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Speaker 1: Good morning, guys. How are you welcome into the Friday

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Speaker 1: morning edition of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Parolt. You can follow me on Twitter at Sports

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Speaker 1: Talk Match. We are here on Betting Pros dot com

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Speaker 1: and we're always being brought to you by bet MGM.

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Speaker 1: So Monday and Thursday not good right now. We got

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Speaker 1: the Dodgers in the World Series, so it hasn't been

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Speaker 1: a bad week, but it's not been a good week

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Speaker 1: on picks. So I'll give you that. If you're mad

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Speaker 1: at me, you have a right to be not good

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Speaker 1: on Monday, not good on Thursday. Frustrating difficult time during

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Speaker 1: the NFL year because well, you look at games, you

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Speaker 1: break games down and you start to kind of see, look,

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Speaker 1: that was the Carolina Panthers season. Okay, they will now

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Speaker 1: go three and seven. They will lose in ten days,

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Speaker 1: even with Christian McCaffrey coming back. They will lose on

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Speaker 1: the road at Kansas City and they will lose to

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Speaker 1: the Bucks. And then at three and seven, you're just

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Speaker 1: playing for draft picks and it's about rebuilding. I think

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Speaker 1: they got a good coach in Matt Ruhle. Didn't have

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Speaker 1: a good night last night. I think they got a

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Speaker 1: decent quarterback in Teddy Bridgewater who had a bad night

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Speaker 1: last night. I don't know what happened with DJ Moore.

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Speaker 1: He wound up with fifty five yards receiving last night,

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Speaker 1: but it was all in the final drive, like they

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Speaker 1: didn't use him, and he was really mad, like he

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Speaker 1: should have easily been more a bigger part of that offense.

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Speaker 1: I don't know what Teddy Bridgewater was doing. He just

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Speaker 1: did not look for DJ Moore, and unfortunately we wind

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Speaker 1: up about twelve yards short of hitting that prop bet.

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Speaker 1: And then Calvin Ridley got hurt and he was pacing

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Speaker 1: pretty well in the first half to get to his prop,

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Speaker 1: and unfortunately that doesn't go over. So that's why we

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Speaker 1: bet point two five units on prop bets, because prop

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Speaker 1: bets are so tough. One guy goes down, he gets injured,

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Speaker 1: and everything is just totally left up. So not good.

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Speaker 1: Not a good night, And you know, I'm frustrated. So

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Speaker 1: we've got I got three plays for you here, two

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Speaker 1: on Friday night, one on Saturday to talk about here

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Speaker 1: on the Friday edition of The Daily Juice. And like

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Speaker 1: I tell you guys, when I'm not going hot, and

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Speaker 1: I am, you know, not seeing the board well and

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Speaker 1: not having a great week. I shrink, Okay, I recognize,

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Speaker 1: and I try to kind of turtle a little bit.

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Speaker 1: When things aren't going well and it's raining outside, I

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Speaker 1: kind of go find an umbrella. So I'm only gonna

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Speaker 1: make three plays half a unit's okay. I got three plays,

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Speaker 1: two plays going tonight, one full unit in play, but

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Speaker 1: half a unit on either game. And then I got

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Speaker 1: a game on Saturday that I took tonight because I

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Speaker 1: think the line's gonna move, so I went ahead and

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Speaker 1: grabbed it. But it is a it's my own theory,

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Speaker 1: it's my own philosophy as to how I do it.

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Speaker 1: You guys can bet what you want and whatever you're

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Speaker 1: comfortable betting, but that's kind of how I weather the storm. Right.

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Speaker 1: We were super hot last week. We got a bunch

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Speaker 1: of cool future wagers to cash for us. And when

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Speaker 1: that happens, I mean for me, at least, I recognize that. Okay,

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Speaker 1: maybe I'm not seeing the ball on the board as

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Speaker 1: well as I should, so I've got to kind of,

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Speaker 1: you know, weather this. I like the NFL slates. I

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Speaker 1: do think we're gonna have a good week. Betting on

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Speaker 1: the NFL on Sunday. I think Saturday could be okay,

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Speaker 1: but I don't want to get us so far into

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Speaker 1: a hole here on Friday night that all of a sudden,

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Speaker 1: like it's impossible to get out of it on Saturday.

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Speaker 1: So I want to try to limit the damage here

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Speaker 1: on a Friday and then I want to get into

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Speaker 1: Saturday and hopefully have a good night coming up for Saturday.

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Speaker 1: and line movements and plays and whatnot. So all right,

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Speaker 1: let's get to the place. Two games tonight, one game

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Speaker 1: on Saturday. Let's start with the game on Saturday. All right,

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Speaker 1: this line moved as I was betting it, and I

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Speaker 1: don't like about this. I don't like this. Okay, So

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Speaker 1: Clemson at Boston College, it was thirty one points at

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Speaker 1: certain books. It had started to come down. It was

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Speaker 1: right around like twenty eight when the news broke that

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Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence was out with COVID nineteen. Do not ask

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Speaker 1: me how to say DJ's last name. I just know

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Speaker 1: the dude can play. I can't pronounce his last name.

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Speaker 1: I just know this guy is a stud. Number one

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Speaker 1: pocket passer in the ESPN twenty twenty rankings. He enrolled

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Speaker 1: at Clemson in January. He earned the number two backup spot.

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Speaker 1: He's already played in mop up duty, where he was

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Speaker 1: twelve of nineteen for one hundred and two yards, scored

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Speaker 1: twice on the ground. He's six foot five, He's enormous.

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Speaker 1: He can run, he can throw. He's from Bellflower, California. Look,

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Speaker 1: they've got Trevor Lawrence. But they're gonna be in good

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Speaker 1: shape with this dude because he is absolutely outstanding running

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Speaker 1: and throwing. They're gonna put points up. Okay, they're gonna

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Speaker 1: put points up. This is a tough team to tackle.

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Speaker 1: This is a tough team to defend. But look, Clemson

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Speaker 1: has been rolling everybody. They didn't beat Syracuse. They won

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Speaker 1: by twenty six as forty seven and a half point favorites.

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Speaker 1: It was a tight game for a little while, but

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Speaker 1: I mean, they beat Georgia Tech by sixty six points

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Speaker 1: on the spread, thirty nine point margin. That was they

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Speaker 1: won by sixty six points. They beat Florida by twenty

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Speaker 1: five points. Travis etn is going to run, run, run,

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Speaker 1: and they're going to win this game going away very easily.

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Speaker 1: I thought about betting the first half, but first half

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Speaker 1: numbers out aren't out yet, and it could be a

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Speaker 1: slow start with a new quarterback, so it might not

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Speaker 1: go the way that kind of weigh how you want

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Speaker 1: it to go. So I was like, it's like, let

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Speaker 1: maybe we'll wait on that. Look, Boston College gives up

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Speaker 1: four point five yards a rush, Clemson's averaging four point

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Speaker 1: six yards of rush. I think Look, if you want

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Speaker 1: to talk about the under that might be in play here,

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Speaker 1: it's fifty five and a half. But that's kind of

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Speaker 1: low for a Clemson game. The number is going up.

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Speaker 1: It was bet down to twenty three, now climbing. I

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Speaker 1: wanted it at twenty three. Right when I tried to

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Speaker 1: bet it at twenty three, it changed to twenty three

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Speaker 1: and a half. I think up to twenty four this

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Speaker 1: is okay. I just think Clemson. Boston College is tough

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Speaker 1: at home. I get it. But I've been to BC.

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Speaker 1: My father went to b C Law. I've been to

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Speaker 1: a bunch of Boston College games in my life. It's

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Speaker 1: not a tough place to play by any means. No

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Speaker 1: fans are gonna be there. Clemson's gonna scrimmage this. This

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Speaker 1: is gonna be a time where I think they leave

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Speaker 1: the kid in the game. So maybe it's hey, you know,

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Speaker 1: let's get in some reps. This is a game time

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Speaker 1: for you. It's an exhibition game, it's a scrimmage. They're

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Speaker 1: gonna do all sorts of crazy things. I think Clemson

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Speaker 1: wins and covers this Boston College. A lot of people

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Speaker 1: are gonna jump on Boston College because they don't know

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Speaker 1: about this, DJ kid. I'm at a half a unit

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Speaker 1: for Saturday. Half a unit Clemson minus twenty three and

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Speaker 1: a half. Take it. They're gonna roll. There's so much

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Speaker 1: talents on Clemson's team in BC is gonna fight hard.

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Speaker 1: Maybe in the first step they keep it closed, but

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Speaker 1: eventually Clemson's talent wins out. I'm gonna lay the twenty

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Speaker 1: three and a half. You can go up to twenty four,

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Speaker 1: I think and feel okay with it. Clemson on the

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Speaker 1: road at Boston College coming up here for Saturday. Now

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Speaker 1: two plays on Sunday, Sorry, on Friday night tonight. Let's

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Speaker 1: start with Minnesota and their game coming up here against

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Speaker 1: Maryland on the road. So here's the thing about Minnesota.

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Speaker 1: We were on them against Michigan, catching three and a

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Speaker 1: half points at home, and they played horrendously. It was awful.

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Speaker 1: The COVID nineteen issue that had broken right before the

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Speaker 1: game was massive, incredibly significant. I was very angry, and

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Speaker 1: I still am very upset about the fact that teams

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Speaker 1: are not forced to declare who is playing and who

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Speaker 1: is not when it comes to COVID nineteen. They're starting kicker,

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Speaker 1: they're starting punter, their starting linebacker and two offensive linemen

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Speaker 1: were out against Michigan. I would not have bet that

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Speaker 1: game if I had known that. I knew there were

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Speaker 1: some COVID problems from Minnesota, but we had no idea

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Speaker 1: who exactly was going to be out. That's a monster Okay,

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Speaker 1: it's a monster deal. And I really hope at some

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Speaker 1: point that we are now we know this, because what

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Speaker 1: happens if Clemson didn't tell anybody about Trevor Lawrence and

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Speaker 1: then all of a sudden, right before game time, Lawrence

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Speaker 1: isn't on the plane. It's like, what do you mean

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Speaker 1: Lawrence didn't travel? Why not? Why do you think he

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Speaker 1: go to Boston? This is weird. And then you got

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Speaker 1: a you know, a surprise start and the line's still

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Speaker 1: thirty one right, and then everyone goes, oh my gosh,

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Speaker 1: it's a huge touchdown difference. It's a big deal. I

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Speaker 1: just think coaches this idea of like they can hide this.

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Speaker 1: This is a public service, This is a public this

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Speaker 1: is a pandemic. This is about the community at large.

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Speaker 1: You should have to tell the names and the people

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Speaker 1: who have COVID nineteen. Screw hip, You give up, Pooka,

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Speaker 1: you give your hip of laws your hip hop rights

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Speaker 1: when you play football, right, we know about injuries. We

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Speaker 1: know about legs and concussions, and you know ankle sprains

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Speaker 1: and whatnot, So why is COVID ain't different. It's really frustrating.

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Speaker 1: And I just again, if sports leagues and sports and universities,

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Speaker 1: if they want to take money from sports books, they

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Speaker 1: better get that in check very quickly. Okay, it's an

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Speaker 1: integrity fee issue. It's an integrity of the game issue.

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Speaker 1: There's inside information that if you're a kid who works

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Speaker 1: with the football program and you know how many kids

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Speaker 1: have COVID, you can sell that information to a professional

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Speaker 1: sports gambler. You could have a massive impact. That's insider information.

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Speaker 1: That's wrong. It's illegal and not right. So I am

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Speaker 1: very angry at that. Anyways, got nothing to do with

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Speaker 1: Minnesota at Maryland. So the line's nineteen and a half.

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Speaker 1: Let's talk about the first half for a second. Gophers

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Speaker 1: are angry. I think Tanner Morgan wants to get rid

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Speaker 1: of that game that they had against Michigan. I think

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Speaker 1: they want to get up and really put some points

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Speaker 1: up on the board. Here to his little brother played

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Speaker 1: horrifically against Northwestern with three interceptions, he may play better,

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Speaker 1: but I don't like the idea of a backdoor cover

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Speaker 1: because of a team at home. I think it's too

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Speaker 1: big of a number. I think it's very possible that

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Speaker 1: Maryland will backdoor Minnesota here. So I took it at

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Speaker 1: ten and a half. This is another line I wanted

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Speaker 1: early in the night at ten, and it moved to

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Speaker 1: ten and a half. So both times the number moved

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Speaker 1: against me. Don't like it, but this is a number

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Speaker 1: where you can like it all the way up to fourteen.

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Speaker 1: I think for Minnesota in the first half, I think

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Speaker 1: they're gonna try to put some series points up on

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Speaker 1: the board early, try to get that game kind of

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Speaker 1: over early, and then coast in the second half. Maryland's

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Speaker 1: not a very good football team, merv. Maryland's not a great,

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Speaker 1: very good football program, and you're starting, you know, a

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Speaker 1: sophomore quarterback who's an Alabama transfer. But against Minnesota and

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Speaker 1: the big ten, no, I think this is a Minnesota

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Speaker 1: win relatively easily. But I think that the back door

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Speaker 1: in the second half scares me. So half a unit

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Speaker 1: Minnesota minus ten and a half in the first half,

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Speaker 1: play number three here tonight for us on a Friday night.

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Speaker 1: It's the late one Hawaii and Wyoming. So Hawaii ran

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Speaker 1: the ball really effectively against Fresno State. That was sort

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Speaker 1: of an interesting like eye opener, Like, what do you

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Speaker 1: mean they got a quarterback who can run, They got

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Speaker 1: a couple of running backs who can pick up big plays.

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Speaker 1: You know, Nevada threw for a ton of yards on

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Speaker 1: Wyoming and last week, and it's a little bit of

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Speaker 1: a concern when you look at Wyoming and you're like,

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Speaker 1: what the heck happened to you guys on the road

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Speaker 1: at Nevada. That's a game that you don't normally lose.

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Speaker 1: Thirty seven thirty four, and they blew They blew it.

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Speaker 1: I mean, they were favored in that game. It just

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Speaker 1: wasn't a good performance at all. Here's Wyoming at home

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Speaker 1: against Hawaii. It's going to be in the twenties at kickoff. Now,

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Speaker 1: before you say Hawaii is screwed, not necessarily. Hawaii historically

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Speaker 1: has played pretty well on the mainland, but not great

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Speaker 1: in cold temperatures, although they've gone to Boise a lonch

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Speaker 1: of times and take it on Boise. Todd Graham's a

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Speaker 1: new head coach coming in. They beat Fresno thirty four

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Speaker 1: to nineteen. Now they projected the total at sixty four

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Speaker 1: and a half. It went well under in that game.

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Speaker 1: But I've looked at the spread. I've looked at kind

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Speaker 1: of the points spread analysis here a little bit as

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Speaker 1: to I think Wyoming is better. Their defense is better

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Speaker 1: than what they played against Nevada. And they're at home. Okay,

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Speaker 1: this is their home opener, this is in their building.

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Speaker 1: This is the way they're gonna want to play. I

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Speaker 1: think they get back to playing Craig Bull type of football,

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Speaker 1: which is defense in running the football. Here the lines

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Speaker 1: won Wyoming minus one. Hawaii is good, Hawaii is live.

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna say that Hawaii can't win this football game,

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Speaker 1: but this is a game where I'm taking the home

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Speaker 1: team because it's basically a pick. I'm gonna lay half

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Speaker 1: a unit here on Wyoming minus one. To get back

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Speaker 1: to playing Wyoming football, to not give up big plays,

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Speaker 1: to not get thrown all over because they gave up

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Speaker 1: a ton a ton of passing yards to Nevada, which

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Speaker 1: I'm sure to not sit well. I'm gonna expect a

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Speaker 1: big jump defensively for Wyoming from game one to game two.

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Speaker 1: So here comes Wyoming at home against Hawaii. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: take the Cowboys at home against the Rainbow Warriors. Here,

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Speaker 1: we're gonna lay the one Wyoming minus one. All right,

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Speaker 1: So three plays I'm given here on a Friday, one

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Speaker 1: on Saturday. Two for tonight. Just one unit going tonight

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Speaker 1: because again not seeing the board all that well. So

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Speaker 1: I want to be careful here. I want to make

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Speaker 1: sure that we're fully not destroying the bank roll. For

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Speaker 1: Saturday and Sunday. There are some games I really like

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Speaker 1: on Sunday. I kind of like on Saturday. So the

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Speaker 1: first game we gave out on Saturday minus twenty three

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Speaker 1: and a half, Clemson on the road at Boston College.

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Speaker 1: I think everyone's overreacting to the Trevor Lawrence news, which

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Speaker 1: is fine, DJ, you can say his last name. Great quarterback.

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Speaker 1: I think he comes in and plays really well, and

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Speaker 1: I think he gets left in the game too, even

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Speaker 1: if the game gets to be a laugher. I think

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Speaker 1: they leave him in the game. It doesn't matter. I

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Speaker 1: think who has who plays a quarterback? It's Clemson for

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Speaker 1: goodness sake. So Clemson minus twenty three and a half

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Speaker 1: over Boston College Minnesota in the first half laying ten

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Speaker 1: and a half on the road at Maryland. That line

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Speaker 1: is nineteen and a half or twenty. We're gonna lay

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Speaker 1: the ten and a half in the first half for

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Speaker 1: Minnesota on the road at Maryland, and we're taking Wyoming

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Speaker 1: at home minus one against to Why here all three

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Speaker 1: of those plays are at a half a unit. Remember

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Speaker 1: the Clyde Edwards E layer helmet giveaway. Go do that

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00:17:20,400 --> 00:17:24,119
Speaker 1: bettingpros dot com slash juice to leave the screenshot of

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00:17:24,160 --> 00:17:26,919
Speaker 1: the review that you're gonna leave on Apple Podcasts or

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00:17:26,960 --> 00:17:29,639
Speaker 1: on Stitcher. And also be sure you're a subscriber of

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00:17:29,680 --> 00:17:32,399
Speaker 1: the YouTube channel to get the extra for fifty bucks

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Speaker 1: from Pristine Auctions. Remember Saturday, we're gonna get rocking with

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Speaker 1: college football Sunday the live stream at eleven am. The

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Speaker 1: Discord channel is very good, although you guys have to

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Speaker 1: be careful talking to smack to each other. Okay, you

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Speaker 1: got a little contentious. It's all message boards what happens.

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Speaker 1: But let's keep it respectful and keep it nice. So Discord.

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Speaker 1: Go to Betting pros dot com slast chat bettingpros dot

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00:17:55,040 --> 00:17:57,680
Speaker 1: com slash chat to get into our Discord channel. Over

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Speaker 1: seven hundred people are already in there and games. We're

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Speaker 1: watching games, and we'll watch games coming up here on

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Speaker 1: our Friday night together with a couple of college football

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Speaker 1: games in action on a Friday night. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Parotz. Follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: We're back for a big Saturday college football edition of

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Speaker 1: the Daily Juice podcast of bettingcros dot com, presented by

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Speaker 1: BEDAMGLB