1 00:00:02,279 --> 00:00:05,360 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg day Break Asia for this Thursday, June 2 00:00:05,440 --> 00:00:09,280 Speaker 1: first in Hong Kong, Wednesday May thirty first in New York, 3 00:00:09,360 --> 00:00:12,560 Speaker 1: and coming up today, some FED officials are signaling a 4 00:00:12,600 --> 00:00:15,640 Speaker 1: potential pause in interest rate hikes at the next meeting. 5 00:00:15,960 --> 00:00:19,520 Speaker 1: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang plans to meet with tech executives 6 00:00:19,520 --> 00:00:23,079 Speaker 1: in China despite rising US China tensions, and Dali and 7 00:00:23,160 --> 00:00:25,840 Speaker 1: Wanda is said to be in talks with potential buyers 8 00:00:25,840 --> 00:00:27,440 Speaker 1: for its Chinese payments unit. 9 00:00:27,720 --> 00:00:30,360 Speaker 2: Both sides of the Dutch seiling legislation say they have 10 00:00:30,520 --> 00:00:33,519 Speaker 2: enough votes for it to pass tonight. US Secretary of 11 00:00:33,560 --> 00:00:36,839 Speaker 2: State Anthony Blincoln says lines of communication need to be 12 00:00:36,880 --> 00:00:40,600 Speaker 2: opened with China to talk about flybys. I'm at Baxter 13 00:00:40,680 --> 00:00:41,440 Speaker 2: with Global News. 14 00:00:44,120 --> 00:00:47,800 Speaker 3: That's all straight ahead on Bloomberg Daybreak Asia, the business 15 00:00:47,840 --> 00:00:50,279 Speaker 3: news you need to start your day, and just one 16 00:00:50,400 --> 00:00:55,320 Speaker 3: fifteen minute podcast available on Apple, Spotify, the Bloomberg Business App, 17 00:00:55,360 --> 00:00:57,320 Speaker 3: and everywhere you get your podcasts. 18 00:01:00,040 --> 00:01:03,040 Speaker 4: Good morning, I'm Richard Solana and I'm Brian Curtiz. 19 00:01:03,080 --> 00:01:04,840 Speaker 1: Here are the stories we're following today. 20 00:01:04,959 --> 00:01:06,680 Speaker 4: Let's time look at what's going on in the Federal Reserve. 21 00:01:06,760 --> 00:01:10,480 Speaker 4: Of course, attention really certainly on their next meeting coming up, 22 00:01:10,520 --> 00:01:14,160 Speaker 4: with some officials signaling that a potential pools and interest 23 00:01:14,240 --> 00:01:17,119 Speaker 4: rate hikes could occur as early as June. Governor Philip 24 00:01:17,520 --> 00:01:20,280 Speaker 4: Jefferson saying he's inclined to keep interest rates steady at 25 00:01:20,319 --> 00:01:21,919 Speaker 4: the Fed's next meeting. 26 00:01:22,400 --> 00:01:26,240 Speaker 5: A decision to hold our policy rate constant at a 27 00:01:26,280 --> 00:01:30,399 Speaker 5: coming meeting should not be interpreted to me that we 28 00:01:30,520 --> 00:01:34,880 Speaker 5: have reached the peak rate for this cycle. Indeed, skipping 29 00:01:34,880 --> 00:01:37,920 Speaker 5: a rate hike at a coming meeting would allow the 30 00:01:37,959 --> 00:01:42,280 Speaker 5: committee to see more data before making decisions about the 31 00:01:42,319 --> 00:01:45,360 Speaker 5: extent of additional policy firming. 32 00:01:45,600 --> 00:01:49,680 Speaker 4: Jefferson's comments were echoed really by others out there as well, 33 00:01:49,720 --> 00:01:52,880 Speaker 4: including Philadelphia FED President Patrick Harker. He said to the 34 00:01:52,880 --> 00:01:55,600 Speaker 4: Federal we should probably skip a rate hike at its 35 00:01:55,680 --> 00:01:59,480 Speaker 4: upcoming policy meeting. Now, policymakers are carefully assessing how their 36 00:01:59,480 --> 00:02:02,440 Speaker 4: tightening came vane is impacting the American economy, and the 37 00:02:02,440 --> 00:02:04,800 Speaker 4: FED said in its latest beij Book survey today that 38 00:02:05,160 --> 00:02:07,760 Speaker 4: the US economy showed signs of cooling in recent weeks, 39 00:02:07,760 --> 00:02:11,600 Speaker 4: as hiring and inflation eased slightly. FED officials are meeting 40 00:02:11,600 --> 00:02:15,160 Speaker 4: next on monetary policy on the thirteenth and fourteenth of June. 41 00:02:14,840 --> 00:02:17,280 Speaker 1: And I mentioned that in Vidia stock draw the leader 42 00:02:17,360 --> 00:02:19,800 Speaker 1: of Nvidia, Jensen Wong, heading to China to meet with 43 00:02:19,880 --> 00:02:23,640 Speaker 1: other tech executives there. It comes despite rising tensions between 44 00:02:23,800 --> 00:02:26,760 Speaker 1: Washington and Beijing. Bloomberg's and Kate's has the. 45 00:02:26,680 --> 00:02:30,160 Speaker 6: Story Navidia CEO Jensen Wong will travel to China in June. 46 00:02:30,320 --> 00:02:33,400 Speaker 6: Sources tell Bloomberg that companies on his itinerary include video 47 00:02:33,400 --> 00:02:37,000 Speaker 6: game giant ten Set and TikTok owner byte Dance. Navidia 48 00:02:37,040 --> 00:02:40,160 Speaker 6: is emerging as a critical player and artificial intelligence, but 49 00:02:40,240 --> 00:02:43,760 Speaker 6: Biden administration sanctions prevent the semiconductor maker from selling its 50 00:02:43,760 --> 00:02:47,480 Speaker 6: most advanced AI chipsets to Chinese customers. Apples, Tim Cook 51 00:02:47,639 --> 00:02:51,120 Speaker 6: and billionaire Elon Musk are also courting China in Washington, 52 00:02:51,320 --> 00:02:53,000 Speaker 6: and Kates Bloomberg day Break Asia. 53 00:02:53,160 --> 00:02:55,680 Speaker 4: All right, well, let's have a look now at Daly 54 00:02:55,760 --> 00:02:57,959 Speaker 4: and Wanda the Chinese congloment. It's set to be in 55 00:02:58,000 --> 00:03:00,400 Speaker 4: tools with byte Dance and others for a potential sale 56 00:03:00,440 --> 00:03:03,640 Speaker 4: of its payments division. Bloomberg Joan Wong has more from 57 00:03:03,720 --> 00:03:04,160 Speaker 4: Hong Kong. 58 00:03:04,400 --> 00:03:06,880 Speaker 7: Wanda is looking to sell it digital payments license for 59 00:03:06,919 --> 00:03:09,959 Speaker 7: about one billion yuan or one hundred and forty one 60 00:03:10,000 --> 00:03:13,360 Speaker 7: million dollars. The payment license could provide data and access 61 00:03:13,400 --> 00:03:16,480 Speaker 7: to a large number of users, but some prospective buyers 62 00:03:16,480 --> 00:03:19,320 Speaker 7: set the price could be lower by the Dance Dolian 63 00:03:19,360 --> 00:03:22,359 Speaker 7: groups set it a preliminary talks about the deal. Wanda 64 00:03:22,360 --> 00:03:24,840 Speaker 7: has been trying to raise cash and shore up its liquidity. 65 00:03:25,160 --> 00:03:27,959 Speaker 7: That's because it may have to repay investors about thirty 66 00:03:27,960 --> 00:03:30,880 Speaker 7: billion yuan if it fails to list as small operations 67 00:03:30,880 --> 00:03:34,720 Speaker 7: this year in Hong Kong. Join one Bloomberg Day Brigasia Well. 68 00:03:34,800 --> 00:03:37,640 Speaker 1: Toyota is looking to make a big splash with its 69 00:03:37,680 --> 00:03:41,360 Speaker 1: first all electric vehicle made in the United States. Bloomberg's 70 00:03:41,400 --> 00:03:43,480 Speaker 1: Bonnie Ao has that story from Hong Kong. 71 00:03:43,960 --> 00:03:46,440 Speaker 8: Toyota has announced plans to build a three row sports 72 00:03:46,520 --> 00:03:49,680 Speaker 8: utility vehicle. The electric suv will use batteries from a 73 00:03:49,680 --> 00:03:52,840 Speaker 8: new factory in North Carolina. Toyota is also investing an 74 00:03:52,840 --> 00:03:55,520 Speaker 8: additional two point one billion into the battery factory that 75 00:03:55,560 --> 00:03:58,240 Speaker 8: will bring the company's total investment in the battery factory 76 00:03:58,440 --> 00:04:01,320 Speaker 8: to five point nine billion dollars. The all electric suv 77 00:04:01,400 --> 00:04:04,720 Speaker 8: will compete against similar vehicles from other leading companies. They 78 00:04:04,760 --> 00:04:07,920 Speaker 8: include Tesla's Model X and Y and Vivian's R one S. 79 00:04:08,120 --> 00:04:11,080 Speaker 8: Production at the new Toyota EV was dot in twenty 80 00:04:11,120 --> 00:04:13,760 Speaker 8: twenty five in Kentucky. In Hong Kong. I'm Bonni Al 81 00:04:13,800 --> 00:04:15,200 Speaker 8: Bloomberg day Break Asia. 82 00:04:15,280 --> 00:04:21,360 Speaker 4: Right, Let's get the application specialist Salesforce providing a disappoint 83 00:04:21,400 --> 00:04:24,160 Speaker 4: and disappointing outlook for future sales. The story coming from 84 00:04:24,160 --> 00:04:25,760 Speaker 4: Bloomberg's Charlie Petett. 85 00:04:25,640 --> 00:04:29,400 Speaker 9: It raises concerns that its newfound focus on profit may 86 00:04:29,520 --> 00:04:34,000 Speaker 9: hinder revenue growth. The software company projected ten percent growth 87 00:04:34,040 --> 00:04:37,320 Speaker 9: in contracted sales for the current quarter ending in July, 88 00:04:37,839 --> 00:04:42,039 Speaker 9: falling short of analysts average estimate of more than eleven percent. 89 00:04:42,520 --> 00:04:46,800 Speaker 9: Salesforce also affirmed its fiscal year forecast that revenue will 90 00:04:46,800 --> 00:04:50,679 Speaker 9: increase ten percent to about thirty four point six billion dollars. 91 00:04:51,040 --> 00:04:55,040 Speaker 9: Salesforce has had a tumultuous six months that included job cuts, 92 00:04:55,080 --> 00:05:00,000 Speaker 9: executive departures, board director changes, and public pressure from multiple 93 00:05:00,400 --> 00:05:06,760 Speaker 9: activist investors in New York. Charlie Pellett, Bloomberg Daybreak Asia, All. 94 00:05:06,720 --> 00:05:08,800 Speaker 1: Right, Coming up on the program a little bit later 95 00:05:08,839 --> 00:05:11,280 Speaker 1: this all I wanted to mention Salesforce is trading down 96 00:05:11,320 --> 00:05:14,279 Speaker 1: pretty sharply in after hours, down about six point six percent. 97 00:05:14,360 --> 00:05:17,320 Speaker 1: Here took a while for that to happen, sort of 98 00:05:17,360 --> 00:05:22,000 Speaker 1: fluctuated between positive and negative gains. Right after that report, 99 00:05:22,360 --> 00:05:24,440 Speaker 1: we'll take a closer look at Marcus with our guest 100 00:05:24,560 --> 00:05:28,080 Speaker 1: this morning, a variety on tap for you, not least 101 00:05:28,160 --> 00:05:31,960 Speaker 1: among them, William Kurtain, portfolio manager at Milford Asset Management, 102 00:05:32,000 --> 00:05:35,000 Speaker 1: Carol Pepper. Always enjoy talking to her, and David Chow 103 00:05:35,160 --> 00:05:37,520 Speaker 1: from Investio. That's coming up. In the first couple of 104 00:05:37,520 --> 00:05:39,760 Speaker 1: hours of the show, it was a little bit of 105 00:05:39,760 --> 00:05:42,360 Speaker 1: a tough day on Wall Street, and now with salesforce 106 00:05:42,400 --> 00:05:44,640 Speaker 1: trading down in after hours, coupled with what we saw 107 00:05:44,680 --> 00:05:47,880 Speaker 1: from Nvidia, maybe putting a little bit more pressure on 108 00:05:47,880 --> 00:05:49,799 Speaker 1: one of the parts of the market that has really 109 00:05:49,880 --> 00:05:52,680 Speaker 1: juiced up the animal spirits this year Tech. So that's 110 00:05:52,720 --> 00:05:55,520 Speaker 1: something that we'll get to coming up. Now it's time 111 00:05:55,560 --> 00:06:00,880 Speaker 1: for Global News, and there's this the one US House 112 00:06:00,960 --> 00:06:04,159 Speaker 1: leaders on both sides expressing some optimism that the debt 113 00:06:04,279 --> 00:06:07,720 Speaker 1: ceiling bill will pass and it will happen tonight at 114 00:06:07,720 --> 00:06:10,200 Speaker 1: Baxter has Global News from the nine and sixty newsroom 115 00:06:10,240 --> 00:06:11,160 Speaker 1: in San Francisco. 116 00:06:11,600 --> 00:06:15,159 Speaker 2: Yeah, Brian, You're right. It's more than some optimism. It 117 00:06:15,279 --> 00:06:18,039 Speaker 2: is just flat out optimism. The House has passed the 118 00:06:18,120 --> 00:06:21,240 Speaker 2: procedural bill to allow debate, which is the next step. 119 00:06:21,240 --> 00:06:24,760 Speaker 2: It's going on now and Bloomberg Zach Cohen says Democrats 120 00:06:24,760 --> 00:06:27,160 Speaker 2: stepped in to help Kevin McCarthy, which is a very 121 00:06:27,200 --> 00:06:28,400 Speaker 2: interesting signal because. 122 00:06:28,200 --> 00:06:30,719 Speaker 10: These are usually procedural votes that are very party line, 123 00:06:31,240 --> 00:06:34,360 Speaker 10: especially if the legislation as partisan. And so the fact 124 00:06:34,360 --> 00:06:36,479 Speaker 10: that some Democrats had to come in and basically give 125 00:06:36,520 --> 00:06:40,400 Speaker 10: the votes to McCarthy to get the groundwork through in 126 00:06:40,480 --> 00:06:42,520 Speaker 10: order to get the debt limit deal done, I think 127 00:06:42,600 --> 00:06:45,200 Speaker 10: is a pretty good indication that they're willing to bail 128 00:06:45,240 --> 00:06:47,080 Speaker 10: them out when it comes to really important things. 129 00:06:47,240 --> 00:06:49,680 Speaker 2: And McCarthy himself, well, he's working the phones and he's 130 00:06:49,680 --> 00:06:52,320 Speaker 2: been working the hallways today of Congress trying to make 131 00:06:52,360 --> 00:06:55,400 Speaker 2: sure that it has the votes to pass his message. 132 00:06:55,440 --> 00:06:56,000 Speaker 3: If I'm a. 133 00:06:55,880 --> 00:06:58,640 Speaker 11: Member of Congress, I wouldn't want history to pass me 134 00:06:58,760 --> 00:07:01,000 Speaker 11: by when I could do the biggest and that could 135 00:07:01,040 --> 00:07:04,039 Speaker 11: do work performs for welfare. 136 00:07:04,360 --> 00:07:07,880 Speaker 2: And his House majority whip Tom Emmer, Republican from Minnesota, 137 00:07:07,880 --> 00:07:11,240 Speaker 2: says he's sure the votes are in hand House Minority 138 00:07:11,280 --> 00:07:14,440 Speaker 2: Leader Hakim Jeffrey says he has the committed votes to 139 00:07:14,440 --> 00:07:17,280 Speaker 2: pass the legislation if Republicans follow suit. 140 00:07:17,320 --> 00:07:20,360 Speaker 7: We continue to maintain that House Republicans need to keep 141 00:07:20,400 --> 00:07:24,600 Speaker 7: their commitment to produce one hundred and fifty votes. 142 00:07:25,120 --> 00:07:28,720 Speaker 2: So after the see saw several of weeks, maybe months, 143 00:07:28,760 --> 00:07:32,240 Speaker 2: the vote itself, although a moving target, is expected about 144 00:07:32,280 --> 00:07:36,760 Speaker 2: eight thirty pm Wall Street time. China's actions in the 145 00:07:36,800 --> 00:07:40,200 Speaker 2: air regarding close flybys against not only US but other 146 00:07:40,240 --> 00:07:43,640 Speaker 2: countries is growing. This according to US Secretary of State 147 00:07:43,640 --> 00:07:46,440 Speaker 2: Anthony Blincoln. He says the latest one. 148 00:07:46,280 --> 00:07:50,480 Speaker 11: Our planes were flying in international airspace on a routine mission. 149 00:07:51,680 --> 00:07:55,920 Speaker 11: Chinese pilot took dangerous action in approaching the plane very 150 00:07:55,960 --> 00:07:56,480 Speaker 11: very closely. 151 00:07:56,760 --> 00:07:58,800 Speaker 2: He says, it very much points to the fact that 152 00:07:58,880 --> 00:08:02,640 Speaker 2: lines of communication between the two nations is very much 153 00:08:02,840 --> 00:08:03,440 Speaker 2: lacking now. 154 00:08:03,600 --> 00:08:07,760 Speaker 11: Chinese pilot took dangerous action in approaching the plane very 155 00:08:07,800 --> 00:08:09,880 Speaker 11: very closely. There have been a series of these actions 156 00:08:10,720 --> 00:08:14,360 Speaker 11: directed not just at US but at other countries in 157 00:08:14,400 --> 00:08:14,960 Speaker 11: recent months. 158 00:08:15,000 --> 00:08:15,160 Speaker 3: Now. 159 00:08:15,160 --> 00:08:17,480 Speaker 2: The reports say reconnaissance plane had to fly through the 160 00:08:17,480 --> 00:08:20,120 Speaker 2: wake of a Chinese fighter jet, which which can be 161 00:08:20,160 --> 00:08:24,320 Speaker 2: a very dangerous situation. EU commissioned President Ursula van Daleyan 162 00:08:24,440 --> 00:08:27,640 Speaker 2: is a calling for a just piece in Ukraine and 163 00:08:27,840 --> 00:08:29,280 Speaker 2: rejecting a ceasefire. 164 00:08:29,400 --> 00:08:34,800 Speaker 12: A ceasefire would be inherently unstable and destabilize the region 165 00:08:35,080 --> 00:08:40,280 Speaker 12: along the contact line. Nobody would invest or rebuild, and 166 00:08:40,320 --> 00:08:43,040 Speaker 12: the conflict could flare up again at any time. 167 00:08:43,320 --> 00:08:46,440 Speaker 2: She says a just piece must result in the withdrawal 168 00:08:46,520 --> 00:08:50,360 Speaker 2: of Russian forces and equipment from Ukraine. Former Vice President 169 00:08:50,520 --> 00:08:53,840 Speaker 2: US Mike pens will officially kick off as presidential run 170 00:08:54,040 --> 00:08:56,800 Speaker 2: June seventh. He's been laying the groundwork now for over 171 00:08:56,840 --> 00:08:59,840 Speaker 2: a year. And Bill Ackman, founder and CEO of per 172 00:09:00,200 --> 00:09:04,400 Speaker 2: Square Capital, says JP Morgan Chase CEO Jamie Diamond should 173 00:09:04,480 --> 00:09:08,880 Speaker 2: run for president in this election cycle. He says Diamond 174 00:09:08,920 --> 00:09:12,680 Speaker 2: is a centrist who is pro business and pro free enterprise, 175 00:09:13,040 --> 00:09:16,800 Speaker 2: while also supportive of well designed social programs. He says 176 00:09:16,880 --> 00:09:20,360 Speaker 2: Diamond could beat either Joe Biden or Donald Trump. 177 00:09:20,679 --> 00:09:20,880 Speaker 3: Now. 178 00:09:21,040 --> 00:09:26,920 Speaker 2: Diamond actually opened himself up for this endorsement on Bloomberg Television, saying. 179 00:09:26,840 --> 00:09:29,040 Speaker 6: I love my country, and maybe one day I'll serve 180 00:09:29,080 --> 00:09:30,880 Speaker 6: my country in one capacity or another, but I love 181 00:09:30,920 --> 00:09:31,400 Speaker 6: what I do. 182 00:09:31,960 --> 00:09:34,360 Speaker 10: I think Shade Morgan do a great job for helping 183 00:09:34,480 --> 00:09:36,440 Speaker 10: Americans pelpic countries around the world. 184 00:09:36,840 --> 00:09:41,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, so he kind of well, he hinted. He did 185 00:09:41,440 --> 00:09:43,760 Speaker 2: say he loves JP Morgan's team and is happy where 186 00:09:43,800 --> 00:09:46,920 Speaker 2: he is right now. Global News powered by more than 187 00:09:46,960 --> 00:09:49,480 Speaker 2: twenty seven hundred journalists and analysts in over one hundred 188 00:09:49,480 --> 00:09:52,440 Speaker 2: and twenty countries. In San Francisco, I'm at Baxter in 189 00:09:52,480 --> 00:09:54,079 Speaker 2: This is Bloomberg. 190 00:09:54,640 --> 00:09:57,960 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Daybreak, ASA, Brian Curtis and Rashad So' 191 00:09:58,160 --> 00:10:00,920 Speaker 1: and our guest is William kurtain Or, a folio manager 192 00:10:01,240 --> 00:10:05,480 Speaker 1: at Milford Asset Management. So, William, we had a little 193 00:10:05,520 --> 00:10:08,320 Speaker 1: bit of crack in tech today. I mean, markets go 194 00:10:08,400 --> 00:10:10,160 Speaker 1: up and down, so not such a big deal, but 195 00:10:10,240 --> 00:10:12,560 Speaker 1: it's one of those things where you wonder whether not 196 00:10:12,640 --> 00:10:16,280 Speaker 1: investors would need to see some kind of broadening of 197 00:10:16,320 --> 00:10:19,200 Speaker 1: the gains in the market to suggest that a bull 198 00:10:19,280 --> 00:10:22,640 Speaker 1: run has started. There's a lot of negativity that have 199 00:10:22,760 --> 00:10:26,440 Speaker 1: been supporting the bear position, and chief among them is 200 00:10:26,480 --> 00:10:29,160 Speaker 1: this is a pretty narrow market. Do you see that 201 00:10:29,200 --> 00:10:31,600 Speaker 1: as a possibility that tech could slip a little bit 202 00:10:31,880 --> 00:10:33,400 Speaker 1: but the market could broaden out. 203 00:10:34,120 --> 00:10:34,400 Speaker 3: Yeah. 204 00:10:34,440 --> 00:10:36,959 Speaker 13: Absolutely, I mean I think a lot of the stocks 205 00:10:37,040 --> 00:10:41,600 Speaker 13: left behind in the recent rally and markets of becoming 206 00:10:41,679 --> 00:10:47,120 Speaker 13: increasingly bitter value. We EHV have been trumming some of 207 00:10:47,160 --> 00:10:50,240 Speaker 13: our megacap holdings and adding to the various more mid 208 00:10:50,240 --> 00:10:53,400 Speaker 13: cap holdings that represent better value. So certainly, yeah, the 209 00:10:53,440 --> 00:10:57,840 Speaker 13: negative breadth is always a harb used as a technical 210 00:10:57,880 --> 00:11:01,520 Speaker 13: harbinger of an amnute downturn. I mean, it's certainly possible, 211 00:11:01,559 --> 00:11:04,360 Speaker 13: but we think it's probably just as big a possibility 212 00:11:04,720 --> 00:11:06,520 Speaker 13: you do see a call off and some of the 213 00:11:06,640 --> 00:11:10,000 Speaker 13: larger keptic stocks have driven this rally initially a rotation 214 00:11:10,160 --> 00:11:12,840 Speaker 13: to some extent back into the smaller the key companies. 215 00:11:13,720 --> 00:11:15,800 Speaker 13: Markets can kind of go a little bit lower or 216 00:11:15,840 --> 00:11:20,000 Speaker 13: go sideways, but just the rotation with them in markets 217 00:11:20,040 --> 00:11:23,280 Speaker 13: being the more important thing in video. 218 00:11:23,520 --> 00:11:26,199 Speaker 4: I mean, this is really the one which just sent 219 00:11:26,320 --> 00:11:29,200 Speaker 4: all these AI related stocks, soarings of the other chip 220 00:11:29,200 --> 00:11:30,040 Speaker 4: stocks as well. 221 00:11:30,040 --> 00:11:30,240 Speaker 3: Here. 222 00:11:30,960 --> 00:11:33,760 Speaker 4: Really the thing is that it was perhaps a lot 223 00:11:33,800 --> 00:11:36,360 Speaker 4: of froth develops, so we saw for five percent full thereabouts. 224 00:11:36,360 --> 00:11:38,720 Speaker 4: People took their money off the table, their gains. But 225 00:11:38,840 --> 00:11:40,920 Speaker 4: you know AI, and I'm sure they'll be saying this 226 00:11:41,000 --> 00:11:43,319 Speaker 4: AI has a great, great future. In two years time, 227 00:11:43,360 --> 00:11:45,840 Speaker 4: we'll be saying AI it's got a great, great. 228 00:11:45,640 --> 00:11:50,360 Speaker 13: Future exactly mean that in our view that the AI 229 00:11:51,920 --> 00:11:54,640 Speaker 13: stocks and most part of them are in a bubble. 230 00:11:54,640 --> 00:11:58,040 Speaker 13: But it's not it's not a really good enough to 231 00:11:58,040 --> 00:12:00,520 Speaker 13: be a genius to make their comic. What really as 232 00:12:00,559 --> 00:12:03,920 Speaker 13: important is you know, is the bubble going to burst 233 00:12:03,960 --> 00:12:06,280 Speaker 13: tomorrow or is it going to go a long time? 234 00:12:06,559 --> 00:12:06,719 Speaker 3: Now? 235 00:12:06,800 --> 00:12:09,760 Speaker 13: Like all good bubbles, it's got the makings and something real, 236 00:12:10,400 --> 00:12:14,960 Speaker 13: this AI Israel, It's going to eventually cause significant earnings 237 00:12:15,040 --> 00:12:19,400 Speaker 13: uplists for a lot of companies. With technological change, it 238 00:12:19,480 --> 00:12:22,960 Speaker 13: tends to be seven or eight for ten years before 239 00:12:23,040 --> 00:12:26,960 Speaker 13: companies actually make significant money on a technological revolution. You 240 00:12:27,000 --> 00:12:29,960 Speaker 13: look at Internet as an Amazon in nineteen the late 241 00:12:30,040 --> 00:12:33,240 Speaker 13: nineteen nineties, it wasn't really into past twenty ten that 242 00:12:33,320 --> 00:12:38,280 Speaker 13: these businesses started to turn this Internet revolution into money. 243 00:12:38,320 --> 00:12:42,440 Speaker 13: Maybe the AI revolution is a bit faster in that conversion, 244 00:12:42,520 --> 00:12:45,760 Speaker 13: but it will take time for the vast majority of 245 00:12:45,800 --> 00:12:48,760 Speaker 13: companies to turn this revolution into money. Now, what we 246 00:12:48,840 --> 00:12:52,040 Speaker 13: have as share prices that have already capitalized a lot 247 00:12:52,080 --> 00:12:54,320 Speaker 13: of these future earnings well after the fact in a 248 00:12:54,440 --> 00:12:58,800 Speaker 13: very very uncertain environment. So it's just the usual way 249 00:12:58,840 --> 00:13:01,800 Speaker 13: markets do. They tend that they priced things and too 250 00:13:01,880 --> 00:13:04,520 Speaker 13: quickly and often priced them in too much that needs 251 00:13:05,559 --> 00:13:08,079 Speaker 13: gain runings already in the share price. 252 00:13:08,160 --> 00:13:11,880 Speaker 1: The valuations are pretty high on some of the defensive stocks. 253 00:13:11,480 --> 00:13:12,000 Speaker 3: That you like. 254 00:13:12,520 --> 00:13:15,800 Speaker 13: No, that's right, and that's wherein the funds we have 255 00:13:15,880 --> 00:13:19,559 Speaker 13: been positioned very long defensives earlier in the year, and 256 00:13:20,240 --> 00:13:24,080 Speaker 13: the market to an extent shifted out of cyclicals into 257 00:13:24,120 --> 00:13:27,520 Speaker 13: defensives and into technology stocks. We have actually sort of 258 00:13:27,600 --> 00:13:32,160 Speaker 13: lighting positions in those sectors and instead would preferred to 259 00:13:32,200 --> 00:13:35,000 Speaker 13: just hold more cash again and actually hold a bit 260 00:13:35,040 --> 00:13:39,040 Speaker 13: of credit, you know, without too much interest interest rate duration. 261 00:13:39,440 --> 00:13:43,520 Speaker 13: So we see that the backdrop is actually at time 262 00:13:43,600 --> 00:13:46,920 Speaker 13: of actually been patient. Keeping your capital intact at the 263 00:13:46,960 --> 00:13:50,120 Speaker 13: moment in cash or low duration bond is not a 264 00:13:50,120 --> 00:13:53,240 Speaker 13: bad way to do that, and waiting for that for 265 00:13:53,320 --> 00:13:55,959 Speaker 13: those for those fat pictures and those other opportunities, which 266 00:13:56,000 --> 00:13:57,880 Speaker 13: we're sure of market movements over the next month or 267 00:13:57,920 --> 00:14:01,400 Speaker 13: two will bring up more opportunities or better at reward opportunities. 268 00:14:02,559 --> 00:14:05,080 Speaker 13: It's just when those opportunities come, you want to make 269 00:14:05,080 --> 00:14:06,880 Speaker 13: sure that your capitals of the are and it's liquid 270 00:14:06,920 --> 00:14:08,880 Speaker 13: and it's available very quickly. 271 00:14:08,880 --> 00:14:10,800 Speaker 4: Here as well, William, you know, we've seen what has 272 00:14:10,840 --> 00:14:12,800 Speaker 4: been happening with the data out of China. I mean, 273 00:14:12,880 --> 00:14:15,959 Speaker 4: yesterday's pm MY numbers really confirmed I arguably a big 274 00:14:16,000 --> 00:14:20,280 Speaker 4: slowdown in manufacturing, got more PMI numbers today, and you're saying, 275 00:14:20,320 --> 00:14:23,040 Speaker 4: you're saying emerging opportunities and copper and resource and surely 276 00:14:23,080 --> 00:14:25,240 Speaker 4: the slowdown in China would put a kibosh on that. 277 00:14:25,560 --> 00:14:28,600 Speaker 13: No, that's right, it's a contrier in the trade. I mean, 278 00:14:28,600 --> 00:14:32,520 Speaker 13: we always held the view that the China reopened, the 279 00:14:32,600 --> 00:14:37,120 Speaker 13: China trade that was in full swing in January and 280 00:14:37,160 --> 00:14:40,040 Speaker 13: earlier this year was going to be overblown and was 281 00:14:40,080 --> 00:14:42,560 Speaker 13: going to disappoint, and that it was largely premised on 282 00:14:42,560 --> 00:14:46,000 Speaker 13: the fact that we think it really is structural downturns 283 00:14:46,000 --> 00:14:49,680 Speaker 13: in Chinese property, in Chinese Old World infrastructure type investment. 284 00:14:50,280 --> 00:14:53,960 Speaker 13: That meant that the reflation and commodities like iron ore 285 00:14:54,000 --> 00:14:57,880 Speaker 13: and copper and others was significantly over below them. But 286 00:14:58,360 --> 00:15:01,880 Speaker 13: it took time for that they realize we despite having 287 00:15:01,920 --> 00:15:04,000 Speaker 13: that view, we were participating on the long side of 288 00:15:04,040 --> 00:15:06,600 Speaker 13: the China trade because there was clearly going to work 289 00:15:06,600 --> 00:15:08,880 Speaker 13: for a while, but we faded that trade removed a 290 00:15:08,880 --> 00:15:12,440 Speaker 13: lot of our iron ore minor positions and copper positions 291 00:15:12,680 --> 00:15:14,360 Speaker 13: now the market's come around to the view and the 292 00:15:14,400 --> 00:15:17,160 Speaker 13: evidence of data of China is terrible that this China 293 00:15:17,200 --> 00:15:21,360 Speaker 13: trade isn't on valuations and certain copper miners and resource 294 00:15:21,440 --> 00:15:25,240 Speaker 13: companies are coming back to quite attractive long run level. 295 00:15:25,320 --> 00:15:27,120 Speaker 13: So we're just beginning to dip our toe in the 296 00:15:27,160 --> 00:15:29,640 Speaker 13: water and starting to pick up some copper miners. And 297 00:15:29,800 --> 00:15:32,200 Speaker 13: the reason I signal like copper is coppers will be 298 00:15:32,200 --> 00:15:34,600 Speaker 13: the first metal people look to buy when they get 299 00:15:34,600 --> 00:15:35,800 Speaker 13: excited the power recoveries. 300 00:15:35,880 --> 00:15:38,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, I contrary and Carl William thank you very much 301 00:15:38,240 --> 00:15:42,200 Speaker 1: for joining us. William Kurtain, portfolio manager a Milford Asset Management. 302 00:15:42,520 --> 00:15:45,360 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Daybreak Asia, your morning brief on the 303 00:15:45,440 --> 00:15:49,160 Speaker 1: stories making news from Hong Kong to Singapore and Wall Street. 304 00:15:49,320 --> 00:15:53,000 Speaker 4: Look for us on your podcast feed every day, on Apples, Spotify, 305 00:15:53,040 --> 00:15:54,920 Speaker 4: and anywhere else you get your podcast. 306 00:15:55,280 --> 00:15:57,920 Speaker 1: You can also listen live each day on Bloomberg eleven 307 00:15:58,000 --> 00:16:00,360 Speaker 1: three to zero in New York, Bloomberg ninety nine to 308 00:16:00,360 --> 00:16:03,600 Speaker 1: one in Washington, Bloomberg one oh sixty one in Boston, 309 00:16:03,880 --> 00:16:06,440 Speaker 1: and Bloomberg nine sixty in San Francisco. 310 00:16:06,880 --> 00:16:09,560 Speaker 4: Our flagship New York station is available on your Amazon 311 00:16:09,600 --> 00:16:14,560 Speaker 4: Alexa devices. 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