1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:06,760 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News. 2 00:00:11,600 --> 00:00:15,440 Speaker 2: This is the Bloomberg Surveillance Podcast. I'm Jonathan Ferrow, along 3 00:00:15,440 --> 00:00:18,680 Speaker 2: with Lisa Bromwitz and Amrie Hordern. Join us each day 4 00:00:18,720 --> 00:00:22,239 Speaker 2: for insight from the best in markets, economics, and geopolitics 5 00:00:22,400 --> 00:00:24,880 Speaker 2: from our global headquarters in New York City. We are 6 00:00:24,920 --> 00:00:27,680 Speaker 2: live on Bloomberg Television weekday mornings from six to nine 7 00:00:27,680 --> 00:00:31,280 Speaker 2: am Eastern. Subscribe to the podcast on Apple, Spotify or 8 00:00:31,280 --> 00:00:33,919 Speaker 2: anywhere else you listen, and as always on the Bloomberg 9 00:00:34,000 --> 00:00:38,680 Speaker 2: Terminal and the Bloomberg Business App. Terry Haynes of Pangaeepolicy, Terry, 10 00:00:38,720 --> 00:00:40,879 Speaker 2: Welcome to the program. There is always a temptation to 11 00:00:40,960 --> 00:00:43,159 Speaker 2: move on to the next thing. I just want to 12 00:00:43,159 --> 00:00:45,280 Speaker 2: talk about the last thing for a little bit longer. 13 00:00:45,640 --> 00:00:48,240 Speaker 2: Just frame what we witnessed over the weekend. To see 14 00:00:48,320 --> 00:00:52,040 Speaker 2: European Commission president except fifteen percent and essentially say thank you, 15 00:00:52,320 --> 00:00:55,600 Speaker 2: we will rebalance and almost apologizing about the situation. 16 00:00:57,000 --> 00:01:00,440 Speaker 3: Well, it's a it's a triumph of a lot of things. 17 00:01:00,480 --> 00:01:03,120 Speaker 3: Certainly the president ought to take a victory lap. I 18 00:01:03,120 --> 00:01:05,160 Speaker 3: think it's I think it ends up being good for 19 00:01:05,200 --> 00:01:08,560 Speaker 3: the European Union. It's a blow against the conventional wisdom, 20 00:01:08,600 --> 00:01:11,000 Speaker 3: which of course, in the last quarter saw a lot 21 00:01:11,040 --> 00:01:14,720 Speaker 3: of this as disastrous. The markets see the fact of 22 00:01:14,760 --> 00:01:17,800 Speaker 3: the deal and the ratification of trade and the expansion 23 00:01:17,800 --> 00:01:21,679 Speaker 3: of trade is the most important thing and number one. 24 00:01:22,040 --> 00:01:25,520 Speaker 3: Number two, I think there's a situation here where as 25 00:01:25,560 --> 00:01:28,840 Speaker 3: you've alluded to when you're questioning with Tyler, that the 26 00:01:29,440 --> 00:01:33,600 Speaker 3: geopolitical element of this also remains front and center. Whether 27 00:01:33,800 --> 00:01:37,440 Speaker 3: we're talking about the continued interdependence of the US and 28 00:01:37,480 --> 00:01:41,560 Speaker 3: European Union economies, or whether we're talking about investments in 29 00:01:41,600 --> 00:01:45,679 Speaker 3: the United States and purchases of military equipment. You're seeing 30 00:01:45,720 --> 00:01:48,320 Speaker 3: a You're seeing a tightening of the alliance, and I think, 31 00:01:48,360 --> 00:01:52,800 Speaker 3: frankly an attempt by both parties to push back a 32 00:01:52,800 --> 00:01:55,600 Speaker 3: bit against against China terry. 33 00:01:55,800 --> 00:01:57,640 Speaker 4: Just to build on that theme, we're hearing from the 34 00:01:57,640 --> 00:02:01,640 Speaker 4: EU Trade Commissioner morro Sekovich this morning in Brussels, and 35 00:02:01,680 --> 00:02:05,920 Speaker 4: he commented on how overcapacity is destroying the EU steel industry. 36 00:02:06,240 --> 00:02:09,560 Speaker 4: Over Capacity is sort of code from steel from China, 37 00:02:09,600 --> 00:02:12,560 Speaker 4: and I wonder how much that is. Ongoing discussions that 38 00:02:12,600 --> 00:02:14,919 Speaker 4: are happening now that have pushed Europeans to make this 39 00:02:15,040 --> 00:02:18,040 Speaker 4: deal with the United States, even if it's being perceived 40 00:02:18,080 --> 00:02:19,680 Speaker 4: by the market as being better for the. 41 00:02:19,680 --> 00:02:23,000 Speaker 3: US, well, they'll they'll certainly try to make a deal 42 00:02:23,040 --> 00:02:25,000 Speaker 3: on this. But at the same time, you know, the 43 00:02:25,160 --> 00:02:28,280 Speaker 3: europe sees in the United States sees as well. 44 00:02:28,320 --> 00:02:28,840 Speaker 5: I think the. 45 00:02:30,840 --> 00:02:37,880 Speaker 3: China using the economic sectors and industries as geopolitical weapons. 46 00:02:38,240 --> 00:02:44,320 Speaker 3: And there's nothing there's nothing more stark than China trying 47 00:02:44,320 --> 00:02:48,680 Speaker 3: to flood the European market with evs for example, on this. 48 00:02:48,960 --> 00:02:54,880 Speaker 3: And you know, we even see Bloomberg reported recently Starbucks 49 00:02:54,919 --> 00:02:58,760 Speaker 3: under assault now by a Chinese coffee company starting in 50 00:02:58,800 --> 00:03:04,080 Speaker 3: New York, vastly undercutting prices. So you'll see this throughout 51 00:03:04,240 --> 00:03:08,160 Speaker 3: and it is a light motif these trade deals and 52 00:03:09,160 --> 00:03:12,760 Speaker 3: the fulcrum of kind of pushing back against China, limiting 53 00:03:12,880 --> 00:03:16,960 Speaker 3: China's ability to try to use industries and sectors to 54 00:03:17,280 --> 00:03:21,000 Speaker 3: frankly hollow out and destroy industrial capacity in the West. 55 00:03:21,360 --> 00:03:23,520 Speaker 4: What have we learned from both the Japanese deal and 56 00:03:23,560 --> 00:03:26,400 Speaker 4: the EU deal in terms of the structure of the 57 00:03:26,440 --> 00:03:30,240 Speaker 4: sustainable trade conversation going forward? Is it the fifteen percent 58 00:03:30,320 --> 00:03:32,200 Speaker 4: is a new floor and that you have to have 59 00:03:32,240 --> 00:03:35,400 Speaker 4: some sort of investment fund alongside that. The details of 60 00:03:35,440 --> 00:03:37,800 Speaker 4: which haven't really been disclosed on either side. 61 00:03:38,840 --> 00:03:40,920 Speaker 3: I tend to go outside in on this instead of 62 00:03:40,920 --> 00:03:42,960 Speaker 3: inside out. What I mean by this is I think 63 00:03:43,560 --> 00:03:46,160 Speaker 3: I think markets, and I've said this many times on 64 00:03:46,200 --> 00:03:50,640 Speaker 3: this program, I think markets are focusing entirely too much 65 00:03:50,680 --> 00:03:54,000 Speaker 3: on tariffs and entirely not too much on the broader 66 00:03:54,040 --> 00:03:59,560 Speaker 3: benefits of the rest of Trump trade and trade policy 67 00:04:00,240 --> 00:04:04,080 Speaker 3: and tax policy, whether it be the tax bill and 68 00:04:04,160 --> 00:04:06,280 Speaker 3: the variety of things that are that are coming from 69 00:04:06,280 --> 00:04:08,680 Speaker 3: that or these trade deals, and how they're trying to 70 00:04:08,720 --> 00:04:14,960 Speaker 3: reorient in ways that frankly continue and expand investment in 71 00:04:15,000 --> 00:04:19,400 Speaker 3: the United States as a compliment to onshoing and reshoring 72 00:04:19,440 --> 00:04:23,279 Speaker 3: in critical critical industries, as Secretary best and puts it. 73 00:04:23,200 --> 00:04:25,440 Speaker 4: In fairness, though, stops are at record high. So if 74 00:04:25,440 --> 00:04:28,320 Speaker 4: you're reaching record high after record high and what capacity, 75 00:04:28,360 --> 00:04:30,520 Speaker 4: are you saying that markets are not aware of some 76 00:04:30,560 --> 00:04:33,960 Speaker 4: of the positive benefits from this, Well. 77 00:04:33,800 --> 00:04:35,919 Speaker 3: I'm saying that they haven't been, first of all, And 78 00:04:35,960 --> 00:04:38,359 Speaker 3: second of all, I'm saying that there's there continues to 79 00:04:38,400 --> 00:04:42,719 Speaker 3: be a focus on tariffs as a negative without the 80 00:04:42,760 --> 00:04:48,640 Speaker 3: countervailing positives and attached. Certainly, markets had gotten over a 81 00:04:48,680 --> 00:04:52,000 Speaker 3: lot of the tariff shock in the last quarter, and 82 00:04:52,520 --> 00:04:55,640 Speaker 3: you know got past the idea from the conventional wisdom 83 00:04:55,720 --> 00:05:00,080 Speaker 3: that this was going to cause a hole in the economy. Now, 84 00:05:00,120 --> 00:05:03,400 Speaker 3: what your situation is, Steve put it very well in 85 00:05:03,440 --> 00:05:06,440 Speaker 3: the last segment, is you've got a variety of hoops 86 00:05:06,480 --> 00:05:09,039 Speaker 3: that have been jumped through all of what your market positives. 87 00:05:09,080 --> 00:05:11,880 Speaker 3: And now we're turning to for example, the FED this 88 00:05:11,920 --> 00:05:14,640 Speaker 3: week as well as earnings to see if the proofs 89 00:05:14,680 --> 00:05:15,359 Speaker 3: and the putting on that. 90 00:05:15,440 --> 00:05:18,360 Speaker 2: Side the narrative has changed quickly. Let's put it that way, Terry, 91 00:05:18,440 --> 00:05:30,080 Speaker 2: appreciate your time. Terry Haynes. There of panchee policy. Steve 92 00:05:30,120 --> 00:05:33,440 Speaker 2: Reshoot of Mazoo with a bullish forecast for Friday's payrolls report, 93 00:05:33,480 --> 00:05:35,560 Speaker 2: calling for one hundred and forty thousand jobs to be 94 00:05:35,560 --> 00:05:38,600 Speaker 2: added and expecting the unemployment rate to tick up slightly. 95 00:05:38,839 --> 00:05:41,159 Speaker 2: Steve joined us now for more Steve Goomonic, good morning. 96 00:05:41,279 --> 00:05:43,400 Speaker 2: Some of the times that maybe one forty is called bullish. 97 00:05:43,440 --> 00:05:46,560 Speaker 2: Now for the labor market, what's changed, Well. 98 00:05:46,440 --> 00:05:48,800 Speaker 6: You are further into a business cycle. You do have 99 00:05:48,839 --> 00:05:51,480 Speaker 6: a labor market shortage. You do have a very very 100 00:05:51,480 --> 00:05:54,119 Speaker 6: tight labor market, so it's hard to continue to add 101 00:05:54,279 --> 00:05:57,200 Speaker 6: large scales without causing a certain amount of disruptions and 102 00:05:57,240 --> 00:05:59,800 Speaker 6: a dramatic rise in wages, and I think companies have 103 00:05:59,839 --> 00:06:02,039 Speaker 6: been resistant on that. I also think there's a bit 104 00:06:02,080 --> 00:06:04,600 Speaker 6: of a technology shift taking price, and I don't think it's 105 00:06:04,640 --> 00:06:07,760 Speaker 6: all the AI, but I think it's further adopting of 106 00:06:07,800 --> 00:06:12,280 Speaker 6: the traditional types of technology that we need to do 107 00:06:12,360 --> 00:06:15,279 Speaker 6: things in the service industry with more and more kiosks 108 00:06:15,320 --> 00:06:18,719 Speaker 6: popping up everywhere, and I think that helps the situation 109 00:06:18,880 --> 00:06:21,040 Speaker 6: as well. So we're supplementing labor or get a little 110 00:06:21,040 --> 00:06:22,240 Speaker 6: bit with capital where we can. 111 00:06:22,360 --> 00:06:24,760 Speaker 4: You have some people like Chris Waller, governor who's expected 112 00:06:24,800 --> 00:06:26,840 Speaker 4: to send the first ascent on the Federal Reserve since 113 00:06:26,880 --> 00:06:30,080 Speaker 4: nineteen ninety three, potentially on Wednesday, coming out and saying 114 00:06:30,080 --> 00:06:33,920 Speaker 4: he's seeing cracks, he's seeing signs that there is instability 115 00:06:33,960 --> 00:06:36,680 Speaker 4: in the labor market. Do you reject that wholesale or 116 00:06:36,680 --> 00:06:38,680 Speaker 4: do you just say that that is something that comes 117 00:06:38,680 --> 00:06:41,280 Speaker 4: along with the changes in technology and demographics. 118 00:06:41,600 --> 00:06:45,200 Speaker 6: Well, I do reject at wholesale because what we see 119 00:06:45,240 --> 00:06:46,960 Speaker 6: in terms of the claims numbers, what we see in 120 00:06:47,040 --> 00:06:49,560 Speaker 6: terms of the continuing claims numbers leave us in an 121 00:06:49,640 --> 00:06:53,360 Speaker 6: environment in which you know there's a healthy labor marketing environment. 122 00:06:53,400 --> 00:06:57,040 Speaker 6: We see no evidence whatsoever in the data that's less 123 00:06:57,120 --> 00:07:01,880 Speaker 6: likely to be disrupted by any kind of flow differentials. 124 00:07:02,240 --> 00:07:04,120 Speaker 6: We also seen in terms of the Jolts numbers, which 125 00:07:04,120 --> 00:07:06,120 Speaker 6: I don't particularly like, but the FED seems to like 126 00:07:06,560 --> 00:07:09,640 Speaker 6: in terms of hiring quits going back up, in terms 127 00:07:09,680 --> 00:07:12,480 Speaker 6: of hirings being healthy, in terms of job openings going 128 00:07:12,480 --> 00:07:14,320 Speaker 6: back up. So I don't see where there really are 129 00:07:14,440 --> 00:07:18,680 Speaker 6: cracks in the labor market. It's a traditional slowing that 130 00:07:18,720 --> 00:07:21,280 Speaker 6: takes place as you get this far into an environment. 131 00:07:21,320 --> 00:07:23,200 Speaker 6: And oh, by the way, adjust it for how tight 132 00:07:23,240 --> 00:07:24,480 Speaker 6: the labor market fundamental he. 133 00:07:24,560 --> 00:07:26,440 Speaker 4: Is, given the fact that we do see some sort 134 00:07:26,480 --> 00:07:29,440 Speaker 4: of slowing at least at the very least, Is there 135 00:07:29,480 --> 00:07:32,920 Speaker 4: anything inflationary about this labor market? Is there anything about 136 00:07:32,960 --> 00:07:35,560 Speaker 4: wage growth that would give you confidence that we could 137 00:07:35,600 --> 00:07:39,040 Speaker 4: see more than just a one time price adjustment from tariffs? 138 00:07:39,320 --> 00:07:41,680 Speaker 6: Oh, I think you grew up going towards a three 139 00:07:41,680 --> 00:07:45,160 Speaker 6: percent inflation rate, and that's part of the issue. I 140 00:07:45,200 --> 00:07:47,560 Speaker 6: think it's from a labor market tight standpoint, I don't 141 00:07:47,720 --> 00:07:50,080 Speaker 6: necessarily have to talk about tariffs to tell you I 142 00:07:50,080 --> 00:07:52,880 Speaker 6: think we're going to three percent inflation, and I question 143 00:07:52,960 --> 00:07:57,600 Speaker 6: whether or not tariffs themselves will be reflected in prices substantially, 144 00:07:57,640 --> 00:08:01,920 Speaker 6: because you look at quorter margins, they're very, very wide. 145 00:08:01,960 --> 00:08:04,600 Speaker 6: You look at exporter margins with the dollar going down, 146 00:08:05,520 --> 00:08:08,160 Speaker 6: you've got that benefit coming through a little bit of 147 00:08:08,160 --> 00:08:10,280 Speaker 6: goods prices. We've seen given the fact that the dollar 148 00:08:10,320 --> 00:08:13,320 Speaker 6: is depreciated six or seven percent in the last year, 149 00:08:13,600 --> 00:08:15,720 Speaker 6: and not surprising you see a little upward movement in 150 00:08:15,800 --> 00:08:19,760 Speaker 6: prices that would typically just take place from the currency standpoint, 151 00:08:20,720 --> 00:08:23,160 Speaker 6: and actually it's not even keeping place with the currency standpoint, 152 00:08:23,200 --> 00:08:26,360 Speaker 6: because global deflation is real. And that's the other thing 153 00:08:26,400 --> 00:08:30,480 Speaker 6: that's offsetting and helping the exporter margins widing, because as 154 00:08:30,560 --> 00:08:33,040 Speaker 6: China dumps all its goods everywhere else in the world, 155 00:08:33,360 --> 00:08:35,839 Speaker 6: these people are sitting there with their run material base 156 00:08:36,240 --> 00:08:39,440 Speaker 6: starting to get cheaper, and therefore they could absorb the 157 00:08:39,480 --> 00:08:41,920 Speaker 6: margins where and China is dumping goods everywhere that they 158 00:08:41,920 --> 00:08:42,920 Speaker 6: can't dump here anymore. 159 00:08:42,920 --> 00:08:45,640 Speaker 2: Other capacity is a massive issue, particularly for the Europeans. 160 00:08:45,760 --> 00:08:48,400 Speaker 2: That's for sure. You said something really interested that we 161 00:08:48,440 --> 00:08:51,079 Speaker 2: need to unpack the labor market might be a reason 162 00:08:51,080 --> 00:08:53,400 Speaker 2: to be hawk issh still, Governor Walla was in your 163 00:08:53,440 --> 00:08:56,000 Speaker 2: seat a week two weeks ago. I made the case 164 00:08:56,080 --> 00:08:59,120 Speaker 2: the labor market is increasingly becoming a reason to be dumbished. 165 00:08:59,120 --> 00:09:01,280 Speaker 2: So I just want to give you some time. What's 166 00:09:01,280 --> 00:09:03,400 Speaker 2: happening in the labor market right now that you think 167 00:09:03,480 --> 00:09:04,760 Speaker 2: is going to keep them on the back foot. 168 00:09:05,600 --> 00:09:07,720 Speaker 6: I think the fact that the unemployment rate is not 169 00:09:07,800 --> 00:09:11,360 Speaker 6: going to go higher. I think the you know, movement 170 00:09:11,360 --> 00:09:13,680 Speaker 6: to four point two, we've been there and they've done nothing. 171 00:09:13,960 --> 00:09:15,960 Speaker 6: But I think when you look at the fundamentals of 172 00:09:16,000 --> 00:09:18,600 Speaker 6: the labor market and what will drive that unemployment rate 173 00:09:18,720 --> 00:09:21,600 Speaker 6: up a little bit, you can discover that it's positive science. 174 00:09:21,640 --> 00:09:24,120 Speaker 6: An expansion in the labor force from not having expanded 175 00:09:24,160 --> 00:09:25,920 Speaker 6: for two months in a row. That's going to be 176 00:09:25,960 --> 00:09:27,480 Speaker 6: the kind of thing that you know, gives you an 177 00:09:27,559 --> 00:09:29,439 Speaker 6: environment where and that's probably going to wind up in 178 00:09:29,440 --> 00:09:32,439 Speaker 6: a little bit increase in unemployment. Temporarily, you're going to 179 00:09:32,480 --> 00:09:35,599 Speaker 6: wind up in an environment where it's a healthy expansion 180 00:09:35,600 --> 00:09:37,920 Speaker 6: in the labor market help you up with adjustment in 181 00:09:37,960 --> 00:09:40,440 Speaker 6: the unemployment rate. I don't think there's cracks in the 182 00:09:40,480 --> 00:09:43,200 Speaker 6: system when I look at the earnings numbers. You know, 183 00:09:43,280 --> 00:09:46,680 Speaker 6: my earnings revision tracker is now positive after being negative 184 00:09:46,720 --> 00:09:49,360 Speaker 6: for weeks on end, It's now been positive for three 185 00:09:49,360 --> 00:09:52,640 Speaker 6: weeks in a row. Companies are revising up earnings. We're 186 00:09:52,679 --> 00:09:55,440 Speaker 6: at ten point nine percent for this year, thirteen point 187 00:09:55,520 --> 00:09:58,400 Speaker 6: nine percent for next year. These are solid earnings numbers. 188 00:09:58,400 --> 00:10:00,160 Speaker 6: These aren't kind of an earning number of peop will 189 00:10:00,200 --> 00:10:02,079 Speaker 6: sit back and say I have to scale back on 190 00:10:02,160 --> 00:10:04,920 Speaker 6: employment dramatically. I think a lot of the announcements that 191 00:10:04,960 --> 00:10:07,240 Speaker 6: you're picking up on in the labor market are taking 192 00:10:07,280 --> 00:10:10,559 Speaker 6: place in states where you're required to announce the layoffs, 193 00:10:10,720 --> 00:10:13,800 Speaker 6: but you're not required to announce the net hirings, and 194 00:10:13,840 --> 00:10:15,240 Speaker 6: I think that becomes part. 195 00:10:15,120 --> 00:10:15,679 Speaker 5: Of the problem. 196 00:10:15,720 --> 00:10:19,319 Speaker 6: It's selective decision to look at the information. And this 197 00:10:19,360 --> 00:10:21,840 Speaker 6: is a confirmation bias I think comes from the dots. 198 00:10:22,280 --> 00:10:24,559 Speaker 6: If I were to drop Jonathan Ferroll out of an 199 00:10:24,559 --> 00:10:28,240 Speaker 6: alien spacecraft, you had been studying the Federal Reserve for years, 200 00:10:28,400 --> 00:10:30,320 Speaker 6: you'd been studying the US economy for years, but you 201 00:10:30,400 --> 00:10:32,640 Speaker 6: didn't know any about the dots, and I dropped you 202 00:10:32,679 --> 00:10:35,760 Speaker 6: in Arizona right now, Okay, you would come out of 203 00:10:35,760 --> 00:10:37,640 Speaker 6: that spacecraft and you would be like, Oh, the FED 204 00:10:37,679 --> 00:10:40,319 Speaker 6: shouldn't be cutting rates. But everyone else says the Fed's 205 00:10:40,320 --> 00:10:42,840 Speaker 6: cutting rates. Why because the dots are there, so everyone's 206 00:10:42,840 --> 00:10:43,920 Speaker 6: biased by the dots. 207 00:10:44,240 --> 00:10:47,000 Speaker 2: Other people might cherry peck some labor market data. Right now, 208 00:10:47,040 --> 00:10:49,200 Speaker 2: at least, I've talked about a few things. Entry level 209 00:10:49,280 --> 00:10:52,520 Speaker 2: hiring not great at all, job switches not getting that 210 00:10:52,559 --> 00:10:55,040 Speaker 2: boost to pay. You talked about the labor market and 211 00:10:55,120 --> 00:10:58,839 Speaker 2: the tightness there, sufficiently tight to generate stronger pay rolls growth, 212 00:10:58,920 --> 00:11:02,520 Speaker 2: stronger wage growth. It keeps this FED reluctant account interest rights. 213 00:11:02,559 --> 00:11:05,080 Speaker 6: We've got an hoarurwly earnings number of zero point four percent. 214 00:11:05,840 --> 00:11:08,480 Speaker 6: That's again consistent with a four percent rise. A four 215 00:11:08,520 --> 00:11:12,240 Speaker 6: percent rise is consistent with three percent inflation. FEDS targets too. 216 00:11:13,000 --> 00:11:15,320 Speaker 6: We're a two point seven our estimate for the upcoming 217 00:11:15,400 --> 00:11:18,360 Speaker 6: PCE deflator. There's seven tenths off the mark, three tenths 218 00:11:18,400 --> 00:11:21,080 Speaker 6: closer to my number, seven tenths away from their number. 219 00:11:21,800 --> 00:11:23,840 Speaker 6: I'm sorry. I think they're not in the position to 220 00:11:23,840 --> 00:11:25,880 Speaker 6: cut rates. And if they were to cut rates, I 221 00:11:25,920 --> 00:11:28,000 Speaker 6: think it would be a mistake. And I think you'd 222 00:11:28,040 --> 00:11:31,400 Speaker 6: discover exactly what happened last year when they cut rates, 223 00:11:31,400 --> 00:11:32,960 Speaker 6: and that is the long end of the curve. Would 224 00:11:33,040 --> 00:11:35,920 Speaker 6: sell off, so it would be a bear steepener. 225 00:11:35,400 --> 00:11:37,280 Speaker 4: Which at a certain point is the reason why people 226 00:11:37,280 --> 00:11:39,199 Speaker 4: are also looking to the auctions. Sorry, I had to 227 00:11:39,200 --> 00:11:41,640 Speaker 4: say that I've been ormissed. There are auctions today and 228 00:11:41,679 --> 00:11:44,000 Speaker 4: tomorrow two year, five year, and seven year notes, but 229 00:11:44,040 --> 00:11:47,160 Speaker 4: also the Treasury refunding announcement that comes on Wednesday, when 230 00:11:47,160 --> 00:11:49,000 Speaker 4: maybe we get a sense of whether any of this 231 00:11:49,040 --> 00:11:51,720 Speaker 4: will matter for the US government's dep financing costs because 232 00:11:51,760 --> 00:11:54,400 Speaker 4: maybe they'll issue everything in t bills and just retire 233 00:11:54,480 --> 00:11:57,800 Speaker 4: all of their coupon all of their treasury bonds. I mean, 234 00:11:57,840 --> 00:12:00,840 Speaker 4: how much are you looking at that to really understand 235 00:12:01,280 --> 00:12:04,680 Speaker 4: exactly how this Treasure Department is going to manage this 236 00:12:04,720 --> 00:12:06,479 Speaker 4: and whether it's going to have any market immifications. 237 00:12:06,480 --> 00:12:08,959 Speaker 6: Well, I think there's lots of reasons to expect bill 238 00:12:09,120 --> 00:12:11,960 Speaker 6: issue sizes will go up. Back when I began, which 239 00:12:12,000 --> 00:12:16,800 Speaker 6: was ancient history in terms of the markets, one of 240 00:12:16,840 --> 00:12:18,720 Speaker 6: the things I had to do was estimate the treasuries 241 00:12:18,720 --> 00:12:20,760 Speaker 6: operating cash balance. So I had to figure out financy 242 00:12:20,800 --> 00:12:22,360 Speaker 6: and I had to figure out the net cash flows, 243 00:12:22,720 --> 00:12:25,360 Speaker 6: and we assumed every single quarter a third of all 244 00:12:25,400 --> 00:12:28,320 Speaker 6: the net new money would be raised in bills. That's 245 00:12:28,360 --> 00:12:31,000 Speaker 6: not happening now. So yeah, there's more bill issuance coming 246 00:12:31,040 --> 00:12:32,160 Speaker 6: relative to coupon issuance. 247 00:12:32,679 --> 00:12:34,400 Speaker 4: When you came in, you said that there's something else 248 00:12:34,400 --> 00:12:35,120 Speaker 4: that you're looking for. 249 00:12:35,320 --> 00:12:37,959 Speaker 6: Stable Coin is something that I'm going to be looking 250 00:12:37,960 --> 00:12:39,920 Speaker 6: to see whether or not Treasure Secretary of pressent a 251 00:12:40,000 --> 00:12:43,520 Speaker 6: if he's back from his overseas trip and talks further 252 00:12:43,559 --> 00:12:45,640 Speaker 6: about stable coin than he did at the May Were 253 00:12:45,640 --> 00:12:48,440 Speaker 6: funding announcement, And he made a statement at that point 254 00:12:48,440 --> 00:12:49,720 Speaker 6: in time that I think get stuck in a lot 255 00:12:49,720 --> 00:12:51,720 Speaker 6: of people's minds. And I visited a lot of accounts, 256 00:12:52,000 --> 00:12:54,080 Speaker 6: and some of these accounts are very, very interested in 257 00:12:54,120 --> 00:12:56,800 Speaker 6: the whole stable coin concept and where do we go 258 00:12:56,840 --> 00:12:58,720 Speaker 6: with stable coin and how much of it will be 259 00:12:58,760 --> 00:13:02,920 Speaker 6: financed through bills, And he talked about two trillion dollars 260 00:13:03,040 --> 00:13:05,680 Speaker 6: market cap. You look at stable coin now, it's about 261 00:13:05,720 --> 00:13:08,480 Speaker 6: three hundred two hundred billion dollars. So that's telling it 262 00:13:08,480 --> 00:13:11,520 Speaker 6: there's a long way to go. And I question whether 263 00:13:11,600 --> 00:13:14,599 Speaker 6: or not if you wind up with it being done properly, 264 00:13:14,960 --> 00:13:17,439 Speaker 6: if you want it, For example, the Federal Reserve issuing 265 00:13:17,480 --> 00:13:20,160 Speaker 6: its own stable coin, could you then be in a 266 00:13:20,200 --> 00:13:23,719 Speaker 6: situation where we might actually replace a lot of our 267 00:13:23,720 --> 00:13:27,880 Speaker 6: electronic transfers of wires and replace the swift system with 268 00:13:28,080 --> 00:13:31,880 Speaker 6: something more simple and less costly for the end result user. 269 00:13:31,920 --> 00:13:34,240 Speaker 6: And know the banks don't want this because clearly it 270 00:13:34,280 --> 00:13:36,320 Speaker 6: influences a business they make a lot of money on. 271 00:13:36,640 --> 00:13:39,240 Speaker 6: But clearly the end user wants it. I can imagine 272 00:13:39,280 --> 00:13:43,520 Speaker 6: a place like Walmart, Target, Boeing, these big people, these exporters, 273 00:13:43,520 --> 00:13:46,200 Speaker 6: these importers, all sitting there saying, you know, this would 274 00:13:46,200 --> 00:13:46,560 Speaker 6: be great. 275 00:13:46,559 --> 00:13:47,720 Speaker 5: It reduces my costs. 276 00:13:47,760 --> 00:13:49,920 Speaker 6: I really think we have to do this right now. 277 00:13:49,960 --> 00:13:53,000 Speaker 6: We've got lots of stable coins going in different directions 278 00:13:53,040 --> 00:13:55,360 Speaker 6: and trying to do different things. If we could find 279 00:13:55,400 --> 00:13:59,160 Speaker 6: one way of unifying it and putting them all on 280 00:13:59,160 --> 00:14:02,120 Speaker 6: one network, creating it all in terms of one large 281 00:14:02,440 --> 00:14:04,960 Speaker 6: ability to do it, for example, with a treasury coin 282 00:14:05,200 --> 00:14:07,679 Speaker 6: hosted on a Federal Reserve website, I think you can 283 00:14:07,720 --> 00:14:09,960 Speaker 6: get a very fast adoption of the technology. 284 00:14:10,000 --> 00:14:11,679 Speaker 2: You think it leads to increased tea build demand. 285 00:14:12,360 --> 00:14:14,360 Speaker 6: I do think it leads to increased tea build demand, 286 00:14:14,440 --> 00:14:17,359 Speaker 6: because I do not believe it'll affect currency in circulation, 287 00:14:17,440 --> 00:14:20,520 Speaker 6: which affects the rest of the Federal Reserves portfolio. Currency 288 00:14:20,560 --> 00:14:22,840 Speaker 6: in circulation is a percentage of the economy's percent of 289 00:14:22,880 --> 00:14:25,880 Speaker 6: financial transactions is not going down. Yes, a lot of 290 00:14:25,920 --> 00:14:28,520 Speaker 6: the currency in circulation is outside the country, but we 291 00:14:28,680 --> 00:14:31,760 Speaker 6: still have the currency that's in circulation once up outside 292 00:14:31,800 --> 00:14:34,720 Speaker 6: the country. But we do have as a result of that, 293 00:14:34,800 --> 00:14:37,080 Speaker 6: the big federal reserve portfolio, and I don't think it changes. 294 00:14:37,280 --> 00:14:39,040 Speaker 6: So Yes, what happens in terms of stable coin, I 295 00:14:39,080 --> 00:14:40,320 Speaker 6: think will be a net new demand. 296 00:14:40,480 --> 00:14:40,880 Speaker 5: Interesting. 297 00:14:41,040 --> 00:14:43,160 Speaker 2: Happy to catch Shelby this morning Church a lot of 298 00:14:43,160 --> 00:14:45,320 Speaker 2: the audience Ryan and as well Steved shouldov missoo, I 299 00:14:45,560 --> 00:14:48,120 Speaker 2: have an a tremendous yes, so far dead on so 300 00:14:48,240 --> 00:14:58,320 Speaker 2: far this year on a lot of issues. Well, it's 301 00:14:58,360 --> 00:15:00,920 Speaker 2: nice watched football league making its way across the Atlantic. 302 00:15:00,960 --> 00:15:03,600 Speaker 2: The English Premier League is playing six matches for sold 303 00:15:03,640 --> 00:15:07,000 Speaker 2: out crowds in New Jersey, Chicago, and Atlanta this summer, 304 00:15:07,160 --> 00:15:09,880 Speaker 2: the series kicking off this past weekend with Manchester United 305 00:15:10,080 --> 00:15:12,560 Speaker 2: beating West Ham joining us. Now, I'm very pleased to 306 00:15:12,600 --> 00:15:15,640 Speaker 2: say the CEO of the English Premier League, Richard Master's 307 00:15:15,720 --> 00:15:16,560 Speaker 2: Richard and Monic. 308 00:15:16,360 --> 00:15:17,440 Speaker 5: Good morning, thank you for having me. 309 00:15:17,480 --> 00:15:19,240 Speaker 2: Welcome to the studio here in New York. It's going 310 00:15:19,280 --> 00:15:21,480 Speaker 2: to see you, sir, let's just talk about your involvement 311 00:15:21,520 --> 00:15:23,280 Speaker 2: in the sport. I think it's almost twenty years of 312 00:15:23,320 --> 00:15:26,440 Speaker 2: direct involvement with the Premier League. Are you surprised by 313 00:15:26,480 --> 00:15:28,920 Speaker 2: the amount of growth we've seen? Not in the UK, 314 00:15:29,120 --> 00:15:31,120 Speaker 2: forget all of that, the amount of growth we've seen 315 00:15:31,400 --> 00:15:33,000 Speaker 2: in America. 316 00:15:32,640 --> 00:15:35,320 Speaker 1: Twenty years next January at the Premier League seven years 317 00:15:35,320 --> 00:15:38,600 Speaker 1: a CEO in December, what's the Premier League gets? Get 318 00:15:38,600 --> 00:15:41,040 Speaker 1: bigger and bigger and bigger and out here in the 319 00:15:41,120 --> 00:15:44,840 Speaker 1: US we've got a fantastic broadcast relationship NBC. We've opened 320 00:15:44,840 --> 00:15:47,080 Speaker 1: offices here in New York. We're committed to grow in 321 00:15:47,120 --> 00:15:50,560 Speaker 1: the game. About thirty percent of the US population not 322 00:15:50,680 --> 00:15:53,400 Speaker 1: interested in soccer or football, and about two thirds of 323 00:15:53,440 --> 00:15:54,760 Speaker 1: those followed the Premier League. 324 00:15:54,800 --> 00:15:56,480 Speaker 5: And that's a brilliant foundation which to growth. 325 00:15:56,840 --> 00:15:59,560 Speaker 1: Reason we're out here with six of our teams playing 326 00:15:59,600 --> 00:16:02,640 Speaker 1: matches to give our fans a taste to the Premier League. 327 00:16:02,720 --> 00:16:04,360 Speaker 2: As a Britain New York I can tell you the 328 00:16:04,400 --> 00:16:07,720 Speaker 2: experience of NBC is amazing. I get to wake up 329 00:16:07,760 --> 00:16:09,880 Speaker 2: on a Saturday morning on a Sunday and I get 330 00:16:09,920 --> 00:16:13,560 Speaker 2: to watch absolutely everything. That's not the experience in the 331 00:16:13,640 --> 00:16:16,080 Speaker 2: UK with Sky. It's a very different experience. You only 332 00:16:16,080 --> 00:16:18,040 Speaker 2: get to watch so much. Why do we get to 333 00:16:18,040 --> 00:16:21,840 Speaker 2: see so much more through NBC than maybe fans in 334 00:16:21,880 --> 00:16:23,440 Speaker 2: the UK get to see at home. 335 00:16:23,960 --> 00:16:26,680 Speaker 1: Well, in the UK, the matches between two and five 336 00:16:26,680 --> 00:16:29,120 Speaker 1: o'clock on a Saturday afternoon, which is the traditional time 337 00:16:29,400 --> 00:16:32,200 Speaker 1: to go and watch football in the country, aren't broadcast. 338 00:16:32,320 --> 00:16:34,160 Speaker 5: So it's not just the Premier League. The FFL as 339 00:16:34,200 --> 00:16:35,080 Speaker 5: well aren't. 340 00:16:34,840 --> 00:16:36,720 Speaker 1: Broadcast, and that's part of the decision we've made. It's 341 00:16:36,760 --> 00:16:39,880 Speaker 1: long term commitment to what's called Article forty eight. But 342 00:16:39,920 --> 00:16:42,120 Speaker 1: anywhere else outside of the UK, it's all three hundred 343 00:16:42,160 --> 00:16:44,760 Speaker 1: and eighty games throughout the season you can watch. 344 00:16:45,000 --> 00:16:46,560 Speaker 5: And of course here in the US, as you. 345 00:16:46,520 --> 00:16:48,520 Speaker 1: Say, there are millions of people getting up on a 346 00:16:48,520 --> 00:16:51,280 Speaker 1: Saturday and Sunday morning watching their favorite team and you 347 00:16:51,280 --> 00:16:53,960 Speaker 1: can sit there from seven AMS or lunchtime watch the 348 00:16:54,080 --> 00:16:56,640 Speaker 1: entire thing if you want to, And that's a brilliant 349 00:16:56,640 --> 00:16:57,080 Speaker 1: thing for us. 350 00:16:57,280 --> 00:16:58,880 Speaker 4: Does it kind of hurt your soul to say soccer 351 00:16:58,880 --> 00:17:00,400 Speaker 4: instead of football at all? 352 00:17:00,560 --> 00:17:03,160 Speaker 1: I think they're interchangeable. When I grew up, I grew 353 00:17:03,200 --> 00:17:07,480 Speaker 1: up in the Midlands, I watched soccer Sunday on Star 354 00:17:07,640 --> 00:17:12,120 Speaker 1: soccer rather on a Sunday lunchtime, so it's interchangeable at this. 355 00:17:12,080 --> 00:17:15,879 Speaker 4: Point, though, does it dilute the pelayer's ability to really 356 00:17:16,080 --> 00:17:19,239 Speaker 4: commit to not only a team but a season if 357 00:17:19,280 --> 00:17:22,240 Speaker 4: they're playing at all times in all places and their 358 00:17:22,600 --> 00:17:24,680 Speaker 4: bodies have to be exhausted at a certain point. 359 00:17:24,720 --> 00:17:25,680 Speaker 5: Now that's true. 360 00:17:25,720 --> 00:17:27,560 Speaker 1: I mean there is a starter of players at the 361 00:17:27,560 --> 00:17:30,359 Speaker 1: top of the game who are playing a lot, and 362 00:17:30,400 --> 00:17:32,959 Speaker 1: it's a big issue within the game. The Premier League, obviously, 363 00:17:32,960 --> 00:17:35,280 Speaker 1: since ninety four, has been twenty clubs to in gen 364 00:17:35,320 --> 00:17:39,080 Speaker 1: eighty games August to May, but we've seen the gradual 365 00:17:39,119 --> 00:17:43,480 Speaker 1: expansion of European competitions and now global competitions as well. 366 00:17:43,680 --> 00:17:45,399 Speaker 5: Next summer, the US will host. 367 00:17:45,440 --> 00:17:48,520 Speaker 1: The World Cup first time forty eight teams, and of 368 00:17:48,560 --> 00:17:50,920 Speaker 1: course in the last summer we've seen the Club World Cup, 369 00:17:50,920 --> 00:17:54,520 Speaker 1: a brand new competition put into the calendar. And I 370 00:17:54,560 --> 00:17:56,800 Speaker 1: think that from my perspective, not just as CEO the 371 00:17:56,840 --> 00:17:59,119 Speaker 1: Premi League, but also my other role as chair of 372 00:17:59,160 --> 00:18:03,240 Speaker 1: the World League's Sociation, which is about representing domestic leagues 373 00:18:03,280 --> 00:18:05,639 Speaker 1: around the world, there has to be a big conversation 374 00:18:05,760 --> 00:18:08,640 Speaker 1: now about how you balance this out properly and make 375 00:18:08,680 --> 00:18:11,879 Speaker 1: sure that players are looked after and that these competitions 376 00:18:11,920 --> 00:18:15,359 Speaker 1: are additive and not subtractive from the competitions they bump into. 377 00:18:15,400 --> 00:18:17,640 Speaker 2: Well, it's have that conversation right now. I can speak 378 00:18:17,640 --> 00:18:20,000 Speaker 2: as a fan. I hate it. I don't want to 379 00:18:20,000 --> 00:18:22,960 Speaker 2: see an expanded FIFA Club World Cub. In fact, for 380 00:18:23,320 --> 00:18:25,560 Speaker 2: most fans of the English Premier League, we get annoyed 381 00:18:25,600 --> 00:18:27,600 Speaker 2: whenever there's an international break. We don't want to see 382 00:18:27,600 --> 00:18:29,680 Speaker 2: more tournaments. What we loved was just the cadence of 383 00:18:29,720 --> 00:18:31,639 Speaker 2: every two years you had a major tournament. The Euro's, 384 00:18:31,680 --> 00:18:34,320 Speaker 2: the World Cup, the Euro's the World Cub. Why have 385 00:18:34,400 --> 00:18:36,639 Speaker 2: we gotten away from there? And what's your message to 386 00:18:36,720 --> 00:18:39,520 Speaker 2: FIFA to UEFA, as in the minds of many fans 387 00:18:39,520 --> 00:18:41,879 Speaker 2: they just seem to be chasing money, the expense of 388 00:18:41,920 --> 00:18:43,760 Speaker 2: the game and maybe the player's health. 389 00:18:44,160 --> 00:18:45,800 Speaker 5: Well, the message is talk. 390 00:18:46,600 --> 00:18:49,679 Speaker 1: You know that there is actually strong dialogue between domestic 391 00:18:49,760 --> 00:18:53,600 Speaker 1: leagues in Europe and New AFA about competitions and that's 392 00:18:53,640 --> 00:18:57,320 Speaker 1: a coalition of stakeholders, clubs, leagues, club players as well 393 00:18:57,440 --> 00:19:00,119 Speaker 1: talking about it. That dialogue doesn't happen at all for 394 00:19:00,200 --> 00:19:02,520 Speaker 1: the game and it should do. So that's the key message. 395 00:19:02,560 --> 00:19:04,320 Speaker 1: Sit down and talk to the leaguees, talk to all 396 00:19:04,359 --> 00:19:06,760 Speaker 1: the stakeholders and find a way through all of this, 397 00:19:07,160 --> 00:19:10,240 Speaker 1: because it has a limit and I think we've gone 398 00:19:10,240 --> 00:19:13,240 Speaker 1: past it. We've gone past saturation point. My job, obviously 399 00:19:13,280 --> 00:19:16,480 Speaker 1: is to look after the Premier League, and we're going 400 00:19:16,480 --> 00:19:18,439 Speaker 1: great guns, thank you very much. And I want the 401 00:19:18,440 --> 00:19:21,280 Speaker 1: purity of that competition to remain. I want people to 402 00:19:21,320 --> 00:19:23,560 Speaker 1: be able to enjoy that, enjoy their football because I 403 00:19:23,560 --> 00:19:25,879 Speaker 1: want the best players on the pitch all the time 404 00:19:26,000 --> 00:19:28,720 Speaker 1: in the Premier League and not worrying about how to 405 00:19:28,760 --> 00:19:29,600 Speaker 1: balance everything out. 406 00:19:29,760 --> 00:19:31,760 Speaker 2: Let's talk about the purity of the game. It's a 407 00:19:31,800 --> 00:19:36,040 Speaker 2: polarizing topic and very controversial, as you know, Manchester City 408 00:19:36,040 --> 00:19:38,480 Speaker 2: in this number one hundred and fifteen the number of 409 00:19:38,600 --> 00:19:42,000 Speaker 2: charges for alleged breaches of financial regulations. What can you 410 00:19:42,040 --> 00:19:44,439 Speaker 2: share with us this morning about where things stand. 411 00:19:45,480 --> 00:19:47,320 Speaker 5: Nothing is the honest truth. 412 00:19:48,280 --> 00:19:50,480 Speaker 1: The case was heard last year and we wait for 413 00:19:50,560 --> 00:19:53,120 Speaker 1: the decision to be made. We can't hurry the people 414 00:19:53,119 --> 00:19:55,080 Speaker 1: whose job it is to make that decision, and it 415 00:19:55,080 --> 00:19:56,840 Speaker 1: will happen when it happens, and I don't know when 416 00:19:56,880 --> 00:19:59,440 Speaker 1: it's going to be. We'll find out with everybody else. 417 00:19:59,480 --> 00:20:01,640 Speaker 2: What's your se of why it's taking so long. 418 00:20:01,960 --> 00:20:04,320 Speaker 5: I don't know, and it's difficult for me to speculate. 419 00:20:04,359 --> 00:20:04,800 Speaker 5: I'm sorry. 420 00:20:04,880 --> 00:20:06,720 Speaker 2: It's just difficult for a lot of people in the 421 00:20:06,760 --> 00:20:08,960 Speaker 2: game who follow the game to see how quickly things 422 00:20:08,960 --> 00:20:11,760 Speaker 2: concluded with a club like Habitat and how long it's 423 00:20:11,760 --> 00:20:14,320 Speaker 2: taking with a club like Manchester City. And some people 424 00:20:14,359 --> 00:20:17,199 Speaker 2: can't help but conclude that maybe different clubs are being 425 00:20:17,240 --> 00:20:19,439 Speaker 2: treated differently because of these status they have in the 426 00:20:19,480 --> 00:20:20,200 Speaker 2: Premier League. 427 00:20:20,359 --> 00:20:20,760 Speaker 5: Yeah. 428 00:20:20,840 --> 00:20:23,840 Speaker 1: Well, I do want to sign of frustration and share 429 00:20:23,880 --> 00:20:26,760 Speaker 1: some of those but in the end, this process is 430 00:20:26,840 --> 00:20:27,359 Speaker 1: very different. 431 00:20:27,480 --> 00:20:29,840 Speaker 5: These allegations are very different. Makes it different too. 432 00:20:30,160 --> 00:20:34,800 Speaker 1: They just said that the charge themselves and the number 433 00:20:34,800 --> 00:20:36,359 Speaker 1: of them, but I can't really get into it. 434 00:20:36,600 --> 00:20:37,760 Speaker 5: I really can't talk about and you. 435 00:20:37,760 --> 00:20:39,520 Speaker 2: Can't get into the details. But do you think it's 436 00:20:39,560 --> 00:20:41,320 Speaker 2: hurting the reputation of the league? 437 00:20:41,520 --> 00:20:44,760 Speaker 1: Well, at the center of this is a football competition, 438 00:20:45,040 --> 00:20:47,920 Speaker 1: and I think people want to basically watch the football. 439 00:20:48,280 --> 00:20:49,560 Speaker 5: That's the main event. 440 00:20:50,240 --> 00:20:52,600 Speaker 1: And when you get dragged into whatever it may be, 441 00:20:54,040 --> 00:20:56,960 Speaker 1: financial affairs, I think people think that maybe there's something 442 00:20:57,000 --> 00:21:01,800 Speaker 1: going wrong here. I do accept all of that. The 443 00:21:01,840 --> 00:21:06,200 Speaker 1: competition remains strong, the economics, the primileague remain strong and fundamentally, 444 00:21:06,200 --> 00:21:07,600 Speaker 1: as long as we can put the best players on 445 00:21:07,640 --> 00:21:11,120 Speaker 1: the pitch and give people a fantastic competition, I think 446 00:21:11,119 --> 00:21:12,320 Speaker 1: we can get through this period. 447 00:21:13,000 --> 00:21:16,080 Speaker 4: I've been an outsider and I've been studying the rules 448 00:21:16,119 --> 00:21:18,560 Speaker 4: of the game and the sustainability rule that kind of 449 00:21:18,640 --> 00:21:22,000 Speaker 4: led to this investigation into Man's City and this idea 450 00:21:22,400 --> 00:21:25,160 Speaker 4: that a club has to bring in and just spend 451 00:21:25,200 --> 00:21:27,359 Speaker 4: the same amount of money that it brings in. Do 452 00:21:27,440 --> 00:21:31,720 Speaker 4: you think that that rule has become outdated or unenforceable 453 00:21:31,720 --> 00:21:33,240 Speaker 4: in any kind of real time way. 454 00:21:34,200 --> 00:21:35,000 Speaker 5: So, if you're talking. 455 00:21:34,880 --> 00:21:37,880 Speaker 1: About the financial regulations within football, our clubs are all 456 00:21:37,880 --> 00:21:40,879 Speaker 1: really subject to two sets of regulations, our own, the 457 00:21:40,920 --> 00:21:44,840 Speaker 1: profitable and sustainability rules and also u waifers rules, So 458 00:21:44,880 --> 00:21:47,479 Speaker 1: they're looking at two sets of financial rules to comply with. 459 00:21:47,880 --> 00:21:52,359 Speaker 1: And essentially in England our rules are there. It's a 460 00:21:52,400 --> 00:21:55,960 Speaker 1: spending rule really about profitability. So there is the ability 461 00:21:56,000 --> 00:21:58,280 Speaker 1: to invest and that's what we want our clubs to do. 462 00:21:58,320 --> 00:22:00,760 Speaker 1: We've got a fantastic set of owners that invest in 463 00:22:00,800 --> 00:22:03,960 Speaker 1: the stadiums, in fan experience and players on the pitch, 464 00:22:04,280 --> 00:22:06,520 Speaker 1: and that's what we want. Whatever, as I said, the 465 00:22:07,160 --> 00:22:09,280 Speaker 1: great set of owners that want to invest, and so 466 00:22:09,440 --> 00:22:12,040 Speaker 1: there has to be a limit ultimately to ensure they've 467 00:22:12,080 --> 00:22:14,200 Speaker 1: got a competitive league, which we do have. 468 00:22:14,720 --> 00:22:16,359 Speaker 5: So I think we're known as look at investing in 469 00:22:16,359 --> 00:22:16,960 Speaker 5: the Premier League. 470 00:22:17,119 --> 00:22:19,240 Speaker 1: They can see that you can aspire to do better 471 00:22:19,240 --> 00:22:22,399 Speaker 1: in the league and now seeing more clubs qualifying for 472 00:22:22,400 --> 00:22:25,919 Speaker 1: European competition. Our clubs are in incredibly successful in Europe 473 00:22:26,200 --> 00:22:28,240 Speaker 1: and that's all down to investment. So there has to 474 00:22:28,240 --> 00:22:30,399 Speaker 1: be a limit ultimately on what you can spend. Clubs 475 00:22:30,400 --> 00:22:33,160 Speaker 1: have all signed up to these rules and we are 476 00:22:33,240 --> 00:22:33,880 Speaker 1: enforcing them. 477 00:22:34,000 --> 00:22:36,879 Speaker 4: Well, how much does the Saudi League really kind of 478 00:22:37,359 --> 00:22:39,800 Speaker 4: I don't know, skew the financials of this in a 479 00:22:39,800 --> 00:22:42,639 Speaker 4: way that creates a sort of complicated dynamic. 480 00:22:43,960 --> 00:22:48,560 Speaker 1: Well, the Saudi League is an investment phase. Sally League's 481 00:22:48,560 --> 00:22:51,800 Speaker 1: been around for many decades and now we're seeing local 482 00:22:51,800 --> 00:22:54,719 Speaker 1: investment into that and they're becoming very active in the marketplace. 483 00:22:55,040 --> 00:22:57,600 Speaker 1: Sometimes that good for Premierley clubs. Some sids they take clubs, 484 00:22:57,800 --> 00:23:00,200 Speaker 1: take players that Premi leagu clubs want to sign. It's 485 00:23:00,200 --> 00:23:03,639 Speaker 1: just a new dynamic and we have to observe it 486 00:23:03,680 --> 00:23:04,840 Speaker 1: and we have to cope with it. 487 00:23:04,920 --> 00:23:07,040 Speaker 2: Richard, you'll be generous with your time. We appreciate it. 488 00:23:07,040 --> 00:23:08,720 Speaker 2: Thanks for dropping by, Thanks for having me, Thank you 489 00:23:08,840 --> 00:23:10,840 Speaker 2: very much for being here. Richard Masters there the English 490 00:23:10,880 --> 00:23:16,080 Speaker 2: Premier League CEO. This is the Bloomberg Surveillance podcast, bringing 491 00:23:16,160 --> 00:23:19,600 Speaker 2: you the best in markets, economics, and giot politics. You 492 00:23:19,640 --> 00:23:22,399 Speaker 2: can watch the show live on Bloomberg TV weekday mornings 493 00:23:22,440 --> 00:23:25,359 Speaker 2: from six am to nine am Eastern. Subscribe to the 494 00:23:25,400 --> 00:23:28,879 Speaker 2: podcast on Apple, Spotify or anywhere else you listen, and 495 00:23:28,960 --> 00:23:31,840 Speaker 2: as always on the Bloomberg Terminal and the Bloomberg Business 496 00:23:31,840 --> 00:23:32,000 Speaker 2: out