1
00:00:00,920 --> 00:00:05,160
Speaker 1: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast, the number one show

2
00:00:05,280 --> 00:00:06,920
Speaker 1: for the invested sports fan.

3
00:00:08,640 --> 00:00:09,600
Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

4
00:00:14,680 --> 00:00:18,440
Speaker 3: Fifteen, twenty, twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty twenty five,

5
00:00:18,520 --> 00:00:24,239
Speaker 3: fifty and the kicks block the college football World. Stunners,

6
00:00:26,920 --> 00:00:32,800
Speaker 3: Oh my goodness, please stumble the bumble, the lateral turn,

7
00:00:32,800 --> 00:00:38,600
Speaker 3: a counter of thesode. Don't you believe came them up

8
00:00:38,680 --> 00:00:39,640
Speaker 3: the field the night.

9
00:00:43,240 --> 00:00:46,040
Speaker 4: It's not the sage of the dog in the fight,

10
00:00:46,479 --> 00:00:48,760
Speaker 4: It's the sage of the fight in the doll.

11
00:00:51,360 --> 00:00:55,560
Speaker 3: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Action Network Podcast.

12
00:00:55,840 --> 00:01:00,920
Speaker 3: It's the final college football betting preview of this season.

13
00:01:01,600 --> 00:01:06,200
Speaker 3: We're talking national championships, obviously LSU Clemson. We'll also throw it.

14
00:01:06,319 --> 00:01:09,640
Speaker 3: We'll talk about the FCS Championship on Saturday in one

15
00:01:09,680 --> 00:01:13,400
Speaker 3: of the best betting weekends of the entire year.

16
00:01:13,920 --> 00:01:17,280
Speaker 1: If you hate ball games, go listen to NPR.

17
00:01:17,520 --> 00:01:21,520
Speaker 3: Four NFL Divisional round games, an FCS championship game, and

18
00:01:21,600 --> 00:01:26,080
Speaker 3: then on Monday you have the College Football Playoff National

19
00:01:26,160 --> 00:01:28,120
Speaker 3: Championship and Dot Colin and I will be in Vegas.

20
00:01:28,000 --> 00:01:28,480
Speaker 2: For all of it.

21
00:01:28,880 --> 00:01:30,119
Speaker 3: What do you get in, buddy, I'm.

22
00:01:30,040 --> 00:01:32,720
Speaker 4: Getting in Saturday morning. Saturday afternoon. But we know, like

23
00:01:32,840 --> 00:01:35,280
Speaker 4: you and I were talking about this pre pod, I'm

24
00:01:35,319 --> 00:01:37,680
Speaker 4: over here in Oklahoma and we got some bad weather

25
00:01:37,760 --> 00:01:40,440
Speaker 4: coming in, some possible snow and some ice and sleep.

26
00:01:40,560 --> 00:01:43,240
Speaker 4: And the FCS Championship is just a couple hour drive

27
00:01:43,280 --> 00:01:45,240
Speaker 4: away down Frisco, and you know there's gonna be some

28
00:01:45,280 --> 00:01:45,920
Speaker 4: weather down there.

29
00:01:45,840 --> 00:01:48,400
Speaker 3: For that too. Teaser alert. We'll get to that, and

30
00:01:49,000 --> 00:01:50,840
Speaker 3: what a weekend we have in store, and it's just

31
00:01:51,040 --> 00:01:55,280
Speaker 3: a great matchup between two prolific offenses, and we're gonna

32
00:01:55,320 --> 00:01:57,480
Speaker 3: break it all down here. We're also going to talk

33
00:01:57,520 --> 00:02:00,160
Speaker 3: with Brody Miller, who we've talked to all season, the

34
00:02:00,240 --> 00:02:03,440
Speaker 3: athletic who covers LSU. We'll get some of his quick

35
00:02:03,520 --> 00:02:06,120
Speaker 3: thoughts on the game. We're going to go through props

36
00:02:06,360 --> 00:02:09,000
Speaker 3: matchups on both sides of the ball. But we'll start

37
00:02:09,200 --> 00:02:11,359
Speaker 3: with and by the way, we're gonna give away our

38
00:02:12,320 --> 00:02:18,040
Speaker 3: second annual Action Network podcast Gambling Heisman Trophy winner. There's

39
00:02:18,040 --> 00:02:21,480
Speaker 3: an underdog on the list. We have five finalists. We'll

40
00:02:21,520 --> 00:02:24,120
Speaker 3: get to the mall. Last year the winner was Trevor

41
00:02:24,200 --> 00:02:27,160
Speaker 3: Lawrence and it was you know, obviously you have to

42
00:02:27,200 --> 00:02:29,000
Speaker 3: be on a team that dominates against the spread to

43
00:02:29,040 --> 00:02:32,040
Speaker 3: win the Action Network podcast Gambling Heisman Trophy. So we'll

44
00:02:32,040 --> 00:02:33,720
Speaker 3: get to that. I don't know who Colin's going to

45
00:02:33,800 --> 00:02:37,040
Speaker 3: vote for. I know who I'm voting for, and if

46
00:02:37,240 --> 00:02:39,160
Speaker 3: there's a tie, we're gonna have to We're gonna have

47
00:02:39,200 --> 00:02:41,040
Speaker 3: to duke it out here, all right, But let's start

48
00:02:41,080 --> 00:02:44,120
Speaker 3: with the National Championship. As of right now, the total

49
00:02:44,360 --> 00:02:48,520
Speaker 3: is sitting at sixty nine sixty nine and a half still,

50
00:02:48,680 --> 00:02:52,480
Speaker 3: and LSU is a five and a half point favorite.

51
00:02:53,040 --> 00:02:54,400
Speaker 3: S A p makes this line two and AF you

52
00:02:54,480 --> 00:02:56,720
Speaker 3: make it a pick. I actually make it a tad

53
00:02:56,800 --> 00:02:59,880
Speaker 3: over three. And I artificially bumped LSU just for being

54
00:03:00,080 --> 00:03:02,040
Speaker 3: LSU over the past month because I can't catch up.

55
00:03:02,320 --> 00:03:05,320
Speaker 3: Regardless no matter what numbers you look at, this line

56
00:03:05,400 --> 00:03:09,240
Speaker 3: is inflated. I don't think anyone understands lines or makes

57
00:03:09,280 --> 00:03:11,919
Speaker 3: their own lines would disagree with that. This line is

58
00:03:12,000 --> 00:03:14,480
Speaker 3: probably a pick. If this game was played a month ago,

59
00:03:14,800 --> 00:03:16,840
Speaker 3: maybe LSU minus won one and a half. You have

60
00:03:17,000 --> 00:03:19,600
Speaker 3: some home field advantage. The crowd will definitely be on

61
00:03:19,680 --> 00:03:22,120
Speaker 3: their side, but this line is clearly inflated, and something

62
00:03:22,160 --> 00:03:24,200
Speaker 3: they keep in mind is I was talking with another

63
00:03:24,200 --> 00:03:26,320
Speaker 3: front of the podcast, John Murray, earlier today and I

64
00:03:26,400 --> 00:03:27,960
Speaker 3: was asking him what he needs, and he was saying,

65
00:03:28,000 --> 00:03:30,440
Speaker 3: you know that there's everyone in the world is on LSU.

66
00:03:30,600 --> 00:03:33,919
Speaker 3: If Clemston wins outright, it will be their biggest win

67
00:03:34,040 --> 00:03:38,200
Speaker 3: as a book since since Mayweather when he fought McGregor. Wow,

68
00:03:38,680 --> 00:03:41,360
Speaker 3: that's how big it will be. Now that includes futures

69
00:03:41,640 --> 00:03:44,240
Speaker 3: wins too, which they win in futures, But that's how

70
00:03:44,280 --> 00:03:46,520
Speaker 3: big of a decision it'll be for them. They said.

71
00:03:46,880 --> 00:03:52,680
Speaker 3: The decision will be absolutely mammoth. If Baltimore, Kansas City,

72
00:03:53,120 --> 00:03:55,960
Speaker 3: and San Francisco all win in the NFL. If they

73
00:03:56,000 --> 00:03:58,120
Speaker 3: all win straight up, there are so many parlays they

74
00:03:58,120 --> 00:03:59,680
Speaker 3: are going to be tied to LSU that the liability

75
00:03:59,680 --> 00:04:01,520
Speaker 3: is going to huge. So I'd sit in at five

76
00:04:01,560 --> 00:04:03,520
Speaker 3: and a half. I don't think, you know, it's a

77
00:04:04,080 --> 00:04:05,800
Speaker 3: semi dead range as far as coming down if it

78
00:04:05,840 --> 00:04:08,800
Speaker 3: comes down to five, you know, So I'm going to

79
00:04:08,840 --> 00:04:10,960
Speaker 3: take a piece of Clemson just because this line is

80
00:04:11,000 --> 00:04:12,880
Speaker 3: so high, and then I'm going to try to get

81
00:04:12,960 --> 00:04:15,280
Speaker 3: LSU live right away that I do think Elsie wins,

82
00:04:15,280 --> 00:04:16,120
Speaker 3: but at the end of the day, it's just a

83
00:04:16,240 --> 00:04:18,760
Speaker 3: numbers game. But if all that happens you're going to

84
00:04:18,800 --> 00:04:20,800
Speaker 3: see this line rise. So I'm going to wait to

85
00:04:20,839 --> 00:04:22,960
Speaker 3: see what I can get based on the NFL results

86
00:04:22,960 --> 00:04:24,760
Speaker 3: of the weekend. So and when I talked to Johnny,

87
00:04:24,760 --> 00:04:26,400
Speaker 3: so basically, we just need one of these big favorites

88
00:04:26,440 --> 00:04:28,520
Speaker 3: to go down, not only for all the NFL parlays,

89
00:04:28,520 --> 00:04:30,400
Speaker 3: but for all the parlours will be tied to LSU.

90
00:04:30,640 --> 00:04:33,040
Speaker 3: He said. The Texans beating the Chiefs or the Titans

91
00:04:33,080 --> 00:04:36,000
Speaker 3: beating the Ravens would be lovely, but the Vikings beating

92
00:04:36,040 --> 00:04:38,160
Speaker 3: the forty nine ers would also work and is probably

93
00:04:38,240 --> 00:04:41,680
Speaker 3: more feasible. So that's the report from a sports books perspective.

94
00:04:41,800 --> 00:04:45,080
Speaker 3: The line is definitely inflated. I think the total is

95
00:04:45,720 --> 00:04:47,880
Speaker 3: a tad high, just for a national championship. You gotta

96
00:04:47,880 --> 00:04:50,040
Speaker 3: remember where it's being played, and you know, I think

97
00:04:50,080 --> 00:04:52,080
Speaker 3: it's going to be a close game, so these offense

98
00:04:52,160 --> 00:04:54,120
Speaker 3: can just go back and forth. But the way that

99
00:04:54,200 --> 00:04:56,200
Speaker 3: I think it's going to play out. But before we

100
00:04:56,240 --> 00:04:58,279
Speaker 3: get to that, let's let's let's catch up with Brody,

101
00:04:58,279 --> 00:05:00,560
Speaker 3: who we have on the line of the f and

102
00:05:00,600 --> 00:05:03,400
Speaker 3: then we'll get into our thoughts. Well, you don't, first

103
00:05:03,440 --> 00:05:07,719
Speaker 3: of all, were coming any question, all right? So one

104
00:05:07,760 --> 00:05:09,120
Speaker 3: of the places that I want to start before we

105
00:05:09,160 --> 00:05:11,240
Speaker 3: get into Texas and knows what are the narratives that

106
00:05:11,279 --> 00:05:14,440
Speaker 3: you'll hear, you know. For the case for Clemson is

107
00:05:15,040 --> 00:05:17,560
Speaker 3: they've been here before, right, They've had the experience of

108
00:05:17,680 --> 00:05:19,960
Speaker 3: playing in a college football national championship. Now, I know

109
00:05:20,160 --> 00:05:23,320
Speaker 3: during interviews of players, all the players and coaches are

110
00:05:23,360 --> 00:05:25,480
Speaker 3: going to say the right things, right, like it's just

111
00:05:25,560 --> 00:05:27,520
Speaker 3: another game, blah blah blah. But are you getting any

112
00:05:27,720 --> 00:05:30,440
Speaker 3: feel or sense that you know this team so well

113
00:05:30,800 --> 00:05:33,960
Speaker 3: of how they're handling this moment as if it's just

114
00:05:34,040 --> 00:05:37,000
Speaker 3: another game, or could this stage you know, causes a

115
00:05:37,000 --> 00:05:38,920
Speaker 3: little nerves or jitters early on?

116
00:05:39,680 --> 00:05:41,480
Speaker 5: Yeah, I kind of point to uh. I thought it

117
00:05:41,520 --> 00:05:43,280
Speaker 5: was an interesting comment Kirby Smart.

118
00:05:43,080 --> 00:05:44,680
Speaker 2: Made before the SEC championship game.

119
00:05:44,720 --> 00:05:46,840
Speaker 5: You know, he kept getting questions about, you know, oh,

120
00:05:46,960 --> 00:05:49,080
Speaker 5: you know, George is more use to the SC title

121
00:05:49,120 --> 00:05:50,000
Speaker 5: game than LSU is.

122
00:05:50,000 --> 00:05:51,720
Speaker 2: Do you think that's an advantage? And he kind of

123
00:05:51,800 --> 00:05:54,359
Speaker 2: laughs and he was like, I mean maybe, but at

124
00:05:54,400 --> 00:05:54,760
Speaker 2: the end of the.

125
00:05:54,800 --> 00:05:58,640
Speaker 5: Day, LSU has played at Alabama, at Texas, they played,

126
00:05:58,800 --> 00:06:01,040
Speaker 5: they played you know, Auburn, Florida, all these teams, I

127
00:06:01,080 --> 00:06:03,680
Speaker 5: mean playing at the highest level isn't really that new

128
00:06:03,760 --> 00:06:05,920
Speaker 5: to them, and you know, I think there's something to

129
00:06:06,000 --> 00:06:07,040
Speaker 5: the idea that Clemson had.

130
00:06:07,080 --> 00:06:09,080
Speaker 2: You know that that is something that's important.

131
00:06:09,160 --> 00:06:11,800
Speaker 5: But I kind of tend to agree to Kirby Smart's

132
00:06:11,839 --> 00:06:13,320
Speaker 5: point that you know, at the end of the day,

133
00:06:13,400 --> 00:06:15,760
Speaker 5: they've been tests on the biggest stages and it's about

134
00:06:15,800 --> 00:06:18,080
Speaker 5: to be a home game in their own environment. I

135
00:06:18,120 --> 00:06:20,640
Speaker 5: always go back to, also, the comparison between last year's

136
00:06:20,720 --> 00:06:23,520
Speaker 5: LSU team going into the Alabama game and this year

137
00:06:23,600 --> 00:06:25,720
Speaker 5: is because last year that team looked tight, That team

138
00:06:25,760 --> 00:06:28,240
Speaker 5: looked nervous, not nervous, but really pent up and really

139
00:06:28,320 --> 00:06:30,560
Speaker 5: just kind of anxious going to that game. This year

140
00:06:30,640 --> 00:06:33,280
Speaker 5: that there was just more of a general confidence, just

141
00:06:33,600 --> 00:06:36,560
Speaker 5: a calmness. Justo John wasn't pushing as hard. It was

142
00:06:36,600 --> 00:06:38,840
Speaker 5: just that I believe they're the better team. That's the

143
00:06:38,880 --> 00:06:40,680
Speaker 5: same kind of thing I've seen this year. This is

144
00:06:40,720 --> 00:06:43,000
Speaker 5: a team that just is just kind of sure of itself,

145
00:06:43,080 --> 00:06:44,880
Speaker 5: and it's a coach that's more sure of himself than

146
00:06:44,880 --> 00:06:46,520
Speaker 5: I think I've ever seen them. And I think that's

147
00:06:46,560 --> 00:06:48,520
Speaker 5: my long winded answer to your question.

148
00:06:48,720 --> 00:06:50,200
Speaker 4: And you know, the thing is is that they were

149
00:06:50,279 --> 00:06:52,040
Speaker 4: loose by the time they got into that Bowl game

150
00:06:52,080 --> 00:06:54,640
Speaker 4: against Central Florida last year. I mean the number of

151
00:06:54,720 --> 00:06:57,239
Speaker 4: passing attempts and how you know, throwing it down the field.

152
00:06:57,320 --> 00:06:59,360
Speaker 4: And we all know the story by now that coach

153
00:06:59,400 --> 00:07:01,800
Speaker 4: O had I had told Inspiger way before, like we

154
00:07:01,880 --> 00:07:03,560
Speaker 4: got to go to a spread attack. We've got to

155
00:07:03,600 --> 00:07:05,400
Speaker 4: go to a spread attack. And they just seem more

156
00:07:05,440 --> 00:07:07,400
Speaker 4: comfortable by the time they got to that point. But

157
00:07:07,560 --> 00:07:09,640
Speaker 4: this kind of brings something up for me, for somebody

158
00:07:09,680 --> 00:07:11,880
Speaker 4: who might be stiff. Michael Divinity is going to play

159
00:07:11,880 --> 00:07:14,960
Speaker 4: in this game. He's missed a long number of games.

160
00:07:15,120 --> 00:07:17,080
Speaker 4: Is this a boost for his team or is this

161
00:07:17,160 --> 00:07:17,679
Speaker 4: a place.

162
00:07:17,520 --> 00:07:18,800
Speaker 3: For Trevor Lawrence to target.

163
00:07:19,040 --> 00:07:19,680
Speaker 2: That's a good question.

164
00:07:19,720 --> 00:07:21,080
Speaker 5: I mean, I don't think he's going to see the

165
00:07:21,160 --> 00:07:23,240
Speaker 5: field more often than the third downs. I mean, he's

166
00:07:23,280 --> 00:07:25,080
Speaker 5: going to be back on their third down package. But

167
00:07:25,400 --> 00:07:27,960
Speaker 5: even before the suspension, he was not a three down

168
00:07:28,000 --> 00:07:30,000
Speaker 5: player anymore. He had kind of been marginalized. I mean,

169
00:07:30,040 --> 00:07:31,960
Speaker 5: don't get me wrong, he is a very very good

170
00:07:32,000 --> 00:07:33,880
Speaker 5: pass rusher, but he's not a guy you can can

171
00:07:33,960 --> 00:07:36,080
Speaker 5: trust there that often. So I mean my guess is

172
00:07:36,120 --> 00:07:37,880
Speaker 5: you'll see him tell us you on third downs? Is

173
00:07:37,920 --> 00:07:40,040
Speaker 5: what they what Dave Randon basically always goes to as

174
00:07:40,040 --> 00:07:42,720
Speaker 5: their cheat of package, which is basically one true defensive lineman,

175
00:07:42,840 --> 00:07:45,520
Speaker 5: five linebackers and four of whom are more pass rush types,

176
00:07:45,720 --> 00:07:47,880
Speaker 5: and then five defensive backs. And that's really where you'll

177
00:07:47,880 --> 00:07:50,560
Speaker 5: see DIVINDI I mean, if you see them go base,

178
00:07:50,600 --> 00:07:52,840
Speaker 5: which they might a little. If they go base, yes,

179
00:07:53,000 --> 00:07:54,920
Speaker 5: that's the area for Trevor Lawrence to attack, There's no

180
00:07:55,000 --> 00:07:57,520
Speaker 5: doubt about it. But I just wouldn't expect to see

181
00:07:57,560 --> 00:07:58,480
Speaker 5: them go base too often.

182
00:07:59,000 --> 00:07:59,400
Speaker 3: That's true.

183
00:07:59,440 --> 00:08:01,320
Speaker 4: We see I mean, I've seen in the formations with

184
00:08:01,440 --> 00:08:03,680
Speaker 4: what Miranda does on third down about how he's able

185
00:08:03,720 --> 00:08:05,280
Speaker 4: to go from one down lineman and just kind of

186
00:08:05,280 --> 00:08:07,280
Speaker 4: switch it up and try to confuse. But is the

187
00:08:07,440 --> 00:08:10,920
Speaker 4: really the whole handicap on that side with the defense

188
00:08:11,000 --> 00:08:13,000
Speaker 4: and the offense. Let's just let's just call it a

189
00:08:13,160 --> 00:08:15,960
Speaker 4: wash on the outside. With how good the lockdown corners

190
00:08:15,960 --> 00:08:18,360
Speaker 4: are for LSU and the fact that we just saw

191
00:08:18,440 --> 00:08:20,800
Speaker 4: Ross and Higgins get shut down to like four yards

192
00:08:20,840 --> 00:08:23,520
Speaker 4: per catch against Ohio State, let's just say it's a

193
00:08:23,680 --> 00:08:25,680
Speaker 4: wash on the outside just looking at you know, the

194
00:08:25,760 --> 00:08:28,600
Speaker 4: passing charts and the efficiency of LSU on the outside.

195
00:08:28,880 --> 00:08:31,080
Speaker 4: Does this really come down to Etn and Grant to

196
00:08:31,080 --> 00:08:33,640
Speaker 4: help it one on one like in between the hash marks?

197
00:08:33,679 --> 00:08:34,839
Speaker 4: I mean, is that really the battle?

198
00:08:35,000 --> 00:08:35,160
Speaker 2: You know?

199
00:08:35,200 --> 00:08:35,600
Speaker 3: It's funny.

200
00:08:35,640 --> 00:08:37,760
Speaker 5: I hadn't really thought of it from that specific way

201
00:08:37,840 --> 00:08:39,640
Speaker 5: of thinking of but I think that's a really good

202
00:08:39,679 --> 00:08:41,360
Speaker 5: way to put it, because I think this is a

203
00:08:41,360 --> 00:08:43,280
Speaker 5: pretty good Clemson line. It's one of the better ones

204
00:08:43,400 --> 00:08:45,040
Speaker 5: LSU will face this year. But I don't think it's

205
00:08:45,040 --> 00:08:48,240
Speaker 5: necessarily an elite one. I think and LC's linebackers are good,

206
00:08:48,400 --> 00:08:50,559
Speaker 5: not great, but I think the huge piece will be

207
00:08:50,960 --> 00:08:52,839
Speaker 5: and I'm not sure if it's Delpit specific, but I

208
00:08:52,920 --> 00:08:55,160
Speaker 5: think the huge piece is what does Dave Randa do

209
00:08:55,360 --> 00:08:57,719
Speaker 5: with his safeties? Does he does he go with you know,

210
00:08:57,960 --> 00:09:01,120
Speaker 5: too high safety some to worry about those receivers. Does

211
00:09:01,160 --> 00:09:02,640
Speaker 5: he go with that cover one? He's done a good

212
00:09:02,720 --> 00:09:05,280
Speaker 5: amount where he actually goes with a three safety look

213
00:09:05,320 --> 00:09:07,559
Speaker 5: and basically gets Delpit and Stevens both down in the

214
00:09:07,600 --> 00:09:10,079
Speaker 5: box like extra linebackers. I'm really interested to see, you know,

215
00:09:10,280 --> 00:09:12,000
Speaker 5: what he respects more and I think that will be

216
00:09:12,080 --> 00:09:14,319
Speaker 5: very telling early in the game. I do think the

217
00:09:14,480 --> 00:09:17,400
Speaker 5: Delpit matchup with a Sands a really good point because Yeah,

218
00:09:17,440 --> 00:09:19,600
Speaker 5: I think this defense has changed the second that Grand

219
00:09:19,640 --> 00:09:21,520
Speaker 5: Delpit's gotten healthy. I think, you know, it might be

220
00:09:21,600 --> 00:09:23,559
Speaker 5: a little overly simplistic, but there is some truth to

221
00:09:23,679 --> 00:09:26,040
Speaker 5: it that once Delpa got back to himself, it changed

222
00:09:26,080 --> 00:09:27,959
Speaker 5: everything a random could do with the defense and even

223
00:09:28,040 --> 00:09:30,440
Speaker 5: just changed how the defense played itself. So I think

224
00:09:30,480 --> 00:09:32,280
Speaker 5: there is some some relevance to that for sure.

225
00:09:32,480 --> 00:09:34,199
Speaker 3: Yeah. One of the things that you know when you're

226
00:09:34,280 --> 00:09:36,240
Speaker 3: pandicapping a big game like this, whether it's in the

227
00:09:36,360 --> 00:09:40,280
Speaker 3: NFL Playoffs, College Football Playoffs, or College Football National Championship,

228
00:09:40,360 --> 00:09:42,680
Speaker 3: is that you can't just look at the regular season

229
00:09:42,840 --> 00:09:45,120
Speaker 3: because these games are so big, and especially with extra

230
00:09:45,200 --> 00:09:47,439
Speaker 3: time to prep, you know, these coaches are going to

231
00:09:47,520 --> 00:09:49,800
Speaker 3: come out with a completely new look a lot of times.

232
00:09:50,160 --> 00:09:52,000
Speaker 3: You know, we saw it last week with the Vikings.

233
00:09:52,360 --> 00:09:54,600
Speaker 3: Zimmer comes out, he puts his two best d linemen

234
00:09:54,880 --> 00:09:56,680
Speaker 3: up in the middle and blows up the pocket. Things

235
00:09:56,720 --> 00:09:58,360
Speaker 3: like that, and you know they play at different defense

236
00:09:58,400 --> 00:10:00,760
Speaker 3: on the back end. So if let's put you know,

237
00:10:00,840 --> 00:10:02,959
Speaker 3: our thinking out on, which is what you have to do.

238
00:10:03,040 --> 00:10:07,040
Speaker 3: If you were Clemson, how would you attack this LSU defense?

239
00:10:07,120 --> 00:10:08,920
Speaker 3: Is it in the slot? Is it trying to go

240
00:10:09,360 --> 00:10:12,760
Speaker 3: really really you know, super fast rocket tempo and try

241
00:10:12,800 --> 00:10:14,439
Speaker 3: to wear out the D line. The interior of the

242
00:10:14,520 --> 00:10:17,440
Speaker 3: D line. Where do you think the weaknesses and where

243
00:10:17,440 --> 00:10:19,320
Speaker 3: do you think Clemson will try to attack.

244
00:10:19,640 --> 00:10:21,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't think tempo would be obviously it might help.

245
00:10:21,840 --> 00:10:23,520
Speaker 5: I don't think tempo trying to tire the mounts and

246
00:10:23,520 --> 00:10:26,160
Speaker 5: instead of the best move because they're actually surprisingly deep

247
00:10:26,280 --> 00:10:28,400
Speaker 5: on the defensive line. For example, they literally have what

248
00:10:28,480 --> 00:10:31,240
Speaker 5: they consider six starters and they rotate all three of

249
00:10:31,320 --> 00:10:34,040
Speaker 5: them every single series no matter what. But the middle

250
00:10:34,080 --> 00:10:35,319
Speaker 5: of the field has been if you look at this

251
00:10:35,559 --> 00:10:38,520
Speaker 5: entire season, that's the area you can attack lsu. I mean,

252
00:10:38,520 --> 00:10:41,120
Speaker 5: if you really watch the Georgia game closely, Georgia actually

253
00:10:41,200 --> 00:10:42,679
Speaker 5: got looks in the middle of the field. They just

254
00:10:42,760 --> 00:10:44,679
Speaker 5: kind of either from miss or it was a receiver

255
00:10:44,840 --> 00:10:46,560
Speaker 5: dropping a pass, but they got looks in the middle

256
00:10:46,559 --> 00:10:46,960
Speaker 5: of the field.

257
00:10:47,200 --> 00:10:48,120
Speaker 2: That has been the story.

258
00:10:48,200 --> 00:10:50,360
Speaker 5: So because yeah, as much as we're talking about Ross

259
00:10:50,360 --> 00:10:52,800
Speaker 5: and Higgins, I think a guy like Amari Rodgers might

260
00:10:52,840 --> 00:10:54,960
Speaker 5: be somebody to watch because he's the slot guy who

261
00:10:55,040 --> 00:10:57,160
Speaker 5: might be able to do some damage in the middle

262
00:10:57,160 --> 00:10:59,600
Speaker 5: of the Field's that's usually where you'll see teams make

263
00:10:59,600 --> 00:11:02,320
Speaker 5: an impact, but in just the grand scheme of how

264
00:11:02,360 --> 00:11:04,800
Speaker 5: I would attackle as you, I've been trying to figure

265
00:11:04,840 --> 00:11:07,280
Speaker 5: that out for a while, but I kind of got

266
00:11:07,400 --> 00:11:10,240
Speaker 5: down to I think the run game and passing in

267
00:11:10,280 --> 00:11:13,160
Speaker 5: the middle of the fields are probably your only real advantages,

268
00:11:13,200 --> 00:11:15,640
Speaker 5: because you know, as Colin said, I kind of have

269
00:11:15,720 --> 00:11:17,160
Speaker 5: a gut feeling it's going to be a wash on

270
00:11:17,200 --> 00:11:17,640
Speaker 5: the outside.

271
00:11:17,880 --> 00:11:19,880
Speaker 4: I've read Grace Rayner's piece, and I've read your piece

272
00:11:19,920 --> 00:11:22,559
Speaker 4: and your guys' combined piece, and there's some overlap with

273
00:11:22,679 --> 00:11:25,080
Speaker 4: what I put out on Action Network this morning, which

274
00:11:25,160 --> 00:11:28,120
Speaker 4: is where exactly these teams are going to attack each other.

275
00:11:28,200 --> 00:11:30,160
Speaker 4: And I think we all kind of agree that, you know,

276
00:11:30,280 --> 00:11:33,120
Speaker 4: the slot receivers could have some success going over the middle,

277
00:11:33,160 --> 00:11:34,480
Speaker 4: and that the outside might not.

278
00:11:34,559 --> 00:11:35,319
Speaker 2: Be the way to go.

279
00:11:35,640 --> 00:11:37,800
Speaker 4: And I have to ask this, it's I mean, you're

280
00:11:37,840 --> 00:11:39,640
Speaker 4: closer to the team than I guess anybody could be

281
00:11:39,720 --> 00:11:42,679
Speaker 4: besides actually being on the team. And I kind of

282
00:11:42,760 --> 00:11:46,120
Speaker 4: laugh about this, but could lsu I've seen this. I've

283
00:11:46,160 --> 00:11:48,240
Speaker 4: seen this elsewhere, and I've seen it in the numbers,

284
00:11:48,280 --> 00:11:50,040
Speaker 4: Like if they're running pistol and there's no motion, it's

285
00:11:50,080 --> 00:11:51,880
Speaker 4: going to be a run. If there's motion and there's

286
00:11:51,920 --> 00:11:54,280
Speaker 4: this kind of formation and Jefferson's in the slot, they're

287
00:11:54,320 --> 00:11:56,360
Speaker 4: going to throw a pass. You know, you know, there's

288
00:11:56,360 --> 00:11:58,400
Speaker 4: all kind of Jamar Chase gets over half the play

289
00:11:58,480 --> 00:12:03,160
Speaker 4: action passes. It just seems like LSU is extremely predictable

290
00:12:03,440 --> 00:12:05,920
Speaker 4: in pre staff motion and pre staff formation about what

291
00:12:06,080 --> 00:12:08,160
Speaker 4: it is that they're trying to do. So I guess

292
00:12:08,200 --> 00:12:10,360
Speaker 4: the question that I'm going to ask is, is else

293
00:12:10,360 --> 00:12:11,800
Speaker 4: you going to try to change that up? Because I

294
00:12:11,840 --> 00:12:15,480
Speaker 4: mean we're talking like eighty percent tendencies to formations and motions.

295
00:12:15,840 --> 00:12:17,959
Speaker 4: Or are they going to pull the Trevor Lawrence and

296
00:12:18,320 --> 00:12:20,719
Speaker 4: try to have Joe Burrow take off in some of

297
00:12:20,800 --> 00:12:23,160
Speaker 4: the first series, some of the first drives, to pull

298
00:12:23,240 --> 00:12:25,319
Speaker 4: in some of those back seven from Clemson and then

299
00:12:25,360 --> 00:12:27,319
Speaker 4: open it up for everybody that's on the outside for

300
00:12:27,600 --> 00:12:28,840
Speaker 4: Burrow to throw to downfield.

301
00:12:29,200 --> 00:12:29,360
Speaker 3: Yeah.

302
00:12:29,400 --> 00:12:31,000
Speaker 2: I think I have two quick answers to your question.

303
00:12:31,080 --> 00:12:32,880
Speaker 5: I mean, one, I don't know if I expect some

304
00:12:33,040 --> 00:12:36,000
Speaker 5: drastic changes because it's been the story of this whole season.

305
00:12:36,080 --> 00:12:37,640
Speaker 2: They're not a very complicated offense.

306
00:12:37,640 --> 00:12:39,520
Speaker 5: I'm glad you point out all those things, and every

307
00:12:39,559 --> 00:12:42,720
Speaker 5: defensive coorinator gets asked about opposing a defensive coordator gets

308
00:12:42,760 --> 00:12:45,040
Speaker 5: asked about Oh man, I mean, are you worried about this,

309
00:12:45,240 --> 00:12:47,040
Speaker 5: this Joe Brady scheme and how genius is he and

310
00:12:47,080 --> 00:12:48,400
Speaker 5: all that, And by the way, I think he's pretatly

311
00:12:48,440 --> 00:12:51,640
Speaker 5: really good. But they're not that complicated. They're just really

312
00:12:51,679 --> 00:12:53,920
Speaker 5: good at countering exactly what you're doing. You know, It's

313
00:12:54,240 --> 00:12:55,920
Speaker 5: as simple ass and that's what they always have to

314
00:12:55,960 --> 00:12:57,839
Speaker 5: try to explain. Thus when we try to ask these questions,

315
00:12:57,920 --> 00:13:00,679
Speaker 5: they say, it's not rocket science. Joe Burrow and Joe

316
00:13:00,679 --> 00:13:03,320
Speaker 5: Brady and Steve Enzbinger are just really really good at

317
00:13:03,320 --> 00:13:05,800
Speaker 5: decision making, process's thing and seeing what you're doing and

318
00:13:05,880 --> 00:13:06,839
Speaker 5: going exactly where you're not.

319
00:13:06,960 --> 00:13:08,360
Speaker 2: So Auburn is the best example.

320
00:13:08,400 --> 00:13:08,520
Speaker 4: You know.

321
00:13:08,559 --> 00:13:11,280
Speaker 5: Auburn did that that fasting three one seven defense. It

322
00:13:11,360 --> 00:13:13,320
Speaker 5: worked for a quarter or so and then they said, Okay,

323
00:13:13,400 --> 00:13:14,800
Speaker 5: the box is open, we're going to run it. So

324
00:13:15,000 --> 00:13:16,559
Speaker 5: I don't know if they're going to change that much.

325
00:13:16,640 --> 00:13:18,360
Speaker 5: But then I'll get to your second question, which is

326
00:13:18,640 --> 00:13:20,920
Speaker 5: I always say for every one of these matchups they've

327
00:13:20,920 --> 00:13:23,120
Speaker 5: had their ace in the hole, is do they want

328
00:13:23,160 --> 00:13:25,240
Speaker 5: to run Burrow because they save it. Joe Burrow and

329
00:13:25,360 --> 00:13:27,000
Speaker 5: you guys know as well as I is a very

330
00:13:27,160 --> 00:13:29,240
Speaker 5: very good runner, but they just do not want to

331
00:13:29,320 --> 00:13:31,079
Speaker 5: use it, one because they haven't had to, but two

332
00:13:31,240 --> 00:13:32,839
Speaker 5: just I mean, he's your highs on quarterback. You don't

333
00:13:32,840 --> 00:13:34,680
Speaker 5: want to hurt him too much. And he's somebody doesn't

334
00:13:34,679 --> 00:13:36,800
Speaker 5: know how to avoid hits because he wants to take hit.

335
00:13:36,840 --> 00:13:38,680
Speaker 5: So it's a little scary. But the only time they've

336
00:13:38,720 --> 00:13:40,800
Speaker 5: really truly turned to it this season was around the

337
00:13:40,840 --> 00:13:43,120
Speaker 5: second half of the Alabama game, when things started getting

338
00:13:43,120 --> 00:13:44,880
Speaker 5: a little dicey. They went to it and he broke

339
00:13:44,960 --> 00:13:48,000
Speaker 5: two or three huge runs that huge but really decisive

340
00:13:48,080 --> 00:13:50,040
Speaker 5: runs that kind of put the game away. So if

341
00:13:50,120 --> 00:13:52,320
Speaker 5: things do get dicey at all, it's the last game

342
00:13:52,360 --> 00:13:53,280
Speaker 5: of Joe Burrow's career.

343
00:13:53,400 --> 00:13:55,240
Speaker 2: They have nothing to hold back. I would not be

344
00:13:55,320 --> 00:13:56,800
Speaker 2: surprised at all to see them turn to that.

345
00:13:57,000 --> 00:13:59,120
Speaker 3: Thanks again is always for joining us, Bertie. I love

346
00:13:59,160 --> 00:14:02,199
Speaker 3: that before we let you go, anyone that people you

347
00:14:02,240 --> 00:14:04,040
Speaker 3: think is gonna have a big game that might be

348
00:14:04,120 --> 00:14:07,280
Speaker 3: undervalued from the prop perspective, and what's your prediction who wins?

349
00:14:07,520 --> 00:14:10,080
Speaker 3: And you throw out a final score And I even.

350
00:14:09,920 --> 00:14:11,719
Speaker 5: Said I'm predicting a big game But the matchup I

351
00:14:11,840 --> 00:14:14,400
Speaker 5: really want to see is Kaylevon Chason against this Clemson

352
00:14:14,640 --> 00:14:17,559
Speaker 5: offensive line. That's It's there's so many great matchups in

353
00:14:17,600 --> 00:14:19,800
Speaker 5: this game that that matchup has been the least discussed.

354
00:14:19,840 --> 00:14:21,800
Speaker 5: But I mean, this is a good Clumps offensive line

355
00:14:21,800 --> 00:14:23,760
Speaker 5: against and else you front four that I actually don't think.

356
00:14:23,760 --> 00:14:25,000
Speaker 5: I don't think it's the elite, but it doesn't get

357
00:14:25,000 --> 00:14:26,880
Speaker 5: as much credit. It's kind of somewhere in between. I

358
00:14:26,960 --> 00:14:29,400
Speaker 5: want to see if Kaylebon Chason can create some havoc

359
00:14:29,560 --> 00:14:31,960
Speaker 5: make life difficult for Trevor Lawrence with the four man rush.

360
00:14:32,200 --> 00:14:33,600
Speaker 5: If they can do that, I'm going to be really

361
00:14:33,640 --> 00:14:35,160
Speaker 5: interesting to see what else you can do. But my

362
00:14:35,600 --> 00:14:38,960
Speaker 5: overall prediction on this game is everything we discussed. I

363
00:14:39,000 --> 00:14:42,480
Speaker 5: feel like these are pretty two, pretty overall even football teams.

364
00:14:42,560 --> 00:14:44,840
Speaker 5: But I've been repeating myself a lot this week, but

365
00:14:44,880 --> 00:14:45,920
Speaker 5: I just really at the end of the day, I

366
00:14:45,960 --> 00:14:47,760
Speaker 5: think Joe Burrow is just at a level right now

367
00:14:47,800 --> 00:14:50,880
Speaker 5: where we've seen him face all the top defenses, many

368
00:14:50,920 --> 00:14:52,880
Speaker 5: of the top defenses in the country, and every time

369
00:14:52,960 --> 00:14:55,280
Speaker 5: he just adjusts counters and does what he has to do.

370
00:14:55,400 --> 00:14:57,000
Speaker 5: So right now I think he's playing at a level

371
00:14:57,080 --> 00:14:58,960
Speaker 5: right now, where Joe Burrow is just the tiebreaker and

372
00:14:59,000 --> 00:15:00,800
Speaker 5: I kind of like LSU b you know, seven, maybe

373
00:15:00,800 --> 00:15:01,960
Speaker 5: even towards to ten points.

374
00:15:01,920 --> 00:15:03,200
Speaker 3: Does it go over under seventy?

375
00:15:03,440 --> 00:15:04,720
Speaker 2: Wondering because here's my feeling on that.

376
00:15:04,800 --> 00:15:06,320
Speaker 5: I have this weird feeling the both teams are going

377
00:15:06,400 --> 00:15:08,120
Speaker 5: to move the ball on offense, but I think you're

378
00:15:08,120 --> 00:15:09,520
Speaker 5: going to see a lot of field goals. I think

379
00:15:09,680 --> 00:15:11,640
Speaker 5: these are two really smart defensive coordinators that are going

380
00:15:11,720 --> 00:15:13,520
Speaker 5: to make stops when they need to in the you know,

381
00:15:13,640 --> 00:15:14,400
Speaker 5: inside the thirty.

382
00:15:14,440 --> 00:15:15,800
Speaker 2: So I have a weird feeling it's going to be

383
00:15:15,880 --> 00:15:16,760
Speaker 2: the under here and the.

384
00:15:16,800 --> 00:15:19,120
Speaker 4: Cage York bomb is coming, right, we know the Cage

385
00:15:19,400 --> 00:15:20,800
Speaker 4: fifty plus bomb is coming.

386
00:15:21,520 --> 00:15:24,920
Speaker 3: Yes, after the game, LSU is going to make a

387
00:15:25,040 --> 00:15:26,200
Speaker 3: higher percentage in Clemson.

388
00:15:26,280 --> 00:15:26,720
Speaker 2: We do know that.

389
00:15:26,960 --> 00:15:30,080
Speaker 3: Very good point, all right, So thanks for joining us again, Brody.

390
00:15:30,160 --> 00:15:32,600
Speaker 3: Enjoy the game this weekend. Thanks for all of your

391
00:15:32,680 --> 00:15:36,240
Speaker 3: coverage this year, and we'll be having you on maybe

392
00:15:36,360 --> 00:15:38,720
Speaker 3: after the National Championship, but definitely next year. We love

393
00:15:38,800 --> 00:15:40,360
Speaker 3: your work and if you don't follow him at the

394
00:15:40,640 --> 00:15:42,880
Speaker 3: athletic you're making a big mistake. So thanks again, buddy,

395
00:15:42,960 --> 00:15:45,520
Speaker 3: and enjoy the weekend and happy New Year. Thanks for

396
00:15:45,560 --> 00:15:47,440
Speaker 3: having you guys, always a pleasure. Take care all right,

397
00:15:47,440 --> 00:15:49,920
Speaker 3: thanks again the Brody for joining us. And you know,

398
00:15:50,200 --> 00:15:52,560
Speaker 3: we kind of alluded to this a few different ways

399
00:15:52,920 --> 00:15:54,960
Speaker 3: throughout the interview, and this is why I kind of

400
00:15:55,080 --> 00:15:57,200
Speaker 3: lean to the under a little bit. Is based on

401
00:15:57,280 --> 00:15:58,680
Speaker 3: how I think the game will play out. I think

402
00:15:58,720 --> 00:16:01,840
Speaker 3: both defensive coordinators are going to really focus on slowing

403
00:16:01,880 --> 00:16:05,240
Speaker 3: down both opposing quarterbacks. So maybe you see Clemson used

404
00:16:05,280 --> 00:16:07,560
Speaker 3: one of you know that three one seven that Auburn used. Now,

405
00:16:07,600 --> 00:16:09,480
Speaker 3: also you still gained a lot of yards, but they

406
00:16:09,520 --> 00:16:11,080
Speaker 3: held them in the red zone. They only held them

407
00:16:11,120 --> 00:16:14,200
Speaker 3: in twenty four points, So maybe you see Clemson just

408
00:16:14,280 --> 00:16:16,960
Speaker 3: try and take away Burrow. And on the other side,

409
00:16:16,960 --> 00:16:18,920
Speaker 3: I think LSU is going to make sure that they

410
00:16:19,000 --> 00:16:21,000
Speaker 3: take away those receivers. So I think that from a

411
00:16:21,040 --> 00:16:23,120
Speaker 3: prop perspective, I think there are some vulnerabilities in the

412
00:16:23,280 --> 00:16:25,240
Speaker 3: middle of the field and at slot, which we both

413
00:16:25,280 --> 00:16:27,760
Speaker 3: talked about. But I think both backs running and both

414
00:16:27,840 --> 00:16:30,960
Speaker 3: quarterbacks running are interesting from an over prop perspective. But

415
00:16:31,000 --> 00:16:32,800
Speaker 3: I think if it's a running game, you know, and

416
00:16:33,080 --> 00:16:35,600
Speaker 3: both defenses are allowing the run, and you know they

417
00:16:36,000 --> 00:16:38,400
Speaker 3: stiffen up in the red zone, as Brody alluded to,

418
00:16:38,560 --> 00:16:41,360
Speaker 3: then you can get an underhear, but it's scary as hell.

419
00:16:41,680 --> 00:16:44,040
Speaker 3: So those are some of my thoughts on this side

420
00:16:44,200 --> 00:16:46,720
Speaker 3: and the total. Let me get your overall thoughts before

421
00:16:46,760 --> 00:16:47,600
Speaker 3: we break this thing down.

422
00:16:47,800 --> 00:16:49,480
Speaker 4: I think the first place to start is with the market,

423
00:16:49,600 --> 00:16:51,360
Speaker 4: and then we can go on both sides of the ball,

424
00:16:51,440 --> 00:16:54,400
Speaker 4: because you know, everybody in the world right now is

425
00:16:55,000 --> 00:16:57,560
Speaker 4: turning out the it's too big, it's too big. Well,

426
00:16:57,560 --> 00:16:59,240
Speaker 4: if it's too big, then why hasn't it comeback right?

427
00:16:59,280 --> 00:17:01,960
Speaker 4: Why hasn't there enough big boy better is and enough

428
00:17:02,000 --> 00:17:04,280
Speaker 4: whales to come in and knock this Clemson number back down.

429
00:17:04,760 --> 00:17:06,960
Speaker 4: We're expecting the timing is religion, because there's going to

430
00:17:06,960 --> 00:17:09,160
Speaker 4: be a way of money on Friday, and then Saturday

431
00:17:09,160 --> 00:17:10,800
Speaker 4: and Sunday the NFL is going to part you know,

432
00:17:10,960 --> 00:17:13,919
Speaker 4: have their games, and then that'll dictate what books liability

433
00:17:14,040 --> 00:17:16,520
Speaker 4: is as far as leading up to what is perceived

434
00:17:16,560 --> 00:17:19,800
Speaker 4: to be a ton of LSU parlay money coming into this.

435
00:17:20,359 --> 00:17:23,040
Speaker 4: And you're right, I'm sure John Murray kind of talks

436
00:17:23,080 --> 00:17:25,280
Speaker 4: for the other books. I mean, there was never a

437
00:17:25,400 --> 00:17:27,400
Speaker 4: cracker an opening for any of us to get into

438
00:17:27,440 --> 00:17:29,439
Speaker 4: Clemson futures this year. I mean, you're just not going

439
00:17:29,520 --> 00:17:34,080
Speaker 4: to go to the Westgate in June and take a

440
00:17:34,160 --> 00:17:36,320
Speaker 4: plus two fifty on Clemson to win the national title

441
00:17:36,560 --> 00:17:38,560
Speaker 4: and hold that ticket, you know, for like nine months.

442
00:17:38,600 --> 00:17:40,680
Speaker 4: It's just it's not going to happen. But let's start

443
00:17:40,720 --> 00:17:42,520
Speaker 4: with the market here. It's pretty easy to know how

444
00:17:42,560 --> 00:17:44,520
Speaker 4: we got up to this and how so many people

445
00:17:44,600 --> 00:17:48,600
Speaker 4: are on LSU. LSU has eleven scoring opportunities against OU

446
00:17:48,760 --> 00:17:52,199
Speaker 4: six hundred and ninety two total yards. Just a demonstration

447
00:17:52,400 --> 00:17:54,000
Speaker 4: something you could cut and put on YouTube and say

448
00:17:54,040 --> 00:17:55,879
Speaker 4: this is how you should run your offense. Oh, you

449
00:17:55,960 --> 00:17:58,520
Speaker 4: didn't have the have Ronnie Perkins. They only had one

450
00:17:58,600 --> 00:18:00,720
Speaker 4: sack on the game, and you was held to just

451
00:18:00,840 --> 00:18:03,440
Speaker 4: fifteen percent passing success rate. Elis, you could not have

452
00:18:03,680 --> 00:18:07,159
Speaker 4: looked any better in a playoff game in a semi final. Clemson,

453
00:18:07,280 --> 00:18:09,600
Speaker 4: on the other hand, only a sixty one percent post

454
00:18:09,640 --> 00:18:13,879
Speaker 4: game win expectancy over Ohio State. Clemson had zero turnovers

455
00:18:13,920 --> 00:18:14,880
Speaker 4: to two for the Buckeyes.

456
00:18:14,920 --> 00:18:16,560
Speaker 3: They did pick off, Yeah, that post game win expect

457
00:18:16,680 --> 00:18:18,720
Speaker 3: He doesn't account for the overturned call, or.

458
00:18:18,880 --> 00:18:21,240
Speaker 4: The fact that Dobbins was caught, or the fact that

459
00:18:21,280 --> 00:18:23,800
Speaker 4: Sean Wade was thrown out like the drops.

460
00:18:23,880 --> 00:18:25,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm not sure Clemson should be. I think Ohio

461
00:18:25,760 --> 00:18:27,760
Speaker 3: State wins that game more than fifty percent of the

462
00:18:27,800 --> 00:18:30,680
Speaker 3: time if they play the state exact way with the call,

463
00:18:31,040 --> 00:18:32,960
Speaker 3: especially the call going the way I think it should

464
00:18:32,960 --> 00:18:33,200
Speaker 3: have went.

465
00:18:33,359 --> 00:18:34,760
Speaker 4: A pod for you and I in seven or eight

466
00:18:34,800 --> 00:18:36,320
Speaker 4: months is going to be that Ohio State should have

467
00:18:36,320 --> 00:18:37,800
Speaker 4: won the game. They're probably going to win the game

468
00:18:37,840 --> 00:18:39,840
Speaker 4: in next year's championship, but that's you know, that's for

469
00:18:40,000 --> 00:18:42,000
Speaker 4: us to talk about it next year. You know, Ohio

470
00:18:42,080 --> 00:18:45,200
Speaker 4: State's up sixteen to zero. They're getting field goals instead

471
00:18:45,200 --> 00:18:48,359
Speaker 4: of touchdowns, and that kills all six of their scoring opportunities.

472
00:18:48,640 --> 00:18:50,480
Speaker 4: And I think the thing that I'll leave on with

473
00:18:50,560 --> 00:18:53,439
Speaker 4: that Clemson Ohio State game is huge dip in success

474
00:18:53,520 --> 00:18:55,160
Speaker 4: rate for Ohio State in the second and third quarter

475
00:18:55,280 --> 00:18:58,440
Speaker 4: twenty seven percent thirty five percent. It's a classic middle

476
00:18:58,480 --> 00:19:01,320
Speaker 4: eight spot for Clemson, which we'll talk about later. But

477
00:19:01,680 --> 00:19:03,600
Speaker 4: like we talked, I talked to, you know, asked the

478
00:19:03,680 --> 00:19:06,720
Speaker 4: question to Brody, Ross and Higgins were non factors, whether

479
00:19:06,760 --> 00:19:08,840
Speaker 4: they went out because of an injury or they were

480
00:19:08,920 --> 00:19:11,400
Speaker 4: just shut down on the corners. That's going to happen again.

481
00:19:11,400 --> 00:19:13,280
Speaker 4: I think I think LSC's gonna have plenty of success

482
00:19:13,359 --> 00:19:16,159
Speaker 4: shutting out Ross and Higgins on the corners, and it

483
00:19:16,240 --> 00:19:18,399
Speaker 4: might be just the ETN and Trevor Lawrence show up

484
00:19:18,440 --> 00:19:20,439
Speaker 4: the gut again. You know, looking at the market right now,

485
00:19:20,480 --> 00:19:22,520
Speaker 4: there's lots of sixes out there that's mostly five and

486
00:19:22,560 --> 00:19:24,800
Speaker 4: a half to the sharp books. One book in Vegas

487
00:19:25,040 --> 00:19:26,600
Speaker 4: is hanging a six and a half. If it's hanging

488
00:19:26,640 --> 00:19:28,600
Speaker 4: six and a half by the time we land on Saturday,

489
00:19:28,640 --> 00:19:30,520
Speaker 4: that might be my first trip. So you know, like

490
00:19:30,600 --> 00:19:32,760
Speaker 4: we said, wave of money expected on Friday, We'll see

491
00:19:32,800 --> 00:19:35,240
Speaker 4: what happens on Monday. The last time I could find

492
00:19:35,240 --> 00:19:37,840
Speaker 4: a favorite that was getting this much action in this

493
00:19:37,920 --> 00:19:40,760
Speaker 4: mini tickets and this high profile of a game was

494
00:19:40,800 --> 00:19:44,160
Speaker 4: Alabama's cover in twenty sixteen against Washington, where Washington pretty

495
00:19:44,200 --> 00:19:45,880
Speaker 4: much had to cover the entire game in the semi

496
00:19:45,960 --> 00:19:48,440
Speaker 4: final and Bama had the late touchdown in the fourth

497
00:19:48,560 --> 00:19:50,720
Speaker 4: quarter to make that a seventeen point ball game. But

498
00:19:51,480 --> 00:19:53,439
Speaker 4: as far as the market goes, that's where we're at.

499
00:19:53,920 --> 00:19:56,720
Speaker 3: One other thing that I'll mention is that Brodie disagreed

500
00:19:56,760 --> 00:19:59,280
Speaker 3: with me here, but he actually agreed with being what

501
00:19:59,359 --> 00:20:02,400
Speaker 3: he said. He was saying that ls used defensive line

502
00:20:02,480 --> 00:20:04,400
Speaker 3: is deep and they like the sub them. But these

503
00:20:04,400 --> 00:20:06,959
Speaker 3: are bigger defensive line and it's not like a Chase Young, right,

504
00:20:07,040 --> 00:20:09,800
Speaker 3: that's going to dominate off the edge on their defensive line.

505
00:20:10,000 --> 00:20:13,359
Speaker 3: If Clemson uses tempo, you know, and doesn't sub and

506
00:20:13,440 --> 00:20:16,000
Speaker 3: prevents them from getting their subs. And this is one

507
00:20:16,040 --> 00:20:17,480
Speaker 3: of the things that gives me pause with the under

508
00:20:17,840 --> 00:20:20,280
Speaker 3: because if you look at what Ohio State did and

509
00:20:20,320 --> 00:20:22,200
Speaker 3: that Clemson, again, Clemson likes to use a lot of

510
00:20:22,240 --> 00:20:25,679
Speaker 3: different looks. They like the sub guys. So when Ohio

511
00:20:25,760 --> 00:20:29,440
Speaker 3: State went tempo, it gave Clemson some trouble. LSU used

512
00:20:29,480 --> 00:20:33,840
Speaker 3: tempo against Georgia really successful. So the threat of that

513
00:20:34,280 --> 00:20:36,439
Speaker 3: is what gives me some pause if you have these

514
00:20:36,480 --> 00:20:39,159
Speaker 3: two explosive offenses that decide that the best course of

515
00:20:39,240 --> 00:20:41,959
Speaker 3: action is to go tempo. But yeah, so I get

516
00:20:42,000 --> 00:20:44,159
Speaker 3: why the market is is this high. But you're right,

517
00:20:44,359 --> 00:20:48,320
Speaker 3: it's surprising that there isn't some serious money that everyone

518
00:20:48,359 --> 00:20:50,720
Speaker 3: agrees that it's too high. Coming the other side, the

519
00:20:50,800 --> 00:20:53,280
Speaker 3: public money can't be that great yet. I mean, maybe

520
00:20:53,320 --> 00:20:55,440
Speaker 3: there's people waiting in the weeds to see how high

521
00:20:55,480 --> 00:20:58,040
Speaker 3: gets after the NFL. I mean, that's that's what I'm

522
00:20:58,080 --> 00:21:01,040
Speaker 3: doing myself. And I'm not, you know, the biggest better

523
00:21:01,119 --> 00:21:03,320
Speaker 3: in Vegas that it's going to move the line. Yeah,

524
00:21:03,359 --> 00:21:06,360
Speaker 3: but if you were and I said this on you better,

525
00:21:06,400 --> 00:21:06,680
Speaker 3: you bet.

526
00:21:06,880 --> 00:21:08,760
Speaker 4: I don't understand these guys that are betting one hundred

527
00:21:08,800 --> 00:21:10,840
Speaker 4: grand at a certain shop in Vegas when they could

528
00:21:10,920 --> 00:21:12,879
Speaker 4: literally take an eight dollars ruber and go get a

529
00:21:12,960 --> 00:21:14,960
Speaker 4: point better, like for the same price. I don't know

530
00:21:15,000 --> 00:21:17,440
Speaker 4: if it's like lunch buffet coupons or what the hell

531
00:21:17,480 --> 00:21:19,080
Speaker 4: it is, but like you would want to get the

532
00:21:19,119 --> 00:21:21,200
Speaker 4: best number. But I think you will agree with me

533
00:21:21,560 --> 00:21:23,440
Speaker 4: that even though there's a six and a half flat

534
00:21:23,560 --> 00:21:25,800
Speaker 4: laying out there right now, we would rather wait and

535
00:21:25,880 --> 00:21:28,560
Speaker 4: get seven at one point fifteen than buy up that

536
00:21:28,640 --> 00:21:31,119
Speaker 4: six and a half right now, right yep. So I

537
00:21:31,160 --> 00:21:32,800
Speaker 4: think that maybe that's what everybody's waiting on.

538
00:21:32,960 --> 00:21:36,439
Speaker 3: All right, So let's start, Yeah, let's start when LSU

539
00:21:36,680 --> 00:21:39,200
Speaker 3: has the ball. You know, this LSU offense has been

540
00:21:39,520 --> 00:21:42,840
Speaker 3: pretty much unstoppable all year. The only time they were

541
00:21:42,920 --> 00:21:45,280
Speaker 3: semisopped is that Auburn game that I mentioned, when Auburn

542
00:21:45,320 --> 00:21:48,040
Speaker 3: played a three one seven. You know, Georgia tried to

543
00:21:48,119 --> 00:21:50,800
Speaker 3: use three man fronts and blitz and just nothing is stopped. Borrow.

544
00:21:50,840 --> 00:21:53,320
Speaker 3: He's so poisoned the pocket he doesn't turn it over.

545
00:21:53,640 --> 00:21:55,919
Speaker 3: And you know, I agree with you that I think

546
00:21:56,000 --> 00:21:57,920
Speaker 3: that his legs are going to be big here. But

547
00:21:57,960 --> 00:21:59,639
Speaker 3: I think the focus of Clemson is going to be

548
00:22:00,000 --> 00:22:03,120
Speaker 3: cutting down that LSU passing attack. So I think it's

549
00:22:03,440 --> 00:22:06,400
Speaker 3: Hilaire big game. I think, you know, you might look

550
00:22:06,440 --> 00:22:09,400
Speaker 3: at Burrow rushing props over So That's what I'm looking

551
00:22:09,440 --> 00:22:12,240
Speaker 3: at when LSU has the ball. Clemson's defense, the only

552
00:22:12,320 --> 00:22:14,639
Speaker 3: test we've really seen from them this year is against

553
00:22:14,680 --> 00:22:17,640
Speaker 3: Ohio State, and Ohio State did some things that made

554
00:22:17,680 --> 00:22:19,359
Speaker 3: me think, you know, obviously this comes to the defense

555
00:22:19,440 --> 00:22:21,360
Speaker 3: is excellent, but that made me think that this comes

556
00:22:21,400 --> 00:22:24,000
Speaker 3: to defense isn't as elite as last year's. What are

557
00:22:24,040 --> 00:22:25,280
Speaker 3: you saying when LSU has the ball.

558
00:22:25,680 --> 00:22:27,640
Speaker 4: I'll be brief and if you want to get deep

559
00:22:27,680 --> 00:22:29,399
Speaker 4: into these numbers, I did a right up over at

560
00:22:29,400 --> 00:22:33,040
Speaker 4: Action network that really has some nice passing efficiency charts.

561
00:22:33,760 --> 00:22:36,120
Speaker 4: It has a grid of where the defense is there,

562
00:22:36,240 --> 00:22:38,240
Speaker 4: you know, has the highest success rate where they could

563
00:22:38,240 --> 00:22:39,760
Speaker 4: be weak, where Joe Burrow is going to be able

564
00:22:39,800 --> 00:22:42,400
Speaker 4: to attack. And if you look at Joe Burrow, he's

565
00:22:42,600 --> 00:22:45,400
Speaker 4: insane deep. I mean he's twenty two touchdowns to two

566
00:22:45,560 --> 00:22:49,040
Speaker 4: i iNTS on passes over twenty yards. His sweet spot

567
00:22:49,119 --> 00:22:51,800
Speaker 4: for throwing those most success rate is between zero and

568
00:22:51,880 --> 00:22:54,920
Speaker 4: ten yards in between the hashes or to the right hash.

569
00:22:55,400 --> 00:22:57,560
Speaker 4: So I think the big question is is where does

570
00:22:57,640 --> 00:22:59,040
Speaker 4: Isaiah Simmons line up?

571
00:22:59,520 --> 00:23:00,359
Speaker 3: Is he going to be?

572
00:23:00,760 --> 00:23:02,800
Speaker 4: Is he going to start off in the secondary. Is

573
00:23:02,840 --> 00:23:04,920
Speaker 4: he going to line up over the slot on Justin Jefferson?

574
00:23:05,080 --> 00:23:06,800
Speaker 4: Is he going to be looking for Jamar Chase Deep?

575
00:23:07,200 --> 00:23:08,840
Speaker 4: Is he going to be, you know, a spy on

576
00:23:09,400 --> 00:23:11,680
Speaker 4: Clyde Edwards hilar is he is he just going to

577
00:23:11,720 --> 00:23:14,320
Speaker 4: watch things out of the backfield or are they maybe

578
00:23:14,440 --> 00:23:17,080
Speaker 4: expecting Joe Burrow to take off and surprise some people

579
00:23:17,119 --> 00:23:18,479
Speaker 4: with a run like Trevor Lawrence did.

580
00:23:18,560 --> 00:23:20,920
Speaker 3: All I know is is Isaiah Simmons.

581
00:23:21,080 --> 00:23:23,240
Speaker 4: They're not going to know exactly where to put him

582
00:23:23,640 --> 00:23:27,359
Speaker 4: because Clemson's not a heavily blitzing team, as in, they

583
00:23:27,440 --> 00:23:30,320
Speaker 4: don't send the house, they send their down lineman. They're

584
00:23:30,320 --> 00:23:32,000
Speaker 4: in a four to three in first and second down,

585
00:23:32,040 --> 00:23:34,040
Speaker 4: they run a three three, five and third down and

586
00:23:34,119 --> 00:23:37,280
Speaker 4: they send their down linemen and one extra guy, and

587
00:23:37,680 --> 00:23:39,800
Speaker 4: I think maybe like fifteen percent of the time they

588
00:23:39,840 --> 00:23:42,000
Speaker 4: send it, they send more than just one extra guy.

589
00:23:42,520 --> 00:23:42,840
Speaker 3: That's it.

590
00:23:43,359 --> 00:23:45,360
Speaker 4: So if the defensive line can get pressured, that's great.

591
00:23:45,520 --> 00:23:47,439
Speaker 4: If not, Joe Burrow is going to tear them up.

592
00:23:47,880 --> 00:23:52,440
Speaker 4: Nobody has had a quarterback rating his quarterback rating better

593
00:23:52,600 --> 00:23:54,760
Speaker 4: than Joe Burrow in the history that it's been tracked

594
00:23:54,800 --> 00:23:57,960
Speaker 4: on PFF than Baker Mayfield when there's been three seconds

595
00:23:58,000 --> 00:24:00,880
Speaker 4: to show. Baker Mayfield's twenty sixteen seas and is still

596
00:24:00,880 --> 00:24:02,359
Speaker 4: the best, but Joe Burrow will tear him up if

597
00:24:02,359 --> 00:24:03,800
Speaker 4: he gets three seconds. So it's interest see how they

598
00:24:03,840 --> 00:24:06,480
Speaker 4: apply pressure because Clemson doesn't send the house. And where

599
00:24:06,520 --> 00:24:09,920
Speaker 4: does Isaiah Simmons, Where does he line up his speech?

600
00:24:09,960 --> 00:24:12,359
Speaker 4: I mean everything. Now, I said this to Brody, and

601
00:24:13,640 --> 00:24:16,320
Speaker 4: I mean we all agree. You can detect the play

602
00:24:16,640 --> 00:24:20,200
Speaker 4: pre snap. If you're in eleven formation and you know,

603
00:24:20,720 --> 00:24:22,600
Speaker 4: you know they're gonna they're gonna run pistol, they're gonna

604
00:24:22,600 --> 00:24:24,440
Speaker 4: have motion. It's going to detect whether it's a runner,

605
00:24:24,480 --> 00:24:26,240
Speaker 4: a pass and exactly who it is or going to

606
00:24:26,280 --> 00:24:28,000
Speaker 4: try to go to Now, one of the things I

607
00:24:28,080 --> 00:24:29,840
Speaker 4: had in my write up is how they've moved from

608
00:24:29,880 --> 00:24:32,000
Speaker 4: the eleven formation to the twelve formation to get more

609
00:24:32,040 --> 00:24:35,520
Speaker 4: guys in the box and have more protection around Joe

610
00:24:35,600 --> 00:24:38,360
Speaker 4: Burrow over the last five games. So I'm not sure

611
00:24:38,359 --> 00:24:39,840
Speaker 4: if that's just a thing to keep him clean so

612
00:24:39,960 --> 00:24:42,720
Speaker 4: they can throw deeper, or if that's you know, Clyde

613
00:24:42,800 --> 00:24:44,840
Speaker 4: edwards Lar's injury and they want to have more guys

614
00:24:44,880 --> 00:24:47,679
Speaker 4: in the box to block, But there's been more than

615
00:24:47,720 --> 00:24:49,680
Speaker 4: six players left in the box more than forty percent

616
00:24:49,720 --> 00:24:52,720
Speaker 4: of the time, and so that, you know, makes me think,

617
00:24:53,440 --> 00:24:55,960
Speaker 4: is Clemson going to have enough guys in the secondary

618
00:24:56,040 --> 00:24:58,400
Speaker 4: to cover you know, this this great passing attack that's

619
00:24:58,400 --> 00:25:01,560
Speaker 4: torn everybody up. So I think LC's gonna tip their

620
00:25:01,600 --> 00:25:04,200
Speaker 4: hand and Clemson's going to be able to defend that.

621
00:25:04,240 --> 00:25:05,680
Speaker 4: They're going to know whether it's a run in or pass.

622
00:25:05,680 --> 00:25:07,040
Speaker 4: So I think they're going to know exactly what Joe

623
00:25:07,080 --> 00:25:10,080
Speaker 4: Brady's wants to do. And I think that's why Elyssy's

624
00:25:10,080 --> 00:25:11,640
Speaker 4: been all year. It's just that no one's been able

625
00:25:11,680 --> 00:25:12,159
Speaker 4: to stop him.

626
00:25:12,359 --> 00:25:14,480
Speaker 2: Joe Burrow is a dog man.

627
00:25:14,960 --> 00:25:17,400
Speaker 3: He ain't no puppy, He's a dog.

628
00:25:18,040 --> 00:25:20,240
Speaker 4: So you know the other thing I'll mention stuck is

629
00:25:20,320 --> 00:25:23,520
Speaker 4: the offensive line. It's been in decline, and particularly it's

630
00:25:23,520 --> 00:25:25,960
Speaker 4: been in decline with their center Lloyd Cushionberry. His run

631
00:25:26,040 --> 00:25:28,440
Speaker 4: disruptions have moved from four and a half percent over

632
00:25:28,480 --> 00:25:31,560
Speaker 4: the first nine games up to fourteen percent over the

633
00:25:31,640 --> 00:25:34,240
Speaker 4: last five games, which is roughly two hundred and fifty snaps.

634
00:25:34,600 --> 00:25:35,560
Speaker 3: That's not good.

635
00:25:35,840 --> 00:25:38,359
Speaker 4: So if if Isaiah Simmons is going to roam and

636
00:25:38,440 --> 00:25:41,080
Speaker 4: he's going to attack certain gaps, the biggest weakness over

637
00:25:41,119 --> 00:25:42,639
Speaker 4: the last five games has been the middle of the

638
00:25:42,680 --> 00:25:43,520
Speaker 4: offensive line.

639
00:25:43,640 --> 00:25:46,159
Speaker 3: Well, and their best offensive lineman, Damian Lewis, who got

640
00:25:46,280 --> 00:25:48,720
Speaker 3: hurt in the Oklahoma game, hurt his ankle. He's going

641
00:25:48,800 --> 00:25:51,240
Speaker 3: to play, which some are surprised about, but I think

642
00:25:51,320 --> 00:25:53,840
Speaker 3: in I think Orderon said that, or someone in the

643
00:25:54,040 --> 00:25:57,680
Speaker 3: LYSEU staff said that Marshall and Damian Lewis were both

644
00:25:57,720 --> 00:26:00,320
Speaker 3: hurt in the Oklahoma game. But I mean mar Shall

645
00:26:00,520 --> 00:26:02,159
Speaker 3: most expected to play in this game, and he is,

646
00:26:02,440 --> 00:26:03,600
Speaker 3: but I think order On or some one of the

647
00:26:03,640 --> 00:26:05,680
Speaker 3: stats said that he's much more along. He's much more

648
00:26:05,720 --> 00:26:09,040
Speaker 3: further along than Lewis, who he's also going to play.

649
00:26:09,280 --> 00:26:12,040
Speaker 3: But if he's not fully healthy in his ankle, flares

650
00:26:12,119 --> 00:26:14,680
Speaker 3: up and you know he's a little limited mobility wise,

651
00:26:14,800 --> 00:26:17,600
Speaker 3: and you know that's where the weakness and their tackles

652
00:26:17,600 --> 00:26:22,080
Speaker 3: aren't elite, they're good. So how much pressure does Clemson

653
00:26:22,160 --> 00:26:24,840
Speaker 3: bring or how much do they sit back? Do they

654
00:26:24,880 --> 00:26:28,800
Speaker 3: have their best corner Torello they have him following around

655
00:26:28,960 --> 00:26:31,600
Speaker 3: Chase or not. They don't really normally do that, So

656
00:26:31,680 --> 00:26:35,040
Speaker 3: it'll be interesting from a scheme perspective what they decide

657
00:26:35,080 --> 00:26:37,879
Speaker 3: to do. Because this LSU team, you would think that

658
00:26:37,960 --> 00:26:40,359
Speaker 3: it's the most explosive passing attack in the country if

659
00:26:40,400 --> 00:26:42,240
Speaker 3: you just watch it, but it's really not right like

660
00:26:42,280 --> 00:26:44,040
Speaker 3: if you look at a lot of the numbers, it's

661
00:26:44,320 --> 00:26:47,160
Speaker 3: just a really efficient pass in tech that just gets

662
00:26:47,240 --> 00:26:49,520
Speaker 3: guys wide open in space and then you know they're

663
00:26:49,720 --> 00:26:51,760
Speaker 3: really good after the catch, and you know, obviously they'll

664
00:26:51,760 --> 00:26:54,040
Speaker 3: take their shots and hit them. But this isn't a

665
00:26:54,160 --> 00:26:55,880
Speaker 3: team that's out here bombing at every play.

666
00:26:56,119 --> 00:26:58,240
Speaker 4: There's there's two things we're going to be watching specifically.

667
00:26:58,400 --> 00:27:00,159
Speaker 4: I am from very from the very first name up.

668
00:27:00,520 --> 00:27:02,719
Speaker 4: Not only were is Isaiah Simmons lined up? And how

669
00:27:02,840 --> 00:27:04,760
Speaker 4: is Venable is going to use him to attack? But

670
00:27:04,880 --> 00:27:07,600
Speaker 4: it's this saccarate rate of Clemson, that's third in the nation,

671
00:27:07,960 --> 00:27:10,280
Speaker 4: and we talk about you know, OU is fifteenth in

672
00:27:10,320 --> 00:27:12,560
Speaker 4: the nation in sacarate, they didn't have Ronnie Perkins. You

673
00:27:12,640 --> 00:27:15,919
Speaker 4: look at Georgia, Auburn, Texas a and m Alabama. Nobody

674
00:27:16,040 --> 00:27:18,800
Speaker 4: was ranked higher than thirty fifth when it came to sacrate.

675
00:27:19,040 --> 00:27:22,399
Speaker 4: Considering Clemson doesn't send the house only one extra rusher

676
00:27:22,480 --> 00:27:25,040
Speaker 4: besides the down lineman. If they're able to get pressure

677
00:27:25,080 --> 00:27:27,320
Speaker 4: on Joe Burrow with just that many, especially in third

678
00:27:27,359 --> 00:27:29,719
Speaker 4: down when it's only four guys, this is a completely

679
00:27:29,760 --> 00:27:32,200
Speaker 4: different looking ball game because we've never seen LSU just

680
00:27:32,359 --> 00:27:34,200
Speaker 4: be under complete duress the entire time.

681
00:27:34,560 --> 00:27:37,840
Speaker 3: I believe in Burrow. This kid's a football kid. You know,

682
00:27:37,920 --> 00:27:39,639
Speaker 3: sometimes narratives work. I'm going to get to a narrative

683
00:27:39,640 --> 00:27:41,040
Speaker 3: on the other side of the ball. But he's going

684
00:27:41,119 --> 00:27:42,640
Speaker 3: to do everything in his power to win this game,

685
00:27:42,800 --> 00:27:46,240
Speaker 3: you know. And Brody said, like, look, he doesn't really

686
00:27:46,480 --> 00:27:49,080
Speaker 3: like to avoid the hit. Coach. On the football field,

687
00:27:49,240 --> 00:27:51,200
Speaker 3: we're able to see what Joe Burrow is really made of,

688
00:27:51,560 --> 00:27:54,080
Speaker 3: and anybody that knows all team we've made of grit,

689
00:27:54,760 --> 00:27:57,720
Speaker 3: He's going to scrabble a lot more in this game.

690
00:27:58,280 --> 00:28:00,199
Speaker 3: I truly agree that, and I truly believe that game

691
00:28:00,240 --> 00:28:03,280
Speaker 3: will be competitive, which means it's going to be close,

692
00:28:03,680 --> 00:28:05,080
Speaker 3: and I don't think either team's going to blow the

693
00:28:05,119 --> 00:28:08,199
Speaker 3: other out. So you know, I think that he's going

694
00:28:08,240 --> 00:28:11,480
Speaker 3: to be needed to scramble for big third downs. So

695
00:28:11,680 --> 00:28:15,160
Speaker 3: I'm eyeing his his rushing prop and rushing yards over

696
00:28:15,600 --> 00:28:16,639
Speaker 3: You agree or disagree there?

697
00:28:16,680 --> 00:28:19,200
Speaker 4: Oh, absolute agree, especially if they're talking to Brody, because

698
00:28:19,200 --> 00:28:21,200
Speaker 4: I mean if you hear Brody say that they only

699
00:28:21,440 --> 00:28:24,320
Speaker 4: had to use Burrow and his feet and situations where

700
00:28:24,320 --> 00:28:26,920
Speaker 4: they desperately needed it, like against Alabama and you saw

701
00:28:26,960 --> 00:28:28,879
Speaker 4: how good he is, you know, against Texas early in

702
00:28:28,920 --> 00:28:30,879
Speaker 4: the season when he has to get out of the pocket,

703
00:28:31,080 --> 00:28:32,840
Speaker 4: and you have to just wonder if that's just a

704
00:28:32,960 --> 00:28:35,000
Speaker 4: tool that they've had in the belt that they have

705
00:28:35,280 --> 00:28:36,879
Speaker 4: and they don't have to use unless they need it.

706
00:28:36,920 --> 00:28:38,160
Speaker 4: And I think that they're going to need it in

707
00:28:38,240 --> 00:28:40,960
Speaker 4: this game. You know, I think if there is a

708
00:28:41,040 --> 00:28:43,360
Speaker 4: prop out there for Burrow's rushing yards, we absolutely have

709
00:28:43,400 --> 00:28:45,360
Speaker 4: to hit the over. After you know, after the conversation

710
00:28:45,480 --> 00:28:46,360
Speaker 4: we have with Brody.

711
00:28:46,480 --> 00:28:49,120
Speaker 3: The toughest thing for me to do still is gauge

712
00:28:49,240 --> 00:28:52,160
Speaker 3: how good this Clemson defense is, right like it. So

713
00:28:52,360 --> 00:28:54,640
Speaker 3: much of it is based on priors because Okay, you

714
00:28:54,680 --> 00:28:56,719
Speaker 3: look at the red zone defense, it's ridiculous, like they

715
00:28:57,280 --> 00:28:59,280
Speaker 3: but like, who do they really play this year? And

716
00:28:59,360 --> 00:29:01,800
Speaker 3: then they play Ohio State. You know, you have a

717
00:29:01,840 --> 00:29:04,040
Speaker 3: couple drops, two drops in the red zone that would

718
00:29:04,040 --> 00:29:05,720
Speaker 3: have led the One of them was a touchdown that

719
00:29:05,800 --> 00:29:07,760
Speaker 3: got overturn. The other was a screen that was set up.

720
00:29:07,920 --> 00:29:10,480
Speaker 3: So the first team that they play, there's real team.

721
00:29:10,920 --> 00:29:11,080
Speaker 5: You know.

722
00:29:11,240 --> 00:29:14,520
Speaker 3: It's kind of a smoking mirrors box score. Hard to gauge.

723
00:29:14,600 --> 00:29:16,440
Speaker 3: So a lot of it is based on priors. But

724
00:29:16,480 --> 00:29:18,920
Speaker 3: they lost a lot of talent on that defense, so

725
00:29:19,000 --> 00:29:21,280
Speaker 3: how much do it? But obviously they're reloading, so like,

726
00:29:21,720 --> 00:29:24,200
Speaker 3: to me, that's the hardest thing to do because like

727
00:29:24,760 --> 00:29:27,000
Speaker 3: I finally got a test with this Cletton defense and

728
00:29:27,040 --> 00:29:29,000
Speaker 3: they kind of passed, but kind of didn't, you know,

729
00:29:29,160 --> 00:29:31,560
Speaker 3: so and the rest of the season it's just they

730
00:29:31,600 --> 00:29:33,640
Speaker 3: were relying on their priors. And then obviously these kids

731
00:29:33,680 --> 00:29:36,760
Speaker 3: are all you know, they're the new Alabama just five

732
00:29:36,800 --> 00:29:39,280
Speaker 3: stars everywhere. It's really hard to gauge how good they are.

733
00:29:39,440 --> 00:29:42,080
Speaker 3: And I'm talking like the difference between like really elite

734
00:29:42,120 --> 00:29:44,480
Speaker 3: and just elite, you know, what I mean, yeah, And I.

735
00:29:44,520 --> 00:29:46,680
Speaker 4: Think if we had a one hundred percent healthy justin

736
00:29:46,720 --> 00:29:48,440
Speaker 4: fields who's able to scramble out of the pocket, we

737
00:29:48,520 --> 00:29:51,560
Speaker 4: have a different semi final game. So but you know,

738
00:29:51,720 --> 00:29:54,400
Speaker 4: I think that's the biggest question here is is Clemson

739
00:29:54,440 --> 00:29:56,800
Speaker 4: going to be able to apply pressure without sending a blitz?

740
00:29:57,680 --> 00:30:01,240
Speaker 4: Where is Isaiah Simmons gonna line up Burrows yards stuck

741
00:30:01,280 --> 00:30:02,760
Speaker 4: and I both agree he's going to get him. But

742
00:30:02,960 --> 00:30:06,040
Speaker 4: is it designed or is it an effect of, you know,

743
00:30:06,080 --> 00:30:07,800
Speaker 4: the scramble that he has to make outside the pocket?

744
00:30:08,080 --> 00:30:08,640
Speaker 3: I think both.

745
00:30:08,880 --> 00:30:10,880
Speaker 4: The biggest question is who do the PAC twelve refs

746
00:30:10,920 --> 00:30:13,160
Speaker 4: have right? I mean, before we switch to the other

747
00:30:13,200 --> 00:30:15,240
Speaker 4: side of the ball, I mean this guy that's calling

748
00:30:15,320 --> 00:30:17,560
Speaker 4: the game. You you live in Lexington, this guy.

749
00:30:17,640 --> 00:30:19,480
Speaker 3: I don't think this guy is allowed in a bar

750
00:30:19,960 --> 00:30:21,560
Speaker 3: anywhere in Lexington, Kentucky.

751
00:30:21,680 --> 00:30:24,600
Speaker 4: Throwing Bitty Still Junior out of the Music City Bowl

752
00:30:24,720 --> 00:30:26,120
Speaker 4: two years ago, it's one.

753
00:30:26,000 --> 00:30:30,120
Speaker 3: Of the worst. He throws Burrow out the first minute.

754
00:30:31,160 --> 00:30:33,360
Speaker 3: You know someone's getting thrown out.

755
00:30:33,360 --> 00:30:35,320
Speaker 4: There's gonna be a personal foul that shouldn't be called.

756
00:30:35,320 --> 00:30:37,080
Speaker 4: There's gonna be holding. This shouldn't be called.

757
00:30:37,760 --> 00:30:41,440
Speaker 3: So I didn't die who tell us us backup Miles Brennan.

758
00:30:41,800 --> 00:30:44,320
Speaker 3: What was Brendan? How often Brendan throw? We're gonna have

759
00:30:44,320 --> 00:30:46,080
Speaker 3: to know. I mean, if Burrow gets thrown out by

760
00:30:46,120 --> 00:30:46,560
Speaker 3: this rep.

761
00:30:47,920 --> 00:30:48,480
Speaker 2: Put up here.

762
00:30:48,800 --> 00:30:52,040
Speaker 3: Brennan was this year one touchdown, one pick, three hundred

763
00:30:52,040 --> 00:30:54,880
Speaker 3: and fifty yards. He's from Long Beach, Mississippi. There's a

764
00:30:55,000 --> 00:30:58,280
Speaker 3: Long Beach, Mississippi learning all kinds of new things here

765
00:30:58,320 --> 00:30:59,880
Speaker 3: on this podcast, So that's important.

766
00:31:00,080 --> 00:31:01,880
Speaker 4: The PAC twelve reps, I mean, the main point is

767
00:31:02,000 --> 00:31:03,920
Speaker 4: is this is an all star crew from the PAC twelve.

768
00:31:04,600 --> 00:31:06,600
Speaker 4: Some research I did for our write up over at

769
00:31:06,600 --> 00:31:10,640
Speaker 4: Action was this particular head official was eighth in the

770
00:31:10,720 --> 00:31:13,960
Speaker 4: power five and yards per game, and three of the

771
00:31:14,000 --> 00:31:16,080
Speaker 4: head officials above him were from the PAC twelve. This

772
00:31:16,200 --> 00:31:19,720
Speaker 4: is a packed PAC twelve All Star officiating crew. I

773
00:31:19,760 --> 00:31:21,400
Speaker 4: think there's going to be more flags here. And his

774
00:31:21,520 --> 00:31:25,360
Speaker 4: tendencies were all for offensive holding, defensive holding. He's good

775
00:31:25,440 --> 00:31:28,480
Speaker 4: for one personal foul per game, expect something that shouldn't

776
00:31:28,480 --> 00:31:29,960
Speaker 4: be called. And the fact that he threw Benny Snell

777
00:31:30,000 --> 00:31:32,160
Speaker 4: out two years ago it's one of the most outrageous

778
00:31:32,160 --> 00:31:32,840
Speaker 4: things I've ever seen.

779
00:31:32,880 --> 00:31:35,440
Speaker 3: So the All Star PAC twelve ref crew. That's like

780
00:31:35,720 --> 00:31:38,760
Speaker 3: taking a piece of dog shit and sprang it with cologne.

781
00:31:39,120 --> 00:31:41,520
Speaker 3: Let's move on to a Klepston has the ball and

782
00:31:41,560 --> 00:31:44,000
Speaker 3: now here. Back to my narratives. You know a lot

783
00:31:44,040 --> 00:31:46,240
Speaker 3: of times you can find value in the market or

784
00:31:46,360 --> 00:31:48,320
Speaker 3: just dating narratives. There's a lots of narrators are bullshit.

785
00:31:48,440 --> 00:31:51,320
Speaker 3: Here's a narrative that I believe in that will come

786
00:31:51,400 --> 00:31:53,600
Speaker 3: to fruition. Each GM is really good. I think he's

787
00:31:53,640 --> 00:31:55,080
Speaker 3: going to have a big day. I think he's going

788
00:31:55,160 --> 00:31:57,560
Speaker 3: to hit some explosive runs. I don't think a lot

789
00:31:57,600 --> 00:31:59,560
Speaker 3: of the player props are out yet, right, you've seen it.

790
00:32:00,160 --> 00:32:04,400
Speaker 3: They're not Travis Etn. You know, he's obviously from Louisiana,

791
00:32:04,680 --> 00:32:07,240
Speaker 3: right he was. The decision was either to go to

792
00:32:07,760 --> 00:32:10,840
Speaker 3: LSU or Clemson, and idiots out there like threatening his

793
00:32:11,000 --> 00:32:14,640
Speaker 3: mom and shit, which is ridiculous. But you know, obviously

794
00:32:15,440 --> 00:32:21,800
Speaker 3: back in Louisiana against LSU, you better believe that Dabbo

795
00:32:22,200 --> 00:32:24,640
Speaker 3: is going to get Etn a touchdown. If this is

796
00:32:24,800 --> 00:32:27,360
Speaker 3: first and goal at the one, Etn is getting in

797
00:32:27,400 --> 00:32:29,320
Speaker 3: that end zone and they're all gonna go nuts with him,

798
00:32:29,360 --> 00:32:30,960
Speaker 3: and you can just see it. I don't care what

799
00:32:31,080 --> 00:32:33,040
Speaker 3: the price of ETN. I mean, I I don't know

800
00:32:33,080 --> 00:32:36,240
Speaker 3: if it's ridiculous, but eagen to score touchdown that is

801
00:32:36,320 --> 00:32:41,800
Speaker 3: happening in this game. Maybe not. I mean, I can't

802
00:32:41,800 --> 00:32:43,600
Speaker 3: bet a ton on props, but I might lay it,

803
00:32:43,880 --> 00:32:45,760
Speaker 3: you know, just for a little bet. He's getting in

804
00:32:45,800 --> 00:32:47,400
Speaker 3: the end zone here in again, that should see a

805
00:32:47,440 --> 00:32:48,960
Speaker 3: lot of points. I think he was gonna break a run,

806
00:32:49,040 --> 00:32:50,840
Speaker 3: but anywhere close to the red zone, they're gonna have

807
00:32:50,920 --> 00:32:53,280
Speaker 3: something drawn up for him, either out of the backfield

808
00:32:53,360 --> 00:32:55,800
Speaker 3: or getting in because Dabo is gonna make sure that

809
00:32:55,960 --> 00:32:59,080
Speaker 3: he's in the end zone. And by the way, it's unbelievable. Dabo,

810
00:32:59,440 --> 00:33:01,000
Speaker 3: who I still don't know why he hasn't quit. He

811
00:33:01,040 --> 00:33:04,720
Speaker 3: said he's gonna quit anyway. Debo is like the King

812
00:33:05,120 --> 00:33:07,960
Speaker 3: of Us against the world, right, so it's like the

813
00:33:08,600 --> 00:33:10,960
Speaker 3: it's like that, he's like Tomlin, except he actually has

814
00:33:11,440 --> 00:33:14,640
Speaker 3: capable scheme. He actually can scheme and coach, but he

815
00:33:15,080 --> 00:33:17,480
Speaker 3: can rally a locker room. And he's played this card

816
00:33:17,520 --> 00:33:20,000
Speaker 3: all year long, right, the same card, and now he

817
00:33:20,120 --> 00:33:22,360
Speaker 3: gets to do it again. Even though this team has

818
00:33:22,400 --> 00:33:25,720
Speaker 3: won like thirty games in a row, multiple national championships

819
00:33:25,760 --> 00:33:27,520
Speaker 3: against a team that hasn't been in the National Championships

820
00:33:27,520 --> 00:33:30,000
Speaker 3: twenty eleven, but they're the five and a half point

821
00:33:30,080 --> 00:33:33,600
Speaker 3: favorite disrespect card all over. This is like when Pat

822
00:33:33,680 --> 00:33:37,400
Speaker 3: Fitzgerald was like, oh, this gay doesn't mean anything to us.

823
00:33:37,440 --> 00:33:39,920
Speaker 3: Book there. Vegas thinks that we're the underdog and use

824
00:33:40,000 --> 00:33:42,719
Speaker 3: that on a grander scale. He can play that car

825
00:33:42,840 --> 00:33:45,600
Speaker 3: Debo could play that card again, the disrespect card, which

826
00:33:45,640 --> 00:33:48,400
Speaker 3: is what he's been playing all year. That's his his MO.

827
00:33:49,200 --> 00:33:51,040
Speaker 3: So he gets to do it again here. But one

828
00:33:51,120 --> 00:33:53,560
Speaker 3: hundred percent ETN is getting in the end zone. So

829
00:33:53,840 --> 00:33:57,480
Speaker 3: that's I'll start there with Clemson offense, which again it's like,

830
00:33:57,520 --> 00:33:59,360
Speaker 3: all right, who if they played all year. We know

831
00:33:59,440 --> 00:34:02,320
Speaker 3: Trevor Lawrence, which is number one overall pick most likely

832
00:34:02,400 --> 00:34:04,200
Speaker 3: with barring injury. I hope he doesn't get hurt. Two

833
00:34:04,280 --> 00:34:06,280
Speaker 3: years from now. It's crazy, it can't come out. You

834
00:34:06,400 --> 00:34:08,799
Speaker 3: probably have the two next two number one overall picks

835
00:34:08,800 --> 00:34:11,160
Speaker 3: the NFL draftic quarterback going against each other. Here, we

836
00:34:11,280 --> 00:34:12,960
Speaker 3: know a good Trevor Lawrence is, we know how good

837
00:34:13,000 --> 00:34:16,160
Speaker 3: ETN is. And then this LSU defense, like the Clemson defense,

838
00:34:16,320 --> 00:34:18,200
Speaker 3: is a bit of a wildcard. You know, a guy

839
00:34:18,320 --> 00:34:22,000
Speaker 3: like Stingley on the outside outstanding corner and both their

840
00:34:22,560 --> 00:34:25,200
Speaker 3: outside corners. I'm a huge fan of slot, and they

841
00:34:25,280 --> 00:34:27,359
Speaker 3: mix up their safeties and put them in the slot

842
00:34:27,440 --> 00:34:29,239
Speaker 3: and the slot in the safety. That's kind of the

843
00:34:29,239 --> 00:34:31,320
Speaker 3: biggest question mark for me. And over the middle of

844
00:34:31,360 --> 00:34:33,960
Speaker 3: the field. So I look at ETN, maybe go back

845
00:34:34,000 --> 00:34:36,520
Speaker 3: to the well with some Trevor Lawrence rushing props and

846
00:34:36,600 --> 00:34:39,799
Speaker 3: then Rogers. I think Rogers is the receiver you target here.

847
00:34:40,040 --> 00:34:42,640
Speaker 3: But the LSU defense that you know, just trending so

848
00:34:42,760 --> 00:34:45,040
Speaker 3: well if you look at the last three games, just dominant.

849
00:34:45,239 --> 00:34:47,160
Speaker 3: But this is a different beast. What do you see

850
00:34:47,200 --> 00:34:49,719
Speaker 3: here when Clemson has the ball.

851
00:34:50,080 --> 00:34:51,840
Speaker 4: I know that this doesn't rink up there on the

852
00:34:52,600 --> 00:34:55,120
Speaker 4: bowl list of highest things to do. But for Dabbo

853
00:34:55,320 --> 00:34:58,440
Speaker 4: to have a Louisiana player score a touchdown in the

854
00:34:58,520 --> 00:35:01,759
Speaker 4: National Championship in the Superdome, he can come down there

855
00:35:01,840 --> 00:35:05,080
Speaker 4: on recruiting trips and say, hey, Louisiana high school five

856
00:35:05,160 --> 00:35:06,839
Speaker 4: star athlete, why don't you come play for me? Because

857
00:35:06,880 --> 00:35:09,160
Speaker 4: I just had a national championship and I ran a

858
00:35:09,239 --> 00:35:10,920
Speaker 4: guy just like you through the end zone for the

859
00:35:11,000 --> 00:35:13,759
Speaker 4: national title. So I mean, yeah, of course ETN is

860
00:35:13,800 --> 00:35:15,960
Speaker 4: going to score and I don't know what the price

861
00:35:16,040 --> 00:35:17,360
Speaker 4: is going to be. It's going to be high, and

862
00:35:17,440 --> 00:35:19,080
Speaker 4: we're just gonna have to pay it. As far as

863
00:35:19,160 --> 00:35:21,880
Speaker 4: everything else with LSU, I mean, they've completely cleaned it up.

864
00:35:21,920 --> 00:35:22,360
Speaker 3: On defense.

865
00:35:22,400 --> 00:35:24,920
Speaker 4: They gave up thirty points to Texas Ole Miss Vandy.

866
00:35:25,160 --> 00:35:27,239
Speaker 4: They were starting to question David Randa and how good

867
00:35:27,239 --> 00:35:28,680
Speaker 4: are you? Why are we paying you all this money

868
00:35:28,719 --> 00:35:31,320
Speaker 4: to coach our defense? And oh, UNLV is interested in you.

869
00:35:31,480 --> 00:35:33,680
Speaker 4: And he came out and said, listen, it's x's and O.

870
00:35:33,800 --> 00:35:36,760
Speaker 4: It's not x's and o's. It's bad angles, it's bad tackling.

871
00:35:36,880 --> 00:35:37,759
Speaker 4: We'll get it cleaned up.

872
00:35:37,840 --> 00:35:38,920
Speaker 3: And that was really shit.

873
00:35:39,200 --> 00:35:41,720
Speaker 4: Yeah, miss to sigmonth. That really showed with Grant Delpt.

874
00:35:41,920 --> 00:35:44,600
Speaker 4: Grant Delpt was not only hurt. He had missed fourteen

875
00:35:44,640 --> 00:35:47,600
Speaker 4: tackles through the first nine weeks. He's only missed one

876
00:35:47,880 --> 00:35:50,440
Speaker 4: tackle in the last five games through one hundred and

877
00:35:50,520 --> 00:35:53,439
Speaker 4: seventy nine snaps. Amazing turnaround for him and how good

878
00:35:53,480 --> 00:35:56,200
Speaker 4: he's been. And with this defense, I think the one

879
00:35:56,239 --> 00:35:58,000
Speaker 4: thing that we got to keep in mind with how

880
00:35:58,040 --> 00:36:00,840
Speaker 4: good Travis Etn is and how how much that Clemson

881
00:36:00,880 --> 00:36:02,840
Speaker 4: does not turn the ball over, the one thing that

882
00:36:02,880 --> 00:36:06,440
Speaker 4: nobody's talking about is LSU has only caused five fumbles

883
00:36:06,520 --> 00:36:09,319
Speaker 4: the entire season. That still just boggles my mind. They're

884
00:36:09,320 --> 00:36:11,640
Speaker 4: one hundred and nineteenth in the nation and causing fumbles

885
00:36:11,760 --> 00:36:14,840
Speaker 4: just five. So you know, if ETN was to like

886
00:36:14,920 --> 00:36:16,960
Speaker 4: fumble and LSU was to you know, cause that and

887
00:36:17,000 --> 00:36:18,279
Speaker 4: scoop it up, that would be like one of the

888
00:36:18,360 --> 00:36:21,560
Speaker 4: most high percentage unlikely things that ever happened. The due

889
00:36:22,000 --> 00:36:24,239
Speaker 4: or they're due, but you know, it just hasn't been

890
00:36:24,280 --> 00:36:26,839
Speaker 4: in the cards for them to strip and recover this year.

891
00:36:27,080 --> 00:36:30,120
Speaker 4: Clemson is a different animal on offense than LSU. We

892
00:36:30,320 --> 00:36:35,080
Speaker 4: talked about how LSU will tip by motion and formation

893
00:36:35,520 --> 00:36:38,360
Speaker 4: pre snap. What LSU is going to do, clems is different.

894
00:36:38,719 --> 00:36:41,520
Speaker 4: Everything is split evenly. Their run pass split is pretty

895
00:36:41,560 --> 00:36:45,120
Speaker 4: even in shotgun sixty percent run pass forty sixty forty

896
00:36:45,160 --> 00:36:48,239
Speaker 4: when it's in motion, seventy thirty in the pistol. That's

897
00:36:48,280 --> 00:36:51,200
Speaker 4: different when I say seventy thirty pistol run for Clemson

898
00:36:51,239 --> 00:36:54,120
Speaker 4: because it's eighty nine percent for LSU. So you can't

899
00:36:54,200 --> 00:36:57,080
Speaker 4: really look at what Trevor Lawrence is calling, how they're moving,

900
00:36:57,200 --> 00:36:59,160
Speaker 4: and who's lined up where, and there's another thing that

901
00:36:59,160 --> 00:37:00,680
Speaker 4: I'm gonna get to because it gets to the end

902
00:37:00,719 --> 00:37:03,879
Speaker 4: of the bet. But Clemson rotates the receivers. They train

903
00:37:03,960 --> 00:37:06,480
Speaker 4: their receivers to be on the hashes, to be on

904
00:37:06,560 --> 00:37:09,040
Speaker 4: the sidelines, to be in the slot, to be in motion.

905
00:37:09,560 --> 00:37:12,080
Speaker 4: Every single wide receiver in the rotation knows how to

906
00:37:12,120 --> 00:37:13,720
Speaker 4: play every single one of the positions.

907
00:37:14,000 --> 00:37:14,840
Speaker 3: So that's really.

908
00:37:14,680 --> 00:37:16,640
Speaker 4: Important when we get down to the you know, down

909
00:37:16,680 --> 00:37:18,600
Speaker 4: to where we're going to be laying our props. As

910
00:37:18,640 --> 00:37:21,560
Speaker 4: far as play action pass goes, LSU loves to jamar Chase.

911
00:37:21,800 --> 00:37:24,560
Speaker 4: He is accounted for half of their play action targets.

912
00:37:24,760 --> 00:37:27,320
Speaker 4: Lawrence has hit nine different targets this here for Clemson.

913
00:37:27,520 --> 00:37:30,360
Speaker 4: He will spread around, he will hit anybody. Unlike LSU

914
00:37:30,480 --> 00:37:33,040
Speaker 4: has gone to a twelve formation and started bringing guys

915
00:37:33,080 --> 00:37:36,160
Speaker 4: in the box to protect Joe Burrow. Maybe because the

916
00:37:36,200 --> 00:37:39,480
Speaker 4: offensive line has been allowing more pressure. Clemson just leaves

917
00:37:39,520 --> 00:37:41,840
Speaker 4: five or six in the box eighty four percent of

918
00:37:41,920 --> 00:37:44,960
Speaker 4: the time. They are really good at protecting Trevor Lawrence,

919
00:37:45,239 --> 00:37:47,799
Speaker 4: and we show you know we saw with against Ohio State.

920
00:37:47,960 --> 00:37:49,520
Speaker 4: He can take off and make yards on his own,

921
00:37:49,560 --> 00:37:52,640
Speaker 4: no problem. Clemson has the most efficient offensive line per

922
00:37:52,680 --> 00:37:56,120
Speaker 4: Sports Source Analytics and they rank seventh in PFF and

923
00:37:56,200 --> 00:37:57,880
Speaker 4: if you get down to it single, you know, player

924
00:37:57,920 --> 00:38:00,480
Speaker 4: by player, Jackson Carmine hasn't allowed to sack a season.

925
00:38:00,520 --> 00:38:01,320
Speaker 3: There are half sacks.

926
00:38:01,360 --> 00:38:03,839
Speaker 4: I think the two half sacks that got counted tally

927
00:38:03,880 --> 00:38:06,239
Speaker 4: towards him, but he has not been responsible for a sack.

928
00:38:06,480 --> 00:38:09,640
Speaker 4: Jerine Arkham is He's only allowed a few hrries this year.

929
00:38:09,880 --> 00:38:12,439
Speaker 4: They're the most dominant run blocking unit in the nation.

930
00:38:12,840 --> 00:38:15,080
Speaker 4: They're downfield blocking. There was a tweet that I put

931
00:38:15,080 --> 00:38:17,239
Speaker 4: out about Travis et and against Ohio State where he

932
00:38:17,400 --> 00:38:19,520
Speaker 4: just zipped through. If you look at that, three of

933
00:38:19,560 --> 00:38:22,359
Speaker 4: their offensive linemen are blocking fifteen to twenty yards down

934
00:38:22,400 --> 00:38:25,520
Speaker 4: the field. It's one of the most unbelievable clips that

935
00:38:25,600 --> 00:38:27,840
Speaker 4: I tweeted out during the game, not because of Travis

936
00:38:27,920 --> 00:38:30,200
Speaker 4: et and speed, but because of the offensive linemen that

937
00:38:30,239 --> 00:38:31,200
Speaker 4: were twenty yards.

938
00:38:31,000 --> 00:38:33,840
Speaker 3: Down the field. I have the receivers two blocking and the.

939
00:38:33,880 --> 00:38:36,640
Speaker 4: Receivers just plowing Ohio State out of it. This is

940
00:38:36,719 --> 00:38:39,319
Speaker 4: a great defensive I was they just plowing through them.

941
00:38:39,680 --> 00:38:42,680
Speaker 4: Stingling Fulton have been, you know, shut down corners all year,

942
00:38:43,239 --> 00:38:44,960
Speaker 4: and I think that means Lawrence is going to go

943
00:38:45,000 --> 00:38:48,399
Speaker 4: straight to the middle of the defense. Higgins Ross shut

944
00:38:48,480 --> 00:38:50,160
Speaker 4: down against Ohio State. I think they can get shut

945
00:38:50,200 --> 00:38:52,560
Speaker 4: down here. That's how good LSU's corners are. So if

946
00:38:52,640 --> 00:38:54,560
Speaker 4: Lawrence is going to go over the middle, if you

947
00:38:54,600 --> 00:38:56,719
Speaker 4: look at the efficiency shirt of where LSU can be

948
00:38:56,760 --> 00:38:59,759
Speaker 4: attacked and where Lawrence is comfortable throwing, it's the right

949
00:39:00,000 --> 00:39:02,799
Speaker 4: slot receiver. The right slot receiver is the third most

950
00:39:02,880 --> 00:39:06,920
Speaker 4: targeted position by Clemsons how many passing attempts Clemson has

951
00:39:06,960 --> 00:39:09,440
Speaker 4: had this year. Lawrence completed sixty one percent of his

952
00:39:09,520 --> 00:39:12,120
Speaker 4: passes to the right slot receiver and they have the

953
00:39:12,239 --> 00:39:15,080
Speaker 4: highest yards per catch at seven point nine versus any

954
00:39:15,080 --> 00:39:17,680
Speaker 4: of the other receiving pockets. And like I said, Clemson

955
00:39:17,719 --> 00:39:20,800
Speaker 4: cross trains all other receivers, so we don't look at Ross,

956
00:39:21,120 --> 00:39:23,000
Speaker 4: we don't look at Higgins. Even though Ross lines up

957
00:39:23,040 --> 00:39:24,719
Speaker 4: in the slot and say a ten formation, they'll run

958
00:39:24,719 --> 00:39:26,759
Speaker 4: a ten formation that much. So that gets you down

959
00:39:26,800 --> 00:39:31,200
Speaker 4: to Amari Rodgers, DeAndre Overton, Joseph Mcolverton. Overton is the

960
00:39:31,320 --> 00:39:35,480
Speaker 4: play last five games. Overton's had sixteen targets last five

961
00:39:35,560 --> 00:39:37,839
Speaker 4: games for one hundred and twenty seven yards, and he's

962
00:39:37,880 --> 00:39:41,720
Speaker 4: had ten catches. So Overton is the play on the props.

963
00:39:42,000 --> 00:39:44,080
Speaker 4: He will be the right slot receiver that has the

964
00:39:44,160 --> 00:39:46,400
Speaker 4: most success, and that's where Trevor Lawrence is going to

965
00:39:46,440 --> 00:39:48,160
Speaker 4: be able to dump it off to if he feels

966
00:39:48,200 --> 00:39:48,680
Speaker 4: any pressure.

967
00:39:48,880 --> 00:39:51,359
Speaker 3: Yeah, and Overton is not your You know, if you're

968
00:39:51,400 --> 00:39:54,320
Speaker 3: looking at the household names of the receivers for Clemson,

969
00:39:54,680 --> 00:39:59,000
Speaker 3: you know it's not Higgins, it's not Ross. Right, these

970
00:39:59,040 --> 00:40:01,160
Speaker 3: are the guys that are probably to be priced the

971
00:40:01,280 --> 00:40:03,720
Speaker 3: highest if you're just looking at a touchdown or over props,

972
00:40:03,800 --> 00:40:06,640
Speaker 3: right that these are the guys that you know, everyone

973
00:40:07,120 --> 00:40:09,800
Speaker 3: knows about it, and even Rogers. Now, the thing that

974
00:40:09,880 --> 00:40:15,040
Speaker 3: I like, back to narrative Street for Dabbo is like Rogers,

975
00:40:15,520 --> 00:40:19,239
Speaker 3: Ross and Higgins, what are they all of all three

976
00:40:19,280 --> 00:40:22,880
Speaker 3: of them. They're all sophomores or juniors, right, they're all underclassmen.

977
00:40:23,080 --> 00:40:25,560
Speaker 3: And you know, if you look at a guy like

978
00:40:25,680 --> 00:40:30,400
Speaker 3: DeAndre Overton, he has been Yeah, he's been completely overshadowed.

979
00:40:30,480 --> 00:40:33,200
Speaker 3: You know, this is a highly recruited kid out of Greensboro.

980
00:40:33,440 --> 00:40:35,120
Speaker 3: You know he needs to pissed off about it too.

981
00:40:35,200 --> 00:40:37,040
Speaker 3: I mean he was not happy about it last summer

982
00:40:37,239 --> 00:40:40,040
Speaker 3: and he stayed the course. You mentioned that long run

983
00:40:40,360 --> 00:40:43,680
Speaker 3: guess who was down the field blocking on that play, Overton.

984
00:40:44,040 --> 00:40:45,800
Speaker 3: So this is a kid that I think that the

985
00:40:46,120 --> 00:40:48,040
Speaker 3: out of the slot that they might have something drawn

986
00:40:48,120 --> 00:40:51,200
Speaker 3: up for that LS you might not expect little reward

987
00:40:51,400 --> 00:40:54,120
Speaker 3: for you know, sticking with the program and just being

988
00:40:54,160 --> 00:40:56,680
Speaker 3: overshadowed by these dominant receivers that have been there. And

989
00:40:56,719 --> 00:40:58,200
Speaker 3: he's a senior and stuck it out. This is a

990
00:40:58,239 --> 00:40:59,799
Speaker 3: kid who could have been a star on another team.

991
00:41:00,200 --> 00:41:03,920
Speaker 3: So that the Dabo narrative street touchdowns Overton and the

992
00:41:04,000 --> 00:41:07,160
Speaker 3: atn that makes sense too.

993
00:41:07,480 --> 00:41:09,680
Speaker 4: We should rename the hallway from the elevator to the

994
00:41:09,800 --> 00:41:11,399
Speaker 4: action front door of the office.

995
00:41:11,440 --> 00:41:14,640
Speaker 3: We should name it, Like I forgot about the recruiting, Yeah,

996
00:41:14,719 --> 00:41:16,680
Speaker 3: that was what The recruiting angle too makes a lot

997
00:41:16,719 --> 00:41:19,120
Speaker 3: of sense too. But it's just like Daba wants to

998
00:41:19,239 --> 00:41:22,360
Speaker 3: create this like family atmosphere, right and like so he

999
00:41:22,440 --> 00:41:25,040
Speaker 3: wants to reward a guy like Overton, I would assume,

1000
00:41:25,080 --> 00:41:28,160
Speaker 3: but especially etm Man, I mean getting threats and back

1001
00:41:28,200 --> 00:41:32,040
Speaker 3: in Louisiana and that that recruiting that would be huge.

1002
00:41:32,320 --> 00:41:36,200
Speaker 3: All right, So ultimately you have these you know, you

1003
00:41:36,320 --> 00:41:39,040
Speaker 3: look at matchups on both sides of the ball based

1004
00:41:39,080 --> 00:41:41,920
Speaker 3: on everything that you've seen. I mean, which defense and

1005
00:41:42,360 --> 00:41:45,520
Speaker 3: defensive coordinator. I mean, obviously you have Venables, one of

1006
00:41:45,600 --> 00:41:47,880
Speaker 3: the most well known defensive coordinators in off college football,

1007
00:41:47,880 --> 00:41:51,680
Speaker 3: and Randa is the highest paid defensive coordinator in all

1008
00:41:51,760 --> 00:41:56,720
Speaker 3: college football. Which defense do you think ultimately gets more stops?

1009
00:41:57,040 --> 00:41:57,640
Speaker 3: And what I think?

1010
00:41:57,920 --> 00:42:00,719
Speaker 4: I think Clemson's defense ultimately gets more stops because of

1011
00:42:00,800 --> 00:42:03,360
Speaker 4: Isaiah Simmons. There is not an Isaiah Simmons on the

1012
00:42:03,560 --> 00:42:06,960
Speaker 4: LCU defense. And there was a pass that Ohio States

1013
00:42:06,960 --> 00:42:10,520
Speaker 4: scored on Isaiah Simmons ran from the other side of

1014
00:42:10,600 --> 00:42:13,279
Speaker 4: the field and almost caught the guy taking it to

1015
00:42:13,360 --> 00:42:16,320
Speaker 4: the house. For Ohio State, there's nobody on LC's defense

1016
00:42:16,360 --> 00:42:18,600
Speaker 4: that's Isaiah Simmons. There's nobody that can close from the

1017
00:42:18,640 --> 00:42:20,440
Speaker 4: secondary to the line or from the line to the

1018
00:42:20,480 --> 00:42:23,520
Speaker 4: secondary like Isaiah Simmons. He's the true X factor. So

1019
00:42:23,560 --> 00:42:24,520
Speaker 4: I'm going to go with Clemson.

1020
00:42:24,760 --> 00:42:27,480
Speaker 3: Yeah. I mean, the interesting thing to me is if

1021
00:42:27,520 --> 00:42:31,680
Speaker 3: you look at the you know, the special teams. If

1022
00:42:31,760 --> 00:42:35,080
Speaker 3: these defenses are as we alluded to other getting stops

1023
00:42:35,120 --> 00:42:37,520
Speaker 3: in the red zone or close to the red zone,

1024
00:42:38,160 --> 00:42:41,960
Speaker 3: the difference could come down to the kickers, and I

1025
00:42:42,080 --> 00:42:48,480
Speaker 3: mean lsicker, who's extremely reliable. And you know Potter, who

1026
00:42:49,120 --> 00:42:51,480
Speaker 3: you know, he was really bad early in the year

1027
00:42:51,560 --> 00:42:54,160
Speaker 3: and he's been a little bit better.

1028
00:42:54,120 --> 00:42:57,000
Speaker 4: Talking to Brody earlier and his you know, his peer,

1029
00:42:57,120 --> 00:42:58,880
Speaker 4: Grace Rayner, had had a story out there about how

1030
00:42:58,880 --> 00:43:01,600
Speaker 4: BT Potter can clearly changed the swing of his leg.

1031
00:43:01,640 --> 00:43:04,160
Speaker 4: I almost went into a golf reference about how, you know,

1032
00:43:04,239 --> 00:43:06,640
Speaker 4: I'd used my nine iron at a different angle, but.

1033
00:43:06,880 --> 00:43:08,919
Speaker 3: He kind of changed things up mid season. It looks

1034
00:43:08,960 --> 00:43:13,719
Speaker 3: like he is three of seven between forty and forty nine,

1035
00:43:13,920 --> 00:43:16,919
Speaker 3: three of six between thirty and thirty nine, and even

1036
00:43:17,080 --> 00:43:19,879
Speaker 3: four for five between twenty and twenty nine. He has

1037
00:43:19,960 --> 00:43:21,799
Speaker 3: hit all seventy four extra points, so at least he's

1038
00:43:21,840 --> 00:43:24,560
Speaker 3: making those. But look just like a couple of field

1039
00:43:24,560 --> 00:43:27,360
Speaker 3: goals here or there. When a defense, you know, you

1040
00:43:27,440 --> 00:43:29,640
Speaker 3: get a couple stops inside the red zone or not

1041
00:43:29,719 --> 00:43:31,680
Speaker 3: even the red zone, say between the twenty and thirty,

1042
00:43:32,160 --> 00:43:34,360
Speaker 3: a couple misses. Maybe it makes Clemson go for it

1043
00:43:34,400 --> 00:43:36,320
Speaker 3: and they don't get it. Those are the kinds of

1044
00:43:36,400 --> 00:43:38,920
Speaker 3: things and why I always talk about special teams that

1045
00:43:38,960 --> 00:43:40,879
Speaker 3: can swing a cover easily. Either.

1046
00:43:41,000 --> 00:43:42,840
Speaker 4: I have so much love for Clemson. I mean, I

1047
00:43:42,960 --> 00:43:46,400
Speaker 4: was betting these guys to a national titles years before

1048
00:43:46,600 --> 00:43:49,080
Speaker 4: the birth of the Action Network, it seems like. And

1049
00:43:49,840 --> 00:43:53,719
Speaker 4: the thing is is when a kicker changes his whole

1050
00:43:53,880 --> 00:43:57,000
Speaker 4: entire process mid season, that makes me nervous. It makes

1051
00:43:57,040 --> 00:43:59,520
Speaker 4: me really nervous. We've always been able to rely on

1052
00:43:59,600 --> 00:44:01,560
Speaker 4: this group, especially when it comes to going up against

1053
00:44:01,560 --> 00:44:04,719
Speaker 4: Alabama because Alabama's special teams and kicking has always kind

1054
00:44:04,760 --> 00:44:07,640
Speaker 4: of been the butt of a joke. And so I'm

1055
00:44:07,640 --> 00:44:09,960
Speaker 4: a little nervous with BT Potter. If you're going to

1056
00:44:10,000 --> 00:44:11,960
Speaker 4: back Clemson with your with your money, I would say,

1057
00:44:11,960 --> 00:44:13,520
Speaker 4: if you're trying to lay a Clemson money line or

1058
00:44:13,520 --> 00:44:15,480
Speaker 4: if you have Clemson futures, which I have a few

1059
00:44:15,480 --> 00:44:18,160
Speaker 4: of them, I'm nervous because of the bet Potter aspect completely.

1060
00:44:18,360 --> 00:44:20,400
Speaker 4: You know that range from thirty to from thirty to

1061
00:44:20,480 --> 00:44:21,680
Speaker 4: forty nine is not good.

1062
00:44:22,000 --> 00:44:23,640
Speaker 3: This will be out on Friday, and obviously all the

1063
00:44:23,680 --> 00:44:26,200
Speaker 3: player props they're not out yet, but we're going to

1064
00:44:26,239 --> 00:44:27,919
Speaker 3: be in Vegas. We're going to do a live show

1065
00:44:28,000 --> 00:44:30,799
Speaker 3: on Monday from the West Gate, so we'll cover off

1066
00:44:31,040 --> 00:44:33,759
Speaker 3: and we'll have some content on Action Network dot Com

1067
00:44:33,800 --> 00:44:36,520
Speaker 3: and the Action Network app as well with our specific props.

1068
00:44:36,560 --> 00:44:38,560
Speaker 4: But we give you an idea if you listen to

1069
00:44:38,600 --> 00:44:40,120
Speaker 4: this base of you and I are going to be live.

1070
00:44:40,400 --> 00:44:41,520
Speaker 4: You and I are going to be live a couple

1071
00:44:41,600 --> 00:44:42,960
Speaker 4: times too. I think we're going to be joined by

1072
00:44:42,960 --> 00:44:44,479
Speaker 4: a few friends we're going to turn the camera around

1073
00:44:44,520 --> 00:44:45,800
Speaker 4: and talk to in the NFL and stuff.

1074
00:44:46,000 --> 00:44:48,600
Speaker 3: All right, So final, what are you invested in? Now?

1075
00:44:48,719 --> 00:44:50,239
Speaker 3: What do you plan on investing? So I'm going to

1076
00:44:50,280 --> 00:44:52,399
Speaker 3: be betting Clemson? I think else who wins the game?

1077
00:44:52,680 --> 00:44:57,040
Speaker 3: I think it's close. It's you know, from a case perspective,

1078
00:44:57,160 --> 00:44:59,600
Speaker 3: you know, the BT Potter thing does introduce some variants

1079
00:44:59,600 --> 00:45:01,480
Speaker 3: from the tow too, because maybe Clemson says, look, we

1080
00:45:01,520 --> 00:45:03,759
Speaker 3: got to we're playing against this juggernaut on offense. So

1081
00:45:03,800 --> 00:45:05,440
Speaker 3: if we're at the thirty and it's fourth and three

1082
00:45:05,560 --> 00:45:08,040
Speaker 3: for the twenty five, we're going for it, right instead

1083
00:45:08,040 --> 00:45:10,719
Speaker 3: of a normal field goal. And then the reason it

1084
00:45:10,800 --> 00:45:12,320
Speaker 3: is varies. It's like, all right, if they get it

1085
00:45:12,360 --> 00:45:14,359
Speaker 3: and then there's seven instead of three. If they don't,

1086
00:45:14,440 --> 00:45:17,120
Speaker 3: then it's zero instead of very like it's just so

1087
00:45:17,680 --> 00:45:20,080
Speaker 3: seeing how aggressive these teams are going to be should

1088
00:45:20,120 --> 00:45:22,440
Speaker 3: be interesting. And then if the pace too, that's what

1089
00:45:22,600 --> 00:45:24,799
Speaker 3: makes the total tough. So I probably will stay away

1090
00:45:24,840 --> 00:45:27,320
Speaker 3: from the total because like part of me says, I

1091
00:45:27,360 --> 00:45:28,960
Speaker 3: could see why they would want to go pace, but

1092
00:45:29,040 --> 00:45:30,480
Speaker 3: then part of me says, like either one of these

1093
00:45:30,480 --> 00:45:31,920
Speaker 3: teams want to keep the ball in the other's hands,

1094
00:45:32,160 --> 00:45:33,920
Speaker 3: I don't know, So I kind of want to see

1095
00:45:33,920 --> 00:45:35,760
Speaker 3: how it plays out. If there's a bunch of scoring early,

1096
00:45:36,239 --> 00:45:38,120
Speaker 3: you know, maybe I'll look at a live under if

1097
00:45:38,160 --> 00:45:40,439
Speaker 3: there's if it's slow, maybe I'll look at a live over.

1098
00:45:40,600 --> 00:45:43,600
Speaker 3: So I think I'll be looking at the total live

1099
00:45:43,960 --> 00:45:46,200
Speaker 3: from a side perspective. It's just too high from a number,

1100
00:45:46,200 --> 00:45:47,520
Speaker 3: and there's going to be some scoring, so I think

1101
00:45:47,520 --> 00:45:49,720
Speaker 3: there's going to be an opportunity for me to get LSU.

1102
00:45:50,160 --> 00:45:52,160
Speaker 3: So maybe I'll throw else you moneyn with something. But

1103
00:45:52,200 --> 00:45:55,040
Speaker 3: they're lying. I can't not take Clemson, especially once this

1104
00:45:55,120 --> 00:45:57,160
Speaker 3: thing gets a six to six and a half, maybe seven,

1105
00:45:58,280 --> 00:45:59,879
Speaker 3: then I obviously have the futures left.

1106
00:46:00,480 --> 00:46:02,960
Speaker 4: I have a bet down on Clemson at six, and

1107
00:46:03,520 --> 00:46:05,680
Speaker 4: I actually have another bet down at Circa at four

1108
00:46:05,680 --> 00:46:07,799
Speaker 4: and a half. So I'm invested in Clemson, but it's

1109
00:46:08,400 --> 00:46:10,480
Speaker 4: nothing big. And to give you the I mean, I

1110
00:46:10,600 --> 00:46:12,600
Speaker 4: was asked on you better you bet by Nick Costos,

1111
00:46:12,640 --> 00:46:14,279
Speaker 4: like what my volume was, and I can tell you

1112
00:46:14,400 --> 00:46:16,560
Speaker 4: that if it gets to seven, I'll probably have a

1113
00:46:16,600 --> 00:46:18,400
Speaker 4: bet four times as large as what I have invested

1114
00:46:18,440 --> 00:46:20,320
Speaker 4: on Clemson right now. So if I can get a

1115
00:46:20,400 --> 00:46:22,759
Speaker 4: seven and minus one fifteen or whatnot, if that's what

1116
00:46:22,800 --> 00:46:24,759
Speaker 4: happens to fall on Monday, if that's what happens to

1117
00:46:24,840 --> 00:46:27,279
Speaker 4: fall late Friday, is the money starts to roll in

1118
00:46:27,360 --> 00:46:29,359
Speaker 4: on this game. If I can get a seven, I'm

1119
00:46:29,400 --> 00:46:32,160
Speaker 4: gonna go hard on Clemson. I think you're exactly spot

1120
00:46:32,239 --> 00:46:34,920
Speaker 4: on when it comes to how to handle the total.

1121
00:46:35,200 --> 00:46:37,439
Speaker 4: This is going to come in flurries. I think people

1122
00:46:37,560 --> 00:46:41,239
Speaker 4: need to realize that Coach O the last three regular

1123
00:46:41,280 --> 00:46:44,040
Speaker 4: season games, he wanted the ball first. He wanted Joe

1124
00:46:44,080 --> 00:46:47,000
Speaker 4: Burrow on offense, first, on the field scoring points. Now,

1125
00:46:47,280 --> 00:46:49,880
Speaker 4: he wanted to put confidence into his team against OU,

1126
00:46:50,040 --> 00:46:53,080
Speaker 4: it confidence into his defense against OU. They put the

1127
00:46:53,120 --> 00:46:55,279
Speaker 4: defense on the field first. What they did is they

1128
00:46:55,320 --> 00:46:56,880
Speaker 4: had a three and out from OU and then everything

1129
00:46:56,920 --> 00:46:59,000
Speaker 4: went off from there. I'm not sure that's exactly how

1130
00:46:59,040 --> 00:47:00,799
Speaker 4: this goes. Now, if you flip a the Clemson side

1131
00:47:00,800 --> 00:47:02,680
Speaker 4: and you look at some of their biggest games, the

1132
00:47:02,760 --> 00:47:05,600
Speaker 4: twenty seventeen National title game, they won the coin toss,

1133
00:47:05,680 --> 00:47:08,520
Speaker 4: they deferred. They wanted the ball. Second half twenty eighteen

1134
00:47:08,560 --> 00:47:11,240
Speaker 4: Cotton bowlg It's Notre Dame. They won the toss, they deferred.

1135
00:47:11,400 --> 00:47:12,960
Speaker 4: Clemson one of the game won of the ball in

1136
00:47:13,000 --> 00:47:16,440
Speaker 4: the second half. This is such a huge betting aspect

1137
00:47:16,480 --> 00:47:19,160
Speaker 4: to Clemson, which is called the middle eight. So the

1138
00:47:19,200 --> 00:47:22,160
Speaker 4: Middle eight was created by Sports Source Analytics where they

1139
00:47:22,320 --> 00:47:24,800
Speaker 4: track the point differential of the last four minutes of

1140
00:47:24,800 --> 00:47:27,359
Speaker 4: the first half the first four minutes of the second half.

1141
00:47:27,560 --> 00:47:30,239
Speaker 4: Clemson is not only number one in the nation this

1142
00:47:30,400 --> 00:47:33,000
Speaker 4: year at plus six point six for a point differential,

1143
00:47:33,400 --> 00:47:36,080
Speaker 4: they are the top rated middle eight team of the

1144
00:47:36,400 --> 00:47:39,879
Speaker 4: entire college football playoff era since twenty fourteen. They are

1145
00:47:40,520 --> 00:47:47,000
Speaker 4: the best at end game adjustments, clock management, execution, holding

1146
00:47:47,080 --> 00:47:49,320
Speaker 4: the ball and managing the clock, and scoring at the

1147
00:47:49,400 --> 00:47:51,879
Speaker 4: end of the second quarter, getting the ball, making sure

1148
00:47:51,920 --> 00:47:54,640
Speaker 4: they own that coin, flip, deferring whatever it takes, have

1149
00:47:54,760 --> 00:47:57,399
Speaker 4: the ball to start the second half. Their their middle

1150
00:47:57,440 --> 00:48:00,879
Speaker 4: eight rank is superior to any program. Let me give

1151
00:48:00,880 --> 00:48:05,080
Speaker 4: you an example. Not only since twenty fourteen does Clemson

1152
00:48:05,280 --> 00:48:08,080
Speaker 4: own everybody in Middle eight at plus four point four.

1153
00:48:08,640 --> 00:48:11,239
Speaker 4: The team that is in second place is at plus

1154
00:48:11,320 --> 00:48:13,640
Speaker 4: two point nine that's Ohio State. That's how and then

1155
00:48:13,680 --> 00:48:15,600
Speaker 4: the gap after that is all plus two point nine

1156
00:48:15,640 --> 00:48:18,239
Speaker 4: plus two point eight plus two point seven. Clemson is

1157
00:48:18,239 --> 00:48:20,680
Speaker 4: a point and a half better in the entire life

1158
00:48:20,719 --> 00:48:23,880
Speaker 4: span of the College Football Playoff and point differential in

1159
00:48:23,920 --> 00:48:27,800
Speaker 4: the middle eight. It's just so automatic for them, and

1160
00:48:27,880 --> 00:48:29,640
Speaker 4: for some reason is it better Like most of us

1161
00:48:29,719 --> 00:48:32,480
Speaker 4: betters know this. We know Venables makes his adjustments, we

1162
00:48:32,600 --> 00:48:35,239
Speaker 4: know the offensive game plan changes. But now to see

1163
00:48:35,280 --> 00:48:38,000
Speaker 4: it just laid out analytically in a chart to where

1164
00:48:38,239 --> 00:48:40,200
Speaker 4: they know what to do with the coin toss, they

1165
00:48:40,280 --> 00:48:41,959
Speaker 4: know what to do what they're driving the second quarter.

1166
00:48:42,239 --> 00:48:44,520
Speaker 4: I mean, you look at all these examples of Kelly

1167
00:48:44,560 --> 00:48:48,040
Speaker 4: Bryant against Auburn. You look at them being down fourteen

1168
00:48:48,120 --> 00:48:48,960
Speaker 4: zero to Alabama and the.

1169
00:48:48,960 --> 00:48:50,359
Speaker 3: National Championship a couple of years ago.

1170
00:48:50,719 --> 00:48:53,160
Speaker 4: The investment that I have pregame for gets to seven. Yeah,

1171
00:48:53,160 --> 00:48:55,520
Speaker 4: I'm gonna put a lot more on, but I'm completely

1172
00:48:55,600 --> 00:48:58,200
Speaker 4: prepared at the beginning of the second quarter to see

1173
00:48:58,360 --> 00:49:01,919
Speaker 4: LSU only have fourteen points on the board, or only

1174
00:49:02,040 --> 00:49:03,920
Speaker 4: have a seventeen to three lead, and for me to

1175
00:49:04,000 --> 00:49:07,319
Speaker 4: be completely ready to fire on Clemson, especially if PAC

1176
00:49:07,360 --> 00:49:10,600
Speaker 4: twelve refs want to get involved, and especially if Vnables,

1177
00:49:10,600 --> 00:49:13,080
Speaker 4: if we have a noticeable difference in Isaiah Simmons floating

1178
00:49:13,080 --> 00:49:16,120
Speaker 4: around doing something different and confusing Joe Burrow and I was,

1179
00:49:16,200 --> 00:49:17,759
Speaker 4: you know, I was talking to a friend of the

1180
00:49:17,800 --> 00:49:19,160
Speaker 4: podcast Sports.

1181
00:49:18,880 --> 00:49:19,520
Speaker 3: Cheat last night.

1182
00:49:19,600 --> 00:49:21,920
Speaker 4: He said, listen, if LSU does not score their first

1183
00:49:21,960 --> 00:49:24,680
Speaker 4: two drives, they're gonna lose. They're gonna lose. I mean,

1184
00:49:24,800 --> 00:49:27,080
Speaker 4: if Clemson is leading the ball game after the first quarter,

1185
00:49:27,600 --> 00:49:31,120
Speaker 4: the adjustments that they make, I can't imagine LSU, you know,

1186
00:49:31,239 --> 00:49:34,040
Speaker 4: making their adjustments and beating bread Vnables. So I'm completely

1187
00:49:34,120 --> 00:49:37,879
Speaker 4: ready to live bet Clemson on the middle eight, which

1188
00:49:37,920 --> 00:49:40,560
Speaker 4: has historically been such a fabulous idea.

1189
00:49:40,840 --> 00:49:42,640
Speaker 3: What do you think LSU does if they win the toss?

1190
00:49:42,719 --> 00:49:44,000
Speaker 3: Do you think that they're gonna win the ball and

1191
00:49:44,040 --> 00:49:46,600
Speaker 3: Clemson is not? But maybe LSU knows what Clemson wants

1192
00:49:46,640 --> 00:49:49,680
Speaker 3: to do and they'll the ferry want to let's Burrow.

1193
00:49:49,719 --> 00:49:53,520
Speaker 3: I want Burrow on the field. I'm assume they always

1194
00:49:53,560 --> 00:49:54,400
Speaker 3: take the ball when they win.

1195
00:49:54,600 --> 00:49:56,560
Speaker 4: They did, they did in the regular season and the

1196
00:49:56,680 --> 00:49:59,680
Speaker 4: SEC Championship, Georgia started first with the ball. LSU won

1197
00:49:59,719 --> 00:50:01,960
Speaker 4: the top against OU and they put the def they

1198
00:50:02,000 --> 00:50:04,200
Speaker 4: wanted their defense on the field. But in this scenario,

1199
00:50:04,800 --> 00:50:07,360
Speaker 4: you've got to know that Daboh wants the ball in

1200
00:50:07,440 --> 00:50:09,680
Speaker 4: the second half so bad to start off that you

1201
00:50:09,800 --> 00:50:11,120
Speaker 4: automatically have to defer.

1202
00:50:11,480 --> 00:50:12,200
Speaker 2: I think you have to.

1203
00:50:12,239 --> 00:50:15,279
Speaker 4: Against If I'm coaching against Clemson, I'm deferring. Put Trevor

1204
00:50:15,360 --> 00:50:17,600
Speaker 4: Lawrence on the field, and then go tell my defense.

1205
00:50:17,640 --> 00:50:19,440
Speaker 4: I believe in you to beat up Trevor Lawrence, but

1206
00:50:19,520 --> 00:50:22,120
Speaker 4: I'm telling you right now. LSU wins that toss and

1207
00:50:22,160 --> 00:50:24,160
Speaker 4: they put Joe Burrow on the field. That's a good

1208
00:50:24,200 --> 00:50:26,800
Speaker 4: thing for Clemson. That's a good thing for Clemson, live betting,

1209
00:50:26,840 --> 00:50:29,280
Speaker 4: it's a good thing for bread vtables. So pay attention

1210
00:50:29,320 --> 00:50:29,839
Speaker 4: to coin toss.

1211
00:50:30,400 --> 00:50:32,600
Speaker 3: There's no question in a mind. It just go beyond.

1212
00:50:34,280 --> 00:50:36,919
Speaker 3: Like I said, we're gonna have live show Monday, We'll

1213
00:50:36,920 --> 00:50:39,560
Speaker 3: have more content with a huge preview. Connordy has pieces out,

1214
00:50:39,760 --> 00:50:41,800
Speaker 3: so make sure you check that out. But before we

1215
00:50:41,880 --> 00:50:44,560
Speaker 3: get out of here, let's go three and out.

1216
00:50:46,920 --> 00:50:49,000
Speaker 4: Let's make it a quick three and out.

1217
00:50:50,400 --> 00:50:53,800
Speaker 3: We do have to hand out our Action Network Podcast

1218
00:50:53,920 --> 00:50:56,000
Speaker 3: Gambling Heisman Trophy.

1219
00:50:57,520 --> 00:51:02,800
Speaker 1: And now the presentation of the Rumbling Heisman Trophy awarded

1220
00:51:02,880 --> 00:51:07,200
Speaker 1: to the most outstanding Division IE player who's athletic excellence

1221
00:51:07,400 --> 00:51:10,960
Speaker 1: best enable to pursue a monetary gain through the art

1222
00:51:11,120 --> 00:51:13,600
Speaker 1: and science of wagering on college football.

1223
00:51:15,040 --> 00:51:17,800
Speaker 3: Now the finalists. We're going to go teams first, and

1224
00:51:17,960 --> 00:51:19,759
Speaker 3: I'll list the player that comes to a team, because

1225
00:51:20,000 --> 00:51:22,000
Speaker 3: you know, covering is all that matters around these parts.

1226
00:51:22,360 --> 00:51:24,959
Speaker 3: Clemson eleven and three against the spread. Last year's winner,

1227
00:51:25,040 --> 00:51:27,640
Speaker 3: Trevor Lawrence. He won it last year, so we're not

1228
00:51:27,760 --> 00:51:31,040
Speaker 3: gonna he's not back here. Yeah, he's in the running,

1229
00:51:31,360 --> 00:51:34,879
Speaker 3: but he's last year's winner. Traves etn is the representative

1230
00:51:34,920 --> 00:51:38,200
Speaker 3: for Clemson. Kentucky ten and three against the spread. Lid

1231
00:51:38,239 --> 00:51:42,279
Speaker 3: Bowden junior obviously, who moved two quarterback and just dominated

1232
00:51:42,560 --> 00:51:44,560
Speaker 3: against the spread all year and was just so fun

1233
00:51:44,640 --> 00:51:48,480
Speaker 3: to watch. Similarly, Malcolm Perry and just a hell of

1234
00:51:48,520 --> 00:51:51,040
Speaker 3: a turnaround for Navy, who was so dreadful last year.

1235
00:51:51,480 --> 00:51:54,680
Speaker 3: They finished ten and three against the spread, covered another bowl.

1236
00:51:55,320 --> 00:51:58,880
Speaker 3: So Malcolm Perry, Oregon State nine and three against the spread.

1237
00:51:59,120 --> 00:52:02,600
Speaker 3: Jake Lutan this is the surprise. Yes we're not getting

1238
00:52:02,600 --> 00:52:04,799
Speaker 3: it to Jake Luton, but twenty eight touchdowns, the three

1239
00:52:04,840 --> 00:52:07,200
Speaker 3: interceptions on here, you on't even.

1240
00:52:07,120 --> 00:52:10,000
Speaker 4: Consider it you only even consider it for a half second. No,

1241
00:52:10,160 --> 00:52:11,960
Speaker 4: Beaver's gambling heisman.

1242
00:52:12,360 --> 00:52:12,400
Speaker 5: No.

1243
00:52:12,640 --> 00:52:15,160
Speaker 3: And and by the way, because in Oklahoma State is

1244
00:52:15,280 --> 00:52:18,239
Speaker 3: the fifth team that finished nine to three and one

1245
00:52:18,440 --> 00:52:22,719
Speaker 3: against the spread. And you know, you could go Sanders,

1246
00:52:22,760 --> 00:52:24,600
Speaker 3: you could go Tyland Wallace, but obviously you got to

1247
00:52:24,640 --> 00:52:28,200
Speaker 3: go with Hubbard, the leading nations leading rusher. But they

1248
00:52:28,239 --> 00:52:29,960
Speaker 3: were nine three and one against the spread. I'm not

1249
00:52:30,320 --> 00:52:31,960
Speaker 3: going Hubbard. I mean he was in the Big twelve,

1250
00:52:32,400 --> 00:52:35,240
Speaker 3: Luton in the Pac twelve plus they only had nine covers.

1251
00:52:35,840 --> 00:52:38,040
Speaker 3: I'm throwing them out. I'm taking unless you want you

1252
00:52:38,080 --> 00:52:39,200
Speaker 3: want to make your case for Luton.

1253
00:52:39,320 --> 00:52:41,200
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think I want to do a process of

1254
00:52:41,239 --> 00:52:42,960
Speaker 4: elimination because I think I know where you're going and

1255
00:52:43,280 --> 00:52:44,200
Speaker 4: you don't know where I'm going.

1256
00:52:44,440 --> 00:52:46,399
Speaker 3: And so I think you agree that they have nine

1257
00:52:46,480 --> 00:52:47,799
Speaker 3: that that's the easiest thing to do. We could throw

1258
00:52:47,800 --> 00:52:48,320
Speaker 3: out Luton.

1259
00:52:48,640 --> 00:52:50,600
Speaker 4: We're yeah, we're throwing out Luton in Oregon State.

1260
00:52:50,760 --> 00:52:51,880
Speaker 3: We will look at them next year.

1261
00:52:52,200 --> 00:52:55,000
Speaker 4: Wonderfully coached, great turnaround, didn't make a Bowl. They probably

1262
00:52:55,040 --> 00:52:57,439
Speaker 4: will next year. All right, And we're throwing out thrown

1263
00:52:57,440 --> 00:52:59,600
Speaker 4: out Oklahoma State. We're thrown out Oklahoma State. They're going

1264
00:52:59,640 --> 00:53:02,160
Speaker 4: to be back. They'll be back against the spread. They're

1265
00:53:02,160 --> 00:53:04,239
Speaker 4: gonna be a contender next year. You know, we're gonna

1266
00:53:04,239 --> 00:53:05,920
Speaker 4: get Spencer Sanders back. We'll see what happens to the

1267
00:53:05,960 --> 00:53:07,799
Speaker 4: other players. We're gonna throw club the state out too.

1268
00:53:08,040 --> 00:53:09,840
Speaker 4: I'm throwing Navy out. They did not go ten to

1269
00:53:09,840 --> 00:53:11,719
Speaker 4: three against the brinkers of Malcolm Perry. We've known about

1270
00:53:11,760 --> 00:53:15,000
Speaker 4: Malcolm Perry. It's the defense and the defense defensive improvement.

1271
00:53:15,320 --> 00:53:18,840
Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree. And the winner is Lynn Bowden junior.

1272
00:53:18,920 --> 00:53:22,279
Speaker 3: Obviously he was in the SEC. The Kentucky had a

1273
00:53:22,360 --> 00:53:25,640
Speaker 3: much tougher schedule, climbs to play nobody all year. Look

1274
00:53:25,719 --> 00:53:29,120
Speaker 3: what Boden did. He was the team's leading receiver, the

1275
00:53:29,200 --> 00:53:31,759
Speaker 3: team's leading rusher, and then he ended up being the

1276
00:53:32,080 --> 00:53:34,400
Speaker 3: for the year. And then he was the quarterback who

1277
00:53:34,520 --> 00:53:37,640
Speaker 3: came in dominated against the spread, and then in the

1278
00:53:37,719 --> 00:53:42,759
Speaker 3: bowl game covered on a last second touchdown pass and

1279
00:53:42,880 --> 00:53:45,720
Speaker 3: his team finished ten and three against the spread. BBN,

1280
00:53:46,120 --> 00:53:48,560
Speaker 3: what up? And I'm paying homage to my Kentucky people.

1281
00:53:49,160 --> 00:53:53,239
Speaker 4: I didn't lose really that many season win totals at all,

1282
00:53:53,480 --> 00:53:55,040
Speaker 4: generally do really well in that department.

1283
00:53:55,400 --> 00:53:58,080
Speaker 3: I did not win Kentucky Kentucky sports radio.

1284
00:53:57,920 --> 00:53:59,920
Speaker 4: Guys on some of our pods in the summer, we

1285
00:54:00,120 --> 00:54:03,000
Speaker 4: just cannot believe the returning production loss, especially on defense.

1286
00:54:03,040 --> 00:54:06,600
Speaker 4: And then Benny Snell Junior, I didn't see this coming whatsoever,

1287
00:54:06,960 --> 00:54:09,359
Speaker 4: you know, I thought Kentucky, you know, win total under

1288
00:54:09,560 --> 00:54:12,919
Speaker 4: was good. Thanks to the Action Network Heisman Trophy winner

1289
00:54:13,080 --> 00:54:16,600
Speaker 4: Lin Boden Junior, they sailed over over their win total.

1290
00:54:16,760 --> 00:54:18,880
Speaker 4: What Stoops has been able to do there, I'm just

1291
00:54:19,040 --> 00:54:21,239
Speaker 4: I'm so impressed because there was a time where he

1292
00:54:21,440 --> 00:54:24,040
Speaker 4: was being laughed at below a level of Brett Belama,

1293
00:54:24,120 --> 00:54:26,880
Speaker 4: and now he is just he's doing above and beyond

1294
00:54:26,920 --> 00:54:29,040
Speaker 4: what I think anybody at the Kentucky program thought that

1295
00:54:29,120 --> 00:54:31,960
Speaker 4: could be done there for a football team. So congrats

1296
00:54:32,000 --> 00:54:35,719
Speaker 4: to Kentucky. Congrats to Lin Bowden Junior. He costed me

1297
00:54:35,880 --> 00:54:38,120
Speaker 4: money when I had Virginia Tech in the bowl game too.

1298
00:54:38,520 --> 00:54:40,319
Speaker 4: It has to be him for the Heisman Trophy from

1299
00:54:40,320 --> 00:54:40,960
Speaker 4: the Action Network.

1300
00:54:41,160 --> 00:54:44,040
Speaker 3: There you go. Congrats to Lin Boden for winning our

1301
00:54:45,000 --> 00:54:50,200
Speaker 3: second annual Action Network Podcast Gambling Heisman Trophy. All right,

1302
00:54:50,239 --> 00:54:53,120
Speaker 3: so let's move on to second down and we're gonna

1303
00:54:53,120 --> 00:54:56,480
Speaker 3: do some happy trails here. Just saying goodbye to some

1304
00:54:56,600 --> 00:55:00,719
Speaker 3: teams that mainly tortured me. So basically, I'll do the

1305
00:55:00,840 --> 00:55:03,600
Speaker 3: first two, you can do the last two. Acron Football,

1306
00:55:04,120 --> 00:55:06,520
Speaker 3: I hate you with all of my heart. And then

1307
00:55:06,560 --> 00:55:08,799
Speaker 3: they finally covered, and I didn't bet them, but they

1308
00:55:08,840 --> 00:55:10,719
Speaker 3: didn't cover. They were the first team ever to start

1309
00:55:10,800 --> 00:55:13,400
Speaker 3: zero to ten against the spread. They finally covered in

1310
00:55:13,440 --> 00:55:15,200
Speaker 3: their twelfth game. At least I had the under that game,

1311
00:55:15,920 --> 00:55:18,800
Speaker 3: but they were beyond bad. Looked like they were shaving

1312
00:55:18,840 --> 00:55:21,840
Speaker 3: at times bad. I'll never forget the game against Buffalo

1313
00:55:22,280 --> 00:55:24,360
Speaker 3: when I had the plus seventeen and a half and

1314
00:55:25,120 --> 00:55:27,880
Speaker 3: the game should have ended like seven to nothing. And

1315
00:55:28,400 --> 00:55:30,160
Speaker 3: the only way I wasn't going to cover. No one

1316
00:55:30,200 --> 00:55:34,799
Speaker 3: can move the ball heavy wins was if Akron gave

1317
00:55:34,920 --> 00:55:37,440
Speaker 3: up two touchdowns went on offense, and that's what happened.

1318
00:55:37,840 --> 00:55:40,839
Speaker 3: They fumbled it in this big scramble at midfield. They

1319
00:55:40,880 --> 00:55:43,520
Speaker 3: were actually moving the ball. Buffalo guy pops out with it,

1320
00:55:43,640 --> 00:55:46,439
Speaker 3: runs it back for a touchdown. All right, it's fourteen nothing.

1321
00:55:46,760 --> 00:55:50,440
Speaker 3: Fourth quarter. It's getting scary Akron. Then their true freshman

1322
00:55:50,560 --> 00:55:55,080
Speaker 3: quarterback rolls out, starts going backwards, gets tackled on the

1323
00:55:55,160 --> 00:55:58,520
Speaker 3: end zone. Ball pops out, Buffalo jumps on it twenty

1324
00:55:58,600 --> 00:56:01,799
Speaker 3: one to nothing, finally put the drive together and goes

1325
00:56:01,840 --> 00:56:04,800
Speaker 3: down the field and then obviously I think turned it

1326
00:56:04,880 --> 00:56:08,240
Speaker 3: over and downs. That summed up my overall college football

1327
00:56:08,239 --> 00:56:11,560
Speaker 3: betting season, especially in the MAC and with Akron. The

1328
00:56:11,640 --> 00:56:15,680
Speaker 3: other team is you Mass. They're just so bad. Fuck

1329
00:56:15,800 --> 00:56:19,560
Speaker 3: U Mass, fade U Mass into oblivion. And that's one

1330
00:56:19,560 --> 00:56:22,239
Speaker 3: of the worst college football teams I've ever seen in

1331
00:56:22,320 --> 00:56:25,680
Speaker 3: my entire life. Defense was so pathetic, offense was bad.

1332
00:56:26,080 --> 00:56:29,919
Speaker 3: UMass is the new Yukon, and I think I don't

1333
00:56:29,960 --> 00:56:31,879
Speaker 3: think we're going to see a new UMass for quite

1334
00:56:31,920 --> 00:56:35,080
Speaker 3: some time. So those are the two haaby trails I'll

1335
00:56:35,120 --> 00:56:37,440
Speaker 3: start with. And you Mass already lost our defensive coordinator,

1336
00:56:37,520 --> 00:56:38,479
Speaker 3: he said, the you has.

1337
00:56:38,440 --> 00:56:40,600
Speaker 4: Already lost our defensive coordinator. I think he's been hired

1338
00:56:40,600 --> 00:56:43,800
Speaker 4: as a position coach under Hafley at Best of High School.

1339
00:56:44,520 --> 00:56:48,760
Speaker 4: At high school. And what do you got, you Mass football.

1340
00:56:48,840 --> 00:56:50,719
Speaker 4: Let me just say this, next year's T shirt's going

1341
00:56:50,760 --> 00:56:52,920
Speaker 4: to be you Masses. You Mass, right, ain't gonna be

1342
00:56:53,000 --> 00:56:55,880
Speaker 4: anybody you mess'es Yukon. You Messes, you Mass. And I

1343
00:56:55,920 --> 00:56:57,759
Speaker 4: think the smartest thing that we can all do right

1344
00:56:57,800 --> 00:57:00,120
Speaker 4: now is open up a parlay card and stick the

1345
00:57:00,160 --> 00:57:03,040
Speaker 4: opponent of U MASS on it for every single week

1346
00:57:03,120 --> 00:57:04,560
Speaker 4: next year and just cash it at the end of

1347
00:57:04,600 --> 00:57:08,360
Speaker 4: the year. Nice little Christmas bonus. Because this program is

1348
00:57:08,600 --> 00:57:12,520
Speaker 4: so far off from a coaching perspective from they don't

1349
00:57:12,520 --> 00:57:14,840
Speaker 4: even scholar they haven't eyn filled out all their scholarships.

1350
00:57:14,840 --> 00:57:17,080
Speaker 4: They only have like half the team has scholarships, the

1351
00:57:17,160 --> 00:57:21,800
Speaker 4: other half doesn't. They can't recruit anybody. So anyways, next.

1352
00:57:21,720 --> 00:57:24,880
Speaker 3: Year, as shit hold on, I gotta say something, you Mass,

1353
00:57:25,440 --> 00:57:28,800
Speaker 3: So Yukon is moving to independent, right, so next year

1354
00:57:29,360 --> 00:57:35,800
Speaker 3: next year, Yukon opens the season September third against you Mass.

1355
00:57:36,360 --> 00:57:39,200
Speaker 3: We have to talk about this first week Yukon, you Mass,

1356
00:57:39,840 --> 00:57:42,800
Speaker 3: and then they go to Illinois and then Maine comes

1357
00:57:42,840 --> 00:57:43,400
Speaker 3: to Yukon.

1358
00:57:44,000 --> 00:57:45,560
Speaker 4: We can pull up we can pull a liberty in

1359
00:57:45,560 --> 00:57:47,280
Speaker 4: New Mexico State and schedule people twice.

1360
00:57:47,800 --> 00:57:50,680
Speaker 3: Army. Army will take them twice and then let me

1361
00:57:50,760 --> 00:57:53,480
Speaker 3: pull up the UMAT schedule. If you type in UMA's

1362
00:57:53,520 --> 00:57:56,000
Speaker 3: schedule it it'll pull up their academic schedule. Le's say, know,

1363
00:57:56,000 --> 00:57:57,480
Speaker 3: if you have bad football team, if you type in

1364
00:57:57,760 --> 00:58:01,600
Speaker 3: the Alabama schedule, pulls up their football twenty twenty U

1365
00:58:01,600 --> 00:58:05,480
Speaker 3: MESS schedule get ready for this one October seventeenth at

1366
00:58:05,680 --> 00:58:10,000
Speaker 3: in post Vision Stadium in Acrid, Ohio. UMass at Akron

1367
00:58:10,240 --> 00:58:14,080
Speaker 3: Akron with revenge. Remember when Akron lost the unass Akron

1368
00:58:14,160 --> 00:58:17,120
Speaker 3: with Revenge nex October seventeen. And then they close out

1369
00:58:17,160 --> 00:58:20,120
Speaker 3: the year home game against Army Armies and all these

1370
00:58:20,160 --> 00:58:22,360
Speaker 3: shitty team schedules and then they're at Liberty.

1371
00:58:23,000 --> 00:58:26,280
Speaker 5: You have sacrificed and labored for years to make this

1372
00:58:26,480 --> 00:58:28,120
Speaker 5: day a reality, and we're proud of you.

1373
00:58:28,280 --> 00:58:30,760
Speaker 3: Congratulations, that's your U mess schedule.

1374
00:58:31,440 --> 00:58:34,080
Speaker 4: Say, how's Arkansas football not picking up on some of

1375
00:58:34,160 --> 00:58:37,520
Speaker 4: these terrible independent teams. But yeah, so let's let's continue

1376
00:58:37,520 --> 00:58:39,480
Speaker 4: happy trails. Let's get off um mass football. We'll be

1377
00:58:39,560 --> 00:58:41,640
Speaker 4: back to handicap them against Yukon. I'm going to say

1378
00:58:41,640 --> 00:58:45,240
Speaker 4: about a Rocky Long, you have retired. I'm not sure

1379
00:58:45,280 --> 00:58:48,000
Speaker 4: if you have retired or if you're having problems with

1380
00:58:48,040 --> 00:58:51,520
Speaker 4: the administration, or you're done with recruiting, or you keep

1381
00:58:52,160 --> 00:58:52,920
Speaker 4: losing coaches.

1382
00:58:53,680 --> 00:58:54,320
Speaker 3: Here's what I know.

1383
00:58:54,880 --> 00:58:58,880
Speaker 4: Rocky Long has been absolutely atrocious on the offensive side

1384
00:58:58,880 --> 00:59:02,320
Speaker 4: of the football, where they could only score you know,

1385
00:59:02,480 --> 00:59:05,280
Speaker 4: I think they averaged what seventeen points per game against

1386
00:59:05,320 --> 00:59:09,680
Speaker 4: power against non FCS teams. They went to a spread attack,

1387
00:59:09,760 --> 00:59:12,960
Speaker 4: but we're still running based. They have been a headache,

1388
00:59:13,360 --> 00:59:15,920
Speaker 4: a pain in the ass to handicap from the offensive end.

1389
00:59:16,400 --> 00:59:19,360
Speaker 4: The defense you could always rely on almost always straight unders.

1390
00:59:19,400 --> 00:59:21,440
Speaker 4: And then you get into the bowl game. Last year

1391
00:59:21,480 --> 00:59:24,000
Speaker 4: they got blanked by Ohio. This year they score almost

1392
00:59:24,120 --> 00:59:25,200
Speaker 4: fifty fifty.

1393
00:59:25,360 --> 00:59:25,920
Speaker 3: Who are you?

1394
00:59:26,360 --> 00:59:28,280
Speaker 4: And two years ago was one of the worst bad

1395
00:59:28,320 --> 00:59:30,760
Speaker 4: beats in a bowl I've ever seen against Army. Goodbye,

1396
00:59:30,840 --> 00:59:32,600
Speaker 4: Rocky Long. I know you're gonna end up as a

1397
00:59:32,600 --> 00:59:36,200
Speaker 4: defensive coordinator somewhere after your short retirement, but I won't

1398
00:59:36,200 --> 00:59:39,400
Speaker 4: have a problem not handicapping your offense. My last goodbye

1399
00:59:39,440 --> 00:59:42,000
Speaker 4: really is to this Missouri Bowl ban. I would like

1400
00:59:42,080 --> 00:59:44,760
Speaker 4: to think as a person that is a part of

1401
00:59:44,800 --> 00:59:47,400
Speaker 4: the Razorback program for life. I would like to thank

1402
00:59:47,440 --> 00:59:50,360
Speaker 4: the Missouri Bulband, the ludicrous Missouri bull band that was

1403
00:59:50,840 --> 00:59:53,320
Speaker 4: a cloud over their head the entire season. Even after

1404
00:59:53,440 --> 00:59:57,120
Speaker 4: Kelly Bryant transferred. They got bary Odem fired. Barry Odem

1405
00:59:57,200 --> 01:00:00,200
Speaker 4: lost the team, the team wasn't playing for anythingwards the

1406
01:00:00,280 --> 01:00:03,120
Speaker 4: end of the season, had struggle to beat Arkansas and

1407
01:00:03,240 --> 01:00:06,640
Speaker 4: they fired him. The administration fired him for drink wits,

1408
01:00:07,120 --> 01:00:09,560
Speaker 4: and now Arkansas has a new defensive coordinator in the

1409
01:00:09,640 --> 01:00:12,800
Speaker 4: form of Missouri's head coach. But the Missouri Bowl band

1410
01:00:13,120 --> 01:00:15,080
Speaker 4: was just a cloud over the program the entire year

1411
01:00:15,160 --> 01:00:17,560
Speaker 4: for what was supposed to be a team that I

1412
01:00:17,640 --> 01:00:20,880
Speaker 4: think closed in the market in Vegas with a win

1413
01:00:20,960 --> 01:00:21,800
Speaker 4: total of nine.

1414
01:00:22,280 --> 01:00:22,920
Speaker 2: I mean, it just.

1415
01:00:22,960 --> 01:00:25,120
Speaker 4: Everything went south, downhill. You and I talked about it.

1416
01:00:25,200 --> 01:00:26,920
Speaker 4: We just kind of ignored it. What happens when they

1417
01:00:26,960 --> 01:00:29,360
Speaker 4: take their first loss? Will the will the air kind

1418
01:00:29,400 --> 01:00:31,760
Speaker 4: of be you know, punched out of the sale? Will

1419
01:00:31,760 --> 01:00:34,360
Speaker 4: they not have anything left? Will the emotion be gone.

1420
01:00:34,240 --> 01:00:36,120
Speaker 3: For the team? Advice and faded them even more than

1421
01:00:36,240 --> 01:00:36,440
Speaker 3: we did.

1422
01:00:36,640 --> 01:00:38,720
Speaker 4: Kelly Kelly Bryant fumbles at the goal line against Wyoming.

1423
01:00:38,760 --> 01:00:40,160
Speaker 4: They lose at Wyoming game when the rest of the

1424
01:00:40,200 --> 01:00:43,360
Speaker 4: season's lost. So Missouri bull Ban just a lost season

1425
01:00:43,840 --> 01:00:44,960
Speaker 4: and Happy Trails.

1426
01:00:45,480 --> 01:00:48,720
Speaker 3: Happy Trails is another shitty Arkansas football season. All right,

1427
01:00:49,440 --> 01:00:52,480
Speaker 3: let's move on to third down before we get out

1428
01:00:52,480 --> 01:00:55,280
Speaker 3: of here. The final segment of the podcast, and they

1429
01:00:55,360 --> 01:00:58,200
Speaker 3: love a live show of the actual podcast. We're going

1430
01:00:58,280 --> 01:01:01,320
Speaker 3: to talk to the FCS Nationalchampionship Saturday at noon on

1431
01:01:01,360 --> 01:01:04,240
Speaker 3: ABC in Frisco, Texas. The first thing they know here

1432
01:01:04,520 --> 01:01:07,520
Speaker 3: over under open Dad fifty one, it's down to forty

1433
01:01:07,640 --> 01:01:12,240
Speaker 3: nine and a forty nine. That's mainly because of weather.

1434
01:01:12,480 --> 01:01:14,320
Speaker 3: There's going to be twenty twenty five on on hour wins,

1435
01:01:14,560 --> 01:01:18,040
Speaker 3: snow in the morning, thirty six degrees by kick not

1436
01:01:18,320 --> 01:01:21,960
Speaker 3: ideal throwing conditions when you look at this, when you

1437
01:01:22,000 --> 01:01:24,680
Speaker 3: look at this game, these two teams were clearly the

1438
01:01:24,720 --> 01:01:27,240
Speaker 3: two best teams in the country this year, and they

1439
01:01:27,280 --> 01:01:29,400
Speaker 3: had similar strengths to schedule, and if you look at

1440
01:01:29,400 --> 01:01:31,919
Speaker 3: a lot of the defensive metrics, it's North Dakota State's

1441
01:01:31,920 --> 01:01:36,320
Speaker 3: secondary is dominant and James Madison's run defense is dominant.

1442
01:01:36,360 --> 01:01:38,800
Speaker 3: And North Dakota State they have a quarterback who didn't

1443
01:01:38,800 --> 01:01:41,280
Speaker 3: throw an interception this year freshmen, but they rely on

1444
01:01:41,320 --> 01:01:43,160
Speaker 3: their rushing attack and their offensive line. They have to

1445
01:01:43,240 --> 01:01:45,440
Speaker 3: all Americans on the offensive line. They have four backs

1446
01:01:45,840 --> 01:01:47,600
Speaker 3: at least six hundred yards rushing this year. No other

1447
01:01:47,600 --> 01:01:49,040
Speaker 3: team at more than two. This is a team that

1448
01:01:49,160 --> 01:01:50,920
Speaker 3: just rinds it out. But James Madison is one of

1449
01:01:50,920 --> 01:01:54,760
Speaker 3: the best rush defenses of FCS historically good at the

1450
01:01:54,880 --> 01:01:57,880
Speaker 3: FCS level. I think they finished second in yards per

1451
01:01:58,120 --> 01:02:00,120
Speaker 3: attempt to laut like at like two point two, but

1452
01:02:00,160 --> 01:02:02,720
Speaker 3: they only allowed like sixty one yards rushing per game.

1453
01:02:03,000 --> 01:02:05,480
Speaker 3: That's the second best season single season total since two

1454
01:02:05,480 --> 01:02:09,000
Speaker 3: thousand and eight at the FCS level. Dmitierry Holloway, linebacker,

1455
01:02:09,400 --> 01:02:12,600
Speaker 3: leads that group could potentially play at the next level.

1456
01:02:12,760 --> 01:02:15,320
Speaker 3: They have two All American defensive ends. This team just

1457
01:02:15,400 --> 01:02:17,440
Speaker 3: lives in the backfield. You know, they could get nine

1458
01:02:17,480 --> 01:02:19,400
Speaker 3: to ten tackles for losses. So this is a run

1459
01:02:19,520 --> 01:02:21,960
Speaker 3: defense that is stout. And you want to know how

1460
01:02:22,080 --> 01:02:24,479
Speaker 3: stout they are, look no further than when they played

1461
01:02:24,520 --> 01:02:27,520
Speaker 3: West Virginia. That's James Madison's only lost this year. And

1462
01:02:27,680 --> 01:02:29,280
Speaker 3: if you look at like Sagarin, by the way, he

1463
01:02:29,360 --> 01:02:32,840
Speaker 3: has both these, James Madison rated ahead of West Virginia.

1464
01:02:32,880 --> 01:02:34,520
Speaker 3: And I'm still mad that I took seven in that

1465
01:02:34,680 --> 01:02:36,960
Speaker 3: game and pushed James Madison should have won that game.

1466
01:02:37,080 --> 01:02:40,840
Speaker 3: They held West Virginia thirteen first downs total yards, They

1467
01:02:40,880 --> 01:02:43,040
Speaker 3: outgained them yards for play. They were better. They lost

1468
01:02:43,040 --> 01:02:44,720
Speaker 3: two fumbles and threw a pick. I mean that was

1469
01:02:44,760 --> 01:02:46,520
Speaker 3: the difference in the game. But you want to go

1470
01:02:46,680 --> 01:02:48,680
Speaker 3: and look at a rush defense. This is against a

1471
01:02:48,680 --> 01:02:51,120
Speaker 3: West Virginia team that averaged about four point nine yards

1472
01:02:51,160 --> 01:02:53,680
Speaker 3: per play against a top ten hard artist schedule at

1473
01:02:53,680 --> 01:02:56,040
Speaker 3: the FBS level. They held West Virginia to about a

1474
01:02:56,080 --> 01:02:58,240
Speaker 3: half a yard below that season average. But from a

1475
01:02:58,320 --> 01:03:01,640
Speaker 3: rushing perspective, Virginia around the ball twenty four times for

1476
01:03:01,760 --> 01:03:05,520
Speaker 3: thirty four yards. So with the wind here, you know,

1477
01:03:05,880 --> 01:03:08,080
Speaker 3: don't I think it's going to limit both passing attacks.

1478
01:03:08,440 --> 01:03:11,400
Speaker 3: James Madison, you know, in Northakota State is an excellent

1479
01:03:11,480 --> 01:03:14,920
Speaker 3: secondary but the North Dakota State rush defense isn't as

1480
01:03:15,000 --> 01:03:18,960
Speaker 3: elite as the James Madison rush defense. Now, North Dakota

1481
01:03:18,960 --> 01:03:21,640
Speaker 3: State probably has a better rush offense, but I just

1482
01:03:21,760 --> 01:03:24,920
Speaker 3: think that this James Madison defense can contain North Dakota

1483
01:03:25,000 --> 01:03:27,360
Speaker 3: State on the ground. It's one of the only defenses

1484
01:03:27,400 --> 01:03:30,000
Speaker 3: I think that can really do it other than you know,

1485
01:03:30,400 --> 01:03:33,360
Speaker 3: you know, really profiles similar a lot of their rush

1486
01:03:33,440 --> 01:03:36,120
Speaker 3: defense stats, but James Madison is even better. The team

1487
01:03:36,200 --> 01:03:40,040
Speaker 3: that North Dakota State barely beat at home nine to three,

1488
01:03:41,600 --> 01:03:44,800
Speaker 3: and I'm talking about Illinois State in the College Tall

1489
01:03:44,840 --> 01:03:47,080
Speaker 3: Playoff at home. This is going to be in Frisco, Texas.

1490
01:03:47,120 --> 01:03:49,920
Speaker 3: So I love this. I love this James Madison defense.

1491
01:03:50,240 --> 01:03:52,840
Speaker 3: And then on the other side of the ball, you know,

1492
01:03:52,960 --> 01:03:56,280
Speaker 3: these two teams met in the National Championship two years ago.

1493
01:03:56,360 --> 01:03:59,400
Speaker 3: North Kota State end up winning seventeen to thirteen. And

1494
01:03:59,520 --> 01:04:01,720
Speaker 3: this is a team in the playoffs at the fcsfo

1495
01:04:01,840 --> 01:04:05,040
Speaker 3: is thirty five and two, which is just insane, and

1496
01:04:05,200 --> 01:04:06,800
Speaker 3: that that game is a thriller. I think this will

1497
01:04:06,840 --> 01:04:09,000
Speaker 3: be really close as well. But I just think James Madison,

1498
01:04:09,000 --> 01:04:12,400
Speaker 3: which is just across They're so well rounded, great special teams.

1499
01:04:12,400 --> 01:04:14,160
Speaker 3: They are number two and third down defense, number two

1500
01:04:14,200 --> 01:04:17,200
Speaker 3: and third down offense, really efficient quarterback in Ben Denucci,

1501
01:04:17,520 --> 01:04:19,760
Speaker 3: the transfer from Pitt But what I think the difference

1502
01:04:19,760 --> 01:04:22,840
Speaker 3: will be besides that James Madison run defense is just

1503
01:04:22,960 --> 01:04:26,560
Speaker 3: a couple big plays from the big play receivers on

1504
01:04:26,840 --> 01:04:30,360
Speaker 3: James Madison. And it's not going to be huge downfield passing.

1505
01:04:30,680 --> 01:04:34,000
Speaker 3: It's Brandon Polkan and space getting him, you know, just

1506
01:04:34,080 --> 01:04:36,640
Speaker 3: a quick wide receiver screen. He's a transfer for Penn State.

1507
01:04:36,680 --> 01:04:39,720
Speaker 3: He can just He's an explosive play waiting to happen

1508
01:04:39,760 --> 01:04:41,280
Speaker 3: if you get in the ball in space or just

1509
01:04:41,320 --> 01:04:44,120
Speaker 3: on a quick screen, quick slant. And then the other

1510
01:04:44,200 --> 01:04:46,840
Speaker 3: guy to keep an eye on is a guy who

1511
01:04:47,040 --> 01:04:53,360
Speaker 3: played in that National Championship two years ago Riley Stapleton six'

1512
01:04:53,600 --> 01:04:57,480
Speaker 3: five senior receiver who in that game had seven catches

1513
01:04:57,480 --> 01:04:59,760
Speaker 3: for one hundred and seven yards and a. Touchdown they

1514
01:04:59,800 --> 01:05:01,880
Speaker 3: can use his. SIZE i think in the red, zone

1515
01:05:01,960 --> 01:05:04,480
Speaker 3: maybe a little. FATES i think a couple of plays

1516
01:05:04,560 --> 01:05:07,160
Speaker 3: from a couple of their big play receivers mixed with

1517
01:05:07,200 --> 01:05:10,440
Speaker 3: their run defense in a low scoring. GAME i Think

1518
01:05:10,560 --> 01:05:14,480
Speaker 3: James madison gets this twenty to. Seventeen i'll say, SO

1519
01:05:14,840 --> 01:05:17,240
Speaker 3: i Like James madison and the. Under what do you? See,

1520
01:05:17,320 --> 01:05:18,439
Speaker 3: yeah definitely the under.

1521
01:05:18,520 --> 01:05:20,680
Speaker 4: Here definitely the first half, under especially with the weather

1522
01:05:20,720 --> 01:05:22,480
Speaker 4: and taking a team that generally plays in the. Dome

1523
01:05:22,760 --> 01:05:25,160
Speaker 4: James madison dealt with this kind of weather Against Northern.

1524
01:05:25,280 --> 01:05:29,720
Speaker 4: Iowa not a high scoring affair, whatsoever you, know less

1525
01:05:29,760 --> 01:05:31,520
Speaker 4: than twenty points in that. Game you know when you

1526
01:05:31,680 --> 01:05:33,960
Speaker 4: mentioned That James madison is a team that wants to

1527
01:05:34,080 --> 01:05:35,800
Speaker 4: rush and it's a team that can stop the. Rush

1528
01:05:36,000 --> 01:05:38,400
Speaker 4: probably a slow paced. Game and if you look at

1529
01:05:38,480 --> 01:05:40,560
Speaker 4: these teams in the red, zone they both rank in

1530
01:05:40,600 --> 01:05:43,000
Speaker 4: the top twenty in red zone, defense And stuck already

1531
01:05:43,040 --> 01:05:45,680
Speaker 4: mentioned that The James madison is second IN fcs and

1532
01:05:45,760 --> 01:05:48,800
Speaker 4: third down conversion percentage on Defense North Dakota state isn't

1533
01:05:48,840 --> 01:05:50,479
Speaker 4: that far. OFF i, mean they've had over two hundred

1534
01:05:50,480 --> 01:05:52,080
Speaker 4: TIMPs against, them two on third down and they ring.

1535
01:05:52,200 --> 01:05:55,200
Speaker 4: Fourteenth so both these teams are real stout on, defense

1536
01:05:55,320 --> 01:05:57,440
Speaker 4: and it's just a thing Where James madison's going to

1537
01:05:57,440 --> 01:05:59,840
Speaker 4: be able to overpower, them which is probably going to

1538
01:06:00,240 --> 01:06:00,680
Speaker 4: the last.

1539
01:06:00,760 --> 01:06:01,800
Speaker 3: Time this was.

1540
01:06:01,840 --> 01:06:05,080
Speaker 4: About as close to a rebuilding effort as you could,

1541
01:06:05,120 --> 01:06:08,160
Speaker 4: get considering from a quarterback, position from a coaching position

1542
01:06:08,200 --> 01:06:10,480
Speaker 4: out Of North Dakota. State so the play is to

1543
01:06:10,560 --> 01:06:13,200
Speaker 4: take the first half under to Back James madison here

1544
01:06:13,480 --> 01:06:16,240
Speaker 4: and then WHEN fcs odds pop up sometime between now

1545
01:06:16,280 --> 01:06:18,320
Speaker 4: and next, season you're gonna want to Take North Dakota.

1546
01:06:18,320 --> 01:06:21,480
Speaker 3: State there you have. It thanks to everyone for. Listening

1547
01:06:21,760 --> 01:06:25,200
Speaker 3: we appreciate you. All and it's been a fun. Season

1548
01:06:25,280 --> 01:06:28,200
Speaker 3: wasn't as profitable AS i as last. Year man last

1549
01:06:28,280 --> 01:06:29,960
Speaker 3: year was, fun but there was not going to have

1550
01:06:30,400 --> 01:06:33,160
Speaker 3: perfect seasons every, year and last year everything just aligned

1551
01:06:33,240 --> 01:06:36,800
Speaker 3: right for. Me luck, Everything but we will be back

1552
01:06:36,920 --> 01:06:38,919
Speaker 3: as strong as ever next. Year let's have a great

1553
01:06:39,240 --> 01:06:42,480
Speaker 3: College football. Championship we'll be back for the live, Show

1554
01:06:42,560 --> 01:06:46,959
Speaker 3: let's crush the, props the live betting AND i wish

1555
01:06:47,160 --> 01:06:49,960
Speaker 3: all of you well and Happy New year And colin

1556
01:06:50,000 --> 01:06:51,480
Speaker 3: any final parting words.

1557
01:06:51,600 --> 01:06:54,360
Speaker 4: Now the same as, YOU i look forward to a

1558
01:06:54,440 --> 01:06:57,320
Speaker 4: fantastic national championship that'll have two.

1559
01:06:57,440 --> 01:06:59,400
Speaker 3: QUARTERBACK i told my sons. This my sons are twelve and.

1560
01:06:59,480 --> 01:07:02,720
Speaker 4: THIRTEEN i, said this national championship is so important because

1561
01:07:02,800 --> 01:07:05,880
Speaker 4: you're going to get through college for the next fourteen,

1562
01:07:05,960 --> 01:07:08,160
Speaker 4: years you're going to Hear Trevor lawrence And Joe. Burrow

1563
01:07:08,240 --> 01:07:10,080
Speaker 4: that's how big of a college football game this. Is

1564
01:07:10,200 --> 01:07:11,880
Speaker 4: because that's going to those two names are going to

1565
01:07:11,920 --> 01:07:15,360
Speaker 4: dominate THE nfl this. SEASON i think everybody would agree

1566
01:07:15,480 --> 01:07:17,800
Speaker 4: was a little bit. Tougher the transfer portal has just

1567
01:07:17,920 --> 01:07:21,480
Speaker 4: kind of wreake tavoc on college. Football returning production doesn't

1568
01:07:21,520 --> 01:07:23,120
Speaker 4: mean as, much so don't get caught up at a

1569
01:07:23,160 --> 01:07:25,640
Speaker 4: bit in the. Offseason early bowl season has been tougher to,

1570
01:07:25,720 --> 01:07:28,600
Speaker 4: handicap lower volume because of the new early signing. Date,

1571
01:07:28,720 --> 01:07:31,760
Speaker 4: coaches it's just a lot more fluid than college football

1572
01:07:31,840 --> 01:07:33,440
Speaker 4: used to. Be you, know there's a lot more players

1573
01:07:33,480 --> 01:07:35,720
Speaker 4: sitting out for THE nfl these, Days but at the

1574
01:07:35,760 --> 01:07:38,760
Speaker 4: heart of, it from week to, WEEK i, think you,

1575
01:07:38,840 --> 01:07:40,960
Speaker 4: know it's just going to be another we'll have another

1576
01:07:41,040 --> 01:07:44,200
Speaker 4: fantastic year next. YEAR i think as college football, evolves

1577
01:07:44,920 --> 01:07:47,280
Speaker 4: we have to evolve as handicappers. Too and as the

1578
01:07:47,440 --> 01:07:50,160
Speaker 4: market has gotten smarter this, year especially With vegas And

1579
01:07:50,200 --> 01:07:53,240
Speaker 4: Circus sports setting the, lines we have to evolve. Also

1580
01:07:53,680 --> 01:07:55,960
Speaker 4: we have to be smart enough to know who's better

1581
01:07:56,040 --> 01:07:59,160
Speaker 4: at success rate and explosiveness and finishing. Drives we have

1582
01:07:59,320 --> 01:08:02,280
Speaker 4: to know these things when those lines get set by

1583
01:08:02,280 --> 01:08:04,040
Speaker 4: a sharp group out In Las. Vegas and that's what

1584
01:08:04,080 --> 01:08:04,720
Speaker 4: we're going to do next.

1585
01:08:04,800 --> 01:08:07,400
Speaker 3: Year, yeah as the market gets more, efficient we have

1586
01:08:07,480 --> 01:08:09,640
Speaker 3: to get even smarter and spend even more time in

1587
01:08:09,800 --> 01:08:12,400
Speaker 3: order to find those, edges which we will have to

1588
01:08:12,600 --> 01:08:14,520
Speaker 3: put it in even more time next year in order

1589
01:08:14,600 --> 01:08:16,519
Speaker 3: to stay ahead of the. Curve and by the, way

1590
01:08:16,600 --> 01:08:19,320
Speaker 3: it's a really important game for just Where clemson is

1591
01:08:19,400 --> 01:08:22,000
Speaker 3: in the college football. Landscape are they the New? Alabama

1592
01:08:22,080 --> 01:08:25,240
Speaker 3: with the, win this would be a third national title

1593
01:08:25,439 --> 01:08:29,240
Speaker 3: since twenty sixteen and back to back years and three or.

1594
01:08:29,280 --> 01:08:31,479
Speaker 3: Four that's the new dynasty and the make it if

1595
01:08:31,479 --> 01:08:31,720
Speaker 3: they win.

1596
01:08:31,800 --> 01:08:33,240
Speaker 4: This let me ask you a question before we sign.

1597
01:08:33,280 --> 01:08:37,320
Speaker 4: Off so we placed a national championship ticket On georgia

1598
01:08:37,960 --> 01:08:40,360
Speaker 4: before we walked out of The westgate last, year If

1599
01:08:40,439 --> 01:08:42,960
Speaker 4: Jamie newman Announced georgia Or Jamie newman announce As oregon

1600
01:08:43,040 --> 01:08:44,800
Speaker 4: or we WALK i, mean we can just Assume Ohio

1601
01:08:44,880 --> 01:08:47,080
Speaker 4: State clemson is the championship game next. Year but there's

1602
01:08:47,120 --> 01:08:49,320
Speaker 4: going to be two other competitors inside The College Football.

1603
01:08:49,320 --> 01:08:52,400
Speaker 4: Playoff is The Jamie newman decision For, georgia it's going

1604
01:08:52,439 --> 01:08:54,400
Speaker 4: to sway me in which team THAT i think is

1605
01:08:54,439 --> 01:08:56,639
Speaker 4: also going to join them in The College Football Playoff

1606
01:08:56,760 --> 01:08:58,720
Speaker 4: because if that announcement comes by the time we walk

1607
01:08:58,760 --> 01:09:00,479
Speaker 4: out Of, westgate that's probably the Team i'm going.

1608
01:09:00,439 --> 01:09:02,160
Speaker 3: To lay and take it down. On, yeah it looks

1609
01:09:02,200 --> 01:09:05,120
Speaker 3: like he's he's going to BE i think that LAST

1610
01:09:05,120 --> 01:09:06,200
Speaker 3: i heard he's going to transfer To.

1611
01:09:06,240 --> 01:09:09,439
Speaker 4: Georgia for those that don't, know there's a ga that

1612
01:09:09,680 --> 01:09:13,200
Speaker 4: is At oregon right now who is on Wake forest's

1613
01:09:13,280 --> 01:09:15,559
Speaker 4: roster and his close friends With Jamie. Newman so there

1614
01:09:15,680 --> 01:09:18,320
Speaker 4: is a connection Between Jamie newman And oregon and that's.

1615
01:09:18,360 --> 01:09:19,600
Speaker 4: Why and not only, THAT i mean they don't have

1616
01:09:19,600 --> 01:09:21,680
Speaker 4: an offensive coordinator right, Now so it's kind of, like

1617
01:09:21,720 --> 01:09:24,240
Speaker 4: Where's Joe morehead going To? Land Where's Jamie newman Gonna?

1618
01:09:24,280 --> 01:09:25,920
Speaker 4: Land these are still two variables up in the. Air

1619
01:09:26,200 --> 01:09:27,880
Speaker 4: if both those pieces were to fall In, OREGON i

1620
01:09:27,920 --> 01:09:30,120
Speaker 4: could see myself departing with some money on Organ If

1621
01:09:30,160 --> 01:09:32,640
Speaker 4: Jamie Newman land's At, GEORGIA i can see, myself you,

1622
01:09:32,680 --> 01:09:34,080
Speaker 4: know putting some money down on the dogs.

1623
01:09:34,080 --> 01:09:37,559
Speaker 3: Again. Yeah and by the, way that avoid The Big.

1624
01:09:37,640 --> 01:09:39,680
Speaker 3: TWELVE i think that you, know even if you fall

1625
01:09:39,720 --> 01:09:42,160
Speaker 3: in love with A big twelve, team this is going

1626
01:09:42,240 --> 01:09:45,280
Speaker 3: to be what happened this year To oklahoma black eye

1627
01:09:45,520 --> 01:09:46,960
Speaker 3: for the. Conference so even if you have a team

1628
01:09:47,360 --> 01:09:49,120
Speaker 3: that's on the, FRINGE i, mean not only have they

1629
01:09:49,120 --> 01:09:52,360
Speaker 3: shown they can't, compete the committee now has reasons to,

1630
01:09:52,439 --> 01:09:54,840
Speaker 3: say you know, What i'm not Going big. Twelve i'm

1631
01:09:54,880 --> 01:09:57,280
Speaker 3: going with ANOTHER. Sec there's not even going to be

1632
01:09:57,320 --> 01:09:59,640
Speaker 3: that much backlash after what we've seen for The Big,

1633
01:09:59,680 --> 01:10:02,600
Speaker 3: twelve especially the embarrassment this. Year so even if you

1634
01:10:02,720 --> 01:10:05,320
Speaker 3: love An oklahoma team or someone else in The big,

1635
01:10:05,400 --> 01:10:09,120
Speaker 3: TWELVE i Think texas is going to be significantly. Improved

1636
01:10:09,520 --> 01:10:11,519
Speaker 3: but it's gonna be. Tough it's gonna be tough for

1637
01:10:11,560 --> 01:10:12,840
Speaker 3: A big twelve team after what we've.

1638
01:10:12,840 --> 01:10:15,400
Speaker 4: Seen they may give a team Like oregon who is

1639
01:10:15,640 --> 01:10:18,639
Speaker 4: building themselves to look like AN sec, team from four years.

1640
01:10:18,680 --> 01:10:20,679
Speaker 4: Ago they may give a team like that a shot

1641
01:10:20,760 --> 01:10:21,479
Speaker 4: over A big twelve.

1642
01:10:21,520 --> 01:10:23,680
Speaker 3: Team, YEAH i gotta. Look i'm going to look at

1643
01:10:23,760 --> 01:10:25,840
Speaker 3: what some of the recruit recruitings are. Doing BUT i

1644
01:10:25,880 --> 01:10:28,120
Speaker 3: MEAN i did see That georgia, has you, know if

1645
01:10:28,120 --> 01:10:32,360
Speaker 3: they Get newman and what they. Have Jermaine burton And Marion,

1646
01:10:32,400 --> 01:10:35,400
Speaker 3: smith who were two of the top six receiving recruits

1647
01:10:35,439 --> 01:10:39,600
Speaker 3: this year and twenty, twenty are both going To. Georgia so,

1648
01:10:40,240 --> 01:10:43,120
Speaker 3: Yeah i'm gonna look. There we might be deja vuing

1649
01:10:43,560 --> 01:10:47,880
Speaker 3: with A georgia. Ticket so thanks again for. LISTENING i

1650
01:10:48,000 --> 01:10:50,400
Speaker 3: had my awards for a couple of people for. Reviews

1651
01:10:50,560 --> 01:10:52,760
Speaker 3: i'll sweep them. OUT i didn't have time to pull the,

1652
01:10:53,120 --> 01:10:55,840
Speaker 3: names but thanks again for. Listening we'll catch you in

1653
01:10:55,880 --> 01:10:59,080
Speaker 3: the live show and all weekend In, vegas and we'll

1654
01:10:59,080 --> 01:11:01,719
Speaker 3: see you. Soon by the, way college, basketball we're gonna

1655
01:11:01,720 --> 01:11:03,720
Speaker 3: be Having COLLEGE basketbll. Episodes we're not going. Anywhere we're

1656
01:11:03,720 --> 01:11:07,080
Speaker 3: still gonna HAVE nfl through the college basketball. Episodes we're

1657
01:11:07,080 --> 01:11:09,400
Speaker 3: gonna have once a week On, thursdays released On, fridays

1658
01:11:09,479 --> 01:11:11,840
Speaker 3: just like last. Year if you recalled, Myself Colin Mike,

1659
01:11:12,000 --> 01:11:14,320
Speaker 3: randall so we're just staying by to the college football.

1660
01:11:14,320 --> 01:11:16,400
Speaker 3: DIARTS i don't care about college, basketball But i'm excited

1661
01:11:16,400 --> 01:11:19,360
Speaker 3: for college basketball. Too that's it for. Me, cheers peace.

1662
01:11:19,400 --> 01:11:32,280
Speaker 3: Out we're finished. Talking