WEBVTT - MLB: Leading Off May 13th, 2024 (EP. 810) 0:00:05.720 --> 0:00:08.840 Welcome in everybody to Fantasy Bros. MLB. This is Leading 0:00:08.880 --> 0:00:10.720 Off Live, brought to you by Bet three six five 0:00:10.760 --> 0:00:12.960 Bet five bucks get one hundred and fifty in bonus 0:00:12.960 --> 0:00:15.680 bets when you use the promo code leading Off. It's 0:00:15.720 --> 0:00:18.279 me Joey p That of course is the Welsh, and 0:00:18.320 --> 0:00:21.040 it's you, the Peanuts and the Crackerjacks. After a long 0:00:21.079 --> 0:00:23.720 Mother's Day weekend, Happy Mother's Day to all of you 0:00:23.840 --> 0:00:27.640 out there, and of course Welsh, Happy Paul Skeen's Day 0:00:27.760 --> 0:00:30.840 for everybody who celebrates. We're gonna break that down, plus 0:00:30.880 --> 0:00:34.720 have some fun with a redraft of the first round 0:00:34.720 --> 0:00:36.680 from our other show, The Cycle here on our channel. 0:00:36.760 --> 0:00:39.080 Make sure you check that out with Mayor in the worm, 0:00:39.240 --> 0:00:41.040 Mayor in the worm. 0:00:40.520 --> 0:00:42.200 Ellie we in the butt. 0:00:42.560 --> 0:00:44.600 Hey, what's going on? Everybody? I mean, that is the 0:00:44.640 --> 0:00:47.960 all time best morning radio show ever, but Welsh Paul 0:00:48.000 --> 0:00:51.560 Skeen's debut. Let's just kick things off. We gotta start there. 0:00:52.080 --> 0:00:54.600 It was pretty much the line we were tossing around 0:00:54.640 --> 0:00:56.880 in that range. I think I said four inning, seven 0:00:56.880 --> 0:00:58.480 strike ups. I think I gave him four and two thirds. 0:00:58.520 --> 0:00:59.960 I gave him little bit of a benefit of doubt. 0:01:00.440 --> 0:01:02.880 It was fun for me. It was enjoyable. I had 0:01:02.920 --> 0:01:04.640 to go back and watch it on DVR because I 0:01:04.640 --> 0:01:07.839 had things going on in the afternoon. The crowd was good. 0:01:08.400 --> 0:01:12.920 It wasn't Strasburg electric I'm sorry everybody who's telling me 0:01:13.480 --> 0:01:16.640 it wasn't the Strasbourg electricity that night. It was a 0:01:16.760 --> 0:01:21.600 night game. It was the weather was good. He was unbelievable. 0:01:21.840 --> 0:01:24.759 Fourteen strikeouts. I believe in that. In that crazy one. 0:01:24.920 --> 0:01:26.960 I had goosebumps, literally, like just thinking about it, I 0:01:27.000 --> 0:01:30.319 got the goosebumps. The scheme's start was fun. He struggled 0:01:30.319 --> 0:01:31.920 with the control a little bit, a little trouble on 0:01:31.959 --> 0:01:33.480 the outside. It was funny. I think it was on 0:01:33.480 --> 0:01:35.600 the third or fourth inning he was struggling a little 0:01:35.600 --> 0:01:37.680 bit with the control and like one oh one, two, 0:01:37.680 --> 0:01:39.319 and then he dropped one in there at ninety six, 0:01:39.840 --> 0:01:41.319 and I was like, yeah, you know what, that can 0:01:41.360 --> 0:01:43.119 be effective too, buddy, Like we don't have to throw 0:01:43.160 --> 0:01:45.039 every ball one hundred and two miles an hour. I'm 0:01:45.080 --> 0:01:48.360 sure the adrenaline was pumping some good some lots so good. 0:01:48.800 --> 0:01:50.400 My big takeaway, well shot, I want to get your 0:01:50.440 --> 0:01:55.040 thoughts on this. Was that Nico Horner. You know the 0:01:55.040 --> 0:01:57.720 home run, right, I feel like it's the Nico Horners 0:01:57.760 --> 0:02:01.120 of the world, the Stephen Kwanza the world. The guys 0:02:01.160 --> 0:02:03.880 who make really good contact are the guys that could 0:02:03.920 --> 0:02:06.400 give pictures like schemes trouble at the major league level. 0:02:06.440 --> 0:02:07.240 What do you think about that? 0:02:07.760 --> 0:02:10.239 I mean, I suppose, yeah, like when you hit a 0:02:10.320 --> 0:02:12.160 hundred and you're or you're you know, on the gun, 0:02:12.200 --> 0:02:14.799 you're hitting one hundred hundred and one, if you can 0:02:15.000 --> 0:02:17.000 just get the barrel out in front, you've got a 0:02:17.040 --> 0:02:20.080 decent opportunity whatever type of power here you are, to 0:02:20.160 --> 0:02:22.520 launch the ball. So that's gonna be a lot about 0:02:22.520 --> 0:02:25.480 you know, bat speed and contact, and he's a high contact. 0:02:25.040 --> 0:02:27.079 Player, so yeah, probably not a huge shock. 0:02:27.440 --> 0:02:30.240 I watched this entire game because, like you said, this 0:02:30.320 --> 0:02:32.359 line was about where I said everything I was doing 0:02:32.360 --> 0:02:34.360 all the videos. I was like, listen, this is a 0:02:34.400 --> 0:02:36.840 six to seven or eight strikeout game really, regardless of 0:02:36.880 --> 0:02:39.040 how far he goes did not think he go five. 0:02:39.400 --> 0:02:42.359 He didn't, and then the rain. But I did make 0:02:42.440 --> 0:02:46.519 some decent money parlaying and just solo betting those strikeouts. 0:02:47.120 --> 0:02:50.519 But it was an interesting performance because the crowd was electric. 0:02:51.280 --> 0:02:54.080 He wasn't because of everything we had done, the build 0:02:54.160 --> 0:02:57.280 up and talking about Cubs would drive some counts. He 0:02:57.400 --> 0:03:00.239 was probably going to struggle a little bit with command. Yeah, 0:03:00.240 --> 0:03:02.520 he also did something interesting. I have to go back 0:03:02.560 --> 0:03:04.200 and look inning to inning, but it felt like in 0:03:04.240 --> 0:03:07.320 the first two innings it was like really heavy fastballs 0:03:07.360 --> 0:03:09.600 and there's some splitters, and then he went really heavy 0:03:09.639 --> 0:03:11.720 slider he had. I think it was a third inning 0:03:11.840 --> 0:03:14.320 where it felt like, why aren't you throwing a fastball? 0:03:14.400 --> 0:03:16.800 Like he wouldn't throw a fastball in two strike counts, 0:03:16.840 --> 0:03:18.280 and he kept throwing off speed stuff. 0:03:18.440 --> 0:03:19.120 He ended. 0:03:19.200 --> 0:03:21.160 If everybody wants to know that he didn't go and 0:03:21.200 --> 0:03:24.160 look yourself, thirty five percent with rate on the day, 0:03:24.240 --> 0:03:26.320 eighty four pitches, the most he'd had in the majors 0:03:26.320 --> 0:03:29.919 this year at thirty three percent CSW. His most effective 0:03:29.919 --> 0:03:33.720 pitch was the splitter fifty eight percent with rate, fastball 0:03:33.840 --> 0:03:36.880 twenty seven percent with rate. You know, good ratings across 0:03:36.880 --> 0:03:39.280 the board. Command was a little bit eh. And this 0:03:39.480 --> 0:03:41.840 just comes back down to the thing I had been saying, 0:03:42.080 --> 0:03:44.520 how deep will he be able to go into games? 0:03:44.600 --> 0:03:49.600 Ultimately? When that will that command fix itself? Yeah? Maybe sure, but. 0:03:50.040 --> 0:03:51.960 You know, like our guy's going to be sitting on 0:03:52.000 --> 0:03:56.120 a certain pitch, not eating at that splitter. And because 0:03:56.120 --> 0:03:58.120 he's a big strikeout guy, I think it's just going 0:03:58.200 --> 0:04:00.560 to be tough in general for him to get pass 0:04:00.640 --> 0:04:02.560 five a whole lot. But he is going to be 0:04:02.560 --> 0:04:05.720 a really good fantasy option. I think it met most 0:04:05.720 --> 0:04:08.760 of the expectations, though I will say I don't know 0:04:08.800 --> 0:04:12.280 if his trade value is more if you care about training, 0:04:12.280 --> 0:04:14.280 by the way, if it's more after the start than. 0:04:14.200 --> 0:04:15.000 It was before. 0:04:15.360 --> 0:04:19.000 But I felt like everything that I walked into the game, 0:04:19.120 --> 0:04:22.200 I left with the exact same breakdown, like nothing changed 0:04:22.240 --> 0:04:23.840 my thought process. 0:04:23.520 --> 0:04:25.840 Me too, And this is why I think we said 0:04:25.839 --> 0:04:28.240 what we said, which is if you are going to 0:04:28.279 --> 0:04:31.600 sell schemes, do it before the start, Like, do it 0:04:31.600 --> 0:04:34.320 it's all if that's your thing, if it's all theoretical value. 0:04:35.000 --> 0:04:36.520 But it is going to be a lot of four 0:04:36.600 --> 0:04:38.800 and five inning starts for him over the next few months. 0:04:38.839 --> 0:04:40.560 There are gonna be strikeout totals. Like if you're in 0:04:40.560 --> 0:04:43.200 head to head points leagues where strikeouts are heavily valued, 0:04:43.200 --> 0:04:45.840 skiings is going to be worthwhile. Bridge to the win 0:04:45.960 --> 0:04:50.440 will be tricky in season long, Rod even if he 0:04:50.480 --> 0:04:53.840 pitches relatively well because of the limitations. Some of those 0:04:53.839 --> 0:04:56.160 whippen eras are going to be a little inflated, sometimes 0:04:56.360 --> 0:04:59.480 artificially because of the amount of innings potentially, So if 0:04:59.480 --> 0:05:01.200 he has his art like you did you know this 0:05:01.279 --> 0:05:03.800 past one or you know, you give up three or 0:05:03.800 --> 0:05:05.719 four runs and four innings, it doesn't look all that, 0:05:06.240 --> 0:05:08.360 you know at the end of the day. But I'm 0:05:08.360 --> 0:05:10.520 sure there will be some electric moments here from Skins. 0:05:11.200 --> 0:05:12.520 I'm sure the adrenaline was pumping. 0:05:12.600 --> 0:05:14.600 I'm sure the first inning was a litle I'm gonna 0:05:14.600 --> 0:05:16.839 tell you this, like the crowd is electric. The first 0:05:16.880 --> 0:05:21.279 inning was explosive. It was that if anyone ever plays 0:05:21.279 --> 0:05:25.200 like MLB, the show that MLB, the show Power Fastball, 0:05:25.240 --> 0:05:27.440 where it was like you never had a chance. That's 0:05:27.520 --> 0:05:29.840 what the fastball looked like in the first inning. Then 0:05:29.880 --> 0:05:33.360 I thought stuff started settling down, Hitters started settling down, 0:05:33.400 --> 0:05:35.880 so everything kind of came back down. That first inning 0:05:35.920 --> 0:05:39.240 I did think was absolutely electric from Paul Skins, and you. 0:05:39.279 --> 0:05:39.919 Got to seek. 0:05:40.200 --> 0:05:42.120 I thought you got the full package of what you're 0:05:42.120 --> 0:05:44.400 gonna get from Paul Skins this year. Maybe he's a 0:05:44.440 --> 0:05:47.080 little bit more efficient, goes a tiny bit deeper. Maybe 0:05:47.120 --> 0:05:49.479 it is a whole lot of four and one third 0:05:49.640 --> 0:05:52.960 right at five starts, but like you're gonna probably get 0:05:53.000 --> 0:05:56.719 six plus strikeouts on a nightly basis from Paul Skins. 0:05:56.760 --> 0:05:58.520 It just will it ever be Strasbourg? 0:05:58.680 --> 0:05:58.760 Like? 0:05:58.839 --> 0:06:00.960 Is it ever gonna be you know, four team strikeouts? 0:06:01.160 --> 0:06:03.599 I don't know. The Pirates seem to be super babying, 0:06:03.640 --> 0:06:04.159 but it's. 0:06:04.000 --> 0:06:05.960 Gonna be fun to watch. Does he get to ninety five? 0:06:06.000 --> 0:06:07.760 Does he get to one hundred pitches? What type of 0:06:07.760 --> 0:06:10.560 babying happens? But he's here and enjoy it. 0:06:10.720 --> 0:06:13.400 He is enjoy the ride everybody. By the way I 0:06:13.440 --> 0:06:16.320 saw this, this is like the first question in the 0:06:16.400 --> 0:06:19.240 chat today before the show even started. So Jake's coming 0:06:19.240 --> 0:06:22.479 in hot today. Over the weekend, I traded Imanaga and 0:06:22.520 --> 0:06:24.560 I got Austin Riley. Please tell me I did a 0:06:24.560 --> 0:06:27.440 good thing by just the Riley injury of course, Well 0:06:27.440 --> 0:06:30.760 that's the only caveat now with the Riley side injury, 0:06:30.800 --> 0:06:32.839 and how long has he been dealing with the side injury, 0:06:32.920 --> 0:06:36.800 and maybe that explains the slow start. Theoretically, this is 0:06:36.839 --> 0:06:39.440 a great trade. Theoretically you're getting the everyday player who 0:06:39.520 --> 0:06:42.840 is a terrific player. Yeah, the strikeout totals were high 0:06:42.920 --> 0:06:45.240 last year, but so were the power numbers the whole 0:06:45.240 --> 0:06:47.120 Braves offense right now, the last two weeks they've scored 0:06:47.120 --> 0:06:48.800 the second least amount of runs by the way Welsh 0:06:48.800 --> 0:06:50.800 in the last two weeks of Major League Baseball, so 0:06:50.839 --> 0:06:52.800 it's not been a good run for them. Also, it'll 0:06:52.800 --> 0:06:54.400 get hot, a coon, You'll get hot, like it's all 0:06:54.400 --> 0:06:56.720 gonna change. But theoretically this feels like a really good 0:06:56.720 --> 0:06:59.080 trade for Jake as long as Riley's healthy. 0:06:59.480 --> 0:07:00.000 Yeah, I agree. 0:07:00.279 --> 0:07:01.840 I mean this is the type of trade that you're 0:07:01.880 --> 0:07:05.320 trying to make. Even August numbers, I think are the thing. 0:07:05.200 --> 0:07:07.839 That make this field. So like, did I do the 0:07:07.920 --> 0:07:08.280 right thing? 0:07:09.080 --> 0:07:11.640 If we start seeing the next couple starts, you know, 0:07:11.880 --> 0:07:15.720 things balance itself out. I think I think you'll feel 0:07:15.720 --> 0:07:17.160 a little bit better. Not that he's gonna get blown 0:07:17.200 --> 0:07:19.360 up or anything. He's got the Braves tonight. Maybe Riley, 0:07:19.520 --> 0:07:21.320 will you be able to get ahold of e Vanaga? 0:07:21.720 --> 0:07:24.040 But yeah, I think this is what you want, all right. 0:07:24.040 --> 0:07:25.440 I want to know what everybody else thinks about the 0:07:25.440 --> 0:07:28.760 scheme start too, So drop your give drug, your star rating, 0:07:28.840 --> 0:07:31.200 your grades, whatever you want to do with the first scheme. 0:07:31.320 --> 0:07:33.800 How many schemes, So it's going to five schemes, scale 0:07:34.360 --> 0:07:38.240 five scheme, scale five schemes for all the schemes. 0:07:37.920 --> 0:07:40.120 In the window. 0:07:41.640 --> 0:07:44.040 Nope, all these schemes does. 0:07:45.320 --> 0:07:48.960 I will still go scroll y'all schemes? 0:07:49.840 --> 0:07:53.240 Mother, all right? So they go four to five from 0:07:53.280 --> 0:07:54.080 Lucas on the schemes. 0:07:54.360 --> 0:07:56.680 Actually, look, everyone went right into the skin scale. 0:07:57.400 --> 0:07:59.280 The skin scales is a good Let's have that be our grade. 0:07:59.360 --> 0:08:01.200 Most of the time. I want to onn these headlines 0:08:01.200 --> 0:08:02.640 and I want to do this first round thing. This 0:08:02.720 --> 0:08:05.440 is really fun. So headlines from the weekend beside schemes. 0:08:05.600 --> 0:08:08.160 Brent Rooker also red hot tenth homer of the season 0:08:08.160 --> 0:08:11.000 for him. He was in the Waiwire video this week. 0:08:11.040 --> 0:08:13.000 I told everybody was like, look, I don't know what 0:08:13.000 --> 0:08:14.760 what everybody's sleeping on here. The guy hit thirty home 0:08:14.800 --> 0:08:17.400 runs last year, he's looking at three hundred on his 0:08:17.560 --> 0:08:19.600 m he's a tear right now. When he was rostered 0:08:19.600 --> 0:08:21.200 in less than fifty percent of leagues and now I look, 0:08:21.240 --> 0:08:23.560 it's only like sixty something. What are we doing here? 0:08:23.640 --> 0:08:26.280 I know I'm completely withyest ops of any player. 0:08:26.280 --> 0:08:27.559 By the way, over the last two weeks. 0:08:27.760 --> 0:08:30.440 This is one of those things like I'll admit it, 0:08:30.520 --> 0:08:32.280 like when I'm just not super into a guy and 0:08:32.320 --> 0:08:35.600 then the expectations are completely flipped. Like sometimes I actually 0:08:35.600 --> 0:08:38.680 become a little bit obsessive about it. And YO, like 0:08:39.280 --> 0:08:42.960 seventeen point nine percent barrel percentage attached to a fifty 0:08:42.960 --> 0:08:46.040 percent hard hit rate. You get over fifteen percent barrel 0:08:46.040 --> 0:08:47.400 and over fifty percent hard. 0:08:47.240 --> 0:08:47.760 To hit rate. 0:08:48.480 --> 0:08:49.680 Boom, that is beautiful. 0:08:49.720 --> 0:08:53.319 A two eighty five expected batting average, huge hard hit numbers, 0:08:53.559 --> 0:08:55.920 double digit walk rate. I don't think it's all going 0:08:56.000 --> 0:08:58.679 to continue. Brent Rooker's going to hit thirty homers this year, 0:08:58.720 --> 0:09:02.400 It's not a question. And now like eighties go to 0:09:02.440 --> 0:09:05.000 the way there. I know we did this on ITL 0:09:05.040 --> 0:09:06.560 the other day because I was losing my mind about 0:09:06.600 --> 0:09:10.280 Brent Rooker. I believe nine days ago he was like 0:09:10.400 --> 0:09:13.040 twenty something percent owned in CBS leagues and I think 0:09:13.080 --> 0:09:15.240 he was still in the sixties a couple days ago. 0:09:15.320 --> 0:09:19.520 So yes, Brent Rooker definitely must add with that hitting profile. 0:09:19.559 --> 0:09:21.960 That again, I don't think it's going to like continue continue, 0:09:22.160 --> 0:09:24.720 But when it's all said and done, it's thirty thirty 0:09:24.760 --> 0:09:27.040 five homers this year, and we're like, oh my god, an. 0:09:27.000 --> 0:09:29.800 Eight guy not to be lost in the shuffle. Josh 0:09:29.840 --> 0:09:33.439 Neil or one of our draft darlings. Eleventh home run 0:09:33.480 --> 0:09:35.680 for him this weekend too. Shout out to him, said Lugo. 0:09:36.200 --> 0:09:39.280 Huge performance for him. So the strikeout tolls have been lacking, 0:09:39.320 --> 0:09:42.600 and he heard us twelve case and one run giving 0:09:42.640 --> 0:09:44.600 up on Sunday. It was against the Angels, but still 0:09:44.840 --> 0:09:46.360 he had who was in front of you? 0:09:46.880 --> 0:09:49.840 I think I saw this stat It was the highest 0:09:50.120 --> 0:09:54.040 rpm pitch so rotations, the highest spin of a single 0:09:54.120 --> 0:09:57.199 pitch that got a strikeout all season long. It was 0:09:57.240 --> 0:10:00.840 like thirty four hundred and some change that he got 0:10:00.880 --> 0:10:02.800 on that curve ball. He throws up to thirty five 0:10:02.880 --> 0:10:06.160 hundred spin. It's the biggest spinny pitch in baseball. It's 0:10:06.200 --> 0:10:09.160 just officiously setting it up. Yeah, exactly, that's you know, 0:10:09.200 --> 0:10:12.120 baseball savant. Baseball savant. You know they're getting all the 0:10:12.160 --> 0:10:15.200 other new metrics or adding hitting metrics. Mine is the 0:10:15.360 --> 0:10:19.000 idiot metrics. I'm like, spinny spins and downy downs and. 0:10:20.679 --> 0:10:23.320 Yet was it the uppy ups? Would you do? 0:10:23.559 --> 0:10:23.760 Yeah? 0:10:23.760 --> 0:10:30.000 The uppy ups, the downy downs. That's the Welsh savantin. 0:10:28.000 --> 0:10:30.000 Verlander he bounced back to, which was good. He'd been 0:10:30.000 --> 0:10:33.560 a little rocky lately. Eight strikeouts for him against the 0:10:33.559 --> 0:10:37.280 Tigers again, you know, good opponent Zach Wheeler though, six runs, 0:10:37.280 --> 0:10:39.800 six hits, four innings, no decision against the Marlins. That's 0:10:39.840 --> 0:10:42.680 not what everybody had on their bingo card, nor Cole Reagan's, 0:10:42.679 --> 0:10:44.440 who got touched up for seven runs and six and 0:10:44.480 --> 0:10:46.360 a third. Now, people will tell me, well, you know 0:10:46.960 --> 0:10:48.920 some guys, oh and they got driven in. I don't 0:10:48.920 --> 0:10:50.960 care you left the guys on. Those are your runners. 0:10:50.960 --> 0:10:53.520 It's your responsibility if you couldn't finish the inning, and 0:10:53.559 --> 0:10:56.080 it wasn't against the Angel. So Reagan's has been very 0:10:56.160 --> 0:10:59.400 up and down lately. So Welsh, let's talk about it here, 0:10:59.679 --> 0:11:03.439 because use Reagans, a lot of people had that mentality 0:11:03.480 --> 0:11:07.120 of let's make this guy our number one starter and 0:11:07.200 --> 0:11:09.600 a rotation and fae pitching all together. To me, that 0:11:09.679 --> 0:11:12.920 was a risky strategy. We had arguments about it when 0:11:13.000 --> 0:11:15.240 Nick was on the show pitcher list, which I said, Hey, 0:11:15.320 --> 0:11:17.800 I love Cole Reagan's, but let's not make him out 0:11:17.840 --> 0:11:19.959 to be Justin Verlander yet. Let's not make him out 0:11:19.960 --> 0:11:22.320 to be those things yet there's always a reason why 0:11:22.320 --> 0:11:25.520 a team gives up on a guy who has talent. 0:11:25.800 --> 0:11:27.880 Sometimes they're wrong, but most of the time there's something 0:11:27.880 --> 0:11:30.800 else going on there. Reagan's undoubtedly has talent. Reagan's is 0:11:30.840 --> 0:11:33.000 gonna be a good major league pitcher. He is right now, 0:11:33.320 --> 0:11:36.000 but you're seeing some inconsistencies and some bad outings and 0:11:36.040 --> 0:11:38.600 bad outings against some bad teams, which, to me, Welsh 0:11:38.679 --> 0:11:40.360 is more disturbing your thoughts. 0:11:40.720 --> 0:11:43.120 Yeah, I'm a little bit bothered by one thing I 0:11:43.160 --> 0:11:45.800 would I'd say we're moving away from is we're probably 0:11:45.840 --> 0:11:47.440 and I think this happens with a lot of players 0:11:47.480 --> 0:11:50.719 where it's like, all right, maybe he bounces back and 0:11:50.760 --> 0:11:52.800 he's just like a really good pitcher rest this season, 0:11:53.400 --> 0:11:56.199 But what did that first five weeks do to the 0:11:56.280 --> 0:11:58.559 like the overall value, you know what I'm saying, Like 0:11:58.559 --> 0:12:01.680 like like, yes, we could look and hey, he's awesome, 0:12:01.720 --> 0:12:03.960 but what happened early on is something that we have 0:12:04.040 --> 0:12:06.439 to play into it that it's like, oh, I don't 0:12:06.440 --> 0:12:08.840 know if he can be a top top fifteen, a 0:12:08.880 --> 0:12:11.760 top ten sp like was being thrown around. 0:12:12.120 --> 0:12:16.600 Is consistency, Welsh, and he is just wildly inconsistent. I 0:12:16.640 --> 0:12:19.840 completely agree he has been wildly inconsistent. This last start, 0:12:20.240 --> 0:12:23.520 he had his average numbers just down in general, fastball down, 0:12:23.559 --> 0:12:26.280 tiny bit change up like from a Velo perspective, Cutter 0:12:26.480 --> 0:12:28.839 was down almost a mile and a half. His whiff 0:12:28.920 --> 0:12:33.079 rates haven't looked good. Hit eleven whiffs in that start 0:12:33.160 --> 0:12:35.560 off of his change up. He only had two other 0:12:35.559 --> 0:12:38.360 whiffs off any other pitch. So again, what that's telling 0:12:38.400 --> 0:12:41.360 you is the ineffectiveness of the rest of his pitches. 0:12:41.760 --> 0:12:43.880 And you have to have, in my mind, you have 0:12:43.960 --> 0:12:46.760 to have like good even distributions to be elite elite 0:12:46.920 --> 0:12:49.000 because if everyone is just eaten on your change up, 0:12:49.240 --> 0:12:50.880 that means they're sitting off of other stuff. 0:12:51.280 --> 0:12:52.559 Okay, well that's just going to keep. 0:12:52.679 --> 0:12:54.800 If they stop, you know, swinging at your change up, 0:12:55.000 --> 0:12:57.200 then is your fastball going to be good enough. It's 0:12:57.240 --> 0:12:59.160 just one of these things that I'm not sure the 0:12:59.200 --> 0:13:01.200 consistency is to get there for him to be the 0:13:01.200 --> 0:13:03.080 elite of lead and listen, I'm a buyer. 0:13:03.160 --> 0:13:04.439 I put him in a trade video. 0:13:04.240 --> 0:13:07.960 Because it feels like a bye. His last five starts 0:13:08.000 --> 0:13:09.520 as e RA. You want to get a guess with 0:13:09.559 --> 0:13:10.960 the e ra as over last five, Oh, I bet 0:13:11.000 --> 0:13:14.800 it's like it's like six six point three to one. Yeah, 0:13:14.920 --> 0:13:18.400 so yeah, it's an interesting opportunity to buy on him, 0:13:19.000 --> 0:13:21.920 but you have to temper your expectations for that too. 0:13:22.280 --> 0:13:25.280 And and again this is the danger. We loved Michael King, 0:13:25.320 --> 0:13:27.079 we loved Cole Reagan's we love them in their place, 0:13:27.480 --> 0:13:29.560 and Michael King also a guy that has shown you 0:13:29.880 --> 0:13:32.839 at times very good. This is why they were ranked 0:13:32.840 --> 0:13:36.160 as SP Three's. A good SP three is gonna have 0:13:36.240 --> 0:13:38.480 SP one moments, but they're also going to remind you 0:13:38.520 --> 0:13:40.280 why they're in SP three every now and then, and 0:13:40.320 --> 0:13:43.280 that's something you have to bake into your rankings when 0:13:43.320 --> 0:13:44.320 you're going into draft season. 0:13:44.360 --> 0:13:47.040 I think I will say I do think this, like 0:13:47.200 --> 0:13:51.040 May Area is a really like interesting transitional time of players, 0:13:51.080 --> 0:13:54.240 hitters in pitchers where you know, the the highs of 0:13:54.280 --> 0:13:57.480 the season, teams are starting to adjust, pictures happening kind 0:13:57.480 --> 0:13:59.400 of the same way. I mean, I don't I don't 0:13:59.440 --> 0:14:01.280 think he's on this list here, and I don't want 0:14:01.280 --> 0:14:03.280 to go out of this show not talking about him. 0:14:03.520 --> 0:14:05.160 But look at like Alec Manoa. 0:14:05.440 --> 0:14:09.840 You know, Alec Manoa had an insanely effective good start 0:14:09.880 --> 0:14:11.959 this week and something we had not seen out of 0:14:12.040 --> 0:14:12.640 him in a long time. 0:14:12.720 --> 0:14:13.800 Let me look at what the line was. 0:14:13.960 --> 0:14:17.480 He went seven, struck out six, a decent amount of 0:14:17.520 --> 0:14:20.720 hard hit but only walked one. And then when you're 0:14:20.760 --> 0:14:25.240 looking at his savant page, he had thirty three percent 0:14:25.360 --> 0:14:28.720 with rate, fifteen whiffs on forty six pitches and that 0:14:28.840 --> 0:14:31.240 happened over only seventy eight total pitches run. 0:14:31.480 --> 0:14:32.880 It was all really effective. 0:14:33.120 --> 0:14:37.320 Again, this is transitional time of like hitters kind of 0:14:37.320 --> 0:14:39.600 readjusting to the length of the season, pitchers who have 0:14:39.680 --> 0:14:41.720 been pitching over the course of you know, five or 0:14:41.760 --> 0:14:44.360 six starts early on Minoa's maybe a little bit different. 0:14:44.400 --> 0:14:47.080 But we're literally in a space where over the weekend, 0:14:47.320 --> 0:14:50.240 Cole Reagan's is now stacked up a couple black and 0:14:50.320 --> 0:14:51.640 Alec Manoa just stacked up. 0:14:51.600 --> 0:14:53.120 His greatest start of the season. 0:14:53.600 --> 0:14:55.880 And you know, it's something to not read too much 0:14:55.920 --> 0:14:59.360 into on both sides. I'm selling on Alec Manoa, I'm 0:14:59.400 --> 0:15:02.440 buying on Reagans, But I don't think Colt Reagan's is 0:15:02.480 --> 0:15:04.840 going to get to a level of consistency where we're 0:15:04.840 --> 0:15:06.800 putting him like Tyler Glatt. We're putting him in like 0:15:06.840 --> 0:15:09.440 a Cy Young range. And that's what kind of stinks at. 0:15:09.440 --> 0:15:11.680 Least right those of you who just watches on YouTube, 0:15:11.800 --> 0:15:15.080 is a reminder every single Thursday, we have an audio 0:15:15.280 --> 0:15:17.920 long form podcast for baseball with May with the Worm 0:15:18.280 --> 0:15:20.680 called The Cycle. It's the best podcast that isn't ours 0:15:21.040 --> 0:15:22.640 uh and only occurs, by the way, starting to heat 0:15:22.680 --> 0:15:24.400 up a little bit. So look at that. So we're 0:15:24.400 --> 0:15:27.680 bringing him around. Uh. But the the gents over there 0:15:27.680 --> 0:15:29.880 and Kelly Kirby got together and did a fun little 0:15:30.200 --> 0:15:34.000 redrafting round one with May with the Worm, and they 0:15:34.040 --> 0:15:37.640 have here's how it works here, Oh tani, that's a kunya. 0:15:38.040 --> 0:15:40.240 Now I still would take a kunya one overall and 0:15:40.360 --> 0:15:42.080 have no problem with that's when one overall, I have 0:15:42.160 --> 0:15:42.720 no problem. 0:15:42.960 --> 0:15:45.800 Was it this way? This was? This was mayor worm? 0:15:45.800 --> 0:15:47.480 And then I think Kelly and they just they what 0:15:47.640 --> 0:15:48.560 did picked the pick? 0:15:49.080 --> 0:15:50.760 They they went through one, two, three one. 0:15:50.800 --> 0:15:52.040 Do we know who one and two were? 0:15:52.720 --> 0:15:55.800 I don't, but I can only assume that whoever had 0:15:55.920 --> 0:15:59.680 nine was probably worm because it's an oriole. 0:16:00.280 --> 0:16:01.920 Oh okay, that's good. So that's three. 0:16:02.000 --> 0:16:04.520 So he got a kunya. So wow, Kelly and Mayer 0:16:04.640 --> 0:16:06.080 let akunya not go one? 0:16:06.720 --> 0:16:07.120 Interesting? 0:16:07.400 --> 0:16:10.000 So the top three were o Tani bets Akuni again, 0:16:10.000 --> 0:16:12.840 we're splitting hairs there. Bobby Witt four, Kyle Tucker at five. 0:16:13.400 --> 0:16:15.960 It feels pretty good. But Wan Soto at six, I 0:16:16.040 --> 0:16:18.920 just feel is downright disrespectful at this point. I mean, 0:16:20.120 --> 0:16:21.560 you know, Wan Sota, by the way this year is 0:16:21.600 --> 0:16:25.120 hitting five hundred against the Astros. I just want to 0:16:25.120 --> 0:16:26.680 put that out there. Five to sixty. I think he 0:16:26.720 --> 0:16:29.000 was in against the Astros. So Wan Soto six, here's 0:16:29.040 --> 0:16:31.840 what's fun. Welsh Ellie de la Cruz sneaks into the 0:16:31.840 --> 0:16:35.080 top ten at seven, then Zach Wheeler Corbyn Burns again. 0:16:35.160 --> 0:16:36.920 I think no Pictures deserve to be in the first 0:16:37.000 --> 0:16:39.640 round because I'm a jerk and I believe this is 0:16:39.680 --> 0:16:42.280 where fantasy baseball is and I don't think I'm wrong. 0:16:42.720 --> 0:16:44.120 Oh chance, it's Burns either. 0:16:44.480 --> 0:16:48.160 It's just not chance now that that definitely was warm 0:16:48.440 --> 0:16:49.479 doing that because. 0:16:49.200 --> 0:16:54.720 He's then Arise and Gunner Henderson and Freddie Freeman. So 0:16:55.200 --> 0:16:57.600 as far as the hitters, yeah, it feels about right. 0:16:57.920 --> 0:17:00.640 Are there any egregious people grow off the top of 0:17:00.680 --> 0:17:02.760 your head that you want to kick out? Like I 0:17:02.760 --> 0:17:04.399 want to kick the pictures out. That's the first thing 0:17:04.480 --> 0:17:06.080 I want to do. And they had a good conversation 0:17:06.119 --> 0:17:08.359 about all this, so again check it out. It was 0:17:08.359 --> 0:17:09.919 in the last episode that they did. You can go 0:17:09.960 --> 0:17:12.200 listen to it wherever, get your podcast on Fantasy Pros, 0:17:12.840 --> 0:17:16.960 MLB Fantasy Baseball Feed. But Who's missing? Because I think 0:17:17.000 --> 0:17:19.720 that is the big conversation. There is there somebody that's 0:17:19.760 --> 0:17:21.320 missing that you want to kick out, like one of 0:17:21.320 --> 0:17:21.960 the pictures for. 0:17:22.280 --> 0:17:24.880 I don't know if there's anybody that doesn't need that, 0:17:25.000 --> 0:17:28.320 like is missing that is crazy egregious though I will 0:17:28.359 --> 0:17:31.840 say it's kind of interesting that Corby Carrol's not in 0:17:31.880 --> 0:17:36.560 there obviously for his performance is the issue. No, no, no, 0:17:36.600 --> 0:17:38.880