1 00:00:00,960 --> 00:00:03,560 Speaker 1: Well, hello friends, and welcome into betting Pros. It is 2 00:00:03,760 --> 00:00:08,600 Speaker 1: the DFS podcast for week ten. I am not Joe Pisapia. 3 00:00:08,800 --> 00:00:12,840 Speaker 1: Hey yo, but no, it's not Joe pis Apia. I 4 00:00:12,880 --> 00:00:16,000 Speaker 1: am Chris Welsh, sitting in for the Bald Wonder who 5 00:00:16,040 --> 00:00:18,720 Speaker 1: is out having a glorious time and I'm. 6 00:00:18,280 --> 00:00:21,000 Speaker 2: Here with the other bald beauty. It's Derek Brown. 7 00:00:21,360 --> 00:00:25,200 Speaker 3: We're talking some DFS. What's up, de bro. Shout out, 8 00:00:25,239 --> 00:00:27,400 Speaker 3: my dude, this is gonna be a good time. So 9 00:00:27,680 --> 00:00:30,200 Speaker 3: freaking excited. Anytime you and I can hop on the mics, 10 00:00:30,200 --> 00:00:32,320 Speaker 3: it's gonna be a good day, baby, So ready to 11 00:00:32,320 --> 00:00:34,960 Speaker 3: talk about the DFS slate. Shout out to Joe, who's drinking. 12 00:00:35,120 --> 00:00:37,680 Speaker 3: He's probably got a belly full of butter beer right now, 13 00:00:38,720 --> 00:00:41,959 Speaker 3: just you know, living his best life while we're talking DFS. 14 00:00:42,000 --> 00:00:44,200 Speaker 3: But hey, guess what, we're gonna make all the damn money. 15 00:00:44,280 --> 00:00:46,760 Speaker 3: Joe can have fun with all the butter beer, and 16 00:00:46,800 --> 00:00:48,440 Speaker 3: he's gonna cry in his hands whenever he does. 17 00:00:48,560 --> 00:00:50,960 Speaker 1: Actually, he's gonna need to tune in to this because 18 00:00:51,000 --> 00:00:53,000 Speaker 1: he's gonna have to repay some of it. I did 19 00:00:53,000 --> 00:00:56,800 Speaker 1: the butter beer Harry Potter experience. In California about four 20 00:00:56,840 --> 00:01:00,680 Speaker 1: months ago, and that's why I'm on so many shows now. 21 00:01:00,720 --> 00:01:03,360 Speaker 2: It's all the money in the world. So uh, he's 22 00:01:03,680 --> 00:01:04,319 Speaker 2: it's that team. 23 00:01:04,400 --> 00:01:07,440 Speaker 1: Maybe uh he's gonna need to get into a big 24 00:01:07,480 --> 00:01:10,120 Speaker 1: old main slate here. So that's what we're gonna be 25 00:01:10,120 --> 00:01:12,479 Speaker 1: doing for you today. We'll be going through all the plays. 26 00:01:13,040 --> 00:01:15,480 Speaker 1: Me and Debro try to keep it together. We get 27 00:01:15,520 --> 00:01:18,240 Speaker 1: like a couple of kids getting crazy here, but glad 28 00:01:18,280 --> 00:01:20,120 Speaker 1: to talk to you guys. I'm usually behind the glass 29 00:01:20,120 --> 00:01:22,920 Speaker 1: producing this bad Boy, but all I'm gonna do is 30 00:01:22,920 --> 00:01:25,880 Speaker 1: I'm gonna play point guard. I'm going to set up 31 00:01:25,920 --> 00:01:28,039 Speaker 1: the glorious Debro to give you guys some of the 32 00:01:28,040 --> 00:01:30,280 Speaker 1: best plays. So let's kick this bad Boy off and 33 00:01:30,319 --> 00:01:33,119 Speaker 1: start looking into the games. Let's go over to Green 34 00:01:33,200 --> 00:01:37,240 Speaker 1: Bay and Pittsburgh got a low total thirty eight. I 35 00:01:37,240 --> 00:01:40,319 Speaker 1: don't know, could be some over vibes in here. I 36 00:01:40,400 --> 00:01:42,600 Speaker 1: hate everybody on Pittsburgh though. 37 00:01:42,600 --> 00:01:43,000 Speaker 3: There. 38 00:01:43,120 --> 00:01:46,640 Speaker 1: You may want to throw somebody out to us ericson 39 00:01:46,720 --> 00:01:49,760 Speaker 1: and I did the kind of throw out. Maybe a 40 00:01:49,920 --> 00:01:53,280 Speaker 1: Christian wantson ladder Bet back into play here. Maybe we're 41 00:01:53,280 --> 00:01:55,920 Speaker 1: just trying to remake our money. I hate Christian Watson 42 00:01:55,960 --> 00:01:58,680 Speaker 1: in general, though, but what's the ud bro anything you like? 43 00:01:58,720 --> 00:02:00,920 Speaker 1: You get down with Christian Wanhnson in this one. 44 00:02:01,760 --> 00:02:03,800 Speaker 3: I'm definitely not down with Watson in this one. And 45 00:02:03,840 --> 00:02:06,280 Speaker 3: this all comes back to Joey Porter Junior. So I 46 00:02:06,320 --> 00:02:08,480 Speaker 3: apologize for your ladder bets, right. I'm not doing it. 47 00:02:08,520 --> 00:02:09,960 Speaker 2: I tell you, I am. I not doing it. 48 00:02:10,400 --> 00:02:12,560 Speaker 3: I would I would not do it. Joey Porter Junior 49 00:02:12,639 --> 00:02:14,840 Speaker 3: has been a stud and the other thing about it, 50 00:02:14,880 --> 00:02:17,800 Speaker 3: he has been shadowing so last two weeks fifty to 51 00:02:17,840 --> 00:02:20,480 Speaker 3: seventy five percent of routes or seventy six percent. Excuse me, 52 00:02:20,800 --> 00:02:23,519 Speaker 3: this man's allowed a twenty twenty eight percent catch rate 53 00:02:23,560 --> 00:02:26,080 Speaker 3: forty six pass rating in his coverage. I want no 54 00:02:26,280 --> 00:02:30,720 Speaker 3: part of Christian Watson. I mean, basically, you could count 55 00:02:30,760 --> 00:02:35,160 Speaker 3: me out on almost the entire Packers offense save for 56 00:02:35,560 --> 00:02:39,160 Speaker 3: Aaron Jones. Looking at Aaron Jones twenty four touches almost 57 00:02:39,160 --> 00:02:41,240 Speaker 3: one hundred total yards last week. I don't know if 58 00:02:41,240 --> 00:02:44,160 Speaker 3: he's fully healthy because the tackle breaking metrics have not 59 00:02:44,240 --> 00:02:47,080 Speaker 3: been great. But you can run on the Steelers, and 60 00:02:47,080 --> 00:02:48,640 Speaker 3: that's what I think the Green Bit Packers need to 61 00:02:48,639 --> 00:02:51,440 Speaker 3: do this week. On the other side of the ball, 62 00:02:52,080 --> 00:02:55,440 Speaker 3: It's really just all this boils down to is three players. 63 00:02:55,880 --> 00:02:59,320 Speaker 3: Deontay Johnson is getting a heaping amount of volume. I 64 00:02:59,360 --> 00:03:02,240 Speaker 3: am not worried about the green Bay secondary. This man 65 00:03:02,440 --> 00:03:04,200 Speaker 3: over the last two weeks has gotten a thirty one 66 00:03:04,200 --> 00:03:07,440 Speaker 3: percent target here thirty seven percent. First read cheer, George 67 00:03:07,520 --> 00:03:10,320 Speaker 3: Pickens is dead. Go ahead and just I mean take 68 00:03:10,320 --> 00:03:13,560 Speaker 3: out the shovel and just start digging. Since Deontay has 69 00:03:13,600 --> 00:03:16,360 Speaker 3: been back. So Deontay I think is a really good play, 70 00:03:16,440 --> 00:03:19,840 Speaker 3: strong play this week, especially on DraftKings PPR. Things like that. 71 00:03:19,880 --> 00:03:22,480 Speaker 3: He's a great cash game play I know, and I'll 72 00:03:22,480 --> 00:03:24,320 Speaker 3: talk a lot about cash games because I'm more of 73 00:03:24,360 --> 00:03:27,560 Speaker 3: a GPP bro. But staying with the Steelers here, the 74 00:03:27,639 --> 00:03:29,600 Speaker 3: other two guys I gotta bring up here is Naji Harrison, 75 00:03:29,680 --> 00:03:32,440 Speaker 3: Gym and Warren. We know that you can run on 76 00:03:32,520 --> 00:03:35,960 Speaker 3: the Packers. It has tried. It is true, death taxes 77 00:03:35,960 --> 00:03:40,040 Speaker 3: and rushing yards allowed versus Green Bay. So Naji Harris 78 00:03:40,120 --> 00:03:43,160 Speaker 3: is firmly in play. He is mispriced on DK. I 79 00:03:43,200 --> 00:03:46,000 Speaker 3: get that it seems like a gross play, but this 80 00:03:46,080 --> 00:03:49,120 Speaker 3: man has been a top fifteen running back in Fantasy scoring. 81 00:03:49,320 --> 00:03:51,480 Speaker 3: I think it's two of the last three weeks. He 82 00:03:51,600 --> 00:03:55,960 Speaker 3: is top ten in most Mistackle forced metrics. The same 83 00:03:56,040 --> 00:03:58,360 Speaker 3: thing can be said for Jalen Warren. Both these guys 84 00:03:58,440 --> 00:04:01,520 Speaker 3: are fantastic gppeople not telling you to roll them out 85 00:04:01,560 --> 00:04:03,960 Speaker 3: in cash, but in GPPs. Damn right, let's go. 86 00:04:04,040 --> 00:04:08,120 Speaker 1: Yeah maybe and Nase might enable you, you know, to 87 00:04:08,160 --> 00:04:10,720 Speaker 1: play a little bit up in a few other spots. 88 00:04:10,720 --> 00:04:13,160 Speaker 3: He's so miss priced, man, like, he's not even five 89 00:04:13,280 --> 00:04:16,560 Speaker 3: k on DK like that is that's crazy for a 90 00:04:16,640 --> 00:04:19,320 Speaker 3: running back that even if you just look at his volume, 91 00:04:19,440 --> 00:04:22,600 Speaker 3: almost sixteen touches since week seven. The man could get 92 00:04:22,600 --> 00:04:24,479 Speaker 3: twenty touches this week he gets in the end zone, 93 00:04:24,560 --> 00:04:27,040 Speaker 3: he's posting twenty DK points and he's not even five k. 94 00:04:27,160 --> 00:04:27,480 Speaker 1: One thing. 95 00:04:27,520 --> 00:04:27,920 Speaker 3: That's fine. 96 00:04:27,960 --> 00:04:28,920 Speaker 2: I do love about that too. 97 00:04:28,920 --> 00:04:31,520 Speaker 1: If I built that love construction roster and then you're 98 00:04:31,560 --> 00:04:33,039 Speaker 1: just looking at like a flex and you're like, what 99 00:04:33,080 --> 00:04:33,680 Speaker 1: do I do here? 100 00:04:33,800 --> 00:04:35,560 Speaker 2: Nause might be just jumping out to you. 101 00:04:35,960 --> 00:04:38,560 Speaker 1: Speaking of jumping out, there's another game that might have 102 00:04:38,600 --> 00:04:42,640 Speaker 1: some better plays. New Orleans, Minnesota. We have another kind 103 00:04:42,640 --> 00:04:44,440 Speaker 1: of lowish line. I don't even know if I said 104 00:04:44,440 --> 00:04:45,320 Speaker 1: it in the last one. 105 00:04:45,440 --> 00:04:46,000 Speaker 3: You can get it. 106 00:04:46,000 --> 00:04:48,560 Speaker 1: It's around thirty eight and a half thirty eight thirty 107 00:04:48,640 --> 00:04:50,920 Speaker 1: nine in that Green Bay Pittsburgh game. We're looking at 108 00:04:51,200 --> 00:04:53,720 Speaker 1: forty and a half to forty one in New Orleans 109 00:04:53,720 --> 00:04:55,719 Speaker 1: and Minnesota. And I will tell you I have a 110 00:04:55,760 --> 00:04:59,760 Speaker 1: lineup this week that has Joshua Dobbs in it going 111 00:04:59,800 --> 00:05:00,760 Speaker 1: on to Minnesota. 112 00:05:01,200 --> 00:05:03,480 Speaker 2: I kind of dig Dobbs. 113 00:05:04,560 --> 00:05:06,960 Speaker 1: I think New Orleans defense is a little bit tougher, 114 00:05:07,560 --> 00:05:10,960 Speaker 1: but they have been susceptible and I believe they've given 115 00:05:11,040 --> 00:05:13,800 Speaker 1: up the second most rushing yards to running backs over 116 00:05:13,800 --> 00:05:14,600 Speaker 1: the last month. 117 00:05:15,080 --> 00:05:17,039 Speaker 2: And Dobbs has got better weapons. And look what. 118 00:05:17,200 --> 00:05:19,880 Speaker 1: Dobbs had his best scoring game over the last five 119 00:05:19,920 --> 00:05:24,839 Speaker 1: weeks this past week, after not even understanding the playbook. 120 00:05:25,040 --> 00:05:25,960 Speaker 2: Now you're going in. 121 00:05:26,400 --> 00:05:29,640 Speaker 1: You know this playbook, you know what New Orleans is 122 00:05:29,680 --> 00:05:31,960 Speaker 1: going to do in general. So this is a tougher matchup, 123 00:05:31,960 --> 00:05:35,640 Speaker 1: but Dobbs is cheap. This might not be the sexiest 124 00:05:35,640 --> 00:05:37,200 Speaker 1: play on the planet. Like you said, maybe it's not 125 00:05:37,240 --> 00:05:39,120 Speaker 1: a cash play, But talk to me about what you 126 00:05:39,240 --> 00:05:41,120 Speaker 1: like out of Minnesota and New Orleans. 127 00:05:41,480 --> 00:05:44,520 Speaker 3: I think Dobbs is GPP viable. If you were going 128 00:05:44,560 --> 00:05:47,000 Speaker 3: to stack him up, I would actually get weird with that. 129 00:05:47,200 --> 00:05:48,960 Speaker 3: I think you're playing a lot of the rushing in 130 00:05:49,000 --> 00:05:52,840 Speaker 3: the ground game for Dobbs. So I don't do this 131 00:05:52,960 --> 00:05:56,200 Speaker 3: very often because you know, correlations things like that. But 132 00:05:56,680 --> 00:05:59,240 Speaker 3: if you went the the Dobbs direction, I think the 133 00:05:59,240 --> 00:06:01,880 Speaker 3: best stacking partners honestly just played more into the ground 134 00:06:01,880 --> 00:06:05,240 Speaker 3: game stacking with Alexander Madison, who also has a pass 135 00:06:05,279 --> 00:06:07,560 Speaker 3: game role, like you talked about well show. With the 136 00:06:07,640 --> 00:06:11,240 Speaker 3: last five games you can run on the Saints, they're 137 00:06:11,240 --> 00:06:13,960 Speaker 3: allowing the second highest explosive run rate, tenth highest yards 138 00:06:13,960 --> 00:06:16,600 Speaker 3: of to contact per attempt. My favorite play on the 139 00:06:16,680 --> 00:06:19,400 Speaker 3: Viking side, honestly is Alexander Madison. And I have not 140 00:06:19,400 --> 00:06:21,480 Speaker 3: been a Madison guy. I've not been talking about him 141 00:06:21,480 --> 00:06:23,880 Speaker 3: on the show the entire year, so take that for 142 00:06:23,960 --> 00:06:26,800 Speaker 3: what it's worth. But I do like Madison again, a 143 00:06:26,960 --> 00:06:29,760 Speaker 3: workhorse back twenty plus touches in this game, going to 144 00:06:29,760 --> 00:06:32,120 Speaker 3: give pass game role. No cam Akers, I don't think 145 00:06:32,160 --> 00:06:36,440 Speaker 3: ty Chandler is gonna factor in there because cam Akers 146 00:06:36,520 --> 00:06:39,719 Speaker 3: came in bea trade and took ty Chandler's chain, took 147 00:06:39,760 --> 00:06:42,240 Speaker 3: his job. So now with no cam Akers, do we 148 00:06:42,279 --> 00:06:45,240 Speaker 3: think that Alexander Madison is gonna lose work to ty Chandler. 149 00:06:45,520 --> 00:06:47,279 Speaker 3: I don't think so, man. I think it's gonna be 150 00:06:47,279 --> 00:06:51,719 Speaker 3: more more of Madison's backfield. So Madison's my favorite Vikings player. 151 00:06:52,240 --> 00:06:55,080 Speaker 3: On the other side, I do not want any part 152 00:06:55,120 --> 00:07:01,520 Speaker 3: of Alvin Kamara his snapshare. Last week Dennis Allen's come 153 00:07:01,560 --> 00:07:03,960 Speaker 3: out talked about using more of the other running backs. 154 00:07:04,839 --> 00:07:08,680 Speaker 3: You can interest me in Derek Carr doublestack this week. 155 00:07:09,160 --> 00:07:10,960 Speaker 3: It's not gonna be in my main lineup, but I 156 00:07:10,960 --> 00:07:15,120 Speaker 3: think it is viable. It is GPP worthy looking at 157 00:07:15,120 --> 00:07:18,480 Speaker 3: the Vikings, you can this This past defense has been 158 00:07:18,560 --> 00:07:20,880 Speaker 3: much much better, but you can throw on the Vikings. 159 00:07:22,000 --> 00:07:23,720 Speaker 3: And the other thing I want to throw out are 160 00:07:23,760 --> 00:07:28,160 Speaker 3: welsh is looking at quarterbacks that are in not necessarily 161 00:07:28,200 --> 00:07:31,640 Speaker 3: even past funnel matchups, but matchups where I'm like, they're 162 00:07:31,640 --> 00:07:33,840 Speaker 3: not gonna be able to run the ball. So if 163 00:07:33,880 --> 00:07:35,560 Speaker 3: you're going to move the ball, if you're the Saints, 164 00:07:35,600 --> 00:07:38,760 Speaker 3: it's going to have to come through the air because 165 00:07:38,800 --> 00:07:41,280 Speaker 3: this is a terrible rushing matchup for Alvin Kamara. So 166 00:07:41,880 --> 00:07:45,320 Speaker 3: looking at that Derek Carr doubles are in play. Rashid 167 00:07:45,320 --> 00:07:47,320 Speaker 3: Shaheed usually is the guy that I want to talk 168 00:07:47,360 --> 00:07:49,520 Speaker 3: about here, but I'm not that much into him. This week, 169 00:07:50,160 --> 00:07:55,440 Speaker 3: looking at since week five, looking at the Vikings third 170 00:07:55,560 --> 00:07:58,560 Speaker 3: lowest passer rating allowed on deep balls, that's really Shaheed's 171 00:07:58,640 --> 00:08:01,480 Speaker 3: gig and where he gets the feeling from. If you're 172 00:08:01,520 --> 00:08:05,720 Speaker 3: going to double Derek Carr this week, obviously the first 173 00:08:05,720 --> 00:08:07,200 Speaker 3: guy we're going to bring up here is chrislal Lave. 174 00:08:07,400 --> 00:08:09,400 Speaker 3: He is the wide receiver one. We're still waiting for 175 00:08:09,440 --> 00:08:12,360 Speaker 3: the big o'lave game. I don't necessarily know if it's 176 00:08:12,360 --> 00:08:14,440 Speaker 3: going to be this week, but he's in play. The 177 00:08:14,440 --> 00:08:16,200 Speaker 3: guy I want to bring up here, and he has 178 00:08:16,240 --> 00:08:18,880 Speaker 3: been a nasty name of sorts to even talk about 179 00:08:18,920 --> 00:08:22,000 Speaker 3: in DFS purposes because we just haven't seen any ceiling 180 00:08:22,000 --> 00:08:24,800 Speaker 3: outcomes are really good games for him. But Michael Thomas. 181 00:08:25,240 --> 00:08:27,640 Speaker 3: I've got a lot of interest in Michael Thomas this week. 182 00:08:27,640 --> 00:08:31,560 Speaker 3: And this really boils down to Welsh Blitz the Blitz. 183 00:08:32,000 --> 00:08:34,280 Speaker 3: We know that Brian Flores is going to blitz the 184 00:08:34,360 --> 00:08:36,680 Speaker 3: ever loving hell out of Derek Carr this week. And 185 00:08:36,720 --> 00:08:40,080 Speaker 3: why does that matter? It matters because against the Blitz, 186 00:08:40,120 --> 00:08:43,840 Speaker 3: when Derek Carr is under duress, it's not Krystal Lave, 187 00:08:44,000 --> 00:08:47,560 Speaker 3: it's not Rashid Shahe that he's looking for Michael Thomas 188 00:08:47,640 --> 00:08:52,280 Speaker 3: has a thirty two percent first read share and a 189 00:08:52,360 --> 00:08:57,440 Speaker 3: twenty five percent target share against Whenever Derek Carr is blitzed, 190 00:08:57,920 --> 00:09:01,240 Speaker 3: that matters. And plus this man has a massive red 191 00:09:01,320 --> 00:09:05,080 Speaker 3: zone role in this offense. So Michael Thomas might be 192 00:09:05,120 --> 00:09:08,600 Speaker 3: my favorite play out of this game outside of Alexander Madison. 193 00:09:08,880 --> 00:09:10,839 Speaker 3: If you don't like this game and you just wanted 194 00:09:10,840 --> 00:09:14,400 Speaker 3: the minie Alexander Madison and Michael Thomas and save some cash, 195 00:09:14,559 --> 00:09:16,839 Speaker 3: that's honestly probably my favorite way to play this game. 196 00:09:17,120 --> 00:09:18,760 Speaker 1: I like how you presented it to you'r like may 197 00:09:18,800 --> 00:09:20,640 Speaker 1: I present It was like you were like a waiter. 198 00:09:20,679 --> 00:09:24,320 Speaker 2: May I present you with a Derek Carr A six? 199 00:09:25,120 --> 00:09:27,280 Speaker 2: How can I do that? And you know a very 200 00:09:27,280 --> 00:09:28,240 Speaker 2: interesting thing as well. 201 00:09:28,280 --> 00:09:32,040 Speaker 1: I just want to throw out here is DFS and 202 00:09:32,120 --> 00:09:33,520 Speaker 1: the prop market. 203 00:09:33,840 --> 00:09:36,640 Speaker 2: They do pair like a good wine and sy sir. 204 00:09:37,000 --> 00:09:38,079 Speaker 2: I think you can pare. 205 00:09:37,960 --> 00:09:41,680 Speaker 1: Those beautifully together, Michael Thomas, Like you said, actually, this 206 00:09:41,760 --> 00:09:43,960 Speaker 1: is the highest receiving prop total I've seen in quite 207 00:09:44,000 --> 00:09:45,200 Speaker 1: some time, forty three and a half. 208 00:09:45,240 --> 00:09:47,680 Speaker 2: You actually don't usually see that number. 209 00:09:47,960 --> 00:09:50,400 Speaker 3: So is Michael Thomas the smoke Gouda of the week. 210 00:09:50,640 --> 00:09:53,880 Speaker 1: He might be the smoke Guda, and if it's not 211 00:09:54,000 --> 00:09:55,760 Speaker 1: just DFS, you can do it in the prop market. 212 00:09:55,880 --> 00:09:58,559 Speaker 1: Because if you're playing season long fantasy football and you're 213 00:09:58,559 --> 00:10:02,200 Speaker 1: looking to become even more invested in your fantasy football teams, 214 00:10:02,240 --> 00:10:04,880 Speaker 1: we got the game changer for you. Visit fantasypros dot 215 00:10:04,920 --> 00:10:08,520 Speaker 1: com slash props and you can view the top recommended 216 00:10:08,520 --> 00:10:11,920 Speaker 1: player prop bets for your fantasy football players. Combine your 217 00:10:11,920 --> 00:10:16,280 Speaker 1: fantasy football knowledge with our prop bet cheat sheep to 218 00:10:16,320 --> 00:10:18,880 Speaker 1: make informed bets and score big. If you're ready to 219 00:10:18,880 --> 00:10:21,920 Speaker 1: become a prop bet pro, head over to fantasypros dot 220 00:10:21,920 --> 00:10:25,880 Speaker 1: com slash props today and let's get some wins. Whether 221 00:10:25,920 --> 00:10:29,520 Speaker 1: it's DFS in the prop market. Fantasy football friends, they're 222 00:10:29,559 --> 00:10:32,800 Speaker 1: all married, they're all in the same house. Maybe they 223 00:10:32,800 --> 00:10:35,480 Speaker 1: don't sleep in the same bed, but they've got rooms 224 00:10:35,600 --> 00:10:39,240 Speaker 1: under the same roof. You know, when it's not flooded 225 00:10:39,240 --> 00:10:41,720 Speaker 1: depro like, when you can actually stay in the same 226 00:10:41,800 --> 00:10:44,360 Speaker 1: rooms together. You know what I'm saying here, We're gonna 227 00:10:44,360 --> 00:10:44,960 Speaker 1: do a whole other. 228 00:10:44,840 --> 00:10:48,559 Speaker 3: Podcast here, it's real there before we move on here. 229 00:10:48,640 --> 00:10:52,000 Speaker 3: Speaking of fine wines, Alexander Madison right now, so he 230 00:10:52,160 --> 00:10:55,320 Speaker 3: is projecting at under ten percent roster this week, so 231 00:10:55,400 --> 00:10:58,680 Speaker 3: five to ten percent. So wow, you know nobody's playing 232 00:10:58,720 --> 00:11:01,360 Speaker 3: Michael Thomas. So if you want to play the chalky lineup, 233 00:11:01,559 --> 00:11:03,960 Speaker 3: or you like a lot of the highly roster plays 234 00:11:03,960 --> 00:11:06,480 Speaker 3: this week, you want to bring that overall roster percentage 235 00:11:06,480 --> 00:11:08,920 Speaker 3: of your lineup down. Play a mini stack of Alexander 236 00:11:08,960 --> 00:11:10,200 Speaker 3: Madison and Michael Thomas. 237 00:11:10,280 --> 00:11:10,720 Speaker 2: I like that. 238 00:11:10,840 --> 00:11:13,560 Speaker 1: Let's go over to Houston and Cincinnati. Overs are always 239 00:11:13,559 --> 00:11:16,480 Speaker 1: in play with CJ Stroud, We've got it's around forty six. 240 00:11:16,520 --> 00:11:17,920 Speaker 1: It looks like forty six and a half is like 241 00:11:17,960 --> 00:11:20,840 Speaker 1: the standard number. You can maybe get forty seven CJ. 242 00:11:20,960 --> 00:11:21,400 Speaker 2: Stroud. 243 00:11:21,840 --> 00:11:24,920 Speaker 1: I played him last week and dominated in a matchup, 244 00:11:25,200 --> 00:11:27,720 Speaker 1: so you got yeah. I mean Tank Dell is probably 245 00:11:27,760 --> 00:11:30,240 Speaker 1: in play here, and there might even be a Bengal 246 00:11:30,320 --> 00:11:32,680 Speaker 1: or two, though I'm not super interested in Bengal. So 247 00:11:33,000 --> 00:11:35,000 Speaker 1: where is the where are the DFS plays out of 248 00:11:35,000 --> 00:11:36,280 Speaker 1: Houston and Cincinnati for you? 249 00:11:36,920 --> 00:11:37,040 Speaker 4: Uh? 250 00:11:37,200 --> 00:11:39,640 Speaker 3: So I want to bring a first talking about this game, 251 00:11:39,720 --> 00:11:42,240 Speaker 3: Joe Mixon is looking chalky as all get out. That 252 00:11:42,360 --> 00:11:46,160 Speaker 3: is easy chalk to fade this week. This is Houston narrative. 253 00:11:46,200 --> 00:11:48,200 Speaker 3: And I know that we just saw Rashad White go 254 00:11:48,280 --> 00:11:50,720 Speaker 3: for two touchdowns if for shod White, and those are 255 00:11:50,720 --> 00:11:53,120 Speaker 3: the only two touchdowns that man scored this year. So 256 00:11:53,360 --> 00:11:56,880 Speaker 3: if you want to chase that, good luck, I mean salutations, 257 00:11:56,920 --> 00:11:59,800 Speaker 3: good luck to you. I'm not doing that. Looking at 258 00:11:59,840 --> 00:12:03,440 Speaker 3: a Houston Texans run defense of last four games, allowing 259 00:12:03,440 --> 00:12:06,199 Speaker 3: these sixth lowest yards of to contact per attempt, second 260 00:12:06,200 --> 00:12:10,240 Speaker 3: lowest explosive run rate, and fifth lowest fantasy points via rushing. 261 00:12:10,360 --> 00:12:13,400 Speaker 3: So no Joe Mixon fade that chalk baby on the 262 00:12:13,400 --> 00:12:16,960 Speaker 3: Bengals side, staying with them. I was interested in Joe 263 00:12:16,960 --> 00:12:20,079 Speaker 3: Burrow walking into this week, but now with T Higgins 264 00:12:20,400 --> 00:12:22,559 Speaker 3: it's just a matter of time. He's not going to play. 265 00:12:24,520 --> 00:12:27,319 Speaker 3: Jamar Chase is banged up. I do believe if you're 266 00:12:27,320 --> 00:12:30,920 Speaker 3: going to play the Bengals this week, assuming T is out, 267 00:12:31,000 --> 00:12:34,440 Speaker 3: Trenton Irwin comes into play as a really men priced guy. 268 00:12:34,480 --> 00:12:37,160 Speaker 3: We've seen him garner targets anytime T has been out. 269 00:12:37,440 --> 00:12:39,320 Speaker 3: Go look at the box scores from last year and 270 00:12:39,440 --> 00:12:43,880 Speaker 3: earlier this year. So again, large field g GPP play 271 00:12:43,960 --> 00:12:46,560 Speaker 3: for Trenton Irwin not gonna be my main lineup, but 272 00:12:46,640 --> 00:12:51,000 Speaker 3: he is in play. But for this we've seen it 273 00:12:51,120 --> 00:12:54,800 Speaker 3: so many times, tried and true Welsh that when Joe 274 00:12:54,800 --> 00:12:57,280 Speaker 3: Burrow goes out and has a ceiling week. And I'm 275 00:12:57,280 --> 00:12:58,880 Speaker 3: not saying that this is going to be a ceiling 276 00:12:58,920 --> 00:13:02,400 Speaker 3: week because of how banged up this offense is, but 277 00:13:03,120 --> 00:13:04,880 Speaker 3: this is all to say that all of that ceiling 278 00:13:05,040 --> 00:13:09,520 Speaker 3: is correlated highly to Jamar Chase. So assuming Chase plays, 279 00:13:09,559 --> 00:13:11,800 Speaker 3: I think you can get most of the production from 280 00:13:11,800 --> 00:13:16,160 Speaker 3: Cincinnati this week in just playing Chase. So I'm off 281 00:13:16,200 --> 00:13:18,880 Speaker 3: a Burrow considering if you wanted to run a mini 282 00:13:18,880 --> 00:13:21,120 Speaker 3: stack of Burrow and Chase, that's fine, I get it. 283 00:13:21,640 --> 00:13:25,640 Speaker 3: But onto the Texan side, man, it's another week for 284 00:13:25,679 --> 00:13:28,960 Speaker 3: c J. Stroud. I like CJ. Stroud. The Bengals pass 285 00:13:29,040 --> 00:13:31,880 Speaker 3: defense is really good. Do not get me wrong when 286 00:13:31,920 --> 00:13:33,440 Speaker 3: I say that, But if you look over the last 287 00:13:33,440 --> 00:13:36,680 Speaker 3: four games, they are giving up production to the deep 288 00:13:36,679 --> 00:13:39,840 Speaker 3: ball fifth highest pass rating, eighth most d passing yards 289 00:13:39,880 --> 00:13:43,480 Speaker 3: per game allowed. So CJ. Stroud is in play again 290 00:13:43,600 --> 00:13:45,520 Speaker 3: this week in a high total game. We don't have 291 00:13:45,559 --> 00:13:47,320 Speaker 3: a lot of high totals to play with here well, 292 00:13:47,679 --> 00:13:50,880 Speaker 3: so we had to figure out how And I think 293 00:13:50,880 --> 00:13:53,440 Speaker 3: that's another thing to talk about. When we get further 294 00:13:53,600 --> 00:13:57,200 Speaker 3: into the season, temperature start dropping, you get these bad 295 00:13:57,240 --> 00:13:59,360 Speaker 3: weather games, we get cold games, we get all these 296 00:13:59,400 --> 00:14:04,000 Speaker 3: low total So getting these high total games right on 297 00:14:04,120 --> 00:14:07,600 Speaker 3: DFS slates is paramount. Man, are you going to fade them? 298 00:14:07,640 --> 00:14:09,440 Speaker 3: Are you going to dive into them? Are you going 299 00:14:09,440 --> 00:14:11,000 Speaker 3: to x them out of your player pool? What are 300 00:14:11,040 --> 00:14:13,480 Speaker 3: you going to do with these guys? And for CJ. Stroud, 301 00:14:13,520 --> 00:14:15,080 Speaker 3: I'm just going to go back to the well this week. 302 00:14:15,160 --> 00:14:17,480 Speaker 3: And if Nico Collins, assuming that he is going to 303 00:14:17,520 --> 00:14:19,000 Speaker 3: be out, and I think it's a pretty good assumption 304 00:14:19,080 --> 00:14:22,200 Speaker 3: to make this week, then we're talking about a consolidated 305 00:14:22,360 --> 00:14:27,200 Speaker 3: passing attack and really all the numbers bear out where 306 00:14:27,280 --> 00:14:30,320 Speaker 3: you should go in this passing attack. It's c J. Stroud. 307 00:14:30,560 --> 00:14:34,960 Speaker 3: It's freaking Tank Dell. Let's ride baby. Another tank explosion 308 00:14:35,000 --> 00:14:38,920 Speaker 3: week is possibly on paper here because he has owned 309 00:14:38,920 --> 00:14:42,720 Speaker 3: the deep role for this offense. So Tank Dell deep shots. 310 00:14:42,720 --> 00:14:45,000 Speaker 3: You can interest me in that. In Dalton Schultz Man, 311 00:14:45,240 --> 00:14:47,800 Speaker 3: this Cincinnati Bengals defense, you can go back and look 312 00:14:47,840 --> 00:14:50,880 Speaker 3: at multiple years, the last three to four years, basically 313 00:14:50,920 --> 00:14:54,400 Speaker 3: since ol Lou has been calling defensive plays here for Cincinnati. 314 00:14:54,400 --> 00:14:56,080 Speaker 3: And I didn't say his last name because I always 315 00:14:56,120 --> 00:15:00,480 Speaker 3: butcher it. But since Lou sweet Lou has been calling 316 00:15:00,560 --> 00:15:04,000 Speaker 3: defensive plays for Cincinnati. The two things you can give 317 00:15:04,120 --> 00:15:06,320 Speaker 3: up are pretty much every single year they give it 318 00:15:06,360 --> 00:15:10,280 Speaker 3: production to the slot, maybe some deep passing, it's always, always, 319 00:15:10,440 --> 00:15:14,600 Speaker 3: always against the tight end. Two they have always Cincinnati. 320 00:15:14,640 --> 00:15:16,840 Speaker 3: You can go back and trace this through four years 321 00:15:16,840 --> 00:15:21,160 Speaker 3: of data. Welsh, they give a production to the tight 322 00:15:21,240 --> 00:15:23,200 Speaker 3: end position. Dalton Schultz has been playing out of his 323 00:15:23,320 --> 00:15:27,440 Speaker 3: mind Cincinnati again, giving it up third highest fantasy points 324 00:15:27,440 --> 00:15:30,800 Speaker 3: per game allowed and third highest receiving yards per game 325 00:15:30,840 --> 00:15:33,320 Speaker 3: allowed to the tight end position. So even if you 326 00:15:33,440 --> 00:15:35,920 Speaker 3: do not like this game, I'm telling you right now, 327 00:15:36,440 --> 00:15:40,240 Speaker 3: Dalton Schultz should be in the conversation for tight end 328 00:15:40,360 --> 00:15:43,680 Speaker 3: and one offs for you this week. He's probably If 329 00:15:43,680 --> 00:15:45,920 Speaker 3: he's not my favorite play of the slate at tight end, 330 00:15:45,920 --> 00:15:47,840 Speaker 3: he's damn near like he's in the conversation for the 331 00:15:47,840 --> 00:15:48,480 Speaker 3: top two or three. 332 00:15:48,520 --> 00:15:49,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, I was about to say he might be one 333 00:15:49,760 --> 00:15:52,040 Speaker 1: of the top guys. I'd also just throw out with 334 00:15:52,280 --> 00:15:55,320 Speaker 1: Robert Woods banged up and the Nico stuff, Noah Brown. 335 00:15:55,360 --> 00:15:57,640 Speaker 1: If you're looking dirt dirt cheap, there might be someone 336 00:15:57,680 --> 00:15:59,200 Speaker 1: you want to pay attention to if you can the 337 00:15:59,240 --> 00:15:59,680 Speaker 1: other guy. 338 00:15:59,680 --> 00:16:01,720 Speaker 3: Bring up in that conversation because I love that you're 339 00:16:01,760 --> 00:16:05,200 Speaker 3: you're you went there, Welsh, uh in large field GPPs. 340 00:16:05,280 --> 00:16:10,560 Speaker 3: Now we need the we need the news that uh 341 00:16:10,680 --> 00:16:13,760 Speaker 3: Nico is going to be out. But considering and and 342 00:16:13,800 --> 00:16:16,400 Speaker 3: following beat right reports, I will be updating the primer 343 00:16:16,640 --> 00:16:19,640 Speaker 3: UH Friday night, so I will probably be adding some 344 00:16:19,720 --> 00:16:22,920 Speaker 3: blurbs on players, Trent Irwin being one the other guy 345 00:16:22,920 --> 00:16:24,560 Speaker 3: that I will bring up here. It's either going to 346 00:16:24,600 --> 00:16:28,800 Speaker 3: be one of John Metchi or Xavier Hutchinson. So again, 347 00:16:28,840 --> 00:16:31,720 Speaker 3: if you're looking to pay down to men with the 348 00:16:31,880 --> 00:16:34,400 Speaker 3: injuries and that's that, that is a fantastic I love 349 00:16:34,440 --> 00:16:37,480 Speaker 3: that you brought that up, Welsh, because we always need 350 00:16:37,480 --> 00:16:40,600 Speaker 3: to understand that not only are we going to x 351 00:16:40,680 --> 00:16:43,160 Speaker 3: players out of our player pool or games out of 352 00:16:43,160 --> 00:16:46,960 Speaker 3: our player pool in dfs because of injuries, there are 353 00:16:47,040 --> 00:16:51,600 Speaker 3: also these free square men, priced wide receivers and plays 354 00:16:51,640 --> 00:16:54,520 Speaker 3: that get opened up in the process. So stay tuned 355 00:16:54,560 --> 00:16:56,320 Speaker 3: for those updates. In the primer. It's either going to 356 00:16:56,360 --> 00:16:58,840 Speaker 3: be hutch or Metchi, and a lot of that depends 357 00:16:58,840 --> 00:17:00,840 Speaker 3: on what are they going to do with know A. Brown. 358 00:17:01,280 --> 00:17:04,520 Speaker 3: If Robert Woods is ruled out, I kind of think 359 00:17:04,560 --> 00:17:08,600 Speaker 3: that Noah Brown will end up going to being pumped 360 00:17:08,680 --> 00:17:11,280 Speaker 3: to the outside some of my lean right now as 361 00:17:11,280 --> 00:17:14,080 Speaker 3: we record this as John Metchi is gonna play the slot, 362 00:17:14,560 --> 00:17:17,440 Speaker 3: so my leen is probably just to invest further and 363 00:17:17,480 --> 00:17:18,600 Speaker 3: Noah Brown, but we'll see. 364 00:17:19,520 --> 00:17:21,159 Speaker 1: I don't know if there's gonna be much out of 365 00:17:21,160 --> 00:17:23,280 Speaker 1: this game we can burn. I'm slowing us down here. 366 00:17:23,320 --> 00:17:26,639 Speaker 1: But Cleveland and Baltimore. You got an under forty total 367 00:17:27,760 --> 00:17:29,920 Speaker 1: if you could sell me, if there's a Cleveland guy 368 00:17:30,000 --> 00:17:34,160 Speaker 1: you want. Baltimore is interesting. But I love za flowers. 369 00:17:34,359 --> 00:17:37,360 Speaker 1: I love ze flowers in the prop market, maybe more 370 00:17:37,359 --> 00:17:39,960 Speaker 1: than anything this week. I think it puts them in 371 00:17:40,000 --> 00:17:42,520 Speaker 1: play if the prices are cheap enough. But outside of that, 372 00:17:42,560 --> 00:17:44,639 Speaker 1: I'm not sure if there's any investment for me in 373 00:17:44,720 --> 00:17:45,120 Speaker 1: this game. 374 00:17:45,160 --> 00:17:46,119 Speaker 2: What about you? 375 00:17:47,359 --> 00:17:50,280 Speaker 3: I have a lot of interesting gus edwards in this game. 376 00:17:50,600 --> 00:17:53,199 Speaker 3: I stand a posed to consensus when everybody says you 377 00:17:53,280 --> 00:17:57,439 Speaker 3: cannot run on the Browns, because all the data says, well, 378 00:17:57,480 --> 00:18:00,359 Speaker 3: you surely can run on the Browns. And what do 379 00:18:00,400 --> 00:18:02,639 Speaker 3: the Ravens want to do? What have the Ravens done 380 00:18:02,720 --> 00:18:05,280 Speaker 3: over the last few weeks to kaibash all of our 381 00:18:05,400 --> 00:18:10,080 Speaker 3: Lamar Jackson or Zavelower's or Mark Andrew's love that. I mean, 382 00:18:10,320 --> 00:18:14,879 Speaker 3: it happens every single freaking week, Welsh, and so really 383 00:18:16,000 --> 00:18:18,600 Speaker 3: the only player out of this game, Like I get 384 00:18:18,640 --> 00:18:22,760 Speaker 3: that Mark Andrews against this against this defense, win for 385 00:18:22,800 --> 00:18:24,720 Speaker 3: eighty and two scores the first time they met. I'm 386 00:18:24,720 --> 00:18:26,800 Speaker 3: not going to dive back into that and chase that. 387 00:18:27,359 --> 00:18:30,359 Speaker 3: I think it's just another game where Gus Edwards goes wild. 388 00:18:30,440 --> 00:18:32,280 Speaker 3: He's not on the injury report this week, so I 389 00:18:32,320 --> 00:18:35,360 Speaker 3: think he is healthy, healthier coming out of last game. 390 00:18:35,440 --> 00:18:38,440 Speaker 3: So him leaving early in that blowout game, I don't 391 00:18:38,440 --> 00:18:39,960 Speaker 3: think it was injury related. I think it was just 392 00:18:40,000 --> 00:18:42,000 Speaker 3: like Baltimore's like, screw, like, we're not going to run 393 00:18:42,040 --> 00:18:45,760 Speaker 3: Gus anymore. He got two touchdowns. I mean, look at 394 00:18:45,760 --> 00:18:50,040 Speaker 3: what he's been doing. It's been very eye opening Welsh 395 00:18:50,080 --> 00:18:53,200 Speaker 3: to see Gus Edwards. His efficiency metrics have been climbing 396 00:18:53,240 --> 00:18:55,280 Speaker 3: every single week. Like right now, out of forty five 397 00:18:55,359 --> 00:18:59,480 Speaker 3: qualified running backs, he's seventeenth in explosive run rate, twentiethe 398 00:18:59,600 --> 00:19:01,960 Speaker 3: yards of contact per attempt, and again, like I talked about, 399 00:19:02,240 --> 00:19:05,160 Speaker 3: you can run on the Browns. Since Week five, they're 400 00:19:05,200 --> 00:19:10,240 Speaker 3: allowing the highest mistackles for allowed per attempt and the 401 00:19:10,280 --> 00:19:13,360 Speaker 3: fifth highest yards of the contact per attempt. So, Gus, 402 00:19:13,480 --> 00:19:16,520 Speaker 3: this is a game where Keaton Mitchell is banged up. 403 00:19:16,600 --> 00:19:19,880 Speaker 3: He's dealing with a hamstring issues. So I think Gus 404 00:19:19,960 --> 00:19:22,720 Speaker 3: is not going to be popular this week. Man, I'm 405 00:19:22,720 --> 00:19:26,960 Speaker 3: looking right now on projections. Come on, Gus Edwards zero 406 00:19:27,000 --> 00:19:29,520 Speaker 3: to one percent? Good lord, all right, I'm gonna have 407 00:19:29,560 --> 00:19:31,320 Speaker 3: a ton of Gus Edwards this week. Lock it in. 408 00:19:31,480 --> 00:19:32,159 Speaker 2: Yeah, the kid. 409 00:19:32,080 --> 00:19:36,080 Speaker 1: Mitchell stuff makes it makes this actually a really really 410 00:19:36,119 --> 00:19:38,280 Speaker 1: smart play. I hadn't even thought about that, So I'm in. 411 00:19:38,359 --> 00:19:41,280 Speaker 1: I'm Gus getting the touchdowns and they'll be. 412 00:19:41,160 --> 00:19:43,760 Speaker 3: Betting his overs and if you want to chase any 413 00:19:43,800 --> 00:19:46,200 Speaker 3: anytime touchdown props, I mean, good lord, the de man's 414 00:19:46,240 --> 00:19:48,520 Speaker 3: been like Christian McCaffrey over the last few weeks. Just 415 00:19:48,880 --> 00:19:51,800 Speaker 3: Gus Edwards, rushing touchdowns, death taxes, all those things. 416 00:19:52,040 --> 00:19:54,120 Speaker 2: Forty six and a half on the rushing yard total. 417 00:19:54,760 --> 00:19:56,240 Speaker 3: Well, so give me that damn over. 418 00:19:56,400 --> 00:20:02,399 Speaker 2: Yeah, we might be playing that. Boys, get ready, we're 419 00:20:02,440 --> 00:20:03,960 Speaker 2: going to that word WHOA. 420 00:20:05,440 --> 00:20:08,240 Speaker 1: I want to tell you that was the most Joe 421 00:20:08,320 --> 00:20:10,520 Speaker 1: that we're gonna go off the rails here. But I 422 00:20:10,520 --> 00:20:12,520 Speaker 1: would like to tell you, as we are sitting here 423 00:20:12,560 --> 00:20:16,560 Speaker 1: optimizing your lineups in your ear. 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If anything, you. 439 00:21:09,520 --> 00:21:12,159 Speaker 3: Can interest me in large field GBPS, I'm in on. 440 00:21:12,200 --> 00:21:15,239 Speaker 3: Will love us man, We've seen him already, show us 441 00:21:15,280 --> 00:21:18,000 Speaker 3: a ceiling going for twenty five plus DK in his 442 00:21:18,080 --> 00:21:20,040 Speaker 3: first start. I'm not saying that we're gonna get that, 443 00:21:20,080 --> 00:21:22,400 Speaker 3: but at his price point, if he gets you anywhere 444 00:21:22,440 --> 00:21:25,720 Speaker 3: from like fifteen to twenty DK, you're living good man. 445 00:21:25,840 --> 00:21:28,959 Speaker 3: So Will Levis and Will Levis double stacks are firmly 446 00:21:29,000 --> 00:21:31,840 Speaker 3: in play here. DeAndre Hopkins is the easy one, yep. 447 00:21:31,960 --> 00:21:33,399 Speaker 3: The other guy I'm going to talk about here is 448 00:21:33,440 --> 00:21:36,720 Speaker 3: Kyle Phillips again talking about men priced wide receivers that 449 00:21:36,800 --> 00:21:39,520 Speaker 3: open up the board. Kyle Phillips. Last week he only 450 00:21:39,560 --> 00:21:42,000 Speaker 3: played thirty percent of the snaps, but that man got 451 00:21:42,000 --> 00:21:45,040 Speaker 3: a twenty six percent target per route run rate. He 452 00:21:45,119 --> 00:21:47,480 Speaker 3: led the team in receiving yards three point five yards 453 00:21:47,520 --> 00:21:50,400 Speaker 3: per route run. Looking at this matchup, I think he's 454 00:21:50,400 --> 00:21:52,600 Speaker 3: gonna run from the slot against Tampa Bay a lot 455 00:21:52,640 --> 00:21:55,480 Speaker 3: of the eighth highest PPR points per target two slot 456 00:21:55,480 --> 00:21:59,399 Speaker 3: wide receivers. So Will Levis doubles with Hopkins and Kyle Phillips. 457 00:21:59,480 --> 00:22:02,280 Speaker 3: Let's bring it back, baby, and the bringbacks are easy 458 00:22:02,320 --> 00:22:04,600 Speaker 3: in this game. It's either Rashad White or Mike Evans, 459 00:22:04,720 --> 00:22:07,280 Speaker 3: or hell, it's both. If you think this game possibly 460 00:22:07,320 --> 00:22:09,600 Speaker 3: shoots out, and it's possible, man, Like we've seen the 461 00:22:09,600 --> 00:22:14,200 Speaker 3: Buccaneers in their past defense and Baker Mayfield being able 462 00:22:14,240 --> 00:22:17,159 Speaker 3: to push on the other side. This could be one 463 00:22:17,160 --> 00:22:19,840 Speaker 3: of the sneaky shoot shootouts of the week that goes over. 464 00:22:20,280 --> 00:22:22,040 Speaker 3: And I know that's crazy to say looking at this 465 00:22:22,119 --> 00:22:24,760 Speaker 3: low total, but I mean we've seen it time and 466 00:22:24,760 --> 00:22:27,440 Speaker 3: time again. The Buccaneers can push back, so this is 467 00:22:27,480 --> 00:22:30,800 Speaker 3: easy man Will Lovis, doubles, DeAndre, Kyle Phillips bring it 468 00:22:30,840 --> 00:22:33,359 Speaker 3: back with Rashad White, Mike Evans. We moving on baby. 469 00:22:33,240 --> 00:22:34,080 Speaker 2: Thirty eight and a half? 470 00:22:34,119 --> 00:22:35,920 Speaker 1: Is that line right now? So that also might just 471 00:22:35,960 --> 00:22:36,680 Speaker 1: be a betting player. 472 00:22:36,720 --> 00:22:38,919 Speaker 3: I want to bet the over. I'll bet you already you. 473 00:22:38,960 --> 00:22:39,600 Speaker 2: Might want to hit that. 474 00:22:39,640 --> 00:22:40,840 Speaker 1: I actually kind of like the idea of like a 475 00:22:40,880 --> 00:22:44,439 Speaker 1: Mike Evans and DeAndre Hopkins wide receiver setup and you 476 00:22:44,480 --> 00:22:47,359 Speaker 1: can even any Yeah, you can find some cheap the 477 00:22:47,400 --> 00:22:47,919 Speaker 1: salary too. 478 00:22:48,000 --> 00:22:51,159 Speaker 3: Kyle Phillips and Mike Evans go oppo because Rashad White 479 00:22:51,240 --> 00:22:55,480 Speaker 3: is going to be extremely chalky this week. So looking up, 480 00:22:55,600 --> 00:22:59,200 Speaker 3: just real fast, where is Mike Evans. He's Mike Evans 481 00:22:59,200 --> 00:23:01,880 Speaker 3: is never popular Welsh. Nobody wants to play Mike Evans, 482 00:23:01,920 --> 00:23:04,440 Speaker 3: even in the Tom Brady days. Yeah, Mike Evans one 483 00:23:04,480 --> 00:23:07,639 Speaker 3: to five percent. So if you want again talking about 484 00:23:07,720 --> 00:23:10,400 Speaker 3: you want to save salary and get different, Kyle Phillips, 485 00:23:10,480 --> 00:23:13,560 Speaker 3: Mike Evans is only going to cost you ten point 486 00:23:13,600 --> 00:23:16,520 Speaker 3: two k on DK really good way to get different 487 00:23:16,520 --> 00:23:17,000 Speaker 3: and save. 488 00:23:16,840 --> 00:23:18,960 Speaker 1: Salary, and maybe you want to save that salary for 489 00:23:19,200 --> 00:23:21,800 Speaker 1: Christian McCaffrey, who will be the most expensive anybody because 490 00:23:21,920 --> 00:23:26,480 Speaker 1: it is a matchup Jacksonville. On both sides play very 491 00:23:26,520 --> 00:23:28,760 Speaker 1: well to Christian McCaffrey, especially if you want to play 492 00:23:28,760 --> 00:23:31,200 Speaker 1: some props, but it's tougher to get it in DFS lineups. 493 00:23:31,280 --> 00:23:33,560 Speaker 1: Niners are coming off of a bye. We've got a 494 00:23:33,680 --> 00:23:37,960 Speaker 1: forty four and a half total in Jacksonville. So what 495 00:23:38,040 --> 00:23:39,800 Speaker 1: do you think on this bad boy? What are you 496 00:23:39,840 --> 00:23:43,120 Speaker 1: betting out of San Francisco and Jacksonville. Deebo's back, Brandon Ayuk, 497 00:23:43,119 --> 00:23:46,159 Speaker 1: it's been a little bit dicey, are there Jacksonville pieces? 498 00:23:46,160 --> 00:23:48,399 Speaker 1: I mean, the wide receivers are super tantalizing because the 499 00:23:48,400 --> 00:23:51,280 Speaker 1: secondary for the Niners is garbage. It's just do you 500 00:23:51,320 --> 00:23:54,040 Speaker 1: take the risk with a guy like Calvin Ridley or 501 00:23:54,119 --> 00:23:56,280 Speaker 1: play it chocky with a guy like Christian Kirk. 502 00:23:56,920 --> 00:23:59,840 Speaker 3: So Deebo will be making it into my update for 503 00:23:59,840 --> 00:24:02,240 Speaker 3: the primer. I love him this week. He's going to 504 00:24:02,320 --> 00:24:07,760 Speaker 3: smash his numbers versus the coverages that Jacksonville has been rolling. 505 00:24:07,840 --> 00:24:10,400 Speaker 3: They have been rolling on. It's a lot of see 506 00:24:10,440 --> 00:24:12,080 Speaker 3: the single high or too high? I forget it off 507 00:24:12,080 --> 00:24:15,680 Speaker 3: the top of my head. But with their safeties, it's 508 00:24:15,720 --> 00:24:18,679 Speaker 3: a fantastic game for Deebo. Deebo is honestly my favorite 509 00:24:18,720 --> 00:24:22,760 Speaker 3: wide receiver of this entire slate, So I want to 510 00:24:22,760 --> 00:24:25,080 Speaker 3: play a lot of Debo. I think Brock Party doubles 511 00:24:25,119 --> 00:24:28,000 Speaker 3: are in play for this so Brock Party Deebo and 512 00:24:28,040 --> 00:24:30,919 Speaker 3: Brandon Ayuk. I think Trevor Lawrence is in play this 513 00:24:31,000 --> 00:24:35,800 Speaker 3: week because not only you can run on the San 514 00:24:35,840 --> 00:24:38,119 Speaker 3: Francisco forty nine ers, do not get me wrong, you 515 00:24:38,160 --> 00:24:40,280 Speaker 3: could run on them. So Travis etn is in play 516 00:24:40,280 --> 00:24:42,760 Speaker 3: in this game. But if you're going to get different 517 00:24:42,800 --> 00:24:47,160 Speaker 3: on this game, I like Trevor Lawrence and I think 518 00:24:47,240 --> 00:24:49,199 Speaker 3: Christian Kirk is in play, but he's not the guy 519 00:24:49,280 --> 00:24:52,440 Speaker 3: that I want to double with Trevor Lawrence. But the 520 00:24:52,480 --> 00:24:54,359 Speaker 3: first name I'm clicking this week and a lot of 521 00:24:54,400 --> 00:24:58,320 Speaker 3: lineup building is Calvin Ridley. I love Calvin Ridley this week. 522 00:24:58,320 --> 00:24:59,320 Speaker 2: Welsh. 523 00:24:59,480 --> 00:25:01,560 Speaker 3: If your look at what the forty nine ers have 524 00:25:01,600 --> 00:25:05,520 Speaker 3: done since week five, fifty five percent of single high 525 00:25:05,560 --> 00:25:10,479 Speaker 3: coverage against single high Calvin Ridley has dominated dude twenty 526 00:25:10,480 --> 00:25:13,360 Speaker 3: five percent, target chair forty six percent, are yard chair 527 00:25:13,720 --> 00:25:17,480 Speaker 3: twenty nine percent first read chair. Those numbers should jump 528 00:25:17,520 --> 00:25:21,560 Speaker 3: off the freaking page for people. So Calvin Ridley is 529 00:25:21,600 --> 00:25:23,919 Speaker 3: one of my favorite plays. I love a mini stack 530 00:25:23,960 --> 00:25:27,480 Speaker 3: of Calvin Ridley and Debo in this game. That's my 531 00:25:27,600 --> 00:25:30,520 Speaker 3: favorite way to play this game. As well as talking 532 00:25:30,560 --> 00:25:32,600 Speaker 3: about the forty nine ers have been giving up production 533 00:25:32,760 --> 00:25:37,800 Speaker 3: to deep passing. Calvin really leads this team in deep passing. Uh. 534 00:25:37,840 --> 00:25:39,480 Speaker 3: The only other player that I want to mention here 535 00:25:39,520 --> 00:25:41,359 Speaker 3: before I get out of here, I said, Christian Kirk 536 00:25:41,440 --> 00:25:44,399 Speaker 3: is in play. He's fine, His numbers are solid, not 537 00:25:44,480 --> 00:25:47,280 Speaker 3: amazing versus the coverage is that he's going to see 538 00:25:47,359 --> 00:25:49,199 Speaker 3: versus the forty nine ers. Evan Ingram's the other guy 539 00:25:49,200 --> 00:25:52,480 Speaker 3: I want to bring up here because he has been 540 00:25:52,520 --> 00:25:56,159 Speaker 3: a volume monster this year, and essentially we need to 541 00:25:56,160 --> 00:25:58,560 Speaker 3: talk about Evan Ingram as a slot wide receiver because 542 00:25:58,560 --> 00:26:00,560 Speaker 3: he runs fifty two percent of his route via the 543 00:26:00,600 --> 00:26:03,600 Speaker 3: slot and looking since Week five, the forty nine ers 544 00:26:03,640 --> 00:26:06,400 Speaker 3: are giving up the third highest PPR points per target 545 00:26:06,720 --> 00:26:11,280 Speaker 3: two opposing slot receivers. Give me Evan Ingram, So Trevor 546 00:26:11,359 --> 00:26:12,959 Speaker 3: Lawrence just to wrap this up, because I know I've 547 00:26:12,960 --> 00:26:15,080 Speaker 3: brought up a bunch of names here. Trevor Lawrence and 548 00:26:15,080 --> 00:26:17,000 Speaker 3: Party are in play. If you're playing Party, it's a 549 00:26:17,040 --> 00:26:20,360 Speaker 3: double with Ayuk and Deebo. If you're playing Trevor Lawrence, 550 00:26:20,480 --> 00:26:23,720 Speaker 3: then my favorite way to go with that is to 551 00:26:23,800 --> 00:26:27,119 Speaker 3: either double him with one of ETN and Ridley really 552 00:26:27,119 --> 00:26:29,960 Speaker 3: being the core play, or going Ridley and Evan Ingram 553 00:26:30,040 --> 00:26:30,560 Speaker 3: and we'll move it. 554 00:26:30,560 --> 00:26:35,040 Speaker 1: On baby on the afternoon slate. We've got Detroit, Los Angeles. 555 00:26:35,200 --> 00:26:39,720 Speaker 1: You've got Montgomery back, perceivably because they're not releasing any 556 00:26:39,720 --> 00:26:41,680 Speaker 1: of the prop market stuff on any of those other guys. 557 00:26:41,680 --> 00:26:43,919 Speaker 1: I think Gibbs could be interesting more in props, not 558 00:26:44,040 --> 00:26:46,879 Speaker 1: in DFS. What are you pulling out of Detroit and 559 00:26:46,880 --> 00:26:47,679 Speaker 1: Los Angeles? 560 00:26:48,040 --> 00:26:51,560 Speaker 3: Uh? Jared Golf is firmly in play. He's the quarterback 561 00:26:51,600 --> 00:26:54,560 Speaker 3: I want to go from this game. I think this 562 00:26:54,640 --> 00:26:57,680 Speaker 3: game is going to be extremely popular this week, especially 563 00:26:57,680 --> 00:27:00,240 Speaker 3: looking at the total, and I'm not saying that's wrong high, 564 00:27:00,280 --> 00:27:00,840 Speaker 3: but if there's. 565 00:27:00,640 --> 00:27:03,040 Speaker 1: Still of any of these games on this slate that 566 00:27:03,080 --> 00:27:04,280 Speaker 1: we're talking about, and if. 567 00:27:04,160 --> 00:27:06,880 Speaker 3: There's any game that I'm most likely to fade, it's 568 00:27:06,920 --> 00:27:11,360 Speaker 3: honestly this one Welsh. Like, I think, looking at the game, 569 00:27:11,359 --> 00:27:13,119 Speaker 3: there's a lot of sexy pieces, there's a lot of 570 00:27:13,119 --> 00:27:15,600 Speaker 3: good plays and stuff like that, But for me, I 571 00:27:15,640 --> 00:27:17,000 Speaker 3: want to get weird with this. If you're going to 572 00:27:17,040 --> 00:27:19,560 Speaker 3: play this game, I think it's Jared Golf, It's Amanas 573 00:27:19,560 --> 00:27:22,960 Speaker 3: Saint Brown. If you want to throw Jamior Gibbs in there, 574 00:27:23,000 --> 00:27:26,200 Speaker 3: because Los Angeles has arouwed the second most receptions to 575 00:27:26,280 --> 00:27:28,720 Speaker 3: running backs, I'm totally with that. But the way that 576 00:27:28,760 --> 00:27:31,480 Speaker 3: I honestly want to play Jared Golf this week is 577 00:27:31,520 --> 00:27:35,080 Speaker 3: going with Amanas Saint Brown and Jamison Williams. And I 578 00:27:35,119 --> 00:27:37,440 Speaker 3: know I keep bringing up these men price wide receivers, 579 00:27:37,440 --> 00:27:40,000 Speaker 3: but I mean, look, they're popping, and like all the 580 00:27:40,240 --> 00:27:44,400 Speaker 3: matchups are popping. The Chargers have allowed tons of production 581 00:27:44,520 --> 00:27:47,800 Speaker 3: to deep passing. Fifth highest deep passing yards per game, 582 00:27:47,920 --> 00:27:51,040 Speaker 3: seventh highest deep adjusted completion rate allowed. So if there's 583 00:27:51,080 --> 00:27:54,080 Speaker 3: any game coming out of the Bye Welsh where we 584 00:27:54,119 --> 00:27:56,960 Speaker 3: could see Jamison Williams be unleashed be a full time 585 00:27:57,000 --> 00:28:01,120 Speaker 3: player in this offense, or hell, even running a sixty 586 00:28:01,160 --> 00:28:06,560 Speaker 3: percent route rate, even that this matchup screams that this 587 00:28:06,600 --> 00:28:11,119 Speaker 3: could be the Jamison Williams Monster game. So at his price, 588 00:28:11,680 --> 00:28:14,120 Speaker 3: love him this week, So Jared Golf, it's Aman Ross, 589 00:28:14,119 --> 00:28:19,080 Speaker 3: Saint Brown, Jamo. On the Chargers side, it's Keenan Allen, 590 00:28:19,320 --> 00:28:23,080 Speaker 3: or it's nobody. Honestly, I don't have a lot of 591 00:28:23,119 --> 00:28:26,320 Speaker 3: interest in Quentin Johnston. Austin Eckler is not fully healthy, 592 00:28:26,640 --> 00:28:28,840 Speaker 3: Detroit has been a really good run defense, and I 593 00:28:28,840 --> 00:28:30,960 Speaker 3: always gotta bring up Samy ball Game. He's in play 594 00:28:30,960 --> 00:28:32,560 Speaker 3: in this game too. So if you're not gonna go 595 00:28:33,240 --> 00:28:35,520 Speaker 3: with what people can feel as a thinner play with Jamo, 596 00:28:35,920 --> 00:28:38,640 Speaker 3: then you're double stacking Jared Golf with Aman Rossaint Brown 597 00:28:38,720 --> 00:28:41,680 Speaker 3: and Sammy ball Game. Because the Chargers have given up 598 00:28:41,680 --> 00:28:44,480 Speaker 3: the second highest receiving yards per game to opposing tight 599 00:28:44,600 --> 00:28:45,120 Speaker 3: ends this year. 600 00:28:45,280 --> 00:28:46,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, I do agree. 601 00:28:46,520 --> 00:28:48,720 Speaker 1: I think I'm probably fading off, even though this is 602 00:28:48,720 --> 00:28:50,280 Speaker 1: the highest total of guys that I want. 603 00:28:50,160 --> 00:28:51,280 Speaker 2: To get down with. 604 00:28:51,360 --> 00:28:55,280 Speaker 1: How about in Arizona, Kyler Murray is back, Marquise Brown 605 00:28:55,440 --> 00:28:59,840 Speaker 1: maybe back in play, Trey McBride, maybe lotsa Maybe it's 606 00:29:00,160 --> 00:29:03,200 Speaker 1: plays here, but an amazing matchup for Bijon Robinson. 607 00:29:03,280 --> 00:29:05,480 Speaker 2: But can he be trusted? Who do you want to 608 00:29:05,520 --> 00:29:06,960 Speaker 2: play out of Atlanta? Arizona? 609 00:29:07,480 --> 00:29:09,520 Speaker 3: Love Kyler in this one because people don't know what 610 00:29:09,560 --> 00:29:11,200 Speaker 3: to do with Kyler. They're like, is he gonna run? 611 00:29:11,280 --> 00:29:13,160 Speaker 3: Is he gonna play good? Is he gonna play like crap? 612 00:29:13,200 --> 00:29:16,120 Speaker 3: We don't know. It's it's just the stacking partners with 613 00:29:16,200 --> 00:29:20,160 Speaker 3: Kyler Murray. It's so freaking easy Welsh, it's Kyler Murray, 614 00:29:20,320 --> 00:29:24,000 Speaker 3: It's Hollywood Brown, it's trade McBride. Trade McBride has gotten 615 00:29:24,040 --> 00:29:28,160 Speaker 3: a monster, monster amount of usage in this offense. I mean, 616 00:29:28,360 --> 00:29:32,040 Speaker 3: since week eight, thirty three percent target chare, forty percent 617 00:29:32,080 --> 00:29:35,320 Speaker 3: first reach here. Those numbers are freaking bonkers, man Like, 618 00:29:35,360 --> 00:29:40,200 Speaker 3: that's that's elite wide receiver one type of usage and 619 00:29:40,600 --> 00:29:43,840 Speaker 3: going back to trade McBride this week. That's another reason 620 00:29:43,840 --> 00:29:47,160 Speaker 3: why double tight end is firmly in play because of McBride. 621 00:29:47,440 --> 00:29:49,800 Speaker 3: So not a way that I'll usually go on most slates, 622 00:29:49,800 --> 00:29:53,680 Speaker 3: but it is absolutely in play this week because people 623 00:29:53,720 --> 00:29:56,920 Speaker 3: miss the boat man. It's like with these tight ends, 624 00:29:57,120 --> 00:30:00,560 Speaker 3: if you look they need to be looked at through 625 00:30:00,600 --> 00:30:03,360 Speaker 3: the lens of these are wide receivers. These are wide 626 00:30:03,400 --> 00:30:05,800 Speaker 3: receiving options. If you were telling me there was a 627 00:30:05,840 --> 00:30:10,440 Speaker 3: sub four K wide receiver that could get eight plus targets, everybody, 628 00:30:10,600 --> 00:30:13,960 Speaker 3: it would be falling over backwards to play them. But 629 00:30:14,000 --> 00:30:16,920 Speaker 3: because he's a tight end, people are like, I don't know, 630 00:30:17,120 --> 00:30:19,560 Speaker 3: I don't know. 631 00:30:19,880 --> 00:30:21,720 Speaker 2: They do sound like that. When they do. 632 00:30:22,040 --> 00:30:26,440 Speaker 3: They do, everything gets squeaky and high pitched and it 633 00:30:26,520 --> 00:30:31,040 Speaker 3: gets painful. Man. So with Kyler, it's Hollywood, it's Trade McBride. 634 00:30:31,120 --> 00:30:34,239 Speaker 3: On the other side, it's Bjeon or Drake London if 635 00:30:34,240 --> 00:30:36,360 Speaker 3: he plays this week. I love b Jeon Robinson this 636 00:30:36,400 --> 00:30:41,120 Speaker 3: week because all myself included, everybody in the media has 637 00:30:41,120 --> 00:30:44,040 Speaker 3: come out and just lambasted Arthur Smith for not using 638 00:30:44,080 --> 00:30:47,240 Speaker 3: b Jeon Robinson. Wouldn't this be the one week where 639 00:30:47,720 --> 00:30:50,719 Speaker 3: he actually leans into b Jon and Bijeon comes up, 640 00:30:50,800 --> 00:30:52,880 Speaker 3: comes out and blows up, and then Arthur Smith gets 641 00:30:52,920 --> 00:30:54,760 Speaker 3: to ride on the high horse, go into the press 642 00:30:54,760 --> 00:30:57,320 Speaker 3: conferences and be like, yeah, see you I did something smart. 643 00:30:57,360 --> 00:31:00,840 Speaker 3: I used b Jeon Robinson in a smash matchup most 644 00:31:00,880 --> 00:31:01,680 Speaker 3: us you're still gone. 645 00:31:02,560 --> 00:31:04,360 Speaker 1: He's an evil villain, He's one hundred percent. 646 00:31:05,840 --> 00:31:07,960 Speaker 2: And now I'll take him away from all of you silly. 647 00:31:08,080 --> 00:31:11,360 Speaker 3: He's the combination of an evil villain out of like 648 00:31:11,400 --> 00:31:13,880 Speaker 3: a Batman movie. Like he's like the Tommy Lee two 649 00:31:14,040 --> 00:31:20,640 Speaker 3: face versus like a politician, like just listening to his 650 00:31:20,760 --> 00:31:23,800 Speaker 3: pressers every week they're like, so, Arthur, what are you 651 00:31:23,800 --> 00:31:26,520 Speaker 3: gonna have for lunch today? Well, the taco bell sounds 652 00:31:26,520 --> 00:31:28,200 Speaker 3: really good, But I don't know about the taco bell. 653 00:31:28,360 --> 00:31:31,480 Speaker 3: It could be something else. So the best possible idea 654 00:31:31,520 --> 00:31:33,959 Speaker 3: for change could be barbecue. But we don't know if 655 00:31:33,960 --> 00:31:35,840 Speaker 3: we're gonna go that direction today. And you get no 656 00:31:35,960 --> 00:31:37,720 Speaker 3: clear answers for six minutes. 657 00:31:37,520 --> 00:31:39,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean that is literally Harvey Dent. He was 658 00:31:39,120 --> 00:31:40,960 Speaker 1: a politician, So a very good reference here. 659 00:31:40,960 --> 00:31:43,240 Speaker 3: All right, two more long enough to see yourself become 660 00:31:43,280 --> 00:31:43,680 Speaker 3: the villain. 661 00:31:43,800 --> 00:31:47,920 Speaker 1: That's right, Washington at we got Washington, Seattle going out here. 662 00:31:48,000 --> 00:31:51,400 Speaker 1: Forty four and a half is the line, mister Sam 663 00:31:51,520 --> 00:31:53,600 Speaker 1: Howe seems to always be in play. Though I'm not 664 00:31:53,640 --> 00:31:55,280 Speaker 1: sure this is the spot that I want to do it. 665 00:31:55,360 --> 00:31:59,920 Speaker 1: Jahan Dotson might be a cheaper fun option, maybe even sharbono. 666 00:32:00,160 --> 00:32:00,840 Speaker 2: If you think that. 667 00:32:00,840 --> 00:32:02,440 Speaker 1: Ken Walker is gonna be limited, what do you think 668 00:32:02,440 --> 00:32:03,080 Speaker 1: out of this game? 669 00:32:03,840 --> 00:32:06,320 Speaker 3: In this game, I'm not interested with a lot of 670 00:32:06,320 --> 00:32:09,200 Speaker 3: pieces in this game. Seattle's been playing a very like 671 00:32:09,240 --> 00:32:11,840 Speaker 3: their defense has been playing very good. I understand that 672 00:32:11,880 --> 00:32:14,640 Speaker 3: they got just steamrolled by the Ravens. I'm not taking 673 00:32:14,720 --> 00:32:18,000 Speaker 3: much away from that, so I don't really have a 674 00:32:18,040 --> 00:32:22,360 Speaker 3: lot of interest for the commanders guys. If Curtis Samuel 675 00:32:22,440 --> 00:32:25,680 Speaker 3: is out, I'll toss John Dotson into the player pool. 676 00:32:26,040 --> 00:32:29,520 Speaker 3: Logan Thomas, it's probably my favorite commander to talk about 677 00:32:29,560 --> 00:32:32,320 Speaker 3: because Seattle has been giving up production to tight ends. 678 00:32:32,920 --> 00:32:35,840 Speaker 3: We've seen that as well as we've seen Logan Thomas 679 00:32:35,880 --> 00:32:39,240 Speaker 3: just pop off with these random big outings. So Logan 680 00:32:39,280 --> 00:32:42,360 Speaker 3: Thomas is my favorite commander Seattle. We're gonna need some 681 00:32:42,400 --> 00:32:45,560 Speaker 3: more of the the injury news to come out. I 682 00:32:45,560 --> 00:32:48,080 Speaker 3: know Lockett still dealing with the hamstring issue. Do think 683 00:32:48,080 --> 00:32:51,880 Speaker 3: he plays on that side. It's probably if you're gonna 684 00:32:51,920 --> 00:32:54,120 Speaker 3: go the Gino Smith route, which which is in play. 685 00:32:54,280 --> 00:32:56,480 Speaker 3: Gino's in play, but if he comes in Chalky, I'm 686 00:32:56,480 --> 00:32:59,840 Speaker 3: gonna move away. If you're gonna double Geno, it's de 687 00:33:00,080 --> 00:33:03,880 Speaker 3: k Metcalf and it's honestly JSN. Washington has been giving 688 00:33:03,920 --> 00:33:06,680 Speaker 3: up their top ten in slot production allowed over the 689 00:33:06,760 --> 00:33:09,600 Speaker 3: last few different weeks. We've seen Jason's eight doc go up. 690 00:33:10,160 --> 00:33:12,520 Speaker 3: Now we'll see he's dealing with a hip issue, so 691 00:33:12,560 --> 00:33:15,680 Speaker 3: we'll see if he plays. But it's Geno, dk Jysn, 692 00:33:15,800 --> 00:33:17,200 Speaker 3: Logan Thomas and that's about it. 693 00:33:17,240 --> 00:33:20,920 Speaker 1: From this game, final game the New York Giants and 694 00:33:21,000 --> 00:33:24,320 Speaker 1: the Dallas Cowboys. This is what I present to you. 695 00:33:25,520 --> 00:33:30,240 Speaker 1: Is this the time to invest in Tony Pollard? Every 696 00:33:30,240 --> 00:33:33,160 Speaker 1: week it has not been? Is this the game where 697 00:33:33,160 --> 00:33:36,320 Speaker 1: Tony Pollard breaks the mold and we pay because I 698 00:33:36,360 --> 00:33:38,960 Speaker 1: have a lineup where I have put Tony Pollard in 699 00:33:39,280 --> 00:33:41,640 Speaker 1: and this is make it or break it week. 700 00:33:41,760 --> 00:33:44,480 Speaker 3: De bro, I'm totally in for that, and for me, 701 00:33:44,880 --> 00:33:49,280 Speaker 3: I think that again. Okay, so let's go down narrative 702 00:33:49,280 --> 00:33:54,360 Speaker 3: street roll fast here, Welsh. I absolutely freaking hate the 703 00:33:54,440 --> 00:33:57,320 Speaker 3: narrative that always gets thrown around, thrown around, and it 704 00:33:57,400 --> 00:34:01,440 Speaker 3: happens every single freaking time when we see one of 705 00:34:01,440 --> 00:34:04,120 Speaker 3: the games come out and there's these large spreads where 706 00:34:04,120 --> 00:34:07,240 Speaker 3: it's like fifteen points, sixteen points, twelve points, whatever, and 707 00:34:07,280 --> 00:34:10,400 Speaker 3: people the first question and the words out of everybody's 708 00:34:10,400 --> 00:34:14,200 Speaker 3: mouth goes, well, they beat the pants off of them. 709 00:34:14,239 --> 00:34:16,839 Speaker 3: Then how do the players get there? Like I mean, 710 00:34:16,880 --> 00:34:19,880 Speaker 3: what would happen. You gotta score points for that to happen. 711 00:34:20,239 --> 00:34:24,520 Speaker 3: For Dallas to boat race them, they have to score points. 712 00:34:25,000 --> 00:34:27,520 Speaker 3: Where's that going to happen? Where's that going to come from? 713 00:34:27,520 --> 00:34:31,200 Speaker 3: And unless you're projecting three dst touchdowns, that's going to 714 00:34:31,239 --> 00:34:34,040 Speaker 3: come from the freaking offense. Man. So I think that 715 00:34:34,400 --> 00:34:40,840 Speaker 3: dallas onslaughts are firmly in play here. So Playdack, play CD, 716 00:34:41,120 --> 00:34:43,560 Speaker 3: play Tony Pollard if you don't want to play Pollard 717 00:34:43,560 --> 00:34:45,640 Speaker 3: and you want to go opo, I think there is 718 00:34:45,719 --> 00:34:50,600 Speaker 3: an easy, easy way where Dallas. Who dude, let's give 719 00:34:50,600 --> 00:34:52,400 Speaker 3: my McCarthy a little bit of love here. I know 720 00:34:52,520 --> 00:34:55,279 Speaker 3: that's not the popular thing to do, but this man 721 00:34:55,360 --> 00:34:58,560 Speaker 3: has adjusted this offense since week five. This looks like 722 00:34:58,600 --> 00:35:02,600 Speaker 3: a freaking Callan Moore team baby. Since week five, Dallas 723 00:35:02,680 --> 00:35:05,879 Speaker 3: is seventh in neutral pace and fourth in neutral passing rate. 724 00:35:06,120 --> 00:35:11,480 Speaker 3: They're throwing the damn ball Welsh Dak Prescott. Over his 725 00:35:11,640 --> 00:35:16,800 Speaker 3: last three games in fantasy QB one, QB three, QB 726 00:35:16,960 --> 00:35:20,480 Speaker 3: two finishes, he's been a top three fantasy quarterback in 727 00:35:20,520 --> 00:35:23,000 Speaker 3: each of his last three games. And yet people are 728 00:35:23,000 --> 00:35:26,440 Speaker 3: not screaming to play this offense. People are not screaming 729 00:35:26,480 --> 00:35:29,680 Speaker 3: to play Dak Prescott. He's gonna go overlooked. He was 730 00:35:29,680 --> 00:35:32,359 Speaker 3: overlooked last week, gonna happen again this week because people 731 00:35:32,360 --> 00:35:35,359 Speaker 3: are gonna talk themselves out of it. My favorite way 732 00:35:35,400 --> 00:35:38,880 Speaker 3: to play this game is going Dak Prescott, Ceedee Lamb 733 00:35:38,920 --> 00:35:41,680 Speaker 3: and Jake Ferguson and moving on from this game. But 734 00:35:41,960 --> 00:35:43,880 Speaker 3: if you want to get I don't think you have 735 00:35:43,960 --> 00:35:46,000 Speaker 3: to play Dak in this spot. You could just get 736 00:35:46,000 --> 00:35:49,120 Speaker 3: all the production from Dallas by playing two of three 737 00:35:49,400 --> 00:35:51,680 Speaker 3: or going in the full onslought. We know where the 738 00:35:51,680 --> 00:35:54,279 Speaker 3: ball is going Welsh, It's Tony Pollard, it's Ceedee Lamb, 739 00:35:54,280 --> 00:35:57,200 Speaker 3: and it's Jake Ferguson. Michael gallops out a full time player, 740 00:35:57,280 --> 00:36:00,000 Speaker 3: Jalen Tolbert's eating into his snaps, Brandon Cook his total Dutch. 741 00:36:00,600 --> 00:36:03,200 Speaker 3: So we know where the production is, we know where 742 00:36:03,200 --> 00:36:06,560 Speaker 3: to get the touchdowns. And for the Giants, hell no, 743 00:36:07,520 --> 00:36:11,200 Speaker 3: hell no, we got Debro all fired up. No Joe 744 00:36:11,200 --> 00:36:15,080 Speaker 3: Pisapa to hold him back, unfiltered, fired up Debro for 745 00:36:15,160 --> 00:36:19,440 Speaker 3: your dfs, we gotta love that. Go to bettingpros dot 746 00:36:19,480 --> 00:36:21,960 Speaker 3: com and get locked into some of the stuff that 747 00:36:22,000 --> 00:36:24,000 Speaker 3: we've uh we've been telling you about. You can check 748 00:36:24,000 --> 00:36:26,120 Speaker 3: out the cheat sheets over there some of the great 749 00:36:26,120 --> 00:36:29,239 Speaker 3: stuff Fantasypros dot com slash props. You want to check 750 00:36:29,239 --> 00:36:31,239 Speaker 3: out the prop market and if you're looking for more, 751 00:36:31,280 --> 00:36:35,800 Speaker 3: optimize DFS help Fantasypros dot com slash optimizer for everything. 752 00:36:35,840 --> 00:36:38,080 Speaker 1: Thank you guys for hanging out with us here. Thank 753 00:36:38,120 --> 00:36:40,080 Speaker 1: you to Joe for tickets. Some time off so I 754 00:36:40,120 --> 00:36:42,200 Speaker 1: got to get some energy fired up with my boy Debro. 755 00:36:42,640 --> 00:36:46,200 Speaker 2: That is it. Thank you guys, DFS week ten. You 756 00:36:46,280 --> 00:36:48,640 Speaker 2: know what to do. You're all locked in, so go 757 00:36:48,719 --> 00:36:50,680 Speaker 2: make it happen. We'll talk to you next time right 758 00:36:50,719 --> 00:36:52,480 Speaker 2: here on Betting Pros by friends. 759 00:36:53,239 --> 00:36:56,120 Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. Follow us 760 00:36:56,120 --> 00:36:59,080 Speaker 4: on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and Instagram at 761 00:36:59,080 --> 00:37:02,360 Speaker 4: Betting Pros f L. Also subscribe to our YouTube channel 762 00:37:02,480 --> 00:37:04,520 Speaker 4: at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros 763 00:37:10,239 --> 00:37:10,279 Speaker 3: M