WEBVTT - Can Elon’s ‘America Party’ Dream Come True?

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news.

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<v Speaker 2>Let me tell you we have a new star. A

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<v Speaker 2>star is born Elon.

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<v Speaker 3>Juson Kennedy.

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<v Speaker 2>He is the Thomas Edison plus plus plus.

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<v Speaker 4>Of our age.

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<v Speaker 2>Holy, his whole life is from a position of insecurity.

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<v Speaker 2>I feel for the guy.

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<v Speaker 4>I would say ninety eight percent really appreciate what he does.

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<v Speaker 4>But those two percent that are nasty today, I'll pay

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<v Speaker 4>in four post.

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<v Speaker 2>We are meant for great things in the United States

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<v Speaker 2>of America, and Elon reminds.

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<v Speaker 3>Us of that.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm very disappointed in Elon. I've helped Elon a lot.

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<v Speaker 2>Welcome to Elon, a Bloomberg's weekly podcast about Elon Musk.

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<v Speaker 2>It's Tuesday, July eighth. I'm your host, David Papadopolos. Okay, America,

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<v Speaker 2>are you ready for the America Party? Elon Musk appareently

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<v Speaker 2>thinks you are launching the third Party late last week

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<v Speaker 2>and making bold declarations about upending the US political order

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<v Speaker 2>and what amounts to a dramatic escalation of his feud

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<v Speaker 2>with President Donald Trump. So we're going back to DC

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<v Speaker 2>to bring in another one of our star political reporters,

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<v Speaker 2>Nancy Cook, to get into the nitty gritty with me

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<v Speaker 2>and Elon inks stalwart Max Chafkin. Hello to you both.

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<v Speaker 1>Hey, David, Hi, David, Hi Max. Thanks for having me.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, Nancy, you know, thanks for coming back. It's been

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<v Speaker 2>a while, it's been too long. Now listen. If Elon's

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<v Speaker 2>politics are the yin well, then Tesla and its wobbly

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<v Speaker 2>share price is the yang. By the way, I actually

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<v Speaker 2>have no idea if this actually makes any sense, but

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<v Speaker 2>I'm gonna go with it. In with Max, you sort

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<v Speaker 2>of yeah, sure, well it's close enough, yeah, good enough

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<v Speaker 2>for rock and roll. And we'll bring in Esha Day

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<v Speaker 2>to talk about the growing ang swirling in the market

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<v Speaker 2>as Musk wades right back into politics. Okay, now, Nancy,

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<v Speaker 2>so with your colleague there in Washington, Josh Green, we

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<v Speaker 2>had previewed this last week, but then the big beautiful

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<v Speaker 2>bill got final approval in Congress and signed into law

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<v Speaker 2>by Trump on the fourth of July, and Musk then

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<v Speaker 2>announces the formation of the America Party the very next day.

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<v Speaker 2>So tell us here, what do we need to know

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<v Speaker 2>about the America Party And what as you see it,

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<v Speaker 2>do the prospects look like for this thing?

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<v Speaker 1>Well, so Elon Musk was not happy with the tax bill,

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<v Speaker 1>which I think that you guys have talked about extensively,

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<v Speaker 1>and also hasn't been happy with the tariffs, and so

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<v Speaker 1>he has broken with Trump and his advisors on some

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<v Speaker 1>very key policy areas and then has threatened to start

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<v Speaker 1>this third political party on X. And so far the

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<v Speaker 1>idea just lives on X.

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<v Speaker 2>And you use the term threat. Is that really all

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<v Speaker 2>it's still is at this point a threat?

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<v Speaker 1>Yes, that's all it is. I mean, creating a third

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<v Speaker 1>political party is a huge heavy lift, and not just

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<v Speaker 1>heavy lift initially, it's a sustained heavy lift.

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<v Speaker 2>What are some of the mechanics of this heavy lifting?

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<v Speaker 1>Sure, so it would require a ton of money. He

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<v Speaker 1>has that, but you know, does he want to you know,

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<v Speaker 1>invest that money for the long term to make an

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<v Speaker 1>effect in both the midterms and the twenty twenty eight

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<v Speaker 1>presidential election or does he need to focus on his companies?

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<v Speaker 1>So money is one? Two is his attention span?

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<v Speaker 2>You know?

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<v Speaker 1>Sure he is threatening Trump and Trump officials about this

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<v Speaker 1>on X. But to create a third political party, you

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<v Speaker 1>have to register with a federal election commission. You have

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<v Speaker 1>to go to each individual state and make sure that

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<v Speaker 1>your party is registered in each political state. Like you know,

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<v Speaker 1>there are some political consultants, I'm sure in DC who

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<v Speaker 1>are salivating at the idea of taking Elon's money and

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<v Speaker 1>doing this, But to actually do it, it's so much

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<v Speaker 1>effort in all these states to do it, and there's

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<v Speaker 1>so much paperwork, and so, you know, in addition to

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<v Speaker 1>the money, question is does he have sort of this

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<v Speaker 1>sustained attention span to do this. And then the other

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<v Speaker 1>thing is that we have never really seen a successful

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<v Speaker 1>third party. You know, Ross Perrot has tried it in

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<v Speaker 1>the past, Andrew Yang tried it, Eddie Roosevelt, yeah, exactly,

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<v Speaker 1>No Labels has tried it, but we've never seen like Wallace. Sure,

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<v Speaker 1>but we've never seen like a really successful bid for

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<v Speaker 1>a third party. This is sort of a threat that

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<v Speaker 1>he's making.

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<v Speaker 2>That is true. But Teddy Roosevelt and the Bull Moose Party,

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<v Speaker 2>I believe, and Ross Perro and whatever the hell the

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<v Speaker 2>name of his party was, they did very much affect

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<v Speaker 2>those elections.

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<v Speaker 1>Sure, there is no question that it could affect the election,

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<v Speaker 1>and it could you know, sort of siphon off votes

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<v Speaker 1>for a Prima Democrat or Republican party. Like Americans are

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<v Speaker 1>very unhappy with the political system at this point. But

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<v Speaker 1>I think it's just like, does he have the attention

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<v Speaker 1>span and the money to do it? You know, for

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<v Speaker 1>a while, because really the next marker would be the midterms,

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<v Speaker 1>the twenty twenty six mid terms, when Republicans could lose

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<v Speaker 1>the House. That's sort of what's up for grabs. Then

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<v Speaker 1>and then the twenty twenty eight election, the presidential election.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, assuming Trump doesn't try to say a third term,

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<v Speaker 1>which would require him changing the constitution, but let's not

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<v Speaker 1>put it past him. It will be a totally open election.

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<v Speaker 1>There will be people running on the Republican side and

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<v Speaker 1>people on the Democratic side, and I think it will

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<v Speaker 1>be a very crowded field. And so, you know, does

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<v Speaker 1>Musk want to put up a candidate for that? You know,

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<v Speaker 1>I think that that's a ways off, but you know,

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<v Speaker 1>I think that there are certainly these conversations happening.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, so Max, this is something that Josh Green also raised,

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<v Speaker 2>the attention span issue, the stick to itiveness sort of dubious,

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<v Speaker 2>like Nancy is and Joshing General has a very grim

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<v Speaker 2>outlook on the future of the America Party. But it's

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<v Speaker 2>curious to me that they both raised that question from

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<v Speaker 2>afar and I get it at some level because the

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<v Speaker 2>guy just bounces around all over the place, and yet

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<v Speaker 2>at the same time, it strikes me that you doubt him,

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<v Speaker 2>you question him and his stick toitiveness on something that

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<v Speaker 2>he starts obsessing about, and you can get burned.

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<v Speaker 3>Right, Yeah, it's true.

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<v Speaker 5>And you know, some of what Musk has said over

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<v Speaker 5>the last couple of days has suggested that he's thinking

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<v Speaker 5>about this in the same way that he's thinking about

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<v Speaker 5>these big bets. He keeps reposting these comments from fans

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<v Speaker 5>that say, like.

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<v Speaker 2>They doubted he could start space X and he did.

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<v Speaker 3>You know, so this is like his next act.

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<v Speaker 5>People forget though, that Musk has threatened to start lots

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<v Speaker 5>of that he never actually followed such a so he

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<v Speaker 5>threatened to start like a news outlet, or he's done

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<v Speaker 5>it a few times, so, you know, made various threats

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<v Speaker 5>about media. You know, even give you well he did,

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<v Speaker 5>You're right, he did by X. But he said he

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<v Speaker 5>was starting this thing called Pravda a few years ago

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<v Speaker 5>and that never happened. It's not like he never sort

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<v Speaker 5>of flakes out on it. In fact, he flakes out

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<v Speaker 5>on threats that he makes on X.

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<v Speaker 2>What's just hit rich.

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<v Speaker 3>I don't know.

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<v Speaker 5>Now obviously, the like sort of maximalist version of this,

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<v Speaker 5>which is like he finds, like I don't like, you know,

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<v Speaker 5>four hundred congressional candidates and goes through the very hard,

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<v Speaker 5>very boring, probably humbling work of trying to get these

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<v Speaker 5>people on ballots in individual districts. It's this is what

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<v Speaker 5>Nancy's talking about. It would take forever, it would be

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<v Speaker 5>very expensive. These candidates would also have to raise a

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<v Speaker 5>ton of money from outside. It would just be like

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<v Speaker 5>a very messy thing, pretty much the opposite of like

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<v Speaker 5>flying into Butler for an hour and enjoying the fun

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<v Speaker 5>of a shop rally. But I do wonder what if

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<v Speaker 5>something in between happens, right, and Musk has already floated

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<v Speaker 5>various versions of this, like he could just like fund

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<v Speaker 5>a handful of Republican primary challenges, call it the America Party,

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<v Speaker 5>like not actually file with the FEC, but just say, like,

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<v Speaker 5>you know, that's what this effort is, and just act

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<v Speaker 5>like a normal kind of right wing mega donor attempting

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<v Speaker 5>essentially to drag you know, the MAGA coalition to the

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<v Speaker 5>right and also probably in the direction of subsidies, you know,

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<v Speaker 5>for his companies.

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<v Speaker 2>So like the Tea Party is a wing of the

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<v Speaker 2>Republican Party, so too with the America Party. That's what

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<v Speaker 2>I'm saying now, Nancy, are you familiar with the term

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<v Speaker 2>man moot?

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<v Speaker 1>I am not.

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<v Speaker 5>Oh that's our version of taco. It's Musk always makes

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<v Speaker 5>up with Trump. So it's this idea, and I feel

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<v Speaker 5>like you are even buying into it in this answer.

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<v Speaker 5>It's this idea that like.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, don't don't tell her what.

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<v Speaker 5>He's talking a big game, but he's not really gonna

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<v Speaker 5>follow through, you know, and we kind of saw this.

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<v Speaker 2>He's got a lot more to lose than Trump does.

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<v Speaker 2>But I gotta say this, Max, this is my point here.

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<v Speaker 2>Man moot's not right now. It's a looking a little rough.

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<v Speaker 2>I actually think it's looking a little bit more like twamum,

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<v Speaker 2>what is that? Just that's me moood backwards? Right, But

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<v Speaker 2>you're still all in on that mood.

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<v Speaker 3>No.

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<v Speaker 5>I mean, I just think that the force pushing Musk

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<v Speaker 5>and Trump together remains, and like you see it even

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<v Speaker 5>in the way that Trump is attacking Musk, like he

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<v Speaker 5>has like insulted Musk a few times, but it doesn't

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<v Speaker 5>feel like and maybe Nancy, maybe I'm just you know,

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<v Speaker 5>failing to appreciate this. But like it feels like he

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<v Speaker 5>hasn't used his like meanest insults yet. He's also focused

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<v Speaker 5>on the third party, not as this like hideous affront,

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<v Speaker 5>but he's just sort of said, it's impractical, this is

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<v Speaker 5>the way the system is. It feels like he's pulling

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<v Speaker 5>his punches a little bit and avoiding giving Musk the

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<v Speaker 5>full double barreled you know, insult canon that he sometimes

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<v Speaker 5>reserves for his enemies.

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<v Speaker 3>It's always been a two party system, and I think

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<v Speaker 3>starting a third party just adds to confusion. It really

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<v Speaker 3>seems to have been developed for two parties. Third parties have.

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<v Speaker 5>Never worked, so he can have fun with it, but

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<v Speaker 5>I think it's ridiculous.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, Trump also just historic, like does get mad at people.

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<v Speaker 1>But I would say one interesting thing about him and

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<v Speaker 1>he will attack them and he can be vicious, is

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<v Speaker 1>there are very few people that he like the Bridges

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<v Speaker 1>are totally burned. You know, he was furious with Steve

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<v Speaker 1>Bannon when Steve Bannon left the White House during the

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<v Speaker 1>first term. Now they talk. You know, Steve Bannon was

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<v Speaker 1>at lunch at the White House, you know, a few

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<v Speaker 1>days before Trump bomb Durant. Trump is willing to make

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<v Speaker 1>up with people, like I think, much more so than

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<v Speaker 1>people realize, and so I could see them one hundred

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<v Speaker 1>percent making up. I also just want to make the

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<v Speaker 1>point that Elon doing this, you know, also runs the

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<v Speaker 1>risk of just really alienating Republican voters who are completely

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<v Speaker 1>beholden to Trump, and like, if they're going to pick

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<v Speaker 1>someone Trump versus Elon, they're going to pick Trump. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>Trump is not just like a political figure or president,

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<v Speaker 1>do you know, He's almost like a movement figure in

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<v Speaker 1>terms of politics. I mean, people just feel so strongly

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<v Speaker 1>about him. His supporters, his detractors also feel strongly that

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<v Speaker 1>I just think, you know, Musk would not just have

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<v Speaker 1>to take on the mechanics of the third party and

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<v Speaker 1>the money and the time and the attention, but also

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<v Speaker 1>just take on sort of the cult of Trump's personality.

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<v Speaker 2>You know.

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<v Speaker 5>I've seen Nancy brought up these political consultants like salivating

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<v Speaker 5>over the chance to take Elon Musk's money, and I

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<v Speaker 5>uctually see some of this slipping out into public. Andrew

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<v Speaker 5>Yang has been tweeting at Musk. Mark Cuban has been

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<v Speaker 5>tweeting at Musk. These consultants are all talking about how

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<v Speaker 5>great an idea a third party is. But most of

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<v Speaker 5>these people are talking about a centrist third party, which

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<v Speaker 5>is not what Elon Musk is talking about. He's talking

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<v Speaker 5>about like a far right political party. Yes, all right,

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<v Speaker 5>what is his complaints, Like, what are his policy positions? Well,

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<v Speaker 5>his policy position is that we need to drastically cut

0:11:50.120 --> 0:11:53.080
<v Speaker 5>the deficit. Essentially, it's not that the Big Beautiful Bill

0:11:53.200 --> 0:11:56.200
<v Speaker 5>is bad because it cut Medicaid, which is what the

0:11:56.240 --> 0:11:59.640
<v Speaker 5>centrists think and which actually might be a credible position

0:12:00.040 --> 0:12:01.800
<v Speaker 5>from which to start trying to build some kind of

0:12:01.840 --> 0:12:04.880
<v Speaker 5>political movement. It's that they didn't cut enough. He's called

0:12:04.880 --> 0:12:07.480
<v Speaker 5>social Security a Ponzi scheme on the Joe Rogan Show.

0:12:07.559 --> 0:12:11.720
<v Speaker 5>He is not in sort of the mainstream of like

0:12:11.800 --> 0:12:15.679
<v Speaker 5>what centrist voters think. His views are sort of out there.

0:12:15.720 --> 0:12:18.480
<v Speaker 5>They're all over the place, and he's attacking Trump from

0:12:18.480 --> 0:12:18.840
<v Speaker 5>the right.

0:12:18.960 --> 0:12:23.720
<v Speaker 2>Okay, So that is a fair point that saying we

0:12:23.800 --> 0:12:26.640
<v Speaker 2>got to go harder at social Security and Medicare and

0:12:26.679 --> 0:12:30.400
<v Speaker 2>Medicaid is not a centrist view. But Nancy's saying that

0:12:30.440 --> 0:12:32.679
<v Speaker 2>the debt is out of control and our deficits are

0:12:32.679 --> 0:12:35.600
<v Speaker 2>out of control. That's not far right politics, is it.

0:12:35.840 --> 0:12:38.360
<v Speaker 1>That's just not a view that is in vogue right

0:12:38.360 --> 0:12:41.040
<v Speaker 1>now in Washington, I would say broadly. And it's not

0:12:41.120 --> 0:12:44.640
<v Speaker 1>something that voters are caring about. And talking about cutting

0:12:44.679 --> 0:12:48.120
<v Speaker 1>social security regardless of party is like the third rail

0:12:48.200 --> 0:12:51.360
<v Speaker 1>for voters. Like old people want their social security. They

0:12:51.360 --> 0:12:54.920
<v Speaker 1>don't want to support some political figure who talks about

0:12:54.920 --> 0:12:57.160
<v Speaker 1>cutting it or even changing it. I mean that's why

0:12:57.240 --> 0:13:01.040
<v Speaker 1>Doje I think was so unpopular. That's not a winning position.

0:13:01.440 --> 0:13:01.680
<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

0:13:01.720 --> 0:13:04.840
<v Speaker 5>I mean we're seeing like a little mini illustration of

0:13:04.880 --> 0:13:07.880
<v Speaker 5>how what a headache doses is going to be both

0:13:07.920 --> 0:13:09.720
<v Speaker 5>for the White House but also maybe even more so

0:13:09.800 --> 0:13:12.760
<v Speaker 5>for Elon Musk with this tragedy in Texas right like

0:13:12.880 --> 0:13:15.280
<v Speaker 5>one of the subplots. And I think we're I don't

0:13:15.320 --> 0:13:17.520
<v Speaker 5>think we know yet, but you're starting to see reports

0:13:17.559 --> 0:13:22.400
<v Speaker 5>about was Noah the Weather Service essentially understaff? Did that

0:13:22.480 --> 0:13:25.960
<v Speaker 5>contribute to not predicting? Like there's just like a lot

0:13:26.000 --> 0:13:27.040
<v Speaker 5>of ways in which.

0:13:26.880 --> 0:13:30.480
<v Speaker 2>An understaff because potentially they were gutted by Doge.

0:13:30.679 --> 0:13:33.400
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, And they're just all sorts of these kind of

0:13:33.520 --> 0:13:38.360
<v Speaker 5>little things where we're attacking government services that were working well,

0:13:38.920 --> 0:13:42.720
<v Speaker 5>created all sorts of liabilities for Musk and then in

0:13:42.720 --> 0:13:43.960
<v Speaker 5>turn for.

0:13:44.280 --> 0:13:46.440
<v Speaker 2>And whether or not that actually turns out to be

0:13:46.480 --> 0:13:47.920
<v Speaker 2>the case or not. And I'm not sure we know

0:13:47.960 --> 0:13:52.240
<v Speaker 2>the answer to that. The narrative politically certainly does not help.

0:13:52.880 --> 0:13:55.480
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, no, no, And it just shows that like beyond

0:13:55.520 --> 0:13:57.760
<v Speaker 5>just like going to the DOGE website and seeing the

0:13:57.800 --> 0:14:01.480
<v Speaker 5>top line number, you know, one hundred billion or whatever, like,

0:14:01.679 --> 0:14:04.600
<v Speaker 5>there aren't a lot of successes that you can point to.

0:14:04.840 --> 0:14:08.559
<v Speaker 5>So it's like it's like a lot of political liabilities

0:14:08.600 --> 0:14:11.720
<v Speaker 5>and a lot of disruption, kind of in the bad sense,

0:14:11.920 --> 0:14:14.679
<v Speaker 5>without necessarily a ton of political upside.

0:14:14.440 --> 0:14:16.280
<v Speaker 2>Dirt parties have never worked in the sense that they've

0:14:16.320 --> 0:14:18.640
<v Speaker 2>never won an election, as you were pointing out, Nancy,

0:14:18.679 --> 0:14:23.960
<v Speaker 2>but as I was remembering, Teddy Roosevelt did cause believe

0:14:24.000 --> 0:14:26.720
<v Speaker 2>William Howard Taff to lose the election way back when.

0:14:26.720 --> 0:14:28.320
<v Speaker 2>And I think you can make an argument that Ross

0:14:28.320 --> 0:14:33.960
<v Speaker 2>Perrot cost George Bush the nineteen ninety two election. If

0:14:34.440 --> 0:14:40.800
<v Speaker 2>the America Party picks off voters, who is it picking off,

0:14:41.040 --> 0:14:43.560
<v Speaker 2>even if it's some at the margin, is it twenty

0:14:43.600 --> 0:14:48.760
<v Speaker 2>something year old guys, And where is it pulling people from? Well,

0:14:48.760 --> 0:14:49.160
<v Speaker 2>what's a.

0:14:49.120 --> 0:14:52.240
<v Speaker 1>Little early to say, because you would often also have

0:14:52.280 --> 0:14:54.600
<v Speaker 1>to see like who are the candidates that this party

0:14:54.640 --> 0:14:57.560
<v Speaker 1>is putting forth and backing, and what do those people

0:14:57.600 --> 0:15:00.000
<v Speaker 1>look like? But I think it would probably pick up

0:15:00.120 --> 0:15:03.120
<v Speaker 1>off like you know tech bros who are like, oh right,

0:15:03.160 --> 0:15:06.240
<v Speaker 1>we should cut social security, we should shrink the federal government.

0:15:06.760 --> 0:15:09.400
<v Speaker 1>I'm not sure like how big of a slice of

0:15:09.400 --> 0:15:13.800
<v Speaker 1>the electric it is, But again, it would really depend

0:15:14.440 --> 0:15:16.000
<v Speaker 1>what Elon's going to have to do if he does

0:15:16.040 --> 0:15:18.880
<v Speaker 1>the Third Party is find all these candidates who also

0:15:18.920 --> 0:15:21.280
<v Speaker 1>want to cross Trump, and then he will put them

0:15:21.360 --> 0:15:24.600
<v Speaker 1>up for different congressional seats. But each candidate will sort

0:15:24.640 --> 0:15:27.400
<v Speaker 1>of have to run his or her own race and

0:15:27.480 --> 0:15:30.320
<v Speaker 1>have his or her own policy positions, which I guess

0:15:30.360 --> 0:15:33.080
<v Speaker 1>Elon would have to support, And so you know, I

0:15:33.080 --> 0:15:36.080
<v Speaker 1>think each of those candidates would appeal to probably different people.

0:15:36.560 --> 0:15:38.640
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, now, Max, when we were talking about what this

0:15:38.680 --> 0:15:42.840
<v Speaker 2>party stands for, down on very very much against debt

0:15:42.840 --> 0:15:45.400
<v Speaker 2>and deficits. That, by the way, is also the origin

0:15:45.480 --> 0:15:48.800
<v Speaker 2>story of Doge. What else in his eeks is in

0:15:49.000 --> 0:15:51.960
<v Speaker 2>such do we know that this party will stand for?

0:15:52.320 --> 0:15:57.280
<v Speaker 5>It's like a combination of Elon's interests and sort of

0:15:57.400 --> 0:16:01.480
<v Speaker 5>techno Silicon Valley right wing is and I'm piecing this

0:16:01.520 --> 0:16:04.840
<v Speaker 5>together from a bunch of tweets, but Elon has indicated

0:16:04.880 --> 0:16:08.160
<v Speaker 5>that modernizing the military with AI and robotics.

0:16:08.480 --> 0:16:11.560
<v Speaker 3>Pro tech, pro crypto, pro natalist.

0:16:11.760 --> 0:16:17.680
<v Speaker 5>It's like a bunch of essentially you know, internet guy ideas.

0:16:17.920 --> 0:16:21.400
<v Speaker 5>But again, like I don't know how Big Musk's bases, Like,

0:16:21.480 --> 0:16:24.200
<v Speaker 5>it's not that many people. It's enough people to build

0:16:24.360 --> 0:16:26.840
<v Speaker 5>a very successful car company. I'm not sure it's enough

0:16:26.840 --> 0:16:30.720
<v Speaker 5>people to build a successful political movement, you know, watching

0:16:30.760 --> 0:16:35.040
<v Speaker 5>this so I covered Peter Teal's donations in the twenty

0:16:35.080 --> 0:16:39.240
<v Speaker 5>twenty cycle, and he, you know, Teal spent all the time.

0:16:39.280 --> 0:16:42.440
<v Speaker 5>I had, I don't know, more than fifty million dollars.

0:16:42.360 --> 0:16:43.240
<v Speaker 3>To get too.

0:16:44.120 --> 0:16:47.880
<v Speaker 5>Essentially two Republican Senate candidates who are sort of far

0:16:47.960 --> 0:16:51.120
<v Speaker 5>right candidates to win their primaries.

0:16:50.840 --> 0:16:53.440
<v Speaker 3>And it was it was pretty successful. Both JD.

0:16:53.560 --> 0:16:57.000
<v Speaker 5>Vans and Blake Masters managed to win their primaries, and

0:16:57.040 --> 0:16:59.400
<v Speaker 5>one of those two guys, JD. Vans, won a Senate

0:16:59.400 --> 0:17:02.760
<v Speaker 5>election that costs fifty million dollars. And the reason it

0:17:02.800 --> 0:17:05.959
<v Speaker 5>worked primarily was not the money, but the fact that

0:17:06.000 --> 0:17:09.400
<v Speaker 5>Donald Trump endorsed both of those guys, and in those elections,

0:17:09.680 --> 0:17:12.080
<v Speaker 5>the big thing as big as the money was. It

0:17:12.160 --> 0:17:14.480
<v Speaker 5>was trying to get Trump to endorse those guys, and

0:17:14.560 --> 0:17:17.520
<v Speaker 5>it just kind of shows you that, like on the right,

0:17:17.720 --> 0:17:21.399
<v Speaker 5>it's pretty hard to run a successful election and not

0:17:21.440 --> 0:17:23.800
<v Speaker 5>get smushed if you're on the wrong side of Trump.

0:17:24.160 --> 0:17:27.359
<v Speaker 1>To me, Elon sort of putting together this third party,

0:17:27.400 --> 0:17:30.119
<v Speaker 1>I'm like, who does that appeal to, apart from David Sachs,

0:17:30.840 --> 0:17:32.560
<v Speaker 1>who like maybe would go along with him.

0:17:32.600 --> 0:17:34.639
<v Speaker 3>I don't know, Nancy, I don't know. David sax is

0:17:34.640 --> 0:17:37.000
<v Speaker 3>a pretty good job right now. He may stick with it,

0:17:37.000 --> 0:17:41.640
<v Speaker 3>which is which is he's the President's AI advisor. He's

0:17:41.640 --> 0:17:43.400
<v Speaker 3>in proximity to power.

0:17:43.240 --> 0:17:45.880
<v Speaker 1>Right So if he goes with Elon, which I could

0:17:45.880 --> 0:17:47.560
<v Speaker 1>sort of see him being one of the few people

0:17:47.560 --> 0:17:50.159
<v Speaker 1>who does, he will lose that job because the Trump

0:17:50.200 --> 0:17:53.800
<v Speaker 1>people are all about revenge and leverage and they will

0:17:53.880 --> 0:17:57.399
<v Speaker 1>lace out anybody who goes along with this Elon idea.

0:17:57.880 --> 0:18:01.440
<v Speaker 2>Nancy, on your point about how Trump has a way

0:18:01.560 --> 0:18:04.480
<v Speaker 2>actually of making up with quite a few people, Does

0:18:04.520 --> 0:18:07.639
<v Speaker 2>he have a sense of gratitude towards Musk and the

0:18:07.720 --> 0:18:10.959
<v Speaker 2>money in the ground game in twenty twenty four, and

0:18:11.119 --> 0:18:15.760
<v Speaker 2>is Donald Trump in the White House right now? If

0:18:15.760 --> 0:18:16.720
<v Speaker 2>not for Elon Musk.

0:18:17.200 --> 0:18:20.119
<v Speaker 1>So I haven't talked to Trump about this specifically, so

0:18:20.200 --> 0:18:22.600
<v Speaker 1>I have no idea exactly what he's thinking. I mean,

0:18:22.640 --> 0:18:26.360
<v Speaker 1>I think, you know, the people around Trump and sort

0:18:26.400 --> 0:18:29.080
<v Speaker 1>of the Trump world at large, you know, I think

0:18:29.080 --> 0:18:31.960
<v Speaker 1>they're grateful for Elon's money. I think they think Elon's

0:18:31.960 --> 0:18:34.119
<v Speaker 1>a little weird. I think Elon made a bunch of

0:18:34.119 --> 0:18:38.080
<v Speaker 1>people in the White House mad or annoyed them. But

0:18:38.119 --> 0:18:40.720
<v Speaker 1>I also think they think they won also because of

0:18:40.760 --> 0:18:43.600
<v Speaker 1>Trump and like the political figure that he is, and

0:18:44.560 --> 0:18:47.720
<v Speaker 1>and the team's of sort of political savviness. I don't

0:18:47.760 --> 0:18:49.919
<v Speaker 1>think that they give all the credit to Elon. I

0:18:49.960 --> 0:18:53.040
<v Speaker 1>think they would be like offended by that suggestion.

0:18:52.800 --> 0:18:55.880
<v Speaker 2>Not all the credit. But did he perhaps tip the balance?

0:18:56.000 --> 0:18:57.520
<v Speaker 1>I guess would be I don't think they would say

0:18:57.560 --> 0:18:59.360
<v Speaker 1>he tipped the balance. I think that they would say

0:18:59.440 --> 0:19:04.120
<v Speaker 1>things like Trump getting indicted, which like supercharged the bas's

0:19:04.240 --> 0:19:07.560
<v Speaker 1>sense of grievance and like made really people coalesce around him,

0:19:07.600 --> 0:19:11.440
<v Speaker 1>was a key moment, you know, the assassination attempt, Biden

0:19:11.560 --> 0:19:13.320
<v Speaker 1>just being such a bad candidate. I think that there

0:19:13.359 --> 0:19:16.520
<v Speaker 1>were a bunch of things Musk helped with some money

0:19:16.640 --> 0:19:19.679
<v Speaker 1>in some key primary states. But I don't think that

0:19:19.720 --> 0:19:21.919
<v Speaker 1>they would say they owe the election to him, and

0:19:22.119 --> 0:19:23.880
<v Speaker 1>I think that he has created a lot of headaches

0:19:23.880 --> 0:19:26.560
<v Speaker 1>for them since then. I will also just say, like broadly,

0:19:26.720 --> 0:19:29.320
<v Speaker 1>the vibe in the White House now and in Trump

0:19:29.359 --> 0:19:33.240
<v Speaker 1>world is like they feel like they're winning. Their ecstatic

0:19:33.680 --> 0:19:36.200
<v Speaker 1>you know, they feel like they passed this big tax bill.

0:19:36.800 --> 0:19:40.000
<v Speaker 1>You know, Trump is like riding high. Staff is riding high,

0:19:40.080 --> 0:19:43.720
<v Speaker 1>and Elon, meanwhile, is just kind of annoying them. And

0:19:43.800 --> 0:19:47.560
<v Speaker 1>so that is the kind of the context in which

0:19:47.600 --> 0:19:48.640
<v Speaker 1>all of this is happening.

0:19:49.119 --> 0:19:51.160
<v Speaker 2>Okay, So Naty, I'm going to ask you again now

0:19:51.400 --> 0:19:56.639
<v Speaker 2>about mam moot and whether you indeed subscribe to the

0:19:56.680 --> 0:19:59.480
<v Speaker 2>Max Chaffkin theory. Do you believe in memot? Yeah?

0:19:59.480 --> 0:20:02.000
<v Speaker 1>I think people miss this about Trump. One is that

0:20:02.080 --> 0:20:04.960
<v Speaker 1>he is a very hospitable person and like is actually

0:20:05.040 --> 0:20:07.200
<v Speaker 1>more charming in person than people think. And the second

0:20:07.359 --> 0:20:10.840
<v Speaker 1>is is that he he will like accept people's apology

0:20:10.880 --> 0:20:13.879
<v Speaker 1>or forgive people. So I feel like, yeah, Elon's not

0:20:13.960 --> 0:20:16.840
<v Speaker 1>in the wilderness like they could make up, you know

0:20:16.960 --> 0:20:18.639
<v Speaker 1>today without an issue.

0:20:19.040 --> 0:20:22.320
<v Speaker 5>Listen, Trump hasn't even given Muscow a diminutive nickname yet

0:20:22.359 --> 0:20:25.200
<v Speaker 5>and until that happens like, I don't even think this

0:20:25.240 --> 0:20:26.879
<v Speaker 5>is a full true feud.

0:20:27.640 --> 0:20:30.959
<v Speaker 2>Final question for the two of you. In November twenty

0:20:31.080 --> 0:20:36.080
<v Speaker 2>twenty six, does the America Party take at least one

0:20:36.440 --> 0:20:41.399
<v Speaker 2>one seat in either the chambers of Congress? Nancy Cook, Nope,

0:20:42.680 --> 0:20:43.880
<v Speaker 2>Max Chefkin No.

0:20:44.520 --> 0:20:48.280
<v Speaker 3>My answer is no. But I think that Elon Musk

0:20:48.320 --> 0:20:52.760
<v Speaker 3>will successfully back one House candidate, not necessarily on an

0:20:52.760 --> 0:20:53.760
<v Speaker 3>America Party line.

0:20:53.880 --> 0:20:56.240
<v Speaker 1>Gotcha, I could see that. I agree with Max.

0:20:57.000 --> 0:20:59.320
<v Speaker 2>Nancy come back and join us again soon anytime.

0:20:59.320 --> 0:21:00.120
<v Speaker 1>Thanks for having me.

0:21:06.440 --> 0:21:09.840
<v Speaker 2>So. Max and I are now joined by Esha Day,

0:21:10.040 --> 0:21:13.560
<v Speaker 2>a stocks reporter here at Bloomberg. Thank you for having me, Esha.

0:21:13.720 --> 0:21:16.880
<v Speaker 2>In the wake of the launch of the Great America

0:21:16.920 --> 0:21:22.080
<v Speaker 2>Party on Saturday, the stocks sank seven percent yesterday, which,

0:21:22.200 --> 0:21:25.239
<v Speaker 2>as you've often told us, Escha, by Tesla's standard, it's

0:21:25.280 --> 0:21:28.000
<v Speaker 2>not an enormous move yet seven percent, you know, seven

0:21:28.040 --> 0:21:31.320
<v Speaker 2>percent bounce back a little bit today, But the mood

0:21:31.359 --> 0:21:34.679
<v Speaker 2>out there seems pretty glum. That angst that among the

0:21:34.760 --> 0:21:37.320
<v Speaker 2>bulls that we've noted in recent months seems to keep

0:21:37.359 --> 0:21:41.600
<v Speaker 2>building and building. Tell us about what you're reading in

0:21:41.720 --> 0:21:44.920
<v Speaker 2>notes from analysts. What kind of you know, what you're

0:21:44.920 --> 0:21:48.240
<v Speaker 2>hearing in conversations you're having what is Esha day seeing.

0:21:48.640 --> 0:21:51.480
<v Speaker 4>Sure, I think the mood I would call it one

0:21:51.520 --> 0:21:53.879
<v Speaker 4>of extreme caution at this point. So most of the

0:21:53.880 --> 0:21:55.920
<v Speaker 4>people that I'm speaking to, and mind you, these are

0:21:55.960 --> 0:22:00.240
<v Speaker 4>mostly TESLA investors or I would say bullish and bearish

0:22:00.320 --> 0:22:04.080
<v Speaker 4>analyst as well, but essentially everybody's kind of keeping their

0:22:04.080 --> 0:22:06.680
<v Speaker 4>fingers crossed and really hoping that this will just kind

0:22:06.680 --> 0:22:07.320
<v Speaker 4>of blow over.

0:22:07.880 --> 0:22:09.359
<v Speaker 2>You're just hoping it's going to go away.

0:22:09.520 --> 0:22:12.000
<v Speaker 5>You hear what you hear what Ash's saying, right, She's

0:22:12.000 --> 0:22:16.520
<v Speaker 5>talking about Memoot, Musk and Trump that this will just

0:22:16.600 --> 0:22:19.440
<v Speaker 5>knock over. He's not going to do this. They're gonna

0:22:19.440 --> 0:22:20.800
<v Speaker 5>make up. That's the trade.

0:22:20.920 --> 0:22:25.200
<v Speaker 2>Okay, So they're hoping for Memoot, but at the same

0:22:25.320 --> 0:22:30.680
<v Speaker 2>time they're not thrilled, right, I mean, I think among

0:22:30.760 --> 0:22:36.399
<v Speaker 2>those expressing concern at a louder and louder you know level,

0:22:36.640 --> 0:22:38.920
<v Speaker 2>is Dan ives How do you refer to.

0:22:38.880 --> 0:22:42.520
<v Speaker 3>Dan Ives man the QAnon shaman of right?

0:22:43.000 --> 0:22:45.560
<v Speaker 2>I mean, what did he what did he write? Was

0:22:45.560 --> 0:22:47.280
<v Speaker 2>it just today? I think it's just today?

0:22:47.320 --> 0:22:49.080
<v Speaker 4>But I mean, this is not the first time that

0:22:49.200 --> 0:22:51.760
<v Speaker 4>Dan is coming out and kind of, you know, really

0:22:51.800 --> 0:22:54.880
<v Speaker 4>pushing back on this what he called the soap opera,

0:22:55.040 --> 0:22:57.520
<v Speaker 4>and he's saying that soap opera needs to stop. But

0:22:57.880 --> 0:22:59.399
<v Speaker 4>his note this morning, he doesn't.

0:22:59.400 --> 0:23:02.480
<v Speaker 2>He's not enjoying, no, clearly not, which.

0:23:02.359 --> 0:23:05.440
<v Speaker 4>Is which is unusual for Dan, I would say. So

0:23:05.800 --> 0:23:08.320
<v Speaker 4>he's essentially saying that the company is now at a

0:23:08.359 --> 0:23:11.800
<v Speaker 4>tipping point, I mean, big words. His point is a

0:23:12.040 --> 0:23:14.639
<v Speaker 4>Tesla board. This is the time for Tesla board to

0:23:14.680 --> 0:23:18.840
<v Speaker 4>really step in and make some changes and try and

0:23:19.080 --> 0:23:23.840
<v Speaker 4>rain in Musk and his antics somewhat. And he believes

0:23:23.840 --> 0:23:25.400
<v Speaker 4>that this is the time to do it. I mean

0:23:25.520 --> 0:23:29.639
<v Speaker 4>the note is pretty forceful. As Max said, I would

0:23:29.640 --> 0:23:33.080
<v Speaker 4>call Dan an uber bull. His price target on the

0:23:33.119 --> 0:23:36.400
<v Speaker 4>Tesla stock is the highest on what Street. It's five

0:23:36.480 --> 0:23:37.159
<v Speaker 4>hundred dollars.

0:23:37.200 --> 0:23:39.040
<v Speaker 2>What is the stock at right now?

0:23:39.720 --> 0:23:42.679
<v Speaker 4>I think it's around two hundred dollars, yes, yeah, and

0:23:42.760 --> 0:23:45.760
<v Speaker 4>it's been the stock has been hovering around that level

0:23:46.000 --> 0:23:50.880
<v Speaker 4>despite some fairly large ish moves for about a month

0:23:51.000 --> 0:23:53.040
<v Speaker 4>or so now, so, yeah, it's three hundred dollars. He

0:23:53.080 --> 0:23:54.800
<v Speaker 4>has a five hundred dollars price stylege.

0:23:55.119 --> 0:23:57.800
<v Speaker 2>So Max, the board, mister Ive says, is going to

0:23:57.920 --> 0:24:00.720
<v Speaker 2>step in. I mean he's gonna him to heal.

0:24:01.119 --> 0:24:04.919
<v Speaker 3>You read dan Ives note, and as Iha says, you can.

0:24:04.800 --> 0:24:06.960
<v Speaker 5>Sort of see why it's a problem because because dan

0:24:07.040 --> 0:24:10.399
<v Speaker 5>Ives his big thing after the election was that this

0:24:10.560 --> 0:24:14.160
<v Speaker 5>was great news for Tesla because Trump, the most powerful

0:24:14.160 --> 0:24:17.040
<v Speaker 5>man in the world, is suddenly aligned with the CEO

0:24:17.280 --> 0:24:20.360
<v Speaker 5>of Tesla. You know, Trump is going to basically sort

0:24:20.400 --> 0:24:24.600
<v Speaker 5>of use his political force to essentially legalize autonomous cars

0:24:24.640 --> 0:24:25.320
<v Speaker 5>all of a sudden.

0:24:25.359 --> 0:24:28.040
<v Speaker 3>That's going to ease the path for Tesla's robotaxis. That

0:24:28.160 --> 0:24:31.840
<v Speaker 3>was the thesis. Now as that thesis is falling apart, obviously.

0:24:31.480 --> 0:24:34.199
<v Speaker 5>That that's going to create problems, and that's why you

0:24:34.200 --> 0:24:37.560
<v Speaker 5>see dan Ives wanting to find finding move, find some

0:24:37.960 --> 0:24:39.960
<v Speaker 5>way to avoid.

0:24:39.800 --> 0:24:40.879
<v Speaker 3>A protracted feud.

0:24:41.080 --> 0:24:44.879
<v Speaker 5>However, when you read this note that Ash's talking about

0:24:44.880 --> 0:24:48.119
<v Speaker 5>this morning, you sort of see why it's going to

0:24:48.160 --> 0:24:50.560
<v Speaker 5>be pretty hard for the board to do any of

0:24:50.600 --> 0:24:53.679
<v Speaker 5>the stuff that dan Ives says, because there's no real stick.

0:24:53.760 --> 0:24:57.439
<v Speaker 5>Dan Ives doesn't propose threatening to fire Elon because that

0:24:57.600 --> 0:25:00.960
<v Speaker 5>is pretty much unthinkable to the Uber. Part of ives

0:25:00.960 --> 0:25:02.840
<v Speaker 5>thesis is that Elon Musk creates a lot of the

0:25:02.880 --> 0:25:06.119
<v Speaker 5>value for the company. So his solution is essentially the

0:25:06.200 --> 0:25:08.520
<v Speaker 5>other version of this, which is to just pay him

0:25:08.560 --> 0:25:09.240
<v Speaker 5>a lot of money.

0:25:09.400 --> 0:25:12.520
<v Speaker 3>So the way wait, wait, so really.

0:25:12.400 --> 0:25:14.400
<v Speaker 2>The proposal is to encourage bad behavior.

0:25:14.640 --> 0:25:17.040
<v Speaker 3>The proposals where there's a fork in the road. Musk

0:25:17.160 --> 0:25:18.200
<v Speaker 3>is out of control and.

0:25:18.160 --> 0:25:22.720
<v Speaker 5>To fix this, essentially, he wants the Tesla board to

0:25:22.720 --> 0:25:25.280
<v Speaker 5>write him a big check. And not only one big check,

0:25:25.440 --> 0:25:28.440
<v Speaker 5>because the plan is, if you read this note, is

0:25:28.520 --> 0:25:31.040
<v Speaker 5>to give Musk a new pay package that will bump

0:25:31.040 --> 0:25:33.119
<v Speaker 5>his equity up to twenty five percent. This is the

0:25:33.160 --> 0:25:35.320
<v Speaker 5>idea that if if Musk owned a little bit more

0:25:35.320 --> 0:25:38.399
<v Speaker 5>of Tesla, maybe he would be incentivized to spend some

0:25:38.440 --> 0:25:41.240
<v Speaker 5>more time there. He also wants for the board to

0:25:41.280 --> 0:25:44.400
<v Speaker 5>consider writing a second check, which is to buy Xai,

0:25:44.720 --> 0:25:48.480
<v Speaker 5>which of course would be another mega payout for Elon Musk.

0:25:48.520 --> 0:25:51.359
<v Speaker 5>And remember Xai is this company that Elon sort of

0:25:51.359 --> 0:25:54.680
<v Speaker 5>started in his spare time, recruited a bunch of ex

0:25:54.720 --> 0:25:57.880
<v Speaker 5>Tesla engineers. In certain ways, it seems kind of competitive

0:25:58.119 --> 0:26:00.920
<v Speaker 5>to Tesla. So the solution is to Musk and line

0:26:01.280 --> 0:26:04.800
<v Speaker 5>essentially by aligning the incentives. Another way to say that

0:26:04.800 --> 0:26:07.280
<v Speaker 5>would be to give him a bunch of more money.

0:26:07.720 --> 0:26:10.600
<v Speaker 2>Right, so tie him closer to the company, you punish him,

0:26:10.640 --> 0:26:14.280
<v Speaker 2>you punish him Max by throwing bigger checks at him.

0:26:14.720 --> 0:26:17.400
<v Speaker 2>I mean, I may you know it drives. I mean,

0:26:17.520 --> 0:26:20.880
<v Speaker 2>but here's the thing. If your musk, Esha, and your

0:26:20.960 --> 0:26:24.600
<v Speaker 2>net worth is what roughly, it obviously goes.

0:26:24.480 --> 0:26:27.000
<v Speaker 4>Up and down a lot. But right now it's around

0:26:27.080 --> 0:26:28.840
<v Speaker 4>three hundred and forty five billion.

0:26:28.600 --> 0:26:32.359
<v Speaker 2>Dollars, all right, I mean, is an extra four seven

0:26:32.480 --> 0:26:35.840
<v Speaker 2>eight ten billion? I mean, does it matter? I mean,

0:26:36.359 --> 0:26:38.760
<v Speaker 2>I guess it would only matter if it helps you

0:26:39.400 --> 0:26:42.520
<v Speaker 2>fund the America Party. But part of the whole thesis

0:26:42.640 --> 0:26:45.000
<v Speaker 2>is I did iways want to pry you away from

0:26:45.080 --> 0:26:48.760
<v Speaker 2>that god forsaken idea. So I don't know. I mean

0:26:48.960 --> 0:26:54.679
<v Speaker 2>to Max's point, though, Esha, about how much Elon is

0:26:54.760 --> 0:26:58.359
<v Speaker 2>Tesla and Tesla is Elon. You had somebody quoted in

0:26:58.359 --> 0:27:02.560
<v Speaker 2>his story recently saying that fully ninety five percent of

0:27:02.600 --> 0:27:06.240
<v Speaker 2>the value of Tesla, of the market cap, which is

0:27:06.280 --> 0:27:09.280
<v Speaker 2>some nine hundred and sixty billion dollars, ninety five percent

0:27:09.920 --> 0:27:16.040
<v Speaker 2>is not derived from current operations, but from anticipation of

0:27:16.080 --> 0:27:19.439
<v Speaker 2>what is to come, new business lines, new revenue streams.

0:27:20.160 --> 0:27:23.520
<v Speaker 2>I mean, it's a staggering number. I think for most companies,

0:27:24.160 --> 0:27:26.679
<v Speaker 2>the value that the CEO or the value of what

0:27:26.760 --> 0:27:29.439
<v Speaker 2>is to come down the line and things that we

0:27:29.480 --> 0:27:31.639
<v Speaker 2>can't quite even see yet is going to be far,

0:27:31.800 --> 0:27:35.560
<v Speaker 2>far smaller than that. This is the cult of Musk

0:27:35.720 --> 0:27:39.440
<v Speaker 2>and the genius of Musk, as dan Ives is saying,

0:27:39.720 --> 0:27:43.000
<v Speaker 2>you may be furious with him and disappointed, but you're

0:27:43.720 --> 0:27:45.320
<v Speaker 2>you're stuck with him. Absolutely.

0:27:45.480 --> 0:27:48.080
<v Speaker 4>Yes, what dan Ives is saying, and the really strict

0:27:48.119 --> 0:27:51.080
<v Speaker 4>measures that he's putting out, they really speak to this

0:27:51.280 --> 0:27:54.119
<v Speaker 4>kind of oh, you know, push and pull that Tesla

0:27:54.160 --> 0:27:57.160
<v Speaker 4>investors are feeling right now, like they are furious. They

0:27:57.240 --> 0:27:59.919
<v Speaker 4>do think it's a it's a huge distraction. You know,

0:28:00.119 --> 0:28:04.680
<v Speaker 4>this is they're powerless though they're powerless because I mean

0:28:04.680 --> 0:28:06.719
<v Speaker 4>they have put that power in that man in some

0:28:06.800 --> 0:28:07.600
<v Speaker 4>ways as well.

0:28:07.600 --> 0:28:10.480
<v Speaker 2>So powerless that I've says, give him more money, Look,

0:28:10.560 --> 0:28:12.040
<v Speaker 2>I give him a bigger cat. I think.

0:28:12.280 --> 0:28:16.240
<v Speaker 3>Honestly, there's a sense to it. I mean, it does.

0:28:16.520 --> 0:28:19.800
<v Speaker 5>It does seem like, as you say, David, incentivizing bad behavior.

0:28:19.840 --> 0:28:23.960
<v Speaker 5>Although it's hard to imagine Musk responding well. Everything we

0:28:23.960 --> 0:28:26.639
<v Speaker 5>know about Elon Musk, it's hard to imagine him responding

0:28:26.680 --> 0:28:29.159
<v Speaker 5>well to an ultimatum. You worry, you give him an

0:28:29.200 --> 0:28:33.480
<v Speaker 5>ultimatum he might do something even more rat We've seen

0:28:33.520 --> 0:28:36.159
<v Speaker 5>that over and over again, and that is you know,

0:28:36.359 --> 0:28:38.880
<v Speaker 5>in a weird way, right, It's what gives him so

0:28:39.000 --> 0:28:41.200
<v Speaker 5>much power, is that is that he is a little

0:28:41.200 --> 0:28:44.320
<v Speaker 5>bit of erratic. There is this kind of wild card factor. Again,

0:28:44.400 --> 0:28:46.560
<v Speaker 5>it's a little it's a little bit trumpy.

0:28:46.960 --> 0:28:48.840
<v Speaker 2>It is a little bit trumpy. By the way, Esha

0:28:49.200 --> 0:28:53.840
<v Speaker 2>I will note that since Tesla joined the S and

0:28:53.840 --> 0:28:57.560
<v Speaker 2>P five hundred at the end of twenty twenty, the

0:28:57.600 --> 0:29:02.800
<v Speaker 2>stock is wildly underperformed the S and P five hundreds,

0:29:02.840 --> 0:29:05.960
<v Speaker 2>up all of twenty six percent. I mean for that

0:29:06.000 --> 0:29:09.040
<v Speaker 2>period basically what you could get from owning treasury bills.

0:29:09.800 --> 0:29:12.160
<v Speaker 2>The S and P is up seventy seven percent in

0:29:12.160 --> 0:29:14.560
<v Speaker 2>that time to on a total return basis, and the

0:29:14.680 --> 0:29:18.800
<v Speaker 2>Nasdaq is up eighty three percent over that time. Granted,

0:29:19.160 --> 0:29:23.120
<v Speaker 2>this strips out the immediately preceding period, which was the pandemic,

0:29:23.160 --> 0:29:26.960
<v Speaker 2>the crazy pandemic rally that sent Tesla soaring. But yeah,

0:29:27.000 --> 0:29:28.360
<v Speaker 2>you're not talking about a four and a half year

0:29:28.400 --> 0:29:29.960
<v Speaker 2>period where the stocks treading water.

0:29:30.560 --> 0:29:33.600
<v Speaker 4>Yep, that's true. And why is that? One part of

0:29:33.680 --> 0:29:36.760
<v Speaker 4>it is definitely that there was it was preceded by

0:29:36.760 --> 0:29:39.960
<v Speaker 4>that seven hundred and fifty percent rally in twenty twenty.

0:29:40.160 --> 0:29:42.080
<v Speaker 2>Say that number again, was it seven hundred and fifty

0:29:42.680 --> 0:29:44.720
<v Speaker 2>bigger than I remember? How do we miss that?

0:29:44.800 --> 0:29:45.120
<v Speaker 5>Max?

0:29:46.320 --> 0:29:49.720
<v Speaker 4>But some of it is also just this like constant

0:29:50.280 --> 0:29:53.240
<v Speaker 4>noise that has surrounded the stock since then, the ev

0:29:53.360 --> 0:29:55.560
<v Speaker 4>business has kind of stabilized, so there's not a lot

0:29:55.600 --> 0:29:56.600
<v Speaker 4>of surprise in there.

0:29:57.160 --> 0:30:00.760
<v Speaker 2>Then there was a stabilized it's kind of but then.

0:30:01.240 --> 0:30:04.719
<v Speaker 4>Yes, and then it started kind of slowing down, So

0:30:04.800 --> 0:30:08.400
<v Speaker 4>that was one disappointment. You know, the core business isn't

0:30:08.440 --> 0:30:11.080
<v Speaker 4>really growing kind of leaps and bounds as it was

0:30:11.080 --> 0:30:13.920
<v Speaker 4>supposed to. Then there was the noise around Twitter, him

0:30:13.960 --> 0:30:17.280
<v Speaker 4>buying Twitter, and that entire distraction around it, him having

0:30:17.320 --> 0:30:20.480
<v Speaker 4>to sell stock. I mean, and when I talked to

0:30:20.680 --> 0:30:23.520
<v Speaker 4>investors right now, that is one instance that keeps coming

0:30:23.600 --> 0:30:27.960
<v Speaker 4>up a lot, not so much his other controversies, of

0:30:28.000 --> 0:30:30.920
<v Speaker 4>which there have been many, but that the Twitter controversy

0:30:31.080 --> 0:30:33.400
<v Speaker 4>or you know, buying Twitter, and the distraction related to

0:30:33.440 --> 0:30:37.040
<v Speaker 4>Twitter which is now X and now his political foray.

0:30:37.160 --> 0:30:38.560
<v Speaker 4>These are the two big.

0:30:38.520 --> 0:30:41.320
<v Speaker 2>So the soap opera that I've refers to, I mean,

0:30:41.360 --> 0:30:45.440
<v Speaker 2>there is really several soap operas that seem.

0:30:45.880 --> 0:30:48.960
<v Speaker 4>Refers to the political soap opera, which I think has

0:30:49.280 --> 0:30:54.080
<v Speaker 4>just gone completely out of control, especially after Musk and

0:30:54.160 --> 0:30:57.400
<v Speaker 4>Trump had their fallout. So, you know, I mean, it

0:30:57.480 --> 0:31:00.200
<v Speaker 4>was always kind of a wild bed, right, like the

0:31:00.200 --> 0:31:04.080
<v Speaker 4>fact that these two men are really close and just

0:31:04.120 --> 0:31:07.400
<v Speaker 4>the proximity to the president will give Tesla some sort

0:31:07.520 --> 0:31:12.320
<v Speaker 4>of a wild edge over competitors. It was always a lot.

0:31:12.520 --> 0:31:13.880
<v Speaker 2>There was a lot of steam. It was a lot

0:31:13.920 --> 0:31:18.560
<v Speaker 2>of smoke. Max, being the the ace reporter he is,

0:31:18.640 --> 0:31:22.520
<v Speaker 2>he sniffed that out in November, to which I had said, well,

0:31:22.720 --> 0:31:24.920
<v Speaker 2>if that is true, if it's all smoke and mirrors,

0:31:25.520 --> 0:31:28.680
<v Speaker 2>you know, just just collect the gains and sell the stock.

0:31:28.800 --> 0:31:30.960
<v Speaker 2>And I don't know, And in hindsight.

0:31:31.400 --> 0:31:34.200
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, that would have been Would we should charge.

0:31:34.040 --> 0:31:34.880
<v Speaker 3>More for this podcast?

0:31:34.960 --> 0:31:40.840
<v Speaker 2>Yes? All right, Esha, thanks for joining Max, Thanks as always,

0:31:41.120 --> 0:31:52.400
<v Speaker 2>Thank you, Thanks David. This episode was edited by Anamas

0:31:52.520 --> 0:31:55.760
<v Speaker 2>Racus and produced by Stacy Wong, with help from Rachel Lewis,

0:31:55.800 --> 0:32:00.320
<v Speaker 2>Chrisky Wait, Maple's Handles Engineering, and Dave Percelfact checks. Our

0:32:00.440 --> 0:32:04.920
<v Speaker 2>supervising producer is Magnus Henrikson. The elon Ingk theme is

0:32:04.960 --> 0:32:09.240
<v Speaker 2>written and performed by Taka Yasuzawa and Alex Sugiira. Brendan

0:32:09.320 --> 0:32:12.240
<v Speaker 2>Francis Newnham is our executive producer, and Sage Bauman is

0:32:12.280 --> 0:32:15.880
<v Speaker 2>the head of Bloomberg Podcasts. A big thanks as always

0:32:15.920 --> 0:32:20.120
<v Speaker 2>to our supporters Joel Weber and Brad Stone. I'm David Papadoppo.

0:32:20.680 --> 0:32:22.920
<v Speaker 2>If you have a minute, rate and review our show,

0:32:23.120 --> 0:32:26.080
<v Speaker 2>it'll help other listeners find us. See you next week.