1 00:00:01,240 --> 00:00:03,720 Speaker 1: Hey everyone, I'm on vacation this week, but I still 2 00:00:03,720 --> 00:00:05,960 Speaker 1: wanted to bring you something for becoming a Best ball Bro. 3 00:00:06,320 --> 00:00:08,360 Speaker 1: We've done this each year with the show, but Rich 4 00:00:08,480 --> 00:00:11,120 Speaker 1: as in my co host Rich Ryan, He's put together 5 00:00:11,160 --> 00:00:13,320 Speaker 1: a nice little compilation of some of the most interesting 6 00:00:13,320 --> 00:00:16,560 Speaker 1: insights from our shows thus far this season, We've had 7 00:00:16,560 --> 00:00:18,079 Speaker 1: some great guests, and I know that some of you 8 00:00:18,160 --> 00:00:21,120 Speaker 1: are just now getting into things. You're just now focusing 9 00:00:21,120 --> 00:00:24,279 Speaker 1: on fantasy football for this twenty twenty six season, So 10 00:00:24,360 --> 00:00:25,920 Speaker 1: this is the way to get caught up with Best 11 00:00:25,920 --> 00:00:28,960 Speaker 1: ball I'll be back next week with our typical show. 12 00:00:29,360 --> 00:00:32,040 Speaker 1: I'll talk to you then. I'm JJ And over the 13 00:00:32,080 --> 00:00:34,560 Speaker 1: last couple of years, I've been doing everything I can 14 00:00:34,640 --> 00:00:37,320 Speaker 1: to be a Best ball Bro. And last season things 15 00:00:37,320 --> 00:00:40,560 Speaker 1: finally fell into place. I got fortieth in the DraftKings 16 00:00:40,600 --> 00:00:44,680 Speaker 1: MILLI Contest, taking home twenty thousand dollars. Maybe I became 17 00:00:44,720 --> 00:00:47,080 Speaker 1: a best ball Bro. But I'm still looking to learn 18 00:00:47,120 --> 00:00:50,000 Speaker 1: more about this game, and i still want others to 19 00:00:50,000 --> 00:00:52,120 Speaker 1: come on this ride with me. So even if you 20 00:00:52,200 --> 00:00:53,600 Speaker 1: consider me a best ball Bro. 21 00:00:53,800 --> 00:00:55,000 Speaker 2: This could be your year. 22 00:00:55,400 --> 00:00:58,480 Speaker 1: This could be the year that you officially become a 23 00:00:58,600 --> 00:01:18,160 Speaker 1: Best ball Bro. This episode is sponsored by DraftKings. We've 24 00:01:18,160 --> 00:01:20,399 Speaker 1: partnered up with DraftKings again this year for Best Ball 25 00:01:20,560 --> 00:01:22,600 Speaker 1: and we've got to can't miss offer on their biggest 26 00:01:22,600 --> 00:01:26,200 Speaker 1: best Ball contest ever, twenty million dollars in total prizes. 27 00:01:26,480 --> 00:01:29,840 Speaker 1: It's Draft one, get one, draft your team once, no 28 00:01:29,920 --> 00:01:33,400 Speaker 1: weekly lineup management, and your top scorers start automatically each 29 00:01:33,440 --> 00:01:37,399 Speaker 1: week all season long. Download the DraftKings Daily Fantasy app 30 00:01:37,520 --> 00:01:40,600 Speaker 1: and sign up with promo code Late round. Enter a 31 00:01:40,640 --> 00:01:42,720 Speaker 1: lineup in the twenty million dollars Best Ball Contest for 32 00:01:42,760 --> 00:01:45,360 Speaker 1: twenty five dollars and get a bonus ticket for a 33 00:01:45,400 --> 00:01:49,520 Speaker 1: second entry two shots at the title Draft one, Get 34 00:01:49,560 --> 00:01:56,240 Speaker 1: one only on DraftKings. The crown is yours, Pat Karane. 35 00:01:56,280 --> 00:01:58,040 Speaker 1: What's one of the biggest differences that you're seeing year 36 00:01:58,080 --> 00:02:00,280 Speaker 1: over year or or I mean, you could be look 37 00:02:00,280 --> 00:02:03,120 Speaker 1: at this landscape and thinking that it's the same, but 38 00:02:03,280 --> 00:02:05,520 Speaker 1: what are you seeing overall and if there is a 39 00:02:05,600 --> 00:02:06,480 Speaker 1: change year over year. 40 00:02:07,160 --> 00:02:10,679 Speaker 3: Well, one thing is you know, this year we have 41 00:02:10,760 --> 00:02:14,680 Speaker 3: a different rookie class than last year, and there's some 42 00:02:14,720 --> 00:02:19,720 Speaker 3: strengths and weaknesses, mostly weaknesses compared to last year's rookie class, 43 00:02:19,720 --> 00:02:20,160 Speaker 3: and I think that. 44 00:02:20,200 --> 00:02:21,280 Speaker 2: Changes things up. 45 00:02:22,600 --> 00:02:25,840 Speaker 3: In some pretty big ways for this year's landscape and 46 00:02:25,880 --> 00:02:29,079 Speaker 3: Best Ball rookies, you know, have been a pretty big part. 47 00:02:29,120 --> 00:02:33,120 Speaker 3: Especially rookie receivers have been like a pretty big edge 48 00:02:33,120 --> 00:02:37,280 Speaker 3: in Bestball leagues over the years, and so, you know, 49 00:02:37,360 --> 00:02:39,520 Speaker 3: I think you're seeing a couple of things. One the 50 00:02:39,600 --> 00:02:43,000 Speaker 3: rookie running backs, there's a couple first rounders that go 51 00:02:43,160 --> 00:02:47,200 Speaker 3: reasonably high, and I think both guys are our interesting picks. 52 00:02:47,639 --> 00:02:51,400 Speaker 3: I like Jeremi, I love more at ADP. But then 53 00:02:51,480 --> 00:02:54,440 Speaker 3: you get past those guys and it really dries up 54 00:02:55,560 --> 00:02:57,720 Speaker 3: and we're talking, you know, a lot, a lot of 55 00:02:57,800 --> 00:03:01,360 Speaker 3: Day three type of guys that in June are hard 56 00:03:01,400 --> 00:03:03,760 Speaker 3: to know for sure if we're going to get anything 57 00:03:03,840 --> 00:03:09,480 Speaker 3: from this year, and not having interesting rookie upside swings 58 00:03:09,919 --> 00:03:15,560 Speaker 3: in you know, let's say, outside the top six rounds. 59 00:03:14,320 --> 00:03:16,480 Speaker 2: Definitely shakes things up a bit. 60 00:03:16,560 --> 00:03:20,040 Speaker 3: And then at wide receiver, I think some of the 61 00:03:20,120 --> 00:03:23,119 Speaker 3: stink of the rookie class from a dynasty perspective has 62 00:03:23,600 --> 00:03:27,480 Speaker 3: translated over to the Best Ball market, and I actually 63 00:03:27,480 --> 00:03:29,960 Speaker 3: think there's some values at rookie wide receiver this year 64 00:03:30,040 --> 00:03:33,639 Speaker 3: where they're a little bit cheaper than we've had over 65 00:03:33,680 --> 00:03:36,560 Speaker 3: the past. Couple of years, So those guys, to me 66 00:03:36,600 --> 00:03:40,720 Speaker 3: are actually targets. A number of them are pretty clear 67 00:03:40,800 --> 00:03:43,480 Speaker 3: targets at at cheaper prices than we've had recently, where 68 00:03:43,520 --> 00:03:47,080 Speaker 3: rookie wide receivers have kind of had some inflation compared 69 00:03:47,120 --> 00:03:48,760 Speaker 3: to where they used to go, like four or five years. 70 00:03:48,560 --> 00:03:50,120 Speaker 2: Ago with this rookie class. 71 00:03:50,160 --> 00:03:52,520 Speaker 1: Because I'll kind of skip ahead to another question that 72 00:03:52,520 --> 00:03:54,320 Speaker 1: I wanted to ask you, but I think it's pretty 73 00:03:54,360 --> 00:03:58,040 Speaker 1: pertinent and kind of ties into it. When I'm drafting 74 00:03:58,080 --> 00:04:00,280 Speaker 1: right now, I'm looking at the late rounds and I 75 00:04:00,320 --> 00:04:03,480 Speaker 1: feel awful about almost every player that is available in 76 00:04:03,480 --> 00:04:07,040 Speaker 1: the late rounds of these drafts. My question to you is, 77 00:04:07,680 --> 00:04:09,760 Speaker 1: do you think that this is a normal feeling that 78 00:04:09,840 --> 00:04:12,480 Speaker 1: I feel every year and I've forgotten and this is 79 00:04:12,520 --> 00:04:15,360 Speaker 1: not any different than what we typically see, or do 80 00:04:15,440 --> 00:04:18,360 Speaker 1: you think that it is a weaker late round, you know, 81 00:04:18,480 --> 00:04:23,400 Speaker 1: around eighteen nineteen round twenty type group than we've historically seen. 82 00:04:23,440 --> 00:04:25,280 Speaker 1: And again, we have to give this context that we're 83 00:04:25,320 --> 00:04:28,000 Speaker 1: doing this in June, where I think probably in July 84 00:04:28,080 --> 00:04:30,520 Speaker 1: and August we'll have at least some better idea of 85 00:04:30,560 --> 00:04:33,640 Speaker 1: some situations and stuff like that, and you know, players 86 00:04:33,640 --> 00:04:35,160 Speaker 1: and the roles that they're going to play and maybe 87 00:04:35,160 --> 00:04:37,880 Speaker 1: we feel better about some more later round darts. Maybe 88 00:04:37,920 --> 00:04:39,400 Speaker 1: you don't even feel this way at all, But do 89 00:04:39,440 --> 00:04:42,000 Speaker 1: you think the rookie class is playing a huge role 90 00:04:42,200 --> 00:04:44,000 Speaker 1: in that feeling that I'm feeling. 91 00:04:44,240 --> 00:04:46,480 Speaker 3: One hundred percent of the rookie class is factoring in there. 92 00:04:46,480 --> 00:04:49,880 Speaker 3: I mean, last year, at the end of the summer, 93 00:04:50,040 --> 00:04:55,200 Speaker 3: like final weeks of drafts, Kyle Manungai started popping, as 94 00:04:55,440 --> 00:04:59,760 Speaker 3: you know, a pretty strong pick, and he remained available 95 00:05:00,080 --> 00:05:03,160 Speaker 3: like the eighteenth, nineteen twentieth round on DraftKings. You know, 96 00:05:03,240 --> 00:05:04,839 Speaker 3: he was a seventh round pick, so it took a 97 00:05:04,839 --> 00:05:08,280 Speaker 3: while for us to view him as as a reasonable click. 98 00:05:09,120 --> 00:05:12,160 Speaker 3: But I mean, it's hard for me to even see like. 99 00:05:12,279 --> 00:05:14,520 Speaker 2: Who that would be. 100 00:05:13,960 --> 00:05:17,160 Speaker 3: Because like k Tron Allen would would probably be a 101 00:05:17,200 --> 00:05:20,679 Speaker 3: comparable type of player. Well, Kateron Allen's already getting drafted. 102 00:05:21,080 --> 00:05:23,520 Speaker 3: You know, he's not available in those rounds now, so 103 00:05:24,040 --> 00:05:26,599 Speaker 3: there's just not as many guys. Now we were taking 104 00:05:26,720 --> 00:05:29,480 Speaker 3: Jarquiz Hunter, we were taking DJ Giddens, like, there were 105 00:05:29,480 --> 00:05:30,760 Speaker 3: a bunch of land mines. 106 00:05:30,520 --> 00:05:33,239 Speaker 2: Too, But it was the rookie class. 107 00:05:33,279 --> 00:05:35,240 Speaker 3: The depth of the running back class did make it 108 00:05:35,279 --> 00:05:38,240 Speaker 3: easier to kind of dream on these picks and then 109 00:05:38,279 --> 00:05:41,120 Speaker 3: also to ultimately find a couple of these guys who mattered, 110 00:05:41,560 --> 00:05:43,200 Speaker 3: even if it took a while to kind of realize 111 00:05:43,200 --> 00:05:45,200 Speaker 3: that that Manung guy was the best of the bunch 112 00:05:45,400 --> 00:05:48,279 Speaker 3: in those final rounds. But yeah, I mean, I think 113 00:05:48,400 --> 00:05:52,839 Speaker 3: there's also some NFL personnel shift stuff going on here 114 00:05:52,960 --> 00:05:55,320 Speaker 3: a little bit where we are seeing like more two 115 00:05:55,400 --> 00:05:58,800 Speaker 3: tight end sets, more teams talking about how I mean, 116 00:05:59,279 --> 00:06:02,080 Speaker 3: the Jaguars talking about playing more twelve. 117 00:06:02,120 --> 00:06:04,480 Speaker 2: It's like, come on, man, you've got. 118 00:06:06,040 --> 00:06:08,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, like nig Borcatur's I gotta worry about that. 119 00:06:09,120 --> 00:06:11,080 Speaker 4: Yeah, So it's you. 120 00:06:11,080 --> 00:06:14,480 Speaker 3: You get down and you're like, what receivers? Can I 121 00:06:14,560 --> 00:06:18,200 Speaker 3: just buy routes on? I think those guys, the depth 122 00:06:18,240 --> 00:06:20,280 Speaker 3: of that kind of group of players also probably a 123 00:06:20,320 --> 00:06:22,839 Speaker 3: little thinner now than it was a couple of years ago. 124 00:06:22,839 --> 00:06:25,640 Speaker 3: And I think part of it is like, yeah, it's 125 00:06:26,080 --> 00:06:28,800 Speaker 3: it isn't that fun always to you know. 126 00:06:28,760 --> 00:06:30,160 Speaker 2: In the nineteenth round like that. 127 00:06:29,800 --> 00:06:32,839 Speaker 3: That is not a high hit rate kind of group, 128 00:06:33,320 --> 00:06:35,520 Speaker 3: And we probably have memory wiped some of the disgusting 129 00:06:35,560 --> 00:06:37,480 Speaker 3: picks we were making over the past three four years. 130 00:06:37,480 --> 00:06:40,840 Speaker 3: But yeah, I mean, I'm taking more tight ends in 131 00:06:40,880 --> 00:06:44,360 Speaker 3: those final rounds. Yeah, And I think that's one way 132 00:06:44,400 --> 00:06:47,560 Speaker 3: to kind of especially I am considering on my streams 133 00:06:47,600 --> 00:06:50,960 Speaker 3: just having like a rolling banner that says it's June. 134 00:06:51,279 --> 00:06:52,080 Speaker 2: Because. 135 00:06:53,400 --> 00:06:56,760 Speaker 3: Like there's there's like some like it used to be 136 00:06:56,839 --> 00:06:58,840 Speaker 3: that like Scott Fishbowl kind of kick things off and 137 00:06:59,440 --> 00:07:01,320 Speaker 3: the redraft, like this was Dynasty season. 138 00:07:01,520 --> 00:07:04,080 Speaker 2: It's just card but we were sending trades. We're not 139 00:07:04,120 --> 00:07:04,600 Speaker 2: really draft. 140 00:07:04,640 --> 00:07:07,680 Speaker 3: We could relax them in it in jail. Yeah, yeah, 141 00:07:07,880 --> 00:07:10,800 Speaker 3: And so that has changed. Like we're we're talking like 142 00:07:10,840 --> 00:07:14,320 Speaker 3: definitively about the structures of teams in twenty twenty six 143 00:07:14,880 --> 00:07:18,600 Speaker 3: for you know, the entire offseason in the early part 144 00:07:18,600 --> 00:07:22,520 Speaker 3: of June, and I think things will change. We're all 145 00:07:22,560 --> 00:07:24,320 Speaker 3: so much more dialed in than we were like in 146 00:07:24,360 --> 00:07:28,280 Speaker 3: twenty nineteen this time of year that it doesn't it's 147 00:07:28,280 --> 00:07:30,920 Speaker 3: like hard to remember that how much things can change 148 00:07:30,920 --> 00:07:34,960 Speaker 3: and probably will change. So the late rounds will look 149 00:07:35,000 --> 00:07:38,280 Speaker 3: different as we get more information. But for now, taking 150 00:07:38,280 --> 00:07:41,880 Speaker 3: some of these tight ends, you know, it does feel 151 00:07:41,880 --> 00:07:45,000 Speaker 3: like a way where you're not just like completely punting 152 00:07:46,160 --> 00:07:49,320 Speaker 3: and taking a zero and you're like maybe, like with 153 00:07:49,440 --> 00:07:52,080 Speaker 3: Eli Stowers, I probably am buying routes. 154 00:07:51,800 --> 00:07:53,480 Speaker 2: Particularly in the at the end of the season. 155 00:07:53,560 --> 00:07:55,880 Speaker 3: His ADP is around two hundred on DraftKings, right, So 156 00:07:55,920 --> 00:07:59,119 Speaker 3: it's like you get late and I'll take that fourth 157 00:07:59,160 --> 00:08:01,520 Speaker 3: tight end who's probably going to be running routes at 158 00:08:01,560 --> 00:08:04,360 Speaker 3: the end of the season. I'll take a stab on 159 00:08:04,360 --> 00:08:06,560 Speaker 3: one of the rams tight you know committee tight end guys. 160 00:08:06,560 --> 00:08:08,280 Speaker 3: They're going to play a bunch of tight ends. We 161 00:08:08,400 --> 00:08:12,080 Speaker 3: know that, so you know, Michael Mayer probably plays some. 162 00:08:12,240 --> 00:08:15,560 Speaker 3: You can get into this. Charlie Kolar started to consider 163 00:08:15,600 --> 00:08:17,760 Speaker 3: a little bit like is you know, purely as kind 164 00:08:17,760 --> 00:08:20,200 Speaker 3: of a twentieth round guy. He's a name on my 165 00:08:20,280 --> 00:08:22,600 Speaker 3: mind of not hammering him, but Mike is sicky. I've 166 00:08:22,640 --> 00:08:25,440 Speaker 3: taken a lot of yeah, because I think he you know, 167 00:08:25,440 --> 00:08:26,360 Speaker 3: he's on a good offense. 168 00:08:26,440 --> 00:08:28,480 Speaker 2: He'll run routes. It's going to be part time, they'll 169 00:08:28,520 --> 00:08:30,200 Speaker 2: spike for a couple of weeks, but it's the same. 170 00:08:30,040 --> 00:08:32,160 Speaker 3: Type of profile that you would have had, probably a 171 00:08:32,200 --> 00:08:34,480 Speaker 3: little bit more cheaply with with some of these wide 172 00:08:34,520 --> 00:08:37,040 Speaker 3: receivers that are harder to find. Once she gets the 173 00:08:37,040 --> 00:08:39,040 Speaker 3: final rounds and then I am taking though, as I 174 00:08:39,040 --> 00:08:42,360 Speaker 3: alluded to earlier, some of these rookie wide receivers. I 175 00:08:42,400 --> 00:08:45,120 Speaker 3: still think those guys are under priced and you can 176 00:08:45,160 --> 00:08:46,360 Speaker 3: get even in the final rounds. 177 00:08:46,400 --> 00:08:49,679 Speaker 2: You can get a Chris Brasel, you can get the Jacoby. 178 00:08:49,320 --> 00:08:53,400 Speaker 3: Lane, Elijah so Rott, you know, one or both those 179 00:08:53,400 --> 00:08:54,320 Speaker 3: guys if you want. 180 00:08:54,400 --> 00:08:55,640 Speaker 2: You can get Zach right branch. 181 00:08:56,120 --> 00:08:58,120 Speaker 3: You know, there's a bunch of those rookie wide receivers 182 00:08:58,120 --> 00:09:00,640 Speaker 3: that are still I mean, Jeremy Bernard is still you know, 183 00:09:00,679 --> 00:09:03,160 Speaker 3: he's more expensive than that. He's in the one eighties, 184 00:09:03,160 --> 00:09:06,000 Speaker 3: but he's pretty cheap for a second round pick, right, 185 00:09:06,040 --> 00:09:09,040 Speaker 3: you know, So there's once you get you know, not 186 00:09:09,160 --> 00:09:13,000 Speaker 3: the final rounds, but late in the draft, those rookieide 187 00:09:13,000 --> 00:09:15,679 Speaker 3: receivers definitely pop two well with the tight ends. 188 00:09:16,000 --> 00:09:19,280 Speaker 1: This is this is kind of I feel like, made 189 00:09:19,320 --> 00:09:23,880 Speaker 1: me not go as hard at elite tight end right now. 190 00:09:24,200 --> 00:09:27,520 Speaker 1: Is the fact that because the the latter parts of 191 00:09:27,559 --> 00:09:30,600 Speaker 1: the draft are I should say more so McBride than 192 00:09:30,640 --> 00:09:33,480 Speaker 1: Bauers to be fair, but like, because the latter parts 193 00:09:33,520 --> 00:09:35,280 Speaker 1: of the draft are set up the way they're they're 194 00:09:35,280 --> 00:09:39,360 Speaker 1: set up where I feel relatively decent about like Terrence 195 00:09:39,400 --> 00:09:42,679 Speaker 1: Ferguson having a role this year, like like doing doing 196 00:09:42,720 --> 00:09:45,240 Speaker 1: something at some point, right and like being a tight 197 00:09:45,320 --> 00:09:47,679 Speaker 1: end three or four even four right, because if I'm 198 00:09:47,720 --> 00:09:50,520 Speaker 1: if I'm waiting a decent or like Pat Fryermouth or 199 00:09:50,559 --> 00:09:51,720 Speaker 1: someone like that, where like. 200 00:09:51,720 --> 00:09:55,760 Speaker 2: Yeah, like Donald Washington, sure sure like the like there. 201 00:09:56,000 --> 00:09:57,840 Speaker 1: And it's because of, like you said, the way the 202 00:09:57,920 --> 00:10:00,560 Speaker 1: NFL is, of all the way it's changed, and you're 203 00:10:00,600 --> 00:10:03,040 Speaker 1: you're able to at least capture that position in that way. 204 00:10:03,520 --> 00:10:05,800 Speaker 1: But then you're staring at like Brock Bowers, who could 205 00:10:05,800 --> 00:10:08,480 Speaker 1: clearly go nuclear this year. Ye you know, you're staring 206 00:10:08,520 --> 00:10:10,800 Speaker 1: at Trey McBride coming off the season that he had. 207 00:10:11,320 --> 00:10:13,839 Speaker 1: Even Colson Lovelin you can make a very easy pro 208 00:10:14,040 --> 00:10:17,080 Speaker 1: argument for. So what's been your approach at tight end? 209 00:10:17,240 --> 00:10:20,760 Speaker 1: Has it been like like, Okay, I'm in round two, 210 00:10:20,960 --> 00:10:23,960 Speaker 1: I'm gonna just draft Bowers and then obviously adjust, you know, 211 00:10:24,040 --> 00:10:26,560 Speaker 1: as I go, Or is it like, hey, I know 212 00:10:26,840 --> 00:10:29,160 Speaker 1: that the way the landscape looks right now is that 213 00:10:29,200 --> 00:10:31,360 Speaker 1: there's a lot of ambiguity in those late rounds where 214 00:10:31,360 --> 00:10:33,280 Speaker 1: I'm probably gonna just get tight end. So maybe I'm 215 00:10:33,280 --> 00:10:36,640 Speaker 1: gonna lean running back wide receiver instead in round two 216 00:10:36,800 --> 00:10:39,120 Speaker 1: and not go after one of these guys and then 217 00:10:39,160 --> 00:10:42,680 Speaker 1: maybe get some some some exposure to those guys later 218 00:10:42,760 --> 00:10:44,560 Speaker 1: on in the year. Has that been a thought process 219 00:10:44,640 --> 00:10:46,920 Speaker 1: or has it just been like, no, I think Bowers 220 00:10:46,920 --> 00:10:49,079 Speaker 1: are gonna smash I'm gonna draft Rock Bowers. 221 00:10:49,480 --> 00:10:51,559 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think this This question kind of goes to, 222 00:10:51,640 --> 00:10:55,640 Speaker 3: like with best Ball, you're there's sort of the are 223 00:10:55,679 --> 00:10:58,439 Speaker 3: you evaluating like what has worked in the past versus 224 00:10:58,559 --> 00:11:02,120 Speaker 3: trying to be forward looking and what will work given 225 00:11:02,960 --> 00:11:06,199 Speaker 3: a brand new set of ADPs that apply to this 226 00:11:06,280 --> 00:11:09,320 Speaker 3: specific player pool that we're only going to get one 227 00:11:09,360 --> 00:11:12,760 Speaker 3: shot at this offseason. And this is where we have 228 00:11:12,800 --> 00:11:15,120 Speaker 3: a tool leg up called the Sidekick that has it's 229 00:11:15,120 --> 00:11:18,040 Speaker 3: a SYM driven player recommendation tool, and we're able to 230 00:11:18,080 --> 00:11:20,400 Speaker 3: evaluate things like what is available now versus what it 231 00:11:20,480 --> 00:11:23,440 Speaker 3: is available later by sending out the NFL season and 232 00:11:23,440 --> 00:11:26,160 Speaker 3: then also the contests that you're in. And what we're seeing, 233 00:11:26,200 --> 00:11:29,679 Speaker 3: honestly is that like Bowers, the fact that these tight 234 00:11:29,760 --> 00:11:32,679 Speaker 3: ends are available later does not mean that you need 235 00:11:32,720 --> 00:11:35,960 Speaker 3: to avoid Bowers. And in fact, when you have Bowers, 236 00:11:36,720 --> 00:11:39,120 Speaker 3: you do not need to limit yourself to two tight ends. 237 00:11:39,800 --> 00:11:41,720 Speaker 3: Like if you get to the final rounds and it's 238 00:11:41,800 --> 00:11:45,960 Speaker 3: like there aren't any good players left, but there's some 239 00:11:46,000 --> 00:11:48,920 Speaker 3: tight ends who could hit your lineup. You should probably 240 00:11:48,920 --> 00:11:52,040 Speaker 3: take those tight ends, and it might be the case 241 00:11:52,080 --> 00:11:55,080 Speaker 3: that you have extra roster spots as well, if you 242 00:11:55,160 --> 00:11:57,959 Speaker 3: went with a build that's like four or five total 243 00:11:58,040 --> 00:12:01,440 Speaker 3: running backs, where you've got some running backs, I don't 244 00:12:01,440 --> 00:12:05,400 Speaker 3: think you necessarily need eleven wide receivers, even on full 245 00:12:05,440 --> 00:12:08,439 Speaker 3: PPR in twenty rounds. On DraftKings like you can have 246 00:12:08,559 --> 00:12:12,600 Speaker 3: nine wide receivers. You can have you know, three, maybe 247 00:12:12,600 --> 00:12:14,559 Speaker 3: even four tight ends, depending on where your tight end 248 00:12:14,559 --> 00:12:18,360 Speaker 3: two came with a brock Bowers or Trey McBride or 249 00:12:18,400 --> 00:12:20,520 Speaker 3: a call some level or Tyler Warren or whatever like 250 00:12:20,559 --> 00:12:22,720 Speaker 3: you can you can still build in some depth at 251 00:12:22,720 --> 00:12:25,160 Speaker 3: that position if the opportunity cost that the other positions 252 00:12:25,200 --> 00:12:28,640 Speaker 3: is pretty low, and if you have I think particularly 253 00:12:28,640 --> 00:12:31,319 Speaker 3: if you have running back covered with kind of a 254 00:12:31,400 --> 00:12:32,559 Speaker 3: hyper fragile. 255 00:12:32,160 --> 00:12:35,760 Speaker 2: Build, sure where you've got at least a couple early 256 00:12:35,960 --> 00:12:38,120 Speaker 2: kind of hammers Leam Murphy. 257 00:12:38,200 --> 00:12:41,000 Speaker 1: What's one of the biggest differences that you see year 258 00:12:41,040 --> 00:12:43,040 Speaker 1: over year. Do you think that it's the same that 259 00:12:43,080 --> 00:12:44,959 Speaker 1: we're seeing year over year. Are there are there major 260 00:12:44,960 --> 00:12:46,880 Speaker 1: differences or do you think it's mostly what we saw 261 00:12:46,960 --> 00:12:47,440 Speaker 1: last year? 262 00:12:47,840 --> 00:12:50,600 Speaker 5: No, it's major differences, and I think that's a fun 263 00:12:51,480 --> 00:12:54,080 Speaker 5: puzzle piece, right. Like for the past couple of years, 264 00:12:54,120 --> 00:12:57,200 Speaker 5: I would say the market has mostly remained the same, 265 00:12:58,120 --> 00:13:00,680 Speaker 5: and it's not really clear to me exactly why we're 266 00:13:00,679 --> 00:13:04,920 Speaker 5: seeing these wide market changes, but the market is very different, 267 00:13:05,559 --> 00:13:11,200 Speaker 5: specifically at running back and quarterback. I would say running 268 00:13:11,200 --> 00:13:16,760 Speaker 5: back since BBM two, so that's twenty twenty one. Since 269 00:13:16,800 --> 00:13:20,480 Speaker 5: twenty twenty one, twenty twenty, we have not seen running 270 00:13:20,520 --> 00:13:26,640 Speaker 5: backs this expensive in drafts, and with quarterback like used 271 00:13:26,679 --> 00:13:29,960 Speaker 5: to be able to get like CJ. Stroud or the 272 00:13:30,040 --> 00:13:32,920 Speaker 5: other rookie guys who went literally second in the draft, 273 00:13:33,040 --> 00:13:35,840 Speaker 5: they would be like eighteenth round draft picks, right Or 274 00:13:36,000 --> 00:13:42,520 Speaker 5: you think of Matt Stafford last year and he was 275 00:13:42,720 --> 00:13:46,760 Speaker 5: whatever like a fifteenth round pick, especially after the back stuff, 276 00:13:47,200 --> 00:13:51,040 Speaker 5: or Daniel Jones was like a seventeenth round pick. Even 277 00:13:50,440 --> 00:13:56,559 Speaker 5: the stinkers of the quarterbacks like Geno Rogers Mendoza, I'm 278 00:13:56,600 --> 00:13:59,520 Speaker 5: looking at a high stakes draft I did yesterday on DraftKings, 279 00:14:00,080 --> 00:14:02,880 Speaker 5: but gone by the fourteenth round. So the true stinkers 280 00:14:02,920 --> 00:14:08,960 Speaker 5: are like job security guys, the Atlanta quarterbacks, the Browns quarterbacks. 281 00:14:09,000 --> 00:14:11,920 Speaker 5: Like it's it's way different there, and then of course 282 00:14:11,960 --> 00:14:16,360 Speaker 5: at running back, we got about five running backs maybe 283 00:14:16,480 --> 00:14:19,120 Speaker 5: six consistently going in the first round. We have not 284 00:14:19,200 --> 00:14:24,840 Speaker 5: seen that forever. And even like the dead zone guys 285 00:14:24,920 --> 00:14:31,760 Speaker 5: of yesteryear, that's probably like the fifth round to the 286 00:14:31,800 --> 00:14:33,720 Speaker 5: tenth round, where like, some of these guys are gonna 287 00:14:33,720 --> 00:14:35,480 Speaker 5: be big hits, and I like some of them. So 288 00:14:35,560 --> 00:14:39,640 Speaker 5: I'm talking to anyone from like Swift scatter Bow down 289 00:14:39,720 --> 00:14:45,080 Speaker 5: to Dobbin's White or whatever something like something, whatever range 290 00:14:45,120 --> 00:14:46,680 Speaker 5: you want to say, They're some of the gonna be 291 00:14:46,720 --> 00:14:48,920 Speaker 5: big hits. Some of them are gonna be silent killers. 292 00:14:49,160 --> 00:14:51,600 Speaker 5: Maybe Chuba like some of these guys I'm softer on, 293 00:14:51,720 --> 00:14:52,960 Speaker 5: but that's what I'm seeing. 294 00:14:53,080 --> 00:14:53,880 Speaker 2: What about you? 295 00:14:54,560 --> 00:14:54,840 Speaker 6: You know? 296 00:14:54,960 --> 00:14:57,480 Speaker 1: I agree? I think the big thing that kind of 297 00:14:57,520 --> 00:15:00,160 Speaker 1: a continuation, like a trend, you know, like like it 298 00:15:00,680 --> 00:15:02,640 Speaker 1: was happening a little bit last year and now it's 299 00:15:02,680 --> 00:15:04,920 Speaker 1: just continued. As the quarterback thing that you mentioned, where 300 00:15:05,160 --> 00:15:08,960 Speaker 1: I guess my question back to you about the quarterback 301 00:15:09,000 --> 00:15:12,080 Speaker 1: stuff is that you now are seeing those lower end 302 00:15:12,160 --> 00:15:15,840 Speaker 1: QB twos, mid range QB two is being pushed up right, 303 00:15:15,960 --> 00:15:20,880 Speaker 1: They're being drafted earlier. Is that making you want to 304 00:15:20,920 --> 00:15:25,040 Speaker 1: get the elite quarterbacks more because obviously if you can't 305 00:15:25,040 --> 00:15:28,160 Speaker 1: get the value as late, that would mean getting the 306 00:15:28,240 --> 00:15:32,120 Speaker 1: value early is a little bit easier to swallow, you know, 307 00:15:32,360 --> 00:15:34,920 Speaker 1: just given the cost of that. And then on top 308 00:15:34,960 --> 00:15:37,600 Speaker 1: of that, I talked to Pat Kauran last week, who 309 00:15:38,280 --> 00:15:41,280 Speaker 1: was very much fading Josh Allen given the cost. And 310 00:15:41,320 --> 00:15:44,080 Speaker 1: so this plays into that, right where if some of 311 00:15:44,120 --> 00:15:46,120 Speaker 1: these quarterbacks are going a little bit earlier and you're 312 00:15:46,160 --> 00:15:48,480 Speaker 1: not able to get a guy in around eighteen that 313 00:15:48,520 --> 00:15:50,920 Speaker 1: you were reliably were able to get two or three 314 00:15:50,960 --> 00:15:53,960 Speaker 1: years ago, does that make you lean into the Josh 315 00:15:53,960 --> 00:15:54,760 Speaker 1: Allen thing more. 316 00:15:54,840 --> 00:15:56,440 Speaker 5: Yeah, I saw that question on the sheet, and I 317 00:15:56,480 --> 00:15:58,480 Speaker 5: think it should be brought up now. So I'm happy 318 00:15:58,480 --> 00:16:01,160 Speaker 5: you did that. You know, like the Sensus thought process 319 00:16:01,760 --> 00:16:04,800 Speaker 5: is you have to get three quarterbacks. You need three 320 00:16:04,920 --> 00:16:08,120 Speaker 5: quarterbacks in every draft, and you need it by X 321 00:16:08,200 --> 00:16:11,640 Speaker 5: round or whatever. And I think that is so misguided 322 00:16:11,680 --> 00:16:14,680 Speaker 5: and just reacting to last year and relax and lacks 323 00:16:14,760 --> 00:16:18,240 Speaker 5: all contexts. Where again, the reason why three quarterback hit 324 00:16:18,880 --> 00:16:22,320 Speaker 5: is because you could literally get Matt Stafford, Daniel Jones, 325 00:16:22,360 --> 00:16:24,880 Speaker 5: Like these were the cheap bets you could get. Okay, 326 00:16:25,040 --> 00:16:27,000 Speaker 5: these these are the guys you could get the undrafts 327 00:16:27,080 --> 00:16:31,240 Speaker 5: Jackson Dart, guys who were legit top five quarterback options 328 00:16:31,240 --> 00:16:34,160 Speaker 5: in Fantasy for weeks at a time. And now the 329 00:16:34,240 --> 00:16:39,760 Speaker 5: late round options are Gino Smith, Aaron Rodgers, Tua Mendoza, Brissette. Like, 330 00:16:39,840 --> 00:16:42,760 Speaker 5: ask yourself, are these guys going to hit in the 331 00:16:42,800 --> 00:16:45,440 Speaker 5: way that Stafford did? Are they gonna hit in the 332 00:16:45,440 --> 00:16:48,200 Speaker 5: way that Daniel Jones did? And like to me, the 333 00:16:48,560 --> 00:16:51,760 Speaker 5: answer is obviously no. Maybe you could say, like if 334 00:16:51,760 --> 00:16:53,880 Speaker 5: anyone is, it's gonna be Mendoza because he was a 335 00:16:53,920 --> 00:16:56,320 Speaker 5: high draft pick. So sure, like that's a that's a 336 00:16:56,360 --> 00:16:59,640 Speaker 5: mystery box that I'm willing to do. So I'm I 337 00:16:59,680 --> 00:17:02,440 Speaker 5: don't feel compelled to do three quarterback in every draft, 338 00:17:02,760 --> 00:17:07,800 Speaker 5: like I'm comfortable to get to by the like Baker 339 00:17:07,880 --> 00:17:10,960 Speaker 5: Mayfield line depending so I'll go as thin as like 340 00:17:11,400 --> 00:17:17,440 Speaker 5: Goffin Baker or you know, Kyler Murray and bow Nicks. 341 00:17:17,600 --> 00:17:21,080 Speaker 5: What some combo of this not saying I won't take 342 00:17:21,119 --> 00:17:24,160 Speaker 5: a third quarterback, but I'm not so stringent where it's 343 00:17:24,160 --> 00:17:26,320 Speaker 5: like I need my third quarterback. I need my third quarterback. 344 00:17:26,640 --> 00:17:28,680 Speaker 5: And then yeah, of course, like I think it's very 345 00:17:28,720 --> 00:17:32,520 Speaker 5: shortsighted to view Josh Allen and be like he's a fade, 346 00:17:32,560 --> 00:17:35,479 Speaker 5: Like I think it's pretty easily level one thinking where 347 00:17:35,880 --> 00:17:37,800 Speaker 5: you look at Josh Allen, he goes in the third, 348 00:17:38,400 --> 00:17:40,640 Speaker 5: and I'll admit, there's no real rhyme or reason why 349 00:17:40,680 --> 00:17:44,479 Speaker 5: he should have such a gap on Lamar, Joe Burrow, 350 00:17:45,520 --> 00:17:49,439 Speaker 5: maybe some of these Drake May's, Jayden Daniels, Dack, Caleb William, 351 00:17:49,480 --> 00:17:52,840 Speaker 5: guys who go in the fifth through sixth. But what 352 00:17:52,920 --> 00:17:56,840 Speaker 5: you should be thinking through is like what's the cost 353 00:17:56,880 --> 00:17:58,919 Speaker 5: of the stack. So if we look at Josh Allen 354 00:17:59,480 --> 00:18:03,520 Speaker 5: and like, let's just pick Drake May. Okay, so AJ 355 00:18:03,600 --> 00:18:05,960 Speaker 5: Brown and Drake May, you got to burn a second 356 00:18:06,040 --> 00:18:09,760 Speaker 5: round pick to get AJ Brown, Where Josh Allen and 357 00:18:10,240 --> 00:18:14,320 Speaker 5: DJ Moore or Josh Allen, Dalton Kinkaid whatever, Like, you're 358 00:18:14,359 --> 00:18:17,480 Speaker 5: not spent. You're getting a second round player instead of 359 00:18:17,520 --> 00:18:20,679 Speaker 5: AJ Brown. So I don't really think it's that expensive 360 00:18:21,160 --> 00:18:23,680 Speaker 5: of a price to spend on Josh Allen, And honestly 361 00:18:23,800 --> 00:18:27,440 Speaker 5: just doesn't even really matter like where it's like, look, 362 00:18:27,480 --> 00:18:30,359 Speaker 5: if you want a full faded player, that's a variance question. 363 00:18:30,400 --> 00:18:33,160 Speaker 5: That's a risk tolerance question. To me, I think it's 364 00:18:33,200 --> 00:18:36,520 Speaker 5: obviously no I'm out at Josh Allen at his second 365 00:18:36,560 --> 00:18:39,680 Speaker 5: round cost like that to me is just a little ridiculous. 366 00:18:40,160 --> 00:18:42,199 Speaker 5: But I was doing a five five five yesterday. He 367 00:18:42,240 --> 00:18:44,800 Speaker 5: felt to me to the back of the third. Sometimes 368 00:18:44,800 --> 00:18:47,000 Speaker 5: he goes to the fourth. I think it's a no 369 00:18:47,080 --> 00:18:49,720 Speaker 5: brainer to mix them in there, especially because you should 370 00:18:49,720 --> 00:18:52,240 Speaker 5: be asking yourself like can this be a guy you 371 00:18:52,320 --> 00:18:54,720 Speaker 5: need to win the contest? And the answer is so 372 00:18:54,840 --> 00:18:58,280 Speaker 5: obviously yes. Where he gets the Dolphins, like can Josh 373 00:18:58,320 --> 00:18:59,800 Speaker 5: Allen drop forty against the Dolphins? 374 00:19:00,080 --> 00:19:00,280 Speaker 2: Yes? 375 00:19:00,359 --> 00:19:01,440 Speaker 5: Is that pretty realistic? 376 00:19:02,160 --> 00:19:02,400 Speaker 4: Yes? 377 00:19:02,640 --> 00:19:05,480 Speaker 5: Right, So to me, I'm not fading him. And then 378 00:19:05,520 --> 00:19:08,080 Speaker 5: to your point, when I get Josh Allen, yeah, I 379 00:19:08,160 --> 00:19:11,359 Speaker 5: can just take Josh Allen, Malik Willis, Josh Allen, Tyler 380 00:19:11,440 --> 00:19:12,320 Speaker 5: shuck Josh. 381 00:19:12,040 --> 00:19:12,960 Speaker 1: Allen, CJ. 382 00:19:13,080 --> 00:19:16,359 Speaker 5: Stroud, and I don't need to fool around in this 383 00:19:16,520 --> 00:19:19,240 Speaker 5: like round seven to eleven range where a lot of 384 00:19:19,240 --> 00:19:21,160 Speaker 5: people are going three quarterback? 385 00:19:21,560 --> 00:19:23,800 Speaker 1: What do you think your portfolio will end up as 386 00:19:23,880 --> 00:19:26,199 Speaker 1: when you look at two versus three quarterback builds? Like 387 00:19:26,240 --> 00:19:29,000 Speaker 1: how just so people listening would like have an idea 388 00:19:29,000 --> 00:19:31,560 Speaker 1: of where your head's at with sort of the you know, 389 00:19:31,600 --> 00:19:32,960 Speaker 1: the proportion of the two. 390 00:19:33,440 --> 00:19:35,000 Speaker 2: I generally lean to QB. 391 00:19:35,240 --> 00:19:41,600 Speaker 5: It's worse for advance rate, but it's like I don't 392 00:19:41,600 --> 00:19:43,960 Speaker 5: care about advance rate as much as other people, Like 393 00:19:44,080 --> 00:19:47,720 Speaker 5: I'm okay rolling up in December and people making fun 394 00:19:47,760 --> 00:19:51,600 Speaker 5: of me and being like he only advanced twenty three teams, 395 00:19:51,640 --> 00:19:56,200 Speaker 5: like that's not I'm not playing for looking good fifteen. 396 00:19:56,480 --> 00:19:59,920 Speaker 5: I'm playing what I think is optimal to win the contest. 397 00:20:00,400 --> 00:20:02,320 Speaker 5: And so yeah, I will do three quarterback when it 398 00:20:02,320 --> 00:20:04,600 Speaker 5: makes sense, like say I have a Cardinal Tait and 399 00:20:04,680 --> 00:20:08,359 Speaker 5: I already have Dart and Love and cam Ward's there, Yeah, 400 00:20:08,400 --> 00:20:10,439 Speaker 5: I'll mix it. I'll take him, but I'm not going 401 00:20:10,520 --> 00:20:12,800 Speaker 5: to pass him if I think there's a literal difference 402 00:20:12,840 --> 00:20:15,560 Speaker 5: maker at the position, like I'm looking to go three 403 00:20:15,640 --> 00:20:20,440 Speaker 5: quarterback more when it's like I have Malik Willis Tyler shuck, Yes, 404 00:20:20,520 --> 00:20:22,640 Speaker 5: I really want a third on that because it's all 405 00:20:22,680 --> 00:20:25,840 Speaker 5: like kind of mystery box y. I personally like the 406 00:20:25,880 --> 00:20:30,760 Speaker 5: Malik Willis bet, but it is uncertain, so I lean 407 00:20:30,840 --> 00:20:34,000 Speaker 5: more two QB. But and I don't know Zach like 408 00:20:34,040 --> 00:20:36,480 Speaker 5: I don't. I'm also not in such a nerd with 409 00:20:36,520 --> 00:20:40,200 Speaker 5: it where I'm like I have eighteen three, like I'm 410 00:20:40,359 --> 00:20:43,360 Speaker 5: just drafting East Draft, And that's what why best Ball 411 00:20:43,400 --> 00:20:45,760 Speaker 5: is great. It's like you draft, you're done, Let's find 412 00:20:45,760 --> 00:20:47,280 Speaker 5: out who wins at the end of the year. Like 413 00:20:47,359 --> 00:20:51,080 Speaker 5: I'm not using a caddy. I'm not going through like 414 00:20:51,160 --> 00:20:52,879 Speaker 5: I know roughly who I'm taking and who I'm not. 415 00:20:53,240 --> 00:20:55,480 Speaker 1: When you refer to the playoff weeks, right and you 416 00:20:55,520 --> 00:20:58,199 Speaker 1: refer to the two quarterback build versus three quarterback, is 417 00:20:58,240 --> 00:21:03,160 Speaker 1: that something that you are saying, I have outs at 418 00:21:03,240 --> 00:21:06,400 Speaker 1: wide receiver, running back in a stack that other people 419 00:21:06,480 --> 00:21:08,680 Speaker 1: might not because they spent that on a quarter that 420 00:21:09,000 --> 00:21:11,800 Speaker 1: pick on a quarterback instead of boosting up or bolstering 421 00:21:12,240 --> 00:21:14,399 Speaker 1: that or just another running back and wide receiver that 422 00:21:14,400 --> 00:21:18,360 Speaker 1: could potentially hit. Or is it a larger roster construction 423 00:21:18,480 --> 00:21:21,960 Speaker 1: thing also where you know that in you know, if 424 00:21:21,960 --> 00:21:23,960 Speaker 1: the meta right now is three quarterback and you know 425 00:21:24,000 --> 00:21:25,919 Speaker 1: that a lot of these teams are three quarterback, you 426 00:21:25,960 --> 00:21:28,520 Speaker 1: just have an inherent edge because there's there's just a 427 00:21:28,520 --> 00:21:31,840 Speaker 1: different roster construction that you're using once you get to 428 00:21:31,920 --> 00:21:32,640 Speaker 1: the playoffs. 429 00:21:32,880 --> 00:21:34,800 Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean, I guess it does boil down to 430 00:21:34,920 --> 00:21:37,800 Speaker 5: my core philosophy. Is hitting a difference maker at a 431 00:21:37,840 --> 00:21:41,800 Speaker 5: skill position is more important than having a third quarterback 432 00:21:42,000 --> 00:21:44,440 Speaker 5: got and so like, yeah, look, does it suck when 433 00:21:44,440 --> 00:21:46,720 Speaker 5: one of your quarterback gets hurt or both get hurt 434 00:21:46,720 --> 00:21:49,800 Speaker 5: and you got a dead team? Sure, but you think 435 00:21:49,840 --> 00:21:53,000 Speaker 5: of the guys who make you win this contest, having 436 00:21:53,040 --> 00:21:56,520 Speaker 5: another shot at getting or shot Penny that year, a 437 00:21:56,600 --> 00:21:59,800 Speaker 5: mon Ross, Saint Brown his rookie year. These are the 438 00:21:59,800 --> 00:22:02,560 Speaker 5: things to me that decide who wins the contest and 439 00:22:02,600 --> 00:22:06,080 Speaker 5: who doesn't. And we do see quarterbacks separate at times, 440 00:22:06,080 --> 00:22:09,320 Speaker 5: of course, and so yeah, technically you have another shot 441 00:22:09,320 --> 00:22:12,840 Speaker 5: of that if you tack on Tua. But again, like 442 00:22:12,960 --> 00:22:15,399 Speaker 5: I'm not panicked with it, Like, as long as I 443 00:22:15,440 --> 00:22:18,480 Speaker 5: have two guys, I feel reasonable. And it comes back 444 00:22:18,520 --> 00:22:20,840 Speaker 5: to me from like your home league. Like, pretend you 445 00:22:20,880 --> 00:22:23,000 Speaker 5: have a home league, you have a good team, and 446 00:22:23,040 --> 00:22:26,439 Speaker 5: your only quarterback is Jordan Love. You're not feeling like 447 00:22:26,480 --> 00:22:29,320 Speaker 5: your team is like dead each week, right, Like, yeah, okay, 448 00:22:29,359 --> 00:22:31,919 Speaker 5: you're not feeling great, but you got Jordan Love, you 449 00:22:31,960 --> 00:22:35,639 Speaker 5: got a second guy. Reasonable, right, But yeah, I do 450 00:22:35,760 --> 00:22:38,240 Speaker 5: want to have more shots at landing the difference maker, 451 00:22:38,880 --> 00:22:40,320 Speaker 5: which to me comes at running back. 452 00:22:40,160 --> 00:22:40,760 Speaker 4: At white ol. 453 00:22:42,240 --> 00:22:45,119 Speaker 1: Neil Orfield. The thing that I always struggle with is 454 00:22:45,160 --> 00:22:49,919 Speaker 1: then getting proper exposure based on what I think is 455 00:22:49,960 --> 00:22:53,080 Speaker 1: the optimal strategy to take in some of these drafts. 456 00:22:53,119 --> 00:22:55,479 Speaker 1: Like for instance, like if you think going running back 457 00:22:55,520 --> 00:22:57,239 Speaker 1: running back is like the way to go, especially if 458 00:22:57,240 --> 00:22:58,760 Speaker 1: you're in the back half of the first round or 459 00:22:58,760 --> 00:23:00,000 Speaker 1: something like that, which we'll get to it in a stead. 460 00:23:00,640 --> 00:23:02,560 Speaker 1: If you think going running back running back like that 461 00:23:02,640 --> 00:23:06,240 Speaker 1: is optimal, then sure you'll get some different iterations for 462 00:23:06,359 --> 00:23:08,520 Speaker 1: the running backs that you're taking, but maybe you never 463 00:23:08,560 --> 00:23:11,280 Speaker 1: get CD Lamb even though you probably want some exposure 464 00:23:11,320 --> 00:23:13,600 Speaker 1: to CD lamb. Is that something that you're constantly thinking 465 00:23:13,640 --> 00:23:16,440 Speaker 1: about in general? Is it something that you're thinking about 466 00:23:16,840 --> 00:23:18,840 Speaker 1: right now in June or is it something that you 467 00:23:18,880 --> 00:23:20,879 Speaker 1: worry about a little bit later in the season if 468 00:23:20,880 --> 00:23:23,439 Speaker 1: you're doing something like the MILLI where you know that 469 00:23:23,480 --> 00:23:26,119 Speaker 1: you can kind of even out exposure as the summer 470 00:23:26,200 --> 00:23:26,520 Speaker 1: goes on. 471 00:23:27,240 --> 00:23:30,040 Speaker 6: Yeah, and it's it's definitely something that I'm thinking about constantly, 472 00:23:30,160 --> 00:23:33,240 Speaker 6: but it's not something that I'm acting on as much. 473 00:23:33,160 --> 00:23:34,879 Speaker 2: Right now as it will be later on. 474 00:23:34,960 --> 00:23:37,200 Speaker 6: Like you said, like because you and I we're gonna 475 00:23:37,200 --> 00:23:40,400 Speaker 6: be drafting all summer, like we have time to even 476 00:23:40,440 --> 00:23:43,040 Speaker 6: at our exposures if we want to. But generally, I 477 00:23:43,040 --> 00:23:45,800 Speaker 6: think it's just draft to draft, just making the best 478 00:23:45,800 --> 00:23:48,480 Speaker 6: pick for that draft. I think it's generally the correct 479 00:23:48,480 --> 00:23:52,520 Speaker 6: approach because ADP is gonna shift throughout the year, and 480 00:23:52,560 --> 00:23:55,639 Speaker 6: you're gonna have different opportunities throughout the year because you know, 481 00:23:55,720 --> 00:23:57,960 Speaker 6: ADP shifts like we saw with you know, we've seen 482 00:23:58,240 --> 00:24:00,720 Speaker 6: aj Brown shift from a third round pick to a 483 00:24:00,720 --> 00:24:02,960 Speaker 6: second round pick, and so you know it's better to 484 00:24:02,960 --> 00:24:05,080 Speaker 6: get him in the third round, and you see that 485 00:24:05,240 --> 00:24:08,199 Speaker 6: throughout the summer, all these different players are going to 486 00:24:08,240 --> 00:24:11,840 Speaker 6: shift in their ADP now for you know, the opposite 487 00:24:11,840 --> 00:24:14,119 Speaker 6: example would be like I'm not really taking Melik Neighbors 488 00:24:14,200 --> 00:24:15,879 Speaker 6: right now, but I'm not worried about it because I 489 00:24:15,920 --> 00:24:20,200 Speaker 6: think Melik Neighbors is going to move backwards later in 490 00:24:20,200 --> 00:24:21,760 Speaker 6: the summer. We're going to be able to get him later. 491 00:24:21,920 --> 00:24:24,040 Speaker 6: So I think, you know, generally, it's something that's always 492 00:24:24,040 --> 00:24:25,800 Speaker 6: on my mind, what are my exposures looking at and 493 00:24:25,880 --> 00:24:28,159 Speaker 6: my comfortable with these exposures. But I also know that 494 00:24:28,240 --> 00:24:31,199 Speaker 6: ADP is going to shift over time. And also, just 495 00:24:31,200 --> 00:24:33,840 Speaker 6: like draft to draft, you can see even right now, 496 00:24:33,880 --> 00:24:37,040 Speaker 6: if I do ten drafts today, I can keep my 497 00:24:37,160 --> 00:24:39,800 Speaker 6: rankings the exact same but I'm gonna have different opportunities 498 00:24:39,880 --> 00:24:43,320 Speaker 6: draft to draft, so you know, I might always be 499 00:24:43,440 --> 00:24:47,119 Speaker 6: taking those those running backs in the later rounds. But 500 00:24:47,160 --> 00:24:50,840 Speaker 6: there's gonna come a draft where, like you say, Ceedee Lamb, 501 00:24:50,880 --> 00:24:52,440 Speaker 6: if you want to get Ceede Lamb, there's going to 502 00:24:52,480 --> 00:24:54,160 Speaker 6: come a draft where Seedy Lamb is just gonna fall 503 00:24:54,200 --> 00:24:56,040 Speaker 6: to you at the eleven pick or something, so you 504 00:24:56,040 --> 00:24:59,040 Speaker 6: can keep him ranked behind Justin Jeffson and Almana Saint 505 00:24:59,040 --> 00:25:01,480 Speaker 6: Brown and Christian mcaff whoever it is that you're taking 506 00:25:01,520 --> 00:25:04,320 Speaker 6: over him, and you're gonna have opportunities to draft him 507 00:25:05,040 --> 00:25:07,200 Speaker 6: without reaching to to take him ahead of players that 508 00:25:07,240 --> 00:25:09,240 Speaker 6: you like better. So I don't worry about it that 509 00:25:09,359 --> 00:25:11,919 Speaker 6: much right now. But yeah, once we get to August, 510 00:25:11,920 --> 00:25:14,040 Speaker 6: if I'm like, you know, I don't really see a 511 00:25:14,080 --> 00:25:18,080 Speaker 6: big separation between Cede Lamb and Alman Ross Saint Brown, 512 00:25:18,200 --> 00:25:20,239 Speaker 6: then I might start just I'll reach a little bit 513 00:25:20,280 --> 00:25:22,880 Speaker 6: and take Ceedee Lamb over Alman Ross Saint Brown. But yeah, 514 00:25:23,040 --> 00:25:26,040 Speaker 6: for now, I'm not, I'm not really you know, going 515 00:25:26,080 --> 00:25:29,160 Speaker 6: out of my way to even out my exposures that much. Now, Yeah, 516 00:25:29,200 --> 00:25:31,879 Speaker 6: I say this, I think that that is the correct 517 00:25:31,880 --> 00:25:33,560 Speaker 6: approaches to not do it that much. I do it 518 00:25:33,600 --> 00:25:35,879 Speaker 6: so like I can't help it because there are players 519 00:25:35,880 --> 00:25:37,560 Speaker 6: that I'm like, you know, I really don't feel that 520 00:25:37,600 --> 00:25:40,640 Speaker 6: differently about. Like I had this conversation with Karan last week, 521 00:25:40,720 --> 00:25:43,600 Speaker 6: Tedro macmillan and Luthor Burden, like, yeah, if I use 522 00:25:43,680 --> 00:25:46,800 Speaker 6: his product, I'm always gonna get Tedroo McMillan ahead of 523 00:25:46,840 --> 00:25:48,760 Speaker 6: Luthor Burden. I'm to me, Like, to me, it's not 524 00:25:48,880 --> 00:25:51,840 Speaker 6: that clear that I like t Maac that much better 525 00:25:51,960 --> 00:25:54,040 Speaker 6: than Luthor Burden, because I think there's pros and cons 526 00:25:54,080 --> 00:25:57,480 Speaker 6: to both. So I might sometimes reach and take you know, 527 00:25:57,520 --> 00:25:59,679 Speaker 6: a Burden over Tero Maple and you know, profiles like 528 00:25:59,680 --> 00:26:01,639 Speaker 6: that were It's like, it's not that clear to me 529 00:26:01,720 --> 00:26:03,960 Speaker 6: that this is a different tier of player. So I 530 00:26:04,000 --> 00:26:05,919 Speaker 6: do I do sometimes reach a little bit, but I 531 00:26:05,920 --> 00:26:09,000 Speaker 6: think that the correct approach is the you know, let it, 532 00:26:09,040 --> 00:26:10,520 Speaker 6: you know, work itself out over time. 533 00:26:10,920 --> 00:26:13,280 Speaker 1: Yeah, makes a lot of sense to me. So also 534 00:26:13,440 --> 00:26:16,920 Speaker 1: this year, we're definitely seeing more people. I will say 535 00:26:16,960 --> 00:26:19,840 Speaker 1: I think that part of like the running back heavy discussion, 536 00:26:19,840 --> 00:26:21,520 Speaker 1: which is why I love that you answered that first 537 00:26:21,600 --> 00:26:24,240 Speaker 1: question with quarterback and not running back, because I think 538 00:26:24,240 --> 00:26:26,600 Speaker 1: it's sort of like the default to talk about the 539 00:26:26,640 --> 00:26:28,359 Speaker 1: running back, not to say that it's right or wrong, 540 00:26:28,760 --> 00:26:31,000 Speaker 1: but I do think that it might be a little 541 00:26:31,000 --> 00:26:33,400 Speaker 1: bit overblown, like the idea that people are like going 542 00:26:33,440 --> 00:26:35,760 Speaker 1: so crazy for running backs right now and such and 543 00:26:35,800 --> 00:26:38,119 Speaker 1: like that, like it's so totally different than what we 544 00:26:38,119 --> 00:26:40,520 Speaker 1: saw last year. I would argue that last year we 545 00:26:40,560 --> 00:26:42,639 Speaker 1: still saw a decent amount of running backs going early 546 00:26:42,760 --> 00:26:46,399 Speaker 1: in these drafts, especially because the year before that running 547 00:26:46,400 --> 00:26:49,320 Speaker 1: back was actually pretty strong, and so we are seeing 548 00:26:49,400 --> 00:26:50,879 Speaker 1: some like I think that part of it is the 549 00:26:50,960 --> 00:26:54,720 Speaker 1: narrative of like some zero rb bros who are now 550 00:26:54,880 --> 00:26:58,560 Speaker 1: touting you know, going earlier around running back is making 551 00:26:58,640 --> 00:27:02,080 Speaker 1: the entire industr be like, oh man, like everyone's going 552 00:27:02,080 --> 00:27:04,119 Speaker 1: earlier around running back now, which is probably true to 553 00:27:04,160 --> 00:27:05,920 Speaker 1: a degree. But there's still some good wide receiver picks 554 00:27:05,960 --> 00:27:08,159 Speaker 1: in there, but the meta has certainly shifted. Let's just 555 00:27:08,160 --> 00:27:10,480 Speaker 1: say that, Let's say that people are more okay and 556 00:27:10,600 --> 00:27:13,080 Speaker 1: drafting multiple running backs with their first couple of picks. 557 00:27:13,480 --> 00:27:15,919 Speaker 1: So my question though, and this is one that I 558 00:27:15,960 --> 00:27:19,080 Speaker 1: asked Liam last week as well, is this a year 559 00:27:19,119 --> 00:27:22,280 Speaker 1: then to zig when everyone's zagging and go zero RB 560 00:27:22,480 --> 00:27:26,080 Speaker 1: as people are more comfortable with a robust RB approach. 561 00:27:26,760 --> 00:27:29,280 Speaker 6: I think that the correct approach is always to just 562 00:27:29,400 --> 00:27:33,119 Speaker 6: take what the draft room gives you. So no, I 563 00:27:33,160 --> 00:27:35,359 Speaker 6: don't think that it's necessarily the right year, Like I 564 00:27:35,359 --> 00:27:38,320 Speaker 6: don't think that you should be forcing zero RB this 565 00:27:38,440 --> 00:27:41,440 Speaker 6: year because we don't have the same type of late 566 00:27:41,520 --> 00:27:43,520 Speaker 6: round running backs that we used to have. So part 567 00:27:43,560 --> 00:27:45,679 Speaker 6: of the reason that you know, I was really in 568 00:27:45,800 --> 00:27:47,720 Speaker 6: on zero RB, I mean even last year when it 569 00:27:47,720 --> 00:27:50,520 Speaker 6: didn't really work out for me, was because I thought, 570 00:27:50,560 --> 00:27:52,440 Speaker 6: at least last year that there were tons of late 571 00:27:52,520 --> 00:27:55,840 Speaker 6: round running backs that had really strong profiles. It was, 572 00:27:56,320 --> 00:27:59,720 Speaker 6: you know, a really strong rookie running back draft class 573 00:28:00,080 --> 00:28:02,760 Speaker 6: could get these rookie running backs late who should have 574 00:28:02,960 --> 00:28:05,720 Speaker 6: a ton of upside, have some continued value. Now for me, 575 00:28:05,840 --> 00:28:07,920 Speaker 6: I took all the wrong ones. I was taking Richard Smith, 576 00:28:08,000 --> 00:28:09,399 Speaker 6: Darks Hunter, et cetera, et cetera. 577 00:28:09,480 --> 00:28:10,639 Speaker 2: But I know you started. 578 00:28:10,400 --> 00:28:12,840 Speaker 6: Talking about kalman Ungui late later on in the season 579 00:28:12,840 --> 00:28:15,320 Speaker 6: after not really loving him early on. Woody Marks like, 580 00:28:15,480 --> 00:28:18,480 Speaker 6: there were these running backs that you could get later on, 581 00:28:19,040 --> 00:28:21,560 Speaker 6: so it made more sense to do more zero RB 582 00:28:22,160 --> 00:28:25,080 Speaker 6: when they're were stronger running backs later. Now you have 583 00:28:25,280 --> 00:28:27,840 Speaker 6: a lot of the running backs that were that are 584 00:28:27,840 --> 00:28:29,960 Speaker 6: like young running backs that we see have a lot 585 00:28:29,960 --> 00:28:32,160 Speaker 6: of upside, you can't really get them in the later 586 00:28:32,240 --> 00:28:32,920 Speaker 6: rounds anymore. 587 00:28:32,960 --> 00:28:35,680 Speaker 2: Like even last year you could get like a Tyler Lgier. 588 00:28:35,720 --> 00:28:38,200 Speaker 6: So I love the running backs, particularly in Best Ball, 589 00:28:38,240 --> 00:28:41,200 Speaker 6: that have some standalone value, like they don't need anything 590 00:28:41,200 --> 00:28:43,080 Speaker 6: to happen, and they're going to have some double digit 591 00:28:43,160 --> 00:28:46,280 Speaker 6: scoring weeks, but then also have like awesome contingent upside. 592 00:28:46,280 --> 00:28:48,240 Speaker 6: So last year was like Tyler Lgiear, if something happened 593 00:28:48,280 --> 00:28:51,240 Speaker 6: to be Jean Robinson was going to be awesome. You 594 00:28:51,360 --> 00:28:54,040 Speaker 6: just don't really have a ton of those guys later on. 595 00:28:54,920 --> 00:28:56,920 Speaker 6: So if you and you need to score some running 596 00:28:56,960 --> 00:28:59,760 Speaker 6: back points early on, so you really can't wait too 597 00:29:00,040 --> 00:29:02,600 Speaker 6: long I think to start drafting running backs now. I 598 00:29:02,640 --> 00:29:05,560 Speaker 6: still do some zero RB ish builds where I won't 599 00:29:05,600 --> 00:29:08,400 Speaker 6: take a running back until like the seventh round, but 600 00:29:08,480 --> 00:29:11,640 Speaker 6: it's tougher because we don't have, you know, a ton 601 00:29:11,680 --> 00:29:13,560 Speaker 6: of these, and you do have some like you. I mean, 602 00:29:13,600 --> 00:29:16,040 Speaker 6: Brian Robinson might be an example this year replacing Tyler 603 00:29:16,040 --> 00:29:18,360 Speaker 6: Aldiere in Atlanta, who knows like you can you can 604 00:29:18,400 --> 00:29:20,600 Speaker 6: probably find some of those later on in drafts who 605 00:29:20,600 --> 00:29:22,480 Speaker 6: are going to have who will have those you know, 606 00:29:22,560 --> 00:29:25,520 Speaker 6: ten point weeks here and there throughout the season, even 607 00:29:25,560 --> 00:29:28,280 Speaker 6: without an injury. But they're more difficult to find because 608 00:29:28,320 --> 00:29:32,000 Speaker 6: people have gotten sharper about how to find the right 609 00:29:32,080 --> 00:29:34,840 Speaker 6: running back profile. So like the running backs who have 610 00:29:35,000 --> 00:29:38,360 Speaker 6: that you know, standalone value, Blake Quorum is now going 611 00:29:38,360 --> 00:29:40,080 Speaker 6: in the top one hundred bick, kaal Manungai going to 612 00:29:40,120 --> 00:29:42,400 Speaker 6: the top one hundred bicks. The type of running back 613 00:29:42,440 --> 00:29:44,160 Speaker 6: that you used to maybe be able to get at 614 00:29:44,200 --> 00:29:46,920 Speaker 6: like pick one forty one fifty, you can't get them 615 00:29:47,080 --> 00:29:50,520 Speaker 6: there anymore. So it is to me more difficult to 616 00:29:50,640 --> 00:29:53,280 Speaker 6: go zero RB this year than it has been in 617 00:29:53,400 --> 00:29:55,920 Speaker 6: years past. But then the you know, the tricky part 618 00:29:56,000 --> 00:29:58,280 Speaker 6: there is it does feel like, you know, we we 619 00:29:58,320 --> 00:30:00,120 Speaker 6: have a lot of kind of aging running backs, a 620 00:30:00,200 --> 00:30:02,719 Speaker 6: lot of miles on their legs at this point, who 621 00:30:02,760 --> 00:30:05,200 Speaker 6: are going in the early rounds. So it does feel 622 00:30:05,200 --> 00:30:08,240 Speaker 6: like we're probably going to find some later round running 623 00:30:08,240 --> 00:30:11,000 Speaker 6: backs who don't have a ton of standalone value but 624 00:30:11,120 --> 00:30:15,240 Speaker 6: probably do have massive continent value behind Saquon Barkley, Derrek Henry, 625 00:30:15,320 --> 00:30:18,200 Speaker 6: Jonathan Taylor, whatever, and name any of these running backs 626 00:30:18,200 --> 00:30:20,000 Speaker 6: who are veterans who have a ton of miles on them. 627 00:30:20,880 --> 00:30:23,760 Speaker 6: But to me, it's like you can you can still 628 00:30:23,800 --> 00:30:27,600 Speaker 6: go after some of those backup running backs without going 629 00:30:27,760 --> 00:30:30,240 Speaker 6: zero RB, because, like, I just think that the tough 630 00:30:30,240 --> 00:30:31,960 Speaker 6: part is you do need to get points early in 631 00:30:32,000 --> 00:30:33,760 Speaker 6: the season to advance your team. You need to get 632 00:30:33,760 --> 00:30:36,000 Speaker 6: some points from running back early on, and it's tougher 633 00:30:36,080 --> 00:30:38,440 Speaker 6: to find those running backs who are going to score 634 00:30:38,560 --> 00:30:41,360 Speaker 6: early points later in drafts this year. So I'm doing 635 00:30:41,600 --> 00:30:44,120 Speaker 6: I am doing some zero RB, but I'm not taking 636 00:30:44,160 --> 00:30:46,120 Speaker 6: it to the extreme that I've done in past years 637 00:30:46,120 --> 00:30:47,760 Speaker 6: where it's like I'm not taking a running back till 638 00:30:47,800 --> 00:30:49,680 Speaker 6: the tenth or eleventh round. Like, to me, zero RB 639 00:30:49,800 --> 00:30:52,360 Speaker 6: now is like sixth or seventh rounds when I started 640 00:30:52,360 --> 00:30:53,560 Speaker 6: taking running backs. 641 00:30:53,840 --> 00:30:56,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, agreed. Are there any middle or late round 642 00:30:56,840 --> 00:31:00,320 Speaker 1: backs that you've really gravitated towards run DK Yeah. 643 00:31:00,320 --> 00:31:02,960 Speaker 6: I mean a lot of the ones that I mentioned, 644 00:31:03,200 --> 00:31:07,640 Speaker 6: I've taken a fair amount of Blake Korum, Kamon Ung Guy. 645 00:31:08,240 --> 00:31:10,800 Speaker 6: The one that I'm really in the middle rounds that 646 00:31:10,840 --> 00:31:13,400 Speaker 6: I've gravitated toward is Jonathan Brooks. I just I can't 647 00:31:13,440 --> 00:31:16,360 Speaker 6: can't get enough Jonathan Brooks. Just I think I've just 648 00:31:16,520 --> 00:31:19,440 Speaker 6: memory wiped the past two years, and just like you know, 649 00:31:19,440 --> 00:31:21,400 Speaker 6: he was so exciting a couple of years ago coming 650 00:31:21,440 --> 00:31:24,560 Speaker 6: in and I don't know, like I'm not a doctor, 651 00:31:24,640 --> 00:31:26,280 Speaker 6: I don't know how to read the medical reports, and 652 00:31:26,280 --> 00:31:28,320 Speaker 6: I think like, depending on who you read, you're going 653 00:31:28,400 --> 00:31:31,200 Speaker 6: to get a different vantage point on like Jonathan Brooks's 654 00:31:31,200 --> 00:31:33,920 Speaker 6: outlook this year, like did he have did he actually 655 00:31:33,920 --> 00:31:36,280 Speaker 6: tear his ACL twice or was it a repair the 656 00:31:36,320 --> 00:31:38,440 Speaker 6: second time? And he's good to go now. I don't 657 00:31:38,440 --> 00:31:40,959 Speaker 6: know that stuff, but I know that there are some people, 658 00:31:41,080 --> 00:31:44,600 Speaker 6: some you know, Twitter doctors who believe Jonathan Brooks should 659 00:31:44,640 --> 00:31:47,000 Speaker 6: be good to go at this point, should be healthy. 660 00:31:47,040 --> 00:31:49,160 Speaker 2: And then we just get such. 661 00:31:48,960 --> 00:31:52,280 Speaker 6: Bullish coach speak on Jonathan Brooks that kind of leads 662 00:31:52,280 --> 00:31:54,320 Speaker 6: me to believe that, like, you don't really need an 663 00:31:54,360 --> 00:31:57,720 Speaker 6: injury ahead of him to Toobe Hubbard for Jonathan Brooks 664 00:31:57,760 --> 00:32:00,280 Speaker 6: to take over as the top running back on team 665 00:32:00,280 --> 00:32:03,040 Speaker 6: that really wants to run the ball. So so to me, 666 00:32:03,120 --> 00:32:05,520 Speaker 6: Jonathan Brooks is is kind of that mid range running 667 00:32:05,520 --> 00:32:07,280 Speaker 6: back that I've really gravitated toward. 668 00:32:07,400 --> 00:32:07,800 Speaker 2: Now he is. 669 00:32:08,000 --> 00:32:10,680 Speaker 6: He's getting a little bit more difficult as he gets 670 00:32:10,720 --> 00:32:13,680 Speaker 6: closer to the Blake Korum and common Unga because to me, 671 00:32:13,800 --> 00:32:16,440 Speaker 6: like that's kind of the tier that he belongs in now. 672 00:32:16,480 --> 00:32:17,760 Speaker 2: I do think that he. 673 00:32:18,080 --> 00:32:21,440 Speaker 6: Has a probably better odds than either of those two 674 00:32:21,520 --> 00:32:25,560 Speaker 6: to take on like the one A role without an injury, 675 00:32:25,600 --> 00:32:29,160 Speaker 6: but I think that they have probably a stronger hold 676 00:32:29,160 --> 00:32:32,280 Speaker 6: on the or you know, we're surer of their floor, 677 00:32:32,400 --> 00:32:34,360 Speaker 6: like as the one B for a guy like Kamon 678 00:32:34,400 --> 00:32:36,400 Speaker 6: Unguy Blake Orm. So to me, that's kind of the 679 00:32:36,480 --> 00:32:40,080 Speaker 6: right range for Jonathan Brooks until we hear something more 680 00:32:40,120 --> 00:32:42,880 Speaker 6: bullish and he's moving kind of in that direction, but 681 00:32:42,920 --> 00:32:44,720 Speaker 6: he has not quite gotten there yet. So I've been 682 00:32:45,040 --> 00:32:47,040 Speaker 6: drafting just a ton of Jonathan. 683 00:32:46,680 --> 00:32:50,040 Speaker 1: Brooks nez takes. What's been the most common build for 684 00:32:50,040 --> 00:32:51,920 Speaker 1: you this year over on draftings? 685 00:32:52,160 --> 00:32:55,000 Speaker 7: Yeah, right now, it's been, uh and this kind of 686 00:32:55,080 --> 00:32:57,320 Speaker 7: hurts me because I am like a contrarian by nature, 687 00:32:57,520 --> 00:32:59,520 Speaker 7: but I am doing a lot of hyperfragile the four 688 00:32:59,640 --> 00:33:02,040 Speaker 7: to five running back builds right now. 689 00:33:02,080 --> 00:33:03,160 Speaker 4: It just makes so much. 690 00:33:03,000 --> 00:33:06,280 Speaker 7: Sense in the current meta to do that, and especially 691 00:33:06,320 --> 00:33:09,320 Speaker 7: on DraftKings, a PPR website where you can really just 692 00:33:09,360 --> 00:33:13,560 Speaker 7: backfill those wide receiver spots with volume and just you know, 693 00:33:13,600 --> 00:33:16,520 Speaker 7: get lucky catch one of these guys on a game 694 00:33:16,520 --> 00:33:18,960 Speaker 7: where they catch a touchdown. It just makes so much 695 00:33:18,960 --> 00:33:21,800 Speaker 7: more sense in taking bets on those late round running 696 00:33:21,840 --> 00:33:25,160 Speaker 7: backs that really need contingency value to pay off. For 697 00:33:25,200 --> 00:33:27,120 Speaker 7: the most part, I mean, maybe some of these guys 698 00:33:27,520 --> 00:33:29,760 Speaker 7: have their own standalone role that we haven't really seen yet. 699 00:33:29,800 --> 00:33:32,040 Speaker 7: You know, there's some rookies, there's more Shaan Lloyd back there. 700 00:33:32,080 --> 00:33:36,960 Speaker 7: But really really feel more comfortable drafting the wide receivers 701 00:33:37,040 --> 00:33:39,120 Speaker 7: late and tight ends late as a post of the 702 00:33:39,200 --> 00:33:41,760 Speaker 7: running backs. But I would love for it to be 703 00:33:41,800 --> 00:33:45,040 Speaker 7: a zero RB year because everybody's convinced that it's not. 704 00:33:45,680 --> 00:33:48,400 Speaker 4: It's just pretty hard to do so right now. But 705 00:33:48,440 --> 00:33:50,000 Speaker 4: I'm still trying. I'm still trying. 706 00:33:50,240 --> 00:33:52,160 Speaker 1: That's how I feel too, Like I'm still throwing out 707 00:33:52,200 --> 00:33:55,160 Speaker 1: some zero RB teams because I don't want to miss it. 708 00:33:55,240 --> 00:33:57,400 Speaker 1: If because like realistically, I've been doing a lot of 709 00:33:57,400 --> 00:34:00,239 Speaker 1: research for my draft guide. The last two years at 710 00:34:00,280 --> 00:34:03,280 Speaker 1: running back have been sort of the most predictive years 711 00:34:03,320 --> 00:34:06,520 Speaker 1: that we've seen at the position over the last like 712 00:34:06,520 --> 00:34:09,560 Speaker 1: like fifteen years. Like it's been very very strong. Whether 713 00:34:09,560 --> 00:34:11,239 Speaker 1: that's due to injury, but I also think like the 714 00:34:11,360 --> 00:34:13,480 Speaker 1: NFL meta is playing into that a little bit with 715 00:34:13,520 --> 00:34:15,120 Speaker 1: just it being more run because it also been the most 716 00:34:15,160 --> 00:34:18,600 Speaker 1: run heavy years over that timeframe as well, which kind 717 00:34:18,600 --> 00:34:21,200 Speaker 1: of like allows for yes, like there might not be 718 00:34:21,200 --> 00:34:23,239 Speaker 1: as much target share going to running backs because it's 719 00:34:23,320 --> 00:34:25,879 Speaker 1: feeding into tight ends, but they at least are seeing 720 00:34:25,960 --> 00:34:27,759 Speaker 1: more work on the ground to kind of combat that, 721 00:34:27,840 --> 00:34:30,920 Speaker 1: whereas wide receiver they're just not and so you get 722 00:34:30,960 --> 00:34:33,839 Speaker 1: sort of like a flatness at wide receiver. And so yeah, 723 00:34:33,840 --> 00:34:35,960 Speaker 1: I mean I'm in the same boat where like it 724 00:34:36,160 --> 00:34:39,279 Speaker 1: just you feel so uncomfortable this year more than ever 725 00:34:39,880 --> 00:34:42,400 Speaker 1: going zero RB, and I think maybe the market's a 726 00:34:42,440 --> 00:34:44,080 Speaker 1: little bit sharper too. Have you have you noticed that? 727 00:34:44,200 --> 00:34:47,480 Speaker 1: Do you think that the running back market is slightly 728 00:34:47,520 --> 00:34:50,080 Speaker 1: sharper with like the player takes that we're seeing out there, 729 00:34:50,080 --> 00:34:53,080 Speaker 1: and just like you know, like a backfield where you 730 00:34:53,120 --> 00:34:55,239 Speaker 1: have like a Remandre and Travion, like two guys that 731 00:34:55,280 --> 00:34:58,600 Speaker 1: are middle round picks. It feels like a Remandre historically 732 00:34:58,680 --> 00:35:01,399 Speaker 1: might have been ahead of where Trayveon's going, but it's 733 00:35:01,440 --> 00:35:02,600 Speaker 1: just not happening this year. 734 00:35:02,880 --> 00:35:05,320 Speaker 7: Yeah, I know, I think you absolutely have to admit 735 00:35:05,400 --> 00:35:07,200 Speaker 7: that the that the field is getting sharper, you know, 736 00:35:07,440 --> 00:35:11,120 Speaker 7: as best ball goes on. You are clearly seeing adaptations 737 00:35:11,160 --> 00:35:14,840 Speaker 7: to the draft boards right now, and that the running 738 00:35:14,880 --> 00:35:16,839 Speaker 7: backs are a prime example of it. I think guys 739 00:35:16,880 --> 00:35:20,040 Speaker 7: are very appropriately priced in terms of roles that they 740 00:35:20,120 --> 00:35:24,719 Speaker 7: have or have had in recent memory, plus factoring in 741 00:35:24,920 --> 00:35:27,160 Speaker 7: how many high value touches a guy has in an 742 00:35:27,160 --> 00:35:32,279 Speaker 7: offense and baking in that uncertainty of the situation, like 743 00:35:32,440 --> 00:35:35,520 Speaker 7: very appropriately in my opinion, like that late second round 744 00:35:35,600 --> 00:35:38,400 Speaker 7: just loaded with running backs that all have like different 745 00:35:38,400 --> 00:35:41,439 Speaker 7: forms of upside in terms of touchdown equity versus their role, 746 00:35:41,560 --> 00:35:43,879 Speaker 7: especially as a pass catcher. On on draftings as well, 747 00:35:44,520 --> 00:35:47,919 Speaker 7: I think the field's gotten pretty sharp at identifying who 748 00:35:48,200 --> 00:35:50,400 Speaker 7: the strong running backs are and how to how to 749 00:35:50,440 --> 00:35:53,160 Speaker 7: value them appropriately, like across across the board. 750 00:35:53,239 --> 00:35:55,879 Speaker 1: And it feels like like do you have a I mean, 751 00:35:56,040 --> 00:35:58,319 Speaker 1: I'm sure you have like some like favorites in like 752 00:35:58,440 --> 00:36:02,000 Speaker 1: the you know, round nine into eleven to twelve, whatever 753 00:36:02,040 --> 00:36:04,040 Speaker 1: the case may be. You know, like we'll just dub 754 00:36:04,120 --> 00:36:07,439 Speaker 1: them like later ish type picks. But at the same time, 755 00:36:07,480 --> 00:36:10,799 Speaker 1: does it not feel like once those like year two 756 00:36:10,920 --> 00:36:13,719 Speaker 1: guys are off the board, especially in like round five, 757 00:36:13,840 --> 00:36:16,239 Speaker 1: you know, like the Tutons, the Travions, if you want 758 00:36:16,280 --> 00:36:17,719 Speaker 1: to throw them in there, though I've I've personally been 759 00:36:17,800 --> 00:36:21,279 Speaker 1: drafting more Remondra than Travion, But like those types of players, 760 00:36:21,560 --> 00:36:24,600 Speaker 1: it feels like there's just a big like drop in 761 00:36:25,000 --> 00:36:27,640 Speaker 1: projected product production after those guys. Do you feel that too? 762 00:36:27,680 --> 00:36:28,400 Speaker 4: One hundred percent? 763 00:36:28,640 --> 00:36:31,480 Speaker 7: Like you are you are buying points for, like you're 764 00:36:31,480 --> 00:36:35,319 Speaker 7: able to buy points at those pitches, you know, not 765 00:36:35,360 --> 00:36:37,200 Speaker 7: like I came up with that term myself, but that's 766 00:36:37,200 --> 00:36:38,560 Speaker 7: how that's how I think of it. Right when I'm 767 00:36:38,640 --> 00:36:40,759 Speaker 7: drafting running backs in that range, I know I'm going 768 00:36:40,800 --> 00:36:43,040 Speaker 7: to get some points from those running backs once you 769 00:36:43,120 --> 00:36:45,560 Speaker 7: get past and like Alvin Kamaras like shooting up draft 770 00:36:45,600 --> 00:36:48,200 Speaker 7: boards right now, which like I would agree with. It 771 00:36:48,200 --> 00:36:50,360 Speaker 7: does sound like he's gonna have a good role in 772 00:36:50,400 --> 00:36:53,360 Speaker 7: that offense, which would be great for PPR as soon. 773 00:36:53,239 --> 00:36:55,600 Speaker 4: As you get past him, like in round like fourteen on. 774 00:36:55,840 --> 00:36:58,680 Speaker 7: At that point, you're just like buying hope and the 775 00:36:58,680 --> 00:37:01,920 Speaker 7: hope that like these guys have something that happens to 776 00:37:02,040 --> 00:37:05,240 Speaker 7: their to their running mate that allows them to ascend 777 00:37:05,600 --> 00:37:08,200 Speaker 7: to RB one status. And there are some decent bets there, 778 00:37:08,280 --> 00:37:10,680 Speaker 7: some that are certainly better than others that can I 779 00:37:10,719 --> 00:37:12,880 Speaker 7: think have that, I have the confidence in them assuming 780 00:37:12,920 --> 00:37:15,360 Speaker 7: that strong RB one role if that situation takes place. 781 00:37:15,400 --> 00:37:18,640 Speaker 7: But at that point though, like, yeah, these guys are 782 00:37:18,640 --> 00:37:22,319 Speaker 7: not guaranteed to score points, and for me that that 783 00:37:22,320 --> 00:37:25,120 Speaker 7: that means something, right, I think there's definitely something to 784 00:37:25,239 --> 00:37:27,440 Speaker 7: that where you know, the probabilities are not in your 785 00:37:27,480 --> 00:37:30,120 Speaker 7: favor for those guys to hit, but we are well 786 00:37:30,160 --> 00:37:32,400 Speaker 7: aware of the upside if that does take place. 787 00:37:32,680 --> 00:37:35,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, one hundred percent. If we're looking at the 788 00:37:35,120 --> 00:37:38,040 Speaker 1: early rounds, do you have any guys that you've been 789 00:37:38,120 --> 00:37:41,040 Speaker 1: generally fading this year or are you sort of like 790 00:37:41,080 --> 00:37:43,239 Speaker 1: spreading out exposure Like I guess you could also talk 791 00:37:43,239 --> 00:37:45,160 Speaker 1: about how you've approached that historically, because I think a 792 00:37:45,160 --> 00:37:47,799 Speaker 1: lot of people are always curious about, like, you know, 793 00:37:47,880 --> 00:37:50,480 Speaker 1: do you want that four percent blanket for everybody you 794 00:37:50,480 --> 00:37:52,239 Speaker 1: know in the first couple of rounds because it's it's 795 00:37:52,239 --> 00:37:54,160 Speaker 1: a more comfortable way to sort of approach things. 796 00:37:54,360 --> 00:37:54,560 Speaker 4: Yeah. 797 00:37:54,640 --> 00:37:57,759 Speaker 7: No, I've always taken a pretty strong stance in the 798 00:37:57,760 --> 00:38:00,440 Speaker 7: first two rounds of drafts. Last year year just to 799 00:38:00,520 --> 00:38:02,160 Speaker 7: kind of toot my own horn, pat in my back here, 800 00:38:02,200 --> 00:38:05,160 Speaker 7: I faded Brian Thomas Junior pretty heavily. I faded Bucky 801 00:38:05,280 --> 00:38:08,240 Speaker 7: Irving pretty heavily in favor of guys like Derrick Henry 802 00:38:08,280 --> 00:38:11,120 Speaker 7: and Jonathan Taylor. Just thinking like, wow, these guys have 803 00:38:11,160 --> 00:38:13,759 Speaker 7: like really really strong profiles is running backs, and I 804 00:38:13,800 --> 00:38:16,120 Speaker 7: can I can build out teams that I think give 805 00:38:16,200 --> 00:38:18,320 Speaker 7: me better expected value than if I you know, it 806 00:38:18,400 --> 00:38:20,240 Speaker 7: took some of these other some of these other risks. 807 00:38:20,800 --> 00:38:23,200 Speaker 7: This year, I'm I'm doing the same thing. I'm taking 808 00:38:23,239 --> 00:38:27,239 Speaker 7: some some some fades here. The two fhades that that 809 00:38:27,280 --> 00:38:28,680 Speaker 7: are the strongest for me, and I think this might 810 00:38:28,760 --> 00:38:32,319 Speaker 7: come off as spicy is Jonathan Taylor and uh In 811 00:38:32,360 --> 00:38:36,319 Speaker 7: Saquon Barkley this year. These guys, to me, I think 812 00:38:36,400 --> 00:38:40,960 Speaker 7: have some some concerns, different concerns for each Quon. For me, 813 00:38:41,080 --> 00:38:43,960 Speaker 7: the concern is, is that explosiveness still there that we 814 00:38:44,000 --> 00:38:46,239 Speaker 7: saw two years ago that really just did not show 815 00:38:46,280 --> 00:38:48,799 Speaker 7: itself last year. Can we fully put that on the 816 00:38:48,920 --> 00:38:51,719 Speaker 7: on the old o C. I'm not entirely convinced, on 817 00:38:51,800 --> 00:38:53,680 Speaker 7: top of the fact that he's gonna lose a lot 818 00:38:53,719 --> 00:38:56,520 Speaker 7: of these goal line touchdowns, that that is so massive 819 00:38:56,680 --> 00:38:59,600 Speaker 7: that like him compared to Derrick Henry, Derek Henry is 820 00:38:59,600 --> 00:39:02,600 Speaker 7: getting that SAT Clan's not man, and that that to 821 00:39:02,640 --> 00:39:05,959 Speaker 7: me really really hurts the ceiling there. And the JT 822 00:39:06,120 --> 00:39:09,680 Speaker 7: Bear case for me is just are we one certain 823 00:39:09,719 --> 00:39:12,600 Speaker 7: that Daniel Jones can not only come back at full 824 00:39:12,640 --> 00:39:15,920 Speaker 7: health but do what he did last year. I've been 825 00:39:15,920 --> 00:39:18,880 Speaker 7: a Daniel Jones defender. I thought that he had some 826 00:39:18,880 --> 00:39:22,480 Speaker 7: some pretty good seasons in New York, but the truth 827 00:39:22,520 --> 00:39:25,480 Speaker 7: of the matter is that he's pretty inconsistent and if 828 00:39:25,520 --> 00:39:28,479 Speaker 7: he can't, if you can't do what he did last year, 829 00:39:29,760 --> 00:39:31,760 Speaker 7: it's a cascading effect on that offense. And it starts 830 00:39:31,760 --> 00:39:34,319 Speaker 7: with Jonathan Taylor's ability to be who he was last year, 831 00:39:34,320 --> 00:39:36,879 Speaker 7: even though he has obviously such amazing skill and can 832 00:39:37,040 --> 00:39:39,960 Speaker 7: break long runs even no matter who's at quarterback. But 833 00:39:40,520 --> 00:39:42,480 Speaker 7: Daniel it's hard to deny that Daniel Jones was a 834 00:39:42,480 --> 00:39:45,080 Speaker 7: big reason why he was so successful last year. 835 00:39:45,520 --> 00:39:47,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I agree. I mean you can even 836 00:39:47,040 --> 00:39:49,480 Speaker 1: look at the splits right after after Jones went down, 837 00:39:49,480 --> 00:39:51,319 Speaker 1: and it was right, that's I mean, everyone who had 838 00:39:51,400 --> 00:39:53,400 Speaker 1: Jonathan Taylor, they were like, oh, I got the league winner, 839 00:39:53,440 --> 00:39:55,280 Speaker 1: and then it just it just went to the crapper 840 00:39:55,360 --> 00:39:58,879 Speaker 1: because the offense just just was horrible, right, And that's 841 00:39:59,000 --> 00:40:02,839 Speaker 1: I definitely more So for me with the tailor take 842 00:40:02,880 --> 00:40:05,440 Speaker 1: that the Saquon take, I've still been taking Saquon not 843 00:40:06,080 --> 00:40:10,160 Speaker 1: I'm not overexposed, but like still drafting him. But the 844 00:40:09,360 --> 00:40:12,240 Speaker 1: the the difference too is that like there's a difference 845 00:40:12,280 --> 00:40:15,240 Speaker 1: in costs, Like even though like four or five picks 846 00:40:15,520 --> 00:40:19,359 Speaker 1: is significant because with Jonathan Taylor, I think Amena only 847 00:40:19,520 --> 00:40:22,280 Speaker 1: just started to officially go ahead of him in ADP 848 00:40:22,800 --> 00:40:25,160 Speaker 1: and to me, like Saint Brown, I'm taking him over 849 00:40:25,320 --> 00:40:29,440 Speaker 1: over Jonathan Taylor all day, just based on what his 850 00:40:29,520 --> 00:40:31,640 Speaker 1: floor ceiling combo looks like. And I mean he just 851 00:40:31,680 --> 00:40:34,560 Speaker 1: also just projects really well Amana Saint Brown does. But 852 00:40:34,800 --> 00:40:37,720 Speaker 1: the JT stuff, it's hard for me to really see 853 00:40:38,080 --> 00:40:40,960 Speaker 1: a significant gap in projection from him to the bottom 854 00:40:41,000 --> 00:40:42,920 Speaker 1: of that round two tier. With with some of those 855 00:40:43,280 --> 00:40:46,200 Speaker 1: like Dereck Henry, Let's say, right like there is there 856 00:40:46,320 --> 00:40:49,600 Speaker 1: truly truly, Yeah, j T will probably catch a few 857 00:40:49,640 --> 00:40:51,799 Speaker 1: more passes and and and be you know, more of 858 00:40:51,800 --> 00:40:54,279 Speaker 1: a plus in the in the passing game. And yes, 859 00:40:54,360 --> 00:40:57,240 Speaker 1: you know there's there's less competition for him on that team, 860 00:40:57,280 --> 00:40:59,560 Speaker 1: but like realistically we know Derek Henry is in the 861 00:40:59,600 --> 00:41:02,520 Speaker 1: better andronment like locked in better environment. You know, like 862 00:41:02,560 --> 00:41:04,120 Speaker 1: you said, you had to, you have to you have 863 00:41:04,120 --> 00:41:05,920 Speaker 1: to play into this Daniel Jones thing a little bit 864 00:41:05,920 --> 00:41:08,120 Speaker 1: to really buy into Jonathan Taylor. And so to me, 865 00:41:08,200 --> 00:41:11,919 Speaker 1: it's like that tier almost starts to begin with Jonathan Taylor, 866 00:41:11,960 --> 00:41:13,560 Speaker 1: and you just don't want to be wrapping at the 867 00:41:13,600 --> 00:41:15,160 Speaker 1: top of that tier in the end. 868 00:41:15,080 --> 00:41:15,880 Speaker 4: One hundred percent. 869 00:41:15,960 --> 00:41:18,400 Speaker 7: That's really where I'm at, is like he is sneaky 870 00:41:18,560 --> 00:41:20,879 Speaker 7: in that tier, and because there's a gap between him 871 00:41:20,920 --> 00:41:23,000 Speaker 7: and the next RB and that range, it feels like 872 00:41:23,040 --> 00:41:25,319 Speaker 7: he's not and it feels like you're supposed to take 873 00:41:25,360 --> 00:41:28,360 Speaker 7: Jonathan Taylor, but in reality, the projections are not that different, 874 00:41:28,360 --> 00:41:31,000 Speaker 7: and I think that's where stands can really come into play. 875 00:41:31,000 --> 00:41:33,239 Speaker 7: It's risky, but at the end of the day, like 876 00:41:33,280 --> 00:41:36,440 Speaker 7: if you're if you're playing DFS and you have a 877 00:41:36,480 --> 00:41:39,560 Speaker 7: guy that is more expensive but projects the same as 878 00:41:39,600 --> 00:41:42,120 Speaker 7: a guy that is cheaper in cost, you're probably gonna 879 00:41:42,120 --> 00:41:44,320 Speaker 7: take the guy that's cheaper in cost exactly. So you 880 00:41:44,560 --> 00:41:48,400 Speaker 7: can really make some outside bets, outsized bets in bestball, 881 00:41:48,600 --> 00:41:51,120 Speaker 7: using those those principles, and that that's what I like 882 00:41:51,160 --> 00:41:53,720 Speaker 7: to do. I like to take some risks and flush 883 00:41:53,760 --> 00:41:54,640 Speaker 7: things through like that. 884 00:41:56,200 --> 00:41:58,399 Speaker 1: Best Ball guy, what do you think for people who 885 00:41:58,400 --> 00:42:01,920 Speaker 1: are maybe getting into, you know, dipping their toes into 886 00:42:02,080 --> 00:42:04,480 Speaker 1: Best Ball a little bit, what do you think folks 887 00:42:04,520 --> 00:42:07,640 Speaker 1: get wrong when thinking about season long and then going 888 00:42:07,680 --> 00:42:10,080 Speaker 1: into best Ball and what are some of the pitfalls there. 889 00:42:10,680 --> 00:42:15,960 Speaker 8: Yeah, so I was imagining someone coming over from you know, 890 00:42:16,040 --> 00:42:19,000 Speaker 8: a redraft landscape into best Ball for the first time. 891 00:42:19,280 --> 00:42:23,640 Speaker 8: And one of the things that I think that people 892 00:42:23,680 --> 00:42:26,600 Speaker 8: need to realize about best Ball is you're you're playing 893 00:42:26,600 --> 00:42:30,040 Speaker 8: a massive tournament here. That is really the big difference 894 00:42:30,080 --> 00:42:33,240 Speaker 8: here is you have these tens of thousands to hundred 895 00:42:33,280 --> 00:42:38,799 Speaker 8: of thousand person contests and essentially you cannot add and 896 00:42:38,880 --> 00:42:41,759 Speaker 8: drop players, right, That's the major difference with Best Ball. 897 00:42:42,360 --> 00:42:48,160 Speaker 8: So you need to plan your teams to have not 898 00:42:48,320 --> 00:42:52,319 Speaker 8: only the fire power for the late season, which can 899 00:42:52,360 --> 00:42:56,440 Speaker 8: come sometimes from those you know, handcuff running backs, rookie 900 00:42:56,440 --> 00:42:58,560 Speaker 8: wide receivers, stuff like that, but you also need to 901 00:42:58,600 --> 00:43:01,440 Speaker 8: be careful about the fact that you can't add and 902 00:43:01,520 --> 00:43:04,399 Speaker 8: drop players. You need to also try to not take 903 00:43:04,520 --> 00:43:06,960 Speaker 8: zeros on your roster. So it's really this game of 904 00:43:07,960 --> 00:43:11,880 Speaker 8: building teams that don't have zeros but also yet have 905 00:43:13,160 --> 00:43:16,399 Speaker 8: upside baked into some of these profiles that can break 906 00:43:16,440 --> 00:43:18,960 Speaker 8: out late and give you that like late season hammer. 907 00:43:19,040 --> 00:43:20,680 Speaker 8: You really want to look down at a team in 908 00:43:20,760 --> 00:43:23,520 Speaker 8: Best Ball that advances through the regular season into week 909 00:43:23,560 --> 00:43:27,560 Speaker 8: fifteen that has like, you know, these really fun rookies 910 00:43:27,560 --> 00:43:29,920 Speaker 8: that are recently breaking out, or you do have the 911 00:43:30,760 --> 00:43:33,040 Speaker 8: you know, the Bucky Irving of twenty twenty four who 912 00:43:33,080 --> 00:43:35,120 Speaker 8: has taken over the backfield that you got in the 913 00:43:35,120 --> 00:43:37,760 Speaker 8: fifteenth round and is starting now on your roster. 914 00:43:37,880 --> 00:43:38,600 Speaker 4: That kind of thing. 915 00:43:39,280 --> 00:43:40,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, I was thinking about this. I was 916 00:43:40,840 --> 00:43:44,800 Speaker 1: actually doing a live stream last week, and we always 917 00:43:44,800 --> 00:43:47,520 Speaker 1: hear the phrase better in Best Ball, right, where like 918 00:43:47,560 --> 00:43:49,880 Speaker 1: these players are better in a Best Ball environment than 919 00:43:49,920 --> 00:43:52,120 Speaker 1: they are in a season long environment. And I think 920 00:43:52,160 --> 00:43:55,040 Speaker 1: that when to your point, I think that the way 921 00:43:55,080 --> 00:43:57,719 Speaker 1: that people think about that is almost backwards because they 922 00:43:57,760 --> 00:44:00,440 Speaker 1: often think, oh, I need like of course you needs 923 00:44:00,440 --> 00:44:03,600 Speaker 1: spiked spiked ceilings and weekly ceilings and such. But I 924 00:44:03,640 --> 00:44:06,399 Speaker 1: also think that like they're not thinking about it like 925 00:44:06,400 --> 00:44:10,800 Speaker 1: like for instance, Chris Rodriguez, right, or Jordan Mason types, 926 00:44:10,840 --> 00:44:13,919 Speaker 1: like those those types of like early down grinders where 927 00:44:13,719 --> 00:44:16,800 Speaker 1: they're they're ceiling from a receiving perspective. Isn't that that crazy, 928 00:44:16,880 --> 00:44:19,080 Speaker 1: I don't really mind, like a Jordan Mason is whatever. 929 00:44:19,120 --> 00:44:20,719 Speaker 1: I mean, it's late enough that I'm not going to 930 00:44:20,800 --> 00:44:23,120 Speaker 1: really like care if someone like has like a really 931 00:44:23,120 --> 00:44:26,520 Speaker 1: hardcore stance in these guys. But realistically, like a Jordan 932 00:44:26,600 --> 00:44:29,839 Speaker 1: Mason type, I'm probably gonna like more in a best 933 00:44:29,840 --> 00:44:32,560 Speaker 1: ball environment than I am in a season long environment 934 00:44:32,920 --> 00:44:36,279 Speaker 1: because because there's going to just be some production from 935 00:44:36,360 --> 00:44:38,880 Speaker 1: those players, but we might not know when that production 936 00:44:39,000 --> 00:44:40,960 Speaker 1: is going to come. And so I think that there's 937 00:44:41,000 --> 00:44:43,440 Speaker 1: also like to your point of not taking zeros like 938 00:44:43,480 --> 00:44:46,680 Speaker 1: those players that we typically are like, oh, I don't 939 00:44:46,680 --> 00:44:48,120 Speaker 1: really care about that guy, because like even in my 940 00:44:48,200 --> 00:44:50,239 Speaker 1: draft guide every year, I'm just like, get the guys 941 00:44:50,239 --> 00:44:52,799 Speaker 1: that have ceiling. Only worry about ceiling, and that's what 942 00:44:52,840 --> 00:44:54,640 Speaker 1: you should be doing. But you actually do have to 943 00:44:54,640 --> 00:44:56,480 Speaker 1: think about the floor for these players and not just 944 00:44:56,600 --> 00:44:59,520 Speaker 1: draft you know, Nick Singleton over and over again, because 945 00:44:59,640 --> 00:45:02,040 Speaker 1: there's a chance that Singleton's zero this year, Like that's 946 00:45:02,040 --> 00:45:04,160 Speaker 1: a very the sact possibility. Not to say that he 947 00:45:04,200 --> 00:45:06,960 Speaker 1: can't be something, I still have drafted him, But you 948 00:45:07,000 --> 00:45:08,960 Speaker 1: have to check yourself a little bit and make sure 949 00:45:08,960 --> 00:45:11,520 Speaker 1: that you're not overweight on some of those players. That's 950 00:45:11,520 --> 00:45:12,839 Speaker 1: the way that you kind of see things too. 951 00:45:13,480 --> 00:45:16,080 Speaker 8: Yeah, you know, And I'm fine if you want to 952 00:45:16,120 --> 00:45:18,680 Speaker 8: be overweight on Nick Singleton, like call your shot on 953 00:45:18,719 --> 00:45:22,080 Speaker 8: these late round guys, of course. But absolutely, I think 954 00:45:22,239 --> 00:45:26,480 Speaker 8: every single year the staple of having good advance rates 955 00:45:26,560 --> 00:45:29,799 Speaker 8: are the middle round running back hits, like they could 956 00:45:29,840 --> 00:45:32,000 Speaker 8: be Jordan Mason, Chris Rodriguez this year, I mean we 957 00:45:32,040 --> 00:45:34,000 Speaker 8: saw it with like Etn. 958 00:45:34,120 --> 00:45:35,320 Speaker 4: I don't know if we want to say. 959 00:45:35,120 --> 00:45:39,520 Speaker 8: Eight Chan Junior, but yeah, you know Etn Javonte Williams. 960 00:45:39,600 --> 00:45:42,279 Speaker 8: Last year, these guys were the same exact bets, right, 961 00:45:42,360 --> 00:45:46,560 Speaker 8: kind of grinder backs on kind of ambiguous backfields. Away, 962 00:45:46,719 --> 00:45:49,279 Speaker 8: I guess those Yeah, they are ambiguous. Yeah, I would 963 00:45:49,320 --> 00:45:53,640 Speaker 8: say Twoton's an ambiguous you know player right now. So yeah, 964 00:45:53,719 --> 00:45:56,760 Speaker 8: it's like these guys can be massive advance rate pieces. 965 00:45:57,160 --> 00:45:58,680 Speaker 4: So absolutely, But. 966 00:45:58,920 --> 00:46:01,080 Speaker 8: Then the same in the same you can still mix 967 00:46:01,120 --> 00:46:04,080 Speaker 8: in a really fun upside pick like a Nick Singleton 968 00:46:04,239 --> 00:46:05,600 Speaker 8: at the end of your drafts. 969 00:46:06,000 --> 00:46:09,279 Speaker 1: Yeah, so I always try to like balance the all right, 970 00:46:09,400 --> 00:46:12,760 Speaker 1: how risky was I in some of these profiles earlier 971 00:46:12,760 --> 00:46:15,160 Speaker 1: on in terms of getting guys that might be zeros 972 00:46:15,200 --> 00:46:17,240 Speaker 1: and then you know, late like there was a draft. 973 00:46:17,280 --> 00:46:19,319 Speaker 1: I drafted Zach Sharboney, which I haven't gotten a lot 974 00:46:19,320 --> 00:46:21,800 Speaker 1: of sharbone, but it was a you know, he fell whatever. 975 00:46:22,120 --> 00:46:23,719 Speaker 1: And then I was contemplating. I was in chat and 976 00:46:23,719 --> 00:46:26,759 Speaker 1: actually EMO was watching, so shout out toxic Tower, but 977 00:46:27,400 --> 00:46:30,320 Speaker 1: Emos was watching the stream and it was the twentieth 978 00:46:30,400 --> 00:46:32,120 Speaker 1: round and I'm sitting there and I'm like, should I 979 00:46:32,120 --> 00:46:34,600 Speaker 1: go running back or wide receiver? And Emo is like, 980 00:46:34,600 --> 00:46:36,279 Speaker 1: you should go running and he made a great point. 981 00:46:36,360 --> 00:46:38,640 Speaker 1: He's like, you like cause I let the chat kind 982 00:46:38,640 --> 00:46:40,440 Speaker 1: of vote which direction I go in, and he's like, 983 00:46:40,440 --> 00:46:43,200 Speaker 1: you gotta get running back because we can't assume that Sharboney, 984 00:46:43,320 --> 00:46:45,480 Speaker 1: you know, is healthy. You know, he could be a 985 00:46:45,560 --> 00:46:48,600 Speaker 1: zero realistically. And so I ended up going running back 986 00:46:48,640 --> 00:46:50,920 Speaker 1: in that case, just to get a little bit more beef, 987 00:46:51,080 --> 00:46:53,800 Speaker 1: you know, at the position after potentially taking some of 988 00:46:53,840 --> 00:46:56,279 Speaker 1: those zeros. All right, with that being With all that 989 00:46:56,280 --> 00:46:59,799 Speaker 1: being said, what's one of the more overlooked thoughts or 990 00:46:59,800 --> 00:47:03,239 Speaker 1: strategies you think that more people should be aware of 991 00:47:03,320 --> 00:47:04,000 Speaker 1: with best ball? 992 00:47:04,560 --> 00:47:07,719 Speaker 8: Yeah, so this one, I wanted to relate it to 993 00:47:08,000 --> 00:47:12,400 Speaker 8: my DK Milliemaker Finals team last year. And I'm just 994 00:47:12,400 --> 00:47:16,360 Speaker 8: gonna say it's unique pairings. I think last year in 995 00:47:16,400 --> 00:47:19,840 Speaker 8: this sometimes the unique pairings come in two ways. Sometimes 996 00:47:19,920 --> 00:47:24,080 Speaker 8: it's a forced unique pairing where I go gent at 997 00:47:24,080 --> 00:47:26,480 Speaker 8: the turn, but I pull up Nico Collins or something 998 00:47:26,600 --> 00:47:30,000 Speaker 8: like something where the ADPs don't line up whatsoever, or 999 00:47:30,200 --> 00:47:32,640 Speaker 8: if you're in a spot. And this actually happened to 1000 00:47:32,680 --> 00:47:34,239 Speaker 8: me in a draft last night. But last year I 1001 00:47:34,320 --> 00:47:37,439 Speaker 8: was able to go aman raw and then Puka fell 1002 00:47:37,440 --> 00:47:39,080 Speaker 8: back to me. I don't remember if this was during 1003 00:47:39,160 --> 00:47:42,520 Speaker 8: the Matt Stafford back problem kind of thing, but the 1004 00:47:42,520 --> 00:47:47,200 Speaker 8: Amanra Puka combo last year accelerated that entire team into 1005 00:47:47,239 --> 00:47:47,800 Speaker 8: the finals. 1006 00:47:47,840 --> 00:47:49,880 Speaker 4: So I think having that. 1007 00:47:50,040 --> 00:47:53,520 Speaker 8: Unique pairing can be a big lever to pull once 1008 00:47:53,560 --> 00:47:57,880 Speaker 8: you get to the finals. So this is kind of 1009 00:47:57,880 --> 00:48:00,120 Speaker 8: a there's two ways to think about this, right, can 1010 00:48:00,200 --> 00:48:03,160 Speaker 8: either force the unique pairing, or if you're in the 1011 00:48:03,200 --> 00:48:06,560 Speaker 8: middle rounds, like if you get picked six through nine 1012 00:48:06,719 --> 00:48:09,479 Speaker 8: kind of you can almost go off of the top 1013 00:48:09,480 --> 00:48:12,040 Speaker 8: of adp. And last night I was doing a Milli 1014 00:48:12,160 --> 00:48:17,040 Speaker 8: maker and I got Amanra at nine and or ten, 1015 00:48:17,160 --> 00:48:19,080 Speaker 8: and then Lamb fell all the way back to me, 1016 00:48:19,600 --> 00:48:21,440 Speaker 8: and in my head, I was like, that is the 1017 00:48:21,480 --> 00:48:24,200 Speaker 8: exact almost the exact same feeling is how it felt 1018 00:48:24,200 --> 00:48:26,640 Speaker 8: when Puka fell back to me with Amanra on that 1019 00:48:26,640 --> 00:48:29,480 Speaker 8: team that got me there. So I would say that 1020 00:48:30,520 --> 00:48:34,440 Speaker 8: or one other thing would be winning the flex, and 1021 00:48:34,480 --> 00:48:37,080 Speaker 8: I think this month might be more actionable. 1022 00:48:37,080 --> 00:48:39,839 Speaker 4: But I think I think people take quarterback. 1023 00:48:39,400 --> 00:48:41,520 Speaker 8: And tight end too early, to be honest with you, 1024 00:48:41,880 --> 00:48:46,640 Speaker 8: And I think grabbing the strongest possible wide receiver running 1025 00:48:46,680 --> 00:48:51,439 Speaker 8: backs oftentimes make the strongest teams winning the flex. Those 1026 00:48:51,560 --> 00:48:55,280 Speaker 8: those those two positions up at the top of the board, 1027 00:48:56,719 --> 00:48:59,640 Speaker 8: those guys have the best chance of breaking out. Whereas 1028 00:48:59,640 --> 00:49:04,520 Speaker 8: you can find later round quarterbacks, later round tight ends 1029 00:49:04,560 --> 00:49:06,080 Speaker 8: that can be the big hits for the season. 1030 00:49:06,719 --> 00:49:09,600 Speaker 1: So when you talk about unique combos and specifically with 1031 00:49:09,640 --> 00:49:12,800 Speaker 1: the Millie, is that something that you're doing immediately now 1032 00:49:12,960 --> 00:49:15,799 Speaker 1: or are you waiting maybe until like August to make 1033 00:49:15,800 --> 00:49:17,560 Speaker 1: sure that ADP's settled a little bit. 1034 00:49:17,920 --> 00:49:21,040 Speaker 8: I'm waiting till August. Great question. Yeah, definitely waiting till August. 1035 00:49:21,719 --> 00:49:25,439 Speaker 8: We know news can move stuff around. I would say 1036 00:49:25,440 --> 00:49:28,719 Speaker 8: maybe you know, if you're running, if you're doing all 1037 00:49:28,800 --> 00:49:31,520 Speaker 8: one hundred and fifty, you know you get that itch 1038 00:49:31,640 --> 00:49:34,640 Speaker 8: during the summer, you know it mix it up a 1039 00:49:34,640 --> 00:49:36,640 Speaker 8: little bit because you don't think Nico Collins is going 1040 00:49:36,719 --> 00:49:40,000 Speaker 8: to move anywhere or whatever. But as we know, guys 1041 00:49:40,040 --> 00:49:43,839 Speaker 8: get in legal trouble, they get injured. You know, there's 1042 00:49:43,840 --> 00:49:46,640 Speaker 8: not really too many reasons why guys rise all that much, 1043 00:49:46,840 --> 00:49:48,960 Speaker 8: but they can definitely fall. 1044 00:49:49,000 --> 00:49:50,520 Speaker 4: So I do like to wait till August. 1045 00:49:50,560 --> 00:49:53,920 Speaker 8: I think doing the majority of my expensive drafts, I 1046 00:49:53,960 --> 00:49:55,600 Speaker 8: like to do them in August in general. 1047 00:49:56,040 --> 00:49:58,719 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, do you find another thing that I and 1048 00:49:58,719 --> 00:50:02,160 Speaker 1: this is completely like it's kind of related. But if 1049 00:50:02,200 --> 00:50:05,319 Speaker 1: you get that like Amanras CD lambs start okay and 1050 00:50:05,360 --> 00:50:07,520 Speaker 1: you're like, you're like, oh, this is sick, like this 1051 00:50:07,520 --> 00:50:09,680 Speaker 1: this could go really really well, and like let's say 1052 00:50:09,760 --> 00:50:13,120 Speaker 1: round three falls into place too, do you find yourself 1053 00:50:13,120 --> 00:50:15,640 Speaker 1: and this is a completely subjective, opinionated thing, like I 1054 00:50:15,640 --> 00:50:17,239 Speaker 1: don't think there's a real answer. Maybe you feel like 1055 00:50:17,280 --> 00:50:19,400 Speaker 1: there is a real answer, but do you feel like 1056 00:50:19,400 --> 00:50:22,120 Speaker 1: when you get a start like that, you then force 1057 00:50:22,160 --> 00:50:24,920 Speaker 1: the issue and just get your favorite plays from then 1058 00:50:24,960 --> 00:50:28,360 Speaker 1: on out because you really want that lineup to like 1059 00:50:28,360 --> 00:50:30,880 Speaker 1: like you're like, all right, I already hit the jackpot 1060 00:50:30,960 --> 00:50:33,359 Speaker 1: early on with these first three rounds. I'm just gonna 1061 00:50:33,400 --> 00:50:35,200 Speaker 1: get the dudes that I think are gonna hit cause 1062 00:50:35,200 --> 00:50:37,600 Speaker 1: obviously we have our favorites, right, I'm just gonna get 1063 00:50:37,640 --> 00:50:40,359 Speaker 1: the dudes that I think are gonna hit. Therefore, this 1064 00:50:40,400 --> 00:50:43,200 Speaker 1: could just be the lineup that I'm gonna sort of 1065 00:50:43,239 --> 00:50:45,440 Speaker 1: like hold on to and say, this could be the 1066 00:50:45,480 --> 00:50:47,040 Speaker 1: one that brings it home this year. 1067 00:50:47,960 --> 00:50:48,480 Speaker 4: Definitely. 1068 00:50:48,520 --> 00:50:53,719 Speaker 8: I mean I think more through a like a structure standpoint. 1069 00:50:53,760 --> 00:50:57,000 Speaker 8: So I'm like, Okay, I have almanro cd Lamb, I 1070 00:50:57,120 --> 00:51:00,160 Speaker 8: have the wide receiver one and two on the season, like, 1071 00:51:00,200 --> 00:51:02,680 Speaker 8: think about it like that. So then then I start 1072 00:51:02,719 --> 00:51:06,040 Speaker 8: building my draft backwards. In my head, it's like this 1073 00:51:06,120 --> 00:51:08,680 Speaker 8: team obviously is gonna need running back points. Let's it's like, 1074 00:51:08,800 --> 00:51:12,239 Speaker 8: let's just make sure this team advances because you up, 1075 00:51:12,320 --> 00:51:15,919 Speaker 8: because people don't have almanro Lamb in the finals. They 1076 00:51:16,160 --> 00:51:18,520 Speaker 8: like that that combo is so rare and unique. Like 1077 00:51:18,520 --> 00:51:21,600 Speaker 8: I said, it's such a big lever that I'm pulling that, 1078 00:51:22,400 --> 00:51:24,560 Speaker 8: And you know, maybe it is different on DraftKings. Maybe 1079 00:51:24,600 --> 00:51:26,520 Speaker 8: that is common. Sorry if it's not, I've only done 1080 00:51:26,520 --> 00:51:27,840 Speaker 8: fifteen DK million makers. 1081 00:51:27,880 --> 00:51:29,759 Speaker 1: But no, no, look it's not. It's not a very 1082 00:51:29,840 --> 00:51:32,400 Speaker 1: super super common thing. I mean, like Lamb will fall 1083 00:51:32,600 --> 00:51:35,840 Speaker 1: at times just because people on DK will be pretty wild. 1084 00:51:36,080 --> 00:51:38,359 Speaker 1: Uh you know, it's okay once to turn, but it's 1085 00:51:38,400 --> 00:51:40,600 Speaker 1: not I would not call it a common start. 1086 00:51:40,800 --> 00:51:43,120 Speaker 8: Yeah yeah, well I would just say, once you get it, 1087 00:51:43,239 --> 00:51:45,080 Speaker 8: just make sure you can advance it from there. So 1088 00:51:45,200 --> 00:51:47,400 Speaker 8: back to let's make sure we get running back points. 1089 00:51:47,440 --> 00:51:53,040 Speaker 8: I think in the third I went with maybe ETN 1090 00:51:53,160 --> 00:51:55,600 Speaker 8: or something, just trying to get some starting running back 1091 00:51:55,600 --> 00:51:58,040 Speaker 8: points like that. Yeah, like ETN scat a bow in 1092 00:51:58,080 --> 00:52:01,000 Speaker 8: the fourth whatever. But yeah, that's all I'm thinking through. 1093 00:52:01,360 --> 00:52:03,759 Speaker 8: I'm also thinking like it would be super ideal to 1094 00:52:03,760 --> 00:52:06,840 Speaker 8: get Dak or Golf on this team, maybe even both, 1095 00:52:07,000 --> 00:52:10,680 Speaker 8: like just fully commit to those two offenses. But that's 1096 00:52:10,680 --> 00:52:13,440 Speaker 8: really all I'm thinking is, let's let's get this team 1097 00:52:13,560 --> 00:52:16,319 Speaker 8: to the two week fifteen where no one has this 1098 00:52:16,440 --> 00:52:17,920 Speaker 8: combo and I'm gonna have it. 1099 00:52:18,160 --> 00:52:20,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, let's not screw it up. And I think 1100 00:52:20,280 --> 00:52:22,680 Speaker 1: like it's it's also just like let's make sure we 1101 00:52:22,760 --> 00:52:25,200 Speaker 1: don't get screwed at quarterback, right and like just like 1102 00:52:25,320 --> 00:52:27,839 Speaker 1: reach a little bit just to make sure that when 1103 00:52:27,840 --> 00:52:31,799 Speaker 1: that quarterback run inevitably happens, that we don't screw ourselves over, 1104 00:52:31,840 --> 00:52:34,759 Speaker 1: which is my gosh, just a side rant I had 1105 00:52:34,840 --> 00:52:39,120 Speaker 1: Puoka and DeVante last night, and someone took naked Stafford 1106 00:52:39,440 --> 00:52:41,920 Speaker 1: way above ADP and it's the most tilting thing on 1107 00:52:41,960 --> 00:52:42,440 Speaker 1: the planet. 1108 00:52:42,880 --> 00:52:44,480 Speaker 4: It is, It absolutely is. 1109 00:52:44,480 --> 00:52:47,319 Speaker 8: And to speak to your point, someone took Dak one 1110 00:52:47,360 --> 00:52:50,800 Speaker 8: pick before me with no with no cowboy, just on 1111 00:52:51,239 --> 00:52:52,640 Speaker 8: that team in the seventh round. 1112 00:52:52,800 --> 00:52:56,560 Speaker 1: I was like, yeah, although the great Adam Adam Levitan 1113 00:52:56,680 --> 00:52:59,919 Speaker 1: has noted that. As tilting as those instances are, it's 1114 00:53:00,040 --> 00:53:02,360 Speaker 1: great that we're drafting with people that do that because 1115 00:53:02,360 --> 00:53:04,680 Speaker 1: that means that that rooms aren't a sharp right, So 1116 00:53:04,719 --> 00:53:08,480 Speaker 1: it's yeah, when you think about that, it stings, it sucks, 1117 00:53:08,560 --> 00:53:10,960 Speaker 1: but then you know, you fall back on that idea 1118 00:53:10,960 --> 00:53:12,960 Speaker 1: and you're like, all right, I'll take it over the 1119 00:53:12,960 --> 00:53:13,439 Speaker 1: long run. 1120 00:53:13,640 --> 00:53:15,160 Speaker 4: Yeah, it's my earlier point. 1121 00:53:15,200 --> 00:53:17,680 Speaker 8: It's also like it opened up this ability to be like, 1122 00:53:17,719 --> 00:53:20,040 Speaker 8: all right, it's still the seventh round, Like, let me 1123 00:53:20,080 --> 00:53:22,960 Speaker 8: take another usable running back here. I can get Jalen Warren, 1124 00:53:23,000 --> 00:53:26,120 Speaker 8: who might be this year's Kenneth Gainwell on this thin instead, 1125 00:53:26,200 --> 00:53:30,880 Speaker 8: So let's go that route.