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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go spreading the corn.

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Speaker 1: Ten seconds remaining, Gonna just go show off to the

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Speaker 1: basket under the basket.

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Speaker 2: It's the troup for the wind God a miracle. I's

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Speaker 2: up the water. Hit that one from the parking lot.

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Speaker 1: And welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast. I

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Speaker 1: am your host, Matthew, Michael Cox, Kay McKeon, Jim Root

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Speaker 1: flank me as the other two esteem members of the

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Speaker 1: three man We're gonna break it down another BBOC episode,

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Speaker 1: hitting the Monday and Tuesday college basketball basketball slates hard.

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Speaker 1: We are in conference play, we are off and running,

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Speaker 1: coming off a you know, someone of a weird weekend.

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Speaker 3: We'll get to some of the trends that we observed.

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Speaker 1: Obviously I want to overreact anything too soon, but such

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Speaker 1: as life as a handicapper, a little bit of a

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Speaker 1: i'd say kai disjointed itinerary. For today's show, We're going

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Speaker 1: to hit a lot of the big games in the

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Speaker 1: first big game section, because.

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Speaker 3: There are a lot.

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Speaker 1: Of big games on Tuesday, big ten sec ACC showdowns galore.

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Speaker 1: So apologies if you came here looking for favorite favorites

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Speaker 1: or live dogs or mid major discussion. We'll touch upon

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Speaker 1: those very quickly because a lot of the meat is

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Speaker 1: frontloaded with those big boys, like upwards of ten plus

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Speaker 1: games to talk about there and without further ado, let's

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Speaker 1: show right into it again. Most of these are Tuesday,

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Speaker 1: but Monday there is some big ten action and then

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Speaker 1: it kind of a random one off big twelve bout

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Speaker 1: between Houston hosting TCU. But first Kai Wisconsin at Rutgers,

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Speaker 1: Ohio State at Minnesota. Let's talk about those Connie Badgers

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Speaker 1: going two Rutgers who without Dylan Harper.

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Speaker 3: Did not look so great. At Indiana, Aast Bailey was awesome,

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Speaker 3: but they lost.

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Speaker 1: And I think this is going to be one of

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Speaker 1: those weird Ken Palm discrepancies. Kemp has wisconstant favored by

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Speaker 1: four Imagine is a home dog at the rack against

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Speaker 1: the Badgers. Do you think that's anywhere close to warranted? Well,

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Speaker 1: without Dylan Harper, absolutely, But what's.

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Speaker 2: Wrong with him?

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Speaker 3: What's wrong with Dylan Harper?

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Speaker 4: Illness late scratch, if it's virus or a virus, cold

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Speaker 4: or Yeah, when your best player, he's one of the

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Speaker 4: best players in the country.

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Speaker 5: When he's out and you're relying so heavily on him

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Speaker 5: and Bailey to do most of your scoring and most

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Speaker 5: of your offensive output.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it's a huge.

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Speaker 2: Problem at the rack.

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Speaker 5: Matthew, I'd be very excited to back Rutgers as a

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Speaker 5: four point dog. I don't think they will be a

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Speaker 5: four point dog, Jim. Where we're basing us off Kimpom,

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Speaker 5: I think markets will hit that pretty quickly, especially with

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Speaker 5: the fact that Harper was out last game, probably in

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Speaker 5: this game. It does set up for a good spot

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Speaker 5: for them, though, especially with Wisconsin getting off the schneid

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Speaker 5: in Big tim play and getting their first win against Iowa.

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Speaker 2: Last game, Wisconsin was twenty one of thirty one from three. Again,

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Speaker 2: that's pretty good.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't anticipate that continuing. But if I told

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Speaker 4: you guys two years ago that wisconsined Rutgers would play

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Speaker 4: a game with a total of one hundred and six points, yeah,

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Speaker 4: and I would be leading to the over, like there's

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Speaker 4: just no way you would believe that. But the Harper

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Speaker 4: thing is big for both side and total. If he's out,

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Speaker 4: I certainly lean under because there's just not as much

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Speaker 4: shot creation. Like Ace Bailey went off early against Indiana

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Speaker 4: and when he stopped being a superhero, Rutgers could not score.

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Speaker 4: So if he's not in there, I would definitely look

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Speaker 4: towards the under I think markets will hammer it if

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Speaker 4: he's not in there, but I do expect him to play.

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Speaker 2: I'm with these guys.

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Speaker 4: I lean towards Rutgers at home, with those guys in

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Speaker 4: the fold, with the two freshmen better at home typically, and.

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Speaker 2: I think that's been kind of Rutgers m this year.

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Speaker 4: So Matthew, I would like to catch really any points

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Speaker 4: with the Knights. I might take him even at like.

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Speaker 2: A pick them. I think it's kind of a house

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Speaker 2: of horrors for the Badgers.

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Speaker 1: I think this is going to open, it's going to

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Speaker 1: close around to pick. That's my market that's my Maddie

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Speaker 1: market indicator prediction there, and everything in my plumes is

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Speaker 1: telling me to beut Rutgers. But two concerns. The Rutgers

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Speaker 1: at home as a great home dog as they have

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Speaker 1: been at the was built under the gritty personality of

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Speaker 1: the old Pikel teams.

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Speaker 3: This is not that right.

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Speaker 1: This is like a young score finasque guard almost you know,

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Speaker 1: guard centric type team, and I just don't love.

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Speaker 3: That match, especially so far this year.

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Speaker 1: Again, very early Big Ten home courts have not been

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Speaker 1: as you know, automatic print money ATM as they have

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Speaker 1: been in years past, very early, but I think it's around

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Speaker 1: five hundred the up to date ats.

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Speaker 3: So just no worthy. Again, as we transition here to

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Speaker 3: Ohio State and.

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Speaker 4: Minnesota, quick, yeah go audit myself on House of Horrors.

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Speaker 4: It was for a while, but Wisconsin has not played

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Speaker 4: there in three years, and they've won the last two

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Speaker 4: meetings outright covered against the spread two so they won

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Speaker 4: to cover their last two. But before that it was

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Speaker 4: three to row losses and non covers. I just remember

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Speaker 4: that twenty fifteen team that was like one of the best.

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Speaker 3: Three teams, really good team that couldn't lost out.

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Speaker 4: A terrible Rutgers team. But yeah, no, so the last

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Speaker 4: two they've been able to win there.

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Speaker 3: Well, if we need any team, if anything, that the

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Speaker 3: Ten needs its home.

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Speaker 1: Court to mean something, it's gonna be Minnesota hosting Ohio

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Speaker 1: State Gopher's kai oh in three and Big Ten play.

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Speaker 1: Last three games, they've gave up ninety eighty two and

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Speaker 1: eighty one points against good offenses. Yeah, some hot shooting,

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Speaker 1: but still like the greedy Ben Johnson type team. If

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Speaker 1: you don't have any defensive backbone spine, I don't know

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Speaker 1: what you have, Like, that's kind of my concern here.

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Speaker 1: Seven is a projection. I feel like that actually might

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Speaker 1: be close to what it opens. Maybe it's a little

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Speaker 1: bit lower, but not much. Yeah, this is sad.

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Speaker 5: Minnesota appears to be circling the drain and they have

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Speaker 5: in ilsues clearly, and Ben Johnson, who I think is

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Speaker 5: a pretty good coach and does what he can with

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Speaker 5: what he has that the town is so is so

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Speaker 5: low this season from Minnesota, it's unfortunate that he just

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Speaker 5: can't get anything going now. Seven points is a lot.

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Speaker 5: I think the Barn means something. It is a solid

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Speaker 5: home court. Maybe it doesn't matter because they are so

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Speaker 5: horrible this season, but I would lean their way against

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Speaker 5: the Ohio State team that I think is pretty darn good,

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Speaker 5: but maybe still little higher than this should be in

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Speaker 5: analytics currently, just just based on a couple results. The

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Speaker 5: Kentucky game put him up like ten spots just off

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Speaker 5: the bat off that win, I would lean towards Minnesota

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Speaker 5: Jim if it's seven, but I'm not sure. I'm eager

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Speaker 5: to bet the Gophers.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm I thought MITCHI Johnson being out would mean

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Speaker 4: something for Ohio State, but Glover's been really good. Mobley's

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Speaker 4: been awesome, like a terrific freshman. They've kind of been

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Speaker 4: able to fill that void. I kind of lean towards

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Speaker 4: Ohio State here because I think Minnesota.

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Speaker 2: Is that bad.

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Speaker 4: They're giving up one point three to two points per

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Speaker 4: possession in lead play like that is heinous. They're fifty

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Speaker 4: two point percentags, they're allowing, They're lasting the Big Ten

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Speaker 4: in defensive rebounding, they don't force turnovers like they're just

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Speaker 4: bad at everything on defense, and I think Olastate can

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Speaker 4: exploit a little bit of that. I like I said,

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Speaker 4: this Minnesota team's circling the dream. I don't want to

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Speaker 4: catch the falling knife or even just try to find

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Speaker 4: the spot where Minnesota's going to look good. It's Ohio

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Speaker 4: State are nothing for me, and it's likely.

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Speaker 2: Going to be nothing.

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Speaker 1: I'm kind of k I like Minnesota, so defenses look

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Speaker 1: terrible against Perdue, Indiana, Michigan State. Like Ohio State's talented,

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Speaker 1: but I don't feel like they they don't have that

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Speaker 1: interior physical advantage, even though you know you would think

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Speaker 1: with Dawlson Garcia that shouldn't really be a strength, but

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Speaker 1: it's kind of where they've been beaten up so far

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Speaker 1: against the big boys.

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Speaker 2: Dawson's a little soft, he's skill.

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Speaker 3: He's skilly, little more finessy. Yeah, that's fair worth noting.

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Speaker 5: Ohio State's been horrible offensively through three games in the

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Speaker 5: Big Ten, second one in the league, like less than

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Speaker 5: a point per possession.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, I do think, says you know, I'm a mechi.

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Speaker 1: I'm like, I think I like Michi Johnson more than

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Speaker 1: his family, so I think he matters. But hey, we

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Speaker 1: will see. Yeah, so more ta Tuosay here Houston hosting TCU.

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Speaker 1: Houston going to be laying a big, big number. Kem

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Speaker 1: pom has its seventeen, I mean maybe twenty fifteen to

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Speaker 1: twenty somewhere in there, probably, right, Jim Court, I kind

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Speaker 1: of was like, hey, Houston's not all that special this year.

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Speaker 1: Guys are all I was like, Now, their defense is

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Speaker 1: still amazing. They've completely suffocated big toll offenses so far TCU. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: they scored ninety against Ara, sorry, eighty one against Arizona,

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Speaker 1: but this is not Arizona. I kind of total is

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Speaker 1: kind of fasting handicaper.

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Speaker 3: Jim I don't know.

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Speaker 1: I don't really have to take on the side. You know,

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Speaker 1: it's a big conference spread. I don't really it's tough

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Speaker 1: to really pick what happens here, but you know, it

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Speaker 1: feels like a low scoring game. Frankly, kind of a

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Speaker 1: throwback Big twelve battle.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, if I were going to do, I mean, I

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Speaker 4: guess with a total, I'd probably go TCU team total under.

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Speaker 2: I have no idea how they score.

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Speaker 4: They can't shoot, and Houston is number one of the

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Speaker 4: country in two point percentage defense. They're number one in

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Speaker 4: block rate. Tuggler in that entire front line. Francis Roberts like,

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Speaker 4: they swat everything. They eat you at the paint and

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Speaker 4: you have to make jumpers over the top, and TCU

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Speaker 4: can't do that. Like it's a very, very poor shooting team.

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Speaker 4: I kind of think Houston smacks them. But that's why

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Speaker 4: I'm afraid of betting the under, because maybe Houston just

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Speaker 4: goes off. They just put up eighty six on BYU.

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Speaker 4: They knock down everything from the perimeter. Perhaps they stay hot. Kay,

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Speaker 4: I would lay up to eighteen with Houston. I think

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Speaker 4: TCU is like legit bad, and that's what Houston is

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Speaker 4: built to destroy.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm still on this Houston train.

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Speaker 5: They decimated BYuT eight seven points per possession BYU, a

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Speaker 5: top thirty offense scored against Houston, and if you watch

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Speaker 5: that game, it was like frightening how active Houston was,

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Speaker 5: how much they bothered BYU, how much they dominated them

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Speaker 5: on the boards. The number one defensive rebound team in

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Speaker 5: the country was BOU going in that game. Houston's at

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Speaker 5: a different level and TCU is not an offensive juggernaut

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Speaker 5: to say the least. Jim mentioned the shooting. They're outside

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Speaker 5: the top one fifteen offense overall. They're coming off that

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Speaker 5: win against Kansas State. Hey, fat and happy you got

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Speaker 5: your one winning conference. I think it's going to go downhill.

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Speaker 5: They're also getting lucky from the three point strive two

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Speaker 5: on the other end their eight and three point percenters

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Speaker 5: defense and still kind of struggling right now analytically. So

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Speaker 5: I like Houston as well on the runaway.

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Speaker 4: Now you look back at last year, Houston in home

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Speaker 4: conference games beat West Virginia by thirty four, to Texas

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Speaker 4: Tech by twenty three, UCF by fifteen, Kansas State by

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Speaker 4: twenty two.

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Speaker 2: Like they blow teams out at home. Yeah, I think

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Speaker 2: they keep doing it here.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, It's it's like they rise even to they rise

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Speaker 1: highest to the highest competition at home. It's like they

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Speaker 1: dominate AC teams for so long I get tire blowing

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Speaker 1: teams out, and now they get to the chance to

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Speaker 1: do it against real, big tell competition.

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Speaker 3: It's just pretty impressive what Samson's done.

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Speaker 1: All right to Tuesday, we go, let's hit the SEC

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Speaker 1: first and here to kind of the three best ones

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Speaker 1: you got. Tennessee going to Florida number one overall, going

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Speaker 1: to Gainesville off of that crazy Florida UK game on side,

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Speaker 1: probably the game of the year in terms of just

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Speaker 1: pure offensive pro level performance. Like that's just a different

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Speaker 1: game than what we usually watch in college basketball.

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Speaker 3: So that was just awesome.

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Speaker 1: Mississippi State goes to Vandy, Mark Monington and the boys

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Speaker 1: kai in Nashville, and then Auburn heads to Texas. Jim

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Speaker 1: Alburn's been cozy at the Jungle for a while, but

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Speaker 1: they're still really good. And that's a team of adults.

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Speaker 1: I don't feel like that road spot's going to trip

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Speaker 1: them up. And just in terms of the kempound projections

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Speaker 1: around any of these, I don't have any strong lean

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Speaker 1: situationally or matchup wise. What's your thoughts on some of

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Speaker 1: the SEC bouts on Tuesday.

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Speaker 4: I'm tempted to go Auburn. I just don't think Texas

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Speaker 4: saw that good. I think they're going to be completely.

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Speaker 2: Outclassed on the sideline.

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Speaker 4: Earls got that team firing on all cylinders, and I

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Speaker 4: don't really believe in Rodney Terry to come up with

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Speaker 4: a great game plan against the team that's infinitely more

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Speaker 4: talented than them.

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Speaker 2: So I would probably lay up to nine or ten.

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Speaker 2: I know it's tenant Kempum, maybe you.

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Speaker 4: Get people betting the home dog there, but definitely lean

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Speaker 4: towards towards Auburn there.

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Speaker 2: The Tennessee Florida looks really interesting. I kind of like

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Speaker 2: the oh to one.

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Speaker 4: In the SEC Gators Kai against one to zero. Off

258
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Speaker 4: to their nice start of Tennessee. It's in the top

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Speaker 4: the national rankings, and the apeopole I have come around

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Speaker 4: on Tennessee. I was a little skeptical of whether they were,

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Speaker 4: you know, this elite supernova team, and then they handled

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Speaker 4: Arkansas start to finish. They were the clear better team

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Speaker 4: up fifteen, like the entire first half one by twenty four,

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Speaker 4: but I think Florida might nip him. I kind of

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Speaker 4: just like sets up as this huge home run home

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Speaker 4: spot off.

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Speaker 2: A loss the Gators the odome Kai. I kind of like,

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Speaker 2: I kind of like Florida there.

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Speaker 5: I tell you what, every time I watched FOUM like,

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Speaker 5: this team is national title contender.

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Speaker 2: Good.

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Speaker 5: They passed my eyes as of flying Colors, I keep

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Speaker 5: moving up my power ratings. I know they lost Kentucky.

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Speaker 5: Kentucky was shooting out their ass and Florida was still

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Speaker 5: right there.

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Speaker 3: This is scary.

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Speaker 2: Eighty one inside the arc against Kentucky. Yeah, eighty one percent.

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Speaker 3: Hey, Tennessee's scary too.

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Speaker 5: They're number one defense. You don't know how good Houston

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Speaker 5: is on defense. Yeah, Tennessee passed them and they're number

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Speaker 5: one now on defense. And they're awesome too. The SEC

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Speaker 5: is ridiculous. Speaking of ridiculous, Auburn one thirty point five

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Speaker 5: zero rating. That's the highest in kimpom history right now,

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Speaker 5: currently the better offense in KIMPOM history.

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Speaker 1: One point three points per possession. That's insane. Uh yeah,

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Speaker 1: Auburn's a different beasts.

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Speaker 2: Now.

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Speaker 5: Shoot man, you're gonna make me lay double digits on

289
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Speaker 5: the road in a conference game against a Texas team

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Speaker 5: that's not like bad, They're not not talented.

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Speaker 3: That's crazy.

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Speaker 5: I do lean their way. I'm not fading Auburn. I

293
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Speaker 5: did actually successfully do it with Missou. Somehow Mazoo covered

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Speaker 5: at the end there they probably shouldn't have. But Matt,

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Speaker 5: I do like the Gators. This is their game.

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Speaker 2: I think.

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Speaker 1: I think a leen Florida as well. But man, I yeah,

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Speaker 1: Tennessee's burned. It's not just this year. Like last year,

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Speaker 1: I kind of undervalued this team. And you know, I

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Speaker 1: think it's just like you have the postseason shortcomings like

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Speaker 1: clouding your judgment.

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Speaker 3: Of this team.

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Speaker 1: But like for the regular season, like you know, Rick

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Speaker 1: Barnes has been pretty you know, tough to argue with

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Speaker 1: his results both outright and ats uh yeah in the

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Speaker 1: Vandy game, I have no strong opinion. Man, Byington's been

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Speaker 1: really good. They really haven't been tested. This is the

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Speaker 1: first real team they played. Like their record so far

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Speaker 1: as a bunch.

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Speaker 3: Of good wins.

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Speaker 1: You get some good teams, very good teams, but Mississippi

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Speaker 1: State is kind of like that upper echelon elite ish

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Speaker 1: SEC caliber again, a team of a team of adults.

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Speaker 1: Cam Matthews like this is not like walking into Van

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Speaker 1: Deser Like it's not going to be a major home

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Speaker 1: terrifying spot. Sorry Fandy fans, No, not disrespect, just you know,

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Speaker 1: call it like I see it.

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Speaker 2: They not play the top fifty team and now they get.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Nate, Nevada was close and who was the other?

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Speaker 2: L drink eighth? I think the state this is a

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Speaker 2: big test, Yeah state like that.

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Speaker 1: Guy, okay Le's go big ten here you UCLA hosting Michigan.

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Speaker 1: I just watched Michigan play with their food for most

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Speaker 1: of the game against USC, like got up ten and

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Speaker 1: then USC made a run, got back up a USC

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Speaker 1: made a run. Now they go back to using the

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Speaker 1: I guess they stay in LA and UCLA has to

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Speaker 1: come back from Nebraska. So it's weird how they set

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Speaker 1: up some of these schedules where like, you know, this

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Speaker 1: isn't actually shouldn't be a huge home court advanage for UCLA,

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Speaker 1: Like you know, there's no quite literally the home team's

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Speaker 1: traveling a lot farther than the road team here, Jim

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00:14:28,840 --> 00:14:33,160
Speaker 1: can Michigan and their turnover issues can that be bottled

334
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Speaker 1: against a team that forces a.

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Speaker 3: Ton of them?

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Speaker 1: I think this could be kind of a shell shock

337
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Speaker 1: for the Wolverines in their back court.

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Speaker 2: What do you think?

339
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Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't love the like UCLA off a loss.

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00:14:43,400 --> 00:14:46,600
Speaker 4: That situational part of it kind of hampers me. But

341
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Speaker 4: UCLA also might not have Daily or Kyle upfront, and

342
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Speaker 4: you don't want to be missing two big guys against

343
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Speaker 4: Golden and Wolf like that is a really big problem area.

344
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Speaker 4: Michigan just exploits you inside two in the country in

345
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Speaker 4: two point percentage offense, Like they just get layups, they

346
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Speaker 4: get dunks because they've got immense size, and they move

347
00:15:07,160 --> 00:15:09,240
Speaker 4: the ball really well. The four or five pick and

348
00:15:09,320 --> 00:15:11,760
Speaker 4: rolls all the rage with them. I just don't think

349
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Speaker 4: UCLA can handle it without those injured big men. I

350
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Speaker 4: would keep a very close eye on Daily. If Daily plays,

351
00:15:19,320 --> 00:15:21,640
Speaker 4: I would start to lean more towards Ucla. But without

352
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Speaker 4: him it swings me all the way to leading Michigan.

353
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Speaker 4: I think he's so important in this matchup.

354
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Speaker 5: Man super tough for me. I don't think either team

355
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Speaker 5: is maybe as good as people think.

356
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Speaker 3: I like both teams.

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Speaker 5: I don't think Michigan's number twelve in the country, for instance,

358
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Speaker 5: I'm not sure what result has been that high.

359
00:15:41,000 --> 00:15:42,880
Speaker 3: I look through the results. I've watched their games.

360
00:15:42,960 --> 00:15:45,840
Speaker 5: It's like, I think this seems really good, but tad

361
00:15:45,880 --> 00:15:50,360
Speaker 5: a rady analytically the turnover thing is real ul number

362
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Speaker 5: on the country and.

363
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Speaker 3: Forcing turnovers, and they are legit on defense. It is

364
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Speaker 3: for real.

365
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Speaker 5: Watching that game against Nebraska, even the UCLA's defense is incredible.

366
00:16:00,040 --> 00:16:03,600
Speaker 5: Nebraska pulled that out obviously, and also you see a

367
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Speaker 5: Billado is incredible as well. However, maybe against Michigan has

368
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Speaker 5: a little more trouble with the twin Towers actual size

369
00:16:10,040 --> 00:16:11,920
Speaker 5: that can follow him up. He's going to try to

370
00:16:11,920 --> 00:16:13,840
Speaker 5: plan the perimeter a bit, which might be a problem

371
00:16:13,880 --> 00:16:17,760
Speaker 5: for Michigan. But yeah, man, I'm very much on the

372
00:16:17,760 --> 00:16:20,120
Speaker 5: fence in this game. I probably will say.

373
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Speaker 1: All the way away, Ah, come on, I'm riding with

374
00:16:22,240 --> 00:16:25,680
Speaker 1: Dusty Eileen Michigan here. Here's why their turnover issue is

375
00:16:25,760 --> 00:16:29,040
Speaker 1: largely self imposed. It's not like you know, and they

376
00:16:29,040 --> 00:16:32,200
Speaker 1: haven't been terrible against like huge pressure now Arkansas bother him.

377
00:16:32,240 --> 00:16:32,840
Speaker 3: It's in spurts.

378
00:16:32,880 --> 00:16:35,239
Speaker 1: But I don't think their turnover number is like indicative

379
00:16:35,280 --> 00:16:37,240
Speaker 1: they can't handle pressure because I actually like their guard

380
00:16:37,240 --> 00:16:41,520
Speaker 1: I trust their guards like trade alson Roddy Gale and

381
00:16:41,520 --> 00:16:43,600
Speaker 1: and Burnett Like, I don't mean they have some moments

382
00:16:43,600 --> 00:16:46,040
Speaker 1: of volatility, but I generally I trust those. It's more

383
00:16:46,080 --> 00:16:49,040
Speaker 1: about Dane Wolf trying to throw like you know, Magic Johnson,

384
00:16:49,360 --> 00:16:51,400
Speaker 1: you know, highlight passes too much, which I think he's

385
00:16:51,920 --> 00:16:53,840
Speaker 1: still does sometimes, but he's correcting that. And what he

386
00:16:53,840 --> 00:16:55,720
Speaker 1: does defensive, that's what I think is as good as

387
00:16:56,080 --> 00:16:59,440
Speaker 1: rated at twelve. Like their defense is crazy longing Wolf's

388
00:16:59,440 --> 00:17:01,960
Speaker 1: been absolutely and golden Like, it's just you can't score

389
00:17:01,960 --> 00:17:03,240
Speaker 1: on those guys the room and they're mobile up to

390
00:17:03,280 --> 00:17:05,800
Speaker 1: slide their feet. So I like this spot and I

391
00:17:05,920 --> 00:17:07,840
Speaker 1: like the matchup, which it might be overblown by the

392
00:17:07,920 --> 00:17:09,800
Speaker 1: pressure angle, So that'll be official bet for me.

393
00:17:09,800 --> 00:17:12,000
Speaker 2: Me she can, I'll join you if Daily's out, So

394
00:17:12,040 --> 00:17:13,280
Speaker 2: that's conte.

395
00:17:13,160 --> 00:17:13,560
Speaker 3: That makes it.

396
00:17:13,640 --> 00:17:16,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think I'm gonna probably play it regardless. But yeah,

397
00:17:16,160 --> 00:17:18,960
Speaker 1: that's a good point. And yeah, their size up front

398
00:17:19,000 --> 00:17:21,560
Speaker 1: doesn't look as like terrifying without Kyle in there either.

399
00:17:22,760 --> 00:17:26,280
Speaker 1: Acc pit At Duke Kay Duke is a juggernaut as well.

400
00:17:26,280 --> 00:17:28,000
Speaker 1: We have a few juggernauts this year in college about

401
00:17:28,080 --> 00:17:31,040
Speaker 1: Duke certainly looking like and they're gonna be laying doubles

402
00:17:31,080 --> 00:17:33,480
Speaker 1: against Pitt who we know has been a great road team,

403
00:17:33,480 --> 00:17:36,920
Speaker 1: but tends to be skewed well, at least just in

404
00:17:37,440 --> 00:17:39,919
Speaker 1: in some reacent but a more non conference. They've been

405
00:17:39,920 --> 00:17:41,600
Speaker 1: awesome inconference on the road as well, but can that

406
00:17:41,680 --> 00:17:44,800
Speaker 1: hold up at Cameron. Obviously, the status of Ish leg

407
00:17:44,840 --> 00:17:46,120
Speaker 1: at looms large here for Pitt.

408
00:17:46,160 --> 00:17:48,159
Speaker 4: I need to do the update on what his he

409
00:17:48,200 --> 00:17:52,600
Speaker 4: played last game and was nineteen he played.

410
00:17:52,160 --> 00:17:53,680
Speaker 3: He's got too many games.

411
00:17:53,880 --> 00:17:57,919
Speaker 1: I gotta keep up thoughts, mister m with any many thoughts

412
00:17:57,960 --> 00:18:01,240
Speaker 1: around my head. Matthew Pitt be a tough dog, especially

413
00:18:01,320 --> 00:18:03,280
Speaker 1: double digits. I think it's kind of tough to blow

414
00:18:03,280 --> 00:18:05,080
Speaker 1: this team out now. Missippi State did it, of course,

415
00:18:05,119 --> 00:18:08,680
Speaker 1: but I think generally they have enough talent and offensive firepower.

416
00:18:08,240 --> 00:18:09,280
Speaker 3: To stay close in games.

417
00:18:09,680 --> 00:18:13,080
Speaker 5: However, I think Pitt is also overrated in analytics sight

418
00:18:13,640 --> 00:18:15,560
Speaker 5: from the eye test and in some of the results.

419
00:18:16,160 --> 00:18:18,600
Speaker 5: It beat some cupcakes pretty easily, but in their big

420
00:18:18,640 --> 00:18:21,840
Speaker 5: games they haven't been overly impressive besides the West Virginia game,

421
00:18:21,840 --> 00:18:25,440
Speaker 5: which is just aging incredibly well. And yeah, YUK is

422
00:18:25,520 --> 00:18:27,760
Speaker 5: right there at Tennessee and Houston in terms of scariness

423
00:18:27,800 --> 00:18:31,280
Speaker 5: on defense, clearly the most talented team in the country

424
00:18:31,320 --> 00:18:35,639
Speaker 5: by by recruiting pedigree. Too big Jim for me to

425
00:18:35,640 --> 00:18:38,720
Speaker 5: take again squarely on the fence. Too many thoughts either way,

426
00:18:39,520 --> 00:18:41,000
Speaker 5: I'm close to Betton Pitt.

427
00:18:41,359 --> 00:18:43,640
Speaker 4: At some point, someone's going to give Duke a little

428
00:18:43,680 --> 00:18:46,520
Speaker 4: bit of a push in the ACC. I think right

429
00:18:46,560 --> 00:18:48,760
Speaker 4: now they are projected by Kim Pom to go nineteen

430
00:18:48,800 --> 00:18:50,960
Speaker 4: to one with a twenty six percent chance of going

431
00:18:51,040 --> 00:18:54,640
Speaker 4: undefeated in their twenty game ACC slate. They have completely

432
00:18:54,680 --> 00:18:58,000
Speaker 4: separated themselves from the pack, but Pitt is a tough

433
00:18:58,080 --> 00:18:58,520
Speaker 4: road dog.

434
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Speaker 2: They got to get back and.

435
00:19:00,000 --> 00:19:02,000
Speaker 4: Then Damien Dunn might return. He went through warm ups

436
00:19:02,080 --> 00:19:04,760
Speaker 4: last game against Stanford. He would give them a little

437
00:19:04,760 --> 00:19:08,560
Speaker 4: more scoring pop on the perimeter. Man, I would love

438
00:19:08,640 --> 00:19:11,879
Speaker 4: to see Duke take more money, Like give me fifteen.

439
00:19:12,000 --> 00:19:14,000
Speaker 2: I want fifteen as pity as a road drug.

440
00:19:14,840 --> 00:19:16,400
Speaker 4: But if it's where it's at at twelve, I would

441
00:19:16,400 --> 00:19:19,320
Speaker 4: still consider the Panthers. I just think someone's going to

442
00:19:19,400 --> 00:19:22,879
Speaker 4: give Duke a push or maybe uh maybe pit first

443
00:19:22,920 --> 00:19:25,280
Speaker 4: half too. I keep going with that angle where Duke

444
00:19:25,480 --> 00:19:28,240
Speaker 4: is a little bit lack of day's cold and they're like, ah,

445
00:19:28,320 --> 00:19:30,560
Speaker 4: let's let's crush this team with our talent, so that

446
00:19:30,560 --> 00:19:32,040
Speaker 4: that could be more the angle.

447
00:19:32,040 --> 00:19:32,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, Duke has.

448
00:19:32,880 --> 00:19:36,560
Speaker 1: It's just they've demoralized teams with their defense and second halves,

449
00:19:36,600 --> 00:19:38,800
Speaker 1: Like you just can feel the quitch, not quit.

450
00:19:38,680 --> 00:19:41,040
Speaker 3: Factor, but call it quit factor. Like the Louisville game.

451
00:19:41,040 --> 00:19:43,000
Speaker 1: I Knowlievill has had like four and a half bodies

452
00:19:43,320 --> 00:19:46,320
Speaker 1: Georgia Tech. They made some runs and just eventually fizzled out.

453
00:19:47,240 --> 00:19:49,679
Speaker 1: So yeah, that's just that's They're up nine.

454
00:19:49,560 --> 00:19:51,640
Speaker 2: To a half, number one by twenty seven, like they

455
00:19:51,720 --> 00:19:53,280
Speaker 2: just smashed and.

456
00:19:53,520 --> 00:19:55,680
Speaker 1: Right and what I mean what the biggest home game

457
00:19:55,680 --> 00:19:58,119
Speaker 1: in SMUs you know history, So yeah, that's just pretty

458
00:19:58,160 --> 00:20:00,720
Speaker 1: impressive stuff there, all right, big twell three pack.

459
00:20:00,760 --> 00:20:02,399
Speaker 3: Here we have Cincinnati going to Baylor.

460
00:20:03,119 --> 00:20:05,639
Speaker 1: Man, the Bearcats just couldn't get it done when they

461
00:20:05,680 --> 00:20:08,520
Speaker 1: needed to at home. I get deja vu vibes of

462
00:20:08,600 --> 00:20:10,960
Speaker 1: last year where it's a close but no cigar type team.

463
00:20:11,080 --> 00:20:13,920
Speaker 1: Really good analytically, but you know, when it comes down

464
00:20:13,960 --> 00:20:16,879
Speaker 1: to it, I think while we like, we'll say, like

465
00:20:17,080 --> 00:20:19,880
Speaker 1: cautiously we like the guards in the wings, it's there

466
00:20:19,920 --> 00:20:25,080
Speaker 1: really isn't a trustworthy perimeter threat offensively kai with the Bearcats.

467
00:20:25,359 --> 00:20:28,400
Speaker 1: I think at Baylor as a dog, which they won't

468
00:20:28,400 --> 00:20:29,000
Speaker 1: be a big dog.

469
00:20:29,040 --> 00:20:29,560
Speaker 3: That's the problem.

470
00:20:29,600 --> 00:20:31,080
Speaker 1: I want to back him here as a dog, but

471
00:20:31,160 --> 00:20:33,120
Speaker 1: they won't get enough points because I think they're getting

472
00:20:33,160 --> 00:20:36,679
Speaker 1: overvalued to a degree, and the markets kempom has this

473
00:20:36,800 --> 00:20:39,160
Speaker 1: game at excuse me, we'll got the wrong date here.

474
00:20:40,240 --> 00:20:44,400
Speaker 1: It's so kai thoughts on the second Bears at home

475
00:20:44,920 --> 00:20:48,000
Speaker 1: a short number. Probably nothing for me, strength on strength

476
00:20:48,040 --> 00:20:51,960
Speaker 1: Baylor's offense since he's defense, since he's offense versus Baylor's defense,

477
00:20:52,040 --> 00:20:54,080
Speaker 1: kind of cupcake match since he.

478
00:20:54,359 --> 00:20:56,360
Speaker 5: Advantage on the boards. But you're right, the guard play

479
00:20:56,400 --> 00:20:59,560
Speaker 5: has been the shooting. Really, it's fallen off. It was

480
00:20:59,600 --> 00:21:01,600
Speaker 5: hot high hots to the end of the year, is

481
00:21:01,680 --> 00:21:03,439
Speaker 5: regressed to where it probably should be.

482
00:21:04,040 --> 00:21:05,280
Speaker 3: And maybe having.

483
00:21:05,040 --> 00:21:06,840
Speaker 5: Too many cooks in the kitchen, so to speak, Jim

484
00:21:06,880 --> 00:21:08,720
Speaker 5: has kind of caused Sancy to be a little stagnant

485
00:21:08,760 --> 00:21:10,840
Speaker 5: on offense. They don't know who their guy is. They

486
00:21:10,840 --> 00:21:13,040
Speaker 5: have a different guy every game. They have five guys

487
00:21:13,119 --> 00:21:15,040
Speaker 5: capable being the guy, but there's not really a clear

488
00:21:15,040 --> 00:21:17,760
Speaker 5: packing order. Nothing for me in this game.

489
00:21:18,400 --> 00:21:19,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, probably a stay away.

490
00:21:20,000 --> 00:21:23,479
Speaker 4: Although last game, No Celestine no lags in love for Baylor,

491
00:21:23,680 --> 00:21:26,320
Speaker 4: like really hurting in depth. It showed against Iowa State

492
00:21:26,359 --> 00:21:28,119
Speaker 4: they were on badly in the second half and just

493
00:21:28,160 --> 00:21:31,119
Speaker 4: kind of got ran out of Hilton since he has

494
00:21:31,160 --> 00:21:33,480
Speaker 4: plenty of depth. That's that's certainly not their issue. But yeah,

495
00:21:33,480 --> 00:21:36,960
Speaker 4: to Kay's point, it's just a little odd late in games.

496
00:21:37,400 --> 00:21:41,080
Speaker 4: My sincey fan friend shout out to David Clark. He's

497
00:21:41,119 --> 00:21:43,239
Speaker 4: said that Gigsel James has been bad. You look at

498
00:21:43,240 --> 00:21:45,080
Speaker 4: his stats and you're like, oh, he's kind of having

499
00:21:45,119 --> 00:21:47,080
Speaker 4: a good year, but he's like just big games, He's

500
00:21:47,080 --> 00:21:49,280
Speaker 4: not really there. He takes some bad shots, he forces.

501
00:21:49,800 --> 00:21:51,520
Speaker 4: He and Day Day kind of have a little tug

502
00:21:51,520 --> 00:21:52,080
Speaker 4: of war with.

503
00:21:52,080 --> 00:21:54,440
Speaker 2: Who the point guard is and they haven't sorted that out.

504
00:21:55,119 --> 00:21:57,760
Speaker 4: So Matt, if you give me closer to a touchdown,

505
00:21:57,800 --> 00:21:59,159
Speaker 4: i'd leaan Cincinnati.

506
00:21:59,200 --> 00:22:02,919
Speaker 2: But this is almost certainly a stay away. I just

507
00:22:02,960 --> 00:22:04,320
Speaker 2: I don't want any part of this one.

508
00:22:05,119 --> 00:22:07,359
Speaker 1: Yeah, I just think it's it's like, you know, don't

509
00:22:07,560 --> 00:22:10,760
Speaker 1: exactly look great against really top end defenders. Their guards

510
00:22:10,840 --> 00:22:13,920
Speaker 1: look a lot more mortal despite dominating you know, mid

511
00:22:13,960 --> 00:22:17,760
Speaker 1: and inferior competition for much of November. All right, last

512
00:22:17,800 --> 00:22:20,920
Speaker 1: year here West Virginia, man daring debres, how much money

513
00:22:20,920 --> 00:22:21,399
Speaker 1: am I gonna lose?

514
00:22:21,440 --> 00:22:21,840
Speaker 2: Fade this guy?

515
00:22:21,840 --> 00:22:26,959
Speaker 3: No matter who doesn't make any sense. I don't know.

516
00:22:27,040 --> 00:22:30,360
Speaker 1: Yes, they're they're gonna be laying number to Arizona correct,

517
00:22:30,440 --> 00:22:32,840
Speaker 1: which is crazy, but maybe not that crazy at this point.

518
00:22:32,880 --> 00:22:36,440
Speaker 1: Arizona huge one at Sincy, tough travel, gonna go Midwest

519
00:22:36,480 --> 00:22:39,960
Speaker 1: to East Dish coast, you want to call it that,

520
00:22:40,040 --> 00:22:41,880
Speaker 1: Probably not, though you gotta keep going east. So they're

521
00:22:41,880 --> 00:22:43,720
Speaker 1: gonna go the other direction again one more time in

522
00:22:43,760 --> 00:22:46,520
Speaker 1: their travel. Kai the Cats, I'm believe. I don't want

523
00:22:46,600 --> 00:22:48,320
Speaker 1: jumped off the time of going banywagon, you know, put

524
00:22:48,359 --> 00:22:51,520
Speaker 1: back to back posties and losses. Tough start this year talents, Dawn,

525
00:22:51,640 --> 00:22:54,080
Speaker 1: I'm still with to This is still a top fifteen,

526
00:22:54,600 --> 00:22:57,280
Speaker 1: maybe top ten teams, So I'm not bailing here. I

527
00:22:57,400 --> 00:22:59,040
Speaker 1: like Zona as a dog, and I'm gonna lose more

528
00:22:59,080 --> 00:23:01,760
Speaker 1: money fading Deres. So it's my second Fitchel play. It's

529
00:23:01,760 --> 00:23:03,480
Speaker 1: probably gonna lose thereas Yeah.

530
00:23:03,359 --> 00:23:03,719
Speaker 3: I did too.

531
00:23:03,760 --> 00:23:06,359
Speaker 5: Kem Home's got at Westrinia one. I bet Arizona flips

532
00:23:06,400 --> 00:23:07,440
Speaker 5: to a favorite.

533
00:23:07,840 --> 00:23:08,119
Speaker 2: Yeah.

534
00:23:08,440 --> 00:23:09,960
Speaker 3: I don't necessarily believe.

535
00:23:09,680 --> 00:23:12,600
Speaker 5: That West Virginia is this good. I think Oklahoma State

536
00:23:12,640 --> 00:23:14,800
Speaker 5: has turned out to be pretty poor. The Kansas game

537
00:23:14,880 --> 00:23:17,480
Speaker 5: is obviously great. Look, Westernia is getting a little bit

538
00:23:17,520 --> 00:23:19,720
Speaker 5: fortunate with three point shooting fifth in the country against

539
00:23:19,720 --> 00:23:20,760
Speaker 5: three point missioners defense.

540
00:23:21,000 --> 00:23:24,320
Speaker 3: That's a little bit lucky. Now there is interior is legit,

541
00:23:24,400 --> 00:23:24,760
Speaker 3: I guess.

542
00:23:25,400 --> 00:23:28,320
Speaker 5: But the Arizona, this Arizona's team's gonna gonna test them

543
00:23:28,520 --> 00:23:31,680
Speaker 5: in that regard again, like it always is, killed love.

544
00:23:31,880 --> 00:23:33,640
Speaker 5: Can we get good killed love? We got a good

545
00:23:33,640 --> 00:23:36,880
Speaker 5: game that in Cincinnati. I think Arizona gets it done, though,

546
00:23:36,920 --> 00:23:41,040
Speaker 5: continues their trek back up towards the quality win ladder

547
00:23:41,080 --> 00:23:42,280
Speaker 5: that they need to get into the tournament.

548
00:23:42,760 --> 00:23:45,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, where the resume starts, to back up the analytics.

549
00:23:45,320 --> 00:23:47,840
Speaker 4: That's what I'm telling you. I'm with you, Met, I'm

550
00:23:47,840 --> 00:23:49,920
Speaker 4: hopping on Arizona as well. Fill it up again. I'm

551
00:23:49,920 --> 00:23:52,760
Speaker 4: gonna I'm gonna go against West Virginia one more time here.

552
00:23:53,640 --> 00:23:56,359
Speaker 4: Through two games in Big twelve play, West Virginia opponents

553
00:23:56,359 --> 00:24:01,040
Speaker 4: are shooting nineteen percent from three, and that is not sustainable.

554
00:24:01,080 --> 00:24:03,080
Speaker 4: No matter how good a defense you play, no matter

555
00:24:03,119 --> 00:24:05,400
Speaker 4: how well you felt filter the ball to the right

556
00:24:05,440 --> 00:24:09,640
Speaker 4: shooters for your defense. That that cannot last. Arizona's got

557
00:24:09,680 --> 00:24:13,280
Speaker 4: some slight vantages in the paint. If Hansbury remains out.

558
00:24:13,720 --> 00:24:16,880
Speaker 4: He did actually play last game, but still the Tucker degrees.

559
00:24:17,840 --> 00:24:21,400
Speaker 2: I truly don't fully understand how West Virginia is this good.

560
00:24:21,400 --> 00:24:23,840
Speaker 4: I think there's some good fortune in there, but they

561
00:24:24,080 --> 00:24:27,000
Speaker 4: have been a great paint defense. I'm still going to

562
00:24:27,000 --> 00:24:29,800
Speaker 4: Arizona here, Matt. Even though West Virginia keeps teams in

563
00:24:29,840 --> 00:24:31,360
Speaker 4: the half court, they do not let you run.

564
00:24:31,359 --> 00:24:34,840
Speaker 2: That's a degree staple no transition. But I think Arizona's

565
00:24:34,840 --> 00:24:35,719
Speaker 2: going to be the pick for me here.

566
00:24:35,920 --> 00:24:37,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean matchup wise, you actually are you? It's

567
00:24:37,960 --> 00:24:40,320
Speaker 1: a good matchup plus Reginia like they've been excellently keeping

568
00:24:40,359 --> 00:24:42,680
Speaker 1: fast teams out of transition. Like literally did the entire

569
00:24:42,680 --> 00:24:45,159
Speaker 1: Aganzaga prep to a tee and you know not that

570
00:24:45,280 --> 00:24:47,200
Speaker 1: this is the same prep, but it's a similar Ish

571
00:24:47,200 --> 00:24:48,040
Speaker 1: prep for sure.

572
00:24:48,359 --> 00:24:50,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, they're Kansas prep. They it's a sixty persis same.

573
00:24:50,840 --> 00:24:52,359
Speaker 2: I think it's a Kansas team that wants to run.

574
00:24:54,680 --> 00:24:57,520
Speaker 1: Who I mean, I saw just trusting my my plumes,

575
00:24:57,640 --> 00:24:59,600
Speaker 1: mister McKeon with the spot there for Zona, who I

576
00:24:59,640 --> 00:25:02,320
Speaker 1: still think a little bit disrespected and undervalued after a

577
00:25:02,359 --> 00:25:06,240
Speaker 1: tough non con all right, last one here BYU hosting

578
00:25:06,280 --> 00:25:09,280
Speaker 1: Texas Tech, the Raiders is going to stay in out side.

579
00:25:09,359 --> 00:25:11,800
Speaker 1: Just got a huge one at Utah. Just smacked the

580
00:25:11,840 --> 00:25:14,720
Speaker 1: each gym healthy ish. We like this mcaslin team. Is

581
00:25:14,760 --> 00:25:17,920
Speaker 1: this sort of the start of the juggernaut we saw coming.

582
00:25:18,840 --> 00:25:21,360
Speaker 4: I do think that the crescendo is on its way

583
00:25:21,480 --> 00:25:24,080
Speaker 4: and they're going to start trending up. Unfortunately, I'm taking

584
00:25:24,119 --> 00:25:26,960
Speaker 4: BYU here. I think the spot is just home run.

585
00:25:27,080 --> 00:25:30,840
Speaker 4: Cougar's second straight elevation game for Texas Tech. They're at Utah,

586
00:25:30,880 --> 00:25:32,800
Speaker 4: now they're going to Byu. Not a lot of travel,

587
00:25:32,840 --> 00:25:35,000
Speaker 4: but double elevation is tough. We saw that with PAC

588
00:25:35,080 --> 00:25:38,000
Speaker 4: twelve teams, KAI teams Ago, Utah to Colorado. You want

589
00:25:38,000 --> 00:25:40,480
Speaker 4: to fade them that second leg. Now you got BYU

590
00:25:40,520 --> 00:25:43,199
Speaker 4: in the mix and BYU just play Houston. It's going

591
00:25:43,240 --> 00:25:45,200
Speaker 4: to feel like easy mode when you play somebody that's

592
00:25:45,200 --> 00:25:48,760
Speaker 4: not Houston. Texas Tech's defense has had real problems. U

593
00:25:48,800 --> 00:25:52,680
Speaker 4: seef torched them in Lubbock. I think it's a great, great,

594
00:25:52,720 --> 00:25:53,800
Speaker 4: great spot for BYU.

595
00:25:53,840 --> 00:25:56,240
Speaker 2: I will be betting the Cougars. Yeah, lean BYU in it.

596
00:25:56,280 --> 00:25:58,119
Speaker 5: Bounce back. The travel thing is weird. Same with the

597
00:25:58,160 --> 00:26:00,800
Speaker 5: Michigan UCLA that Matt mentioned. It is strange when the

598
00:26:00,880 --> 00:26:03,800
Speaker 5: road team has less travel than the home team. Now,

599
00:26:04,080 --> 00:26:08,000
Speaker 5: obviously BYU made the trip that Saturday, right, and they're

600
00:26:08,040 --> 00:26:10,440
Speaker 5: playing Tuesday, and I guess Texas texts.

601
00:26:10,160 --> 00:26:13,440
Speaker 3: Hanging out in Salt Lake in Provo and Ski.

602
00:26:13,840 --> 00:26:17,760
Speaker 5: Yeah, no, no alcohol, we know that for in Utah.

603
00:26:17,840 --> 00:26:20,159
Speaker 1: Yeah, honestly, you probably stay in the same hotel like

604
00:26:20,200 --> 00:26:23,200
Speaker 1: they're forty minutes apart, kind of you know, makes it easy.

605
00:26:23,920 --> 00:26:26,200
Speaker 5: Gym's right, though, the spot is good for Texas Tech.

606
00:26:26,400 --> 00:26:28,480
Speaker 5: I mean, they're gonna score too. If you want to

607
00:26:28,480 --> 00:26:30,480
Speaker 5: total lean probably over. I think it's going to be

608
00:26:30,520 --> 00:26:34,200
Speaker 5: a pretty efficient game. Yeah, BYU might might feel little

609
00:26:34,200 --> 00:26:36,920
Speaker 5: free from the shackles from Houston. Texas Tech defense not

610
00:26:36,920 --> 00:26:38,280
Speaker 5: not close to what the Cougars are.

611
00:26:38,520 --> 00:26:40,480
Speaker 1: Let's fly to the rest of our goods here again,

612
00:26:40,560 --> 00:26:43,399
Speaker 1: sorry for mid major fans a little bit late, but

613
00:26:43,960 --> 00:26:46,680
Speaker 1: Tuesday talk to Mountain West here speaking of Alt to Toude,

614
00:26:46,680 --> 00:26:50,600
Speaker 1: New Mexico, going to Wyoming you and going to Boise. Frankly,

615
00:26:50,600 --> 00:26:52,359
Speaker 1: I have no profound opinions on either one.

616
00:26:52,240 --> 00:26:54,680
Speaker 3: Of these games. Just notes, Jim, if you have any takes.

617
00:26:54,680 --> 00:26:59,159
Speaker 1: Wyoming injury situation with their point guard A GiB Am,

618
00:26:59,160 --> 00:27:03,640
Speaker 1: I saying that correctly, Probably not, probably not, that's fine.

619
00:27:04,320 --> 00:27:06,560
Speaker 1: I lean New Mexico. I think they're sort of starting

620
00:27:06,560 --> 00:27:08,959
Speaker 1: to figure it out. They they figured out their lineups.

621
00:27:09,000 --> 00:27:10,960
Speaker 1: I don't know, after that locker room brawl or whatever.

622
00:27:11,040 --> 00:27:13,360
Speaker 1: Maybe they just like had to had to hash it out,

623
00:27:13,359 --> 00:27:16,040
Speaker 1: you know, men to men, throw a few, uh, throw

624
00:27:16,080 --> 00:27:18,639
Speaker 1: a few through a fist, and now we're back and cooking.

625
00:27:18,680 --> 00:27:20,399
Speaker 3: So I like the Lobos here. That's my only slightly

626
00:27:20,520 --> 00:27:21,560
Speaker 3: but nothing official.

627
00:27:22,080 --> 00:27:23,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, kind of le Lobos too.

628
00:27:23,400 --> 00:27:25,480
Speaker 4: I think the big thing there is without Bem the

629
00:27:25,560 --> 00:27:28,720
Speaker 4: point guard, it's harder to control tempo, and Wyomy wants

630
00:27:28,720 --> 00:27:31,680
Speaker 4: to play slow. New Mexico wants to get in absolute

631
00:27:31,760 --> 00:27:33,920
Speaker 4: track meets, and without your point guard, like I said,

632
00:27:33,960 --> 00:27:36,760
Speaker 4: it's gonna be tough to slow down that game. I

633
00:27:36,760 --> 00:27:38,760
Speaker 4: think New Mexico can speed them up. I would lean

634
00:27:38,800 --> 00:27:39,120
Speaker 4: that way.

635
00:27:39,640 --> 00:27:40,359
Speaker 2: UNLV Boise.

636
00:27:40,880 --> 00:27:42,679
Speaker 4: You got the bounce back spot with Boise after they

637
00:27:42,800 --> 00:27:45,640
Speaker 4: just had a narrow, tough loss to San Diego State

638
00:27:45,720 --> 00:27:46,200
Speaker 4: at home.

639
00:27:46,680 --> 00:27:49,320
Speaker 2: Probably not gonna lose tune around home you and LV.

640
00:27:49,320 --> 00:27:53,960
Speaker 4: Is better as an underdog perception wise, Kui, But I

641
00:27:53,960 --> 00:27:56,960
Speaker 4: would I would probably lean the bounce back Bois Broncos.

642
00:27:57,359 --> 00:28:01,200
Speaker 5: Yeah, it's bounced back Boise Broncos for me, UNLV, fat

643
00:28:01,200 --> 00:28:04,280
Speaker 5: and happy off Fresno Air Force, Santasey State Threno against

644
00:28:04,280 --> 00:28:06,400
Speaker 5: the three worst teams in the league. I think they're

645
00:28:06,440 --> 00:28:08,359
Speaker 5: gonna think they'll get popped here against Poise.

646
00:28:08,600 --> 00:28:11,879
Speaker 3: Yeah, all right, let's go to live Dogs of the week.

647
00:28:13,240 --> 00:28:13,960
Speaker 6: Where's mine?

648
00:28:14,000 --> 00:28:16,879
Speaker 2: Oh uh huh dog?

649
00:28:18,400 --> 00:28:19,119
Speaker 6: Where's mine?

650
00:28:19,200 --> 00:28:22,000
Speaker 2: Oh uh huh dog?

651
00:28:22,600 --> 00:28:26,160
Speaker 1: Last week, a lot of losers we suggested, including UAV,

652
00:28:26,280 --> 00:28:28,199
Speaker 1: which was it looked like a winner when they were

653
00:28:28,280 --> 00:28:32,920
Speaker 1: up seventeen against a team that plays twenty possessions. Uh hey, hey,

654
00:28:32,920 --> 00:28:34,840
Speaker 1: we're give I think the idea is to give out

655
00:28:34,840 --> 00:28:36,320
Speaker 1: money line. I hope everyone out there is taking the

656
00:28:36,320 --> 00:28:37,919
Speaker 1: money lines will be throws at least I am so.

657
00:28:38,000 --> 00:28:40,320
Speaker 1: I was a loser, So congrats you spread backs on

658
00:28:40,400 --> 00:28:41,760
Speaker 1: u AV. I was a big fat loser.

659
00:28:41,800 --> 00:28:43,640
Speaker 3: That's stunk. Gotta hate that team.

660
00:28:43,720 --> 00:28:47,280
Speaker 1: Okay, swack we yell well mex Southland. I know you

661
00:28:47,280 --> 00:28:49,280
Speaker 1: guys are both experts on those leagues. I am the

662
00:28:49,320 --> 00:28:52,479
Speaker 1: swack master. I unfortunately have no good takes here at

663
00:28:52,520 --> 00:28:55,400
Speaker 1: Mississpi Valley State, catching doubles at Alabama A and M

664
00:28:56,120 --> 00:28:58,280
Speaker 1: who knows, maybe against a swack teams to the Valley

665
00:28:58,280 --> 00:29:01,360
Speaker 1: State looks decent but probably wishful thinking just a slightlyand

666
00:29:01,440 --> 00:29:06,520
Speaker 1: nothing for me Kai southlanda MIAC action dogs. Anything Oh gosh, well,

667
00:29:06,520 --> 00:29:08,360
Speaker 1: I have to look at the schedule first. Matter these

668
00:29:08,480 --> 00:29:09,880
Speaker 1: is going to do at Northwestern State.

669
00:29:09,920 --> 00:29:10,280
Speaker 3: There's one.

670
00:29:10,320 --> 00:29:11,960
Speaker 1: I mean, that's that's probably about it. But yeah, anything,

671
00:29:12,040 --> 00:29:13,800
Speaker 1: Jim at all, I wanted to talk Tuesday.

672
00:29:13,800 --> 00:29:15,800
Speaker 3: I'm not a Faddie McNee ever in the Southland.

673
00:29:16,120 --> 00:29:18,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, I had q T last year. I fad in

674
00:29:18,000 --> 00:29:20,000
Speaker 1: every conference game they'd be over rats and I was dumb.

675
00:29:20,560 --> 00:29:23,040
Speaker 5: Yeah, and as far as Missus Valley State goes, I

676
00:29:23,040 --> 00:29:24,200
Speaker 5: will never bet that team.

677
00:29:24,360 --> 00:29:26,600
Speaker 4: Oh yeah, I thought it was like all right, started

678
00:29:26,640 --> 00:29:28,920
Speaker 4: league playing. Maybe they'll trend up going to Alabama State,

679
00:29:28,960 --> 00:29:30,520
Speaker 4: who's been a little short handed.

680
00:29:30,280 --> 00:29:32,920
Speaker 2: That last by thirty they had no chance.

681
00:29:33,240 --> 00:29:35,920
Speaker 4: They're dead last to the country in both effective field

682
00:29:35,920 --> 00:29:39,080
Speaker 4: goald percentage offense and effective field goal percentage defense.

683
00:29:39,760 --> 00:29:41,760
Speaker 3: Ball club, there's a balanced ball club, gym.

684
00:29:41,920 --> 00:29:43,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, they have played the hardest schedule of the country.

685
00:29:43,920 --> 00:29:47,400
Speaker 2: That does matter. But yes, it's a bad it's a bad, bad,

686
00:29:47,440 --> 00:29:48,320
Speaker 2: bad team.

687
00:29:48,960 --> 00:29:51,800
Speaker 1: All right, Tuesday, here's the so my I have two

688
00:29:51,920 --> 00:29:54,760
Speaker 1: so my third official play is Back to the Mountain,

689
00:29:54,760 --> 00:29:56,560
Speaker 1: West Caais Santaday stay hosting Utah s Date.

690
00:29:56,600 --> 00:29:58,360
Speaker 3: I'm gonna ride with ten Miles. I think they get

691
00:29:58,360 --> 00:30:01,680
Speaker 3: this done out right. Got the Josh do J revenge game.

692
00:30:02,720 --> 00:30:05,000
Speaker 3: I think right do A.

693
00:30:05,240 --> 00:30:05,960
Speaker 2: It's a soft j.

694
00:30:06,240 --> 00:30:10,120
Speaker 1: It's a whole soft yea soft g A. I mean

695
00:30:10,160 --> 00:30:13,240
Speaker 1: like really good player revenge bodygains his old team. You

696
00:30:13,520 --> 00:30:15,480
Speaker 1: State looking a little bit more mortal lately. I mean

697
00:30:15,480 --> 00:30:17,960
Speaker 1: it's been awesome, but like kind of squeaking by in

698
00:30:18,000 --> 00:30:19,920
Speaker 1: really close spots like I just don't think it's a team.

699
00:30:19,920 --> 00:30:22,160
Speaker 1: I would like, you know, can win by margin, and

700
00:30:22,200 --> 00:30:25,120
Speaker 1: I think Timmy Miles in that spot, I think they

701
00:30:25,120 --> 00:30:25,560
Speaker 1: get it done.

702
00:30:25,640 --> 00:30:28,080
Speaker 3: So that's my only life. Dog Kai two lane at

703
00:30:28,160 --> 00:30:28,440
Speaker 3: U A B.

704
00:30:28,560 --> 00:30:30,480
Speaker 1: I wrote down, if you want to fade the rat

705
00:30:30,560 --> 00:30:32,600
Speaker 1: U a B team with a you know, well coached

706
00:30:32,600 --> 00:30:35,400
Speaker 1: and improving two lane team or that throughout Piet Duke

707
00:30:35,480 --> 00:30:37,280
Speaker 1: or that was your say, at Duke, that was your

708
00:30:37,320 --> 00:30:38,200
Speaker 1: your your.

709
00:30:38,080 --> 00:30:42,720
Speaker 4: Toss, They're not going to win, no. I I kind

710
00:30:42,720 --> 00:30:44,840
Speaker 4: of like the San Jose State one and with too

711
00:30:44,920 --> 00:30:47,480
Speaker 4: late to a B. I'm it's moneyliner or nothing like

712
00:30:47,560 --> 00:30:50,600
Speaker 4: I think you a be either completely trounces them, or

713
00:30:50,600 --> 00:30:52,400
Speaker 4: too late is right there with a chance to win.

714
00:30:52,840 --> 00:30:55,840
Speaker 4: Maybe we talked about a little bit mentally soft. They've

715
00:30:55,880 --> 00:30:58,960
Speaker 4: been really good in first halves this year. They kind

716
00:30:58,960 --> 00:31:02,080
Speaker 4: of just collapse most of the time. Not every time,

717
00:31:02,120 --> 00:31:05,280
Speaker 4: but most of the time. So uh yeah, maybe maybe

718
00:31:05,280 --> 00:31:07,000
Speaker 4: too late second half if they're down.

719
00:31:07,360 --> 00:31:09,640
Speaker 1: I think fading you ab second half every game the

720
00:31:09,640 --> 00:31:10,960
Speaker 1: rest of the year. If they're winning at half time,

721
00:31:11,040 --> 00:31:12,520
Speaker 1: is going to be a winning point. Like they just

722
00:31:12,600 --> 00:31:14,360
Speaker 1: have the look on their face and like this has

723
00:31:14,440 --> 00:31:17,320
Speaker 1: happened five times this year. We know it's coming again.

724
00:31:17,400 --> 00:31:19,680
Speaker 1: We just can't get it out of our our psychees.

725
00:31:19,800 --> 00:31:23,160
Speaker 1: Just it's tough to watch it early, is yep? Yeah,

726
00:31:23,280 --> 00:31:25,120
Speaker 1: just I'll throw out like maybe you want or to

727
00:31:25,600 --> 00:31:30,000
Speaker 1: I'm you have my attention on SMU at UNC both

728
00:31:30,000 --> 00:31:32,880
Speaker 1: teams off losses or actually off a big win against

729
00:31:32,880 --> 00:31:33,280
Speaker 1: Notre Dame.

730
00:31:33,360 --> 00:31:37,200
Speaker 4: But I yeah, the same four point play with like

731
00:31:37,280 --> 00:31:39,880
Speaker 4: three seconds that was Yeah, I felt so bad for

732
00:31:39,880 --> 00:31:40,400
Speaker 4: the Irish.

733
00:31:40,560 --> 00:31:43,360
Speaker 1: Yeah that's a nice juicy number there kind of maybe

734
00:31:43,360 --> 00:31:45,720
Speaker 1: a good bounce back for them, if you want to

735
00:31:45,760 --> 00:31:47,960
Speaker 1: get really crazy And I don't really on this, but

736
00:31:48,160 --> 00:31:49,400
Speaker 1: I'm just trying to throw it out there.

737
00:31:49,960 --> 00:31:51,480
Speaker 3: Look, George Sown's been playing a lot better.

738
00:31:52,400 --> 00:31:56,160
Speaker 2: They're going to Marquette, are sucking up to the Georgetown fans.

739
00:31:56,200 --> 00:31:57,160
Speaker 2: Now you try to curge.

740
00:31:57,160 --> 00:32:00,440
Speaker 1: I don't think it's going to happen, But crazier things happened.

741
00:32:00,480 --> 00:32:01,200
Speaker 1: We'll say that much.

742
00:32:01,600 --> 00:32:03,920
Speaker 4: Yeah, it could be a big Tommy sworby Tommy soor

743
00:32:03,960 --> 00:32:04,920
Speaker 4: bag game in the page.

744
00:32:05,040 --> 00:32:06,480
Speaker 3: He's good, that's very very good.

745
00:32:06,760 --> 00:32:08,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, he's kind of changed everything for them.

746
00:32:09,520 --> 00:32:11,719
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll hop on thet SA Jose State love. I'll

747
00:32:11,720 --> 00:32:12,800
Speaker 3: probably take them in the spread.

748
00:32:12,840 --> 00:32:15,640
Speaker 1: Good to me, Miles, good ball coach. All Right, to

749
00:32:15,800 --> 00:32:18,480
Speaker 1: favorite favorites. We're better at this section. While we were

750
00:32:18,520 --> 00:32:21,480
Speaker 1: two or two last week, Kentucky and Vandy won by

751
00:32:21,600 --> 00:32:23,960
Speaker 1: like I mean, they covered by like a combined forty points.

752
00:32:24,000 --> 00:32:27,720
Speaker 1: So a nice shot by us. But conference play, I

753
00:32:27,720 --> 00:32:29,240
Speaker 1: just feel like this is a tougher spot to really

754
00:32:29,280 --> 00:32:31,960
Speaker 1: pick off. We really have nothing on Monday, Jim, you

755
00:32:32,040 --> 00:32:34,680
Speaker 1: think Houston rex TCU that would qualify as a favorite favorite.

756
00:32:34,760 --> 00:32:36,760
Speaker 1: Just crazy to think that that number could be like twenty,

757
00:32:36,760 --> 00:32:38,080
Speaker 1: But I mean that's what Houston does.

758
00:32:38,160 --> 00:32:39,760
Speaker 2: So yeah, I said they're in the breakdown.

759
00:32:39,800 --> 00:32:42,240
Speaker 4: I'd lay up to eighteen when it's seventeen at Ken Palm.

760
00:32:42,320 --> 00:32:44,280
Speaker 4: I hope we get something in that realm.

761
00:32:44,320 --> 00:32:47,480
Speaker 3: But seeing early markets like eighteen and a half, oh.

762
00:32:47,440 --> 00:32:51,840
Speaker 4: You rats, Well, I'll have to think long and hard

763
00:32:51,840 --> 00:32:54,640
Speaker 4: about it. But yeah, I just think TCU is not

764
00:32:54,720 --> 00:32:57,640
Speaker 4: good and Houston is, like I said, built to destroy

765
00:32:57,720 --> 00:32:59,400
Speaker 4: teams that are not good offensively.

766
00:33:00,160 --> 00:33:03,040
Speaker 1: Might be some sicko out there who likes TCU at twenty,

767
00:33:03,080 --> 00:33:04,720
Speaker 1: so maybe you can get a ould punch back.

768
00:33:04,800 --> 00:33:06,560
Speaker 2: I hope that'll be great, all.

769
00:33:06,560 --> 00:33:07,080
Speaker 3: Right, Tuesday?

770
00:33:07,120 --> 00:33:09,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, three more large conference spreads. I always stay hosting Utah,

771
00:33:09,720 --> 00:33:12,480
Speaker 1: I always stay m Pom has it twenty yeah, I

772
00:33:12,480 --> 00:33:15,640
Speaker 1: mean it could be higher. Who knows St Mary's hosting LMU.

773
00:33:16,400 --> 00:33:18,080
Speaker 1: Saint Mary's might as well. ELM you I believe beat

774
00:33:18,120 --> 00:33:22,600
Speaker 1: Saint Mary's last year two years ago, but I kind

775
00:33:22,600 --> 00:33:24,800
Speaker 1: of think Saint Mary's kills him personally. And in Taledo

776
00:33:24,880 --> 00:33:28,080
Speaker 1: hosting Eastern Michigan KAI, the Rocket Chips start kind to

777
00:33:27,920 --> 00:33:30,280
Speaker 1: go off to a good start in conference play to

778
00:33:30,480 --> 00:33:33,240
Speaker 1: keep it rolling against you know, what do you call it?

779
00:33:33,280 --> 00:33:36,360
Speaker 1: The the DePaul defectors EMU ASBOT three Topaul tar aanswers

780
00:33:36,360 --> 00:33:37,239
Speaker 1: from last year two or three.

781
00:33:37,640 --> 00:33:37,840
Speaker 2: Yeah.

782
00:33:37,880 --> 00:33:40,160
Speaker 5: So yeah, I mean if you if you think Tledo

783
00:33:40,240 --> 00:33:42,520
Speaker 5: is a big buye AKA, they're way below where they

784
00:33:42,560 --> 00:33:44,680
Speaker 5: should be analytically, and they're ceating in the conference play

785
00:33:44,680 --> 00:33:47,120
Speaker 5: at conference, then you usually dominate, then yeah, you keep

786
00:33:47,120 --> 00:33:47,840
Speaker 5: betting Toledo.

787
00:33:48,600 --> 00:33:50,760
Speaker 3: I lean their way for sure, I'll probably be on them.

788
00:33:51,240 --> 00:33:51,440
Speaker 2: Man.

789
00:33:51,480 --> 00:33:54,480
Speaker 5: I wanted to say, no way, I'm backing Utah twenty

790
00:33:54,520 --> 00:33:57,920
Speaker 5: points in conference, but well, they've lost to Baylor by

791
00:33:58,040 --> 00:34:01,320
Speaker 5: twenty five, they've lost Texas Tech by twenty eight. I'm

792
00:34:01,320 --> 00:34:02,920
Speaker 5: not sure I want to take them against an Iowa

793
00:34:02,920 --> 00:34:04,760
Speaker 5: STA team that's better than both those teams.

794
00:34:05,000 --> 00:34:08,239
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm gonna take Toledo. I'm like KAYU just basically

795
00:34:08,239 --> 00:34:11,600
Speaker 4: framed it. They are way undervalued analytically compared to what

796
00:34:11,719 --> 00:34:14,160
Speaker 4: I think they still are and can be and should be.

797
00:34:14,719 --> 00:34:17,040
Speaker 4: So I think the ascent comes in MAC plays where

798
00:34:17,040 --> 00:34:19,920
Speaker 4: you kind of pick up on them re calibrating to

799
00:34:19,960 --> 00:34:24,480
Speaker 4: what they should have been preseason. Love Toledo, Iowa State things. Man,

800
00:34:25,640 --> 00:34:29,160
Speaker 4: they are ridiculous. They own Baylor that certainly helped inflate

801
00:34:29,160 --> 00:34:29,680
Speaker 4: them a little bit.

802
00:34:29,719 --> 00:34:31,600
Speaker 2: They've covered ten straight games against Baylor.

803
00:34:31,680 --> 00:34:34,040
Speaker 4: For you listeners out there, maybe circle the spot or

804
00:34:34,080 --> 00:34:36,799
Speaker 4: the Yeah it's the ots owns drew.

805
00:34:37,080 --> 00:34:40,280
Speaker 2: It's wild, but twenty points.

806
00:34:40,520 --> 00:34:42,640
Speaker 4: It's nice that Iowa say it has an offense this year,

807
00:34:42,719 --> 00:34:44,680
Speaker 4: like an elite one. So if you're gonna lay twenty points,

808
00:34:44,719 --> 00:34:46,000
Speaker 4: you want to be able to score, and they can.

809
00:34:46,120 --> 00:34:48,640
Speaker 4: It's not just like having to suffocate teams at Hilton.

810
00:34:49,120 --> 00:34:51,640
Speaker 4: But that's that's too many for me, Matthew. I can't

811
00:34:51,640 --> 00:34:55,359
Speaker 4: get there with all Iowa State Saint Mary's. I'm kind

812
00:34:55,400 --> 00:34:58,120
Speaker 4: of interested. I don't think LW plays up well. I

813
00:34:58,120 --> 00:35:01,120
Speaker 4: think they're kind of like a bully bad teams with

814
00:35:01,239 --> 00:35:04,800
Speaker 4: Jevin Porters a potential pro but not overly well coached.

815
00:35:05,000 --> 00:35:06,560
Speaker 4: Saint Mary's can out execute them.

816
00:35:06,719 --> 00:35:08,359
Speaker 2: And you're right. Two years ago, l of you beat

817
00:35:08,360 --> 00:35:10,400
Speaker 2: them in ot Yeah.

818
00:35:10,239 --> 00:35:11,879
Speaker 1: I want you beat the crap out of Oregon State.

819
00:35:12,080 --> 00:35:14,759
Speaker 1: A good team, very good team this year, but then

820
00:35:14,840 --> 00:35:18,319
Speaker 1: got their breaks beat in by a very angry Gonzaga

821
00:35:18,320 --> 00:35:20,319
Speaker 1: ball club. I guess they had a win before that,

822
00:35:20,360 --> 00:35:23,000
Speaker 1: but still still probably bitter from some of their l's.

823
00:35:23,520 --> 00:35:27,920
Speaker 1: All right, let's go to a couple of travel spots here.

824
00:35:27,960 --> 00:35:29,600
Speaker 1: We'll wrap this up with some trash and get out

825
00:35:29,600 --> 00:35:32,360
Speaker 1: of here. They got the trash and go home, mister mckemmit.

826
00:35:32,440 --> 00:35:34,279
Speaker 3: First a couple of spots.

827
00:35:35,360 --> 00:35:37,600
Speaker 1: We got the travel spots pretty well nailed at, like

828
00:35:37,640 --> 00:35:41,360
Speaker 1: the two stupid Grand Canyon f IU non conference hosts

829
00:35:41,440 --> 00:35:42,040
Speaker 1: by games.

830
00:35:42,360 --> 00:35:45,239
Speaker 2: Yeah, unfortunately those are gone if we don't get the rain.

831
00:35:45,800 --> 00:35:47,120
Speaker 3: Yeah again, so.

832
00:35:49,080 --> 00:35:49,319
Speaker 2: I did.

833
00:35:49,520 --> 00:35:51,480
Speaker 3: We talked about the UCLA Michigan.

834
00:35:52,640 --> 00:35:55,200
Speaker 1: Sort of inverted travel I'll call it Texas Tech BYU again,

835
00:35:55,280 --> 00:35:56,759
Speaker 1: kind of inverted travel.

836
00:35:56,480 --> 00:35:57,239
Speaker 3: With the host team.

837
00:35:57,239 --> 00:36:00,120
Speaker 1: I mean to fly back the road team traveling is

838
00:36:00,160 --> 00:36:01,879
Speaker 1: clean out at all, staying right there where they are.

839
00:36:02,960 --> 00:36:05,200
Speaker 1: And I said, which talk ky they played Monday or

840
00:36:05,200 --> 00:36:08,279
Speaker 1: so they played Monday after a Friday turnaround. I think

841
00:36:08,280 --> 00:36:10,720
Speaker 1: it's one of the only oddities in the AAC schedule

842
00:36:10,760 --> 00:36:12,560
Speaker 1: like this, not like a crazy like back to back

843
00:36:12,640 --> 00:36:15,360
Speaker 1: or anything. But I do kind of like South Florida

844
00:36:15,480 --> 00:36:16,920
Speaker 1: just as a note there as a dog at the

845
00:36:17,520 --> 00:36:18,360
Speaker 1: playing the Shockers.

846
00:36:18,520 --> 00:36:20,359
Speaker 3: So that was it for me for spots.

847
00:36:20,880 --> 00:36:24,080
Speaker 5: Yeah, I like the Michigan to UCLA. I'm coming around.

848
00:36:24,080 --> 00:36:25,560
Speaker 5: I've been kind of playing with that in my head.

849
00:36:25,640 --> 00:36:27,520
Speaker 5: I know Jim said he take Michigan with no daily.

850
00:36:27,960 --> 00:36:29,799
Speaker 5: I do like that Michigan spot. I would say the

851
00:36:29,800 --> 00:36:32,719
Speaker 5: same about Texas tech, except it is at altitude and

852
00:36:33,360 --> 00:36:35,680
Speaker 5: coming back off getting blown out to Houston.

853
00:36:35,920 --> 00:36:37,799
Speaker 3: It makes me think differently on that particular one.

854
00:36:38,680 --> 00:36:40,760
Speaker 4: Now with the South Florida thing, I was almost leading

855
00:36:40,760 --> 00:36:43,719
Speaker 4: the other way from a different spot lens if you will,

856
00:36:43,800 --> 00:36:47,000
Speaker 4: of the oh one Wichita coming back home, Like it's

857
00:36:47,040 --> 00:36:49,200
Speaker 4: one to know South Florida who now goes on road.

858
00:36:50,000 --> 00:36:52,120
Speaker 4: I kind of like that to flip. But looking at

859
00:36:52,160 --> 00:36:54,360
Speaker 4: the number eight nine points, I don't think I'll be.

860
00:36:54,360 --> 00:36:55,360
Speaker 2: Able to get there on the number.

861
00:36:55,480 --> 00:36:58,680
Speaker 4: If it was lower, I would lay it, but it's

862
00:36:59,120 --> 00:37:01,560
Speaker 4: South Florida's just had some weird struggles this year. I

863
00:37:01,600 --> 00:37:05,440
Speaker 4: mean obviously pretty understandable given what happened in the preseason,

864
00:37:05,880 --> 00:37:10,200
Speaker 4: but it's there. They're so now lowly valued that the

865
00:37:10,200 --> 00:37:13,799
Speaker 4: spreads aren't really there to to fade them again.

866
00:37:13,840 --> 00:37:16,280
Speaker 1: Yeah, we're kind of reaching for grasp for straw spots

867
00:37:16,280 --> 00:37:18,440
Speaker 1: since the start of Constance plays. Just everyone's in the

868
00:37:18,440 --> 00:37:20,840
Speaker 1: same boat, right, there's not like any major advantage. Just

869
00:37:20,920 --> 00:37:22,759
Speaker 1: like you know, bet who you like, but he thinks

870
00:37:22,840 --> 00:37:24,040
Speaker 1: undervalued or is going to play well.

871
00:37:24,400 --> 00:37:25,759
Speaker 4: It's a fun week where it's yeah, it's just a

872
00:37:25,800 --> 00:37:29,040
Speaker 4: lot of like good Prower Conference games.

873
00:37:29,160 --> 00:37:30,759
Speaker 2: Yeah, like who do you think is going to win

874
00:37:30,960 --> 00:37:31,640
Speaker 2: most of the time.

875
00:37:32,640 --> 00:37:34,960
Speaker 1: All right, let's take out the trash here before we

876
00:37:35,040 --> 00:37:35,640
Speaker 1: head out.

877
00:37:35,680 --> 00:37:39,160
Speaker 3: The trash man pick of the week. I'm the trash man.

878
00:37:39,520 --> 00:37:42,720
Speaker 3: Just throw me the trash, your garbage, and you know it.

879
00:37:42,880 --> 00:37:45,040
Speaker 3: Totally unreliable, undependable.

880
00:37:45,160 --> 00:37:45,600
Speaker 2: That's it.

881
00:37:45,719 --> 00:37:46,359
Speaker 3: You've been told off.

882
00:37:46,360 --> 00:37:46,920
Speaker 2: How do you like that?

883
00:37:47,320 --> 00:37:49,759
Speaker 3: Good one to oh last week?

884
00:37:49,840 --> 00:37:52,560
Speaker 1: Because we got more head against Southern Indiana because other Indiana,

885
00:37:52,560 --> 00:37:55,520
Speaker 1: I guess stinks. I don't know that Eagles my Eagles.

886
00:37:56,080 --> 00:37:58,160
Speaker 1: I kind of feeling the OVC will be heavily featured

887
00:37:58,200 --> 00:38:00,279
Speaker 1: in this section. Maybe just make this an o VC section,

888
00:38:00,600 --> 00:38:02,520
Speaker 1: kind of a kind of a sponsored by the OVC

889
00:38:02,640 --> 00:38:03,120
Speaker 1: going forward.

890
00:38:03,160 --> 00:38:05,759
Speaker 2: They're all the same, the same.

891
00:38:05,719 --> 00:38:11,080
Speaker 1: There's no delineation. All right, Tulsa at Utsa, the only

892
00:38:11,080 --> 00:38:14,040
Speaker 1: one really qualifies. So on Tuesday, the two bottom feeders

893
00:38:14,080 --> 00:38:17,560
Speaker 1: in the AC square off. I kind of thought Utsa

894
00:38:17,560 --> 00:38:19,360
Speaker 1: could be a fun little team this year under Austin Faunch.

895
00:38:19,440 --> 00:38:22,440
Speaker 1: Got some decent transfers, not good, but decent. But you

896
00:38:22,520 --> 00:38:26,319
Speaker 1: lost Army Okay, not good, but then you followed up

897
00:38:26,320 --> 00:38:30,520
Speaker 1: by getting demolished last game. So I don't I mean

898
00:38:30,560 --> 00:38:32,960
Speaker 1: as bad as Tulsa's been like Utsa doesn't give me

899
00:38:33,000 --> 00:38:34,959
Speaker 1: a ton of warm and fuzzies ky, they're laying five.

900
00:38:35,360 --> 00:38:37,320
Speaker 1: I still lean their way, though I have confidence in

901
00:38:37,400 --> 00:38:39,839
Speaker 1: claunching co. I think Eric Conkle is on his way

902
00:38:39,840 --> 00:38:44,080
Speaker 1: out at Tulsa, working on his second disastrous season in

903
00:38:44,200 --> 00:38:48,280
Speaker 1: three tries at that regime. This Tulsa team is terrible.

904
00:38:48,320 --> 00:38:51,160
Speaker 1: With a capital T that rhymes with P that stands

905
00:38:51,200 --> 00:38:53,960
Speaker 1: for pool. They have never beaten any team inside the

906
00:38:54,000 --> 00:38:56,800
Speaker 1: top three hundred this season. That's horrible.

907
00:38:57,600 --> 00:38:58,799
Speaker 3: Every every single.

908
00:38:58,600 --> 00:39:01,239
Speaker 5: Chance I've had to fade Tulsa I have done so successfully.

909
00:39:01,320 --> 00:39:03,520
Speaker 5: Unfortunately I've not done it all season, and I wish

910
00:39:03,520 --> 00:39:05,160
Speaker 5: I would have. Perhaps I will.

911
00:39:04,960 --> 00:39:07,960
Speaker 3: Against Youtsa, who I think is much more talented.

912
00:39:08,880 --> 00:39:11,800
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, if your your peak season at Tulsa

913
00:39:11,840 --> 00:39:14,359
Speaker 4: is one hundred and eighty fourth, which is worse than

914
00:39:14,400 --> 00:39:17,440
Speaker 4: any of Frank Case seasons. And he's got two trending

915
00:39:17,480 --> 00:39:20,800
Speaker 4: towards maybe outside the top three hundred. It's been rough

916
00:39:20,880 --> 00:39:23,399
Speaker 4: for mister Conkle, and he's tried to like completely change

917
00:39:23,400 --> 00:39:26,239
Speaker 4: how they played defensively. They run people off the three

918
00:39:26,280 --> 00:39:28,359
Speaker 4: point line. They were not doing that the past couple

919
00:39:28,400 --> 00:39:28,760
Speaker 4: of years.

920
00:39:29,280 --> 00:39:31,839
Speaker 2: Trying to alter things. It's it's not good.

921
00:39:31,880 --> 00:39:35,080
Speaker 4: I still think Utsa has more upside to access than

922
00:39:35,239 --> 00:39:35,879
Speaker 4: Tulsa does.

923
00:39:35,920 --> 00:39:36,120
Speaker 2: Matt.

924
00:39:36,160 --> 00:39:39,880
Speaker 4: So if we're taking the trash out here, I'll roadrunner.

925
00:39:39,920 --> 00:39:41,440
Speaker 2: I'll meet meep with you meep.

926
00:39:42,280 --> 00:39:42,440
Speaker 3: You know.

927
00:39:42,520 --> 00:39:45,040
Speaker 1: I'll make an official play. Why not my fourth for

928
00:39:45,120 --> 00:39:47,920
Speaker 1: the pro And hey, let's bring it to the recap section.

929
00:39:48,120 --> 00:39:50,720
Speaker 1: What are we spewing out? What's official? A lot of lean's,

930
00:39:50,840 --> 00:39:53,719
Speaker 1: a lot of discussion. But where's the money going?

931
00:39:54,040 --> 00:39:54,279
Speaker 3: Kai?

932
00:39:54,400 --> 00:39:56,799
Speaker 5: We'll start with you, all right, a few I'm taking

933
00:39:56,880 --> 00:39:59,680
Speaker 5: Rutgers at home against Wisconsin. That spread is already looking

934
00:39:59,680 --> 00:40:02,520
Speaker 5: like to a pick not four. We hope we're going

935
00:40:02,600 --> 00:40:06,560
Speaker 5: to get Houston. I think demolish just TCU. I really

936
00:40:06,600 --> 00:40:09,880
Speaker 5: like Florida against Tennessee. I'm glad someone's gonna do it.

937
00:40:09,960 --> 00:40:12,080
Speaker 5: I've been wanting to back this team. I just can't

938
00:40:12,080 --> 00:40:14,040
Speaker 5: get there on the number. I'm like, why not. I've

939
00:40:14,120 --> 00:40:16,400
Speaker 5: watched this team. I think this team is amazing. Florida

940
00:40:16,719 --> 00:40:22,080
Speaker 5: Michigan against UCLA. I'm gonna take Boise to pop un

941
00:40:22,160 --> 00:40:24,440
Speaker 5: LV you know, LV three and Oho in Mountain West

942
00:40:24,440 --> 00:40:28,000
Speaker 5: play against the bottom feeders. San Jose State against Utah State.

943
00:40:28,040 --> 00:40:29,920
Speaker 5: That's a scary one. And then Toledo to blow out

944
00:40:29,960 --> 00:40:30,680
Speaker 5: Eastern Michigan.

945
00:40:31,440 --> 00:40:33,200
Speaker 2: Good man, I'm joining you in a couple of those.

946
00:40:33,239 --> 00:40:34,719
Speaker 2: I'm gonna lay it with Houston too.

947
00:40:36,000 --> 00:40:39,480
Speaker 4: I'll move my strike up to nineteen. Why am I

948
00:40:39,520 --> 00:40:41,560
Speaker 4: being particular in that range? I think they are gonna

949
00:40:41,560 --> 00:40:44,440
Speaker 4: be TC by thirty, So yeah, I will. I will

950
00:40:44,520 --> 00:40:47,799
Speaker 4: lay it there Michigan if Daily is out, I'm gonna

951
00:40:47,840 --> 00:40:50,279
Speaker 4: be more of a conditional handicap there.

952
00:40:50,360 --> 00:40:53,920
Speaker 2: That one would take Arizona. I love BYU. That's probably like.

953
00:40:53,880 --> 00:40:55,960
Speaker 4: A one point five unit for me, and I'm a

954
00:40:56,000 --> 00:40:57,439
Speaker 4: guy that loves Texas Tech.

955
00:40:57,719 --> 00:41:01,719
Speaker 2: I just think the spot's really bad for tech there, Mormons.

956
00:41:02,440 --> 00:41:05,680
Speaker 4: I'll take Toledo as as Kai also did. Then a

957
00:41:05,680 --> 00:41:08,759
Speaker 4: couple we did not discuss. I'm gonna take Oklova State

958
00:41:08,840 --> 00:41:10,000
Speaker 4: at home versus k State.

959
00:41:10,320 --> 00:41:14,520
Speaker 1: Good luck team, Thank you, good lucky.

960
00:41:14,560 --> 00:41:15,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's that's it.

961
00:41:16,040 --> 00:41:18,240
Speaker 1: That was almost a trash I mean that's over sorry

962
00:41:18,280 --> 00:41:20,520
Speaker 1: case State, Okay State fans, But relative your expectations, that

963
00:41:20,560 --> 00:41:22,240
Speaker 1: did a trash section worthy matchup?

964
00:41:22,280 --> 00:41:24,960
Speaker 4: I guess yeah, of all power spots that that that

965
00:41:25,040 --> 00:41:25,719
Speaker 4: is trash.

966
00:41:26,200 --> 00:41:27,959
Speaker 2: And then I'm also going to take Iowa at home

967
00:41:28,000 --> 00:41:28,560
Speaker 2: in the Big Ten.

968
00:41:29,120 --> 00:41:33,160
Speaker 4: They just had that absolutely ludicrous defensive performance against Wisconsin

969
00:41:33,239 --> 00:41:37,280
Speaker 4: where they got like destroyed. It was sixty seven percent

970
00:41:37,320 --> 00:41:39,360
Speaker 4: from the three point line. I gave one hundred and

971
00:41:39,360 --> 00:41:41,160
Speaker 4: sixteen points at the Cold Center. I think he had

972
00:41:41,160 --> 00:41:43,160
Speaker 4: a bounce back at Carver Hawkeye. Out of the Hawkeyes,

973
00:41:43,239 --> 00:41:44,360
Speaker 4: I'll take, I'll take Iowa.

974
00:41:44,719 --> 00:41:46,560
Speaker 1: What do I I'm sorry, want to Yeah, I have four,

975
00:41:46,760 --> 00:41:49,279
Speaker 1: thank you, my my picks. Here they come Michigan as

976
00:41:49,360 --> 00:41:56,200
Speaker 1: promised unconditional, unlike Jim Arizona unconditionally backing the Cats and

977
00:41:56,320 --> 00:41:57,640
Speaker 1: uh up at West Virginia.

978
00:41:57,719 --> 00:41:58,600
Speaker 3: That one's probably gonna lose.

979
00:41:58,600 --> 00:42:00,480
Speaker 1: So I would say, I'm before you could, Paul, three

980
00:42:00,480 --> 00:42:02,600
Speaker 1: of these don't follow this one. So yeah, So Arizona

981
00:42:02,680 --> 00:42:04,239
Speaker 1: is a loser, but officially the best bet for me,

982
00:42:04,920 --> 00:42:07,759
Speaker 1: San Jose State Timmy Miles why not?

983
00:42:08,239 --> 00:42:09,879
Speaker 3: And then the meat Meat Roadrunners in.

984
00:42:09,840 --> 00:42:14,120
Speaker 1: The Battle of trash or Locks from Matthias Cox Fellows.

985
00:42:14,280 --> 00:42:17,920
Speaker 1: That concludes another phenomenal I'll say that's the that's the

986
00:42:17,920 --> 00:42:20,200
Speaker 1: word is looking forth. Phenomenal breakdown by all of us

987
00:42:20,200 --> 00:42:24,160
Speaker 1: BBOC coming to you every week Monday Tuesday Action the

988
00:42:24,160 --> 00:42:25,640
Speaker 1: rest of the college bastle season, take.

989
00:42:25,520 --> 00:42:38,960
Speaker 6: Care, get luck in your wagers.

990
00:42:39,960 --> 00:42:44,480
Speaker 3: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

991
00:42:44,480 --> 00:42:47,279
Speaker 3: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

992
00:42:47,320 --> 00:42:50,440
Speaker 3: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler