1 00:00:03,440 --> 00:00:05,920 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Daybreak here for this Thursday, the ninth 2 00:00:05,920 --> 00:00:09,160 Speaker 1: of February in London. Coming up today from bad to worst, 3 00:00:09,200 --> 00:00:12,799 Speaker 1: Credit Suite reports grim results as the bank's turnaround fails 4 00:00:12,840 --> 00:00:17,040 Speaker 1: to gain traction. For cut Disney CEO announced his job 5 00:00:17,200 --> 00:00:19,760 Speaker 1: losses as he looks to make it the happiest place 6 00:00:19,800 --> 00:00:22,560 Speaker 1: on earth for investors. Could it be game over a 7 00:00:22,640 --> 00:00:26,080 Speaker 1: Microsoft's Activision deal. The odds on a successful tie up 8 00:00:26,160 --> 00:00:29,520 Speaker 1: grow longer as the UK regulators take game business love 9 00:00:29,600 --> 00:00:32,960 Speaker 1: equals for tax breaks. Twitter runs out of characters and 10 00:00:33,000 --> 00:00:37,200 Speaker 1: Boris Johnson makes five million pounds in less than five months. 11 00:00:37,440 --> 00:00:40,080 Speaker 1: Those are the stories we're looking at in today's papers, 12 00:00:40,120 --> 00:00:43,879 Speaker 1: and I'm leanne Gern's. Plus, the UK property market becomes 13 00:00:43,880 --> 00:00:46,640 Speaker 1: a bit of a fixer offer as sales and inquiries 14 00:00:46,680 --> 00:00:52,440 Speaker 1: full further, that's all straight ahead on Bloomberg Daybreak Europe 15 00:00:52,560 --> 00:00:55,800 Speaker 1: on d A B Digital Radio, London, Bloomberg eleven three 16 00:00:55,800 --> 00:01:01,040 Speaker 1: oh New York, Bloomberg Washington, d C, Bloomberg one six one, Boston, 17 00:01:01,160 --> 00:01:05,400 Speaker 1: Bloomberg nine sixties, San Francisco, cyrus XM Channel one nineteen 18 00:01:05,640 --> 00:01:08,800 Speaker 1: and around the world on Bloomberg Radio, dot Com and 19 00:01:08,880 --> 00:01:15,480 Speaker 1: VA The Bloomberg Business Set. Good morning, I'm Stephen Carroll 20 00:01:15,600 --> 00:01:18,080 Speaker 1: and I'm Caroline Hike. Here all the stories that we're 21 00:01:18,120 --> 00:01:22,320 Speaker 1: following today. Credit Swiss has reported a bigger than expected 22 00:01:22,440 --> 00:01:25,959 Speaker 1: loss in the fourth quarter and even bigger outflows. The 23 00:01:26,000 --> 00:01:28,560 Speaker 1: bank's on net loss of almost one point four billion 24 00:01:28,640 --> 00:01:31,680 Speaker 1: Swiss francs over the period versus estimates of just over 25 00:01:31,760 --> 00:01:35,520 Speaker 1: one point one billion. Massive outflows reported two of a 26 00:01:35,600 --> 00:01:39,880 Speaker 1: hundred and ten point five billion Swiss francs over the 27 00:01:40,000 --> 00:01:42,680 Speaker 1: three months. Credit sweets also announcing that it's buying the 28 00:01:42,760 --> 00:01:45,640 Speaker 1: Klin Group for a hundred and seventy five million dollars. 29 00:01:45,880 --> 00:01:49,680 Speaker 1: Looking ahead, the Swiss Bank guiding for a substantial full 30 00:01:49,760 --> 00:01:53,240 Speaker 1: year loss and says it's investment bank and wealth management 31 00:01:53,320 --> 00:01:56,560 Speaker 1: unit will be loss making in the first quarter of 32 00:01:56,600 --> 00:02:01,600 Speaker 1: this year. Meanwhile, Disney shares too late trading after the 33 00:02:01,600 --> 00:02:04,440 Speaker 1: company unveiled a five and a half billion dollar cost 34 00:02:04,520 --> 00:02:08,880 Speaker 1: cutting program, which does include seven thousand job losses. C A. 35 00:02:08,960 --> 00:02:11,880 Speaker 1: Bob Iger made the announcement. He returned to lead the 36 00:02:11,960 --> 00:02:15,640 Speaker 1: entertainment giant in November after his successor was fired. Tiger 37 00:02:15,720 --> 00:02:19,560 Speaker 1: says the business now needs to tighten its belt. We 38 00:02:19,639 --> 00:02:22,679 Speaker 1: are going to take a really hard look at the 39 00:02:22,880 --> 00:02:28,880 Speaker 1: cost for everything that we make, both across television and film, 40 00:02:29,200 --> 00:02:33,000 Speaker 1: because things in a very competitive world have just simply 41 00:02:33,000 --> 00:02:37,880 Speaker 1: gotten more expensive. And that's something that is already underway 42 00:02:37,919 --> 00:02:41,800 Speaker 1: here Bob Iger there. He was speaking to investors after 43 00:02:41,840 --> 00:02:45,560 Speaker 1: Disney delivered a set of upbeating financial results. First quarter 44 00:02:45,560 --> 00:02:49,440 Speaker 1: of revenue beat expectations, growing eight percent. Traders are ramping 45 00:02:49,480 --> 00:02:51,919 Speaker 1: up bets of the Federal Reserve will now raise rates 46 00:02:51,960 --> 00:02:55,240 Speaker 1: to six percent. That's nearly a percentage point higher than 47 00:02:55,280 --> 00:02:58,440 Speaker 1: the current consensus and comes after last week's red hot 48 00:02:58,520 --> 00:03:02,040 Speaker 1: jobs data. Federal that of Governor Christopher Waller says further 49 00:03:02,160 --> 00:03:05,280 Speaker 1: tightening will be needed to bring inflation down to targets. 50 00:03:05,600 --> 00:03:07,960 Speaker 1: We have further to go, and it might be a 51 00:03:07,960 --> 00:03:11,640 Speaker 1: long fight with interest rates higher for longer than some 52 00:03:11,800 --> 00:03:14,840 Speaker 1: are currently expecting. But it will not hesitate to do 53 00:03:15,040 --> 00:03:18,000 Speaker 1: what is needed to get my job done. While it 54 00:03:18,080 --> 00:03:19,840 Speaker 1: isn't the only Fed official to talk about the need 55 00:03:19,919 --> 00:03:22,560 Speaker 1: for future rate rises in the past twenty four hours, 56 00:03:22,560 --> 00:03:25,919 Speaker 1: that Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neil cash Kari 57 00:03:26,360 --> 00:03:30,120 Speaker 1: also says more hikes will be needed to combat inflationary 58 00:03:30,160 --> 00:03:34,760 Speaker 1: wage growth. Now Microsoft's deal to buy Activision Blizzard is 59 00:03:34,800 --> 00:03:37,800 Speaker 1: being opposed by the UK's competition regulator, which says that 60 00:03:37,840 --> 00:03:41,440 Speaker 1: the sale could harm gamers blimbers you in pots reports. 61 00:03:41,640 --> 00:03:45,240 Speaker 1: The UK's Competition regulator says it has serious reservations over 62 00:03:45,360 --> 00:03:49,120 Speaker 1: microsoft sixty nine billion dollar takeover of video game company 63 00:03:49,200 --> 00:03:52,720 Speaker 1: Activision Blizzard. The Competition of Markets Authority says that one 64 00:03:52,720 --> 00:03:55,080 Speaker 1: way forward could be the sell off of the Blockbuster 65 00:03:55,200 --> 00:03:58,040 Speaker 1: Call of Duty franchise the same and throws into question 66 00:03:58,080 --> 00:04:00,520 Speaker 1: the viability of the whole deal, which is ready under 67 00:04:00,520 --> 00:04:04,960 Speaker 1: attack from US regulators. Yesterday, Activision shares slumped on the news, 68 00:04:05,000 --> 00:04:08,920 Speaker 1: putting them more than twenty percent below Microsoft's offer, suggesting 69 00:04:08,920 --> 00:04:11,600 Speaker 1: investors think it could now be game over for the deal. 70 00:04:12,040 --> 00:04:15,200 Speaker 1: In London, I'm Your Parts book Day Bret Europe. New 71 00:04:15,240 --> 00:04:18,440 Speaker 1: figures show the UK's housing market slipped further into hibernation 72 00:04:18,520 --> 00:04:22,160 Speaker 1: in January as buyers and sellers both stayed away. The 73 00:04:22,279 --> 00:04:25,520 Speaker 1: Royal Institution of Charted Surveyors says the lackluster activity led 74 00:04:25,560 --> 00:04:28,080 Speaker 1: to a further drop and property prices at the start 75 00:04:28,160 --> 00:04:30,880 Speaker 1: of the year. The findings add to evidence that prices 76 00:04:30,920 --> 00:04:33,520 Speaker 1: may be heading for the longest slump since the global 77 00:04:33,600 --> 00:04:37,880 Speaker 1: financial crisis in two thousand and eight, and Ukrainian President 78 00:04:38,000 --> 00:04:41,480 Speaker 1: Vladimir Zelenski is in Brussels today hoping to secure more 79 00:04:41,640 --> 00:04:45,320 Speaker 1: military aid in the fight against Russia's invasion. Zelenski will 80 00:04:45,360 --> 00:04:49,400 Speaker 1: address a meeting if European Union leaders. Yesterday, he received 81 00:04:49,480 --> 00:04:53,600 Speaker 1: a standing ovation in Westminster, where he appealed for fighter 82 00:04:53,720 --> 00:04:59,600 Speaker 1: jets and warned Putin that Ukraine won't be beaten, Russia 83 00:04:59,760 --> 00:05:05,400 Speaker 1: will loose, and we were really known the victory. The 84 00:05:05,640 --> 00:05:09,280 Speaker 1: victory will change the worlds and these will be a 85 00:05:09,440 --> 00:05:15,400 Speaker 1: change that the world has long needed. Speaking alongside Zelenski, 86 00:05:15,440 --> 00:05:17,960 Speaker 1: the Prime Minister she soon said that nothing is off 87 00:05:18,000 --> 00:05:21,159 Speaker 1: the table and that Britain had begun assessing if planes 88 00:05:21,279 --> 00:05:24,719 Speaker 1: could be sent to Ukraine. The UK, US and Germany 89 00:05:24,760 --> 00:05:28,839 Speaker 1: have all previously ruled out sending fighter jets to the country. 90 00:05:29,160 --> 00:05:32,120 Speaker 1: Those are our top stories this morning. Stephen Callen, I 91 00:05:32,160 --> 00:05:35,400 Speaker 1: mean that speech in Westminster Hall. I think everything about it, 92 00:05:35,560 --> 00:05:39,000 Speaker 1: both the way that Zelenski spoke, the setting itself, even 93 00:05:39,040 --> 00:05:41,280 Speaker 1: the way that the sunlight came into the room as 94 00:05:41,360 --> 00:05:44,200 Speaker 1: he was speaking. Such a moment, I think, and such 95 00:05:44,240 --> 00:05:49,640 Speaker 1: a poignant moment for not only of course, Zelenski himself, 96 00:05:49,680 --> 00:05:52,680 Speaker 1: only his second visit outside of Ukraine since the war started, 97 00:05:53,080 --> 00:05:55,760 Speaker 1: but also such a moment of reflection on the UK 98 00:05:56,000 --> 00:05:59,000 Speaker 1: support for Ukraine during this as well, really really beautifully 99 00:05:59,000 --> 00:06:02,000 Speaker 1: summed up by Bloomberg Opinions Tris Raphael and her piece 100 00:06:02,040 --> 00:06:04,880 Speaker 1: about it. Yeah. Absolutely, and this line shocked me. I 101 00:06:04,960 --> 00:06:07,200 Speaker 1: was listening to it in the car actually whilst I 102 00:06:07,279 --> 00:06:10,479 Speaker 1: was driving in Britain. The king is an air Force 103 00:06:10,560 --> 00:06:13,720 Speaker 1: pilot and in Ukraine today every air Force pilot is 104 00:06:13,760 --> 00:06:16,400 Speaker 1: a king. It is that kind of rhetoric I think 105 00:06:16,480 --> 00:06:20,480 Speaker 1: that has really struck such a tone in Britain. You 106 00:06:20,560 --> 00:06:22,800 Speaker 1: saw it with the MPs who were clapping almost the 107 00:06:22,839 --> 00:06:27,080 Speaker 1: whole way through the speech at Westminster. But it is 108 00:06:27,160 --> 00:06:30,599 Speaker 1: that appeal, that kind of understanding of the UK's history 109 00:06:30,680 --> 00:06:32,480 Speaker 1: and the things that the UK and the Ukraine has 110 00:06:32,480 --> 00:06:35,440 Speaker 1: in common. I think, yeah, it has made a big difference. 111 00:06:35,440 --> 00:06:38,080 Speaker 1: And look at a time more approaching that the first 112 00:06:38,240 --> 00:06:41,440 Speaker 1: year of this war and when there is talk and 113 00:06:41,520 --> 00:06:44,040 Speaker 1: worry about fatigue over whether or not you know, the 114 00:06:44,240 --> 00:06:46,479 Speaker 1: STASH community will continue to support Ukraine with the same 115 00:06:46,600 --> 00:06:52,800 Speaker 1: level of both military and also emotional support for I mean, 116 00:06:52,880 --> 00:06:55,440 Speaker 1: it was a moment and I think you know, a 117 00:06:55,480 --> 00:06:57,840 Speaker 1: moment of political rhetoric that will that will go down 118 00:06:57,920 --> 00:07:00,920 Speaker 1: in history for being being something that that remember about this. 119 00:07:01,040 --> 00:07:03,080 Speaker 1: Although having said that, there is a great debate now 120 00:07:03,200 --> 00:07:06,480 Speaker 1: because the main point of the Ukrainian present was that 121 00:07:06,560 --> 00:07:08,800 Speaker 1: he wanted fighter jets from Britain and other countries, and 122 00:07:08,920 --> 00:07:12,280 Speaker 1: that is still a very difficult topic, you know. The 123 00:07:12,600 --> 00:07:16,040 Speaker 1: potential for that, you know, leading to escalation is still 124 00:07:16,120 --> 00:07:20,280 Speaker 1: being debated here in the UK. But that is one 125 00:07:20,280 --> 00:07:23,080 Speaker 1: of the things that we were watching of course yesterday. 126 00:07:23,440 --> 00:07:26,600 Speaker 1: Coming up though next, business leaders are calling for tax 127 00:07:26,680 --> 00:07:30,320 Speaker 1: breaks from government. Twitter, we're on Doubt of characters and 128 00:07:30,480 --> 00:07:33,640 Speaker 1: Boris Johnson has made five million pounds in the last 129 00:07:33,760 --> 00:07:39,360 Speaker 1: five months. Now. The paper review on blue Bird day 130 00:07:39,400 --> 00:07:42,560 Speaker 1: Break Europe. The news you need to know from today's papers. 131 00:07:45,080 --> 00:07:47,280 Speaker 1: Leanne Garin's has been looking at the details of those 132 00:07:47,360 --> 00:07:50,240 Speaker 1: stories for us. Good morning to you, Leanne. Let's start 133 00:07:50,320 --> 00:07:53,720 Speaker 1: with the Times. The headline reads, bosses call on Chancellor 134 00:07:53,800 --> 00:07:56,800 Speaker 1: Hunt for more tax breaks to avoid recessions. Stephen, good 135 00:07:56,880 --> 00:07:59,680 Speaker 1: morning to you. Yes, indeed so. Jeremy Hunter is now 136 00:08:00,040 --> 00:08:03,080 Speaker 1: the pressure from the business a lobby group the cb 137 00:08:03,280 --> 00:08:06,840 Speaker 1: I to announce tax breaks for businesses during his spring 138 00:08:07,080 --> 00:08:10,000 Speaker 1: budget and they said this is a last chance to 139 00:08:10,120 --> 00:08:14,400 Speaker 1: help the economy avoid recession this year. The Chancellor is 140 00:08:14,440 --> 00:08:17,240 Speaker 1: going to present his budget on the fifteenth of March, 141 00:08:17,640 --> 00:08:20,880 Speaker 1: and according to the Times, the Confederation of British Industry 142 00:08:21,240 --> 00:08:24,240 Speaker 1: has also called on the government to provide better funding 143 00:08:24,360 --> 00:08:28,400 Speaker 1: for childcare and to increase green investment. Now they've really 144 00:08:28,480 --> 00:08:31,960 Speaker 1: focused on this. This is to ensure the UK doesn't 145 00:08:32,080 --> 00:08:35,599 Speaker 1: fall behind other G seven countries when it comes to 146 00:08:35,720 --> 00:08:39,640 Speaker 1: green investment. Corporate tax is also going to go up 147 00:08:39,679 --> 00:08:43,600 Speaker 1: to twenty six percent from April. This is a reversal 148 00:08:43,800 --> 00:08:47,640 Speaker 1: of quasi qua teen's attempt Caroline and Stephen if you 149 00:08:47,760 --> 00:08:51,920 Speaker 1: remember last year, to cut the rate to nine. Now 150 00:08:52,080 --> 00:08:55,520 Speaker 1: Tony Danger he's the director general of the c b I. 151 00:08:55,960 --> 00:08:59,640 Speaker 1: According to the paper, he initially welcomed Quarteg's mini budget 152 00:08:59,760 --> 00:09:04,439 Speaker 1: last September, calling the forty billion pound blitz of tax 153 00:09:04,559 --> 00:09:08,040 Speaker 1: cuts a turning point for the economy. I was really 154 00:09:08,080 --> 00:09:10,360 Speaker 1: struck by that actually when the c b I, you know, 155 00:09:10,520 --> 00:09:13,599 Speaker 1: as we are Bloomberg were watching then the unraveling of 156 00:09:13,760 --> 00:09:16,880 Speaker 1: the pound, of the pension market and so on, to 157 00:09:17,080 --> 00:09:20,040 Speaker 1: know that the actually the cb I had been um 158 00:09:20,760 --> 00:09:24,079 Speaker 1: I mean they were reasonably supportive. I would say, actually 159 00:09:24,080 --> 00:09:26,839 Speaker 1: if the government's plan for growth, at least that was 160 00:09:26,920 --> 00:09:29,199 Speaker 1: their focus. But look, it's not just the c B. 161 00:09:29,360 --> 00:09:32,160 Speaker 1: I also because the FT is reporting on that story, 162 00:09:32,600 --> 00:09:35,880 Speaker 1: the io D make UK. They also want the government 163 00:09:36,040 --> 00:09:38,680 Speaker 1: to do more on taxes, especially around the super deduction, 164 00:09:38,720 --> 00:09:41,040 Speaker 1: which is um that the tax break that you get 165 00:09:41,160 --> 00:09:43,760 Speaker 1: for buying equipment basically for a business that's set to 166 00:09:43,840 --> 00:09:46,920 Speaker 1: expire in March. And they're saying no, that's obviously one 167 00:09:46,960 --> 00:09:49,840 Speaker 1: area that the government could do something about. Yes, indeed, 168 00:09:49,920 --> 00:09:53,199 Speaker 1: and Caroline, as you say, the FT also reporting on this, 169 00:09:53,840 --> 00:09:57,000 Speaker 1: and these calls come as Bloomberg did report on the 170 00:09:57,120 --> 00:10:00,680 Speaker 1: losses of UK purchasing power the big US lost since 171 00:10:00,880 --> 00:10:05,320 Speaker 1: the nine seventies. So lots of different threads to the story, 172 00:10:05,720 --> 00:10:08,400 Speaker 1: but there is really a call from the business lobby 173 00:10:08,520 --> 00:10:12,560 Speaker 1: group to help the economy avoid recession. And we've seen 174 00:10:12,679 --> 00:10:15,480 Speaker 1: a lot of calls ahead of the spring budget to 175 00:10:15,600 --> 00:10:18,000 Speaker 1: make things a little bit easier as we do face 176 00:10:18,080 --> 00:10:20,800 Speaker 1: this cost of living crisis here in the UK. We've 177 00:10:20,840 --> 00:10:24,719 Speaker 1: got rising energy bills as well as food inflation. And 178 00:10:24,880 --> 00:10:28,439 Speaker 1: also we'll see that spring budget come through and I 179 00:10:28,559 --> 00:10:31,640 Speaker 1: wonder if there's going to be any little golden nuggets 180 00:10:31,679 --> 00:10:34,840 Speaker 1: in it. Okay, let's serench. The Guardian nextly on Twitter 181 00:10:34,960 --> 00:10:37,959 Speaker 1: says that users temporarily unable to post in the latest 182 00:10:38,040 --> 00:10:42,880 Speaker 1: outward since Mosque take over idle thumbs everywhere. Yes, indeed, Stephen, 183 00:10:42,960 --> 00:10:45,680 Speaker 1: So if you wanted to tweet last night from around 184 00:10:46,120 --> 00:10:50,200 Speaker 1: ten pm GMT, well you may have been informed by 185 00:10:50,280 --> 00:10:53,560 Speaker 1: the platform that you would hit your daily limit, even 186 00:10:53,600 --> 00:10:56,480 Speaker 1: if you hadn't tweeted all day. So, according to the Guardian, 187 00:10:56,520 --> 00:10:59,959 Speaker 1: the outage, which lasted about an hour, is the lay 188 00:11:00,120 --> 00:11:03,479 Speaker 1: just hit to the social media platform since the billionaire 189 00:11:03,559 --> 00:11:07,760 Speaker 1: Elon Musk did take over the company. Now the US 190 00:11:07,840 --> 00:11:11,800 Speaker 1: tech publication the Information is reporting must hold Twitter staff 191 00:11:11,880 --> 00:11:16,000 Speaker 1: to pause this new feature development, and this is to 192 00:11:16,200 --> 00:11:20,840 Speaker 1: maximize stability on the platform amid that outage. So they 193 00:11:20,920 --> 00:11:23,439 Speaker 1: were in a development phase at the moment when this 194 00:11:23,600 --> 00:11:27,520 Speaker 1: all did happen. Now, if you have the Twitter blue tick, 195 00:11:27,840 --> 00:11:29,600 Speaker 1: I don't have one. I don't know if Stephen has 196 00:11:29,640 --> 00:11:35,160 Speaker 1: one or Caroline hass Yes, the people who pay for them. 197 00:11:35,840 --> 00:11:39,079 Speaker 1: Apparently they were trying to develop a way that you 198 00:11:39,160 --> 00:11:45,920 Speaker 1: could put four thousand characters in your tweets. Is the 199 00:11:46,000 --> 00:11:52,840 Speaker 1: whole point of Twitter's I'm a little bit with Caroline 200 00:11:52,880 --> 00:11:54,760 Speaker 1: on this because I like Twitter because it's normally just 201 00:11:54,920 --> 00:11:59,440 Speaker 1: quite sure, it's more than a long newspaper article. Anyway, 202 00:11:59,640 --> 00:12:01,679 Speaker 1: I'll the and then I'll have to definitely check my 203 00:12:01,760 --> 00:12:05,040 Speaker 1: spelling of four thousand characters, which is pretty stressful. That's 204 00:12:05,360 --> 00:12:07,959 Speaker 1: that's an essay, frankly. Yes, indeed, okay, let's add the 205 00:12:08,120 --> 00:12:12,600 Speaker 1: daily limit on our tweets is currently set at two thousand. Yes, 206 00:12:12,640 --> 00:12:15,880 Speaker 1: you've got characters. Okay, let's let's go to the finantal times. Then, 207 00:12:15,880 --> 00:12:19,360 Speaker 1: Boris Johnson earned nearly five million pounds leaving office. Well, 208 00:12:19,440 --> 00:12:21,600 Speaker 1: to make this clear, it was just shy of five 209 00:12:21,679 --> 00:12:24,160 Speaker 1: million pounds. He has declared an income of four point 210 00:12:24,240 --> 00:12:27,199 Speaker 1: eight million pounds, so according to the FT, this is 211 00:12:27,360 --> 00:12:31,480 Speaker 1: fifty times this salary of eighty four thousand, one hundred 212 00:12:31,480 --> 00:12:33,880 Speaker 1: and forty four pounds he does earn as a back 213 00:12:34,080 --> 00:12:37,400 Speaker 1: bench MP. So I hear you all asking me how 214 00:12:37,480 --> 00:12:39,920 Speaker 1: has he made all this money? According to the FT, 215 00:12:40,120 --> 00:12:43,200 Speaker 1: Boris Johnson did declare an advanced payment of two point 216 00:12:43,320 --> 00:12:47,599 Speaker 1: five million pounds from New York's Harry Walker Agency for 217 00:12:47,679 --> 00:12:53,040 Speaker 1: a number of future speaking arrangements. Also HarperCollins has paid 218 00:12:53,120 --> 00:12:57,080 Speaker 1: him a huge amount of five hundred and ten thousand pounds. Now, 219 00:12:57,160 --> 00:13:00,360 Speaker 1: this is an advance for his memoir. We know that 220 00:13:00,440 --> 00:13:03,360 Speaker 1: he's going to be releasing that about his three years 221 00:13:03,440 --> 00:13:08,320 Speaker 1: in office during the pandemic and during Brexit. He's also 222 00:13:08,440 --> 00:13:14,040 Speaker 1: made a phenomenal amount of money and that's due to speeches. Yes, okay, 223 00:13:14,160 --> 00:13:15,800 Speaker 1: I think that's very interesting. There was a big guessing 224 00:13:15,880 --> 00:13:18,320 Speaker 1: game about how much the Prime Minister's memoir was going 225 00:13:18,440 --> 00:13:20,839 Speaker 1: to fetch, so I'm quite curious that it was a 226 00:13:20,880 --> 00:13:24,440 Speaker 1: half a million advance. Interesting. Okay, let's get more details 227 00:13:24,440 --> 00:13:26,480 Speaker 1: on the earnings from Credit sweee Now. Remember exacitor at 228 00:13:26,520 --> 00:13:29,840 Speaker 1: large Francy Lackward joins us from Zurich. Good morning to you, Francine. 229 00:13:30,080 --> 00:13:32,520 Speaker 1: Now in advance of today, these results have been called 230 00:13:32,559 --> 00:13:34,880 Speaker 1: the most important in Credit Sweezes a hundred and sixty 231 00:13:34,920 --> 00:13:37,599 Speaker 1: seven year history. There's lots of big numbers in this 232 00:13:37,920 --> 00:13:41,559 Speaker 1: at what stood out for you? So, first of all, 233 00:13:41,600 --> 00:13:43,719 Speaker 1: you're writing you, but I do feel like every time 234 00:13:43,800 --> 00:13:46,200 Speaker 1: they have earnings, because this bank has gone really from 235 00:13:46,240 --> 00:13:49,319 Speaker 1: crisis to crisis and we worry about whether they will 236 00:13:49,360 --> 00:13:51,800 Speaker 1: ever be profitable, that it is always like these are 237 00:13:51,920 --> 00:13:54,760 Speaker 1: the make or break earnings. Now partly it's true. At 238 00:13:54,840 --> 00:13:56,959 Speaker 1: the same time, the chief executive did put out of 239 00:13:57,040 --> 00:13:59,600 Speaker 1: three year plans, so maybe some investors will give him 240 00:13:59,640 --> 00:14:01,640 Speaker 1: a bit more time to try and get this house 241 00:14:01,679 --> 00:14:04,319 Speaker 1: in order. I would focus on three things today. First 242 00:14:04,360 --> 00:14:07,200 Speaker 1: of all, the widely telegraphed the fact that they would 243 00:14:07,200 --> 00:14:10,559 Speaker 1: buy this advisory boutique for Michael Klein. I've been following 244 00:14:11,080 --> 00:14:14,280 Speaker 1: him for years. He's an extraordinary banker. He was the 245 00:14:14,400 --> 00:14:17,040 Speaker 1: rainmaker at City Group and they're now giving him part 246 00:14:17,080 --> 00:14:19,440 Speaker 1: of this advisory firm. So they're buying the boutique, giving 247 00:14:19,480 --> 00:14:22,120 Speaker 1: him the advisory firm, and that was for seventy five 248 00:14:22,760 --> 00:14:25,400 Speaker 1: million pounds. They were quite secretive about how many people 249 00:14:25,440 --> 00:14:27,800 Speaker 1: he's bringing with him, but we think that they're about 250 00:14:27,840 --> 00:14:29,800 Speaker 1: forty people with him, so they get about four million 251 00:14:29,920 --> 00:14:33,840 Speaker 1: each um. There have been concerns about, you know, conflicts 252 00:14:33,840 --> 00:14:37,520 Speaker 1: of interest, which the chief executive has flatly denied. That's 253 00:14:37,560 --> 00:14:40,480 Speaker 1: one thing. We also have outflows. I think management I 254 00:14:40,520 --> 00:14:43,560 Speaker 1: pretty sweets were possibly hoping that the outflows would have 255 00:14:43,640 --> 00:14:47,200 Speaker 1: stopped for now. Uh, the number of clients has not diminished, 256 00:14:47,240 --> 00:14:49,240 Speaker 1: but people are not ready to put extra money in 257 00:14:49,560 --> 00:14:52,040 Speaker 1: and then the third one. I think, look, if you 258 00:14:52,120 --> 00:14:54,600 Speaker 1: look at that, you know, wider than expected loss at 259 00:14:54,640 --> 00:14:58,560 Speaker 1: one point three nine billion francs. Again, that's a disappointment. 260 00:14:58,600 --> 00:14:59,960 Speaker 1: So it depends on what they do in the next 261 00:15:00,080 --> 00:15:03,520 Speaker 1: three months to make sure that they retain talent. Yeah. Absolutely, 262 00:15:03,640 --> 00:15:05,640 Speaker 1: I mean, what did we learn about the kind of 263 00:15:05,720 --> 00:15:07,800 Speaker 1: restructuring and all of this, and how it's kind of 264 00:15:07,840 --> 00:15:10,440 Speaker 1: progressing As you say that that figure of the record 265 00:15:10,520 --> 00:15:13,760 Speaker 1: outflows is quite an almost hundred and ten and a 266 00:15:13,840 --> 00:15:18,600 Speaker 1: half billion Swiss franks in just that quarter. I think 267 00:15:18,600 --> 00:15:21,200 Speaker 1: it's going kind I think it's going okay. I don't think, 268 00:15:21,600 --> 00:15:25,200 Speaker 1: you know, they can cry victory yet and they're not 269 00:15:25,520 --> 00:15:28,840 Speaker 1: good results. So I think it depends a lot on 270 00:15:29,160 --> 00:15:32,600 Speaker 1: how much time investors will give them to restructure. So 271 00:15:32,880 --> 00:15:35,480 Speaker 1: the firm did say they already completed, you know, the 272 00:15:35,560 --> 00:15:38,800 Speaker 1: first closing of the Apollo SPG transaction. Now this is 273 00:15:38,880 --> 00:15:41,360 Speaker 1: something that we had talked in the past, so that okay, 274 00:15:41,440 --> 00:15:43,880 Speaker 1: they've done, we can move on if you'll get earnings. 275 00:15:43,960 --> 00:15:46,520 Speaker 1: There was a revenue decline in the investment bank during 276 00:15:46,560 --> 00:15:49,160 Speaker 1: the fourth quarter that was much worse than expected. So 277 00:15:49,240 --> 00:15:51,520 Speaker 1: if you look at the turnaround, were what four months 278 00:15:51,600 --> 00:15:54,160 Speaker 1: in Remember in October we were talking about whether this 279 00:15:54,240 --> 00:15:56,720 Speaker 1: bank could even survive because of all the rumors out there. 280 00:15:57,280 --> 00:16:00,840 Speaker 1: So they're not doing great, but they're not doing terribly either. 281 00:16:00,920 --> 00:16:03,720 Speaker 1: I'll be interested to see how the share price opens 282 00:16:04,400 --> 00:16:07,000 Speaker 1: when the markets open. I think it's a little bit 283 00:16:07,000 --> 00:16:09,560 Speaker 1: of a wait and see. Actually, I think they you know, 284 00:16:09,640 --> 00:16:11,800 Speaker 1: there weren't any big surprises in the earnings. A lot 285 00:16:11,880 --> 00:16:15,520 Speaker 1: of this was telegraphed. Unclear whether they can retain talent, 286 00:16:15,640 --> 00:16:17,240 Speaker 1: but I think there is belief at the top of 287 00:16:17,320 --> 00:16:20,480 Speaker 1: the bank that will be able to pay bonuses to 288 00:16:20,880 --> 00:16:23,200 Speaker 1: the people that do, you know, do the good job. 289 00:16:23,320 --> 00:16:25,000 Speaker 1: But the outlook does not look good. You know, let's 290 00:16:25,000 --> 00:16:27,760 Speaker 1: not mince our words. They're guiding for a substantial for 291 00:16:27,880 --> 00:16:30,880 Speaker 1: your loss. And so longer term, what happens to this 292 00:16:30,960 --> 00:16:32,960 Speaker 1: bank maybe in two thousand and four and two thousand 293 00:16:32,960 --> 00:16:35,920 Speaker 1: and five one, can they actually be reliably profitable? I 294 00:16:35,920 --> 00:16:39,440 Speaker 1: think it's a key question. 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