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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Wednesday morning edition of the Daily Juice podcast.

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Speaker 1: Dotors Mappparoldup Bettingpros dot com. This whole thing being brought

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Speaker 1: to you by our friends at BETMGM. And I got

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Speaker 1: a smile on my face, even though last night in

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Speaker 1: the last two days have sucked all right, So one

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Speaker 1: five and one ice, I mean Arctic chili cold except

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Speaker 1: for one big play. And this is where when we

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Speaker 1: talk about value, you often have to look at what

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Speaker 1: the odds are and watch the line movement. Because what

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Speaker 1: happened between the Denver Nuggets and the LA Clippers before

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Speaker 1: that series began was a little bit mind numbing. This

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Speaker 1: is a bubble setup, this is an unknown, this is

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Speaker 1: no fans all basketball, and and well, Jamal Murray and

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Speaker 1: the Joker are just special, I mean they're special players.

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Speaker 1: We watch them come from three to one down against

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Speaker 1: the Utah Jazz and I thought to myself, how in

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Speaker 1: the world are these guys going to be plus nine

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Speaker 1: hundred minus sixteen hundred when everyone is going one way

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Speaker 1: and the odds are spiking like that, and it opens

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Speaker 1: up as the Clippers minus three hundred, minus four hundred,

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Speaker 1: minus five hundred. That's some serious juice. When a best

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Speaker 1: of seven series in this type of format goes to

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Speaker 1: minus sixteen hundred, alarm bells should go off in your head.

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Speaker 1: And that's not to say that the Clippers wouldn't be

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Speaker 1: the right bet, like ninety nine out of one hundred times.

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Speaker 1: But you don't need the Clippers to be right ninety

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Speaker 1: nine out of one hundred times. You only need the

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Speaker 1: Clippers to be wrong once. And that's what happened. The

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Speaker 1: Clippers blew a three to one lead and they are

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Speaker 1: getting roasted by everyone on Twitter, everybody from Dame to

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Speaker 1: Magic Johnson. I mean, the Lakers and the Blazers are

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Speaker 1: both having a whale of a time making fun of

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Speaker 1: the Clippers. I almost feel bad for the Clippers. I mean, look,

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Speaker 1: this is the first run and who knows what would

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Speaker 1: have happened if the pandemic didn't hit. Who knows what

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Speaker 1: would have happened if the Clippers had home court and

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Speaker 1: their fans and a real basketball environment. I mean, Kawhi

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Speaker 1: Leonard never looked right, he never looked really interested. And

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Speaker 1: remember the Clippers were siding with the Lakers about going home.

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Speaker 1: Remember that when the meeting happened to walk out and

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Speaker 1: Lebron James left that meeting. He left with the Clippers.

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Speaker 1: So you have to wonder about the mentality of that

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Speaker 1: locker room and whether they really felt like they wanted

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Speaker 1: to be there. Because what has happened here in the

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Speaker 1: bubble has showed a couple of things. It has shown

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Speaker 1: who likes to hoop all the time, and who might

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Speaker 1: not be all that in and what teams like each other,

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Speaker 1: and what teams maybe don't all that like each other.

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Speaker 1: You gotta wonder a little bit about the Clippers and

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Speaker 1: their dynamic and how they get together and how they're

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Speaker 1: feeling about each other. The Nuggets, the Jazz, the Heat,

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Speaker 1: the Celtics. You know these guys get along. You just

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Speaker 1: watch them play on the court and you know that

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Speaker 1: they're getting along. You know how they are. So after

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Speaker 1: getting the Celtics minus one wrong, getting the Tepa Bay

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Speaker 1: team total over two and a half goals wrong, and

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Speaker 1: then we hedged with the Clippers, but that was the

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Speaker 1: only that was a hedge bet. But so after all that,

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Speaker 1: after all the nonsense yesterday, we wind up up one unit.

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Speaker 1: So we were down two units yesterday, up one unit today.

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Speaker 1: So we are a one to five and one mark

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Speaker 1: for the week, but that one is a plus nine hundred,

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Speaker 1: and when that happens, boy, it is good to have

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Speaker 1: it on the schedule on the docket. What is really

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Speaker 1: fun is the number of dms I got from you

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Speaker 1: guys right after that happened. And how many of you

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Speaker 1: guys said, Hey, I trailed or I played a little bit,

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Speaker 1: I sprinkled, some of you went all in with one

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Speaker 1: full unit on that. And we're gonna try to pick

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Speaker 1: out our spots, right, We're gonna try to find different

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Speaker 1: places where it makes sense to do that. And I'm again,

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Speaker 1: I'm not saying that there's gonna be a million chances

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Speaker 1: every single week where we're gonna go ahead and lay

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Speaker 1: money down on a plus nine hundred. Hail Mary. But

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Speaker 1: that was a hail Mary, because look at if I

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Speaker 1: really thought the Denver Nuggets were gonna win this series,

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Speaker 1: I would have bet them at twenty five to one

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Speaker 1: or fifty to one when they were down two one

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Speaker 1: and then three to one. I mean, going into Game five,

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Speaker 1: the odds, I mean I only got you know, I

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Speaker 1: got it at nine to one. It would have been

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Speaker 1: a whole lot better to get it at twenty five

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Speaker 1: to one or fifty to one, and you could have

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Speaker 1: found those numbers out there after the Clippers won three

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Speaker 1: games to one. So I'm not sitting here pounding my

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Speaker 1: chest saying I told you so. I told you the

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Speaker 1: Denver Nuggets weren't dead. I thought they were dead. If

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Speaker 1: I didn't think they were dead, I wouldn't have hedged.

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Speaker 1: I wouldn't have put one and a half units down

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Speaker 1: last night on the Clippers to win. The reason why

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Speaker 1: I did that was because I was protecting the half

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Speaker 1: a unit wager that I had on the Nuggets. I

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Speaker 1: didn't think the Nuggets were gonna win last night, no,

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Speaker 1: but if they did, I was gonna be really happy.

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Speaker 1: So it's more or less like the gods giving me

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Speaker 1: a gift after yesterday. That's how I'm looking at that

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Speaker 1: Nuggets victory yesterday. That after what happened with the Denver

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Speaker 1: Broncos and the ridiculousness in Denver, that the Denver Nuggets winning,

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Speaker 1: that was the sports gambling gods tipping the hat saying,

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Speaker 1: look it, we gave you a bad beat last night.

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Speaker 1: We understand it sucked. You were mad, you were really angry.

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Speaker 1: Ruined your night, It ruined your day. You had a

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Speaker 1: bad radio show because of it. You were so mad.

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Speaker 1: So here here's a gift to you. We're gonna give

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Speaker 1: you this victory with the Denver Nuggets and we're gonna cash.

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Speaker 1: So all right, it's not a good week. We're ice

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Speaker 1: cold on picks, but hell, we got that pick right,

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Speaker 1: So right now everything is sort of rosy. Okay. When

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Speaker 1: that happens, it keeps you going, It saves the bank roll, literally,

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Speaker 1: and it gives us a chance to kind of come

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Speaker 1: back here. By the way, Wednesday, have you seen this

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Speaker 1: slate of games tonight? No hockey, no hockey, no basketball,

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Speaker 1: no basketball, no football. All there is is baseball. Think

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Speaker 1: about me being mad about saying all there is is baseball. Heck,

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Speaker 1: the US Open hasn't even started yet. I can't even

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Speaker 1: talk about golf really till tomorrow morning. Think about how

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Speaker 1: spoiled we are right now that I just said that

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Speaker 1: that I'm actually gonna have to pick three baseball games today,

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Speaker 1: and I'm mad about it. I have to bet baseball today.

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Speaker 1: I don't want to bet baseball today, but I'm going to.

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Speaker 1: But think about where we are compared to where we were,

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Speaker 1: and how nice that is, how nice it is to

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Speaker 1: whine about the sports calendar on Wednesday not being what

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Speaker 1: we want it to be. So all right, before we

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Speaker 1: get to the picks, here is our promo for the day.

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Speaker 1: have you taken the screenshot of your review on Apple

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Speaker 1: podcasts or Stitcher? By the way, have you done that yet?

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Speaker 1: For the autograph Miles Sanders autographs helmet Philadelphia Eagles helmet

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Speaker 1: that's up for grabs. I'm trying to get to two

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Speaker 1: hundred reviews. We're inch and along. We're getting close. I

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Speaker 1: think we're at one to ninety. We're getting close. Need

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Speaker 1: about ten more of those to get us to two hundred.

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Speaker 1: So that's a goal for that. The Miles Sanders autographed

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Speaker 1: helmet being given away here at the end of the

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Speaker 1: All right, I got three plays for you here in

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Speaker 1: Major League Baseball, I know, right, It just kind of

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Speaker 1: feels weird. We haven't been baseball in so long, but

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Speaker 1: there's just not much going on right now. So I

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Speaker 1: looked over the baseball slate. There are three plays that

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Speaker 1: I like here going into a Wednesday afternoon and Wednesday

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Speaker 1: nights and getaway baseball games, but some big games as

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Speaker 1: well here that I want to get into. Let's start

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Speaker 1: with the Houston Astros taking on the Texas Rangers here.

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Speaker 1: This game being played at Mini mad Park. By the way,

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Speaker 1: these two teams have been chosen their ballparks to host

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Speaker 1: the National League Playoffs, and the ballpark the new ballpark

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Speaker 1: at Arlington, the new ballpark for the Rangers that has

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Speaker 1: now been chosen to host the World Series. So pretty cool.

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Speaker 1: But Rangers are awful. They're seventeen and thirty. Astros really

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Speaker 1: disappointing twenty three. In twenty four, however, Kyle Gibson goes

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Speaker 1: to the mound for the Rangers. He's one in five

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Speaker 1: with a six point one four ERA. Gibson's zero to

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Speaker 1: three with a eight point one zero ERA over his

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Speaker 1: last five starts. First start against the Astros of the year.

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Speaker 1: This dude is kind of like a pinata. He gets

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Speaker 1: hit pretty hard. Lance McCullers Junior on the other side,

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Speaker 1: going for the Astros, making his first start since September

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Speaker 1: the fourth, when he did not record an out for

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Speaker 1: the first time in his career. Wound up on the

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Speaker 1: il with a neck nerve irritation issue. He's been taken

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Speaker 1: some anti inflammatories, so here he comes. But was that real?

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Speaker 1: Did he lose it? I don't know the total for

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Speaker 1: runs in the first five the total for runs in

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Speaker 1: the first five innings four and a half for runs,

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Speaker 1: we're going over four and a half runs for the

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Speaker 1: Rangers in the Astros here, I expect both starting pitchers

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Speaker 1: to get hit a little bit. Rangers' offense is not

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Speaker 1: very good, but it gets mccollors, Eh, give up a

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Speaker 1: run or two. Gibson. I think we'll get smacked around here.

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Speaker 1: The Astros need to get going offensively. The Astros are

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Speaker 1: a weird team, right because you look at them in

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Speaker 1: their rotation, you look at them and their offense, and

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Speaker 1: you're kind of like, what is wrong with you? Like,

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Speaker 1: I know everything happened with the banging of the you know,

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Speaker 1: the trash can and all that controversy, but it's still

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Speaker 1: strange to look at the Astros and kind of go,

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Speaker 1: are you guys gonna be anything in the postseason? Like

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Speaker 1: they're gonna get in because of the new rules, but

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Speaker 1: you know they're they're I guess there are twenty four

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Speaker 1: and twenty four. Now, excuse me, may have spoke. They're

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Speaker 1: twenty four and twenty four, the five hundred to five

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Speaker 1: and a half games back of the Oakland A's. I mean,

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Speaker 1: they only have a plus eight run differential. Not great,

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Speaker 1: but we're gonna expect runs here early minus one thirty

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Speaker 1: seven over four and a half runs in the first

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Speaker 1: five for the Astros and the Rangers. For our first play,

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Speaker 1: second play, let's talk some interleague bad baseball team again,

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Speaker 1: Washington Nationals. Kind of a theme here as to how

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Speaker 1: I bet on baseball, sort of like a I don't know,

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Speaker 1: it's kind of how I look for bad teams and

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Speaker 1: then try to get involved with teams that are good.

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Speaker 1: So Washington's taking on Tampa. You know how I feel

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Speaker 1: about the race. I'm incredibly high on Tampa. This team

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Speaker 1: right now, thirty one and seventeen. They're seventeen and eight

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Speaker 1: at home. Washington seventeen and twenty nine, they're eight and

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Speaker 1: thirteen on the road. Austin Voth goes to the mound

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Speaker 1: with an zero to five record and a seven point

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Speaker 1: nine to nine ERA, a one point six to eight whip.

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Speaker 1: Peter Fairbanks will start this game for the Rays four

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Speaker 1: and three three ERA. A dude who's gonna be probably

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Speaker 1: an opener for this game, expects, you know, one or

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Speaker 1: two innings, handing off to the bullpen here. But the

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Speaker 1: Nationals took the first two games of this series, and

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Speaker 1: it's kind of like what that's kind of crazy. So

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Speaker 1: the Rays bounce back. They won six to one yesterday.

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Speaker 1: I think that was a fluke. So I think the

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Speaker 1: Rays again will hound the Nationals. They'll get another win.

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Speaker 1: And I've taken the Rays on the run line at

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Speaker 1: plus one oh five minus one and a half runs.

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Speaker 1: So the Rays on the run line at plus one

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Speaker 1: oh five here against the Washington Nationals. I expect offense

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Speaker 1: for the Rays, not much for the Nationals, and they'll

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Speaker 1: win by more than one. I still am sitting. I

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Speaker 1: just cashed that plus nine hundred Denver ticket. That was

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Speaker 1: a half a unit. I got a full unit riding

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Speaker 1: on the Rays at plus one thousand to win the

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Speaker 1: American League. Pennant that's still very much alive, and that

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Speaker 1: would be amazing if we're able to hit that. That's

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Speaker 1: I'm very much all in on Tampa right now. I

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Speaker 1: am all in on the Rays, and I'm gonna be

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Speaker 1: watching them closely in the postseason. But I love Kevin Cash.

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Speaker 1: I think they're a young, scrappy team that just do

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Speaker 1: a lot with what they're given and come to postseason

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Speaker 1: if they get the one seed overall and get the

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Speaker 1: buy which is very possible Tampa, I mean, I really do,

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Speaker 1: especially with the Yankees struggles. I like Tampa a lot.

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Speaker 1: So raise on the run line at plus one oh

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Speaker 1: five against the Washington Nationals and our third and final

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Speaker 1: play here for the podcast, we're just going to roll

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Speaker 1: with with Lucas Giledo and the White Sox. They've won

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Speaker 1: six in a row. Twins are really they needed this

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Speaker 1: series and they're getting beat up bad four game series.

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Speaker 1: They've already lost the first two games of this series.

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Speaker 1: Jacob Deerurizi goes to the mound. He has not been

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Speaker 1: healthy a chess contusion. Eight point one zero Era's activated

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Speaker 1: for his fourth start of the year in twenty twenty

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Speaker 1: against this lineup with how Hot the White Sox are

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Speaker 1: I just laid the juice on the on the money line,

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Speaker 1: White Sox minus one forty five to take the third

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Speaker 1: game of the four game series, Lucas Gilito on the

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Speaker 1: mound four and two with a three point four to

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Speaker 1: three era. I know it hasn't been great for him

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Speaker 1: over the last couple of starts, but he's their ace.

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Speaker 1: I'm expecting good performance. Lineup comes to play. They're at home.

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Speaker 1: White Socks have been very good at home. White Sox

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Speaker 1: on the money line minus one forty five to win

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Speaker 1: against the Twins. So to recap our three plays for

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Speaker 1: us here on a Wednesday, all in baseball and we're

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Speaker 1: back tomorrow on Thursday, Thursday night football hockey Game six,

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Speaker 1: Eastern Conference Finals Game two. I mean, Thursday's slate is awesome.

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Speaker 1: Too many TVs. I mean I need to have like

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Speaker 1: ten TVs for the games coming out on Thursday. Really exciting.

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Speaker 1: So Wednesday, we're going all baseball here. Three plays in

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Speaker 1: baseball over four and a half runs for the Rangers

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Speaker 1: in the Astros mis worn thirty seven raised on the

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Speaker 1: run line at plus one zero five against the Nationals

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Speaker 1: and the White Sox on the money line at mis

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Speaker 1: won forty five on the money line. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Paroltz. Follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: We are back every morning. Subscribe to this podcast where

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Speaker 1: you get your podcasts. It's Daily Juice from Bettingthrows dot Com.

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Speaker 1: Rotch you by bet MGM. They bum