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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm just about that action also. All right, here we

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Speaker 2: go throwing into we're sitting up to cash.

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Speaker 3: See most gamblers when they go to gamble, they go

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Speaker 3: to win.

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Speaker 2: God, that's incredible.

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Speaker 4: Big bank, small bank. I like to make money.

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Speaker 5: All right, this is the ultimate kaba and we are

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Speaker 5: coming away.

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Speaker 3: What's up everybody, and welcome to the Action Network Podcast

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Speaker 3: presented by Fan Duel.

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Speaker 4: I'm your host, Chris Raybond.

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Speaker 3: This is your NFL Week four betting preview where we'll

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Speaker 3: talk about our favorite totals, teasers, underdogs, and of course

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Speaker 3: build our weekly Sunday six pack of against the spread

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Speaker 3: bats with the help of my co host, the Prime

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Speaker 3: Minister of Degenerate Nation, Stucky Stuck.

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Speaker 4: What's going on?

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Speaker 2: What's going brother? A fun? Week three wasn't as profitable.

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Speaker 2: We weren't as profitable on the show as weeks before.

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Speaker 2: I think we had two and four six pack. We

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Speaker 2: didn't get either of us, didn't get a pair of

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Speaker 2: two point conversions late, but hit the money line underdog

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Speaker 2: parlay again, hit both of our teasers, Advanced and Survivor again.

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Speaker 2: I sweaked out a profit on Sunday. Man, it was fun.

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Speaker 2: Around three thirty four o'clock class. So you go some

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Speaker 2: wild finishes.

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Speaker 3: Oh yeah, that's It's been a good year. Another jam

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Speaker 3: packs late. So let's just let's just get to it.

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Speaker 3: And just a reminder for everyone out there listening, be

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Speaker 3: sure to check out our new live show Action I Went,

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Speaker 3: airing every Thursday five thirty Eastern on the Action app,

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Speaker 3: Action YouTube page, and Action Network HQ on Twitter.

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Speaker 4: It is also presented by our friends at fandel.

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Speaker 3: Let's get started on the show with tonight's game, the

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Speaker 3: Miami Dolphins going to Cincinnati to visit the Bengals.

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Speaker 1: It's not the best game, but it's the only game tonight.

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Speaker 1: Let's bet Thursday Night Football.

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Speaker 3: All right, stuck, you got the Dolphins. Cincinnati is a

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Speaker 3: three and a half point favorite. The Dolphins, I don't know.

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Speaker 4: They seem to be number one and everybody's power rate rankings.

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Speaker 2: Joke.

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Speaker 3: Hey, you know, because they beat the Bills, they obviously

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Speaker 3: have to be number one.

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Speaker 4: It's because you only get half as.

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Speaker 3: Many yards and Josh Allen should throw obviously deserve to

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Speaker 3: be number one on everyone's power rating.

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Speaker 4: So what do you think it is?

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Speaker 2: Absolute joke. Yeah, But by the way, the going into

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Speaker 2: week four oh and three against the spread teams, which

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Speaker 2: are the Raiders and Saints are just dead five hundred

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Speaker 2: past twenty five years. Three and oh against the spread

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Speaker 2: teams Dolphins, Falcons, Texans, and lines are forty percent against

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Speaker 2: the spread over the past twenty five years. I think

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Speaker 2: that the O and three against the spread teams the

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Speaker 2: reason that you know the market doesn't. You can't like,

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Speaker 2: all right, let's buy low. Sometimes there's just teams that

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Speaker 2: the market doesn't. I do the same thing. I can't

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Speaker 2: tell how bad it team's going to be, you know,

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Speaker 2: five six weeks, you don't want to lower them too much. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: I really love the Bengals here. I bet them earlier

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Speaker 2: in the week. I still think that there's some value

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Speaker 2: here at fand or what are they sitting at right now?

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Speaker 4: Three and a half?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, three and a half, I'd still bet minus three

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Speaker 2: and a half. One. Yes, the Dolphins are undefeated, and

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Speaker 2: I think they're they're improved, but like, come on, they

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Speaker 2: They've had two of the most improbable wins that you

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Speaker 2: will see all season. Number one, they beat the Ravens

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Speaker 2: with a one percent postgame win expectancy, the lowest in

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Speaker 2: the past three years. They were down like twenty four.

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Speaker 2: In the fourth quarter, hit a bunch of crazy plays.

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Speaker 2: The Ravens fumbled at the one on a quarterback sneak,

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Speaker 2: like come on. And then against the Bills, it was,

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Speaker 2: you know, the first time in like twenty five years

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Speaker 2: since like the ninety six Jags of a team won

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Speaker 2: like that with that box score. The Bills can't get

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Speaker 2: snaps off at the end of each half. I think

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Speaker 2: they o. I think they got out gained by about

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Speaker 2: three hundred yards. Yeah, and they had the advantage of

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Speaker 2: home field and the humid and the Bills just cramping

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Speaker 2: all over the field. The Bills lost like a million

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Speaker 2: offensive linemen during the game. They had their practice squad

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Speaker 2: secondary in there. So let's cool it on the Dolphins

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Speaker 2: and that they're number one in the Power ratings and

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Speaker 2: are going to the Super Bowl. And by the way,

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Speaker 2: I just mentioned on Sunday they played ninety plays, ninety

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Speaker 2: plays on defense against the Bills in that humidity. By

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Speaker 2: the way, that sideline, if you're on the there's a

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Speaker 2: lot of humidity in the sun. One o'clock is beaten

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Speaker 2: on you. It's rough. That Diggs was having a rough day.

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Speaker 2: I don't know if he was out the night before

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Speaker 2: in Miami. But but yeah, Miami's on the field for

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Speaker 2: ninety plays. That defense. Now you got to go on

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Speaker 2: a short week to Cincy against the Sincy team that

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Speaker 2: kind of finally figured it out. You saw them hit

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Speaker 2: some explosive pass plays, you saw the offensive line play better.

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Speaker 2: We knew it was eventually going to come together, and

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Speaker 2: I just needed to see signs of life, which we

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Speaker 2: got from Burrowing Company. So this sets up as just

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Speaker 2: a fantastic spot on Thursday night. Look, the Dolphins they

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Speaker 2: blitz a lot, even though they're getting a league low

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Speaker 2: eight percent pressure. I think, what's a lot? What does

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Speaker 2: Burrow do? Eats eats blitzes for breakfast. And I also

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Speaker 2: think that the Dolphins defense, I've said this coming in

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Speaker 2: the years, really overrated. They're also dealing with some injuries.

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Speaker 2: You know, every one with a pulse puts up a

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Speaker 2: lot of points on them. I think the Bengals will

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Speaker 2: do the same here. It's just a horrible situational spot. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: it's you have two of you have interesting the offensive line.

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Speaker 2: Secondary two is banged up, so you might get teddy.

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Speaker 2: I don't know what's going on there. If it's like

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Speaker 2: they're kind of he's saying he's gonna play, but there's

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Speaker 2: it's I don't know, might end up being Teddy Bridgewater. Regardless,

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Speaker 2: I don't care. I think the Bengals are the bet here.

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Speaker 2: I am interested to see Tyreek Hill versus Eli Apple

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Speaker 2: if you recalled last year, Eli Apple was chirping Tyreek

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Speaker 2: after the Bengals beat the Chiefs, So that should be

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Speaker 2: fun to watch. Who knows, Tyreek might get thrown out

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Speaker 2: in the first quarter if he burns up for a touchdown.

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Speaker 2: But yeah, I think this is the spot. Is the

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Speaker 2: Bengals the price that the situation, everything here sets up

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Speaker 2: for a bank goals play. Yeah, from every angle here,

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Speaker 2: the Cincinnati Bengals came roaring back.

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Speaker 4: Mean, I think the Dolphins are way overrated. I mean

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Speaker 4: they were. They didn't deserve to win that game.

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Speaker 3: Josh Allen throws what sixty three passes and short hops

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Speaker 3: one at the one yard line and then and then.

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Speaker 4: Another one is one he he can't just spike.

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Speaker 3: It's like it's it's supposed to be a spike but

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Speaker 3: instead of spike and he has to throw it.

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Speaker 4: I mean, it was like the three worst passes he

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Speaker 4: threw all day.

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Speaker 3: Essentially he cost him that game or not even the

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Speaker 3: worst passes, just like the worst luck happening.

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Speaker 4: On those passes.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, I've seen people say like, oh my god,

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Speaker 3: how are the Dolphins underdogs, you know, going against the

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Speaker 3: one and two Bengals and then three and oh it's

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Speaker 3: like because they haven't.

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Speaker 6: Really I've seen people say the Dolphins should be favorites.

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Speaker 6: It's like, yeah, I know, you played it at two

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Speaker 6: and a half. I like it at I mean I

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Speaker 6: obviously like it two and a half. Three a lot

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Speaker 6: better than three and a half just for the key number.

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Speaker 6: But I'm guessing you're seeing just kind of like a

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Speaker 6: Bengals smash spot here.

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Speaker 4: Just blow them out.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I think they'll probably en up winning

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Speaker 2: like ten would be my guess. I don't know. You

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Speaker 2: want to read the market here. It's hard for me

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Speaker 2: to give really strong advice on where it's gonna go,

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Speaker 2: because if there's a chance of two it gets ruled out,

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Speaker 2: the market will obviously, I don't think it's an enormous

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Speaker 2: drop off, but it is a drop off to Teddy Bridgewater.

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Speaker 2: The market will obviously react in that sense. So then

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Speaker 2: if you don't grab the three and a half. Now

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Speaker 2: it's going to go to four and a half, five, five,

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Speaker 2: five and a half. If two is announced in and

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Speaker 2: it's like, hey, looks healthy, then you might get some

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Speaker 2: public and maybe some sharp Dolphin's money, then you can

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Speaker 2: get the three. So I don't know, I can't. I

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Speaker 2: don't know what's gonna happen with the two news. But

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Speaker 2: that'll decide whether or not if you want to maybe

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Speaker 2: take some three and a half now and then wait

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Speaker 2: to see if you can get more three. But I

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Speaker 2: would like it up to five and a half. If

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Speaker 2: Teddy Bridgewater is announced in.

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Speaker 4: Teddy covers, he's you know, he's what is it?

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Speaker 3: Twenty four and six ats on a road?

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Speaker 2: Maybe that's scary.

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Speaker 4: I mean to it through what eighteen balls last week

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Speaker 4: didn't have to do much.

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Speaker 2: Even a Patriots game. I mean they won twenty to

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Speaker 2: seven with a defensive touchdown in a game where the

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Speaker 2: yards was equal and like everyone's slowed down on the

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Speaker 2: Dolphins loft.

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Speaker 3: I mean, to be fair, that's partly why they got

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Speaker 3: Wattle and Tyreek, so like they could get chunk ways.

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Speaker 3: So two it doesn't have to throw a lot like

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Speaker 3: it's just you know, they fake up a big chunk

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Speaker 3: forty five yarder, then you don't need you know, six

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Speaker 3: passes to do that, which they did last year. It

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Speaker 3: was kind of hard to watch. Yeah, but uh yeah,

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Speaker 3: let's go to Sunday sixth pack.

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Speaker 1: Thirst deeper action. Let's crack open the Sunday six pack.

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Speaker 4: All right, still tied up twelve apiece. Didn't do totals.

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Speaker 3: Last week, but did go Each of us went one

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Speaker 3: in two on the six packs. So our first losing week,

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Speaker 3: gotta get it back together.

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Speaker 4: Where are you going with your first pick?

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Speaker 1: All right?

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Speaker 2: For my first pick of the week, four Sunday six pack,

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Speaker 2: brought to you by Fan Duel, I'm going with the

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Speaker 2: Baltimore Ravens plus three at home against the Buffalo Bills. Look.

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Speaker 2: I coming into this year, I had the Bills power

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Speaker 2: raided as number one and in the AFC and the

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Speaker 2: Ravens number two. I was as high as anybody on

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Speaker 2: either my lone super Bowl future, and my main questions

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Speaker 2: with the Ravens coming into the year all focused on

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Speaker 2: the offense. Okay, how will Lamar Jackson in this passing

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Speaker 2: offense fair against the Blitz? And the results are mind

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Speaker 2: blowing to me? I didn't think it was gonna be

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Speaker 2: anywhere close to this could He had never thrown for

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Speaker 2: over one hundred and fifty yards with three touchdowns against

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Speaker 2: the Blitz in a single game. He did that in

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Speaker 2: the first half two weeks ago, and then he did

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Speaker 2: it again last week. Patriots split someone forty nine percent

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Speaker 2: of dropbacks and he shredded them with a fourth round

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Speaker 2: rookie playing left tackle who never played left tackle, he

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Speaker 2: played one snap at left tackle in his college career.

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Speaker 2: Just an amazing performance. We saw it against Miami too. Ravens,

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Speaker 2: I'd still think are undervalued here. That Miami game I

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Speaker 2: think is holding people back from fully. They had a

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Speaker 2: ninety nine fluky loss. This team should be three to

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Speaker 2: zero with three dominant victories over three AFC's teams. Other side, Bills,

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Speaker 2: I think have the best roster in the NFL. They're

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Speaker 2: one of three teams that have a top ten offense

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Speaker 2: and defense EPA per play. But this isn't the same

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Speaker 2: Bills team that came into the year. This Bills team

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Speaker 2: is beat up. You look at their defense alone, their

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Speaker 2: secondary as a shell unit. They really need to get

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Speaker 2: Trey White back because now you have Benford hurt you

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Speaker 2: have Jackson hurt, you're missing a Pro Bowl safety, and

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Speaker 2: his replacement last week is now the lowest graded safety

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Speaker 2: in the NFL. So that's something thing to watch because

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Speaker 2: so much of what Buffalo could do it was predicated

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Speaker 2: on you know, well Trey, when Trey wakems back locking

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Speaker 2: down at number one and then having those two deep

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Speaker 2: safeties that don't don't allow any explosive plays. He saw

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Speaker 2: it against Miami, right, the Bills were still doing well

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Speaker 2: against preventing explosive plays when both Poyer and Hyder back

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Speaker 2: there allows them to do so much. So without one

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Speaker 2: could be some trouble. Defensive line injuries, the offensive line

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Speaker 2: that and it's just not the same offense without a

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Speaker 2: healthy Morse. You a couple other guys in the offensive

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Speaker 2: line that are banged up. So this is not full

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Speaker 2: strength Bills unit that came into the year. And Raven's look,

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Speaker 2: they got Dobbins back that I think they're gonna get

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Speaker 2: Stanley back. I keep saying, I don't even know if

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Speaker 2: he exists anymore.

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Speaker 3: Him and him and Jack Lennard are just like on

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Speaker 3: a practice field somewhere just playing playing air football.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I think they might get might get Stanley back.

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Speaker 2: Here's supporting because mccary's also banged up and they're gonna

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Speaker 2: be going against VN Miller. But Lamar Jackson is playing

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Speaker 2: on another plane right now, and he is in some

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Speaker 2: kind of zone. You're also getting one of the best

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Speaker 2: staffs and special teams units in the NFL as a

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Speaker 2: home dog of three or more. And for what it's where,

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Speaker 2: Harball's forty eight thirty three and three against the spread

252
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Speaker 2: as a dog. That's fifty nine point three percent. Only

253
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Speaker 2: two coaches over the past twenty five years that are

254
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Speaker 2: more profitable as underdog Mike Tomlin obviously and Sean Payton.

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Speaker 2: It's a one hundred and forty one coaches since two

256
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Speaker 2: thousand and three. Harbo's four to zero against the spread

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Speaker 2: as a home dog over the past three seasons with

258
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Speaker 2: either Lamar or Huntley. Both losses he won two straight up.

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Speaker 2: Both losses came by a single point average cover margin

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Speaker 2: nine point seven five. Weather a lot of wind and

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Speaker 2: rain in the forecast for Baltimore obviously helps the Ravens here.

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Speaker 2: So I hope that the Bills come out here and

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Speaker 2: say we're gonna blitz Baltimore, because in the playoff. This

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Speaker 2: is how far the Lamar Jackson has come. At first,

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Speaker 2: everyone said we have to we have to zone them

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Speaker 2: because we can't play man, because we need to be

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Speaker 2: able to see him. He can't run right. But then

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Speaker 2: Lamar was just shredding zones. Remember how good he was

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Speaker 2: in his rookie year. So then everyone says, since so

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Speaker 2: everyone said, f this, let's try playing man. And then

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Speaker 2: they had a little bit more success. Ravens will have

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Speaker 2: great receivers. Lamar was struggling with his accuracy. And then

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Speaker 2: there was another added level to this. You saw this.

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Speaker 2: The Bills actually started it. The Dolphins took it to

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Speaker 2: an extremelits heavy man on the outside, and that gave

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Speaker 2: the Ravens offense and Lamar Jackson in particular, a lot

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Speaker 2: of problems. Offensive line is just didn't help. Well. If

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Speaker 2: you go back to that Bills Bill's playoff win against

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Speaker 2: the Ravens when they max blitzed a ton, they blitzed

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Speaker 2: on forty eight percent of Jackson's dropbacks. I think the

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Speaker 2: Patriots are forty nine percent last week, pressured on on

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Speaker 2: forty one percent, and their offense really couldn't do anything. Well,

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Speaker 2: guess who leads the NFL and EPA per drop back

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Speaker 2: against the Blitz. This year, it's Lamar Jackson's passing offenses,

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Speaker 2: rolling with the weather. They're running offense will have an

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Speaker 2: edge here against the banged up Bills defense in front

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Speaker 2: of a raucous home crowd. Wish this game was at night,

288
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Speaker 2: but I'll take the three all day here. Give me

289
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Speaker 2: the Ravens.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I love to pick. Took the three and a

291
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Speaker 4: half earlier in the week.

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Speaker 3: I'm sure you did too, So follow us in the

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Speaker 3: app at Stucky two at Chris Raybon. Uh so you

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Speaker 3: can get those notifications as we make these bets.

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Speaker 2: For for this line, I don't see it going back off,

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Speaker 2: so I would grab the three.

297
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Speaker 4: Yeah, agreed.

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Speaker 3: Regarding the Blitz, I I don't see them blitzing. I'm

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Speaker 3: fairly confident that Buffalo will not blit the Ravens.

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Speaker 4: I think that what they're gonna do.

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Speaker 2: Think they're gonna they're only gonna rush for Yeah. I

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Speaker 2: like that. I hope that they blitzed.

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Speaker 4: No, they're not blitzed.

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Speaker 3: They're gonna they're gonna make Jackson go up and down

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Speaker 3: a field and he can and they can. And the

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Speaker 3: fact that you have have you know Dobbins back. I

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Speaker 3: know he's not full health, but you know, the running

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Speaker 3: game should be a little better. But yeah, I think

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Speaker 3: they're gonna make him go up and down the field.

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Speaker 3: They've blitzed on six percent of their opposing dropbacks this year.

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Speaker 4: They played zone in ninety four percent.

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Speaker 3: That's just what they have to do, not because of

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Speaker 3: the opponent, but because of what's been going on with

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Speaker 3: their own health. Like they have Von Miller, Yeah, they

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Speaker 3: have Von Miller. They have enough on the line. I

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Speaker 3: know some guys are hurt on the interior last week,

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Speaker 3: but they have enough there at least they feel like

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Speaker 3: they do to just you know, and they have enough

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Speaker 3: on offense they feel like to just okay, we'll just

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Speaker 3: make these teams go up and down the field. You know,

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Speaker 3: maybe it's another one of these unders. You know, I

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Speaker 3: ended up betting the Bills Dolphins under last week.

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Speaker 4: Didn't look good at halftime, but that Miami heat, you know,

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Speaker 4: came through at the end.

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Speaker 3: But this could be another one of those games where

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Speaker 3: you know everyone's looking at it expecting fireworks, and you know,

327
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Speaker 3: both of these defense to just make the other go

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Speaker 3: up and down the field on longer drives. But the

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Speaker 3: rate this is a wa a. Ravers should be three

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Speaker 3: point dogs at home. Like the Bills are great, don't

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Speaker 3: get be wrong, but like you.

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Speaker 4: Said, they're banged up.

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Speaker 3: Poyer did practice, so at least he looks like he'll

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Speaker 3: be back this week for the Bills. Uh. And I

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Speaker 3: believe Jackson practiced as well. I'm not sure if they're

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Speaker 3: if he's actually gonna be in a you know game ready.

337
00:16:14,560 --> 00:16:17,440
Speaker 3: Bates did not practice. He's in the protocol. Phillips still

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Speaker 3: didn't practice. Dean Dawkins didn't practice with an illness.

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Speaker 2: Call me a homer or all you want, but I

340
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Speaker 2: think I'm like ninety five percent on Ravens games on

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Speaker 2: this podcast over the past three years.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, you're you're pretty You're pretty own. I mean, that's

343
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Speaker 4: your that's your squad.

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Speaker 3: I feel like I don't remember you, at least since

345
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Speaker 3: you and I started doing it. I don't remember you

346
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Speaker 3: losing a Oh unless did you lose that Ravens bet

347
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Speaker 3: When I went against you with the Browns and they

348
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Speaker 3: end like Lamar got her.

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Speaker 2: That might have been That might have been the only one.

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Speaker 4: And I want to beat.

351
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Speaker 2: You this season. That was like the biggest flute loss.

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Speaker 2: I was there for the game.

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Speaker 4: Yes, yes, yes, who came in? Huntly? I think I

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Speaker 4: was right.

355
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Speaker 2: So I have the Browns and Huntley came in.

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Speaker 4: Oh yeah you had the Yeah it was a Ravens game.

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Speaker 4: You didn't pick the Ravens, but.

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Speaker 2: You have Browns.

359
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Speaker 4: Yeah, yes, you had the three or something like that.

360
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Speaker 3: Yeah.

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Speaker 4: I don't hate the player, hate the game man.

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Speaker 2: All right.

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Speaker 3: Well, for my first pick and the second overall of

364
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Speaker 3: the Sunday six Pack for Week four, presented by Fan Duel,

365
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Speaker 3: I am going with the Arizona Cardinals Cliff.

366
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Speaker 2: Plus one and a half.

367
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Speaker 4: Against the Carolina Panthers.

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Speaker 2: Uh.

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Speaker 3: You know, it's it's been a long time coming. Haven't

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Speaker 3: been on the Cardinals all year. I don't think, Uh,

371
00:17:36,080 --> 00:17:38,360
Speaker 3: good thing. I haven't because they've been stinking it up.

372
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Speaker 3: But I look at this game against Carolina and I

373
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Speaker 3: see a winnable game for the for the Arizona Cardinals.

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Speaker 3: First of all, you know the Steve is still getting

375
00:17:47,680 --> 00:17:51,040
Speaker 3: pressure even without Chamber Jones. They're they're skeeving up some

376
00:17:51,080 --> 00:17:56,560
Speaker 3: blitzes they do. And and and I was wrong about

377
00:17:56,840 --> 00:17:59,359
Speaker 3: I had the Panthers against the Giants. I thought Baker

378
00:17:59,359 --> 00:18:01,199
Speaker 3: could handle the it's a little better than he handled

379
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Speaker 3: just organic pressure. But I mean they were they were

380
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Speaker 3: horrible against the Giants splitz in.

381
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Speaker 4: That game, Baker.

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Speaker 3: But the more important thing is, you know, on what

383
00:18:11,080 --> 00:18:12,719
Speaker 3: everyone's talking about, this Cardinal offense.

384
00:18:12,760 --> 00:18:14,000
Speaker 4: They can't score touchdowns.

385
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Speaker 3: You know, Tyler Murray's one week he's a god for

386
00:18:17,240 --> 00:18:20,000
Speaker 3: running around for twenty seconds on a two point conversion.

387
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Speaker 3: The next week he's he's back to be in like

388
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Speaker 3: call of duty, Kyler calling out his receivers.

389
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Speaker 4: I mean, it is what it is.

390
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Speaker 3: But the bottom line is you got the better quarterback

391
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Speaker 3: in this game, and for one of the few times,

392
00:18:32,440 --> 00:18:35,919
Speaker 3: you got the better coach in this game. When you're

393
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Speaker 3: back in the Cardinals. I don't believe in Matt rule

394
00:18:38,640 --> 00:18:40,520
Speaker 3: at all. But let's talk about Mayfield because I think

395
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Speaker 3: that's really the issue here, Baker Mayfield. You know, usually

396
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Speaker 3: we say, okay, pressure, that's when you bet against the

397
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Speaker 3: Cardinals fifth and pressure eight.

398
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Speaker 4: Great, they're blitzing a lot. You already saw the the.

399
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Speaker 3: That Baker's having trouble with that when when he went

400
00:18:56,240 --> 00:18:58,359
Speaker 3: against the Giants a couple of weeks ago. But I

401
00:18:58,400 --> 00:19:01,280
Speaker 3: think what's more concerning if I'm anybody that wants to

402
00:19:01,280 --> 00:19:03,679
Speaker 3: back the Panthers here, and I know, you know, some

403
00:19:03,720 --> 00:19:05,920
Speaker 3: money has come in did come in on the Panthers.

404
00:19:06,320 --> 00:19:08,119
Speaker 4: Baker Mayfield's thirty third.

405
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Speaker 3: Out of thirty four quarterbacks in on target throw percentage

406
00:19:12,000 --> 00:19:14,879
Speaker 3: from a clean pocket. So that adjusts for drops, that

407
00:19:14,960 --> 00:19:17,119
Speaker 3: adjusts for all these other silly things that could happen

408
00:19:17,280 --> 00:19:20,720
Speaker 3: that aren't the quarterback's fault. And that's a concern because

409
00:19:21,040 --> 00:19:26,320
Speaker 3: Baker's gonna struggle under pressure. Now, Baker's not making plays

410
00:19:26,680 --> 00:19:28,320
Speaker 3: when in the past he did make plays. And I

411
00:19:28,359 --> 00:19:30,199
Speaker 3: don't know if it's you know, just not having as

412
00:19:30,280 --> 00:19:32,679
Speaker 3: much time with these new receivers, But I mean, DJ

413
00:19:32,800 --> 00:19:34,440
Speaker 3: Moore is a talented guy. There's no reason he should

414
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Speaker 3: be stuck on forty three yards for a season. Hot.

415
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Speaker 3: You know, they had one, they hit one big play

416
00:19:38,480 --> 00:19:40,240
Speaker 3: to Robbie in Week one. They had one big play

417
00:19:40,240 --> 00:19:43,399
Speaker 3: to Visca last week, and you take those away and

418
00:19:43,440 --> 00:19:46,560
Speaker 3: it's even I mean, Baker Mayfield pretty much has no passing.

419
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Speaker 2: Yards this year.

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Speaker 3: So those and those big plays, you know, if you

421
00:19:50,640 --> 00:19:53,719
Speaker 3: understand football at all, you know that's unlikely to repeat.

422
00:19:54,000 --> 00:19:56,560
Speaker 3: So I think the Panthers are in major trouble. Every

423
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Speaker 3: year we hear about how their offense is not. Just

424
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Speaker 3: like last couple of years we heard it they weren't

425
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Speaker 3: practicing in the red zone.

426
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Speaker 4: So now you got.

427
00:20:05,359 --> 00:20:07,960
Speaker 3: Ben mcadu here. The team is going at a super

428
00:20:08,000 --> 00:20:11,359
Speaker 3: fast pace. Yet the Baker Mayfield's jumpy in the pocket,

429
00:20:11,720 --> 00:20:15,080
Speaker 3: he's not hitting throwsy normally hits. He's got no chemistry

430
00:20:15,359 --> 00:20:18,120
Speaker 3: with any of the starting receivers. I just think it's

431
00:20:18,119 --> 00:20:20,680
Speaker 3: a mess here in Carolina now. And now Christian McCaffrey.

432
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Speaker 3: Last week, you know, he popped up on the injury report.

433
00:20:22,760 --> 00:20:24,440
Speaker 3: Matt Rule's like, oh, yeah, I know he's fine, He's

434
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Speaker 3: good to go this week.

435
00:20:25,640 --> 00:20:27,880
Speaker 4: He's not. He was noncommittal about him playing this week.

436
00:20:27,960 --> 00:20:30,760
Speaker 3: So who knows if that's a bigger issue than it

437
00:20:30,800 --> 00:20:33,000
Speaker 3: could be if they give If they give him a

438
00:20:33,000 --> 00:20:35,680
Speaker 3: few less calories, that's even more doing them for the

439
00:20:35,720 --> 00:20:40,919
Speaker 3: Panther offense. And you know, on the other side, listen Arizona,

440
00:20:41,359 --> 00:20:43,680
Speaker 3: they started really slow in that Raider game. We saw

441
00:20:43,680 --> 00:20:45,840
Speaker 3: what they could do in the second half last week.

442
00:20:45,920 --> 00:20:48,439
Speaker 3: They just couldn't punch it in the end zone. Too

443
00:20:48,520 --> 00:20:51,000
Speaker 3: many field goals. I think that will turn around enough

444
00:20:51,359 --> 00:20:55,119
Speaker 3: to beat this Panther offense in this game. Baker Mayfield

445
00:20:55,480 --> 00:20:59,200
Speaker 3: eleven and twenty two with a push just thirty three

446
00:20:59,240 --> 00:21:02,560
Speaker 3: percent against the spread in his career as a favorite,

447
00:21:03,080 --> 00:21:05,240
Speaker 3: losing twice as much as he wins against the spread.

448
00:21:05,560 --> 00:21:09,520
Speaker 3: Matt Ruhle as a favorite, three and ten against the spread.

449
00:21:09,680 --> 00:21:12,320
Speaker 3: The Cliff Kingsbury knock them all you want. This is

450
00:21:12,359 --> 00:21:15,440
Speaker 3: the one spot where if you're backing the Cards, you

451
00:21:15,480 --> 00:21:19,160
Speaker 3: want to back them here road underdog Cliff Kingsbury fourteen

452
00:21:19,280 --> 00:21:21,679
Speaker 3: in league YEP.

453
00:21:21,800 --> 00:21:24,720
Speaker 4: Against the spread. That is immacuate.

454
00:21:24,800 --> 00:21:28,320
Speaker 3: So between Cliff and Rule, you combine the two spots,

455
00:21:28,400 --> 00:21:30,679
Speaker 3: you get a set. You got a twenty four and

456
00:21:30,760 --> 00:21:35,240
Speaker 3: six record eighty percent with Rule as a favorite, Cliff

457
00:21:35,280 --> 00:21:37,800
Speaker 3: as a road dog. So this is just the spot,

458
00:21:37,840 --> 00:21:40,119
Speaker 3: you know, a little bit of a bilo on the Cardinals.

459
00:21:40,680 --> 00:21:43,119
Speaker 3: I'm still down on the Cardinals. It looks like I was.

460
00:21:43,240 --> 00:21:45,639
Speaker 3: We were both down on the Cardinals. We were probably correct,

461
00:21:45,640 --> 00:21:48,240
Speaker 3: but it's really hard for me to get excited about

462
00:21:48,240 --> 00:21:51,200
Speaker 3: this Panther team. You know, even last week, I mean,

463
00:21:51,240 --> 00:21:54,160
Speaker 3: it was more of the Saints making blunder after blunder

464
00:21:55,119 --> 00:21:57,720
Speaker 3: on the road than it was the Panthers really winning

465
00:21:57,760 --> 00:21:58,240
Speaker 3: that game.

466
00:21:58,720 --> 00:22:00,000
Speaker 4: So give me the Cardinals.

467
00:22:01,800 --> 00:22:04,840
Speaker 2: I can't back you here, obviously with Cliff who's covered

468
00:22:04,840 --> 00:22:08,120
Speaker 2: seven straight to on the road as an underdog. There's

469
00:22:08,160 --> 00:22:10,560
Speaker 2: one thing to keep in mind here, and I hope

470
00:22:10,560 --> 00:22:13,640
Speaker 2: all of our listeners, friends and followers down in Florida

471
00:22:13,880 --> 00:22:17,600
Speaker 2: are safe with the hurricane coming. It's just some awful,

472
00:22:17,880 --> 00:22:22,080
Speaker 2: awful sits down there, but there's gonna be some weather

473
00:22:22,200 --> 00:22:26,440
Speaker 2: impact on Sunday, and Charlotte could be one of those places.

474
00:22:26,440 --> 00:22:28,080
Speaker 2: So that's something just to keep in mind. I don't

475
00:22:28,160 --> 00:22:31,320
Speaker 2: know necessarily who that would benefit. I think it probably

476
00:22:31,359 --> 00:22:34,800
Speaker 2: introduces more variants, but I am I will agree that

477
00:22:34,840 --> 00:22:37,520
Speaker 2: Baker Mayfield is taking their numbers has been horrific. Like arguably,

478
00:22:37,640 --> 00:22:40,800
Speaker 2: outside of Fields, has been the worst quarterback in the

479
00:22:40,880 --> 00:22:44,960
Speaker 2: NFL so far this season, So that's really concerning. But

480
00:22:45,080 --> 00:22:46,560
Speaker 2: on the other hand, it's like, all right, they won

481
00:22:46,600 --> 00:22:49,200
Speaker 2: a game last week and then they had two close

482
00:22:49,240 --> 00:22:52,719
Speaker 2: losses and then if you look at Arizona, it's okay.

483
00:22:52,840 --> 00:22:56,159
Speaker 2: Outside of one half, they've been the worst team in

484
00:22:56,200 --> 00:22:58,679
Speaker 2: the NFL. I mean, granted, they had injuries in Game one,

485
00:22:58,720 --> 00:23:00,600
Speaker 2: but they just got their doors blown and off. They

486
00:23:00,680 --> 00:23:03,159
Speaker 2: were dominated last week by the Rams, Rems fumbled at

487
00:23:03,160 --> 00:23:05,959
Speaker 2: the one you gotta remember too, and then they were

488
00:23:06,000 --> 00:23:09,040
Speaker 2: down three touchdowns to the Raiders. And it's not like

489
00:23:09,040 --> 00:23:11,240
Speaker 2: the Raiders have looked great. So I'm really concerned that

490
00:23:11,280 --> 00:23:14,440
Speaker 2: the Cardinals, who, by the way, part of this problem

491
00:23:14,480 --> 00:23:16,920
Speaker 2: is the coaching. I don't I tweeted this last weekend,

492
00:23:16,960 --> 00:23:18,600
Speaker 2: what the hell do they do in practice all week?

493
00:23:18,640 --> 00:23:21,800
Speaker 2: I don't know? Everyone's everyone that funny replies that they

494
00:23:21,840 --> 00:23:24,239
Speaker 2: just play call of duty, which might be true. They

495
00:23:24,240 --> 00:23:26,760
Speaker 2: don't come out with a plan or anything, but maybe

496
00:23:26,760 --> 00:23:29,040
Speaker 2: they just need to get on the road and that's

497
00:23:29,040 --> 00:23:31,919
Speaker 2: when they get focused and that's why Kingsbury has been

498
00:23:31,920 --> 00:23:34,439
Speaker 2: good in these spots. If I had to choose, I

499
00:23:34,440 --> 00:23:38,000
Speaker 2: would say that the weather will favor Carolina just because

500
00:23:38,040 --> 00:23:41,400
Speaker 2: Arizona is a West Coast indoor team. To just keep

501
00:23:41,440 --> 00:23:44,080
Speaker 2: an eye on what that weather will look like on Sunday.

502
00:23:44,200 --> 00:23:47,280
Speaker 2: But I'm not playing the Panthers. For me, this is

503
00:23:47,320 --> 00:23:47,720
Speaker 2: a pass.

504
00:23:48,400 --> 00:23:50,240
Speaker 4: Are you going reach a second? All right?

505
00:23:50,240 --> 00:23:54,080
Speaker 2: For my second pick of the week four Sunday six

506
00:23:54,160 --> 00:23:57,920
Speaker 2: pack presented by Fandle, I'm going with the Indianapolis Colts

507
00:23:57,920 --> 00:24:01,120
Speaker 2: minus three and a half at home. It's the Tennessee Titans.

508
00:24:01,960 --> 00:24:04,120
Speaker 2: This line's at three and a half at FanDuel right now.

509
00:24:04,440 --> 00:24:06,960
Speaker 2: I think that you'll be able to find the potential

510
00:24:07,000 --> 00:24:10,080
Speaker 2: three at some point if it's not out there right now.

511
00:24:10,600 --> 00:24:12,439
Speaker 2: I thought that this line was going to be higher,

512
00:24:12,600 --> 00:24:14,200
Speaker 2: and you weren't gonna be able to get a three

513
00:24:14,240 --> 00:24:17,600
Speaker 2: this week because the Colts last week beat the Chiefs

514
00:24:17,600 --> 00:24:19,400
Speaker 2: at home in an ugly game thanks to the chief

515
00:24:19,480 --> 00:24:22,400
Speaker 2: special teams, which helped us in the money line under

516
00:24:22,400 --> 00:24:25,520
Speaker 2: El Carl and us get the cover. Meanwhile, the Titans

517
00:24:25,520 --> 00:24:28,239
Speaker 2: beat the Raiders. Okay, I didn't think anything was going

518
00:24:28,280 --> 00:24:30,600
Speaker 2: to take much of that, but all of a sudden,

519
00:24:30,640 --> 00:24:34,359
Speaker 2: I'm hearing I'm hearing things like no one's rushing. They

520
00:24:34,400 --> 00:24:36,760
Speaker 2: bet the Colts here. I thought this line would be higher.

521
00:24:37,040 --> 00:24:39,080
Speaker 2: I don't understand everyone said the Titans were like a

522
00:24:39,119 --> 00:24:42,520
Speaker 2: bottom five team. Last week they beat the Raiders at home,

523
00:24:42,560 --> 00:24:45,080
Speaker 2: and now that's changed. In that game, the Raiders went

524
00:24:45,119 --> 00:24:47,159
Speaker 2: one of twelve on third down. They were in the

525
00:24:47,160 --> 00:24:51,399
Speaker 2: red zone six times and had sixteen points. The Titans

526
00:24:51,400 --> 00:24:54,080
Speaker 2: were in the redsone three times and scored three touchdowns.

527
00:24:54,520 --> 00:24:58,479
Speaker 2: Darren Waller dropped the touchdown pass that got intercepted when

528
00:24:58,520 --> 00:25:00,840
Speaker 2: the Raiders were at the three yard line, dropped it

529
00:25:00,880 --> 00:25:03,600
Speaker 2: in his hands, bounced up. The Titans also didn't get it.

530
00:25:03,720 --> 00:25:05,239
Speaker 2: If they're all that, the Raiders didn't get a two

531
00:25:05,240 --> 00:25:07,359
Speaker 2: point conversion of the tie the game the fourth overtime.

532
00:25:07,720 --> 00:25:10,080
Speaker 2: I was not impressed with the Titans at all. Steve stinks,

533
00:25:10,280 --> 00:25:12,399
Speaker 2: go look at their entire body of work. At What

534
00:25:12,400 --> 00:25:14,720
Speaker 2: this game comes down to to me is Matt Ryan

535
00:25:14,760 --> 00:25:17,440
Speaker 2: looks slow. That their offensive line has been great, but

536
00:25:17,480 --> 00:25:19,880
Speaker 2: at least they have the receivers back. Titans passing game

537
00:25:20,000 --> 00:25:21,840
Speaker 2: needs the running game, and they could do some things

538
00:25:21,880 --> 00:25:24,520
Speaker 2: in play action, but doesn't wow me at all, and

539
00:25:24,520 --> 00:25:26,840
Speaker 2: their offensive line is a mess. What this game comes

540
00:25:26,880 --> 00:25:30,280
Speaker 2: down to is two things. One, the Colts defense, by far,

541
00:25:30,280 --> 00:25:32,320
Speaker 2: will be the best unit on the field, and two,

542
00:25:32,480 --> 00:25:34,119
Speaker 2: the Colts are able to run the ball and the

543
00:25:34,160 --> 00:25:37,000
Speaker 2: Titans will not. Titans were able to have some success

544
00:25:37,040 --> 00:25:39,600
Speaker 2: running it last week against the Raiders. You could do

545
00:25:39,640 --> 00:25:41,919
Speaker 2: that against the Raiders and then that's set up some

546
00:25:41,920 --> 00:25:45,720
Speaker 2: play action things. Colts strength is their run defense by far,

547
00:25:45,760 --> 00:25:47,480
Speaker 2: and I believe Leonard be back this week. But who

548
00:25:47,480 --> 00:25:52,160
Speaker 2: knows Titans offense twenty ninth and EPA per rush Titans

549
00:25:52,640 --> 00:25:59,360
Speaker 2: defense thirtieth EPA per rush, thirty first in explosive runs allowed.

550
00:26:00,240 --> 00:26:02,400
Speaker 2: Jonathan Taylor, Jonathan is gonna have a huge day here.

551
00:26:02,640 --> 00:26:04,800
Speaker 2: The Colts defense has been great against the run and

552
00:26:04,880 --> 00:26:08,320
Speaker 2: should get their best linebacker back here. So I think

553
00:26:08,320 --> 00:26:10,240
Speaker 2: that's all what this comes down to is the Colts

554
00:26:10,280 --> 00:26:11,760
Speaker 2: defense will be the best, you know in the field.

555
00:26:12,040 --> 00:26:14,800
Speaker 2: They're at home. I think Taylor will have a much

556
00:26:14,840 --> 00:26:17,720
Speaker 2: easier time on the ground moving the ball, which will

557
00:26:17,760 --> 00:26:21,520
Speaker 2: then set up some easier plats and opportunities for Ryan

558
00:26:22,200 --> 00:26:24,880
Speaker 2: and Tannehill won't have that same luxury. I mean, look,

559
00:26:24,920 --> 00:26:27,240
Speaker 2: the Titans are one of two only two teams in

560
00:26:27,240 --> 00:26:31,000
Speaker 2: the NFL that are in the bottom ten in EPA

561
00:26:31,119 --> 00:26:33,240
Speaker 2: per drive on offense and defense. You know, the other

562
00:26:33,359 --> 00:26:36,280
Speaker 2: is the Jets. That's it, the Titans and the Jets.

563
00:26:36,520 --> 00:26:39,040
Speaker 2: The Titans are a bad football team. We've seen that.

564
00:26:39,440 --> 00:26:43,080
Speaker 2: Just because they converted a bunch of red zone opportunities

565
00:26:43,200 --> 00:26:45,840
Speaker 2: and the Raiders couldn't and the Raiders couldn't convert a

566
00:26:45,880 --> 00:26:49,880
Speaker 2: third down doesn't make the Titans automatically good. I think

567
00:26:49,880 --> 00:26:52,080
Speaker 2: that the Cults are cheap here, especially if you can

568
00:26:52,080 --> 00:26:55,520
Speaker 2: get the three. I like Indy at home to get

569
00:26:55,520 --> 00:26:56,720
Speaker 2: it done.

570
00:26:57,840 --> 00:26:59,720
Speaker 4: I just think both of these teams are trashed.

571
00:26:59,720 --> 00:26:59,960
Speaker 3: Honest.

572
00:27:01,119 --> 00:27:02,280
Speaker 4: I mean I don't.

573
00:27:02,480 --> 00:27:04,959
Speaker 3: I couldn't get there at at maybe it was two

574
00:27:05,000 --> 00:27:06,920
Speaker 3: and a half, three, three and a half.

575
00:27:07,040 --> 00:27:09,919
Speaker 4: I would rather go with the Titans. I just I

576
00:27:09,920 --> 00:27:10,720
Speaker 4: don't see the coach.

577
00:27:11,160 --> 00:27:13,320
Speaker 3: Like first, Jonathan Taylor actually missed his first practice of

578
00:27:13,320 --> 00:27:14,840
Speaker 3: his career. I think he's gonna be fine, but that

579
00:27:15,040 --> 00:27:15,600
Speaker 3: is something to mind.

580
00:27:15,880 --> 00:27:19,760
Speaker 2: They said I was listening to uh they said that

581
00:27:20,000 --> 00:27:21,440
Speaker 2: he was a sore, so they wanted to give the

582
00:27:21,560 --> 00:27:21,920
Speaker 2: day off.

583
00:27:22,160 --> 00:27:23,639
Speaker 3: Should be yeah, he should be fine, but I mean

584
00:27:23,680 --> 00:27:26,399
Speaker 3: it's it's notable. But listen the coach. I mean that

585
00:27:26,600 --> 00:27:29,040
Speaker 3: was the most undeserved cover of all time last week.

586
00:27:29,240 --> 00:27:31,919
Speaker 3: They is just the Chiefs just had a Specialties mouth

587
00:27:31,960 --> 00:27:34,359
Speaker 3: down and Travis Kelsey dropped a touchdown. I just worry

588
00:27:34,400 --> 00:27:36,320
Speaker 3: about Matt Ryan, Like I I agree. I think you know,

589
00:27:36,560 --> 00:27:39,120
Speaker 3: the running game is it favors the coach on both

590
00:27:39,160 --> 00:27:40,959
Speaker 3: sides of the ball, and that can be enough that

591
00:27:41,080 --> 00:27:42,480
Speaker 3: you know, they ended up being enough for the Browns

592
00:27:42,480 --> 00:27:45,840
Speaker 3: against Pittsburgh. It could be enough, but I mean, Matt Ryan,

593
00:27:45,880 --> 00:27:47,960
Speaker 3: it's awful. I think what it is for me is

594
00:27:47,960 --> 00:27:52,120
Speaker 3: that I just don't trust that they can separate from anybody, right,

595
00:27:52,280 --> 00:27:55,280
Speaker 3: Like it's like, yeah, the coach, they're not They're not

596
00:27:55,359 --> 00:27:57,520
Speaker 3: the weak, the week's worst team. They're gonna win some games.

597
00:27:57,520 --> 00:27:59,879
Speaker 3: They have some good players, but I don't trust it

598
00:28:00,240 --> 00:28:02,200
Speaker 3: to separate. And now you're talking about now you got

599
00:28:02,200 --> 00:28:03,720
Speaker 3: to get you know, you gotta get a touchdown and.

600
00:28:03,680 --> 00:28:05,520
Speaker 4: Hold the Titans to the field, go and win by four.

601
00:28:06,280 --> 00:28:08,720
Speaker 4: It's just a lot for me. I hope you win,

602
00:28:08,800 --> 00:28:09,680
Speaker 4: but the three.

603
00:28:09,760 --> 00:28:15,479
Speaker 2: The three is important. But I think the Titans are

604
00:28:15,520 --> 00:28:20,000
Speaker 2: a bottom six team and and the Cults are an

605
00:28:20,000 --> 00:28:24,040
Speaker 2: average team at home with advantages in the run game

606
00:28:24,080 --> 00:28:28,120
Speaker 2: on both sides, and I think they get it done.

607
00:28:29,160 --> 00:28:30,840
Speaker 4: We'll see what happens. Divisional game.

608
00:28:31,480 --> 00:28:33,680
Speaker 3: It was this matchup where it was like it would

609
00:28:33,680 --> 00:28:36,080
Speaker 3: go to overtime every time, right like last year, I

610
00:28:36,080 --> 00:28:37,679
Speaker 3: feel like you had the coast and it was just

611
00:28:37,720 --> 00:28:40,600
Speaker 3: like Carson Wentz. So hopefully Matt Ryan it doesn't isn't

612
00:28:41,120 --> 00:28:43,360
Speaker 3: doesn't pull Wentz's. He's like a different kind of bad

613
00:28:43,440 --> 00:28:44,560
Speaker 3: like some of those.

614
00:28:44,400 --> 00:28:46,280
Speaker 4: Those fumbles last week. I mean, oh my god, it's

615
00:28:46,280 --> 00:28:48,200
Speaker 4: like I could see that ship coming. It's like, Matt,

616
00:28:48,400 --> 00:28:49,600
Speaker 4: just move bro.

617
00:28:50,520 --> 00:28:54,920
Speaker 3: Shuffle step up anything anything. In his old age, it's

618
00:28:54,960 --> 00:28:56,560
Speaker 3: like he's his reaction sounds.

619
00:28:56,280 --> 00:28:58,840
Speaker 4: Is a little bit slower. I don't know. I just

620
00:28:58,840 --> 00:29:01,680
Speaker 4: worry a little bit about him. I'm but I'll be

621
00:29:01,760 --> 00:29:02,240
Speaker 4: rooting for you.

622
00:29:02,840 --> 00:29:06,320
Speaker 2: I need tailor to get Yeah, thirty touches, thirty touches

623
00:29:06,360 --> 00:29:09,000
Speaker 2: here the Titans Rundy has been bad.

624
00:29:09,440 --> 00:29:13,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, but I would go to my second pick, the

625
00:29:13,680 --> 00:29:17,760
Speaker 3: fourth overall of the week four Sunday six pack presented

626
00:29:17,800 --> 00:29:21,240
Speaker 3: by FanDuel, going with the Tampa Bay Bucks plus one

627
00:29:21,240 --> 00:29:25,440
Speaker 3: and a half in we don't know yet, maybe Minnesota.

628
00:29:26,160 --> 00:29:28,960
Speaker 3: Just our best wishes to everybody in Florida with that

629
00:29:29,000 --> 00:29:33,240
Speaker 3: whole weather situation. But you know, Bucks slight dogs here

630
00:29:33,720 --> 00:29:34,680
Speaker 3: coming off a loss.

631
00:29:35,360 --> 00:29:36,640
Speaker 4: You know, I'm going right back to him.

632
00:29:36,680 --> 00:29:38,440
Speaker 3: They didn't they didn't didn't work out last week, but

633
00:29:38,480 --> 00:29:40,480
Speaker 3: they did what I wanted them to do on defense,

634
00:29:40,520 --> 00:29:42,400
Speaker 3: you know, a little bit of a slow start, but

635
00:29:42,920 --> 00:29:45,720
Speaker 3: they hold Aaron Rodgers in that offense to no points

636
00:29:45,720 --> 00:29:49,240
Speaker 3: for you know, basically what the last seven eight drives

637
00:29:49,240 --> 00:29:52,760
Speaker 3: of the game. And I think this Chiefs offense is

638
00:29:52,760 --> 00:29:56,440
Speaker 3: still a little bit overrated compared to last year. I

639
00:29:56,480 --> 00:30:01,120
Speaker 3: think not having Tyreek obviously changes some things, and you know,

640
00:30:01,200 --> 00:30:04,000
Speaker 3: I just don't think it's like I don't think it's

641
00:30:04,040 --> 00:30:06,120
Speaker 3: even with Andy Reid and and all these guys. I

642
00:30:06,160 --> 00:30:10,480
Speaker 3: don't think this offense is like amazingly schemed either. You know,

643
00:30:10,600 --> 00:30:14,160
Speaker 3: they just kind of have Matt Patrick Mahomes and they

644
00:30:14,160 --> 00:30:15,160
Speaker 3: have a bunch of guys.

645
00:30:15,360 --> 00:30:16,560
Speaker 4: You know that he's thrown to it.

646
00:30:16,640 --> 00:30:19,200
Speaker 3: He makes great plays, and but I don't really see

647
00:30:19,200 --> 00:30:21,840
Speaker 3: any rhyme or reason to the play calling. I don't

648
00:30:21,840 --> 00:30:24,760
Speaker 3: see it as explosive without Tyreek Hill. They're not using

649
00:30:24,840 --> 00:30:28,160
Speaker 3: Valdez Scanting as a deep threat, which kind of is

650
00:30:28,160 --> 00:30:30,600
Speaker 3: a head scratcher because you would think against single high

651
00:30:30,600 --> 00:30:31,840
Speaker 3: like that would be the game he would go off

652
00:30:31,920 --> 00:30:35,240
Speaker 3: last week didn't happen. So I'm I'm just kind of

653
00:30:35,240 --> 00:30:37,440
Speaker 3: down on this Chiefs offense a little. And I'm really

654
00:30:37,520 --> 00:30:39,400
Speaker 3: high in the Bucks defense. As you can see, what

655
00:30:39,480 --> 00:30:41,680
Speaker 3: is it now, three touchdowns in three games for the

656
00:30:41,720 --> 00:30:44,960
Speaker 3: Bucks defense, So and against two, you know, two of

657
00:30:44,960 --> 00:30:46,480
Speaker 3: the offense they face are pretty good. And either in

658
00:30:46,520 --> 00:30:48,920
Speaker 3: that Saints offense, I mean, I know Jamis was dealing

659
00:30:48,960 --> 00:30:51,240
Speaker 3: with some things, that's still a pretty good Saints offense.

660
00:30:51,320 --> 00:30:54,080
Speaker 3: We talk about the receivers Jamis. I know they didn't

661
00:30:54,080 --> 00:30:57,200
Speaker 3: have Kamara, but I love the Bucks defense in this spot.

662
00:30:57,320 --> 00:30:59,080
Speaker 3: I think they can get pressure on Mahomes.

663
00:30:59,240 --> 00:30:59,960
Speaker 4: Don't think they need to.

664
00:31:00,080 --> 00:31:02,440
Speaker 3: What's to do it, but they and they probably shouldn't

665
00:31:02,480 --> 00:31:05,640
Speaker 3: because Mahomes will rip them up. But I think they

666
00:31:05,640 --> 00:31:10,560
Speaker 3: can cover Bucks. Chiefs aren't as dangerous without Tyreek. So

667
00:31:10,720 --> 00:31:14,240
Speaker 3: now you know the Bucks have one I think really

668
00:31:14,240 --> 00:31:18,320
Speaker 3: good corner. Use him on juju Uh. It's gonna be

669
00:31:18,320 --> 00:31:19,600
Speaker 3: tough for the Chiefs to move the ball. We kind

670
00:31:19,600 --> 00:31:21,160
Speaker 3: of saw that against the Chargers when the Chargers were

671
00:31:21,160 --> 00:31:23,560
Speaker 3: healthy on Thursday night, and then on the other side

672
00:31:23,600 --> 00:31:26,760
Speaker 3: it's it's kind of you know, the Bucks need somebody apparently,

673
00:31:26,800 --> 00:31:28,720
Speaker 3: you know, Russell Gage is not enough, But you're getting

674
00:31:28,760 --> 00:31:30,400
Speaker 3: Mike Evans back guaranteed this week.

675
00:31:30,640 --> 00:31:32,080
Speaker 4: I don't know what's good with Julio.

676
00:31:32,680 --> 00:31:34,240
Speaker 3: He's another one, though, he'd just be out there with

677
00:31:34,360 --> 00:31:37,080
Speaker 3: Leonard and Ronnie Stanley, like he's not a real NFL

678
00:31:37,080 --> 00:31:41,760
Speaker 3: player anymore. But I think with Mike Evans with and

679
00:31:41,800 --> 00:31:44,680
Speaker 3: then you still have you know, Gauge as a number two.

680
00:31:44,880 --> 00:31:47,200
Speaker 3: Maybe he's even pushed number three. If somebody could get healthy,

681
00:31:47,720 --> 00:31:49,520
Speaker 3: I think that'll be enough. With this running game with

682
00:31:49,600 --> 00:31:52,040
Speaker 3: four net Chiefs can't run the ball. Bucks aren't gonna

683
00:31:52,080 --> 00:31:53,800
Speaker 3: let them run the ball. I think they make the

684
00:31:53,840 --> 00:31:57,320
Speaker 3: offense one dimensional. Both of these quarterbacks obviously very good

685
00:31:57,320 --> 00:32:00,000
Speaker 3: coming off of loss. Mahomes is ten and three against

686
00:32:00,080 --> 00:32:02,800
Speaker 3: the spread. But Brady, I mean, there's really no equal,

687
00:32:02,920 --> 00:32:06,480
Speaker 3: you know, coming off in these spots. He is sixty six,

688
00:32:06,600 --> 00:32:10,120
Speaker 3: thirty six and two sixty five percent off against the

689
00:32:10,120 --> 00:32:12,960
Speaker 3: spread loss going back to three, covering by five points

690
00:32:13,000 --> 00:32:15,760
Speaker 3: a game, eleven and three seventy nine percent against the

691
00:32:15,800 --> 00:32:20,120
Speaker 3: spread with Tampa covering by seven point eight points per game.

692
00:32:20,240 --> 00:32:22,480
Speaker 3: Coming off a loss against the spread, and then coming

693
00:32:22,520 --> 00:32:25,720
Speaker 3: off a straight up loss forty three and sixteen against

694
00:32:25,720 --> 00:32:28,120
Speaker 3: the spread the next week covering by six point seven

695
00:32:28,160 --> 00:32:30,959
Speaker 3: points since two thousand and three with the Bucks uh

696
00:32:31,200 --> 00:32:33,200
Speaker 3: seven and two covering by six point eight.

697
00:32:33,280 --> 00:32:35,320
Speaker 4: So he's just a great play in the.

698
00:32:35,320 --> 00:32:38,720
Speaker 3: Spot and by the way, off a loss as a dog,

699
00:32:39,040 --> 00:32:41,960
Speaker 3: Brady ten and zero against the spread, perfect since O

700
00:32:42,080 --> 00:32:44,600
Speaker 3: three as a dog or a pick down to a

701
00:32:44,640 --> 00:32:47,360
Speaker 3: pick since two thousand and three. Any spot doesn't matter

702
00:32:47,400 --> 00:32:49,880
Speaker 3: if he's coming off the loss or what. Twenty five

703
00:32:50,040 --> 00:32:52,840
Speaker 3: nine and two seventy four percent covering the spread by

704
00:32:52,960 --> 00:32:53,960
Speaker 3: eight points per game.

705
00:32:54,320 --> 00:32:55,680
Speaker 2: And by the way, I.

706
00:32:55,600 --> 00:32:59,080
Speaker 3: Think this Bucks offense, uh, at some point is going

707
00:32:59,120 --> 00:33:01,640
Speaker 3: to have a coming out party, and it might be

708
00:33:01,680 --> 00:33:04,920
Speaker 3: this week. You know this chief defense is it's a

709
00:33:04,920 --> 00:33:06,240
Speaker 3: little more athletic, which is good.

710
00:33:06,800 --> 00:33:07,920
Speaker 4: I still don't think it's great.

711
00:33:08,320 --> 00:33:11,440
Speaker 3: I think this Bucks offense has does enough and their

712
00:33:11,480 --> 00:33:14,800
Speaker 3: defense continues to play well. So give me the Bucks

713
00:33:14,880 --> 00:33:20,360
Speaker 3: as a short dog in likely what will likely be Minnesota.

714
00:33:21,200 --> 00:33:24,040
Speaker 2: I would agree here. By the way, seventeen and one

715
00:33:24,080 --> 00:33:27,160
Speaker 2: against the spread for Brady ninety four point four percent

716
00:33:27,800 --> 00:33:31,400
Speaker 2: after a loss as an underdog or favorite of less

717
00:33:31,400 --> 00:33:34,880
Speaker 2: than a field goal, covering by fourteen points per game.

718
00:33:35,440 --> 00:33:37,720
Speaker 2: Four That so either a favorite of under a field

719
00:33:37,720 --> 00:33:40,360
Speaker 2: goal or a dog seventeen and one against the spread,

720
00:33:40,400 --> 00:33:43,200
Speaker 2: covering by two touchdowns a game. And then after a

721
00:33:43,240 --> 00:33:45,600
Speaker 2: loss as an underdog or favored of less than seven

722
00:33:45,640 --> 00:33:52,200
Speaker 2: points thirty two and six against the spread eighty four percent. Yeah,

723
00:33:52,200 --> 00:33:54,720
Speaker 2: I agree. This Chiefs offense has not looked good. They've

724
00:33:54,720 --> 00:33:58,560
Speaker 2: also played like the Chargers with Al Allen the Cardinals

725
00:33:58,880 --> 00:34:03,320
Speaker 2: practice squad, and they had like seven drop picks. So

726
00:34:03,480 --> 00:34:06,000
Speaker 2: the Chargers had in some questionable penalties like the Chargers

727
00:34:06,000 --> 00:34:08,240
Speaker 2: should have won that game. You know, you play ancient

728
00:34:08,280 --> 00:34:11,680
Speaker 2: Matt Ryan and you're we still know if there's Bucker

729
00:34:11,760 --> 00:34:13,960
Speaker 2: is going to be back, there's special teams are a mess,

730
00:34:14,000 --> 00:34:16,200
Speaker 2: and this offense is just not the same. It just

731
00:34:16,200 --> 00:34:20,239
Speaker 2: doesn't look right. And yeah, I would agree, I would

732
00:34:20,239 --> 00:34:22,240
Speaker 2: trust Brady here as a dog off of a loss

733
00:34:22,280 --> 00:34:25,279
Speaker 2: against the Chiefs. I wonder if I think are a

734
00:34:25,280 --> 00:34:26,320
Speaker 2: bit overrated in the market.

735
00:34:26,600 --> 00:34:28,759
Speaker 3: I wonder if something's going on too with Like I

736
00:34:28,760 --> 00:34:31,799
Speaker 3: wonder if there's some frustration building with Mahomes Like. I know,

737
00:34:31,960 --> 00:34:34,200
Speaker 3: you know, they're downplaying that little incident that happened at

738
00:34:34,200 --> 00:34:36,719
Speaker 3: halftime with him and the enemy. But it's still weird

739
00:34:36,719 --> 00:34:39,320
Speaker 3: for me that somebody like as self aware as Mahomes

740
00:34:39,480 --> 00:34:41,360
Speaker 3: like he knew that the media would pick up on

741
00:34:41,440 --> 00:34:44,520
Speaker 3: that if he like goes screaming to the enemy in

742
00:34:44,560 --> 00:34:46,520
Speaker 3: the middle of of you know, every camera's going to

743
00:34:46,560 --> 00:34:48,600
Speaker 3: catch that. But you know who else is it's coaching

744
00:34:48,640 --> 00:34:49,279
Speaker 3: the quarterbacks of.

745
00:34:49,280 --> 00:34:53,480
Speaker 4: The Chiefs, Matt Naggy. So we get to vetigains Matt Naggy.

746
00:34:53,560 --> 00:34:56,920
Speaker 3: Now we get to vetigas Matt Naggy with Tom Brady.

747
00:34:57,239 --> 00:35:00,960
Speaker 3: Tom Brady, right, this is amazing, Like I didn't realize

748
00:35:00,960 --> 00:35:02,880
Speaker 3: that Matt Naggy was on the Chiefs, Like it was

749
00:35:02,920 --> 00:35:04,359
Speaker 3: like a very quiet higher for them.

750
00:35:04,480 --> 00:35:06,799
Speaker 4: But yeah, Matt Naggy is back on the Chiefs.

751
00:35:06,520 --> 00:35:10,319
Speaker 3: Coaching Patrick Mahomes. So these Chiefs fades might be, uh,

752
00:35:10,520 --> 00:35:11,560
Speaker 3: might be a year long thing.

753
00:35:12,000 --> 00:35:14,640
Speaker 2: What ut Matt Moore? And now you're listening, Chiefs fades

754
00:35:14,719 --> 00:35:17,080
Speaker 2: coming in hot, and yeah, the Chiefs and that and

755
00:35:17,120 --> 00:35:20,239
Speaker 2: that and that loss of the Bengals, the playoff loss

756
00:35:20,239 --> 00:35:22,200
Speaker 2: in the second half, they were all arguing. Remember, like

757
00:35:22,239 --> 00:35:25,279
Speaker 2: all the arguing on the side, there's definitely some like

758
00:35:25,320 --> 00:35:29,880
Speaker 2: build up frustration for how teams are playing the Chiefs.

759
00:35:29,960 --> 00:35:35,239
Speaker 2: So yeah, I don't I don't hate going Tommy here with.

760
00:35:35,360 --> 00:35:37,959
Speaker 5: A thirty five to the twenty to the ten.

761
00:35:38,360 --> 00:35:44,360
Speaker 3: He's all the way home, Holy holy man, woman and

762
00:35:44,520 --> 00:35:46,320
Speaker 3: child here that put him in the aisles.

763
00:35:47,120 --> 00:35:50,000
Speaker 2: Just pour them loose from their shoes, all right. For

764
00:35:50,160 --> 00:35:55,399
Speaker 2: my third pick of the week, four Sunday six pack,

765
00:35:56,000 --> 00:36:00,160
Speaker 2: brought to you by FanDuel, I am going with the

766
00:36:00,200 --> 00:36:02,560
Speaker 2: New England Patriots plus nine and a half at the

767
00:36:02,560 --> 00:36:07,719
Speaker 2: Green Bay Packers. I literally almost slit the coin between

768
00:36:08,160 --> 00:36:10,400
Speaker 2: the Patriots and the Raiders.

769
00:36:11,760 --> 00:36:15,440
Speaker 3: Even though I liked I bet both.

770
00:36:15,440 --> 00:36:17,480
Speaker 2: We'll talk about the Raiders game later. You know, if

771
00:36:17,480 --> 00:36:20,040
Speaker 2: it was ten ten and a half, I definitely would

772
00:36:20,040 --> 00:36:21,880
Speaker 2: have went Patriots, But now that's down the nine and

773
00:36:21,920 --> 00:36:26,719
Speaker 2: a half. My deciding factor was, I'll take Belichick over

774
00:36:26,760 --> 00:36:31,680
Speaker 2: his pet in Vegas. So yeah, there's a lot of

775
00:36:31,680 --> 00:36:34,319
Speaker 2: tall Hoarriors lost eleven straight starts, but you know, he's

776
00:36:34,360 --> 00:36:36,640
Speaker 2: covered like fifty eight percent of his games. He's eight

777
00:36:36,640 --> 00:36:38,880
Speaker 2: and three against the spread and catching more than five points,

778
00:36:39,320 --> 00:36:41,439
Speaker 2: four and one when catching double digits on the road,

779
00:36:41,920 --> 00:36:45,880
Speaker 2: and Belichick's obviously elite off the loss has been his

780
00:36:46,280 --> 00:36:48,960
Speaker 2: entire career. Expect you get the max game plan herr.

781
00:36:48,960 --> 00:36:51,760
Speaker 2: He's forty eight twenty two and one, sixty nine percent

782
00:36:51,800 --> 00:36:55,359
Speaker 2: covering by about a touchdown twenty nine nine and one

783
00:36:55,360 --> 00:36:57,800
Speaker 2: against the spread on the road after a loss. Played

784
00:36:57,800 --> 00:37:02,239
Speaker 2: this angle in Week two against the Steelers. And how

785
00:37:02,239 --> 00:37:04,400
Speaker 2: about twenty five and three against the spread on the

786
00:37:04,440 --> 00:37:08,560
Speaker 2: road after a loss as a dog or favorite of

787
00:37:08,640 --> 00:37:11,920
Speaker 2: less than a touchdown, twenty five and three against the

788
00:37:11,920 --> 00:37:14,920
Speaker 2: spread after loss on the road as either an underdog

789
00:37:15,280 --> 00:37:17,080
Speaker 2: or favored of lesson a touchdown. A lot of overlap

790
00:37:17,080 --> 00:37:19,239
Speaker 2: with Brady there but he's had some success with other

791
00:37:19,320 --> 00:37:21,800
Speaker 2: quarterbacks as well. If you look at Castle, even Newton,

792
00:37:22,360 --> 00:37:26,920
Speaker 2: and Mac Jones. Bill Belichick's only been in the underdog

793
00:37:27,200 --> 00:37:29,560
Speaker 2: on a double de general once and it was with

794
00:37:29,680 --> 00:37:32,560
Speaker 2: Brian Hoyer in Kansas City in a game he did

795
00:37:32,640 --> 00:37:34,960
Speaker 2: not cover. So you know, but when I look at

796
00:37:34,960 --> 00:37:37,759
Speaker 2: this game, I don't think that this look headline was

797
00:37:37,760 --> 00:37:40,840
Speaker 2: about five. I don't think that the drop off between

798
00:37:40,880 --> 00:37:44,200
Speaker 2: Mac Jones, who's still who might play, they say is

799
00:37:44,600 --> 00:37:47,640
Speaker 2: four to five points from mac Jones to Brian Horrer,

800
00:37:47,760 --> 00:37:50,040
Speaker 2: the current version of mac Jones, because Mac Jones has

801
00:37:50,040 --> 00:37:52,560
Speaker 2: been bad, bad all year. If you look at all

802
00:37:52,560 --> 00:37:55,640
Speaker 2: of his matrics, and Brian Hoyer knows this offense inside

803
00:37:55,680 --> 00:37:59,080
Speaker 2: and out, I'm sure he's not coming into a foreign situation.

804
00:37:59,480 --> 00:38:02,200
Speaker 2: We've seen backups have a lot of success in their

805
00:38:02,200 --> 00:38:05,480
Speaker 2: first start where teams aren't that prepared for them. You

806
00:38:05,520 --> 00:38:08,319
Speaker 2: also have the Bailey Zappi factor, who I love.

807
00:38:09,280 --> 00:38:12,600
Speaker 3: Bailey Zappie I love, and.

808
00:38:12,480 --> 00:38:14,000
Speaker 2: If he has to come in late and get us

809
00:38:14,000 --> 00:38:16,759
Speaker 2: a back door, he will. But I just think this

810
00:38:16,800 --> 00:38:18,920
Speaker 2: is too high of a number to lay against Belichick

811
00:38:18,920 --> 00:38:21,759
Speaker 2: in which should be a low scoring game, considering how

812
00:38:21,760 --> 00:38:24,439
Speaker 2: the Packers' offense is playing right now. They're still trying

813
00:38:24,440 --> 00:38:26,640
Speaker 2: to figure things out. You know, backs Yard is not

814
00:38:26,640 --> 00:38:28,640
Speaker 2: all the way back. I love Romeo Dobbs, and he's

815
00:38:28,680 --> 00:38:31,200
Speaker 2: going to be their number one man. My man called it,

816
00:38:31,400 --> 00:38:34,120
Speaker 2: called it, we both called I've called that since college. Yeah,

817
00:38:34,200 --> 00:38:36,120
Speaker 2: he's going to eventually be the number. But this offense

818
00:38:36,160 --> 00:38:38,359
Speaker 2: isn't humming right now at all. They didn't they didn't

819
00:38:38,360 --> 00:38:41,040
Speaker 2: score in the second afgans the Bears. They got fourteen

820
00:38:41,080 --> 00:38:44,120
Speaker 2: points right away, great script against Tamba and then held

821
00:38:44,120 --> 00:38:46,359
Speaker 2: on to win fourteen to twelve. This offense is still

822
00:38:46,400 --> 00:38:49,239
Speaker 2: figuring itself out. I assume that you'll get a good

823
00:38:49,360 --> 00:38:51,440
Speaker 2: Patriots game planner, and then one thing with the Packers

824
00:38:51,680 --> 00:38:53,160
Speaker 2: is when they have a big lead, they tend to

825
00:38:53,200 --> 00:38:57,399
Speaker 2: play a little conservative on offense and defense. Back door

826
00:38:57,440 --> 00:38:59,520
Speaker 2: could be open here. I assume you get a max

827
00:38:59,560 --> 00:39:02,040
Speaker 2: effort for the Patriots that they're getting embarrassed last week.

828
00:39:02,280 --> 00:39:04,759
Speaker 2: You know, chance mac Jones plays Hoyer at least knows

829
00:39:04,800 --> 00:39:08,000
Speaker 2: the offense. He'll take some shots here. You hope you

830
00:39:08,000 --> 00:39:11,040
Speaker 2: know jyr Alexander's banged up to for the Packers, which

831
00:39:11,080 --> 00:39:14,440
Speaker 2: could help. You could get Bailey Zappi at some point.

832
00:39:15,120 --> 00:39:17,480
Speaker 2: All in all, especially if you can get ten, I

833
00:39:17,560 --> 00:39:20,319
Speaker 2: think this line is too high. So give me the

834
00:39:20,320 --> 00:39:22,600
Speaker 2: Pats and bill Off. A loss is a big dog.

835
00:39:22,719 --> 00:39:25,080
Speaker 3: And for this am, I wasn't at the stuck here

836
00:39:25,120 --> 00:39:27,719
Speaker 3: Darren Ravel right now, what the fuck is going on?

837
00:39:29,200 --> 00:39:32,520
Speaker 4: I think this is ridiculous. Bailly Zappi bro okay.

838
00:39:32,760 --> 00:39:34,560
Speaker 2: Oh by the way, let me let me throw one

839
00:39:34,600 --> 00:39:38,439
Speaker 2: real piece of the Nelsons out there. The Patriots, which

840
00:39:38,440 --> 00:39:40,680
Speaker 2: they didn't have against the Chiefs when they played, will

841
00:39:40,719 --> 00:39:44,560
Speaker 2: have a massive special teams edge year. Packers special teams

842
00:39:44,600 --> 00:39:48,960
Speaker 2: is still stinks, and the Pats special teams will always

843
00:39:48,960 --> 00:39:51,640
Speaker 2: be elite. By the way, Nick Folk has made fifty

844
00:39:52,080 --> 00:39:54,759
Speaker 2: four field goals from under fifty in a row. So

845
00:39:54,880 --> 00:39:56,640
Speaker 2: that's where you can get some hidden points in this

846
00:39:56,920 --> 00:39:58,759
Speaker 2: like argument. It's one of the worst special teams versus

847
00:39:58,800 --> 00:39:59,360
Speaker 2: one of the best.

848
00:39:59,719 --> 00:40:01,120
Speaker 3: Let me to you up for this, just because I

849
00:40:01,160 --> 00:40:03,400
Speaker 3: know people are gonna tweet me or a tweet us

850
00:40:03,400 --> 00:40:05,239
Speaker 3: and ask us this, what do you say to the

851
00:40:05,239 --> 00:40:08,120
Speaker 3: people that are like Rogers at Lambeau sixty six percent

852
00:40:08,400 --> 00:40:09,200
Speaker 3: against the spread.

853
00:40:09,560 --> 00:40:12,560
Speaker 2: He's eighteen and sixteen against the spread in his career

854
00:40:12,560 --> 00:40:15,239
Speaker 2: as a double digit favor. Oh, I believe all right?

855
00:40:15,239 --> 00:40:17,439
Speaker 2: At home, it's like he has the ball up seven late.

856
00:40:17,960 --> 00:40:20,720
Speaker 2: You know, with like six to go, they're gonna bleed

857
00:40:20,760 --> 00:40:22,520
Speaker 2: this all the way down. They could bleed it all

858
00:40:22,560 --> 00:40:25,000
Speaker 2: the way down. I could for every Rogers trend, I

859
00:40:25,000 --> 00:40:27,600
Speaker 2: could give you a Belichick one and don't be talking

860
00:40:27,600 --> 00:40:29,480
Speaker 2: it down because I don't know anything about quarterback. You

861
00:40:29,560 --> 00:40:32,200
Speaker 2: understand this one's for you. You know you got the

862
00:40:32,200 --> 00:40:34,920
Speaker 2: Belichick factor off the loss that the line is sitting

863
00:40:34,920 --> 00:40:37,040
Speaker 2: at nine and a half right now, So yeah, just

864
00:40:37,120 --> 00:40:39,160
Speaker 2: wait if you're out there, because it's in a dead

865
00:40:39,200 --> 00:40:41,640
Speaker 2: zone out it's not going to go to seven. So

866
00:40:41,719 --> 00:40:43,359
Speaker 2: don't like listen to this and bet it if it's

867
00:40:43,360 --> 00:40:45,360
Speaker 2: at nine and a half, wait to see if it

868
00:40:45,400 --> 00:40:48,840
Speaker 2: goes to ten, ten and a half, because it's in

869
00:40:48,880 --> 00:40:49,759
Speaker 2: a dead zone right now.

870
00:40:50,040 --> 00:40:53,520
Speaker 3: For my third pick and the sixth overall in the

871
00:40:53,560 --> 00:40:56,279
Speaker 3: week for Sunday six pack, you want to bet on

872
00:40:57,320 --> 00:41:02,120
Speaker 3: Brian Hoyer, All right, I'll go with Scrubisky Pittsburgh minus

873
00:41:02,120 --> 00:41:06,120
Speaker 3: three at home against the Jets.

874
00:41:07,160 --> 00:41:15,560
Speaker 2: It's intercepting Tripsky over the middle. Mitchelsky gets caught trying

875
00:41:15,600 --> 00:41:17,400
Speaker 2: to force something in there.

876
00:41:17,560 --> 00:41:20,759
Speaker 3: And you were laughing at me and you laughing, Hey, hey, hey,

877
00:41:21,360 --> 00:41:22,920
Speaker 3: this is what we're doing this podcast.

878
00:41:23,120 --> 00:41:24,760
Speaker 4: Like I think you said it last week, if you're.

879
00:41:24,600 --> 00:41:27,440
Speaker 3: Not uncomfortable betting on the NFL, you probably shouldn't be

880
00:41:27,480 --> 00:41:30,239
Speaker 3: doing it. This wine is three and a half. Uh,

881
00:41:30,320 --> 00:41:32,239
Speaker 3: this is another one trying to get to three. It's

882
00:41:32,640 --> 00:41:34,600
Speaker 3: depending on the book. It's kind of jumping up and down.

883
00:41:34,600 --> 00:41:38,479
Speaker 3: But I saw it go to three at a bunch

884
00:41:38,480 --> 00:41:43,160
Speaker 3: of spots when Zack Wilson was announced as a starter,

885
00:41:43,760 --> 00:41:47,040
Speaker 3: and this was music to my ears because I actually

886
00:41:47,080 --> 00:41:51,640
Speaker 3: have Joe Flacco rated above Zach Wilson, and that could change, obviously,

887
00:41:51,680 --> 00:41:54,640
Speaker 3: But I'm talking about for this specific game, Like for

888
00:41:55,080 --> 00:41:58,640
Speaker 3: Zach Wilson, who hasn't who's been banged up and hasn't

889
00:41:58,680 --> 00:42:02,239
Speaker 3: had as much practice time, you know, coming back, you know,

890
00:42:02,400 --> 00:42:08,839
Speaker 3: at first start on the road, terrible towels Steelers coming

891
00:42:08,840 --> 00:42:13,320
Speaker 3: off the loss, extra time to prepare, you know, doesn't

892
00:42:13,360 --> 00:42:15,759
Speaker 3: have chemistry with the two guys that have caught the

893
00:42:15,800 --> 00:42:19,360
Speaker 3: most balls for the Jets, which are Garrett Wilson and

894
00:42:19,440 --> 00:42:20,240
Speaker 3: Tyra Conquin.

895
00:42:21,000 --> 00:42:23,799
Speaker 4: I just don't like the spot for Zach Wilson at all.

896
00:42:24,000 --> 00:42:26,560
Speaker 3: I think that he maybe he has a brighter future

897
00:42:26,600 --> 00:42:28,560
Speaker 3: than what he showed last year, but one of the

898
00:42:28,560 --> 00:42:30,000
Speaker 3: most inaccurate quarterbacks in the league.

899
00:42:30,040 --> 00:42:32,880
Speaker 4: Last year, one of the most turnover prone quarterbacks.

900
00:42:33,239 --> 00:42:35,360
Speaker 3: Stopped turning the ball over a bit down the stretch,

901
00:42:35,440 --> 00:42:37,480
Speaker 3: but still average like one hundred and sixty yards per game.

902
00:42:37,600 --> 00:42:40,239
Speaker 3: Just he didn't trade in the turnovers and like get

903
00:42:40,440 --> 00:42:42,840
Speaker 3: like better. It's just he didn't turn the ball over anymore.

904
00:42:42,880 --> 00:42:45,239
Speaker 3: It's like it's kind of like Daniel Jones, you know,

905
00:42:45,360 --> 00:42:48,320
Speaker 3: it's like it's not really improving your team's odds of winning.

906
00:42:48,920 --> 00:42:53,000
Speaker 3: But you also got the Jets still, you know, Pittsburgh

907
00:42:53,000 --> 00:42:54,279
Speaker 3: obviously you miss TJ.

908
00:42:54,360 --> 00:42:57,120
Speaker 4: Watt. It's a big loss, no no way around it.

909
00:42:57,160 --> 00:42:59,840
Speaker 3: But the Jets offensive line is in shambles now to

910
00:43:00,000 --> 00:43:03,960
Speaker 3: apple position, George Fant is hurt, and George Fans not

911
00:43:04,080 --> 00:43:05,400
Speaker 3: that great. But I mean he was a guy that

912
00:43:05,440 --> 00:43:06,520
Speaker 3: could you know, they could put him on the lest,

913
00:43:06,560 --> 00:43:07,200
Speaker 3: they could put him.

914
00:43:07,080 --> 00:43:07,439
Speaker 2: On the right.

915
00:43:07,800 --> 00:43:09,600
Speaker 4: Now they got you know, McDermott came in for him

916
00:43:09,640 --> 00:43:10,120
Speaker 4: last week.

917
00:43:10,400 --> 00:43:13,279
Speaker 2: Their offensive line got destroyed last week.

918
00:43:13,400 --> 00:43:16,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, he like McDermott comes in for Fan right, And

919
00:43:16,680 --> 00:43:18,799
Speaker 3: again I'm not saying Fan is a world beater, but

920
00:43:18,800 --> 00:43:20,480
Speaker 3: He's been valuable to this Jets.

921
00:43:20,320 --> 00:43:22,000
Speaker 4: Team over the over the past couple of years.

922
00:43:22,080 --> 00:43:24,160
Speaker 3: Right Dayne Brown's not ready yet to come on, but

923
00:43:24,440 --> 00:43:28,240
Speaker 3: McDermott comes in for George Fan last week, twenty two snaps.

924
00:43:28,400 --> 00:43:32,080
Speaker 3: This dude allows five pressures and a sack on twenty

925
00:43:32,120 --> 00:43:33,280
Speaker 3: two snaps.

926
00:43:33,000 --> 00:43:36,120
Speaker 4: In pass protection. That is abysmal. Last year and it's

927
00:43:36,160 --> 00:43:38,239
Speaker 4: not even an outlier. Last year he played.

928
00:43:37,960 --> 00:43:40,920
Speaker 3: Seventy seven snaps in pass protection and allowed four sacks.

929
00:43:40,960 --> 00:43:42,000
Speaker 4: For Pro Football FOLKUS.

930
00:43:42,000 --> 00:43:45,799
Speaker 3: So the Jets offensive line, you know, on the road

931
00:43:45,880 --> 00:43:47,920
Speaker 3: where you know the crowd's going to be a factor,

932
00:43:48,120 --> 00:43:49,600
Speaker 3: I could see a lot of penalties.

933
00:43:49,719 --> 00:43:51,960
Speaker 4: You know, Wilson's going to be out of sync with everybody.

934
00:43:52,120 --> 00:43:57,479
Speaker 3: I could see a lot of penalties, miscommunications, turnovers, Minka

935
00:43:57,520 --> 00:43:59,480
Speaker 3: Fitzpatrick looks like he's out of the protocol. And then

936
00:43:59,600 --> 00:44:03,040
Speaker 3: practice so that he's gonna be he's gonna be working

937
00:44:03,719 --> 00:44:05,520
Speaker 3: and this steer team.

938
00:44:05,880 --> 00:44:08,799
Speaker 4: Listen. I thought true Bisky actually looked better than he's looked.

939
00:44:08,840 --> 00:44:11,200
Speaker 3: Oh yay, finally started throwing a bout of pickens outside.

940
00:44:11,719 --> 00:44:13,719
Speaker 3: So hopefully they can kind of continue that because I

941
00:44:13,760 --> 00:44:16,960
Speaker 3: think that's you know this in this game, actually you

942
00:44:17,040 --> 00:44:18,279
Speaker 3: want to throw the ball to the middle, which is

943
00:44:18,320 --> 00:44:20,960
Speaker 3: another thing that steeers haven't been doing. So hopefully we

944
00:44:21,000 --> 00:44:26,320
Speaker 3: can get some more Baby Gronk Pat Fryarmouth going. But listen,

945
00:44:26,640 --> 00:44:28,399
Speaker 3: this is Mike tom went Off. The loss is fifty

946
00:44:28,440 --> 00:44:31,800
Speaker 3: seven forty seven, thirty six against the spread. In his career,

947
00:44:32,360 --> 00:44:34,799
Speaker 3: with extra time to prepare, he is fifteen to nine

948
00:44:34,880 --> 00:44:37,880
Speaker 3: sixty percent against the spread, covering by an average of

949
00:44:37,960 --> 00:44:41,840
Speaker 3: three point six points per game. And Robert Salam, you know,

950
00:44:42,040 --> 00:44:44,560
Speaker 3: raw rod guy too, but not the same results.

951
00:44:45,120 --> 00:44:48,239
Speaker 2: It's a fine line between you know, drinking wine and

952
00:44:48,280 --> 00:44:49,240
Speaker 2: squashing greats.

953
00:44:49,640 --> 00:44:53,400
Speaker 3: Robert Salam seven and thirteen all time, regardless of the situation,

954
00:44:53,560 --> 00:44:56,440
Speaker 3: just period. In his twenty games coach seven and thirteen

955
00:44:56,440 --> 00:44:59,399
Speaker 3: against the spread thirty five percent, Jets failing to cover

956
00:44:59,440 --> 00:45:01,359
Speaker 3: by three point nine points per game over a field

957
00:45:01,400 --> 00:45:04,759
Speaker 3: goal sample size of twenty not that's not insignificant at

958
00:45:04,760 --> 00:45:07,440
Speaker 3: this point. And then Zach Wilson on the road two

959
00:45:07,480 --> 00:45:09,920
Speaker 3: and five against the spread, failing to cover.

960
00:45:09,760 --> 00:45:11,480
Speaker 4: By six point one points.

961
00:45:11,960 --> 00:45:15,120
Speaker 3: Zach Wilson has been spotting teams essentially an extra touchdown

962
00:45:15,160 --> 00:45:18,600
Speaker 3: to the spread in his road starts, and in his

963
00:45:18,719 --> 00:45:22,600
Speaker 3: career he's three and ten straight up every loss. All

964
00:45:22,600 --> 00:45:25,000
Speaker 3: ten of his losses have come by at least four points.

965
00:45:25,000 --> 00:45:27,160
Speaker 3: So you know, if you think the Steers are gonna

966
00:45:27,160 --> 00:45:29,640
Speaker 3: win this game, good chance they still cover the.

967
00:45:29,680 --> 00:45:30,759
Speaker 4: Number, even at three.

968
00:45:30,920 --> 00:45:34,640
Speaker 3: So a rare backing, a rare three point favorite here

969
00:45:35,320 --> 00:45:38,600
Speaker 3: on the pod. It's ugly, but I'm just I don't

970
00:45:38,600 --> 00:45:40,600
Speaker 3: have any confidence in Zach Wilson's first game back.

971
00:45:41,080 --> 00:45:42,759
Speaker 2: Oh I'm glad or we got back to our root.

972
00:45:42,840 --> 00:45:46,160
Speaker 2: So we our first five recommendations were Kyler, Lamar, Burrow,

973
00:45:46,239 --> 00:45:54,320
Speaker 2: Brady and Ryan. Now we went Hoyer and Trubisky, Akay Bortles, Kefer.

974
00:45:55,960 --> 00:45:59,239
Speaker 3: I's talk a couple of y'all blinking though for real, No, no, no, gosh, Well,

975
00:45:59,280 --> 00:46:00,240
Speaker 3: I'll talk to you about.

976
00:46:00,760 --> 00:46:02,880
Speaker 2: I Flacco played. I was thinking about playing the Jets

977
00:46:03,120 --> 00:46:05,759
Speaker 2: these now that it's Wilson versus Bortals, it's my two

978
00:46:05,880 --> 00:46:07,680
Speaker 2: least favorite quarterbacks in the league.

979
00:46:08,160 --> 00:46:09,719
Speaker 4: You've just been bortled.

980
00:46:10,239 --> 00:46:13,080
Speaker 2: I would lean with Steelers. That's like what my you know,

981
00:46:13,120 --> 00:46:15,360
Speaker 2: my numbers show a slight bit if I am not

982
00:46:15,400 --> 00:46:18,399
Speaker 2: betting this game, you know, for the show, I'll root

983
00:46:18,480 --> 00:46:22,040
Speaker 2: for you to cover. Part of me will root for

984
00:46:22,080 --> 00:46:24,719
Speaker 2: a tie. Since I have the Jets and Steelers win

985
00:46:24,800 --> 00:46:27,759
Speaker 2: total under so tie would be love of me. One

986
00:46:27,920 --> 00:46:29,879
Speaker 2: one other time in my life where I had two

987
00:46:29,960 --> 00:46:32,160
Speaker 2: under teams that tie, it was the Bengals and the

988
00:46:32,200 --> 00:46:35,080
Speaker 2: Eagles got into my head. I would bet the Steelers

989
00:46:35,120 --> 00:46:37,560
Speaker 2: with you, But I am not going to make our

990
00:46:37,600 --> 00:46:40,640
Speaker 2: listeners stuffer anymore about talking to this game. I hope

991
00:46:40,680 --> 00:46:45,640
Speaker 2: that the Steelers have a pick six unless you need

992
00:46:45,640 --> 00:46:47,760
Speaker 2: some fantasy points, and this got pick six to start

993
00:46:47,800 --> 00:46:51,480
Speaker 2: the game and they win seven to nothing and that

994
00:46:51,520 --> 00:46:54,959
Speaker 2: game never comes on red zone one single time.

995
00:46:56,520 --> 00:46:58,799
Speaker 4: Well, on that note, that's gonna wrap up.

996
00:46:59,400 --> 00:47:02,560
Speaker 3: Are we four Sunday six pack presented by FanDuel stut

997
00:47:02,560 --> 00:47:04,840
Speaker 3: got the Ravens plus three to Coachs minus three and

998
00:47:04,880 --> 00:47:06,920
Speaker 3: a half, the Patriots plus nine and a half. I'm

999
00:47:06,920 --> 00:47:08,799
Speaker 3: going with the Cards plus one and a half, the

1000
00:47:08,800 --> 00:47:12,320
Speaker 3: Bucks plus one and a half, and these Steelers minus three.

1001
00:47:13,200 --> 00:47:16,080
Speaker 3: Now it's time for the beefore coaches pep talk.

1002
00:47:17,000 --> 00:47:19,040
Speaker 5: We're gonna go knows to knows with him, and you're

1003
00:47:19,040 --> 00:47:21,479
Speaker 5: gonna play better than you ever dreamed of the coach

1004
00:47:21,520 --> 00:47:23,000
Speaker 5: goddamn it, that's what I.

1005
00:47:23,080 --> 00:47:23,680
Speaker 2: Demand of you.

1006
00:47:24,400 --> 00:47:27,719
Speaker 3: And this week's pep talk comes to us from American

1007
00:47:27,760 --> 00:47:34,000
Speaker 3: soccer star Alexi Lawless, and we're dedicating it to Joshua McDaniels.

1008
00:47:34,480 --> 00:47:36,120
Speaker 3: Get it together, josh.

1009
00:47:36,320 --> 00:47:38,880
Speaker 5: It's dark days indeed, but this is a time for

1010
00:47:39,000 --> 00:47:42,080
Speaker 5: leaders to step up. And so to the supposed leaders,

1011
00:47:42,120 --> 00:47:44,399
Speaker 5: I will say this, clean it up, or let's get

1012
00:47:44,400 --> 00:47:47,280
Speaker 5: someone who will. The US needs you to play better.

1013
00:47:47,480 --> 00:47:49,200
Speaker 5: Is this really as good as it gets? Because it's

1014
00:47:49,200 --> 00:47:52,200
Speaker 5: still not good enough. This is now all on you

1015
00:47:52,239 --> 00:47:53,640
Speaker 5: make us believe again.

1016
00:47:54,400 --> 00:47:57,800
Speaker 4: All right now design for our favorite total of the week.

1017
00:47:58,320 --> 00:48:01,880
Speaker 4: I am going with one of the disgusting ones.

1018
00:48:02,480 --> 00:48:04,839
Speaker 3: Gotta go Giants Bears under thirty nine and a half

1019
00:48:04,920 --> 00:48:08,600
Speaker 3: year And listen, this is These are two preseason level

1020
00:48:08,640 --> 00:48:11,120
Speaker 3: passing games. I mean, yeah, on one side you have

1021
00:48:11,200 --> 00:48:15,840
Speaker 3: Daniel Jones and your best receiver just got hurt, Stirring Shepherd.

1022
00:48:15,880 --> 00:48:17,520
Speaker 4: I hate to see it last play of the game.

1023
00:48:17,960 --> 00:48:21,280
Speaker 3: So now you're talking about some combination of David Sill's,

1024
00:48:21,400 --> 00:48:24,040
Speaker 3: Richie James. Maybe if you're lucky, you get Tony or

1025
00:48:24,040 --> 00:48:27,120
Speaker 3: Wandell Robins that are back, But those guys probably don't

1026
00:48:27,120 --> 00:48:30,440
Speaker 3: even play one hundred percent percent of the snaps combined

1027
00:48:30,480 --> 00:48:35,560
Speaker 3: between them. So this Giants passing game is in shambles

1028
00:48:35,640 --> 00:48:39,240
Speaker 3: right now. They allowed I think one of the most pressure,

1029
00:48:39,239 --> 00:48:41,440
Speaker 3: like some of the most pressure in history in that

1030
00:48:41,520 --> 00:48:46,480
Speaker 3: Cowboy game. This Bears defense has specialized in not blitzing

1031
00:48:46,920 --> 00:48:50,640
Speaker 3: and yet getting lots of pressure. So I don't like

1032
00:48:50,680 --> 00:48:54,880
Speaker 3: the matchup for this Giant's pass game. Bears are thirty

1033
00:48:54,920 --> 00:48:57,480
Speaker 3: first and blitzer rate at seven point three percent, force

1034
00:48:57,560 --> 00:48:59,600
Speaker 3: in pressure rate at thirty three point three percent, So

1035
00:48:59,640 --> 00:49:02,759
Speaker 3: they're get adding thirty three percent pressure well blitzing seven

1036
00:49:02,800 --> 00:49:03,399
Speaker 3: percent at the time.

1037
00:49:03,440 --> 00:49:06,960
Speaker 4: That's that's a week. It's gonna be. It's gonna be

1038
00:49:07,040 --> 00:49:08,040
Speaker 4: a just tough.

1039
00:49:07,880 --> 00:49:11,560
Speaker 3: For Daniel Jones when he drops back. Now, Sekwon Barkley,

1040
00:49:11,880 --> 00:49:13,239
Speaker 3: they're gonna hand the ball off to him.

1041
00:49:13,239 --> 00:49:13,479
Speaker 2: Good.

1042
00:49:13,680 --> 00:49:16,040
Speaker 3: Let the quack run because on the other side, we

1043
00:49:16,080 --> 00:49:17,920
Speaker 3: know what the Bears are going to not do, and

1044
00:49:17,960 --> 00:49:18,960
Speaker 3: that's throw the football.

1045
00:49:19,320 --> 00:49:20,160
Speaker 4: You know, this is a.

1046
00:49:20,120 --> 00:49:23,440
Speaker 3: Team that's been completing under ten passes per game. The

1047
00:49:23,480 --> 00:49:25,239
Speaker 3: Bears have had success running the ball, and so I

1048
00:49:25,280 --> 00:49:26,160
Speaker 3: expect them to.

1049
00:49:26,160 --> 00:49:28,239
Speaker 4: Keep doing that whether David Montgomery plays or not.

1050
00:49:28,320 --> 00:49:31,280
Speaker 3: Khalil Herbert's looking really good out there, but this Bears

1051
00:49:31,320 --> 00:49:34,160
Speaker 3: team is justin field.

1052
00:49:34,200 --> 00:49:36,120
Speaker 4: Is twenty three or forty five on the year.

1053
00:49:36,160 --> 00:49:37,920
Speaker 3: Not the last game, not the last two games on

1054
00:49:38,040 --> 00:49:41,520
Speaker 3: the year, he's twenty three or forty five. He's throwing

1055
00:49:41,560 --> 00:49:44,000
Speaker 3: so infrequently that you could get a turn, you can

1056
00:49:44,040 --> 00:49:46,840
Speaker 3: get a pick six here and still cover this number

1057
00:49:47,400 --> 00:49:50,279
Speaker 3: with with with the way these two offenses are kind

1058
00:49:50,280 --> 00:49:52,560
Speaker 3: of constructed right now, I think it's just gonna be

1059
00:49:52,760 --> 00:49:56,439
Speaker 3: a runoff here. And the Giants and Bears have played

1060
00:49:56,440 --> 00:50:01,920
Speaker 3: each other each of the last reces, and each of

1061
00:50:01,960 --> 00:50:04,319
Speaker 3: those last three seasons we kind of got one of

1062
00:50:04,320 --> 00:50:08,400
Speaker 3: these similarly ugly games. Ever since Daniel Jones was drafted

1063
00:50:08,760 --> 00:50:11,440
Speaker 3: last year, Giants had I think, like a third string quarterback.

1064
00:50:11,560 --> 00:50:14,359
Speaker 3: So twenty nine to three Bears total is thirty two

1065
00:50:15,200 --> 00:50:17,960
Speaker 3: combined for both of the teams. Year before that, seventeen

1066
00:50:18,000 --> 00:50:23,200
Speaker 3: thirteen Bears total closes lands at thirty and the year

1067
00:50:23,239 --> 00:50:29,479
Speaker 3: before that, nineteen fourteen Bears, the total WANs at thirty three.

1068
00:50:29,640 --> 00:50:31,799
Speaker 3: So these teams have played three times in the last

1069
00:50:31,800 --> 00:50:35,440
Speaker 3: three years and the number has never exceeded thirty three.

1070
00:50:36,080 --> 00:50:39,360
Speaker 4: It's thirty nine and a half. It is actually at forty.

1071
00:50:39,640 --> 00:50:41,160
Speaker 3: I think that they took some money on the over

1072
00:50:41,239 --> 00:50:44,400
Speaker 3: at some point and it briefly hit forty, but I

1073
00:50:44,520 --> 00:50:47,879
Speaker 3: played at thirty nine, I played down at thirty eight,

1074
00:50:48,160 --> 00:50:48,960
Speaker 3: thirty eight and a half.

1075
00:50:49,600 --> 00:50:52,080
Speaker 4: I just don't see these teams putting up points.

1076
00:50:52,840 --> 00:50:54,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean the Giants are gonna blitz a lot,

1077
00:50:55,200 --> 00:50:57,040
Speaker 2: though I would lean Giants here especially you can get

1078
00:50:57,040 --> 00:51:00,160
Speaker 2: three at some point. They're gonna blitz fields outfields. The

1079
00:51:00,200 --> 00:51:03,720
Speaker 2: pressure was horrendous last year. This year forty one percent

1080
00:51:03,719 --> 00:51:07,600
Speaker 2: adjusted completion percent instead last zero big time throws, four

1081
00:51:07,640 --> 00:51:10,399
Speaker 2: turnover worthy plays, he's yet to fit a ball into

1082
00:51:10,400 --> 00:51:12,759
Speaker 2: a tight window, and forty five and tens oh for

1083
00:51:12,760 --> 00:51:17,200
Speaker 2: forty five. He's being sacked eighteen percent of the time,

1084
00:51:17,239 --> 00:51:19,760
Speaker 2: eighteen point two percent of the time. The post merger

1085
00:51:19,800 --> 00:51:22,880
Speaker 2: record is fifteen point eight. I think that was the

1086
00:51:22,960 --> 00:51:26,680
Speaker 2: car the David Carr would just get sacked every play

1087
00:51:26,719 --> 00:51:29,799
Speaker 2: for the Texans back in two thousand and two. So yeah,

1088
00:51:29,800 --> 00:51:31,759
Speaker 2: I would agree. I think that's nothing here.

1089
00:51:32,280 --> 00:51:36,440
Speaker 3: Fields unders in his career nine and four sixty nine percent,

1090
00:51:36,880 --> 00:51:41,040
Speaker 3: Daniel Jones unders at home fifteen and six seventy one percent.

1091
00:51:41,640 --> 00:51:44,279
Speaker 3: Add it all up, you got twenty four and ten

1092
00:51:45,200 --> 00:51:47,719
Speaker 3: big big wing toward the under here. Just based on

1093
00:51:47,760 --> 00:51:49,839
Speaker 3: the trends alone. But if you watch these teams play,

1094
00:51:50,080 --> 00:51:51,799
Speaker 3: you get it, But are where you're going?

1095
00:51:51,880 --> 00:51:54,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, Yeah, I'm going to go with the Browns Falcons

1096
00:51:54,640 --> 00:51:58,520
Speaker 2: over forty eight and a half. I'm fairly confident Miles

1097
00:51:58,560 --> 00:52:01,400
Speaker 2: Garrett's going to be out. I'm fairly confident Jenavian clown

1098
00:52:01,440 --> 00:52:04,200
Speaker 2: is going to be out. I am fairly confident Joek

1099
00:52:04,400 --> 00:52:07,680
Speaker 2: is going to be out. Ward is questionable. This Browns

1100
00:52:07,680 --> 00:52:10,560
Speaker 2: defense has not been covering anyone on the back end.

1101
00:52:11,000 --> 00:52:14,160
Speaker 2: Their strength is getting pressure, and now they're star defensive

1102
00:52:14,200 --> 00:52:16,560
Speaker 2: end and their other defensive end. In my opinion, they're

1103
00:52:16,600 --> 00:52:18,560
Speaker 2: both going to be out. Falcons, by the way, we've

1104
00:52:18,560 --> 00:52:19,680
Speaker 2: talked about them a lot, I think they have a

1105
00:52:19,719 --> 00:52:24,279
Speaker 2: fringe top ten offense if everything goes right this year.

1106
00:52:24,680 --> 00:52:29,439
Speaker 2: I mean, Mariota's seventh in EPA per dropback and they're

1107
00:52:29,480 --> 00:52:33,040
Speaker 2: grading out that well even while allowing the highest pressure

1108
00:52:33,120 --> 00:52:34,920
Speaker 2: rate in the NFL, and the reason for that is

1109
00:52:35,000 --> 00:52:37,640
Speaker 2: Mariota's mobility. You probably don't have to deal with that

1110
00:52:37,719 --> 00:52:41,560
Speaker 2: much pressure this week if both Clowney and Garrett are

1111
00:52:41,600 --> 00:52:44,040
Speaker 2: out and on the other side, and you're on a

1112
00:52:44,080 --> 00:52:47,080
Speaker 2: fast track here in Atlanta. On the other side of

1113
00:52:47,120 --> 00:52:50,319
Speaker 2: the ball, Jacoby Brissett has been awesome throwing the ball.

1114
00:52:50,840 --> 00:52:53,480
Speaker 2: He's been great. And the Browns have the number one

1115
00:52:53,560 --> 00:52:58,040
Speaker 2: rush offense in the NFL, number one rush EPA per

1116
00:52:58,120 --> 00:53:00,520
Speaker 2: rush in the league, and their Falcons don't have a

1117
00:53:00,520 --> 00:53:02,400
Speaker 2: great run defense, they should be able to move the

1118
00:53:02,440 --> 00:53:04,840
Speaker 2: ball up and down the field. Here the Falcons should answer.

1119
00:53:05,640 --> 00:53:08,279
Speaker 2: I like this over. I think it'll eventually stick up

1120
00:53:08,280 --> 00:53:11,120
Speaker 2: when all these Brown defenders are ruled out, as I

1121
00:53:11,160 --> 00:53:11,920
Speaker 2: think they will be.

1122
00:53:12,880 --> 00:53:15,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, it actually hit fifty earlier in the week, and

1123
00:53:15,600 --> 00:53:18,640
Speaker 3: then it's taken back down, maybe because Garrett hasn't officially

1124
00:53:18,680 --> 00:53:20,600
Speaker 3: been ruled out yet. But yeah, I think it's one

1125
00:53:20,640 --> 00:53:21,800
Speaker 3: of those things where they just want to keep the

1126
00:53:21,840 --> 00:53:24,920
Speaker 3: Falcons on their toes, and I would expect it to

1127
00:53:24,960 --> 00:53:27,160
Speaker 3: tick back up. I would lean over to I think

1128
00:53:27,200 --> 00:53:29,880
Speaker 3: the only thing you'd be concerned about is if the Browns,

1129
00:53:30,200 --> 00:53:32,719
Speaker 3: you know, knowing they have all these injuries, just like

1130
00:53:32,920 --> 00:53:34,920
Speaker 3: and I don't it sounds crazy against the Falcons, but

1131
00:53:34,920 --> 00:53:36,480
Speaker 3: if they try to play keep away and just like

1132
00:53:36,800 --> 00:53:39,279
Speaker 3: you know, round the ball. But even even with that,

1133
00:53:39,400 --> 00:53:43,600
Speaker 3: I mean, like you said, yeah, yeah, and but I

1134
00:53:43,960 --> 00:53:46,600
Speaker 3: agree with you. I really like this Falcons offense. You

1135
00:53:46,680 --> 00:53:48,440
Speaker 3: mentioned Mariota's seventh in.

1136
00:53:48,719 --> 00:53:51,200
Speaker 2: What did you say, he was seventh in EPA for

1137
00:53:51,320 --> 00:53:51,719
Speaker 2: drop back.

1138
00:53:51,920 --> 00:53:54,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, he's also seventh in my quarterback rankings this week

1139
00:53:54,719 --> 00:53:56,279
Speaker 3: in fantasy, so we've come a long way. I think

1140
00:53:56,280 --> 00:53:59,479
Speaker 3: he was His ADP was like QB twenty eight. So yeah,

1141
00:53:59,520 --> 00:54:02,799
Speaker 3: this is more Arcus Mariota, Marcus Mariota week all day.

1142
00:54:03,400 --> 00:54:05,040
Speaker 2: Yeah. I think that there's some value in some of

1143
00:54:05,080 --> 00:54:07,400
Speaker 2: these overs. That scoring is way down. There's a good

1144
00:54:07,480 --> 00:54:10,839
Speaker 2: article but at stats by Lopez put out today talking

1145
00:54:10,880 --> 00:54:13,960
Speaker 2: about why the scoring is down, and yeah, a lot

1146
00:54:13,960 --> 00:54:17,440
Speaker 2: of it. It's all it's not penalties, it's not fumble

1147
00:54:17,560 --> 00:54:19,480
Speaker 2: up if bubbles with the goal ender up a little bit,

1148
00:54:19,719 --> 00:54:22,560
Speaker 2: it's not pace or anything. It's just the passing offenses

1149
00:54:22,600 --> 00:54:25,719
Speaker 2: are less efficient. And I think that's two things, you know,

1150
00:54:26,239 --> 00:54:28,600
Speaker 2: And we talked about this and he alluded to it

1151
00:54:28,640 --> 00:54:30,440
Speaker 2: in the article saying, you know about how teams are

1152
00:54:30,440 --> 00:54:33,480
Speaker 2: now playing much more cup too high safeties and they're

1153
00:54:33,480 --> 00:54:36,279
Speaker 2: taking away explosive plays. I think that's part of it.

1154
00:54:36,680 --> 00:54:38,320
Speaker 2: And let me just look at the difference of the

1155
00:54:38,400 --> 00:54:41,080
Speaker 2: Chiefs offense as a perfect example. But also I think

1156
00:54:41,080 --> 00:54:44,160
Speaker 2: that the inordinate amount of injuries a wide receiver and

1157
00:54:44,239 --> 00:54:47,120
Speaker 2: quarterback is also playing a part of it as well,

1158
00:54:47,480 --> 00:54:50,759
Speaker 2: but I don't think that that plays any part in

1159
00:54:50,760 --> 00:54:53,600
Speaker 2: this game. The Browns secondaries of mass. The Browncha will

1160
00:54:53,640 --> 00:54:57,200
Speaker 2: run the ball. Quarterbacks and wide receivers are healthy in

1161
00:54:57,239 --> 00:55:00,279
Speaker 2: this game, and you're on a fast track. There's some

1162
00:55:00,360 --> 00:55:02,479
Speaker 2: value in this number, all right.

1163
00:55:02,560 --> 00:55:06,000
Speaker 3: So I'm going Giants Bears under thirty nine and a half.

1164
00:55:06,239 --> 00:55:10,600
Speaker 3: Stuck is going Falcons Browns over forty eight and a half.

1165
00:55:10,640 --> 00:55:14,200
Speaker 3: Now was get into our favorite teaser.

1166
00:55:13,920 --> 00:55:14,440
Speaker 2: Of the week?

1167
00:55:15,719 --> 00:55:18,879
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, six point teasers.

1168
00:55:20,320 --> 00:55:27,320
Speaker 5: Don't change, don't tease me, try to please.

1169
00:55:32,719 --> 00:55:34,360
Speaker 4: The standard is a six point teasers.

1170
00:55:34,640 --> 00:55:37,279
Speaker 3: You can find more great content about teasers if you

1171
00:55:37,400 --> 00:55:38,640
Speaker 3: just google Stucky teasers.

1172
00:55:38,640 --> 00:55:40,560
Speaker 4: He has a lot of great content teaching you how.

1173
00:55:40,440 --> 00:55:42,759
Speaker 2: To put a new guide out today on the app

1174
00:55:42,800 --> 00:55:43,240
Speaker 2: new Teaser.

1175
00:55:43,280 --> 00:55:45,080
Speaker 4: God, there we go, Okay, there we go.

1176
00:55:45,160 --> 00:55:47,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, So check the Action Network app, follow Stucky at

1177
00:55:47,680 --> 00:55:49,600
Speaker 3: Stucky too and check his teaser.

1178
00:55:49,600 --> 00:55:51,960
Speaker 4: Guy that just dropped where you're going?

1179
00:55:52,760 --> 00:55:55,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna go Brady teasing Brady up over seven.

1180
00:55:55,760 --> 00:55:57,680
Speaker 2: By the way, he's nine and perfect nine and zer

1181
00:55:58,120 --> 00:56:00,480
Speaker 2: when teases a dog between one and three point points

1182
00:56:00,640 --> 00:56:03,680
Speaker 2: in his career. I think that game will be close.

1183
00:56:04,280 --> 00:56:06,360
Speaker 2: Lower total as well, which helps. And then I'm going

1184
00:56:06,400 --> 00:56:09,000
Speaker 2: to tease him with the Saints from two and a

1185
00:56:09,040 --> 00:56:11,719
Speaker 2: half to eight and a half. If Winston doesn't play

1186
00:56:11,840 --> 00:56:14,080
Speaker 2: dined up and it's Dalton, fine, there's going to be

1187
00:56:14,960 --> 00:56:18,440
Speaker 2: no downgrade from a spread perspective for me getting that

1188
00:56:18,520 --> 00:56:21,600
Speaker 2: over eight lower total. One thing I like about this

1189
00:56:21,680 --> 00:56:25,400
Speaker 2: game a little slept on angle is I really value

1190
00:56:25,440 --> 00:56:28,279
Speaker 2: the experience of going to London and it's just just

1191
00:56:28,280 --> 00:56:30,839
Speaker 2: such a unique thing and you got to get people acclimated.

1192
00:56:30,880 --> 00:56:33,880
Speaker 2: And I think the Saints are handling this so much better.

1193
00:56:33,920 --> 00:56:36,920
Speaker 2: They went to London on Monday, they got their Monday.

1194
00:56:37,239 --> 00:56:39,279
Speaker 2: And it's not surprising because Dennis Allen, their head coach,

1195
00:56:39,320 --> 00:56:41,480
Speaker 2: has been there in twenty seventeen as an assistant. He

1196
00:56:41,520 --> 00:56:43,640
Speaker 2: was there in twenty twelve as the Raiders head coach.

1197
00:56:43,880 --> 00:56:45,680
Speaker 2: He was there in two thousand and seven as the

1198
00:56:45,680 --> 00:56:49,600
Speaker 2: Saint's assistant again, so he's been there three times. O'Connell's

1199
00:56:49,640 --> 00:56:52,160
Speaker 2: never been to London before, not not even his assistant,

1200
00:56:52,200 --> 00:56:54,399
Speaker 2: never on a team, None of his assistants are They're

1201
00:56:54,440 --> 00:56:58,839
Speaker 2: going Friday Friday. I don't get that at all. It's

1202
00:56:58,920 --> 00:57:01,280
Speaker 2: very busy to me that you gotta get your bodies adjusted,

1203
00:57:01,320 --> 00:57:03,480
Speaker 2: and Kirk Cousins was even an interview saying like, yeah,

1204
00:57:03,480 --> 00:57:05,279
Speaker 2: we're gonna be really jet lagged and we got to

1205
00:57:05,480 --> 00:57:07,320
Speaker 2: somehow get over that. It's like we'll go earlier in

1206
00:57:07,360 --> 00:57:09,759
Speaker 2: the week. That's how you get over it. So I

1207
00:57:09,840 --> 00:57:12,760
Speaker 2: like how the Saints are preparing and handling the trip

1208
00:57:12,920 --> 00:57:15,560
Speaker 2: over but low total. I think this game should be close.

1209
00:57:16,200 --> 00:57:17,760
Speaker 2: I think the Saints bounced back here, gelt the good

1210
00:57:17,760 --> 00:57:18,440
Speaker 2: defensive effort.

1211
00:57:19,040 --> 00:57:20,560
Speaker 4: Yeah, the Saints are one on monitoring.

1212
00:57:20,680 --> 00:57:22,920
Speaker 3: I almost took them in the six pack at they

1213
00:57:22,960 --> 00:57:25,520
Speaker 3: did hit three at one point. It looks like they're

1214
00:57:25,560 --> 00:57:27,400
Speaker 3: kind of fluctuating between two and a half and three.

1215
00:57:27,880 --> 00:57:31,000
Speaker 3: But it's we record this on Wednesday, and usually I

1216
00:57:31,000 --> 00:57:33,600
Speaker 3: don't pay much mind to these Wednesday injury reports, but

1217
00:57:33,600 --> 00:57:36,040
Speaker 3: I mean it's pretty it's pretty brutal for the Saints,

1218
00:57:36,440 --> 00:57:38,960
Speaker 3: so that's something to monitor. I mean, Michael Thomas don't

1219
00:57:38,960 --> 00:57:41,040
Speaker 3: know if he's gonna play Garver's Landry don't know if

1220
00:57:41,040 --> 00:57:42,600
Speaker 3: he's gonna play Winston.

1221
00:57:42,680 --> 00:57:45,760
Speaker 5: Obviously, Yeah, just paying it was paining everywhere, so we

1222
00:57:45,800 --> 00:57:47,640
Speaker 5: got to keep all pushing through and being rezuling.

1223
00:57:47,840 --> 00:57:49,640
Speaker 3: You just got injuries all over the place for the Saints,

1224
00:57:49,960 --> 00:57:53,240
Speaker 3: but I probably will be just playing them on the spread,

1225
00:57:53,320 --> 00:57:53,640
Speaker 3: all right.

1226
00:57:53,680 --> 00:57:55,360
Speaker 4: For mine, I'm going with the.

1227
00:57:56,280 --> 00:57:58,960
Speaker 3: The Bucks teasing them to seven and a half and

1228
00:57:59,000 --> 00:58:01,880
Speaker 3: then the Broncos teasing them to eight and a half.

1229
00:58:02,040 --> 00:58:04,360
Speaker 4: And you know, I know you.

1230
00:58:04,480 --> 00:58:08,520
Speaker 3: Like the Raiders this week, but I'd be concerned about

1231
00:58:08,520 --> 00:58:09,360
Speaker 3: the Raiders, you know.

1232
00:58:09,400 --> 00:58:11,200
Speaker 4: I know. It's just like one of those.

1233
00:58:11,040 --> 00:58:13,880
Speaker 3: Spots where you know they're owing three straight up, they're

1234
00:58:13,920 --> 00:58:16,360
Speaker 3: owing three against the spread. It's like you expect them

1235
00:58:16,400 --> 00:58:20,440
Speaker 3: the bounce back. But I think McDaniel's is in trouble here.

1236
00:58:20,640 --> 00:58:23,200
Speaker 3: I just think that it's it's a it's a difficult

1237
00:58:23,200 --> 00:58:26,240
Speaker 3: adjustment for him, you know, kind of going from what

1238
00:58:26,280 --> 00:58:28,680
Speaker 3: was going on in New England where he got to

1239
00:58:28,720 --> 00:58:29,520
Speaker 3: focus on offense.

1240
00:58:29,560 --> 00:58:31,280
Speaker 4: And you see this a lot with some of these coaches.

1241
00:58:31,320 --> 00:58:34,080
Speaker 3: You know, they now he's out there, he's calling plays,

1242
00:58:34,120 --> 00:58:35,520
Speaker 3: he's he's he's.

1243
00:58:35,320 --> 00:58:36,520
Speaker 4: Got to be in control of the team.

1244
00:58:36,560 --> 00:58:38,480
Speaker 3: He's got to get them ready, because what we've seen

1245
00:58:38,520 --> 00:58:40,800
Speaker 3: out of them is like the Chargers gave him fine, whatever,

1246
00:58:41,120 --> 00:58:43,880
Speaker 3: but Game two, they get up big, they take their

1247
00:58:43,880 --> 00:58:45,640
Speaker 3: foot off the gas after halftime.

1248
00:58:46,000 --> 00:58:48,880
Speaker 4: That's on a coach to keep them motivated and then in.

1249
00:58:48,840 --> 00:58:51,240
Speaker 3: Week three, they just come out flat and it's just

1250
00:58:51,280 --> 00:58:54,520
Speaker 3: mistake after mistake. And also he's causing Derek Carr to regress,

1251
00:58:54,920 --> 00:58:57,360
Speaker 3: you know, because cars essentially just going where the retakes them.

1252
00:58:57,360 --> 00:58:59,960
Speaker 3: And now Davante Adams is not happy, so it's now now.

1253
00:59:00,000 --> 00:59:01,360
Speaker 3: I was like, what are you going to do to

1254
00:59:01,760 --> 00:59:03,640
Speaker 3: fix that? And are you going to force the ball

1255
00:59:03,680 --> 00:59:05,320
Speaker 3: to him? But this is also a week he got

1256
00:59:05,600 --> 00:59:09,160
Speaker 3: Patrick certain who could shadow Devonte, So that's not a

1257
00:59:09,160 --> 00:59:12,200
Speaker 3: great matchup. Derek Carr's you know, committing a lot of

1258
00:59:12,200 --> 00:59:15,600
Speaker 3: turnover where he throws. So I like Russell Wilson in

1259
00:59:15,600 --> 00:59:17,800
Speaker 3: this spot as a die. I think the Broncos offense

1260
00:59:17,960 --> 00:59:20,480
Speaker 3: actually is gonna have their best game in this spot

1261
00:59:21,040 --> 00:59:24,520
Speaker 3: against this Raider d I know, I know Patrick Graham.

1262
00:59:24,320 --> 00:59:25,240
Speaker 4: He's the rated recorder.

1263
00:59:25,280 --> 00:59:26,520
Speaker 2: He had a good game play.

1264
00:59:26,400 --> 00:59:29,040
Speaker 4: Against Russ with the Giants, So I.

1265
00:59:28,920 --> 00:59:30,400
Speaker 3: Think Russe is gonna be able to learn from that

1266
00:59:30,440 --> 00:59:31,960
Speaker 3: a little bit and they're gonna be able to learn

1267
00:59:31,960 --> 00:59:33,800
Speaker 3: from that. I like what the Broncos are doing, you know,

1268
00:59:33,880 --> 00:59:36,400
Speaker 3: hiring and kind of admitting with where they're going wrong.

1269
00:59:36,640 --> 00:59:38,439
Speaker 3: And I just think it was a brutal matchup last

1270
00:59:38,440 --> 00:59:41,640
Speaker 3: week for them against San Fran and people are a

1271
00:59:41,640 --> 00:59:45,280
Speaker 3: little two down on this Broncos team, So give me this,

1272
00:59:46,000 --> 00:59:47,479
Speaker 3: give me the Broncos teasing him.

1273
00:59:47,560 --> 00:59:50,040
Speaker 4: Up over eight here to eight and a half.

1274
00:59:50,280 --> 00:59:52,320
Speaker 3: Russell Wilson as an underdog in his career for what

1275
00:59:52,360 --> 00:59:55,360
Speaker 3: it's worth, twenty seven thirteen and two sixty eight percent

1276
00:59:56,240 --> 00:59:59,320
Speaker 3: and on the road he's sixty three percent. But Josh McDaniels,

1277
00:59:59,360 --> 01:00:01,160
Speaker 3: he got off to a six and oh start against

1278
01:00:01,200 --> 01:00:04,560
Speaker 3: the spread as a head coach. Since then he's seven

1279
01:00:04,560 --> 01:00:07,280
Speaker 3: and eighteen against the spread, just twenty eight percent.

1280
01:00:07,960 --> 01:00:10,919
Speaker 4: And also these this is a really interesting one too.

1281
01:00:11,320 --> 01:00:14,640
Speaker 3: I don't know exactly what it means, but when you

1282
01:00:14,720 --> 01:00:16,880
Speaker 3: have a dog that closes one and a half to

1283
01:00:16,880 --> 01:00:20,560
Speaker 3: two and a half in week four specifically, so it's

1284
01:00:20,680 --> 01:00:22,600
Speaker 3: to say beside the thirty. So it might just be nothing,

1285
01:00:22,600 --> 01:00:25,040
Speaker 3: but it did grade out as an A in bat Labs,

1286
01:00:25,040 --> 01:00:28,000
Speaker 3: so twenty three and seven against the spread one and

1287
01:00:28,000 --> 01:00:29,200
Speaker 3: a half to two and a half. So if it

1288
01:00:29,200 --> 01:00:33,320
Speaker 3: doesn't get to three seventy seven percent, so obviously you're

1289
01:00:33,360 --> 01:00:35,240
Speaker 3: teasing it up past eight. You don't really you know

1290
01:00:35,360 --> 01:00:37,720
Speaker 3: that it's kind of moot, but just makes the case

1291
01:00:37,720 --> 01:00:39,520
Speaker 3: stronger in my opinion, but yeah, I wouldn't be surprised

1292
01:00:39,520 --> 01:00:40,320
Speaker 3: the Broncos win this game.

1293
01:00:40,920 --> 01:00:42,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, I like the Raider. I mean, if you watch

1294
01:00:42,560 --> 01:00:45,040
Speaker 2: the Broncos offense, it's Iowa I have I've watched the

1295
01:00:45,120 --> 01:00:47,600
Speaker 2: Raiders too. It is the Raiders are zero and three

1296
01:00:47,960 --> 01:00:50,680
Speaker 2: and they could easily be three. And now they played

1297
01:00:50,720 --> 01:00:53,840
Speaker 2: evenly against the healthy Chargers team. They were up twenty

1298
01:00:54,080 --> 01:00:57,160
Speaker 2: up three touchdowns on your Cliff Cardinals. And then last week,

1299
01:00:57,400 --> 01:01:00,080
Speaker 2: you know, Waller drops a touchdown pass, they score six

1300
01:01:00,120 --> 01:01:01,960
Speaker 2: teen points and six red zone trips and give up

1301
01:01:02,000 --> 01:01:04,520
Speaker 2: twenty one and three and go one of twelve and

1302
01:01:04,600 --> 01:01:07,280
Speaker 2: third down. A lot of those things that I think

1303
01:01:07,360 --> 01:01:10,560
Speaker 2: is some noise, especially in the red zone, you know,

1304
01:01:10,880 --> 01:01:13,320
Speaker 2: while they're dropping some passes, so that could be three

1305
01:01:13,320 --> 01:01:15,440
Speaker 2: and oh, they could be three and oh. And the

1306
01:01:15,480 --> 01:01:20,640
Speaker 2: Broncos struggling to beat the Texans at home in Denver,

1307
01:01:20,960 --> 01:01:22,880
Speaker 2: in the altitude where they always thrive in like that

1308
01:01:22,960 --> 01:01:25,600
Speaker 2: first game, and then last week you just need I mean,

1309
01:01:25,640 --> 01:01:28,640
Speaker 2: you get eleven points. Russ isn't running. The offense is

1310
01:01:28,680 --> 01:01:32,400
Speaker 2: completely broken. I mean, it is beyond repair unless they

1311
01:01:32,480 --> 01:01:35,360
Speaker 2: let him loose. It is it's a joke. And then

1312
01:01:35,480 --> 01:01:37,520
Speaker 2: after the ganing. He's like, this is a championship performance.

1313
01:01:37,640 --> 01:01:39,880
Speaker 2: Like they do. They think that the offense is not broken.

1314
01:01:40,160 --> 01:01:42,479
Speaker 2: One of the worst offenses I've seen in my life

1315
01:01:42,520 --> 01:01:46,160
Speaker 2: watching the NFL. The biggest discrepancy in three and outs

1316
01:01:46,560 --> 01:01:49,680
Speaker 2: for a winning team in the history of the NFL.

1317
01:01:49,800 --> 01:01:51,680
Speaker 2: I think they were. They had nine more three and out.

1318
01:01:51,760 --> 01:01:54,439
Speaker 2: I mean it was embarrassing. I think the Raiders get

1319
01:01:54,440 --> 01:01:57,640
Speaker 2: it done. I think car bounces back at home and

1320
01:01:57,800 --> 01:02:02,520
Speaker 2: under three. I'll take just to win, but it's not

1321
01:02:02,840 --> 01:02:03,680
Speaker 2: in my six pack.

1322
01:02:03,840 --> 01:02:07,120
Speaker 4: Your teaser Saints plus eight and a half Bucks plus

1323
01:02:07,120 --> 01:02:07,720
Speaker 4: seven and a half.

1324
01:02:07,760 --> 01:02:10,080
Speaker 3: I got Bucks plus seven and a half, Roncos plus

1325
01:02:10,080 --> 01:02:11,560
Speaker 3: eight and a half. I do want to take a

1326
01:02:11,560 --> 01:02:13,840
Speaker 3: second for a quick announcement to any listeners who use

1327
01:02:13,880 --> 01:02:16,960
Speaker 3: the Action app. Thanks to our new partnership with Fandue,

1328
01:02:17,120 --> 01:02:20,640
Speaker 3: We've got a new technology update for all you gamblers out.

1329
01:02:20,480 --> 01:02:23,320
Speaker 4: There, and it's called Quickslip. Here's how it works.

1330
01:02:23,440 --> 01:02:25,959
Speaker 3: Let's say you've got a FanDuel account, you're any Action

1331
01:02:26,080 --> 01:02:29,120
Speaker 3: app looking for the best lines. You can use quick

1332
01:02:29,160 --> 01:02:32,320
Speaker 3: slip to go directly to FanDuel with that same pick

1333
01:02:32,400 --> 01:02:35,200
Speaker 3: already in a bet slip ready to go. It's a

1334
01:02:35,320 --> 01:02:38,280
Speaker 3: huge time saver for any action app user who bests

1335
01:02:38,280 --> 01:02:42,120
Speaker 3: with FanDuel, so be sure to check it out. Now

1336
01:02:42,200 --> 01:02:48,440
Speaker 3: it's time for the money Line Underdog parlay.

1337
01:02:47,800 --> 01:02:52,720
Speaker 1: Turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for the

1338
01:02:52,920 --> 01:02:54,200
Speaker 1: money Line parlay.

1339
01:02:55,280 --> 01:02:57,840
Speaker 4: All right, so we're two and one on the show

1340
01:02:57,920 --> 01:02:58,680
Speaker 4: with the Parways.

1341
01:02:58,720 --> 01:03:02,000
Speaker 3: You're three and oh picking straight up dogs. The only

1342
01:03:02,040 --> 01:03:03,920
Speaker 3: one I lost is the Jaguars in week one. I

1343
01:03:03,920 --> 01:03:06,280
Speaker 3: was a week early apparently on the Jaguars bandwagon.

1344
01:03:06,600 --> 01:03:07,680
Speaker 4: It's been a good year for.

1345
01:03:07,760 --> 01:03:09,520
Speaker 3: The money Line part ways, and I think we had

1346
01:03:09,520 --> 01:03:11,960
Speaker 3: a pretty good year last year, last few years.

1347
01:03:11,960 --> 01:03:13,440
Speaker 4: I don't think we've ever had a bad year, So

1348
01:03:14,160 --> 01:03:15,080
Speaker 4: just try to keep it going.

1349
01:03:15,920 --> 01:03:18,840
Speaker 2: Who you got, I'm gonna go with the team that

1350
01:03:19,080 --> 01:03:22,120
Speaker 2: beat your Jaguars. I'm gonna go with the Washington Commanders.

1351
01:03:22,640 --> 01:03:24,440
Speaker 2: By the way, everyone's like the Jaguars are the best

1352
01:03:24,480 --> 01:03:26,280
Speaker 2: team in the world now, but we'll guess who beat

1353
01:03:26,280 --> 01:03:31,320
Speaker 2: them in week one, the Commanders. This is look the Cowboys.

1354
01:03:31,320 --> 01:03:33,120
Speaker 2: I love their game plan was great last week. They

1355
01:03:33,120 --> 01:03:35,800
Speaker 2: had a little extra time to prepare. Cooper Rush looked

1356
01:03:35,800 --> 01:03:38,200
Speaker 2: good with the play action and some of the things

1357
01:03:38,200 --> 01:03:40,040
Speaker 2: that they put together. I think it was a really good,

1358
01:03:40,360 --> 01:03:43,160
Speaker 2: well done job by the Cowboys staff overall, but you

1359
01:03:43,200 --> 01:03:46,080
Speaker 2: had a short week now after a road Monday night game,

1360
01:03:46,080 --> 01:03:50,000
Speaker 2: coming home might not be as well oiled. And then

1361
01:03:50,040 --> 01:03:53,040
Speaker 2: on the other side, you of Washington, who just has

1362
01:03:53,040 --> 01:03:56,080
Speaker 2: a high errants quarterback in Carson Wentz. So I like

1363
01:03:56,720 --> 01:03:59,680
Speaker 2: him in a division game taking them as a money

1364
01:03:59,680 --> 01:04:03,440
Speaker 2: line don't Because he could throw three pick sixes. He

1365
01:04:03,480 --> 01:04:06,320
Speaker 2: also could throw three touchdowns in the first half. So

1366
01:04:06,920 --> 01:04:08,680
Speaker 2: that's a good candidate for a money line dog here

1367
01:04:08,720 --> 01:04:11,560
Speaker 2: for me, maybe Cooper Rush eventually turns into a pumpkin.

1368
01:04:12,160 --> 01:04:14,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, if you're gonna take Carson Wentz, yeah, better take

1369
01:04:14,440 --> 01:04:16,640
Speaker 3: him in this kind of spot. I probably couldn't go

1370
01:04:16,680 --> 01:04:19,200
Speaker 3: there just because of the pressure that I think Dallas

1371
01:04:19,160 --> 01:04:21,680
Speaker 3: will get. I think that I think that Carson Wentz

1372
01:04:21,760 --> 01:04:24,640
Speaker 3: is more likely than not to continue making mistakes. But

1373
01:04:25,000 --> 01:04:28,040
Speaker 3: you know, I mean, I can't hate it going against

1374
01:04:28,040 --> 01:04:31,560
Speaker 3: a backup quarterback. I'm gonna get it even uglier, So

1375
01:04:31,880 --> 01:04:34,720
Speaker 3: I can't knock it at all. Actually, because I'm gonna

1376
01:04:34,720 --> 01:04:38,960
Speaker 3: go to Houston, Texans plus one ninety four against the Chargers,

1377
01:04:39,120 --> 01:04:42,800
Speaker 3: and you know, listen, this Charger team, I mean, they,

1378
01:04:43,000 --> 01:04:44,959
Speaker 3: like you said, they did almost loose to the Raiders

1379
01:04:45,000 --> 01:04:46,280
Speaker 3: in Week one. I don't think the Raiders is as

1380
01:04:46,320 --> 01:04:49,919
Speaker 3: good as you do, but nevertheless, and then they blew

1381
01:04:49,960 --> 01:04:51,080
Speaker 3: it against the Chiefs in.

1382
01:04:51,040 --> 01:04:52,400
Speaker 4: A game that I thought they played well. But they

1383
01:04:52,440 --> 01:04:54,760
Speaker 4: played well. You know, they had Joey Bosa and they

1384
01:04:54,800 --> 01:04:55,800
Speaker 4: had jac Jackson.

1385
01:04:56,440 --> 01:05:00,360
Speaker 3: Bosa's out. I think Jackson's banged up. Well, sure he

1386
01:05:00,440 --> 01:05:04,640
Speaker 3: practiced today. You also lost your your tackle, Ray Shawn Slater.

1387
01:05:06,040 --> 01:05:08,840
Speaker 3: This is and Justin Herbert's clearing not one hundred percent either.

1388
01:05:09,400 --> 01:05:13,400
Speaker 3: So you know, this Houston team under Lovely Smith has

1389
01:05:14,080 --> 01:05:17,360
Speaker 3: upset the Chargers before. Now maybe that's the revenge spot

1390
01:05:17,360 --> 01:05:18,920
Speaker 3: and the Chargers will kind of have it circled. But

1391
01:05:19,160 --> 01:05:21,160
Speaker 3: I mean, with all everything that they that's going on

1392
01:05:21,280 --> 01:05:23,480
Speaker 3: with them, I just don't think.

1393
01:05:23,960 --> 01:05:26,000
Speaker 4: I just think that this number is is pretty big.

1394
01:05:26,040 --> 01:05:27,920
Speaker 3: But I think if the Chargers win, they probably do

1395
01:05:28,320 --> 01:05:31,240
Speaker 3: end up blowing them out. Uh. The Texans have actually

1396
01:05:31,280 --> 01:05:33,360
Speaker 3: been getting decent pressure, which is surprising.

1397
01:05:33,400 --> 01:05:35,080
Speaker 4: Without without blitzing a ton.

1398
01:05:35,840 --> 01:05:38,320
Speaker 3: They've been the Texans have just been bad rather rather

1399
01:05:38,360 --> 01:05:40,600
Speaker 3: than like league worst. And that's that's all I need

1400
01:05:40,640 --> 01:05:42,800
Speaker 3: here for a money line dog against this Charger team

1401
01:05:42,840 --> 01:05:45,160
Speaker 3: that just not not a great time of the year

1402
01:05:45,160 --> 01:05:47,680
Speaker 3: for them, not not not a great time to be uh,

1403
01:05:48,280 --> 01:05:50,080
Speaker 3: you know, for them to be trying to win games

1404
01:05:50,080 --> 01:05:50,800
Speaker 3: with all these injuries.

1405
01:05:50,840 --> 01:05:54,400
Speaker 2: Yea, injuries them and and the Chargers haven't been able

1406
01:05:54,400 --> 01:05:58,040
Speaker 2: to run the ball and the Texans rundy is so bad.

1407
01:05:58,120 --> 01:05:59,600
Speaker 2: So that helps them in this case, is that the

1408
01:05:59,640 --> 01:06:02,320
Speaker 2: Chargers haven't been able to run it and the injuries

1409
01:06:02,320 --> 01:06:04,520
Speaker 2: are just horrifying. So I don't hate it.

1410
01:06:04,760 --> 01:06:06,960
Speaker 3: Yeah maybe, I mean, you know, I don't wish this

1411
01:06:07,000 --> 01:06:08,880
Speaker 3: to happen, but you could you could see Herbert maybe

1412
01:06:08,920 --> 01:06:10,480
Speaker 3: getting pulled from the game if he takes a bad

1413
01:06:10,560 --> 01:06:13,120
Speaker 3: hit or something like that. You know, it's there's just

1414
01:06:13,160 --> 01:06:15,320
Speaker 3: a lot of uncertain Yeah, there's a lot of Yeah,

1415
01:06:15,360 --> 01:06:17,400
Speaker 3: we could be getting to Chase Daniel by the time this,

1416
01:06:17,560 --> 01:06:19,080
Speaker 3: you know, by the time some people who are listening

1417
01:06:19,080 --> 01:06:21,680
Speaker 3: to this, although Chase Daniel never plays, he's he's also

1418
01:06:21,840 --> 01:06:25,120
Speaker 3: it's him throwing balls to like to Shack Leonard. Did

1419
01:06:25,120 --> 01:06:28,640
Speaker 3: you just all practicing with Stanley protecting him and Darius

1420
01:06:28,680 --> 01:06:34,280
Speaker 3: Swayton catching passes and yeah, but yeah, so Texans plus

1421
01:06:34,320 --> 01:06:37,720
Speaker 3: one ninety four at Fandel, Commanders plus one thirty eight

1422
01:06:37,760 --> 01:06:40,919
Speaker 3: at FanDuel. If you parleym you get about a six

1423
01:06:41,200 --> 01:06:43,280
Speaker 3: x return, So one hundred you get back seven hundred,

1424
01:06:43,280 --> 01:06:44,920
Speaker 3: you get back your hundred plus six hundred, so that's

1425
01:06:44,920 --> 01:06:48,120
Speaker 3: seven hundred. Let's try to keep it going, all right,

1426
01:06:48,240 --> 01:06:50,400
Speaker 3: Let's now go to best of the rest. All right,

1427
01:06:50,400 --> 01:06:54,600
Speaker 3: we got two games. First one Seattle at Detroit. Troit

1428
01:06:54,720 --> 01:06:57,960
Speaker 3: is a four and a half point favorite at FanDuel.

1429
01:06:58,040 --> 01:07:02,440
Speaker 4: The total is forty eight and a half.

1430
01:07:02,840 --> 01:07:05,880
Speaker 3: Looks like some sharp money has come in on Seattle,

1431
01:07:06,640 --> 01:07:10,120
Speaker 3: but the books still have a bigger handle on Detroit.

1432
01:07:10,680 --> 01:07:12,080
Speaker 4: And the sharps have.

1433
01:07:12,120 --> 01:07:13,640
Speaker 3: Come in on the over and the money is on

1434
01:07:13,680 --> 01:07:15,840
Speaker 3: the over, so a lot of people liking the over.

1435
01:07:16,080 --> 01:07:19,120
Speaker 3: But we saw a reverse line move with the total

1436
01:07:19,200 --> 01:07:21,240
Speaker 3: drop because it was at fifty. So a lot of

1437
01:07:21,240 --> 01:07:24,280
Speaker 3: interesting things going on in the market. But any thoughts

1438
01:07:24,320 --> 01:07:26,000
Speaker 3: on that and just in the game in general.

1439
01:07:26,600 --> 01:07:28,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, I would look at the over here. I'm on

1440
01:07:28,400 --> 01:07:31,280
Speaker 2: Rolf Saint Brown's doing. With an injury. Swift probably won't play,

1441
01:07:31,800 --> 01:07:35,080
Speaker 2: so that's doesn't help, but the lines should move the

1442
01:07:35,120 --> 01:07:37,800
Speaker 2: ball here. Their defense is bad. The Seattle defense probably

1443
01:07:37,800 --> 01:07:39,760
Speaker 2: worst in the league, although the Jets probably have that.

1444
01:07:40,840 --> 01:07:43,600
Speaker 2: By the way, Robert slid twenty to twenty games. Has

1445
01:07:44,200 --> 01:07:46,520
Speaker 2: in the twenty games, has been in New York thirty

1446
01:07:46,560 --> 01:07:49,680
Speaker 2: second defensive EPA. The twenty games before he got there,

1447
01:07:49,800 --> 01:07:50,760
Speaker 2: Jets were twenty third.

1448
01:07:51,480 --> 01:07:55,680
Speaker 3: Are you saying we're gonna see Mitch Mahomes.

1449
01:07:54,680 --> 01:07:56,680
Speaker 4: Mich Mahomes.

1450
01:07:57,240 --> 01:08:01,160
Speaker 2: So yeah, I would look over because last week before

1451
01:08:01,200 --> 01:08:04,960
Speaker 2: the game, Carol said that they were going to push

1452
01:08:05,000 --> 01:08:07,280
Speaker 2: the ball down the field and let Gino cook. And

1453
01:08:07,320 --> 01:08:10,560
Speaker 2: they did, and he was he was throwing the ball

1454
01:08:10,640 --> 01:08:12,920
Speaker 2: and they were moving it down the field.

1455
01:08:13,320 --> 01:08:15,680
Speaker 4: They wrote me off, I ain't right back, though, that's

1456
01:08:15,680 --> 01:08:16,160
Speaker 4: the problem.

1457
01:08:16,160 --> 01:08:16,800
Speaker 2: I'm right back.

1458
01:08:16,880 --> 01:08:17,160
Speaker 4: Let's go.

1459
01:08:17,479 --> 01:08:19,800
Speaker 2: So I imagine that they would go back to that here,

1460
01:08:19,840 --> 01:08:22,439
Speaker 2: and these are two bad defenses and golf should be

1461
01:08:22,479 --> 01:08:24,320
Speaker 2: able to move the ball on a fast track. So

1462
01:08:24,880 --> 01:08:27,000
Speaker 2: some injury concerns, but I would look at the over here.

1463
01:08:27,760 --> 01:08:31,680
Speaker 3: My biggest question is do you think they give Metcalf

1464
01:08:31,760 --> 01:08:33,680
Speaker 3: the Jefferson treatment or do you think they play it

1465
01:08:33,720 --> 01:08:36,479
Speaker 3: more straight up? Because Seattle has and I know Thewan

1466
01:08:36,640 --> 01:08:38,559
Speaker 3: is a good receiver, but he's not the same kind

1467
01:08:38,600 --> 01:08:39,840
Speaker 3: of threat that Lockett is.

1468
01:08:40,080 --> 01:08:41,760
Speaker 4: So do you think they kind of do because like.

1469
01:08:41,840 --> 01:08:45,320
Speaker 3: They were doubling, they were essentially putting Okudah on Jefferson

1470
01:08:45,360 --> 01:08:47,600
Speaker 3: and giving him safety help. Do you think they do

1471
01:08:47,600 --> 01:08:49,400
Speaker 3: that to Metcalf in this game or just kind of

1472
01:08:49,400 --> 01:08:50,160
Speaker 3: play it more street.

1473
01:08:50,600 --> 01:08:52,519
Speaker 2: Yeah, I could see them repeating it because it pretty

1474
01:08:52,600 --> 01:08:53,800
Speaker 2: much worked for the most part.

1475
01:08:54,160 --> 01:08:55,120
Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't hate this.

1476
01:08:55,320 --> 01:08:57,720
Speaker 3: I don't hate it over there, I'll see, we'll see

1477
01:08:57,760 --> 01:09:02,640
Speaker 3: what happens with that. Jacksonville Billy Philly is favored by

1478
01:09:02,680 --> 01:09:04,439
Speaker 3: six and a half. The total is down to forty

1479
01:09:04,479 --> 01:09:07,559
Speaker 3: six and a half. They're more money is on the over,

1480
01:09:07,640 --> 01:09:09,880
Speaker 3: but Sharps are on the under in this one, and

1481
01:09:09,960 --> 01:09:14,160
Speaker 3: I'm guessing that has to do with some weather concerns.

1482
01:09:14,920 --> 01:09:17,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm hoping that. I hope they drive us down

1483
01:09:17,040 --> 01:09:19,200
Speaker 2: to under forty five. Then I will be on the over,

1484
01:09:19,520 --> 01:09:20,719
Speaker 2: dependent on the weather.

1485
01:09:21,000 --> 01:09:23,479
Speaker 3: The first half all over over now because you know what,

1486
01:09:23,520 --> 01:09:24,880
Speaker 3: Eagles don't score in the second half.

1487
01:09:24,880 --> 01:09:28,800
Speaker 2: Fair Yeah yeah, maybe maybe just I had this game

1488
01:09:28,880 --> 01:09:31,240
Speaker 2: circles over because I mean, the Eagles offense is real.

1489
01:09:31,600 --> 01:09:34,080
Speaker 2: The Jags defense stakes though. Like when people are saying

1490
01:09:34,080 --> 01:09:36,360
Speaker 2: the Jags defense is good, like they yes, they're like

1491
01:09:36,400 --> 01:09:38,479
Speaker 2: they're one of three teams in the top ten in

1492
01:09:38,960 --> 01:09:42,360
Speaker 2: offensive and defensive EPA. It's the Bills, Jags, and Eagles.

1493
01:09:42,920 --> 01:09:46,240
Speaker 2: But the Jags, remember they lost to the to Washington,

1494
01:09:46,240 --> 01:09:48,439
Speaker 2: who look good on offense in week one. Week two,

1495
01:09:48,560 --> 01:09:50,160
Speaker 2: you know, then they played a banged up Colts team

1496
01:09:50,160 --> 01:09:52,840
Speaker 2: without their receivers, and then they played a Chargers team

1497
01:09:52,840 --> 01:09:55,360
Speaker 2: who didn't have their receivers or with a quarterback with

1498
01:09:55,400 --> 01:09:59,160
Speaker 2: broken ribs and all their offensive linemen out. So this defense,

1499
01:09:59,360 --> 01:10:02,439
Speaker 2: the Eagle should have no problem moving the ball on

1500
01:10:02,560 --> 01:10:04,880
Speaker 2: the Jaguars. Now, what I do think is real is

1501
01:10:04,920 --> 01:10:09,400
Speaker 2: a Jaguars offense and it's looked spectacular. That's the uh

1502
01:10:09,600 --> 01:10:12,320
Speaker 2: influx of Doug Peterson in the upgrade and the coaching.

1503
01:10:12,640 --> 01:10:16,040
Speaker 2: They have been ripping apart, zones ripping apart. They're getting

1504
01:10:16,320 --> 01:10:19,280
Speaker 2: rid of the ball quick and they're just finding holes

1505
01:10:19,280 --> 01:10:23,479
Speaker 2: and zones. Trevor Larnce number one EPAP drop back against

1506
01:10:23,520 --> 01:10:25,720
Speaker 2: zones in the NFL this year. It's what Philly runs

1507
01:10:25,720 --> 01:10:27,679
Speaker 2: a lot of. Philly also gets a lot of pressure.

1508
01:10:27,720 --> 01:10:29,720
Speaker 2: You saw them sack Cartswit's a million times US here.

1509
01:10:30,040 --> 01:10:31,920
Speaker 2: Lawrence getting rid of the ball so quick, so not

1510
01:10:32,120 --> 01:10:34,920
Speaker 2: as relevan here. And the Jaguars offensive line is playing well,

1511
01:10:35,320 --> 01:10:38,519
Speaker 2: especially in past protection. So yeah, I think that boat.

1512
01:10:38,560 --> 01:10:40,599
Speaker 2: Teams can move the ball. The only concern is the weather.

1513
01:10:41,080 --> 01:10:43,519
Speaker 2: So I hope this lign total keeps coming down, keeping

1514
01:10:43,560 --> 01:10:45,160
Speaker 2: eye on the action of our gap. If it goes

1515
01:10:45,320 --> 01:10:47,160
Speaker 2: like forty five, I would love to hit you over.

1516
01:10:47,760 --> 01:10:52,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, right now as we record this possible rain and

1517
01:10:52,520 --> 01:10:54,679
Speaker 3: about fifteen mile per hour wins.

1518
01:10:54,720 --> 01:10:57,240
Speaker 2: So yeah, the wins are the what I'm most concerned with.

1519
01:10:57,880 --> 01:11:01,480
Speaker 4: All right, let's jump into our Survivor segment.

1520
01:11:04,760 --> 01:11:04,840
Speaker 2: The.

1521
01:11:07,840 --> 01:11:10,120
Speaker 1: Survivor Pool pick of the week.

1522
01:11:12,400 --> 01:11:14,480
Speaker 4: We boasted last week. I went Bengals.

1523
01:11:14,600 --> 01:11:17,800
Speaker 3: You went Vikings. Uh worried you about the Vikers though?

1524
01:11:17,840 --> 01:11:20,840
Speaker 3: That wasn't pretty. It was not pretty, man, but you oh.

1525
01:11:20,880 --> 01:11:23,800
Speaker 2: God, Dan Campbell didn't find they were like seven of eight.

1526
01:11:23,880 --> 01:11:25,800
Speaker 2: They were like seven of eight or fourth downs in

1527
01:11:25,880 --> 01:11:27,840
Speaker 2: the game. And then he doesn't go for fourth at

1528
01:11:27,840 --> 01:11:31,559
Speaker 2: the end, tries the long field goal. Dad. Hey Dan,

1529
01:11:31,600 --> 01:11:34,439
Speaker 2: if you're listening, you know your kicker is not named

1530
01:11:34,560 --> 01:11:37,040
Speaker 2: justin Tucker. Go for it.

1531
01:11:36,920 --> 01:11:38,800
Speaker 5: It doesn't matter if you have one ass cheek and

1532
01:11:38,840 --> 01:11:39,439
Speaker 5: three toes.

1533
01:11:39,520 --> 01:11:40,479
Speaker 2: I will beat your rests.

1534
01:11:40,920 --> 01:11:43,559
Speaker 4: Yeah, man, your offense is even even it was Tucker.

1535
01:11:43,880 --> 01:11:45,320
Speaker 2: You go for it the end the game?

1536
01:11:45,960 --> 01:11:48,320
Speaker 4: Yeah. They it's the them and the Falcons.

1537
01:11:48,479 --> 01:11:50,960
Speaker 3: I want like it's fitting that they had some crazy

1538
01:11:51,040 --> 01:11:54,479
Speaker 3: endings with like the what was it the Falcons giving

1539
01:11:54,479 --> 01:11:55,840
Speaker 3: away games at the end, because both of those.

1540
01:11:55,720 --> 01:11:58,040
Speaker 4: Teams just know how to lose games. But where are

1541
01:11:58,040 --> 01:11:58,599
Speaker 4: you going to seek?

1542
01:11:59,760 --> 01:12:03,559
Speaker 2: I'm going with the Cincinnati Bengals, and I know you

1543
01:12:03,640 --> 01:12:05,880
Speaker 2: used them last week. I love the spot and if

1544
01:12:05,880 --> 01:12:08,880
Speaker 2: you look, they have some a couple of easy games

1545
01:12:08,880 --> 01:12:10,559
Speaker 2: coming up. If there's some other teams that I can

1546
01:12:10,680 --> 01:12:13,439
Speaker 2: use their schedules, really, the second half of the year

1547
01:12:13,479 --> 01:12:17,519
Speaker 2: is really tough. I also want to save the Eagles.

1548
01:12:17,960 --> 01:12:19,320
Speaker 2: A lot of people might use the Eagles here, and

1549
01:12:19,360 --> 01:12:22,000
Speaker 2: the Jags are improved. There's also the weather element here.

1550
01:12:22,680 --> 01:12:26,040
Speaker 2: I also want to save the Packers for later in

1551
01:12:26,080 --> 01:12:28,479
Speaker 2: the year. I think a lot of people will use them.

1552
01:12:28,520 --> 01:12:31,439
Speaker 2: So I'm taking this from a I also consider the

1553
01:12:31,479 --> 01:12:34,719
Speaker 2: lines and if you're listening to this after Thursday, again,

1554
01:12:34,720 --> 01:12:36,120
Speaker 2: it depends on the type of pool you're in, Like

1555
01:12:36,160 --> 01:12:37,639
Speaker 2: if you're in a smaller pool and you just need

1556
01:12:37,680 --> 01:12:39,599
Speaker 2: to like, all right, someone tweeted on me, I only

1557
01:12:39,600 --> 01:12:40,840
Speaker 2: have a couple of people left in this pool. I

1558
01:12:40,880 --> 01:12:43,120
Speaker 2: just need to advance. Well, then use the Packers. You

1559
01:12:43,160 --> 01:12:45,599
Speaker 2: could also do that in a bigger pool too, But

1560
01:12:45,640 --> 01:12:48,360
Speaker 2: it depends on the size. I'm taking the route of

1561
01:12:48,360 --> 01:12:51,519
Speaker 2: all right. I like the spot for the Bengals. I

1562
01:12:51,560 --> 01:12:54,200
Speaker 2: would have used the lines, but the Lions is a

1563
01:12:54,320 --> 01:12:57,799
Speaker 2: favorite to scare me, just because you know, Dan Campbell

1564
01:12:57,800 --> 01:12:59,400
Speaker 2: also goes for a lot of fourth downs. You might

1565
01:12:59,439 --> 01:13:01,679
Speaker 2: not have Swift might not. I'm on a Ross Saint Brown.

1566
01:13:02,240 --> 01:13:04,360
Speaker 2: There could be a lot of variants in that game.

1567
01:13:04,439 --> 01:13:07,720
Speaker 2: So I'm passing in the lines, although I don't hate

1568
01:13:07,760 --> 01:13:09,280
Speaker 2: using them, like one ouse. So you're gonna use really

1569
01:13:09,280 --> 01:13:12,160
Speaker 2: feel companies and lines probably like January first and home

1570
01:13:12,200 --> 01:13:12,960
Speaker 2: against the Bears.

1571
01:13:13,520 --> 01:13:15,880
Speaker 4: That's a long way to go the division game, I mean,

1572
01:13:17,160 --> 01:13:17,920
Speaker 4: but at that.

1573
01:13:17,840 --> 01:13:20,360
Speaker 2: Point, if I make it that far, I'm gonna have

1574
01:13:20,360 --> 01:13:23,280
Speaker 2: to use the line. So yeah, they're gonna maybe have

1575
01:13:23,360 --> 01:13:26,360
Speaker 2: to win me the whole thing if I get that far.

1576
01:13:26,479 --> 01:13:29,640
Speaker 2: But yeah, I don't mind com pict the Packers or

1577
01:13:29,680 --> 01:13:33,080
Speaker 2: a safe pick. I don't mind the Eagles either. You've

1578
01:13:33,080 --> 01:13:35,120
Speaker 2: already used the Packers and you just want to advance.

1579
01:13:35,520 --> 01:13:40,000
Speaker 2: I'm gonna get a little riskier here and use the Bengals.

1580
01:13:40,439 --> 01:13:42,519
Speaker 2: I know that some people that's not an option, because

1581
01:13:42,560 --> 01:13:44,519
Speaker 2: a bunch of people used the Bengals last week, including yourself.

1582
01:13:44,560 --> 01:13:45,080
Speaker 2: So where you going?

1583
01:13:45,840 --> 01:13:47,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm just gonna go with the Packers.

1584
01:13:47,160 --> 01:13:49,360
Speaker 3: Looks like Mac Jones, I mean him and Belichick got

1585
01:13:49,400 --> 01:13:52,400
Speaker 3: some type of beef where I think he he they

1586
01:13:52,439 --> 01:13:54,639
Speaker 3: wanted to come back and he doesn't, and so they're

1587
01:13:54,680 --> 01:13:56,080
Speaker 3: kind of sniping at each other in the media. But

1588
01:13:56,080 --> 01:13:58,559
Speaker 3: I'm pretty sure Brian Hoyer is gonna start. Brian Hoyer

1589
01:13:59,280 --> 01:14:03,360
Speaker 3: is oh to eleven and his last eleven starts losing

1590
01:14:03,360 --> 01:14:06,240
Speaker 3: by a touchdown per game. So and you're going against

1591
01:14:06,240 --> 01:14:09,479
Speaker 3: the Packers and lambeo. So now hopefully they cover. Yeah,

1592
01:14:09,600 --> 01:14:11,880
Speaker 3: right exactly, So hopefully they cover. Hopefully it's a low

1593
01:14:11,880 --> 01:14:13,960
Speaker 3: scoring game, because I also am weeding toward that under.

1594
01:14:14,040 --> 01:14:17,080
Speaker 3: I haven't bet it yet obviously, but yeah, give me,

1595
01:14:17,320 --> 01:14:19,920
Speaker 3: give me the pack all right. Daddy's going to wrap

1596
01:14:19,960 --> 01:14:23,919
Speaker 3: it up for the week four Action Network Podcast presented

1597
01:14:23,920 --> 01:14:27,120
Speaker 3: by Ban Duel. As a reminder, we've got four weekly

1598
01:14:27,200 --> 01:14:30,120
Speaker 3: episodes of the Action Network Podcast dropping all season long.

1599
01:14:30,360 --> 01:14:32,400
Speaker 3: Friday morning, We've got our thirty minute NFL Best Bets

1600
01:14:32,400 --> 01:14:36,200
Speaker 3: episode with host Brendan Glasheen. You can find Stuck on

1601
01:14:36,240 --> 01:14:38,839
Speaker 3: Twitter at Stucky too. You can find me at Chris Raybond.

1602
01:14:38,840 --> 01:14:40,360
Speaker 3: You can find us at those same handles on the

1603
01:14:40,360 --> 01:14:43,439
Speaker 3: free award winning Action Network app. Be sure to check

1604
01:14:43,479 --> 01:14:46,280
Speaker 3: out actionnetwork dot com as well for all of our

1605
01:14:47,320 --> 01:14:50,920
Speaker 3: NFL betting, college football betting, all of our betting content

1606
01:14:51,000 --> 01:14:53,679
Speaker 3: fancy football content as well.

1607
01:14:54,360 --> 01:14:56,439
Speaker 4: Until next time's get this money

1608
01:15:01,600 --> 01:15:06,400
Speaker 1: Trading on the siding