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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place

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Speaker 1: your bets. It's me Joey p Joe Pi's apia in.

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Speaker 1: This is VP NFL. It's time to look ahead to

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Speaker 1: the best bets of week six. And what a week five.

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Speaker 1: We had Terrell Furman on fire, upsets everywhere, just making

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Speaker 1: rain for everybody. The Undertaker back with some more for

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Speaker 1: you as well, Andrew Erickson, and of course I'm here too,

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Speaker 1: hanging out with you. Don't forget everybody. Make sure you

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Speaker 1: download the Betting Pros app on iOS on androids. Start

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Speaker 1: betting smarter, not harder, to let us help you get

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Speaker 1: the most out of every single wager you place. And Terrell,

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Speaker 1: you are still relatively new here to the Betting Pros family,

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Speaker 1: So I'm going to introduce you to something called Accountabili buddies.

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Speaker 1: Now what accountabili buddies is is something that I have

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Speaker 1: been at times for Andrew when he has gone off

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Speaker 1: the rails. Sometimes even I go off the rails. And

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Speaker 1: Andrew has to be my accountabila buddy. But we left

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Speaker 1: last week and we promised everybody that our big argument

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Speaker 1: would we would come back and rehash it here in

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Speaker 1: the show. Not only did the Jets lose the game,

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Speaker 1: they didn't cover Sam Donald's victorious and the Jets are

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Speaker 1: without a head coach. So I think it's safe to

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Speaker 1: say that the Vikings handled the New York Jets. Now, look,

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Speaker 1: it doesn't undo all the good you did last week.

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Speaker 1: You did a lot of good on the shell. He

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Speaker 1: made a lot of people a lot of money. But

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Speaker 1: I am your accountabil buddy today and go Sam Donald your.

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Speaker 2: Thoughts yet again, yet again, yet again, Sam Donald has

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Speaker 2: found a way to get a Jets head coach fired.

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Speaker 1: And you know nailed it. If I nailed.

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Speaker 2: It, if I was a Jets head coach, I would

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Speaker 2: keep Sam Donald far and away. Doesn't matter what it

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Speaker 2: is do I don't want Sam Donald anywhere near this schedule,

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Speaker 2: anywhere near this team, no way, because he is a

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Speaker 2: cancer to all Jets head coaches everywhere. So nonetheless, I

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Speaker 2: was wrong about in a day a week where I

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Speaker 2: could hit anything, a week that I could hit anything.

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Speaker 2: I mean I even came out and hit Garrett Wilson

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Speaker 2: one hundred plus and touchdown like come on, like and

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Speaker 2: a week that I could hit anything any bet even

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Speaker 2: on the money line seven and a half point dog

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Speaker 2: six and a half point dog doesn't matter. In a

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Speaker 2: week that happens, I still couldn't hit the Jets, and

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Speaker 2: you know what, I'll.

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Speaker 1: Take that, of course, of course, I just give you a.

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Speaker 2: Defensive touchdown away from covering though, yes, a touchdown was

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Speaker 2: the thing that.

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Speaker 1: That was the one.

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Speaker 3: When I saw that happen, I was like, oh, yeah,

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Speaker 3: I'm not going to get this.

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Speaker 2: No matter how close this it gets, I'm going to

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Speaker 2: remember that defensive touchdown. And when I checked the final score,

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Speaker 2: that's gonna be the reason why I didn't win. So

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Speaker 2: you know what it is.

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Speaker 1: I am the Jet whisperer. And stay tuned because I

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Speaker 1: got more off the Jets bills later in the show today.

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Speaker 1: So let's get after it and let's talk about Week

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Speaker 1: six of the NFL. The Jaguars got on the board

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Speaker 1: finally with a w last week, which we all were

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Speaker 1: very confident about. Andrew Ericson, let's start with you here

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Speaker 1: today because you're going right back to those Jags and

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Speaker 1: the plus two and a half. Let's talk about it.

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Speaker 4: I love these London games. You just wake up. I'm

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Speaker 4: a winner. That's what I love to do. So I'm

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Speaker 4: going right back to Jacksonville. Jacksonville's had success more recently

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Speaker 4: playing in London two and oh straight up and against

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Speaker 4: the spread in London last season. Favorites are the bets

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Speaker 4: to make usually in these London games, along with the unders.

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Speaker 4: Now in this particular matchup, the Jaguars are not favored.

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Speaker 4: Is actually the Chicago Bears that are favored. But why

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Speaker 4: are the Chicago Bears favored? Yes, they are the designated

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Speaker 4: home team because the Chicago Bears played really well as

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Speaker 4: the designated home team, but they're not playing at home.

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Speaker 4: They're playing on the road essentially because they're playing in London,

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Speaker 4: where the Jaguars are basically the home team. So when

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Speaker 4: you look at upsets, right again talked about how favorites

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Speaker 4: are usually the team to bet on in these London games. Well,

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Speaker 4: the one upset last year was Jacksonville right against the

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Speaker 4: Buffalo Bills. So we've seen Jacksonville in this spot before

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Speaker 4: as an underdog despite the fact that they are really

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Speaker 4: the home team and come away with a victory. So

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Speaker 4: I think they're going to build on some of this

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Speaker 4: momentum here against a Bears team that traditionally under Matt

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Speaker 4: Egraflus does not play well on the road. We've seen

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Speaker 4: it already this season. They're three to zero home, zero

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Speaker 4: to two on the road. So they've been able to

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Speaker 4: be effective on offense because they've been able to run

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Speaker 4: the ball against two of the worst run defenses in

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Speaker 4: the NFL the last two weeks. Jacksonville's defense not good,

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Speaker 4: but it's really bad against the pass. I think that

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Speaker 4: the run defense is somewhat decent, and I think it's

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Speaker 4: going to be able to slow down the Bears run

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Speaker 4: game enough to cause them issues. It's Caleb Williams first

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Speaker 4: game internationally, a new setting and surrounding for a lot

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Speaker 4: of these Jaguars or these Bears players and Jacksonville.

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Speaker 5: This is a business trip for them. They've done this

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Speaker 5: all the time.

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Speaker 4: They have another game here next week, so I don't

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Speaker 4: think they're getting enough credit for the advantage that they

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Speaker 4: have playing in London versus a Bears team that traditionally

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Speaker 4: plays really bad away from Chicago. So give me the

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Speaker 4: Jaguars plus two and a half plus two Jags on

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Speaker 4: the money line.

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Speaker 1: With Larks in here, it does feel like the Jaguars

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Speaker 1: home away from home, and I have a lot of

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Speaker 1: questions about a rookie quarterback on this trip. You know,

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Speaker 1: the team that already is you know, up and down

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Speaker 1: and really has escaped with a couple victories period this year.

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Speaker 1: So let's not give the Bears too much credit here, Terrelle,

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Speaker 1: where are you on this one between the Bears and

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Speaker 1: the Jacks.

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Speaker 2: Well, if you have questions about a rookie quarterback, I

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Speaker 2: think I have the answers. You know, So rookie quarterbacks

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Speaker 2: in London are oh and to five ats oh and

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Speaker 2: five straight up, and in fact they've lost four of

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Speaker 2: the five games by fourteen plus points. So I don't

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Speaker 2: think this is a spot that we want to back

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Speaker 2: a rookie quarterback making this London trip. And then we

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Speaker 2: talk about how we don't trust Matt Eberflus as a coach.

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Speaker 2: You're telling me I want to trust him in an

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Speaker 2: international country, a different country.

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Speaker 3: No, absolutely not. I don't even trust him in this country.

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Speaker 3: So no, I'm not taking ebra flues.

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Speaker 2: And then we have another aspect where Erickson talked about

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Speaker 2: it the Jags.

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Speaker 3: This is a business trip.

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Speaker 2: So in fact this stadium they have a home hotel

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Speaker 2: and a host in a way hotel. The home team

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Speaker 2: stay in home away stay.

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Speaker 1: Yeah.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, so the Jacks are not staying in the away hotel.

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Speaker 2: They have their own commendations because they've been here so much,

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Speaker 2: they already have a relationship with the staff. They know, hey,

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Speaker 2: we get to see the Jags good like. They're excited

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Speaker 2: for this, so they don't even have to worry about that.

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Speaker 2: They have their own accommodations. They're ready and in fat Tottenham.

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Speaker 2: The Jags are two to zero in Tottenham when playing

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Speaker 2: in this stadium, four and five in playing in Wimbley

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Speaker 2: where they're playing next week. So I think that this

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Speaker 2: is a very very smash spot again business trip for

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Speaker 2: the Jags.

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Speaker 3: They know how to play this.

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Speaker 2: And then that Cleveland defense that everybody is so good

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Speaker 2: is towards the bottom of the league in rush Dvoa,

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Speaker 2: so Tanks Bigsby been really really good recently. I think

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Speaker 2: this is the build up game for Travis etn to

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Speaker 2: get his confidence back up. They're going to run the

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Speaker 2: ball and take the ball out of Goldilock's hands so

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Speaker 2: he doesn't lose them the game.

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Speaker 3: I'm taking the Jags all the way all.

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Speaker 1: Right, three for three here on the Jags. Hopefully it

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Speaker 1: goes well here. Let's get to the next contest here too.

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Speaker 1: Let's stick with you. Let's talk about Tampa and New Orleans. Now,

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Speaker 1: New Orleans gonna be without Derek Carr for a few weeks,

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Speaker 1: so next man up at the QB position. We'll see

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Speaker 1: how that goes here. But a huge game for Tampa.

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Speaker 1: And I feel like, you know, if you have the

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Speaker 1: hell the Stars a line, if you're the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, like,

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Speaker 1: this is what you want. You want to be playing

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Speaker 1: New Orleans when they're without Derek Carr, and this is

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Speaker 1: your opportunity to take care of business. That being said,

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Speaker 1: what's your approach on this game? Are you're on the

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Speaker 1: Tampa side? Are you on the over under? Where are you?

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Speaker 3: Yeah?

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Speaker 2: I mean everybody Gary Kubiak has his stock has fallen

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Speaker 2: so much from Week one to now that it's crazy.

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Speaker 2: And this offense has looked horrible. And now that throwing

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Speaker 2: out a rookie quarterback against Todd Bowles and his blitzing defense,

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Speaker 2: that's gonna get after him. I've lived in Columbia, South

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Speaker 2: Carolina when Spencer Ratler was the quarterback there, and I'm

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Speaker 2: telling you, you get pressure into his face and it's

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Speaker 2: going to be an issue. I think the Saints are

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Speaker 2: going to have trouble scoring. And then on the other side,

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Speaker 2: you look at the New Orleans Saints and that defense

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Speaker 2: has been live all year. Quarterbacks have struggled to get

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Speaker 2: things going. They defended the pass very very well, and

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Speaker 2: so I think points are at a premium here. Honestly, truly,

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Speaker 2: if you would like a fun, awesome bet, I think

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Speaker 2: that you should go ahead and take the no touchdown

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Speaker 2: scored for the game, no touchdown scoed. If this was

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Speaker 2: a nine to six game, I would not be surprised.

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Speaker 2: I'm taking the under forty one here, all.

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Speaker 1: Right, So we are all in the Jacksonville game, I know,

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Speaker 1: anywhere from taking the two to just taking the money

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Speaker 1: line straight up. Ericson what about the over under for

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Speaker 1: that game too, just kind of put a button on

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Speaker 1: that London conversation before we move on to the next one.

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Speaker 4: Well, this is the best way. If you're a West Coaster,

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Speaker 4: you wake up, you miss no football that's actually entertaining

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Speaker 4: that you want to watch. You just bet the under,

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Speaker 4: because that's what's happened in six straight international games. You've

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Speaker 4: gone under the projected total. You're taking players out of

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Speaker 4: their routines, you see offenses not in sync, and I

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Speaker 4: think that's what we're gonna see in this matchup. Something

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Speaker 4: that's really important to know when you look at Jacksonville's offense, right,

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Speaker 4: great week last week because they played the Colts. If

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Speaker 4: you look at what they've done historically last couple or

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Speaker 4: last year, basically they've scored thirty or more points four

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Speaker 4: times since the start of last year. Three of those

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Speaker 4: times have been against the Colts. So like there's a

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Speaker 4: correlation between their offense playing really well. I do think

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Speaker 4: they can carry some momentum over into this game, which

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Speaker 4: is why I like them, But offensively, I don't think

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Speaker 4: we're gonna see the same type of fireworks we saw

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Speaker 4: from them last year or last week against the Colts.

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Speaker 4: So look, Jaguars last six games at neutral venues have

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Speaker 4: gone under the total. Six of the jags last nine

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Speaker 4: games have gone under the total. For the Bears last

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Speaker 4: six games have gone under the total. All the trends

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Speaker 4: are under under. Bears last five games on the road

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Speaker 4: under the total. Right, So all the trends for these

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Speaker 4: two teams for this venue across the pond are all

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Speaker 4: under under under. So I'm just gonna continue to ride

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Speaker 4: the trends and.

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Speaker 1: Forty four and a half is a pretty solid number two.

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Speaker 1: Like that's not like yeah thirty high, that's so yeah,

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Speaker 1: I'm in with you on this one. I've already bet it.

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Speaker 1: Go ahead follow us bettingpros dot com slash trail, slash

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Speaker 1: Joe slash ericson getting on there. Also, don't forget while

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Speaker 1: you're at it, make sure you join our discord as well.

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Speaker 1: So you can join our exclusive betting discord community at

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Speaker 1: from the expert handicappers, you can connect with other betters

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Speaker 1: as I said before, and you can really bring your

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Speaker 1: the podcast, but also being part of that community right now.

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Speaker 1: And speaking of which, even if you are new to

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Speaker 1: still have fun and make picks when you download the

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Speaker 1: Betting pros app because we have that NFL podcast group too.

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Speaker 1: All you can do is synk your picks and use

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Speaker 1: the quick pick feature on the Betting pros app. Super

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Speaker 1: easy to do. You can win prizes. We can weekly prizes,

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Speaker 1: monthly prizes. So get some free stuff, make some picks,

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Speaker 1: have some fun. Even if you can't win money, maybe

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Speaker 1: you can win some free stuff. So again, check it

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Speaker 1: out over there as well. Let's get to the next

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Speaker 1: pick on the board here, let's go to the Packers.

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Speaker 1: So the Packers here with Jordan Love disappointed me a

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Speaker 1: little bit last week, Torell, I'm not gonna lie. I

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Speaker 1: was looking for a more firework from the Green Bay offense.

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Speaker 1: I got Tucker Craft and the rest was kind of mid.

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Speaker 1: They're taking on the Arizona Cardinals coming out of a

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Speaker 1: huge victory. They are favored by five. Do you think

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Speaker 1: that is correct? Yeah?

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Speaker 3: I think that.

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Speaker 2: Well, I don't think it's correct. I think that it

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Speaker 2: should be more because I think the Packers is gonna cover.

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Speaker 2: Because the Jordan Love has experienced that. You have to

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Speaker 2: be ready for Joe. As somebody who every week does

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Speaker 2: a spot on Green Bay Radio, I understand you gotta

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Speaker 2: be up and down. It's gonna be ugly, but it's

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Speaker 2: gonna be so great too. And I mean he's gonna

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Speaker 2: carve up this Cardinals defense coming off the letdown spot

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Speaker 2: after beating the forty nine ers last week. I think

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Speaker 2: going into Green Bay, that's gonna be a tough little matchup.

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Speaker 2: And then the Packers look really really healthy. Now Doves

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Speaker 2: is off of his suspension for asking for more playing

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Speaker 2: to I don't who knows he was suspended, but his

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Speaker 2: target Christian Watts's targets, Yeah, I get, I guess. I mean,

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Speaker 2: I mean, when you have Christian Watson, Romeo Doves.

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Speaker 3: Jalen Reed, Tavian Wigs, like, you have.

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Speaker 2: So many options, and I think that's it, Like they

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Speaker 2: just can't cover all these options. And Jordan Love is

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Speaker 2: so good with spreading them football around. He just has

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Speaker 2: to limit the turnovers. That's the thing that we really

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Speaker 2: really need limited turnovers. And I think that this is

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Speaker 2: a cruise cruise, cruise into a nice cover. Josh Jacobs

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Speaker 2: is running the ball really really well, and I'm looking

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Speaker 2: for the letdown spot. I think that there's questions for

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Speaker 2: me in this Cardinals offense and how they look in

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Speaker 2: second half of games sometimes, and so I really really

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Speaker 2: do like this Packers laying the five.

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Speaker 1: I'd love to see Christian Watson back, and I get

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Speaker 1: it this week, but hopefully soon. I just wanted to

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Speaker 1: see Christian Watson play football with Jordan Love at the

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Speaker 1: same time. That's all I want for Christmas. Please can

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Speaker 1: I have it. Let's get to the Eagles coming off

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Speaker 1: of buye They're taking on the Cleveland Browns or can't

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Speaker 1: get over there over last week's loss, or out of

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Speaker 1: their own way. Maybe I don't know. The Cleveland Browns

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Speaker 1: just like an organization that is just doomed forever. But

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Speaker 1: hopefully for the Eagles, you're getting back some keywide receivers,

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Speaker 1: You're having a little bit of rest time. Could not

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Speaker 1: be a more perfect time, I think for the bye

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Speaker 1: week for the Philadelphia Eagles. So let's talk about this

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Speaker 1: here or how do you want to approach Cleveland, Philly Erickson?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I think that the Eagles are in a great spot,

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Speaker 4: kind of like you alluded to talking about getting all

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Speaker 4: the toys back for Jalen Hurts, Lane Johnson, Devonte Smith,

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Speaker 4: AJ Brown. We're going to see this offense back at

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Speaker 4: its peak. Performance which has been missing the last couple

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Speaker 4: of weeks with Jalen Hurts. So you look at the spread, right,

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Speaker 4: it's massive number. I think, what nine and a half.

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Speaker 4: Now the Eagles are favored. I just can't do that

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Speaker 4: large of a spread. So I'm looking at it as

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Speaker 4: just give me the over in this game. I think

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Speaker 4: that the Eagles can are gonna be able to put

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Speaker 4: up points against the Cleveland Browns. We talked about this

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Speaker 4: last week with the Browns and the Commanders. The game

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Speaker 4: went over the total. The Commanders just put up all

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Speaker 4: the points on the on the Cleveland Browns and the

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Speaker 4: Browns did nothing and it's still went over the total.

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Speaker 4: So that's how I kind of view this game, because

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Speaker 4: what if I don't know, the Browns take Deshaun Watson

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Speaker 4: out and they put Jameis Winston. He throws two touchdowns

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Speaker 4: because that's what he does, and then you don't cover

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Speaker 4: the big spread. But what happens you still go over

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Speaker 4: the game total. So the fact that it's at forty

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Speaker 4: two and a half, eleven of the browns last thirteen

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Speaker 4: road games have gone over the total. The Eagles are

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Speaker 4: seven and two towards the over at home since the

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Speaker 4: start of twenty twenty three, the Brown's been a bottom

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Speaker 4: five run defense. So whether it's through Saquon, whether it's

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Speaker 4: a j Brown, DeVante Smith, I'm very confident the Eagles

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Speaker 4: offense is going to put put points here and the

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Speaker 4: other thing that kind of gets me away from the spread.

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Speaker 4: I'm not sure who mentioned it to me earlier this week,

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Speaker 4: but Jalen Hurts has been a bit of a turnover machine,

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Speaker 4: which I don't like. Yeah it was you, So that

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Speaker 4: again concerns me from a point of I don't know

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Speaker 4: if I want to be laying nine and a half

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Speaker 4: points with Eagles when oh, the Brown's going to pick six.

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Speaker 4: Oh no, now they're down by seven points, Whereas, oh,

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Speaker 4: I just want points overall. So I'm just kind of

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Speaker 4: following the process with last week, where whenever Deshaun Watson

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Speaker 4: gets the ball, it's either going to be a pick

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Speaker 4: six for the other team or an eighty r touchdown

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Speaker 4: to Marii Cooper because eventually that's going to happen. He's

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Speaker 4: going to connect on one of these deep plays. So

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Speaker 4: Eagles are also very bad in terms of misstackles. Their

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Speaker 4: defense has been missing tackles all over the place. Of

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Speaker 4: this season, so give me the over, especially again, I

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Speaker 4: was really surprised forty two and a half. I know

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Speaker 4: the Browns offense is bad and horrible, but their defense

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Speaker 4: has also been horrible as well, so I'm gonna take

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Speaker 4: the over.

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Speaker 1: Well. On Monday we talked about on the look Ahead

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Speaker 1: show that was my big fear is the do you

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Speaker 1: get the Winston appearance and do you get garbage time points?

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Speaker 1: And that is my biggest fear. I'm with you. I

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Speaker 1: like the over in this one too. I think that's

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Speaker 1: probably the best safest way to approach this game for sure.

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Speaker 1: All Right, Terrell, let's go back to you for another

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Speaker 1: pick here in week six. We've got two more for

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Speaker 1: each of you. Then we'll get to the upset special

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Speaker 1: in the parlay of the week. We'll keep our fingers crossed.

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Speaker 1: Last week was not good. We got to bounce back

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Speaker 1: from this. So last week Andrew said, Joe, please, no

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Speaker 1: matter what happens, don't let me bet the Panthers anymore. Now.

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Speaker 1: Do I have to do that with you again today?

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Speaker 1: Because I've seen like you're on the Panthers this week.

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Speaker 3: I mean, you could do it, but you're going to

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Speaker 3: miss out on money. All right, I've been.

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Speaker 2: Telling you, I've been telling you the guys about the

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Speaker 2: close your eyes special.

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Speaker 3: Here we go is now we keep coming.

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Speaker 5: You get it with the Panthers before, and it didn't work.

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Speaker 2: All right, but we did. We then got on a heater.

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Speaker 2: We went and we cashed the Rams out right. We

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Speaker 2: went and we cashed the Cardinals outright. When everybody told

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Speaker 2: me I was foolish to take both of those tool teams,

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Speaker 2: absolutely foolish, and yet they cashed us outright dogs.

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Speaker 3: So here we go.

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Speaker 2: We have the Carolina Panthers who play the Falcons pretty well.

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Speaker 2: We have a dome team going outside in Carolina. And

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Speaker 2: then let's look at what the Falcons have done this season.

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Speaker 2: If the line is plus six, I want you to

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Speaker 2: remember that Week one they lost by eight, Week two

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Speaker 2: they won by one, Week three they lost by five,

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Speaker 2: Weeks four they won by two, and Week five they

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Speaker 2: won by six. They have not won a game by

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Speaker 2: more than a touchdown this season. Why because this offense

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Speaker 2: isn't that good. The defense is lackluster, and they let

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Speaker 2: the Bucks go up and down the field on them.

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Speaker 2: And you had the red rifle. Now we have the

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Speaker 2: red rifle in a close your eyes special Why are

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Speaker 2: we not taking this? Of course, it's supposed to be ugly,

383
00:16:49,760 --> 00:16:51,960
Speaker 2: is supposed to be nasty. You're supposed to look at

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Speaker 2: it and be like, there's no way I'm gonna bet it,

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Speaker 2: But you're gonna bet it anyway, and it's gonna hit.

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Speaker 2: Give me the Carolina Panthers plus six. I think that

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Speaker 2: Andy Dalton and Choopa Hubbard, this offense is gonna go

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Speaker 2: up and down the field on this defense of the

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Speaker 2: Carolina Panthers. Deonze Johnson gonna have very very good game here,

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Speaker 2: and then Kirk Cousins is gonna give me one.

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Speaker 3: I know it. Kirk Cousins is absolutely gonna give me one.

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Speaker 2: This is a perfect letdown spot after that crazy overtime

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Speaker 2: win on Thursday Night Football. Yes, six points six, No way,

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Speaker 2: I'm not laying six points with Kirk Cousins in this

395
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Speaker 2: Atlanta Falcons saying give me the Panthers plus six and

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Speaker 2: sprinkling money line.

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Speaker 1: You know what, You're You're not wrong. There definitely could

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Speaker 1: be a letdown here, especially after that incredible performance. But

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Speaker 1: we'll see, we'll see what Kirk Cousins five and four touchdowns, Well,

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Speaker 1: anything's a letdown after that.

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Speaker 5: But because he's got darnl Mooney did.

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Speaker 1: That's right, he.

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Speaker 2: Was wide receiver sixty nine. That's insane. The fact that

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Speaker 2: where's he at right now? Let me go find out

405
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Speaker 2: his new where's his wide receiver standings now? Sixty nine

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Speaker 2: was insane.

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Speaker 1: He's got to be top twenty after what he's done

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Speaker 1: so far in these couple games. Has to be speaking

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Speaker 1: to close your eyes. The Colts are playing the Titans

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Speaker 1: this week. Let's talk about the Titans are home favorites

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Speaker 1: in this one. Andrew, how do we approach Titans Colts?

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Speaker 4: You bet on the team that's favored whenever they're playing

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Speaker 4: the Colts, because fifteen of the last Colts seventeen games,

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Speaker 4: the favorites have won. So this is the process that

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Speaker 4: you follow. And when you look at the Titans, I

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Speaker 4: remember talking about this on the show last year, where

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Speaker 4: when the Titans are at home they play significantly better,

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Speaker 4: and a lot of it has to do with their

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Speaker 4: offensive line. Offensive lines don't travel well, but they play

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Speaker 4: much better at home. They're five and six at home

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Speaker 4: since start of twenty twenty three, sixty percent against the

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Speaker 4: spread in their last ten home games. And when you

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Speaker 4: talk about two teams kind of going in different directions.

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Speaker 4: The Tennessee Titans are come off a bye week. They

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Speaker 4: are fully healthy across the board, whereas the Colts Anthea

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Speaker 4: Richardson is coming back off an injury. They don't have

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Speaker 4: Michael Pittman, he's not going to play in this game.

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Speaker 4: Josh Downs is missing practice, he has a toe injury.

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Speaker 4: Starting running back Jonathan Taylor is hurt. Trey Sermon, the

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Speaker 4: number two running back, he's also dealing with an injury.

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00:18:54,440 --> 00:18:57,080
Speaker 4: So Shane Steichen is running out of pieces to work

432
00:18:57,119 --> 00:18:59,879
Speaker 4: with here to get this offense up and functioning. And

433
00:19:00,160 --> 00:19:02,800
Speaker 4: to make matters worse, He's not facing Jacksonville this week.

434
00:19:03,000 --> 00:19:05,640
Speaker 4: He's facing an actual defense in the Tennessee Titans that's

435
00:19:05,680 --> 00:19:08,520
Speaker 4: been really good and underrated and they haven't got enough

436
00:19:08,520 --> 00:19:10,879
Speaker 4: credit because well Levis keeps turning the ball over like

437
00:19:10,920 --> 00:19:14,440
Speaker 4: a madman. So yes, that's the one concern is, well

438
00:19:14,560 --> 00:19:16,359
Speaker 4: Levis is going to give the game away ericson what

439
00:19:16,400 --> 00:19:19,199
Speaker 4: are you thinking? Well, Anthony Richardson also tends to give

440
00:19:19,200 --> 00:19:21,040
Speaker 4: away games as well, and I think that he's ended

441
00:19:21,119 --> 00:19:22,480
Speaker 4: up going to be the starter in this game. I

442
00:19:22,480 --> 00:19:24,480
Speaker 4: think that he's going to play So for me, I'm

443
00:19:24,480 --> 00:19:27,399
Speaker 4: going to back the Titans playing at home against undermanned

444
00:19:27,680 --> 00:19:28,640
Speaker 4: Colts offense.

445
00:19:28,960 --> 00:19:31,760
Speaker 1: All right. By the way, Darnell Mooney is wide receiver fourteen.

446
00:19:32,040 --> 00:19:34,920
Speaker 1: I just looked down Fantasy Person fourteen on the air.

447
00:19:34,960 --> 00:19:38,560
Speaker 1: That's a pretty good jump from wide receivers let steal. Indeed, look,

448
00:19:38,600 --> 00:19:40,520
Speaker 1: you and I were both in agreement on that. How

449
00:19:40,520 --> 00:19:43,000
Speaker 1: many mock drafts Andrew did we do where I took

450
00:19:43,040 --> 00:19:46,040
Speaker 1: Darnal Mooney just I did in flex. I'm just mad

451
00:19:46,080 --> 00:19:48,160
Speaker 1: because I had to drop in FLEXA had so many injuries.

452
00:19:48,160 --> 00:19:50,680
Speaker 1: I had dropped in this week two before things started

453
00:19:50,720 --> 00:19:54,080
Speaker 1: going well, and I'm regretting it ever since. But that's

454
00:19:54,200 --> 00:19:56,200
Speaker 1: the game we play. All right. We've got one more

455
00:19:56,240 --> 00:19:59,399
Speaker 1: from each of the guys here. Let's talk about your Giants, Terrell.

456
00:20:00,320 --> 00:20:03,400
Speaker 1: They are playing the Cincinnati Bengals. Jamar Chase and Joe

457
00:20:03,400 --> 00:20:06,320
Speaker 1: Burrow look good, the defense not so much. So how

458
00:20:06,320 --> 00:20:09,359
Speaker 1: do you approach Giants Bengals and what could be a

459
00:20:09,400 --> 00:20:10,280
Speaker 1: potential over.

460
00:20:11,320 --> 00:20:14,640
Speaker 2: Well, we're looking here and as we time of recording,

461
00:20:14,800 --> 00:20:18,080
Speaker 2: Milik Neighbors is on track to play. If Milik Neighbors plays,

462
00:20:18,280 --> 00:20:20,520
Speaker 2: they had I mean, come on, now, Milik Neighbors and

463
00:20:20,560 --> 00:20:24,360
Speaker 2: Wandelle Robinson have been amazing this year, just peppered with targets,

464
00:20:24,400 --> 00:20:27,240
Speaker 2: double digit targets, double digit receptions in games like they've

465
00:20:27,280 --> 00:20:31,000
Speaker 2: been so good. The offensive line has held intact. And

466
00:20:31,119 --> 00:20:34,120
Speaker 2: this defense for the Bengals is horrible. They've they even

467
00:20:34,160 --> 00:20:36,640
Speaker 2: called them out. They got called out and they said, yeah,

468
00:20:36,680 --> 00:20:39,000
Speaker 2: we've been playing like crap. They used another word. But

469
00:20:39,000 --> 00:20:41,080
Speaker 2: we're a family show, so I'm not gonna say that one.

470
00:20:41,240 --> 00:20:45,080
Speaker 2: But it's been really, really bad. And I think everybody

471
00:20:45,160 --> 00:20:47,679
Speaker 2: keys backing on Joe Burrow just figuring it out and

472
00:20:47,720 --> 00:20:49,879
Speaker 2: pulling through, and hey, they're going to get a bounced

473
00:20:49,920 --> 00:20:51,800
Speaker 2: back spot after losing that game and they're playing the

474
00:20:51,840 --> 00:20:54,480
Speaker 2: Giants and this is primetime, and Daniel Jones is bad

475
00:20:54,480 --> 00:20:56,720
Speaker 2: in primetime. No, we have a defense and they do not.

476
00:20:57,040 --> 00:20:59,399
Speaker 2: Like That's simply what it is. The Giants have a defense.

477
00:20:59,400 --> 00:21:01,280
Speaker 2: They have a very very good defense. In fact, the

478
00:21:01,280 --> 00:21:03,439
Speaker 2: Giants lead the league in sacks. So I think that

479
00:21:03,440 --> 00:21:05,840
Speaker 2: they're gonna get to the quarterback and they're gonna throw

480
00:21:05,920 --> 00:21:08,560
Speaker 2: Joe Burrow off. But this is more of just a

481
00:21:08,560 --> 00:21:12,520
Speaker 2: fade of the betting market because everybody is betting the

482
00:21:12,560 --> 00:21:16,240
Speaker 2: Bengals laying three and a half. Everybody, there's eighty percent

483
00:21:16,240 --> 00:21:18,520
Speaker 2: of the money on Bengals laying three and a half

484
00:21:18,560 --> 00:21:22,640
Speaker 2: in a primetime standalone game. Yet the line keeps falling

485
00:21:22,760 --> 00:21:27,520
Speaker 2: towards the Giants. Why because, of course reverse line movement.

486
00:21:27,560 --> 00:21:29,919
Speaker 2: They know something that is a huge system that I

487
00:21:30,000 --> 00:21:34,280
Speaker 2: can't just ignore. Primetime game. Reverse line movement is simple.

488
00:21:34,320 --> 00:21:37,200
Speaker 2: You take the Giants at the very worst case scenario,

489
00:21:37,200 --> 00:21:38,520
Speaker 2: Giants lose this game by three.

490
00:21:39,840 --> 00:21:42,200
Speaker 1: On betting pros, you can see where the money's coming into.

491
00:21:42,680 --> 00:21:44,600
Speaker 1: So it's a great way for you to fade the

492
00:21:44,640 --> 00:21:47,040
Speaker 1: public when you're seeing those things happen again. It can

493
00:21:47,040 --> 00:21:51,160
Speaker 1: also set the line alerts to so if you're waiting

494
00:21:51,160 --> 00:21:52,679
Speaker 1: to see when neighbors is in or out of this

495
00:21:52,720 --> 00:21:54,320
Speaker 1: game and make your move there on the over or

496
00:21:54,320 --> 00:21:56,919
Speaker 1: something like that, use the tools of betting pros to

497
00:21:56,960 --> 00:21:58,720
Speaker 1: make sure that you're getting the best line at the

498
00:21:58,720 --> 00:22:01,720
Speaker 1: best time. Let's get to you Andrew for one more here.

499
00:22:01,840 --> 00:22:05,000
Speaker 1: Let's talk about our New England Patriots. And so we

500
00:22:05,040 --> 00:22:07,480
Speaker 1: just talked about Terrell's New York Giants. Drake May's gonna

501
00:22:07,520 --> 00:22:12,040
Speaker 1: make his debut. I'm worried, I'm worried. This is how

502
00:22:12,040 --> 00:22:13,880
Speaker 1: you break your new toys. I want to keep them

503
00:22:14,280 --> 00:22:17,399
Speaker 1: in the original package for as long as I possibly can, Andrew,

504
00:22:17,520 --> 00:22:19,119
Speaker 1: because I feel like as soon as we unwrap and

505
00:22:19,160 --> 00:22:22,440
Speaker 1: it's going to start to lose its value. So Texans, Pats,

506
00:22:22,560 --> 00:22:23,400
Speaker 1: what are you doing with it?

507
00:22:23,880 --> 00:22:27,000
Speaker 4: Girodmeo simply couldn't wait for Christmas. He had to open

508
00:22:27,119 --> 00:22:29,480
Speaker 4: up the Christmas present. He's like, Nope, we gotta do

509
00:22:29,560 --> 00:22:32,520
Speaker 4: it Drake May in October. It's happening, you know, even

510
00:22:32,520 --> 00:22:35,080
Speaker 4: they're playing Jacksonville next week. He's, nah, we got to

511
00:22:35,119 --> 00:22:37,680
Speaker 4: open it up against Houston Texans and their number one

512
00:22:37,760 --> 00:22:40,920
Speaker 4: pressure rate against our offensive line that cannot block it all.

513
00:22:41,080 --> 00:22:44,960
Speaker 4: So those are obviously the hurdles Drake mayhas to overcoming.

514
00:22:45,000 --> 00:22:48,199
Speaker 4: His Patriots offense is the pressure, and that's obviously baked

515
00:22:48,240 --> 00:22:51,240
Speaker 4: into the touchdown seven point line here with the Patriots

516
00:22:51,240 --> 00:22:54,439
Speaker 4: at home. But the Texans, this is just a spot

517
00:22:54,480 --> 00:22:56,960
Speaker 4: where they never cover these spreads. Look at what they've

518
00:22:56,960 --> 00:22:58,480
Speaker 4: done four and twelve against the spread in their last

519
00:22:58,480 --> 00:23:00,760
Speaker 4: sixteen games as favorites, ten against the spread as a

520
00:23:00,800 --> 00:23:03,359
Speaker 4: favorite since the start of twenty twenty three. Eleven of

521
00:23:03,400 --> 00:23:07,360
Speaker 4: their last thirteen wins have been by seven or fewer points.

522
00:23:07,760 --> 00:23:10,200
Speaker 4: They don't blow out teams, And now you're telling me

523
00:23:10,240 --> 00:23:12,359
Speaker 4: they're going to blow out the Patriots on the road.

524
00:23:12,480 --> 00:23:15,400
Speaker 4: Without their number one wide receiver Nico Collins, who's been

525
00:23:15,440 --> 00:23:18,000
Speaker 4: the reason they've been able to put up points in

526
00:23:18,119 --> 00:23:21,840
Speaker 4: past weeks. This offense hasn't been functioning at nearly the

527
00:23:21,880 --> 00:23:24,320
Speaker 4: perception that we all thought heading into the season that

528
00:23:24,320 --> 00:23:27,880
Speaker 4: it would pore format. So you have Stefan Diggs, what's

529
00:23:27,880 --> 00:23:29,600
Speaker 4: gonna happen with him? I think he's going to get

530
00:23:29,600 --> 00:23:32,960
Speaker 4: locked up by Christian Gonzales, So that puts you're limiting

531
00:23:33,040 --> 00:23:36,760
Speaker 4: what type of weapons the Texans have Offensively, Yes, Tank

532
00:23:36,840 --> 00:23:38,399
Speaker 4: Dallak think can step up in this matchup, but we

533
00:23:38,440 --> 00:23:40,960
Speaker 4: know the Texans without Joe Mixon, they continue to run

534
00:23:41,040 --> 00:23:43,520
Speaker 4: the ball inefficiently. That's not going to lead to scoring

535
00:23:43,560 --> 00:23:45,840
Speaker 4: points lead, that's not going to lead to teams blowing

536
00:23:45,880 --> 00:23:48,159
Speaker 4: them out. So I'm not really high on the Texans

537
00:23:48,200 --> 00:23:50,480
Speaker 4: in this particular matchup to really put it to the

538
00:23:50,760 --> 00:23:54,560
Speaker 4: Patriots on the road. And Drake may what worst case scenario?

539
00:23:54,560 --> 00:23:56,479
Speaker 4: He says, just as bad as Jakobe Prissett was. But

540
00:23:56,800 --> 00:23:58,240
Speaker 4: I just don't think that's going to be the case

541
00:23:58,280 --> 00:24:00,720
Speaker 4: here because behind a bad offensive line, what can he

542
00:24:00,800 --> 00:24:04,119
Speaker 4: offer that Jacoby Prissette couldn't. Mobility, the ability to just

543
00:24:04,160 --> 00:24:07,200
Speaker 4: make plays off script and do something that Jacoby Pressett

544
00:24:07,240 --> 00:24:09,239
Speaker 4: could not. That's why May was putting him in because, Hey,

545
00:24:09,320 --> 00:24:11,440
Speaker 4: I know the offensive line is terrible, but Jacoby can't

546
00:24:11,440 --> 00:24:13,800
Speaker 4: do anything behind it. I think Drake May can. That's

547
00:24:13,800 --> 00:24:15,800
Speaker 4: why when we're talking about the prop show, Drake May

548
00:24:16,160 --> 00:24:18,399
Speaker 4: give me all the overs on that rushing it's.

549
00:24:18,280 --> 00:24:23,080
Speaker 5: Going to I said yet.

550
00:24:23,400 --> 00:24:25,960
Speaker 4: I haven't seen it yet, but he averaged fifty six

551
00:24:26,040 --> 00:24:28,160
Speaker 4: rushing yards per game in college the last two years.

552
00:24:28,160 --> 00:24:30,200
Speaker 4: So I'm going to take the over. But I think

553
00:24:30,240 --> 00:24:32,760
Speaker 4: that the Patriots can keep it closer. They should be

554
00:24:32,800 --> 00:24:35,080
Speaker 4: tun against the spread at home this season. They kept

555
00:24:35,080 --> 00:24:37,800
Speaker 4: gets took tight at home, losing. They should have won

556
00:24:37,880 --> 00:24:40,719
Speaker 4: last week because Jalen Pole scored the touchdown and they

557
00:24:40,720 --> 00:24:42,120
Speaker 4: should have beat the Seahawks in overtime.

558
00:24:42,200 --> 00:24:44,080
Speaker 5: So I'm going to back the Patriots plus seven.

559
00:24:45,119 --> 00:24:48,280
Speaker 2: So if I put on my villain hat, you know, villainy,

560
00:24:48,400 --> 00:24:51,280
Speaker 2: I love it, doesn't that mean they should be starting

561
00:24:51,840 --> 00:24:52,800
Speaker 2: Joe Milton.

562
00:24:54,520 --> 00:24:56,840
Speaker 4: I mean, I don't disagree honestly, if they wanted to

563
00:24:56,920 --> 00:24:59,320
Speaker 4: really keep him in bubble wrap.

564
00:25:00,119 --> 00:25:01,440
Speaker 3: Is what you're looking for?

565
00:25:02,400 --> 00:25:05,040
Speaker 1: Well, Andrew, by the way, I was pretty close on

566
00:25:05,119 --> 00:25:06,920
Speaker 1: Monday when we talked about this and made a joke,

567
00:25:06,920 --> 00:25:08,680
Speaker 1: I said it at twenty two and a half. It's

568
00:25:08,720 --> 00:25:10,320
Speaker 1: twenty four and a half. I just found it.

569
00:25:10,400 --> 00:25:12,880
Speaker 5: So now it's been at twenty four and a half

570
00:25:12,920 --> 00:25:13,840
Speaker 5: or has it been bet up?

571
00:25:13,960 --> 00:25:15,760
Speaker 1: I don't know. All I see is twenty four and

572
00:25:15,800 --> 00:25:17,200
Speaker 1: a half. That's where I see right now.

573
00:25:17,240 --> 00:25:20,240
Speaker 5: So teaser and that's going to be on show.

574
00:25:20,080 --> 00:25:23,520
Speaker 1: For Drake may rushing yards twenty four and a half. Yep,

575
00:25:24,400 --> 00:25:25,800
Speaker 1: that was take that over there you go.

576
00:25:25,880 --> 00:25:27,439
Speaker 5: That's right, God boys doing it.

577
00:25:27,480 --> 00:25:29,119
Speaker 1: Right here on the show. All right. So those are

578
00:25:29,160 --> 00:25:32,159
Speaker 1: the guy's favorite picks for Week six. I have my

579
00:25:32,280 --> 00:25:34,400
Speaker 1: upset special and I think we might have to come

580
00:25:34,440 --> 00:25:36,679
Speaker 1: to the realization, folks, that maybe the Denver Broncos are

581
00:25:36,760 --> 00:25:39,080
Speaker 1: as bad as we thought they might be. The defense

582
00:25:39,160 --> 00:25:40,919
Speaker 1: is pretty good there at home. I know the Chargers

583
00:25:40,920 --> 00:25:43,000
Speaker 1: are coming off of BUYE, but I'm not really afraid

584
00:25:43,000 --> 00:25:44,719
Speaker 1: of the Chargers. I'm just not They've had a lot

585
00:25:44,760 --> 00:25:46,200
Speaker 1: of injuries to deal with too, and I just don't

586
00:25:46,200 --> 00:25:49,000
Speaker 1: know how healthy that team is. So, like Terrell says,

587
00:25:49,080 --> 00:25:51,160
Speaker 1: you bet the money line on your underdogs, and look,

588
00:25:51,760 --> 00:25:55,119
Speaker 1: give me the home dog Denver Broncos plus three and

589
00:25:55,200 --> 00:25:57,160
Speaker 1: on the money line plus one thirty. I like that,

590
00:25:57,240 --> 00:25:58,720
Speaker 1: And if you want to make some extra money on it,

591
00:25:58,800 --> 00:26:00,040
Speaker 1: let's put it with two things that I think you

592
00:26:00,080 --> 00:26:01,000
Speaker 1: know confident about.

593
00:26:01,040 --> 00:26:01,159
Speaker 2: Now.

594
00:26:01,240 --> 00:26:03,360
Speaker 1: Last week I was confident about a couple of things

595
00:26:03,359 --> 00:26:05,960
Speaker 1: that did not go my way. But we shake the

596
00:26:06,040 --> 00:26:09,000
Speaker 1: dust off, we move on. We're on to Cincinnati, and

597
00:26:09,040 --> 00:26:11,600
Speaker 1: by that I really mean we're onto Philadelphia. Give me

598
00:26:11,800 --> 00:26:13,919
Speaker 1: the Philadelphia Eagles on the money line along with the

599
00:26:13,920 --> 00:26:16,680
Speaker 1: Broncos money line, and then give me the Buffalo Bills

600
00:26:17,200 --> 00:26:20,040
Speaker 1: minus two and a half to kick the crap out

601
00:26:20,080 --> 00:26:23,040
Speaker 1: of the New York Jets. Because normally, when a team

602
00:26:23,080 --> 00:26:26,239
Speaker 1: fires their head coach, I run, Andrew noses he's been

603
00:26:26,280 --> 00:26:29,720
Speaker 1: doing shows me forever. I run to bet that team.

604
00:26:29,960 --> 00:26:33,080
Speaker 1: They rally around the new person, they rally around everybody,

605
00:26:33,160 --> 00:26:36,359
Speaker 1: and they play better football. Not this time, not with

606
00:26:36,440 --> 00:26:38,840
Speaker 1: the Jets. No, no, no, this is an organization going

607
00:26:38,920 --> 00:26:41,760
Speaker 1: in the other directions. So give me the Buffalo Bills

608
00:26:42,240 --> 00:26:44,399
Speaker 1: with the points. Give me the money line for the

609
00:26:44,400 --> 00:26:46,159
Speaker 1: Broncos and give me the money line for the Eagles

610
00:26:46,160 --> 00:26:47,840
Speaker 1: to find a way to win against the Browns. It

611
00:26:47,920 --> 00:26:49,760
Speaker 1: might not be pretty, but it's going to be a

612
00:26:49,920 --> 00:26:52,959
Speaker 1: w off the bye week that, my friends, is your

613
00:26:53,000 --> 00:26:56,719
Speaker 1: parlay for week six. Gentlemen, good times as always here

614
00:26:56,720 --> 00:26:58,600
Speaker 1: on the show. Makesure follow us for all of our bets,

615
00:26:58,840 --> 00:27:01,239
Speaker 1: including Drake may O rushing, because I think we're all

616
00:27:01,240 --> 00:27:03,200
Speaker 1: gonna have that by the time I end this show

617
00:27:03,280 --> 00:27:06,359
Speaker 1: today again Betting Pros dot com slash Joe slash Terrell

618
00:27:06,440 --> 00:27:08,520
Speaker 1: slash ericson. That's the way to do it, and that'll

619
00:27:08,560 --> 00:27:09,920
Speaker 1: do it for us, But the story of the game

620
00:27:09,960 --> 00:27:12,800
Speaker 1: goes on for the villain and the Undertaker. I'm Joey p.

621
00:27:13,440 --> 00:27:14,840
Speaker 1: We'll see you next time. Kids.

622
00:27:16,080 --> 00:27:18,200
Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast.

623
00:27:18,440 --> 00:27:20,840
Speaker 2: If you love the show, the best freeway to support

624
00:27:20,880 --> 00:27:21,800
Speaker 2: us is by leaving.

625
00:27:21,560 --> 00:27:24,520
Speaker 1: A positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

626
00:27:24,800 --> 00:27:27,439
Speaker 2: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and

627
00:27:27,520 --> 00:27:31,200
Speaker 2: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube

628
00:27:31,280 --> 00:27:34,760
Speaker 2: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros