WEBVTT - Buck Brief - Ryan Girdusky

0:00:11.697 --> 0:00:14.977
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Buck Sexton Show podcast, make sure

0:00:14.977 --> 0:00:17.977
<v Speaker 1>you subscribe to the podcast on the iHeartRadio app or

0:00:18.017 --> 0:00:21.297
<v Speaker 1>wherever you get your podcasts. Hey, everybody, welcome to the

0:00:21.297 --> 0:00:24.457
<v Speaker 1>Buck Brief. This episode, Ryan Gardusky joins with the latest

0:00:24.497 --> 0:00:27.817
<v Speaker 1>on all things politics. He is the host of the

0:00:28.057 --> 0:00:30.297
<v Speaker 1>or rather well, he's a host of many things. He's

0:00:30.337 --> 0:00:36.617
<v Speaker 1>also the writer behind the National Populist newsletter on Substack,

0:00:36.657 --> 0:00:39.897
<v Speaker 1>which I highly recommend you go check out and subscribe

0:00:39.897 --> 0:00:44.177
<v Speaker 1>to you, mister Ryan, good to see you. Explain OURFK Junior.

0:00:44.697 --> 0:00:47.657
<v Speaker 1>What is going on? Explain this to me? Is he

0:00:47.737 --> 0:00:50.377
<v Speaker 1>going to take more votes from Biden or from Trump?

0:00:50.577 --> 0:00:52.377
<v Speaker 1>Is he getting on the ballots? What the heck's with

0:00:52.417 --> 0:00:55.857
<v Speaker 1>this VP thing? So just like make this make sense? Please?

0:00:56.817 --> 0:00:59.137
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, you know, it's so funny. I had a conversation

0:00:59.257 --> 0:01:02.377
<v Speaker 2>with my buddy Megan McCain and she goes, this is

0:01:02.417 --> 0:01:04.337
<v Speaker 2>not going to be the vice president of my contract.

0:01:04.337 --> 0:01:09.737
<v Speaker 2>I can tell you that right now. The Yeah, So,

0:01:10.097 --> 0:01:11.977
<v Speaker 2>first of all, he's only on the ballad right now

0:01:12.057 --> 0:01:16.617
<v Speaker 2>in Utah. He says he has enough signatures and his

0:01:16.737 --> 0:01:19.977
<v Speaker 2>pack has enough signatures for other states like Nevada, Georgia,

0:01:20.137 --> 0:01:25.057
<v Speaker 2>New Hampshire, Oregon, in a couple few other states, but

0:01:25.177 --> 0:01:27.977
<v Speaker 2>there's there's a lot of legal challenges of whether or

0:01:28.097 --> 0:01:32.137
<v Speaker 2>not his pack can get signatures for him as a campaign.

0:01:32.137 --> 0:01:34.657
<v Speaker 2>They're really unsure about that. So we'll see where he

0:01:34.737 --> 0:01:38.097
<v Speaker 2>lands with his With this woman as his VP, she

0:01:38.217 --> 0:01:41.897
<v Speaker 2>has an estimated billion dollars from her divorce. They have

0:01:42.057 --> 0:01:44.577
<v Speaker 2>money to sit there and fight every legal challenge and

0:01:44.577 --> 0:01:46.217
<v Speaker 2>try to get on the ballot in every single state.

0:01:46.857 --> 0:01:48.537
<v Speaker 2>But as of right now, it's one state with a

0:01:48.577 --> 0:01:52.697
<v Speaker 2>possible I think seven others. The Cornell West, by the way,

0:01:52.857 --> 0:01:55.297
<v Speaker 2>is on four states, so Cornell West is on actually

0:01:55.297 --> 0:01:59.857
<v Speaker 2>more states right now than than RFK Jr. What is

0:01:59.897 --> 0:02:03.097
<v Speaker 2>the phenomena RFK Junior. He does have a hopeful message

0:02:03.137 --> 0:02:05.017
<v Speaker 2>his response to the State of the Union, which is

0:02:05.017 --> 0:02:07.137
<v Speaker 2>a nine minute video. If you've evern't seen it, it's

0:02:07.377 --> 0:02:10.097
<v Speaker 2>really good, Like it's really, really really good. It's not

0:02:10.137 --> 0:02:13.097
<v Speaker 2>completely accurate. He talks about how his uncle, when he

0:02:13.217 --> 0:02:16.657
<v Speaker 2>left the presidency and was assassinated, left the country in

0:02:16.697 --> 0:02:20.097
<v Speaker 2>peace and prosperity. He failed to mention the Vietnam War.

0:02:20.457 --> 0:02:23.217
<v Speaker 2>But that's fine, that's okay. Everyone's kind of seeing through

0:02:23.257 --> 0:02:27.777
<v Speaker 2>rose colored glasses. I think the VP pick, I think

0:02:27.777 --> 0:02:30.297
<v Speaker 2>it's interesting for two reasons. I think with the VP pick,

0:02:30.417 --> 0:02:33.577
<v Speaker 2>whatever her name is, I totally forgot it. Actually, pick

0:02:34.257 --> 0:02:39.257
<v Speaker 2>Shanahan is her last thing. Yeah, with Shanahan, it's definitely

0:02:39.297 --> 0:02:42.737
<v Speaker 2>looking more like a center left campaign than a center

0:02:42.897 --> 0:02:45.537
<v Speaker 2>right campaign, because that's what he was trying to do.

0:02:45.617 --> 0:02:47.977
<v Speaker 2>He was trying to kind of forge that middle ground.

0:02:48.497 --> 0:02:56.017
<v Speaker 2>And she's talking about you know, chronic diseases and a

0:02:56.057 --> 0:02:59.417
<v Speaker 2>lot of social justice stuff. She's not going to attract

0:02:59.497 --> 0:03:02.377
<v Speaker 2>a lot of right wingers to her cause. I think

0:03:02.417 --> 0:03:05.217
<v Speaker 2>the fact that she's like this Asian vegan woman from

0:03:05.257 --> 0:03:08.977
<v Speaker 2>California is definitely not the same thing as if you

0:03:08.977 --> 0:03:11.417
<v Speaker 2>would have picked that form of baseball player like that

0:03:11.457 --> 0:03:14.457
<v Speaker 2>would have been a much different vibe than than you know,

0:03:14.577 --> 0:03:17.577
<v Speaker 2>than than who he than Shanahan. I think she was

0:03:17.617 --> 0:03:20.897
<v Speaker 2>a pick primarily for her money, although they probably agree ideologically.

0:03:22.537 --> 0:03:24.817
<v Speaker 2>Her announcement speech was a little like a Ted talk

0:03:24.937 --> 0:03:28.097
<v Speaker 2>more than you know, just a speech, a presidential speech.

0:03:28.177 --> 0:03:33.297
<v Speaker 1>Did did you see the the Native American like chanting

0:03:33.417 --> 0:03:37.017
<v Speaker 1>slash apology thing before? I have a rule. I have

0:03:37.057 --> 0:03:40.577
<v Speaker 1>a rule Ryan. Anyone who starts off a meeting with

0:03:40.697 --> 0:03:44.257
<v Speaker 1>a Native American apology for stealing your land thing. I

0:03:44.257 --> 0:03:47.857
<v Speaker 1>don't trust. I don't trust them. That that is my rule.

0:03:48.937 --> 0:03:53.297
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it's it's definitely giving left wing vibes. I don't

0:03:53.337 --> 0:03:56.177
<v Speaker 2>think that it's right when vibes at all. But I

0:03:56.217 --> 0:04:00.097
<v Speaker 2>will say, I mean, if Cornell West gets on more states,

0:04:00.137 --> 0:04:02.657
<v Speaker 2>and if RFK Junior gets on more states, if that's

0:04:02.697 --> 0:04:05.337
<v Speaker 2>the vibe, I don't see how. Yeah, there would be

0:04:05.417 --> 0:04:08.537
<v Speaker 2>some crunchy Republicans who like care a lot about vaccines

0:04:08.537 --> 0:04:10.817
<v Speaker 2>who might really like RFKG here and they care about

0:04:10.857 --> 0:04:13.697
<v Speaker 2>chronic diseases. It's a bit of a It's an important issue,

0:04:13.737 --> 0:04:16.697
<v Speaker 2>but it's a niche issue. And if they're doing Native

0:04:16.737 --> 0:04:20.817
<v Speaker 2>American tribal dances and reparations for slavery, there's only one

0:04:20.897 --> 0:04:25.537
<v Speaker 2>kind of voter that really attracts, and that's either black

0:04:25.577 --> 0:04:29.817
<v Speaker 2>voters who like the Kennedy brand or very very very

0:04:29.857 --> 0:04:30.857
<v Speaker 2>liberal white voters.

0:04:31.537 --> 0:04:34.177
<v Speaker 1>Need I need you to just narrow this one down

0:04:34.217 --> 0:04:38.177
<v Speaker 1>for me, because you see Trump on truth social it's

0:04:38.257 --> 0:04:41.657
<v Speaker 1>now worth billions of dollars in public traded markets. Welcome

0:04:41.697 --> 0:04:43.777
<v Speaker 1>to America, everybody, this is the country we live in.

0:04:43.817 --> 0:04:50.617
<v Speaker 1>It's pretty amazing. But Trump tweeted, tweeted truth doubt Like

0:04:50.937 --> 0:04:53.737
<v Speaker 1>RFK is a left wing lunatic basically, but I'm glad

0:04:53.737 --> 0:04:56.897
<v Speaker 1>he's running because he'll take more Biden votes. Are let's

0:04:56.897 --> 0:05:00.417
<v Speaker 1>say that he gets on, meaning RFK Junior, a bunch

0:05:00.457 --> 0:05:03.537
<v Speaker 1>of different like twenty different states, and so he's on

0:05:04.097 --> 0:05:07.497
<v Speaker 1>you know, at least three or four important swing states, right,

0:05:07.577 --> 0:05:11.137
<v Speaker 1>let's say that that happens, or even just three or

0:05:11.177 --> 0:05:14.177
<v Speaker 1>four important swing states, forget about the overall number. Are

0:05:14.257 --> 0:05:17.857
<v Speaker 1>we very highly confident based on what we can see

0:05:17.857 --> 0:05:20.897
<v Speaker 1>in the data that he will take more Biden than

0:05:21.217 --> 0:05:24.297
<v Speaker 1>Trump votes or is that very much still TBD?

0:05:25.537 --> 0:05:27.937
<v Speaker 2>I think it's I think it's I believe it's probably

0:05:27.977 --> 0:05:31.977
<v Speaker 2>more well in fact, that Biden is attacking him aggressively.

0:05:32.017 --> 0:05:35.817
<v Speaker 2>Biden's already released his first ad against RFK Junior. That

0:05:36.017 --> 0:05:39.657
<v Speaker 2>shows you the amount that they fear he resonates because

0:05:39.657 --> 0:05:41.777
<v Speaker 2>it is only one percent or two percent in some

0:05:41.817 --> 0:05:45.257
<v Speaker 2>of these states that will move the whole election. And

0:05:45.297 --> 0:05:49.737
<v Speaker 2>I think they know that, and RFK nationally, she'll probably

0:05:49.777 --> 0:05:52.217
<v Speaker 2>get somewhere between two and five percent of the vote

0:05:52.377 --> 0:05:54.657
<v Speaker 2>at the current rate he's that, I imagine, I mean, the

0:05:54.777 --> 0:05:56.617
<v Speaker 2>independent vote is always higher in the end of the

0:05:56.697 --> 0:05:58.737
<v Speaker 2>year and always gets lower as the year goes on,

0:05:59.297 --> 0:06:03.137
<v Speaker 2>So that I think is really problematic for his candidacy.

0:06:03.137 --> 0:06:04.777
<v Speaker 2>But if he's able to get on and really kind

0:06:04.777 --> 0:06:07.497
<v Speaker 2>of be an issues candidate that talks about things that

0:06:07.537 --> 0:06:11.097
<v Speaker 2>people care about, I think you'll either A see I

0:06:11.217 --> 0:06:14.617
<v Speaker 2>didn't start trying to capitalize on his issues. I think

0:06:14.617 --> 0:06:16.577
<v Speaker 2>that Cornell West is going to run completely on a

0:06:16.617 --> 0:06:19.337
<v Speaker 2>pro Hamas pro Palestine thing, and he's going to try

0:06:19.377 --> 0:06:22.777
<v Speaker 2>to get those Palestine voters for his campaign. I think

0:06:22.817 --> 0:06:25.497
<v Speaker 2>that RFK Junior really cares with healthcare a lot and

0:06:25.537 --> 0:06:28.817
<v Speaker 2>chronic disease, and it's very what he's saying is not wrong.

0:06:28.897 --> 0:06:30.257
<v Speaker 2>I mean, it is not wrong that we are in

0:06:30.297 --> 0:06:33.417
<v Speaker 2>a very sick and morbally obese country. I just think

0:06:33.417 --> 0:06:38.657
<v Speaker 2>that when you're talking about what pesticides are being used

0:06:38.697 --> 0:06:41.657
<v Speaker 2>and what, you know, what did she talk about she

0:06:41.697 --> 0:06:42.377
<v Speaker 2>says something.

0:06:42.217 --> 0:06:44.297
<v Speaker 1>Like that, I just feel like RFK is running to

0:06:44.337 --> 0:06:47.137
<v Speaker 1>be somebody else's like EPA chief or something, you know

0:06:47.137 --> 0:06:49.417
<v Speaker 1>what I'm saying, like to me or FDA. I mean,

0:06:49.857 --> 0:06:52.977
<v Speaker 1>it doesn't seem like I know enough even about what

0:06:53.057 --> 0:06:58.417
<v Speaker 1>he thinks generally philosophically about government to know, like, what

0:06:58.937 --> 0:07:01.017
<v Speaker 1>is this guy all about? Right? He's good on the

0:07:01.057 --> 0:07:03.417
<v Speaker 1>COVID stuff, okay, right.

0:07:03.337 --> 0:07:06.937
<v Speaker 2>And he's on immigration on the border. Yeah, Like he

0:07:06.977 --> 0:07:09.017
<v Speaker 2>does talk about positive on the border. We need a

0:07:09.017 --> 0:07:14.777
<v Speaker 2>border wall. He does say those things. But every time

0:07:14.817 --> 0:07:16.737
<v Speaker 2>I've heard him essentially tall, I mean he talks about

0:07:16.737 --> 0:07:20.057
<v Speaker 2>bringing back manufacturing, he does mention these things. His ad

0:07:20.217 --> 0:07:21.697
<v Speaker 2>was like, we used to make blue jeans in this

0:07:21.737 --> 0:07:24.537
<v Speaker 2>country and we don't make anything anymore. That's not an

0:07:24.617 --> 0:07:29.577
<v Speaker 2>uncompelling ad for people, But the vibe you give out

0:07:29.737 --> 0:07:32.537
<v Speaker 2>it matters a lot. I don't necessarily think he gives off.

0:07:32.657 --> 0:07:35.417
<v Speaker 2>He doesn't even remind me of his father and uncle.

0:07:35.457 --> 0:07:38.137
<v Speaker 2>I think that he gives off. I think he gives

0:07:38.177 --> 0:07:41.497
<v Speaker 2>off much more of a left wing coastal you know, elite.

0:07:41.617 --> 0:07:43.777
<v Speaker 2>I mean, for crying aloud. You know, he's the godfather

0:07:43.817 --> 0:07:46.257
<v Speaker 2>of Glenn Close's daughter and his ex wife was on

0:07:46.297 --> 0:07:48.737
<v Speaker 2>Curby your enthusiasm. This is not a man or his

0:07:48.777 --> 0:07:50.897
<v Speaker 2>current wife rather was on Curby ruthuism. It's not a

0:07:50.937 --> 0:07:55.777
<v Speaker 2>man who's really moving into Michigan and marching in Mississippi

0:07:55.777 --> 0:07:59.177
<v Speaker 2>for the poverty strikes with MLK like his dad did.

0:07:59.617 --> 0:08:02.817
<v Speaker 2>This is somebody who is very much giving the sense

0:08:02.857 --> 0:08:04.737
<v Speaker 2>that he is a very early person. But there's a

0:08:04.777 --> 0:08:08.417
<v Speaker 2>lot of disenfranchised voters on all sides who don't like

0:08:08.457 --> 0:08:11.377
<v Speaker 2>Trump and who don't like Biden, who will be probably

0:08:11.457 --> 0:08:13.937
<v Speaker 2>casting a valid for him out of protest, and maybe

0:08:13.937 --> 0:08:16.217
<v Speaker 2>he'll get a few issues voters, and that's what really matters,

0:08:16.217 --> 0:08:19.057
<v Speaker 2>if he can pick up like the whole Hamas is

0:08:19.097 --> 0:08:22.897
<v Speaker 2>a genocidal thing, or Biden is too old voters and

0:08:22.937 --> 0:08:23.457
<v Speaker 2>who knows.

0:08:24.337 --> 0:08:25.697
<v Speaker 1>All right, we're going to come back in and you're

0:08:25.697 --> 0:08:29.217
<v Speaker 1>going to answer this question for me, Ryan, I was

0:08:29.257 --> 0:08:33.457
<v Speaker 1>asked this at a live event recently. Who is going

0:08:33.497 --> 0:08:36.417
<v Speaker 1>to win the House? Control of the House and why

0:08:37.137 --> 0:08:38.737
<v Speaker 1>We're going to get to that with you in a second.

0:08:39.257 --> 0:08:43.857
<v Speaker 1>First up sponsor right now is Patriot Defender Legal defense

0:08:43.897 --> 0:08:45.857
<v Speaker 1>for you and me, the kind that we need most,

0:08:46.057 --> 0:08:48.777
<v Speaker 1>no cost legal defense to protect your rights, freedom's reputation,

0:08:49.297 --> 0:08:50.977
<v Speaker 1>and your way of life. Speak up at a school

0:08:50.977 --> 0:08:54.777
<v Speaker 1>board meaning about vaccine mandate, suffer consequences, Your legal defense

0:08:54.857 --> 0:08:56.857
<v Speaker 1>is covered. If you're right to free speech is denied

0:08:56.897 --> 0:09:00.297
<v Speaker 1>and you suffer consequences, your legal defense is covered. Patriot

0:09:00.337 --> 0:09:03.217
<v Speaker 1>Defender is the company I'm a partner and Patriot Defender.

0:09:03.297 --> 0:09:06.177
<v Speaker 1>I'm a member of Patriot Defender and this is something

0:09:06.297 --> 0:09:08.177
<v Speaker 1>you should check out if it's available in your state.

0:09:08.217 --> 0:09:10.577
<v Speaker 1>I highly recommend you join and become a member. They'll

0:09:10.577 --> 0:09:14.897
<v Speaker 1>also provide you with IRS audit assistance Patriotdefender dot com.

0:09:14.897 --> 0:09:18.417
<v Speaker 1>Patriot Defender is the only membership that goes beyond just

0:09:18.577 --> 0:09:21.737
<v Speaker 1>concealed carry weapon defense. Patriot Defender will cover what others

0:09:21.777 --> 0:09:24.857
<v Speaker 1>won't to protect, protect you, your family and your livelihood.

0:09:24.857 --> 0:09:27.937
<v Speaker 1>Patriot Defender dot com. All right, now, my question to

0:09:28.057 --> 0:09:31.337
<v Speaker 1>you was who's going in the House and why? What

0:09:31.377 --> 0:09:31.897
<v Speaker 1>do you think?

0:09:33.177 --> 0:09:36.817
<v Speaker 2>So the House has never the House has only flipped

0:09:36.857 --> 0:09:40.857
<v Speaker 2>I think once where they're president is one the the

0:09:40.977 --> 0:09:43.337
<v Speaker 2>House is flipped in the other direction from the presidency

0:09:44.057 --> 0:09:46.697
<v Speaker 2>right now. Poles have Trump. I reve as for my subsecond,

0:09:46.737 --> 0:09:50.057
<v Speaker 2>the national copy subsect high quality polls holes that are

0:09:50.137 --> 0:09:53.577
<v Speaker 2>really well reviewed, well sourced, and well trusted. They come

0:09:53.617 --> 0:09:56.897
<v Speaker 2>from a variety people answer from text message and email

0:09:56.977 --> 0:10:01.817
<v Speaker 2>and live callers versus just internet poles. They are They

0:10:01.977 --> 0:10:04.217
<v Speaker 2>show Trump with about a one point five to two

0:10:04.617 --> 0:10:08.417
<v Speaker 2>to two and a half percent of a national advantage,

0:10:08.497 --> 0:10:11.457
<v Speaker 2>which is extremely large, largest he's ever had in his

0:10:11.617 --> 0:10:17.697
<v Speaker 2>entire all three candidacies online polls or lower lower value

0:10:17.737 --> 0:10:20.497
<v Speaker 2>polls that showed Biden actually edging Trump out for the

0:10:20.577 --> 0:10:25.777
<v Speaker 2>very first time in six or seven months. The national

0:10:25.897 --> 0:10:29.737
<v Speaker 2>election electorate in twenty twenty two was a two point

0:10:30.097 --> 0:10:34.817
<v Speaker 2>Republican majority, and Republicans got a bare minimum of the

0:10:34.977 --> 0:10:37.297
<v Speaker 2>popular vote. If it is, oh, I'm sorry, of the

0:10:37.297 --> 0:10:39.577
<v Speaker 2>House in twenty twenty two. If it is, if it's

0:10:39.577 --> 0:10:41.857
<v Speaker 2>looking like those hyperpency polls are right and Trump is

0:10:41.977 --> 0:10:44.577
<v Speaker 2>not gonna win but win the popular vote, Republicans are

0:10:44.617 --> 0:10:46.377
<v Speaker 2>still not going to win the House by that much.

0:10:46.457 --> 0:10:50.417
<v Speaker 2>You're talking about probably you know, ten to fifteen seat

0:10:50.497 --> 0:10:53.617
<v Speaker 2>majority at the very very most, just because a lot

0:10:53.617 --> 0:10:56.017
<v Speaker 2>of states have been jerrymandered six ways from Sunday.

0:10:56.337 --> 0:10:57.057
<v Speaker 1>You know, New.

0:10:56.977 --> 0:10:59.697
<v Speaker 2>Jersey, there's only three House seats that Republicans really can

0:10:59.737 --> 0:11:04.177
<v Speaker 2>win in New Jersey. There's only three maybe four in Illinois, California,

0:11:04.417 --> 0:11:08.937
<v Speaker 2>maybe one or two that Republicans currently don't hold. It

0:11:09.057 --> 0:11:12.337
<v Speaker 2>is the most borrow of margins. New Mexico is maybe one,

0:11:13.417 --> 0:11:16.817
<v Speaker 2>we like capped out of Florida, Republicans have no seats

0:11:16.857 --> 0:11:19.377
<v Speaker 2>that currently are not Republican that they can hope to

0:11:19.417 --> 0:11:23.057
<v Speaker 2>win in Florida, they have no seats in In Georgia

0:11:23.097 --> 0:11:25.697
<v Speaker 2>they have won. They have none. In North Carolina they

0:11:25.737 --> 0:11:27.257
<v Speaker 2>have well're going to pick up the three in North Carolina.

0:11:27.337 --> 0:11:30.777
<v Speaker 2>Besides that they're done. Virginia has one, West Virginia zero,

0:11:30.897 --> 0:11:35.177
<v Speaker 2>Ohio has two. Indiana maybe has won. There's not many though,

0:11:35.217 --> 0:11:38.177
<v Speaker 2>everywhere where it's going to matter. Where the where it's

0:11:38.177 --> 0:11:40.577
<v Speaker 2>going to matter if Republicans win is in the blue

0:11:40.617 --> 0:11:45.337
<v Speaker 2>state Republicans. There are I think fourteen Republicans right in

0:11:45.337 --> 0:11:47.897
<v Speaker 2>Africa because of George Sanders leaving. Maybe there's maybe it's

0:11:47.897 --> 0:11:52.377
<v Speaker 2>thirteen thirteen Republicans who are in Biden districts. If those

0:11:52.417 --> 0:11:56.137
<v Speaker 2>thirteen Republicans can hold on and they can pick up

0:11:56.297 --> 0:11:59.857
<v Speaker 2>the few Democrats who are in Trump districts, then they'll

0:11:59.857 --> 0:12:02.577
<v Speaker 2>hold on. But it's those thirteen Biden Republicans are what

0:12:02.697 --> 0:12:03.177
<v Speaker 2>really matter.

0:12:04.257 --> 0:12:06.337
<v Speaker 1>But Joe, you think that there's a good shot Republicans

0:12:06.337 --> 0:12:10.457
<v Speaker 1>could could maintain that House, then it sounds like that vote.

0:12:10.537 --> 0:12:12.457
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, if Trump win's the popular vote, if he gets

0:12:12.497 --> 0:12:14.257
<v Speaker 2>with him, if these hyper pency poles are correct, and

0:12:14.297 --> 0:12:17.857
<v Speaker 2>he continues going on, I know the media saying, you know,

0:12:17.977 --> 0:12:21.297
<v Speaker 2>inflation isn't great now, and you know, things are things

0:12:21.377 --> 0:12:22.377
<v Speaker 2>are all wonderful.

0:12:22.457 --> 0:12:23.817
<v Speaker 1>He's Biden to get that.

0:12:23.817 --> 0:12:26.097
<v Speaker 2>Amazing State of the Union speech, and he's on the

0:12:26.137 --> 0:12:28.577
<v Speaker 2>up and up, and he's showing he's got energy. I

0:12:28.577 --> 0:12:31.577
<v Speaker 2>don't know how well that media narrative is actually working.

0:12:31.577 --> 0:12:36.057
<v Speaker 2>Aside from these Internet poles, but I don't particularly see

0:12:36.097 --> 0:12:40.137
<v Speaker 2>it the state polling that high quality state poles that

0:12:40.177 --> 0:12:43.137
<v Speaker 2>have come out in the last three weeks have all

0:12:43.177 --> 0:12:46.177
<v Speaker 2>been very good for Trump. The Maris poles in Texas

0:12:46.217 --> 0:12:49.417
<v Speaker 2>and in it was North Carolina and Arizona, and the

0:12:49.417 --> 0:12:53.257
<v Speaker 2>Des Moines registered pole in Iowa all very very well,

0:12:54.217 --> 0:12:57.577
<v Speaker 2>well sourced, high quality polling, all were very very good

0:12:57.577 --> 0:12:58.057
<v Speaker 2>for Trump.

0:12:58.177 --> 0:13:00.537
<v Speaker 1>I want to ask you in just a second to

0:13:00.817 --> 0:13:05.297
<v Speaker 1>tell us how they think they turned this against Trump,

0:13:05.377 --> 0:13:09.097
<v Speaker 1>or you know, switch the momentum around so that Biden

0:13:09.257 --> 0:13:11.937
<v Speaker 1>is at least starting to even out the field, if

0:13:11.977 --> 0:13:13.537
<v Speaker 1>not pull ahead. We'll get to that in a second.

0:13:13.617 --> 0:13:17.017
<v Speaker 1>First up, Sponsor American Financing. This is the family owned

0:13:17.017 --> 0:13:19.617
<v Speaker 1>mortgage company that is what I went to for my

0:13:19.897 --> 0:13:22.937
<v Speaker 1>mortgage for my own home, and right now they're saving

0:13:22.937 --> 0:13:24.897
<v Speaker 1>homeowners like you an average of eight hundred and fifty

0:13:24.937 --> 0:13:27.777
<v Speaker 1>four dollars a month by tapping into home equity to

0:13:27.777 --> 0:13:30.417
<v Speaker 1>payoff high interest debt. You have high interest debt and

0:13:30.457 --> 0:13:32.297
<v Speaker 1>credit cards, for instance, This is a great way to

0:13:32.337 --> 0:13:35.297
<v Speaker 1>reduce debt and save money each month. Mortgage rates are

0:13:35.297 --> 0:13:37.417
<v Speaker 1>now in the fives, lower than they've been in some time,

0:13:37.537 --> 0:13:40.657
<v Speaker 1>So make a ten minute phone call to American Financing's

0:13:40.697 --> 0:13:43.737
<v Speaker 1>salary based mortgage consultants to find out how much they

0:13:43.817 --> 0:13:47.297
<v Speaker 1>can save you. Call today. They never charge any upfront fees.

0:13:47.337 --> 0:13:49.617
<v Speaker 1>You may even be able to delay two mortgage payments.

0:13:49.817 --> 0:13:52.737
<v Speaker 1>American Financing is the name eight hundred seven seven seven

0:13:52.817 --> 0:13:55.337
<v Speaker 1>eighty one oh nine. That's eight hundred seven seven seven

0:13:55.457 --> 0:13:58.017
<v Speaker 1>eighty one oh nine, or is it American Financing dot net?

0:13:58.177 --> 0:14:01.097
<v Speaker 1>That's American Financing dot net MLUS one A two three

0:14:01.177 --> 0:14:03.777
<v Speaker 1>three four at MLUS Consumer Access dot ORGAPR for rates

0:14:03.817 --> 0:14:05.337
<v Speaker 1>in the five star at six point six percent for

0:14:05.377 --> 0:14:07.577
<v Speaker 1>well qualified borrowers. Called eight hundred seven seven seven eight

0:14:07.617 --> 0:14:10.697
<v Speaker 1>one zero nine for details, credit costs and terms. Ryan,

0:14:11.857 --> 0:14:14.857
<v Speaker 1>what's the plan? Is it just democracies and peril? Trump

0:14:14.937 --> 0:14:17.017
<v Speaker 1>is hitler, and uh, they're not gonna let you get

0:14:17.057 --> 0:14:19.337
<v Speaker 1>abortions all nine months of a pregnancy like it. It

0:14:19.417 --> 0:14:20.537
<v Speaker 1>just feels like that can't be.

0:14:20.617 --> 0:14:28.577
<v Speaker 2>Enough to certain voters. It's enough for sure, but they're there.

0:14:28.617 --> 0:14:32.497
<v Speaker 2>They are emphasizing that Trump's second term is going to

0:14:32.537 --> 0:14:34.697
<v Speaker 2>be a blood bath. I mean we heard that, we

0:14:34.737 --> 0:14:36.737
<v Speaker 2>heard the term blood was a blood bath, right, That's

0:14:36.777 --> 0:14:41.977
<v Speaker 2>what he said there and said about the cars. Yes, yeah,

0:14:42.817 --> 0:14:46.017
<v Speaker 2>that was like, I mean, end of the world a

0:14:46.137 --> 0:14:49.297
<v Speaker 2>style conversation. And at the same time, you have here's

0:14:49.337 --> 0:14:52.897
<v Speaker 2>the problem. You have a niche group of Republicans nationwide

0:14:52.937 --> 0:14:56.777
<v Speaker 2>who are making the party seem very weird to average voters.

0:14:56.777 --> 0:15:01.817
<v Speaker 2>They're scaring the normies the Alabama IVF case for example.

0:15:02.337 --> 0:15:06.017
<v Speaker 2>All of these little things say to moderate voters who

0:15:06.057 --> 0:15:08.457
<v Speaker 2>are let's say, double haters. Double haters are really who

0:15:08.537 --> 0:15:11.097
<v Speaker 2>deicizes this election and people who hate both trum Biden

0:15:11.177 --> 0:15:15.537
<v Speaker 2>and Trump. Back last year, back when I was very pessimistic,

0:15:15.577 --> 0:15:19.217
<v Speaker 2>that's when the Wall Street Journal for Brizio Lepole said

0:15:19.217 --> 0:15:22.297
<v Speaker 2>that the double haters were voting for Biden by fifty points.

0:15:22.537 --> 0:15:25.137
<v Speaker 2>The most recent poll, I think it was the Maris

0:15:25.177 --> 0:15:28.217
<v Speaker 2>Texas poll said that they were voting now for Biden

0:15:28.257 --> 0:15:30.777
<v Speaker 2>by five points. Trump had closed the gap with people

0:15:30.817 --> 0:15:32.857
<v Speaker 2>who hate both Trump and Biden. And if you look

0:15:32.857 --> 0:15:34.937
<v Speaker 2>at the five thirty eight average. This is the first

0:15:34.937 --> 0:15:38.777
<v Speaker 2>time that Biden's approval r's are actually worse than Trump's.

0:15:39.257 --> 0:15:45.177
<v Speaker 2>If you, I think they they are a disasbrating the

0:15:45.457 --> 0:15:47.857
<v Speaker 2>divide and they get back those people by Satana saying

0:15:47.977 --> 0:15:51.537
<v Speaker 2>he really is a rec lose. He's really, you know,

0:15:52.017 --> 0:15:55.217
<v Speaker 2>he's really he's going to prison. He's got all these trials,

0:15:55.257 --> 0:15:58.617
<v Speaker 2>he you know, all this money. He can't be trusted.

0:15:58.897 --> 0:16:01.777
<v Speaker 2>Look at all of his former aids who hate him. Now,

0:16:02.297 --> 0:16:04.697
<v Speaker 2>why would you vote for this chaos? And I think

0:16:04.697 --> 0:16:07.897
<v Speaker 2>them selling camp is the message over Biden nomic. They're

0:16:07.977 --> 0:16:09.857
<v Speaker 2>dropped Biden. I don't know if you said the access

0:16:09.857 --> 0:16:12.977
<v Speaker 2>to that came out Accio's report having times Biden has

0:16:13.017 --> 0:16:15.977
<v Speaker 2>said Biden nominal so the last few months and it's

0:16:16.017 --> 0:16:18.177
<v Speaker 2>gone from like eighteen times in a month to zero.

0:16:18.257 --> 0:16:21.217
<v Speaker 2>He doesn't speak about that at all anymore. That messaging failed.

0:16:21.497 --> 0:16:23.657
<v Speaker 2>People personally don't feel good about the economy every time

0:16:23.697 --> 0:16:28.057
<v Speaker 2>they go to the grocery store. Inflation is still higher

0:16:28.057 --> 0:16:29.777
<v Speaker 2>than what people would like it to be, and you

0:16:29.897 --> 0:16:33.457
<v Speaker 2>have high interest rates at the home mortgages where people

0:16:33.457 --> 0:16:35.977
<v Speaker 2>feel like they can't buy their first home. Gaza has

0:16:36.017 --> 0:16:39.177
<v Speaker 2>definitely splintered a portion and a fraction of the Democratic Party.

0:16:39.217 --> 0:16:42.577
<v Speaker 2>The Gallup poll show that a majority of Democrats support

0:16:42.617 --> 0:16:45.937
<v Speaker 2>Gaza over Israel, and that's definitely splinting over some Arab

0:16:46.017 --> 0:16:48.457
<v Speaker 2>There's a lot of things going wrong for him. So

0:16:48.497 --> 0:16:51.777
<v Speaker 2>sometimes you are unified by the people as you hate

0:16:51.777 --> 0:16:55.337
<v Speaker 2>in common. Certainly, in twenty sixteen, Trump won a lot

0:16:55.377 --> 0:16:58.417
<v Speaker 2>of people who just could not bring themselves to allow

0:16:58.497 --> 0:17:00.897
<v Speaker 2>Hillary Cling to be president. That hatred for Hillary was

0:17:00.977 --> 0:17:04.217
<v Speaker 2>enough to unite people who didn't like Trump. Biden is

0:17:04.257 --> 0:17:07.017
<v Speaker 2>hoping that that happens again, that the hatred for Trump

0:17:07.137 --> 0:17:09.697
<v Speaker 2>is so strong, it's strong enough for strong enough to

0:17:09.737 --> 0:17:12.297
<v Speaker 2>elect to re elect him despite everything going.

0:17:12.137 --> 0:17:14.857
<v Speaker 1>Wrong for him. Before we let you go, and everyone

0:17:14.857 --> 0:17:17.617
<v Speaker 1>should check out the National Populas newsletter. I'm a subscriber.

0:17:17.697 --> 0:17:22.737
<v Speaker 1>It's great, Ryan's Substack newsletter. Uh, you have a Springsteen

0:17:22.817 --> 0:17:26.857
<v Speaker 1>T shirt on? Is this because is this because there

0:17:27.057 --> 0:17:31.417
<v Speaker 1>was a special deal for two dollars at the thrift store?

0:17:31.577 --> 0:17:35.897
<v Speaker 1>Or is this because you are a Bruce Springsteen fan.

0:17:37.697 --> 0:17:40.937
<v Speaker 2>Bruce Springsteen was like the soundtrack of my father's life.

0:17:41.017 --> 0:17:43.817
<v Speaker 2>And I've seen him concert probably seven times. He is

0:17:43.857 --> 0:17:45.097
<v Speaker 2>the greatest living.

0:17:44.857 --> 0:17:47.617
<v Speaker 1>Life Before Oh my god, he is.

0:17:49.497 --> 0:17:51.937
<v Speaker 2>Artist and he's the greatest living life performance.

0:17:51.977 --> 0:17:55.617
<v Speaker 1>This is terrified. Ryan is so wise on so many pigs,

0:17:56.297 --> 0:18:01.417
<v Speaker 1>the most the most overrated musician or you know, music

0:18:01.497 --> 0:18:06.377
<v Speaker 1>act in modern history, like America anywhere Bruce Springsteen has

0:18:06.457 --> 0:18:09.737
<v Speaker 1>got one song, it's not even that good. Everybody didn't

0:18:09.737 --> 0:18:12.057
<v Speaker 1>even get one song. I can't. I can't even so

0:18:12.177 --> 0:18:12.977
<v Speaker 1>much for music.

0:18:13.337 --> 0:18:15.777
<v Speaker 2>That's like people who want to hate Bob Dylan or

0:18:15.817 --> 0:18:17.937
<v Speaker 2>the Beatles because they're like, oh, you know their.

0:18:17.617 --> 0:18:23.137
<v Speaker 1>Own Bob Dylan sucks, Bob Dylan sucks. Bob Dylan? Can wait?

0:18:23.177 --> 0:18:24.137
<v Speaker 2>Can I tell you a good story?

0:18:24.177 --> 0:18:24.657
<v Speaker 1>I was with him.

0:18:24.897 --> 0:18:28.097
<v Speaker 2>I was out a dinner with his grandson and who

0:18:28.217 --> 0:18:30.137
<v Speaker 2>was like an arms dealer or something now, and I

0:18:30.177 --> 0:18:32.137
<v Speaker 2>was like, this is like the depressing decline of America.

0:18:32.377 --> 0:18:34.737
<v Speaker 2>But I had nothing to talk to him about. And

0:18:34.777 --> 0:18:36.297
<v Speaker 2>so I texted a friend and I was like, who,

0:18:36.497 --> 0:18:38.657
<v Speaker 2>what do I ask Bob Dylan's grandson? They go ask

0:18:38.737 --> 0:18:41.697
<v Speaker 2>him if his grandfather banged Evie Sedgwick. So I looked

0:18:41.697 --> 0:18:44.257
<v Speaker 2>over him and go, did your grandfather bang Edie Sedgwick?

0:18:44.297 --> 0:18:46.777
<v Speaker 2>And he goes, what? I go? Did he? I just

0:18:46.777 --> 0:18:48.577
<v Speaker 2>need to know? And he was like, no, he did it,

0:18:48.697 --> 0:18:51.817
<v Speaker 2>and I was like, okay, cool. That was the last

0:18:52.217 --> 0:18:57.777
<v Speaker 2>eightie Sedgwick, who's that? Yeah? Don't talk about culture, Buck,

0:18:57.857 --> 0:18:58.817
<v Speaker 2>don't talk about culture.

0:18:58.857 --> 0:19:01.137
<v Speaker 1>Okay, all right, all right, I gotta stick down.

0:19:01.697 --> 0:19:04.777
<v Speaker 2>It was Andy Warhol and Bob Dylan's muse and in

0:19:04.817 --> 0:19:07.697
<v Speaker 2>the sixties, and Andy Warhol got her addicted to heroin.

0:19:07.817 --> 0:19:09.857
<v Speaker 2>She died tragically, but she was an eight girl of

0:19:09.897 --> 0:19:12.777
<v Speaker 2>the late sixties. Look or ask somebody.

0:19:12.857 --> 0:19:15.777
<v Speaker 1>I don't know, ask somebody, I'll figure something out. Subscribe

0:19:15.777 --> 0:19:18.297
<v Speaker 1>to Ryan's newsletter. Just don't listen to you. Don't listen

0:19:18.337 --> 0:19:20.617
<v Speaker 1>to his you know, kay won't know. Just listen to

0:19:20.857 --> 0:19:23.897
<v Speaker 1>listen to his politics, not his music taste. Don't go

0:19:24.017 --> 0:19:26.617
<v Speaker 1>get his spristy and T shirt Ryan or Dusk everybody, Ryan,

0:19:26.697 --> 0:19:27.857
<v Speaker 1>thank you, Welcome,