WEBVTT - Best Bets for NFL Week 10 | Top Picks and Predictions (Ep. 582) 0:00:01.160 --> 0:00:05.120 All right, and welcome into BP NFL. We sit on 0:00:05.160 --> 0:00:08.080 the precipice of week ten of the NFL season, which 0:00:08.119 --> 0:00:09.719 means it's time to give you our best bets. 0:00:09.800 --> 0:00:11.800 I'm your Hosteth Wilcock, sitting. 0:00:11.520 --> 0:00:15.000 In for Joey p that unfortunately needs no Italian references 0:00:15.040 --> 0:00:17.480 on today's show, but we do have a full cast 0:00:17.480 --> 0:00:19.479 with some pretty sick heads that led us as well. 0:00:19.720 --> 0:00:22.800 I'm joined by the Undertaker Andrew Rickson, who I met 0:00:22.800 --> 0:00:24.640 this summer in person for the first time, and I 0:00:24.680 --> 0:00:26.479 gotta say the dude's more jack. 0:00:26.360 --> 0:00:28.080 Than you would think. What's uf Ericson? 0:00:28.160 --> 0:00:30.840 Thanks for taking time out of crushing creatine and lifting 0:00:30.840 --> 0:00:31.640 to join us today. 0:00:31.960 --> 0:00:32.840 Oh what an intro. 0:00:32.920 --> 0:00:35.280 I can go grab some reganow if we need get 0:00:35.280 --> 0:00:38.000 The Italian juice is following, but Seth happy to have 0:00:38.040 --> 0:00:38.600 you on here. 0:00:39.000 --> 0:00:40.159 Excited to break down Week ten. 0:00:40.200 --> 0:00:41.680 It's gonna be fun awesome. 0:00:41.720 --> 0:00:43.720 I'm also joined by a man who will be making 0:00:43.720 --> 0:00:46.760 breakfast early Sunday morning as he takes in his giants 0:00:46.840 --> 0:00:49.320 overseas in Germany, Treel Furman Junior. 0:00:49.440 --> 0:00:52.560 What's good, boss, oh Man? I mean the Italian references. 0:00:52.800 --> 0:00:55.680 I'm glad they're getting rid of Italians, like the Giants 0:00:55.720 --> 0:00:58.040 have gotten rid of Tommy Debido and they just said 0:00:58.080 --> 0:01:00.400 Daniel Jones is going to be the guy. And so 0:01:01.080 --> 0:01:05.600 this show and Giants two organizations that do hate Italians 0:01:05.760 --> 0:01:08.160 and not giving them the love that they need this 0:01:08.240 --> 0:01:12.320 week because Tommy DeVito probably should be starting over Daniel Jones. 0:01:12.400 --> 0:01:15.800 Drew Locke should be starting over, honestly, Anthony Richardson should 0:01:15.840 --> 0:01:18.440 be starting over Daniel Jones. Bryce Young should be starting 0:01:18.440 --> 0:01:21.759 over Daniel Jones. Everybody should be starting over Daniel Jones. 0:01:22.280 --> 0:01:24.200 Maybe you should be starting over Daniel Jones as well. 0:01:24.200 --> 0:01:26.720 I'll bet you will win a game. We would have 0:01:26.760 --> 0:01:27.959 bet the Commanders if I started. 0:01:28.640 --> 0:01:31.039 The outline for today's program looks like this. We'll get 0:01:31.040 --> 0:01:34.080 to the Gentleman's top ats and Total Picks. Will also 0:01:34.160 --> 0:01:36.960 give you my Upset special and Parlay of the Week. 0:01:37.000 --> 0:01:39.280 It's gonna be glorious. Thanks for everyone tuning in. The 0:01:39.280 --> 0:01:41.560 easiest way of support US is like this video. If 0:01:41.600 --> 0:01:44.000 you enjoy this type of content, also subscribe to the 0:01:44.040 --> 0:01:47.080 Bank Pros YouTube channel or wherever you get your podcasts. 0:01:47.240 --> 0:01:50.880 Also download the Bank Pros app for iOS or Android. 0:01:51.000 --> 0:01:54.120 With the sportsbook Sync, you can automatically track your bets 0:01:54.120 --> 0:01:57.520 across all major sports books in one place. Easily monitor 0:01:57.560 --> 0:02:01.480 your bet performances by sport and bet type, including game picks, props, 0:02:01.480 --> 0:02:04.920 and parlays. Great custom betting systems to find winning trends 0:02:04.960 --> 0:02:07.920 and profitable opportunities. Get a free trial of the Betting 0:02:07.960 --> 0:02:11.200 Pros Premium by downloading the app and activating your trial 0:02:11.440 --> 0:02:14.160 on the upgrade screen. All right, and let's go ahead 0:02:14.200 --> 0:02:16.400 and jump into the picks. Tarl, I want to start 0:02:16.440 --> 0:02:18.840 with you. You're expecting maybe a bounce back from the 0:02:18.880 --> 0:02:20.840 Saints after Dennis Allen is out. 0:02:21.400 --> 0:02:25.560 Okay, I'll admit I would love to stray together multiple 0:02:25.760 --> 0:02:28.840 really good weeks. And last week the Saints pick was, 0:02:29.400 --> 0:02:33.400 in hindsight, not a good pick in hindsight, all the 0:02:33.400 --> 0:02:38.640 favorites one except the Saints. Nonetheless, Dennis Allen got canned. 0:02:38.840 --> 0:02:41.639 And I mean, this is the ultimate get up spot. 0:02:41.880 --> 0:02:44.360 You got the head coach that has gone, You're bringing 0:02:44.360 --> 0:02:48.640 in somebody new. And also I was listening to a 0:02:48.680 --> 0:02:51.560 podcast and one of the offensive linemen I forgot his name, 0:02:51.639 --> 0:02:54.560 but last year for the New Orleans Saints talking about 0:02:54.560 --> 0:02:57.320 how Dennis Allen lost the locker room last year when 0:02:57.320 --> 0:03:01.120 they played guess who the Atlanta foulks. And they were 0:03:01.200 --> 0:03:04.080 killing them and they wanted to get Jamal Williams his 0:03:04.160 --> 0:03:07.480 first touchdown of the season, and they did, and Dennis 0:03:07.520 --> 0:03:10.200 Allen did not have their back. He started copping please. 0:03:10.280 --> 0:03:14.000 He started telling Arthur Smith that he by in the way. 0:03:14.240 --> 0:03:16.840 Arthur Smith a coach that got fired, a coach that 0:03:16.880 --> 0:03:18.640 got fired. He was trying to go over there and 0:03:18.720 --> 0:03:20.280 be like, hey man, hey man, I'm sorry about that. 0:03:20.280 --> 0:03:22.240 I really do mean to faure all that. No, he 0:03:22.280 --> 0:03:24.120 lost the locker room. The locker room is then lost 0:03:24.160 --> 0:03:26.079 all season. If I told you to bet the Saints 0:03:26.080 --> 0:03:28.000 before this, I am sorry, but I'm telling you right 0:03:28.040 --> 0:03:30.280 now plus three and a half, the game after Dennis 0:03:30.280 --> 0:03:32.360 Smith against this Falcons team that I've been telling you 0:03:32.440 --> 0:03:35.160 all year is not legit, that they are not legit. 0:03:35.520 --> 0:03:37.400 They're one hundred percent getting up for this game. I 0:03:37.400 --> 0:03:39.240 think that they're gonna be able to tack the secondary. 0:03:39.240 --> 0:03:41.800 Derek Carr will look competent, and they're gonna be able 0:03:41.800 --> 0:03:45.080 to run the football on this Falcons front. But the 0:03:45.080 --> 0:03:47.720 biggest thing is that matchup with the secondary, because the 0:03:47.720 --> 0:03:50.560 Falcons have zero pass rush. I think the Saints defense 0:03:50.600 --> 0:03:54.080 still can get to Kirk Cousins and rattle Kirk Cousins here. 0:03:54.160 --> 0:03:56.360 But there's nobody on the Falcons side of the ball 0:03:56.400 --> 0:03:59.640 that's really gonna give a consistent threat to this Saints 0:03:59.720 --> 0:04:01.760 team in terms of a pass rush. They haven't done 0:04:01.760 --> 0:04:04.080 it all season. So I like the Saints. I think 0:04:04.120 --> 0:04:05.880 they easily covered at three and a half. I think 0:04:05.880 --> 0:04:07.960 the money line is a play as well. I think 0:04:08.000 --> 0:04:09.880 this is the game after the game, and they get 0:04:09.920 --> 0:04:12.280 it done with the with the new head coach against 0:04:12.280 --> 0:04:13.160 the Atlanta Falcons. 0:04:13.680 --> 0:04:14.520 I like the call. 0:04:14.960 --> 0:04:17.680 I think it's definitely a little bit ballsy, but I 0:04:17.800 --> 0:04:20.880 like the confidence. And man, what about this Falcons pass rush? 0:04:20.920 --> 0:04:24.760 They've invested so many first round picks and offseason capital 0:04:24.760 --> 0:04:26.320 into it, and it feels like they can just never 0:04:26.400 --> 0:04:29.320 get to the quarterback. And if there's anyone motivated ericson, 0:04:29.640 --> 0:04:32.000 it's gotta be Derek Carr after getting just destroyed on 0:04:32.000 --> 0:04:33.880 Twitter by Michael Thomas last week. 0:04:34.000 --> 0:04:38.039 Means the classic dead cat bounce right, head coach gets fired. 0:04:38.080 --> 0:04:40.880 What happens next week? The team covers. They don't always win, 0:04:41.000 --> 0:04:42.880 but it seems like they always seem to cover jets. 0:04:43.040 --> 0:04:45.760 Happened this year first head coach got fired. Next week 0:04:45.839 --> 0:04:48.719 Jets cover. So again these trends, like the the Honolulu 0:04:48.720 --> 0:04:51.760 Flu teams that played the Lions, you gotta fain him 0:04:51.800 --> 0:04:54.000 to oblivion. Yep, same thing with back of these coaches. 0:04:54.040 --> 0:04:57.200 So Furman, Yeah, I like the call on the Saints. 0:04:57.200 --> 0:05:00.440 Ericson You're going overseas with your first pick U the week? 0:05:00.440 --> 0:05:00.920 What is it? 0:05:01.160 --> 0:05:01.400 Yeah? 0:05:01.440 --> 0:05:04.640 So the Giants taken on the Carolina Panthers in Munich, Germany, 0:05:04.839 --> 0:05:06.560 and I'm going to bet the under in the game 0:05:06.600 --> 0:05:09.800 at forty one and a half points. International games, the 0:05:09.839 --> 0:05:12.280 trends are clear. You bet the unders in the game, 0:05:12.279 --> 0:05:14.040 and you bet on the favorites. I don't want to 0:05:14.040 --> 0:05:17.159 bet on the Giants as basically now up to touchdown favorites, 0:05:17.200 --> 0:05:19.400 So I'm just gonna do an off for the under 0:05:19.480 --> 0:05:21.360 in the game total. You look at seven of the 0:05:21.400 --> 0:05:24.320 giants last ten games have gone under the points line, 0:05:24.360 --> 0:05:26.200 and you look at these two teams. They're coming off 0:05:26.240 --> 0:05:30.400 of impromptu two overs for both the New York Giants 0:05:30.440 --> 0:05:33.240 in Carolina Panthers come up games where there were points scored. 0:05:33.920 --> 0:05:36.359 I as much as I love for Germany to get 0:05:36.480 --> 0:05:39.599 an excellent game, you know, high flying offenses across the 0:05:39.600 --> 0:05:43.360 board point blank. This is Daniel Jones versus Bryce Young. 0:05:43.560 --> 0:05:46.080 If you just blindly bet that in the under, I 0:05:46.120 --> 0:05:47.560 think that you're going to come out in the green 0:05:47.600 --> 0:05:48.320 more often than not. 0:05:48.800 --> 0:05:50.120 So I like the under here. 0:05:50.160 --> 0:05:52.440 The Giants still have a decent red zone defense, top 0:05:52.440 --> 0:05:54.599 five red zone defense, and I think that both teams 0:05:54.680 --> 0:05:58.640 want established to run. Last week we saw the New 0:05:58.720 --> 0:06:01.400 York Giants establish they did not want to throw the 0:06:01.400 --> 0:06:03.880 ball whatsoever. I think that their pass right over expectation 0:06:03.960 --> 0:06:06.040 was mine six percent. After we watch that game in 0:06:06.040 --> 0:06:08.240 the first half, I looked up, have they thrown a 0:06:08.279 --> 0:06:12.440 pass yet? I was baffled because it was either Daniel 0:06:12.480 --> 0:06:15.679 Jones scrambling, Tyrone Tracy runs, Devin Singletary runs. The Carolina 0:06:15.720 --> 0:06:18.440 Panthers have the NFL's worst run defense. Brian Davell knows 0:06:18.440 --> 0:06:20.680 what he has to do offensively, and it's just pound 0:06:20.760 --> 0:06:22.920 the rock. So I don't think that's conducive to a 0:06:22.920 --> 0:06:25.480 lot of points necessarily, So for me, it's gonna be 0:06:25.520 --> 0:06:27.679 an under. I'm gonna fllow the trends in International Series 0:06:27.720 --> 0:06:31.200 six in one the last seven games overseas towards the under. 0:06:31.640 --> 0:06:31.880 Yeah. 0:06:31.920 --> 0:06:34.080 I love how The one game that went over was 0:06:34.120 --> 0:06:36.320 that Jaguars Bears game, and of course I was on 0:06:36.360 --> 0:06:38.839 the under of that one. So maybe I'll tell you here, 0:06:39.120 --> 0:06:41.039 maybe I'll get back in the winning side of the 0:06:41.040 --> 0:06:44.799 international games. Let's go to Terrell with his second pick. Trell, 0:06:44.880 --> 0:06:46.920 you're once again back in bo Nicks here. 0:06:47.120 --> 0:06:50.200 Oh, let's come on now. I mean, first of all, 0:06:50.520 --> 0:06:55.240 last week I apologize, and despite watching it again, last 0:06:55.240 --> 0:06:57.320 week was and you know what, last week wasn't horrible 0:06:57.360 --> 0:06:58.159 like it was two to three. 0:06:58.200 --> 0:07:01.400 It was Furman. The process was right, yes, stop. 0:07:01.279 --> 0:07:04.240 And not even the process was right. But watching the game, 0:07:04.400 --> 0:07:07.320 they fell short on a first on a fourth down 0:07:07.320 --> 0:07:09.520 when they ran a freaking end around instead of going, 0:07:09.840 --> 0:07:11.840 you know, bo Nick, straight up the middle and go 0:07:11.880 --> 0:07:14.920 get the first down. It was so many questionable decisions 0:07:14.960 --> 0:07:17.560 around the goal line. I even thought the Philly Special 0:07:17.600 --> 0:07:19.680 was questionable. It worked out, but I thought it was questionable. 0:07:19.680 --> 0:07:21.480 I don't know why you don't just go back to 0:07:21.560 --> 0:07:24.040 Courtland Sutton there and just let Courtland Sutton. But I 0:07:24.040 --> 0:07:26.960 guess Courtland Sutton did technically get a touchdown. Nonetheless, that 0:07:27.040 --> 0:07:30.600 game got ugly, really really fast. However, that means that 0:07:30.640 --> 0:07:34.640 the Broncos are closed your Eyes special here ericson and 0:07:34.760 --> 0:07:36.880 guess what close your eye special has been profitable when 0:07:36.920 --> 0:07:39.280 it's not the Carolina Panthers. So we can we can 0:07:39.320 --> 0:07:41.200 look at it this week and so we got a 0:07:41.240 --> 0:07:43.360 close your Eye special against Kansas City Chiefs. We also 0:07:43.360 --> 0:07:45.600 have a Kansas City Chiefs team that only cares about 0:07:45.600 --> 0:07:47.520 winning the game and doesn't care about covering the spread. 0:07:47.560 --> 0:07:50.120 This season, when they have been laying more than a touchdown, 0:07:50.320 --> 0:07:53.440 they are actually three and one against the spread. They 0:07:53.440 --> 0:07:56.000 have not covered a single game, not one. I think 0:07:56.000 --> 0:07:59.480 that this Broncos defense in a in a division game 0:07:59.600 --> 0:08:01.600 is going to get up for this team. They are 0:08:01.640 --> 0:08:04.880 going to hold Kansas City defensively, just not to a 0:08:04.960 --> 0:08:07.200 high point total. And we know how the Kansas City 0:08:07.320 --> 0:08:09.880 defense gets down. They rush the quarterback, they're able to 0:08:09.880 --> 0:08:12.040 get to the passer, and then they have a very 0:08:12.080 --> 0:08:15.400 strong secondary that I think is gonna rattle bow Knicks 0:08:15.400 --> 0:08:17.240 a little bit. So I don't think that there's gonna 0:08:17.240 --> 0:08:18.640 be a lot of points, but I don't think that 0:08:18.720 --> 0:08:20.480 Kansas City Chiefs are gonna be able to run away 0:08:20.480 --> 0:08:22.720 with this as well. I think that bo Nicks is 0:08:22.720 --> 0:08:24.560 gonna be able to do enough. Sean Payton has hitched 0:08:24.560 --> 0:08:26.800 his horse to bon Nicks and he said, we're gonna 0:08:26.840 --> 0:08:29.280 make sure that bon Knicks doesn't look horrible. Well, guess 0:08:29.320 --> 0:08:31.120 what he looked horrible last week. I think they have 0:08:31.200 --> 0:08:33.920 a bounce back week this week. Again, Kansas City Chiefs 0:08:33.960 --> 0:08:36.800 do not cover this, right, they do not. I will 0:08:36.920 --> 0:08:38.800 take the points easily. 0:08:38.520 --> 0:08:39.520 Yeah, Kansas City. 0:08:39.760 --> 0:08:43.319 Fading them against high spreads is always something I think 0:08:43.360 --> 0:08:46.080 it is usually in the best interest of a better Ericson. 0:08:46.120 --> 0:08:48.120 I think you believe in the Broncos as well. 0:08:48.160 --> 0:08:48.559 This week. 0:08:48.880 --> 0:08:50.480 I do, and it's for a lot of the reasons 0:08:50.480 --> 0:08:53.400 that we pointed out last week. Liking the Denver Broncos 0:08:54.040 --> 0:08:56.520 because you look at Bonnicks what he's been able to 0:08:56.520 --> 0:08:57.960 do as an underdog. 0:08:58.400 --> 0:09:00.080 It's been great four and one against. 0:08:59.880 --> 0:09:02.200 This three and two straight up, So he's been someone 0:09:02.240 --> 0:09:04.280 that's been able to rise above and this has been 0:09:04.440 --> 0:09:07.079 bigger spreads by more than six points, where Bonnicks and 0:09:07.080 --> 0:09:09.160 then Denver Broncs have been kind of counted out and 0:09:09.160 --> 0:09:11.440 they've shown up. Last week it didn't work out because 0:09:11.760 --> 0:09:13.880 it was a pissed off Ravens team and they give 0:09:13.960 --> 0:09:15.839 a ton of points. Their defense played horrible, but that 0:09:16.040 --> 0:09:18.320 every defense plays horrible when they play the Ravens. So yes, 0:09:18.320 --> 0:09:20.520 in a game that's gonna be much tighter. You have 0:09:20.679 --> 0:09:23.280 the Chiefs coming off a short week, playing on Monday 0:09:23.360 --> 0:09:27.120 night in an overtime game. Nonetheless, so it's a divisional game. 0:09:27.320 --> 0:09:30.040 You know, there's always one team with all these dominating teams, right, 0:09:30.080 --> 0:09:32.320 there's always one team that seems to have the number 0:09:32.760 --> 0:09:35.320 of the Chiefs, and it's been the Denver Broncos more 0:09:35.320 --> 0:09:38.400 often than not that have given Patrick Mahomes trouble. The 0:09:38.480 --> 0:09:40.960 last five games against the Chiefs, the Broncs have covered 0:09:40.960 --> 0:09:43.559 in four of them. So similar to my Patriots and 0:09:43.600 --> 0:09:45.960 the Dolphins always bet against them every time they play 0:09:45.960 --> 0:09:48.679 in Miami, even during the Tom Brady era. It's similar 0:09:48.679 --> 0:09:50.880 here with Denver playing the Kansas City Chiefs. So we 0:09:50.920 --> 0:09:52.880 talked about how the Chiefs they don't blow teams out. 0:09:53.160 --> 0:09:54.839 Six of the chiefs eight wins this year have been 0:09:54.880 --> 0:09:58.480 in close games. So the Broncos have played teams really 0:09:58.520 --> 0:10:00.440 tight all year. Last week was the first time they 0:10:00.440 --> 0:10:02.640 had lost by more than one possession. So I think 0:10:02.679 --> 0:10:04.520 that they keep this game closed to the divisional game. 0:10:04.679 --> 0:10:06.760 Again at the end of the day, Chiefs are gonna 0:10:06.760 --> 0:10:09.800 be remain undefeated and be nine to zero, But Owenick's 0:10:09.800 --> 0:10:12.480 gonna be standing there another one against the spread. 0:10:12.559 --> 0:10:12.920 Let's go. 0:10:13.200 --> 0:10:15.840 Well, that was my question. Could the Broncos actually be 0:10:15.960 --> 0:10:18.760 live to win this outright? You guys think because the 0:10:18.840 --> 0:10:20.719 letdown spot for the Chiefs it has to come. I 0:10:20.720 --> 0:10:22.679 thought it was on Monday night and they came all 0:10:22.679 --> 0:10:23.280 the way back. 0:10:23.880 --> 0:10:26.480 I mean, I am, I'm one hundred percent for fading 0:10:26.559 --> 0:10:29.600 Kansas City in any game that they are looking ahead 0:10:29.600 --> 0:10:32.559 to the Buffalo Bills. So I think that if you're 0:10:32.600 --> 0:10:34.640 gonna take a week, like if there was gonna be 0:10:34.679 --> 0:10:37.720 a week where you'd take the Kansas City Chiefs to 0:10:37.800 --> 0:10:39.600 not cover the spread but win the game out right, 0:10:39.679 --> 0:10:41.280 I don't think it would be this one. I think 0:10:41.280 --> 0:10:43.880 this is the week, especially in that loss against the 0:10:44.240 --> 0:10:46.439 and how bad they looked against the Ravens, that the 0:10:46.520 --> 0:10:49.240 Chiefs could one hundred percent sleepwalk through this game into 0:10:49.280 --> 0:10:52.520 a big matchup against the Buffalo Bills next week. So 0:10:52.760 --> 0:10:53.720 maybe not this one. 0:10:53.920 --> 0:10:56.520 Erickson, you're kind of on that same mindset. You like 0:10:56.559 --> 0:10:59.120 the Broncos to cover here but not win out right. 0:10:59.480 --> 0:10:59.920 Probably not. 0:11:00.360 --> 0:11:03.000 But I mean the fact that you're talking about. Look, 0:11:03.520 --> 0:11:05.400 Chiefs are playing so close to the desk with some 0:11:05.440 --> 0:11:07.520 of these matchups. Eventually they're gonna drop one, and it's 0:11:07.520 --> 0:11:10.480 gonna be one that no one really expected. Again against Buffalo, Yes, 0:11:10.559 --> 0:11:11.920 that's a game that could go either way. 0:11:12.320 --> 0:11:14.000 But sermon, now that. 0:11:15.559 --> 0:11:17.839 Now that you're the king of you're the king of 0:11:17.880 --> 0:11:22.840 a sprinkle baby. 0:11:24.520 --> 0:11:28.160 Yeah, a little ratitude going on over there. And before 0:11:28.200 --> 0:11:31.640 we continue, I did remind everyone about the Betting Pros discord. 0:11:31.679 --> 0:11:33.840 Are you looking to up your game in sports betting? 0:11:33.960 --> 0:11:37.559 Will join our exclusive sports betting discord community at bettingpros 0:11:37.559 --> 0:11:40.080 dot com slash chat. Not only can you connect with 0:11:40.160 --> 0:11:43.840 expert handicappers like Terrell, like ericson who could provide free 0:11:43.840 --> 0:11:47.160 picks for the NBA, the NFL, the MLB, the NHL, 0:11:47.320 --> 0:11:50.440 player props, live betting, and more also NASCAR just gonna 0:11:50.480 --> 0:11:53.800 say that, Plus join our NFL podcast group, Sink your 0:11:53.840 --> 0:11:56.199 Picks and use the quick pick feature on the Betting 0:11:56.200 --> 0:11:58.160 Pro sports betting app to get a chance to win 0:11:58.200 --> 0:12:00.720 some free prizes. And Torell, We're going back to you 0:12:00.800 --> 0:12:03.400 where you like Jim Harballs guys to bow up here? 0:12:03.520 --> 0:12:07.840 Oh yeah, absolutely? Do you know how many games. The 0:12:07.960 --> 0:12:11.640 Chargers have given up over three touchdowns this season twenty 0:12:11.640 --> 0:12:13.280 one points any. 0:12:13.440 --> 0:12:16.120 Maybe one, maybe one, though NOTUS zero, none at all. 0:12:16.520 --> 0:12:19.720 The Steelers, by the way, Justin Fields, so for Mike 0:12:19.760 --> 0:12:22.280 Tomlin that is still playing Russ Justin Fields had the 0:12:22.320 --> 0:12:23.880 highest points total against the Chargers. 0:12:24.160 --> 0:12:24.960 Let's go by. 0:12:24.840 --> 0:12:26.880 Throwing it out there. Here we are with the five 0:12:26.880 --> 0:12:29.280 to two and one ATS Chargers team going up against 0:12:29.320 --> 0:12:33.000 a one in seven ACS Titans team. I could very 0:12:33.000 --> 0:12:35.600 well be falling into the trap here. I could. But 0:12:35.760 --> 0:12:38.040 if it's a trap, I'm dead. And I'm perfectly fine 0:12:38.120 --> 0:12:41.120 dying to the trap this week because the Chargers and 0:12:41.200 --> 0:12:43.839 these are two good defenses. But at the end of 0:12:43.920 --> 0:12:46.560 the day, the Chargers have been able to find offense 0:12:46.600 --> 0:12:49.040 when they couldn't run the ball, and I don't think 0:12:49.040 --> 0:12:51.440 the Tennessee can find any offense at all whatsoever. I 0:12:51.440 --> 0:12:54.280 think that they're still having this low key internal battle 0:12:54.520 --> 0:12:56.960 of who is the better quarterback on their roster right now, 0:12:57.160 --> 0:12:59.600 and I don't think they understand because Mason Rudolph hasn't 0:12:59.640 --> 0:13:02.280 been very good at all. I didn't think he played 0:13:02.280 --> 0:13:05.240 well against the New England Patriots, and a thing that 0:13:05.360 --> 0:13:07.200 is gonna set this over the top and get me 0:13:07.400 --> 0:13:10.040 Chargers laying seven and a half. Here is the fact 0:13:10.080 --> 0:13:12.480 that it did not cash last week on the live string, 0:13:12.600 --> 0:13:14.760 but it's going to cash this week. Titans are going 0:13:14.840 --> 0:13:17.200 to give up a defensive touchdown in this game, like 0:13:17.640 --> 0:13:20.959 I am almost, whether it's a block punt, whether it's 0:13:20.960 --> 0:13:23.440 a point return on special teams, whether if it's just 0:13:23.600 --> 0:13:26.600 old fashioned scoop and score pick six, baby, they are 0:13:26.720 --> 0:13:29.080 going to give up a defensive touchdown and seth. I 0:13:29.080 --> 0:13:31.920 have told you defensive touchdowns get you covers in this world. 0:13:32.160 --> 0:13:34.600 So hey, maybe if you if you want to take 0:13:34.600 --> 0:13:37.040 the plus money and just take the defensive touchdown, then 0:13:37.200 --> 0:13:39.160 I say do that. I think there's ways that the 0:13:39.240 --> 0:13:41.040 Chargers cover the spread without it, but I think the 0:13:41.040 --> 0:13:43.000 defensive touchdown is one hundred percent could be the thing 0:13:43.040 --> 0:13:45.280 to get us there. I don't trust this Tennessee offense 0:13:45.600 --> 0:13:47.559 at all. I don't think they're playing well at all. 0:13:47.600 --> 0:13:51.320 That's why I was fading the Browns this week on 0:13:51.360 --> 0:13:53.680 the string because I didn't think that they could do 0:13:53.720 --> 0:13:56.680 anything against the Chargers defense. Hardball just has the defense 0:13:56.760 --> 0:13:59.520 rolling and I can't. It's creating offense for him, and 0:13:59.520 --> 0:14:02.000 they're playing low scoring games, but they're covering the numbers. 0:14:02.040 --> 0:14:03.959 So yeah, I love the charges here laying seven and 0:14:04.000 --> 0:14:04.320 a half. 0:14:05.160 --> 0:14:07.719 I gotta say I'm pretty disappointed in Mason Rudolph. I 0:14:07.760 --> 0:14:09.559 took him in the last round of a couple of 0:14:09.600 --> 0:14:12.200 deep best ball leagues. Just hey, what are the chances 0:14:12.200 --> 0:14:14.040 he gets in there? I thought Will Levis might not 0:14:14.120 --> 0:14:18.720 be the guy full time. Yeah, yeah, but I you know, 0:14:18.800 --> 0:14:21.520 this isn't vintage Mason Rudolph that we got last year 0:14:21.520 --> 0:14:22.080 with the Steelers. 0:14:22.120 --> 0:14:23.160 I feel like, I mean, seth. 0:14:23.200 --> 0:14:25.720 I mean, if you just watched the first quarter, Mason 0:14:25.800 --> 0:14:29.520 Rudolf looks pretty good. It's just after the first drive, 0:14:30.560 --> 0:14:31.200 it's just not you. 0:14:31.160 --> 0:14:34.600 Know, he's good scripted. He's good scripted for sure. Absolutely 0:14:35.240 --> 0:14:37.360 he needs Matt Canada out there. I think that that's 0:14:37.400 --> 0:14:38.160 where he was at his. 0:14:38.080 --> 0:14:38.880 Best last. 0:14:40.560 --> 0:14:43.040 These guys are not relevant when they're not playing for Tomlin. 0:14:43.480 --> 0:14:46.720 I mean, Duck Hodges is out there. He's married Delaney 0:14:46.760 --> 0:14:48.560 Wilson right now, and that's the only time he ever 0:14:48.560 --> 0:14:50.120 gets in the spotlights. You'll see him on like a 0:14:50.160 --> 0:14:51.680 CMT red carpet. 0:14:51.720 --> 0:14:53.200 I mean, I mean, Mike Tomlin was able to get 0:14:53.240 --> 0:14:55.960 Deontay Johnson on the Ravens. Maybe the one we may 0:14:56.000 --> 0:15:00.280 look and be like espionage at its finest. 0:15:00.000 --> 0:15:03.000 Honestly, when he went to the Ravens, Bogs and I 0:15:03.040 --> 0:15:04.320 were both texting back and forth. 0:15:04.360 --> 0:15:05.840 But oh, this is good news for us. 0:15:07.200 --> 0:15:10.080 The drop, that first drop against the Steelers is gonna 0:15:10.080 --> 0:15:12.560 be It's gonna feed families, right, the first drop he 0:15:12.640 --> 0:15:14.440 has is gonna feed families. 0:15:16.200 --> 0:15:19.040 Ericson in true Undertaker fashion, you're going with a couple 0:15:19.160 --> 0:15:20.360 unders to round us out here. 0:15:20.360 --> 0:15:21.120 What's your first one? 0:15:21.280 --> 0:15:23.720 Yeah, I'm gonna go with the Minnesota Vikings taking on 0:15:23.800 --> 0:15:27.200 the Jacksonville Jaguars under forty four and a half. So 0:15:27.800 --> 0:15:30.600 we're getting news today here on Thursday that we're recording 0:15:30.680 --> 0:15:32.520 where Trevor Lawrence is unlikely to play, so that means 0:15:32.560 --> 0:15:34.480 we're gonna get mac Jones. We've seen the spread move, 0:15:34.560 --> 0:15:36.880 but the total hasn't moved as much. So I still 0:15:36.880 --> 0:15:38.600 want to take advantage because I want to bet the 0:15:38.760 --> 0:15:41.560 under look. The Jaguars for the most part the season 0:15:41.600 --> 0:15:43.840 have been an overmachine, and the Vikings are two and 0:15:43.920 --> 0:15:45.680 out towards the over in their last two road games. 0:15:45.880 --> 0:15:47.760 But when you look at which games have gone over 0:15:47.800 --> 0:15:50.800 when Minnesota has played on the road. It's in offenses 0:15:50.960 --> 0:15:54.760 like the Rams, the Lions, the Packers. Would you put 0:15:54.800 --> 0:15:57.880 a Mac Jones led Jaguars team in that bucket, guys, 0:15:58.240 --> 0:15:58.720 I wouldn't. 0:15:58.760 --> 0:15:59.280 Personally. 0:15:59.440 --> 0:16:01.120 I've seen that Jones play a lot of football as 0:16:01.120 --> 0:16:03.120 a Patriots fan, and I can say that when he 0:16:03.160 --> 0:16:07.080 doesn't have a support strong supporting cast, which Jacksonville does not, 0:16:08.040 --> 0:16:12.000 oppositive line issues, backfield issues. I just I like the 0:16:12.040 --> 0:16:14.160 under in this game. Again, I think that the value's 0:16:14.200 --> 0:16:16.440 gone with the spread now that it's out to a 0:16:16.480 --> 0:16:19.000 touchdown for the Vikings on the road, and Sam Donald just. 0:16:20.680 --> 0:16:25.080 Still at the end of the day. 0:16:25.240 --> 0:16:27.320 Again, I talked about this in the Sunday night preview 0:16:27.680 --> 0:16:29.600 before the Vikings and Colts game. At the end of 0:16:29.600 --> 0:16:31.920 the day, this is Sam Donald verus Joe Flacco, and 0:16:31.920 --> 0:16:34.320 now we're looking at this is Sam Donald versus Back Jones. 0:16:34.840 --> 0:16:37.240 Again blindly betting this, you're gonna want to take the 0:16:37.320 --> 0:16:40.920 under and those types of matchup. So for me and 0:16:40.960 --> 0:16:42.560 I will say, I will give a little a credit 0:16:42.640 --> 0:16:45.400 to the Jaguars defense. I thought they looked pretty decent 0:16:45.480 --> 0:16:49.480 against the Eagles, who are just filled with high offensive players. 0:16:49.800 --> 0:16:52.240 I mean their offense couldn't do anything, and I think 0:16:52.280 --> 0:16:54.520 they're they're generating some decent pass rush. And we just 0:16:54.520 --> 0:16:57.400 seen with Sam Donald like every game he makes one 0:16:57.480 --> 0:17:01.240 or two just absolutely bone headed decisions. It's like, God, dude, 0:17:01.280 --> 0:17:02.280 just stick to the script. 0:17:02.840 --> 0:17:04.919 Old Sam, darnold ye jetson. 0:17:05.040 --> 0:17:08.200 Nor always shows up at certain points, which caused the 0:17:08.280 --> 0:17:09.919 Vikings to have issues. So I just think that this 0:17:09.960 --> 0:17:11.240 game is gonna go under the total. 0:17:11.640 --> 0:17:11.880