WEBVTT - Deep Dives on the Rookie QBs 0:00:01.000 --> 0:00:04.720 Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio. 0:00:06.800 --> 0:00:10.160 Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio, 0:00:10.440 --> 0:00:14.800 your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, 0:00:15.000 --> 0:00:18.560 and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. Now, 0:00:18.600 --> 0:00:25.720 here's your host, Paul. Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly. I'm 0:00:25.760 --> 0:00:28.480 Paul charge In my co host as usual, Brian Johnson, 0:00:28.800 --> 0:00:31.560 what's up, Charge? Hey, great to have you here. It's 0:00:31.600 --> 0:00:36.519 a beautiful spring weekend in Minnesota. Hope it's fantastic wherever 0:00:36.680 --> 0:00:40.320 you are as well. The next series of shows are 0:00:40.320 --> 0:00:43.239 gonna be dedicated to rookies. Brian, Yeah, it's about that time. 0:00:43.320 --> 0:00:45.720 Let's get this draft going. Let's get the draft going. 0:00:45.800 --> 0:00:48.159 I know it's uh, you know, it always feels like 0:00:48.200 --> 0:00:50.680 there's a long, long lead up to the draft, But 0:00:50.720 --> 0:00:52.680 I think it's just because we care and you know, 0:00:52.720 --> 0:00:55.240 we spend two or three months planning for it and 0:00:55.280 --> 0:00:58.480 looking forward to it. Now, do you think these rookies, 0:00:58.800 --> 0:01:00.600 because I think we got to touch on this, that 0:01:01.920 --> 0:01:06.479 we're playing seven team games. Now, imagine going into your 0:01:06.920 --> 0:01:09.479 starting a new company and they're like, well, you're gonna 0:01:09.520 --> 0:01:12.959 have to work an extra extra week, extra at least 0:01:13.000 --> 0:01:15.800 half per day something like that. I think they're excited 0:01:15.840 --> 0:01:18.920 about this or uh, they're they're young, they should be. Yeah, 0:01:18.959 --> 0:01:21.880 they're they're gonna be They're gonna be fine. I mean, look, 0:01:21.880 --> 0:01:25.880 this is a this is the players negotiated this themselves. 0:01:26.640 --> 0:01:29.080 So you know, I don't know if the owners took 0:01:29.080 --> 0:01:31.039 advantage of the players that you're ago at this time 0:01:31.040 --> 0:01:34.199 when they when they negotiated this deal in the depths 0:01:34.200 --> 0:01:38.360 of the pandemic or not. But quick thumbs up or 0:01:38.440 --> 0:01:42.280 thumbs down from a fantasy perspective, seven, Yeah, I'm with you. 0:01:43.640 --> 0:01:47.119 Excuse with the records. We love talking records and those 0:01:47.160 --> 0:01:50.760 are certainly pertinent to fantasy football. And man, these guys, 0:01:50.960 --> 0:01:54.160 they essentially put their lives on the line for the 0:01:54.280 --> 0:01:59.840 sake of players. They're highly compensated, they are they're getting 0:01:59.840 --> 0:02:02.040 in too. There's no surprise for them that this is 0:02:02.040 --> 0:02:05.400 a contact game. Um, but you know, we already have 0:02:05.480 --> 0:02:07.840 a lot of injuries, and we already have a lot 0:02:07.880 --> 0:02:10.280 of situations where guys missed a lot of time. And 0:02:10.400 --> 0:02:12.520 I I just and I always felt like sixteen games 0:02:12.560 --> 0:02:16.079 was plenty of time to figure out who was the 0:02:16.160 --> 0:02:18.320 champion of your league. And you know, I didn't feel 0:02:18.320 --> 0:02:22.480 like there was uh, there was a real problem, like well, 0:02:22.520 --> 0:02:25.000 you know, you know so and so in the championship. 0:02:25.040 --> 0:02:27.280 But if we'd have gone one more week, you know, 0:02:27.480 --> 0:02:31.120 then the outcome would have been different. And with sixteen weeks, 0:02:31.440 --> 0:02:34.080 really the best team in your league usually gets screwed 0:02:34.120 --> 0:02:38.320 anyway too, right, there's plenty of those two weeks or 0:02:38.320 --> 0:02:39.720 plenty of time to let the best team in your 0:02:39.760 --> 0:02:42.919 league just go belly up. It does happen a lot 0:02:43.000 --> 0:02:45.519 that way. So this week we're going to talk about 0:02:45.639 --> 0:02:48.519 rookie quarterbacks, and we'll turn our attention to different positions 0:02:48.520 --> 0:02:50.080 in each of the weeks leading up to the draft, 0:02:50.120 --> 0:02:52.440 and then obviously after the draft, we'll do a series 0:02:52.480 --> 0:02:55.760 of shows about where these guys all landed up and 0:02:55.800 --> 0:02:57.920 what we think they're their fantasy value is gonna be like, 0:02:58.280 --> 0:03:00.720 and so for these shows before the often it's largely 0:03:00.840 --> 0:03:05.200 about familiarizing ourselves with the fantasy notable players that we 0:03:05.200 --> 0:03:08.400 think can make a difference, especially in short order with 0:03:08.440 --> 0:03:11.160 their teams, beginning at the quarterback position. So we're gonna 0:03:11.200 --> 0:03:14.040 hit on six guys, Trevor Lawrence, Zack Wilson, Justin Fields, 0:03:14.040 --> 0:03:17.480 Trey Lands, Mac Jones, and the sixth guy is just 0:03:17.560 --> 0:03:21.239 a favorite of mine. Davis Mills, who I'm really intrigued by. 0:03:21.440 --> 0:03:26.120 There's the big five and then you're your sixth quarterback 0:03:26.919 --> 0:03:29.639 is TBD. But I'm with you on on Mills. He's 0:03:29.800 --> 0:03:32.200 really intriguing. I'm really drinking right and I'm not I'm 0:03:32.240 --> 0:03:35.520 not guaranteeing he's going to be an impact player in 0:03:35.520 --> 0:03:40.320 the NFL, but he's got the upside to do that 0:03:40.480 --> 0:03:43.080 if things break right for him. And um, and we'll 0:03:43.080 --> 0:03:44.760 talk more about Davis Mills at the end of this. 0:03:45.040 --> 0:03:48.640 Let's begin with Trevor Lawrence Brian Um. Everybody knows that 0:03:48.720 --> 0:03:52.360 he's they're barring a shot going to go to Jacksonville 0:03:52.400 --> 0:03:54.640 with the first overall pick. Let's talk about him and 0:03:54.680 --> 0:03:57.360 what he'll bring to the table, presumably for Jacksonville. Yeah, 0:03:59.120 --> 0:04:02.040 nine percent chancey he ends up with the Jaguars, and uh, 0:04:02.080 --> 0:04:05.960 if he does, he should be the starter. Ye right 0:04:06.000 --> 0:04:08.520 out of the game. Sorry Gardner, Minshew and you all 0:04:08.560 --> 0:04:12.520 you Minshew Bobos and some exciting weapons in Jacksonville. In 0:04:12.600 --> 0:04:15.960 d J. Chark, the newly acquired Marvin Jones, the vastly 0:04:16.080 --> 0:04:20.239 underrated Marvin Jones as marked on for weeks, Laviska Chennault, 0:04:20.680 --> 0:04:24.360 James Robinson and running back. And I mean at this point, 0:04:24.480 --> 0:04:27.560 Trevor Lawrence, we know he checks all the boxes on paper, 0:04:28.080 --> 0:04:31.880 size and the metrics in college the most, the winning 0:04:31.960 --> 0:04:36.080 ist uh quarterback against Power five schools, and he's played 0:04:36.120 --> 0:04:39.160 like twice as many as the other quarterback prospects. He's 0:04:39.200 --> 0:04:42.480 just great. A blue chip prospect. What can you say? 0:04:42.560 --> 0:04:45.000 So I think he's he's more. You know, at this 0:04:45.040 --> 0:04:47.280 time last year, we're talking about Joe Burrow as being, 0:04:47.560 --> 0:04:50.279 you know, an astounding blue chip prospect, which you was, 0:04:51.160 --> 0:04:53.960 but Lords has done it for longer and it seems 0:04:54.000 --> 0:04:58.719 even more battle tested and more likely. And Burrows turned 0:04:58.720 --> 0:05:01.320 out great, more likely to be headed for a successful 0:05:01.400 --> 0:05:04.120 NFL career than than Burrow was. And the in the 0:05:04.240 --> 0:05:06.919 enticing thing with the Jaguars from a fantasy perspective is 0:05:07.120 --> 0:05:10.000 they're not a great team. Maybe they're on their way up, 0:05:10.000 --> 0:05:14.279 but it's it tends to have their offense chasing points 0:05:14.279 --> 0:05:17.279 more often than not. So it's a great point. Right now, 0:05:19.160 --> 0:05:21.240 Lawrence is going off the board, and like in best 0:05:21.240 --> 0:05:25.479 ball leagues, rejaft leagues, like quarterback sixteen, he's right, He's 0:05:25.520 --> 0:05:28.720 going right after Matt Ryan's, the Joe Burrows, Ryan, Tannehills, 0:05:28.720 --> 0:05:32.120 Matt Stafford, and before Kirk Cousins Baker Mayfield. So he's 0:05:32.440 --> 0:05:35.640 settled right into that fantasy relevant territory for a guy 0:05:35.640 --> 0:05:38.480 who's not all that mobile. I mean, he's he's mobile, 0:05:38.560 --> 0:05:40.320 but he's not like the other guys we're going to 0:05:40.440 --> 0:05:43.599 talk about, right, He's not like Justin Fields and Trey Lance. 0:05:43.960 --> 0:05:47.479 That's a pretty high ranking for for a guy who's 0:05:47.600 --> 0:05:49.880 gonna make most of his points with his arm as 0:05:49.920 --> 0:05:53.960 a rookie in Jacksonville. And he's certainly viable as a backup, 0:05:54.000 --> 0:05:56.000 but I don't I want him as my backup if 0:05:56.040 --> 0:05:59.680 I have like Patrick Mahomes or Josh Allen is my starter, right, 0:06:00.160 --> 0:06:01.880 I think I think the ceiling is very high for 0:06:02.240 --> 0:06:04.040 Lawrence in his first year as a rookie, just from 0:06:04.080 --> 0:06:07.640 a redraft perspective, But the floor is also very scary. 0:06:07.680 --> 0:06:11.000 So if I'm rolling out Matthew Stafford or Baker Mayfield 0:06:11.080 --> 0:06:13.880 is my QB one, I don't know if Trevor Lawrence 0:06:13.960 --> 0:06:16.680 is the backup I really want. I want like an 0:06:16.720 --> 0:06:20.880 elite option in one quarterback leagues. If I'm contemplating Lawrence 0:06:21.120 --> 0:06:24.800 so let's let's talk about his longer term outlook with 0:06:24.920 --> 0:06:29.640 Jacksonville for Dynasty and Empire League players. For Trevor Lawrence, um, there, 0:06:29.680 --> 0:06:32.520 the offense is not the problem so much in Jacksonville. 0:06:32.640 --> 0:06:36.520 It's a horrible defense. And he does have some weapons 0:06:36.560 --> 0:06:40.080 around him, and mostly young weapons. No, not so much Jones, 0:06:40.160 --> 0:06:43.640 Marvin Jones, but other people around him. That suggests that, 0:06:43.720 --> 0:06:47.839 you know, there could be a long and reasonably good 0:06:47.960 --> 0:06:52.120 run for Trevor Lawrence in Jacksonville. And you know, as 0:06:52.160 --> 0:06:53.839 we'll talk through the rest of the guys, I don't 0:06:53.880 --> 0:06:56.240 I don't know. I don't know that I would take 0:06:56.279 --> 0:07:01.440 Trevor Lawrence first in the Dynasty draft because of the 0:07:01.560 --> 0:07:04.480 running prowess we're gonna get with these other guys. And 0:07:04.680 --> 0:07:06.960 you mean in a startup, not just a rookie, not 0:07:07.200 --> 0:07:09.360 just a rookie trap, but in a Dynasty start up, 0:07:09.600 --> 0:07:13.840 his value is up from re draft. He's in the 0:07:13.920 --> 0:07:17.200 eight quarterback eight nine range. I mean, of course Mahomes, 0:07:17.320 --> 0:07:22.520 Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Kyler Murray, justin Herbert Dak Prescott 0:07:22.640 --> 0:07:24.600 and then right, but he's right in the mix there 0:07:24.640 --> 0:07:28.040 with Russell Wilson. If you're starting a startup league, Russell Wilson, 0:07:28.120 --> 0:07:32.120 Joe Burrow or Trevor Lawrence. Like he's right. If those 0:07:32.160 --> 0:07:34.360 three guys, he's right in that mix. In the top ten, 0:07:34.960 --> 0:07:39.720 let's go to Zach Wilson, presumably the the second quarterback 0:07:39.920 --> 0:07:41.840 expected to be taken in the draft, that'd be by 0:07:41.840 --> 0:07:44.840 the Jets. We should say, yeah, so Jacksonville. Of course, 0:07:45.120 --> 0:07:48.600 Jets at number two. Niner is probably at three, and 0:07:48.640 --> 0:07:54.000 then Falkin's Panthers Broncos are like the real quarterback needy teams. 0:07:54.880 --> 0:07:56.640 And we'll talk about when we get to pick four, 0:07:56.680 --> 0:07:58.440 we'll talk about that a little bit more. But I, 0:07:58.760 --> 0:08:00.800 you know, pick two, I don't think the Jet Jets 0:08:00.800 --> 0:08:04.640 would be more on it not to take a quarterback here, 0:08:04.840 --> 0:08:07.920 even if they love Sam Donald. And by the way, 0:08:08.080 --> 0:08:11.840 nothing bugs me more than teams that are totally cool 0:08:11.880 --> 0:08:15.840 with having competitions at every position, but not quarterback. Oh no, 0:08:16.280 --> 0:08:19.840 our frail the frail psyche of our quarterbacks. If we 0:08:20.120 --> 0:08:23.640 if they, if they do draft Zack Wilson here, everybody 0:08:23.680 --> 0:08:29.200 just assumes they have to move Sam Donald. My feeling is, why, 0:08:29.360 --> 0:08:31.560 you know, Sam Donald might still be a good quarterback, 0:08:31.600 --> 0:08:34.840 You're gonna get a third round pick or maybe a 0:08:34.880 --> 0:08:37.800 second round pick for Sam Donald. He's worth more to 0:08:37.880 --> 0:08:40.400 just keep and find make sure you know what you've 0:08:40.440 --> 0:08:43.960 got in him, because Donald has flashed moments of greatness, 0:08:44.640 --> 0:08:48.160 and he's been in such a bad position over his 0:08:48.400 --> 0:08:52.040 entire career with terrible coaching and a bad offensive line 0:08:52.040 --> 0:08:55.120 and few good receivers. Man, if you're the Jets, just 0:08:55.360 --> 0:08:57.480 I keep both guys and let him battle it out 0:08:57.520 --> 0:08:59.640 and see who see who what you've got? And maybe 0:08:59.679 --> 0:09:04.520 you have great quarterbacks? Fine, how many NFL teams have 0:09:04.600 --> 0:09:08.600 two starting caliber quarterbacks on their team? Not and Donald? 0:09:10.040 --> 0:09:12.000 So yeah, yeah, if the Jets do not take a 0:09:12.040 --> 0:09:15.240 quarterback or trade down from two, and I guess the 0:09:15.280 --> 0:09:16.880 worst case, you know, I said the worst thing apage 0:09:16.880 --> 0:09:18.920 that they're both good. I guess really the worst seeing 0:09:18.920 --> 0:09:21.880 appage that they're both bad. But still you needed to 0:09:21.920 --> 0:09:23.760 draft Uno the quarterback to find out one of them 0:09:23.800 --> 0:09:26.160 was bad. She's not a great asset for for trade 0:09:26.160 --> 0:09:30.160 purposes in the future. So so Zach Wilson presumed the 0:09:30.240 --> 0:09:32.600 to go to the Jets. And even if he doesn't, fascinating, 0:09:32.760 --> 0:09:35.000 fascinating guy. And I gotta warn you when we talk 0:09:35.040 --> 0:09:38.440 about Zach Wilson. You're going to think we're talking about 0:09:38.480 --> 0:09:43.560 Patrick Mahomes because the skill set is really similar. But 0:09:43.679 --> 0:09:47.080 to be clear, obviously he's gonna have to prove a 0:09:47.120 --> 0:09:50.120 lot before he's even remotely on par with Patrick Mahomes. 0:09:50.400 --> 0:09:52.520 But the skill set is similar. Did his dad picture 0:09:52.600 --> 0:09:56.360 the twins? Though, that's probably he's missing that from from 0:09:56.360 --> 0:10:00.760 his bag. So Zach Wilson has a special NFL caliber 0:10:00.920 --> 0:10:03.480 arm and in better than that, I mean his arm. 0:10:03.640 --> 0:10:06.760 His arm ability alone could put him in the top 0:10:06.840 --> 0:10:11.240 five of NFL quarterbacks if he realizes his potential. The 0:10:11.360 --> 0:10:16.160 arm is fantastic. He has a shocking ability to throw 0:10:16.280 --> 0:10:21.520 deep strikes and not even with planted feet. Much like Mahomes, 0:10:21.520 --> 0:10:24.760 who can throw crazy accurate deep passes while on a 0:10:24.800 --> 0:10:27.800 dead run. There is some of that with Zack Wilson too. 0:10:27.960 --> 0:10:30.240 He doesn't have to plant his feet to throw deep 0:10:30.280 --> 0:10:35.240 balls and accurately and just effort effortlessly. He's just he 0:10:35.840 --> 0:10:39.360 He just flicks his wrist and the balls going forty 0:10:39.440 --> 0:10:44.840 five yards downfield. He had a sixty five yard pass 0:10:44.880 --> 0:10:47.720 in a game last year against I think it was Western, 0:10:48.320 --> 0:10:51.719 uh Western, it was Wyoming or somebody um and he 0:10:51.840 --> 0:10:56.080 just made it. Look it just effortless. Just do you 0:10:56.120 --> 0:10:58.839 worry out of b y U? Of course is Zach 0:10:58.880 --> 0:11:01.960 Well Wilson is UM a Mormon in the Big Apple 0:11:03.040 --> 0:11:09.520 uch in general, right, the football culture, shock of going 0:11:09.559 --> 0:11:13.120 to the Jets. But but yeah, he didn't seem like 0:11:13.160 --> 0:11:16.880 he would be the number, the consensus number two. But 0:11:16.960 --> 0:11:19.720 he has uh, it seems it's leaning that way. It 0:11:19.800 --> 0:11:23.200 is um incredibly efficient release with very little wind up 0:11:23.320 --> 0:11:25.840 as well. So he's got the quick release, which we 0:11:26.000 --> 0:11:28.920 love that. It's just that many fewer sacks, the ability 0:11:28.960 --> 0:11:31.520 to get rid of the ball quickly. Super smart guy, 0:11:31.760 --> 0:11:35.480 you know, book smart. You know, he's an excellent student. UM. 0:11:35.480 --> 0:11:40.960 By all accounts, he ingests the playbook extremely well. So 0:11:41.040 --> 0:11:42.960 there's a lot to like about Zack Wilson. The things 0:11:42.960 --> 0:11:45.400 that we're gonna look out for are some minor mechanical 0:11:45.440 --> 0:11:47.720 issues like holding the ball too high. He holds the ball, 0:11:48.120 --> 0:11:50.440 he holds the ball up almost at helmet or ear 0:11:50.559 --> 0:11:53.320 level rocket launcher. Yeah, a little bit, right, So they'll, 0:11:53.360 --> 0:11:55.920 you know, they'll work on that. Um. Some people point 0:11:55.920 --> 0:11:58.080 out that he's playing behind in the lead offensive line. 0:11:58.240 --> 0:12:01.120 That meant that he didn't you he had the luxury 0:12:01.160 --> 0:12:03.520 of a lot of time, and that may be, you know, 0:12:03.760 --> 0:12:07.160 that has skewed a little bit of the productivity that 0:12:07.240 --> 0:12:10.680 he's had and injuries limited him to really one year 0:12:10.720 --> 0:12:13.720 of high level play. But what you see when you 0:12:13.720 --> 0:12:16.480 you look at Zack Wilson's games are just remarkable. He 0:12:16.600 --> 0:12:20.199 if he does go to the Jets, Brian Corey Davis, 0:12:20.360 --> 0:12:23.920 Denzel Mims, and Jamison Crowder all all get a big 0:12:23.920 --> 0:12:26.000 bump here. And I think this is a great opportunity 0:12:26.000 --> 0:12:29.800 for Dynasty and Umpire leaguers keeper leaguers to target those 0:12:29.800 --> 0:12:33.160 guys now, especially the Denzel Mims owner right now is 0:12:33.200 --> 0:12:38.839 like h I blew that pick last year. There could 0:12:38.880 --> 0:12:41.800 be a chance that Zack Wilson to Denzel Mims is 0:12:41.840 --> 0:12:45.200 going to be a great combination for a long time. 0:12:46.559 --> 0:12:48.679 So I'm I'd be interested in in those in picking 0:12:48.720 --> 0:12:50.800 up those guys on on the cheap right now in 0:12:50.880 --> 0:12:53.600 Dynasty and Empire leagues. You know, for Wilson um in 0:12:53.679 --> 0:12:57.960 terms of redraft, I think he's gonna be He's just 0:12:58.000 --> 0:13:00.640 a backup. I think in his rookie year. Now, rookies 0:13:00.679 --> 0:13:03.200 can become starters like Justin Herbert Right and Joe Burrow, 0:13:03.280 --> 0:13:05.240 those guys were fantasy starters and that he has the 0:13:05.280 --> 0:13:08.520 possibility to do that. Um, it's there's a little bit 0:13:08.520 --> 0:13:10.360 of Jets bias here. I just I don't know for 0:13:10.400 --> 0:13:12.200 sure that in you're one that Jets gonna turn it 0:13:12.240 --> 0:13:14.800 around enough for him to be fantasy viable on a 0:13:14.840 --> 0:13:18.280 regular basis, But he Zack Wilson should get drafted. Yeah, 0:13:18.559 --> 0:13:21.400 like a guy if you're, of course a quarterback league, 0:13:21.720 --> 0:13:23.600 and depending on how deep your league is, but at 0:13:23.679 --> 0:13:26.520 least twelve to fourteen teams, if you're again drafting a 0:13:26.520 --> 0:13:28.760 guy like Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, one of these bigger 0:13:28.800 --> 0:13:31.840 name quarterbacks that you're essentially gonna start every week, but 0:13:31.840 --> 0:13:34.880 they're bye week and you're gonna, you know, just fade 0:13:34.920 --> 0:13:36.800 quarterback the rest of the way until the last round. 0:13:36.880 --> 0:13:38.920 Zack Wilson's in a Greek candidate. All right, let's go 0:13:38.920 --> 0:13:41.520 to pick number three. This is San Francisco or quarterback 0:13:41.640 --> 0:13:46.559 number three, San Francisco pick. Um, it's gonna come down. 0:13:46.600 --> 0:13:49.280 Everybody believes it's gonna come down to Justin Fields or 0:13:49.360 --> 0:13:52.360 Mac Jones. The the people who seem closest to the 0:13:52.440 --> 0:13:56.400 Niners are all saying mac Jones, which surprises me. A 0:13:56.440 --> 0:13:59.720 little bit because I think I would pick Justin Fields, 0:13:59.760 --> 0:14:03.880 but it um both guys very intriguing. Let's let's talk 0:14:04.000 --> 0:14:08.080 Justin Fields first and break his dame his game down 0:14:08.120 --> 0:14:10.120 for us a little bit. All right, Justin Fields out 0:14:10.120 --> 0:14:13.880 of Ohio State, who doesn't have the best track record 0:14:14.000 --> 0:14:18.400 when it comes to producing pro quarterbacks starting with Dwayne Haskins. Yeah, 0:14:21.240 --> 0:14:24.520 that doesn't necessarily mean they can't play. I just don't think. 0:14:25.600 --> 0:14:28.400 I just don't think that stuff matters that much. He's 0:14:28.480 --> 0:14:32.160 the most intriguing prospect probably to ever come out of 0:14:32.280 --> 0:14:36.000 the Ohio I don't come to quarterback. Spent a long 0:14:36.040 --> 0:14:39.720 time anyway. Uh. He proved his toughness in the college 0:14:39.720 --> 0:14:43.720 playoffs last year. Essentially died in the semifinal, not really, 0:14:43.720 --> 0:14:45.840 but he broke like two ribs, came back and played 0:14:45.840 --> 0:14:48.920 in the championship. They lost. I think I'm not great 0:14:48.920 --> 0:14:53.200 with college football, but Fields in an amazing athlete. And 0:14:53.240 --> 0:14:55.240 we'll get to how he's a good thrower of the football. 0:14:55.280 --> 0:14:59.440 But the all time quarterback forty yard dash times. Now, 0:14:59.480 --> 0:15:03.680 this isn't combine official Justin Fields today official four four 0:15:03.760 --> 0:15:06.080 or four for Justin Fields. And next up was Russell 0:15:06.120 --> 0:15:08.160 Wilson at four or five five, Cam Newton four or 0:15:08.240 --> 0:15:11.480 five nine, same as Jalen hurt So an elite runner, 0:15:11.640 --> 0:15:14.880 elite runner, wide receiver speed out of out of the 0:15:14.960 --> 0:15:17.640 quarterback position with justin fields. But he proved you could 0:15:17.640 --> 0:15:19.800 throw the ball pretty well last year. Um, here's the 0:15:19.920 --> 0:15:26.200 percentage of total passing yards um from run pass, option 0:15:26.280 --> 0:15:29.720 plays and screen passes last year, amongst so you know, 0:15:29.960 --> 0:15:34.720 cheap yards. Trevor Lawrence of his yards came from r 0:15:34.800 --> 0:15:37.600 P O s, screen passes, Mac Jones twenty two and 0:15:37.600 --> 0:15:41.360 a half percent, then Zack Wilson twelve percent, Trey Lands 0:15:41.400 --> 0:15:44.400 eleven percent, dead last, which is good in this regard. 0:15:44.800 --> 0:15:47.720 He's starting justin fields. Eight and a half percent his 0:15:47.840 --> 0:15:50.040 yards came from r pos and screen passes, So he 0:15:50.320 --> 0:15:54.080 he is a viable quarterback end right now in redrafts. 0:15:54.520 --> 0:15:56.920 He's going a little at his act fields. He's in 0:15:57.120 --> 0:16:00.560 right around QB two range. You know, a backup quarterback 0:16:00.800 --> 0:16:04.200 in UH one quarterback twelve twelve team leagues at QB 0:16:05.200 --> 0:16:08.840 right behind Daniel Jones to Ben Roethlisberger and right before 0:16:08.920 --> 0:16:11.440 guys like Jamis Winston and Jared Goff. And that seems 0:16:11.440 --> 0:16:14.000 about right. I think it's too low because Fields is 0:16:14.040 --> 0:16:17.480 going to run and run well in this league, whether 0:16:17.480 --> 0:16:21.120 it's the Jets or the Niners. Yeah, he's gonna play immediately. 0:16:21.200 --> 0:16:26.760 Not we assume, we assume, we assume, but um, but yeah, 0:16:26.800 --> 0:16:32.400 when it comes to Dynasty, he pretty pretty undervalued here too. 0:16:32.400 --> 0:16:34.920 He's well, maybe not quarterback twelve that's up there. I mean, 0:16:34.920 --> 0:16:38.720 he's right behind Aaron Rodgers who was sixteen years this 0:16:38.840 --> 0:16:42.720 senior at this point. But on the long term upside, 0:16:42.800 --> 0:16:46.480 outside of Trevor Lawrence, Justin Fields has the most I 0:16:46.480 --> 0:16:50.120 feel like outside of mac Jones and Trade Lands. So 0:16:50.240 --> 0:16:52.680 now for the forty, if it is the forty Niners, 0:16:52.880 --> 0:16:55.120 Jimmy Garoppolo still there, and I think, you know, there's 0:16:55.120 --> 0:16:57.640 a good chance Garoppolo starts the season for the Niners, 0:16:57.680 --> 0:17:01.200 whether they go Fields or they go mac Jones. Um. 0:17:01.240 --> 0:17:03.280 And so there may have to be you may just 0:17:03.360 --> 0:17:05.880 have to be patient on on that to play itself out. 0:17:05.920 --> 0:17:08.720 The presumption is that Garoppolo will lose the jobs sooner 0:17:08.800 --> 0:17:11.639 or later. But we are only one season removed from 0:17:11.680 --> 0:17:14.840 Garoppolo bringing the team to the Super Bowl, so it's 0:17:14.840 --> 0:17:17.320 not it's not a certainty that will happen. But we're 0:17:17.440 --> 0:17:20.320 considering what the forty Ninders paid to move up. Everybody 0:17:20.359 --> 0:17:23.320 assumes that they're gonna there. Ultimately will make the switch 0:17:23.359 --> 0:17:26.000 to whichever quarterback they end up drafting. From a re 0:17:26.119 --> 0:17:29.760 draft perspective, though, way better for Fields to good to 0:17:29.800 --> 0:17:34.000 the Niners than the Jets this year alone. Kyle Shanahan, 0:17:35.440 --> 0:17:38.239 Oh yeah, you know. Shanahan's I think he's just an 0:17:38.320 --> 0:17:41.320 offensive He's he is. He's an offensive wizard and can 0:17:41.359 --> 0:17:44.520 get production out of guys that have no business, uh 0:17:44.800 --> 0:17:47.400 getting that kind of production. So we've talked a lot 0:17:47.400 --> 0:17:51.760 about Justin Fields or Mac Jones. What I want to 0:17:51.800 --> 0:17:53.600 do is take a break, come back, and let's talk 0:17:53.640 --> 0:17:56.080 about Mac Jones. And you know, because he could go 0:17:56.119 --> 0:17:58.560 as high as three here to San Francisco, and then 0:17:58.560 --> 0:18:00.680 if he doesn't go here, he could actually fall quite 0:18:00.680 --> 0:18:03.439 a bit. So we'll talk through the the Fields Jones 0:18:03.800 --> 0:18:07.080 debate a little bit here and familiarize ourselves with Mac 0:18:07.160 --> 0:18:11.399 Jones when we come back. Welcome back Paul Charchie and 0:18:11.400 --> 0:18:13.960 Brian Johnson with you Fantasy Football Weekly. We're going through 0:18:14.040 --> 0:18:17.479 the rookie quarterbacks, getting a little more familiar deep dives 0:18:17.520 --> 0:18:21.840 with these guys. Let's talk about mac Jones. He does 0:18:21.920 --> 0:18:26.879 not have the sensational arm that we've seen with the 0:18:26.920 --> 0:18:30.000 first three guys that we've talked about, the eye popping 0:18:30.160 --> 0:18:36.760 arm traits, but super productive player, super poised and um 0:18:36.960 --> 0:18:41.560 and as NFL ready as anybody outside of Trevor Lawrence. Yeah, 0:18:41.560 --> 0:18:45.600 there's he might be the most polarizing prospect when it 0:18:45.600 --> 0:18:47.800 comes to right. There's a lot of love and a 0:18:47.840 --> 0:18:50.880 lot of hate. I agree with tion for mac Jones 0:18:51.040 --> 0:18:54.400 is good size, uh, six ft three, Uh, Like you said, 0:18:54.440 --> 0:18:57.200 not an e white arm, but a pretty good arm. 0:18:57.640 --> 0:19:00.520 His career passing grade versus the Blitz as these other 0:19:00.600 --> 0:19:04.080 draft prospects uh. In college, mac Jones had the highest 0:19:04.119 --> 0:19:07.639 grade against the Blitz point four according to Pro Football Focus, 0:19:07.680 --> 0:19:10.240 ahead of Trevor Lawrence at number two and Zach Wilson 0:19:10.240 --> 0:19:13.240 at three. His career passing GREDE against Power five teams 0:19:13.280 --> 0:19:17.359 was the highest among the quarterback prospects. He was first 0:19:17.400 --> 0:19:20.879 at ninety four point seven QP raiding against five teams 0:19:20.920 --> 0:19:25.800 against just above justin Fields and Trevor Lawrence. So yeah, 0:19:25.880 --> 0:19:29.159 it's it's some people are gonna hate the pick whatever 0:19:29.200 --> 0:19:32.280 team here if he ends up on quote unquote your team. 0:19:32.680 --> 0:19:34.359 Some people are gonna love it and some are gonna 0:19:34.359 --> 0:19:36.680 hate it. But this is really he seems to have 0:19:36.760 --> 0:19:40.199 all the tools to be a great pro quarterback. But 0:19:40.240 --> 0:19:42.760 it's gonna be, uh, show me what you got, Mac, 0:19:42.840 --> 0:19:45.520 But it's gonna be to the Jets or to the 0:19:45.560 --> 0:19:49.199 forts one would suspect. So for Mac Jones from a 0:19:49.240 --> 0:19:53.000 fantasy standpoint, he doesn't have nearly to me the sizzle 0:19:53.200 --> 0:19:57.040 that these other guys do because they is not good. 0:19:57.320 --> 0:19:58.919 You know, he said he's not gonna have the rushing 0:19:58.920 --> 0:20:02.760 that you're gonna get out of tray lance or justin fields, 0:20:02.840 --> 0:20:05.520 or even some of the scrambling ability for for Zach 0:20:05.600 --> 0:20:10.560 Wilson Um. But you know, he is a good accurate passer. 0:20:10.720 --> 0:20:13.200 I just don't think he's going to have the bananas upside. 0:20:13.240 --> 0:20:16.960 He's gonna feel like his upside is like what Philip 0:20:17.040 --> 0:20:19.640 Rivers gave us over the course of his career. Yeah, 0:20:19.880 --> 0:20:22.439 in redrafts, you're you're not drafting him. He might be 0:20:22.480 --> 0:20:24.800 a waiver wide we have wire pick up later on 0:20:24.840 --> 0:20:28.119 in the year named Dynasty. You're not drafting him as 0:20:28.160 --> 0:20:31.480 a with QB one upside in a super flex league, 0:20:31.480 --> 0:20:33.959 which is what we play primarily he's got QB two 0:20:34.040 --> 0:20:38.879 upsideer shirt like you said of Philip Rivers, maybe Matt Stafford. Yeah, 0:20:38.960 --> 0:20:40.879 that's a good way to be cursed by Detroit for 0:20:40.920 --> 0:20:43.120 the majority of his career. But that's kind of his ceiling. 0:20:43.200 --> 0:20:45.480 But not not a mahomes like feeling. Like you said, 0:20:45.520 --> 0:20:47.600 he doesn't have the mobility to be a Josh Allen 0:20:47.640 --> 0:20:49.639 or Lamar Jackson type prospect. He all right, let's go 0:20:49.640 --> 0:20:51.440 to our fifth quarterback that we're gonna break down, and 0:20:51.480 --> 0:20:55.040 that's Tray Lance. Lance should go fourth or fifth among quarterbacks, 0:20:55.480 --> 0:20:57.879 and there's a chance that the top five picks of 0:20:57.880 --> 0:21:01.040 this draft will be quarterbacks. Now in the NFL, there's 0:21:01.119 --> 0:21:04.720 never been more than the top three picks have never been. 0:21:04.760 --> 0:21:07.280 There's never been more than three quarterbacks taken in the 0:21:07.359 --> 0:21:09.399 first three picks. So that's what I'm trying to I 0:21:09.440 --> 0:21:11.160 think what I'm trying to say, there's never been four 0:21:11.160 --> 0:21:12.880 in a row, and there's never been five in a row. 0:21:13.080 --> 0:21:16.399 There could be all five. If Atlanta either moves their 0:21:16.440 --> 0:21:20.080 pick or takes quarterback, they should take quarter um and 0:21:20.119 --> 0:21:24.040 then Cincinnati at five might deal their pick because somebody 0:21:24.040 --> 0:21:26.560 want might want mac Jones, especially if mac Jones goes 0:21:26.600 --> 0:21:30.680 three to San Francisco, as you mentioned, superpolarized, it goes 0:21:30.680 --> 0:21:32.720 so San Francisco loves him and they take him at three. 0:21:33.080 --> 0:21:36.240 That pushes Justin Fields and Trey Lance down to four 0:21:36.240 --> 0:21:40.000 and five. And how somebody's gonna pay Cincinnati to move 0:21:40.080 --> 0:21:42.480 up to that spot you mentioned the I think the 0:21:42.480 --> 0:21:46.720 most obvious candidates Carolina and Denver, but don't forget Philadelphia 0:21:46.840 --> 0:21:51.040 doesn't seem totally settled at Jay with Jalen Hurts, and 0:21:51.119 --> 0:21:53.000 they may end up making a move because they don't 0:21:53.040 --> 0:21:54.760 have far to go. And then there's of course New 0:21:54.800 --> 0:21:57.600 England they need a quarterback. Uh So those are all 0:21:57.640 --> 0:22:00.280 some some trade possibilities up to four or five for 0:22:00.320 --> 0:22:03.400 Atlanta or Cincinnati, and again especially if mac Jones goes 0:22:03.400 --> 0:22:06.160