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Speaker 1: Good luck with the most beautiful game. Ju us proud read.

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Speaker 2: Enough there were running again, so smoothe so sweet stipid.

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Speaker 1: Sixteen just glorious execution. Guys, all I'm looking for is

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Speaker 1: sixty percent effort four thousand percent of the time.

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Speaker 2: How shot with that?

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Speaker 1: Shop with mind? Good buddy, and that's why you see

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Speaker 1: your beautiful tiers.

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Speaker 2: Look at his movements the most.

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Speaker 3: Dangerous amount of the planet.

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Speaker 1: Nobody picks them.

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Speaker 3: Shut up, I'm trying.

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Speaker 1: The love is left too, the wide eyed.

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Speaker 3: Drilled bibus how old Earth?

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Speaker 1: Pick that happens?

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Speaker 3: Helloi one and welcome back to Wondergirl of the Soccer

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Speaker 3: Betting podcast by the Action Network, presented you by Betree

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Speaker 3: sixty five. My name is Michael Leebuff and joining me

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Speaker 3: for this our first match week preview for the Premier

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Speaker 3: League of the twenty twenty four twenty twenty five season.

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Speaker 3: Our Sam Ingram of Benningexpert dot Com and BJ Cunningham,

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Speaker 3: a colleague here at Action Network, and together the three

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Speaker 3: of us are going to go on a little handicapping

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Speaker 3: journey through all ten Premier League matches coming your way,

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Speaker 3: starting Friday, August the sixteenth and culminating on Monday with

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Speaker 3: the Monday night football match between Leicester City and Tottenham.

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Speaker 3: I'll also touch on some matches in the rest of Europe,

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Speaker 3: in Italy and Spain, give out our three leg underdog

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Speaker 3: parlay and our favorite bets for the first week of

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Speaker 3: the Premier League. Sound good, guys, let's get right into it.

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Speaker 3: We're gonna start on Sunday morning with the match between

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Speaker 3: Chelsea and Manchester City. City pulled off the four peat,

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Speaker 3: first team to do that. Now we'll look to become

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Speaker 3: the first team to pull off the unprecedented five peak

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Speaker 3: in the Premier League. They travel to Stamford Bridge. They

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Speaker 3: travel as an odds on favorite minus one twenty ish.

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Speaker 3: We are recording this on Friday, August ninth. I'm on

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Speaker 3: vacation next week, so we wanted to just get this

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Speaker 3: out early. So just be aware of some of the

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Speaker 3: numbers and we'll try to direct you as best we

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Speaker 3: can to some thresholds. But yeah, City's minus one twenty

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Speaker 3: ish right now. Chelsea plus three thirty three at Bet

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Speaker 3: three sixty five is a home underdog. The draw is

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Speaker 3: plus two sixty I see a lot of similarities in

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Speaker 3: terms of the way I want to approach Chelsea to

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Speaker 3: Manchester United at this point in the season. Like, there's

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Speaker 3: so much chaos and variants and volatility with these teams,

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Speaker 3: but they are also as a ton of talent, so

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Speaker 3: when they are underdogs, they're gonna be much more attractive

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Speaker 3: to me. Even against a team like City. They're gonta

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Speaker 3: gem at home. I'm gonna go for it here. Sam,

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Speaker 3: I know you're gonna be on the other side, so

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Speaker 3: I wanted to start with you. This is a funny

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Speaker 3: situation where you got a team that has just been

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Speaker 3: all turnover, all chaos and then a picture of stability

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Speaker 3: in Manchester City. But I'm hoping we catch City, you know,

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Speaker 3: in a you know, cliche slow starting spot, and Chelsea's

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Speaker 3: up for it here. I think the upside's good enough

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Speaker 3: to back him and this three way money line as

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Speaker 3: a home as a home pooch. But you can tell

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Speaker 3: me why I'm brown.

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Speaker 2: I'm looking forward to this one, Michael. I've got no

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Speaker 2: idea who's going to start for Chelsea. Like every time

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Speaker 2: I open Twitter, they've signed a new player for like

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Speaker 2: twenty million that I've never heard of, so that should

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Speaker 2: be a bit of fun this season. I actually saw

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Speaker 2: just before coming onto the podcast that Pedro netto to Chelsea.

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Speaker 2: I think that's about done sixty pounds and although like

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Speaker 2: I just about their transfer activity, like I love that signing,

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Speaker 2: like when he is injury free, and I suppose that's

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Speaker 2: the big thing. He's one of the best attacking players

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Speaker 2: in the league. With better players around him, the likes

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Speaker 2: of Kung Ku and the like, he should prove to

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Speaker 2: be a really good addition. So that's one I'm excited

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Speaker 2: to buy for sure. Thinking back to this fiction last season,

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Speaker 2: I actually think I'll bet on Manchester City in some capacity,

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Speaker 2: both home and the way. I was left a little

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Speaker 2: red face. I think there's one one and four to

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Speaker 2: four in the end. So this Chelsea team turned on

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Speaker 2: against Manchester City last term in a season of ups

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Speaker 2: and downs for them, and looking at the prices again

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Speaker 2: like those two matches, my first reaction was, yeah, I've

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Speaker 2: got a better city on the nose, Like we know

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Speaker 2: more about City, we know what to expect. People will

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Speaker 2: have them up for this and they'll want to make

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Speaker 2: the best start possible in the hope of defending their

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Speaker 2: Premier League crown for the fifth time. On the bounce,

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Speaker 2: which is just crackers in itself. I have question marks

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Speaker 2: over Maresca. He's got one championship season under his belt.

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Speaker 2: We spoke about it on the season preview pod. His

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Speaker 2: squad was that good that I'm not sure he really

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Speaker 2: needed to do too much with that squad to get promoted.

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Speaker 2: He clearly had an impact, you could see that in

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Speaker 2: the style of play, yes, but he certainly had the tools.

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Speaker 2: It is disposal to bounce straight back up to the

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Speaker 2: top flight, and anything but promotion was would have been

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Speaker 2: a bit of a disaster down there for Leicester. So

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Speaker 2: from that to Chelsea, we know what Chelsea is like

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Speaker 2: behind the scenes, it's just a gigantic step up and

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Speaker 2: at the prices. Knowing more about this Manchester City than

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Speaker 2: we do about the current Chelsea setup, I just have

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Speaker 2: to side with City and for one hundred percent transparency.

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Speaker 2: This is not a bet I'm going to take. But

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Speaker 2: if I had to put up a bet for this show,

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Speaker 2: I would definitely be leaning more towards Pep and City

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Speaker 2: than I would be towards Maresca's Chelsea.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I think it's much more a situational thing for

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Speaker 3: me than anything else, Like Chelsea is a team that

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Speaker 3: I'm going to stay so far away from when their

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Speaker 3: big favorites, when the situation is a little more dicey.

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Speaker 3: But at this price, I'm just hoping to ketch City

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Speaker 3: here bj I I think, like I said, I think

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Speaker 3: this is like similar to Manchester United, a team that

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Speaker 3: they've got obviously got all the talent that you can

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Speaker 3: hope for when you're getting them as an underdog, and

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Speaker 3: they could basically beat any team on the planet. But

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Speaker 3: they can also you know, lose lose to Ipswich pretty

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Speaker 3: easily too because of the chaos and just the lack

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Speaker 3: of cohesion. So Chelsea for me here probably going to

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Speaker 3: be one of a few Chelsea bets all season, but

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Speaker 3: out of the gates, I'm on the Blues. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: So I think the interesting thing about this match, so

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Speaker 1: these two, you know, we don't like to take a

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Speaker 1: lot away from preseason because players aren't just going as

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Speaker 1: hard or whatever. City did beat Chelsea in the United

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Speaker 1: States for too, and it was a big time thrashing.

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Speaker 1: And what kind of happened in that match, which is

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Speaker 1: the concern under MORESCA is you know he was an

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Speaker 1: assistant manager at City under Pep for an entire season,

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Speaker 1: so he plays a very similar style to what Pep does,

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Speaker 1: where it's like, no, we need to build out of

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Speaker 1: the back, we need to do a lot of short passes.

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Speaker 1: And what that does is it obviously raises your ceiling, right,

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Speaker 1: but it also lowers your floor. And as you've seen

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Speaker 1: in the preseason both against Celtic and against Manchester City,

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Speaker 1: is they kept turning the ball over when they tried

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Speaker 1: to build out of the back. So that's a big

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Speaker 1: time worry here for Chelsea. And if you go back

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Speaker 1: to last season, why they were successful against City and

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Speaker 1: more importantly, why Chelsea was actually successful against a lot

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Speaker 1: of the top teams and why they were bad against

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Speaker 1: the lower end of the table is because they're just

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Speaker 1: a way better team playing in transition, Like they were

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Speaker 1: really good playing under Poachtino in that low defensive block

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Speaker 1: in City and then just hitting them in transition. They

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Speaker 1: did it multiple times. It's why they drew them one

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Speaker 1: one at the ETIAD, That's why they played them really

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Speaker 1: really solidly. In the FA Cup. I believe it was

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Speaker 1: the semi final or quarter finals, so I can't really remember,

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Speaker 1: but remember that it was a one zero game and

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Speaker 1: City created next to nothing and got a goal in

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Speaker 1: the eighty third minutes. So now that they're under MORESCA,

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Speaker 1: if they're going to continue to try to build out

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Speaker 1: of the back like that, that's not going to work

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Speaker 1: here against Manchester City. So if they decide to go

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Speaker 1: back to what they did and what they did successfully

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Speaker 1: against City last year, like yes, I love their chances

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Speaker 1: as an underdog here, but I'm not really sure they're

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Speaker 1: gonna do that. Under MORESCA. Out of possession, Chelsea is

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Speaker 1: gonna be very, very aggressive with their pressing, which against

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Speaker 1: City is not the best method to go about. So

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Speaker 1: for me, I'm passing. I kind of want to just

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Speaker 1: see what it looks like under MORESCA. I did Project

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Speaker 1: City at minus one thirteen, so I'm pretty in line

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Speaker 1: with the market here. So for me, I'm just gonna

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Speaker 1: sit this one out and I kind of want to

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Speaker 1: see what it looks like under Marescue. I think there'll

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Speaker 1: be a couple of good opportunities here, Michael. Where you know,

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Speaker 1: third match of the season, Chelsea's gonna host Crystal Palace

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Speaker 1: and they're gonna go to Bournemouth. So those are gonna

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Speaker 1: be your two really good opportunities to fade them. So

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna sit back and see what it looks like

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Speaker 1: under moresca here in this first match.

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Speaker 3: All right, So that's the Sunday eleven thirty am kickoff.

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Speaker 3: Let's bounce back to Friday, the season opener, the curtain raiser.

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Speaker 3: We had a little bit of disagreement on City and Chelsea,

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Speaker 3: but I think we're all going to be in lockstep

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Speaker 3: here as Manchester United take on Fulham United. Is a

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Speaker 3: minus one eighty eight home favorite, the kattachersveling at five

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Speaker 3: to one at the time or recording, and the draws

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Speaker 3: plus three thirty three. Of course these odds are from

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Speaker 3: bet three sixty five. I mean we can basically, we

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Speaker 3: should have just clipped what our conversations. I'm sure Sam

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Speaker 3: you've had this. You had a similar conversation about United

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Speaker 3: and Wolves in their season opener last year, and just

185
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Speaker 3: we could have just copied it over to this one,

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Speaker 3: because I feel like it's very similar. I've got no

187
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Speaker 3: idea what to expect out of Manchester United. All I

188
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Speaker 3: know is that I can tell you that on come

189
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Speaker 3: Friday at six pm Eastern time or eleven pm over

190
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Speaker 3: there in England, everyone's just gonna be talking about what

191
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Speaker 3: they saw and it's just going to be driving people

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Speaker 3: up a wall. We're gonna be discussing whether ten Hog

193
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Speaker 3: is gonna last, how long it's gonna last into the season,

194
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Speaker 3: all this stuff. It would I think the most shocking

195
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Speaker 3: result of this from this match would be if United

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Speaker 3: just come out and are just like a comprehensive, you know,

197
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Speaker 3: to nothing, take care of business winner, and that makes

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Speaker 3: them very dangerous to back here as a favorite. So

199
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Speaker 3: I'm going with Fulham. I'm gonna take a shot. Well,

200
00:10:00,360 --> 00:10:03,199
Speaker 3: to start with the money line, I mean that game

201
00:10:03,240 --> 00:10:05,040
Speaker 3: against Wolves, we talked about it all season and it

202
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Speaker 3: was their first match of the year on that Monday

203
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Speaker 3: night FOOTBA where Wolves were so much better than United

204
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Speaker 3: and ended up not winning. But I can see a

205
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Speaker 3: similar situation here where we're just left really pissed off

206
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Speaker 3: that are the what was the right bet? Doesn't cash

207
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Speaker 3: BJA but we say it all the time with United.

208
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Speaker 3: I would love to meet the person that is like

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Speaker 3: excited to bet them at this price.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, so you know, if you haven't listened to our

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Speaker 1: preview pod, please go listen to that. I went through

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Speaker 1: a whole rant about Manchester United and ten Hawks, So

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Speaker 1: I'm not going to expound that here once again. But

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Speaker 1: the one thing I want to say is just how

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Speaker 1: bad Manchester United were defensively and they could be a

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Speaker 1: little limited coming in here as well. We have a

217
00:10:45,040 --> 00:10:49,199
Speaker 1: lot of center backs questionable, specifically Luke Shaw, Harry maguire.

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Speaker 1: Even Johnny Evans is questionable with an illness. Now it

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Speaker 1: looks like the Sandra Martinez is going to play so

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Speaker 1: United and obviously Lenny Orro, the new signing, is also

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Speaker 1: going to be out for a couple of months. So

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Speaker 1: there's like who actually going to start back there. Is

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Speaker 1: it going to be Victor Lindeloff, I'm not really sure.

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Speaker 1: But the one thing I want to point out is,

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Speaker 1: you know Fulham specifically last season. I know Pauline is

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Speaker 1: gone and it's obviously a huge loss, like there's really

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Speaker 1: no sugarcoating mat but Fulham towards the end of last

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Speaker 1: season really started to become a very good defensive team,

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Speaker 1: defending in a low block. From March first until the

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Speaker 1: end of the season, they allowed one point four to

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Speaker 1: six non penalty expected goals per ninety minutes, which I

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Speaker 1: know sounds like a lot, but it was actually seventh

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Speaker 1: best in the Premier League because the Premier League has

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Speaker 1: turned into the Bundesliga and every match is averaging three

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Speaker 1: to three and a half expected goals. United over that

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Speaker 1: exact same timeframe, I'll have two point one seven non

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Speaker 1: penalty expected goals for ninety minutes. They were horrible defensively

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Speaker 1: and if you remember last year, Fulham beat Manchester United

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Speaker 1: at Old Trafford because they got into a basketball match.

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Speaker 1: So if Luke Shaw and all these other center backs

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Speaker 1: are not gonna be available, who's to say ten Hog,

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Speaker 1: who I mentioned on the preview pod, is an extremist

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Speaker 1: when it comes to tactics. Who's to say he doesn't

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Speaker 1: just abandon the build up and say, you know what,

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Speaker 1: let's just go play back and forth with Fulham and

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Speaker 1: see what happens they do that. That's not gonna work

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Speaker 1: because Fulham's a pretty good transition team and they have

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Speaker 1: a lot of good transition attackers that can cause United

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Speaker 1: a lot of problems. You know, Xerxe is probably gonna

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Speaker 1: start up top would be my guest, because Hoyland is out. Xerxe,

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Speaker 1: for those who don't know at Bologna, is a really

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Speaker 1: good deep line playmaker, Like he's really good at connecting

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Speaker 1: build up play. He's not a great finisher. That's his biggest,

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Speaker 1: biggest flaw right now. And what United need is a

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Speaker 1: really good finisher because last season they only average one

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Speaker 1: point three to four non penalty expected goals for ninety

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Speaker 1: minutes and it actually created the fewest big scoring chances

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Speaker 1: of anybody. They're two relying on Bruno Fernance to just

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Speaker 1: create everything for them. They just don't have anybody else

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Speaker 1: that really creates that much. So you know, over the

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Speaker 1: two meetings with Fulham last season, you know, the in

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Speaker 1: total expected goals was two point four to two point

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Speaker 1: two in favor of United. It was very even matches

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Speaker 1: for both of them. So who's to say that United

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Speaker 1: should be laying a full goal here at home, especially

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Speaker 1: what we've seen under ten Hog. Again, we are recording

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Speaker 1: this before the Community Shield. We'll see what they logal

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Speaker 1: against City. Honestly, whatever happens in that match, I don't

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Speaker 1: think there's really much to take away because it's a

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Speaker 1: completely different opponent. But United last season, on only five

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Speaker 1: instances they created more than one expected goal than their

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Speaker 1: opponent five times. That was it for the entire season,

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Speaker 1: So why should they be laying a full goal? Against

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Speaker 1: a solid defensive team. I don't understand it. I think

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Speaker 1: that they should be closer. You know, I've projected them

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Speaker 1: projected minus one thirty. I think it should be closer

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Speaker 1: to that. So I like them plus one. At plus

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Speaker 1: one or five great there.

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Speaker 2: With us, Sam, Yeah, I'm just gonna carry on with

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Speaker 2: that theme. I think looking at the prices. On mid

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Speaker 2: June this summer, Fulham's price was plus four hundred on

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Speaker 2: bet three six five. Since then steadily increased the plus

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Speaker 2: five hundred. Despite United missing Hoyland for the opening weeks,

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Speaker 2: Lenny Euros out Ericton Hag is very much in. I

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Speaker 2: know we're all quite down on United. We mentioned it

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Speaker 2: in the season preview pod. Recruitment feels similar. Ten Hags

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Speaker 2: still there despite underperformance, etc. And we haven't really seen

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Speaker 2: much change over the summer, but maybe that's to be expected.

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Speaker 2: Maybe we should expect this to be like a process

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Speaker 2: of building and progression over years instead of over a summer.

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Speaker 2: From the new ownership regime that's come in In terms

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Speaker 2: of the opening game of the campaign, with maybe not

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Speaker 2: too much change from last season, Fulham up plus five hundred,

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Speaker 2: it just feels too big. And I know well, I

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Speaker 2: actually thought you guys were going to be on the

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Speaker 2: Fulham straight win. That felt like something you'd do. But

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Speaker 2: I'm very much with you on the Fulham plus one handicap.

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Speaker 2: See last season. If you're looking at the numbers, Manchester

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Speaker 2: United had fewer Asian handicap wins than any team in

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Speaker 2: the Premier League, with seventeen point twenty five wins from

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Speaker 2: thirty eight games. If you look at Fulham away from home,

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Speaker 2: they won nine point seventy five Asian handicaps from nineteen

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Speaker 2: away games, so they're pretty handy in this market. And

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Speaker 2: with it being the first game of the season, like

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Speaker 2: the pressure for me is already on Ericton Hag there

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Speaker 2: are question marks whether he should still be in the

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Speaker 2: dugout where whether he should be in charge of Manchester

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Speaker 2: United for the opening game. So the pressure is there,

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Speaker 2: and with absentees in United's camp, maybe this won't be

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Speaker 2: as straightforward as the odds suggest. Looking at Fulham without Pallino,

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Speaker 2: which is such a big blow. He registered one hundred

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Speaker 2: and three tackles from dribbles last season. The next best

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Speaker 2: had sixty two. Paulina made the most tackles in the

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Speaker 2: league with one hundred and fifty two. He broke up

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Speaker 2: a lot of players in a Fulham shirt last season

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Speaker 2: and from that possession return to Fulham and they could

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Speaker 2: play in advance from there. So his absence is not

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Speaker 2: to be understated. They need a replacement and they need

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Speaker 2: one quickly, so that's a concern. That's a red flag

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Speaker 2: which doesn't help obviously the Fulham plus one Asian handicap price.

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Speaker 2: But just looking at Fulham going forward in the Premier

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Speaker 2: League this season, what I am confident of is Marcus

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Speaker 2: Silver's ability as a coach to improve his players. If

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Speaker 2: you look at Mitrovic, look at Paulinya, they've come in

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Speaker 2: as twenty million pounds signings and they've left having performed

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Speaker 2: minor miracles in that squad. So I don't think that's

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Speaker 2: a coincidence, and I expect them to recruit well and

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Speaker 2: when they do, they have the money, and when they do,

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Speaker 2: I think Marcos Silver will be able to bring said

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Speaker 2: players on and Fulham can have another good go at

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Speaker 2: the Premier League this season. But in terms of the

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Speaker 2: opening game, yeah, I just think that United price is

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Speaker 2: too short and I feel much more comfortable taking Fulham

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Speaker 2: plus one than I ever would take in Manchester United

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Speaker 2: minus one Asian handicap at home at Old Trafford, which

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Speaker 2: just shows the regression of Manchester United in the past decade.

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Speaker 2: Because for us, for you to say, Michael at the

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Speaker 2: start of all of this, the biggest surprise would be

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Speaker 2: for United to run out comfortable winners at Old Trafford

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Speaker 2: on the opening day. For you to even say that,

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Speaker 2: it just shows that this United side is yeah, a

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Speaker 2: million miles away from Fergie and the like. So yeah,

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Speaker 2: back in Fulham opening.

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Speaker 3: And it's almost like as we saw this last year,

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Speaker 3: like Old Trafford became a situation where it was like

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Speaker 3: almost a home field disadvantage for them because of the

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Speaker 3: atmosphere was just so toxic. And I know that they

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Speaker 3: ended up winning ten out of nineteen, but they lost

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Speaker 3: six as well.

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Speaker 1: So how many of those should they have lost?

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Speaker 3: Yeah exactly, it was just it became a just a

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Speaker 3: caul drink. But so that's all three of us on

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Speaker 3: Folam in one way or another. Let's move to the

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Speaker 3: Saturday early kickoff lunchtime over there in England. Ipswich makes

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Speaker 3: their return to the Premier League against Liverpool, where Arnie

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Speaker 3: Slott will make his debut taking over for Yurgen klop Zipswitch.

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Speaker 3: As you'd imagine a pretty big underdog at six to

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Speaker 3: one on the money line, Liverpool lay minus two seventy five.

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Speaker 3: The draw here is plus four to twenty five. I

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Speaker 3: think the prices are too wide for me to be

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Speaker 3: all that interested in Liverpool, but it's hard to see

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Speaker 3: this one going swimmingly for Ipswich here. I get that

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Speaker 3: there's a little bit of uncertainty with was slot coming in,

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Speaker 3: but the players are still miles better than what Ipswich

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Speaker 3: is going to be able to throw. It should be

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Speaker 3: a fun atmosphere with their return, but I would maybe

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Speaker 3: look to back some alternate overs. I could see this

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Speaker 3: thing being like a four to two goalfest, a lot

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Speaker 3: of fun where, uh you know, there's maybe it's one

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Speaker 3: to one early on and then Liverpool pull away with

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Speaker 3: a and their talent takes over. So something like that

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Speaker 3: is appealing to me BJ But for right now, I'm

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Speaker 3: going to pass.

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Speaker 1: Yeah again. If you listen to my preview pod, you

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Speaker 1: know our excuse me, our preview pod, we I went

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Speaker 1: extensively through Ipswich and what Karen McKenna likes to do.

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Speaker 1: He's somebody that traditionally wants to build another back try

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Speaker 1: and control matches. That's a really bad thing to do

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Speaker 1: against Liverpool. And what Arnie Slot is going to come

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Speaker 1: in and do is keep the same principles out of

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Speaker 1: possession of what Klop did. They're going to press high

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Speaker 1: and Amanda Man fashion and they're going to cause a

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Speaker 1: lot of problems. And the biggest thing when you face

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Speaker 1: teams like Liverpool and Newcastle for a team that wants

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Speaker 1: to build out of the back or even is that Okay,

386
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Speaker 1: if you're not able to play through the pressure, well,

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Speaker 1: then you're going to turn it over and you're going

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Speaker 1: to create a lot of easy transition opportunities for Liverpool.

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Speaker 1: The other end of the spectrum is okay, we'll just

390
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Speaker 1: play the ball long. Well, getting into transitional battle with

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Speaker 1: this Liverpool team is like a death sentence for anybody

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Speaker 1: in the bottom half of the table. So I'm not

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Speaker 1: really sure what Ipswich is able going to be able

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Speaker 1: to do in possession to actually give Liverpool any sort

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Speaker 1: of problems. In possession, you'll see Liverpool try to control

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Speaker 1: a lot more. You know, Arnie Slot's a big believer

397
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Speaker 1: in three man combinations, getting three V twos and build up,

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Speaker 1: which they should be able to do here against Ipswich,

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Speaker 1: you know he does. He likes this staggered build up,

400
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Speaker 1: which is kind of interesting of what he did at

401
00:19:56,760 --> 00:19:59,640
Speaker 1: Faiinord is that you know, the double pivot one stays

402
00:19:59,680 --> 00:20:02,160
Speaker 1: high and stays low, so it gives them opportunities that,

403
00:20:02,520 --> 00:20:04,800
Speaker 1: you know, if you want to press high, like we're

404
00:20:04,800 --> 00:20:06,359
Speaker 1: going to have a numerical advantage if we want to

405
00:20:06,400 --> 00:20:08,680
Speaker 1: send it long. So it kind of makes it very

406
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Speaker 1: difficult for teams to press. You know, Ipswich was a

407
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Speaker 1: high pressing, very aggressive team in the championship thereas there

408
00:20:15,480 --> 00:20:17,760
Speaker 1: were times when they sat back and didn't you know,

409
00:20:17,840 --> 00:20:19,439
Speaker 1: presses high and tried to stay in more of a

410
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Speaker 1: mid block. My more question mark with Ipswich is is

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Speaker 1: like they held fifty three percent possession and again they

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Speaker 1: tried to be a possession dominant team. How are you

413
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Speaker 1: going to cope in the Premier League not just holding

414
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Speaker 1: less than fifty percent of the ball, the less than

415
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Speaker 1: forty percent of the ball. Are you going to be

416
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Speaker 1: able to play successfully the way that Brentford has done

417
00:20:37,720 --> 00:20:39,320
Speaker 1: over the years, the way that all these teams in

418
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Speaker 1: the bottom of table like Nottingham Forest Wolves, et cetera,

419
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Speaker 1: where you're only playing in transitioning, you're defending in a

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Speaker 1: low block for a majority of the match. I mentioned

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Speaker 1: in the prevypot ipswich was twelfth and final third of

422
00:20:50,240 --> 00:20:52,800
Speaker 1: box entry conversion rate. They were very average in terms

423
00:20:52,800 --> 00:20:55,919
Speaker 1: of defending their penalty in terms of blocking shots and

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Speaker 1: defending crosses. So that is a big red flag for me,

425
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Speaker 1: especially facing this Liverpool team, which was the best offensive

426
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Speaker 1: team in the Premier League last season two point three

427
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Speaker 1: expected goals for ninety minutes. So I think in the

428
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Speaker 1: opening match here that Liverpool is actually a little bit undervalued.

429
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Speaker 1: So I like them minus one and a half at

430
00:21:12,400 --> 00:21:16,480
Speaker 1: plus one five projected their spread at minus one point seven.

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Speaker 1: So I think if Switch is in for a rude

432
00:21:19,240 --> 00:21:21,479
Speaker 1: awakening here, and I'm not really sure that they have

433
00:21:22,080 --> 00:21:25,080
Speaker 1: a method given the talent level, the low talent level

434
00:21:25,080 --> 00:21:28,600
Speaker 1: they have comparatively Liverpool, to actually cause them any problems

435
00:21:28,600 --> 00:21:30,679
Speaker 1: in possessions. So I like Liverpool minus one and a half.

436
00:21:31,000 --> 00:21:33,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, and we I mean, I feel like it's a

437
00:21:33,280 --> 00:21:36,200
Speaker 3: cliched about these newly promoted teams that people expect them

438
00:21:36,240 --> 00:21:39,080
Speaker 3: just to come out firing. Maybe it's a Liverpool to

439
00:21:39,119 --> 00:21:42,720
Speaker 3: win from behind, Sam where because we've seen Liverpool at

440
00:21:42,760 --> 00:21:46,000
Speaker 3: least under clop like they would last year, especially giving

441
00:21:46,080 --> 00:21:47,520
Speaker 3: up goals in those first you know, ten to fifteen

442
00:21:47,520 --> 00:21:49,639
Speaker 3: minutes and then finding their way back in. But I

443
00:21:49,680 --> 00:21:52,320
Speaker 3: think that it's for me, it's about trying to find

444
00:21:52,320 --> 00:21:54,720
Speaker 3: a creative way in to back Liverpool and goals here.

445
00:21:55,359 --> 00:21:58,439
Speaker 2: So this is one of the most intriguing matchups in

446
00:21:58,480 --> 00:22:00,680
Speaker 2: the Premier League this weekend for me. I know it's

447
00:22:00,680 --> 00:22:02,800
Speaker 2: an early kickoff for you guys in the States, but

448
00:22:03,000 --> 00:22:05,479
Speaker 2: I think it might be worth it to set your

449
00:22:05,520 --> 00:22:09,280
Speaker 2: alarms and get a coffee on. Liverpool really short here

450
00:22:09,359 --> 00:22:11,840
Speaker 2: at minus two seven eight. I don't think anyone will

451
00:22:11,920 --> 00:22:15,000
Speaker 2: take that on. Maybe they deserve to be that short.

452
00:22:15,000 --> 00:22:17,720
Speaker 2: There's a golfing class and quality here. But this is

453
00:22:17,760 --> 00:22:20,440
Speaker 2: a newly promoted club back in the Premier League after

454
00:22:20,560 --> 00:22:23,760
Speaker 2: a long time. And I know it's cliche Michael just

455
00:22:23,800 --> 00:22:26,440
Speaker 2: mentioned it, but I fully buying into it. Portland Road

456
00:22:26,520 --> 00:22:29,720
Speaker 2: will be rocking and this is a club that's used

457
00:22:29,720 --> 00:22:32,359
Speaker 2: to winning. They've just secured back to back promotions and

458
00:22:32,400 --> 00:22:35,000
Speaker 2: their Portland Road form is a big factor in that.

459
00:22:35,480 --> 00:22:38,159
Speaker 2: Looking back last season, no team scored more goals at

460
00:22:38,160 --> 00:22:41,359
Speaker 2: home in the Championship than Ipswich Town. Last campaign. They

461
00:22:41,400 --> 00:22:45,520
Speaker 2: registered fifty nine goals in twenty three home games, averaging

462
00:22:46,080 --> 00:22:48,919
Speaker 2: two point five to six goals scored per ninety. Now,

463
00:22:48,920 --> 00:22:51,160
Speaker 2: if you go back to League One even further where

464
00:22:51,520 --> 00:22:54,840
Speaker 2: Plymo Fargo will pit them to become champions that season

465
00:22:54,960 --> 00:22:57,680
Speaker 2: had to get that in Ipswich scored sixty goals in

466
00:22:57,720 --> 00:23:00,520
Speaker 2: twenty three games, which was a two point six zero

467
00:23:00,520 --> 00:23:04,000
Speaker 2: goes per ninety average. So that's huge at any level. Yes,

468
00:23:04,040 --> 00:23:06,480
Speaker 2: they're stepping up to the Premier League. The leg up

469
00:23:06,640 --> 00:23:09,560
Speaker 2: is huge, but you should still expect this team to

470
00:23:09,560 --> 00:23:12,320
Speaker 2: score goes like Luton Town did last season when they

471
00:23:12,320 --> 00:23:15,000
Speaker 2: are promoted after a long time in the English Football

472
00:23:15,040 --> 00:23:19,159
Speaker 2: League IPS, which may well fall short against Liverpool, they

473
00:23:19,280 --> 00:23:21,840
Speaker 2: might fall short against a lot of Premier League sides,

474
00:23:21,880 --> 00:23:24,800
Speaker 2: but expect them to ruffle a few feathers this season.

475
00:23:25,720 --> 00:23:28,080
Speaker 2: We don't really know what we're going to get from Liverpool,

476
00:23:28,119 --> 00:23:31,639
Speaker 2: but the comparative strength, as BJ spoke about in their

477
00:23:31,640 --> 00:23:35,000
Speaker 2: squad makes them heavy heavy favorites and you can get

478
00:23:35,040 --> 00:23:37,880
Speaker 2: them on side by adding both teams to score to

479
00:23:37,920 --> 00:23:41,160
Speaker 2: the Liverpool wins. So we can go from minus two

480
00:23:41,280 --> 00:23:44,000
Speaker 2: seven eight all the way to plus one seventy and

481
00:23:44,119 --> 00:23:47,960
Speaker 2: last season, if you're looking at Liverpool figures, fourteen out

482
00:23:47,960 --> 00:23:51,080
Speaker 2: of nineteen Liverpool away games saw both teams to score.

483
00:23:51,160 --> 00:23:53,840
Speaker 2: That's seventy nine percent of their matches. That was the

484
00:23:53,920 --> 00:23:57,560
Speaker 2: third highest total in the league, behind Luton and then

485
00:23:57,680 --> 00:24:01,280
Speaker 2: Chelsea who were just bonkers or season. So I think

486
00:24:01,359 --> 00:24:04,280
Speaker 2: Ipswich have a goal in them here and hopefully Liverpool

487
00:24:04,359 --> 00:24:06,919
Speaker 2: can fulfill that end of the bargain and start this

488
00:24:07,160 --> 00:24:08,879
Speaker 2: Arnie Slot rain off in style.

489
00:24:09,480 --> 00:24:11,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, that makes sense that one. I'll probably join you

490
00:24:12,000 --> 00:24:18,120
Speaker 3: on that. Let's go to Arsenal and Wolverhampton next. Pj's

491
00:24:18,200 --> 00:24:23,000
Speaker 3: Arsenal a massive minus four fifty home favorite against Wolves

492
00:24:23,320 --> 00:24:26,359
Speaker 3: Gary O'Neil and Wolve's traveling at fourteen to one. The

493
00:24:26,440 --> 00:24:30,120
Speaker 3: draw here is plus five twenty five. As we talked

494
00:24:30,160 --> 00:24:33,280
Speaker 3: about with in the Chelsea section, Pedro Nato looks at

495
00:24:33,320 --> 00:24:36,760
Speaker 3: me on the move out of the Black Country and

496
00:24:36,760 --> 00:24:37,879
Speaker 3: into Chelsea.

497
00:24:40,040 --> 00:24:41,720
Speaker 1: We started to really get.

498
00:24:41,560 --> 00:24:44,800
Speaker 3: Behind this Wolves team in the beginning, like the middle

499
00:24:44,840 --> 00:24:48,240
Speaker 3: of the first third of last season. We love Gary O'Neal,

500
00:24:48,320 --> 00:24:50,320
Speaker 3: loved what he was doing. He's someone who's really good

501
00:24:50,320 --> 00:24:52,840
Speaker 3: at just getting the most out of a squad. I'm

502
00:24:52,880 --> 00:24:54,560
Speaker 3: starting to get a little worried now if I've been

503
00:24:54,600 --> 00:24:57,199
Speaker 3: thinking about it, more like that they're going to be

504
00:24:57,200 --> 00:25:02,000
Speaker 3: in a bit of a scrap here. This looks about

505
00:25:02,040 --> 00:25:04,800
Speaker 3: right to me, Bjay, I don't see Wolverhampton getting on

506
00:25:04,840 --> 00:25:08,680
Speaker 3: the board against this Arsenal team that I think their

507
00:25:08,680 --> 00:25:10,919
Speaker 3: best quality is just that they are so well drilled

508
00:25:10,960 --> 00:25:13,440
Speaker 3: and know how to control matches. You know, we talked

509
00:25:13,480 --> 00:25:16,240
Speaker 3: about Argentina over the summer a lot being the best

510
00:25:16,240 --> 00:25:19,879
Speaker 3: team at just keeping matches on their terms. Arsenal on

511
00:25:19,920 --> 00:25:23,560
Speaker 3: a club level are just experts at that, and that

512
00:25:23,640 --> 00:25:26,480
Speaker 3: makes it really hard to see Wolverhampton getting what they

513
00:25:26,520 --> 00:25:29,119
Speaker 3: need to pull the upset and just even making this

514
00:25:29,160 --> 00:25:31,080
Speaker 3: one more than a snoozer.

515
00:25:31,600 --> 00:25:35,200
Speaker 1: Yeah. The thing about what Arsenal does is they don't

516
00:25:35,200 --> 00:25:38,879
Speaker 1: just control games in possession. They control games out of possession.

517
00:25:38,880 --> 00:25:40,560
Speaker 1: And the way that they do that is with their

518
00:25:40,640 --> 00:25:43,520
Speaker 1: high press. They're so good at defending in transition, with

519
00:25:43,520 --> 00:25:47,600
Speaker 1: the likes of Declan Rise stopping the ball, and quite frankly,

520
00:25:48,200 --> 00:25:51,440
Speaker 1: Arsenal plays essentially for center backs across their back line,

521
00:25:51,480 --> 00:25:54,120
Speaker 1: so it's very, very difficult to not only play through

522
00:25:54,119 --> 00:25:57,199
Speaker 1: their back line, but to win headers against them, to

523
00:25:57,359 --> 00:26:01,000
Speaker 1: win balls off the set pieces. It's which is so

524
00:26:01,000 --> 00:26:05,080
Speaker 1: so difficult for underdogs to really do anything against Arsenal's defense.

525
00:26:05,119 --> 00:26:07,080
Speaker 1: I mentioned it on the preview pod, but only in

526
00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:10,879
Speaker 1: five matches last season did one of Arsenal's opponents create

527
00:26:10,960 --> 00:26:14,240
Speaker 1: over one expectacle against them. Wolves over the course of

528
00:26:14,280 --> 00:26:17,879
Speaker 1: two matches against Arsenal last year only created one expectable

529
00:26:17,960 --> 00:26:20,919
Speaker 1: total in those two matches. What Wolves is going to

530
00:26:20,920 --> 00:26:24,400
Speaker 1: be without this match is Matheas Kunya, who is injured

531
00:26:24,560 --> 00:26:26,480
Speaker 1: and like you mentioned, Michael Pedro and Nato is on

532
00:26:26,520 --> 00:26:31,560
Speaker 1: the move. They brought in Jorgan strand Larson from Celta

533
00:26:31,640 --> 00:26:34,840
Speaker 1: Vigo who had good numbers in La Liga last year.

534
00:26:34,880 --> 00:26:37,160
Speaker 1: Scored double digit goals point four to six x GP

535
00:26:37,160 --> 00:26:40,879
Speaker 1: for ninety minutes. But my question marks with him is

536
00:26:40,960 --> 00:26:44,080
Speaker 1: like making the transition from La Liga and placing it

537
00:26:44,080 --> 00:26:47,040
Speaker 1: and playing a lot of passive, low block teams to

538
00:26:47,080 --> 00:26:49,760
Speaker 1: suddenly facing the best out of possession team quite frankly

539
00:26:49,840 --> 00:26:54,280
Speaker 1: in the entire world. So I really struggled to see

540
00:26:54,280 --> 00:26:56,840
Speaker 1: how Wolves actually creates a lot of chances here. Last

541
00:26:56,840 --> 00:26:58,600
Speaker 1: season they were dead last in the Premier League and

542
00:26:58,640 --> 00:27:00,800
Speaker 1: final third to box centry convert rate, which if you

543
00:27:00,800 --> 00:27:03,800
Speaker 1: are a team that's primarily transition based and doesn't really

544
00:27:03,880 --> 00:27:06,280
Speaker 1: get a lot of final third entries comparatively to some

545
00:27:06,320 --> 00:27:07,800
Speaker 1: of the teams at the top half of the table,

546
00:27:08,119 --> 00:27:10,560
Speaker 1: that isn't a huge red flag if you can't get

547
00:27:10,560 --> 00:27:14,119
Speaker 1: those transition opportunities into the penalty area. While as Arsenal

548
00:27:14,200 --> 00:27:16,400
Speaker 1: was the best defensive team in that category last year,

549
00:27:16,760 --> 00:27:19,280
Speaker 1: I mentioned on the prevpot Arsenally allowed point seventy three

550
00:27:19,880 --> 00:27:23,440
Speaker 1: expected goals per ninety minutes, so I like both team

551
00:27:23,480 --> 00:27:25,160
Speaker 1: to score no at minus one thirty. You know, there's

552
00:27:25,160 --> 00:27:27,720
Speaker 1: obviously question marks surrounding Arsenal and their ability to score

553
00:27:27,800 --> 00:27:31,240
Speaker 1: from open play, and those really those questions aren't going

554
00:27:31,280 --> 00:27:33,880
Speaker 1: to be answered until we get into the season because

555
00:27:33,880 --> 00:27:37,360
Speaker 1: it's the exact same attack and core and Wolves. What

556
00:27:37,400 --> 00:27:39,399
Speaker 1: we know about them under Gary O'Neil is they're the

557
00:27:39,440 --> 00:27:42,159
Speaker 1: best penalty box defending team in the Premier League. The

558
00:27:42,200 --> 00:27:46,840
Speaker 1: biggest question mark for Wolves though, Max Killman, their captain

559
00:27:47,440 --> 00:27:50,160
Speaker 1: probably I would argue their most important player last year

560
00:27:50,160 --> 00:27:53,280
Speaker 1: has made a move to West ham So and they

561
00:27:53,280 --> 00:27:55,880
Speaker 1: didn't really make any replacements I know they signed Sante

562
00:27:55,920 --> 00:27:58,159
Speaker 1: Bueno last year to be kind of his replacement when

563
00:27:58,200 --> 00:28:01,520
Speaker 1: he eventually left. Again. Best team in the Mere League

564
00:28:01,520 --> 00:28:03,920
Speaker 1: in terms of blocking shots and defending crosses, and they're

565
00:28:04,160 --> 00:28:07,640
Speaker 1: very very good team defending set pieces, which is very,

566
00:28:07,800 --> 00:28:10,160
Speaker 1: very crucial when you're facing Arsenal, who scored the most

567
00:28:10,200 --> 00:28:12,399
Speaker 1: goals off of set pieces. So I think this is

568
00:28:12,440 --> 00:28:14,920
Speaker 1: going to be one of your typical Arsenal low scoring matches,

569
00:28:15,000 --> 00:28:17,440
Speaker 1: probably a one or two nothing win. But I really

570
00:28:17,520 --> 00:28:19,959
Speaker 1: just don't see how Wolves is able to create anything

571
00:28:19,960 --> 00:28:21,600
Speaker 1: of value. So I like both teams to score no

572
00:28:21,760 --> 00:28:22,480
Speaker 1: mis one thirty.

573
00:28:23,720 --> 00:28:25,359
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's one of those situations where I feel like

574
00:28:25,440 --> 00:28:28,400
Speaker 3: you're the argument you're making for Wolves to have anything here.

575
00:28:28,440 --> 00:28:30,800
Speaker 3: Sam is like, oh, it's the volatility of its match

576
00:28:30,840 --> 00:28:33,119
Speaker 3: week one, and when you're doing that, you're starting to

577
00:28:33,160 --> 00:28:34,359
Speaker 3: grasp a little bit of straws.

578
00:28:34,400 --> 00:28:38,360
Speaker 1: So that said, it.

579
00:28:38,320 --> 00:28:39,880
Speaker 3: Doesn't feel like one that's going to just go off

580
00:28:39,920 --> 00:28:42,000
Speaker 3: the rails, and I think that leads into what you're

581
00:28:42,000 --> 00:28:44,880
Speaker 3: about to explain with your bet, which is at least

582
00:28:44,920 --> 00:28:46,400
Speaker 3: Wolves keeping it tidy.

583
00:28:47,920 --> 00:28:50,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, this is more of a lean than anything, just

584
00:28:50,400 --> 00:28:54,080
Speaker 2: looking at the prices and Wolves around fourteen fifteen to

585
00:28:54,160 --> 00:28:56,200
Speaker 2: one on the opening day of the season. It just

586
00:28:56,240 --> 00:29:00,280
Speaker 2: feels massive. The are still minus two Asian hanh cap

587
00:29:00,320 --> 00:29:03,560
Speaker 2: didn't win in either home or away pitches last season.

588
00:29:03,640 --> 00:29:06,280
Speaker 2: The two one at the Emirates saw Wolves cover the

589
00:29:06,280 --> 00:29:11,040
Speaker 2: plus two and the two nail. Arsenal win at Molineu

590
00:29:11,240 --> 00:29:14,920
Speaker 2: obviously saw a return on your stakes. And if there's

591
00:29:15,000 --> 00:29:17,440
Speaker 2: any game of a season where you might find teams

592
00:29:17,480 --> 00:29:20,200
Speaker 2: a little under cooked, it's cliche, but it is matched

593
00:29:20,200 --> 00:29:22,760
Speaker 2: a one, or it's after a big Champions League game

594
00:29:22,880 --> 00:29:26,160
Speaker 2: under the lights. Betting a plus two Asian handicap on

595
00:29:26,280 --> 00:29:30,160
Speaker 2: Arsenal opponents wouldn't have lost in their opening six Premier

596
00:29:30,240 --> 00:29:34,120
Speaker 2: League games last season. I expect Arsenal to win, but

597
00:29:34,200 --> 00:29:37,040
Speaker 2: I but do I think it will be easy, as

598
00:29:37,440 --> 00:29:41,640
Speaker 2: Arsenal being a minus five to two six shot or thereabouts. No,

599
00:29:41,800 --> 00:29:45,520
Speaker 2: I don't. Wolves has bolstered the right hand side of

600
00:29:45,640 --> 00:29:49,960
Speaker 2: their eleven. They've bought Rodrigo Gomez in from Braga and

601
00:29:50,000 --> 00:29:52,280
Speaker 2: a right back, Pedro Lima. I'm not sure if Lima's

602
00:29:52,280 --> 00:29:55,720
Speaker 2: going to start. As bj said, they got Jorgan Strand

603
00:29:55,760 --> 00:29:58,800
Speaker 2: larsen In as well up top and in preseason. Actually

604
00:29:58,880 --> 00:30:03,200
Speaker 2: it looks like Wolves are attempting to play different variations

605
00:30:03,200 --> 00:30:06,240
Speaker 2: of a four four two with the idea of winning

606
00:30:06,240 --> 00:30:08,959
Speaker 2: possession back high up the field and in turn exploiting that.

607
00:30:09,000 --> 00:30:12,040
Speaker 2: It looks a bit similar to Iriolis Bournemouth actually in

608
00:30:12,040 --> 00:30:14,400
Speaker 2: that respect, So I don't expect them to do that

609
00:30:14,480 --> 00:30:16,360
Speaker 2: here because if they do, they're probably going to be

610
00:30:16,400 --> 00:30:19,040
Speaker 2: in some trouble. But what I've got from that is

611
00:30:19,080 --> 00:30:22,040
Speaker 2: I think Gary o'neils has really been drilling what to

612
00:30:22,120 --> 00:30:24,200
Speaker 2: do in and out of possession over the summer and

613
00:30:24,240 --> 00:30:26,520
Speaker 2: they've looked pretty good, so I think he'll have a

614
00:30:26,560 --> 00:30:28,880
Speaker 2: plan here is a really good Premier League coach. I

615
00:30:28,920 --> 00:30:32,360
Speaker 2: trust him. What I'm after hear and you mentioned it, Michael,

616
00:30:32,480 --> 00:30:34,520
Speaker 2: is just for Wolves to stay in the game for

617
00:30:34,520 --> 00:30:38,640
Speaker 2: as long as possible and hopefully Arsenal don't win by

618
00:30:39,120 --> 00:30:46,200
Speaker 2: a three goal A three goal what's the word margin? Margin?

619
00:30:46,240 --> 00:30:48,760
Speaker 2: There we go a three goal margin and then we

620
00:30:48,800 --> 00:30:51,040
Speaker 2: can take something from this game. But it was very

621
00:30:51,120 --> 00:30:54,040
Speaker 2: much a lean. I just wanted to really highlight how

622
00:30:54,120 --> 00:30:56,440
Speaker 2: big Wolves are on the opening date because I'm not

623
00:30:56,440 --> 00:30:57,840
Speaker 2: sure I can buy into that price.

624
00:30:59,120 --> 00:31:02,760
Speaker 1: Watch this match carefully because Wolves travels to Chelsea next

625
00:31:02,760 --> 00:31:05,640
Speaker 1: week for match week two, which could be a very

626
00:31:05,800 --> 00:31:07,320
Speaker 1: very interesting opportunity.

627
00:31:07,880 --> 00:31:09,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I was about to say I think

628
00:31:09,200 --> 00:31:12,240
Speaker 3: the best possible situation from that standpoint would be that

629
00:31:12,520 --> 00:31:14,920
Speaker 3: and not to lose Sam's bet. But like Arsenal just

630
00:31:14,920 --> 00:31:16,920
Speaker 3: pummel up and then you're getting mold at even like

631
00:31:17,120 --> 00:31:18,880
Speaker 3: a big price against Chelsea.

632
00:31:19,160 --> 00:31:22,240
Speaker 1: I was surprised, Michael, you're done on fifteen to one here. Absolutely.

633
00:31:22,720 --> 00:31:27,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm so sick of betting against Arsenal, like I

634
00:31:27,280 --> 00:31:30,080
Speaker 3: feel like every every week. Last week I just got

635
00:31:30,120 --> 00:31:31,520
Speaker 3: into it and I was like, the price is just

636
00:31:31,560 --> 00:31:34,880
Speaker 3: too wide that they have trouble. I feel like they

637
00:31:34,920 --> 00:31:37,960
Speaker 3: should as a profile, their team should be a one

638
00:31:38,000 --> 00:31:42,240
Speaker 3: that has trouble running away from teams, but they just

639
00:31:42,320 --> 00:31:45,080
Speaker 3: kept doing it. So yeah, I mean, I'm sure comes

640
00:31:45,080 --> 00:31:46,840
Speaker 3: Saturday morning, I won't be able to help myself, but

641
00:31:46,920 --> 00:31:52,640
Speaker 3: we'll see Everdent. They're up next to their home. Yeah,

642
00:31:52,640 --> 00:31:56,360
Speaker 3: this is what a what a fun match, and to

643
00:31:56,440 --> 00:31:58,880
Speaker 3: be spit out on match week one. Considering the new

644
00:31:58,880 --> 00:32:03,040
Speaker 3: manager at Brighton, I couldn't. I can't pick a better

645
00:32:03,120 --> 00:32:04,920
Speaker 3: manager for him to go up against in Sean Dice.

646
00:32:04,960 --> 00:32:10,840
Speaker 3: So we're gonna have Brighton playing basically positionless soccer, no

647
00:32:11,080 --> 00:32:16,200
Speaker 3: central midfielder's a five five one, whatever the hell they're

648
00:32:16,240 --> 00:32:21,120
Speaker 3: bringing in from Saint Paulire going against you know, Sean Diych.

649
00:32:21,120 --> 00:32:22,520
Speaker 3: She's gonna give you four to four to two. Who

650
00:32:22,560 --> 00:32:25,160
Speaker 3: fit long, try to win on set pieces and defend

651
00:32:25,240 --> 00:32:29,400
Speaker 3: and work like hell. You could have set these odds

652
00:32:29,440 --> 00:32:31,120
Speaker 3: in a million different ways, and I'd be like, hey,

653
00:32:31,320 --> 00:32:34,680
Speaker 3: probably makes sense, because I think this is such a

654
00:32:34,760 --> 00:32:37,560
Speaker 3: hard one to just pick a winner like Everden's plus

655
00:32:37,600 --> 00:32:40,040
Speaker 3: one fifty, Brighton's plus one eighty seven on the road,

656
00:32:40,080 --> 00:32:43,080
Speaker 3: the draws plus two forty. I've got no idea what

657
00:32:43,080 --> 00:32:45,280
Speaker 3: to expect from I have a pretty good idea of

658
00:32:45,280 --> 00:32:49,000
Speaker 3: what to expect from Everton in terms of just like effort, industry,

659
00:32:49,040 --> 00:32:51,360
Speaker 3: et cetera. No idea what to expect from Brighton here

660
00:32:51,400 --> 00:32:54,920
Speaker 3: BJ and the prices just aren't good enough in that

661
00:32:55,000 --> 00:32:57,440
Speaker 3: situation to play it anyway. Obviously, be rooting for Evert

662
00:32:57,440 --> 00:32:59,160
Speaker 3: and I get off the marks. I feel like they

663
00:32:59,200 --> 00:33:04,400
Speaker 3: lose every season opener, but say that about all my teams.

664
00:33:04,720 --> 00:33:08,640
Speaker 3: But yeah, this is one I would love to hear

665
00:33:08,680 --> 00:33:11,560
Speaker 3: the the the person who has conviction on either side

666
00:33:11,600 --> 00:33:11,760
Speaker 3: of this.

667
00:33:12,560 --> 00:33:14,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, So the my thing we'll first off, before I

668
00:33:15,000 --> 00:33:19,080
Speaker 1: get anything. Uh, Brighton hires Fabian Hirsler, thirty one year

669
00:33:19,120 --> 00:33:21,960
Speaker 1: old American, which makes me. It makes me thought I'm

670
00:33:21,960 --> 00:33:24,760
Speaker 1: doing nothing with my life Talk podcast because I'm guessing

671
00:33:24,760 --> 00:33:27,600
Speaker 1: we're all around the same age. I'm thirty two, So yeah,

672
00:33:28,160 --> 00:33:29,920
Speaker 1: that made me feel great when they you know, they

673
00:33:29,920 --> 00:33:33,560
Speaker 1: signed him. But innovative is what I would call him.

674
00:33:33,920 --> 00:33:38,360
Speaker 1: Uh and one that I think similar to Eeriol last year,

675
00:33:38,440 --> 00:33:41,320
Speaker 1: might say it takes some time under Brighton, but I

676
00:33:41,400 --> 00:33:43,080
Speaker 1: want to get in the camp right now that I'm

677
00:33:43,080 --> 00:33:44,760
Speaker 1: all the way in on this guy, I think that

678
00:33:44,840 --> 00:33:47,760
Speaker 1: he is a really, really good manager. You mentioned it,

679
00:33:47,840 --> 00:33:53,480
Speaker 1: Michael in Possession, it's very weird. They abandoned the midfield.

680
00:33:53,600 --> 00:33:56,040
Speaker 1: They abandoned the midfield. The center back goes in as

681
00:33:56,120 --> 00:33:59,480
Speaker 1: the single pivot and they form a diamond with the goalkeeper,

682
00:33:59,560 --> 00:34:02,440
Speaker 1: the two center backs, and then your center back that's inverted.

683
00:34:02,880 --> 00:34:04,760
Speaker 1: And what the reason they do that is because they

684
00:34:04,760 --> 00:34:06,560
Speaker 1: think they can get a four v three against anybody

685
00:34:06,600 --> 00:34:09,239
Speaker 1: who decides to press them, and then they'll have you know,

686
00:34:09,360 --> 00:34:12,360
Speaker 1: they basically force the outside wingers to make a decision

687
00:34:12,360 --> 00:34:13,920
Speaker 1: whether they come in and press, and if they do,

688
00:34:13,960 --> 00:34:16,880
Speaker 1: then they have you know, open space out wide to

689
00:34:16,880 --> 00:34:18,680
Speaker 1: play it out there. It's very innovative and I think

690
00:34:18,680 --> 00:34:21,360
Speaker 1: it's something that could work in the Premier League, especially

691
00:34:21,400 --> 00:34:23,759
Speaker 1: with a team like Brighton that played under Deserby and

692
00:34:23,880 --> 00:34:26,120
Speaker 1: is very well drilled in this type of system. I

693
00:34:26,160 --> 00:34:27,319
Speaker 1: just think it's going to take a little bit of

694
00:34:27,320 --> 00:34:29,360
Speaker 1: time for att to actually be able to work, and

695
00:34:29,440 --> 00:34:32,279
Speaker 1: going up against Sean Diych's Everton is maybe not the

696
00:34:32,320 --> 00:34:36,040
Speaker 1: best method bo I'll say this, Michael. The out of

697
00:34:36,040 --> 00:34:39,960
Speaker 1: possession stuff from Saint PAULI under Hursler looks a lot

698
00:34:40,000 --> 00:34:42,719
Speaker 1: like Sean Diych's Everton. It's five four to one mid

699
00:34:42,760 --> 00:34:45,560
Speaker 1: block and I space through the middle, utilize the mid

700
00:34:45,560 --> 00:34:48,239
Speaker 1: block to create high turnovers and everything. It looks very

701
00:34:48,320 --> 00:34:51,480
Speaker 1: very similar. The problem is is that you know, Brighton

702
00:34:51,560 --> 00:34:54,799
Speaker 1: under Deserby was a very aggressive, high pressing man man

703
00:34:54,920 --> 00:34:57,120
Speaker 1: style team, so I think it's going to take a

704
00:34:57,200 --> 00:34:59,400
Speaker 1: little bit of time for him to well drill that

705
00:34:59,600 --> 00:35:02,120
Speaker 1: mid to mid to high defensive block and actually have

706
00:35:02,200 --> 00:35:05,200
Speaker 1: it working at a high level. So I was actually

707
00:35:05,200 --> 00:35:07,920
Speaker 1: looking at potentially playing Everton here because I do think

708
00:35:07,960 --> 00:35:11,560
Speaker 1: that the price on Everton is maybe a tad too low.

709
00:35:11,960 --> 00:35:14,600
Speaker 1: But then you look at who isn't available for Everton,

710
00:35:14,920 --> 00:35:19,120
Speaker 1: and we're gonna have no Jared Branthwaite here, probably no

711
00:35:19,239 --> 00:35:22,240
Speaker 1: James Garner, who is the key guy now that Onana

712
00:35:22,280 --> 00:35:24,200
Speaker 1: has left, like he is the guy in the midfield

713
00:35:24,200 --> 00:35:27,880
Speaker 1: that they need available. So not having essentially two of

714
00:35:27,880 --> 00:35:31,040
Speaker 1: your most important players, then Michael Keen also being questionable here,

715
00:35:31,520 --> 00:35:33,800
Speaker 1: It's like, okay, who starts the center back for Everton?

716
00:35:34,040 --> 00:35:36,719
Speaker 1: So for me, I think it's a pass and I

717
00:35:36,760 --> 00:35:40,880
Speaker 1: think it's a let's just see how this Hurzler system

718
00:35:41,000 --> 00:35:44,319
Speaker 1: actually works out. Let's maybe not just dive. I'm listen,

719
00:35:44,719 --> 00:35:47,560
Speaker 1: I'm ready to just dive deep into the cannonball, into

720
00:35:47,600 --> 00:35:51,520
Speaker 1: the deep end. But this first match against Everton, who

721
00:35:51,560 --> 00:35:54,080
Speaker 1: is a team of the podcast obviously, and a very

722
00:35:54,320 --> 00:35:56,960
Speaker 1: divisive team in terms of our listeners who we just

723
00:35:57,040 --> 00:35:59,480
Speaker 1: last season, Sam, we just kept telling people, hey, bet On,

724
00:35:59,520 --> 00:36:03,960
Speaker 1: Everton just kept losing and the most painful passion possible.

725
00:36:04,680 --> 00:36:06,839
Speaker 1: We're not there yet, people, but we will be there

726
00:36:06,920 --> 00:36:08,759
Speaker 1: soon on Everton. But I think this is a good

727
00:36:08,800 --> 00:36:11,360
Speaker 1: match to just hey, let's just take a step back

728
00:36:11,960 --> 00:36:14,240
Speaker 1: and let's just see what Hurzler looks like. Brighton.

729
00:36:14,719 --> 00:36:18,680
Speaker 2: This is a baptism of fire into English football, isn't

730
00:36:18,719 --> 00:36:22,080
Speaker 2: It doesn't really get much more English. It doesn't get

731
00:36:22,160 --> 00:36:25,839
Speaker 2: much more English football than this. For Fabian Hurtzler, it's

732
00:36:25,960 --> 00:36:29,160
Speaker 2: two teams really that I'm like going into the season.

733
00:36:29,200 --> 00:36:32,600
Speaker 2: I'm really not sure what we're going to get from either.

734
00:36:33,120 --> 00:36:35,480
Speaker 2: For Brighton, it was a poor season last season from

735
00:36:35,520 --> 00:36:39,840
Speaker 2: their recent standards. Focused straight into European competition and it

736
00:36:39,960 --> 00:36:42,680
Speaker 2: usually does for a club punching above their weight like

737
00:36:42,719 --> 00:36:46,480
Speaker 2: Brighton saw them conceeed more goals than they scored in

738
00:36:46,520 --> 00:36:49,240
Speaker 2: the Premier League and it also ensured the bottom half finished.

739
00:36:49,320 --> 00:36:52,360
Speaker 2: So this time around with the new coach, I expect

740
00:36:52,400 --> 00:36:54,480
Speaker 2: there to be green shoots in Brighton, but I'm more

741
00:36:54,520 --> 00:36:57,280
Speaker 2: some mindful that the improvement might take a little time.

742
00:36:57,360 --> 00:36:59,440
Speaker 2: All my notes in front of me really echo what

743
00:36:59,480 --> 00:37:02,720
Speaker 2: bj was saying. We saw under Iriola. It took about

744
00:37:02,719 --> 00:37:05,640
Speaker 2: eleven to thirteen games for it to really click and

745
00:37:05,760 --> 00:37:10,160
Speaker 2: us to really see the positive performances and results in

746
00:37:10,200 --> 00:37:13,719
Speaker 2: that Bournemouth camp, So it could look very similar. The

747
00:37:13,760 --> 00:37:16,720
Speaker 2: one thing I'm concerned of, especially in the opening stages

748
00:37:16,760 --> 00:37:20,799
Speaker 2: of the season, this manager thirty one years old. He's

749
00:37:20,840 --> 00:37:24,360
Speaker 2: managed fifty five matches as Saint Paulie manager in Germany,

750
00:37:24,440 --> 00:37:26,560
Speaker 2: he was in that post for less than two years

751
00:37:26,600 --> 00:37:30,839
Speaker 2: and now he is a Premier League manager like Maresca.

752
00:37:30,960 --> 00:37:35,840
Speaker 2: It's some jump you can imagine, like that imposter syndrome

753
00:37:35,880 --> 00:37:39,560
Speaker 2: on the touchline next weekend might be ringing very very

754
00:37:39,600 --> 00:37:44,040
Speaker 2: loudly up against Sean Dych, or alternatively he takes to

755
00:37:44,080 --> 00:37:46,319
Speaker 2: it like a duck to water. But we just don't know.

756
00:37:46,800 --> 00:37:49,360
Speaker 2: And that's why this is one of those matches for

757
00:37:49,480 --> 00:37:52,200
Speaker 2: me that just fits into that category. On the opening

758
00:37:52,280 --> 00:37:55,480
Speaker 2: day of Let's just sit back see what we get

759
00:37:55,520 --> 00:37:58,879
Speaker 2: from either team. And for me and for Michael, I'm

760
00:37:58,920 --> 00:38:02,360
Speaker 2: sure hope Sean Boyce's football and Lesson it's one not

761
00:38:03,520 --> 00:38:06,000
Speaker 2: Fabian Hurtz's going to remember for a very long time.

762
00:38:06,080 --> 00:38:08,239
Speaker 2: We shall see, but in terms of betting, I'm going

763
00:38:08,320 --> 00:38:09,160
Speaker 2: to sit this one out.

764
00:38:09,480 --> 00:38:11,680
Speaker 1: And one thing also I mentioned on Brighton is they

765
00:38:11,680 --> 00:38:14,720
Speaker 1: have a lot of injuries coming into this. No Evan Ferguson, probably,

766
00:38:14,760 --> 00:38:19,680
Speaker 1: no Gile Pedro, no one Ciso, Noah's stupid On, no

767
00:38:19,800 --> 00:38:22,120
Speaker 1: Sally March. So it's like, and I know Brighton we

768
00:38:22,160 --> 00:38:24,759
Speaker 1: talked about last year has the most honestly the most

769
00:38:24,800 --> 00:38:27,000
Speaker 1: depth of any team in the Premier League. But I

770
00:38:27,040 --> 00:38:29,120
Speaker 1: may just signed another winger that they didn't really need.

771
00:38:30,239 --> 00:38:34,680
Speaker 1: But yeah, it's losing especially gile Pedro was your most

772
00:38:34,840 --> 00:38:38,520
Speaker 1: productive attacker last year. It leaves them kind of vulable.

773
00:38:38,560 --> 00:38:40,799
Speaker 1: Probably Danny Well back up top, which is you know,

774
00:38:41,000 --> 00:38:43,359
Speaker 1: especially against Everton, might be your best bet in terms

775
00:38:43,360 --> 00:38:46,600
Speaker 1: of winning headers. But yeah, it's it's a tough one

776
00:38:46,600 --> 00:38:46,879
Speaker 1: to bet.

777
00:38:46,920 --> 00:38:50,520
Speaker 2: Here In the opening, Michael, I'm intrigued. What's your thoughts

778
00:38:50,560 --> 00:38:55,120
Speaker 2: on Evon's business this summer in terms of incomes and outgoings.

779
00:38:55,360 --> 00:38:56,880
Speaker 1: How do you feel it's going real instrum?

780
00:38:56,920 --> 00:39:01,040
Speaker 3: I like him, Yeah, I like Lynstrom, and I just

781
00:39:01,360 --> 00:39:06,200
Speaker 3: it's it's so complicated because of the the like the

782
00:39:06,239 --> 00:39:08,200
Speaker 3: financial flair play stuff, so it's almost like you just

783
00:39:08,200 --> 00:39:13,400
Speaker 3: can't even celebrate or get It's such a weird situation

784
00:39:13,440 --> 00:39:15,560
Speaker 3: to be in, is what I'm saying. Is But I

785
00:39:15,600 --> 00:39:18,799
Speaker 3: think in terms of their situation, like they're making the

786
00:39:18,840 --> 00:39:24,200
Speaker 3: best of a terrible like spot they've been put in. Lyndstrom,

787
00:39:24,719 --> 00:39:26,680
Speaker 3: I like, I'm happy that they're holding on to Branthwait

788
00:39:26,880 --> 00:39:29,560
Speaker 3: at least for now, because I think he's their most

789
00:39:29,560 --> 00:39:33,040
Speaker 3: important player going forward and will be their most important player,

790
00:39:33,160 --> 00:39:34,960
Speaker 3: you know, next summer when they sell them for whoever

791
00:39:35,920 --> 00:39:36,720
Speaker 3: one hundred million.

792
00:39:36,840 --> 00:39:39,279
Speaker 1: But yeah, this is evident to.

793
00:39:39,320 --> 00:39:41,960
Speaker 3: Me, like they are, They're they're gonna be a team

794
00:39:41,960 --> 00:39:44,200
Speaker 3: you want to bet on when in situation in what

795
00:39:44,360 --> 00:39:47,799
Speaker 3: should be on opening day when they're all healthy, everyone's there,

796
00:39:47,800 --> 00:39:50,839
Speaker 3: because the squad is gonna be so thin. But as

797
00:39:50,920 --> 00:39:54,560
Speaker 3: we just said, they're already missing guys. But yeah, it's

798
00:39:54,640 --> 00:39:56,480
Speaker 3: it's such a complicated situation for them to.

799
00:39:56,480 --> 00:39:59,080
Speaker 1: Be in a way to a way to Tottenham week

800
00:39:59,120 --> 00:39:59,640
Speaker 1: two that'll be.

801
00:39:59,640 --> 00:40:03,080
Speaker 3: In Yeah, yeah, I do think that they they if

802
00:40:03,120 --> 00:40:05,279
Speaker 3: they do get Tammy Abraham, i'd be pretty exciting. So

803
00:40:05,600 --> 00:40:09,400
Speaker 3: I think that. Yeah, And uh, well when you have

804
00:40:09,520 --> 00:40:12,040
Speaker 3: Beto with I know, but I'm I'm a little I'm

805
00:40:12,040 --> 00:40:14,680
Speaker 3: a little fearful that uh Calwart Looon will.

806
00:40:14,600 --> 00:40:17,600
Speaker 1: Be I'm surprised you are. I'm surprised you didn't do

807
00:40:17,680 --> 00:40:20,399
Speaker 1: our yearly donation on Calvert Lewin for Golden Booth.

808
00:40:21,440 --> 00:40:24,160
Speaker 3: Well, if he goes to Newcastle, that's true, then all

809
00:40:24,200 --> 00:40:27,000
Speaker 3: of a sudden he becomes very interested. It's interesting in

810
00:40:27,239 --> 00:40:32,359
Speaker 3: that market. But yeah, there there will be a mess.

811
00:40:33,200 --> 00:40:34,920
Speaker 3: The one thing I'll say about evert in. My prediction

812
00:40:35,080 --> 00:40:37,880
Speaker 3: is that there's going to be time a time in

813
00:40:38,600 --> 00:40:43,320
Speaker 3: come November when they're flying and at that drop of

814
00:40:43,360 --> 00:40:45,200
Speaker 3: a hat, they're gonna next time we look up there

815
00:40:45,440 --> 00:40:46,960
Speaker 3: velve lost eight in a row, will be like what

816
00:40:47,160 --> 00:40:48,120
Speaker 3: on earth happened there?

817
00:40:48,400 --> 00:40:50,080
Speaker 1: And bet on them every one of these?

818
00:40:50,360 --> 00:40:53,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, exactly, We'll all be bankrupted as a podcast along

819
00:40:53,800 --> 00:40:58,560
Speaker 3: the way. So yeah, that's Everden Brighton, good lord hope.

820
00:40:58,760 --> 00:41:00,680
Speaker 3: The one thing I do hope for this, outside of

821
00:41:00,800 --> 00:41:03,440
Speaker 3: everything win, is that it just his lashing rain and

822
00:41:03,520 --> 00:41:06,040
Speaker 3: you want a real baptism by fire, just make it

823
00:41:06,120 --> 00:41:07,960
Speaker 3: really rainy and windy, and it is.

824
00:41:08,120 --> 00:41:10,480
Speaker 1: I think the most interesting match of the it would

825
00:41:10,520 --> 00:41:14,520
Speaker 1: be three pm window in England and ten am windows.

826
00:41:15,160 --> 00:41:18,080
Speaker 3: No idea what to expect. Oh but honestly, Sam, on

827
00:41:18,200 --> 00:41:20,640
Speaker 3: that point, I think Lindstrom is a good any time

828
00:41:20,719 --> 00:41:22,959
Speaker 3: meant to mention this, he's a good anytime goalscorer option.

829
00:41:24,000 --> 00:41:26,080
Speaker 3: I wonder what his price will be recording this a

830
00:41:26,080 --> 00:41:28,640
Speaker 3: little early, but if he's a big shot, I think

831
00:41:28,719 --> 00:41:33,160
Speaker 3: that his set piece prowess looks pretty good. It looks

832
00:41:33,200 --> 00:41:36,319
Speaker 3: like he's getting the full endorsement from Ditsche. So as

833
00:41:36,360 --> 00:41:38,320
Speaker 3: long as he's starting. I think he's going to be

834
00:41:38,440 --> 00:41:40,520
Speaker 3: a good anytime goalscorer, as.

835
00:41:40,680 --> 00:41:43,600
Speaker 1: Corey is questionable as well, so he might play. You know,

836
00:41:43,680 --> 00:41:46,400
Speaker 1: if Ditsche goes with the four four one one that

837
00:41:46,520 --> 00:41:48,160
Speaker 1: he did a lot last season where he used to

838
00:41:48,239 --> 00:41:51,720
Speaker 1: Corey as that box crashing striker type situation. If Lindstrom

839
00:41:51,719 --> 00:41:53,560
Speaker 1: plays that, definitely.

840
00:41:54,880 --> 00:42:00,720
Speaker 3: Okay. Let's move on to Newcastle in Southampton. I believe

841
00:42:00,800 --> 00:42:03,600
Speaker 3: these are the two clubs unless Bournemouth is a little

842
00:42:03,600 --> 00:42:06,160
Speaker 3: bit further from Newcastle, that are furthest away from each

843
00:42:06,160 --> 00:42:06,960
Speaker 3: other in the Premier.

844
00:42:06,800 --> 00:42:07,520
Speaker 1: League this year.

845
00:42:09,320 --> 00:42:12,360
Speaker 3: Newcastle my two seventy five at home Southampton traveling at

846
00:42:12,440 --> 00:42:15,000
Speaker 3: seven to one plus four to twenty on the draw.

847
00:42:15,680 --> 00:42:18,480
Speaker 3: This looks like one way traffic. Sam, I think that's Newcastle.

848
00:42:19,080 --> 00:42:22,719
Speaker 3: We were endorsing them pretty heavily in our preseason pod

849
00:42:22,760 --> 00:42:26,479
Speaker 3: as a team that could perhaps gate crash or stay

850
00:42:26,520 --> 00:42:28,799
Speaker 3: with the big boys in the title race for at

851
00:42:28,880 --> 00:42:32,439
Speaker 3: least most of the season, and I think that they're one.

852
00:42:33,520 --> 00:42:35,400
Speaker 3: And you don't want to get too far down these narratives,

853
00:42:35,440 --> 00:42:39,399
Speaker 3: but they're a team that I think will really want

854
00:42:39,480 --> 00:42:41,839
Speaker 3: to get out of the gates hot here and because

855
00:42:42,080 --> 00:42:45,960
Speaker 3: they know that come mid season when City finds their

856
00:42:46,040 --> 00:42:48,200
Speaker 3: form and go on a run or Arsenal as well,

857
00:42:48,320 --> 00:42:50,960
Speaker 3: Like they need a hot start much more than Arsenal

858
00:42:51,000 --> 00:42:53,000
Speaker 3: and City is what I'm trying to say. So I

859
00:42:53,040 --> 00:42:54,719
Speaker 3: think they come out of the gates flying here. So

860
00:42:54,760 --> 00:42:56,279
Speaker 3: I'm not going to try to touch the big price

861
00:42:56,360 --> 00:42:58,520
Speaker 3: on Southampton. In fact, that look to go the other.

862
00:42:58,400 --> 00:43:02,200
Speaker 2: Way, brushing up on your UK geography because i think

863
00:43:02,239 --> 00:43:05,840
Speaker 2: that's bang on. The Last time we spoke about UK geography,

864
00:43:05,920 --> 00:43:07,680
Speaker 2: you said glaston Brievers in Scotland.

865
00:43:07,800 --> 00:43:11,440
Speaker 3: So yeah, I'm getting better every podcast. You want to

866
00:43:11,480 --> 00:43:12,399
Speaker 3: just get a little bit better.

867
00:43:13,120 --> 00:43:15,440
Speaker 2: Absolutely nice to see you've had you reading some books

868
00:43:15,480 --> 00:43:18,560
Speaker 2: of the summer as good. And look this this is

869
00:43:18,719 --> 00:43:21,000
Speaker 2: likely going to follow on from what we spoke about

870
00:43:21,000 --> 00:43:23,759
Speaker 2: in the season preview. All of us hot on Newcastle,

871
00:43:24,239 --> 00:43:27,560
Speaker 2: all of us not so hot on Southampton's chances this season.

872
00:43:28,239 --> 00:43:31,319
Speaker 2: I think Southampton will get caught out against the big

873
00:43:31,360 --> 00:43:34,160
Speaker 2: teams and the better coaches. Newcastle will be all over

874
00:43:34,280 --> 00:43:37,560
Speaker 2: this Southampton team like a rash. That back line won't

875
00:43:37,560 --> 00:43:40,319
Speaker 2: get a second with the crowd at Saint James's Park

876
00:43:40,360 --> 00:43:43,400
Speaker 2: as well, right on top of them, Russell Martin's team's

877
00:43:43,560 --> 00:43:46,560
Speaker 2: historically all the way back to MK Dons, then Swansea

878
00:43:46,600 --> 00:43:49,360
Speaker 2: and now Southampton. They will look and feel very similar

879
00:43:49,719 --> 00:43:52,200
Speaker 2: possession heavy build from the back. That's why you got

880
00:43:52,280 --> 00:43:56,280
Speaker 2: the gig at Southampton. If you look at Southampton starts

881
00:43:56,320 --> 00:43:59,760
Speaker 2: from the Championship. Last season they had the most completed

882
00:43:59,800 --> 00:44:03,040
Speaker 2: part is in the Championship their twenty one hundred more

883
00:44:03,120 --> 00:44:06,799
Speaker 2: passes attempted than second highest Leicester City and they also

884
00:44:06,920 --> 00:44:09,400
Speaker 2: have the highest pass completion rate in the league with

885
00:44:09,520 --> 00:44:12,920
Speaker 2: eighty seven zero point seven percent. So that suggests to

886
00:44:13,000 --> 00:44:15,439
Speaker 2: me that a lot of these passes are short, quite

887
00:44:15,520 --> 00:44:18,239
Speaker 2: simple along the back line and punched into midfield just

888
00:44:18,360 --> 00:44:21,319
Speaker 2: in front of them. It also shows how comfortable they

889
00:44:21,360 --> 00:44:23,880
Speaker 2: are in doing so they'll do that again in the

890
00:44:23,880 --> 00:44:26,880
Speaker 2: Premier League. Russell Martin won't change. And here they come

891
00:44:27,000 --> 00:44:29,600
Speaker 2: up against the Newcastle side on the opening day with

892
00:44:29,719 --> 00:44:34,840
Speaker 2: their ten point three percent ten point three six ppda

893
00:44:35,120 --> 00:44:38,160
Speaker 2: passes per defensive action last season, which was the seventh

894
00:44:38,280 --> 00:44:41,279
Speaker 2: best in the Premier League. Now, with no Europe in

895
00:44:41,360 --> 00:44:44,080
Speaker 2: their legs and full focus on the Premier League this season,

896
00:44:44,239 --> 00:44:48,160
Speaker 2: expect that number to come down, especially at Saint James's Park.

897
00:44:48,280 --> 00:44:51,479
Speaker 2: So with that in mind, for me, all fingers point

898
00:44:51,560 --> 00:44:55,120
Speaker 2: to Newcastle really making life hard for Southampton here, on

899
00:44:55,280 --> 00:44:57,759
Speaker 2: top of the fact that their squad is much much

900
00:44:57,840 --> 00:45:00,880
Speaker 2: better than Southampton's. That's not the biggest claim. I no,

901
00:45:01,000 --> 00:45:03,680
Speaker 2: Southampton have dropped down at the vision and been forced

902
00:45:03,760 --> 00:45:07,200
Speaker 2: to sell players along the way. In terms of approaching

903
00:45:07,239 --> 00:45:10,560
Speaker 2: this from a betting perspective, I've gone I've tried to

904
00:45:10,600 --> 00:45:13,200
Speaker 2: get Newcastle one side at home first game this season.

905
00:45:13,239 --> 00:45:15,279
Speaker 2: I really want to be behind them and you can

906
00:45:15,400 --> 00:45:19,560
Speaker 2: get Newcastle minus zero point five first half Asian handicap

907
00:45:19,640 --> 00:45:22,760
Speaker 2: at minus one twenty one. So basically for the Newcastle

908
00:45:22,840 --> 00:45:26,560
Speaker 2: to win the first half. With the thought process of

909
00:45:27,000 --> 00:45:30,120
Speaker 2: Newcastle being banged up for this first day of the season,

910
00:45:30,239 --> 00:45:33,920
Speaker 2: pressing high and aggressively, I think their opponents could be

911
00:45:34,040 --> 00:45:36,440
Speaker 2: caught out. So if they can do that in the

912
00:45:36,520 --> 00:45:38,959
Speaker 2: first half, I think they might they might well find

913
00:45:39,000 --> 00:45:42,160
Speaker 2: an opener and they might well win the win the half.

914
00:45:42,239 --> 00:45:44,640
Speaker 2: So yeah, I'm opting for Newcastle on the first half

915
00:45:44,719 --> 00:45:45,360
Speaker 2: Asian line.

916
00:45:45,719 --> 00:45:47,239
Speaker 3: BJ one way traffic for you too, eh.

917
00:45:47,880 --> 00:45:52,239
Speaker 1: Yeah. To borrow Sam's phrase from the Everton Brighton match,

918
00:45:52,560 --> 00:45:54,880
Speaker 1: this is a little bit of baptism by fire for

919
00:45:55,000 --> 00:45:58,040
Speaker 1: Russell Martin because if we go back to the opening

920
00:45:58,120 --> 00:46:01,360
Speaker 1: game of last season, new Castle faced aston Villa at

921
00:46:01,360 --> 00:46:04,040
Speaker 1: Saint James Park and aston Villa very similarly under an

922
00:46:04,080 --> 00:46:06,759
Speaker 1: imor is a short pass, build out of the back

923
00:46:06,800 --> 00:46:11,000
Speaker 1: type team and they got absolutely destroyed top to bottom.

924
00:46:11,000 --> 00:46:12,760
Speaker 1: I believe was five to one was the final score

925
00:46:13,280 --> 00:46:15,560
Speaker 1: and really just didn't even look like even having a

926
00:46:15,640 --> 00:46:20,320
Speaker 1: sniff of actually building through Newcastle's press, which if everybody's

927
00:46:20,400 --> 00:46:24,760
Speaker 1: healthy and they're able to unleash it, I'd say outside

928
00:46:24,800 --> 00:46:27,560
Speaker 1: of maybe Arsenal and Liverpool, it's the best press in

929
00:46:27,800 --> 00:46:30,560
Speaker 1: terms of physicality and intensity in the Premier League and

930
00:46:30,600 --> 00:46:32,560
Speaker 1: like Sam said, with no Europe, they can continue to

931
00:46:32,680 --> 00:46:36,200
Speaker 1: unleash it week after week after week. Tackle what Sam said,

932
00:46:36,239 --> 00:46:37,759
Speaker 1: I mean, Southampton's going to build it out of the back.

933
00:46:37,800 --> 00:46:40,840
Speaker 1: Sixty three percent possession of the Championship last season. Russell

934
00:46:40,880 --> 00:46:46,279
Speaker 1: Martin has never managed above the Championship. Last season Southampton

935
00:46:46,320 --> 00:46:49,480
Speaker 1: played one match against a Premier League club. It was

936
00:46:49,480 --> 00:46:52,200
Speaker 1: against Liverpool in the FA Cup and they got destroyed

937
00:46:52,320 --> 00:46:57,520
Speaker 1: three nothing at Liverpool. The other thing that's kind of

938
00:46:57,560 --> 00:47:02,480
Speaker 1: concerning with Southampton their goalkeeper Gavin Benuzu. Two years ago.

939
00:47:02,520 --> 00:47:04,280
Speaker 1: If you remember We talked about him a lot, Michael,

940
00:47:04,440 --> 00:47:07,560
Speaker 1: because he was categorically and statistically the worst goalkeeper that's

941
00:47:07,600 --> 00:47:10,560
Speaker 1: ever graced the Premier League minus sixteen point six post

942
00:47:10,600 --> 00:47:13,399
Speaker 1: shout XGI plus minus. And I think throughout that entire

943
00:47:13,480 --> 00:47:15,920
Speaker 1: season we just kept talking about, well, maybe he well,

944
00:47:16,000 --> 00:47:17,759
Speaker 1: you know, he's due to regress at some point, like

945
00:47:17,840 --> 00:47:20,719
Speaker 1: he can't be the worst goalkeeper ever. It actually turns

946
00:47:20,760 --> 00:47:22,680
Speaker 1: out he was. And then if you look at his

947
00:47:22,800 --> 00:47:26,839
Speaker 1: performance in the Championship last season, minus eleven point six

948
00:47:26,960 --> 00:47:30,040
Speaker 1: post shout x G plus minus. So if he's in nets,

949
00:47:31,280 --> 00:47:33,919
Speaker 1: that's really concerning for Southampton. They probably should be starting

950
00:47:33,920 --> 00:47:35,879
Speaker 1: a thirty four year old Alex McCarthy to at least

951
00:47:35,920 --> 00:47:39,239
Speaker 1: give them just the base level average goalkeeper play. So

952
00:47:40,000 --> 00:47:42,799
Speaker 1: with a bad goalkeeper trying to build by the back

953
00:47:43,160 --> 00:47:45,400
Speaker 1: against what would be one of the best pressing teams

954
00:47:45,560 --> 00:47:48,960
Speaker 1: outside of Arsenal and Liverpool, this is a really really

955
00:47:49,040 --> 00:47:51,279
Speaker 1: bad spot for Southampton, one where I think they're just

956
00:47:51,360 --> 00:47:56,440
Speaker 1: gonna get absolutely demolished. So I like Newcastle minus one

957
00:47:56,480 --> 00:47:58,239
Speaker 1: and a half, which you can get around even money

958
00:47:58,239 --> 00:48:01,520
Speaker 1: at bout three six' five right, Now and you know,

959
00:48:01,600 --> 00:48:04,960
Speaker 1: what how About alexander E shak as well anytime, goalscorer

960
00:48:05,000 --> 00:48:07,000
Speaker 1: because if they get those high, turnovers gets who they're

961
00:48:07,000 --> 00:48:09,279
Speaker 1: getting the ball to for an easy shot E. Shak

962
00:48:09,600 --> 00:48:10,680
Speaker 1: so those will be my two.

963
00:48:10,760 --> 00:48:14,680
Speaker 2: BETS i wonder IF bazooni knows he's statistically the worst

964
00:48:14,960 --> 00:48:17,640
Speaker 2: goalkeeper ever in the must.

965
00:48:18,400 --> 00:48:21,600
Speaker 1: Two years ago minus point five to two per, ninety

966
00:48:21,840 --> 00:48:23,920
Speaker 1: literally letting in half a goal per ninety more than

967
00:48:23,960 --> 00:48:27,399
Speaker 1: he should. Have like that's it's. Insane you. Can't, yeah

968
00:48:27,440 --> 00:48:29,400
Speaker 1: BUT i know they signed him From city so they're just, like,

969
00:48:29,480 --> 00:48:31,400
Speaker 1: well he's, young like you, know we're just kind of

970
00:48:31,400 --> 00:48:34,239
Speaker 1: sticking with. Him but he's so. BAD i, MEAN i

971
00:48:34,280 --> 00:48:36,040
Speaker 1: don't know what to say other than, like you, know

972
00:48:36,200 --> 00:48:38,040
Speaker 1: it's just like and this is what happened In Nottingham

973
00:48:38,080 --> 00:48:40,240
Speaker 1: forest last year. Too they went through three different goalkeepers

974
00:48:40,280 --> 00:48:42,200
Speaker 1: and couldn't find one that could even stop a. Shot,

975
00:48:42,360 --> 00:48:45,680
Speaker 1: SO i, mean bad goalkeeper, play especially against you, know

976
00:48:46,400 --> 00:48:52,319
Speaker 1: easy transition, opportunities is a really really bad. Mixture let's Talk.

977
00:48:52,400 --> 00:48:56,440
Speaker 3: Forrest they're up next Against bourne with they are home

978
00:48:56,520 --> 00:48:59,719
Speaker 3: plus one fifty five traveling to The city ground a

979
00:48:59,760 --> 00:49:03,520
Speaker 3: plus one's, seventy the draws plus two FIFTY a lot

980
00:49:03,680 --> 00:49:07,240
Speaker 3: Of flowers tossed at the feet Of Ani E riola

981
00:49:07,600 --> 00:49:10,279
Speaker 3: And bourne withth in our season preview, episode SO i

982
00:49:10,360 --> 00:49:12,000
Speaker 3: won't get two into, it BUT i like them. HERE

983
00:49:12,080 --> 00:49:15,320
Speaker 3: i Know force has been really good at home compared

984
00:49:15,360 --> 00:49:17,640
Speaker 3: to their their way for him since they've bounced back

985
00:49:17,640 --> 00:49:20,720
Speaker 3: to The Premier. League that showed last year their POSITIVE

986
00:49:20,800 --> 00:49:25,759
Speaker 3: xg difference difference when they are at. Home BUT i

987
00:49:25,880 --> 00:49:27,279
Speaker 3: just want to get in on This bourne with team

988
00:49:27,280 --> 00:49:29,399
Speaker 3: from the, gates LIKE i JUST i think that THERE'S

989
00:49:30,200 --> 00:49:33,040
Speaker 3: i trust them as the better team. HERE i know

990
00:49:33,160 --> 00:49:34,880
Speaker 3: it's there on the, road but it's match week one

991
00:49:35,320 --> 00:49:38,000
Speaker 3: AND i think that they come out. Flying the slonky

992
00:49:38,080 --> 00:49:41,479
Speaker 3: news obviously worth, monitoring BUT i don't think it's gonna

993
00:49:41,520 --> 00:49:43,799
Speaker 3: keep me off, here and at worst it will see

994
00:49:43,840 --> 00:49:46,799
Speaker 3: our price drift a little bit and you can maybe

995
00:49:46,840 --> 00:49:48,960
Speaker 3: buy born with at a bigger number as we get

996
00:49:48,960 --> 00:49:51,120
Speaker 3: closer to kick if he does depart or they send

997
00:49:51,200 --> 00:49:54,800
Speaker 3: him out because he's imminently. Leaving So i'm going to

998
00:49:54,840 --> 00:49:58,080
Speaker 3: be on the cherries. Here anything for you On forrest

999
00:49:58,120 --> 00:49:59,000
Speaker 3: And bournemus Samp.

1000
00:50:00,040 --> 00:50:02,200
Speaker 2: Bournemouth town, originally but THEN i saw the news On

1001
00:50:02,280 --> 00:50:05,279
Speaker 2: selanky and it looks like he will be going very.

1002
00:50:05,360 --> 00:50:07,800
Speaker 2: SOON i don't think he'll be playing the first the

1003
00:50:07,880 --> 00:50:14,319
Speaker 2: opening is it is, official. Okay AND i also read

1004
00:50:14,360 --> 00:50:17,919
Speaker 2: That Marcus senses hired a new agent and he wants

1005
00:50:18,000 --> 00:50:21,320
Speaker 2: to hold talks about his. Future AND i said in

1006
00:50:21,400 --> 00:50:25,160
Speaker 2: the season, PREVIEW i trust the owners to reinvest and. Recruit,

1007
00:50:25,239 --> 00:50:28,719
Speaker 2: well they're. Ambitious we saw that With iriyola coming in

1008
00:50:28,800 --> 00:50:30,960
Speaker 2: And gary O'Neil. VACATING i know there was a lot

1009
00:50:31,040 --> 00:50:32,960
Speaker 2: of to do about. That how can you get rid

1010
00:50:33,000 --> 00:50:36,160
Speaker 2: Of Gary neil is such a you, know impressive young,

1011
00:50:36,280 --> 00:50:39,200
Speaker 2: coach and look it's it's. Worked SO i do trust

1012
00:50:39,280 --> 00:50:41,520
Speaker 2: them to some, extent the owners that they've given me

1013
00:50:41,600 --> 00:50:44,120
Speaker 2: no reason not. To and this happens when you're a

1014
00:50:44,200 --> 00:50:46,840
Speaker 2: smaller team with a progressive coach and you hit heights

1015
00:50:46,880 --> 00:50:51,279
Speaker 2: that weren't expected in terms of this. Fixture they'll head

1016
00:50:51,320 --> 00:50:56,080
Speaker 2: tont And forest Without Dom slanki without ans, NOW i

1017
00:50:56,160 --> 00:50:58,839
Speaker 2: think that's how he, said who is working his way

1018
00:50:58,880 --> 00:51:00,960
Speaker 2: back from a foot. Operation and it looks like they

1019
00:51:01,120 --> 00:51:03,080
Speaker 2: might have to play if they're going to go with

1020
00:51:03,560 --> 00:51:06,800
Speaker 2: an actual center Forward Daniel, jefferson who arrived on a

1021
00:51:06,840 --> 00:51:09,920
Speaker 2: free transfer this summer From Sheffild. United he does look.

1022
00:51:09,960 --> 00:51:13,080
Speaker 2: Promising i've seen him a few times twenty one years.

1023
00:51:13,120 --> 00:51:17,239
Speaker 2: Old one for the, future either be him Or Antoine

1024
00:51:17,400 --> 00:51:19,840
Speaker 2: semenuel up top who can fill in and do a

1025
00:51:19,920 --> 00:51:21,480
Speaker 2: job up. There he's done it a number of. Times

1026
00:51:22,400 --> 00:51:25,000
Speaker 2: i'm really hot On bournemouth at the, minute BUT i

1027
00:51:25,120 --> 00:51:29,239
Speaker 2: just don't want to take them on personally until maybe

1028
00:51:29,280 --> 00:51:32,279
Speaker 2: they've got a few players, in or the squad's kind

1029
00:51:32,320 --> 00:51:35,200
Speaker 2: of settled down a little, bit Or iriola's got his targets.

1030
00:51:35,239 --> 00:51:39,360
Speaker 2: In this is going to annoy me if the opening

1031
00:51:39,440 --> 00:51:42,279
Speaker 2: day kind of pans out to be A bournemouth Three niel.

1032
00:51:42,320 --> 00:51:44,960
Speaker 2: Win BUT i just think there's enough there for me

1033
00:51:45,560 --> 00:51:48,000
Speaker 2: to want to sit Out forest at the city. Ground

1034
00:51:48,520 --> 00:51:51,400
Speaker 2: there are no mugs, Either so, YEAH i don't want

1035
00:51:51,440 --> 00:51:54,839
Speaker 2: to go Against, bournemouth but right, now with the news

1036
00:51:54,920 --> 00:51:56,680
Speaker 2: that's coming out of the camp over the past couple of,

1037
00:51:56,760 --> 00:51:58,960
Speaker 2: DAYS i don't really really want to be with. Them

1038
00:51:59,080 --> 00:52:01,279
Speaker 2: but like you, said the, ALBUM im massively holt on

1039
00:52:01,320 --> 00:52:03,600
Speaker 2: them this, season So i'll be with them a fair

1040
00:52:03,680 --> 00:52:05,719
Speaker 2: few match, DAYS i, think just not. Much they.

1041
00:52:05,760 --> 00:52:09,800
Speaker 1: Will the one thing THAT i will say About Nottingham

1042
00:52:09,880 --> 00:52:13,239
Speaker 1: forest and one of the, reasons you, know if unfortunately

1043
00:52:13,280 --> 00:52:15,960
Speaker 1: looks like there's another points deduction coming for. Them, otherwise you,

1044
00:52:16,000 --> 00:52:17,680
Speaker 1: know they're eight to one definistion in the top, half

1045
00:52:17,760 --> 00:52:20,919
Speaker 1: WHICH i think is actually kind of interesting in terms

1046
00:52:20,960 --> 00:52:23,000
Speaker 1: of this match now That selonk And unall are not

1047
00:52:23,120 --> 00:52:25,960
Speaker 1: going to be. There you, know we know That Nottingham

1048
00:52:26,040 --> 00:52:29,600
Speaker 1: forest was a really really, good you, know defensive block

1049
00:52:29,680 --> 00:52:33,000
Speaker 1: type team and even from the point in Which nuno

1050
00:52:33,120 --> 00:52:36,520
Speaker 1: took over On december, twentieth, uh they actually had a

1051
00:52:36,600 --> 00:52:39,720
Speaker 1: plus four point three expected gold differential which was seventh

1052
00:52:39,760 --> 00:52:41,680
Speaker 1: best in The Premier. League Now bournemouth over that exact

1053
00:52:41,719 --> 00:52:43,960
Speaker 1: same time period had about you, know the same exact

1054
00:52:44,600 --> 00:52:48,359
Speaker 1: expected gold. Differential so with no really striker up, top

1055
00:52:48,400 --> 00:52:50,520
Speaker 1: and we know how Good Nottingham forest is defending in

1056
00:52:50,600 --> 00:52:53,440
Speaker 1: the low defensive, BLOCK i think there is maybe a

1057
00:52:53,560 --> 00:52:56,799
Speaker 1: case to be made For Nottingham forest here just because

1058
00:52:56,840 --> 00:53:00,440
Speaker 1: of What bournemouth is lacking up. FRONT i think there

1059
00:53:00,480 --> 00:53:02,120
Speaker 1: may be is also a case to be made for

1060
00:53:02,239 --> 00:53:05,319
Speaker 1: the under potentially as well now That pormouth doesn't really

1061
00:53:05,360 --> 00:53:08,439
Speaker 1: have a striker up. Top so for, me those would

1062
00:53:08,480 --> 00:53:11,120
Speaker 1: be the two ways THAT i lean we'll see when

1063
00:53:11,160 --> 00:53:14,239
Speaker 1: it comes to match. Time of what you, know you

1064
00:53:14,280 --> 00:53:16,279
Speaker 1: know what the line looks like now That slanky's not.

1065
00:53:16,360 --> 00:53:20,399
Speaker 1: There but, HEY i Mean Nottingham forest is coming into

1066
00:53:20,400 --> 00:53:23,080
Speaker 1: the year with zero. Injuries they're consistently have been a

1067
00:53:23,120 --> 00:53:25,919
Speaker 1: team that has really battled. Injuries you, Know taiwa Awan,

1068
00:53:25,960 --> 00:53:28,759
Speaker 1: awi who's probably who is their best, striker has missed

1069
00:53:28,760 --> 00:53:31,080
Speaker 1: a ton of time ever since arriving At Nottingham. Forest

1070
00:53:31,480 --> 00:53:33,479
Speaker 1: Like sam, said they're way better at the city ground

1071
00:53:33,520 --> 00:53:36,719
Speaker 1: than they are anywhere. Else SO i don't. KNOW i

1072
00:53:36,800 --> 00:53:40,160
Speaker 1: think there is potentially a case to be made now

1073
00:53:40,239 --> 00:53:45,440
Speaker 1: That slonky is, gone That Nottingham forest maybe is a

1074
00:53:45,480 --> 00:53:48,160
Speaker 1: little bit. Undervalued so but for, Me i'm just going

1075
00:53:48,200 --> 00:53:50,040
Speaker 1: to pass on this first, match all.

1076
00:53:50,000 --> 00:53:52,200
Speaker 3: RIGHT i got nothing here between West ham And. Villa

1077
00:53:52,200 --> 00:53:54,000
Speaker 3: it's a true pick them plus one sixty each on

1078
00:53:54,080 --> 00:53:56,400
Speaker 3: the three way line that draws plus two, fifty a

1079
00:53:56,600 --> 00:54:00,239
Speaker 3: ton of turnover with little potage coming in for and

1080
00:54:00,320 --> 00:54:02,239
Speaker 3: he's bringing in a bunch of RECRUITED i think there

1081
00:54:02,280 --> 00:54:05,440
Speaker 3: are some upside to West. Ham but as we were

1082
00:54:05,440 --> 00:54:07,640
Speaker 3: talking about With, brighton a team that you might want

1083
00:54:07,680 --> 00:54:10,480
Speaker 3: to wait and. See it's going From David moyes and

1084
00:54:10,520 --> 00:54:13,600
Speaker 3: then bringing in all these new. Bodies it's just going

1085
00:54:13,640 --> 00:54:17,120
Speaker 3: to be a feeling out. Period as For, villa the

1086
00:54:17,200 --> 00:54:19,120
Speaker 3: expectations are going to be quite, high a team that

1087
00:54:19,160 --> 00:54:22,439
Speaker 3: we think is white right up there with the top

1088
00:54:22,560 --> 00:54:26,200
Speaker 3: six in The Premier. League but on the road Match week,

1089
00:54:26,239 --> 00:54:28,600
Speaker 3: one it's just not an appealing. Price i've got some other,

1090
00:54:28,640 --> 00:54:33,280
Speaker 3: Betside i'd rather bet on this, Board, sam so easy pass.

1091
00:54:33,120 --> 00:54:34,120
Speaker 1: For, me Same.

1092
00:54:34,400 --> 00:54:37,000
Speaker 2: Michael, yeah the bookmakers can't tell them apart And i'm

1093
00:54:37,080 --> 00:54:39,560
Speaker 2: not really that interested in doing so. Myself West ham

1094
00:54:39,640 --> 00:54:42,719
Speaker 2: recruit really, well like you, Said, cocentius some of it

1095
00:54:42,960 --> 00:54:45,279
Speaker 2: was the best player in The championship last. Season he's

1096
00:54:45,280 --> 00:54:48,359
Speaker 2: gone to West Ham nicholas Fool, krug Which i'm very

1097
00:54:48,520 --> 00:54:50,839
Speaker 2: very excited. By he'll be leading the line at center.

1098
00:54:50,920 --> 00:54:53,000
Speaker 2: FORWARD i am intrigued to see how he's going to

1099
00:54:53,040 --> 00:54:57,279
Speaker 2: do this, season proper proper center. Forward that's going to

1100
00:54:57,320 --> 00:54:59,240
Speaker 2: be a bit of. Fun MaTx kilman's come in forty,

1101
00:54:59,280 --> 00:55:01,240
Speaker 2: Million they've spent a bit of, money so it's exciting

1102
00:55:01,320 --> 00:55:03,640
Speaker 2: times to be a West ham, fan and it's exactly

1103
00:55:03,719 --> 00:55:06,319
Speaker 2: saying For Aston villa back in The Champions. League they've

1104
00:55:06,400 --> 00:55:09,480
Speaker 2: brought In amadou And nana from Evon Ian mattson From,

1105
00:55:09,560 --> 00:55:12,960
Speaker 2: chelsea both for big. Money Ross barkley comes into the

1106
00:55:13,040 --> 00:55:16,080
Speaker 2: squad And Jaden phillergeen as, well who dazzled in the

1107
00:55:16,160 --> 00:55:18,719
Speaker 2: championship last. Season so things are looking very bright in

1108
00:55:18,800 --> 00:55:21,200
Speaker 2: that part of the world under a top class. Coach

1109
00:55:21,760 --> 00:55:24,120
Speaker 2: from a betting, perspective, yeah this is one again That

1110
00:55:24,160 --> 00:55:26,040
Speaker 2: i'm just going to sit back and. Watch too many

1111
00:55:26,160 --> 00:55:28,600
Speaker 2: question marks around West. Ham how good will they? Be

1112
00:55:28,760 --> 00:55:31,759
Speaker 2: we're not too. Sure maybe very very. Good it might

1113
00:55:31,840 --> 00:55:34,000
Speaker 2: take them a little bit of, time but there's enough

1114
00:55:34,160 --> 00:55:35,920
Speaker 2: doubt for me to sit this one.

1115
00:55:35,960 --> 00:55:39,320
Speaker 1: Out, YEAH i agree With. SAM i think this is you,

1116
00:55:39,360 --> 00:55:41,160
Speaker 1: Know i've projected this pretty much close to a pick,

1117
00:55:41,239 --> 00:55:43,120
Speaker 1: on WHICH i think is about. Right the one thing

1118
00:55:43,200 --> 00:55:46,399
Speaker 1: THAT i forgot to mention on our preview podcast because

1119
00:55:46,440 --> 00:55:48,800
Speaker 1: we didn't really talk about West ham that, much is

1120
00:55:48,880 --> 00:55:52,319
Speaker 1: That Jared bowen in terms of being the top team

1121
00:55:52,360 --> 00:55:54,479
Speaker 1: goal scorer is the favorite for West ham And Folk

1122
00:55:54,480 --> 00:55:57,200
Speaker 1: greg is second at plus one seventy. FIVE i don't

1123
00:55:57,239 --> 00:55:59,080
Speaker 1: hate a shout On. Falk greg at plus one seventy

1124
00:55:59,080 --> 00:56:01,040
Speaker 1: five would be the team's time. Goalscorer like if you

1125
00:56:01,120 --> 00:56:04,359
Speaker 1: remember last, Year Jared bowen started up top because they quite.

1126
00:56:04,360 --> 00:56:06,560
Speaker 1: Friendly they just didn't have a striker and now they.

1127
00:56:06,680 --> 00:56:09,520
Speaker 1: Do the thing is is, again Like michael, said going

1128
00:56:09,560 --> 00:56:12,839
Speaker 1: From David moyes To Low, patagy it's going to take

1129
00:56:12,880 --> 00:56:14,879
Speaker 1: some time in terms of feeling. OUT i think it's

1130
00:56:14,920 --> 00:56:17,480
Speaker 1: the right move for West. Ham you, Know Low patagy

1131
00:56:17,640 --> 00:56:19,680
Speaker 1: is kind of like you, know he's kind of Like

1132
00:56:19,800 --> 00:56:21,800
Speaker 1: unayamory in the SENSE i mean they're both Were seville.

1133
00:56:21,880 --> 00:56:27,319
Speaker 1: Managers but in the aspect of the personnel that they

1134
00:56:27,400 --> 00:56:30,960
Speaker 1: have with you, Know poketsa And kudus and Now folkrigg

1135
00:56:31,040 --> 00:56:34,360
Speaker 1: and all of these great ball possession, guys it probably

1136
00:56:34,880 --> 00:56:37,759
Speaker 1: is better to try and control matches and build out

1137
00:56:37,760 --> 00:56:40,280
Speaker 1: of the back than just force all of these players

1138
00:56:40,360 --> 00:56:42,680
Speaker 1: and fit you, know square pegs in round holes and

1139
00:56:42,760 --> 00:56:44,800
Speaker 1: force them just to defend at a low defensive. Blocks

1140
00:56:44,880 --> 00:56:47,520
Speaker 1: SO i think there will be some you'll take some

1141
00:56:47,640 --> 00:56:50,279
Speaker 1: time for West ham to truly get to where they,

1142
00:56:50,320 --> 00:56:55,440
Speaker 1: are and they've got you, know a pretty difficult opening.

1143
00:56:55,520 --> 00:56:57,600
Speaker 1: Stretch you, know they go To palace in match week

1144
00:56:57,680 --> 00:57:01,080
Speaker 1: two and then they're at home Against Manchester, City, Fulham Chelsea,

1145
00:57:01,239 --> 00:57:03,360
Speaker 1: Brentford so it's gonna be a tough opening stretch and

1146
00:57:03,360 --> 00:57:05,920
Speaker 1: we're really going to find out if Flow, patagy who

1147
00:57:06,000 --> 00:57:08,879
Speaker 1: was very average At wolves AS i would describe, him

1148
00:57:08,920 --> 00:57:10,680
Speaker 1: and they were a team if you remember under Low

1149
00:57:10,719 --> 00:57:13,759
Speaker 1: patagy a lot of defensive a lot of possession in

1150
00:57:13,800 --> 00:57:16,720
Speaker 1: their defensive, third took a lot of shots from outside the,

1151
00:57:16,760 --> 00:57:18,880
Speaker 1: box didn't really create a lot of high quality. Chances

1152
00:57:19,000 --> 00:57:22,720
Speaker 1: so with the personality has they really should be able

1153
00:57:22,760 --> 00:57:24,440
Speaker 1: to do that at West. Ham SO i think it's

1154
00:57:24,480 --> 00:57:26,000
Speaker 1: just going to take some time to figure out whether,

1155
00:57:26,080 --> 00:57:28,040
Speaker 1: he's you, know the right manager for the.

1156
00:57:28,160 --> 00:57:31,320
Speaker 3: Job the real question is when the bookmakers will post

1157
00:57:32,320 --> 00:57:35,040
Speaker 3: a market for which team Will David moyes be managing

1158
00:57:35,160 --> 00:57:40,520
Speaker 3: in This Premier league Come christmas? Time Because i'm gonna

1159
00:57:40,560 --> 00:57:43,800
Speaker 3: guess He's we'll see who it, Is. Chelsea it could Be,

1160
00:57:43,920 --> 00:57:46,080
Speaker 3: Chelsea we'll see.

1161
00:57:48,320 --> 00:57:49,880
Speaker 1: What Manchester. United, YEAH i.

1162
00:57:50,000 --> 00:57:53,600
Speaker 3: Know let's run it, back get it, back get him

1163
00:57:53,600 --> 00:57:56,360
Speaker 3: back in, there all. Right we'll flip the page To sunday, morning,

1164
00:57:56,640 --> 00:58:00,400
Speaker 3: now nine Am eastern kickoff Between brentford And. Palace brentford

1165
00:58:00,440 --> 00:58:03,880
Speaker 3: at home plus one thirty five lukewarm Favorite palace plus one.

1166
00:58:04,000 --> 00:58:06,280
Speaker 3: Ninety the draw is plus two forty HERE i like to.

1167
00:58:06,360 --> 00:58:09,520
Speaker 3: DRAW i think that this one has the makings of

1168
00:58:09,840 --> 00:58:12,840
Speaker 3: a pretty low. EVENT i, Know palace we're sending the

1169
00:58:12,880 --> 00:58:15,760
Speaker 3: world on fire going down the. STRETCH bj talked a

1170
00:58:15,800 --> 00:58:19,640
Speaker 3: lot About brentford being more unlucky than bad last. SEASON

1171
00:58:19,680 --> 00:58:22,520
Speaker 3: i think that is. Fair but this looks like a

1172
00:58:22,640 --> 00:58:24,840
Speaker 3: match between two pretty even, teams two teams THAT i

1173
00:58:24,920 --> 00:58:27,800
Speaker 3: don't think are going to be able to cause much

1174
00:58:27,800 --> 00:58:31,439
Speaker 3: separation and keep the draw in play throughout the. Match

1175
00:58:31,560 --> 00:58:33,360
Speaker 3: so that's what you're looking for when you're betting a.

1176
00:58:33,440 --> 00:58:35,080
Speaker 3: Draw the nil nill at twelve to one is also

1177
00:58:35,160 --> 00:58:38,520
Speaker 3: interesting for, me So i'm looking at. That i'll be

1178
00:58:38,640 --> 00:58:41,280
Speaker 3: on the, draw maybe split to steak with the nil nil.

1179
00:58:41,360 --> 00:58:47,560
Speaker 3: Here but this is my loan draw of match week, ONE,

1180
00:58:47,640 --> 00:58:51,240
Speaker 3: Bj so anything here before we move on To monday night.

1181
00:58:51,280 --> 00:58:54,240
Speaker 1: Football, NO i think IT'S i think the odds are pretty.

1182
00:58:54,240 --> 00:58:57,400
Speaker 1: CORRECT i don't hate the play on a draw If

1183
00:58:57,400 --> 00:59:00,320
Speaker 1: i'm remembering. CORRECTLY i believe three of the last four

1184
00:59:00,400 --> 00:59:02,720
Speaker 1: matches Between brentford and Christ palace have ended in a

1185
00:59:02,800 --> 00:59:04,360
Speaker 1: one to one, Draw so if you want to play

1186
00:59:04,360 --> 00:59:06,840
Speaker 1: exact score one to, one you know it might not

1187
00:59:06,960 --> 00:59:11,080
Speaker 1: be a bad. Play but, YEAH i think this is

1188
00:59:11,200 --> 00:59:13,800
Speaker 1: tough right because there are two teams THAT i know

1189
00:59:13,880 --> 00:59:17,440
Speaker 1: as a, podcast we're both very high On glassner Versus Thomas.

1190
00:59:17,480 --> 00:59:19,720
Speaker 1: Frank you're gonna See Thomas franks sitting at three five to.

1191
00:59:19,760 --> 00:59:23,840
Speaker 1: Two the Question Marcus Ken glasner break him. Down now

1192
00:59:23,880 --> 00:59:26,320
Speaker 1: that they don't have a lease, available it looks like

1193
00:59:26,400 --> 00:59:28,520
Speaker 1: check The correy is going to take a few weeks

1194
00:59:28,560 --> 00:59:31,360
Speaker 1: to actually get back into the, Squad so Christ palace

1195
00:59:31,400 --> 00:59:33,400
Speaker 1: is not going to have him. Available who knows by

1196
00:59:33,440 --> 00:59:35,320
Speaker 1: the time we record, This marque he could be off To.

1197
00:59:35,400 --> 00:59:40,520
Speaker 1: Newcastle so, YEAH i think that this line is about.

1198
00:59:40,600 --> 00:59:42,840
Speaker 1: CORRECT i Think brentford should be just a very slight.

1199
00:59:43,080 --> 00:59:45,360
Speaker 1: Favorite So i'm just gonna pass.

1200
00:59:46,000 --> 00:59:49,400
Speaker 3: That brings us To monday night. Football Leicester city And

1201
00:59:50,160 --> 00:59:52,919
Speaker 3: tottenham Lester back in The Premier. League they are plus

1202
00:59:53,000 --> 00:59:55,960
Speaker 3: four twenty five at, Home spury's traveling minus one sixty

1203
00:59:56,000 --> 00:59:58,600
Speaker 3: seven and the draw here is sitting at three to.

1204
00:59:58,680 --> 01:00:02,880
Speaker 3: One not not too much. HERE i do think that

1205
01:00:02,960 --> 01:00:06,160
Speaker 3: this one, also it feels like a poor man's version

1206
01:00:06,200 --> 01:00:09,360
Speaker 3: of The Liverpool's The liverpool is if switch match WHERE

1207
01:00:09,360 --> 01:00:12,680
Speaker 3: i think there's probably some goals in the in this

1208
01:00:13,040 --> 01:00:15,720
Speaker 3: between these two. SIDES i Like Steve cooper as a.

1209
01:00:15,760 --> 01:00:20,280
Speaker 3: MANAGER i think that he's actually pretty. GOOD i feel

1210
01:00:20,280 --> 01:00:22,320
Speaker 3: like he's he's a good big picture guy and kind

1211
01:00:22,360 --> 01:00:25,040
Speaker 3: of understands the, situation and he'll know the situation That

1212
01:00:25,200 --> 01:00:28,479
Speaker 3: lester is dealing with, here which is the imminent points.

1213
01:00:28,560 --> 01:00:33,600
Speaker 3: Deduction that, said SO i actually kind of think that

1214
01:00:33,680 --> 01:00:36,280
Speaker 3: they maybe have a slightly better chance of staying, up

1215
01:00:36,520 --> 01:00:39,800
Speaker 3: depending on just how you know severe the punishment is

1216
01:00:40,400 --> 01:00:44,120
Speaker 3: than the market. Suggests that, SAID i don't know if

1217
01:00:44,120 --> 01:00:46,200
Speaker 3: they'll be able to stop This tottenham at, Tax. SAM

1218
01:00:46,240 --> 01:00:48,360
Speaker 3: i know you're pretty hot In spurs and their chances

1219
01:00:48,400 --> 01:00:50,960
Speaker 3: to cause a little bit of a ruckus in the

1220
01:00:51,040 --> 01:00:53,560
Speaker 3: table this. Season so are you looking at them getting

1221
01:00:53,560 --> 01:00:55,800
Speaker 3: off to a flyer under the lights On monday night?

1222
01:00:55,840 --> 01:00:56,240
Speaker 1: Football?

1223
01:00:57,000 --> 01:00:59,840
Speaker 2: Yeah so all went for them top four in this

1224
01:01:00,000 --> 01:01:02,480
Speaker 2: he's in preview if you've not. Listened tottenham were the

1225
01:01:02,520 --> 01:01:05,080
Speaker 2: most profitball teams to bet on last season for. Goals

1226
01:01:05,080 --> 01:01:07,280
Speaker 2: if you place the flat one unit stake on over

1227
01:01:07,320 --> 01:01:10,040
Speaker 2: two point five goals over their thirty eight, games it

1228
01:01:10,040 --> 01:01:12,720
Speaker 2: would have returned to sixteen point eight PERCENT roi at the.

1229
01:01:12,800 --> 01:01:16,600
Speaker 2: Prices so thirty Of tottenham's thirty Eight Premier league games

1230
01:01:16,680 --> 01:01:19,480
Speaker 2: went over two point five. Goals so if you Like,

1231
01:01:19,600 --> 01:01:22,560
Speaker 2: tottenham here and you think they're a little bit. Short

1232
01:01:22,600 --> 01:01:25,000
Speaker 2: you could couple up A tottenham win with over two

1233
01:01:25,040 --> 01:01:27,080
Speaker 2: point five goals and you can get a plus one ten,

1234
01:01:27,160 --> 01:01:30,080
Speaker 2: price WHICH i thought was pretty. Good AND i asked

1235
01:01:30,120 --> 01:01:33,840
Speaker 2: the question on the season preview of where do the

1236
01:01:33,960 --> 01:01:37,160
Speaker 2: goals come from For? LEICESTER i can't see a consistent

1237
01:01:37,240 --> 01:01:40,440
Speaker 2: avenue in terms of a clinical goal. Scorer both of

1238
01:01:40,440 --> 01:01:44,320
Speaker 2: the lads Mentioned Jamie, vardi but he is unfortunately nearing

1239
01:01:44,360 --> 01:01:46,240
Speaker 2: the end of his, CAREER i, think so we're going

1240
01:01:46,320 --> 01:01:49,480
Speaker 2: to have to overlook. Him if over two point five

1241
01:01:49,560 --> 01:01:52,600
Speaker 2: goals does, arrive which the butt makers believe it will

1242
01:01:52,640 --> 01:01:56,040
Speaker 2: at minus two, hundred Then spurs should get the main

1243
01:01:56,120 --> 01:02:00,479
Speaker 2: vocal the goal scoring. Opportunities, However tottenham did con seed

1244
01:02:00,680 --> 01:02:04,200
Speaker 2: sixty three point four expected goes against last. Term that

1245
01:02:04,280 --> 01:02:06,480
Speaker 2: was the seventh most in the. League so if The

1246
01:02:06,560 --> 01:02:09,320
Speaker 2: foxes do go, behind they might be afforded the chances

1247
01:02:09,360 --> 01:02:12,360
Speaker 2: to close the. Deficit they should be afforded one or

1248
01:02:12,400 --> 01:02:15,360
Speaker 2: two pretty decent goal scoring chances at, HOME i, think

1249
01:02:15,480 --> 01:02:18,960
Speaker 2: and if they, don't the market we've sided on here

1250
01:02:19,160 --> 01:02:21,560
Speaker 2: means That spurs can win three, nil four, nil five,

1251
01:02:21,680 --> 01:02:25,040
Speaker 2: zero and in the event of a whitewash this this

1252
01:02:25,280 --> 01:02:29,360
Speaker 2: selection will cash quite. Comfortably Dominic salanki looks like he's

1253
01:02:29,400 --> 01:02:33,080
Speaker 2: off To spurs as we've, mentioned and he might be

1254
01:02:33,160 --> 01:02:35,160
Speaker 2: in line for a starter that will give everyone a big,

1255
01:02:35,280 --> 01:02:38,360
Speaker 2: lift a sixty five million pounds striker through the. Door

1256
01:02:39,240 --> 01:02:42,280
Speaker 2: overall on the main markets from a betting, stance there's no.

1257
01:02:42,440 --> 01:02:44,600
Speaker 2: PRICES i really, like there's nothing that jumped out in

1258
01:02:44,640 --> 01:02:46,520
Speaker 2: front of. Me but in terms of the same game

1259
01:02:46,600 --> 01:02:49,640
Speaker 2: parlay at plus, Money spurs winn over two point five,

1260
01:02:49,720 --> 01:02:52,440
Speaker 2: goals that's WHERE i ended up and beat you anything

1261
01:02:52,480 --> 01:02:53,760
Speaker 2: to ed Uh.

1262
01:02:54,440 --> 01:02:58,080
Speaker 1: NO i will say that this match for For spurs

1263
01:02:58,200 --> 01:03:01,960
Speaker 1: last season Against Steve cooper got him. Fired it was

1264
01:03:02,040 --> 01:03:07,360
Speaker 1: the final Because nuno took over On december twentieth And december,

1265
01:03:07,440 --> 01:03:11,680
Speaker 1: Fifteenth spurs Beating Nottingham forest to. Nothing THE xg was

1266
01:03:11,760 --> 01:03:13,480
Speaker 1: very close and that was kind of the story Of

1267
01:03:13,520 --> 01:03:15,480
Speaker 1: Nottingham forest to begin the season last year and Got

1268
01:03:15,480 --> 01:03:18,240
Speaker 1: Steve cooper. Fired BUT i Think, michael to your, POINT

1269
01:03:18,800 --> 01:03:22,040
Speaker 1: i Think Steve cooper is like the new modern version

1270
01:03:22,280 --> 01:03:26,160
Speaker 1: of like The Sam Allardyce's Sean diitch's of the, world

1271
01:03:26,320 --> 01:03:28,480
Speaker 1: where they always just he's just always going to be

1272
01:03:28,520 --> 01:03:30,720
Speaker 1: put in a really bad, position and he's really good

1273
01:03:31,040 --> 01:03:35,800
Speaker 1: at managing players in navigating those tough. Waters, AGAIN i

1274
01:03:35,840 --> 01:03:38,960
Speaker 1: think it's a situation kind of similar to You, brighton

1275
01:03:39,000 --> 01:03:43,320
Speaker 1: where it's, like, hey we're Taking lester going from a

1276
01:03:43,440 --> 01:03:46,560
Speaker 1: completely different style play To Steve cooper's three five to

1277
01:03:46,600 --> 01:03:49,040
Speaker 1: two low. BLOCK i just kind of want to see

1278
01:03:49,040 --> 01:03:51,000
Speaker 1: what it looks. Like, honestly they may become a team

1279
01:03:51,040 --> 01:03:52,880
Speaker 1: to actually bet. ON i think the market will be

1280
01:03:53,000 --> 01:03:55,320
Speaker 1: very low on them as we get throughout the. Season

1281
01:03:55,440 --> 01:03:58,640
Speaker 1: but here in the first, MATCH i think it's for.

1282
01:03:58,720 --> 01:04:00,800
Speaker 1: Me i'm just going to pass sucks BECAUSE i love

1283
01:04:00,880 --> 01:04:03,360
Speaker 1: betting On monday night, football BUT i don't THINK i

1284
01:04:03,400 --> 01:04:03,600
Speaker 1: can do.

1285
01:04:03,680 --> 01:04:06,440
Speaker 3: It, okay that's A Premier league done and. Dusted there

1286
01:04:06,600 --> 01:04:09,480
Speaker 3: are a couple other matches In europe.

1287
01:04:09,200 --> 01:04:09,520
Speaker 1: To get To.

1288
01:04:09,680 --> 01:04:11,120
Speaker 3: Bjay yeah you can take us through.

1289
01:04:11,160 --> 01:04:14,200
Speaker 1: Here, Yeah siria On napoli minus one ten Against, LECHE

1290
01:04:14,880 --> 01:04:17,360
Speaker 1: i think a price very very short. Here Antonio conte

1291
01:04:17,520 --> 01:04:21,320
Speaker 1: coming Into napoli did some good. Business barjono coming over

1292
01:04:21,440 --> 01:04:26,800
Speaker 1: From torino really solidifies their center back. Pairing Victor oschman

1293
01:04:26,880 --> 01:04:29,000
Speaker 1: is still, There Gabar skelia is still. There this is

1294
01:04:29,040 --> 01:04:32,960
Speaker 1: A napolei team that's severely. Underperformed last season finished ninth

1295
01:04:33,000 --> 01:04:35,760
Speaker 1: In syria a orse evely, tenth but had a plus

1296
01:04:35,840 --> 01:04:38,960
Speaker 1: twenty three expected gol, differential which was third best in the.

1297
01:04:39,040 --> 01:04:41,720
Speaker 1: League they're a team that really should positively aggress now

1298
01:04:41,720 --> 01:04:43,680
Speaker 1: that they have one of the best managers at the.

1299
01:04:43,760 --> 01:04:48,840
Speaker 1: Helm leche was a really bad defensive. Team they just

1300
01:04:48,920 --> 01:04:52,560
Speaker 1: lost their best center back To. Fiorentina they did bring

1301
01:04:52,640 --> 01:04:54,040
Speaker 1: in AND i know this name is gonna sound, fake

1302
01:04:54,120 --> 01:04:58,120
Speaker 1: but it's. Real Luca gatti is their. Manager he took

1303
01:04:58,160 --> 01:05:01,200
Speaker 1: over In. March they did have some, improvement it's under.

1304
01:05:01,320 --> 01:05:03,840
Speaker 1: Him but, again this is a team that really lacks

1305
01:05:03,920 --> 01:05:06,680
Speaker 1: talent level comparatively to What napoli is and quite for.

1306
01:05:06,760 --> 01:05:08,400
Speaker 1: THEM i just think minus ten is way too short

1307
01:05:09,080 --> 01:05:12,160
Speaker 1: in terms Of La. LIGA i Like Athletico madrid On

1308
01:05:12,280 --> 01:05:15,320
Speaker 1: monday against Via. Real you, know Vi real last season

1309
01:05:15,680 --> 01:05:17,919
Speaker 1: was one of the worst defensive teams In La, liga

1310
01:05:18,360 --> 01:05:20,960
Speaker 1: dead last and final thirdy box entry conversion. Rate they

1311
01:05:21,040 --> 01:05:23,920
Speaker 1: got in way too many transitional battles with teams in

1312
01:05:23,920 --> 01:05:26,240
Speaker 1: the lower half of the, table and really the reason

1313
01:05:26,320 --> 01:05:29,240
Speaker 1: that they were able to kind, of you, know stay

1314
01:05:29,480 --> 01:05:31,200
Speaker 1: in terms of the middle of the table was because

1315
01:05:31,600 --> 01:05:35,000
Speaker 1: their Striker Alexander soorloth scored twenty three goals and like

1316
01:05:35,200 --> 01:05:37,960
Speaker 1: really overperformed for this. Season, well he's on the other

1317
01:05:38,080 --> 01:05:39,840
Speaker 1: end of the pitch now because he's at The Athletico

1318
01:05:39,880 --> 01:05:41,400
Speaker 1: madrid and they didn't really bring in and bring in

1319
01:05:41,440 --> 01:05:45,240
Speaker 1: a capable replacement for. Him so losing their best STRIKER

1320
01:05:46,160 --> 01:05:48,280
Speaker 1: i think is a bad situation For Via real AND

1321
01:05:48,320 --> 01:05:50,760
Speaker 1: i think you know out and Obviously Athletico madrid has

1322
01:05:50,760 --> 01:05:52,880
Speaker 1: done a lot of good business, summer not only Sore

1323
01:05:52,960 --> 01:05:57,360
Speaker 1: loth but obviously Bringing Ulian alvarez Le normad From Rial.

1324
01:05:57,360 --> 01:05:59,360
Speaker 1: Associate that is another really good. Signing SO i Think

1325
01:05:59,360 --> 01:06:01,680
Speaker 1: Athletico madri it is in a really good spot. Here

1326
01:06:01,840 --> 01:06:04,000
Speaker 1: SO i really really like them at plus one thirty.

1327
01:06:04,040 --> 01:06:06,440
Speaker 1: Five and for everybody out, there just a quick announcement

1328
01:06:06,520 --> 01:06:08,320
Speaker 1: now that we Have sam on the. Podcast sam is

1329
01:06:08,320 --> 01:06:11,760
Speaker 1: a big championship. Guy if you don't, know we're going

1330
01:06:11,800 --> 01:06:15,120
Speaker 1: to replace the league on section with The championship this.

1331
01:06:15,240 --> 01:06:17,200
Speaker 1: SEASON i just don't think Leg on is that. INTERESTING

1332
01:06:17,240 --> 01:06:18,400
Speaker 1: i don't even know if they have A tv deal

1333
01:06:18,480 --> 01:06:20,760
Speaker 1: yet in The United states. Here and if you don't,

1334
01:06:20,840 --> 01:06:24,080
Speaker 1: Know Paramount plus is getting TWELVE efl matches per, week

1335
01:06:24,160 --> 01:06:25,480
Speaker 1: so you're gonna be able to see a lot more

1336
01:06:25,560 --> 01:06:28,680
Speaker 1: championship matches in The United, states And sam is really

1337
01:06:28,680 --> 01:06:30,640
Speaker 1: good at handicapping The. Championship we're not going to do

1338
01:06:30,720 --> 01:06:33,280
Speaker 1: it this week because we are recording On, Friday august,

1339
01:06:33,400 --> 01:06:35,600
Speaker 1: ninth before the first, week so we don't want to

1340
01:06:36,120 --> 01:06:38,600
Speaker 1: look a week ahead, essentially or make him handicap something

1341
01:06:38,640 --> 01:06:41,040
Speaker 1: off something that we haven't even seen. Yet but going,

1342
01:06:41,160 --> 01:06:43,600
Speaker 1: forward we will be doing a section on The championship

1343
01:06:44,080 --> 01:06:45,400
Speaker 1: over league.

1344
01:06:45,440 --> 01:06:50,280
Speaker 3: On, yeah exciting, stuff especially With Wayne rooney navigating The

1345
01:06:51,040 --> 01:06:54,400
Speaker 3: water's there For Sam's plymouth our. Guy all, right we'll

1346
01:06:54,440 --> 01:06:58,040
Speaker 3: get into the closing sections of our, Show underdog parlay

1347
01:06:58,080 --> 01:06:59,680
Speaker 3: and best, bet but before we, do a reminder that

1348
01:06:59,760 --> 01:07:01,840
Speaker 3: one goal is probably presented By bet three six five

1349
01:07:01,880 --> 01:07:04,000
Speaker 3: And bet three sixty five doesn't do. Ordinary that's why

1350
01:07:04,040 --> 01:07:06,040
Speaker 3: you get more boosts with them than anyone. Else every

1351
01:07:06,120 --> 01:07:08,520
Speaker 3: day they. Boost every, day they power up the odds

1352
01:07:08,600 --> 01:07:10,200
Speaker 3: on hundreds of. Bets they give you a chance to win.

1353
01:07:10,240 --> 01:07:12,400
Speaker 3: More bet three six to five boost specific, markets your

1354
01:07:12,440 --> 01:07:15,120
Speaker 3: winnings and even, parlays and they don't stop. There keep

1355
01:07:15,120 --> 01:07:17,680
Speaker 3: an eye out for their biggest and best odds with

1356
01:07:17,720 --> 01:07:19,680
Speaker 3: the incredible super. Boosts check out the boost and see

1357
01:07:19,680 --> 01:07:22,600
Speaker 3: why it's never. Ordinary at bet three sixty FIVE us

1358
01:07:22,720 --> 01:07:26,479
Speaker 3: be twenty. One we're older in president In, Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa,

1359
01:07:26,560 --> 01:07:29,920
Speaker 3: Louisiana New, Jersey, Ohio North, Carolina, virginia or eighteen and

1360
01:07:29,960 --> 01:07:32,120
Speaker 3: older In. Kentucky if you or anyone you know has

1361
01:07:32,120 --> 01:07:35,000
Speaker 3: a gambling problem wants, help please CALL wedninge hundred gambler

1362
01:07:35,080 --> 01:07:39,800
Speaker 3: winning one hundred bets off In. Iowa, terms conditions and restrictions. Apply,

1363
01:07:40,640 --> 01:07:44,360
Speaker 3: okay our first underdog parlay of the, season three.

1364
01:07:44,480 --> 01:07:46,600
Speaker 1: Legs the rules are.

1365
01:07:47,000 --> 01:07:49,520
Speaker 3: They Must these teams must be plus two hundred or

1366
01:07:49,600 --> 01:07:53,600
Speaker 3: longer to win their match in the coming, WEEKEND, bj

1367
01:07:54,120 --> 01:07:54,680
Speaker 3: you can get us.

1368
01:07:54,680 --> 01:07:57,640
Speaker 1: Started, hey, oh let's go To La. Liga allaves three

1369
01:07:57,720 --> 01:08:00,480
Speaker 1: to one Against Celta, vigo a price THAT i think

1370
01:08:00,560 --> 01:08:04,160
Speaker 1: should be closer to around being a. Pickham you. Know

1371
01:08:04,320 --> 01:08:08,959
Speaker 1: Celta vigo did improve Once Rafa benitez, left but, again

1372
01:08:09,120 --> 01:08:11,640
Speaker 1: like we already mentioned With, wolve Jorgen Strand larson is

1373
01:08:11,800 --> 01:08:15,920
Speaker 1: off To wolves their best. Striker, also they Faced alavase

1374
01:08:15,960 --> 01:08:18,439
Speaker 1: towards the end of last season And alaves destroyed them

1375
01:08:18,479 --> 01:08:21,120
Speaker 1: three nothing one ON xg two point three to point.

1376
01:08:21,200 --> 01:08:25,120
Speaker 1: Two it's An alava's team that yes is Losing omadarion

1377
01:08:25,160 --> 01:08:27,800
Speaker 1: who was on loan there last, season but he didn't

1378
01:08:27,800 --> 01:08:29,760
Speaker 1: play in that match Against Selta. Viego and they have

1379
01:08:29,800 --> 01:08:32,200
Speaker 1: a thirty four year old strikekle Named keek who put

1380
01:08:32,280 --> 01:08:34,599
Speaker 1: up the pretty much the exact same X g pernai

1381
01:08:34,640 --> 01:08:37,760
Speaker 1: numbers As. Omadarian SO i don't see This alabas, team

1382
01:08:37,800 --> 01:08:39,720
Speaker 1: who was one of the best defensive teams In La

1383
01:08:39,920 --> 01:08:42,040
Speaker 1: ego last, season really dropping off at. ALL i mean

1384
01:08:42,080 --> 01:08:45,000
Speaker 1: they were around and even expected old differential and towards

1385
01:08:45,040 --> 01:08:46,719
Speaker 1: the top half of the table in terms of underlying.

1386
01:08:46,760 --> 01:08:49,200
Speaker 1: Metrics so don't think they should be underdog. Here SO

1387
01:08:49,360 --> 01:08:50,400
Speaker 1: i Like alavas three to.

1388
01:08:50,479 --> 01:08:54,920
Speaker 3: One i'm gonna go With Chelsea sunday eleven thirty. AM

1389
01:08:55,800 --> 01:08:57,559
Speaker 3: i just think the talent is there that you want

1390
01:08:57,600 --> 01:08:59,639
Speaker 3: to Back chelsea when they're big prices and you want

1391
01:08:59,640 --> 01:09:02,400
Speaker 3: to stay very far away from them when they are big.

1392
01:09:02,520 --> 01:09:05,160
Speaker 3: Favorites hopefully Catch city in a little bit of a sleepy.

1393
01:09:05,160 --> 01:09:08,920
Speaker 3: Spot they've they've been slow starters under the past couple of,

1394
01:09:08,960 --> 01:09:12,120
Speaker 3: seasons taking the first half to kind of stock the

1395
01:09:12,160 --> 01:09:14,360
Speaker 3: pace and maybe we catch them here on the road

1396
01:09:15,000 --> 01:09:17,400
Speaker 3: At Stanford. Bridge So chelsea plus three thirty three for,

1397
01:09:17,520 --> 01:09:18,040
Speaker 3: Me sam.

1398
01:09:18,240 --> 01:09:21,000
Speaker 2: Very, Brave, Michael i'm going against the other side Of,

1399
01:09:21,080 --> 01:09:23,439
Speaker 2: manchester so we're not going to be too well liked

1400
01:09:24,040 --> 01:09:28,720
Speaker 2: Up north Of england And fulham plus five Hundred paulinia

1401
01:09:28,920 --> 01:09:32,880
Speaker 2: Less fulham head To Old, trafford they'll probably find it

1402
01:09:32,920 --> 01:09:35,080
Speaker 2: difficult on the opening. DAY i don't doubt, that BUT

1403
01:09:35,320 --> 01:09:38,160
Speaker 2: i THINK i don't think they should be plus five

1404
01:09:38,280 --> 01:09:40,679
Speaker 2: hundred for the. Win it feels big and it feels

1405
01:09:40,760 --> 01:09:43,400
Speaker 2: like a price that suggests Man united should have it

1406
01:09:43,479 --> 01:09:46,000
Speaker 2: all their own, way which they. Won't they sended to

1407
01:09:46,200 --> 01:09:48,759
Speaker 2: one To fulham In manchester last time they Met fulham

1408
01:09:48,800 --> 01:09:51,160
Speaker 2: were fourth to one that. Day now they're five to

1409
01:09:51,280 --> 01:09:53,799
Speaker 2: one to win this game after beating them In. February

1410
01:09:54,320 --> 01:09:56,920
Speaker 2: the fear factor At Old trafford is dwindling and If

1411
01:09:57,040 --> 01:09:59,880
Speaker 2: united aren't at their, Best fulham half the components in

1412
01:10:00,120 --> 01:10:02,559
Speaker 2: squad to. Capitalize so follow plus five.

1413
01:10:02,640 --> 01:10:07,760
Speaker 3: Hundred, Okay Olive's Chelsea fulham to get us started one

1414
01:10:07,880 --> 01:10:10,720
Speaker 3: hundred and three to one if those three come. Through

1415
01:10:11,640 --> 01:10:14,040
Speaker 3: best bets now for The Premier league Match week, one

1416
01:10:14,120 --> 01:10:17,439
Speaker 3: get the season started. Off hopefully this section remains as

1417
01:10:17,479 --> 01:10:20,720
Speaker 3: profitable as it has the past few Bj what do.

1418
01:10:20,720 --> 01:10:24,880
Speaker 1: You Got Arsenal Wolves both teams score. No at minus one.

1419
01:10:25,040 --> 01:10:28,160
Speaker 1: Thirty wolves is going to be without Mathanas Kunia Pedro

1420
01:10:28,280 --> 01:10:30,560
Speaker 1: nato is off To, chelsea which really limits them in

1421
01:10:30,680 --> 01:10:33,120
Speaker 1: terms of their attack and quite, frankly going up Against,

1422
01:10:33,200 --> 01:10:35,400
Speaker 1: arsenal no real team in the bottom half of the

1423
01:10:35,400 --> 01:10:38,240
Speaker 1: table has been able too much damage against. Them last,

1424
01:10:38,280 --> 01:10:42,080
Speaker 1: season only five opponents created more than one non penalty

1425
01:10:42,120 --> 01:10:44,840
Speaker 1: expected goal Against. Arsenal the reason they're so good is

1426
01:10:44,920 --> 01:10:48,120
Speaker 1: because they're elite at defending and. Transition they start four center,

1427
01:10:48,200 --> 01:10:51,160
Speaker 1: backs they're good at defending step, pieces and their high

1428
01:10:51,200 --> 01:10:53,400
Speaker 1: press has been as effective as any team in the.

1429
01:10:53,479 --> 01:10:56,320
Speaker 1: World so it's, very very difficult for teams to actually

1430
01:10:56,360 --> 01:10:58,840
Speaker 1: play through, them And wolves saw that in both meetings last,

1431
01:10:58,880 --> 01:11:02,280
Speaker 1: season only created a total of one inspectacle against them

1432
01:11:02,360 --> 01:11:05,960
Speaker 1: over their two. Meetings arsenal does have some question marks

1433
01:11:05,960 --> 01:11:07,719
Speaker 1: in terms of how they're going to score from open. Play,

1434
01:11:08,080 --> 01:11:10,200
Speaker 1: wolves as we saw last, season is a very well

1435
01:11:10,280 --> 01:11:12,720
Speaker 1: drilled side in terms of defending their penalty. Area the

1436
01:11:12,800 --> 01:11:14,479
Speaker 1: number one in The Premier league in terms of blocking

1437
01:11:14,560 --> 01:11:17,880
Speaker 1: shots and defending. Crosses they're also very good at defending set,

1438
01:11:17,880 --> 01:11:19,200
Speaker 1: pieces SO i think we're going to see a very

1439
01:11:19,240 --> 01:11:21,760
Speaker 1: low scoring game, here AND i really have question marks

1440
01:11:21,760 --> 01:11:23,680
Speaker 1: about Whether wolves is actually going to be able to

1441
01:11:23,760 --> 01:11:25,880
Speaker 1: create anything of. Value SO i like both teams to

1442
01:11:25,920 --> 01:11:27,200
Speaker 1: score no AMOUNT us one.

1443
01:11:27,280 --> 01:11:29,800
Speaker 3: Thirty i'm gonna stick With bournemouth on the money line

1444
01:11:29,800 --> 01:11:31,760
Speaker 3: at plus one. SEVENTY i think the number will, grow

1445
01:11:31,920 --> 01:11:34,960
Speaker 3: so you can be patient here with the dominic so Selonke,

1446
01:11:35,160 --> 01:11:38,479
Speaker 3: NEWS i think that the gap Between forrest In bournemouth

1447
01:11:38,520 --> 01:11:41,200
Speaker 3: is wide enough in terms in terms of, talent Then

1448
01:11:41,240 --> 01:11:43,360
Speaker 3: i'm okay with them being a slight underdog on the

1449
01:11:43,439 --> 01:11:45,360
Speaker 3: road at the city, ground Where forests has been pretty.

1450
01:11:45,400 --> 01:11:47,679
Speaker 3: Good BUT i want to get in on This bournemouth.

1451
01:11:47,680 --> 01:11:49,000
Speaker 3: TEAM i think the prices are only going to be

1452
01:11:49,040 --> 01:11:51,560
Speaker 3: going in one, direction so might as well start to

1453
01:11:51,600 --> 01:11:53,519
Speaker 3: season off back of them as an underdog against A

1454
01:11:53,560 --> 01:11:56,320
Speaker 3: forest team THAT i think is a couple tiers below

1455
01:11:56,400 --> 01:11:59,439
Speaker 3: them just in terms of overall, Talent, sam you can

1456
01:11:59,479 --> 01:11:59,800
Speaker 3: take us.

1457
01:11:59,800 --> 01:12:03,200
Speaker 2: Home i'm going For newcastle minus zero point five first

1458
01:12:03,240 --> 01:12:07,160
Speaker 2: Half asian handicap at minus one two one Against. SOUTHAMPTON

1459
01:12:07,479 --> 01:12:09,320
Speaker 2: i feel like this might be a rude awakening For

1460
01:12:09,400 --> 01:12:12,120
Speaker 2: southampton And Russell martin after coming up through the playoffs

1461
01:12:12,160 --> 01:12:15,120
Speaker 2: in The. Championship newcastle will be all over them like

1462
01:12:15,200 --> 01:12:17,439
Speaker 2: a rush from minute. One no time on the, ball

1463
01:12:17,840 --> 01:12:20,360
Speaker 2: limiting their build up from the back and their want

1464
01:12:20,439 --> 01:12:23,200
Speaker 2: to knock it, around which are the principles of A

1465
01:12:23,320 --> 01:12:26,360
Speaker 2: Russell martin Led. Southampton the home side will pounce on

1466
01:12:26,439 --> 01:12:29,080
Speaker 2: any loose balls and early mistakes in attempt to make

1467
01:12:29,120 --> 01:12:32,320
Speaker 2: their opponents. Pay last, Season newcastle scored eight goals in

1468
01:12:32,360 --> 01:12:35,320
Speaker 2: the first fifteen minutes to play from nineteen home. Games

1469
01:12:35,640 --> 01:12:37,639
Speaker 2: that was the most in the. Division so an early

1470
01:12:37,720 --> 01:12:39,720
Speaker 2: go here AND i think it could be a long

1471
01:12:39,800 --> 01:12:41,280
Speaker 2: day for The Premier league's newest, Club.

1472
01:12:41,720 --> 01:12:45,240
Speaker 3: Bervic that does it for match week one For bjay

1473
01:12:45,240 --> 01:12:47,280
Speaker 3: And sam And. Michael thank you to our Sponsors bet

1474
01:12:47,320 --> 01:12:49,439
Speaker 3: three six.' five thank you to Our producer noah for

1475
01:12:49,479 --> 01:12:50,880
Speaker 3: all the hard work on the. Back end thank you

1476
01:12:51,320 --> 01:12:53,720
Speaker 3: to everyone who's back for another Season Of. Wonder goal

1477
01:12:53,960 --> 01:12:57,040
Speaker 3: hopefully you enjoyed our season, preview episodes but you can

1478
01:12:57,080 --> 01:12:58,840
Speaker 3: be hearing a lot more from us over the next,

1479
01:12:58,920 --> 01:13:02,320
Speaker 3: few months so get used to it and hopefully things

1480
01:13:02,400 --> 01:13:04,840
Speaker 3: go well for us again on This Podcast.

1481
01:13:12,240 --> 01:13:16,720
Speaker 1: Action network reminds you please. Gamble responsibly if you or

1482
01:13:16,800 --> 01:13:19,560
Speaker 1: someone you care about has a, gambling problem help is

1483
01:13:19,600 --> 01:13:22,639
Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred gambler