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Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you happy Thursday? Happy March madness everybody?

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Speaker 1: We start the dance to Phoenix coming up here today.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parolt. You guys can follow me

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Speaker 1: across all socials at Sports Talk Matt in This podcast

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Speaker 1: being brought to you by Omaha Steaks dot com slash

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Speaker 1: Juice the customize url. You're gonna go there and subscribe

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Speaker 1: to Omaha Steaks dot Com slash Juice, Free burgers for life,

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Speaker 1: ten percent of your first purchase, and he one satisfaction

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Speaker 1: money back guarantee at oma Steaks dot Com slash Juice.

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Speaker 2: All right, we haven't had a four and oh sweep

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Speaker 2: in a while.

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Speaker 1: Two and o officially by two and o unofficially neurfy.

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Speaker 1: It's always fun to wake up with that with the

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Speaker 1: Dodgers and the Padres. More on that here. In just

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Speaker 1: one second, we get the second period over comes in

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Speaker 1: three goals. Got scored not two but three in the

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Speaker 1: Dallas Stars in the Arizona Coyotes game, so we get

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Speaker 1: that right. We don't pay the juice. We win a

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Speaker 1: unit which was nice laid minus one ninety five there

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Speaker 1: minus one oh five on the unofficial place, but the

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Speaker 1: official Plaze finally hit two over easy over in the

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Speaker 1: Indiana State game. They won to they covered a stun,

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Speaker 1: they covered the seven and a half points, but we

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Speaker 1: got there with ease, and the under comes in with

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Speaker 1: a couple of points to spare with the Suns and

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Speaker 1: the sixers.

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Speaker 2: Under two twenty came in.

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Speaker 1: If you got that late, it was up to its

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Speaker 1: highest two twenty two, So you got that really even

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Speaker 1: easier than me. But a four and oh day four

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Speaker 1: units officially up two units, so needed it.

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Speaker 2: Like it.

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Speaker 1: That's a good start for us here as we head

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Speaker 1: towards the NCAA tournament which begins here today across the country. Now,

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Speaker 1: I've got the Drake moneyline bet already in play.

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Speaker 2: All right, it's already on the books.

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Speaker 1: I got three more bets for you guys coming up

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Speaker 1: here for today, and I'm going to tell you that

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Speaker 1: I have bet the nurfee for Joe Muskgrove and Yomoto

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Speaker 1: Game two in the Soul Series. The big question is Yomoto, right,

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Speaker 1: what is he going to look like in a Dodger uniform.

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Speaker 1: But here's the thing, the padres haven't seen him, so

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Speaker 1: unless he gives up a solo shot, which could happen.

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Speaker 1: I think we're good because Muscrove has been pretty good.

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Speaker 2: Musco has been one of the better no run.

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Speaker 1: In the first inning pitchers in baseball, and so I

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Speaker 1: think it being in Seoul, yeah, it's game two, and

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Speaker 1: yes it's the Dodger lineup and might be a little

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Speaker 1: more difficult. I think it's worth coming in and betting

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Speaker 1: it because the offenses are going to be way behind.

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Speaker 1: I mean, the Dodgers go from South Korea to LA

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Speaker 1: to play three more exhibition spring training games against the Angels,

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Speaker 1: like we're not even going right into the major league season.

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Speaker 1: They open up at home coming up on and believe

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Speaker 1: the twenty fifth of May, but they fly back to

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Speaker 1: from Seoul, South Korea, and keep on playing exhibition games

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Speaker 1: because our offense isn't good enough yet. So since the

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Speaker 1: offense is not good enough yet, it will be. But

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Speaker 1: it's not there yet, and there's some real controversy around

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Speaker 1: show Hey as of right now, if you haven't heard,

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Speaker 1: I'm not sure what Tani even plays tomorrow.

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Speaker 2: Given what will happened.

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Speaker 1: I could see him sitting down and not playing tomorrow,

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Speaker 1: given all the controversy going around. His interpreter looked that

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Speaker 1: up if you don't know what I'm talking about. Nurfy

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Speaker 1: not official, no run in the first inning, and again

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Speaker 1: it's Mass one oh five, same prices yesterday, jumping in

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Speaker 1: Miss one oh five on the Nurfy for the Dodgers

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Speaker 1: and the Padres three o'clock in the morning Pacific time.

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Speaker 2: So I'm not going to have to worry about that.

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Speaker 1: You know, I'm not gonna make an official I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: go sleep, wake up and see it was fun.

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Speaker 2: Wake up to a green check mark.

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Speaker 1: Hopefully we wake up to a second green check mark

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Speaker 1: with Mook with Joe Musgrove versus yol mooto. And by

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Speaker 1: the way, they're not going deep. These starters are going

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Speaker 1: like four or five innings max. So it's good they

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Speaker 1: know it. So they're gonna come out throwing hard in

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Speaker 1: the first inning to get their work in. So gonna

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Speaker 1: go with a Nerfy there, but that's not official. Before

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Speaker 1: I give you the three official plays for the podcast today,

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Speaker 2: All right, I like Colorado State a lot.

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Speaker 1: On my other show, Oh, we interviewed Ali Farokmanesh assistant

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Speaker 1: coach at a Nico medved they've got an awesome saying

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Speaker 1: and they've got an awesome team right now.

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Speaker 2: Now.

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Speaker 1: I know you say recency bias. They just played coming

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Speaker 1: out a day in Okay. But they're focused on today.

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Speaker 1: They're focused on the now. They're really hard to play.

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Speaker 1: At one point this year, the Rams were ranked thirteenth

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Speaker 1: in college basketball. I'm just not a very big fan

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Speaker 1: of Texas. I don't think this team is all that good. Yes,

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Speaker 1: they played decent in the Big twelve and on the road.

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Speaker 2: This year.

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Speaker 1: They were five and nine ATS, they were twelve and

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Speaker 1: twenty overall ATS, they were eight and eleven in the

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Speaker 1: Big twelve ATS, and there were four and six ATS

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Speaker 1: over their last ten games.

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Speaker 2: That's not great for the Rams.

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Speaker 1: They were nine and nine away from home, seventeen and

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Speaker 1: sixteen overall, got a big win over by twenty five points.

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Speaker 1: They got the nerves out. They got the nerves out

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Speaker 1: like it's tremendous. They don't have any of the nerves

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Speaker 1: going on. This Texas team's got nerves. They lost to

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Speaker 1: Kansas State in the tournament. Kansas State. Remember Kansas State

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Speaker 1: what they did last night or two nights ago. It

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Speaker 1: looked horrible. Now they without one of their players. But

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Speaker 1: I don't buy Texas here. I'm sorry. I know the

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Speaker 1: level of competition not great here, but I'm catching two

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Speaker 1: and a half points. I'm gonna be real, real hesitant

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Speaker 1: to lay points in the tournament, at least not till

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Speaker 1: I see somehow these teams are playing. I'm taking the

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Speaker 1: Rams Sprinkle money line. I think they make the second round.

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Speaker 1: I think they beat Texas. Colorado State plus two and

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Speaker 1: a half up against Texas in Charlotte. I like the

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Speaker 1: Rams bet number two. I'm just fading Kansas all right.

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Speaker 1: Without mccullors, there are such a different team. The number

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Speaker 1: is seven. It was eight, it's been bet down. I

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Speaker 1: still think seven's too many points. I mean Samford is

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Speaker 1: nine and seven away from home this year, ATS eighteen

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Speaker 1: and fourteen overall, Kansas went thirteen eighteen and one, ATS

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Speaker 1: three and seven over their last ten games, and they've

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Speaker 1: lost outright four of the last five.

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Speaker 2: They got beat by.

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Speaker 1: Twenty again Cincinnati and thirty by Houston without mccullors being there.

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Speaker 1: I don't think this team wants to play. They might

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Speaker 1: win the game, but I got a team that's won

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Speaker 1: four games in a row in Samford, and when you

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Speaker 1: go to kempom, it's pretty it's pretty wild here when

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Speaker 1: you break down the numbers for Samford. Now, according to kempom,

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Speaker 1: this is a six point win four KU. Okay, so

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Speaker 1: we got a point of value there. But three point

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Speaker 1: shooting Samford seventh best in the country, Kansas one hundred

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Speaker 1: and sixty eighth in three point defense. For Samford, they

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Speaker 1: get thirty four percent of their points from behind the arc.

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Speaker 1: That's top seventy in the country. And this KU team

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Speaker 1: is better at guarding the two with Hunter Dickinson, who

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Speaker 1: by the way, is questionable, and if he doesn't play

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Speaker 1: in this game, I mean, my goodness, gracious, we know

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Speaker 1: that we're not seeing mccullors isn't gonna play I mean,

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Speaker 1: if we don't see Dickinson in this game, this is

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Speaker 1: Samford all day. This number might crash. Okay, Dickinson, we'll see.

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Speaker 1: He's a game time decision whether he'll play in this

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Speaker 1: game or not. If he doesn't play, this number is

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Speaker 1: gonna drop down dramatically. Samford's plus seven. If they hit

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Speaker 1: their threes, Samford can win the game outright, they can

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Speaker 1: send Kansas home. I just don't like what we're seeing

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Speaker 1: out of Kansas at all. I got a team that

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Speaker 1: shoots threes aggressively, a team that was good ats on

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Speaker 1: the road, and a team that's been hot, winning four

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Speaker 1: games in a row. They won their conference tournament. I've

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Speaker 1: seen this story before. I mentioned Ali Ferrokmanesh Oklahoma City

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Speaker 1: against KU team from a small school. Where's Northern Iowa?

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Speaker 1: Where's Samford? I'm taking the points Samford plus seven for

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Speaker 1: one point one units and finally the fourth bet for

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Speaker 1: the day. Look, I know there are certain people who

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Speaker 1: are gonna bet the under in every single one of

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Speaker 1: the first half's. Sorry if you're hearing my cat cry

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Speaker 1: for some reason, I don't know what's going on. He's

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Speaker 1: my animal, is very strange animal. But and he broke

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Speaker 1: into the door. By the way the door's closed. He

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Speaker 1: can pick a lock. He's like a he's a thief.

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Speaker 1: Can pick a lock and get in. Byu and Decane

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Speaker 1: Ducaine is a team that guards the three and they

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Speaker 1: play really slow in tempo. Two hundred and fifty first

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Speaker 1: in tempo. It's not Virginia slow, but it's about that, Okay.

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Speaker 1: The Dukes from Tokaane they guard the three. What is

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Speaker 1: by b yu do they shoot the three? BYU's tempo

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Speaker 1: is pretty good eighty six in the country, but when

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Speaker 1: you take on a team like Dukane, they're gonna.

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Speaker 2: Bleed the clock. They're gonna slow.

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Speaker 1: The tempo down. By us offense shooting the three, they're

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Speaker 1: one hundred and thirty second in three point percentage, but

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Speaker 1: that's because of the volume in which they shoot. Forty

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Speaker 1: one percent of their points come from behind the arc

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Speaker 1: forty one percent on the flip side to Kayane's defense,

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Speaker 1: they only give up twenty nine percent of those points

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Speaker 1: defensively given up from behind the arc.

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Speaker 2: They don't score.

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Speaker 1: A ton, however, they're one hundred and sixty fourth inefficiency.

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Speaker 1: They're two hundred and thirteenth in effective field goal percentage,

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Speaker 1: they're one hundred and seventy ninth in three point percentage,

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Speaker 1: they're at two hundred and fourteenth in two point percentage.

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Speaker 1: And this game is tipping off at twelve forty Eastern

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Speaker 1: eleven forty Omaha time. There's gonna be nobody in the building.

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Speaker 2: I can tell you right now.

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Speaker 1: Everyone is jacked up for Drake and Iowa State in

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Speaker 1: the night session.

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Speaker 2: The morning session is Snoozeville. All right.

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Speaker 1: People are gonna go, friends and family are gonna go.

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Speaker 1: But there's not gonna be a lot of energy in

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Speaker 1: the building coming up in Omaha for Illinois, Moorhead State

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Speaker 1: and BYU Decaine. Just tell you that right now. Okay,

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Speaker 1: it's all about Drake Washington State, and it's all about

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Speaker 1: Iowa States, South Dakota State. Tons of juice for the

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Speaker 1: two games in the night session the morning session not much.

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Speaker 1: Sixty six and a half FanDuel has this number under

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Speaker 1: first half under BYU Decane. Even if BYU hits a

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Speaker 1: bunch of threes to Kaine's not going to score more

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Speaker 1: than twenty five points. In my opinion, Okay, I just

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Speaker 1: think we have a chance for a thirty twenty five

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Speaker 1: first half number here you know, mid fifties, upper fifties.

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Speaker 1: I think six six and a half is too high.

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Speaker 1: Under sixty six and a half BYU and Decane. All right,

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Speaker 1: so non official personal play Nurphy mis one oh five

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Speaker 1: in the baseball game here at six am Easter in

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Speaker 1: between the Andres and the Dodgers, if you want, same

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Speaker 1: Bett yesterday.

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Speaker 2: Not official official.

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Speaker 1: Place four of them Drake money line CSU the Rams

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Speaker 1: plus two and a half against Texas, Samford plus seven

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Speaker 1: against against Kansas BYU Decayne first half under sixty six

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Speaker 1: and a half, four bets for us here Officially, we'll

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Speaker 1: watch our futures. We'll watch it play out. Let's get

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Speaker 1: going with the dance. Mine's Matt Parolt. Follow me across

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Speaker 1: all socials at sports Doc.

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Speaker 2: Matt every morning.

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Speaker 1: Dale Juice podcast always being brought to you by Olma

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Speaker 1: Steaks dot com