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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network.

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Speaker 1: I am Chad Melman, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network.

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Speaker 1: It is the final podcast before the Super Bowl. We're

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Speaker 1: finally getting there between the Bengals and the Rams. Rams

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Speaker 1: currently four point favorites over the Cincinnati Bengals. I am

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Speaker 1: joined as I am every week as I have been

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Speaker 1: for the entire football season, by my BFF, my companion,

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Speaker 1: Mike and Padre professional better Simon Hunter brother brother. We

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Speaker 1: got one game one side one total to talk about today.

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Speaker 1: Good brother, if you're a family of either of these teams,

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Speaker 1: this is like not the greatest experience of your life.

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Speaker 1: I want to I don't know how people other people's lives,

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Speaker 1: but going on a Super Bowl run, having your team

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Speaker 1: in the Super Bowl, and if you win said Super Bowl,

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Speaker 1: it's seriously one of those moments you will remember the

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Speaker 1: rest of your life, remember every little detail where you were,

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Speaker 1: well you guys did after the Super Bowl, after you

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Speaker 1: won everything. It's it's the best. I'm just so excited

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Speaker 1: for both fan bases and for us gamblers, Chad, we

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Speaker 1: all know this is Uh, this is the biggest betting

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Speaker 1: night of the year in America. So I can't wait. Listen.

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Speaker 1: It's passive, there's no there's no sugarcoating it. With professional

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Speaker 1: betting being the way it is now. With New York

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Speaker 1: having come online, uh, New York in one month in

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Speaker 1: three weeks did more handle than New Jersey had done

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Speaker 1: in three years in a single month. Like, the attention

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Speaker 1: being paid to sports betting right now is bigger than

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Speaker 1: it ever has. We're glad to be a part of

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Speaker 1: the conversation. We're glad to give people that information Simon,

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Speaker 1: You've had two weeks off. You didn't have a game

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Speaker 1: to prep for this past weekend. So tell us how

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Speaker 1: professional Better spends the off week. Do you go anywhere?

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Speaker 1: Do you get together with other professional betters? Is there

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Speaker 1: like a professional Better you know, get away? What happens? Well,

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Speaker 1: you know there are no real off week, so definitely

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Speaker 1: put in the seventy hours, you know, starting Sunday night,

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Speaker 1: working into I would guess Thursday afternoon and made a

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Speaker 1: bunch of bets, got a bunch of stuff done. Then

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Speaker 1: I told you Thursday night, I was gonna see Jackass Forever,

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Speaker 1: which if people are you are into comedy, especially physical comedy,

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Speaker 1: if you've never seen any of the Jackasses, it doesn't matter.

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Speaker 1: It's seriously one of the funniest movies I've seen in

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Speaker 1: a long time. Like literally, I was in tears, which

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Speaker 1: for you boys, good. I'm kind of dead inside, so

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Speaker 1: I rarely laughed really hard. I was dying. It was

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Speaker 1: much needed. Uh went to bed, woke up, flew down

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Speaker 1: to Miami. UM met up with a couple of guys

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Speaker 1: I worked with. They do other sports. UM definitely had

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Speaker 1: a good time with them. Friday night. Saturday was more business.

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Speaker 1: I met with two other groups that I worked with

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Speaker 1: a little bit um like we trade info with them,

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Speaker 1: met with their football guys. A couple of them I

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Speaker 1: haven't met because of COVID, So it's kind of like, uh,

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Speaker 1: kind of like a boring student tie kind of thing.

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Speaker 1: And then once the grown ups are left, the adults,

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Speaker 1: we had a good time Saturday night, and then Sunday

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Speaker 1: it was just more hanging out at a guy's house

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Speaker 1: b s. And then I went and met up with

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Speaker 1: a couple of clients and then I think we've talked

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Speaker 1: about a little bit in the past, and they're probably

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Speaker 1: really talked about this year. Um. A lot of my

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Speaker 1: money I make is off to ips. It's not so

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Speaker 1: much my betting. It's like I bet with the group

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Speaker 1: or the clients or whatever. So when I go on

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Speaker 1: these little trips usually I'm getting some type of money.

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Speaker 1: So I had a couple of runners down there. They're

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Speaker 1: all driving up right now coming back up to New

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Speaker 1: Jersey with some of my cash and other guys cash.

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Speaker 1: Like it's honestly a fun weekend before the Super Bowl weekend,

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Speaker 1: which all these same guys I was just with, They're

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Speaker 1: all going to Vegas they're all going to l A

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Speaker 1: for this game. I'm not doing any of that. I'm

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Speaker 1: so burned out. I've had all my fun this week.

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Speaker 1: I'm more just focused on, you know, getting all my

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Speaker 1: the rest of my bets. And even though I made

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Speaker 1: a bunch of bets and it's just it's more work

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Speaker 1: for me than a lot of older professional guys. This

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Speaker 1: is like that's a vacation. Their season is kind of done.

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Speaker 1: They do bet the super Bowl, but it's like not

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Speaker 1: as like people think it would be. They're not betting

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Speaker 1: a million dollars on the Bengals. That's Mattress Mac, Like,

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Speaker 1: that's not that's not a pro coming in betting that amount.

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Speaker 1: So it is definitely a fun kind of you know,

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Speaker 1: just you recap the whole season, right like, and then

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Speaker 1: all of a sudden, the super Bowl happens. We might

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Speaker 1: read like you said, we'll recap it next week on Monday,

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Speaker 1: and then it's over. It's like you're just onto the

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Speaker 1: next season, You're onto the draft. So it is kind

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Speaker 1: of a world win this last two weeks. I will look,

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Speaker 1: I'm sure when you guys were having your you know,

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Speaker 1: wise guy convention down in Miami, planning for you know,

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Speaker 1: the Invasion of Havana like it was or whatever. We

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Speaker 1: talked a lot about this. Uh, last week, the Bengals

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Speaker 1: open is three and a half point underdogs. Immediately I

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Speaker 1: went to bed at Sunday night when it was three

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Speaker 1: and a half, I was going to bet the Bengals,

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Speaker 1: and almost in the instant between seeing the line at

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Speaker 1: three and a half and then opening the apps that

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Speaker 1: I can bet on in Connecticut, the line jumped to four.

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Speaker 1: So I grabbed the Bengals plus four, thinking nailed it,

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Speaker 1: and yet money kept coming in on the Rams. All

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Speaker 1: of a sudden, the line went to four and a half.

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Speaker 1: So what were you guys talking about when you were

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Speaker 1: down there? Oh? Um? I mean we definitely talked a

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Speaker 1: lot of X and o's about this game, but it

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Speaker 1: was mainly, like you know, sports bettors are and who

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Speaker 1: loves themselves more than a gambler, especially when that got

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Speaker 1: something right. So I would say half of the time

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Speaker 1: they were just guys talking about how right they were

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Speaker 1: about the Rams, because we talked all summer. I just

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Speaker 1: that was something I definitely missed where these pros they

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Speaker 1: read it perfectly like they love the Rams. They love

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Speaker 1: to fit with McVeigh and Stafford. So I would say

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Speaker 1: that was a lot of the talk down there. It

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Speaker 1: was just how right these guys were. And again, we're

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Speaker 1: gonna have a whole off season talk about it. We

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Speaker 1: have the same scenarios coming up this off season. We

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Speaker 1: have again who knows it's gonna happen with Rogers, Who

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Speaker 1: knows what's gonna happen with Kyler Murray, who knows what's

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Speaker 1: gonna happen with Watson. There's gonna be a lot of

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Speaker 1: value in trying to find which team one of these

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Speaker 1: free agent quarterbacks or when these quarterbacks that aren't free

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Speaker 1: agents right to get traded too. So that was honestly

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Speaker 1: the biggest talk down there. Um just talking about all

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Speaker 1: the drama with all the quarterbacks and football, how there's

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Speaker 1: so much value in these nful futures. So that's why

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Speaker 1: I can't wait for Monday. We're definitely gonna touch on that.

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Speaker 1: But for this game, it's honestly shocking how I all

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Speaker 1: the calls I was getting were on the rams um

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Speaker 1: last week, hang out professionals talking with a bunch of

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Speaker 1: different guys, and hear what they're hearing way more than

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Speaker 1: I thought we're gonna be around the Bengals. A lot

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Speaker 1: of a lot of pros do actually really like the Bengals.

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Speaker 1: They look at this team that there was a bye week. Um, again,

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Speaker 1: this is what they're saying, there was a bye week

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Speaker 1: to say, it was, you know, week ten for this

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Speaker 1: Bengals team. Since then, they've been They've been top five

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Speaker 1: in defense and offense almost any metric you can look at.

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Speaker 1: They've just been really good, especially at their efficiency where

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Speaker 1: they give up yards on defense, they don't give up touchdowns.

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Speaker 1: They put up yards on all offense consistently. Like they

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Speaker 1: don't just have a lot of three and outs. They're

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Speaker 1: very you know, they'll get a couple of first downs

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Speaker 1: and then maybe punch or they'll get a couple of

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Speaker 1: first downs in a field goal. That's that's rare where

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Speaker 1: a lot of teams, you know, they'll come out they'll

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Speaker 1: just go three and out. So we've seen just a

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Speaker 1: very balanced team in this Bengals team. I've I've had

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Speaker 1: a lot more pros talk to me about that where

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Speaker 1: I joked with you chat, I like, looked at this line,

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Speaker 1: I thought it should be three. I heard a bunch

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Speaker 1: of pro saying they think it should be six. That's

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Speaker 1: why they liked the Rams, and I was just like,

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Speaker 1: I don't see it, Like I just don't see that

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Speaker 1: with this Rams team. Yes, they're very talented and everything

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Speaker 1: else like that, Like I've seen the status a boy

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Speaker 1: Aaron Donald going up against this offensive line like that's

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Speaker 1: a big advantage. But it was interesting hearing all the

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Speaker 1: pros that were so pro Bengals, because I honestly felt

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Speaker 1: like I was an island last week, Like it felt

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Speaker 1: like no one was taking the Bengals. So, uh, if

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Speaker 1: people really wanted to know who the pros are betting,

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Speaker 1: it's still sewed towards the Rams. More professionals had bet

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Speaker 1: the Rams, but I would say it's more towards like

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Speaker 1: four out of every ten is on the Bengals, where

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Speaker 1: I thought it was gonna be two out of ten.

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Speaker 1: It's it's definitely more than I thought. So I'm feeling

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Speaker 1: better as the week has going on here about this

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Speaker 1: Bengals bet and this Bengals team, Like I'm really starting

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Speaker 1: to like it. Yeah, to be clear, you and I

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Speaker 1: both went in aggressively on the Bengals. Of plus four,

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Speaker 1: I got up to four and a half. You better

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Speaker 1: to get at four and a half, I did not.

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Speaker 1: I think we were thinking if I got to five,

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Speaker 1: we'd probably better at five too. We had Stucky on

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Speaker 1: the podcast last week. Stucky, who co hosts the Action

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Speaker 1: Network podcast with Chris Raybam. He liked the Bengals at

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Speaker 1: plus four. It's the consensus in the Action Network gap.

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Speaker 1: The projection for our models has the Bengals at plus four,

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Speaker 1: but the huge money and the huge tickets are on

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Speaker 1: the Rams, which gives me a little bit of pause.

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Speaker 1: Definitely feel better after hearing you say what you're saying

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Speaker 1: about some of the market coming back in on the Bengals.

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Speaker 1: It's just weird to me that there was so much

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Speaker 1: sort of bias because of their season long opinion on

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Speaker 1: the Rams from professional betters. Given the way the Bengals

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Speaker 1: have shown, like they've had two games that they that

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Speaker 1: were that they lost by more than three points all year,

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Speaker 1: it just doesn't make any sense, like they play these

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Speaker 1: games close and in a game like this We've seen

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Speaker 1: time and time again, Joe Burrow is not a guy

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Speaker 1: who lets a game get out of hand, like he

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Speaker 1: finds a way late in the game to keep it closest.

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Speaker 1: Why I like the Bengals, you know against since against

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Speaker 1: Kansas City at a big number like four isn't a

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Speaker 1: big number, but the Rams to me on Kansas City,

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Speaker 1: so like this makes sense, But you'd agree with the

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Speaker 1: Pros that the littally the only spot you grade higher

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Speaker 1: for the Bengals is the run game. Like Joe Mixon,

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Speaker 1: he's better than k Makers or some name Michelle every

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Speaker 1: other position on the field, you you probably give the

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Speaker 1: favorite to the Rams team. Like again, I get why

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Speaker 1: people are arguing for their Rams. I've like that's that

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Speaker 1: that's fair. Like Joe Burrow, he's incredible, he's very young.

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Speaker 1: Stafford is better at this point in his career, like

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Speaker 1: he's just more proven. The week has going on, I

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Speaker 1: really tried talking myself into the Rams faily because what

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Speaker 1: you've just talked about, it feels like, other than Pros,

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Speaker 1: everyone in the media is on the Bengals. Like it

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Speaker 1: feels like that's the cool thing to do, right, Joe

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Speaker 1: cool take the Bengals. There's something that about it. Luckily,

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Speaker 1: the numbers back it up, because like I hate if

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Speaker 1: I'm just blindly bet and stuff off that, Like I

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Speaker 1: make this line three four and a half four that's

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Speaker 1: good value for this Bengals team. And I don't know

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Speaker 1: if you want to touch on it, jam my favorite thing.

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Speaker 1: We talked every year about it. I love betting Super

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Speaker 1: Bowls adjusted lines. That's just something I've always done. We

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Speaker 1: talk all the time. Nine out of ten Super Bowls

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Speaker 1: do not matter with the spread. So when I look

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Speaker 1: at this line, people are gonna say, do you take

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Speaker 1: the Bengals money line? I do it different. I take

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Speaker 1: a minus two and a half with this Bangas team.

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Speaker 1: So I'm gonna take the four and a half the

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Speaker 1: four with the Bengals, but stead of taking money line,

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Speaker 1: I take the two and a half because historically, never

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Speaker 1: and the fifty five year history of football has a

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Speaker 1: game ever landed on two or one again in the

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Speaker 1: entire history of the Super Bowl. If you've bet either

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Speaker 1: team minus two and a half, you've won that bet

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Speaker 1: because it's never ever ever landed on two or one.

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Speaker 1: I don't know why that is weird. It's a weird

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Speaker 1: stat but someone told me that very early on there, Like,

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Speaker 1: you can take advantage of this because instead of taking

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Speaker 1: angles money line, you know, plus one fifth year plus

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Speaker 1: one sixty, you take the minus two and a half.

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Speaker 1: It's plus two hundred. So this is what you're three

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Speaker 1: of us doing a Super Bowl chat were two and

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Speaker 1: own super Bowls. That means if we've done this every year,

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Speaker 1: again we had better odds um doing it. But if

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Speaker 1: we do this every year, you'd be a plus four

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Speaker 1: hundred plus five hundred doing it. This is one of

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Speaker 1: those where it's like, yeah, eventually it's not gonna work out.

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Speaker 1: A game is gonna land on two or like the

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Speaker 1: adjusted line won't come through, But it just keeps happening

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Speaker 1: like that. The best one that stands up to me

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Speaker 1: is that Chiefs forty Niners game. Do you remember that game?

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Speaker 1: Chiefs n They're down by ten points. This Chiefs team, right,

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Speaker 1: they were favorite in this game. I took the adjusted

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Speaker 1: line of minus six and a half. They are down

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Speaker 1: ten points in the fourth quarter. What odds do you

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Speaker 1: give me a cover in that minus six and a half? Chat? Yeah,

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Speaker 1: if not higher, it's not gonna happen. Fluky ship happened.

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Speaker 1: It did not make sense, But that's the Super Bowl.

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Speaker 1: They score a touchdown, they score another touchdown, they're trying

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Speaker 1: to run the clock out. A busted tackle. Williams takes

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00:14:01,920 --> 00:14:05,600
Speaker 1: it down the sideline scores another touchdown, Like, again, did

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Speaker 1: I bet on them scoring twenty one and the fourth quarter? No,

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Speaker 1: but we've just seen the Super Bowl. Weird things happen

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Speaker 1: where these adjusted lines. That's how you can make good

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Speaker 1: value offer. So I know during the season I bet differently,

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Speaker 1: like I don't bet these kind of lines for the

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Speaker 1: super Bowl. It's a very unique game. This is something

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Speaker 1: I try to take advantage of every year and it's

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Speaker 1: really served me well. So if you do think the

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Speaker 1: Bengos gonna way out right, it's scary, I get it,

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Speaker 1: but historic. We've never seen a game land on one

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Speaker 1: or two in the Super Bowl. Take the minus two

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Speaker 1: and a half the game. Usually your lands on three

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00:14:35,080 --> 00:14:37,240
Speaker 1: or four, Like those are key numbers in the super Bowl.

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Speaker 1: So I will take issue with one thing you said,

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Speaker 1: which is, yeah, Joe Mixon is better at running back offensively,

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Speaker 1: I I would. I think there's no difference. Like I

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Speaker 1: think Joe Burrow is great. I think Matthew Stafford is great.

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Speaker 1: The degree of difference between them is minimum. I think

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Speaker 1: receiving Jamaar Chase cancels out Cooper Cup. Obviously, Odell is

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Speaker 1: better as a number two than Tyler Boyd and T. Higgins.

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Speaker 1: But I think Tyler Boyd and T. Higgins together are

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Speaker 1: better as a trio than the top three receivers that

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Speaker 1: the Rams have. The real difference for the Rams is

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Speaker 1: on defense, like they their defensive line is just so

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Speaker 1: much better than anything the Bengals have. Uh defensively for sure,

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Speaker 1: but offensively, like the weakness for the Bengals is their

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Speaker 1: offensive line. And you've got three Pro Bowl slash all

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Speaker 1: Pro caliber talents in Leonard Floyd, Aaron Donald, and Von

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Speaker 1: miller Um. That to me is the only reason why

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Speaker 1: people could be favoring the Rams. But to me, that's

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Speaker 1: not worth more than four points with everything else being

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Speaker 1: equal or in the Bengals favor. I feel even better

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Speaker 1: about this game now when I think about it. Roster

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Speaker 1: by roster, yeah, I mean that's all fair. Like maybe

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Speaker 1: I left out safety safety would probably go towards since

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Speaker 1: they are way more healthy that safety position than the

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Speaker 1: Rams are. I think that Joe Burrow hype train, you'll

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Speaker 1: just and sucked in like everyone else. It's like I

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Speaker 1: I went back and watch all the film. The kid

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Speaker 1: made plays. Okay, I'll give him that. He's made plays

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Speaker 1: in every game he's played this playoffs. But people that

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Speaker 1: are like, dude, this guy's top five, Joe Burrow or

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Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes, who's smarter? Who would you rather have? It's like,

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Speaker 1: holy ship, dude, what what are we doing here? But yeah,

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Speaker 1: Joe's high right now, so like, I'm not gonna be

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Speaker 1: too hard on him, but I would still take Stafford

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Speaker 1: over him. That's that's to me, that's still to mantage.

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Speaker 1: But the Joe Burrow factor is why I'm betting this

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Speaker 1: Bengles team. And now a word from FanDuel sports Book

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Speaker 1: go hi, how I think this gram skeet is gonna

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00:18:45,160 --> 00:18:48,240
Speaker 1: play out actually embedding rams first half. I like the

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00:18:48,320 --> 00:18:50,720
Speaker 1: value on the RAMS first half. It's up to minus three.

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00:18:50,760 --> 00:18:53,240
Speaker 1: Now for RAMS first half, hopefully you can shop around

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00:18:53,240 --> 00:18:55,480
Speaker 1: finding minus two and a half. But I'm just looking

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Speaker 1: on paper, it's like, Okay, McVeigh choked. Like we did

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00:18:59,560 --> 00:19:02,679
Speaker 1: a show with Chris Raybon. He talked about McVeigh. I

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00:19:02,760 --> 00:19:05,359
Speaker 1: really did show the last time they played like he showed,

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00:19:05,520 --> 00:19:08,399
Speaker 1: So I can't see him coming out slow in this matchup.

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00:19:08,480 --> 00:19:10,600
Speaker 1: I think that they have the veteran team in the

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00:19:10,760 --> 00:19:15,200
Speaker 1: Rams that all favorites towards them first half, but full game.

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Speaker 1: I really do love this Bengals team where we're like

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00:19:17,920 --> 00:19:19,840
Speaker 1: you just talked about you, like all the matchups everything

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00:19:19,880 --> 00:19:22,760
Speaker 1: like that. The biggest thing is this team They've been

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00:19:22,800 --> 00:19:25,520
Speaker 1: down multiple times this year. Like I went through all

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00:19:25,520 --> 00:19:27,080
Speaker 1: their games, Like that's what I've just mainly been doing

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00:19:27,160 --> 00:19:29,720
Speaker 1: is going back watching all their games. It is incredible

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00:19:29,800 --> 00:19:34,120
Speaker 1: Joe broken do man. Like they'll be down big, He'll

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00:19:34,160 --> 00:19:37,320
Speaker 1: be at third and fourteen, third and thirteen and he'll

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00:19:37,359 --> 00:19:39,560
Speaker 1: just make the play. And like, again, that's not something

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00:19:39,600 --> 00:19:42,600
Speaker 1: you can coach, that's not something you can teach. You're

390
00:19:42,640 --> 00:19:45,800
Speaker 1: just born with that. And I was shocked that, Like,

391
00:19:45,800 --> 00:19:47,679
Speaker 1: coming in this anstally was not gonna bet that much

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00:19:47,680 --> 00:19:49,040
Speaker 1: on the Super Bowl. I just didn't. I just didn't

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00:19:49,040 --> 00:19:52,080
Speaker 1: feel that confident about either team. But as the week

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Speaker 1: is going on, as I ran the more numbers, and

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Speaker 1: it's like, I look at this Bengals team you talked about, you,

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Speaker 1: I feel like four and a half is such a

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00:19:57,800 --> 00:19:59,680
Speaker 1: good number, Like that's such a key number two in

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00:19:59,720 --> 00:20:03,600
Speaker 1: these Super Bowls where we've seen past history games and

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00:20:03,720 --> 00:20:06,119
Speaker 1: gain a lot of games finished seen or just like

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00:20:06,280 --> 00:20:09,600
Speaker 1: it's most Super Bowls are either blowouts or three to

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00:20:09,640 --> 00:20:12,080
Speaker 1: four point wins. It's like historically you can go through it.

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00:20:12,080 --> 00:20:14,919
Speaker 1: It's usually these are very key numbers in this this

403
00:20:15,000 --> 00:20:17,800
Speaker 1: matchup three and four, So I'm getting four and a half,

404
00:20:17,880 --> 00:20:19,760
Speaker 1: which to me is a very key number in Super Bowl.

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00:20:20,440 --> 00:20:22,560
Speaker 1: I thought so many people ask me this question. Uh,

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00:20:22,640 --> 00:20:26,200
Speaker 1: the Action app are world world known app. It says

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00:20:26,320 --> 00:20:29,800
Speaker 1: like where the public and like what the public are betting? Right,

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00:20:30,080 --> 00:20:32,280
Speaker 1: Like it says how much money and what percentage is

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00:20:32,320 --> 00:20:36,280
Speaker 1: being bet right? Yes, that's all sports books, right, Like

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00:20:36,320 --> 00:20:38,280
Speaker 1: you're you're pulling from every sports book you can get

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00:20:38,320 --> 00:20:42,240
Speaker 1: numbers from. Exactly, that's not one place, that's multiple sources.

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00:20:42,280 --> 00:20:44,520
Speaker 1: So that's what I mean. People like we're sometimes we're

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00:20:44,520 --> 00:20:47,160
Speaker 1: talking about specific books on our app. That's every book.

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00:20:47,320 --> 00:20:49,359
Speaker 1: So like people are like, oh, I just saw this

415
00:20:49,400 --> 00:20:52,840
Speaker 1: one sports books and your guys app saying it's fifty fifty,

416
00:20:52,960 --> 00:20:55,920
Speaker 1: like fix your numbers. It's like, no, that's one sports book.

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00:20:55,920 --> 00:20:59,400
Speaker 1: We're the Median. So we've seen money and tickets coming

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00:20:59,440 --> 00:21:02,679
Speaker 1: in on this Rams team in the app, the numbers dropped,

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00:21:02,760 --> 00:21:04,359
Speaker 1: Like Chad just talked about the numbers going from four

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00:21:04,359 --> 00:21:06,800
Speaker 1: and a half to four. So we're seeing these pros

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00:21:06,880 --> 00:21:09,399
Speaker 1: now this week starting to come and start betting this number.

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00:21:09,760 --> 00:21:11,520
Speaker 1: I grabbed that four and half. If you still can't

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00:21:11,560 --> 00:21:14,280
Speaker 1: like again, I I like the Bengals this game. I

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00:21:14,280 --> 00:21:17,000
Speaker 1: think the Bengals are going to win. Well, well, obviously

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00:21:17,040 --> 00:21:18,600
Speaker 1: you're gonna break it all down next week. But when

426
00:21:18,640 --> 00:21:21,560
Speaker 1: I'm sitting here right now, it's like, I I completely

427
00:21:21,600 --> 00:21:24,520
Speaker 1: agree with my going in. My instinct was take the Bengals,

428
00:21:24,560 --> 00:21:27,120
Speaker 1: take the under. Nothing's changed, The only thing has changes.

429
00:21:27,200 --> 00:21:29,480
Speaker 1: Like rams first half, I still like the under. First half,

430
00:21:29,920 --> 00:21:32,240
Speaker 1: still like the under. First quarter. I like the full

431
00:21:32,240 --> 00:21:35,000
Speaker 1: game under. And it's one of these where I really

432
00:21:35,040 --> 00:21:37,760
Speaker 1: bet live. If it's zero zero at the end of

433
00:21:37,760 --> 00:21:40,560
Speaker 1: the first quarter, I'll take the over, like the live

434
00:21:40,680 --> 00:21:42,800
Speaker 1: over of that game, because to me, it's just gonna

435
00:21:42,800 --> 00:21:46,000
Speaker 1: be such jitterous for both these teams. Like Stafford, this

436
00:21:46,040 --> 00:21:49,320
Speaker 1: is his first year winning and playing well in the playoffs.

437
00:21:49,920 --> 00:21:52,280
Speaker 1: Joe Burrows, I know he's lived up to the moment,

438
00:21:52,359 --> 00:21:54,240
Speaker 1: but like they just gotta think about, like this kid's

439
00:21:54,240 --> 00:21:57,520
Speaker 1: gonna be twenty years old walking onto that field, No,

440
00:21:57,680 --> 00:22:00,080
Speaker 1: and he's playing for a legacy, Like damn marine know

441
00:22:00,200 --> 00:22:02,520
Speaker 1: got to the Super Bowl his rookie year, never got

442
00:22:02,560 --> 00:22:05,600
Speaker 1: back and that's like he's gonna be hearing that. Stafford's

443
00:22:05,600 --> 00:22:06,960
Speaker 1: gonna be hearing that. It's like one of these things

444
00:22:07,000 --> 00:22:09,800
Speaker 1: where this is the moment. So I could just see

445
00:22:09,800 --> 00:22:12,439
Speaker 1: them being very overwhelmed where That's one of my favorite

446
00:22:12,440 --> 00:22:14,880
Speaker 1: bets right now is taking that first half under. Uh.

447
00:22:14,880 --> 00:22:18,120
Speaker 1: Speaking of unders, you and I talked about this last week.

448
00:22:18,600 --> 00:22:20,600
Speaker 1: We liked the under at forty eight and a half.

449
00:22:20,960 --> 00:22:24,240
Speaker 1: We thought it would get steamed down even more. It

450
00:22:24,359 --> 00:22:27,000
Speaker 1: really hasn't. It's still sitting at forty eight and a half.

451
00:22:27,359 --> 00:22:29,280
Speaker 1: Taking the under, and if you already took it, I

452
00:22:29,280 --> 00:22:31,399
Speaker 1: would just wait now because the public should bet the

453
00:22:31,480 --> 00:22:34,240
Speaker 1: over as we get closer to game time, so we

454
00:22:34,240 --> 00:22:36,000
Speaker 1: could get lucky. You could get up to forty eight.

455
00:22:36,000 --> 00:22:37,560
Speaker 1: I mean for nine and a half, which is again

456
00:22:37,600 --> 00:22:39,919
Speaker 1: is another key number, So I just wait. I wouldn't

457
00:22:39,920 --> 00:22:41,320
Speaker 1: put any more in the forty eight and a half.

458
00:22:41,720 --> 00:22:43,760
Speaker 1: Um to me, this this will be one of those

459
00:22:43,800 --> 00:22:45,760
Speaker 1: I think it's gonna moved towards the up just because

460
00:22:45,800 --> 00:22:48,000
Speaker 1: the public will start betting this week and they usually

461
00:22:48,000 --> 00:22:51,240
Speaker 1: take overs. I don't think we need to belabor the point. Simon.

462
00:22:51,359 --> 00:22:54,080
Speaker 1: We like the Bengals plus four, you're bet in the

463
00:22:54,119 --> 00:22:57,920
Speaker 1: first half Rams minus three. You're bet in the Bengals

464
00:22:57,960 --> 00:23:00,720
Speaker 1: a dusted line minus two and a half. I've already

465
00:23:00,720 --> 00:23:03,399
Speaker 1: bet the Bengals plus four. We're gonna wait on the

466
00:23:03,400 --> 00:23:06,080
Speaker 1: total and see if it gets above, see if it

467
00:23:06,119 --> 00:23:08,240
Speaker 1: moves a little bit higher before we bet the under again,

468
00:23:08,600 --> 00:23:10,720
Speaker 1: hoping it ticks up to forty nine. I mean, we

469
00:23:10,800 --> 00:23:12,800
Speaker 1: got a full menu all of a sudden for a

470
00:23:12,840 --> 00:23:14,560
Speaker 1: game that, like we weren't so sure about it that

471
00:23:14,600 --> 00:23:17,560
Speaker 1: we were anxious about last week. We are all in

472
00:23:17,680 --> 00:23:20,160
Speaker 1: on who Day again. It was more like last week

473
00:23:20,200 --> 00:23:21,600
Speaker 1: it was like, what am I missing here? I don't

474
00:23:21,600 --> 00:23:24,400
Speaker 1: get why the pros are bedding the Rams up so much,

475
00:23:24,440 --> 00:23:26,399
Speaker 1: but I think we know why. Like they have a

476
00:23:26,440 --> 00:23:28,080
Speaker 1: little bit of a love affair with this Rams team.

477
00:23:28,080 --> 00:23:30,119
Speaker 1: They've had it all year. I don't know. I think

478
00:23:30,119 --> 00:23:32,959
Speaker 1: they're overlooking this Bangles team a little bit. So we're

479
00:23:32,960 --> 00:23:34,399
Speaker 1: happy to take the value chat at four and a

480
00:23:34,400 --> 00:23:37,440
Speaker 1: half and four. We're not missing anything, Simon. We're just

481
00:23:38,040 --> 00:23:44,520
Speaker 1: fucking right and we'll find out Sunday For Simon Hunter

482
00:23:45,240 --> 00:23:50,840
Speaker 1: for Matt Mitchell, Producer extraordinaire, I am Chad Millman. This

483
00:23:50,920 --> 00:23:54,240
Speaker 1: has been the favorites from the Volume podcast Network, and

484
00:23:54,520 --> 00:23:57,440
Speaker 1: one quick note for our listeners, be sure to check

485
00:23:57,520 --> 00:24:01,200
Speaker 1: out the three and Our podcast with John Middlecoff every Monday,

486
00:24:01,240 --> 00:24:06,439
Speaker 1: Tuesday and Friday only on the Volume Podcast Network. John

487
00:24:06,520 --> 00:24:09,160
Speaker 1: is an x NFL scout who brings you his unique

488
00:24:09,160 --> 00:24:12,000
Speaker 1: perspective to the Volume as he breaks down all the

489
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Speaker 1: news around the NFL and college football. Whether you're looking

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Speaker 1: for game predictions, coaching searches, the ins and outs of

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Speaker 1: an NFL front office, even an occasional golf tip, John

492
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Speaker 1: has you covered. Download three and Out with John Middlecoff

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Speaker 1: only on the Volume Podcast Network. We will be back

494
00:24:29,600 --> 00:24:34,280
Speaker 1: on Monday to recap the game see how right we

495
00:24:34,359 --> 00:24:38,600
Speaker 1: really were. Thanks to everybody for listening. It has been

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00:24:38,760 --> 00:24:47,640
Speaker 1: a phenomenally gratifying, satisfying, successful, fulfilling podcast NFL season download

497
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498
00:24:52,560 --> 00:24:54,679
Speaker 1: Super Bowl. Love you,