WEBVTT - Nicolai Tangen

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<v Speaker 1>The largest sovereign wealth fund in the world is the

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<v Speaker 1>Sovereign Wealth Fund of Norway. It's overseen by Nikolai Tangent,

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<v Speaker 1>a former Norwegian hedge fund manager who now has a

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<v Speaker 1>chance to oversee the largest sovereign wealth fund in the

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<v Speaker 1>world by far. I had a chance in Davos to

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<v Speaker 1>sit down with Tangent to ask him what it's like

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<v Speaker 1>to be responsible for a fund that large. Tell us

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<v Speaker 1>what norgous investment management really does and what your job is.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, the job is to run the Norwegian someone Wealth

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<v Speaker 2>Fund and it has many facets. Of course, one is

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<v Speaker 2>to lead the investment activity. It is also to develop

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<v Speaker 2>the organization. There is a quite a comprehensive kind of

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<v Speaker 2>framework around. It's working with the board, the Ministry, the

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<v Speaker 2>supervisory board. There is a Council of Ethics which keeps

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<v Speaker 2>us out of ethical investments and so on. So a

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<v Speaker 2>lot of things involved in the world.

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<v Speaker 1>So every sovereign wealth fund has somebody running it, presumably,

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<v Speaker 1>but virtually no other sovereign wealth on that I'm aware of,

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<v Speaker 1>as somebody who was a superstar private sector investor, a

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<v Speaker 1>member of the Giving Pledge, and somebody who's made a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of money in the private sector. How did you

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<v Speaker 1>come to do this job and leave your job running

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<v Speaker 1>a very successful hedge fund.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, that's interesting. So I had been running this company

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<v Speaker 2>called Ako Capital for fifteen years and I thought, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>what kind of the learning is plateauing, and I need

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<v Speaker 2>to move on in life and do some other things.

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<v Speaker 2>So I actually was starting to apply to go back

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<v Speaker 2>to university and then this job came up, and I thought, wow,

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<v Speaker 2>it combines as management, it combines you know, developing an organization,

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<v Speaker 2>and also to do something good for the country. So

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<v Speaker 2>he was just perfect.

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<v Speaker 1>So where did Norway get all of this money? I

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<v Speaker 1>mean one point seven trillion dollars is a lot of money.

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<v Speaker 1>Where did you get all this money?

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<v Speaker 2>Well, you know, we'd been drilling on the Norwegian shelf

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<v Speaker 2>for a long time and and actually this was in

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<v Speaker 2>sixty nine in the in the autumn, like a cold

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<v Speaker 2>day like today, and they were they were on the

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<v Speaker 2>last well. And this was Phillips operating a platform called

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<v Speaker 2>Ocean Viking. And then two o'clock in the morning, this

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<v Speaker 2>platform chief was told to wake up, you know, the

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<v Speaker 2>guy in charge, and he's just like, hey, why do

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<v Speaker 2>you wake me up? At two in the morning. It

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<v Speaker 2>was just like you know what, we found some white

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<v Speaker 2>and it was the biggest fine the world had ever

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<v Speaker 2>seen off shore. And then this was announced in the

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<v Speaker 2>Norwegian population on the day before Christmas Eve sixty nine,

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<v Speaker 2>and so that's that's where it started.

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<v Speaker 1>So if Leif Erickson had not gone to North America

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<v Speaker 1>and just stayed in Norway, it would have been better

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<v Speaker 1>for Norway, right, because he could have discovered the oil

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<v Speaker 1>there and not have gone to look for riches in

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<v Speaker 1>North America.

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<v Speaker 2>Could be KULDB.

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<v Speaker 1>So let's talk about the current investment environment. As we

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<v Speaker 1>talked today, President Trump has been inaugurated in the United States.

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<v Speaker 1>Are you worried about some of the America first policies

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<v Speaker 1>that he has said he's going to pursue, or as

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<v Speaker 1>in a global investment manager, doesn't really make a.

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<v Speaker 2>Difference to you, Well, it's a complex question because we

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<v Speaker 2>are a global investor, right. So if we then first

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<v Speaker 2>disregard all types of policies which can impact society and

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<v Speaker 2>just look at it from a pure financial point of view,

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<v Speaker 2>I think in the short term it'd be really good

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<v Speaker 2>for our companies in America. There'd be less regulation, there'll

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<v Speaker 2>be more more growth, so that's positive. Now, of course,

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<v Speaker 2>if there are a lots of tariffs or European companies

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<v Speaker 2>will be hit by it, so that'd be negative. And

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<v Speaker 2>then of course also there is a big question whether

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<v Speaker 2>the policies will be information area, which would be bad

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<v Speaker 2>news in the longer term.

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<v Speaker 1>So let's talk for a moment about enorgious investment management.

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<v Speaker 1>When was it actually set up? That oil was discovered

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<v Speaker 1>in what nineteen sixty nine? All right, so when was

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<v Speaker 1>this organization set up?

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<v Speaker 2>It was set up in ninety six and the first

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<v Speaker 2>deposit there was like two billion in Norwegian growner. It's

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<v Speaker 2>grown to twenty thousand billion, so good growth.

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<v Speaker 1>So now the money that comes in from the oil

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<v Speaker 1>and you invested, does that money go to every citizen

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<v Speaker 1>in Norway every year or does it just stay in

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<v Speaker 1>the central reserve for the use of the government.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, I would say that a couple of clever things

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<v Speaker 2>that the politicians did at the time. They also established

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<v Speaker 2>what is called the spending rule, so you can only

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<v Speaker 2>spend three percent of the fund every year, and three

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<v Speaker 2>percent of the fund goes into the budget. Now the

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<v Speaker 2>fund is now so large that it accounts for twenty

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<v Speaker 2>five percent or between twenty and twenty five percent of

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<v Speaker 2>the state budget. But I think it's very good to

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<v Speaker 2>have that rule in.

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<v Speaker 1>Place, right, So twenty five percent of a government's budget

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<v Speaker 1>comes from what you do every year.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and my seven hundred colleagues.

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<v Speaker 1>How many people actually work for you? Yeah?

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<v Speaker 2>Well, so we got roughly seven hundred we have. We

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<v Speaker 2>got one hundred in New York and fourteen London, we

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<v Speaker 2>got fourteen Singapore and the rest would be in Oslo.

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<v Speaker 1>So the people pay an enormous amount of attention to

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<v Speaker 1>your investment success. Does everybody in Norway look every day

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<v Speaker 1>in the newspapers and see how you're doing, because that

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<v Speaker 1>will affect Norway's government.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, not only every day, we have it on a website.

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<v Speaker 2>We have a ticker which shows the real value of

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<v Speaker 2>the fund at all times, and it's updated thirteen times

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<v Speaker 2>every second.

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<v Speaker 1>So that's a lot of pressure every hour on people

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<v Speaker 1>attention to what you're doing.

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<v Speaker 2>Absolutely.

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<v Speaker 1>So your job, though, is to oversee several hundred people

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<v Speaker 1>making investment decisions. Do they come to you if it's

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<v Speaker 1>a really big investment decision and say we're going to

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<v Speaker 1>put one hundred million dollars in something, or is it

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<v Speaker 1>you're just doing strategic things and you're not making individual

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<v Speaker 1>investment decisions.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, it's since it's such a large funt, you need

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<v Speaker 2>to be pretty index there in what you're doing. And

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<v Speaker 2>we have a very good investment mandate which we get

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<v Speaker 2>from the Ministry of Finance, and then we follow that

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<v Speaker 2>and then we have decentralized the various investment mandates within

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<v Speaker 2>the firm.

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<v Speaker 1>So do people in Norway or the government criticize you

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<v Speaker 1>saying you bought too much apple stock, or you didn't

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<v Speaker 1>buy enough apple stock, or you don't get those kind

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<v Speaker 1>of criticisms.

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<v Speaker 2>That's exactly right. So we always make mistakes, and that's

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<v Speaker 2>always in the papers because either either you have too

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<v Speaker 2>much or you have too little, or you know, when

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<v Speaker 2>you own a bit of nine thousand companies across the world,

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<v Speaker 2>there is always something going wrong somewhere and we always

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<v Speaker 2>own it, and so we are always criticizing.

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<v Speaker 1>So today, if I was looking for some good investment ideas,

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<v Speaker 1>Let's suppose somebody's watching and say, what is the largest

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<v Speaker 1>sovereign wealth fund in the world, thinking is a good idea?

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<v Speaker 1>What would you say A couple of good ideas?

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<v Speaker 2>No, I think if you're a long term investlerg we

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<v Speaker 2>are you want to be widely diversified across as a classes,

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<v Speaker 2>across geographies. It's very very tough to do this tactical

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<v Speaker 2>asset education. I think that's nearly impossible. The best thing

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<v Speaker 2>to do is always to do the opposite of everybody else.

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<v Speaker 2>And what would that be today? Well, if you were

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<v Speaker 2>to do the opposite of everybody else, you'd be to

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<v Speaker 2>sell the US tech stocks, you know, buy China, sell

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<v Speaker 2>private credit, you know, just buy stuff which is out

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<v Speaker 2>of fashion. But it's very, very tough to do because

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<v Speaker 2>if you are contrariant and you are different from your

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<v Speaker 2>benchmarks and so on, there will be periods where you

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<v Speaker 2>end up performing and everybody is going to question your sanity.

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<v Speaker 1>What about artificial intelligence? Is that a good area and invest

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<v Speaker 1>in that? Oh?

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<v Speaker 2>It has been fantastic and we have made a lot

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<v Speaker 2>of money for the fund.

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<v Speaker 1>You know.

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<v Speaker 2>The biggest contributors so the last few years have of

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<v Speaker 2>course been the big American AI companies. And I pulled

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<v Speaker 2>people in ORGUS just before Christmas when I ask them

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<v Speaker 2>how much more efficient are you now because of the

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<v Speaker 2>new tools, and on average people thought they were fifteen

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<v Speaker 2>percent more efficient really good.

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<v Speaker 1>So in Vidio is still a good stock to buy.

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<v Speaker 2>Well that I don't know, but.

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<v Speaker 1>For sure they make good products. When you look at

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<v Speaker 1>your investment team, did they come in every week and

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<v Speaker 1>say here's some ideas we have and do you tell

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<v Speaker 1>them yes, no, yes, no? Or you just listen to

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<v Speaker 1>what they recommend?

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<v Speaker 2>Well, they would decide, I think, you know, in order

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<v Speaker 2>to really judge how they're doing, they need to be

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<v Speaker 2>toky accountable and you can't interfere in the investment process.

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<v Speaker 2>So I don't interfere in the investment process.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, as we talk today in the United States, at

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<v Speaker 1>least ESG and DEI seem to be in less favor

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<v Speaker 1>than they were maybe two or three years ago. Is

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<v Speaker 1>that the case in Norway? No, So you don't really

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<v Speaker 1>care what the US is doing in this regard.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, there is clearly a backlash against ESG right, but

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<v Speaker 2>the policies we have they are anchored in the Parliament

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<v Speaker 2>and so we have not changing. In one mind, we

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<v Speaker 2>think it's important with client reporting, We think diversity is

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<v Speaker 2>good and so on.

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<v Speaker 1>In most Scandinavian countries, and I think certainly in Norway

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<v Speaker 1>there's concerned about climate change and there's a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>interest in renewable energy, but you make your money from

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<v Speaker 1>non renewable energy. So is there an incongruity when you're

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<v Speaker 1>making all this money from carbon carbonized kind of chemicals

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<v Speaker 1>and fuels, but you really don't believe in that to

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<v Speaker 1>some extent, How do you square that?

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<v Speaker 2>Well, we believe in it, and we do think that

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<v Speaker 2>in particular, the gas that Norway produces, which is very

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<v Speaker 2>high proportional of the gas supply in Europe, is very

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<v Speaker 2>important and it continues to be a big part of

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<v Speaker 2>the energy supply and and important for security for many

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<v Speaker 2>many years to come.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's talk about your own background. You weren't just working

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<v Speaker 1>your way up in the government of nord just investment management.

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<v Speaker 1>You were very successful, as I said earlier, in the

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<v Speaker 1>private sector. Where were you born.

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<v Speaker 2>I was born in a small town in southern Norway,

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<v Speaker 2>Christiansand which not many people have heard about.

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<v Speaker 1>And were your parents' investment managers?

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<v Speaker 2>No, my mother worked in the public sector with museums

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<v Speaker 2>and art and my father was an entrepreneur.

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<v Speaker 1>Where did you go to school?

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<v Speaker 2>I started off in Norway. I studied Russian in the

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<v Speaker 2>Intelligence service. I went to Wharton, did business undergrad and

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<v Speaker 2>then I have done some degrees afterwards. I've done one

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<v Speaker 2>in art history and one in social psychology.

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<v Speaker 1>Is it unusual for somebody in Norway to go to

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<v Speaker 1>college at Wharton School in Philadelphia?

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<v Speaker 2>It's great school, but it's pretty pretty It's not so common.

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<v Speaker 1>So when you went to Wharton and you said you're

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<v Speaker 1>from Norway, to people in Wharton say where is that?

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<v Speaker 2>Or yeah, of course?

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<v Speaker 1>And did they make fun of Norway? Did they say

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<v Speaker 1>you were a Viking or something like that? Yeah, okay,

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<v Speaker 1>well I was okay, okay. So you graduate from Wharton

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<v Speaker 1>and you get other degrees, you set up your own head.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, the cool thing is, you know, you come

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<v Speaker 2>from Norway, which is like a very agilitarian society and

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<v Speaker 2>it's all about being very humble and so on, and

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<v Speaker 2>then you come to Wharton, which is just like the opposite.

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<v Speaker 2>It's like I remember, you know, I went to clubs

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<v Speaker 2>one day and it's just like, hey, what do you

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<v Speaker 2>guys want to do? I just want to conquer the world,

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<v Speaker 2>and everybody approad. I didn't say that, but somebody else said,

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<v Speaker 2>and you know, people applauded, and it was just like

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<v Speaker 2>your mindset totally different.

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<v Speaker 1>So you didn't find a lot of humility at Wharton,

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<v Speaker 1>not so much. So okay, so you graduated, didn't Did

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<v Speaker 1>you go into the private sector right away?

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah? I went then became an analyst with a stolkworking firm.

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<v Speaker 2>I went there, worked there for five years. Then I

0:10:55.320 --> 0:10:57.679
<v Speaker 2>joined my largest client, which was a hedge fund and

0:10:57.679 --> 0:10:59.400
<v Speaker 2>one of the earliest hedge funds in Europe.

0:10:59.440 --> 0:11:02.120
<v Speaker 1>Where was it, London? When did you say I'm going

0:11:02.160 --> 0:11:03.720
<v Speaker 1>to set up my own hedge fund?

0:11:03.920 --> 0:11:05.560
<v Speaker 2>Well, so that was a bit afterwards because I had

0:11:05.559 --> 0:11:07.280
<v Speaker 2>worked for these hedge fund for five years and made

0:11:07.280 --> 0:11:09.360
<v Speaker 2>some money, and I took a break. So I did

0:11:09.360 --> 0:11:13.440
<v Speaker 2>it a master's in art history, but realized that wasn't

0:11:13.600 --> 0:11:14.199
<v Speaker 2>very good at it.

0:11:14.440 --> 0:11:16.480
<v Speaker 1>So how do you know you're not good at art history?

0:11:16.520 --> 0:11:18.720
<v Speaker 1>I mean, you don't measure it the way you do investments.

0:11:18.840 --> 0:11:22.200
<v Speaker 2>Wow, you get feedback from the professor that you're not

0:11:22.280 --> 0:11:24.199
<v Speaker 2>the brightest thing. Okay, So I thought, Hey, I'm better

0:11:24.240 --> 0:11:26.680
<v Speaker 2>at looking at stokes and paintings and so let's set

0:11:26.720 --> 0:11:27.560
<v Speaker 2>up these erm instead.

0:11:27.600 --> 0:11:30.040
<v Speaker 1>But you built a art collection, so you must know

0:11:30.080 --> 0:11:30.920
<v Speaker 1>something about art.

0:11:31.120 --> 0:11:34.319
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, but it's easier to buy art than write about art.

0:11:34.920 --> 0:11:37.960
<v Speaker 1>Okay. So you set up your own hedge fund eventually. Yeah,

0:11:38.120 --> 0:11:40.679
<v Speaker 1>and how big was it before you stopped it?

0:11:42.400 --> 0:11:44.520
<v Speaker 2>Just under twenty billion dollars, So it was one of

0:11:44.520 --> 0:11:46.720
<v Speaker 2>the largest funds in Europe. No, I'm really proud of

0:11:46.720 --> 0:11:48.480
<v Speaker 2>what we did there. We had many of the largest

0:11:48.559 --> 0:11:50.839
<v Speaker 2>endowments and universities in the world investing with us, so

0:11:50.880 --> 0:11:51.839
<v Speaker 2>it was a fantastic thing.

0:11:51.880 --> 0:11:54.560
<v Speaker 1>So you have twenty billion dollar hedge fund and your

0:11:54.600 --> 0:11:56.560
<v Speaker 1>averaging rates of return I assume that are in double

0:11:56.600 --> 0:12:00.240
<v Speaker 1>digit kinds of areas, right, And so when you up

0:12:00.240 --> 0:12:04.160
<v Speaker 1>this opportunity to run norgeous investment management to do, say

0:12:04.200 --> 0:12:05.959
<v Speaker 1>to your family, guess what, I'm not going to be

0:12:06.000 --> 0:12:08.720
<v Speaker 1>making that much money anymore and we have to live

0:12:09.280 --> 0:12:12.600
<v Speaker 1>work conservatively. Yeah, and what did they say? They were

0:12:12.600 --> 0:12:13.080
<v Speaker 1>happy with that?

0:12:13.360 --> 0:12:18.720
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, Wow, I've good enough money to buy food and shoes.

0:12:19.640 --> 0:12:22.120
<v Speaker 1>But usually hedge fund managers don't say they need to

0:12:22.120 --> 0:12:23.559
<v Speaker 1>have enough money to buy the food. They want to

0:12:23.559 --> 0:12:26.280
<v Speaker 1>buy airplanes and art and and other things.

0:12:26.320 --> 0:12:28.640
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, And I think that's a misconstrued perception of what

0:12:28.679 --> 0:12:31.920
<v Speaker 2>happens is you know, in my mind, happiness is about learning.

0:12:32.440 --> 0:12:35.000
<v Speaker 2>That's how you measure happiness is how much you have learned.

0:12:35.520 --> 0:12:37.680
<v Speaker 2>You know, some people say, you know, you measure success

0:12:37.679 --> 0:12:39.480
<v Speaker 2>by how many who has got the most money when

0:12:39.520 --> 0:12:41.800
<v Speaker 2>they die? And I just think that's totally failure. I mean,

0:12:42.080 --> 0:12:44.040
<v Speaker 2>the person's got the most money when he when he

0:12:44.160 --> 0:12:47.040
<v Speaker 2>or she dies, that they have they have lost. They haven't,

0:12:47.080 --> 0:12:47.800
<v Speaker 2>they haven't got it.

0:12:48.800 --> 0:12:51.679
<v Speaker 1>Oh, I didn't realize that. So well you were?

0:12:52.120 --> 0:12:52.720
<v Speaker 2>You done this?

0:12:53.400 --> 0:12:55.679
<v Speaker 1>All right? So I lot something I gotta learn. But okay,

0:12:55.960 --> 0:12:58.080
<v Speaker 1>so all right, so you set up your hedge fund.

0:12:58.080 --> 0:13:00.280
<v Speaker 1>But when you left your hedge fund, did you have

0:13:00.320 --> 0:13:01.840
<v Speaker 1>other people running? Is it still around?

0:13:01.880 --> 0:13:04.720
<v Speaker 2>Absolutely? So it was a fantastic thing. It's been a

0:13:04.760 --> 0:13:08.920
<v Speaker 2>great transition to the next generation. Really readied. They are

0:13:08.960 --> 0:13:12.199
<v Speaker 2>doing better than ever and it's just a total win win.

0:13:12.480 --> 0:13:14.520
<v Speaker 2>So but when I when I left for the for

0:13:14.559 --> 0:13:17.240
<v Speaker 2>the position in Norway, I had to to give away

0:13:17.400 --> 0:13:20.240
<v Speaker 2>my ownership stake, so I gave it to a charitable foundation.

0:13:20.440 --> 0:13:23.880
<v Speaker 2>And so the stake in the hedge fund is funding

0:13:23.920 --> 0:13:24.880
<v Speaker 2>that charitable fundation.

0:13:25.640 --> 0:13:28.160
<v Speaker 1>So you did so well that you actually joined the

0:13:28.160 --> 0:13:31.320
<v Speaker 1>giving pledge right, which means you've got a net worth

0:13:31.360 --> 0:13:34.719
<v Speaker 1>of at least a billion dollars or so are you

0:13:34.800 --> 0:13:37.200
<v Speaker 1>the only person in Dorway that signed the giving pledge.

0:13:37.240 --> 0:13:40.040
<v Speaker 1>It is one more, one more. Okay, So when you

0:13:40.120 --> 0:13:42.760
<v Speaker 1>go to the giving pledge meetings, do you say, guess what,

0:13:42.880 --> 0:13:46.000
<v Speaker 1>I'm giving away money now? But I'm I'm really ranting

0:13:46.120 --> 0:13:49.040
<v Speaker 1>running the Norway Sovereign Wealth Fund? Or you don't. People

0:13:49.040 --> 0:13:50.400
<v Speaker 1>don't talk to you about what you do now?

0:13:50.679 --> 0:13:51.880
<v Speaker 2>No, No, they talk about that too.

0:13:52.280 --> 0:13:55.440
<v Speaker 1>So you ever go to reunions at Wharton and say,

0:13:55.920 --> 0:13:56.800
<v Speaker 1>I wasn't that.

0:13:57.160 --> 0:13:58.520
<v Speaker 2>I was on the board. I was on the board.

0:13:58.760 --> 0:14:01.360
<v Speaker 1>You working for some time now, and but they I

0:14:01.360 --> 0:14:03.400
<v Speaker 1>guess they asked for contributions from time to time.

0:14:03.559 --> 0:14:07.200
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and okay, but all that I did, I did

0:14:07.400 --> 0:14:08.200
<v Speaker 2>give them a building.

0:14:08.240 --> 0:14:10.040
<v Speaker 1>But all the people in your class who are bragging

0:14:10.040 --> 0:14:11.640
<v Speaker 1>about how great they were and they were to conquer

0:14:11.720 --> 0:14:13.640
<v Speaker 1>the world, did you ever show up and say, look,

0:14:13.800 --> 0:14:15.160
<v Speaker 1>you're the guy who actually did it, and you didn't

0:14:15.160 --> 0:14:16.079
<v Speaker 1>brag about during that.

0:14:16.240 --> 0:14:18.360
<v Speaker 2>You didn't say that I never felt that I conquered

0:14:18.360 --> 0:14:18.720
<v Speaker 2>the world.

0:14:20.840 --> 0:14:23.400
<v Speaker 1>For five years, you've been running this fund and done

0:14:23.480 --> 0:14:27.160
<v Speaker 1>pretty well. Obviously, now your term is up. You have

0:14:27.200 --> 0:14:30.200
<v Speaker 1>another five year term you could get, and you're apply.

0:14:30.320 --> 0:14:31.240
<v Speaker 2>I applied last week.

0:14:31.400 --> 0:14:33.320
<v Speaker 1>You applied. Okay, you have to apply or you already

0:14:33.320 --> 0:14:33.800
<v Speaker 1>have the job.

0:14:34.360 --> 0:14:36.920
<v Speaker 2>No, it's it has to be you have to apply again.

0:14:37.000 --> 0:14:39.480
<v Speaker 2>So I updated my CV and applied.

0:14:40.440 --> 0:14:42.600
<v Speaker 1>Wow, okay, did anybody else apply or yeah?

0:14:42.640 --> 0:14:45.400
<v Speaker 2>I think so. I mean, I don't know, it's I

0:14:45.400 --> 0:14:47.440
<v Speaker 2>don't know. I mean, I'm when it comes to this,

0:14:47.520 --> 0:14:50.400
<v Speaker 2>I'm very very humble. I if they find anybody else

0:14:50.400 --> 0:14:52.680
<v Speaker 2>who's better at doing that job, he or she should

0:14:52.680 --> 0:14:55.040
<v Speaker 2>get that job. Right, it's a very important position in

0:14:55.040 --> 0:14:57.800
<v Speaker 2>the country. And so I have applied. I hope I

0:14:57.840 --> 0:15:00.240
<v Speaker 2>will get an extension. So if not, I to do

0:15:00.280 --> 0:15:00.720
<v Speaker 2>something else.

0:15:01.080 --> 0:15:04.520
<v Speaker 1>So you're willing to do another five years, and your

0:15:04.560 --> 0:15:08.160
<v Speaker 1>compensation as the person running it is modest, I assume

0:15:08.200 --> 0:15:09.400
<v Speaker 1>compared to what you used to make.

0:15:09.920 --> 0:15:12.920
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it's a well paid job, but it's, of course

0:15:14.200 --> 0:15:15.320
<v Speaker 2>it's a public sexual job.

0:15:15.840 --> 0:15:20.640
<v Speaker 1>Any thought about going into politics and running for government positions,

0:15:20.680 --> 0:15:23.400
<v Speaker 1>prime minister or something like that. No, you don't want

0:15:23.440 --> 0:15:26.160
<v Speaker 1>to go into that. No interest in that. And what

0:15:26.280 --> 0:15:29.240
<v Speaker 1>about any thing after you're finished. That's suppose you do

0:15:29.240 --> 0:15:31.600
<v Speaker 1>another five years and for ten years of this you

0:15:31.640 --> 0:15:32.880
<v Speaker 1>probably would say that's enough.

0:15:33.560 --> 0:15:35.080
<v Speaker 2>Well, I'm going to spend the rest of my life,

0:15:35.760 --> 0:15:39.120
<v Speaker 2>hopefully doing good things. You know, I'd love to go

0:15:39.160 --> 0:15:41.320
<v Speaker 2>back to university at some stage you do no degree,

0:15:42.200 --> 0:15:43.400
<v Speaker 2>learn some more things.

0:15:44.120 --> 0:15:45.840
<v Speaker 1>Art history, but you're not that good at that, so

0:15:45.880 --> 0:15:48.400
<v Speaker 1>you would do something else. You think, okay, but you

0:15:48.440 --> 0:15:50.400
<v Speaker 1>have a big art collection. Still in what area do

0:15:50.400 --> 0:15:51.080
<v Speaker 1>you collect art?

0:15:51.120 --> 0:15:54.840
<v Speaker 2>We have the biggest collection of Nordic Modernist art and

0:15:54.840 --> 0:15:58.760
<v Speaker 2>we've given that to a museum which opened last year.

0:15:59.280 --> 0:16:01.920
<v Speaker 2>New York Times recently said he was one of the

0:16:02.120 --> 0:16:04.680
<v Speaker 2>fifty most important places to go in twenty twenty five.

0:16:04.720 --> 0:16:05.880
<v Speaker 2>So you will have to go, of course.

0:16:06.880 --> 0:16:09.280
<v Speaker 1>So if somebody is watching this and they've never been

0:16:09.320 --> 0:16:12.440
<v Speaker 1>to Norway, what would you say about what is great

0:16:12.440 --> 0:16:16.280
<v Speaker 1>about Norway that would deserve their visiting? What is Washington?

0:16:16.440 --> 0:16:17.640
<v Speaker 1>Can you see in Norway? Well?

0:16:17.680 --> 0:16:20.240
<v Speaker 2>The nature, the nature is unrivaled. I mean, it's just

0:16:20.280 --> 0:16:22.520
<v Speaker 2>like Switzerland with a little of c around it, right,

0:16:23.160 --> 0:16:27.880
<v Speaker 2>and it's absolutely beautiful. You really close to the fjord,

0:16:27.960 --> 0:16:30.120
<v Speaker 2>you close the mountains. He's good for skiing, he's good

0:16:30.160 --> 0:16:33.080
<v Speaker 2>for hiking. It's perfect and not too many people, so

0:16:33.120 --> 0:16:33.920
<v Speaker 2>it's not so crowded.

0:16:34.120 --> 0:16:36.760
<v Speaker 1>How many total people are there in five million? Five million?

0:16:37.320 --> 0:16:41.840
<v Speaker 1>So when Alfred Nobel was awarding his developing his Nobel prizes.

0:16:42.480 --> 0:16:45.880
<v Speaker 1>He had the prizes being given by people in Sweden,

0:16:45.880 --> 0:16:49.400
<v Speaker 1>the Swedish academies, but he didn't think the Swedes were peaceful,

0:16:49.560 --> 0:16:52.600
<v Speaker 1>loving people, so he said, the Peace Prize is given

0:16:53.040 --> 0:16:57.080
<v Speaker 1>by people in Norway, So the Norway is very peaceful. Yes,

0:16:57.880 --> 0:17:01.320
<v Speaker 1>And you have no interest in getting into international diplomatic

0:17:01.360 --> 0:17:04.720
<v Speaker 1>things or like something like that. No, okay, And your

0:17:04.800 --> 0:17:07.280
<v Speaker 1>children are they interested in investing? No?

0:17:07.960 --> 0:17:10.399
<v Speaker 2>Thankfully, I mean thank God for that, because I think

0:17:11.000 --> 0:17:13.640
<v Speaker 2>in my mind, you just don't want to follow your parents.

0:17:14.560 --> 0:17:17.760
<v Speaker 2>You want to create your own destiny. You wanna you

0:17:17.800 --> 0:17:20.560
<v Speaker 2>don't want to be measured against the success of your parents.

0:17:21.840 --> 0:17:22.040
<v Speaker 1>You know.

0:17:22.119 --> 0:17:25.119
<v Speaker 2>I don't really believe in the inheritance. I think to

0:17:25.200 --> 0:17:27.320
<v Speaker 2>inherent a little money, it's not a good thing. If

0:17:27.359 --> 0:17:29.680
<v Speaker 2>you are successful, it's just because you inherited a little money,

0:17:29.680 --> 0:17:31.920
<v Speaker 2>and if you fail, you are a total failure because

0:17:31.920 --> 0:17:33.520
<v Speaker 2>you started with a lot of money and you didn't

0:17:33.520 --> 0:17:35.480
<v Speaker 2>manage to do it. So I just think it's so,

0:17:36.320 --> 0:17:37.480
<v Speaker 2>you know, let them do what they want.

0:17:37.960 --> 0:17:42.199
<v Speaker 1>So today, are you worried about your borders because of

0:17:42.240 --> 0:17:44.640
<v Speaker 1>what's going on in Russia and Ukraine? Is that something

0:17:44.640 --> 0:17:46.800
<v Speaker 1>you worry about in terms of the impact of Russia

0:17:46.880 --> 0:17:50.160
<v Speaker 1>Ukraine on your investment appetite for things like that.

0:17:50.280 --> 0:17:54.639
<v Speaker 2>I'm not worried about Russia invading Norway anytime soon. We

0:17:54.680 --> 0:17:56.959
<v Speaker 2>are a member of it of NATO, we do border

0:17:57.040 --> 0:18:00.800
<v Speaker 2>to Russia. But now since Finland and Sweat join NATO,

0:18:00.920 --> 0:18:02.240
<v Speaker 2>we feel stronger than before.

0:18:02.880 --> 0:18:06.040
<v Speaker 1>So today, what would you say your biggest investment concerns are?

0:18:06.040 --> 0:18:08.960
<v Speaker 1>You're running one point seven trillion dollar fun for the

0:18:09.000 --> 0:18:11.520
<v Speaker 1>average person to not manage that much money, what should

0:18:11.520 --> 0:18:13.280
<v Speaker 1>they be worrying about? And what are you worrying about now?

0:18:13.320 --> 0:18:14.720
<v Speaker 2>I think you know, I think you've got two things.

0:18:14.720 --> 0:18:16.879
<v Speaker 2>One you have the known and knowns right so and

0:18:17.320 --> 0:18:19.320
<v Speaker 2>there at the top of my list would be two things.

0:18:19.359 --> 0:18:22.560
<v Speaker 2>One is inflation, because I think there is an argument

0:18:22.560 --> 0:18:26.040
<v Speaker 2>in a tate tight labor market when you potentially decline

0:18:26.040 --> 0:18:30.719
<v Speaker 2>the supply or to reduce the supply of labor in

0:18:30.760 --> 0:18:33.879
<v Speaker 2>the US you put on tariffs. These things can be

0:18:34.000 --> 0:18:36.680
<v Speaker 2>inflation area. And there could be a moment where, given

0:18:36.720 --> 0:18:40.080
<v Speaker 2>the high level of government debt, that the investors certainly decide,

0:18:40.119 --> 0:18:42.280
<v Speaker 2>you know what, we want a much higher coupon to

0:18:42.400 --> 0:18:45.480
<v Speaker 2>lend to, you know, to governments. And so you could

0:18:45.520 --> 0:18:48.080
<v Speaker 2>see a step up in interest rates, which could be

0:18:48.560 --> 0:18:53.080
<v Speaker 2>negative financial markets. Then of course all the AI related stocks.

0:18:53.400 --> 0:18:55.840
<v Speaker 2>The epicenter here is is Taiwan, so you need to

0:18:55.880 --> 0:18:59.119
<v Speaker 2>watch that. The thing that really scarce us when it

0:18:59.160 --> 0:19:02.919
<v Speaker 2>happens is the expected, you know, whether it be a

0:19:02.920 --> 0:19:07.400
<v Speaker 2>meltdown of nuclear reactors in Japan or COVID or financial crisis.

0:19:07.480 --> 0:19:10.600
<v Speaker 2>Is the stuff you cannot model, which really de raise markets.

0:19:10.920 --> 0:19:13.240
<v Speaker 2>And they come about every so often, and there will

0:19:13.240 --> 0:19:14.240
<v Speaker 2>be another one coming up.

0:19:14.320 --> 0:19:17.080
<v Speaker 1>So I suppose I'm one of the people interviewing you

0:19:17.160 --> 0:19:20.200
<v Speaker 1>for your real application to at this job for the

0:19:20.200 --> 0:19:22.800
<v Speaker 1>next five years. What would you say is the reason

0:19:22.880 --> 0:19:25.480
<v Speaker 1>that you deserve the job. You've done pretty well, or

0:19:25.520 --> 0:19:27.560
<v Speaker 1>you like the job, or people are happy, or your

0:19:27.640 --> 0:19:29.359
<v Speaker 1>rate of return has been very good. What would you

0:19:29.359 --> 0:19:31.600
<v Speaker 1>say is the reason you should get this job?

0:19:31.920 --> 0:19:35.240
<v Speaker 2>The organization has done well, is a real teamwork. We

0:19:35.320 --> 0:19:39.520
<v Speaker 2>built a really great team. You know, we have done

0:19:39.560 --> 0:19:41.400
<v Speaker 2>a lot of great things. Were now the most transparent

0:19:41.400 --> 0:19:42.840
<v Speaker 2>fund in the world. We've done a lot of things

0:19:42.840 --> 0:19:45.920
<v Speaker 2>like that, right, And there's always lower risk to take

0:19:45.920 --> 0:19:49.639
<v Speaker 2>the incumbent than changing. But as I said, you know,

0:19:49.680 --> 0:19:52.680
<v Speaker 2>these are just pros and cons, and well other people

0:19:52.680 --> 0:19:54.320
<v Speaker 2>out there who are really really excellent.

0:19:54.640 --> 0:19:57.399
<v Speaker 1>Right, So what do you do for outside activities? Are

0:19:57.440 --> 0:20:00.399
<v Speaker 1>you a skier or you're some other kind of out well.

0:20:00.440 --> 0:20:03.280
<v Speaker 2>I spend a lot of time in nature. I walk

0:20:03.280 --> 0:20:06.400
<v Speaker 2>in the forest, I do cross country skiing. I pick

0:20:06.480 --> 0:20:13.160
<v Speaker 2>mushrooms in the autumn. Do what mushrooms? Not the magic run?

0:20:14.240 --> 0:20:16.320
<v Speaker 1>What do you pick them? Or you grow them or what? Oh?

0:20:16.400 --> 0:20:18.040
<v Speaker 2>You walk around in the forest and you pick wild

0:20:18.080 --> 0:20:19.800
<v Speaker 2>mushrooms and you go home and you cook them and

0:20:19.840 --> 0:20:23.679
<v Speaker 2>you make you know, like chanto el spaghetti.

0:20:24.920 --> 0:20:29.800
<v Speaker 1>Wow, that's an unusual I have. Wow. Okay, So generally

0:20:29.840 --> 0:20:32.280
<v Speaker 1>you just like me as a very happy person, and

0:20:33.040 --> 0:20:35.000
<v Speaker 1>I generally don't find that many happy people in the

0:20:35.040 --> 0:20:37.640
<v Speaker 1>investment world are always worried about something else. But you're

0:20:37.640 --> 0:20:40.439
<v Speaker 1>pretty happy. So how did you get to be so happy?

0:20:40.520 --> 0:20:42.479
<v Speaker 2>Well, first of all, you have to figure out what

0:20:42.520 --> 0:20:44.719
<v Speaker 2>is it that makes you happy? And I do think

0:20:44.760 --> 0:20:47.840
<v Speaker 2>people mistake that quite often. You know, they just tried

0:20:47.880 --> 0:20:52.840
<v Speaker 2>to make more money to buy more things. That's not

0:20:52.880 --> 0:20:55.960
<v Speaker 2>where true happiness comes from. It comes from spending time

0:20:56.000 --> 0:21:00.119
<v Speaker 2>with friends and family and learning and in ternsally and

0:21:00.200 --> 0:21:02.120
<v Speaker 2>you know, as you know, I also do a podcast,

0:21:02.160 --> 0:21:03.720
<v Speaker 2>and I learned a lot through that podcast.

0:21:03.760 --> 0:21:07.159
<v Speaker 1>If you're giving advice to somebody that's watching this about

0:21:07.160 --> 0:21:09.919
<v Speaker 1>how to be a good investment manager, what is the

0:21:10.000 --> 0:21:14.000
<v Speaker 1>single most important piece of investment advice you could give somebody? Learn?

0:21:14.160 --> 0:21:19.000
<v Speaker 2>Learn, Learn, And the combination of being stubborn and agile.

0:21:19.480 --> 0:21:21.040
<v Speaker 2>You know, you have to stick with your guns, you

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<v Speaker 2>have to believe in what you do. You have to

0:21:23.080 --> 0:21:25.479
<v Speaker 2>be able to contrariant. But when things change, you have

0:21:25.520 --> 0:21:28.960
<v Speaker 2>to change your mind. And that's the variest combination in

0:21:28.960 --> 0:21:29.800
<v Speaker 2>investment management.

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<v Speaker 1>So you think humility is better than arrogance and a

0:21:32.119 --> 0:21:33.119
<v Speaker 1>good investor, well.

0:21:33.000 --> 0:21:37.080
<v Speaker 2>You need to be confidently confident. Humility is the magic.

0:21:37.359 --> 0:21:40.960
<v Speaker 1>Have you ever met Warren Buffett? No? Really, and no

0:21:41.119 --> 0:21:44.240
<v Speaker 1>interest in meeting if he's called advice, But he hasn't

0:21:44.240 --> 0:21:46.040
<v Speaker 1>called you for ideas or anything like that.

0:21:46.160 --> 0:21:50.160
<v Speaker 2>No, no, but he I haven't met him. Well I briefly.

0:21:50.240 --> 0:21:51.200
<v Speaker 2>I met him briefly.

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<v Speaker 1>Okay, So is there one person that is a role

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<v Speaker 1>model for you? If it's not Warren Buffett, maybe it

0:21:56.240 --> 0:21:58.360
<v Speaker 1>is even though you haven't met him. Is there anybody

0:21:58.359 --> 0:22:00.440
<v Speaker 1>you would say is somebody you have as a role

0:22:00.440 --> 0:22:01.560
<v Speaker 1>model in the investment area?

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<v Speaker 2>Well, I think it's difficult to not mention Bill Gates

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<v Speaker 2>as a role model if you are a philanthropist, because

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<v Speaker 2>you make a lot of money and then you are

0:22:11.920 --> 0:22:14.720
<v Speaker 2>very organized and structured in the way you give it away.

0:22:14.760 --> 0:22:15.920
<v Speaker 2>I think that's really impressive.

0:22:17.320 --> 0:22:19.800
<v Speaker 1>Thanks for listening to hear more of my interviews. You

0:22:19.880 --> 0:22:24.000
<v Speaker 1>can subscribe and download my podcast on Spotify, Apple, or

0:22:24.000 --> 0:22:24.840
<v Speaker 1>wherever you listen.