.

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Speaker 1: This is all good economic news. It's good economic news

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Speaker 1: for the president, for his administration. Hopefully it continues into

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty six. Is good for the average person, especially

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Speaker 1: with tax cuts coming, especially reimbursements possibly coming that will

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Speaker 1: be sax Ma imbursements that will be a big deal.

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Speaker 1: That would help a lot of families and hopefully it

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Speaker 1: will help your family going into this Christmas. Now, I

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Speaker 1: know this is a quick, quick episode, quick segment by

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Speaker 1: one against a little bit of AI data polling that

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Speaker 1: came out a little bit of political polling. So that

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Speaker 1: will be up next. So Tony Fabrizio, President Trump's pollster, brilliant,

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Speaker 1: brilliant guy, got to meet him several times and speak

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Speaker 1: to him throughout the campaign last year and during JD's

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Speaker 1: campaign in twenty twenty two. He did a poll with

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Speaker 1: one thousand registered voters on the topic of AI. You know,

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Speaker 1: I'm very very interested in so I'm very fascinating how

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Speaker 1: people are responding. First, he found that Democrats hold a

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Speaker 1: seven point lead in the generic ballad going into next year. Right,

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Speaker 1: Democrats leave forty five to thirty eight. That's a Democrat monsoon.

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Speaker 1: That's a nine point swing from the previous election. It

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Speaker 1: would be one of the biggest Democratic swings in the

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Speaker 1: last two decades.

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Speaker 2: Basically there were.

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Speaker 1: Twenty eighteen, twenty oh six, and twenty eight right, very

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Speaker 1: very big swing. Democrats were probably net eighteen seats when

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Speaker 1: the majority of the House eighteen to twenty seats in

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Speaker 1: the majority of the House, and possibly pick up a

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Speaker 1: Senate seat or two.

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Speaker 2: That's a big deal.

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Speaker 1: Tony Fabreeze just says, one of the ways that Republicans

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Speaker 1: can sit there and actually push back against Democrats. Huge

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Speaker 1: Surgeon polling is actually coming out in support of AI regulation.

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Speaker 1: Found that overwhelming majority of Americans support regulating AI at

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Speaker 1: the federal level. They want federal regulation specifically about how

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Speaker 1: children are dealing with AI and seeing AI. So, first,

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Speaker 1: there's four policies he went through that I want to

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Speaker 1: go through one a national law requiring AI platforms to

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Speaker 1: design and operate features to take responsible steps to reduce

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Speaker 1: risks to minors, including risk of cyber bullying, mental health issues,

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Speaker 1: sexual exploitation, substance abuse, gambling, and self harm. That bill

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Speaker 1: has a whopping eighty five percent support, including eighty two

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Speaker 1: percent support among Trump voters and ninety two percent support

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Speaker 1: against Harris voters, eighty percent support among Swing voters. Secondly,

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Speaker 1: a national law requiring AI platforms to provide parents tools

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Speaker 1: to manage their children's privacy, screen time, and account deletion

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Speaker 1: that is supported by eighty two percent of Trump supporters,

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Speaker 1: ninety one percent of Horror supporters, and eighty five percent

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Speaker 1: of the public at large. Third, a national law making

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Speaker 1: it a crime to use AI to create imitant imitations

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Speaker 1: basically like pornography imitations.

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Speaker 2: I don't know what We've tried to sit there and say.

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Speaker 1: That, but creating a likeness of someone famous or someone

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Speaker 1: not famous in pornography.

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Speaker 2: That is popular, very popular eighty two.

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Speaker 1: Percent nationwide, eighty percent among Trump supporters, eighty seven percent

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Speaker 1: among Harror supporters. And Lastly, a national law requiring AI

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Speaker 1: platforms to confirm users age before granting chatbox access. That

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Speaker 1: support of a eighty one percent of the public, including

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Speaker 1: eighty three percent of both Harris and Trump voters. That

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Speaker 1: is very important because there are many lawsuits going on

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Speaker 1: right now where chat gpt openly encourage users to commit

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Speaker 1: self harm and to end their life. It's a big,

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Speaker 1: big deal. It's going to be bigger as more people

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Speaker 1: sit there and use it. They would also overwhelmingly support

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Speaker 1: President Trump going ahead of Congress and doing this by

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Speaker 1: executive order. Right Even Harry supporters, who hate everything that

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Speaker 1: President Trump does, they would they would support it. They

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Speaker 1: would oppose it more than a support. It would be

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Speaker 1: forty six forty two, so basically a tie swing voters.

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Speaker 2: Everyone else would be very much for it.

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Speaker 1: If asked if the Republicans would support all these AI platforms,

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Speaker 1: are they more likely to sit there and vote for Republicans?

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Speaker 1: The numbers are overwhelmingly in favor of Republicans if they

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Speaker 1: support these AI regulations.

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Speaker 2: In a generic.

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Speaker 1: Ballot, if they support these AI regulations and run on them,

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Speaker 1: Republicans are up twenty twenty point swing. It is a

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Speaker 1: tremendous amount. They would be a forty five thirty two.

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Speaker 1: That's thirteen points from a negative seven to a plus thirteen.

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Speaker 1: That's the twenty point swing. A twenty point swing, tremendous.

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Speaker 1: If they opposed AI regulation, they would be down sixteen points.

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Speaker 1: It would be a negative nine point swing. So AI

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Speaker 1: regulation overwhelmingly popular with voters. Voters do not care about

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Speaker 1: this whole race against China. It's just I understand the

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Speaker 1: importance of it. Voters do not care. They are worried

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Speaker 1: about safety, they were about mental health, they're worried about

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Speaker 1: the safety of kids. All that stuff is playing a

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Speaker 1: much bigger deal than this supposed fight against China. And

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Speaker 1: I think that Republicans really need to have a come

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Speaker 1: to Jesus moment where AI accelerationists really really need to

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Speaker 1: realize they need to make concessions for the general public

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Speaker 1: unless they want to have a very anti or very

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Speaker 1: critical of AI person come into the White House.

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Speaker 2: In twenty twenty eight or beyond.

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Speaker 1: Lastly, there was the anfest, the Turning Point USA, sorry

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Speaker 1: it's Earning Point USA anfests. Over the week, they did

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Speaker 1: a straw pol Now stropholes not scientific, right, They're not

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Speaker 1: going to sample all groups of people. They're really looking

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Speaker 1: at activists. But there was a I didn't know this.

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Speaker 1: There was over thirty thousand people at AMFES this year.

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Speaker 1: It was gigantic. So given in such a large amount

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Speaker 1: of the base of the Republican Party, the activists, a

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Speaker 1: group of the Republican Party, it's a good sample size

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Speaker 1: for that specific population within the country. Right. It's not

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Speaker 1: all Republicans, it's not all anybody, it's just all certainly

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Speaker 1: not all young kule but it's all basically activists Republicans

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Speaker 1: within the GOP. So first thing they found was that

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Speaker 1: overwhelming support for JD Vance. Going into twenty twenty eight,

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Speaker 1: eighty four percent would support Vance. The second most was

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Speaker 1: Ruby at four point eight, then Ron desand Is at three.

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Speaker 1: I mean, it's it's dvances to lose very you know,

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Speaker 1: very clearly right now. Secondly, they strongly approve the base

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Speaker 1: of the party of people who went to anfest who

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Speaker 1: took this pull. They strongly approve of basically everybody in

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Speaker 1: the Republican Trump's cabinet. The only person, by the way,

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Speaker 1: who only has very high negatives is Pam Bondy. Pam Bondi,

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Speaker 1: she had a sixty four percent approerating twenty nine percent

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Speaker 1: unfavorable rating of her job. It's all the Epstein files.

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Speaker 1: I mean, this handling of the Epstein files should go

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Speaker 1: down in history and what not to do. But twenty

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Speaker 1: nine percent unfavorable Among the party's most activist based people

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Speaker 1: who you know, love everyone. Rubio has a two percent

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Speaker 1: unfavorable rating, Scott Bessett has a three percent, uh, Pete

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Speaker 1: Hasge has a two percent. This is I mean, these

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Speaker 1: people support everything basically, am Pam BONDI close to thirty

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Speaker 1: percent negative? Not really good for Pam Bondy Okay. Question

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Speaker 1: on Israel, because you know, it was kind of like

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Speaker 1: the subject that was being talked about left and right.

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Speaker 1: Do you find that Israel is an ally, not an

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Speaker 1: ally or.

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Speaker 2: A top ally?

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Speaker 1: Thirty three percent of respondents that it is the top

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Speaker 1: ally of America, So one in three respondents that it

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Speaker 1: is the top ally, fifty three percent that is one

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Speaker 1: of many allies, and thirteen percent that Israel is not

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Speaker 1: an ally. Interestingly enough, they ask people based on the

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Speaker 1: podcaster that they listen to how they feel at Israel,

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Speaker 1: and they found that a majority of people who listened

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Speaker 1: to Canice, Owens and Tuger Carlson all have a favorable

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Speaker 1: opinion of Israel, and even among Nick Falent's listeners they

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Speaker 1: had a one percent favorable. It was basically tie on Israel.

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Speaker 1: So I mean, I think that means that we're listening

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Speaker 1: to these people for other reasons than just Israel. But anyway,

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Speaker 1: thirty percent non ally thirty three percent top all I

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Speaker 1: fifty three percent one of our allies is a pretty

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Speaker 1: good sample size. I think that's pretty accurate for how

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Speaker 1: Republicans feel. The most important issue going into next year.

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Speaker 1: Number one is winning the mid terms. Number two is voting,

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Speaker 1: voter integrity and voter id Winning the midterms is by

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Speaker 1: like by far the biggest sixty four percent. Voter integrity

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Speaker 1: is just at nine. Affordability is number three at eight,

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Speaker 1: mass deportations is five percent at four, and then accountability

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Speaker 1: of the deep state is the last at four percent.

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Speaker 1: So overwhelmingly, winning the midterms is everything to these people,

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Speaker 1: and rightfully so. Do you support a moratorium on immigrations

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Speaker 1: United States? Ninety percent said yes. Ninety percent won a

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Speaker 1: full moratorium on immigration to the United States. This is

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Speaker 1: not a controversial opinion. This is not a what does

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Speaker 1: the base really feel opinion. This is not a question

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Speaker 1: of is there is there some color between them. No,

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Speaker 1: it is black and white. The base wants immigration moratorium

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Speaker 1: ninety percent. Every Republican running for Congress should say we

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Speaker 1: need an immigration moratorium. Maria Salazar should be primary for

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Speaker 1: wanting an amnesty for illegal immigrants. Like this is not

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Speaker 1: there's no more this whole Gang of Eight era of

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Speaker 1: the GOP.

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Speaker 2: It is over. It is over.

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Speaker 1: They want an immigration moratorium, and that's what every Republican

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Speaker 1: should respond with. Then they asked what is the biggest

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Speaker 1: threat facing America? Number one was radical Islam, number two

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Speaker 1: was socialism, and number three was mass migration. Very interesting

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Speaker 1: that came in ahead of head of the economy, ahead

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Speaker 1: of a lot of stuff. A lot of crime came

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Speaker 1: ahead of crime too, and has a low fertility. Anyway,

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Speaker 1: that was the sample size. I thought it was fast saying.

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Speaker 1: I think that really stays to where the base is,

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Speaker 1: where it's going. Remember, Charlie Kirk at the end of

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Speaker 1: his life believed in a lot of the same exact stuff.

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Speaker 1: Talked about Islamic immigration, talk about immigration moratorium, talked about

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Speaker 1: identity of a nation, really rejected what the nonsense FOVEC said.

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Speaker 2: But that was last episode. I don't want to get

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Speaker 2: into it again. Guys. This is really where the party is.

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Speaker 1: So it's important that the GOP politicians start reflecting the

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Speaker 1: party that they represent. Okay, next up, Ask Me Anything.

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Speaker 1: Stay tuned, Welcome back for the Ask Me Anything segment.

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Speaker 1: If you want to be part of the Ask Me

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Speaker 1: Anything segment, emil me Ryan at Numbers gamepodcast dot com.

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Speaker 1: That's Ryan at Numbers gamepodcast dot com. Plural all the numbers.

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Speaker 1: This question comes from Derek. He says, Hi, Ryan, love

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Speaker 1: the show. I want to hear an update on the

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Speaker 1: state of the Kentucky, Alabama, and Texas GOP primaries. I

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Speaker 1: have been able to find very good data and wanted

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Speaker 1: to see your thoughts on these races. I know you're

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Speaker 1: plugged in with a lot of Morgan Murphy and Nate Moore,

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Speaker 1: so I work for the Morgan Murphy.

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Speaker 2: Campaign, so I'm very biased.

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Speaker 1: Became the first Senate candidate in Alabama to get small

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Speaker 1: dollar donations from all fifty states, which is very, very big.

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Speaker 2: He's a great guy.

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Speaker 1: If you've never checked him out, please check him out

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Speaker 1: if you live in Alabama. If you don't, you don't

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Speaker 1: check him out. But if you live in Alabama and

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Speaker 1: you're looking for a candidate. Morgan's doing very well. Other

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Speaker 1: candidates in Alabama who are doing well. I think that

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Speaker 1: the Congressman Barrymore has a lot of strength. You've got

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Speaker 1: a lot of endorsements, and the age Senate candidate Steve

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Speaker 1: Marshall is definitely also in the top three. I don't

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Speaker 1: think that Jared Hudson's really holding a lot of weight

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Speaker 1: to his campaign right now. I think that's really kind

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Speaker 1: of I think he wants to be I know he's

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Speaker 1: definitely paid some influencer or reached out of some influence.

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Speaker 1: Don't want to say he paid them, but he definitely

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Speaker 1: reached out for some influencers who I know don't do

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Speaker 1: anything for free.

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Speaker 2: So they've been they've.

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Speaker 1: Been trying to promote him, push for him, but his

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Speaker 1: numbers aren't aren't super strong. Oh. In Texas, I mean,

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Speaker 1: I think that Wesley Hunt entering the race really is

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Speaker 1: the nail in the often for John Cornyn. I just

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Speaker 1: I mean, the anti corn voter is split, but Wesley

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Speaker 1: Hunt does have a lot of support among Cornyn voters

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Speaker 1: and I just haven't seen any evidence where Cornyn's strength

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Speaker 1: is going up. And Ken Paxton is just I mean,

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Speaker 1: he has a very high level of support, it will definitely.

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Speaker 2: Go to a runoff.

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Speaker 1: Cornan's really as only hope is if he sits there

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Speaker 1: and gets into a runoff.

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Speaker 2: If if Wesley.

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Speaker 1: Hunt's able to really kind of I think hurt Paxton

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Speaker 1: throughout the campaign is what Hunt needs packs and supporters,

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Speaker 1: if he's able to attack and hurt Paxton and Paxson

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Speaker 1: goes into a runof, because it seems like Packson's definitely

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Speaker 1: making a run off. If Paxson goes into a runoff

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Speaker 1: wounded with high negativities because of Wesley Hunt, then I

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Speaker 1: think that it will be it will be the Samey

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Speaker 1: corn and I think kind of survives. Cornyn is one

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Speaker 1: of only two Republicans in Texas not to have received

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Speaker 1: a incumbent Republicans in Texas not to have received a

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Speaker 1: Trump endorsement, the other being Dan Crenshaw, which I think

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Speaker 1: is very very interesting. And last right was Kentucky. You know,

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Speaker 1: Kentucky's very interesting because Kentucky is Nate Morris is running

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Speaker 1: a campaign really built on undoing mcconnald's legacy, and mcconnald's

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Speaker 1: not a popular figure, you know, anywhere in the country.

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Speaker 1: But the thing about Kentucky is they have a special

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Speaker 1: affinity towards McConnell, and I think that basing your campaign

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Speaker 1: on that a little bit can bite you.

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Speaker 2: I do.

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Speaker 1: I think that's saying a few things, but I think

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Speaker 1: I think Morris has made it a really essential part

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Speaker 1: is overturning McConnell's legacy and his I mean, McConnell got

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Speaker 1: every road in Kentucky paved, like I mean, you know

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Speaker 1: what I mean, Like, that's what I'm talking. He brought

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Speaker 1: so much pork back to a very poor state that

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Speaker 1: a lot of people, a lot of older voters, you know,

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Speaker 1: respect Mitch McConnelly, but they don't love him, and they

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Speaker 1: don't like an old man getting kicked while he's down.

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Speaker 1: But you know, I think that Nate's probably got the

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Speaker 1: best chance for a Trump endorsement over everybody. I don't

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Speaker 1: know if he's got the best chance of winning right now,

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Speaker 1: but if the Trump endorsement gailerant, he is a win,

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Speaker 1: and then he's got the best chance of Trump endorsement,

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Speaker 1: and that's really his only I think hope for winning

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Speaker 1: is Trump coming in and endorsement, and maybe that will happen.

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Speaker 1: I'm not exactly sure. I don't know where Trump's thinking

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Speaker 1: about endorsements for candidates in the future, but he certainly

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Speaker 1: looks like it. He's got the support of a lot

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Speaker 1: of people close to Trump orbit and that does a

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Speaker 1: lot when it comes to getting the Trump endorsement itself.

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Speaker 2: So all right, guys, thank you so much. I hope

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Speaker 2: you have a marry, marry, merry Christmas. I hope you

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Speaker 2: have such a wonderful day. I will speak to you

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Speaker 2: guys on Monday. Have a wonderful weekend.

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Speaker 1: Be safe everybody, and please like and subscribe to this

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Speaker 1: podcast on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, wherever you get your.

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Speaker 2: Podcasts, and on YouTube.

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Speaker 1: That's your Christmas gift to me if you subscribe, Thank

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Speaker 1: you guys so much.

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Speaker 2: I will speak to you guys next week.