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Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into the Betting Pros College Football Show.

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Speaker 1: What's been perhaps the most unpredictable season to date rolls on,

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Speaker 1: which means we've got our Week seven early picks and

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Speaker 1: line movement predictions coming right at you.

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Speaker 2: I'm your host, Seth Wilcock, and.

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Speaker 1: I wish I had some positive remarks to make at

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Speaker 1: the top of the program here today, but after another

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Speaker 1: losing week for the betting card am I Penn State

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Speaker 1: and innee lines.

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Speaker 2: The kid is down bad right now.

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Speaker 1: But pulling up next to me is one of our

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Speaker 1: resident college football gambling experts here at Betting Pros, who

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Speaker 1: also had a team drop out of the AP rankings

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Speaker 1: after being the preseason number one ranked team. He's Scott

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Speaker 1: bet the Total Bogman Boggs. I wish we were back

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Speaker 1: under better circumstances, but great to see you. Nonetheless, how

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Speaker 1: are you as we wipe the slate clean here for

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Speaker 1: Week seven?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, you know, six and seven last week

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Speaker 3: on my picks, so I've sprayed the board a little

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Speaker 3: bit more than I typically do. We ended up one

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Speaker 3: game under, so just okay on the bats. But I

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Speaker 3: mean the real oppression was not only from losing the

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Speaker 3: game to Florida but looking like absolute trash for the

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Speaker 3: entire game. I mean, there were no positive takeaways for

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Speaker 3: the long orders in that game. And here comes Oklahoma

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Speaker 3: this week. So yeah, the college football we're playing to

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Speaker 3: win bets from now on. We're we're not aiming for Natty's.

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Speaker 3: It seems like a pretty impossible feat for our teams.

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Speaker 3: Not impossible, but highly unlikely that either one of our

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Speaker 3: teams is going to make the playoffs at this point.

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Speaker 3: So let's win some money, babe, let's go.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm with you there, man.

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Speaker 1: Like it's October sixth, and like the preseason AP rankings,

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Speaker 1: top five the odds currently to make the college football

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Speaker 1: playoff Texas plus two to thirty five, Penn State plus

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Speaker 1: six eighty, Ohio State minus thirty five hundred, Clemson not

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Speaker 1: even listed, and Georgia minus one eighty eight. So like,

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Speaker 1: I'm freaking real man, it's been a crazy season. But

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Speaker 1: we do trudge on here, and today's program does look

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Speaker 1: like this as well. We'll recap all the Week six action,

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Speaker 1: the betting risers, the betting followers, plus give you an

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Speaker 1: early handicap for the top ten games for Week seven

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Speaker 1: and as always, shout out to everyone who continues to

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Speaker 1: make us a part of their weekly rotation by tuning

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Speaker 1: in either on the Betting Pros YouTube channel or the

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Speaker 1: audio feed the easiest freeway support us. Give this video

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Speaker 1: a thumbs up if you enjoy this type of content,

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Speaker 1: and if you're new, make sure he subscribes you don't

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Speaker 1: miss a moment of CFB betting coverage this season. Also,

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Speaker 1: if you want a chance to score this sign at

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Speaker 1: Nick Chubb's Brown's Helmet for free couragey our friendsover at

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Speaker 1: Pristineauction dot com. All you need to do is head

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Speaker 1: to Bettingpros dot com slash contest, complete the form at

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Speaker 1: either a download that suite free Betting Pros app, be

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Speaker 1: leaver a review for the Betting Pros podcast, or see

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Speaker 1: subscribe to our social media handles. We're at Betting Pros

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Speaker 1: on x and TikTok and at Betting Pros NFL on Instagram.

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Speaker 1: The more actions you complete, the more entries you're gonna receive,

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Speaker 1: and we will be announcing a winner right here on

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Speaker 1: the channel, So make sure you ring the bell so

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Speaker 1: you could be alerted when new episodes are up and

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Speaker 1: to claim your prize if you are that lucky winner. Now,

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Speaker 1: let's go ahead and look back at a weekend of

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Speaker 1: college ball that some of us may never forget. Number

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Speaker 1: twelve Georgia covers for some against Kentucky thirty five fourteen.

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Speaker 1: Cincinnati holds off Iowa States comeback thirty eight to thirty.

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Speaker 1: Number twenty Michigan wins versus Wisconsin twenty four to ten.

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Speaker 1: Virginia the twenty fourth ranked team in the country. They

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Speaker 1: eke pass Louisville thirty to twenty seven.

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Speaker 2: Zero to four.

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Speaker 1: Ucla the upset Number seven Penn State forty two thirty seven.

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Speaker 1: No crowd there first time played Coler Jerry.

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Speaker 3: Even on the field. No didn't have enough people.

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Speaker 2: They tried, they tried. It was not a good look.

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Speaker 3: More cops than people.

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Speaker 2: It felt like absolutely.

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Speaker 1: Florida takes down Boggs's Number nine Texas longhorned twenty nine

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Speaker 1: to twenty one in the Swamp. Number ten Alabama heats

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Speaker 1: number sixteen Vanderbilt forty to fourteen. Number eleven Texas Tech.

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Speaker 1: They stay perfect thirty five eleven against Houston, Number six

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Speaker 1: Texas A and M They up in Mississippi State season

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Speaker 1: thirty one to nine. Number three Miami holds on twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty two over number eighteen Florida State and number one

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Speaker 1: Ohio State crushes Minnesota in the shoe forty two to three. Bogs,

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Speaker 1: Who are your betting risers and followers here?

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Speaker 2: In week number six this season?

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Speaker 3: Well, I mean, obviously Penn State had a rough one

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Speaker 3: going all the way across the country and dropping it

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Speaker 3: to this is to me, this just brings the legend

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Speaker 3: of Oregon up a little bit more, right. I feel

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Speaker 3: like we've talked about and you know, the national media

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Speaker 3: has made a big deal about the Oregon hangover that

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Speaker 3: a lot of teams have after playing Oregon. The next week,

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Speaker 3: they're still beat up and they get smoked. And that's

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Speaker 3: what happened in Penn State. Now, was it Oregon? Was

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Speaker 3: it traveling all the way across the country. Was it

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Speaker 3: just the fact that they kind of let Nico do

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Speaker 3: his own thing. I mean, Seth, I'm sure you have

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Speaker 3: been disgusted by this and you haven't really looked too

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Speaker 3: much into it. But I can't remember the head coach's

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Speaker 3: name now, but he was talking about how he didn't

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Speaker 3: even know how to press the button.

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Speaker 2: Like the first couple of plays, yep.

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Speaker 3: The first couple of plays didn't even get into oh

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Speaker 3: it was new isilcom plays. They didn't even get into Nico.

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Speaker 3: He had to make his own plays because he didn't

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Speaker 3: know which button to hit to call the play. Like

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Speaker 3: that's where we were at with UCLA and they somehow

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Speaker 3: win this game. So that one was ridiculous. I think

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Speaker 3: more of you know, trend down on Penn State, which

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Speaker 3: you can obviously this was a shocking loss, like you

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Speaker 3: know Texas loss. It wasn't shocking. Florida is a very

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Speaker 3: good team. This was surprising. I think I raised Ucla

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Speaker 3: a little bit more than I dumped Penn State. Obviously,

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Speaker 3: not a good look for Penn State. But if UCLA

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Speaker 3: can go and hang with them, I think they're turning

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Speaker 3: it around there now that the coaching stuff has changed,

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Speaker 3: so we at least have that. I mean for Ohio State,

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Speaker 3: just feels like they're sharpening their knives. So with all

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Speaker 3: these opponents right now, right like they haven't even looked

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Speaker 3: good until this week, I think they looked excellent right

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Speaker 3: holding Minnesota to three points, scoring forty two drives.

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Speaker 1: They give up any points. It feels like, man, once

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Speaker 1: you get off script, you cannot score on this Ohio

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Speaker 1: State defense.

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Speaker 2: Man, it is.

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Speaker 3: It is really ugly facing this Ohio State defense and

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Speaker 3: Miami you know for that as well, Like, you know,

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Speaker 3: I kind of thought, hey, FSU's at home, they're going

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Speaker 3: to have the crowd. This is as good as they've

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Speaker 3: been in a long time. And Miami just went in

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Speaker 3: and that defense looks unstoppable right now. So we're learning

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Speaker 3: a little bit more about these teams A and M.

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Speaker 3: Like whatever the defensive issues that A and M had

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Speaker 3: are gone right these last two home games, they have

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Speaker 3: been great. A little bit more on that later. I mean,

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Speaker 3: I expected Alabama to beat Vanderbilt. I just felt that

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Speaker 3: that was rife for some payback from last year, and

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Speaker 3: the whole public was on bandy like it just felt

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Speaker 3: like Bama was definitely gonna beat that spread, and they did.

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Speaker 3: Texas Tech looks like a national title contender. Since he

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Speaker 3: thirty eight to thirty is not what that score should

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Speaker 3: have been. It should have been about sixty to thirty,

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Speaker 3: so since you should have scored a lot more.

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Speaker 1: So.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, we're learning a lot about these teams,

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Speaker 3: and the deeper we get into conference play, the more

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Speaker 3: we're gonna learn and probably back off of having such

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Speaker 3: a big board that I had last week since it

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Speaker 3: didn't get me on the A and M in Mississippi

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Speaker 3: State was really bad. But yeah, I think we're learning

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Speaker 3: a lot here and the picture is, at least in

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Speaker 3: an unpredictable year, is coming a little clearer right now.

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Speaker 3: So I'm sure something will change this weekend. But I

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Speaker 3: think for a lot of these teams, we're kind of

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Speaker 3: finding out who they are.

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Speaker 1: Especially like you know, the power Force becoming clear, but

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Speaker 1: so are the G five contenders as well. Memphis makes

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Speaker 1: its way to twenty three in AP rankings this week.

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Speaker 1: They're six and zero coming out of the American South

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Speaker 1: Florida as well. From the American they're four and one.

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Speaker 1: They have a huge game against North Texas, which also

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Speaker 1: got a couple of receiving votes in this week's AP rankings,

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Speaker 1: so that's gonna be a huge defining battle for who's

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Speaker 1: gonna get that G five bid in the college football

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Speaker 1: playoff this year. And don't count out you and LV

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Speaker 1: as well. They're still getting some votes there too. Bogs

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Speaker 1: after right. Yeah, Yeah, so very very fun slate, even

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Speaker 1: though it didn't go our way. I will say, like,

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Speaker 1: my final takeaway is like, I'm not gonna fade air

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Speaker 1: Force again. That was kind of the play here, I

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Speaker 1: should I was originally like, I need to go with

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Speaker 1: my gut a little more. I was originally leaning to

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Speaker 1: go with the Navy team total over. I went with

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Speaker 1: a spread instead. Charrell talked me off that Cincinnati team total,

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Speaker 1: which would have hit in the first half.

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Speaker 2: So that was a bummer. But air Force, dude, I

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Speaker 2: was glued to.

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Speaker 1: This game in that noon hour bogs because they might

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Speaker 1: be the best one and four team in the country

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Speaker 1: along with UCLA, because they have this guy Leam Zarka,

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Speaker 1: who might the best future academy quarterback in the country.

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Speaker 1: Didn't start the season as the main guy there for

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Speaker 1: the Falcons, but he was just going back and forth

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Speaker 1: with Navy and everything they're thrown at him. So that

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Speaker 1: was a really fun game there.

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Speaker 3: I think air Force has been a good post game

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Speaker 3: win expectancy team, you know, one of those squads where

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Speaker 3: theoretically they should have won some of these games. But yeah,

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Speaker 3: schedule's tough.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean that's how it is. Though.

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Speaker 1: I mean we're seeing those and I'm sure we'll see

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Speaker 1: some more teams kind of towards the second half this

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Speaker 1: season that we're not even talking about currently. I mean

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Speaker 1: last year Arizona State, right like, this is kind of

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Speaker 1: right in the time where we started to really know, oh,

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Speaker 1: Cam scattab who might be a guy and lead this

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Speaker 1: team down the stretch, and he certainly did.

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Speaker 2: So.

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Speaker 1: We'll certainly talk more about the futures betting markets potentially

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Speaker 1: next week's show, Boggs.

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Speaker 2: Maybe we'll make some time at.

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Speaker 1: The beginning of the program to talk a little bit

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Speaker 1: more about futures markets. But let's fire things up here,

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Speaker 1: starting with an SEC Top twenty five matchup in the

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Speaker 1: noonslate where the number eight Alabama Crimson Tide there two

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Speaker 1: and a half to three and a half point road

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Speaker 1: favorites against the fourteenth Frank Misser Tigers. Bama comes off

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Speaker 1: their four straight cover and second straight Top twenty five

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Speaker 1: win over Vandy. Quarterback Tys Simpson, he's really made this

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Speaker 1: an elite passing offense. Their top five in the country

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Speaker 1: in passing yards per game. They have struggled to run

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Speaker 1: the ball, though, one hundred and fifth in rushing offense

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Speaker 1: and stop they'll run eighty eighth in rushing defense.

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Speaker 2: Mazoo. They're coming off the buy.

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Speaker 1: They're undefeated currently straight up three to two ats this

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Speaker 1: season and the one that got away from us here

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Speaker 1: in Happy Valley qb Bo Pabiola. He has this offense

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Speaker 1: cooking right now. Amaud Hardy is making his case to

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Speaker 1: be the Doke Walker Award winner as well. Third in

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Speaker 1: rushing in offense as a whole, he leads the country

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Speaker 1: in rushing, fiftieth in.

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Speaker 2: Passing offense for the Tigers.

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Speaker 1: The Tigers d also top ten against the pass and

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Speaker 1: first against the rush.

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Speaker 2: So buggs.

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Speaker 1: Bama won this game thirty four to zero in Tuscaloosa

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Speaker 1: last year, but I think we're all expecting, including the books,

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Speaker 1: a different result this go round.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, that was also the game. I think their quarterback

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Speaker 3: was hurt, right, that was a big They had a

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Speaker 3: lot of issues going on. Burden I think was banged

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Speaker 3: up as well, so like Missouri had a lot, But

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Speaker 3: this is a different Missouri team, and I think I

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Speaker 3: like Missou at home here. You know, they beat Kansas

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Speaker 3: and South Carolina, but those are pretty middle of the

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Speaker 3: pack so far. Alabama a little more battle tested obviously,

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Speaker 3: but the problem that makes me lean to staying away.

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Speaker 3: I'm gonna have a lean here. I don't think think

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Speaker 3: I have a play. So I would like to take

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Speaker 3: Alabama because they won that game last year. I think

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Speaker 3: they're kind of hitting their stride, especially coming off that

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Speaker 3: win against Georgia I think was very impressive here, and

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Speaker 3: you know, they went and dominated Vandy, so they're looking

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Speaker 3: more like Bama. But the games that they you know,

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Speaker 3: the game that they lost to FSU, they give up

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Speaker 3: two hundred and thirty on the ground. They gave up

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Speaker 3: two hundred and twenty seven to UGA a couple of

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Speaker 3: weeks ago. And that is what Missouri does well, is

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Speaker 3: they run the ball, control of the clocks. They've been

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Speaker 3: rushing the passer well as well. You know, a little

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Speaker 3: bit weaker of a schedule for me Missouri than Alabama,

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Speaker 3: but I think Missouri is a very good team and

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Speaker 3: they're at home. So I kind of like Missouri in

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Speaker 3: the spot here coming off of bye because they're at home.

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Speaker 3: But I think Bama might be gearing up to be

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Speaker 3: you know, their final form here, So this one is

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Speaker 3: tough for me. Yeah, I'm gonna lean towards Missouri. I

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Speaker 3: might have a more uh you know, hardened pick by

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Speaker 3: the time we talked to Terrell. But right now, it's

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Speaker 3: just gonna be a lean towards Missouri. And let's see

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Speaker 3: which way this line goes, because I think it's gonna

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Speaker 3: go towards Alabama. So if it expands a little bit,

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Speaker 3: the more the more it grows towards Bama, the more

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Speaker 3: I'm gonna like it for the Missouri side. So I'll

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Speaker 3: wait and see where the line goes.

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Speaker 1: I might offer like a team total here to be

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Speaker 1: honest with you, Bogs on the Missouri Tigers, just because

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Speaker 1: I don't know if Alabama can stop him light right,

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Speaker 1: like Tommy Castellanos ran all over the Spama defense, I

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Speaker 1: think with both bo and it's twenty four and a half, okay, yeah,

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Speaker 1: Like again, I'm gonna take twenty good number. Twenty three

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Speaker 1: and a half is a better number because I've I've

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Speaker 1: got I got screwed on the hook a couple weeks

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Speaker 1: ago Penn State against Oregon on that number, So I

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Speaker 1: would probably opt down to tease that down. But twenty

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Speaker 1: three and a half sounds very doable for the Tigers.

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Speaker 1: So that might be especially at home man, this orowdy environment,

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Speaker 1: and it's just gonna get better and better as the

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Speaker 1: season progresses. Here.

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Speaker 2: I miss you, bo I.

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Speaker 1: Miss my little boy, bo I miss over in Champagne.

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Speaker 1: We also have a top twenty five Big Ten matchup

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Speaker 1: with the top ranked Ohio State Buck Guys.

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Speaker 2: They're laying fourteen and.

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Speaker 1: A half to fifteen and a half points against the

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Speaker 1: seventeenth ranked Illinois fighting a lioni. Ohio State comes off

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Speaker 1: their fourth cover of the season, forty two to three

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Speaker 1: winning against Minnesota. Matt Patricia has this defense firing right now,

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Speaker 1: ranked number one in the country in scoring, allowing just

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Speaker 1: five points per game, their third and total defense as well.

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Speaker 1: And this is the slower paced offense that we're seeing

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Speaker 1: under Brian Hartline as compared to what Chip was running

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Speaker 1: last year, but it's efficient, ranking twenty eighth in total offense,

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Speaker 1: twenty second in scoring as well. Illinois, they're coming off

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Speaker 1: their fifth cover of the season, they won forty three

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Speaker 1: to twenty seven im Purdue. Aside from that Week four

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Speaker 1: wallap in Bloomington, like they're starting to put together a

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Speaker 1: pretty nice resume here fifteenth, toughest strength to schedule so far,

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Speaker 1: but they ranked ninety fifth in total offense, ninety third

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Speaker 1: in total defense, bogs. Do you think Luke Altmeyer and

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Speaker 1: company they have the goods here to keep this one closed?

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Speaker 1: And is there any chance that this line trinks up

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Speaker 1: under two touchdowns by kickoff?

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Speaker 3: I think it does, just because I don't think a

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Speaker 3: lot of people want to lay that many points. But

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Speaker 3: we also saw Illinois get massacred by Indiana earlier this year,

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Speaker 3: so this is kind of a weird one. The points

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Speaker 3: has already moved towards Illinois, but it hasn't quite gotten

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Speaker 3: where we see this game at BP, it's closer to

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Speaker 3: it's like right around eleven. So I think two touchdowns

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Speaker 3: might be a bit much, But I like the under here.

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Speaker 3: I just think that Ohio stated that defense has been unstoppable.

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Speaker 3: The pass blocking has been rough for the Iliini. It

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Speaker 3: is really bad against Indiana. And I think Illinois is

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Speaker 3: kind of a beet plus team right Like they're going

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Speaker 3: to beat almost every P four's school you put in

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Speaker 3: front of them, But once you get to that upper

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Speaker 3: echelon the top twenty the top fifteen, they're not in

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Speaker 3: those games, I think. And I think Indiana kind of

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Speaker 3: proved that. I think Ohio State is going to prove

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Speaker 3: it again. I don't think it's going to get away

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Speaker 3: from them quite as bad as Indiana did. Right specifically

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Speaker 3: because you know, Ohio State is looking better on offense,

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Speaker 3: but they're not quite in their stride. They look better

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Speaker 3: against Minnesota. Minnesota is really one sided on the offensive

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Speaker 3: side of the ball, though, so it allowed them to

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Speaker 3: hold the ball the whole game and all that. So

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Speaker 3: to me, I think I like the under in this game.

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Speaker 3: I like an under aliin it. Team total, I haven't

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Speaker 3: seen where it is yet, I can look it up

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Speaker 3: real quick, but yeah, I think I'm looking closer towards

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Speaker 3: unders instead of playing aside in this game, just because

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Speaker 3: that does kind of seem like a decent amount of points.

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Speaker 3: So team total right here for Illinois is sixteen and

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Speaker 3: a half, and I'm playing that under.

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Speaker 2: I'm with you, like, don't fix what isn't brogue?

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Speaker 1: Man, this is the one market I feel like we've

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Speaker 1: been pretty good at this year as a whole on

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Speaker 1: the show. Team totals and especially under in Ohio State games.

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Speaker 1: I mean, they're averaging allowing what six five points to

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Speaker 1: season bogs so and I would say they faced offenses

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Speaker 1: that are just as good, if not better than Illinois,

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Speaker 1: Like I would take probably Washington's offense right.

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Speaker 2: Next to Illinois, so like, yeah, yeah, the.

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Speaker 3: Strength of schedule is seventeenth, right, Illinois's got a good

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Speaker 3: strength to schedules nineteenh So, but I just think I

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Speaker 3: think Ohio State's defense is too good right now. Illinois

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Speaker 3: is not a slouch. They're you know, plus seven in

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Speaker 3: the turnover mark, we had one of the highest in

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Speaker 3: the nation. They don't get a lot of penalties thirty first,

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Speaker 3: but Ohio State's eleventh. I just think Ohio State they

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Speaker 3: have everything on this team except a very strong rushing offense.

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Speaker 3: That's like the one thing that's missing from them right now.

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Speaker 3: And they could get that by the end of the

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Speaker 3: year would not be surprising. So I just I have

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Speaker 3: no confidence in the Ili ni in this game. So

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Speaker 3: give me the under and I really like that team

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Speaker 3: total under for Illinois.

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Speaker 1: Okay, before we keep it moving, just a quick reminder

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Speaker 1: I like for tonight, paying out at plus two h

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Speaker 1: three odds. In Leg one, give me Logan Gilbert over

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00:17:56,359 --> 00:17:59,359
Speaker 1: six and a half strikeouts minus one ten. Logan Gilbert

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Speaker 1: has gone over this prop twice against the Tigers in

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Speaker 1: Next up, let's go to the Texas State Fairgrounds for

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Speaker 1: the Red River Rivalry game, kicking off at three thirty

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Speaker 1: pm Eastern Time. The number six Oklahoma Sooners they're not

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Speaker 1: catching two and a half to three points against the

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Speaker 1: unranked Texas Longhorns. Oh Use triggerman John Mattier expected to

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Speaker 1: be sidelined for this game, leaving sophomore Michael Hawkins, junior

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Speaker 1: back under center, coming off a three touchdown performance against

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Speaker 1: Kent State. And even if this fifty fifth ranked total

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Speaker 1: defense is a slightly nerf here, I think the Sooners

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Speaker 1: still have a really good defensive unit. Their top overall

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Speaker 1: ranked in the total defensive metrics and second in total

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Speaker 1: scoring defense as well. Texas meanwhile, they are three and

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Speaker 1: two after a game against Florida and they were out

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Speaker 1: gained four hundred and fifty seven to three hundred and

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Speaker 1: forty one. In that game, they took six total sacks

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Speaker 1: against a Florida team that only had three sacks coming

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Speaker 1: into that one.

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Speaker 2: The long horns thirteenth.

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Speaker 1: Ranked total defense was exposed as well, allowing Florida's offense

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Speaker 1: to I would say Boggs look the best it has

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Speaker 1: all season playing against FPS opponents, and arch Manning once

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Speaker 1: again very very underwhelming.

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Speaker 2: Both through the air and on the ground.

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Speaker 1: So Bogman, is this a spot maybe we can get

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Speaker 1: back invested with Texas or is it a hands off

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Speaker 1: approach because it has been such a back and forth rivalry.

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Speaker 2: And do you think this spread might tighten up even

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Speaker 2: throughout the week.

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Speaker 3: I don't really care where the spread goes, you can't

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Speaker 3: take Texas right now, You just can't. I don't think

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Speaker 3: you can take Oklahoma with at my teer, though, can you.

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Speaker 3: That's fine, Let's go with the under forty two and

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Speaker 3: a half. I have never seen a more clear seventeen

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Speaker 3: to seven game. Then what is looking at me right here?

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Speaker 3: This Oklahoma defense has been outstanding all year. One of

436
00:20:39,880 --> 00:20:43,159
Speaker 3: the best in the country. I mean statistically first in

437
00:20:43,560 --> 00:20:47,120
Speaker 3: a lot right so first in total defense, second, pass

438
00:20:47,160 --> 00:20:50,199
Speaker 3: defense fifth, and rush defense plus two on the turnover

439
00:20:50,240 --> 00:20:54,520
Speaker 3: margin even with offensive mistakes, so very very strong defense.

440
00:20:54,560 --> 00:20:57,160
Speaker 3: Texas defense has been strong as well. They clearly were

441
00:20:57,200 --> 00:20:59,680
Speaker 3: not ready for Florida to come out and sling the

442
00:20:59,720 --> 00:21:02,520
Speaker 3: ball on the field. And Dallas Wilson looks like an

443
00:21:02,560 --> 00:21:07,359
Speaker 3: amazing impact freshman for the Gators, but Oklahoma doesn't have that.

444
00:21:07,400 --> 00:21:09,440
Speaker 3: They have a good receiving cores and I think Hawkins

445
00:21:09,480 --> 00:21:11,760
Speaker 3: is better than he was last year. But Hawkins was

446
00:21:11,920 --> 00:21:15,000
Speaker 3: embarrassing against the Longhorns in this game last year. This

447
00:21:15,240 --> 00:21:19,560
Speaker 3: was a very very quick smashing.

448
00:21:19,480 --> 00:21:20,680
Speaker 2: Of the Sooner thirty five.

449
00:21:22,480 --> 00:21:25,320
Speaker 3: I have never been more comfortable in a Red River

450
00:21:25,400 --> 00:21:27,800
Speaker 3: shootout than I was last year watching this game, I

451
00:21:27,840 --> 00:21:29,800
Speaker 3: don't expect that at all. I think this is going

452
00:21:29,840 --> 00:21:33,680
Speaker 3: to be a gross field goal game where it comes

453
00:21:33,680 --> 00:21:36,040
Speaker 3: down to who holds the ball a lot, which is

454
00:21:36,160 --> 00:21:39,920
Speaker 3: usually not the case. Usually this is a big twelve shootout, right,

455
00:21:40,359 --> 00:21:42,680
Speaker 3: But now that these teams are in the SEC playing defense,

456
00:21:43,280 --> 00:21:45,400
Speaker 3: I'm pretty sure Arch is playing hurt. I think it's

457
00:21:45,400 --> 00:21:48,320
Speaker 3: been pretty clear since he's been grimacing week two with

458
00:21:48,400 --> 00:21:51,440
Speaker 3: the shoulder thing. I think that's obvious at this point.

459
00:21:51,520 --> 00:21:53,600
Speaker 3: It starked out real defensive when they asked him about it,

460
00:21:53,600 --> 00:21:56,120
Speaker 3: when he grimaced a couple weeks ago two. I think

461
00:21:56,160 --> 00:22:00,000
Speaker 3: that's just like you're playing right into it. It's pretty obvious.

462
00:22:00,080 --> 00:22:04,640
Speaker 3: And with Matier being down though, ou offense is just different. Yes,

463
00:22:04,720 --> 00:22:08,800
Speaker 3: they look great against Kent, but that's Kent, so yeah.

464
00:22:09,000 --> 00:22:12,280
Speaker 3: I mean the Sooners they held Auburn in Michigan under

465
00:22:12,280 --> 00:22:15,479
Speaker 3: three hundred yards of offense, and even last week against

466
00:22:15,560 --> 00:22:19,760
Speaker 3: Kent State, Hawkins was fifty percent in completion percentage. That's

467
00:22:19,760 --> 00:22:21,960
Speaker 3: not great against Kent State, one of the worst teams

468
00:22:21,960 --> 00:22:25,840
Speaker 3: in the FBS. So yeah, under on this total, I

469
00:22:25,920 --> 00:22:27,840
Speaker 3: just don't think this is going to come anywhere close

470
00:22:27,880 --> 00:22:30,640
Speaker 3: to this. I think this is a like if even

471
00:22:30,640 --> 00:22:32,720
Speaker 3: if it's a lopsided game. I think it's twenty eight

472
00:22:32,760 --> 00:22:35,720
Speaker 3: to three lopsided game, you know what I mean? So

473
00:22:36,280 --> 00:22:37,879
Speaker 3: I just do not. I don't know how we can

474
00:22:37,880 --> 00:22:39,160
Speaker 3: trust e their offense right now?

475
00:22:39,560 --> 00:22:41,640
Speaker 2: Man, I miss I miss money line with Tier.

476
00:22:41,960 --> 00:22:43,840
Speaker 1: We need him back because because that would be the

477
00:22:43,840 --> 00:22:45,639
Speaker 1: play here, right if he was in this I would

478
00:22:45,720 --> 00:22:48,600
Speaker 1: I would absolutely be betting for the Sooners here on

479
00:22:48,640 --> 00:22:50,760
Speaker 1: the money. I mean they probably be favored though, right

480
00:22:50,880 --> 00:22:51,879
Speaker 1: Matier is up for this one.

481
00:22:51,920 --> 00:22:53,800
Speaker 3: I bet so they be favored by a touchdown.

482
00:22:54,480 --> 00:22:56,000
Speaker 1: If you think on a ten point swing, do you

483
00:22:56,040 --> 00:22:57,240
Speaker 1: think he's worth ten points?

484
00:22:57,440 --> 00:23:00,000
Speaker 3: I do? Yeah, Like, I don't know why Texas is

485
00:23:00,160 --> 00:23:03,000
Speaker 3: What has Texas shown you this year at all to

486
00:23:03,080 --> 00:23:04,800
Speaker 3: say that they should be favored in this game. They're

487
00:23:04,800 --> 00:23:08,080
Speaker 3: good against Sam Houston, who cares Oklahoma was gonna get

488
00:23:08,160 --> 00:23:12,000
Speaker 3: Kent against Kent State, who cares Like I just these

489
00:23:12,040 --> 00:23:14,440
Speaker 3: offenses are both pathetic right now, and the defense is

490
00:23:14,480 --> 00:23:17,560
Speaker 3: just still pretty good. Even though Texas played terrible this week.

491
00:23:17,680 --> 00:23:19,800
Speaker 3: They We're not expecting Lagway to go and throw the

492
00:23:19,800 --> 00:23:21,720
Speaker 3: ball down the field that much. I have a much

493
00:23:21,720 --> 00:23:25,040
Speaker 3: better game plan against Oklahoma way more familiar rival, and

494
00:23:25,080 --> 00:23:27,040
Speaker 3: they're not gonna do anything tricky. They're not coming off

495
00:23:27,080 --> 00:23:29,480
Speaker 3: of bye week, so you know, maybe they get some

496
00:23:29,480 --> 00:23:31,160
Speaker 3: tricky stuff in there, but I don't think it's gonna

497
00:23:31,160 --> 00:23:33,480
Speaker 3: be as embarrassing as they looked against Florida. I just

498
00:23:33,520 --> 00:23:38,320
Speaker 3: don't think Hawkins has Lagway's skill so healthy, Lagway's pretty good.

499
00:23:38,560 --> 00:23:41,199
Speaker 3: Broken Lagway no good at all. We know that. So

500
00:23:41,680 --> 00:23:44,200
Speaker 3: I just no points in this game. Take the under.

501
00:23:45,000 --> 00:23:48,440
Speaker 1: Another banger in the late afternoon, Slate comes by way

502
00:23:48,480 --> 00:23:51,240
Speaker 1: of a Top ten Big Ten matchup between the number

503
00:23:51,320 --> 00:23:55,840
Speaker 1: seven Indiana Hoosiers and the number three Oregon Ducks. IU

504
00:23:55,960 --> 00:23:58,800
Speaker 1: comes off to buy and right now they sit three

505
00:23:58,800 --> 00:24:03,159
Speaker 1: and two ATS undefeated straight up. The sig Signetti smoke

506
00:24:03,359 --> 00:24:06,480
Speaker 1: is still rolling strong out there in Bloomington. The Hoosiers

507
00:24:06,520 --> 00:24:09,800
Speaker 1: currently ranked fifth in total offense, fifth in total defense.

508
00:24:10,080 --> 00:24:13,600
Speaker 1: Quarterback heights been hopeful Fernando Mendoza. He leads the Big

509
00:24:13,640 --> 00:24:16,480
Speaker 1: Ten in passing touchdowns with sixteen, and he has two

510
00:24:16,520 --> 00:24:20,160
Speaker 1: wide receivers, Elijah Serrat and Omar Cooper Junior, who are

511
00:24:20,160 --> 00:24:23,399
Speaker 1: tied for the conference lead with six receiving touchdowns apiece.

512
00:24:23,720 --> 00:24:26,760
Speaker 1: Oregan also comes in off the by following a white

513
00:24:26,760 --> 00:24:30,320
Speaker 1: out overtime victory in Happy Valley. They two have a

514
00:24:30,440 --> 00:24:33,840
Speaker 1: ninth ranked total offense and the seventh ranked total defense

515
00:24:33,880 --> 00:24:36,920
Speaker 1: in the country, giving them the fourth cover of their

516
00:24:36,960 --> 00:24:40,520
Speaker 1: season coming in as well. After that Penn State game, bugs,

517
00:24:40,520 --> 00:24:42,600
Speaker 1: do you have a play here? And is there any

518
00:24:42,640 --> 00:24:45,840
Speaker 1: early line value out there? With Ayu catching between seven

519
00:24:45,840 --> 00:24:47,959
Speaker 1: and a half and eight and a half points depending

520
00:24:47,960 --> 00:24:48,879
Speaker 1: where you're looking.

521
00:24:49,280 --> 00:24:51,720
Speaker 3: I don't see it, right, Like, I think this line

522
00:24:51,800 --> 00:24:53,960
Speaker 3: is pretty good. I think this is right where it

523
00:24:54,000 --> 00:24:56,400
Speaker 3: should be. But I don't know how you can bet

524
00:24:56,440 --> 00:24:59,520
Speaker 3: against Oregan right now. Like Indiana is amazing, and I

525
00:24:59,520 --> 00:25:02,240
Speaker 3: think they're a very good team, and in roster strength,

526
00:25:03,320 --> 00:25:05,080
Speaker 3: I mean, they might actually be a little bit better

527
00:25:05,080 --> 00:25:10,200
Speaker 3: than Oregon. Surprisingly, but throughout the too deep in all

528
00:25:10,240 --> 00:25:13,640
Speaker 3: of that, it's I think we're it's Oregon, and Oregon

529
00:25:13,680 --> 00:25:16,520
Speaker 3: has been beating people so bad that we've invented this

530
00:25:16,560 --> 00:25:20,760
Speaker 3: Oregon hangover, right, Like Penn State did give Oregon a

531
00:25:20,760 --> 00:25:24,240
Speaker 3: good game, So maybe I'm overblowing the difference in these

532
00:25:24,280 --> 00:25:28,439
Speaker 3: teams here, But I just don't think like we just

533
00:25:28,520 --> 00:25:32,120
Speaker 3: neither one of these teams have really been greatly tested.

534
00:25:32,280 --> 00:25:34,560
Speaker 3: I guess Oregon, I mean, because how good do we

535
00:25:34,600 --> 00:25:35,600
Speaker 3: think Penn State is now?

536
00:25:36,080 --> 00:25:39,560
Speaker 1: Right, They're definitely still a top twenty five team, but like,

537
00:25:40,160 --> 00:25:41,000
Speaker 1: how good are.

538
00:25:40,800 --> 00:25:43,159
Speaker 3: They closer to Clemson? Are they closer to Oregon? The

539
00:25:43,280 --> 00:25:46,160
Speaker 3: same thing with Texas. Yeah, I want to be defensive

540
00:25:46,200 --> 00:25:48,119
Speaker 3: about Texas too, but what they've shown us on the

541
00:25:48,119 --> 00:25:49,240
Speaker 3: field is they're not that good.

542
00:25:49,560 --> 00:25:49,800
Speaker 2: Right.

543
00:25:50,200 --> 00:25:53,920
Speaker 3: So Indiana's a very good team. I don't see them

544
00:25:54,000 --> 00:25:58,560
Speaker 3: going on the road to Oregon and playing their best game.

545
00:25:58,800 --> 00:26:02,160
Speaker 3: Can they play a winning game? They can? Yes, they can.

546
00:26:02,240 --> 00:26:04,040
Speaker 3: They're a great team. They're a good squad, and they're

547
00:26:04,160 --> 00:26:07,000
Speaker 3: very fundamentally sound. Right. Not a lot of misses, but

548
00:26:07,040 --> 00:26:10,200
Speaker 3: there's more. There been more misses this year than there

549
00:26:10,600 --> 00:26:14,160
Speaker 3: was last year. So I think I'm gonna take orgon here.

550
00:26:14,200 --> 00:26:16,320
Speaker 3: But I will not be betting my money. I will

551
00:26:16,359 --> 00:26:18,879
Speaker 3: not be betting your money or anybody else's money on

552
00:26:18,920 --> 00:26:20,720
Speaker 3: this game. This is one I just want to watch

553
00:26:20,800 --> 00:26:23,320
Speaker 3: and see what happens. Maybe I pick a player prop

554
00:26:23,640 --> 00:26:25,800
Speaker 3: in this one, but this one is too close for

555
00:26:25,840 --> 00:26:28,080
Speaker 3: me to like. Maybe if it gets below a touchdown,

556
00:26:28,480 --> 00:26:31,159
Speaker 3: I want Oregon, but it's it keeps I feel like

557
00:26:31,200 --> 00:26:33,840
Speaker 3: it's going to expand towards Oregon. If anything, I think

558
00:26:33,840 --> 00:26:35,119
Speaker 3: it's going to go eight and a half or nine

559
00:26:35,160 --> 00:26:37,960
Speaker 3: and a half. We do have a massive split in

560
00:26:38,040 --> 00:26:42,000
Speaker 3: tickets and cash. The tickets not overwhelmingly, they're well over

561
00:26:42,040 --> 00:26:48,080
Speaker 3: fifty percent on Indiana. The cash is overwhelmingly on the

562
00:26:48,119 --> 00:26:51,960
Speaker 3: Oregon side. So there must be just a couple massive

563
00:26:52,040 --> 00:26:55,720
Speaker 3: bets on Oregon so far, and I think that's where

564
00:26:55,720 --> 00:26:56,600
Speaker 3: I would lean as well.

565
00:26:57,320 --> 00:26:59,879
Speaker 1: Man, I'm just impressed with what Dan Lann continues to

566
00:26:59,880 --> 00:27:03,040
Speaker 1: do because the depth of this program goes beyond the

567
00:27:03,080 --> 00:27:06,080
Speaker 1: quarterback position, right I mean, everyone knew switching from Dylan

568
00:27:06,119 --> 00:27:09,359
Speaker 1: Gabriel this season as he approaches his NFL career to

569
00:27:09,480 --> 00:27:12,080
Speaker 1: Dante Moore could potentially bring a couple of hiccups. It

570
00:27:12,080 --> 00:27:15,119
Speaker 1: really hasn't. They also then lose Evan Stewart in the offseason.

571
00:27:15,160 --> 00:27:15,960
Speaker 2: It doesn't matter.

572
00:27:16,280 --> 00:27:18,960
Speaker 1: Gary Bryant Junior has been awesome, Kenny and Sadik is

573
00:27:18,960 --> 00:27:21,040
Speaker 1: the best tight end in college football right now. I

574
00:27:21,040 --> 00:27:23,600
Speaker 1: think too, and like so much to the fact where

575
00:27:23,920 --> 00:27:26,680
Speaker 1: everyone coming in, like we all thought Makay Hughes transferring

576
00:27:26,680 --> 00:27:29,480
Speaker 1: in from Tulane was just gonna take over this backfield.

577
00:27:29,960 --> 00:27:32,040
Speaker 1: Word is that he's making a business decision. He's not

578
00:27:32,040 --> 00:27:34,960
Speaker 1: gonna be on the field here pretty soon. He's red shirting.

579
00:27:35,040 --> 00:27:38,000
Speaker 1: So and it doesn't matter. They got Whittington, They got

580
00:27:38,000 --> 00:27:40,000
Speaker 1: people in the backfield that can get it done.

581
00:27:40,080 --> 00:27:42,920
Speaker 2: So I mean, dude, they're.

582
00:27:42,720 --> 00:27:46,240
Speaker 3: Just they keep finding, you know, gems underneath the next

583
00:27:46,320 --> 00:27:49,280
Speaker 3: gem and all that. But I think I think the

584
00:27:49,359 --> 00:27:51,720
Speaker 3: main thing why like Oregon here is because they're gonna

585
00:27:51,720 --> 00:27:53,760
Speaker 3: be able to get Indiana out of what then. Typically

586
00:27:53,760 --> 00:27:56,560
Speaker 3: do Indiana likes to dominate time and possession. They like

587
00:27:56,600 --> 00:28:00,119
Speaker 3: to drag the ball around and hold the ball and

588
00:28:00,359 --> 00:28:02,080
Speaker 3: bleed the clock. You're not gonna be able to do

589
00:28:02,119 --> 00:28:05,800
Speaker 3: that against Oregon, so I think Oregon throws them off

590
00:28:05,800 --> 00:28:09,320
Speaker 3: their game enough to do that. You know, Indiana plays

591
00:28:09,320 --> 00:28:12,239
Speaker 3: at the one hundred and tenth pace, Oregon plays at

592
00:28:12,240 --> 00:28:16,720
Speaker 3: the eighty fifth pace. So if by some stretch Indiana

593
00:28:16,840 --> 00:28:19,160
Speaker 3: can dominate time and possession, they can win this game.

594
00:28:19,480 --> 00:28:23,240
Speaker 3: I just don't see how. I don't see anybody dominating

595
00:28:23,280 --> 00:28:26,439
Speaker 3: time in possession against Oregon unless Oregon is scoring so

596
00:28:26,680 --> 00:28:29,040
Speaker 3: fast that that other team has to all the ball longer.

597
00:28:29,080 --> 00:28:29,800
Speaker 3: That's the only way.

598
00:28:30,119 --> 00:28:32,159
Speaker 2: This is one of those games I can't wait to watch.

599
00:28:32,440 --> 00:28:34,440
Speaker 1: I don't think i'll get action down on it, though,

600
00:28:34,680 --> 00:28:36,920
Speaker 1: I think, yeah, that's probably the truth for that one.

601
00:28:37,359 --> 00:28:39,200
Speaker 1: Let's go ahead and pop off the top of the

602
00:28:39,240 --> 00:28:41,880
Speaker 1: primetime slate where we have the Florida Gators traveling to

603
00:28:41,920 --> 00:28:45,160
Speaker 1: College Station as seven and a half point dogs. Florida

604
00:28:45,200 --> 00:28:47,800
Speaker 1: coming off that big win in the Swamp over Texas,

605
00:28:47,960 --> 00:28:50,880
Speaker 1: getting them back to two and three ats this season.

606
00:28:51,160 --> 00:28:54,520
Speaker 1: The Gators offense looked explosive for once that return of

607
00:28:54,600 --> 00:28:55,880
Speaker 1: Dallas Wilson was legit.

608
00:28:56,200 --> 00:28:57,440
Speaker 2: Jane Baugh went over one.

609
00:28:57,360 --> 00:28:59,440
Speaker 1: Hundred yards for the first time on the ground in

610
00:28:59,480 --> 00:29:02,560
Speaker 1: quite some time as well. Florida does remain ninety fourth

611
00:29:02,560 --> 00:29:05,280
Speaker 1: in total offense but twenty fourth in total defense, and

612
00:29:05,320 --> 00:29:08,400
Speaker 1: they have had the six toughest schedule in the country

613
00:29:08,440 --> 00:29:09,400
Speaker 1: so far this season.

614
00:29:09,680 --> 00:29:10,120
Speaker 2: A and M.

615
00:29:10,160 --> 00:29:12,760
Speaker 1: They're coming off that thirty one to nine victory over

616
00:29:12,800 --> 00:29:15,960
Speaker 1: Mississippi State. They're covering for just the second time this

617
00:29:16,040 --> 00:29:19,160
Speaker 1: season as well. Mike Elko's team is top twenty five

618
00:29:19,200 --> 00:29:21,280
Speaker 1: in both total defense and total offense.

619
00:29:21,840 --> 00:29:22,240
Speaker 2: Bogs.

620
00:29:22,280 --> 00:29:24,840
Speaker 1: Do the Aggies keep things rolling here against the Florida

621
00:29:24,840 --> 00:29:27,560
Speaker 1: team they beat thirty three to twenty last year in

622
00:29:27,640 --> 00:29:29,600
Speaker 1: the Swamp and any thoughts on where we see this

623
00:29:29,680 --> 00:29:30,360
Speaker 1: line move.

624
00:29:30,800 --> 00:29:33,520
Speaker 3: Man I can't pick against the Aggies again. Man, I've

625
00:29:33,560 --> 00:29:35,760
Speaker 3: done it two weeks in a row and it's been

626
00:29:36,000 --> 00:29:38,920
Speaker 3: losing me money. So I don't think I can pick

627
00:29:38,960 --> 00:29:42,680
Speaker 3: against them. I think if this moves, I would assume

628
00:29:42,720 --> 00:29:48,240
Speaker 3: it moves towards Florida, right, Like, you know, Florida finally

629
00:29:48,360 --> 00:29:51,520
Speaker 3: is impressive. A lot of people wanted to like Florida

630
00:29:51,520 --> 00:29:54,280
Speaker 3: coming into this year. Right, they were a very big

631
00:29:54,400 --> 00:29:59,120
Speaker 3: sleeper national title contender because lagway in this incoming freshman class.

632
00:29:59,160 --> 00:30:01,960
Speaker 3: And then lag plays like garbage and the incoming freshman

633
00:30:02,000 --> 00:30:05,360
Speaker 3: class is hurt. Right, So like, I think a lot

634
00:30:05,400 --> 00:30:07,400
Speaker 3: of people want to buy Florida. So I think maybe

635
00:30:07,440 --> 00:30:10,840
Speaker 3: we get some bandwagons on Florida for this game. But

636
00:30:11,960 --> 00:30:14,680
Speaker 3: like I was saying before, I think WHATEVER and M's

637
00:30:14,680 --> 00:30:18,280
Speaker 3: problem was on defense against Notre Dame. They fixed right Auburn,

638
00:30:18,320 --> 00:30:20,160
Speaker 3: they held the ten points and one hundred and seventy

639
00:30:20,200 --> 00:30:22,240
Speaker 3: seven yards. They are Mississippi State to two hundred and

640
00:30:22,280 --> 00:30:25,200
Speaker 3: nineteen yards and nine points. Maybe they fixed it. Maybe

641
00:30:25,240 --> 00:30:28,120
Speaker 3: it's home field advantage. I don't really care because A

642
00:30:28,160 --> 00:30:31,040
Speaker 3: and M's at home in this game. So I think

643
00:30:31,080 --> 00:30:33,920
Speaker 3: I gotta take the Aggies in this one. You know

644
00:30:34,000 --> 00:30:36,360
Speaker 3: Florida looked different. They look better on offense, but they

645
00:30:36,360 --> 00:30:39,240
Speaker 3: had two weeks for prepare. Dallas Wilson was a surprise

646
00:30:39,280 --> 00:30:41,760
Speaker 3: and he was really good and should be continue to

647
00:30:41,800 --> 00:30:43,760
Speaker 3: be a great asset in a field structure for them.

648
00:30:44,360 --> 00:30:48,920
Speaker 3: This isn't my favorite game this week, but in specifically

649
00:30:48,960 --> 00:30:51,160
Speaker 3: because I've been so wrong about a M and A

650
00:30:51,200 --> 00:30:54,320
Speaker 3: and M is still like their second They're the second

651
00:30:54,320 --> 00:30:55,960
Speaker 3: worst team in penalties in the country.

652
00:30:56,000 --> 00:30:59,080
Speaker 1: Right, Yeah, They're undisciplined as all get out, man.

653
00:30:59,280 --> 00:31:04,200
Speaker 3: Right, So like there are actenuating circumstances that keep Florida

654
00:31:04,200 --> 00:31:06,520
Speaker 3: in this game, specifically, if the offense is better than

655
00:31:06,880 --> 00:31:09,480
Speaker 3: I am going to give them credit for against this

656
00:31:09,520 --> 00:31:12,760
Speaker 3: A and M defense. But I just can't bet against

657
00:31:12,800 --> 00:31:14,800
Speaker 3: the Aggies right now. I've done it two weeks in roads,

658
00:31:14,840 --> 00:31:16,240
Speaker 3: lost my money two weeks in a row. I'm not

659
00:31:16,240 --> 00:31:18,320
Speaker 3: done it again. So give me the Aggies.

660
00:31:18,800 --> 00:31:19,040
Speaker 2: Lean.

661
00:31:19,960 --> 00:31:22,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think I'm with you leaning there, but probably

662
00:31:22,480 --> 00:31:25,040
Speaker 1: another opportunity that I'm not going to get invested with,

663
00:31:25,200 --> 00:31:28,240
Speaker 1: just because I think there are future days to fade

664
00:31:28,280 --> 00:31:31,320
Speaker 1: this Texas A and M team. They're at Arkansas next week,

665
00:31:31,520 --> 00:31:33,880
Speaker 1: then they're going to LSU. They're off a week and

666
00:31:33,920 --> 00:31:36,520
Speaker 1: then they're going to Missouri. I think LSU and Ama

667
00:31:36,640 --> 00:31:39,480
Speaker 1: Zoo are both opportunities on the road we fade them.

668
00:31:39,920 --> 00:31:42,600
Speaker 1: I just don't want to fade them here in Kyle Field.

669
00:31:42,600 --> 00:31:46,200
Speaker 1: I mean, besides, you know the swamp and well well

670
00:31:46,280 --> 00:31:47,720
Speaker 1: used to I used to think was a good, good

671
00:31:47,720 --> 00:31:50,000
Speaker 1: place to play up in Beaver Stadium. There aren't maybe

672
00:31:50,040 --> 00:31:53,960
Speaker 1: many crazier places to play than Kyle. So yeah, looking

673
00:31:53,960 --> 00:31:56,040
Speaker 1: forward to that one. Don't think I will be invested.

674
00:31:56,120 --> 00:31:59,160
Speaker 1: But also in the seven thirty slate, we have the

675
00:31:59,280 --> 00:32:01,960
Speaker 1: number fifteen Michigan Wolverines. They're catching two and a half

676
00:32:02,000 --> 00:32:05,880
Speaker 1: points against the USC Trojans in Los Angeles, Michigan. They've

677
00:32:05,920 --> 00:32:09,080
Speaker 1: remained two to three ats this season after failing to

678
00:32:09,120 --> 00:32:12,160
Speaker 1: cover in a twenty four to ten win against Wisconsin

679
00:32:12,240 --> 00:32:14,560
Speaker 1: last week. And stop me if you've heard this before,

680
00:32:14,600 --> 00:32:18,320
Speaker 1: but the Wolverines their fifteenth in rushing offense. They're also

681
00:32:18,520 --> 00:32:22,000
Speaker 1: outside the top ninety in the nation in passing offense.

682
00:32:22,200 --> 00:32:24,160
Speaker 1: They do have a top twenty defense, though, that is

683
00:32:24,200 --> 00:32:26,520
Speaker 1: built to stop the run. They got some big cloggers

684
00:32:26,600 --> 00:32:29,240
Speaker 1: up the middle there that might come in handy against

685
00:32:29,240 --> 00:32:32,560
Speaker 1: Lincoln Riley's Trojans. I think this is still one of

686
00:32:32,560 --> 00:32:35,240
Speaker 1: the most elite offenses we've seen. Their second in total

687
00:32:35,280 --> 00:32:37,680
Speaker 1: offense this season. But they continue to struggle on the

688
00:32:37,720 --> 00:32:41,400
Speaker 1: defensive side, which is nothing surprising if you know Lincoln Riley,

689
00:32:41,440 --> 00:32:44,920
Speaker 1: if you know his background, especially struggling against the pass year.

690
00:32:45,320 --> 00:32:47,920
Speaker 1: You will see three and two ats this season coming

691
00:32:47,920 --> 00:32:50,600
Speaker 1: off to buy only covers have comeing against Missouri State

692
00:32:50,600 --> 00:32:53,920
Speaker 1: and Georgia State. So, bugs, despite getting beat last week,

693
00:32:53,920 --> 00:32:55,760
Speaker 1: are you backing on the Wolverines here?

694
00:32:56,200 --> 00:32:57,920
Speaker 2: In under a field goal game?

695
00:32:58,440 --> 00:32:58,720
Speaker 5: Man?

696
00:32:58,840 --> 00:33:01,320
Speaker 3: So did you see I don't know why would you

697
00:33:01,360 --> 00:33:03,520
Speaker 3: watch the end of this game, But it was the

698
00:33:03,560 --> 00:33:06,040
Speaker 3: same thing that happened to me in that BC game

699
00:33:06,400 --> 00:33:08,840
Speaker 3: the week before, where they could have scored at the

700
00:33:08,960 --> 00:33:11,200
Speaker 3: end but they decided to let the clock run out

701
00:33:11,240 --> 00:33:14,480
Speaker 3: to beat the spread. And you know, like they have

702
00:33:14,960 --> 00:33:17,080
Speaker 3: they're gonna run one play and it's like if he

703
00:33:17,120 --> 00:33:20,080
Speaker 3: gets in the end zone, it goes over and he

704
00:33:20,160 --> 00:33:21,840
Speaker 3: was aiming for it, but they tackled him at the

705
00:33:21,840 --> 00:33:23,800
Speaker 3: three and they just let the clock run out.

706
00:33:24,000 --> 00:33:24,240
Speaker 1: Break.

707
00:33:24,360 --> 00:33:28,000
Speaker 3: So yeah, yeah, just you know, just a betting killer

708
00:33:28,200 --> 00:33:32,160
Speaker 3: right there. Not my favorite game, right like, because I

709
00:33:32,200 --> 00:33:35,200
Speaker 3: think that if this was in Michigan. I'd probably be

710
00:33:35,200 --> 00:33:38,000
Speaker 3: taking the wolf raines here, but them having to travel

711
00:33:38,480 --> 00:33:41,719
Speaker 3: makes this a little more blurry. We also see it

712
00:33:41,840 --> 00:33:45,200
Speaker 3: towards USC, like, but it's gonna be one of two things.

713
00:33:45,240 --> 00:33:48,040
Speaker 3: It's either going to be a low scoring gross game

714
00:33:48,680 --> 00:33:52,320
Speaker 3: that I think Michigan should win if it gets into

715
00:33:52,400 --> 00:33:54,960
Speaker 3: any type of point for point even though USC can't

716
00:33:54,960 --> 00:33:57,560
Speaker 3: stop anyone. I don't know if Michigan's offense is good

717
00:33:57,680 --> 00:34:00,000
Speaker 3: enough yet to be built to go point for point right,

718
00:34:00,480 --> 00:34:04,880
Speaker 3: so I think it's possible, though, Like the USC defense

719
00:34:04,960 --> 00:34:08,040
Speaker 3: is real bad, So I don't have a good feel

720
00:34:08,080 --> 00:34:10,000
Speaker 3: one way or the other because I think this is

721
00:34:10,040 --> 00:34:12,320
Speaker 3: either going to be a high scoring affair close game

722
00:34:12,560 --> 00:34:15,359
Speaker 3: or a low scoring drag them in the mud close game.

723
00:34:15,600 --> 00:34:17,399
Speaker 3: So it's gonna be a close game no matter what.

724
00:34:17,600 --> 00:34:19,759
Speaker 3: It's a one and a half point spread. I just

725
00:34:19,840 --> 00:34:23,720
Speaker 3: don't trust Lincoln Riley at all. And this defense is bad.

726
00:34:24,160 --> 00:34:28,000
Speaker 3: I know Michigan's traveling here. We're getting points with them, though,

727
00:34:28,040 --> 00:34:30,200
Speaker 3: And if this goes out more to like, if this

728
00:34:30,280 --> 00:34:32,480
Speaker 3: gets a three to three and a half for USC,

729
00:34:32,520 --> 00:34:37,480
Speaker 3: because people like the offense, then I understand that they're

730
00:34:37,520 --> 00:34:39,560
Speaker 3: at home. It is a big travel game for Michigan.

731
00:34:39,640 --> 00:34:42,799
Speaker 3: And look, Michigan lost a road game to Oklahoma. But

732
00:34:42,800 --> 00:34:46,480
Speaker 3: Oklahoma is a defensive team, right, like they stop them

733
00:34:46,480 --> 00:34:48,680
Speaker 3: by holding them. I think Michigan's gonna be able to

734
00:34:49,239 --> 00:34:51,680
Speaker 3: stemy the offense at least a little. I think I

735
00:34:51,719 --> 00:34:54,560
Speaker 3: would go towards more towards the under in this game,

736
00:34:55,000 --> 00:34:58,759
Speaker 3: so that'll probably just be my play. Is the under

737
00:34:58,880 --> 00:35:03,840
Speaker 3: fifty seven and half yep, exactly, but this is not

738
00:35:03,920 --> 00:35:06,520
Speaker 3: my favorite. It's not a game that I will be

739
00:35:06,520 --> 00:35:08,560
Speaker 3: betting this weekend. I think it's a little bit too close.

740
00:35:08,640 --> 00:35:11,040
Speaker 3: Maybe I'll dig a little deeper and find something that

741
00:35:11,120 --> 00:35:13,400
Speaker 3: I like in this game, but I doubt it's going

742
00:35:13,440 --> 00:35:14,560
Speaker 3: to be a side of the total.

743
00:35:15,080 --> 00:35:17,080
Speaker 1: I actually think fifty seven and a half going to

744
00:35:17,120 --> 00:35:18,759
Speaker 1: the under is a really good play. I think that

745
00:35:18,840 --> 00:35:21,160
Speaker 1: might be my first official play of the week here

746
00:35:21,239 --> 00:35:25,800
Speaker 1: bogs because look, US sees their pass defense is their weakness.

747
00:35:25,920 --> 00:35:28,919
Speaker 1: Michigan cannot really throw the ball super good with Price

748
00:35:29,000 --> 00:35:31,920
Speaker 1: Underwood like he's doing everything he can. But you know,

749
00:35:31,960 --> 00:35:35,520
Speaker 1: you got samaj Morgan out there dropping passes and fumbling

750
00:35:35,560 --> 00:35:37,720
Speaker 1: the ball like nothing comes easy for Michigan.

751
00:35:37,840 --> 00:35:38,680
Speaker 2: Right now, I feel like.

752
00:35:38,680 --> 00:35:42,799
Speaker 1: And USC Wow, It is their passing offense, in myava,

753
00:35:42,840 --> 00:35:45,160
Speaker 1: that is really driving this thing. They've still had some

754
00:35:45,200 --> 00:35:47,160
Speaker 1: success running the ball. I don't think they'll have that

755
00:35:47,239 --> 00:35:49,600
Speaker 1: against Michigan. So I feel like fifty seven and a

756
00:35:49,640 --> 00:35:51,239
Speaker 1: half is a really generous number to.

757
00:35:51,160 --> 00:35:54,680
Speaker 3: Get the Well, here's my issue is what if the

758
00:35:54,680 --> 00:35:56,920
Speaker 3: Michigan offense all of a sudden comes to life right

759
00:35:56,960 --> 00:35:59,319
Speaker 3: like we saw Florida do this weekend. I don't think

760
00:35:59,560 --> 00:36:01,640
Speaker 3: that you usually comes at home. It usually comes off

761
00:36:01,640 --> 00:36:04,120
Speaker 3: a bye week, so it's not likely, which is why

762
00:36:04,160 --> 00:36:06,600
Speaker 3: I still like the under here. But it is within

763
00:36:06,640 --> 00:36:10,640
Speaker 3: the realm of possibility. Right This Lincoln Riley defense has

764
00:36:10,760 --> 00:36:13,160
Speaker 3: never ever been good and it continues to not be

765
00:36:13,239 --> 00:36:16,239
Speaker 3: good this year. And I don't think it's this game

766
00:36:16,360 --> 00:36:19,759
Speaker 3: is going to change anything. It's just what underwood do

767
00:36:19,800 --> 00:36:23,440
Speaker 3: we get. Do we get a confused on the road

768
00:36:24,360 --> 00:36:27,640
Speaker 3: having a difficult time underwood or do we get a calm,

769
00:36:27,680 --> 00:36:30,680
Speaker 3: cool and collected dude that sees how he can really

770
00:36:30,719 --> 00:36:34,120
Speaker 3: take advantage of a rough defense in usc that that

771
00:36:34,280 --> 00:36:35,759
Speaker 3: is going to be the difference in this game. And

772
00:36:35,760 --> 00:36:38,400
Speaker 3: it's not a difference I'm willing to bet on just.

773
00:36:38,400 --> 00:36:40,560
Speaker 1: A quick reminder that you can track your bets, stay

774
00:36:40,560 --> 00:36:44,800
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775
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777
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783
00:37:16,640 --> 00:37:19,279
Speaker 1: The Kansas Jayhawks land in Lubbock as thirteen and a

784
00:37:19,280 --> 00:37:22,040
Speaker 1: half point dogs to the ninth ranked Texas Tech Red

785
00:37:22,120 --> 00:37:25,320
Speaker 1: Raiders rock chock four and two straight up this season

786
00:37:25,360 --> 00:37:28,120
Speaker 1: three and three ats. They are coming off a win

787
00:37:28,280 --> 00:37:31,840
Speaker 1: and a cover at UCF in Week six. Jalen Daniels

788
00:37:31,920 --> 00:37:34,759
Speaker 1: their quarterback. He's kind of refound something here in year six,

789
00:37:35,120 --> 00:37:38,799
Speaker 1: leading the conference in efficiency rating. He's also uncovered the

790
00:37:38,800 --> 00:37:43,120
Speaker 1: talent of Alabama transfer wide receiver Emanuel Henderson, who leads

791
00:37:43,160 --> 00:37:46,239
Speaker 1: the conference in receiving yards. They've combined to give the

792
00:37:46,320 --> 00:37:49,680
Speaker 1: Jayhawks a top forty total offense, but their defense still

793
00:37:49,680 --> 00:37:53,160
Speaker 1: outside of the top seventy five in yards allowed. This

794
00:37:53,239 --> 00:37:55,600
Speaker 1: might be an issue against the big twelves. Newest wagon

795
00:37:55,680 --> 00:37:58,840
Speaker 1: Texas Tech. They are undefeated ats they rank first in

796
00:37:58,920 --> 00:38:02,240
Speaker 1: total offense and passing offense, plus they have a top

797
00:38:02,320 --> 00:38:06,440
Speaker 1: ten total defense to boot between Dicky Jacoby, Williams, Coleekens,

798
00:38:06,719 --> 00:38:10,080
Speaker 1: Caleb Douglas. This is a talented offense with a defense

799
00:38:10,160 --> 00:38:12,840
Speaker 1: later with a lot of NFL talent as well, David Bailey,

800
00:38:13,200 --> 00:38:16,320
Speaker 1: Romelo height as well. So Boggs, we're sitting at that

801
00:38:16,440 --> 00:38:18,279
Speaker 1: key number of thirteen and a half. Is this the

802
00:38:18,360 --> 00:38:19,120
Speaker 1: time to get on it?

803
00:38:19,760 --> 00:38:20,000
Speaker 2: Yeah?

804
00:38:20,040 --> 00:38:21,799
Speaker 3: I mean I think I want to wait and see

805
00:38:21,800 --> 00:38:24,640
Speaker 3: if it shrinks a little bit more. But I'm this

806
00:38:24,719 --> 00:38:26,719
Speaker 3: is Texas Tech to me because I think we've seen

807
00:38:26,719 --> 00:38:29,600
Speaker 3: this game already, right. We saw Kansas go to Missouri

808
00:38:29,600 --> 00:38:32,560
Speaker 3: and get smashed, and that's a rival that wasn't gonna

809
00:38:32,560 --> 00:38:34,640
Speaker 3: happen for a while, and they still got smashed in

810
00:38:34,640 --> 00:38:37,600
Speaker 3: that game. I think Texas Tech and Missouri probably line

811
00:38:37,640 --> 00:38:41,359
Speaker 3: up fairly equally, right likee Missouri doesn't on the ground,

812
00:38:41,400 --> 00:38:43,400
Speaker 3: Texas Tech more does it through the air, but Texas

813
00:38:43,440 --> 00:38:45,799
Speaker 3: Tech can do it anyway they want to. Right now,

814
00:38:45,800 --> 00:38:48,239
Speaker 3: it feels like I think I think the Raiders are

815
00:38:48,600 --> 00:38:51,160
Speaker 3: a national title contender. I think they're gonna win the

816
00:38:51,160 --> 00:38:54,600
Speaker 3: Big twelve going away. I think their biggest competition is Utah,

817
00:38:54,760 --> 00:38:57,040
Speaker 3: who they've already dismantled in Arizona State.

818
00:38:57,719 --> 00:38:59,279
Speaker 2: Arizona State.

819
00:38:59,320 --> 00:39:02,160
Speaker 3: I think Arizona State is in the same zip code

820
00:39:02,239 --> 00:39:04,640
Speaker 3: as Texas Tech this year, I don't think it's close.

821
00:39:04,960 --> 00:39:07,239
Speaker 3: So I think the Raiders are going to win this

822
00:39:07,280 --> 00:39:10,680
Speaker 3: one going away. But I do think that we could

823
00:39:10,719 --> 00:39:13,520
Speaker 3: see money come in towards Kansas. I don't think that

824
00:39:13,719 --> 00:39:16,319
Speaker 3: the whole country is buying in quite yet. They haven't

825
00:39:16,360 --> 00:39:18,960
Speaker 3: had a gigantic marquee matchup. That one game against Utah

826
00:39:19,120 --> 00:39:22,600
Speaker 3: was very early, you know, in a weird spot, and

827
00:39:22,680 --> 00:39:24,640
Speaker 3: they won that one going away, So I don't know

828
00:39:24,680 --> 00:39:29,400
Speaker 3: that everyone has been able to see Texas Tech dominate yet.

829
00:39:29,560 --> 00:39:31,760
Speaker 3: So maybe we get a little bit more towards Kansas

830
00:39:31,800 --> 00:39:33,480
Speaker 3: because they've been good the last couple of years, and

831
00:39:33,520 --> 00:39:36,160
Speaker 3: they have an exciting offense, and they are a good team.

832
00:39:36,280 --> 00:39:39,480
Speaker 3: Right I think Tech runs away with this game, So

833
00:39:40,320 --> 00:39:42,560
Speaker 3: I'll wait and see which way the line goes I

834
00:39:42,560 --> 00:39:44,480
Speaker 3: think it's going to go towards Kansas a little bit,

835
00:39:44,520 --> 00:39:46,600
Speaker 3: because I believe it was fourteen and a half yesterday

836
00:39:46,719 --> 00:39:48,600
Speaker 3: and you said it's thirteen and a half now, so

837
00:39:48,640 --> 00:39:50,760
Speaker 3: we've already lost a point. So if it can start

838
00:39:51,080 --> 00:39:53,319
Speaker 3: dipping a little bit more, I like it more. But

839
00:39:53,480 --> 00:39:55,120
Speaker 3: I take it at thirteen and a half. I don't care.

840
00:39:55,360 --> 00:39:57,360
Speaker 3: I think Texas Tech wins this one going away.

841
00:39:58,400 --> 00:40:00,600
Speaker 2: What about a team total here with Tech Tech? Would

842
00:40:00,600 --> 00:40:01,239
Speaker 2: you get down with that?

843
00:40:01,280 --> 00:40:03,640
Speaker 1: It's thirty six and a half, so it's a big number,

844
00:40:04,200 --> 00:40:07,320
Speaker 1: but they've just been so good right now, and Kansas's

845
00:40:07,360 --> 00:40:11,080
Speaker 1: defense just allows pretty much everyone to score it will Yeah, man.

846
00:40:11,000 --> 00:40:13,439
Speaker 3: I think that's fine. Yeah, you know, if they're gonna

847
00:40:13,480 --> 00:40:15,520
Speaker 3: win by two touchdowns, I think they're gonna score way

848
00:40:15,520 --> 00:40:18,680
Speaker 3: more than thirty five. So uh. And the way they

849
00:40:18,960 --> 00:40:22,279
Speaker 3: the defense is really coming together, that front seven with

850
00:40:22,760 --> 00:40:29,359
Speaker 3: Bailey and Rodriguez the linebacker, holy crap, they look so

851
00:40:30,400 --> 00:40:33,600
Speaker 3: dominant right now. And Kansas is a good squad, but

852
00:40:33,680 --> 00:40:36,360
Speaker 3: I just I think they're like a C level team

853
00:40:36,680 --> 00:40:39,520
Speaker 3: in the P four right Like they're gonna enough to

854
00:40:39,560 --> 00:40:43,160
Speaker 3: make a bowl, but not to hang with the actual contenders.

855
00:40:43,200 --> 00:40:46,160
Speaker 3: And I think Texa contenders, So this one is kind

856
00:40:46,160 --> 00:40:48,400
Speaker 3: of easy for me. I'll take Tech, I'll lay the points,

857
00:40:48,800 --> 00:40:50,719
Speaker 3: and I don't even care if it goes out a

858
00:40:50,719 --> 00:40:52,719
Speaker 3: little bit more, although I do, of course prefer it

859
00:40:52,920 --> 00:40:55,959
Speaker 3: at thirteen and a half or under, but I think

860
00:40:56,080 --> 00:40:57,800
Speaker 3: I think it's gonna stay right in that range.

861
00:40:58,000 --> 00:41:01,600
Speaker 1: Okay, Down on the South and Auburn, the Tigers are

862
00:41:01,680 --> 00:41:04,160
Speaker 1: four and a half point home dogs against the tenth

863
00:41:04,239 --> 00:41:08,080
Speaker 1: ran Georgia Bulldogs. The Dogs are coming off their first

864
00:41:08,080 --> 00:41:11,000
Speaker 1: cover of the season last week against Kentucky. Still haven't

865
00:41:11,040 --> 00:41:13,719
Speaker 1: necessarily looked the part, though, ranking outside of the top

866
00:41:13,760 --> 00:41:17,160
Speaker 1: sixty five in passing offense eighty six against the pass

867
00:41:17,200 --> 00:41:20,720
Speaker 1: on defense too. They do have those run stuffers up front.

868
00:41:20,920 --> 00:41:23,040
Speaker 1: They are using a committee to run the ball at

869
00:41:23,040 --> 00:41:25,520
Speaker 1: a pretty good clip as well. But I just honestly

870
00:41:25,560 --> 00:41:28,240
Speaker 1: think this offense kind of lacks some skill position talent

871
00:41:28,320 --> 00:41:32,400
Speaker 1: outside of Zacharie Branch coming over from USC. Auburn last

872
00:41:32,400 --> 00:41:35,840
Speaker 1: played in College Station, coming off a loss against the

873
00:41:35,880 --> 00:41:39,560
Speaker 1: Aggies to get to two and three ats. The wild

874
00:41:39,640 --> 00:41:41,920
Speaker 1: part about the Tigers I think is like they kind

875
00:41:41,920 --> 00:41:42,880
Speaker 1: of feel like the light.

876
00:41:42,760 --> 00:41:44,200
Speaker 2: Beer version of the Bulldogs.

877
00:41:44,239 --> 00:41:47,640
Speaker 1: Here, Bogs like stick with me, like athletic quarterback in

878
00:41:47,800 --> 00:41:51,360
Speaker 1: experienced quarterback, though not really the best passing of the

879
00:41:51,400 --> 00:41:53,799
Speaker 1: ball offense either one hundred and fourteenth in that they

880
00:41:53,800 --> 00:41:57,080
Speaker 1: can't really stop the pass either. Their secondary is pretty shoddy,

881
00:41:57,520 --> 00:41:59,279
Speaker 1: and they run the ball pretty well and they stop

882
00:41:59,320 --> 00:42:02,120
Speaker 1: the run pretty well. So Boggs, I think we really

883
00:42:02,160 --> 00:42:05,800
Speaker 1: have a Spider Man meme situation here that the books

884
00:42:06,120 --> 00:42:08,719
Speaker 1: are also seeing that as well. So what do you

885
00:42:08,760 --> 00:42:10,640
Speaker 1: think this line does by Saturday?

886
00:42:11,360 --> 00:42:14,399
Speaker 3: I mean, I think it goes towards Georgia, right, And

887
00:42:14,440 --> 00:42:17,399
Speaker 3: I think it's because in the Kirby Smart era, they're

888
00:42:17,480 --> 00:42:21,200
Speaker 3: nine to one against Auburn. They've routinely thumped them. They

889
00:42:21,280 --> 00:42:22,759
Speaker 3: beat them by more than three and a half and

890
00:42:22,920 --> 00:42:25,160
Speaker 3: every single one of those wins. The only loss that

891
00:42:25,200 --> 00:42:27,680
Speaker 3: they had they got murdered, and that was when they

892
00:42:27,680 --> 00:42:30,319
Speaker 3: were ranked number two as well. Auburn took them down,

893
00:42:30,560 --> 00:42:33,319
Speaker 3: but that was in twenty seventeen, so that's a long

894
00:42:33,400 --> 00:42:35,640
Speaker 3: time ago. I believe that this Auburn roster is way

895
00:42:35,640 --> 00:42:39,120
Speaker 3: better than some of the recent struggles have shown us.

896
00:42:39,480 --> 00:42:42,799
Speaker 3: They haven't been producing up to their roster strength levels yet.

897
00:42:42,840 --> 00:42:44,520
Speaker 3: Oh you and A and M on the Road aren't

898
00:42:44,560 --> 00:42:47,120
Speaker 3: easy games, but they couldn't do anything against the used

899
00:42:47,200 --> 00:42:50,760
Speaker 3: defense and were even worse against the Aggies. The scheme

900
00:42:51,840 --> 00:42:55,799
Speaker 3: and the players, I feel like, specifically with the wide

901
00:42:55,800 --> 00:42:58,240
Speaker 3: receivers that they have on this roster and Singleton and Coleman,

902
00:42:58,640 --> 00:43:00,680
Speaker 3: that should be good enough to stay in this game,

903
00:43:01,000 --> 00:43:05,600
Speaker 3: but it hasn't. Auburn has been consistently inconsistent. I'm a

904
00:43:05,800 --> 00:43:09,760
Speaker 3: lean towards Georgia in this game because of the history

905
00:43:09,840 --> 00:43:12,680
Speaker 3: of this game and because I just we haven't seen

906
00:43:12,800 --> 00:43:15,799
Speaker 3: Jackson Arnold put it all together. Maybe being at home

907
00:43:15,840 --> 00:43:18,279
Speaker 3: here in a big game is where he does it,

908
00:43:19,360 --> 00:43:21,640
Speaker 3: but based on what we just haven't seen him do

909
00:43:21,719 --> 00:43:24,600
Speaker 3: that yet. So it's kind of it's the same way,

910
00:43:24,719 --> 00:43:27,439
Speaker 3: Like he could have that Lagway breakout that we saw

911
00:43:27,520 --> 00:43:30,400
Speaker 3: this week against Texas, But where's it coming from, right, Like,

912
00:43:30,440 --> 00:43:32,560
Speaker 3: at least Lagway comes in with a bye week, right,

913
00:43:33,480 --> 00:43:36,520
Speaker 3: where are they coming in from this at that angle?

914
00:43:36,680 --> 00:43:39,160
Speaker 3: I just don't see it. So I'm gonna lean towards

915
00:43:39,160 --> 00:43:42,880
Speaker 3: the Bulldogs here. This is just Kirby smartest beat them

916
00:43:42,880 --> 00:43:43,400
Speaker 3: into the dirt.

917
00:43:44,000 --> 00:43:45,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't hate to play.

918
00:43:45,719 --> 00:43:48,760
Speaker 1: Would you take him ats or would you maybe tease

919
00:43:48,800 --> 00:43:50,120
Speaker 1: that down to get a two and a half or

920
00:43:50,160 --> 00:43:51,239
Speaker 1: even money line play it.

921
00:43:51,640 --> 00:43:55,000
Speaker 3: I think they went by a score Okay, yeah, every

922
00:43:55,000 --> 00:43:57,080
Speaker 3: time they beat him. Every time they beat him, it's

923
00:43:57,120 --> 00:43:59,160
Speaker 3: been by way more than this, so I think that

924
00:43:59,520 --> 00:44:00,600
Speaker 3: trend just continues.

925
00:44:01,040 --> 00:44:03,360
Speaker 1: We also have another night game in Baton Rouge with

926
00:44:03,480 --> 00:44:06,640
Speaker 1: the eleventh ranked LSU Tigers. They are currently eight and

927
00:44:06,680 --> 00:44:10,239
Speaker 1: a half nine and a half point home favorites against

928
00:44:10,280 --> 00:44:13,000
Speaker 1: the South Carolina game Cocks. This is a game between

929
00:44:13,080 --> 00:44:16,399
Speaker 1: two of the most underwhelming offenses given the expectations coming

930
00:44:16,440 --> 00:44:19,719
Speaker 1: into the season. South Carolina one and twenty seventh in

931
00:44:19,760 --> 00:44:23,919
Speaker 1: total offense under Lenora Sellers. LSU not much better here, man,

932
00:44:24,320 --> 00:44:27,160
Speaker 1: under Nuts eighty third right now in total offense, So

933
00:44:27,840 --> 00:44:31,239
Speaker 1: LSU they would have the edge on defense, though they're

934
00:44:31,320 --> 00:44:34,920
Speaker 1: rating out better in pass defense, rush defense, and total defense.

935
00:44:34,960 --> 00:44:37,920
Speaker 1: So Boggs, what are your thoughts on this game? I

936
00:44:37,960 --> 00:44:40,480
Speaker 1: think the preseason, like I would have been absolutely glued

937
00:44:40,520 --> 00:44:43,520
Speaker 1: to my TV for Nuts versus Sellers, But man, it's

938
00:44:43,560 --> 00:44:45,520
Speaker 1: been a pretty slow start for him both.

939
00:44:45,960 --> 00:44:48,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, who has more to gain coming off by weeks here?

940
00:44:48,239 --> 00:44:48,359
Speaker 5: Right?

941
00:44:48,400 --> 00:44:52,440
Speaker 3: I think it's actually South Carolina because they've been so bad, right, Like,

942
00:44:52,480 --> 00:44:55,040
Speaker 3: I think LSU is a better team, and you'd like

943
00:44:55,120 --> 00:44:58,440
Speaker 3: to see this offense get rolling and get going. But

944
00:44:58,520 --> 00:45:01,720
Speaker 3: I think just overall, South Carolina has been bad, dude,

945
00:45:01,760 --> 00:45:04,960
Speaker 3: So both these teams going off by week should look better.

946
00:45:06,160 --> 00:45:11,640
Speaker 3: But I mean, you know, LSU's offense hasn't been good

947
00:45:11,640 --> 00:45:14,200
Speaker 3: and their defense did They did the bend but don't

948
00:45:14,239 --> 00:45:17,080
Speaker 3: break against Mississippi, didn't win them the game because their

949
00:45:17,120 --> 00:45:21,560
Speaker 3: offense couldn't get camera. They can't do anything. I think

950
00:45:21,640 --> 00:45:23,560
Speaker 3: durhams that game. I think he's supposed to be back

951
00:45:23,719 --> 00:45:26,640
Speaker 3: for this one, which should improve that run offense. But

952
00:45:27,560 --> 00:45:31,320
Speaker 3: you know, South Carolina hasn't done anything. Like their defense

953
00:45:31,520 --> 00:45:34,560
Speaker 3: is okay, but they've been getting a lot of penalties.

954
00:45:35,000 --> 00:45:39,600
Speaker 3: They're the fifth worst team in time of possession this season.

955
00:45:39,800 --> 00:45:41,880
Speaker 3: I mean, they're plus five on the turnovers, but they

956
00:45:41,880 --> 00:45:43,759
Speaker 3: can't run the ball. They're one hundred and twenty second

957
00:45:43,800 --> 00:45:45,719
Speaker 3: in rush offense. LS he was not better. They're one

958
00:45:45,760 --> 00:45:46,480
Speaker 3: hundred and nineteenth.

959
00:45:46,520 --> 00:45:49,000
Speaker 1: As I'd say, they're both like bottom twenty in the

960
00:45:49,000 --> 00:45:49,759
Speaker 1: country right now.

961
00:45:49,840 --> 00:45:52,520
Speaker 3: But as bad as LS has been, they're not as

962
00:45:52,640 --> 00:45:55,319
Speaker 3: bad as South Carolina. And I feel like it's more

963
00:45:55,360 --> 00:45:57,719
Speaker 3: one sided for South Carolina since they never have the

964
00:45:57,760 --> 00:46:00,879
Speaker 3: ball either, So I don't know. I think you want

965
00:46:00,880 --> 00:46:04,799
Speaker 3: to pass if you're South Carolina and you're not gonna

966
00:46:04,840 --> 00:46:09,480
Speaker 3: be able to against LSU. So I like the Tigers here.

967
00:46:09,520 --> 00:46:12,400
Speaker 3: I don't hate an underplay either, It's not my favorite.

968
00:46:12,440 --> 00:46:15,080
Speaker 3: With both teams coming off of bye, we should see

969
00:46:15,120 --> 00:46:17,799
Speaker 3: scripted drive score for both of these teams. You've had

970
00:46:17,800 --> 00:46:20,239
Speaker 3: two weeks to prepare, so at the end of the

971
00:46:20,239 --> 00:46:22,080
Speaker 3: first quarter of this game should be seven to seven

972
00:46:22,280 --> 00:46:25,080
Speaker 3: and giving us fourteen points already. So I might go

973
00:46:25,600 --> 00:46:28,560
Speaker 3: like first quarter over because you're both coming off by weeks.

974
00:46:28,640 --> 00:46:32,840
Speaker 3: You've schemed up this offensive game plan in the scripted

975
00:46:32,920 --> 00:46:35,400
Speaker 3: drive probably one or two, so you probably get a

976
00:46:35,400 --> 00:46:37,480
Speaker 3: couple cracks at it as well. So I think first

977
00:46:37,560 --> 00:46:39,920
Speaker 3: quarter over for both teams coming off of bye. After that,

978
00:46:39,960 --> 00:46:41,719
Speaker 3: I don't really know. I think I'm gonna lay the

979
00:46:41,719 --> 00:46:44,759
Speaker 3: points and take LSU just because South Carolina hasn't really

980
00:46:44,760 --> 00:46:45,600
Speaker 3: shown me anything.

981
00:46:46,200 --> 00:46:50,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, especially on the road in Death Valley at Nike. Yeah,

982
00:46:50,800 --> 00:46:54,400
Speaker 1: it's gonna be bumping. I wish this total line was

983
00:46:54,400 --> 00:46:56,280
Speaker 1: a bit higher, Like if it was maybe at forty

984
00:46:56,280 --> 00:46:58,000
Speaker 1: seven and a half, I would consider going out on

985
00:46:58,040 --> 00:47:00,279
Speaker 1: the under because, like I'm with you out of the

986
00:47:00,280 --> 00:47:02,760
Speaker 1: scripted drives. I don't know where they move the chains

987
00:47:02,800 --> 00:47:05,160
Speaker 1: with because both these teams are absolutely.

988
00:47:04,760 --> 00:47:06,359
Speaker 2: Garbage at running the ball.

989
00:47:06,520 --> 00:47:10,080
Speaker 3: So I mean, I think that LSU, could, you know,

990
00:47:10,120 --> 00:47:11,600
Speaker 3: you give them a bye week. Look what the bye

991
00:47:11,600 --> 00:47:14,200
Speaker 3: week did for Florida, right, bring back a couple players too.

992
00:47:14,280 --> 00:47:16,520
Speaker 3: I think LSU is a much better offense than Florida,

993
00:47:16,560 --> 00:47:20,080
Speaker 3: So I think we could see that, will we? I

994
00:47:20,120 --> 00:47:22,480
Speaker 3: don't know, it's a good question, but so I think

995
00:47:22,520 --> 00:47:26,400
Speaker 3: I like the first quarter over after that, no, thanks,

996
00:47:26,680 --> 00:47:27,799
Speaker 3: pass on the rest.

997
00:47:28,000 --> 00:47:30,040
Speaker 1: Let's go ahead and round out the program in Salt

998
00:47:30,160 --> 00:47:32,799
Speaker 1: Lake City, where the Utah Utes host the twenty first

999
00:47:32,920 --> 00:47:35,959
Speaker 1: ranked Arizona State sun Devils as three and a half

1000
00:47:36,000 --> 00:47:39,080
Speaker 1: to five and a half point home favorites. ASU has

1001
00:47:39,200 --> 00:47:41,799
Speaker 1: kept the train on the tracks after losing two Mississippi

1002
00:47:41,840 --> 00:47:44,840
Speaker 1: State in Week two with three straight wins and covers

1003
00:47:44,880 --> 00:47:48,960
Speaker 1: against Texas State, Baylor, and TCU. They're coming off the

1004
00:47:49,040 --> 00:47:51,760
Speaker 1: buy here and they hope that that maybe can fix

1005
00:47:52,000 --> 00:47:56,040
Speaker 1: their eighty ninth ranked passing offense their ninety six ranked

1006
00:47:56,040 --> 00:47:59,279
Speaker 1: passing defense as well, trying to get those back in check.

1007
00:47:59,320 --> 00:48:02,640
Speaker 1: At Utah got beat pretty badly in week five against

1008
00:48:02,640 --> 00:48:05,240
Speaker 1: Texas Tech. But then they did go on the road

1009
00:48:05,640 --> 00:48:08,920
Speaker 1: the next week they beat WVU, winning and covering forty

1010
00:48:08,920 --> 00:48:11,640
Speaker 1: eight to fourteen. Devin dan Pierre kind of like a

1011
00:48:11,719 --> 00:48:15,120
Speaker 1: Sam Levitt in this situation. Very mobile quarterback. He can

1012
00:48:15,239 --> 00:48:17,279
Speaker 1: chuck the ball for days as well. So bogs two

1013
00:48:17,280 --> 00:48:20,880
Speaker 1: good offenses, maybe a slightly better defense in Utah And

1014
00:48:20,920 --> 00:48:22,280
Speaker 1: this is in Utah.

1015
00:48:22,360 --> 00:48:24,200
Speaker 2: So is that the play.

1016
00:48:24,000 --> 00:48:28,279
Speaker 3: Here is not my favorite game? This one feels a

1017
00:48:28,280 --> 00:48:31,720
Speaker 3: little Spider Man Mimi as well. Right, yeah, yeah, both

1018
00:48:32,360 --> 00:48:35,040
Speaker 3: you know, play good defense from the ball, can't pass.

1019
00:48:36,320 --> 00:48:39,279
Speaker 3: Kind of the same deal here. So Kenny Dillingham has

1020
00:48:39,320 --> 00:48:42,560
Speaker 3: voiced his frustrations with Arizona State this year. They've had

1021
00:48:42,560 --> 00:48:46,440
Speaker 3: a couple close wins, but that went against Baylor. Baylor

1022
00:48:46,520 --> 00:48:49,680
Speaker 3: had an eighty nine percent postgame win expectancy. They should

1023
00:48:49,680 --> 00:48:51,799
Speaker 3: have won that game. Wow, Right, And they had another

1024
00:48:51,840 --> 00:48:54,080
Speaker 3: tight one last week as well. I just don't think

1025
00:48:54,080 --> 00:48:56,239
Speaker 3: that this is the same Sun Devils team that we

1026
00:48:56,360 --> 00:48:59,560
Speaker 3: had last year. I think this is a wild team.

1027
00:49:00,120 --> 00:49:02,600
Speaker 3: They have large differences in the pass defense versus a

1028
00:49:02,680 --> 00:49:05,879
Speaker 3: run defense. They're ninety eighth against the pass, they're ninth

1029
00:49:05,920 --> 00:49:08,879
Speaker 3: against the run. But it doesn't matter. If you're ninth

1030
00:49:08,880 --> 00:49:10,839
Speaker 3: against the run, nobody has to run against you. You're ninety

1031
00:49:10,880 --> 00:49:13,440
Speaker 3: eighth against the pass, everybody could pass against you. So

1032
00:49:14,520 --> 00:49:16,399
Speaker 3: that has been rough so far for them. They've got

1033
00:49:16,440 --> 00:49:19,920
Speaker 3: some opportunistic turnovers. They're plus five, but they were plus

1034
00:49:20,000 --> 00:49:23,520
Speaker 3: three last week. So this game should be a tight,

1035
00:49:23,719 --> 00:49:25,719
Speaker 3: down to the wire type of game. I'd like to

1036
00:49:25,719 --> 00:49:29,600
Speaker 3: see the total expand to get out over fifty so

1037
00:49:29,640 --> 00:49:32,239
Speaker 3: we can take the under. I think that is where

1038
00:49:32,239 --> 00:49:34,720
Speaker 3: I would lean here. So I'm gonna sit and wait

1039
00:49:34,840 --> 00:49:37,560
Speaker 3: and see which way this total goes, because I think

1040
00:49:37,760 --> 00:49:39,640
Speaker 3: both these teams are going to want to run the

1041
00:49:39,680 --> 00:49:42,480
Speaker 3: ball and they're going to want to play strong defense.

1042
00:49:42,520 --> 00:49:44,520
Speaker 3: And Utah plays a little bit quicker of a pace

1043
00:49:44,560 --> 00:49:47,239
Speaker 3: at forty eight, but ASU slows it down at eighty

1044
00:49:47,280 --> 00:49:50,879
Speaker 3: two at an eighty second pace as well. Plus it's

1045
00:49:50,880 --> 00:49:52,520
Speaker 3: a tight game at night, I think it's going to

1046
00:49:52,600 --> 00:49:54,560
Speaker 3: be just a little bit. It's going to be specifically

1047
00:49:54,640 --> 00:49:57,200
Speaker 3: slower moving if you're ASU to make sure you get

1048
00:49:57,239 --> 00:50:00,759
Speaker 3: everything right with all that crowd noise. So I don't

1049
00:50:00,800 --> 00:50:04,279
Speaker 3: maybe like a team total under for Arizona State would

1050
00:50:04,280 --> 00:50:05,960
Speaker 3: be a little bit nicer of a play here. But

1051
00:50:06,440 --> 00:50:08,359
Speaker 3: this is not my favorite game. I like the under,

1052
00:50:08,360 --> 00:50:09,560
Speaker 3: but let's see what the line does.

1053
00:50:10,200 --> 00:50:12,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, ASU is tough because you look at their offense

1054
00:50:12,680 --> 00:50:15,839
Speaker 1: and they're really Tyson Levitt specific. And then they got

1055
00:50:15,880 --> 00:50:17,759
Speaker 1: for Leak Brown out there, who wasn't even supposed to

1056
00:50:17,800 --> 00:50:21,239
Speaker 1: be the starter coming into this season and he's no Skataboo,

1057
00:50:21,280 --> 00:50:23,480
Speaker 1: but he's been doing a fine job. He's been getting

1058
00:50:23,640 --> 00:50:25,640
Speaker 1: you know, anywhere from fifteen to twenty totes a game

1059
00:50:25,680 --> 00:50:28,480
Speaker 1: and doing a fine job with it. But definitely a

1060
00:50:28,520 --> 00:50:30,080
Speaker 1: little bit of ways to go. I think they need

1061
00:50:30,080 --> 00:50:32,160
Speaker 1: to find more playmakers out there.

1062
00:50:32,080 --> 00:50:32,920
Speaker 2: On the outside.

1063
00:50:32,960 --> 00:50:35,520
Speaker 1: They had a really good veteran tight end coming back

1064
00:50:35,560 --> 00:50:38,239
Speaker 1: this season. He's done nothing either, So I want to

1065
00:50:38,239 --> 00:50:40,960
Speaker 1: see more of those players involved, I think before I

1066
00:50:41,000 --> 00:50:44,120
Speaker 1: get invested in Arizona State. But guys, that is going

1067
00:50:44,160 --> 00:50:46,280
Speaker 1: to do it for us. On this Early Picks episode

1068
00:50:46,320 --> 00:50:48,839
Speaker 1: of The Bank Pros College Football Show still to come

1069
00:50:48,920 --> 00:50:51,480
Speaker 1: later this week and every week on the bank Pros

1070
00:50:51,520 --> 00:50:54,839
Speaker 1: YouTube channel and audio feed, our picks and prediction show

1071
00:50:54,920 --> 00:50:58,240
Speaker 1: with Rell Ferma, Junior, Bog's best bets and player props,

1072
00:50:58,280 --> 00:51:01,120
Speaker 1: plus are parlay picks. Let us know in the comments

1073
00:51:01,160 --> 00:51:04,759
Speaker 1: below your favorite Week seven Early picks and while you're here,

1074
00:51:04,840 --> 00:51:07,400
Speaker 1: make sure you're smashing that like bund and subscribing to

1075
00:51:07,480 --> 00:51:10,960
Speaker 1: the channel. If you're new for Scott Bogman, upset with Wilcock, take.

1076
00:51:10,760 --> 00:51:14,360
Speaker 2: Care of y'all. Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast.

1077
00:51:14,600 --> 00:51:16,960
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1078
00:51:17,040 --> 00:51:19,120
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1079
00:51:19,040 --> 00:51:20,680
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1080
00:51:20,960 --> 00:51:23,600
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1081
00:51:23,680 --> 00:51:25,560
Speaker 5: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL.

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Speaker 2: Also subscribe to our YouTube channel

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Speaker 5: At YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros