1 00:00:02,480 --> 00:00:03,000 Speaker 1: Good morning. 2 00:00:03,080 --> 00:00:05,920 Speaker 2: I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the 3 00:00:05,960 --> 00:00:07,440 Speaker 2: stories we're following today. 4 00:00:07,960 --> 00:00:11,479 Speaker 3: We begin in our nation's capital. The Senate border deal 5 00:00:11,520 --> 00:00:15,000 Speaker 3: that includes funding for Ukraine and Israel appears dead ahead 6 00:00:15,000 --> 00:00:17,920 Speaker 3: of a key vote. Bloomberg's Amy Morris has the latest 7 00:00:17,920 --> 00:00:18,640 Speaker 3: from Washington. 8 00:00:19,320 --> 00:00:22,280 Speaker 4: Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell says it's clear the deal 9 00:00:22,360 --> 00:00:23,279 Speaker 4: won't become law. 10 00:00:23,400 --> 00:00:24,079 Speaker 5: It looks to me. 11 00:00:24,320 --> 00:00:26,800 Speaker 6: And to most of our members as if we had 12 00:00:27,200 --> 00:00:29,600 Speaker 6: no real chance here to make a law. 13 00:00:29,960 --> 00:00:32,280 Speaker 4: That's because Speaker Mike Johnson says the bill would be 14 00:00:32,280 --> 00:00:34,680 Speaker 4: dead on arrival in the House, claiming it doesn't go 15 00:00:34,760 --> 00:00:37,760 Speaker 4: far enough to stop the flow of illegal immigration. Senate 16 00:00:37,800 --> 00:00:41,519 Speaker 4: Majority Leader Chuck Schumer slammed the gops about face, accusing 17 00:00:41,560 --> 00:00:43,640 Speaker 4: Republicans of cowering to Donald Trump. 18 00:00:43,720 --> 00:00:48,280 Speaker 7: Lead McConnell and the Republican conference did one hundred and 19 00:00:48,360 --> 00:00:53,279 Speaker 7: eighty degree reversal. They were quaking at the knees at 20 00:00:53,280 --> 00:00:54,880 Speaker 7: the fear of Donald Trump. 21 00:00:55,160 --> 00:00:59,080 Speaker 4: The first procedural vote is scheduled for later today in Washington. 22 00:00:59,160 --> 00:01:01,640 Speaker 4: Amy Morris, Bloomberg Radio, All right, Amy, thanks. 23 00:01:01,720 --> 00:01:05,520 Speaker 2: Meanwhile, House Republicans have failed to impeach Homeland Security Secretary 24 00:01:05,560 --> 00:01:09,319 Speaker 2: Alejandro Majorkiss, and Bloomberg's Ed Baxter reports. 25 00:01:09,319 --> 00:01:12,280 Speaker 8: The vote is certainly an embarrassment for the GOP, which 26 00:01:12,400 --> 00:01:15,039 Speaker 8: thought it had this wrapped up going in. The final 27 00:01:15,160 --> 00:01:18,520 Speaker 8: vote was two fourteen in favor and two sixteen against. 28 00:01:18,959 --> 00:01:21,080 Speaker 8: It was tied until one of the votes got changed 29 00:01:21,080 --> 00:01:23,400 Speaker 8: in a procedural move so that the issue could be 30 00:01:23,440 --> 00:01:24,880 Speaker 8: brought back for reconsideration. 31 00:01:25,520 --> 00:01:25,720 Speaker 5: Now. 32 00:01:25,760 --> 00:01:28,960 Speaker 8: Some GOP members were not happy at all. Representative Ralph 33 00:01:29,000 --> 00:01:32,080 Speaker 8: Norman said the leaders should have had the vote count 34 00:01:32,200 --> 00:01:34,720 Speaker 8: going in, saying you don't put it on the floor 35 00:01:34,720 --> 00:01:38,920 Speaker 8: without knowing. Representative Marjorie Taylor Green saying those who voted 36 00:01:38,959 --> 00:01:43,039 Speaker 8: against it will hear from voters. Ed Baxter Bloomberg. 37 00:01:42,640 --> 00:01:43,960 Speaker 1: Radio, Okay and thank you. 38 00:01:44,000 --> 00:01:46,759 Speaker 3: In another setback for Speaker Mike Johnson, the House also 39 00:01:46,800 --> 00:01:49,880 Speaker 3: failed to pass a standalone aid package for Israel. That 40 00:01:50,000 --> 00:01:54,080 Speaker 3: seventeen point six billion dollar legislation required a two thirds 41 00:01:54,120 --> 00:01:56,280 Speaker 3: majority to pass. The vote there was two fifty to 42 00:01:56,280 --> 00:01:59,640 Speaker 3: one eighty. Today, Secretary of State Anthony Blincoln meets with 43 00:01:59,760 --> 00:02:02,280 Speaker 3: israel lely leaders as Hamas signals it is open to 44 00:02:02,320 --> 00:02:05,320 Speaker 3: a new ceasefire and hostage release deal In Gaza. B 45 00:02:05,320 --> 00:02:08,160 Speaker 3: Lincoln expressed some optimism after meeting yesterday with the leaders 46 00:02:08,160 --> 00:02:09,240 Speaker 3: of Katar and Egypt. 47 00:02:09,800 --> 00:02:13,480 Speaker 9: We continue to believe that an agreement is possible and 48 00:02:13,680 --> 00:02:14,640 Speaker 9: indeed essential. 49 00:02:15,320 --> 00:02:17,480 Speaker 3: Secretary of State Lincoln's on his fifth trip to the 50 00:02:17,480 --> 00:02:21,080 Speaker 3: Middle East since the Gaza War began. According to Allarabia Television, 51 00:02:21,120 --> 00:02:23,640 Speaker 3: Hamas wants a one hundred and thirty five day truce 52 00:02:23,680 --> 00:02:26,120 Speaker 3: that could be rolled out in three stages. The second 53 00:02:26,120 --> 00:02:29,120 Speaker 3: stage calls for Israel to pull all its forces from Gaza. 54 00:02:29,480 --> 00:02:32,800 Speaker 3: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has insisted the war won't 55 00:02:32,880 --> 00:02:34,720 Speaker 3: end until Hamas is destroyed. 56 00:02:35,240 --> 00:02:38,440 Speaker 2: Meywhile Nathan and the race for presidency and Nikki Hailey 57 00:02:38,560 --> 00:02:41,600 Speaker 2: has suffered a loss in the largely symbolic Republican Nevada 58 00:02:41,680 --> 00:02:45,079 Speaker 2: President Joe primary, while President Joe Biden secured an easy 59 00:02:45,160 --> 00:02:48,240 Speaker 2: victory in the state's Democratic vote with more than half 60 00:02:48,280 --> 00:02:51,600 Speaker 2: the vote counted. None of these candidates had more than 61 00:02:51,720 --> 00:02:54,760 Speaker 2: sixty one percent of the vote to Hailey's thirty two 62 00:02:54,840 --> 00:02:56,040 Speaker 2: point four percent. 63 00:02:55,840 --> 00:02:59,240 Speaker 3: And Karen changes could be coming at the Republican National Committee, 64 00:02:59,280 --> 00:03:02,640 Speaker 3: Bloomberg News has learned Chairwoman Ron McDaniel's in discussions with 65 00:03:02,680 --> 00:03:05,200 Speaker 3: party leadership to step down by the end of this month. 66 00:03:05,520 --> 00:03:09,400 Speaker 3: Sources Saint McDaniel's been facing pressure from Donald Trump well Nathan. 67 00:03:09,440 --> 00:03:11,960 Speaker 2: Turning to the markets and the economy, more FED officials 68 00:03:12,000 --> 00:03:14,320 Speaker 2: are dousing any hopes of a March rate cut, And 69 00:03:14,360 --> 00:03:16,480 Speaker 2: here's Cleveland FED President Loarrettamester. 70 00:03:16,760 --> 00:03:19,040 Speaker 10: It would be a mistake to move rates down too 71 00:03:19,120 --> 00:03:23,320 Speaker 10: soon or too quickly without sufficient evidence that inflation was 72 00:03:23,360 --> 00:03:26,359 Speaker 10: on a sustainable timely path back to two percent. If 73 00:03:26,360 --> 00:03:30,400 Speaker 10: the economy evolves as I expect I think it will, 74 00:03:30,720 --> 00:03:33,600 Speaker 10: I think we will gain that confidence later this year, 75 00:03:33,960 --> 00:03:36,360 Speaker 10: and then we can begin moving rates down. 76 00:03:36,560 --> 00:03:41,200 Speaker 2: Cleveland FED President Lorettamester remarks echo those from several policymakers, 77 00:03:41,200 --> 00:03:44,560 Speaker 2: including chair j Powell, who signaled that they're comfortable taking 78 00:03:44,600 --> 00:03:46,920 Speaker 2: their time cutting rates from a two decade high. 79 00:03:47,160 --> 00:03:49,880 Speaker 3: Started Company News Now, Karen, we're watching Community or a 80 00:03:49,960 --> 00:03:52,920 Speaker 3: New York Community Bank Corps. That's after its credit grade 81 00:03:53,000 --> 00:03:55,920 Speaker 3: was cut to junk at Moody's let's get the details 82 00:03:55,920 --> 00:03:57,119 Speaker 3: now from Bloomberg's John Tucker. 83 00:03:57,200 --> 00:03:59,720 Speaker 6: Johnny and Nathan Moody says the bank is facing multi 84 00:03:59,760 --> 00:04:04,400 Speaker 6: fed financial risks and governance challenges. They've lowered the company's 85 00:04:04,440 --> 00:04:07,920 Speaker 6: long term issue rating two notches below investment grade. Yeah, 86 00:04:07,960 --> 00:04:11,080 Speaker 6: that's junk. The trouble began after it acquired assets of 87 00:04:11,160 --> 00:04:14,240 Speaker 6: Signature Bank last year in the regional bank crisis that 88 00:04:14,360 --> 00:04:18,040 Speaker 6: pushed NYCB into a different regulatory category where it had 89 00:04:18,040 --> 00:04:21,320 Speaker 6: to beef up reserves. Now, just last week, NYCB announced 90 00:04:21,320 --> 00:04:24,640 Speaker 6: plans to slash the dividend and warned of troubled loans 91 00:04:24,680 --> 00:04:27,480 Speaker 6: time to commercial real estate. The socks down fifty nine 92 00:04:27,520 --> 00:04:30,240 Speaker 6: percent year to date. This morning in the pre market trading, 93 00:04:30,520 --> 00:04:33,880 Speaker 6: it's down another ten percent. John Tucker, Bloomberg. 94 00:04:33,480 --> 00:04:36,440 Speaker 2: Radio, All right, John, thank you New York community. Not 95 00:04:36,520 --> 00:04:39,120 Speaker 2: the only one taking it on the chin today. Snap 96 00:04:39,160 --> 00:04:42,400 Speaker 2: shares are down about thirty percent this morning, make it 97 00:04:42,480 --> 00:04:45,440 Speaker 2: thirty one percent. Even the owner of the Snapchat app 98 00:04:45,560 --> 00:04:48,520 Speaker 2: posted disappointing revenue in the holiday quarter. It's to sad 99 00:04:48,520 --> 00:04:50,480 Speaker 2: the company is still reeling from a slump in its 100 00:04:50,520 --> 00:04:54,320 Speaker 2: digital advertising business. On the flip side, shares of Ford 101 00:04:54,440 --> 00:04:57,160 Speaker 2: are up more than six percent. The automaker posted fourth 102 00:04:57,200 --> 00:05:01,839 Speaker 2: quarter results above estimates and forecast higher profits twenty four Karen. 103 00:05:01,880 --> 00:05:04,600 Speaker 3: We now turn to a transformative deal in the sports 104 00:05:04,720 --> 00:05:10,080 Speaker 3: broadcasting industry. Walt Disney's ESPN, Fox, and Warner Brothers Discovery 105 00:05:10,120 --> 00:05:13,880 Speaker 3: are joining forces to launch a sports focused streaming service 106 00:05:13,920 --> 00:05:16,240 Speaker 3: that will feature major college and pro games that are 107 00:05:16,279 --> 00:05:19,920 Speaker 3: usually seen only on traditional television. We get the details 108 00:05:19,920 --> 00:05:21,520 Speaker 3: now from Bloomberg's Charlie Pellett. 109 00:05:21,680 --> 00:05:24,279 Speaker 11: The service will be a third owned by each company. 110 00:05:24,320 --> 00:05:27,719 Speaker 11: Pricing and a name have yet to be determined. According 111 00:05:27,720 --> 00:05:30,200 Speaker 11: to a statement, they expect to launch the new service 112 00:05:30,240 --> 00:05:32,680 Speaker 11: by the fall of this year. The aim is to 113 00:05:32,839 --> 00:05:36,479 Speaker 11: draw in viewers who don't subscribe to a PayTV bundle 114 00:05:36,760 --> 00:05:39,080 Speaker 11: and offer them all of the sports that come with 115 00:05:39,320 --> 00:05:44,160 Speaker 11: such a package. It'll include Disney's ESPN and ABC Networks, 116 00:05:44,400 --> 00:05:49,600 Speaker 11: Fox and waterer channels including TNT and TBS in New York. 117 00:05:49,720 --> 00:05:52,760 Speaker 11: Charlie Pellett, Bloomberg Radio. 118 00:05:54,520 --> 00:05:55,880 Speaker 2: It's time now for look at some of the other 119 00:05:55,960 --> 00:05:57,920 Speaker 2: stories making news around the world, and for that we're 120 00:05:57,960 --> 00:06:00,320 Speaker 2: joined by Bloomberg Samy Morris, Sammy Goodmore. 121 00:06:00,760 --> 00:06:04,640 Speaker 4: Good Morning Karen. President Biden will attend three fundraisers hosted 122 00:06:04,640 --> 00:06:07,479 Speaker 4: by New York doctors and financiers as he looks to 123 00:06:07,520 --> 00:06:12,280 Speaker 4: extend his cash advantage over Republican rival Donald Trump. The fundraisers, 124 00:06:12,320 --> 00:06:15,160 Speaker 4: which will largely be held during the afternoon, but could 125 00:06:15,200 --> 00:06:18,080 Speaker 4: bleed into rush hour traffic. Come after. The President's re 126 00:06:18,120 --> 00:06:21,080 Speaker 4: election campaign raised ninety seven million dollars in the fourth 127 00:06:21,160 --> 00:06:23,760 Speaker 4: quarter of twenty twenty three and reported one hundred and 128 00:06:23,760 --> 00:06:27,520 Speaker 4: seventeen million dollars on hand. The president has attended a 129 00:06:27,560 --> 00:06:30,680 Speaker 4: series of high dollar fund raisers recently, including a trip 130 00:06:30,760 --> 00:06:33,640 Speaker 4: last week to Miami in Palm Beach. The Biden campaign 131 00:06:33,720 --> 00:06:37,239 Speaker 4: hopes a cash edge can help the president overcome poles 132 00:06:37,440 --> 00:06:41,080 Speaker 4: that show him consistently trailing Donald Trump, who is now 133 00:06:41,240 --> 00:06:45,760 Speaker 4: closing in on the Republican nomination. Areas of southern California 134 00:06:45,839 --> 00:06:48,800 Speaker 4: are trying to dry out after an extreme weather system 135 00:06:49,080 --> 00:06:52,159 Speaker 4: pummeled the region with heavy rain and strong winds. Los 136 00:06:52,200 --> 00:06:55,400 Speaker 4: Angeles Fire Chief at Kristin Crowley the road. 137 00:06:55,200 --> 00:06:58,320 Speaker 12: To recovery may be long and it requires an all 138 00:06:58,440 --> 00:07:03,080 Speaker 12: hands on deck approach. Damage assessments have started and all 139 00:07:03,120 --> 00:07:07,360 Speaker 12: city departments will continue to coordinate and support our recovery effort. 140 00:07:07,480 --> 00:07:10,560 Speaker 4: Chief Growley says there is still danger from falling trees 141 00:07:10,600 --> 00:07:13,840 Speaker 4: and mud slides, but the recovery has begun slowly as 142 00:07:13,960 --> 00:07:16,920 Speaker 4: power is being restored and there is more rain in 143 00:07:16,960 --> 00:07:19,800 Speaker 4: the forecast. For today. While it's not expected to be 144 00:07:19,880 --> 00:07:23,120 Speaker 4: heavy rain, it does increase the risk of more mud slides. 145 00:07:23,640 --> 00:07:27,400 Speaker 4: An alarming trend on the nation's highways, more roadside assistants 146 00:07:27,480 --> 00:07:31,200 Speaker 4: workers are being killed. A study by TRIPAA finds one 147 00:07:31,240 --> 00:07:33,880 Speaker 4: hundred and twenty three such workers were killed by passing 148 00:07:34,000 --> 00:07:38,080 Speaker 4: vehicles between twenty fifteen and twenty twenty one, study author 149 00:07:38,200 --> 00:07:39,040 Speaker 4: Brian Teft. 150 00:07:39,400 --> 00:07:41,640 Speaker 13: While they do what they do to make sure we 151 00:07:41,720 --> 00:07:44,640 Speaker 13: can all make it home to our family safely, sometimes 152 00:07:44,640 --> 00:07:47,600 Speaker 13: they don't make it home. So this research is all 153 00:07:47,640 --> 00:07:50,840 Speaker 13: about understanding the risks that they face and figuring out 154 00:07:50,880 --> 00:07:52,880 Speaker 13: what we can do to better protect them. 155 00:07:53,160 --> 00:07:56,080 Speaker 4: The study finds eighty four percent of the crashes involving 156 00:07:56,160 --> 00:08:00,240 Speaker 4: roadside assistance worker fatalities were in good weather conditions, no 157 00:08:00,320 --> 00:08:04,320 Speaker 4: wet or slippery roads. Switching up arms for multi dose 158 00:08:04,480 --> 00:08:08,080 Speaker 4: vaccines could improve immune response by up to four times. 159 00:08:08,320 --> 00:08:10,640 Speaker 4: That's according to new research out of Oregon Health and 160 00:08:10,680 --> 00:08:14,320 Speaker 4: Science University, which looked at how people received COVID nineteen 161 00:08:14,440 --> 00:08:17,600 Speaker 4: vaccine shots, where searchers say it could have implications for 162 00:08:17,720 --> 00:08:20,920 Speaker 4: other types of vaccines as well. Global News twenty four 163 00:08:20,920 --> 00:08:23,080 Speaker 4: hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg 164 00:08:23,120 --> 00:08:26,320 Speaker 4: News Now. I'm Amy Morrison. This is Bloomberg Karen. 165 00:08:26,480 --> 00:08:28,240 Speaker 2: All right, Amy, thank you what We bring you news 166 00:08:28,240 --> 00:08:30,880 Speaker 2: throughout the day right here on Bloomberg Radio. But now 167 00:08:30,880 --> 00:08:33,199 Speaker 2: you can get the latest news on demand whenever you 168 00:08:33,240 --> 00:08:36,079 Speaker 2: want it. Just subscribe to Bloomberg News Now to get 169 00:08:36,080 --> 00:08:38,400 Speaker 2: the latest headlines at the click of a button. Get 170 00:08:38,440 --> 00:08:41,200 Speaker 2: informed on your schedule. You can listen and subscribe to 171 00:08:41,240 --> 00:08:45,000 Speaker 2: Bloomberg News Now on the Bloomberg Business app, Bloomberg dot Com, 172 00:08:45,000 --> 00:08:50,520 Speaker 2: plus apples, Spotify, and anywhere else you get your podcasts. 173 00:08:52,600 --> 00:08:55,560 Speaker 2: Time for the Bloomberg Sports Update with John stash Hour. 174 00:08:55,440 --> 00:08:58,280 Speaker 14: John darn The Edmonton Oilers have not lost the game 175 00:08:58,360 --> 00:09:02,080 Speaker 14: since December nineteenth. Their sixteen game winning stree came to 176 00:09:02,120 --> 00:09:04,200 Speaker 14: an end, losing three to one at Vegas. 177 00:09:04,320 --> 00:09:06,079 Speaker 11: They fall just short of time. 178 00:09:06,520 --> 00:09:10,040 Speaker 14: The NHL's all time record still belongs to the Pittsburgh Penguins, 179 00:09:10,160 --> 00:09:13,320 Speaker 14: who won seventeen in a row in nineteen ninety three. 180 00:09:13,440 --> 00:09:15,719 Speaker 14: Bruins lost at home to Calgary four to one, and 181 00:09:15,800 --> 00:09:18,760 Speaker 14: the Capitols lost at home to Montreal five to two. 182 00:09:18,920 --> 00:09:21,360 Speaker 14: Kyrie Irving, back in Brooklyn, spent three and a half 183 00:09:21,480 --> 00:09:24,480 Speaker 14: years with the Nets. A lot of controversies there, didn't 184 00:09:24,480 --> 00:09:28,680 Speaker 14: get vaccinated, tweeted a link to an antisemitic film. Forced 185 00:09:28,679 --> 00:09:30,839 Speaker 14: to trade to Dallas. He scored thirty six points for 186 00:09:30,920 --> 00:09:33,240 Speaker 14: the MAVs. They beat the Nets one nineteen to one 187 00:09:33,320 --> 00:09:37,360 Speaker 14: oh seven. Luka Domsic had thirty five points, eighteen rebounds 188 00:09:37,400 --> 00:09:38,280 Speaker 14: and nine as six. 189 00:09:38,760 --> 00:09:39,680 Speaker 11: Couple of changes for. 190 00:09:39,679 --> 00:09:42,840 Speaker 14: The All Star rosters as Joe l Embiid and Julius 191 00:09:42,920 --> 00:09:45,120 Speaker 14: Randall are both injured and can't wway, so they'll be 192 00:09:45,160 --> 00:09:49,080 Speaker 14: replaced by Trey Young and Scotty Barnes. Clayton Kershaw will 193 00:09:49,120 --> 00:09:51,880 Speaker 14: return to the Dodgers for a seventeen season at the 194 00:09:51,880 --> 00:09:54,520 Speaker 14: age of thirty five. He had a great twenty twenty 195 00:09:54,520 --> 00:09:57,280 Speaker 14: three in the regular season and then got lit up 196 00:09:57,280 --> 00:10:00,360 Speaker 14: in his one postseason start. Gave up six runs and 197 00:10:00,440 --> 00:10:03,400 Speaker 14: only got one out Kurshross. Coming off shoulder surgery, he 198 00:10:03,520 --> 00:10:07,520 Speaker 14: likely won't pitch until July. College oops Yukon's number one 199 00:10:07,520 --> 00:10:09,520 Speaker 14: and prove it to twenty one and two eleven and 200 00:10:09,600 --> 00:10:11,800 Speaker 14: one of the Big East. Husky's beat Butlers seventy one 201 00:10:11,800 --> 00:10:14,800 Speaker 14: to sixty two. The upset was in the ACC Clemson 202 00:10:14,880 --> 00:10:17,320 Speaker 14: was up by sixteen held on to beat North Carolina 203 00:10:17,400 --> 00:10:20,240 Speaker 14: eighty to seventy six. The Tigers are now two and 204 00:10:20,440 --> 00:10:24,000 Speaker 14: fifty one in their history. Playing at Chapel Hill. Johns 205 00:10:24,040 --> 00:10:25,679 Speaker 14: stash that were Bloomberg's. 206 00:10:25,120 --> 00:10:30,640 Speaker 9: Ft from coast to coast, from New York to San Francisco, 207 00:10:30,960 --> 00:10:36,040 Speaker 9: Boston to Washington, DC, nationwide on SYRIASXAM, the Bloomberg Business 208 00:10:36,040 --> 00:10:39,720 Speaker 9: app in Bloomberg dot Com. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. 209 00:10:40,840 --> 00:10:43,959 Speaker 3: Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. Divided government is nothing new 210 00:10:44,000 --> 00:10:46,320 Speaker 3: in Washington, d C. But this morning there are even 211 00:10:46,360 --> 00:10:50,200 Speaker 3: more cracks on multiple fronts. A bipartisan deal on Ukraine, 212 00:10:50,240 --> 00:10:53,040 Speaker 3: ad and border security looks all but dead in the Senate. 213 00:10:53,400 --> 00:10:57,120 Speaker 3: A bid to impeach Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorcis has 214 00:10:57,160 --> 00:11:00,080 Speaker 3: gone down in a surprise defeat in the House. The 215 00:11:00,120 --> 00:11:03,720 Speaker 3: presidential race, Nikki Hayley has taken an embarrassing loss in 216 00:11:03,760 --> 00:11:07,960 Speaker 3: the largely symbolic Republican primary in Nevada. Lots to discuss 217 00:11:08,000 --> 00:11:10,600 Speaker 3: in politics. Let's do it now with Greg Valier, chief 218 00:11:10,720 --> 00:11:14,320 Speaker 3: US policy strategist at AGF Investments. Greg, good morning, saw 219 00:11:14,320 --> 00:11:17,199 Speaker 3: your note this week that Congress has hit rock bottom. 220 00:11:17,240 --> 00:11:21,080 Speaker 3: When the border security Ukraine deal looked on the brink 221 00:11:21,160 --> 00:11:23,600 Speaker 3: in the Senate. Do you have a new support level 222 00:11:23,600 --> 00:11:25,000 Speaker 3: for US politics this morning? 223 00:11:26,760 --> 00:11:30,120 Speaker 5: Good morning, Nathan. Now, it's pretty difficult to get much 224 00:11:30,160 --> 00:11:33,160 Speaker 5: lower than they are right now. It's an embarrassment. They're 225 00:11:33,240 --> 00:11:37,320 Speaker 5: dysfunctional and sadly, I don't see a lot of improvement 226 00:11:37,640 --> 00:11:40,360 Speaker 5: as we head to the next crisis, which is end 227 00:11:40,360 --> 00:11:44,679 Speaker 5: of February early March on getting a budget before. 228 00:11:44,320 --> 00:11:46,680 Speaker 3: We get to that point. I mean, we do get 229 00:11:46,720 --> 00:11:50,160 Speaker 3: closer to that government shut down deadline, but what is 230 00:11:50,240 --> 00:11:54,160 Speaker 3: going on when it comes to the paralysis we saw? 231 00:11:54,480 --> 00:11:57,560 Speaker 3: And this bypart is in deal. We heard President Biden 232 00:11:57,679 --> 00:12:02,520 Speaker 3: yesterday calling on Republicans to show some against former President Trump. 233 00:12:02,600 --> 00:12:05,480 Speaker 3: Is this all about his influence on the GOP? 234 00:12:07,040 --> 00:12:10,520 Speaker 5: I think two things, Nathan. First of all, the new 235 00:12:10,559 --> 00:12:13,240 Speaker 5: Speaker of the House, who's a rookie who's feeling his 236 00:12:13,320 --> 00:12:20,360 Speaker 5: way around Capitol Hill, Mike Johnson, is trying to assert 237 00:12:20,440 --> 00:12:24,520 Speaker 5: himself and it's not easy. The bigger story, in my opinion, 238 00:12:24,559 --> 00:12:28,839 Speaker 5: involves Donald Trump, who is calling the shots. Incredibly, eight 239 00:12:28,920 --> 00:12:32,640 Speaker 5: or nine months before the election, Trump is calling the shots. 240 00:12:32,679 --> 00:12:36,480 Speaker 5: You've got a weakened Senate majority leader in Mitch McConnell, 241 00:12:36,520 --> 00:12:39,719 Speaker 5: and you've got Mike Johnson, and neither of them are 242 00:12:40,120 --> 00:12:43,160 Speaker 5: capable of getting a deal. So Trump is in the picture. 243 00:12:44,520 --> 00:12:48,679 Speaker 3: With Trump in the picture, let's talk about this government 244 00:12:48,760 --> 00:12:51,880 Speaker 3: shut down deadline. Does that raise the risk that we 245 00:12:51,920 --> 00:12:54,600 Speaker 3: could see a shut down if the former president does 246 00:12:54,640 --> 00:12:56,800 Speaker 3: continue to assert his influence on Capitol Hill. 247 00:12:57,840 --> 00:13:00,319 Speaker 5: Yeah, there's a risk if he comes out out and 248 00:13:00,880 --> 00:13:04,800 Speaker 5: asserts that we must have a setdown, that would influence 249 00:13:05,320 --> 00:13:07,800 Speaker 5: a lot of people. I still think though the more 250 00:13:08,000 --> 00:13:11,920 Speaker 5: likely outcome THEES once again kick the can, kick the 251 00:13:11,960 --> 00:13:15,600 Speaker 5: can down the road and have another extension well into 252 00:13:15,640 --> 00:13:19,679 Speaker 5: the spring. There are many people in the House who 253 00:13:19,720 --> 00:13:24,280 Speaker 5: wouldn't mind having just one extension after another through the 254 00:13:24,320 --> 00:13:26,880 Speaker 5: fiscal year, which ends on September thirty. 255 00:13:27,559 --> 00:13:31,400 Speaker 3: What does this impass on border security and Ukraine aid 256 00:13:31,520 --> 00:13:35,320 Speaker 3: mean politically for President Biden. We've seen swing state polling 257 00:13:35,320 --> 00:13:37,640 Speaker 3: from Bloomberg News in Morning Consult that shows that the 258 00:13:37,679 --> 00:13:41,240 Speaker 3: imrogration issue is a vulnerability for the president. With this 259 00:13:41,280 --> 00:13:43,040 Speaker 3: deal not getting through, what does that mean for the 260 00:13:43,040 --> 00:13:43,920 Speaker 3: president politically? 261 00:13:45,080 --> 00:13:48,400 Speaker 5: Nothing good, and it certainly makes our allies around the 262 00:13:48,440 --> 00:13:52,480 Speaker 5: world nervous. Vladimir Putin has said for quite some time 263 00:13:52,880 --> 00:13:56,280 Speaker 5: that the US is not a dependable ally. Well, we're 264 00:13:56,280 --> 00:13:59,040 Speaker 5: seeing now that maybe we are not a dependable ally 265 00:13:59,080 --> 00:14:00,640 Speaker 5: and that doesn't help Joe Biden. 266 00:14:01,600 --> 00:14:05,520 Speaker 3: And when it comes to the assertion of House Speaker 267 00:14:05,559 --> 00:14:08,600 Speaker 3: Mike Johnson's influence, we saw more evidence of just how 268 00:14:08,600 --> 00:14:13,040 Speaker 3: difficult that's been with this surprise defeat for the impeachment 269 00:14:13,120 --> 00:14:17,320 Speaker 3: articles he's been pushing against Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorcis. 270 00:14:17,480 --> 00:14:20,120 Speaker 3: How surprised were you by that going down and defeat 271 00:14:20,200 --> 00:14:20,640 Speaker 3: last night? 272 00:14:21,440 --> 00:14:24,400 Speaker 5: Not terribly so. I thought a few Republicans would waiver 273 00:14:24,600 --> 00:14:28,040 Speaker 5: and vote against. But I tell you, Nathan, this new 274 00:14:28,080 --> 00:14:31,400 Speaker 5: Speaker Johnson is on thin ice if he can't get 275 00:14:31,440 --> 00:14:34,400 Speaker 5: a budget deal. If he decides he's got to go 276 00:14:34,440 --> 00:14:37,360 Speaker 5: with some Democrats to get a deal done, I think 277 00:14:37,440 --> 00:14:40,240 Speaker 5: the right wing in the House could give in the boot. 278 00:14:41,520 --> 00:14:44,720 Speaker 3: How likely do you think that is when we've seen 279 00:14:45,680 --> 00:14:49,520 Speaker 3: multiple speaker Well we had a former Speaker Kevin McCarthy 280 00:14:49,600 --> 00:14:52,560 Speaker 3: last not that long. But do the Republicans really want 281 00:14:52,600 --> 00:14:56,520 Speaker 3: to go through another speakership fight with so much difficulty 282 00:14:56,520 --> 00:14:58,280 Speaker 3: getting any policy done in Washington? 283 00:14:59,280 --> 00:15:04,400 Speaker 5: Yeah, it's mind boggling. It makes no logical sense. But 284 00:15:04,680 --> 00:15:07,680 Speaker 5: you know, since when did logical sense domine Washington. It's 285 00:15:07,680 --> 00:15:11,560 Speaker 5: been a very dysfunctional period, and sadly, I don't see 286 00:15:11,600 --> 00:15:13,680 Speaker 5: the dysfunction ending anytime soon. 287 00:15:14,840 --> 00:15:17,880 Speaker 3: In our last thirty seconds here, Greg, let's talk about 288 00:15:17,880 --> 00:15:21,320 Speaker 3: the presidential race as well. The symbolic defeat for Nikki 289 00:15:21,400 --> 00:15:24,800 Speaker 3: Haley in Nevada. Is it just symbolic or does it 290 00:15:24,840 --> 00:15:28,120 Speaker 3: have implications for her going into South Carolina later this month? 291 00:15:28,880 --> 00:15:31,520 Speaker 5: Pretty much symbolic, but it's not a good headline for 292 00:15:31,600 --> 00:15:34,760 Speaker 5: her today, and she's not going to win in South 293 00:15:34,800 --> 00:15:38,800 Speaker 5: Carolina in my opinion. She's got until Super Tuesday, March fifth. 294 00:15:39,160 --> 00:15:42,200 Speaker 5: She wins a primary or two or three on March fifth, 295 00:15:42,680 --> 00:15:45,040 Speaker 5: she's back in the picture, but I'm not sure she's 296 00:15:45,040 --> 00:15:48,320 Speaker 5: going to win any primaries then, and once those primaries 297 00:15:48,360 --> 00:15:51,920 Speaker 5: are over, I think Trump becomes the presumptive nominee by 298 00:15:51,960 --> 00:15:52,560 Speaker 5: mid March. 299 00:15:54,560 --> 00:15:57,640 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Daybreak Today, your morning brief on the 300 00:15:57,680 --> 00:16:01,120 Speaker 1: story's making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. 301 00:16:01,360 --> 00:16:04,120 Speaker 2: Look for us on your podcast feed at six am 302 00:16:04,200 --> 00:16:07,880 Speaker 2: Eastern each morning on Apple, Spotify, and anywhere else you 303 00:16:07,920 --> 00:16:08,960 Speaker 2: get your podcasts. 304 00:16:09,200 --> 00:16:11,920 Speaker 1: You can also listen live each morning starting at five 305 00:16:11,960 --> 00:16:14,600 Speaker 1: am Wall Street time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero 306 00:16:14,600 --> 00:16:18,080 Speaker 1: in New York, Bloomberg ninety nine one in Washington, Bloomberg 307 00:16:18,080 --> 00:16:21,120 Speaker 1: one oh sixty one in Boston, and Bloomberg nine sixty 308 00:16:21,240 --> 00:16:22,200 Speaker 1: in San Francisco. 309 00:16:22,560 --> 00:16:25,720 Speaker 2: Our flagship New York station is also available on your 310 00:16:25,760 --> 00:16:31,200 Speaker 2: Amazon Alexa devices. Just say Alexa Play Bloomberg eleven thirty plus. 311 00:16:31,240 --> 00:16:34,640 Speaker 1: Listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app, SERIUSXM, 312 00:16:34,760 --> 00:16:39,040 Speaker 1: the iHeartRadio app, and on Bloomberg dot Com. I'm Nathan Hager. 313 00:16:38,800 --> 00:16:40,080 Speaker 4: And I'm Karen Moscow. 314 00:16:40,200 --> 00:16:42,960 Speaker 2: Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you 315 00:16:43,080 --> 00:17:01,680 Speaker 2: need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Daybreak