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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast, the number one show

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Speaker 1: for the invested sports fan.

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Speaker 2: All Right, here we go fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty

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Speaker 2: thirty five, forty forty five fifty and the kickers block

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Speaker 2: the college football world stunder.

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Speaker 3: Oh my goodness, please stumbled.

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Speaker 1: And mumble the lateral to the counter on the inside,

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Speaker 1: don't you the lad take them up the field to night.

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Speaker 3: It's not the sage of the dog in the fighting,

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Speaker 3: It's the sage of the fight in the doll.

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Speaker 1: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 1: This is the college football week to preview. I'm stuck

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Speaker 1: in with me, as always is Colin Wilson.

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Speaker 4: What's going on? Colin? Ready to rock and roll?

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Speaker 5: I was completely focused for this recording here and then

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Speaker 5: Buffalo is getting blown up again. This Penn State line

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Speaker 5: min as will be one hundred. Anybody's gonna buy Penn State.

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Speaker 5: No one's taking a ticket on Buffalo.

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Speaker 3: When am I gonna jump in? I just don't know.

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Speaker 1: All Right, we're starting off today talking about Buffalo football.

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Speaker 1: I thought you were gonna start talking about the Bills,

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Speaker 1: but now we're talking about the Bulls. We're gonna get

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Speaker 1: to that game. Maybe I have no feel there. Maybe

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Speaker 1: Colin will get to that, but we're We'll obviously get

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Speaker 1: to the two marquee games of this weekend with Texas

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Speaker 1: A and M Clemson and LSU Texas. I'm sure Colin

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Speaker 1: has a lot to say about LSU Texas. We'll also

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Speaker 1: get to some of the FCSFBS matchups that we like.

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Speaker 1: We'll all do our moneyline parlay where we each picked

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Speaker 1: two money line underdogs which should have hit last week,

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Speaker 1: as we always do, and then we'll go through some

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Speaker 1: of the games that we like, so you know, some

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Speaker 1: of our favorite bets this weekend. But let's start with

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Speaker 1: one of my favorite segments that we do each week

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Speaker 1: on Thursday's episode, and let's look Ahead or look Away Hangovers,

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Speaker 1: Sleepers and the dreaded sandwich spot.

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Speaker 5: Is it time to look ahead or look away?

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Speaker 1: We look at next week and we say, okay, is

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Speaker 1: there any games next weekend? Are there any games next

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Speaker 1: weekend that'll impact this week? Whereas a team might be looking.

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Speaker 4: Ahead, they might pull their starters a little early.

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Speaker 1: With a big game on deck, it might eat into

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Speaker 1: their prep time this week. So let's look at a

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Speaker 1: few of those this week The one that really jumps

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Speaker 1: out a game that's been getting a lot of pub

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Speaker 1: I think because of the line movement is Syracuse at

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Speaker 1: Maryland and Syracuse. You know, they got that win against

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Speaker 1: Liberty last week. This is a second straight road game

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Speaker 1: and guess what next week they host Clemson, So you

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Speaker 1: want to talk about a sandwich sandwiches, sandwiches, sandwiches, sandwiches.

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Speaker 1: This is a tough spot for them. You know, is

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Speaker 1: Syracuse going to be completely focused for this game? Do

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Speaker 1: you trust Maryland? What do you see here with cues Maryland?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, definitely look ahead spot here for Syracuse. With Clemson

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Speaker 5: on deck possibly going to get game day. I think

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Speaker 5: it's kind of up to for debate between that and Ames.

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Speaker 5: So we'll see how the games turn out this weekend.

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Speaker 5: But I make this game.

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Speaker 3: As a pick.

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Speaker 5: But you know, you could tell just from Maryland and

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Speaker 5: the number of explosive plays they had with Josh Jackson,

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Speaker 5: the way that they looked with mikeel Loxley. You know,

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Speaker 5: they look like a win the National Championship, which is

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Speaker 5: Maryland's MO the first week of every season because they've

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Speaker 5: usually been playing Texas. It helps when you play Howard

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Speaker 5: Steam from a dog to a favorite seventy nine zero

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Speaker 5: win over Howard. That doesn't really tell me much about

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Speaker 5: how good their offenses, doesn't tell me much about how

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Speaker 5: good their defense is. The Turps didn't give up a sack,

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Speaker 5: so that's a good thing against Howard. And you know,

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Speaker 5: as far as Syracuse goes, they were the benefit of

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Speaker 5: for Liberty turnovers. I know we took a lot of

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Speaker 5: heat for the not you know, for Liberty not covering

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Speaker 5: the nineteen, but I mean, that's going to happen when

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Speaker 5: Hugh Freees doing everything in his bedpan, I'm sorry, his

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Speaker 5: hospital bed up in the press box, just collecting a

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Speaker 5: paycheck and then you know, waving at Dino goodbye. As

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Speaker 5: they gave up four turnovers and they're kicking punts with

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Speaker 5: ninety seconds left. So you know, the Flames went three

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Speaker 5: for sixteen on third down and they had two hundred

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Speaker 5: and thirty four yards passing, So they didn't really show

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Speaker 5: like the extent of what we've seen Liberty do before.

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Speaker 5: So Syracuse's defense looks good after Liberty, but it doesn't

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Speaker 5: really show the fact that you know, Tommy DeVito's this

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Speaker 5: isn't Eric Dungee. This team isn't as dangerous as the

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Speaker 5: past Orange teams. And you know, I think that this

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Speaker 5: is something where Maryland can run circles around them just

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Speaker 5: from an explosiveness factor and actually preventing explosiveness. So you know,

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Speaker 5: if you look at Syracuse closer, their center Sam Heckel,

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Speaker 5: he's questionable for the game. It's kind of a big

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Speaker 5: loss a center on the offensive line. And like I said,

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Speaker 5: I made it a pick. I think it's moved past

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Speaker 5: the number that I have. But it won't matter if Maryland,

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Speaker 5: if this is a blowout, it won't matter if it's

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Speaker 5: one or two or two and a half.

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Speaker 1: I played Maryland here at plus one and a half.

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Speaker 1: You know, obviously it's a good situational spot. But something

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Speaker 1: was just completely And I watched most of that game

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Speaker 1: last week, that Liberty Syracuse game, and you know, Liberty

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Speaker 1: not only they have a bunch of turners, they missed

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Speaker 1: a field goal, but they were able to move the

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Speaker 1: ball down the field at times, even with an offensive

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Speaker 1: line that just got completely abused. To me, the biggest

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Speaker 1: question this week is can Maryland's offensive line hold off,

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Speaker 1: because what it showed me last week is they have

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Speaker 1: a quarterback now who can throw the ball down field,

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Speaker 1: and it's going to give them balance to their offense

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Speaker 1: at which they haven't always had.

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Speaker 4: You know, we obviously know they have the explosive runners.

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Speaker 1: But ken their offensive line hold up against Syracuse, which

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Speaker 1: has a doc Syracuse might have the best defensive line

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Speaker 1: in the ACC with Clemson right now this second.

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Speaker 4: It's the strength of their team. They dominated the game

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Speaker 4: against Liberty.

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Speaker 1: Now, Maryland has more talent on the offensive line than

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Speaker 1: Liberty and more talent overall. But the thing that got

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Speaker 1: me is Syracuse's offense just looks so off from a

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Speaker 1: timing perspective. They were missing routes. The you know, Devido

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Speaker 1: is missing reads and you know, missing easy rose and

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Speaker 1: let's wrap up Clemson, excuse me, Syracuse, Maryland. I like Maryland.

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Speaker 1: Anything under three, I think they get the job done.

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Speaker 1: The offensive line is going to get tested. I think

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Speaker 1: they have enough. I think the Syracuse you know, offense

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Speaker 1: is still going to be out of rhythm. There might

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Speaker 1: be a look ahead factor here, but I like the Terps.

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Speaker 5: It's a no play for Syracuse. For me, Maryland is

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Speaker 5: the team that I would be on here. I would

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Speaker 5: actually have a slight lean to the under as I

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Speaker 5: projected just a few points shorter, but nothing that I've

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Speaker 5: played yet.

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Speaker 1: All right, now, one of the other look at our

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Speaker 1: look away spots that I had circled here is pit Ohio.

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Speaker 1: Now this is a fascinating game for a number of reasons.

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Speaker 1: We're both high on Ohio and the MAC and Pitt

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Speaker 1: opened its season with a conference loss, which is, you know,

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Speaker 1: never ideal, and then they have They're at Penn State

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Speaker 1: next week, you know, and then they have Ohio coming

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Speaker 1: to town this week. One of the things that jumped

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Speaker 1: out at me last week when I was going through

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Speaker 1: the box score and we talked about this was.

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Speaker 4: Pitt, Who's normally a tear that wants to run the ball.

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Speaker 1: But obviously they brought an offensive coordator, Mark Whipple from

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Speaker 1: UMass who loves to throw it. They didn't run the

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Speaker 1: ball at all last week. So is there a conflict

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Speaker 1: in that locker room with Narduzi and Whipple? Is he

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Speaker 1: going to want to run the ball more. I'm really

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Speaker 1: fascinated to see the play split this week. But you

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Speaker 1: know this game, you know, does Pitt show up for

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Speaker 1: are they you know, do they have a letdown? Are

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Speaker 1: they're looking ahead a little bit to Penn State. Pretty

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Speaker 1: fascinating game between Pitt and Ohio. What do you see here?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I think they do show up to this game.

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Speaker 5: I think Pitt does show up to this game because

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Speaker 5: they lost last week. And you're right, the run pass

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Speaker 5: ratio should be absolutely fascinating because Whipple was running his

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Speaker 5: offense and in the second half, Picketts started just getting

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Speaker 5: drilled on every single play. And that's when Nardozzi came

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Speaker 5: out and said, Hey, you know, we've got to run

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Speaker 5: the ball more, We've got to protect our quarterback more.

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Speaker 5: And I think even myself, I was a little caught

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Speaker 5: off guard by this. By this line, it opened up.

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Speaker 5: I made this game, you know, larger than seven. I

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Speaker 5: made this game somewhere around up at twelve, while some

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Speaker 5: of the other power rating systems out there had this

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Speaker 5: down round four, which is where the number is, which

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Speaker 5: is I wonder if it gravitated that way, Which is

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Speaker 5: baffling to me, because what you're telling me is the

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Speaker 5: team that just won the ACC Coastal at home, if

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Speaker 5: you take away home field advantage, is basically even with

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Speaker 5: the team from the MAC, which is just crazy to me.

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Speaker 5: So if I look at this, Pitt led Virginia fourteen

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Speaker 5: to thirteen and a half. They were ahead of Virginia

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Speaker 5: fourteen to thirteen at half, would they still be minus four?

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Speaker 5: You know, if they'd held on and won that game

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Speaker 5: against Ohio at home, if they'd have won against Virginia.

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Speaker 5: So what happened was is Virginia went into the locker

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Speaker 5: room and Bronco Mendenhall came up with a plan to

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Speaker 5: run a blitz on every single down against the four

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Speaker 5: new offensive linemen that Pitt has. Virginia had three touchdowns

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Speaker 5: that came from drives that started with field position in

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Speaker 5: Pitt territory. They started at the pit twenty nine, twenty seven.

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Speaker 3: And nineteen.

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Speaker 5: Not very hard to score when you're getting the ball

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Speaker 5: right there. So yeah, Nardoozia made comments at his quarterback,

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Speaker 5: you know, needs to be protected more. But they're not

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Speaker 5: going to get attacked that way from Ohio. The Bobs

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Speaker 5: front seven. They're not gonna be able to tack like

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Speaker 5: Virginia does. Virginia was top twenty and overall team Havoc

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Speaker 5: last year. They're one of the most choking defenses in

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Speaker 5: the tire FBS. Ohio's not going to be able to

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Speaker 5: do that.

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Speaker 3: Same thing. You know, when I look at this and

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Speaker 3: look into this a little bit more.

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Speaker 5: Whipple he knows Ohio, he knows Solis really well. He

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Speaker 5: scored forty two against him last year with UMass. He

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Speaker 5: scored fifty against him two years ago. So the points

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Speaker 5: pray it doesn't make any sense to me whatsoever. I

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Speaker 5: think I'm the only person in the world that's on Pitt.

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Speaker 5: So yeah, Pitt minus four for me. Whipple's gonna put

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Speaker 5: up points here. Probably an even run pass distribution in

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Speaker 5: Ohio's defense is not gonna be able to attack the

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Speaker 5: way Virginia does.

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Speaker 1: After what happened last week. The total's been jumping around

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Speaker 1: here every time I look at it. Sometimes it's at

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Speaker 1: fifty five, then I'll be fifty three and a half

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Speaker 1: and fifty four. So I think there's some disagreement in

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Speaker 1: the market or maybe some shaping as to what's going

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Speaker 1: to happen here. But because I think the outcome of

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Speaker 1: this game, and especially the total will be will come

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Speaker 1: down to, you know, the play distribution for Pitt.

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Speaker 4: So it's an interesting game to keep an eye on.

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Speaker 1: Another one that I wanted to touch on here is

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Speaker 1: a team that's in my backyard. I actually just flew

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Speaker 1: back home this morning and got into Lexington. We're talking

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Speaker 1: about Kentucky, who is now in the MAC. I think

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Speaker 1: so they played another MAC team to start the year.

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Speaker 4: They're two tucked there over.

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Speaker 1: Two touchdown favorite fourteen, a half point favorite against Eastern Michigan.

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Speaker 1: They covered last week against Toledo as a double digit favorite,

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Speaker 1: but got really fortunate in doing so. Toledo's quarterback got hurt.

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Speaker 1: Eastern Michigan coming off of a win. The question here

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Speaker 1: is is Kentucky looking ahead to Florida and SEC play

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Speaker 1: next week in their next game, one of the better

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Speaker 1: games next weekend. Em, you got a win, but it

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Speaker 1: might have been a little fraudulent. I think you mentioned

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Speaker 1: that as well.

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Speaker 5: Do you have any feel here, Yeah, there's a lot

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Speaker 5: of there's a huge contingency outside of you and me.

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Speaker 3: That's all over Coastal this week.

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Speaker 5: And I can't do it because, em, you got that

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Speaker 5: win because Fred Payton had four interceptions for Coastal, So

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Speaker 5: you know that wasn't like Eastern Michigan went in there

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Speaker 5: and really had had a decent box scores, a fraud

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Speaker 5: box score. Speaking of Kentucky, you know Wilson. Terry Wilson

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Speaker 5: can't make a good decision to throw in the ball with.

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Speaker 5: That's something we knew about last year, was just kind

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Speaker 5: of hidden by the fact that they had, you know,

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Speaker 5: really good receivers. They had a good you know, Benny

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Speaker 5: Snol junior and one of the best defenses to you know,

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Speaker 5: back them up. But I don't trust this Kentucky team.

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Speaker 5: Their box score is a little fraudulent. I definitely don't

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Speaker 5: trust Eastern Michigan. That box score is a little fraudulent.

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Speaker 5: So this is a stay away game for me.

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Speaker 1: All right, let me go through two other ones quickly.

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Speaker 1: Here and look at her look away category.

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Speaker 4: Oregons.

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Speaker 1: We talked about this a couple of weeks ago, Oregon

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Speaker 1: State one when Hawaii beat Arizona. You know Hawaii who apparently,

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Speaker 1: so we have Kentucky is now on the MAC and

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Speaker 1: Hawaii is now in the PAC twelve is what I'm seeing.

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Speaker 1: So they Hawaii started with Arizona, they have Oregon State,

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Speaker 1: and then next week they go to Washington. So you figure,

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Speaker 1: you know, hey, is Hawaii going to be completely focused here?

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Speaker 1: They have had a lot of time off. The Oregon

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Speaker 1: State defense to me still looked atrocious. I needed seven.

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Speaker 1: It's kind of flirting with seven and maybe touches it juiced.

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Speaker 1: But before I even I don't think I'll consider Hawaii here,

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Speaker 1: but I would need seven with the beads to consider them.

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Speaker 4: You have any feel here on the island.

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Speaker 5: Oh yeah, I've already taken Oregon State plus seven. You

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Speaker 5: guys can go to the Action Network app anytime stuck

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Speaker 5: and I make a play, you'll get a notification right away.

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Speaker 5: And when that thing was clipping seven earlier in the week, yeah,

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Speaker 5: I had to have it. And the reason is because

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Speaker 5: I don't understand this point spread either. So explain to

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Speaker 5: me how Hawaii is a plus eleven dog against Arizona

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Speaker 5: at home and now they're a seven point favorite against

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Speaker 5: Arizona State at home. You're telling me that there is

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Speaker 5: an eighteen point difference between Arizona's power rating and Orgon's

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Speaker 5: power rating. No, there's not an eighteen point gap between

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Speaker 5: Oregon State and Arizona. In my power ratings S and

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Speaker 5: P plus, there's a six point gap between Arizona and

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Speaker 5: Oregon State FPI. There's an eight point gap between Oregon

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Speaker 5: State and Hawaii. I think this point spread is complete overreaction.

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Speaker 5: I think Oklahoma State is just in another league. It's

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Speaker 5: hard to base Oregon State on that game. Both Jamar

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Speaker 5: Jefferson and Artavius Pierce ran for more than five yards

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Speaker 5: per carry.

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Speaker 3: On Oklahoma State.

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Speaker 5: They're going to be able to run on the ground

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Speaker 5: and control clock and move the chains, you know. And

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Speaker 5: if I was playing college fantasy football, I'd take Artavis Pierce.

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Speaker 5: I mean, his highlight yards per carrie were sixteen point

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Speaker 5: two four, which means he did a lot for himself,

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Speaker 5: not what his offensive line gave him. He's able to

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Speaker 5: make a lot happen when he runs the ball. Well,

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Speaker 5: this line is just outrageous. It's just complete overreaction to way.

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Speaker 1: The other one I wanted to mention was it's kind

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Speaker 1: of an odd game Arkansas State. You know, they open

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Speaker 1: up with a loss. Next week they're at Georgia and

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Speaker 1: in the interim this week they're going to UNLV A

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Speaker 1: very odd game that I can't figure out that it's

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Speaker 1: you know, it's basically a pick. I think Arkansas State

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Speaker 1: is a one and a half point favorite.

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Speaker 4: Here.

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Speaker 1: Do you have any feel here on now your boys

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Speaker 1: from Jonesborough.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it's hard to know. Where their head is at.

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Speaker 5: I mean from a power rating perspective, I have this

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Speaker 5: game at seven in favor of Arkansas State, so you

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Speaker 5: would think that you would want to play them, But

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Speaker 5: with kind of what's been going on off the field

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Speaker 5: with the coach and then the performance they put up

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Speaker 5: against SMU last week, definitely a turnover discrepancy there I

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Speaker 5: think they had. Arkansas State had three turnovers to SMU's one.

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Speaker 5: SMU had a completely brand new offensive line in Arkansas

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Speaker 5: State's defensive line couldn't do anything with it whatsoever. So

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Speaker 5: it's hard for me to say that since Arkansas State

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Speaker 5: couldn't take advantage of an SMU offensive line that was

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Speaker 5: completely brand new, does that make me think that they're

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Speaker 5: going to go to UNLV and be able to put

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Speaker 5: the hurt on a team that predominantly likes to rush

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Speaker 5: all the time against Harmoni Rodgers. So I'm not back

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Speaker 5: in Arkansas State in this position. And the numbers two,

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Speaker 5: the numbers, you know, not not good enough for me

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Speaker 5: to take UNLV fair enough.

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Speaker 1: All right, So let's move on to the games that

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Speaker 1: we wanted to cover. So it's really before we get

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Speaker 1: to Texas A and m Clemson LSU Texas. It's still

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Speaker 1: some of the more high profile games and door games

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Speaker 1: that we really like. It's another fabulous weekend of college football.

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Speaker 1: Let's check out the marquee matchups we'll all end up

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Speaker 1: betting for Week two. Let's start with an in state

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Speaker 1: all Ohio battle with Cincinnati Ohio State. This line, I

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Speaker 1: think Ohio State's fifteen and a half, sixteen point favorite

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Speaker 1: at home. The thing that rule and Cincinnati is obviously

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Speaker 1: coming off that win against UCLA. They do benefit from

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Speaker 1: a couple extra days here that they had for prep

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Speaker 1: and rest. The thing that really worries me about this

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Speaker 1: game is this since and by the way, this game

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Speaker 1: is a matchup of two of the best PLA. So

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Speaker 1: if you love special teams like me, you're excited to

333
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Speaker 1: watch the punting in this game, which could you know,

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Speaker 1: flip field position. But what scares me to death about

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Speaker 1: this game is Cincinnati's offensive line. They were at home

336
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Speaker 1: in the season opener committing numerous fall starts. They have

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Speaker 1: two freshmen on the offensive line, and that's going against UCLA.

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Speaker 1: Now they're gonna go to Ohio State against that defensive line.

339
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Speaker 1: They can't get behind the sticks with dumb penalties number one.

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Speaker 1: They're gonna have to establish the ground game. They're gonna

341
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Speaker 1: have to run the ball. Their defensive line is somehow

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Speaker 1: gonna have to play as well as did against UCLA

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Speaker 1: and again against better talent. But that offensive line really

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Speaker 1: scares me. In that stadium, I don't think I could

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Speaker 1: consider Cincinnati unless you're gonna dangle you know, a seventeen

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Speaker 1: plus seventeen and a half out there, which I don't

347
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Speaker 1: necessarily think it's gonna get there. Good measuring stick for Cincy,

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Speaker 1: but the trenches do concern me.

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Speaker 4: What do you see here?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, they'd have to hang at twenty one before I'd

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Speaker 5: even consider I've got this game at twenty. Cannot back

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Speaker 5: Cincinnati in this in this situation. You know, everything that

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Speaker 5: I'm reading this week from people that are putting content

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Speaker 5: out there, they're missing, They're missing the point, they're missing

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Speaker 5: what they should be saying. Cincinnati's D is tough, Cincinnati's

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Speaker 5: D is tough. Wait, let's clarify that Cincinnati's rush d

357
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Speaker 5: is tough. Cincinnati against the pass is not the same.

358
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Speaker 5: Cincinnati was outside the top one hundred against pass explosiveness

359
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Speaker 5: last year. That's the problem. Dorian Thompson Robinson, he can't

360
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Speaker 5: expose that Ucla couldn't take advantage of what Cincinnati's real

361
00:16:27,920 --> 00:16:30,360
Speaker 5: weakness is. But I got news for you. Justin Fields

362
00:16:30,400 --> 00:16:34,240
Speaker 5: feasted on explosive plays against FAU, three TD passes of

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Speaker 5: twenty five yards or more in the first quarter. The

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Speaker 5: Ohio State defense was, you know, their most vulnerable against

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Speaker 5: big runs. But FAU couldn't expose that since these running

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Speaker 5: backs they didn't have a run over fifteen yards against Ucla.

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Speaker 5: To me, this game screams Cincinnati comes out with all

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Speaker 5: this heart and this emotion and then after maybe three series,

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Speaker 5: Ohio State just runs away with it because Justin Field

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Speaker 5: is gonna be able to throw all over the secondary

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Speaker 5: of Cincinnati and they're not gonna you know, it's a

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Speaker 5: really bad mismatch in my eyes.

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Speaker 1: Plus days at Herban Meyer Disciples. So if he has

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Speaker 1: a chance to, you know, keep his foot on the

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Speaker 1: proverbial throat, he certainly will against Cincinnati. A game that

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Speaker 1: I think we both agree on. We mentioned earlier in

377
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Speaker 1: the week. It's probably one of my favorite games this

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Speaker 1: weekend from a betting perspective, and that's Michigan Army. So look,

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Speaker 1: one of my rules of thumb that I you know,

380
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Speaker 1: I don't follow religiously is that it's you know, it's

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Speaker 1: tough to fade the Service academies as a large underdog.

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Speaker 1: They've been great as underdogs, are terrible as favorites. We

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Speaker 1: saw that last week with Right and the reason is

384
00:17:38,000 --> 00:17:40,359
Speaker 1: they just bleed the clock. Like let's let's look at

385
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Speaker 1: the Oklahoma game last year when Army played them and

386
00:17:43,200 --> 00:17:47,960
Speaker 1: took Oklahoma two overtime. What happened was Kyler Murray threw

387
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Speaker 1: a pick in the second half, the Army turned around

388
00:17:51,119 --> 00:17:52,840
Speaker 1: and then went on like a twelve you know, an

389
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Speaker 1: eight nine minute drive, and then Oklahoma you know, punted

390
00:17:57,200 --> 00:17:59,359
Speaker 1: it and Army went on like a sixteen minute drive.

391
00:17:59,560 --> 00:18:02,280
Speaker 1: So the two drives were twenty minutes of the second

392
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Speaker 1: half in game time. That's what Army last year did

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Speaker 1: and that's why it's so hard to cover as a

394
00:18:06,680 --> 00:18:10,520
Speaker 1: favor because the clock running, your limiting possessions the biggest

395
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Speaker 1: difference with the Army. And you saw this in the

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Speaker 1: Rice game. I screamed it out of the first quarter.

397
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Speaker 4: I tweeted it.

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Speaker 1: I said, this Army Offen is gonna take an enormous

399
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Speaker 1: step back. And the reason is their full back position,

400
00:18:21,320 --> 00:18:23,639
Speaker 1: and that you know, people say the fullback, how important

401
00:18:23,640 --> 00:18:23,960
Speaker 1: could it be?

402
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Speaker 4: The option?

403
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Speaker 1: It's everything, you know, you know, you see every every

404
00:18:26,600 --> 00:18:28,520
Speaker 1: time when you run an option, they either handed the

405
00:18:28,600 --> 00:18:30,359
Speaker 1: fullback or you fake it to them. Well, if the

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Speaker 1: defense isn't afraid at that full back, then you can

407
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Speaker 1: cheat to the outside. And this threat of this dive

408
00:18:36,320 --> 00:18:39,520
Speaker 1: doesn't do anything. And they lost two great full backs

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Speaker 1: and you know, the one who was supposed to take

410
00:18:41,280 --> 00:18:44,960
Speaker 1: over this year, Slomanko is hurt, and McCoy just didn't

411
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Speaker 1: look right, and that offense scuffled against Rice. So I

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Speaker 1: just don't see them moving the ball, you know, and

413
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Speaker 1: I don't see them having these long, extended drives against

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Speaker 1: Michigan and the flip side Army's defense, I think is

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00:18:59,760 --> 00:19:02,440
Speaker 1: gonna take a big step back. I think Michigan really

416
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Speaker 1: wants to refine this offense, and just the athletes they had,

417
00:19:05,600 --> 00:19:07,919
Speaker 1: they would if they spread out Army, they can have

418
00:19:07,960 --> 00:19:11,240
Speaker 1: a field day here with the athletic differential. I think

419
00:19:11,280 --> 00:19:14,600
Speaker 1: Michigan rolls. I don't think Armies score louch. I think

420
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Speaker 1: we're just going to keep decreasing Army in the power

421
00:19:16,760 --> 00:19:19,879
Speaker 1: raids over the next couple weeks with this offense, I

422
00:19:19,920 --> 00:19:25,360
Speaker 1: think this is like, you know, thirty four seven ish.

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Speaker 4: What do you see?

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Speaker 3: Yeah? I agree with you.

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Speaker 5: I mean you're hitting the nail right on the head,

426
00:19:29,240 --> 00:19:31,720
Speaker 5: especially with the handicap on the full back. If the

427
00:19:31,720 --> 00:19:34,439
Speaker 5: fullback dive is broken, then nothing else is going to work.

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Speaker 5: As the linebackers can cheat, and they can take away

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00:19:36,359 --> 00:19:39,080
Speaker 5: the quarterback option, they can take away the pitch. Listen,

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Speaker 5: I make this game thirty two minutes and nine seconds.

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Speaker 4: That's it.

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Speaker 3: That's how long you had to grab a twenty one.

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Speaker 5: It's been twenty two, the lowest of twenty two.

434
00:19:46,680 --> 00:19:47,400
Speaker 3: At most books.

435
00:19:47,800 --> 00:19:50,280
Speaker 5: One book had it go to twenty one for two

436
00:19:50,320 --> 00:19:51,520
Speaker 5: minutes and nine seconds.

437
00:19:51,680 --> 00:19:52,080
Speaker 4: I got it.

438
00:19:53,040 --> 00:19:54,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, I couldn't even.

439
00:19:53,880 --> 00:19:56,240
Speaker 5: Get lugged in, So at twenty two is the best

440
00:19:56,240 --> 00:19:57,640
Speaker 5: I could do. If I ever see a twenty one,

441
00:19:57,880 --> 00:19:59,840
Speaker 5: I'll hit it. But listen, I make this game thirty.

442
00:20:00,600 --> 00:20:02,800
Speaker 5: Army needed a touchdown late to take the lead on Rice.

443
00:20:03,160 --> 00:20:05,040
Speaker 5: Rice tried to kick a field goal from the twenty,

444
00:20:05,160 --> 00:20:06,800
Speaker 5: which should have beat them if Rice would have hit

445
00:20:06,800 --> 00:20:08,479
Speaker 5: their two other field goals. You know, I mean they

446
00:20:08,480 --> 00:20:09,639
Speaker 5: got all the way down to the twenty six and

447
00:20:09,680 --> 00:20:11,960
Speaker 5: couldn't convert a fourth and one. It just would have

448
00:20:11,960 --> 00:20:13,600
Speaker 5: been a different game if Rice would have made those

449
00:20:13,600 --> 00:20:15,840
Speaker 5: other two field goals. But like we said about this,

450
00:20:16,080 --> 00:20:18,320
Speaker 5: you know what we saw from the offense in Michigan

451
00:20:18,400 --> 00:20:20,399
Speaker 5: last week was a lot of passes out to the flats.

452
00:20:20,400 --> 00:20:22,680
Speaker 5: They want to create wide receivers in space. They want

453
00:20:22,680 --> 00:20:25,000
Speaker 5: to use the athleticism, but they have with their wide receivers,

454
00:20:25,080 --> 00:20:26,560
Speaker 5: you know, to get down the field, which is what

455
00:20:26,600 --> 00:20:27,920
Speaker 5: they were trying to show they did. There wasn't a

456
00:20:27,960 --> 00:20:30,119
Speaker 5: lot of throws downfield, but there was a lot of

457
00:20:30,160 --> 00:20:31,920
Speaker 5: trying to get the wide receivers out in space. They

458
00:20:31,960 --> 00:20:34,000
Speaker 5: do against Rice, They're not going to have any problems.

459
00:20:34,040 --> 00:20:36,040
Speaker 5: I think the one thing that people aren't paying attention

460
00:20:36,119 --> 00:20:38,680
Speaker 5: to is that Army loss their defensive coordinator, Ja Bateman.

461
00:20:39,160 --> 00:20:41,520
Speaker 5: He went to UNC, which it's already paying dividends there

462
00:20:41,520 --> 00:20:43,719
Speaker 5: for them, and that went over South Carolina. You know,

463
00:20:43,760 --> 00:20:45,600
Speaker 5: Michigan's going to go into a buye after this. So

464
00:20:45,640 --> 00:20:47,760
Speaker 5: I don't expect them to take their foot off the pedal.

465
00:20:47,800 --> 00:20:51,159
Speaker 5: I expect them to want to get Josh Gatis's system

466
00:20:51,200 --> 00:20:51,840
Speaker 5: going as.

467
00:20:51,800 --> 00:20:52,560
Speaker 3: Much as possible.

468
00:20:52,680 --> 00:20:54,160
Speaker 5: I don't think they were happy with the way Middle

469
00:20:54,160 --> 00:20:57,040
Speaker 5: Tennessee State started. They're going to want to do more

470
00:20:57,080 --> 00:20:58,919
Speaker 5: of getting out in you know, into space and let

471
00:20:58,960 --> 00:21:01,760
Speaker 5: the wide receivers do the thing. But defensively, Army, if

472
00:21:01,760 --> 00:21:04,280
Speaker 5: the fullback dive is broken, you're not going anywhere against

473
00:21:04,280 --> 00:21:05,320
Speaker 5: this Michigan front seven.

474
00:21:05,560 --> 00:21:06,800
Speaker 3: I think this is going to be a blowout.

475
00:21:06,840 --> 00:21:09,120
Speaker 5: I'd be I'm almost be shocked if Army got double

476
00:21:09,119 --> 00:21:10,080
Speaker 5: digits and points.

477
00:21:10,320 --> 00:21:12,200
Speaker 4: Yup, I'm with you. I mean, it was just so

478
00:21:12,320 --> 00:21:16,120
Speaker 4: telling on the first Army drive third and one.

479
00:21:16,160 --> 00:21:18,080
Speaker 1: Obviously they go for like fourth to one from the twelve,

480
00:21:18,240 --> 00:21:22,320
Speaker 1: but third and one, fourth and one just stuffed by Rice.

481
00:21:22,880 --> 00:21:25,760
Speaker 1: That is not a good sign for Army this year,

482
00:21:26,280 --> 00:21:29,359
Speaker 1: where who I don't think is is gonna get anywhere

483
00:21:29,359 --> 00:21:31,840
Speaker 1: close to double digits to keep that streak alive, even

484
00:21:32,000 --> 00:21:35,360
Speaker 1: though they have ridiculously easy schedule. All right, let's move

485
00:21:35,400 --> 00:21:38,879
Speaker 1: on to another pretty intriguing game this weekend because of

486
00:21:38,920 --> 00:21:42,080
Speaker 1: what happened last week, and that is in the acc

487
00:21:42,200 --> 00:21:46,640
Speaker 1: between Miami and UNC, all of a sudden UNC went.

488
00:21:46,480 --> 00:21:48,400
Speaker 4: From you know, how bad are they gonna be? All

489
00:21:48,400 --> 00:21:51,080
Speaker 4: these changes they're rebuilding to. All right?

490
00:21:51,119 --> 00:21:54,760
Speaker 1: They beat South Carolina's eleven point dogs in Week one.

491
00:21:55,080 --> 00:21:58,359
Speaker 1: You know, Miami obviously lost that tough game to Florida.

492
00:21:58,400 --> 00:22:01,199
Speaker 1: They've had extra prep time here, but you know we

493
00:22:01,320 --> 00:22:04,159
Speaker 1: mentioned Jay Bateman. It's a natural transition here into UNC,

494
00:22:04,560 --> 00:22:06,600
Speaker 1: who took over as defensive cordator.

495
00:22:06,720 --> 00:22:06,920
Speaker 4: UNC.

496
00:22:07,000 --> 00:22:10,080
Speaker 1: They have Phil Longo is the offensive coordinator who's kind of,

497
00:22:10,119 --> 00:22:11,320
Speaker 1: you know, revamping.

498
00:22:10,920 --> 00:22:11,639
Speaker 4: That entire offense.

499
00:22:11,640 --> 00:22:14,520
Speaker 1: And it really came down to Sam Howe and you know,

500
00:22:14,760 --> 00:22:18,960
Speaker 1: the freshman that they really pilfered from Florida, from Florida State,

501
00:22:19,680 --> 00:22:24,440
Speaker 1: and you know is UNC Legit was that a flute game?

502
00:22:25,040 --> 00:22:26,160
Speaker 4: You like the dog here?

503
00:22:27,200 --> 00:22:27,520
Speaker 3: Yeah?

504
00:22:27,640 --> 00:22:29,199
Speaker 5: I love North Carolina in the spot. I don't think

505
00:22:29,240 --> 00:22:32,040
Speaker 5: we know how good North Carolina actually is. The hiring

506
00:22:32,040 --> 00:22:34,480
Speaker 5: of Phil Longo, which was old Missus offensive coordinator. He

507
00:22:34,560 --> 00:22:38,359
Speaker 5: is now the offensive coordinator for UNC. They had so

508
00:22:38,440 --> 00:22:41,080
Speaker 5: many explosive plays. Sam how the freshman had four different

509
00:22:41,119 --> 00:22:44,399
Speaker 5: receivers for explosive plays. Three different running backs had gains

510
00:22:44,400 --> 00:22:47,200
Speaker 5: of twenty two yards or more. Phil Longo's doing his job.

511
00:22:47,440 --> 00:22:49,120
Speaker 5: He's taken what he did at Ole miss last year

512
00:22:49,119 --> 00:22:51,320
Speaker 5: and he's got it translated over to North Carolina with

513
00:22:51,400 --> 00:22:54,639
Speaker 5: a freshman quarterback, and they did it against a defense

514
00:22:54,680 --> 00:22:57,480
Speaker 5: with South Carolina that's not terrible by any means. So

515
00:22:57,840 --> 00:22:59,800
Speaker 5: the defense, on the other hand, led by Jay Bateman,

516
00:22:59,800 --> 00:23:02,360
Speaker 5: come and from army. They picked off Bentley in each

517
00:23:02,359 --> 00:23:04,840
Speaker 5: of his two final drives in the game. You know,

518
00:23:04,840 --> 00:23:06,920
Speaker 5: they catching Miami here off of a bye week. I

519
00:23:06,960 --> 00:23:09,520
Speaker 5: think that there's still plenty of questions. Jared Williams is

520
00:23:09,520 --> 00:23:11,760
Speaker 5: gonna throw down the field, is bo Dallas going to

521
00:23:11,840 --> 00:23:13,879
Speaker 5: have more out of the Wildcat? And if all of

522
00:23:13,920 --> 00:23:17,000
Speaker 5: it goes wrong, is Danny's gonna throw his team under

523
00:23:17,000 --> 00:23:19,480
Speaker 5: the bus again to save his ass? So this is

524
00:23:19,600 --> 00:23:21,879
Speaker 5: really a big matchup, you know, for for Manny Diaz,

525
00:23:21,880 --> 00:23:23,879
Speaker 5: he's gonna be high emotions because he got fired by

526
00:23:23,880 --> 00:23:27,800
Speaker 5: Mac Brown back at Texas long ago. So I think

527
00:23:28,119 --> 00:23:30,280
Speaker 5: this is a game that both head coaches are quietly

528
00:23:30,359 --> 00:23:32,680
Speaker 5: being very being very nice to each other in the media.

529
00:23:32,880 --> 00:23:34,879
Speaker 5: I think they both want to beat each other pretty bad.

530
00:23:35,760 --> 00:23:39,960
Speaker 5: I don't Miami's offense is not as explosive as North Carolina.

531
00:23:40,000 --> 00:23:41,960
Speaker 3: North Carolina has got to deal with a really good defense.

532
00:23:42,440 --> 00:23:44,399
Speaker 5: But at the same time, I just think we do

533
00:23:44,480 --> 00:23:46,600
Speaker 5: not know how good this Sam how kid is and

534
00:23:46,680 --> 00:23:49,240
Speaker 5: exactly how explosive the North Carolina offense will be.

535
00:23:49,240 --> 00:23:50,720
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think the line looks about right.

536
00:23:51,280 --> 00:23:53,880
Speaker 1: You know, when all said and done, it's just you're

537
00:23:53,880 --> 00:23:55,640
Speaker 1: gonna get a best effort game from Miami.

538
00:23:56,359 --> 00:23:56,560
Speaker 4: You know.

539
00:23:56,600 --> 00:23:59,040
Speaker 1: I think it's just a bad time to buy UNC

540
00:23:59,520 --> 00:24:02,520
Speaker 1: after week, so I think I'll be staying away there.

541
00:24:02,720 --> 00:24:04,120
Speaker 4: And let's let's.

542
00:24:03,960 --> 00:24:05,879
Speaker 1: Go rapid fire before we get to the two market

543
00:24:05,960 --> 00:24:09,640
Speaker 1: games in Texas A and m Clemson and LSU Texas Bob's.

544
00:24:09,760 --> 00:24:12,240
Speaker 1: We're going back to the bobs this week. Texas State Wyoming.

545
00:24:13,600 --> 00:24:15,439
Speaker 4: Are you kidding me?

546
00:24:15,880 --> 00:24:19,119
Speaker 1: Texas State, Texas State.

547
00:24:19,520 --> 00:24:20,879
Speaker 4: I got them at seven and a half. I know

548
00:24:20,960 --> 00:24:23,680
Speaker 4: you like them. Nothing's changed there with Texas State Wyoming.

549
00:24:23,760 --> 00:24:25,439
Speaker 5: Right, Nope, make the number eight and a half. I

550
00:24:25,480 --> 00:24:28,080
Speaker 5: like Texas State. They get a little bit of extra rest.

551
00:24:28,119 --> 00:24:30,959
Speaker 5: Missouri had a whole bunch of turnovers against Wyoming. They

552
00:24:30,960 --> 00:24:33,119
Speaker 5: even fumbled at the one yard line and Mimi, Missouri,

553
00:24:33,119 --> 00:24:34,919
Speaker 5: I've gained them by one hundred and fifty yards. Wyoming

554
00:24:34,920 --> 00:24:36,399
Speaker 5: didn't win that game. Missouri gave it up.

555
00:24:36,600 --> 00:24:36,760
Speaker 3: You know.

556
00:24:36,800 --> 00:24:39,560
Speaker 5: Wyoming's preparing for both the Vitt and Jensen and Wyoming

557
00:24:39,600 --> 00:24:41,719
Speaker 5: only had two sacks and forty eight Kelly Bryant drop

558
00:24:41,880 --> 00:24:43,159
Speaker 5: back so I'm not scared of them at all.

559
00:24:43,280 --> 00:24:44,560
Speaker 3: Texas State all the way.

560
00:24:44,560 --> 00:24:47,080
Speaker 1: Back to the Bob's game that I can't figure out.

561
00:24:47,119 --> 00:24:49,640
Speaker 1: By the way, you know, Texas State is your your team,

562
00:24:49,680 --> 00:24:52,600
Speaker 1: now your responsibility last year one are your teams?

563
00:24:52,640 --> 00:24:52,920
Speaker 4: U A B.

564
00:24:53,440 --> 00:24:56,040
Speaker 1: I mean I keep looking at this box score against

565
00:24:56,119 --> 00:24:59,160
Speaker 1: Alabama State. It's as bad as it looks. It wasn't

566
00:24:59,200 --> 00:25:01,399
Speaker 1: even that flucash. They have no one to throw to.

567
00:25:01,440 --> 00:25:04,400
Speaker 1: Their offensive line is terrible. I mean, it's a disaster

568
00:25:04,880 --> 00:25:06,399
Speaker 1: that UA B box score, B U A.

569
00:25:06,480 --> 00:25:07,040
Speaker 4: B accord.

570
00:25:07,480 --> 00:25:11,439
Speaker 1: Please don't bet that game, people, please, I am begging

571
00:25:11,480 --> 00:25:13,480
Speaker 1: you not to bet it. I know some of you will,

572
00:25:14,359 --> 00:25:16,600
Speaker 1: all right. By here's a game I can't figure out,

573
00:25:17,440 --> 00:25:20,720
Speaker 1: and it is just what I think. It's how do

574
00:25:20,800 --> 00:25:23,040
Speaker 1: these two teams? If you know how these two teams

575
00:25:23,080 --> 00:25:24,480
Speaker 1: are going to rebound, I think you'd have a better

576
00:25:24,480 --> 00:25:26,439
Speaker 1: idea how this team's gonna how this game is gonna go.

577
00:25:26,600 --> 00:25:30,520
Speaker 1: And that's BYU Tennessee. So obviously you have BYU who

578
00:25:30,880 --> 00:25:33,720
Speaker 1: you know after that game happened. And I like Northern

579
00:25:33,760 --> 00:25:36,240
Speaker 1: Illinois for this reason. I think getting them over three

580
00:25:36,280 --> 00:25:39,879
Speaker 1: touchdowns there's value there. That's why I bet them and

581
00:25:39,920 --> 00:25:41,600
Speaker 1: I think Utah was a little overvalued in the market

582
00:25:41,640 --> 00:25:44,560
Speaker 1: after a good a good win, but it was pretty fraugile.

583
00:25:44,560 --> 00:25:46,040
Speaker 1: They had a ton of turnovers. They were gifted that

584
00:25:46,080 --> 00:25:47,800
Speaker 1: win and it's the reason to turn into a blowout.

585
00:25:47,960 --> 00:25:50,960
Speaker 1: And b Yu was really right there with Utah. So

586
00:25:51,640 --> 00:25:53,639
Speaker 1: you know, this was a spot that i'd circle. But

587
00:25:53,640 --> 00:25:57,679
Speaker 1: then you have Tennessee who loses at home to Georgia State,

588
00:25:58,280 --> 00:26:01,280
Speaker 1: and you know, so where are the head so to speak,

589
00:26:01,320 --> 00:26:03,040
Speaker 1: of these two teams going to be I can't figure

590
00:26:03,080 --> 00:26:06,560
Speaker 1: this game out. The totals bouncing around to the line,

591
00:26:06,560 --> 00:26:08,280
Speaker 1: I'll go from four to three to four the market,

592
00:26:08,320 --> 00:26:09,639
Speaker 1: I don't think it figure out what they want to

593
00:26:09,640 --> 00:26:10,679
Speaker 1: do here either.

594
00:26:11,640 --> 00:26:14,280
Speaker 4: Koog's vals any feel here?

595
00:26:15,000 --> 00:26:17,159
Speaker 3: Yeah? I like BYU.

596
00:26:17,640 --> 00:26:20,679
Speaker 5: I make the game a pick and so you know,

597
00:26:20,880 --> 00:26:25,000
Speaker 5: I think listen BYU. They can recover from it. From

598
00:26:25,000 --> 00:26:26,400
Speaker 5: a loss in the Holy War, I mean they've lost

599
00:26:26,400 --> 00:26:28,680
Speaker 5: to him nine times in a row. You know last

600
00:26:28,720 --> 00:26:31,000
Speaker 5: year they had a twenty point deficit, lost to BYU.

601
00:26:31,400 --> 00:26:33,639
Speaker 3: Heartbreaker. They came back and had a fantastic season.

602
00:26:34,119 --> 00:26:36,760
Speaker 5: This year, you know, they were losing nine to six

603
00:26:36,800 --> 00:26:41,440
Speaker 5: at halftime, and you know, just three really costly turnovers

604
00:26:41,440 --> 00:26:42,800
Speaker 5: that made that score look like it was out of

605
00:26:42,840 --> 00:26:45,560
Speaker 5: control when it actually wasn't. Tennessee, on the other hand,

606
00:26:45,560 --> 00:26:48,240
Speaker 5: there's no explanation for losing to a Sunbelt team.

607
00:26:48,680 --> 00:26:50,480
Speaker 3: How does that happen? How did they get propraised?

608
00:26:50,480 --> 00:26:52,000
Speaker 4: They didn't run the ball? They ran the ball? What

609
00:26:52,200 --> 00:26:54,840
Speaker 4: ten times against with an sec offensive line against Georgia

610
00:26:54,840 --> 00:26:55,359
Speaker 4: State come.

611
00:26:55,280 --> 00:26:58,280
Speaker 5: On, Absolutely amazing, especially how much you're paying your offensive

612
00:26:58,280 --> 00:27:00,840
Speaker 5: coordinator after he moved over from Georgia and then you know,

613
00:27:00,960 --> 00:27:03,000
Speaker 5: for for Georgia State offensively to be able to win

614
00:27:03,040 --> 00:27:05,600
Speaker 5: that game, it's just it's shocking to me. So I

615
00:27:05,600 --> 00:27:08,439
Speaker 5: think Byu is not a fraud. Tennessee may be a fraud.

616
00:27:08,480 --> 00:27:10,359
Speaker 5: B Yu, I know, is not a fraud. They just

617
00:27:10,480 --> 00:27:13,320
Speaker 5: you know, they had the whole Holy War turnover curse

618
00:27:13,920 --> 00:27:14,840
Speaker 5: thing going on there.

619
00:27:14,920 --> 00:27:16,320
Speaker 3: So I'm back at BYU here.

620
00:27:16,359 --> 00:27:18,320
Speaker 5: I'm making a pick. You know, I'd hang out and

621
00:27:18,359 --> 00:27:19,920
Speaker 5: see if there's a four. I think a lot of

622
00:27:19,960 --> 00:27:22,199
Speaker 5: money's going to be thrown at Tennessee's way, and it

623
00:27:22,200 --> 00:27:23,919
Speaker 5: shouldn't be, but that might get us a four out

624
00:27:23,960 --> 00:27:24,119
Speaker 5: of this.

625
00:27:24,560 --> 00:27:26,159
Speaker 1: The last one I'll ask you about because it's not

626
00:27:26,200 --> 00:27:30,000
Speaker 1: an official Friday podcast, it's not official until we mentioned

627
00:27:30,280 --> 00:27:35,280
Speaker 1: a team that's now on my shit list, Liberty, who

628
00:27:35,400 --> 00:27:37,760
Speaker 1: let us down, who really should have covered against Syracuse.

629
00:27:38,160 --> 00:27:41,040
Speaker 1: They're now, you know, thirteen thirteen and a half point

630
00:27:41,119 --> 00:27:45,680
Speaker 1: underdogs at Louisiana. I'm really high on Louisiana. They came

631
00:27:45,720 --> 00:27:49,399
Speaker 1: through for me last week against Miss State. You know,

632
00:27:49,440 --> 00:27:51,119
Speaker 1: maybe you think they come out a little flat hair.

633
00:27:51,160 --> 00:27:54,159
Speaker 1: And we've mentioned before that Liberty wants to get up

634
00:27:54,160 --> 00:27:56,280
Speaker 1: for these games. Now, I don't know if Few Freeze

635
00:27:56,280 --> 00:27:59,680
Speaker 1: can get up, but ken Liberty get up for this game?

636
00:28:00,080 --> 00:28:01,320
Speaker 4: That joke is supportant taste.

637
00:28:01,440 --> 00:28:04,480
Speaker 1: Can Liberty? Can they cover here? I just didn't see enough.

638
00:28:04,680 --> 00:28:07,160
Speaker 1: I don't know how they're gonna stop. And that's the look.

639
00:28:07,200 --> 00:28:09,919
Speaker 1: Liberty's defense wasn't supposed to be good, which is another

640
00:28:10,000 --> 00:28:13,000
Speaker 1: reason why I'm even more worried about.

641
00:28:12,760 --> 00:28:16,200
Speaker 4: That Syracuse offense last week with Devido. You know, their

642
00:28:16,600 --> 00:28:19,160
Speaker 4: offensive line was just atrocious.

643
00:28:19,640 --> 00:28:24,080
Speaker 1: Buckshot got sacked eight times, they get shut out in

644
00:28:24,160 --> 00:28:26,399
Speaker 1: the biggest game in school history, and they're a season

645
00:28:26,440 --> 00:28:29,240
Speaker 1: opener at home. I tend to think our Liberty boys

646
00:28:29,280 --> 00:28:31,040
Speaker 1: are getting blown out here. But it's a terrible it's

647
00:28:31,040 --> 00:28:33,680
Speaker 1: a terrible spot to sell them. But I'll tell you

648
00:28:33,760 --> 00:28:37,200
Speaker 1: one thing. I'm not buying Liberty and Buckshot this week.

649
00:28:37,440 --> 00:28:38,560
Speaker 1: Are you getting invested here?

650
00:28:39,200 --> 00:28:41,840
Speaker 5: Well, first off, I hope the I hope the press

651
00:28:41,880 --> 00:28:44,840
Speaker 5: box hospital room that they're gonna wheel his his bed

652
00:28:44,920 --> 00:28:47,160
Speaker 5: in his air conditioned because Lafayer at this time of

653
00:28:47,240 --> 00:28:50,560
Speaker 5: year is sticky and it is hot. Wish who frees

654
00:28:50,640 --> 00:28:53,520
Speaker 5: well with wherever he's going to be posted up. Yeah,

655
00:28:53,560 --> 00:28:56,120
Speaker 5: we talked about this last year and the big motivating

656
00:28:56,200 --> 00:28:59,520
Speaker 5: that you would see a completely different Liberty team whenever

657
00:28:59,560 --> 00:29:02,600
Speaker 5: they play made Sun Belt and Conference USA teams. The

658
00:29:02,640 --> 00:29:06,120
Speaker 5: reason is because when Liberty became an FBS program, they

659
00:29:06,200 --> 00:29:08,200
Speaker 5: wanted to made it public. They wanted to be in

660
00:29:08,280 --> 00:29:10,200
Speaker 5: CUSA and they wanted to be in the sun Belt,

661
00:29:10,360 --> 00:29:12,440
Speaker 5: and both the conferences said no, no, thanks, we don't

662
00:29:12,440 --> 00:29:14,800
Speaker 5: want you. You know, you don't meet these standards, you

663
00:29:14,800 --> 00:29:16,800
Speaker 5: can't live up to us. And then last year, if

664
00:29:16,800 --> 00:29:18,720
Speaker 5: you look at the games where they played c USA teams,

665
00:29:18,760 --> 00:29:21,320
Speaker 5: they played Sun Belt teams, they showed up, pissed and

666
00:29:21,400 --> 00:29:24,200
Speaker 5: won games. Made us a lot of money in those situations.

667
00:29:24,240 --> 00:29:26,360
Speaker 5: But what can we say their motivation is now? I

668
00:29:26,360 --> 00:29:29,040
Speaker 5: mean they don't they're punting the ball away with ninety

669
00:29:29,040 --> 00:29:31,120
Speaker 5: seconds left, when you're you're you're you know you're up

670
00:29:31,160 --> 00:29:32,760
Speaker 5: twenty you're down twenty four to zero.

671
00:29:33,000 --> 00:29:35,000
Speaker 4: Got a chance, excuse for everybody late to call it

672
00:29:35,040 --> 00:29:35,560
Speaker 4: the game.

673
00:29:35,560 --> 00:29:38,080
Speaker 5: Because I can't trust you guys to play you know,

674
00:29:38,200 --> 00:29:41,920
Speaker 5: textbook football play calling, and your coach is you know,

675
00:29:42,080 --> 00:29:44,600
Speaker 5: walkie talking and crap in from a you know, from

676
00:29:44,720 --> 00:29:45,600
Speaker 5: from a press box.

677
00:29:45,600 --> 00:29:47,840
Speaker 3: But he's in a he's in one of those a

678
00:29:47,920 --> 00:29:48,680
Speaker 3: roll up beds.

679
00:29:49,240 --> 00:29:49,480
Speaker 2: Uh.

680
00:29:49,520 --> 00:29:51,200
Speaker 5: You know those folding taco beds that you can buy

681
00:29:51,280 --> 00:29:53,520
Speaker 5: late at ninety two am while you're watching your Hawaii game.

682
00:29:53,760 --> 00:29:55,800
Speaker 5: Just sleep o manic where you can just your temperature

683
00:29:55,840 --> 00:29:57,560
Speaker 5: and shit, I don't want anything to do with liberty.

684
00:29:57,560 --> 00:29:59,720
Speaker 5: I can't put any money behind these guys until I

685
00:29:59,840 --> 00:30:01,520
Speaker 5: so getting solid, decent play from them.

686
00:30:01,520 --> 00:30:01,800
Speaker 3: Again.

687
00:30:02,160 --> 00:30:03,840
Speaker 1: I'm gonna fade them and then they're gonna actually not

688
00:30:03,960 --> 00:30:06,280
Speaker 1: pun it with ninety seconds ago and get a backdoor.

689
00:30:06,360 --> 00:30:07,880
Speaker 4: You can already see it coming, all right.

690
00:30:07,920 --> 00:30:11,200
Speaker 1: So before we get to the two Marquee games that

691
00:30:11,240 --> 00:30:14,360
Speaker 1: we've been seizing here, let's get to my favorite segment,

692
00:30:14,400 --> 00:30:16,400
Speaker 1: and that's FC Yes.

693
00:30:16,280 --> 00:30:16,720
Speaker 4: Or No.

694
00:30:24,200 --> 00:30:28,240
Speaker 5: Southland or SEC Big Sky or Big Ten.

695
00:30:29,240 --> 00:30:32,200
Speaker 3: It's time to play FC Yes or no.

696
00:30:36,200 --> 00:30:40,480
Speaker 1: We look at the most intriguing FCSFBS matchups and you're

697
00:30:40,480 --> 00:30:42,640
Speaker 1: not gonna get the most money down. But if you're

698
00:30:42,680 --> 00:30:45,800
Speaker 1: looking to bet casually, recreationally, or just pick up some

699
00:30:45,840 --> 00:30:48,880
Speaker 1: spare change, or just are interested in the FCSFBS matchups

700
00:30:49,000 --> 00:30:52,120
Speaker 1: as I am, we try to cover a few each week.

701
00:30:52,360 --> 00:30:55,640
Speaker 1: One team that I'll mention here William and Mary. If

702
00:30:55,680 --> 00:30:57,920
Speaker 1: you can get thirty five, I don't know if it's

703
00:30:58,000 --> 00:31:00,960
Speaker 1: gonna pop, but this means a lot to William and Mary.

704
00:31:00,920 --> 00:31:03,560
Speaker 4: Their coach used to coach at Virginia. I'm sure they'll

705
00:31:03,560 --> 00:31:03,960
Speaker 4: be up for it.

706
00:31:04,040 --> 00:31:06,920
Speaker 1: Virginia's off that win at you know, at Pitt to

707
00:31:06,960 --> 00:31:09,720
Speaker 1: start off their acc in twenty nineteen campaign.

708
00:31:09,920 --> 00:31:11,600
Speaker 4: Then they got Florida State on deck.

709
00:31:11,800 --> 00:31:14,000
Speaker 3: We sure have a lot of sandwiches, So.

710
00:31:13,920 --> 00:31:15,560
Speaker 1: I don't know how much really they're going to care

711
00:31:15,600 --> 00:31:17,800
Speaker 1: about running it up. And you know, Virginia is not

712
00:31:17,800 --> 00:31:19,840
Speaker 1: necessarily the team. The type of team that has the

713
00:31:19,880 --> 00:31:22,479
Speaker 1: offense is just going to explode. So if you can

714
00:31:22,520 --> 00:31:25,320
Speaker 1: get William Marritt thirty five or above, I'd look there.

715
00:31:25,680 --> 00:31:29,840
Speaker 1: But my two favorite are Furman talked about this earlier

716
00:31:29,880 --> 00:31:32,719
Speaker 1: in the week. Anything above a touchdown. I actually think

717
00:31:32,760 --> 00:31:36,000
Speaker 1: they win this game out right against Georgia State, that

718
00:31:36,200 --> 00:31:39,920
Speaker 1: let down after that huge win at Tennessee. But more importantly,

719
00:31:40,120 --> 00:31:42,040
Speaker 1: you know who's actually going to run the ball against

720
00:31:42,080 --> 00:31:44,120
Speaker 1: Georgia State. You know, I don't have to worry about

721
00:31:44,160 --> 00:31:46,840
Speaker 1: not running the ball against Georgia State. That's Furman and

722
00:31:46,880 --> 00:31:48,840
Speaker 1: their triple option. And they're going to run the ball

723
00:31:48,920 --> 00:31:51,840
Speaker 1: against Georgia State, who was one hundred and thirtieth and stuff, right,

724
00:31:51,960 --> 00:31:54,760
Speaker 1: good luck. So you know, I think that Furman here

725
00:31:54,800 --> 00:31:58,239
Speaker 1: wins this game. They're an excellent, excellent FCS team. And

726
00:31:58,320 --> 00:32:07,080
Speaker 1: speaking of excellent FCS teams, Maine, I love Maine Maine.

727
00:32:07,520 --> 00:32:10,880
Speaker 1: I love Maine anything at seven and above this week.

728
00:32:11,040 --> 00:32:13,280
Speaker 1: Last year, they went on the road and beat Western Kentucky.

729
00:32:13,400 --> 00:32:15,760
Speaker 1: They really got unlucky against Central Michigan. They could have

730
00:32:15,760 --> 00:32:17,600
Speaker 1: won that game on the road as well. You know,

731
00:32:17,640 --> 00:32:20,440
Speaker 1: the black hole defense. This defense brings back, like everybody,

732
00:32:20,600 --> 00:32:21,960
Speaker 1: like if you look at their two deep, it's like

733
00:32:21,960 --> 00:32:25,600
Speaker 1: sixteen or seventeen guys overturning. I like Maine here. I

734
00:32:25,600 --> 00:32:27,920
Speaker 1: think as long as you can get their their run

735
00:32:28,000 --> 00:32:30,560
Speaker 1: defense was excellent, which is obviously gonna matter against Georgia

736
00:32:30,600 --> 00:32:35,400
Speaker 1: Southern who just looked atrocious last week. So Maine Furman

737
00:32:35,440 --> 00:32:37,240
Speaker 1: and William and Mary, if you can get thirty five

738
00:32:37,640 --> 00:32:41,280
Speaker 1: or above anything for you in the FCS world this weekend.

739
00:32:41,160 --> 00:32:43,720
Speaker 5: Yeah, you're missing out on another triple option team. We

740
00:32:43,800 --> 00:32:46,520
Speaker 5: got Kent State, you know, coming back from their game

741
00:32:46,560 --> 00:32:49,760
Speaker 5: against Arizona State, They're going to play Kinnessaw State. Kennesaw State,

742
00:32:49,800 --> 00:32:52,120
Speaker 5: one of the best FCS teams generally makes the playoffs,

743
00:32:52,160 --> 00:32:54,080
Speaker 5: gives a lot of people trouble with their triple option.

744
00:32:54,560 --> 00:32:58,120
Speaker 5: That number, which I believe we had set ad seven,

745
00:32:58,200 --> 00:32:59,720
Speaker 5: got all the way down to one and then took

746
00:32:59,720 --> 00:33:02,000
Speaker 5: mass of Kent State money and it's it's back.

747
00:33:01,920 --> 00:33:04,160
Speaker 4: Up over four Saron Ravel money.

748
00:33:04,160 --> 00:33:06,920
Speaker 5: Darren Ravel money. So I think everybody just needs to

749
00:33:06,920 --> 00:33:09,240
Speaker 5: pay attention here to Kennesaw State running triple option. That

750
00:33:09,320 --> 00:33:10,680
Speaker 5: is not going to be easy for Kent State to

751
00:33:10,680 --> 00:33:13,040
Speaker 5: prepare for if they prepare for it, because they may

752
00:33:13,040 --> 00:33:13,320
Speaker 5: not care.

753
00:33:13,360 --> 00:33:14,640
Speaker 3: They may be worried about next week.

754
00:33:14,720 --> 00:33:16,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, and who's gonna play I don't know who's going

755
00:33:16,160 --> 00:33:18,000
Speaker 1: to play quarterback? Is what are you back in there

756
00:33:18,160 --> 00:33:20,560
Speaker 1: for Kent State? Who transferred from Auburn, which is who

757
00:33:20,600 --> 00:33:24,280
Speaker 1: Kent State has next week. Speaking of you know, bad teams,

758
00:33:24,560 --> 00:33:27,440
Speaker 1: talking about Kent State. You know they think they could

759
00:33:27,440 --> 00:33:30,080
Speaker 1: be a little improved. That's that's a bad program. You

760
00:33:30,240 --> 00:33:33,880
Speaker 1: Mass who let you down last week against Rutgers. They're

761
00:33:33,880 --> 00:33:37,080
Speaker 1: playing Southern Illinois this week. Southern Illinois got blown out

762
00:33:37,400 --> 00:33:41,960
Speaker 1: last week against CIMO Southeast Missouri, and U messes like

763
00:33:42,000 --> 00:33:44,440
Speaker 1: a field goal favorite at home? Is that really where

764
00:33:44,480 --> 00:33:47,360
Speaker 1: the UMSS program stands right now? A field goal thirty

765
00:33:47,360 --> 00:33:49,320
Speaker 1: three and a half w favorite at home against the

766
00:33:49,360 --> 00:33:52,200
Speaker 1: selukis who just lost by twenty to Simo.

767
00:33:52,400 --> 00:33:55,200
Speaker 5: Why are you bagging on Carbondale products man, Carbondale's a

768
00:33:55,280 --> 00:33:57,240
Speaker 5: legit city. I had I've had to hang out there before.

769
00:33:57,240 --> 00:33:59,320
Speaker 5: It's a great place to have a client. Now, you

770
00:33:59,400 --> 00:34:01,440
Speaker 5: mess looked great for the first quarter. I mean I

771
00:34:01,480 --> 00:34:03,720
Speaker 5: even tweeted out I thought they might win the national championship.

772
00:34:03,840 --> 00:34:05,360
Speaker 4: I don't that tweet did not age well.

773
00:34:05,520 --> 00:34:07,640
Speaker 5: I know it went down really fast. So yeah, we'll

774
00:34:07,640 --> 00:34:08,879
Speaker 5: see if you mask can pick it up.

775
00:34:08,840 --> 00:34:11,759
Speaker 4: And go like Rubs in the second quarter. How do

776
00:34:11,800 --> 00:34:14,120
Speaker 4: you like thirty one nothing in a quarter?

777
00:34:14,320 --> 00:34:17,360
Speaker 5: And now people are backing Rutgers with money, real actual money,

778
00:34:17,360 --> 00:34:21,520
Speaker 5: not monopoly money. Real cash money, and so anyways, we'll

779
00:34:21,520 --> 00:34:23,040
Speaker 5: see how it turns out for both teams.

780
00:34:23,360 --> 00:34:25,319
Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the two marquee games here.

781
00:34:25,880 --> 00:34:29,640
Speaker 1: The first we'll cover is Texas A and M at Clemson.

782
00:34:30,080 --> 00:34:33,680
Speaker 1: You know this line sitting around seventeen. I think it opened,

783
00:34:33,880 --> 00:34:37,520
Speaker 1: you know, some softer opens around twenty. I took seventeen

784
00:34:37,560 --> 00:34:40,720
Speaker 1: and a half. Anything at seventeen and above. I like, Look,

785
00:34:41,280 --> 00:34:43,440
Speaker 1: I was so impressed with Kellen Mond last week. But

786
00:34:43,760 --> 00:34:45,560
Speaker 1: the thing is is that Texas A and M's all,

787
00:34:45,719 --> 00:34:48,359
Speaker 1: they had a solid offensive line. We saw last week.

788
00:34:48,400 --> 00:34:50,279
Speaker 1: The Compson's defense is going to take a step back,

789
00:34:50,360 --> 00:34:52,640
Speaker 1: at least initially up front. Right, they lost all that

790
00:34:52,760 --> 00:34:55,520
Speaker 1: NFL talent Georgia Tech was, you know, their designed runs

791
00:34:55,520 --> 00:34:57,360
Speaker 1: for their running back. They were able to move the

792
00:34:57,360 --> 00:34:58,799
Speaker 1: ball a little bit, a lot more than I thought

793
00:34:58,840 --> 00:35:00,799
Speaker 1: they would be. And you know, Texas A and M

794
00:35:01,160 --> 00:35:05,200
Speaker 1: is the one team on Clemson's schedule that has as

795
00:35:05,280 --> 00:35:08,560
Speaker 1: much you know, not as much, but close, really close

796
00:35:08,600 --> 00:35:11,680
Speaker 1: talent wise. You know the four stars, the five stars.

797
00:35:11,800 --> 00:35:14,680
Speaker 1: These two coaches know each other well. I just think this,

798
00:35:15,040 --> 00:35:16,640
Speaker 1: you know what it comes down to, TEXASM I think

799
00:35:16,680 --> 00:35:18,520
Speaker 1: it's gonna be the better special team's advantage, which could

800
00:35:18,560 --> 00:35:20,120
Speaker 1: have a role on who covers.

801
00:35:20,239 --> 00:35:22,560
Speaker 4: I think, just think this line is too high. I had.

802
00:35:22,640 --> 00:35:25,160
Speaker 1: I made Clemson a two touchdown plus favor in every

803
00:35:25,160 --> 00:35:27,439
Speaker 1: single one of their games this year. In this one,

804
00:35:27,800 --> 00:35:30,520
Speaker 1: I make them a two touchdown favor So if I

805
00:35:30,520 --> 00:35:34,040
Speaker 1: can get over seventeen or more, I'm rolling with Texas

806
00:35:34,080 --> 00:35:34,560
Speaker 1: A and M.

807
00:35:35,080 --> 00:35:36,000
Speaker 4: And you know, I.

808
00:35:36,880 --> 00:35:39,720
Speaker 1: Wouldn't be shocked if this game is really close again

809
00:35:39,800 --> 00:35:40,879
Speaker 1: like it was last year.

810
00:35:41,239 --> 00:35:42,040
Speaker 4: What are your thoughts here?

811
00:35:42,239 --> 00:35:43,920
Speaker 5: Yeah, so I was one of the ones that were

812
00:35:43,960 --> 00:35:45,600
Speaker 5: able to get on that twenty on the open for

813
00:35:45,640 --> 00:35:46,319
Speaker 5: Texas A and M.

814
00:35:46,360 --> 00:35:47,160
Speaker 3: So I was pretty happy.

815
00:35:47,200 --> 00:35:50,000
Speaker 5: But at the same time, personally, if you don't have

816
00:35:50,040 --> 00:35:51,640
Speaker 5: that number and you don't have nineteen and a half

817
00:35:51,680 --> 00:35:53,840
Speaker 5: and you don't have nineteen, don't take this advice. But

818
00:35:53,880 --> 00:35:55,759
Speaker 5: I will buy out of it at sixteen and a

819
00:35:55,760 --> 00:35:57,880
Speaker 5: half and try to middle the thing because you know,

820
00:35:57,960 --> 00:36:01,480
Speaker 5: my power rating is up around nineteen and doing you know,

821
00:36:01,719 --> 00:36:04,640
Speaker 5: deeper digging into this, there's things where I tend to

822
00:36:04,960 --> 00:36:07,239
Speaker 5: I would rather have more money on the under than

823
00:36:07,280 --> 00:36:08,120
Speaker 5: have it on the side.

824
00:36:08,160 --> 00:36:08,680
Speaker 3: With this game.

825
00:36:09,120 --> 00:36:11,799
Speaker 5: What happened to Clemson last year is about what is

826
00:36:11,800 --> 00:36:13,520
Speaker 5: going to happen to Texas A and M this year.

827
00:36:13,680 --> 00:36:15,520
Speaker 5: And what I mean by that is Clemson came into

828
00:36:15,520 --> 00:36:18,120
Speaker 5: this game last year and the part of their defense

829
00:36:18,160 --> 00:36:21,400
Speaker 5: that really was suffering and was brand new was their secondary.

830
00:36:21,520 --> 00:36:24,200
Speaker 5: Kellen Mann was able to throw against their secondary. Clemson

831
00:36:24,239 --> 00:36:26,200
Speaker 5: was able to get their hands on some passes, even

832
00:36:26,200 --> 00:36:28,280
Speaker 5: one that was actually caught for a touchdown by Texas

833
00:36:28,320 --> 00:36:30,200
Speaker 5: A and M. But you know, Texas A and M

834
00:36:30,280 --> 00:36:32,319
Speaker 5: this year is the one that is missing their two

835
00:36:32,360 --> 00:36:35,120
Speaker 5: starting safeties. This year, They're the ones that have a

836
00:36:35,120 --> 00:36:37,600
Speaker 5: little bit of trouble in their secondary, and that is

837
00:36:37,600 --> 00:36:39,600
Speaker 5: something that Trevor Lawrence can expose. But I don't think

838
00:36:39,640 --> 00:36:41,319
Speaker 5: Trevor Lawrence is going to start out by throwing at

839
00:36:41,360 --> 00:36:44,120
Speaker 5: their safeties right away. I think Travis Etn is going

840
00:36:44,160 --> 00:36:46,000
Speaker 5: to be pounded the first quarter, maybe even into the

841
00:36:46,000 --> 00:36:47,600
Speaker 5: second quarter. It's going to set up the play action

842
00:36:47,719 --> 00:36:50,040
Speaker 5: pass for Trevor Lawrence to take advantage of those safeties,

843
00:36:50,080 --> 00:36:52,600
Speaker 5: those new safeties later on in the second quarter, which

844
00:36:52,600 --> 00:36:54,239
Speaker 5: is when I think that they'll pick it up. I

845
00:36:54,320 --> 00:36:56,520
Speaker 5: like Kelln Man in this game. I think there's going

846
00:36:56,560 --> 00:36:58,760
Speaker 5: to be a lot more running than we can expect.

847
00:36:58,800 --> 00:37:02,000
Speaker 5: I know that dabboc out and said, we expect Kellen

848
00:37:02,040 --> 00:37:04,680
Speaker 5: mand to get off the bus throwing, and I agree

849
00:37:04,719 --> 00:37:06,120
Speaker 5: he will be throwing, but I don't think he's going

850
00:37:06,200 --> 00:37:07,680
Speaker 5: to be throwing from the pocket. I think he's going

851
00:37:07,719 --> 00:37:09,279
Speaker 5: to be under pressure. I think he's going to be

852
00:37:09,320 --> 00:37:11,279
Speaker 5: out to the side. I think there's gonna be I

853
00:37:11,280 --> 00:37:13,120
Speaker 5: think there's much more of a case to be sticking

854
00:37:13,120 --> 00:37:15,000
Speaker 5: your harder and money on the under than there is

855
00:37:15,440 --> 00:37:18,080
Speaker 5: on a side in this game. So for me personally,

856
00:37:18,480 --> 00:37:20,400
Speaker 5: I've got a Texas A and M twenty in my pocket.

857
00:37:20,440 --> 00:37:22,000
Speaker 5: I'm going to turn around at sixteen and a half

858
00:37:22,040 --> 00:37:23,799
Speaker 5: if I could get it. If you're in a pick

859
00:37:23,840 --> 00:37:26,880
Speaker 5: a pool, I'd say Clemson at seventeen. I'd say Texas

860
00:37:26,880 --> 00:37:29,279
Speaker 5: A and M at nineteen and a half. What I

861
00:37:29,360 --> 00:37:31,480
Speaker 5: like with my money is the under because I think

862
00:37:31,520 --> 00:37:33,280
Speaker 5: there's going to be more running. If I think Travis

863
00:37:33,360 --> 00:37:35,200
Speaker 5: et In is going to set up the play action pass,

864
00:37:35,440 --> 00:37:36,200
Speaker 5: I think Man is.

865
00:37:36,120 --> 00:37:37,120
Speaker 3: Going to be out of the run.

866
00:37:37,200 --> 00:37:41,759
Speaker 5: And remember this Clemson secondary is now extremely experienced and

867
00:37:41,800 --> 00:37:43,080
Speaker 5: Man is not going to be able to hit those

868
00:37:43,120 --> 00:37:45,239
Speaker 5: windows like he did last year. I think there's gonna

869
00:37:45,239 --> 00:37:46,920
Speaker 5: be more scrambling. I think there's going to be more

870
00:37:46,960 --> 00:37:49,480
Speaker 5: stoppage and play. I just like the under a whole

871
00:37:49,520 --> 00:37:49,959
Speaker 5: lot more.

872
00:37:50,600 --> 00:37:51,360
Speaker 4: I get what you're saying that.

873
00:37:51,480 --> 00:37:53,520
Speaker 1: I think you're giving too much credits to the Clemson

874
00:37:53,560 --> 00:37:56,479
Speaker 1: defensive line and not enough credit to the text saying

875
00:37:56,520 --> 00:37:59,000
Speaker 1: him offensive line. So I think they're gonna be able

876
00:37:59,000 --> 00:38:01,360
Speaker 1: to moot the ball in the ground, you know, monom

877
00:38:01,760 --> 00:38:03,640
Speaker 1: the ball with his legs, and I think he's gonna

878
00:38:03,680 --> 00:38:07,000
Speaker 1: have time to throw. And yeah, the Clemson secondary is better.

879
00:38:07,880 --> 00:38:11,319
Speaker 1: We're gonna Maybe I'm too high on Texas A and M, who,

880
00:38:11,320 --> 00:38:13,880
Speaker 1: by the way, should have beat Texas State by about

881
00:38:13,920 --> 00:38:17,080
Speaker 1: seventy I mean, they were damn impressive. They also have

882
00:38:17,640 --> 00:38:19,400
Speaker 1: solid special teams. Now I think they're gonna need the

883
00:38:19,440 --> 00:38:23,040
Speaker 1: tight end position to step up, which is definitely a

884
00:38:23,080 --> 00:38:24,200
Speaker 1: gap for them this year.

885
00:38:24,440 --> 00:38:24,880
Speaker 4: I don't know.

886
00:38:25,120 --> 00:38:27,239
Speaker 1: I think maybe maybe I'm too out on now. Look,

887
00:38:27,360 --> 00:38:29,680
Speaker 1: just because they lost by two last year, throw that

888
00:38:29,719 --> 00:38:32,200
Speaker 1: game out. I think that the coaches are familiar with

889
00:38:32,200 --> 00:38:34,759
Speaker 1: each other. But Kelly Bryant started that game. ETN had

890
00:38:34,800 --> 00:38:38,440
Speaker 1: eight eight carries for forty four yards. Their best receiver

891
00:38:38,600 --> 00:38:40,520
Speaker 1: was still He didn't even play, you know, he was

892
00:38:40,520 --> 00:38:43,120
Speaker 1: still coming back from injury, So there was a lot

893
00:38:43,160 --> 00:38:45,960
Speaker 1: of things that just didn't don't apply to this matchup

894
00:38:46,040 --> 00:38:48,480
Speaker 1: this year. I don't know, I'm a little high on

895
00:38:48,600 --> 00:38:50,759
Speaker 1: three four points. Highed appears on Texas A and M,

896
00:38:50,760 --> 00:38:53,120
Speaker 1: and we'll find out. I'll be riding already on the

897
00:38:53,160 --> 00:38:56,400
Speaker 1: exit seventeen half. Once it crosses seventeen. You know, I

898
00:38:56,440 --> 00:38:59,279
Speaker 1: don't really see as much value, but you know you

899
00:38:59,320 --> 00:39:02,200
Speaker 1: can find seventeen out there. I like Texas A and M.

900
00:39:02,640 --> 00:39:03,520
Speaker 1: All right, this is what.

901
00:39:03,440 --> 00:39:08,640
Speaker 4: Everyone's been waiting for. LSU Texas Prairies.

902
00:39:08,719 --> 00:39:13,879
Speaker 2: Guys are wine and hunt deep in the hut of Texas.

903
00:39:14,600 --> 00:39:17,400
Speaker 1: This is what all the chatter, the chirping been about.

904
00:39:17,560 --> 00:39:20,120
Speaker 1: We have talked about this all offseason. We heard from

905
00:39:20,160 --> 00:39:23,600
Speaker 1: all the Texas fans, the whole state of Texas. Everyone

906
00:39:23,600 --> 00:39:26,200
Speaker 1: from Austin called in on the voicemails last weekend and

907
00:39:26,239 --> 00:39:29,880
Speaker 1: they wanted to let you know that Texas is a

908
00:39:29,960 --> 00:39:34,160
Speaker 1: simple team people. Herman obviously has been elite as an

909
00:39:34,239 --> 00:39:36,960
Speaker 1: underdog even before he was head coach.

910
00:39:37,239 --> 00:39:39,320
Speaker 4: Now there's a lot of question mark teams and the

911
00:39:39,640 --> 00:39:40,600
Speaker 4: overs on the rise.

912
00:39:40,680 --> 00:39:43,040
Speaker 1: So the market thinks that this game is going to

913
00:39:43,040 --> 00:39:45,319
Speaker 1: be a shootout. But I can tell you one thing.

914
00:39:45,480 --> 00:39:48,040
Speaker 1: I haven't invested in this game yet, but I am waiting,

915
00:39:48,040 --> 00:39:49,239
Speaker 1: and I think I met. I think I got to

916
00:39:49,280 --> 00:39:51,520
Speaker 1: seven once in Vegas. If it gets the seven, give

917
00:39:51,520 --> 00:39:54,759
Speaker 1: me Texas hookem horns, I'll be on Texas. I'll be

918
00:39:54,800 --> 00:39:58,080
Speaker 1: against you. So I'm just waiting for seven. It's tough

919
00:39:58,080 --> 00:39:59,759
Speaker 1: throwing football season, man. You gotta be watching the screen

920
00:39:59,760 --> 00:40:01,160
Speaker 1: at all time. I think I was taking a You

921
00:40:01,160 --> 00:40:03,400
Speaker 1: get alerts on your phone action app shout out for

922
00:40:03,480 --> 00:40:05,719
Speaker 1: when lines hit certain ranges. But you can't even take

923
00:40:05,719 --> 00:40:08,520
Speaker 1: a shower. You can't even walk my dog. I'm waiting

924
00:40:08,520 --> 00:40:10,799
Speaker 1: on this seven. What do you see here? I want

925
00:40:10,800 --> 00:40:14,440
Speaker 1: you to disappoint and go after all of Texas Nation

926
00:40:14,560 --> 00:40:14,919
Speaker 1: right now.

927
00:40:15,320 --> 00:40:17,440
Speaker 3: Texas Nation. I don't care what the number is. I'm

928
00:40:17,440 --> 00:40:19,319
Speaker 3: going against you. I'm taking LSU. Now.

929
00:40:20,800 --> 00:40:21,920
Speaker 4: Do you think all of you rolls?

930
00:40:22,320 --> 00:40:24,640
Speaker 5: I think LSU rolls the more I get into this.

931
00:40:24,680 --> 00:40:27,080
Speaker 5: I mean that number got to seven. It disappeared really

932
00:40:27,080 --> 00:40:30,239
Speaker 5: fast at Circus Sports yesterday. So well, I think there's

933
00:40:30,239 --> 00:40:32,600
Speaker 5: going to be a flood of Texas money. People are

934
00:40:32,640 --> 00:40:35,560
Speaker 5: so in love with this Herman trend. It's like that's

935
00:40:35,560 --> 00:40:38,600
Speaker 5: the only reason to handicap that you know, he's got

936
00:40:38,600 --> 00:40:41,120
Speaker 5: this eighty six percent trend thirteen two and one against

937
00:40:41,120 --> 00:40:42,000
Speaker 5: the spread as a dog.

938
00:40:42,080 --> 00:40:45,480
Speaker 3: Now, okay, I get that. I get that only one.

939
00:40:45,360 --> 00:40:47,840
Speaker 5: Of the defenses he actually faced was anywhere like LSU,

940
00:40:47,840 --> 00:40:50,000
Speaker 5: and that would be Georgia last year in the Sugar Bowl.

941
00:40:50,000 --> 00:40:51,560
Speaker 3: And there's motivation factors there.

942
00:40:51,760 --> 00:40:53,920
Speaker 5: So yes, I understand Herman is a dog, and I

943
00:40:54,000 --> 00:40:56,440
Speaker 5: understand the trend is eighty six percent. It's also a

944
00:40:56,480 --> 00:40:59,600
Speaker 5: sample size of fifteen. Like you know, you ask any

945
00:40:59,640 --> 00:41:02,520
Speaker 5: science or any engineer or anybody like that, they need

946
00:41:02,520 --> 00:41:05,320
Speaker 5: a sample size of one hundred before they think of something,

947
00:41:05,360 --> 00:41:07,920
Speaker 5: five hundred before it's a theory, one thousand before whatever.

948
00:41:08,360 --> 00:41:09,960
Speaker 3: It's fifteen fifteen.

949
00:41:09,600 --> 00:41:12,360
Speaker 5: Games, all right, So let me start at the beginning

950
00:41:12,440 --> 00:41:15,759
Speaker 5: with how I bet this. I had this out at

951
00:41:15,880 --> 00:41:18,960
Speaker 5: LSU minus seven the entire time. So fan duel out

952
00:41:18,960 --> 00:41:20,960
Speaker 5: in Jersey comes out, and they've got it as Texas

953
00:41:20,960 --> 00:41:22,680
Speaker 5: minus one by the time I could get to it. It

954
00:41:22,719 --> 00:41:24,520
Speaker 5: was a pick them. Got as much money down as

955
00:41:24,520 --> 00:41:27,080
Speaker 5: I could at a pick them. Vegas comes out. Some

956
00:41:27,200 --> 00:41:29,040
Speaker 5: places we're hanging a two and a half, some places

957
00:41:29,040 --> 00:41:31,279
Speaker 5: we're hanging a three. Got more money on that, not

958
00:41:31,320 --> 00:41:33,160
Speaker 5: as much as I'd like. I mean, at the time

959
00:41:33,239 --> 00:41:35,440
Speaker 5: those limits are sitting around two hundred and fifty five

960
00:41:35,520 --> 00:41:37,680
Speaker 5: hundred dollars, but nothing four digits you could get down

961
00:41:37,680 --> 00:41:39,440
Speaker 5: on this. By the time I can get four digits

962
00:41:39,440 --> 00:41:42,040
Speaker 5: down on this, it's up over four. So you know,

963
00:41:42,080 --> 00:41:44,879
Speaker 5: we're happy with what I've got here. But I'm saying

964
00:41:44,920 --> 00:41:46,680
Speaker 5: right now you could take it anywhere. This point spread

965
00:41:46,680 --> 00:41:51,760
Speaker 5: tells me the entire story. I mean, three and a half, four, five, six,

966
00:41:52,160 --> 00:41:54,080
Speaker 5: six and a half. It doesn't matter even though the

967
00:41:54,120 --> 00:41:56,880
Speaker 5: ticketcount is right down the middle for all of you

968
00:41:57,000 --> 00:41:59,239
Speaker 5: following on sports Insights on your screen, even though the

969
00:41:59,239 --> 00:42:00,960
Speaker 5: ticketcount is right now the middle and the money is

970
00:42:01,040 --> 00:42:02,919
Speaker 5: right down the middle, there's no end to this point

971
00:42:02,960 --> 00:42:06,040
Speaker 5: spread going. So to me, if I'm just reading the market,

972
00:42:06,120 --> 00:42:07,879
Speaker 5: if you blank out the team names, I'm not trying

973
00:42:07,880 --> 00:42:09,440
Speaker 5: to be hating on Texas. I'm not trying to love

974
00:42:09,520 --> 00:42:11,480
Speaker 5: lu you blank out the team names. If I'm just

975
00:42:11,520 --> 00:42:14,439
Speaker 5: watching the market, this tells me that LSU is gonna roll.

976
00:42:14,560 --> 00:42:17,560
Speaker 5: So let's talk about the games last week individually. Specifically,

977
00:42:17,920 --> 00:42:20,400
Speaker 5: the Longhorns did a lot to actually impress me against

978
00:42:20,400 --> 00:42:23,200
Speaker 5: Louisiana Tech sam Ellnger was able to hit eight different

979
00:42:23,200 --> 00:42:26,719
Speaker 5: receivers for double digit yards. Keante Ingram average seven point

980
00:42:26,880 --> 00:42:29,920
Speaker 5: yard one yards per carry. Those things are great. Texas

981
00:42:29,960 --> 00:42:32,800
Speaker 5: held law Tech scoreless for three quarters.

982
00:42:33,360 --> 00:42:34,160
Speaker 3: But there's a couple.

983
00:42:34,040 --> 00:42:37,800
Speaker 5: Stats that really really kind of bothered me about Texas

984
00:42:37,800 --> 00:42:41,680
Speaker 5: in general. You know, they forced La Tech to punt

985
00:42:42,280 --> 00:42:44,080
Speaker 5: just twice, only twice.

986
00:42:44,239 --> 00:42:44,919
Speaker 3: Defensively.

987
00:42:45,160 --> 00:42:47,320
Speaker 5: You know, Texas last year was ninety first and sacrate

988
00:42:47,400 --> 00:42:48,200
Speaker 5: during twenty eighteen.

989
00:42:48,560 --> 00:42:49,880
Speaker 3: The key to winning this game.

990
00:42:49,719 --> 00:42:52,000
Speaker 5: Is putting pressure on the LSU offensive line and stopping

991
00:42:52,080 --> 00:42:54,719
Speaker 5: Joe Burrow from doing his RPO package or hitting running

992
00:42:54,800 --> 00:42:57,560
Speaker 5: backs out in the flats. They had three four five.

993
00:42:57,600 --> 00:43:00,600
Speaker 5: They had five different running backs take caih out in

994
00:43:00,640 --> 00:43:04,000
Speaker 5: the flats. Last week, the Tigers were unbelievable against Georgia State,

995
00:43:04,200 --> 00:43:06,839
Speaker 5: five touchdowns in their first five drives. They were so

996
00:43:06,880 --> 00:43:09,400
Speaker 5: impressive on offense they had to tap Joe Brady on

997
00:43:09,440 --> 00:43:11,760
Speaker 5: the shoulder say step back. We're gonna pull the offense

998
00:43:11,800 --> 00:43:13,120
Speaker 5: back a little bit. We didn't need it to be

999
00:43:13,200 --> 00:43:16,560
Speaker 5: this good. Explosive plays mixed in running backs catching it

1000
00:43:16,600 --> 00:43:20,719
Speaker 5: out of the backfield. In the meantime, Texas has one

1001
00:43:20,880 --> 00:43:25,720
Speaker 5: sack and zero quarterback hurries on La Tech, zero quarterback

1002
00:43:25,800 --> 00:43:29,080
Speaker 5: hurries on La Tech. One sack, and last year you

1003
00:43:29,080 --> 00:43:30,799
Speaker 5: had a ninety. You were ninety first and sack rate

1004
00:43:31,400 --> 00:43:34,520
Speaker 5: all summer. These longhorned fans getting into my DMS, getting

1005
00:43:34,560 --> 00:43:36,640
Speaker 5: into my Twitter, telling me this defensive line has been

1006
00:43:36,680 --> 00:43:38,640
Speaker 5: revamped and it's gonna be the reason they beat LSU.

1007
00:43:38,800 --> 00:43:41,600
Speaker 5: You had one sack against Louisiana Tech. You had no

1008
00:43:41,719 --> 00:43:45,319
Speaker 5: quarterback hurries against Louisiana Tech. So I mean that one sack,

1009
00:43:45,640 --> 00:43:48,719
Speaker 5: it came from a defensive back, it came from Demarvian overshown.

1010
00:43:49,320 --> 00:43:52,359
Speaker 5: I mean of the five tackles for loss, only one

1011
00:43:52,400 --> 00:43:54,480
Speaker 5: of them came from a defensive lineman. The rest came

1012
00:43:54,520 --> 00:43:57,319
Speaker 5: from DB's and one linebacker. So when I get into

1013
00:43:57,360 --> 00:43:58,959
Speaker 5: the box score and I get in deep, there's nothing

1014
00:43:58,960 --> 00:44:01,839
Speaker 5: about the Texas defense whatsoever that makes me think that

1015
00:44:01,920 --> 00:44:04,680
Speaker 5: they can beat LSU. This LSU offense, I don't think

1016
00:44:04,680 --> 00:44:06,960
Speaker 5: we know how good it is. I think Elleger is

1017
00:44:07,000 --> 00:44:09,319
Speaker 5: going to be under a ton of pressure. His top

1018
00:44:09,360 --> 00:44:14,399
Speaker 5: targets will have suffocating coverage from Grant Delpit. Listen, don't

1019
00:44:14,440 --> 00:44:16,799
Speaker 5: discount special teams. I'm surprised you we haven't mentioned that

1020
00:44:16,880 --> 00:44:19,560
Speaker 5: don't discount special teams. Last year, Texas finished fifty ninth

1021
00:44:19,880 --> 00:44:23,600
Speaker 5: and sm P plus special teams, LSU finished third. LSU's

1022
00:44:23,640 --> 00:44:25,839
Speaker 5: punter the other night had three punts, averaged a little

1023
00:44:25,840 --> 00:44:28,560
Speaker 5: bit more than fifty one yards. Their kicker went two

1024
00:44:28,600 --> 00:44:31,759
Speaker 5: for two on field goals, hit all seven pats. There's

1025
00:44:31,760 --> 00:44:34,080
Speaker 5: a major advantage of special teams. There's a major advantage

1026
00:44:34,080 --> 00:44:37,520
Speaker 5: in defense. You know, running back is thin for Texas.

1027
00:44:38,400 --> 00:44:40,440
Speaker 5: This I think it's gonna be a runaway by LSU.

1028
00:44:41,040 --> 00:44:43,399
Speaker 1: Yeah, you mentioned special teams. Don't forget about Texas kicker

1029
00:44:43,640 --> 00:44:46,359
Speaker 1: home justin Tucker. Maybe you're right. We don't know how

1030
00:44:46,360 --> 00:44:49,359
Speaker 1: good LSU's offense is going to be. You know, they

1031
00:44:49,719 --> 00:44:53,560
Speaker 1: with this new spread. They played Georgia Southern, so the

1032
00:44:53,680 --> 00:44:57,480
Speaker 1: quality of athlete and defender is a little different this week.

1033
00:44:57,600 --> 00:45:00,200
Speaker 1: But I'm looking forward to seeing I think you all

1034
00:45:00,239 --> 00:45:03,600
Speaker 1: sneak peak of this last week Texas's defense with the

1035
00:45:03,719 --> 00:45:07,080
Speaker 1: eight defenders. You know, when they have eight excuse me,

1036
00:45:07,080 --> 00:45:10,320
Speaker 1: when they have eight defensive backs out there on defense

1037
00:45:10,920 --> 00:45:13,640
Speaker 1: against this LSU spread and you know kind of the

1038
00:45:13,719 --> 00:45:14,600
Speaker 1: chess match there.

1039
00:45:15,360 --> 00:45:16,000
Speaker 4: I think it's a game.

1040
00:45:16,000 --> 00:45:19,799
Speaker 1: We're gonna learn a ton about both teams. There's a

1041
00:45:19,800 --> 00:45:23,319
Speaker 1: lot of unknowns to me, so it's not like I

1042
00:45:23,360 --> 00:45:25,400
Speaker 1: have a really strong feel in this game. But I

1043
00:45:25,400 --> 00:45:27,920
Speaker 1: can tell you if that's seven pops. If I'm walking in,

1044
00:45:28,040 --> 00:45:30,680
Speaker 1: my phone buzzes and I look in and says Texas

1045
00:45:31,120 --> 00:45:33,880
Speaker 1: LSU from six and a half to seven. You'll see

1046
00:45:34,080 --> 00:45:38,120
Speaker 1: soon thereafter a Texas play coming on me from me

1047
00:45:38,280 --> 00:45:43,279
Speaker 1: and I'll be all on the Herman train and we'll

1048
00:45:43,280 --> 00:45:45,040
Speaker 1: be against each other on Saturday, which could be a

1049
00:45:45,040 --> 00:45:45,480
Speaker 1: little fun.

1050
00:45:45,840 --> 00:45:47,880
Speaker 4: But more to come on this game.

1051
00:45:48,239 --> 00:45:51,880
Speaker 1: We'll have betting guides and tons of contact going up

1052
00:45:51,880 --> 00:45:53,839
Speaker 1: on Action network dot Com in the Action app Colin.

1053
00:45:53,880 --> 00:45:57,120
Speaker 1: I will also be on our live show ten thirty

1054
00:45:57,280 --> 00:46:00,719
Speaker 1: ish on Saturday morning. Check out our Twitter accounts for

1055
00:46:00,760 --> 00:46:03,560
Speaker 1: more details on that at Stucky two and at Colin

1056
00:46:04,000 --> 00:46:04,879
Speaker 1: Underscore one.

1057
00:46:05,320 --> 00:46:09,040
Speaker 4: Key. There is two l's at Colin Underscore one. So

1058
00:46:09,080 --> 00:46:11,000
Speaker 4: before we get out of here, let's go three and out.

1059
00:46:12,400 --> 00:46:16,560
Speaker 5: Great, let's make it a quick three and out first down.

1060
00:46:17,160 --> 00:46:18,200
Speaker 4: I need to lie to me here.

1061
00:46:18,239 --> 00:46:20,759
Speaker 1: You lied to me last week about your sad give

1062
00:46:20,760 --> 00:46:24,799
Speaker 1: it Arkansas had on right now your sad sad Razorbacks

1063
00:46:24,800 --> 00:46:29,160
Speaker 1: effort against a one possession home win against Portland State,

1064
00:46:29,640 --> 00:46:33,799
Speaker 1: those pesky vikings. So this week, you guys have an

1065
00:46:33,920 --> 00:46:38,200
Speaker 1: SEC game, and this is probably I'm looking at this.

1066
00:46:38,160 --> 00:46:40,320
Speaker 4: Card here, I'm gonna say.

1067
00:46:40,400 --> 00:46:43,880
Speaker 1: Akron UAB is the game I don't want to watch

1068
00:46:43,920 --> 00:46:45,880
Speaker 1: the most. The second game that I want to avoid,

1069
00:46:45,920 --> 00:46:49,080
Speaker 1: like the plague, is probably this Arkansas game. I have

1070
00:46:49,360 --> 00:46:51,120
Speaker 1: no interest in this game unless you tell me that

1071
00:46:51,200 --> 00:46:53,000
Speaker 1: you love it, because I always listen to Arkansas game.

1072
00:46:53,080 --> 00:46:56,000
Speaker 1: But Arkansas at Ole, miss Ole miss about a touchdown

1073
00:46:56,040 --> 00:46:59,280
Speaker 1: favor you know, came down a little bit here. Arkansas

1074
00:46:59,400 --> 00:47:02,480
Speaker 1: now six and a half point doll little sharp money

1075
00:47:02,480 --> 00:47:04,080
Speaker 1: on the hogs that coming from you?

1076
00:47:04,440 --> 00:47:06,440
Speaker 4: Are you betting this? What do you see here? Prime

1077
00:47:06,560 --> 00:47:10,120
Speaker 4: time Saturday night? Are you gonna have Arkansas Ole miss

1078
00:47:10,160 --> 00:47:15,319
Speaker 4: on the main TV? Whoo pig suy absolute dumpster five

1079
00:47:15,400 --> 00:47:16,040
Speaker 4: dumps for fine.

1080
00:47:16,040 --> 00:47:17,399
Speaker 3: I don't know how we win a game the rest

1081
00:47:17,400 --> 00:47:19,640
Speaker 3: of the year, just blowing program up. Give us a

1082
00:47:19,640 --> 00:47:20,320
Speaker 3: death sentence.

1083
00:47:20,760 --> 00:47:23,120
Speaker 5: Collins talking razorback football.

1084
00:47:24,520 --> 00:47:26,799
Speaker 3: Who the hell are you people out there betting art?

1085
00:47:26,800 --> 00:47:27,040
Speaker 3: You know what?

1086
00:47:27,120 --> 00:47:29,440
Speaker 5: You know what's going on. There's people out there betting Arkansas.

1087
00:47:29,480 --> 00:47:31,560
Speaker 5: There's people out there taking seven six and a half.

1088
00:47:31,600 --> 00:47:33,560
Speaker 5: It's five and a half in a sharp book right

1089
00:47:33,600 --> 00:47:35,759
Speaker 5: now and a half there. There's a five and a

1090
00:47:35,800 --> 00:47:37,759
Speaker 5: half out there right now. I think what's going on

1091
00:47:38,280 --> 00:47:41,640
Speaker 5: is you people are so focused on Ole Miss and

1092
00:47:41,680 --> 00:47:43,960
Speaker 5: how terrible they were in week one, and how much

1093
00:47:44,000 --> 00:47:45,960
Speaker 5: the team hates each other, how much the players hate

1094
00:47:45,960 --> 00:47:47,560
Speaker 5: the coaches, and I think the coaches hate each other

1095
00:47:47,920 --> 00:47:50,640
Speaker 5: that you didn't watch one second of that Arkansas game.

1096
00:47:50,840 --> 00:47:53,160
Speaker 5: Let me fill you in, Give me sixty seconds, I'll

1097
00:47:53,160 --> 00:47:56,960
Speaker 5: fill you in. Eleven of Arkansas's twelve drives against Portland State,

1098
00:47:57,000 --> 00:47:59,000
Speaker 5: who I don't even thinks ever even received a vote

1099
00:47:59,000 --> 00:48:02,360
Speaker 5: in the FCS Top twenty Eleven of twelve drives ended

1100
00:48:02,480 --> 00:48:04,440
Speaker 5: in their own territory. What was supposed to be a

1101
00:48:04,440 --> 00:48:07,000
Speaker 5: first half ending drive down the field with Nick Starkle

1102
00:48:07,200 --> 00:48:09,600
Speaker 5: and a spike and attempted a field goal, the clock

1103
00:48:09,680 --> 00:48:11,680
Speaker 5: just ran out because Nick Starkle didn't know where he was.

1104
00:48:11,920 --> 00:48:13,120
Speaker 5: I don't think you even know who he was.

1105
00:48:13,160 --> 00:48:14,440
Speaker 3: I don't think he knew what he was doing.

1106
00:48:14,560 --> 00:48:17,359
Speaker 5: Chad Morris even mentioned it. Players didn't know where they were,

1107
00:48:17,520 --> 00:48:19,600
Speaker 5: they didn't know what formation to be in, They couldn't

1108
00:48:19,600 --> 00:48:23,120
Speaker 5: get the calls in. It was terrible. Chad Moore said, this.

1109
00:48:23,560 --> 00:48:27,160
Speaker 5: They played hard, they gave effort. Give credit to Portland State.

1110
00:48:27,239 --> 00:48:29,840
Speaker 5: They had better execution, and we had to go vanilla

1111
00:48:29,880 --> 00:48:32,640
Speaker 5: in our base offense because we just don't know the

1112
00:48:32,680 --> 00:48:35,680
Speaker 5: offense well enough. The players are not listening to the coaches.

1113
00:48:36,040 --> 00:48:39,920
Speaker 5: The players can't execute. Giving Portland State half million dollars

1114
00:48:39,960 --> 00:48:42,320
Speaker 5: to write a bus down a fabled Arkansas and possibly

1115
00:48:42,400 --> 00:48:44,359
Speaker 5: beat them. I don't know how you people are putting

1116
00:48:44,360 --> 00:48:47,239
Speaker 5: money on Arkansas. Good luck whoever you are, they gonna

1117
00:48:47,239 --> 00:48:47,480
Speaker 5: be me.

1118
00:48:49,080 --> 00:48:51,120
Speaker 1: So, but you didn't answer the question, so you can

1119
00:48:51,280 --> 00:48:53,440
Speaker 1: make You'll see a bet on Arkansas come through on

1120
00:48:53,440 --> 00:48:55,160
Speaker 1: Saturday and the act that. By the way, it'll be

1121
00:48:55,200 --> 00:48:56,759
Speaker 1: on the TV on Saturday night.

1122
00:48:56,840 --> 00:48:58,480
Speaker 3: It's gonna be on TV. I've better watch it.

1123
00:48:58,520 --> 00:49:00,840
Speaker 5: But I mean, I'll have way more money on UTEP

1124
00:49:00,880 --> 00:49:02,960
Speaker 5: than I this week than I probably will on anybody

1125
00:49:03,120 --> 00:49:04,440
Speaker 5: on Arkansas the rest of the season.

1126
00:49:04,840 --> 00:49:07,200
Speaker 1: All right, well, hold on, but LSU Texas is main

1127
00:49:07,280 --> 00:49:08,600
Speaker 1: TV right Saturday night.

1128
00:49:08,719 --> 00:49:10,520
Speaker 5: Oh absolutely, audio and everything.

1129
00:49:10,680 --> 00:49:14,439
Speaker 1: Now for second down. I actually was going to bring

1130
00:49:14,560 --> 00:49:18,320
Speaker 1: up the worst teams in the country, in which ones

1131
00:49:18,719 --> 00:49:21,680
Speaker 1: you could actually back this week? The funniest one to me,

1132
00:49:22,360 --> 00:49:23,960
Speaker 1: which you can't at this game by the way, but

1133
00:49:24,120 --> 00:49:28,560
Speaker 1: Bama against New Mexico State. But with Bama's lanth fifty

1134
00:49:28,640 --> 00:49:31,840
Speaker 1: five here New Mexico State, by the way, they lose

1135
00:49:31,880 --> 00:49:34,800
Speaker 1: by I don't know one hundred last week to Washington State,

1136
00:49:35,120 --> 00:49:39,000
Speaker 1: taking an absolute beating, an absolute beat town, a team

1137
00:49:39,000 --> 00:49:41,640
Speaker 1: that I thought, man, maybe I can this team's going

1138
00:49:41,680 --> 00:49:44,080
Speaker 1: to be a little bit improved. And they lose fifty

1139
00:49:44,120 --> 00:49:47,319
Speaker 1: eight to seven in Pollman to Washington State. They're now

1140
00:49:47,360 --> 00:49:50,439
Speaker 1: catching fifty five and a half over under sixty four

1141
00:49:51,400 --> 00:49:54,560
Speaker 1: against Alabama. So you have that in play, and then

1142
00:49:54,600 --> 00:49:58,799
Speaker 1: you also have UTEP, and that's a team that you're

1143
00:49:58,840 --> 00:50:01,800
Speaker 1: actually the minor nation we got you in on this podcast.

1144
00:50:01,800 --> 00:50:05,080
Speaker 1: That's a team you're actually looking to that big this weekend.

1145
00:50:05,160 --> 00:50:07,840
Speaker 3: Yeah, we're talking minor nation.

1146
00:50:08,600 --> 00:50:11,759
Speaker 4: Out in the West Dickson town of l Past.

1147
00:50:11,520 --> 00:50:13,680
Speaker 1: So picks up.

1148
00:50:14,600 --> 00:50:15,120
Speaker 3: I did bet.

1149
00:50:15,200 --> 00:50:16,960
Speaker 5: I actually had to call one of my Vegas runners.

1150
00:50:17,000 --> 00:50:18,719
Speaker 5: I said, run over to CG and get me some

1151
00:50:18,760 --> 00:50:19,760
Speaker 5: money down on UTEP.

1152
00:50:19,760 --> 00:50:21,279
Speaker 3: He said, what say again? Come again?

1153
00:50:21,360 --> 00:50:22,960
Speaker 5: I think he actually my runner had to call me

1154
00:50:22,960 --> 00:50:24,120
Speaker 5: and say, I want you to say it out loud,

1155
00:50:24,160 --> 00:50:26,640
Speaker 5: and I said, okay, go get a nickel down on UTEP.

1156
00:50:26,680 --> 00:50:27,239
Speaker 3: At thirty five.

1157
00:50:27,280 --> 00:50:29,480
Speaker 5: It's the only shop that's got thirty five, so the

1158
00:50:29,600 --> 00:50:31,240
Speaker 5: number is going to go up. I think other places

1159
00:50:31,239 --> 00:50:32,919
Speaker 5: are going to have it available. Yes, I'm on UTEP.

1160
00:50:32,960 --> 00:50:34,880
Speaker 5: Before I get to UTEP, I will say that I

1161
00:50:34,960 --> 00:50:36,440
Speaker 5: like the under in the Alabama.

1162
00:50:36,040 --> 00:50:38,239
Speaker 3: New Mexico State game. It's at sixty four sixty four

1163
00:50:38,280 --> 00:50:38,640
Speaker 3: and a half.

1164
00:50:38,719 --> 00:50:42,560
Speaker 5: Saban is hot pissed about the rushing performance against Duke

1165
00:50:42,800 --> 00:50:45,680
Speaker 5: about them to establish the run. Yeah, they're maybe be

1166
00:50:45,760 --> 00:50:48,399
Speaker 5: able to knock off eighty yard runs against New Mexico State,

1167
00:50:48,440 --> 00:50:50,680
Speaker 5: and they should, but it sounds like the focus of

1168
00:50:50,680 --> 00:50:52,880
Speaker 5: this game is establishing the run, not so much putting

1169
00:50:52,920 --> 00:50:54,640
Speaker 5: up one hundred billion points of letting to a throw

1170
00:50:54,680 --> 00:50:55,319
Speaker 5: it all over the place.

1171
00:50:55,360 --> 00:50:56,680
Speaker 3: They're going to run the ball all the time. I

1172
00:50:56,719 --> 00:50:58,200
Speaker 3: like the under in that game for as far as

1173
00:50:58,280 --> 00:50:58,879
Speaker 3: UTEP goes.

1174
00:50:59,160 --> 00:51:00,719
Speaker 5: I mean, I have this at their twenty seven, so

1175
00:51:01,000 --> 00:51:03,080
Speaker 5: you know, buying at thirty five is going against my

1176
00:51:03,120 --> 00:51:05,160
Speaker 5: own number. But if you look deep into the Texas

1177
00:51:05,200 --> 00:51:08,040
Speaker 5: Tech box score against Montana State, the Bobcats had just

1178
00:51:08,160 --> 00:51:10,960
Speaker 5: eight first downs. They went two of sixteen on third down.

1179
00:51:11,000 --> 00:51:12,879
Speaker 5: You would think that's a great job by Texas Tech.

1180
00:51:12,960 --> 00:51:15,560
Speaker 5: But Montana State had two hundred and eighty nine total yards.

1181
00:51:15,680 --> 00:51:19,120
Speaker 5: Four different Bobcats had explosive plays against the Texas Tech defense.

1182
00:51:19,320 --> 00:51:22,200
Speaker 5: They had five total explosive plays. Texas Tech did its

1183
00:51:22,280 --> 00:51:24,920
Speaker 5: job offensively, they scored whenever they want, but defensively there

1184
00:51:25,000 --> 00:51:26,680
Speaker 5: is big time room for improvement.

1185
00:51:26,920 --> 00:51:29,040
Speaker 3: They can't stop the big play. Go over to the

1186
00:51:29,120 --> 00:51:30,040
Speaker 3: UTEP box score.

1187
00:51:30,360 --> 00:51:33,879
Speaker 5: Three rushers, including quarterback Brandon Jones, and four receivers all

1188
00:51:33,920 --> 00:51:37,560
Speaker 5: with explosive plays. Three different players explosive plays. UTEP's going

1189
00:51:37,640 --> 00:51:39,520
Speaker 5: to head into a bye week after this, while Texas

1190
00:51:39,560 --> 00:51:41,719
Speaker 5: Tech is going to prepare for Arizona. By the way,

1191
00:51:42,120 --> 00:51:46,600
Speaker 5: UTEP staff Chico Canalis, assistant head coach on the staff, Cox,

1192
00:51:46,680 --> 00:51:49,640
Speaker 5: the defensive coordinator. Where did these guys all come from?

1193
00:51:50,000 --> 00:51:51,879
Speaker 3: Utah State? Who knows them really well?

1194
00:51:51,920 --> 00:51:54,520
Speaker 5: The head coach of Texas Tech, Matt Wells. Matt Wells

1195
00:51:54,800 --> 00:51:58,200
Speaker 5: knows the entire UTEP coaching staff. He is close friends

1196
00:51:58,239 --> 00:52:00,800
Speaker 5: with everybody on the UTEP coaching staf. Mike Cox was

1197
00:52:00,800 --> 00:52:03,280
Speaker 5: a defensive coordinator when Matt Wells was a player. Wells

1198
00:52:03,280 --> 00:52:05,440
Speaker 5: has mentioned this over and over, and he has also

1199
00:52:05,520 --> 00:52:08,600
Speaker 5: mentioned this set out out as presser on Monday. UTEP's

1200
00:52:08,640 --> 00:52:11,359
Speaker 5: offensive line is bigger than our defensive line. I'm worried

1201
00:52:11,400 --> 00:52:14,000
Speaker 5: about them pushing us around. Give me the thirty five.

1202
00:52:14,280 --> 00:52:16,319
Speaker 5: And especially with a coach like Matt Wells, it doesn't

1203
00:52:16,320 --> 00:52:17,600
Speaker 5: want to run it up on people that he has

1204
00:52:17,640 --> 00:52:21,160
Speaker 5: close personal relationships with Utip all the way.

1205
00:52:21,400 --> 00:52:23,400
Speaker 4: I knew I would get you excited by bringing up

1206
00:52:23,440 --> 00:52:23,799
Speaker 4: you tep.

1207
00:52:23,800 --> 00:52:26,399
Speaker 1: And it looks like before we get to third down,

1208
00:52:26,400 --> 00:52:29,000
Speaker 1: it looks like there was a penalty. So I do

1209
00:52:29,120 --> 00:52:32,240
Speaker 1: want to just before we go give our money line parlay.

1210
00:52:32,440 --> 00:52:35,279
Speaker 1: I do want to mention Friday night football. So there's

1211
00:52:35,320 --> 00:52:38,799
Speaker 1: two Friday night games. The first game I texted you

1212
00:52:38,920 --> 00:52:43,640
Speaker 1: last week, I want Rice as a home dog against

1213
00:52:43,680 --> 00:52:47,560
Speaker 1: wake Forest, but I wanted over twenty one, so we

1214
00:52:47,600 --> 00:52:49,000
Speaker 1: didn't get it. I don't know if they could stop

1215
00:52:49,000 --> 00:52:52,880
Speaker 1: wake Forests passing attack. Like Rice's defense looked great last weekend,

1216
00:52:53,120 --> 00:52:54,960
Speaker 1: but remember they played an option team that we think

1217
00:52:55,040 --> 00:52:57,759
Speaker 1: is way down and way last potent, so we saw

1218
00:52:57,840 --> 00:53:00,680
Speaker 1: nothing about the right secondary and the Rice secondary is

1219
00:53:01,080 --> 00:53:04,640
Speaker 1: was atrocious and we saw we didn't see any of

1220
00:53:04,640 --> 00:53:06,600
Speaker 1: that last week. They didn't have to show up, and

1221
00:53:06,680 --> 00:53:09,440
Speaker 1: their offense is still atrocious. They line up it just

1222
00:53:09,640 --> 00:53:12,000
Speaker 1: you know, two tight ends, wait till the game clock

1223
00:53:12,040 --> 00:53:14,319
Speaker 1: gets to one second and run a dive. This is

1224
00:53:14,360 --> 00:53:16,960
Speaker 1: the a snail versus the Cheetah. I mean, this is

1225
00:53:17,000 --> 00:53:18,480
Speaker 1: the one of the fastest teams in the country, or

1226
00:53:18,520 --> 00:53:20,279
Speaker 1: is one of the slowest, which is intriguing. But I

1227
00:53:20,280 --> 00:53:22,719
Speaker 1: can't get twenty one. I can't trust the Rice secondary.

1228
00:53:22,960 --> 00:53:25,960
Speaker 1: I have to pass on Rice any field there or

1229
00:53:26,360 --> 00:53:29,080
Speaker 1: with Marshall. And what I think is the more interesting

1230
00:53:29,120 --> 00:53:32,880
Speaker 1: game catching twelve ish at Boise on Friday night. Anything

1231
00:53:32,920 --> 00:53:33,880
Speaker 1: on Friday night lights.

1232
00:53:33,719 --> 00:53:34,920
Speaker 3: For you, Marshall.

1233
00:53:34,920 --> 00:53:37,000
Speaker 5: For me, it's a down spot for Boise to come

1234
00:53:37,040 --> 00:53:40,480
Speaker 5: back after a miraculous second half. I think the debate

1235
00:53:40,560 --> 00:53:42,760
Speaker 5: now is if I can't get Marshall with the key number,

1236
00:53:43,040 --> 00:53:44,640
Speaker 5: it just looks like he's not going to clip thirteen.

1237
00:53:44,800 --> 00:53:46,319
Speaker 5: And if I'm not going to get fourteen, maybe I'll

1238
00:53:46,360 --> 00:53:49,359
Speaker 5: play it first half. I do like Marshall in that spot. Rice,

1239
00:53:49,440 --> 00:53:51,800
Speaker 5: same thing. I want twenty one. I'm greedy with the

1240
00:53:51,880 --> 00:53:53,600
Speaker 5: number a little bit where I mean the pace here

1241
00:53:53,680 --> 00:53:55,160
Speaker 5: is going to be insane. I mean Rice wants to

1242
00:53:55,200 --> 00:53:57,279
Speaker 5: do one thing, wait, wants to do another. Wake gets

1243
00:53:57,280 --> 00:53:59,600
Speaker 5: a fourteen point lead, how does Rice catch up? So

1244
00:53:59,680 --> 00:54:01,799
Speaker 5: it's it's a tough game to handicap for me. I

1245
00:54:01,880 --> 00:54:03,880
Speaker 5: like Marshall in the game. I think they're gonna give

1246
00:54:03,920 --> 00:54:05,919
Speaker 5: a real push and I might play it first half.

1247
00:54:06,120 --> 00:54:07,400
Speaker 5: Have to check on the Action Network.

1248
00:54:07,200 --> 00:54:09,400
Speaker 1: Cap all right, So before we get out of here,

1249
00:54:09,600 --> 00:54:12,000
Speaker 1: let's do our weekly moneyline.

1250
00:54:11,560 --> 00:54:15,920
Speaker 5: Parlay, turning good weekends into great weekends.

1251
00:54:16,400 --> 00:54:21,880
Speaker 1: It's time for the money line parlay, money line Underdog parlay,

1252
00:54:22,080 --> 00:54:24,760
Speaker 1: or to some of you, the overdog money on parlay.

1253
00:54:25,040 --> 00:54:27,560
Speaker 1: For those longtime listeners of our podcast.

1254
00:54:27,160 --> 00:54:28,840
Speaker 3: It's called the Overdog parlay.

1255
00:54:29,200 --> 00:54:31,279
Speaker 1: So this should have hit last week, by the way

1256
00:54:31,480 --> 00:54:34,839
Speaker 1: you had BC and I had Oregon. I'm still trying

1257
00:54:34,840 --> 00:54:37,320
Speaker 1: to get over it. But let's move on to this week.

1258
00:54:37,719 --> 00:54:41,120
Speaker 1: And you know what, I'm riding with the Bobs. And

1259
00:54:41,200 --> 00:54:43,120
Speaker 1: the good thing about this, I think they're going to

1260
00:54:43,160 --> 00:54:44,560
Speaker 1: win the game. But the good thing about this is

1261
00:54:44,560 --> 00:54:46,840
Speaker 1: they don't. I can blame you. So I'm going with

1262
00:54:46,920 --> 00:54:50,000
Speaker 1: the Bobs money line. Where you going with your money

1263
00:54:50,040 --> 00:54:50,919
Speaker 1: line underdog this week?

1264
00:54:51,080 --> 00:54:52,200
Speaker 3: I'm going North Carolina.

1265
00:54:52,239 --> 00:54:54,600
Speaker 5: I believe in Phil long Goo, I believe in Jay Bateman,

1266
00:54:54,640 --> 00:54:56,480
Speaker 5: and it's a Mac Brown thing. Is just the thing

1267
00:54:56,480 --> 00:54:58,600
Speaker 5: where I think Miami still got to figure it out offensively.

1268
00:54:58,640 --> 00:55:01,000
Speaker 5: Don't trust dan Enos, but I love what I see

1269
00:55:01,000 --> 00:55:03,480
Speaker 5: from Sam Howell in North Carolina, and I'm gonna they're

1270
00:55:03,520 --> 00:55:05,359
Speaker 5: gonna be not only just my money line, I'm gonna

1271
00:55:05,360 --> 00:55:07,080
Speaker 5: back them in every round, rob and everything that I make,

1272
00:55:07,120 --> 00:55:09,440
Speaker 5: I'm gonna have some have some North Carolina down there.

1273
00:55:09,440 --> 00:55:12,160
Speaker 1: You go with the bobs and the heels pay around

1274
00:55:12,160 --> 00:55:15,399
Speaker 1: eight nine to one. Thanks everyone for listening. Make sure

1275
00:55:15,440 --> 00:55:18,680
Speaker 1: you check us out on Saturday morning, we'll be going

1276
00:55:18,719 --> 00:55:21,680
Speaker 1: through the card once again. Any updated thoughts. Obviously, the

1277
00:55:21,760 --> 00:55:25,040
Speaker 1: market is gonna move. You can also check out all

1278
00:55:25,040 --> 00:55:29,560
Speaker 1: of our picks on the Action Network app, actionnetwork dot com.

1279
00:55:29,600 --> 00:55:31,880
Speaker 4: Thanks everyone for listening, Thanks for joining the column. Good

1280
00:55:31,960 --> 00:55:32,640
Speaker 4: luck this weekend.

1281
00:55:32,800 --> 00:55:33,799
Speaker 3: Cheers, peace out,