1 00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:03,760 Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcast. 2 00:00:04,160 --> 00:00:12,760 Speaker 2: Pot All right, here we go fifteen twenty twenty five, 3 00:00:12,800 --> 00:00:15,360 Speaker 2: thirty thirty five forty coty five fifty and. 4 00:00:15,480 --> 00:00:23,400 Speaker 3: The Kick as Black, the College Football World Stunners, Oh 5 00:00:23,520 --> 00:00:29,120 Speaker 3: my goodness, he stumbled and football the lateral turn a 6 00:00:29,240 --> 00:00:30,520 Speaker 3: counter on the inside. 7 00:00:31,040 --> 00:00:35,920 Speaker 4: Don't you believe not? Came them off the field the night. 8 00:00:37,159 --> 00:00:42,400 Speaker 3: God, it's not the size of the dog in the fight. 9 00:00:42,760 --> 00:00:45,080 Speaker 3: It's the size of the fight in the dog. 10 00:00:48,680 --> 00:00:50,840 Speaker 5: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets 11 00:00:50,840 --> 00:00:55,760 Speaker 5: on Campus Podcast. This is the Big Ten college Football 12 00:00:55,800 --> 00:01:00,240 Speaker 5: betting Creview. I'm stucky, joining me as always my fellowc 13 00:01:00,400 --> 00:01:05,440 Speaker 5: cost Colin Wilson. This is part one. We will go 14 00:01:05,560 --> 00:01:09,840 Speaker 5: top to bottom. In Part two, we will cover the 15 00:01:09,880 --> 00:01:14,319 Speaker 5: second half of the Big Ten, so nine and nine, 16 00:01:14,560 --> 00:01:18,160 Speaker 5: and we will summarize all of our favorite bets Conference 17 00:01:18,319 --> 00:01:21,480 Speaker 5: champion picks. All that good stuff at the end of 18 00:01:21,600 --> 00:01:23,840 Speaker 5: Part two should be out by the time you're listening 19 00:01:23,840 --> 00:01:27,080 Speaker 5: to this, and make sure you check that out. Also, 20 00:01:27,560 --> 00:01:29,440 Speaker 5: this is the most important time to leave. A five 21 00:01:29,480 --> 00:01:31,600 Speaker 5: star review really helps us out this time of the year. 22 00:01:32,200 --> 00:01:33,920 Speaker 5: So if you can just take a minute or so, 23 00:01:34,440 --> 00:01:36,680 Speaker 5: please go and do that. You can say whatever you want. 24 00:01:36,920 --> 00:01:39,680 Speaker 5: Appreciate all of you for tuning in again. So excited 25 00:01:39,880 --> 00:01:44,679 Speaker 5: to go through all of the power for conference previews 26 00:01:45,000 --> 00:01:48,200 Speaker 5: with Colin. We'll be knocking out the SEC tonight in 27 00:01:48,240 --> 00:01:50,680 Speaker 5: two parts as well. We'll do the Big twelve, which 28 00:01:50,720 --> 00:01:54,760 Speaker 5: is going to be exciting, and the AZC. Also this weekend, 29 00:01:54,800 --> 00:01:57,880 Speaker 5: we'll throw in Notre Dame and yukon the Independence in 30 00:01:57,920 --> 00:02:00,000 Speaker 5: that episode as well. And if you haven't checked out 31 00:02:00,440 --> 00:02:04,200 Speaker 5: all the group of five episodes just absolutely jam packed 32 00:02:04,680 --> 00:02:08,560 Speaker 5: with actionable info and good stuff on every single Team 33 00:02:08,840 --> 00:02:12,160 Speaker 5: Week zero BBOC watch party. Colin will be there, Doc 34 00:02:12,200 --> 00:02:15,480 Speaker 5: will be there. Breeze Mitchell, make sure you come out. 35 00:02:15,520 --> 00:02:17,440 Speaker 5: You don't have to r speop you or anything. We're 36 00:02:17,520 --> 00:02:20,960 Speaker 5: going to Joe's. We were there in March for March Management. 37 00:02:20,960 --> 00:02:23,040 Speaker 5: It was awesome. They know how to do it right. 38 00:02:23,040 --> 00:02:25,800 Speaker 5: It's a great barn. They're gonna be opening up at 39 00:02:25,800 --> 00:02:29,400 Speaker 5: eleven in the morning and we'll be there for the 40 00:02:29,480 --> 00:02:32,960 Speaker 5: Kansas State Iowa State kickoff, and then we'll be there 41 00:02:32,960 --> 00:02:34,840 Speaker 5: all day and night. So come have some drinks with us, 42 00:02:35,280 --> 00:02:38,240 Speaker 5: let me buy you drinks and just show up looking 43 00:02:38,280 --> 00:02:40,360 Speaker 5: forward and we have a Fantasy Flex event to where 44 00:02:40,400 --> 00:02:43,720 Speaker 5: people will draft like a fantasy team with Kerner and 45 00:02:43,800 --> 00:02:46,080 Speaker 5: Rayvaughn who will be there also. So should be a 46 00:02:46,080 --> 00:02:47,840 Speaker 5: blast and a great way to kick off the season. 47 00:02:48,080 --> 00:02:52,519 Speaker 5: But let's get right into the Big Ten. Colin, I 48 00:02:52,520 --> 00:02:55,280 Speaker 5: guess I'll stop ram for a second out. How are you? 49 00:02:55,360 --> 00:02:56,800 Speaker 5: Are you excited to talk Big Ten? I have a 50 00:02:56,800 --> 00:02:58,680 Speaker 5: lot to say about it, almost every single one of 51 00:02:58,680 --> 00:03:00,400 Speaker 5: these teams conferenceampions. 52 00:03:00,480 --> 00:03:01,760 Speaker 2: I guess we have to say that. I have to 53 00:03:01,760 --> 00:03:03,720 Speaker 2: say that as an SEC homer, I guess you as 54 00:03:03,760 --> 00:03:06,919 Speaker 2: a migrated SEC homer, you and I do in power 55 00:03:06,960 --> 00:03:08,760 Speaker 2: for this is what you and I were made for 56 00:03:08,919 --> 00:03:11,280 Speaker 2: this one. I feel like we have deliverables that we 57 00:03:11,280 --> 00:03:12,359 Speaker 2: need to hit off for Big Ten. 58 00:03:12,600 --> 00:03:16,000 Speaker 5: Yes, well, it is conference championships. Last two national champs 59 00:03:16,000 --> 00:03:20,120 Speaker 5: to come from the Big Ten, that being Michigan and 60 00:03:20,280 --> 00:03:24,120 Speaker 5: Ohio State. I guess we'll start with Ohio State. 61 00:03:24,840 --> 00:03:28,160 Speaker 1: The Ohio State buck eys like I like to know 62 00:03:28,200 --> 00:03:29,000 Speaker 1: where Lou Holtz is. 63 00:03:29,040 --> 00:03:33,120 Speaker 5: Right now, the preseason favorite to win the Big Ten. 64 00:03:33,680 --> 00:03:35,960 Speaker 5: Best number you can find out that plus two point 65 00:03:35,960 --> 00:03:39,360 Speaker 5: fifty win total ten and a half. Juice the bit 66 00:03:39,400 --> 00:03:41,720 Speaker 5: to the under, the understaking a little bit of money 67 00:03:41,920 --> 00:03:44,160 Speaker 5: throughout the summer. There's a lot of change with this 68 00:03:44,200 --> 00:03:46,240 Speaker 5: Ohio State team, and the theme of the Big Ten 69 00:03:47,040 --> 00:03:50,720 Speaker 5: is if you can figure out the quarterbacks, you're going 70 00:03:50,800 --> 00:03:52,920 Speaker 5: to be able to figure out the Big Ten. Easier 71 00:03:52,960 --> 00:03:55,200 Speaker 5: said than done. But there's a lot of new quarterbacks 72 00:03:55,760 --> 00:04:00,240 Speaker 5: throughout the conference and specifically with the top teams, not 73 00:04:00,280 --> 00:04:02,600 Speaker 5: just in the Big Ten, that's also in the SEC. 74 00:04:02,800 --> 00:04:04,680 Speaker 5: So that there's I don't think that there's as of 75 00:04:04,760 --> 00:04:06,880 Speaker 5: right now, at least there's not one team where you're like, 76 00:04:06,920 --> 00:04:10,160 Speaker 5: this team is so much better than everybody else. It 77 00:04:10,240 --> 00:04:13,400 Speaker 5: is as wide open as you're going to see in 78 00:04:13,400 --> 00:04:15,080 Speaker 5: college football, which I think is going to make for 79 00:04:15,160 --> 00:04:17,280 Speaker 5: a great season and a great College wall playoff. So 80 00:04:17,279 --> 00:04:19,000 Speaker 5: there's a lot of questions with this Ohio State team, 81 00:04:19,080 --> 00:04:22,520 Speaker 5: starting with the quarterback. Howard obviously got drafted after leading 82 00:04:22,839 --> 00:04:27,560 Speaker 5: Ohio State to a national title. Is it joint saying time? 83 00:04:27,960 --> 00:04:33,039 Speaker 5: I don't know. It's he's not getting the most rave 84 00:04:33,080 --> 00:04:36,360 Speaker 5: reviews in camp. Holds. Is a Keynolts or kind Holds. 85 00:04:36,360 --> 00:04:40,680 Speaker 5: I think it's key. I also one of us will 86 00:04:40,680 --> 00:04:44,200 Speaker 5: be right. He's more of like a dual threat, and 87 00:04:44,440 --> 00:04:46,560 Speaker 5: he might even have some packages of saying wins the job. 88 00:04:47,480 --> 00:04:49,880 Speaker 5: It was presumed that he's going to, but it seems 89 00:04:49,920 --> 00:04:54,080 Speaker 5: like it's a little closer than maybe some would have thought. 90 00:04:54,440 --> 00:04:57,279 Speaker 5: His size maybe could be an issue, and then obviously 91 00:04:57,360 --> 00:04:59,000 Speaker 5: the learning curve. How quickly is he going to get 92 00:04:59,040 --> 00:05:01,600 Speaker 5: up to speed. He's a young kid, so there's certainly questions. 93 00:05:01,600 --> 00:05:05,240 Speaker 5: At quarterback. You lose both of your running backs to 94 00:05:05,279 --> 00:05:07,240 Speaker 5: the round two of the NFL draft, and Headerson and 95 00:05:07,279 --> 00:05:10,640 Speaker 5: Judkins still think that they'll be okay there, maybe down 96 00:05:10,640 --> 00:05:13,320 Speaker 5: a notch with People's and Donaldson. Their wide receiver room 97 00:05:13,360 --> 00:05:16,039 Speaker 5: is obviously stacked. You lose Aguca to the NFL, but 98 00:05:16,240 --> 00:05:18,480 Speaker 5: Smith and Tater back and this takes over at the slot. 99 00:05:18,560 --> 00:05:21,200 Speaker 5: Look out for Graham as well. Tight end, you had 100 00:05:21,320 --> 00:05:24,800 Speaker 5: Max Claire from Purdue's great receiving tight end. And then 101 00:05:24,839 --> 00:05:28,720 Speaker 5: the offensive line has has questions you Simmons for Iron McLaughlin. 102 00:05:29,160 --> 00:05:31,599 Speaker 5: So you're projected starting offensive line. You got a Rice 103 00:05:31,640 --> 00:05:36,440 Speaker 5: transfer left tackle Montgomery, Hensman and Shibola. They did start 104 00:05:36,520 --> 00:05:40,479 Speaker 5: in the interior in the playoffs, so there's some experience there. 105 00:05:40,880 --> 00:05:44,200 Speaker 5: And then your right tackles probably going to be a 106 00:05:44,279 --> 00:05:46,360 Speaker 5: returner whos kicked out there and see the old but 107 00:05:46,680 --> 00:05:50,680 Speaker 5: I'm not positive yet. There's a new offensive coordinator, internal 108 00:05:50,800 --> 00:05:54,880 Speaker 5: higher and then on the defense there's some questions as well. 109 00:05:55,040 --> 00:05:58,080 Speaker 5: I'm curious to see how it all plays out this 110 00:05:58,080 --> 00:06:00,640 Speaker 5: Ohio State team. Is you have arguing that best alids player, 111 00:06:00,680 --> 00:06:05,159 Speaker 5: the best defensive player, Jeremiah Smith, Caleb Downs? How much 112 00:06:05,680 --> 00:06:07,760 Speaker 5: can they impact the game in these big games for 113 00:06:07,800 --> 00:06:11,040 Speaker 5: Ohio State? That and a quarterback is going to decide 114 00:06:11,200 --> 00:06:13,440 Speaker 5: how far this team can go. But Downs, is he 115 00:06:13,520 --> 00:06:15,240 Speaker 5: going to play more? Can he play more? Nickel? I 116 00:06:15,279 --> 00:06:17,200 Speaker 5: mean in the playoffs he's playing almost down to the box, 117 00:06:17,240 --> 00:06:19,839 Speaker 5: like right next to the linebacker. There's a potential that 118 00:06:19,880 --> 00:06:21,760 Speaker 5: Smith could eventually go number one overall. By the way, 119 00:06:21,760 --> 00:06:23,880 Speaker 5: that hasn't happened with the receiver since nineteen ninety six. 120 00:06:24,279 --> 00:06:27,200 Speaker 5: And Downs. NFL doesn't value like it in the box 121 00:06:27,279 --> 00:06:29,159 Speaker 5: guy as much. But maybe he goes top ten eventually. 122 00:06:29,200 --> 00:06:32,320 Speaker 5: That hasn't happened since Sean Taylor. One of my biggest 123 00:06:32,400 --> 00:06:34,719 Speaker 5: questions for this team also Matt Patricias, the defensive coordinator, 124 00:06:34,839 --> 00:06:37,919 Speaker 5: big down grade I think from Jim Knowles. Seventeen in 125 00:06:37,960 --> 00:06:40,880 Speaker 5: total were lost to the NFL from a scheduling perspective, 126 00:06:41,160 --> 00:06:43,919 Speaker 5: they do get Penn State in Texas at home, a 127 00:06:43,920 --> 00:06:47,000 Speaker 5: couple other losable games on the schedule. We know at Michigan, 128 00:06:47,400 --> 00:06:49,719 Speaker 5: are they finally gonna beat Michigan? Getting to be a 129 00:06:49,760 --> 00:06:53,120 Speaker 5: while at Washington could be tricky. And then at Illinois 130 00:06:53,160 --> 00:06:56,000 Speaker 5: a very experienced team who will talk about minus three 131 00:06:56,040 --> 00:06:58,800 Speaker 5: hundred to make the playoff ten and a half win total. 132 00:06:59,200 --> 00:07:00,840 Speaker 5: I mean, this team's like close to one hundredth and 133 00:07:00,920 --> 00:07:03,440 Speaker 5: returning production. So there's a lot of questions starting with 134 00:07:03,480 --> 00:07:05,800 Speaker 5: the quarterback. What are you seeing here with Allio State? 135 00:07:06,160 --> 00:07:08,040 Speaker 2: A lot of questions both sides of the ball. I'll 136 00:07:08,080 --> 00:07:09,760 Speaker 2: try to touch on things that you didn't because you 137 00:07:09,840 --> 00:07:12,040 Speaker 2: got you got a lot of it. And there's just 138 00:07:12,720 --> 00:07:16,440 Speaker 2: I mean, the reason why this intro for Ohio State 139 00:07:16,480 --> 00:07:19,080 Speaker 2: is so long. For a national championship team, you would 140 00:07:19,120 --> 00:07:20,840 Speaker 2: think that there wouldn't be that many questions, but there 141 00:07:20,920 --> 00:07:22,480 Speaker 2: is a ton of questions. First off, who's going to 142 00:07:22,520 --> 00:07:24,840 Speaker 2: be the quarterback? And that might dictate what style we're 143 00:07:24,840 --> 00:07:26,920 Speaker 2: going to get. You guys have to remember, like Chip 144 00:07:27,000 --> 00:07:29,800 Speaker 2: Kelly was running this heavy rush offense with Trevon Henderson 145 00:07:31,240 --> 00:07:32,960 Speaker 2: and you know, a dual back set that was just 146 00:07:33,000 --> 00:07:34,240 Speaker 2: pounding the ball, And then all of a sudden they 147 00:07:34,240 --> 00:07:35,840 Speaker 2: get to the playoff against Tennessee and they say, no, 148 00:07:35,920 --> 00:07:37,440 Speaker 2: we're going to open it wide open. We're just going 149 00:07:37,480 --> 00:07:40,600 Speaker 2: to start throwing on first down. So what offense is 150 00:07:40,600 --> 00:07:42,600 Speaker 2: Heartlin going to call here? And now Heartline's been there forever? 151 00:07:42,680 --> 00:07:45,800 Speaker 2: Does he have the creativity of Chip Kelly? Does he 152 00:07:45,880 --> 00:07:48,920 Speaker 2: have the playbook? Probably? But which playbook are we talking about? 153 00:07:49,000 --> 00:07:50,680 Speaker 2: Are we talking about the zone reader? Are we going 154 00:07:50,760 --> 00:07:52,880 Speaker 2: to talk about opening up the offense to Jeremiah Smith, 155 00:07:52,920 --> 00:07:55,520 Speaker 2: Carneal Tit and Max clar the tight end? And which 156 00:07:55,600 --> 00:07:57,560 Speaker 2: quarterback is best for that? Because if you're going to 157 00:07:57,640 --> 00:07:59,200 Speaker 2: go with a Will Howard type, you're probably going to 158 00:07:59,240 --> 00:08:02,240 Speaker 2: get kin holes. If you're gonna go with the pure arm, 159 00:08:02,240 --> 00:08:04,040 Speaker 2: you're gonna go with Julian Say and who's not getting 160 00:08:04,160 --> 00:08:06,240 Speaker 2: really great reviews here into the first couple of days 161 00:08:06,240 --> 00:08:09,080 Speaker 2: of camp. So there's so many things offensively that we're 162 00:08:09,080 --> 00:08:10,920 Speaker 2: talking about. One thing I do like is getting CJ. 163 00:08:11,000 --> 00:08:13,720 Speaker 2: Donaldson if they're gonna go heavy run, getting CJ. Donaldson 164 00:08:13,720 --> 00:08:15,440 Speaker 2: from West Virginia, if he can stay healthy, that's just 165 00:08:15,480 --> 00:08:18,600 Speaker 2: an absolute basher in your backfield. Not impressed with James 166 00:08:18,640 --> 00:08:21,560 Speaker 2: people's numbers whatsoever limited an action just three yards after 167 00:08:21,640 --> 00:08:24,440 Speaker 2: first contact. So I think Donaldson's gonna have to be 168 00:08:24,880 --> 00:08:26,800 Speaker 2: healthy the entire year for the run game to go, 169 00:08:26,880 --> 00:08:28,720 Speaker 2: but you can always fall back on that passing game. 170 00:08:29,040 --> 00:08:30,920 Speaker 2: You mentioned the offensive line. You're gonna hear a lot 171 00:08:30,960 --> 00:08:33,280 Speaker 2: about this for me because there's so many transfers in 172 00:08:33,280 --> 00:08:35,160 Speaker 2: college football on the offensive line in the trenches, and 173 00:08:35,160 --> 00:08:36,640 Speaker 2: I think what you have to do is go in 174 00:08:36,679 --> 00:08:38,760 Speaker 2: and look at their grade. And when you talk about 175 00:08:38,840 --> 00:08:42,520 Speaker 2: left tackle, the new blind side tackle Ethan Odeanwa. He 176 00:08:42,559 --> 00:08:44,880 Speaker 2: allowed one sack and nine pressures at Rice last year, 177 00:08:44,920 --> 00:08:47,319 Speaker 2: but when I dumped out all of the tackles on PFF, 178 00:08:47,320 --> 00:08:50,319 Speaker 2: he graded as the one hundred and seventy best tackle 179 00:08:50,360 --> 00:08:53,520 Speaker 2: in twenty twenty four. That's not great and not what 180 00:08:53,559 --> 00:08:56,400 Speaker 2: I would expect from an offensive line Ohio State. So yeah, 181 00:08:56,400 --> 00:08:59,120 Speaker 2: there's tons of questions here from coordinator down to play us. 182 00:08:59,120 --> 00:09:00,360 Speaker 5: Who's playing Rice? Mind? 183 00:09:00,400 --> 00:09:03,000 Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, yeah, what's your competition? What kind of 184 00:09:03,080 --> 00:09:04,800 Speaker 2: edges are you facing you go to the other side 185 00:09:04,800 --> 00:09:06,079 Speaker 2: of the ball. I'm I'm not gonna harp on the 186 00:09:06,080 --> 00:09:08,080 Speaker 2: Patricia thing because this is now two podcasts that you 187 00:09:08,120 --> 00:09:10,000 Speaker 2: and I have cut where where we don't. I think 188 00:09:10,040 --> 00:09:13,920 Speaker 2: Patricia's gonna cost him a game, period. I'll just get 189 00:09:13,920 --> 00:09:16,200 Speaker 2: that out there that I think his play calling and 190 00:09:16,240 --> 00:09:18,360 Speaker 2: his defensive schemes are going to get them in trouble 191 00:09:18,360 --> 00:09:20,520 Speaker 2: and they're going to lose a game where they shouldn't. Now, 192 00:09:20,600 --> 00:09:22,680 Speaker 2: the defensive line has the most question marks. Is it 193 00:09:22,720 --> 00:09:25,560 Speaker 2: as potent is last year? I doubt it. Caleb Downs. 194 00:09:25,600 --> 00:09:27,960 Speaker 2: You and I are talking about his position. Remember he 195 00:09:28,080 --> 00:09:30,080 Speaker 2: was the single high safety and then in the playoff 196 00:09:30,120 --> 00:09:32,280 Speaker 2: they said forget that he's going to roam the box 197 00:09:32,320 --> 00:09:34,600 Speaker 2: from A to C gap. And if it wasn't for 198 00:09:34,640 --> 00:09:36,800 Speaker 2: that and he doesn't, he is not the one that 199 00:09:36,800 --> 00:09:39,840 Speaker 2: tackles Contravian Wisner on the toss against Texas, it could 200 00:09:39,840 --> 00:09:43,680 Speaker 2: be Texas in the National title game. So where's Caleb Downs' lineup? 201 00:09:44,400 --> 00:09:47,560 Speaker 2: That's such a big question. Sonny styles outside linebacker maybe 202 00:09:47,640 --> 00:09:49,480 Speaker 2: the best in the Big Ten at his position. He 203 00:09:49,600 --> 00:09:51,600 Speaker 2: did have. I know he's getting a lot of love. 204 00:09:51,760 --> 00:09:54,320 Speaker 2: He had a nineteen percent mistackle rate last year. That's 205 00:09:54,960 --> 00:10:00,000 Speaker 2: large so to me, the Patricia's defense, the style, where 206 00:10:00,080 --> 00:10:02,400 Speaker 2: are you putting Caleb Downs? Is he a free safety 207 00:10:02,520 --> 00:10:05,080 Speaker 2: or is he roaming there's a lot going on here. 208 00:10:05,080 --> 00:10:08,080 Speaker 2: We're portaling in edges from North Carolina. We've got two 209 00:10:08,120 --> 00:10:11,559 Speaker 2: sophomore defensive tackles with little experience, maybe not the size 210 00:10:11,559 --> 00:10:16,040 Speaker 2: that we're used to at Ohio State. Let' let's just 211 00:10:16,040 --> 00:10:18,000 Speaker 2: think about this, I mean, let's just logically think about this. 212 00:10:18,000 --> 00:10:22,440 Speaker 2: Stuck in a game of Jim Knowles and Chip Kelly 213 00:10:22,520 --> 00:10:25,200 Speaker 2: versus Matt Patriciaan and Brian Hartline, what do you think that? 214 00:10:25,360 --> 00:10:27,640 Speaker 2: What do you think the power rating Ohio State should drop? 215 00:10:27,960 --> 00:10:30,559 Speaker 2: Because literally I docked them two points just for that, 216 00:10:30,679 --> 00:10:32,679 Speaker 2: just on coordinators. I almost don't dock you more than 217 00:10:32,679 --> 00:10:35,400 Speaker 2: a point for your coordinator moves. But to me, it's 218 00:10:35,440 --> 00:10:37,840 Speaker 2: so big because they won the national championship. I've said 219 00:10:37,840 --> 00:10:39,760 Speaker 2: this a million times. Not because of twenty million dollars 220 00:10:39,800 --> 00:10:41,720 Speaker 2: in nil they won the National championshi because they had 221 00:10:41,760 --> 00:10:45,559 Speaker 2: two coordinators. They completely scrapped the chalkboard and rewrote the 222 00:10:45,679 --> 00:10:48,199 Speaker 2: entire offensive defense before they played Tennessee in the playoff. 223 00:10:48,640 --> 00:10:51,400 Speaker 2: These two coordinators can do that. You're right, it's a 224 00:10:51,400 --> 00:10:54,320 Speaker 2: tougher road slate, I mean, back to back, travel to Wisconsin. 225 00:10:54,400 --> 00:10:57,679 Speaker 2: We'll see how effective they are with the run. Illy Whiskey, 226 00:10:57,760 --> 00:11:00,920 Speaker 2: Michigan all on the road. Rutgers off of a bye 227 00:11:00,920 --> 00:11:03,200 Speaker 2: on November twenty second is right before Michigan. I mean, 228 00:11:03,200 --> 00:11:05,319 Speaker 2: I know the spread's gonna be like nineteen, but still 229 00:11:05,360 --> 00:11:08,439 Speaker 2: that's not a good spot. So I've got problems with 230 00:11:08,480 --> 00:11:10,480 Speaker 2: this team. Under ten and a half. I know it's 231 00:11:10,480 --> 00:11:12,719 Speaker 2: a juice to minus one forty if you want to 232 00:11:12,760 --> 00:11:15,720 Speaker 2: go and maybe think that you want to take a playoff. No, 233 00:11:16,559 --> 00:11:19,240 Speaker 2: remember we've seen the standard ten and two Ohio State's 234 00:11:19,280 --> 00:11:19,760 Speaker 2: going to get in. 235 00:11:20,240 --> 00:11:21,840 Speaker 5: You're doing Ohio State no playoff again. 236 00:11:22,160 --> 00:11:24,040 Speaker 2: Doing that. I almost got there last year. I almost 237 00:11:24,040 --> 00:11:25,800 Speaker 2: got that plus four to fifty, almost got to the window. 238 00:11:25,880 --> 00:11:27,920 Speaker 2: Last year. They were playing with their food all season. 239 00:11:28,080 --> 00:11:29,600 Speaker 2: I'm not going to go that far. I think under 240 00:11:29,640 --> 00:11:31,080 Speaker 2: ten and a half minus one forty is the bet. 241 00:11:31,160 --> 00:11:33,880 Speaker 5: I don't mind the no playoff this year. It's under 242 00:11:33,960 --> 00:11:35,360 Speaker 5: nothing for me. I project them at like nine to 243 00:11:35,440 --> 00:11:37,400 Speaker 5: nine to five. This is like a ten and two 244 00:11:37,440 --> 00:11:38,000 Speaker 5: team to me. 245 00:11:38,280 --> 00:11:39,400 Speaker 2: My opinion, that's our ceiling. 246 00:11:39,800 --> 00:11:42,320 Speaker 5: Let's move on. Let's talk about Jim Knowles. Well, Jim 247 00:11:42,400 --> 00:11:47,000 Speaker 5: Knowles left Columbus headed east to Happy Valley. 248 00:11:47,040 --> 00:11:49,760 Speaker 1: The Penn State Nitney Lions. 249 00:11:57,000 --> 00:11:59,760 Speaker 5: Jim Knowles is now the defensive coordinator for Penn State 250 00:12:00,000 --> 00:12:01,959 Speaker 5: if their Tom Allen left for Clemson. I think moves 251 00:12:01,960 --> 00:12:04,400 Speaker 5: were positive for both teams, for both Clemson and Penn State. 252 00:12:05,080 --> 00:12:07,600 Speaker 5: Penn State is to me power, They're the number one 253 00:12:07,640 --> 00:12:09,680 Speaker 5: team in the country going into the season. I just 254 00:12:09,760 --> 00:12:12,559 Speaker 5: mentioned that all these top teams have tons of questions 255 00:12:12,600 --> 00:12:15,200 Speaker 5: at quarterback. Well that's not the case with Penn State. 256 00:12:15,520 --> 00:12:19,000 Speaker 5: Drew Aller is back. There's still some questions with Aler, right, 257 00:12:19,040 --> 00:12:21,559 Speaker 5: He's got to be better versus the best team, specifically 258 00:12:21,640 --> 00:12:25,440 Speaker 5: under pressure, like he just leaves a lot to be desired. 259 00:12:25,720 --> 00:12:29,520 Speaker 5: But as far as like a top team with their 260 00:12:29,600 --> 00:12:32,320 Speaker 5: quarterback back, a team that last year won a program 261 00:12:32,320 --> 00:12:35,160 Speaker 5: record thirteen games, only lost to number one, two and 262 00:12:35,200 --> 00:12:37,040 Speaker 5: three in the country, which I think they should be 263 00:12:37,080 --> 00:12:39,680 Speaker 5: favored to win the Big Ten when you look look 264 00:12:39,720 --> 00:12:42,360 Speaker 5: Singleton and Allen back probably the best backfield in the country. 265 00:12:42,520 --> 00:12:44,840 Speaker 5: Wide receiver room, you lose your top three and Wallas, 266 00:12:44,840 --> 00:12:47,240 Speaker 5: Fleming and Evans, but who really cares. I mean, they've 267 00:12:47,640 --> 00:12:50,679 Speaker 5: they not have a catch against Notre Dame tight end. 268 00:12:50,679 --> 00:12:53,400 Speaker 5: You lose Warren, but this is tight end you, I mean, 269 00:12:53,559 --> 00:12:55,160 Speaker 5: what have they got five starting tight ends in the 270 00:12:55,280 --> 00:12:57,600 Speaker 5: NFL right now. Obviously there's going to be a drop 271 00:12:57,640 --> 00:13:00,960 Speaker 5: off from Warren, but Denkins looks like the next freak 272 00:13:01,640 --> 00:13:05,480 Speaker 5: offensive line. You lose warmly to the Jags, but he'll 273 00:13:05,480 --> 00:13:08,679 Speaker 5: probably be replaced by Cousins. But everyone else is back. 274 00:13:09,040 --> 00:13:11,120 Speaker 5: This offense should be good, mainly because Code Nicky's back. 275 00:13:11,160 --> 00:13:14,400 Speaker 5: You're two off codal Nikki. You get another full off 276 00:13:14,440 --> 00:13:17,760 Speaker 5: season to install his offense. The familiarity is there with 277 00:13:17,840 --> 00:13:21,720 Speaker 5: the offensive line, the backs, alor so this offense gonna 278 00:13:21,720 --> 00:13:24,600 Speaker 5: be really good. Defense. I'm worried about the depth in 279 00:13:24,600 --> 00:13:26,840 Speaker 5: certain positions like wide receiver, then a couple of positions 280 00:13:26,840 --> 00:13:29,920 Speaker 5: on the defense, so like injuries will be something to watch. 281 00:13:30,000 --> 00:13:31,960 Speaker 5: But they do lose Abdul Carter not gonna be able 282 00:13:32,000 --> 00:13:34,840 Speaker 5: to replace him. At linebacker. You lose King to the NFL, 283 00:13:34,880 --> 00:13:37,640 Speaker 5: but Rojas is back. You had Campbell from UNC. I 284 00:13:37,640 --> 00:13:39,280 Speaker 5: think that was a really good get. He's really good 285 00:13:39,320 --> 00:13:41,400 Speaker 5: against the run. Rojas is really great in coverage. So 286 00:13:41,440 --> 00:13:43,720 Speaker 5: that's a pretty good linebacker com pairing with the Luca 287 00:13:43,760 --> 00:13:46,040 Speaker 5: giving you some depth. By the way linebacker coach Dan 288 00:13:46,120 --> 00:13:51,240 Speaker 5: Connor I scrimmaged against him in eighth grade I played 289 00:13:51,240 --> 00:13:54,160 Speaker 5: full back middle linebacker. He played full back middle. I 290 00:13:54,280 --> 00:13:57,079 Speaker 5: never in my whole life playing football wanted the just 291 00:13:57,080 --> 00:13:59,480 Speaker 5: just scrimmage to be over one of the greatest linebackers 292 00:13:59,520 --> 00:14:04,280 Speaker 5: in high school history. That was humiliating every play I 293 00:14:04,320 --> 00:14:08,480 Speaker 5: went against him. He absolutely destroyed me, every single play 294 00:14:08,520 --> 00:14:10,560 Speaker 5: on both sides of the ball. One of the longest 295 00:14:10,880 --> 00:14:12,839 Speaker 5: power and a halfs of my life. So shout out 296 00:14:12,880 --> 00:14:16,400 Speaker 5: Dan Connor Strathagan legend. But the defense is going to 297 00:14:16,440 --> 00:14:18,439 Speaker 5: be really good. This is the best team in the country. 298 00:14:18,440 --> 00:14:20,960 Speaker 5: I'm not gonna nitpick too much what I really like 299 00:14:21,000 --> 00:14:24,320 Speaker 5: about this schedule. So they do. They host Oregon after 300 00:14:24,400 --> 00:14:28,160 Speaker 5: a bye, and they go to Ohio State after a bye. Right, 301 00:14:28,160 --> 00:14:30,320 Speaker 5: those are their two hardest games on the schedule. The 302 00:14:30,320 --> 00:14:32,760 Speaker 5: rest of the schedule is pretty manageable. And the reason 303 00:14:32,800 --> 00:14:35,080 Speaker 5: I think those buys are so valuable. You got cotal 304 00:14:35,120 --> 00:14:38,320 Speaker 5: Nikki and Knowles, the best coordinator pairing in college football 305 00:14:38,320 --> 00:14:40,480 Speaker 5: in my opinion, and you have Knowles who knows this 306 00:14:40,760 --> 00:14:43,000 Speaker 5: this Ohio State personnel, Like I think that's a huge 307 00:14:43,040 --> 00:14:46,520 Speaker 5: advantage there. So they're over under ten and a half, 308 00:14:46,560 --> 00:14:48,280 Speaker 5: they're plus the best you can find is plus two 309 00:14:48,320 --> 00:14:50,680 Speaker 5: forty to win the conference. I don't mind that there 310 00:14:50,720 --> 00:14:53,200 Speaker 5: MIGHTUS two seventy to make the playoff. I don't mind that. 311 00:14:53,760 --> 00:14:55,880 Speaker 5: I think the floor for this team is ten wins. 312 00:14:56,120 --> 00:14:58,440 Speaker 5: I showed value in the over They're my pick to 313 00:14:58,480 --> 00:15:01,440 Speaker 5: win the Big ten. Spoiler alert, Franklin. Look, a lot 314 00:15:01,520 --> 00:15:04,040 Speaker 5: of coaches get placked for you can't win the big one, 315 00:15:04,280 --> 00:15:06,040 Speaker 5: and then they end up doing it. Not everyone can 316 00:15:06,080 --> 00:15:08,760 Speaker 5: always win, but Franklin and Alur they do deserve some 317 00:15:08,880 --> 00:15:11,680 Speaker 5: criticis now are in big games and Franklin's decision making 318 00:15:11,680 --> 00:15:14,040 Speaker 5: a big game sometimes can be questionable. But he has 319 00:15:14,160 --> 00:15:16,680 Speaker 5: the coordinators, he has the roster like you're gonna do it, 320 00:15:17,080 --> 00:15:18,120 Speaker 5: This is the year to do it. 321 00:15:18,560 --> 00:15:20,520 Speaker 2: My win total is not as high as yours, but 322 00:15:20,560 --> 00:15:24,000 Speaker 2: my expectations may be higher than yours, if that makes sense. 323 00:15:24,040 --> 00:15:25,840 Speaker 2: Sometimes you pull away from the math and you take 324 00:15:25,840 --> 00:15:28,560 Speaker 2: a look at what you have and you say, holy shit, 325 00:15:28,680 --> 00:15:31,160 Speaker 2: not only is this the best team on paper in 326 00:15:31,160 --> 00:15:33,560 Speaker 2: the entire country, the schedule lines up so nice. And 327 00:15:33,600 --> 00:15:36,160 Speaker 2: I will mention that Oregon game. I'll say this when 328 00:15:36,200 --> 00:15:38,800 Speaker 2: we get to Oregon, Penn State can do something that 329 00:15:38,880 --> 00:15:41,040 Speaker 2: Oregon will not be able to defend. And I'll just 330 00:15:41,080 --> 00:15:42,840 Speaker 2: save that for when we start talking about the Ducks. 331 00:15:42,920 --> 00:15:44,560 Speaker 2: That is a really bad spot for Oregon at the 332 00:15:44,600 --> 00:15:47,640 Speaker 2: beginning when you look at this most loaded roster in 333 00:15:47,720 --> 00:15:51,120 Speaker 2: James Franklin's history, not even close, with his returning quarterback, 334 00:15:51,600 --> 00:15:54,360 Speaker 2: running backs, offensive line beaming up the wide receiver room. 335 00:15:54,400 --> 00:15:56,120 Speaker 2: You mentioned Tyron Hudson, who's a freak. I think he 336 00:15:56,160 --> 00:15:58,080 Speaker 2: had to catch the year last year for USC, Trevor 337 00:15:58,080 --> 00:16:03,360 Speaker 2: Pinya coming in from Syracuse, Devonte Ross like two point 338 00:16:03,400 --> 00:16:06,280 Speaker 2: eight yards per route run for Troy. I mean, this 339 00:16:06,400 --> 00:16:10,480 Speaker 2: is sick. It's just an embarrassment of riches for the 340 00:16:10,640 --> 00:16:13,320 Speaker 2: professor that is Andy codal Nicky. Now the question is 341 00:16:13,360 --> 00:16:16,400 Speaker 2: on offense. Is James Franklin gonna go hands off because 342 00:16:16,400 --> 00:16:18,200 Speaker 2: he needs to? He needs to let codal Nicky call 343 00:16:18,240 --> 00:16:20,840 Speaker 2: the whole offense on the other side of the ball. Franklin, 344 00:16:20,880 --> 00:16:22,560 Speaker 2: are you really gonna get in the way of Jim Knowles. 345 00:16:22,880 --> 00:16:25,240 Speaker 2: I want krusty Jim Knowles with a cup of coffee 346 00:16:25,280 --> 00:16:28,160 Speaker 2: postgame interview doing the thing where he looks like he 347 00:16:28,200 --> 00:16:30,040 Speaker 2: has it shamed in a few days. Been a long 348 00:16:30,040 --> 00:16:33,120 Speaker 2: week of practice. Jim Knowles is the biggest acquisition that 349 00:16:33,160 --> 00:16:36,080 Speaker 2: Pennsate has had in years, and you're right, there is 350 00:16:36,120 --> 00:16:37,720 Speaker 2: a little bit of a talent drop off, But I 351 00:16:37,720 --> 00:16:40,640 Speaker 2: think that there's enough from a recruiting standpoint and maybe 352 00:16:40,640 --> 00:16:42,440 Speaker 2: from the portal standpoint that by the end of the 353 00:16:42,520 --> 00:16:45,400 Speaker 2: year we may not be saying that edge Danny Dennis 354 00:16:45,400 --> 00:16:48,440 Speaker 2: Sutton one man have it crew. Zane Durant had eight 355 00:16:48,440 --> 00:16:51,520 Speaker 2: tackles for loss as a defensive tackle. I mean, it's 356 00:16:51,520 --> 00:16:53,280 Speaker 2: hard to get to tackle for loss as a defensive tackle. 357 00:16:53,280 --> 00:16:55,640 Speaker 2: He had eight of them. If there's a weakness, that's 358 00:16:55,680 --> 00:16:59,080 Speaker 2: maybe Zion Tracy. He's a nickelback. That's a critical piece 359 00:16:59,120 --> 00:17:01,200 Speaker 2: of Jim Knowles's defense. It's everywhere Jym Knowles has been 360 00:17:01,200 --> 00:17:03,640 Speaker 2: It's always about the nickelback, the bullet position. Who is 361 00:17:03,680 --> 00:17:06,600 Speaker 2: going to play that? Zion Tracy and three hundred and 362 00:17:06,640 --> 00:17:09,119 Speaker 2: ninety snaps had a mistackle rate of thirty nine percent. 363 00:17:09,400 --> 00:17:11,520 Speaker 2: If there's a weakness, I think that's it because that 364 00:17:11,600 --> 00:17:13,879 Speaker 2: is such a critical piece to Jym Knowles's defense. This 365 00:17:13,960 --> 00:17:18,040 Speaker 2: is the easiest non conference in FBS. I mean, Nevada, FIU, Villanova. 366 00:17:18,560 --> 00:17:21,800 Speaker 2: I would take Penn State's coordinators over Ohio States coordinators. 367 00:17:21,840 --> 00:17:24,159 Speaker 2: I'll state that again for like the third time. I 368 00:17:24,200 --> 00:17:26,560 Speaker 2: can't see away where Penn State is not making the playoff. 369 00:17:26,760 --> 00:17:28,400 Speaker 2: But I think if there's a bet to make here 370 00:17:28,960 --> 00:17:31,520 Speaker 2: not saying they're going to win it, the national championship 371 00:17:31,560 --> 00:17:33,399 Speaker 2: is still laying out there around eight to one. Now 372 00:17:33,440 --> 00:17:35,840 Speaker 2: it's seven to one. Almost across nationally it's eight to one. 373 00:17:36,080 --> 00:17:37,920 Speaker 2: I don't know how this team doesn't get a bye 374 00:17:38,000 --> 00:17:40,840 Speaker 2: with this schedule, with this amount of returning talent. I 375 00:17:40,840 --> 00:17:42,760 Speaker 2: think their floor is ten and two. I think their 376 00:17:42,800 --> 00:17:45,440 Speaker 2: ceiling is undefeated. But what you do with that national 377 00:17:45,520 --> 00:17:48,120 Speaker 2: championship bed at eight to one is you don't touch 378 00:17:48,160 --> 00:17:50,080 Speaker 2: it till the semi finals, and even then maybe you 379 00:17:50,119 --> 00:17:53,320 Speaker 2: don't consider it. I don't see anybody power rated that 380 00:17:53,359 --> 00:17:55,200 Speaker 2: would get them more than a field goal favored against 381 00:17:55,200 --> 00:17:57,320 Speaker 2: this team if it plays out like it should, That's 382 00:17:57,359 --> 00:17:58,280 Speaker 2: how good this team is. 383 00:17:58,320 --> 00:18:01,160 Speaker 5: Depending on how Oregon goes, there's like it's a chance 384 00:18:01,520 --> 00:18:03,840 Speaker 5: that Penn State could be like minus ten at home 385 00:18:04,280 --> 00:18:06,840 Speaker 5: if Oregon is a mess. What's market rate? 386 00:18:06,840 --> 00:18:08,320 Speaker 2: I think market is five and a half, but I'll 387 00:18:08,320 --> 00:18:08,600 Speaker 2: look go. 388 00:18:08,600 --> 00:18:10,639 Speaker 5: Five and a half Ohio State. I have close to 389 00:18:10,640 --> 00:18:12,639 Speaker 5: a coin flip. All the other games they should be 390 00:18:12,680 --> 00:18:16,639 Speaker 5: double digit favorites, and with one thing with Franklin, they 391 00:18:16,680 --> 00:18:18,679 Speaker 5: got to give him credit for he doesn't lose the 392 00:18:18,720 --> 00:18:21,440 Speaker 5: games that he's supposed to win, and they should be 393 00:18:21,520 --> 00:18:24,040 Speaker 5: double the your favorites and the rest of their games. 394 00:18:24,560 --> 00:18:26,800 Speaker 1: Great idea on the front end. 395 00:18:27,320 --> 00:18:28,680 Speaker 2: We got a lot of work to do and we 396 00:18:28,760 --> 00:18:29,960 Speaker 2: got tremendous challenges. 397 00:18:30,600 --> 00:18:33,639 Speaker 5: Let's move on to Oregon went undefeated last year and 398 00:18:33,720 --> 00:18:37,399 Speaker 5: got bit by the old seating system. Landing should have 399 00:18:37,520 --> 00:18:38,880 Speaker 5: should have lost to Penn State. 400 00:18:39,240 --> 00:18:44,960 Speaker 1: Take ten chaptionship, buddy, the Oregon Ducks. Ducks fly together win. 401 00:18:44,800 --> 00:18:46,800 Speaker 5: Total ten and a half unders, taking a ton of money, 402 00:18:46,800 --> 00:18:50,199 Speaker 5: which I agree with minus one fifty eight. You can 403 00:18:50,240 --> 00:18:53,280 Speaker 5: also go under ten even money with circa a lot 404 00:18:53,280 --> 00:18:55,760 Speaker 5: of questions on this team. They don't return a ton. 405 00:18:56,440 --> 00:18:59,200 Speaker 5: You lose Gabriel to the NFL. You lose James You're 406 00:18:59,240 --> 00:19:02,680 Speaker 5: running back to the NFL. You lose Holding Johnson receivers 407 00:19:02,720 --> 00:19:05,000 Speaker 5: for the NFL. Stuart, who you were going to rely on, 408 00:19:05,160 --> 00:19:07,439 Speaker 5: is injured, probably out for the year. Your tight end 409 00:19:07,480 --> 00:19:09,320 Speaker 5: you lost to the NFL. Your offensive line, you lose 410 00:19:09,320 --> 00:19:10,960 Speaker 5: your right tackle to the NFL, your left tackle of 411 00:19:10,960 --> 00:19:13,280 Speaker 5: the NFL. Both of your guards, although they were pretty 412 00:19:13,320 --> 00:19:16,160 Speaker 5: underwhelming last year. Your center is back in his solid 413 00:19:16,400 --> 00:19:18,800 Speaker 5: You're gonna rely on a Nevada transfer who has all 414 00:19:18,800 --> 00:19:20,240 Speaker 5: the tools. He could be a first round drift pick. 415 00:19:20,400 --> 00:19:23,119 Speaker 5: Had left tackle, left guard USC transfer who I'm not 416 00:19:23,240 --> 00:19:25,240 Speaker 5: overly wild with right guard. There's gonna be a battle 417 00:19:25,560 --> 00:19:29,240 Speaker 5: between Bedford who was injured last year, and Uley right 418 00:19:29,280 --> 00:19:32,760 Speaker 5: tackle Texas State transfer, or maybe Wilson wins the job. 419 00:19:32,800 --> 00:19:36,240 Speaker 5: But defensive line you lose Armin Birch and called well 420 00:19:36,320 --> 00:19:39,640 Speaker 5: of the NFL. The depth is young and unproven, basket 421 00:19:39,640 --> 00:19:42,560 Speaker 5: of the NFL and Jacobs you do have one your 422 00:19:42,600 --> 00:19:46,840 Speaker 5: stud back and Boacher and you had Bear Alexander from UFC. 423 00:19:47,200 --> 00:19:50,080 Speaker 5: Like he's just the definition of like he sounds way 424 00:19:50,080 --> 00:19:51,720 Speaker 5: better than it's going to end up working well. 425 00:19:51,840 --> 00:19:53,920 Speaker 2: Is he motivated? I can't put that in a spreadsheet. 426 00:19:53,960 --> 00:19:55,240 Speaker 2: Is Bear Alexander motivated? 427 00:19:55,400 --> 00:19:57,800 Speaker 5: Yeah? Look, they're recruiting really well. I mean the top 428 00:19:57,840 --> 00:19:59,800 Speaker 5: five recruiting in portal because there's just a lot of 429 00:20:00,200 --> 00:20:04,200 Speaker 5: moving pieces here for an offense that lost a quarterback 430 00:20:04,280 --> 00:20:06,320 Speaker 5: with a ton of experience, a thousand yard back. Your 431 00:20:06,359 --> 00:20:09,320 Speaker 5: top four receivers, four starting offensive lineman, two to the NFL. 432 00:20:10,280 --> 00:20:12,719 Speaker 5: Basically your entire offense is new except your center. We'll 433 00:20:12,760 --> 00:20:15,000 Speaker 5: see how it all works out. But there's fifteen ultimately 434 00:20:15,119 --> 00:20:17,280 Speaker 5: from last year's team that are in the NFL. The 435 00:20:17,320 --> 00:20:19,920 Speaker 5: biggest question is that quarterback, and I think that's where 436 00:20:19,960 --> 00:20:22,480 Speaker 5: we're going to see the biggest drop off because you 437 00:20:22,600 --> 00:20:25,560 Speaker 5: go from Bo Nicks and Dylan Gaber both in the NFL, 438 00:20:25,600 --> 00:20:28,960 Speaker 5: but they were both what fift years seniors to now 439 00:20:29,359 --> 00:20:31,800 Speaker 5: a brand new starter. You have Dante Moore. How many 440 00:20:31,840 --> 00:20:33,840 Speaker 5: pick six this is gonna throw? If you bet on Oregon, 441 00:20:33,880 --> 00:20:36,639 Speaker 5: I don't know. I'm not a Dante more guy. Never happen. 442 00:20:37,080 --> 00:20:38,480 Speaker 5: I think he's going to win the job to start, 443 00:20:38,480 --> 00:20:41,320 Speaker 5: but he could lose the job. From a scheduling perspective, 444 00:20:41,400 --> 00:20:44,480 Speaker 5: you avoid Ohio State in Michigan your hardest game other 445 00:20:44,520 --> 00:20:46,440 Speaker 5: than at Penn State, which I think is a loss 446 00:20:46,440 --> 00:20:48,520 Speaker 5: in a tough spot, But there are other hardest games. 447 00:20:48,600 --> 00:20:50,840 Speaker 5: It's like at Iowa you are coming off of a 448 00:20:50,880 --> 00:20:53,919 Speaker 5: buy there at least USC at home, you know, travel 449 00:20:53,920 --> 00:20:56,439 Speaker 5: across the country for Rutgers at Washington at the end 450 00:20:56,440 --> 00:20:58,440 Speaker 5: of the year. So there's some tricky scheduling spots for 451 00:20:58,600 --> 00:21:00,399 Speaker 5: the six teams. You play in the middle of the 452 00:21:00,440 --> 00:21:02,639 Speaker 5: year coming off of buys. I don't know. There's a 453 00:21:02,680 --> 00:21:04,399 Speaker 5: lot of questions here. I think they're going to have 454 00:21:04,400 --> 00:21:06,760 Speaker 5: to rely more on a running game. What are you 455 00:21:06,800 --> 00:21:07,639 Speaker 5: seeing with the Ducks? 456 00:21:08,200 --> 00:21:10,399 Speaker 2: Make the win total nine point six? 457 00:21:12,720 --> 00:21:14,240 Speaker 5: So yeah, you're under. 458 00:21:14,600 --> 00:21:16,399 Speaker 2: So yeah, it's under. But I think there's I mean, 459 00:21:16,400 --> 00:21:17,879 Speaker 2: I definitely think there's things that we need to discuss 460 00:21:17,920 --> 00:21:19,639 Speaker 2: because I think there's spots on the schedule you might 461 00:21:19,680 --> 00:21:21,119 Speaker 2: want to avoid. There might be some game of the 462 00:21:21,160 --> 00:21:22,880 Speaker 2: years you want to get in on. Now, if you're 463 00:21:22,960 --> 00:21:26,000 Speaker 2: new to the BBUC podcast, two years ago, Dante Moore 464 00:21:26,080 --> 00:21:28,160 Speaker 2: hit the scene in UCLA. I freaked out. I thought 465 00:21:28,200 --> 00:21:29,800 Speaker 2: he was the greatest thing ever. And then this kid 466 00:21:29,840 --> 00:21:32,160 Speaker 2: went on to throw some of the most embarrassing interceptions 467 00:21:32,200 --> 00:21:35,320 Speaker 2: I've never seen my entire life. Here we are full circle. 468 00:21:35,640 --> 00:21:37,600 Speaker 2: He's been in the system for a year now, he'll 469 00:21:37,640 --> 00:21:39,320 Speaker 2: be you know, if he needs to limit his turnover 470 00:21:39,359 --> 00:21:41,640 Speaker 2: worthy plays. I mean fourteen to twelve big time throw 471 00:21:41,680 --> 00:21:44,400 Speaker 2: to turnover worthy play rate. When you see Dante Moore 472 00:21:44,440 --> 00:21:47,240 Speaker 2: threat it, it's beautiful. And then sometimes he'll just get 473 00:21:47,280 --> 00:21:49,359 Speaker 2: back and throw it directly to a defender. And I'm 474 00:21:49,400 --> 00:21:52,000 Speaker 2: not sure what he's looking at. There's mind boggling interceptions. 475 00:21:52,440 --> 00:21:55,840 Speaker 2: The nature of the organ Ducks' offense is to limit 476 00:21:55,880 --> 00:21:58,440 Speaker 2: the mistakes by the quarterback, which is why Dylan Gabriel 477 00:21:58,480 --> 00:22:00,800 Speaker 2: and Bo Nicks had an average depth of target of 478 00:22:00,880 --> 00:22:03,200 Speaker 2: like six yards. And I think that might be the 479 00:22:03,240 --> 00:22:06,159 Speaker 2: saving grace for Dante Moore. I mean, I went and 480 00:22:06,160 --> 00:22:08,000 Speaker 2: watched this kid's track video. If you don't know the 481 00:22:08,080 --> 00:22:10,639 Speaker 2: name Decoryan Moore, you're gonna know it real soon. The 482 00:22:10,720 --> 00:22:13,240 Speaker 2: word on the street about this Decorian more kid, this 483 00:22:13,480 --> 00:22:15,959 Speaker 2: number one. I don't know why he's not in the 484 00:22:16,000 --> 00:22:17,760 Speaker 2: twenty twenty eight Olympics for long jump. 485 00:22:17,840 --> 00:22:19,800 Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean we're kind of talking low in Oregon, 486 00:22:19,840 --> 00:22:21,800 Speaker 5: but like they are. They were recruiting in Portland and Isolea. 487 00:22:21,840 --> 00:22:22,520 Speaker 5: They have dudes. 488 00:22:22,920 --> 00:22:26,959 Speaker 2: His recruiting profile says sudden explosion from a dead stop. 489 00:22:27,080 --> 00:22:29,720 Speaker 2: I'm excited to see this kid go. And when you 490 00:22:29,760 --> 00:22:31,640 Speaker 2: go on the defensive side of the ball, we're talking 491 00:22:31,640 --> 00:22:34,320 Speaker 2: about young Leiy, the young Concrete. He'll be at edge. 492 00:22:34,480 --> 00:22:36,120 Speaker 2: He's going to be an edge in the NFL. Nine 493 00:22:36,119 --> 00:22:37,520 Speaker 2: and a half sacks are going to return to this 494 00:22:37,600 --> 00:22:40,879 Speaker 2: defense and then edge two eod brings back five and 495 00:22:40,880 --> 00:22:42,520 Speaker 2: a half sacks on the other side. So it's the 496 00:22:42,560 --> 00:22:45,960 Speaker 2: same Oregon defense that we've come to expect all these years, 497 00:22:45,960 --> 00:22:49,440 Speaker 2: which is heavy pressure off the edge during passing downs. 498 00:22:49,760 --> 00:22:51,840 Speaker 2: But my question is the same thing with Oregon every year. 499 00:22:52,440 --> 00:22:56,040 Speaker 2: Where is the run defenders? The rush defense over the 500 00:22:56,040 --> 00:22:58,080 Speaker 2: middle is a huge question. I don't believe in Bear 501 00:22:58,119 --> 00:23:01,159 Speaker 2: Alexander's this third team in four years defensive tackle of 502 00:23:01,200 --> 00:23:04,320 Speaker 2: Mauri Washington twenty two games career, he's had twelve tackles. 503 00:23:05,080 --> 00:23:07,240 Speaker 2: Is that you are soft in the middle against the 504 00:23:07,320 --> 00:23:09,679 Speaker 2: run game, against teams that run zone read go and 505 00:23:09,680 --> 00:23:11,440 Speaker 2: look at the schedule. Who are the teams that run 506 00:23:11,480 --> 00:23:15,600 Speaker 2: power zone read Penn State, Minnesota, USC is gonna run it, 507 00:23:15,640 --> 00:23:19,199 Speaker 2: and Demon Williams at Washington and Coleman. There are so 508 00:23:19,320 --> 00:23:21,280 Speaker 2: many teams that are gonna be able to run inside 509 00:23:21,359 --> 00:23:25,159 Speaker 2: zone against this inside interior Oregon defense. I think the 510 00:23:25,200 --> 00:23:26,680 Speaker 2: one thing about Penn State that game that you and 511 00:23:26,720 --> 00:23:28,679 Speaker 2: I are talking about, Penn State's not gonna show anything. 512 00:23:29,240 --> 00:23:33,960 Speaker 2: And Jim Knowles went against will Stein twice last year. 513 00:23:34,240 --> 00:23:36,439 Speaker 2: If anybody's gonna be well prepared to take on Oregon 514 00:23:36,480 --> 00:23:38,440 Speaker 2: not only with a bye wee, but also seeing this 515 00:23:38,560 --> 00:23:41,320 Speaker 2: offense last year twice, I think it's gonna be Penn 516 00:23:41,359 --> 00:23:43,679 Speaker 2: State in the defense. So I'm under on Oregon all 517 00:23:43,680 --> 00:23:45,440 Speaker 2: the way. Under ten and a half minus one forty 518 00:23:45,520 --> 00:23:47,640 Speaker 2: was the best that I could find out there under 519 00:23:47,640 --> 00:23:50,680 Speaker 2: for me. Also in Oregon, let's talk a little Michigan Wolverines. 520 00:23:51,400 --> 00:23:53,920 Speaker 1: The Michigan Wolverines. 521 00:23:53,520 --> 00:23:55,359 Speaker 5: Another nine to one to win the conference is the 522 00:23:55,359 --> 00:23:57,920 Speaker 5: best you can find out there around plus two hundred 523 00:23:57,960 --> 00:24:01,280 Speaker 5: to make the college football Playoff. In total, what we 524 00:24:01,280 --> 00:24:03,200 Speaker 5: got out there under nine and a half minus one 525 00:24:03,359 --> 00:24:06,400 Speaker 5: seventy implied win total depending on where you look as 526 00:24:06,400 --> 00:24:08,200 Speaker 5: of right now is like eight eight eight nine. I 527 00:24:08,240 --> 00:24:09,919 Speaker 5: mean I project them at eight and a half. Now, 528 00:24:09,960 --> 00:24:12,040 Speaker 5: there's some upside here with Bryce Underwood, who I think 529 00:24:12,160 --> 00:24:14,520 Speaker 5: is gonna win the job. Mikey Keane is also in 530 00:24:14,520 --> 00:24:18,040 Speaker 5: the mix. He's dealt with some injuries. But Underwood is 531 00:24:18,080 --> 00:24:20,680 Speaker 5: obviously the highly prized recruit with a ton of potential. 532 00:24:20,680 --> 00:24:22,879 Speaker 5: He's got all the tools. It's just a matter of 533 00:24:22,960 --> 00:24:24,440 Speaker 5: how long is it going to take them to adjust 534 00:24:24,560 --> 00:24:26,880 Speaker 5: the college game. Now, all a lot of these teams 535 00:24:26,920 --> 00:24:28,679 Speaker 5: were mentioned. We just mentioned Oregon, Ohio State. We have 536 00:24:28,720 --> 00:24:32,960 Speaker 5: quarterback questions they're replacing pros. Michigan is not I mean Michigan. 537 00:24:33,200 --> 00:24:36,680 Speaker 5: This team, Bryce Underwood, he did these bad is probably 538 00:24:36,720 --> 00:24:38,080 Speaker 5: gonna better than what they had last year, at the 539 00:24:38,119 --> 00:24:39,920 Speaker 5: bare minimuman last year they only average one hundred and 540 00:24:40,000 --> 00:24:41,400 Speaker 5: twenty nine passing yards per game. 541 00:24:41,720 --> 00:24:43,440 Speaker 4: Okay, it's I'm out an orgy guy. 542 00:24:43,960 --> 00:24:46,119 Speaker 5: They had no forty plus yard completions. They had more 543 00:24:46,160 --> 00:24:50,240 Speaker 5: interceptions and touchdown dead lasts and explosive passing. So there's 544 00:24:50,320 --> 00:24:53,919 Speaker 5: a lot higher ceiling at quarterback obviously. But as far 545 00:24:53,920 --> 00:24:56,199 Speaker 5: as talking Michigan playoff Big ten, it's going to come 546 00:24:56,240 --> 00:25:01,520 Speaker 5: down to Ken Underwood. His potential. Now the pieces around him? 547 00:25:01,680 --> 00:25:04,600 Speaker 5: Are they there? They lose Mullings and Edwards to the NFL, 548 00:25:04,640 --> 00:25:06,920 Speaker 5: But it's martiall time. You had Haynes from Alabama. The 549 00:25:06,960 --> 00:25:09,280 Speaker 5: running backs are gonna be good. Tight end. You lose Loveland, 550 00:25:09,280 --> 00:25:13,359 Speaker 5: that's huge, Like do they have the weapons? I don't 551 00:25:13,359 --> 00:25:16,240 Speaker 5: really see it. They didn't really upgrade much unless some 552 00:25:16,280 --> 00:25:18,879 Speaker 5: of the young kids are gonna start contributing, and the 553 00:25:18,920 --> 00:25:23,680 Speaker 5: loss of Loveland is massive. Offensive line, you lost two 554 00:25:23,720 --> 00:25:27,240 Speaker 5: to the NFL. Link is gonna be the left tackle, 555 00:25:27,400 --> 00:25:30,080 Speaker 5: not a fan at right guard. There's like a cal 556 00:25:30,160 --> 00:25:33,240 Speaker 5: poly and fair estate transfers in the mix. I don't 557 00:25:33,240 --> 00:25:35,399 Speaker 5: necessarily see it what with the offensive line either, So 558 00:25:36,000 --> 00:25:39,680 Speaker 5: a lot of questions on this offense. The defense is 559 00:25:39,760 --> 00:25:42,240 Speaker 5: gonna be good. We do know that although they lose 560 00:25:42,320 --> 00:25:44,160 Speaker 5: three on the defensive line of the NFL and Grant, 561 00:25:44,200 --> 00:25:47,560 Speaker 5: Stuart and Graham, I don't think you just replace Grant 562 00:25:47,920 --> 00:25:51,119 Speaker 5: and Graham who were just so dominant. I mean they 563 00:25:51,200 --> 00:25:52,879 Speaker 5: got a ton of bodies. I mean they got eleven 564 00:25:52,920 --> 00:25:56,280 Speaker 5: listed at three hundred plus. They'll rotate a lot Benny like. 565 00:25:56,359 --> 00:25:58,399 Speaker 5: So the interior, I do have some questions, but the 566 00:25:58,480 --> 00:26:00,320 Speaker 5: body there's a ton of bodies at edge up more 567 00:26:00,359 --> 00:26:03,480 Speaker 5: and guy their studs. There's some good depth also behind them. 568 00:26:03,600 --> 00:26:07,320 Speaker 5: Linebacker really strong with Housman and Barham. Their special team 569 00:26:07,320 --> 00:26:10,280 Speaker 5: should be elite because they have a really reliable kicker. 570 00:26:10,480 --> 00:26:13,240 Speaker 5: New offensive coordinator Chip lindsay he wants to get the 571 00:26:13,280 --> 00:26:15,240 Speaker 5: more explosive. It's gonna be like a power spread. You'd 572 00:26:15,240 --> 00:26:18,680 Speaker 5: probably going to see more eleven personnel this year. From 573 00:26:18,680 --> 00:26:21,840 Speaker 5: a scheduling perspective, they avoid Penn State in Oregon and 574 00:26:21,880 --> 00:26:23,639 Speaker 5: they host Ohio State at the end of the year. 575 00:26:23,720 --> 00:26:27,320 Speaker 5: They have the easiest big ten schedule, some numbers, but 576 00:26:27,400 --> 00:26:30,159 Speaker 5: there's some tricky road games here. If you got Oklahoma 577 00:26:30,880 --> 00:26:35,240 Speaker 5: Nebraska USC Michigan State rivalry game, that's not going to 578 00:26:35,280 --> 00:26:38,360 Speaker 5: be easy. And then we'll see if Maryland is quit 579 00:26:38,440 --> 00:26:41,520 Speaker 5: or what Maryland has in the tank. But that's you know, 580 00:26:41,680 --> 00:26:46,320 Speaker 5: game eleven, second straight road game before Ohio State. Tricky 581 00:26:46,359 --> 00:26:52,840 Speaker 5: spot potentially, but pretty easy schedule all things considered. I 582 00:26:52,840 --> 00:26:55,000 Speaker 5: think like outside the top fifty and strength of schedule, 583 00:26:55,720 --> 00:26:58,439 Speaker 5: so won the lottery here. A lot of it's going 584 00:26:58,480 --> 00:26:59,880 Speaker 5: to come down to what Underwood can do. But I'm 585 00:26:59,880 --> 00:27:02,240 Speaker 5: not sure he just has like it's not an ideal 586 00:27:02,280 --> 00:27:05,040 Speaker 5: situation for a very young quarterback. He's gonna be good. 587 00:27:05,040 --> 00:27:06,480 Speaker 5: Special teams is going to be good, but I have 588 00:27:06,480 --> 00:27:09,800 Speaker 5: a lot of questions about the offensive line, the weapons 589 00:27:09,800 --> 00:27:13,400 Speaker 5: on the outside, and then obviously how fast a Hunderwood 590 00:27:13,400 --> 00:27:14,960 Speaker 5: can get up the speed. What are you seeing on Michigan. 591 00:27:15,640 --> 00:27:18,800 Speaker 2: I see a beautiful schedule, a beautiful schedule of the 592 00:27:18,800 --> 00:27:21,560 Speaker 2: easiest thing you could pull in the Big ten. I think, 593 00:27:21,640 --> 00:27:25,000 Speaker 2: you know, Chip Lindsay comes in the title is offensive coordinator, 594 00:27:25,040 --> 00:27:27,680 Speaker 2: but you know, really he's a quarterback coach. I still 595 00:27:27,720 --> 00:27:29,680 Speaker 2: think they're going to run the Harbaugh as much as 596 00:27:29,680 --> 00:27:32,680 Speaker 2: they can. With Justice Hayes, who's transferred in from Alabama. 597 00:27:33,240 --> 00:27:35,719 Speaker 2: Highly touted Jordan Marshall comes in, They're going to lead 598 00:27:35,720 --> 00:27:37,440 Speaker 2: the backfield with Bryce Underwood. I think they're going to 599 00:27:37,480 --> 00:27:40,159 Speaker 2: have some sort of offensive identity on the ground. I 600 00:27:40,160 --> 00:27:41,879 Speaker 2: think Chip Lindsay's really there to kind of be a 601 00:27:41,880 --> 00:27:45,119 Speaker 2: caretaker for Bryce Underwood and get him to be find 602 00:27:45,160 --> 00:27:47,399 Speaker 2: his next level in his freshman year. I mean, cutting 603 00:27:47,400 --> 00:27:49,919 Speaker 2: down on turnover worthy plays for freshmen is a task 604 00:27:50,040 --> 00:27:52,439 Speaker 2: in college football. So we'll see what he can do 605 00:27:52,480 --> 00:27:54,080 Speaker 2: when he comes under pressure, because I think he will 606 00:27:54,119 --> 00:27:56,920 Speaker 2: be under pressure. You mentioned that offensive line so many questions. 607 00:27:57,400 --> 00:27:59,560 Speaker 2: They have, the bodies, they're all at least six or four, 608 00:27:59,880 --> 00:28:02,919 Speaker 2: all about three ten or more. The defense, I'm not 609 00:28:02,920 --> 00:28:04,520 Speaker 2: as worried about them as you are. I mean they 610 00:28:04,520 --> 00:28:06,919 Speaker 2: return their top two tacklers, linebacker Ernest Houseman. 611 00:28:07,200 --> 00:28:09,000 Speaker 5: I do think that there is some drop off in 612 00:28:09,040 --> 00:28:09,680 Speaker 5: the interior. 613 00:28:10,000 --> 00:28:11,760 Speaker 2: I would agree on that. I mean, the edges are 614 00:28:11,760 --> 00:28:14,400 Speaker 2: still gonna be havoc minded, you know, and the courters 615 00:28:14,720 --> 00:28:16,320 Speaker 2: be really good. And I don't even care if they 616 00:28:16,320 --> 00:28:18,040 Speaker 2: take a loss against Oklahoma. I think the way that 617 00:28:18,080 --> 00:28:20,280 Speaker 2: you handicap them is is what I said earlier. I mean, 618 00:28:20,280 --> 00:28:21,960 Speaker 2: it's the easiest Big Ten schedule in the conference. So 619 00:28:22,040 --> 00:28:24,320 Speaker 2: let's focus on that. Let's throw that Oklahoma game out. 620 00:28:24,359 --> 00:28:27,080 Speaker 2: I don't save Oklahoma for the SEC POD, but so 621 00:28:27,280 --> 00:28:30,320 Speaker 2: I focus on the Big Ten schedule. Five Big Ten 622 00:28:30,440 --> 00:28:34,520 Speaker 2: road trips includes Nebraska, USC, Michigan, State, Northwestern, and Maryland. 623 00:28:34,600 --> 00:28:36,920 Speaker 2: I mean we're talking about four games in a row 624 00:28:36,960 --> 00:28:39,400 Speaker 2: from a stretch of October twenty fifth November twenty second, 625 00:28:39,400 --> 00:28:42,480 Speaker 2: where Michigan should be a twenty point favorite. That's impressive. 626 00:28:42,920 --> 00:28:46,600 Speaker 2: I don't see two losses on this conference schedule. Seven 627 00:28:46,680 --> 00:28:47,920 Speaker 2: to two is the floor. I think eight and one 628 00:28:48,000 --> 00:28:51,760 Speaker 2: is completely the potential here for Michigan in this conference schedule. 629 00:28:51,960 --> 00:28:53,560 Speaker 2: I think their identity is going to get better week 630 00:28:53,600 --> 00:28:54,960 Speaker 2: by week by week, and I think Oklahoma is going 631 00:28:55,000 --> 00:28:56,920 Speaker 2: to teach them a lot of lessons. That number I 632 00:28:56,960 --> 00:28:59,040 Speaker 2: spoke about four to one to make the Big Ten 633 00:28:59,120 --> 00:29:01,680 Speaker 2: championship game is now down to plus three eighty. I 634 00:29:01,800 --> 00:29:04,600 Speaker 2: like Michigan plus three eighty to make the game. To 635 00:29:04,680 --> 00:29:08,120 Speaker 2: say and make it. The schedule is conducive and perfect 636 00:29:08,120 --> 00:29:08,440 Speaker 2: for it. 637 00:29:08,760 --> 00:29:10,800 Speaker 5: I can't get there. I think this is like I 638 00:29:10,800 --> 00:29:13,000 Speaker 5: think they're gonna end up being eight and four team. 639 00:29:13,160 --> 00:29:15,360 Speaker 5: I think they're a year away. By the way, click 640 00:29:15,400 --> 00:29:18,120 Speaker 5: heads up to anybody playing fantasy football this season. The 641 00:29:18,280 --> 00:29:21,200 Speaker 5: ultimate twenty twenty five draft kid is here courtesy of 642 00:29:21,240 --> 00:29:24,000 Speaker 5: our Fantasy Labs team that means our God. Sean Kerner 643 00:29:24,000 --> 00:29:26,880 Speaker 5: and Chris Raybound have their rankings, tiers and cheat sheets 644 00:29:26,920 --> 00:29:30,280 Speaker 5: ready for you. 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Sure those guys will be 651 00:29:50,920 --> 00:29:56,640 Speaker 5: ranked top five of all projectors once again this year, 652 00:29:56,640 --> 00:29:59,480 Speaker 5: so make sure you check them out at Fantasy Labs. 653 00:30:00,200 --> 00:30:01,480 Speaker 5: Let's move out to Illinois. 654 00:30:01,840 --> 00:30:04,640 Speaker 1: The fighting a LINEI of Illinois. 655 00:30:05,080 --> 00:30:08,560 Speaker 5: Illinois is your boy, Burt forty to one. I think 656 00:30:08,600 --> 00:30:10,920 Speaker 5: you can find out there to win the conference six 657 00:30:11,000 --> 00:30:13,560 Speaker 5: to one. To make the playoff win total, you can 658 00:30:13,600 --> 00:30:15,840 Speaker 5: find under eight and a half like minus one ninety 659 00:30:15,880 --> 00:30:18,880 Speaker 5: or under seven and a half plus one forty man. 660 00:30:18,920 --> 00:30:21,600 Speaker 5: I was all ready to go under, but the under 661 00:30:21,640 --> 00:30:24,560 Speaker 5: has been taking money. They're implied win totals, like depending 662 00:30:24,560 --> 00:30:26,600 Speaker 5: on where you look, sitting around eight. I projected them 663 00:30:26,600 --> 00:30:30,040 Speaker 5: like seven to seven. But I'm out on this team. 664 00:30:30,040 --> 00:30:31,520 Speaker 5: A lot of people have them as a sleeper. I 665 00:30:31,560 --> 00:30:33,720 Speaker 5: get it. They're one of the five most experienced teams 666 00:30:33,720 --> 00:30:37,760 Speaker 5: in the country. Seventeen returning starters, like top ten returning 667 00:30:37,760 --> 00:30:41,360 Speaker 5: production on offense and defense. There's a lot to like 668 00:30:41,520 --> 00:30:43,520 Speaker 5: just on the surface that you have your quarterback back, 669 00:30:43,560 --> 00:30:46,840 Speaker 5: so you have that quarterback certainty. Altmire twenty one touchdowns, 670 00:30:46,840 --> 00:30:50,880 Speaker 5: five interceptions last year, although nineteen big time throws fourteen 671 00:30:50,960 --> 00:30:54,040 Speaker 5: turner Worthy plays. The depth is questionable. Vutmyer goes down. 672 00:30:54,080 --> 00:30:56,800 Speaker 5: Although I'm not the biggest Altmeyer guy, but Haampton from 673 00:30:56,920 --> 00:31:00,640 Speaker 5: Northern Illinois to backup running back. You lose McCrae to Georgia, 674 00:31:00,680 --> 00:31:03,480 Speaker 5: but you still have a lot of guys there. Law 675 00:31:03,520 --> 00:31:06,880 Speaker 5: Fory Vague or back Valentine wide receivers. What I'm really 676 00:31:06,880 --> 00:31:08,920 Speaker 5: worried about because you lost Bryant, who had three game 677 00:31:08,960 --> 00:31:11,160 Speaker 5: winners last year. He went to the NFL. You lost Franklin, 678 00:31:11,160 --> 00:31:14,200 Speaker 5: who's now in an NFL roster. You had Clement West Virginia. 679 00:31:14,240 --> 00:31:17,560 Speaker 5: He's solid, but definitely a drop off from Bryant and Franklin. 680 00:31:17,840 --> 00:31:19,400 Speaker 5: You know your tight ends are back. You got all 681 00:31:19,440 --> 00:31:21,880 Speaker 5: five on the offensive line back. I think they're a 682 00:31:21,880 --> 00:31:24,240 Speaker 5: bit overrated. Maybe this is like an Oklahoma State situation. 683 00:31:24,280 --> 00:31:27,600 Speaker 5: Oh look, everyone's back. But I will say Bielo Mianau's 684 00:31:27,600 --> 00:31:29,720 Speaker 5: offensive line and they got all five back. Davis is 685 00:31:29,800 --> 00:31:33,760 Speaker 5: kind of the bellcout left tackle. Defensively, there's going to 686 00:31:33,840 --> 00:31:36,120 Speaker 5: be I mean, you lose Briggs, you lose Edwards to 687 00:31:36,160 --> 00:31:38,560 Speaker 5: the NFL, Coleman to the NFL. A lot of people 688 00:31:38,560 --> 00:31:40,240 Speaker 5: are talking about the You know they brought in de 689 00:31:40,320 --> 00:31:44,000 Speaker 5: Rogier from Florida State, two Wisconsin starters, Thompson and Neil. 690 00:31:44,640 --> 00:31:47,480 Speaker 5: I'm not de Rosier guy. I think Neil stinks. Thompson 691 00:31:47,480 --> 00:31:49,560 Speaker 5: I think is pretty good if he's healthy. So the 692 00:31:49,640 --> 00:31:51,840 Speaker 5: defensive line leaves a lot to be desired for me. 693 00:31:52,480 --> 00:31:55,680 Speaker 5: Defensive backfield, I think that's the strength of the team. 694 00:31:56,040 --> 00:31:58,240 Speaker 5: There's a lot to like about this team. Where you 695 00:31:58,240 --> 00:32:00,640 Speaker 5: look where they lost because they just returned so much. 696 00:32:00,880 --> 00:32:03,800 Speaker 5: They lost receivers, nose tackle, d end of the NFL. 697 00:32:04,080 --> 00:32:05,800 Speaker 5: But why am I selling this team? Then it sounds 698 00:32:05,800 --> 00:32:07,959 Speaker 5: like everything you should like. I mean, first of all, 699 00:32:08,000 --> 00:32:10,240 Speaker 5: they went five to one to one possession games. They 700 00:32:10,240 --> 00:32:12,840 Speaker 5: were trailing in the fourth in five of their nine 701 00:32:12,920 --> 00:32:15,360 Speaker 5: FPS wins they got I mean, go back to the 702 00:32:15,440 --> 00:32:18,640 Speaker 5: Rutgers game, you got a hail Mary walk off. It 703 00:32:18,720 --> 00:32:20,920 Speaker 5: is I mean, everything just went right, by the way, 704 00:32:21,000 --> 00:32:23,880 Speaker 5: so did injuries. Everything went right on the injury front. 705 00:32:23,880 --> 00:32:26,040 Speaker 5: I mean, besides running back, that's where they have depth. 706 00:32:26,240 --> 00:32:28,760 Speaker 5: We had no injuries outside of running back. Roll offensive 707 00:32:28,760 --> 00:32:32,000 Speaker 5: line started Altmeyers started like it, so I wouldn't be 708 00:32:32,040 --> 00:32:33,480 Speaker 5: surprised that they have to do a little bit more 709 00:32:33,640 --> 00:32:37,200 Speaker 5: injuries this year on the offensive side of the ball. Look, 710 00:32:37,200 --> 00:32:39,120 Speaker 5: the eight teams they beat last year had a forty 711 00:32:39,120 --> 00:32:42,080 Speaker 5: two and sixty six record. This is a team that 712 00:32:42,120 --> 00:32:44,920 Speaker 5: hasn't won eight plus games and back to back season 713 00:32:45,000 --> 00:32:48,640 Speaker 5: since nineteen ninety. Seven games in a row to start 714 00:32:48,640 --> 00:32:51,440 Speaker 5: the season, that's not easy. Before you have a bye, 715 00:32:51,640 --> 00:32:54,800 Speaker 5: Ohio State being the seventh at home. They do avoid 716 00:32:54,840 --> 00:32:58,080 Speaker 5: Penn State, Michigan, Oregon, and host Ohio State. That's another 717 00:32:58,120 --> 00:33:00,120 Speaker 5: thing they like. They only play one team off, but 718 00:33:00,200 --> 00:33:02,959 Speaker 5: buy and Purdue. You have five big ten home games, 719 00:33:03,200 --> 00:33:06,560 Speaker 5: you face ten new quarterbacks. It's a lot of uncertainty there. 720 00:33:06,600 --> 00:33:09,440 Speaker 5: That's the second most in the country. I lean under 721 00:33:09,720 --> 00:33:11,600 Speaker 5: it's gotten a little bit too expensive, so I probably 722 00:33:11,640 --> 00:33:14,040 Speaker 5: won't get there. But I don't see the upside with 723 00:33:14,080 --> 00:33:15,960 Speaker 5: this team, even though they do bring a ton back. 724 00:33:16,520 --> 00:33:18,120 Speaker 5: But I get why some people like them. What do 725 00:33:18,160 --> 00:33:19,160 Speaker 5: you see with your boy Bert? 726 00:33:19,880 --> 00:33:22,240 Speaker 2: My boy Bert. I just could not believe the number 727 00:33:22,320 --> 00:33:23,840 Speaker 2: was as high as it was when it came out. 728 00:33:24,280 --> 00:33:26,719 Speaker 2: It really didn't leave any room. You know, people were 729 00:33:26,760 --> 00:33:28,760 Speaker 2: in love with them. I would say people that aren't 730 00:33:28,760 --> 00:33:31,520 Speaker 2: in the gambling industry loved Illinois, and I'm like, well, 731 00:33:31,720 --> 00:33:34,560 Speaker 2: they're properly priced, like oddsmakers, did not leave any room 732 00:33:34,600 --> 00:33:37,280 Speaker 2: to go and grab them. They were tenth and offensive 733 00:33:37,280 --> 00:33:39,000 Speaker 2: stuff right, which means they could move the pile. But 734 00:33:39,080 --> 00:33:41,239 Speaker 2: they were one hundred and third and havoc allowed. And 735 00:33:41,280 --> 00:33:44,000 Speaker 2: that is a really bad aspect that Luke Goltmeyer struggled with. 736 00:33:44,000 --> 00:33:45,640 Speaker 2: I don't think people realize that you can go into 737 00:33:45,640 --> 00:33:50,600 Speaker 2: his numbers when he faced elite secondaries that had edges 738 00:33:50,600 --> 00:33:52,880 Speaker 2: that can create pressure. And I'm talking specifically in games 739 00:33:52,880 --> 00:33:55,040 Speaker 2: against Oregon and Penn State last year he had one 740 00:33:55,040 --> 00:33:56,840 Speaker 2: big time throw and six turnover worthy played. 741 00:33:56,840 --> 00:33:58,480 Speaker 5: He got away with some throwers last year that should 742 00:33:58,480 --> 00:33:59,600 Speaker 5: have ended in turnovers. 743 00:33:59,640 --> 00:34:02,520 Speaker 2: And you're losing Bryant. You're losing your outside receivers because 744 00:34:02,520 --> 00:34:04,440 Speaker 2: what do we have coming back? We have Hank Baty 745 00:34:04,480 --> 00:34:06,920 Speaker 2: two point one yards per out run. You have Colin Dixon. 746 00:34:06,960 --> 00:34:09,359 Speaker 2: But both of those guys are slot guys. Is there 747 00:34:09,400 --> 00:34:11,560 Speaker 2: a deep shot offense that's going to be ready to 748 00:34:11,600 --> 00:34:14,080 Speaker 2: go here? Right? What we're thinking? They were eighteenth and 749 00:34:14,160 --> 00:34:17,040 Speaker 2: passing EPA last year, So I'm a little bit questionable 750 00:34:17,080 --> 00:34:19,680 Speaker 2: about where that comes from. When your two returning receivers 751 00:34:19,680 --> 00:34:21,080 Speaker 2: are in the slaughter, you're just playing in a phone 752 00:34:21,120 --> 00:34:24,360 Speaker 2: booth all season. Now, there are six games on the schedule. 753 00:34:24,360 --> 00:34:27,360 Speaker 2: I make Illinois a TD favorite or better. And Bilama 754 00:34:27,400 --> 00:34:30,279 Speaker 2: has been really good as a road dog since he's 755 00:34:30,280 --> 00:34:32,200 Speaker 2: been in Illinois for four years. He's twelve and four 756 00:34:32,200 --> 00:34:34,319 Speaker 2: against the spread when he's been on the road as 757 00:34:34,360 --> 00:34:37,200 Speaker 2: an underdog. That puts an upset or at least a 758 00:34:37,239 --> 00:34:40,280 Speaker 2: cover in scope when they play Indiana on September twentieth, 759 00:34:41,040 --> 00:34:42,840 Speaker 2: So I do have my eye on that game. I think, 760 00:34:43,280 --> 00:34:45,520 Speaker 2: you know Beilama is one of those ones that trust me. 761 00:34:45,719 --> 00:34:48,680 Speaker 2: He reads all the headlines, he listens to what everybody's saying, 762 00:34:48,920 --> 00:34:51,160 Speaker 2: and he gets motivated when he starts being you know, 763 00:34:51,480 --> 00:34:54,319 Speaker 2: bad mouthed in the media or that his team can't win. 764 00:34:54,640 --> 00:34:56,480 Speaker 2: But when it's expected of him, he can't get it done, 765 00:34:56,560 --> 00:34:59,240 Speaker 2: especially against teams that can create pressure on Luke Altmeyer 766 00:34:59,320 --> 00:35:03,640 Speaker 2: and secondary that can definitely create contested catches. So for 767 00:35:03,680 --> 00:35:07,080 Speaker 2: that reason, I can't bet them to go over. I 768 00:35:07,160 --> 00:35:09,839 Speaker 2: actually make them eight point three. But the number right 769 00:35:09,840 --> 00:35:11,880 Speaker 2: now is seven and a half over minus one sixty. 770 00:35:11,960 --> 00:35:13,759 Speaker 2: So if you do a little math your configuration, like 771 00:35:13,800 --> 00:35:15,720 Speaker 2: I mean, we're right there. We're the number that I project. 772 00:35:16,239 --> 00:35:18,560 Speaker 2: So I am looking at playing Illinois as an underdog 773 00:35:18,600 --> 00:35:20,359 Speaker 2: on the road that points me to Indiana. I can't 774 00:35:20,400 --> 00:35:22,160 Speaker 2: find a game of the year out there. I think 775 00:35:22,160 --> 00:35:23,640 Speaker 2: Illinois is a week to week It's a pass on 776 00:35:23,680 --> 00:35:25,919 Speaker 2: a wind total. I don't see them disrupting the Big ten. 777 00:35:26,840 --> 00:35:29,680 Speaker 2: But do look for Bert to pull off an upset 778 00:35:29,680 --> 00:35:30,320 Speaker 2: against Signetti. 779 00:35:30,360 --> 00:35:32,560 Speaker 5: Maybe all right, let's move on to Signetti and the 780 00:35:32,600 --> 00:35:33,600 Speaker 5: Indiana Hoosiers. 781 00:35:34,480 --> 00:35:36,360 Speaker 2: Nothing gets people excited like winning. 782 00:35:36,960 --> 00:35:42,640 Speaker 5: It's pretty simple. I win, Google me Now it may 783 00:35:42,680 --> 00:35:44,920 Speaker 5: pissed you people off, but so what, this is the 784 00:35:45,040 --> 00:35:45,960 Speaker 5: entertainment business. 785 00:35:46,120 --> 00:35:48,600 Speaker 2: We had to wake some people up and create some excitement. 786 00:35:48,719 --> 00:35:51,160 Speaker 5: Whatever you know about Indiana in the past, you got 787 00:35:51,200 --> 00:35:51,640 Speaker 5: to raise the. 788 00:35:51,680 --> 00:36:02,400 Speaker 4: Taken win total. 789 00:36:02,520 --> 00:36:05,799 Speaker 5: If you want to go over on Indiana over eight 790 00:36:05,800 --> 00:36:08,839 Speaker 5: and a half plus one twenty, you can find out 791 00:36:08,880 --> 00:36:12,359 Speaker 5: there best price to win the conference forty two to 792 00:36:12,360 --> 00:36:16,120 Speaker 5: one plus six hundred to make the college football playoff. Look, 793 00:36:16,160 --> 00:36:18,760 Speaker 5: I mean this team, they were plus fifteen in turnovers. 794 00:36:19,200 --> 00:36:22,120 Speaker 5: They only lost one game in the regular season. They 795 00:36:22,120 --> 00:36:24,919 Speaker 5: didn't really beat anyone. I know, they beat one team 796 00:36:24,920 --> 00:36:26,520 Speaker 5: of the winning record, that was Michigan, and they couldn't 797 00:36:26,520 --> 00:36:29,040 Speaker 5: really move the ball in the second half. Their wins 798 00:36:29,080 --> 00:36:32,160 Speaker 5: game against teams that were combined fifty one to eighty one. 799 00:36:32,360 --> 00:36:34,040 Speaker 5: But you got to give them credit because they absolutely 800 00:36:34,040 --> 00:36:36,479 Speaker 5: demolished those teams and that matters. You know, you gotta 801 00:36:36,480 --> 00:36:38,960 Speaker 5: get them charged up. The schedule is gonna get harder 802 00:36:39,200 --> 00:36:42,200 Speaker 5: this year. They played what two teams with a winning 803 00:36:42,239 --> 00:36:44,799 Speaker 5: record last year projected to play four yep. This year 804 00:36:45,239 --> 00:36:47,319 Speaker 5: they do avoid Michigan in Ohio State, but they go 805 00:36:47,400 --> 00:36:52,360 Speaker 5: to Penn State, Iowa and Oregon. Three really tough road games. 806 00:36:52,400 --> 00:36:55,520 Speaker 5: The rest is pretty manageable. The other thing to note 807 00:36:55,800 --> 00:36:58,960 Speaker 5: late in the year at Maryland, which is a tricky 808 00:36:59,000 --> 00:37:01,040 Speaker 5: spots before penns eight, marylnd's going off a bye but 809 00:37:01,080 --> 00:37:03,359 Speaker 5: Maryland could be dead with a new fired coach by 810 00:37:03,400 --> 00:37:06,919 Speaker 5: then Wisconsin late in the year. Wisconsin could be dead 811 00:37:06,920 --> 00:37:09,680 Speaker 5: with a fired coach depending on how their season goes. Purdue, 812 00:37:09,840 --> 00:37:11,520 Speaker 5: that could be three dead teams late in the year. 813 00:37:11,880 --> 00:37:13,960 Speaker 5: So there's a lot of winnable games on this schedule. 814 00:37:14,280 --> 00:37:16,160 Speaker 5: I thought I was gonna be betting the under after 815 00:37:16,239 --> 00:37:19,080 Speaker 5: last year on Indiana, but I actually project them closer 816 00:37:19,120 --> 00:37:21,120 Speaker 5: to eight seven to five, So I chow. 817 00:37:21,360 --> 00:37:23,080 Speaker 2: Nine to one. I'm not one. 818 00:37:23,200 --> 00:37:26,520 Speaker 5: Yeah, yeah, I'm eight seven to nine. Look, Rourke is 819 00:37:26,560 --> 00:37:29,239 Speaker 5: gone their quarterback, but he's gone to the NFL. But 820 00:37:29,239 --> 00:37:31,400 Speaker 5: he was hurt last year, playing hurt. Mendoz is in. 821 00:37:31,520 --> 00:37:34,120 Speaker 5: I think Mendoza has a ton of potential. I don't 822 00:37:34,239 --> 00:37:36,640 Speaker 5: think that there's much of a drop off. The depth 823 00:37:36,719 --> 00:37:38,680 Speaker 5: is questionable though, like if he gets hurt, that's something 824 00:37:38,719 --> 00:37:41,120 Speaker 5: to keep in mind. It's not like last year where 825 00:37:41,120 --> 00:37:44,560 Speaker 5: you have a more viable backup. When Wark did miss 826 00:37:44,600 --> 00:37:48,400 Speaker 5: time wide receiver, you lose Cross and Price who went 827 00:37:48,400 --> 00:37:50,680 Speaker 5: to the NFL. But your two leaders are back in 828 00:37:50,680 --> 00:37:53,680 Speaker 5: Surat and Williams. You lose a tight end who I 829 00:37:53,719 --> 00:37:55,680 Speaker 5: think went to the NFL. So now I didn't see coming, 830 00:37:55,760 --> 00:37:57,600 Speaker 5: but I think he's on the Lions roster. But you 831 00:37:57,640 --> 00:38:00,719 Speaker 5: had Stays who was previously at Notre Dame in Tennessee. 832 00:38:01,320 --> 00:38:05,480 Speaker 5: Offensive line, you lose your center I think went to Barstool, 833 00:38:05,560 --> 00:38:07,680 Speaker 5: So there are some questions on the offensive line. You 834 00:38:07,719 --> 00:38:10,640 Speaker 5: added the center from Notre Dame and Coogan, right tackle 835 00:38:10,680 --> 00:38:15,440 Speaker 5: from Ohio State, a guard from Colorado left guard Evans. 836 00:38:15,480 --> 00:38:16,880 Speaker 5: Is he healthy and he's gonna be ready to go? 837 00:38:16,960 --> 00:38:18,959 Speaker 5: That's something I'm watching. Once he went out last year, 838 00:38:19,320 --> 00:38:21,640 Speaker 5: it was a disaster. Stevens was a disaster in his place. 839 00:38:21,640 --> 00:38:23,560 Speaker 5: As long as they're not growing with Stevens at guard, 840 00:38:23,840 --> 00:38:25,319 Speaker 5: they should be okay. But I want to see how 841 00:38:25,400 --> 00:38:28,520 Speaker 5: this comes together the defensive line. I like what this 842 00:38:28,560 --> 00:38:30,799 Speaker 5: team did in the portal. They're fit right in the 843 00:38:30,800 --> 00:38:34,239 Speaker 5: wheelhouse of Signetti and able to get to fill some 844 00:38:34,280 --> 00:38:35,799 Speaker 5: of the holes that they needed to. I think they 845 00:38:35,880 --> 00:38:36,600 Speaker 5: nailed the portal. 846 00:38:36,920 --> 00:38:37,160 Speaker 2: Yeah. 847 00:38:37,360 --> 00:38:42,480 Speaker 5: I like this team and Signetti. He's gonna have them 848 00:38:42,520 --> 00:38:43,280 Speaker 5: showing up every. 849 00:38:43,160 --> 00:38:47,359 Speaker 2: Week you are a ten and oh for the first 850 00:38:47,440 --> 00:38:49,240 Speaker 2: time in program history, coach. 851 00:38:51,480 --> 00:38:53,719 Speaker 5: So it's over nothing for me. I can see the 852 00:38:54,400 --> 00:38:57,439 Speaker 5: cases Indiana being this. It's not Is it a surprise again, 853 00:38:57,480 --> 00:38:59,000 Speaker 5: I mean from an odds perspective, it is if they 854 00:38:59,040 --> 00:39:01,359 Speaker 5: win the Big Ten. It wouldn't shock me if they 855 00:39:01,400 --> 00:39:03,880 Speaker 5: got back. Now the problem is they're at Penn State. 856 00:39:04,200 --> 00:39:06,440 Speaker 5: That might prevent them from getting to the Big Ten title. 857 00:39:06,440 --> 00:39:07,880 Speaker 5: But I do show value in the over. What are 858 00:39:07,880 --> 00:39:08,960 Speaker 5: you seeing with the Hoosiers? 859 00:39:09,400 --> 00:39:11,120 Speaker 2: I show value in the over also as well. I 860 00:39:11,160 --> 00:39:12,520 Speaker 2: haven't played it. I think I am by the time 861 00:39:12,520 --> 00:39:14,680 Speaker 2: we get done talking about this. So Mike Shanahan stays 862 00:39:14,680 --> 00:39:17,160 Speaker 2: on as OC, Tony Sinceri heads off to UCLA. But 863 00:39:17,239 --> 00:39:21,120 Speaker 2: Shanahan's been with Signetti through JMU. Fernando Mendoza. I did 864 00:39:21,120 --> 00:39:22,840 Speaker 2: a little bit of a deep dive because you know 865 00:39:22,920 --> 00:39:24,960 Speaker 2: he showed up big on the radar last year after 866 00:39:25,000 --> 00:39:28,000 Speaker 2: an upset that Cal had his numbers from A TD 867 00:39:28,120 --> 00:39:31,239 Speaker 2: to I INTC sixteen to six. That's pretty good. But 868 00:39:31,280 --> 00:39:33,440 Speaker 2: then you see twelve big time throws to seventeen turnover 869 00:39:33,480 --> 00:39:35,279 Speaker 2: worthy plays. That kind of tells you a different story. 870 00:39:35,280 --> 00:39:37,920 Speaker 2: But when you dip into that his accuracy was not 871 00:39:37,960 --> 00:39:41,080 Speaker 2: an issue whatsoever. Cal finished fourteenth and on target rate, 872 00:39:41,160 --> 00:39:44,600 Speaker 2: like Mendoza is spot on with his accuracy, and his 873 00:39:44,680 --> 00:39:47,440 Speaker 2: turnover worthy play rate was exactly the same in a 874 00:39:47,480 --> 00:39:50,400 Speaker 2: clean pocket as it was in a pressured pocket. So 875 00:39:50,480 --> 00:39:52,480 Speaker 2: I have to ask if like these turnover worthy plays 876 00:39:52,480 --> 00:39:56,160 Speaker 2: are just you know, youth, just mistakes that have happened 877 00:39:56,160 --> 00:39:58,160 Speaker 2: because it wasn't pressure that caused them. And I think 878 00:39:58,160 --> 00:40:00,239 Speaker 2: that that will be improved when he gets out with 879 00:40:00,280 --> 00:40:04,760 Speaker 2: this coaching staff versus what he had at Cal Maryland 880 00:40:04,920 --> 00:40:07,279 Speaker 2: running back transfer Roman Hemby. There's just no numbers here 881 00:40:07,320 --> 00:40:09,640 Speaker 2: that flash or jump off the page. White out Omar 882 00:40:09,719 --> 00:40:12,640 Speaker 2: Cooper and Slaughd. Elijah Suratt bring back fifteen receiving TD 883 00:40:12,760 --> 00:40:15,000 Speaker 2: So that's there for Mendoza. And I do like the 884 00:40:15,000 --> 00:40:17,160 Speaker 2: addition to Pat Coogan from Notre Dame the center. I mean, 885 00:40:17,160 --> 00:40:19,200 Speaker 2: twenty six starts the last two years at Notre Dame. 886 00:40:19,239 --> 00:40:23,480 Speaker 2: That's that's not small for being that on that offensive line, 887 00:40:23,719 --> 00:40:26,560 Speaker 2: Signetti gets five of his top seven tacklers back. All 888 00:40:26,600 --> 00:40:30,080 Speaker 2: three levels have havoc makers. This defense finished fifth in havoc. 889 00:40:30,080 --> 00:40:31,520 Speaker 2: I don't know why any of us are surprised because 890 00:40:31,520 --> 00:40:33,919 Speaker 2: that's what JMU did all the time that Signetti was there. 891 00:40:34,360 --> 00:40:35,960 Speaker 2: This is an over team, which I didn't think they 892 00:40:36,000 --> 00:40:38,279 Speaker 2: would be. You know, the schedule gets You're right, it's 893 00:40:38,280 --> 00:40:41,600 Speaker 2: tough for Iowa at Oregon, at Penn State. They're on 894 00:40:41,680 --> 00:40:43,080 Speaker 2: back to back travel. When they go to Penn State. 895 00:40:43,120 --> 00:40:45,160 Speaker 2: They have one buy through their first eleven games. I mean, 896 00:40:45,160 --> 00:40:48,319 Speaker 2: you're having a bye week before like Thanksgiving. Like, why 897 00:40:48,360 --> 00:40:50,640 Speaker 2: are you having a buye before November twenty eight? Against 898 00:40:50,640 --> 00:40:52,920 Speaker 2: Purdue who's taking a bye week before things Giving? That's 899 00:40:53,040 --> 00:40:57,520 Speaker 2: that's strange. There's just four conference road games and it's 900 00:40:57,520 --> 00:41:00,520 Speaker 2: against competition like Purdue in Maryland. Seven games, the Hoosiers 901 00:41:00,520 --> 00:41:04,359 Speaker 2: of double digit favorites. I'm gonna play the over all. 902 00:41:04,440 --> 00:41:08,040 Speaker 1: Right, let's move on to Nebraska, the Nebraska corn Huskers. 903 00:41:08,920 --> 00:41:09,600 Speaker 4: Nebraska. 904 00:41:10,200 --> 00:41:12,280 Speaker 2: Honestly, it's not for everyone. 905 00:41:12,520 --> 00:41:16,719 Speaker 5: Nebraska finally broke their bowl drought last year. And now 906 00:41:16,760 --> 00:41:18,840 Speaker 5: this is Matt Rule, year three and his previous stops 907 00:41:18,880 --> 00:41:21,200 Speaker 5: year three eleven wins and ten wins. Does he make 908 00:41:21,239 --> 00:41:24,640 Speaker 5: that jump this year? We're gonna absolutely murder. You guess 909 00:41:24,640 --> 00:41:27,319 Speaker 5: what Nebraska one in five and one possession games last 910 00:41:27,360 --> 00:41:30,040 Speaker 5: year is. That's just what we expect. They are ten 911 00:41:30,040 --> 00:41:32,440 Speaker 5: and thirty five and one score games since twenty eighteen, 912 00:41:32,600 --> 00:41:35,239 Speaker 5: thirty five loss thirty five one possession losses. The next 913 00:41:35,239 --> 00:41:37,520 Speaker 5: most over that time NIU with twenty five. They have 914 00:41:37,600 --> 00:41:40,879 Speaker 5: ten more than anybody else. Oh in twenty seven versus 915 00:41:40,880 --> 00:41:43,839 Speaker 5: Frank teams in their last twenty seven games, they're OH 916 00:41:43,880 --> 00:41:48,040 Speaker 5: to eight and overtime since twenty eighteen. Do you want 917 00:41:48,040 --> 00:41:51,360 Speaker 5: to know how many yards they've gained in those negative 918 00:41:51,400 --> 00:41:53,680 Speaker 5: twenty They've been out scored thirty nine to nothing in 919 00:41:53,719 --> 00:41:56,839 Speaker 5: those eight overtime games. Is this the year this team five? 920 00:41:56,840 --> 00:42:01,200 Speaker 5: Everything breaks their way? Their injuries last year year were bad, 921 00:42:01,760 --> 00:42:04,800 Speaker 5: one possession games, Their special teams were an absolute disaster, 922 00:42:04,840 --> 00:42:06,319 Speaker 5: and they even got good kicking, and they were still 923 00:42:06,320 --> 00:42:08,799 Speaker 5: a bottom ten unit. I think their special teams might 924 00:42:08,840 --> 00:42:11,719 Speaker 5: be fixed from everything I'm red and seeing. I mean, 925 00:42:11,719 --> 00:42:14,200 Speaker 5: they have a good kicker. Apparently they have a new 926 00:42:14,239 --> 00:42:17,640 Speaker 5: Aussie punter, but they got a new special teams coordinator. 927 00:42:17,719 --> 00:42:20,239 Speaker 5: I like the hire they got to They look good 928 00:42:20,239 --> 00:42:21,880 Speaker 5: in spring. Can they just snap? If they can just 929 00:42:21,880 --> 00:42:24,200 Speaker 5: snap it consistently, they'll be better because that cost them 930 00:42:24,200 --> 00:42:26,960 Speaker 5: some games, not just last year, but in recent seasons. 931 00:42:28,400 --> 00:42:30,359 Speaker 5: Defense is probably the question with this team. They lost 932 00:42:30,400 --> 00:42:32,080 Speaker 5: a lot. I mean the defensive line. You lost your 933 00:42:32,120 --> 00:42:35,520 Speaker 5: top five, a bunch of the NFL wanted the CFL 934 00:42:35,640 --> 00:42:38,799 Speaker 5: one to LSU want to miss. They're gonna need some 935 00:42:39,040 --> 00:42:42,239 Speaker 5: inexperienced guys to step up there. Linebacker, you lost a 936 00:42:42,239 --> 00:42:44,479 Speaker 5: bunch as well. You need Watson Trent to really step 937 00:42:44,560 --> 00:42:48,839 Speaker 5: up to Georgia Southern transfer McGahee Shavers have to make 938 00:42:48,840 --> 00:42:52,280 Speaker 5: a sophomore leap. The secondary should be strong. You lose Giffer, 939 00:42:52,320 --> 00:42:56,320 Speaker 5: but everyone else is back. I really like this secondary, 940 00:42:56,360 --> 00:42:58,720 Speaker 5: but they're not gonna have as good of a defensive 941 00:42:58,719 --> 00:43:01,120 Speaker 5: line as they did last year. You lost your defensive coordinator, 942 00:43:01,120 --> 00:43:03,560 Speaker 5: you lost your defensive line coach. The defense is the 943 00:43:03,640 --> 00:43:08,160 Speaker 5: big question for me on this team. Offensively, the offensive 944 00:43:08,200 --> 00:43:10,080 Speaker 5: line gets a ton of guys back from injury, so 945 00:43:10,120 --> 00:43:13,040 Speaker 5: they like it's been three straight injury play years from 946 00:43:13,040 --> 00:43:16,040 Speaker 5: the offensive line. So you lose three guys, but you 947 00:43:16,040 --> 00:43:18,760 Speaker 5: get a bunch back. You add some guys. The offensive 948 00:43:18,760 --> 00:43:22,359 Speaker 5: line has some potential here if they stay healthy. Tight End, 949 00:43:22,440 --> 00:43:25,719 Speaker 5: wide receiver, you lose three to the NFL. You add 950 00:43:25,800 --> 00:43:29,399 Speaker 5: Dan key Hunter from Cal Hunter Harberg's moving to tight end. 951 00:43:29,480 --> 00:43:31,560 Speaker 5: The old quarterback. He's in an athletic freak. We'll see 952 00:43:31,560 --> 00:43:35,600 Speaker 5: what he can do there. Number Dana Holgerson took over 953 00:43:35,600 --> 00:43:37,680 Speaker 5: his offensive coordinator late last year. He's got a full 954 00:43:37,920 --> 00:43:42,960 Speaker 5: off season to installs offense. Yep, candylanrel will take the 955 00:43:42,960 --> 00:43:45,319 Speaker 5: next step. I mean, and the depth is really shaky. 956 00:43:45,320 --> 00:43:46,520 Speaker 5: He's got to stay out and he's got to take 957 00:43:46,520 --> 00:43:48,560 Speaker 5: the next step apparently once to use his legs more. 958 00:43:48,760 --> 00:43:51,000 Speaker 5: But he had four touchdowns nine interceptions over his last 959 00:43:51,000 --> 00:43:55,600 Speaker 5: eight games last year. He has all the tools. Can 960 00:43:55,640 --> 00:43:58,000 Speaker 5: he make that leap and play more consistently and give 961 00:43:58,000 --> 00:44:00,880 Speaker 5: this team some explosiveness. I mean they they were bottom 962 00:44:00,920 --> 00:44:04,319 Speaker 5: ten in both running and passing explosiveness last year. There 963 00:44:04,360 --> 00:44:07,200 Speaker 5: was just no explosiveness whatsoever. And this defense was really 964 00:44:07,280 --> 00:44:08,839 Speaker 5: really good. I don't think it's going to be as 965 00:44:08,840 --> 00:44:12,440 Speaker 5: good this year. So Raila is going to have to 966 00:44:12,800 --> 00:44:15,319 Speaker 5: make that leap and consistently to take this team to 967 00:44:15,360 --> 00:44:19,840 Speaker 5: the next level. From a scheduling perspective, you avoid Oregon 968 00:44:19,880 --> 00:44:23,080 Speaker 5: and Ohio State, you have five big ten home games. 969 00:44:24,040 --> 00:44:26,399 Speaker 5: You start the season with Cincy in Kansas City, it's 970 00:44:26,440 --> 00:44:30,799 Speaker 5: technically a neutral field. You host Michigan. There's a lot 971 00:44:30,840 --> 00:44:32,680 Speaker 5: of winnable games on this schedule. What are you seeing 972 00:44:32,680 --> 00:44:34,880 Speaker 5: with the corn Huskers? 973 00:44:34,880 --> 00:44:37,160 Speaker 2: Time to take a bigger fight out of this court stock. 974 00:44:37,600 --> 00:44:40,239 Speaker 2: I think Dana Holgerson taking over for Marcus Satisfield was 975 00:44:40,239 --> 00:44:42,839 Speaker 2: the best move, especially for a quarterback like Delan Royola, 976 00:44:43,160 --> 00:44:45,800 Speaker 2: one of the highest returning experience marks around him. On offense, 977 00:44:46,680 --> 00:44:48,920 Speaker 2: he finished seventeen to twelve big time throw to turnover 978 00:44:48,960 --> 00:44:51,520 Speaker 2: with the play rate four point seven percent turnover with 979 00:44:51,600 --> 00:44:54,240 Speaker 2: the play rate win. There's pressure that those are actually 980 00:44:54,400 --> 00:44:57,800 Speaker 2: really good marks for a freshman. I mean that's usually 981 00:44:57,840 --> 00:45:02,560 Speaker 2: what we see in year two from these highly recruited quarterbacks. 982 00:45:02,600 --> 00:45:04,520 Speaker 2: So seventeen to twelve big time to turnover with the 983 00:45:04,560 --> 00:45:07,000 Speaker 2: play means this could be an even bigger year for 984 00:45:07,080 --> 00:45:09,440 Speaker 2: Roola in year two. The biggest istion for the offense 985 00:45:09,480 --> 00:45:11,719 Speaker 2: is the playmakers outside the top one hundred and big 986 00:45:11,760 --> 00:45:14,520 Speaker 2: play rate. They were one hundred and fourteenth and finishing drives. 987 00:45:14,560 --> 00:45:17,279 Speaker 2: I expect that to change with Dana taking over as 988 00:45:17,320 --> 00:45:20,200 Speaker 2: offensive coordinator and Dame Key joining. I mean two point 989 00:45:20,280 --> 00:45:22,120 Speaker 2: five yards per route run for a white out at 990 00:45:22,160 --> 00:45:26,280 Speaker 2: Kentucky last year's that's impressive, so Rayola should be protected. 991 00:45:26,320 --> 00:45:28,239 Speaker 2: There's over one hundred and thirty starts returning to the 992 00:45:28,280 --> 00:45:31,280 Speaker 2: offensive line, So I don't have a lot of questions 993 00:45:31,360 --> 00:45:33,320 Speaker 2: about the offense. I think that they should improve. I 994 00:45:33,360 --> 00:45:35,080 Speaker 2: still think they should be a top thirty five rushing 995 00:45:35,080 --> 00:45:38,279 Speaker 2: success rate team, top fifty in line yards. They've got 996 00:45:38,320 --> 00:45:40,560 Speaker 2: to improve and havoc allowed which was seventieth, so a 997 00:45:40,560 --> 00:45:43,000 Speaker 2: little bit less mistakes with a quarterback that's now a 998 00:45:43,080 --> 00:45:45,280 Speaker 2: year older, and they should be good. Now. The defense 999 00:45:45,360 --> 00:45:48,399 Speaker 2: loses nearly all their leaders in sacks, but they do 1000 00:45:48,520 --> 00:45:51,080 Speaker 2: maintain twenty PBUs stuck. A three to three five is 1001 00:45:51,120 --> 00:45:54,160 Speaker 2: going to be put in by DC John Butler in 1002 00:45:54,280 --> 00:45:57,840 Speaker 2: experienced defensive line transfer linebackers. That's really going to be 1003 00:45:57,880 --> 00:46:00,399 Speaker 2: the focal point to see if this team can main 1004 00:46:00,560 --> 00:46:02,560 Speaker 2: As you know, I think there were thirty second line 1005 00:46:02,600 --> 00:46:05,000 Speaker 2: here it's twenty fifth and halvoc twenty fifth and pass rush, well, 1006 00:46:05,000 --> 00:46:07,800 Speaker 2: that's all under a microscope. Now when you are completely 1007 00:46:07,800 --> 00:46:09,719 Speaker 2: fielding a brand new front six and this three three 1008 00:46:09,840 --> 00:46:11,479 Speaker 2: five with a new defensive course, yeah, and their. 1009 00:46:11,360 --> 00:46:13,799 Speaker 5: Secondary which is experienced, it might not benefit from the 1010 00:46:13,840 --> 00:46:17,320 Speaker 5: same pass rush and dominant defensive line exactly. This is 1011 00:46:17,360 --> 00:46:19,839 Speaker 5: the question with this team. Rella does take the lead 1012 00:46:19,920 --> 00:46:23,120 Speaker 5: does special teams fix I'm optimistic with the defense to 1013 00:46:23,200 --> 00:46:24,600 Speaker 5: front seven is the question. 1014 00:46:24,560 --> 00:46:26,879 Speaker 2: And that's why I think the play that I've got 1015 00:46:26,880 --> 00:46:28,600 Speaker 2: from a game of the year perspective, I was waiting 1016 00:46:28,600 --> 00:46:30,440 Speaker 2: to do it in here because I make the number 1017 00:46:31,239 --> 00:46:35,239 Speaker 2: much higher. Michigan minus three and a half on September 1018 00:46:35,239 --> 00:46:37,920 Speaker 2: twentieth against Nebraska, I think it should be six and 1019 00:46:37,960 --> 00:46:40,520 Speaker 2: a half. Spplus makes it ten and a half. I 1020 00:46:40,640 --> 00:46:42,920 Speaker 2: do not like what I see from the front of Nebraska, 1021 00:46:43,160 --> 00:46:46,280 Speaker 2: but I dislike the Nebraska front six a lot more 1022 00:46:46,520 --> 00:46:48,960 Speaker 2: than I am uncomfortable with the Michigan offensive line. So 1023 00:46:49,000 --> 00:46:50,839 Speaker 2: I think a game of the year perspective, Michigan minus 1024 00:46:50,840 --> 00:46:53,399 Speaker 2: three and a half is there. I make it seven 1025 00:46:53,400 --> 00:46:55,480 Speaker 2: point nine. The play is over seven and a half 1026 00:46:55,520 --> 00:46:56,880 Speaker 2: if you have play win total. But that's not the 1027 00:46:56,880 --> 00:46:58,239 Speaker 2: play I'm gonna make it all. It's gonna be a 1028 00:46:58,239 --> 00:47:00,359 Speaker 2: Michigan Game of the year. I think that that's going 1029 00:47:00,400 --> 00:47:02,480 Speaker 2: to be where we find out really where this Nebraska 1030 00:47:02,520 --> 00:47:04,560 Speaker 2: front six and the three three five with John Butler, 1031 00:47:04,600 --> 00:47:06,560 Speaker 2: I think that's going to expose him. 1032 00:47:06,600 --> 00:47:09,120 Speaker 5: I'm not there at all. Michigan plays at Alklahoma like 1033 00:47:09,120 --> 00:47:11,399 Speaker 5: what if Underwood could look like a disaster, and then 1034 00:47:11,600 --> 00:47:12,200 Speaker 5: I can't get. 1035 00:47:12,160 --> 00:47:14,160 Speaker 2: Saying there could be a better line come game week. 1036 00:47:14,280 --> 00:47:16,880 Speaker 5: Could be yeah, not not something I'm get involved. But 1037 00:47:17,000 --> 00:47:19,479 Speaker 5: let's let's go on to USC, a team we're both 1038 00:47:19,960 --> 00:47:21,320 Speaker 5: pretty high on coming into. 1039 00:47:21,160 --> 00:47:31,279 Speaker 1: The year, the USC Trojans. 1040 00:47:34,680 --> 00:47:37,040 Speaker 5: With the team that's with ninetieth and returning production. They 1041 00:47:37,040 --> 00:47:40,600 Speaker 5: only have nine returning starters. Miava's back at quarterback. He 1042 00:47:40,800 --> 00:47:43,279 Speaker 5: took over late last year. He's more mobile. I think 1043 00:47:43,280 --> 00:47:45,440 Speaker 5: he's better fit with Riley inconsistent last year. Now he's 1044 00:47:45,480 --> 00:47:48,040 Speaker 5: got a full season and usually trust Riley with quarterbacks. 1045 00:47:48,280 --> 00:47:51,000 Speaker 5: Does he can he play more consistent? Even saw that 1046 00:47:51,040 --> 00:47:54,080 Speaker 5: in between games with my Eva. Mars has gone and 1047 00:47:54,160 --> 00:47:56,560 Speaker 5: Joiner in the backfield, but they got a really good 1048 00:47:56,640 --> 00:47:59,839 Speaker 5: Juco and this could Jordan. Their backfield still be good. 1049 00:48:00,000 --> 00:48:01,719 Speaker 5: You lose a bunch of receivers to power for, but 1050 00:48:01,960 --> 00:48:05,160 Speaker 5: you got Lemon and Lane one of the best receiver 1051 00:48:05,239 --> 00:48:07,560 Speaker 5: duos in the country. I love them bringing a Boise 1052 00:48:07,640 --> 00:48:12,880 Speaker 5: transfer maybe fair steps in there, and mccree's back at 1053 00:48:12,920 --> 00:48:15,080 Speaker 5: tight end who's injured in spring. The offensive line major 1054 00:48:15,160 --> 00:48:19,080 Speaker 5: questions like they might start what wingfield from Purdue at 1055 00:48:19,120 --> 00:48:24,000 Speaker 5: left guard to your center from Syracuse. Reid your right guard, Noah, 1056 00:48:24,000 --> 00:48:27,000 Speaker 5: he was awful last year. Right tackle, there's a battle 1057 00:48:27,040 --> 00:48:29,759 Speaker 5: left tackle pages back like this is where it all 1058 00:48:29,760 --> 00:48:33,759 Speaker 5: could go downhills, the offensive line, the defensive line. You 1059 00:48:33,880 --> 00:48:38,800 Speaker 5: lose a lot. They lost. I mean they lost Alexander 1060 00:48:38,800 --> 00:48:40,640 Speaker 5: who cares did even play last year. Lost Mohammed, who 1061 00:48:40,640 --> 00:48:42,759 Speaker 5: I think is the big loss. But Lucas comes back 1062 00:48:42,760 --> 00:48:45,759 Speaker 5: from injury. You had no the nose tackles Silver from UK. 1063 00:48:45,840 --> 00:48:47,440 Speaker 5: He's okay, but it gives you size. They beefed up 1064 00:48:47,440 --> 00:48:49,560 Speaker 5: a lot, which they needed to do, you know, Jared 1065 00:48:49,600 --> 00:48:52,120 Speaker 5: and Pepe, and they have a lot of size now 1066 00:48:52,200 --> 00:48:57,560 Speaker 5: up front, which they were lacking in last year. From 1067 00:48:57,880 --> 00:49:01,520 Speaker 5: you know to back seven. There's there's some guys that 1068 00:49:01,560 --> 00:49:04,399 Speaker 5: are back. They lost some guys. I want to see 1069 00:49:04,400 --> 00:49:06,960 Speaker 5: how the secondary plays out. Well. Ramsey potentially played Nickel. 1070 00:49:07,520 --> 00:49:10,399 Speaker 5: We'll see. They added some some interesting pieces. Fitzgerald from 1071 00:49:10,440 --> 00:49:15,520 Speaker 5: NC State, Johnson from UCF. We'll see who the CD 1072 00:49:15,640 --> 00:49:18,040 Speaker 5: two is. Is it Nicholson, is it the red shirt 1073 00:49:18,080 --> 00:49:21,279 Speaker 5: freshman potentially? I love Harvey, who they got from San 1074 00:49:21,320 --> 00:49:23,480 Speaker 5: Jose State. I think Co'll start. But there's a lot 1075 00:49:23,520 --> 00:49:25,960 Speaker 5: of questions here. They lost some talent in the back seven, 1076 00:49:27,640 --> 00:49:30,680 Speaker 5: get Gentry back from injury. That's big. So there's some 1077 00:49:30,719 --> 00:49:34,040 Speaker 5: pieces here to work with Lynn astronomical rise in the 1078 00:49:34,080 --> 00:49:36,560 Speaker 5: defense last year. I think they can take another step 1079 00:49:36,600 --> 00:49:38,680 Speaker 5: this year, but I do want to see how the 1080 00:49:38,680 --> 00:49:40,759 Speaker 5: secondary plays out. I like the size now they have 1081 00:49:40,920 --> 00:49:43,680 Speaker 5: up front. They did lose a really good punter is 1082 00:49:43,760 --> 00:49:45,600 Speaker 5: something to note. I haven't got enough special team's talk 1083 00:49:45,640 --> 00:49:48,480 Speaker 5: in so far from one. 1084 00:49:48,560 --> 00:49:49,600 Speaker 2: If you don't get the fourth down. 1085 00:49:50,800 --> 00:49:53,880 Speaker 5: Yeah, the the last year they were they were a 1086 00:49:53,920 --> 00:49:58,200 Speaker 5: few plays from starting eleven and zero. They they were 1087 00:49:58,239 --> 00:50:00,320 Speaker 5: going into going into the final week, only six teams 1088 00:50:00,400 --> 00:50:02,480 Speaker 5: led in the fourth in every game. It was USC, 1089 00:50:02,680 --> 00:50:05,399 Speaker 5: boise E, UNLV, Ohio State, Oregon, and Notre Dame. There 1090 00:50:05,440 --> 00:50:08,480 Speaker 5: was five other teams at five combined losses, USC at 1091 00:50:08,520 --> 00:50:12,919 Speaker 5: five losses total. So they lost a lot of close 1092 00:50:12,960 --> 00:50:20,160 Speaker 5: games last year. From a scheduling perspective, it's not easy 1093 00:50:20,360 --> 00:50:23,839 Speaker 5: for sure. But I like this team. I like where 1094 00:50:23,840 --> 00:50:25,600 Speaker 5: they're headed. What are you seeing with the Trojans. 1095 00:50:26,160 --> 00:50:28,000 Speaker 2: I like this team too, almost to the point of love. 1096 00:50:28,040 --> 00:50:30,960 Speaker 2: I mean Jade Mayavas struggled against Nebraska three turnover worthy 1097 00:50:30,960 --> 00:50:34,120 Speaker 2: plays in Week twelve, then he posted six big time 1098 00:50:34,160 --> 00:50:37,680 Speaker 2: throws against Notre Dame Secondary in Week fourteen. I mean 1099 00:50:37,719 --> 00:50:41,000 Speaker 2: that secondary was all world right, and to do that 1100 00:50:41,000 --> 00:50:45,000 Speaker 2: against Al Golden Secondary. I'm of Jade Mayava Buyer still am. 1101 00:50:45,040 --> 00:50:48,000 Speaker 2: Since the UNLV days, Brian Jackson takes over running back. 1102 00:50:48,040 --> 00:50:50,839 Speaker 2: He didn't really have any flashy numbers from creating miss 1103 00:50:50,880 --> 00:50:54,480 Speaker 2: tackles or any yards after first contact over the last 1104 00:50:54,520 --> 00:50:56,440 Speaker 2: two games against Notre Dame in Texas A and M, 1105 00:50:56,520 --> 00:50:58,600 Speaker 2: so we'll see how he pans out as what we 1106 00:50:58,640 --> 00:51:01,960 Speaker 2: would expect from USC running back. But Mackay Lemon, I 1107 00:51:02,000 --> 00:51:04,080 Speaker 2: mean three point three yards per route run. I mean, 1108 00:51:04,280 --> 00:51:05,960 Speaker 2: for those of you that are new that stat anything 1109 00:51:06,000 --> 00:51:08,200 Speaker 2: over two is explosive. Three point three. That's more than 1110 00:51:08,280 --> 00:51:12,640 Speaker 2: Zacharia Branch with less catches, Jacobe Lane absolute burner wide out. 1111 00:51:12,640 --> 00:51:16,000 Speaker 2: I have no questions about the offense from an explosive 1112 00:51:16,000 --> 00:51:19,799 Speaker 2: EPA perspective. They could improve in other parts. They were 1113 00:51:19,800 --> 00:51:21,919 Speaker 2: one hundred and twentieth in pass blocking, So give Jade 1114 00:51:21,960 --> 00:51:23,879 Speaker 2: may have a little bit more time here, we'll see 1115 00:51:23,880 --> 00:51:26,399 Speaker 2: what he can do. Lincoln Riley's offense finished eighty fifth 1116 00:51:26,440 --> 00:51:29,480 Speaker 2: and finishing drives not really getting as many touchdowns as 1117 00:51:29,480 --> 00:51:31,560 Speaker 2: you should getting more field goals and are not scoring 1118 00:51:31,600 --> 00:51:33,960 Speaker 2: at all. That needs to improve, but it's still Lincoln 1119 00:51:34,000 --> 00:51:35,879 Speaker 2: Riley's offense. We'll see what he can do. Thirty fifth 1120 00:51:35,880 --> 00:51:39,160 Speaker 2: and quality drives. I expect to keep up massive improvements 1121 00:51:39,200 --> 00:51:41,840 Speaker 2: on defense across the board of it. Defensive coordinator Danton Lynn. 1122 00:51:42,600 --> 00:51:45,160 Speaker 2: I don't think people realize that this USC defense two 1123 00:51:45,239 --> 00:51:48,360 Speaker 2: years ago was bottom ten in every single category you 1124 00:51:48,400 --> 00:51:52,880 Speaker 2: could possibly be in. Last year they finished fourteenth in PFF, 1125 00:51:52,960 --> 00:51:56,720 Speaker 2: tackling fiftieth and d on passing success rate fifty second, 1126 00:51:56,800 --> 00:52:00,279 Speaker 2: defensive finishing drives best in the nation, limiting pass seeing 1127 00:52:00,320 --> 00:52:03,520 Speaker 2: downs explosives number one in the nation and not limiting 1128 00:52:03,640 --> 00:52:07,960 Speaker 2: explosive pass and third, second and third in law. That 1129 00:52:08,120 --> 00:52:10,440 Speaker 2: is really impressive. I mean, Danton Lynn should win the 1130 00:52:10,440 --> 00:52:14,080 Speaker 2: Broils Award. I mean that's really impressive. Now, the defensive 1131 00:52:14,080 --> 00:52:16,440 Speaker 2: front seven has increased size and depth, and you mentioned 1132 00:52:16,520 --> 00:52:17,919 Speaker 2: Eric Gentry is going to be one of the best 1133 00:52:17,920 --> 00:52:20,920 Speaker 2: outside linebackers and all of the big ten corner Kamari 1134 00:52:21,040 --> 00:52:23,400 Speaker 2: Ramsey has been with Lynn in his system since UCLA, 1135 00:52:23,520 --> 00:52:25,359 Speaker 2: so I see that being a good fit. You're right, 1136 00:52:25,400 --> 00:52:28,200 Speaker 2: there are some questions in the secondary, but again, the 1137 00:52:28,280 --> 00:52:34,000 Speaker 2: improvements here. This is another year of Danton Lynn. I 1138 00:52:34,000 --> 00:52:36,600 Speaker 2: think the sky's the limit here. I've liked him ever 1139 00:52:36,640 --> 00:52:39,200 Speaker 2: since he was hired into UCLA off of the Raven staff. 1140 00:52:39,960 --> 00:52:42,040 Speaker 2: This was a coup to get him in the first place. 1141 00:52:42,160 --> 00:52:44,840 Speaker 2: For Lincoln Riley, I expect four wins to start the 1142 00:52:44,840 --> 00:52:47,280 Speaker 2: season before trip to Illinois. There's a bye week before 1143 00:52:47,280 --> 00:52:49,840 Speaker 2: hosting Michigan. There's two coin flips that remain on this 1144 00:52:49,880 --> 00:52:52,839 Speaker 2: schedule at Nebraska and they host Iowa. If they can 1145 00:52:52,880 --> 00:52:55,839 Speaker 2: beat Michigan at home, my question is can they make 1146 00:52:55,840 --> 00:52:58,680 Speaker 2: the Big Ten Championship with just a loss to Oregon 1147 00:52:58,760 --> 00:52:59,400 Speaker 2: on this schedule? 1148 00:52:59,440 --> 00:53:03,000 Speaker 5: You look at this schedule, No Penn State, noh State. 1149 00:53:03,080 --> 00:53:05,560 Speaker 2: If they beat Michigan, is that twenty two to one 1150 00:53:05,560 --> 00:53:08,160 Speaker 2: to win the Big Ten? How much value does that have? 1151 00:53:08,520 --> 00:53:10,279 Speaker 5: Best number out there is twenty five to one. 1152 00:53:10,520 --> 00:53:13,359 Speaker 2: Yeah, so I'm gonna I'm probably gonna end up pulling 1153 00:53:13,360 --> 00:53:15,200 Speaker 2: the trigger. I've already got a four to one in 1154 00:53:15,200 --> 00:53:17,279 Speaker 2: pocket on Michigan make the Big Ten championship game. I 1155 00:53:17,320 --> 00:53:18,960 Speaker 2: would like to pull the trigger on USC to make 1156 00:53:18,960 --> 00:53:20,919 Speaker 2: the championship game too, but really they kind of knock 1157 00:53:20,960 --> 00:53:22,640 Speaker 2: each other out since they're playing against each other they'll 1158 00:53:22,680 --> 00:53:26,399 Speaker 2: be a tiebreaker then, But I like, yeah, why don't 1159 00:53:26,400 --> 00:53:28,040 Speaker 2: you make it your official bet to make it the champion? 1160 00:53:28,200 --> 00:53:30,759 Speaker 2: What's the number to make it? I can look seven 1161 00:53:30,840 --> 00:53:32,120 Speaker 2: fifty to make the championship game. 1162 00:53:32,200 --> 00:53:33,400 Speaker 5: I prefer that over Michigan. 1163 00:53:33,719 --> 00:53:36,080 Speaker 2: That organ could be a problem for that secondary. But 1164 00:53:36,120 --> 00:53:37,799 Speaker 2: I mean it's also twenty two to one more. 1165 00:53:38,520 --> 00:53:41,719 Speaker 5: Dante More throws seven pick sixes, which he's which he 1166 00:53:41,840 --> 00:53:43,759 Speaker 5: likes to do, and you know you won't be in LA. 1167 00:53:43,960 --> 00:53:46,800 Speaker 2: But I have not more podcasts anymore. 1168 00:53:46,960 --> 00:53:49,480 Speaker 5: I don't mind the upside with USC. I project them 1169 00:53:49,760 --> 00:53:52,279 Speaker 5: from close eight and a half. Yeah, there's over seven 1170 00:53:52,280 --> 00:53:54,200 Speaker 5: and a half minus one thirty out there. All right, 1171 00:53:54,239 --> 00:53:57,359 Speaker 5: let's move on to Washington. 1172 00:53:57,600 --> 00:53:59,359 Speaker 1: The Washington Huskies. 1173 00:54:00,920 --> 00:54:04,320 Speaker 5: Let's move on to Washington to mine Williams time at quarterback. 1174 00:54:04,760 --> 00:54:08,080 Speaker 5: Guy can move right in the bowl game. Still needs 1175 00:54:08,080 --> 00:54:11,319 Speaker 5: to get better with his downfield passing. Jetfish is back. 1176 00:54:12,040 --> 00:54:15,440 Speaker 5: I love Jetfish. Remember last year was brand new starting, 1177 00:54:15,480 --> 00:54:19,440 Speaker 5: brand new, one returning starter, and they stiled a really 1178 00:54:19,480 --> 00:54:20,640 Speaker 5: great year even though they were one in three and 1179 00:54:20,680 --> 00:54:22,960 Speaker 5: one possession games. Special teams is a question here, just 1180 00:54:23,000 --> 00:54:25,000 Speaker 5: like with the Braska, they were a bottom five team 1181 00:54:25,080 --> 00:54:27,840 Speaker 5: last year. New punter, maybe a new kicker. Is it 1182 00:54:27,880 --> 00:54:30,719 Speaker 5: going to be gross at Grady Gross again? Apparently he 1183 00:54:30,800 --> 00:54:33,080 Speaker 5: looks good in camp. We'll see. They got the kicker 1184 00:54:33,080 --> 00:54:34,600 Speaker 5: from Illinois's one for one of his crew of the 1185 00:54:34,640 --> 00:54:37,000 Speaker 5: fifty nine yarder who and he hit that to cover 1186 00:54:37,080 --> 00:54:39,160 Speaker 5: a number against me last year. But they got a 1187 00:54:39,200 --> 00:54:42,080 Speaker 5: new special teams coach. They implemented a quality control guy there. 1188 00:54:42,360 --> 00:54:44,480 Speaker 5: I like what they're doing that department. Fish is smart. 1189 00:54:44,719 --> 00:54:48,200 Speaker 5: The defense does lose a lot, but they got a 1190 00:54:48,239 --> 00:54:51,279 Speaker 5: lot bigger on the defensive line, which they needed to do, 1191 00:54:51,400 --> 00:54:55,840 Speaker 5: so I like that. That was a huge weakness last year. Offensively, 1192 00:54:56,280 --> 00:55:00,799 Speaker 5: you got Williams back at quarterback. He saw flashes from 1193 00:55:00,880 --> 00:55:04,640 Speaker 5: last year, Coleman back at running back, Boston back at receiver. 1194 00:55:06,440 --> 00:55:08,280 Speaker 5: You know, you did lose some guys. You lost Jackson 1195 00:55:08,280 --> 00:55:11,000 Speaker 5: to the NFL, last to your tight end. The offensive 1196 00:55:11,040 --> 00:55:15,600 Speaker 5: line last year was bad and all the guys they 1197 00:55:15,640 --> 00:55:18,319 Speaker 5: lost were bad. Like I don't care about any any 1198 00:55:18,360 --> 00:55:20,800 Speaker 5: of the losses that they had. You had Carter Willis 1199 00:55:20,800 --> 00:55:23,520 Speaker 5: from k State at left tackle. That's an upgrade. Hatchet 1200 00:55:23,520 --> 00:55:26,040 Speaker 5: at guard. I think that's an upgrade from Oklahoma. He 1201 00:55:26,120 --> 00:55:29,120 Speaker 5: might move to center or the other Hatchet might move 1202 00:55:29,160 --> 00:55:30,799 Speaker 5: to center. There's two Hatchets now. I think on their 1203 00:55:30,800 --> 00:55:35,719 Speaker 5: offensive line new you might have a new I think 1204 00:55:35,960 --> 00:55:38,000 Speaker 5: you're gonna have a new offensive guard. I don't know. 1205 00:55:38,000 --> 00:55:39,200 Speaker 5: I think the offensive line should be. 1206 00:55:39,120 --> 00:55:41,040 Speaker 2: Better near dead last and pass blocking. 1207 00:55:41,080 --> 00:55:43,640 Speaker 5: So yeah, it was just such a The losses aren't 1208 00:55:43,640 --> 00:55:48,120 Speaker 5: always a bad thing here. So defensively, I think they 1209 00:55:48,120 --> 00:55:52,000 Speaker 5: got bigger linebacker. You did lose your your Leader and Bruner, 1210 00:55:52,160 --> 00:55:55,760 Speaker 5: but you added al Uta, who I like from Washington State, 1211 00:55:56,920 --> 00:56:02,840 Speaker 5: Alexander Manu. So I like the secondary ads too. I 1212 00:56:02,880 --> 00:56:07,719 Speaker 5: liked the corners with Davis and price Sock. Safety is 1213 00:56:07,719 --> 00:56:10,759 Speaker 5: a little questionable, probably going to be like a New 1214 00:56:10,800 --> 00:56:15,799 Speaker 5: Mexico and FIU transfer, So there's questions. We'll say ste 1215 00:56:15,840 --> 00:56:17,879 Speaker 5: will probably take one of those spots, but there's questions 1216 00:56:17,920 --> 00:56:22,799 Speaker 5: in the safety department. I like this team, but it's 1217 00:56:22,800 --> 00:56:25,240 Speaker 5: going to come down to Williams. From a scheduling perspective, 1218 00:56:25,280 --> 00:56:27,360 Speaker 5: they do play five teams coming off bys, which is 1219 00:56:27,360 --> 00:56:32,359 Speaker 5: an ideal. They get Ohio State, Oregon, and Illinois all 1220 00:56:32,400 --> 00:56:36,400 Speaker 5: at home, and they do have tough travel spots. Ultimately, 1221 00:56:37,560 --> 00:56:41,399 Speaker 5: they face seven of they face seven of the top ten, 1222 00:56:41,440 --> 00:56:44,000 Speaker 5: and the Big ten last year only projected to Phase 1223 00:56:44,000 --> 00:56:47,600 Speaker 5: five this year. So it's not easy, but it's I 1224 00:56:47,600 --> 00:56:50,120 Speaker 5: think it gets easier this year than it was last year. 1225 00:56:50,160 --> 00:56:53,560 Speaker 5: And it's year two of fish win total here for 1226 00:56:53,760 --> 00:56:56,040 Speaker 5: Washington best out there over seven and a half minus 1227 00:56:56,040 --> 00:56:58,120 Speaker 5: one oh five plus nine twenty to make the Culturball 1228 00:56:58,160 --> 00:57:00,520 Speaker 5: playoff fifty to one to win the Big Ten. What 1229 00:57:00,520 --> 00:57:02,840 Speaker 5: are you seeing here? With Washington will also have a 1230 00:57:02,840 --> 00:57:08,239 Speaker 5: new defensive coordinator, Ryan Walters, after his disastrous for Belichick 1231 00:57:08,320 --> 00:57:11,120 Speaker 5: out to join his dad and Chapel Hill. 1232 00:57:11,440 --> 00:57:13,759 Speaker 2: I thought losing Steve Belichick was gonna be rough for 1233 00:57:13,920 --> 00:57:16,440 Speaker 2: Washington and then they replace him with Ryan Walters. You 1234 00:57:16,520 --> 00:57:19,080 Speaker 2: just scraped the whole produe thing because Ryan Walters was 1235 00:57:19,120 --> 00:57:22,000 Speaker 2: an absolute beast as a defensive coordinator at Illinois. It 1236 00:57:22,080 --> 00:57:24,800 Speaker 2: was a big loss for Bilima and there's gonna be 1237 00:57:24,840 --> 00:57:27,360 Speaker 2: some balance in his defense now. I mean, Steve Belichick 1238 00:57:27,480 --> 00:57:30,640 Speaker 2: was excellent in calling against the pass passing success right 1239 00:57:30,680 --> 00:57:34,280 Speaker 2: for Washington defensively, last year's seventh defensive rushing success rate 1240 00:57:34,320 --> 00:57:35,400 Speaker 2: one hundred and seventeenth. 1241 00:57:35,440 --> 00:57:37,439 Speaker 5: Outside of that was godn't have to do upfront either. 1242 00:57:37,480 --> 00:57:39,200 Speaker 5: They were also pushed around a lot. 1243 00:57:39,440 --> 00:57:42,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, and so I think Ryan Walter is gonna come in. 1244 00:57:42,160 --> 00:57:44,120 Speaker 2: He's gonna add a little bit of balance. I think 1245 00:57:44,160 --> 00:57:47,040 Speaker 2: that those Illinois nasty defenses that he had previously are 1246 00:57:47,040 --> 00:57:48,640 Speaker 2: going to show up here. The defensive backs are still 1247 00:57:48,680 --> 00:57:50,560 Speaker 2: one of the best groups in the Big Ten thanks 1248 00:57:50,560 --> 00:57:54,000 Speaker 2: to transfer to Carrio Davis and a Pespian's Price socket corner. 1249 00:57:54,200 --> 00:57:56,880 Speaker 5: Yeah, they need and you need good corners and Walters. 1250 00:57:56,920 --> 00:57:58,440 Speaker 5: Who's gonna run a lot of cover one. 1251 00:57:58,480 --> 00:58:00,720 Speaker 2: Yep, yep. I think they're gonna have the to improve 1252 00:58:00,760 --> 00:58:04,200 Speaker 2: against the run. The offense. I love, I love Demon Williams. 1253 00:58:04,280 --> 00:58:06,360 Speaker 2: I love running back Jonah Coleman. I think that's going 1254 00:58:06,440 --> 00:58:09,200 Speaker 2: to be an issue for teams that cannot defend zone RD. 1255 00:58:09,800 --> 00:58:13,560 Speaker 2: Coleman for sixty seven miss tackles and one hundred and 1256 00:58:13,680 --> 00:58:16,479 Speaker 2: ninety two carries. He averaged four point three yards after 1257 00:58:16,560 --> 00:58:19,760 Speaker 2: first contact. I don't think Joonah Coleman was talked about enough. 1258 00:58:19,840 --> 00:58:23,360 Speaker 2: Last year. Demon Williams had nearly the same rate of 1259 00:58:23,440 --> 00:58:25,960 Speaker 2: forcing miss tackles. He added in an eight to one 1260 00:58:26,000 --> 00:58:27,960 Speaker 2: TD to I in t ratio. He took over as 1261 00:58:27,960 --> 00:58:30,480 Speaker 2: a starter the last two games against Oregon and Louisville. 1262 00:58:30,560 --> 00:58:32,920 Speaker 2: In the Bowl, he finished five and one T to 1263 00:58:32,960 --> 00:58:34,720 Speaker 2: I in T and a six to one big time 1264 00:58:34,760 --> 00:58:37,600 Speaker 2: throw turnover worthy play rate against Oregon and Louisville not 1265 00:58:37,760 --> 00:58:41,200 Speaker 2: like Sisters of the Poor here, not UC Davis. The 1266 00:58:41,240 --> 00:58:43,640 Speaker 2: offensive line should be improved. I mean, you could get anybody, 1267 00:58:44,320 --> 00:58:46,640 Speaker 2: it's going to be much better. The portal entries are 1268 00:58:46,640 --> 00:58:50,640 Speaker 2: mostly on the interior. They're inexperienced blindside tackle. Carver Willis 1269 00:58:50,680 --> 00:58:53,040 Speaker 2: started two years at right tackle for Kansas State, so 1270 00:58:53,040 --> 00:58:56,520 Speaker 2: maybe there's hostillity that stability there. And at the most part, 1271 00:58:56,560 --> 00:58:58,240 Speaker 2: coming in from Kansas State, you would think that there 1272 00:58:58,240 --> 00:59:01,520 Speaker 2: would be, you know, the ability to play offensive line. 1273 00:59:02,040 --> 00:59:03,880 Speaker 2: So I do like what they have on offense going 1274 00:59:03,880 --> 00:59:07,000 Speaker 2: for them. You mentioned it. Five teams will face Washington 1275 00:59:07,040 --> 00:59:10,480 Speaker 2: off of a bye week, Ohio State, Maryland, Rutgers, Illinois, Wisconsin. 1276 00:59:11,600 --> 00:59:13,640 Speaker 2: I think with Ryan Walters as a defensive coordinator, I 1277 00:59:13,680 --> 00:59:15,560 Speaker 2: have to ask, will Purdue even score a point on 1278 00:59:15,600 --> 00:59:19,160 Speaker 2: November fifteenth? That should be quite interesting. Heavy favorites and 1279 00:59:19,240 --> 00:59:22,880 Speaker 2: three non conference games and against Purdue. Both Rutgers at 1280 00:59:22,920 --> 00:59:25,960 Speaker 2: home and UCLA project as TD faves when they're on 1281 00:59:25,960 --> 00:59:28,480 Speaker 2: the road against Ucla and when you look at this 1282 00:59:28,520 --> 00:59:31,520 Speaker 2: travel schedule, like they only leave the time zone. I 1283 00:59:31,560 --> 00:59:35,200 Speaker 2: think three times Maryland if that's a real game, Michigan 1284 00:59:35,200 --> 00:59:37,640 Speaker 2: and in Wisconsin, right, so three separate trips. The rest 1285 00:59:37,680 --> 00:59:39,720 Speaker 2: of the time, they're almost always in the state of Washington. 1286 00:59:39,760 --> 00:59:42,000 Speaker 2: One trip down to California for UCLA. So I think 1287 00:59:42,040 --> 00:59:45,400 Speaker 2: I think the schedule is as bad as we're making 1288 00:59:45,400 --> 00:59:48,640 Speaker 2: it out to be. I have eight point one on 1289 00:59:48,760 --> 00:59:51,360 Speaker 2: this team, so I like over seven and a half, 1290 00:59:51,440 --> 00:59:52,840 Speaker 2: especially if you can find it plus money. I think 1291 00:59:52,880 --> 00:59:54,320 Speaker 2: there is a plus one on five out there, so 1292 00:59:54,560 --> 00:59:56,520 Speaker 2: I'll take Washington over seven and a half. 1293 00:59:57,480 --> 01:00:01,320 Speaker 5: Yeah, I project them right around eight eight wins over 1294 01:00:02,440 --> 01:00:07,080 Speaker 5: or nothing. One final reminder Wendy City Watch Party Week one. 1295 01:00:07,920 --> 01:00:09,640 Speaker 5: Make sure you join us there if you're in the 1296 01:00:09,720 --> 01:00:11,760 Speaker 5: Chicago area. I cannot wait to see all of you. 1297 01:00:12,240 --> 01:00:14,760 Speaker 5: Let's take a break here. That's nine Teams Part two 1298 01:00:15,400 --> 01:00:18,720 Speaker 5: coming up next. We'll start with Iowa and then go 1299 01:00:18,800 --> 01:00:22,080 Speaker 5: through Wisconsin, Rutgers, Minnesota, Michigan State, UCLA, Northwestern Maryland, and 1300 01:00:22,480 --> 01:00:25,640 Speaker 5: her Do. Thanks for tuning in. Make sure you subscribe 1301 01:00:25,640 --> 01:00:28,120 Speaker 5: on Subcribe Subscribe tel Friend five star review. We'll see 1302 01:00:28,160 --> 01:00:30,120 Speaker 5: y'all for Quork two. Cheers. 1303 01:00:30,160 --> 01:00:30,800 Speaker 2: Peace Out. 1304 01:00:39,120 --> 01:00:43,640 Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or 1305 01:00:43,680 --> 01:00:46,440 Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is 1306 01:00:46,480 --> 01:00:49,640 Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred gambler