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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Spreading the corner ten seconds of maining, so he just

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Speaker 3: goes show under the basket, Under the basket, it's.

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Speaker 2: The truth for the wind.

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Speaker 1: God make a miracle. I'm just up the water.

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Speaker 2: Hit that one from the parking lot.

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Speaker 1: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 1: on Campus Podcast presented by bet MGM. This is the

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Speaker 1: College Basketball Conference Tournament Betting Preview, Part eight. I'm stuck

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Speaker 1: in joining me today to cover four leagues, Mountain West, American, CUSA,

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Speaker 1: the matt Ac. We'll even share quick thoughts on the

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Speaker 1: IVY is the one and only mister Jim Root of

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Speaker 1: the Three Man Weave, fresh off watching quite a bit

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Speaker 1: of Mates on Sunday afternoon. How goes it, Jim?

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Speaker 2: It's good.

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Speaker 3: Happy that Drake got over the finish line. Not real

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Speaker 3: thrilled about Austin P's performance down the stretch. We were

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Speaker 3: opposed there on futures you had your stets and hatters.

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Speaker 3: Get there, Austin Pede not quite, but we at least

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Speaker 3: got a really good game in the Missouri Valley, and

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Speaker 3: that's really what I'm looking for at this point. I

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Speaker 3: want to see games that I'm enjoying watching. I hope

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Speaker 3: the Sycamores get in the big Dance, and I hope

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Speaker 3: we find some value here in this.

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Speaker 1: Pot Indiana State. What an offense? I mean, just their

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Speaker 1: their scheme, their plays, everything they run. I don't know.

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Speaker 1: I think they get left out.

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Speaker 2: What do you think it's so easy to leave them out,

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Speaker 2: just like you can just point to, oh, they have

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Speaker 2: one quad win win and just kind of hide behind

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Speaker 2: that kind of stuff. But I hope they get in

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Speaker 2: because they will be a blast to watch. People will

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Speaker 2: enjoy them.

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Speaker 3: They have the offense, like you said, and can't we

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Speaker 3: just like play up to Larry Angle, Like, Oh, Indiana

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Speaker 3: State's back their birds schools. Let's lean into that and

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Speaker 3: that'll get some eyeballs. That's what that's all we're looking

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Speaker 3: for here.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, the Illinois State loss at home might keep them out,

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Speaker 1: but I do hope they get in today. As I said,

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Speaker 1: we're gonna cover four leagues. Will also touch at the

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Speaker 1: end on the IVY League i'by Madness four team bracket there,

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Speaker 1: let's start in. Let's go out west to Vegas. Will

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Speaker 1: start with the Mountain West eleven team field starts on Wednesday.

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Speaker 1: Top five seeds get a bye to the quarters on Thursday.

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Speaker 1: Championship game played on Saturday. To show you how deep

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Speaker 1: this league is, potential turning teams New Mexico and Colorado

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Speaker 1: State six and seven seeds. Riddle me this New Mexico

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Speaker 1: beats Air Force, Boise, Nevada loses to UNLV in the

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Speaker 1: final seventeen Mountain West.

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Speaker 3: I think it is if that happens, Yeah, because you

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Speaker 3: can't drop New Mexico out Nevada, Boise, Utah State, San

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Speaker 3: Diego State pretty comfortably in Colorado State's fading, but they've

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Speaker 3: got the two monster non con wins that I think

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Speaker 3: are gonna continue to age well and keep them in.

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Speaker 3: And yeah, UNLV playing on its home floor. They've been

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Speaker 3: awesome against all the top teams in this league, and

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Speaker 3: they don't have to play a quad four game in

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Speaker 3: the tournament starting off of San Diego State, So it's

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Speaker 3: well within the realm of possibility. And I'll be honest, suckey,

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Speaker 3: I'm gonna.

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Speaker 2: Go start off with a hot take here.

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Speaker 3: I'm okay with seven teams getting in from this league,

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Speaker 3: because that's seven Mountain West teams we get to bet against.

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Speaker 1: Mountain West, not outside of San Diego State last year

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Speaker 1: has not had much success in the tournament. Does that

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Speaker 1: have anything to do you think with altitude, like they

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Speaker 1: benefit from altitude outside of during league play and then

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Speaker 1: don't get that. Do you think there's any correlation there?

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Speaker 2: I think absolutely.

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Speaker 3: Somebody I think it's Andrew Weatherman on Twitter tweeted like,

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Speaker 3: how the BPI really devalues a lot of the elevation

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Speaker 3: teams from Big Sky even down to like Texas Tech

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Speaker 3: and Lubbocks a little elevated, a couple of teams in

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Speaker 3: the Appalachian area. It really devalues those teams that play

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Speaker 3: in elevation And I went through in all those teams,

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Speaker 3: like in the NCAA tournament, are like thirty six percent

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Speaker 3: against the spread all the elevation teams, and it just

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Speaker 3: feels like they've gotten inflated in some of the rankings.

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Speaker 3: And look, I trust Ken Pomeroy and Bart Torvik to

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Speaker 3: do this stuff better than I do, but it does

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Speaker 3: seem like potentially that's a weakness in their ratings, is

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Speaker 3: that these elevation teams get overrated and then they get

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Speaker 3: into the dance and they're just not quite the same team.

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Speaker 1: Yep. Speaking of UNLV, which will play in Vegas. Do

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Speaker 1: you know the last time won the conference.

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Speaker 2: Tournament nineteen ninety two? Was it that those running rebels?

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Speaker 2: Isn't that far back?

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Speaker 1: Nope, it's two thousand and eight, Kevin Kruan. Yep. They

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Speaker 1: beat Kent then they beat Kent State. They're on eight seed.

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Speaker 1: Then they lost to number one seed Kansas in the tournament.

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Speaker 1: I believe the tournament MVP was Wink Adams if you

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Speaker 1: remember him. That's the last time UNLB did it. Looking

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Speaker 1: at the Asier San Diego State plus two thirty, they

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Speaker 1: are the favorite. Utah State the one seed. Also to

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Speaker 1: show you how deep this league is, Utah State's the

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Speaker 1: one seed. I think they are the sixth or fifth

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Speaker 1: highest finished team on Ken Palm in the Mountain once,

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Speaker 1: Is that true? Fifth or six?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, they're down there. Oh yeah, yeah, they're.

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Speaker 1: Like sub forty. But they secure the one seed and

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Speaker 1: the outright regular season title with bizarre finish, the huge

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Speaker 1: shot by Darius Brown and then I don't know what

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Speaker 1: the officials were doing at the end of that game,

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Speaker 1: but New Mexico ended up losing. Utah State gets settled

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Speaker 1: there plus four forty always shot round. I'm just going

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Speaker 1: off one book here, Nevada plus five fifty boys plus

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Speaker 1: six hundred Colorado State plus seven hundred New Mexico plus

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Speaker 1: seven hundred UNLV plus eight to fifty, this huge conglomerate

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Speaker 1: of teams all in that range, and then you have

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Speaker 1: the super long shots Wyoming, Fresno, San Jose State, air

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Speaker 1: Force two hundred and fifty to one. I think we

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Speaker 1: can cross out those four teams to start with correct.

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Speaker 2: Yes, this is a seventeam tournament.

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Speaker 3: Those four maybe you get covers because you're gonna get

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Speaker 3: huge numbers in those opening round games for San Jose

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Speaker 3: State against Colorado State and air Force against New Mexico.

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Speaker 3: But I think we get the top seven in that

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Speaker 3: quarterfinal round, and those are the ones that belong there.

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Speaker 3: We don't have to worry about futures on the long shots.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, New Mexico could punch their n birth by losing

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Speaker 1: to a team that might cost them an NCAA tournament,

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Speaker 1: and Air Force that's what they'll kick things off with,

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Speaker 1: who they somehow lost to at home. But I'll stay

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Speaker 1: right off the bat. I don't see any zero value

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Speaker 1: whatsoever in San Diego. State at plus two thirty. That

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Speaker 1: is a horrific number. I you know, I have them.

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Speaker 1: I have a bunch of teams that are like fifteen

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Speaker 1: to twenty percent to win this all in that range

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Speaker 1: like five to one, six to one. San Diego State

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Speaker 1: has to start off with, you know, a road game

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Speaker 1: where they're going to be where they you know, they

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Speaker 1: just lost at UNLV you and all these defense is incredible.

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Speaker 1: I know San Diego State started off that game like

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Speaker 1: two of twenty five from the field. But it's not

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Speaker 1: like San Diego State has traveled well this year. Part

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Speaker 1: of that is the altitude. I think that you know,

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Speaker 1: some of their road splits are really hurt by altitude.

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Speaker 1: Someone like j Pal, I think he really struggles. If

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Speaker 1: you look at his numbers in altitude and he's minutes

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Speaker 1: go way down. I think he has like a physical

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Speaker 1: issue in altitude, which is something was something worth noting.

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Speaker 1: It will will be something worth noting if the committee

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Speaker 1: sends San Diego State to Salt Lake City, so they

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Speaker 1: could end up playing in more altitude games, which I'm sure,

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Speaker 1: I'm sure they don't want, but they'll start off with

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Speaker 1: U and LB. Tough game two, really tough defenses. And

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Speaker 1: then you know, for Utah State to be plus four

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Speaker 1: forty compared to San Diego State, I mean, I think

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Speaker 1: that's way off. I mean just from a price discrepancy perspective,

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Speaker 1: because Utah State much easier game against Wyoming or whoever's

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Speaker 1: left on the Fresno State roster. And then when Utah

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Speaker 1: State and San Diego State play each other, it basically

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Speaker 1: comes down to like who can hit outside shots, and

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Speaker 1: I you know, almost trust Utah State to do that more.

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Speaker 1: But I don't think there should be that wide of

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Speaker 1: a price discrepancy between the two. So let's start up

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Speaker 1: up top in the top half of the region. What

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Speaker 1: do you see?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, similar thoughts.

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Speaker 3: I couldn't believe that San Diego State is that far

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Speaker 3: separate when they have to win three difficult games and

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Speaker 3: Utah State technically, I mean, they would have to probably

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Speaker 3: beat two of the top seven, considering the first round

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Speaker 3: matchup Wyoming or Present State. Like you said, their guards

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Speaker 3: have left me a little bit cold. They don't have

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Speaker 3: like the go getter bucket guy like Matt Bradley last year.

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Speaker 3: Butler and Tremel are solid, but they just don't have

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Speaker 3: that kind of juice one on one. I don't love

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Speaker 3: teams with best players a big man, and I guess

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Speaker 3: that technically is both Utah State and San Diego State.

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Speaker 3: Here they've got to feed Osib or feed Lad. The

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Speaker 3: guys are tremendous, but it's hard to feed them late

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Speaker 3: in the game. If the team is taking the opponent's

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Speaker 3: taking them away, you can you can scheme out a

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Speaker 3: big man much easier. So I don't really see a

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Speaker 3: ton of value on the top of the bracket.

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Speaker 2: Like you said, you gotta bet Utah State if if

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Speaker 2: you're going to do anything with either of those teams,

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Speaker 2: but you mentioned the seventh and in the league or

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Speaker 2: sixth in the league in ken Pom, I don't. I

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Speaker 2: don't fully trust them.

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Speaker 3: Do you think there's anything to sprinkle being a foot

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Speaker 3: out the door considering he's heavily rumored as a Washington candidate.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't know. That's that's very interesting. It's I mean,

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Speaker 1: I'm not betting Utah State, but it's st that's definitely

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Speaker 1: worth mentioning. Like the like UNLV, can they with their size,

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Speaker 1: they can give lad trouble And then like the two

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Speaker 1: bigs for Utah State in San Diego State. They kind

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Speaker 1: of neutralize each other, that's why. And then based on

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Speaker 1: how those defenses play, like who's gonna make threes? I

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Speaker 1: don't know. I would assume if I had a guess,

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Speaker 1: I think San Diego State probably gets the revenge over UNLV.

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Speaker 1: You know, they'll be small favorite over Utah State. Like

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Speaker 1: I think San Diego State comes out of this top half,

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Speaker 1: but I don't trust them, and definitely and not running

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Speaker 1: to bet plus two thirty absolutely zero value the number.

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Speaker 1: And I think Utah State's like close to fair. So

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Speaker 1: you know, I mean in San Diego State, they're gonna

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Speaker 1: have to go up against the UNLV team that needs

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Speaker 1: to win, and they're you're gonna get their best shot,

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Speaker 1: and they're playing incredible basketball, and like you said, they've

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Speaker 1: played all the top teams really well. So that's not

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Speaker 1: gonna be a walk in the park by any stretch.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, I'm staying away from the top half, moving

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Speaker 1: to the bottom half of the Colorado State they you know,

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Speaker 1: they get a walk in the park against San Jose

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Speaker 1: State to kick things off, and then they will presumably

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Speaker 1: get Nevada. Nevada's plus five fifty. As I mentioned, Colorado

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Speaker 1: State plus seven hundred, Nevada one at Colorado State on

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Speaker 1: a ridiculous Jared Lucas half court shot after he blew

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Speaker 1: the game from the free throw line, and then you

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Speaker 1: have New Mexico taken on air Force. You assume New

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Speaker 1: Mexico is gonna get by air Force this time, and

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Speaker 1: then they will take on a Boise State team that

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Speaker 1: I don't think they didn't necessarily match up very well with.

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Speaker 1: But New Mexico is seven to one. What do you

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Speaker 1: see in the bottom half.

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Speaker 2: Both those the two in the three seeds.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Nevada and Boise they just got a lot of

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Speaker 3: versatile size that I think is a tough matchup for

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Speaker 3: Colorado State and New Mexico coming out of those opening

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Speaker 3: around games. That Nevada Colorado State game that you mentioned

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Speaker 3: with the Lucas half quarter at Black Shehar didn't even play, Yeah,

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Speaker 3: they're their key point guard. And Colorado State still had troubles. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: and it was like a perfect spot for them, Like

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Speaker 3: they were off two losses. It's like this is where

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Speaker 3: you get your home run game, and they weren't able

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Speaker 3: to summon one. So Nevada is the team that's playing

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Speaker 3: the best in the Mountain West. They've won ten of

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Speaker 3: their last eleven since February first. They're fourteenth in bart

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Speaker 3: Torvik like they have trended up really well, and in

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Speaker 3: the fact that two of those games they didn't even

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Speaker 3: have Black Shechar arguably their best player. The combination of

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Speaker 3: size and skill is really intriguing with Nevada. Lucas is

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Speaker 3: a gunner, a true no conscious guy in the perimeter.

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Speaker 3: Black Shear is a mega versatile point guard. Macintosh is

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Speaker 3: playing better. He got a lot of confidence when black

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Speaker 3: Cheer was out, so they got more in the back court,

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Speaker 3: and then Davidson up front. It's like, Okay, We've actually

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Speaker 3: got a front court guy that stretches the floor, allows

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Speaker 3: our bigger guards to get downhill and have more driving lanes.

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Speaker 2: I like Nevada a lot.

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Speaker 3: I feel weird saying that about Steve Alford team, but

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Speaker 3: this is where I that's probably the team I'm most

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Speaker 3: intrigued by betting here in the futures market.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I completely agree. I think they're also potentially one

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Speaker 1: of the few teams that I'm really looking to back,

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Speaker 1: maybe even though we just talked about fading.

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Speaker 2: But I'm still scared.

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Speaker 3: I'm the first four last year where they got down

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Speaker 3: forty to zip against Arizona State.

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Speaker 2: I can't handle it. I can't do it again.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that was definitely traumatizing, especially if you have the pack.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, they're super versatile. Like you have you have

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Speaker 1: a guy like like you mentioned mac Dosh it doesn't

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Speaker 1: play any defense, but who can come in and fill

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Speaker 1: it up. You also can go like, you know, Hymes

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Speaker 1: is incredible defensively and you know he's probably gonna fat,

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Speaker 1: he'll probably like eighteen minutes and foul out, but he'll

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Speaker 1: give you like really good rim protection. Or you can

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Speaker 1: go like with Davidson, who's going to give you that

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Speaker 1: offensive threat. You could so like they have just a

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Speaker 1: ton of versatility, and then you know, like positional size

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Speaker 1: black can be a matchup nightmare. So yeah, I think

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Speaker 1: they match up really well with Colorado State, and I

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Speaker 1: think Boise for some of those same reasons, matches up

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Speaker 1: really well with New Mexico. You're gonna get a desperate

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Speaker 1: New Mexico team, But I like them. I like Nevada

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Speaker 1: to come out of the bottom half and you know

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Speaker 1: it six to one ish. They're probably the only team

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Speaker 1: that I'm targeting the back from a futures perspective in

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Speaker 1: the Mountain West. Do you agree?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, definitely. I mean just kind of note on

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Speaker 2: New Mexico.

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Speaker 3: Last year they lost eight of their final eleven and

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Speaker 3: lost by fifteen in the quarterfinals of this tournament. Turned

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Speaker 3: the page to this year, They've lost six of their

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Speaker 3: final ten. Probably gonna have a tough matchup in the

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Speaker 3: quarterfinals against Boise State. It feels like kind of the

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Speaker 3: same movie. And you mentioned them being desperate. I almost

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Speaker 3: don't like desperate New Mexico because then they start taking

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Speaker 3: bad shots and there's a a lot of like My

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Speaker 3: Turn Year Turn with all their guards. I know Mashburn

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Speaker 3: missed the nalely against Utah State, but probably back in

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Speaker 3: there for this one for the tournament.

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Speaker 2: That just makes me nervous.

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Speaker 3: Boise State better coach team with Leon Rice, they take

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Speaker 3: better shots. The Max Rice plus Dagenheart plus Stanley combination,

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Speaker 3: I think is really tough for New Mexico to handle.

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Speaker 3: Rice had like thirty at New Mexico. It's like the

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Speaker 3: game of his life. But poison still gives them problems overall.

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Speaker 3: So I'm with you, it's Nevada for me. That's I

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Speaker 3: think the best value in the best draw.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that New Mexico. I also just I don't know

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Speaker 1: if they'd ever fully figured out the right distribution and

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Speaker 1: rotation in their back court. And they're also I just

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Speaker 1: don't fully trust their defense. If they're not getting turnovers,

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Speaker 1: I don't fully trust their defense. But I just don't

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Speaker 1: think they've figured like they had all early in the season.

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Speaker 1: They had all you know, they never had everyone healthy together.

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Speaker 1: It's godn't have time to build continuity. And you know

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Speaker 1: you've seen the potential times, but I just don't think

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Speaker 1: they've ever fully figured it out. And in regards to

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Speaker 1: Colorado State, you know, I mean, I love Isaiah Stevens,

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Speaker 1: I love Medvat. I would need like ten to one

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Speaker 1: to back them here. They're also not super deep, and

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Speaker 1: I know they get San Jose State first, but you

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Speaker 1: have to win four games in four days, so I

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Speaker 1: can't get behind Colorado State. So it's Nevada or Pass

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Speaker 1: any other matchups you're targeting or anything else you want to.

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Speaker 3: Know here, Yeah, just fading Colorado State because they so

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Speaker 3: many teams in this league have awesome big men and

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Speaker 3: they don't, and it's hurt them. They were much better

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Speaker 3: non conference player than the league play, so a team

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Speaker 3: I want to avoid. One other little note, Utah State

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Speaker 3: did not play a single power conference team in the

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Speaker 3: non conference like they kind of didn't. I think they

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Speaker 3: tried to schedule them but weren't able to get them

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Speaker 3: and they turned the roster over. So Sprinkle didn't want

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Speaker 3: a crazy ambitious non conference slate. But as as they

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Speaker 3: go into the NCAA tournament, that is concerning to me.

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Speaker 3: If you put them up against conference athleticism, that's an issue.

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Speaker 3: And his two teams that made the tournament for Montana

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Speaker 3: State got absolutely destroyed in the first round. So I

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Speaker 3: think the same thing could happen to Utah State in

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Speaker 3: the Big Dance.

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Speaker 1: YEP. This podcast is probably resented by Bett MGM the's

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Speaker 1: there Out in Vegas, let's shift our focus to Huntsville,

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Speaker 1: Alabama for the Conference USA tournament, which was usually played

350
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Speaker 1: in Frisco. And we could bet all the unders in

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Speaker 1: the They had like the curtain right a tournament.

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Speaker 2: They had simultaneous games going on. It was insane.

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Speaker 1: I kind of miss it. Now we have this the

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Speaker 1: new Conference USA. Uh you know, if he recalled the

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Speaker 1: part Atlantic won the Conference USA Tournament last year. Now

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Speaker 1: it's like this hodgepodge of teams from all over the country.

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Speaker 1: You have New Mexico State too, you know, Sam, Houston State,

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Speaker 1: Louisiana Tech. A lot of weird travel for this for

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Speaker 1: this conference. Throughout the season, look no further than New

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Speaker 1: Mexico State had some like home wins. I don't think

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Speaker 1: they did anything away from home, although didn't they sweet

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Speaker 1: they swept Western? Did they sweep New Mexico State? I

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Speaker 1: saw somebody weird, maybe it was someone bad.

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Speaker 2: They did beat Western Kentucky, they beat.

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Speaker 1: They swept Jacksonville State. But looking at this bracket, all

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Speaker 1: nine teams make it. There's seven buys, or you can

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Speaker 1: say there's a playing game between Jacksonville State and FIU.

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Speaker 1: Sam Houston State is the one seed, but they are

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Speaker 1: not the favorite. The favorite is Louisiana Tech plus one ten,

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Speaker 1: Sam Houston State around four and a half to one,

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Speaker 1: Western Kentucky round five to one, Liberty round five to one,

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Speaker 1: UTEP eleven to one, Jacksonville State twenty eight to one.

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Speaker 1: And then you have your longest shots. New Mexico State

374
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Speaker 1: sixty to one, Middle Tennessee sixty to one, FIU one

375
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Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty to one. Let's we'll start at

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Speaker 1: the bottom. We can kind of start crossing off some

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Speaker 1: of these teams. FIU is kind of like I look

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Speaker 1: at them as they're I mean, they're terrible. They're not

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Speaker 1: worth considering. They're like they're like UTEP light in how

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Speaker 1: they profile. They're just like a worst version of UTEP.

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Speaker 1: They're bad Middle Tennessee. They're just I mean, they lost

382
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Speaker 1: a lot, they're just not the same team without Weston.

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Speaker 1: Ever since Weston went down, they just they just they

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Speaker 1: just don't have it. New Mexico State. I gotta give

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Speaker 1: them credit for what they did this year and what

386
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Speaker 1: Houghton did. I mean, they started over everything, but they

387
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Speaker 1: don't have the juice, specifically on offense. Jacksonville State, well, yes,

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Speaker 1: let's start with that group of three. I do not

389
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Speaker 1: think there's any lottery tickets worth here, would you agree?

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Speaker 2: Yeah?

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Speaker 3: If New Mexico State doesn't have that long long travel advantage,

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Speaker 3: then they're kind of out of it. And coming into

393
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Speaker 3: the year, you could argue like two of their best

394
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Speaker 3: players and most exciting potential guys were Brandon Suggs coming

395
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Speaker 3: from the American and Clarence Jackson and Vonzie Jackson had

396
00:21:16,960 --> 00:21:19,160
Speaker 3: played at Wichita and those guys are out for the year,

397
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Speaker 3: and so like any potential like talent influx when they

398
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Speaker 3: turned over all thirteen scholarships got really limited by injuries too.

399
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Speaker 3: So on a neutral floor, everybody's kind of even no

400
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Speaker 3: travel issues. Yeah, I don't see them going on any

401
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Speaker 3: kind of run.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, they won one game all year away from Las Crusis,

403
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Speaker 1: and that was a two point win at Jacksonville State.

404
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Speaker 1: Who will talk about now they're twenty eight to one.

405
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Speaker 1: They will play in the playing game against FIU.

406
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Speaker 2: They are.

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Speaker 1: I mean Ray Harper, he's a good attorney coach, He's

408
00:21:56,960 --> 00:22:00,800
Speaker 1: had some success there, can change some things up. They're

409
00:22:00,880 --> 00:22:06,040
Speaker 1: good rebounders, but they're so super reliant on just two.

410
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Speaker 1: I mean everything they do is just hey Ki Kaike

411
00:22:09,960 --> 00:22:13,720
Speaker 1: Tandy was a Xavier transfer and Lipscomb transfer Quincy Clark,

412
00:22:13,960 --> 00:22:16,399
Speaker 1: who does it less efficiently. They just try to create

413
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Speaker 1: and then try to get rebounds. I just don't see

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Speaker 1: it with this team. I like Ray Harper, He's won

415
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Speaker 1: me some money in the past, but nothing for me

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Speaker 1: on Jackson State. Would you agree?

417
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Speaker 2: Yeah? I thought they were in like a home run

418
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Speaker 2: spot to end the year.

419
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Speaker 3: Sam Houston had clinched the one seed and had nothing

420
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Speaker 3: to play for, like totally said no, no at large

421
00:22:40,640 --> 00:22:43,680
Speaker 3: chances and Jacksonville State still couldn't get inside the number

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Speaker 3: in that finale with the potential of Jacksonville State one

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Speaker 3: to maybe get out of that playing game, So that

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Speaker 3: that kind of told me, like, we're not a serious team.

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Speaker 2: Don't worry about us, yep.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean they lost. They lost three straight

427
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Speaker 1: to in the year, including home lost in New Mexico

428
00:22:59,280 --> 00:23:02,840
Speaker 1: State which was bad, and then you know they also

429
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Speaker 1: lost their home to u TEP. UTEP Liberty is the

430
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Speaker 1: four to five matchup really intriguing him. UTEP went to

431
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Speaker 1: Liberty and beat the shit out of them recently. Liberty,

432
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Speaker 1: they you know, have a really good offense under Richie McKay.

433
00:23:22,800 --> 00:23:26,119
Speaker 1: They're gonna pack line principal day, but they'll take you,

434
00:23:26,280 --> 00:23:29,160
Speaker 1: they'll force you into isolation, they'll get every defensive rebound.

435
00:23:29,440 --> 00:23:31,880
Speaker 1: They do have issues on defense. Are just not super athletic.

436
00:23:32,600 --> 00:23:37,359
Speaker 1: They play really slow. They're you know, their offense with

437
00:23:37,440 --> 00:23:39,680
Speaker 1: Kyle Road, who's who can be a matchup problems like

438
00:23:39,760 --> 00:23:42,960
Speaker 1: a point forward. He can shoot Methene can shoot, but

439
00:23:43,160 --> 00:23:48,280
Speaker 1: they're their defense definitely has some issues and athleticism can

440
00:23:48,359 --> 00:23:52,280
Speaker 1: give them fits, which is what UTEP did under Joe

441
00:23:52,359 --> 00:23:58,639
Speaker 1: Golding really aggressive defense. The offense is ugly, and this

442
00:23:58,840 --> 00:24:02,680
Speaker 1: is a team of complete extremes. They just want to

443
00:24:02,720 --> 00:24:06,000
Speaker 1: get into like crazy games. You know, they turn it

444
00:24:06,080 --> 00:24:09,080
Speaker 1: over at three and forty fifth in the country and

445
00:24:09,119 --> 00:24:13,679
Speaker 1: turnover rate number one in turnover rate forced. They get

446
00:24:13,720 --> 00:24:16,159
Speaker 1: to the line at the top ten rate, and they

447
00:24:16,480 --> 00:24:19,160
Speaker 1: send teams to the line at a top ten rate,

448
00:24:19,320 --> 00:24:23,960
Speaker 1: just turnovers, free throws all across the board. They cannot

449
00:24:24,080 --> 00:24:28,960
Speaker 1: shoot for shit, which definitely is problematic. But they kind

450
00:24:29,000 --> 00:24:33,000
Speaker 1: of just you know, ugly up a game, make it

451
00:24:33,080 --> 00:24:36,200
Speaker 1: of chaotic, which definitely gives them a little bit of

452
00:24:36,240 --> 00:24:39,159
Speaker 1: a high variance feel. And you know they're going to

453
00:24:39,200 --> 00:24:42,720
Speaker 1: be seeing them eleven to one in Liberty, you know,

454
00:24:42,920 --> 00:24:47,240
Speaker 1: plus four to eighty. I think that's I don't know,

455
00:24:47,280 --> 00:24:48,960
Speaker 1: I would I would much rather have a UTEP ticket

456
00:24:49,000 --> 00:24:50,359
Speaker 1: than a Liberty ticket. I mean, they're only going to

457
00:24:50,400 --> 00:24:53,240
Speaker 1: be like a I don't know, three three four point

458
00:24:53,320 --> 00:24:58,479
Speaker 1: underdog at most, maybe shorter. Any thoughts on Liberty end

459
00:24:58,640 --> 00:25:01,440
Speaker 1: or UTEP. It's hard to trust the UTEP offense, and

460
00:25:01,520 --> 00:25:05,640
Speaker 1: then it's hard to trust Liberty defense, which is weird.

461
00:25:05,880 --> 00:25:08,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, I think like a guy off the Tony

462
00:25:08,960 --> 00:25:11,080
Speaker 3: Bennett Tree. Oh they've they've got defense figured out in.

463
00:25:11,040 --> 00:25:12,960
Speaker 2: The pack line. But they are the smallest team in

464
00:25:13,040 --> 00:25:13,520
Speaker 2: the country.

465
00:25:13,640 --> 00:25:15,480
Speaker 3: They are tiny. They played five nine to five to

466
00:25:15,520 --> 00:25:17,640
Speaker 3: ten in the back court all the time. Their big

467
00:25:17,640 --> 00:25:19,800
Speaker 3: guys are all six six to sixty seven. They don't

468
00:25:19,800 --> 00:25:22,920
Speaker 3: have anyone towering inside. I think you can take advantage

469
00:25:22,920 --> 00:25:25,679
Speaker 3: of that. Maybe that's not exactly UTEP's game, but they

470
00:25:25,760 --> 00:25:27,720
Speaker 3: can bully those smaller guards. I think they had success

471
00:25:27,880 --> 00:25:30,040
Speaker 3: with that when they, like you said, went and want

472
00:25:30,200 --> 00:25:32,679
Speaker 3: UTEP or womped Liberty on the road in a fifty

473
00:25:32,760 --> 00:25:33,760
Speaker 3: nine possession game.

474
00:25:34,560 --> 00:25:36,560
Speaker 2: It's going to be ugly. Don't watch this game. Don't

475
00:25:36,560 --> 00:25:39,479
Speaker 2: watch those two play. It's going to be gross. That's

476
00:25:39,520 --> 00:25:42,080
Speaker 2: pretty much all UTEP games. But yeah, no, I'm with you.

477
00:25:42,359 --> 00:25:42,680
Speaker 2: I don't.

478
00:25:43,440 --> 00:25:45,359
Speaker 3: I love Liberty in the non conference and then they

479
00:25:45,359 --> 00:25:47,600
Speaker 3: got into league play and just never figured it out.

480
00:25:48,040 --> 00:25:50,040
Speaker 3: First five games of the year, it was like, holy crap.

481
00:25:50,320 --> 00:25:55,000
Speaker 3: They won their pre conference tournament or early season and

482
00:25:55,040 --> 00:25:57,280
Speaker 3: beat Ferman, wich Shaws State, and Vermont on neutral floors,

483
00:25:57,400 --> 00:26:00,720
Speaker 3: just like whoa, Okay, Liberty loses Darius McGee No, no misbeat,

484
00:26:01,359 --> 00:26:03,760
Speaker 3: but it kind of they lost the magic as they

485
00:26:03,800 --> 00:26:07,080
Speaker 3: went on. And I also really like the one seed here,

486
00:26:07,280 --> 00:26:10,320
Speaker 3: Sam Houston and the value, so I'm not super intrigued

487
00:26:10,320 --> 00:26:11,360
Speaker 3: by either the four or the five.

488
00:26:12,119 --> 00:26:14,720
Speaker 1: All right, well let's get to the one seed. Yeah,

489
00:26:14,760 --> 00:26:18,600
Speaker 1: despite being the one seed, they are plus four or

490
00:26:18,800 --> 00:26:23,600
Speaker 1: forty Sam Houston State. When I think of sam Houston

491
00:26:23,680 --> 00:26:26,960
Speaker 1: State and you know this mudge team, I think of

492
00:26:27,480 --> 00:26:31,320
Speaker 1: pressure defense, also really good on the glass. But they

493
00:26:31,560 --> 00:26:36,280
Speaker 1: closed the year winning seven straight. So come in on

494
00:26:36,960 --> 00:26:41,480
Speaker 1: a bit of a role. What do you like about

495
00:26:41,760 --> 00:26:43,280
Speaker 1: the eat them upcats?

496
00:26:44,000 --> 00:26:48,200
Speaker 2: They play their asses off. It's really impressive to watch.

497
00:26:48,280 --> 00:26:50,119
Speaker 3: I mean, I had a Louisiana Tech to win the

498
00:26:50,160 --> 00:26:53,760
Speaker 3: Conference USA regular season future ticket, and it came down

499
00:26:53,840 --> 00:26:56,600
Speaker 3: to basically the last Thursday of the year. Sam Houston

500
00:26:56,640 --> 00:27:00,240
Speaker 3: State goes to Louisiana Tech. Louisiana Tech takes money, gets

501
00:27:00,280 --> 00:27:01,720
Speaker 3: bet up from like eight to nine and a half,

502
00:27:02,520 --> 00:27:04,480
Speaker 3: and Sam Houston was up fifteen in the second half.

503
00:27:05,119 --> 00:27:07,879
Speaker 3: Final score looks close because there's a weird like flagrant

504
00:27:07,960 --> 00:27:10,760
Speaker 3: and Sam Houston turned it over a few times and

505
00:27:10,880 --> 00:27:13,040
Speaker 3: it got kind of close, but they controlled that game

506
00:27:13,119 --> 00:27:17,560
Speaker 3: on the road, and since February first, they're dead heat

507
00:27:17,640 --> 00:27:19,000
Speaker 3: even with Louisiana Tech.

508
00:27:19,600 --> 00:27:21,160
Speaker 2: And you get a slightly better draw.

509
00:27:21,600 --> 00:27:23,920
Speaker 3: As the ones he getting that play and winner, and

510
00:27:24,040 --> 00:27:27,120
Speaker 3: a much much better price, and they have much better

511
00:27:27,240 --> 00:27:29,600
Speaker 3: guards than Louisiana Tech. Well we'll get to them and

512
00:27:29,640 --> 00:27:31,639
Speaker 3: why I think that price is stupid and insane on

513
00:27:31,760 --> 00:27:35,200
Speaker 3: Louisiana Tech. But Sam Houston five to one as the

514
00:27:35,240 --> 00:27:37,640
Speaker 3: one seed with maybe the best player in the league

515
00:27:37,680 --> 00:27:40,879
Speaker 3: in Wilkerson, and a team that's well coached and very

516
00:27:40,920 --> 00:27:44,800
Speaker 3: connected and seems to enjoy playing together. I like the

517
00:27:45,040 --> 00:27:47,919
Speaker 3: Bearcats potentially do the double here with regular season and tournament.

518
00:27:49,680 --> 00:27:53,400
Speaker 1: All right, well, let me I will I'll play Devil's

519
00:27:53,400 --> 00:27:58,440
Speaker 1: Advocate and so you can respond. So we'll assume Sam

520
00:27:58,480 --> 00:28:01,679
Speaker 1: Houston State gets the quarter's good. Good thing with Sam Houston,

521
00:28:01,800 --> 00:28:03,960
Speaker 1: like you said, they play hard. They're really deep too,

522
00:28:04,640 --> 00:28:07,000
Speaker 1: so couldn't matter. You're playing three games in three days,

523
00:28:08,760 --> 00:28:12,639
Speaker 1: but that four four or five matchups. So if I

524
00:28:12,680 --> 00:28:19,440
Speaker 1: were to played Devil's Advocate with utep utep Can, like

525
00:28:19,560 --> 00:28:22,679
Speaker 1: I said, number one in the country in turnover rate forced,

526
00:28:23,480 --> 00:28:31,480
Speaker 1: that's sam Houston's weakness on offense. They played twice this year.

527
00:28:32,960 --> 00:28:36,560
Speaker 1: Sam Houston won sixty five fifty four on the road

528
00:28:36,600 --> 00:28:41,280
Speaker 1: and they won sixty to fifty six at home. They

529
00:28:41,320 --> 00:28:46,960
Speaker 1: had twenty two turnovers in that game, so UTEP just

530
00:28:47,400 --> 00:28:49,920
Speaker 1: made it ugly and it was close in the end.

531
00:28:50,160 --> 00:28:53,680
Speaker 1: And then if they had to place play Liberty, they

532
00:28:53,800 --> 00:28:56,360
Speaker 1: lost by sixteen at Liberty and then they won by

533
00:28:56,440 --> 00:28:59,959
Speaker 1: ten at home. Sam Houston's half court offense can get

534
00:29:00,120 --> 00:29:03,120
Speaker 1: really ugly. They're pretty good, and they're much better in

535
00:29:03,200 --> 00:29:07,040
Speaker 1: transition when they can run and use their athleticism, but

536
00:29:07,120 --> 00:29:11,960
Speaker 1: Liberty does not let you get out in transition. So

537
00:29:12,520 --> 00:29:14,600
Speaker 1: do we either of those matchups potentially wear you.

538
00:29:15,400 --> 00:29:20,120
Speaker 3: Liberty concerns me for sure, because they also those tiny

539
00:29:20,160 --> 00:29:22,640
Speaker 3: guards are typically pretty good at taking care of the ball,

540
00:29:22,920 --> 00:29:25,240
Speaker 3: and yeah, you're not going to get to run against Liberty.

541
00:29:25,600 --> 00:29:29,160
Speaker 3: They play fifty eight to sixty one possessions and seemingly

542
00:29:29,240 --> 00:29:32,920
Speaker 3: every game. That's not great for sam Houston. But we

543
00:29:33,040 --> 00:29:36,440
Speaker 3: mentioned a UTEP could give Liberty trouble right away, and

544
00:29:37,320 --> 00:29:40,520
Speaker 3: just kind of believe in with Jayden Ray on the floor.

545
00:29:40,720 --> 00:29:43,000
Speaker 3: They had a couple of games without him down the

546
00:29:43,000 --> 00:29:46,640
Speaker 3: stretch and he's important to them, and Wilkerson got banged

547
00:29:46,680 --> 00:29:49,000
Speaker 3: up and then he got healthy. They're the number one

548
00:29:49,040 --> 00:29:51,640
Speaker 3: team in CUSA in three point shooting and free throw shooting.

549
00:29:51,760 --> 00:29:53,840
Speaker 3: I like that in games that could come down to

550
00:29:54,480 --> 00:29:56,840
Speaker 3: down the stretch, close games, being able to knock down

551
00:29:56,840 --> 00:30:00,400
Speaker 3: those free throws. So there is some concern again liberty

552
00:30:00,440 --> 00:30:03,320
Speaker 3: for sure. No, no ticket's gonna be perfect. But again

553
00:30:03,800 --> 00:30:06,800
Speaker 3: just comparing it to to see Louisiana Tech's value, I'm

554
00:30:06,960 --> 00:30:09,520
Speaker 3: a home run all the way on Sam Houston as

555
00:30:09,560 --> 00:30:10,240
Speaker 3: a bet instead.

556
00:30:11,400 --> 00:30:15,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, I would completely agree with that. Louisiana Tech at

557
00:30:16,120 --> 00:30:20,600
Speaker 1: plus one ten. They will start off with Middle Tennessee

558
00:30:22,280 --> 00:30:27,520
Speaker 1: shouldn't have many issues with the Blue Raiders. We weren't

559
00:30:27,520 --> 00:30:29,480
Speaker 1: even good at home, like they've been a juggernaut home

560
00:30:30,520 --> 00:30:32,800
Speaker 1: in recent seasons, but they just they just don't have

561
00:30:32,880 --> 00:30:36,280
Speaker 1: anything in West Camp West are going down and killed them.

562
00:30:36,880 --> 00:30:41,160
Speaker 1: LA Tech is they are very good elite rim defense

563
00:30:41,800 --> 00:30:45,480
Speaker 1: with Bacho at the rim. Isaiah Crawford is a stud.

564
00:30:46,480 --> 00:30:50,840
Speaker 1: They can have turnover issues which could pop you know.

565
00:30:51,080 --> 00:30:51,160
Speaker 3: Now.

566
00:30:51,240 --> 00:30:54,320
Speaker 1: The thing is a lot of those teams are in

567
00:30:54,840 --> 00:30:57,160
Speaker 1: the top half of the bracket, so they don't let

568
00:30:57,160 --> 00:30:59,040
Speaker 1: the really worry about that. I don't think it's going

569
00:30:59,080 --> 00:31:04,840
Speaker 1: to cost them against Middle Tennessee, Western Kentucky, New Mexico State.

570
00:31:05,000 --> 00:31:09,240
Speaker 1: We'll assume LA Tech gets gets by Middle Tennessee. They'll

571
00:31:09,280 --> 00:31:11,320
Speaker 1: take on the winner of Western Kentucky, New Mexico State

572
00:31:12,080 --> 00:31:15,520
Speaker 1: already talked about New Mexico State. Western Kentucky really stumble

573
00:31:15,600 --> 00:31:19,320
Speaker 1: down the stretch. It's like they come in here on

574
00:31:19,440 --> 00:31:21,880
Speaker 1: a four game losing streak. They lost that Middle Tennessee,

575
00:31:22,080 --> 00:31:25,120
Speaker 1: they lost at home to Law Tech, they lost that FIU.

576
00:31:25,960 --> 00:31:29,080
Speaker 1: Now these are all close games. Three or four were

577
00:31:29,120 --> 00:31:31,960
Speaker 1: on the road, and then they lost that Liberty. But

578
00:31:32,160 --> 00:31:35,520
Speaker 1: Western Kentucky, they are the fastest team in D one,

579
00:31:35,760 --> 00:31:37,920
Speaker 1: number one in the justin tempo. They run some good

580
00:31:38,000 --> 00:31:41,320
Speaker 1: stuff like I like what they run under Steve Lots,

581
00:31:41,320 --> 00:31:42,640
Speaker 1: but they turn it over too much and they get

582
00:31:42,720 --> 00:31:46,280
Speaker 1: no offensive rebounds, which kind of makes their offense inefficient.

583
00:31:47,680 --> 00:31:49,960
Speaker 1: So can any of these teams before we talk about

584
00:31:49,960 --> 00:31:52,120
Speaker 1: a potential LA Tech Sam Houston matchup, can any of

585
00:31:52,120 --> 00:31:55,560
Speaker 1: these teams either Western Kentucky and Mexico State Middle Tennessee can.

586
00:31:56,360 --> 00:31:59,880
Speaker 1: I would imagine it's Western Kentucky who won in RUSS,

587
00:32:00,200 --> 00:32:03,640
Speaker 1: which is hard to do. What do you see about

588
00:32:03,640 --> 00:32:05,480
Speaker 1: the potential Western Kentucky Law Tech matchup.

589
00:32:05,720 --> 00:32:08,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, Western Kentucky's really talented. It was a team that

590
00:32:09,000 --> 00:32:11,640
Speaker 3: took a while to come together in the non conference

591
00:32:11,720 --> 00:32:15,720
Speaker 3: because they changed over a bunch of their roster with

592
00:32:15,800 --> 00:32:18,960
Speaker 3: Steve Blutz coming in from Corpus Christy, two really good

593
00:32:19,000 --> 00:32:20,640
Speaker 3: juco players that had to get used to the speed

594
00:32:20,680 --> 00:32:24,800
Speaker 3: of the game. But they played Louisiana Tech super tough.

595
00:32:24,880 --> 00:32:26,760
Speaker 3: Both games you mentioned they did win on the road,

596
00:32:26,800 --> 00:32:29,040
Speaker 3: and then the second game they were right there the

597
00:32:29,080 --> 00:32:31,600
Speaker 3: whole way. I was watching that with my clutching my

598
00:32:31,680 --> 00:32:34,640
Speaker 3: Louisiana Tech ticket for CSA, hoping that they were able

599
00:32:34,680 --> 00:32:37,960
Speaker 3: to survive, and they did. They got some contributions down

600
00:32:37,960 --> 00:32:39,760
Speaker 3: the stretch from Tigan Moore, the freshmen. He had a

601
00:32:39,920 --> 00:32:43,280
Speaker 3: huge game against Louisiana Tech. I just do not trust

602
00:32:43,320 --> 00:32:46,240
Speaker 3: Louisiana Techs guards. If they can't get the ball to

603
00:32:46,320 --> 00:32:50,320
Speaker 3: Crawford and Bacco, they like you said, the turnovers, the

604
00:32:50,440 --> 00:32:53,640
Speaker 3: bad passes, they don't get you into their sets very well.

605
00:32:54,200 --> 00:32:56,120
Speaker 3: Chavez is a great shooter, but he's not like the

606
00:32:56,240 --> 00:32:59,080
Speaker 3: creator off the bounce. That's like all Sean Newman Junior

607
00:32:59,160 --> 00:33:02,320
Speaker 3: and He's good, but not great. Shouldn't be the best

608
00:33:02,360 --> 00:33:06,320
Speaker 3: guard on a heavy, heavy favorite in the mid major League.

609
00:33:06,680 --> 00:33:09,480
Speaker 3: So while they're a little like app State in the

610
00:33:09,520 --> 00:33:12,800
Speaker 3: Sun Belt, like the dominant, dominant rim defense, but half

611
00:33:12,880 --> 00:33:15,600
Speaker 3: court offense and guard play, just our weakness is enough

612
00:33:15,640 --> 00:33:18,000
Speaker 3: to me where I think Western Kentucky could could nip

613
00:33:18,080 --> 00:33:18,800
Speaker 3: them in the semlis.

614
00:33:20,080 --> 00:33:23,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, in Western Kentucky, like it's set with their talent

615
00:33:23,760 --> 00:33:25,960
Speaker 1: and then you know, all of like the great motion

616
00:33:26,200 --> 00:33:32,080
Speaker 1: stuff that they run kind of gave Louisiana Tech issues

617
00:33:32,120 --> 00:33:35,920
Speaker 1: and it just kind of it kind of neutralized Bacho's

618
00:33:36,800 --> 00:33:40,400
Speaker 1: presence in the middle. They put up what did they

619
00:33:40,400 --> 00:33:45,240
Speaker 1: scored eighty four and eighty one against LA Tech in

620
00:33:45,480 --> 00:33:49,760
Speaker 1: two meetings. So you mentioned Sam Houston's the value, I

621
00:33:49,760 --> 00:33:52,320
Speaker 1: would agree Mutch much more about State LA Tech at

622
00:33:52,320 --> 00:33:55,280
Speaker 1: close to even money, no thank you, And you would

623
00:33:55,320 --> 00:33:58,560
Speaker 1: like the matchup of Sam Houston against LA Tech if

624
00:33:58,600 --> 00:33:59,120
Speaker 1: they get there.

625
00:33:59,360 --> 00:34:03,640
Speaker 3: They so many turnovers and just gave those guards hell.

626
00:34:04,240 --> 00:34:06,840
Speaker 3: They were able to exploit them inside. Louis Ana Tech

627
00:34:06,920 --> 00:34:09,600
Speaker 3: did that to Sam Houston State. I mean, but I

628
00:34:09,680 --> 00:34:12,480
Speaker 3: think it's a good matchup, and I just don't get

629
00:34:12,520 --> 00:34:15,000
Speaker 3: warm and fuzzies watching a lot of tech. Matt Cox

630
00:34:15,040 --> 00:34:17,360
Speaker 3: probably says it better my cohort, but he's just like,

631
00:34:18,200 --> 00:34:20,800
Speaker 3: they look like they're always trying to hang on to

632
00:34:20,920 --> 00:34:23,040
Speaker 3: a lead, Like there's never this like killer instinct where

633
00:34:23,040 --> 00:34:26,160
Speaker 3: they're gonna twist the knife and sometimes they're losing and

634
00:34:26,239 --> 00:34:28,879
Speaker 3: that looks even worse than But yeah, it's the ball

635
00:34:28,920 --> 00:34:29,719
Speaker 3: handling the guard player.

636
00:34:29,719 --> 00:34:33,280
Speaker 2: I just don't trust it at that price is ridiculous

637
00:34:33,320 --> 00:34:33,480
Speaker 2: to me.

638
00:34:33,960 --> 00:34:36,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, are the only team that I could make a

639
00:34:36,120 --> 00:34:38,560
Speaker 1: case for as a semi long shot would be U TAP,

640
00:34:39,280 --> 00:34:41,920
Speaker 1: just because I think that they have some matchup advantages

641
00:34:42,000 --> 00:34:46,520
Speaker 1: against their athletic advantage against Liberty, and Liberty is not

642
00:34:46,560 --> 00:34:50,160
Speaker 1: going to turn them over Aton, which is what really

643
00:34:50,280 --> 00:34:52,839
Speaker 1: kills U TAP, and then against Sam Houston, they can

644
00:34:53,000 --> 00:34:57,200
Speaker 1: just make that a ridiculous game. So if you could

645
00:34:57,239 --> 00:34:59,840
Speaker 1: find like a you know, these odds aren't out everywhere.

646
00:35:00,400 --> 00:35:03,040
Speaker 1: I don't know, like a rogue thirteen fifteen to one

647
00:35:03,760 --> 00:35:07,760
Speaker 1: on UTEPH just because I think that their style, depending

648
00:35:07,800 --> 00:35:10,680
Speaker 1: on how it's being called the game now, I hate

649
00:35:10,680 --> 00:35:12,720
Speaker 1: their offense and they're not going to make any threes,

650
00:35:12,880 --> 00:35:15,880
Speaker 1: but I don't know. That's the only team that I

651
00:35:15,920 --> 00:35:19,200
Speaker 1: could make a case for no lottery tickets, but for

652
00:35:19,400 --> 00:35:23,479
Speaker 1: UTEP just based on some matchup advantages that they could

653
00:35:24,239 --> 00:35:27,480
Speaker 1: exploit in their first couple of games. All right, let's

654
00:35:27,560 --> 00:35:30,399
Speaker 1: move on to what do we have left?

655
00:35:30,440 --> 00:35:33,839
Speaker 2: We have the MAC and Eric the ADAAC.

656
00:35:34,800 --> 00:35:37,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, let's go to the American let me check some scores.

657
00:35:37,640 --> 00:35:42,120
Speaker 1: We're doing this while the regular season winds down, which

658
00:35:42,400 --> 00:35:45,240
Speaker 1: it has. UAB came back to beat SMU.

659
00:35:45,760 --> 00:35:48,759
Speaker 2: No wo Yeah, our brackets thrown off now.

660
00:35:49,320 --> 00:35:51,040
Speaker 1: And I'll resend you another one I can do in

661
00:35:51,160 --> 00:35:56,480
Speaker 1: two seconds. All right, UAB came back to beat SMU.

662
00:35:57,280 --> 00:35:59,600
Speaker 1: All right, never mind it change the guys. Fucking Temple

663
00:35:59,680 --> 00:36:03,920
Speaker 1: came back to beat UTSA. So just to fill you

664
00:36:03,960 --> 00:36:07,160
Speaker 1: guys in, I sent a half hour ago Temple. SMU

665
00:36:07,280 --> 00:36:10,720
Speaker 1: was up I mean fifteen, and UTSA was up twelve

666
00:36:11,360 --> 00:36:13,680
Speaker 1: when we started this, and I sent Jim the bracket

667
00:36:14,120 --> 00:36:16,839
Speaker 1: and UTSA blew a lead the Temple. I guess Temple

668
00:36:16,960 --> 00:36:21,440
Speaker 1: wasn't shaving today and SMU? What is going on with SMU?

669
00:36:21,920 --> 00:36:24,439
Speaker 3: They just don't win a close game I did. They're

670
00:36:24,560 --> 00:36:27,320
Speaker 3: like so much worse than their metrics. They're they're the

671
00:36:27,400 --> 00:36:29,799
Speaker 3: anti South Florida in this conference, So I.

672
00:36:29,840 --> 00:36:34,680
Speaker 1: Think that impacted all the bottom seeds. Temple Utsa rematch,

673
00:36:36,800 --> 00:36:42,040
Speaker 1: My beloved Utsa drops to the fourteen from the ten

674
00:36:42,120 --> 00:36:45,640
Speaker 1: because of that. Oh man, there to be the one.

675
00:36:45,960 --> 00:36:47,920
Speaker 3: There's a chance tou Lane was going to finish fourteenth,

676
00:36:48,000 --> 00:36:50,239
Speaker 3: and it was like, how did this happen with this roster?

677
00:36:50,480 --> 00:36:51,840
Speaker 2: But thankfully they're out of that.

678
00:36:53,520 --> 00:36:57,640
Speaker 1: Tulane finishes as the ten seed. This sucks. I hate

679
00:36:57,680 --> 00:36:59,880
Speaker 1: this bracket now because I was gonna make a k

680
00:37:00,440 --> 00:37:02,520
Speaker 1: two of them, two teams that were like semi or

681
00:37:03,280 --> 00:37:05,320
Speaker 1: long shots were I was gonna make a case for

682
00:37:05,360 --> 00:37:07,160
Speaker 1: maybe you could look at North Texas or two Lane

683
00:37:07,600 --> 00:37:10,040
Speaker 1: and they fucking play each other now, yeah.

684
00:37:10,120 --> 00:37:12,560
Speaker 2: And then they both go to fau waiting for them

685
00:37:12,640 --> 00:37:12,800
Speaker 2: like that.

686
00:37:13,200 --> 00:37:14,840
Speaker 3: North Texas was the one I wanted to bet, and

687
00:37:15,239 --> 00:37:16,800
Speaker 3: unfortunately their draws sucks.

688
00:37:17,200 --> 00:37:20,120
Speaker 1: All right, so let's let's talk about this. We're going

689
00:37:20,160 --> 00:37:24,000
Speaker 1: based off of one book here that that's not you know,

690
00:37:24,120 --> 00:37:27,600
Speaker 1: the most efficient market. They'll be ballpark, right, and we'll

691
00:37:27,640 --> 00:37:29,400
Speaker 1: just talk kind of high level but that you know,

692
00:37:29,480 --> 00:37:32,920
Speaker 1: these odds have been out before the bracket was finalized,

693
00:37:33,560 --> 00:37:36,640
Speaker 1: but Florida Atlantic is the favorite here plus one sixty

694
00:37:37,000 --> 00:37:41,960
Speaker 1: five no, thank you there, Jesus plus one sixty five.

695
00:37:41,960 --> 00:37:44,560
Speaker 1: I think I have them met, Like what's fair three

696
00:37:44,600 --> 00:37:46,120
Speaker 1: and a half to one or something four to one

697
00:37:46,640 --> 00:37:54,040
Speaker 1: Memphis plus four forty SMU plus four eighty, USF plus

698
00:37:54,120 --> 00:37:57,799
Speaker 1: five fifty North Texas plus eight fifty Charlotte thirteen to one,

699
00:37:58,080 --> 00:38:00,719
Speaker 1: u AB twenty four to one. You get down to

700
00:38:00,760 --> 00:38:03,239
Speaker 1: some long shots. Tou Lane one hundred and fifty to one,

701
00:38:04,239 --> 00:38:07,080
Speaker 1: UTSA two hundred and fifty to one. Where do we

702
00:38:07,120 --> 00:38:11,360
Speaker 1: even start with this league? It's there's a lot to

703
00:38:11,400 --> 00:38:15,600
Speaker 1: get to here. Let's let's start at the top. And

704
00:38:16,000 --> 00:38:20,200
Speaker 1: USF is the one seed although they're five six to one.

705
00:38:21,719 --> 00:38:24,520
Speaker 1: This is a team that I've rarely got. I've gotten

706
00:38:24,560 --> 00:38:26,160
Speaker 1: him a few times. I got him on Saturday on

707
00:38:26,239 --> 00:38:30,080
Speaker 1: Saturday at Tulsa. But they've gotten me a bunch. I

708
00:38:30,200 --> 00:38:33,919
Speaker 1: love how they play. They they're very well coached. Case

709
00:38:33,960 --> 00:38:36,480
Speaker 1: and Pryor is apparent whenever I bet against them. Case

710
00:38:36,520 --> 00:38:39,279
Speaker 1: and Bryor is like an All American. He's like a

711
00:38:39,320 --> 00:38:42,600
Speaker 1: bench rider, a boise, and he's been He's been great

712
00:38:42,680 --> 00:38:46,200
Speaker 1: for them. They also have great guards, but they've definitely

713
00:38:46,280 --> 00:38:49,880
Speaker 1: benefited from shooting luck in league play and I think

714
00:38:49,920 --> 00:38:52,480
Speaker 1: a bit they've I mean they've shot forty percent. Their

715
00:38:52,520 --> 00:38:55,480
Speaker 1: opponents have shot twenty nine percent. That kind of bit

716
00:38:55,560 --> 00:38:59,600
Speaker 1: them against Tulsa South Florida because that lost to Tulsa.

717
00:38:59,600 --> 00:39:03,040
Speaker 1: Definitely to win this to punch a ticket to the dance,

718
00:39:03,719 --> 00:39:08,200
Speaker 1: they will get the winner of ECU Tulsa to be

719
00:39:09,160 --> 00:39:13,879
Speaker 1: a rematch of that Tulsa USF game five to one.

720
00:39:14,560 --> 00:39:17,160
Speaker 1: Do you believe in USF? Do you think there's any value?

721
00:39:18,200 --> 00:39:18,879
Speaker 1: What do you see there?

722
00:39:19,560 --> 00:39:21,960
Speaker 2: I kind of do. I believe in them, man, I

723
00:39:22,000 --> 00:39:23,680
Speaker 2: think there's a little bit of value.

724
00:39:24,360 --> 00:39:28,440
Speaker 3: I just think they're better than every full season metric

725
00:39:28,880 --> 00:39:31,040
Speaker 3: shows because they were awful to start the year first

726
00:39:31,080 --> 00:39:34,799
Speaker 3: month again, Yeah, awful, awesome.

727
00:39:34,480 --> 00:39:36,880
Speaker 2: Home to Maine, home in Central Michigan, like what is

728
00:39:36,920 --> 00:39:39,920
Speaker 2: going on? But they're super talented.

729
00:39:40,480 --> 00:39:43,719
Speaker 3: They brought in some guys from that Kannisaw team that

730
00:39:43,880 --> 00:39:45,960
Speaker 3: du Raheem had in the tournament that played with Xavier

731
00:39:46,040 --> 00:39:48,000
Speaker 3: to like the very very end of that game in

732
00:39:48,080 --> 00:39:49,920
Speaker 3: the first round last year.

733
00:39:50,600 --> 00:39:52,759
Speaker 2: And as you mentioned, they're super well coached. Like I

734
00:39:52,800 --> 00:39:53,480
Speaker 2: saw them live.

735
00:39:53,600 --> 00:39:56,759
Speaker 3: I was at the two lane South Florida game like

736
00:39:56,840 --> 00:39:59,400
Speaker 3: five days ago, and they just and the ball ends

737
00:39:59,480 --> 00:40:01,279
Speaker 3: up in the right guy's hands, like all the time

738
00:40:01,400 --> 00:40:04,160
Speaker 3: in spots that are beneficial, like oh, young Blood's catching

739
00:40:04,200 --> 00:40:08,440
Speaker 3: it the elbow, able to knock down a shot over somebody,

740
00:40:08,880 --> 00:40:11,160
Speaker 3: or Miguel's catching the ball in the corner off rotation

741
00:40:11,239 --> 00:40:12,200
Speaker 3: and he's knocking down a three.

742
00:40:12,280 --> 00:40:12,320
Speaker 1: Like.

743
00:40:12,560 --> 00:40:15,680
Speaker 3: They are very well structured, and over the past month

744
00:40:15,760 --> 00:40:18,920
Speaker 3: they've been a top fifty team per bart Torvik against

745
00:40:19,640 --> 00:40:22,560
Speaker 3: the top one fifty per Bart. They're also a top

746
00:40:22,600 --> 00:40:24,759
Speaker 3: fifty team. Like you take out some of these bad

747
00:40:24,800 --> 00:40:27,799
Speaker 3: losses against inferior competition early, and like every metric shows

748
00:40:27,800 --> 00:40:30,719
Speaker 3: that this is a top fifty team, the resume doesn't

749
00:40:30,760 --> 00:40:31,239
Speaker 3: quite show it.

750
00:40:31,640 --> 00:40:33,480
Speaker 2: The resume isn't going to be at large good like

751
00:40:33,560 --> 00:40:36,359
Speaker 2: you said, because of those losses. But I think they

752
00:40:36,400 --> 00:40:38,960
Speaker 2: are legit and the draw isn't terrible.

753
00:40:40,760 --> 00:40:44,000
Speaker 3: Memphis UAB potential candidates, so we can talk about their value.

754
00:40:44,160 --> 00:40:46,200
Speaker 3: I think UAB is a much better bet than Memphis

755
00:40:46,640 --> 00:40:49,440
Speaker 3: at the prices we have listed. But I'm kind of

756
00:40:49,480 --> 00:40:51,640
Speaker 3: intrigued by South Florida given that they're priced like a

757
00:40:51,680 --> 00:40:54,680
Speaker 3: team that's eighty seven, and I truly believe they're.

758
00:40:54,600 --> 00:40:57,840
Speaker 2: Like the forty fifth or fifty fifth best team in

759
00:40:57,880 --> 00:40:58,280
Speaker 2: the country.

760
00:40:59,160 --> 00:41:01,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, which would make sense that they're sort of mispriced

761
00:41:01,840 --> 00:41:04,799
Speaker 1: in the market because it seems like they are more

762
00:41:04,840 --> 00:41:08,120
Speaker 1: often than not because they were they were covering Juggernauts

763
00:41:09,040 --> 00:41:12,600
Speaker 1: in league play. So I definitely think that they're most

764
00:41:12,719 --> 00:41:17,240
Speaker 1: likely much better than the market. And look, they played Tulsa,

765
00:41:17,280 --> 00:41:21,359
Speaker 1: they could who they could play again, but I mean PJ.

766
00:41:21,520 --> 00:41:24,280
Speaker 1: Haggerdy just went bananas and they shot four of twenty

767
00:41:24,320 --> 00:41:27,920
Speaker 1: three from three. Ah, so you know, they lost by

768
00:41:27,960 --> 00:41:31,080
Speaker 1: six at Tulsa. I think that they'll probably get through

769
00:41:31,200 --> 00:41:36,360
Speaker 1: the Semis, and if that's the case, they will most

770
00:41:36,560 --> 00:41:41,359
Speaker 1: likely face You have Memphis down there, Memphis, we could

771
00:41:41,400 --> 00:41:44,640
Speaker 1: fade Penny as a big favorite if Rice wins.

772
00:41:45,120 --> 00:41:49,479
Speaker 2: Yes, Oh god, that team is so erratic. I can't

773
00:41:49,480 --> 00:41:49,880
Speaker 2: handle it.

774
00:41:50,600 --> 00:41:55,800
Speaker 1: So is Memphis. So you have meant, didn't Rice beat Memphis?

775
00:41:56,719 --> 00:41:56,919
Speaker 2: Yes?

776
00:41:57,320 --> 00:41:59,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, like at Memphis that was the one where I

777
00:41:59,360 --> 00:42:01,680
Speaker 3: think this Penny like almost threw his team in the

778
00:42:01,719 --> 00:42:03,759
Speaker 3: trash afterwards, you know, he almost lost it.

779
00:42:04,320 --> 00:42:09,359
Speaker 1: Yeah. So Memphis is an interesting team. They obviously want

780
00:42:09,400 --> 00:42:11,719
Speaker 1: to play fast, they want to pressure you own defense.

781
00:42:12,120 --> 00:42:15,680
Speaker 1: They have a ton of talent led by David Jones.

782
00:42:16,719 --> 00:42:20,240
Speaker 1: You've also Quarner Lee on the roster. They could face

783
00:42:20,520 --> 00:42:25,040
Speaker 1: a UAB team in the four or five matchup, assuming

784
00:42:25,080 --> 00:42:31,840
Speaker 1: they goodbye, which does State or Rice? That beat Memphis

785
00:42:31,960 --> 00:42:36,040
Speaker 1: by nine at home and then they lost by twenty

786
00:42:36,120 --> 00:42:40,319
Speaker 1: on the road in a game that UAB led by

787
00:42:40,480 --> 00:42:44,680
Speaker 1: twenty two and they lost by nineteen. I think it's

788
00:42:44,800 --> 00:42:51,320
Speaker 1: the second biggest turnaround from a deficit to a winning

789
00:42:51,400 --> 00:42:55,160
Speaker 1: margin in NCAA history. Do you know what the first was?

790
00:42:55,680 --> 00:42:56,440
Speaker 1: Happened this year?

791
00:42:56,760 --> 00:42:57,520
Speaker 2: Was it? Wake Forest?

792
00:42:58,040 --> 00:42:59,000
Speaker 1: Wake Forest? Elon?

793
00:42:59,480 --> 00:43:01,279
Speaker 2: Wow, can't believe I pulled that. I think I bet

794
00:43:01,360 --> 00:43:03,839
Speaker 2: you that game. I think I bet on wake Forest.

795
00:43:03,920 --> 00:43:05,799
Speaker 2: That's I remember being like, wow, they have no chance

796
00:43:05,920 --> 00:43:07,600
Speaker 2: and then they covered. It was insane.

797
00:43:08,320 --> 00:43:10,080
Speaker 1: What was the line in that game? Do you remember?

798
00:43:10,280 --> 00:43:12,880
Speaker 3: I think it was like nineteen and a half or something.

799
00:43:13,680 --> 00:43:15,480
Speaker 3: Let me let me look up what it closed. But yeah,

800
00:43:15,520 --> 00:43:18,720
Speaker 3: that game was bananas. It was like, oh, wake Forest

801
00:43:18,920 --> 00:43:22,200
Speaker 3: is rolling over. It's early in the season, they're playing

802
00:43:22,239 --> 00:43:25,520
Speaker 3: inferior foe at home and they just they're getting.

803
00:43:25,280 --> 00:43:27,480
Speaker 2: Steamrolled by them. How is that possible? Elon is bad?

804
00:43:28,120 --> 00:43:30,720
Speaker 2: And then all the way about Yeah, Opener minus nineteen

805
00:43:30,719 --> 00:43:31,960
Speaker 2: and a half was the line, and they went by

806
00:43:32,000 --> 00:43:32,279
Speaker 2: twenty and.

807
00:43:32,280 --> 00:43:34,040
Speaker 1: They won by twenty three.

808
00:43:34,200 --> 00:43:34,399
Speaker 2: Yeah.

809
00:43:35,480 --> 00:43:40,640
Speaker 1: Wow, that's insane. So yeah, they could play a UAB

810
00:43:40,760 --> 00:43:44,040
Speaker 1: team where they had crazy high scoring games. I would

811
00:43:44,040 --> 00:43:48,799
Speaker 1: expect a lot of points. Again, so Memphis, I mean

812
00:43:49,360 --> 00:43:54,919
Speaker 1: Memphis at five to one, no, thank you. I can't

813
00:43:54,920 --> 00:43:55,759
Speaker 1: figure out that team.

814
00:43:56,160 --> 00:43:58,759
Speaker 2: If you can, you can, you should be their coach

815
00:43:58,800 --> 00:43:59,920
Speaker 2: because their coach can't figure them.

816
00:44:00,320 --> 00:44:02,200
Speaker 1: So yeah, you never know what you're going to get

817
00:44:02,640 --> 00:44:05,800
Speaker 1: on a game the game basis. So what do you

818
00:44:05,880 --> 00:44:08,080
Speaker 1: make of the kind of bottom half of the top

819
00:44:08,880 --> 00:44:12,839
Speaker 1: with memphisis the four? Excuse me, UAV is the four,

820
00:44:12,920 --> 00:44:13,799
Speaker 1: Memphis the five?

821
00:44:14,520 --> 00:44:17,319
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think if you're going to go with anything there,

822
00:44:17,680 --> 00:44:20,720
Speaker 3: I wouldn't mind UAB. I think that roster's really talented

823
00:44:20,840 --> 00:44:24,120
Speaker 3: and has played much better against better competition this year.

824
00:44:25,160 --> 00:44:27,680
Speaker 3: They're They're not awesome against inferior foes. They were not

825
00:44:27,760 --> 00:44:30,480
Speaker 3: a great like big favorite in non com play at all.

826
00:44:30,920 --> 00:44:34,640
Speaker 3: But they did beat Memphis once. They took Florida Atlantic

827
00:44:34,719 --> 00:44:37,560
Speaker 3: to OT and won in that one that they won

828
00:44:37,680 --> 00:44:40,480
Speaker 3: at North Texas and OT. Like, I kind of think

829
00:44:40,560 --> 00:44:43,279
Speaker 3: there's I mean, there's immensely more value on UAB at

830
00:44:43,320 --> 00:44:45,279
Speaker 3: twenty four to one than Memphis at five to one,

831
00:44:45,360 --> 00:44:48,040
Speaker 3: especially they have to win one less game, and I

832
00:44:48,120 --> 00:44:49,839
Speaker 3: know they lost by nineteen to Memphis, but they also

833
00:44:49,840 --> 00:44:50,320
Speaker 3: did get.

834
00:44:50,200 --> 00:44:52,279
Speaker 2: Up twenty two. Like you mentioned that that matters, like

835
00:44:52,360 --> 00:44:56,320
Speaker 2: being able to have that gear. I'm not I don't know.

836
00:44:56,520 --> 00:44:57,640
Speaker 2: I'm intrigued by UAB.

837
00:44:58,160 --> 00:45:01,080
Speaker 3: I'm not going to touch Memphis here because I just

838
00:45:01,600 --> 00:45:03,600
Speaker 3: don't get the good sense of and the vibes around

839
00:45:03,640 --> 00:45:06,080
Speaker 3: that team are not They're not good at this point.

840
00:45:05,920 --> 00:45:06,239
Speaker 2: In the year.

841
00:45:07,160 --> 00:45:11,400
Speaker 1: I agree. They also put up ninety seven in a

842
00:45:11,520 --> 00:45:16,160
Speaker 1: win over Memphis at home, So yeah, I would maybe

843
00:45:16,200 --> 00:45:17,759
Speaker 1: give a glance shop around to see if you can

844
00:45:17,800 --> 00:45:23,520
Speaker 1: find even a better price on UAB, way way more

845
00:45:23,640 --> 00:45:25,440
Speaker 1: value than Memphis. But let's move on to the bottom

846
00:45:25,520 --> 00:45:29,680
Speaker 1: half of the bracket. You have Temple taking on UTSA

847
00:45:29,840 --> 00:45:33,200
Speaker 1: in a rematch where Temple just somehow came back.

848
00:45:33,239 --> 00:45:33,719
Speaker 2: I don't know.

849
00:45:33,760 --> 00:45:35,799
Speaker 1: I didn't catch any of the game. They won eighty

850
00:45:35,880 --> 00:45:41,520
Speaker 1: four eighty two. Utsa had turned into I don't know

851
00:45:41,600 --> 00:45:44,239
Speaker 1: what happened to them for four games. They almost beat

852
00:45:44,320 --> 00:45:47,600
Speaker 1: South Florida, then they go to North Texas and win,

853
00:45:48,920 --> 00:45:51,320
Speaker 1: then they blow out Tulsa, then they go to SMU

854
00:45:51,440 --> 00:45:55,120
Speaker 1: and win, and then of course they lose at home

855
00:45:55,200 --> 00:45:57,600
Speaker 1: to Temple, blowing a big lead, drop from the ten

856
00:45:58,200 --> 00:46:01,719
Speaker 1: to the fourteen seed. They they're obviously a much better

857
00:46:01,760 --> 00:46:04,720
Speaker 1: team than they were early in the year, primarily because

858
00:46:05,200 --> 00:46:09,800
Speaker 1: they got Jordan ivy Cerry eligible because he didn't play

859
00:46:11,320 --> 00:46:15,359
Speaker 1: the first what ten or eleven games, and he gives

860
00:46:15,400 --> 00:46:19,320
Speaker 1: them a big scoring punch off of the bench. I

861
00:46:19,360 --> 00:46:21,480
Speaker 1: think he still comes off the bench, right, Yep, yep,

862
00:46:21,560 --> 00:46:24,480
Speaker 1: he does. Yeah. He Jordan ivc Cerry, who was at

863
00:46:24,600 --> 00:46:29,640
Speaker 1: UTSA before, And I wonder how many players have what's

864
00:46:29,680 --> 00:46:31,360
Speaker 1: the actual number on players who have done that? He

865
00:46:31,400 --> 00:46:33,120
Speaker 1: was at UTSA, I went to Pacific for a year,

866
00:46:33,200 --> 00:46:38,000
Speaker 1: came back to UTSA two fifty to one. I thought

867
00:46:38,040 --> 00:46:40,480
Speaker 1: about it. I thought, that's one of my you's sick.

868
00:46:40,520 --> 00:46:43,600
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, I thought about it. How they were playing,

869
00:46:44,280 --> 00:46:46,080
Speaker 1: but they blew up. I thought they were going to

870
00:46:46,120 --> 00:46:50,040
Speaker 1: be a ten seed. Now they dropped to the fourteen.

871
00:46:50,760 --> 00:46:53,720
Speaker 1: Now they got to win five games in five days

872
00:46:53,880 --> 00:46:56,200
Speaker 1: and they blew a big lead the Temple, So maybe

873
00:46:56,239 --> 00:46:59,680
Speaker 1: they started the show they're true Colors. But the winner

874
00:46:59,719 --> 00:47:03,799
Speaker 1: of that game would get SMU. UTSA did just win

875
00:47:04,040 --> 00:47:12,160
Speaker 1: at SMU. SMU like extremely good defense, very good offensive, rebounders.

876
00:47:12,880 --> 00:47:17,360
Speaker 1: But something's off. I don't I don't know what like.

877
00:47:17,440 --> 00:47:20,680
Speaker 1: I like some of their individual pieces. I really like Phelps,

878
00:47:21,680 --> 00:47:23,520
Speaker 1: but this is how they closed the ear. You know,

879
00:47:23,560 --> 00:47:26,960
Speaker 1: they lost that FAU, they lost at South Florida, both

880
00:47:27,000 --> 00:47:31,480
Speaker 1: by double digits. They lost at home to UTSA after

881
00:47:31,600 --> 00:47:33,920
Speaker 1: both of those games, then they need overtime to beat

882
00:47:33,960 --> 00:47:40,160
Speaker 1: ECU at home, and then today they cost themselves the

883
00:47:40,280 --> 00:47:44,360
Speaker 1: double bye by blowing a big lead to UAB. What

884
00:47:44,560 --> 00:47:45,520
Speaker 1: is going on with SMU.

885
00:47:46,560 --> 00:47:47,600
Speaker 2: I can't figure them out.

886
00:47:48,000 --> 00:47:51,000
Speaker 3: It's I think there's some erratic guard play with them,

887
00:47:51,000 --> 00:47:54,320
Speaker 3: where sometimes Chuck Harris and Zerich Phelps are unstoppable, and

888
00:47:54,440 --> 00:47:57,440
Speaker 3: then sometimes they're not all the way dialed in. Then

889
00:47:57,480 --> 00:47:59,880
Speaker 3: they'll turn it over a little bit. They'll take shots

890
00:48:00,040 --> 00:48:02,279
Speaker 3: that they just feel like chucking up rather than letting

891
00:48:02,280 --> 00:48:05,160
Speaker 3: the offense work for them. And this was a team

892
00:48:05,200 --> 00:48:08,880
Speaker 3: for a while. They've descended Ken Palm and ranks like that.

893
00:48:09,080 --> 00:48:12,960
Speaker 3: That was worse than its record, or I guess worse

894
00:48:13,000 --> 00:48:14,759
Speaker 3: than its predictive show, because they just didn't win any

895
00:48:14,760 --> 00:48:17,479
Speaker 3: close games. And I think that also speaks a little

896
00:48:17,520 --> 00:48:19,600
Speaker 3: bit to the guard play and just not having guys

897
00:48:19,640 --> 00:48:23,480
Speaker 3: that are consistent enough and take the right shots, and

898
00:48:24,400 --> 00:48:26,920
Speaker 3: the defense has slipped a little bit. I think there

899
00:48:27,000 --> 00:48:28,640
Speaker 3: was some shooting lock in it early in the season,

900
00:48:28,680 --> 00:48:29,160
Speaker 3: and that's.

901
00:48:29,080 --> 00:48:30,960
Speaker 2: That's crept back against them.

902
00:48:31,120 --> 00:48:33,440
Speaker 3: In league play, they're ninth and three point percentage of

903
00:48:33,440 --> 00:48:36,400
Speaker 3: defense in league play, but thirty six nationally, So that

904
00:48:36,440 --> 00:48:39,680
Speaker 3: tells you how much the non con was boosting those numbers.

905
00:48:40,239 --> 00:48:42,320
Speaker 3: I think they're a little bit of a numbers paper

906
00:48:42,400 --> 00:48:44,719
Speaker 3: tiger to me, and not a team I'm looking to back.

907
00:48:44,760 --> 00:48:47,279
Speaker 3: I think maybe if you want to bet UTSA on

908
00:48:47,360 --> 00:48:49,560
Speaker 3: the spread or money line in that game, that would

909
00:48:49,600 --> 00:48:50,000
Speaker 3: intrigue me.

910
00:48:50,000 --> 00:48:52,040
Speaker 2: If you get UTSA the fourteen seed through there.

911
00:48:52,160 --> 00:48:53,719
Speaker 1: You don't you don't like a little meat meet to

912
00:48:53,920 --> 00:48:56,520
Speaker 1: fifty to one to win this a bunch of ticket.

913
00:48:57,920 --> 00:49:00,920
Speaker 1: So if we're if something's off with SMU and you

914
00:49:00,960 --> 00:49:04,279
Speaker 1: don't believe in UTSA winning this, then I mean those

915
00:49:04,320 --> 00:49:07,840
Speaker 1: are the teams that Charlotte the three seed, would potentially face,

916
00:49:07,920 --> 00:49:10,239
Speaker 1: And despite being a three seed with a double buy

917
00:49:10,800 --> 00:49:15,000
Speaker 1: to the quarters on Friday, they are thirteen to one.

918
00:49:15,200 --> 00:49:17,640
Speaker 1: For example, you know in comparison North Texas we'll get

919
00:49:17,640 --> 00:49:20,399
Speaker 1: to know plus eight fifty. Again, these aren't the most

920
00:49:20,440 --> 00:49:25,719
Speaker 1: efficient ods out right now. But Charlotte, they you know,

921
00:49:25,760 --> 00:49:28,040
Speaker 1: they are going to slow the game down to a crawl.

922
00:49:28,800 --> 00:49:31,800
Speaker 1: They press the slow teams down and they have you know,

923
00:49:32,040 --> 00:49:34,560
Speaker 1: I you know, they have really good rim protection on

924
00:49:34,600 --> 00:49:35,200
Speaker 1: the back end to.

925
00:49:35,200 --> 00:49:35,799
Speaker 2: Back that up.

926
00:49:36,400 --> 00:49:39,840
Speaker 1: So it's there. They're an intriguing team based on the

927
00:49:39,880 --> 00:49:43,839
Speaker 1: fact that they're priced like a eight or nine. See

928
00:49:43,840 --> 00:49:46,440
Speaker 1: that has to play an extra game. They don't have

929
00:49:46,680 --> 00:49:52,440
Speaker 1: as much talent as the you know, upper tier of

930
00:49:52,560 --> 00:49:55,120
Speaker 1: this league. But I don't know. I think Charlotte is

931
00:49:55,160 --> 00:49:56,960
Speaker 1: intriguing based on who they would have to play, like

932
00:49:57,000 --> 00:50:00,520
Speaker 1: a fading SMU team and then all of a sudden

933
00:50:00,560 --> 00:50:04,000
Speaker 1: you beat them and then you're in the semis to

934
00:50:05,200 --> 00:50:07,960
Speaker 1: play FAU and FAU. All FAU wants to do is

935
00:50:08,000 --> 00:50:10,680
Speaker 1: play close games. So does Charlotte intrigue you at all?

936
00:50:11,080 --> 00:50:13,839
Speaker 3: They do, Yeah, high variant stuff because of the low

937
00:50:13,920 --> 00:50:17,279
Speaker 3: possession count, Like there can be you know, some good

938
00:50:17,320 --> 00:50:18,719
Speaker 3: shooting lock that goes their way and you don't have

939
00:50:18,800 --> 00:50:21,520
Speaker 3: a lot of seventy five session games where it starts

940
00:50:21,560 --> 00:50:24,280
Speaker 3: to even out. And I know you mentioned the talent,

941
00:50:24,400 --> 00:50:26,239
Speaker 3: but like they're starting a front court that was at

942
00:50:26,320 --> 00:50:30,000
Speaker 3: Virginia and Washington State. Their point guard was at Missouri State.

943
00:50:30,280 --> 00:50:33,760
Speaker 3: He's highly regarded when he came out of junior college.

944
00:50:34,320 --> 00:50:37,279
Speaker 3: Robert Braswell was at Syracuse. Like, they've got guys that

945
00:50:37,760 --> 00:50:39,800
Speaker 3: have pretty solid pedigree.

946
00:50:40,160 --> 00:50:41,040
Speaker 2: And just the style.

947
00:50:41,600 --> 00:50:43,920
Speaker 3: The style and the draw I think set up fairly

948
00:50:43,960 --> 00:50:46,759
Speaker 3: well for them, And it seems like a very connected team.

949
00:50:46,880 --> 00:50:50,600
Speaker 3: Like their coach went back to Virginia in like late June,

950
00:50:50,760 --> 00:50:54,080
Speaker 3: and nobody transferred, and now they've gotten Ferned the interim guy.

951
00:50:54,480 --> 00:50:56,799
Speaker 3: The interim tag is now removed because of how well

952
00:50:56,800 --> 00:50:59,200
Speaker 3: they played under him. It seems like these guys like

953
00:50:59,239 --> 00:51:01,480
Speaker 3: each other. They like in Charlotte, they like playing together.

954
00:51:01,960 --> 00:51:03,880
Speaker 3: That matters a little bit too when you add it

955
00:51:03,960 --> 00:51:07,680
Speaker 3: to the draw and the style to slow down tough

956
00:51:07,719 --> 00:51:10,920
Speaker 3: to get easy baskets against them, I'm intrigued. Yeah, in

957
00:51:11,160 --> 00:51:13,480
Speaker 3: the semi final matchup against FAU. They beat FAU once

958
00:51:13,520 --> 00:51:16,319
Speaker 3: this year, so it's it's certainly possible they make a run.

959
00:51:17,160 --> 00:51:20,279
Speaker 1: Yeah, I was a little skittish. I'm probably gonna have

960
00:51:20,360 --> 00:51:23,120
Speaker 1: something on Charlotte here based depending on where the price is,

961
00:51:23,280 --> 00:51:27,760
Speaker 1: but definitely if it's thirteen to one widely available, I'm

962
00:51:27,800 --> 00:51:31,120
Speaker 1: betting them here. Based on the draw. I got a little,

963
00:51:31,280 --> 00:51:33,200
Speaker 1: but I have to say I'm a little skittish after

964
00:51:33,640 --> 00:51:37,120
Speaker 1: you know, they lost, they got trucked at Memphis, then

965
00:51:37,160 --> 00:51:39,719
Speaker 1: they lost at Tulsa by two. Whatever. You know, they

966
00:51:39,800 --> 00:51:42,839
Speaker 1: come home for just a home smash spot. They blew

967
00:51:42,920 --> 00:51:46,880
Speaker 1: it huge lead against South Florida at South Florida earlier

968
00:51:46,880 --> 00:51:48,920
Speaker 1: in the year. I think they were up like seventeen

969
00:51:48,960 --> 00:51:51,520
Speaker 1: at one point. They only scored one point over the

970
00:51:51,560 --> 00:51:55,520
Speaker 1: final six minutes and they just you know, in that game.

971
00:51:55,560 --> 00:51:56,880
Speaker 1: I watched the game. I had a bet on them.

972
00:51:58,560 --> 00:52:00,160
Speaker 1: I bet them early. I think they ended up they

973
00:52:00,239 --> 00:52:02,319
Speaker 1: ended up closing like five point favorites in that game.

974
00:52:04,120 --> 00:52:07,120
Speaker 1: At least spot these The spot inflation this year is ridiculous.

975
00:52:09,040 --> 00:52:12,040
Speaker 1: But they look like they just were, you know, kind

976
00:52:12,080 --> 00:52:14,080
Speaker 1: of like it would look like at times men versus boys,

977
00:52:14,120 --> 00:52:16,520
Speaker 1: and they were just being out physical and that kind

978
00:52:16,560 --> 00:52:19,920
Speaker 1: of worried me a bit about Charlotte. But they do

979
00:52:20,040 --> 00:52:23,360
Speaker 1: have some pedigree on the roster, So yeah, they're definitely

980
00:52:23,400 --> 00:52:25,640
Speaker 1: intriguing based on the draw and just the perception of

981
00:52:25,719 --> 00:52:28,799
Speaker 1: who Charlotte is. But Ivarians team based on how they play,

982
00:52:28,880 --> 00:52:33,960
Speaker 1: which is what I'm looking for, especially in this price range. Now,

983
00:52:34,040 --> 00:52:37,239
Speaker 1: the most intriguing part of this bracket to me is

984
00:52:37,320 --> 00:52:39,920
Speaker 1: the top half of the bottom. Jeff Fau is the

985
00:52:40,000 --> 00:52:42,919
Speaker 1: two seed. They will take on the winner of North

986
00:52:43,000 --> 00:52:47,120
Speaker 1: Texas and Tulane. North Texas and Tulane outside of the

987
00:52:47,160 --> 00:52:49,480
Speaker 1: powerball ticket on UTSA, were the two teams I had

988
00:52:49,560 --> 00:52:53,719
Speaker 1: circled as long shots. And you know two Lane are

989
00:52:53,880 --> 00:52:56,959
Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty to one. This is a team

990
00:52:57,080 --> 00:52:59,640
Speaker 1: that you know has a ton of talent in the

991
00:52:59,719 --> 00:53:02,400
Speaker 1: back court. You know, a guy like Forbes can just

992
00:53:02,440 --> 00:53:07,400
Speaker 1: get red hot, Ron Hunter really good coach. They are

993
00:53:07,520 --> 00:53:09,759
Speaker 1: going to give up a ton of threes with their zone,

994
00:53:10,680 --> 00:53:13,120
Speaker 1: and you know they do. They do want to play fast,

995
00:53:13,200 --> 00:53:14,640
Speaker 1: which isn't great, but they give up a ton of

996
00:53:14,680 --> 00:53:17,440
Speaker 1: threes which increases the variants. And they just kind of

997
00:53:17,520 --> 00:53:22,759
Speaker 1: underperformed all year, but they have a high upside. The

998
00:53:22,840 --> 00:53:27,960
Speaker 1: same with North Texas. Unfortunately, North Texas I think underperformed.

999
00:53:27,960 --> 00:53:29,279
Speaker 1: A lot of that was because they had a lot

1000
00:53:29,320 --> 00:53:32,920
Speaker 1: of injuries. Oh yes, and we're never fully healthy. But

1001
00:53:33,719 --> 00:53:38,200
Speaker 1: I'm not sure. You know, like Ruben Jones, he matters. CJ. Nolan,

1002
00:53:38,520 --> 00:53:42,080
Speaker 1: he matters. Now they're back. Rondel Walker, I think he

1003
00:53:42,320 --> 00:53:43,960
Speaker 1: matters too. I don't know his status.

1004
00:53:44,560 --> 00:53:47,560
Speaker 3: Uh, he warmed up last game. He warmed up last game.

1005
00:53:47,560 --> 00:53:49,640
Speaker 3: It didn't play, So I think he's back in there.

1006
00:53:49,680 --> 00:53:51,919
Speaker 3: And I don't know this for a fact, but Jordan

1007
00:53:51,960 --> 00:53:55,080
Speaker 3: Majeski always calls him their best perimeter defender, so hopefully

1008
00:53:55,160 --> 00:53:55,719
Speaker 3: he's back too.

1009
00:53:55,800 --> 00:54:01,479
Speaker 1: He matters yep, and North Texas, unlike Tulane, they slow

1010
00:54:01,520 --> 00:54:05,000
Speaker 1: the game down to a crawl. Only Virginia is slower

1011
00:54:06,120 --> 00:54:08,720
Speaker 1: than North Texas. You heard me mention this with Wagner

1012
00:54:09,640 --> 00:54:13,160
Speaker 1: on the Ant Secret. I mean, Wagner is what three

1013
00:54:13,280 --> 00:54:17,880
Speaker 1: sixtieth I think let me see, Yeah, Wagner's three sixtieth

1014
00:54:18,120 --> 00:54:21,440
Speaker 1: and they were thirty forty to one shot. They just

1015
00:54:21,480 --> 00:54:23,719
Speaker 1: got to the title winning game sixty to fifty seven,

1016
00:54:24,120 --> 00:54:29,560
Speaker 1: sixty six to fifty six as underdogs. So North Texas

1017
00:54:29,920 --> 00:54:33,319
Speaker 1: I think is undervalued because of those injuries and they

1018
00:54:33,400 --> 00:54:36,000
Speaker 1: now could be fully healthy. They're going to slow the

1019
00:54:36,080 --> 00:54:39,520
Speaker 1: game down to a crawl. And the thing that sucks

1020
00:54:39,640 --> 00:54:41,359
Speaker 1: is that, you know, and they can shoot the three,

1021
00:54:41,400 --> 00:54:44,640
Speaker 1: which is good against Tulane. I just I hate that

1022
00:54:44,680 --> 00:54:48,359
Speaker 1: these two teams are playing each other in the first round.

1023
00:54:49,239 --> 00:54:52,840
Speaker 1: But Fau, I think at times, I don't know what

1024
00:54:53,000 --> 00:54:57,280
Speaker 1: it is. But this far at Atlantic team, which obviously

1025
00:54:57,360 --> 00:55:01,400
Speaker 1: has uber talented guards, I think they might just be

1026
00:55:01,680 --> 00:55:06,640
Speaker 1: bored at times, like they're ready for the tournament after

1027
00:55:06,760 --> 00:55:10,319
Speaker 1: last year's run. I feel like no matter who they play,

1028
00:55:10,400 --> 00:55:12,440
Speaker 1: it's a two point game with a minute to go

1029
00:55:14,000 --> 00:55:18,160
Speaker 1: all year, So they're like a vulnerable too. I could

1030
00:55:18,200 --> 00:55:21,720
Speaker 1: see them getting upset for sure. I see no value

1031
00:55:22,239 --> 00:55:24,880
Speaker 1: in the price that I'm seeing out there on FAU.

1032
00:55:26,640 --> 00:55:26,960
Speaker 2: But my.

1033
00:55:28,560 --> 00:55:31,360
Speaker 1: Conundrum is who do I decide between. It might come

1034
00:55:31,400 --> 00:55:33,680
Speaker 1: down to price in Tulane in North Texas. I hate

1035
00:55:33,719 --> 00:55:35,800
Speaker 1: that first round matchup, but I think either one of

1036
00:55:35,840 --> 00:55:40,280
Speaker 1: those teams will definitely be worth backing against the spread

1037
00:55:40,520 --> 00:55:42,000
Speaker 1: against bart Atlantic. But what do you see in that

1038
00:55:42,040 --> 00:55:43,720
Speaker 1: little region of the bracket.

1039
00:55:44,320 --> 00:55:47,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, the two lane thing is weird because you mentioned Wagner.

1040
00:55:47,600 --> 00:55:49,640
Speaker 3: They've got seven guys. That's why they slow it down.

1041
00:55:50,160 --> 00:55:53,320
Speaker 3: Tu Lane plays six guys and they play mega fast.

1042
00:55:54,440 --> 00:55:56,359
Speaker 3: It's the one thing that holds me up on them

1043
00:55:56,840 --> 00:55:59,000
Speaker 3: is winning four games in four days with six guys

1044
00:55:59,040 --> 00:56:02,520
Speaker 3: while playing a no bad, crazy tempo. Yeah, but one

1045
00:56:02,600 --> 00:56:04,480
Speaker 3: hundred and fifty to one for a team that, like

1046
00:56:05,360 --> 00:56:08,759
Speaker 3: per Predictives, is not that far behind UAB not that

1047
00:56:08,920 --> 00:56:12,160
Speaker 3: far behind Charlotte. That's kind of wild to me. So

1048
00:56:12,400 --> 00:56:14,319
Speaker 3: if you wanted to take one just a price wing

1049
00:56:14,400 --> 00:56:18,040
Speaker 3: based on the talent and the preseason expectations and stuff, sure,

1050
00:56:18,120 --> 00:56:18,920
Speaker 3: I don't mind that.

1051
00:56:19,440 --> 00:56:22,240
Speaker 1: It's a really good offense there. They haven't really figured

1052
00:56:22,239 --> 00:56:26,239
Speaker 1: out the D, but like their D is, hey, we're

1053
00:56:26,280 --> 00:56:27,800
Speaker 1: gonna give up. They give up a ton of threes

1054
00:56:27,840 --> 00:56:31,520
Speaker 1: based on the hunter's zone. So their D is just

1055
00:56:31,640 --> 00:56:33,160
Speaker 1: their D has a ton of aarans built in.

1056
00:56:33,800 --> 00:56:35,800
Speaker 3: And maybe it's a little tougher to prepare for and

1057
00:56:35,960 --> 00:56:38,359
Speaker 3: no like no prep time for the teams if they

1058
00:56:38,360 --> 00:56:40,239
Speaker 3: were to get to semis and finals, because it is

1059
00:56:40,560 --> 00:56:44,640
Speaker 3: funky and the matchup is strange. But yeah, North Texas,

1060
00:56:44,680 --> 00:56:46,680
Speaker 3: I hope we get a better price than where it's

1061
00:56:46,719 --> 00:56:49,160
Speaker 3: at right now. I think the price is reflective of

1062
00:56:49,239 --> 00:56:51,800
Speaker 3: where they are and predictive not the draw. And I

1063
00:56:51,840 --> 00:56:55,200
Speaker 3: think once the odds start to take the draw into account,

1064
00:56:55,239 --> 00:56:57,880
Speaker 3: we could get a better number on North Texas. I

1065
00:56:58,040 --> 00:57:00,319
Speaker 3: just I'm with you with like playing in the hand court,

1066
00:57:00,320 --> 00:57:02,200
Speaker 3: it's a lot similar to what we talked about with Charlotte.

1067
00:57:02,640 --> 00:57:05,239
Speaker 2: It slowed the game down. They're smart, they know how

1068
00:57:05,280 --> 00:57:07,439
Speaker 2: to execute, they take really good shots.

1069
00:57:07,480 --> 00:57:09,800
Speaker 3: Their leading scorer comes off the bench. Jason Edwards that

1070
00:57:09,840 --> 00:57:12,200
Speaker 3: they've got kind of funky and unconventional in that way.

1071
00:57:13,719 --> 00:57:16,240
Speaker 3: They're just they don't beat themselves, and I love that

1072
00:57:16,480 --> 00:57:19,800
Speaker 3: in a tournament environment. Just a little bit of a

1073
00:57:19,880 --> 00:57:22,600
Speaker 3: tough draw, getting tu Lane first an FAU waiting second.

1074
00:57:24,440 --> 00:57:29,400
Speaker 1: Yeah too. Lane played Florida Atlantic tough both times, although

1075
00:57:30,080 --> 00:57:32,520
Speaker 1: I think they lost by one, although the misleading final

1076
00:57:32,520 --> 00:57:34,040
Speaker 1: in the second they were down by like twenty in

1077
00:57:34,120 --> 00:57:38,800
Speaker 1: that game and made the final closer North Texas. For

1078
00:57:38,960 --> 00:57:44,280
Speaker 1: what it's worth, they lost by four and they lost

1079
00:57:44,360 --> 00:57:49,040
Speaker 1: by three. But I watched that game against FAU, and

1080
00:57:51,040 --> 00:57:53,680
Speaker 1: I mean, I feel like they should have won. I'm

1081
00:57:53,720 --> 00:57:55,880
Speaker 1: curious what. I wonder what shock Quadi says in that game.

1082
00:57:56,360 --> 00:57:58,800
Speaker 1: They couldn't hit and they couldn't hit an outside shot.

1083
00:57:58,880 --> 00:58:00,600
Speaker 1: Their offense got two staged in the second half, and

1084
00:58:00,600 --> 00:58:04,600
Speaker 1: they weren't fully healthy for that game either. I'll be

1085
00:58:04,680 --> 00:58:06,800
Speaker 1: looking to back them against FAU and hopefully we get

1086
00:58:07,560 --> 00:58:10,600
Speaker 1: a better price. What are your thoughts on this FAU team, Like,

1087
00:58:10,680 --> 00:58:16,360
Speaker 1: do people just have too high expectations after last year?

1088
00:58:17,320 --> 00:58:19,760
Speaker 1: Do you think that like part of it is they're

1089
00:58:19,800 --> 00:58:22,120
Speaker 1: the hunted. Do you think that maybe there's some boredom

1090
00:58:22,160 --> 00:58:24,640
Speaker 1: at times? What are your thoughts on this team and

1091
00:58:24,680 --> 00:58:25,200
Speaker 1: their ceiling.

1092
00:58:25,720 --> 00:58:27,800
Speaker 2: I think there's a little of all that mixed in there.

1093
00:58:29,000 --> 00:58:31,840
Speaker 3: They I think teams have solved their defense a little bit,

1094
00:58:32,200 --> 00:58:36,040
Speaker 3: whereas last year they didn't toody know how to attack them.

1095
00:58:36,080 --> 00:58:38,680
Speaker 3: But this year, when they're only playing one big they

1096
00:58:38,880 --> 00:58:41,000
Speaker 3: you just pulled Golden away from the hoop, and then

1097
00:58:41,080 --> 00:58:44,920
Speaker 3: you've get guys getting downhill and it's Weatherspoon a six

1098
00:58:45,040 --> 00:58:47,080
Speaker 3: or four guy in the back line or Elijah Martin,

1099
00:58:47,160 --> 00:58:48,600
Speaker 3: a six to two guy on the back line, and

1100
00:58:49,000 --> 00:58:50,480
Speaker 3: the rim defense has been really bad.

1101
00:58:50,680 --> 00:58:51,880
Speaker 2: I was I tweeted this.

1102
00:58:51,960 --> 00:58:53,720
Speaker 3: I was really intrigued by them playing a lot of

1103
00:58:53,760 --> 00:58:56,240
Speaker 3: two big stuff against Memphis playing Brendan.

1104
00:58:56,560 --> 00:58:58,520
Speaker 1: I saw you mentioned that. Yeah, that's that's that's something

1105
00:58:58,560 --> 00:59:00,000
Speaker 1: that a new wrinkle that they might be able to

1106
00:59:00,080 --> 00:59:02,560
Speaker 1: the mix it more, especially for the tournament.

1107
00:59:02,640 --> 00:59:04,640
Speaker 2: Right, Yeah, Lorient's at the four. It's like, okay, we

1108
00:59:04,720 --> 00:59:05,320
Speaker 2: got more length.

1109
00:59:05,400 --> 00:59:07,600
Speaker 3: Now if you pull Golden away, there's still size at

1110
00:59:07,640 --> 00:59:10,280
Speaker 3: the rim, and their offense isn't gonna get a whole

1111
00:59:10,320 --> 00:59:12,840
Speaker 3: lot worse because their guards are so good, so I

1112
00:59:12,920 --> 00:59:15,640
Speaker 3: think mixing that in and having that gear. This has

1113
00:59:15,640 --> 00:59:18,320
Speaker 3: always been what's made them a great tournament team is

1114
00:59:18,360 --> 00:59:20,040
Speaker 3: they can win in different ways, Like they can win

1115
00:59:20,120 --> 00:59:22,040
Speaker 3: the shootout game against k State, they can win the

1116
00:59:22,120 --> 00:59:27,400
Speaker 3: brawl game against Tennessee. Flexible, Different guys can have big nights.

1117
00:59:27,880 --> 00:59:30,400
Speaker 3: Brian goog and he had had five of six games

1118
00:59:30,440 --> 00:59:32,440
Speaker 3: where he scored zero and then he had twenty one

1119
00:59:32,640 --> 00:59:35,360
Speaker 3: to help them beat Memphis and unseenior night. So it

1120
00:59:35,440 --> 00:59:37,760
Speaker 3: can come from anywhere. I think they're a better tournament

1121
00:59:37,800 --> 00:59:40,080
Speaker 3: team than regular season team. I'm intrigued by them in

1122
00:59:40,120 --> 00:59:40,600
Speaker 3: the Big Dance.

1123
00:59:40,640 --> 00:59:43,400
Speaker 1: Still, all right, so let's wrap up. We'll try to

1124
00:59:43,440 --> 00:59:46,680
Speaker 1: wrap up all the mess that is the American I

1125
00:59:46,960 --> 00:59:50,440
Speaker 1: think that. So if I had to just summarize my thoughts,

1126
00:59:50,960 --> 00:59:57,040
Speaker 1: probably staying away from the top half, although I think

1127
00:59:57,120 --> 01:00:00,000
Speaker 1: that there is some value or will be some value

1128
01:00:00,120 --> 01:00:02,800
Speaker 1: and UAB so I'll look to them just because I

1129
01:00:02,800 --> 01:00:06,320
Speaker 1: don't trust Memphis. The bottom half intrigues me more. But

1130
01:00:06,520 --> 01:00:09,480
Speaker 1: North Texas and Tulane playing each other just stinks. I'll

1131
01:00:09,480 --> 01:00:12,240
Speaker 1: be looking the back either one of them against fau

1132
01:00:12,320 --> 01:00:15,240
Speaker 1: too Lane North Texas bizarre game. It's like one of

1133
01:00:15,280 --> 01:00:19,240
Speaker 1: the fastest teams versus one of the slowest. The difference

1134
01:00:19,320 --> 01:00:22,040
Speaker 1: might be that if North Texas is fully healthy, they

1135
01:00:22,080 --> 01:00:24,160
Speaker 1: can hit shots and slow that game down, and they

1136
01:00:24,160 --> 01:00:26,640
Speaker 1: can hit outside shots against Tulane. But I think that

1137
01:00:26,840 --> 01:00:30,320
Speaker 1: what's going to end up happening is Charlotte just they

1138
01:00:30,400 --> 01:00:34,920
Speaker 1: just don't have the brand, market name recognition, and sometimes

1139
01:00:35,280 --> 01:00:36,920
Speaker 1: you know, and they kind of slid in the air.

1140
01:00:36,960 --> 01:00:39,919
Speaker 1: But with their high variant style slowing the game down,

1141
01:00:40,120 --> 01:00:42,320
Speaker 1: I think that Charlott's canna end up having value and

1142
01:00:42,440 --> 01:00:44,760
Speaker 1: they have the benefit of the double buy. How would

1143
01:00:44,760 --> 01:00:48,040
Speaker 1: you sum up your overarching thoughts on the American.

1144
01:00:48,200 --> 01:00:51,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think once we get the prices with draws,

1145
01:00:51,400 --> 01:00:53,680
Speaker 3: it'll be a little easier to crystallize. But I think

1146
01:00:53,960 --> 01:00:56,480
Speaker 3: Charlotte's got a really good draw. I hope stuck here.

1147
01:00:56,480 --> 01:00:58,880
Speaker 3: I hope we get another Charlotte North Texas game because

1148
01:00:59,240 --> 01:01:01,320
Speaker 3: over the last two years they've played three times and

1149
01:01:01,400 --> 01:01:04,960
Speaker 3: they've they've had fifty four possessions. Fifty four possessions, and

1150
01:01:05,080 --> 01:01:07,960
Speaker 3: last year they played a forty seven possession game, which

1151
01:01:08,040 --> 01:01:11,640
Speaker 3: is like almost impossible in forty minutes. Both teams love

1152
01:01:11,720 --> 01:01:14,520
Speaker 3: to crawl. It's just kind of like a sicko curiosity

1153
01:01:14,520 --> 01:01:15,960
Speaker 3: to watch that. I hope we get that in the

1154
01:01:16,000 --> 01:01:19,640
Speaker 3: semi finals. I'm still a little intrigued by South Florida

1155
01:01:20,200 --> 01:01:23,000
Speaker 3: being priced as you know, the full season team, when

1156
01:01:23,000 --> 01:01:24,760
Speaker 3: I think the current version is just much better than

1157
01:01:24,800 --> 01:01:28,560
Speaker 3: what they showed in the first month. But in terms

1158
01:01:28,600 --> 01:01:30,760
Speaker 3: of actually betting, I'm kind of waiting for it to

1159
01:01:30,840 --> 01:01:33,880
Speaker 3: settle and see the prices when they reflect the draw.

1160
01:01:33,960 --> 01:01:35,880
Speaker 3: Can I step in on Charlotte or North Texas on

1161
01:01:35,960 --> 01:01:36,600
Speaker 3: that bottom half.

1162
01:01:36,920 --> 01:01:39,160
Speaker 1: So, by the way, you're talking about North Texas lowe

1163
01:01:39,200 --> 01:01:44,400
Speaker 1: session games, my favorite under that I've ever bet happened

1164
01:01:44,400 --> 01:01:46,600
Speaker 1: two years ago today. Do you know what it is?

1165
01:01:47,040 --> 01:01:48,880
Speaker 2: I don't. I'm very intrigued.

1166
01:01:49,880 --> 01:01:50,600
Speaker 1: North Texas.

1167
01:01:51,280 --> 01:01:53,240
Speaker 2: Was it the North Texas West in Kentucky?

1168
01:01:53,360 --> 01:01:56,400
Speaker 1: Oh? It was La Tech Okay in the Conference USA

1169
01:01:56,400 --> 01:02:01,240
Speaker 1: Attorney in the Ford Center. Final score forty two thirty.

1170
01:02:01,040 --> 01:02:05,439
Speaker 2: Six, just never a threat to go over that number.

1171
01:02:05,880 --> 01:02:09,200
Speaker 1: It was seven game, It was seven to two with

1172
01:02:09,320 --> 01:02:10,400
Speaker 1: eight to go in the first.

1173
01:02:10,280 --> 01:02:15,480
Speaker 2: Half, not even combined double digits. God, that is that

1174
01:02:15,640 --> 01:02:16,560
Speaker 2: is insane amazing.

1175
01:02:17,000 --> 01:02:19,040
Speaker 3: I missed that venue so much we called it the

1176
01:02:19,080 --> 01:02:22,840
Speaker 3: Frisco Disco. Just unders were money there, over and over

1177
01:02:22,920 --> 01:02:23,320
Speaker 3: every year.

1178
01:02:23,880 --> 01:02:26,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, forty two to thirty six final id to do

1179
01:02:26,680 --> 01:02:28,000
Speaker 1: the math. At the end, I was like, all right,

1180
01:02:28,040 --> 01:02:30,800
Speaker 1: how many overtimes do I need? But luckily didn't have

1181
01:02:30,920 --> 01:02:34,080
Speaker 1: to get there. It's finally March, so you know what

1182
01:02:34,200 --> 01:02:36,680
Speaker 1: that means. It's time to say top of the morning

1183
01:02:36,840 --> 01:02:40,040
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1184
01:02:40,160 --> 01:02:45,080
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1185
01:02:45,120 --> 01:02:47,520
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1186
01:02:47,680 --> 01:02:50,840
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1187
01:02:50,920 --> 01:02:54,400
Speaker 1: clover forest with manscapes Lawnmower five point zero and join

1188
01:02:54,480 --> 01:02:58,120
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1189
01:02:58,240 --> 01:03:01,800
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1190
01:03:01,840 --> 01:03:05,440
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1191
01:03:05,480 --> 01:03:08,680
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1192
01:03:09,080 --> 01:03:12,200
Speaker 1: so go ahead. Shaved by the misty moors, shave under

1193
01:03:12,240 --> 01:03:15,760
Speaker 1: a waterfall, shave while betting a second half total. The

1194
01:03:16,000 --> 01:03:19,760
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1195
01:03:20,040 --> 01:03:24,400
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1196
01:03:24,480 --> 01:03:28,720
Speaker 1: and free shipping with code BBOC at manscaped dot com.

1197
01:03:29,280 --> 01:03:31,439
Speaker 1: This Saint Patrick's Day. Make sure you're a hairy little

1198
01:03:31,480 --> 01:03:35,880
Speaker 1: leprechaun is luckier than ever with manscaped. All right, let's

1199
01:03:36,000 --> 01:03:42,120
Speaker 1: move on to the matt Act, which is a eleven

1200
01:03:42,200 --> 01:03:45,920
Speaker 1: team All eleven teams make it. This will be played

1201
01:03:46,040 --> 01:03:50,560
Speaker 1: starting Tuesday, with the top five seeds getting a bye

1202
01:03:50,640 --> 01:03:54,600
Speaker 1: to the quarterfinals and the bottom six all playing in

1203
01:03:54,640 --> 01:03:59,280
Speaker 1: the first round on Tuesday, to take place at Boardwalk

1204
01:03:59,360 --> 01:04:02,280
Speaker 1: Hall in Atlantic City, New Jersey.

1205
01:04:03,160 --> 01:04:05,720
Speaker 2: No one's better than three to one, Like, there's no favorite.

1206
01:04:05,880 --> 01:04:08,240
Speaker 2: It's just a complete parody room.

1207
01:04:08,480 --> 01:04:12,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah that so here's the illustrate that you have.

1208
01:04:13,480 --> 01:04:17,800
Speaker 1: Manhattan Sienna are super long shots. By the way, if

1209
01:04:17,800 --> 01:04:21,080
Speaker 1: you missed Sienna hit a Kenisius hit a crazy Did

1210
01:04:21,120 --> 01:04:23,240
Speaker 1: you see that half court shot to beat Manhattan over

1211
01:04:23,280 --> 01:04:23,680
Speaker 1: the weekend?

1212
01:04:24,080 --> 01:04:25,280
Speaker 2: I did not. I missed that one.

1213
01:04:25,800 --> 01:04:29,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, I've hit it from like sixty feet. But Manhattan

1214
01:04:29,880 --> 01:04:33,480
Speaker 1: is People don't really watch a lot of the Yeah

1215
01:04:33,480 --> 01:04:34,920
Speaker 1: it was in overtime. I was seventy three seven. It

1216
01:04:35,000 --> 01:04:37,120
Speaker 1: was a wild shot. People don't watch a lot of

1217
01:04:37,160 --> 01:04:40,760
Speaker 1: the MAC. I will say Quinnipiac's the top seed. Fairfield

1218
01:04:40,880 --> 01:04:44,120
Speaker 1: is the two Seed. They're both around you know, three

1219
01:04:44,280 --> 01:04:47,280
Speaker 1: four to one. Saint Peter's around four to one as well.

1220
01:04:47,360 --> 01:04:49,760
Speaker 1: Then you have this conglomerate of teams that are around

1221
01:04:49,880 --> 01:04:53,080
Speaker 1: seven eight nine to one e Marist Rider and Iona,

1222
01:04:53,520 --> 01:04:56,560
Speaker 1: and then you're you know, other dark courses Mount Saint

1223
01:04:56,680 --> 01:04:59,120
Speaker 1: Mary's Niagara around one hundred and fifty to one. I'll

1224
01:04:59,160 --> 01:05:01,520
Speaker 1: give you a quick rundown for people listening if you

1225
01:05:01,560 --> 01:05:03,560
Speaker 1: want to know more about the Mac teams and don't

1226
01:05:03,680 --> 01:05:08,200
Speaker 1: watch them. Quinnipiac super fast, top twenty tempo, live in

1227
01:05:08,240 --> 01:05:11,600
Speaker 1: the mid range, can't score at the rim. They're probably

1228
01:05:11,600 --> 01:05:14,960
Speaker 1: the most balanced team in the league. Lewis good facilitator,

1229
01:05:15,000 --> 01:05:20,440
Speaker 1: good inside out duo of LeBlanc and Odiano, Fairfield playing

1230
01:05:20,920 --> 01:05:24,360
Speaker 1: really well of late. They have the best offense in

1231
01:05:24,440 --> 01:05:27,480
Speaker 1: the league with good eye who's who can just go

1232
01:05:27,600 --> 01:05:29,920
Speaker 1: off on any knight Fields and Leach. They're all shooting

1233
01:05:29,960 --> 01:05:32,560
Speaker 1: forty percent plus from deep. They shoot a ton of threes.

1234
01:05:32,640 --> 01:05:35,520
Speaker 1: They make a ton of threes, shooting forty one percent

1235
01:05:35,600 --> 01:05:38,760
Speaker 1: in league play. They want to run also ninety six

1236
01:05:38,840 --> 01:05:43,080
Speaker 1: percentile transition and they're deadly there. Also good in the

1237
01:05:43,120 --> 01:05:45,600
Speaker 1: half court, a lot of screens, pick and roll, not

1238
01:05:45,720 --> 01:05:48,120
Speaker 1: a rim. We're in at offense, so tons of jumpers.

1239
01:05:48,480 --> 01:05:50,480
Speaker 1: Two point defense is bad. In the post, they can

1240
01:05:50,520 --> 01:05:53,200
Speaker 1: get killed on the offensive glass outside the top three

1241
01:05:53,280 --> 01:05:56,320
Speaker 1: hundred and both. They force a ton of turnovers the press.

1242
01:05:56,560 --> 01:05:59,439
Speaker 1: No transition d is good, and that's what costs mount

1243
01:05:59,520 --> 01:06:03,000
Speaker 1: on scene. They just started ramping up the pressure. Saint

1244
01:06:03,080 --> 01:06:07,120
Speaker 1: Peter's top thirty in momentum. They're playing really well. They

1245
01:06:07,280 --> 01:06:09,760
Speaker 1: slow the game down to crawl. Best defense in the league.

1246
01:06:11,000 --> 01:06:12,520
Speaker 1: They foul a ton. They could be had on the

1247
01:06:12,560 --> 01:06:15,000
Speaker 1: old glass because they're aggressive, but they force a ton

1248
01:06:15,040 --> 01:06:17,880
Speaker 1: of turnovers with their zone press press at the top

1249
01:06:17,920 --> 01:06:21,520
Speaker 1: twenty eight nationally. Offense is bad, bad fourth percentile half

1250
01:06:21,600 --> 01:06:24,800
Speaker 1: court bottom ten two point percentage, and they can be pressured,

1251
01:06:25,360 --> 01:06:29,080
Speaker 1: which matters in some matchups in this league. They're completely

1252
01:06:29,160 --> 01:06:31,480
Speaker 1: reliant on getting the line and getting offensive rebounds. Can't

1253
01:06:31,520 --> 01:06:33,640
Speaker 1: do much else offensively. They just take a bunch of

1254
01:06:33,720 --> 01:06:35,760
Speaker 1: mid ring shots and hope they get the rebound. Do

1255
01:06:35,880 --> 01:06:38,800
Speaker 1: have a deep bench. Washington at the four is their

1256
01:06:38,840 --> 01:06:41,000
Speaker 1: best player, and he's really their only good offensive player.

1257
01:06:41,040 --> 01:06:43,920
Speaker 1: He did miss seven games, and Saint Peter's went one

1258
01:06:44,000 --> 01:06:47,320
Speaker 1: in six in those games, so one of the reasons

1259
01:06:47,360 --> 01:06:49,920
Speaker 1: why they've turned it on of late is they've gotten healthy.

1260
01:06:50,480 --> 01:06:54,120
Speaker 1: Another team that's turned on of late is Rider. Yeah,

1261
01:06:54,120 --> 01:06:58,720
Speaker 1: they're like per pasmutric sixteenth the momentum one seventh straight

1262
01:06:58,760 --> 01:07:00,800
Speaker 1: to close the year, eight and three since February first,

1263
01:07:01,160 --> 01:07:04,160
Speaker 1: the highest rated team in the MAC over that span.

1264
01:07:04,240 --> 01:07:07,720
Speaker 1: But they're shooting forty two percent from three. Don't necessarily

1265
01:07:07,800 --> 01:07:11,720
Speaker 1: know if that's sustainable. But they're not super three point reliant.

1266
01:07:12,000 --> 01:07:13,800
Speaker 1: They live in the mid range. On offense, they're good

1267
01:07:13,800 --> 01:07:16,200
Speaker 1: on the offensive glass. They do turn it over too much.

1268
01:07:16,760 --> 01:07:20,200
Speaker 1: They can be pressed very bad against the press. Noteworthy

1269
01:07:20,240 --> 01:07:24,280
Speaker 1: if they match up against Fairfield, which they wouldn't do

1270
01:07:24,360 --> 01:07:27,520
Speaker 1: until the final, they do press them. But their perimeter

1271
01:07:27,640 --> 01:07:29,960
Speaker 1: das pretty weak. They have no bench. Merwin James is

1272
01:07:30,000 --> 01:07:32,720
Speaker 1: a beast. They kind of go is like Palelling weeks

1273
01:07:32,720 --> 01:07:36,480
Speaker 1: ago making shots. Those are the top four seeds in

1274
01:07:36,560 --> 01:07:40,680
Speaker 1: the MAC. Well, I guess I didn't mention Marist, so

1275
01:07:40,800 --> 01:07:43,040
Speaker 1: we'll do the top five at all buys. Maris very

1276
01:07:43,080 --> 01:07:46,560
Speaker 1: good half court, Mando Mandy top twenty turnover rate. They

1277
01:07:46,680 --> 01:07:49,840
Speaker 1: play super slow. They turned over too much, although they

1278
01:07:50,120 --> 01:07:52,480
Speaker 1: rate it out decently against the press. Somehow they get

1279
01:07:52,600 --> 01:07:55,720
Speaker 1: no offensive rebounds by design, they do not let teams run.

1280
01:07:56,200 --> 01:07:59,840
Speaker 1: They're basically Saint Peter's but they don't get offensive rebounds

1281
01:07:59,840 --> 01:08:03,960
Speaker 1: and don't press, so if that makes any sense, So

1282
01:08:04,000 --> 01:08:08,200
Speaker 1: those are kind of the top five teams will start there.

1283
01:08:08,240 --> 01:08:11,040
Speaker 1: Is there anyone you like here? I tend to think

1284
01:08:11,080 --> 01:08:13,640
Speaker 1: Fairfield is the best team in this league because of

1285
01:08:13,720 --> 01:08:18,160
Speaker 1: their guards with good ironed fields and leech. But what

1286
01:08:18,240 --> 01:08:19,519
Speaker 1: do you see here in the MAC?

1287
01:08:20,240 --> 01:08:20,439
Speaker 2: Yeah?

1288
01:08:20,640 --> 01:08:23,040
Speaker 3: I think I looked at this and thought I wouldn't

1289
01:08:23,040 --> 01:08:25,799
Speaker 3: have a bet because I'm terrible at dting this conference.

1290
01:08:26,160 --> 01:08:27,120
Speaker 2: Just hand up own that.

1291
01:08:27,320 --> 01:08:30,960
Speaker 3: But I think Fairfield is the best team, great, great backcourt.

1292
01:08:31,040 --> 01:08:33,360
Speaker 3: And then they got Alexis Yetna like nine games ago

1293
01:08:34,080 --> 01:08:35,480
Speaker 3: transfer from Seaton.

1294
01:08:35,200 --> 01:08:39,080
Speaker 2: Hall in South Florida and has not you know, solved

1295
01:08:39,160 --> 01:08:42,400
Speaker 2: all their defensive, rebounding and interior defense problems. But he helps.

1296
01:08:43,040 --> 01:08:45,479
Speaker 3: He's like the oldest player in college basketball, big old

1297
01:08:45,560 --> 01:08:48,880
Speaker 3: lefty that's given a little bit of interior juice there.

1298
01:08:48,920 --> 01:08:49,800
Speaker 2: And I like their draw.

1299
01:08:50,439 --> 01:08:53,840
Speaker 3: I think Iona has basically rolled over and died since

1300
01:08:54,000 --> 01:08:57,759
Speaker 3: Greg Gordon left the program. Their best player, Manhattan is terrible.

1301
01:08:58,800 --> 01:09:01,439
Speaker 3: Sienna is no threat at the haven't seen Niagara Marist

1302
01:09:02,120 --> 01:09:03,880
Speaker 3: not meget concerned.

1303
01:09:03,479 --> 01:09:05,639
Speaker 2: About either of them. So I like Fairfield's path.

1304
01:09:05,760 --> 01:09:09,519
Speaker 3: Being opposite Quinnipiac, who you mentioned pretty complete team, Saint

1305
01:09:09,560 --> 01:09:13,800
Speaker 3: Peter's great defense, and then Ryder, the preseason favorite that's

1306
01:09:13,840 --> 01:09:16,439
Speaker 3: playing really well right now. Being away from all three

1307
01:09:16,479 --> 01:09:18,840
Speaker 3: of them sets up pretty well for Fairfield.

1308
01:09:19,360 --> 01:09:21,080
Speaker 2: I think I actually like the Stags here.

1309
01:09:21,439 --> 01:09:25,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree, like I think like they can they

1310
01:09:25,120 --> 01:09:28,360
Speaker 1: can pressure Marist, which I think will be the difference there.

1311
01:09:29,240 --> 01:09:33,639
Speaker 1: Niagara they have a I just don't trust Niagara's freshman

1312
01:09:33,680 --> 01:09:39,559
Speaker 1: point guard and Fairfield to win that guard matchup. Niagre's

1313
01:09:39,600 --> 01:09:43,560
Speaker 1: perimeter d is bad too, So yeah, I think I

1314
01:09:43,640 --> 01:09:46,759
Speaker 1: think Fairfield is a good draw. I think they're playing

1315
01:09:47,080 --> 01:09:51,240
Speaker 1: extremely well and they're overall the best team in this league.

1316
01:09:52,840 --> 01:09:56,880
Speaker 1: So at three to one, chop around. I'm gonna see

1317
01:09:56,880 --> 01:09:58,439
Speaker 1: if I can find like a four to one out there.

1318
01:09:58,640 --> 01:10:01,160
Speaker 1: There's probably gonna be some there, and these prices across

1319
01:10:01,280 --> 01:10:04,920
Speaker 1: books as they open, just because so many of these

1320
01:10:04,960 --> 01:10:09,600
Speaker 1: teams are are pretty close. But yeah, I like, I

1321
01:10:09,760 --> 01:10:13,160
Speaker 1: like Fairfield here. Yeah, I agree on Iona, who has

1322
01:10:13,400 --> 01:10:17,320
Speaker 1: dominated this league for so long. They did, they did

1323
01:10:17,400 --> 01:10:19,320
Speaker 1: win their finale, but who cares. They beat up on

1324
01:10:20,600 --> 01:10:23,360
Speaker 1: the corpse that is Siena. I mean Siana stinks. They're inexperience,

1325
01:10:23,360 --> 01:10:29,360
Speaker 1: they have injuries, They're bad. Manhattan also stinks, canetious, also injuries, inexperienced.

1326
01:10:29,800 --> 01:10:32,080
Speaker 1: They've lost a ton of guys. They're good rebounders. That's

1327
01:10:32,080 --> 01:10:35,160
Speaker 1: about it. And then Iona dropped five eighth close here

1328
01:10:35,200 --> 01:10:38,680
Speaker 1: greg Wardon left the program, huge loss. Their d is

1329
01:10:38,720 --> 01:10:40,920
Speaker 1: bad unless they force turnovers. The well press a ton.

1330
01:10:41,000 --> 01:10:44,400
Speaker 1: That's all you need to know about Iona now is

1331
01:10:45,439 --> 01:10:50,040
Speaker 1: like as a super long shot. It does a mid

1332
01:10:50,120 --> 01:10:54,240
Speaker 1: range long shot. I should said fifteen to one. Maybe

1333
01:10:54,360 --> 01:10:57,760
Speaker 1: Dakota the feu is a good player. They maybe would

1334
01:10:58,240 --> 01:10:59,960
Speaker 1: be worth a luck if you can get a better price.

1335
01:11:00,160 --> 01:11:02,400
Speaker 1: To think maybe like twenty to one. They're the only

1336
01:11:02,479 --> 01:11:05,720
Speaker 1: team that plays in that first round that I think

1337
01:11:05,840 --> 01:11:08,599
Speaker 1: has any juice. You have any thoughts on Mount.

1338
01:11:08,720 --> 01:11:11,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, they've got a little bit of injuries too. Cordelia

1339
01:11:11,920 --> 01:11:13,479
Speaker 2: and Hobbs.

1340
01:11:13,520 --> 01:11:15,760
Speaker 3: The freshman I think is out as well or has

1341
01:11:15,840 --> 01:11:18,840
Speaker 3: been out. It seems like that whole first round group

1342
01:11:19,000 --> 01:11:23,679
Speaker 3: first day is just like ravaged by injuries, player departures, flaws,

1343
01:11:23,920 --> 01:11:27,680
Speaker 3: just in the roster. It's a rough group. I think

1344
01:11:27,760 --> 01:11:30,080
Speaker 3: you summarizing only the top five teams was the right

1345
01:11:30,120 --> 01:11:30,960
Speaker 3: place to cut it off.

1346
01:11:31,640 --> 01:11:34,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, and they really need What ends up happening with

1347
01:11:34,320 --> 01:11:37,439
Speaker 1: mount too is because at a Baio is important to

1348
01:11:37,439 --> 01:11:39,639
Speaker 1: their defense and he just gets in foul trouble way

1349
01:11:39,720 --> 01:11:41,760
Speaker 1: too often. So yeah, I think it comes down to

1350
01:11:41,840 --> 01:11:45,679
Speaker 1: the top five, and I think Fairfield is the best

1351
01:11:45,720 --> 01:11:48,599
Speaker 1: team and has the best of all. So shop around

1352
01:11:49,320 --> 01:11:51,519
Speaker 1: for the Stags. Anything you want to add in the MAC.

1353
01:11:52,200 --> 01:11:56,080
Speaker 3: No, I'm pleasantly surprised I ended up with a bet

1354
01:11:56,120 --> 01:11:58,599
Speaker 3: I like in this conference, because as I first initially

1355
01:11:58,840 --> 01:12:00,479
Speaker 3: was going to break it down, I was like, oh God,

1356
01:12:00,560 --> 01:12:02,760
Speaker 3: I'm dreading this. The MAC the place where my money

1357
01:12:02,800 --> 01:12:06,080
Speaker 3: goes to die. But hopefully the Stags can deliver, all right.

1358
01:12:06,120 --> 01:12:08,439
Speaker 1: Trivia question. Last time Fairfield made.

1359
01:12:08,280 --> 01:12:12,160
Speaker 2: The tournament, oh boy, two thousand and four.

1360
01:12:13,080 --> 01:12:19,600
Speaker 1: Nineteen ninety seven, and they played one seed North Carolina

1361
01:12:19,680 --> 01:12:23,840
Speaker 1: with Jamison Vince Carter and they ed Cota. They lost

1362
01:12:24,600 --> 01:12:27,760
Speaker 1: ninety two. No, lost eighty two to seventy four. I

1363
01:12:27,800 --> 01:12:29,280
Speaker 1: wonder if that was I don't remember that game. I

1364
01:12:29,280 --> 01:12:31,360
Speaker 1: wonder if that was a scare at all. Late Anyway,

1365
01:12:31,439 --> 01:12:33,599
Speaker 1: So ninety seven, last time the Stags made it all right.

1366
01:12:33,600 --> 01:12:35,439
Speaker 1: Before we get out of here, let's talk a little

1367
01:12:35,560 --> 01:12:39,040
Speaker 1: Ivy madness. Ivy went a little mad this past weekend,

1368
01:12:39,160 --> 01:12:42,320
Speaker 1: Brown with a ridiculous win. I mean, how many times

1369
01:12:42,360 --> 01:12:47,400
Speaker 1: are they dead in that game over Yale and Brown

1370
01:12:47,560 --> 01:12:50,040
Speaker 1: one of the most improved teams in the country of

1371
01:12:50,160 --> 01:12:56,440
Speaker 1: late they finished winning six straight, although two came in overtime.

1372
01:12:57,720 --> 01:13:07,280
Speaker 1: They will play Princeton on Saturday, and because of Yale's loss,

1373
01:13:08,120 --> 01:13:10,400
Speaker 1: instead of getting to play Brown, although maybe they don't

1374
01:13:10,400 --> 01:13:12,960
Speaker 1: want to play Brown after what happened, they'll have to

1375
01:13:13,000 --> 01:13:19,160
Speaker 1: play Cornell, which they'll be a small favorite against there.

1376
01:13:19,400 --> 01:13:22,280
Speaker 1: I think I'm saying two to one out there, Princeton

1377
01:13:22,360 --> 01:13:26,880
Speaker 1: close to even money. I tend to think personally that

1378
01:13:27,520 --> 01:13:30,240
Speaker 1: Yale is clear is the best team in this league,

1379
01:13:30,320 --> 01:13:34,480
Speaker 1: but then they have like these just these weird performances

1380
01:13:34,560 --> 01:13:39,360
Speaker 1: that get me off their trail. So what are your

1381
01:13:39,400 --> 01:13:46,200
Speaker 1: thoughts on Ivy madness. We have Cornell taking on Yale

1382
01:13:46,680 --> 01:13:48,360
Speaker 1: and then Brown Princeton.

1383
01:13:49,000 --> 01:13:51,519
Speaker 2: Yeah, this might be harsh on Yale, but that was

1384
01:13:51,880 --> 01:13:53,200
Speaker 2: that was a gutlass loss.

1385
01:13:53,400 --> 01:13:57,160
Speaker 3: To blow that on Senior Day up fifteen in the

1386
01:13:57,240 --> 01:13:59,960
Speaker 3: second half of that game, and to let Brown get back.

1387
01:14:00,240 --> 01:14:03,400
Speaker 3: I mean, they scored one basket final four minutes team

1388
01:14:03,479 --> 01:14:07,120
Speaker 3: with pretty solid guards and missed a couple clutch free throws.

1389
01:14:07,160 --> 01:14:10,040
Speaker 3: That was an eye opening one for me. Just not

1390
01:14:10,120 --> 01:14:12,040
Speaker 3: even able to clinch the share of the league title

1391
01:14:12,160 --> 01:14:15,960
Speaker 3: to concede that to Princeton. Princeton's playing really well lately too.

1392
01:14:16,200 --> 01:14:17,040
Speaker 2: They kind of.

1393
01:14:18,000 --> 01:14:20,760
Speaker 3: Stumbled a little early in league play, started only three

1394
01:14:20,800 --> 01:14:22,799
Speaker 3: and two, but then they've won nine straight.

1395
01:14:23,720 --> 01:14:25,879
Speaker 2: They're helped by this only being a four.

1396
01:14:25,720 --> 01:14:27,679
Speaker 3: Team tournament because they have the least debt of anyone

1397
01:14:27,720 --> 01:14:29,519
Speaker 3: in the country, Like they're the most five man team

1398
01:14:29,800 --> 01:14:32,160
Speaker 3: of any team in the country. Like their starting lineups great,

1399
01:14:32,240 --> 01:14:34,080
Speaker 3: never play the bench, but you only have to win

1400
01:14:34,120 --> 01:14:37,040
Speaker 3: two games in two days, and the IVY guys are

1401
01:14:37,080 --> 01:14:38,160
Speaker 3: somewhat familiar.

1402
01:14:37,880 --> 01:14:39,800
Speaker 2: With that because of the Friday Saturday back to backs

1403
01:14:39,800 --> 01:14:40,439
Speaker 2: down the stretch.

1404
01:14:41,160 --> 01:14:43,960
Speaker 3: So I kind of like Princeton here, even though the

1405
01:14:44,080 --> 01:14:48,360
Speaker 3: number isn't terribly appealing. But let Cornell and Yale beat

1406
01:14:48,400 --> 01:14:51,080
Speaker 3: each other up in the semis, and I still think

1407
01:14:51,120 --> 01:14:53,639
Speaker 3: Princeton takes care of business against Brown, despite the Bears

1408
01:14:53,680 --> 01:14:54,360
Speaker 3: playing a lot better.

1409
01:14:54,720 --> 01:14:58,639
Speaker 1: Do you have any thoughts on that Yale Ornell matchup?

1410
01:14:58,640 --> 01:15:03,719
Speaker 1: I mean, Cornell incredible offense and games are high. Varant

1411
01:15:03,720 --> 01:15:05,280
Speaker 1: it's gonna be a lot of three pointers in their games,

1412
01:15:05,320 --> 01:15:08,479
Speaker 1: which are make them a little difficult to cap. But

1413
01:15:08,560 --> 01:15:11,800
Speaker 1: any thoughts were now beat Yale sixty by sixty two

1414
01:15:12,040 --> 01:15:15,200
Speaker 1: at home and they lost by two on the road

1415
01:15:16,680 --> 01:15:19,639
Speaker 1: to really competitive games. I think when they beat Yale,

1416
01:15:20,400 --> 01:15:24,360
Speaker 1: Yale like melted down at the line. They went like

1417
01:15:24,400 --> 01:15:26,680
Speaker 1: eleven of twenty seven or something from the free throw line.

1418
01:15:26,680 --> 01:15:29,040
Speaker 1: Give any thoughts on on that matchup.

1419
01:15:29,520 --> 01:15:32,200
Speaker 2: It's gonna be fun to watch that. The first game,

1420
01:15:33,040 --> 01:15:35,040
Speaker 2: Cornell was up ten at Yale and Yelle came all

1421
01:15:35,040 --> 01:15:36,920
Speaker 2: the way back. It was like a massive.

1422
01:15:38,120 --> 01:15:41,800
Speaker 3: Energizing win for Yale, and then obviously not the same

1423
01:15:41,880 --> 01:15:45,599
Speaker 3: case second time around. Cornell is a little bit anti

1424
01:15:45,960 --> 01:15:48,519
Speaker 3: Princeton in terms of they play super fast and have

1425
01:15:48,640 --> 01:15:49,559
Speaker 3: a ton of depth.

1426
01:15:49,760 --> 01:15:51,440
Speaker 2: They just like roll out hockey.

1427
01:15:51,240 --> 01:15:54,200
Speaker 3: Lineups, basically shift changes, five guys going in there and

1428
01:15:54,360 --> 01:15:57,960
Speaker 3: pressuring on defense. But it seems like both in league

1429
01:15:57,960 --> 01:16:01,320
Speaker 3: play and in games, they kind of still run out

1430
01:16:01,320 --> 01:16:02,880
Speaker 3: of gas in the second half. Our teams solve their

1431
01:16:02,920 --> 01:16:06,120
Speaker 3: pressure a little bit, so I think Yale will find

1432
01:16:06,160 --> 01:16:08,240
Speaker 3: their way through that. But I'm guessing it's a very

1433
01:16:08,320 --> 01:16:11,120
Speaker 3: close game, probably not going to be a big edge

1434
01:16:11,320 --> 01:16:13,760
Speaker 3: in terms of betting. You just got to be able

1435
01:16:13,760 --> 01:16:15,640
Speaker 3: to handle the pressure against them. If they turn you over,

1436
01:16:15,640 --> 01:16:17,040
Speaker 3: they're going to get a ton of really good shots

1437
01:16:17,080 --> 01:16:17,680
Speaker 3: going the other way.

1438
01:16:18,360 --> 01:16:22,560
Speaker 1: I agree. All right, good stuff, Jim got part of

1439
01:16:22,600 --> 01:16:27,000
Speaker 1: the Ivy, the Mountain West, JACQUSAT and the matt Ac.

1440
01:16:27,479 --> 01:16:30,960
Speaker 1: Make sure you tune in later today for part nine.

1441
01:16:31,120 --> 01:16:33,439
Speaker 1: We'll hit the rest of the leagues we haven't covered yet,

1442
01:16:33,880 --> 01:16:38,040
Speaker 1: including the Big Ten and the SEC. Will also even

1443
01:16:38,120 --> 01:16:42,759
Speaker 1: hit some miak and swack. But I hope you've enjoyed

1444
01:16:42,880 --> 01:16:45,080
Speaker 1: all eight parts. If you haven't checked out Part six

1445
01:16:45,200 --> 01:16:47,360
Speaker 1: and seven with Kayle Matt also from The Three Men,

1446
01:16:47,400 --> 01:16:50,639
Speaker 1: we make sure you check those out and check out

1447
01:16:50,640 --> 01:16:52,240
Speaker 1: all the stuff that The Three Men we is putting

1448
01:16:52,280 --> 01:16:56,760
Speaker 1: out on x all their live shows. Thanks for tuning in,

1449
01:16:56,840 --> 01:16:58,879
Speaker 1: Thanks again for joining me, Jim, Thanks to our producer

1450
01:17:00,120 --> 01:17:02,120
Speaker 1: back End, most portly texts, all of you for tuning in.

1451
01:17:02,400 --> 01:17:04,960
Speaker 1: Ifuse subscribe on Subscribe, subscribe to a friend, tell on Enemy,

1452
01:17:05,640 --> 01:17:06,960
Speaker 1: will you have a five star review that really helped

1453
01:17:07,000 --> 01:17:09,800
Speaker 1: us all do some getaways here shortly. Good luck on

1454
01:17:09,840 --> 01:17:12,960
Speaker 1: all of your wagers enjoy all of the madness cheers.

1455
01:17:26,600 --> 01:17:30,040
Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1456
01:17:30,479 --> 01:17:33,240
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1457
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1458
01:17:36,280 --> 01:17:37,040
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