WEBVTT - Norwegian Cruise Line CEO Harry Sommer Talks Taxes, Middle East

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news.

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<v Speaker 2>All right, another stock we're watching today is Norwegian Cruise Lines.

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<v Speaker 3>It is in the red here.

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<v Speaker 2>We can see with the rest of the market Norwegian

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<v Speaker 2>is falling. But it did put out an earnings report

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<v Speaker 2>signaling strong cruise demand despite missing profit outlook expectations. Norwegian

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<v Speaker 2>was one of a few cruise stocks that sank earlier

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<v Speaker 2>this month as well, following comments from Commerce Commerce Secretary

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<v Speaker 2>Howard Lutnik about a potential tax crackdown on ships that

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<v Speaker 2>sail under foreign flags. Joining us now is the CEO

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<v Speaker 2>Harry Summer Norwegian Cruise Lines. Harry, you know, came out

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<v Speaker 2>with some numbers that looked on the one hand good

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<v Speaker 2>but missed maybe outlook expectations. Why do you run us

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<v Speaker 2>through the reasons for that first?

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<v Speaker 1>So thanks for having a sum this morning. Appreciate it.

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<v Speaker 1>So you know, we're really happy with our twenty twenty

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<v Speaker 1>four earning scorecard. We had ten percent yield increases to

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<v Speaker 1>record numbers. It's a record percent increase, our record total yield.

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<v Speaker 1>We had record EBITDA. We kept cost growth down to

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<v Speaker 1>one percent, so like a nine hundred basis point spread

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<v Speaker 1>between revenue growth and cost growth is fantastic. We had

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<v Speaker 1>we something like crippled our net income from twenty three

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<v Speaker 1>to twenty four, we reduced our leverage by two turns,

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<v Speaker 1>increased our return on invested capital by three turns. So

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<v Speaker 1>overall we were really really excited about our twenty four papers,

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<v Speaker 1>so to speak, because in twenty five it's.

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<v Speaker 3>Going to be a little bit different, you know that.

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<v Speaker 1>The but we think it returns back to a normal

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<v Speaker 1>cadence where like in the back three and a half

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<v Speaker 1>percent yield growth on a half on a or three

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<v Speaker 1>percent yield growth on a half point growth in costs,

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<v Speaker 1>so about a three hundred basis point spread there.

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<v Speaker 3>As we're really excited.

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<v Speaker 1>Q One is a couple of technical issues that are

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<v Speaker 1>dragging it down, related to a few of our big

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<v Speaker 1>ships going to for some long dry docks, but abps

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<v Speaker 1>to that, we're really happy about the future as well.

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<v Speaker 3>Well.

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<v Speaker 4>In addition to booking and the momentum that you're seeing

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<v Speaker 4>in bookings, I also want to talk about how much

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<v Speaker 4>people are actually spending when they're on board. Of course,

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<v Speaker 4>that's a big way how cruises such as yourself make money.

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<v Speaker 4>And with this fear that we're seeing over inflation, the

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<v Speaker 4>concerns that are building about the consumer. Do you anticipate

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<v Speaker 4>that people riding aboard your cruises are going to pull

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<v Speaker 4>back on their spending once they're actually on the ship.

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<v Speaker 3>No, no, we don't see that.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, the onboard spend, which we track, as you

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<v Speaker 1>might imagine, on a weekly basis, was strong both for

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<v Speaker 1>Q four and our reported numbers, and continues to be

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<v Speaker 1>strong throughout January and now February as well.

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<v Speaker 3>That's the months almost over.

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<v Speaker 1>We're very very pleased, you know, I think within the

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<v Speaker 1>core demographic that we're getting, which is primarily you know,

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<v Speaker 1>upper middle class and upper class guests for our two

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<v Speaker 1>luxury brands, Oceanic cruises and reaching seven seat cruises, they

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<v Speaker 1>seem to be doing well despite the modest inflationary environment

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<v Speaker 1>we're seeing today, So we are not seeing any cracks

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<v Speaker 1>in on board spend.

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<v Speaker 2>I wonder if you factor in any additional tax bills

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<v Speaker 2>you might receive from the Trump administration. As we noted

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<v Speaker 2>in the intro, Howard Lutnick was I guess unhappy that

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<v Speaker 2>a lot of cruise liners and oil tankers are sailing

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<v Speaker 2>around with you know, low tax Caribbean flags on the back.

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<v Speaker 2>Most of your fleet is out of the Bahamas. What

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<v Speaker 2>do you say about that or what would you do

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<v Speaker 2>about it? Could you imagine putting more American flags on

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<v Speaker 2>your boats?

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<v Speaker 3>So you know, I'll start up.

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<v Speaker 1>I say it's a bit of a misnomer that the

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<v Speaker 1>cruise industry doesn't pay tax you know, as an industry.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, our Trade Association puts out some statistics. I

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<v Speaker 1>think as an industry we played close to two and

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<v Speaker 1>a half billion dollars in taxes on an annual basis

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<v Speaker 1>to various US jurisdictions.

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<v Speaker 3>We just pay them in different forms.

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<v Speaker 1>It's not an income tax, their ports taxes, but essentially

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<v Speaker 1>it gets to the same thing gets the treasury of

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<v Speaker 1>local and state and some federal taxes as well. So

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<v Speaker 1>that's a pretty robust tax bill. Now, of course, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>the administration may choose to pursue additional taxes on the

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<v Speaker 1>industry to a relatively complicated situation as our ships aren't

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<v Speaker 1>based in the United States for long periods of time,

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<v Speaker 1>So a little bit difficult to ascertain exactly what our

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<v Speaker 1>tax bill would be depending on how they may want

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<v Speaker 1>to modify the tax code.

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<v Speaker 3>But I will say, you.

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<v Speaker 1>Know, we're generally pleased with some of the other actions

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<v Speaker 1>of the administration. You know, this pursuit of peace in

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<v Speaker 1>the Middle East and between Russia and Ukraine, which hopefully

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<v Speaker 1>comes to tuition over the next few months, would be

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<v Speaker 1>a major tailwind to us. You know, we have one

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<v Speaker 1>of our highest yielding itineraries. You know, back in the

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<v Speaker 1>day seventeen eighteen to nineteen where cruises that visited Russia,

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<v Speaker 1>most specifically Saint Petersburg with about a third of our

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<v Speaker 1>fleet based in Northern Europe across our three brands summer

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<v Speaker 1>and to the extent that Russia opened up this could

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<v Speaker 1>be a significant tailwind to us in order to start

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<v Speaker 1>visiting Saint Petersburg. It was one of our most lucrative

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<v Speaker 1>and more importantly, highest rateed ports from a guest experience perspective.

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<v Speaker 4>That's really interesting, Harry, to hear you say that. I

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<v Speaker 4>know that your results last year were hurt in particular

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<v Speaker 4>by the conflict in Israel and specifically in the Red Sea.

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<v Speaker 4>So talk to us a little bit more about the

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<v Speaker 4>potential opportunity that you could see though in Russia, because

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<v Speaker 4>I mean, at least listening to your preliminary comments now,

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<v Speaker 4>it seems like you're saying that is a big opportunity.

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<v Speaker 1>Yes, I mean, this industry drives in peaceful environments. As

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<v Speaker 1>you may imagine, guests don't want to take vacations in

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<v Speaker 1>areas of conflict. And I don't mean to state the obvious,

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<v Speaker 1>but I think it's important to note and if we

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<v Speaker 1>can get some relative calm in the situation, especially in Russia,

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<v Speaker 1>like I said, with eleven of our ships about a

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<v Speaker 1>third of our fleet based up there, we can certainly

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<v Speaker 1>make some You know, it starts with the guest experience.

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<v Speaker 1>If we can provide guests with an even better experience

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<v Speaker 1>than they get today, we can generate additional.

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<v Speaker 3>Red and you therefore a profit.

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<v Speaker 1>The Middle East is a little bit more complicated because

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<v Speaker 1>there's a little bit more of a long lee time,

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<v Speaker 1>there's slightly more exotic cruises that.

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<v Speaker 3>Go to that part of the world.

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<v Speaker 1>But assuming things continue to calm down in that region,

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<v Speaker 1>we think there could be a tail wind for our

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<v Speaker 1>twenty twenty seven results.

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<v Speaker 3>So I think both.

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<v Speaker 1>Those areas are key, and we're again very pleased with

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<v Speaker 1>the work that the administration is doing in those areas.

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<v Speaker 4>So I know it's early, and you know you're thinking

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<v Speaker 4>about this as maybe a twenty twenty seven story. But

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<v Speaker 4>is there any range of numbers that you could could

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<v Speaker 4>put to that opportunity.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, it's really hard to tell. You know, it

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<v Speaker 1>depends when it happens, how far in advance. But you know,

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<v Speaker 1>with eleven ships in that Northern Europe region, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>even a ten or twenty dollars per DM impact on

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<v Speaker 1>those cruises could be significant. But I because that was

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<v Speaker 1>a type of impact we got back in seventeen to

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<v Speaker 1>nineteen on a positive basis, so it could be meaningful

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<v Speaker 1>to the bottom line.

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<v Speaker 4>All right, Harry, really appreciate you taking the time to

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<v Speaker 4>speak with us today after what I'm sure is a

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<v Speaker 4>very busy morning. Are thanks to Harry Summer of Norwegian

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<v Speaker 4>Cruise Lines